Podcasts about atlantic basin

In this episode, Will and Ed from The Officials dive into the upcoming OPEC+ meeting and the latest quota and compliance dynamics shaping oil markets - just days ahead of Saudi Arabia's anticipated OSP announcement. What's Covered:Why OPEC's production cuts remain central to price stabilityThe increasing tension between quota compliance and fiscal needs for producers like Iraq and KazakhstanSaudi Arabia's strategic positioning and growing frustration with non-compliant membersHow market expectations are shifting ahead of the June 5th OPEC meetingThe likely trajectory of Saudi OSPs amid structural softening in Dubai and late-month pricing dynamicsThe evolving Brent/Dubai differential and what it signals for Atlantic Basin and Middle East gradesThe ripple effects of China's tariffs on WTI, and the emerging demand from India and Korea 

The Memorial Day weekend in the US is often considered the kickoff to the summer driving season, a period of heightened gasoline demand where families take vacations and refiners profit on healthier margins. But how is the European supply and demand balance coping with changes in the global refining picture, as some European refineries shut down while production ramps up in Africa and further afield? Senior crude specialist Joey Daly speaks with European gasoline and WAF products specialist Matthew Tracey-Cook to discuss the current market dynamics in the Atlantic Basin and how they are affecting the European gasoline market.  The Refining Scenario Manager (RSM) allows for scenario modeling of any refinery globally, to optimize trading and operational decision-making.  Links: Platts Premium 10ppm FOB Rotterdam barges PGABM00 Platts Premium 10ppm FOB Mediterranean cargoes AAWZA00Platts Gasoline STS Lome ABNWG00 Gasoline exports to West Africa fall to 2-month low amid well supplied market (subscriber content)

With European stockpiles of gasoline reaching uncharacteristically high levels in recent weeks, Joel Hanley is joined in this episode by Ernest Puey and Matthew Tracey-Cook. Together, they delve into the factors driving the incentive to store gasoline and explore the latest shifts in the product's flows across the Atlantic Basin. Links: Platts 10ppm Premium AR barges - PGABM00 Platts Eurobob FOB ARA barges - AAQZV00 Platts Eurobob AR FOB barge derivative time spread - GAMBM01 London Energy Forum: https://commodityinsights.spglobal.com/LondonEnergy-Forum.html ARA gasoline stocks at multi-year high; naphtha stocks rise 8.1%: Insights Global European gasoline exports shift as Nigerian imports hit record low: CAS US President Trump to impose 25% tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada starting Feb 1

Vice President Kamala Harris's concession speech called for the country to accept the election results. Dozens of key House races have yet to be called and it could be days or weeks before the results are official. Rafael is the strongest hurricane in the Atlantic Basin this late in the year since 2020. Two poll workers were killed yesterday in Missouri when their vehicle was slept away by floodwaters. Plus, a postcard from someone who died on the Titanic is for sale.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

With a little over a month to go until the official end to Hurricane Season in the Atlantic Basin, will we see the final hurrah of tropical activity, or is there more to come? We recap how the season has been so far, why the forecast panned out the way it did, and give our last predictions for the remainder of the year.   Thanks for listening! Be sure to leave a comment and rate the podcast. If you want to get in contact with us, you can reach us at weatherlounge@weatherworksinc.com For more information about WeatherWorks, visit: weatherworksinc.com  Certified Snowfall Totals Past Weather Reports Also, check us out on Social Media! Twitter Facebook LinkedIn YouTube

Saturday Weather Update is the lead story on Saturday Travel and Cruise Industry News Podcast, Sep 28, 2024 with Chillie Falls. There are 4 systems in the Atlantic Basin and one on the way. Also today, Royal Caribbean Bans Another Itemand Changes Previous Ban; Carnival Paradise Cancels Cruise;  and Lots more, live today at 11 AM EDT. CLICK HERE for video feed #saturdaytravelandcruiseindustrynews #podcast #msccruises #cruisenews #travelnews #cruise #travel #chilliescruises #chilliefalls #chilliechats #whill_us Thanks for visiting my channel. NYTimes The Daily, the flagship NYT podcast with a massive audience. "Vacationing In The Time Of Covid" https://nyti.ms/3QuRwOS Cruise Ship Doctor Cruise: https://bookayt.net/cruisedoctor/ To access the Travel and Cruise Industry News podcast; https://cms.megaphone.fm/channel/trav... or go to https://accessadventure.net/ To subscribe: http://bit.ly/chi-fal I appreciate super chats or any other donation to support my channel. For your convenience, please visit: https://paypal.me/chillie9264?locale.... Chillie's Cruise Schedule: https://www.accessadventure.net/chillies-trip-calendar/ For your mobility needs, contact me, Whill.inc/US, at (844) 699-4455 use SRN 11137 or call Scootaround at 1.888.441.7575. Use SRN 11137. YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/ChilliesCruises Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/chillie.falls X: https://twitter.com/ChillieFalls Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/chilliefalls/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@chilliescruises Business Email: chillie@chilliefalls.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Dangote refinery in Nigeria is poised to disrupt refined product flows in the Atlantic Basin just months after its long-awaited commissioning in early 2024. As the mega-refinery intensifies its search for crude sources beyond Nigeria's borders, significant changes are expected in the market. In this week's episode of the Oil Markets podcast, host Joel Hanley is joined by reporters Charlie Mitchell, Matthew Tracey-Cook, and Tommy Petrou. Together, they delve into Dangote's quest for alternative feedstocks and the dynamic shifts in gasoline and fuel oil flows in and out of Nigeria. Links: Dangote refinery eyes Brazilian, African crudes amid feedstock woes (subscriber content) Bonny Light FOB Nigeria London vs WAF Dtd Strip - AAGXL00 West Africa Gasoline FOB Northwest Europe - AAKUV00 FOB Rotterdam Marine Fuel 0.5% Barge - PUMFD00 Straight Run 0.5-0.7%S FOB NWE cargo - PKABA00

First: a conversation with Jeffrey Rosen, president and CEO of the National Constitution Center. We discuss this week's blockbuster Supreme Court decision on presidential immunity – and what it means for the criminal cases against former President Trump. Then we'll get a check of oil & gas prices as Americans hit the road this 4th of July holiday with Jim Burkhard of S&P Global Commodity Insights. Plus – as Hurricane Beryl roars through the Caribbean – the earliest Category 5 Atlantic Basin hurricane on record - we speak with Axios senior climate reporter Andrew Freedman about the increase in extreme weather events and the impact of climate change. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Saturday Tropical Weather Update featuring Tropical Storm, soon to be Hurricane Beryl, as it approaches Barbados, on a special episode of Travel and Cruise Industry News Podcast, June 29, 2024 with Chillie Falls. Two additional systems will affect the Atlantic Basin this weekend. CLICK HERE for video feed #saturdaytravelandcruiseindustrynews #podcast #cruisenews #travelnews #cruise #travel #chilliescruises #chilliefalls #chilliechats #whill_us Thanks for visiting my channel. NYTimes The Daily, the flagship NYT podcast with a massive audience. "Vacationing In The Time Of Covid" https://nyti.ms/3QuRwOS Cruise Ship Doctor Cruise: https://bookayt.net/cruisedoctor/ To access the Travel and Cruise Industry News podcast; https://cms.megaphone.fm/channel/trav... or go to https://accessadventure.net/ To subscribe: http://bit.ly/chi-fal As always, I appreciate super chats or any other donation to support my channel. For your convenience, please visit: https://paypal.me/chillie9264?locale.... Chillie's Cruise Schedule: https://www.accessadventure.net/chillies-trip-calendar/ For your mobility needs, contact me, Whill.inc/US, at (844) 699-4455 .or Scootaround, YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/ChilliesCruises Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/chillie.falls X: https://twitter.com/ChillieFalls Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/chilliefalls/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@chilliescruises Business Email: chillie@chilliefalls.com Accessible Travel Blog: https://accessadventure.net Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

As European refineries return from seasonal maintenance, ample prompt supply in the North Sea, Mediterranean and West African crude markets suggests that the demand side of the equation remains firmly in the red. Joel Hanley is joined by crude editors Sam Angell, George Delaney and Joey Daly to discuss the implications of a crude-saturated Atlantic basin for prices in the major oil markets west of Suez. Links: Dated Brent PCAAS00 WTI Midland CIF Rotterdam vs Fwd Dated Brent $/bbl WMCRB00 Bonny Light FOB Nigeria London vs WAF Dtd Strip AAGXL00 Azeri Light CIF Augusta vs BTC Dtd Strip AAHPM00 WTI Midland CIF Rotterdam crude differentials plunge to weakest value since October 2021 Nigeria Bonny Light crude value falls to 5-month low: Platts assessment

For the first Oil Markets episode of 2024, S&P Global Commodity Insights' oil experts team up across pricing, news and research to provide a fresh look at the crudes everyone is talking about — the new grades from Guyana's Stabroek Block. Jeff Mower speaks with Ha Nguyen, Felipe Perez and Pat Harrington about how Liza, Unity Gold and Payara Gold are helping drive global production growth outside of OPEC. They discuss production forecasts, how action from Venezuela could affect growing exports, and where Guyana's crude is going. How are emerging refiner preferences affecting the price of the new Guyanese grades? And with turmoil in the Red Sea disrupting trade flows and boosting the price for some crudes in the Atlantic Basin, what is in store for Guyanan oil?   Links: Register for CERAWeek by S&P Global Subscribe to Platts Connect

After reaching our target of $90 in September, our end-year target remains $86/bbl. We maintain our view that August saw the largest deficit of the year and that inventory draws will transition to a slight build during the final four months of the year. Accordingly, crude backwardation should start to narrow and physical crude differentials for alternative Atlantic Basin grades should start to ease. Our balances assume healthy but slower demand growth in 4Q23 as we expect normal seasonal patterns in demand to be maintained this year. Crucially, demand restraint from rising oil prices is once again becoming visible in the US, Europe, and some EM countries. Accordingly, we believe that global oil inventories have built in September. Speaker: Natasha Kaneva, Head of Global Commodities Research This podcast was recorded on October 5, 2023. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4522039-0, www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4462795-0, www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4483453-0, www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4499993-0, www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4510542-0, www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4522039-0, for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2023 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved.

Temperatures drop well below average this week; some mid-week low tides give lots of beach space; the Atlantic Basin is heating up, …AND the weekly weather preview, NEXT… On Episode #123 of Obsessed With The Weather. Enjoy! 

June 1 marks the start of the 2023 Hurricane Season in the Atlantic Basin and this week we are reflecting on survival to prepare for the future. Listen to a story of resilience from the Florida Keys in 2017 as well as an interview with the brand new director of the National Hurricane Center, Dr. Mike Brennan. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The new director of the National Hurricane Center, Mike Brennan, joined the weather team this week for an in-depth discussion on all things hurricanes. From the biggest concerns, the latest forecast and communication improvements, to the impact of climate change, it's everything you need to know as hurricane season 2023 gets underway. We want to hear from you! Have a question for the meteorologists? Call 609-272-7099 and leave a message. You might hear your question and get an answer on a future episode! About the Across the Sky podcast The weekly weather podcast is hosted on a rotation by the Lee Weather team: Matt Holiner of Lee Enterprises' Midwest group in Chicago, Kirsten Lang of the Tulsa World in Oklahoma, Joe Martucci of the Press of Atlantic City, N.J., and Sean Sublette of the Richmond Times-Dispatch in Virginia. Episode transcript Note: The following transcript was created by Adobe Premiere and may contain misspellings and other inaccuracies as it was generated automatically: Hello, once again, everybody. I'm meteorologist Sean Sublette. And welcome to Across the Sky, our National Lee Enterprises weather podcast. Lee Enterprises has print and digital news operations in 77 locations across the country, including in my home base in Richmond, Virginia. I'm joined this week by my colleague Matt Holiner in Chicago. And both Joe Martucci and Kirsten Lang are taking some time away from the office. Matt, we've got a great yes. This week, National Hurricane Center director Mike Brennan, we're going to talk all about not just what's upcoming this hurricane season. We talk about trends. We talk about communications. Man, there's a lot of stuff to get to today. Yeah, we really did cover a lot of them because we were so happy to actually get him on the podcast. I mean, this time of year he's doing so many interviews in preparation of hurricane season. So we're like, Yes, we got him. And so for the short amount of time that we had him, the 30 minutes, we throw as many questions as we could at him and really did cover everything. And, you know, he just took over the job recently in April. So, you know, it's a bit of a learning curve for him. But he has been with the hurricane center for years and it has been working with him. And you can tell that he's he's just filling right into the role and got all of our questions answered. So it was a fantastic episode. Absolutely. So let's get right at it with National Hurricane Center director Michael Brennan. And we welcome Mike Brennan, director of the National Hurricane Center in South Florida. Shortly after getting his Ph.D. at NC State and his time at the NOAA's Weather Prediction Center in suburban D.C. He began as senior hurricane specialist at NHC in 28 and was selected as Hurricane Center director earlier on this year. Dr. Brennan, thank you for joining us and congratulations. Thanks, Sean. Great to be with you. Now, before we talk about the upcoming hurricane season, step back a little bit. Tell us what got you excited and into the weather in the first place. Yeah, I think like most meteorologist, pretty well bitten with the weather bug at a pretty early age. Something I've always been interested in. I grew up in southwest Virginia, a place with lots of interesting weather, you know, all four seasons at winter weather. It was pretty interested in that, you know, very flash flood prone area, heavy rainfall, remnants of hurricanes, severe weather. So it was a pretty interesting place to grow up. You know, I think one pretty formative moment was a 19 November, 1985, the flood of record in the Roanoke Valley in southwest Virginia. Still, the flood of record, the remnants of a tropical storm that made landfall on the Gulf Coast came up. It rained very heavily for several days, had five or six inches of rain on, I think it was November 5th or sixth that year. And the whole hydro system sort of went into flood and my grandmother lost her home in that event. So it was pretty, pretty impressionable. I was about eight at the time. So, you know, and I think as I got older, I sort of dawned on me that I could actually make it. Yeah, there's a there's a career to have in meteorology if you want to want to do that. I think probably by the time I was 11 or 12, I sort of recognized that and just decided to pursue it from there. Well, we're glad to have you and very happy that you're there at the Hurricane Center. Looking forward to this coming year, whatever it may bring. Can you talk a little bit about what kind of changes have any regarding public and experimental products? I might be coming out of the Hurricane Hurricane Center for for this season? Sure. Yeah. Probably the most notable one is our tropical weather outlook, which is sort of our flagship situational awareness product that we issue every 6 hours to talk about systems that could go on to become tropical depressions or tropical storms in the Atlantic. The period that we cover in that product is now extended out for seven days under the future. It's been five days for for many years we've been experimenting with seven day Genesis forecasts for the last three or four seasons. And they're they're pretty reliable, which means that if over the long term, if we say a system has a 70% chance of development, about 70% of those systems go on to develop so that they're statistically reliable. And so this year we pushed that time window out to seven days. So to give people just a little more heads up, a little better situational awareness that, hey, this is a system, the Hurricane Center is watching, that what could go on and become a tropical depression or tropical storm during the next week. Not every system is going to be in the outlook seven days in advance, though. We still have systems that are difficult to forecast formation, especially when you get out of the deep tropics. But for those systems are more competent and we hope to be giving people more lead time this year going back to those outlooks than once something gets developed into the Atlantic Basin, Gulf or the Caribbean. Talk about how track and intensity forecast have improved over the last 20 years because most of the metrics I've seen show that the track intensity, the track forecasts have just become stellar. But we still have some work to do with intensity forecast. How is that kind of gone last last 20 years or so? Yeah, if you go back and look, say, since the year 2000, our track forecast errors, say for example, at three days or about 65% lower than they were at that time. So you can see our three day track forecast error is now below 100 miles, which, you know, if you would've told somebody that it was more like 250 miles back in 2000. So that's been a tremendous improvement there. And we have for many decades, we've seen the track forecast steadily improving all the way from the 1980s and nineties up till today. And we still continue to see that improving. On the intensity side, that's the story for many years was that the tracks are getting better, but the intensity forecasts are not. But that's really not true anymore. We've started to see significant improvements in our intensity forecast here. And if you look just at our three day intensity error now compared to 2000, it's about 50%. It's about half of what it was then. We're down below ten, about ten knots. Used to be around 20 knots. So we're making progress there. That's pretty much new in the last 10 to 15 years. And we're also making progress in rapid intensity events where we cut our 24 hour forecast error in half for rapidly intensifying systems just in the last like four or five years. And Mike, with the tropical weather outlooks going out to seven days, I think that raises the question, are we at the point where we're going to expand the forecast cones when we have an active storm out to seven days? Is that happening this year? Are there any plans in the future? Not this year, but it's something we've been experimenting with. We've been making six and seven day track and intensity forecasts in-house for the better part of the last four or five years in evaluating them, trying to see when we're going to be ready to make those public. You know, on average, the average errors are pretty good. They're they're pretty close to what the average five dayers were or better than the average five dayers, where we reduce the five day forecast back and I think 2003. But the challenge with seven days is you get about 10% of those cases where the errors are really, really big. And you know, you think of a system where you it's forecast to recur, but it doesn't recurve or you can end up with errors of six or 700 miles a day, seven. So we want to try to be very careful about introducing those forecast and even more careful about how we convey them in a graphical way. I'm not sure we want to just extend the current cone out to seven days. You know, maybe we do something different. So we're working with the social science community on sort of what the cone graphic might become in the next few years, and that'll probably be part of how we go on and convey the six and seven day forecast information at that time. Yeah, Mike, I know there's been a little bit of a buzz to have more of a dynamic statistical cone, if you will. In other words, you know, there's always been, well, this is what our average era is. So this is where the cone is. Yeah. But that that doesn't always work the best. How how is that discussion going along? Yeah, you could tell us about that. I think that's part of a broader discussion we want to have about, you know, what's driving our probabilistic products, not just the cone, but the probabilistic storm surge information and the probabilistic information about tropical storm and hurricane force winds. Right now, you're right, they all use basically historical errors over the past five years or so. You know, what are the typical errors at day one, two, three, four or five in terms of track intensity, How much does the size of the storm vary? We want to start moving towards incorporating real time uncertainty information from ensembles into those into those products. So that's that's a goal that we want to try to work toward. I think it'll probably come first for track because that's where we have the most reliable ensembles. Now we can use global ensembles from the European that GFS that can can start to capture the uncertainty in the track forecast. They're not perfect, but we probably have and we have information we could extract from them getting to the intensity and the structure. Information is going to take more time. We're going to have to have a, you know, a bigger and right now we don't really have a dynamical model hurricane ensemble that really can, you know, capture the uncertainty and the structure and the intensity of the storms. That's something we need to work towards. But my guess is it will be a gradual process over the next several years, maybe 5 to 10 years, where we start to phase in more dynamical uncertainty, information into those types of products there to be able to convey, you know, what the uncertainty is of this particular forecast case. And Mike, I know a lot of people are familiar with the National Hurricane Center, at least hearing the name, but I don't think they know a lot of the details about the hurricane Center. So how many people work at the National Hurricane Center? And then does the staffing change based on during hurricane season and outside of hurricane season? And then if you have multiple storms in the Atlantic and Pacific, does your staffing change even within hurricane season? Yeah, well, certainly the staffing changes on a given shift depending on the levels of activity. But we have about 50 federal employees that work at the hurricane Center. We also have some contractor support. We also have folks from FEMA and from the Air Force that work in the building with us to help coordinate emergency management messaging on the femicide and also help coordinate all the aircraft reconnaissance tasking from the Air Force and Noah, from our Air Force employees that work in the building. So we also have a year round operational Marine forecast branch called Taffy, the Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch, which issues high seas forecasts, Marine forecast and warnings year round 24 seven Inside and outside of hurricane season. And then we have the hurricane forecast operations that pretty much are running from May 15th to November 30th. But you're right, the level of staffing, especially on the hurricane operations side, is pretty variable because it's it's sort of a activity dependent workload. You know, sometimes we have quiet periods where there's no storms. There might be one storm. We typically have two people scheduled for every shift, regardless of activity. But then we can supplement that staffing when we do get the three or four storms or we get to a big, you know, land threatening storm internationally or in the United States, the workload goes up a fair bit because there's more data to look at from aircraft. There's more coordination to do in terms of international coordination for watches and warnings, internal coordination with the National Weather Service for U.S. threats. So, you know, sometimes we have it can get really, really busy. We have a storm surge unit that activates when we have storm surge threats for the U.S. and internationally as well. So they sort of have an operational piece. So it's not, you know, for a big U.S. landfall threat, we might have five, six, seven people out on the ops for, you know, doing all the different parts of the job which go from data analysis, somebody doing the forecast, doing the coordination, doing the messaging and getting the word out to everybody. So back to that point about what you do during the course of the hurricane season, I think when I was still an undergrad in I believe it was Bob Sheets was the director at the time, once told me that you're actually busier outside of hurricane season than during hurricane season. Is that still the case and why? I think we're as busy, at least, you know, because the off season is is where we do all of our outreach, all of our training for emergency managers, for meteorologists. We have go to hurricane conferences. It's sort of where we do the the yearly run up to the hurricane season. Some of it's just reminding people we have a hurricane awareness tour where we take hurricane hunter aircraft out to different parts of the country. You know, it's it's interesting. This has sort of been the first year where we've gotten fully back into our in-person outreach and training post-COVID. But we still are keeping a lot of the virtual stuff we did during COVID. So we're adding on more and more outreach that we, you know, really wouldn't been able to handle before because there's only so many people to go around. There's only so many weeks, there's only so much travel. But when you have an ability to do virtual outreach, that sort of really expands your your reach and your scale. So we have you know, it's you know, we have outreach that's going to go all the way into even into early parts of the hurricane season. Now, the the the effort to reeducate people, remind people of the threats is constant. We have people moving to hurricane prone areas every year from areas where they don't have hurricanes. Other hurricane prone areas haven't had significant impacts in a long time. But people forget pretty quickly what the what the risk might be. So there's a continual education effort to that that we undertake in the off season. It's not just that, though. We're doing the post analysis from all the storms from last year, writing up all the tropical cyclone reports, working with the modeling community to improve our forecast models that go into effect for the next year. So there's always a continual focus on improving the products and services that is heavily, you know, heavily skewed toward the off season or the outside hurricane season time. And then sticking with the staffing theme, you know, one of the buzzy things that just keeps getting brought up and brought up in so many different aspects of society these days is artificial intelligence. So I'm curious, is the Hurricane Center currently using any artificial intelligence? Are there plans to implement it in the future? We're starting to dabble in it a little bit. We have some some intensity models that are using things like neural networks to try and, you know, pull in different sources of information and come up with different ways to create consensus forecast for tropical cyclone intensity. But I think, you know, that's an area where we're going to have to move going forward into the future simply because the human forecasters ability to absorb information in the time that you have to do the forecast is somewhat limited. And as observations continue to increase and especially model output, you know, you could imagine five, ten years from now we're going to have orders of magnitude more models for forecasters to look at. You're going to have to have some sort of tools that are going to be able to synthesize that information, give you different clusters of solutions to look at, figure out how the human is going to interact with all that data going forward. So I think I could certainly be a part of that as we move into the future. I imagine that's a tool unlike any tool that could be used very well, and sometimes it could be used not so well. So we'll we'll see how that goes. I'm going to take a little bit of a break, then we'll be right back with more with National Hurricane Center Director Mike Brennan on the Across the Sky podcast. And we're back with National Hurricane Center Director Mike Brennan on the Across the Sky podcast. And we're getting into hurricane season on the 1st of June, and there's a lot of buzz, as there always is, about what kind of the season we're going to have. Now without getting too specific, You know, Mike, in general, when we have a positive insight or an El Nino that tends to inhibit tropical cyclone, a hurricane formation, that's that's kind of a baseline. Yeah. But what other kinds of things are out there in terms of clues to what kind of a season we may have in the Atlantic basin? Yeah, and you're right, El Nino and La Nina are two of the biggest is one of one of the biggest factors we see and sort of modulating overall activity in the Atlantic, especially in the deep tropics. But there are a lot of other factors. The Atlantic basin is very warm this year, which would normally be indicative of a potentially busier season. We've been in this active area for many years now, going all the way back to the mid 1990s, and we don't see any signs that that active era has come to an end, certainly based on the last few years of activity. So what we're likely to see this year is just competing factors. Yeah, we don't know how El Nino is going to evolve, how quickly it's going to strengthen, you know, does it does it come on quicker? Does it come on slower or how strong is it going to be? How does that interplay with these other factors in the Atlantic basin in terms of seas and other factors that might be more favorable for an active season? So I would emphasize that, you know, we don't know what the season is going to look like, but we've had plenty of hurricane impacts in the United States and El Nino years and otherwise less active years. We've had major hurricane landfalls, the biggest killer in the last ten years, and tropical storms and hurricanes in this country, as is rainfall, flooding, which has very little to do with how strong storms are. So even if you get weaker systems that don't go on to develop or even become a hurricane, you can still have significant rainfall, flooding impacts. So again, we try to keep people focused on the hazards. And, you know, we always say that it only takes one storm affecting you to make it a bad season where you are. And that's the message we put out there, regardless of what any seasonal forecast might say. And best that we can, we try to re-emphasize that message as well. Yeah, only, you know, I think run from wind, hide from water. I believe it's something along those lines the other way around the run from the water. I hide from the wind. That's it. That's kept me. Thank you very much. But yeah, the water really is is the long term threat. Regarding the outlooks, as you said, it only takes one. So a lot of people have asked, you know, what's what's the value in doing these outlooks? Yeah, I kind of say, well, it's a good exercise and in understanding the right and I imagine there there are other, you know, partners, if you will, that benefit like insurance companies. But who who else may benefit from doing these types of outlooks? Yeah, I think you're right. I mean, there certainly it's a valid scientific effort because, you know, the more you understand about how the basin scale activity works on a season, you know, that may lead to better understanding of how things work on an individual storm scale. And then certainly, you know, utility in trying to predict these larger longer term seasonal the sub seasonal trends. Yeah, there should be a tremendous amount of interest and overall hurricane activity in the basin from insurance companies to the maritime shipping industry. There's so much commerce that moves around on the waters that, you know, are affected by potentially all hurricanes, whether or not they, you know, ever make it to land or not. So, you know, in just general situational awareness, you know, there is benefit in saying, hey, hurricane season is about to start. Here's what here's what we're looking at for this season. It's again, it serves as a really good reminder and sort of a big messaging boost to say, hey, hurricane season is coming, here's the outlook, here's how you can use the outlook, here's how you should use the outlook. You have to get into the details, use it the right way. I mean, looking beyond the outlook, is there something in particular from a preparation standpoint that is concerning for you and this season in particular? Oh, every season you're you're worried about people being complacent. I think again, we've seen a tremendous migration of people in this country moving around the last few years. During COVID, after COVID, we've seen a lot of people moving to hurricane prone states from other places that may or may not be hurricane experience, may not know what the risk is. I mean, I think that's that's always my biggest concern is that you go into hurricane season and people don't know what the risk is, especially if you live in a storm surge prone area. If you don't know, you live in a storm surge area and you might be asked to leave your home, then your whole preparation plan doesn't work. You know, you have to know now if you're going to be asked to potentially leave your home in advance of a storm. So you can make that plan. Now, figure out where you're going to go, how you're going to get there, what you're going to take with you, all those types of things that you need to figure out now. And I think just again, the complacency and the focus on potentially too much focus on how strong the storm is from a wind perspective now, you know, we think we can have tremendous storm surge events from so-called weaker hurricanes that they're big and slow moving, especially in the Gulf of Mexico, but also in other places. The rainfall threat, as I mentioned, has almost nothing to do with how strong a storm is from the wind perspective. And those are the hazards that that really are the deadliest. And what we want to try to hit on as hard as we can. Yeah. Have you noticed any other kinds of long term trends in tropical cyclones slash hurricane development? And, you know, there's a little of the research I've seen that shows that, you know, they're holding their strength that farther north, their latitudes, perhaps that their their forward speed is beginning to slow down in the mean, which also lends itself to heavier rain and flooding. Right. Do you see some of those trends even operationally? Or what could you speak to to those longer term trends? Yeah, I mean, I think, you know, in a warming climate, I think we're most concerned about increasing risk from the water hazards we know that with sea level rise, we're going to see more storm surge, worse storm surge and storm surge in addition, occurring and moving into places where it hasn't been experienced previously. And you think the sort of the best consensus now is that by the year 2100, in some places, storm surge in a nation will be 2 to 3 feet higher than it is now. So you're going to have an increasing risk from surge, which puts more people in evacuation zones, which means you have potentially more people you have to move out ahead of a storm. And the other thing we're seeing is the heavier rainfall. We're already seeing that in hurricanes and in non hurricane, extreme rainfall events are getting worse. They're getting more frequent. We know a warming atmosphere holds more moisture. And it really has to do with how hot, how fast that rain falls in a given area and what the previous, you know, soil moisture conditions are, how that runoff, you know, plays into effect. And we know that that's going to be driving an increasing risk of rainfall, flooding as well. And again, rainfall, flooding is sort of the equal opportunity hazard. It can happen. And everywhere, you know, not just landfall locations, but hundreds of miles away, days after landfall and topography and urban areas. So that risk is is somewhat concerning. The other longer term trends are really less certain in terms of changes in storm intensity. You know, how that will evolve in a in a in a changing climate. So we're trying to keep the focus on those those particular water hazards where we are more confident in how those trends are going to play out. And Mike, as you look ahead at the next five, ten, 15 years, what do you think is the biggest challenge facing the National Hurricane Center looking forward? Well, I mean, I think we've got a few things. We've got an increasing risk and we have, you know, increasing population in hurricane prone areas so that even as our forecast are improving and they are the pace of growth, the number of people that we have to move, the amount of infrastructure along in hurricane prone areas is also increasing maybe even faster than the forecast or increasing. So so we're in a race, you know, against population trends and exposure. That is that is that we're trying to keep up with. I think a lot of it is is again, messaging how do we get through to people about what the hazards are, How do we get people to take action? Because in many cases, the forecasts are good enough now with enough lead time for people to try to generally take protective action. But we see that there are people you know, we know from social science, there are groups of people that are really hard to get to move. And, you know, when we see that play out in every event, you know, one of the great ironies is that the forecast information is so much better now, but people's but the way people consume information is so much more complex. We don't know what messages they're getting or they're getting conflicting messages from a variety of sources. So we have to stay active in that space in whatever emerging communication trends and communication platforms that come up. And we can't leave the old ones behind either. People still watch local television, people are on social media, people are on Twitter, Facebook, other platforms. We have to meet them where they are and we have to keep expanding into those new areas so that we can keep our voice out there and help sort of the hurricane community, you know, have everybody focused on the same message. And and I think those are some of the challenges we face going forward. Yeah, communication is such a huge part of the story. And before we wrap up, just stepping back a little bit, you know, I think for many meteorologists, I know we have a lot to listen to this podcast. I think a lot would say that perhaps their dream job is to be the director of the National Hurricane Center. So was this your dream job and how can you describe the experience that you've had over the last while taking over this role? Yeah, I mean, I think it's a job I've been interested in for a while. So, you know, I'm not sure I ever thought I would get here. You know, when you start your career, you have no ideas about where it might go. And but, you know, things things worked out well for me. And I was in the right, you know, a lot of it just being having the right experiences and having being in the right place at the right time to to take advantage of opportunities. But yeah, I mean, I'm just so excited to step into this role. There's so many things that, you know, I'm so proud of the staff that I lead at the hurricane Center. We've got just got immensely talented people that work there, and they're so dedicated. I think, you know, I think the National Weather Service in general has the best mission in all of government to protect lives and property. It doesn't get any clearer or any more motivating than that. And I you know, the Hurricane Center has such a huge piece of that when it comes to tropical storms and hurricanes. And we've seen that play out. So many times over the last few years. And, you know, we learned lessons. Things aren't perfect. You know, there are challenges. But I think we've seen our role make a difference so many times in these multiple landfalling events in the last few years. You know, it's just a reminder of how important the work we do is. And that's really motivating and inspiring and carries us forward into into the upcoming season. Yeah, no question about that, especially in this day and age with information all over the place. You know, the staff of the hurricane of the Hurricane Center has been very consistent over the years. And I know as a member of the of the weather and climate enterprise, we're very grateful for for the work that you and all the staff do there at NHC before we let we let you go because we know you're busy, are there one or two other key messages you really want to drive home to the public, not just about the hurricane season in general, but things they really need to remember when they're taking in a product from the hurricane center. I've tried to tell people the cone is important. Yeah, but look beyond the cone cone is that everything? There's other things going on. What other kinds of messages do you want to be sure to get out there? Yeah, that's a great one. The cone is kind of like the cover of a book. It's sort of a high level overview of where the center of the storm's likely to go over the next few days. But it's not going to tell you about your risk from storm surge or rainfall or even necessarily tropical storm or hurricane force winds. There are lots of hazards associated with hurricanes. They're complicated events and that's what makes them challenging to communicate. You have different hazards occurring in different places at different times, and the scale and scope of those hazards can evolve during a storm. So focus on the watches and warnings. Focus on what your local emergency managers or government officials are telling you to do in terms of evacuation and preparation. Listen to your find your trusted sources of information through the media, your broadcast meteorologists, your other, your other folks and the weather enterprise that you that you trust and make sure you're connected to them. The other thing I want to touch on is after the storm safety, we lose almost as many people do, fatalities that occur after tropical storms and hurricanes as we do during the storm itself. A lot of these are due to accidents, electrocutions, heart attacks, carbon monoxide poisonings from improper generator use, you know, power issues, heat related fatalities. So when you're asked to evacuate in advance of a storm, it's to keep you safe generally from storm surge, but it's also to help keep you out of an area that might be completely devastated for weeks after where you're not going to have emergency services, You may not have power or water or medical equipment to to take care of yourself. And a lot of these indirect fatalities disproportionately affect older people who may have mobility or health issues that that make them less resilient in the face of the aftermath of a significant hurricane. So we want people to stay safe after the event. We don't want to lose them. And in those days and weeks after the storm, for sure. Mike, thank you so much. Before we let you go, working people find the hurricane Center online. Get real easy. Hurricanes, dot gov. That'll get you to the National Hurricane Center. If you go to Weather.com, that'll get you to your local National Weather Service office that we partner with to get the messaging all the way from the storm scale down to your community. So that's that's where you can start to to search for information. Thank you, Mike. Good luck this season and good luck with everything out there today as well. And take care. Thanks, John. Think about wow, that was a lot to get into. And we did it in less than half an hour, which is a small miracle. But I'm so glad he was able to touch on the communications aspect. He was able to talk about why these hurricane outlook outlooks are important. You know, the climate impacts, the real world impacts of the storm. And, you know, and this is something I hadn't thought that much to to discuss in my external communications map. But after the storm, how many people get hurt after the storm? I you know, I guess one of the things I thought of intuitively, but but I don't talk about. Well, yeah, you know, I think there it often does get overlooked. So it doesn't surprise me that you brought that in because, you know, we get people we so we're so focused on getting people out of the way of the storm. And then after the storm passes, a lot of people who did get out of the way are very anxious to go back home, see what the damage is. You know, what is the state of their house, get back there. But rushing back in after a devastating landfall or a hurricane or even if it's not that big of a hurricane, technically, maybe it's just a tropical storm that was over the same area and a lot of flooding. Think of all the flooded roads that are left behind. You really don't want people rushing back in because it does lead to injuries. It does lead death. So, yes, it's the aftermath and the recovery from it as well. You know, the one thing that that stood out to me and I thought it was so great, you know, with the discussion about the forecasts going, the one comment he made is that the forecast cone is the cover of the book. And I thought that was that was just a perfect way to phrase it, because the cone is not everything. Yes, it's probably the biggest thing. It's what you see the first and what everybody wants to see. But boy, there are a lot more details when you even just just glancing at the cone, there's a lot of details just on the cone. But then it's really going beyond the cone and all the impacts that are not explained on the cone. And so really, that's why I don't want people just to think they see the cone and All right, I know what's going to happen. It's like you need to get into the details and find out all the information because you're not going to get everything from the cone. There are a lot of details that need to be ironed out. So it's always like the cone is just part of the story. Make sure you get all the details. Yeah, I'm probably going to start to steal that line from him that it's that it's like the cover of the book. And you can't judge the entire book by the cover. There is so much more to dig into. I think that is something we're going to see more and more as we go in the decades to come is as our forecast ability does get stronger to be able to resolve these finer structures within the hurricane. Because as you know, and we saw this with Ian last year that are one side of the hurricane, even if you're within ten or 20 miles of the eye wall is very different than the other side of the hurricane. You know, you've got an offshore wind versus an onshore wind and the impacts are very, very different. So we have to remind people it's not a point. All the impacts are not within 20 miles. It's a beast. It is just the cover. This is just a starting point. We pay attention to all the impacts that come with storms like these, you know? Well, you know, the other thing I think that's worth mentioning is that the 2023 hurricane season is already underway because there was a storm in January. It was just re identified. They did a post analysis, the National Hurricane Center identified a storm on January 16th that actually impacted Newfoundland and Nova Scotia with 60 mile per hour winds. Well, it turns out that was a subtropical storm. So we've already even though it didn't get a name, it's already our first storm, the season. So we're already sitting at one storm watch already. So our first named storm is going to be Arlene. But technically when Arlene comes around, it's going to be the second storm of the Atlantic hurricane season. So it's no more about, well, when hurricane season starts. No, it has officially begun. We've already had one storm. Yeah. And we remind people that even though hurricane season season starts on the 1st of June and goes into November, they can and do occasionally come outside of the season. But the core of the season is mid-August to mid-October. That's when you really need to to bring your awareness up to its its highest level is during that 8 to 10 week period there in late summer and early fall. Okay. So with that, we're going to close up shop for this week. Big thanks to Michael Brennan for taking time with us, the director of the National Hurricane Center. We've got a few more things coming up in the pipeline. I know Joe's not here, but I got to plug his dog eating contest. So we've got that working. We also talked to Mike that is here in Richmond about sports betting and and especially baseball to a lesser extent football weather. We're working on a couple of other climate e things I'm hoping that will come through more on those coming up hopefully next week or two but for right now Matt Holiner is in Chicago, meteorologist Sean Sublette in Richmond, Virginia, thanks for joining us for the Across the Sky podcast.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

It has been a big week for the UK's carbon capture and storage ambitions, with the award of 20 offshore licences to 12 companies. But a lack of detail on the winners has raised eyebrows, amongst the Energy Voice team anyway. Next we're off to Nigeria, where the ribbon is due to be cut on the Dangote refinery, a step change in the Atlantic Basin trade. President Muhammadu Buhari will be in town, but is it a plaque opening, or a commissioning of the facility. Who knows? Well, Ed does. And news that Sumitomo is planning to build an offshore wind cable manufacturing facility in the Scottish Highlands broke last month, but one ScotWind partner had a big hand in convincing the company to make the leap of faith. It'd be nice if others followed suit…… About Energy Voice Energy Voice investigates and reports on what matters in global energy, helping sector leaders understand the geopolitical and economic factors underpinning current events, and giving them a view on what's coming over the horizon. Each year, 3.4m professionals use Energy Voice as a trusted source of breaking news and insight. For more information on how you can speak to those professionals across multiple platforms to build your brand and generate actionable business leads, visit energyvoice.com/content-services. For a 30 day free trial subscription to the Energy Voice website and app, visit energyvoice.com/subscribe.

We’ll look at a very unusual hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin, we'll see how forest fires in California are affecting thunderstorms in the nation’s mid-section, we'll talk about how the moon is moving away from the earth and what that could mean for our planet and we'll look at NOAA's prediction for the nation's […]

Slight Improvement In Cruise Ship Weather is the top story on today's Travel and Cruise Industry News Podcast, September 5, 2022 with Chillie Falls and special guest Bethany Bartley. Since the last weather update on Saturday, conditions in the cruise ship lanes in both the Atlantic Basin and the Eastern Pacific have shown some improvement. The are still some possibility of delays and itinerary changes. Chillie and Bethany will chat about Azamara Cruise Line, covid changes and her upcoming South America Cruise. Also today, Major Port Development for Portland, UK; Global Dream II Faces Scrap Yard; 3 Arrested For Scamming Casino; And Much More, LIVE At 11 AM EDT. CLICK HERE to access video feed Thanks for visiting my channel. NYTimes The Daily, the flagship NYT podcast with a massive audience. "Vacationing In The Time Of Covid" https://nyti.ms/3QuRwOS NYTimes First Person Podcast " His Ship Finally Came In, but Should He Be on It? " https://nyti.ms/3zRJo4j To access the Travel and Cruise Industry News podcast; https://cms.megaphone.fm/channel/travelcruisenews or go to https://accessadventure.net/ Save On Airfare https://bit.ly/3h6lXLf To subscribe: http://bit.ly/chi-fal As always, I appreciate super chats or any other donation to support my channel. For your convenience, please visit: https://paypal.me/chillie9264?locale.x=en_US Chillie's Cruise Schedule: https://accessadventure.net/chillies-trip-calendar/ For your special needs, contact me or Scootaround, https://www.scootaround.com/mobility-rentals, 1.888.441.7575. Use SRN 11137. Special Needs Cruising: https://youtu.be/DWR5kNM2x_g Check out my streaming partner: https://streamyard.com?pal=4889083533852672 YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/ChilliesCruises Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/chillie.falls Twitter: https://twitter.com/ChillieFalls Business Email: chilliefalls@gmail.com Accessible Travel Blog: https://accessadventure.net/ Chillie Chats With Sue Bryant, London Times Cruise Editor About Emerald Azzurra https://youtu.be/_bnrkqPf2gE Chillie Chats with Mark Chilutti on Accessibility of Oasis of the Seas https://youtu.be/ibuJe7sfvrA Chillie Chats With Kelly Narowski, Disability Rights Advocate and Avid Traveler https://youtu.be/NFB7LhkJ7go and https://youtu.be/LxbC5UW-Lsk Casino Loyalty Programs with Sue Sherer https://youtu.be/p0SsewJC_cE Chillie Chats with Camille Segobia on Solo Cruising https://youtu.be/PsoTywFMuSo Chillie Chats with Author Ivan Cox a/k/a Dr. Gerald Yukevich, The Cruise Ship Doctor, https://youtu.be/juZmIuYv-IU Chillie Chats With Speaker, Writer and Wheelchair Traveler Lilly Longshore https://youtu.be/tyrV6KZE-9Q Cruise Amigos with Jeannine Williamson https://youtu.be/_s9L_cV72fk Chillie Chats With Jordan Taylor, of JJ Cruise https://youtu.be/O5Khw0avcTQ Chillie Chats With Coleen McDaniel, Cruise Critic's Editor-In-Chief https://youtu.be/5mbjRqNcRXk Chillie Chats With Cruise Critic's Adam Coulter from Norwegian jade https://youtu.be/NVEPLIQ-tH0 Cruise Amigos with Jeannine Williamson https://youtu.be/_s9L_cV72fk Chillie Chats With Captain Mick, Active Disabled Americans https://youtu.be/B3g17D8Tv6Y Chillie Chats With Ashley Lyn Olson, WheelchairTraveling.com https://youtu.be/N4kCil4xT3M Chillie Chats with Allison More about Norwegian Fjords https://youtu.be/Y2V4c6TVauY Chillie Chats With Shelby Frenette about TA Training https://youtu.be/OhBRwS5Hp1M Chillie Chats With Bubba Shumard On Europe, TA and Tahiti https://youtu.be/sVvg5DKeqQs Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Royal Caribbean Is Back In Malaysia is one of several major stories this morning on Travel and Cruise Industry News, August 10, 2022. After months of cruises to nowhere from Singapore, Malaysia's travel and tourism industry is back in business with twice weekly sailings of Spectrum of the Seas from Singapore. 4 night cruises stop in both Kuala Lumpur and Penang , 3 nights in Penang only. Also today, Weather from both the Atlantic Basin and Eastern Pacific; Jewel of the Seas Alters Cruises; Viking's Newest Ship Inaugural Cruise In Asia; Crew Member Overboard In Alaska; And Much More, LIVE At 11 AM EDT. CLICK HERE for video feed Thanks for visiting my channel. NYTimes The Daily, the flagship NYT podcast with a massive audience. "Vacationing In The Time Of Covid" https://nyti.ms/3QuRwOS NYTimes New First Person Podcast episode " When What Matters Most Is Going On A Cruise " , featuring me, is now LIVE. https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/14/opinion/cruises-covid-first-person.html To access the Travel and Cruise Industry News podcast; https://cms.megaphone.fm/channel/travelcruisenews or go to https://accessadventure.net/ Save On Airfare https://bit.ly/3h6lXLf To subscribe: http://bit.ly/chi-fal As always, I appreciate super chats or any other donation to support my channel. For your convenience, please visit: https://paypal.me/chillie9264?locale.x=en_US Chillie's Cruise Schedule: https://accessadventure.net/chillies-trip-calendar/ For your special needs, contact me or Scootaround, https://www.scootaround.com/mobility-rentals, 1.888.441.7575. Use SRN 11137. Special Needs Cruising: https://youtu.be/DWR5kNM2x_g Check out my streaming partner: https://streamyard.com?pal=4889083533852672 YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/ChilliesCruises Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/chillie.falls Twitter: https://twitter.com/ChillieFalls Business Email: chilliefalls@gmail.com Accessible Travel Blog: https://accessadventure.net/ Chillie Chats With Sue Bryant, London Times Cruise Editor About Emerald Azzurra https://youtu.be/_bnrkqPf2gE Chillie Chats with Mark Chilutti on Accessibility of Oasis of the Seas https://youtu.be/ibuJe7sfvrA Chillie Chats With Kelly Narowski, Disability Rights Advocate and Avid Traveler https://youtu.be/NFB7LhkJ7go and https://youtu.be/LxbC5UW-Lsk Casino Loyalty Programs with Sue Sherer https://youtu.be/p0SsewJC_cE Chillie Chats with Camille Segobia on Solo Cruising https://youtu.be/PsoTywFMuSo Chillie Chats with Author Ivan Cox a/k/a Dr. Gerald Yukevich, The Cruise Ship Doctor, https://youtu.be/juZmIuYv-IU Chillie Chats With Speaker, Writer and Wheelchair Traveler Lilly Longshore https://youtu.be/tyrV6KZE-9Q Cruise Amigos with Jeannine Williamson https://youtu.be/_s9L_cV72fk Chillie Chats With Jordan Taylor, of JJ Cruise https://youtu.be/O5Khw0avcTQ Chillie Chats With Coleen McDaniel, Cruise Critic's Editor-In-Chief https://youtu.be/5mbjRqNcRXk Chillie Chats With Cruise Critic's Adam Coulter from Norwegian jade https://youtu.be/NVEPLIQ-tH0 Cruise Amigos with Jeannine Williamson https://youtu.be/_s9L_cV72fk Chillie Chats With Captain Mick, Active Disabled Americans https://youtu.be/B3g17D8Tv6Y Chillie Chats With Ashley Lyn Olson, WheelchairTraveling.com https://youtu.be/N4kCil4xT3M Chillie Chats with Allison More about Norwegian Fjords https://youtu.be/Y2V4c6TVauY Chillie Chats With Shelby Frenette about TA Training https://youtu.be/OhBRwS5Hp1M Chillie Chats With Bubba Shumard On CDC, RCCL and HAL https://youtu.be/UtFrYjOVkXk Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

AccuWeather Daily brings you the top trending weather story of the day - every day.

AccuWeather Daily brings you the top trending weather story of the day - every day.

In this week's RBC's Markets in Motion podcast, Michael Tran, Commodity and Digital Intelligence Strategist, guest hosts to discuss his latest views on the global oil market dynamic. Today in our 11:30 minute podcast, we discuss the recent oil price volatility and explore the dynamic between the push and pull between the looming threat of a recession which is being stacked up against the strongest fundamental oil market set up in decades, or maybe even ever. Three things to know: First, given the recent price rout, the financial oil market is dislocating dramatically from an extremely tight spot physical market. Near record Atlantic Basin physical pricing differentials, the Saudi hike to Official Selling Prices (OSPs) and the CPC pipeline outage are indicative that the steadfast physical market is telling a diametrically opposed story to the plunging paper market. The physical market is pricing in scarcity while the financial market is pricing in recession. Second, despite the recent plunge in oil prices, term structure remains relatively intact, surprisingly. This means that the term portion of the curve is also retracing significantly lower. Unless the recession is deep and protracted, we believe that the dated calendar strips are largely undervalued. However, the near term recessionary risks must be respected. In a recessionary scenario in which demand is impacted at a similar rate as previous downturns, we could see a scenario in which spot prices retreat into the mid $70/bbl range in the back half of this year. Now, we only place a 15% probability to such an outcome, but we have all been doing this long enough to know that oil price moves can be swift, violent and unforgiving, in both directions. The bullish conviction is high, but sentiment is soft among the commodity trading community. Third, while the debate regarding the health of the consumer remains an open ended question, large scale demand destruction is rare. Over the past 30 years leading into the pandemic, there were 39 individual months in which retail gasoline prices increased by more than 30%, YoY. Of those instances, we have seen gasoline demand fall by 2% or more on only 12 of those occasions. And five of those instances took place during the 2008 Great Financial Crisis. In short, protracted demand destruction events have historically been rare, absent a recession. That said, the strength of the US dollar means that oil priced in local currencies is still punching in either at or near all-time record highs for many regions across the globe.

In this week's episode of It's Raining Mets, Tom Russell and Ed Russo talk about the beginning of tropical season which officially began June 1st. Our first named storm in the Atlantic Basin may be just around the corner! They also touch on our recent hot and stormy pattern. What can we expect as we head deeper into June? Find out more in this week's podcast!

On tonight's program: After a circuit judge rules against a newly redrawn Florida congressional district, that ruling is already being appealed by the state. That court will decide whether the circuit judge's logic is sound; Florida's higher starting salary for public school teachers is actually higher than what some experienced teachers are being paid. And that's causing problems; A Florida Supreme Court vacancy means another judicial appointment coming up for Governor Ron DeSantis; A sudden lack of infant formula on store shelves has many new moms scrambling; Although Obamacare remains a popular source of healthcare coverage options, some uncertainties are looming; The Atlantic Basin may face another busy hurricane season, which begins in two weeks; And a new commander takes over during ceremonies at Key West's Naval Air Station.

Will the quiet pattern across the Atlantic Basin last throughout the remainder of October? It seems possible but the GFS model may have something to say about that. Meanwhile, another system is developing in the eastern Pacific with impacts coming up for southern Mexico early next week. I'll take a look at everything in more detail during my video discussion via YouTube later this afternoon. Thanks for listening!

It's the end of October and the Atlantic Basin is quiet in terms of tropical activity, so is hurricane season over?  Today's episode discusses past October hurricanes and how hurricane season can still turn active well into autumn.

All is quiet across the Atlantic Basin for now as we watch the southeast Pacific for yet another potential hurricane to develop over the coming days. Thanks for listening!

Nice and quiet for a change across the entire Atlantic Basin as we start out the week. Thanks for listening!

Not much to be concerned with across the Atlantic Basin as we wrap up the weekend but a new depression in the eastern Pacific will become a hurricane and impact Mexico later in the coming week. Thanks for listening!

Keeping watch over invest area 92L off the North Carolina coast - otherwise the Atlantic Basin is nice and quiet this weekend. In the eastern Pacific, a new tropical storm is likely to form this weekend from invest area 91E and eventually looks to impact Mexico around mid-week next week. I'll cover all of this and more during my video discussion later today via YouTube. Thanks for listening!

The Atlantic Basin is nice and quiet now that Sam has cleared the pattern. I don't see much to be concerned with over the coming days as the overall pattern is simply not too conducive for development. On the other hand, a tropical depression is likely going to form in the southeast Pacific over the coming days and it could impact Mexico early next week. I will cover that item and a look ahead at when things might be more favorable again in the Atlantic during my video discussion later this afternoon via YouTube. Thanks for listening!

Watching invest area 94L very closely for further development and eventual impacts for portions of the western Gulf Coast. In addition, there are several other areas of interest across the Atlantic Basin to monitor closely as we end the weekend. Thanks for listening!

Watching several areas in the Atlantic Basin for possible development as we head into the weekend. Thanks for listening!

The latest thoughts on Henri plus a look ahead to a very active period coming up across the Atlantic Basin as we continue through the peak months of the hurricane season. Thanks for listening!

The group is also urging women to join the government. Plus, booster shots are coming for all Americans, three storms swirl in the Atlantic Basin, Bob Dylan has been accused of sexually abusing a minor and there's a nationwide recall for frozen shrimp.(Audio: Associated Press)See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

We are keeping a close eye on invest area 92L out in the far eastern tropical Atlantic for the potential for development over the next few days as a more favorable pattern begins to settle in to the Atlantic Basin. I will go over this and more during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video which will be posted on my YouTube channel later today. Thanks for listening, have a great weekend!

We are watching an area of interest off the coast of Africa that has a small chance of further development over the coming days but otherwise, the Atlantic Basin remains nice and quiet for the time being. Meanwhile, there are no threats to land with any of the systems currently ongoing across the eastern Pacific. Have a great rest of your Tuesday, thanks for listening!

We begin the week with very little to keep tabs on across the Atlantic Basin but there are signs that things are about to change as a more favorable pattern begins to set up over the coming weeks. Meanwhile, the east Pacific remains active but nothing stands out as being particularly strong nor of any threat to Mexico. I'll go over all of these topics and more during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video via YouTube later this afternoon. Thanks for listening, have a great week!

The quiet pattern prevails across the Atlantic Basin for the next several days at least as I see no areas of development showing up in the global models as we end July and head into August. Thanks for listening!

We have a minor area of interest that may try to develop off the Southeast coast of the U.S. in a few days but otherwise, things are still nice and quiet across the Atlantic Basin as an unfavorable overall pattern remains in place to round out the month of July. Thanks for listening!

The Atlantic Basin remains free and clear of any areas of concern and I don't see anything popping up within the various global models over the coming days. In the east Pacific, hurricane Felicia became a category four hurricane with winds of 145 mph as of early this morning. No worries as Felicia will continue to move westward over the open Pacific far from land. Also, a new tropical depression has formed well off the coast of Mexico and it too will track away from land and not pose any issues. Thanks for listening, have a great rest of your weekend!

A nice weekend is on tap as we don't have any issues to be concerned with across the Atlantic Basin over the next several days and likely beyond. Meanwhile, hurricane Felicia in the east Pacific has become a major hurricane with winds of 115 mph as of early this morning. It will continue to move away from Mexico and not pose any threat of impacts to any land areas. Have a great weekend and thanks for listening!

Looks like the quiet pattern will continue across the Atlantic Basin for the next several days as I see no areas of concern developing anytime soon. In the meantime, the eastern Pacific has a new tropical depression that has formed but it will move away from Mexico and not pose any problems. Thanks for listening!

A quiet look to the tropics as we begin the week ahead - at least for the Atlantic Basin with suppressed phases of the MJO and CCKW moving through, helping to keep convection quite minimal from the coast of Africa all the way across the Caribbean and into the Gulf of Mexico. The east Pacific has a couple of areas of potential development well off the coast of Mexico and both features will remain offshore and move away from the Mexican coastline in the coming days. Thanks for listening, have a great week ahead!

The Atlantic Basin looks to remain nice and quiet for the next several days. In the meantime, a couple of disturbances might develop in the eastern Pacific but none pose a threat to land areas. Have a great rest of your weekend, thanks for listening!

Looks like we can enjoy a nice quiet period coming up as less favorable background conditions set up across the Atlantic Basin. We are watching a couple of areas for potential development in the eastern Pacific but neither pose a significant threat to land areas. Thanks for listening, have a great weekend!

Now that Elsa is well inland over the Carolinas the tropics look to calm down for the time being as a less favorable pattern sets up across the Atlantic Basin over the next few weeks. I'll take a look at the latest with Elsa plus a look at the updated July forecasts from CSU and TSR regarding the remainder of the hurricane season all in my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video via YouTube later today. Thanks for listening!

We now have a few areas to keep watch of across the Atlantic Basin this afternoon and beyond. I will take a closer look at what's going on out there, including a look ahead into July using some guidance from the ECMWF upward motion charts, all during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video on YouTube later this afternoon. Thanks for listening, have a great rest of your weekend!

The Atlantic Basin looks to be rather quiet as we head through the weekend but we will keep an eye on a couple of tropical waves as they make their way westward. In the east Pacific, we will likely be talking about the season's first hurricane - Enrique - as what is now a tropical storm in that region gets its self together rather quickly. I will take a look at these features and more in my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video later this afternoon via my YouTube channel. Thanks for listening!

Not a lot going on across the Atlantic Basin right now and it looks to remain generally quiet for the next several days. The same cannot be said for the southeast Pacific where a new tropical depression is likely to form in the coming days and impact Mexico with heavy rain and rough coastal conditions. I'll take a look at all off this - and more - during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video on YouTube later this afternoon. Thanks for listening!

So far, no solid signs of development seen within the overall complex set up across the Atlantic Basin or the eastern Pacific. I think it will take at least a week - perhaps longer - before anything tries to get going, if at all. As always, thanks for listening and be sure to catch my daily video discussion on YouTube.

As we await the upcoming pattern change for the western portion of the Atlantic Basin, it looks like we will soon have a new tropical depression to keep track of in the east Pacific. I will cover all of this and more during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video post later today on my YouTube channel. Thanks for listening - have a great Sunday!

The weekend looks great across the Atlantic Basin with no areas of concern for us to keep tabs on. In the eastern Pacific, Invest 92-E is likely to go on and become a tropical depression sooner rather than later but will not affect any land areas as it moves generally west to west-northwest and out into the open Pacific. Enjoy the weekend and thanks for listening!

Still nice and quiet across the Atlantic Basin today but signs are beginning to show up on a more consistent basis of changes in the pattern that may allow for a more favorable environment once we get to around mid-month or so. I will go over what I am seeing, plus a look at the latest update from Colorado State University's Dr. Phil Klotczbach and the forecast for the hurricane season ahead during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video on YouTube. Thanks for listening - have a great Thursday!

All remains quiet for now in the Atlantic Basin but there are signs of change coming as we move through the mid part of the month. I will cover this and more during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video post on YouTube later this afternoon. Thanks for listening!

Today marks the official start of the Atlantic hurricane season and as we begin the six month journey of watching the tropics, I see no areas of concern anywhere across the Atlantic Basin. In the eastern Pacific, we do have tropical storm Blanca but it poses no threat to land at this time. I will go over a potential pattern change coming up for the Atlantic during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video on YouTube later this afternoon. Check that out at: YouTube.com/hurricanetrack Thanks for listening!

t's the beginning of the 2021 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season, why not to talk to a hurricane expert. Phil Klotzbach, PhD is a part of a group of research scientists working to predict hurricanes. Currently, as of June 1, Phil's team from Colorado State University, yes Colorado, are predicting 17 named storms for 2021. Last year there were 30 named storms, the most since 2005 when there were 28. Phil and his team look at a wide range of data to try and predict seasonal hurricane activity primarily in the Atlantic Basin, this include the Gulf of Mexico. Phil's love of weather began as a kid growing up in New England and has carried to become a world renowned scientist on hurricanes and tropical storms. Phil on Twitter -- https://twitter.com/philklotzbach Colorado State University -Tropical Weather & Climate Research https://tropical.colostate.edu/index.html

Nothing of note across the Atlantic Basin as dry conditions and strong upper level winds prevail. Meanwhile, I think we get the first hurricane of the season in the eastern Pacific sometime over the next week or so. I will take a closer look at all of this and more in my video discussion posted later today on my YouTube channel: youtube.com/hurricanetrack Thanks for tuning in and have a great Thursday!

The Atlantic Basin remains nice and quiet as we round out the month while we watch the southeast Pacific for potential development of a couple of systems there.

The pattern looks to remain nice and quiet across the Atlantic Basin as we round out the month of May. The eastern Pacific, however, looks to become active with the potential for our first hurricane to develop there over the coming days. I take a look at this and more in this morning's update. Thanks for listening!

Subtropical storm Ana will depart the scene and leave the Atlantic Basin nice and quiet as we begin the new week. Our attention will then be focused upon the Bay of Bengal where a powerful cyclone is forecast to develop by the global models. This could pose a significant threat to areas such as Bangladesh several days down the road. Have a great rest of your weekend - thanks for listening!

Are recent shifts in Atlantic Basin products arbitrages an unusual pandemic feature or the new normal for clean tanker trade? And are the 38kt US Gulf Coast-to-Brazil and 37,000 mt UK Continent-West Africa freight runs the new pacesetters of the Americas and European freight markets? S&P Global Platts Americas managing editor Barbara Troner examines the southward shift in Atlantic Basin clean tanker trade flows to Latin America- and West Africa-bound voyages with Platts experts Marieke Alsguth in Houston and Chris To in London. For free access to information on the dynamics and assessment methodology of the MR USGC-Brazil, please click here or send us an email at tankers@spglobal.com.

Eta may strengthen into a hurricane as it approaches the FL Keys. We're also monitoring two additional systems in the Atlantic Basin that could become tropical cyclones. Last, we discuss the statistics of this hurricane season. --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app

Dramatic temperature changes on the way and for only the second time in recorded history, the Atlantic Basin has spawned a tropical storm named Epsilon. AccuWeather's Bernie Rayno (@AccuRayno on Twitter) has all the details on today's "Weather Insider" podcast! Download the new AccuWeather app today, available now in the App Store on iOS and in the Google Play Store - https://accuweather.onelink.me/dZpv/49183895 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode of This Green Earth Chris and Nell are joined by Dr. Jeff Masters, an expert in tropical weather, provides an update on the record breaking hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin.

Louisiana residents left reeling after Delta wallops Gulf Coast. And as Delta's rain spreads across the eastern United States, AccuWeather meteorologists are turning their attention to a tropical wave cruising across the tropical Atlantic this week. AccuWeather's Bernie Rayno (@AccuRayno on Twitter) has all the details on today's "Weather Insider" podcast! Download the new AccuWeather app today, available now in the App Store on iOS and in the Google Play Store - https://accuweather.onelink.me/dZpv/49183895 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode of the podcast we look at the 5 named storms in the Atlantic Basin.

Subscribe to Patreon to support this channel and get in depth weather coverage every day! Join for a full year and get a 15% discount. https://patreon.com/meteorologistjoecioffi Joe & Joe Weather Show this Monday September 14, 2020 sees Hurricane Sally strengthening in the Northern Gulf if Mexico with landfall Tuesday probably along the Mississippi/Alabama Gulf Coast and east of New Orleans. Winds are 90 mph with additional strengthening possible overnight. Heavy rains of 10 to 20 inches possible due to the slow movement. Hurricane Paulette passed over Bermuda this morning with the entire island inside the eye! It is strengthening into a major hurricane as it moves away and it is also roughing up the surf from New England to the Mid Atlantic over the next couple of days. Tropical Storms Teddy and Vicky are in the Tropical Atlantic an no threat to land while Rene hangs on as a tropical depression. 5 named features are in the Atlantic Basin which is a rare occurence. You can support this channel by doing your Amazon shopping from this link. https://www.amazon.com/shop/meteorologistjoecioffi We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites. --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/joe-cioffi/support

Welcome to The Petcoke Podcast, a new series discussing key developments for the global petroleum coke markets with expert industry participants.Listen in as Lauren Masterson, Argus Petroleum Coke Editor, speaks with Roberto Schurmann, Global Head of Trading at Votorantim Cimentos. They discuss how the impacts of the coronavirus pandemic have varied in different countries based on their market fundamentals and political approaches to the crisis. Roberto shares his valuable insight into cement demand and when supply will return.

On today's edition of the "Weather Insider" Podcast, AccuWeather's Bernie Rayno (@AccuRayno on Twitter) has all the details on an "abnormally large dust cloud" from the Sahara that is making a 5,000-mile trek across the Atlantic, heralding the chance of red sunrises and sunsets across the Gulf Coast and suppressing tropical development in the Atlantic Basin. Plus, Bernie provides an update on a widespread threat for severe thunderstorms Monday afternoon through Monday night will exist across portions of the southern Plains through the middle Mississippi Valley.

Welcome to June 2020's edition of Recharge by Battery Materials Review, in which we discuss all the recent news and developments in the batteries, end markets and battery materials sectors. Our Focus topics this month are on (1) EU Green stimulus which I believe will be enormously positive for battery raw materials. European EV sales are set to surprise on the upside this year which will have substantial knock-on impacts on battery demand and hence raw materials demand for batteries. Given that inventories of many products are low, any increase in shipments has the potential to clear them out rapidly, leading to a significant pop in prices; and (2) The importance of Piedmont Lithium’s PFS into a merchant spodumene concentrate/lithium hydroxide converter and what its implications are for hard rock developers around the Atlantic Basin.

Click to listen to episode (5:22)Sections below are the following: Transcript of Audio Audio Notes and AcknowledgmentsImagesExtra InformationSources Related Water Radio Episodes For Virginia Teachers (Relevant SOLs, etc.)Unless otherwise noted, all Web addresses mentioned were functional as of 5-22-20. TRANSCRIPT OF AUDIO From the Cumberland Gap to the Atlantic Ocean, this is Virginia Water Radio for the week of May 25, 2020. MUSIC – ~10 seconds - instrumental That’s part of “DBW,” by The Faux Paws, from a 2018 collection called “The Hurricane EP” because it resulted when plans changed due to Hurricane Florence, which struck the Atlantic coast in September 2018.  That makes the tune a fitting opening for our annual preview of the Atlantic tropical cyclone season.  Have a listen for about 30 seconds to 21 names that we hope will NOT become infamous this summer or fall. GUEST VOICES and INSTRUMENTAL MUSIC - ~26 sec – “Arthur.  Bertha.  Cristobal.  Dolly.  Edouard.  Fay.  Gonzalo.  Hanna.   Isaias.  Josephine.  Kyle.  Laura.  Marco.  Nana.  Omar.  Paulette.  Rene.  Sally.  Teddy.  Vicky.  Wilfred.” You heard the names planned for storms that may occur during the 2020 tropical cyclone season in the Atlantic Basin.  The names were accompanied by “Tropical Tantrum,” by Torrin Hallett.  The Atlantic basin includes the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico, and the Atlantic tropical cyclone season runs officially from June 1 through November 30.  But tropical weather doesn’t always abide by the official dates.  For the past five years in the Atlantic basin, named storms have formed before June 1: Hurricane Alex in mid-January 2016; Tropical Storm Arlene in April 2017; Subtropical Storm Alberto in May 2018; Subtropical Storm Andrea in May 2019; and this year, Tropical Storm Arthur on May 17. Tropical storms and hurricanes are two categories of tropical cyclones, which are rotating storm systems that start in tropical or sub-tropical latitudes.  A tropical cyclone is called a tropical storm—and gets a name—when sustained wind speeds reach 39 miles per hour; at 74 miles per hour, a tropical cyclone is considered a hurricane.  Tropical depressions—with wind speeds below 39 miles per hour—don’t get named if they never reach tropical storm wind speed,* but they can still bring heavy rainfall and flooding.  Hurricane-force storms are called simply tropical cyclones in some parts of the world and called typhoons in other parts. [*Editor's note, not in the audio: A tropical system that never gets above the tropical depression wind-speed level won’t be given a name.  But a lingering tropical depression that previously was at the wind speed of a tropical storm or hurricane will have a name associated with it.]Before a tropical system of any speed or name barges into the Old Dominion, here are some important preparedness steps you can take:Make a written emergency plan, including an evacuation plan;Assemble an emergency kit of food, water, medicines, and supplies, including cleaning and sanitation supplies needed in this year of the coronavirus pandemic;Prepare your home for high winds; andEstablish ways to stay informed, especially if the power goes out.Detailed safety tips for hurricanes and other severe weather are available from the “Safety” link at the National Weather Service Web site, www.weather.gov.  While the Weather Service’s “Hurricane Preparedness Week” for 2020 was May 3-9, right now is still a good time to start getting ready for the next tropical cyclone! Thanks to several Blacksburg, Va., friends for lending their voices to this episode, and thanks to Torrin Hallett for composing “Tropical Tantrum” for Virginia Water Radio in 2017.  Thanks also to Andrew VanNorstrand for permission to use this week’s music by The Faux Paws, and we close with about 20 more seconds of “DBW,” from The Hurricane EP. MUSIC - ~22 sec – instrumental SHIP’S BELL Virginia Water Radio is produced by the Virginia Water Resources Research Center, part of Virginia Tech’s College of Natural Resources and Environment.  For more Virginia water sounds, music, or information, visit us online at virginiawaterradio.org, or call the Water Center at (540) 231-5624.  Thanks to Stewart Scales for his banjo version of Cripple Creek to open and close this show.  In Blacksburg, I’m Alan Raflo, thanking you for listening, and wishing you health, wisdom, and good water. AUDIO NOTES AND ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS “DBW,” from the 2018 album “The Hurricane EP,” is copyright by The Faux Paws, used with permission of Andrew VanNorstrand.  Information about “The Hurricane EP” and The Faux Paws is available online at https://thefauxpaws.bandcamp.com/releases. The 2020 Atlantic tropical cyclone season names were called out by 11 Blacksburg friends of Virginia Water radio on May 21-22, 2020.  Thanks to those people for participating in this episode. “Tropical Tantrum” is copyright 2017 by Torrin Hallett, used with permission.  Torrin is a 2018 graduate of Oberlin College and Conservatory in Oberlin, Ohio; as of 2020, he is a graduate student in Horn Performance at Manhattan School of Music in New York.  More information about Torrin is available online at https://www.facebook.com/torrin.hallett. Thanks to Torrin for composing “Tropical Tantrum” especially for Virginia Water Radio; to hear the complete piece (28 seconds), please click here. Click here if you’d like to hear the full version (1 min./11 sec.) of the “Cripple Creek” arrangement/performance by Stewart Scales that opens and closes this episode.  More information about Mr. Scales and the group New Standard, with which Mr. Scales plays, is available online at http://newstandardbluegrass.com. IMAGES Map showing the names, dates, and tracks of named Atlantic basin tropical cyclones (tropical storms and hurricanes) in 2019. Map from the National Hurricane Center, “2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season,” online at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2019&basin=atl.Satellite image of Hurricane Dorian, just prior to the storm’s landfall over Cape Hatteras, N.C., on September 6, 2019. Image from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), accessed online at https://www.nesdis.noaa.gov/content/goes-east-sees-dorian-moments-making-landfall-over-cape-hatteras-nc, 5/26/20. EXTRA INFORMATION On Tropical Cyclone Preparedness The following information is quoted from the National Weather Service’s “Hurricane Preparedness Week 2020” list of tips for each day of a week, online at http://www.weather.gov/wrn/hurricane-preparedness#prepweek. “Day 1 - Determine your risk.Find out today what types of wind and water hazards could happen where you live, and then start preparing how to handle them. Hurricanes are not just a coastal problem.  Their impacts can be felt hundreds of miles inland, and significant impacts can occur without it being a major hurricane. “Day 2 - Develop an evacuation plan.The first thing you need to do is find out if you live in a hurricane evacuation zone.  If you do, now is the time to begin planning where you would go and how you would get there.  You do not need to travel hundreds of miles, but have multiple options.  Your destination could be a friend or relative who doesn’t live in an evacuation zone.  If you live in a well-built home outside the evacuation zone, your safest place may be to remain home.  Be sure to account for your pets in your plan.  As hurricane season approaches, listen to local officials on questions related to how you may need to adjust any evacuation plans based on the latest health and safety guidelines from the CDC [U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention] and your local officials. “Day 3 - Assemble disaster supplies.You’re going to need supplies not just to get through the storm but for the potentially lengthy and unpleasant aftermath.  Have enough non-perishable food, water and medicine to last each person in your family a minimum of three days.  Electricity and water could be out for at least that long.  You’ll need extra cash, a battery-powered radio and flashlights.  You may need a portable crank or solar-powered USB charger for your cell phones.  The CDC recommends [that] if you need to go to a public shelter, bring at least two cloth face coverings for each person and, if possible, hand sanitizer.  (Children under two years old and people having trouble breathing should not wear face coverings). “Day 4 – Get an insurance check-up. Call your insurance company or agent and ask for an insurance check-up to make sure you have enough homeowners insurance to repair or even replace your home.  Don’t forget coverage for your car or boat.  Remember, standard homeowners insurance doesn’t cover flooding.  Whether you’re a homeowner or renter, you’ll need a separate policy for it, and it’s available through your company, agent or the National Flood Insurance Program at floodsmart.gov.  Act now as flood insurance requires a 30-day waiting period. “Day 5 - Strengthen your home.If you plan to ride out the storm in your home, make sure it is in good repair and up to local hurricane building code specifications.  Many retrofits are not as costly or time consuming as you may think.  Have the proper plywood, steel or aluminum panels to board up the windows and doors.  Remember, the garage door is the most vulnerable part of the home, so it must be able to withstand the winds.“Day 6 – Help your neighbor.Many Americans rely on their neighbors after a disaster, but there are also many ways you can help your neighbors before a hurricane approaches.  Learn about all the different actions you and your neighbors can take to prepare and recover from the hazards associated with hurricanes.  Start the conversation now...[and] remember you may need to adjust your preparedness plans based on the latest health and safety guidelines from the CDC and your local officials.“Day 7 - Complete a written plan.The time to prepare for a hurricane is before the season begins, when you have the time and are not under pressure.  If you wait until a hurricane is on your doorstep, the odds are that you will be under duress and will make the wrong decisions.  Take the time now to write down your hurricane plan.  Know who issues evacuation orders for your area, determine locations on where you will ride out the storm, and start to get your supplies now.  Being prepared before a hurricane threatens makes you resilient to the hurricane impacts of wind and water.  It will mean the difference between being a hurricane victim or a hurricane survivor.” On Tropical Cyclone Names The following information is quoted from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, “Tropical Cyclone Names,” online at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml. “Since 1953, Atlantic tropical storms had been named from lists originated by the National Hurricane Center.  They are now maintained and updated through a strict procedure by an international committee of the World Meteorological Organization [online at http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/www/tcp/]. “[Six lists] are used in rotation and re-cycled every six years, i.e., the 2019 list will be used again in 2025.  The only time that there is a change in the list is if a storm is so deadly or costly that the future use of its name on a different storm would be inappropriate for reasons of sensitivity.  If that occurs, then at an annual meeting by the WMO committee (called primarily to discuss many other issues) the offending name is stricken from the list and another name is selected to replace it.  Several names have been retired since the lists were created.  [More information on the history of naming tropical cyclones and retired names is available online at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames_history.shtml.] “If a storm forms in the off-season, it will take the next name in the list based on the current calendar date.  For example, if a tropical cyclone formed on December 28th, it would take the name from the previous season's list of names.  If a storm formed in February, it would be named from the subsequent season's list of names.  In the event that more than twenty-one named tropical cyclones occur in the Atlantic basin in a season, additional storms will take names from the Greek alphabet.” SOURCES Used for Audio National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), “NASA Provides in-Depth Analysis of Unusual Tropical Storm Alex,” 1/15/16, online at http://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2016/alex-atlantic-ocean. National Hurricane Center (NHC): Main Web page, online at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?atlc. This site provides bulletins, maps, and other information on tropical storms as they are occurring. “Glossary,” online at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml. This site includes the wind-scale designations for tropical depression, tropical storm, and hurricane.“Hurricane Preparedness Week, May 3-9, 2020” online at https://www.weather.gov/wrn/hurricane-preparedness (as of 5/22/20). “NHC Data Archive,” online at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/. “Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale,” online at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. “2016 Hurricane Alex Advisory Archive,” online at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2016/ALEX.shtml?. “2017 Tropical Storm Arlene Advisory Archive,” online at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2017/ARLENE.shtml?. “2018 Hurricane Florence Advisory Archive,” online at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2018/FLORENCE.shtml?. “2018 Subtropical Storm Alberto Advisory Archive,” online at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2018/ALBERTO.shtml?. “2019 Subtropical Storm Andrea Advisory Archive” online at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2019/ANDREA.shtml?. “2020 Tropical Storm Arthur Advisory Archive,” online at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2020/ARTHUR.shtml?. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA): “Busy Atlantic hurricane season predicted for 2020,” 5/21/20, online at https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/noaa-predicts-near-normal-2019-atlantic-hurricane-season.“Tropical Cyclone Names,” online at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml. “What’s the difference between a hurricane and a typhoon?” online at https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/facts/cyclone.html.National Weather Service: “Historic Hurricane Florence, September 12-15, 2018,” online at https://www.weather.gov/mhx/Florence2018. “Hurricane Safety Tips and Resources,” online at https://www.weather.gov/safety/hurricane. “Tropical Cyclone Climatology,” online at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/climo/. For More Information on Tropical Cyclones and Emergency PreparednessAmerican Red Cross, “Hurricane Safety,” online at http://www.redcross.org/prepare/disaster/hurricane.Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), “Hurricanes,” online at http://www.ready.gov/hurricanes.National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA)/Climate Prediction Center, “Atlantic Hurricane Outlook and Summary Archive,” http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/hurricane-archive.shtml. Virginia Department of Emergency Management “Know Your Zone” Web site for evacuation planning, online at http://www.vaemergency.gov/hurricane-evacuation-zone-lookup/.Virginia Department of Transportation, “VDOT and Emergency Response” (including hurricane evacuation information), online at http://www.virginiadot.org/about/emer_response.asp. RELATED VIRGINIA WATER RADIO EPISODES All Water Radio episodes are listed by category at the Index link above (http://www.virginiawaterradio.org/p/index.html).  See particularly the “Weather/Climate/Natural Disasters” subject category. Following are links to other episodes on tropical cyclones.Episode 134, 10-29-12 – Hurricane Sandy and storm surge. Episode 163, 5-27-13 – annual season-preview episode.Episode 215, 5-26-14 – annual season-preview episode, with storm names for 2014.Episode 226, 8-11-14 – mid-season update.Episode 266, 5-18-15 – annual season-preview episode, with storm names for 2015.Episode 317, 5-27-16 – annual season-preview episode, with storm names for 2016.Episode 330, 8-22-16 – mid-season update.Episode 337, 10-10-16 – Hurricane Matthew and storm surge.Episode 345, 12-5-16 – season-review episode.Episode 369, 5-22-17 – annual season-preview episode, with storm names for 2017. Episode 385, 9-11-17 – Hurricane Irma and storm surge. Episode 423, 6-2-18 – annual season-preview episode, with storm names for 2018.Episode 438, 9-17-18 – basic hurricane facts and history. Episode 474, 5-27-19 – annual season-preview episode, with storm names for 2019. Following are other music pieces composed by Torrin Hallett for Virginia Water Radio, with episodes featuring the music. “Beetle Ballet” – used in Episode 525, 5-18-20, on aquatic beetles. “Corona Cue” – used in Episode 517, 3-23-20, on the coronavirus pandemic. “Geese Piece” – used most recently in Episode 440, 10-1-18, on E-bird. “Lizard Lied” – used in Episode 514, 3-2-20, on lizards. “New Year’s Water” – used in Episode 349, 1-2-17, on the New Year. “Rain Refrain” – used most recently in Episode 455, 1-14-19, on record Virginia precipitation in 2019. “Spider Strike” – used in Episode 523, 5-4-20, on fishing spiders. “Turkey Tune” – used in Episode 343, 11-21-16, on the Wild Turkey. FOR VIRGINIA TEACHERS – RELATED STANDARDS OF LEARNING (SOLs) AND OTHER INFORMATION Following are some Virginia Standards of Learning (SOLs) that may be supported by this episode’s audio/transcript, sources of information, or other materials in the Show Notes. 2013 Music SOLs SOLs at various grade levels that call for “examining the relationship of music to the other fine arts and other fields of knowledge.” 2010 Science SOLs Grades K-6 Earth/Space Interrelationships Theme2.6 – identification of common storms and other weather phenomena. 4.6 – weather conditions, phenomena, and measurements.5.6 – characteristics of the ocean environment. Grades K-6 Living Systems Theme 6.7 – natural processes and human interactions that affect watershed systems; Va. watersheds, water bodies, and wetlands; health and safety issues; and water monitoring. Grades K-6 Matter Theme6.6 – Properties of air (including pressure, temperature, and humidity) and structure/dynamics of earth’s atmosphere. Life Science Course LS.10 - changes over time in ecosystems, communities, and populations, and factors affecting those changes, including climate changes and catastrophic disturbances. LS.11 – relationships between ecosystem dynamics and human activity.Earth Science CourseES.11 – origin, evolution, and dynamics of the atmosphere, including human influences on climate. ES.12 – energy, atmosphere, weather, and climate. Biology Course BIO.8 – dynamic equilibria and interactions within populations, communities, and ecosystems; including nutrient cycling, succession, effects of natural events and human activities, and analysis of the flora, fauna, and microorganisms of Virginia ecosystems. 2015 Social Studies SOLs Civics and Economics Course CE.6 – government at the national level. World Geography Course WG.2 - how selected physical and ecological processes shape the Earth’s surface, including climate, weather, and how humans influence their environment and are influenced by it. Government Course GOVT.7 – national government organization and powers. Virginia’s SOLs are available from the Virginia Department of Education, online at http://www.doe.virginia.gov/testing/. Following are links to Water Radio episodes (various topics) designed especially for certain K-12 grade levels. Episode 250, 1-26-15 – on boiling, for kindergarten through 3rd grade. Episode 255, 3-2-15 – on density, for 5th and 6th grade. Episode 282, 9-21-15 – on living vs. non-living, for kindergarten. Episode 309, 3-28-16 – on temperature regulation in animals, for kindergarten through 12th grade. Episode 333, 9-12-16 – on dissolved gases, especially dissolved oxygen in aquatic habitats, for 5th grade. Episode 403, 1-15-18 – on freezing and ice, for kindergarten through 3rd grade. Episode 404, 1-22-18 – on ice on ponds and lakes, for 4th through 8th grade. Episode 406, 2-5-18 – on ice on rivers, for middle school. Episode 407, 2-12-18 – on snow chemistry and physics, for high school. Episode 483, 7-29-19 – on buoyancy and drag, for middle school and high school. Episode 524, 5-11-20 – on sounds by water-related animals, for elementary school through high school.

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622 The prophet Muhammad completes his Hegira, or “flight,” from Mecca to Medina to escape persecution. In Medina, Muhammad set about building the followers of his religion—Islam—into an organized community and Arabian power. The Hegira would later mark the beginning (year 1) of the Muslim calendar. 1789 The Judiciary Act of 1789 is passed by Congress and signed by President George Washington, establishing the Supreme Court of the United States as a tribunal made up of six justices who were to serve on the court until death or retirement. That day, President Washington nominated John Jay to preside as chief justice, and John Rutledge, William Cushing, John Blair, Robert Harrison, and James Wilson to be associate justices. On September 26, all six appointments were confirmed by the U.S. Senate. 1960 The USS Enterprise (CVN-65), the first nuclear powered aircraft carrier, is launched. The only ship of her class, Enterprise was, at the time of inactivation, the third-oldest commissioned vessel in the United States Navy after the wooden-hulled USS Constitution and environmental research ship USS Pueblo. She was inactivated on 1 December 2012, and officially decommissioned on 3 February 2017, after over 55 years of service. She was stricken from the Naval Vessel Register the same day. 2005 Hurricane Rita made landfall as a Category 3 Major Hurricane near Johnson's Bayou, Louisiana, between Sabine Pass, Texas and Holly Beach, Louisiana. Rita was the 4th named storm to make landfall during the 2005 season, and the 3rd hurricane to strike the US. Rita was the 4th most intense hurricane on record in the Atlantic Basin as the time, and the most intense hurricane ever observed in the Gulf of Mexico. Rita caused $12 billion in damages and a state of disaster was declared in 9 Texas Counties and 5 Louisiana Parishes as a result of the devastation.

Sour crude oil differentials have risen sharply relative to sweet crude grades in the Atlantic Basin as OPEC moves to cut back on production, sending the differential between the Brent and Dubai markets to its narrowest levels since 2017. In this edition of the podcast, S&P Global Platts...

Market expectations for Q4 were sky-high, but has the dry bulk sector delivered on its Q3 promise? S&P Global Platts Sam Eckett and Arthur Richier discuss how geopolitical challenges have affected different commodities around the Atlantic Basin, and how freight rates have been impacted as a...

With terrifying headlines like that, is it any wonder that your audience could be suffering from “Post-Category 5” Syndrome? It’s the catastrophe after the catastrophe that most people don’t realize they need to prepare for!Hurricanes, floods, fires, tsunamis, and other destructive weather outcomes – we’ve been literally inundated during this particularly tough season, and there could still be more to come!Christine Perakis, Esq., The STORM WARRIOR, and she's your go-to expert about surviving and thriving in this tumultuous hurricane season. She spent her adult life as a professional rescuer, business growth expert, and media liaison, AND found herself marooned alone in her Caribbean island home during the most cataclysmic Atlantic Basin storm ever recorded!Gain advice and insights to audiences about navigating and healing from "Post-Category 5 Syndrome."

With terrifying headlines like that, is it any wonder that your audience could be suffering from “Post-Category 5” Syndrome? It’s the catastrophe after the catastrophe that most people don’t realize they need to prepare for!Hurricanes, floods, fires, tsunamis, and other destructive weather outcomes – we’ve been literally inundated during this particularly tough season, and there could still be more to come!Christine Perakis, Esq., The STORM WARRIOR, and she's your go-to expert about surviving and thriving in this tumultuous hurricane season. She spent her adult life as a professional rescuer, business growth expert, and media liaison, AND found herself marooned alone in her Caribbean island home during the most cataclysmic Atlantic Basin storm ever recorded!Gain advice and insights to audiences about navigating and healing from "Post-Category 5 Syndrome."

Robert Beaman, managing editor for European and African crude oil, discusses the widening contango on the ICE Brent Futures structure with crude editors Eklavya Gupte and Ned Molloy. As steep contango encourages traders to put Atlantic Basin, Persian Gulf and Asian crudes into inland and floating...

WB Canna Co & Wellness Provides logistics expertise and guidance to bring their brands into the market and adapt the route to market strategies to fit the Cannabis & Wellness Industries. Work with their producer partners to develop and activate marketing plans for WB's brands. They also support wholesaler sales force to gain points of distribution and educate their clients and customers in the market. Act as regional leaders in legal and compliance needs across the fragmented geography of the Atlantic Basin. WB Canna Co & Wellness has a plan to break down barriers of traditional mindsets by educating and guiding our consumers towards a more holistic lifestyle.