Podcasts about dunning kruger

Cognitive bias in which incompetent people assess themselves as competent

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Best podcasts about dunning kruger

Latest podcast episodes about dunning kruger

Little Gym, Big Heart with Devin Gage
Scaling Expertise in Fitness Without Sacrificing Quality with CJ Appenzeller

Little Gym, Big Heart with Devin Gage

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 12, 2026 51:08


CJ Appenzeller built a 550-square-foot storage space into a five-location training operation across South Jersey — and he did it without sacrificing the technical excellence that made him an industry expert. In this episode, CJ breaks down the exact framework he uses to scale coaching expertise across multiple locations: how he documents every movement standard into a "playbook" course shell, why he hires great people over great coaches, and the hard-and-fast training convictions that keep his product consistent at scale. We also go deep on the ego death required to stop being the technician, the Dunning-Kruger trap that makes experienced coaches harder to onboard than beginners, and why the gray area in your coaching standards is slowly killing your business. What you'll learn: The "playbook" system CJ uses to onboard coaches and maintain quality across 5 locations Why hiring people with zero coaching experience often beats hiring experienced coaches How to turn technical expertise into a scalable business (without losing what made you great) The pre-mortem exercise that reframes your entire career How to build industry authority through content, coaching trees & relentless curiosity Why having hard convictions — not nuance — is what actually scales

Plant Fuelled Podcast
Cheese Caves, AI, Beef & Who's Lying to You About Food With Callum Weir & Sapna Peruvemba

Plant Fuelled Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 12, 2026 97:20


Sapna Peruvemba is back. Registered dietitian, PhD student in environmental nutrition, and one of the few people I've had on twice because the first conversation wasn't nearly long enough.This time we go properly into it. Cheese caves, the dairy industry, and the kind of thing that makes you realise how much of what you think you know about food was written by the people selling it to you. We get into AI versus beef and the environmental argument that nobody in the meat industry wants to have. And then the bit I find most interesting, how misinformation actually works in nutrition, why the Dunning-Kruger effect is absolutely rampant in this space, and how to tell the difference between someone cherry-picking data and someone who actually knows what they're talking about.We also talk about veganism in Germany, social media trolls, food deserts, and how cultural differences shape the way people approach health and nutrition entirely differently.It's a long one. Worth it.Find me:Substack⁠⁠Instagram⁠⁠Iron Without the Bull⁠⁠Buy Me a Coffee

The FI Show
$5M Exit, 700K Followers, and Now THIS | Jeremy Schneider

The FI Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 11, 2026 44:57


Today’s episode is a long-awaited return visit from Jeremy Schneider of Personal Finance Club. Five years ago, Jeremy joined us fresh off selling his tech company for over $5 million, already retired at 36, and just starting to build what would become one of the most trusted personal finance Instagram accounts online. Today, he has 700k followers, has grown his net worth to roughly $7 million, almost entirely from index fund growth, and has launched a brand new company called Nectarine. Nectarine is a marketplace of flat-fee financial advisors with no commissions, no assets under management fees, just transparent pricing listed directly on the site. Jeremy explains how it works, who it’s actually for (and who probably doesn’t need it), and why he’s been building the whole thing in public. You’ll also hear Why the most important piece of the “how to get rich” pie chart isn’t what you invest in What the Dunning-Kruger curve looks like for the average investor Why the best investors might just be the ones who forget they have an account And much more! As always, if you found this episode helpful, let us know and/or leave a review. If you know someone who would enjoy it, sharing is caring! Links From the Episode Hello Nectarine: https://thefishow.com/nectarine Personal Finance Club: https://personalfinanceclub.com Personal Finance Club IG: https://www.instagram.com/personalfinanceclub Dunning Kruger post: https://www.instagram.com/p/DOHIX5jksco/ Nectarine transparency post: https://www.instagram.com/p/DTLVrppD7RS/?img_index=1 How to get rich post: https://www.instagram.com/p/DT8BvNLEgRc/?img_index=1 Stock market history post: https://www.instagram.com/p/DW35p0liMte/ YouTube Interview https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dEN8KlUtG28 Join the Community We'd love to hear your comments and questions about this week's episode. Here are some of the best ways to stay in touch and get involved in The FI Show community! Grab the Ultimate FI Spreadsheet Join our Facebook Group Leave us a voicemail Send an email to contact [at] TheFIshow [dot] com If you like what you hear, please subscribe and leave a rating/review! >> You can do that by clicking here 

The Modern Hairstylist
Why You're Not As Smart (Or As Dumb) As You Think You Are

The Modern Hairstylist

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 8, 2026 17:22


In this episode of The Modern Hairstylist Podcast, Hunter Donia and Jodie Brown explore a concept that hits differently depending on where you are in your business journey: the Dunning-Kruger effect, and what it actually means for hairstylists and beauty entrepreneurs trying to grow.Hunter gets candid about his own spiral after watching a TikTok that made him question whether his confidence in his work was a sign of expertise or a blind spot. What came out of that conversation with Jodie was something a lot of high performers will recognize: the early stages of business reward bold, fearless action, and the more you learn, the harder it gets to move fast. This episode unpacks both sides of that tension and what to do about it.Key Takeaways:

Viracasacas Podcast
RT Comentado 59 - Mas eu usei o suco: a história do efeito Dunning-Kruger

Viracasacas Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 5, 2026 23:58


Olá, pessoas, hoje a gente vai falar sobre uma palavrinha que você provavelmente já ouviu, talvez já usou, e que virou uma das explicações mais populares pra... bom, basicamente pra qualquer coisa.   Sabe quando alguém pega um cargo de chefia sem nenhum preparo e age como se entendesse de tudo? Quando aquele cunhado opina sobre vacina, sobre economia, direito constitucional, futebol e filosofia oriental, tudo no mesmo almoço de domingo, com uma confiança quase ofensiva? Quando aquele aluno que mal apareceu nas aulas fala em sala como se fosse o professor titular?   Pra cada uma dessas situações, sempre vai aparecer alguém pra cravar: "ah, isso é o efeito Dunning-Kruger." E pronto. Explicação encerrada. O cara é incompetente e não sabe que é incompetente. Diagnóstico em duas palavras. O nome soa científico, vem de Cornell, foi publicado num periódico sério de psicologia no fim dos anos noventa. Quem vai questionar?

Growthaholics
#313 - IA no trabalho: você está superestimando o curto prazo e subestimando o longo | Com Marcelo Furtado, Cofundador da Convenia

Growthaholics

Play Episode Listen Later May 28, 2026 55:49


A Inteligência Artificial vai revolucionar de vez o trabalho ou é só mais uma tecnologia que vai se ajustar às nossas rotinas? Neste episódio, o debate gira em torno do impacto real dos agentes de IA no mercado, na gestão de pessoas e na própria estrutura das organizações — longe dos discursos catastróficos e das ansiedades geradas pelo hype.Pedro Waengertner recebe Marcelo Furtado, cofundador e CEO da Convenia, que traz uma visão direta e ancorada na realidade de mais de 3.000 profissionais de RH que usam sua plataforma diariamente. Juntos, eles exploram como a IA está transformando o desenho dos cargos, o papel do RH na adaptação das equipes, e por que a tecnologia não substitui pessoas, mas tarefas — além de discutir a velocidade de adoção desta inovação e o equilíbrio essencial entre automação e decisão humana.No papo, você vai entender:Por que a ansiedade e o efeito Dunning-Kruger atrapalham a adoção consciente da IAComo exemplos como a aviação ajudam a pensar o futuro das profissões e da automaçãoA transformação do RH de gestor de pessoas para orquestrador de atividades suportadas por IAA importância de complementar e não substituir o trabalho humano para aumentar produtividade e valorSe você quer decifrar o que realmente está mudando e o que ainda vai levar tempo para se transformar, dá o play e vem com a gente!Para conferir mais conteúdos,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠acesse nosso site⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠!Instagram:⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@aceventuresbr⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Linkedin:⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ACE Ventures⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠E-mail: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠contato@goace.vc⁠⁠⁠

The QuackCast
Quackcast 793 - Baron Munchausen's Imposter Dunning Kruger syndrome!

The QuackCast

Play Episode Listen Later May 26, 2026 59:51


We're chatting about The Imposter Syndrome! And then that bleeds over naturally to the Dunning Kruger effect… Have you ever experienced imposter syndrome in your comicing or professional life? I think it's one of those things that we all have at one time or another. It's the feeling of "I don't belong", "people are relying on me and I really don't know what I'm doing", "they're going to find out I've been a fraud all along!". When it comes to comics in my case it usually happens after I've just posted a new page, I go from feeling like being at the top of the world to a total fraud and a hack who's not worthy to have their comics seen. The way this bleeds into the Dunning Kruger effect is the healthier side of the imposer syndrome… when you're not feeling like a fraud but rather you're aware that you don't know it all - you know your stuff is ok, it could be better, and that's fine. What is Dunning Kruger effect? It's and informal behaviour pattern that we all tend to gravitate towards: When you don't know anything at all about a subject you're aware of that lack of knowledge, but when you know a tiny bit about the subject you overestimate your knowledge and think you know all there is to know, however when you actually become an expert on the subject then you think that you know less about it than you do because you know how much more there IS to know. Also, there's a balance in the middle where you know exactly how much you know. People wrongly think that only idiots are subject to Dunning Kruger, but the truth is that its universal because we're ALL experts at a few things and novices at a billion other things: from artists, to astronomers, to janitors, to footballers, to street-sweepers. Examples of highly qualified people in particular fields saying moronic things about other fields are legion: two time Nobel Prize winner Dr Linus Pauling came up with the stupid idea that vitamin C cures everything and he's the reason why it's STILL touted as being at all good for colds; theoretical Physicist Avi Loeb promotes the idiotic idea that various extra-solar comets are alien spaceships; former doctor, Andrew Wakefield famously promotes crazed anti-vax conspiracy theories… Actual experts in things are experts for a reason. It's important to have an idea of what you don't know about something, then you won't get hit with imposter syndrome. Achieve that balance point on the Dunning Kruger graph and actually know what you're doing. This week our best-off from Gunwallace is: Simply Sarah - It has lovely female vocals and it's a very nice track. Chosen by Tantz Aerine because Simply Sarah is about self realisation! Originally from Quackcast 178, 4th of August 2014 Topics and shownotes Featured comic: In the Woodland - https://www.theduckwebcomics.com/news/2026/may/19/featured-comic-in-the-woodland/ Featured music: Simply Sarah - https://www.theduckwebcomics.com/simply_sarah/ - by Skyangel, rated E. Special thanks to: Gunwallace - https://www.theduckwebcomics.com/user/Gunwallace/ Tantz Aerine - https://www.theduckwebcomics.com/user/Tantz_Aerine/ Ozoneocean - https://www.theduckwebcomics.com/user/ozoneocean Banes - https://www.theduckwebcomics.com/user/Banes/ Kawaiidaigakusei - https://www.theduckwebcomics.com/user/kawaiidaigakusei/ VIDEO exclusive! Become a subscriber on the $5 level and up to see our weekly Patreon video and get our advertising perks! - https://www.patreon.com/DrunkDuck Even at $1 you get your name with a link on the front page and a mention in the weekend newsposts! Join us on Discord - https://discordapp.com/invite/7NpJ8GS

InvestOrama - Separate Investment Facts from Financial Fiction
A macro framework for hybrid portfolios

