Podcast appearances and mentions of august cpi

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Best podcasts about august cpi

Latest podcast episodes about august cpi

Trader Merlin
Trading Week Wrap Up! - 09/18/26

Trader Merlin

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 18, 2026 57:41


What a week. The Federal Reserve is hiking rates again, inflation remains stubborn, Washington is rewriting the rules for digital assets, Bitcoin is moving, and the Magnificent Seven are starting to tell very different technical stories. On today's TraderMerlin, we're wrapping up one of the more consequential trading weeks we've seen recently and connecting the dots between monetary policy, inflation, technology, crypto and the trades I'm personally watching. The biggest story was clearly the Federal Reserve. The Fed raised rates 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, marking its first rate hike in more than three years. But the quarter-point increase itself isn't the important part. The important question is: Is this one hike—or the beginning of another tightening cycle? That question became even more important after the latest inflation numbers. August CPI rose 0.4% for the month and 3.4% year-over-year, while producer prices increased 0.4% for the month and 5.4% over the past year. Inflation isn't dead. And if prices continue pushing higher, the Fed may have more work to do. Meanwhile, the digital-asset world had a massive week of its own. The CLARITY Act ran into trouble in Washington, the battle over stablecoin yield and community-bank deposits intensified, and the SEC rolled out its new Innovation Exemption, opening the door for certain tokenized U.S. stocks to trade onchain through permissioned automated market makers and liquidity pools. Crypto isn't just sitting on the outside of traditional finance anymore. The infrastructure is beginning to merge. We'll break down: The Fed – Why rates went higher and what could come next Inflation – What CPI and PPI are telling us about the road ahead Digital Assets – CLARITY, stablecoins, SEC/CFTC developments and tokenization Bitcoin & Crypto – What the changing regulatory landscape means for traders Magnificent Seven Technicals – Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta and Tesla Market Leadership – Are the Mag 7 still driving this market—or is leadership beginning to fracture? My Trades – Updates on the positions I'm currently watching, what's working, what isn't and how I'm managing risk The Magnificent Seven may be especially important here. For years, traders could almost treat these companies as a single trade. That's changing. Some charts remain technically strong while others are showing very different momentum, support and resistance structures. That divergence can tell us a lot about what's happening underneath the major indexes. And, as always, I'll finish with updates on my own trades—because analyzing markets is one thing. Putting your money on the line is another. Listen now:

DH Unplugged
DHunplugged #818: Cyberdyne IRL

DH Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 16, 2026 62:39


It’s the end of the world and we know it… CPI numbers – HOT – Markets think hit a top – or just options Friday? Sell Rosh Hashana and Buy Yom Kippur? Plenty of AI PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? PayPal.Donation.Button({ env:'production', hosted_button_id:'JJJHP2GDEJC7J', image: { src:'https://www.paypalobjects.com/en_US/i/btn/btn_donateCC_LG.gif', alt:'Donate with PayPal button', title:'PayPal - The safer, easier way to pay online!', } }).render('#donate-button'); Follow John S. Dvorak on X Follow Andrew Horowitz on X Warm-Up - Follow Up - I am the House! - 10YR shot above 5% on Monday - Follow Up 2 - Straight of Hormuz - NO Boats passing (can we please stick to the facts?) - CPI numbers - HOT - Markets think hit a top - Let's talk end of the works - Cyberdyne IRL Markets - 100% Probability of a rate hike this week - Sell Rosh Hashana, Buy Yom Kippur - HACK ETF - Cybersecurity name up 49% YTD DHU MAILING LIST! - Go to DHUnplugged.com FED HIKE IS BACK - Fed meets Tuesday-Wednesday, with a 25 bp hike to 3.75%-4.00% now the dominant expectation. - 85% of economists surveyed expect a hike; futures moved to roughly 90% odds after the latest inflation data. - August CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year; core rose 0.3% for the month and 2.4% annually. - Markets are increasingly pricing additional tightening beyond September rather than this being a one-and-done move. AND -> THE 5% TREASURY IS BACK - The 10-year Treasury yield briefly crossed 5% Monday for the first time since 2023. - Higher oil prices, hotter inflation, heavy bond supply and expectations for more Fed tightening are all pushing yields higher. - The move raises the hurdle rate for stocks while feeding directly into mortgages, corporate borrowing and other credit. - Bonds are becoming meaningful competition for equities again at a time when stock valuations remain elevated. SLOW DOWN THE AI - Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei called for deliberately slowing frontier-model advancement to create more time for safety controls. - Sam Altman and Elon Musk publicly backed the push for more caution; Microsoft separately released a draft AI code requiring models to remain under human control. - Microsoft says its models must accept shutdowns and corrections and should not be designed around claims of consciousness or legal rights. - The semiconductor index dropped more than 5% Monday; Nvidia, Broadcom, Micron and AMD were among the major casualties. DEEPSEEK CHANGES THE MEMORY MATH - DeepSeek's latest architecture sharply lowers the amount of memory required to run inference, including a major reduction in KV-cache requirements. - This is not simply HBM being replaced by SSD: the architecture reduces both high-speed memory and persistent-storage requirements per inference. - That complicates the straight-line thesis that every incremental AI token requires proportionally more HBM and storage. - Micron, Samsung and SK Hynix still benefit from enormous AI memory demand, but will efficiency gains become an important counterweight to unlimited-demand forecasts? V4V - What is it and how can you participate? TOKENS - A Quick Tutorial ORACLE SAYS THE AI SPENDING IS REAL - Oracle booked more than $30 billion of new AI cloud contracts during the quarter, taking total backlog to $664 billion. - Revenue rose 30% to $19.3 billion and adjusted EPS came in at $1.92 versus $1.74 expected. - Oracle spent $28.5 billion on capex, but about $11.36 billion was offset by customer prepayments. - Most new AI orders use prepayments, customer-owned hardware or similar arrangements, reducing the amount Oracle itself must finance. AI STOCKS MEET THEIR FIRST REAL NARRATIVE PROBLEM - The Philadelphia semiconductor index dropped roughly 5.4% Monday even though it remains up about 58% for the year. - Nvidia fell roughly 2.6%; Broadcom, Micron and AMD were each down around 4% during the session. - The new concern is not whether AI works, but whether safety restrictions could slow the pace of model releases and infrastructure spending. - Software names including Adobe, ServiceNow and Workday initially benefited as investors reconsidered how quickly AI might disrupt incumbent software. CHATGPT INVENTS THE WITNESSES - A New Mexico defense lawyer was fined $5,000 and held in contempt after submitting fabricated police testimony and nonexistent witnesses generated by ChatGPT. - The attorney had used ChatGPT to summarize trial proceedings and failed to verify the output before filing it with the court. - The appeal was reassigned to a public defender and the attorney was referred for further disciplinary review. - This goes beyond fake case citations: the system generated supposed factual evidence and attributed it to witnesses who did not exist. HUMANOID ROBOTS: FROM IPO MANIA TO THE BATTLEFIELD - China is researching humanoid robots for reconnaissance, logistics, hazardous missions and potentially urban combat. - Separately, Chinese regulators are tightening scrutiny of humanoid-robot IPOs after extreme volatility surrounding Unitree Robotics. - Unitree shares reportedly fell roughly 45% after initially increasing fivefold following its listing. - Hyundai-owned Boston Dynamics also said a 2027 IPO is unlikely; Hyundai wants production capacity of roughly 30,000 robots annually by 2028. CHINA GETS ACCUSED OF INDUSTRIAL-SCALE AI COPYING - U.S. officials accused six Chinese AI companies, including DeepSeek, Moonshot and Alibaba, of using U.S. models for large-scale distillation. - Distillation trains smaller models using outputs from more powerful models, dramatically reducing development cost and time. - U.S. officials said the activity targeted technology from Anthropic, OpenAI, Google and SpaceX. - China rejected the allegations and argued that distillation is a normal industry technique also used by American companies. OIL BACK ABOVE $100 - Brent traded around $107 Monday and WTI around $103 after fresh attacks on Saudi infrastructure and Middle East shipping. - Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline was temporarily disabled, threatening a route capable of carrying roughly 4% of global crude supply. - Gulf states postponed planned talks with Iran over the Strait of Hormuz as regional tensions widened. - Physical crude prices are becoming highly location-dependent: barrels with secure export routes command major premiums while trapped grades trade at steep discounts. COPPER GOES VERTICAL - Copper has recently traded near record territory around $14,500-$14,700 per metric ton. - Tight mine supply is colliding with demand from electric grids, data centers, renewable power and other electrification projects. - Tariff uncertainty has also distorted flows as traders move available metal toward markets offering the highest prices. - Copper's surge makes proposed mining combinations such as Anglo American-Teck increasingly valuable; that roughly $54 billion deal is still awaiting Chinese regulatory approval. THE BIG MYSTERY BANK SANCTION - Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the U.S. would sanction a large bank as part of increased financial pressure on Iran. - He initially declined to identify the bank or its country. - The campaign has already targeted oil, shipping, finance, aviation, weapons procurement and digital-asset channels connected to Iran. - The market question is whether secondary sanctions begin touching larger banks or companies outside Iran that facilitate trade. APPLE'S $1,999 FOLDING BET - Apple launched the iPhone Duo, its first folding iPhone, priced at $1,999. - It opens to a 7.6-inch display and represents one of Apple's biggest changes to the iPhone form factor in years. - The launch puts Apple directly into a market dominated by Samsung and Huawei and could help push foldables beyond their current niche. - It is also arriving during a severe memory-and-storage chip shortage that has already forced higher pricing elsewhere in Apple's product lineup. PRIVATE CREDIT REDEMPTION PRESSURE EASES - Investors in BlackRock's $23.1 billion HPS Corporate Lending Fund requested withdrawals equal to about 11.5% of shares, down from 13.3% the prior quarter - BUT, is this just a rounding error? - The fund will repurchase only 5%, the normal quarterly limit, leaving some redemption requests unfilled. - Other BlackRock private-credit vehicles also showed lower withdrawal requests during the quarter. - Private-credit investors have been worried about lending standards and heavy exposure to software companies potentially disrupted by AI. DID WE DISCUSS >>> THE $50 BILLION DATA-CENTER IPO - SB Energy is reportedly seeking a valuation above $50 billion despite having no operational data centers. - It reported about $139 million of first-half revenue against a $3.21 billion net loss. - The company claims roughly $439 billion of project backlog. - OpenAI is an investor, warrant holder and major future customer; Nvidia is also providing capital while supplying the chips. - Soooooo...... No operating data centers, billions in losses and a possible $50 billion valuation. At least they remembered to build the valuation first.   Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? PayPal.Donation.Button({ env: 'production', hosted_button_id: 'JJJHP2GDEJC7J', image: { src: 'https://www.paypalobjects.com/en_US/i/btn/btn_donateCC_LG.gif', alt: 'Donate with PayPal button', title: 'PayPal - The safer, easier way to pay online!' } }).render('#donate-button-2'); THE CLOSEST TO THE PIN for SpaceX (SPCX) Winners will be getting great stuff like the new "OFFICIAL" DHUnplugged Shirt!   FED AND CRYPTO LIMERICKS   See this week's stock picks HERE Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter

Yadnya Investment Academy
Daily Stock Market News(15 Sep 2026): Tata Sons Listing, Saudi Pipeline, Inflation & AI Stocks

Yadnya Investment Academy

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 15, 2026 20:57


Get your daily stock market news for 15th September 2026. Today we cover RBI mandating Tata Sons' public listing, Saudi Arabia shutting its key East-West pipeline, and Asian AI stocks sliding. We also analyze India's August CPI and WPI prints, India-EU FTA auto quotas, Solar Industries' $1.36B Omnia acquisition, HDFC Bank's CEO shortlist, and UltraTech's disruption in wires and cables.

The Dividend Cafe
Monday - September 14, 2026

The Dividend Cafe

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 14, 2026 15:51


Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4dB7zsq David Bahnsen hosts the Monday Dividend Cafe from the Newport Beach studio, recaps the show's weekly content cadence, and reviews a relatively calm market day after a volatile weekend. Nasdaq and S&P finished down about 0.5% with semiconductors down 5.6%, tied to a weekend letter from Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei urging major AI labs to slow development and seek regulation, with support from Elon Musk, Sam Altman, and Google's AI leadership. Bahnsen notes heightened volatility, a brief 10-year yield move above 5%, and sector performance led by communication services while technology lagged. He says credit spreads remain benign but will be key to watch. He covers August CPI (0.4% headline, 0.3% core), elevated PPI (5.4% y/y), tanker shipping up ~300% amid Red Sea/Strait of Hormuz disruptions, cooling housing markets, the Fed meeting with an 86% implied hike probability, and WTI crude above $100 after a Saudi pipeline shutdown. 00:00 Welcome Back Monday 01:08 Program Cadence Explained 03:24 Market Selloff Recap 04:30 Anthropic AI Warning 07:28 Volatility and Credit Signals 09:05 Policy and AI Regulation 09:45 Inflation CPI and PPI 10:55 Shipping and Housing Cooling 12:04 Fed Meeting Rate Decision 13:18 Oil Surge and Wrap Up Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Grain Markets and Other Stuff
Funds are Record-Long Grains, But Rake Hikes are Coming

Grain Markets and Other Stuff

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 14, 2026 24:14 Transcription Available


Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.comGrain Markets and Other Stuff Links —Apple PodcastsSpotifyTikTokYouTubeFutures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.

