Podcasts about Precipitation

Hour 1 - Stupid bloody Tuesday and with Tommy off golfing in the rain, Jacob is joined by super sub Brandon Zenner both will gently sway you thru the fairy tale land of sports. In this segment they discuss the fact that even in this bad streak the Royals are still in the mix for a playoff spot and the OKC Thunder cusp of a championship.

Episode SummaryIn this episode, Ken Kunkel – principal research scholar at the North Carolina Institute of Climate Studies at North Carolina State University – explains how transportation agencies can use the Atlas 15 weather tool developed by the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration to measure the impact of extreme precipitation on infrastructure, such as roads and bridges.Episode NotesThis podcast series is part of the AASHTO Environmental Management technical service program operated by the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials. It explores a wide array of environmental topics that affect state departments of transportation and the infrastructure programs they oversee.Ken Kunkel – principal research scholar at the North Carolina Institute of Climate Studies at North Carolina State University – offers a wealth of knowledge on all things meteorology and extreme precipitation, including over 40 years of climate and precipitation research. He is an author on the third and fourth U.S. National Climate Assessments. He is also the lead author of the 2020 North Carolina Climate Science Report. He has published around 170 scientific journal articles and book chapters, mostly on climate variability and change.In this episode Kunkel discusses the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration or NOAA tool known as Atlas 15. The purpose of Atlas 15 is to produce extreme precipitation values that are used in design in infrastructure. Atlas 15 is also able to incorporate changing climate models when producing future data. He dives into how effective and accurate Atlas 15 is and how its data can improve the resiliency of infrastructure, particularly in the transportation sector.

Hey weather warriors! Dustin Breeze here, ready to tackle today's forecast like I used to take down quarterbacks! Let's huddle up and break down what Mother Nature's game plan looks like for New York City.Today's gonna be a bit of a mixed bag, folks. We've got a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11 in the morning - think of it like a surprise blitz from the clouds! Temperatures are gonna hang steady around 71 degrees Fahrenheit, with winds doing a little dance from northeast to southeast. I always say, weather's like football - it's all about those unexpected moves!Now, let's dive into our Weather Playbook segment! Today, we're talking about something called atmospheric instability. Think of it like a quarterback under pressure - when the atmosphere gets unstable, thunderstorms can form faster than a wide receiver breaking through defense. Warm air rises, cools down, and boom! You've got yourself a storm brewing.Three-day forecast, coming in hot like a third-quarter touchdown:Saturday: Showers likely before 2 in the afternoon. Temperatures dropping to around 62 degrees Fahrenheit. Precipitation amounts between a quarter and half an inch - basically, the sky's doing some serious hydration!Sunday: Cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers after 2 in the afternoon. High near 65 degrees Fahrenheit. East winds hanging around like a defensive line.Monday: Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. High near 66 degrees Fahrenheit.Any unusual weather phenomena? Keep an eye out for those pop-up thunderstorms - they're like surprise plays that can change the entire game!That's not rain, that's the sky doing a victory dance! It's gonna be WIIIIILD out there, folks!Be sure to subscribe to our podcast for more weather excitement! Thanks for listening, and for more info check out inception point dot ai. This has been a Quiet Please production - learn more at quiet please dot ai.

Hey weather warriors! Dustin Breeze here, coming at you with the hottest forecast in the Big Apple! Today's weather is about to get as intense as a fourth-quarter touchdown drive.Right now, we've got a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11 in the morning. It's gonna be partly sunny with a high near 74 degrees Fahrenheit. We've got an east wind cruising at 6 to 8 miles per hour, which'll shift southeast in the afternoon. Talk about a weather audible!Let's dive into our Weather Playbook segment! Today, we're breaking down the concept of wind shear. Think of wind shear like a defensive line in football - it's all about how wind speed and direction change with height. Just like a quarterback reading the defense, meteorologists read wind shear to predict severe weather. Boom! Weather science with a touchdown of excitement!Now for our 3-day forecast play-by-play:Saturday: Showers are likely, mainly before 2 in the afternoon. We're looking at cloudy conditions with temperatures dropping to around 62 degrees. Northeast wind around 10 miles per hour. Precipitation probability? 60 percent! Saturday Night: 30 percent chance of showers before 2 in the morning. Cloudy skies with a low around 61 degrees.Sunday: Another 30 percent chance of showers after 2 in the afternoon. Cloudy conditions with a high near 65 degrees.And hey, no unusual weather phenomena to report today - just classic New York City summer vibes!It's gonna be WIIIIILD out there, folks!Don't forget to subscribe to the podcast! Thanks for listening. For more info, check out inceptionpoint.ai. This has been a Quiet Please production. Learn more at quietplease.ai.

Hey weather warriors! Dustin Breeze here, and boy, do we have a game plan for today's forecast! Let's huddle up and break down what Mother Nature's got cooking in the Big Apple.Alright, team, today's looking like a cloudy matchup with temperatures hitting a solid 74 degrees Fahrenheit. We've got an east wind coming in at 6 to 8 miles per hour, switching to southeast in the afternoon - think of it like a quarterback changing up the play!Now, let me tell you something exciting - we've got some precipitation action brewing! Tonight's gonna be like a surprise blitz, with a chance of showers and thunderstorms rolling through after 2 am. Temperatures are gonna drop to around 62 degrees, with an east wind hanging around 7 to 9 miles per hour. Precipitation probability? 70 percent! That's a wet defensive strategy if I've ever seen one.Weather Playbook Time! Let's talk about something cool - humidity! Think of humidity like the offensive line of weather. It's the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere, and it can make things feel way more intense than they actually are. Just like a good linebacker can change the entire game, humidity can make 74 degrees feel like you're wearing a heavy jersey on the field!Three-Day Forecast Breakdown:Saturday: Showers likely before 2 pm. Temperature dropping to 62 degrees. Precipitation probability at 60 percent.Saturday Night: 30 percent chance of showers before 2 am.Sunday: 30 percent chance of showers after 2 pm, cloudy with a high near 65 degrees.And now, a little local New York flavor - this weather is gonna be more unpredictable than a rookie quarterback in his first game! Might want to keep that umbrella handy, folks.It's gonna be WIIIIILD out there, folks!Don't forget to subscribe to our podcast! Thanks for listening, and for more info, check out inceptionpoint.ai. This has been a Quiet Please production - learn more at quietplease.ai.

What's up, weather warriors! Dustin Breeze here, coming at you with the hottest forecast in the Big Apple! Today's gonna be a real playmaker in the weather world, so buckle up!Let's break down this afternoon's game plan. We're looking at partly sunny skies with temperatures climbing to a crisp 74 degrees. I call this a perfect defensive formation from Mother Nature - not too hot, not too cold. We've got a southeast wind running about 6 to 8 miles per hour, which is like a smooth offensive line keeping things steady.Now, tonight's forecast is where things get interesting! We've got a blitz of potential showers and thunderstorms rolling in after 2 am. I like to call this the sky's version of a surprise attack! Temperatures will drop to around 62 degrees with an east wind of 7 to 9 miles per hour. Precipitation chance is at 70 percent - that's like a full-field defensive coverage, folks!Weather Playbook Time! Let's talk about precipitation formation. Think of clouds like a massive team huddle. When water vapor condenses and gets heavy enough, it's like calling a touchdown play - and boom! Rain happens! Three-Day Forecast Rundown:Saturday: Showers likely before 2 pm. Temperature dropping to 62 degrees. Chance of precipitation at 60 percent.Saturday Night: 30 percent chance of showersSunday: 30 percent chance of showers after 2 pm, high near 65 degreesMonday: 40 percent chance of showersIt's gonna be WIIIIILD out there, folks!Subscribe to our podcast for more weather excitement! Thanks for listening, and for more info check out inceptionpoint.ai. This has been a Quiet Please production - learn more at quietplease.ai.

AUTOMATED GRAPHIC FORECAST LINK http://www.fcst-office.com/DAWS/WXSIM/graphic-fcst.php   Wednesday (Jun 4): Mostly cloudy to cloudy in the morning, becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. Patchy light fog in the morning. High 75. The wind will be from the north around 5 mph in the morning, becoming east-northeast in the afternoon.   Wednesday night: Partly cloudy in the evening, becoming clear to partly cloudy after midnight. Low 55. The wind will be from the east-southeast around 2 mph in the evening, becoming northwest after midnight.   Thursday (Jun 5): Partly to mostly sunny in the morning, becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. High 77. The wind will be from the northeast around 6 mph.   Thursday night: Partly to mostly cloudy in the evening, becoming mostly cloudy to cloudy after midnight. Low 56. The wind will be from the northeast around 4 mph.   Friday (Jun 6): Partly to mostly cloudy. High 75. The wind will be from the east-northeast around 5 mph in the morning, becoming east-southeast in the afternoon.   Friday night: Clear to partly cloudy in the evening, becoming mostly cloudy after midnight. Low 55. The wind will be from the east-southeast around 4 mph in the evening, becoming east-northeast after midnight.   Saturday (Jun 7): Mostly cloudy in the morning, becoming mostly cloudy to cloudy in the afternoon. A 30% chance of rain. Precipitation showery or intermittent. High 70. The wind will be from the northeast around 5 mph in the morning, becoming east-southeast in the afternoon. Precipitation mostly less than a tenth of an inch.   Saturday night: Partly to mostly cloudy in the evening, becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Low 55. The wind will be from the east-southeast around 3 mph in the evening, becoming southwest after midnight.   Sunday (Jun 8): Cloudy in the morning, becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. A 60% chance of rain. Scattered thundershowers possible. High 75. The wind will be from the southwest around 11 mph, gusting to 21 mph, in the morning, becoming west in the afternoon. Precipitation mostly around a quarter of an inch.   Sunday night: Partly to mostly cloudy in the evening, becoming clear to partly cloudy after midnight. A 30% chance of rain. Scattered thundershowers possible. Low 53. The wind will be from the west around 7 mph, gusting to 17 mph. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Precipitation mostly less than a tenth of an inch.   Monday (Jun 9): Mostly cloudy to cloudy. An 80% chance of rain. Thunderstorms very likely, some possibly severe. High 67. The wind will be from the west-southwest around 5 mph. Precipitation mostly around half an inch.   Monday night: Mostly cloudy in the evening, becoming clear to partly cloudy after midnight. Patchy light fog after midnight. Low 53. The wind will be from the west-northwest around 7 mph. Tuesday (Jun 10): Sunny. High 75. The wind will be from the west-northwest around 9 mph, gusting to 18 mph.   Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy in the evening, becoming mostly clear after midnight. Low 58. The wind will be from the west-northwest around 7 mph.   KASICA