InvestOrama - Separate Investment Facts from Financial Fiction

Play Episode Listen Later May 22, 2026 40:58


It's great to be back on the podcasting seat! Watch it on YouTube or listen on every podcast app. This podcast is about gathering investment management intelligence. It's not an investment podcast where we discuss macro itself. Yet macro matters. This was a rare opportunity to understand how it works for sophisticated hybrid investors, and what goes on behind the scenes by talking to Dylan Smith from ArcMacro (Tangents on Substack).A few selected quotes from our conversationMacro for private market investorsIf you have in mind private market performance, […] it's long term and returns are driven by slightly different things, although they are affected by macro. We've re-looked at the economics toolkit. We've kept most of it, but we've shifted the focus to say, okay, we've got to be a lot more long term. We've got to be a lot more structural.That's Dylan key differentiator. He's serving private market LPs. But I think his framework is applicable to anyone with a longer term perspective.Signal vs. Noise - 2026 version  Every time someone meets me for the first time, it's, "Oh, you're an economist. What a great time to be an economist," like, "There's so much chaos in the world."I did not bring up the famous Lenin quote in the conversation: “There are decades where nothing happens; and there are weeks where decades happen” although I had it in mind after Venezuela, Iran. But the conversation showed me I was making a common mistake: People tend to view often developments almost as entirely political, and I think partly that's the news media's fault because that's their natural lens as they report.We went on to discuss this signal and noise in more depth. But ultimately having a solid macro grounding helps to avoid investment biases. But it doesn't mean you should only stay the course without doing anything. We also talked about hedging, and shifts in allocation.Assign probabilities Our primary framework is scenario-based. But it's not just sticking our fingers in the air and saying, there's a whole universe of things that could happen. It's based on understanding that, events now chain into the future, and they can branch away. But we can assign pretty good probabilities around that by mixing some fairly sophisticated modeling and data.This is quite different, and a lot more practical from thge traditional perspective of an economist producing ONE forecast, usually with a lot of caveats.AI and the Dunning-Kruger effect in macro AI is about averages, and it's backward-looking. It produces the next most likely token based on its understanding of all the past information. You're trying to think about scenarios, what might happen in the future and what's important about the differences and inflection points. Like, is this a meaningful shift in the kind of structure of the economy? It's too sophisticated for AI to answer. It will give you an answer, and it will sound confident about it, but there's a huge amount of risk in that. And if you already have certain biases or you're low down on the Dunning-Kruger scale, or you know you're not great at macro, but you get this kind of answer it's very tempting to treat that as the truth and act on it.We covered a lot, and yes of course we spoke about Iran and the Trump administration too.Related episode:About Dylan Smith:Dylan Smith is the independent chief economist for private markets. Combining experience in macroeconomics and alternative investing he delivers insights with the frequency, horizon and granularity that private markets need.https://arcmacro.com/https://www.linkedin.com/in/dylan-smith-78284b50/About the Investlogy podcast:Investology is the investment management intelligence show. Where innovators, investors, authors and experts discuss the future of investment management beyond the hype.Listen on every podcast platform, or watch on YouTube.An episode produced by Orama:For fintechs and enterprise vendors selling to financial institutions. We turn your expertise into narratives that build trust and relationships with decision-makers.About George Aliferis:Founder or Orama, ex-banker, ex-sales, working at the intersection of investment management, media & marketing.LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/george-aliferis-60078312/My Other Channels* Investorama - Separating Investment Facts from Financial Fiction (YouTube)* Orama's newsletter & Unsloppable podcast for marketers and revenue teams in complex industries: This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit investorama.substack.com

Watchdog on Wall Street
Unmasking Wall Street's Illusions

Watchdog on Wall Street

Play Episode Listen Later May 16, 2026 39:38 Transcription Available


 Chris Markowski delves into the complexities of financial realities, exposing the myths propagated by Wall Street and the government. He discusses the Dunning-Kruger effect as it relates to financial incompetence, the illusion of consumer spending, the performance of investment gurus, and the ongoing issues of insider trading and national debt. Markowski emphasizes the need for accountability and transparency in financial practices, critiques the healthcare system, and addresses the implications of tariffs on inflation. The conversation culminates in a call for a more honest approach to economic policy and spending.

Thrive LOUD with Lou Diamond
1159: Dr. Jill Schiefelbein - "AI on Trial"

Thrive LOUD with Lou Diamond

Play Episode Listen Later May 14, 2026 42:36


AI on Trial: Exploring Legal, Ethical, and Human Impacts with Dr. Jill SchiefelbeinWhat if your next AI chat could be held responsible for murder? In this eye-opening episode of Thrive Loud, Lou Diamond welcomes AI strategist and communication expert Dr. Jill Schiefelbein to unpack one of the most controversial lawsuits in recent memory: a claim that ChatGPT was a co-conspirator in a deadly real-world crime. But as shocking as that sounds, Dr. Jill Schiefelbein brings logic, insight, and a positive outlook to the table, revealing how these high-profile cases could make our digital future both safer and more empowering for us all.Listen in as they discuss:The reality behind lawsuit headlines, AI responsibility, and common sense in the courtroomThe dangers of overregulation and why limiting access to AI could widen the digital divideWhy most anxiety about AI isn't actually about technology, but about timeless human fears—and how to overcome themThe power and pitfalls of trusting AI (hello, hallucinated research papers and lemon juice bank robbers!)How AI can save time, enhance experiences, and drive real human connection—if you know how to use itThis episode is a must-hear for anyone who wants the facts (not just the headlines) on AI, legal liability, and how to thrive in a rapidly-changing world.Timestamped Overview00:00 Intro & welcome00:25 Introducing Dr. Jill Schiefelbein01:38 Why this episode is urgent02:12 The ChatGPT co-conspirator lawsuit explained03:09 Setting a human lens on AI05:00 The 3 key issues everyone should know about AI and liability07:40 Terms, conditions & user responsibility09:40 Guardrails, monitoring, and privacy versus protection12:43 Is AI an active or passive intermediary?15:15 Anthropomorphism and the law16:09 Potential implications & product development parallels18:06 Transparency, monitoring, and privacy concerns21:54 Getting real about AI's positive uses22:09 Legal research (and AI hallucinations)23:07 Why we over-trust tech: Dunning-Kruger, lemon juice, and being human29:16 Why blaming AI misses the real anxieties32:08 Overregulation and the risk to democratizing AI34:55 Practical ways to lessen AI anxiety38:21 How to connect with Dr. Jill Schiefelbein40:51 Fun street speed round41:54 Close

Satansplain
Satansplain #116 - "No, You're Not Entitled to Your Opinion"

Satansplain

Play Episode Listen Later May 14, 2026 38:05


A look at the modern sacred cow of opinion entitlement and its poor justification for faulty thinking and solipsism. Also, the surprising Satanic merits of the classic comedy film "Ferris Bueller's Day Off", plus some anecdotes from fellow Satanists on when their Satanism being detected or undetected worked in their favor. Support Satansplain: https://satansplain.locals.com/support Article, "No, You're Not Entitled To Your Opinion": https://theconversation.com/no-youre-not-entitled-to-your-opinion-9978 00:00 - Intro 01:07 - About the article 02:52 - "No, You're Not Entitled To Your Opinion" 05:52 - Dunning-Kruger and Solipsism 10:18 - Satanists falling for this? 18:05 - To the "bUt u beLiEvE iN mAgicK!" dorks 18:54 - Article, continued 25:47 - Satanecdote: Stone Cold Steve Anton? 33:15 - "No, dummy, that was Ghandi, not LaVey." 35:12 - Satanecdote: The Car Boot

Windshield Time
You're Losing Money Before You Knock on the Door (Here's Why)

Windshield Time

Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2026 40:25


You pull up to a house. You see the yard, the cars, the neighborhood. Before you knock on the door, you've already decided what this customer can afford. You don't know you're doing it. But it's costing you money. Chris Elmore walks through the five cognitive biases that affect every tech in the field — and shows how each one shows up on real service calls. The plumber who skips the shower and goes straight to the water heater. The tech who feels guilty about his own price because a customer asked for a ballpark. The moment you see someone just like you and suddenly they're getting a deal they didn't ask for. Then he takes you to the top of Mount Stupid — the Dunning-Kruger effect — and explains why familiarity is not mastery and why the best in the world never stop training. You'll learn: The five cognitive biases that cost techs money on every call Why your brain makes decisions about customers before you knock How anchoring bias makes you feel guilty about your own pricing Why the customer who looks like you is the most dangerous one to sell to What Mount Stupid is and how to get off it Full show notes and resources: servextra.com Subscribe & listen: Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5DlsGABopPu9Qq9NNhK4hu?si=70c11c4b09aa4dec Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/windshield-time/id1386770507 All episodes: https://www.servextra.com/episodes/

Silberbauer & Blomseth
118: Skjulte kundskaber – LLM'ers indre liv

Silberbauer & Blomseth

Play Episode Listen Later May 11, 2026 56:50 Transcription Available


Vi nåede ikke helt i mål med snakken om potentialet i LLMs. Så episode 118 fortsætter nærmest, hvor episode 115 slap, da Klaus beder Thomas om hjælp til at få greb om, hvor og hvordan en LLM egentlig foretager sin ræsonneren: I token space eller i latent space. For det viser sig, at det ikke er helt så enkelt, som han troede, da han for kort tid siden befandt sig helt på toppen af Mount Stupid til venstre i Dunning-Kruger-kurven, og nu må han bevæge sig forsigtigt ned ad den stenede sti mod The Valley of Despair, hvor erkendelsen af alt det, man ikke ved, smerter ved hvert skridt.Vi nørder efter bedste evne ned i netværk, Kahnemann, LaTRO mm. efter en fælles forståelse for, hvad det er, LLM'er gør, når de overrasker os.****Nu også på YouTube — hvis du bedst kan lide din podcast med uden video. https://youtube.com/@silberblom****Hvem betaler for Silberbauer & Blomseth?Det gør vi selv. Vores indhold er på ingen måde egnet til sponsorer eller reklamer for proteinpulver, VPN-forbindelse eller e-bøger. Så hosting, udstyr og alt det der er på egen regning. Det eneste vi beder om til gengæld (hvis du altså kan lide det, vi laver) er at du smider stjerner, og måske oven i købet en lille anbefaling, efter os på Apple Podcast. Det betyder alverden. Vi higer jo allesammen efter anerkendelse i en eller anden form. Husk at følge os på Bluesky (@silberblom)Linktree

Entre Deux Sets
Cette tendance humaine t'empêche de réussir |EP #235

Entre Deux Sets

Play Episode Listen Later May 11, 2026 59:15


T'as beau savoir quoi faire, pourquoi c'est encore si difficile de rester constant ?Dans cet épisode, on parle du biais de Dunning-Kruger : le piège qui te fait croire que t'as compris quelque chose, alors que t'es juste au début. Savoir, c'est pas la même chose qu'appliquer. Et cette nuance-là, elle change tout.

