Podcasts about overconfidence

Are you someone who experiences a period of good weeks followed by bad weeks? Maybe you've heard yourself thinking, "I've been so good, I can afford it." This is an unhelpful thought that we hear pretty regularly from our clients and it's something we call "The Overconfidence Trap". Someone usually falls into this trap when they are doing well with their eating and health behaviors and feeling successful, only to be thrown off their game. Join us for this episode as we share how the overconfidence trap can show up in your journey to becoming a confident, sensible eater. Through careful observation and gradual reinforcement of your successful habits, you can maintain progress without falling into overconfidence. 00:00 Introduction to James' Predictable Rhythm01:34 Understanding the Habit Tracker04:51 Identifying the Overconfidence Trap05:56 Practical Steps to Avoid the Overconfidence Trap07:32 Gradual Progress and Baby Steps10:16 Conclusion and Additional SupportConnect with Georgie and the Confident Eaters Coaches: WebsiteFacebookInstagramHave you ever thought, "I know what to do, I just need to consistently do it"? Who hasn't? Sometimes we need accountability. Sometimes we need specific strategies, new tools, or a bit of help. If you are want help to become a confident, sensible eater with 1:1 personalized attention, sign up at ConfidentEaters.com.

In this energizing episode of the Logistics & Leadership Podcast, Brian Hastings sits down with Jeb Blount Jr. —host of the Sales Gravy Podcast and marketing leader at Sales Gravy—to talk about what really separates top sales performers from the rest.Jeb shares the hard-won lessons from his early missteps, the psychology behind rejection, and why humility beats hype every time. From cold calling myths to misaligned leadership, this episode is packed with raw truths, sales strategy, and mental frameworks that will sharpen any rep's mindset.Whether you're a new SDR, a seasoned closer, or leading a team of reps, this is a must-listen on what it really takes to win in sales—and stay there.The Logistics & Leadership Podcast, powered by Veritas Logistics, redefines logistics and personal growth. Hosted by industry veterans and supply chain leaders Brian Hastings and Justin Maines, it shares their journey from humble beginnings to a $50 million company. Discover invaluable lessons in logistics, mental toughness, and embracing the entrepreneurial spirit. The show delves into personal and professional development, routine, and the power of betting on oneself. From inspiring stories to practical insights, this podcast is a must for aspiring entrepreneurs, logistics professionals, and anyone seeking to push limits and achieve success.Timestamps:(00:09) – The Pitfalls of Overconfidence in Business Meetings(08:43) – The Turning Point in My Sales Journey(10:46) – Overcoming the Fear of Rejection in Sales(20:58) – Overcoming Fear of Rejection in Sales(32:22) – The Importance of Leadership Buy-In in Sales Training(36:29) – Understanding Sales Training and Leadership Alignment(45:21) – The Importance of Self-Awareness in Sales SuccessConnect with Jeb Blount Jr.:LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jebjrInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/bejblount/?hl=enConnect with us! ▶️ Website | LinkedIn | Brian's LinkedIn | Justin's LinkedIn▶️ Get our newsletter for more logistics insights▶️ Send us your questions!! ask@go-veritas.comWatch the pod on: YouTube

Guest: Dede Eyesan - Founder of Jenga Investment Partners and author of "Global Outperformer"Dede Eyesan, the visionary founder of Jenga Investment Partners and author of Global Outperformers, who shares insights on identifying high-growth companies and navigating global markets with a unique blend of fundamental analysis and entrepreneurial spirit.Key Idea: The counterintuitive nature of finding investment winners globally and the extreme patience required to hold themKey Timestamps & Ideas3:00 - Early Investment LessonsMade first investment at age 10 in Nigerian stocks (Nestle Nigeria, 7up Bottling, First Bank). Two investments went up 4-5x, bank stock fell by half. Introduction to Warren Buffett and fundamental analysis.6:00 - Boarding School EconomicsLearned about delayed gratification and scarcity through food trading. Traded chicken (perishable) for chips (storable) - time arbitrage concept. "It's ironic that what taught me about money had nothing to do with money."9:00 - Investment Philosophy FormationInfluenced by Warren Buffett, Alan Gray (African value investor), and Carlos Slim. Peter Lynch's books: "One Up on Wall Street" and "Beating the Street". Understanding that environment impacts investment approach.16:00 - Global Outperformance ResearchFound 446 companies (not 200 expected) that were 10-baggers in 10 years. Less than 20% were in the US; more multibaggers in Europe than US. Japan was third-best performing country (surprising finding). Only 5-6% were multibaggers in consecutive decades.22:00 - Two Types of Winning BusinessesCyclical businesses with technical barriers to entry (salmon industry example) and large market opportunities with strong unit economics (BYD in China).29:00 - The Challenge of HoldingMSCI case study: stock flat for 9 years while earnings grew 15% annually. Many multibaggers were flat or down 40-50% in the three years before takeoff. Importance of returning to original investment thesis.35:00 - Quantitative vs. Qualitative AnalysisCannot screen for outperformers quantitatively alone. Developed 60-question checklist across 10 categories. Focus on depth over breadth in investment analysis.42:00 - Role of IntuitionIntuition is earned through experience (15-20 years). Overconfidence led to mistakes when abandoning systematic approach. Returning to detailed checklist process.47:00 - Definition of SuccessThree pillars: Individual happiness, family relationships, and client satisfaction. "I want to be in a place where the kids of my investors in 40 years time can look back and be like, yeah, my dad or my mom made a very good decision."Podcast Program – Disclosure StatementBlue Infinitas Capital, LLC is a registered investment adviser and the opinions expressed by the Firm's employees and podcast guests on this show are their own and do not reflect the opinions of Blue Infinitas Capital, LLC. All statements and opinions expressed are based upon information considered reliable although it should not be relied upon as such. Any statements or opinions are subject to change without notice.Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed.Information expressed does not take into account your specific situation or objectives, and is not intended as recommendations appropriate for any individual. Listeners are encouraged to seek advice from a qualified tax, legal, or investment adviser to determine whether any information presented may be suitable for their specific situation. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.

In this episode of the Resilient Leaders Journey, Trent speaks with Vince Burks, former Senior Vice President of Communication for Amica Insurance. They discuss the importance of communication in the insurance industry, the role of performance reviews in employee development, and the significance of character in hiring. Vince emphasizes the value of listening as a leadership skill, the necessity of self-confidence, and the dangers of overconfidence in leadership roles. The conversation concludes with reflections on humility and the impact of leadership on company culture. Takeaways: Character is a vital component in the hiring process.  Listening is a powerful skill for effective leadership. Self-confidence is essential for leaders to inspire their teams. Collaboration is key to getting things right in leadership. Overconfidence can lead to significant pitfalls in leadership. Understanding company culture is important for effective leadership. Forgiveness and understanding are important traits in leadership. Chapters 07:04 Hiring Practices and the Importance of Character 08:54 Listening and Leadership Styles 16:23 The Role of Trust and Collaboration 19:25 Reflections on Leadership and Personal Growth

Overconfidence feels good. It's seductive. But unchecked, it can lead us into risky territory, blindsiding us with problems we could have seen coming.   Before charging forward with a decision, especially one that feels too easy or unchallenged, try conducting a “pre-mortem.” Instead of examining what did go wrong after the fact, you imagine what could go wrong before it happens. Here's how to do a Pre-Mortem:

This week, we are joined by comedian Alex Kumin. Follow her here, and listen to her podcast Into the Mud here. Enjoy!Also, we filmed a web series pilot! We are shooting 3 more episodes in June. Thank you from the bottom of our hearts to everyone who donated. We couldn't do this without you. We are still raising money for post production, like editing, coloring, and sound mixing, so it's never too late to throw a dollar in at queer TV. All love and thanks for listening.Subscribe to our Youtube!Join Nico's mailing list for 2025 tour datesLeave Listener Questions for next Boys Club AMAFind us on Instagram at @boysclubcomedy and @nicocarney @conorjanda

This week's blogpost - https://bahnsen.co/4dKakXs Avoiding Unforced Errors in Your Financial Plan In this episode of the Thoughts on Money Podcast, hosts Trevor Cummings and Blaine Carver discuss the importance of avoiding unforced errors in various aspects of financial planning. The conversation delves into common mistakes such as concentrated stock positions, market timing, overlooked tax planning opportunities, and inefficient estate planning. The hosts emphasize the need for patience, proper insurance coverage, and the wisdom of consulting expert advisors. They conclude by stressing the significance of understanding one's financial behavior to mitigate risks and ensure a sound financial strategy. 00:00 Welcome to the Thoughts on Money Podcast 00:50 Unforced Errors in Sports and Finance 02:45 Fundamentals of Financial Planning 09:39 The Importance of Diversification 15:05 Avoiding Market Timing and One-Off Investments 22:24 The Perils of Overconfidence in Investing 23:04 Tax Planning: Avoiding Common Mistakes 29:48 Estate Planning: Ensuring a Smooth Transition 37:23 Insurance Planning: Protecting Your Loved Ones 40:44 Conclusion: Mastering the Fundamentals Links mentioned in this episode: http://thoughtsonmoney.com http://thebahnsengroup.com

