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AP correspondent MIke Hempen reports on a misundering aboard a commercial flight.
# Navigating the Cryptic World of Teenage Text Messages Ever received a text from your teenager that simply reads "bruh" or "need money"? In this candid episode, Hayley shares the emotional rollercoaster of communicating with her 13-year-old son while she was traveling. From pouring her heart out in lengthy, affectionate messages only to receive a heart emoji in response, to the panic-inducing nine missed calls that turned out to be nothing more than a bubble tea emergency, this episode hilariously captures the communication gap between parents and their teenagers. The stark contrast between her heartfelt messages and her son's brief, transactional responses highlights a universal parenting challenge. Haley's frustration resonates with parents everywhere as she admits, "I love him so much, but I just want more out of my teenage son." She even shares her mother's lament about raising sons versus daughters when it comes to emotional communication.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
God doesn't encourage sin; but He does expose and exploit sin. He can use it for good … if we're willing to hear Him out. From October 12, 2025
A round-up of the main headlines in Sweden on October 9th 2025. You can hear more reports on our homepage www.radiosweden.se, or in the app Sveriges Radio. Producer and presenter: Michael Walsh
It never fails to surprise me how much stuff there is to talk about. Roma is already locked in on False Alarm, we've got new nurgle on the horizon, plus the Everwinter Nights League. And then some random thoughts.
Join Captain Robert G. Kimbrel, CPS and Sergeant Joe Dooley as they discuss the growing danger of weaponized drones within the United States. Learn about over 22 recent swatting hoaxes at college campuses.
Welcome back to the podcast! In today's episode, we unpack Paul's teaching on the “man of lawlessness” in 2 Thessalonians 2 and explore two main views—whether the Antichrist is still to come or was already revealed in the first century.--The PursueGOD Truth podcast is the “easy button” for making disciples – whether you're looking for resources to lead a family devotional, a small group at church, or a one-on-one mentoring relationship. Join us for new episodes every Tuesday and Friday. Find resources to talk about these episodes at pursueGOD.org.Help others go "full circle" as a follower of Jesus through our 12-week Pursuit series.Click here to learn more about how to use these resources at home, with a small group, or in a one-on-one discipleship relationship.Got questions or want to leave a note? Email us at podcast@pursueGOD.org.Donate Now --The Man of Lawlessness (2 Thessalonians 2:1-12)One of the most intriguing passages in Paul's letters is found in 2 Thessalonians 2, where he describes a mysterious figure he calls the “man of lawlessness.” Christians throughout history have debated this passage, and two main questions always rise to the surface: Who is the man of lawlessness, and when will he appear?To answer these questions, we must carefully look at Paul's words and also consider two major perspectives Christians hold when it comes to end-times prophecy: the futurist view and the preterist view. While they differ in how they interpret certain details, both perspectives agree on one unshakable truth—Jesus Christ will return in glory, and evil will ultimately be destroyed.Clarifying the Coming of JesusPaul begins by reminding the Thessalonian believers about the coming of our Lord Jesus Christ and how we will be gathered to meet Him. The Greek word Paul uses here is parousia, which means “arrival” or “presence.” This is the same word he used in 1 Thessalonians 4, when he described believers being caught up to meet Christ. The emphasis here is on community—believers will be gathered together into God's presence. Far from being left out, every Christian will be part of this ultimate family reunion in the presence of Jesus.False Alarms and the Day of the LordNext, Paul warns his readers not to be shaken by false reports suggesting that the “day of the Lord” had already come. Some people were claiming to have visions or even letters from Paul that misled the church. Paul reminds them that the day of the Lord—the time of God's final judgment and Christ's return—could not have already taken place because two major events must come first:A great rebellion (apostasia in Greek, meaning “falling away”).The revealing of the man of lawlessness.This sets the stage for one of the most debated sections in the New Testament.Who Is the Man of Lawlessness?The futurist view sees the man of lawlessness as a future world leader, the Antichrist, who will rise during the end times, deceive the nations, and exalt himself against God. This is why many futurists expect to see dramatic events unfold—such as the rebuilding of a temple in Jerusalem—before Christ's second coming.The preterist view, however, argues that this prophecy was largely fulfilled in the first century. Many preterists identify the man of lawlessness with Nero Caesar, the infamous...