unSILOed with Greg LaBlanc
648. Civilization's Imbalance and Restoring the Humanities: The Divided Brain with Iain McGilchrist

unSILOed with Greg LaBlanc

Play Episode Listen Later May 5, 2026 68:51


Iain McGilchrist is a former fellow at Oxford University and the author of a few books, including Ways of Attending: How our Divided Brain Constructs the World, The Matter With Things: Our Brains, Our Delusions and the Unmaking of the World, and The Master and His Emissary: The Divided Brain and the Making of the Western World. Greg and Iain discuss Iain's work on hemispheric differences in the brain, especially in The Master and His Emissary and The Matter with Things. Iain argues the left and right hemispheres embody distinct modes of attention—narrow, acquisitive focus versus broad, open vigilance—and that how we attend changes what we perceive. He rejects pop-psychology stereotypes and contends the right hemisphere “sees more” and should guide the left, which is useful but prone to delusion when dominant.  Iain traces three Western cycles where early cultural flourishing gives way to left-hemisphere domination and civilizational decline, linking this to bureaucracy, organizational “exploit” drift, and modern metrics-driven thinking. They also discuss metaphor's centrality to science, AI's limits, mental-health decline, internet-driven polarization, and reforms to universities to revive the humanities alongside science. *unSILOed Podcast is produced by University FM.* Episode Quotes: Imagination needs a maintenance of open attention 17:57: See, imagination is misunderstood. It's not about brainstorming and writing down every silly thing that comes into your head. Imagination is about seeing something below the level that is immediately accessible to the conscious mind and listening to that and responding to it, and pursuing it, and allowing something to grow. Now, that requires patience, time, and a continuing maintenance of open attention. Once it gets closed down, you've lost it. So that's one reason that it won't work. And the other is that if you've got too many people involved in the bureaucratic side, that's not going to work well either. There are specializations, and take the hint from nature. They are so different that they do need to be kept distinct if you're going to survive. Your attention shapes your reality 40:05: It is certainly true that there is a constant dialogue between our minds and the world. The world influences the mind and the brain, and the mind and the brain, having been influenced, in turn influence the world around us. So we can get locked into a vicious cycle in which we see things in a certain limited way, and we think that's all that there is. And so that feeds back to that being the only right way to think. Science is based on nothing but metaphors 30:32: Science is based on nothing but metaphors. It is entirely metaphorical. And that's not a mistake or a problem, because it can't avoid—I mean—the alternative would be to say nothing. But it has to say it's like this. And metaphor is saying this thing can be understood by likening it to something else. And the problem is that scientists don't realize that they're using metaphors and that their metaphors both dictate what it is they can see and how they see what it is that they do see. So, models, which science can't work without, are simply elaborated metaphors. Show Links: Recommended Resources: Postmodernism Exploration–exploitation dilemma Lateralization of brain function Dunning–Kruger effect Antonio Damasio G. K. Chesterton Daniel Kahneman Logos Mythos V. S. Ramachandran Theory of mind Friedrich Nietzsche Heraclitus Renaissance Guest Profile: Faculty Profile at All Souls College | University of Oxford LinkedIn Profile Professional Website Wikipedia Profile Guest Work: Amazon Author Page Ways of Attending: How our Divided Brain Constructs the World The Matter With Things: Our Brains, Our Delusions and the Unmaking of the World The Master and His Emissary: The Divided Brain and the Making of the Western World TED Talk: The Divided Brain Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

The Disciplined Investor
TDI Podcast: Incompetent Idiots (#971)

The Disciplined Investor

Play Episode Listen Later May 3, 2026 69:30


Incompetent individuals cannot recognize their own deficiencies because they lack the very expertise needed to do so. Dunning-Kruger lives on… So many people confidently discussing a subject they know little about, while dismissing experts. The big boys have reported ! Powell’s Last speech – and a divided Fed. Inflation – via the PCE is hot. Our guest, Meb Faber co-founder and the Chief Investment Officer of Cambria Investment Management. NEW! DOWNLOAD THIS EPISODE'S AI GENERATED SHOW NOTES (Guest Segment) Mr. Faber is a co-founder and the Chief Investment Officer of Cambria Investment Management. Faber is the manager of Cambria's ETFs and separate accounts. Mr. Faber is the host of The Meb Faber Show podcast and has authored numerous white papers and leather-bound books. He is a frequent speaker and writer on investment strategies and has been featured in Barron's, The New York Times, and The New Yorker. Mr. Faber graduated from the University of Virginia with a double major in Engineering Science and Biology. Meb spends most of his free time skiing, learning to surf, and traveling. And because he gets this question daily, Mebane is Southern (US), and rhymes with “web-in”.   Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy – HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (AMZN), (META), (AAPL), (NVDA), (SNDK), (OIL), (GOOG)

Computer Talk Radio
Computer Talk Radio Broadcast 05-02-2026

Computer Talk Radio

Play Episode Listen Later May 2, 2026 90:02


This week's full broadcast of Computer Talk Radio includes - 00:00 - Nerd News updates for normies - OpenAI, ChatGPT, Nvidia, AI, Spotify, Greece, anonymity, Utah - 11:00 - Hidden life of old devices - Benjamin discusses old devices and their hidden life - 22:00 - Apple M series ahead of the game - Keith shares of Apple M series System On Chip price advantage - 31:00 - Marty Winston's Wisdom - Mark tells how Plaud NotePin-S makes key improvements - 39:00 - Scam Series - Cloud Storage scam - Benjamin tells of the Cloud Storage Quarantine Scam - 44:00 - Keske on gene editing - Steve explores gene editing to resolve genetic illnesses - 56:00 - Dr Doreen Galli - Dunning Kruger - Doreen shares AI and coding lead to Dunning Kruger effects - 1:07:00 - Listener Q&A - lower standards - Trevor asks why some technologies are standard over others - 1:16:00 - IT Professional Series - 377 - Benjamin gives password lifecycle from creation to compromise - 1:24:00 - Listener Q&A - CyberSec training - Denise queries why to push mandatory cybersecurity training

All Things to All People with Michael Burns
S8E258 - Reasons to Leave

All Things to All People with Michael Burns

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 13, 2026 68:35


Gianna, Michael, and Jeff discuss the appropriate reasons for leaving a church. They delve into topics like scriptural authority, toxic leadership, and the importance of shared service in the church, all framed through real-life examples and recent conversations.  00:00 - Welcome and episode overview  10:15 - The importance of joining groups and serving in the church body 11:14 – Responding to a listener email  30:00 - The dangers of misinformation and the Dunning-Kruger effect 31:37 - Recognizing the importance of context and proper authority in biblical interpretation 36:17 - Three categories for leaving a church: loss of scriptural foundation, toxic leadership, lack of service 54:58 - Nuanced listening: different responses when members raise concerns 59:37 - Practical advice for timing and respectful dialogue with church leaders 61:50 - Family, generational shifts, and leadership styles across age groups

Türkiye'de Dijital Pazarlama
Sakın Reklam Çıkmayın! Dunning-Kruger Tuzağında Batmadan Dinleyin

Türkiye'de Dijital Pazarlama

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 31, 2026 10:56


Beyond The Horizon
Uninformed and Proud of It: The Epidemic of Lazy Epstein Coverage

Beyond The Horizon

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 29, 2026 11:00 Transcription Available


The Dunning-Kruger effect—the psychological phenomenon where people with little knowledge or competence in a subject overestimate their understanding—has become the defining disease of modern Epstein coverage. Too many pundits, influencers, and so-called “experts” have substituted shallow familiarity for deep research, parroting surface-level talking points as if they've cracked some grand conspiracy. They recycle half-truths, ignore court filings, and build entire narratives off memes and rumor. The irony is brutal: the loudest voices in the room are often the least informed, drowning out serious investigators who have actually read the depositions, subpoenas, and financial disclosures. In the vacuum left by lazy journalism, self-appointed “truth-tellers” have turned the Epstein case into a carnival of ego and misinformation—performing knowledge rather than pursuing it.Mainstream media, for its part, hasn't fared much better. Too often, networks have framed the Epstein story through sanitized press releases and “safe” angles that protect institutional interests rather than expose them. The Dunning-Kruger effect here is institutional—the press acts as though summarizing a few court documents equals investigative rigor, while ignoring the broader ecosystem of corruption, finance, and government complicity that kept Epstein untouchable for decades. The result is a grotesque parody of journalism: cable anchors and Twitter theorists both convinced they understand the full scope of a case that even prosecutors failed to unravel. Epstein's coverage has become a hall of mirrors reflecting ignorance, arrogance, and cowardice—and the public, desperate for truth, is left staring into the void where accountability should be.to contact me:bobbycapucci@protonmail.com

Maintenant, vous savez
Qu'est-ce que l'effet Tiffany ?

Maintenant, vous savez

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 29, 2026 4:37


Saviez-vous que, chronologiquement, Cléopâtre est plus proche de nous que de la création des pyramides ? Elle est née en 69 avant Jésus-Christ alors que la pyramide de Khéops a été construite vers 2560 avant Jésus-Christ. Si vous avez du mal à le croire, vous êtes certainement sujet à l'effet Tiffany. Qui intervient lorsqu'on est exposé à des faits historiques qu'on juge anachronique, en général on les pensait plus modernes. Quels exemples avons-nous de l'effet Tiffany ? Pourquoi ce non ? Comment explique-t-on l'effet Tiffany ? Écoutez la suite de cet épisode de Maintenant vous savez ! Un podcast Bababam Originals, écrit et réalisé par Hugo de l'Estrac. Première diffusion : décembre 2024 À écouter ensuite : ⁠Qu'est-ce l'effet Lucifer ?⁠ ⁠Qu'est-ce que l'effet Dunning Kruger, ce phénomène de sur-confiance en soi ?⁠ ⁠Qu'est-ce que le syndrome d'Alice aux pays des merveilles ?⁠ Retrouvez tous les épisodes de ⁠"Maintenant vous savez".⁠ Suivez Bababam sur ⁠Instagram⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Moscow Murders and More
Uninformed and Proud of It: The Epidemic of Lazy Epstein Coverage

The Moscow Murders and More

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 26, 2026 11:00 Transcription Available


The Dunning-Kruger effect—the psychological phenomenon where people with little knowledge or competence in a subject overestimate their understanding—has become the defining disease of modern Epstein coverage. Too many pundits, influencers, and so-called “experts” have substituted shallow familiarity for deep research, parroting surface-level talking points as if they've cracked some grand conspiracy. They recycle half-truths, ignore court filings, and build entire narratives off memes and rumor. The irony is brutal: the loudest voices in the room are often the least informed, drowning out serious investigators who have actually read the depositions, subpoenas, and financial disclosures. In the vacuum left by lazy journalism, self-appointed “truth-tellers” have turned the Epstein case into a carnival of ego and misinformation—performing knowledge rather than pursuing it.Mainstream media, for its part, hasn't fared much better. Too often, networks have framed the Epstein story through sanitized press releases and “safe” angles that protect institutional interests rather than expose them. The Dunning-Kruger effect here is institutional—the press acts as though summarizing a few court documents equals investigative rigor, while ignoring the broader ecosystem of corruption, finance, and government complicity that kept Epstein untouchable for decades. The result is a grotesque parody of journalism: cable anchors and Twitter theorists both convinced they understand the full scope of a case that even prosecutors failed to unravel. Epstein's coverage has become a hall of mirrors reflecting ignorance, arrogance, and cowardice—and the public, desperate for truth, is left staring into the void where accountability should be.to contact me:bobbycapucci@protonmail.comBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-moscow-murders-and-more--5852883/support.

