Podcasts about yield curve inversion

Any donation is greatly appreciated! 47e6GvjL4in5Zy5vVHMb9PQtGXQAcFvWSCQn2fuwDYZoZRk3oFjefr51WBNDGG9EjF1YDavg7pwGDFSAVWC5K42CBcLLv5U OR DONATE HERE: https://www.monerotalk.live/donate TODAY'S SHOW: In this episode Douglas Tuman talks about technical analysis and market trends with Kevin Wadsworth, an experienced technical analyst from the UK. Monero Talk typically focuses on fundamentals rather than technical analysis, but the current market conditions made it relevant to discuss price movements and broader market trends. Kevin presented detailed analysis of various markets, including the S&P 500, gold, Bitcoin, and Monero. He demonstrated how technical analysis can predict major market moves by showing historical examples, particularly with gold price predictions from 2019 that proved accurate. The discussion explored the relationship between different markets, with Kevin explaining how cryptocurrencies remain strongly correlated with stock markets despite occasional short-term divergences. He presented evidence suggesting a potential 'melt-up' scenario in the coming months, while also warning of longer-term risks. TIMESTAMPS: (01:07:00) - Guest Kevin Wadsworth & His Background (09:12:00) - The Role of Technical Analysis in Market Forecasting (14:25:00) - Impact of Unexpected Events on Market Charts (16:09:00) - Analysis of S&P 500 Chart and Potential Scenarios (19:23:00) - Bitcoin's Relationship with Gold and Stock Market (26:39:00) - Gold as a Reflection of Loss of Purchasing Power (33:21:00) - Correlation Between Cryptocurrencies and Broader Market Trends (43:13:00) - Indian Summer in the Stock Market (53:24:00) - Monero's Uptrend and Technical Indicators (01:00:09) - Economic Indicators and Yield Curve Inversion (01:05:24) - Silver's Role in Anticipation of Stock Market Crash (01:13:27) - Trading Strategies and Risk Management (01:19:27) - Monero as Digital Cash and Its Adoption (01:21:41) - Digital Gold Concept and Bitcoin's Role (01:24:51) - Positive Outlook for Monero from a Technical Perspective (01:25:34) - Closing Remarks LINKS: https://x.com/NorthstarCharts Purchase Cafe & tip the farmers w/ XMR! https://gratuitas.org/ Purchase a plug & play Monero node at https://moneronodo.com SPONSORS: Cakewallet.com, the first open-source Monero wallet for iOS. You can even exchange between XMR, BTC, LTC & more in the app! Monero.com by Cake Wallet - ONLY Monero wallet (https://monero.com/) StealthEX, an instant exchange. Go to (https://stealthex.io) to instantly exchange between Monero and 450 plus assets, w/o having to create an account or register & with no limits. WEBSITE: https://www.monerotopia.com CONTACT: monerotalk@protonmail.com ODYSEE: https://odysee.com/@MoneroTalk:8 TWITTER: https://twitter.com/monerotalk FACEBOOK: https://www.facebook.com/MoneroTalk HOST: https://twitter.com/douglastuman INSTAGRAM: https://www.instagram.com/monerotalk TELEGRAM: https://t.me/monerotopia MATRIX: https://matrix.to/#/%23monerotopia%3Amonero.social MASTODON: @Monerotalk@mastodon.social MONERO.TOWN: https://monero.town/u/monerotalk

In this episode of the Everyday Business Podcast, Andrew Matuzak, Matt Cash, and Austin Schaul dive deep into a year-in-review of the markets and the economy, providing insights into key investment trends, consumer strength, inflation, and the global market. The team also explores the impact of elections on the stock market and discusses sectors investors are watching closely. Year-in-Review & Market Outlook What investment trends emerged? The discussion kicks off with an overview of the significant investment trends that surfaced throughout the year, highlighting areas of opportunity and risk. Strength of the Consumer The team analyzes the resilience of the consumer market and how it affected investment strategies, including the influence of consumer spending patterns on market performance. Inflation Outlook & Soft Landing Inflation remains a hot topic, and Austin, Andrew, and Matt provide their thoughts on its trajectory. They discuss whether the economy is headed for a soft landing or if turbulence is expected in the coming months. Yield Curve Inversion & Re-inversion The team addresses the yield curve inversion and re-inversion, shedding light on what it signals for future economic conditions and investor behavior. Global Outlook: Macro-Economic Trends & International Conflicts International conflicts have played a role in shaping the global economy, and the discussion shifts to how macro-economic trends and these conflicts are affecting markets worldwide. Impact of Elections on Markets Historical Impact of Elections on Stock Market The conversation turns to the influence of elections on the stock market, discussing historical trends and what investors can expect in the coming election cycle. Policies Investors are Focused On The hosts highlight key policies that investors are watching closely, especially in the current political climate. Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) Sunset Implications As the TCJA approaches its sunset, the team discusses its implications for businesses and individual investors. Sectors of Note They wrap up by identifying the sectors that are most likely to be affected by market shifts and policy changes, providing insights into where investors should focus their attention in the coming year. Tune in to hear insights that will help you stay ahead of market trends and navigate the complexities of the economy. Don't miss this in-depth analysis and look ahead to 2024! Yeo & Yeo's Everyday Business podcast can be heard on Apple Podcasts, PodBean, Spotify and, of course, our website. Please subscribe, rate and review. For more insights, visit our Resource Center and subscribe to our eNewsletters. DISCLAIMER The information provided in this podcast is believed to be valid and accurate on the date it was first published. The views, information, or opinions expressed during the podcast reflect the views of the speakers. This podcast does not constitute tax, accounting, legal or other business advice or an advisor-client relationship. Before making any decision or taking action, consult with a professional regarding your specific circumstances. Investment advisory services are offered through Avantax Planning PartnersSM. Commission-based securities products are offered through Avantax Investment ServicesSM, Member FINRA, SIPC. Insurance services offered through licensed agents of Avantax Planning Partners. 3200 Olympus Blvd., Suite 100, Dallas, TX 75019. The Avantax entities are independent of and unrelated to Yeo & Yeo Wealth Management. This material is for informational purposes only. It is not intended as investment, tax or other advice or an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. Indices are unmanaged, represent past performance, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Consult with your financial, tax or other appropriate advisors on all matters pertaining to financial, accounting or tax obligations and requirements.

In this episode with Campbell R. Harvey, Professor of Finance at Duke University and Director of Research at Research Affiliates, LLC, we break down the significance of the yield curve inversion and what it signals for the future of the economy. We discuss the Federal Reserve's policy mistakes, the impact of high interest rates on growth, and where Bitcoin and decentralized finance (DeFi) fit into investment portfolios. If you're curious about where the economy is headed and how to position yourself for the future, this conversation is packed with valuable insights. Follow Campbell R. Harvey: https://x.com/camharvey ►► WANT MORE? JOIN MY COMMUNITY AND GET EVERYTHING WOLF OF ALL STREETS!

Did you know that a dis-inversion historically means that a recession is imminent? Taylor shares the yield curve dating all the way back 1975. Will we be able to escape a recession? Questions on Protecting Your Wealth with Gold & Silver? Schedule a Strategy Call Here ➡️ https://calendly.com/itmtrading/podcast or Call 866-349-3310

Join Jurrien Timmer as he explores the current financial landscape, discussing Bitcoin's place in portfolios and the economic factors shaping our future. Learn why he thinks Bitcoin deserves a spot alongside traditional assets and what that means for the upcoming bull market. This episode offers an insightful look at market trends, the Fed's role, and the potential for a new financial era. Jurrien Timmer: https://x.com/TimmerFidelity ►► Sponsored by iTrust Capital Invest in Bitcoin, Crypto Assets & Gold with Your IRA Using iTrust Capital.

"When trading, are you more interested in being right, or are you more interested in making money? And I ultimately just look at it like ‘I just want to make money, and…make the best returns I can', and so therefore I need to stay open to different ideas.” - Kevin Muir--This week's episode features another one of Chase's greatest mentors, Kevin Muir. Kevin is a prototype of the kind of investor we're trying to highlight on this podcast. He's a markets scientist who isn't afraid to explore new ideas and find himself wrong after that process. His open-mindedness has led him to some great theories that we dig deeper into for this episode. --Timestamps:-- (00:01) - Intro-- (03:19)- Kevin's Charity: Covenant House-- (04:39) -Why Kevin loves the markets-- (05:39)- James Aiken's philosophy on overload-- (10:56)- How Kevin discovered MMT wasn't the stupidest thing he ever heard-- (15:10)- Tim Urban and the “high rung” approach to ideas--(17:41)- How do you intentionally stay open to new ideas?--(23:55)- Systematic Investing Flows--(30:01)- Tried and True Indicators can't always help (Yield Curve Inversion)--(39:25)- Must Read Books for Traders --(45:27)- Between Two Pines--(53:25)- Simple morning rituals set you up for a full day of markets, and you should adjust your reading to the macro environment--(56:18)- Different life priorities led Kevin from working at a bank to operating the Macro Tourist --(1:01:43)- “New techs” cause mini-rolling bubbles and never underestimate the stupidity of regional bank CEOs--(1:07:14)- Plugs--This Episode's Charity:The Covenant House of Toronto aims to serve youth who are homeless, trafficked, or at risk. They're located in the heart of Toronto and offer youth ages 16-24 essential services such as medical care, food, and shelter. Kevin and Chase raised $100 for charity this week! --Referenced in the Show:What's Our Problem?: A Self-Help Book for Societies by Tim UrbanIs Inflation Ending: Are You Ready? by A. Gary Shilling and Kiril Sokoloff The Logical Trader: Applying a Method to the Madness by Mark FisherThe Alchemy of Finance by George SorosKevin's Interviews of Jim Leitner on The Market Huddle: Check out this episode's blog post--Guest Plugs:Kevin's The Macro Tourist SubstackKevin's X: https://twitter.com/kevinmuirKevin's email: kevin@themacrotourist.com--Pinecone Macro Research aims to provide unique, well researched analysis of the global markets using a macro framework. Find us here: www.pineconemacro.com Follow us and the show on Twitter: @PineconeMacro &

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, discuss the Fed getting bullish by reducing unemployment estimates, raising GDP growth estimates, and doing nothing else but the market liked it. All while the yield curve inversion sets a record for longest in history. What is Bitcoin halving and what does it do for supply and demand? Looking at the stock market after going up a lot, why historically it can continue going (or not) up. Looking at 1995-1999 post Fed cut bullish moves. Why media explanations of 2 or 3 interest rate cuts by the Fed based on the median interest rate aren't entirely true. Tip, how to calculate the median of something. All that and plenty more this week!   What is Bitcoin halving? How to calculate the median of Fed funds dot plot rate What is the Fed dot plot Fed GDP growth rate upped at the March meeting while unemployment rate lowered Core PCE inflation year end estimate increased by the Fed Is the Fed just going to let inflation run a little hotter? 1995-1999 super strong S&P 500 market returns New Yield Curve inversion record High Yield debt maturity wall pushed out further High Yield debt can be reduced by paying off, rolling, bankruptcy, or become investment grade Looking at times when the market was up double digits over 30 days and what happens next   Mentioned in this Episode   What is Bitcoin ‘Halving' and Does it Push Up the Cryptocurrency's Price? https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-06/what-is-bitcoin-halving-and-does-it-push-up-the-cryptocurrency-s-price     Previous Week's Podcast:   Michael Saylor is Right on Bitcoin? |Worst Crash Since 1929 Coming? | Semiconductors Get Big Flows | 0 DTE Option Stats https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/michael-saylor-is-right-on-bitcoin-worst-crash-since/id1432836154?i=1000649479605   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegafinancial.com   www.zegafinancial.com

Super Tuesday seems to have locked-up the next Presidential contest pairing; economic data is not so good, yet market exuberance continues. Fed speakers abound today ahead of the Fed's blackout period. A record-setting Yield Curve Inversion is underway, still without recession. Markets continue to trade in a narrow range, like clockwork; volatility actually declined. Are we at the top, and not a bubble? Correction this year is very likely; Bitcoin joined by Gold as a speculative asset. The proposed government match to 4-01-k's: Nice idea, but few will be able to take advantage; and what about the unintended consequences? the effect of inflation on the economy. Why cap savings? IF the economy is doing so great, why do we feel so bad about it? The Hunger Games & the Kellogg's boycott. SEG-1: Super Tuesday & Market Divergence from Economy SEG-2: Are We at the Top or in a Bubble? SEG-3: The Government Match to 401-k's SEG-4: If the Economy is so Great, Why Do We Feel so Bad? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i3l692sxS5g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Valuation Metrics And Volatility Suggest Investor Caution" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/valuation-metrics-and-volatility-suggest-investor-caution/ "Berkshire And The Cash Dilemma" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why No One is Hedging Portfolios," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x8AyO87zRqE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Valuation Metrics Suggest Investor Caution" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OVRpyk74gSA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1243s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HowInflationAffectsEconomy #SuperTuesday #PresidentialElection #GovernmentMatchTo401ks #InvestingAdvice #ValuationMetrics #NoRateCuts #SitckyInflation #StockValuations #CashHoard #InterestRateCuts #MarketCorrection #CashVsValuations #MarketCapGDPRatio #MarketCorrection #JeffBezos #Markets #Money #Investing

Super Tuesday seems to have locked-up the next Presidential contest pairing; economic data is not so good, yet market exuberance continues. Fed speakers abound today ahead of the Fed's blackout period. A record-setting Yield Curve Inversion is underway, still without recession. Markets continue to trade in a narrow range, like clockwork; volatility actually declined. Are we at the top, and not a bubble? Correction this year is very likely; Bitcoin joined by Gold as a speculative asset. The proposed government match to 4-01-k's: Nice idea, but few will be able to take advantage; and what about the unintended consequences? the effect of inflation on the economy. Why cap savings? IF the economy is doing so great, why do we feel so bad about it? The Hunger Games & the Kellogg's boycott. SEG-1: Super Tuesday & Market Divergence from Economy SEG-2: Are We at the Top or in a Bubble? SEG-3: The Government Match to 401-k's SEG-4: If the Economy is so Great, Why Do We Feel so Bad? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i3l692sxS5g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Valuation Metrics And Volatility Suggest Investor Caution" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/valuation-metrics-and-volatility-suggest-investor-caution/ "Berkshire And The Cash Dilemma" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why No One is Hedging Portfolios," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x8AyO87zRqE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Valuation Metrics Suggest Investor Caution" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OVRpyk74gSA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1243s -------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HowInflationAffectsEconomy #SuperTuesday #PresidentialElection #GovernmentMatchTo401ks #InvestingAdvice #ValuationMetrics #NoRateCuts #SitckyInflation #StockValuations #CashHoard #InterestRateCuts #MarketCorrection #CashVsValuations #MarketCapGDPRatio #MarketCorrection #JeffBezos  #Markets #Money #Investing

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RobeGuy is back for a special episode that is jam packed with surprises. Topics to include: IBM's new change to plan design, Dave Ramsey Controversy, Empower's 2023 Sales Numbers, Bitcoin's Comeback, Drunk Stock Tips and Yield Curve Inversion. Lets get drunk and talk about financial stuff.

Questions on Protecting Your Wealth with Gold & Silver? Schedule a Strategy Call Here ➡️ https://calendly.com/itmtrading/podcast  or Call 866-349-3310

Register for a CI Markets account for FREE! No credit card required: https://completeintel.com/marketsGet the transcript from our website: https://completeintel.com/100-oil-equities-peaked-lng-ev-asiaWelcome to "The Week Ahead" with your host, Tony Nash https://twitter.com/tonynashnerd. In this episode, we're joined by a panel of seasoned experts:

In many world nations, if you're born poor, you stay poor. I discuss how in America, you can be upwardly mobile. Back in 2010, real estate prices had fallen, but rents had not. This created years of cash flow. Today, as prices have outpaced rents, cash flow keeps shrinking. Our Investment Coaches have access to income properties with 4.75% and 5.75% mortgage interest rates. It's a way to "bring back cash flow". Get started at GREmarketplace.com/Coach Terrific housing intelligence analyst Rick Sharga joins us for the first of two consecutive episodes. Rick & I discuss the condition of the American consumer, inflation and interest rates, concerns about a potential economic downturn, the housing market, the impact of consumer confidence on spending, and the actions taken by the Federal Reserve to control inflation.  There's flagging consumer confidence and a yield curve inversion. Are these finally harbingers of an economic recession? Rick's informal survey of economists find that there's a 50-50 chance of a recession this cycle. Earlier this year, 80% of economists felt that a recession was imminent. If there is a recession this cycle, Rick thinks there's a probability that it will be mild. Average hourly wages are $28-29 / hour. Wage growth is 4-5%. Wages are finally running higher than home price appreciation. Timestamps: The Future of Real Estate Investing [00:01:33] Discusses how owning real estate can help individuals move into a different wealth class and the benefits of owning rental properties. Changes in the Real Estate Market [00:04:06] Explains how the real estate market has changed over the years, with property prices catching up to rents and the decrease in cash flow opportunities. Taking Advantage of Low Mortgage Rates [00:07:53] Highlights the opportunity for investors to take advantage of low mortgage rates offered by builders and the benefits of using their preferred lenders. (Yes, even here in 2023. We have 4.75% and 5.75% rates that builders buy down.) The housing market correction [00:11:31] Discussion on the correction in the housing market and its localized impact on different regions. Economic landscape of the United States [00:16:09] Overview of the US economy, including GDP growth and the strength of consumer spending. Wage growth and home price appreciation [00:20:16] Comparison of wage growth outpacing home price growth, impacting housing market affordability. Consumer Confidence and Spending [00:21:24] The correlation between consumer confidence and spending during the pandemic, the impact of subsequent waves of COVID, and the role of pent-up consumer demand and government stimulus. Red Flags in Consumer Spending [00:22:25] The disconnect between consumer spending and low confidence scores, the record level of consumer credit card use, and the decrease in personal savings rates. Inflation and the Federal Reserve [00:25:44] The high inflation rate in 40 years, the actions taken by the Federal Reserve to control inflation, the impact on housing costs, and the potential for a recession. Yield Curve Inversion and Recession Predictions [00:31:07] Discussion on the yield curve inversion and its historical correlation with recessions. Impact of Recession on the Housing Market [00:32:04] Exploration of the potential impact of a recession on the housing market. Part Two: State of the Housing Market and Future of Investment Real Estate [00:33:03] Teaser for the next episode, which will analyze the state of the housing market and the future of investment real estate. Resources mentioned: Show Notes: www.GetRichEducation.com/466 Rick Sharga on X (Twitter): @RickSharga Get mortgage loans for investment property: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE  or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Invest with Freedom Family Investments. You get paid first: Text ‘FAMILY' to 66866 Will you please leave a review for the show? I'd be grateful. Search “how to leave an Apple Podcasts review”  Top Properties & Providers: GREmarketplace.com GRE Free Investment Coaching: GREmarketplace.com/Coach Best Financial Education: GetRichEducation.com Get our wealth-building newsletter free— text ‘GRE' to 66866 Our YouTube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/GetRichEducation Follow us on Instagram: @getricheducation Keith's personal Instagram: @keithweinhold   Keith Weinhold (00:00:01) - Welcome to. I'm your host, Keith Weinhold. Today, it's part one of two of my exclusive interview with one of the nation's foremost housing intelligence analysts. How's the condition of today's American consumer? What's the future of inflation, the Fed interest rates? And should you really be concerned about a downturn today on get rich education?   Corey Coates (00:00:28) - You're listening to the show that has created more financial freedom than nearly any show in the world. This is Get rich education.   Keith Weinhold (00:00:51) - Welcome from Orange County, Florida, to Orange County, California, and across 188 nations worldwide. You're listening to one America's longest running and most listened to shows on real estate. With nearly nine years of weekly episodes. You're listening to Get Rich Education. I'm your host, Keith Wine expert, housing and mortgage analyst Rick Sugar is back and he is figuratively waiting in the wings. Here to give us an update on the economy shortly. In many nations of the world, if you are born poor, you stay poor. It's really hard to change wealth classes because you can't own anything in so many world places.   Keith Weinhold (00:01:33) - If you're born middle class, you also stay middle class. There's no way out of that. Owning real estate is the number one way to move yourself into a different wealth class. Owning your own business is another way, but with owning real estate, it's quite easy to follow a template and do what someone else has already done. Within a proven system. You don't have to have a new out-of-the-box business idea. For example, in the US, if you start collecting assets that pay you each month, you can quickly become upwardly mobile. In America, even if you were born into poverty and have a long line of impoverishment in your family, you can own your own home and that can help you go from poor to middle class. You can add rental properties and go from poor or middle class to wealthy because if you're in the US you are allowed to own things. Yeah, keep accumulating properties and keep getting rent money from tenants. In so many nations of the world. If you come from modest means, you just cannot get dozens of people or hundreds of people to pay you one third of their income every month.   Keith Weinhold (00:02:52) - But here you can get all these tenants to pay you one third of their salary in rent so you can close that class divide. It's up to you. That's what makes the US great. You can move into a different wealth class, the GSEs, the government sponsored enterprises. They will even give you backing on a bank loan so that you can do this. They're really encouraging this and enticing you to do this with as little as a 3% down payment on your primary residence or 20% down on rental properties. It's like they're almost forcing you to succeed. And there's even a 1% down program for primary residences now available in some places. So the bank gives you the loan, the tenant pays you the rent, and the government gives you the tax break. Like I say, that right there is using other people's money three ways at the same time, the bank, the tenant and the government, it all sort of falls in your lap if you want it to, but you do have to ask for it and you do have to do some arranging and you need to be diligent and attentive to.   Keith Weinhold (00:04:06) - But most Americans, they just aren't wise to this. Now, the real estate market, it has changed from a few years ago. It was spring of 2020 where we had that big inflection point, as you know, because I often discuss it. That was that supply crash. And since that time, home prices have run up faster than rents. But I'd like to give you some broader perspective here. There's something important with real estate investing that you may not have realized coming out of the global financial crisis 2008, 2009, 2010. At 2010, when we really started to lift up out of the rubble because by 2010, property prices were still down low. They were near the rock bottom. They're even lower than replacement costs in a lot of markets, which was artificially low. But see, rents didn't really fall much in the GFC. Rents stayed the same. So you know what happened in 2010 and all the years following it will cash flow began. And that's because all over America you then had these high rents and low purchase prices that had been beaten down by the GFC.   Keith Weinhold (00:05:18) - Cash flow like that wasn't really normal, but by now property prices have caught up to rents and even surpassed them. So besides investors being used to low mortgage rates, these ultra low rates, they also got used to this ultra high ratio of rent income to purchase price. That's just not there like it used to be. So today, in more places, you can't expect much of anything for cash flow now with a few years of. Income property ownership. Say if you bought something late this year, a few years later, now you shouldn't count on it. But rents, as we know, historically rise to then start providing you with cash flow to complement the other four ways that you're simultaneously paid. So my point is that today the deals aren't as good as they were ten years ago and five years ago, and that is all part of the provenance and perspective that I'm sharing with you from the real estate investing landscape starting from back around 15 years ago. But today I posit that it is still difficult to find a better place to invest a dollar than with a loan on carefully bought income property.   Keith Weinhold (00:06:31) - And I have some really good news for you here. All right. We know higher mortgage rates. They're not just a pain point for first time homebuyers and second time homebuyers for that matter, but they're a pain point for you, the investor. Well, if you didn't already know, we have largely sort of that problem here at Gray. And that is why investors like you are still snapping up rental properties fast. From Marketplace today, owner occupied mortgage rates are about 7% in income. Property rates are about 8%. But because of the strength of our marketplace networks and relationships here we have one new build provider offering a mortgage rate of 5.75%. Yes, they will see that your mortgage rate is bought down to 5.75% for your purchase. Yes, right here in today's environment, another new build investment property provider is offering a buy down to 4.75%. Yes, you heard that right. And we have another builder provider where our investment coaches have been sharing with you a 2.99% seller financing option. So is cash flow back? Yes, a lot of times it is.   Keith Weinhold (00:07:53) - The builders know that it's a pain point for buyers and our coaches and I hear a Gary know it too, So we have rubbed salve on the wound here, I suppose. 5.75% interest rates, 4.75 or even 2.99. At times you'll have to use the builders preferred lender to get those terms. Otherwise I like to use Ridge lending Group because they specialize in income property loans. There is even more to it. These builders are in business to move property, so take advantage of it. And besides buying down your mortgage rate for you like that, some are even waiving their property management fee for you for the first year, in addition to buying down the rate and don't know how long all this is going to last. So this could be a really good time for you to contact your investment coach. Your coach will help you shop the marketplace properties, tell you where the real deals are and tell you how to get those improbably low mortgage rates for income properties. Your coach guides you and makes it easy for you If you don't have an investment coach yet, just go to Marketplace slash coach and they're there to help you out.   Keith Weinhold (00:09:11) - Hey, it's really great to have the savvy and the experience of Rick Shaka back on the show today. His mind is always in the market. He's often doing these public speaking appearances informing audiences about it. He's been the executive vice president of markets at some of America's leading housing intelligence firms. We have so much to discuss that Today's episode is part one of two back to back episodes with Rick. This week, we'll discuss the direction of the economy. Next week, we'll go deep on the housing market. But even our discussion on the economy today is probably going to be viewed through the lens of having real estate investors in mind. So this intelligence is fresh and it is timely here in fall of 2023. But even if you're listening to this, a decade from now, in 2033, you are going to get lessons for all time. It's the economy this week and the real estate market next week. It could be a day or two until we have today's episode on Get Rich Education YouTube. But you can watch us there as well if you want the visuals and charts that complement our discussion.   Keith Weinhold (00:10:19) - Many of the sources that he cites today will be from Trading economics in the US Bureau of Economic Analysis. What's the present and future of the economy, especially as it pertains to real estate investor interest with Rick and I straight ahead. I'm Keith Reinhold in this is get rich education. Jerry listeners can't stop talking about their service from Ridge Lending Group and MLS 42056. They've provided our tribe with more lows than anyone. They're truly a top lender for beginners and veterans. It's where I go to get my own loans for single family rental property up to four Plex's So start your prequalification and you can chat with President Charlie Ridge personally, though, even deliver your custom plan for growing your real estate portfolio. Start at Ridge Lending Group. You know, I'll just tell you for the most passive part of my real estate investing personally, I put my own dollars with Freedom Family Investments because their funds pay me a stream of regular cash flow in. Returns are better than a bank savings account up to 12%. Their minimums are as low as 25.   Keith Weinhold (00:11:31) - K. You don't even need to be accredited. For some of them, it's all backed by real estate and I kind of love how the tax benefit of doing this can offset capital gains and your W-2 jobs income. And they've always given me exactly their stated return paid on time. So it's steady income, no surprises while I'm sleeping or just doing the things I love. For a little insider tip, I've invested in their power fund to get going on that text family to 668660, and this isn't a solicitation If you want to invest where I do, just go ahead and text family to 66866. This is real estate investment cogeneration. Listen to get Rich education with Keith Reinhold and don't quit your day dream. And you're going to get a fantastic market update today. And you're also going to learn lessons even if you're consuming this 5 or 10 years from now. Our expert guest was first with us here six months ago. He's been the executive VP of markets at some of America's leading housing intelligence firms. He was twice named to the Inman News Inman 100 most influential real estate leaders.   Keith Weinhold (00:12:54) - He is one of the country's most frequently quoted sources on real estate, mortgage and foreclosure markets. You've seen him seemingly everywhere CNBC, CBS News, NBC News, CNN, ABC News, Fox, Bloomberg in NPR got about just every letter of the alphabet in there on that one. Today, he's the founder and CEO of J. Patrick Company. They're a market intelligence firm for the real estate and mortgage markets. He has 20 plus years of experience in those industries. Hey, welcome back to Rick Saga. Thank you for having me, Keith. Happy to be here. It's an interesting time. Rick. I think some people are rather confused because you have such unusually low housing supply still. You have higher mortgage rates and we're careful not to call them high mortgage rates because we know historically they're pretty normal. And you have what I would characterize is a rather distinct regional variation in home price appreciation. So we're going to get some clarity today from that confusion. Now, if you're listening on audio only, Rick will describe the charts in a way that gives you a good experience.   Keith Weinhold (00:14:03) - If you're watching this on YouTube, go ahead and give us a like. So we really anticipate, Rick, your take on both the broader economy first and then the real estate market. That's exactly what we're going to go over today. And before we get started, I think you said something I'd like to emphasize a little bit. And this is something we talked about. I believe the last time we chatted is I've been saying all along that we were not going to see a housing market crash. We were going to see a correction of sorts and that the correction was going to be very, very localized. That the results you see in coastal California, in the Pacific Northwest, in markets that were overpriced, like Boise and Salt Lake City and Phoenix and Austin, we're going to be very different than what you saw on the East Coast, particularly the southeastern states, places like Tennessee and Florida and the Carolinas and virtually everywhere else in Texas other than Austin. So it's really worked out that way. There are some markets where we're seeing double digit price declines and other markets where prices continue to go up.   Keith Weinhold (00:15:05) - And we'll get into the national trends in a minute. But thought that was a really important point. Keith Yeah, Thank you for adding that, at least for a while there. Rick. It was one of the most unusual home price appreciation maps I have ever seen. There were some exceptions, but generally the nation east of the Mississippi River, you had rising home prices and recently west of the Mississippi River, you had falling home prices like a river divided it. It was really weird. To your point, it's normalized a little bit. I live in California. Speaking of weird and the pricing out here, the month over month prices and year over year prices went down for the first time in quite a while for about four consecutive months before normalizing in July. Now, even within California, you see different price trends depending on where you are in the state. But the point is really important for investors to remember that you almost threw the national numbers out, that they're important from a trend perspective, but you really need to become an expert in whatever market you happen to be investing in because the local conditions really determine how successful you're going to be.   Keith Weinhold (00:16:09) - Like the national outdoor temperature average is pretty useless, almost somewhat like the national home price average is. I guess the national home price average Still has some meaning to it though. Yeah, and you don't find quite as much variation in home price trends as you do in temperatures, but your points well taken. And again, it's important to be looking for economic trends. It's important to be looking for housing market trends and the markets that you're interested in investing in because that makes all the difference. So we're just going to talk about the general economic landscape of the United States, and then we're going to pivot into real estate and just what's going on with the housing market and getting the latest there. Yeah, why don't we jump right into it at this point, Keith, We're going to do a fall update on the housing market for this year. We're going to take a look at the economy. We'll take a look at what's going on in housing. I have a few slides to share on what's going on to delinquencies and defaults because I know a lot of investors are interested in foreclosure properties.   Keith Weinhold (00:17:11) - And then we'll have some closing thoughts and then you can chat a little bit more about some of the observations we're making in the market today. Let's start talking about that economy, including that part where some people anymore, year after year, they're always predicting this recession that never quite seems to happen. Well, we have predictions of a recession that are very much like predictions of a housing crash. And if you keep predicting that terrible thing long enough, someday you'll probably be right. It'll be right eventually. Just like a broken clock is right. Broken clock. It's right twice a day. So the GDP, the gross domestic product is the way that that most economists measure the strength of the economy. And the second quarter, this number was just adjusted downward a little bit, but we still had over 2% growth for the second quarter of 2023. That was a higher number than most economists had forecast. It was certainly a higher number than what the Federal Reserve was expecting. But it really shows you the strength of the US consumer.   Keith Weinhold (00:18:09) - A lot of people probably don't realize that almost two thirds of the GDP is comprised of consumer spending. There's other factors that go into it business spending, government spending, productivity, trade and the like. But two thirds of it is consumer spending. So when you see the GDP showing strong numbers, it typically means that the consumer is doing pretty well. And that's an important consideration as we move forward. Yeah, that's right. One of those reasons consumers are spending is because we're in this economy where pretty much if you want to have a job, then you've got a job. Yeah. The headlines read about tech companies doing layoffs and mortgage companies doing layoffs. Bottom line is the most recent unemployment numbers we saw were 3.8%. I think we're getting a little spoiled by some of these low unemployment rates because people forget historically, anytime you were under 5% unemployment, it was considered full employment. And the fact of the matter is there's still more jobs open than there are people looking for work. There's about 9.5 million open jobs in about 6 million people who are looking for work.   Keith Weinhold (00:19:11) - So employers have to compete with each other for those employees. And so these low unemployment levels are actually one of the things that's causing wages to go up, which continues to stoke inflation when there are more open jobs than there even are workers that makes employers want to entice employees with higher pay. Yeah, they need to do that to keep employees on the payrolls and they need to do that to hire new employees. So whether you look at hourly wages, which at the moment are up around 28, $29 an hour, or you're looking at annual wage growth, which is running around 4 to 5% a year. Wages are very strong right now. And this is the first time, Keith, in many years that I've been able to tell people that wage growth actually is running higher than home price appreciation for well over a decade. We saw home prices appreciate much more rapidly than we saw wages. And this is the first time in a while where that situation has been reversed. That's a really interesting takeaway, Rick.   Keith Weinhold (00:20:16) - Wage growth that's outstripping home price growth and that's going to be important going forward because one of the big headwinds that the housing market faces today is affordability. Despite what we just talked about, home prices nationally are running at all time high levels. We're going to talk about the cost of financing be much higher than it was just a year ago. And wage growth is the one positive in that category. As wages continue to grow and if home prices settled out a little bit, affordability ultimately will be a little bit better for potential homebuyers. Average wages at 28 to $29 an hour, Americans are basically making a dollar every two minutes now yet could be worse. And that varies, again, market to market, shock to job, but it shows you what's going on on average, partly because of this, consumer spending continues to be very strong. But one of the the real unusual situations we're looking at today is that there's usually a direct correlation between consumer confidence and consumer spending. And the more confident consumers feel about things, the more willing they are to spend money, particularly on big ticket items like cars and houses.   Keith Weinhold (00:21:24) - And that was all true. And the correlation held true until we hit the pandemic. And as we started to come out of the first wave of Covid, you saw consumer confidence start to go up, but then it came back down as we had subsequent waves of Covid. Then we had the war in Ukraine that we had high inflation and all sorts of other odds and ends. And consumer confidence has really never recovered back to pre-pandemic levels while consumer spending has continued to go up. And part of that is pent up consumer demand. We still hear people talking about supply chain delays, trying to order appliances and the like and having to wait for months. Part of it is all the stimulus money that the government poured into the economy during the pandemic and probably overstimulated the economy to a certain extent. One of my economist friends refers to what the government did in terms of stimulus, is trying to stuff $15 trillion into a $3 trillion hole. And the numbers may be a little lost. But think the visuals is image is kind of good.   Keith Weinhold (00:22:25) - But this disconnect we're seeing between. How much money consumers are spending and their relative low confidence scores is a red flag of sorts in a couple of ways. It's a red flag, among other ways, in that if consumer confidence doesn't recover, consumers ultimately could pull back on spending, and that really could ultimately lead us into a recession. Consumer spending outpacing consumer confidence. There are other two other red flags with this consumer spending, and we'll cover them pretty quickly. What is that? Consumer credit card use is at an all time high in the last quarter. For the first time ever, consumer credit card use topped $1 trillion. And the concern here is that consumers in a high cost of living environment may be tapping into credit cards to make ends meet. That's not a good scenario and ultimately is not a scenario that would end well. So part of what we're seeing kind of backstopping or enabling consumer spending is an increased amount of credit card use. The other red flag, Keith, is that consumer personal savings rates have gone down below historic averages.   Keith Weinhold (00:23:33) - So we hit an all time high in savings rates during the pandemic when the government sent out stimulus checks and unemployment benefits were enhanced. And candidly, there wasn't a lot consumers could buy. So they socked away a lot of this money post-pandemic. We saw savings rates drop down to almost historically low levels and they haven't come back much up from that. So the two red flags that we really are looking at right now, that could be indicators of trouble ahead for the economy are record level credit card use and lower than average savings rates. And again, both of those suggest that families who are sort of on the margins financially might be tapping into credit cards, might be tapping into their savings to make ends meet. In fact, I read some recent research that suggests that on average, most households have higher credit card debt than they have savings. It's not a great scenario, and this is consistent with many sources citing the fact that between 60 and 70% of Americans live paycheck to paycheck. Yeah, and it almost doesn't matter how high that paycheck is, which is a little bit counterintuitive.   Keith Weinhold (00:24:43) - I remember doing an interview on CNN years ago when Evander Holyfield mansion was being foreclosed on. It was a $30 million mansion outside of Georgia with two bowling alleys, swimming pool, indoor boxing rinks, basketball courts, the whole nine yards. I had to explain to the reporter that just because you're wealthy doesn't mean you're not living paycheck to paycheck. It's just sometimes there's more zeros to the left of the decimal point. Their cost of living tends to be much higher. So expenses are keeping up with income. All right, Expenses keep up with income. What's been going on in terms of consumer spending, in terms of wage growth, in terms of the GDP being strong has all contributed to inflation. And we had the highest inflation rate in 40 years. Not too long ago, we were up over 9% inflation year over year. And the Federal Reserve has taken very aggressive actions to try and get inflation under control. The primary tool they use is raising the Fed funds rate, which is basically what sets the rates on all short term interest.   Keith Weinhold (00:25:44) - And they've raised it more rapidly and higher than it pretty much any time in history. If you go back to the 80s, they actually raised the Fed funds rate higher because inflation was completely out of control then, but not as quickly as they did this time. So typically what you see is something more like what the Fed did say back in the 2015, 2016 period, where inflation ticked up a little bit. So they raise the Fed funds rate a little and they waited a while to see what kind of impact it would have. Then they raise it a little bit more and it's kind of a step by step process until they feel that inflation is peaked and they can then drop off the Fed funds rate. This time they raised it at higher increments they'd ever done before and much more rapidly. The good news is it does seem to be having its effect. The most recent inflation numbers are around 3% year over year, which is close to the Fed's target rate of 2% year over year. And a lot of the inflation rate that is reported on is housing costs.   Keith Weinhold (00:26:42) - And most of the housing costs are actually rental rates or what the Fed refers to is the rental equivalency. If you have a mortgage. And what we have seen is rental rates have gone back down from ridiculously high, asking prices. A year or so ago, it wasn't unusual to see an asking rent 15% higher than the prior rent rate. And that's in a market where the usual increase is 1 to 4%. So it was just completely off the charts. Those numbers have all come back to normal. And in some markets, we're actually seeing slight declines in year over year rental asking prices. The reason the Ric is bringing rents into the inflation discussion here is because rent and something called owners equivalent rent are a substantial contributor to the. They comprise more than a third of the CPI basket. Exactly right, Keith. And thank you for reminding me why I started this dissertation. The fact is that that decrease in rental costs has not hit the Fed's inflation numbers yet. There's about a full year lag in the housing numbers that the Fed uses in its CPI analysis and what's going on in the real market.   Keith Weinhold (00:27:52) - So if the Federal Reserve does nothing else, these housing costs get caught up. We will see inflation come down a little bit more. A lot of us are hoping that the Fed is done with its increases because of what's happened historically. Historically speaking, if you go all the way back to World War Two, the Federal Reserve not counting this cycle, has raised the Fed funds rate 11 times to get inflation under control. Eight of those times it's waited a little bit too long or it's waited for inflation until inflation got too high and it was a little bit too sticky and they had to overcorrect. And that ultimately steered us into a recession. There were three times once in the 60s, once in the 80s and once in the 90s where the Fed acted proactively to try and get inflation under control. And in those three cases, they were able to steer us into a soft landing and avoid a recession. In this case, they've already admitted they waited too long. They admitted that inflation got much higher than they expected.   Keith Weinhold (00:28:48) - It certainly wasn't as transitory as they'd hoped. So the likelihood is that they've already overcorrected and we will see something of a recession. They may get lucky this time. They may have actually walked the tightrope correctly. And assuming they don't continue with this aggressive course of action, they may have actually managed to work us into a soft landing this time. Yeah, and that is a terrific history lesson that you gave us, Rick. I often like to tell my audience about when you want to predict the future direction of something. I'd like to take history over hunches. It's easy to have a hunch that something's going to go a certain direction. But you look at history. You talked about basically how the Fed was late to identify inflation because they had called it transitory for a while, so they started hiking too late. Now, maybe they've overhyped or maybe they haven't. But if they have, maybe they will need to lower them too quickly. If they don't have that desired soft landing. The economists that follow right now are split about 5050 on whether we'll actually see a recession coming out of this cycle.   Keith Weinhold (00:29:51) - It was more like 8020, looking for a recession just a few months ago. Right. The economy is slowing a little bit. The last jobs report had about 187,000 jobs created, which was a good number, but it was lower than what we've seen in recent reports. So the economy slowing down, but not going to full stop or going into negative terms is an indication that maybe we do escape a recession. Good news, by the way, is even if we do have a recession, the rest of the economic measures that you look at are also strong, that it's very likely it would be a very short and very mild recession, and unemployment probably wouldn't get over about four and a half or 5%. So that's something to keep in mind as you go forward. You talked about history, Keith. I big on that too, history as a predictor of what might happen. Yeah. The other thing that points to a recession is something called a yield curve inversion. And without getting too inside baseball on people, people track the yield on a ten year US Treasury and they track the yield on a two year US Treasury and typically your yield on a short investment like a two year Treasury is lower than your yield on a ten year or longer investment because there's more risk involved in the longer time period and so forth and so on.   Keith Weinhold (00:31:07) - Every now and then, the bond market senses a disruption in the force. Darth Vader is looming over the market and you see these things switch places and suddenly the yield on a ten year US Treasury is lower than the yield on a two year US Treasury, and that's called a yield curve inversion. Now yield curve inversion doesn't cause a recession, but the last seven times we've had one, it's correctly predicted that a recession was coming and this current period we're in is one of the longer and deeper inversions that we've ever seen. So again, if you look at history as a predictor of the future, this yield curve inversion points toward us having a recession at some point before we get through the cycle. And I know yield curves can confuse a lot of people. If you're the listener or the viewer here, make a very long term loan to a friend, well, you'd want to get compensated with a higher interest rate for that higher risk amount than if you made a short term loan to a friend and he was paying you back.   Keith Weinhold (00:32:04) - Tomorrow, you might not charge him much of any interest at all because there's more certainty that you're going to get paid back. But that condition has been inverted, where when you make the long loan to the buddy, you're compensated with a lower interest rate yield. That is what is known as a yield curve inversion. Yeah. And I think yield curve throws people off. If you just think of it in terms of the yields, that probably makes it simpler. But again, if you're looking at recession predictors, these are the two. That I typically look at. And that's kind of important to know if you're going to be investing in the housing market because recessions can have an impact on the housing market. Rick thinks there's a likelihood that the Fed has already overcorrected with too many interest rate increases. If we do have a recession, Rick believes that it's most likely to be mild without many layoffs. Rick and I, we actually seem to agree on a lot of things. We see a lot of things the same way.   Keith Weinhold (00:33:03) - Maybe it would be more interesting for you if we disagreed a bit more to stay up on the latest moves in the real estate market. You can follow Rick Saga on X, formerly known as Twitter. His handle there is simply Rick Saga. Well, Rick made a Darth Vader reference there. And, you know, much like the original Star Wars movie had the sequel, which was called The Empire Strikes Back. You know, that was one sequel that some people liked more than the original. And that is atypical because usually people like the original more. But The Empire Strikes Back was a fantastic sequel, and I think that could happen here next week. Rick and I are back together for part two of two, the sequel. We are probably going to analyze and break down the state of the housing market and the future of investment real estate. And we should go on for twice as long on that as we did for today on the economy. So therefore, next week is kind of like the Empire Strikes Back, although I don't expect that next week Darth Vader is going to cut off Luke Skywalker's hand like what happened in the movie.   Keith Weinhold (00:34:10) - That just wouldn't be proper. And we're clearly not into improprieties around here.   Darth Vader (00:34:18) - You are unwise to lower your defenses.   Keith Weinhold (00:34:23) - Oh, Luke lost his hand this week. Not next week. Well, that's not even the scene where Luke loses his hand, But, hey, that totally worked. So. Getting back to real estate here, you need properties to be an investor. The builders know that higher mortgage rates are a pain point for buyers. Our coaches and I hear a know it too. So we have. Yes. Rubbed salve on the wound 5.75% interest rates, 4.75% or even 2.99%. And at times you're going to have to use the builder's preferred lender in order to get those terms. But really some remarkable Bibles that we've negotiated for you. So take advantage of it since I don't know how long that is going to be around. In fact, I'll even bring up those rate by down terms to Rick Saga next week and get his take to help you out on the cash flow side. We also have access to properties that would make good mid term corporate rentals in the southeastern US midterm rentals.   Keith Weinhold (00:35:27) - They often have higher cash flow than a traditional long term unfurnished rental. For any and all of that, contact your investment coach, you're probably working with one by now. They'll help you shop the marketplace properties, tell you where the real deals are and tell you how to get those improbably low mortgage rates for income properties. Your coach guides you and makes it easy for you If you don't have an investment coach yet, just go to Marketplace. Com slash coach and they're there to help you out until next week I'm your host Keith Winfield. Don't quit your Adrian.   Speaker 4 (00:36:08) - Nothing on this show should be considered specific, personal or professional advice. Please consult an appropriate tax, legal, real estate, financial or business professional for individualized advice. Opinions of guests are their own information is not guaranteed. All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. The host is operating on behalf of Get Rich Education LLC exclusively.   Keith Weinhold (00:36:36) - The preceding program was brought to you by your home for wealth building. Get rich education.

Curious about the current state of the stock and housing market and what's coming up for the second half of the year?Get up to date with the current market updates!In this episode, Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese explain the difference between hard and soft economic data and why it's important to look at both to get a better understanding of the economy. Ryan and Sonu also touch on the impact of Harry Markowitz on the investment industry, the potential for a strong July rally, and the current state of the housing market. Ryan and Sonu discuss: The difference between soft data and hard dataHarry Markowitz and his impact on the industry through formalizing diversification and the return versus risk frameworkThe possibility of a continuation of the summer rally in the second half of the year, citing historical data and momentumThe valuations in the S&P500 — with a focus on the tech sectorThe importance of housing in the economy and how it is showing early cycle signalsHow housing has historically led recessions and how it took away from GDP for eight quarters in a rowAnd more!Connect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseInvestment advisory services offered through CWM, LLC, an SEC Registered Investment Advisor. Carson Partners, a division of CWM, LLC, is a nationwide partnership of advisors.

One of the most reliable indicators of economic forecasting is the yield curve. It is a perfect 10 for 10: every recession since 1955 has been preceded by an inversion. Currently the yields of the 10-year and 2-year Treasury bills have been inverted for 11 months. Is a recession looming in the near term, and if so, how severe will it be? We discuss the yield curve inversion in our latest episode of Conversations with Commerce Trust. We also encourage you to download our companion piece to the podcast, examining what makes this yield curve inversion unique.  Lastly, Chief Investment Officer David Hagee provides an overview on the debt ceiling standstill and what's at stake should the U.S. default on its debt obligations.  

