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Six months into the US’s war with Iran, is any kind of military victory possible? Or is the Strait of Hormuz the US’s Suez? Rear admiral Mark Montgomery, Bloomberg’s Dina Esfandiary and historian Stephen Wertheim discuss.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
En este nuevo CTPFA hablamos de comunicaciones marítimas y de la importancia que tiene para la historia y la economía el que los barcos transporten personas y mercancías por el espacio más corto entre dos mares. Por eso, hablamos de los dos grandes canales que ha construido el hombre: los de Panamá y Suez. Con Nieves Concostrina acompañada por Emma Vallespinós, Ana Valtierra, Pepe Rubio y el invitado de Jesús Pozo, Germán de Melo, presidente del Colegio de Oficiales de la Marina Mercante Española. Y en la técnica María Jesús Rodríguez.
En este nuevo CTPFA hablamos de comunicaciones marítimas y de la importancia que tiene para la historia y la economía el que los barcos transporten personas y mercancías por el espacio más corto entre dos mares. Por eso, hablamos de los dos grandes canales que ha construido el hombre: los de Panamá y Suez. Con Nieves Concostrina acompañada por Emma Vallespinós, Ana Valtierra, Pepe Rubio y el invitado de Jesús Pozo, Germán de Melo, presidente del Colegio de Oficiales de la Marina Mercante Española. Y en la técnica María Jesús Rodríguez.
//The Wire//2300Z August 13, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: EXPLOSION REPORTED AT ITALIAN MUNITIONS FACTORY. WHITE HOUSE PRESS SECRETARY RESIGNS. IEA REPORT CONFIRMS OIL CRISIS INCREASES IN SEVERITY WORLDWIDE. PRESIDENT PUTIN VISITS CONTROVERSIAL ISLAND CHAIN IN FAR EAST.// -----BEGIN TEARLINE------International Events-Italy: This morning an explosion was reported at the KNDS munitions factory near the town of Colleferro. This facility produced artillery rounds and solid-fuel propellants for the Ukrainian military. No casualties have been reported, as the explosion took place during the summertime vacation season, when nobody was working at the factory. The cause of the blast has not yet been disclosed.Analyst Comment: Industrial accidents happen all the time, but it's not everyday that a factory making explosives for Ukraine suffers such a catastrophic blast, with no prior warning, and with nobody actually at the plant. Reading between the lines, most assumptions are that this might have been malign action related to the war in Ukraine, however nothing has been released regarding that theory yet.Far East: Overnight, Russian President Vladimir Putin conducted a surprise visit to the Kuril Islands, an island chain north of Japan which has a hotly-contested history originating back with World War Two. President Putin visited Iturup Island for the first time, and mostly conducted tours of the facilities, including a fish processing factory, a school, and a hospital. During the visit, Putin specifically mentioned the Japanese sanctions on Russia, which were imposed after the 2022 invasion of Ukraine, stating that Russia has no grievances against Japan. Putin also directly mentioned the fact that in Japan's latest military publications, Russia is classified as a source of major threat, which Putin denied.Analyst Comment: This sparsely-populated island chain is just north of Japan, and was initially gifted to the Soviet Union during the 1945 Yalta agreement (though Japan disputes the legality of this). In practice, Russia dominates the four main islands, and a few dozen of the smaller uninhabited islands. Putin visiting a small island north of Japan is a major signal that Russia is interested in what's going on in their backyard, and that their far eastern regions are certainly not forgotten. This visit was deliberately intended to pressure Japan to reexamine their sanctions, as well as to serve as a not-so-subtle reminder, that mainland Russia is much closer to Tokyo than the mainland United States is.-HomeFront-Washington D.C. - White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt announced her resignation yesterday evening, which will come into effect at the end of the month. The reason for her resignation has been stated to be personal, to spend time with her family. Her replacement has not been officially announced, and most mainstream media is speculating that a replacement will not be named until after the midterms.Analyst Comment: The real reason for her resignation is probably for personal reasons, but vastly more personal reasons than anyone knows. The tabloids are running some rather juicy theories and rumors at the moment, most of which are related to the continuing scandal originating from the Air Force One plane swap incident in Turkey last month, and the details of who was selected to join the President onboard the covert plane...and who was left on the decoy.-----END TEARLINE-----Analyst Comments: Overnight, the International Energy Agency's report for the month of August was published, which provides more fidelity on the energy production throughout the Middle East. Based on the IEA's report, the situation is dire and now the sheer lack of oil is a problem. Even with all of the efforts to open the Strait, and with the brief ceasefire which resulted in a surge of tankers (before the Strait closed again), we still have a global shortage of 8.3 million bbl/day. This is roughly 8% of the entire planet's oil demand, which remains offline due to the war.As the energy crisis is firmly an emergency situation at this point, the biggest impact to the American people right now will take the form of Diesel prices rising higher, until eventual shortages begin. When the shortages will begin, is anyone's guess, but since the war has dragged on for so long, the second and third order effects are already well underway. Right now, the problem is not just a shortage of crude...it's also a problem of getting the right type of crude, to the right type of refineries. The complicated mess of secondary and tertiary disruptions has resulted in bottlenecks along the whole process, and since Hormuz, the BAM, Suez, and the Black Sea are all negatively affected in some manner by effectively three wars, roughly 20% of all global maritime diesel exports are effectively cut off.As a result, the biggest immediate problem for the U.S. is refining diesel at the scale needed to avoid shortages, which is why many people have been surprised to see diesel prices starting to creep up again over the past couple of weeks nationwide. The US can turn the tap and drain the SPR all we want, but that will not solve the immediate problem of the dwindling diesel supply in the short term.Analyst: S2A1 Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground NomadNet: 5fa68c88be727a0e1a250a75e5e79269 Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report. //END REPORT//
Before the start of the Tour de France Femmes avec Zwift in Lausanne, Kate Courtney sat down with Abby and Loren to talk about her move to the WorldTour with FDJ United-Suez, how her first road races went, and why she values building her personal brand.
Alors que les tensions dans le Golfe et les sanctions américaines compliquent les routes traditionnelles du commerce mondial, la Chine inaugure une nouvelle voie : sa « route de la soie arctique » vers l'Europe. À partir du 12 août 2026, la compagnie Sea Legend ouvre la première ligne régulière de fret reliant ports chinois et européens par les eaux polaires, réduisant le trajet à une vingtaine de jours contre 40 par Suez et 50 par le cap de Bonne-Espérance. Quels sont les véritables intérêts de Pékin en passant l'Arctique ? La Russie ayant investi massivement dans ce projet, cela signifie-t-il que Pékin dépendra de Moscou pour une partie de son commerce avec l'Europe ? Avec Emmanuel Véron, géographe, spécialiste de la Chine contemporaine et enseignant-chercheur au centre HEC de géopolitique.
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The Iran-backed Houthis have carried out their first deadly strikes of the war, killing six mariners in a double-tap ballistic missile attack on a cargo vessel in the Red Sea. Meanwhile, near the Strait of Hormuz, US Navy helicopters have fired Hellfire missiles to disable a ship breaking Donald Trump's blockade.On today's episode of Iran: The Latest, Venetia Rainey is joined by veteran British Army officer Tim Collins, famous for his ‘tread lightly' speech prior to leading British troops into Iraq in 2003 (and dramatised by Kenneth Branagh in the 2008 BBC series 10 Days to War). Just back from a trip to Bahrain, Tim unpacks the difficult position the Gulf is now in and the parallels between the Iraq and Iran regimes. Plus, is this America's Suez Crisis? Tim argues that US dominance is declining as a result of the fast-escalating conflict and offers a piece of advice to Trump for how to end the war.CREDIT: BBC HighlightsUS Navy fires Hellfires as Houthi Red Sea strikes kill first marinersIs the Iran war America's Suez Crisis moment?CONTRIBUTORS:Venetia Rainey, co-host and executive producer @venetiaraineyTim Collins, former British Army officer @tim_324WATCH US ON YOUTUBE: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLJnf_DDTfIVAif-vifC6F2aoPB8GIw6dkCONTENT REFERENCED:Tim Collins: Britain's old friend and ally in the Gulf would welcome us backhttps://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/08/10/britains-old-friend-and-ally-in-the-gulf-would-welcome-us/Britain opens first naval overseas base in 50 years in sign of ‘global reach' https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/04/05/britain-opens-first-naval-overseas-base-50-years-sign-global/Col. Tim Collins' full speech, Kuwait, 19 March, 2003https://www.dajobe.org/2003/03/collins/BBC: 10 Days to War mini series https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b009rcp0Winner Best News and Analysis Podcast - Publisher Podcast Awards 2026Nominated Podcast of the Year - Society of Editors News Podcasts Awards 2026Nominated Best News, Politics and Current Affairs - British Podcast Awards 2026The Telegraph, Winner Podcast Publisher of the Year 2026 - Publisher Podcast Awards 2026Producer: Peter ShevlinVideo Producer: Max BowerResearcher and Social Producer: Anna HindmarshStudio Operator: Andy WatsonExecutive Producer: Venetia Rainey ► Sign up to our most popular newsletter, From the Editor. Look forward to receiving free-thinking comment and the day's biggest stories, every morning. telegraph.co.uk/fromtheeditor► EMAIL US: Contact the team on battlelines@telegraph.co.uk► GET THE LATEST HEADLINES: Find all our latest Iran coverage here: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/iran-war/ Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
No American or foreign leader has met with as many sitting U.S. presidents as Queen Elizabeth II. Her 70-year reign witnessed the highs and lows of the close and crucial alliance between the United States and the United Kingdom, from the Suez crisis to Brexit. Following the advice of her mentor, Winston Churchill, to “stay close to the Americans,” Queen Elizabeth played an unexpected role behind the scenes that has never been thoroughly explored. Susan Page changes that with her new book The Queen and Her Presidents: The Hidden Hand That Shaped History. Described as “The Crown” meets “The West Wing,” it chronicles the largely unknown story of Queen Elizabeth II's relationship with 13 American presidents, from Harry S. Truman to Donald J. Trump. With that, she changed the world. Veteran political reporter Susan Page goes beyond the image of a staid monarch in colorful hats to reveal a skilled strategist, who, like many powerful women, was routinely underestimated and discounted. She also shows the impact American presidents had on the monarch as she developed from a shy, anxious princess to a powerful and persuasive global leader, and analyzes both the reach and the limits of the “soft power” she wielded. These accounts of the Queen's deft diplomacy provide candid and telling assessments of her partners in the Oval Office as well. What was the reality of the relationship between Donald Trump and Queen Elizabeth? What did the Queen and Barack Obama think about each other? How did she navigate between Ronald Reagan and her own prime minister, Margaret Thatcher? And what about Richard Nixon seeking the Queen's help during Watergate—and even wanting to make her a relative? Join us for a fascinating discussion about an often underestimated figure who played a big role in the history of the United States and Britain. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
In today's episode of Trending Middle East, US President Donald Trump says new negotiations with Iran will begin after he halted a planned military strike. Diplomacy is expected to focus first on reopening the Strait of Hormuz before addressing Tehran's nuclear programme. We also look at falling oil prices as markets react to renewed hopes for diplomacy. We examine a magnitude-5.6 earthquake near Suez, Egypt that was felt across several countries in the eastern Mediterranean. In this episode, we also find out more about the UAE becoming only the second country to approve a new daily pill to treat high cholesterol. We explore Dubai reporting a 12 per cent drop in public transport journeys during the first half of the year, with the Iran war affecting tourism and commuting patterns across the emirate. Trending Middle East is AI-assisted, using original reporting published in The National and curated and edited by humans.