Go to www.LearningLeader.com for full show notes This is brought to you by Insight Global. If you need to hire 1 person, hire a team of people, or transform your business through Talent or Technical Services, Insight Global's team of 30,000 people around the world have the hustle and grit to deliver. Go to www.InsightGlobal.com/LearningLeader William von Hippel grew up in Alaska, got his B.A. at Yale and his PhD at the University of Michigan, and taught for a dozen years at Ohio State University before finding his way to Australia, where he is a professor of psychology at the University of Queensland. He's the author of multiple books. A few months ago, he published The Social Paradox: Autonomy, Connection, and Why We Need Both to Find Happiness. Notes   Why do people who have comfortable lives filled with freedom and abundance still feel unhappy? Need two things… Connection and autonomy. Are leaders born or made? Yes. Like most things, it's not a black and white answer. The key is to use your unique strengths to effectively inspire others to do the work that must be done to achieve the goals of the team or company. How happy is Bill? He scores high on the genetics polygene(?) score. Some people are more genetically wired to be happy than others. You can fight against your genes and win. It's just harder for you than others with better genetics. What's my path of genetic least resistance? If you have low willpower, get the potato chips out of the house. Know yourself. Be yourself plus 20%. Overconfidence can be a good thing. Especially earlier in your career. Fake it til you make it. It can be good a lot of the time. He was overconfident as a new assistant professor, and it helped him. How you receive feedback is critical. Be honest, be kind His dad moved the family to Alaska because he didn't love being told what to do. He was a heart surgeon. Bill moved to Australia. A hard place to make friends because they don't move around much. He made connections with others who had moved there from out of the country. Life/Career advice: Too many choices can be bad. What are the elements of a job that I enjoy? What are my strengths? Leaders - It's lonely at the top. You need a group you can trust and enjoy their company. Google study - They do everything in teams. What's needed? Psychological safety. You need to be able to disagree with each other. Give feedback. It's on the leader to create healthy disagreement. And receive feedback in a way that encourages more of it. I was surprised by how much of our happiness, health, and strength were based purely on our genetics. Some people are just born happier, healthier, and stronger than you. It doesn't mean you can't be happy, healthy, or strong. It just means that you need to work harder to make it happen. That's life!

Leading Becomes You: How to Lead from Your Own Skin By Dr. Natalie Pickering Drnataliepickering.com About the Guest(s): Dr. Natalie Pickering is a distinguished work psychologist and board-certified executive coach with over 20 years of global experience in leadership and team transformation. She is dedicated to helping leaders discover their personal leadership superpowers and transform organizational cultures to fit people rather than the other way around. Previously, Dr. Pickering served as a trauma psychologist at a veterans hospital and later transitioned to the role of an internal employee assistance professional, which influenced her shift to leadership coaching. Her multifaceted approach includes psychological safety, emotional intelligence, and team development, drawing from her extensive clinical background to fortify leader identity. Episode Summary: Welcome to another enlightening episode of The Chris Voss Show, where host Chris Voss converses with the esteemed Dr. Natalie Pickering about the intricacies of leadership and identity. Natalie introduces her upcoming book, "Leading Becomes You: How to Lead From Your Own Skin," and shares groundbreaking insights into discovering leader identity and composting personal and professional experiences for growth. As a work psychologist with a storied career, Natalie highlights the importance of a personalized leadership field guide and the common pitfalls leaders face, such as imposter syndrome and burnout. Throughout the episode, Natalie elaborates on her comprehensive approach to leadership development, emphasizing the necessity of personal reflection and connecting with one's true leadership identity. She discusses the challenges many leaders encounter, including unclear leadership identities and misplaced connection with colleagues' agendas. Using engaging analogies like "The Petrified Forest," Natalie vividly illustrates the traps of overconfidence and disconnection that leaders can fall into. Additionally, she explains her unique coaching methodologies that focus on clearing life debris, enabling leaders to unlock their highest potential and foster flourishing organizational environments. Key Takeaways: Individualized Leadership Development: Dr. Pickering emphasizes developing a personal leadership field guide to enhance effectiveness and prevent burnout. Leader Identity Clarity: Understanding one's true leadership identity is crucial for motivation, decision-making, and personal alignment within a team. Overconfidence vs. Competence: Confidence can often be mistaken for competence; leaders should strive for a balance that encourages ongoing growth and development. The Role of Past Experiences: Past personal and professional incidents shape current leadership abilities, and addressing unresolved issues is essential for growth. Supporting Women's Leadership: Dr. Pickering highlights the prevalence of imposter syndrome among women leaders, stressing the need for tailored support and development. Notable Quotes: "Leadership identity is the most underutilized performance strategy for leaders." "The real question here is being differently." "Confidence gets mistranslated as competence." "People leave managers, people leave supervisors, people leave leaders—not necessarily the company." "In the book I call that 'The Petrified Forest.'"

In this episode of the Attaching to God podcast, hosts Geoff and Cyd Holsclaw welcome Steve Cuss. They delve into the nature of anxiety, different coping mechanisms, and how these dynamics affect relationships, including one's relationship with God. Steve highlights the importance of addressing reactivity, identifying false needs, and fostering supportive environments within leadership teams. The episode also touches on creating inclusive spaces for minorities in leadership and discusses Steve's future project of developing an anxiety assessment tool. The conversation is engaging and insightful, offering practical tips for leaders striving to create healthier, more resilient communities.Steve Cuss is the author of Managing Leadership Anxiety and The Expectation Gap: The Tiny, Vast Space between Our Beliefs and Experience of God,  and also a columnist and host of Christianity Today's Being Human podcast. Steve founded Capable Life to help people lower anxiety, break stuck patterns and increase well being in the workplace, home place, and in your faith.00:00 Steve Cuss00:14 Introduction and Guest Introduction01:21 Formula One Fandom05:35 Steve's Background and Capable Life08:27 Understanding Anxiety and Relationships13:47 Differentiation and Attachment17:58 False Needs and Chronic Anxiety23:25 Coping Mechanisms and Insecurity23:46 Overconfidence and Pretense24:25 Trauma Chaplaincy and Self-Discovery26:19 Building Healthy Church Cultures27:09 Pursuing a Doctorate and Integration of Disciplines28:16 Understanding Protection and Pretense31:14 Addressing Organizational Anxiety33:37 Minority Experiences in Leadership38:53 Contagious Emotions and Jesus' Example42:05 Final Thoughts and Future PlansStay Connected: Check out our Attaching to God 6-Week Learning Cohort. Join the Embodied Faith community to stay connected and get posts, episodes, & resources. Support the podcast with a one-time or regular gift (to keep this ad-free without breaking the Holsclaw's bank).

Black Satellites' overconfidence against Egypt led to their elimination. Coach Mboma (Head Coach of Port City FC) discusses the tactical mistakes that caused their U-20 AFCON exit. Black Satellites' overconfidence against Egypt led to their elimination. - Coach Mboma (Head Coach of Port City FC) discusses the tactical mistakes that caused their U-20 AFCON exit.

In this week's episode, join Sammy Gordon and Jimmy Ibrahim along with Liam Corey and Brendan Geoghegan direct from the APS Sales Team Retreat for a deep dive into the 8 critical mistakes they commonly see (and how to avoid them). They share stories from the trenches, covering everything from dodgy developments and missed market timing to bad debt, poor advice, and the rentvesting vs. home ownership debate. Whether you're new to investing or already deep into your journey, this episode is packed with practical lessons and real-world insights to help you avoid common traps and make smarter moves. School of Property is the ultimate education destination to master property investment, with a curriculum meticulously designed and crafted with both beginners and experts in mind. Whether you are a complete novice, or you're ready to take things to the next level in your portfolio, this is the program for you! To find out more, head to www.schoolofproperty.com.au.   If you loved this episode please send it on to someone who would take some value, and please give us a 5 star review if you haven't yet and are loving the poddy!   If you want your question answered on our podcast DM us on our socials or email us at apsteam@australianpropertyscout.com.au   Send us your questions to: Instagram: @australianpropertyscout Want to book a call with us: Website: https://australianpropertyscout.com.au Any information, comments, opinions or content that we provide in this podcast is our general observations and information only and it is not to be taken as, or in any way, considered to be financial advice, accounting advice, superannuation advice or legal advice. We strongly recommend all and any listener and participant to obtain their own independent financial advice, accounting advice, superannuation advice and legal advice before acting in any way in relation to any investment at all including any investment in property such as what we might be discussing in this podcast. No warranty, guarantee or representation is to be taken and you cannot reproduce it in any way. Every persons financial or investment situation is different and you must consider your own circumstances before undertaking any investment and be sure to obtain independent advice. Australian Property Scout Pty Ltd | License Number: 10094798 | ABN: 64 638 266 369 Chapters: (01:45) Welcome (05:54) Avoiding mistakes in property investment (09:46) Understanding investment strategies (13:10) Property development time out of the market (16:56) Opportunity cost of market timing (23:22) Market cycles and investment risks (27:20) Common investing mistakes (33:24) Overconfidence in novice investors (40:01) Debt management in property investment (44:33) Building passive income takes time (50:28) Lessons from common investment mistakes

Charles Darwin once wrote that “Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge”, and real-life situations which reflect that are all too common. To cite just one prominent example, in January 1995, American men MacArthur Wheeler and Clifton Earl Johnson were arrested after carrying out coordinated bank robberies in the state of Pennsylvania. Incredibly, they didn't bother wearing masks, as they believed that rubbing lemon juice on their faces would make them invisible to security cameras. Actually no, but bear with me; I'm getting there. The case got a lot of media coverage, and piqued the curiosity of social psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger at Cornell University. They wanted to know how on earth someone could be so damn sure of themselves while believing something completely stupid. Where does this effect come from? Is that what the Dunning and Kruger effect is then? What are the consequences of the Dunning Kruger effect? In under 3 minutes, we answer your questions! To listen to the last episodes, you can click here: ⁠Why do some people believe in ghosts?⁠ ⁠What is the placebo effect and how does it work?⁠ ⁠Could chronoworking make you work more efficiently?⁠ A podcast written and realised by Joseph Chance. First broadcast: 15/2/2023 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Resilient Leader's Journey Podcast focuses on navigating challenging currents of growth & change. In this episode, Major General Brian Bishop shares insights from his extensive military career and how they apply to leadership in business. He discusses the concept of 9G Teams, emphasizing the importance of a common mission, resource allocation, and individual contributions to team success. Bishop also highlights the significance of trust, continuous learning, and the balance between confidence and humility in leadership. Through anecdotes from his time with the Air Force Thunderbirds, he illustrates how effective training and communication foster trust and commitment within teams.  Chapters:  03:55 Navigating the 9G Environment in Business 09:52 Building Trust in High-Pressure Situations 15:53 Confidence vs. Overconfidence in Leadership

