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Now it's Jamie Dimon's turn, JP Morgan's highly visible CEO is the latest to make the 2008 comparison. Following up last year's cockroach quip this time saying a lot of people in the financial industry have done dumb things. But here's the thing, markets all over the world are starting to price it. The worry showing up in safe havens is maybe this really is happening - right now. From Canadian bonds to Swiss francs, Japan, China and yes Treasuries. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University's Free Guide (video) to interpreting market signals. Taken from the EDU membership, it will help you learn fundamentals necessary to deciphering and decoding market information in a useful manner, unlike everything you get from mainstream sources. https://web.eurodollar-university.com/home------------------------------------------------------Jamie Dimon says AI euphoria, record stocks and banks doing ‘dumb things' could lead to another financial crisishttps://www.cnn.com/2026/02/24/economy/jamie-dimon-warningThe Viral Citrini Substack Post That Has Sparked New AI Worries on Wall Streethttps://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp-500-nasdaq-tariffs-02-23-2026/card/the-citrini-substack-selloff-70cWx0scioiLradyuTRaYen Slides After Report on Takaichi Caution Over Rate Hikeshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-24/yen-extends-decline-after-report-on-takaichi-s-rate-hike-viewhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
In the wake of Blue Owl's shocking announcement last week basically trapping retail investors in a private credit fund they don't want to be in, signs of fallout from it are trickling in. To begin with, private continues to sell off, Blue Owl especially. But it's not just private credit, we're seeing stress in other corners of the risky credit markets, too, which has a number of prominent analysts and observers wondering if maybe we are seeing too many signs that look too much like 2007. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
This week, Bob walks through Javier Milei's 2026 address to the World Economic Forum, explaining the Austrian and neoclassical ideas behind Milei's defense of capitalism—from Rothbard and Kirzner to Pareto efficiency and the welfare theorems.Related:Bob's Breakdown of The Intra-Austrian Debate over Milei: Mises.org/HAP539aThe Mises Institute is giving away 100,000 copies of Hayek for the 21st Century. Get your free copy at Mises.org/HAPodFree
This week, Bob walks through Javier Milei's 2026 address to the World Economic Forum, explaining the Austrian and neoclassical ideas behind Milei's defense of capitalism—from Rothbard and Kirzner to Pareto efficiency and the welfare theorems.Related:Bob's Breakdown of The Intra-Austrian Debate over Milei: Mises.org/HAP539aThe Mises Institute is giving away 100,000 copies of Hayek for the 21st Century. Get your free copy at Mises.org/HAPodFree
Walmart has been one of the few to benefit from the difficult economy the past few years. It's gotten to the point where even high income earners have become regular Walmart shoppers. But here's the thing, this week when forecasting earnings for the year ahead, now even Walmart is a bit concerned over the possible further negative consequences of what it's CFO called a “hiring recession.”Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre--------------------------------------------------------------------------This is the kinds of material we've been covering - at length and in depth - at Eurodollar University in our Deep Dive Analysis and memberships. It's the background, the core concepts, the unique insight that allows us to not just stay on top of everything, but actually understanding what's going on and why to then anticipate roughly where the markets, the economy, the entire world is heading. EDU's Memberships and Subscriptions. Go from getting blindsided by the markets to reading the eurodollar signals weeks before they hit. Try it all risk-free for 14 days.https://web.eurodollar-university.com/eurodollar-vsl-page-a--------------------------------------------------------------------------Walmart Cites Worrying Economic Indicators in Cautious Forecasthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-19/walmart-cites-worrying-economic-indicators-in-cautious-forecastFood Companies Sink as Executives Warn of Consumer Stresshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-17/general-mills-warns-of-slumping-sales-on-weak-consumer-sentimenthttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
While Blue Owl's blowup exploded the private credit mess back into the mainstream with yesterday's first confirmation of Stage 2, there had been some building pressures in the monetary system leading up to it. Including a seemingly out of nowhere surge in borrowing from the Fed's repo facility on Tuesday, a whopping $30 billion spike. And that's not even the biggest part of this. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Professor Steve Hanke argues the only way to restore stability is to abolish central banks and end discretionary monetary policy. Drawing on decades of crisis intervention, Hanke explains how currency boards stopped hyperinflation that reached 242% per month in Bulgaria, why Argentina collapsed after failing to eliminate central bank discretion, and why politicians will never impose fiscal discipline as long as they can finance deficits through money creation. He says interventionism is now bipartisan across the West, sanctions have become economic weapons of war, and unstable currencies are eroding productivity and long-term prosperity. Hanke also outlines why more countries could move toward dollarization in the next crisis and why gold remains in a secular bull market with potential toward $7,000 per ounce, and much more. _ Sign up for my free weekly newsletter. _ WHERE TO FIND BEN MUMME
Credit Crisis Stage 2 has been observed. Stage 1 is when money flows out of a bubble but is roughly still balanced meaning some uncomfortable fund managers but no big consequences like forced selling. Stage 2 is when that balance unbalances leading to bigger problems like forced selling. Today, we got confirmation of forced selling for the first time...and a LOT more. --------------------------------------------------------------------------This is the kinds of material we've been covering - at length and in depth - at Eurodollar University in our Deep Dive Analysis and memberships. It's the background, the core concepts, the unique insight that allows us to not just stay on top of everything, but actually understanding what's going on and why to then anticipate roughly where the markets, the economy, the entire world is heading. EDU's Memberships and Subscriptions. Go from getting blindsided by the markets to reading the eurodollar signals weeks before they hit. Try it all risk-free for 14 days.https://web.eurodollar-university.com/eurodollar-vsl-page-a--------------------------------------------------------------------------Blue Owl Halts Redemptions on Private Credit Retail Fundhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-18/blue-owl-loan-sale-raises-1-4-billion-for-investor-payoutsBlue Owl permanently halts redemptions at private credit fund aimed at retail investorshttps://www.ft.com/content/b2f299f6-2a82-4a43-bcbf-86cac3937550Blue Owl BDC Allows 17% Redemptions as Investors Storm Exithttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-07/blue-owl-bdc-allows-for-17-redemptions-as-investors-storm-exit
Italian economist Bernardo Ferrero joins Ryan McMaken to discuss the state of European politics over taxes, spending, inflation, and fiscal and monetary policy. Do Europeans claim to care about deficits and debt like Americans? Ferrero is a PhD candidate in economics at Universidad Rey Juan Carlos in Spain. He is also the co-author of The Pandemic and Central Planning (Pandemia e dirigismo) available, in Italian, at Amazon. Be sure to follow Radio Rothbard at https://Mises.org/RadioRothbardRadio Rothbard mugs are available at the Mises Store. Get yours at https://Mises.org/RothMug PROMO CODE: RothPod for 20% off
“We are in a global bubble, and the scale of criminality has no limit because the criminals run the entire system,” warns David Webb, author of The Great Taking. In this urgent return to the Daniela Cambone show, Webb reveals that despite two years of effort, the fight to fix UCC Article 8 is stalling, not because the truth is refutable, but because the financial services industry is too fearful to step forward. While the headlines focus on market volatility, Webb pulls back the curtain on the machinery of control, explaining that the global bubble was inflated to collapse on purpose. Watch the video to hear Webb expose how the 'banking cabal' engineered the global bubble to trigger a controlled collapse.✅ FREE RESOURCESDownload The Private Wealth Playbook — a data-backed guide to strategically acquiring gold and silver for maximum protection, privacy, and performance. Plus, get Daniela Cambone's Top 10 Lessons to safeguard your wealth (FREE)
Italian economist Bernardo Ferrero joins Ryan McMaken to discuss the state of European politics over taxes, spending, inflation, and fiscal and monetary policy. Do Europeans claim to care about deficits and debt like Americans? Ferrero is a PhD candidate in economics at Universidad Rey Juan Carlos in Spain. He is also the co-author of The Pandemic and Central Planning (Pandemia e dirigismo) available in Italian at Amazon. Be sure to follow Radio Rothbard at https://Mises.org/RadioRothbardRadio Rothbard mugs are available at the Mises Store. Get yours at https://Mises.org/RothMug PROMO CODE: RothPod for 20% off
Stock market volatility has been moving higher since Christmas Eve as this undercurrent of anxiety refuses to go away. Some of it is AI related, sure, but deep down there is this nagging feeling the economy isn't turning the corner like they all said it would. So where do you go to find clues whether or not that has been the case. A perfect place to start is global bellwether Switzerland – which just confirmed it is in recession. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis--------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU's Memberships and Subscriptions. Go from getting blindsided by the markets to reading the eurodollar signals weeks before they hit. Try it all risk-free for 14 days.https://web.eurodollar-university.com/eurodollar-vsl-page-a--------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
After another month of even more deeply troubling banking data from China, S&P is wondering if the Chinese may be facing their Japanification moment as a key central bank rate just moved to a record low. Now, I don't think they're facing it; China is clearly there and the latest data confirms as much. The time scale is different, but when you're talking about the biggest banks in the world – and the top four are all Chinese – you have to pay attention. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Members of ICMA Future Leaders — Odinaka Linus-Nwokonkwo, CFA, Lead SSA Market Trader, Access Bank, Chukwuebuka Ikem, CFA, Rates Trader, Citi, and Enock Asare, Head, Fixed Income, Consolidated Bank Ghana Ltd. recently hosted an ICMA podcast on “The Future of Finance in Africa and Its Impact on African Youth.” They were joined by distinguished senior colleagues Dr. Okey Umeano, CFA, Deputy Director, Financial Markets Department, Central Bank of Nigeria and Abena Amoah, Managing Director, Ghana Stock Exchange. Listen to the conversation to gain insights on the opportunities and challenges shaping finance across Africa.