AUTOMATED GRAPHIC FORECAST LINK http://www.fcst-office.com/DAWS/WXSIM/graphic-fcst.php   Tuesday (Jun 3): Cloudy. A 50% chance of rain. Scattered thunder showers are possible. Breezy and warm. High 84. The wind will be from the south-southwest around 15 mph, gusting to 25 mph. Precipitation totals will be mostly less than a quarter of an inch.   Tuesday night: Cloudy. Patchy light fog. A 90% chance of rain. Scattered thunder showers are possible. Breezy. Low 57. The wind will be from the southwest around 12 mph, gusting to 22 mph, in the evening, becoming northwest after midnight. Precipitation totals could be as much as 2 inches.   Wednesday (Jun 4): Cloudy in the morning, becoming partly to mostly sunny in the afternoon. Patchy light fog in the morning. A 20% chance of rain. High 73. The wind will be from the north-northeast around 7 mph, gusting to 15 mph. Precipitation will be mostly less than a tenth of an inch.   Wednesday night: Clear to partly cloudy in the evening, becoming mostly clear after midnight. Low 55. The winds will be from the southeast around 2 mph in the evening, becoming west-northwest after midnight.   Thursday (Jun 5): Partly cloudy in the morning, becoming partly to mostly cloudy in the afternoon. High 78. The winds will be from the north-northeast around 5 mph in the morning, becoming east in the afternoon.   Thursday night: Mostly cloudy in the evening, becoming mostly cloudy to cloudy after midnight. A 20% chance of rain. Low 59. The wind will be from the east around 4 mph. Precipitation totals will be mostly less than a tenth of an inch.   Friday (Jun 6): Mostly cloudy. High 70. The wind will be from the east around 5 mph.   Friday night: Partly cloudy in the evening, becoming cloudy after midnight. An 80% chance of rain. Scattered thunder showers possible. Low 53. The wind will be from the east-southeast around 3 mph in the evening, becoming north-northwest after midnight. Precipitation totals will be mostly between a quarter and half an inch.   Saturday (Jun 7): Mostly cloudy to cloudy in the morning, becoming mostly sunny in the afternoon. A 30% chance of rain. Scattered thunderstorms likely. High 69. The wind will be from the north around 7 mph, gusting to 17 mph, in the morning, becoming 11 mph, gusting to 20 mph, in the afternoon.  Precipitation will be mostly less than a tenth of an inch.   Saturday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 53. The wind will be from the west-northwest around 5 mph in the evening, becoming southwest after midnight.   Sunday (Jun 8): Cloudy in the morning, becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon.  A 70% chance of rain. Scattered thunderstorms likely. Breezy. High 74. The wind will be from the southwest around 11 mph, gusting to 21 mph, in the morning, becoming 15 mph, gusting to 24 mph, in the afternoon. Precipitation will be mostly around a quarter of an inch.   Sunday night: Mostly cloudy in the evening, becoming clear after midnight. Patchy light fog after midnight. A 40% chance of rain. Scattered thunder showers are possible. Low 56. The wind will be from the southwest around 9 mph, gusting to 18 mph, in the evening, becoming 13 mph, gusting to 20 mph, after midnight. Precipitation totals will be mostly less than a tenth of an inch.   Monday (Jun 9): Partly cloudy in the morning, becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon. Patchy light fog in the morning. A 60% chance of rain. Scattered thunderstorms likely. Breezy. High 71. The wind will be from the west-northwest around 17 mph, gusting to 26 mph, in the morning, becoming 14 mph, gusting to 25 mph, in the afternoon. Precipitation amounts will be mostly around a tenth of an inch.   Monday night: Clear. Patchy light fog after midnight. Low 53. The wind will be from the north-northwest around 7 mph, gusting to 17 mph.   KASICA

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This is episode 224 — the sound in the background is the weather - the other sound is the creaking of wagons as another great trek begins. We're going to trace the arc of Southern Africa's climate, beginning in the early 19th century, before turning to the decade under review — the 1860s — and following the path of the Griqua Great Trek into Nomansland. First let's get our heads around the cycles of drought and flood in southern Africa. The pernicious climate. As Professor Mike Meadows of UCT's Environmental Sciences Department observed back in 2002, South Africa's climate has long danced to an unpredictable rhythm — one marked by dramatic shifts in both rainfall and its timing. Precipitation follows a kind of cycle, yes, but one that keeps its own secrets. Some years bring bounty, others drought, and the line between the two is often sharp and sudden. The climate, in short, plays favourites with no one — and when it comes to rain, it can be maddeningly capricious. So while the calendar may promise a rainy season, it rarely tells us how generous the skies will be. The patterns are there — but the quantities? That's anyone's guess. South Africa, after all, is a land of dryness. Over 90 percent of its surface falls under what scientists call “affected drylands” — a polite term for places where water is scarce and the margins are thin. The rest? Even drier. Hyper-arid zones, where the land holds its breath and waits. And by the mid-19th century, much of this land was beginning to fray under the strain — overgrazed, overworked, slowly giving way to the long creep of degradation. South Africa's landscape is anything but simple. It's rugged, sculpted by time, with steep slopes and a dramatic stretch from the tropics to the temperate zone. But the story of our climate doesn't end on land. It's shaped by a swirling conversation between oceans and continents — a conversation held over centuries by systems with lyrical names: the Mozambique Channel Trough, the Mascarene High, the Southern Annular Mode, and the twin dipoles of the Indian and Atlantic Oceans. Then there's the heavyweight — the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, or ENSO — which has long held sway over our rainfall and drought cycles. The dry was one of the motivations for another Great Trek about to take place. The Griqua's who'd been living in the transOrangia since the late 1700s began to question their position in the world. With the Boers now controlling the Free State, and Moshoeshoe powerful in Lesotho, it was time to assess their options. In 1861, the Griqua joined the list of mass migrations of the 19th Century. There had been the effect of the Mfecane, then the Voortrekkers, and now, the Griqua. Two thousand people left Philippolis to establish themselves in Nomansland, far to the east, past Moshoeshoe's land over the Drakensberg. The reason why historians like Cambridge's Robert Ross call it spectacular was the road that the Griqua cut for themselves across the high ridges of the mountains, a remarkable feat of engineering for the time.

This is episode 224 — the sound in the background is the weather - the other sound is the creaking of wagons as another great trek begins. We're going to trace the arc of Southern Africa's climate, beginning in the early 19th century, before turning to the decade under review — the 1860s — and following the path of the Griqua Great Trek into Nomansland. First let's get our heads around the cycles of drought and flood in southern Africa. The pernicious climate. As Professor Mike Meadows of UCT's Environmental Sciences Department observed back in 2002, South Africa's climate has long danced to an unpredictable rhythm — one marked by dramatic shifts in both rainfall and its timing. Precipitation follows a kind of cycle, yes, but one that keeps its own secrets. Some years bring bounty, others drought, and the line between the two is often sharp and sudden. The climate, in short, plays favourites with no one — and when it comes to rain, it can be maddeningly capricious. So while the calendar may promise a rainy season, it rarely tells us how generous the skies will be. The patterns are there — but the quantities? That's anyone's guess. South Africa, after all, is a land of dryness. Over 90 percent of its surface falls under what scientists call “affected drylands” — a polite term for places where water is scarce and the margins are thin. The rest? Even drier. Hyper-arid zones, where the land holds its breath and waits. And by the mid-19th century, much of this land was beginning to fray under the strain — overgrazed, overworked, slowly giving way to the long creep of degradation. South Africa's landscape is anything but simple. It's rugged, sculpted by time, with steep slopes and a dramatic stretch from the tropics to the temperate zone. But the story of our climate doesn't end on land. It's shaped by a swirling conversation between oceans and continents — a conversation held over centuries by systems with lyrical names: the Mozambique Channel Trough, the Mascarene High, the Southern Annular Mode, and the twin dipoles of the Indian and Atlantic Oceans. Then there's the heavyweight — the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, or ENSO — which has long held sway over our rainfall and drought cycles. The dry was one of the motivations for another Great Trek about to take place. The Griqua's who'd been living in the transOrangia since the late 1700s began to question their position in the world. With the Boers now controlling the Free State, and Moshoeshoe powerful in Lesotho, it was time to assess their options. In 1861, the Griqua joined the list of mass migrations of the 19th Century. There had been the effect of the Mfecane, then the Voortrekkers, and now, the Griqua. Two thousand people left Philippolis to establish themselves in Nomansland, far to the east, past Moshoeshoe's land over the Drakensberg. The reason why historians like Cambridge's Robert Ross call it spectacular was the road that the Griqua cut for themselves across the high ridges of the mountains, a remarkable feat of engineering for the time.

Weather History: In 1873, a deadly tornado tore through southeastern Iowa, affecting Keokuk, Washington, and Louisa counties before moving into Illinois. The storm produced very large hail (up to 4.5 inches in diameter), killed 8 people, and injured at least a dozen others. This event prompted the first detailed tornado damage survey in Iowa, conducted by the U.S. Army Signal Corps. 7-Day Weather Forecast: Temperatures are expected to remain cool for the next week. Rain chances increase as the weekend approaches, with the best chance for precipitation Sunday night into Monday. The following week will be less active Climate Forecast: 6–10 Day Outlook (May 27–31): Cooler temperatures expected in the south, near normal in the north, and likely below-average rainfall statewide. 8–14 Day Outlook (May 29–June 4): The drier signal is enhanced, and temperatures are expected to be warmer than normal. 3–4 Week Outlook (mid-June): The outlook leans warm and wetter, suggesting a shift to a more active weather pattern as summer approaches. Past Week of Weather: The past week was notably cooler and wetter than usual, with 3–4 inches of rain along the I-35 corridor and surrounding counties. Des Moines International Airport recorded 4.84 inches, the highest in the state. Temperatures were about 5°F below normal. Overnight lows dipped into the 40s, which is chilly for late May Other Weather/Climate Discussion Topics: Wind and Hail: Northern Iowa experienced strong sustained winds (37–39 mph) and gusts up to 52 mph. Hail up to 2 inches was reported in Grand River (Decatur County) and Osceola. Wind Damage: Growers in northern Iowa reported significant losses of plastic mulch beds due to high winds. Wind erosion was also noted in sandy soils in southeastern Iowa. Weather Impacts on Crops: High winds caused physical damage to plants (broken leaf petioles, windblown soil particles), and some farms reported unusual leaf spotting, possibly from wind or chemical drift. Drift investigations are ongoing in affected areas. Precipitation and Irrigation: The recent rains improved abnormally dry conditions, but growers are reminded to water in new transplants as their roots are not yet established. Weeds are expected to germinate rapidly, so timely cultivation is encouraged. Specialty Crops Impacts: Wind Damage: Growers lost plastic mulch beds and experienced wind erosion, especially in northern and southeastern Iowa. Leaf Spotting: Multiple crops (potatoes, radishes, tomatoes, cabbage, Swiss chard, cucumbers) showed inter-veinal necrosis, likely due to wind or desiccation, not herbicide drift. Weed Management: Recent rains will trigger weed germination, so growers are advised to cultivate early at the white thread stage. Cold Weather Effects: Cool temperatures can increase cat-facing in tomatoes and blossom end rot in susceptible crops. Growers are reminded to monitor for these issues if crops are flowering. Irrigation: Irrigation is less necessary after recent rains, but new plantings still require watering. Flower Crops: Rain can damage open blooms, but many flowers are harvested in the bud stage. Peony growers are drying blooms before cold storage to prevent moisture issues. Listener Engagement: Listeners should share their experiences and the impact of the podcast on their growing decisions, especially if they can quantify the financial benefit of advice received   Summary provided by perplexity.ai

This podcast series is part of the AASHTO Environmental Management technical service program operated by the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials. It explores a wide array of environmental topics that affect state departments of transportation and the infrastructure programs they oversee.Ken Kunkel – principal research scholar at the North Carolina Institute of Climate Studies at North Carolina State University – offers a wealth of knowledge on all things meteorology and extreme precipitation, including over 40 years of climate and precipitation research. He is an author on the third and fourth U.S. National Climate Assessments. He is also the lead author of the 2020 North Carolina Climate Science Report. He has published around 170 scientific journal articles and book chapters, mostly on climate variability and change.In this episode Kunkel discusses the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration or NOAA tool known as Atlas 15. The purpose of Atlas 15 is to produce extreme precipitation values that are used in design in infrastructure. Atlas 15 is also able to incorporate changing climate models when producing future data. He dives into how effective and accurate Atlas 15 is and how its data can improve the resiliency of infrastructure, particularly in the transportation sector. 

Hey weather warriors! Dustin Breeze here, coming at you with a forecast that's gonna knock your socks off! We've got a moisture playbook that's about to get real interesting here in New York City.Let me tell you, this weather is looking like a fourth-quarter comeback - dramatic and full of surprises! We're looking at some serious cloud coverage overnight with temperatures hanging steady around 59 degrees. It's like the sky is running a zone defense with those clouds!Weather Playbook time! Let's talk about something cool - atmospheric pressure. Think of it like the offensive line of our weather system. When high pressure meets low pressure, we get some serious atmospheric action. It's like when two linebackers clash - something's gotta give!Now for our three-day forecast, straight from the meteorological gridiron:Wednesday: We're looking at scattered showers with temperatures dropping to around 52 degrees. East winds are gonna be hauling at 11 to 14 miles per hour. Chance of precipitation is 80% - that's a wet defensive strategy right there!Wednesday Night: Rain is our MVP tonight. Temperatures rising to 56 degrees with east winds between 13 to 18 miles per hour. Precipitation's gonna be heavy - we're talking half to three-quarters of an inch.Thursday: More rain continuing, temperatures falling to 51 degrees. Winds staying strong from the east at 15 to 18 miles per hour.And hey, did you hear about those sprinkles? More like the sky is doing a victory dance! It's gonna be WIIIIILD out there, folks!Subscribe to our podcast for more weather excitement! Thanks for listening, and for more info check out inception point dot ai. This has been a Quiet Please production - learn more at quiet please dot ai.

Hey weather warriors! Dustin Breeze here, bringing you the hottest (and coolest) forecast in the Big Apple! I'm trading my football playbook for a weather map, and let me tell you, today's forecast is looking like a touchdown of atmospheric awesomeness!Current conditions are setting up for a meteorological masterpiece. We've got mostly sunny skies with a high near 66 degrees Fahrenheit and a north wind blowing at 8 to 13 miles per hour. Talk about a perfect defensive line of weather!Let's dive into our Weather Playbook segment! Today, we're breaking down the science of wind chill. Think of wind chill like a defensive tackle for temperature - it makes things feel colder by stealing heat from your body faster. When the wind picks up, it's like that linebacker blowing right through your body's thermal protection!Now, for our three-day forecast - and I'm calling these plays like I used to call audibles on the field:First down - Tonight: Mostly cloudy, dropping to around 53 degrees with a northeast wind at 7 to 9 miles per hour.Second down - Wednesday: Rain is likely! We're looking at cloudy conditions with temperatures falling to around 52 degrees. Chance of precipitation is 70 percent - that's like a guaranteed first down of moisture!Third down - Thursday: More rain incoming! High near 54 degrees with a northeast wind gusting up to 29 miles per hour. Precipitation chances are at 90 percent - this is a total weather blitz!And for our unusual weather phenomena - nothing too crazy today, folks. Just some classic New York City spring transitional weather!It's gonna be WIIIIILD out there, folks!Don't forget to subscribe to our podcast! Thanks for listening - for more info, check out inceptionpoint.ai. This has been a Quiet Please production - learn more at quietplease.ai!

Hey weather warriors! Dustin Breeze here, ready to tackle today's meteorological matchup for New York City! Buckle up because we've got a rainy day playbook that's gonna keep you on your toes.Alright, let's kick off with today's game plan. We're looking at a wet and wild situation rolling through the Big Apple. Rain is gonna be our starting quarterback today, with patchy fog playing defense before 2 p.m. Our temperature is gonna hover around 62 degrees Fahrenheit, with an east wind blowing around 11 miles per hour - and trust me, those gusts are gonna be hitting up to 22 miles per hour!Time for our Weather Playbook segment! Today, we're diving into something called "precipitation probability". Think of it like your team's chance of scoring - we've got a 90 percent chance of precipitation today. That means almost guaranteed rain, folks! We're looking at between three quarters and one inch of new precipitation. Talk about a weather touchdown!Now, let's break down our three-day forecast like a football strategy:Today: Heavy rain, potential thunderstormsTuesday: Scattered showers, possible thunderstormsWednesday: Chance of showers, partly cloudyFor all you New York City dwellers, prepare for some serious sky action! Remember, these clouds are just doing their own victory dance across Manhattan.Speaking of victory, tonight we might see some thunderstorms after 11 p.m. Some of these storms could produce heavy rainfall - we're talking serious defensive moves from Mother Nature!Hey, want to know something cool? If these clouds were football players, they'd be the defensive line, blocking out your sunshine!Alright, weather fans - it's gonna be WIIIIILD out there, folks!Subscribe to our podcast for more amazing weather coverage! Thanks for listening, and for more info, check out inception point dot ai. This has been a Quiet Please production - learn more at quiet please dot ai.

Hey weather warriors! Dustin Breeze here, coming at you with a forecast that's gonna be more exciting than a fourth-quarter touchdown! New York City, buckle up for a wild ride through the atmospheric playbook!Right now, we've got a moisture blitz heading our way - showers are gonna be our starting lineup for the next few days. Talk about a wet defensive strategy! Overnight, we're looking at temperatures hovering around 61 degrees, with an east wind cruising at about 7 miles per hour. Sixty percent chance of precipitation - that's like a solid offensive drive into rain territory!Let me break down this Weather Playbook for you. Today, we've got a low-pressure system doing its best wide receiver impression, cutting through our city with some serious precipitation moves. Monday's gonna be a total washout - temperatures dropping to around 56 degrees by late afternoon, with east winds between 9 to 13 miles per hour. Expect between a quarter and half an inch of rainfall - it's like the sky is doing its own version of a water bucket challenge!Monday night? Even more moisture! We're talking potential thunderstorms with temperatures rising to 64 degrees by midnight. New rainfall could hit three-quarters of an inch - that's more water than a Gatorade shower after a championship game!Weather Playbook segment: Let's talk about low-pressure systems! Think of them like the quarterback of the weather world - they're moving, creating pressure changes, and when they meet warm, moist air, boom! Precipitation happens faster than a quarterback sneak!Three-day forecast, football style:Monday: Heavy rain play - 80% precipitation chanceTuesday: Shower blitz continuing - 80% chanceWednesday: Partly sunny defensive formation - 30% shower chanceAnd hey, by the weekend, we're looking at mostly sunny skies with temperatures climbing to 70 degrees. Sun's out, guns out, New York!It's gonna be WIIIIILD out there, folks!Don't forget to subscribe to our podcast! Thanks for listening, and for more info, check out inceptionpoint.ai. This has been a Quiet Please production - learn more at quietplease.ai!

"What's up, weather warriors! Dustin Breeze here, and boy do I have a forecast that's gonna knock your socks off! We're talking about a weekend in New York City that's more unpredictable than a fourth-quarter Hail Mary pass!Let's break down this weather playbook. Overnight, we've got a cheeky 20 percent chance of showers - think of it like a light defensive drizzle. Temperatures are gonna hold steady around 67 degrees Fahrenheit with a southeast wind cruising at about 6 miles per hour.Now, Saturday's looking like a real weather blitz! Between 2 PM and 5 PM, we've got a chance of showers and thunderstorms - I'm talking potential lightning strikes that'll make your hair stand up faster than a quarterback's pre-game adrenaline! Temperatures will climb to a warm 82 degrees Fahrenheit with winds potentially gusting up to 26 miles per hour. Touchdown, precipitation!Weather Playbook Time! Today, I'm gonna talk about something called 'precipitation probability'. It's basically the meteorological equivalent of a game strategy - how likely are we to see rain? When we say there's a 60 percent chance of precipitation, it means if we played this scenario 10 times, it would rain about 6 of those times. Boom! Weather science, baby!Our three-day forecast is looking like a classic New York weather mix play:Saturday: Showery with thunderstorm potentialSunday: Cloudy with chance of showersMonday: More showers, especially before 2 PMAnd as always, it's gonna be WIIIIILD out there, folks! Thanks for tuning in! Subscribe to our podcast for more weather action. For more info, check out inceptionpoint.ai. And hey, this has been a Quiet Please production - learn more at quietplease.ai!"

Hey weather warriors! Dustin Breeze here, and boy do we have some wild atmospheric action brewing in the Big Apple! Let me kick things off with our current playbook. Overnight, we've got a 40 percent chance of showers rolling through, with temperatures holding steady around 61 degrees Fahrenheit. Think of it like a defensive huddle with some light precipitation action.Now, for our Weather Playbook segment - today we're talking about precipitation probability. Think of it like football odds. Just like a quarterback reading the defense, meteorologists read atmospheric conditions to predict the likelihood of rain. When we say 40 percent chance, it means there's a decent shot of moisture hitting the field - or in this case, the streets of New York City!Speaking of moisture, let's break down our three-day forecast like a championship game strategy:First Down - Friday: Partly sunny with a high near 77 degrees Fahrenheit. Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2 pm. Winds southwest at 6 to 11 miles per hour. Probability of precipitation? About 30 percent - not quite a guaranteed touchdown, but definitely keep an eye on those clouds!Second Down - Saturday: Higher chance of weather drama! Partly sunny with a high near 75 degrees Fahrenheit. Showers and thunderstorms likely after 2 pm. South winds 6 to 14 miles per hour. Precipitation chance jumps to 60 percent - this is looking like a full-contact weather day!Third Down - Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a high near 69 degrees Fahrenheit. Chance of showers at 60 percent, with potential thunderstorm action after 2 pm.And now, our unusual weather watch: Keep an eye out for potential localized thunderstorm activity that might bring some unexpected rainfall amounts!It's gonna be WIIIIILD out there, folks! Don't forget to subscribe to our podcast, and for more info, check out inceptionpoint.ai. This has been a Quiet Please production - learn more at quietplease.ai. Thanks for listening, weather warriors!