In this sermon, Co-Pastor Ezekiel Perez discusses the importance of faith, prayer, and understanding God's timing in our lives. He emphasizes the significance of 'But God' moments, where divine intervention changes our circumstances. The sermon explores the need for the church to recognize and uphold God's day, the role of individuals as watchmen in their communities, and the necessity of investing in prayer for spiritual growth. Co-Pastor highlights Jesus as the ultimate example of perseverance and submission to God's will, encouraging listeners to remain steadfast in their faith, especially during challenging times. In this sermon, Co-Pastor discusses the importance of faith, repentance, and prayer in overcoming life's challenges. He emphasizes the need for resilience in the face of heartbreak and the dangers of complacency in one's spiritual journey. Through the stories of Peter and Judas, he illustrates the consequences of falling away from faith and the necessity of maintaining a strong foundation in prayer. The sermon culminates in a call to prepare for trying times and the vital role of prayer in navigating struggles.Co-Pastor Ezekiel Perez | May 4, 2025The Fountain Apostolic Churchone_ (2025)Learn more at tfachurch.com/plusChapters:00:00 The Power of 'But God' Moments02:45 Understanding God's Timing05:47 The Importance of Sitting, Watching, and Praying12:03 The Role of the Watchman17:48 Investing in Prayer23:57 Jesus: The Perfect Example29:59 The Call to Persevere34:27 Taking Steps of Faith Amidst Heartbreak35:58 The Dangers of Overconfidence in Faith36:53 The Power of Repentance and Resilience39:29 The Importance of Prayer in Troubling Times40:25 Judas: The Consequences of Complacency45:35 The Price of Betrayal and Regret47:43 The Need for a Strong Foundation in Faith52:12 Preparing for Trying Times56:11 The Role of Prayer in Overcoming Struggles

Frank continues his study of 1st Corinthians with this message entitled "Be Confident" Place your confidence in the Lord... not in yourself. Overconfidence is a sure way to fall into temptation. Living on the edge of overconfidence may lead you to fall into: 1) Idolatry 2) Sexual immorality 3) Trying God 4) Complaining

Why do people who know the least often seem the most confident? In this video, we explore the Dunning-Kruger Effect — a psychological bias that causes people with limited knowledge to overestimate their competence, while those with true expertise often doubt themselves. It's a cognitive trap that shows up everywhere — in workplaces, classrooms, conversations, and especially in investing.

Get a live peak behind my coaching curtain in this episode...I give live coaching to my Advanced students, helping them to rewrite the stories that are keeping them stuck.You'll notice that each of them act and feel a certain way because of a STORY they're telling themselves. You've got stories like this in your life, too.Using the framework and examples I share, you should be able to start piecing together where you're out of alignment, believing lies that are keeping you from growing.Tactics and strategy doesn't matter if your mental game lets you down when it's all on the line.---

In this episode of The Liquidity Event, AJ and Shane talk non-qualified stock options (NSOs), explaining the common mistakes people make, tax implications, and strategic approaches to maximize your equity compensation. Key Timestamps: 0:00 - Intro and a few laughs 3:45 - The biggest mistake with NQSOs 6:45 - How taxation works upon exercise 10:15 - NQSOs and Alternative Minimum Tax 15:45 - Multiple grant strategies: the Goldilocks approach 19:45 - When to exercise and hold vs. wait 23:30 - The "least regret" strategy 26:15 - Overconfidence and substantial risk of forfeiture 28:45 - Real-world Reddit question about forgotten options Connect with us: Email: liquidityevent@brooklynfi.com Ask us financial questions via voicemail: memo.fm/liquidityevent Don't forget: please like, subscribe, and leave a review! #EquityCompensation #StockOptions #NQSOs #FinancialPlanning #TaxStrategy  

This week Carter and Nathan read Donella Meadows' Thinking in Systems. A foundational primer on systems thinking, the book explores how stocks, flows, feedback loops, and leverage points shape everything from ecosystems to organizations. Join them as they discuss how systems thinking applies to software engineering, the hidden structures behind burnout and tech debt, and how to make high-leverage changes in complex systems.-- Books Mentioned in this Episode --Note: As an Amazon Associate, we earn from qualifying purchases.----------------------------------------------------------Thinking in Systems by Donella H. Meadows https://amzn.to/4cMB35k (paid link)Tidy First?: A Personal Exercise in Empirical Software Design by Kent Beck https://amzn.to/3RoB9pR (paid link)Refactoring: Improving the Design of Existing Code by Martin Fowlerhttps://amzn.to/43Wqk5Q (paid link)Fundamentals of Software Architecture: An Engineering Approach by Mark Richards and Neal Fordhttps://amzn.to/3Y7CNjk (paid link)One Nation Under Blackmail, Vol. 1: The Sordid Union Between Intelligence and Crime that Gave Rise to Jeffrey Epstein by Whitney Alyse Webbhttps://amzn.to/3RsMt4f (paid link)Slow Productivity: The Lost Art of Accomplishment Without Burnout by Cal Newporthttps://amzn.to/3EH8MAe (paid link)The Software Engineer's Guidebook: Navigating Senior, Tech Lead, and Staff Engineer Positions at Tech Companies and Startups by Gergely Oroszhttps://amzn.to/3ExwPSa (paid link)What Is ChatGPT Doing ... and Why Does It Work? by Stephen Wolfram https://amzn.to/4iuSUim (paid link)----------------00:00 Intro 01:41 About the Book03:43 Thoughts on the Book08:07 Covering the Foundations and Defining Terms16:36 Feedback loops22:31 Overconfidence and why models lead us astray.35:56 Paradigms and Framing49:30 Leverage Points01:02:04 Final Thoughts----------------Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5kj6DLCEWR5nHShlSYJI5LApple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/book-overflow/id1745257325X: https://x.com/bookoverflowpodCarter on X: https://x.com/cartermorganNathan's Functionally Imperative: www.functionallyimperative.com----------------Book Overflow is a podcast for software engineers, by software engineers dedicated to improving our craft by reading the best technical books in the world. Join Carter Morgan and Nathan Toups as they read and discuss a new technical book each week!The full book schedule and links to every major podcast player can be found at https://www.bookoverflow.io

In this episode, we sit down with Philipp Strack to explore the hidden consequences of overconfidence. From distorted learning to discrimination and systemic bias, Philipp explains to us how overestimating ourselves can quietly shape our decisions, relationships, and even society — and why it's not always a bad thing.   Philipp Strack is a professor of Economics at Yale University with a secondary appointment as Professor of Computer Science. His research focus lies in decision-making and behavioral economics in dynamic contexts as well as in concepts like information cost and privacy, among others.

https://chriscillizza.substack.com/p/tim-walz-has-a-bad-case-of-main-character Chris Cilizza writes: Tim Walz was a dud as vice presidential pick. He added zero to the ticket. In his one big moment — the vice presidential debate with JD Vance — he got beat. Badly. And looked hopelessly out of his depth. None of this is to say that if Kamala Harris had picked someone other than Walz she would be president right now. History tells us that VP picks almost never make any real difference. And I think that's true this time too. Had Harris picked, say, Josh Shapiro, she still would have lost. To my mind then, Walz was a sort of historical blip. Plucked from relative obscurity by Harris and then, after losing, sent back to that relative obscurity. Which isn't nothing! Being a governor of a state is a big deal! Being the VP nominee is a huge deal! But, in politics, water usually finds its level. And Walz's level was not — and is not — national politics. This is obvious to anyone who has spent any amount of time covering or watching politics. It is not obvious, however, to Tim Walz. Since the election loss, Walz has slowly but surely tried to fashion a narrative that he was under-utilized during the campaign. And that had he been properly deployed a) he would have shined and b) Harris might have won. According to Google AI: Main Character Syndrome (MCS) is a colloquial term used to describe a person's tendency to see themselves as the central figure in their own life story, often with an inflated sense of self-importance. Characteristics: Exaggerated sense of significance Belief that their experiences are more important than others Self-centeredness and lack of empathy Need for attention and validation Drama queen tendencies Difficulty accepting criticism Viewing others as supporting characters in their story MCS can have negative impacts on relationships, work, and overall well-being. It can lead to: Strained relationships due to self-centeredness, Difficulty collaborating with others, Overconfidence and poor decision-making, and Increased anxiety and depression. If you suspect you have MCS, it's important to: Reflect on your behavior and identify areas where you can improve. Develop empathy and consider the perspectives of others. Set realistic expectations about your importance. Seek professional help if needed to address underlying psychological issues. Join this channel to get access to perks: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCEYmda1KQTjrhLBeWutKuGA/join https://odysee.com/@LukeFordLive, https://rumble.com/lukeford, https://dlive.tv/lukefordlivestreams Superchat: https://entropystream.live/app/lukefordlive Bitchute: https://www.bitchute.com/channel/lukeford/ Soundcloud MP3s: https://soundcloud.com/luke-ford-666431593 Code of Conduct: https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=125692 http://lukeford.net Email me: lukeisback@gmail.com or DM me on Twitter.com/lukeford, Best videos: https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=143746 Support the show | https://www.streamlabs.com/lukeford, https://patreon.com/lukeford, https://PayPal.Me/lukeisback Facebook: http://facebook.com/lukecford Book an online Alexander Technique lesson with Luke: https://alexander90210.com Feel free to clip my videos. It's nice when you link back to the original.

