Podcast appearances and mentions of Don Moore

Confidence is essential in business, but unchecked overconfidence? That's where things fall apart. Don Moore, a leading expert on decision science, breaks down why most people—especially successful ones—tend to be too sure of themselves in areas they know little about. We dig into why business owners struggle to evaluate risk, why past wins can make you blind to future mistakes, and how probabilistic thinking can keep you from making overconfident (and expensive) decisions. KEY TOPICSHow the sunk cost fallacy keeps business owners stuck in failing ventures.How market predictions based on ‘gut feeling' often backfire.What AI reveals about human overconfidence.Why your biggest blind spots exist in areas where you think you're most knowledgeable. ⁠SIGN UP FOR OUR FREE WEEKLY NEWSLETTER⁠CHAPTERS00:00 – Intro: Defeating bad decision-making in life & business02:00 – Why new parents are overconfident05:30 – The Dunning-Kruger effect in parenting and beyond07:40 – What is over-precision, and why does it matter?12:20 – The dangers of overconfidence in business and investing16:55 – Why successful people struggle with decision-making19:20 – The power of having language for decision-making biases21:45 – How thinking in probabilities leads to better choices24:05 – Market predictions, uncertainty, and decision paralysis26:20 – How hobbies and competition keep us humble28:50 – The behaviors that make people more (or less) overconfident31:05 – The surprising gift of criticism33:25 – Parenting, teenage rebellion, and overconfidence36:50 – Overconfidence in parenting decisions39:10 – Avoiding regret and learning from imperfect decisions41:20 – Why most people misinterpret their financial wins43:45 – Is AI overconfident? The risk of machine-generated certainty46:00 – The problem with certainty in AI, investing, and life48:30 – Why demanding 100% certainty keeps you stuck50:30 – What Sanger has learned from hosting Decidedly55:10 – The importance of embracing uncertainty in business and life57:35 – Don's top decision-making tip for business owners57:47 – Where to connect with Don Moore58:16 – Key Takeaways59:29 – Message from the Producer   CONNECT WITH US⁠www.decidedlypodcast.com⁠Watch this episode on YouTubeSubscribe on ⁠YouTubeJoin us on ⁠Instagram⁠: @decidedlypodcastJoin us on ⁠Facebook⁠Shawn's ⁠Instagram⁠: @shawn_d_smithSanger's ⁠Instagram⁠: @sangersmith  Thank you to Shelby Peterson of Transcend Media for editing and post-production of the Decidedly podcast. SANGER'S BOOK:⁠A Life Rich with Significance: Transforming Your Wealth to Meaningful Impact⁠ SHAWN'S BOOK: ⁠Plateau Jumping: What to Change When Change Is What You Want⁠ MAKING A FINANCIAL DECISION?At ⁠Decidedly Wealth Management⁠, we focus on decision-making as the foundational element of success, in our effort to empower families to purposefully apply their wealth to fulfill their values and build a thriving legacy. LEARN MORE: ⁠www.decidedlywealth.com⁠ CONNECT WITH DON MOOREDon's Faculty Website: https://haas.berkeley.edu/faculty/moore-don/ Don's Lab Website: https://learnmoore.org/ X: @donandrewmoore LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/don-moore-01725b/ Books: https://www.amazon.com/stores/author/B083M5M6X4/allbooks?ingress=0&visitId=54bc4249-8552-4de4-bbed-b4ac6d41d5ec&ref_=ap_rdr  Don Moore holds the Lorraine Tyson Mitchell Chair in Leadership at the Haas School of Business at the University of California at Berkeley. His research interests include overconfidence, including when people think they are better than they actually are, when people think they are better than others, and when they are too sure they know the truth.  He is only occasionally overconfident.  Expertise and Research Interests Ethical Choice Decision-Making Overconfidence Negotiation

In this special two-part celebration, we answer questions submitted by our listeners. Thanks to Don Moore, Leif Nelson, Henry Wyneken, Charlotte Pennington, and Karan Paranganat for the questions featured in this episode. And thank you for joining us for 50 episodes!   

Summary In this discussion, Andy welcomes leadership coach and author Kelli Thompson to discuss her book Closing the Confidence Gap: Boost Your Peace, Your Potential, and Your Paycheck. The conversation explores topics such as the imposter syndrome, the importance of taking action despite self-doubt, and differentiating confidence from arrogance. Kelli shares practical strategies for building confidence by aligning decisions with personal values and eliminating elements that cause resentment. The discussion delves into the concept of 'expensive thoughts' and ways to transform them into freeing actions, with a focus on overcoming procrastination and self-doubt. If you'd like some practical ways to overcome self-doubt, this is a discussion you don't want to miss! Sound Bites “The cost of doubting ourselves can be far more expensive than we realize.” “What would you do if you had more confidence?” "Confidence is a side effect of taking action.” “The two most expensive words in our language are ‘but first.'” “If you don't know what you stand for, what will you fall for?” “There's a healthy level of doubt that is part of confidence—it keeps you from coming across as a cocky leader.” “You can't criticize yourself into more confidence.” “Facts ease fear. Name the lie, insert the truth.” Chapters 00:00 Introduction 01:33 Start Of Interview 01:44 What Would You Do If You Had More Confidence? 02:55 What Are Some Nuances That Can Make Confidence Tricky? 06:13 It's Not 'When' You're Confident As Much As 'When' You Are (Or Are Not) 07:09 Values And Confidence 10:00 Values Are Not 'Shoulds' 11:59 The 'But First' Syndrome 14:25 Doubt Vs. Imposter Syndrome 17:03 How Kelli Addresses Self-Doubt 23:09 The Link Between Facts And Fear 23:25 The Pedestal Syndrome 26:37 How Men Can Empower Women In The Workplace 29:18 Building Confidence In Children 31:38 End Of Interview 32:02 Andy's Comments After The Interview 37:36 Outtakes Learn More You can learn more about Kelli and her book at KelliRaeThompson.com. For more learning on this topic, check out: Episode 431 with Dr. Sam Adeyemi. He's a top leadership voice in Africa and has helpful insights on moving from self-doubt to confidence. Episode 295 with Don Moore about his book on more confident decision-making. Episode 179 with Andy Molinsky about getting out of your comfort zone. AI for Project Managers and Leaders With the constant stream of AI news, it's sometimes hard to grasp how these advancements can benefit us as project managers and leaders in our day-to-day work. That's why I developed our e-learning course: AI Made Simple: A Practical Guide to Using AI in Your Everyday Work. This self-guided course is designed for project managers and leaders aiming to harness AI's potential to enhance your work, streamline your workflow, and boost your productivity. Go to ai.i-leadonline.com to learn more and join us. The feedback from the program has been fantastic. Take this opportunity to unlock the potential of AI for your team and projects. Thank you for joining me for this episode of The People and Projects Podcast! Talent Triangle: Power Skills Topics: Imposter Syndrome, Confidence, Leadership, Self-Doubt, Project Management, Values, Women Empowerment, Parenting, Fear, Pedestal Syndrome The following music was used for this episode: Music: Imagefilm 034 by Sascha Ended License (CC BY 4.0): https://filmmusic.io/standard-license Music: Tuesday by Sascha Ende License (CC BY 4.0): https://filmmusic.io/standard-license

Don Moore is the chair of the Codiac Regional Policing Authority.