Women's Leadership, Women's Career Development, Business Executive Coaching & Podcast by Sabrina Braham MA PPC
Stop Being the Best-Kept Secret in Your Company: Executive Personal Branding in 2026

Women's Leadership, Women's Career Development, Business Executive Coaching & Podcast by Sabrina Braham MA PPC

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 25, 2026 32:52


Executive SummaryGravitas drives 67% of executive presence—yet most high-performing leaders are invisible outside their immediate team. Branding strategist Howie Chan reveals why executive personal branding is a career survival tool in 2026, how the C.A.R.E. framework builds the credibility that gets leaders referred, and why thought leadership—not harder work—is the primary currency for promotion. Quick Takeaways Gravitas drives 67% of executive presence—confidence, decisiveness under pressure, and EQ are what decision-makers evaluate first. Executive personal branding in 2026 has shifted from self-promotion to stewardship and thought leadership. Your LinkedIn profile is a professional vault—every post builds a body of work recruiters and executives review before any interview. The C.A.R.E. Framework (Competence, Authenticity, Reliability, Empathy) is the proven path from visibility to trust to referral. The best time to start was years ago. The second-best time is right now. You Work Hard. You Deliver Results. So Why Doesn't Anyone Know Your Name? I'm Sabrina Braham, MA, MFT, PCC—executive leadership coach with over 30 years of experience, and host of the Women's Leadership Success Podcast, ranked in the top 1.5% globally with more than 950,000 downloads. In nearly three decades of coaching senior leaders, I have seen one pattern repeat itself again and again: the most talented professional in the room is frequently the least visible one. In a March 2026 interview on this podcast, branding strategist Howie Chan—former managing director of brand strategy, now one of LinkedIn's most recognized voices on executive personal branding—laid out exactly why that invisibility happens and what to do about it. His story begins on March 31st, 2022. A Friday afternoon calendar invite. His manager and an HR person on the Zoom call. After nearly nine years as managing director, he was laid off. His first thought wasn't strategy—it was shame. He had painters in his house that day. What would they think? "There's no such thing as loyalty to you. It's a business, so people get let go all the time. That's what led me to help executives become known outside the four walls of their company—before a crisis forces the issue." — Howie Chan, Professional Brand Strategist In 2026, that mission has never been more urgent. Executive search firms and hiring committees now evaluate digital presence as seriously as a résumé. The professionals landing opportunities fastest are not the most credentialed—they are the most visible and the most strategically positioned. Want the complete framework? Download our FREE Women's Leadership Branding Blueprint Accelerator — used by 250+ senior leaders to accelerate their visibility and get promoted faster. Download Free Why Executive Personal Branding Is No Longer Optional Most high-performing leaders were taught a lie: put your head down, do exceptional work, and the right people will notice. Current research defines executive presence as the "ability to win the confidence of those around you"—and gravitas, which includes confidence, decisiveness under pressure, and emotional intelligence, accounts for a dominant 67% of that equation. But gravitas cannot win confidence from people who have never encountered you. Executive branding in 2026 has shifted decisively from self-promotion toward stewardship and thought leadership. The leaders gaining traction are not the loudest voices—they are the most consistent, most authentic, and most strategic about who they serve. "You might say, 'my colleagues know me,'" Howie told me. "But there will be a time you will leave your company—and what happens then?" The Hidden Cost of Being Invisible Think about what happens when your name appears in a decision-maker's inbox. What comes to mind for them? "I need to take this call—this person can help me with X"? Or do they scroll past because they have no mental model of who you are? "That's essentially what brand is—the story someone tells themselves about you when you're not in the room." — Howie Chan In my coaching practice, I see this constantly: high-achieving leaders going up for promotion, being passed over—not because of performance, but because the decision-makers above them do not know their story. No brand equals no promotion. The correlation is that direct. Executive Personal Branding vs. Self-Promotion: The Critical Difference One of the most liberating reframes Howie offers is the distinction between personal branding (how people perceive your personality) and professional branding (who you serve and what problems you solve). "When you hear 'personal brand,' people think it means talking about your life or your experiences," he explained. "But from a professional standpoint, it starts with who: Who are you helping? What problems are you solving?" This shifts the entire frame from bragging about yourself to making your value legible to the people who need it. There is even neuroscience behind why high-performers resist doing this. Howie cited the lesser-known inverse of the Dunning-Kruger effect: while low-ability individuals overestimate their competence, those with genuine expertise tend to undervalue it. The better you are, the more you assume everyone already knows what you know—so you stop communicating it. Your silence reads as absence. 3-Step Positioning Framework Identify WHO specifically benefits from your expertise—not everyone, your right people. Define the specific PROBLEMS you solve that others in your field cannot solve as equally well. Create content and conversations that connect your experience to those problems—not your job title. The 2026 Executive Branding Framework: 5 Practices That Move the Needle Current research across executive search, leadership development, and digital strategy points to five practices that define the leaders who are breaking through in 2026: Quality Over Quantity — Strategic Content, Not Random ActsThe research-supported baseline: one original educational post per week and one short-form video per month. This simple cadence, sustained over six months, creates the compound visibility effect that sporadic posting never achieves. Howie reinforced this directly: "Whatever you write, make it short, make it memorable, make it punchy. If you can take the time to make it shorter, do." Human-First Narrative — Authenticity as Executive CurrencyAudiences and boards now seek what researchers call "unapologetic authenticity"—signature stories reflecting values, purpose, and lessons from failure. This is not vulnerability for its own sake; it is strategic humanity that builds the Connection and Charisma pillars of the 7 C's executive presence framework. Strategic Participation — Conversation, Not BroadcastingSuccessful executive brands in 2026 are built not just through publishing but through deliberate participation in "conversation hubs"—commenting on posts from industry leaders, analysts, clients, and peers. Only 1% of LinkedIn professionals post weekly; consistent participation immediately places any leader in a visible minority. Thought Leadership as CurrencyTrue thought leadership in 2026 is sharing original, experience-based insights that change how others think or behave. This differs fundamentally from curating others' content or echoing industry consensus. It establishes authority that transcends a traditional résumé. Short-Form Video — The New Business CardExecutives using short video clips under 90 seconds are seeing 3–5× higher LinkedIn reach than equivalent text posts. Production quality matters far less than consistency and authenticity. One direct, structured insight delivered on camera builds more trust than ten polished written posts. LinkedIn: Your Professional Vault (And You're Barely Using It) Howie described LinkedIn not as a job board but as a living body of work. "Every post, everything you put up there, builds a record that any recruiter, any teammate, any C-suite executive can look at and think: wow, this person knows what they're talking about." He identified two traps executives fall into most often: The Lecture Room Trap: Treating LinkedIn as a broadcast channel where you teach at people. Write scannable, short, conversational content that invites dialogue. The Follower-Count Trap: Chasing vanity metrics. 500 deeply engaged, right-fit connections outperform 50,000 passive followers. Define what you want LinkedIn to do—promotion visibility, client attraction, or authority-building—and optimize for that specific outcome. One of my clients recently wanted me to rewrite her first LinkedIn post before publishing it. My advice: publish it imperfectly. Start. Get feedback. Adjust. Executive personal branding is built through consistent iteration, not through waiting for perfection. The C.A.R.E. Framework: Building Credibility That Gets You Referred Credibility is not about how many people know your name—it is about the depth of trust you have built with the right people. The highest expression of that trust is referral: when someone stakes their own social reputation by recommending you. Howie's C.A.R.E. framework defines the four pillars of that trust: C.A.R.E. Pillar What It Means for Your Executive Brand   CCompetence You are genuinely excellent at what you do. This is the non-negotiable foundation—it cannot be faked and cannot be substituted.   A Authenticity You share what is real—not everything, but nothing false. Perceived inauthenticity destroys brand instantly; genuine stories build it permanently.   RReliability You do what you say. You show up consistently. This is what separates trusted advisors from interesting acquaintances.   E Empathy You genuinely care about the people you serve—their goals, their constraints, their full context. All content and conversation starts there. "When you have all four, you become a credible person that somebody trusts—and the biggest level of trust is when people refer you.

The Epstein Chronicles
Uninformed and Proud of It: The Epidemic of Lazy Epstein Coverage

The Epstein Chronicles

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 23, 2026 11:00 Transcription Available


The Dunning-Kruger effect—the psychological phenomenon where people with little knowledge or competence in a subject overestimate their understanding—has become the defining disease of modern Epstein coverage. Too many pundits, influencers, and so-called “experts” have substituted shallow familiarity for deep research, parroting surface-level talking points as if they've cracked some grand conspiracy. They recycle half-truths, ignore court filings, and build entire narratives off memes and rumor. The irony is brutal: the loudest voices in the room are often the least informed, drowning out serious investigators who have actually read the depositions, subpoenas, and financial disclosures. In the vacuum left by lazy journalism, self-appointed “truth-tellers” have turned the Epstein case into a carnival of ego and misinformation—performing knowledge rather than pursuing it.Mainstream media, for its part, hasn't fared much better. Too often, networks have framed the Epstein story through sanitized press releases and “safe” angles that protect institutional interests rather than expose them. The Dunning-Kruger effect here is institutional—the press acts as though summarizing a few court documents equals investigative rigor, while ignoring the broader ecosystem of corruption, finance, and government complicity that kept Epstein untouchable for decades. The result is a grotesque parody of journalism: cable anchors and Twitter theorists both convinced they understand the full scope of a case that even prosecutors failed to unravel. Epstein's coverage has become a hall of mirrors reflecting ignorance, arrogance, and cowardice—and the public, desperate for truth, is left staring into the void where accountability should be.to contact me:bobbycapucci@protonmail.comBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-epstein-chronicles--5003294/support.

The Climbing Majority
116 | Paul Rogers: Active Duty Green Beret - Mountain Warfare Training & A 2200ft Fall

The Climbing Majority

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 23, 2026 114:24 Transcription Available


Paul Rogers is an active duty US Army Special Forces (Green Beret) officer who previously served as the commander of the Special Operations Mountain Warfare Training Center (SOMWTC), the specialized schoolhouse responsible for training all military mountaineers for US Special Operations Command (USSOCOM). This episode explores what it actually takes to train elite operators for mountain warfare, why these skills matter in modern combat operations, and the staggering complexity of preparing soldiers to fight enemies in mountainous environments where the terrain itself is trying to kill you. Paul walks through the history of Special Forces mountain warfare dating back to World War II, why unconventional warfare and violent conflict occurs disproportionately in mountains, and how US Special Operations Forces are trained to operate there. We discuss the different levels of mountain operator certification (basic, summer, winter), what the 7-8 week intensive courses actually entail, the 2-to-1 instructor-to-student ratios required for safety, and why many instructors are pursuing IFMGA guide certifications to become legitimate mountain guides. Finally, we dive into Paul's own 2200-foot fall on Wilson Peak's North Face in Telluride, Colorado, where he hit a buried rock while ski mountaineering, tomahawked 400-500 feet, nearly came to a stop, and then was swept over multiple cliff bands by an avalanche of his own slough. He ended up partially buried 2200 feet below with a collapsed lung, broken ribs, broken hands and wrist, a compound fracture with bone sticking out of his knee, and severe internal bleeding from his intestines separating from the mesh holding them in place. His ski partner and fellow Mountain Warfare instructor Bobby executed a technical rescue—solo downclimbing through hazardous terrain to reach Paul, stabilize him, and coordinate helicopter extraction with San Miguel County Search and Rescue. Bobby would later receive the Soldier's Medal (nation's highest award for heroism during non-combat operations) for his actions that day.Topics include: Special Operations Mountain Warfare Training Center, Green Beret mountain training, unconventional warfare in mountains, Afghanistan Takur Ghar 2002, foreign internal defense, instructor qualifications, IFMGA guide certification, Dunning-Kruger effect in training, ski mountaineering accidents, Wilson Peak North Face, 2200ft fall survival, avalanche burial, and technical mountain rescue**The views and opinions on this podcast are those of the speakers and do not necessarily represent the views, stances, or policies of any of the entities they may represent.**#military #alpinism #mountaineeringWatch the full episode on Youtube ---Thanks to our sponsors!LIVSN DesignsCheckout Their Ecotrek Trail Pants HEREUse Code "TCM15" At Checkout for an extra 15% OFF Your OrderHelp Support The Show & Unlock The Ad-Free Podcast

Viracasacas Podcast
EH VÁRZEA 084 - O Regime Dunning–Kruger

Viracasacas Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 21, 2026 28:01


Na coluna dessa semana Carapanã discute o ridículo e o perigo de um mundo governado por narcisistas burros demais para entender suas próprias limitações. Isso explica a catástrofe do Regime Trump, a estúpida Guerra ao Irã, a destruição da infra-estrutura de energia e a ideologia anti-humana do Vale do Incelício.

Shores of Ignorance
Ep 272: The Lost Art of Waiting

Shores of Ignorance

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 19, 2026 80:54


Matt and Michael open with a meditation on waiting—something they used to do constantly without realizing it. Remember standing outside school, wondering if your ride forgot you? Or running out of gas on the interstate with no cell phone? Those moments weren't just inconveniences; they were built-in spaces for our minds to wander, to sit with the unknown, to discover what we weren't looking for. The conversation spirals through the tension between "builder mode" and presence, the Dunning-Kruger effect of parenting, and why the most honest Oscar speech is simply "I want to thank God." They land on a paradox: the more skilled you become at anything, the less certain you feel. Along the way: Salvador Dalí's spoon trick, the MMA fighter's fiancée, why Chesterton says true believers in themselves end up in asylums, and whether we're wired for God—or just wired to need something bigger than ourselves. Cheers y'all

The Alan Sanders Show
CPI Inflation Flat at 2.5%, Red-Green Alliance, Media/Dems Propaganda & Dunning-Kruger | Ep. 047

The Alan Sanders Show

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 11, 2026 84:00


In this eye-opening episode of The Alan Sanders Show (Ep. 047), we break down today's BLS CPI report: headline inflation held flat at 2.4% year-over-year for February 2026 (unchanged from January), with core CPI steady at 2.5%, good news pre-Iran war impacts. We expose the growing Red-Green Alliance: radical Leftists and Islamists uniting against America and Israel, echoing the 1979 Iran betrayal where Marxists aided the mullahs only to be crushed. Plus, the propaganda machine from legacy media and Democrats spins narratives to hide threats, while the Dunning-Kruger Effect explains why overconfident voices dominate discourse. Facts, no spin! Please take a moment to rate and review the show and then share the episode on social media. You can find me on Facebook, X, Instagram, GETTR, TRUTH Social, TikTok, YouTube and Rumble by searching for The Alan Sanders Show. And, consider becoming a sponsor of the show by visiting my Patreon page!

Mere Mortals
Thinking In Bets For Better Decision Making | How Prediction Markets Might Help Your Brain

Mere Mortals

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 8, 2026 65:19 Transcription Available


The mindset of a poker pro can now be applied outside of a narrow game.In Episode #517 of 'Meanderings', Juan & I discuss: Annie Duke's 'Thinking In Bets' book and how the poker mindset can reshape everyday decision-making, why focusing on process over outcomes matters, how using AI as a sounding board revealed hidden risk-taking in my own finances, testing assumptions in small experiments before going all-in, how arbitrage opportunities appear with prediction markets and why clarity on desired outcomes should drive bet-sizing. No support for this week so no beanie either. Also my laptop died suddenly hence the rather curt cut off at the end. Luckily we were almost done anyway phew. Stan Link: https://stan.store/meremortalsTimeline: (00:00:00) Intro(00:03:22) Outcome vs process: luck, good decisions, and post mortems(00:09:16) Poker as repeated high impact decisions and learning while folding(00:12:45) Symmetry, asymmetry, and spotting obviously bad bets(00:18:34) Focus on decision quality, not results: lessons from early poker hands(00:23:34) Plans that fail from wrong models: refining sell strategies(00:28:15) Designing a simple, robust framework: time, percentage, and mean reversion(00:31:28) Support break and playful side bets (brief interlude)(00:31:59) Defining enough: goals, asymmetry, and chasing deltas(00:35:18) Context is king: life design vs maximising returns(00:38:56) Lifestyle upgrades vs status buys(00:42:39) Comparing lives you don't want(00:45:14) Test your dreams: mini retirements and truth over fantasy(00:48:25) Prediction markets 101: from politics to Eurovision(00:51:08) Arbitrage basics: finding edge across bookmakers(00:56:24) Overconfidence, Dunning Kruger and too much information(01:01:02) Avoiding tilt: energy, time, and knowing when to walk away(01:03:27) AI flights of fancy: unified physics and healthy scepticism(01:05:01) Wrap up: from thinking in bets to betting on ideas Connect with Mere Mortals:Website: https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/Discord: https://discord.gg/jjfq9eGReUTwitter/X: https://twitter.com/meremortalspodsInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/meremortalspodcasts/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@meremortalspodcastsValue 4 Value Support:Boostagram: https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/supportPaypal: https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/meremortalspodcast

The Gentle Rebel Podcast
Why Is It So Hard to Say “I Don't Know”?

The Gentle Rebel Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 13, 2026 22:33


“How do you tend to respond when you do not know?” We had this question in our Journal Circle a couple of weeks ago. It’s at the heart of many issues in our world right now. How do we hold it?When do we conceal it?Where do we turn for knowledge?And what do we do with it when we acquire it? That’s what we explore in this episode of The Gentle Rebel Podcast. https://youtu.be/QRAS1dib_GM Our Relationship With Not Knowing I find this advert baffling. A couple are wandering around the Leeum Museum in South Korea. They didn't know it was big; they only gave themselves an hour. He thinks a roof tile is a book. Even when his phone corrects him, they skip off giggling without listening to the information. It reminds me of a billboard from the AI company Turing that says the quiet part out loud: “We teach AGI to think, reason, and code—so you don’t have to.” Are we being encouraged to outsource our thinking and reasoning, not to support and deepen our cognitive abilities, but to replace them? Are they saying we don’t have to think or reason anymore? Even if that’s not the intention, it’s certainly the outcome of using many tools like this. There seems to be a disregard for the sacred delight of human consciousness, thought processes, and creativity. And a subtle quest to eliminate mystery, curiosity, and the learning that comes from not knowing. Yet not knowing has always been central to human potential. It is the driving force of creativity, innovation, and deeper connection to the worlds within, around, and between us. Open and Closed Stances As people reflected in our Journal Circle, a thread emerged: openness vs closedness. Closed not-knowing: defensive, protective, secretive. Open not-knowing: curious, relational, exploratory. Closedness can feel tight. Clenched. Like rushing to paint over the threat of embarrassment or being found out. Openness can feel spacious. Physically expansive, deeper, and less pressured. Where the uncertainty is met with an invitation into possibility and curiosity rather than grasping, clinging, and defensiveness. We explore several ways this plays out in everyday life. Pretending To Know One response to not knowing is pretending to know. We’ve probably all done it. Nodding along when everyone else seems to understand. Staying quiet because asking a question feels risky. Research in 2007 found that children aged 14 months to five years ask an average of 107 questions per hour. By the time they reach late primary school, many stop asking questions altogether. In the episode, I share an anecdote from research led by Susan Engel, where a ninth grader is stopped mid-question with the instruction: “No questions now, please; it's time for learning.” Within institutional settings, our natural curiosity and creativity can be left behind, and if questions are deemed disruptive or inappropriate, we may simply pretend to know and struggle quietly. This is especially true for many more introverted and sensitive people, who are already generally disposed to slot in around others without drawing much attention to themselves. Child-like Curiosity A child doesn’t see their lack of knowledge as a reason to be ashamed. It’s underpinned by the electric buzz of connection. Everything is new, mysterious, and waiting to be explored. For an adult moving through and out of a rigid system, not knowing can feel like an exposing story in which their worth as a human is assessed. Pretending to know can become an adaptive strategy. A way to keep the peace. A way to belong. There's also the technological version, prominent in many AI tools people rely on for accurate information. These systems are designed to always produce an answer, even when they are wrong. This reflects the kind of closed pretending that aims to foster a perception of expertise, so those listening believe that the source’s confidence equates to competence. But pretending doesn't only come from intentional deception. It can stem from stories we absorb, linking knowledge with worth: “I must know in order to be useful.”“I must be useful in order to be accepted.” Letting go of that story can be liberating. Saying “I Don't Know” “I don't know” is an option. A surprisingly radical one. When it is open, it creates space to explore our unknowing. An open “don’t know” admits not knowing with hands turned towards learning and discovery. It might come with an inner spark and the freedom from performance. A closed “I don't know” shuts things down. It can signal indifference or defensiveness. Sometimes that boundary is healthy. Sometimes it is armour. Being “In The Know” There is also the social currency of being “in the know.” Trends. News. Other people's business. Ignorance can feel like bliss. It can also feel like exclusion. From a closed place, being in the know becomes about control. From an open place, it can become a source of connection. The ability to link ideas, introduce people, and catalyse collaboration. Knowing What's Best Another response to uncertainty is doubling down on certainty. We are pattern-seeking creatures. We build cognitive maps to navigate a complex world. But when ambiguity feels overwhelming, certainty can feel like solid ground, even if it's forged, manufactured, and brittle. Closedness says “this is how it is”, refuses nuance, and punishes curiosity and accountability as disrespect, insolence, and rudeness. Open wisdom looks different. It sits shoulder to shoulder, acknowledges nuance, and is willing to say, “I don't know the best thing to do here.” Admitting one does not know can be a radical act in cultures that equate doubt with weakness and desperately seek a way to explain and understand everything, even without empirical evidence. Knowing That We Don't Know In a 1933 essay lamenting the rise of the Nazi movement in Germany, Bertrand Russell wrote, “The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure, while the intelligent are full of doubt.” Charles Bukowski said something similar when giving advice to budding writers: “But the problem is that bad writers tend to have the self-confidence, while the good ones tend to have self-doubt.“ These quotes highlight the importance of knowing what we do not know — and recognising the limits of our own perspective. This took us to a detour into the Dunning–Kruger effect, which is the idea that we can speak confidently about subjects precisely because we don't yet know what we don't know. Reading Maps and Navigating Life “I don't know, but I am aware of where to look to figure it out.” In The Return To Serenity Island course, we map elements of life, seeing it as a treasure laden island. Not knowing is a door to connection, curiosity, creativity, and exploration. But it can also feel disorienting, confusing, and alienating at times. Maps help disorientation become orientation-in-progress without strict instructions or someone else’s path to follow. They can bring us home to ourselves.