the nerd's jabba --- @impossicast on Instagram Email us at impossicast.podcast@gmail.com Podcast art by Sid Ratkiewicz, thanks Sid! Find them @sid.wits on Instagram

Today's guest is Barry Ritholtz, CIO of Ritholtz Wealth Management, which manages over $5.7 billion for 3,900 families. His latest book, ‘How Not to Invest,' offers a blueprint to help you make better decisions and achieve financial success. In today's episode, Barry & I discuss the pitfalls of relying on experts for investment advice, the dangers of panic selling, the allure of following investment gurus, and the value of meaningful experiences over material possessions. (0:00) Starts (1:34) Introduction of Barry Ritholtz (3:37) Barry's experience hosting Masters in Business (8:17) The danger of trusting experts (22:14) The importance of fiduciary advice (27:30) Mental accounting and regret minimization (33:36) Overconfidence, risk, and uncertainty (44:50) Navigating market crises (51:15) The future of Ritholtz Wealth Management (57:24) Barry's take on AI (1:03:27) Barry's most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: Farmland LP is one of the largest investment funds in the US focused on converting chemical-based conventional farmland to organic, sustainably-managed farmland using a value-add commercial real estate strategy in the agriculture sector. ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

March 13, 2025Today's Reading: Catechism: The Creed - The First ArticleDaily Lectionary: Genesis 11:27-12:20; Mark 4:21-41He defends me against all danger and guards and protects me from all evil. (Small Catechism: The Creed - The First Article, Explanation)In the Name + of Jesus. Amen. “Though devils all the world should fill, all eager to devour us, we tremble not, we fear no ill; they shall not overpower us.” Churches around the world sang these words this week after hearing how our Lord Jesus Christ overcame the devil and his temptations. These are words of sure confidence in the face of a powerful foe.Although, let us not become overconfident. The devil is powerful, but he is also cunning. Scripture depicts him as an angel of light (2 Cor. 11:14), a prowling lion (1 Pet. 5:8), and a great liar and deceiver (Rev. 12:9). It would not be beyond that old serpent to throw a few battles and feign defeat in the hopes of winning the overall war for your soul.Overconfidence happens when we turn from God's provision and protection to our own powers. Overconfidence happens when our faith shifts from our heavenly Father to the strength of our own faith. Overconfidence is when we decide that it is God who needs the defense and protection and that we are the ones who can provide it. God does not need our apologetics.The confidence that we have in the face of the old, evil foe, the devil and Satan, the deceiver of the whole world, is the Truth. Not just any truth, but Truth with a capital T. Jesus is the Truth who stands up against the devil's lies, even when they sound oh so sweet. And this Truth is God's Word. He is the Word made flesh, and He cannot but speak the Word of God.The Father sends us this Truth to defend us against all danger and guard and protect us from all evil. And it is this Truth upon which our faith rests and from which our confidence grows. Martin Luther's famous hymn completes its third stanza with the ground of our confidence: “This world's prince may stillScowl fierce as he will, He can harm us none. He's judged; the deed is done; One little word can fell him.” Put your faith in God's Word, in Jesus Christ and His Gospel, for the Father cannot deny His own Word. He will guard you and protect you against all danger and evil.In the Name + of Jesus. Amen.Though devils all the world should fill, All eager to devour us, We tremble not, we fear no ill; They shall not overpow'r us. ( LSB 656:3)-Rev. Jacob Ehrhard, pastor of St. John's Lutheran Church and School in Chicago, IL.Audio Reflections Speaker: Pastor Jonathan Lackey is the pastor at Grace Lutheran Church, Vine Grove, KY.Visit the timeless rhythms of the Christian life with award-winning author Harold L. Senkbeil. As he addresses the concerns and pressures of the world today, you'll discover that even while the world is dying, Christ's death brings about life. True life. One that He offers to you. Order Now!

Join my Facebook group, Tax Strategies for Real Estate Investors, and become part of a community with 11,500+ high-level real estate investors ► Join here: ⁠https://www.facebook.com/groups/taxstrategyforinvestors⁠ In this episode, I sat down with Harrison Goldblatt, a real estate investor who has scaled to 60 units in just a few years. Harrison shares his journey from house-hacking his first property in Los Angeles to building a cash-flowing portfolio in Cleveland, Ohio. Along the way, he dives deep into the BRRRR method, leveraging value-add opportunities, and overcoming challenges in property management. Whether you're just starting out or looking to scale your portfolio, this conversation is packed with actionable strategies and valuable insights. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Intro 00:01:00 – How Harrison Started in Real Estate: House Hacking in California 00:05:47 – First Property Numbers and Lessons Learned 00:09:09 – Scaling to 60 Units: Transitioning to Out-of-State Investing 00:14:03 – Using the BRRRR Method to Lower Investment Barriers 00:17:31 – Challenges with Refinancing and Avoiding Common Mistakes 00:20:22 – Lessons Learned from a Bad Deal in Detroit 00:24:13 – Importance of Mentors and Learning from Experienced Investors 00:29:27 – Tax Strategies: Cash-Out Refinancing and Depreciation 00:34:31 – Challenges of 1031 Exchanges and Managing Equity 00:39:04 – Beginner's Luck and the Risks of Overconfidence in Investing 00:42:20 – Property Management Pitfalls and Avoiding Scams 00:44:45 – Building a Community for Real Estate Investors Interested in working with me? Apply here: ► https://taxstrategy365.com/apply?el=podcast Let's connect! ► Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ryanbakkecpa/ ► LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/learnlikeacpa/ ► Twitter: https://x.com/RyanBakkeCPA ► Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/ryanbakkecpa ► TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@ryanbakkecpa *None of this is meant to be specific investment advice, it's for entertainment purposes only.

Confidence is essential in business, but unchecked overconfidence? That's where things fall apart. Don Moore, a leading expert on decision science, breaks down why most people—especially successful ones—tend to be too sure of themselves in areas they know little about. We dig into why business owners struggle to evaluate risk, why past wins can make you blind to future mistakes, and how probabilistic thinking can keep you from making overconfident (and expensive) decisions. KEY TOPICSHow the sunk cost fallacy keeps business owners stuck in failing ventures.How market predictions based on ‘gut feeling' often backfire.What AI reveals about human overconfidence.Why your biggest blind spots exist in areas where you think you're most knowledgeable. ⁠SIGN UP FOR OUR FREE WEEKLY NEWSLETTER⁠CHAPTERS00:00 – Intro: Defeating bad decision-making in life & business02:00 – Why new parents are overconfident05:30 – The Dunning-Kruger effect in parenting and beyond07:40 – What is over-precision, and why does it matter?12:20 – The dangers of overconfidence in business and investing16:55 – Why successful people struggle with decision-making19:20 – The power of having language for decision-making biases21:45 – How thinking in probabilities leads to better choices24:05 – Market predictions, uncertainty, and decision paralysis26:20 – How hobbies and competition keep us humble28:50 – The behaviors that make people more (or less) overconfident31:05 – The surprising gift of criticism33:25 – Parenting, teenage rebellion, and overconfidence36:50 – Overconfidence in parenting decisions39:10 – Avoiding regret and learning from imperfect decisions41:20 – Why most people misinterpret their financial wins43:45 – Is AI overconfident? The risk of machine-generated certainty46:00 – The problem with certainty in AI, investing, and life48:30 – Why demanding 100% certainty keeps you stuck50:30 – What Sanger has learned from hosting Decidedly55:10 – The importance of embracing uncertainty in business and life57:35 – Don's top decision-making tip for business owners57:47 – Where to connect with Don Moore58:16 – Key Takeaways59:29 – Message from the Producer   CONNECT WITH US⁠www.decidedlypodcast.com⁠Watch this episode on YouTubeSubscribe on ⁠YouTubeJoin us on ⁠Instagram⁠: @decidedlypodcastJoin us on ⁠Facebook⁠Shawn's ⁠Instagram⁠: @shawn_d_smithSanger's ⁠Instagram⁠: @sangersmith  Thank you to Shelby Peterson of Transcend Media for editing and post-production of the Decidedly podcast. SANGER'S BOOK:⁠A Life Rich with Significance: Transforming Your Wealth to Meaningful Impact⁠ SHAWN'S BOOK: ⁠Plateau Jumping: What to Change When Change Is What You Want⁠ MAKING A FINANCIAL DECISION?At ⁠Decidedly Wealth Management⁠, we focus on decision-making as the foundational element of success, in our effort to empower families to purposefully apply their wealth to fulfill their values and build a thriving legacy. LEARN MORE: ⁠www.decidedlywealth.com⁠ CONNECT WITH DON MOOREDon's Faculty Website: https://haas.berkeley.edu/faculty/moore-don/ Don's Lab Website: https://learnmoore.org/ X: @donandrewmoore LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/don-moore-01725b/ Books: https://www.amazon.com/stores/author/B083M5M6X4/allbooks?ingress=0&visitId=54bc4249-8552-4de4-bbed-b4ac6d41d5ec&ref_=ap_rdr  Don Moore holds the Lorraine Tyson Mitchell Chair in Leadership at the Haas School of Business at the University of California at Berkeley. His research interests include overconfidence, including when people think they are better than they actually are, when people think they are better than others, and when they are too sure they know the truth.  He is only occasionally overconfident.  Expertise and Research Interests Ethical Choice Decision-Making Overconfidence Negotiation

