Podcasts about miscalculation

Miscalculating

Miscalculation

Iran Doubles Down By Launching Most-Intense Missile Attacks Yet & Striking More Ships In Strait Of Hormuz! Trump Admin Hits Panic Button, Desperately Looking For Off-Ramp After Major Miscalculation

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In this episode of History 102, 'WhatIfAltHist' creator Rudyard Lynch and co-host Austin Padgett analyze critical historical moments and patterns to predict the future, focusing here on the Cold War's origins, psychological trauma, and global impact. -- FOLLOW ON X: @whatifalthist (Rudyard) @LudwigNverMises (Austin) @TurpentineMedia -- TIMESTAMPS: (00:00 ) Intro (00:15 ) Developmental Abstraction: Children vs. Societies (02:05 ) The "Rubbedo" Stage and Modern Teenager Society (03:04 ) Ancient Mythologies and Priest-Class Archetypes (04:41 ) Personal Anecdotes on Mortality and the Inevitable (07:11 ) Modernity's Loss of Tragedy and Human Baselines (09:12 ) The Cold War as a Traumatic Global Event (11:13 ) Living on the "Knife's Edge" of Nuclear Annihilation (13:05 ) Cold War Impact on Modern Masculinity and Agency (15:15 ) Future Control: AI, Totalitarianism, and Nukes (18:14 ) Distinguishing Theory of Mind: Empathy vs. Sympathy (19:50 ) Transitioning from World War II to the Cold War (21:50 ) Anti-Soviet Sentiment: General Patton and Churchill (23:24 ) Defining the "Iron Curtain" and Post-War Division (24:47 ) Soviet Occupation and Mass Ethnic Shifts (25:42 ) Key Strategic Conferences: Tehran and Potsdam (27:17 ) FDR's Miscalculation of Stalin and the Soviet Military (01:05:12 ) Analyzing Soviet Internal Strategy and Global Politics (01:35:20 ) Modern Geopolitical Parallels: China and Iran (01:52:10 ) Historical Cycles and Future Geopolitical Predictions (02:34:56 ) Final Lessons: George Washington and Letting Go of Power (02:35:33 ) Conclusion: The Age of the Last Men Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

As Israel expands its war on Iran and U.S. officials float the possibility of American boots on the ground, what is really happening behind the headlines?Iran expert at Johns Hopkins Vali Nasr joins Rania Khalek to explain:Why Iran prepared for decapitation strikesWhy “regime collapse” is far from guaranteedHow global oil supplies “have become a battlefield” Why Trump may already be looking for an off-rampThe growing divide between U.S. and Israeli war goalsThe chances this conflict could spiral into something far biggerNasr argues that Iran's strategy isn't to win quickly. It's to make the war long, costly, and politically dangerous for Washington.If this is the “last battle” for Iran's leadership, what does that mean for the region — and for the global economy?

And so it begins. This time it isn't 'kayfabe' and 'negotiated strikes and counter-strikes'. The 'peace president', when announcing joint US-Israeli strikes against Iran on 28 February, said it would just take a few days, and gloated that he 'took out the regime' by targeting top Iranian leadership, including Ayatollah Khamenei. But Iran's swift and massive response - bombing 11 countries housing US and Israeli military bases and installations, including a British base in Cyprus, EU...

Shifting to international affairs, a geopolitical analysis critiques Donald Trump's aggressive strategy toward Iran, comparing it to his actions in Venezuela. The commentary warns that a limited military strike intended to force Iranian submission is a dangerous miscalculation given the country's vast regional influence and economic resilience. And volatile diplomacy in the White House.

ICE's aggressive actions in Minnesota were meant to project force and restore order, but instead produced chaos, public distrust, and a political backlash. The administration's theory was that confrontation would favor enforcement, making protesters look extreme and Democrats indulgent, yet shootings, muddled explanations, and obvious narrative gaps flipped that contrast. plus Thomas Goetz joins the show to talk about Drug Story, his podcast that tells American history one medication at a time, from Lipitor to Ozempic. We look at disease awareness ads, the profit motive behind them, and the case that pharma marketing has occasionally succeeded where public health messaging has fallen short. In the Spiel, I count how many mouse clicks and file openings it now takes just to approximate what used to be straightforward acts of cognition. Produced by Corey Wara Coordinated by Lya Yanne Video and Social Media by Geoff Craig Do you have questions or comments, or just want to say hello? Email us at ⁠⁠⁠⁠thegist@mikepesca.com For full Pesca content and updates, check out our website at https://www.mikepesca.com/⁠ For ad-free content or to become a Pesca Plus subscriber, check out ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://subscribe.mikepesca.com/ For Mike's daily takes on Substack, subscribe to The Gist List https://mikepesca.substack.com/ Follow us on Social Media:⁠⁠⁠⁠ YouTube https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC4_bh0wHgk2YfpKf4rg40_g⁠⁠⁠⁠ Instagram https://www.instagram.com/pescagist/ X https://x.com/pescami TikTok https://www.tiktok.com/@pescagist To advertise on the show, contact ⁠⁠⁠⁠ad-sales@libsyn.com⁠⁠⁠⁠ or visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://advertising.libsyn.com/TheGist

Guest: General Blaine Holt. The U.S. seized a Russian-flagged vessel, the "Bella 1," in the Atlantic, prompting a Russian submarine to track the operation. This Cold War-style confrontation highlights the risks of miscalculation as Washington enforces an energy quarantine against Venezuela, targeting shadow fleet vessels involved in illicit activities.

THE COLD WAR TRAP AND GORBACHEV'S MISCALCULATION Colleague Professor Sean McMeekin. The timeline shifts to the Cold War rivalry, arguing that Soviet aggression was driven by a genuine belief—shared by the CIA—that their economic system would eventually outproduce the West. The invasion of Afghanistan in 1979 became a trap, as the US applied "hard power" and economic pressure that eventually bankrupted the Soviet state. The segment characterizes Mikhail Gorbachev not as a democrat, but as the "last true believer" in communism who attempted to "fix" the system through better planning. Gorbachev failed to understand that corruption and coercion were the only things holding the Soviet economy and empire together; by trying to remove them to reinvigorate the system, he inadvertently dismantled the regime. NUMBER 7

Jen Psaki shares highlights and insights from a new Vanity Fair article based on interviews with Donald Trump's chief of staff, Susie Wiles. The article not only shows that there are no "adults in the room" at Trump's White House, but shows Wiles to be so incompetent that agreeing to interviews with a reporter looks like a really bad idea.Rep. Adam Smith, top Democrat on the House Armed Services Committee talks with Jen Psaki about the lack of information and evasiveness by the Trump administration in explaining to Congress the reasoning behind Donald Trump's increasing belligerence toward Venezuela and the clear risk of plunging the United States into another forever war.With a new release of Epstein documents set for this Friday, Donald Trump and his supporting Republicans are getting anxious, but Rep. Robert Garcia isn't sure how much Friday's release will contain.Another looming deadline as the year comes to an end is the expiration of health care subsidies. Rep. Brendan Boyle explains that the best hope that Republicans will act to prevent millions of Americans from losing their healthcare is that enough angry voters make Republicans more afraid of them than they are of Donald Trump. To listen to this show and other MS podcasts without ads, sign up for MS NOW Premium on Apple Podcasts. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

The Wolf's Call: Submarine Thrillers and Nuclear Miscalculation — General Blaine Holt — General Holt analyzes the French thriller film The Wolf's Call, utilizing it as a framework to examine the independence of France's nuclear deterrent and the terrifying velocity of nuclear launch protocols that preclude human intervention once activated. Holtdraws historical parallels to Cold War close calls including the Cuban Missile Crisis and contemporary hybrid warfare scenarios, emphasizing how catastrophically easily strategic miscalculation can cascade into unintended nuclear escalation with civilization-ending consequences. 1937 ESTONIA

Not knowing what to do today, I stayed near home most of the day. I took care of a lot of personal business like going to the post office and going to the bank. Took care of updating my charts and paying bills as well. Later in the evening I left to go to a different region. I had one game in mind. I also talked a lot about the silver markets and what's been going on with them.

Western Miscalculation and the Core Problem of Russia's Dominance Ideology. Professor Eugene Finkelargues that debates about Ukraine joining NATO or the EU are secondary, as the core problem remains Russia's deeply rooted ideological belief that it must control Ukraine. Western powers, including the US and Southern and Central Europe, have repeatedly misread Russia as transactional and rational, failing to recognize it as a revanchist neo-imperialist power. This miscalculation led to poor decision-making and a lack of preparation. Eastern European countries, who understood the enduring Russian threat, were wrongly dismissed. The professor concludes by noting his grandfather's brave refusal of a KGB recruitment offer after World War II. Guest: Professor Eugene Finkel. 1855

Trump appointee Bill Pulte sends a criminal referral against Eric Swalwell to the DOJ in an apparent effort to protect his own position after Pulte persuaded Trump to back a deeply unpopular 50-year mortgage plan. Dina Doll reacts. Leesa: Go to https://Leesa.com for 25% OFF PLUS get an extra $50 OFF with promo code: MISSTRIAL Visit https://meidasplus.com for more! Remember to subscribe to ALL the MeidasTouch Network Podcasts: MeidasTouch: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/meidastouch-podcast Legal AF: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/legal-af MissTrial: https://meidasnews.com/tag/miss-trial The PoliticsGirl Podcast: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-politicsgirl-podcast The Influence Continuum: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-influence-continuum-with-dr-steven-hassan Mea Culpa with Michael Cohen: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/mea-culpa-with-michael-cohen The Weekend Show: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-weekend-show Burn the Boats: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/burn-the-boats Majority 54: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/majority-54 Political Beatdown: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/political-beatdown On Democracy with FP Wellman: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/on-democracy-with-fpwellman Uncovered: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/maga-uncovered Coalition of the Sane: https://meidasnews.com/tag/coalition-of-the-sane

This is a catch-up version of James O'Brien's live, daily show on LBC Radio. To join the conversation call: 0345 60 60 973

Trump and Republicans made a huge miscalculation about the No Kings protest– and now they're paying the price. Brian interviews Senator Adam Schiff, representatives Daniel Goldman and Robert Garcia, and national security expert Ned Price.Shop merch: https://briantylercohen.com/shopYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/user/briantylercohenTwitter: https://twitter.com/briantylercohenFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/briantylercohenInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/briantylercohenPatreon: https://www.patreon.com/briantylercohenNewsletter: https://www.briantylercohen.com/sign-upWritten by Brian Tyler CohenProduced by Sam GraberRecorded in Los Angeles, CASee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

【聊了什么】 “鸡毛秀”停播风波不仅是一场关于言论自由的攻防战，更是美国传统媒体结构性危机的集中爆发。本期节目从这起风波说起，回溯美国广播电视网与地方台独特的共生关系，以及监管机构FCC在其中扮演的角色。 当旧的秩序摇摇欲坠，新的变革也已登堂入室。我们同时将目光投向另一家传统媒体巨头CBS，探讨Bari Weiss的“空降”将给传统新闻编辑室带来怎样的颠覆性实验。一边是在旧体系内艰难挣扎的深夜秀，一边是试图从内部进行激进重塑的百年新闻部。当百年形成的媒体结构遭遇政治极化与新技术的双重冲击，传统电视的未来将走向何方？ 播客文字稿（付费会员专享）：https://theamericanroulette.com/jimmy-kimmel-abc-disney-cbs-news-bari-weiss-transcript 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 00:40 Jimmy Kimmel因评论Charlie Kirk被ABC停播事件始末 05:05 FCC直接施压的阴影 09:10 深夜秀的历史 15:55 “末代主播”？深夜秀的商业模式危机 25:36 地方电视台巨头Sinclair和Nextstar在此次事件中的关键角色 26:19 全国广播网 (Network) 与地方加盟台 (Affiliate) 的博弈 32:43 地方媒体集团的崛起与政治倾向化（以Sinclair为例） 38:38 FCC（联邦通信委员会）的权力杠杆 49:06 FCC的内容审查边界：从“公共利益”原则的演变看政府监管的合法性 62:47 FCC主席的威胁是否违反第一修正案？ 66:59 对比特朗普与拜登政府的“Jawboning” 72:15 CEO的误判？迪士尼Bob Iger的“缓兵之计”为何失败 82:02 为何大公司在特朗普2.0时代集体“变软”？集体行动的困境 85:50 David Ellison入主派拉蒙与Bari Weiss执掌CBS新闻 90:12 Bari Weiss的挑战：新媒体“网红”能否管理好百年新闻机构？ 106:24 福克斯的“减法”策略与继承人问题的解决 109:35 传统媒体的核心价值还剩下什么？ 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者 小华：媒体人 杨一：旅英媒体人 品达：美国政治观察人士 【 What We Talked About】 The suspension of Jimmy Kimmel Live was more than a free speech debate—it was a flare-up of the deep, structural crisis in American media. This episode unpacks that crisis, from the complex relationship between networks and local affiliates to the power of the FCC. While the old system crumbles, a radical new experiment is underway at CBS. We examine what happens when an outsider like Bari Weiss is put in charge of a traditional newsroom—a story of external pressure versus a high-stakes internal overhaul. Facing political division and technological disruption, what is the future of traditional TV? Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/jimmy-kimmel-abc-disney-cbs-news-bari-weiss-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 00:40 The Jimmy Kimmel Suspension: A Breakdown of the Controversy Over His Charlie Kirk Comments 05:05 The Shadow of Direct FCC Pressure 09:10 The History of Late Night 15:55 "The Final Generation"? The Business Model Crisis Facing Late Night 25:36 The Key Role of Local TV Giants Sinclair and Nextstar 26:19 The Power Struggle Between National Networks and Local Affiliates 32:43 The Rise and Politicization of Local Media Groups (The Case of Sinclair) 38:38 The FCC's Regulatory Leverage 49:06 The Limits of FCC Content Regulation: Legitimacy and the Evolving "Public Interest" Doctrine 62:47 Did the FCC Chairman's Threats Violate the First Amendment? 66:59 Comparing Government "Jawboning": Trump vs. Biden 72:15 A CEO's Miscalculation? Why Disney's Bob Iger's Delaying Tactic Backfired 82:02 Why Big Business is Bending the Knee to Trump 2.0: The Dilemma of Collective Action 85:50 New Leadership: David Ellison at Paramount & Bari Weiss at CBS News 90:12 The Bari Weiss Challenge: Can a New Media Influencer Run a Legacy News Institution? 106:24 Fox's Streamlining Strategy and the Murdoch Succession Solution 109:35 What Core Value Remains for Traditional Media? 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer Yang Yi: Journalist based in London Pinda：American political enthusiast

Why do states start conflicts that they ultimately lose? Why do leaders possess inaccurate expectations of their prospects for victory? Bureaucracies at War (Cambridge UP, 2024) examines how national security institutions shape the quality of bureaucratic information upon which leaders base their choice for conflict – which institutional designs provide the best counsel, why those institutions perform better, and why many leaders fail to adopt them. Author Tyler Jost argues that the same institutions that provide the best information also empower the bureaucracy to punish the leader. Thus, miscalculation on the road to war is often the tragic consequence of how leaders resolve the trade-off between good information and political security. Employing an original cross-national data set and detailed explorations of the origins and consequences of institutions inside China, India, Pakistan, and the United States, this book explores why bureaucracy helps to avoid disaster, how bureaucratic competition produces better information, and why institutional design is fundamentally political. Our guest is Tyler Jost, an assistant professor of political science and the Watson Institute Assistant Professor of China Studies at Brown University. Our host is Eleonora Mattiacci, an Associate Professor of Political Science at Amherst College. She is the author of "Volatile States in International Politics" (Oxford University Press, 2023). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/new-books-network

Why do states start conflicts that they ultimately lose? Why do leaders possess inaccurate expectations of their prospects for victory? Bureaucracies at War (Cambridge UP, 2024) examines how national security institutions shape the quality of bureaucratic information upon which leaders base their choice for conflict – which institutional designs provide the best counsel, why those institutions perform better, and why many leaders fail to adopt them. Author Tyler Jost argues that the same institutions that provide the best information also empower the bureaucracy to punish the leader. Thus, miscalculation on the road to war is often the tragic consequence of how leaders resolve the trade-off between good information and political security. Employing an original cross-national data set and detailed explorations of the origins and consequences of institutions inside China, India, Pakistan, and the United States, this book explores why bureaucracy helps to avoid disaster, how bureaucratic competition produces better information, and why institutional design is fundamentally political. Our guest is Tyler Jost, an assistant professor of political science and the Watson Institute Assistant Professor of China Studies at Brown University. Our host is Eleonora Mattiacci, an Associate Professor of Political Science at Amherst College. She is the author of "Volatile States in International Politics" (Oxford University Press, 2023). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/military-history

Why do states start conflicts that they ultimately lose? Why do leaders possess inaccurate expectations of their prospects for victory? Bureaucracies at War (Cambridge UP, 2024) examines how national security institutions shape the quality of bureaucratic information upon which leaders base their choice for conflict – which institutional designs provide the best counsel, why those institutions perform better, and why many leaders fail to adopt them. Author Tyler Jost argues that the same institutions that provide the best information also empower the bureaucracy to punish the leader. Thus, miscalculation on the road to war is often the tragic consequence of how leaders resolve the trade-off between good information and political security. Employing an original cross-national data set and detailed explorations of the origins and consequences of institutions inside China, India, Pakistan, and the United States, this book explores why bureaucracy helps to avoid disaster, how bureaucratic competition produces better information, and why institutional design is fundamentally political. Our guest is Tyler Jost, an assistant professor of political science and the Watson Institute Assistant Professor of China Studies at Brown University. Our host is Eleonora Mattiacci, an Associate Professor of Political Science at Amherst College. She is the author of "Volatile States in International Politics" (Oxford University Press, 2023). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/political-science

Why do states start conflicts that they ultimately lose? Why do leaders possess inaccurate expectations of their prospects for victory? Bureaucracies at War (Cambridge UP, 2024) examines how national security institutions shape the quality of bureaucratic information upon which leaders base their choice for conflict – which institutional designs provide the best counsel, why those institutions perform better, and why many leaders fail to adopt them. Author Tyler Jost argues that the same institutions that provide the best information also empower the bureaucracy to punish the leader. Thus, miscalculation on the road to war is often the tragic consequence of how leaders resolve the trade-off between good information and political security. Employing an original cross-national data set and detailed explorations of the origins and consequences of institutions inside China, India, Pakistan, and the United States, this book explores why bureaucracy helps to avoid disaster, how bureaucratic competition produces better information, and why institutional design is fundamentally political. Our guest is Tyler Jost, an assistant professor of political science and the Watson Institute Assistant Professor of China Studies at Brown University. Our host is Eleonora Mattiacci, an Associate Professor of Political Science at Amherst College. She is the author of "Volatile States in International Politics" (Oxford University Press, 2023). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/world-affairs

Why do states start conflicts that they ultimately lose? Why do leaders possess inaccurate expectations of their prospects for victory? Bureaucracies at War (Cambridge UP, 2024) examines how national security institutions shape the quality of bureaucratic information upon which leaders base their choice for conflict – which institutional designs provide the best counsel, why those institutions perform better, and why many leaders fail to adopt them. Author Tyler Jost argues that the same institutions that provide the best information also empower the bureaucracy to punish the leader. Thus, miscalculation on the road to war is often the tragic consequence of how leaders resolve the trade-off between good information and political security. Employing an original cross-national data set and detailed explorations of the origins and consequences of institutions inside China, India, Pakistan, and the United States, this book explores why bureaucracy helps to avoid disaster, how bureaucratic competition produces better information, and why institutional design is fundamentally political. Our guest is Tyler Jost, an assistant professor of political science and the Watson Institute Assistant Professor of China Studies at Brown University. Our host is Eleonora Mattiacci, an Associate Professor of Political Science at Amherst College. She is the author of "Volatile States in International Politics" (Oxford University Press, 2023). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/national-security

Why do states start conflicts that they ultimately lose? Why do leaders possess inaccurate expectations of their prospects for victory? Bureaucracies at War (Cambridge UP, 2024) examines how national security institutions shape the quality of bureaucratic information upon which leaders base their choice for conflict – which institutional designs provide the best counsel, why those institutions perform better, and why many leaders fail to adopt them. Author Tyler Jost argues that the same institutions that provide the best information also empower the bureaucracy to punish the leader. Thus, miscalculation on the road to war is often the tragic consequence of how leaders resolve the trade-off between good information and political security. Employing an original cross-national data set and detailed explorations of the origins and consequences of institutions inside China, India, Pakistan, and the United States, this book explores why bureaucracy helps to avoid disaster, how bureaucratic competition produces better information, and why institutional design is fundamentally political. Our guest is Tyler Jost, an assistant professor of political science and the Watson Institute Assistant Professor of China Studies at Brown University. Our host is Eleonora Mattiacci, an Associate Professor of Political Science at Amherst College. She is the author of "Volatile States in International Politics" (Oxford University Press, 2023).