Shared Lunch
Oil tops US$108 as bond yields keep rising | Market movements

Shared Lunch

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 14, 2026 5:36 Transcription Available


SHARESIES · MARKET UPDATE · Week of 14 September 2026Jacki Neumann, Head of Capital Markets ↑ WHAT'S UP — Oil was the big climber, with Brent crude rising as high as US$108 a barrel on Thursday — its highest since May — before settling around US$105 after fresh US–Iran strikes. Oracle was a bright spot, jumping 7% after hours on strong results as revenue rose 30% and cloud infrastructure revenue surged over 120%. ↓ WHAT'S DOWN — Equities fell broadly, with the ASX 200 down around 3% — dragged by an 8.6% slide in tech and a 3.9% fall in materials — while the NZX 50 lost 2.8% and US indices slipped, the S&P 500 off 0.8% and the Nasdaq 0.7%. Sentiment soured at home too, with consumer confidence falling 5.2% and NAB's business conditions index turning negative for the first time in six years. ! BIGGEST SURPRISES — The bond sell-off deepened, even as the US Treasury tripled its long-dated buyback operation to US$6 billion. The 10-year yield pushed toward 5%, its highest since mid-2007. In-line August CPI of 3.4% did little to help, lifting the odds of a September Fed hike to around 85%. Meanwhile, Australian 10-year yields climbed to 5.37%, their highest since 2011. ◎ WHAT TO WATCH — It's a week packed with central bank decisions: the Fed on Wednesday (now favouring a hike), the Bank of England on Thursday (expected to hold), and the Bank of Japan on Friday (tipped to hike). RBA Governor Bullock fronts a parliamentary committee on Friday, and New Zealand's Q2 GDP lands Thursday. ◈ BIGGER PICTURE — Markets are still focused on the global repricing of interest rate risk, with the return of oil prices stoking inflation fears and driving bond yields higher. Central banks are leaning hawkish — the Fed, the RBA, and even the Bank of Japan — putting pressure on borrowers. With three hikes already hitting Australians this year, there’s a growing gap between a slowing real economy and still-rising rates. Disclaimer: Sharesies Market Movements is brought to you by Sharesies Australia Limited (ABN 94 648 811 830; AFSL 529893) in Australia and Sharesies Limited (NZ) in New Zealand. This video is general market commentary and educational in nature. It is not financial advice and does not take into account your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. Information is current at the time of recording and may be subject to change. We do not provide recommendations and nothing in this video should be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell any financial product. Investing involves risk. You might lose the money you start with. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. If you require personal financial advice, you should consider speaking with a qualified financial adviser. Our disclosure documents and terms and conditions, including a Target Market Determination and IDPS Guide for Sharesies Australian customers, are available on our relevant Australian or NZ website. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Peter Schiff Show Podcast
I'm Banned From Fox News for This Forecast... It Just Came True

The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 13, 2026 61:42 Transcription Available


Fox dropped Peter for saying inflation would accelerate. August CPI proved it. Now an 88% rate hike, 19-year-high yields, and $100 oil.

Capital Markets Quickie
[196-2026] Sticky at 3.4%: Markets Rally Anyway as the Fed Hike Becomes a Done Deal

Capital Markets Quickie

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2026 2:37


August CPI came in at 3.4% with core at 2.4%, cementing expectations for a Fed rate hike at next week's meeting. Stocks rallied anyway as oil retreated from nearly $110 Brent, with the Dow jumping 1% to snap its longest losing streak since late April, though all major indexes still posted weekly losses.>>> Follow me on LinkedIn:https://www.linkedin.com/in/endrit-cela/>>> Follow me on Instagram:https://www.instagram.com/endritcela_official/Disclaimer for "Capital Markets Quickie" Podcast:The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are based on information available at the time of recording and reflect the personal perspectives of the host. They do not represent the viewpoints of any other projects, cooperations, or affiliations the host may be involved in. "Capital Markets Quickie" does not offer financial advice. Before making any financial decisions, please conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.

Squawk on the Street
9AM HOUR: Remembering 9/11 25 Years Later, Inflation Watch, Oracle's AI-Fueled Rally 9/11/26

Squawk on the Street

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2026 42:15


Carl Quintanilla, Jim Cramer and David Faber remembered a tragic day in U.S. history: 25 years ago, the September 11 terror attacks killed almost 3,000 people. The anchors shared their recollections of that day.The program aired a montage of how CNBC covered the attacks in 2001. Moments of silence were observed in New York City and at the Pentagon, NYSE, Nasdaq and CBOE. Also in focus: Stocks jump as oil prices pull back; August CPI inflation data ahead of next week's Fed decision on interest rates; Diesel surpasses $6 per gallon for the first time; Oracle shares rallied on a quarterly beat fueled by AI demand; The latest on AI fears; "Faber Report" — sources say Leopold Aschenbrenner's firm Situational Awareness has been buying options positions in certain stocks. Find out which ones David is talking about.Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

FactSet Evening Market Recap
Weekly Market Recap - Friday, 11-Sep

FactSet Evening Market Recap

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2026 4:49


US equities were lower this week, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq snapping two-week winning streaks. Iran conflict and energy-market spillovers remained a major market headwind, with increased kinetic activity and dwindling diplomatic off-ramps pushing WTI and Brent above $100 and US diesel above $6/gallon. August CPI came in slightly hotter than expected and strengthened the case for a September Fed hike.

The Financial Exchange Show
Fed's Next Move Gets Murkier After CPI Report

The Financial Exchange Show

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2026 38:30 Transcription Available


CPI came in close to expectations, but one noisy piece of the report is raising new questions about whether the Fed will actually hike rates next week.Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong discuss why August CPI may not give the Fed a clean answer, how wireless phone services distorted the super core inflation reading, and why diesel prices could make September inflation look very different. They also break down Oracle's AI spending challenge, why Congress is waking up to AI risks, how bad actors are already misusing AI tools, the future of Social Security and retirement, NIL money flowing into college athletes' real estate purchases, and Paul LaMonica's look at a new UC Investments ETF strategy.

TD Ameritrade Network
Service Inflation, a Spending Divide, and a Fed Ready to Act

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2026 7:17


Stephen Kates and Brian Mandelbaum unpack the August CPI report, noting that service inflation continues to rise despite tame top-line numbers. They highlight the stark spending divide between affluent and lower-income households, the impact of rising fuel prices on transportation and retail names like Amazon (AMZN) and Walmart (WMT), and Kates's view that a unanimous Fed vote on rate hikes would signal stronger resolve.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

CNBC Business News Update
Market Open: Stocks Up, August CPI As Expected, Oil Slips • 9/11/26

CNBC Business News Update

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2026 3:41


CNBC Business News Update with Jessica Ettinger - Markets & Business News With Expert Analysis From Top Business Names. Visit CNBC.com For More. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Rethinking the Dollar
81%?! The Fed Rate Hike Odds Just Exploded

Rethinking the Dollar

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2026 19:34


August CPI held at 3.4% YoY but jumped 0.4% MoM, with energy prices driving much of the increase. Markets now price roughly an 81% chance of a 25 bps September Fed rate hike.

On Point
ep 395 | The week ahead - The report that could determine the Fed's next move

On Point

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 6, 2026 15:36


After a much stronger than expected US jobs report last week, investors will be laser focused on the August CPI report this week. This is the last major inflation reading ahead of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision the following week, and it could determine whether they choose to hike or hold.