It had been eight years since Michael was last in New Zealand - the country where he grew up before moving to Ireland in 2011. When he left, New Zealand felt significantly more expensive than Ireland. So when he returned for a three-week family trip, he decided to do what any personal finance nerd would do… he kept a money diary. This episode breaks down his experiences with spending in New Zealand and whether his long-held assumptions about the cost of living in both countries still hold true. Show Notes: Join the newsletter: https://www.firepodcast.ie/newsletter This episode has been sponsored by KennCo Insurance. KennCo Underwriting Ltd T/A KennCo Insurance is regulated by The Central Bank of Ireland.
Veronique de Rugy of the Mercatus Center discusses Kevin Warsh's potential Fed chairmanship, highlighting his focus on price stability and a proposed accord to reduce Treasury pressure on the central bank.1903
Existing home sales utterly crashed in January. Yes, January is not a great month for real estate shopping and there was obviously less than ideal weather, however those don't explain the 8.4% plunge in transactions. Analysts who were already factoring those other excuses only thought there would be a modest impact from them, not the biggest monthly drop in housing in four years. So much for that supposedly strong payroll report. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------NAR Existing-Home Sales Report Shows 8.4% Decrease in Januaryhttps://www.nar.realtor/newsroom/nar-existing-home-sales-report-shows-8-4-decrease-in-januaryHousehold Debt and Credit Reporthttps://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/hhdc.htmlWhere Are Mortgage Delinquencies Rising the Most?https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2026/02/where-are-mortgage-delinquencies-rising-the-most/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
New statistics from The Central Bank show fathers with young children are working less hours than they were in 2019, opting to instead to stay home with their children where possible. Joining Shane was Off the Balls, Adrian Barry and Jen Hogan features journalist and host of the Conversations with Parents podcast
From the lows of December retail sales to the highs of January payrolls, recent US data has sent mixed signals. But the economy remains in relatively good shape, argues Deputy Chief North America Economist Stephen Brown on the latest episode of the Capital Economics Weekly Briefing. He explores why the idea of a “K-shaped” economy may be overstated, what markets are missing about the productivity growth upturn, and the chances of much lower rates from a Kevin Warsh-led Fed. Also on the show, as Keir Starmer's government reels from one of its toughest weeks yet, Deputy Chief UK Economist Ruth Gregory assesses what a change of leadership could mean for the UK economy and financial markets, but also why the long-term growth outlook may not be as bleak as recent headlines suggest.AI already making a big contribution to US productivity growthWhy we still believe in the AI rally, and the S&P 500Would a stock market crash cause a global recession?Can China's trade surplus rise further?
We really, really messed up the jobs data the past few years, we got it almost completely wrong, but trust us, we're good now. That's what the BLS is saying today about its estimates for jobs and employment and right now no one is buying it. Why should they? The agency screwed up so badly it now admits there were 1.03 million fewer payrolls as of December than it previously thought. One million fewer payrolls. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis--------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU's Memberships and Subscriptions. Go from getting blindsided by the markets to reading the eurodollar signals weeks before they hit. Try it all risk-free for 14 days.https://web.eurodollar-university.com/eurodollar-vsl-page-a--------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
The Russian economy has been under intense pressure from sanctions, the demands of war, and structural challenges. Still, it isn't collapsing, despite predictions and wishful thinking on the part of the West. How healthy is the Russian economy, and how much strain can it handle in 2026?
Are you working less hours per week since the pandemic? Average hours worked in Ireland fell by 6.5% between 2019 and 2024, according to a new labour market report from the Central Bank. This decline was due to fathers of young children taking more time off, however, mothers of older children increased their average working hours.Peter Cosgrove, managing director of Futurewise, and Jennifer Keane, founder of paygap.ie, join The Last Word to discuss how household labour patterns are shifting and whether people are actually working less.Catch the full chat by pressing the 'Play' button on this page!
The UK's Prime Minister is hanging on for his career after a series of missteps has his own labor party almost in revolt. The current crisis was triggered by an ill-advised appointment of an ambassador to the US who is caught up in the Jeffrey Epstein mess. But that's not really the issue. Once again, a government that came to power not even two years ago finds voters who can't wait to throw it out of office.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Starmer banks on economic growth to 'rebuild Britain'https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/clll8d2vd8yoWhy UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak called an election he's expected to losehttps://www.cnn.com/2024/05/24/uk/prime-minister-rishi-sunak-election-intlUK Opinion Pollshttps://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/uk-opinion-pollsNew UK prime minister Rishi Sunak warns ‘difficult decisions to come'https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2022/oct/25/rishi-sunak-warns-difficult-decisions-to-come-as-he-assumes-officeUK General election 2024 Resultshttps://www.bbc.com/news/election/2024/uk/resultsHow unpopular is Britain's Labour government?https://www.economist.com/interactive/2025-british-politicsEurope's leaders are deeply unpopularhttps://www.axios.com/2026/02/10/europe-leadership-crisis-starmer-macron-merzhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Thanks to Monarch for partnering with me! Start your free trial and get 50% off your first year of total money clarity using my link https://monarchmoney.yt.link/mFP5VcW or code euro50.Authorities in China are advising Chinese banks they need to seriously consider changing up their bond market allocations right now. Citing concentration risk as well as the possibility for volatility, regulators are supposedly trying to prevent depositories from buying bonds. If this sounds familiar, it should since the PBOC did something similar in the summer of 2024. But in this case, the asset being targeted isn't local. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisChina Urges Banks to Curb Exposure to US Treasurieshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-09/china-urges-banks-to-limit-holdings-of-us-treasuries-citing-market-volatilityForeign Holdings of US Treasuries Climbed to Record in Novemberhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-15/foreign-holdings-of-us-treasuries-climbed-to-record-in-novemberDollar Global Transaction Use Jumps to New High, Swift Sayshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-22/dollar-global-transaction-usage-jumps-to-new-high-swift-saysPBOC Says No Longer in China's Interest to Increase Reserves (2013)https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2013-11-20/pboc-says-no-longer-in-china-s-favor-to-boost-record-reserveshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
The Epstein files revelations are sending shockwaves through Europe's elite while in the U.S. Ghislaine Maxwell pleads the fifth. ICE is cracking down on activists who follow them in their cars. The resignation of the French central bank governor gives President Emmanuel Macron an opportunity to fill a key position ahead of a possible electoral victory for right-wing National Rally party. Plus, officials investigate why the Winter Olympic medals keep breaking. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast here. Sign up for the Reuters Econ World newsletter here. Listen to the Reuters Econ World podcast here. Find the Recommended Read here. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
In today's episode of iGaming Daily, we launch a brand-new Road to Rio series, inviting guest speakers who will be taking to the stage at our upcoming SBC Summit Rio.In our first episode, SBC Media Manager Fernando Noodt is joined by SBC researcher Ana Maria Menezes and special guest Hugo Baungartner, Chief Business Officer at Grupo Esportes Gaming Brasil, who will be speaking on the panel The Tax Game: Who Plays, Pays, as the trio discuss whether Brazil's newly regulated market is ready for prediction markets and who should really be calling the shots.Tune in to today's episode to find out:Why Brazil's stock exchange (B3) is eyeing prediction markets as early as March or AprilWhether prediction markets belong under betting regulation or financial oversightHow recent court rulings could limit regulators from overstepping their authorityThe critical role of Pix, banks, and the Central Bank in enabling or blocking new verticalsWhy operators are taking a cautious “wait and see” approach before entering BrazilDon't forget to catch Hugo at:The Tax Game: Who Plays, PaysStage 1 – LeadershipLaunched at 12% GGR under Law 14.790/2023, Brazil's market is already testing the resilience of operators. With R$30 million licence fees, shifting SPA ordinances, and whispers of higher or even retroactive taxes, the pressure is mounting. In a landscape that changes by the week, clarity is power: know the rules, read the moves, and stay two steps ahead to weather the next regulatory shake-up.Get tickets now !!!Host: Fernando NoodtGuests: Ana Maria Menezes & Hugo BaungartnerProducer: Anaya McDonaldEditor: Anaya McDonaldLearn how Optimove's Positionless Marketing is changing how iGaming teams operate. Discover how operators are using Optimove's Positionless Marketing Platform to launch personalised CRM campaigns, dynamically change casino lobbies and bet slips, and create engaging gamified experiences. Learn more at optimove.com.To see how this approach comes to life, Optimove Connect returns to London on March 11 and 12, 2026. It is the only user conference where marketers from around the world share real-world results of Positionless Marketing driving efficiency and ROI. Register at connect.optimove.com.Finally, remember to check out Optimove at https://hubs.la/Q02gLC5L0 or go to Optimove.com/sbc to get your first month free when buying the industry's leading customer-loyalty service.
It was a trio of reports that turned an already shaky market into a disorderly mess. Private credit stocks were hit hard as were cryptocurrencies after ADP, Challenger and a delayed release from the BLS each overwhelmed expectations. Just more negative fuel to the selling fire as the riskiest financial markets were reeling from the economic implications. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre--------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU's Memberships and Subscriptions. Go from getting blindsided by the markets to reading the eurodollar signals weeks before they hit. Try it all risk-free for 14 days.https://web.eurodollar-university.com/eurodollar-vsl-page-a--------------------------------------------------------------------------Challenger Gray & Christmashttps://www.challengergray.com/blog/challenger-report-january-job-cuts-surge-lowest-january-hiring-on-record/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
European banks were asked what they thought about corporate credit opportunities in the coming year given that most officials, anyway, in Europe believe everything is picking up. As Christine Lagarde, head of the ECB, is so fond of saying, Europe, European interest rate policy, inflation, the economy, everything is in a good place. Except, the answer the banking sector sent back surprised everyone and is almost certainly going to play a role in market volatility like we've been seeing recently. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Widespread financial meltdown continued again today, slamming crypto, silver, and private credit particularly hard. After what appeared to be an early morning rally, it didn't last as a range of more-than-disappointing labor data came flooding to the tape. The narrative of a 2026 pick up is not being picked up anywhere other than mainstream Economists.Eurodollar University Money and Macro Analysis
Central bank independence has suddenly become a big issue where, for investors, it matters the most: on US interest rates. In this bonus edition, Fidelity Global Head of Macro Salman Ahmed breaks down the implications for the short and the long term. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Central bank independence has suddenly become a big issue where, for investors, it matters the most: on US interest rates. In this bonus edition, Fidelity Global Head of Macro Salman Ahmed breaks down the implications for the short and the long term. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Pepsi is slashing prices for some of its most popular brands, some by 15%. The company said it has spent the past year listening to consumer feedback. Nah. What happened is always what happens in this economy and why there is no breakout inflation. Companies that do raise prices end up sacrificing volumes because their customers can't afford to pay more. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University LIVE — February 2026, President's Day WeekendSmall group. Intimate setting. Direct access to experts you won't get anywhere else. Only a few VIP slots remain.Sign up here: https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page----------------------------------------------------------------PepsiCo to cut prices of Lay's, Doritos as consumers push backhttps://www.reuters.com/sustainability/sustainable-finance-reporting/pepsico-tops-quarterly-revenue-estimates-resilient-demand-sodas-2026-02-03/After Years of Increases, PepsiCo Pledges to Cut Prices on Snackshttps://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/03/business/pepsi-doritos-cheetos-prices.htmlhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
The European Central Bank is keeping interest rates where they're at. AP correspondent Karen Chammas reports.
Eric Yakes runs Epoch Ventures and is the author of The 7th Property: Bitcoin and the Monetary Revolution.› https://x.com/ericyakesPARTNERS
They thought they were reassuring debt markets over AI cash. Instead, the company kicked a hornet's nest, unleashing a MAJOR selloff that is sweeping through private credit. It isn't just the BDCs (publicly traded funds) this time, either. The asset managers themselves are now getting swept up in the money outflows. Eurodollar University Money & Macro Analysis
The selloff in precious metals, particularly silver, has extended into today's session. One reason why, one additional reason why, we're seeing reports of fraud emerge in heavy buyer China, including from a guy who's apparently called “the hat.” It's the kind of thing that usually comes up when big bubbles go up and then pop, so another sign that's what's happening here in the short run. Which raises another question, how far down might silver go in the near-term? Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------China gold "protests"https://www.youtube.com/shorts/HbICfItSfZAhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
A key corner of the credit market is experiencing sustained and even accelerated selling at the end of January 2026. What we're talking about is historically one of the most economically sensitive segments, a growing caution about the climate ahead. And it's not the only one. From cryptocurrencies to the inability of the AI bubble to get going, the cracks continue to widen rather than fade away like everyone said they were going to. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------If you're a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, plus deep discussions about what truly is the greatest threat we all face, join me and Brent, plus Hugh Hendry, George Gammon, Steve Van Metre, and Mike Green at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend, February 2026. Small groups, intimate discussions. To reserve your spot just go here https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Consumer prices are never going to go back to where they were before the pandemic. This simple reason is they can't. You think that since they went up, they can just go right back down. That's not unlikely, it is impossible and I'm going to show you why with a very simple example. Now the implications of this economic fact are profound. In fact, it explains everything about the economy we have right now, from the labor market and the lack of jobs to, yes, affordability. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
In this episode, we speak with Tyler Creighton about the ongoing struggle to save the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) from defunding and closure at the hands of Russell Vought in the second Trump Administration. Creighton is a lawyer at the CFPB and a member of the National Treasury Employees Union (NTEU), Chapter 335. Before joining the CFPB, Creighton clerked for the Massachusetts Appeals Court and, prior to that, he was an organizer for pro-democracy reforms at Common Cause and ReThink Media. We talk with Creighton about life at the CFPB under the leadership of Vought, central architect of the notorious Project 2025 document and avowed opponent of the agency he now directs. During our conversation, Creighton details how, in spite of Vought's attempts to defund and close the agency, the CFPB continues to survive. In Creighton's telling, the agency's endurance owes in no small part to the continuous labor actions undertaken by the NTEU and its members. In February 2025, for example, the union sued the Trump Administration, securing an injunction against Vought's efforts to close the agency. (Read the judge's extraordinary Memorandum Opinion here.) Then, in late December, a federal district court judge ruled that the Trump administration must continue to fund the CFPB through the Federal Reserve, contradicting Vought's absurd claim that the CFPB can no longer seek financing from the Fed because the nation's Central Bank is operating at a loss.Despite the NTEU's string of successes, the fate of the CFPB still remains to be determined. The good news, however, is that there are ways that you can support the bureau as it rounds into its second year of the second Trump Administration. Learn more about the fight to save the CFPB from the CFPB Union website. Follow and share news from the NTEU account on Bluesky. Join the union's public demonstrations, if you live near or find yourself visiting Washington D.C. You can also help fund the NTEU's activities by purchasing any number of cheeky items in their online merchandise shop. Visit our Patreon page here: https://www.patreon.com/MoLsuperstructureMusic by Nahneen Kula: www.nahneenkula.com
Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger Picture CA is a disaster, Newsom ran it into the ground follow the great reset and the green new scam. Now people and business are escaping. Walmart is leaving. Energy is the key to a strong manufacturing economy. Poland ramps up on gold. Gold has now overtaken the treasuries, everything is changing. The [DS] is panicking, they don’t have the people behind them like in 2020. Now they are left with their paid agitators. Obama, Clinton and Hollywood are preparing for chaos for the midterms. They have already put out the call. At the same time Trump is exposing Russia hoax, the rigging of the election and the J6 insurrection that the [DS] had against Trump. The D’s are in trouble Trump is putting pressure on the RINOs in the Senate to push the Save Act. Once this is done, it is game over. The D’s will push everything. Message was sent that the plan is in motion. Economy (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); https://twitter.com/EnergyAbsurdity/status/2016553623270883769?s=20 non-viable alternatives to fossil fuels over the last 30 years: #Wind, #Solar, and #EVs. Despite all those TRILLIONS wasted, fossil fuels now account for an even HIGHER PERCENTAGE – 83% – of primary energy than they did 30 years ago. We must stop throwing away our children’s and grandchildren’s futures on false alternatives that simply do not and cannot work. https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/2016793453007339819?s=20 be paying the LOWEST INTEREST RATE OF ANY COUNTRY IN THE WORLD. Most of these countries are low interest rate paying cash machines, thought of as elegant, solid, and prime, only because the U.S.A. allows them to be. The Tariffs being charged to them, while bringing in $BILLIONS to us, still allows most of them to have a significant trade surplus, though much smaller, with our beautiful, formerly abused Country. In other words, I have been very nice, kind, and gentle to countries all over the World. With a mere flip of the pen, $BILLIONS more would come into the U.S.A., and these countries would have to go back to making money the old fashioned way, not on the back of America. I hope they all appreciate, although many don't, what our great Country has done for them. The Fed should substantially lower interest rates, NOW! Tariffs have made America strong and powerful again, far stronger and more powerful than any other Nation. Commensurate with this strength, both financial and otherwise, WE SHOULD BE PAYING LOWER INTEREST RATES THAN ANY OTHER COUNTRY IN THE WORLD! Thank you for your attention to this matter. President DONALD J. TRUMP https://twitter.com/JoeLang51440671/status/2016559031574311138?s=20 https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2016890828925313192?s=20 TRIPLED since Q4 2019, driven by aggressive purchases by central banks and rising prices. Over this period, central banks have added ~4,500 tonnes of gold, including unreported purchases. At the same time, foreign Treasury holdings have remained unchanged. Gold is redefining the global monetary system. Central banks maintain FX reserves—typically a mix of currencies, bonds, and assets like gold—to stabilize their currencies, manage liquidity, and hedge against economic shocks. U.S. Treasuries have long been the go-to asset because they’re considered ultra-safe, highly liquid, and backed by the world’s dominant reserve currency (the U.S. dollar, which still accounts for about 57% of global reserves). Gold, on the other hand, is a “neutral” asset: it’s not tied to any single government’s policies, can’t be printed at will, and serves as a hedge against inflation, currency debasement, and geopolitical risks.This crossover isn’t just a blip—it’s a structural change driven by several factors: Key Driver Explanation Impact Geopolitical Tensions and Sanctions Events like the Russia-Ukraine war (leading to frozen Russian assets) and U.S. actions (e.g., tariffs, interventions in Venezuela) have eroded trust in dollar-denominated assets. Countries fear their reserves could be seized or devalued overnight. theguardian.com Accelerates “de-dollarization” efforts, especially among BRICS nations (e.g., China, Russia, India), which now buy gold at 3–5 times pre-2022 levels, averaging 60 tons per month. finance.yahoo.com Gold’s share in reserves has doubled to over 25% in the past decade. newsmax.com Rising Gold Prices and Diversification Gold’s price surge (up 70% in 2025 alone) mechanically boosts its reserve value, but central banks are actively adding to holdings rather than selling Treasuries outright. mining.com This reflects a pivot away from U.S. debt amid concerns over America’s $35+ trillion national debt, persistent inflation, and fiscal policies under the Trump administration. fundssociety.com Gold is now the second-largest reserve asset after the dollar (overtaking the euro in 2024), signaling a re-regionalization of global finance where gold absorbs outflows from U.S. bonds. lfde.com The gold and U.S. debt markets are similarly sized (~$25–30 trillion each), making this shift feasible without massive disruptions. Central Bank Strategy Emerging market central banks (e.g., People’s Bank of China, Central Bank of Russia) are prioritizing gold for stability in a multipolar world, while developed banks hold steady. americanhartfordgold.com Net purchases hit 1,000+ tonnes in 2025, with forecasts for similar levels in 2026. gold.org Could push gold prices higher—analysts at Goldman Sachs see $5,400/oz by end-2026, while extreme scenarios (full USD reserve loss) speculate $39,000–$184,000/oz if gold backs global money supply. vaneck.com This isn’t about ditching the dollar entirely but reducing over-reliance. If trends continue, it could lead to sustained gold demand, higher prices, and a more fragmented international financial landscape. Political/Rights DOGE Geopolitical https://twitter.com/MarioNawfal/status/2016915491194057147?s=20 https://twitter.com/MarioBojic/status/2016846881079300384?s=20 https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/2016915405327962562?s=20 of China, Russia and Iran. EU adds Iran’s Revolutionary Guards to terrorist list The European Union has added Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) to its terrorist list in response to Tehran’s deadly crackdown on protesters in recent weeks. The bloc’s top diplomat Kaja Kallas said EU foreign ministers took the “decisive step” because “repression cannot go unanswered”. She said ahead of the decision that the move would put the IRGC – a major military, economic and political force in Iran – on the same level as jihadist groups like al-Qaeda and the Islamic State group. Source: bbc.com War/Peace https://twitter.com/ianellisjones/status/2015933550822883607?s=20 https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/2016654714071285944?s=20 Anti-air warfare (AAW): Defending against aircraft, missiles, and drones using its Aegis Combat System, which integrates radar, sensors, and weapons for tracking and engaging threats. Anti-submarine warfare (ASW): Detecting and neutralizing submarines with sonar systems, torpedoes, and embarked MH-60R Seahawk helicopters. Anti-surface warfare (ASuW): Engaging enemy ships or land targets with guns, missiles, and other weapons. Strike warfare: Launching long-range Tomahawk cruise missiles for precision strikes on ground targets. Ballistic missile defense (BMD): Intercepting ballistic missiles in flight, depending on configuration. Additional support roles: Maritime security, search and rescue, and intelligence gathering. https://twitter.com/MarioNawfal/status/2016914233233981950?s=20 right after reports of massive Israeli/US strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, this is Moscow quietly confirming the hits while trying to de-escalate. Bushehr is Iran's only operating nuclear power reactor (Russian-built, ironically). If it got damaged or threatened, we’d be looking at Chernobyl-level fallout risks. Putin playing both sides: backing Tehran rhetorically but signaling “don’t go too far” to Washington/Jerusalem. https://twitter.com/ElectionWiz/status/2016697707256025533?s=20 https://twitter.com/MarioNawfal/status/2016934089165853048?s=20 Medical/False Flags [DS] Agenda IT BEGINS: Zohran Mamdani Announces Plans to ‘Tax the Wealthy' to Compensate for NYC Budget Deficit (VIDEO) Well that was fast. Zohran Mamdani has been mayor of New York City for less than a month and he is already talking about raising taxes on the ‘wealthy' to make up the city's budget deficit, which he claims is on par with the Great Recession. Get ready to see a lot of Uhauls leaving the city. CNBC reports: New York Mayor Mamdani says city must hike taxes on wealthy to fill $12 billion deficit New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani on Wednesday said the city's wealthiest must pay more in taxes to help fill the staggering budget deficit of more than $12 billion that he was left by his predecessor. “This is at a scale that's actually greater than what we saw here in New York City during the Great Recession,” Mamdani said of that budget hole during an interview with CNBC “Squawk Box” co-anchor Andrew Ross Sorkin at City Hall. Source: thegatewaypundit.com https://twitter.com/ElectionWiz/status/2016689992932749554?s=20 https://twitter.com/Breaking911/status/2016622314306109944?s=20 https://twitter.com/amuse/status/2016825781926662360?s=20 https://twitter.com/Breaking911/status/2016863073173114959?s=20 https://twitter.com/Breaking911/status/2016855148723593379?s=20 https://twitter.com/christopherrufo/status/2016702846822207663?s=20 https://twitter.com/EricTeetsel/status/2016681981887623280?s=20 https://twitter.com/MattWalshBlog/status/2016688511017947273?s=20 benevolent and humble servant of the oppressed. Then when it turns out — as it literally always does — that he was actually a violent unhinged degenerate weirdo, they will immediately pivot and insist that his character and personal life don’t matter actually. We were told Alex Pretti had no criminal record but we now have video of him spitting on and attacking ICE agents Was he charged for this? https://twitter.com/StevenCheung47/status/2016702063334334904?s=20 https://twitter.com/StevenCheung47/status/2016714718430310577?s=20 https://twitter.com/StevenCheung47/status/2016712434606559516?s=20 https://twitter.com/StevenCheung47/status/2016708027559141441?s=20 https://twitter.com/StevenCheung47/status/2016704306401976345?s=20 https://twitter.com/FrontlinesTPUSA/status/2016734414537990436?s=20 https://twitter.com/Mollyploofkins/status/2016377949121884259?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E2016377949121884259%7Ctwgr%5Eb6afd1fffe8094942ed0a2c48dbd21175293b47b%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thegatewaypundit.com%2F2026%2F01%2Fwatch-has-been-actress-molly-ringwald-claims-trump%2F https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/2016691592619516200?s=20 “But the rest of us would survive… This is the time for a revolution.” Brandon Johnson Says He's Coordinating With Other Democrat Mayors To Thwart ICE Democratic Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson admitted Wednesday he was “in regular communication” with other mayors leading so-called “sanctuary cities” in efforts to impede enforcement of federal immigration laws. “To respond to the operation in Chicago, I leaned heavily on other cities' responses, like Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass shared her experience governing while the city was in Trump's crosshairs,” Johnson said. “We've been in regular communication both at the executive level and the staff level with cities like Minneapolis and Portland, Oakland, Boston, and Denver and Baltimore to learn from each other's experiences and develop strategies to protect our constituents.” Source: dailycaller.com https://twitter.com/WarClandestine/status/2016645995606552671?s=20 https://twitter.com/bitchuneedsoap/status/2016520711951564977?s=20 https://twitter.com/StephenM/status/2016662505930584574?s=20 President Trump's Plan BREAKING: ICE and CBP to DRAW-DOWN Number of Forces in Minnesota After Tom Homan Strikes Deal with State Officials – Here Are the Details (VIDEO) https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/2016865706126545214?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E2016865706126545214%7Ctwgr%5Ef45391945d583495415892fba4a2de7da17713e7%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thegatewaypundit.com%2F2026%2F01%2Fbreaking-ice-cbp-draw-down-number-forces-minnesota%2F just 3 days! Tom Homan means business. https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/2016867645958529115?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E2016867645958529115%7Ctwgr%5Ef45391945d583495415892fba4a2de7da17713e7%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thegatewaypundit.com%2F2026%2F01%2Fbreaking-ice-cbp-draw-down-number-forces-minnesota%2F Source: thegatewaypundit.com https://twitter.com/ElectionWiz/status/2016868888491761913?s=20 https://twitter.com/KurtSchlichter/status/2016584955472838709 https://twitter.com/WarClandestine/status/2016737774288654360?s=20 https://twitter.com/MarioNawfal/status/2016938140326645996?s=20 https://twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/2016868004798124447?s=20 https://twitter.com/FlipCrypt/status/2016359757557141542?s=20 court” “How do you set the stage” The raid showed pictures of files, one was in a bathroom, and another a stage. Funny because Hilary deleted 600k emails, from a server, kept in her bathroom. What would it look like if we “had it all” How do you set the stage? How do you inject evidence into a Grand Jury conspiracy case for Russiagate? I think a lot of the comms right now, and the actions around the country show preparation for this Grand Jury to conclude. It could take weeks, or even months. But my bet is those boxes set on the stage are Russiagate and beyond. The boxes in the bathroom are Hiliary’s emails, and currently, a grand jury is having a look at it all. https://twitter.com/FultonCo_GA_GOP/status/2016671877297488352?s=20 County Board of Elections literally denied these requests. The Georgia State Election Board has been trying for 4 years to get the records. Including issuing a subpoena for the ballots and other records. And ALL of those efforts have failed. Until today. I applaud Attorney General Pam Bondi and FBI Director Kash Patel for finally searching for and retrieving the records from the 2020 election that the U.S. Attorney General under federal law is entitled to receive and review. It is my hope that the FBI is in the process of getting every box of 2020 election materials in that warehouse to be able to piece together, once and for all, the truth about 2020. I am dedicated to making sure to the best of my ability that elections in Fulton County are accurate. Let's hope this starts a new chapter in Fulton County for transparency and accountability.” Julie Adams Fulton County Board of Registration and Elections Republican Party Appointee Why did trump start in a red state. https://twitter.com/keithedwards/status/2016671823870513436?s=20 Materials Sought in Fulton County FBI Warrant Revealed – A Difficult Road Lies Ahead for Fulton County Officials FBI Agents seized over 700 boxes worth of documents and brought them north to Virginia in two tractor trailers https://twitter.com/realLizUSA/status/2016701882576560547?s=20 utilized during the 2020 General Election in Fulton County All ballot images produced during the original ballot count beginning on November 3, 2020, THE RECOUNT, and any other ballot images All voter rolls from the 2020 General Election in Fulton County from absentee, early voting, in person, and any other voter roll that indicates voters: to whom an absentee ballot was issued, from whom an absentee ballot was received, or who participated in advanced voting or election day voting Source: thegatewaypundit.com https://twitter.com/KanekoaTheGreat/status/2016665638778143047?s=20 years ago. Fulton County refused. Excerpts from witness affidavits include: Susan Voyles, 20-year election official: “Pristine” ballots “difference in the texture of the paper” with “a different feel” and “no markings” and approximately “98% for Joe Biden.” Georgia Democrat observer: “Hundreds of ballots with no folds or creases. Perfect black bubbles. All for Biden.” Another Georgia Democrat: “All had perfect black bubbles and were all Biden. I heard ‘Biden' over 500 times in a row.” @VoterGa has been fighting in court for six years just to inspect these ballots. Why was Fulton County so determined to keep them hidden?? https://twitter.com/realLizUSA/status/2016706788351971434?s=20 https://twitter.com/drawandstrike/status/2016705043144003652?s=20 AND INCLUDING THE JACK SMITH SPECIAL COUNSEL’S OFFICE. And the first thing that happens when you end up in election related litigation is you are given a PRESERVATION ORDER FROM THE COURT. So NO, Fulton County officials did not destroy these ballots, or tapes or any other federal election records THAT THEY ALREADY ADMITTED TO HAVING IN OFFCIAL COURT RULINGS BEGINNING 5 YEARS AGO. https://twitter.com/DC_Draino/status/2016902941836198297?s=20 https://twitter.com/PatriotXV11/status/2016713624061116652?s=20 https://twitter.com/DAGToddBlanche/status/2016663357089001566?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E2016663357089001566%7Ctwgr%5E18c7aab2309ab32958cb900c1fa5f6df8f16003a%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thegatewaypundit.com%2F2026%2F01%2Fbreaking-president-trump-announces-first-ever-assistant-attorney%2F https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/2016594714569441286?s=20 https://twitter.com/profstonge/status/2016901410441289982?s=20 https://twitter.com/DoWCTO/status/2016577329393242364?s=20 3800 Q !!Hs1Jq13jV6 ID: e6ce6c No.7943347 Jan 28 2020 14:46:22 (EST) DurhamBoat.jpg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Durham_boat Anons found the subtle hint dropped in the beginning. Think Durham start. Think ‘Q’ start. You have more than you know. Q 1 Anonymous ID: BQ7V3bcW No.147012719 Oct 28 2017 15:44:28 (EST) Anonymous ID: gb953qGI No.147005381 Oct 28 2017 14:33:50 (EST) >>146981635 Hillary Clinton will be arrested between 7:45 AM – 8:30 AM EST on Monday – the morning on Oct 30, 2017. >>147005381 HRC extradition already in motion effective yesterday with several countries in case of cross border run. Passport approved to be flagged effective 10/30 @ 12:01am. Expect massive riots organized in defiance and others fleeing the US to occur. US M's will conduct the operation while NG activated. Proof check: Locate a NG member and ask if activated for duty 10/30 across most major cities. 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Has the rally in silver gone so far now that the metal's price action is actually behaving like a meme stock? Or is there something more fundamental and deeply disturbing behind what precious metals are doing? Maybe we should consider how it isn't a loss of faith in the dollar as so many people wrongly claim which is propelling both gold and silver right now, what if it is the growing mistrust in how the entire world works and fits together. Or used to. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------If you're a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, plus deep discussions about what truly is the greatest threat we all face, join me and Brent, plus Hugh Hendry, George Gammon, Steve Van Metre, and Mike Green at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend, February 2026. Small groups, intimate discussions. To reserve your spot just go here https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page---------------------------------------------------------Part 1: My Life Is a LieHow a Broken Benchmark Quietly Broke Americahttps://www.yesigiveafig.com/p/part-1-my-life-is-a-lieAgency Costs of Overvalued Equityhttps://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=480421https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Host Licia Cianetti talks to two Russian experts, Vladislav Gorin and Alexandra Prokopenko, about the state of Russian domestic politics today. As Russia's war of invasion in Ukraine rages on and Russians live under an ever more repressive authoritarian regime, we discuss how we got here: what made the invasion of Ukraine possible, what is keeping Putin in power, how both the regime's relationship with both the elites and the people has evolved over Putin's 26 years in power, and what a future Russia without Putin might look like. A transcript of the conversation is available here. Guests: Vladislav Gorin is a journalist at the Russian independent media company Meduza, which is based in Riga (Latvia) and has been designated as an “undesirable organisation” by the Russian government. Vladislav hosts a great podcast (in Russian) called Что случилось (What happened). You can find the English language reporting from Meduza here. As it is illegal and unsafe for people in Russia to contribute to Meduza and even share links from independent media sources, Meduza currently survives on donations from people outside of Russia. You can find their donations campaign here. Alexandra Prokopenko is a fellow at the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, and before the full-scale invasion of Ukraine she has worked as a journalist reporting from the Kremlin, as an adviser to the Central Bank of Russia, and at the Higher School of Economics (HSE) in Moscow. Her book From Sovereigns to Servants. How the War Against Ukraine Reshaped Russia's Elite will be out in English in summer 2026 (it is available to preorder) and it was already published in Russian (here). Presenter: Licia Cianetti is Associate Professor at the University of Birmingham and Founding Deputy Director of CEDAR. The People, Power, Politics podcast brings you the latest insights into the factors that are shaping and re-shaping our political world. It is brought to you by the Centre for Elections, Democracy, Accountability and Representation (CEDAR) based at the University of Birmingham, United Kingdom. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/new-books-network
After cutting 14,000 jobs back in October and denying there were more of them coming, Amazon confirmed yesterday there will be another 16,000 layoffs and made comments suggesting the company won't be done even after then. These job cuts will only add to the worsening anxiety among American workers, who reminded everyone of those deep concerns in the latest plunge in consumer confidence. According to the most optimistic measure for it, from the Conference Board, confidence crashed to its lowest level in over a decade. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------CNBC Amazon laying off about 16,000 corporate workers in latest anti-bureaucracy pushhttps://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/28/amazon-layoffs-anti-bureaucracy-ai.htmlInternal messages reveal which teams, jobs affected in Amazon layoffshttps://www.businessinsider.com/internal-messages-teams-jobs-affected-amazon-layoffs-2026-1CB US Consumer Confidence Fell Sharply in Januaryhttps://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