Derek Moore and ZEGA CEO Jay Pestrichelli are back again to discuss Cam Harvey's 10/3 Yield Curve Inversion and its track record. What it has meant and can mean going forward. Looking at the Real Retail Sales importance for predicting recessions. What various Fed members and Jamie Dimon say about where interest rates are going. Plus, what is going on with wages and how real wage growth may or may not give the Fed cover to raise more. Then, they discuss banks going to the discount window and the new Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) to borrow money. Finally, what do credit card interest rates and increased usage tell us about the health of the consumer, and why is no one talking about the upcoming debt ceiling deadline?   What is the 10-year 3-month yield curve inversion? Cam Harvey and the inception of the 10/3 yield curve as a predictor How often has the 10/3 yield curve inversion predicted recessions? Does the steepness of the yield curve say anything about the depth of recessions? Debating whether the 10/3 inversion in 2019 predicted the 2020 recession? Average time from yield curve inversion to the declaration of recessions Cam Harvey interview saying this time might be different. How real retail sales peaked back in March of 2021 Nominal retail sales disappointed while year over year hit lowest level in a while. What is the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP)? Banks accessing the Fed's discount window plus the BTFP Consumer credit usage makes a new high while credit card interest rates reach new high Jamie Dimon comments on higher rates for longer and implications Real wage growth has been negative for the last 2 years What is the debt ceiling and what does it mean for the US Treasury US Treasury keeps a “checking” account at the Fed   Mentioned in this Episode:     Atlantic article from 2011 explaining potential option to get around debt ceiling by US Treasury getting overdraft protection from the Fed https://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2011/07/the-us-government-cannot-ever-run-out-of-money/242622/   Can the Fed Fail? Q1 Winners Surprise the Crowd podcast https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/can-the-fed-fail-q1-winners-surprise-the-crowd/id1432836154?i=1000608060319   One Thing No One Ever Talks About within the S&P 500 Index | FANG Stocks 1 Rest of Market 0  https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/one-thing-no-one-ever-talks-about-within-the-s-p-500/id1432836154?i=1000607742682   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=broken+pie+chart&qid=1558722226&s=books&sr=1-1-catcorr   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegafinancial.com

Value: After Hours is a podcast about value investing, Fintwit, and all things finance and investment by investors Tobias Carlisle and Jake Taylor. See our latest episodes at https://acquirersmultiple.com/  Drew Dickson runs Albert Bridge Capital: https://www.albertbridgecapital.com/drews-viewTwitter: https://twitter.com/AlbertBridgeCap About Jake: Journalytic Jake is a partner at Farnam Street: http://farnam-street.com/vah Jake's podcast: https://twitter.com/5_GQs Jake's Twitter: https://twitter.com/farnamjake1 Jake's book: The Rebel Allocator https://amzn.to/2sgip3l About Bill: Bill runs Sullimar Capital Group, a family investment firm. Bill's website: https://sullimarcapital.group/ Bill's Twitter: @BillBrewsterSCG ABOUT THE PODCAST Hi, I'm Tobias Carlisle. I launched The Acquirers Podcast to discuss the process of finding undervalued stocks, deep value investing, hedge funds, activism, buyouts, and special situations. We uncover the tactics and strategies for finding good investments, managing risk, dealing with bad luck, and maximizing success. SEE LATEST EPISODES https://acquirersmultiple.com/podcast/ SEE OUR FREE DEEP VALUE STOCK SCREENER https://acquirersmultiple.com/screener/ FOLLOW TOBIAS Website: https://acquirersmultiple.com/ Firm: https://acquirersfunds.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Greenbackd LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/tobycarlisle Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/tobiascarlisle Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tobias_carlisle ABOUT TOBIAS CARLISLE Tobias Carlisle is the founder of The Acquirer's Multiple®, and Acquirers Funds®. He is best known as the author of the #1 new release in Amazon's Business and Finance The Acquirer's Multiple: How the Billionaire Contrarians of Deep Value Beat the Market, the Amazon best-sellers Deep Value: Why Activists Investors and Other Contrarians Battle for Control of Losing Corporations (2014) (https://amzn.to/2VwvAGF), Quantitative Value: A Practitioner's Guide to Automating Intelligent Investment and Eliminating Behavioral Errors (2012) (https://amzn.to/2SDDxrN), and Concentrated Investing: Strategies of the World's Greatest Concentrated Value Investors (2016) (https://amzn.to/2SEEjVn). He has extensive experience in investment management, business valuation, public company corporate governance, and corporate law. Prior to founding the forerunner to Acquirers Funds in 2010, Tobias was an analyst at an activist hedge fund, general counsel of a company listed on the Australian Stock Exchange, and a corporate advisory lawyer. As a lawyer specializing in mergers and acquisitions he has advised on transactions across a variety of industries in the United States, the United Kingdom, China, Australia, Singapore, Bermuda, Papua New Guinea, New Zealand, and Guam.

Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss Yield Curve Inversion, March Fed Meeting, China Reopening with Jonathan Ferro, Tom Keene & Lisa Abramowicz.

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This week on “Money Talks,” Chief Investment Officer Troy Harmon, CFA, CVA, is joined by Managing Associate Jarrett McKenzie, CFP®, CWS ®, and Associate Peter Lynch to discuss how the market is faring at the start of 2023, top movers in the market, and inflation. The hosts team up to discuss how when clients divorce, a financial adviser goes from one client as a couple to two clients who are looking out for themselves. The Experts round out the show by answering listeners' questions on Timestamps and Chapters 00:00     Market Roundup: Covering Jan. 9 – Jan 13, 2023 24:10     Case Study: A Financial Adviser and a Clients' Divorce34:10     Q&A Time: Determining When to RetireFollow Henssler:  Facebook: http://bit.ly/HensslerFacebook  Twitter: http://bit.ly/HensslerTwitter  LinkedIn: http://bit.ly/HensslerLinkedIn  Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/YouTube: http://bit.ly/HensslerYouTube   “Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/ 

Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial and Derek are back to talk about how there is conflicting bullish and bearish data in the economy. Jobs data vs manufacturing tells a different story. Plus, digging into the labor force participation rate conundrum. This week Campbell Harvey who came up with the 3 month over 10 year treasury yield curve inversion indicator said despite being right every time on recessions, this time may be different.   Cambell Harvey yield curve inversion signals false this time? 3 Month Treasury inverted against the 10 Year Treasury Bond Labor force participation rate explained. Is low unemployment rate because a few million people are not looking for work? PMI data shows things are slowing while employment is strong. Wage growth revised lower a bullish sign for markets? Has Spain's stock market really gone nowhere for past 13 years? It's about to get real for earnings seasons once again. Banks are first up for earnings which may give hints around the economy Don't overlook Taiwan Semiconductor earnings as an econ barometer for economy. And recommendations for a few movies, shows, and books.     Mentioned in this Episode:     Yield curve inversion false signal this time according to Cambell Harvey? https://finance.yahoo.com/finance/news/pioneering-yield-curve-economist-sees-151304568.html   Derek's new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=broken+pie+chart&qid=1558722226&s=books&sr=1-1-catcorr   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://www.amazon.com/Buy-Hedge-Iron-Rules-Investing/dp/1087941849/ref=nav_signin?_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr=&asin=1087941849&revisionId=&format=4&depth=1   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegafinancial.com  

The yield on the 10-year bond recently fell below the rate paid by the Fed on bank reserves. That is, a bank gets paid more to lend to the Fed for a day than to lend to the Treasury for ten years. There is not merely an inversion between the 2-year and the 10-year bonds. Nor even the 3-month and 10-year. Now the overnight and 10-year bond are inverted. We explain why this is absolutely crazy.