Economy Watch
The US leaks momentum on inflation threats

Economy Watch

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 26, 2026 5:02


Shutterstock Track 1219389 Monetization ID TFGEPGEI0LHEIJAI Kia ora. Welcome to Thursday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand. I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from interest.co.nz. Today we lead with news of more data that suggests the US economy is not regaining any momentum, and may be about to be tested by record high diesel prices. US mortgage application levels dipped again last week from the prior week, mainly due to much lower refinancing levels as the high (6.78%) mortgage interest rates stay firm at these levels and a one year high. Meanwhile US PCE inflation stayed up in July at 3.7% when it was expected to show a small dip. The month-on-month rise was much more than expected. Personal spending rose +5.8% while personal disposable incomes were up +4.2%.from a year ago. So the squeeze continues, and although masked by inflation, many households will be feeling it. And US diesel prices are now at record highs. US GDP Q2-2026 second estimate came in at a modest +1.5%, and unchanged from its first estimate. Marginally stronger consumer spending was offset by weaker investment and more imports. The US July durable goods order report came in positively, up +12.9% from the same month a year ago. But without aircraft or defense, it was up +8.7%. Capital goods orders on the same basis were up +13.5%, probably reflecting data center activity. US crude oil stocks were little-changed last week, a bit less than the modest rise expected. Diesel stocks have hit record lows. Meanwhile, Meta has agreed to an US$18 bln penalty to be paid over the next decade to resolve claims it designed its social media platforms to addict children. It will change the way it interacts with children. Four of the states who brought the court claim - California, Colorado, Kentucky and New Jersey - were expected to seek substantial civil penalties as wells. In China, they have China has opened applications for an ¥800 bln policy-based financing tool for local government projects to shore up its slowing economic growth. But there are questions about how much impact this will have in 2026. Singaporean industrial production extended its very positive run in July, up +5.8% from the same month a year ago and gains similar to most month in 2026. In Australia, inflation fell in July as expected but not by as much as expected. Their June 3.8% rate fell to 3.5% in July but still well above the expected 3.2% rate assumed by financial markets. That gave the AUD a bounce, likely on the basis that the RBA's tolerance for still-high inflation may be about to get tested. The next RBA rate review is on September 29 however, and the August CPI data won't actually be known by then (September 30) - by the markets, at least. The RBA's inflation target is "between 2 and 3 percent", but it has been over 3% consistently every month for more than a year now. Global wheat prices are up sharply again today, and to new post-pandemic highs, as Black Sea shipments from both Russia and Ukraine have essentially stopped and prospects for resumption look grim. The UST 10yr yield is now just on 4.67%, up +3 bps from yesterday at this time. The 30 year yield is at 5.19%, up +1 bp. The price of gold is now at US$4603/oz, down -US$45 from yesterday at this time. Silver has fallen -US$1 to just over US$68/oz. Oil prices are up +50 USc from yesterday at just over US$82.50/bbl in the US, while the international Brent price is unchanged at US$88.50/bbl. The Kiwi dollar is down -30 bps from yesterday at just over 59.4 USc. Against the Aussie we are down -50 bps at 82.9 AUc. Against the euro we are down -20 bps at 51 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just under 62.9, down -30 bps from this time yesterday. The bitcoin price starts today at US$78,459 and down -0.5% from yesterday at this time. Volatility over the past 24 hours has remained modest at just on +/-1.1%. You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz. Kia ora. I'm David Chaston and we'll do this again tomorrow. Track 1219389 Monetization ID TFGEPGEI0LHEIJAI Audio soundtrack opening is licensed from Shutterstock, Track 1219389 Monetization ID TFGEPGEI0LHEIJAI

Stay Winning | A Financial Health Podcast
45. July 2026 CPI: What It Means for Rates, Stocks, and Cryptos

Stay Winning | A Financial Health Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2026 8:04


Sponsor: https://portal.costsegregationguys.com/r/staywinningJuly 2026 CPI Cools to 3.4%: September Fed Hike Odds Drop, Stocks Mildly Up, Bitcoin SteadyThe July 2026 CPI report showed headline inflation at 3.4% year over year (down from 3.5% in June) and 0.1% month over month, while core CPI came in at 2.5% annually and 0.2% monthly, matching forecasts and easing fears of renewed acceleration. The script explains that inflation is still above the Fed's 2% target and prices are still rising, just more slowly, with a subtle caution that core goods turned positive for the first time in three months. After the release, September rate hike odds fell from roughly 55%–60%+ to about 40%–44%, with futures implying around a 55% chance the Fed holds rates in the 3.5%–3.75% range; August CPI in September is highlighted as the next key input. Stocks reacted mildly and Bitcoin held near $64,000.00:00 CPI Report Overview00:56 Key Inflation Numbers01:44 What CPI Means02:45 September Hike Odds04:12 Sponsor Message05:10 Stocks and Bitcoin06:59 Final Recap

CommSec
Market Close 23 Sep 25: Local market's winning streak extends to a 3rd day

CommSec

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 23, 2025 8:13


Steve welcomes listeners to a Tuesday lift, as the ASX200 gains about 0.4 %. Mining and banks lead gains, while tech lags and consumer staples lose. The market feels the drag of a 25 % drop in Myer shares after a 30 % plunge in profits, plus a 5 % dip in Regis amid aged‑care fund fears. Tomorrow’s focus: August CPI data, US manufacturing figures, and dividends from Woodside Energy and Suncorp. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

CommBank Global Economic & Markets Update podcast
Aussie Weekly - Softer labour market data ahead of CPI

CommBank Global Economic & Markets Update podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 19, 2025 12:10


Belinda Allen and Harry Ottley discuss August's Labor Force data, which showed steady unemployment at 4.2% but softer employment and participation. They explore implications for the RBA, population growth normalising faster than expected, and what that means for labour supply. Looking ahead, they preview the August CPI indicator, expecting a slight easing to 2.7%, and highlight market services inflation as a key focus. Overall, the outlook remains positive with inflation near target and growth improving.   Disclaimer:    Important Information   This podcast is approved and distributed by Global Economic & Markets Research (“GEMR”), a business division of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 AFSL 234945 (“the Bank”).  Before listening to this podcast, you are advised to read the full GEMR disclaimers, which can be found at www.commbankresearch.com.au.   No Reliance  This podcast is not investment research and nor does it purport to make any recommendations. Rather, this podcast is for informational purposes only and is not to be relied upon for any investment purposes.  This podcast does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. It is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial products, or as a recommendation, and/or investment advice. You should not act on the information in this podcast.   The Bank believes that the information in this podcast is correct and any opinions, conclusions or recommendations made are reasonably held at the time given, and are based on the information available at the time of its compilation. No representation or warranty, either expressed or implied, is made or provided as to accuracy, reliability or completeness of any statement made.  Liability Disclaimer  The Bank does not accept any liability for any loss or damage arising out of any error or omission in or from the information provided or arising out of the use of all or part of the podcast.  

MoneywebNOW
FOMC meeting shows rising tensions at the Fed

MoneywebNOW

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 18, 2025 20:41


Perpetua's Pooja Tanna unpacks last night's FOMO rate call and Fed chair Powell's remarks. Prescient's Vishal Rama weighs in on the MPC decision later today – could the stronger-than-expected August CPI open the door to a rate cut? PwC's Basheena Bhoola on their new Telecommunications Sentiment Index, revealing service and network quality as customers' top priorities.