One of BlackRock's private credit funds has just resurrected the cockroach concerns over debt woes in the space. By announcing that it will have to write down 19% of its net asset value, the fund also discloses more areas of cockroach concerns beyond those we had already become aware of. While at the same time, further reminding everyone how everything that people were worried about before they need to keep worrying about and then some. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU LIVE PRESIDENT'S DAY FEBRUARY 2026If you're a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, plus deep discussions about what truly is the greatest threat we all face, join me and Brent, plus Hugh Hendry, George Gammon, Steve Van Metre, and Mike Green at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026. Small groups, intimate discussions. To reserve your spot just go here but you better hurry, there aren't many spots left:https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------BlackRock TCP SEC Filing 8Khttps://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/0001370755/000114036126002240/ef20063739_8k.htmBlackRock Private Debt Fund Tumbles After Writing Down Loanshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-26/blackrock-private-debt-fund-tumbles-after-writing-down-loansFlawed Valuations Threaten $1.7 Trillion Private Credit Boomhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-02-28/how-private-credit-market-boom-is-hiding-potential-valuation-problemsBlackRock to Auction Amazon Seller Once Valued at $1 Billionhttps://pe-insights.com/blackrock-to-auction-amazon-seller-once-valued-at-1-billion/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
An unprecedented shakeup at the very top of the Chinese military has shaken up the rest of the world. Xi Jinping didn't just go after a longtime friend and ally, he has gone after everyone in what increasingly looks like a paranoid, Stalinist shakeup. But why? I've told you many times before about the economic pressure on China that has only intensified more recently. But that's not the only thing. That's where it starts, but where it ends is what is increasingly being confirmed as Cold War 2.0. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------60 Minutes How China could use U.S. farmland to attack Americahttps://www.cbsnews.com/news/how-china-could-use-us-farmland-to-attack-america-60-minutes/NYT Xi's Purge of China's Military Brings Its Top General Down https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/24/world/asia/china-top-general-xi-military-purge.htmlU.S. Secret Service dismantles imminent telecommunications threat in New York tristate areahttps://www.secretservice.gov/newsroom/releases/2025/09/us-secret-service-dismantles-imminent-telecommunications-threat-new-yorkhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Billionaire investor Ray Dalio is warning we shouldn't be focused on trade wars, instead the real concern is capital wars. In those, Dalio says there will be a reduced appetite for owning US government debt or any US assets. Maybe even including American stocks. The comments were made in the context of recent geopolitical flashpoints in Venezuela and Greenland. As always, there's a lot of noise surrounding this kind of topic, but what does the evidence say?Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre---------------------------------------------------------If you're a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, plus deep discussions about what truly is the greatest threat we all face, join me and Brent, plus Hugh Hendry, George Gammon, Steve Van Metre, and Mike Green at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend, February 2026. Small groups, intimate discussions. To reserve your spot just go here https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page---------------------------------------------------------CNBC Ray Daliohttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gda9T9gZSe4https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Thanks to Monarch for partnering with me! Get 50% off your first year by using my link https://monarchmoney.yt.link/xxoutOh or discount code euro50 when signing up for a free trial! Welcome to calm, confident money! #monarchpartnerA huge arctic blast, the weather wedge, has sent natural gas prices soaring in historic fashion. Some futures prices surged by a whopping 75% in just five days leading up to what people are calling the storm of the century. Freezing cold. Snow. Ice sheets. Icemageddon. Winter hazards slated to impact two-thirds of the eastern United States, roughly half the country's population. The combination of low natural gas inventories and that huge sudden for it, the jump in price is to be expected. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisHow A Weather Wedge Is Shaping This Weekend's Southern Ice Stormhttps://www.forbes.com/sites/marshallshepherd/2026/01/23/how-a-weather-wedge-is-shaping-weekend-southern-ice-storm/Natural Gas Prices Across the US Surge Ahead of Arctic Blasthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-23/us-natural-gas-falls-after-record-breaking-three-day-rallyCEOs Wary of a Jittery US Consumer as Global Tensions Intensifyhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-23/ceos-wary-of-a-jittery-us-consumer-as-global-tensions-intensifyhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Markets slide this week as Trump floats taking Greenland and tariff threats resurface, pushing investors toward gold. Ryan and David break down what Davos revealed about a shifting world order, why crypto finally had a real seat at the table, and the moments from Brian Armstrong and Larry Fink that framed Crypto versus Central Banks. Plus: the NYSE unveils a tokenized trading platform and whether it validates or co-opts DeFi, Farcaster and Lens are acquired as on-chain social hits a crossroads, and a Jefferies strategist drops Bitcoin over quantum fears. Finally, an update on the Clarity Act delay and the race for the next Fed chair. ---
The Japanese government bond market suffered a major meltdown this week that has shaken up a lot of people as they try to figure out what's going on over there and how it might impact more than just government bonds as a class. One of the key factors that has emerged, however, is just how little selling it took to create these massive price swings. That has enormously profound implications. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU LIVE PRESIDENT'S DAY FEBRUARY 2026If you're a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, plus deep discussions about what truly is the greatest threat we all face, join me and Brent, plus Hugh Hendry, George Gammon, Steve Van Metre, and Mike Green at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026. Small groups, intimate discussions. To reserve your spot just go here but you better hurry, there aren't many spots left:https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Our Global Chief Economist Seth Carpenter joins our chief regional economists to discuss the outlook for interest rates in the U.S., Japan and Europe.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Seth Carpenter: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley's Global Chief Economist and Head of Macro Research. And today we're kicking off our quarterly economic roundtable for the year. We're going to try to think about everything that matters in economics around the world. And today we're going to focus a little bit more on central banking. And when we get to tomorrow, we'll focus on the nuts and bolts of the real side of the economy. I'm joined by our chief regional economists. Michael Gapen: Hi, Seth. I'm Mike Gapen, Chief U.S. Economist at Morgan Stanley. Chetan Ahya: I'm Chetan Ahya, Chief Asia economist. Jens Eisenschmidt: And I'm Jens Eisenschmidt, Chief Europe economist. Seth Carpenter: It's Thursday, January 22nd at 10 am in New York. Jens Eisenschmidt: And 4 pm in Frankfurt. Chetan Ahya: And 9 pm in Hong Kong. Seth Carpenter: So, Mike Gapen, let me start with you as we head into 2026, what are we thinking about? Are we going into a more stable expansion? Is this just a different phase with the same amount of volatility? What do you think is going to be happening in the U.S. as a baseline outlook? And then if we're going to be wrong, which direction would we be wrong? Michael Gapen: Yeah, Seth, we took the view that we would have more policy certainty. Recent weeks have maybe suggested we're incorrect on that front. But I still believe that when it comes to deregulation, immigration policy and fiscal policy, we have much more clarity there than we did a year ago. So, I think it's another year of modest growth, above trend growth. We're forecasting something around 2.4 percent for 2026. That's about where we finished 2025. I think what's key for markets and the outlook overall will be whether inflation comes down. Firms are still passing through tariffs to the consumer. We think that'll happen at least through the end of the first quarter. It's our view that after that, inflation pressures will start to diminish. If that's the case, then we think the Fed can execute one or two more rate cuts. But we have those coming [in] the second half of the year. So, it looks like growth is strong enough. The labor market has stabilized enough for the Fed to wait and see, to look around, see the effects of their prior rate cuts, and then push policy closer to neutral if inflation comes down. Seth Carpenter: And if we go back to last year to 2025, I will give you the credit first. Morgan Stanley did not shift its forecast for recession in the U.S. the way some of our main competitors did. On the other hand, and this is where I maybe tweak you just a little bit. We underestimated how much growth there would be in the United States. CapEx spending from AI firms was strong. Consumer spending, especially from the top half of the income distribution in the U.S. was strong. Growth overall for the year was over 2 percent, close to 2.5 percent. So, if that's what we just came off of, why isn't it the case that we'd see even stronger growth? Maybe even a re-acceleration of growth in 2026? Michael Gapen: Well, some of that, say, improvement vis-à-vis our forecast, the outperformance. Some of that I think comes mechanically from trade and inventory variability. So, . I'm not sure that that says a lot about an improving trend rate of growth. Where there was other outperformance was, as you noted, from the consumer. Now our models, and I don't mean to get too technical here, but our model suggests that consumption is overshooting its fundamentals. Which I think makes it harder for the economy to accelerate further. And then AI; it's harder for AI spending to say get incrementally stronger than where it is. So, we're getting a little extra boost from fiscal. We've got that coming through. And I just think what it is, is more of the same rather than further acceleration from here. Seth Carpenter: Do you think there's a chance that the Fed in fact does not cut rates like you have in your forecast? Michael Gapen: Yes, I do think... Where we could be wrong is we've made assumptions around the One Big Beautiful Bill and what it will contribute to the economy. But as you know, there's a lot of variability around those estimates. If the bill is more catalytic to animal spirits and business spending than we've assumed, you could get, say, a demand driven animal spirits upside to the economy, which may mean inflation doesn't decelerate all that much. But I do think that that's, say, the main upside risk that we're considering. Markets have been gradually taking out probabilities of Fed cuts as growth has come in stronger. So far, the inflation data has been positive in terms of signaling about disinflation, but I would say the jury's still out on how much that continues. Seth Carpenter: Chetan, When I think about Japan, we know that it's been the developed market central bank that's been going in the opposite direction. They've been hiking when other central banks have been cutting. We got some news recently that probably put some risk into our baseline outlook that we published in our year ahead view about both growth and inflation in Japan. And with it what the Bank of Japan is going to do in terms of its normalization. Can you just walk us through a little bit about our outlook for Japan? Because right now I think that the yen, Japanese rates, they're all part of the ongoing market narrative around the world. Chetan Ahya: Yeah, Seth. So, look, I mean, on a big picture basis, we are constructive on the Japan macro-outlook. We think normal GDP growth remains strong. We are expecting to see the transition for the consumers from them seeing, you know, supply side inflation. Keeping their real wage growth low to a dynamic where we transition to real wage growth accelerating. That supports real consumption growth, and we move away from that supply side driven inflation to demand side driven inflation. So broadly we are constructive, but I think in the backdrop, what we are seeing on currency depreciation is making things a bit more challenging for the BOJ. While we are expecting that demand side pressure to build up and drive inflation, in the trailing data, it is still pretty much currency depreciation and supply side factors like food inflation driving inflation. And so, BOJ has been hesitant. So, while we had the expectation that BOJ will hike in January of 2027, we do see the risk that they may have to take up rate hike earlier to manage the currency not getting out of hand and adding on to the inflation pressures. Seth Carpenter Would I be right in saying that up until now, the yen has swung pretty widely in both directions. But the weakening of the yen until now hasn't been really the key driver of the Bank of Japan's policy reaction. It's been growth picking up, inflation picking up, wanting to get out of negative interest rates first, wanting to get away from the zero lower bounds. Second, the weaker yen in some sense could have actually been seen as a positive up until now because Japan did go through 25 years of essentially stagnant nominal growth. Is this actually that much of a fundamental change in the Bank of Japan's thinking – needing to react to the weakness of the yen? Chetan Ahya: Broadly what you're saying is right, Seth, but there is also a threshold of where the currency can be. And beyond a point, it begins to hurt the households in form of imported inflation pressures. And remember that inflation has been somewhat high, even if it is driven by currency depreciation and supply side factors for some time. And so, BOJ has to be watchful of potential lift in inflation expectations for the households. And at the same time, they are also watching the underlying inflation impact of this currency depreciation – because what we have seen is that over period workers have been demanding for higher wages. And that is also influenced by what happens to headline inflation, which is driven by currency depreciation. So, I would say that, yes, it's been true up until now. But, when currency reaches these very high levels of range, you are going to see BOJ having to act. Seth Carpenter: Jens, let's shift then to Europe. The ECB had been on a cutting cycle. They came to the end of that. President Lagarde said that she thought the disinflationary process had ended. In your year ahead forecast and a bunch of your writing recently, you've said maybe not so fast. There could still be some more disinflationary, at least risk, in the pipeline for Europe. Can you talk a little bit about what's going on in terms of European inflation and what it could mean for the European Central Bank? Because clearly that's going to be first order important for markets.Jens Eisenschmidt: I think that is right. I think we have a crucial inflation print ahead of us that comes out on the 4th of February. So, early February we get some signal, whether our anticipated fall of headline inflation here below the ECB's target is actually materializing. We think the chances for this are pretty good. There's a mix why this is happening. One is energy. Energy disinflation and base effects. But the other thing is services inflation resets always at the beginning of the year. January and February are the crucial month here. We had significant services upward pressure on prices the last years. And so just from base effects, we think we will see less of that. Another picture or another element of that picture is that wage disinflation is proceeding nicely. We have notably a significant weakness in the export-oriented manufacturing sector in Germany, which is a key sector of setting wages for the country. The country is around 30 percent of the euro area GDP. And here we had seen significant wage gains over the last year. So, the disinflationary trend coming from lower wage gains from this country, that will be very important. And an important signal to watch. Again, that's something we don't know. I think soon we have to watch simply monthly prints here. But a significant print for the first quarter comes out in May, and all of that together makes us believe that the ECB will be in a position to see enough data or have seen enough data that confirms the thesis of inflation staying below target for some time to come. So that they can cut in June and September to a terminal rate of 1.5 percent. Seth Carpenter: That is, I would say, out of consensus relative where the market is. When you talk to investors, whether they're in Europe or around the world, what's the big pushback that you get from them when you are explaining your view on how the ECB is going to act? Jens Eisenschmidt: There are two essential pushbacks. So, one is on substance. So, 'No, actually wages will not come down, and the economy will actually start overheating soon because of the big fiscal stimulus.' That, in a nutshell is the pushback on substance. I would say here, as you would say before, not so fast. Because the fiscal stimulus is only in one country. It's 30 percent. But only 30 percent of the euro area.Plus, there is another pushback, which is on the reaction function of the ECB. Here we tend to agree. So far, we have heard from policy makers that they feel rather comfortable with the 2 percent rate level that they're at. But we think that discussion will change. The moment you are below target in an actual inflation print; the burden of proof is the opposite. Now you have to prove: Is the economy really on a track that inflation will get back up to target without further monetary stimulus? We believe that will be the key debate. And again, happy to, sort of, concede that there is for now not a lot of signaling out of the ECB that further rate cuts are coming. But we believe the first inflation print of the year will change that debate significantly. Seth Carpenter: Alright, so that makes a lot of sense. However, looking at the clock, we are probably out of time for today. So, for now, Michael, Chetan, Jens, thank you so much for joining today. And to the listener, thanks for listening. And be sure to tune in tomorrow for part two of our conversation. And I have to say, if you enjoy this show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or a colleague today.
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