In this episode, we delve into the link between overall retirement quality and the confidence you have in your financial plan. We emphasize how a well-designed retirement strategy tailored to your needs, not solely reliant on market performance, is pivotal for boosting confidence and making your retirement plan a reality you can rely on. Addressing common fears, exploring emotional extremes, and understanding the evolving landscape of retirement planning, will help you discover the significance of income-focused strategies and a diversified asset approach in building confidence in your retirement plan. When it comes to retirement, your quality of life in these golden years is often predicated on the level of confidence you have regarding your situation. A poorly-designed retirement plan can often cause emotional confusion, which leaves you feeling insecure and lacking confidence. Confidence is typically at its peak when a plan is optimized and is designed around meeting the needs of the client and not relying entirely on market performance. Retirement confidence is in direct correlation with how well your plan is designed to manage your exposure to risk and its ability to fulfill cash flow requirements. A plan built on hope and optimism can lead to very emotional times when the market doesn't work out the way you'd hoped. Many client conversations relating to retirement are often centered around insecurities the client is working through. Common fears include running out of money before running out of life, market crashes, having a health crisis, missing opportunities, or simply making mistakes. There are typically two emotional extremes, no confidence or complete overconfidence. A lack of confidence leads to avoidance behavior and avoiding decisions, which often makes a person vulnerable to the very things they are afraid of. Overconfidence leads people to underestimate their vulnerabilities. Being skittish or practicing decision avoidance or fearing the idea of making a bad decision are all confidence killers, and the ultimate irony of this behavior is actually preventing the solution from being implemented, which can turn your fears into a reality. Confidence is about being able to rely on your retirement plan to do what you need it to do. If your retirement plan is anchored to the stock market, your confidence level relies entirely on the performance of the market. Most people's retirement plans involve a stock market portfolio they plan to liquidate over time, Social Security, and a pension, but that's really just the start. This paradigm seems to be rooted in watching our parents or grandparents work for decades in the same job and then retire with their pensions and Social Security benefits. However, circumstances have changed, and what worked back then isn't going to cut it now. Pensions and company-provided retirement plans have been on the decline since the 1980's. Baby Boomers started putting their money into retirement plans starting in the 90's, which caused a growing stock market. 2016 was the first year that Baby Boomers started taking out money from those accounts. Those who ran the markets up are now the same group that is putting selling pressure on the markets, but there are other influences as well: government spending and policy, Fed policy, pandemics, interest rates, inflation, and more. When you lack certainty in the market, algorithms and a 24/7 news cycle can exacerbate the situation. There are two fundamental things that can have a profound impact on your retirement confidence. First is solving for income using income products. The foundation of a retirement plan is to generate consistent income, and unfortunately, consistency is not synonymous with the stock market. Separating your assets between long-term growth in public investments and income-generating private and fixed assets is a crucial component of being confident in your overall retirement plan.     Mentioned in this episode: BrianSkrobonja.com Common Sense Financial Podcast on YouTube  Common Sense Financial Podcast on Spotify Common Sense: YOUR Guide to Making Smart Choices with YOUR Money by Brian Skrobonja Brian's article - ‘Five Common Retirement Mistakes and How to Avoid Them'     References for this episode: https://www.dol.gov/general/topic/retirement/erisa https://www.thestreet.com/personal-finance/baby-boomers-could-cause-market-crash-12117996 https://www.forbes.com/sites/lizfrazierpeck/2021/02/11/the-coronavirus-crash-of-2020-and-the-investing-lesson-it-taught-us/?sh=17701bd846cf https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u-s-stocks-would-be-much-lower-if-it-wasnt-for-excessive-government-spending-morgan-stanleys-mike-wilson-says-1b8e65d2 https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/what-does-the-fed-do-and-how-does-it-impact-the-stock-market https://thefga.org/blog/president-biden-is-wrong-about-esg-heres-why/?gclid=CjwKCAjwvfmoBhAwEiwAG2tqzIhc3F2QbmLEygcbkIg9eV7bhXUz3dzXhO1A_hTNE3hNsMbTug59txoCPcwQAvD_BwE https://centerpointsecurities.com/stock-market-algorithms/#:~:text=The%20main%20thing%20traders%20need,because%20you%20may%20lose%20fast. https://www.statista.com/statistics/191077/inflation-rate-in-the-usa-since-1990 https://www.bankrate.com/banking/cds/historical-cd-interest-rates     Securities offered only by duly registered individuals through Madison Avenue Securities, LLC. (MAS), Member FINRA &SIPC. Advisory services offered only by duly registered individuals through Skrobonja Wealth Management (SWM), a registered investment advisor. Tax services offered only through Skrobonja Tax Consulting. MAS does not offer Build Banking or tax advice. Skrobonja Financial Group, LLC, Skrobonja Wealth Management, LLC, Skrobonja Insurance Services, LLC, Skrobonja Tax Consulting, and Build Banking are not affiliated with MAS. Skrobonja Wealth Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Skrobonja Wealth Management, LLC and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure. The firm is a registered investment adviser with the state of Missouri, and may only transact business with residents of those states, or residents of other states where otherwise legally permitted subject to exemption or exclusion from registration requirements. Registration with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission or any state securities authority does not imply a certain level of skill or training.

Segment 1: Complacency – The Silent Drift "Let's start with complacency. It's the idea that ‘I'm good where I'm at'—the spiritual autopilot. Maybe we've read the Bible enough, prayed enough, or served enough that we start thinking we've ‘arrived.' But the Bible warns us about this. Revelation 3:16 says, ‘So, because you are lukewarm—neither hot nor cold—I am about to spit you out of my mouth.' That's a strong warning! Complacency leads to stagnation. We stop growing, stop striving, and soon, we're spiritually asleep. So, how do we fight it? Stay hungry for the Word, set new spiritual goals, and challenge yourself in your walk. Surround yourself with people who push you toward God, not just comfort." Segment 2: Overconfidence – The Subtle Pride "Then there's overconfidence. Thinking we're strong enough on our own, we stop depending on God. 1 Corinthians 10:12 warns, ‘So, if you think you are standing firm, be careful that you don't fall!' Even Peter, who walked on water, denied Christ when he thought he was strong enough to stand on his own. Overconfidence makes us pray less, read less, and trust ourselves more than God. The enemy loves it when we're running on self-power, because that's when we're most vulnerable. So, how do we fight this? Stay humble. Daily surrender to God. Keep your dependence on Him. Never let past victories make you think you don't need to suit up for battle today." Segment 3: Distraction – The Hidden Enemy "If the devil can't destroy you, he'll distract you. And today, distractions are everywhere—social media, entertainment, endless scrolling, busyness. Luke 10:41-42 tells the story of Martha and Mary. Jesus says, ‘Martha, Martha, you are worried and upset about many things, but few things are needed—or indeed only one.' We can be so busy doing everything but spending time with Jesus. And that's exactly how distraction works—it fills up our schedules and minds so there's no room left for God. So, how do we fight it? Be intentional. Set aside time for God first. Turn off the noise. Protect your focus." Segment 4: Desensitization – The Slow Fade "Desensitization happens when we get used to things that once convicted us. Maybe it's the content we consume, the language we hear, the attitudes we accept. We start compromising in small ways, and soon, things that once grieved us don't even bother us anymore. Romans 12:2 tells us, ‘Do not conform to the pattern of this world, but be transformed by the renewing of your mind.' We can't let culture define what's acceptable—only God can do that. To fight desensitization, we have to constantly realign our hearts with Scripture and ask the Holy Spirit to keep our hearts soft toward the things that matter." Segment 5: Apathy – The Lack of Fire "Lastly, apathy. When we just don't care as much anymore. Maybe we've been hurt, disappointed, or just weary. But indifference is dangerous. Revelation 2:4 says, ‘Yet I hold this against you: You have forsaken the love you had at first.' If your passion for God has faded, it's time to reignite it. Remember what He has done. Serve others. Get back to prayer and worship—not just as a habit, but as a lifeline. Apathy is defeated when we stir up the fire of faith again." "So, let's recap: complacency, overconfidence, distraction, desensitization, and apathy—these are the real threats we face today. Not external attacks, but internal erosion. But here's the good news: we don't have to fall for them. God gives us everything we need to stay strong. Take action today. Ask yourself, ‘Where have I let my guard down?' and invite God to reignite your passion and focus.   www.TheSecondAdam.com   

(0:00) Who has edge in Super Bowl? (11:29) Pats Mike Vrabel hire (25:05) Are Pats fans overconfident in new coaching staff? (33:37) more Pats offseason thoughts

While waiting for mercy... show mercy! For those who are doubting, those who have been tricked by false teachers - for those who have just plain fallen back into sin, what do we do? Christianity is all about redemption, but there is a danger. The lifeguard knows that when he swims out to rescue a drowning man, he's putting his own life at risk. Overconfidence can be fatal. Here's Jim with Part 2 of the talk we began on Friday: Contending for the Faith, from the book of Jude. Listen to Right Start Radio every Monday through Friday on WCVX 1160AM (Cincinnati, OH) at 9:30am, WHKC 91.5FM (Columbus, OH) at 5:00pm, WRFD 880AM (Columbus, OH) at 9:00am. Right Start can also be heard on One Christian Radio 107.7FM & 87.6FM in New Plymouth, New Zealand. You can purchase a copy of this message, unsegmented for broadcasting and in its entirety, for $7 on a single CD by calling +1 (800) 984-2313, and of course you can always listen online or download the message for free. RS02032025_0.mp3Scripture References: 2 Timothy 4:3-4; Jude