"The short end of the yield curve is going to force the 10-year note higher," predicts Jim Bianco. He explains the inversion is at a 40-year extreme and that could mean trouble for the long end too.

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Lyn Alden, investment strategist and Cory Klippsten, founder and CEO of Swan Bitcoin join me to discuss crypto VC exploit the retail markets, the fall out from FTX, the yield inversion curve and how they believe Bitcoin will be able to get us out of the economic debt spiral.Chapters 00:00:00 Swan Bitcoin Services00:03:10 “The Race to Avoid the War” 00:09:30 Bitcoin Not Crypto 00:16:34 Is Bitcoin's Success Inevitable? 00:18:27 Who's to Blame for the Crypto Contagion? 00:23:52 Crypto Blow Ups and the Risks of Chasing Yield 00:33:04 Yield Curve Inversion, Concerns in China and Macro Overview 00:40:59 Climate FUD and Energy Policy Outlook 00:45:15 Bitcoin Adoption in Africa 00:50:58 “Swan Signal Live” Outro00:52:55 Twitter Spaces Q&A  Connect with Lyn: https://twitter.com/LynAldenContactConnect with Cory: https://twitter.com/coryklippstenConnect with Brady: https://twitter.com/citizenbitcoin "Buy, Learn and Earn" - Download the Swan Bitcoin Mobile App today: https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app/ Connect with Swan on social media: Twitter: https://twitter.com/SwanBitcoin​​​ Telegram: https://t.me/swansignal​​​  Swan Signal Live and Swan Lounge are a production of Swan Bitcoin, the best way to accumulate Bitcoin through automatic recurring buys at https://swanbitcoin.com​​​.  Are you a high net worth individual or do you represent corporation that might be interested in learning more about Bitcoin? Swan Private guides corporations and high net worth individuals toward building generational wealth with Bitcoin. Find out more at https://swanbitcoin.com/private Get your free ebook or audiobook copy of "Inventing Bitcoin" here: https://swanbitcoin.com/freebook We also have the book available en español, y puede descargar su copia en https://swanbitcoin.com/librogratis Get your free ebook copy of "21 Lessons" here: https://swanbitcoin.com/21lessonsJoin our Swan Force, our referral program, and get paid to recruit new Bitcoiners: https://swanbitcoin.com/enlist 

An SEC complaint highlights what can happen if an advisor breaches their duty to seek 'best execution' for transactions of its advisory clients. Today's Stocks & Topics: Private Equity Industry, Tech Sell-Off, Yield Curve Inversion, BKE - Buckle Inc., The Stock Market and 401k, CTRA - Coterra Energy Inc., SU - Suncor Energy Inc., SLB - Schlumberger Ltd.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

On today's show we are talking about what an inverted yield curve means for real estate investors. The yield curve is making headlines. The Wall Street Journal reports that the yield curve has not been this inverted since 1981 and 1981's recession pushed unemployment rates even higher than the 2008 financial crisis. A yield curve inversion happens when short term rates are higher than long term rates. This is a bit like an atmospheric inversion. In an atmospheric inversion, the temperature at the ground is lower than the temperature up in the clouds. It can happen, just not very often. It's not natural. Just like the atmospheric inversion, interest rates will normalize eventually. One of two things will happen. Long term rates will rise to match short term rates, or short term rates will fall to match long term rates. We don't know what the future will bring. -------------- Host: Victor Menasce email: podcast@victorjm.com

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In this episode, Kelly Chia, Deputy Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer shares his thoughts on current market dynamics after a monster short covering rally on 11 November. This was on the back of cooler than expected inflation numbers in the USA. Topics covered: Upcoming data points to watch out for, The probability of Recession, Hedging against inflation with defensive sectors eg Healthcare and Staples, Yield Curve inversion, COP27

Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, is back with Derek this week where they talk FTX bankruptcy and whether it means the end for crypto? Then they discuss the 3-month treasury bond yield inverting with the 10-year treasury bond. Yes, every time that has happened there have been recessions, so what about this time? Earnings continue to be the thing to watch. A quick game of who is right after the Atlanta Fed GDP Nowcast is showing 4.3% growth compared to a measly 0.5% current estimate for Q4 GDP. Finally, some recommendations.     FTX Bankruptcy Whether crypto has any use case One bad actor doesn't make the whole space Who's right, the Atlanta Fed GDP Nowcast or the street consensus on Q4 GDP? 3-Month US Treasury inversion with the 10-Year Treasury Yield Does a recession always happen after this inversion? Examining typical un-inversion prior to recessions Discussing whether we had inversion prior to 2020 recession Q3 earnings are mostly done so what does that mean for stocks? Nominal vs real (after inflation) retail sales numbers       Mentioned in this Episode:   Capitulation: What does it look like for market bottoms podcast https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/capitulation-markets-tend-to-lead-the-economy/id1432836154?i=1000585228050   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=broken+pie+chart&qid=1558722226&s=books&sr=1-1-catcorr   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://www.amazon.com/Buy-Hedge-Iron-Rules-Investing/dp/1087941849/ref=nav_signin?_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr=&asin=1087941849&revisionId=&format=4&depth=1   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegafinancial.com

Henssler Money Talks – November 19, 2022Season 36, Episode 47This week on “Money Talks,” Chief Investment Officer Troy Harmon, CFA, CVA, is joined his fellow Research Analysts, Nick Antonucci, CVA, CEPA, and Jacob Keen, CFA, to discuss interest rates and the possibility of what a recession may look like. They take a closer look at the macroeconomics of the market and mid-term elections. They round out the show by answering listeners' questions on why the market acts on certain news.Timestamps and Chapters00:00     Market Roundup: Covering Oct. 14 – Nov. 18, 202223:00     Case Study: What Might Work in a Recession?33:33     Q&A Time: How does the “rational” market pick which news to listen to?Follow Henssler:  Facebook: http://bit.ly/HensslerFacebook  Twitter: http://bit.ly/HensslerTwitter  LinkedIn: http://bit.ly/HensslerLinkedIn  Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/YouTube: http://bit.ly/HensslerYouTube   “Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/ 

IN THIS EPISODE, YOU'LL LEARN:02:09 - Why Banks are at serious risk of losing deposits.09:25 - Why the ECB is changing its tune on monetary policy.17:01 - The recent Fed meeting.39:46 - The underlying risk with pension funds using interest rate swaps.58:44 - Expectations for the current yield curve inversion.And much, much more!Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.BOOKS AND RESOURCESThe Macro Compass' Newsletter.Alf's Twitter.Trey Lockerbie's Twitter.Related Episode: European Fragmentation Policy & Mounting Global Pressures w/ Alf Pecca - BTC089.Related Episode: Understanding Quantitative Easing w/ Alfonso Peccatiello - MI232.NEW TO THE SHOW?Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs.Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here.Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool.Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services.Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets.Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. P.S The Investor's Podcast Network is excited to launch a subreddit devoted to our fans in discussing financial markets, stock picks, questions for our hosts, and much more! Join our subreddit r/TheInvestorsPodcast today!SPONSORSGet position and investment info for nearly 6,000 Asset Management Companies with Moomoo, Australia's first A.I. powered trading platform. Sign up and fund your moomoo account before October 31 and get $10 for every $100 you deposit. All investment carries risk. AFSL 224 663. T&Cs apply.Find an advisor who's invested in you with iA Financial Services Inc.If your business has five or more employees and managed to survive Covid you could be eligible to receive a payroll tax rebate of up to twenty-six thousand dollars per employee. Find out if your business qualifies with Innovation Refunds.Whether you're exploring ways to manage volatility, seeking income and diversification opportunities, or looking for tax management strategies- Invesco has over 200 ETFs to help you meet your financial goals. Visit invesco.com for a prospectus with this information.Invest in high-quality, cash-flowing real estate without all of the hassle with Passive Investing.Private assets represent 98% of companies in North America but are absent in most portfolios. Reconstruct your portfolio with private markets with Mackenzie Investments.Throw out the old traditions and get progressive. Discover the complete package - smart design, lots to love under the hood with Genesis.Have gold and silver shipped directly to your door for you to hold at your home. Get BullionMax's Gold Investor Kit today - 3 ounces of the world's most desirable gold coins, including the Gold American Eagle and Canadian Maple Leaf.More wealth, more purpose, or making more of a difference? Commonwealth Private helps you create more of yours - with exceptional service and experts who meticulously tailor opportunities for you.Take a position daily on potential price movements, and gain exposure while limiting risk with Interactive Brokers.If you're aware you need to improve your bitcoin security but have been putting it off, Unchained Capital's Concierge Onboarding is a simple way to get started—sooner rather than later. Book your onboarding today and at checkout, get $50 off with the promo code FUNDAMENTALS.Get personalized, expert advice that helps you see things clearly with ATB.In a world of probabilities, trade the possibilities with Pepperstone.If you're a sales professional, get every real time advantage you can get with Sales Navigator. Enjoy 60 days of free trial today.Enjoy 10% off your first booking in Viator's world of over 300,000 experiences you'll remember. Download the Viator app now and use code VIATOR10.Monitor your recovery, sleep, training, and health, with personalized recommendations and coaching feedback with WHOOP. Use code WSB to save 10% off your order today.Start building a portfolio of alternative farm and timberland assets with AcreTrader.Enjoy a 400-calorie meal that contains 40g of expertly sourced, premium plant protein, all 26 essential vitamins and minerals, and a scientifically calibrated mix of carbs, good fats and fiber with Huel Black Edition. Plus, get a free t-shirt and free shaker with your first order.Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors.HELP US OUT!Help us reach new listeners by leaving us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts! It takes less than 30 seconds, and really helps our show grow, which allows us to bring on even better guests for you all! Thank you – we really appreciate it!See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Moneywise Guys Thursday, November 17th BE MONEYWISE. Moneywise Wealth Management I "The Moneywise Guys" podcast call: 661-847-1000 text in anytime: 661-396-1000 email: info@moneywiseguys.com website: www.MoneywiseGuys.com  

Henssler Money Talks – November 12, 2022 Season 36, Episode 46This week on “Money Talks,” Chief Investment Officer Troy Harmon, CFA, CVA, is joined by Tax Manager Jessie Thomas, CPA, and Director of Insurance Planning Jim Crone, CLU®, CFS®, to cover the week's news on inflation with the Consumer Price Index and the latest inversion in interest rates. Jessie tackles a couple's situation on how they're paying state income taxes twice because they work remotely. The hosts round out the show by answering listeners' questions on depositing lottery winnings and life insurance.Timestamps and Chapters00:00     Market Roundup: Covering Nov. 7 – Nov. 11, 202224:12    Case Study: State Tax Snare for Remote Workers33:51     Q&A Time: Lottery Winnings and Life Insurance Follow Henssler:  Facebook: http://bit.ly/HensslerFacebook  Twitter: http://bit.ly/HensslerTwitter  LinkedIn: http://bit.ly/HensslerLinkedIn  Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/YouTube: http://bit.ly/HensslerYouTube   “Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/ 

It's expiration week and the /S2Y & /S10Y have to be rolled. Liz and Jenny compare using the small exchange products to the big dogs, /ZN & /ZT, when trading the yield curve. They decide to stick with the smalls, but add another contract since this inversion seems to be hitting an extreme.

It's expiration week and the /S2Y & /S10Y have to be rolled. Liz and Jenny compare using the small exchange products to the big dogs, /ZN & /ZT, when trading the yield curve. They decide to stick with the smalls, but add another contract since this inversion seems to be hitting an extreme.

It's episode #20 of the Cash Rules Everything Around Me podcast with your host, Jason Matthews of Matthews Financial & Insurance Solutions! In this episode, Jason and co-host Norm Schriever cover: Stock market fools' gold? Are we seeing the start of another bull market? Or just a temporary rise before more drops?What is an Inverted Yield Curve (and how does it predict recessions)?The recent drop in inflation – what does it really mean to you and me?WARNING: Be careful of debt right now!September is Little League Baseball Month!A couple of success stories from Jason's clients.Thanks for listening, subscribing, and please send us your questions or comments what you'd like to hear on the podcast! And if you'd like to get in touch with Jason Matthews, have a question you'd like us to answer on-air, or want to receive the monthly economic recap:☎️ 510.229.7608 

On this episode of MKT Call, Guy Adami and Dan Nathan are joined by Tom Sosnoff of tastytrade and Carter Worth of Worth Charting to discuss: The yield curve inversion deepening OPEC+ agreeing to a modest increase in oil production Two fintech stocks are surging (PayPal, Robinhood) Groups of stocks that may be bottoming (Biotech, Software, Retail) Revisiting Carter's CAT & AMD calls ---- Watch MKT Call at 1pm M-TH on YouTube Sign up for our emails ---- MKT Call is brought to you by our presenting sponsors FactSet, tastytrade, and is powered by OpenExchange. ---- Follow us on Twitter @MKTCall Follow Dan Nathan @RiskReversal on Twitter Follow @GuyAdami on Twitter Follow @CarterBWorth on Twitter Follow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMedia Like us on Facebook  @RiskReversal Watch all of our videos on YouTube

On this episode of MKT Call, Guy Adami and Dan Nathan are joined by Tom Sosnoff of tastytrade and Carter Worth of Worth Charting to discuss: The yield curve inversion deepening OPEC+ agreeing to a modest increase in oil production Two fintech stocks are surging (PayPal, Robinhood) Groups of stocks that may be bottoming (Biotech, Software, Retail) Revisiting Carter's CAT & AMD calls ---- Watch MKT Call at 1pm M-TH on YouTube Sign up for our emails ---- MKT Call is brought to you by our presenting sponsors FactSet, tastytrade, and is powered by OpenExchange. ---- Follow us on Twitter @MKTCall Follow Dan Nathan @RiskReversal on Twitter Follow @GuyAdami on Twitter Follow @CarterBWorth on Twitter Follow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMedia Like us on Facebook  @RiskReversal Watch all of our videos on YouTube

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The US Treasury yield curve continues to spread and has reached the 52-week bill. The Fed is being told by the market it will be CUTTING rates, soon. ----EP. 263 REFERENCES----RealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7Epoch Times Columns: https://bit.ly/39ESkRf-------THE EPISODES-------YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisLVurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodvine: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiHPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39XjrPodcastRepublic: https://bit.ly/3LH8JlV---------THE TEAM---------Jeff Snider, Emperor Eurodollar. Emil Kalinowski, Ceremony Master. David Parkins, Illustrator Deus. Audio and video editor, Terence. Episode intro/outro music is "Neon Dreams" by Lazer Boomerang.------FIND THE TEAM-------Jeff: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPJeff: https://www.eurodollar.university/Emil: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiEmil: https://www.EuroDollarEnterprises.comDavid: https://DavidParkins.com/Terence: https://www.VisualFocusMedia.comLazer Boomerang: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCPnl9BuBDKx8_uQ2xNy-djg"Neon Dreams": https://youtu.be/8vk_pnHbeZ4-------DISCLOSURES--------Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving investment advice or recommendations on behalf of AFA. The Promoter is being compensated by a fee arrangement: The Promoter will receive compensation on a quarterly basis, based on the increase in account openings that can be reasonably attributed to the Promoter's activity. The Promoter will not be receiving a portion of any advisory fees. The Promoter has an incentive to recommend the Adviser because the Promoter is being compensated. The opinions expressed on this site and in these videos are those solely of Jeffrey Snider and Eurodollar University and do not represent those of AFA.Emil Kalinowski is acting as three-ring circus ring master, he can neither confirm nor deny the presence of nuclear weapons on this show. Mister Kalinowski is neither employed by AFA nor does he receive any compensation from AFA -- not even the expensive gift basket comes with those fancy nuts. Señor Kalinowski does not offer investment advice. Nevertheless should you torture a statement by him into taking on the form of advice, or perhaps the shape of a suggestion -- let's even say a contortion resembling a hint -- AND then act on monsieur Kalinowski's 'recommendations'?  Well, YOU WILL LOSE MONEY. Even if you do the opposite of signore Kalinowski's 'advice' you will ALSO lose money - it is some kind of a paradox (both the National Aeronautics and Space Administration and Securities and Exchange Commission are investigating). Induna Kalinowski's only guidance is that you do not listen to him for any purpose other than deep, rapid eye movement sleep.

The Yield Curve has finally inverted and it is stuck this time! It inverted a while ago but flipped right back, and this time it remains stagnant. Now's the time to talk about it because it is real this time. It's flashing a recession warning, so I'm going to explain very simply: - What a yield curve is - What it means when it inverts - Why it inverts - Why it means a recession is likely on the way

On this episode: We have a large news slate with trouble with UK Lawmaker, Elon Musk welcomed Twin babies last year and a feel good GoFundme story! Roundtable: Stock Market explained: Yield curve inversion As always follow me on IG here: https://www.instagram.com/delano.saporu/?hl=en Connect with me here also: https://newstreetadvisorsgroup.com/social/ Want to support the show? Feel free to do so here! https://anchor.fm/delano-saporu4/support Thank you for listening --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/delano-saporu4/support

Inflation fears and a hawkish Fed have the market for interest rate futures more volatile than it's been in years. Rates have shifted so much in recent trade that the US yield curve has actually gone inverted. Katie and Frank show you how to use Small Exchange futures to profit from a potential further inversion or a return to normal.Don't just learn about yield curve inversions, but trade them with our experienced futures traders Katie and Frank.

Inflation fears and a hawkish Fed have the market for interest rate futures more volatile than it's been in years. Rates have shifted so much in recent trade that the US yield curve has actually gone inverted. Katie and Frank show you how to use Small Exchange futures to profit from a potential further inversion or a return to normal.Don't just learn about yield curve inversions, but trade them with our experienced futures traders Katie and Frank.