Podcast appearances and mentions of christopher waller

donald trump ios fed powell candidates federal reserve replacing cpi jerome powell nyse sling fomc fed chair vizio kevin hassett christopher waller kevin warsh market minute

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 10, 2025 7:05

Ben Emons stops by the NYSE set to discuss the future of the Federal Reserve. President Trump and Treasury Secretary Bessent have narrowed down a list of candidates to 5 individuals to replace Jerome Powell when his term expires. Candidates include Michelle Bowman, Christopher Waller, Kevin Hassett, Kevin Warsh and Rick Reider. Ben provides thoughts on how the Trump administration envisions a relationship with the Fed and the independence of the U.S. central bank. Later, he chimes in on the CPI release next week as well as the upcoming FOMC meeting in October.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Government Shutdown Continues, Fed Chair List Narrows, NVDA's Big Week

china ios fed shutdowns nvidia financial times cpi government shutdown jerome powell big week sling bls narrows nvda fed chair vizio tom white christopher waller market minute

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 10, 2025 10:24

Tom White and Diane King Hall probe investor sentiment as the government shutdown treks on, with no vote scheduled for Friday. As economic data faces delays, the BLS is still expected to release CPI next week. Later, Tom discusses the list of candidates that could be nominated to replace Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says that list is down to 5 candidates, including current Fed governors Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller. And, with Nvidia (NVDA) hitting all-time highs this week, Tom and Diane discuss The Financial Times report that China is tightening checks on Nvidia's A.I. chips.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Fed Narrows Chair Candidates, Shutdown Continued Into Earnings Season

ios shutdowns candidates jerome powell yen sling fomc narrows earnings season vizio kevin hassett christopher waller cboe global markets market minute

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 10, 2025 5:21

The dollar's lower as the Yen moves up, all while yields tick higher on comments highlighting a weaker U.S. labor market. Kevin Hincks reports from the Cboe Global Markets to highlight under-the-radar market moves to watch ahead of Friday's opening bell. On the FOMC, Kevin talks about how it is narrowing the list of candidates to take over Jerome Powell's position. Among the names included: Kevin Hassett, Michelle Bowman, and Christopher Waller. He also touches on what to watch into the start of earnings season next week.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

FOMC Minutes: "Hammering Home" Inflation Messaging

inflation ios fed messaging sling fomc hammering vizio christopher waller market minute

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 9, 2025 7:06

Danielle DiMartino Booth (@DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI) says it was interesting that a handful of Fed members didn't see a need for a rate cut in the September meeting. She believes the Fed will continue to be data dependent, despite the government shutdown disrupting certain reports like non-farm payrolls. Danielle adds there was a "hammering home" of the message that inflation was the focal point in their dual mandate. She speaks about Fed officials commentary including from Christopher Waller and Stephen Miran and addresses the likelihood of rate cuts in the next 2 FOMC meetings.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

571: Trump's Takeover of the Fed Will Unleash a Wealth Bonanza and a Dollar Crash with Richard Duncan

Get Rich Education

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 15, 2025 49:08

Keith discusses the potential takeover of the Federal Reserve by President Trump, highlighting the macroeconomic implications. Economist, author and publisher of Macro Watch, Richard Duncan, joins the show and explains that central bank independence is crucial to prevent political influence on monetary policy, which could lead to excessive money supply and inflation. Trump's policies, including tariffs and spending bills, are inflationary, necessitating lower interest rates. Resources: Subscribe to Macro Watch at RichardDuncanEconomics.com and use promo code GRE for a 50% discount. Gain access to over 100 hours of macroeconomic video archives and new biweekly insights into the global economy. Show Notes: GetRichEducation.com/571 For access to properties or free help with a GRE Investment Coach, start here: GREmarketplace.com GRE Free Investment Coaching: GREinvestmentcoach.com Get mortgage loans for investment property: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Invest with Freedom Family Investments. You get paid first: Text FAMILY to 66866 Will you please leave a review for the show? I'd be grateful. Search “how to leave an Apple Podcasts review” For advertising inquiries, visit: GetRichEducation.com/ad Best Financial Education: GetRichEducation.com Get our wealth-building newsletter free— text ‘GRE' to 66866 Our YouTube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/GetRichEducation Follow us on Instagram: @getricheducation Complete episode transcript: Keith Weinhold 0:01 Welcome to GRE. I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, the President has a plan to completely take over the Fed, a body that historically stays independent of outside influence. Learn the fascinating architecture of the planned fed seizure and how it's expected to unleash a wealth Bonanza and $1 crash with a brilliant macroeconomist today, it'll shape inflation in interest rates in the future world that you'll live in today. On get rich education. Speaker 1 0:33 Since 2014 the powerful get rich education podcast has created more passive income for people than nearly any other show in the world. This show teaches you how to earn strong returns from passive real estate investing in the best markets without losing your time being a flipper or landlord. Show Host Keith Weinhold writes for both Forbes and Rich Dad advisors, and delivers a new show every week since 2014 there's been millions of listener downloads in 188 world nations. He has a list show guests include top selling personal finance author Robert Kiyosaki. Get rich education can be heard on every podcast platform, plus it has its own dedicated Apple and Android listener phone apps build wealth on the go with the get rich education podcast. Sign up now for the get rich education podcast or visit get rich education.com Corey Coates 1:21 You're listening to the show that has created more financial freedom than nearly any show in the world. This is get rich education. Speaker 1 1:31 Welcome to GRE from Fairfax, Virginia to Fairfield, California, and across 188 nations worldwide. I'm Keith Weinhold, and you are listening to get rich education. The Federal Open Market Committee is the most powerful financial institution, not only in the nation, but in the entire world, and when an outside force wants to wrestle it and take it down. The change that it could unleash is almost incredible. It's unprecedented. The President wants full control. Once he has it, he could then slash interest rates, order unlimited money creation, and even peg government bond yields wherever he wishes, and this could drive wealth to extraordinary new highs, but this also carries enormous risks for the dollar and inflation and overall financial stability. And I mean, come on now, whether you like him or not, is Trump more enamored of power than Emperor Palpatine in Star Wars or what this is fascinating. Today's guest is going to describe the architecture of the takeover the grand plan. Our guest is a proven expert on seeing what will happen next in macroeconomics. He's rather pioneering in AI as well. But today, this all has so much to do with the future of inflation and interest rates. We're going to get into the details of how, step by step, Trump plans to infiltrate and make a Fed takeover. Keith Weinhold 3:23 I'd like to welcome back one of the more recurrent guests in GRE history, because he's one of the world's most prominent macroeconomists, and he was this show's first ever guest back in 2014 he's worked with the World Bank and as a consultant to the IMF. He's contributed a lot on CNBC, CNN and Bloomberg Television. He's a prolific author. His books have been taught at Harvard and Columbia, and more recently, he's been a guest speaker at a White House Ways and Means Committee policy dinner in DC. So people at the highest levels lean on his macroeconomic expertise. Hey, welcome back to GRE joining us from Thailand as usual. It's Richard Duncan Richard Duncan 4:03 Keith, thank you for that very nice introduction. It's great to see you again. Keith Weinhold 4:08 Oh, it's so good to have you back. Because you know what, Richard, what caught my attention and why I invited you back to the show earlier than usual is about something that you published on macro watch, and it's titled, Trump's conquest of the Fed will unleash a wealth Bonanza, $1 crash and state directed capitalism. I kind of think of state directed and capitalism as two different things, so there's a few bits to unpack here, and maybe the best way is to start with the importance of the separation of powers. Tell us why the Fed needs to maintain independence from any influence of the president. Richard Duncan 4:44 Central banks have gained independence over the years because it was realized that if they didn't have independence, then they would do whatever the president or prime minister told them to do to help him get reelected, and that would tend to lead to excessive money supply. Growth and interest rates that were far too low for the economic environment, and that would create an economic boom that would help that President or politician get reelected, but then ultimately in a bust and a systemic financial sector crisis. So it's generally believed that central bank independence is much better for the economy than political control of the central bank. Speaker 1 5:24 Otherwise we would just fall into a president's short term interests. Every president would want rates essentially at zero, and maybe this wouldn't catch up with people until the next person's in office. Richard Duncan 5:35 That's right. He sort of wants to be Fed Chair Trump. That's right, president and Fed Chairman Trump on the horizon. It looks like won't be long, Now. Speaker 1 5:45 that's right. In fact, even on last week's episode, I was talking about how Trump wants inflation, he won't come out and explicitly say that, of course, but when you look at the majority of his policies, they're inflationary. I mean, you've got tariffs, you've got deportations, this reshaping of the Fed that we're talking about the hundreds of billions of dollars in spending in the one big, beautiful Bill act. It is overwhelmingly inflationary. Richard Duncan 6:12 It is inflationary. And he may want many of those things that you just mentioned, but what he doesn't want is what goes along with high rates of inflation, and that is high interest rates, right? If interest rates go up in line with inflation, as they normally do in a left to market forces, then we would have significantly higher rates of inflation. There would also be significantly higher rates of interest on the 10 year government bond yield, for instance. And that is what he does not want, because that would be extremely harmful for the economy and for asset prices, and that's why taking over the Federal Reserve is so important for him, his policies are going to be inflationary. That would tend to cause market determined interest rates to go higher, and in fact, that would also persuade the Fed that they needed to increase the short term interest rates, the federal funds rate, if we start to see a significant pickup in inflation, then, rather than cutting rates going forward, then they're more likely to start increasing the federal funds rate. And the bond investors are not going to buy 10 year government bonds at a yield of 4% if the inflation rate is 5% they're going to demand something more like a yield of 7% so that's why it's so urgent for the President Trump to take over the Fed. That's what he's in the process of doing. Once he takes over the Fed, then he can demand that they slash the federal funds rate to whatever level he desires. And even if the 10 year bond yield does begin to spike up as inflation starts to rise, then the President can instruct, can command the Fed to launch a new round of quantitative easing and buy up as many 10 year government bonds as necessary, to push up their price and to drive down their yields to very low levels, even if there is high rate of inflation. Keith Weinhold 7:58 a president's pressure to Lower short term rates, which is what the Fed controls, could increase long term rates like you're saying, it could backfire on Trump because of more inflation expectations in the bond market. Richard Duncan 8:12 That's right. President Trump is on record as saying he thinks that the federal funds rate is currently 4.33% he said it's 300 basis points too high. Adjusting would be 1.33% if they slash the short term interest rates like that. That would be certain to set off a very strong economic boom in the US, which would also be very certain to create very high rates of inflation, particularly since we have millions of people being deported and a labor shortage at the moment, and the unemployment rate's already very low at just 4.2% so yes, slashing short term interest rates that radically the federal funds rate that radically would be certain to drive up the 10 year government bond yield. That's why President Trump needs to gain control over the Fed so that he can make the Fed launch a new round of quantitative easing. If you create a couple of trillion dollars and start buying a couple of trillion dollars of government bonds, guess what? Their price goes up. And when the price of a bond goes up, the yield on that bond goes down, and that drives down what typically are considered market determined interest rates, but in this case, they would be fed determined interest rates Trump determined interest rates. Speaker 1 9:28 Inflationary, inflationary, inflationary, and whenever we see massive cuts to the Fed funds rate that typically correlates with a big loss in quality of life, standard of living, and items of big concern. If we look at the last three times that rates have been cut substantially, they have been for the reasons of getting us out of the two thousand.com bubble, then getting us out of the 2000 day global financial crisis, then getting us out of covid in 2020, I mean, massive rate cuts are. Are typically a crisis response Richard Duncan 10:02 yes, but if we look back, starting in the early 1980s interest rates have have trended down decade after decade right up until the time covid hit. In fact, the inflation rate was below the Fed's 2% inflation target most of the time between 2008 the crisis of 2008 and when covid started, the Fed was more worried about deflation than inflation during those years, and the inflation rate trended down. And so the interest rates tended to trend down as well, and we're at quite low levels. Of course, back in the early 1980s we had double digit inflation and double digit interest rates, but gradually, because of globalization, allowing the United States to buy more and more goods from other countries with ultra low wages, like China and now Vietnam and India and Bangladesh, buying goods from other countries with low wages that drove down the price of goods in the United States, causing goods disinflation, and that drove down the interest rates. That drove down the inflation rate. And because the inflation rate fell, then interest rates could fall also, and that's why the interest rates were trending down for so long, up until the time covid hit, and why they would have trended down again in the absence of this new tariff regime that President Trump has put into place. Now, this is creating a completely different economic environment. President Trump truly is trying to radically restructure the US economy. There is a plan for this. The plan was spelled out in a paper by the man who is now the Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors. His name is Steven Moran, and the paper was called a user's guide to restructuring the global trading system. It was published in November last year, and it very clearly spelled out almost everything President Trump has done since then in terms of economic policy. It was truly a blueprint for what he has done since then, and this paper spelled out a three step plan with two objectives. Here are the three steps. Step one was to impose very high tariffs on all of the United States trading partners. Step two was then to threaten all of our allies that we would no longer protect them militarily if they dared to retaliate against our high tariffs. And then the third step was to convene a Mar a Lago accord at which these terrified trading partners would agree to a sharp devaluation of the dollar and would also agree to put up their own trade tariffs against China in order to isolate China. And the two objectives of this policy, they were to re industrialize the United States and to stop China's economic growth so that China would be less of a military threat to the United States, which it is currently and increasingly with each passing month. So so far, steps one and two have been carried out very high tariffs on every trading partner, and also threats that if there's any retaliation, that we won't protect you militarily any longer. And also pressure on other countries to put high tariffs against China. The idea is to isolate China between behind a global tariff wall and to stop China's economic growth. So you can see that is what President Trump has been doing. And also in this paper, Stephen Marin also suggested that it would be very helpful if the Fed would cooperate to hold down 10 year government bond yield in this environment, which would naturally tend to push the bond yields higher. So that paper really did spell out what President Trump has done since then. Keith Weinhold 13:59 This is fascinating about this paper. I didn't know about this previously, so this is all planned from tariffs to a Fed takeover. Richard Duncan 14:08 That's right, the idea is to re industrialize the United States. That's what President Trump has been saying for years. Make America Great Again. And it's certainly true that America does need to have the industrial capacity to make steel and ships and pharmaceutical products and many other things in his own national self defense. But there's a problem with this strategy since the breakdown of the Bretton Woods system, and we've talked about this before, so I will do this fast forwarding a bit when the Bretton Woods system broke down up until then it broke down in 1971 before then, trade between countries had to balance. So it wasn't possible for the United States to buy extraordinarily large amounts of goods from low wage countries back then, this thing that's caused the disinflation over the last four decades, trade had to balance because on the Bretton Woods system, if we had a big trade deficit. Deficit, we had to pay for that deficit with gold. US gold, and gold was money. So if we had a big trade deficit and had to pay out all of our gold other countries to finance that deficit, we would run out of gold. Run out of money. The economy would hit a crisis, and that just couldn't continue. We'd stop buying things from other countries. So there was an automatic adjustment mechanism under the Bretton Woods System, or under the classical gold standard itself that prevented trade deficits. But once Bretton Woods broke down in 1971 It didn't take us too long to figure out that it could buy extraordinarily large amounts of things from other countries, and it didn't have to pay with gold anymore. It could just pay with US dollars, or more technically, with Treasury bonds denominated in US dollars. So the US started running massive trade deficits. The deficits went from zero to $800 billion in 2006 and now most recently, the current account deficit was $1.2 trillion last year. So the total US current account deficit since the early 1980s has been $17 trillion this has created a global economic boom of unprecedented proportions and pulled hundreds of millions of people around the world out of poverty. China is a superpower now, because of its massive trade surplus with the US, completely transformed China. So the trade surplus countries in Asia all benefited. I've watched that firsthand, since I've spent most of my career living in Asia, but the United States also benefited, because by buying things from low wage countries that drove down the price of goods, that drove down inflation, that made low interest rates possible, that made it easier for the US to finance its big budget deficits at low interest rates, and so with Low interest rates, the government could spend more and stimulate the economy. Also with very low interest rates, stock prices could go higher and home prices could go higher. This created a very big economic boom in the United States as well. Not only did the trade surplus, countries benefit by selling more to the US, but the US itself benefited by this big wealth boom that has resulted from this arrangement. Now the problem with President Trump's plan to restructure the US economy is that he wants to bring this trade deficit back down essentially to zero, ideally, it seems. But if he does that, then that's going to cut off the source of credit that's been blowing this bubble ever larger year after year since the early 1980s and we have such a big global credit bubble that if this source of credit has been making the bubble inflate, the trade deficit, if that were to significantly become significantly lower, then this credit that's been blowing up, the bubble would stop, and the bubble would implode, potentially creating very severe, systemic financial sector crisis around the world on a much, probably a much larger scale than we saw in 2008 and leading to a new Great Depression. One thing to think about is the trade deficit is similar to the current account deficit. So the current account deficit is the mirror image of capital inflows into the United States. Every country's balance of payments has to balance. So last year, the US current account deficit was $1.2 trillion that threw off $1.2 trillion into the global economy benefiting the trade surplus countries. But those countries received dollars, and once they had that 1.2 trillion new dollars last year, they had to invest those dollars back into us, dollar denominated assets of one kind or another, like government bonds or like US stocks, and that's what they did. The current account deficit is the mirror image of capital inflows into the United States. Last year was $1.2 trillion of capital inflows. Now if you eliminate the current account deficit by having very high trade tariffs and bringing trade back into balance, you also eliminate the capital inflows into the United States, and if we have $1.2 trillion less money coming into the United States a year or two from now, that's going to make it much more difficult to finance the government's very large budget deficits. The budget deficits are expected to grow from something like $2 trillion now to $2.5 trillion 10 years from now, and that's assuming a lot of tariff revenue from the tariffs, budget deficit would be much larger still. So we need the capital inflows from these other countries to finance the US budget deficit, the government's budget deficit. If the trade deficit goes away, the capital inflows will go away also, and with less foreign buying of government us, government bonds, then the price of those bonds will fall and the yield on those bonds will go up. In other words, if there are fewer buyers for the bonds, the price of the bonds will go down and the yield on the bonds will go up. In other words, long term interest rates will go up, and that will be very bad for the US Economy Speaker 2 14:08 the yields on those 10 year notes have to go up in order to attract investors. Mortgage rates and everything else are tied to those yields. Richard Duncan 19:36 That's right. And cap rates. When people consider investing in tech stocks, they consider they'll buy fewer stocks if the interest rates are higher. So this is why it's so important for President Trump to conquer the Fed, to take over the Fed. That's what he's doing. Technically, he's very close to accomplishing that. Shall we discuss the details? Speaker 1 20:29 Yes, we should get more into this fed takeover, just what it means for the future of real estate markets and stock markets. With Richard Duncan, more, we come back. I'm your host, Keith Weinhold Keith Weinhold 20:41 the same place where I get my own mortgage loans is where you can get yours. Ridge lending group and MLS, 42056, they provided our listeners with more loans than anyone because they specialize in income properties. They help you build a long term plan for growing your real estate empire with leverage. Start your pre qual and even chat with President Chaley Ridge personally. While it's on your mind, start at Ridge lendinggroup.com. That's Ridge lendinggroup.com. You know what's crazy? Keith Weinhold 21:13 Your bank is getting rich off of you. The average savings account pays less than 1% it's like laughable. Meanwhile, if your money isn't making at least 4% you're losing to inflation. That's why I started putting my own money into the FFI liquidity fund. It's super simple. Your cash can pull in up to 8% returns and it compounds. It's not some high risk gamble like digital or AI stock trading, it's pretty low risk because they've got a 10 plus year track record of paying investors on time in full every time. I mean, I wouldn't be talking about it if I wasn't invested myself. You can invest as little as 25k and you keep earning until you decide you want your money back. No weird lockups or anything like that. So if you're like me and tired of your liquid funds just sitting there doing nothing, check it out. Text family. 266, 866, to learn about freedom family investments, liquidity fund again. Text family. 266, 866, Dani-Lynn Robison 22:24 you is freedom family investments co founder, Danny Lynn Robinson, listen to get rich education with Keith Weinhold, and don't quit your Daydream. Speaker 1 22:31 Welcome back to get Education. I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, we're talking with macroeconomist Richard Duncan about a Fed takeover. I think the President wants to be Fed Chair Trump, Richard. Talk to us more about this, because this is really part of a grand plan. Richard Duncan 22:57 So the Federal Reserve is in charge of monetary policy. That means it sets the interest rates on the federal funds rate, the short term interest rates, and it also has the power to create money through quantitative easing or to destroy money through quantitative tightening. So the Fed is in charge of monetary policy. The Fed makes its decisions at its it meets eight times a year, the Federal Open Market Committee, the FOMC, meets eight times a year, and they take votes. They discuss what's going on in the economy. They make a decision about what they should do about interest rates, and in some cases, decisions about creating or destroying money through quantitative easing or quantitative tightening. They take a vote. The structure of the Federal Reserve System is as follows. There are seven members of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, so there are seven fed governors there. The Federal Reserve Board is in based in Washington, DC. In addition to that, there are 12 Federal Reserve banks around the country, like the Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis, for instance, or the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Each of these Federal Reserve Banks have a president, so there are 12 Federal Reserve Bank presidents now at the FOMC meetings where interest rates are decided, all seven fed governors get a vote, but only five Federal Reserve Bank presidents get to vote, and they rotate their votes every year they the following year are different. Five fed presidents get to vote. The Federal Reserve Bank president of New York always gets the vote because New York is such an important financial center, but the other four other presidents keep rotating year after year, and the presidents, 12 presidents, serve five year terms, and they can be reappointed, and their terms expire all at the same time, all on the same day, all of their terms will expire next year on February 28 and they will perhaps be reappointed and perhaps. Be reappointed. So that's the structure, seven Federal Reserve Bank governors and 12 Federal Reserve Bank presidents. All the governors. All seven get to vote at every FOMC meeting, but only five of the Presidents get to vote. So that's a total of 12. The Governors of the Federal Reserve System are the most important the seven. Those seven include the Chairman, Chairman Powell, and this is why they're the most important. They're important because if four of the seven have the power to fire all of the Federal Reserve Bank presidents, if four fed governors vote together, they can fire all 12 Federal Reserve Bank presidents. It only takes four. Only takes four. Then those Federal Reserve Bank presidents would have to be replaced, but the Federal Reserve Board of Governors has to approve the replacements. So if President Trump has four fed governors who will do what he tells them to do, then they can fire all the Federal Reserve Bank presidents and only replace them with other people who will do what President Trump tells them to do. Gosh. So what this means is, if the president can get four Federal Reserve Bank governors out of seven, then he has absolute control over monetary policy. He can do anything he wants with interest rates. He can do anything he wants with quantitative easing. So how many does he have now? Well, he has two that he's appointed, Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman. They voted to cut interest rates at the last FOMC meeting. That was a dissenting vote, because the rest of the voting members voted to hold interest rates steady. Those two have already voted with the President, so they're on Team Trump, and they're going to stay on Team Trump, because both of them would like to become Fed Chairman when Jerome Powell term expires in May next year, very suddenly and very unexpectedly. A month or so ago, another fed Governor resigned. Her name is Adriana Coogler. Her term was not due to expire for another six months, and she'd not given any indication that she was going to resign early, but she did this now gives the President can nominate the Federal Reserve Bank governors. So he is nominated Stephen Moran, the one who wrote the paper the grand plan. Grand plan. He's nominated him to replace Adriana Coogler, yeah, and he's going to vote on him on his appointment, perhaps within very soon, and it only takes 51 senators to vote him in. And since the Republicans control the Senate, he will be approved, it seems very likely that he will be approved, and that will give President Trump the third vote on the FOMC. He will have three out of the seven governors. He only needs one more, and this is where at least the cook comes in. So on the 26th of August, I think President Trump announced that he was firing Lisa Cook, a Fed governor, because she allegedly had made misleading statements on some mortgage applications that have not been proven yet, that they are alleged. So he says that he has fired her. She has said he does not have the right to fire her. The legal cases that the President does have the right to fire a Federal Reserve Bank Governor, but only for cause. And so there's a real question whether this qualifies as being for cause or not, especially since it's only alleged at this point, but assuming that he does get control. So if he does succeed in firing her, he will be able to appoint her replacement, and that will give him four members, four governors out of the seven. And as we just discussed, with four out of seven, he will have complete control over monetary policy, because with four out of seven, that would give him the power to command those four to vote to fire all 12 presidents of the Federal Reserve Banks, and then to appoint new presidents of the Federal Reserve Banks who would vote along with whatever President Trump tells them to vote for. So in that case, with four fed governors, he would have those Four Plus he would have the five presidents that he would appoint from the Federal Reserve Banks voting for him. So five plus four, that is nine, nine out of 12 voting members on the Federal Open Market Committee. He would be guaranteed nine out of 12 votes on the FOMC, and that would give him complete control over monetary policy, and that's what he needs, because his policies are inflationary. They're going to drive up inflation. They're and that's going to push up the 10 year government bond yield, and it would normally make the Fed also increase the federal funds rate, because higher inflation should the Fed in. Increase the interest rates to cool down the higher inflation. But now that's not going to happen, because he is going to take over the FOMC one way or the other. Just by firing Lisa Cook, he's sending a very clear message to all the other fed governors and to the 12 existing Federal Reserve Bank presidents, you do what I tell you or you may be investigated too. You're next, one way or the other, the President is going to get what the President wants, and what he wants is control over monetary policy, and what that means is much lower short term interest rates and probably another very big round of quantitative easing to hold down long term interest rates as well. Keith Weinhold 30:41 That was an amazing architecture and plan that you laid out for how a President can take over the Federal Open Market Committee. That was amazing to think about that, and what we believe he wants you talked about it is potentially quantitative easing, which is a genteel way of saying dollar printing. Is it lowering the Fed funds rate down to, I think 1% is what he desired, and we're currently at about 4.3% Richard Duncan 31:08 that's right. He said he'd like to see the federal funds rate 300 basis points lower, which would put 1.3% we could see a series of very sharp interest rate cuts by the Fed in the upcoming FOMC meetings, so we could see the short term interest rates falling very quickly, but as we discussed a little bit earlier, that would alarm the bond market and investors, because they would realize that much lower interest rates would lead to much higher rates of inflation by overstimulating the economy. And so the 10 year bond yields will move higher for fear of inflation, and that will then force President Trump to command the Fed, to create money through quantitative easing on a potentially trillion dollar scale, and start buying up government bonds to push up their price and drive down their yields, so that the 10 year bond yields and the 30 year bond yields will fall. And since mortgage rates are pegged to the government bond yields mortgage rates will fall, and credit card rates will fall, and bank lending rates will fall, and this will kick off an extraordinary economic boom in the US, and also drive asset prices very much higher and create a wealth Bonanza, Keith Weinhold 32:15 right? And here, Richard and I are talking interestingly, just two days before the next Fed decision is rendered, therefore, with eminent cuts, we could very well see soaring stock and real estate markets fueled by this cheap credit and this quantitative easing, at least in the shorter term. Richard Duncan 32:36 But timing is something one must always keep in mind, there is a danger that we could actually see a sell off in the stock market in the near term. If we start seeing the Fed slashing interest rates, then the 10 year bond yields will start moving higher. That would ultimately lead to quantitative easing to drive those yields back down. But when the falling short term interest rates start pushing up interest rates on the 10 year government bond yield because investors expect higher rates of inflation, that could spook the stock market. The stock market's very expensive, so before QE kicks in, there could actually be a period where raising expectations for higher rates of inflation drive the 10 year bond yields higher before the Fed can step in and drive them back down again. We could actually see a sell off in the stock market before we get this wealth boom that will ultimately result when the Fed cuts the short term rates and then quantitative easing also drives down the long term rates. I hope that's not too confusing. There could be a intermediate phase, where bond yields move higher, and that causes the stock market to have a significant stumble. But that wouldn't last long, because then President Trump would command the Fed to do quantitative easing, and as soon as the president says on television that he's going to do quantitative easing, between the moment he says quantitative and the moment he says easing, the stock market is going to rocket higher. Keith Weinhold 34:05 And here we are at a time where many feel the stock market is overvalued. Mortgage rates have been elevated, but they're actually still a little below their historic norms. The rate of inflation hasn't been down at the Fed's 2% target in years, it's been above them, and we've got signs that the labor market is softening. Richard Duncan 34:25 That's true. The labor market numbers in the most recent job number were quite disappointing, with the revisions to earlier months significantly lower. But of course, with so many people being deported from the United States now, that's contributing to this lower job growth numbers. If you have fewer people, there are fewer people to hire and add to job creation, so that may have some distorting impact on the low job creation numbers. The economy actually is seems to be relatively strong the the. Latest GDP now forecast that the Atlanta Fed does is suggesting that the economy could grow by three and a half percent this quarter, which is very strong. So the economy is not falling off a cliff by any means. If the scenario plays out, as I've discussed, and ultimately we do get another round of quantitative easing and the Fed cuts short term interest rates very aggressively. That will create a very big economic boom with interest rates very low. That will push up real estate prices, stock prices and gold prices and Bitcoin prices and the price of everything except $1 the dollar will crash because currency values are determined by interest rate differentials. Right now, the 10 year government bond yield is higher than the bond yields in Europe or Japan, and if you suddenly cut the US interest rates by 100 basis points, 200 basis points, 300 basis points, and the bond yields go down very sharply, then it'll be much less attractive for anyone to hold dollars relative to other currencies, and so there will be a big sell off of the dollar. And also, if you create another big round of quantitative easing and create trillions of dollars that way, then the more money you create, the less value the dollar has supply and demand. If you have trillions of extra new dollars, then the value of the dollar loses value. So the dollar is likely to take a significant tumble from here against other currencies and against hard assets. Gold, for instance, that's why we've seen such an extraordinary surge in gold prices. Speaker 1 36:38 right? Gold prices soared above three $500 and Richard I'm just saying what I'm thinking. It's remarkable that Trump continues to be surrounded by sycophants that just act obsequiously toward him and want to stay in line and do whatever he says. And I haven't seen anyone breaking that pattern. Richard Duncan 36:59 I'm not going to comment on that observation, but what I would like to say is that if this scenario does play out, and it does seem that we're moving in that direction, then this big economic boom is very likely to ultimately lead to the big economic bust. Every big boom leads to a big bust, right? Big credit booms lower interest rates, much more borrowing by households, individuals, companies. It would while the borrowing is going on, the consumption grows and the investment grows, but sooner or later, it hits the point where even with very low interest rates, the consumers wouldn't be able to repay their loans, like we saw in 2008 businesses wouldn't be able to repay their loans, and they would begin defaulting, as they did in 2008 and at that point, everything goes into reverse, and the banks begin to fail when they don't receive their loan repayments. And it leads to a systemic financial sector crisis. The banks lend less when credit starts to contract, then the economy collapses into a very serious recession, or even worse, unless the government intervenes again. So big boom that will last for a few years, followed by a big bust. That's the most probable outcome, but I do see one other possibility of how that outcome could be avoided, on the optimistic side, and this is it. If once President Trump slash Fed Chairman Trump has complete control over US monetary policy, then it won't take him long to realize Stephen Moran has probably already told him that he would then be able to use the Fed to fund his us, sovereign wealth fund. You will remember, back in February, President Trump signed an executive order creating a US sovereign wealth fund. And this was music to my ears, because for years, as you well know, I've been advocating for the US government to finance a multi trillion dollar 10 year investment in the industries and technologies of the future Keith Weinhold 39:01 including on this show, you laid that out for us a few years ago and made your case for that here, and then Trump made it happen. Richard Duncan 39:08 Let's try my book from 2022 it was called the money revolution. How to finance the next American century? Well, how to finance the next American Century is to have the US, government finance, a very large investment in new industries and new technologies in things like artificial intelligence, quantum computing, nanotechnology, genetic engineering, biotech, robotics, clean energy and fusion, create fusion and everything, world where energy is free, ultimate abundance. So I was very happy that President Trump created this US sovereign wealth fund. Now that he will soon have complete control over his US monetary policy, he will understand that he can use the Fed to fund this, US sovereign wealth fund. He can have the Fed create money through quantitative easing and. And start investing in fusion. We can speed up the creation of the invention of low cost fusion. We could do that in a relatively small number of years, instead of perhaps a decade or longer, as things are going now, we could ensure that the United States wins the AI arms race that we are in with China. Whoever develops super intelligence first is probably going to conquer the world. We know what the world looks like when the United States is the sole superpower. We've been living in that world for 80 years. Yeah, we don't know what the world would look like if it's conquered by China. And China is the control super intelligence and becomes magnitudes greater in terms of their capacity across everything imaginable than the United States is whoever wins the AI arms race will rule the world. This sort of investment through a US sovereign wealth fund would ensure that the winner is the US and on atop it, so it would shore up US national security and large scale investments in these new technologies would also turbocharge US economic growth and hopefully allow us to avoid the bust that is likely to ultimately occur following The approaching boom, and keep the economy growing long into the future, rather than just having a short term boom and bust, a large scale investment in the industries of the future could create a technological revolution that would generate very rapid growth in productivity, very rapid economic growth, shore up US national security, and result in technological miracles and medical breakthroughs, possibly curing all the diseases, cure cancer, cure Alzheimer's, extend life expectancy by decades, healthy life expectancy. So that is a very optimistic outcome that could result from President Trump becoming Fed Chairman Trump and gaining complete control over monetary policy. And this is all part of the plan of making America great again. If he really followed through on this, then he certainly would be able to restructure the US economy, re industrialize it, create a technological revolution that ensured us supremacy for the next century. That's how to finance the next American century. Speaker 1 42:23 Oh, well, Richard, I like what you're leaving us with here. You're giving us some light, and you're talking about real productivity gains that really drives an economy and progress and an increased standard of living over the long term. But yes, in the nearer term, this fed takeover, there could be some pain and a whole lot of questions in getting there. Richard, your macro watch piece that caught my attention is so interesting to a lot of people. How can more people learn about that and connect with you and the great work you do on macro watch, which is your video newsletter Richard Duncan 43:00 Thanks, Keith. So it's really been completely obvious that President Trump was very likely to try to take over the Fed. Nine months ago, I made a macro watch video in December called Will Trump in the Fed, spelling out various ways he could take over the Fed, and why he probably would find it necessary to do so. So what macro watch is is it describes how the economy really works in the 21st Century. It doesn't work the way it did when gold was money. We're in a completely different environment now, where the government is directing the economy and the Fed, or seeing the President has the power to create limitless amounts of money, and this changes the way everything works, and so that's what macro watch explains. It's a video newsletter. Every couple of weeks, I upload a new video discussing something important happening in the global economy and how that's likely to impact asset prices, stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies and wealth in general. So if your listeners are interested, I'd encourage them to visit my website, which is Richard Duncan economics.com that's Richard Duncan economics.com and if they'd like to subscribe, hit the subscribe button. And for I'd like to offer them a 50% subscription discount. If they use the discount coupon code, G, R, E, thank you, GRE, they can subscribe at half price. I think they'll find that very affordable. And they will get a new video every couple of weeks from me, and they will have immediate access to the macro watch archives, which have more than 100 hours of videos. Macro watch was founded by me 12 years ago, and I intend to keep doing this, hopefully far into the future. So I hope your listeners will check that out. Keith Weinhold 44:46 Well, thanks, both here on the show and on macro watch Richard gives you the type of insight that's hard to find anywhere else, and you learn it through him oftentimes before it makes the headlines down the road. So. Richard, this whole concept of a Fed takeover is just unprecedented, as far as I know, and it's been so interesting to talk about it. Thanks for coming back onto the show. Richard Duncan 45:08 Thank you, Keith. I look forward to the next time. Speaker 1 45:17 Yeah, fascinating stuff from Richard in the nearer term, we could then see interest rate cuts that would go along with cuts to mortgages and credit card rates and car loan rates and all kinds of bank lending rates. This could pump up the value of real estate, stocks, Bitcoin, gold, nearly everything a wealth bonanza. Now, in polls, most Americans think that the Fed should stay independent from outside control. You really heard about how the President is dismantling the safeguards that protect that fed independence, the strategy he's using to bend the Federal Open Market Committee to His will. And this is not speculation, because, as you can tell, the takeover of the Fed is already underway. A fed governor has been fired. New loyalists are being installed, and key votes are lining up in the President's favor. But as far as the longer term, you've got to ask yourself, if these policies will inflate a giant bubble destined to burst down the road. I mean triggering a crisis as bad as 2008 I mean, these are the very questions that every investor should be asking right now, if you find this in similar content fascinating, and you want to stay on top of what is forward looking what's coming next macroeconomically, check out Richard Duncan's macro watch at Richard Duncan economics.com for our listeners, he's long offered the discount code for a 50% discount that code is GRE, that's Richard Duncan economics.com and the discount code GRE next week here on the show, we're bringing it back closer to home with key us, real estate investing strategies and insights, a lot of ways to increase your income. Until then, I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, don't quit you Daydream. Speaker 3 47:20 Nothing on this show should be considered specific, personal or professional advice. Please consult an appropriate tax, legal, real estate, financial or business professional for individualized advice. Opinions of guests are their own. Information is not guaranteed. All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. The host is operating on behalf of get rich Education LLC, exclusively. Speaker 1 47:40 You You know, whenever you want the best written real estate and finance info, oh, geez, today's experience limits your free articles access, and it's got paywalls and pop ups and push notifications and cookies disclaimers, it's not so great. So then it's vital to place nice, clean, free content into your hands that adds no hype value to your life. That's why this is the golden age of quality newsletters. And I write every word of ours myself. It's got a dash of humor, and it's to the point, because even the word abbreviation is too long, my letter usually takes less than three minutes to read, and when you start the letter, you also get my one hour fast real estate video. Course, it's all completely free. It's called the Don't quit your Daydream letter. It wires your mind for wealth, and it couldn't be easier for you to get it right now. Just text gre 266, 866, while it's on your mind, take a moment to do it right now. Text gre to 66866, Keith Weinhold 48:59 The preceding program was brought to you by your home for wealth, building, get richeducation.com you.

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Federal Reserve Board Governor Chris Waller on Monetary Policy and Payments | Hoover Institution

The Capitalism and Freedom in the Twenty-First Century Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2025 29:48

Jon Hartley and Christopher Waller discuss monetary policy at the Fed, r-star, and the stance of monetary policy, the 2025 Federal Reserve framework review, quantitative easing and the size of the Fed balance sheet, the early 2020s inflation, and how payments are evolving since the passage of the GENIUS Act. Recorded on August 28, 2025. ABOUT THE SERIES Each episode of Capitalism and Freedom in the 21st Century, a video podcast series and the official podcast of the Hoover Economic Policy Working Group, focuses on getting into the weeds of economics, finance, and public policy on important current topics through one-on-one interviews. Host Jon Hartley asks guests about their main ideas and contributions to academic research and policy. The podcast is titled after Milton Friedman‘s famous 1962 bestselling book Capitalism and Freedom, which after 60 years, remains prescient from its focus on various topics which are now at the forefront of economic debates, such as monetary policy and inflation, fiscal policy, occupational licensing, education vouchers, income share agreements, the distribution of income, and negative income taxes, among many other topics. For more information about the podcast, or subscribe for the next episode, click here.

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Apple's new iPhone highlights the latest Apple Event

The Financial Exchange Show

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 10, 2025 38:30 Transcription Available

Chuck Zodda and Marc Fandetti discuss Christopher Waller emerging as one of three serious contenders for Fed Chair. Tripp Mickle (NYTimes -Tech Reporter) joins the show to share his highlights from the recent Apple Event. Stocks bull market nears 3-year anniversary. Oracle shares surge most since 1992 on Cloud contracts win. Jaguar's rebrand caused an uproar. Its boss has no plans to u-turn. Health insurance costs for businesses to rise by most in 15 years.

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Ignacio Vacchiano: “Cada vez gana más adeptos y acólitos Trump en la FED”

Capital

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 5, 2025 8:57

Ignacio Vacchiano, country manager en Iberia de Leverage Shares, analiza la situación del mercado bursátil, de la renta fija y los máximos que está alcanzando en este momento el oro. Además, comentamos con él las noticias que nos llegan desde Estados Unidos sobre el posible sustituto de la Reserva Federal. Hoy Scott Bessent se reunirá con los primeros candidatos, que serán once en total. “Cada vez gana más adeptos y acólitos Trump en la FED”, asegura el analista. Además, señala que “cada vez los candidatos se han ido acortando más y ahora mismo son Kevin Hassett, Kevin Warsh y Christopher Waller”. Además, destaca que no cree que “Trump nombre a Scott Bessent, ya que es su secretario del Tesoro y está muy bien en ese puesto”. El oro vive uno de sus mejores momentos de la historia. El precio del oro sube un 35% en 2025 y marca su mejor año desde 1979. Ya supera los 3500 dólares la onza y algunos analistas apuntan a que podría superar los 5.000 dólares. El country manager en Iberia de Leverage Shares apunta que “realmente la lectura que hay que hacer de esos metales preciosos con esas fuertes subidas es que los inversores están queriendo proteger ante posibles problemas inflacionarios del futuro”. Además, afirma que “los inversores no ven otros activos que puedan revalorizarse de la misma manera”. Hoy tenemos dato de la nóminas no agrícolas en agosto. Los economistas esperan que las Nóminas no Agrícolas aumenten en 75.000 en agosto después de reportar un magro aumento de 73.000 en julio. “Si es un dato flojo podría dar alas al mercado diciendo sí, efectivamente, ya van a bajar tipos, lo cual ya el mercado está al 90% que el 17 de septiembre bajarán en un cuarto de punto. pero sí puede marcar las expectativas para lo que queda aquí a fin de año, que sean dos o tres veces en total”, asegura Ignacio Vacchiano.

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Bond rout eases but record global yield highs persist

donald trump predictions inflation shocking drops fed laughing rate cut christopher waller

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2025 26:45

The recent bond rout calms but deeper concerns about the global fiscal picture keeps bond yields at multi-year highs. We hear from Commerzbank CEO Bettina Orlopp who says markets should closely monitor government responses. In the U.S., a soft jobs reports raises hopes of a September rate cut and helps ease pressure on the bond market. Fed chair candidate pick Christopher Waller suggests more rate cuts are on their way. And in France, President Macron holds a ‘coalition of the willing' summit for Ukraine and its allies as supportive nations seek to shore up U.S. support for eventual post-war guarantees.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

James Powell contre Docteur Waller

MorningBull

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 29, 2025 13:25

il faut les pulvériser. Et pendant que Nvidia cale, le S&P 500 explose les records. Pourquoi ? Parce que tout le monde ne vit plus que pour UNE chose : la baisse des taux en septembre. Christopher Waller, lui, en profite pour sortir le cirage et faire briller les pompes de Trump, histoire de poser son CV pour remplacer Powell à la Fed. Résultat : le marché danse, mais la musique pourrait s'arrêter ce soir avec le PCE.

US inflation risks outweigh labour market concerns

Economy Watch

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 20, 2025 4:40

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news the US Fed thinks inflation risks outweigh concerns about their labour market.But first. in its familiar yoyo pattern, US mortgage applications fell last week by -1.4% from the prior week, but that makes then +10% higher than the same week a year ago. The softness over the past week is all related to softer refinance activity, even though benchmark 30 year mortgage rates changed little.The US Fed released the minutes of its July meeting and that revealed the stances of the two Trump supporters on th nine-member voting panel. "Almost all" officials supported keeping rates unchanged at 4.25%, with those two dissenting in favour of a quarter-point cut to protect a weakening job market. It seems ironic that they should use that reason, because Trump fired the BLS chief for producing results that showed the American labour market weakening. One of the two, Christopher Waller, is considered the front-runner to replace Powell when his term ends. The two dissenters seem isolated in the group at this time.But that has not stopped Trump supporters making up 'fraud' claims against sitting Fed members in an effort to twist the voting panel.These minutes had no impact on financial markets.There was a well-supported US Treasury 20 year bond tender earlier today that delivered a median yield of 4.82%. That was lower than the 4.89% at the prior equivalent event a month ago.In Canada, a survey of small business owners turned more positive in July - even though their trade association claimed that 38% of them won't last a year without tariff changes.Across the Pacific, Taiwan turned in another very strong rise in export orders, up +15% in July from a year ago. After the +25% rise in June, this remains impressive but is what analysts have now come to expect.In Indonesia, they had a central bank review of their 5.25% policy interest rate yesterday and no change was anticipated. But in fact they cut by -25 bps to 5.00%, the fifth cut over the past year. They are confident inflation will remain contained and are moving to support "the need to stimulate economic growth in line with the economy's capacity".In the UK, their CPI inflation rate rose to 3.8% in July, its highest since January 2024. Driving the rise were cost increases from transport, holidays, food and fuel. These were offset by slower increases in rents (even if they are still rising fast). They have their own twist on the CPI called the CPIH which they emphasise, which adds in owner-occupier housing costs, and that rose 4.2%. That draws in imputed rents, stamp duties, and the cost of maintenance improvements. Either way, they have a sharpish inflation problem.In Australia, AUSTRAC said real estate agents are one of the key to tackling scams, drug trafficking and organised crime. Along with banks and lawyers, real estate agents are going to get more focus on fighting money laundering.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.29%, down -1 bp from yesterday at this time.The price of gold will start today at US$3,347/oz, up +US$31 from yesterday.American oil prices have stabilised at just over US$62.50/bbl with the international Brent price up +US$1 to just over US$66.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is at just on 58.3 USc and down -70 bps from yesterday following the dovish RBNZ MPS. Against the Aussie we have fallen -80 bps to 90.6 AUc. Against the euro we are down -60 bps at 50 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just under 66.1, and down -80 bps.The bitcoin price starts today at US$114,270 and up +0.7% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been low at just under +/-0.8%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Cierre de Mercados: 19/08/2025

Cierre de mercados

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 19, 2025 53:59

Los inversores de Wall Street se preparan para el discurso de Jerome Powell en Jackson Hole a finales de esta semana. Antes analizarán las opiniones de los dos responsables de política monetaria que recientemente han expresado su preocupación por la reticencia a bajar los tipos de interés, que podría causar daños innecesarios en el mercado laboral: la gobernadora y directora de supervisión de la Fed, Michelle Bowman, y su colega Christopher Waller, que también intervendrá mañana miércoles, cuando se publiquen las actas de la última reunión del banco central estadounidense. El discurso de Powell el viernes en la reunión anual del banco central en Jackson Hole, marca el inicio de una racha decisiva para el mercado de bonos del Tesoro, que considera prácticamente segura una bajada de un cuarto de punto porcentual en la tasa de interés el próximo mes, con al menos una más para finales de año. Powell ha aprovechado este foro anual para hacer declaraciones que han impactado al mercado en los últimos años, y esta vez el contexto es potencialmente trascendental. Otro de los platos fuertes de esta edición será la intervención el sábado de la presidenta del BCE, Christine Lagarde, ausente el año pasado, en su primera comparecencia pública desde la decisión de tipos del BCE del pasado 24 de julio. Su próxima reunión tendrá lugar el 11 de septiembre. En el frente geopolítico hay progresos hacia un posible acuerdo de paz entre Rusia y Ucrania. En este contexto, las bolsas europeas retoman hoy las subidas tras la recogida de beneficios de ayer. Analizamos la jornada con Ignacio Cantos-Figuerola, Socio Director de Inversiones de ATL Capital. En el consultorio de Bolsa contaremos con Marc Ribes, cofundador de Blackbird.

"Trump Is Laughing At EVERYONE" - Fed Drops SHOCKING Rate CUT Prediction After Inflation Report

Valuetainment

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2025 9:32

Fed Governor Michelle Bowman reaffirms her forecast for three quarter-point rate cuts in 2025, marking a rare dual dissent with Christopher Waller. The crew breaks down market reactions, Trump's potential Fed picks, and why investor discipline matters more than central bank moves.

S10E27: July's inflation and Christopher Waller

WealthVest: The Weekly Bull & Bear

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2025 24:33

In this episode of WealthVest: The Weekly Bull&Bear, Drew and Tim discussed the recent inflation report, Citigroup's bullish outlook for 2026, Christopher Waller as the potential new chairman of the Fed, and the recent Nvidia deal.WealthVest – based in Bozeman, MT– is a financial services marketing and distribution firm specializing in fixed and fixed index annuities from many high-quality insurance companies. WealthVest provides the tools, resources, practice management support, and products that financial professionals need to provide their clients a predictable retirement that has their best interest in mind.Hosts: Drew Dokken, Tim PierottiAlbum Artwork: Sam YarboroughShow Editing and Production: Tavin DavisDisclosure: The information covered and posted represents the views and opinions of the hosts and does not necessarily represent the views or opinions of WealthVest. The mere appearance of Content on the Site does not constitute an endorsement by WealthVest. The Content has been made available for informational and educational purposes only. WealthVest does not make any representation or warranties with respect to the accuracy, applicability, fitness, or completeness of the Content.WealthVest does not warrant the performance, effectiveness or applicability of any sites listed or linked to in any Content. The content is not intended to be a substitute for professional investing advice. Always seek the advice of your financial advisor or other qualified financial service provider with any questions you may have regarding your investment planning. Investment and investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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Activist bij de Fed: vier (????) renteverlagingen

corn tijdens column christopher waller zeijl

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 8, 2025 24:16

Niet alleen het hoofdkantoor van de Fed wordt verbouwd, ook het bestuur van de Amerikaanse centrale bank moet er aan geloven. Trump benoemt namelijk zijn economisch adviseur Stephen Miran. Waardoor hij er een vertrouweling bij krijgt.Daar stopt het niet, want hij heeft nu ook een favoriet op het oog die de baas wordt van de Fed. Deze aflevering kijken we wat het betekent voor jou dat de Fed meer MAGA-proof wordt. En of er nu echt vier renteverlagingen aan komen, zoals de economen van JP Morgan denken.Over Trump gesproken: hij blijkt iets minder impopulair te worden onder Amerikaanse kiezers. Een groter probleem hebben de Democraten. Sinds 1996 stonden ze er niet zó slecht voor als nu. We kijken ook wat er allemaal terecht komt van alle beloftes die topmannen en regeringsleiders doen. Zoals Tim Cook van Apple, die 600 miljard dollar investeert in de VS. Gaat dat allemaal wel gebeuren? En dan weer over Cook gesproken: we hebben het ook over koekjes. Over die van Lotus Bakeries om precies te zijn. Een aandeel dat geliefd is bij de Zuiderburen. Tot dit jaar dan, want de koers had het moeilijk. Al kwam daar vandaag ineens verandering in. Beleggers smullen van de halfjaarcijfers! Ook hoor je waarom je goed kan verdienen met DuoLingo en minder met dure horloges. De topman van Breitling vertelt hoe hij zich voorbereid op die gigantische heffingen die Trump oplegt aan Zwitserland.Verder in deze aflevering: De winst van NN Group daalt met 40 procent. Ja, en? Het aandeel van Softbank tikt een recordstand aan De fusie tussen Paramount en Skydance is een feit See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

ceo donald trump ai apple japan elon musk europa record wall tesla wall street amsterdam cook activist intel bloomberg chips fed maga paramount index nasdaq deze technologie nederland jp morgan niet vier lotus tot daar nederlandse tim cook dow verder rente jerome powell duolingo gaat dow jones palantir softbank sinds amerikaanse nikkei groei amsterdamse small cap indices bedrijf sp500 verkiezingen bedrijven skydance investeren winst zwitserland waardoor bnr miljard koers breitling s&p500 robotica beleggen verkoop omzet swiggy beurs vision fund topman arbeidsmarkt concurrentie investeringen topix productie s&p aandelen miljarden david ellison democraten beleggers bnr nieuwsradio investeerders aex kiezers fusie nn group christopher waller veb techbedrijven obligaties damrak lotus bakeries

Column Corné van Zeijl

Podcast | BNR

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 8, 2025 4:06

De Amerikaanse Federal Reserve hield vorige week de rente onveranderd. Tijdens de beleidsvergadering waren Michelle Bowman en Christopher Waller het er niet mee eens. Het was de eerste keer sinds 1993 dat twee leden van het beleidscomité iets anders wilden.

Opinie | Trump zal Powell nog gaan missen

Column Corné van Zeijl | BNR

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 8, 2025 4:07

De Amerikaanse Federal Reserve hield vorige week de rente onveranderd. Tijdens de beleidsvergadering waren Michelle Bowman en Christopher Waller het er niet mee eens. Het was de eerste keer sinds 1993 dat twee leden van het beleidscomité iets anders wilden. Deze dissidentie heeft weinig met monetair beleid te maken, het is meer om in een goed blaadje te komen bij president Donald Trump om de opvolger van Jerome Powell te worden. Een toneelstukje, maar het geeft gelijk aan wat het risico is. De financiële markten willen geen marionettenpop als Fed-voorzitter. In de komende maanden wordt duidelijk wie Powell gaat vervangen, en dan is het aan de markt om daar een oordeel over te vellen. Het recente ontslag van het hoofd van het statistiekbureau gaf al een duidelijk signaal: als de cijfers je niet aanstaan, geef je de boodschapper de schuld. Iets wat bijvoorbeeld de Turkse president Recep Tayyip Erdogan in 2022 ook deed. De VS gaan snel de kant van Turkije op. Leuk, al dat gedoe over de onafhankelijkheid van de Fed, maar wat betekent het voor beleggers? Stel, we krijgen straks een Fed die naar de pijpen van Trump danst – die zal dan de rente meer gaan verlagen dan nodig is. En als de Amerikaanse rente daalt, dan wordt de dollar minder aantrekkelijk. Met een los monetair beleid groeit het risico dat de inflatie op lange termijn uit de hand loopt. Zeg maar een herhaling van de jaren zeventig. De kans is groot dat beleggers daarvoor een risicopremie willen ontvangen. En dat betekent juist weer een hogere obligatierente. Al zitten er, terwijl het op lange termijn slecht mag zijn, op korte termijn ook positieve kanten aan een slap monetair beleid. Immers, hoe lager de rente, hoe eerder beleggers overstappen naar aandelen. En voor de staatskas is het ook prettig. De Amerikaanse overheid heeft erg veel kortlopende obligaties uitstaan. Hoe lager de Fed-rente, hoe minder rente de overheid op nieuw uit te geven treasury bills hoeft te betalen. Maar de andere kant van de medaille is dat dit eveneens risico’s met zich meebrengt: mocht de rente om wat voor reden dan ook toch weer stijgen, dan vliegen de rentelasten direct uit de bocht. Over tien maanden is Powell voorzitter af. Maar zijn termijn als Fed-lid loopt nog tot januari 2028 door. Normaal gesproken verlaat de ex-voorzitter de Federal Reserve, maar dit zijn geen normale tijden. De kans bestaat dat hij gewoon blijft zitten, hoewel ik die niet zo groot inschat. We zullen in elk geval nog met weemoed terugdenken aan deze standvastige voorzitter met ruggengraat, want die hebben zijn twee potentiële opvolgers in ieder geval niet. Ik denk dat Trump Powell nog het meest zal missen. Nu kan hij hem nog de schuld geven van alles wat fout gaat, straks niet meer. Over de column van Corné van Zeijl Corné van Zeijl is analist en strateeg bij Cardano en belegt ook privé. Reageer via c.zeijl@cardano.com. Deze column kun je ook iedere donderdag lezen in het FD.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Activist bij de Fed: vier (????) renteverlagingen

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 8, 2025 24:16

Niet alleen het hoofdkantoor van de Fed wordt verbouwd, ook het bestuur van de Amerikaanse centrale bank moet er aan geloven. Trump benoemt namelijk zijn economisch adviseur Stephen Miran. Waardoor hij er een vertrouweling bij krijgt.Daar stopt het niet, want hij heeft nu ook een favoriet op het oog die de baas wordt van de Fed. Deze aflevering kijken we wat het betekent voor jou dat de Fed meer MAGA-proof wordt. En of er nu echt vier renteverlagingen aan komen, zoals de economen van JP Morgan denken.Over Trump gesproken: hij blijkt iets minder impopulair te worden onder Amerikaanse kiezers. Een groter probleem hebben de Democraten. Sinds 1996 stonden ze er niet zó slecht voor als nu. We kijken ook wat er allemaal terecht komt van alle beloftes die topmannen en regeringsleiders doen. Zoals Tim Cook van Apple, die 600 miljard dollar investeert in de VS. Gaat dat allemaal wel gebeuren? En dan weer over Cook gesproken: we hebben het ook over koekjes. Over die van Lotus Bakeries om precies te zijn. Een aandeel dat geliefd is bij de Zuiderburen. Tot dit jaar dan, want de koers had het moeilijk. Al kwam daar vandaag ineens verandering in. Beleggers smullen van de halfjaarcijfers! Ook hoor je waarom je goed kan verdienen met DuoLingo en minder met dure horloges. De topman van Breitling vertelt hoe hij zich voorbereid op die gigantische heffingen die Trump oplegt aan Zwitserland.Verder in deze aflevering: De winst van NN Group daalt met 40 procent. Ja, en? Het aandeel van Softbank tikt een recordstand aan De fusie tussen Paramount en Skydance is een feit See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

ceo donald trump ai apple japan elon musk europa record wall tesla wall street amsterdam cook activist intel bloomberg chips fed maga paramount index nasdaq deze technologie nederland jp morgan niet vier lotus tot daar nederlandse tim cook dow verder rente jerome powell duolingo gaat dow jones palantir softbank sinds amerikaanse nikkei groei amsterdamse small cap indices bedrijf sp500 verkiezingen bedrijven skydance investeren winst zwitserland waardoor bnr miljard koers breitling s&p500 robotica beleggen verkoop omzet swiggy beurs vision fund topman arbeidsmarkt concurrentie investeringen topix productie s&p aandelen miljarden david ellison democraten beleggers bnr nieuwsradio investeerders aex kiezers fusie nn group christopher waller veb techbedrijven obligaties damrak lotus bakeries

Once A Republic Is Corrupted The Only Path Is Removing It, Band-Aid Will Not Work – Ep. 3703

X22 Report

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 6, 2025 101:45

Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger Picture Trump is in the process of shutting down solar and wind green new scam programs. The latest is a wind farm. Trump has cancelled EV subsidies, EV companies have been losing money.There are two economic systems running at the same time. The people feel the pain from the [CB], the feel relief from Trump new system. The fake news only reports on the [CB] failing economy. The [DS] criminal syndicate is coming to an end, the people are being educated on who the real enemy is. More crimes are going to be released to build upon the Russia hoax, this will allow people to understand that this was not just a one off occurrence. When a republic is corrupted there is only one path, it must be destroyed.A corrupt system can not be remedied, a band-aid fix will not work. Trump is in the process of bringing down the entire corrupt system down on the [DS] players. Economy https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/1953096256063947004 crusade against wind power. https://twitter.com/DC_Draino/status/1952901098559197522 https://twitter.com/profstonge/status/1953055955219832941 https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/1952819368854774265 comes as Trump is reportedly planning an EXECUTIVE ORDER going after banks for this conduct. Lay down the hammer, 47. It has to stop. https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1952869476455616938 outpaced inflation. Since 2000, hospital services, college tuition, and housing prices have surged by 271%, 194%, and 108%, respectively. By comparison, overall inflation has risen 90%. Essential expenses are eating up more income than ever. https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1953068614250004927 +$27 billion, to $1.21 trillion, just shy of an all-time high. Student and auto loans climbed +$7 billion and +$13 billion, to $1.64 trillion and $1.66 trillion, respectively, both hitting records. Americans are piling on debt. https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/1953114624468930903 (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); Trump Warns Europe 35% Tariff Looms If They Fail to Keep Their Word on Investments U.S. President Donald Trump issued a warning that Europe would be subjected to a punitive trade tariff if it attempted to welch on its promise to invest in the American economy. The European Union will “pay tariffs of 35 per cent” if it breaks the conditions of the massive Europe-U.S. trade deal agreed last month, President Trump said. The warning, which was solicited by a question about what safeguards are built into his trade deal with the European Union from CNBC in their interview with the President on Tuesday morning, also saw Trump lay out some of the basics of the agreement Source: breitbart.com https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1952836839964065873 The two Kevins Trump referred to in his CNBC interview are Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve governor, and Kevin Hassett, who currently serves as director of the National Economic Council. Based on reporting about his shortlist of four finalists, the other two contenders are Christopher Waller, a current Fed governor, and Judy Shelton, a former Trump economic advisor. Trump confirmed that Treasury Secretary Scott Be...

Deze 'crazy' ceo zorgt voor krankzinnig populair aandeel

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 5, 2025 25:09

Een gevarieerde beursdag, zo kan je hem wel het best omschrijven. Het ging over een vette bek, medicatie, software en over olie. Om te beginnen met oliemaatschappij BP. Dat kwam met goede kwartaalcijfers, die beleggers totaal niet zagen aankomen. Nu alle grote olie- en gasreuzen met cijfers zijn gekomen, maken we de balans op. Wat is het beste aandeel dat je kan hebben? Is dat nu toch BP of moet je gaan voor Shell, ExxonMobil, Chevron, TotalEnergies of Saudi-Aramco?Die andere hoogvlieger is Pfizer. De farmaceut verrast niet alleen met de kwartaalcijfers, dat doet het óók met de outlook. Het verhoogt de winstverwachting. Ondanks de torenhoge importheffingen van Trump en zijn dreigement om de prijzen van farmaceuten aan te pakken.Die vette bek gaat over Yum Brands, de eigenaar van onder meer KFC en de Pizza Hut. Dat heeft het pijnlijk genoeg heel lastig op de thuismarkt. Al kwartalen op rij draaien ze in de VS slecht.Ook vertellen we je alles over Palantir. Dat aandeel deed het al waanzinnig goed, maar blijft maar stijgen. Reden zijn de goede cijfers. We onderzoeken waarom dit bedrijf (dat onder meer de FBI als klant heeft) zo'n beurslieveling is. Verder in deze aflevering: De Zwitsers vliegen naar Trump om te onderhandelen over de tarieven Trump ziet Scott Bessent afhaken: hij wil geen Fed-baas worden TSMC heeft een lek: er zijn bedrijfsgeheimen gestolen Aandeelhouders van NovoNordisk slepen bedrijf voor de rechter See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

donald trump ai fbi wall wall street hype amsterdam cia rio dollar energie chips pfizer fed cnbc sector index kfc kosten nasdaq voor reden deze technologie nederland schuld bp ing chevron pizza hut nederlandse dow verder jerome powell studenten banken dow jones palantir exxonmobil big five tsmc ondanks rusland novo nordisk staking asml amsterdamse small cap indices totalenergies bedrijf saudi aramco sp500 bedrijven kritiek winst investeren amerikanen zwitserland bnr defensie verkopen koers farma boeren yum brands s&p500 beleggen prijzen coreweave omzet beurs topman herfst kevin hassett investeringen s&p aandelen core scientific miljarden beleggers bnr nieuwsradio overname medicijnen rechtbank investeerders aex overheden christopher waller kevin warsh analisten obligaties beursgang damrak

Deze 'crazy' ceo zorgt voor krankzinnig populair aandeel

news wall street journal hits nasdaq record high christopher waller

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 5, 2025 25:09

Een gevarieerde beursdag, zo kan je hem wel het best omschrijven. Het ging over een vette bek, medicatie, software en over olie. Om te beginnen met oliemaatschappij BP. Dat kwam met goede kwartaalcijfers, die beleggers totaal niet zagen aankomen. Nu alle grote olie- en gasreuzen met cijfers zijn gekomen, maken we de balans op. Wat is het beste aandeel dat je kan hebben? Is dat nu toch BP of moet je gaan voor Shell, ExxonMobil, Chevron, TotalEnergies of Saudi-Aramco?Die andere hoogvlieger is Pfizer. De farmaceut verrast niet alleen met de kwartaalcijfers, dat doet het óók met de outlook. Het verhoogt de winstverwachting. Ondanks de torenhoge importheffingen van Trump en zijn dreigement om de prijzen van farmaceuten aan te pakken.Die vette bek gaat over Yum Brands, de eigenaar van onder meer KFC en de Pizza Hut. Dat heeft het pijnlijk genoeg heel lastig op de thuismarkt. Al kwartalen op rij draaien ze in de VS slecht.Ook vertellen we je alles over Palantir. Dat aandeel deed het al waanzinnig goed, maar blijft maar stijgen. Reden zijn de goede cijfers. We onderzoeken waarom dit bedrijf (dat onder meer de FBI als klant heeft) zo'n beurslieveling is. Verder in deze aflevering: De Zwitsers vliegen naar Trump om te onderhandelen over de tarieven Trump ziet Scott Bessent afhaken: hij wil geen Fed-baas worden TSMC heeft een lek: er zijn bedrijfsgeheimen gestolen Aandeelhouders van NovoNordisk slepen bedrijf voor de rechter See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

donald trump ai fbi wall wall street hype amsterdam cia rio dollar energie chips pfizer fed cnbc sector index kfc kosten nasdaq voor reden deze technologie nederland schuld bp ing chevron pizza hut nederlandse dow verder jerome powell studenten banken dow jones palantir exxonmobil big five tsmc ondanks rusland novo nordisk staking asml amsterdamse small cap indices totalenergies bedrijf saudi aramco sp500 bedrijven kritiek winst investeren amerikanen zwitserland bnr defensie verkopen koers farma boeren yum brands s&p500 beleggen prijzen coreweave omzet beurs topman herfst kevin hassett investeringen s&p aandelen core scientific miljarden beleggers bnr nieuwsradio overname medicijnen rechtbank investeerders aex overheden christopher waller kevin warsh analisten obligaties beursgang damrak

Woes and Whoas: Fallout From the July FOMC

Key Wealth Matters

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 4, 2025 29:44

In this week's episode, we discuss eight reports and news items that are impacting the economy today, and which will likely have lingering effects into the future; these touch on the labor market in regard to unemployment and payrolls, housing, inflation, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), earnings season, and – the big news of the week – what came out of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and the lower than expected new non-farm payroll report. As always, we analyze these items and how they're affecting the equity and bond markets, and what moves investors may consider making.Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerStephen Hoedt, Head of EquitiesRajeev Sharma, Managing Director of Fixed IncomeCynthia Honcharenko, Director of Fixed Income Portfolio Management 01:47 – We introduce the eight topics and reports that lay the groundwork for our discussion: weekly initial unemployment claims, job openings, existing home sales, GDP for Q2:2025, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation figures, the jobs report showing underwhelming numbers for new nonfarm payrolls, a negative revision for the May and June figures, and a slight bump in overall unemployment, the FOMC meeting, and news from the midst of earning season.06:30 – The big items from the FOMC: rates remain unchanged, two governors voice dissent, and no firm commitment on a September rate cut. The reasoning behind the continued fed funds rate is that inflation is still elevated, the labor market is robust, unemployment remains low, and inflationary pressures persist due to trade uncertainties.07:42 – Fed Chair Jerome Powell touched on 7 themes during the post-meeting press conference: no rate cuts, monetary policy is restrictive, pressure from tariffs, conflicting pressures between inflation and the labor market, market pricing recalibration, Fed independence in rate setting in light of government borrowing costs, and acknowledging the notable dual dissents within the FOMC meeting.09:35 – The likelihood of a September rate cut dropped to 39% at the time of the FOMC meeting, with a fourth quarter cut more likely. The dissent from governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman seems less politically motivated than borne out of genuine care for the labor market.12:38 – The labor market is stable but might be starting to show some cracks signaling a potential slowdown as layoffs are low but so is hiring.17:01 – The 2-year Treasury yield, which is most sensitive to Fed policy, rose slightly following the FOMC meeting on Wednesday, then dropped significantly today in reaction to this morning's jobs report – the biggest such reaction since 2004. Given this volatility, expectations of a September rate cut are now increasing.20:07 – Shifting tariffs and trade policy seem to be hitting the stock market this week, with falling copper futures as a notable example. 21:16 – The Trump administration's recent pushback against Powell's wait-and-see approach to rate cuts appears prescient given the market reaction to today's lukewarm jobs report. There's now a higher chance of a Powell resignation as a Fed governor rather than finishing out his full term, after a potential replacement as the sitting Fed Chair.24:14 – As earnings season continues, major tech companies are showing mixed results, with Microsoft and Meta reporting favorably in contrast to lackluster reports from Amazon and Apple.Additional ResourcesRead: What Are the Top 10 Provisions in the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” That Will Impact Businesses?Attend: August 19: Key Wealth's National Call: Planning Implications of the One Big Beautiful Bill (OBBB) ActKey Questions | Key Private Bank Subscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterWeekly Investment Brief Follow us on LinkedIn

The Nasdaq Hits 11th Record High for the Year

WSJ Minute Briefing

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 2:41

But otherwise stocks closed mostly lower. Plus: Fed governor Christopher Waller said he would take the central bank's top job if offered. And a surge in trading activity boosted some brokerage profits last quarter. Danny Lewis hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Housing Affordability & House Speaker Mike Johnson 7/18/25

Squawk Pod

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 34:04

Once the Housing and Urban Development Secretary under President Obama, Shaun Donovan now runs a nonprofit devoted to increasing housing supply and advancing equity. In a conversation about America's housing affordability crisis, Sec. Donovan explains how the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit in President Trump's spending bill incentivizes private investment. House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) touts his wins in the spending bill and shares his perspective on monetary policy. Speaker Johnson also weighs in on the Epstein files, saying he and the President believe in transparency. Plus, Netflix reported a strong second quarter, top Federal Reserve official Christopher Waller is calling for a rate cut this month, and The Late Show will end, come next May. Shaun Donovan - 13:46Speaker Mike Johnson - 20:27 In this episode: Mike Johnson, @SpeakerJohnsonMelissa Lee, @MelissaLeeCNBCJoe Kernen, @JoeSquawkZach Vallese, @zachvallese

america netflix president donald trump barack obama housing sec epstein federal reserve late show housing affordability house speaker mike johnson christopher waller house speaker mike johnson r la urban development secretary

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller Talks Labor Market, Fed Chair

Bloomberg Talks

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 17:25 Transcription Available

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller says, “the private sector is not doing as well as everybody thinks it is,” as he makes the case for the Fed to lower borrowing costs before the labor market begins to deteriorate. Waller also discusses debate on monetary policy, inflation from tariffs, and whether he would accept the job of Fed Chair if it was offered to him. Waller speaks with Bloomberg's Jonathan Ferro, Lisa Abramowicz, Annmarie Hordern, and Mike McKee.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

governor bloomberg fed federal reserve waller labor market fed chair christopher waller mike mckee lisa abramowicz

Netflix posts Q2 beat as membership and ad sales surge

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 26:10

Netflix posts a Q2 beat on the back of strong subscriber growth and advertising sales and has hiked its revenue forecast. Shares move slightly down in after-hours trade, however, as investors brace for rising costs in H2. Federal Reserve governor Christopher Waller is urging a rate cut this month, citing growing weakness in the U.S. labor market. And in Japan, the ruling coalition could lose its upper house majority in this weekend's election as an upstart right-wing party threatens to add pressure to the country's finances. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Judas-praktijken binnen de Fed: Powell verraden

netflix donald trump china chaos tech er attack wall wall street series cbs wall street journal alles amsterdam judas privacy mark zuckerberg bloomberg fed cnbc machines paramount goldman sachs federal reserve nvidia accounts index jeffrey epstein tel aviv nasdaq nederland jp morgan hij heel david letterman stephen colbert export isra late show nederlandse streamer dow verder rente luxe jerome powell banken dow jones murdoch lvmh truth social rupert murdoch binnen amerikaanse burberry bingen saab tsmc news corp economie kijken rutte asml amsterdamse small cap bazooka indices late night shows kennis bedrijf verlies sp500 jensen huang trenchcoat bedrijven bernard arnault verlagen investeren winst navo zouden bnr defensie herstel de amerikaanse koers s&p500 beleggen omzet beurs topman inflatie marges waarschuwing rechtszaak investeringen s&p aandelen ontslag beleggers skydance media bnr nieuwsradio investeerders aex carl gustaf gebruikers advertenties christopher waller veb fed powell techbedrijven analisten obligaties damrak

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 24:32

Het gaat goed met Netflix. Heel erg goed, en dus verhogen ze de omzetverwachting voor het hele jaar! Er kwamen meer abonnees bij, die ook nog eens meer betalen. Ook verdient Netflix meer aan adverenties. Zouden we bijna de winst vergeten: die stijgt met bijna 48 procent!Alles lijkt goed te gaan bij Netflix. Alleen de hoge verwachtingen van beleggers en analisten lijken het aandeel nog naar beneden te krijgen. Dat bespreken we deze aflevering. Kijken we ook of Netflix niet het nieuwe goud is, je vluchthaven in onrustige tijden.Onrustig is het ook bij de Federal Reserve. De Amerikaanse centrale bank wordt steeds aangevallen door president Trump. Die vindt dat Fed-baas Jerome Powell een 'idioot' is die 'te traag is' met het verlagen van de rente. Arme Powell krijgt er nu nog een probleem bij: een van zijn collega's keert zich tegen hem. Over Trump gesproken. Hij lijkt de reden voor het abrupt stoppen van de Late Night Show. Of dat nog niet genoeg is, gaat hij nu ook achter Rupert Murdoch en zijn Wall Street Journal aan.Verder in deze BNR Beurs: Zuckerberg toch niet onder ede gehoord, tot frustratie van zijn eigen beleggers Saab scoort en niet alleen met de oude auto van de Navo-baas De beurs van Israël bereikt een nieuwe recordstand Hoe onrustiger, hoe beter. Amerikaanse zakenbanken profiteren en masse See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Waller de la Fed propone baja de tasa; Moody's eleva calificación de Argentina por reformas económicas

Daybreak en Español

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 9:04

Christopher Waller, de la Fed, pidió un recorte de 25 puntos base en las tasas de interés este mes, argumentando que el mercado laboral está “al límite” y los riesgos alcistas para la inflación son limitados, Moody's eleva nota de Argentina por reformas económicas, y Amy Stillman, periodista en Ciudad de México, nos cuenta sobre el papel que juega Latinoamérica como fuente comercial para los autos fabricados en China. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

china argentina fed ciudad moody latinoam baja waller eleva tasa propone de argentina calificaci la fed argentina por christopher waller reformas econ

Judas-praktijken binnen de Fed: Powell verraden

netflix donald trump china chaos tech er attack wall wall street series cbs wall street journal alles amsterdam judas privacy mark zuckerberg bloomberg fed cnbc machines paramount goldman sachs federal reserve nvidia accounts index jeffrey epstein tel aviv nasdaq nederland jp morgan hij heel david letterman stephen colbert export isra late show nederlandse streamer dow verder rente luxe jerome powell banken dow jones murdoch lvmh truth social rupert murdoch binnen amerikaanse burberry bingen saab tsmc news corp economie kijken rutte asml amsterdamse small cap bazooka indices late night shows kennis bedrijf verlies sp500 jensen huang trenchcoat bedrijven bernard arnault verlagen investeren winst navo zouden bnr defensie herstel de amerikaanse koers s&p500 beleggen omzet beurs topman inflatie marges waarschuwing rechtszaak investeringen s&p aandelen ontslag beleggers skydance media bnr nieuwsradio investeerders aex carl gustaf advertenties gebruikers christopher waller veb fed powell techbedrijven analisten obligaties damrak

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 24:32

Het gaat goed met Netflix. Heel erg goed, en dus verhogen ze de omzetverwachting voor het hele jaar! Er kwamen meer abonnees bij, die ook nog eens meer betalen. Ook verdient Netflix meer aan adverenties. Zouden we bijna de winst vergeten: die stijgt met bijna 48 procent!Alles lijkt goed te gaan bij Netflix. Alleen de hoge verwachtingen van beleggers en analisten lijken het aandeel nog naar beneden te krijgen. Dat bespreken we deze aflevering. Kijken we ook of Netflix niet het nieuwe goud is, je vluchthaven in onrustige tijden.Onrustig is het ook bij de Federal Reserve. De Amerikaanse centrale bank wordt steeds aangevallen door president Trump. Die vindt dat Fed-baas Jerome Powell een 'idioot' is die 'te traag is' met het verlagen van de rente. Arme Powell krijgt er nu nog een probleem bij: een van zijn collega's keert zich tegen hem. Over Trump gesproken. Hij lijkt de reden voor het abrupt stoppen van de Late Night Show. Of dat nog niet genoeg is, gaat hij nu ook achter Rupert Murdoch en zijn Wall Street Journal aan.Verder in deze BNR Beurs: Zuckerberg toch niet onder ede gehoord, tot frustratie van zijn eigen beleggers Saab scoort en niet alleen met de oude auto van de Navo-baas De beurs van Israël bereikt een nieuwe recordstand Hoe onrustiger, hoe beter. Amerikaanse zakenbanken profiteren en masse See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Trump pandemic twists American summer priorities

Economy Watch

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 9, 2025 4:18

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news of more tariff threats, but markets are over that drama, shoving its impact to the background. If there is news on a US-EU deal, then that will likely change.First in the US, even though the benchmark 30 year home loan interest rate was little-changed, mortgage applications rose a sharpish +9.3% from the prior week, and that was a rise for a third week in a row, a relatively unusual streak. Both refinance and new home purchases had good gains this week.One reason they may be more active is that Americans are shunning international travel, kind of like in the pandemic emergency, perhaps fearful of the reception they will get in both Europe, South America and Asia. And the feeling is mutual. EU-US airfares are diving and services are being cut back. But Canada is now a hit, with other-than-the-US destinations much more popular, and Toronto especially is getting a surge. In the world of travel, the US is the only major market suffering declines in visitors.The US Federal reserve released the minutes of its June 19 (NZT) meeting. And that hinted at a developing divide among members between those who support the Trump view that the tariff-tax impact on inflation will be transitory, and those that think it will be 'persistent' and do long-term and lasting damage to American cost competitiveness. And that divergence affected their view of when to next cut rates. At this meeting at least those with the fear of embedded inflation won out and rates were left unchanged. But financial markets have priced in two more -25 bps rate cuts later this year.At least one of their number are in a broader Apprentice-style competition for Powell's job - Christopher Waller.There was another US Treasury bond auction overnight, for their 10 year maturity, and it was normally supported. It delivered an median yield of 4.31% compared to the 4.38% at the prior equivalent event a month ago.Across the Pacific, Japanese machine tool orders rose in June from May, maintaining their better level in a trend that started in March. And it was demand from domestic manufacturers that were especially strong. Even though in total they were just marginally less than a year ago, that year ago benchmark was unusually strong for a 2024 month.The heart of the northern hemisphere holiday season is underway and financial market activity is lighter than usual. This period will likely last until the end of August, culminating at the American Labor Day long weekend.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.34%, and down -8 bps from yesterday.And we should note that Nvidia has become the first company to command an equity valuation of US$4 tln.The price of gold will start today at US$3,308/oz, and up a mere +US$2 from yesterday.American oil prices are unchanged at US$68.50/bbl while the international Brent price is still just under US$70.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is still just on 60 USc, essentially unchanged from yesterday. Against the Aussie we are down -20 bps at 91.7 AUc. Against the euro we are holding at 51.2 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just on 67.5 and -10 bps lower from yesterday at this time.The bitcoin price starts today at US$109,140 and virtually unchanged (+0.1%) from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been low at just on +/-0.6%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

A Market Rally on Fed Hints, Fading Geopolitical Risks & Equity Index Annuities

Money Wise

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 28, 2025 81:32

The Money Wise guys kick off this week's show with a review of last week's numbers from Wall Street before diving into a discussion on current political tensions.Markets rallied hard this past week, capping off a strong June with gains across the board. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1,612 points, or 3.8%. The S&P 500 climbed 205 points, a 3.4% jump, and the NASDAQ led the charge, adding 826 points for a 4.2% gain. Year-to-date, the Dow is now up 3%, the S&P 500 is up 5%, and the NASDAQ is also up 5%. This strong week was fueled by investor optimism that several lingering concerns may be moving toward resolution. The team discuss the market's reaction to easing geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran, with the U.S. stepping in to de-escalate the situation. Despite some market jitters from new tariff-related headlines, including more trade drama involving China and Canada, the overall tone remained bullish. Comments from Fed officials and Chair Jerome Powell leaned more dovish than expected, suggesting that interest rate cuts could happen sooner than previously thought. A Market Rally on Fed Hints Markets surged this week in part due to dovish signals from the Federal Reserve. Comments from Fed Governors, including Christopher Waller, suggested a growing openness to interest rate cuts, potentially sooner than previously expected. Fed Chair Jerome Powell reinforced this tone during his testimony before Congress, emphasizing that the Fed is willing to act quickly if economic data warrants it. These remarks fueled optimism among investors who have been eagerly awaiting clarity on monetary policy. The possibility of rate relief sparked a strong rally, with major indexes posting some of their biggest weekly gains of the year. In the second hour, the Money Wise guys discuss Equity Index Annuities. You don't want to miss the details! Tune in for the full discussion on your favorite podcast provider or at davidsoncap.com, where you can also learn more about the Money Wise guys or take advantage of a portfolio review and analysis with Davidson Capital Management.

Trump gaat vreemd: Powell ingewisseld voor andere man

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 26, 2025 23:46

Fed-baas Jerome Powell is nog bijna een jaar de baas van de Amerikaanse centrale bank. Maar Trump zou deze zomer al 'de nieuwe Powell' willen benoemen. Volgens The Wall Street Journal mikt 'ie op september. Dat is veel eerder dan gebruikelijk. Iets waar beleggers van schrikken.We hebben het er deze aflevering over. We bespreken de kandidaten die genoemd worden, maar ook het risico van zo'n schaduwbaas. En of de angst van beleggers terecht is (en wat die dalende Dollar voor gevolgen heeft).Over centrale bankiers gesproken: we hebben het ook over de ECB. In Frankfurt hebben ze een bijzonder onderzoek gedaan. Ze hebben namelijk gekeken of ze ChatGPT kunnen inzetten voor hun onderzoek. Het korte antwoord: ja!Verder bespreken we de hype rondom het aandeel van Nvidia. Dat maakt ineens zijn comeback en dat heeft alles te maken met een aandeelhoudersvergadering en een enthousiaste topman. Al lijkt het er steeds meer op dat de aandeelhouders enthousiaster zijn dan de topman zelf... Ook gaat het over: Shell. Dat mag (omdat het geruchten over BP ontkent) nu niet op overnamepad. Jeff Bezos. Die probeert, nu Elon Musk weg is, te slijmen bij Trump. Ikea. Dat gaat de prijzen met 50 procent verlagen. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

donald trump ai elon musk microsoft mars comeback chatgpt wall bitcoin restaurants wall street amsterdam crypto platform jeff bezos outlook claim dollar ikea chips fed powell frankfurt andere sector robotics nvidia booking index financial times ze nasdaq voor nederland bp nederlandse dow verder rente blue origin jerome powell gaat dow jones snickers pringles lynx iets ecb amerikaanse brussel twix amsterdamse small cap indices bedrijf sp500 jensen huang bedrijven investeren bnr koers s&p500 beleggen visma europese commissie beurs topman kellogs witte huis vreemd investeringen kevin hassett s&p aandelen beleggers kellanova bnr nieuwsradio david malpass boodschappen overname investeerders aex europese centrale bank waardering christopher waller cryptovaluta kevin warsh reizigers consumentenbond obligaties beursgang damrak maar trump

Trump gaat vreemd: Powell ingewisseld voor andere man

donald trump governor bloomberg fed tariffs labor market christopher waller

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 26, 2025 23:46

Fed-baas Jerome Powell is nog bijna een jaar de baas van de Amerikaanse centrale bank. Maar Trump zou deze zomer al 'de nieuwe Powell' willen benoemen. Volgens The Wall Street Journal mikt 'ie op september. Dat is veel eerder dan gebruikelijk. Iets waar beleggers van schrikken.We hebben het er deze aflevering over. We bespreken de kandidaten die genoemd worden, maar ook het risico van zo'n schaduwbaas. En of de angst van beleggers terecht is (en wat die dalende Dollar voor gevolgen heeft).Over centrale bankiers gesproken: we hebben het ook over de ECB. In Frankfurt hebben ze een bijzonder onderzoek gedaan. Ze hebben namelijk gekeken of ze ChatGPT kunnen inzetten voor hun onderzoek. Het korte antwoord: ja!Verder bespreken we de hype rondom het aandeel van Nvidia. Dat maakt ineens zijn comeback en dat heeft alles te maken met een aandeelhoudersvergadering en een enthousiaste topman. Al lijkt het er steeds meer op dat de aandeelhouders enthousiaster zijn dan de topman zelf... Ook gaat het over: Shell. Dat mag (omdat het geruchten over BP ontkent) nu niet op overnamepad. Jeff Bezos. Die probeert, nu Elon Musk weg is, te slijmen bij Trump. Ikea. Dat gaat de prijzen met 50 procent verlagen. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

donald trump ai elon musk microsoft mars comeback chatgpt wall bitcoin restaurants wall street amsterdam crypto platform jeff bezos outlook claim dollar ikea chips fed powell frankfurt andere sector robotics nvidia booking index financial times ze nasdaq voor nederland bp nederlandse dow verder rente blue origin jerome powell gaat dow jones snickers pringles lynx iets ecb amerikaanse brussel twix amsterdamse small cap indices bedrijf sp500 jensen huang bedrijven investeren bnr koers s&p500 beleggen visma europese commissie beurs topman kellogs witte huis vreemd investeringen kevin hassett s&p aandelen beleggers kellanova bnr nieuwsradio david malpass boodschappen overname investeerders aex europese centrale bank waardering christopher waller cryptovaluta kevin warsh reizigers consumentenbond obligaties beursgang damrak maar trump

Tony Katz Today Full Show - 06/20/25

Tony Katz Today

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 20, 2025 108:07

Hour 1 Segment 1Tony starts the show talking about President Donald Trump will decide within two weeks on what to do between Israel and Iran. Hour 1 Segment 2Tony talks about the Supreme Court allowing vaping companies to pick courts to hear their challenges. Hour 1 Segment 3Tony talks about 16 billion passwords that have been exposed in a record-breaking data breach, hitting Apple, Facebook, Google, and more. Tony later gets into the Friday audio dump. Hour 1 Segment 4Tony wraps up the first hour of the show talking about the UN Security Council meeting to discuss what’s going on between Israel and Iran. Tony also talks about a petition to remove Sophie Cunningham from the WNBA. Hour 2 Segment 1Tony starts the second hour of the show talking about ICE agents getting denied entry inside Dodger Stadium, however ICE says they were never there. Hour 2 Segment 2Tony talks about billionaire Telegram CEO, Pavel Durov, reveals plans to divide wealth among more than 100 children, who have which he donated through sperm. Hour 2 Segment 3Tony talks more about the Supreme Court upholding the Tennessee ban on youth gender affirming care. Hour 2 Segment 4Tony wraps up the second hour of the show talking about how the left isn’t discussing boots on the ground and possible war in a foreign country. Hour 3 Segment 1Tony starts the final hour of the show talking about the Chinese smuggling in jammers are posing a greater threat, from the DHS. Hour 3 Segment 2Tony is joined with JMV, host of The Ride with JMV on 93.5/107.5 The Fan to talk about the Indiana Pacers forcing a Game 7 in the NBA Finals after they won 108-91 last night in Game 6. Hour 3 Segment 3Tony is joined with Dr. Matt Will, economist from the University of Indianapolis, to talk about Jerome Powell and Christopher Waller on rate cuts and tariffs. Hour 3 Segment 4Tony wraps up another edition of the show talking about Tucker Carlson and Ted Cruz going back and forth on Israel and Iran. Tony also talks more about bunker busters.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Episode 3910: Tony Katz Today Hour 3 - 06/20/25

Tony Katz Today

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 20, 2025 36:10

Hour 3 Segment 1Tony starts the final hour of the show talking about the Chinese smuggling in jammers are posing a greater threat, from the DHS. Hour 3 Segment 2Tony is joined with JMV, host of The Ride with JMV on 93.5/107.5 The Fan to talk about the Indiana Pacers forcing a Game 7 in the NBA Finals after they won 108-91 last night in Game 6. Hour 3 Segment 3Tony is joined with Dr. Matt Will, economist from the University of Indianapolis, to talk about Jerome Powell and Christopher Waller on rate cuts and tariffs. Hour 3 Segment 4Tony wraps up another edition of the show talking about Tucker Carlson and Ted Cruz going back and forth on Israel and Iran. Tony also talks more about bunker busters.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

university game israel chinese iran ride indianapolis nba finals tucker carlson ted cruz dhs indiana pacers jerome powell christopher waller tony katz matt will

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Monday, June 2

NewsWare‘s Trade Talk

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 2, 2025 17:23

S&P Futures are moving lower this morning due to an escalation of trade tensions between the U.S. & China. Both sides have accused each other of violating the 90-day trade truce. President Trump said that he will be raising tariffs on steel and aluminum from 25% to 50%. The EU and the U.S. will be holding trade talks this week. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell well be making some opening remarks today, yesterday Fed governor Christopher Waller indicated that the Fed will likely be able to lower interest rates this year. Oil prices are spiking this morning as geopolitical concerns with Ukraine and Iran overtake OPEC decision to hike its output in July. On the economic front ISM Manufacturing PMI data is out today. SAIC is trading lower after an earnings miss this morning. This week's earnings announcements include, SIG, DG, HPE, CRWD, DLTR, PVH, FIVE, CIEN, DOCU, LULU & AVGO.

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Fed Governor Christopher Waller Talks Tariffs and Labor Market

Bloomberg Talks

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 24, 2025 12:38 Transcription Available

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller discusses the impact of the Trump administration’s tariff policy on the US economy and Fed monetary policy. He speaks with Bloomberg's Michael McKee See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

NovusCast - 17 de Janeiro 2025

Novus Capital

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 17, 2025 13:16

Nossos sócios Luiz Eduardo Portella, Tomás Goulart e Sarah Campos debatem, no episódio de hoje, os principais acontecimentos da semana no Brasil e no mundo.⁠ ⁠ No cenário internacional, o destaque foi a divulgação dos dados de inflação nos EUA (PPI e CPI), um pouco abaixo do esperado, gerando expectativa similar para o PCE. Ainda por lá, foram divulgados dados de vendas no varejo e produção industrial, indicando atividade forte; e o diretor Christopher Waller, do Fed, trouxe discurso dove, indicando tranquilidade a respeito dos dados e expectativa de 3 a 4 cortes de juros ao longo do ano. No Reino Unido, os dados de inflação também surpreenderam positivamente. ⁠ No Brasil, foram divulgados dados de atividade (PMS – serviços), mais fracos que o esperado, que levaram a revisões baixistas para o PIB do 4º trimestre. Entretanto, as atenções ficaram voltadas para a polêmica ao redor do tema de uma suposta taxação do PIX, que levou o governo a recuar e revogar a norma da Receita Federal que tratava do monitoramento das movimentações financeiras. ⁠ Nos EUA, os juros fecharam na semana (5 anos -15 bps), e as bolsas tiveram bom desempenho – S&P500 +2,91%, Nasdaq +2,85% e Russell2000 +3,96%. No Reino Unido, os juros também fecharam (entre 15 e 20 bps). No Brasil, o jan/26 fechou 10 bps, enquanto o jan/35 abriu 12 bps, e o Ibovespa subiu 2,94%. ⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Na próxima semana será importante acompanhar a posse do novo presidente americano, Donald Trump; dados de atividade (PMIs) na Europa; reunião do banco central do Japão (BoJ); e divulgação do IPCA-15 aqui no Brasil. ⁠ ⁠Não deixe de conferir!⁠

NovusCast - 06 de Setembro 2024

Novus Capital

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 6, 2024 17:53

Nossos sócios Gabriel Abelheira, Sarah Campos e Yara Cordeiro debatem, no episódio de hoje, os principais acontecimentos da semana no Brasil e no mundo.⁠ ⁠ No cenário internacional, o foco ficou voltado para os dados de mercado de trabalho nos EUA, como JOLTs, ADP e Payroll, todos sinalizando tendência de desaceleração. Um dos diretores do Fed, Christopher Waller, falou hoje, afirmando que definir o ritmo e a magnitude dos cortes de juros será desafiador, mas que a atividade não parece estar colapsando, ao nosso ver revelando preferência inicial por ajustes graduais. No Canadá, o banco central cortou a taxa de juros em 0,25%, como amplamente esperado, com dados de emprego também reafirmando contexto de desaceleração. No Japão, os dados de salário vieram acima do esperado, e os membros do BoJ seguiram falando em subir juros caso os preços evoluam conforme a expectativa. ⁠ No Brasil, o governo apresentou o PLOA de 2025 ao final da última semana: como esperado, com receitas otimistas e despesas também otimistas com relação às projeções a mercado. Ainda, foi divulgado o PIB do 2º trimestre desse ano, bem mais forte que a expectativa, puxado por demanda doméstica e setores sensíveis a política monetária, com revisão altista do 1º trimestre. Por fim, foi agendada a sabatina do indicado para a próxima presidência do BCB, Gabriel Galípolo, que ocorrerá 08/10. ⁠ Nos EUA, o juro de 1 ano fechou 31 bps, enquanto as bolsas tiveram desempenho bastante negativo - S&P500 -4,25%, Nasdaq -5,89% e Russell2000 -5,69%. No Brasil, o jan/26 fechou 26 bps, o Ibovespa caiu 1,05% e o real ficou próximo a estabilidade (+0,13%). ⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Na próxima semana será importante acompanhar a decisão do Banco Central Europeu, números de inflação dos EUA, China e Brasil, além de dados de atividade (comércio e serviços) por aqui. ⁠ Não deixe de conferir!⁠

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NovusCast - 30 de Agosto 2024

Novus Capital

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 30, 2024 9:46

Nossos sócios Luiz Eduardo Portella e Tomás Goulart debatem, no episódio de hoje, os principais acontecimentos da semaana no Brasil e no mundo. No cenário internacional, foram divulgados dados de inflação nos EUA (PCE), em linha com o esperado, mas com revisões de PIB e perspectivas do 3º trimestre indicando consumo ainda muito forte. Na Europa, também foram divulgados dados de inflação, que vieram em linha com o esperado, mostrando a parte de serviços ainda firme. No Brasil, o destaque ficou para o discurso do presidente do BCB, Roberto Campos Neto, na Expert, no qual ele reforçou a mensagem que já vinha trazendo, vista como dove, falando abertamente de gradualismo e incerteza dos movimentos de juros, além de afirmar que as precificações a mercado estão incondizentes com a comunicação formal da entidade. Foram divulgados dados de inflação (IPCA-15), ligeiramente acima da expectativa e com a parte de serviços devolvendo uma parte da alta do mês anterior; e dados de mercado de trabalho (PNAD Contínua), que segue muito forte, porém dando leves sinais de moderação. No âmbito político, houve polêmica a respeito do anúncio do programa vale-gás, visto como uma tentativa de ampliar despesas fora do arcabouço fiscal. Por fim, foi confirmado o nome do diretor Gabriel Galípolo como indicação para a presidência do BCB. Nos EUA, o juro de 10 anos abriu 11 bps, enquanto as bolsas não tiveram variações expressivas - S&P500 +0,24%, Nasdaq -0,74% e Russell2000 -0,09%. No Brasil, o destaque ficou para o movimento de juros: (jan/26 abriu 37 bps, jan/29 abriu 55 bps), o Ibovespa fechou estável (+0,03%) e o real desvalorizou 2,59%. Na próxima semana será importante acompanhar a divulgação dos dados de mercado de trabalho (JOLTs e Payroll), de atividade (ISM) americanos, além do discurso do membro do Fed, Christopher Waller. Não deixe de conferir!

Is the Federal Reserve Preparing to Lower Interest Rates

GREY Journal Daily News Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 31, 2024 1:27

Federal Reserve officials anticipate signaling a potential interest rate cut today. Inflation nears the Fed's 2% target, and unemployment has risen to 4.1% this year. To balance inflation control and avoid a recession, officials may reduce rates by September to achieve an economic "soft landing." While Former President Trump opposes rate cuts before the election, Fed board member Christopher Waller considers a cut increasingly likely. Financial markets predict a rate cut at the next Fed meeting in mid-September. Jerome Powell, the Fed Chair, will discuss plans at the Jackson Hole conference in late August. Economists expect gradual rate cuts unless severe job market issues arise. Statements after Fed meetings may indicate further progress toward inflation goals. July data reveals inflation decreased to 2.5%, with falling rental prices and slower car insurance cost increases contributing to this decline. Wage growth has moderated, reducing inflationary pressures.Learn more on this news visit us at: https://greyjournal.net/news/ Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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Microsoft launch new A.I. tools

microsoft fed nasdaq dow s p satya nadella microsoft build christopher waller

Play Episode Listen Later May 22, 2024 26:30

Microsoft holds its developer conference where CEO Satya Nadella hails the tech giant's new A.I. software. However, Amazon says its decision to hold out and wait for Nvidia's more powerful offering was a mutual decision between the two companies. Wall Street predicts Nvidia earnings could triple amid particularly choppy trade. U.S. equities once again hit fresh new highs on rate cut timing speculation. Our colleagues Stateside hear from Christopher Waller who urges patience and says he requires ‘several more months' of favourable inflation data. And in the UK, headline CPI is due to fall close to the BoE's 2 per cent target. Governor Andrew Bailey signals a rate cut is appearing on the horizon.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Microsoft Build & Fed's Christopher Waller 5/21/24

Nightly Business Report

Play Episode Listen Later May 21, 2024 43:49

Microsoft's developer conference is underway with CEO Satya Nadella giving the keynote speech right now. We'll continue to bring you all the latest headlines from that event as we get them. Plus, the tech-heavy Nasdaq hanging near the flat line after hitting a record high in yesterday's session. We're on record close watch for both the Nasdaq and the S&P 500. The Dow meanwhile, is on pace for a second positive day in three. This comes as we've heard from five Fed officials so far today, all conveying the same message: the path to 2% will be longer than expected, and bumpy. The first cut is expected to come in September. Let's see if that changes after our first and exclusive interview with Fed Governor Christopher Waller.

Jay Powell Responds to Christopher Waller & China PMIs accelerate | April 1, 2024 – Morning Market Briefing

The Investing Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 1, 2024 14:52

Jay Powell squashed Christopher Waller's comments on Friday saying that he stilll thinks inflation is coming down, China PMIs accelerate, and Tesla deliveries are likely released tomorrow. For information on how to join the Zoom calls live each morning at 8:30 EST, visit https://www.narwhalcapital.com/blog/daily-market-briefingsPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhalcapital.com/disclosure

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Marzo 28: El S&P 500 ha subido un 10% en los primeros tres meses del año. Amazon gasta miles de millones en la startup de IA Anthropic. Walmart volverá a presentar una notificación antimonopolio para la adquisición de Vizio.

WALL STREET COLADA

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 28, 2024 5:55

Noticias Económicas y Financieras Los inversores en acciones están cerrando un excelente primer trimestre, y el mercado continúa aplastándolo con máximos históricos casi diarios. El S&P 500 ha subido un 10% en los primeros tres meses del año, alcanzando ya la marca de 5.200 puntos que incluso los analistas más optimistas habían pronosticado para todo 2024. No se trata sólo de la revolución de la IA y los Siete Magníficos (o "Super Seis" menos Tesla). Los 11 sectores del S&P 500 han subido en lo que va del año, excepto el sector inmobiliario, y el impulso se ha extendido incluso recientemente a otros índices como el Russell 2000. Los récords tampoco se han limitado a las acciones, con bitcoin $BTC-USD y oro $XAUUSD:CUR alcanzando nuevos máximos, en un repunte que se ha extendido a todas las clases de activos. El mercado estará cerrado mañana por Viernes Santo, lo que significa que hoy será la última sesión del trimestre. Sam Bankman-Fried, el deshonrado fundador del colapsado intercambio de criptomonedas FTX, escuchará hoy cuánto tiempo pasará en prisión. Según el gobernador de la Reserva Federal, Christopher Waller, "no hay prisa" para que el banco central de EE.UU. empiece a recortar los tipos de interés. $DIS La integración de Walt Disney Hulu no es la única noticia que aparece en los titulares. La Casa del Ratón y los aliados del gobernador de Florida, Ron DeSantis, llegaron a un acuerdo sobre el desarrollo futuro de Disney World. $AMZN Amazon gasta miles de millones en la startup de IA Anthropic. $CCL Carnival advierte que el colapso del puente de Baltimore podría recortar las ganancias. $FSRN Fisker recorta los precios para liquidar el inventario y recaudar efectivo. $WMT Walmart volverá a presentar una notificación antimonopolio para la adquisición de Vizio (VZIO).

SQUAWK BOX, THURSDAY 28TH MARCH, 2024