On the Bleav in Bengals, hosts Solomon Wilcots and Bengals insider Charlie Goldsmith analyze the Bengals' 30-17 loss to the Detroit Lions. They address Jake Browning's struggles with turnovers, inconsistent decision-making, and the lack of balance in the offense. The discussion includes ongoing issues with the offensive line regarding both protection and run blocking, as well as the failed offseason roster moves and the team's over-reliance on Joe Burrow. The episode concludes with a mailbag question about whether preseason expectations for the Bengals were set too high, and whether blame should be assigned to coaching, ownership, or player development. They also preview the upcoming game against the Green Bay Packers, emphasizing the challenges posed by Micah Parsons and a tough Packers defense. [00:00:05] - Game Recap Recap of Bengals losing to the Lions, highlights on Detroit's offensive performance [00:00:53] - Bengals' Quarterback Struggles Discussion about Jake Browning's inconsistent quarterback play Impact of turnovers and decision-making issues [00:01:30] - Team's Options at Quarterback Zach Taylor's post-game comments Question about alternative quarterback options [00:02:10] - Evaluating Backup QBs Assessment of other backup quarterbacks and lack of experience [00:03:06] - Rumors About Veteran QB Trades Debunking rumors about trading for Russell Wilson or Kirk Cousins [00:04:08] - Offensive Guard and Cap Space Discussion on roster/cap space decisions—focus should have been on addressing offensive guard earlier [00:06:54] - Bengals Offense and Jake Browning's Game Performance Analyzing offensive struggles, questionable passes, and late-game scoring [00:07:55] - Offensive Line Issues In-depth look at offensive line struggles, including giving up safeties and lack of run game [00:09:05] - Impact of the Offensive Line on QB Performance How poor O-line play has affected Jake Browning's confidence and performance [00:10:05] - Scott Peters and O-Line Regressions Discussion about O-Line coach Scott Peters and regression of the unit [00:11:25] - Wasting Talent & Roster Construction Reflections on another year potentially wasting stars' talents Debating overall roster talent and decisions at trade deadline [00:12:15] - History of Not Selling at Trade Deadline Bengals' tendency not to sell at the deadline, even when out of contention [00:13:41] - Team Building Philosophy Team building logic, planning for future roster flexibility [00:14:51] - Bengals Defense vs. Lions Offense Analysis of Bengals defense, positives in pass rush and pressure [00:15:48] - Defense Continues to Be Put in Bad Situations Frequent short fields due to turnovers impacting defensive numbers [00:16:38] - Improving Defensive Fundamentals Focus on tackling and coverage issues, especially on screens and in space [00:17:44] - Coaching Points of Emphasis for Improvement Major coaching concerns: tackling, technique at corner, and interior pass rush [00:19:29] - How Injuries & Roster Failures Impacted the Season How Joe Burrow's absence exposed the team's lack of flexibility and depth [00:20:45] - Ownership and Organizational Accountability Broader conversation about organizational responsibility and roster-building philosophy [00:23:50] - Miscalculation on Jake Browning as Backup Retrospective on believing in Browning as backup and where things went wrong [00:24:53] - Importance of Roster Flexibility Need for roster flexibility and adapting to different game scenarios [00:24:53] - Sponsor Segment and Green Bay Packers Preview Previewing matchup against Packers and key players to watch [00:25:52] - Packers Game Preview D-line concerns, Micah Parsons (erroneous—Parsons is not on Packers), challenges facing Bengals' O-line   Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Billy Kelleher, Former MEP, reacts to the news that Jim Gavin has dropped out of the Presidential race. Fionnan Sheahan, Ireland Editor with the Irish Independent, responds to Billy Kelleher's interview.

HEADLINE: Russian Probes, European Escalation Rhetoric, and the Threat of Drone Swarms GUEST NAME:General Blaine Holt 50 WORD SUMMARY: Russian aircraft regularly probe the Alaskan ADIZ, met by US F-16s. Standardized procedures minimize miscalculation risk. Reckless rhetoric from European allies threatens escalation by suggesting shooting down Russian jets violating NATO airspace. European defense ministers are planning a "drone wall" to counter massive Russian drone swarms, which Ukraine currently cannot defeat. 1870 SWEDEN

HEADLINE: Russian Probes, European Escalation Rhetoric, and the Threat of Drone Swarms GUEST NAME:General Blaine Holt 50 WORD SUMMARY: Russian aircraft regularly probe the Alaskan ADIZ, met by US F-16s. Standardized procedures minimize miscalculation risk. Reckless rhetoric from European allies threatens escalation by suggesting shooting down Russian jets violating NATO airspace. European defense ministers are planning a "drone wall" to counter massive Russian drone swarms, which Ukraine currently cannot defeat. B-36 CONVAIR

HEADLINE: Escalation Risk: NATO Allies Accuse Russia of Airspace Violations, Raising Concerns Over Miscalculation GUEST NAME: General Blaine Holt SUMMARY: General Blaine Holt analyzes escalating NATO-Russia tensions from alleged airspace violations, stressing the danger of miscalculation. He advocates for non-military, de-escalatory approaches to avoid a nuclear flashpoint. 1958

HEADLINE: Escalation Risk: NATO Allies Accuse Russia of Airspace Violations, Raising Concerns Over Miscalculation GUEST NAME: General Blaine Holt SUMMARY: General Blaine Holt analyzes escalating NATO-Russia tensions from alleged airspace violations, stressing the danger of miscalculation. He advocates for non-military, de-escalatory approaches to avoid a nuclear flashpoint. 1958

HEADLINE: Nikita Khrushchev's Miscalculation and the Specter of Berlin GUEST NAME: Professor Serhii PlokhyBOOK TITLE: Nuclear Folly TOPIC: Accidental War Warning SUMMARY: Nikita Khrushchev, a shrewd politician who succeeded Joseph Stalin, was widely misunderstood as a clown. Khrushchev expected to manipulate the young Jack Kennedy, having once offered campaign assistance. Khrushchev was surprised when Kennedy refused to compromise over the missile deployment. Both leaders were constantly concerned about Berlin; Khrushchev used the threat of escalation there to manipulate Kennedy. 1920 HAVANA

#LONDINIUM90AD: MICHAEL VLAHOS. FRIENDS OF HISTORY DEBATING SOCIETY. @MICHALIS_VLAHOS HEADLINE: From Dalmatia to Poland: Frontier Tensions, Roman Legacy, and the Danger of Miscalculation The discussion opens with Gaius (John Batchelor) in Londinium speaking to Germanicus (Michael Vlahos), who is in Dalmatia (the Dalmatian coast, modern Croatia), a frontier area of the former Roman Empire. Germanicus observes that this region, Ragusa, maintained its Roman continuity through the Middle Ages and was critical as it connected Italy and the Western Empire to Greece and the Eastern Empire. They reflect on Roman figures such as Augustus and Drusus(Nero Claudius Drusus Germanicus), who fought in Germania. Drusus's son, Claudius, became a highly effective emperor who brought the empire to its maximal state, establishing Londinium. The conversation shifts to modern frontier tensions: the Russian probing of the Polish border using drones and warplanes, leading to NATO intervention and British assistance. Drawing on films like The Bedford Incident, they worry about accidental catastrophe due to miscalculation. Germanicus warns that tiny NATO states like the Baltics, driven by paranoia and insecurity, are acting "spasmodically and irresponsibly" and that the United Kingdom is acting like a "rogue state" aggressively pushing for conflict, creating a dangerous situation that could plunge Russia and the West into general war. 41 AD. CLAUDIUS BEGS

CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR 9-17-2025 FIRST HOUR 9-915HEADLINE: Global Tensions Escalate: Nuclear Drills, Urban Warfare, and Naval Probes Amidst Shifting Alliances GUEST NAME: Jeff McCausland SUMMARY: Russia conducts tactical nuclear drills with Belarus as drones probe Polish airspace, while Israel engages in difficult urban warfare in Gaza, and the US flexes naval power against Venezuela, all against a backdrop of potential regional miscalculations. Russia's Zapad 2025 includes tactical nuclear training with Belarus, as unidentified drones probe Polish territory. Israel faces six months of challenging urban combat in Gaza, learning from Fallujah. The USconducts naval exercises near Venezuela, potentially aimed at destabilizing Maduro. Regional flashpoints in Syria risk accidental escalation between Turkey and Israel. 1930 POLAND 915-930 CONTINUED HEADLINE: Global Tensions Escalate: Nuclear Drills, Urban Warfare, and Naval Probes Amidst Shifting Alliances GUEST NAME: Jeff McCausland SUMMARY: Russia conducts tactical nuclear drills with Belarus as drones probe Polish airspace,  930-945 HEADLINE: EU Schemes to Fund Ukraine with Frozen Russian Assets, While Oil Prices Fluctuate GUEST NAME: Michael Bernstam SUMMARY: The EU devises a "clever scheme" to fund Ukraine with Russia's frozen assets by converting cash into zero-interest bonds held by Euroclear, effectively confiscating the funds while navigating legal obstacles, as global oil markets remain volatile. The EU and G7 plan to use $170 billion of frozen Russian assets, largely held by Euroclear in Belgium, to fund Ukraine. This "confiscation" involves the European Union issuing zero-interest bonds to Euroclear, allowing cash to be transferred to Ukraine as an unpayable loan. Meanwhile, Brent crude oil prices fluctuate, influenced by sanctions and Trump's calls to stop buying Russian oil. 945-1000 HEADLINE: Challenging Prospect Theory: Increasing Sensitivity to Loss in Human Behavior GUEST NAME: Tim Kane SUMMARY: Professor Tim Kane questions Kahneman and Tversky's Prospect Theory, presenting experiments that suggest humans exhibit increasing sensitivity to loss, rather than diminishing, impacting our understanding of complex rationality beyond financial gambles. Professor Tim Kane challenges Kahneman and Tversky's Prospect Theory, arguing that while losses hurt more than gains, people show increasing sensitivity to successive losses, not diminishing sensitivity. His chocolate experiment demonstrated higher demands to part with each subsequent piece, suggesting a "complex rationality" that differs in non-financial contexts from pure monetary gambles. SECOND HOUR 10-1015 HEADLINE: Nepal's "Gen Z Revolution" Against Corruption and Inequality, Amidst Geopolitical Influence GUEST NAME: Kelly Currie SUMMARY: Nepal faces its biggest governance challenge in decades as disillusioned youth, frustrated by corrupt elites and deep inequality, ignite a "Gen Z revolution" marked by widespread protests, while China and India vie for influence in the poor, landlocked nation. Nepal is grappling with widespread "Gen Z" youth-led protests, marked by violence and targeting government institutions, driven by anger over corrupt elites and severe inequality. An interim government is forming to stabilize the country and organize elections. Meanwhile, Nepal, Asia's second poorest nation, is a growing battleground for influence between China and India. 1015-1030 HEADLINE: China's Deflationary Cycle: A Consequence of Overproduction and Centralized Control GUEST NAME: Anne Stevenson-Yang SUMMARY: China is mired in a fearful deflationary cycle driven by chronic overproduction and a government unable to shift from supply-side investment to stimulating consumption, perpetuating a "race to the bottom" under CCP leadership. China faces widespread deflation, causing consumer uncertainty and stemming from government-backed overproduction. The CCP leadership pours money into factories to meet GDP targets, despite overbuilt infrastructure and property. This "involution," or economy eating itself, continues due to a lack of innovative solutions and reluctance to cede economic control. 1030-1045 HEADLINE: China's Covert Strategic Support for Russia Fuels NATO Border Tensions GUEST NAME: Victoria Coates SUMMARY: China is actively supporting Russia's efforts to destabilize NATO's eastern flank, particularly through the Polish-Belarusian border, by pushing migrants and using proxies. This "partnership without limits," declared by Xi and Putin, aims to keep the United States entangled in European conflicts, preventing a focus on East Asia. Poland, however, remains resolute and is strengthening its defenses. China covertly aids Russia in destabilizing NATO via incidents on the Polish-Belarusian border, pushing migrants and using drones. This "partnership without limits" between Xi and Putin aims to keep the US preoccupied in Europe and the Middle East, preventing a focus on East Asia. Despite this, Poland, led by President Karol Nawrocki, remains resolute, strengthening its defenses and economy. 1045-1100 HEADLINE: China's EV Market Faces Global Headwinds and Domestic Overcapacity GUEST NAME: Alan Tonelson SUMMARY: Despite innovation, China's electric vehicle market, led by BYD, is experiencing production drops, price wars, and significant international pushback due to quality, surveillance fears, and predatory trade practices, exposing a broader economic deflation. China's EV market leader BYD saw production drops amidst price wars and over 150 producers. Global markets, including the US, Japan, Germany, and South Korea, resist Chinese EVs due to surveillance concerns and predatory trade practices. Beijing maintains employment through municipal loans, but widespread overcapacity and deflation are significant challenges. THIRD HOUR 1100-1115 HEADLINE: Commodity Prices Surge Amidst Global Demand and UK Political Turmoil GUEST NAME: Simon Constable SUMMARY: While the south of France enjoys a pleasant harvest, global commodity prices for essential metals and select food items are spiking due to high demand and supply constraints, mirroring political unrest and leadership challenges within the UK's Labour Party. Simon Constable reports on rising commodity prices: copper, iron ore, and aluminum are up due to high demand for data centers and supply issues. Coffee prices have spiked by 51%, though cocoa and Brent crude have moderated. In the UK, Labour Party leader Keir Starmer faces internal dissent and "plastic patriotism" protests, with talk of replacing him by early next year. 1115-1130 CONTINUED HEADLINE: Commodity Prices Surge Amidst Global Demand and UK Political Turmoil GUEST NAME: Simon Constable SUMMARY: While the south of France enjoys a pleasant harvest, global commodity prices for 1130-1145 HEADLINE: Iraqi Intelligence Uncovers Global Islamic State Network, Highlighting African Hub's Expanding Influence GUEST NAMES: Caleb Weiss and Bill Roggio SUMMARY: The Iraqi National Intelligence Service (INIS) has made its first international bust in West Africa, revealing how Islamic State (ISIS) cells, particularly the wealthy ISWAP, are funding global attacks and supporting ISISoperations, including those in Iraq, amidst shifting jihadist strongholds and Western withdrawal from the Sahel. The Iraqi National Intelligence Service (INIS) revealed its first international operation, dismantling an Islamic State (ISIS) cell in West Africa. This cell, linked to the powerful ISWAP, was financing attacks in Europe and supporting ISIS operations in Iraq. This highlights Africa's growing importance as a hub for the global Islamic State network, amidst a complex regional jihadist landscape. 1145-1200 CONTINUED HEADLINE: Iraqi Intelligence Uncovers Global Islamic State Network, Highlighting African Hub's Expanding Influence FOURTH HOUR 12-1215 HEADLINE: Re-evaluating Liberalism: Cass Sunstein's Defense and Critiques of its Manifest Failings GUEST NAME: Peter Berkowitz SUMMARY: Peter Berkowitz analyzes Cass Sunstein's defense of liberalism "under siege," highlighting criticisms from both the new right and the woke left, and arguing that liberalism's own principles, when taken to extremes, contribute to its current pressures. Peter Berkowitz reviews Cass Sunstein's book On Liberalism: In Defense of Freedom, where Sunstein argues liberalism is "under siege" from criticisms on the right (permissiveness, criminality) and left (too weak on inequality, racism). Berkowitz suggests Sunstein mischaracterizes liberalism by overemphasizing "experiments of living" over equal rights, and neglects how liberalism's vices contribute to its challenges. 1215-1230 CONTINUED HEADLINE: Re-evaluating Liberalism: Cass Sunstein's Defense and Critiques of its Manifest Failings 1230-1245 HEADLINE: Erdogan's Neo-Ottoman Ambitions: Turkey's Escalating Confrontation with Israel and Regional Power Plays GUEST NAME: Sinan Ciddi SUMMARY: Erdogan's Neo-Ottoman ambitions are driving Turkey to increasingly confront Israel through vilifying rhetoric, alleged support for Hamas cells, and a growing military footprint across the Mediterranean and Africa, risking miscalculation and armed conflict in Syria. Erdogan is pursuing Neo-Ottomanism, escalating tensions with Israelthrough vilifying rhetoric and alleged MIT involvement in Hamas plots. Turkey's military expansion, including bases in Somalia and northern Cyprus, and advanced weaponry like drones and hypersonic missiles, positions it to dominate the Mediterranean and challenge Israel. Miscalculation in Syria poses a risk of armed conflict. 1245-100 AM HEADLINE: Erdogan's Neo-Ottoman Ambitions: Turkey's Escalating Confrontation with Israel and Regional Power Plays

CONTINUED HEADLINE: Erdogan's Neo-Ottoman Ambitions: Turkey's Escalating Confrontation with Israel and Regional Power Plays GUEST NAME: Sinan Ciddi SUMMARY: Erdogan's Neo-Ottoman ambitions are driving Turkey to increasingly confront Israel through vilifying rhetoric, alleged support for Hamas cells, and a growing military footprint across the Mediterranean and Africa, risking miscalculation and armed conflict in Syria. Erdogan is pursuing Neo-Ottomanism, escalating tensions with Israelthrough vilifying rhetoric and alleged MIT involvement in Hamas plots. Turkey's military expansion, including bases in Somalia and northern Cyprus, and advanced weaponry like drones and hypersonic missiles, positions it to dominate the Mediterranean and challenge Israel. Miscalculation in Syria poses a risk of armed conflict. 1928 TURKEY

HEADLINE: Erdogan's Neo-Ottoman Ambitions: Turkey's Escalating Confrontation with Israel and Regional Power Plays GUEST NAME: Sinan Ciddi SUMMARY: Erdogan's Neo-Ottoman ambitions are driving Turkey to increasingly confront Israel through vilifying rhetoric, alleged support for Hamas cells, and a growing military footprint across the Mediterranean and Africa, risking miscalculation and armed conflict in Syria. Erdogan is pursuing Neo-Ottomanism, escalating tensions with Israelthrough vilifying rhetoric and alleged MIT involvement in Hamas plots. Turkey's military expansion, including bases in Somalia and northern Cyprus, and advanced weaponry like drones and hypersonic missiles, positions it to dominate the Mediterranean and challenge Israel. Miscalculation in Syria poses a risk of armed conflict.

A special RJM episode.

FAN MAIL--We would love YOUR feedback--Send us a Text MessageWhat catastrophic miscalculations led to Japan's defeat in World War II? This episode dives deep into the strategic blunders, economic impossibilities, and cultural misunderstandings that sealed Japan's fate long before the atomic bombs fell.Drawing on historian Victor Davis Hanson's meticulous research from his book "The Second World Wars", we explore how Japan's military planners fundamentally misunderstood American resolve and industrial capacity. When the US imposed oil sanctions in 1941, cutting off 93% of Japan's petroleum supply, Japanese leadership faced an impossible choice: abandon imperial ambitions or attack the very nations that supplied their essential resources. Their decision to strike Pearl Harbor, intended to demoralize Americans, instead awakened the world's most formidable industrial power.The numbers tell a devastating story. Japan began the war with only 18 months of oil reserves, depending on conquered territories that ultimately supplied just 35% of their needs. By 1944, American submarines and bombers ensured only half of this vital resource reached the Japanese homeland. Meanwhile, America's production juggernaut created an insurmountable advantage, manufacturing more Essex-class carriers, submarines, and bombers than Japan could ever hope to counter. As Hanson notes, the question wasn't whether Allied bombers could be shot down, but whether Japan could stop the production of 40,000 four-engine heavy bombers lighting up their homeland.Japan's defeat reminds us that military power ultimately rests on economic foundations, and that strategic decisions based on cultural misunderstandings and wishful thinking lead to disaster. Key Points from the Episode:• Japan's formal surrender on September 2, 1945 marked the end of WWII after fighting for 8-14 years depending on whether you count from 1931 or 1937• The US oil embargo of 1941 cut off 93% of Japan's oil supply, creating a desperate "now or never" mentality that led to Pearl Harbor• Japan completely misread American resolve and industrial potential, mistaking prosperity for weakness• Japanese leaders developed racist assumptions about Americans, failing to understand the industrial tiger they would awaken• Japan's economy was structured only for regional conflict but attempted to fight a global war• By 1943, American production capabilities were overwhelming Japanese resources• Japan lacked a coherent grand strategy, with competing service branches pursuing contradictory objectives• The loss of experienced pilots at Midway created a downward spiral in naval aviation that Japan never recovered from• Japan's defensive strategy of making island conquests costly ultimately backfired by eliminating the possibility of negotiated peaceKeep fighting the good fight and join us at teammojoacademy.com for additional resources from this episode.Other resources: Want to leave a review? Click here, and if we earned a five-star review from you **high five and knuckle bumps**, we appreciate it greatly, thank you so much!

Big O talks Mike McDaniel 080125

Lee Camp digs into the extreme miscalculation Israel is making with Iran, what might happen next, the shocking assassination of a US politician and much more!Unredacted Tonight has joined the first ever worker-owned anti-capitalist streaming platform - MeansTV! Support my show AND get tons of awesome content by going to Means dot tv and using promo code "LEE" you'll get 20% off and a free trial week. My comedy news show Unredacted Tonight airs every Thursday at 7pm ET/ 4pm PT. My livestreams are on Mon and Fri at 3pm ET/ Noon PT and Wednesday at 8pm ET/ 5pm PT. I am one of the most censored comedians in America. Thanks for the support!

Rachel Maddow looks at fresh examples of communities across the United States rallying in defense of local immigrants being hunted by ICE agents, and notes that while Trump was open during the campaign about his policy of cruelty to immigrants, his expectation that Americans would support him in that cruelty was clearly misplaced.

052925 Scott Adams Show, Putin Miscalculation, Chinese Student VISAS, Harvard Pay to Play Enrollment

The United States and China reached a 90-day truce in the trade war when their representatives met in Geneva in early May. Both sides agreed to temporarily roll back tariffs and non-tariff trade barriers. President Trump announced that a “total reset” in US-China relations had been achieved. Beyond the hyperbole, the two sides agreed to establish a mechanism on economics and trade and launch negotiations to address trade imbalances and other problems. Whether a deal is reached, what it might look like, and what it might include, remains to be seen. The future trajectory of US-China relations, overall, is still unclear.This episode highlights a Chinese perspective on the US-China bilateral relationship, including on the recent trade talks and the factors that will influence US-China relations going forward. Sun Chenghao, a fellow and head of the U.S.-Europe program at Tsinghua University's Center for International Security and Strategy (CISS), and council member of the Chinese Association of American Studies joins host Bonnie Glaser for this episode.  Timestamps[00:00] Start[01:39] What does Trump want from China? [04:29] What view does Dr. Sun hold?[05:00] Assessing the US-China Geneva Talks[09:21] Feasibility of a Broad US-China Trade Deal[13:23] Implications of Trump's “Unification” Comment[16:46] Importance of the Strategic Channel[20:47] Declining America, Rising China[23:27] Shift in US Policy Toward Alliances[27:49] The Future of US-China Relations

President Donald Trump is an expert strategist, a national treasure and a true American patriot. But he's still only human, and therefore, prone to political missteps and mistakes. And on his recent Middle East trip, he's cut deals that might very well prove to be costly for America down the line. It's like when Republicans thought they could turn China into a more modern, capitalistic and free society by opening the nation's doors to economic opportunity. Beware entangling overseas alliances, George Washington warned. Hedieh Mirahmadi Falco, a Muslim-turned-Christian and a U.S. national security expert, tells where Trump may have fallen a bit short on his Mideast dealings.

AI: MUTUAL ASSURED AI MISCALCULATION.(MAIM) BRANDON WEICKERT, NATIONAL INTEREST. https://techcrunch.com/2025/03/05/eric-schmidt-argues-against-a-manhattan-project-for-agi/?guccounter=1 1962

#MOON: Intuitive Machine miscalculation. Bob Zimmerman BehindtheBlack.com 1940 Robert Goddard in Roswell NM