La costa de la Región de Murcia ha vuelto a situarse en el centro de la investigación marina internacional tras la publicación de estudios que documentan la presencia de especies de afinidad tropical en sus aguas. Entre los descubrimientos más destacados se encuentra el primer registro gráfico de una manta gigante oceánica viva en el Mediterráneo, avistada en Cabo Tiñoso en 2023, así como la identificación del chucho negro (o raya redonda), una especie común en zonas cálidas como Canarias que no había sido citada formalmente en el Mediterráneo español hasta estas investigaciones.Estos avistamientos son indicadores de un proceso de tropicalización del Mediterráneo, cuyas aguas alcanzaron temperaturas medias de 26,6ºC a finales de julio, con picos que superaron los 30ºC en ciertos puntos del litoral. Aunque algunas de estas especies han visitado el mar de forma esporádica en el pasado, el aumento constante de la temperatura favorece que su presencia sea más habitual y que amplíen su área de distribución a través del Estrecho de Gibraltar y el Canal de Suez.Este cambio ambiental no solo atrae nuevas especies, sino que también afecta a las autóctonas. Mientras que algunas especies con preferencia por aguas frías, como "las cintas", están disminuyendo, otras ven modificados sus hábitos de vida o se sienten "más a gusto" en este nuevo entorno de características tropicales. La Región de Murcia juega un papel fundamental en este escenario debido a su posición estratégica como frontera entre los dominios marinos del Mar de Alborán y el Mar Balear.Finalmente, el experto Juan Antonio Pujol destaca que la ciencia ciudadana es una herramienta crucial para monitorizar estos cambios. La colaboración de buceadores, pescadores y ciudadanos que comparten sus testimonios gráficos permite a los científicos detectar especies que de otro modo pasarían desapercibidas, siendo una pieza clave para la futura conservación del ecosistema marino.
VOV1 - Trong khi căng thẳng tại Trung Đông vẫn chưa hạ nhiệt sau cuộc đối đầu giữa Mỹ, Israel và Iran, một điểm nóng mới đang nổi lên ở Biển Đỏ.Lực lượng Houthi tại Yemen được cho là đang thúc đẩy kế hoạch thu phí các tàu thương mại đi qua eo biển Bab el-Mandeb – tuyến hàng hải chiến lược nối Địa Trung Hải với Ấn Độ Dương. Động thái này làm dấy lên lo ngại về nguy cơ hình thành một "Hormuz phiên bản 2", với những hệ lụy không chỉ đối với an ninh hàng hải khu vực mà còn với chuỗi cung ứng và thương mại toàn cầu.Trước diễn biến đó, Saudi Arabia đang xúc tiến các cuộc thảo luận với hàng chục quốc gia nhằm xây dựng một liên minh quốc tế để bảo vệ tự do hàng hải ở Biển Đỏ. Trong bối cảnh eo biển Hormuz vẫn chưa hạ nhiệt, việc xuất hiện thêm một “điểm nghẽn” tại Biển Đỏ không chỉ đe dọa hoạt động vận tải và thương mại toàn cầu, mà còn có nguy cơ mở ra một mặt trận mới trong cuộc đối đầu giữa Mỹ, Israel và Iran. Để phân tích rõ hơn vấn đề này, chúng tôi kết nối với Đại sứ Nguyễn Quang Khai, chuyên gia phân tích các vấn đề quốc tế.Tàu chở dầu di chuyển trên Biển Đỏ, gần lối vào kênh đào Suez, Ai Cập. Ảnh: TTXVN
Let's talk about Trump's Trouble in the Suez and maps....
Communiquez, partagez et donnez vie à vos idées en sécurité, dans un cloud souverain qui respecte votre vie privée avec Infomaniak : https://www.infomaniak.com/fr/ksuite/myksuite?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=chaque-jour-sur-terre&utm_content=my-ksuite&utm_term=6685179d57dcb Utilisez le code : 7JOURSURTERRE pour 50% de rabais la première année avec my kSuite+ Et si la fermeture du détroit d'Ormuz n'était que le début? Alors que le monde subit déjà les conséquences d'un choc pétrolier historique, les Houthis viennent de menacer l'autre grande artère maritime du Moyen-Orient : le détroit de Bab-el-Mandeb. En annonçant un blocus maritime visant l'Arabie saoudite, le mouvement Ansar Allah pourrait couper la principale route d'urgence utilisée par Riyad pour contourner Ormuz. Une décision capable de paralyser une partie du commerce en mer Rouge, de perturber l'accès au canal de Suez et de forcer les pétroliers saoudiens à contourner entièrement l'Afrique pour rejoindre leurs principaux clients en Chine, en Inde, au Japon et en Corée du Sud. Comment un mouvement yéménite autrefois marginal peut-il avoir autant d'impact au Moyen-Orient? Dans cette nouvelle analyse de 7 jours sur Terre, Benjamin Tremblay revient sur l'histoire des Houthis, aussi appelés Ansar Allah, depuis leurs origines politiques et religieuses jusqu'à leur prise de contrôle de Sanaa et à la guerre dévastatrice qui les oppose à l'Arabie saoudite depuis 2015. Une chose est certaine : en menaçant Bab-el-Mandeb, les Houthis viennent de placer un verrou sur l'une des routes commerciales les plus importantes de la planète. Devenez membre exclusif de @7jourssurTerre pour accéder à notre Revue de presse hebdomadaire, dans laquelle on revient en profondeur sur les développements les plus importants de l'actualité internationale: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCRDafCFB27KOBXvgc6kgS0A/join Pour comprendre l'autre moitié de cette crise maritime, regardez également nos analyses consacrées au blocage du détroit d'Ormuz sur @CHAQUEJOURSURTERRE : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vlS6J559Q44&t=242s https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sUrOGFRGZV4 Chapitres: 0:00 Le blocage de Bab-El Mandeb 4:07 Qui sont les houthis? 8:12 Le Yemen et l'Arabie Saoudite en guerre (2015-2022) 10:23 La détente (2022-2024) 11:19 La tension monte (2024-2026) 15:26 L'attaque saoudienne et les conséquences 19:21 Les impacts stratégiques, économiques et géopolitiques 23:15 À quoi s'attendre, maintenant? Devenez membre exclusif de 7 Jours sur Terre et profitez de nombreux avantages, dont notre revue de presse : une émission hebdomadaire de plus d'une heure dans laquelle nous revenons sur les dernières nouvelles géopolitiques à travers le monde, avec des analyses approfondies : https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCRDafCFB27KOBXvgc6kgS0A/join
We return in a special episode to the Iranian-US war to discuss how "Real-Eknomik" is shaping realpolitik. Nick Kumleben, Director at Greenmantle, the geopolitical risk and strategy consultancy, where Nick handles the energy and commodities portfolio, joins us to discuss the status of the war and its potential future track. We use commodities and more broadly economics to try and understand the strategies and positioning of the various participants and their allies. Who wants peace, who wants all-out war, if any and who is OK with the status quo for now. For related content and to find out more about HC Group, a search firm dedicated to the energy & commodities sector, visit https://www.hcgroup.global
In this Barbarians at the Gate x China Books Review crossover, Jeremiah Jenne is joined by CBR Associate Editor Alexander Boyd to discuss the latest addition to the China Archives: W. Somerset Maugham's On a Chinese Screen (1922), a collection of vignettes from Maugham's trip through China in the winter of 1919–1920.Maugham came to China and mostly found... the English. Missionaries who profess love for a country they secretly loathe, taipans dreading burial in Chinese soil, diplomats who could be posted to Peking or Bern without noticing the difference. Jeremiah and Alexander match these hundred-year-old archetypes to expats they have known, and chart the "Cycle of China Funk," the wave pattern that should replace the PowerPoint version of culture shock and adaptation. They follow Maugham's habit of recycling real people into his fiction, including handing the scholar Gu Hongming's rebuke of Western power to a stage villain in East of Suez. And they bring Gerald Haxton out of the shadows: the hard-drinking companion who made the whole trip and never appears in the book.Next month on the China Archives: Shen Fu's Six Records of a Floating Life.Keywords: Somerset Maugham, On a Chinese Screen, China Books Review, Barbarians at the Gate podcast, Gu Hongming, Gerald Haxton, expat life in China, China travel writing, British colonialism in China, China Archives
Shutterstock Track 1219389 Monetization ID TFGEPGEI0LHEIJAI Kia ora. Welcome to Thursday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand. I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from interest.co.nz. Today we lead with news the US and the world are facing a new jolt of inflation as the hot war activity spread. The US central bank response? ignore the risks and pretend things will return to normal soon. But first, US mortgage applications fell sharply last week, their largest dip since mid-May, and driven by a -10% fall in refinance activity. And that came as their benchmark mortgage interest rate rose yet again, now its highest in a year. Also falling sharply last week were US crude oil stocks, down much more than expected. They have fallen in 12 of the past 14 weeks, and this latest one is one of the larger retreats. Worse perhaps, their strategic oil reserves are now at at levels they last had in 1983 just after they started building these reserves in 1982, and their economy is now nine times as large. These strategic reserves have gone from double the private system holdings, to only 75% of them. It is poublic mismanagement on an epic scale. The US Fed held its policy rate unchanged, even while noting they have high inflation that isn't easing and they have "supply shocks that have driven price increases" well above their 2% goal. But it was a split decision with three members voting to hike +25 bps. One of those was not Jerome Powell; he was in the nine who voted for the hold. Chairman Warsh's style is all over this statement because it was very short with little transparency. And Warsh's inflation fighting vow seems to be just talk. Across the Pacific, Singapore reported that their producer prices rose more than +30% in June from a year ago, maintaining the pace of increase for non-oil goods they have had since March. In South Korea, there has been real drama on their stock exchange with declines so sharp they had to temporarily suspend trading. It is all related to perceptions about tech valuations. Even though these companies are reporting sharp profit increases, investors worry that Chinese chipmakers are about to eat their lunch. At one point yesterday the share market there was down -13%, suddenly wiping out all the prior AI gain euphoria. But it ended down 'only' +6% to cap a five-day retreat of -17%. In Australia, June CPI inflation came in at 3.8%, and less than the 4.0% expected. It was kept up by the expiry of household energy support measures, but the falls in fuel costs more than offset that. More here. Will this deter the RBA from moving their policy rate on August 11? It may do, but inflation expectations remain very high. Some analysts now expect a hawkish hold. The lower CPI hit the AUD hard yesterday, presumably because FX markets no longer see higher interest rates imminently. The global credit risk environment has evolved heading into the second half of 2026 but continues to be driven by two main sources of short-term risk, according to Fitch Ratings; rising vulnerability to an AI-related market correction and persistent geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East. This is on top of a broader context of slowing US consumer momentum, high inflation risks stemming from the 2Q energy shock and structural public finance pressures limiting the ability to respond to risk events. Credit risk premiums will rise, says Fitch. Iran was annoyed Trump claimed talks were taking place when they weren't, so they reinforced their point. Then the US and Saudi Arabia attacked Iran-linked forces in Iraq. And the Houthis attacked two Saudi tankers off Yemen. This mess isn't going away. June air cargo demand rose in June, at a time of a relative lull in Middle East tensions. It was up +8.5% overall, up +9.6% for international trade. Asia/Pacific activity was up +9.5% from a year ago. There were larger increases in air cargo trade with North America. Meanwhile the China-to-Europe cargo train trade is surging, added to by very fast 15 day transit times for peak demand of air conditioning units, for example. Shipping via the Suez canal chokepoint will probably never recover for consumer goods. The UST 10yr yield is now just on 4.65%, up +5 bps from this time yesterday and with a small push higher after the Fed decision. The price of gold has risen to US$4075/oz, back up +US$45 from yesterday. Silver is now just over US$58.50/oz, back up +US$1.50 from yesterday. Oil prices have risen sharply by +US$5.50 from yesterday at now just over US$84.50/bbl in the US, while the international Brent price is now just under US$90.50/bbl and up +US$5. Hormuz transits are still basically halted. There have been no crude tankers and only 8 cargo ship exiting over the past 24 hours (6 dark with transponders off) and 16 entering for new loads (11 dark). The Red Sea is even less active than the prior day. The Kiwi dollar is down -10 bps from yesterday at just under 57.8 USc. Against the Aussie we are up +30 bps at 83.3 AUc. Against the euro we have dipped -10 bps to 50.7 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at 61.7 which is down -10 bps from this time yesterday. The bitcoin price starts today at US$63,890 and up +0.5% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been low at just on +/-0.9%. You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz. Kia ora. I'm David Chaston and we'll do this again tomorrow. Track 1219389 Monetization ID TFGEPGEI0LHEIJAI Audio soundtrack opening is licensed from Shutterstock, Track 1219389 Monetization ID TFGEPGEI0LHEIJAI
Cosa faresti se il tuo Paese ti ordinasse di distruggere l'unica persona che ami? In questo nuovo episodio di Prima della Prima, vi portiamo alla scoperta dell'Aida di Giuseppe Verdi.Partiamo dall'inaugurazione del Canale di Suez nel 1869 per viaggiare fino all'antico Egitto, esplorando un triangolo d'amore e potere tra Aida, Radamès e Amneris. Un'opera che mescola guerre sanguinarie, colpi di scena da thriller geopolitico e una passione totale. Dimenticate l'idea di un'opera noiosa: l'Aida è molto più intensa di Romeo e Giulietta!In questo episodio scoprirai:Come Verdi è stato convinto a scrivere l'opera.I retroscena del debutto al Cairo e a Milano.La trama completa, atto per atto, spiegata in modo semplice e avvincente.⏳ Capitoli del Video (Navigazione facile):00:00 - Introduzione: Un amore impossibile02:00 - Il Canale di Suez e l'offerta a Giuseppe Verdi05:50 - I Personaggi dell'Opera06:50 - ATTO I: La scelta di Radamès e il segreto di Aida10:12 - ATTO II: La Marcia Trionfale e l'inganno di Amneris13:21 - ATTO III: Sulle sponde del Nilo, tradimento e fuga15:56 - ATTO IV: Il processo e il tragico finale
Digital systems, increasingly strengthened by artificial intelligence, are helping water utilities move from reacting to failures toward anticipating where infrastructure problems are most likely to occur.Joshua Cantone of SUEZ explains how that shift is changing decisions about pipes, pumps, wells, treatment plants, and long-term capital investment.Many utilities already collect large amounts of information through control systems, maintenance records, hydraulic models, and asset-management platforms.The opportunity now is to connect those datasets and use AI-assisted analysis to identify which assets should be cleaned, repaired, rehabilitated, or replaced before they fail.That preventive approach matters because emergency infrastructure repairs can cost two to three times more than work that is planned and coordinated in advance.Digital planning tools can test thousands of infrastructure scenarios, helping utilities compare construction costs with the energy and operating expenses that accumulate over decades.Cantone also argues that growing familiarity with tools such as ChatGPT, Claude, and Microsoft Copilot is making utility employees more comfortable with specialized AI designed for water operations.Groundwater monitoring offers another example of the shift, with more frequent data helping operators track well performance, maintain production, and reduce the energy required for pumping.Smart meters and digital network models are also giving utilities a clearer view of non-revenue water, which Cantone says remains near 20 to 30 percent at many U.S. utilities compared with roughly 5 to 15 percent in parts of the United Kingdom.The next phase of digital water will depend on whether utilities can build reliable data systems—and enough operator trust—to use AI and other digital tools in everyday decisions. waterloop is a nonprofit news outlet exploring solutions for water sustainability.