This Day in Iowa Weather History In 1911, unseasonably cold air brought rain mixed with snow across northwestern Iowa. Most snow melted on contact, but some locations reported accumulations: 1 inch at Denison, 1.5 inches at Alta and Lamars, 2 inches at Algona, Mason City, New Hampton, Onawa, and Rockwell City, 2.5 inches at Rock Rapids, and 4 inches at Elma in Howard County. 7-Day Weather Forecast Showers and thunderstorms are possible today, but the weekend will bring pleasant, San Diego-like weather: sunny skies and highs in the 70s. A quieter weather pattern is expected to settle in. Climate Outlook 8–14 Days (May 8–14): Strong likelihood of above-normal temperatures. The eastern half of Iowa leans slightly below normal for precipitation, while the western half is near normal-overall, a little dry and definitely warm. 3–4 Weeks (May 10–23): The outlook leans warm with equal chances for precipitation. Precipitation remains difficult to forecast due to the spring transition. May Monthly Outlook: Most of Iowa is likely to be warmer than normal. Precipitation is split: the northeast leans slightly drier, while the southwest has equal chances for above, below, or normal precipitation. Recent Weather Impacts On Monday, Iowa experienced very windy conditions (gusts up to 70 mph in Ames) but no tornadoes. The severe weather event was well forecasted in terms of risk areas, but many Iowans did not experience significant storms, leading to a perception of overhype. The lack of severe storms in Iowa was attributed to a strong atmospheric cap, cloud cover, dust, and wind alignment that prevented updrafts, despite all other ingredients for severe weather being present. Specialty Crop Impacts Winter Rye: Beginning to flower across Iowa. Growers can terminate rye reliably by mowing and tilling at anthesis (pollen shed). One grower plans to mow and bale rye for weed-free straw mulch. Overwintered Flowers: Iceland poppies are starting to open; dianthus are looking good. More flower updates are expected next week, ahead of Mother's Day. Greenhouse Tomatoes: Ripe tomatoes are being harvested in greenhouses in Grinnell and likely at some auction houses. Garlic & Aster Yellows: Growers are on watch for aster yellows phytoplasma, which devastated garlic crops last year, especially in northeast Iowa and neighboring states. Recent lab tests found rotted garlic cloves infected with pythium and rhizoctonia, not aster yellows. The likely cause was winterkill due to low snow cover, not disease. Spring-planted garlic had much higher survival. Management Advice: Rogue out yellow, weak garlic plants now to prevent potential spread of aster yellows by leafhoppers. Mulch and snow cover help protect overwintered garlic. Soil Testing: New online and spreadsheet tools are available for interpreting soil test results and generating fertilizer recommendations. MASC Payments: A new round of Market Assistance for Specialty Crops (MASC) payments has been announced. Growers should check with their FSA office for eligibility. Podcast summary generated using Perplexity.ai

The majority of the soil in South Dakota is coming into the 2025 spring planting season being very short or short of moisture. In this episode of Agriculture In-depth, SDSU Extension State Climatologist Laura Edwards says the rain expected during the last few days of April 2025 will help, but the U.S. Drought Monitor shows there's quite a bit of moisture deficit to make up for.

It's springtime, which means ducks are migrating north to their breeding grounds and hunters are wondering what they'll encounter when they get there. Dr. Scott Stephens joins Dr. Mike Brasher for an update on breeding habitat conditions across the prairies, boreal forest, and Alaska, including prognostications of what he expects to hear once the survey results are released later this year. And yes, Breeding Population surveys are expected to happen, but the long-term future is uncertain. Join this episode for early insights on what the ducks might be encountering and why maps still can't take the place of boots on the ground.Listen now: www.ducks.org/DUPodcastSend feedback: DUPodcast@ducks.org

Hey weather warriors! Dustin Breeze here, ready to tackle today's forecast like I used to tackle quarterbacks! We've got some seriously exciting meteorological action happening in New York City today, so buckle up!Currently, we're looking at a mostly cloudy day with temperatures holding steady around 53 degrees. That northeast wind is cruising at 6 to 9 miles per hour, and it's gonna swing southeast this afternoon - talk about a weather audible!Tonight's got a high probability of showers after 11 pm. We're talking cloudy conditions with temperatures rising to around 58 degrees by 4 am. That southeast wind will be running a solid 6 to 11 miles per hour. Precipitation chance is at 60 percent, with just a light sprinkle expected - less than a tenth of an inch. It's like the sky's doing a light warm-up drill!Let's dive into our Weather Playbook segment! Today, I want to break down the concept of wind direction. Wind direction tells us where the wind is coming from, not where it's going. So when we say "southeast wind", that means the wind is blowing from the southeast towards the northwest. It's like a defensive strategy, but for atmospheric conditions!Our three-day forecast is looking like a championship lineup:Tuesday: Partly sunny, high near 70 degrees. West wind 5 to 14 miles per hour.Wednesday: Mostly sunny, high near 69 degrees. North wind shifting to southwest.Thursday: Mostly sunny, high near 68 degrees.Friday's got a 30 percent chance of afternoon showers - keep those umbrellas on standby!It's gonna be WIIIIILD out there, folks!Thanks for listening, and for more info check out inception point dot ai. This has been a Quiet Please production - learn more at quiet please dot ai. Don't forget to subscribe to the podcast, and stay weather-ready!

The meteorology that causes atmospheric rivers is complex, but scientists at the Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes (CW3E) are working to help better predict them and understand what they mean for rainfall and snowfall across the state. Join CW3E Deputy Director Julie Kalansky to learn the causes and consequences of these rivers in the sky. Series: "Jeffrey B. Graham Perspectives on Ocean Science Lecture Series" [Science] [Show ID: 40658]

The meteorology that causes atmospheric rivers is complex, but scientists at the Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes (CW3E) are working to help better predict them and understand what they mean for rainfall and snowfall across the state. Join CW3E Deputy Director Julie Kalansky to learn the causes and consequences of these rivers in the sky. Series: "Jeffrey B. Graham Perspectives on Ocean Science Lecture Series" [Science] [Show ID: 40658]

The meteorology that causes atmospheric rivers is complex, but scientists at the Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes (CW3E) are working to help better predict them and understand what they mean for rainfall and snowfall across the state. Join CW3E Deputy Director Julie Kalansky to learn the causes and consequences of these rivers in the sky. Series: "Jeffrey B. Graham Perspectives on Ocean Science Lecture Series" [Science] [Show ID: 40658]

The meteorology that causes atmospheric rivers is complex, but scientists at the Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes (CW3E) are working to help better predict them and understand what they mean for rainfall and snowfall across the state. Join CW3E Deputy Director Julie Kalansky to learn the causes and consequences of these rivers in the sky. Series: "Jeffrey B. Graham Perspectives on Ocean Science Lecture Series" [Science] [Show ID: 40658]

The meteorology that causes atmospheric rivers is complex, but scientists at the Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes (CW3E) are working to help better predict them and understand what they mean for rainfall and snowfall across the state. Join CW3E Deputy Director Julie Kalansky to learn the causes and consequences of these rivers in the sky. Series: "Jeffrey B. Graham Perspectives on Ocean Science Lecture Series" [Science] [Show ID: 40658]

According to state officials and some recent news reports, the state of Washington is now facing another “drought emergency,” for the third straight year. But University of Washington professor of Atmospheric and Climate Science, Cliff Mass disagrees.

According to state officials and some recent news reports, the state of Washington is now facing another “drought emergency,” for the third straight year. But University of Washington professor of Atmospheric and Climate Science, Cliff Mass disagrees.

Hey weather warriors! Dustin Breeze here, and boy do we have a forecast that's gonna knock your socks off! Today in the Big Apple, we're looking at a mostly cloudy sky that's gonna play some serious defense against our sunshine. We've got temperatures hovering around 49 degrees - which is basically a weather fumble between winter and spring. Winds are gonna be shifting from south to southeast, blowing about 8 to 13 miles per hour. Looks like Mother Nature is running her own pass play today!Let me break down our Weather Playbook real quick. Today, we're talking about wind direction shifts - it's like a quarterback changing tactics mid-game! When winds switch directions, they're bringing different air masses, different temperatures, and sometimes different moisture. Today's wind shift is gonna pull in some warmer, more humid air from the southeast. Meteorological magic, folks!Now, for our three-day forecast - and I'm gonna call these plays like I used to call offensive strategies:First Down - Friday: Rain is likely. We're looking at cloudy conditions, temperatures around 49 degrees, with an east wind around 11 miles per hour. Precipitation chance is 60% - that's like a solid blitz defense against dry weather!Second Down - Saturday: More rain incoming! Temperatures dropping to a chilly 46 degrees, northeast winds at 14 to 16 miles per hour. Precipitation chance is 80% - this is a full-on weather blowout!Third Down - Sunday: We're looking at a 30% chance of showers before 2 pm, with temperatures climbing to a pleasant 55 degrees.Bonus play - Monday looks mostly sunny with temperatures reaching 62 degrees. Talk about a weather comeback!It's gonna be WIIIIILD out there, folks!Thanks for listening, for more info check out inception point dot ai. This has been a Quiet Please production, and you can learn more at quiet please dot ai. Don't forget to subscribe to the podcast!

单词 “precipitation”、“deposition” 和 “sediment” 除了可以用来表达化学和地理中的 “沉淀，沉积” 这个概念，还在日常生活中有不同的用法。比如，天气预报就使用 “precipitation” 这个词来描述 “降水”。这些单词还有哪些常用的含义？听节目，学习这三个单词的用法。

Hey weather warriors! Dustin Breeze here, and let me tell you, today's forecast is about to tackle New York City like I used to tackle quarterbacks back in my football days!Welcome to another electrifying weather breakdown. Right now in the Big Apple, we've got a cloudy afternoon with just a 20 percent chance of rain. Temperatures are hovering near 51 degrees Fahrenheit with a northwest wind cruising around 10 miles per hour. It's like the sky is running a defensive play against sunshine!Tonight, we're looking at rain rolling in after midnight. We'll drop to around 41 degrees with a north wind about 9 miles per hour. Precipitation's got a high probability of about 80 percent - talk about a weather blitz!Now, let's dive into our Weather Playbook segment. Today, I want to break down the concept of precipitation probability. Think of it like football odds - a 20 percent chance means if we played this weather scenario 10 times, it might rain twice. Pretty cool, right?Three-Day Forecast Playbook:Monday: Rain before 2 PM, steady temperature around 42 degreesMonday Night: 40 percent rain chanceTuesday: Mostly sunny, temperature around 40 degrees with some serious west wind gusts up to 41 miles per hourFor my New York City friends, watch out for those wind gusts on Tuesday - they're gonna be hitting harder than a linebacker on game day!Quick local shout out - if you're near Central Park, maybe pack a light jacket and keep an umbrella handy. This weather's more unpredictable than a last-minute Hail Mary pass!It's gonna be WIIIIILD out there, folks!Hey, thanks for tuning in! If you've got weather questions, shoot them over to dustin@inceptionpoint.ai or check out inceptionpoint.ai for more meteorological magic.And remember, this has been a Quiet Please production. Want more behind-the-scenes weather action? Head to quietplease.ai!Don't forget to subscribe to the podcast and stay weather-ready!

Hey weather warriors! Dustin Breeze here, coming at you with the most electrifying forecast in the Big Apple! Buckle up, because today's weather is going to be more dramatic than a goal-line stand in the fourth quarter!Right now, we've got a sunny situation that's looking as crisp as a perfectly thrown spiral. We're talking a high near 47 degrees with wind chill values dancing between 25 and 35 early in the day. Those northwest winds are going to be blitzing at 6 to 11 miles per hour, with gusts up to 21 miles per hour - it's like a defensive line of air currents out there!Let's dive into our Weather Playbook segment! Today, we're breaking down the concept of wind chill. Think of wind chill like a defensive coordinator scheming to make things feel colder than they actually are. When wind moves across your skin, it whisks away heat faster than a running back breaks through tackles. So even if the thermometer says one thing, the wind can make it feel like you're playing in a totally different climate! Meteorological magic, folks!Now for our three-day forecast - and I'm calling these plays like I used to call audibles on the field:First Down - Tonight: We've got rain incoming after 5 in the morning. Clouds are going to be blitzing in with a low around 40 degrees. South winds at 6 to 10 miles per hour, with gusts up to 22 miles per hour. Chance of precipitation? 60 percent! Talk about a weather blitz!Second Down - Monday: Rain is the name of the game, mostly before 2 in the afternoon. We're looking at a high near 56 degrees. Southeast winds running 7 to 14 miles per hour, with gusts up to 25 miles per hour. Precipitation probability? A whopping 90 percent! Better have those raincoats ready, team!Third Down - Tuesday: Mostly sunny with a high near 53 degrees. West winds between 8 and 14 miles per hour. It's like a perfect passing day!And hey, before I sign off - don't forget to subscribe to our podcast! We appreciate you tuning in more than a rookie appreciates his first playbook.Got weather questions? Shoot them over to dustin@inceptionpoint.ai or check out inception point dot ai for more meteorological magic.This has been a Quiet Please production - learn more at quiet please dot ai.It's gonna be WIIIIILD out there, folks!

Hey weather warriors! Dustin Breeze here, and boy do we have a forecast that's gonna make your meteorological muscles flex today! Alright, let's huddle up and break down this New York City weather playbook. Overnight, we've got some patchy drizzle doing a defensive formation with areas of fog. Think of it like a cloudy zone defense - temperature's gonna drop to a cool 45 degrees with a southeast wind around 7 miles per hour. Talk about a weather blitz!Now, let's talk Weather Playbook. Today, I'm gonna explain something called "advection fog" - and trust me, it's cooler than my old touchdown celebrations! Advection fog happens when warm, moist air moves over a cooler surface. It's like when a hot quarterback meets a cold defensive line - instant condensation! The warm air gets chilled out, creating those misty conditions you're seeing this morning. Boom! Meteorology magic!Our three-day forecast is looking like this offensive lineup: Thursday's gonna be a bit drizzly with a high near 53 degrees - southeast winds running 10 to 16 miles per hour. Thursday night? Get ready for a full-on precipitation blitz with showers between 8 pm and 2 am. Friday's bringing some northwest wind action - up to 28 miles per hour with potential gusts hitting 39 miles per hour. That's wind speed that'll make your hair do a quarterback sack!Weekend's looking pretty solid - partly sunny Saturday with temperatures climbing to 57 degrees, then Sunday brings us a crisp sunny day around 48 degrees.And hey, that's not rain coming Monday - that's the sky doing a victory dance! Precipitation chances are high, with temperatures reaching 55 degrees.It's gonna be WIIIIILD out there, folks!Hey, thanks for tuning in! Don't forget to subscribe to our podcast. Got weather questions? Send them to dustin@inceptionpoint.ai or check out inception point dot ai. This has been a Quiet Please production - learn more at quiet please dot ai!

Ducks Unlimited Podcast: Season Wrap-Up Live StreamHosts: Dr. Mike Brasher, Katie Burke, Matt HarrisonLocation: Ducks Unlimited HQ, Memphis, TNPresented by: Purina ProPlan & Bird Dog Whiskey

Good morning, New York City! This is your weather forecast for Thursday, February 13th, brought to you with a blend of meteorological precision and a dash of local flavor.Overnight, we're looking at a rainy scenario with areas of fog. Temperatures will hover steadily around 39 degrees Fahrenheit, with east winds blowing around 14 miles per hour. Expect a near 100 percent chance of precipitation, with just a light sprinkle of less than a tenth of an inch.Moving into Thursday, rain will taper off before noon. We'll see temperatures climbing to a mild 48 degrees Fahrenheit. Winds will start light and variable, then shift to the west around 9 to 14 miles per hour in the afternoon. Watch out for gusts up to 25 miles per hour! Precipitation chances remain high, with between a tenth and quarter of an inch expected.Thursday night brings a dramatic shift mostly clear skies with temperatures dropping to around 31 degrees Fahrenheit. Wind chill will make it feel crisp, hovering between 20 and 25 degrees. Expect breezy conditions with west winds hitting 20 to 25 miles per hour.Friday looks sunny but chilly, with highs near 36 degrees Fahrenheit. Wind chill will persist between 20 and 25 degrees, and those northwest winds will keep things brisk at 15 to 21 miles per hour.Weekend warriors, heads up! Saturday brings a 90 percent chance of snow between 1 p.m. and 4 p.m., potentially mixing with rain. Temperatures will reach around 40 degrees Fahrenheit, with a possible light snow accumulation.Saturday night transitions to all rain after 7 p.m., with temperatures around 37 degrees Fahrenheit. Sunday continues the wet trend with rain and highs near 51 degrees Fahrenheit.A quick heads up about Monday, which will be Washington's Birthday expect a sunny day with temperatures around 30 degrees Fahrenheit.For more detailed information and the latest updates, check out the link in our show notes to the National Weather Service New York website.Thank you for listening and make sure to subscribe to never miss an update.

Hamlet Minassian - "Aï-Aï Heyveh Heyve" - Armenian Pop Music Bernard Parmegiani - "Métamorphose Du Vide" - La Création du Monde Ann Ricci & Andres Lewis-Richter - "Densidades" - Interpreta Obras Michael Barthel - "Untitled Tr.2" - Kaum Ennio Morricone - "Great Bird of the Sky" - Exorcist II: The Heretic Music Improvisation Company - "Third Stream Boogaloo" - Music Improvisation Company Kaino And His Afro-Percussion Group - "Spirits of the Night" - Fabulous Ping Pong Bongo Percussion DDAA - "Afin Qu'A Tout Jamais" - Ronsard S.P.K. - "Twilight of the Idols" - Auto-Da-Fé Neil Hamburger - "Comedy Fated From The Stars" - My Baby Does Good Sculptures (V/A) [Compilation CD with Bananafish Magazine.] 水族館オーケストラ - "美しきサフラン Oh! Là Là やすもの工作は江戸リズムとキャラメ" - Bright Young Aquarium Workers = 陽気な若き水族館員たち https://www.wfmu.org/playlists/shows/148692

The guys are back and ready to cover their Tulsa trip! Stoking the Fire Tulsa recap Chili Bowl Green Jacket winner Tire samples popped Tri County Race Track in North Carolina re-opening ASCS National tour drop race rule for 2025 World of Outlaws sprint cars adds to rookie class. Currently at 6 rookies Precipitation in Florida Bakersfield Speedway (Oildale) moves operations/events to Kevin Harvick's Kern Raceway Ultimate Sprint Car Series 2025 schedule is released Social media of the week - Scottie Mc visits Volusia "The Draft" (Ends around 28:00 minute mark) Feature Finish 39th annual Chili Bowl Nationals IMCA Winter Nationals finale at Central Arizona Raceway Lucas Oil late models @ Golden Isles Chowchilla Barn Burner Sunshine Nationals @ Volusia PJ Wiggins Memorial @ Ocala Speedway (Ends around 35:00 minute mark) The Smoke Meatball meal Papa Johns via Uber Eats Mom wanted Chinese food Pork Chops Mama T's Steakhouse

Winter storm arrives tonight • Tuesday and Wednesday are First Alert Weather Days. • A rare Winter Storm Warning is in effect for all of southeast GA and most of NE Florida (including Coastal Duval and Coastal Nassau counties). • Winter Weather Advisory overnight/early Wednesday for St. Johns and Eastern Putnam county. • Our message continues to be for people in the warning areas to plan to be home by sunset Tuesday and stay there until mid-day Wednesday out of an abundance of caution. • A mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain will likely begin in inland SE GA between 5-7PM Tuesday, increasing in coverage/intensity there through the night. • Precipitation will start as a very cold rain across NE FL Tuesday evening with increasing potential for frozen precipitation to sink south into NE FL after midnight and before sunrise Wednesday. A few sleet pellets may mix-in with the rain after sunset. • Inland bridges and overpasses will be more susceptible to icing first, then other roads and highways that are untreated. • Ice could weigh down trees enough to result in some power outages. • Uncertainty still exists on how close to the coast of NE FL frozen precipitation will get. A brief period of freezing rain/sleet may arrive for Coastal Duval before or near sunrise Wednesday. • Please check and recheck the First Alert Forecast over the next 24 hours. • Precipitation quickly ends Wednesday morning after sunrise, with temperatures rising above freezing by mid-morning at which anything frozen will begin to melt. • Morning freezes appear likely through the remainder of the week. TODAY: Mostly cloudy with a few PM showers, becoming a wintry mix after sunset in SE GA. HIGH: 47 TONIGHT: Cloudy and cold. Winter weather increases. Low: 32 (20s well inland) WEDNESDAY: Wintry mix early, then clearing. Cold. 32/42 THURSDAY: Inland freeze, partly cloudy, an isolated shower. 30/47 FRIDAY: Morning frost/freeze, mostly sunny. 28/50 SATURDAY: Morning frost/freeze, mostly sunny. 27/52 SUNDAY: Inland freeze, mostly sunny. 35/62 MONDAY: Partly cloudy and warmer. 46/67

Chilly day ahead, winter storm expected to arrive Tuesday night • Starting off the day with some clouds in NE Florida and temperatures in the 30s • Many inland neighborhoods will dive down to freezing this morning through sunrise • MLK Day is turning partly sunny & cold with a bit of a breeze • We'll be back near or just below freezing inland on Tuesday morning, clouds increase through the day • Rain begins Tuesday evening, then will turn to sleet/freezing rain along & west of Hwy 301 overnight • Tuesday night & Wednesday morning are a FIRST ALERT WEATHER DAY • Precip appears to be mostly snow farther north in SE GA • Sleet/Freezing rain accumulations will generally be a quarter to a half inch, snow accumulation less 3” • Travel could still be treacherous due to ice accumulation near the FL/GA border and into SE Georgia • Some isolated power and tree issues may arise if the ice accumulations go above 0.25" north and west of Jacksonville. • It's possible that a few snow flurries form in Western Duval County if temps are colder than expected, but Jax should mainly see just rain & mix • It's a cold rain for most of NE FL south of I-10 with the exception of some wintry mix inland • Please check & recheck the First Alert Forecast over the next 24-36 hours • Precipitation moves out fairly quickly Wednesday with temps well above freezing during the day (should help melt anything frozen) • A few showers move in on Thursday • It gets really cold again with widespread frost & freezes the second half of the week into the weekend MLK DAY: Partly to Sunny, Chilly. High: 48 TONIGHT: Increasing clouds. Low: 32 TUESDAY: Cloudy, Evening Rain turning to Wintry Mix Inland. Snow in SE GA. 32/47 WEDNESDAY: Wintry Mix/Rain Early, Clearing. 32/45 THURSDAY: Partly Cloudy, A Few Showers. 33/50 FRIDAY: Inland Freeze, Partly Sunny. 31/53 SATURDAY: AM Frost/Freeze, Mostly Sunny. 27/55 SUNDAY: Inland Freeze, Mostly Sunny. 35/656

Wx Headline: Wet weekend turning cold again next week • Cold morning to start Friday with some spots down to freezing • It's going to be a nice day with sun & clouds, daytime highs will still be a tad cool in the 60s • This weekend, it's gonna rain • An isolated shower or two will lift up tonight & early tomorrow ahead of better rain chances • Saturday starts mainly dry, but then rain picks up in the afternoon • Plan on rain through at least Sunday morning, with a few showers lasting through the afternoon • Some spots may get 1-2” of rain when all is said & done Sunday evening • MLK Day turns sharply colder with freezing morning temps and highs only in the 40s • Precipitation will try to work its way in late Monday into Tuesday • Long-range forecasts show rain on Tuesday during the day, turning into mixed precip in SE GA Tuesday night • Confidence is low about sleet & snow at this time, but we'll know a lot more the next few days TODAY: Mostly to Partly Sunny, Cool but Nice. High: 65 TONIGHT: Becoming Cloudy, Isolated Shower. Low: 46 SAT: Cloudy & Pleasant, Scattered Afternoon Showers. 46/69 SUN: Scattered Morning Showers, Some Clearing. 56/64 MLK: Turning Sunny, Windy & Much Colder. 32/45 TUE: Becoming Cloudy with A Few Showers & Mixed Precip. 32/45 WED: Rain & Mixed Precip Early, Some Clearing. Chilly. 35/48 THU: Partly to Mostly Cloudy. 33/60

In the face of climate uncertainty, growers wonder which grape varieties will flourish in their regions in the future, or if any will grow there at all. Joel Harms, Ph.D. student in the Department of Bioresource Engineering at McGill University in Australia is using artificial intelligence to simulate the potential to grow pinot noire in different regions of the world that are currently considered too cool. The project mapped 1,300 varieties to 16 different points of climate data including temperature, precipitation, and growing degree days. The findings could play a crucial role in identifying the winegrowing regions of tomorrow. Resources:         207: Managing Catastrophic Loss in Vineyards: Lessons from Cyclone Gabrielle in New Zealand Cal-Adapt Development of a generative AI-based model for guiding grape variety selection under contemporary climate dynamics Generative AI for Climate-Adaptive Viticulture Development Joel Harms Google Scholar Page Mapping Global of the Potential for Pinot Noir Cultivation under Climate Uncertainty using Generative AI University of Adelaide Wine Economics Research Center Vineyard Team Programs: Juan Nevarez Memorial Scholarship - Donate SIP Certified – Show your care for the people and planet   Sustainable Ag Expo – The premiere winegrowing event of the year Vineyard Team – Become a Member Get More Subscribe wherever you listen so you never miss an episode on the latest science and research with the Sustainable Winegrowing Podcast. Since 1994, Vineyard Team has been your resource for workshops and field demonstrations, research, and events dedicated to the stewardship of our natural resources. Learn more at www.vineyardteam.org.   Transcript [00:00:00] Beth Vukmanic: In the face of climate uncertainty, growers wonder which grape varieties will flourish in their regions in the future, or if any, will grow there at all. [00:00:13] Welcome to Sustainable Wine Growing with the Vineyard Team, where we bring you the latest in science and research for the wine industry. I'm Beth Vukmanic, Executive Director. [00:00:23] In today's podcast, Craig McMillan, Critical Resource Manager at Niner Wine Estates, with longtime SIP certified vineyard and the first ever SIP certified winery. Speaks with Joel Harms, PhD student in the Department of Bioresource Engineering at McGill University in Australia. [00:00:42] Joel is using artificial intelligence to simulate the potential to grow Pinot Noir in different regions of the world that are currently considered too cool. [00:00:52] The project mapped 1, 300 varieties to 16 different points of climate data. including temperature, precipitation, and growing degree days. The findings could play a critical role in identifying the wine growing regions of tomorrow. [00:01:07] Want to be more connected with the viticulture industry but don't know where to start? Become a member of the Vineyard Team. Get access to the latest science based practices, experts, growers, and wine industry tools through both infield and online education so that you can grow your business. Visit vineyardteam. org and choose grower or business to join the community today. Now let's listen in. [00:01:34] Craig Macmillan: Our guest today is Joel Harms. He's a PhD student in the Department of Bioresources Engineering at McGill University. And today we're going to talk about mapping global future potential for Pinot Noir cultivation under climate uncertainty using generative AI. [00:01:51] Bye. Bye. This is a really interesting topic. I came across an abstract from a recent ASEV meeting and I was like, I just have to know more about this. This just sounds too interesting. But welcome to the podcast, Joel. [00:02:04] Joel Harms: Okay. Thank you very much. Thank you for having me. [00:02:06] Craig Macmillan: What got you interested in this topic in terms of this wine grape region? Stuff. [00:02:12] Joel Harms: I think it was more about I wanted to build models that are useful, I guess, broadly useful in vineyard management and like establishing new vineyards and like kind of covering some of the base problems. Initially, my thought was, how can we. see which grape varieties are alike. [00:02:32] How can we like make a representation of them in like a latent space. But then I found out , if I do that, that's, you know, somewhat useful, but if I take that just a step further, I could just connect it with climate data already. And then we would have a model that could, be used for prediction and it would be so I guess. How do I say like broad or general enough so that you could apply it in any environment. So like any climate can be used to predict any grape suitability matrix, which is quite nice. And so then I thought, no, let's do it. Let's try that. [00:03:11] Craig Macmillan: So your colleagues and yourself did some simulations, as we just mentioned specifically around Pinot Noir and the potential to grow it in different parts of the world that currently are considered too cool. Tell us exactly how you went about this. [00:03:25] Joel Harms: The abstract is kind of a case study on one application of, These models that we built. So we built very general grape variety recommender systems based on climate. And so we wanted to show a cool application globally. This can be applied to find regions that will be too hot in the future. [00:03:43] So we built the AI models first starting from looking at where grapes are grown and tying that together with what climate is there regionally. Unfortunately, you know, we can't use like very precise climate data because we don't have the exact location of each grape variety in each region. [00:04:02] Craig Macmillan: hmm. Yep. [00:04:03] Joel Harms: Yeah. So therefore, we use larger climate data. So like at 50 kilometer resolution, which is still helpful to, I think, gather overall trends, not so much, you know, to plan an individual vineyard probably, but just to see like in which areas maybe there would be. in the future interesting vineyard sites. [00:04:23] Just like kind of as like a pre guidance sort of model. And then we, tested it. We tried to validate this model and then we presented a first case study with Pinot Noir because we were presenting in Oregon at the ASEV conference. So I figured, you know, might as well do Pinot Noir if we're already in Oregon. [00:04:43] Craig Macmillan: Can you explain to me the artificial intelligence piece of this? I mean, you hear about it and you know, kind of what different types of AI do. I don't think a lot of people realize that, you know, that's a very general concept and people have designed particular tools for particular reasons. [00:05:01] So, in this case, what exactly was the AI component? What's inside the box, basically? How does it work? [00:05:07] Joel Harms: First off, I guess to explain for listeners , cause AI does get thrown around a lot and it's hard to know what that actually means. So when we're talking about AI, it's usually we're tying some sort of input data to some sort of output data. And we're teaching a very complicated mathematical function to map one to the other. [00:05:25] So like kind of a correlation. But it's not a simple correlation. That's why we need these models and that's why they're pretty fancy. [00:05:31] So in our case, we're using an AI that was inspired from the community of medical science, where similar models were used to connect, for example, the ECG measurements of a heart with like scans of the heart. [00:05:50] And then Trying to tie both of those datas together and to reconstruct them again to see if, like, you could find correlations between those and maybe if one of them is missing, you could, , predict what it would look like. And so, since this is a very similar problem, , and we have similar input data in the sense of, we have grapes, which grapes are grown where, and we have what is the climate there, roughly. [00:06:13] So we can tie that together and try to connect both of those types of data and then get an output of both of those types of data so that we can go from grapes to climate and climate to grapes in the same model. So we have these , you could say like four models. that are tied together at the center. So input grapes, input climate, then in the center where they get tied together and then output grapes, output climate. And so we train it to, reconstruct it from this combined space where we like, Scrunch it down, which is what the autoencoder does. [00:06:48] Craig Macmillan: So if, if I understand correctly, what we're talking about is , we know that we have the data and we know where wine grapes are grown, different types for different climates. Then we have the climate data in terms of how things may change over time. And then we're creating a prediction of. How those climates change, and then translate that into what we already know about wine grapes. [00:07:09] Joel Harms: Sort of. Yeah. But in our model for training, we just use the existing ones. So historical climate data and historical grape variety data. Once we have that model trained, we just apply it for new climates that come from like other climate models. So we don't do the climate modeling ourselves, but we extract that information and feed that into it and get the grape varieties output. [00:07:31] Craig Macmillan: So you look specifically, at least reported on areas that currently are considered too cold for growing a high quality pinot noir or growing wine grapes in general. What did you find out? What Parts of the world might be the new leading Pinot Noir regions. [00:07:46] Joel Harms: . So that depends a little bit on the exact scenario and how much the climate is supposed to warm. We have like two scenarios is what we looked at. We looked at a 8. 5 scenario and a 2. 6 scenario and going by the 8. 5 scenario, some of the regions that are improving are for example, Western China. And also Southern California, actually, and Quebec, , like Southern California is in Santa Barbara. I guess that's technically Central Coast, [00:08:17] Craig Macmillan: Yeah, well, that's interesting There's a lot of Pinot Noir in Santa Barbara County in the in the coastal zones Any other regions that popped up? [00:08:26] Joel Harms: Yeah, a lot of Australia seems to be doing better and like Northern France, [00:08:31] Craig Macmillan: Yeah pushing it to the north. Did England pop up? [00:08:35] Joel Harms: England, yes, but England seems to like stay the same in compared to historical. So not like as if it's improving, at least like from this, like rough map that we made. What we want to do is do it a bit more finely. The, this prediction, because we currently just used regions where wine is already grown, but then try to like interpolate just for calculation efficiency. Outward. So like our maps are created not only by the model itself, because that would be too calculation intensive. So for the, for the sake of simplicity, we did it like this, but we're still writing the final paper. So, you know, don't invest just yet, wait a little bit and then, [00:09:17] Craig Macmillan: I was gonna bring that up. Where should I put my money? [00:09:19] Joel Harms: Exactly. So don't do that yet. Wait for the final paper and then we will double check everything over. Oh yeah. Arkansas was one that was improving too. Very interestingly. Yeah. [00:09:28] Craig Macmillan: I was kind of surprised because having talked to guests, many guests from, you know, New York, from Texas, from people who consult in the Southwest Northern California, which can get quite warm. What we've talked about is the question of it getting too hot to grow quality wine grapes. [00:09:49] You know, wine grapes will grow to tolerate quite high temperatures. So, for instance, the San Joaquin Valley in California, produces a lot of wine grapes. They're not considered to be very high quality compared to coastal zones. So the vines do great and produce good crops and all of that. So there's concern that areas that have been kind of in the sweet spot, kind of in the, we call it the Goldilocks phenomenon where climate, soil, time, everything just all kind of fits together. [00:10:12] It sounds like this idea would be applicable to predicting what areas might become too warm for high quality wine [00:10:19] Joel Harms: Yes. Yes. It's definitely the case. Yes. And in our maps. You can see both at the same time because it sees like relative change, positive, relative change to, to negative. Some areas that look like they're not going to do so well in the future or less good in the future, even though they're like really good right now is like Oregon, unfortunately. [00:10:39] And the Azores or Northern Spain, even in Eastern Europe, a lot of areas. Seem to be warming up like in Romania at the coast. Not necessarily just the warming up part, but also because we consider 16 different climate variables, it could be the warming up part, but it could also be, you know, like the precipitation changing things like that, you know. [00:10:59] Craig Macmillan: You said 16 variables, we talked, you got temperature, you got precipitation, what, what are some of the others? [00:11:04] Joel Harms: Yeah, we got the growing degree days, the winter index, we got the Huggins index, we have radiation. Diurnal temperature range, the annual average temperature, for the precipitation, we have it like a three different scales, in the harvest month over the growing season and also throughout the whole year same for the temperature. And then we have the, growing indexes [00:11:26] Craig Macmillan: do you have plans to do this kind of thing again? Or publish additional papers from the work you've already done, because I think, it sounds like you've got a lot of interesting findings, [00:11:35] Joel Harms: Oh yeah. Yeah. The results only came in like right before the conference. We're still analyzing everything, writing everything. So the first thing that's coming up is a paper just on , how did we build the model and like all the validations and does it make sense with like expert classifications of how experts classify suitability for grapevines and things like that in the past to see if. That lines up as it should yeah, and then after that we'll publish some of these predictions and what we can learn from these and more detailed than how we did it right now where, most of it's like interpolated because we couldn't predict for every location, so like we predicted for some locations and interpolated. Just for computational efficiency, I guess, but you know, we're, we're getting there. Unfortunately, academia is quite you know, a slow profession. takes a lot of time. [00:12:24] Craig Macmillan: Yes, yes it does. And then getting it published takes a lot of time with reviews and whatnot. And so I just want to put a time stamp on this. This is being recorded in October of 2024. So, Give it some months, at least several, several, several, several. But it's exciting. This stuff's coming out. It'll be in, be in the literature. That's really, really great. [00:12:43] Joel Harms: And soon what we're trying to do is also release like a tool or something that, you know, where people can input their location and we can, our climate data, like call out the climate data and see what, what some of the predictions would be. Yeah. [00:12:57] Craig Macmillan: Oh, that's neat. [00:12:59] Joel Harms: I might've done that for Niner Vineyards just now to see, to see what, what's a suitable there, but only the current ones. [00:13:08] So I mean, it's kind of is exactly what you're growing. [00:13:10] Craig Macmillan: Funny. You should mention that. There is a a website called CalAdapt that allows you to put in some ranges and some variables specific to your location, you put your location in, and then there's a number of different models that you can run. Some are very conservative, some are not in terms of what the predictions are for climate change globally. [00:13:31] And then gives you a nice report on what the average temperature change might be in degrees Fahrenheit or Celsius also takes a stab at precipitation, although I talked to somebody who was connected to that and they said the precipitation is always kind of questionable. And also looks at things like heat waves, how many heat waves days over 100 or days over 95, you might expect because those can be quite fluctuating. [00:13:55] damaging. Even, even though vines can tolerate heat, if they're not acclimated, getting these big stretches of over a hundred, for instance, can be kind of stressful. I did that and kind of looked at it myself and thought, huh, I wonder if we had better, more, um, detailed information, what that might look like. [00:14:12] Another tool that was mentioned that you used was a deep coupled auto incoder networks. What are those? [00:14:18] Joel Harms: So that was what I described earlier, like these component models , where we have a. The encoder and decoder part, the input part is the , encoder and the output part is the decoder. And in the middle of these we have a latent space and then the coupled part means that we're having multiple of these that share their latent space. [00:14:38] So that's , where we're tying them together so that we can input either climate or grapes and get as outputs either climates or grapes. So it's like very, very flexible in that way and so I quite like that. And it turns out it does better than even some more traditional approaches where you just feed in climate and get out grapes like from a neural network or something like that. [00:14:59] Just like a neural network, because we have technically like four neural networks and all of them have three layers. So that's three layers or more. And so that's what makes them deep. [00:15:08] Craig Macmillan: Got it. [00:15:09] Is this your primary work as a PhD student? [00:15:13] Joel Harms: Well, as a PhD student, I'm still working on modeling. But not so much with grapevines, unfortunately. I'm looking at still climate models. How can we adapt for example, now we're looking more at the Caribbean. There's flooding issues. Particularly in Guyana. And so we're trying to, you know, help maybe the government to plan land use better in order to avoid, you know, critical areas being flooded, agricultural land being flooded and these type of things. [00:15:41] So it's more looking at flooding modeling, there's definitely some overlap in that sort of work, it's definitely still like in the area of using data science to help decision making which is the overall theme of this work. [00:15:55] Craig Macmillan: Yeah, and that was something that also came up in my little mini project was the potential for massive storms and also the potential for drought. Which, wasn't part of your work at this stage. Is that something that you would be able to find a way of including in your modeling that might give you some idea of how things might change? [00:16:15] And it's specifically what I'm thinking of is Cyclone Gabriel, I believe it was called, Gabriella just devastated parts of New Zealand. And raised a lot of concern about how, you know, when we were in these coastal zones, we go, Oh, yes, it's mild. It's great. But we're right near the ocean. [00:16:33] Right. And in October between 24, we've seen a very active hurricane season in the Caribbean and on the East coast and the Gulf. Do you think there's potential for this kind of thing to give us more of a heads up about what might be coming our way in terms of massive storm events? Cause that might affect how and what I do. [00:16:52] Joel Harms: I guess this wouldn't depend really on the grape variety itself. That would be more like a citing issue, right? Like where do you plant? [00:16:58] That's what we're looking at now with the like flooding mapping if there is a storm, where does the water collect? Which roads are cut off? Or, I mean, I guess in the case of vineyards, you could look at like, what would be the likely damage would there be now saltwater maybe even if you're depending on where you are. That's definitely something to look at. [00:17:17] All you need is sufficient, like past data points. So you can calibrate your models and then. You know, look at different future scenarios and what will be important to for the future is to look at what's kind of the certainty of these predictions, right? Like, what are your error margins? What's your confidence interval? [00:17:33] Because that might drastically alter your decisions. If it says, oh, it's probably not going to be too bad, but you're very uncertain about that, then you're probably going to take some more precautions than, you know, not because usually now we have A lot of models where their prediction is very, like is deterministic. [00:17:50] So they say, this is how it will be. And it's hard to tell where, you know, where those margins are of error, which is something to look at in the future for sure. [00:18:01] Craig Macmillan: Yeah, that is a challenge in the the model that I did for a Paso Robles vineyard Precipitation didn't really change very much which I was surprised by so it wasn't gonna become like a drought area completely but the potential ranged from five inches of rain a year to 60 inches of rain a year, which is why I was asking about these massive storms. [00:18:21] Maybe our averages, continuous to what we have now, but it may be a bunch of craziness year to year around that. And I think that is interesting and useful to know. So you prepare for it. [00:18:34] Joel Harms: that's something people are looking at, I think cause you can use some models to calculate sort of new climate indices. To see like from daily data train, like new climate indices to see these big storm events and things like that, and maybe incorporate that. That could help, , maybe with that sort of analysis of where even if it's the same average, the index is different because it measures something else. [00:18:59] Yes, I wouldn't know what they're called, but yes, I believe this already exists and is being improved. . [00:19:05] Craig Macmillan: Yeah. Yeah. With your experience so far, what do you see? Because everybody's talking about this. It's like the future in a world of artificial intelligence and this and that. In this particular area where you're, you're tying one set of variables to climate variables and also to historical weather. [00:19:23] In the big picture, beyond just wine grapes, but in the big picture, any topic, where do you see this kind of work going? You touched on it a little bit, when you close your eyes and open your mind what does the future look like? What, kind of tools are we going to have and what kind of things are we going to be able to find out? [00:19:38] Joel Harms: Yeah, that's interesting. I think it, it really depends on the data we have available and it looks like we'll have more and more data available. [00:19:47] So better disease models, location specific disease models to plan spray schedules better and things like that, they seem to be coming. I think I've seen parts of that already from some companies rolling out. [00:20:00] It's all about kind of the creatively using the data that you have available, because a lot of like my data, for example, that I used for this. This isn't necessarily new data, right? This comes from the University of Adelaide who collects where, which grape varieties are grown all over the world. [00:20:17] And then just historical, climate data. It's not very new, but just to put these together in a meaningful way with AI, that's going to be the challenge. And then also to test, is this reliable or not? Because you could theoretically predict almost anything, but then you need to check, is it just correlation? [00:20:39] Am I taking all the important variables into account? And we're developing AI very, very fast. But maybe we need to spend a bit more time, you know, trying to validate it, trying to see how robust it is, which is a major challenge, especially with these complicated models, because, I heard about this example. [00:20:57] Where in the past, for some self driving cars, their AI that recognized stop signs could be tricked if there was a sticker on the stop sign, and it would ignore the stop sign. Even though there's not a big difference, but you can't test for, you know, all of these cases, what might happen. And that's kind of the same for, , what we are doing. [00:21:17] So improving the testing, that would be, I think, a major A major goal to make sure it's robust and reliable or that it tells you how, how certain it is, you know, then at least you can deal with it, you know, and not just make a decision off of that. Yeah, [00:21:29] Craig Macmillan: Yeah. What the level of uncertainty is. That's always the getcha. [00:21:33] Joel Harms: yes, [00:21:34] Craig Macmillan: That's always the hard part. If you had one thing that you would tell growers on this topic, what would it be? Mm [00:21:43] Joel Harms: Specifically for my models, it would be to take the current results with a grain of salt. And then to sort of use this to, narrow down like a selection of grapes and to still run tests and things like that. Cause it's regional data, right? It's not going to tell you exactly what you should grow in your location. [00:22:02] Cause it's, you know, the weather data is based on four to 50 kilometers around you. You know, that's where we're like assembling the data from. [00:22:10] Craig Macmillan: that a 50 kilometer quadrant? [00:22:12] Joel Harms: yes. Yeah. [00:22:13] Craig Macmillan: Yep. Okay. Gotcha. [00:22:14] Joel Harms: Yes, exactly. So this tool is mainly used or useful if you use it to like pre select some varieties so you can see what might be good, you know, and then decide for yourself what you want. [00:22:27] The take home message is like, it's not supposed to take away grape growing experts and things like that, or replace them in any way, but it's supposed to like support it because. There's so many grape varieties and if climate regions or like regions where we're growing grapes are changing, where the climate is changing, we want to get the best choice. [00:22:47] And so we should probably look at all of them, all of our available options and see what we can do. It will narrow it down for you. And then, you know, you'll still have to see what works exactly for you. What wine do you want to produce? I mean, it doesn't take that into account, right? It just gives you what probably would grow well here. [00:23:03] Craig Macmillan: . [00:23:03] Yeah, then I think that there's going to be a future also in bringing in some either hybrid varieties or varieties that are not terribly well known. I've talked to people from Texas and from Michigan Pennsylvania, where the traditional vinifera only varieties don't do pretty well. Terribly well, often because of cold hardiness because of cold winters, they don't handle it, but there's hybrids that do great and make interesting wine. [00:23:27] And I think that would be an interesting thing to include in a model or if it came out kind of like the winner was something we don't normally [00:23:33] Joel Harms: Right. Usually we have a lot of hybrids in this because we have 1, 300 varieties. [00:23:39] Craig Macmillan: wow. Oh, I didn't realize that. [00:23:41] Joel Harms: so I think we have most of the. commercially used grape varieties, like in all aspects. [00:23:48] Craig Macmillan: yeah, probably, probably. [00:23:49] Joel Harms: Yeah. So it's quite, quite far ranging. We only excluded some where it was never more than 1 percent of any region, because then like our model couldn't really learn what this grape variety needs. [00:24:00] Right. Because it's like too small, even in the largest region where it we cut those out. So, cause else we would have 1700. But then like the 1300 that actually get used commercially at a significant scale. Those we have. The model is actually built like we have a suitability index. [00:24:18] But we're still trying to, , fine adjust so that we can rank not just what's popular and like how much will grow. Cause then you'll always get, you know, the top, the top 10 will look very similar for any region. But then through the suitability index, we actually get a lot of these smaller varieties that would fit very well also ranked in the top 10 or in the top 50 of varieties. [00:24:41] Craig Macmillan: They've mentioned fine tuning the model at this point. Is this particular project or this particular model, is this gonna continue on into the future? It sounds you have ideas for improvements. Is this number one gonna continue on into the future and is there gonna come a point when This will be available for the industry, industries internationally to do their own trials. [00:25:03] Joel Harms: Yes, I think so. So I think when we're publishing the paper latest at that point, we'll have the tool set up where people can try it out, put in, in their location. And I guess we're publishing the methodology. So you could build like a version of this yourself. It's not too crazy. Probably code will be published too. [00:25:24] So, you know, you could build this yourself if you wanted to, or you could just use the models we have trained already. Okay. And just apply them to your case. That's what the tool is for. . Right now it's like all code based. So like, it's not, not so easy where you just, drop your pin, like where you're at and then it gives you some predictions, , that's what we're aiming for. [00:25:44] Craig Macmillan: Fantastic. So our guest today has been Joel Harms. He is a PhD student in the Department of Bioresource Engineering at McGill. University. Thanks so much for being on the podcast. This is really fascinating. I'm really looking forward to how this work progresses. And I think it's very eyeopening for us. [00:26:01] Again, you know, one of the things I thought was fascinating is I've had all these conversations about areas that would no longer be suitable, but a flip on it and say, well, areas that might be suitable in the future. I hadn't thought of that. [00:26:12] Joel Harms: Why not? You [00:26:13] Craig Macmillan: why not? You know, that's, that's, that's a very interesting question, and it applies to other crops as well. [00:26:18] I just had never really thought about it like that. You know, maybe you can grow oranges in Iowa at some point. [00:26:23] Joel Harms: That, that would be nice. I guess. [00:26:25] Craig Macmillan: maybe [00:26:26] Joel Harms: maybe see. [00:26:28] Craig Macmillan: we'll see. We'll see. You never know. Anyway, Joel, thanks for being on the podcast. I appreciate it. [00:26:33] Beth Vukmanic: Thank you for listening. Today's podcast was brought to you by Cal West Rain. Since 1989, Cal West Rain has served growers on California's Central Coast and the San Joaquin Valley. As a locally owned, full line irrigation and pump company, they offer design and construction experience in all types of low volume irrigation systems, whether they're for vines, trees, or row crops. [00:27:03] In addition, CalWestRain offers a full range of pumps and pump services, plus expertise in automation systems, filtration systems, electrical service, maintenance and repairs, equipment rental, and a fully stocked parts department. Learn more at CalWestRain. com. [00:27:23] Make sure you check out the show notes for links to Joel, his research articles, plus sustainable wine growing podcast episode 207. Managing Catastrophic Loss in Vineyards, Lessons from Cyclone Gabriel in New Zealand. If you liked this show, do us a big favor by sharing it with a friend, subscribing, and leaving us a review. [00:27:44] You can find all of the podcasts at vineyardteam.org/podcast, and you can reach us at podcast at vineyardteam.org. Until next time, this is Sustainable Wine Growing with the Vineyard Team.   Nearly perfect transcription by Descript

Plus, people who have to be outside on Thursday are urged to layer up, and Texas Gov. Greg Abbott says the state's power grid is more reliable than it's ever been.

Welcome to Crown Ministries International's Podcast. We pray as you listen, that you are encouraged, edified and uplifted. Happy new year from Crown Ministries International . In this first sermon of 2025, Bishop Jonathan Shaw preached from the story in 1st Kings 18, which tells of Elijah posturing himself in anticipation of receiving rain from the hand of the Lord. He didn't get up from his posture until he seen the promise. Which tells us, when you are postured for purpose, you will be in the position of power. We pray you enjoy this message and stay tuned for more sermons in the new year! Speaker: Bishop Jonathan Shaw Sermon: "Postured For Precipitation" Scripture: 1st Kings 18:41-46 Date: January 05, 2025 If you loved what you've heard, and want to sow into Crown Ministries so we can continue bringing you Crown on-the-go, click this link ⁠https://bit.ly/2UIHajn⁠ OR Text CMI to 28950 and follow the prompts. If you've accepted Jesus Christ as your Lord and Savior today, text SAVED to 40691, we want to walk you through the best decision you've ever made. Stay blessed, and stay tuned for more episodes on Crown Ministries International's Podcast, available wherever you listen to your favorite audio content. Thank you for connecting with us!

Episode Title: 15-42 12 Hours of Calming Precipitation: A Study CompanionDescription:In this soothing episode of "Be Calm and Relax Podcast," we immerse ourselves in the gentle ambiance created by 12 hours of calming precipitation. Discover how the serene sounds of rain can serve as the perfect backdrop for studying or unwinding after a hectic day. We discuss the benefits of incorporating these natural rhythms into your study routines to enhance focus and relaxation.Take a moment for yourself and let the tranquil sounds of rainfall ease your mind, providing a peaceful escape from life's daily demands. It's in these serene moments that we find balance and relaxation.Join us next time as we continue to explore more ways to achieve peace and tranquility in our lives.DISCLAIMER

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Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.comGrain Markets and Other Stuff Links-Apple PodcastsSpotifyTikTokYouTubeFutures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.

On this special episode, Dr. Mike Brasher visits with Jay Anglin, DU Waterfowl 360 Migration Editor for the Great Lakes, and Mark Holley, chief meteorologist for WSAW-TV in Wausau, Wisconsin, about recent changes to weather conditions, bird movements, and hunter success across the Great Lakes. After a slow season across much of the region, Anglin reports that activity in Indiana, Michigan, and Ohio is finally “heating up” thanks to a weather system that is bringing colder temps and windier conditions. Holley gives the meteorological details around what's driving the change and gives an optimistic report that we may see unsettled weather and colder temperatures continuing into early December. The timing couldn't be better for southern and mid-latitude duck hunters! Happy Hunting, y'all!Listen now: www.ducks.org/DUPodcastSend feedback: DUPodcast@ducks.org

Duck hunters are obsessive weather watchers, as it influences everything from large-scale migration to local movements and habitat use. In this episode, Dr. Mike Brasher welcomes Skot Covert, chief meteorologist at CBS 5News Fort Smith-Fayetteville, AR, and Chance Gotsch, meteorologist at ABC17 Columbia, MO, to discuss early season forecasts for the upcoming fall and winter. Recorded on September 16, 2024, Skot and Chance provide an education on La Nina, El Nino, and how they influence the weather we experience. Although the outlook isn't great for southern hunters, wild cards in play, so tune in for the details.www.ducks.org/DUPodcast