Podcasts about miscalculation

HEADLINE: Nikita Khrushchev's Miscalculation and the Specter of Berlin GUEST NAME: Professor Serhii PlokhyBOOK TITLE: Nuclear Folly TOPIC: Accidental War Warning SUMMARY: Nikita Khrushchev, a shrewd politician who succeeded Joseph Stalin, was widely misunderstood as a clown. Khrushchev expected to manipulate the young Jack Kennedy, having once offered campaign assistance. Khrushchev was surprised when Kennedy refused to compromise over the missile deployment. Both leaders were constantly concerned about Berlin; Khrushchev used the threat of escalation there to manipulate Kennedy. 1920 HAVANA

#LONDINIUM90AD: MICHAEL VLAHOS. FRIENDS OF HISTORY DEBATING SOCIETY. @MICHALIS_VLAHOS HEADLINE: From Dalmatia to Poland: Frontier Tensions, Roman Legacy, and the Danger of Miscalculation The discussion opens with Gaius (John Batchelor) in Londinium speaking to Germanicus (Michael Vlahos), who is in Dalmatia (the Dalmatian coast, modern Croatia), a frontier area of the former Roman Empire. Germanicus observes that this region, Ragusa, maintained its Roman continuity through the Middle Ages and was critical as it connected Italy and the Western Empire to Greece and the Eastern Empire. They reflect on Roman figures such as Augustus and Drusus(Nero Claudius Drusus Germanicus), who fought in Germania. Drusus's son, Claudius, became a highly effective emperor who brought the empire to its maximal state, establishing Londinium. The conversation shifts to modern frontier tensions: the Russian probing of the Polish border using drones and warplanes, leading to NATO intervention and British assistance. Drawing on films like The Bedford Incident, they worry about accidental catastrophe due to miscalculation. Germanicus warns that tiny NATO states like the Baltics, driven by paranoia and insecurity, are acting "spasmodically and irresponsibly" and that the United Kingdom is acting like a "rogue state" aggressively pushing for conflict, creating a dangerous situation that could plunge Russia and the West into general war. 41 AD. CLAUDIUS BEGS

HEADLINE: Erdogan's Neo-Ottoman Ambitions: Turkey's Escalating Confrontation with Israel and Regional Power Plays GUEST NAME: Sinan Ciddi SUMMARY: Erdogan's Neo-Ottoman ambitions are driving Turkey to increasingly confront Israel through vilifying rhetoric, alleged support for Hamas cells, and a growing military footprint across the Mediterranean and Africa, risking miscalculation and armed conflict in Syria. Erdogan is pursuing Neo-Ottomanism, escalating tensions with Israelthrough vilifying rhetoric and alleged MIT involvement in Hamas plots. Turkey's military expansion, including bases in Somalia and northern Cyprus, and advanced weaponry like drones and hypersonic missiles, positions it to dominate the Mediterranean and challenge Israel. Miscalculation in Syria poses a risk of armed conflict.

CONTINUED HEADLINE: Erdogan's Neo-Ottoman Ambitions: Turkey's Escalating Confrontation with Israel and Regional Power Plays GUEST NAME: Sinan Ciddi SUMMARY: Erdogan's Neo-Ottoman ambitions are driving Turkey to increasingly confront Israel through vilifying rhetoric, alleged support for Hamas cells, and a growing military footprint across the Mediterranean and Africa, risking miscalculation and armed conflict in Syria. Erdogan is pursuing Neo-Ottomanism, escalating tensions with Israelthrough vilifying rhetoric and alleged MIT involvement in Hamas plots. Turkey's military expansion, including bases in Somalia and northern Cyprus, and advanced weaponry like drones and hypersonic missiles, positions it to dominate the Mediterranean and challenge Israel. Miscalculation in Syria poses a risk of armed conflict. 1928 TURKEY

CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR 9-17-2025 FIRST HOUR 9-915HEADLINE: Global Tensions Escalate: Nuclear Drills, Urban Warfare, and Naval Probes Amidst Shifting Alliances GUEST NAME: Jeff McCausland SUMMARY: Russia conducts tactical nuclear drills with Belarus as drones probe Polish airspace, while Israel engages in difficult urban warfare in Gaza, and the US flexes naval power against Venezuela, all against a backdrop of potential regional miscalculations. Russia's Zapad 2025 includes tactical nuclear training with Belarus, as unidentified drones probe Polish territory. Israel faces six months of challenging urban combat in Gaza, learning from Fallujah. The USconducts naval exercises near Venezuela, potentially aimed at destabilizing Maduro. Regional flashpoints in Syria risk accidental escalation between Turkey and Israel. 1930 POLAND 915-930 CONTINUED HEADLINE: Global Tensions Escalate: Nuclear Drills, Urban Warfare, and Naval Probes Amidst Shifting Alliances GUEST NAME: Jeff McCausland SUMMARY: Russia conducts tactical nuclear drills with Belarus as drones probe Polish airspace,  930-945 HEADLINE: EU Schemes to Fund Ukraine with Frozen Russian Assets, While Oil Prices Fluctuate GUEST NAME: Michael Bernstam SUMMARY: The EU devises a "clever scheme" to fund Ukraine with Russia's frozen assets by converting cash into zero-interest bonds held by Euroclear, effectively confiscating the funds while navigating legal obstacles, as global oil markets remain volatile. The EU and G7 plan to use $170 billion of frozen Russian assets, largely held by Euroclear in Belgium, to fund Ukraine. This "confiscation" involves the European Union issuing zero-interest bonds to Euroclear, allowing cash to be transferred to Ukraine as an unpayable loan. Meanwhile, Brent crude oil prices fluctuate, influenced by sanctions and Trump's calls to stop buying Russian oil. 945-1000 HEADLINE: Challenging Prospect Theory: Increasing Sensitivity to Loss in Human Behavior GUEST NAME: Tim Kane SUMMARY: Professor Tim Kane questions Kahneman and Tversky's Prospect Theory, presenting experiments that suggest humans exhibit increasing sensitivity to loss, rather than diminishing, impacting our understanding of complex rationality beyond financial gambles. Professor Tim Kane challenges Kahneman and Tversky's Prospect Theory, arguing that while losses hurt more than gains, people show increasing sensitivity to successive losses, not diminishing sensitivity. His chocolate experiment demonstrated higher demands to part with each subsequent piece, suggesting a "complex rationality" that differs in non-financial contexts from pure monetary gambles. SECOND HOUR 10-1015 HEADLINE: Nepal's "Gen Z Revolution" Against Corruption and Inequality, Amidst Geopolitical Influence GUEST NAME: Kelly Currie SUMMARY: Nepal faces its biggest governance challenge in decades as disillusioned youth, frustrated by corrupt elites and deep inequality, ignite a "Gen Z revolution" marked by widespread protests, while China and India vie for influence in the poor, landlocked nation. Nepal is grappling with widespread "Gen Z" youth-led protests, marked by violence and targeting government institutions, driven by anger over corrupt elites and severe inequality. An interim government is forming to stabilize the country and organize elections. Meanwhile, Nepal, Asia's second poorest nation, is a growing battleground for influence between China and India. 1015-1030 HEADLINE: China's Deflationary Cycle: A Consequence of Overproduction and Centralized Control GUEST NAME: Anne Stevenson-Yang SUMMARY: China is mired in a fearful deflationary cycle driven by chronic overproduction and a government unable to shift from supply-side investment to stimulating consumption, perpetuating a "race to the bottom" under CCP leadership. China faces widespread deflation, causing consumer uncertainty and stemming from government-backed overproduction. The CCP leadership pours money into factories to meet GDP targets, despite overbuilt infrastructure and property. This "involution," or economy eating itself, continues due to a lack of innovative solutions and reluctance to cede economic control. 1030-1045 HEADLINE: China's Covert Strategic Support for Russia Fuels NATO Border Tensions GUEST NAME: Victoria Coates SUMMARY: China is actively supporting Russia's efforts to destabilize NATO's eastern flank, particularly through the Polish-Belarusian border, by pushing migrants and using proxies. This "partnership without limits," declared by Xi and Putin, aims to keep the United States entangled in European conflicts, preventing a focus on East Asia. Poland, however, remains resolute and is strengthening its defenses. China covertly aids Russia in destabilizing NATO via incidents on the Polish-Belarusian border, pushing migrants and using drones. This "partnership without limits" between Xi and Putin aims to keep the US preoccupied in Europe and the Middle East, preventing a focus on East Asia. Despite this, Poland, led by President Karol Nawrocki, remains resolute, strengthening its defenses and economy. 1045-1100 HEADLINE: China's EV Market Faces Global Headwinds and Domestic Overcapacity GUEST NAME: Alan Tonelson SUMMARY: Despite innovation, China's electric vehicle market, led by BYD, is experiencing production drops, price wars, and significant international pushback due to quality, surveillance fears, and predatory trade practices, exposing a broader economic deflation. China's EV market leader BYD saw production drops amidst price wars and over 150 producers. Global markets, including the US, Japan, Germany, and South Korea, resist Chinese EVs due to surveillance concerns and predatory trade practices. Beijing maintains employment through municipal loans, but widespread overcapacity and deflation are significant challenges. THIRD HOUR 1100-1115 HEADLINE: Commodity Prices Surge Amidst Global Demand and UK Political Turmoil GUEST NAME: Simon Constable SUMMARY: While the south of France enjoys a pleasant harvest, global commodity prices for essential metals and select food items are spiking due to high demand and supply constraints, mirroring political unrest and leadership challenges within the UK's Labour Party. Simon Constable reports on rising commodity prices: copper, iron ore, and aluminum are up due to high demand for data centers and supply issues. Coffee prices have spiked by 51%, though cocoa and Brent crude have moderated. In the UK, Labour Party leader Keir Starmer faces internal dissent and "plastic patriotism" protests, with talk of replacing him by early next year. 1115-1130 CONTINUED HEADLINE: Commodity Prices Surge Amidst Global Demand and UK Political Turmoil GUEST NAME: Simon Constable SUMMARY: While the south of France enjoys a pleasant harvest, global commodity prices for 1130-1145 HEADLINE: Iraqi Intelligence Uncovers Global Islamic State Network, Highlighting African Hub's Expanding Influence GUEST NAMES: Caleb Weiss and Bill Roggio SUMMARY: The Iraqi National Intelligence Service (INIS) has made its first international bust in West Africa, revealing how Islamic State (ISIS) cells, particularly the wealthy ISWAP, are funding global attacks and supporting ISISoperations, including those in Iraq, amidst shifting jihadist strongholds and Western withdrawal from the Sahel. The Iraqi National Intelligence Service (INIS) revealed its first international operation, dismantling an Islamic State (ISIS) cell in West Africa. This cell, linked to the powerful ISWAP, was financing attacks in Europe and supporting ISIS operations in Iraq. This highlights Africa's growing importance as a hub for the global Islamic State network, amidst a complex regional jihadist landscape. 1145-1200 CONTINUED HEADLINE: Iraqi Intelligence Uncovers Global Islamic State Network, Highlighting African Hub's Expanding Influence FOURTH HOUR 12-1215 HEADLINE: Re-evaluating Liberalism: Cass Sunstein's Defense and Critiques of its Manifest Failings GUEST NAME: Peter Berkowitz SUMMARY: Peter Berkowitz analyzes Cass Sunstein's defense of liberalism "under siege," highlighting criticisms from both the new right and the woke left, and arguing that liberalism's own principles, when taken to extremes, contribute to its current pressures. Peter Berkowitz reviews Cass Sunstein's book On Liberalism: In Defense of Freedom, where Sunstein argues liberalism is "under siege" from criticisms on the right (permissiveness, criminality) and left (too weak on inequality, racism). Berkowitz suggests Sunstein mischaracterizes liberalism by overemphasizing "experiments of living" over equal rights, and neglects how liberalism's vices contribute to its challenges. 1215-1230 CONTINUED HEADLINE: Re-evaluating Liberalism: Cass Sunstein's Defense and Critiques of its Manifest Failings 1230-1245 HEADLINE: Erdogan's Neo-Ottoman Ambitions: Turkey's Escalating Confrontation with Israel and Regional Power Plays GUEST NAME: Sinan Ciddi SUMMARY: Erdogan's Neo-Ottoman ambitions are driving Turkey to increasingly confront Israel through vilifying rhetoric, alleged support for Hamas cells, and a growing military footprint across the Mediterranean and Africa, risking miscalculation and armed conflict in Syria. Erdogan is pursuing Neo-Ottomanism, escalating tensions with Israelthrough vilifying rhetoric and alleged MIT involvement in Hamas plots. Turkey's military expansion, including bases in Somalia and northern Cyprus, and advanced weaponry like drones and hypersonic missiles, positions it to dominate the Mediterranean and challenge Israel. Miscalculation in Syria poses a risk of armed conflict. 1245-100 AM HEADLINE: Erdogan's Neo-Ottoman Ambitions: Turkey's Escalating Confrontation with Israel and Regional Power Plays