Have you ever had a health concern that felt minor, but your gut told you to speak up anyway?In this episode, host Talaya Dendy shares a personal and timely story about the power of trusting your instincts, especially when it comes to your health. Drawing from her experience, she reveals how self-advocacy can be a life-saving tool, and why it's never a "false alarm" to speak up about your concerns.You'll discover how to:Recognize and honor your body's signals, even when they seem minor.Manage anxiety and build confidence in medical settings.Take charge of your health by transforming fear and uncertainty into empowered action.Turn your medical history into a powerful tool for better care.Whether you're newly diagnosed, in active treatment, or navigating life after cancer, this episode offers a powerful reminder that your voice matters. Talaya's story will help you feel more confident, informed, and supported on your health journey.✨Highlights from the show:08:59 A New Personal Story: My "False Alarm" Journey12:23 How to Advocate: Collaborating with Your Healthcare Team15:56 The Surprising Reason for My Pain17:21 Four Internal Self-Advocacy Strategies21:35 Closing Thoughts & Upcoming Survivor Series PreviewTranscript: https://bit.ly/podscript170Blog: https://www.ontheotherside.life/trusting-your-gut-why-it-s-never-a-false-alarm-in-self-advocacyNavigating Cancer TOGETHER delivers heartfelt stories and expert insights to remind you that you are not alone. Subscribe now on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, YouTube, or your favorite podcast platform.
This broadcast covers two unexpected events in South Carolina over the weekend: a series of false active shooter reports at the University of South Carolina, and a flurry of unusual earthquake activity in a region not typically known for it. The speaker discusses the panic that ensued on campus due to the unconfirmed report and touches on similar hoaxes at other universities. The conversation then pivots to the state's seismic activity, highlighting the recent swarm of tremors in Greenwood County. The speaker notes the historical context of earthquakes in South Carolina, particularly the devastating 1886 Charleston earthquake, and the mystery surrounding why this new fault line is suddenly so active. It's a look at a weekend of chaos and a reminder of the unpredictable nature of both human actions and the earth itself.
Everywhere you look, someone is screaming “recession.” Some say we're already in one. Others shrug it off and point to the stock market hitting record highs. So who's right? More importantly—what does it mean for you as a prepper?
Everywhere you look, someone is screaming “recession.” Some say we're already in one. Others shrug it off and point to the stock market hitting record highs. So who's right? More importantly—what does it mean for you as a prepper? "The Recession Question: Looming Crash or False Alarm? | Episode 483" The post The Recession Question: Looming Crash or False Alarm? | Episode 483 appeared first on Survivalpunk.
Navigating a volatile world with a calm mindset, a collaborative spirit, and a drive for continuous reinvention—that's what true procurement leadership is all about.In this episode, host Richard McIntosh sits down with Gaël De Martelaere, Head of Direct Procurement at Dow, for a candid exploration of how procurement can thrive in times of disruption and transformation.Gaël unpacks Dow's journey as it shifts from relentless cost-out and pandemic-era capacity scrambles to a new era of collaborative, digitally enabled cost reduction. He reveals how a culture built on sustainability, innovation, and inclusion continues to endure, even when the market demands resilience above all.You'll learn:1. How agile, digital procurement adapts to margin pressure and supply volatility2. What it takes to build a resilient culture—staying true to the long-term ambition while managing the short-term realities3. How calm, transparent leadership drives focus and clarity when disruption strikes4. How true supplier collaboration creates value and resilience in an unpredictable market___________Get in touch with Gaël De Martelaere on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/gaeldemartelaere/Gaël's book recommendation:Shocks, Crises, and False Alarms by Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak and Paul Swartz | https://www.amazon.de/Shocks-Crises-False-Alarms-Macroeconomic/dp/1647825407Learn more about Women in Logistics, an initiative to promote gender balance in the logistics sector, on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/company/women-in-logistics-eu/ or visit the website https://www.essers.com/women-in-logistics-fostering-male-female-parity/ ___________About the host Richard McIntosh:Richard McIntosh, Partner at H&Z Management Consulting, has spent over 23 years helping procurement leaders succeed. Richard is an avid rugby fan, and a children's rugby coach, with a passion for helping children to become their best selves through sports. He spends his time outside of work with his wife and children. Get in touch with Richard McIntosh on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/mcintosh-richard/ ___________The Procurement Initiative Leaders Podcast is powered by H&Z Management Consulting in collaboration with SAWOO.
Cristina Gomez takes a deep dive into the latest information regarding Interstellar Object 3I/Atlas and the possibility it is an artificial spacecraft from another civilization as postulated by Professor Avi Loeb, as well as the author of the Three Body Problem comments on the Dark Forest theory, and scientist Beatriz Villarroel on why stars are disappearing, plus other news updates.00:00 - 3i/Atlas: Manhattan-Sized Mystery03:18 - Alien Probe or Natural Comet?05:05 - Dark Forest Theory Explained07:00 - Perfect Timing for Reconnaissance08:34 - Artificial Object Implications09:57 - First Contact or False Alarm?Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/strange-and-unexplained--5235662/support.
Big Rich, TD and Fletch are back with a jam-packed episode! We dive into the biggest everyday annoyances in office life (yes, you, microwave fish guy). Then we react to Ozzy Osbourne's funeral and talk about the surprise tsunami warning that shook San Diego, and get a little too personal with Kat's questionable flossing habits.
QOTD: Most memorable false alarm?
Firefighters 49xxxx (004) Jimmy Not Guilty of False Alarms
Federal officials have provided a new update regarding the ongoing search for Travis Decker, a man suspected of murdering his three young daughters over a month ago.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
A look back at the week’s news with Andrew Mueller, including Trump celebrating his 79th birthday at a military parade and launching T1 mobile. Plus: smart devices spark false emergency calls at Download Festival.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Usually when an alarm goes off . . we take a minute to consider the possibilities so we don’t over react. But what if it comes on the heels on a world altering disaster? Can an entire city have PTSD? That’s what L.A. faced just 2 months after the bombing of Pearl Harbor.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Welcome back to Tank Talks! Host Matt Cohen is back with the one and only John Ruffolo in another no-holds-barred news rundown from the frontlines of business, tech, and politics. With Canada barreling toward an election that could reshape its economic future, and global giants like Google facing legal evisceration, this episode is packed with jaw-dropping insights.* Why the Canadian election might deliver another political deadlock and why that terrifies investors.* The secret behind Google's looming breakup and OpenAI's wild move to snag Chrome.* Inside the AI shell game: How Ottawa's $2B bet could be more smoke than fire.* Rising gold, crashing confidence: Is Bitcoin back or are the gold bugs winning?Platforms vs. Reality: Are Politicians Just Rearranging Deck Chairs? (00:03:25)Matt and John break down the policy platforms with brutal honesty, from fantasyland deficit projections to a tax-and-build housing bonanza that may never materialize.John's take: Liberal spending assumptions are based on fantasy GDP projections. Meanwhile, conservative tax relief and entrepreneurial support feel more grounded but still beg the question, “Where's the execution?”AI Reallocations or Just a Shell Game? (00:08:04)The $2 billion AI investment promised by the Liberals is under scrutiny. The Conservatives say it's a reallocation, not a cut, but John isn't sold on the ROI.John's take: Ottawa's indiscriminate tech funding might be helping foreign giants more than Canadian innovators. Real results will only come from supporting homegrown ecosystems, not flashy line items.Google Breakup Incoming? OpenAI Eyes Chrome (00:14:00)A U.S. court just found Google guilty again, this time for monopolizing ad tech. The breakup buzz is real, and OpenAI is already circling Chrome like a hawk.John's take: This antitrust reckoning is 10 years late. Chrome is key to Google's dominance, but the real threat may now be Gen Z's shift to LLM-powered search. The disruption has already begun.Sell Everything U.S.? Global Rotation or False Alarm? (00:17:25)Markets are jittery. U.S. equities are underperforming. International funds are surging. Is this the start of a broader retreat from the American financial engine?John's take: If the U.S. wobbles, where do you go? The answer might be gold, Bitcoin, or both. As fiat faith erodes, the store-of-value debate is back with a vengeance.Gold vs. Bitcoin: The Great Store-of-Value Showdown (00:18:37)Gold is soaring. Bitcoin bugs are stirring. With the U.S. dollar under pressure and investors fleeing uncertainty, we might be entering a new age of alternative assets.John's take: Gold's silent resilience is paying off again. Meanwhile, Bitcoin maxis are rallying, but in the debate? Gold is taking the lead.In a world of broken platforms, fiscal illusions, and rising geopolitical chaos, this episode is a crash course in the new rules of money, tech, and power.Connect with John Ruffolo on LinkedIn: https://ca.linkedin.com/in/joruffoloConnect with Matt Cohen on LinkedIn: https://ca.linkedin.com/in/matt-cohen1Visit the Ripple Ventures website: https://www.rippleventures.com/ This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit tanktalks.substack.com
Finally, the False Alarm recap we've all been waiting for! Ridge joins Dayton and Carl to talk good food, good hangs, and a little bit of Age of Sigmar.
Firefighters 49xxxx (002) False Alarms
Dr. Bjorn Lomborg is a Danish political scientist, internationally recognized author, and the president of the Copenhagen Consensus Center—a think tank that researches the smartest solutions to global challenges by applying cost-benefit analysis. He is best known for his work on environmental and development issues, where he encourages evidence-based, economically sound approaches to solving pressing global problems.Dr. Lomborg first rose to global prominence with his book 'The Skeptical Environmentalist', in which he challenged prevailing narratives about the state of the environment using rigorous data analysis. He has continued that mission through subsequent bestsellers such as Cool It, False Alarm and Best Things First, where he critiques climate alarmism while advocating for effective, scalable policies that actually help the planet and people—especially the world's poorest.Lomborg has been featured as one of TIME magazine's 100 most influential people. His work bridges the gap between environmental concern and practical policymaking, pushing for investments in areas like clean energy innovation, global health, and education, where the returns are highest.Lomborg's arguments are grounded in data and aimed at fostering constructive debate about how to create the most good with limited resources.
Ben Maller talks about why Aaron Rodgers didn't announce his Steelers deal with Pat McAfee, the newest theory on Aaron Rodgers keeping the Steelers in limbo, Tyreek Hill's latest brush with the law, Fact or Fiction, and more!See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
This is the audio from a video we have just published on our YouTube channel – an interview with Bjorn Lomborg. To make sure you never miss great content like this, subscribe to our channel: https://www.youtube.com/@spiked European industry is in freefall, and Net Zero is to blame. Here, climate economist Bjorn Lomborg – author of Best Things First and False Alarm – explains how panic over climate change is doing far more damage than climate change itself. Swapping cheap and dependable fossil fuels for unreliable and expensive renewables costs our economies trillions, but for little environmental gain, Lomborg says. Plus, he tackles the myth of the ‘climate apocalypse' and explains why there are more polar bears than ever. Get your ticket for Brendan O'Neill's next live podcast, where he'll be joined by the brilliant Julia Hartley-Brewer, on Tuesday 15 April at 7pm BST. Sign up here: https://www.spiked-online.com/events/ Support spiked: https://www.spiked-online.com/support/ Sign up to spiked's newsletters: https://www.spiked-online.com/newsletters/ Order Brendan O'Neill's After the Pogrom now from:
"The sky is falling! The sky is falling!" -Chicken Little I'm sure she was a very sweet hen. If you're familiar with the original story of Chicken Little (rather than the Disney movie version), you might remember that her real name was Henny Penny. I'd guess she was sincere, cared about her neighbors, took initiative, and was well-respected. But she also tended to make assumptions, jump to conclusions, and share information without verifying its accuracy. Which, if you know how the story ends, cost her - and her feathered friends - quite dearly. We are in week 8 of our series Hope for Today // Faith for Tomorrow. As we come to the second chapter of 2 Thessalonians, we find the young believers in the same sort of tailspin as Chicken Little's barnyard community. They've been fed misinformation and lies that have left them confused about what they thought they knew, and it's costing them their peace and hope. Can you relate? ----------------------------------- TAKE YOUR NEXT STEP ----------------------------------- Let us know that you were watching with us and you will be entered to receive a free prize by completing our Connection Card: http://dsf.church/ecard Give Online: https://www.simplechurchgiving.net/App/Giving/dsf Message Notes: https://www.dayspringfellowship.com/messages Like, comment & subscribe to stay updated! Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/dayspringkeizer Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/DayspringKeizer YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/dayspringfellowship Website: http://dsf.church #dayspringkeizer #dayspringfellowship #2025sermon ___________________ Thanks for watching Dayspring Fellowship's worship service! At Dayspring Fellowship, we believe there is nothing more important than your spiritual growth.
It's saving lives, when it's not sending a false alarm. Hour 4 4/2/2025 full 2078 Wed, 02 Apr 2025 22:00:00 +0000 7EONoWaLsTI5OVZ07saUvvBytPXL446p news The Dana & Parks Podcast news It's saving lives, when it's not sending a false alarm. Hour 4 4/2/2025 You wanted it... Now here it is! Listen to each hour of the Dana & Parks Show whenever and wherever you want! 2024 © 2021 Audacy, Inc. News False https://player.amperw
Liberty police implements false alarm system full 2200 Tue, 01 Apr 2025 17:10:32 +0000 FaJhSalIKudCAYeovz2zmbR0w1ZRqHmO news The Jayme & Grayson Podcast news Liberty police implements false alarm system Catch each and every hour of Midday with Jayme & Grayson as they discuss the hot topics in Kansas City and around the country... 2024 © 2021 Audacy, Inc. News False https://player.amperwavepodcasting.com?feed-link
A little False Alarm preview, GW's announcement where they didn't announce anything, and a delightful butter recipe if you too are ready to shun modern society.
In today's episode of Breaking the Cycle, Michael and Bret address why the public is being desensitized to certain weather information and why it could have dire consequences if left unchecked.
False Alarms | Son of a Boy Dad #279 -- Ad-free yapping with Harry, Adam & Francis -- Follow us on our socials: https://linktr.ee/sonofaboydad -- Merch: https://store.barstoolsports.com/collections/son-of-a-boy-dad -- SUBSCRIBE TO THE YOUTUBE #SonOfABoyDad #BarstoolSportsYou can find every episode of this show on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or YouTube. Prime Members can listen ad-free on Amazon Music. For more, visit barstool.link/sonofaboydad
In today's episode, we dive into the swirling rumors about Kathleen Kennedy's possible retirement from Lucasfilm. While reports suggest she may step down by the end of 2025, some insiders say there's nothing confirmed yet. What does this mean for the future of Lucasfilm, and is Dave Filoni the right person to take over as president? We discuss all the latest developments, including Filoni's potential rise to the top. We also talk about Netflix's big move with IMAX for The Chronicles of Narnia, and how that could change the game for the studio's theatrical strategies. Plus, the Russo brothers tease a radical new approach for Avengers: Doomsday and Avengers: Secret Wars—what can we expect from the Marvel Cinematic Universe as the two films start production? Join Kristian and Clarke Wolfe for a detailed breakdown of these major movie news stories, including exclusive insights into the future of Star Wars, Marvel, and more! #starwars #lucasfilm #marvel #marvelstudios #netflix #avengers Check Out Clarke Wolfe's Youtube Channel: / @officialclarkewolfe Let us know what you think in the comments and don't forget to like, subscribe, and ring the bell for more updates! ROBINHOOD: Investing involves risk. Rate subject to change. 3% match requires Robinhood Gold at $5/mo for 1 yr from first match, must keep funds in IRA for 5 years. Go to http://www.robinhood.com/boost. EXCLUSIVE NordVPN Deal ➼ https://nordvpn.com/khshow Try it risk-free now with a 30-day money-back guarantee!!
Jan 31, 2025 – Curious how AI, rising rates, and political shifts are reshaping markets? Join Jim Welsh at Macro Tides and Financial Sense Newshour's Jim Puplava as they dive into the hit to big tech stocks this week, the ripple effects of China's AI...
Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@theocdandanxetypodcast Book your free session directly, visit: www.robertjamescoaching.com In episode 453 of the OCD and Anxiety Podcast, host Robert James delves into the concept of the "false alarm" in OCD, exploring how our minds are often convinced that something is amiss. We frequently scan our environment for issues even when none exist, driven by a habitual need to find something to obsess over. Robert emphasizes the importance of learning to recognize these false alarms, which are at the heart of obsessive behavior. He discusses how different themes or creative thoughts can mislead those struggling with OCD, making it crucial to identify which are truly part of this cycle. Throughout the episode, listeners are encouraged to tune into their emotions rather than perform compulsions, offering a pathway to break free from the cycle. Robert also shares news of a new meditation focused on feeling difficult emotions to be released on his YouTube channel. Join the conversation as we explore ways to regain control and cultivate a positive relationship with anxiety disorders Disclaimer: Robert James Pizey (of Robert James Coaching) is not a medical professional and is also not providing therapy or medical treatment. Robert James Pizey recommends that anyone experiencing anxiety or OCD to seek professional medical help straight away to get a medical opinion and rule out other conditions or illnesses. The comments and opinions as written on this site are simply that and are not to be taken as professional medical opinions. Robert James Pizey provides coaching, education, accountability and peer support around Anxiety through his own personal experiences.
Send us a textHave you ever faced the stress of a false alarm or the financial hit from emergency response fees? Discover essential practices to safeguard your cleaning business from these costly pitfalls. Jamie and I dive deep into alarm compliance, sharing personal stories and practical advice. From hefty fines to anxiety-prone employees, we spotlight the critical need for rigorous alarm protocols. Jamie's experiences bring to light the dramatic impacts of alarm mishandling and the stringent measures her company employs to avoid such incidents.Learn from our nerve-wracking encounter with law enforcement due to an alarm system glitch, and understand the importance of meticulous security protocols. We cover everything from the intricacies of advanced security technology to the vital management of keys and ensuring homes are restored to their proper state post-cleaning. With insights on state laws, locked key boxes, and accountability measures, this episode is your guide to maintaining a secure and efficient cleaning operation. Join us for an invaluable discussion packed with lessons to keep your business safe and sound.Up your cleaning game, join over 6000 Cleaning Business Owners most of whom are located here in the United States. It can be crowed when trying to figure out who you are going to learn from https://kleanfreaksuniversity.com/Questions? Feel free to reach out!Shannon Miller: cleaningbusinesslife@gmail.com Join my FB Group: https://www.facebook.com/groups/1583362158497744YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIjMz_-9YyiFvNVIgb61iYgTo order All-Natural Cleaning Products: www.purevergreen.comSee Shannon's latest courses: www.KleanFreaksUnversity.com
Jake's spent years looking for his place in the sun.
Ben Maller talks about Shohei Ohtani toughing it out to play in Game 3 of the World Series despite his injury, if the Dodgers can beat the Yankees without Ohtani being a factor, what happened to Aaron Judge, and much more!See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
When a woman gets sick with a mystery illness during the height of the COVID pandemic, she fears her holiday season will be ruined. But as her entire family starts getting sick one by one, a lousy Christmas is the least of her worries.Follow MrBallen's Medical Mysteries on Amazon Music or wherever you get your podcasts. New episodes publish for free every Tuesday. Prime members can binge episodes 49-56 early and ad-free on Amazon Music.Wondery+ subscribers can listen ad-free--join Wondery+ in the Wondery App or on Apple Podcasts.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
When COVID-19 hit, many predictions were made about how the global pandemic would impact the macroeconomy. Some of those predictions were accurate, some of them turned out to be false alarms. But when business leaders need to make strategic decisions with macroeconomic forecasts in mind, how do they tell the truth from the doomsaying? Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak is the global chief economist at Boston Consulting Group. He also leads the BCG's Center for Macroeconomics and regularly contributes to publications like the Harvard Business Review and Fortune.com. His book, Shocks, Crises, and False Alarms: How to Assess True Macroeconomic Risk delves into strategic ways business leaders can assess macroeconomic risk in the face of events like a global pandemic, war, or even presidential elections.Philipp and Greg discuss the necessity for today's executives to understand the macroeconomy, a new approach to judging macroeconomic risk, and why conventional models of the past might not be the best predictor for the macroeconomy's future. *unSILOed Podcast is produced by University FM.*Show Links:Recommended Resources:Ludwig von MisesFriedrich HayekJohn Maynard KeynesThe Phillips Curve Thucydides TrapGuest Profile:Professional Profile at Boston Consulting GroupLinkedIn ProfileHis Work:Shocks, Crises, and False Alarms: How to Assess True Macroeconomic RiskEpisode Quotes:Technology fuels productivity growth31:53: What's important to recognize is that technology is only the fuel of productivity growth. That's what we call in the book [Shocks, Crises, and False Alarms]; it's the fuel, but you also need the spark. You need firms to actually embrace the technology and put it to use. And the spark—that's the tight labor market. When the availability of labor is low or when the price point is too high, that's when you first nudge firms and later force firms to replace their labor needs with technology.How are leadership and macroeconomics connected?06:30: Most leadership is about coming to a conviction of what the future will be like and adjusting actions around that conviction. Macro is no different, and the more we treat macroeconomics as a science, the worse the outcome will be.How do we decide the optimal amount of history we ought to incorporate into our way of thinking about the world?25:40: History has great case studies. It shows often coherent drivers that illuminate important parts of the story. But history is always idiosyncratic, and so applying it, extrapolating, or copy-pasting from history is exceedingly difficult, all the way to the sort of inevitability of the great power war. It's simply not true that a rising rival power always leads to great power conflict. I mean, most obviously, Britain was displaced by the U.S., and it didn't come to a head, or like a war or conflict in that sense. So, if you look at the patterns of some of these predictions, it fails right there in the sense that there never is a sort of template-like use of history. All of it is rather idiosyncratic, and that makes it both beautiful and treacherous as an analytical tool.Navigating distractions with a strategic perspective49:19: It's so easy to be distracted and go down every rabbit hole the financial press will lay out for you. Every data point is spun into disaster. For every true crisis, many false alarms. And how do we learn to navigate that with more calm and, frankly, a better experience? Well, it's by learning about that more strategic picture of how the thing works.
If you're feeling overwhelmed by all the talk of recessions, inflation, and economic chaos, you're not alone—but you don't have to navigate it blind. Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak, Managing Director, Partner, and Global Chief Economist at Boston Consulting Group, and co-author of "Shocks, Crises, and False Alarms," is here to help leaders cut through the noise. In this episode, Philipp explains why leaders should avoid the Master Model Mentality, which is the mistake of relying too heavily on one-size-fits-all economic models. He shares tips for recognizing false alarms or overblown predictions about economic disasters that often never come true—and how to avoid getting caught up in doom mongering or the constant focus on worst-case scenarios. We'll also explore his concept of Economic Eclecticism, a practical approach for leaders to draw on insights from various fields to make better decisions. Philipp sheds light on the perpetual tightness in the labor market, which means demand for workers is likely to stay high even in uncertain times, and the deflationary effect of technology, showing how advancements like AI can reduce costs and increase purchasing power. Plus, we'll tackle whether the American Dream is really dead or just in need of a new perspective. Learn how to stay calm, curious, and confident, even when the headlines are screaming disaster. ________________ Start your day with the world's top leaders by joining thousands of others at Great Leadership on Substack. Just enter your email: https://greatleadership.substack.com/
Bjorn Lomborg is the president of the Copenhagen Consensus Center and has authored several bestselling books including "The Skeptical Environmentalist", "False Alarm" and recently “Best Things First.” In this episode of World of DaaS, Bjorn and Auren discuss:The most efficient policies to save livesEvaluating charitable ROI The real costs of climate change mitigationSweden vs DenmarkLooking for more tech, data and venture capital intel? Head to worldofdaas.com for our podcast, newsletter and events, and follow us on X @worldofdaas. You can find Auren Hoffman on X at @auren and Bjorn Lomborg on X at @BjornLomborg.Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com)
A walking episode, featuringego obliteration and recoveryfear does not keep you safethe "not so bad" trickyou're (I'm) acting like it's life or death and it ain'tdo I... learn to shuffle?This episode mentionsSarah J. Maas: https://sarahjmaas.com/ Shuffle inspo: https://youtu.be/emcVExxKJFUSolo jazz competition (see what I mean? I was in the crowd and saw this one live!): https://youtu.be/Fx77E7m85IcOH MY WORD I'm in this one, #73 hiding in the back: https://youtu.be/x2rcgBJbUnc
Two pedestrians were killed over the weekend in separate auto accidents, one in Pleasant Grove and another in Oak Cliff; also, reports of gunshots at Town East Mall turned out to be chairs being thrown in the food court; nearly 200 protesters outside Dallas Black Dance Theater cry “Firing dancers? Not the answer” and “Union busting is disgusting!” ; and the Texas Rangers are coming to terms that a return to the playoffs doesn't seem to be in the offing this year. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
In this episode, Andy Tanner interviews Paul Schwartz, the author of "Shocks, Crises, and False Alarms: How to Assess True Economic Risk." They discuss the importance of embracing uncertainty in economics and investing, avoiding dogmatic thinking, and using an eclectic approach to understand the complexities of the financial landscape. Schwartz shares his insights on topics such as the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, the sustainability of fiscal policy in the United States, and the risks posed by financial leverage and interdependence. The conversation also touches on the challenges of quantitative analysis, the pitfalls of the "master model mentality," and the value of learning from generalized principles rather than seeking a single, definitive solution.
Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak, Boston Consulting Group's Global Chief Economist, joins the Inside Economics team to share his views on the economy and discuss his newly published book. He makes the case that macroeconomic threats are intensifying and can no longer be ignored by decisionmakers. He also provides a nifty framework for how to assess the seriousness of these threats and not get caught up in the doom and gloom that often characterize them. Today's Guest: Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak - Global Chief Economist, Boston Consulting Group, Click here to learn more about Philipp Carlsson-SzlezakClick here for Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak's book Guest Host: Matt Colyar - Assistant Director, Moody's AnalyticsHosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody's AnalyticsFollow Mark Zandi on 'X' @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn
In Episode 370 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak, the Global Chief Economist at BCG and the author of “Shocks, Crises, and False Alarms,” about how to assess macroeconomic risk without relying on broken models, pervasive doom-mongering, and whipsawing data prints that have little to do with the structural drivers of economic and financial change. The shocks and crises of recent years are a rude awakening for executives and investors who have spent the last 40 years operating in a relatively benign macroeconomic and political environment. This period of geopolitical convergence characterized by increased trade and capital flows, lengthening business cycles, declining interest rates, and stable inflation is over, forcing corporate leaders and investors alike to recognize that macroeconomic risk is now something that needs to be actively managed. In the first hour, Demetri asks Philipp to explain his core framework of economic eclecticism, which relies on contextual flexibility, situational judgment, and rational optimism that neither ignores tail risks nor drags them to the center of the distribution. They examine four case studies and their associated narratives to help us understand why so many predictions fail to materialize and how a more eclectic approach to macroeconomic risk assessment could have helped investors and business leaders avoid these pitfalls and take advantage of the economic and financial opportunities created by these events in real-time. In the second hour, Philipp and Demetri discuss the role of government and central bank stimulus as a variable that needs to be actively managed by investors and business executives. They also discuss how to assess the risks associated with a U.S. government debt crisis, the integrity of the U.S. Dollar as a global reserve asset, and how to assess the prospects of technologically induced productivity growth, including AI-driven improvements to a service-oriented economy like the U.S. You can subscribe to our premium content and access our premium feed, episode transcripts, and Intelligence Reports at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you want to join in on the conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces Genius community, which includes Q&A calls with guests, access to special research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners, you can also do that on our subscriber page at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you enjoyed listening to today's episode of Hidden Forces, you can help support the show by doing the following: Subscribe on Apple Podcasts | YouTube | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | CastBox | RSS Feed Write us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify Subscribe to our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/ Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe and Support the Podcast at https://hiddenforces.io Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas Episode Recorded on 07/01/2024
Shocks, Crises, and False Alarms: How to Assess True Macroeconomic Risk by Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak, Paul Swartz https://amzn.to/3zruzcg An essential new guide to navigating macroeconomic risk. The shocks and crises of recent years - pandemic, recession, inflation, war - have forced executives and investors to recognize that the macroeconomy is now a risk to be actively managed. Yet unreliable forecasting, pervasive doomsaying, and whipsawing data severely hamper the task of decoding the landscape. Are disruptions transient and ephemeral—or permanent and structural? False alarms are costly traps, but so are true structural changes that go undetected. How can leaders avoid these macro traps to make better tactical and strategic decisions? In this perspective-shifting book, BCG Chief Economist Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak and Senior Economist Paul Swartz provide a fresh and accessible way to assess macroeconomic risk, and a corrective to prevailing thinking and practice. Casting doubt on conventional model-based thinking, they demonstrate a more powerful approach to building sound macroeconomic judgment. Using incisive analysis built upon frameworks, historical context, and structural narratives - what they call "economic eclecticism" - the book empowers readers with the durable skills to assess continuously evolving risks in the real economy, financial system, and the geopolitical arena. Moreover, the authors' richer and more nuanced approach reveals that the all too common narratives of economic collapse and decline are often false alarms, while the fundamental strengths of our current "era of tightness" become visible. With rational optimism rather than gloom, Shocks, Crises, and False Alarms speaks to the key financial and macroeconomic controversies that define our times - and provides a compass for navigating the macroeconomy. Rather than relying on blinking dashboards or flashy headlines, leaders can and should judge macroeconomic risks for themselves.About the author Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak is BCG's Global Chief Economist and a Managing Director & Partner in the firm's New York office. He is a regular contributor to Harvard Business Review, World Economic Forum Agenda, and other business publications. You can read Philipp's latest thinking in his Fortune column. Philipp was previously Chief Economist at Sanford C. Bernstein where he covered the economy and markets for institutional investors across the global asset management industry. Earlier in his career, he worked for the OECD and McKinsey & Company . Philipp studied at LSE and has a Ph.D from Oxford University.
On this episode DCMWG begins with Docs With Damona: ‘Tell Them You Love Me' and her review of the documentary (5:03), Darkside of the DM (24:56), Michael Rainey Jr. was sexually assaulted during a live stream that caused an uproar understandably so (31:41), Tyla gets backlash after people get upset with her for not acknowledging her “blackness” during an interview on The Breakfast Club (35:08), Voicemails (42:20) & more. Get your real life advice from Mona on the show! Dial 267-225-2492 and leave a question for a chance to have your voicemail answered on an episode. JOIN THE NEW DCMWG PLUS COMMUNITY FOR BONUS EPISODES, AD-FREE LISTENING & OTHER EXCLUSIVE CONTENT CLICK HERE: https://dcmwg.supportingcast.fm Executive Producers for Breakbeat: Dave Mays & Brett Jeffries Executive Producer: Don't Call Me White Girl Producer: Tom Flies Production: Creative Mind Productions: Vernon Ray (@AllMoneyShots) & Zack James (@ZJames_RHC) Instagram: @BreakbeatMedia @DontCallMeeWhiteGirl @PhelpsJugo @TomFlies Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
On this day in 1974, the residents of Sitka, Alaska, were fooled into thinking that a nearby volcano was erupting.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.