Cognitive bias in which incompetent people assess themselves as competent
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This week we dive right in learning about wrestling action figure companies and receive a warning not to turn a hobby into an actual job; Raven was almost the lead singer in a rock band; Terrible band names that never should be said in public, or at least civilized people; If the cast of the Raven Effect were members of Nirvana, who would they be? The wild relationship rumor about Mick Foley; How problematic dating would be today; What Ted the cat watches on TV; Raven learns about an interesting conspiracy theory and we learn what the Dunning-Kruger effect is; The story of how Billy Idol took his reputation to new heights in Bangkok, but did it really happen? We get a lesson in Asian geography and learn how strict drug laws are in that part of the world, and of course, all the usual perversions. If you're in Philadelphia Oct. 11-12, get tickets to see Nevermore: The Raven Effect documentary at PhilaMOCA: https://www.philamoca.org/Learn about other screenings: https://www.cargofilm-releasing.com/nevermore-the-raven-effectThe show now has a Facebook page, so go CHECK IT OUTFollow the guys on social mediaRaven - @theRavenEffectFeeney - @jffeeney3rdBuy yourself some Raven shirts: https://www.prowrestlingtees.com/ravenOr even some Feeney shirts: https://www.prowrestlingtees.com/ccwithjoefeeneyHave Raven say things that you want him to say, either for yourself or for someone you want to talk big-game shit to by going to http://www.cameo.com/ravenprime1Sign up for Patreon by going to http://www.patreon.com/TheRavenEffect it's only $5 a month! Get extra content AND watch the show!Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-raven-effect--5166640/support.
I @josuevizcay delve into the intricacies of sports betting, discussing the importance of tracking performance, understanding cognitive biases like the Dunning-Kruger effect, and the role of probability theory in predicting outcomes. He shares insights on how to avoid common pitfalls in betting, emphasizing the need for clarity and self-awareness to succeed. The conversation also touches on the dynamics of NFL games, the impact of special teams, and strategies for monetizing sports outcomes. Dunning–Kruger Effect - This is the best-known term. - It refers to a cognitive bias where people with low ability in a domain overestimate their competence, often because they lack the knowledge to recognize their own mistakes. - It doesn't necessarily involve delusions, but it explains why someone might think they're much more skilled at decision-making than they really are. Illusion of Superiority (Optimism Bias) - Sometimes called the “better-than-average effect.” - People consistently rate their own decision-making, intelligence, or skills as above average, even when objective measures show otherwise. 3. Delusional Disorder / Grandiosity (Clinical Context) - When the overestimation of ability moves beyond bias and into fixed false beliefs that resist contrary evidence, it becomes clinical. - In psychiatry, this would be described as grandiose delusions, a symptom sometimes seen in bipolar disorder or schizophrenia. 4. Overconfidence Bias (Decision Science / Finance) - In economics and behavioral finance, “overconfidence bias” is the specific term for people placing too much faith in their own judgments, leading to poor decisions and risky behavior.
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Send us a textWhat does Christian maturity really mean? We're talking real life faith, self-righteousness, and those frustrating moments when Bible knowledge doesn't equal love. Let's get honest about spiritual growth. Join Joël Malm and Rick Malm as they discuss a viral clip that sparked intense Christian backlash. They share raw insights on dealing with arrogance, the Dunning-Kruger effect in faith, and the true meaning of allowing God's word to pierce your soul. It's a candid look at growth, humility, and the patience needed on your spiritual journey. 00:00 Changing Podcast Format & Work-Life Balance 03:10 Critiques on Biblical Knowledge vs. Maturity 07:56 The Dangers of Externalizing Faith 12:08 Seminary's Impact and Dealing with Arrogance 15:46 Possessing Your Soul: A Lifelong Journey 19:16 Patience and Growth in Faith #ChristianMaturity #SpiritualGrowth #FaithJourney #ChurchLife #RealTalk
On this episode of registry matters…. we unpack International Megan's Law—how passport identifiers, advance travel notifications, and cross-border data sharing actually work, who's covered (especially PFRs with offenses involving minors), and what it means for international travel; examine how overconfidence from limited knowledge—the Dunning–Kruger effect—distorts public debate on crime policy and civil liberties; and break...
This week, Sierra brings us some dumb criminals that actually may have discovered invisibility? In January of 1995, McArthur Wheeler and Clifton Earl Johnson robbed two banks in Pittsburg disguising their faces with lemon juice; their behavior inspired the Dunning-Kruger effect. Get ready for some Science with Sierra!
I The popular conception of Dunning-Kruger is something along the lines of “some people are too dumb to know they're dumb, and end up thinking they're smarter than smart people”. This version is popularized in endless articles and videos, as well as in graphs like the one below.Usually I'd credit the creator of this graph but it seems rude to do that when I'm ragging on them Except that's wrong. II The canonical Dunning-Kruger graph looks like this: Notice that all the dots are in the right order: being bad at something doesn't make you think you're good at it, and at worst damages your ability to notice exactly how incompetent you are. The actual findings of professors Dunning and Kruger are more consistent with “people are biased to think they're moderately above-average, and update away from that bias based on their competence or lack thereof, but they don't [...] ---Outline:(00:12) I(00:39) II(01:32) III(04:22) IV--- First published: September 29th, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Di9muNKLA33swbHBa/you-re-probably-overestimating-how-well-you-understand --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO. ---Images from the article:
Lords * Alexander * Kev Topics: * "Floaty movement" in games * The power to give people clutter that they can't throw away * https://www.lancaster.ac.uk/users/yorkdoom/palweb/week12/palwk12.htm * https://www.anabuzzalino.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/book-of-kells.jpg * Dunning Kruger got debunked! * https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2022/04/08/the-dunning-kruger-effect-is-autocorrelation/ * With or Without Witnesses, by Hasbro, Inc. * https://scryfall.com/card/jmp/457/alloy-myr * Esper says: "A lot of the lore and worldbuilding of Magic is conveyed through flavor text, but there's also about a novel's worth of writing for each set distributed as webfiction and a few dozen novels throughout the game's history. It's good stuff, usually!" * The instinct to not swing a heavy object at someone, even when you're supposed to * Japanese curry Microtopics: * The Humble Screw. * What it might take to be good at hammering nails. * Fingerbashing. * An inclined plane that goes around in a circle. * Metric Rules Football. * Whether a state machine is the same kind of thing as a wedge. * Clockwork Maiden. * Speedrunning, cleaning and dating. * Floaty movement. * The JPEG artifact of physics simulation. * How to Unit Test a video game. * Using MIDI knobs to tune your game's physics. * Game Oriented Assembly Lisp. * Hot Reloading Workflow. * Why Naughty Dog stopped using Lisp. * Just going about your life when suddenly you have to use Perl for something. * Peak Node.JS/SAAS years. * Walk/run/sprint transition speed. * Getting an special drink for your guys. * Medieval style calligraphy. * Gifting someone with a burden for the rest of their lives. * Pouring rocks into your dad's pocket because that's where you keep your rocks. * The kitten going to sleep behind your laptop because it's warm back there. * Here's how someone in the 14th century would've written these words. * How to say "fuck around and find out" in medieval Latin. * Writing a meme in 14th century Blackletter Hand. * Sans-serif calligraphy. * The ancient Greeks trying to invent ASCII art but they couldn't close the deal. * Letters placed inside other letters. * Autocorrelation. * Figures 8 and 9. * Coming out of discussion the topic with a better understanding of the topic. * Using a bird feather to write. * Knowledge that we used to have and now have again. * Learning to Topic Lords while doing home improvement stuff. * Scrapping your fragile human body to merge with the machines. * Rainbows in Space. * Suns going around in circles regardless of whether anyone's looking. * A semi-conscious little robot dude. * Calling the Qualia Function. * A real messed-up looking machine cat. * Communicating the story solely via flavor text on mana dorks. * A squadron of little kids waving wooden swords at each other. * How do you turn sword fighting into something you can do in a video game? * East Bay Rat Motorcycle Club Flight Nights. * Situations where they ask if you want a mouth guard. * Asking the ref at the boxing match what the etiquette is for tapping out. * The crowd roaring when they realize you're a southpaw. * Punching a guy you just met three seconds ago. * Did you end up cutting that girl's head off? * Renaissance MMA. * That Awkward Sparring Feeling. * A simulacrum of kicking each other in the face. * Getting a part-time job at your favorite curry shop so you can learn the recipe. * What part of curry is the curry? * The curry you eat so you don't die. * Emperor Riding a Dragon to the Forbidden Palace. * The advantage of a burger as a fast food staple. * How to make curry convenient. * Rendang. * Dry curry. * Joining a discord and asking "what are all these users for??" * Which user is which lord on which episode?
This episode features an in-depth conversation with Scott Alldridge Certified Chief Information Security Officer (CCISO), CISSP, AI MS Certified, ITIL Expert, Harvard Certified in Technology and Privacy, and CEO of IP Services. With 30+ years of experience in IT management and cybersecurity, Scott has become a global thought leader in modern security strategies. From starting in tech at 19 to building a successful cybersecurity services company. Scott shares powerful insights on the evolution of IT, the rise of AI-driven threats, and why businesses must embrace proactive, layered defenses. He also explains why adaptability, reinvention, and aligning technology with business goals are critical for resilience in today's fast-changing tech landscape.
I discuss the intricacies of sports betting as a business, emphasizing the importance of tracking losses, understanding decision-making processes, and utilizing analytics. He explores the Dunning-Kruger effect, the significance of research, and the need for long-term thinking in betting strategies. Through personal anecdotes and insights, he highlights the lessons learned from both wins and losses, ultimately advocating for a systematic approach to predicting outcomes and making informed betting decisions. Hawthorne Effect whatever you track and measure you improve its performance by 10 to 20% 52.5% is. breakeven 59% you live in Vegas 70% is Elite
Psychologists Off The Clock: A Psychology Podcast About The Science And Practice Of Living Well
College life can be exciting, but it's also full of unique challenges that can really take a toll on mental health. In this episode, Debbie sits down with Colleen Ehrnstrom, Audrey Gilfillan, and Alison West to break down what's really going on with students' mental well-being. They talk about the ups and downs of transitions, gaining independence, and handling academic pressure, all while navigating bigger societal stressors like the pandemic. The conversation highlights why it's so important to have mental health support built right into academic departments, and the guests share practical tips that both students and faculty can use. You'll also hear about topics like college culture expectations, the Dunning-Kruger effect, imposter feelings, and why showing yourself self-compassion and understanding your emotions matters. By the end, you'll come away with insights that can help anyone in a college community foster better mental health and overall well-being.Listen and Learn: Why college is such a challenging transition for students, who must create structure, discover their values, and learn through mistakes while adapting to new freedoms and pressuresUnderstanding individual stress matters in college counseling, which can help normalize challenges and guide appropriate mental health supportHow young adulthood is a powerful time for growthEmbracing uncertainty and connecting through shared human experiences helps us navigate overwhelming and unpredictable timesEmbedding mental health clinicians directly in university departments helps faculty support students effectively, bridging academic and emotional needsUnderstanding and “decompiling” your thoughts and emotions helps you work with them instead of against themWhy the imposter phenomenon is widespread, especially among high achievers and those stepping outside their comfort zone, and how comparing your inner doubts to others' outward confidence can intensify itTrue growth comes from building competence, not chasing confidence, and feeling uncomfortable is part of the learning processTips for navigating college, including managing your expectations, giving yourself grace for mistakes, seeking support when needed, and starting small with healthy habitsResources: Decompile Your Mind: An Engineer's Guide to Thoughts and Emotions: https://www.amazon.com/Decompile-Your-Mind-Engineers-Thoughts/dp/B0DPXB17MV Connect with Colleen Ehrnstrom, Audrey Gilfillan, and Alison Westhttps://www.colorado.edu/counseling/about-caps/our-providers/colleen-ehrnstrom https://www.colorado.edu/counseling/about-caps/our-providers/audrey-gilfillanhttps://www.colorado.edu/counseling/about-caps/our-providers/alison-westImposter No More: Overcome Self-Doubt and Imposterism to Cultivate a Successful Career: https://bookshop.org/a/30734/9781538724804 About Dr. Colleen EhrnstromDr. Colleen Ehrnstrom, PhD is a licensed clinical psychologist and one of the managers of the Embedded Program at the Counseling and Psychiatric Services (CAPS) at the University of Colorado Boulder. She specializes in Acceptance and Commitment Therapy (ACT) and enjoys working with college students, supporting their mental health during a critical time of personal and academic development. She is the co-author of End the Insomnia Struggle: A Step-by-Step Guide to Help You Get to Sleep and Stay Asleep and regularly presents and trains on ACT and behavioral sleep strategies. Dr. Ehrnstrom is dedicated to supporting mental health through evidence-based, mindfulness-informed care.About Audrey GilfillanAudrey Gilfillan is a licensed professional counselor and works as an Embedded Therapist in the College of Engineering and Applied Science at the University of Colorado at Boulder. With a background in academic coaching, career counseling, and college mental health, Audrey specializes supporting college students as they navigate the intersection of their academic goals and mental health. Audrey co-authored Decompile Your Mind: An Engineer's Guide to Thoughts and Emotions. She co-founded Applied Wellness Initiatives to help educators and managers effectively support mental health and performance in the workplace.About Alison WestAlison West is a licensed professional counselor and addiction specialist who works as an Embedded Therapist in the College of Engineering and Applied Science at CU Boulder. Prior to working in higher education, Alison worked in community mental health, providing direct support through ongoing therapy, crisis response, and case management. Alison is passionate about supporting young adults as they navigate the challenges of an ever-changing world. She is the co-author of Decompile Your Mind: An Engineer's Guide to Thoughts and Emotions and the co-founder of Applied Wellness Initiatives. She finds fulfillment in helping professionals bring mental health awareness and practices into their work and academic communities.Related Episodes: 7. Insomnia: Strategies to Stop Struggling with Sleep with Alisha Brosse189. Imposter Syndrome with Jill and Debbie321. Imposter No More with Jill Stoddard274. Quarterlife: The Search for Self in Early Adulthood with Satya Doyle Byock – Psychologists Off the Clock324. Toxic Achievement Culture with Jennifer Wallace 303. Both/And Thinking with Marianne LewisSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
The Art of Authentic Speaking: Lessons from Marianne HickmanIn a world increasingly dominated by automation and AI, genuine human connection is more valuable than ever. In this episode of The Thoughtful Entrepreneur, host Josh Elledge sits down with Marianne Hickman—speaker coach, top 1% podcaster, and advocate for authentic expression. They explore the power of vulnerability, the nuances of public speaking, and how leading with authenticity can create lasting impact.Rediscovering Authenticity in SpeakingMarianne emphasizes that in a digital world filled with AI-generated content, audiences crave realness. She encourages speakers to show their humanity, share personal passions, and let their creative process shine. Transparency and effort create trust that technology can never replicate.She also addresses the common pitfall of overconfidence, highlighting the Dunning-Kruger effect in the speaking industry. Marianne advises aspiring speakers to seek honest feedback, embrace humility, and focus on substance over style. By prioritizing growth over ego, speakers can steadily develop true expertise.Finally, Marianne underscores the importance of connecting with one person at a time. Real influence comes from seeing your audience as individuals, inviting feedback, and serving others rather than chasing viral moments. This relationship-focused approach is the foundation for a sustainable speaking career.About Marianne HickmanMarianne Hickman is a speaker coach, podcaster, and passionate advocate for authentic communication. She guides aspiring speakers and leaders to find their unique voice, connect with audiences meaningfully, and grow their influence without sacrificing their humanity.About Marianne's CompanyThrough her coaching and resources, Marianne Hickman helps speakers and professionals cultivate authenticity, confidence, and resilience. She empowers individuals to lead with purpose and build influence that is both impactful and sustainable. Learn more at mariannehickman.com.Links Mentioned in This EpisodeMarianne Hickman Website: mariannehickman.comInstagram: @mariannehickmanKey Episode HighlightsThe value of authenticity in a digital, AI-driven world.Recognizing and overcoming the Dunning-Kruger effect in speaking.How vulnerability builds trust and deep connection with audiences.Practical strategies for coaching and guiding others side by side.Actionable steps for aspiring speakers to grow with integrity and impact.ConclusionBecoming a powerful speaker isn't about chasing followers or viral fame—it's about authenticity, humility, and serving others. Marianne Hickman demonstrates that leading with your real voice, walking alongside your audience, and investing in relationships creates influence that lasts.
Julie Zhuo is the former VP and Head of Design at Facebook (now Meta), author of the bestselling book The Making of a Manager, and co-founder of Sundial, an AI-powered data analysis company. Also, my first-ever podcast guest over 3 years ago!In our conversation, we discuss:1. The three core manager skills that translate directly to managing AI agents2. How her team uses AI to learn new skills 10x faster3. The “diagnose with data, treat with design” framework for balancing gut and data4. Why hypergrowth AI companies have terrible data infrastructure (and why it doesn't matter)5. How to give feedback that actually lands—including Julie's exact script for difficult conversations6. What Julie's teaching her kids about an AI future (hint: it's not coding or STEM)—Brought to you by:Mercury — The art of simplified financesDX — The developer intelligence platform designed by leading researchersPostHog—How developers build successful products—Transcript: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/from-managing-people-to-managing-ai-julie-zhuo—My biggest takeaways (for paid newsletter subscribers): https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/i/172723725/my-biggest-takeaways-from-this-conversation—Where to find Julie Zhuo:• X: https://x.com/joulee• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/julie-zhuo/• Website: https://www.juliezhuo.com/• Newsletter: https://lg.substack.com/• Sundial: https://sundial.so/—Where to find Lenny:• Newsletter: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com• X: https://twitter.com/lennysan• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lennyrachitsky/—In this episode, we cover:(00:00) Welcome back, Julie!(05:18) The success of The Making of a Manager(08:41) Why AI will make everyone a manager(11:38) The future of management roles(14:00) Empowering teams with AI(21:30) Specific roles being accelerated by AI(26:53) Data analysis in AI companies(32:02) The role of data in design(37:21) The evolving role of managers in the AI era(40:22) Embracing change and uncertainty(42:14) Timeless lessons for managers(49:03) Balancing strengths and weaknesses(57:49) Building a feedback culture(01:05:33) Creating win-win situations(01:09:27) Being aware of your own energy and conviction(01:12:12) Navigating disagreements with higher-ups(01:15:57) AI corner(01:20:08) Contrarian corner(01:23:14) Lightning round and final thoughts—Referenced:• Julie Zhuo on accelerating your career, impostor syndrome, writing, building product sense, using intuition vs. data, hiring designers, and moving into management: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/episode-2-julie-zhuo• Waymo: https://waymo.com/• How we restructured Airtable's entire org for AI | Howie Liu (co-founder and CEO): https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/how-we-restructured-airtables-entire-org-for-ai• Cursor: https://cursor.com/• The rise of Cursor: The $300M ARR AI tool that engineers can't stop using | Michael Truell (co-founder and CEO): https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/the-rise-of-cursor-michael-truell• Inside ChatGPT: The fastest growing product in history | Nick Turley (Head of ChatGPT at OpenAI): https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/inside-chatgpt-nick-turley• Behind the founder: Marc Benioff: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/behind-the-founder-marc-benioff• OpenAI's CPO on how AI changes must-have skills, moats, coding, startup playbooks, more | Kevin Weil (CPO at OpenAI, ex-Instagram, Twitter): https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/kevin-weil-open-ai• Anthropic's CPO on what comes next | Mike Krieger (co-founder of Instagram): https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/anthropics-cpo-heres-what-comes-next• The Magic Loop: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/the-magic-loop• Dunning-Kruger effect: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect• Eric Antonow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/antonow/• Methaphone: https://methaphone.com/• Replit: https://replit.com/• “Baby” by Justin Bieber on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/track/6epn3r7S14KUqlReYr77hA• Kingdom Rush: https://www.kingdomrush.com/• Dr. Becky on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@drbeckyatgoodinside• Emily Oster on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@profemilyoster• La La Land on Netflix: https://www.netflix.com/title/80095365• Granola: https://www.granola.ai/• Matic robots: https://maticrobots.com/• Limitless pendant: https://www.limitless.ai/• How I AI: https://www.youtube.com/@howiaipodcast—Recommended books:• The Making of a Manager: What to Do when Everyone Looks to You: https://www.amazon.com/Making-Manager-What-Everyone-Looks/dp/0525540423• High Output Management: https://www.amazon.com/High-Output-Management-Andrew-Grove/dp/0679762884/• Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance: An Inquiry into Values: https://www.amazon.com/Zen-Art-Motorcycle-Maintenance-Inquiry/dp/0061673730• Conscious Business: How to Build Value Through Values: https://www.amazon.com/Conscious-Business-Build-through-Values/dp/1622032020• Good Inside: A Practical Guide to Resilient Parenting Prioritizing Connection Over Correction: https://www.amazon.com/Good-Inside-Guide-Becoming-Parent/dp/0063159481/—Production and marketing by https://penname.co/. For inquiries about sponsoring the podcast, email podcast@lennyrachitsky.com.Lenny may be an investor in the companies discussed. To hear more, visit www.lennysnewsletter.com
Dr. Emily Balcetis is a social psychologist and associate professor at New York University whose research explores perception, motivation, and decision-making. She is the author of Clearer, Closer, Better: How Successful People See the World, where she reveals how visual strategies can shape goal achievement and behavior. Dr. Balcetis's work has been featured in major outlets like The New York Times, Forbes, and Harvard Business Review, and she is a sought-after speaker known for translating cutting-edge psychology into practical tools for success.In our conversation we discuss:(00:00) — Importance of state of mind when setting goals(01:09) — Defining a new goal for oneself(02:23) — Trap of setting overly ambitious goals(05:31) — Finding the right balance in goal difficulty(05:31) — Weight loss as an example of balance in goals(07:57) — Role of willpower and caring in success(08:44) — Maintaining excitement for big goals with realistic timelines(12:22) — Motivated brain versus unmotivated brain(14:30) — Hill-climbing study and motivation through choice(20:15) — Applying motivational frameworks beyond health and performance(22:46) — Whether setting fewer goals is beneficial(26:38) — Research on the sweet spot for number of goals(31:37) — Testing personal limits for productivity and stress(36:34) — Relationship between beliefs and reality(41:51) — Eye-tracking studies in jury decisions and cybersecurity(47:25) — Common cognitive biases and ways to mitigate them(52:49) — Midpoint slump in motivation(58:09) — Dunning–Kruger effect and origins of overconfidence(60:24) — Role of self-compassion in motivationLearn more about Dr. EmilyWikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Emily_BalcetisWatch full episodes on: https://www.youtube.com/@seankimConnect on IG: https://instagram.com/heyseankim
Alguém pode ser tão burro a ponto de não perceber o tamanho de sua burrice e achar que tem plena capacidade pra atingir seus objetivos? McArthur foi tão ignorante em seu plano de assaltar bancos que o seu caso gerou a conhecida tese de Dunning-Kruger.Estamos concorrendo ao Prêmio MPB! Vote pelo link: www.premiompb.com.brApoie nosso podcast: www.1001crimes.com.brMande suas histórias: 1001medinhos@gmail.comFale com a gente: 1001crimes@gmail.comConfira nosso canal! youtube.com/1001crimes
The MFR Coach’s Podcast w/Heather Hammell, Life + Business Coach for Myofascial Release Therapists
Ever felt super confident when starting something new, only to hit a wall? That's the Dunning Kruger Effect! Understanding this psychological phenomenon can provide clarity on why you might feel confused or frustrated while running your MFR business and selling your services. Tune in as Heather breaks down the four stages of the Dunning Kruger curve: the Peak of Mount Stupid, the Valley of Despair, the Slope of Enlightenment, and the Plateau of Sustainability. She explains how new MFR therapists often feel overconfident at first, only to face a reality check as they realize the complexities of their practice. With the right support and skills, you can navigate through these stages, ultimately reaching a place of mastery where confidence aligns with competence. LINKS AND RESOURCES —
Episode DescriptionRight after wrapping up their main conversation, James and Brian hit record again for a bonus session. What came out is an unfiltered talk on humility, arrogance, and the strange mix of traits needed to achieve great things. From the wisdom of the Talmud to the Dunning–Kruger effect, they explore why even Nobel Prize winners wrestle with imposter syndrome.James shares how writing books requires a mix of blind confidence and humility, while Brian connects scientific resilience to obsession, quests, and flow states. The two also talk candidly about the challenges of writing and publishing science books in today's world—and Brian previews his bold new project exploring Jim Simons, “Chern–Simons Theory,” and the very arrow of time itself.What You'll LearnWhy success requires balancing humility with courage—and sometimes arrogance with ignoranceHow Nobel Prize winners secretly struggle with imposter syndromeWhy writing books demands both blind confidence and ruthless editingThe difference between obsession and quest when pursuing successWhat “Chern–Simons Theory” reveals about time, space, and the structure of the universeTimestamped Chapters[02:00] Humility, chutzpah, and the Talmud's two pockets[03:00] Writing, Dunning–Kruger, and the blindness needed for progress[05:00] Imposter syndrome—even after winning the Nobel Prize[06:00] Resilience, grad school, and the limits of Goggins-style toughness[07:00] Obsession vs. quest: two paths to achievement[08:00] Flow states, joy, and Nobel Prize winners at play[09:00] The cost of careers that don't allow flow[10:00] The challenges of science publishing in the age of AI[11:00] James on downloads, inspiration, and writing talks in his sleep[12:00] The genius spirit, loneliness, and Hemingway's advice[13:00] Why science books lean on unprovable ideas[14:00] String theory, quantum entanglement, and perennial sellers[15:00] Jim Simons, Chern–Simons Theory, and the arrow of timeAdditional ResourcesBrian Keating – Official WebsiteInto the Impossible: Focus Like a Nobel Prize Winner (Volume 2) – AmazonDonna Strickland – Nobel Prize in Physics 2018 – Nobel Prize BiographyCal Newport – Deep Work – AmazonAli Abdaal – Feel Good Productivity – AmazonRyan Holiday – Perennial Seller – AmazonChern–Simons Theory (Mathematical Physics Overview) – WikipediaJim Simons Biography (The Man Who Solved the Market) – AmazonSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
En este episodio de Viajo en Moto arrancamos en los cerros de Úbeda, entre desvíos históricos y literarios, para reflexionar sobre cómo se cuentan —o se malgastan— las historias de viajes. Hablamos del efecto Dunning-Kruger aplicado a los libros de viajes en moto y de por qué no basta con ir del punto A al punto B para enganchar al lector. Después nos acompaña Emma Nogueiro, periodista, editora y escritora, para conversar sobre narrativa, viajes y memoria. Charlamos de cómo contar un viaje sin perder el alma, de la influencia de Fernando Sánchez Dragó en su mirada, de su libro Querido Nano y de los retos de narrar en la era de Instagram y la lectura rápida. Una entrevista llena de sensibilidad, historias y reflexiones sobre el arte de contar y escuchar.
Puedes descargar (gratis) el GPT que empleo para lograr pensamiento crítico. Es un asistente escéptico y no tendrá ningún problema en criticar tu punto de vista y evitar que te autoengañes: https://pildorasdelconocimiento.com/gpt-criticoncillo/ ¿Qué harías si pudieras pensar mejor… todos los días? En este episodio converso con Val Muñoz (Polymatas) sobre pensamiento crítico de alto nivel: cómo evitar sesgos, distinguir correlación de causalidad y tomar decisiones con más claridad (sin caer en la parálisis por análisis). Hablamos de ciencia como ecosistema que se fiscaliza, de metacognición, de falacias y de cómo construir un hombre de acero antes de debatir. ✔️ Dónde falla el “escéptico puro” y qué le falta para pensar bien. ✔️ Herramientas prácticas: “por qué / cómo”, pausa de Sistema 2 y abogado del diablo. ✔️ Estadística útil para la vida (muestra, media vs. mediana). ✔️ Dieta informativa: menos ruido, más fuentes sólidas y diversas. ✔️ Pronóstico y decisión: flexibilidad cognitiva y actualización constante. Si te interesan la claridad mental, las decisiones difíciles y la verdad por encima de la tribu, este episodio te va a encantar. ⏳ ÍNDICE DEL EPISODIO 00:00 – Introducción y por qué importa el pensamiento crítico 01:05 – Quién es Val Muñoz y qué es Polymatas 02:33 – Definición sencilla: “búsqueda sistemática de la verdad” 05:05 – Escepticismo necesario… pero no suficiente 08:29 – Correlación vs. causalidad: cómo se prueba de verdad 11:04 – Buenas prácticas: intervención, ciegos y tamaño muestral 12:42 – Crisis de replicación y preregistro: incentivos en ciencia 16:16 – Conocerte a ti mismo: limitaciones y sesgos propios 17:30 – Metacognición: pensar sobre tu pensamiento 19:12 – Hipótesis (inducción/abducción) vs. realidad 22:32 – Ciencia, poder y por qué sigue siendo la mejor herramienta 24:25 – Populismo, carisma y heurísticos para no caer 26:31 – Filósofos, citas y sesgo de autoridad 29:15 – Estadística práctica: media vs. mediana (salarios) 31:33 – Falacias: hombre de paja y ad hominem 35:33 – “Hombre de acero” y el sesgo del punto ciego 41:13 – Referentes que piensan a varios ángulos (Pinker, Feynman, Scott Alexander) 43:46 – Kit táctico: preguntas, pausas, refutación y amigos que te lleven la contraria 46:20 – Dieta informativa: poco, variado y de calidad 47:57 – Superpronosticadores: flexibilidad cognitiva 50:14 – Dunning–Kruger y el autoengaño del muy listo 52:08 – La Biblioteca Polymata y debatir sin marrullería 52:38 – Curso de Pensamiento Crítico (10 meses) 52:57 – Cierre Descarga gratis el libro «Nacidos para aprender»: https://pildorasdelconocimiento.com/libro-nacidos-para-aprender/ ✉️ Únete a mi lista de correos para ideas que te hacen pensar (y decidir mejor): https://pildorasdelconocimiento.com/ EL METAJUEGO: máster en complejidad estratégica: https://pildorasdelconocimiento.com/cursos/metajuego/ Asistente de IA para criticar tus propios pensamientos: https://pildorasdelconocimiento.com/gpt-criticoncillo/ Val Muñoz (Polymatas): Polymatas – Artículos, podcast y recursos para pensar mejor y entender el mundo con rigor y curiosidad. https://www.polymatas.com/ Biblioteca Polymatas – Comunidad de lectores donde leemos los 50 libros más importantes para comprender el mundo. https://www.polymatas.com/la-biblioteca-polymata/ Curso Avanzado de Pensamiento Crítico – Programa de 10 meses para razonar con más claridad, detectar sesgos y analizar discursos. https://www.polymatas.com/curso-pensamiento-critico/ Mis redes: X (Twitter) → https://x.com/Lualobus Instagram personal → https://instagram.com/fernando_pdc Instagram oficial → https://instagram.com/pildorasdelconocimiento
Kennst Du den Barbara-Streisand-Effekt? Oder klingelt was beim Dunning-Kruger-Effekt? Hier bekommst Du sieben moderne Effekte, die jeder Mensch mit Mikrofon kennen sollte.
Puedes descargar (gratis) el GPT que empleo para lograr pensamiento crítico. Es un asistente escéptico y no tendrá ningún problema en criticar tu punto de vista y evitar que te autoengañes: https://pildorasdelconocimiento.com/gpt-criticoncillo/ ¿Qué harías si pudieras pensar mejor… todos los días? En este episodio converso con Val Muñoz (Polymatas) sobre pensamiento crítico de alto nivel: cómo evitar sesgos, distinguir correlación de causalidad y tomar decisiones con más claridad (sin caer en la parálisis por análisis). Hablamos de ciencia como ecosistema que se fiscaliza, de metacognición, de falacias y de cómo construir un hombre de acero antes de debatir. ✔️ Dónde falla el “escéptico puro” y qué le falta para pensar bien. ✔️ Herramientas prácticas: “por qué / cómo”, pausa de Sistema 2 y abogado del diablo. ✔️ Estadística útil para la vida (muestra, media vs. mediana). ✔️ Dieta informativa: menos ruido, más fuentes sólidas y diversas. ✔️ Pronóstico y decisión: flexibilidad cognitiva y actualización constante. Si te interesan la claridad mental, las decisiones difíciles y la verdad por encima de la tribu, este episodio te va a encantar. ⏳ ÍNDICE DEL EPISODIO 00:00 – Introducción y por qué importa el pensamiento crítico 01:05 – Quién es Val Muñoz y qué es Polymatas 02:33 – Definición sencilla: “búsqueda sistemática de la verdad” 05:05 – Escepticismo necesario… pero no suficiente 08:29 – Correlación vs. causalidad: cómo se prueba de verdad 11:04 – Buenas prácticas: intervención, ciegos y tamaño muestral 12:42 – Crisis de replicación y preregistro: incentivos en ciencia 16:16 – Conocerte a ti mismo: limitaciones y sesgos propios 17:30 – Metacognición: pensar sobre tu pensamiento 19:12 – Hipótesis (inducción/abducción) vs. realidad 22:32 – Ciencia, poder y por qué sigue siendo la mejor herramienta 24:25 – Populismo, carisma y heurísticos para no caer 26:31 – Filósofos, citas y sesgo de autoridad 29:15 – Estadística práctica: media vs. mediana (salarios) 31:33 – Falacias: hombre de paja y ad hominem 35:33 – “Hombre de acero” y el sesgo del punto ciego 41:13 – Referentes que piensan a varios ángulos (Pinker, Feynman, Scott Alexander) 43:46 – Kit táctico: preguntas, pausas, refutación y amigos que te lleven la contraria 46:20 – Dieta informativa: poco, variado y de calidad 47:57 – Superpronosticadores: flexibilidad cognitiva 50:14 – Dunning–Kruger y el autoengaño del muy listo 52:08 – La Biblioteca Polymata y debatir sin marrullería 52:38 – Curso de Pensamiento Crítico (10 meses) 52:57 – Cierre Descarga gratis el libro «Nacidos para aprender»: https://pildorasdelconocimiento.com/libro-nacidos-para-aprender/ ✉️ Únete a mi lista de correos para ideas que te hacen pensar (y decidir mejor): https://pildorasdelconocimiento.com/ EL METAJUEGO: máster en complejidad estratégica: https://pildorasdelconocimiento.com/cursos/metajuego/ Asistente de IA para criticar tus propios pensamientos: https://pildorasdelconocimiento.com/gpt-criticoncillo/ Val Muñoz (Polymatas): Polymatas – Artículos, podcast y recursos para pensar mejor y entender el mundo con rigor y curiosidad. https://www.polymatas.com/ Biblioteca Polymatas – Comunidad de lectores donde leemos los 50 libros más importantes para comprender el mundo. https://www.polymatas.com/la-biblioteca-polymata/ Curso Avanzado de Pensamiento Crítico – Programa de 10 meses para razonar con más claridad, detectar sesgos y analizar discursos. https://www.polymatas.com/curso-pensamiento-critico/ Mis redes: X (Twitter) → https://x.com/Lualobus Instagram personal → https://instagram.com/fernando_pdc Instagram oficial → https://instagram.com/pildorasdelconocimiento
The blog postIn this episode, Mark explores how the Dunning-Kruger effect shows up in Lean—especially after a first belt course, workshop, or book. Early enthusiasm can turn into overconfidence, creating blind spots and stalling growth.Drawing from his book Practicing Lean, Mark shares stories (his own and from contributors like Paul Akers and Jamie Flinchbaugh) about mistakes made early on, what they taught us, and why Lean should be treated as a practice, not a project.Key themes:Why certifications are a starting point, not the finish lineHow psychological safety helps keep overconfidence in checkLessons learned from early Lean misstepsPractical tips for avoiding common training pitfallsAll royalties from Practicing Lean benefit the Louise H. Batz Patient Safety Foundation, supporting safer care for patients and families.
Send us a textFear isn't just a feeling—it's a setting. In this episode of Thoughts of a Dreamer: Out of My Mind, we break down how fear programs your mind, filters your choices, and shapes your reality. From the Dunning-Kruger effect to the pit of despair, inner critics to outside voices, I'm unpacking how fear sneaks in, where it hides, and how you can reset your relationship with it.If you've ever felt stuck, second-guessed yourself, or wondered why confidence and clarity feel out of reach, this episode is your guide to spotting fear's tricks—and shifting into a new mindset that actually moves you forward!!I'm building. Shelving the visual pod right now, but getting back to my flow! It's about pivoting and flowing.
Are you as good at making decisions as you think you are?
In this solo episode of the Ag Tribes Report, host Vance Crowe dives into pressing issues affecting the agricultural landscape in the US and Canada. Vance discusses the high production costs and low crop values impacting corn farmers, the closure of a Crown Royal bottling plant in Canada and its implications on US-Canada relations, and the controversial EPA decision to delist Iowa rivers from impaired status despite high nitrate levels. Vance also shares his thoughts on Bitcoin, the challenges of government intervention in agriculture, and the importance of understanding complex issues beyond surface-level knowledge.Vance also reflects on the Gell Mann amnesia effect and the Dunning Kruger effect, emphasizing the importance of genuine understanding over superficial knowledge. He teases upcoming debates and interviews, including a discussion with cattle rancher Jared McDaniel on Bitcoin. Throughout the episode, Vance encourages listeners to engage deeply with topics, challenge prevailing narratives, and seek out diverse perspectives to form well-rounded opinions.Legacy Interviews - A service that records individuals and couples telling their life stories so that future generations can know their family history. https://www.legacyinterviews.com/experienceRiver.com - Invest in Bitcoin with Confidence https://river.com/signup?r=OAB5SKTP
H1 - Segment 2 - Fri Aug 29 2025 - The Dunning-Kruger effect is sometime people are so dumb they don't know how dumb they are. We have a lot of those people in Washington
Comment réagir face à ceux qui veulent toujours donner leur avis sur notre corps, nos choix ou notre manière de vivre ?Pourquoi certaines personnes se sentent-elles poussées à expliquer la vie des autres sans y être invitées ?Comment poser nos limites et garder notre autorité intérieure dans ces situations ?Chers auditeur.ices, dans cet épisode, je partage avec vous des anecdotes et décortique ce phénomène que nous avons toutes et tous vécu un jour (et qui est disons le, pénible et irritant au plus haut point) : du mansplaining aux micro-leçons quotidiennes , on analyse tout pour comprendre ses mécanismes et surtout savoir y répondre !
In this episode of Wisdom's Table, I dive deep into the often tumultuous journey of entrepreneurship, peeling back the curtain to reveal the unspoken realities that many of us face as we navigate our calling. Whether you're running a solo venture or leading a team, this episode is designed for you—especially if you identify as a creative. I begin by introducing the concept of the Dunning-Kruger effect, a psychological phenomenon that illustrates the relationship between confidence and knowledge. As we embark on new ventures, we often start with high confidence but little knowledge, which can lead to a rollercoaster of emotions as we learn and grow. I share my personal experiences, including the initial excitement of feeling called to a project, followed by the inevitable doubts and challenges that arise as we confront the reality of what we don't know. Not ready to say goodbye?? Meet me in your inbox this week for more faith-filled goodness! Click HERE 00:00:01 - Welcome to Wisdom's Table Introduction to the podcast and its purpose. 00:00:28 - Peeling Back the Curtain Exploring the life of an entrepreneur and the unspoken challenges. 00:01:22 - Understanding the Dunning-Kruger Effect Introduction to the Dunning-Kruger effect and its relevance to entrepreneurship. 00:02:15 - The Journey of an Entrepreneur Describing the mental steps entrepreneurs go through. 00:03:18 - Step 1: Feeling Called The initial excitement and confidence of starting a new venture. 00:03:49 - Step 2: Doubt Sets In The realization of obstacles and self-doubt. 00:04:16 - Step 3: Seeking Solutions The attempt to find ways to overcome challenges. 00:05:55 - Step 4: Overwhelmed Again Experiencing feelings of being in over one's head. 00:07:39 - Step 5: Finding a Way Forward Reaching a point of understanding and acceptance. 00:08:21 - The Internal Struggle Discussing the internal challenges faced by entrepreneurs. 00:09:24 - A Conversation with God Sharing a personal story about divine guidance and conviction. 00:10:30 - God's Kindness in Conviction Understanding the difference between conviction and condemnation. 00:12:27 - Building with Love and Peace God's call to build without stress, worry, or fear. 00:14:03 - The Nature of God's Kingdom Exploring how God's kingdom operates differently from the world. 00:16:29 - Breaking Free from Stress Personal reflections on overcoming a stress-filled mindset. 00:18:44 - The Forge of Spiritual Growth Using the imagery of a forge to describe spiritual formation. 00:20:00 - Choosing Between God and Fear The importance of prioritizing faith over fear. 00:22:06 - Building with Abundance Understanding the concept of abundance in God's kingdom. 00:25:47 - The Vision of Abundance A transformative vision about God's provision and abundance. 00:27:01 - Conclusion and Invitation Encouragement for entrepreneurs to embrace God's way of building.
Queridíchimos…No es su imaginación, los estúpidos sí creen que son listos… este cortillo lo comprueba…Hiii hiii
Executive coach and former CEO Martin Dubin joins AJ and Johnny to reveal the hidden blind spots that quietly sabotage leaders and high performers. From the Dunning–Kruger effect to the “fishbowl” and “cabana” phenomena, Marty shows how strengths overused become weaknesses, and why true growth requires identity shifts, not just behavior tweaks. Packed with practical insights, he explains why emotions are data, how leaders unintentionally communicate even when silent, and why luck often comes down to context and fit. Whether you're climbing the ladder or running the show, Marty offers a toolkit to see yourself clearly and lead more effectively. What to Listen For [00:00:00] Defining blind spots—and why they appear during change [00:02:16] Why leaders at the top get less feedback and stagnate [00:06:15] Strengths turning into liabilities when overused [00:09:36] Identity vs. behavior: making the leap from executor to strategist [00:12:41] Emotions as data: awareness, regulation, and reading others [00:17:27] Stress, bottling up emotions, and worse decision-making [00:23:16] The “TOO” test: when confidence, decisiveness, or organization go too far [00:28:02] AJ's technique: asking “What am I missing?” to reopen input [00:32:06] The fishbowl and cabana effects: how leaders send unspoken signals [00:36:22] Why copying billionaires fails—and how to adapt to your own context [00:41:37] Acting “as if” to prepare for your next role [00:46:42] Tools from Marty's book Blindspotting to identify your own blind spots A Word From Our Sponsors Tired of awkward handshakes and collecting business cards without building real connections? Dive into our Free Social Capital Networking Masterclass. Learn practical strategies to make your interactions meaningful and boost your confidence in any social situation. Sign up for free at theartofcharm.com/sc and elevate your networking from awkward to awesome. Don't miss out on a network of opportunities! Unleash the power of covert networking to infiltrate high-value circles and build a 7-figure network in just 90 days. Ready to start? Check out our CIA-proven guide to networking like a spy! Indulge in affordable luxury with Quince—where high-end essentials meet unbeatable prices. Upgrade your wardrobe today at quince.com/charm for free shipping and hassle-free returns. Ready to turn your business idea into reality? Shopify makes it easy to start, scale, and succeed—whether you're launching a side hustle or building the next big brand. Sign up for your $1/month trial at shopify.com/charm. Need to hire top talent—fast? Skip the waiting game and get more qualified applicants with Indeed. Claim your $75 Sponsored Job Credit now at Indeed.com/charm. This year, skip breaking a sweat AND breaking the bank. Get your summer savings and shop premium wireless plans at mintmobile.com/charm Stop needlessly overpaying for car insurance. Before you renew your policy, do yourself a favor—download the Jerry app or head to JERRY.com/charm Connect with quality therapists and mental health experts who specialize in you at www.rula.com/charm Curious about your influence level? Get your Influence Index Score today! Take this 60-second quiz to find out how your influence stacks up against top performers at theartofcharm.com/influence. Episode resources: Martin's Website BlindSpotting Check in with AJ and Johnny! AJ on LinkedIn Johnny on LinkedIn AJ on Instagram Johnny on Instagram The Art of Charm on Instagram The Art of Charm on YouTube The Art of Charm on TikTok Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Modern Wisdom: Read the notes at at podcastnotes.org. Don't forget to subscribe for free to our newsletter, the top 10 ideas of the week, every Monday --------- Spencer Greenberg is a mathematician, founder, CEO & creator of ClearerThinking.org How much does IQ really matter? Most of us have met people on both ends of the spectrum and wondered where we stand and what that means for our future. But is IQ truly fixed, or can it be shaped in some very surprising ways? Expect to learn how much IQ matters in all areas of your life, what the pubic misunderstands about IQ, if we should be treating intelligence more like a skill than an inherent trait, why the obsession with IQ might just be a form of intellectual status-signaling, why imposter syndrome is shockingly common and some counterintuitive benefits to imposter syndrome, if traits like narcissism or sociopathy can ever be adaptive or useful, the most common misinterpretations of the Dunning-Kruger effect, and much more… Sponsors: See me on tour in America: https://chriswilliamson.live See discounts for all the products I use and recommend: https://chriswillx.com/deals Sign up for a one-dollar-per-month trial period from Shopify at https://shopify.com/modernwisdom Get 60% off an annual plan of Incogni at https:/incogni.com/modernwisdom Get a Free Sample Pack of LMNT's most popular Flavours with your first purchase at https://drinklmnt.com/modernwisdom Timestamps: (0:00) The Intelligence Test (3:25) What is IQ? (7:19) The Main Claims Around IQ (12:35) How Important is IQ? (17:50) More Claims Around IQ (19:52) Can a High IQ Be a Disadvantage? (22:25) Are IQ and Happiness Correlated? (35:20) What Does the Future of IQ Research Look Like? (36:31) - Deep Dive into Imposter Syndrome (55:07) Re-examining the Dunning-Kruger Effect (01:02:22) Deciding Your Own Attractiveness Level (01:06:14) Misunderstandings About Personality Disorders (01:16:56) The Differences Between Sociopaths and Psychopaths (01:17:56) Are Narcissism and Sociopathy Adaptive Traits? (01:23:27) Are We Over-Pathologizing Unpleasant People? (01:25:02) Find Out More About Spencer Extra Stuff: Get my free reading list of 100 books to read before you die: https://chriswillx.com/books Try my productivity energy drink Neutonic: https://neutonic.com/modernwisdom Episodes You Might Enjoy: #577 - David Goggins - This Is How To Master Your Life: https://tinyurl.com/43hv6y59 #712 - Dr Jordan Peterson - How To Destroy Your Negative Beliefs: https://tinyurl.com/2rtz7avf #700 - Dr Andrew Huberman - The Secret Tools To Hack Your Brain: https://tinyurl.com/3ccn5vkp - Get In Touch: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/chriswillx Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/chriswillx YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/modernwisdompodcast Email: https://chriswillx.com/contact - Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Modern Wisdom Key Takeaways IQ is not destiny: While IQ can predict some abilities, it only explains about 40% of performance variationYou can improve your skills and develop unique aptitudes regardless of your IQPersonality traits outpredict IQ for life outcomes: Traits like conscientiousness and neuroticism are stronger drivers of GPA, income, and educational level than IQ aloneIQ and happiness are uncorrelated: Studies find no link (positive or negative) between IQ and happiness, though high-IQ people may experience more isolation or indecisionHigh IQ individuals can face unique challenges: They may be more susceptible to loneliness, social isolation, and even imposter syndrome, questioning their worth despite clear achievementsNarcissists are often over-represented among leaders: Because narcissists excel at attracting attention and admiration, they are more likely to become politicians and business leaders, but not all unpleasant people have a personality disorder.Read the full notes @ podcastnotes.orgSpencer Greenberg is a mathematician, founder, CEO & creator of ClearerThinking.org How much does IQ really matter? Most of us have met people on both ends of the spectrum and wondered where we stand and what that means for our future. But is IQ truly fixed, or can it be shaped in some very surprising ways? Expect to learn how much IQ matters in all areas of your life, what the pubic misunderstands about IQ, if we should be treating intelligence more like a skill than an inherent trait, why the obsession with IQ might just be a form of intellectual status-signaling, why imposter syndrome is shockingly common and some counterintuitive benefits to imposter syndrome, if traits like narcissism or sociopathy can ever be adaptive or useful, the most common misinterpretations of the Dunning-Kruger effect, and much more… Sponsors: See me on tour in America: https://chriswilliamson.live See discounts for all the products I use and recommend: https://chriswillx.com/deals Sign up for a one-dollar-per-month trial period from Shopify at https://shopify.com/modernwisdom Get 60% off an annual plan of Incogni at https:/incogni.com/modernwisdom Get a Free Sample Pack of LMNT's most popular Flavours with your first purchase at https://drinklmnt.com/modernwisdom Timestamps: (0:00) The Intelligence Test (3:25) What is IQ? (7:19) The Main Claims Around IQ (12:35) How Important is IQ? (17:50) More Claims Around IQ (19:52) Can a High IQ Be a Disadvantage? (22:25) Are IQ and Happiness Correlated? (35:20) What Does the Future of IQ Research Look Like? (36:31) - Deep Dive into Imposter Syndrome (55:07) Re-examining the Dunning-Kruger Effect (01:02:22) Deciding Your Own Attractiveness Level (01:06:14) Misunderstandings About Personality Disorders (01:16:56) The Differences Between Sociopaths and Psychopaths (01:17:56) Are Narcissism and Sociopathy Adaptive Traits? (01:23:27) Are We Over-Pathologizing Unpleasant People? (01:25:02) Find Out More About Spencer Extra Stuff: Get my free reading list of 100 books to read before you die: https://chriswillx.com/books Try my productivity energy drink Neutonic: https://neutonic.com/modernwisdom Episodes You Might Enjoy: #577 - David Goggins - This Is How To Master Your Life: https://tinyurl.com/43hv6y59 #712 - Dr Jordan Peterson - How To Destroy Your Negative Beliefs: https://tinyurl.com/2rtz7avf #700 - Dr Andrew Huberman - The Secret Tools To Hack Your Brain: https://tinyurl.com/3ccn5vkp - Get In Touch: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/chriswillx Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/chriswillx YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/modernwisdompodcast Email: https://chriswillx.com/contact - Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
July News You Can Use Overprescribing antibiotics in kids may wreck gut flora and boost obesity risk—correlation, not confirmation; The gut biome may be more powerful than we thought… and we've been nuking it with amoxicillin; HRT got wrongfully demonized thanks to a botched study—women are still paying the price; AI tools like Open Evidence are promising, but blindly trusting them is a fast track to bad decisions; Beware of AI sounding smart, sometimes it's just confidently making stuff up—classic Dunning-Kruger in code. To stream our Station live 24/7 visit www.HealthcareNOWRadio.com or ask your Smart Device to “….Play Healthcare NOW Radio”. Find all of our network podcasts on your favorite podcast platforms and be sure to subscribe and like us. Learn more at www.healthcarenowradio.com/listen
Spencer Greenberg is a mathematician, founder, CEO & creator of ClearerThinking.org How much does IQ really matter? Most of us have met people on both ends of the spectrum and wondered where we stand and what that means for our future. But is IQ truly fixed, or can it be shaped in some very surprising ways? Expect to learn how much IQ matters in all areas of your life, what the pubic misunderstands about IQ, if we should be treating intelligence more like a skill than an inherent trait, why the obsession with IQ might just be a form of intellectual status-signaling, why imposter syndrome is shockingly common and some counterintuitive benefits to imposter syndrome, if traits like narcissism or sociopathy can ever be adaptive or useful, the most common misinterpretations of the Dunning-Kruger effect, and much more… Sponsors: See me on tour in America: https://chriswilliamson.live See discounts for all the products I use and recommend: https://chriswillx.com/deals Sign up for a one-dollar-per-month trial period from Shopify at https://shopify.com/modernwisdom Get 60% off an annual plan of Incogni at https:/incogni.com/modernwisdom Get a Free Sample Pack of LMNT's most popular Flavours with your first purchase at https://drinklmnt.com/modernwisdom Timestamps: (0:00) The Intelligence Test (3:25) What is IQ? (7:19) The Main Claims Around IQ (12:35) How Important is IQ? (17:50) More Claims Around IQ (19:52) Can a High IQ Be a Disadvantage? (22:25) Are IQ and Happiness Correlated? (35:20) What Does the Future of IQ Research Look Like? (36:31) - Deep Dive into Imposter Syndrome (55:07) Re-examining the Dunning-Kruger Effect (01:02:22) Deciding Your Own Attractiveness Level (01:06:14) Misunderstandings About Personality Disorders (01:16:56) The Differences Between Sociopaths and Psychopaths (01:17:56) Are Narcissism and Sociopathy Adaptive Traits? (01:23:27) Are We Over-Pathologizing Unpleasant People? (01:25:02) Find Out More About Spencer Extra Stuff: Get my free reading list of 100 books to read before you die: https://chriswillx.com/books Try my productivity energy drink Neutonic: https://neutonic.com/modernwisdom Episodes You Might Enjoy: #577 - David Goggins - This Is How To Master Your Life: https://tinyurl.com/43hv6y59 #712 - Dr Jordan Peterson - How To Destroy Your Negative Beliefs: https://tinyurl.com/2rtz7avf #700 - Dr Andrew Huberman - The Secret Tools To Hack Your Brain: https://tinyurl.com/3ccn5vkp - Get In Touch: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/chriswillx Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/chriswillx YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/modernwisdompodcast Email: https://chriswillx.com/contact - Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
An ordinary day turns into a high-stakes survival lesson on https://Ready-Radio.com, where John Rush and Bill Anderson dive into what it really takes to be prepared for life's worst-case scenarios. Is the real threat the weapon—or the mindset behind it? From Walmart stabbings to active shooter events, Bill challenges the myth that “having a gun” is enough, exposing how stress, inexperience, and the Dunning-Kruger effect can turn would-be heroes into dangerous liabilities. Hear why traditional firearms training falls short, how real-life attacks unfold in seconds, and why principles—not techniques—could be the key to surviving when the unthinkable happens. Are you truly ready, or just confident enough to be dangerous?
When the gallbladder turns hostile, sometimes you must do more than just pause—you have to call in a senior partner for help. Join the Behind the Knife EGS team at Mizzou as we dive into the art and grit of open cholecystectomy. From fundus-first dissection to navigating the “barrier to happiness,” this episode is packed with surgical pearls, tough love, and the kind of wisdom only scars can teach. Participants: Dr. Rushabh Dev FACS (Moderator, Surgical Attending) – Assistant Professor of Surgery, Associate PD ACS & SCCM Fellowship, SICU Medical Director, Lieutenant Commander United States Navy Reserve Dr. Jeffery Coughenour FACS (Surgical Attending) – Professor of Surgery and Emergency Medicine, Trauma Medical Director at the University of Missouri SOM Dr. Christopher Nelson FACS (Surgical Attending) – Associate Professor of Surgery, Medical Director of Emergency General Surgery at the University of Missouri SOM Dr. Micah Ancheta (ACS Fellow) – Major, United States Airforce Dr. Desra Fletcher (3rd year general surgery resident) Learning Objectives: · Recognize Indications for Conversion Identify clinical and intraoperative factors that necessitate conversion from laparoscopic to open cholecystectomy. · Apply Risk Stratification Tools Utilize grading systems (e.g., Parkland, Tokyo, AAST) to assess cholecystitis severity and predict surgical difficulty. · Implement Safe Cholecystectomy Techniques Describe the six steps of the SAGES Safe Cholecystectomy Program to minimize bile duct injury. · Understand Bailout Strategies Differentiate between fenestrating and reconstituting subtotal cholecystectomy techniques and their respective risks. · Master Key Operative Steps Outline the essential components of open cholecystectomy: positioning, incision, exposure, and dissection. · Navigate High-Risk Anatomy Recognize “zones of danger” and use the B-SAFE mnemonic to reorient and ensure safe progression. · Develop Intraoperative Judgment Demonstrate when to proceed with subtotal techniques, convert to open, or call for assistance. · Perform Technical Nuances Safely Identify proper dissection planes, manage gallbladder bed inflammation, and secure cystic structures with confidence. · Prevent and Manage Complications Understand the risks of bile leaks, bilomas, and subcostal hernias—and how to mitigate them through technique and closure. · Foster Surgical Maturity Emphasize humility, collaboration, and mentorship in difficult operations—knowing when to ask for help is a skill. References: 1. Dhanasekara, C. S., Shrestha, K., Grossman, H., Garcia, L. M., Maqbool, B., Luppens, C., ... & Dissanaike, S. (2024). A comparison of outcomes including bile duct injury of subtotal cholecystectomy versus open total cholecystectomy as bailout procedures for severe cholecystitis: A multicenter real-world study. Surgery, 176(5), 605–613. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.surg.2024.03.057 2. Motter, S. B., de Figueiredo, S. M. P., Marcolin, P., Trindade, B. O., Brandao, G. R., & Moffett, J. M. (2024). Fenestrating vs reconstituting laparoscopic subtotal cholecystectomy: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Surgical Endoscopy, 38, 7475–7485. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00464-024-11225-8 3. Brunt, L. M., Deziel, D. J., Telem, D. A., Strasberg, S. M., Aggarwal, R., Asbun, H., ... & Stefanidis, D. (2020). Safe cholecystectomy multi-society practice guideline and state of the art consensus conference on prevention of bile duct injury during cholecystectomy. Surgical Endoscopy.https://www.sages.org/publications/guidelines/safe-cholecystectomy-multi-society-practice-guideline/ 4. Elshaer, M., Gravante, G., Thomas, K., Sorge, R., Al-Hamali, S., & Ebdewi, H. (2015). Subtotal cholecystectomy for “difficult gallbladders”: Systematic review and meta-analysis. JAMA Surgery, 150(2), 159–168. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamasurg.2014.1219 5. Koo, S. S. J., Krishnan, R. J., Ishikawa, K., Matsunaga, M., Ahn, H. J., Murayama, K. M., & Kitamura, R. K. (2024). Subtotal vs total cholecystectomy for difficult gallbladders: A systematic review and meta-analysis. The American Journal of Surgery, 229(1), 145–150. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amjsurg.2023.12.022 6. Strasberg, S. M., Pucci, M. J., Brunt, L. M., & Deziel, D. J. (2016). Subtotal cholecystectomy—“Fenestrating” vs “reconstituting” subtypes and the prevention of bile duct injury: Definition of the optimal procedure in difficult operative conditions. Journal of the American College of Surgeons, 222(1), 89–96. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jamcollsurg.2015.09.019 7. Ahmed, O., & Walsh, T. N. (2020). Surgical trainee experience with open cholecystectomy and the Dunning-Kruger effect. Journal of Surgical Education.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsurg.2020.03.025 8. Seshadri, A., & Peitzman, A. B. (2024). The difficult cholecystectomy: What you need to know. The Journal of Trauma and Acute Care Surgery, 97(3), 325–336. https://doi.org/10.1097/TA.0000000000004156 9. Invited commentary on “A comparison of outcomes including bile duct injury of subtotal cholecystectomy versus open total cholecystectomy as bailout procedures for severe cholecystitis: A multicenter real-world study”. (2024). Surgery, 176(5), 614–615. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.surg.2024.05.003 Please visit https://behindtheknife.org to access other high-yield surgical education podcasts, videos and more. If you liked this episode, check out our recent episodes here: https://app.behindtheknife.org/listen
In this empowering solo episode of The Empowered Team Podcast, host Kari Schneider unpacks one of the most requested leadership topics: Confidence and why most of us are doing it wrong. Using humor, a deeply relatable (and slightly humbling) story about weed-eating
Welcome to another episode of "That Don't Sound Right," where hosts Peter and Cecil dive into the world of unbridled conversations. In this episode, they explore the intriguing Dunning-Kruger effect, a cognitive bias that explains why people with limited knowledge often overestimate their competence. From tales of ambitious DIY projects to the unexpected foray into podcasting, they share personal experiences that reflect this psychological phenomenon. They also discuss how these endeavors echo the old-fashioned way of conversing, without the overshadowing presence of technology and fact-checking. Join them as they navigate humorous anecdotes, automotive adventures, and the unique challenges of taking on tasks with little expertise, yet abundant enthusiasm. #DunningKrugerEffect #ThatDontSoundRight #TDSRpodcast #Overconfidence #PodcastLife #DIYFails #GaragePhilosophy Connect with us:
In this sequel to our “Man vs. Beast” episode, we answer the internet's burning question: Could 100 unarmed men defeat a silverback gorilla? Turns out—yeah, they actually could. And that revelation cracks open a deeper psychological truth. Jeff and Mace break down the clash between Dunning–Kruger delusion and Impostor Syndrome paralysis—why the least capable people overestimate themselves, while high performers secretly feel like frauds. It's a full-force takedown of self-perception, backed by real research, wild survey data, and at least one fake commercial you'll wish was real. If you laughed, learned, or questioned your own grip on reality, smash that five-star rating and share this episode with the most overconfident or self-doubting person you know.
How future doctors are navigating social media's impact on public education. How can a well-meaning medfluencer be sure they're actually helping? M1 Zach Grissom, M2 Fallon Jung, M3 Jeff Goddard, and M4 Matt Engelken sit down with third-year DO student Nik Bletnitsky to discuss the role of social media in medical education. Current and Future doctors are increasingly using these platforms to share medical knowledge—but, even if you're careful to offer the best information, what are the hidden dangers? The conversation covers the sometimes blurry line between education, misinformation, and contradicting someone's doctor's advice. How disclaimers work (or don't), and why the Dunning-Kruger effect can turn a curious patient into an overconfident self-diagnoser. Should doctors be influencers? Can patients trust what they see online? And is it possible to make medical knowledge accessible without accidentally making things worse?
[MÉTAMORPHOSE PODCAST] Alexandre Dana reçoit Jérémie Gallen, psychologue, psychothérapeute, auteur et créateur de Va Te Faire Suivre... Comment s'y prendre concrètement pour s'engager dans un cheminement intérieur, déverrouiller ses blocages et prendre soin de sa santé mentale ? Est-il possible de commencer seul en y allant à son rythme ? Jérémie Gallen nous guide pour mieux comprendre notre fonctionnement et nos comportements inconscients. Son dernier livre, Autothérapie, est publié chez Larousse. Épisode #610Quelques citations du podcast avec Jérémie Gallen :"Quand tout va bien, on ne touche à rien.""Le bien-être c'est très fluctuant et cyclique.""Pour changer dans sa vie, il faut prendre conscience, comprendre, acter un changement pour avoir des des conséquences différentes."Thèmes abordés lors du podcast avec Jérémie Gallen : 00:00Introduction02:00Présentation invité05:50Différence thérapie / autothérapie08:38Écriture et prise de conscience10:37Quoi questionner ?11:53Se libérer de la culpabilité15:39L'impact du passé familial sur notre fonctionnement18:00Le génogramme20:23Se libérer de certaines transmissions familiales23:27Les types d'attachement25:52Comment se porter un regard bienveillant29:21Angoisse / anxiété32:46Burn-out, un phénomène complexe34:16Interpréter ses rêves38:36L'effet Dunning-Kruger dans le milieu des thérapies41:54Un exercice en cas de conflitAvant-propos et précautions à l'écoute du podcastDécouvrez Objectif Métamorphose, notre programme en 12 étapes pour partir à la rencontre de soi-même.Recevez chaque semaine l'inspirante newsletter Métamorphose par Anne GhesquièreSuivez nos RS : Insta, Facebook & TikTokAbonnez-vous sur Apple Podcast / Spotify / Deezer / CastBox / YoutubeSoutenez Métamorphose en rejoignant la Tribu MétamorphosePhoto DR Hébergé par Acast. Visitez acast.com/privacy pour plus d'informations.
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit andrewsullivan.substack.comEd is the US national editor and columnist at the Financial Times. Before that, he was the FT's Washington Bureau chief, the South Asia bureau chief, Capital Markets editor, and Philippines correspondent. During the Clinton administration, he was the speechwriter for Larry Summers. The author of many books, his latest is Zbig: The Life and Times of Brzezinski, America's Great Power Prophet.For two clips of our convo — on how China played Trump on rare minerals, and Europe's bind over Russian energy — head to our YouTube page.Other topics: growing up in West Sussex near my hometown; the international appeal of English boarding schools; the gerontocracy of the USSR; Ed making a beeline to the Berlin Wall as it fell; Fukuyama's The End of History; Brzezinski's The Grand Failure — of Communism; enthusiasm for free markets after the Cold War; George Kennan warning against Ukraine independence; HW Bush and the Persian Gulf; climate change and migration; a population boom in Africa; W Bush tolerating autocracy in the war on terrorism; Trump tearing up his own NAFTA deal; the resurgence of US isolationism; the collapsing security umbrella in Europe leading to more self-reliance; Germany's flagging economy; the China threat; Taiwan's chips; TACO on tariffs; the clean energy cuts in OBBBA; the abundance agenda; national debt and Bowles-Simpson; the overrated Tony Blair; Liz Truss' “epic Dunning-Kruger”; Boris killing the Tory Party; the surprising success of Mark Carney; Biden's mediocrity; Bernie's appeal; and the Rest catching up with the West.Browse the Dishcast archive for an episode you might enjoy (the first 102 are free in their entirety — subscribe to get everything else). Coming up: Tara Zahra on the revolt against globalization after WWI, Scott Anderson on the Iranian Revolution, Shannon Minter debating trans issues, Thomas Mallon on the AIDS crisis, and Johann Hari turning the tables to interview me. Please send any guest recs, dissents, and other comments to dish@andrewsullivan.com.
Thanks to our Partner, NAPA Autotech TrainingIn this thought-provoking episode, Matt Fanslow draws parallels between the tragic failures of the Titan submersible and the Space Shuttle Challenger and the common pitfalls in the automotive aftermarket industry. He discusses how ignoring expert advice, dismissing data, and letting ego drive decisions can lead to catastrophic consequences—whether in deep-sea exploration, space travel, or running a repair shop.Matt reflects on the importance of heeding warning signs, fostering a culture of curiosity, and making data-driven decisions to ensure business success and safety. He also shares insights on leadership, accountability, and the dangers of the Dunning-Kruger effect in automotive repair.Key Topics Discussed:The Titan Sub TragedyHow ignoring engineering warnings led to disaster.The dangers of cutting corners for cost savings.Parallels to shops ignoring best practices in repairs.The Challenger DisasterOverlooking expert concerns for the sake of progress.The human cost of preventable failures.Ego & Ignoring Data in the AftermarketWhy shop owners/managers dismiss KPIs and expert advice.The dangers of "This is how we've always done it" thinking.Case studies of shops that succeed vs. those that struggle.Dunning-Kruger Effect in Automotive RepairHow overconfidence leads to mistakes.The importance of continuous learning and humility.Leadership & AccountabilityWhy fear and ego hold businesses back.How to foster a culture of improvement.Final Thoughts & TakeawaysThe importance of data-driven decisions.Encouragement to seek training and mentorship.Notable Quotes:"Ignoring warning signs—whether in deep-sea exploration or auto repair—leads to failure. The data is there; we just have to look at it.""Ego and fear are the two biggest roadblocks to success in this industry.""If your shop is struggling, the first question should be: Are we ignoring the experts and the data?"Thanks to our Partner, NAPA Autotech TrainingNAPA Autotech's team of ASE Master Certified Instructors are conducting over 1,200 classes covering 28 automotive topics. To see a selection, go to napaautotech.com for more details.Contact InformationEmail Matt: mattfanslowpodcast@gmail.comDiagnosing the Aftermarket A - Z YouTube Channel Subscribe & Review: Loved this episode? Leave a 5-star review on Apple Podcasts and SpotifyThe Aftermarket Radio Network: https://aftermarketradionetwork.com/Remarkable Results Radio Podcast with Carm Capriotto: Advancing the Aftermarket by Facilitating Wisdom Through Story Telling and Open Discussion. https://remarkableresults.biz/Diagnosing the Aftermarket A to Z with Matt Fanslow: From Diagnostics to Metallica and Mental...
Thanks to our Partner, NAPA Autotech TrainingIn this thought-provoking episode, Matt Fanslow draws parallels between the tragic failures of the Titan submersible and the Space Shuttle Challenger and the common pitfalls in the automotive aftermarket industry. He discusses how ignoring expert advice, dismissing data, and letting ego drive decisions can lead to catastrophic consequences—whether in deep-sea exploration, space travel, or running a repair shop.Matt reflects on the importance of heeding warning signs, fostering a culture of curiosity, and making data-driven decisions to ensure business success and safety. He also shares insights on leadership, accountability, and the dangers of the Dunning-Kruger effect in automotive repair.Key Topics Discussed:The Titan Sub TragedyHow ignoring engineering warnings led to disaster.The dangers of cutting corners for cost savings.Parallels to shops ignoring best practices in repairs.The Challenger DisasterOverlooking expert concerns for the sake of progress.The human cost of preventable failures.Ego & Ignoring Data in the AftermarketWhy shop owners/managers dismiss KPIs and expert advice.The dangers of "This is how we've always done it" thinking.Case studies of shops that succeed vs. those that struggle.Dunning-Kruger Effect in Automotive RepairHow overconfidence leads to mistakes.The importance of continuous learning and humility.Leadership & AccountabilityWhy fear and ego hold businesses back.How to foster a culture of improvement.Final Thoughts & TakeawaysThe importance of data-driven decisions.Encouragement to seek training and mentorship.Notable Quotes:"Ignoring warning signs—whether in deep-sea exploration or auto repair—leads to failure. The data is there; we just have to look at it.""Ego and fear are the two biggest roadblocks to success in this industry.""If your shop is struggling, the first question should be: Are we ignoring the experts and the data?"Thanks to our Partner, NAPA Autotech TrainingNAPA Autotech's team of ASE Master Certified Instructors are conducting over 1,200 classes covering 28 automotive topics. To see a selection, go to napaautotech.com for more details.Contact InformationEmail Matt: mattfanslowpodcast@gmail.comDiagnosing the Aftermarket A - Z YouTube Channel Subscribe & Review: Loved this episode? Leave a 5-star review on Apple Podcasts and SpotifyThe Aftermarket Radio Network: https://aftermarketradionetwork.com/Remarkable Results Radio Podcast with Carm Capriotto: Advancing the Aftermarket by Facilitating Wisdom Through Story Telling and Open Discussion. https://remarkableresults.biz/Diagnosing the Aftermarket A to Z with Matt Fanslow: From Diagnostics to Metallica and Mental...
Jake and Rubin try and take the show off the rails. Dunning Kruger effect in music, Santa Rosa's once and only strip club, Some heavy shit. Tag us on Instagram and Matt or Kelly will buy you a sandwich in some future date and yet to be determined place As always, if you like (or don't like) what we're doing, let us know on your podcast app by leaving a review or reach out to us on Instagram. And, check out our website for the best subversive shirts, door mats, and coffee mugs while your money can still buy them at libertytreelifestyle.com Wanna support the show? Go to patreon.com/libertytree and become a member of the Liberty Tree Social Club Follow us and give us a review @Libertyupatree on twitter @Libertytreebrand on Instagram Order Kelly's Book The Great American Contractor Love you guys Kelly and Matt
Movement Conversations - Powered New Generations North America
Send us a textThis conversation explores the transformative journey of a church as it navigates a crisis that forces it to rethink its mission and methods. Drawing insights from the book 'Spent Matches', the discussion highlights the shift from an attractional model to a hybrid approach that emphasizes disciple-making and community engagement. The speakers delve into the importance of culture, training, and the need to challenge ingrained assumptions to foster growth and adaptability.TakeawaysThe church faced a crisis that revealed the limitations of its current model.A paradigm shift is necessary when old methods fail.The hybrid model combines traditional and innovative approaches to church growth.Success is redefined as disciples making disciples, not just attendance.Learning from unexpected sources can provide valuable insights for growth.Building a supportive culture is crucial for sustaining movement.Training and retraining are essential for effective disciple-making.Language matters; small changes can remove barriers to engagement.Understanding the Dunning-Kruger effect is vital for humility in learning.Challenging assumptions can lead to breakthroughs in personal and organizational growth.Resources: Resource GuideListen in one of 20 different languages - !Coming Soon!*This is an AI generated podcast
¡Descubre el fascinante efecto Dunning-Kruger en nuestro último video! Adentrémonos en este sorprendente sesgo cognitivo que nos hace creer que sabemos más de lo que realmente sabemos. Sí, es ese momento en el que creemos que somos expertos, cuando en realidad estamos solo rascando la superficie. ¿Te has sentido alguna vez así? Entonces, ¡este video es para ti! Aprenderás sobre cómo identificar este efecto en ti mismo y en otros, y cómo combatirlo. Además, conectaremos el efecto Dunning-Kruger con situaciones cotidianas y te ofreceremos herramientas para mejorar tu autoconciencia y habilidades de toma de decisiones. ¡No te pierdas esta increíble inmersión en la psicología humana y únete a nosotros en este emocionante viaje de autoconocimiento! Y recuerda, el primer paso para crecer es reconocer lo que no sabemos. Efecto Dunning-Kruger, sesgo cognitivo, autoconciencia, sobreestimación, habilidades, conocimiento, psicología, decisiones, autoevaluación, aprendizaje, crecimiento, experto, falacia, autoengaño, cognición, percepción, autoconocimiento, creencias, educación, metacognición, introspección, error, juicio, realismo, subestimación. #EfectoDunningKruger #PsicologíaProfunda #Autoconciencia #SesgoCognitivo #AprendizajeContinuo #DescubrimientoPersonal 5 Títulos Sugerentes: Nuestra escuela de ansiedad: www.escuelaansiedad.com Nuestro nuevo libro: www.elmapadelaansiedad.com Visita nuestra página Web: http://www.amadag.com Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Asociacion.Agorafobia/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/amadag.psico/ Youtube Amadag TV: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC22fPGPhEhgiXCM7PGl68rw
This week, the crew takes a wild ride through the world of confidence—real, fake, and full-blown delusion. Are you the cool, collected type or someone who thinks they could land a 747 because you watched a YouTube video once? Danny breaks down why 50% of men think they could be emergency pilots (spoiler: they absolutely could not), Jon wonders where confidence ends and douchebaggery begins, and Nick brings his own spicy take. Plus: overconfident gorilla fighters, Dunning-Kruger breakdowns, and the shocking percentage of men who think they could take a point off Serena Williams. (They're wrong.) Buckle up—no seriously, buckle up—we're crash landing this episode with confidence.
My mission at Wealth Formula Podcast is to provide you with real financial education. You may have heard of something called the Dunning-Kruger curve. In short, when you start learning something new, you know that you don't know anything. That's the safe zone. The dangerous part is what I call the red zone—when you've learned just enough to think you know a lot, but really… you don't. Then, eventually, if you keep learning, you get to the point where you finally realize how little you actually know—and how much more there is to understand. That's kind of where I am now. And so, the only thing I can do—and the only thing I encourage you to do—is to keep learning more than we knew yesterday. Take this week's episode. We're talking about Employee Stock Ownership Plans, or ESOPs. Until recently, I didn't fully understand how they worked. And I'd bet most business owners don't either. Which is exactly why this episode matters. Even if you don't currently own a business or a practice, I still think it's important to learn about strategies like this—because someday you might. And in the meantime, you're expanding your financial vocabulary, which is always a good investment. So, what is an ESOP? At its core, an ESOP is a legal structure that allows you to sell your business to a trust set up for your employees—usually over time. It's a way to cash out, preserve your legacy, stay involved if you want to, and unlock some massive tax advantages in the process. But before we talk about all the bells and whistles, let's address the number one question that confuses almost everyone—including me: Where does the money come from? If you're selling your company to a trust, and your employees aren't writing you a check… how the hell are you getting paid? Here's the answer: You're selling your business to an ESOP trust, which is a qualified retirement trust for the benefit of your employees. That trust becomes the buyer. But like any buyer, it needs money. So how does it pay you? There are two main sources: Bank financing – Sometimes, the ESOP trust can borrow part of the purchase price from a lender. Seller financing – And this is the big one. You finance your own sale by carrying a note. That means you get paid over time, through scheduled payments—funded by the company's future profits. The company continues to generate cash flow, and instead of paying it out to you as the owner, it pays off the loan owed to you as the seller. So yes—it's a structured, tax-advantaged way to convert your equity into liquidity using your company's own future earnings. You're not walking away with a check on Day 1—but you are pulling money out of the business steadily and predictably, often with interest that beats what a bank would offer. And here's the kicker: If your company is an S-corp and becomes 100% ESOP-owned, it likely pays no federal income tax, and often no state income tax either. That means a lot more money stays in the business—available to fund your buyout faster. If you're a C-corp, you might even qualify for a 1042 exchange, which can defer or eliminate capital gains taxes entirely if you reinvest the proceeds in U.S. securities. And here's something the experts probably won't say out loud—but I will: This isn't always about selling your business. Sometimes, it's just a very clever way to get money out of your business and pay less tax. You'll hear ESOP consultants talk about legacy and succession planning—and that's all true and valuable. But in reality, some owners use ESOPs as a pure tax play. They stay in control, they keep running the business, and they simply create a legal structure that lets them pull money out tax-efficiently while rewarding employees along the way. Think of it less like a sale and more like a smart internal liquidity strategy. You still own the culture. You still drive the direction.
Send us a textJoël and Rick discuss Joël's new book, “Hiking the Clouds: The Seven Waypoints of Mature Faith,” exploring the stages of spiritual growth. They challenge the idea of unwavering certainty in faith, emphasizing the importance of love and unconditional trust in God, even amidst uncertainty and doubt. The conversation delves into the Dunning-Kruger effect and the progressive nature of faith, offering a reflective, rather than prescriptive, approach to spiritual maturity. In This Episode: 00:00 Introduction to the Journey 01:00 The Quest for Maturity 02:30 Stages of Spiritual Growth 04:00 Understanding Faith and Certainty 08:00 Walking in the Clouds 10:30 The Nature of Spiritual Growth 13:00 Reflections on Job and Unconditional Love 16:00 A Reflective Journey