In this episode of the podcast, Zoë discusses enhancing leadership thinking through a recent article on transcranial alternating current stimulation (tACS) and its implications for cognitive abilities. She introduces guest Dave Martin, a Silicon Valley entrepreneur and author of "Mega Thinking," who outlines a four-step process to improve strategic thinking: capturing initial thoughts, socializing with trusted individuals, conducting focused research, and synthesizing final thoughts. The conversation also touches on the role of AI in knowledge acquisition and concludes with leadership tips and resources for further learning. SHOWNOTES are here. Key Quotes You are what you think; your environment matters." Zoë Routh "Thinking far deep and wide is essentially how you can fast track upscale, deepen, broaden, improve your strategic thinking." Zoë Routh "It's important to select people who you respect and who have different views; this diversity can lead to new information that enhances your understanding of the topic."  Dave Martin "Going deep means analysing what the current situation looks like, which involves environmental scanning and understanding underlying causes rather than just seeking quick fixes." Dave Martin Questions Asked How might we improve our thinking as leaders? What does 'Mega Thinking' actually mean? What are the specific four steps of the Mega Steps process? How do we select individuals to socialise our thoughts with? Take Action Reflect on your current strategic thinking methods and identify areas for improvement. Engage with trusted colleagues or mentors to discuss your ideas and gather diverse perspectives. Explore the implications of AI in your leadership approach and consider how to integrate it effectively without over-reliance. Tip of the Week Review the collaboration self-checklist - available for subscribers only. Join the community here. You'll get 40 book summaries and recommendations on Leading Strategy and Performance, along with a special secret audio from my award-winning book, People Stuff. Key Moments 00:00 Introduction and Weekly Question 00:15 Exploring Neuroplasticity and Brain Stimulation 01:18 Leadership and Environmental Influence 01:55 Personal Updates and Upcoming Projects 02:31 Improving Strategic Thinking 03:54 Deep and Wide Thinking Strategies 05:16 Introducing Dave Martin and Mega Thinking 06:05 The Concept of Mega Thinking 12:49 Steps to Achieve Mega Thinking 32:02 The Pitfalls of Overconfidence in Leadership 32:42 The Importance of Truth-Seeking in a Sea of Opinions 34:15 Exploring Perspectives and Finding General Principles 35:13 The Role of Books in Deepening Understanding 36:43 Simplifying Complex Topics with Mega Steps 38:49 The Value of Interpersonal Skills in Leadership 45:14 The Future of AI and Its Impact on Industries 48:20 Leadership Tips and Participative Leadership 49:56 The Fast Three: Technology, Leadership, and Reading 52:03 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

Summary In this conversation, the hosts discuss the recent Eagles vs. Commanders game, highlighting key statistics, player performances, and fan reactions. They delve into the dynamics of the game, including referee decisions and the overconfidence of Commanders fans. The discussion also touches on the future of the Commanders and their potential for improvement. In this conversation, the hosts discuss various aspects of the NFL, focusing on the Eagles' performance against the Commanders, defensive strategies, and the impact of refereeing decisions. They also touch on the community's response to a tragic incident involving a young Eagles fan, highlighting the camaraderie and rivalry among fans. The conversation culminates in a reflection on the Eagles' influence on rival fans and the broader implications of their success. In this engaging conversation, the hosts delve into various themes surrounding the NFL, particularly focusing on the Philadelphia Eagles and their quarterback Jalen Hurts. They discuss the nostalgia of sports rivalries, the scrutiny Hurts faces, and the dynamics of coaching and team trust. The conversation also highlights individual player achievements, the strength of the Eagles' offensive line, and the aggressive nature of their defense, culminating in a passionate discussion about the team's prospects in the upcoming Super Bowl.

Most of the news you hear about startups is about how much VC funding they raised.But what if VC rejection is exactly what your startup needs to succeed?That's what happened to one of the biotech startups launched by CAOS Focado, a venture builder that helps deep tech founders survive the brutal early days of building a business.In the latest episode of The High-EQ Founder, I dive into the backstory with Diogo Dutra, serial entrepreneur and co-founder of Caos Focado.He shares:▶️ How he navigated the strategic decision to bootstrap a biotech startup, and what made him trust his technical co-founder was in for the long haul.▶️ The trap of being too attached to Plan A — and when to move on to Plan B.▶️ The unexpected benefits of bootstrapping and how missing out on VC funding created unexpected opportunities to generate revenues, improve their moonshot technology and become a stronger, well-functioning team.Connect with Diogo on Linkedin here.Want to know your Founder EQ? Take the five-minute quiz here. Get full access to The High-EQ Founder by Renita Kalhorn at renitakalhorn.substack.com/subscribe

In today's episode, I'm thrilled to bring on Dan Lesniak. Dan is a bestselling author, real estate broker, trainer, and Ironman athlete. He began his real estate career in 2012 and achieved over $22 million in sales during his first year. As the co-founder of HyperFast Agent, Dan has dedicated his career to helping entrepreneurs, coaches, and team leaders scale their businesses with actionable strategies and proven methods. In this episode, Dan shares his insights on niching, handling rejection, leveraging social media, and scaling your business with confidence.Guest IntroductionDan Lesniak is a trailblazer in business growth and real estate coaching. He co-founded HyperFast Agent and is renowned for scaling the Keri Shull team into one of the nation's most successful real estate teams. Dan advocates for niche marketing, relationship-building, and strategic agent attraction. With extensive experience in creating large networks and leveraging residual income models, Dan stands out as a thought leader. His commitment to empowering entrepreneurs and online coaches makes him a standout guest in today's ever-changing business landscape.Mastering Real Estate Niche Marketing - Key TakeawaysNiching down is essential for dominating a specific market and achieving transformational business growth. Narrowing your focus allows you to build trust and gain momentum.Rejection is an inevitable part of the process. Adopting a “sorter mentality” helps you find the right clients or collaborators without wasting energy on convincing the wrong ones.Social media and video content are powerful tools for scaling online coaching businesses. Repetition and consistency improve both your skills and your audience engagement.Focus on actions rather than outcomes. Staying process-driven allows you to navigate both the highs and lows of business more effectively.Humility is critical for long-term success. Staying grounded helps you make better decisions, strengthen relationships, and adapt to challenges.Dan's Strategies for Overcoming RejectionReframe rejection as a numbers game. Focus on finding the people who genuinely need your transformational coaching services.Develop a “sorter mentality” to identify ideal clients and opportunities instead of trying to convince everyone.Use the “ledge” technique to handle objections effectively by asking open-ended questions such as, “Can you tell me more about why you feel that way?”Build emotional resilience by recognizing rejection triggers and pausing to regain focus before responding.Leveraging Social Media and VideoConsistency is the foundation of building an online presence. Even if your initial videos or posts don't perform well, they refine your skills and prepare you for success.Focus on the process rather than results. Repeated efforts lead to growth, even if the payoff isn't immediate.Use social media strategically to connect with your niche audience and position yourself as an authority in transformational coaching and business scaling.Real Estate Market InsightsThe market is expected to remain stable in the near future. Entrepreneurs and agents should focus on gaining market share instead of relying on an increase in overall transaction volume.Models like EXP Realty's revenue-sharing system offer excellent opportunities to diversify income and stabilize business revenue during challenging times.Lessons from Dan's CareerHumility is essential for navigating challenges and sustaining success. Dan credits humility with helping him adapt to both opportunities and setbacks.Overconfidence during successful periods can hinder growth. Continuous learning and self-improvement are necessary to keep evolving.Success comes from persistence and...

Toxic Employees Hello, this is Hall T. Martin with the Startup Funding Espresso -- your daily shot of startup funding and investing. Toxic employees can ruin a startup's culture. Here are signs you have a toxic employee: Overconfidence -- they believe they can do more than they actually can. This leads to blown projects, missed deadlines, and poor morale in the group. Self-absorbed -- they believe the world revolves around themselves. This makes it difficult for them to work well with others in the group. Rule breakers -- they don't follow the rules as they see themselves above it all. This creates disruption in the organization. Uncooperative -- they want to run every meeting and project in their own way. This makes it difficult to complete projects. Disrespect -- they don't respect others in the group. This fosters a sense of disunity in the organization. To resolve these situations, have a discussion with the employee about their behavior. Bring hard evidence to the discussion to make clear the toxicity. If the behavior doesn't change, it may be time to separate from the employee.   Thank you for joining us for the Startup Funding Espresso where we help startups and investors connect for funding. Let's go startup something today. _______________________________________________________ For more episodes from Investor Connect, please visit the site at:   Check out our other podcasts here:   For Investors check out:   For Startups check out:   For eGuides check out:   For upcoming Events, check out    For Feedback please contact info@tencapital.group    Please , share, and leave a review. Music courtesy of .

Get ready for a football frenzy on the latest episode of the Korner Booth Podcast! Jared Klim and the Krew dive into the college football national championship showdown between Notre Dame and Ohio State. Who's got the edge? Jared's calling it for Notre Dame, 20-16! Then, it's all about the NFL. Coaching changes are shaking things up, with Ben Johnson eyeing the Chicago Bears. What does this mean for the Raiders? And don't miss the recap of the NFL playoff games. The Detroit Lions' unexpected loss to the Washington Commanders has everyone talking. Overconfidence or just a bad day? The Philadelphia Eagles soar with a win over the Rams, thanks to Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkley. Are they the most well-rounded team in the league? Matt Ordazzo thinks so! Plus, it's a nail-biter between the Ravens and Bills. Lamar Jackson shines, but it's not enough. What went wrong? Tune in for all the action, analysis, and a few laughs along the way. This episode is brought to you by our fantastic sponsors, Righteous Felon Beef Jerky, Cannadips CBD, and Seatgeek!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In The M&A Failure Trap: Why Most Mergers and Acquisitions Fail and How the Few Succeed, Baruch Lev and Feng Gu provide a wealth of evidence on the success and failure factors of acquisitions.Lev, professor emeritus of Accounting and Finance at NYU's Stern School of Business and Gu, professor of Accounting and Law at the State University of New York, have analyzed more than 40,000 acquisitions over the past four decades. This has not only allowed them to understand the reasons why 75% of deals fail but also to develop a scorecard that can help decision-makers assess the likelihood of acquisition success ex ante.In their conversation with Martin Reeves, chairman of the BCG Henderson Institute, Lev and Gu discuss how to measure acquisition success, how to curb overconfidence on the side of the acquirer, and key lessons for CEOs seeking inorganic growth.Key topics discussed:[02:45] How mergers and acquisitions have changed[05:00] Judging the success or failure of acquisitions[08:16] Drivers of acquisition failure[14:41] Patterns of successful acquisitions[17:27] Overconfidence and its causes[19:51] Managerial implications

The Morning team thinks there has been some overconfidence about the Eagles over the Packers this Sunday. The Packers have a proven quarterback and a pretty good football team- are people writing them off? The Eagles defense does inspire confidence. Jaws thinks there is no way the Eagles lose. A montage of regular season highlights!

The Morning team thinks there has been some overconfidence about the Eagles over the Packers this Sunday. Are the Packers being written off? Joe DeCamara and Jon Ritchie think there has been overconfidence. Will Jordan Love be effective with his injury? Jason Kelce joins the Morning crew in-studio and gives his thoughts on the Eagles vs. Packers matchup. He even talks about his new show on ESPN. What would Jason change about the Birds? Micah Parsons makes a lofty claim about the Cowboys for next season and the Morning crew pokes some fun. Relive some of this Eagles season's biggest moments with a montage created by Joe Weachter!

The Morning team shares some concerns about overconfidence when it comes to the Eagles vs. the Packers. Joe DeCamara believes the Eagles will win the game, but is worried that people have been overly confident about the game. Jon Ritchie believes there has been overconfidence, too.

This week on the RV Podcast: It's RV Show Season, and if you're planning on visiting a show, we have RV show tips to save you time AND money. If you use a late model Ford Heavy Duty truck to pull your RV there's a major recall that you need to know about In Mike and Jen's storytime, the dangers of bad weather and overconfidence  All this plus the RV News of the Week, and answers to your questions coming up in Episode 529 of the RV Podcast.

Most people think cybersecurity training is about knowledge, but what if motivation is the real key to success? David Shipley, CEO and Field CISO at Beauceron Security, shares how psychology and neuroscience reshape how we approach security awareness, reducing risks in ways tech alone never could. In this episode, Ron and David examine why people, not technology, are at the core of effective cybersecurity. David teaches us about the SCARF model, warns us about the dangers of overconfidence in training, and explains how gamification can drive meaningful behavior change when it comes to cybersecurity awareness and risk reduction.    Impactful Moments: 00:00 – Introduction 02:00 – David Shipley's journey from journalist to cybersecurity leader 06:10 – Why motivation outshines knowledge in security training 08:20 – The Dunning-Kruger effect: Overconfidence in cybersecurity 11:17 – How overreliance on tech increases click rates 17:03 – Cybercriminals' evolving tactics and emotional manipulation 25:00 – Gamification in cybersecurity: Changing security behaviors 30:56 – Using the SCARF model to enhance security culture 39:45 – Emotional intelligence as a defense against AI threats Links: Connect with our guest, David Shipley: https://www.linkedin.com/in/dbshipley/ Learn more about Beauceron Security here: www.beauceronsecurity.com/partner   Check out our upcoming events: https://www.hackervalley.com/livestreams Join our creative mastermind and stand out as a cybersecurity professional: https://www.patreon.com/hackervalleystudio Love Hacker Valley Studio? Pick up some swag: https://store.hackervalley.com Continue the conversation by joining our Discord: https://hackervalley.com/discord Become a sponsor of the show to amplify your brand: https://hackervalley.com/work-with-us/

Career growth is a continuous process that requires both personal initiative and organizational assistance. To have a great career, you must approach your work with curiosity, always seeking fresh knowledge and ideas. Active listening to others, particularly those with more experience, enables you to learn useful insights and form lasting relationships. Equally vital is the mindset of contributing and aiding others, whether by assisting your team or understanding the wider picture of your organization's progress. Fawn Radmanich joined us for another insightful conversation about building a killer career in construction. She is a 24-year AEC industry veteran who has been a dedicated member of the Society for Marketing Professional Services (SMPS) for the past 19 years. Working with teams to secure multi-million- and billion-dollar design and construction projects, creating chances for individuals and organizations to have a brand influence, and figuring out how to promote employee engagement and a sense of belonging are some of her passions and areas of competence. She has worked on over 800 pursuit efforts across multiple market sectors, including higher education, civic, theme park entertainment, aviation, data centers, seismic/historic renovations, sports, hospitality, and many more.   EPISODE HIGHLIGHTS [07:17] Create a long-term, mutually beneficial relationship. [13:12] Peer connection for career growth. [19:49] Empowering others with knowledge.  [24:53] Rotating employees through different roles within a company. [32:13] The balance of ego and humility in career building.  [35:36] Navigating career setbacks and promotions. [40:46] Doing what's best for the employees.  [46:07] Overconfidence and a lack of humility. [49:02] Understanding the gaps in your competencies.  [53:27] Wisdom for the young generation in construction.   KEY TAKEAWAYS   Evaluate whether your passion can be integrated into your job in a way that adds value to your company.  To maximize the impact of an internship, create a structured program that involves real projects and broad exposure to different roles within the company. Focus on building relationships with your peers and colleagues, and proactively offer help. Encourage employees to participate in role rotations or "tours of duty" across different departments. Have an open conversation to understand motivations when an employee indicates they are leaving.  To avoid career sabotage, stay humble, be curious, and focus on building relationships within your team.   RESOURCES Connect with Fawn LinkedIn – linkedin.com/in/fawnradmanich/  www.smps.org www.stantec.com www.pcl.com Previous Episode with Fawn: www.constructiongenius.com/master-pursuit-marketing-learn-to-build-trust-focus-on-client-needs-and-secure-your-dream-projects-ep-291     THE SHIFT Imagine making the shift from building projects to truly leading people. You've taken projects from start to finish—now it's time to build a team of people who can do the same. In construction, authentic leadership goes beyond managing tasks; it's about inspiring and guiding people. The Shift: Move from Project Builder to People Leader is a no-BS, hands-on course I designed specifically for construction professionals ready to make that transition. The Shift is all about mastering the skills that matter: Direct, clear communication. Handling tough conversations with confidence. Guiding your team toward quick, practical solutions. Setting the standard for high performance. And let's be honest—you're busy. That's why I'll also give you the tools to manage your time and energy efficiently so you can lead without getting overwhelmed. This course combines a self-paced masterclass with highly practical materials to help you shift from managing projects to leading people. Click the link to learn more about The Shift, including a detailed description, free bonuses, and testimonials from construction leaders like you who have already made the shift: https://theshift.constructiongenius.com/     Are people problems eroding your company's profits? Discover proven strategies to lead, strategize, and sell effectively, ensuring your projects stay profitable. Elevate your construction business by purchasing Construction Genius: Effective, Hands-On, Practical, Simple, No-BS Leadership, Strategy, Sales, and Marketing Advice for Construction Companies today and turn your people problems into profit!: www.amazon.com/Construction-Genius-Effective-Hands-Leadership/dp/B0BHTRDY1T/ Is an executive or leader in your company struggling? Reach out to Eric to discuss how his transformative executive coaching approach can help. Schedule a 10 minute call with Eric today to learn more: 10minuteswitheric.youcanbook.me

Summary In this episode of Bleav in Buckeyes, hosts Bryant Browning and Chimdi Chekwa are joined by the insightful Zachary Neel of the Bleav in Oregon podcast for a chat about the college football playoff showdown between Ohio State and Oregon! They dive into everything from team vibes and confidence levels to the age-old debate of rest versus momentum. With coaching strategies and key player matchups on the table, the hosts tackle the psychological part of the game for the teams and revel in the fan frenzy as the big day approaches. Plus, they unwrap the playoff seeding structure and what it means for the teams involved. Takeaways The atmosphere around the Oregon Ducks is positive and confident. Ohio State's recent win has boosted their confidence after a tough season. Overconfidence can be a double-edged sword for teams. Rest can be beneficial, but momentum from recent games is also crucial. Coaching strategies will play a significant role in the outcome of the game. Key players like Jordan Burch and Dillon Gabriel will impact the game significantly. Ohio State's offensive line has shown resilience despite injuries. Dillon Gabriel's decision-making is critical for Oregon's success. The coaching matchup favors Oregon in terms of game tactics. Fan sentiment is mixed, with cautious optimism from both sides. Chapters 00:00 Introduction and Team Atmosphere 02:48 Confidence and Overconfidence in Teams 05:41 Rest vs. Momentum Debate 11:28 Key Players, Matchups, and Strategies 17:26 X-Factors and Game Predictions 23:52 Coaching Strategies, Ryan Day Job Stability, and Fan Sentiments 28:43 Seeding and Playoff Adjustments 30:57 Predictions and Fan Confidence Keywords Ohio State, Oregon Ducks, college football, Rose Bowl, game predictions, team dynamics, coaching strategies, player performance, fan sentiment, overconfidence, Ryan Day, Dan Lanning, Dillon Gabriel, Will Howard, Jeremiah Smith, College Football Playoffs, Kirk Herbstreit

Nathan and Ben instruct listener DD on how to avoid overconfidence on the LSAT. Read more on our website!Email daily@lsatdemon.com with questions or comments.Watch this episode on YouTube.