Las autoridades francesas ordenaron la evacuación de toda la península de Cap Ferret, en la costa suroeste, y cientos de personas están abandonando la zona en barco. Por su parte, el gobierno de España declaró la emergencia nacional debido a los incendios forestales que arden sin control en varias zonas cercanas a Madrid, la capital.
Returning guest David Murrin begins by considering US President Donald Trump's gambits in the Middle East as he seeks to prevail over Iran. In a discussion with host Iain Ballantyne - recorded before Iran and the USA reverted to a state of war (in July) - David reflected on the Trump pattern of seeking peace deals followed by more bombing.These are the US President's ‘peace bombs,' as David describes them, with the Iran War and struggle for the Strait of Hormuz turning out like ‘Suez on steroids.'The consequences of President Trump's approach to allies, his treatment of foes and overall strategy are also covered, before turning to Europe's laziness in defence and the military spending laggard that is the United Kingdom.David also explains what he learned about modern warfare during a recent visit to Ukraine and how Kyiv's forces have chosen a lateral response to the Russian aggressors rather than linear. According to David a future threat for Europeans to be concerned about will be China's navy in the High North and he cautions that - whatever the threat is in the great waters of the Atlantic and Arctic - drones are not the entire solution.In the meantime, so David contends, Britain and other NATO nations are already at war with Russia but only now are they waking up to that fact. Turning to Royal Navy, David weighs up the push for the ‘hybrid navy' and ‘evolution' versus ‘revolution' at a difficult time in which the UK appears to have lost touch with its naval identity. He considers the British fleet has been destroyed by politicians since the late 1990s, and that they have let down both the nation and NATO. During this lively episode David also gives his perspective on what China has learned from the Iran War and more.• The August 2026 edition of Warships IFR is published on 17.7.26 in the UK and also deployed globally. Visit the magazine web sitehttp://bit.ly/wifrmagFollow the mag on X @WarshipsIFR Facebook @WarshipsIFR There's also Warships IFR TV on YouTube @warshipsifrtv3668 To subscribe visit https://warshipsifr.com/subscriptions/• David Murrin is a Global Forecaster, investor, polymath and author of ‘Breaking the Code of History' (2011). He has a talent for spotting and analysing deep-seated patterns in history and using them to try and understand the present and also where we might be going in today's turbulent geopolitical scene. His other books are ‘Lions Led by Lions' (2018), ‘Now or Never' (2021) and ‘Red Lightning' (2021). The latter is a work of faction that depicts China winning a world war. David Murrin's web site is https://www.davidmurrin.co.uk/about Find him on X @GlobalForecastr•Iain Ballantyne is the founding and current Editor of ‘Warships IFR' magazine (first published in 1998) along with its ‘Guide to the Royal Navy' (since 2003) and ‘Guide to the US Navy' (since 2018). Iain is also author of the books ‘Hunter Killers' (Orion) and ‘The Deadly Trade' (Weidenfeld & Nicolson), both about submarine warfare, plus ‘Arnhem: Ten Days in The Cauldron' and ‘Bismarck: 24 Hours to Doom' (published by Canelo). In 2017 Iain was awarded a Fellowship by the British Maritime Foundatio
President Trump says he'll charge a 20% toll on cargo transiting the Strait of Hormuz. Lars Jensen ran the numbers, and they don't hold up.In this episode, Lars Jensen and Caroline Weaver cover:The math behind why a 20% Hormuz toll could work out to record freight rate highs, and why no shipper would pay it.Who would even be billed, and why the US has no realistic way to collect if a carrier just refuses.Seven attacks on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz this week alone, and what "open" actually means when ships are still getting hit.Asia-USWC rates flatten, but the shipper-to-shipper spread nearly tripled in a month.Maersk extends its Suez return with two more services despite the Hormuz risk.Subscribe for weekly podcast highlights
In this episode of the Anglotopia Podcast, Jonathan Thomas sits down with Jonathan W. Jordan — New York Times bestselling military historian, Wall Street Journal book critic, and now federal judge — to discuss his richly researched new book Ike and Winston: World War, Cold War, and an Extraordinary Friendship. Spanning a quarter century from their first meeting on Christmas Eve 1941 — when Eisenhower was a little-known brigadier, and Churchill was the most famous man in the world — to Churchill's death in January 1965, Jordan traces one of the most consequential personal relationships of the 20th century. Their friendship forged through the pressure cooker of war helped launch D-Day, navigate the terrifying logic of nuclear weapons, and manage the fraught transition from British imperial power to American superpower. Jordan and Jonathan cover the early dynamic between the aristocrat and the Kansan, the strategic clashes over Anvil and Berlin, Churchill's habit of misrepresenting what Eisenhower had told him when he really wanted his way, the moral weight of decisions that killed tens of thousands, their shared love of painting, the goat on parade in Bermuda, and what these two remarkable men can still teach us about friendship, leadership, and bridging difference. Links Ike and Winston by Jonathan W. Jordan Brothers, Rivals, Victors by Jonathan W. Jordan American Warlords by Jonathan W. Jordan Churchill Papers at Hillsdale College Eisenhower Presidential Library Winston Churchill the Painter at the Wallace Collection, London (open until November 29, 2026) Pressure (2024 film on the D-Day weather decision) Friends of Anglotopia Club Takeaways Churchill and Eisenhower first met on Christmas Eve 1941, three weeks after Pearl Harbor — but Churchill promptly forgot the encounter. In his memoirs, he incorrectly stated he first met Ike in June 1942. Churchill had also famously forgotten meeting a young assistant secretary of the Navy named Franklin Roosevelt years earlier. Jonathan Jordan argues that Churchill's friendship with Eisenhower was ultimately more pivotal to world history than his famous friendship with FDR. Without Churchill's patronage, there is no Supreme Commander of D-Day, no NATO commander, and quite possibly no President Eisenhower. Eisenhower had never heard a shot fired in anger when he was appointed Supreme Allied Commander of the Mediterranean theater in 1943 — and every officer in the room, including Foreign Minister Anthony Eden, had more combat experience than he did. But Patton's observation captures what made Ike perfect for the job: no officer above the rank of colonel should know too much about tactics, or they'll interfere with the people who do. Churchill and Eisenhower lunched together at least weekly during the run-up to D-Day, and met several other times during the week — sometimes for overnight visits at Chequers. Many of their interactions were not grand strategy but practical problem-solving: American drivers going too fast on English roads, landlords overcharging American officers for flats. The biggest strategic clashes were over Anvil (the Allied landing in southern France, which Churchill wanted canceled to preserve British strength in Italy) and Berlin (which Churchill wanted to capture to deny it to the Soviets, and which Eisenhower refused to spend lives on because he knew the political leaders would give it back after the war anyway). In both cases, Churchill was overruled. During the Anvil dispute, Churchill went so far as to misrepresent to Roosevelt and to Montgomery what Eisenhower had told him — attributing to Ike support for a plan Ike had never endorsed — in order to start a ball rolling toward canceling the invasion. The British Chiefs of Staff had to go back to their American counterparts and acknowledge that the Prime Minister had misrepresented the situation. The two men were fundamentally different in their inner lives: Eisenhower was the pragmatist — the card-playing bridge player who assessed odds and would spend lives when the mathematics demanded it — while Churchill was the romantic, the novelist and painter who felt the human cost viscerally and argued passionately against bombing French railways that might kill 40,000 civilians. Both men were painters — a shared passion that became a genuine bond. After the Suez Crisis ruptured Anglo-American relations in 1956, Eisenhower leveraged America's love of Churchill by personally promoting the world tour of Churchill's paintings across US galleries and writing the foreword for the program. The painting Ike was proudest of was his own portrait of Churchill, copied from another work. The rupture of their later years was over Churchill's desperate desire for a summit with the Soviet Union after the hydrogen bomb — and Eisenhower's refusal to engage. Churchill, who had coined the phrase "meeting at the summit," believed great men could move history in direct conversation; Eisenhower, the organization man, believed the Soviet machine would behave the same regardless of who sat across the table. Despite every disagreement, the bond never broke at a personal level. When Churchill's greatest political enemy Clement Attlee served as one of his pallbearers in 1965, it was with Churchill's prior approval — a final demonstration of the principle both men lived by: never let differences over politics or policy destroy a personal friendship. Soundbites "Without Winston Churchill's backing, there is no Eisenhower. There's Eisenhower the brigadier who works in the Pentagon and is respected as a planner. But there's no Supreme Commander of D-Day, there's no NATO commander, there's no President Eisenhower. He is not a household name without Winston Churchill." — Jonathan Jordan on Churchill's role in making Eisenhower. "Being a litigator is not all that different from being a historian. You sift through old documents, you interview witnesses — which is basically a deposition — and you package it in a way that's hopefully accessible and if possible engaging and entertaining for a lay audience, whether that's twelve jurors or thousands of history buffs." — Jonathan Jordan on why law and history are the same skill. "Churchill liked to expound on strategy, but most of what they worked on together were practical problems — shipping backlogs in the English ports, Americans' drivers having a habit of driving too fast on those small English roads, British landlords overcharging American officers for flats. Sometimes Ike and Winston had to interact like they were city councilmen." — Jonathan Jordan on the day-to-day reality of their wartime relationship. "Churchill would do whatever it took. He would use humor, he would argue, he would threaten to resign, he would cry. He would misrepresent what Eisenhower had told him. When he really dug his heels in, anything was on the table." — Jonathan Jordan on Churchill's tactics when he wanted his own way on strategy. "Churchill had to think about whether bombing French railways — which he was told might kill as many as forty thousand French civilians — was too brutal a cost just to slow down Hitler's reinforcements coming to the Normandy beaches. Churchill was a creative writer, a painter, a bricklayer. He loved animals, he had a very soft spot for children. He didn't look at things in the purely military lens that Ike did." — Jonathan Jordan on the chapter titled "Are We Beasts." "In explanation of the goat's refusal to accept the cigarette you offered him this morning, I think I ought to point out that he was aware that smoking on parade is strictly forbidden. Eisenhower wrote back: The goat's soldierly deportment puts me to shame. You would suppose that after some forty years in the army I would not have embarrassed him so sadly." — Jonathan Jordan reading the Bermuda goat exchange between Churchill and Eisenhower. "We are now as far from the age of the atomic bomb as the atomic bomb was from the bow and arrow. Churchill had a vivid imagination — as a painter, a historian, a novelist. He could see big trends into the future. And demons seemed to whisper to him that mankind could incinerate itself with these new thermonuclear weapons." — Jonathan Jordan on how the hydrogen bomb transformed Churchill. "Eisenhower was 50% kindly grandfather and 50% cold-blooded calculator. His own son John thought about it and said: we'll make that 75% cold-blooded calculator. He would never let his personal indebtedness affect how he conducted foreign policy. If he had to step on a friend, whether that was Patton or the remnants of the British Empire in the Suez Crisis, he did it." — Jonathan Jordan on Eisenhower's inner character. "Churchill subscribed to the great man theory of history — great men make history, and he had done it himself in talks with Stalin in Moscow, Tehran, Yalta, Potsdam. Eisenhower was an organization man. He felt the machine did what the machine did. It's like a car engine — you replace the carburetor, it'll still run as a car. It won't turn into an airplane." — Jonathan Jordan on the fundamental philosophical difference between the two men. "Don't let differences over politics or policy get in the way of what could be a good personal friendship. Neither of those two men held grudges if they could avoid it. When Churchill died, Clement Attlee — who had inflicted the very worst political humiliation of Churchill's life — was one of his pallbearers, and Churchill had approved that." — Jonathan Jordan on the lasting lesson of the Ike and Winston friendship. Chapters 00:21 Introduction — Jonathan Thomas introduces the book and Jonathan W. Jordan 01:53 Two Jonathans, Two Americans, One Half-American Subject — The pleasures of the setup 02:46 How a Federal Judge Became a Military Historian — Litigation, jury trials, and the same skills 03:39 Growing Up on Air Force Bases — Aberdeen Proving Grounds, tanks, and the collision of politics and military history 04:29 Why This Book Now — The natural progression from Brothers, Rivals, Victors and American Warlords 05:44 The Sources — 23 volumes of Churchill Papers, 21 volumes of Eisenhower Papers, memoirs, transcripts, and the lawyer's eye for credibility 07:23 Meet the Protagonists — Aristocrat from Blenheim Palace vs. modest middle American from Kansas 10:10 Churchill and FDR vs. Churchill and Ike — Why the Ike friendship was ultimately more pivotal 11:27 The Age Gap and the Fame Gap — How Ike worked with the famous and powerful without being overawed 13:07 The World They Were Walking Into — Hitler from Moscow to the Pyrenees, Japan swallowing Southeast Asia, and no blueprint for any of it 14:21 Eisenhower's Military Background — Never heard a shot fired in anger, missed WWI, the Philippines, and Patton's observation about generals and tactics 17:48 First Impressions and Early Friction — American distrust of Churchill's Mediterranean strategy and a warming that took time 19:37 The Command Relationship — Weekly lunches, overnight visits at Chequers, and city-councilman problem-solving 21:57 Managing Churchill — The Kay Summersby method: never call an idea stupid, commission a thorough study, show your working 23:43 The Biggest Strategic Clashes — Anvil, Berlin, and Churchill's misrepresentation of Eisenhower's position 28:38 Are We Beasts? — The moral weight of forty thousand dead Frenchmen and what it did to each of them 30:34 The Pressure Digression — Jonathan recommends the D-Day weather film; Jonathan Jordan hasn't seen it yet 32:18 What the War Built — The unbreakable bond of June 1945, forged in shared sacrifice 33:42 After the War — Churchill voted out before final victory, Ike's ascent from Chief of Staff to NATO to the presidency 35:43 The Role Reversal — The most powerful man in the world faces the leader of a Britain still on rationing 38:41 Waterloo Sunset — Both men presiding over the handover from British imperial power to American superpower 40:53 The Nuclear Age — The Soviet atomic bomb, the American hydrogen bomb, and a Churchill transformed into the great peace advocate 44:16 The Nearest Point of Rupture — The Soviet summit dispute, the great man theory vs. the organization man, and Churchill's declining opinion of Ike 46:59 Small Human Moments — John Eisenhower welcomed in London, a villa at Lake Como, the Bermuda goat, and the repartee that never died 50:20 Two Painters — How Churchill introduced Eisenhower to painting, the traveling exhibition after Suez, and the portrait Ike was proudest of 52:24 The Wallace Collection Churchill Exhibition — Jonathan's August visit and Jonathan Jordan's hope to get there 54:14 What the Friendship Teaches Us — Policy differences vs. personal friendship, Attlee as pallbearer, and the dying art of bridging difference 55:41 Who Were They Really? — 75% cold-blooded calculator vs. the romantic who felt history in his bones 57:50 Wrap-Up — Ike and Winston details, Jordan's other books, and an invitation to share which wartime friendship listeners want explored next Video Version
Rassegna stampa economico-finanziaria del 9 Luglio 2026, strutturata per macro-temi e basata sulle principali testate giornalistiche nazionali.Economia, conti pubblici e patrimonio dello StatoTestate: Il Sole 24 Ore / Repubblica / Corriere della Sera / Italia OggiIl Fondo Monetario Internazionale rivede al ribasso le prospettive di crescita globale. Per l'Italia viene confermata una crescita dello 0,5% nel 2026, mentre l'Eurozona scende sotto l'1% e l'economia mondiale rallenta al 3%. Il quadro riflette il peggioramento del commercio internazionale, le tensioni geopolitiche e un clima di maggiore prudenza negli investimenti. Nonostante ciò, l'economia italiana continua a mantenere un segno positivo.Il debito pubblico italiano raggiunge nuovi massimi, avvicinandosi ai 3.150 miliardi di euro, pari a circa il 137% del PIL. L'attenzione resta concentrata sulla necessità di sostenere la crescita economica e mantenere un avanzo primario stabile per ridurre progressivamente il peso del debito.Il Governo punta inoltre sulla valorizzazione del patrimonio immobiliare pubblico. Il nuovo piano di rigenerazione da 5,1 miliardi di euro, articolato in 37 Piani Città, mira a riqualificare caserme, uffici pubblici e immobili strategici, trasformando il patrimonio dello Stato in una leva di sviluppo economico e urbano.Banche, finanza e mercatiTestate: Il Sole 24 Ore / Milano Finanza / Corriere della Sera / RepubblicaProsegue il consolidamento del sistema bancario europeo. UniCredit porta la propria partecipazione in Commerzbank al 49,6%, avvicinandosi al controllo della banca tedesca e rafforzando il proprio ruolo nel processo di integrazione del settore bancario europeo.Milano continua però a confrontarsi con i limiti strutturali della propria piazza finanziaria. Secondo il Sole 24 Ore, il mercato italiano risente ancora di vincoli dimensionali, fiscali e regolamentari rispetto ai principali centri finanziari europei, pur mostrando un progressivo miglioramento della qualità delle società quotate.L'incertezza geopolitica e commerciale continua infine a frenare gli investimenti delle imprese. Energia, commercio internazionale e instabilità normativa restano i principali fattori che influenzano le decisioni di investimento.Energia, materie prime e geopoliticaTestate: Corriere della Sera / Repubblica / Il GiornaleTorna a crescere la tensione nello Stretto di Hormuz. L'eventualità di un rafforzamento del controllo iraniano sui transiti marittimi riporta al centro il rischio di interruzioni delle forniture energetiche globali, coinvolgendo anche altre rotte strategiche come Bab el-Mandeb, il Canale di Suez e le nuove rotte artiche.Le tensioni internazionali spingono il petrolio in rialzo di circa l'8%, mentre le principali borse mondiali registrano ribassi diffusi. Il ritorno delle pressioni inflazionistiche potrebbe rallentare il percorso di riduzione dei tassi da parte delle banche centrali.Sul medio periodo emerge però un elemento positivo: l'Europa continua ad accelerare gli investimenti nella sicurezza energetica e nella diversificazione delle fonti, rafforzando la resilienza del sistema economico rispetto ai futuri shock geopolitici.Innovazione, Intelligenza Artificiale e infrastrutture digitaliTestate: Repubblica / Milano FinanzaL'intelligenza artificiale entra in una nuova fase competitiva. OpenAI, Meta e X presentano una nuova generazione di agenti intelligenti in grado di automatizzare attività sempre più complesse, spostando la competizione dalla semplice chatbot economy alla produttività aziendale.Le Big Tech aumentano gli investimenti nelle infrastrutture energetiche necessarie ad alimentare i data center dedicati all'intelligenza artificiale. Energia e tecnologia diventano così sempre più integrate nelle strategie di sviluppo dei grandi operatori digitali.Amazon torna inoltre sul mercato obbligazionario con una maxi emissione destinata principalmente al finanziamento degli investimenti nell'AI e nelle infrastrutture cloud, confermando come l'intelligenza artificiale rappresenti una priorità strategica per i principali gruppi tecnologici mondiali.Imprese, industria e politiche economicheTestate: Il Sole 24 Ore / Italia OggiIl piano di rigenerazione del patrimonio immobiliare pubblico viene considerato uno dei principali strumenti di politica industriale dei prossimi anni. Gli investimenti previsti potranno sostenere edilizia, infrastrutture, occupazione e sviluppo urbano.Sul fronte della fiscalità locale vengono introdotti nuovi strumenti per migliorare la riscossione dei tributi, con un ruolo rafforzato di AMCO nella gestione dei crediti degli enti territoriali e interventi normativi destinati a rendere più efficiente il sistema.Anche il tema previdenziale torna al centro del dibattito economico. Le analisi evidenziano come pensioni più elevate dipenderanno sempre più dalla crescita economica, dall'andamento dell'occupazione e dalla continuità contributiva durante la vita lavorativa.
Recorded live from Casa Gobik over the opening weekend of the 2026 Tour de France in Barcelona, it was not just the Grand Départ taking place – Rachel Jary sat down with Ally Wollaston (FDJ-Suez) for a conversation recorded live from the heart of the action in the city.Much of the conversation turns to the current growth of the Tour de France Femmes avec Zwift, with Ally's role supporting recent Giro d'Italia winner Demi Vollering at FDJ-Suez. How does that dynamic shape her season? Further, Ally talks through the shift in mindset and tactics that comes with swapping her personal ambitions for New Zealand on the global stage to shifting towards a supporting role.Subscribe today to Rouleur to never miss a moment from this year's Tour de France at rouleur.cc. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Pacific spot rates are holding flat while futures signal the peak may already be over, and Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd just made a move that could mark the beginning of a Red Sea normalization after two and a half years of disruption.In this episode, Lars Jensen and Caroline Weaver cover:Why Asia-USWC rates are flatlining around $5,200 while the futures curve still points sharply lower, and what that means for the rest of JulyThe Gemini alliance's AE15 service switching back to Suez routing and what it signals about carrier confidence in Red Sea stabilityPanama Canal draft restrictions tightening through August as El Niño risk grows, and what history says about the ceiling on disruptionMaersk's upward earnings revision and why it says more about Maersk's earlier pessimism than the overall marketUSMCA uncertainty and what a US pullback could mean for deeply intertwined North American supply chainsEU shipping emissions data: container vessels down 6.7% per TEU year over year, even as total emissions remain elevated versus 2023 due to Red Sea reroutingSubscribe to weekly episode highlights delivered to your inbox.
À l'échelle mondiale, le transport maritime achemine 80% du commerce de marchandises. Mais le secteur entre régulièrement en zone de turbulences. Le détroit d'Ormuz, qui connecte le golfe Persique à l'océan Indien est au centre des attentions, sous l'effet du conflit au Moyen-Orient. En mer Rouge, surnommée « l'autoroute des mers », les rebelles houthis multiplient les attaques contre les navires marchands. En 2021, c'est l'obstruction du canal de Suez par un porte-conteneurs qui avait paralysé le transport de marchandises. Quant au canal de Panama, il tourne régulièrement au ralenti à cause de la sécheresse. Tous ces épisodes, aussi différents qu'ils soient, rappellent la vulnérabilité de la marine marchande et créent parfois des pénuries ainsi qu'une hausse des prix. Les tensions géopolitiques, les changements sur les droits de douane, les coûts sécuritaires mais aussi les phénomènes climatiques redessinent le commerce maritime. Ainsi, suite au blocage du détroit d'Ormuz, les pays du Golfe ont vu bondir le trafic de camions. Alors que les porte-conteneurs avaient révolutionné le commerce mondial, permettant de transporter tout type de marchandises en grande quantité, le contexte actuel interroge notre manière d'acheminer matières premières et biens de consommation. La conteneurisation a-t-elle encore un avenir devant elle ? Comment la logistique marchande peut-elle s'adapter à des perturbations aussi conséquentes qu'imprévisibles ? Doit-on s'habituer à vivre avec une moindre abondance de marchandises ? Avec : Antoine Fremont, géographe, professeur du Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers (CNAM), titulaire de la chaire « transports, flux et mobilités durables » François Daniel, délégué général de l'Union TLF Overseas, qui regroupe les entreprises organisatrices de transports aériens et maritimes et les représentants en douane en France. En fin d'émission, Charlie Dupiot nous emmène sur les campus français avec Décalages culturels, une chronique produite par RFI avec le soutien de l'Université Paris Cité. Sur une idée originale de Chae-Yeon Bournel-Bosson du Français facile avec RFI. Dans ce 11ème épisode, Wahiba, étudiante algérienne en santé publique et Malek Kaci, consultant en interculturel expert de l'Algérie, nous parlent du rapport à l'argent et à la générosité, et du remboursement des dettes. Programmation musicale : ► Supne Prabh - Deep, Benny Dayal ► Abysses - Molécule.
À l'échelle mondiale, le transport maritime achemine 80% du commerce de marchandises. Mais le secteur entre régulièrement en zone de turbulences. Le détroit d'Ormuz, qui connecte le golfe Persique à l'océan Indien est au centre des attentions, sous l'effet du conflit au Moyen-Orient. En mer Rouge, surnommée « l'autoroute des mers », les rebelles houthis multiplient les attaques contre les navires marchands. En 2021, c'est l'obstruction du canal de Suez par un porte-conteneurs qui avait paralysé le transport de marchandises. Quant au canal de Panama, il tourne régulièrement au ralenti à cause de la sécheresse. Tous ces épisodes, aussi différents qu'ils soient, rappellent la vulnérabilité de la marine marchande et créent parfois des pénuries ainsi qu'une hausse des prix. Les tensions géopolitiques, les changements sur les droits de douane, les coûts sécuritaires mais aussi les phénomènes climatiques redessinent le commerce maritime. Ainsi, suite au blocage du détroit d'Ormuz, les pays du Golfe ont vu bondir le trafic de camions. Alors que les porte-conteneurs avaient révolutionné le commerce mondial, permettant de transporter tout type de marchandises en grande quantité, le contexte actuel interroge notre manière d'acheminer matières premières et biens de consommation. La conteneurisation a-t-elle encore un avenir devant elle ? Comment la logistique marchande peut-elle s'adapter à des perturbations aussi conséquentes qu'imprévisibles ? Doit-on s'habituer à vivre avec une moindre abondance de marchandises ? Avec : Antoine Fremont, géographe, professeur du Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers (CNAM), titulaire de la chaire « transports, flux et mobilités durables » François Daniel, délégué général de l'Union TLF Overseas, qui regroupe les entreprises organisatrices de transports aériens et maritimes et les représentants en douane en France. En fin d'émission, Charlie Dupiot nous emmène sur les campus français avec Décalages culturels, une chronique produite par RFI avec le soutien de l'Université Paris Cité. Sur une idée originale de Chae-Yeon Bournel-Bosson du Français facile avec RFI. Dans ce 11ème épisode, Wahiba, étudiante algérienne en santé publique et Malek Kaci, consultant en interculturel expert de l'Algérie, nous parlent du rapport à l'argent et à la générosité, et du remboursement des dettes. Programmation musicale : ► Supne Prabh - Deep, Benny Dayal ► Abysses - Molécule.
New Zealand banned it. So did France, Australia and South Africa, and every American publisher who saw the manuscript in 1954 turned it down. Brian Boyd, Emeritus Distinguished Professor of English at the University of Auckland and the world's leading Nabokov scholar, joins Dane Giraud to trace the censorship history of the twentieth century's most contested masterpiece. They cover Nabokov's extraordinary life in exile, why he wrote a confession narrated by a predator, the Paris press that finally published it, Graham Greene's satirical John Gordon Society, the French ban traded over Suez, the 1958 American release that outsold everything since Gone With the Wind, the Kubrick and Lyne adaptations, and what seventy years of banning Lolita teaches us: suppression sells, and the impulse to censor never learns. https://www.fsu.nz/ https://x.com/NZFreeSpeech https://www.instagram.com/freespeechnz/ https://www.tiktok.com/@freespeechunionnzSupport the showhttps://www.fsu.nz/https://x.com/NZFreeSpeechhttps://www.instagram.com/freespeechnz/https://www.tiktok.com/@freespeechunionnz
durée : 00:05:12 - Les Matins de France Culture - par : Alexandra Delbot - La tropicalisation de la Méditerranée repose sur deux phénomènes : d'un côté, la remontée naturelle vers le nord d'espèces d'eaux chaudes déjà présentes, et de l'autre, l'arrivée d'espèces tropicales par le canal de Suez. - invités : Sandrine Ruitton Enseignant chercheur à l'Université d'Aix Marseille en biologie marine à l'Institut Méditerranéen d'Océanologie Vous aimez ce podcast ? Pour écouter tous les épisodes sans limite, rendez-vous sur Radio France
Au sommaire :Le gouvernement français réclame 800 millions d'euros d'économies sur les arrêts maladie, en durcissant les conditions d'indemnisation et en limitant la durée des arrêts.La canicule attendue en France la semaine prochaine pousse les Français à modifier leurs projets de vacances d'été, avec une forte hausse des recherches pour des destinations plus fraîches comme la Normandie.Au Royaume-Uni, Andy Burnham, qui devrait devenir le prochain Premier ministre, présente sa feuille de route économique axée sur la décentralisation, la réindustrialisation et une "bonne croissance" bénéficiant à tous.Au Venezuela, le séisme meurtrier qui a frappé le pays aggrave une situation économique déjà très dégradée et complique les efforts de restructuration de la dette.Le groupe français Suez remporte un contrat de 2 milliards d'euros pour la gestion de l'eau à Mascate, la capitale d'Oman, un retour à l'international pour l'entreprise.Hébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.
VOV1 - Lãnh đạo Ban quản lý kênh đào Suez của Ai Cập cho biết doanh thu từ kênh đào Suez trong năm tài khóa 2025-2026, tăng rất mạnh, đạt 4,67 tỷ đô la Mỹ. Nguyên nhân là bởi lượng tàu và hàng hóa lưu thông qua tuyến biển Đỏ gia tăng.Theo Chủ tịch Ban quản lý kênh đào Suez Osama Rabie, trong năm tài khóa 2025-2026 (kết thúc cuối tháng 6 này), số tàu hàng đi qua tuyến biển Đỏ - kênh đào Suez, tăng 10% so với giai đoạn trước, trong khi tổng lượng hàng hóa lưu thông tăng tới 22%. Nhờ đó, doanh thu qua kênh đào Suez trong năm tài khóa vừa qua tăng tới 23% so với kỳ liền trước.Kênh đào Suez là một trong những nguồn thu ngoại tệ quan trọng của nền kinh tế Ai Cập. Trong năm 2023, doanh thu từ tuyến vận tải đặc biệt nối giữa Địa Trung Hải và biển Đỏ này đạt 10,2 tỷ USD. Tuy nhiên, khi căng thẳng tại biển Đỏ gia tăng do tác động từ cuộc chiến Gaza, doanh thu mà Ai Cập nhận được từ kênh đào Suez trong năm 2024, chỉ còn 4 tỷ USD, mức suy giảm lên tới hơn 60%.Theo các báo cáo đáng tin cậy, trong điều kiện bình thường, tuyến vận tải qua kênh đào Suez chiếm khoảng 12% tổng giao thương toàn cầu./.Bá Thi/ VOV Ai CậpTàu thương mại lưu thông qua kênh đào Suez (Ảnh VOV Cairo).
Oil may dominate the headlines about the Middle East, but the real power often flows through water. Three narrow passages - the Suez Canal, the Strait of Hormuz, and Bab el-Mandeb – shape how the world moves. In times of crisis, they've become chokepoints, disrupting global trade, rattling markets, and shifting the balance of power way beyond the region. In this episode, three stories from these waterways… how they've helped define the modern Middle East and, as we've seen recently with Hormuz, the economic currents that affect us all.Guests:Alex Von Tunzelmann, author of Blood and Sand: Suez, Hungary, and Eisenhower's Campaign for PeaceHarold Lee Wise, author of Inside the Danger Zone: The U.S. Military in the Persian Gulf, 1987-1988Farea Al-Muslimi, Yemen and Gulf researcher at Chatham House in LondonSupport shows like Throughline with NPR+. Sign up today at plus.npr.org.See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for sponsorship and to manage your podcast sponsorship preferences.NPR Privacy Policy
Asia-North Europe rates are up another $400 week over week, the futures curve points higher still, and the Strait of Hormuz is open, closed, and open again depending on which hour you check. Lars Jensen and Caroline Weaver cut through the noise on all of it.In this episode, Lars Jensen and Caroline Weaver cover:NYFI update: Asia-North Europe spot rates at $3,563 and climbing, with July futures pointing $740 higher than current levels and August expectations also revised up. Asia-USWC at $4,264, up 6.3% week over week, with futures suggesting the Pacific apex may already be hereWhy the spread on Asia-USEC has widened to $2,000 between the 10th and 90th percentile -- and what that means for how you interpret the index relative to your own ratesThe Hormuz situation: an MoU, a declaration it was open, a declaration it was closed, vessels doing U-turns, and talks ongoing in Switzerland -- all within 72 hoursWhy CMA-CGM permanently shifting its FAL 3 service back to Suez on the backhaul is about capitalizing on peak season capacity, not just route normalizationA fifth piracy attempt in two weeks in the Gulf of Aden, why ultra-large container ships have a natural defense, and why smaller vessels are at greater riskWant to see the NYFI charts discussed in this episode? Upgrade to NYFI PROSubscribe to weekly podcast CliffsNotes sent directly to your inbox.
Egyptian President Gamal Abdel Nassar announced Egypt was taking control of the British and French owned Suez Canal Company in July 1956. He took this action to fund the Aswan Dam he wanted built. In response to Nassar seizing the canal, Britain, France, and Israel secretly planned a joint invasion. Israel would advance towards the canal through the Sinai Peninsula while Britain and France would intervene and regain control of the canal under the guise of being peacekeepers. Barry Turner explains why the plan did not work in, “Suez 1956: The Inside Story of the First Oil War.”
Tutti conosciamo lo Stretto di Hormuz. Ma di stretti come Hormuz, nel mondo, ce ne sono altri sette. E oggi, per la prima volta nella storia recente, quattro degli otto principali choke points del pianeta sono simultaneamente sotto pressione. In questo video spieghiamo cosa sono i punti di soffocamento degli oceani, chi li controlla e cosa succede quando si chiudono. Analizziamo le rotte alternative reali: da Suez (oltre 6.000 km in più via Capo di Buona Speranza), a Panama (distanza che raddoppia o triplica), fino a Hormuz, dove una vera alternativa marittima non esiste e le pipeline di bypass possono dirottare al massimo circa 2,6 milioni di barili al giorno contro i 20 che passano via mare. Aggiornamento al 4 maggio 2026: il blocco navale USA sui porti iraniani è in vigore dal 13 aprile, la tregua tra Washington e Teheran è fragile, e dopo la conferenza di Parigi del 17 aprile (Macron, Starmer, Meloni, Merz) Europa e alleati continuano a pianificare una missione multinazionale di sminamento. Ecco tutto quello che c'è da sapere. Prendi parte alla nostra Membership per supportare il nostro progetto Missione Cultura e diventare mecenate di Geopop: https://geopop.it/ngCbN 00:00 Crisi di Hormuz: perché preoccupa il mondo 02:20 Cosa sono i choke points e perché sono strategici 04:12 Gli 8 choke points più importanti del mondo 06:41 Canale di Panama: il collegamento tra Atlantico e Pacifico 08:22 Stretto di Malacca: il passaggio marittimo più trafficato 09:21 Stretto di Gibilterra: la porta del Mediterraneo 09:53 Bosforo e Dardanelli: il collegamento con il Mar Nero 10:28 Stretto di Hormuz: passa il 20% del petrolio mondiale 12:09 Magellano e Capo di Buona Speranza: le rotte alternative 15:12 Chi controlla davvero i choke points 16:44 I choke points erano già in crisi prima di Hormuz 18:18 La rotta del futuro: l'Artico Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Rates are climbing, carriers are piling on surcharges, and peak season is arriving ahead of schedule. This week Lars Jensen runs the numbers on why the market is where it is and it has everything to do with the Red Sea and almost nothing to do with how consumers are feeling.In this episode, Lars Jensen and Caroline Weaver cover:Why Pacific and Asia-Europe spot rates continue their upward momentum and what the futures curve is signaling for peak season, including a sharp expected pullback as early as SeptemberThe statistical relationship between US consumer sentiment and container volumes: Lars ran the analysis and the correlation coefficient is 0.3. There effectively isn't one.Hormuz update: no deal, drone strikes on Kuwait, a suspected mine in Omani waters, and an MSC 18,000 TEU vessel that went dark for five days and reappeared off West AfricaHow CMA-CGM continues to quietly expand its Suez routing while every other carrier goes around AfricaChina PMI at exactly 50, and why the raw materials sub-index shooting above 60 post-Hormuz is the inflation signal worth watchingGlobal trade imbalances since 2019: full containers up 17%, fleet up 43%, TEU miles up 41% and empty container movements up 102%
Welcome to the second part of a Warships Pod special, with returning guest Lee Pilgrim and host Iain Ballantyne diving into the state of the Royal Navy today, its decline since the 1990s and where next.Also in this episode, Iain and Lee consider the failure of strategic vision in the UK when it comes to its navy. They ask what can be learned from a crucial oceanic struggle during the Second World War.The future of Britannia Royal Naval College (BRBC) Dartmouth – the officers' training academy of the Royal Navy - is discussed along with a shake-up in training for both officers and ratings. Among other topics tackled is a decision to commit a British destroyer to operations East of Suez during a time of war between the USA, Israel and Iran.*For more on navies and their activities worldwide, get the magazine! Web site http://bit.ly/wifrmag Also, follow it on X @WarshipsIFR Facebook @WarshipsIFR and Warships IFR TV on YouTube @warshipsifrtv3668 The June 2026 edition of Warships IFR is now out and among its features are: the Black Sea mine menace; Australia's naval boost; the Royal Navy countering Russian intrusions into seas off the UK; the Iran War and its global consequences; the second part of a series on the ill-fated Dardanelles-Gallipoli campaign on WW1.To ensure you get the magazine in hard copy and/or digital subscribe now! https://warshipsifr.com/subscriptions/•Lee Pilgrim has worked in defence and intelligence - for government and industry - for over 30 years, in the UK and overseas, so has some useful insights into a broad spectrum of topics. His social media posts on X are well worth a read, so follow him on there @MtarfaL He has also written numerous articles for Warships IFR and contributed to its ‘Guide to the Royal Navy 2026'.•Iain Ballantyne is the founding and current Editor of ‘Warships IFR' magazine (first published in 1998) along with its ‘Guide to the Royal Navy' (since 2003) and ‘Guide to the US Navy' (since 2018). Iain is also author of the books ‘Hunter Killers' (Orion) and ‘The Deadly Trade' (Weidenfeld & Nicolson), both about submarine warfare, plus ‘Arnhem: Ten Days in The Cauldron' and ‘Bismarck: 24 Hours to Doom' (both published by Canelo). In 2017 Iain was awarded a Fellowship by the British Maritime Foundation, which promotes awareness of the United Kingdom's dependence on the sea and seafarers. Visit his web site Bismarckbattle.com and follow him onX @IBallantyn Instagram.com/iballantynBluesky iainballantyne.bsky.social
In 1879, a chemist named Constantin Fahlberg sat down to dinner without washing his hands after a day spent handling coal tar. His bread tasted strangely sweet. So he went back to the lab and started tasting everything on his bench until he found the source. That was saccharin, the first artificial sweetener, discovered because a man would not wash his hands before dinner. Nearly 150 years later, we are still arguing about whether the stuff is going to kill us.This week, Zoë and Kylee dig into the question every diet-soda lover has had to defend at a gas station: are artificial sweeteners actually bad for you? They trace how a coal-tar accident became a billion-dollar industry, why the WHO's "possibly carcinogenic" label on aspartame puts it in the same risk tier as pickled vegetables and working as a carpenter, and how Donald Rumsfeld personally muscled aspartame through the FDA. The saccharin cancer scare that haunted a generation came from male rats dosed with the equivalent of hundreds of sodas a day, through a mechanism human bodies do not even have.Along the way: the wartime rationing that built the sweetener industry, the cyclamate the US banned and never reinstated while the rest of the world kept drinking it, the every-fifteen-years villain cycle that has run through fat, high-fructose corn syrup, gluten, and seed oils, the genuinely fascinating Suez microbiome research where scientists grew human gut bacteria in mice, the stevia-in-a-petri-dish problem, and the erythritol heart-attack headline that fell apart the moment anyone read the study.Plus: why these things were always sold to women as a permission structure, the one category athletes actually need to watch (sugar alcohols, and the osmotic chaos they bring to a long run), the client drinking ten Liquid IVs a day, and a hot-takes round that settles Diet Coke versus Coke Zero once and for all.Listen for the full story.This episode is brought to you by:rabbit: Built by runners, for runners. Shop the women's collection at runinrabbit.com. Use code YDSMAY10 for 10% off, new code each month, check most recent show notes for updates. Tailwind Nutrition: Real fuel that actually works for endurance athletes. Shop at tailwindnutrition.com and use code YOURDIET20 for 20% off.Osmia: Simple, evidence-based skincare from a real doctor (and one of the few wellness brands we actually trust). Shop at osmiaskincare.com and use code YDS20 for 20% off.Microcosm Coaching: Human-first coaching for athletes of every level and every sport. Come to our virtual open house on June 11 at 5:30 MT. Register with this link or at microcosm-coaching.com.Want more? Join us on Patreon at patreon.com/YourDietSucks for weekly nutrition Q&As with Kylee, bonus deep dives, and community discussions on the topics that are too niche or too spicy for the main feed.Grab merch at teepublic.com/user/your-diet-sucks.Resources, citations, and studies discussed in this episode are available at yourdietsuckspodcast.com.
Bill Press interviews USA Today Washington bureau chief Susan Page about her book, "The Queen and Her Presidents," exploring how Queen Elizabeth II helped sustain the U.S.-U.K. “special relationship” through soft power over her 70-year reign. Page recounts the Queen's meetings with 13 sitting U.S. presidents (plus Herbert Hoover and pre-presidency LBJ), including Truman steadying a nervous young Princess Elizabeth; her reverence for Eisenhower; a complicated early dynamic with the Kennedys; LBJ's refusal to visit amid Vietnam tensions; Nixon's fascination with royal pageantry and his thwarted desire for a state dinner during Watergate; Reagan's bond with her over horses and later knighthood; the “talking hat” mishap with George H.W. Bush; Clinton-era distrust over British file searches; George W. Bush's teasing cowboy-boot moment; the Obama-Michelle protocol “touch” incident; and Trump pressing her about her favorite president. Page argues the Queen, highly briefed and shrewd, quietly smoothed crises (Suez, Ghana, Falklands) and preserved long-term ties.Get "The Queen and Her Presidents" book here: https://bookshop.org/p/books/the-queen-and-her-presidents-the-hidden-hand-that-shaped-history-susan-page/065fc3604a68c142?ean=9780063397392&next=tSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Welcome back to Top Stories. In this episode we're heading back to our live stream episode, issue 4188 back on 27th of March 2021. The Top Story that week, Global trading halts due as a ship draws a penis in the Suez canal! There you go, what a show that was. If you wanna hear more and up to date all be it not exactly new news. Then why not listen at thebuglepodcast.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Nieves Concostrina explica cómo el control de puntos estratégicos como Ormuz, Malaca y Suez ha sido una constante histórica para dominar el comercio mundial, permitiendo a potencias como la corona luso-hispana en el siglo XVI cobrar altos peajes por el paso de especias.
Nieves Concostrina explica cómo el control de puntos estratégicos como Ormuz, Malaca y Suez ha sido una constante histórica para dominar el comercio mundial, permitiendo a potencias como la corona luso-hispana en el siglo XVI cobrar altos peajes por el paso de especias.
The “special relationship” between Britain and America is at its weakest since the Suez crisis of 1956. Will a state visit by King Charles III to America salvage the tie? Why Japanese automakers may be running out of road. And fish from New York's Hudson river are now safe to eat.Guests and host:Rosie Blau, host of “The Intelligence”Daniel Franklin, senior editor, BritainEthan Wu, Asia business and finance editorStevie Hertz, US policy correspondentTopics covered: King Charles III, state visit, special relationshipJapanese carmakers, Toyota, Honda, Nissan, EVsHudson river, fishingListen to what matters most, from global politics and business to science and technology—Subscribe to Economist Podcasts+For more information about how to access Economist Podcasts+, please visit our FAQs page or watch our video explaining how to link your account. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The “special relationship” between Britain and America is at its weakest since the Suez crisis of 1956. Will a state visit by King Charles III to America salvage the tie? Why Japanese automakers may be running out of road. And fish from New York's Hudson river are now safe to eat.Guests and host:Rosie Blau, host of “The Intelligence”Daniel Franklin, senior editor, BritainEthan Wu, Asia business and finance editorStevie Hertz, US policy correspondentTopics covered: King Charles III, state visit, special relationshipJapanese carmakers, Toyota, Honda, Nissan, EVsHudson river, fishingListen to what matters most, from global politics and business to science and technology—Subscribe to Economist Podcasts+For more information about how to access Economist Podcasts+, please visit our FAQs page or watch our video explaining how to link your account. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Yasmina Asrarguis est une ancienne diplomate et doctorante spécialiste du Moyen-Orient, autrice de "Le mirage de la paix". C'est également une personne que je connais depuis un moment et je suis son travail de près.Son livre est construit sur des archives diplomatiques inédites, des conversations téléphoniques entre présidents, et des années d'enquête sur les coulisses de ce conflit que tout le monde commente et que presque personne ne comprend vraiment.Il est rare que je reçoive quelqu'un qui cumule à la fois l'expérience du terrain diplomatique, la rigueur académique et la capacité à tout remettre dans un récit qui tient. Avec Yasmina, on s'est connus avant qu'elle sorte ce bouquin, et je savais que cette conversation allait être différente. Elle est jeune, femme, maghrébine, et elle parle d'un sujet que la diplomatie a toujours réservé aux hommes d'un certain âge. C'est déjà en soi quelque chose.Dans cet épisode, nous parlons des deux grandes forces qui rendent la paix impossible aujourd'hui : les idéologues messianiques (des deux côtés) et les acteurs opportunistes qui font de la géopolitique comme on fait des affaires. J'ai questionné Yasmina sur pourquoi le 7 octobre était en réalité une réponse à un accord de paix qui était sur le point d'être signé, sur ce que Kissinger avait vraiment compris que personne n'a retenu, sur l'enrichissement personnel de Trump comme boussole de sa politique étrangère, et sur ce qui, malgré tout, lui donne envie du futur dans cette région.Citations marquantes"Tant qu'on aura des idéologues d'une part, et des acteurs fortement opportunistes qui ont le pouvoir dans certaines capitales, il sera extrêmement compliqué de voir advenir une paix civilisationnelle.""Le 7 octobre, c'est véritablement le conseil du Hamas qui se réunit pour une réunion d'urgence et qui dit : il nous faut agir extrêmement vite pour empêcher la reconnaissance.""Le business peut générer de la dépendance. Mais pas de la confiance. Ce ne sont pas les mêmes acteurs.""On est passé d'une Amérique où il y avait cette idée de rêve américain. Aujourd'hui, c'est juste le rêve de Trump.""Ce que l'on voit à savoir la guerre, le sang, la revanche — ce n'est pas le lot commun du Moyen-Orient. C'est aussi une région de beauté infinie, d'une jeunesse pleine de rêves."Grandes idées discutées1. Idéologues vs opportunistes : le cocktail qui rend la paix impossible (~0:05:35 – 0:09:44) D'un côté les messianismes (évangélique américain, religieux israélien, islamiste arabe). De l'autre, une "business diplomacy" trumpiste qui traite la région comme un marché. Ces deux logiques s'excluent mutuellement — et aucune ne pense aux populations. Tant que ce duo est aux commandes, la paix n'est pas un horizon réel.2. La paix par la prospérité, puis la paix par la force — deux échecs annoncés (~0:09:57 – 0:13:00) Trump a d'abord testé la "paix par la prospérité" (accords d'Abraham). Après le 7 octobre, il est passé à la "paix par la force" (guerres en Iran). Aucune des deux n'intègre les populations civiles. C'est une géopolitique de businessmen qui ignorent que la paix se construit avec les gens, pas autour d'eux.3. Le 7 octobre comme réponse directe à la normalisation saoudienne (~1:04:00 – 1:07:38) Ce que j'ignorais et que Yasmina documente dans son livre : le Hamas a lancé les attaques du 7 octobre en réaction directe à la normalisation imminente entre Israël et l'Arabie Saoudite. MBS était apparu sur Fox News pour dire que la reconnaissance était prochaine. Le Hamas ne pouvait pas atteindre les dirigeants, alors il a frappé la population civile pour créer une surréaction qui rendrait la normalisation impossible. Deux ans après, ça a marché.4. Trump, l'enrichissement personnel comme boussole géopolitique (~0:48:15 – 0:55:54) Ce n'est pas une thèse complotiste — c'est documenté. Avant chaque déplacement dans la région, c'est le fils de Trump qui signe les contrats. Des achats de drones et d'hydrocarbures dans le premier cercle présidentiel quelques jours avant la guerre en Iran. Un avion présidentiel offert par le Qatar. Une rivière à 40 km de Doha. Yasmina le dit avec des chiffres, pas des opinions.5. La confiance ne se bâtit pas avec des contrats, mais avec de l'éducation et de la culture (~1:09:09 – 1:13:35) L'exemple franco-allemand est là : personne en 1945 n'aurait parié sur cette réconciliation. Ce qui a marché, ce n'est pas le business. C'est Erasmus, l'apprentissage des langues, la codépendance culturelle. C'est ça que le Moyen-Orient n'a pas encore eu le droit d'expérimenter.6. Hamas et gouvernance par la peur — le paradoxe des sondages (~0:56:41 – 1:01:02) Un chiffre contre-intuitif : l'adhésion au Hamas est plus forte dans les territoires gouvernés par l'Autorité palestinienne que dans ceux gouvernés par le Hamas lui-même. Les populations qui vivent sous le régime connaissent la réalité. Celles qui n'y sont pas ont encore le fantasme. Même mécanique qu'en Iran.7. La jeunesse comme seule vraie variable d'espoir (~1:17:49 – 1:21:48) Pas le business. Pas les PDG. La jeunesse — diplomates de 30 ans, entrepreneurs locaux, femmes qui prennent la parole. Une région qui est aussi de beauté et de rêves, pas seulement de destruction. C'est la seule chose qui donne envie du futur à Yasmina. Et après cette conversation, à moi aussi.Questions posées dans l'interviewC'est quoi, selon toi, les dynamiques dans le Moyen-Orient que la majorité des gens ne comprennent pas ?Quand ils parlent de paix, dans aucun des cas ils envisagent les humains qui sont sur place — tu confirmes ?Est-ce que le gouvernement Netanyahou est symétrique à l'Iran dans sa logique messianique ?Y a-t-il vraiment une scission profonde dans la société israélienne, ou c'est du bruit médiatique ?Pourquoi un certain nombre de personnes de confession juive ne sont pas nécessairement sionistes ?Est-ce juste de dire que l'État d'Israël est né de l'antisémitisme européen ?Quel a été le rôle de la guerre froide dans la région, et comment Kissinger a tout changé ?Comment le Hamas a réussi à prendre autant de pouvoir en Palestine ?Y a-t-il une volonté réelle d'une solution à deux États, côté Netanyahou, côté Hamas, côté Hezbollah ?Qu'est-ce qui te donne envie du futur dans cette région, malgré tout ce qu'on vient de dire ?Références citéesLivresLe mirage de la paix — Yasmina Asraragiz (son propre livre, fil rouge de l'entretien)Accords et documents historiquesDéclaration Balfour (document britannique autorisant la création d'un État israélien) — ~0:31:46Accords d'Oslo (Israël / Autorité palestinienne, Rabin / Arafat) — ~1:02:49Accords de Camp David (Israël / Égypte, Sadat / Begin) — ~1:03:30Accords d'Abraham (normalisation entre Israël et pays arabes) — ~0:10:30Personnalités historiquesThéodore Herzl (fondateur du sionisme) — ~0:28:09Henry Kissinger (diplomatie navette, guerre de Yom Kippour) — ~0:37:27 et ~0:39:52Anwar Sadat (assassiné après Camp David) — ~1:03:36Yitzhak Rabin (assassiné après Oslo) — ~1:02:49Golda Meir — ~0:40:19Ben Gurion — ~0:29:00Personnalités contemporainesCharlie Kirk (messianisme évangélique US) — ~0:05:35Donald Trump et Jared Kushner — ~0:46:00 / ~0:48:15Steve Witkoff (envoyé spécial US au Moyen-Orient) — ~0:07:00Mohamed Ben Salman (MBS) — ~1:04:30Itamar Ben Gvir et Bezalel Smotrich (extrême droite israélienne) — ~0:26:00Netanyahou — multiple occurrencesReza Pahlavi (cité comme potentiel successeur du régime iranien) — ~0:13:00ÉvénementsGuerre de Yom Kippour (1973) — ~0:38:00Guerre des Six Jours — ~0:39:52Guerre civile libanaise / guerres israélo-libanaises — ~0:19:507 octobre 2023 — ~1:04:00Embargo pétrolier arabe de 1973 — ~0:38:30Crise du canal de Suez — ~0:43:10Afghanistan / Al-Qaïda / talibans (financement CIA) — ~0:43:29InstitutionsONU / Conseil de sécurité — ~0:14:07FINUL (force de l'ONU au Liban) — ~0:20:30Congrès américain — ~1:05:00Timestamps clés (optimisés YouTube)00:00 — Introduction Gregory présente le podcast et pose la question fondatrice : peut-on encore se réjouir du futur ?00:34 — Qui est Yasmina ? Ancienne diplomate, doctorante, autrice du Mirage de la paix. Gregory souligne la rareté : une femme jeune, maghrébine, qui parle de géopolitique avec une expertise rare.02:00 — Pourquoi si peu de femmes dans l'analyse géopolitique ? Yasmina explique le coût psychique de ce domaine et comment les femmes s'auto-excluent d'un sujet porté historiquement par des hommes.05:35 — Les deux forces qui bloquent la paix Idéologues messianiques (US, Israël, monde arabe) d'un côté. Business diplomacy opportuniste de l'autre. Aucun ne pense aux populations.09:57 — Paix par la prospérité vs paix par la force Les deux doctrines Trump expliquées. Pourquoi aucune ne peut produire une vraie paix durable.14:07 — Israël et Iran : guerre existentielle Les deux camps croient jouer leur survie. Quand vous êtes en mode existentiel, le droit international ne compte plus.27:41 — Origines du sionisme et débat interne Herzl, les rabbins anti-sionistes, la gauche soviétique : l'histoire du sionisme que personne ne raconte vraiment.31:46 — L'État d'Israël est-il né de l'antisémitisme européen ? La déclaration Balfour, ses motivations réelles, les Juifs instrumentalisés. Yasmina répond avec les archives.37:27 — Kissinger et le pivot américain vers le Moyen-Orient Guerre de Yom Kippour, embargo pétrolier, naissance de la diplomatie navette. Le moment où les US ont compris l'enjeu.48:15 — Trump : enrichissement personnel comme boussole géopolitique Chiffres, contrats, famille, avion qatari. Yasmina documente ce qui est souvent dit mais rarement démontré.56:41 — Comment le Hamas a pris Gaza Gouvernance par la peur, assassinats politiques, et le paradoxe des sondages : l'adhésion au Hamas est plus forte là où il ne gouverne pas.1:04:00 — Le 7 octobre comme réponse à la normalisation saoudienne La révélation centrale du livre. Le Hamas a frappé pour empêcher un accord de paix imminent entre Israël et l'Arabie Saoudite.1:09:09 — Ce qu'il faudrait vraiment pour une paix Moins d'idéologues, moins de business. Plus d'éducation, de culture, de codépendance humaine. L'exemple franco-allemand.1:14:52 — Le rôle du Maroc et des pays du Maghreb La relation Maroc-Israël analysée : démographie partagée, coopération sécuritaire, projets culturels. Un cas à part dans la région.1:17:49 — Ce qui donne envie du futur : la jeunesse Des diplomates de 30 ans, une jeunesse qui rêve, un Moyen-Orient de beauté que la guerre cache. La seule vraie variable d'espoir.1:21:54 — VLAN final Claquer la porte au messianisme. L'ouvrir à la jeunesse moyenne-orientale et aux défenseurs de la paix. Suggestion d'autres épisodes à écouter : #321 (partie 1) Israël-Palestine : Comprendre et décrypter le conflit avec Vincent Lemire (https://audmns.com/FvEjGWR) #312 Les défis géopolitiques d'un monde hors de contrôle avec Thomas Gomart (https://audmns.com/jscnrns) #345 L'occident ne comprends plus le monde avec Pierre Haski (partie 1) (https://audmns.com/yGmnzUq)Hébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.
Yasmina Asrarguis est une ancienne diplomate et doctorante spécialiste du Moyen-Orient, autrice de "Le mirage de la paix". C'est également une personne que je connais depuis un moment et je suis son travail de près.Son livre est construit sur des archives diplomatiques inédites, des conversations téléphoniques entre présidents, et des années d'enquête sur les coulisses de ce conflit que tout le monde commente et que presque personne ne comprend vraiment.Il est rare que je reçoive quelqu'un qui cumule à la fois l'expérience du terrain diplomatique, la rigueur académique et la capacité à tout remettre dans un récit qui tient. Avec Yasmina, on s'est connus avant qu'elle sorte ce bouquin, et je savais que cette conversation allait être différente. Elle est jeune, femme, maghrébine, et elle parle d'un sujet que la diplomatie a toujours réservé aux hommes d'un certain âge. C'est déjà en soi quelque chose.Dans cet épisode, nous parlons des deux grandes forces qui rendent la paix impossible aujourd'hui : les idéologues messianiques (des deux côtés) et les acteurs opportunistes qui font de la géopolitique comme on fait des affaires. J'ai questionné Yasmina sur pourquoi le 7 octobre était en réalité une réponse à un accord de paix qui était sur le point d'être signé, sur ce que Kissinger avait vraiment compris que personne n'a retenu, sur l'enrichissement personnel de Trump comme boussole de sa politique étrangère, et sur ce qui, malgré tout, lui donne envie du futur dans cette région.Citations marquantes"Tant qu'on aura des idéologues d'une part, et des acteurs fortement opportunistes qui ont le pouvoir dans certaines capitales, il sera extrêmement compliqué de voir advenir une paix civilisationnelle.""Le 7 octobre, c'est véritablement le conseil du Hamas qui se réunit pour une réunion d'urgence et qui dit : il nous faut agir extrêmement vite pour empêcher la reconnaissance.""Le business peut générer de la dépendance. Mais pas de la confiance. Ce ne sont pas les mêmes acteurs.""On est passé d'une Amérique où il y avait cette idée de rêve américain. Aujourd'hui, c'est juste le rêve de Trump.""Ce que l'on voit à savoir la guerre, le sang, la revanche — ce n'est pas le lot commun du Moyen-Orient. C'est aussi une région de beauté infinie, d'une jeunesse pleine de rêves."Grandes idées discutées1. Idéologues vs opportunistes : le cocktail qui rend la paix impossible (~0:05:35 – 0:09:44) D'un côté les messianismes (évangélique américain, religieux israélien, islamiste arabe). De l'autre, une "business diplomacy" trumpiste qui traite la région comme un marché. Ces deux logiques s'excluent mutuellement — et aucune ne pense aux populations. Tant que ce duo est aux commandes, la paix n'est pas un horizon réel.2. La paix par la prospérité, puis la paix par la force — deux échecs annoncés (~0:09:57 – 0:13:00) Trump a d'abord testé la "paix par la prospérité" (accords d'Abraham). Après le 7 octobre, il est passé à la "paix par la force" (guerres en Iran). Aucune des deux n'intègre les populations civiles. C'est une géopolitique de businessmen qui ignorent que la paix se construit avec les gens, pas autour d'eux.3. Le 7 octobre comme réponse directe à la normalisation saoudienne (~1:04:00 – 1:07:38) Ce que j'ignorais et que Yasmina documente dans son livre : le Hamas a lancé les attaques du 7 octobre en réaction directe à la normalisation imminente entre Israël et l'Arabie Saoudite. MBS était apparu sur Fox News pour dire que la reconnaissance était prochaine. Le Hamas ne pouvait pas atteindre les dirigeants, alors il a frappé la population civile pour créer une surréaction qui rendrait la normalisation impossible. Deux ans après, ça a marché.4. Trump, l'enrichissement personnel comme boussole géopolitique (~0:48:15 – 0:55:54) Ce n'est pas une thèse complotiste — c'est documenté. Avant chaque déplacement dans la région, c'est le fils de Trump qui signe les contrats. Des achats de drones et d'hydrocarbures dans le premier cercle présidentiel quelques jours avant la guerre en Iran. Un avion présidentiel offert par le Qatar. Une rivière à 40 km de Doha. Yasmina le dit avec des chiffres, pas des opinions.5. La confiance ne se bâtit pas avec des contrats, mais avec de l'éducation et de la culture (~1:09:09 – 1:13:35) L'exemple franco-allemand est là : personne en 1945 n'aurait parié sur cette réconciliation. Ce qui a marché, ce n'est pas le business. C'est Erasmus, l'apprentissage des langues, la codépendance culturelle. C'est ça que le Moyen-Orient n'a pas encore eu le droit d'expérimenter.6. Hamas et gouvernance par la peur — le paradoxe des sondages (~0:56:41 – 1:01:02) Un chiffre contre-intuitif : l'adhésion au Hamas est plus forte dans les territoires gouvernés par l'Autorité palestinienne que dans ceux gouvernés par le Hamas lui-même. Les populations qui vivent sous le régime connaissent la réalité. Celles qui n'y sont pas ont encore le fantasme. Même mécanique qu'en Iran.7. La jeunesse comme seule vraie variable d'espoir (~1:17:49 – 1:21:48) Pas le business. Pas les PDG. La jeunesse — diplomates de 30 ans, entrepreneurs locaux, femmes qui prennent la parole. Une région qui est aussi de beauté et de rêves, pas seulement de destruction. C'est la seule chose qui donne envie du futur à Yasmina. Et après cette conversation, à moi aussi.Questions posées dans l'interviewC'est quoi, selon toi, les dynamiques dans le Moyen-Orient que la majorité des gens ne comprennent pas ?Quand ils parlent de paix, dans aucun des cas ils envisagent les humains qui sont sur place — tu confirmes ?Est-ce que le gouvernement Netanyahou est symétrique à l'Iran dans sa logique messianique ?Y a-t-il vraiment une scission profonde dans la société israélienne, ou c'est du bruit médiatique ?Pourquoi un certain nombre de personnes de confession juive ne sont pas nécessairement sionistes ?Est-ce juste de dire que l'État d'Israël est né de l'antisémitisme européen ?Quel a été le rôle de la guerre froide dans la région, et comment Kissinger a tout changé ?Comment le Hamas a réussi à prendre autant de pouvoir en Palestine ?Y a-t-il une volonté réelle d'une solution à deux États, côté Netanyahou, côté Hamas, côté Hezbollah ?Qu'est-ce qui te donne envie du futur dans cette région, malgré tout ce qu'on vient de dire ?Références citéesLivresLe mirage de la paix — Yasmina Asraragiz (son propre livre, fil rouge de l'entretien)Accords et documents historiquesDéclaration Balfour (document britannique autorisant la création d'un État israélien) — ~0:31:46Accords d'Oslo (Israël / Autorité palestinienne, Rabin / Arafat) — ~1:02:49Accords de Camp David (Israël / Égypte, Sadat / Begin) — ~1:03:30Accords d'Abraham (normalisation entre Israël et pays arabes) — ~0:10:30Personnalités historiquesThéodore Herzl (fondateur du sionisme) — ~0:28:09Henry Kissinger (diplomatie navette, guerre de Yom Kippour) — ~0:37:27 et ~0:39:52Anwar Sadat (assassiné après Camp David) — ~1:03:36Yitzhak Rabin (assassiné après Oslo) — ~1:02:49Golda Meir — ~0:40:19Ben Gurion — ~0:29:00Personnalités contemporainesCharlie Kirk (messianisme évangélique US) — ~0:05:35Donald Trump et Jared Kushner — ~0:46:00 / ~0:48:15Steve Witkoff (envoyé spécial US au Moyen-Orient) — ~0:07:00Mohamed Ben Salman (MBS) — ~1:04:30Itamar Ben Gvir et Bezalel Smotrich (extrême droite israélienne) — ~0:26:00Netanyahou — multiple occurrencesReza Pahlavi (cité comme potentiel successeur du régime iranien) — ~0:13:00ÉvénementsGuerre de Yom Kippour (1973) — ~0:38:00Guerre des Six Jours — ~0:39:52Guerre civile libanaise / guerres israélo-libanaises — ~0:19:507 octobre 2023 — ~1:04:00Embargo pétrolier arabe de 1973 — ~0:38:30Crise du canal de Suez — ~0:43:10Afghanistan / Al-Qaïda / talibans (financement CIA) — ~0:43:29InstitutionsONU / Conseil de sécurité — ~0:14:07FINUL (force de l'ONU au Liban) — ~0:20:30Congrès américain — ~1:05:00Timestamps clés (optimisés YouTube)00:00 — Introduction Gregory présente le podcast et pose la question fondatrice : peut-on encore se réjouir du futur ?00:34 — Qui est Yasmina ? Ancienne diplomate, doctorante, autrice du Mirage de la paix. Gregory souligne la rareté : une femme jeune, maghrébine, qui parle de géopolitique avec une expertise rare.02:00 — Pourquoi si peu de femmes dans l'analyse géopolitique ? Yasmina explique le coût psychique de ce domaine et comment les femmes s'auto-excluent d'un sujet porté historiquement par des hommes.05:35 — Les deux forces qui bloquent la paix Idéologues messianiques (US, Israël, monde arabe) d'un côté. Business diplomacy opportuniste de l'autre. Aucun ne pense aux populations.09:57 — Paix par la prospérité vs paix par la force Les deux doctrines Trump expliquées. Pourquoi aucune ne peut produire une vraie paix durable.14:07 — Israël et Iran : guerre existentielle Les deux camps croient jouer leur survie. Quand vous êtes en mode existentiel, le droit international ne compte plus.27:41 — Origines du sionisme et débat interne Herzl, les rabbins anti-sionistes, la gauche soviétique : l'histoire du sionisme que personne ne raconte vraiment.31:46 — L'État d'Israël est-il né de l'antisémitisme européen ? La déclaration Balfour, ses motivations réelles, les Juifs instrumentalisés. Yasmina répond avec les archives.37:27 — Kissinger et le pivot américain vers le Moyen-Orient Guerre de Yom Kippour, embargo pétrolier, naissance de la diplomatie navette. Le moment où les US ont compris l'enjeu.48:15 — Trump : enrichissement personnel comme boussole géopolitique Chiffres, contrats, famille, avion qatari. Yasmina documente ce qui est souvent dit mais rarement démontré.56:41 — Comment le Hamas a pris Gaza Gouvernance par la peur, assassinats politiques, et le paradoxe des sondages : l'adhésion au Hamas est plus forte là où il ne gouverne pas.1:04:00 — Le 7 octobre comme réponse à la normalisation saoudienne La révélation centrale du livre. Le Hamas a frappé pour empêcher un accord de paix imminent entre Israël et l'Arabie Saoudite.1:09:09 — Ce qu'il faudrait vraiment pour une paix Moins d'idéologues, moins de business. Plus d'éducation, de culture, de codépendance humaine. L'exemple franco-allemand.1:14:52 — Le rôle du Maroc et des pays du Maghreb La relation Maroc-Israël analysée : démographie partagée, coopération sécuritaire, projets culturels. Un cas à part dans la région.1:17:49 — Ce qui donne envie du futur : la jeunesse Des diplomates de 30 ans, une jeunesse qui rêve, un Moyen-Orient de beauté que la guerre cache. La seule vraie variable d'espoir.1:21:54 — VLAN final Claquer la porte au messianisme. L'ouvrir à la jeunesse moyenne-orientale et aux défenseurs de la paix.Hébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Luke Gromen. They discuss the Iran crisis, its knock-on effects, and what it means for inflation looking ahead. https://bit.ly/4ctlZtj
NEWS EP! Andy is a bestseller. Sean becomes a Luddite Gnome. Orbon is Or-gone. Situation monitoring Hormuz, and looking back at the Suez crisis. In the bonus we discuss AI-generated Iranian propaganda. To hear that, support the show at http://patreon.com/thiswreckage Metropolitans B&N event with Noah Kulwin: https://stores.barnesandnoble.com/event/9780062206054-0 ‘Summer of Ludd' https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/30/style/lamp-club-luddites.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share Orban Loss: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/13/us/politics/orban-trump-maga.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share Audio of Iranian warning that scared away US Navy warship https://x.com/eternalphysics/status/2043309125572936047?s=46 Suez and Iran by Niall Ferguson https://www.thetimes.com/comment/columnists/article/america-suez-crisis-trump-presidency-world-order-iran-cqrfs86z0Central banks sell US Treasuries in wake of Iran war: https://giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/actions/redeem/6fac51c8-b650-48d4-82eb-e6e66f75dd2fForeign Iran plans permanent changes to world economy https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2026/04/10/766586/why-no-matter-can-undermine-iran-eternal-dominance-over-strait-hormuz
**Listen to the first 4 episodes of the series today by joining the Empire Club at empirepoduk.com.** What was the Arab Cold War, and how did it violently divide the Middle East in the 1950s and 60s? What is the origin story of the Palestine Liberation Organisation? And how did Soviet disinformation and a closed maritime strait push the region to war? This series explores the history of this pivotal fifteen-year period and how its events mirror the crises in the Middle East today, and in Episode 1, William and Anita are joined by Eugene Rogan, Oxford Professor of Modern Middle Eastern History and author of The Arabs: A History, to discuss the build-up to the Six-Day War 1967. Join the Empire Club: Unlock the full Empire experience – with bonus episodes, ad-free listening, early access to miniseries and live show tickets, exclusive book discounts, a members-only newsletter, and access to our private Discord chatroom. Sign up directly at empirepoduk.com For more Goalhanger Podcasts, head to www.goalhanger.com. Email: empire@goalhanger.com Instagram: @empirepoduk Blue Sky: @empirepoduk X: @empirepoduk Assistant Producer: Imogen Marriott Editor: James Clayden Producer: Anouska Lewis Executive Producer: Dom Johnson Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices