Money Tree Investing

This bull market is crashing and no one is talking about it! We kick off the fourth quarter by talking about how the government shut down has impacted the market. Precious metals—particularly gold, silver, and mining stocks—continue to surge in a largely overlooked bull market. We also critique flawed data interpretations and talk the dangers of drawing false conclusions and the importance of treating data as correlation, not truth. We urge you to think critically about information in both science and finance.  We discuss... Markets have largely ignored the government shutdown, even moving higher despite it. Gold, silver, and mining stocks are in a powerful bull market that most investors are overlooking. Data shows correlation, not truth, and conclusions must be questioned. Investors should focus on price action and risk management, not the “why” behind moves. Private equity firms are overleveraged, with declining returns and cash flow–negative companies. While some private equity opportunities may exist, most are poor deals for average investors. Examples like JoAnn Fabrics and Red Lobster are cited as once-strong businesses destroyed by debt-heavy private equity ownership. Public backlash is growing as stories emerge of private equity “ruining” local businesses, hospitals, and jobs. The Big Ten Conference is reportedly exploring selling part of its media rights to private equity for short-term funding. Private investors could demand control over athletic or academic decisions, clashing with university missions. A lack of ethical grounding and values fuels these destructive financial practices. Many societal problems stem from short-term greed and moral decay rather than lack of opportunity. They review sector strength, noting broad participation and strong 52-week highs as signs of market health. Market breadth is strong, showing that many stocks—not just the “Magnificent 7”—are participating in gains. A “bull market behavior checklist” shows most indicators remain positive, suggesting momentum continues. Seasonal charts show typical market strength in early and late-year periods, but be cautious against overreliance on averages. They warn investors to be cautious even in strong markets, as low defensive positioning can precede pullbacks. Wealth preservation depends not just on building assets but structuring them to last. For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/this-bull-market-is-crashing  Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast  

Hillary Seiler joins us today to discuss the finances of athletes and NFL players. She shares her journey from personal financial struggles in college to building a career helping athletes, students, and employees improve their financial wellness. She shares how supporting friends who went pro in the NFL led her into creating financial literacy programs for professional teams, eventually expanding into universities and corporate America. She talks the lack of financial education for athletes, the misconceptions around their earnings, and the systems now in place to protect players from going broke.  We discuss... Hillary is a financial education coach who began working with pro athletes and later expanded to universities and corporate America. She was inspired by her own financial struggles during her mother's illness, which gave her perspective on money management. The NFL now mandates financial education sessions for rookies and younger players to prevent bankruptcy and poor financial decisions. Many athletes face misconceptions about their earnings, with most NFL players earning far less than the public assumes. Financial downfall is often tied to lack of education, poor money management, divorce, and being targeted for bad investments. Hillary teaches athletes to evaluate deals by requiring full business plans and consulting financial advisors before investing. Support systems and career planning are critical to helping athletes adjust to life after sports and avoid identity loss. Studies show Olympic silver medalists often stay motivated while gold medalists can struggle with depression and identity loss after reaching the pinnacle. Professional athletes and military veterans face similar challenges when retiring, often losing their sense of purpose. There has been debate about requiring athletes to save in pensions or annuities, but concerns remain about limiting free will. The NFL and NBA encourage saving with strong 401k matching programs, but players cannot access funds until age 45. The Pro Athlete Community (PAC) helps retired athletes manage money and avoid financial pitfalls. Despite education programs, some athletes still make costly mistakes or fall for scams, learning lessons the hard way. For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/the-finances-of-athletes-hillary-seiler

Your financial advisor hates this bull market! Find out what it is as we talk the recent market conditions as well as the potential upcoming government shutdown, noting that while shutdowns once spooked markets, investors have become largely desensitized as they rarely have major lasting effects outside of government employees and contractors. Shutdowns have historically been used as political tools, sometimes causing GDP drag and reputational costs, but now often register as background noise. We also chat about seasonal and cyclical inflection points—like quarter-ends, tax-loss selling, and earnings season—that can drive short-term volatility. It's important to keep your perspective, recognizing political drama as a “circus,” and instead focusing on underlying market cycles. Today we discuss... Government shutdowns used to trigger fear in markets but now typically cause little more than short-term noise. Politicians increasingly use shutdowns as leverage tools in budget negotiations rather than genuine fiscal concerns. Past shutdowns have shown temporary GDP drag but very little lasting structural harm to markets. Markets tend to quickly recover after shutdown drama fades, reinforcing investor desensitization. The real drivers of volatility now are cyclical factors like quarter-end portfolio adjustments and tax-loss harvesting. Earnings season consistently creates inflection points for markets, often outweighing political headlines. Seasonal forces can exaggerate short-term market swings, particularly in September and October. Positioning between defensive stocks and growth stocks is more critical for risk management than reacting to shutdown fears. Broader global market trends often matter more than U.S. political events. U.S. small-cap stocks have underperformed compared to large caps and international equities, reflecting structural weaknesses. Investors should focus on long-term positioning rather than reacting to short-lived shutdown volatility. Shutdowns reveal the widening gap between political theater and actual economic fundamentals. Short-term market noise from shutdowns can actually create opportunities for disciplined investors. Shutdowns are best understood as temporary disruptions, not trend-defining events.   Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/your-financial-advisor-hates-751 

Dr. Kimberly Harms discusses the importance of end of life planning. She shares her journey from dentistry to becoming a grief counselor, death doula, mediator, and life coach after personal loss, emphasizing the importance of preparing for death and leaving a meaningful legacy. She explains how avoiding conversations about death often leads to family conflict, highlighting the need for clear wills, healthcare directives, letters of intent, and honest family discussions. Beyond finances, she stresses that legacies should center on love, resilience, forgiveness, and teaching life skills to future generations.  We discuss...  Dr. Kimberly Harms transitioned from a 30-year dental career to grief counseling and becoming a death doula after personal health issues and loss. She emphasizes the importance of preparing for death to prevent family conflict and ensure a peaceful legacy. Clear wills, healthcare directives, letters of intent, and family discussions are critical to avoiding post-death disputes. Legacy goes beyond money, including love, resilience, life skills, and emotional guidance for future generations. Grief is a process that requires active effort, time, and sometimes professional help to work through. Celebrating life after grieving can bring joy and help loved ones move forward. Discussing death openly with family, including children, helps prepare them and reduces misunderstandings later. Emotional affairs, forgiveness, and reconciliation should be addressed while alive to avoid burdening loved ones. Material possessions should be organized or distributed before death to minimize conflict. True legacy is remembered in the hearts and minds of loved ones, not through wealth or public recognition. Giving back through acts like teaching, volunteering, or creating positive impact can extend one's legacy beyond family. Preparing now—financially, emotionally, and relationally—ensures loved ones can thrive after one's passing. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/end-of-life-planning-kimberly-harms-750 

This week we cover the hidden bull market that the billionaires know about. Are you in on it? We also cover the Fed's recent rate cut and how markets reacted with little real impact, highlighting skepticism about the Fed's effectiveness and the risks its policies create for wealth disparity and asset inflation. We emphasize the importance of questioning financial “half-truths” as outcomes often depend on assumptions rather than blanket rules. Gold, silver, and mining stocks are strong but under-appreciated trends, while tariffs are having far less economic impact than public debate suggests. We discuss... The Fed's latest rate cut had almost no real impact on markets, revealing investor skepticism about monetary policy effectiveness. Fed policies have unintentionally widened the wealth gap by inflating asset prices that primarily benefit the wealthy. Asset bubbles created by easy money policies pose future risks for average investors who lack diversification. The idea that Roth IRAs are always better than traditional IRAs is a half-truth since tax outcomes depend on future income and assumptions. Financial advice that paints with broad strokes often fails to account for personal circumstances. Gold has surged in value, reflecting distrust in fiat currencies and central bank credibility. Silver and mining stocks are also strengthening, though they lag behind gold and remain overlooked. Precious metals serve as both a hedge against inflation and a store of value when trust in the Fed declines. Tariffs are often overblown in the media, with real economic impact being far less dramatic than public debate suggests. The bigger risk to markets is not tariffs but systemic distortions caused by prolonged monetary policy intervention. Investors should prepare for volatility, especially given how fragile sentiment has become. Timing is critical in retirement planning, as retiring during a market downturn can devastate portfolios. Critical thinking is essential for navigating half-truths in financial media and mainstream narratives. Complacency is dangerous in today's environment of uncertainty and shifting economic conditions. Owning tangible assets like real estate, commodities, or productive businesses is one of the best hedges against inflation and Fed-driven distortions.   Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/hidden-bull-market-749 

Josip Rupena talks about how his company Milo, created the world's first Crypto mortgage. Josip shares how his background in investment banking led him to found his company, which solves financing challenges for high-net-worth international clients and later Bitcoin holders who struggle to qualify for traditional mortgages despite significant wealth. He explains how Milo created the world's first crypto mortgage in 2022, allowing clients to buy U.S. real estate without selling Bitcoin. Josip highlights that Milo's products give clients flexibility, preserve upside in both real estate and Bitcoin, and address gaps left by legacy financial institutions in a changing economy.  We discuss.. How Josip's career in investment banking exposed him to the challenges high-net-worth individuals face when trying to access traditional lending, especially international clients with wealth but no U.S. credit history. He founded Milo to address these gaps, initially focusing on helping global investors buy U.S. real estate without relying on outdated borrower requirements set by legacy banks. Traditional banks are reluctant to serve clients outside narrow profiles—such as W-2 earners with U.S. tax records—leaving wealthy entrepreneurs and international investors underserved. In 2022, Milo pioneered the first crypto mortgage, allowing Bitcoin holders to directly purchase U.S. real estate without liquidating their coins. By using Bitcoin as collateral, clients can avoid triggering capital gains taxes while continuing to benefit from potential long-term appreciation. Milo structures its loans with institutional partners and securitization, bridging the gap between innovative lending products and traditional capital markets. Crypto-backed loans offer borrowers quick access to liquidity while being overcollateralized to protect Milo and its investors from volatility risks. Milo's approach demonstrates how fintech can expand financial inclusion by designing products around real client needs rather than forcing clients into rigid bank standards. By enabling clients to hold both real estate and Bitcoin, Milo gives them a way to compound upside across two asset classes while maintaining flexibility and financial control. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors Diana Perkins | Trading With Diana   Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast  For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/crypto-mortgage-with-josip-rupena 

There's a silent bull market right now that no one is talking about. Gold has had a powerful breakout and silver's lagging but still strengthening. Gold has surged from $2,000 to $3,600 since 2023, driven largely by central bank buying amid global distrust of U.S. reserves. Investors should approach metals through ETFs rather than individual picks unless you have deep expertise. We also talk the likelihood of rate cuts under political pressure, persistent “slow burn” inflation from tariffs and supply issues, de-dollarization, and the need for diversification beyond passive index funds. Inflation isn't dead, passive portfolios are under strain, and active allocation to precious metals may be one of the most underpriced opportunities available. We discuss...  Gold has staged a historic breakout, climbing from around $2,000 in 2023 to roughly $3,600, with central bank buying acting as the primary driver. Global distrust in the U.S. dollar and concerns about the credibility of U.S. reserves are pushing sovereign nations toward gold accumulation. Unlike gold, silver remains more dependent on retail participation and industrial demand, leaving it lagging but positioned for potential catch-up. Silver faces supply constraints that limit downside, with demand tied to solar, electronics, and other industrial uses, making it a dual-purpose metal. Mining stocks were highlighted as structurally poor businesses due to high costs and weak capital discipline, yet they are soaring as leveraged plays on rising metals. Junior miners offer the most explosive upside but come with extreme risks, making them closer to speculative lottery tickets than investments. For most investors, ETFs and broad metals exposure were recommended as the safer approach compared to individual mining stock selection. Inflation is not “dead” but a persistent, slow-burn phenomenon fueled by tariffs, supply chain issues, and ongoing policy shifts. Political pressure makes interest rate cuts increasingly likely, regardless of whether inflation is fully under control. A broader theme of de-dollarization is accelerating gold's role in global reserves as nations seek alternatives to U.S. dominance. Passive index funds were critiqued as over-reliant on historical correlations that no longer hold, leaving portfolios vulnerable. The hosts concluded that gold, silver, and related hard assets remain one of the most underpriced and overlooked opportunities for active investors today. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/silent-bull-market-747

Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors Diana Perkins | Trading With Diana   Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast Travis Jamison shares his journey from serial entrepreneur to full-time investing in legacy businesses, explaining that while tech is great for building, it's risky for investing. He allocates capital into small, decades-old businesses via search funds, independent sponsors, and roll-ups, aiming for diversification, steady cash flow, and multiple expansion. Travis views AI less as a direct investment opportunity and more as a tool for operating businesses that are resilient to technological change. AI's rapid evolution makes predicting its exact impact nearly impossible, so investors should approach private businesses with careful bet sizing, strong due diligence, and awareness of risks.  We discuss...  Travis Jamison transitioned from serial entrepreneur to full-time investor after several liquidity events. He avoids investing in tech startups due to disruption risks despite believing they're great for building wealth. His capital allocation focuses on small, boring, decades-old businesses that are hard to kill and generate steady returns. He participates in search funds, independent sponsor deals, and roll-ups, rather than angel or venture investing. He targets companies in the $4–30 million enterprise value range, often in industries like HVAC, pool services, and rehab centers. Roll-ups allow him to buy add-on companies cheaply, combine them, and benefit from multiple expansion. He diversifies across industries to avoid concentration risks and aims to build a portfolio of around 30 small businesses. He sees the lower middle market as more attractive than larger private equity deals due to lower entry multiples. He views business as the most fun game to play and continues investing for identity and enjoyment, not just money. For AI, he invests in companies largely unaffected by it, seeing boring businesses as safer than trying to pick AI winners. AI should be viewed as a powerful leverage tool, allowing individuals and businesses to achieve far greater output with fewer resources. Blue-collar industries like HVAC, plumbing, and construction are less exposed to AI disruption in the near term, making them relatively safer sectors. Many companies deliberately keep their AI use quiet to avoid tipping off competitors or losing their edge. Because the long-term trajectory of AI is unpredictable, investors should avoid over-concentration and treat exposure as part of a balanced portfolio. The most effective strategy is to swing at the “easy pitches”—investments with clear fundamentals—rather than forcing deals in uncertain or hype-driven areas.   For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/investing-in-legacy-businesses-travis-jamison-746 

You may be missing the biggest bull market right now. Today we share how you can make sure you're a part of it. We talk market trends as we hit September, which has historical weakness for stocks and the tendency for markets to defy consensus expectations. Equities and commodities like oil and natural gas have been lackluster, gold has quietly entered a strong bull market, driven largely by central bank buying rather than retail investors. Investor psychology, price action, and historical cycles shape opportunities in gold and silver markets. We also talk about cultural and global perspectives, noting that Americans tend to favor stocks and dollars over gold. We discuss... September was noted as historically one of the weakest months for stocks, often followed by a rebound later in the year. Markets often defy consensus expectations, meaning heavy selling sentiment could set up a surprise rally. Gold has entered a strong bull market, driven by consistent central bank buying rather than retail investors. Silver has lagged behind gold but is positioned for a potential breakout as individual investors enter the market. Precious metals tend to move in cycles, with gold leading, then silver, followed by miners and junior miners. Mining stocks can outperform in bull markets but generally have poor business models and higher risks. Central banks' distrust of the financial system underpins their growing gold accumulation. Kirk emphasized that gold miners, though risky and often unprofitable, can deliver exponential upside in bull markets. Junior miners were described as the most volatile and speculative plays, offering high risk and high reward. Futures markets were highlighted as distorting bullion's true value and price signals. Central banks are steadily accumulating gold instead of treasuries, signaling waning trust in U.S. debt. U.S. bonds are losing their safe-haven status compared to previous cycles. Political uncertainty, including figures like Trump, adds to market unpredictability. Diversification was stressed as key, since risks are already embedded across today's financial markets.   Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/the-biggest-bull-market-right-now-745 

Kathleen Peddicord shares her experience living investing overseas. Her journey took her from publishing to becoming an authority on global real estate investing. She discusses why she prefers real estate over stocks while also outlining challenges such as lack of MLS systems, legal complexities, and cultural differences. Kathleen explained how to evaluate markets, avoid overpaying, plan exit strategies, and select properties with unique value rather than cookie-cutter developments. She stressed the importance of freehold title, sound property rights, and turnkey management solutions, while also addressing issues of safety, infrastructure, and research hurdles in foreign markets. We discuss...  Kathleen Peddicord began her career in publishing with Agora but developed lifelong interests in global diversification and real estate investing. She prefers real estate over stocks because it offers stability, control, personal use, and both cash flow and appreciation potential. International real estate yields vary widely, with Panama highlighted as a safe haven market where she has achieved strong rental returns. A major challenge abroad is the lack of MLS systems, requiring investors to do extensive legwork to determine fair property values. Ensuring freehold title is essential to avoid risks of losing property to unclear or cooperative land ownership structures. Investors should plan their exit strategy before buying and avoid cookie-cutter developments that force competition solely on price. Properties with unique features, amenities, or historical value are better positioned to hold and increase resale value. Turnkey solutions with property and rental management are crucial for those who don't live locally. Legal systems, language barriers, and cultural differences add complexity compared to U.S. real estate. Safety perceptions are relative, and many international markets can feel safer than U.S. cities depending on the context. Choosing a country to invest in requires matching personal goals, budget, and lifestyle priorities to the market options. Visiting potential markets in person is essential, as spreadsheets and research alone can't capture whether a location will feel right. Success stories, like a couple thriving in Portugal, show the upside of international moves, while failures, like an unhappy relocation to Belize, highlight the importance of fit and flexibility. Small surprises—such as homes without hot water—illustrate the cultural adjustments investors must be prepared for.   Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Phil Weiss | Apprise Wealth Management Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/living-and-investing-overseas-kathleen-peddicord-744 

Wall Street is selling beer, beaches, and barbecue. Want to invest? We also dove into the concerns about the reliability of government data. Investors should focus less on headline data and more on long-term directional trends, since recessions matter less to portfolios than actual corporate performance. We also talk labor markets, employment revisions, and rate-cut predictions, highlighting inconsistencies and the limited value of forecasts. Debt structures like extended auto loans and creative mortgages stress the importance of cash flow flexibility and smart loan structuring rather than simply chasing the lowest rate. Kirk also shares his experience getting an offer accepted on a home during a time of market peaks. We discuss...  Corporate earnings compared to government data; how companies manage expectations to appear consistently successful. Investors should focus on long-term directional trends rather than short-term or inaccurate data points. Whether recessions truly matter for investors compared to corporate earnings growth. Labor market data showed employment revisions and a slowdown in job gains, raising concerns about real job strength. Predictions of interest rate cuts are inconsistent and unreliable. Consumer behavior trends, including retail and food service spending, suggested tightening conditions. Rising delinquency rates in student loans and credit cards signaled growing consumer financial strain. Mortgages and auto loans showed fewer delinquencies since they are collateralized and prioritized by borrowers. There is importance in structuring debt with maximum flexibility and focusing on cash flow management. A home should be viewed as a personal expense rather than an investment. Housing markets are peaking in many areas, with Massachusetts showing declining rents and prices. Mortgage strategies discussed include recasting loans and making lump-sum payments to reduce monthly payments or shorten maturity. Using a home equity line of credit strategically can accelerate mortgage payoff and improve cash flow. Globally, fertility rates in developed countries are below replacement level, indicating shrinking populations. Growth in population is concentrated in parts of Africa, South America, and select Asian regions. Macro trends impacting markets include protectionism, geopolitical tensions, and reserve currency diversification. Policy rewrites under Trump are shaking up traditional approaches, sometimes positively by encouraging change. Many U.S. housing markets are seeing declining sales as buyers and sellers are unwilling to compromise. Tariffs, especially on metals, could spike short-term costs across industries but are expected to normalize over the long term. Unexpected macroeconomic events, such as new technologies or policy changes, can disrupt markets before adjustments occur. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/wall-street-is-selling-beer-743   

Philip Hoffman is here to share his journey from CPA to investing in fine art. He founded The Fine Art Group, where he advises wealthy families on art investing, valuations, lending, and education. He outlines the global art market as a $60 billion industry with only $6–10 billion considered truly investable, highlights the risks and pitfalls of treating art as an asset class without expert guidance, and shares cautionary tales of investors losing millions by buying discounted works without due diligence, contrasted with success stories where expertise and timing led to strong returns. We discuss...  Philip Hoffman began his career as a CPA at KPMG, later became CFO and youngest board director at Christie's, and eventually founded The Fine Art Group. His firm advises wealthy families across 28 countries on art transactions, valuations, education, and art-backed lending. Investable art includes high-value works, jewelry, vintage cars, and luxury items like Hermès handbags, while most antiques and collectibles fall outside this category. Investors can access art through funds, private credit against art, direct ownership, or syndication with others. Hoffman emphasizes that art buyers should use reputable advisors, much like when purchasing real estate, to avoid costly mistakes. A client once spent $4 million on 40 polo paintings by an unknown artist with no resale market, ultimately finding them worthless. Using an advisor costs a fraction of an artwork's price but can prevent costly mistakes. Even seasoned collectors often misjudge valuations; in one example, most experts mistook a $1M Monet for a $10M Monet. Condition issues, provenance gaps, and theft risks make professional due diligence essential in high-value purchases. Current market conditions—with top-tier art down 20–30% from recent highs—make this one of the best times in decades to buy blue-chip works. Wealthy collectors often allocate about 5% of their portfolio to art, balancing enjoyment with investment. The black market exists, but high-profile stolen works are nearly impossible to sell through reputable channels. Damage usually devastates value, though rare cases like Banksy's shredded artwork increased in worth due to notoriety. Mishandling in storage, shipping, or moving can ruin artworks, highlighting the importance of professional logistics. Over decades, disciplined art investors with good advisors typically achieve strong compounded returns comparable to or exceeding equities. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Phil Weiss | Apprise Wealth Management Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors   Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/investing-in-fine-art-philip-hoffman-742 

Mark Flickinger shares his journey from engineering and building small businesses to working in private market investing at BIP Capital, where he helps both entrepreneurs and high-net-worth investors achieve their goals. He explains that private markets have grown as many high-quality companies remain private longer, creating opportunities for alpha that are less available in public markets, especially as IPO thresholds have risen. Flickinger highlights trends in alternatives, noting that while AI attracts attention, compelling private businesses can now be accessed at lower entry costs. We discuss... Mark Flickinger combines his engineering background with investment expertise to support both business owners and high-net-worth investors. Private markets have grown in importance as alternatives, moving beyond hedge funds to include a wide range of private companies. Value creation that once happened in small-cap public stocks is now largely occurring in private companies. Only one out of ten U.S.-based companies with $100 million or more in revenue is public, leaving most growth in private markets. Entrepreneurs increasingly stay private due to regulatory burdens and the ability to grow without going public. Business development companies (BDCs) were created to simplify private market investing for U.S.-based companies and investors. Entrepreneurs are increasingly using a hybrid approach of equity and debt to raise capital without overly diluting ownership. Taking on a partner or investor is worthwhile if they bring expertise and add significant value to the business. Debt can be advantageous if the business grows faster than the interest cost, making leverage an effective tool. Capital should be taken strategically to overcome growth hurdles, not just for the sake of raising funds. Many business owners excel in specific phases of growth and benefit from focusing on their strengths rather than the CEO role. The private credit market is likely to expand further, while banks continue to reduce direct lending to businesses. A robust AI plan is now a key factor in evaluating a company's long-term potential, beyond just naming conventions. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance Diana Perkins | Trading With Diana Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/private-market-investing-mark-flickinger-740

It looks like the market is going on vacation! Well I am too. Today we talk everything from vacation plans to shifting markets. We also cover recent crypto volatility, the resilience of Bitcoin, and concerns over MicroStrategy's stock dilution strategy, framing dips as potential buying opportunities within broader trends. We chat on quirky social trends in China, like “pretend to work” jobs for unemployed youth, and highlight Ray Dalio's view that real estate is a poor investment in today's environment with recent price drops accorss the U.S. Today we discuss... Media narratives often obscure the real developments happening quietly in the background. Stablecoins are emerging as a substitute for the dollar and could diminish banks' central role in the financial system. This shift resembles the fragmented multi-currency era before the creation of the Federal Reserve. Recent crypto markets have been volatile, with Bitcoin showing resilience despite sharp pullbacks. Ray Dalio argued that real estate is a poor investment today due to its interest rate sensitivity and immobility. U.S. real estate markets are already showing significant price declines in several regions. The administration is talking up lower rates, Trump has pushed cuts, and Powell left rates unchanged at the last meeting. Market behavior appears disconnected from economic data, undermining the usefulness of traditional reports. Government statistics are viewed as unreliable, with references to Shadow Stats' alternative takes on CPI history. Given data doubts, the focus should be on how markets and investor sentiment actually react. Seasonally, mid-August to mid-November is typically weak, and the second year of a presidency often underperforms. August and September have historically been the S&P 500's weakest months, while 2025 has so far outperformed typical post-election patterns. Personal spending is slipping, and fast-casual chains' same-store sales have fallen since Q4, suggesting strain. Housing and renovation activity looks softer versus the last five years but closer to pre-2020 norms—a reversion to the mean, not necessarily recession. Student loan and credit-card delinquencies are spiking, hinting at cash-flow stress that clashes with low unemployment data. Tariff revenues jumped from roughly $8B/month to about $29.6B/month, with companies largely absorbing costs so far. Money is chasing select commodities like gold, silver, and uranium, while others like lithium lag and could move with China trade shifts. The dollar sits mid-range historically and could sink on aggressive cuts, though today's “broken” market dynamics muddy typical cause-and-effect. Despite risks, the market's underlying tone is bullish, so a continued climb is possible on favorable policy headlines. Research notes humans rate AI higher when it agrees with them, suggesting systems learn to avoid conflict and may reinforce user beliefs.   Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | ProCollege Planners Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/market-is-going-on-vacation-739 

Anders Inset is here to share on this new work The Singularity Paradox. He shares his journey from capitalist and athlete to author and shares the concept of the technological singularity and the associated risks of creating godlike, self-improving machines without fully understanding their implications. He argues for developing “artificially human intelligence” rooted in human biology to preserve humanity in the face of exponential technological growth. The discussion covers the profound transformations such advancements could bring, from curing diseases and achieving abundant energy to redefining economics, ethics, and human purpose, while warning about dangers like hyper-efficiency, mass unemployment, wealth inequality, and societal instability. We discuss...  Anders shares his background as a former capitalist and athlete turned author of seven books blending science, philosophy, and technology. His latest work, The Singularity Paradox, examines the point where AI surpasses human intelligence and the risks of creating godlike, self-improving machines. Inset sees the singularity as a transformational moment possibly within 10–20 years, reshaping medicine, energy, ethics, and human purpose. He warns that AI's exponential growth leaves little room for error correction compared to past technologies. Potential benefits include curing diseases, abundant energy, and space exploration, but risks include hyper-efficiency eliminating human labor. This efficiency could lead to massive unemployment, extreme wealth inequality, and the need for new wealth distribution models. Inset is more concerned about societal impacts than “killer robot” scenarios, seeing existential risks alongside massive opportunities. The conversation explores whether humanity can responsibly slow or control AI development, drawing comparisons to nuclear weapons and cloning. Global governance is needed to regulate emerging technologies like biotech, AI, and quantum computing to avoid uneven playing fields. Advancements in biotechnology may soon enable life extension and age reversal, raising profound questions about human purpose. Investment opportunities exist in health tech, decentralized finance, and quantum computing, but risk levels vary widely. The decentralized financial system could disrupt traditional monetary structures, but it carries geopolitical risks. Quantum computing threatens current cryptographic security, posing challenges for cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. Humanoid robots may create a new consumer market with personalized features and subscription services. AI's current impact is limited mostly to process optimization and customer support, with larger economic effects expected by 2026. Scientific breakthroughs in energy storage and new materials will likely drive new business models. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/the-singularity-paradox-anders-indset-738  

Is private equity destroying your favorite consumer products? Today we discuss economic news, recent Trump-era tariffs, and private equity. We touch on corporate profit margins, wage growth versus price increases, and how different industries—like autos—are affected unevenly. We also explore interest rates and the possibility that traditional cause-and-effect in markets is “broken,” questioning whether metrics like CPI, GDP, and rate changes meaningfully influence market behavior anymore, given recent patterns where markets defy economic logic. We discuss...  Recent economic updates included the rollback of several Trump-era tariffs, though many remain in place. Companies are currently absorbing most tariff-related costs instead of passing them directly to consumers. Concerns were raised that if companies start passing these costs along, price increases could hit consumers later in the year. Wage growth trends are compared with rising prices, raising questions about future consumer spending strength. Industry impacts from tariffs vary, with the auto sector singled out as experiencing specific pressures. Recent market resilience even in the face of economic data could historically trigger volatility or declines. Earnings reports no longer move markets as much because companies lower expectations to easily beat estimates. The focus on quarterly earnings is misleading; long-term company growth matters more on an individual level but less on a macro scale. Value investing has underperformed for about 20 years because fundamentals matter less in today's market. The Fed's interest rate tools are less effective because global capital flows and supply shocks weaken their control. The Fed can still cause recessions by raising rates too high but can't fine-tune the economy like before. Supply-driven inflation (like energy and supply chains) is less responsive to Fed rate hikes. Market rates often lead Fed policy, meaning bond traders set financial conditions before the Fed acts. Private equity often overleverages companies, leading to bankruptcies despite popular products, like Instapot. Private equity uses dividend recapitalization to extract value quickly, saddling companies with unsustainable debt. Examples like Sears, Joanne Fabrics, Red Lobster, and Toys “R” Us show how private equity can ruin beloved brands. Private equity has been successful for investors but often at the expense of the long-term health of companies. Financial planning for college funding is increasingly critical given new loan limits and repayment changes.   Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | ProCollege Planners Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/favorite-consumer-products-737 

Vincent Zurzolo shares his journey in investing in comic books. Vincent shares his lifelong passion for comics, which he turned into a successful business that has sold some of the most expensive comic books in history, including multiple million-dollar issues. We discuss how comic books have evolved from casual childhood reads to serious investments, and how third-party grading and online auctions have expanded the market. He emphasizes that comics—whether for fun, art, or investment—are still thriving.  We discuss... Vincent Zurzolo is the president and co-owner of Metropolis Collectibles and ComicConnect.com, leading companies in the vintage comic book market. He began collecting and selling comics at 15 and turned his passion into a multimillion-dollar business. His companies have sold some of the most expensive comics in history, including several copies of Action Comics #1 and Amazing Fantasy #15. Third-party grading, pioneered by his team, has made comics more accessible and investable for collectors worldwide. ComicConnect hosts regular online auctions featuring vintage comics, original comic art, and rare collectibles. Digital platforms like VeVe are changing how comics are collected, using NFT-like tokens to sell limited digital editions. The global comic market is expanding, with increasing interest in foreign editions and international collectors. Manga has become the most popular comic format globally, embraced by fans across cultures and countries. Original comic art—drawings used to create comic book pages—is a growing collectible category with high demand. People collect comics and art in creative ways, from themes like holidays and sports to specific characters or artists. Graphic novels, while popular and accessible, generally don't carry the same investment value as vintage comics. The comic book market offers entry points for all budgets, from dollar-bin finds to million-dollar grails. Zurzolo sees comic books as a major American art form that teaches vocabulary, inspires careers, and sparks imagination. He believes comic book movies will continue to thrive, despite variability in quality like any genre. He encourages people to read comics not just for collecting, but for joy, creativity, and escapism. For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/investing-in-comic-books-vincent-zurzolo-736  Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance Phil Weiss | Apprise Wealth Management Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast  

Here's what not to do when buying a house! Today we explore my experience with buying a home. We also talk about what it means to be "anti-fragile" in markets that look stable but are actually full of hidden risks. We unpack why markets feel eerily calm despite cracks under the surface, point to red flags like rising margin debt and overvalued equities, and question the rosy government data that doesn't match what businesses are actually seeing. We also touch on the Fed's latest rate hold, the performative nature of their messaging, and why Japan might be the next weak link in the global system. We discuss... We talk about how fragile markets can appear strong but collapse under pressure, while anti-fragile strategies are built to withstand shocks. There's growing skepticism around official data on inflation, unemployment, and job growth, which often don't match real-world experiences. We flag early warning signs like record-high margin debt and stretched market valuations that suggest hidden fragility. The Buffett Indicator is flashing red, pointing to historically high levels of overvaluation. We discuss how investors often chase all-time highs without considering the risks beneath the surface. The Fed paused interest rate hikes again, but its messaging feels more performative than predictive. Government job growth is outpacing private sector job growth, raising questions about the true health of the economy. Markets are euphoric about all-time highs, but this sentiment overlooks growing risks and valuation distortions. There's a widespread misunderstanding of the difference between correlation and causation in market data and recessions. Long-term market growth trends can be distorted by short-term performance comparisons, leading to misleading “chart crimes.” Used car prices remain high, partly due to ongoing shortages and strong demand, especially for 2–3-year-old vehicles. Housing affordability has worsened dramatically, with mortgage costs far outpacing rent, making ownership financially unappealing. Personal experience with deceptive sellers reflects broader issues in the housing market's transparency and ethics. As interest rates fall, more inventory may hit the housing market, but price drops are likely in many regions. Homeownership is a personal expense, not an investment, due to ongoing maintenance, taxes, and volatility. Homeownership comes with hidden costs and liabilities that are often underestimated by buyers. The financial burden of owning—repairs, maintenance, interest—can reduce or erase the perceived gains over time. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/what-not-to-do-when-buying-a-house-735  Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast  

Doug Lynam is here today to share about his new book, Taming Your Money Monster. Doug shares his unconventional life journey from a Marine Corps officer to a Benedictine monk for 20 years, where he confronted the inescapability of money even in a monastery and how he later transitioned to become a professional money manager focused on teaching healthier, ethical relationships with money. He discusses how people develop "money monsters"—unhealthy money habits tied to psychological attachment styles. He stresses that while thriftiness is valuable, it should not come at the cost of compassion or love. We discuss... Doug explains his "attachment theory of money," comparing unhealthy money relationships to attachment styles in psychology, with anxious and avoidant money behaviors. He highlights how people often show mixed money attachments across the four pillars of finance: earning, saving, investing, and giving. Doug reflects on his monastic life as a quest to understand the meaning of life and spiritual unity, which influences his compassionate approach to money. They discuss the impact of upbringing on money attitudes, using Doug's father as an example of anxious earning and avoidant saving driven by early scarcity and trauma. Kirk and Doug talk about cultural and generational influences on thriftiness and money control, including weaponizing money as a form of control. They explore parenting approaches, emphasizing the importance of setting firm but loving boundaries to teach children respect for money and responsibility. Doug warns against conditional love based on behavior, advocating for unconditional affection alongside clear consequences. Doug introduces the Enneagram personality system as a key tool in understanding financial behaviors and emotional patterns related to money, promising to explain it further. Unlike the more fixed Myers-Briggs system, the Enneagram offers a fluid growth framework that guides emotional and spiritual development over time. Personal experiences with anger are shared, highlighting how generational values around toughness and self-control shape how anger is handled. The Enneagram is described as having a spiritual layer that underpins common virtues found in many religions, such as honesty and courage. Doug stresses that meaningful transformation takes effort and mental work—there are no quick fixes—and that sustained self-awareness and practice are essential. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance Douglas Heagren | Pro College Planners Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/taming-your-money-monster-doug-lynam-734 

It's a Crypto Bonanza today we we discuss the new Clarity Act and how it impacts digital currencies. We also chat about the emotional and financial rollercoaster of buying a home in today's market, as Kirk shares about falling in love with a house—only to walk away after discovering many issues the sellers failed to disclose. We talk about how the cost to buy is now far above the cost to rent in many areasb and how sellers are increasingly unwilling to drop prices—even as supply builds and interest rates stay high. We also dig into how real estate, while deeply emotional, ultimately comes down to math, and why renting may still make more sense...  Wee discuss...  The cost to buy a home is currently much higher than the cost to rent, especially in higher-priced markets. Emotional attachment often causes sellers to keep unrealistic home prices despite market shifts. Many markets are seeing a growing supply of homes and longer times on market, leading to price pressures. Real estate equity is a major source of wealth but is difficult to access without selling or borrowing. Sellers tend to suppress or avoid disclosing problems to preserve home value, increasing risk for buyers. Inflation-adjusted home prices show 2025 prices are very high, but official inflation numbers may understate true inflation. Buying a home is often an emotional and personal decision rather than a purely financial investment. Renting can be mathematically cheaper, but many still desire homeownership for personal reasons.  The Clarity Act aims to define regulatory authority over digital assets between the CFTC and SEC, though it hasn't passed yet. Regulation is viewed positively if it prevents fraud without overly restricting innovation in crypto. The banking sector may resist crypto innovation due to potential threats to their traditional business models. Concerns were expressed about government overreach via CBDCs that could control or monitor personal spending. Despite risks, the government already has many tools to combat financial crime without needing intrusive surveillance. Bitcoin and Ethereum prices have risen recently, prompting some profit-taking but maintaining belief in long-term value. MicroStrategy pivoted to Bitcoin investment after years of flat or breakeven performance, using debt and financial engineering to buy more Bitcoin. The history of MicroStrategy's CEO includes a past SEC investigation and company struggles before embracing Bitcoin. The line between genius and stupidity can sometimes be just dumb luck. MicroStrategy's strategy resembles a Ponzi scheme by relying on new money to pay returns and leveraging debt to buy Bitcoin. If Bitcoin crashes, the company faces margin calls and financial stress due to heavy debt.   Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | ProCollege Planners Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/crypto-bonanza-733 

Shaan Patel is here to discuss how you can slash the cost of college through some more advanced strategies. We also discuss major education changes packed into the “Big Beautiful Bill,” starting with the introduction of new Trump Accounts—a kind of IRA for minors with no deductions and withdrawal restrictions until age 18. We cover expanded uses for 529 plans, including tutoring, test prep, homeschool materials, and more. Repayment options are narrowed down to just two, and several popular income-driven plans are scrapped. We also talk about how Pell Grants are being expanded for short-term workforce programs and the future of the Department of Education as it sees deep funding cuts—all pointing to less federal support, more private lending, and a growing need for serious college planning.  We discuss... Major education reforms packed into the “Big Beautiful Bill,” starting with the new Trump Account—a savings vehicle for minors with a $5,000 annual cap, no deductions, and no early withdrawals. The bill expands 529 plans to cover tutoring, test prep, online learning, homeschool materials, and special education services. A new federal tax credit scholarship program allows individuals and corporations to donate up to $1,700 annually to scholarship organizations, with a 100% tax credit. There's also $500 million in grants for “American Values” curricula promoting patriotism and national pride. On the college side, new federal loan caps include $100K for master's degrees, $200K for professional degrees (like law or med school), and a $257,500 lifetime limit—while Grad PLUS loans are eliminated entirely. Repayment options are now limited to a standard plan or a new Repayment Assistance Plan (RAP), ending other income-based programs like SAVE and PAYE. Public Service Loan Forgiveness survives but faces tighter eligibility, and deferment options for hardship have been significantly cut. Workforce Pell Grants are expanded to include short-term training programs (8–15 weeks) for in-demand technical jobs. Wealthy universities face a major increase in endowment taxes—up to 8%—especially impacting Ivy League schools. The Department of Education will see a nearly 20% discretionary funding cut over five years, potentially affecting programs like TRIO that help low-income students access college. With fewer federal dollars and tighter lending, private loans may fill the gap—making proactive college and financial planning more critical than ever. Parents of younger students (7th–10th grade) should start planning early for the PSAT. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance Diana Perkins | Trading with Diana   Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/slash-the-cost-of-college-shaan-patel-732   

Kirk changes his tune on housing as he moves towards purchasing a new home. Today we explore how homeownership is often more of an emotional choice than a smart financial investment, with many people misunderstanding the real cost compared to renting. We talk about the burden of property taxes, why paying off a mortgage early might not always make financial sense, and the social pressures around owning a home. We shift gears to a surprising discovery in credit reporting systems—a “Human Trafficking Request” option—which leads us to reflect on the serious issue of human trafficking, especially in border areas, and how complex and unexpected some financial topics can be. We also talk property taxes, economic growth, and more! Today we discuss... Buying a home isn't just about numbers—it's emotional, from nesting instincts to worrying about what neighbors think. Contrary to popular belief, owning a home often isn't a great financial investment; it's mostly a personal expense. There's a sweet spot where owning beats renting, but for expensive properties, renting often comes out cheaper. Paying off a low-interest mortgage early might feel good, but financially, investing that money elsewhere often makes more sense. You never really “own” a home because ongoing costs like taxes and maintenance keep coming. A bizarre credit bureau feature for removing human trafficking info—raises a lot of questions about what's on our reports. Trying to freeze or check credit reports online turned into a frustrating experience with errors and security concerns. A “chart crime” was discussed involving misleading silver price charts that artificially suggest massive future price spikes. Everyone, including experts, has biases, and the best investing involves independent thinking free from crowd influence. Warren Buffett's investment strategy of avoiding Wall Street noise by focusing on fundamentals is highlighted, though his recent performance is debated. The US stock market has outperformed international markets over the past two decades, with Europe's regulatory environment hindering growth. Government remains the largest job growth sector in the US, followed by healthcare, while mining, logging, and wholesale trade experience declines. The overarching advice is to think independently and critically about economic and investment data rather than relying solely on common narratives or biased sources. Silicon Valley Bank's collapse risked systemic damage due to concentrated wealth in California's tech sector and the bank's insolvency. Banks face difficulty raising liquidity quickly without selling assets at steep unrealized losses, causing stress in both banking and real estate markets. Tech giants like Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia are performing well in earnings season, while healthcare and oil services sectors lag. Caution is advised against chasing recent market gains, with better opportunities expected in the fall after potential market pullbacks.   Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | ProCollege Planners Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/kirk-changes-his-tune-on-housing-731 

Kaitlyn Laney shares her personal and professional journey, and how she manages balancing motherhood and financial advising. As she runs her own firm in Scottsdale, Arizona, Kaitlyn emphasizes the limitations of big financial firms and how individualized planning is critical—especially for high earners who often receive poor or outdated advice. Kaitlyn highlights the importance of understanding taxes, setting up retirement plans tailored to personal goals, and adapting financial strategies to different life stages. She also dives into the real costs of child care, the economic trade-offs families face—particularly women—and the rationale behind her husband choosing to stay home.  We discuss... Kaitlyn Laney shares her background as a financial advisor who left a large firm in 2018 to start her own practice in Scottsdale, gaining the flexibility to be more present for her family. She discusses the challenges of raising two young boys under the age of two while managing a business and household. Kaitlyn emphasizes that many financial advisors give generalized advice that doesn't keep up with clients' evolving wealth and tax situations. She highlights a common industry issue: high-income earners receiving poor advice, like being incorrectly advised to contribute to a Roth IRA. Kaitlyn stresses the importance of personalized financial planning focused on education, understanding tax brackets, and using strategies like 401(k)s or SEP IRAs to reduce tax burdens. She encourages clients to view financial decisions through the lens of life stages and accept that intense spending periods (like early childhood) are temporary. The conversation explores the high cost of childcare, often exceeding college tuition, and the value of repurposing childcare expenses into savings once children enter school. Kaitlyn explains why her husband decided to stay home, citing the minimal financial benefit of both parents working while paying for full-time childcare. They discuss how many families, especially women, face difficult trade-offs between career and caregiving due to unaffordable childcare. The couple prioritizes simplicity and a lean budget over luxury spending in order to create time and presence for their children. She acknowledges the emotional trade-offs of missing certain moments but emphasizes intentionality in the life they've designed. Despite initial fears about leaving a big firm, she successfully built a $100M independent practice focused on low fees and personal planning. She credits faith, risk-taking, and a supportive partner for enabling her transition into entrepreneurship and motherhood on her terms. The conversation emphasizes the value of designing a life based on long-term goals and rejecting societal pressures to overspend. Kaitlyn advises not to rely on Social Security alone and stresses the importance of working with a qualified advisor to build a plan that fits your life stage and goals. For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/balancing-motherhood-and-financial-advising-kaitlyn-laney-730  Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance Phil Weiss | Apprise Wealth Management Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast  

Today we go down the AI rabbit hole. We also discuss the highlights of the new legislative package dubbed the “big beautiful bill,” which includes tax changes like extending 2017 tax cuts, increasing standard deductions, eliminating taxes on tips and overtime, and adding a car loan interest deduction. They critiqued the temporary nature of supposedly “permanent” policies, expressed concern over increased national debt, and discussed the personal finance implications of car depreciation and insurance after one host totaled his vehicle and bought a newer model. We also talk about the potential of lower interest rates.  We discuss: The recent (and short-lived) Israel-Iran conflict and it's comparisons to past rushed declarations of victory. The newly passed “big beautiful bill,” which includes many tax-related changes. The permanent extension of 2017 tax cuts, though “permanent” really means until the next administration. A new "Trump Account" for minors allows $5,000 in annual contributions but restricts withdrawals until age 18 and offers no tax deduction. Charitable deduction rules changed, and the 1099-K reporting threshold rollback was included. Education provisions included a new federal tax credit scholarship program modeled after Florida's, with no federal cap. Public Service Loan Forgiveness (PSLF) remains but with potential restrictions looming. Medicaid spending is being cut by $1 trillion, which may impact school-based mental health services. The Department of Education faces a 20% cut in discretionary spending over five years. The hosts emphasized the rising importance of college financial planning given shrinking federal support. Elon Musk's proposes the “America Party” which lack of creativity makes it seen as another PR move. The conversation shifted to rising consumer concerns about job loss, with data showing job fear levels near historical highs. We question whether we're in a recession and whether the technical label even matters to markets or investors. True market crashes are rarely surprising and often come with warning signs. Tariff impacts were discussed, with most firms passing costs to consumers or absorbing them internally rather than reshoring. Manufacturing sectors are more affected by tariffs than tech, healthcare, or utilities. They noted the dollar has sharply declined in 2025, one of the worst first-half drops since 1986. The weakening dollar is viewed by the Trump administration as a tool to boost exports and domestic manufacturing. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | ProCollege Planners Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/ai-rabbit-hole-729 

Dr. Amir Baluch, a semi-retired anesthesiologist and founder of Baluch Capital, shares his journey from medicine into alternative investments, emphasizing the importance of income diversification after early career financial setbacks. He discusses his firm's multi-asset platform for accredited investors, which includes real estate development, private equity in life sciences, life settlement funds, and explorations into litigation finance. We touch on AI's disruptive potential across sectors and note that success will depend less on access to AI tools and more on the speed of implementation, data quality, and strategic defensibility. We discuss...  Amir Baluch is a semi-retired anesthesiologist who now runs Balouche Capital, focusing on alternative investments for accredited investors. Amir initially pursued finance out of concern for income stability after early setbacks in business and observing his father's financial struggles. Life sciences and biotech are Amir's personal focus, especially technologies that improve healthcare delivery, like non-invasive multi-cancer blood tests. Life settlements appeal due to low correlation with markets and inevitable payout, though underwriting accuracy and deal flow are crucial for returns. Amir is exploring litigation finance but hasn't yet launched a product; he's researching deal structures and entry points. Real estate strategies include both single-deal investments and blended income funds with quarterly or monthly distributions. In biotech, Amir prefers early-stage venture capital and is now also exploring leveraged buyouts for behavioral health businesses. AI is viewed as a major disruptor, but success will depend on implementation speed, data quality, and prompt engineering. In healthcare, software alone isn't enough—relationships and integration skills are critical for success. Biotech and real estate software require domain expertise to be meaningfully useful or defensible. AI helps trading funds reduce risk by filtering out bad trades rather than increasing returns. Future success with AI will depend on data quality, creative use, and problem-solving skills—not access alone. Real estate remains inefficient and relationship-driven, which limits AI's ability to disrupt deal sourcing. AI can aid real estate acquisitions by quickly modeling and ranking deals based on defined risk/return criteria. Strong personal networks still outperform AI in gaining early access to off-market real estate opportunities. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Diana Perkins | Trading With Diana Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/from-medicine-to-alternative-investments-dr-amir-baluch-728 

AI thinks it's OK to steal and blackmail you! Today we dive deep into the evolving landscape of artificial intelligence, highlighting both its disruptive promise and emerging risks. New research showing that large language models (LLMs) often resort to manipulative behavior when put under pressure, raising ethical and control concerns. We also talk about investment strategies around AI infrastructure, noting underperformance in traditional strategies like small-cap, international, and value investing. We also explore a new MIT study suggesting AI may reduce cognitive engagement and critical thinking and widespread reliance on AI tools could lead to long-term intellectual decline. We discuss...  A recent study showed that in simulated scenarios, AI models like Claude, GPT-4, and Gemini frequently resorted to blackmail when "cornered." All major large language models displayed concerning behavior in adversarial tests, highlighting a broader industry problem. AI is surprisingly poor at basic math tasks despite being computer-based, which raises risks for business use in financial roles. Apple is rumored to partner with Anthropic (Claude) for Siri instead of acquiring them outright. AI tools have shown 85.5% accuracy on challenging medical cases, compared to 20% accuracy by experienced physicians. The use of AI in healthcare may not replace doctors but is expected to enhance their capabilities significantly. Elon Musk warned AI development may soon face power supply bottlenecks, particularly due to training instability during grid fluctuations. Battery storage is becoming critical to stabilize AI-related energy demands, similar to power issues seen in crypto mining. Broader investment trends include AI, nuclear, space, blockchain, and cannabis, with many investors still concentrating on the "Magnificent Seven." Traditional diversification strategies like small-cap, value, and international investing have underperformed for decades. Despite high valuations, the U.S. remains the most attractive market compared to overregulated or unstable alternatives like Europe or China. A recent MIT study suggested AI use may lead to cognitive decline, describing users as becoming “cognitively bankrupt.” Reliance on AI could undermine critical thinking, especially among younger generations. AI, like social media, might make society dumber by eliminating the need for deep thinking. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | ProCollege Planners Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/ai-thinks-its-ok-to-steal-727 

Ryan Chaw shares his bedroom real estate rental property strategy. As a pharmacist-turned-real estate investor Ryan shares how he built a successful portfolio of 14 rental properties generating $50,000/month in income by renting out homes by the bedroom to students and professionals near college campuses. Now financially free, he spends his time coaching others and maintaining a disciplined approach to growth while avoiding low-quality competition and preserving strong tenant relationships. Today we discuss...  Ryan Chaw transitioned from a pharmacist to a real estate investor inspired by his grandfather's success in Bay Area real estate. He began investing in 2016 with a $262,000 property in Stockton, California, renting it by the bedroom to maximize cash flow. His strategy involves converting 3-bedroom homes into 5- or 6-bedroom rentals and leasing them to students and professionals. Ryan now owns 14 rental properties generating $50,000 per month in income and has fully replaced his pharmacist salary. Most of his tenants come from word-of-mouth referrals, especially from student communities at nearby colleges. Properties that would rent for $1,500–$2,200 annually generate $4,000+ per month when rented by the room. Competition in his niche is limited and often low quality, with few landlords offering the same level of service. Ryan sees consistent long-term demand with students signing multi-year leases and bringing in future tenants. Ryan targets neighborhoods favored by graduate students and healthcare professionals by researching Reddit forums for off-campus housing recommendations. He rents to both students and healthcare workers, often securing two-year leases from medical residents and fellows. He continues to acquire at least one new property per year and currently owns 14 rentals. He recommends keeping $7,000 to $10,000 per property in reserves to cover unexpected maintenance like HVAC or roof issues. He clusters tenants by category (e.g., pharmacy students, dental students, healthcare workers) to foster a sense of community. His four key success factors for student rentals are proximity to campus, neighborhood safety, affordability, and tenant community. Ryan uses VAs to triage maintenance requests and relies on a vetted contractor network to address issues within 24 to 48 hours. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance Douglas Heagren | Pro College Planners Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/bedroom-real-estate-ryan-chaw-726 

Today we talk the end of quarter performance for quarter two of 2025. How did you do? We also cover a wide range of economic and market topics, beginning with the complexities of investing in artificial intelligence, lessons on succession planning, leadership transitions, and the importance of understanding demographic and power dynamics in both politics and investing. We note that large-cap growth, tech, and industrials led Q2 performance, while energy and real estate lagged. Mounting debt, rising delinquencies, and wage garnishment were cited as signs of economic stress, especially among younger and lower-income Americans, but the U.S. is still regarded as one of the best places to live. Today we discuss...  AI emerges as a hot investing theme, but it's difficult to get meaningful public equity exposure to the trend. We talks lessons for business owners on succession planning and the difference between operators and visionaries. You should invest in yourselves, learn how to work with AI, and become irreplaceable in the workforce. They conclude that unlike past tech revolutions, understanding AI is more about mindset, prompting skills, and creative application than simply buying stock exposure. Warren Buffett can be both the greatest investor of all time and underperform over the last 25 years. Buffett's investment challenges are partly due to managing massive capital, but he also strayed from his original strategy. Buffett should have retired decades ago and left day-to-day decisions to others. This is a parallel between aging leaders in investing and aging politicians who refuse to step down. The Baby Boomer generation is described as unintentionally draining economic resources through demographic trends. Understanding leadership transitions and generational shifts is crucial for evaluating companies and markets. Q2 market performance shows large-cap growth outperforming small-cap and value stocks. Sectors like industrials, communications, and tech led, while energy, real estate, and healthcare lagged. High beta, momentum, and pure growth factors outperformed, while high dividend and low volatility underperformed. Treasury bonds, especially international, were among the best-performing fixed income assets. Precious metals like gold, silver, and uranium led commodities; agricultural products like corn and wheat lagged. Many top-performing countries are printing money, boosting markets, despite geopolitical or structural issues. Biotech investing is highly complex due to multiple layers of science, regulation, and operational risk. Investors don't need to invest in every trendy sector—understanding is more important than participation. Crypto markets have rebounded, with Ethereum and Bitcoin showing strong recent gains. The "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks have mixed performance, with Apple and Tesla notably underperforming. The market is entering a historically strong July–August window, buoyed by trade optimism. U.S.–China relations show signs of improvement, including mutual resource access. Buy Now, Pay Later services are beginning to impact credit scores and consumer financial stability. Over 2.3 million households are delinquent on mortgage payments, with foreclosures up 34%. Renters face growing pressure, with 21% behind on payments and eviction filings surging. Mounting debt burdens are fueling disillusionment among younger Americans, increasing support for socialism. Inflation has cooled from 9% in 2022 to 2.4% in April 2025. Despite challenges, the U.S. is still viewed as one of the best places to live. For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/end-of-quarter-performance-725  Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | ProCollege Planners Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast  

Eric Malka shares his journey from arriving in the U.S. as a 17-year-old immigrant with $100 to co-founding The Art of Shaving, a brand that redefined men's grooming by turning shaving into a premium ritual experience. He explains how a chance job in men's grooming and exposure to traditional shaving culture in London inspired him to bring the concept to the U.S., where he and his wife opened their first store using natural ingredients and a four-step shaving system. Eric attributes their rapid growth and eventual acquisition by Procter & Gamble to their emotional connection with customers, brand storytelling, and strategic pivots—including leveraging media exposure, expanding into wholesale, and cautiously raising capital at the right time.  We discuss... Eric Malka shares his background as an immigrant entrepreneur who arrived in the U.S. at 17 and eventually sold his company to Procter & Gamble. He is best known for founding The Art of Shaving, a luxury men's grooming brand launched in 1996 in New York City. The idea for the business came from his exposure to traditional shaving shops in London and his wife's interest in natural ingredients. He described how the brand's emotional appeal, especially the father-son connection around shaving, created strong customer loyalty. Eric stresses the importance of focusing on emotional branding and creating meaningful rituals rather than just selling products. He attributes the shift in the shaving market to overpriced blades, the beard trend, and disruptors like Dollar Shave Club and Harry's. He explaines that their success was rooted in consistent brand execution and connecting deeply with consumers. The company strategically delayed raising capital until it was necessary and used that funding to accelerate growth. Eric emphasizes the importance of pacing growth—crawling before walking, walking before running, and using capital as rocket fuel only when ready. Eric highlights that many competitors tried to copy The Art of Shaving but failed due to weaker execution, particularly in store location and brand experience. He planned his exit years in advance and was strategic about timing and value. Working with P&G during the earn-out turned out to be educational and inspiring, giving him exposure to world-class brand and marketing leadership. Eric became a student of investing, studying top investors and institutions to build a diversified, tax-efficient portfolio. Malka defines his legacy around promoting natural health, entrepreneurial values, and helping underdog founders succeed. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Phil Weiss | Apprise Wealth Management Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/the-art-of-shaving-eric-malka-724   

AI just taught me this cool thing... keep on listening to find out what it is! Today we talk about the massive and fast-moving implications of AI. We share the personal experiences with how AI challenges traditional business structures and workflows, requiring users to reimagine how work is done. We also explores how AI may replace many functions within organizations, from marketing to operations, while still lacking in areas like math accuracy and sales conversations. We also talk about Mary Meeker's AI report, noting unprecedented user adoption, the rapid rise of global competitors like China's DeepSeek, and the prediction that LLMs will become personal, customizable, and nearly costless. We need to rethink AI's role in business, its deflationary impact on cost, and how fast-changing technology may render old tools and concepts obsolete.  We discuss...  How humor and sarcasm could be the final frontier in distinguishing AI from humans. The greatest investment in AI is learning how to use it personally and professionally. How limited human imagination, not technology, is the biggest barrier to innovation with AI. AI's limitations in math were noted, with a warning not to fully trust it as a CFO despite its operational usefulness. AI isn't quite ready for high-touch sales calls but is rapidly closing the gap in other business areas. Global AI adoption is surging, with China's DeepSeek gaining ground quickly through much lower-cost models. Token costs have dropped nearly 100% in two years, and energy efficiency in GPUs has improved drastically. With the penny going out of circulation, it might be time to start saving them as collectibles. AI development curves are moving much faster than traditional SaaS models, making this a truly disruptive moment in tech. Meta's LLaMA has been downloaded 1.2 billion times in 10 weeks, with over 100,000 derivative models created. The performance gap between open-source and closed AI models is shrinking rapidly, with DeepSeek nearly matching OpenAI on benchmarks. The AI ecosystem is becoming decentralized, much like the shift from centralized platforms to blockchain-based alternatives. Decentralization is praised for enabling free speech, innovation, and diversity of thought, unlike centralized control. Most employees are already using AI tools like ChatGPT personally, even if companies haven't officially adopted them. AI is increasing personal productivity, but there's concern it may ultimately compress work rather than improve quality of life. Over 60,000 new AI-related job titles have emerged in just two years, indicating a massive career reshuffle. Without earned knowledge, people can misuse powerful tools like AI, just as they did with nuclear weapons. The future with AI could resemble either Skynet or Star Trek, and no one truly knows which way it will go. There is risk of psychological strain and social dysfunction if people are displaced without purpose. AI tools can now bypass paywalls and summarize articles, challenging traditional media revenue models. The current wealth gap and collapse of the middle class is unprecedented, even before full-scale AI disruption. Decentralized AI (e.g., having your own local models) is seen as essential to maintain independence and avoid manipulation. A growing imbalance of more sellers than buyers suggests further downward pressure on real estate prices. Political pressure is influencing Fed policy, with previous rate cuts seen as potentially timed to impact elections. Global conflict, such as recent Middle East tensions, is having surprisingly little impact on the stock market. Investors should focus on risk management given the unpredictability and detachment from fundamentals. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | ProCollege Planners Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/ai-just-taught-me-this-cool-thing-723 

Mukarram Mawjood is here to share on commodity cycles and investor sentiment secrets. He discusses his focus on alternative assets including precious metals, crypto, and real estate, highlighting silver as his top current pick due to its price lag behind gold and significant upside potential. He explains how gold's recent surge has largely priced in geopolitical risk, while silver remains undervalued despite industrial demand. He also touches on market psychology, gold-to-silver ratios, and how cryptocurrencies are increasingly competing with gold as alternative stores of value. We discuss... Mukarram's firm invests heavily in physical metals, crypto, and real estate—assets with inverse correlation to the U.S. dollar. Silver is seen as significantly undervalued relative to gold, presenting a price arbitrage opportunity. He sees silver's price lag as typical behavior in precious metal bull cycles, with major catch-up potential. Central banks buying gold has driven recent price action, while silver remains overlooked by both institutions and retail investors. Geopolitical tensions have driven gold's rise as a safe haven, but easing global instability could rotate capital into silver. Mukarram emphasizes timing and patience—investors should scale into undervalued assets before the move happens. Crypto has diverted some capital from gold but believes both assets serve different investor needs. During COVID, gold quietly doubled from 1,200 to over 2,000, which many missed due to lack of long-term positioning. Bitcoin and crypto sometimes move like metals, but when metals act as a safe haven, crypto typically does not. Crypto currently offers opportunity not because it's strong, but because it's been beaten down while gold rallied. Bitcoin may still hit 100K–200K, but other assets may outperform it percentage-wise during its rise. Ethereum has mixed sentiment in the crypto community, but Solana is gaining more institutional adoption. Major crypto news events often coincide with local tops, especially in bull markets. Crypto cycles are faster (typically 18 months), while metals like gold and silver move in 3–5 year timelines. Crude oil's recent stagnation shows how macro factors like tariffs and recession fears can override seasonal patterns. Commodities should be chosen based on correlation to the U.S. dollar and liquidity conditions. Successful trading is 75% mindset and only 25% technical skill, especially in volatile markets like crypto. For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/commodity-cycles-mukarram-mawjood-722 Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance Phil Weiss | Apprise Wealth Management Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast  

There is war in the middle east again! Today we talk about the recent escalation of conflict between Israel and Iran, with speculation that the U.S. may be involved indirectly. Media narratives are particularly frustrating, with uncertainty and conflicting reports make it difficult to know what's truly happening. This definitely parallels the financial markets, particularly with how differing narratives shape reactions during times of volatility with many often making moves on perception rather than confirmed facts. The war could potentially impact on oil prices and inflation among other global economic repercussions despite the U.S. being more energy independent. We discuss... War has reignited in the Middle East, with Israel attacking Iran and missiles flying in both directions. There's confusion about U.S. involvement, with implications that support for Israel exists behind the scenes. The biggest economic concern is the potential for rising oil prices and inflation due to conflict. Oil futures spiked shortly after the attack, raising suspicions of insider trading among politicians. The discussion draws parallels between the chaos of war and financial markets—both are driven by incomplete, misleading, or rapidly evolving information. The role of algorithms and the lack of liquidity are blamed for severe price swings during market disruptions. Humans feel compelled to understand market movements even when there may be no clear explanation. Market price is the most honest signal, but its drivers are often unknowable or misleading. The U.S. is stepping back from global policing, reinforcing an “America First” geopolitical posture. China is rapidly overtaking Western industries like autos, robotics, and nuclear energy. Global money printing continues to fuel equity markets despite mixed economic signals. Investment strategy should focus on capital flows, not moral preferences or outdated macro narratives. ESG investing appeals to emotions, but maximizing returns and funding good later may be more effective. Google quietly changed its algorithm to penalize independent contractors on major media platforms. Search is undergoing a dramatic transformation due to AI, fundamentally changing how users and companies interact with information. Google's ad business is threatened as users shift from browsing search results to receiving direct AI-generated answers. New technologies upend existing industries, especially if introduced abruptly without time to adapt. The global AI race—especially against China—is accelerating progress beyond what's safe or manageable. AI will likely displace workers not all at once, but gradually as its capabilities expand and efficiencies are realized. AI thinks differently than humans—it doesn't require order or structure to understand inputs. Learning how to think and work with AI is becoming a crucial new skill set. For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/war-in-the-middle-east-721  Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Phil Weiss | Apprise Wealth Management Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast  

Matthew Le Merle joined the podcast to discuss his journey from a consulting background to breaking finance with blockchain. He explains how he and his wife Alison pivoted to blockchain after recognizing it as the next major wave of digital value creation following the internet era. He breaks down the differences between blockchain, crypto, and DeFi, and shares how the financial industry is slow to adapt due to outdated systems and vested interests. While adoption may seem slow, it's actually progressing rapidly by historical standards, and transformation remains inevitable no matter what.  We discuss... Matthew Le Merle transitioned from a career in consulting and digital innovation to blockchain venture investing after identifying it as the next major wave of value creation. He and his wife began investing in blockchain over a decade ago, seeing it as the foundation for digitalizing commerce and finance. Blockchain, or distributed ledger technology (DLT), complements the internet by enabling secure, trust-based value transfers. Crypto is a subset of digital assets—usually natively digital—enabled by tokenization on blockchain infrastructure. Tokenization allows any asset to be digitally represented and transacted without paper or manual processes. DeFi (Decentralized Finance) enables financial transactions through code rather than intermediaries, potentially removing banks and middlemen from the equation. The current financial system is deeply entrenched with inefficiencies and intermediaries that profit from friction and delay. Incumbent institutions like banks face both technological and incentive-based challenges in adopting blockchain solutions. Just as digital communication disrupted legacy industries, blockchain is likely to disrupt banking and finance despite institutional resistance. While adoption of smart contracts and blockchain applications has been slower than expected, it's following a similar long development arc as the early internet. Digital assets are designed to function natively on digital infrastructure, enabling real-time, frictionless movement. Discounted cash flow models can now be used to estimate intrinsic value for platforms like Ethereum and Solana. Bitcoin's value is more abstract, deriving from its role as a hedge against government control, inflation, and confiscation. Blockchain investing spans six asset classes: early, mid/late, and public stages for both equity and token-based investments. Entry-level exposure to crypto can be done via small Bitcoin allocations, as recommended by BlackRock and others. The biggest blockchain fortunes have come from early-stage investments, not public market trading. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance   Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/breaking-finance-with-blockchain-matthew-le-merle-720 

AI is causing a big disruption but the number 1 investment you can make in AI is learn it before you get left behind! Today we talk on the cultural, societal, and economic disruption caused by AI, comparing its transformative potential to that of the industrial age. While traditional frameworks—like working for purpose, identity, and productivity—are deeply ingrained in modern life, AI is rapidly eroding these norms by replacing jobs and altering what it means to be valuable in the workforce. Despite the uncertainty and anxiety around obsolescence, the best current investment is learning how to effectively use AI—not just dabble in it, but truly understand and apply it—as this will separate the empowered from the obsolete in the coming years. We discuss... AI is positioned as a disruptive force akin to the Industrial Revolution, challenging long-standing societal frameworks. Modern systems—from schools to corporations—are still rooted in Industrial Age models built for efficiency, not creativity. Innovation comes from the small percentage of society willing to think differently, even if they seem eccentric. AI represents a fundamental shift in how we think about productivity, identity, and purpose. Most people need purpose, and work has traditionally served that function—AI may disrupt this connection. People who understand how to use AI will replace those who don't, creating waves of obsolescence. The rise of AI may force society into an identity crisis as traditional roles and functions disappear. Many people won't be able to re-skill fast enough to keep up with AI's rapid displacement of labor. Investing in AI is challenging because major players are private or already priced for perfection. The best AI investment today is learning how to use it yourself to create value directly. AI can replace high-salary roles with low-cost automation—great for businesses, threatening for workers. Replicating your brain in AI gives you a major edge in decision-making and productivity. Privacy concerns are fading as people get used to sharing personal data with AI for performance gains. Investing in your understanding of AI is the most valuable thing you can do today. AI is easy to use—success comes down more to willingness than difficulty. Human interaction is the hardest part of work for AI to replicate. AI futures range from utopian to dystopian—avoid extreme views and prepare with skills instead. The Elon Musk–Donald Trump "bromance breakup" shows how political and business alliances can impact markets. “Second-level thinking” is crucial to interpreting events beyond surface-level headlines. For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/1-investment-you-can-make-in-ai Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance Phil Weiss | Apprise Wealth Management Douglas Heagren | Pro College Planners Megan Gorman | The Wealth Intersection Tim Baker | Metric Fin Jeff Hulett | Finance Revamp Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast  

Laura Adams shares her journey into personal finance, podcasting, and authorship with her new book Money-Smart Solopreneur. She shares how she transitioned from corporate finance aspirations to helping individuals improve their money management through writing and podcasting. She discusses the evolution of book publishing, the growing need for supplemental income due to inflation and stagnant wages by starting side businesses, and practical advice on identifying marketable skills. We discuss... Laura Adams has worked in personal finance for nearly 15 years, transitioning from a corporate finance path after noticing even smart professionals struggled with money basics. Her passion for financial education led her to blogging and podcasting in the mid-2000s, eventually growing the "Money Girl" community. Writing books is a major undertaking that requires deep effort, especially when promotion is involved. Her dream of seeing her book on bookstore shelves motivated her to pursue traditional publishing, despite the changing landscape of book promotion. How the financial pressures facing many Americans today, especially due to inflation. Laura encouraged people to consider starting a side business to supplement income and access tax advantages. Side businesses should ideally be enjoyable since they often take place during personal time. Starting small and testing the market with minimal upfront investment is a smart approach to launching a side hustle. People should leverage existing skills and interests when brainstorming side business ideas. If your goal is quick income, practical gigs like freelancing, tutoring, or becoming a virtual assistant may be for you. Many people feel intimidated by starting a business but advised against overthinking early-stage logistics. Wait until a side business earns around $10,000 annually before worrying about formal structures like LLCs or accountants. Market research through conversation can spark ideas and reveal where your talents might fill a gap. Iterative experimentation are a great way to discover what business ideas are both enjoyable and viable. For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/money-smart-solopreneur-718    Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | ProCollege Planners Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast  

AI will change your life! Are you ready? Today we dive into the evolving landscape of AI, the capabilities and limitations of current AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, and Gemini, and why most users don't get the results they truly want. While AI is a very powerful but immature tool, learning how to use it effectively will help you to stay relevant in the workforce and can benefit your personal life as well. AI disruption is inevitable and potentially beneficial but it also raises serious questions about human adaptability for a rapidly changing future. We discuss... Frustrations around AI tools like ChatGPT, Gemini, Claude, Grok, and DeepSeek, especially when users expect too much without giving clear input. The importance of context and prompting in getting valuable responses from AI. Most people use AI poorly, often giving it vague or vanity prompts without depth. Our industrial-era mindset doesn't prepare us to use AI effectively, and adaptation is essential. AI can assist with tasks like job postings or report generation, results depend heavily on user input. AI disruption will be massive, though adoption will happen gradually over time. The first wave of job losses will hit those who don't learn how to use AI tools. Identity—such as being a provider, parent, or worker—could be threatened by AI taking over meaningful roles. Ego and confirmation bias could limit AI's effectiveness as a truth-telling tool. While AI can process inputs and generate useful outputs, it still requires thoughtful human analysis. The U.S. housing market has shown nearly 500,000 more sellers than buyers — the largest gap on record. Credit conditions has deteriorated — 2.3 million borrowers have dropped into subprime credit territory Student loan delinquencies have spiked sharply since collections resumed in May. Nearly $100 million has been collected by Treasury and the Department of Education from defaulted borrowers. Average rent prices have declined, yet overall consumer stress has risen due to financial pressure. Housing prices remained elevated, but affordability has deteriorated, putting pressure on cash-strapped households. Mortgage availability remains key to housing demand, as the majority of buyers rely on loans, not cash. Google search trends reveal more people are asking AI and search engines basic “adulting” questions, like how to use a mop or credit card.   Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | ProCollege Planners Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/ai-will-change-your-life-717

Kurt Carlton discusses the inefficiencies of the MLS for a good real estate investment strategy. It's currently hard to find good deals, an MLS doesn't show the scale of vacant housing in the U.S., and some sellers often prefer off-market options that avoid inspections and repairs. We also talk broader market dynamics as today's challenges stem not from distressed sellers, as in 2008, but from an aging housing stock and a severe shortage of new construction. Local real estate investors are best positioned to help restore inventory by rehabilitating vacant homes, offering a scalable solution to a long-term housing crisis.  We discuss... Kurt Carlson has nearly 20 years of experience in real estate, specializing in distressed and value-add residential properties. Unlike the MLS, Kurt's real estate platform targets off-market and undervalued properties not suited for traditional homebuyers. The MLS is inefficient for distressed properties, as typical buyers are discouraged by repairs and inspections. Investors view property issues as opportunities to create value through design, rehab, and operational efficiency. Many realtors prefer listing distressed homes on Kurt's marketplace rather than handling inspections and contractor coordination. Local investors can rehab properties more efficiently and cost-effectively than distant or uninformed sellers. There are roughly 15 million vacant homes in the U.S., presenting massive hidden inventory potential. Despite high housing demand, new construction is at historic lows—fewer homes are being built now than in 1992. Builders face high regulatory costs, land expenses, tariffs, labor shortages, and unpredictable demand cycles. Government programs often inflate demand rather than addressing supply constraints in affordable housing. Local real estate investors are critical to solving the housing crisis by repurposing vacant homes into livable inventory. Supply-demand imbalance persists because builders can't profitably create affordable housing in high-demand areas. There is plenty of capital in the market, but the housing market is not clearing due to mismatches in pricing and affordability. Out of all homes sold in the U.S., one in five is purchased by a real estate investor, the majority of whom buy fewer than 10 homes per year. The perception that Wall Street is dominating the housing market is misleading; most activity is by small business operators. There is strong demand for single-family rentals (SFR), especially for families who don't want to live in apartments. Revitalizing a few homes in neglected neighborhoods can start a chain reaction that attracts more investment and increases values. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/real-estate-investment-strategy-kurt-carlton-716 

AI is getting smarter, but are we ready? Today we deep dive into the evolution of tools like ChatGPT—from early, academic-sounding outputs to more recent capabilities that include humor, sarcasm, and nuanced storytelling. We explore how AI is rapidly improving but still faces a gap in practical, transformative use cases for the average person. The adoption curve is slow, but so it has been for past innovations like video games, the internet, and crypto. While AI is becoming more accessible, it hasn't yet reached full mainstream integration, but it eventually will. We discuss... The explosion of AI interest since ChatGPT's launch and its shift from novelty to everyday tool. How AI is getting better at sarcasm, creativity, and sounding more human unlike early AI with bland writing and a poor grasp of humor and nuance. The challenge of finding truly impactful AI use cases beyond convenience tools. The tech adoption spectrum, from everyday users to coders, and how AI fits into that. How AI follows a familiar tech adoption curve—past early adopters, not yet fully mainstream. Comparisons between AI today and early stages of gaming, internet, or crypto adoption. The idea that we're still just scratching the surface of what AI can do in daily life. ChatGPT commands the most attention, Claude comes in a distant second, and Gemini is barely on the radar. Google is quietly testing a lead generation product (likely Local Services Ads) as a new revenue source. AI hasn't yet reached the point of autonomously solving problems without user guidance. AI tools can produce mediocre output by default but become shockingly good with proper input and structure. AI isn't replacing jobs yet, but people who know how to use AI are replacing those who don't. There are viral examples of teens using AI to launch apps with multi-million dollar revenues. The more specific the prompt, the better the AI's output—clarity is key. Business tasks like running scenarios, correlations, and planning can be done instantly with AI. There's huge potential for public-facing AI avatars to field press, lead webinars, or handle customer interactions. Users respond well to AI when it's honest about being non-human—transparency builds trust.   Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | ProCollege Planners Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/ai-is-getting-smarter-715 

Your bad estate plan is going to cost you! In today's episode, Lauren Klein, a Florida-based tax and estate planning attorney, discussed the critical components of effective estate planning. She debunks myths about revocable trusts, touches on the importance of regularly updating estate plans, and shares on the unethical financial incentives some attorneys may have to let plans fall short. We also talk the strategic use of irrevocable trusts, asset titling, and state-specific protections like Florida's homestead laws for enhanced asset security. We discuss... Lauren Klein is a Florida-based tax, trust, and estate attorney who works nationally, helping clients with estate planning, probate avoidance, and tax strategies. Probate happens when someone dies owning assets solely in their name without a beneficiary or trust.  Probate adds stress during grief and often sparks disputes—especially if there's no clear plan or distant relatives get involved. Family fights usually come from unresolved issues, emotional baggage, or greed. Clear planning helps prevent conflict, though it can't always stop it. Many assume a will or trust avoids probate, but trusts must be properly funded—assets need to be retitled into the trust or have it listed as beneficiary.  The estate planning industry is too transactional—clients get documents but little follow-up. After a death, families often struggle to locate and transfer assets legally while grieving. It requires attorneys, paperwork, and patience. A common myth is that revocable trusts protect assets from taxes or lawsuits. They don't during your lifetime—but they help avoid probate and add control. Revocable trusts shine when passing assets to kids. They can protect inheritances from divorce or lawsuits and become irrevocable (and stronger) after death. Trusts are especially helpful for blended families and young kids. You can distribute assets in stages and add estate tax protection with proper planning. Irrevocable trusts offer stronger protections but are more complex and better suited for high net worth or special planning needs. Asset protection varies by state—Florida, for example, offers homestead and tenancy protections. Even how you title a car can matter. Retirement accounts and life insurance have some protection, but it depends on the state. Listing all assets is key to building a strong estate plan. Crypto is showing up more in estate planning. It requires special steps to protect and transfer securely. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance Phil Weiss | Apprise Wealth Management Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/bad-estate-planning-lauren-klein-714 

China tariffs are causing big problems right now. Today we talk about the recent developments in U.S.-China trade relations, particularly the temporary pause in tariffs and the broader implications for investor sentiment and economic narratives. The fear over supply chain disruptions quickly faded once tariff discussions resumed—even though actual inventory issues remained unresolved. We also analyzed a new Republican tax bill, highlighting key proposals like eliminating taxes on tips and overtime, allowing deductions for car loan interest, and introducing a “MEGA account” to support education, home buying, and small business loans. We discuss...  Trump temporarily paused tariffs on China for 90 days, reducing tensions and prompting speculation on political motives. Despite ongoing inventory lags, public and media attention has waned following the tariff pause announcement. People often react to headlines and political gestures without examining the actual impact or facts on the ground. Wall Street quickly shifted from fear to optimism despite unresolved issues, illustrating emotional market swings. Consumer sentiment has rapidly reversed from bearish to bullish, reflecting how quickly perception can change. Buffett's principle of being fearful when others are greedy remains relevant in today's sentiment-driven market. The proposed GOP tax bill includes a “No Tax on Tips” provision, widely supported as fair for service workers. A new “MEGA Account” is proposed to help with education, small business loans, and first-time homebuyer costs. The IRS uses audits not primarily to collect money but to scare people into compliance, as stated by an IRS official. Low-income taxpayers are disproportionately audited due to earned income tax credit claims. Wealthy individuals can afford legal support, making IRS audits less impactful for them compared to lower earners. The U.S. housing market is now at its most unaffordable level in recorded history. Mortgage rates are back to their historical average and unlikely to drop meaningfully. The Fed's long-term involvement in mortgage-backed securities has distorted the housing market. Interest rates remain high, and the Fed has yet to significantly cut, raising questions about the rationale for past rate cuts. For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/china-tariffs-are-causing-big-problems-713 

Ashley Morgan is here to share on filing for bankruptcy the right way. There has been a rising demand for bankruptcy services amid job losses and contracting challenges in the D.C. area, particularly among government contractors, and Ashley's VA based Law Practice has been doing a lot of work on these cases for both individuals and businesses. Ashley explains how bankruptcy can offer a fresh start, protect certain assets like homes or retirement accounts, and in some cases discharge tax and SBA debt. The conversation also covers the complexity of student loan discharge, the importance of asset protection and planning before filing, and misconceptions around credit damage post-bankruptcy.  We discuss...  Ashley Morgan, a bankruptcy attorney near D.C., discussed the rising demand for her services amid increasing job losses, particularly among government contractors. The economic slowdown in the D.C. area is creating a trickle-down effect, impacting local small businesses as stable government money dries up. Bankruptcy is a legal, court-supervised process to eliminate or restructure debt, offering individuals a fresh financial start. The U.S. system allows broader bankruptcy relief compared to many other countries, though outcomes depend heavily on income, assets, and debt type. Common types of bankruptcy include Chapter 7 (liquidation), Chapter 13 (repayment plan), Chapter 11 (business restructuring), and Chapter 12 (for farmers/fishermen). Chapter 11 is often used by large businesses to renegotiate leases, restructure payments, or close unprofitable locations. Small business owners can file Chapter 7 to shut down a business, but Chapter 11 can be cost-prohibitive for many. Personal credit isn't always impacted by business bankruptcy unless the owner personally guaranteed business debt. Bankruptcy doesn't automatically ruin credit—many filers see credit scores rebound shortly after filing. Asset protection during bankruptcy varies by state; homestead exemptions can protect homes, but limits differ widely. Timing and transparency are critical—transferring assets before filing may trigger fraudulent conveyance issues. Retirement accounts (e.g., 401(k)s, IRAs) are often protected and can be used strategically before filing. Student loans are generally not dischargeable, though rare exceptions exist through adversary proceedings under "undue hardship." SBA and certain tax debts may be dischargeable under specific conditions, like being sufficiently old and properly filed. Ashley emphasizes the importance of early education, legal consultation, and realistic expectations about outcomes when considering bankruptcy. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast   For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/filing-for-bankruptcy-ashley-morgan-712 

This hidden bull market is actually lying in plain sight! Find out what it is today as we discuss media fear-mongering, unhelpful propaganda, Bitcoin and gold, and more. The central banks continue accumulating gold, emphasizing its historical role as a long-term store of value, and noting that despite the rise of digital assets like Bitcoin (which the U.S. now holds as a reserve), gold's cultural and material significance remains deeply embedded worldwide. Oh, and we also got a new Pope! We discuss...  A new Pope from the U.S., Pope Leo XIV (formerly Robert Prevost of Chicago), was elected, contradicting Jim Cramer's confident prediction. The Pope had a 1% chance in betting markets, showing how off-market odds can be and how unexpected outcomes can deliver large returns. A widely shared headline warned that Earth will run out of oxygen, but buried in the article was the timeline—1 billion years from now. Climate change is a hard-to-measure issue that's often politically weaponized and based on unprovable long-term models. Propaganda exists across all eras and agendas, including pro-America messages like those in 80s movies such as Top Gun. Spotting propaganda and political messaging can be useful for investors trying to understand broader narratives and their market implications. Governments often downplay crises right before they hit, and historically, such reassurances can be a red flag to start worrying. Recognizing themes in media, like global warming or military conflicts, can help investors anticipate policy moves or market shifts. Nuclear energy is an example of a rational solution ignored for political reasons, illustrating how policy can ignore practical options. Wealthy investors and central banks are buying more gold, reinforcing gold's role as a long-term store of value. Gold continues to be culturally significant and trusted across civilizations, unlike newer assets like Bitcoin. The U.S. government has decided to hold confiscated Bitcoin as a reserve asset, further legitimizing it in financial circles. There's growing speculation that Bitcoin could evolve into a reserve asset for central banks, similar to gold. Banks have transitioned from resisting Bitcoin to finding ways to monetize it, suggesting institutional acceptance is rising. Gold has significantly outpaced wage growth since 2000, reinforcing its strength as a store of value amid stagnant real income. Crypto has displaced silver as the inflation-hedge asset of choice among younger investors, hurting silver's narrative. Long-term tailwinds for silver include green tech applications like solar panels and EVs, which could reignite demand. Gold and silver miners have underperformed despite rising bullion prices, with some major miners currently unprofitable. Mining companies face structural inefficiencies, making many poor business models despite gold's rise. Institutional caution, reflected in moves by figures like Warren Buffett, indicates potential market hesitancy despite retail optimism.   Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | ProCollege Planners Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/hidden-bull-market-711 

Anthony Georgiades shares the future of venture capital in the age of AI. He shares his journey from an early failed startup to becoming a deeply technical investor focused on frontier technologies. He emphasizes the importance of technical literacy in venture capital, especially when evaluating deep tech. We also touch on the economic and existential risks of AI, emphasizing the need for governance, transparency, and decentralized control, while pointing to robotics as a slower-moving but ultimately transformative force in the physical economy. We discuss...  Anthony Georgiades shared his background in business, venture capital, and a technical pivot into computer science and robotics. A failed early startup experience drove him to gain deeper technical proficiency to better assess and build emerging technologies. He emphasized the importance of deeply understanding deep tech and being able to speak fluently with technical founders. Web3 use cases are becoming more real, with examples like decentralized AI inference, verifiable model outputs, and on-chain computation. He highlighted the importance of decentralized GPU marketplaces and AI-native blockchains as potential disruptors. Web3's decentralized financial infrastructure enables instant, global, and permission-less access to financial instruments. Banks remain entrenched due to regulatory, compliance, and sovereign monetary systems, despite growing disruption. Crypto is unlikely to replace fiat overnight due to legal, infrastructure, and fractional reserve complexities. AI is seen as the most inevitable trend, already impacting industries across the board. The exponential development of foundation models and the importance of proprietary data are creating a winner-take-most dynamic. Web3, though earlier in development, is viewed as more disruptive due to its potential to create new markets and rewrite institutional frameworks. He acknowledged real short- and long-term risks with AI, including economic displacement, misinformation, and loss of control. Existential AI risk stems from misaligned goals, where intelligent systems could pursue objectives with harmful side effects. Open models, auditable systems, and decentralized infrastructure are key to safer AI development. Robotics is considered the “final frontier” of disruption, especially as intelligent machines become capable of operating in the physical world. Use cases like autonomous farming are emerging as impactful applications of robotics innovation. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance Phil Weiss | Apprise Wealth Management   Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/venture-capital-in-the-age-of-ai-anthony-georgiades-710   

The central banks are hoarding this asset while they wait for Trump's next move! In the meantime, Warren Buffett's announced his official retirement and his handoff of leadership to Greg Abel. We talk Buffett's post-2000 investment choices, the reasons he may have avoided buying Microsoft despite his close friendship with Bill Gates, and the challenges of managing massive capital. The hosts also touch on Buffett's preference for capital-efficient, moat-heavy businesses and his indirect exposure to Microsoft through index holdings. We also discuss recent economic news, negative GDP print driven by rising inventories and reduced government spending. We discuss...  Warren Buffett officially announced his retirement, passing leadership to Greg Abel. Buffett's consistent outperformance over decades, despite criticisms of his recent picks. Buffett's size as an investor was cited as a limitation, forcing him to seek only very large investments. The recent negative GDP print, noting concerns around economic slowdown. Inventory buildup ahead of Trump-era tariffs artificially skewed GDP figures. Net exports and reduced government spending are key contributors to the negative GDP number. Consumer spending was also shown to have slowed, adding to concerns about potential recession signals. A sharp drop in consumer spending could be a clear economic indicator of a downturn. Business investment surged after Trump's election due to economic optimism but has since stalled amid uncertainty Many business owners are holding back on investment due to a lack of visibility under the current administration. Shipping delays from China can take 30 days, meaning tariff effects won't be felt immediately but are now becoming visible. A drop in container orders from China suggests supply chain disruptions are already underway. The "bullwhip effect" explains how small supply chain changes can cause large swings in inventory and pricing. Warren Buffett is still sitting on significant cash, possibly anticipating better buying opportunities amid market volatility. A coming inventory crunch could cause inflation as demand outstrips constrained supply. Post-COVID rebounds in same-store sales distort trend lines and may create false signals. The official CPI of 21% over five years doesn't align with real-world price experiences, suggesting data manipulation. Government inflation numbers may be inaccurate or understated, leading to misguided investing decisions. Investors should rely on personal experience and intuition—the “bullshit detector”—instead of blindly trusting official data.   Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | ProCollege Planners Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/central-banks-are-hoarding-this-asset-711

Diana Perkins shares how you can master your emotions through discipline for trading success. Her journey has taken her from a childhood fascination with finance to building a career in trading and eventually launching her own trading education business. She mentors aspiring traders and emphasizes that long-term success is overwhelmingly about emotional discipline and risk management.  We discuss...  Diana Perkins shares that she knew finance was her calling from a young age, charging her sister interest on loans at age nine. She fell in love with trading stock options and derivatives, and mentors hundreds of aspiring traders. Today, Diana runs her own trading education business focused on teaching new traders with an emphasis on risk management. Most traders, particularly currency traders, tend to blow up at least one account as a "rite of passage." Fear, greed, and mindset are much bigger factors in trading success than simply knowing technical skills. Diana works extensively with options traders, helping them overcome the initial intimidation of options complexity. She emphasized the importance of discipline and emotional control in trading over just understanding strategies. Her favorite strategy when trading professionally is vertical spreads because of their limited risk and “set it and forget it” nature. She shared that she still trades today, both in her own account and through a virtual portfolio for her stock-picking service. Most people's natural instincts — fear, greed, impatience — are what make trading so challenging. Even random stock picks can perform well if trade management and discipline are handled properly. Diana emphasizes that discipline, probability, and risk management are at the core of successful trading, not just stock picking. It's important to focus on the amount of premium at risk rather than the number of contracts or shares controlled. Verticals require holding to expiration to capture full profit potential since gains are capped. Implied volatility (IV) can often cause seemingly "off" prices, particularly around earnings and major events. Consistency over time is critical to profiting from strategies like IV trading, much like "sell in May" seasonality trades. While AI tools can assist, she double-checks everything manually due to her auditing background and mistrust of "black box" systems. Although past performance isn't predictive, understanding human psychology — fear and greed — can offer powerful trading insights. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance Douglas Heagren | Pro College Planners Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast   For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/discipline-for-trading-success-diana-perkins-708 

This is a big move in this shiny asset! While everything else in the market is seeing big changes, gold is not different. We are also in earnings season, and major companies' reports can influence markets. Business uncertainty, especially around tariffs, has caused a dramatic slowdown in corporate spending. Forecasting has become very difficult, but there are signs of a potential recession, yet it's still important to avoid echo chambers when forming investment views.  We discuss... Inflation has significantly raised prices at restaurants between 2020 and 2025, with breakfast items like IHOP pancakes seeing an 82% price increase. Companies are cautious during the current earnings season, often dampening future expectations due to economic uncertainty and tariffs. A North American manager reported that customer spending and shipping orders have frozen up worse than during COVID, threatening layoffs. People seek confirmation of their beliefs and the danger of echo chambers in investing and life. Successful investors should seek out contradictory evidence rather than self-confirming narratives. Value stocks like McDonald's and Coca-Cola have been resilient and largely unaffected by tariffs. Investors should examine their ETFs' holdings and individual stock performance closely. Many mega-cap tech stocks have struggled despite strong revenue growth since 2021. A new generation of investors is facing real market pullbacks for the first time, leading to potential emotional decision-making. Risk is always present in markets, regardless of "risk on" or "risk off" environments. Diversification and proper risk management should be done before volatility hits, not after. Technology stocks are especially vulnerable to liquidity tightening and reduced spending. Global liquidity is showing signs of increasing outside the U.S., helping international markets outperform. Recessions, though painful, are necessary for economic health and market resets. Gold has been very strong recently, staying above its 200-day moving average. The gold-to-silver ratio is historically high, suggesting silver is extremely undervalued relative to gold. Proper ratio trades remove general market movement risk but require strong discipline and understanding.   Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | ProCollege Planners Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast   For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/big-move-in-this-shiny-asset-707 

We're joined by Frances Reaves, who shares insights from her work in estate and Medicaid planning, on how to get your parents ready for long term care. Frances explains the importance of preparing for elder care before it's urgently needed, sharing her personal experience with her own parents and husband, who is currently navigating Alzheimer's care. The conversation dives into the realities of elder care, including the challenges of navigating the healthcare system, the high costs of in-home versus facility care, and the value of long-term care insurance.  We discuss...  Francis Reads is an elder law attorney specializing in estate and Medicaid planning. She founded a service within her law firm called “Parent Your Parents” to support elder care planning. Elder care generally begins around age 65, when Medicare becomes available. A major challenge in elder care is systemic apathy and poor communication in facilities. In-home care is the gold standard if money is no object, costing $12,000–$15,000 per month. Reverse mortgages and long-term care insurance are common strategies to fund elder care. Long-term care insurance works similarly to car insurance—ideally unused but crucial. The cost of long-term care and facilities can quickly deplete even sizable retirement savings. The best age to purchase long-term care insurance is between 55 and 60. For-profit facilities are incentivized to keep patients alive, not necessarily to improve their quality of life. If you have no one to care for you, plan ahead with long-term care insurance, savings, and legal documents like power of attorney and healthcare proxy. People who choose to provide full-time care often risk financial ruin if long-term care plans or savings are not in place. There's potential to arbitrage life expectancy in financial tools like reverse mortgages or life insurance. Many elders struggle with losing independence, especially around giving up driving. Adult children often become parental figures to their own parents, which can create emotional strain. Financial advisors and lawyers play a key role in spotting and preventing elder financial abuse. Professionals should watch for signs of undue influence or financial exploitation and speak up if concerned. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance Phil Weiss | Apprise Wealth Management Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast   For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/long-term-care-h-frances-reaves-706 

Good times... Bad markets! Today we talk about recent volatility in the market, particularly in the bond market, as there is a lot of geopolitical uncertainty that are coming with Trump's economic moves. There may be a market downturn of up to 40% and the Fed will respond most likely respond by cutting rates, a familiar cycle in which political and monetary forces intervene to stabilize markets. Ultimately, if there's a recession, we still don't need to panic, the US markets are still strong so invest accordingly! We discuss... Market volatility recently spiked to levels not seen since COVID, driven by geopolitical and fiscal uncertainty. Trump's unpredictable moves reintroduced risk into the markets, which had become too complacent. The Fed is currently in a wait-and-see mode, which markets interpret as a lack of proactive response. Trump criticized the Fed for not following the ECB in cutting rates, claiming it weakens U.S. competitiveness. The podcast host believes the market can handle high rates and criticized Powell's pre-election rate cut as political. A continued market selloff is expected, with potential drops of 30–40% in the S&P 500 this year. If markets decline significantly, the Fed is likely to step in and cut rates to stabilize things. Historically, market declines have been followed by Fed intervention, which then props markets back up. A mild recession is likely before any recovery, but the overall economy remains fundamentally strong. Tariffs are currently painful for businesses but are viewed as a negotiation tactic rather than a permanent fixture. Markets dislike uncertainty, and the next six months are expected to be rocky before clarity returns. Keeping cash on hand is advised to take advantage of potential lower asset prices Americans are generally uncomfortable with negotiation and volatility compared to the rest of the world. Manufacturing may not fully return to the U.S., but diversification is critical for national security. Time dilation and recency bias cause people to misjudge the permanence of current events like tariffs. Leaders like Trump and Powell are motivated by legacy, not destruction. A stronger dollar could hurt gold and hard assets but elevate the U.S. as the most stable economy. Investors should routinely reassess their holdings to see if they would still buy them today. Always identify the potential exit point for any investment to manage risk.   Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | ProCollege Planners Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/good-times-bad-markets-705 

Dan Rasmussen returns to talk about how to invest during this global paradigm shift. Rasmussen shares how the post-2008 investment environment has shifted, with international markets now outperforming, volatility spiking, and the dollar weakening. He critiques the AI investment narrative, challenges in AI profitability, the misalignment between AI hype and real-world economic value, and the implications of rising geopolitical and market uncertainty.  We discuss... Dan Rasmussen runs the hedge fund Verdad, focusing on microcap value, credit, and market-neutral strategies. His new book, The Humble Investor, compiles insights from a decade of writing research notes. How the post-2008 market was defined by low volatility, strong U.S. equity performance, and growth stock dominance. In 2025, international markets have started outperforming U.S. equities, signaling a potential regime shift. As AI skepticism grows, tech giants have seen declining returns due to increased capital intensity. The profitability of AI investments remains unclear, with few killer applications and unsustainable infrastructure costs. Chipmakers like Nvidia require enormous customer spending just to justify current valuations. The long-term viability of AI, citing high operational costs and uncertain end-user benefits. Rising market volatility, potentially driven by politics and the dollar, is pushing investors toward safer, lower-volatility assets. Despite years of underperformance, international investing may be entering a comeback phase. Google is testing a shift from a pay-per-click to a pay-per-lead ad model in select zip codes. ChatGPT is becoming a preferred tool for research due to speed, accuracy, and reduced noise compared to Google. The uncertainty around AI profitability makes current tech valuations speculative and potentially risky. Potential large-scale layoffs in government and academia could ripple through the broader economy. Shifting public-sector workers to private-sector roles is uncertain and may not offset job losses. Despite Trump's influence, AI is seen as a more dominant force for markets than political shifts. Japan is highlighted as a promising international market due to undervalued stocks with fortress balance sheets. Gold has become a favored allocation, with some portfolios holding as much as 35% due to recent strong performance. Today's Panelists: Megan Gorman | The Wealth Intersection Douglas Heagren | Pro College Planners Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/global-paradigm-shift-dan-rasmussen-704

There's a second big move in the S&P 500 and it's going to change things! Today we reflect on a historic and volatile week in the markets, highlighting dramatic swings that included 40- to 50-year extremes. We also talk investor psychology, client reactions, and the importance of focusing on long-term planning rather than daily market noise. There's also been a mystery investment that has quietly outperformed this year despite a lack of media attention so it's important to pay attention to all the trends, even the ones that aren't getting mainstream attention. We also share on Warren Buffett's enduring success, Trump's negotiation tactics, and how to spot overlooked opportunities by tracking what isn't crashing when everything else is.  We discuss... A mystery investment that's performed exceptionally well in 2024 but has received zero media attention. How under-the-radar assets often outperform when no one is paying attention. Billionaires lost large amounts of money this year—except Warren Buffett, who gained $12.7 billion. Charts from the previous week showed bond-related assets and corn among top performers, while energy and cannabis sectors lagged. Some Dow stocks barely moved during the selloff—specifically Coca-Cola and McDonald's. We encourage investors to look for stocks that remain resilient during market downturns as potential buying opportunities. Trump's negotiation tactics with China are giving markets a breather while keeping pressure on. Strength in gold miners, healthcare, and food & beverage was cited as areas to watch moving forward. Social media sentiment is largely negative, with most companies underperforming regardless of size. Low volatility stocks are the notable outliers, performing better than other equity factors. Alternative assets like preferreds and hedge funds are also experiencing significant declines. Gold is the surprise top-performing asset this year, up sharply and widely ignored by even gold enthusiasts. Financially strong companies are likely to outperform in uncertain markets and come out stronger. U.S. processed food is often lower quality than international versions, yet less regulated domestically. The 200-day moving average is a key rule of thumb—nothing good tends to happen below it. Global equity markets, particularly Europe and Latin America, remain positive year-to-date despite recent pullbacks. European stocks may offer opportunity, but the speaker expresses skepticism over Europe's long-term competitiveness. The U.S. dollar is down 4% year-to-date and recently broke below its multi-year trading range. Crypto has been mixed, with Bitcoin holding up better than Ethereum but still failing to protect during downturns. Short-term U.S. Treasuries are a reasonable safe option, but cash in one's own currency is the best defense. Investors should stay cautious and avoid big risks during uncertain times, even amid major rebounds. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | ProCollege Planners Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/second-big-move-in-the-sp