Is the Cold War Back? Putin's Rise, BRICS Power Moves, and Africa's Global Role   In this explosive episode of Ideology, hosts MisterMarkGee and Roger Moore go deep into the motivations behind Vladimir Putin's geopolitical moves and explore whether the Cold War ever truly ended. From the re-emergence of BRICS as a counterweight to Western dominance, to Russia's strategic reach into Africa, the conversation spans decades of history, power plays, and ideology shifts. What's driving Putin? Is it ideology, patriotism, or the thirst to revive a fallen empire?

A special RJM episode.

FAN MAIL--We would love YOUR feedback--Send us a Text MessageWhat catastrophic miscalculations led to Japan's defeat in World War II? This episode dives deep into the strategic blunders, economic impossibilities, and cultural misunderstandings that sealed Japan's fate long before the atomic bombs fell.Drawing on historian Victor Davis Hanson's meticulous research from his book "The Second World Wars", we explore how Japan's military planners fundamentally misunderstood American resolve and industrial capacity. When the US imposed oil sanctions in 1941, cutting off 93% of Japan's petroleum supply, Japanese leadership faced an impossible choice: abandon imperial ambitions or attack the very nations that supplied their essential resources. Their decision to strike Pearl Harbor, intended to demoralize Americans, instead awakened the world's most formidable industrial power.The numbers tell a devastating story. Japan began the war with only 18 months of oil reserves, depending on conquered territories that ultimately supplied just 35% of their needs. By 1944, American submarines and bombers ensured only half of this vital resource reached the Japanese homeland. Meanwhile, America's production juggernaut created an insurmountable advantage, manufacturing more Essex-class carriers, submarines, and bombers than Japan could ever hope to counter. As Hanson notes, the question wasn't whether Allied bombers could be shot down, but whether Japan could stop the production of 40,000 four-engine heavy bombers lighting up their homeland.Japan's defeat reminds us that military power ultimately rests on economic foundations, and that strategic decisions based on cultural misunderstandings and wishful thinking lead to disaster. Key Points from the Episode:• Japan's formal surrender on September 2, 1945 marked the end of WWII after fighting for 8-14 years depending on whether you count from 1931 or 1937• The US oil embargo of 1941 cut off 93% of Japan's oil supply, creating a desperate "now or never" mentality that led to Pearl Harbor• Japan completely misread American resolve and industrial potential, mistaking prosperity for weakness• Japanese leaders developed racist assumptions about Americans, failing to understand the industrial tiger they would awaken• Japan's economy was structured only for regional conflict but attempted to fight a global war• By 1943, American production capabilities were overwhelming Japanese resources• Japan lacked a coherent grand strategy, with competing service branches pursuing contradictory objectives• The loss of experienced pilots at Midway created a downward spiral in naval aviation that Japan never recovered from• Japan's defensive strategy of making island conquests costly ultimately backfired by eliminating the possibility of negotiated peaceKeep fighting the good fight and join us at teammojoacademy.com for additional resources from this episode.Other resources: Want to leave a review? Click here, and if we earned a five-star review from you **high five and knuckle bumps**, we appreciate it greatly, thank you so much!

In this episode, Ramjee Chandran explores the pivotal events of 1510 and Krishnadevaraya's strategic decision not to oppose the rising Portuguese power. The episode details the Portuguese takeover of Goa from the Bijapur sultanate and the roles played by Alfonso de Albuquerque and minister Timmarasu. By examining the political landscape of the time, the episode delves into the central question of whether Krishnadevaraya's choice to trade with the Portuguese was a pragmatic masterstroke or a miscalculation with lasting consequences for the subcontinent. It highlights the disunity of the Deccan sultanates, their naval weakness, and the new era of warfare ushered in by the Portuguese. We gratefully acknowledge the support of the Prestige Group, that makes this podcast possible. Follow The History Of Bangalore on social, here: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/historyofbangalore/ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HistoryOfBangalore Twitter: https://twitter.com/HistoryOfBLR YouTube: https://youtube.com/@HistoryOfBangalore?si=mnH3BsYfI4BUU234 iHeartRadio: https://www.iheart.com/podcast/1323-the-history-of-bangalore-163453722/ Follow Ramjee Chandran on Instagram and Twitter: @ramjeechandran The theme music for the show was composed by German-Indian Koln based percussionist, Ramesh Shotham. Ramjee Chandran's photos by Asha Thadani. RESEARCH AND SOURCES: All our episodes are based on published research and archive records. To request information about our sources, write to hob@explocity.com. Let us know if you are a researcher (either institutional or independent) and also provide some information about why you need this information. Researchers will get priority. We only have time to engage serious, academic queries so please understand if we do not respond to casual requests.

Big O talks Mike McDaniel 080125

Send me a messageWhy did Britain end up fighting Russia in the Crimean War, 1854-56?Chris Green, is the History Chap; telling forgotten stories from British history.Become A PatronMake A DonationFAMILY HISTORY DRAMA : Unbelievable True StoriesWhether it's great lives or great tragedies, or just showing up for the adventure,...Listen on: Apple Podcasts SpotifySupport the show

The essay “The Great Unresolved Miscalculation That Condemns Many”, explores the theological tension between human worth, divine justice, and salvation, contrasting two views: humans have innate worth as God's image-bearers but face hell due to unrepentant sin, or humans must earn value through good works. Scripture, particularly Genesis 1:26-27 and Psalm 8, affirms intrinsic human worth rooted in the imago Dei, while passages like Ephesians 2:8-9 and Romans 3:28 emphasize salvation by grace through faith, not works. Hell reflects God's justice for rejecting grace, not a denial of worth. The essay critiques the works-based view as undermining grace, arguing that faith, not works, enables salvation, with works as evidence of faith.The essay further clarifies that salvation occurs not in the "terrestrial" (fleshly) state but in the spiritual state within the church. Faith, coupled with works within the church, binds believers to God's grace, transforming them into a new spiritual identity. The miscalculation lies in believing salvation happens in the flesh rather than through participation in the church, where faith and works together manifest the spiritual reality of salvation as and in the church.Without a true Biblical church being a reflection of faith to be saved in and through, salvation is made problematical.