The Peter Schiff Show Podcast
Charlie Kirk Was Right - Ep 1041

The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2025 76:50 Transcription Available


Peter Schiff critiques the August CPI report, warns of rising inflation, and reflects on the tragic assassination of Charlie Kirk.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free ebook “navigating global trade: 3 insights for leaders” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the latest economic insights surrounding the August Consumer Price Data and its implications for Federal Reserve policy. He critiques government labor market statistics, asserting their unreliability and the significant discrepancies between reported job growth and actual economic conditions. Schiff discusses the potential repercussions of anticipated rate cuts, the rising concerns over inflation, and the implications for gold and silver investments. He also reflects on recent tragic events, including the assassination of prominent political commentator Charlie Kirk, highlighting the societal implications of such violence. Tune in as Schiff navigates these pressing topics, offering his unfiltered perspective on the current economic landscape and its future trajectory.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:58 Anticipation of August Consumer Price Data01:43 Analysis of CPI Report and Fed's Inflation Target03:26 Critique of Government Data and Labor Market04:53 Impact of Job Market on Fed's Rate Decisions07:05 Historical Context and Fed's Policy Shifts07:50 Market Reactions and Predictions22:48 Gold and Silver Investment Insights27:33 Performance of Gold Stocks vs. S&P 50037:22 Economic Outlook and Policy Implications39:38 Economic Challenges and Predictions40:45 The Future of Gold and Inflation42:44 Government Jobs and Economic Impact45:04 Trump's Renaming of Departments47:08 Remembering 9/11 and Its Aftermath48:25 The Tragic Assassination of Charlie Kirk53:18 Racial Double Standards in Media01:02:14 Impact of Welfare Policies on Black Families01:16:49 Concluding Thoughts and ReflectionsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#CharlieKirk #Inflation #EconomicOutlookOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

FactSet U.S. Daily Market Preview
Financial Market Preview - Friday 12-Sep

FactSet U.S. Daily Market Preview

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2025 4:32


US equity futures are flat. Asia ended broadly higher, and European equities opened mostly firmer. Focus remains on US monetary policy as August CPI showed a hotter headline but core inflation in line, reinforcing expectations for a 25 bp rate cut at next week's Fed meeting; Weekly jobless claims rose to their highest since 2021, adding to signs of labor market softening and helping markets price ~70 bp of cuts through year-end; On trade, the EU is unlikely to impose new tariffs on China and India over Russian crude purchases despite US pressure, though talks continue with Switzerland, Taiwan, and India; Overseas, ECB left rates unchanged, and political headlines included UK PM Starmer facing scrutiny after sacking US ambassador Mandelson, and French opposition leader Le Pen signaling willingness to work with PM Lecornu.Companies Mentioned: PepsiCo, ITC Ltd, +OpenAI, Nvidia, Microsoft

Squawk Box Europe Express
U.S. August CPI up, raising hopes of Fed rate cut

Squawk Box Europe Express

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2025 27:53


U.S. core inflation data comes in as expected while unemployment claims are almost at 4-year highs which boosts hopes of a Fed rate cut next week. Global equities respond by pushing into the green. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is set to hold talks with Chinese Vice-Premier He Lifeng in Madrid next week. Top of the agenda will be trade, security and Tik Tok's presence in the U.S.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Squawk on the Street
Inflation and Jobs Watch, Oracle After the Huge Rally, Remembering 9/11 9/11/25

Squawk on the Street

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2025 41:32


On a record-setting day for the S&P 500, Carl Quintanilla, Jim Cramer and David Faber discussed market reaction to key economic data: August CPI rose year-on-year while weekly jobless claims jumped to levels not seen in four years. AI in the spotlight one day after shares of Oracle soared 36%, adding $224 billion to its market cap and making founder Larry Ellison $100 billion wealthier. On a somber day for the United States, the anchors remembered the September 11 attacks which occurred 24 years ago. Also in focus: Day two for Klarna after its shares rose 15% in its public debut, a downgrade for Apple, one CEO's take on a "terrible consumer experience," Jim previews his visit to Corning's Kentucky plant that makes glass for Apple devices, the manhunt for the shooter who killed political activist Charlie Kirk.Squawk on the Street Disclaimer

TD Ameritrade Network
Labor vs Inflation: The Fed's Dual Mandate and What it Means for Rate Cuts

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2025 6:20


"The labor side is where we should be focused on," says Jack Janasiewicz. He reacts to the latest weekly jobless claims that saw a nearly 30k upside surprise, while August CPI data revealed consumer prices rose at an annual rate of 2.9%. Jack provides his roadmap for the Fed's potential rate cut plan in 2025 and into 2026. In terms of market volatility, he says there could be an argument that there is a "sense of complacency" based off of low implied volatility. Jack says his investing approach is more neutral at the moment, but says he's willing to be better buyers on any weakness.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

TD Ameritrade Network
Pre-CPI Early Put Flows, NVDA Upgrade Before Thursday's Open

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2025 7:07


"We haven't seen a lack of liquidity," says Kevin Green. He kicks off Morning Movers with a look at this week's rally bucking historical seasonality trends in September, being fueled by Oracle (ORCL) and the A.I. trade. To the upside, KG's watching $6575 for the S&P 500 (SPX) with $6485 as a potential downside range. He says rotation patterns taking place could be pretty "mechanical" but admits that upside momentum appears to be continuing. Later, KG reacts to a Street upgrade for Nvidia (NVDA) before previewing the August CPI print.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Economy Watch
Stagflation lurks in the US, deflation lurks in China