The Greatness Machine
TGM Classic | Shahira Marei | The Recipe for Success: How a Mindset of Abundance Baked Dirty Cookie's Success

The Greatness Machine

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 9, 2026 62:21


What if the recipe for success was a blend of mindset, words, and a pinch of creativity? Shahira Marei, founder and CEO of Dirty Cookie, reflects on her journey from a scarcity mindset to one of abundance, revealing how this shift not only changed her personal outlook but also fueled the remarkable growth of her business.  Through her unique and innovative company known for its delicious “cookie shots,” Shahira has transformed the cookie experience. Her cookies, presented in edible shot glasses, add a unique twist to traditional treats, making them a popular gift. As a result of her dedication to creating meaningful and unforgettable gifts, Shahira's brand has achieved significant success and recognition. In this episode of The Greatness Machine, Darius sits down with Shahira Marei to explore her fascinating journey of transforming her mindset and achieving remarkable success with her innovative business, Dirty Cookie. Shahira also explores how a shift from a scarcity mindset to one of abundance and positivity has played a pivotal role in her entrepreneurial success. Topics include: Shahira's journey to entrepreneurship and founding Dirty Cookie Shahira reflects on becoming a finalist on Shark Tank  The benefits of influencer marketing for brands The story and inspiration behind the name “Dirty Cookie” Understanding the Dunning-Kruger effect The importance of surrounding yourself with the right team The impact of manifestation and a strong support system on success Transitioning from a scarcity mindset to an abundance mindset Harnessing the power of words to shape reality And other topics… Connect with Shahira: Website: https://www.dirtycookie.com/  LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/shahira-marei-a609b319  Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thedirtycookieoc/  Connect with Darius: Website: https://therealdarius.com/ Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/dariusmirshahzadeh/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/imthedarius/ YouTube: https://therealdarius.com/youtube Book: The Core Value Equation https://www.amazon.com/Core-Value-Equation-Framework-Limitless/dp/1544506708 Write a review for The Greatness Machine using this link: https://ratethispodcast.com/spreadinggreatness.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Podcast Growth University
#189 - FEELING Lost Doesn't Mean You Actually Are

Podcast Growth University

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 6, 2026 17:40


Are you growing your podcast but quietly wondering if you're doing it wrong?In this episode, I pull back the curtain on what really happens after thousands of recordings, launches, edits, and experiments. I share why feeling unsure does not mean you are failing, why clarity often comes after confusion, and why the most successful podcasters are constantly refining their message, audience, and strategy.This is a real conversation about podcast growth, personal evolution, creative pressure, and staying committed when the path feels blurry. If you care about building a meaningful show, reaching the right listeners, and turning your voice into long-term impact, this episode will meet you right where you are.Learn more about:A free 30-minute call with Kevin: https://calendly.com/kevinpalmieri/free-30-minute-podcast-breakthrough-session-with-kevin?month=2025-08Podcast Growth Nation - https://www.facebook.com/share/g/1FyLeJB5H5/If you want to learn more about podcasts, reach out to Kevin:IG: https://www.instagram.com/neverquitkid/Email: Kevin@nextleveluniverse.comNeed help with your podcast? Check out Next Level Podcast Solutions: https://www.nextleveluniverse.com/next-level-podcast-solutions/Show notes:(3:16) Why branding and intros must change(4:27) Rechecking your audience is healthy(6:20) Dunning-Kruger effect and learning curve(7:03) Why testing beats staying stuck(9:20) Fitness group reveals audience shift(10:21) Higher-level podcasters entering programs(13:00) Growth happens behind the scenes(15:46) Free coaching and community support(17:04) OutroLooking for a platform to record high-quality audio and video? We use Streamyard, and you can get a $10 credit by using my link: https://streamyard.com/pal/c/5352552165277696If you're looking for a new place to host your podcast, we use Buzzsprout. You get a $20.00 bonus if you use my link: https://www.buzzsprout.com/?referrer_id=680114Podcast Growth Nation is up and running! If you're looking for a group of other amazing podcasters like you, here's your spot!https://www.facebook.com/groups/3361307260840872Send us a text

The Entrepreneur Experiment
EE475: Founder Finance 101: The Simple Money System Founders Actually Need with Diarmuid Corcoran

The Entrepreneur Experiment

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 5, 2026 85:48


In this brand-new Masterclass Special, Gary Fox sits down with Diarmuid Corcoran of Chartered Capital to unpack the money questions Irish founders avoid - until it's too late. They talk openly about why money can still feel like a “dirty word” in Ireland, why founders can be brilliant at making money but hesitant to manage it, and how wealth often compounds simply because of maths. Diarmuid breaks down the core principles of long-term investing (without the hype), the psychology that causes people to panic at the wrong time, and the practical founder moves that build real security - like taking a salary, using pensions properly, and keeping “fun investing” firmly contained. If you've ever said “I'll start later,” “I'll wait for the markets to settle,” or “my business is my pension,” this episode is the reset. Important note This episode is education and perspective - not personalised financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and speak to a qualified advisor/accountant for your circumstances. Show notes What you'll learn Why the “rich get richer” is often compounding in action Why Ireland has a unique relationship with money (scarcity mindset + property-first thinking) The hidden risk of “safe” cash: inflation eroding purchasing power Time in the market vs timing the market (and why “waiting” usually backfires) The psychology behind bad money decisions: recency bias, fear headlines, and the Dunning–Kruger effect “Set-and-forget” investing, and why boring usually wins The founder dilemma: all eggs in the business and no personal de-risking plan Pensions: why they can be tax-efficient, protective, and misunderstood The “de-risking” concept approaching retirement (and the 2008 lesson) A simple way to start investing regularly (and remove emotion from the process) The “playpen” rule: keeping speculative investing (stocks/crypto/startups) to a small % Founder mistakes Diarmuid sees constantly: Not taking a salary early Not paying a spouse/partner (where relevant) Being far too cautious in long-term pension funds Missing employer pension matching More about Chartered Capital: Chartered Capital Initial Query Form (https://bit.ly/4a89Mcp) for people who want to get in touch. When people fill this out, Chartered Capital will reach out to  them afterwards to arrange a meeting. They also circulate a monthly newsletter that generally only consists only of good news and isn't ever in any way technical:  Newsletter link (https://crafty-innovator-3012.kit.com/57ab7f6ffd)  Link to Blogs on Chartered Capital website (https://charteredcapital.ie/insights/blogs-and-news/) Chartered Capital Website (https://bit.ly/charcap) This is a super video on Robert Cialdini's work for those who don't have time to read the full book = Science of persuasion - Robert Cialdini (https://youtu.be/cFdCzN7RYbw) The Financial Planners Ireland website: https://fpireland.ie/ Our Sponsors: Nostra: https://bit.ly/nostra26 Azure: https://bit.ly/azure26  Rory's Travel Club: https://bit.ly/rorys26 Chartered Capital: https://bit.ly/49ZuFrk   Book Recommendations General Psychology = Influence – The Psychology of Persuasion (https://amzn.to/4bB6q4c) by Robert Cialdini and The 48 Laws of Power (https://amzn.to/49XcBON)by Robert Greene. Running a business = Traction (https://amzn.to/4qgiJGM) and Rocket Fuel (https://amzn.to/3ZdOqWa) by Gino Wickman. Personal Finance = The Psychology of Money (https://amzn.to/4rosi7w) by Morgan Housel.

Nudge
Real-world examples of cognitive biases

Nudge

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 2, 2026 24:16


Most of us are completely oblivious to the cognitive biases that dictate how we live our lives.  Today, with Tom Bowden-Green and Luan Wise, we cover seven cognitive biases that all of us fall for.  ---  Tom and Luan's book: https://amzn.to/49aZnh3 Unlock the Nudge Vaults: https://www.nudgepodcast.com/vaults See Agent Spark in action at ⁠gwi.com/spark⁠ Join 10,428 readers of my newsletter: https://www.nudgepodcast.com/mailing-list  Connect on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/phill-agnew/  ---  Today's sources:  Chambers, J. R. (2008). Explaining false uniqueness: Why we are both better and worse than others. Social and Personality Psychology Compass, 2(2), 878–894. Dunning, D. (2011). The Dunning–Kruger effect: On being ignorant of one's own ignorance. In Advances in experimental social psychology (Vol. 44, pp. 247–296). Academic Press. Einhorn, H. J., & Hogarth, R. M. (1978). Confidence in judgment: Persistence of the illusion of validity. Psychological Review, 85(5), 395–416. Helmreich, R., Aronson, E., & LeFan, J. (1970). To err is humanizing sometimes: Effects of self-esteem, competence, and a pratfall on interpersonal attraction. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 16(2), 259–264. Koskie, M. M., & Locander, W. B. (2023). Cool brands and hot attachments: Their effect on consumers' willingness to pay more. European Journal of Marketing, 57(4), 905–929. Pronin, E., Lin, D. Y., & Ross, L. (2002). The bias blind spot: Perceptions of bias in self versus others. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 28(3), 369–381. Van Hoorens, V. (1993). Self-enhancement and superiority biases in social comparison. European Review of Social Psychology, 4, 113–139. White, G. L., Fishbein, M., & Rutstein, R. C. (1981). Passionate love and the misattribution of arousal. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 41(1), 56–62.

Limitless Mindset
The Futility of the Flat Earth Debate.

Limitless Mindset

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 24, 2026 18:11


More people than ever now believe in a flat Earth--perhaps you've wondered about it yourself. I'm the first guy to be distrustful of things that the government tells us, and I've watched most of the conspiracy documentaries on the topic, but I remain utterly unconvinced of the flat earth because of simple logic: There is tremendous economic incentive for someone to expose the supposed hoax of the globe Earth, yet no one has yet to offer really compelling evidence of a flat Earth.Here I break down why I remain a "glober," and why "flat Earth" is a Dunning-Kruger trap for both skeptics and believers...Everything mentioned here

the Hello Hair Pro podcast
Borrow Principles, But Build Your Own Salon [EP:228]

the Hello Hair Pro podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 19, 2026 42:45


Send us a textSo many salon owners spend their time looking sideways instead of forward. They watch what everyone else is doing, copy systems, pricing, commission structures, and branding, and hope that if it worked for someone else, it will magically work for them, too.In this episode, we talk about why copying is one of the most dangerous habits in business. Not because learning from others is wrong, but because blindly copying skips the most important part: understanding your numbers, your values, your clients, and your vision.We break down why templates, playbooks, and “just follow this person” advice often fail, how copying becomes a shortcut for thinking, and why running someone else's business will never build confidence or long-term stability. We also talk about pricing, commission models, culture, AI, education, and why learning principles matter more than memorizing answers.If you want a salon that feels aligned, sustainable, and truly yours, this episode will challenge you to stop copying and start building.Your business should serve you, so that you can serve others.Borrow the principles. Build your own systems.Key TakeawaysCopying is often a shortcut for thinking.Templates don't replace understanding your own business.Blindly following others skips responsibility and learning.Pricing without knowing your numbers is dangerous.Being great technically doesn't mean you're ready to run a business.Borrow principles, not full systems.Culture becomes shallow when it isn't built on your own values.Copying guarantees you'll always be second best.Confidence comes from building something you understand.Small, intentional changes beat massive overhauls.Time Stamps00:00 – Welcome + why people copy 01:00 – Jen's opening take: have the conversation 05:00 – Todd's opening take: AI, tools, and base knowledge 10:00 – Why copying feels safer than deciding 13:00 – Pricing without knowing numbers is dangerous 15:00 – Technician skill ≠ business skill 17:00 – Why copying avoids responsibility 20:00 – Facebook advice vs real problem solving 22:00 – Copying skips learning 25:00 – Dunning-Kruger effect in business 28:00 – Borrow principles, not templates 30:00 – Cooking analogy: recipes vs techniques 32:00 – Discounts don't fix broken systems 35:00 – Copying creates a shallow culture 37:00 – You can only be second best when you copy 39:00 – What to ask instead of “what should I charge?” 42:00 – Build the business you want to work in 44:00 – Small changes > total overhauls 46:00 – Final thoughts: build your own pathLinks and Stuff:Our Newsletter Mentoring InquiriesFind more of our things:InstagramHello Hair Pro Website

Watchdog on Wall Street
Understanding Psychological Biases in Investing

Watchdog on Wall Street

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 28, 2025 39:28 Transcription Available


Chris Markowski, the Watchdog of Wall Street, discusses the importance of financial education, the concept of anti-fragility, and the psychological biases that affect investors. He emphasizes the need for resilience and the ability to embrace challenges in order to achieve financial success. The discussion also covers the dangers of greed and materialism in investing, the significance of time horizons, and the ethical responsibilities of financial planners. Markowski advocates for goal-oriented financial preparation and the importance of understanding market dynamics to build wealth over time.

Do you really know?
What are the best ways to keep warm outdoors?

Do you really know?

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 23, 2025 4:29


A lot of people are reluctant to go out in the cold during the winter season. It's a real shame, as there are many ways in which you can protect yourself from low or even sub-zero temperatures. You've probably been told it a million times since you were a kid, but it bears repeating: you need to wrap up warm! The clothes you wear outdoors trap warm air inside. A good starting point is wearing a cotton T-shirt to absorb sweat and thereby neutralise humidity, which can exacerbate feelings of cold.Then wear a sweater or warm jacket made of high-quality material like wool, cashmere or alpaca. Finally, a decent coat or windcheater on top, as well as a scarf, gloves and most importantly a woolly hat or beanie, as 30% of warmth leaves the body via the head. Does drinking hot drinks before going out help? How about when we actually get outside? In under 3 minutes, we answer your questions! To listen to the last episodes, you can click here: ⁠What is phubbing, the annoying habit that can ruin relationships?⁠ ⁠Is wine in cans better for the environment?⁠ ⁠What is the Dunning Kruger effect, the phenomenon that causes overconfidence?⁠ A Bababam Originals podcast, written and produced by Joseph Chance. First Broadcast: 20/2/2023 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

outdoors dunning kruger first broadcast keep warm bababam originals
Music Ed Insights
Quick Pro Tip: Pride, Hubris, and Your Ensemble Culture

Music Ed Insights

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 18, 2025 11:04


Alan and Steve respond to a listener question about ensemble pride and dig into the fine line between healthy confidence and toxic hubris in competitive groups—whether it's show choir, marching band, jazz band, or orchestra. They connect ideas like humility, empathy, narcissism, the Dunning–Kruger effect, and imposter syndrome to the way we talk about our own programs and other ensembles, offering practical questions directors can use to check the culture they're building.

The Jordan Harbinger Show
1258: Ryan Holiday | Wisdom Takes Work

The Jordan Harbinger Show

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 16, 2025 82:50


Wisdom isn't about what you know — it's what you actually do. Author Ryan Holiday breaks down why virtue requires action, not just good intentions. Full show notes and resources can be found here: jordanharbinger.com/1258What We Discuss with Ryan Holiday:Wisdom isn't knowledge — it's the consistent application of knowledge when nobody's watching. Ryan distinguishes between knowing something intellectually and actually living it. You can memorize every Stoic principle ever written, but if you don't apply those lessons when you're stressed, angry, or tempted, you don't possess wisdom — you just own some expensive bookshelf decorations.Reading is a legitimate superpower that lets you download decades of human experience in hours. Books give you access to conversations with the greatest minds across history — people you could never meet, asking questions you'd never think to ask. It's not about collecting titles; it's about systematically absorbing hard-won lessons from people who already made the mistakes.The Dunning-Kruger effect explains why fools rarely doubt themselves while the wise remain perpetually curious. True wisdom requires intellectual humility — acknowledging the vast ocean of what you don't know. The loudest voices in any room are usually the least informed, while genuine experts understand their knowledge has limits.Ego is wisdom's silent assassin — it convinces you that you've already arrived when the journey never actually ends. Ryan's refusal to obsessively check book rankings isn't false modesty; it's strategic protection against letting external validation corrupt the creative process. Soaking up applause feels good but produces nothing new.Treat learning as a lifelong practice: absorb knowledge as if you'll live forever, but act with the urgency of someone who might not see tomorrow. This ancient Latin wisdom reframes curiosity as non-negotiable and action as time-sensitive — a powerful combination that turns passive information consumption into meaningful, immediate application.And much more...And if you're still game to support us, please leave a review here — even one sentence helps! Sign up for Six-Minute Networking — our free networking and relationship development mini course — at jordanharbinger.com/course!Subscribe to our once-a-week Wee Bit Wiser newsletter today and start filling your Wednesdays with wisdom!Do you even Reddit, bro? Join us at r/JordanHarbinger!This Episode Is Brought To You By Our Fine Sponsors: Caldera + Lab: 20% off: calderalab.com/jordan, code JORDANCookUnity: 50% off first week: cookunity.com/jordan or code JORDANQuince: Free shipping & 365-day returns: quince.com/jordanAirbnb: Turn your house into a host: airbnb.com/hostAG1: Welcome kit: drinkag1.com/jordanSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

#ESBC NFL Betting and Team Report
Crack The NFL Code Hawthorne Effect Avoid Delusion Of Grandeur Week 14 "Learn From Losses"

#ESBC NFL Betting and Team Report

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 11, 2025 8:23


184-118=60.9% =$58,300 Dunning–Kruger Effect This is the best-known term. It refers to a cognitive bias where people with low ability in a domain overestimate their competence, often because they lack the knowledge to recognize their own mistakes. It doesn't necessarily involve delusions, but it explains why someone might think they're much more skilled at decision-making than they really are. Illusion of Superiority (Optimism Bias) Sometimes called the “better-than-average effect.” People consistently rate their own decision-making, intelligence, or skills as above average, even when objective measures show otherwise. 3.Illusion of Superiority (Optimism Bias) Delusional Disorder / Grandiosity (Clinical Context) When the overestimation of ability moves beyond bias and into fixed false beliefs that resist contrary evidence, it becomes clinical. In psychiatry, this would be described as grandiose delusions, a symptom sometimes seen in bipolar disorder or schizophrenia. 4. Over coming -Overconfidence Bias (Decision Science / Finance) In economics and behavioral finance, “overconfidence bias” is the specific term for people placing too much faith in their own judgments, leading to poor decisions and risky behavior. hawthorne Effective - ✅ If you mean a psychological bias → Dunning–Kruger effect or overconfidence bias. ✅ If you mean a clinical, delusional state → grandiose delusion The Solution Strategy - Transparency - Information flow - Exploit market inefficiencies - Return To the mean -Arbitrage -Common Sense Collaboration -Law of opposites

Growth Mindset Podcast
Ego Blindspots: Common cognitive distortions of the self - [Cognitive Biases #2]

Growth Mindset Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 28, 2025 32:43


Ever caught yourself defending a dumb idea just to look smart? That's your ego controlling your brain. Cognitive biases and ego team up to screw your decisions daily. Picture this: confirmation bias has you cherry-picking facts that stroke your self-image, while ego whispers you're too smart for mistakes. Spot the traps like Dunning-Kruger (overestimating skill) or sunk cost fallacy (throwing good money after bad). Takehomes: Point at one bias daily: "Am I ignoring counter-evidence like a muscly Irishman blocking the door?" Test decisions: Can you drop it on your foot? If abstract, make it concrete now. Audit ego weekly: List three "wins" that were actually luck—kill the illusion. Hit play and arm yourself against yourself today. SPONSORS

The Other Side of Midnight with Frank Morano
Hour 1: Warrior Wednesday | 11-12-25

The Other Side of Midnight with Frank Morano

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 12, 2025 52:28


Join Lionel and Lynn Shaw of Lynn's Warriors on Warrior Wednesday as they slow down, look at the facts, and move from outrage to action against the new threats aimed straight at our children and families. This week, the focus is the biggest threat: Artificial Intelligence (AI). They connect the dots on how relying on AI—which they stress are simply machines, not real—is fueling the Dunning-Kruger effect, making users overconfident and less wise. Lionel and Lynn expose the dark side of AI, including the interstitial dangers of bots that learn from children, turn, and suggest self-harm. Learn why these chat programs are now being treated as a harmful product in lawsuits against companies like Character AI. The discussion covers the ethical responsibility to curb unchecked technology, including the need for "ethical AI" championed by the Pope, and the fight to repeal Big Tech's shield, Section 230. Plus, a warning about AI cameras being implanted in children's toys this holiday season, and international updates on Sweden's screen rollback and Germany's shift on sex work laws. Hiding is not an option; education and action are the only way to affect change. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Other Side of Midnight with Frank Morano
The Invisible Hostility | 11-12-25

The Other Side of Midnight with Frank Morano

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 12, 2025 199:19


It's Warrior Wednesday, join Lionel and Lynn Shaw of Lynn's Warriors as they move from outrage to action against threats aimed at children and families. This week, they expose the biggest threat: Artificial Intelligence (AI), detailing how machine reliance fuels the Dunning-Kruger effect and covering lawsuits against companies like Character AI for bots suggesting self-harm. Learn about the fight to repeal Big Tech's shield, Section 230, and warnings about AI cameras implanted in holiday toys. Plus, Lionel dives into Tucker Carlson's sensational claim of being physically mauled by a demon—was it a spiritual confrontation or documented neurological phenomena like night terrors? We debate the rising cultural rot and the need for a spiritually resonant message beyond politics. We connect the dots on the enduring financial power of the Federal Reserve, distinguishing between the "shadow government" and the Deep State. Finally, laugh along as we confront the hilarious realities of aging, ageism, and the trauma of childhood chores. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Into the Impossible
Brian Keating on Humility, Chutzpah, and the Arrow of Time | The James Altucher Show

Into the Impossible

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 10, 2025 16:42


The Raven Effect
You don't get this kind of aggressive banter anywhere else ...

The Raven Effect

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 6, 2025 54:38 Transcription Available


This week we dive right in learning about wrestling action figure companies and receive a warning not to turn a hobby into an actual job; Raven was almost the lead singer in a rock band; Terrible band names that never should be said in public, or at least civilized people; If the cast of the Raven Effect were members of Nirvana, who would they be? The wild relationship rumor about Mick Foley; How problematic dating would be today; What Ted the cat watches on TV; Raven learns about an interesting conspiracy theory and we learn what the Dunning-Kruger effect is; The story of how Billy Idol took his reputation to new heights in Bangkok, but did it really happen?  We get a lesson in Asian geography and learn how strict drug laws are in that part of the world, and of course, all the usual perversions. If you're in Philadelphia Oct. 11-12, get tickets to see Nevermore: The Raven Effect documentary at PhilaMOCA: https://www.philamoca.org/Learn about other screenings: https://www.cargofilm-releasing.com/nevermore-the-raven-effectThe show now has a Facebook page, so go CHECK IT OUTFollow the guys on social mediaRaven - @theRavenEffectFeeney - @jffeeney3rdBuy yourself some Raven shirts: https://www.prowrestlingtees.com/ravenOr even some Feeney shirts: https://www.prowrestlingtees.com/ccwithjoefeeneyHave Raven say things that you want him to say, either for yourself or for someone you want to talk big-game shit to by going to http://www.cameo.com/ravenprime1Sign up for Patreon by going to http://www.patreon.com/TheRavenEffect it's only $5 a month! Get extra content AND watch the show!Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-raven-effect--5166640/support.