In this week's Security Sprint, Dave and Andy covered the following topics:Warm Open:• WaterISAC to host tabletop exercise to strengthen utility resilience• Maryland Man Charged With Mailing Threatening Communications to Jewish Organizations, Including a Jewish Institution in PhiladelphiaMain Topics:• DHS NTAS Bulletin, 22 June 2025. Summary of the Threat to the United States. o National Terrorism Advisory System Bulletin - Issued June 22, 2025 (PDF)o DHS Issues National Terrorism Advisory System Bulletin Amid Israel-Iran Conflicto US Department of State: Worldwide Caution• Top AI models will lie, cheat and steal to reach goals, Anthropic finds. Large language models across the AI industry are increasingly willing to evade safeguards, resort to deception and even attempt to steal corporate secrets in fictional test scenarios, per new research from Anthropic… Read: Anthropic: Agentic Misalignment: How LLMs could be insider threats• A potent heat dome is building over the US, sending temperatures into the triple digitsQuick Hits:• Scattered Spider Tactics Observed Amid Shift to US Targets• Scattered Spider has moved from retail to insurance• Retail Council Of Canada Member Notice: Cybersecurity Threat Actor Scattered Spider Attacks Retail Sector• Hackers Weaponize Legitimate 'Netbird' Tool in Phishing Campaign Targeting CFOs• Telecom giant Viasat breached by China's Salt Typhoon hackers• Cyber threat bulletin: People's Republic of China cyber threat activity: PRC cyber actors target telecommunications companies as part of a global cyberespionage campaign • Defending the Internet: how Cloudflare blocked a monumental 7.3 Tbps DDoS attack• 13 improvised explosive devices found at home of man arrested near Pennsylvania "No Kings" protest, DA says. “Without that one report from the vigilant person at the "No Kings" rally who noticed something suspicious about Krebs' behavior and reported to police, this threat and the disturbing stockpile of explosives may have gone undetected.”• Minnesota Shootings: After Two-Day Manhunt, Suspect Charged with Shooting Two Minnesota Lawmakers and Their Spouseso Vance Boelter went to other lawmakers' homes the night he killed Rep. Hortman, wounded Sen. Hoffman, FBI sayso Minnesota Shooting Suspect Allegedly Used Data Broker Sites to Find Targets' Addresseso When the Minnesota shooting suspect's life took a strange turno Minnesota shooting suspect Vance Luther Boelter is former pastor, Tim Walz appointeeo Inside the 40 hours of violence and fear as gunman stalks Minnesota politicianso Suspected Dem Killer Sent Cryptic Text to Family After Shootings• Booking photo released of former Coast Guard officer arrested over Trump assassination threats• Miscalculation by Spanish power grid operator REE led to massive blackout, report finds

Lee Camp digs into the extreme miscalculation Israel is making with Iran, what might happen next, the shocking assassination of a US politician and much more!Unredacted Tonight has joined the first ever worker-owned anti-capitalist streaming platform - MeansTV! Support my show AND get tons of awesome content by going to Means dot tv and using promo code "LEE" you'll get 20% off and a free trial week. My comedy news show Unredacted Tonight airs every Thursday at 7pm ET/ 4pm PT. My livestreams are on Mon and Fri at 3pm ET/ Noon PT and Wednesday at 8pm ET/ 5pm PT. I am one of the most censored comedians in America. Thanks for the support!

Lee Camp digs into the extreme miscalculation Israel is making with Iran, what might happen next, the shocking assassination of a US politician and much more!Unredacted Tonight has joined the first ever worker-owned anti-capitalist streaming platform - MeansTV! Support my show AND get tons of awesome content by going to Means dot tv and using promo code "LEE" you'll get 20% off and a free trial week. My comedy news show Unredacted Tonight airs every Thursday at 7pm ET/ 4pm PT. My livestreams are on Mon and Fri at 3pm ET/ Noon PT and Wednesday at 8pm ET/ 5pm PT. I am one of the most censored comedians in America. Thanks for the support!

Steve and TP discuss the implications of the recent air battle between India and Pakistan, which involved over 100 fighter jets and took place entirely beyond visual range (BVR). What is sensor fusion, and have the Pakistanis achieved it with Chinese technology? Does the PL-15 outrange and outperform Western air-to-air missiles? What are the implications for US-China military competition?Read TP Huang on X:  https://x.com/tphuang (00:00) - GODZILLA IS DOWN! India-Pakistan Clash and Chinese Military Technology with TP Huang — #87 (00:32) - Introduction to the India-Pakistan Conflict (02:15) - Details of the Air Battle (04:40) - Expert Analysis by TP Huang (08:34) - Analysis of Air Battle Tactics and Technology (12:40) - Role of Chinese Technology (16:13) - Implications for Future Warfare (25:23) - Indian and Pakistani Military Strategies (34:34) - Unexpected Aggression: India's Miscalculation (36:52) - Pakistan's Strategic Restraint (39:19) - The Rafale Controversy: A Deep Dive (43:08) - Electronic Warfare: Myths vs. Reality (52:31) - Future of Indian Air Force: Tough Choices Ahead Music used with permission from Blade Runner Blues Livestream improvisation by State Azure.–Steve Hsu is Professor of Theoretical Physics and of Computational Mathematics, Science, and Engineering at Michigan State University. Previously, he was Senior Vice President for Research and Innovation at MSU and Director of the Institute of Theoretical Science at the University of Oregon. Hsu is a startup founder (SuperFocus.ai, SafeWeb, Genomic Prediction, Othram) and advisor to venture capital and other investment firms. He was educated at Caltech and Berkeley, was a Harvard Junior Fellow, and has held faculty positions at Yale, the University of Oregon, and MSU. Please send any questions or suggestions to manifold1podcast@gmail.com or Steve on X @hsu_steve.

Rachel Maddow looks at fresh examples of communities across the United States rallying in defense of local immigrants being hunted by ICE agents, and notes that while Trump was open during the campaign about his policy of cruelty to immigrants, his expectation that Americans would support him in that cruelty was clearly misplaced.

052925 Scott Adams Show, Putin Miscalculation, Chinese Student VISAS, Harvard Pay to Play Enrollment

The United States and China reached a 90-day truce in the trade war when their representatives met in Geneva in early May. Both sides agreed to temporarily roll back tariffs and non-tariff trade barriers. President Trump announced that a “total reset” in US-China relations had been achieved. Beyond the hyperbole, the two sides agreed to establish a mechanism on economics and trade and launch negotiations to address trade imbalances and other problems. Whether a deal is reached, what it might look like, and what it might include, remains to be seen. The future trajectory of US-China relations, overall, is still unclear.This episode highlights a Chinese perspective on the US-China bilateral relationship, including on the recent trade talks and the factors that will influence US-China relations going forward. Sun Chenghao, a fellow and head of the U.S.-Europe program at Tsinghua University's Center for International Security and Strategy (CISS), and council member of the Chinese Association of American Studies joins host Bonnie Glaser for this episode.  Timestamps[00:00] Start[01:39] What does Trump want from China? [04:29] What view does Dr. Sun hold?[05:00] Assessing the US-China Geneva Talks[09:21] Feasibility of a Broad US-China Trade Deal[13:23] Implications of Trump's “Unification” Comment[16:46] Importance of the Strategic Channel[20:47] Declining America, Rising China[23:27] Shift in US Policy Toward Alliances[27:49] The Future of US-China Relations

President Donald Trump is an expert strategist, a national treasure and a true American patriot. But he's still only human, and therefore, prone to political missteps and mistakes. And on his recent Middle East trip, he's cut deals that might very well prove to be costly for America down the line. It's like when Republicans thought they could turn China into a more modern, capitalistic and free society by opening the nation's doors to economic opportunity. Beware entangling overseas alliances, George Washington warned. Hedieh Mirahmadi Falco, a Muslim-turned-Christian and a U.S. national security expert, tells where Trump may have fallen a bit short on his Mideast dealings.

Join hosts Matt Ziegler and Jack Forehand as they interview Jared Dillian (@DailyDirtNap on Twitter) for a fascinating discussion on current market conditions, macroeconomic trends, and controversial investment perspectives. Jared shares his unique takes on everything from tariffs to portfolio construction, offering insights that often challenge conventional wisdom.Topics Covered:Jared's contrarian view that tariffs are deflationary rather than inflationaryThe potential long-term decline of the dollar despite possible short-term strengthHow financial wars have replaced hot and cold wars in global politicsThe future of US debt and potential parallels to past debt crisesJared's "Awesome Portfolio" strategy: 20% stocks, 20% bonds, 20% cash, 20% gold, 20% real estateWhy international stocks may continue to outperform US equitiesPossible recession indicators and economic headwindsFed policy predictions and why rates might not be cut as expectedThe value of sentiment indicators and Twitter as a market research toolWhy free trade benefits economies and the risks of protectionist policies

Today on the Jay Martin Show, Jay is joined by Cyrus Janssen. The pair discuss the deeper implications of the ongoing U.S. trade war, the misunderstood realities behind China's manufacturing dominance, and the global shift in alliances as America's trust deficit grows. For more content from host Jay Martin, please visit The Commodity University at: https://2ly.link/211gp Sign up for my free weekly newsletter at https://2ly.link/211gx Be part of our online investment community: https://cambridgehouse.com https://twitter.com/JayMartinBC https://www.instagram.com/jaymartinbc https://www.facebook.com/TheJayMartinShow https://www.linkedin.com/company/cambridge-house-international 0:00 - What's Driving Trump's Trade War? 4:17 - Is China's Manufacturing Strength Misunderstood? 7:26 - How Work Ethic Shapes an Empire's Rise 12:06 - Is the U.S. Trade War a Miscalculation? 19:23 - Tariffs and the Erosion of Trust 25:18 - How the World is Turning Away from America 40:13 - Will Countries Choose the U.S. or China? 45:19 - Is the Belt and Road Initiative Economic Lifeline or Trap? 50:19 - China's Growing Influence Across Africa and Beyond Copyright © 2025 Cambridge House International Inc. All rights reserved.

Tommy talks with Greg Upton, Director of LSU's Center for Energy Studies, about how President Trump's tariffs were calculated.

* What could the impact of the tariffs be on supply chains? How could they affect grocery prices? We'll try to sort it out * Is there a miscalculation at the heart of the tariff formula?

The Miscalculation of Hypocrisy - Luke 12:1-7

AI: MUTUAL ASSURED AI MISCALCULATION.(MAIM) BRANDON WEICKERT, NATIONAL INTEREST. https://techcrunch.com/2025/03/05/eric-schmidt-argues-against-a-manhattan-project-for-agi/?guccounter=1 1962

On this episode, Dan Richards talks with Tyler Jost, a political scientist and assistant professor at the Watson Institute. Tyler is an expert on international security and Chinese foreign policy, and his new book “Bureaucracies at War: The Institutional Origins of Miscalculation,” explores how leaders (in China and beyond) make decisions about when and how to engage in military conflict. Are there open channels of communication between a country's leaders and security advisors? Are there forums for debate and disagreement? And what can be done to actually help leaders make better decisions?In one sense, the questions the book explores are timeless. But Jost's book feels especially timely at this moment, as tensions continue to rise between the U.S. and China, and the world adjusts once again to an American president unmoored by traditional norms and institutions.The stakes of military conflict today have never been higher, and the need for clear, accurate analysis of the costs and benefits of military actions is more important than ever. And as Jost explains in this episode: there are lessons from history for how to help leaders make better decisions when it comes to national security. Let's just hope those in power are willing to learn them. Learn more about and purchase “Bureaucracies at War: The Institutional Origins of Miscalculation" Transcript coming soon to our websiteQuestions? Send us an email at trendingglobally@brown.edu

Today's Sports Daily covers more from the Luka trade to the Lakers, the response in Dallas, why so many people are upset, the crazy rumors making the rounds, how management miscalculated the response, and much, much more. Music written by Bill Conti & Allee Willis (Casablanca Records/Universal Music Group)Ads:BetOnline - Enter Promo Code: BLEAV for your welcome bonus on your first deposit!

#MOON: Intuitive Machine miscalculation. Bob Zimmerman BehindtheBlack.com 1940 Robert Goddard in Roswell NM

a lot of talk of post-election blues, but not here folks; much to discuss & much to do as the gang returns to discuss Kamala Harris's disastrous campaign for President and where we go from here.https://palestineaction.org/outro: love me, i'm a liberal by Phil Ochs This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.marxismandmedicine.com

MeidasTouch host Brett Meiselas reports on Donald Trump making a bizarre claim about himself in the closing days of the election that has already backfired. Go to https://hiyahealth.com/MEIDAS and get your kids the full-body nourishment they need to grow into healthy adults. Visit https://meidastouch.com for more! Join the MeidasTouch Patreon: https://Patreon.com/meidastouch Remember to subscribe to ALL the MeidasTouch Network Podcasts: MeidasTouch: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/meidastouch-podcast Legal AF: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/legal-af MissTrial: https://meidasnews.com/tag/miss-trial The PoliticsGirl Podcast: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-politicsgirl-podcast The Influence Continuum: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-influence-continuum-with-dr-steven-hassan Mea Culpa with Michael Cohen: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/mea-culpa-with-michael-cohen The Weekend Show: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-weekend-show Burn the Boats: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/burn-the-boats Majority 54: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/majority-54 Political Beatdown: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/political-beatdown Lights On with Jessica Denson: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/lights-on-with-jessica-denson On Democracy with FP Wellman: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/on-democracy-with-fpwellman Uncovered: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/maga-uncovered Coalition of the Sane: https://meidasnews.com/tag/coalition-of-the-sane Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

You're not going to believe this one folks! Toppie is under the impression that his ship has sailed in...  and it's a really stupid story of just how stupid Toppie is.  But... it's true.  And Toppie is stupid.  Real stupid.  Enjoy!!! Write to Toppie at Smellcast@aol.com. Leave a comment on Toppie's blog!  Follow him on X. Friend Toppie on Facebook by emailing him YOUR FB name and link, then Toppie will find YOU and friend you!   

Today's sermon is Colossal Miscalculation by Rich Chaffin Find more teaching from Pastor Rich at www.cclc.org

Today's Phone Tap victim recently made a donation to her child's elementary school but thanks to a little math error, she's on the hook for 5 figures!!See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Today's Phone Tap victim recently made a donation to her child's elementary school but thanks to a little math error, she's on the hook for 5 figures!!See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

"Billions of people are tuning in for the Olympic opening ceremonies.  We should make a very divisive political statement!" This seems to be the logic.   Meanwhile, adherents to the world's fastest growing religion have a variety of opinions on the matter.  

Another Bridgeport city council member was referred to Connecticut prosecutors in connection to an absentee ballot scandal. Sunrise Wind construction is underway. New York officials say the state lags in its energy goals. Connecticut farms look for more sustainable solutions. And you know what they say -- one man's trash is another man's art!

The troupe are on their way to the hills to watch the final battle! While resting so New Rogue could meditate and recharge his magic, Tyler and Del had a long-overdue chat about how they were holding up in their terrifying new reality. Meanwhile, Shadow Nemesis grew tired of being alone in the ghost realm. In an effort to convince the group to let him stay out with them more often, he explored the area, found an ancient church, and was sent back to the ghost realm after being struck by a mysterious and seemingly soulless creature. Will Shadow Nemesis be able to warn his unsuspecting companions before this new threat finds them? Featuring players Tyler Hewitt, Del Borovic, Guy Bradford, and Adam McNamara, and Dungeon Master Ryan LaPlante. Jesters of Ravenloft streams live every Wednesday at 8:30pm ET on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/dumbdumbdice) Enjoying Jesters of Ravenloft? - Consider becoming a Patron of Dumb-Dumbs & Dice for as little as $1 a month and gain access to a ton of extra BTS fun (https://www.patreon.com/dumbdumbdice) - Buy merch on our website (https://dumbdumbdice.com/) - Watch us on YouTube (https://youtube.com/@dumbdumbdice) - Follow us on Instagram (https://instagram.com/dumbdumbdice) - Follow us on Facebook (https://facebook.com/dumbdumbdice) Can't remember a discount code you wanted to use from one of our ads? Find it at https://fableandfolly.com/partners/ Artwork by the brilliant Del Borovic - Website & Portfolio (https://delborovic.com/) - Twitter (https://twitter.com/deltastic) Theme song by Sound Gallery by Dmitry Taras - YouTube (https://www.youtube.com/@soundgallerybydmitrytaras) - Pixabay (https://pixabay.com/music/fantasy-dreamy-childrens-dark-mysterious-halloween-night-scary-creepy-spooky-horror-music-116551/) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This is a catch-up version of James O'Brien's live, daily show on LBC Radio. To join the conversation call: 0345 60 60 973

Hour 3: The Morning Team continues their Eagles discussion as they're joined by Ross Tucker who gives insight on the Birds as well as the Haason Reddick situation up in New York.

Episode 3654: Miscalculation From Biden Weakens The Dollar

The San Francisco Giants and J.D. Davis' agent, Matt Hannaford, are engaged in a war of words after Davis was released by the Giants on Monday, leaving Davis with just a fraction of his non-guaranteed $6.9 million salary. Did the Giants do something wrong, or did Davis' agent overplay his hand?All of the details and public comments are discussed and analyzed. In essence, both parties claim that the SF Giants came in with an offer that was, according to Hannaford, "several hundred thousand" below the SF Giants' $6.55M filing number within an hour of the deadline to exchange figures. Giants president of baseball operations responded very specifically, saying that the Giants' offer was for just under $6.4M. Regardless, the key point is that had Davis' representation accepted the Giants' offer, that money would be guaranteed. If they passed on the offer and the deadline to exchange figures arrived, which it ultimately did, then Davis would go to an arbitration hearing fighting for non-guaranteed money.Any way you look at this, it seems like Davis' agent did a poor job helping his client. The SF Giants were linked to Matt Chapman all offseason. Davis himself commented publicly on the possibility of the Giants signing Chapman before it happened. So there's absolutely no reason Davis should've let this go to an arbitration hearing, knowing that the money would not be guaranteed if it did—whether they won or lost the hearing.What ended up transpiring was that the Giants did indeed sign Chapman, clearly making Davis the odd man out. Davis' agent should've known that would be the case—it was immediately discussed on Locked On Giants once the Chapman deal was reported. The SF Giants looked for a trade partner for Davis, were unable to find one, and put him on outright waivers. Any team could've claimed Davis and his $6.9M (non-guaranteed through Opening Day) salary, and every team passed. At that point, the Giants were left with no choice but to release Davis, leaving him with just 30 days pay, or just over $1.1M. All in all, this looks like a major blunder by Davis' representation and not really something that the Giants did wrong. It stinks for J.D. Davis nonetheless and hopefully he lands on his feet. Davis ultimately made north of $6M in his 1 1/3 seasons with the Giants.Find and follow Locked On Giants on your favorite podcast platforms:

Trump and Republicans make an epic misstep on the issue of immigration. Brian interviews FOX LA's Elex Michaelson about Republicans refusing to take "yes" for an answer on the border, whether Americans are starting to feel the effects of a strong economy, and what the right's meltdown over Taylor Swift is saying.Donate to the "Don't Be A Mitch" fund: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/dontbeamitchShop merch: https://briantylercohen.com/shopYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/user/briantylercohenTwitter: https://twitter.com/briantylercohenFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/briantylercohenInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/briantylercohenPatreon: https://www.patreon.com/briantylercohenNewsletter: https://www.briantylercohen.com/sign-upWritten by Brian Tyler CohenProduced by Sam GraberRecorded in Los Angeles, CASee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Today's Phone Tap victim recently made a donation to her child's elementary school but thanks to a little math error, she's on the hook for 5 figures!!See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Today's Phone Tap victim recently made a donation to her child's elementary school but thanks to a little math error, she's on the hook for 5 figures!!See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Democrat Senate staffer embroiled in gay sex tape scandal. Migrants overwhelming New York City hospitals. Distressing but important data about young people thinking about Palestinian grievance. A reporter asks Biden why he's losing to Trump, motorcade gets hit into by a car in great metaphor for his presidency. Maybe Democrats haven't turned on the machine yet? Antifa. Caller thinks Democrats will swap out Biden for Michelle Obama.Follow Clay & Buck on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/clayandbuckSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Democrat Senate staffer embroiled in gay sex tape scandal. Migrants overwhelming New York City hospitals. Distressing but important data about young people thinking about Palestinian grievance. A reporter asks Biden why he's losing to Trump, motorcade gets hit into by a car in great metaphor for his presidency. Maybe Democrats haven't turned on the machine yet? Antifa. Caller thinks Democrats will swap out Biden for Michelle Obama.Follow Clay & Buck on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/clayandbuckSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this episode, Dinesh asks the question of whether the best governor in America made the worst political decision of his career.  Dinesh critically examines a proposed hate speech law in Ireland that is a troubling indicator of a global police state. Attorney and author John Cox joins Dinesh to discuss how Governor Newsom converted California into “Cali-zuela.”See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.