Economy Watch

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 7, 2025 7:21


Kia ora,Welcome to Monday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news American right-wing swamp populism is driving the world's economy into a blind alley. Other countries are trying to figure out how to separate themselves from that.In the week ahead, financial markets will be assessing the risks of stagflation after the weaker labour market report in the US, and the growing expectation that inflation's new rise will pick up steam. In the US we will get August CPI and PPI data at the end of the week and their core CPI rate could well rise from its July 3.1% rate. That data will be put in context with the next University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey update.Inflation data from both China and India is also due, but little upward pressure is expected to be seen from either of them. In China, new initiatives on support measures to keep their economy from stuttering are expected this week largely to fend of deflationary pressures.The ECB will be reviewing its policy rates this week, but no change is expected. Inflation is no threat there, giving them options.Over the weekend we got a keenly anticipated American update on their labour market. It turned out that analysts were right to think the low forecast of a +75,000 rise in US non-farm jobs was optimistic. In fact they came in at +22,000 for August. June data was revised down by -27,000 and the change for July was revised up by +6,000. With these revisions, employment in June and July combined is 21K lower than previously reported. Trump's firing of the agency that reports this data isn't changing the sharp trend lower. Trump now has to own this trend.In fact, the total jobs added in May, June, July and August in 2025 is about the same as was added in August 2024 alone. For them its a concerning trajectory but it can all be traced to junk public policy.Worse, the data shows that manufacturing jobs fell -12,000 in August with clearly no sign of factory jobs reshoring.If we look at the unadjusted data for civilian employment - which accounts for more than just those on employer payrolls, the July to August change was a -511,000 reduction. It's a time when the self-employed are really struggling.All this downbeat data is reflected in the financial markets on Friday. Wall Street was down -0.3%, bond yields fell sharply again, and the USD weakened. The pall spread to Europe too where they are digesting the latest US strategic insult.The chance of a rate cut by the Fed has now become a certainty in financial market pricing as the central bank is scrambling to contain the growing fiscal mess which looks like it is going to be much larger than feared, and much sooner. A full -25 bps rate cut is priced in for the mid-September meeting, and another before the end of the year. Trump will get his rate cuts because of his actions to tank the US economy. But there are voting members who still insist that inflation should be contained before they cut. The next US CPI data is due in a week and the current +2.7% inflation rate is widely expected to rise to 2.9% and a core rate back over 3.0% which emphasises the risks stagflation's effects are hurting the world's largest economy.It was no better in Canada where payroll employment fell -65,500 in August from July largely due to a sharp fall in part-time employment (-59,700). The trade shock with the US is getting the blame here too.In Canada they watch the Ivey PMI closely and that shifted from a modest expansion in July to none in August. But at least it wasn't contracting. Consistent with their official jobs data, the employment sub-component of this PMI was contracting.A -25 bps rate cut there is also priced in before the end of 2025. Canadian August inflation is expected to come in little-changed at 1.7% on September 16, 2025.The Canadian government is taking an activist approach to protecting their economy with a major support announcement on Friday.Data out across the Pacific was far more encouraging. Singapore said its retail activity expanded far more than expected in July, and is now up +4.1% from June, up +4.8% from a year ago. It has been on a rising trend for almost all of 2025.And China said its fx reserves rose to US$3.32 tln in August, its highest since late 2015. And it purchased a bit more gold in the month, helped by the rise in the gold price of course, which adds another US$2.5 tln to to reserves which now total US$3.64 tln.In Australia, extended June quarter labour market data showed that the number of total jobs there increased +0.3% to 16.3 million. Filled jobs rose +0.2% to 16.0 million where secondary jobs decreased -1.2% to 1.0 million and multiple job-holders decreased -1.3% to 948,900. Hours worked increased +0.3% to 6.0 billion hours in the quarterThe FAO global food price monitoring shows that in August overall prices were stable and just marginally higher than where they ended 2024. Dairy prices look like they have peaked but meat prices are still rising driven by beef and sheep meats.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.09%, unchanged from yesterday at this time. That makes the weekly backslide -14 bps and to a five month low. The price of gold will start today at US$3,585/oz, down -US$7 from Saturday and just off its record high. That is up almost +US$150 from a week ago and a sharp +4.4% risk aversion rise for the week.American oil prices are a bit softer at just under US$62/bbl on the struggling US domestic prospects with the international Brent price also softer just on US$65.50/bbl. A big new burst of crude production is on its way too.The Kiwi dollar is at just over 58.9 USc and little-changed from Saturday. Against the Aussie we are also unchanged at 89.9 AUc. Against the euro we are holding at 50.3 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just under 66.4, up +10 bps from Saturday.The bitcoin price starts today at US$111,046 and down a mere +0.1% from this time Saturday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been low at just on +/- 0.6%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

CommBank Global Economic & Markets Update podcast
Weekly: RBA and August CPI deep dive

CommBank Global Economic & Markets Update podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 29, 2024 16:14


Last week the RBA held rates and the August monthly CPI dipped to 2.7%/yr, both as expected. Belinda Allen and Stephen Wu from the Australian Economics team deep dive into the RBA meeting, including a less hawkish press conference as well as the broadening disinflation trend in the August data. Stephen also discusses how the energy rebates will impact household consumption over the third quarter, how this differs to RBA forecasts and the upcoming retail trade data.   ------ DISCLAIMER ------ Before listening to this podcast, you are advised to read the full Global Economic & Markets Research (GEMR) disclaimers which can be found at www.commbankresearch.com.au. Information in this podcast is of a general nature only. It does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs and does not constitute personal financial advice. This podcast provides general market-related information, and is not investment research and nor does it purport to make any recommendations. The information contained in this podcast is approved and distributed by Global Economic & Markets Research (GEMR), a business division of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 AFSL 234945 (“the Bank”). The information is solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial products. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. Where ‘CBA data' is cited, this refers to the Bank proprietary data that is sourced from the Bank's internal systems and may include, but not be limited to, home loan data, credit card transaction data, merchant facility transaction data and applications for credit. As analysis is based on CBA customer transactions,  it may not reflect all trends in the market. All customer data used or represented in this podcast is anonymised before analysis and is used, and disclosed, in accordance with the Group's Privacy Policy Statement. The Bank believes that the information in this podcast is correct and any opinions, conclusions or recommendations are reasonably held based on the information available at the time of its compilation but no representation or warranty, either expressed or implied, is made or provided as to accuracy, reliability or completeness of any statement made.  

Global Data Pod
Global Data Pod Research Rap: Inflation Monitor

Global Data Pod

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 24, 2024 28:28


Nora Szentivanyi and Greg Fuzesi discuss their takeaways from the August CPI reports and how the incoming data are shaping the outlook for global inflation and monetary policy. Global headline inflation stepped down to 2.9%oya, helped by lower energy prices, while core inflation moved sideways at 3.1%. The monthly pace of core CPI gains firmed marginally to 0.3%, but remains on track to ease in line with our forecasts for a moderation to 2.8%ar this quarter from a 3.4%ar pace in the first half of the year. While the recent slide in US core inflation stands out, there has been some encouraging progress with respect to services disinflation in a number of other countries too. In this episode we discuss the Euro area's inflation dynamics in more detail and what it means for the ECB. This podcast was recorded on Sept 24, 2024. This communication is provided for information purposes only.  Institutional clients can view the related reports at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4801321-0 https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4799070-0 https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4794311-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

FactSet Evening Market Recap
Weekly Market Recap, Friday 13-Sep

FactSet Evening Market Recap

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 13, 2024 5:10


US equities ended higher this week with big tech leading the way on the heels of some positive AI momentum and amid oversold conditions, after the S&P 500 posted its worst performance last week since March of 2023, and the Nasdaq since January of 2022. The August CPI report was a big highlight of the week ahead of Wednesday's September FOMC meeting. August headline CPI was largely in line while monthly core was hotter, with shelter prices the significant component of the core rise, and airline fares higher after five months of declines.

C.O.B. Tuesday
"We're An All-Of-The-Above Firm" Featuring Jack Belcher, John Sandell and Sarah Venuto, Cornerstone Government Affairs

C.O.B. Tuesday

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2024 65:19


Today we had the pleasure of hosting the team from Cornerstone Government Affairs for an engaging discussion on energy policy and the upcoming US Presidential Election with Jack Belcher, Principal, John Sandell, Principal, and Sarah Venuto, Principal and Counsel. Cornerstone is an independent bipartisan consulting firm specializing in federal and state government relations, public affairs, political and grant consulting, and business advisory services. Jack, John and Sarah are seasoned experts in navigating the complexities of Washington DC. Jack has over 30 years of experience in energy and energy policy and previously held roles as Manager of Regulatory Affairs and Policy at Shell and Staff Director for the US House Subcommittee on Energy and Mineral Resources. John is an expert in tax policy and formerly served the members of the US House Committee on Ways and Means. Sarah previously served as Director of the Office of External Affairs at the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, Senior Advisor and Chief Counsel to Senator Joe Manchin, and Democratic Staff Director for the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee. We were thrilled to connect with the Cornerstone team to explore this timely and important topic. Our conversation centered on a report Cornerstone published entitled “A Guide to Forecasting Energy Policy In The Next White House: Trump V. Harris” (linked here). Jack first provides background on Cornerstone's history and growth into the largest independent government relations firm in DC. We touch on the implications of the Chevron Deference case on regulatory agencies, its significance for future energy policy and regulation, and how it will impact Congress and the need for additional technical expertise there. We cover the complexities of Presidential Administration changes and challenges of transitioning political appointments, the future of the Inflation Reduction Act under different administrations, and efforts to streamline permitting and infrastructure development. Jack, John and Sarah offer their insights on how a Trump or Harris administration might approach energy policy and rising energy prices for businesses and consumers. We discuss areas of bipartisan support including nuclear energy, tariffs, alternative fuels, and competition with China, how the next administration might balance state-level initiatives with national policy, the upcoming 2025 Tax Debate led by the Ways and Means Committee, and much more. It was an insightful discussion and we want to thank Jack, John and Sarah for sharing their perspectives and time with us on a busy day in DC. Mike Bradley opened the conversation by highlighting that broader equity markets were down Tuesday driven by JPMorgan Chase's cautious comments. In the bond market, the 10-year U.S. bond yield traded at ~3.65, down 20-30bps in recent weeks. The U.S. 2yr/10yr yield bond spread flipped back to positive after two years of inversion, this type of flip after a lengthy period of backwardation tends to precede recessions. He noted the importance of this week's economic reports with August CPI & PPI and Initial Jobless Claims reporting over the next couple of days. On crude oil, he also shared a chart of the WTI crude oil curve and noted that the curve structure had flattened out through 2035, primarily due to concerns over global/China oil demand after being in steep backwardation over the prior 3mo, 6mo & 12mo periods. He concluded by mentioning that crude oil prices were technically oversold, with traders remaining bearish but waiting for significant changes in global oil demand to unwind net short bets. Jeff Tillery built on Mike's comments and noted the demand concerns and OPEC's spare capacity reducing upside optionality for long-term investors. Brett Rampal highlighted a significant

Schwab Market Update Audio
Chips Come to Rescue After Early CPI-Linked Losses

Schwab Market Update Audio

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2024 10:12


Wall Street is three for three this week, gaining today despite a sharp early decline following a mixed August CPI report. Chip stocks led, helped by positive Nvidia comments.Important DisclosuresInformation on this site is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered individualized recommendations or personalized investment advice. The type of securities and investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review a security transaction for his or her own particular situation. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic and geo-political conditions.Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.All corporate names are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.

FactSet Evening Market Recap
Evening Market Recap - Tuesday, 10-Sept

FactSet Evening Market Recap

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 10, 2024 4:16


US equities were mostly higher in Tuesday trading, though ended near best levels after reversing midday weakness. Today also saw rotation back into tech/semis/AI trade following well received Oracle earnings. Some underwhelming banking sector updates, weak auto guidance out of Europe and softness in commodities. Next big catalysts are tonight's presidential debate and tomorrow's release of August CPI.

Stay Wealthy
What the Media Won't Tell You About Inflation

Stay Wealthy

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 27, 2023 12:27


Last June, inflation hit a 40-year high of 9.1%. Since then, it's been falling month over month, hitting 3.2% in July of this year. The Fed's aggressive rate hikes seemed to be doing their job, and their 2% inflation target appeared to be in sight. But then, the August CPI report came out a few weeks ago... ...and we saw inflation spike, jumping up to 3.7%. What happened? Where does inflation go from here? And should we be worried about this recent uptick? --- WANT MORE RETIREMENT PLANNING TIPS? Join thousands of listeners and subscribe to the Stay Wealthy Retirement Newsletter. As a thank you, you'll receive a copy of my 2023 Tax Planning Cheatsheet.

Global Data Pod
Global Data Pod Research Rap: Inflation Monitor

Global Data Pod

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 26, 2023 16:47


Nora Szentivanyi and Michael Hanson discuss the main takeaways from the August CPI reports and the inflation outlook for the coming quarter.    This podcast was recorded on September 26, 2023. This communication is provided for information purposes only.  Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4520743-0  for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2023 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved.

FactSet Evening Market Recap
Weekly Market Recap - Friday, 15-Sep

FactSet Evening Market Recap

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 15, 2023 4:59


US equities were mostly lower in up and down trading this week, with the S&P and Nasdaq finishing back below their 50-day moving averages. The August CPI report garnered the most attention, with the headline coming in largely in line with expectations (though driven higher by recent strength in energy prices) but the core printing was a little hotter than consensus. Nevertheless, analysts had little sense the release would change the Fed's thinking about a likely hold at next week's FOMC meeting.

Monday Morning Minutes
MMM Episode 133: Looking Under the Hood of Gas-Powered CPI

Monday Morning Minutes

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 15, 2023 33:57


DoubleLine Portfolio Managers Jeffery Mayberry and Samuel Lau kick off the episode with a nod to the 15th anniversary of Lehmann Brothers' bankruptcy filing (Sept. 15, 2008) before running down the market week of Sept. 11-15. For their Topic of the Week* (16:48), Jeff and Sam break down the just-released August CPI print, with a look at headline, core and supercore readings; a discussion of the BEA publishing a supercore PCE price index, its current favorite metric (22:06); and a rundown of various Fed bank CPI prints (24:15): median, trimmed mean, flexible and sticky. On the market week, the S&P 500 (1:21) was slightly down, with utilities up and tech down. On the fixed income side (2:33), the Agg was down for the week while bank loans continued their strong year. Commodities (4:45) continued their second-half surge, and WTI crude's sticky $90 handle is spotlighted as well as the factors boosting oil. Over in Macro Land (10:11), topics include retail sales numbers goosed by gas; jobless claims; and the Producer Price Index, which had its lowest year-over-year core print since January 2021. No Fedspeak this week heading into next week's FOMC meeting, but there were some interesting shifts in rate hike expectations (15:26) for the remainder of the year. Next week will also bring jobless claims, the August LEI numbers and global PMI prints (28:05). This episode was recorded after market close on Sept. 15, 2023. *For more discussion of the CPI, check out Episode 13 on the owners' equivalent rent component, Episode 19 on Fed banks' sticky and flexible readings, Episode 30 on the impact of housing prices, Episode 102 on weighting mechanisms and Episode 104 on supercore inflation.

Marketplace All-in-One
Car repairflation

Marketplace All-in-One

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 14, 2023 7:26


One spending category that is seeing inflated costs compared to last year, according to the August CPI, is motor vehicle repairs. We’ll visit a mechanic to find out why. Hint: New car parts are a lot more expensive than they used to be. Plus, congressional leaders are working on AI regulations and some C-suite execs see climate change disruptions as, frankly, not their problem.

ai august cpi
Marketplace Morning Report
Car repairflation

Marketplace Morning Report

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 14, 2023 7:26


One spending category that is seeing inflated costs compared to last year, according to the August CPI, is motor vehicle repairs. We’ll visit a mechanic to find out why. Hint: New car parts are a lot more expensive than they used to be. Plus, tech giants met with congressional leaders to talk AI regulations and some C-suite execs see climate change disruptions as, frankly, not their problem.

ai august cpi
Real Vision Presents...
An Upside Surprise for August CPI with Tom Thornton

Real Vision Presents...

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 13, 2023 37:20


The Dividend Cafe
The DC Today - Wednesday, September 13, 2023

The Dividend Cafe

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 13, 2023 7:23


Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/44MsGRn Today was a heavily anticipated news day for markets, with August CPI coming largely in line with expectations at .6% on headline inflation for the month and 3.7% year-over-year. As we had expected, higher energy prices moved that headline number, with gasoline specifically up 10.5%, which accounted for almost half of the total move higher in CPI. The Fed pays more attention to core CPI (ex food and energy), which was up .3% on the month and stands now at 4.3% y/y. All said, we got about what we had expected today: decreasing shelter costs offset a rise in energy prices to some degree, and Fed futures didn't budge much. Yields were up a few basis points across most of the curve, and stocks held in. Links mentioned in this episode: TheDCToday.com DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

fed cpi yields august cpi
Worldwide Exchange
August CPI, Apple's Product Lineup, and Recession Expectations 9/13/23

Worldwide Exchange

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 13, 2023 44:37


The big market story of the morning is the August CPI print. Van Lanschot Kempen's Anneka Treon and Decatur Capital's Degas Wright discuss. Plus, Apple has unveiled a lineup of new products, including the iPhone 15 and a new Apple Watch. D.A. Davidson's Tom Forte breaks down the impact on the stock. And, despite dwindling recession expectations, investors have been forced to re-evaluate their finances. Leavell Investment Management's Andrew Grinstead explains.

Inside Markets
Wednesday September 13 2023

Inside Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 13, 2023 6:07


This morning's August CPI print did little to shift the inflation narrative in either direction.   Would you like to learn more about Jackson Square Capital or receive Inside Markets as a daily email? Join the Jackson Square Capital community by sending an email to hello@jacksonsquarecap.com.

august cpi
Tech Path Podcast
1252. Inflation Data vs Crypto & Tech Stocks w/Gareth Soloway | Technical Analysis

Tech Path Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 13, 2023 22:33


As you know, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change in prices of consumer goods and services over time. The August CPI reading of 0.6% was in line with economist expectations, but it was higher than the 0.2% increase in July. On a year-over-year basis, CPI inflation rose to 3.7%, which was higher than the 3.6% forecast and the 3.2% increase in July.This higher inflation reading is a bit concerning, as it could put pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates more aggressively in order to cool the economy and bring inflation under control. This could have a negative impact on both crypto and tech stocks.Cryptocurrencies are often seen as a hedge against inflation, but they can also be volatile assets. If interest rates rise, it could make cryptocurrencies less attractive to investors, as they would be looking for assets that offer a higher yield.Tech stocks are also sensitive to interest rate hikes, as they can make it more expensive for companies to borrow money and invest in growth. Additionally, higher interest rates could lead to a slowdown in economic growth, which could hurt demand for tech products and services.So, what does this mean for investors?Well, it's important to stay informed about the latest inflation data and how it could affect the markets. If you're invested in crypto or tech stocks, you may want to consider taking some profits off the table or moving your money into safer assets, such as bonds.It's also important to remember that the impact of inflation data on crypto and tech stocks is not always clear-cut. There are a number of factors that can influence the market, and the reaction to the data could vary depending on the specific circumstances.So, stay calm, stay informed, and don't make any rash decisions. We'll be keeping an eye on the markets and will keep you updated on any developments.

The Financial Exchange Show
Should we be worried about inflation accelerating in August?

The Financial Exchange Show

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 13, 2023 37:43


Chuck Zodda and Marc Fandetti react to the release of the August CPI report which showed inflation accelerating over the month. The guys wonder how the Fed will respond at their next meeting. Morgan Stanley says 'Fed has done enough' and can lean into duration. Todd Lutsky stops by for 'Ask Todd'. Who is a revocable trust designed for? Will Massachusetts raise the estate tax exemption? What are the tax implications of being gifted a house?

Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition
Autoworkers Inch Closer to a Strike; House Republicans Launch Impeachment Probe

Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 13, 2023 17:12 Transcription Available


Your morning briefing. The news you need in just 15 minutes. On today's podcast: 1) Talks stall in Detroit as an autoworkers strike threatens the US economy 2) House Speaker Kevin McCarthy bypasses a House floor vote to move to an impeachment inquiry 3) Traders get ready for the August CPI before the Fed's next meeting See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Squawk on the Street
Cramer's Morning Take: The Future of AI 9/11/23

Squawk on the Street

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2023 3:11


Jim Cramer attends the Dreamforce Conference and talks with Jeff Marks about the future of AI. Plus, Jim previews the August CPI report set to come out this Wednesday. Become a CNBC Investing Club member to go behind the scenes with Jim Cramer and Jeff Marks as they talk candidly about the market's biggest headlines. Signup here: cnbc.com/morningtake  CNBC Investing Club Disclaimer

Worldwide Exchange
Oracle Earnings, Biden's Trip to Vietnam, and Key Inflation Data 9/11/23

Worldwide Exchange

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2023 44:38


Oracle reports earnings after the close today, with investors expecting double-digit cloud revenue growth. Bernstein's Mark Moerdler previews the results. Plus, President Biden is wrapping up a visit to Vietnam today after attending the G20 Summit in India this weekend. Center for Strategic and International Studies' Erin Murphy discusses. And, it's a busy week on Wall Street ahead of the August CPI print on Wednesday. Howard Capital Management's Vance Howard and Gabelli Funds' Chris Marangi explain.

The Dana Show with Dana Loesch
Tuesday September 13 - Full Show

The Dana Show with Dana Loesch

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 13, 2022 104:26


August CPI numbers show inflation hotter than expected, yet again. The White House throws a party to celebrate the Inflation Reduction Act. Tim Ryan says Democrats need to “confront and kill” the extreme Republican movement. The Pentagon tells service members to apply for food stamps. A Texas school district asks parents to submit how they are safely storing their firearms. The border is seeing more drownings than ever before.Please visit our great sponsors:American Hartford Gold https://offers.americanhartfordgold.com/dana/Call 1-866-887-1188 or text DANA to 998899 for up to $1500 in free Silver with qualifying first purchase. Black Rifle Coffee Companyhttps://blackriflecoffee.com/danaSave 20% off with code DANAHumanN- Tart Cherryhttps://buytartcherry.com/danaGet up to 35% off Tart Cherry Gummies plus Free Shipping.Kel Techttps://KelTecWeapons.comKelTec: Creating Innovative, Quality Firearms to help secure your world.MantisXhttps://mantisx.comBe competent and confident in your shooting ability with MantisX.Moinkhttps://moinkbox.com/danaGet free Filet Mignon for a year with promo code Dana.Patriot Mobile https://PatriotMobile.com/DanaFree Activation with promo code DANA. Patriotmobile.com/dana or call 972-PATRIOT.

Market Signals by LPL Financial
Inflation, Inflation, Inflation | LPL Market Signals

Market Signals by LPL Financial

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 13, 2022 24:27


LPL Research fixed income strategist Lawrence Gillum and chief economist Dr. Jeffrey Roach discuss what the higher than expected August CPI report means for the Fed, the markets, and if a soft landing is still in the cards. Tracking # 1-05325781