YOU CAN MAKE YOUR HOME SAFER FROM WILDFIRES And I've got a couple on today who started a grassroots organization to do just that. They've even got a great website with good tips for making sure your home is far less likely to catch fire in case of a fire in your neighborhood. Toni and Don Moore are on at 1pm to discuss. Find those tips by clicking here.

On today's episode, the Bitches sit down with Don Moore who identifies the ways confidence behaves in real life and raises thought-provoking questions. How optimistic should you be about an uncertain future? What justifies your confidence in something amorphous and subjective like your attractiveness or sense of humor? Moore reminds us that the key to success is to avoid being both over- and under-confident. In this essential guide, he shows how to become perfectly confident—how to strive for and maintain the well-calibrated, adaptive confidence that can elevate all areas of our lives. If you ever feel Imposter Syndrome ( which who doesn't), you have to tune into this episode!! Love you. Mean it!Don's Links:Don A. Moore (academic)Wikipediahttps://en.wikipedia.org › wiki › Don_A._Moore_(acad…The Psychology of Confidence - Don MooreYouTube · Berkeley Haas Alumni Network29 minutes, 26 secondsMar 11, 2019https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/contributors/don-a-moore-phdInterview with Don Moore about Perfectly Confident - YouTubewww.youtube.com › watchDon Moore: Traditional Interviews Don't Work - YouTubewww.youtube.com › watchKeeping Your Head in a Crisis | Professor Don Moore - YouTubewww.youtube.com › watchSupport us at patreon.com/behaviorbitchespodcastInsta: @behaviorbitchespodcastFacebook: Behavior Bitches Podcast

Learn more about Michael Wenderoth, Executive Coach: www.changwenderoth.comSHOW NOTES:Do you subscribe to feel good stories that great leaders inspire and eat last? In this episode of 97% Effective, Executive Coach Michael Wenderoth challenges your views with three hard truths about effective leadership that are often overlooked. Michael highlights insights from distinguished guests— Chief Pilot Tenille Cromwell, Professor Don Moore of UC Berkeley, and Professor Jeffrey Pfeffer of Stanford. Tenille takes us into the cockpoint during a thunderstorm to emphasize the necessity for “absolute decision making” in critical situations. Don wants to expand leadership beyond inspirational speeches to include the less sexy work of designing systems that lead to better outcomes. And Jeffrey underscores the importance of maintaining one's position of power to effect change. Leadership is rougher and tougher than TED Talks make it out to be: Tune in for a candid conversation on what it truly takes to succeed and lead in your career.Hard truth #1: It's not all about collaboration (lessons from Tenille Cromwell, Chief Pilot & former Navy Mission Commander)Descending into Bozeman when you can't see the runway: “It's not all ‘kumbaya': There's a time and place for absolute decision making”The #1 mistake is not leaders abusing power, but their failure to use it.Ask yourself: How might I be avoiding making hard decisions?Hard truth #2: Think beyond hearts and minds (insight from Professor Don Moore, Haas School of Business School, and author of Decision Leadership)Thinking beyond inspirational speechesLeadership is about influencing the behavior of others toward a desired outcomeAsk yourself: How might I build systems to make it easy for people to choose wisely?Hard truth #3: “Keep your damn job” (Professor Jeffrey Pfeffer at Stanford, and author of 7 Rules of Power, on a leader's first responsibility)If you lose your position or job, your ability to get stuff done will go way downAsk yourself: Am I paying sufficient attention to who and what keeps in my role?Summary and final thoughts BIO AND LINKS:Michael Wenderoth is an Executive Coach that helps executives re-examine their assumptions about power, politics, and authenticity to get promoted, become more effective at work, and break glass ceilings holding them back. Having served 20 years in senior roles with companies across the globe, and then 7 years as a professional coach, he has helped accelerated the careers of clients from diverse industries, backgrounds, and levels of seniority, helping them get ahead – without having to sell their souls in the process. Michael is the award-winning author of Get Promoted, host of the 97% Effective career acceleration podcast, and a frequent speaker and media contributor on career advancement, leadership and navigating power and politics. His work has been featured in Harvard Business Review, Forbes, Stanford Business School Executive Education and IE Business School, where he collaborates with renowned professors, coaches, executives and experts. Michael holds an MBA from Stanford and trained as an executive coach at Columbia University (3CP). Michael on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/michaelchangwenderoth/Episode #42 - Tenille Cromwell, Chief Pilot and Former US Navy Mission Commander: A Chief Pilot's Insight: 4 Leadership Lessons To Help Your Career Take Off https://redcircle.com/shows/86fcd90d-083e-4af2-9bc8-6d52fb981ae1/ep/9462d482-32c2-43ac-8409-1dceffd5e645Episode #56 - Don Moore, Professor at the Haas School of Business: Expand your influence through “Decision Leadership” https://redcircle.com/shows/97-effective/ep/44d05e21-c339-4007-b823-d2b2f11f2f42Don's book, Decision Leadership: https://a.co/d/3Lcn4lNEpisode #65 – Jeffrey Pfeffer, Professor at Stanford: What Leaders Should Care About Most https://redcircle.com/shows/86fcd90d-083e-4af2-9bc8-6d52fb981ae1/ep/42e4bfe8-9ef5-4d26-bb21-4011cdb02450Jeff's book: 7 Rules of Power: https://a.co/d/ixvdPbyMichael's book, Get Promoted: What You're Really Missing at Work That's Holding You Back: https://a.co/d/8s0pFVjMichael on X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/mcwenderothMichael on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/wenderoth.michael/NEW: 97% Effective, now on Youtube! https://tinyurl.com/bdz53mc5NEW: Get Promoted, now on Audiobook: https://tinyurl.com/mwf2s28yAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

We're live with Claire Willis, Assistant to the Superintendent of Catholic Schools in the Diocese of Baton Rouge talks about testing season and Don Moore, Catholic businessman tells us his conversion story to the Catholic faith on Conversion Corner segment.