In this episode of Enrich Your Future, Andrew and Larry Swedroe discuss Larry's new book, Enrich Your Future: The Keys to Successful Investing. In this series, they discuss Chapter 21: You Can't Handle the Truth.LEARNING: Overconfidence leads to poor investment decisions. Measure your returns against benchmarks. “If you think you can forecast the future better than others, you're going to ignore risks that you shouldn't ignore because you'll treat the unlikely as possible.”Larry Swedroe In this episode of Enrich Your Future, Andrew and Larry Swedroe discuss Larry's new book, Enrich Your Future: The Keys to Successful Investing. The book is a collection of stories that Larry has developed over 30 years as the head of financial and economic research at Buckingham Wealth Partners to help investors. You can learn more about Larry's Worst Investment Ever story on Ep645: Beware of Idiosyncratic Risks.Larry deeply understands the world of academic research and investing, especially risk. Today, Andrew and Larry discuss Chapter 21: You Can't Handle the Truth.Chapter 21: You Can't Handle the TruthIn this chapter, Larry discusses how investors delude themselves about their skills and performance, leading to persistent and costly investment mistakes.The deluded investorAccording to Larry, evidence from the field of behavioral finance suggests that investors persist in deluding themselves about their skills and performance. This persistent self-deception leads to costly investment mistakes, emphasizing the need for continuous vigilance in investment decisions.Larry quotes a New York Times article in which professors Richard Thaler and Robert Shiller noted that individual investors and money managers persist in believing that they are endowed with more and better information than others and can profit by picking stocks. This insight helps explain why individual investors think they can:Pick stocks that will outperform the market.Time the market, so they're in it when it's rising and out of it when it's falling.Identify the few active managers who will beat their respective benchmarks.The overconfident investorLarry adds that even when individuals acknowledge the difficulty of beating the market, they are buoyed by the hope of success. He quotes noted economist Peter Bernstein: “Active management is extraordinarily difficult because there are so many knowledgeable investors and information does move so fast. The market is hard to beat. There are a lot of smart people trying to do the same thing. Nobody's saying that it's easy. But possible? Yes.”This slim possibility keeps hope alive. Overconfidence, fueled by this hope, leads investors to believe they will be among the few who succeed.Why investors spend so much time and money on actively managed mutual fundsLarry also examined another study, Positive Illusions and Forecasting Errors in Mutual Fund Investment Decisions,...

James Kostohyrz argues there's a real chance that Israel and Iran are going to war.  Like bombs and missiles.  Real war. If so, what's Iran's first move?  Shut down the Strait of Hormuz and immediately block 20% of the world's oil production.  Oh crap.  What would that mean for oil prices?   It's a scary yet possible scenario we are facing.  Horrifying with huge ramifications for oil prices.  James argues it's not priced into today's crude prices.Digital Wildcatters brings the energy community together through events, cutting-edge content, and powerful tools. Join our online community at collide.io. Engage with experts, level up your career, and ask Collide AI your toughest technical questions.Click here to watch a video of this episode. 00:00 - Intro01:52 - How Anas Makes Money03:09 - Geopolitical Risk and Oil Prices07:10 - Impact of Middle East War on Oil Prices11:29 - Iran's Blockade of the Strait of Hormuz17:59 - Iran's Economy and Potential Regime Change27:46 - Public Executions in Iran28:40 - Israel's Regime Change Policy29:40 - Likelihood of Regime Change in Iran32:53 - US Shale Revolution Insights34:00 - Overconfidence in US Shale Production36:20 - Asymmetric Risk/Reward in Energy Sector40:00 - Market Strategies for Investors43:53 - Israeli Perspectives on Regional Issues51:54 - Trump Administration's Potential Actions58:05 - Scenarios for War Outcomes1:00:50 - Potential Peace Deal Scenarios1:02:44 - Iran's Nuclear Program and Israeli Strategy1:05:50 - Trump's Iran Policy and Diplomacy Prospects1:10:05 - Israel's Threat from Iran's Proxies1:11:02 - Ukraine's Role in the Conflict1:19:10 - Market Apathy Towards Geopolitical Risks1:20:17 - Contact Information for Teddy1:21:10 - Recent Changes in Israel1:23:06 - October 7, 2022 Eventshttps://www.instagram.com/digitalwildcattershttps://www.tiktok.com/@digitalwildcattershttps://www.facebook.com/digitalwildcattershttps://twitter.com/DWildcatters

Hello, media consumers! It's Election Day eve! Bryan and David kick off the podcast by discussing the Selzer Poll (0:47), what the news cycle has looked like during this election (10:24), some possible pre-recriminations (15:13), and more. Then in the Notebook Dump they discuss how The Washington Post lost subscribers after a non-endorsement of Harris (41:30), as well as Joel Embiid's altercation with columnist Marcus Hayes (53:14) Plus, the Overworked Twitter Joke of the Week, Only in Journalism, and David Shoemaker Guesses the Strained-Pun Headline. Hosts: Bryan Curtis and David Shoemaker Producer: Brian H. Waters Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

In this solo episode of the Passion Struck podcast, host John R. Miles delves into the transformative journey of Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates, and explores the dangers of overconfidence. Ray's early career crisis shattered his illusion of infallibility and taught him invaluable lessons about humility, self-awareness, and the importance of admitting mistakes. These insights became foundational in his approach to investment and management, contributing to the immense success of Bridgewater Associates. John also discusses the broader implications of overconfidence across various fields, including business, sports, and everyday decision-making, and offers practical strategies for cultivating humility and making intentional choices. Join John R. Miles as he uncovers how embracing these principles can lead to personal and professional growth.Full show notes and resources can be found here: SponsorsBabbel is the new way to learn a foreign language. The comprehensive learning system combines effective education methods with state-of-the-art technology! Right now, get SIXTY percent off your Babbel subscription—but only for our listeners, at Babbel dot com slash PASSION.Stop hair loss before it's gone for good. Hims has everything you need to regrow hair. Start your free online visit today at “Hims dot com slash PASSIONSTRUCK.”Quince brings luxury products like Mongolian Cashmere, Italian Leather, Turkish Cotton and Washable Silk to everyone at radically low prices.Go to “Quince dot com slash PASSION” for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns.--► For information about advertisers and promo codes, go to:https://passionstruck.com/deals/In this episode, you will learn:  https://passionstruck.com/5-ways-overcome-hidden-dangers-of-overconfidence/Ray Dalio's Early Career Crisis: How an overconfident prediction nearly derailed his career.The Importance of Humility: Lessons on embracing humility and its impact on decision-making.Self-Awareness: The role of self-awareness in recognizing and mitigating overconfidence.Admitting Mistakes: Why normalizing the admission of mistakes is crucial for growth.Foundational Principles: How Dalio's experiences shaped his investment and management strategies.Broader Implications of Overconfidence: Insights into how overconfidence affects various fields like business, sports, and everyday life.Practical Strategies: Tips for cultivating humility and making intentional, disciplined choices.Join John R. Miles as he uncovers how these four key principles can transform your inner dialogue, helping you harness the power of being wrong to unlock new levels of wisdom, strength, and personal growth. Embrace the journey of continuous improvement and discover how being wrong can be a catalyst for profound transformation.https://passionstruck.com/passion-struck-book/—Order a copy of my new book, "Passion Struck: Twelve Powerful Principles to Unlock Your Purpose and Ignite Your Most Intentional Life," today! The book was selected by the Next Big Idea Club as a must-read for 2024 and received numerous accolades, including Best Non-Fiction Book at the International Book Awards, the Melanie P. Smith Reader's Choice Award, Business Minds Best Book 2024, a Gold Medal from the Non-Fiction Book Awards, and the Eric Hoffer Book Award.Unlock Your Best Year Yet: Join The Passion Struck Weekly Challenges!Prepare to embark on a life-changing journey with our weekly Passion Struck challenges. This isn't just a series of tasks; it's a comprehensive quest toward personal fulfillment, growth, and self-discovery. Every week introduces a new challenge, carefully crafted to enhance every aspect of your life.Why Take The 50-Week Challenge?Unearth New Perspectives: Each week unveils new viewpoints, skills to acquire, or untapped strengths.Push Your Boundaries: Embrace challenges that extend your comfort zone and amplify your capabilities.Join a Supportive Community: Connect with a dynamic group of individuals on the same path, offering encouragement, inspiration, and solidarity.Benefit from Expert Guidance: As your mentor, I'll provide insights, support, and professional advice to help you through each challenge.What Awaits You?Diverse Challenges: Addressing physical health, mental sharpness, emotional resilience, and spiritual enrichment.Practical Actions: These are straightforward, achievable steps that easily blend into your daily life.Weekly Encouragement: Newsletters featuring tips, success stories, and encouragement to keep you motivated.Exclusive Resources: Access to unique materials, expert interviews, and tailored advice as a subscriber.Start Your Transformative JourneySigning up is the first step toward a year of growth and self-discovery. Overcome each challenge and become an inspiration to others.How to BeginSubscribe to Our Newsletter: Fill in your details to join the challenge and receive your weekly guide.Initiate with Your First Challenge: Start your adventure with an engaging task delivered to your inbox.Engage with Our Online Community: Exchange experiences and find support in our exclusive group.Embrace a Year of Evolution: Prepare for a year where each week brings you closer to your best self.Catch More of Passion StruckCheck My solo episode on The Power of Choice — Why Our Choices Are PowerfulWatch my interview with Robin Steinberg on Humanizing Justice Through CompassionCan't miss my episode with Jeffrey C. Walker On The Criticality of Collaboration in Systems ChangeMy episode with Lori Gottlieb on Embracing Self-Compassion for a Better LifeCatch my solo episode on 7 Reasons Why Acts of Kindness Are More than Meets the EyeLike this show? Please leave us a review here-- even one sentence helps! Consider including your Twitter or Instagram handle so we can thank you personally!How to Connect with JohnConnect with John on Twitter at @John_RMiles and on Instagram at @john_R_Miles.Subscribe to our main YouTube Channel Here: https://www.youtube.com/c/JohnRMilesSubscribe to our YouTube Clips Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@passionstruckclipsWant to uncover your profound sense of Mattering? I provide my master class with five simple steps to achieving it.Want to hear my best interviews? Check out my starter packs on intentional behavior change, women at the top of their game, longevity, and well-being, and overcoming adversity.Learn more about John: https://johnrmiles.com/