Lenny's Podcast: Product | Growth | Career
From managing people to managing AI: The leadership skills everyone needs now | Julie Zhuo (Facebook VP, Sundial CEO, The Making of a Manager author)

Lenny's Podcast: Product | Growth | Career

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 21, 2025 96:24


Julie Zhuo is the former VP and Head of Design at Facebook (now Meta), author of the bestselling book The Making of a Manager, and co-founder of Sundial, an AI-powered data analysis company. Also, my first-ever podcast guest over 3 years ago!In our conversation, we discuss:1. The three core manager skills that translate directly to managing AI agents2. How her team uses AI to learn new skills 10x faster3. The “diagnose with data, treat with design” framework for balancing gut and data4. Why hypergrowth AI companies have terrible data infrastructure (and why it doesn't matter)5. How to give feedback that actually lands—including Julie's exact script for difficult conversations6. What Julie's teaching her kids about an AI future (hint: it's not coding or STEM)—Brought to you by:Mercury — The art of simplified financesDX — The developer intelligence platform designed by leading researchersPostHog—How developers build successful products—Transcript: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/from-managing-people-to-managing-ai-julie-zhuo—My biggest takeaways (for paid newsletter subscribers): https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/i/172723725/my-biggest-takeaways-from-this-conversation—Where to find Julie Zhuo:• X: https://x.com/joulee• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/julie-zhuo/• Website: https://www.juliezhuo.com/• Newsletter: https://lg.substack.com/• Sundial: https://sundial.so/—Where to find Lenny:• Newsletter: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com• X: https://twitter.com/lennysan• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lennyrachitsky/—In this episode, we cover:(00:00) Welcome back, Julie!(05:18) The success of The Making of a Manager(08:41) Why AI will make everyone a manager(11:38) The future of management roles(14:00) Empowering teams with AI(21:30) Specific roles being accelerated by AI(26:53) Data analysis in AI companies(32:02) The role of data in design(37:21) The evolving role of managers in the AI era(40:22) Embracing change and uncertainty(42:14) Timeless lessons for managers(49:03) Balancing strengths and weaknesses(57:49) Building a feedback culture(01:05:33) Creating win-win situations(01:09:27) Being aware of your own energy and conviction(01:12:12) Navigating disagreements with higher-ups(01:15:57) AI corner(01:20:08) Contrarian corner(01:23:14) Lightning round and final thoughts—Referenced:• Julie Zhuo on accelerating your career, impostor syndrome, writing, building product sense, using intuition vs. data, hiring designers, and moving into management: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/episode-2-julie-zhuo• Waymo: https://waymo.com/• How we restructured Airtable's entire org for AI | Howie Liu (co-founder and CEO): https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/how-we-restructured-airtables-entire-org-for-ai• Cursor: https://cursor.com/• The rise of Cursor: The $300M ARR AI tool that engineers can't stop using | Michael Truell (co-founder and CEO): https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/the-rise-of-cursor-michael-truell• Inside ChatGPT: The fastest growing product in history | Nick Turley (Head of ChatGPT at OpenAI): https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/inside-chatgpt-nick-turley• Behind the founder: Marc Benioff: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/behind-the-founder-marc-benioff• OpenAI's CPO on how AI changes must-have skills, moats, coding, startup playbooks, more | Kevin Weil (CPO at OpenAI, ex-Instagram, Twitter): https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/kevin-weil-open-ai• Anthropic's CPO on what comes next | Mike Krieger (co-founder of Instagram): https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/anthropics-cpo-heres-what-comes-next• The Magic Loop: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/the-magic-loop• Dunning-Kruger effect: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect• Eric Antonow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/antonow/• Methaphone: https://methaphone.com/• Replit: https://replit.com/• “Baby” by Justin Bieber on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/track/6epn3r7S14KUqlReYr77hA• Kingdom Rush: https://www.kingdomrush.com/• Dr. Becky on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@drbeckyatgoodinside• Emily Oster on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@profemilyoster• La La Land on Netflix: https://www.netflix.com/title/80095365• Granola: https://www.granola.ai/• Matic robots: https://maticrobots.com/• Limitless pendant: https://www.limitless.ai/• How I AI: https://www.youtube.com/@howiaipodcast—Recommended books:• The Making of a Manager: What to Do when Everyone Looks to You: https://www.amazon.com/Making-Manager-What-Everyone-Looks/dp/0525540423• High Output Management: https://www.amazon.com/High-Output-Management-Andrew-Grove/dp/0679762884/• Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance: An Inquiry into Values: https://www.amazon.com/Zen-Art-Motorcycle-Maintenance-Inquiry/dp/0061673730• Conscious Business: How to Build Value Through Values: https://www.amazon.com/Conscious-Business-Build-through-Values/dp/1622032020• Good Inside: A Practical Guide to Resilient Parenting Prioritizing Connection Over Correction: https://www.amazon.com/Good-Inside-Guide-Becoming-Parent/dp/0063159481/—Production and marketing by https://penname.co/. For inquiries about sponsoring the podcast, email podcast@lennyrachitsky.com.Lenny may be an investor in the companies discussed. To hear more, visit www.lennysnewsletter.com

The James Altucher Show
[Bonus] Brian Keating on Humility, Chutzpah, and the Arrow of Time

The James Altucher Show

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2025 18:39


Episode DescriptionRight after wrapping up their main conversation, James and Brian hit record again for a bonus session. What came out is an unfiltered talk on humility, arrogance, and the strange mix of traits needed to achieve great things. From the wisdom of the Talmud to the Dunning–Kruger effect, they explore why even Nobel Prize winners wrestle with imposter syndrome.James shares how writing books requires a mix of blind confidence and humility, while Brian connects scientific resilience to obsession, quests, and flow states. The two also talk candidly about the challenges of writing and publishing science books in today's world—and Brian previews his bold new project exploring Jim Simons, “Chern–Simons Theory,” and the very arrow of time itself.What You'll LearnWhy success requires balancing humility with courage—and sometimes arrogance with ignoranceHow Nobel Prize winners secretly struggle with imposter syndromeWhy writing books demands both blind confidence and ruthless editingThe difference between obsession and quest when pursuing successWhat “Chern–Simons Theory” reveals about time, space, and the structure of the universeTimestamped Chapters[02:00] Humility, chutzpah, and the Talmud's two pockets[03:00] Writing, Dunning–Kruger, and the blindness needed for progress[05:00] Imposter syndrome—even after winning the Nobel Prize[06:00] Resilience, grad school, and the limits of Goggins-style toughness[07:00] Obsession vs. quest: two paths to achievement[08:00] Flow states, joy, and Nobel Prize winners at play[09:00] The cost of careers that don't allow flow[10:00] The challenges of science publishing in the age of AI[11:00] James on downloads, inspiration, and writing talks in his sleep[12:00] The genius spirit, loneliness, and Hemingway's advice[13:00] Why science books lean on unprovable ideas[14:00] String theory, quantum entanglement, and perennial sellers[15:00] Jim Simons, Chern–Simons Theory, and the arrow of timeAdditional ResourcesBrian Keating – Official WebsiteInto the Impossible: Focus Like a Nobel Prize Winner (Volume 2) – AmazonDonna Strickland – Nobel Prize in Physics 2018 – Nobel Prize BiographyCal Newport – Deep Work – AmazonAli Abdaal – Feel Good Productivity – AmazonRyan Holiday – Perennial Seller – AmazonChern–Simons Theory (Mathematical Physics Overview) – WikipediaJim Simons Biography (The Man Who Solved the Market) – AmazonSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Art of Charm
Why Strengths Become Weaknesses | Martin Dubin

The Art of Charm

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 18, 2025 57:44


Executive coach and former CEO Martin Dubin joins AJ and Johnny to reveal the hidden blind spots that quietly sabotage leaders and high performers. From the Dunning–Kruger effect to the “fishbowl” and “cabana” phenomena, Marty shows how strengths overused become weaknesses, and why true growth requires identity shifts, not just behavior tweaks. Packed with practical insights, he explains why emotions are data, how leaders unintentionally communicate even when silent, and why luck often comes down to context and fit. Whether you're climbing the ladder or running the show, Marty offers a toolkit to see yourself clearly and lead more effectively. What to Listen For [00:00:00] Defining blind spots—and why they appear during change [00:02:16] Why leaders at the top get less feedback and stagnate [00:06:15] Strengths turning into liabilities when overused [00:09:36] Identity vs. behavior: making the leap from executor to strategist [00:12:41] Emotions as data: awareness, regulation, and reading others [00:17:27] Stress, bottling up emotions, and worse decision-making [00:23:16] The “TOO” test: when confidence, decisiveness, or organization go too far [00:28:02] AJ's technique: asking “What am I missing?” to reopen input [00:32:06] The fishbowl and cabana effects: how leaders send unspoken signals [00:36:22] Why copying billionaires fails—and how to adapt to your own context [00:41:37] Acting “as if” to prepare for your next role [00:46:42] Tools from Marty's book Blindspotting to identify your own blind spots A Word From Our Sponsors Tired of awkward handshakes and collecting business cards without building real connections? Dive into our Free Social Capital Networking Masterclass. Learn practical strategies to make your interactions meaningful and boost your confidence in any social situation. Sign up for free at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠theartofcharm.com/sc⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and elevate your networking from awkward to awesome. Don't miss out on a network of opportunities! Unleash the power of covert networking to infiltrate high-value circles and build a 7-figure network in just 90 days. Ready to start? Check out our ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠CIA-proven guide⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ to networking like a spy! Indulge in affordable luxury with Quince—where high-end essentials meet unbeatable prices. Upgrade your wardrobe today at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠quince.com/charm⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ for free shipping and hassle-free returns. Ready to turn your business idea into reality? Shopify makes it easy to start, scale, and succeed—whether you're launching a side hustle or building the next big brand. Sign up for your $1/month trial at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠shopify.com/charm⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Need to hire top talent—fast? Skip the waiting game and get more qualified applicants with Indeed. Claim your $75 Sponsored Job Credit now at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Indeed.com/charm⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. This year, skip breaking a sweat AND breaking the bank. Get your summer savings and shop premium wireless plans at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠mintmobile.com/charm⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Stop needlessly overpaying for car insurance. Before you renew your policy, do yourself a favor—download the Jerry app or head to JERRY.com/charm Connect with quality therapists and mental health experts who specialize in you at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠www.rula.com/charm ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Curious about your influence level?  Get your Influence Index Score today! Take this 60-second quiz to find out how your influence stacks up against top performers at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠theartofcharm.com/influence⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Episode resources: Martin's Website BlindSpotting Check in with AJ and Johnny! ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠AJ on LinkedIn⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Johnny on LinkedIn⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠AJ on Instagram⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Johnny on Instagram⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The Art of Charm on Instagram⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The Art of Charm on YouTube⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The Art of Charm on TikTok Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices