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Today we had the pleasure of hosting Dr. Kostas Bakoyannis, Chair of the Committee on the Environment, Climate Change and Energy at the European Committee of the Regions. Kostas has served as a member of the Committee since 2020 and previously held elected roles as Mayor of Athens, Governor of Central Greece, and Mayor of Karpenisi. He brings nearly two decades of public service experience including roles at the Greek Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the European Parliament in Brussels, and the World Bank in Kosovo. We were thrilled to connect with Kostas for an insightful discussion on Europe's energy future, the pressures facing European industry, and how the EU is navigating today's complex geopolitical landscape. In our conversation, Kostas shares his perspective on Europe's environmental and energy policies and the challenge of balancing energy security with energy transition amidst rising geopolitical tensions. We discuss the impact of tariffs and trade relations, Europe's internal challenges regarding energy affordability, regulatory complexity, and bureaucracy, and Greece's more balanced and pragmatic energy policies. We explore the importance of interconnection and regional energy cooperation within Europe, as well as the broader geopolitical and economic implications of efforts to connect energy systems with Cyprus and Israel. Kostas offers insights into how average Greek and EU citizens experience energy and financial pressures, the limitations of EU communication, and the importance of preserving the U.S.-European alliance built after WWII. We examine how different EU countries are pursuing diverse energy mixes and the need for technological neutrality in policymaking. We touch on Europe's evolving strategy on industrial policy and tariffs, the urgency of presenting a united Western front in dealing with China, calls for increased European defense spending, and the seriousness of concurrent economic, national security, and ideological tensions. Kostas highlights Greece's economic transformation, the investment climate, lessons from local governance, the need for more flexible, innovation-friendly regulation within the EU, and more. It was a broad-based discussion and we're thankful to Kostas for sharing his time and unique insights. Mike Bradley opened by discussing that “Trumpatility” is alive and global fear is high! He noted that Trump's reciprocal tariffs are dominating global markets and that broader equity markets could still have additional downside. However, the time for panic was weeks ago when equity market volatility was low, not today, when fear is extremely high. On the broader equity market front, Trump's reciprocal tariffs haven't just affected U.S. equities (S&P 500 down 12% over last 5 trading days) but also global equity markets (down 8-12%) over the same timeframe. Investor fear is historically high with the S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) trading at ~55 today and as high as 60 on Monday (3rd highest VIX level of the last 30 years). The S&P 500 opened strongly on Tuesday (up 3.5%) before ending the day down just under 2.0%, which looks to be signaling that investors are “selling the bounce” rather than “buying the dip.” Investors seem inclined to “buy the dip” around the S&P's 200-day moving average of 4,675 (6-7% lower). On bonds, he pointed out that the 10yr bond yield trades at ~4.25%, which is a higher yield than it traded on Liberation Day, as traders sense the Fed could be conflicted between tariff induced price inflation and a tariff induced U.S. recession. March CPI & PPI reports due this week could influence Fed decisions, with a cooler-than-expected inflation reading possibly paving the way for interest rate cuts as early as the May 7th FOMC Meeting. In the oil market, WTI price has plunged ~$14/bbl (to $58/bbl) over the last five trading days and is now trading at Mar '21 price levels. The recent plunge in oil price was due not only to Trump
In this episode, Joseph Wang and Austin Campbell join the show to discuss their overview of macro after the latest FOMC meeting, the EM-ification of the United States, and how stablecoins play into the continuation of US dollar hegemony. We also delve into support for stablecoin legislation, the case against the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve & US sovereign wealth fund, and more. Enjoy! __ Follow Joseph: https://x.com/FedGuy12 Follow Austin: https://x.com/CampbellJAustin Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx — Forward Guidance Audience Survey: https://forward-guidance.beehiiv.com/forms/109bcbf7-0948-43b8-be8d-5390a5198125 — Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv __ Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world's crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER™ device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on Ledger.com. — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:11) Macro & Crypto Colliding (01:09) Overview of Macro and FOMC Meeting (04:25) US EM-ification (09:39) Ledger Ad (10:23) What is Good Fiscal & Monetary Policy? (13:55) Stablecoins and US Treasury Demand (19:01) Stablecoin Legislation (23:44) Reinventing Money Market Funds (24:29) Ledger Ad (32:58) Strategic Bitcoin Reserve & Sovereign Wealth Fund (36:54) Final Thoughts __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
David Faber and Jim Cramer started the show by looking ahead to Nvidia's big AI message, with CEO Jensen Huang set to deliver his keynote address later today. The anchors then shifted to the big deal of the morning; Google-parent Alphabet acquired cybersecurity company Wiz for $32 billion, the company's largest acquisition ever. The desk also looked ahead to Fed Chair Powell's decision on rates, as the Fed kicks off the first day of its 2-day meeting. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer
Kevin Green discusses the highly anticipated keynote address from Nvidia (NVDA) CEO Jensen Huang. He believes the company will share updates on its tech pipeline, A.I. demand and could mention its latest developments with quantum computing technology. Outside of Nvidia, the FOMC meeting begins today and while Kevin doesn't see a rate cut for the Fed's March meeting he does map out what the central bank will be looking at this month.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
MONEY FM 89.3 - Prime Time with Howie Lim, Bernard Lim & Finance Presenter JP Ong
Singapore shares rose today to track regional gains. The Straits Times Index was up 0.97% at 3,896.87 points at about 2pm (2.03pm), with a value turnover of S$759.89M in the broader market. In terms of companies to watch, we have Sembcorp Industries, after the company responded to a Bloomberg report, which said Sembcorp could be considering going private or selling assets as part of its strategic review of its business. Elsewhere, from a surge in Chinese tech firms today, to what to look out for at Nvidia’s annual developers conference held in San Jose – more international and corporate headlines remain in focus. Also on deck – US retail sales rising less than expected in February and what that means for Wall Street investors. On Market View, Money Matters’ finance presenter Chua Tian Tian unpacked the developments with Audrey Ho, Investment Counselor, Citigold Private Client, Citibank Singapore.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
MONEY FM 89.3 - Prime Time with Howie Lim, Bernard Lim & Finance Presenter JP Ong
Singapore shares inched higher earlier today after data showed the country’s non-oil domestic exports reversed January’s contraction to grow 7.6% in February. The Straits Times Index moved 0.57% higher to 3,857.83 points at about 2.22pm, with a value turnover of S$732.91M in the broader market. In terms of companies to watch, we have Keppel, after the company said today that its wholly owned Kepland Investama is in a dispute over ownership rights for land plots in Jakarta. Elsewhere, from China’s “special action plan” to boost consumption and how global CEOs are reportedly set to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping next week, more international headlines remain in focus. Also on deck – how the US retail operator of Forever 21 has filed for bankruptcy for the second time. On Market View, Money Matters’ finance presenter Chua Tian Tian unpacked the developments with David Kuo, Co-founder, The Smart Investor.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Blockchain DXB & Society X – LinkedIn LiveUnfiltered Chat – Weekly Crypto, Blockchain & AIDate & Time: 10:30 PM GST, 13th February 2025Hosts:Markose Chentittha (Oort Foundation + Society X)RA George (Blockchain DXB + Bitcoin DXB)
We chat about December housing numbers and consumer confidence before discussing what happened at the January FOMC meeting/press conference.
Today we are thrilled to kick off the first COBT episode of 2025 with our good friend Rob West, Founder and Lead Analyst at Thunder Said Energy. Rob started Thunder Said in 2019 and provides unique, thought-provoking, and economic-driven insights into energy transition research and technologies. He is a long-time energy analyst and previously built and led the energy practice at Redburn and served at Sanford C. Bernstein and Partners Capital before launching Thunder Said. This episode marks Rob's fifth appearance on COBT; he most recently joined in January 2024 (episode linked here). We were delighted to connect with Rob to reflect on 2024 and explore what the future might hold for energy in 2025. Rob has now kicked us off in 2022, 2024 and 2025. This may be becoming a tradition! We covered a lot of territory in our conversation starting with Rob's musings on trying to define what energy transition actually means, how the world's current focus on avoiding catastrophe needs to be replaced with more aspirational visions of human progress, the role of policy, subsidies, and competitiveness, the need for energy abundance to support human development, and the risks of pursuing costly and ineffective strategies that fail to achieve their objectives. Rob shares his perspective on how energy affordability and economic competitiveness influence voter behavior and government policy shifts, how shifting geopolitical dynamics are shaping global energy strategies, the potential for AI to enable breakthroughs on everything from materials value chains to DAC, the geopolitical situation in Estonia, and the broader implications of Russian aggression. At one point Rob observes “the West is already at war, it just doesn't admit it because of the implications.” We discuss the importance of assigning real weight to geopolitical risks in energy forecasts and market strategies, Rob's “F-U” Recession Scenario where countries retreat from global trade and cooperation leading to disruptions in energy and other value chains, and Texas's continued role as a hub for energy innovation and growth. We ended by exploring the global bottleneck in moving energy from where it's created to where it's needed, growth opportunities in utilities and midstream, the increasing volatility in energy systems, the concept of the “third great energy transition” with semiconductor technologies, and much more. As mentioned, Rob's “Energy Transition: Classic Blunders” video from December 2024 is linked here. We can't thank Rob enough for sharing his time and thoughts with us today to kick off the year in style. Mike Bradley kicked us off by discussing the performance of bonds, commodities and equities since our last COBT on December 17th with Dr. Steven Koonin (episode linked here). He noted that the 10-year bond is currently yielding ~4.65% (up from ~4.4%) which is a Trump post-election high and a one-year high. The FED cut interest rates 25-basis points at their last FOMC Meeting, and bond trader consensus is now in the camp that there'll only be two additional interest rate cuts in 2025. On the broader equity market front, the S&P 500 has taken a bit of a breather (down ~1%) with the Energy (+2%) and Technology (+1%) sectors outperforming. On the crude oil market front, WTI oil price has rallied ~$4/bbl (to ~$74/bbl) and has pushed above its recent narrow trading range of $68-$71/bbl. Crude oil trader sentiment heading into 2025 continues to be mostly bearish, even though WTI time spreads having recently spiked, which could be signaling a tighter physical oil market. He further noted that Saudi seems to be getting more constructive on crude oil given that it raised its official selling price to Asia for the first time in three months. Global oil prices also seem
In this week's jam-packed Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of experts as they share their perspectives on the latest economic reports. Our panel shares detailed insights into the FOMC meeting, GDP, and predictions for 2025. Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyCindy Honcharenko, Director of Portfolio Management George Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities01:31 – The Federal Reserve (Fed) cut rates by 25 basis points at the recent Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting01:56 – The Bureau of Economic Analysis released the third quarter GDP analysis, showing an increase at an annual rate of 3.1%03:34 – A recap from this week's FOMC meeting06:42 – Comments on the sharp reaction from the markets after the confusion surrounding the FOMC meeting and Fed Chair Powell's press conference08:30 – Comments on the hawkish rate cut, and what we can expect from the Fed going into 202511:33 – The team gives their perspectives on what surprised them in the economy this past year in 202414:36 – The team gives their predictions on what economic activity can be expected in 2025Additional ResourcesKey Questions: Investment Manager Outperformance: Skill vs. Luck | Key Private BankKey Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn
FOMC Meeting starts now BRACE FOR IMPACT. Tune in as Joshua Jake covers why the Fed Rate Cut will Effect Bitcoin and Crypto. ➡️ Join Telegram Trade with Josh - https://t.me/+vS5uDtG57XpjNDA1
Today we were thrilled to visit with Dr. Steven Koonin, Senior Fellow at Stanford University's Hoover Institution, for the final COBT episode of 2024. Dr. Koonin joined the Hoover Institution this year following 12 years at NYU, serving as a professor in the Schools of Business, Engineering, and Physics. Before his tenure at NYU, Dr. Koonin served as the Under Secretary for Science at the U.S. Department of Energy in the Obama Administration. Our discussion was particularly timely as Dr. Koonin recently authored an Op-Ed in the Wall Street Journal entitled “The Right Way for Trump to Ditch the Paris Agreement” (linked here). Dr. Koonin is also the author of “Unsettled: What Climate Science Tells Us, What It Doesn't, And Why It Matters.” Today marks Dr. Koonin's third appearance on COBT (previous episodes include April 20, 2022 linked here and May 17, 2021 linked here). It was fantastic to hear Dr. Koonin's perspective on energy, climate, and the future as we close out 2024 and look ahead to 2025. As you will hear, he has lots of great thoughts about a broad range of things! In our conversation, we explore the need for a global course correction in energy and climate policy, the opportunities and challenges of having more business-minded individuals in government, the disconnect between the scientific community and public policy, and the importance of transparency and effective communication by government leaders to explain energy and climate policy issues more clearly to the public. We discuss key points from Dr. Koonin's Op-Ed, including his proposed actions for the Trump Administration if they were to withdraw the US from the Paris Agreement, the implications of Europe's energy strategies and their lasting consequences, and Dr. Koonin's suggestions to restructure the Loan Programs Office to prioritize research and development of scalable, economically viable technologies. Dr. Koonin shares his observations on fusion energy as a potentially transformative energy source and the opportunities and challenges involved, talks about intriguing advances in energy storage, and touches on other technological innovations including underground coal gasification with carbon sequestration. We also cover the US's role in setting an example for energy policy and improving global energy access, Dr. Koonin's outlook for 2025, and more. It was a wide-ranging and insightful discussion. Thank you Dr. Koonin for joining! Mike Bradley kicked off the show by highlighting the performance of a handful of commodity and equity prices since Dr. Koonin last appeared on COBT (4/19/22). The 10-year bond yield (~4.4%) surged last week, sending it back to previous Trump post-election highs. It's consensus that the FED will cut interest rates by a quarter point at Wednesday's FOMC Rate Decision meeting, but what's not consensus and what bonds are trying to handicap, is the path forward for interest rates in 2025. On the broader equity market front, markets took a bit of a breather last week and are mixed/modestly lower this week given that investors are laser-focused on the FOMC Meeting, especially Chairman Powell's Post Conference dialogue on future interest rate policy. On the crude oil market front, WTI rallied ~$4/bbl (to ~$71/bbl) last week but continues to trade in a very tight trading band (~$68-$71/bbl) given that fundamentals still seem to point to a 2025 global supply surplus. On the gas market front, although the news came out after our COBT recording, the DOE's long-waited “Updated Final Analyses on LNG Exports” was released. The analysis stopp
APAC stocks eventually traded mixed with sentiment somewhat cautious following the negative lead from Wall Street.US assets traded sideways overnight as the focus turns to the FOMC announcement and Chair Powell's press conference.Bitcoin saw hefty losses overnight as prices retreated to under USD 104,000 despite a lack of newsflow.Honda Motor (7267 JT/HMC) and Nissan (7201 JT/NSANY) to begin merger talks amid EV competition, according to Nikkei.European equity futures are indicative of a flat/subdued open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.1% after cash closed -0.1% on Tuesday.Looking ahead, highlights include UK CPI, EZ CPI (Final), US Building Permits, FOMC Announcement and Chair Powell's Press Conference, ECB's Lane, Earnings from General Mills, Jabil, Micron, and Lennar.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
⚠️ Disclaimer:This episode was entirely AI-generated using Google's Notebook LM. Please note that Google's Notebook LM has been criticized for being extremely left-leaning and displaying strong bias, which is inappropriate for AI-driven content creation. Listeners are encouraged to remain aware of potential biases and consume information critically. Welcome to The AI Takeover Series! Discussion of "whales" (large investors) potentially influencing the market ahead of major events like the FOMC meeting. Concept of "stop loss hunting," where prices are driven down to trigger automatic sell orders. Debate over whether such activities are intentional or just responses to market conditions. Key takeaway: Be prepared for volatility, especially around major events. Bitcoin-to-gold ratio hits a record high at 37.3: 1 Bitcoin now worth over 37 ounces of gold. Crypto enthusiasts view this as proof of Bitcoin's rise, while traditionalists like Peter Schiff criticize Bitcoin's speculative nature. Analysis of Bitcoin's growing correlation with gold during economic uncertainty. Takeaway: Investment strategies should align with individual goals and risk tolerance. Tether's investment in a compliant European stablecoin, EURR, raises questions about its motives. Concerns from regulators about Tether's transparency and reserve practices. Insight: Stay informed and cautious when dealing with stablecoins. The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) proposes stricter rules for crypto firms, including transparency in reserves and enhanced due diligence. Balancing innovation with consumer protection remains a challenge. Key point: Regulations aim to bring order to the “wild west” of crypto. Partnership between Dubai and Infinite Reality to drive Web3 engagement. Challenges include early-stage VR technology and the need for unique content. Future focus: Creating compelling experiences beyond replicating the real world. Hypothetical exploration of dismantling the Federal Reserve led by a fictional "Doge Department" featuring Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy. Discussion on cryptocurrencies as potential alternatives to centralized financial systems. Debate over economic freedom vs. risks of volatility and instability. Stay Informed: The crypto landscape is dynamic and unpredictable. Knowledge is your best ally. Be Critical: Don't blindly follow hype or fearmongering; do your own research. Engage Thoughtfully: Whether you're a seasoned investor or a curious beginner, explore at your own pace and understand the risks involved. Closing Remarks:This deep dive covered market manipulation, Bitcoin's rivalry with gold, Tether's compliance, regulatory changes, the metaverse, and even a radical vision of a world without the Federal Reserve. AI-driven insights bring a fresh perspective to these interconnected topics. Stay tuned for more episodes from The AI Takeover series by Blockchain DXB. Until next time, keep exploring, keep learning, and happy crypto adventures! To support this channel: https://www.patreon.com/BlockchainDXB ⚡ Buy me Coffee ☕ https://www.buymeacoffee.com/info36/w/6987 ⚡ Advanced Media https://www.amt.tv/ ⚡Spartan Race Trifecta in Dubai https://race.spartan.com/en/race/detail/8646/overview For 20% Discount use code: George20 ⚡ The Race Space Podcast
In this week's jam-packed Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of experts as they share their perspectives on the latest economic reports. Our panel shares detailed insights into the initial unemployment claims, CPI data, next week's FOMC meeting, the bond and equities markets. Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities02:21 – Initial unemployment claims for the week ending December 7 were reported at 242,00002:51 – The Consumer Price Index was released and is higher than expected; CPI data for November shows a 0.1% increase from October reported at 2.7% year-over-year04:02 – Comments on this week's economic data and how the Federal Reserve (Fed) may decide on interest rates during the next week's FOMC meeting following the data releases07:31 – Based on the CPI data, the bond market is anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at next week's FOMC meeting. We can also expect a summary of the Fed members' 2025 economic projections 11:20 – Remarks on what is forecasted next year in the equities market based on the Fed and this year's economic data pattern; equities such as cyclicals and other sectors that may benefit from less regulation amid the new U.S. presidential administration taking office16:10 – Final comments on additional investment content available on www.key.com/wealthinsights.Additional ResourcesKey Questions: Investment Manager Outperformance: Skill vs. Luck | Key Private BankKey Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn
In this episode of Market Minutes, Neeshita Beura highlights the upcoming Fed FOMC meeting on December 17-18, which has investors on edge amid expectations of a potential rate cut. The podcast also unpacks the sharp recovery of Sensex and Nifty from early losses in the previous session. Hero MotoCorp's Hockey India League sponsorship, JK Paper's business consolidation plans, and GE Power's order extension are also in focus. In the Voice of the Day segment, V K Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services, shares his market outlook. Market Minutes is a morning podcast, putting the spotlight on trending stocks, crucial data points, and evolving market trends.
In this week's jam-packed Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of experts as they share their perspectives on the latest economic reports. Our panel shares detailed insights into the PMI reports, initial unemployment claims, the Employment Situation report, the Beige Book, our 2025 investment and economic outlook, and the upcoming FOMC meeting .Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities01:23 – The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) reported Manufacturing higher in November, while Services came in lower in November02:36 – Initial unemployment claims for the week ending November 30 were reported at 224,00002:56 – The Employment Situation reported new non-farm payrolls at 227,000 in November; The unemployment rate remained relatively the same at 4.2% in November 04:21 – Comments on our Key Wealth 2025 investment and economic outlook, and a recap of the recent Key Wealth National Call09:48 – Remarks on the new presidential administration, and what it may do for economic growth10:53 – Comments on if the US dollar will be ‘dethroned' as the world's reserve currency13:00 – Expectations for the upcoming Federal Reserve FOMC meeting and how the Employment Situation data may affect a December rate cut18:44 – Remarks on if the new presidential administration will affect the equities market, specifically the Magnificent 7, and thoughts for the new yearAdditional ResourcesKey Questions: Should Investors Consider Dividend Stocks in a Falling-Rate Environment? | Key Private BankKey Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn
In this week's jam-packed Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of experts as they share their perspectives on the latest economic reports. Our panel shares detailed insights into the Purchasing Manager's Index, the recent U.S. presidential election, the equities and bond markets, and the recent FOMC meeting. Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyCindy Honcharenko, Director of Fixed Income Portfolio Management George Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities02:33 – The Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) was released for both manufacturing, showing a continuous decline, and for services, showing a continuous expansion reporting the highest read since July 202204:17 – Comments on the recent U.S. presidential election and the outcome of the president elect07:45 – Comments on how the recent U.S. presidential election may affect the equities market and the performance we might expect to see for the next 4 years11:57 – Despite the equities market cheers regarding the U.S. presidential election results, the bond market is preparing for the new administration's fiscal policy that may lead to higher debt and deficits with a risk of a rise in inflation14:43 – A recap of Thursday's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and their decision to cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points, making the new target rate the range of 4.50% – 4.75%18:20 – Final thoughts on Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell's statement: “with reference to interest rates cuts, we are on the right path, but we don't yet know the right pace” as well as the Federal Reserve's independenceAdditional ResourcesKey Questions: The Yield Curve Has Un-inverted. Now What? | Key Private BankKey Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn
11th Nov: Blockchain DXB Podcast
Kathy Jones says the Fed's meeting that led to a 25BPS rate cut went "as expected." She believes the market will now enter a "calming down" period heading into the end of 2024. That doesn't mean you should keep VIX fully off the table, as Nathan Peterson points to its next breakout period. They discuss the market outlook on today's Charles Schwab Big Picture panel. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
In this week's jam-packed Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of experts as they share their perspectives on the latest economic reports. Our panel shares detailed insights into the bond and equities markets' reactions to the latest reports and looks ahead to next week's US presidential election and FOMC meeting. This week's episode also features special guest, Joe Velkos, who overviews the proposed tax policies of both presidential candidates.Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of EquitiesJoe Velkos, National Director of Tax Policy03:53 – Bureau of Labor Statistics Job Openings Report and Employment Cost Index Report update 04:57 – Dept. of Labor weekly initial unemployment claims update05:36 – Advanced estimate for 3rd Quarter Real GDP for the US Economy06:21 – Update on PCE, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation 07:23 – The latest employment numbers09:06 – Comments on the bond market reaction to the latest economic updates and anticipation of the Fed's rate decision next week.14:53 – Remarks on a busy week in the equities market and looking ahead to the conclusion of the election season 18:45 – Perspectives on how legislative tax policy works overall as well as an overview on the proposed tax policies of both Harris and Trump
Today we had the honor of hosting Senator John Cornyn of Texas, who has served in the US Senate since 2002 and is now in his fourth term. Senator Cornyn has been a steadfast advocate for Texas interests and supports policies that promote responsible domestic traditional energy production while exploring new energy sources to strengthen US energy independence. Senator Cornyn has held several key leadership roles including Republican Whip and currently serves on the Senate Finance, Intelligence, and Judiciary Committees. Before joining the Senate, Senator Cornyn served as a district judge, a member of the Texas Supreme Court and Texas Attorney General. We were thrilled to connect with Senator Cornyn for an election, energy and geopolitical focused discussion one week away from the 2024 Presidential Election. We begin by asking Senator Cornyn for his perspective on escalating international conflicts and global geopolitical tensions, including the Iran-Israel conflict, North Korea's involvement in Ukraine, and threats from Russia and China. We discuss the importance of robust US intelligence and deterrence to maintain global stability, the need for proactive US leadership in foreign conflicts, and the reality that “our holiday from history is over.” Senator Cornyn outlines opportunities and challenges in the coming lame duck session, key legislative actions, and Congressional priorities including national defense funding, tax policy, and the federal budget, as well as key Senate races and the potential for Republicans to retake the Senate. We explore America's energy potential, the strategic importance of US LNG to European allies, challenges with transmission and permitting for energy infrastructure, the evolution of US policy toward China, the possibility of permitting reform, and the merits of state versus federal power. We also touch on incentives for reshoring critical manufacturing to address supply chain vulnerabilities, national debt and budget priorities, and the critical importance of national unity despite political differences. It was a fantastic discussion, and we are very grateful to Senator Cornyn and his team for their continued efforts on behalf of the energy community. Mike Bradley kicked off the discussion by highlighting that markets this week are increasingly focused on a handful of Big Tech Q3 earnings and next week's Presidential election. On the bond market front, bond traders continue to be perplexed that the 10yr bond yield has spiked from 3.6% back to 4.3% over the last month, which is a higher level than the 10yr was trading prior to the 50-basis point cut at the September 18th FOMC Meeting. He noted that bond traders seem to be betting that Trump will win the Presidency and that his promise of Chinese Tariff increases and significant Federal regulatory cuts might lead to higher “real” growth and higher deficits. On the crude oil market front, WTI had fallen roughly $5/bbl this week on a brief de-escalation in Mideast tensions and concerns that Chinese economic stimulus plans would disappoint. On the broader equity market front, the S&P 500 continues to post new highs. Big Tech stocks seem to be retaking market leadership given that the market-weighted S&P 500 Index is again outperforming the equal-weighted S&P 500 Index. On the energy equity front, lower oil prices are leading many energy companies to take a more cautious approach on their Q3 calls which is continuing to weigh on the entire sector. Arjun Murti emphasized that long-term macroeconomic trends are more influential than election outcomes alone, and that a balanced “all-of-the-above” approach to support maximizing traditional resource production and exports as well as new energy technologies is crucial not only for the US but for developing nations seeking diversified energy for geopolitical and economic stability. We hope you find today's discussion as interesting and insightful as we di
Judy Raneri (Sr. Portfolio Manager, Gabelli US Treasury Money Market Fund) recaps the Sept. 18th FOMC meeting, the rate cut, and the labor market. To learn more about Gabelli Funds' fundamental, research-driven approach to investing, visit https://m.gabelli.com/gtv_cu or email invest@gabelli.com. Connect with Gabelli Funds: • Twitter - / investgabelli • Instagram - / investgabelli • Facebook - / investgabelli • LinkedIn - / investgabelli http://www.Gabelli.com Invest with Us 1-800-GABELLI (800-422-3554)
In this week's Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of investment experts as they share their perspectives on the latest market and economic activity. Our panel shares detailed insights into the initial unemployment claims, rate cuts, the upcoming November FOMC meeting, the earnings market, and the bond market. Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities01:34 – The initial unemployment claims for the week ending October 12 were reported at 241,00003:45 – Predictions on if The Federal Reserve will issue another rate cut before the end of 2025 06:02 – Attention and anticipation are increasing for the November FOMC; Based on recent economic reports the market does not have high hopes for a rate cut of more than 25 basis point cut11:07 – Remarks on the earnings market and its continued success 15:11 – Comments on how this election season is affecting the bond market16:21 – Final thoughts sharing where you should be investing Additional ResourcesKey Questions: The Yield Curve Has Un-inverted. Now What? | Key Private BankKey Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn
All was not hunky-dory in the recent Fed meeting, as the FOMC Meeting minutes reveal a split-decision on lowering rates by 50-bps vs 25-bps. Meanwhile, in the markets, the S&P is having its Best Year Ever since the "turn of the century." The current, rising wedge is both a bullish and bearish sign; CPI numbers will be today's trigger. Volatility in the markets, thanks to uncertainty over presidential election outcome, Israel-Iran war effect on oil prices, etc. The VIX doesn't always tell you everything. We're at the beginning of a Fed-easing campaign; the Hawkish-Dovish Fed has a bipolar problem. A look at the China trade syndrome, and rush of investment in Chinese tech sector: When everyone's on the same side of the boat, better get to the other side. We've become Pavlov's dogs, chasing China. Does China care as much about its stock market as the Fed cares about the US stock market? (no.) Why we avoid BRICS country investments; paying a premium to invest in the US where there is Rule of Law. Lance reviews the Broken Window Theory and the economic impact of hurricanes Helene and Milton. The pulling forward of consumption now will boost economic activity at the expense of an economic void later. SEG-1: FOMC Meeting Minutes: Split-decision SEG-2: The VIX Doesn't Always Tell You Everything SEG-3: The China (Trade) Syndrome SEG-4: Hurricanes & Broken Window Theory Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Tales of Cobras, Windows, and Economic Promise" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tales-of-cobras-windows-and-economic-promise/ "How Howard Marks Thinks About Risk…And You Should Too" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/how-howard-marks-thinks-about-risk-and-you-should-too/ "Election Outcome Presents Opportunity For Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-outcome-presents-opportunity-for-investors/ "Technical Analysis – 3 Bullish And Bearish Takes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will CPI Report Trigger a MACD Buy Signal?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QnIChkDuJnM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Markets Rally: What Tuesday's Tech Stock Surge Means for Investors" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BJZp1muy9zA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Hurricane #BrokenWindowTheory #ChinaInvesting #BRICS #BondMarket #BondRates #BondYields #BondOpportunities #Volatility #2024Election #Employment #MarketVolatility #MovingAverages #SellSignal #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #FOMCMeetingMinutes #BipolarFed #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketRisk #HowardMarks #ManagingRisk #MoneyFlows #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
All was not hunky-dory in the recent Fed meeting, as the FOMC Meeting minutes reveal a split-decision on lowering rates by 50-bps vs 25-bps. Meanwhile, in the markets, the S&P is having its Best Year Ever since the "turn of the century." The current, rising wedge is both a bullish and bearish sign; CPI numbers will be today's trigger. Volatility in the markets, thanks to uncertainty over presidential election outcome, Israel-Iran war effect on oil prices, etc. The VIX doesn't always tell you everything. We're at the beginning of a Fed-easing campaign; the Hawkish-Dovish Fed has a bipolar problem. A look at the China trade syndrome, and rush of investment in Chinese tech sector: When everyone's on the same side of the boat, better get to the other side. We've become Pavlov's dogs, chasing China. Does China care as much about its stock market as the Fed cares about the US stock market? (no.) Why we avoid BRICS country investments; paying a premium to invest in the US where there is Rule of Law. Lance reviews the Broken Window Theory and the economic impact of hurricanes Helene and Milton. The pulling forward of consumption now will boost economic activity at the expense of an economic void later. SEG-1: FOMC Meeting Minutes: Split-decision SEG-2: The VIX Doesn't Always Tell You Everything SEG-3: The China (Trade) Syndrome SEG-4: Hurricanes & Broken Window Theory Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Tales of Cobras, Windows, and Economic Promise" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tales-of-cobras-windows-and-economic-promise/ "How Howard Marks Thinks About Risk…And You Should Too" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/how-howard-marks-thinks-about-risk-and-you-should-too/ "Election Outcome Presents Opportunity For Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-outcome-presents-opportunity-for-investors/ "Technical Analysis – 3 Bullish And Bearish Takes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will CPI Report Trigger a MACD Buy Signal?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QnIChkDuJnM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Markets Rally: What Tuesday's Tech Stock Surge Means for Investors" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BJZp1muy9zA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Hurricane #BrokenWindowTheory #ChinaInvesting #BRICS #BondMarket #BondRates #BondYields #BondOpportunities #Volatility #2024Election #Employment #MarketVolatility #MovingAverages #SellSignal #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #FOMCMeetingMinutes #BipolarFed #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketRisk #HowardMarks #ManagingRisk #MoneyFlows #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
This week marks the start of earnings season for Q; the 2024 Election and the next FOMC Meeting also add volatility to markets. Friday's Jobs report came in stronger than expected (leaving one to wonder what kind of revision to the numbers is to come). Within the report, 700k gubernment workers were added. The S&P on Friday rallied on the employment news, but that also pretty much killed any chance of a 50bps rate cut by the Fed. Markets are now in a consolidation period, setting up for a corrective cycle a head of the 2024 Election. Lance explains the bullish and bearish takes of technical analysis: Knowing when to put capital to work, and when to take it off the table. What will the market do next? Reviewing market psychology: What's moving prices? When moving averages converge and diverge; how we do technical analysis, and what we do with the data. When there's bearish undertones in a bullish market; what to do with cash. Looking for opportunity. Gardening as a metaphor for investing. SEG-1: Starting Earnings Season SEG-2:Technical Analysis: Bullish and Bearish Approaches SEG-3: What Will Markets Do Next: Reviewing Market Psychology SEG-4: How We Do Technical Analysis Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=khTKuRkNs48&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2078s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Technical Analysis – 3 Bullish And Bearish Takes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Preparing for a Pre-election Correction?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vagz34iRCnA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Importance of Trusts in Financial Planning" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lbZKUPyG-K4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MillenlnialEarningsSeason #MarketBullishness #MarketBearishness #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketPsychology #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
This week marks the start of earnings season for Q; the 2024 Election and the next FOMC Meeting also add volatility to markets. Friday's Jobs report came in stronger than expected (leaving one to wonder what kind of revision to the numbers is to come). Within the report, 700k gubernment workers were added. The S&P on Friday rallied on the employment news, but that also pretty much killed any chance of a 50bps rate cut by the Fed. Markets are now in a consolidation period, setting up for a corrective cycle a head of the 2024 Election. Lance explains the bullish and bearish takes of technical analysis: Knowing when to put capital to work, and when to take it off the table. What will the market do next? Reviewing market psychology: What's moving prices? When moving averages converge and diverge; how we do technical analysis, and what we do with the data. When there's bearish undertones in a bullish market; what to do with cash. Looking for opportunity. Gardening as a metaphor for investing. SEG-1: Starting Earnings Season SEG-2:Technical Analysis: Bullish and Bearish Approaches SEG-3: What Will Markets Do Next: Reviewing Market Psychology SEG-4: How We Do Technical Analysis Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=khTKuRkNs48&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2078s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Technical Analysis – 3 Bullish And Bearish Takes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Preparing for a Pre-election Correction?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vagz34iRCnA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Importance of Trusts in Financial Planning" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lbZKUPyG-K4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MillenlnialEarningsSeason #MarketBullishness #MarketBearishness #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketPsychology #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Join Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, and Brian Rose, Senior Economist Americas, for thoughts and reflections on the outcome of the September FOMC meeting. Jason also speaks to the market response, and shares CIO's positioning recommendations. Host: Daniel Cassidy
Tony Zhang PhD, CFA and Rich Excell CFA, CMT go live right after the FOMC news comes out to discuss what the Fed might be seeing, the reaction we are seeing in markets and what we might expect going forward
Pedro and Tom preview the FOMC meeting and discuss the second Trump assassination attempt. For information on how to join the Zoom calls live each morning at 8:30 EST, visithttps://www.narwhalcapital.com/blog/daily-market-briefingsPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhalcapital.com/disclosure
In this week's Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of investment experts as they share their perspectives on the latest market and economic activity. Our panel shares detailed insights into the CPI inflation data, the stock market, and next week's FOMC meeting.Speakers: Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities 01:54 – The Bureau of Labor and Statistics overall Consumer Price Index (CPI) reported inflation at 0.2% for month-over-month in August. Likewise, the CPI reported core inflation at 0.3% 03:06 – The stock market has had a substantial week, and the S&P 500 has rebounded to be within 50 points of nearing an all-time-high 05:31 – Comments on ‘Big Tech' recovering this week in the market as we saw some pull back in prior weeks, leaving utilities to take the lead as the top performer07:50 – As Consumer Price Index, Producer Price Index, and initial unemployment claims data were released this week, this seems to be an ideal setup for the anticipated rate cut at next week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetingAdditional ResourcesKey Questions: When the Fed Cuts Rates, Should Investors Cut Their Exposure to Stocks | Key Private BankKey Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn
In this week's Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of investment experts as they share their perspectives on the latest market and economic activity. Our panel shares detailed insights into the U.S. Leading Indicators, nonfarm payrolls, existing home sales, the Jackson Hole Symposium, the July FOMC meeting minutes, and the upcoming Key Wealth National Call.Speakers: Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyCindy Honcharenko, Director of Fixed Income Portfolio ManagementRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed Income 02:19 - The US Leading Indicators released by The Conference Board showed the month of July was down and that was followed by a decline in June, as well02:45 – The Bureau of Labor Statistics revised the Nonfarm Payroll report for the prior year by roughly 818,000 less 03:09 – Existing home sales grew 1.3% in July, halting the four-month sales decline which began in March03:46 – The Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell, spoke at the Jackson Hole Symposium just hours ago04:53 – The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released the meeting minutes from July's meeting. The overall theme observed was wide support for a September rate cut as the inflation risk has diminished and the risks to the labor market have increased06:38 – During Fed Chair Powell's press conference this morning, he addressed changing the direction of monetary policy as inflation has eased, the job market is not overheated, and the global supply chain has normalized. However, for rate cuts, the Fed will depend on incoming data08:33 – Fed Chair Powell seemed to have balanced and neutralized comments at his press conference this morning in regards to cutting rates by 25 basis points in September, but only if the data is encouraging 15:07 - Based on previous economic strategy, it seems that the Fed typically cuts rate by 25 basis points before it loosens or tightens its policies to not incite panic in the market. Even so, is the Fed too late to the game? 20:50 – Final comments highlighting the upcoming Key Wealth National Call Wednesday, September 4th at 1:00pm EST. Additional ResourcesKey Questions: "You're Killin' Me Smalls!" Will Small Caps Ever Outperform Again | Key Private Bank Key Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn
Dovish FOMC minutes and a shock revision to the jobless numbers reinforce expectations that the Federal Reserve will slash rates next month. The S&P 500 bounces back to record its highest level in 5 weeks ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell's highly anticipated speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium tomorrow. Retail giant Target's shares are 11 per cent higher after the company beat expectations as U.S. consumers continue to experience price pressures. Minnesota governor Tim Walz officially accepts the Democrat nomination for vice-president on the third day of the DNC in Chicago. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
After a dovish FOMC Meeting, you would think the Bitcoin price would be higher today than yesterday, but... In today's episode, Cryptomanran will show us whether this crypto market dip is going lower and whether you should buy it or get out of crypto on the next bounce! Stay ahead! Don't miss this show!! - - -
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Join Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, and Brian Rose, Senior Economist Americas, for thoughts and reflections on the outcome of the July FOMC meeting. Jason also speaks to the market response, and shares CIO's positioning recommendations. Host: Daniel Cassidy
Overview: Tune into our 197th episode of Launch Financial as we discuss a big week of Mag 7 earnings set to report along with the two day Federal Reserve FOMC meeting set to provide visibility on the timing and amount of interest rate cuts to expect in the coming months, all impacting a sector rotation and volatility in the market. Show Notes:
This week, global markets were abuzz with two major events: the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report and the Federal Reserve's latest policy announcement.In this episode, we delve into each data release and share strategies for trading during such pivotal moments. Whether you're a seasoned trader or aspiring to enter the field, this episode offers valuable insights and practical tips.Tune in for an in-depth analysis and expert advice on navigating news-driven market events.*****Support our Ride Across America Challenge and donate to Great Ormond Street Hospital Charity https://givestar.io/gs/amplifymes-fundraiser-for-great-ormond-street-hospital Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
June is half-over, and the stock buy back blackout begins today, removing that source of activity from the market. Economic data points continue to weaken, but Fed Chairman Jerome Powell wants to see "more good data." There is an alternative universe of debt; the Fed wants weaker economy so they can lower rates. The S&P 500 sets another new, all-time high; Apple, Miscrosoft, & Nvidia are driving the market. There is an ever-widening performance gap between the S&P 500 and everyone else. Mrs. Roberts' Roomba and an FOMC Meeting recap; the economy is "normalizing." Jerome Powell's humility; interest rates are restrictive; the problem with being data-dependent. Elon Musk's pay package; markets are still being driven by fewer and fewer stocks; buy backs' influence on market performance; was Apply buying back shares to bolster reaction from Apple Intelligence rollout? What happens when correction comes; what will trigger. Chocolate chip cookies & Cinnabons; the Bond market is picking up as consumer spending slows. there's plenty of room for downside in bonds; Gold's response to real rates. Speculation is driving gold. Private Credit opportunities and trends. Buy now pay later companies' credentials are very opaque; are you being rewarded for the risk you're taking on? SEG-1: Lopsided Market Response to FOMC Meeting/Inflation SEG-2: FOMC - The Economy is Normalizing SEG-3: Markets' Driven by Fewer Stocks - What Happens When Correction Comes? SEG-4: CPI & Employment Data is Belying Deeper Problem Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EarrHemHx5U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Golf and Investing: Mastering Long and Short Games For Success" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/golf-and-investing-mastering-long-and-short-games-for-success/ "It's Not 2000. But There Are Similarities." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/ "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Deviation from 50-DMA is Extreme " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UrXTxLY9ihQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Managing Risk & Returns with Individual Treasury Bonds" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E6tkkfvRTQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LaborMarket #Overstated #BLSdata #FederalReserve #Employment #ElectionCycle #JobStatistics #EconomicIndicators #DataDiscrepancies #UnemploymentRates #MarketDataAnalysis #LaborStatistics #JobMarket #EmploymentReports EconomicDataReliability #Markets #Money #Investing
June is half-over, and the stock buy back blackout begins today, removing that source of activity from the market. Economic data points continue to weaken, but Fed Chairman Jerome Powell wants to see "more good data." There is an alternative universe of debt; the Fed wants weaker economy so they can lower rates. The S&P 500 sets another new, all-time high; Apple, Miscrosoft, & Nvidia are driving the market. There is an ever-widening performance gap between the S&P 500 and everyone else. Mrs. Roberts' Roomba and an FOMC Meeting recap; the economy is "normalizing." Jerome Powell's humility; interest rates are restrictive; the problem with being data-dependent. Elon Musk's pay package; markets are still being driven by fewer and fewer stocks; buy backs' influence on market performance; was Apply buying back shares to bolster reaction from Apple Intelligence rollout? What happens when correction comes; what will trigger. Chocolate chip cookies & Cinnabons; the Bond market is picking up as consumer spending slows. there's plenty of room for downside in bonds; Gold's response to real rates. Speculation is driving gold. Private Credit opportunities and trends. Buy now pay later companies' credentials are very opaque; are you being rewarded for the risk you're taking on? SEG-1: Lopsided Market Response to FOMC Meeting/Inflation SEG-2: FOMC - The Economy is Normalizing SEG-3: Markets' Driven by Fewer Stocks - What Happens When Correction Comes? SEG-4: CPI & Employment Data is Belying Deeper Problem Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EarrHemHx5U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Golf and Investing: Mastering Long and Short Games For Success" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/golf-and-investing-mastering-long-and-short-games-for-success/ "It's Not 2000. But There Are Similarities." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/ "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Deviation from 50-DMA is Extreme " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UrXTxLY9ihQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Managing Risk & Returns with Individual Treasury Bonds" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E6tkkfvRTQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LaborMarket #Overstated #BLSdata #FederalReserve #Employment #ElectionCycle #JobStatistics #EconomicIndicators #DataDiscrepancies #UnemploymentRates #MarketDataAnalysis #LaborStatistics #JobMarket #EmploymentReports EconomicDataReliability #Markets #Money #Investing
Join Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, and Brian Rose, Senior Economist Americas, for thoughts and reflections on May inflation data, along with the outcome of the FOMC meeting. Jason also speaks to the market response, and shares CIO's positioning recommendations. Host: Daniel Cassidy
Phillip Patrick is a Precious Metals Specialist at Birch Gold. 1. We've been seeing a lot of disappointing economic reports lately. What's your opinion of our overall economic health? 2. It sounds like the economy is at a fragile point. What do you expect from the FOMC meeting this week? 3. Aren't higher interest rates the only thing standing between the dollar and a complete collapse in value? 4. I read recently that central bank gold just replaced the euro as the #2 reserve asset. What's going on?
Steve Gruber discusses news and headlines
Employment Report Headlines are stronger than the underlying data shows; economic activity is slowing, but markets remain upbeat. Markets have been quiet; complacency can lead to unexpected things. Markets tested 20-DMA and rallied; will re-test that level today...again. FOMC Meeting this week + CPI Inflation data could trigger a change: Markets' performance has been predicated on Fed rate cuts. How we get the employment numbers: Data vs surveys. The gap between households and BLS is growing; something is wrong with the adjustments. Why $20/hr minimum wage isn't working. Look at wages vs total compensation. Employment numbers are likely to be revised downward. Analysts' estimates are unrealistic in the face of economic data. Commodities in Boom-Bust cycles; supply/demand imbalances. Looking at Copper; the Hunt Brother's silver gambit fail. What will happen in the markets when buy back blackout period begins. SEG-1: Employment Report Review; Markets to Retest 20-DMA SEG-2: Headline Employment Numbers Belie Economic Weakness SEG-3: Analysts' Estimates Exceed Economic Reality SEG-4: Commodities in the Boom-Bust Cycle Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1eUrYPVoG3M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Fed Reverse Quantitative Tightening?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V8ffEG0Bmas&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Maximize Your Severance Package" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SYY5pKt8vI4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #UnemploymentRate #TwelveMonthAverage #Recession #Trending #EconomicIndicators #LaborMarket #EconomicTrends #Workforce #JobMarket #EmploymentStatistics #EconomicAnalysis #Economy #RecessionIndicators #UnemploymentTrends, #LaborForce #EconomicOutlook #JoblessRate #FinancialAnalysis #Macroeconomics #EconomicConditions #DownturnRisks #EmploymentData #Commodities #BoomBustCycle #Copper #Silver #HuntBrothers #Markets #Money #Investing
Futures are pointing lower this morning, which is no surprise. After a multi-weeks' long run in the markets, investors today will likely re-test the 20-DMA in a repeat performance of market activity we saw back in November thru February. The current environment could run from July through August, migrating higher without any catalyst. This week's FOMC Meeting and CPI Inflation data could turn markets sharply lower, because the market is predicated on the Fed cutting rates. We're expecting the Fed to maintain the status quo of staying on track to cut rates later in the year, and a reversal of Quantitative Tightening. We're urging a continuation of risk management in your portfolios. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V8ffEG0Bmas&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #QuantitativeTightening #PortfolioRebalancing #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Employment Report Headlines are stronger than the underlying data shows; economic activity is slowing, but markets remain upbeat. Markets have been quiet; complacency can lead to unexpected things. Markets tested 20-DMA and rallied; will re-test that level today...again. FOMC Meeting this week + CPI Inflation data could trigger a change: Markets' performance has been predicated on Fed rate cuts. How we get the employment numbers: Data vs surveys. The gap between households and BLS is growing; something is wrong with the adjustments. Why $20/hr minimum wage isn't working. Look at wages vs total compensation. Employment numbers are likely to be revised downward. Analysts' estimates are unrealistic in the face of economic data. Commodities in Boom-Bust cycles; supply/demand imbalances. Looking at Copper; the Hunt Brother's silver gambit fail. What will happen in the markets when buy back blackout period begins. SEG-1: Employment Report Review; Markets to Retest 20-DMA SEG-2: Headline Employment Numbers Belie Economic Weakness SEG-3: Analysts' Estimates Exceed Economic Reality SEG-4: Commodities in the Boom-Bust Cycle Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1eUrYPVoG3M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Fed Reverse Quantitative Tightening?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V8ffEG0Bmas&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Maximize Your Severance Package" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SYY5pKt8vI4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #UnemploymentRate #TwelveMonthAverage #Recession #Trending #EconomicIndicators #LaborMarket #EconomicTrends #Workforce #JobMarket #EmploymentStatistics #EconomicAnalysis #Economy #RecessionIndicators #UnemploymentTrends, #LaborForce #EconomicOutlook #JoblessRate #FinancialAnalysis #Macroeconomics #EconomicConditions #DownturnRisks #EmploymentData #Commodities #BoomBustCycle #Copper #Silver #HuntBrothers #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets sold off on release of the latest FOMC Meeting minutes, which are a sanitized, finely-crafted version of what went on behind closed doors. The hawkishness seems to be continuing; Deflation seems to be a bigger risk to the economy than inflation. There's too little demand, resulting in price cuts to move inventory. Insight on why we reduced our stake in Nvidia before its report was released, which attests to the growth potential of AI buildouts. One cloud on the horizon: Wall Street's ever-optimistic expectations for continued growth. How does innovation impact the economy, and who will be the next Levi Strauss? The problems facing the power grid from AI & EV's. The power grid needs 40- NYC's. Natural Gas will be a big winner as a cheap, clean energy source. Water consumption estimates by 2023; issuing debt for productive purposes. FOMC Minutes are a little "wishy-washy" about interest rates: The Fed doesn't really know what it's doing. Stocks & bonds went nowhere after minutes' release. Fed governors are all on the same page about sticky inflation remaining longer. SEG-1: Markets Sell off on FOMC Minutes' Continued Hawkishness SEG-2: NVIDIA Report Attests to Growth of AI Build Out SEG-3: Power Grid Challenges from AI & EV's SEG-4: Why FOMC Minutes were "Wishy-washy" Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EiiCv2nehik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "AI Data Centers And EVs Create Incredible Opportunities" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ai-data-centers-and-evs-create-incredible-opportunities/ "Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Risk-Reward in NVIDIA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=44K9HYHt5RY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why the Dot-com Crash Feels Like a Distant Memory to Investors" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q0z-LlFF4lw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2671s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #FederalReserve #FOMCMeetingMinutes #InterestRates #StickyInflation #NVDIA #AI #EV #CaliforniaGoldRush #LeviStrauss #Nvidia #Profit #Miners#Denim #HeartyPants #LongRun #AMD #Microsoft #Google #ProfitMost #Obvious #RunUp #NextLeviStrauss #Markets #Money #Investing