We're live with Don Moore, Catholic businessman talks about his devotion for Catholic business leaders, Fr. Jamin David, Vicar General and Moderator of the Curia in the Diocese of Baton Rouge talks about the Way of the Cross devotion and Dr. Jordan Haddad,  Professor of Dogmatic Theology at Notre Dame Seminary and the President of the St. Louis IX Art Society with Catholic 101 segment.

Show Notes Are you running correlation analysis in your education activity and program evaluation? Are you having conversations with your colleagues, as listener Natalie Goldberg is, about how access to practice data is potentially redefining how we think about Moores outcomes at levels 5, 6, and 7? In part 1 of this 2-part series of conversations with Katie Lucero Ph.D., Vice President, Audience, Analytics, Outcomes & Insights at Medscape we began to open up the black box that houses the relationship between self-efficacy, commitment to change, and intent to change. In part 2, we focus on how access to health data is evolving and what this means for measuring outcomes, the power of reinforcement and what that looks like, and tips for enhancing outcomes measures and strategies for measuring the impact of education programs. Time Stamps: (02:26) - The relationship between self-efficacy and commitment to change (05:37) - Unpacking the concept of commitment to change (10:09) - Listener Question: Are the definitions of what constitutes Moore's Levels changing or evolving (12:28) - The research Katie has been doing with Don Moore (16:26) - Her sense of how much correlation people are doing in this field (18:23) - Practical steps to optimize available resources for enhanced outcome measurement in education programs (22:02) - What she is seeing in the future that excites her in terms of outcomes (23:55) - How to stay in touch with Katie and her work Click Here for the Transcript Resources Lucero KS, Williams B, Moore DE Jr PhD. The Emerging Role of Reinforcement in the Clinician's Path from Continuing Education to Practice. J Cont Ed Health Prof. Nov 14, 2023. Alliance Podcast. ‘Assessing Assessments.' Jim Morgante, PhD Assessing Assessments: Are your questions any good? Alliance Annual Conference, 2023. Jason Olivieri, MPH, Jim Morgante, PhD About Katie As Vice President at Medscape, Katie leads content marketing, analytics, outcomes & insights. Katie previously was PI and lead evaluator on federal grants and local contracts, directed QI-CME and health outcomes studies, and evaluated public health programs at the CDC. Katie was named 2020 Brian P. Russell CME Professional of the Year. She earned a PhD at Auburn University in Human Development. Connect with Katie email: klucero@webmd.net LinkedIn

Learn more about Michael Wenderoth, Executive Coach: www.changwenderoth.com SHOW NOTES: What if leadership did not require changing hearts and minds? What if you could make a big impact by making small adjustments that lead people to make better decisions, which created better outcomes? In this episode, I speak with decision-making and leadership expert Don Moore, Professor and Associate Dean at the Haas School of Business, about his latest book, Decision Leadership: Empowering Others to Make Better Choices. Don is on a mission to expand how we think of leadership. We discuss when to deliberate vs rely on intuition, how to get quality advice from experts, and ways to create more ethical organizations. It's not all happy talk: He lays the smack down on Malcolm Gladwell and cautions against the downsides that his field may unwittingly produce.Behavioral economics 101: major advancements since the field emerged in the 1990sWhy he wrote his new book3 “non-traditional acts” that Don argues should be included in the field of leadershipHow his message has been received by leadership scholarsThe upside – and risks -- of simple, cheap behavioral science interventions (example of overstated results with “belongingness interventions”)Skeptical? Run more experiments (and how to do them properly)!Be skeptical of grandiose claims – and make bets through “contingent contracts”The smackdown-breakdown on the usefulness of intuition, popularized in Malcolm Gladwell's bestseller, Blink.The value of deliberationThe strengths of algorithmic models – and how are they trainedMobs vs Crowds: How to get advice from others, without amplifying overestimationThe role leaders play setting – and designing -- the ethical toneDon's next inspiring challenge: “You can't pick the moment when greatness calls” BIO AND LINKS: Don Moore is Associate Dean for Academic Affairs and holds the Lorraine Tyson Mitchell Chair in Leadership at the Haas School of Business at the University of California at Berkeley. He received his bachelor's degree in Psychology from Carleton College and his Ph.D. in Organization Behavior from Northwestern University. His research interests include overconfidence, including when people think they are better than they actually are, when people think they are better than others, and when people are too sure they know the truth. His research has appeared in popular press outlets and academic journals, from Psychological Review to Harvard Business Review. Don is the author, with Max Bazerman, of Decision Leadership and the widely used textbook, Judgement in Managerial Decision Making. He teaches popular classes on managing organizations, negotiation, and decision making. He is only occasionally overconfident. Previous episode on 97% Effective, where Don and I discuss his Book, Perfectly Confident: https://stream.redcircle.com/episodes/06780ce7-2b31-422f-b5cf-4879c49aa4a5/stream.mp3Decision Leadership, the Book: https://yalebooks.yale.edu/book/9780300259698/decision-leadership/Haas Faculty Profile: https://haas.berkeley.edu/faculty/moore-don/LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/don-moore-01725b/LearnMoore at the Moore Accuracy Lab at Berkeley Haas: http://learnmoore.org/about.html his self-aggrandizing autobiographical sketch)Hass Berkeley Executive Education programs: https://executive.berkeley.eduTop behavioral science books that have shaped the field: Thinking Fast and Slow (Kahneman); Predictably Irrational (Ariely); Decisive (Health & Health); Nudge (Thaler and Sunstein); Misbehaving (Thaler).Colin Kaepernick acts of protest – or leadership? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bBdoDOXMWkgBruce Friedrich shifts from activism to setting up the Good Food Institute: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sxXUWDt0MqwJessie Wisdom, Co-founder of Humu, on interventions: https://www.humu.com/team/jessie-wisdom“Behavioral Science BS” (Interview with Jason Hreha on 97% Effective: https://redcircle.com/shows/97-effective/ep/0310f040-0b91-4dce-901a-0c39433efb53Jason Hreha, applied behavioral scientist: https://www.thebehavioralscientist.com/aboutOverblown results? RCTs to Scale: Comprehensive Evidence From Two Nudge Units (Haas research): https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.3982/ECTA18709Don's article on the lure of overconfident leaders: Leadership & Overconfidence, Behavioral Science and Policy: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=62299

An Bord Pleanála has today rejected the application from U.S Corporation New Fortress Energy to build a LNG terminal on the Shannon Estuary. Kieran was joined by Don Moore , Chair of the Energy and Climate Action Committee at the Irish Academy of Engineering and William Hederman, Member of Slí Eile organisers of climate camp ...

Dr Paul Deane, Senior Research Fellow at UCC and Don Moore, Former Managing Director of ESB International.

Learn more about Michael Wenderoth, Executive Coach: www.changwenderoth.com SHOW NOTES: How do you get heard, shape conversations, mobilize support, and ultimately get others to take action? Liz Banse shares why pictures -- much more than words – are the key to your communication success. An expert in visual storytelling and strategic communications at Resource Media, Liz breaks down the science and shows how “dialing in” your visual communications will accelerate your career, work and leadership. The critical pivot Resource Media and Liz made to serve their clients… and how that relates to upping your leadership game.The 3 things you need to be a great visual communicator (technical background is not one of them)What we can learn from National Geographic in how they hire their top photographers.Is visual storytelling more science or art?What does it mean to be beautiful?Presenting: much more than speaking to a room of peopleLiz's epiphany on leadership, sitting years back next to pioneer Dennis HayesGet comfortable with being uncomfortable, and “unlearning” if you want to shift and learn these skillsThe first question to ask yourself, before assessing what images to useWho has the power, and what do they care about?Liz geeks out on the neuroscience around setting “mental frames” (Key #1: “We are visual first and verbal second.”)The pictorial superiority affect, and how to use words for maximum impact (dual coding “yellow stick notes” theory)Key #2: Decisions are made in the brain's emotional regionMentors vs Sponsors – and how that ties to using visualsIs that manipulation -- or strategic?Key #3 when choosing your visual: What do you need people to feel to take action?Seeing the “emotional payoff”Liz turns the tables on Michael, asking how he marketed InvisalignBIO AND LINKS: Liz Banse is Senior Program Director of Resource Media, the leading communications firm focused on social change. She is author of Seeing is Believing, A Guide to Visual Storytelling Best Practices, and manages the Visual Story Lab, a Resource Media website that shares cutting edge approaches for issue-oriented visual storytelling. A veteran of Resource Media's Seattle office since 1999, Liz's practice areas span communications planning, traditional and online media strategy, opinion research, presentation skills and crisis communications. Before joining Resource Media, Liz worked with MWW/Savitt, where her expertise supported Starbucks and the (former – sniff) Seattle Supersonics. She holds a BA from Carleton College. Seeing is Believing: Resource Media's best practices guide on visual storytelling: https://resource-media.org/seeing-is-believing-report/Liz on Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lizbanse/Liz on X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/lizbanseResource Media: https://www.resource-media.org (“Health, equity, justice and sustainability”)Visual Story Lab @ Resource Media: https://www.resource-media.org/visual-story-lab/Resource Media's Visual Story toolbox: https://www.resource-media.org/visual-story-lab/toolbox/“Napalm Girl” image: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phan_Thi_Kim_PhucTop books from the Health Brothers: Made to Stick, Switch, the Power of MomentsProf. Don Moore, on making better decisions and calibrating your confidence: https://redcircle.com/shows/97-effective/ep/06780ce7-2b31-422f-b5cf-4879c49aa4a5Blog: The Power of Imagery to Drive New Narratives: https://www.resource-media.org/thinking-with-our-eyes-the-power-of-imagery-to-drive-new-narratives/Michael's Book, Get Promoted: https://tinyurl.com/453txk74

In a detailed Budget 2024 submission released this morning, Wind Energy Ireland has urged the government to use Budget 2024 to accelerate Ireland's energy revolution. Don Moore, Chair of the Energy and Climate Action Committee of the Irish Academy of Engineering spoke to Newstalk Breakfast this morning.

Pastor Don Moore continues our series "The Psalms: Hearts Revealed Before God". This message in the series covers Psalm 95. Originally preached at Waterbrook Bible Fellowship on Sunday, July 2, 2023.

Don Moore is the chair of the Codiac Regional Policing Authority board. Shawn Crossman is Moncton's deputy mayor.

We are all pretty clear on the dangers of driving while intoxicated. But there also appears to be some danger in driving while dehydrated. Who knew? This episode begins with some fascinating research that shows a link between dehydration and driver error – and the results will surprise you. http://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/driving-while-dehydrated-can-be-just-as-dangerous-as-drinkdriving-study-suggests-10187670.html  How do you get a lot of things done without the feeling of being overwhelmed? Part of the problem is understanding why you feel overwhelmed. When you do, it is easy to stop it according to my guest, time management expert Sam Bennett author of the book Start Right Where You Are: How Little Changes Can Make a Big Difference for Overwhelmed Procrastinators, Frustrated Overachievers, and Recovering Perfectionists (https://amzn.to/2ZKmwDs). Listen as she reveals how to take control of your day and accomplish the important tasks – and how NOT to be one of those people who is always complaining about how busy and overwhelmed they are.  If you don't have enough confidence in yourself and your abilities, it is hard to succeed. Yet having too much confidence can also get in the way. So how do you get the right amount of confidence and use it to your advantage? Here to discuss that is Don Moore, professor of management at the Haas School of Business at UC Berkeley and author of the book Perfectly Confident (https://amzn.to/3cuzZTr). Have you ever felt really intense loneliness. It can be excruciatingly painful. And that turns out to be a good thing. Listen as I reveal how to use the pain of loneliness to not feel lonely anymore. Source: Dr. Pat Love author of Never Be Lonely Again (https://amzn.to/2TKC3zq) PLEASE SUPPORT OUR SPONSORS! Keep American farming going by signing up at https://MoinkBox.com/SYSK  RIGHT NOW and listeners of this show get FREE filet mignon for a year! Now your ideas don't have to wait. Dell Technologies and Intel are creating technology that loves ideas, expanding your business & evolving your passions. Find out how to bring your ideas to life at https://Dell.com/welcometonow ! Discover Credit Cards do something pretty awesome. At the end of your first year, they automatically double all the cash back you've earned! See terms and check it out for yourself at https://Discover.com/match Let's find “us” again by putting our phones down for five.  Five days, five hours, even five minutes. Join U.S. Cellular in the Phones Down For Five challenge! Find out more at https://USCellular.com/findus If you own a small business, you know the value of time. Innovation Refunds does too! They've made it easy to apply for the employee retention credit or ERC by going to https://getrefunds.com to see if your business qualifies in less than 8 minutes! Innovation Refunds has helped small businesses collect over $3 billion in payroll tax refunds! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Floyd Mayweather Jr. to Face John Gotti III in Exhibition Boxing Fight on June 11. According to Bleacher Report. Floyd Mayweather Jr. will resume his exhibition boxing career June 11 against the grandson of former American crime boss John Gotti. Sports Illustrated's Chris Mannix noted the Mayweather-John Gotti III bout will take place in Sunrise, Florida. Per Boxing Scene, the fight will be announced during a news conference Thursday with Mayweather and Gotti set to make appearances. Since retiring from official competition after defeating former UFC champion Conor McGregor in 2017, Mayweather has continued to box in exhibitions that don't count on his record. This will mark the seventh such bout for Mayweather. He is 3-0 with wins over Tenshin Nasukawa, Mikuru Asakura and Deji Olatunji. Money has also gone up against Logan Paul, Don Moore and Aaron Chalmers in non-scored bouts. Gotti, 30, has experience in professional boxing and mixed martial arts. He is 5-1 in MMA, with his most recent bout a unanimous-decision loss to Nick Alley in October 2020. Since then, Gotti has focused his energy on boxing. He is 2-0 with a first-round TKO in his most recent fight against Alex Citrowske on Jan. 21. Gotti is the grandson of John Gotti, who was the boss of the Gambino crime family beginning in 1985 and died in prison in 2002. His father, John Gotti Jr., served as acting boss while Gotti Sr. was imprisoned. The event is going to be billed as "Last Name Matter" with Mayweather and Gotti coming from different but well-known lineages. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/van-silk/support

Making Wise Decisions Think about some past decisions. Can you recall one that turned out well and another that, in hindsight, didn't go as planned? It's important to analyze these instances - what factors influenced those outcomes? We all make countless decisions in our daily lives, both personally and professionally. Recognizing the patterns behind our successful and unsuccessful decisions can be a powerful tool in enhancing our decision-making skills. Jim Loehr joins us in this episode to discuss his new book Wise Decisions: A Science-Based Approach to Making Better Decisions. It's such a different book than I expected, and I mean that as a compliment. If you take even a couple of ideas from today's discussion and Jim's book, you will be a step ahead on your upcoming decisions. I can't wait to share this discussion with you! Learn more about Jim and his books at Jim-Loehr.com/books. For more episodes on this topic, check out: Episode 372, with Annie Duke about her book Quit Episode 295, with Don Moore about his book Perfectly Confident   AI for Project Managers and Leaders With the constant stream of AI news, it's sometimes hard to grasp how these advancements can benefit us as project managers and leaders in our day-to-day work. That's why I developed a new e-learning course: AI Made Simple: A Practical Guide to Using AI in Your Everyday Work. This self-guided course is specifically designed for project managers and leaders aiming to harness AI's potential to enhance your work, streamline your workflow, and boost your productivity. Go to ai.i-leadonline.com to learn more and join us. The feedback from the program has been fantastic. Take this opportunity to unlock the potential of AI for your team and projects. Thank you for joining me for this episode of The People and Projects Podcast! Talent Triangle: Power Skills   The following music was used for this episode: Music: Quantum Sparks [Full version] by MusicLFiles Free download: https://filmmusic.io/song/10996-quantum-sparks-full-version License (CC BY 4.0): https://filmmusic.io/standard-license Music: Energetic & Drive Indie Rock by WinnieTheMoog Free download: https://filmmusic.io/song/10443-energetic-drive-indie-rock License (CC BY 4.0): https://filmmusic.io/standard-license

Learn more about Michael Wenderoth, Executive Coach: www.changwenderoth.comSHOW NOTES:Every day we're told to be more confident, and that confidence leads to success. Is that truth – or a comforting fantasy? It's true that under confidence can hold us back, that many leaders tend to be confident -- and that we promote and elect individuals who exude confidence. But there's substantial evidence that overconfidence can lead to poor decisions, weak governance, and deep downsides. So what's an honest, thoughtful self-doubting person -- who wants to rise, make an impact, steer their organization responsibly – supposed to do? I explore these questions with Don Moore, Professor of Leadership and Associate Dean at the Haas Berkeley School of Business. Don is the world expert on confidence and overconfidence, and author of the book, Perfectly Confident: Calibrating Your Decisions Wisely. We explore how to calibrate your confidence wisely -- and discuss practical strategies that can help good people get ahead, while elevating their work and life.“You can stay right, or you can stay married”It's easy to drink the cool-aid, so what to do instead Assuming that we are overconfident in all things is problematicTip: Gather information to know where you standA 1st year tradition at Stanford's Graduate School of Business that Don actually loves“Dispelling so many myths” and why Don wrote his bookThe takedown-breakdown: Does confidence cause success?Research: Simply visualizing positive outcomes “doesn't do jack” -- unless it encourages you to do thisBeware the siren song of happy talk and comforting liesFinding the middle wayA Haas principle: “Confidence without Attitude”What the research shows about how overconfidence manifests itself: overestimation, overplacement, overprecisionTop tip: “Keep track, keep score, and hold yourself to account”Explaining a nuanced concept: How to think in probability distributions and expected valuesHedging bets2 pure gold tips, based on research: How do I show up confident when I am not – or will be penalized as being weak or incompetent if I don't?Verbal vs nonverbal expressions of confidenceThe trap that leaders faceFindings on gender and culture differences in confidence and overconfidenceBetter ways to do research on self-doubtDon underscores 2 keys messages he wants you to take awayBIO AND LINKS:Don Moore is Associate Dean for Academic Affairs and holds the Lorraine Tyson Mitchell Chair in Leadership at the Haas School of Business at the University of California at Berkeley. He received his bachelor's degree in Psychology from Carleton College and his Ph.D. in Organization Behavior from Northwestern University. His research interests include overconfidence, including when people think they are better than they actually are, when people think they are better than others, and when people are too sure they know the truth. His research has appeared in popular press outlets and academic journals, from Psychological Review to Harvard Business Review. Don is the author, with Max Bazerman, of Decision Leadership and the widely used textbook, Judgement in Manageral Decision Making. He teaches popular classes on managing organizations, negotiation, and decision making. He is only occasionally overconfident.Perfectly Confident, the Book: https://www.harperacademic.com/book/9780063013902/perfectly-confident/Haas Faculty Profile: https://haas.berkeley.edu/faculty/moore-don/LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/don-moore-01725b/LearnMoore at the Moore Accuracy Lab at Berkeley Haas: http://learnmoore.org/about.html (includes his Self-Aggrandizing Autobiographical sketch)Michael's article in HBR on the harsh reality of who gets promoted in most organizations: https://hbr.org/2016/04/great-leaders-embrace-office-politicsSelected Articles and Interviews in the popular and academic press:Don's article with Max Bazerman, Leadership & Overconfidence, Behavioral Science and Policy: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=62299HBR interview: Confidence Doesn't Always Boost Performance: https://hbr.org/2020/11/confidence-doesnt-always-boost-performanceDon's research “The trouble with overconfidence” https://psycnet.apa.org/doiLanding?doi=10.1037%2F0033-295X.115.2.502Don's research on the effect of Verbal vs Nonverbal vs verbal expressions of confidence: https://psycnet.apa.org/record/2018-50999-001Don's research findings Overconfidence Across Cultures: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/328395167_Overconfidence_Across_CulturesThe consequences of voting for overconfident leaders: https://haas.berkeley.edu/faculty-spotlight/the-consequences-of-voting-for-over-confident-leaders-professor-don-moores-op-ed-gives-expert-insight-into-leadership-during-a-crisis/Twitter:  https://twitter.com/donandrewmooreMichael's Book, Get Promoted: https://changwenderoth.com/#tve-jump-180481ecea3

Don Moore joins the show today to talk about confidence, overconfidence, and decision making. He is a professor at the Haas School of Business at the University of California at Berkeley. His research includes topics like confidence and overconfidence, with a focus on forecasting, judgment, and decision making. He is the author of multiple books, like "Perfectly confident - How to calibrate your decisions wisely" and "Decision leadership - Empowering others to make better choices". How do we avoid being overconfident? How do we make better decisions? What do we compare ourselves to and why? This and much more in today's episode with Professor Don Moore. Enjoy! - Find Don Moore here: https://twitter.com/donandrewmoore https://perfectlyconfident.com - Make sure to follow us on instagram and subscribe on YouTube to not miss any new episodes! https://www.instagram.com/paintmymindpodcast/ https://www.youtube.com/@paintmymindpodcast

We return from winter break with Don Moore, EVP, Business Rental Sales & Global Corporate Accounts at Enterprise Holdings - and a Brand USA board member. Don shares over three decades of industry insights, talks international expansion, and gives us a glimpse at future technology.

Prayer is the practice and discipline of communication with God. Pastors Jeff Denton and Don Moore co-lead a time of corporate prayer and worship. Original service at Waterbrook Bible Fellowship on Sunday, January 8, 2023.

Today's special episode of the Passion Struck podcast highlights some of our best interviews from 2022, showcasing the power of intentional behavior change. There is growing interest in the intersection of neuroscience, behavior science, and alternative health. By studying these fields together, we can better understand the various factors influencing our behavior and well-being and develop more effective approaches to promoting health and reducing suffering.  The Power of Intentional Behavior Change Show Notes Today's episode unites a world-class interdisciplinary team of academic and healthcare experts to advance the science, research, and practice of intentional behavior change, including Katy Milkman, Don Moore, Cassie Holmes, Max Bazerman, Ayelet Fishbach, Jonah Berger, Sara Mednick David Vago, Jordyn Feingold, Scott Barry Kaufman, Kara Fitzgerald, Dominic D'Agostino, Cynthia Li, and Chris Palmer.  By integrating their insights from these fields, we may be able to develop more comprehensive and effective strategies for improving health and quality of life. Full show notes and resources can be found here: https://passionstruck.com/the-power-of-intentional-behavior-change/  Brought to you by American Giant. --► For information about advertisers and promo codes, go to: https://passionstruck.com/deals/  --► Prefer to watch this interview: https://youtu.be/LaMgOTvmwgE  Like this show? Please leave us a review here -- even one sentence helps! Consider including your Twitter or Instagram handle so we can thank you personally! --► Subscribe to Our YouTube Channel Here: https://www.youtube.com/c/JohnRMiles Want to find your purpose in life? I provide my six simple steps to achieving it - passionstruck.com/5-simple-steps-to-find-your-passion-in-life/   Episode 155 with Dr. Katy Milkman: https://passionstruck.com/katy-milkman-behavior-change-for-good/ Episode 123 with Dr. David Vago: https://passionstruck.com/dr-david-vago-on-self-transcendence/ Episode 185 with Dr. Cassie Holmes: https://passionstruck.com/cassie-holmes-happier-hour-time-management/ Episode 227 with Dr. Jonah Berger: https://passionstruck.com/jonah-berger-the-catalyst-remove-change-barriers/ Episode 176 with Dr. Ayelet Fishbach: https://passionstruck.com/ayelet-fishbach-get-it-done-find-the-fun-path/ Episode 194 with Dr. Max Bazerman and Dr. Don Moore: https://passionstruck.com/max-bazerman-don-moore-better-choices/ Episode 188 with Dr. Scott Barry Kaufman and Dr. Jordyn Feinbold: https://passionstruck.com/jordyn-feingold-scott-barry-kaufman-chose-growth/ Episode 161 with Dr. Sara Mednick: https://passionstruck.com/sara-mednick-recharge-your-brain-body/ Episode 182 with Dr. Dominic D'Agostino: https://passionstruck.com/dr-dominic-dagostino-on-metabolic-health/ Episode 174 with Dr. Kara Fitzgerald: https://passionstruck.com/dr-kara-fitzgerald-become-younger-you/ Episode 216 with Dr. Chris Plamer: https://passionstruck.com/dr-chris-palmer-brain-energy-mental-health/ Episode 228 with Dr. Cynthia Li: https://passionstruck.com/dr-cynthia-li-on-intuitive-healing-using-qigong/   ===== FOLLOW ON THE SOCIALS ===== * Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/passion_struck_podcast * Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/johnrmiles.c0m  Learn more about John: https://johnrmiles.com/ 

Cop27 comes to an end this weekend but what exactly was achieved at the conference? Speaking to Shane this morning, Don Moore, Chair of the Energy and Climate Action Committee at the Irish Academy of Engineers and the former head of ESB International.

Don Moore, CEO & President of Hybrid Theory, North America, A new breed of digital services partner. Website: https://hybridtheory.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Don Moore is a professor at Cal Berkeley where he teaches decision making and negotiation and researches overconfidence.

Don Moore ex head of ESB International and Minister for the Office of Public Works Patrick O'Donovan

Max Bazerman and Don Moore join me on Passion Struck with John R. Miles to discuss their new book, Decision Leadership: Empowering Others to Make Better Choices. Max Bazerman and Don Moore helped birth behavioral economics. This book is a fresh perspective on how decisions are made through the lens of leadership. Max H. Bazerman is the Jesse Isidor Straus Professor of Business Administration at the Harvard Business School. Max is the author or co-author of 13 books (including Complicit, in press, Better, Not, Perfect, 2020; the eighth edition of Judgment in Managerial Decision Making [with Don A. Moore], 2013, Blind Spots [with Ann Tenbrunsel], 2011, and Negotiation Genius [with Deepak Malhotra], 2007. Don A. Moore is Associate Dean for Academic Affairs and holds the Lorraine Tyson Mitchell Chair in Leadership at the Haas School of Business at the University of California at Berkeley.  He is the author of Judgment in Managerial Decision Making (also with Max Bazerman) and Perfectly Confident.  -►Purchase Decision Leadership: https://amzn.to/3UDCt8B   (Amazon Link) -► Get the full show notes for all resources from today's episode:  --► Prefer to watch this interview:  --► Subscribe to Our YouTube Channel Here: https://www.youtube.com/c/JohnRMiles --► Subscribe to the Passion Struck Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/passion-struck-with-john-r-miles/id1553279283  Thank you, Dry Farm Wines and Indeed, For Your Support Dry Farm Wines have No Chemical Additives for Aroma, Color, Flavor, or Texture Enhancement. Dry Farm Wines - The Only Natural Wine Club That Goes Above and Beyond Industry Standards. For Passion Struck listeners: Dry Farm Wines offers an extra bottle in your first box for a penny (because it's alcohol, it can't be free). See all the details and collect your wine at https://www.dryfarmwines.com/passionstruck/. In this episode, Max Bazerman and Don Moore Discuss Their New Book, Decision Leadership: We discuss how behavior science can be applied to creating organizations that are decision factories where influential leaders become decision architects helping those around them to make wise ethical choices consistent with their values and those of the organizations they work in.    Where to Find Max Bazerman Website: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/profile.aspx?facId=6420  Twitter: https://twitter.com/BazermanMax  Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/maxbazerman/  Where to Find Don Moore Website: https://haas.berkeley.edu/faculty/moore-don/  Twitter: https://twitter.com/donandrewmoore  LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/don-moore-01725b/  -- John R. Miles is the CEO, and Founder of PASSION STRUCK®, the first of its kind company, focused on impacting real change by teaching people how to live Intentionally. He is on a mission to help people live a no-regrets life that exalts their victories and lets them know they matter in the world. For over two decades, he built his own career applying his research of passion-struck leadership, first becoming a Fortune 50 CIO and then a multi-industry CEO. He is the executive producer and host of the top-ranked Passion Struck Podcast, selected as one of the Top 50 most inspirational podcasts in 2022. Learn more about John: https://johnrmiles.com/  ===== FOLLOW JOHN ON THE SOCIALS ===== * Twitter: https://twitter.com/Milesjohnr * Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/johnrmiles.c0m * Medium: https://medium.com/@JohnRMiles​ * Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/john_r_miles * LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/milesjohn/ * Blog: https://johnrmiles.com/blog/ * Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/passion_struck_podcast * Gear: https://www.zazzle.com/store/passion_sruck_podcast

Don Moore, former Managing Director of ESB International, suggests ways of increasing Ireland's energy security.

With energy costs increasing, how can companies justify increasing a basic standing charge? Charlie Weston and Don Moore joined the Last Word to discuss. Catch the full chat by pressing the Play button on this page.

Today's guest in the Expert Insight Interview is Don Moore. He is chief executive officer and president of Hybrid Theory North America. Don and Our host John Golden discuss “Everything about AdTech.”

Don Moore is the board chair of the Codiac Regional Policing Authority. Courtney Pyrke was one of the speakers at the meeting.

Jack Horgan Jones, Political reporter with the Irish Times and Don Moore, Chair of the Irish Academy of Engineering. Energy and Climate action committee and former head of ESB international join Matt to discuss the energy charge crisis. For the full chat click the play button below

Don Moore, Former Head of ESB International

Some things just go together: peanut butter and jelly, bows and arrows. For Missions Sunday at Waterbrook, Missions and Worship Pastor Don Moore introduces us to an impactful word pairing: Word and Deed. Combining words and deeds in the power of Christ will ignite lots of "Yay God!" moments. Originally preached at Waterbrook Bible Fellowship on Sunday, August 14, 2022. 

Daniel Murray, Journalist with the Business Post and Don Moore, former managing director of ESB International, discuss concerns about energy security this winter.

Thomas Byrne, Minister for European Affairs; and Don Moore, The former Managing Director of ESB International and Fellow at the Irish Academy of Engineering

Confidence is a critical part of decision making and being an effective leader. Not enough confidence and you won't move a decision to the action or be able to cultivate the support needed to move it forward. Too much confidence and you could make decisions that unnecessarily put you and others at risk. So how do you walk the line of having just the right amount of confidence? Today, I speak with Don Moore: confidence expert, UC Berkeley Haas School of Business professor and author of the book, Perfectly Confident. We discuss the different types of overconfidence we should be aware of as well as ways that decision makers can better calibrate their confidence. He'll also share insights from his latest book Decision Leadership, which helps leaders think about how to empower people within their organizations to make better choices.Topics Covered03:02 What is at stake when confidence is not well calibrated?04:52 Defining confidence06:31 Confidence, reality, and the downsides of overconfidence08:56 Calibrating confidence among startup founders10:32 The 3 types of overconfidence11:05 How to better calibrate your confidence14:01 The importance of probabilistic thinking15:52 Making decisions by calculating expected value18:11 Beware of hindsight bias + Importance of documenting19:44 What role should intuition play in decision making?22:54 Some ways in which intuition is predictably biased23:32 What decision makers should keep in mind - think beyond yourself25:05 Leader as decision architect28:03 Other ways leaders can positively influence the quality of decisions in their org29:23 What to track31:02 Choosing when to stop gathering information32:49 Don't fall into the trap of focusing solely on what's easy to quantify34:03 The downsides of underconfidenceGuest BioDon Moore is a professor of management of organizations at UC Berkeley's Haas School of Business. He is the author of Perfectly Confident and a co-author of the books Judgement in Managerial Decision Making and Decision Leadership. His expertise and research interests include overconfidence, ethical choice, decision-making, and negotiation. He is only occasionally overconfident.ResourcesPerfectly ConfidentDecision LeadershipLearnMoore.orgTo learn more from Michelle about decision making, check outThe Ask A Decision Engineer websiteHer Stanford Continuing Studies course (now enrolling, class started July 14)Her Personal Decision Toolkit course on MavenHer Decision Toolkit course for coaches and thought partners on Maven 

Worship and Missions Pastor Don Moore continues the summer sermon series: Gospel Alive. This series is about finding Jesus and God's love throughout scripture. This message in the series is titled "How Do I Turn the World Upside Down - for the GOOD?" and covers Acts 17:1-9. Originally preached at Waterbrook Bible Fellowship on Sunday, July 17, 2022.

Don Moore, Former Managing Director of ESB International, Sadhbh O'Neill, Lecturer in Climate Policy at DCU

Do you want to reinvent your digital services? Integrating digital technology across all business areas to achieve business goals is digital transformation. It is dynamic and requires the entire organization to challenge traditional methods and incorporate new and functional methodologies in digital marketing. In this episode, we have Don Moore, CEO & President of Hybrid Theory, North America. He is responsible for the company's overall strategy, operations, and business direction. He is passionate about developing marketing strategies that drive affinity and engagement through “one-to-one” or “one-to-moment” experiences. Resources: Hybrid Theory SiteHybrid Theory Global FaceobookDon Moore LinkedIn

Marty Kingston is a Moncton city councillor. Don Moore is chair of the Codiac Regional Policing Authority.

Buying digital ads can be complicated, very complicated and it's really easy to waste a lot of money. Facebook and Google seem to have things all tied up and artificial intelligence looks to be taking over the delivery of our campaigns.In this episode I'm chatting to Don Moore, the CEO and President of Hybrid Theory who help SMEs navigate the complexity of the digital ad world. Don shares how he thinks ad buying will change in the near future, where the next opportunities will be and how privacy concerns may change the way we buy ads.You can find Don and Hybrid theory on their website, LinkedIn, Facebook and Twitter.Can I quickly mention is that Not Another Marketing Podcast is totally ad free and I'd love it if you could give the pod a quick shout on social media and subscribe via your podcast appCheck out more episodes at https://www.jtid.co.uk/podcastsCan I also invite you to join my Facebook marketing group for news, tips & networking? It's called Not Another Facebook Marketing Group. Love to see you there.

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Matt sits down and talks about Jada Pinkett Smith's recent comments about Will‘s Oscar slap. Then talked about a live science article that says aliens may have got women pregnant and caused burns on humans. After, he talks about Floyd Mayweather's return to the ring in Dubai fighting Don Moore on a helicopter pad in the sky. Next, he talked about the possible return of Logan Paul & Jake Paul to the ring. Also, talked about Elon Musk's new Robo car taxi service idea for Tesla owners. Then to end the show he does a new bit called “Complete Nonsense or Not”.   https://www.instagram.com/officialmattperry/

Floyd Mayweather will reportedly step back inside the ropes on May 14 in a Dubai exhibition against his uncles Roger's protégé.‘Dangerous' Don Moore had Roger Mayweather backing him up until the untimely passing of the top trainer. Two years after his death, Floyd will give Roger's undefeated prospect Moore his time in the sun over eight rounds.Moore holds a record of 18-0-1 but hasn't fought in six years. Mayweather will seemingly reward Moore's loyalty to his uncle with an eight-rounder that will net the pair millions.Join this channel to get access to perks:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCcKT39KR_e3ZliHe4cyC06A/joinOne Free Month of Dazn On TBV http://bit.ly/ThaBoxingVoicexDAZNhttps://www.patreon.com/ThaboxingvoiceBUY THA BOXING VOICE T-SHIRT HERE http://thaboxingvoice.com/storePLEASE SUPPORT!!! SUBSCRIBE, SHARE & LIKEPlease check out our Facebook page and hit the like button. https://www.facebook.com/Thaboxingvoiceradio GOOGLE PLUS https://plus.google.com/107960664507143008932/posts?tab=XXiWeb Sitehttp://thaboxingvoice.com/Radio show: http://www.blogtalkradio.com/thaboxingvoiceradioTwitter: @Thaboxingvoicehttps://twitter.com/thaboxingvoiceAudio only Podcast subscribe herehttps://itun.es/us/oY7JJ.c#FloydMayweather #DonMoore #MayweatherMoore

Today's guests, Kyran Flett and Don Moore from Canada Malting Company, talk about Canadian barley harvest 2021, North America's crop update, elevator system benefits, and regional malts. Key Points From This Episode: Canadian Barley Harvest: How size and production compare to other countries. General Crop Update: Similar production challenges around the world due to weather. Production Quality: What it means for brewers and customers - what they should expect. Proactive Priorities: Malt kernel size, plumpness, and other factors are critical. European Malt: Improves brewhouse performance and consistency to manage protein. Malt or Feed? How barley is grown specifically for malt or feed varieties in Canada. Supply and Demand: Canadian barley is the best if you can find it throughout the year. Elevator System: Shields volatility, segregates, blends grain for barley brewers, distillers. Red Wheat, Oat Malt, Pale Ale: Regional specialty malt products - taste the difference. --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/thebrewdeck/message

Can overconfidence harm you? Despite popular belief, psychologists and experts state that overconfidence can also lead to failure. Avoiding a different perspective can limit your judgment. How much confidence is good? How do you make sure you're not underconfident?Don Moore, Associate Dean for Academic Affairs at Berkeley Haas talks about his book called Perfectly Confident: How To Calibrate Your Decisions Wisely. Together with host Greg, they unpack ways people can weigh their options properly. They cover topics like Confirmation Bias, the story of Jeff Rubin, and other tips on spotting overconfidence signals. Make sure to listen to the episode as he shares stories about the Good Judgment Project where they forecast and weigh in on political and diplomatic events based on understanding people's perspectives. If you're looking for a book that'll guide the individual and team decision-making process, this one's definitely a great read!Episode Quotes:On confirmation bias, causing us to miss signals that might affect our success:“If we think about it in a Bayesian framework, one way that a lot of economists have modeled overconfidence is too tight a prior. That is we're too sure that our noisy private signal is accurate and underestimate the error and noise. That's built into it as a product of our idiosyncratic history or excessive faith in our intuitive judgment. You can think of confirmation bias as underweighting the informational value and evidence that we encounter.”When does overconfidence benefit us? "The public benefits of some circumstances in which overconfidence can lead to persistence. In excess of what expected value calculations might justify doesn't then imply everyone should be overconfident. We can be grateful to those who make sacrifices at their own expense without wanting to follow suit."How can we prevent hierarchical decisions to affect the culture of diversity in the workplace? “Trying to extract information from the crowd before the boss weighs in with his or her opinion. So one simple way to do that is before a meeting where you have to come to some important decision, you force everybody to vote to pre-commit or to identify their preferred list of candidates or outcome options or whatever it is that you're talking about.”Show Links:Order Book - Perfectly Confident: How To Calibrate Your DecisionsThe Good Judgment ProjectOther Books Mentioned:Superforecasting The Art and Science of PredictionThinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decision When You Don't Have All the Facts