POPULARITY
Categories
Jun 2, 2026 – Wall Street legend Ed Yardeni discusses why he's the most bullish strategist on the S&P 500, raising his 2024 target to 8,250. He explains the driving force behind this market rally, near-term risks from Fed actions and IPOs, and why...
Our Global Head of Fixed Income Research Andrew Sheets takes a closer look at potential investment paths when markets appear increasingly synchronized around a few macro themes.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Global Head of Fixed Income Research at Morgan Stanley. Today, how to square a market that is both highly correlated, and highly divergent, at the same time. It's Tuesday, June 2nd, at 3pm London. A market of one. That may be a way that you hear investing described these days, and strictly speaking, it's accurate. Stocks and bonds, the two big asset classes that form the bulk of most investors' portfolios, are moving in unusual lockstep. Stocks are rising when yields fall, and vice versa, with the most consistency in over 20 years. And both, perhaps unsurprisingly, are moving in close relationship with the price of oil. At this point, it all seems pretty clear. The Iran conflict is a big deal for markets, representing the largest disruption to global energy supply in history. Of course, stocks and bonds, and oil are all moving together based on the perception of how this enormous issue resolves. In doing so, they suggest that the conflict still remains quite important, even as markets appear quite strong. Just as we can measure the extent to which stocks, bonds, and commodity prices move together, we can also track how individual stocks move relative to each other. And so, are stocks also rising and falling together like we see with these big asset classes? No. In fact, without exaggeration, it is the complete opposite. There are a few ways to measure how the individual stocks within, say, the S&P 500, are moving relative to one another. But all of them say the same thing. Day to day, stocks are moving with unusual dispersion and independence. At the same time that the relationship between stocks and bonds is the tightest in over 20 years, the relationship between stocks within the S&P 500 – to each other – is the lowest. If Iran is the factor driving the tight linkage that we discussed between stocks and bonds, Artificial Intelligence may be the culprit behind the opposite effect when we get down into individual companies. The perception that some companies will be incredible beneficiaries of AI, while others will be left behind, would explain at least part of the divergent performance. And so would an attention gap; with so much focus and positioning in AI sensitive names, other parts of the market can quickly feel forgotten, and thus move more independently. Indeed, while the S&P 500 is back near all-time highs, the market's advance-decline line, a measure of how many stocks are going up versus going down, is lower than where it was in late February or mid-April. We see a few implications to all of this. First, while stocks and bonds are closely linked for the moment, we think that this correlation would flip under more significant energy market stress. Were the price of oil to spike to our Commodity team's bear case, of $130-$150/bbl, we think yields would start to fall as the market would turn more concerned about the effect of all of this on growth. So, while the diversification of bonds has been disappointing so far, we do think that it will improve and materialize when it really matters. In equities, this dispersion means that stock selection can allow one to stand out from the overall market. Indeed if one considers themselves a stock picker, low correlation between stocks is exactly the market that you would hope to have. And it also means that many individual names may not be as heady as the broad market levels would imply. As discussed on this program recently, my colleague Mike Wilson and our U.S. Equity Strategy team expects U.S. stock performance to broaden out from here. Thank you, as always, for your time. If you find Thoughts on the Market useful, let us know by leaving a review wherever you listen. Also tell a friend or colleague about us today.
Jun 1, 2026 – Explore the often-overlooked impact of state taxes on retirement strategies with Jim Puplava and Brendan McMurtrie. This episode dives into sophisticated approaches to Roth IRA conversions, highlighting the advantages and pitfalls...
The world is shifting from asset light and infinitely scalable to asset heavy. Across the globe, trillions of dollars are going into assets. Capital expenditure is on the rise. What is driving this? What sectors are we seeing it in? What are the challenges and bottlenecks companies face in delivering on CapEx programs? And how do new technologies and approaches to talent overcome this? Our guest is Erikans Kok, Senior Partner at McKinsey where he leads their Capital Excellence Practice globally. For related content and to find out more about HC Group, a search firm dedicated to the energy & commodities sector, visit https://www.hcgroup.global
Your email list is full of past customers ready to book again — you're just not showing up for them. Zac Garside from Send It breaks down why email is the lowest cost, highest ROI lead source in home services, how to stay out of spam, what makes people actually open and read your emails, and the simple three-line campaign that fills your calendar every single time. Connect with Zac: LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/zacgarside/ Learn more about Send It: https://www.sendit.com 20 Free Email Templates: https://www.sendit.com Connect with Chad: LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/chad-m-peterman/ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/chadmpeterman Learn more about: Chad Peterman - https://chadmpeterman.com/ Peterman Brothers - https://www.petermancareers.com/ The People Forward Network - https://peopleforwardnetwork.com/ #EmailMarketing #HVACMarketing #ContractorGrowth #HomeServices #ServiceBusiness #EmailList #MarketingStrategy #Entrepreneurship #BusinessGrowth #LeadGeneration Key Takeaways: Don't project your own email habits onto your customers. 10-20% open rates means your emails are going to spam. The from name matters more than the subject line. Commodity content kills engagement. Email creates demand — it's not demand capture like Google. Rebate offers crush it on email. Don't overthink segmentation. Value and promotional content aren't separate things. Real urgency converts.
Commodities trading has ancient roots including the commodity price index that help hedge for all parties involved in a trade. Our Summer School series kicks off with Kurt Nelson and a course in how commodity futures markets work, why speculators and farmers genuinely need each other, and why the cattle price rally may not peak until 2027 or 2028.
May 29, 2026 – The market is feeding an AI mania, and consensus bulls are still looking higher. In this wide-ranging conversation, Jim Puplava interviews Samantha LaDuc, chief market strategist at LaDuc Trading, about what's really driving stocks into record territory...
May 29, 2026 – Dan Steffens says that we are facing an impending supply shock in the oil markets, with rapid global inventory drawdowns pointing to higher oil prices, rationing, and severe shortages—especially in Europe and Asia—as early as...
This is Part 21 of *Practical Anarchy – A Guide to Self-Determination*.. Please Like, Comment, Subscribe and Watch the whole series in order. Acknowledgements Dedication Introduction by Mark Sleigh Introduction to the author ► Full playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLDT6pJU3_gViYVxWUTl8PcR29sW0GAcQK ► Join the Facebook group: https://www.facebook.com/groups/1864387554451463/permalink/1881786316044920/ ► Buy the book: https://shop.ingramspark.com/b/084?params=9dOIqr4EMtGT3x43Y9bhrmDaCPKCIzif4Y1dUjMvxgr #anarchy #history #politics #counterculture
Trump's Iran strategy is spiraling, Republicans are openly panicking, Senate confirmations are collapsing, and Donald Trump increasingly appears trapped inside an alternate reality built by loyalty, flattery, and political fear.In this episode of Political Rehab, Matt Robison and Matt Wylie break down:Trump's chaotic Iran negotiationswhy Republicans fear the economic fallout is only beginningthe shocking Texas Senate result that could backfire on the GOPwhy Trump may no longer control the Senatethe growing questions surrounding Trump's health and Walter Reed visitsthe increasingly surreal cabinet meetings and authoritarian-style praise ritualsthe Democratic Party autopsy and what Democrats actually need to changewhy inflation, immigration, and branding defeated Kamala Harrishow Democrats could become the party of change againand why AI taxes and sovereign wealth funds may become major political ideas in the futurePLUS:A Dose of Hope on what Americans across BOTH parties still agree on — and why the country may not be as divided as it feels.⏱️ TIMESTAMPS00:00 Intro — “Stuck in Neutral”00:22 Trump's Iran deal confusion begins01:10 Trump claims Iran deal is close01:45 Republicans panic over economic fallout02:25 Commodity shortages and inflation warning03:35 Ken Paxton crushes Cornyn in Texas04:15 Can Democrats actually win Texas?05:10 Why Paxton could hurt Republicans nationally06:00 “Republicans are stupid”06:45 Trump's Senate confirmation crisis07:30 Tulsi Gabbard resignation fallout08:05 GOP senators turning against Trump09:05 Trump's Walter Reed visits and health questions10:15 “Superhuman Trump” messaging11:00 Rick Wilson says Trump may be seriously ill12:00 Why the media may be missing the real story12:35 Trump's cabinet praise spectacle13:20 Is Trump trapped in an alternate reality?14:05 “North Korea tribute video”15:00 Nixon comparisons and informational isolation15:45 Rundown recap — authoritarian feedback loop18:05 Deep Dive — the Democratic autopsy19:00 Why the Democratic report failed20:00 The real reasons Harris lost20:20 Inflation, immigration, and Democratic branding21:10 Why incumbents collapsed globally in 202421:40 Democrats' identity crisis22:20 Immigration perceptions vs reality23:00 Bill Clinton and the “New Democrat” model23:40 Democrats and the politics of change24:10 “Shock to the system” voters25:00 Matt Wylie on political branding26:05 The McDonald's McDLT analogy27:00 How Democrats can defuse culture wars28:00 Why voters wanted change more than Trump29:00 What Democrats must learn for 202829:45 AI taxes and sovereign wealth funds31:05 Dose of Hope — Americans may agree more than we think33:30 Stephen Colbert, Walter Reed, and political satire35:00 Final thoughts
May 28, 2026 – Senior Bloomberg Intelligence agriculture analyst Alexis Maxwell discusses the sweeping impact of the ongoing Strait of Hormuz blockade on global fertilizer markets. She explains how it has disrupted key nutrients like nitrogen...
May 29, 2026 – Chief Investment Officer Chris Puplava joins Financial Sense to discuss the escalating risks in global oil markets amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and the depletion of strategic reserves. He cautions that current market optimism...
Tracy Shuchart joins Mining Stock Daily for a wide-ranging macro conversation covering oil markets, inflation risks, metals, AI infrastructure demand, and the growing disconnect between financial markets and physical commodity realities. The discussion dives into why Tracy remains bullish on copper, silver, and hard assets as data center buildouts accelerate global demand for energy and raw materials while supply chains continue to tighten. Tracy also explains why she believes markets are underestimating the long-term impact of Strait of Hormuz disruptions, higher energy prices, and resource nationalism across key producing countries. From computing power futures and AI speculation to gold, miners, and the physical constraints behind the digital economy, this episode connects the dots across some of the biggest macro themes driving markets today.______Terrahutton empowers junior mining companies to secure investment with immersive, interactive, and visually striking storytelling. Learn more about the Terrahutton platform HERE______This episode of Mining Stock Daily is brought to you by... Revival Gold Vizsla SilverEquinox GoldIntegra Resources
In this episode of Spotlight, Stephanie Stanton @etfguide chats with with John Love, CFA and CEO of USCF investments. This episode covers the Iran Oil Crisis, and its effects on gasoline and oil markets. It also covers gold income strategies and a unique oil and bitcoin strategy, and key insights and energy markets.John Love of USCF Investments talks about UGA, the United States Gasoline Fund, which offers investors exposure to Gasoline during a time of spiking gas prices nationwide.We also explore the USCF Gold Strategy Plus Income ETF (USG), which combines physical gold exposure with quarterly income via options strategies—a unique approach for investors seeking steady returns alongside precious metals, as well as USCF's recently launched Oil Plus Bitcoin Strategy Fund (WTIB), which allows you to invest in two uncorrelated assets in one find.
May 27, 2026 – FS Insider's Cris Sheridan and Tom Essaye discuss the AI data center and memory chip boom, surging tech capex, market impacts, and if this growth is sustainable. Key insights for investors following AI, tech trends, and valuations...
May 26, 2026 – The Iran war highlights a new global era where the “peace dividend” of the post-Cold War period has given way to a costly “war tax” regime. Satyajit Das explains how soaring global defense spending, economic warfare tactics, and...
In this episode, host Eklavya Gupte sits down with Marijn van Diessen, CEO of STX Group, one of the world's leading environmental commodity traders. The conversation explores Europe's strategic pivot toward domestic energy sources, the explosive growth potential of biomethane as a gas substitute, and the surge in demand for renewable certificates driven by AI data centers — alongside the challenge of creating liquid markets for products that exist only as digital attestations. Van Diessen explains both the parallels and distinctions between environmental and traditional energy trading. Like oil and gas, environmental commodities require logistics, storage and physical infrastructure. But unlike fossil fuels, they're far more sensitive to regulatory shifts — where a single policy change can trigger volatility as dramatic as any geopolitical shock.
Support the show
May 25, 2026 – Your Medicare premiums may be about to jump 20% or more, and most people are not prepared for it. In this eye-opening conversation, Jim Puplava sits down with Brian McArthur from Design My Medicare to unpack the forces driving the steepest supplement increases in years...
El Niño is officially here, and it may be intensifying fast. Eric Hunt updates us on pasture and wheat conditions in Nebraska and beyond from his role at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln.
Commodities are an investing sphere unto themselves, offering diversification, decorrelation from equities and bonds – and plenty of surprises along the way. In this episode of Making Sense, Eloise Goulder, head of the Data Assets and Alpha Group at J.P. Morgan, sits down with Kranthi Gade, head of Global Macro QIS Product Structuring, to hear how the quantitative strategies group builds and tracks systematic, tailored commodities trading for clients seeking alternative alpha. Tune in to hear the tactics and trends that comprise this fascinating approach to an equally fascinating asset class. This episode was recorded on May 12, 2026. The podcast's views do not necessarily reflect those of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co or its affiliates (together “J.P. Morgan) and are not from J.P. Morgan's Research Department. They do not constitute recommendations or offers to buy or sell securities. Intended for institutional and professional investors, not retail use, it is for informational purposes only. Products and services mentioned may not suit all investors or be available in all jurisdictions. J.P. Morgan may make markets and trade in discussed securities and asset classes. Visit www.jpmorgan.com/disclosures/salesandtradingdisclaimer for more disclaimers and regulatory disclosures. External speakers' opinions are personal and not J.P. Morgan's views. © 2026 JPMorgan Chase & Company. All rights reserved.
For episode 734 of the BlockHash Podcast, host Brandon Zemp is joined by Morgan Lekstrom, Co-Founder and Executive Chairman at Streamex. He is a seasoned mining executive and corporate strategist with over 17 years of experience building and transforming resource companies. As Chairman and Co-Founder of Streamex, he brings deep expertise in capital markets, strategic M&A, and commodities to guide the company's vision of tokenizing real-world assets. Morgan recently served as CEO of NexMetals Mining Corp., where he led the redevelopment of critical metals projects in Botswana with backing from a US$150 million letter of interest from the Export-Import Bank of the United States.
In this episode, Steve Brice explains what commodities are, how they can strengthen portfolio diversification and how they help investors navigate inflation and global supply and demand trends. Tune in to discover key strategies for managing volatility. Speaker: - Steve Brice, Global Chief Investment Officer, Standard Chartered Bank For more of our latest market insights, visit Market views on-the-go or subscribe to Standard Chartered Wealth Insights on YouTube.
THE TOM DUPREE SHOW | PODCAST SHOW NOTES All-Time Highs and America’s Second Industrial Revolution The Tom Dupree Show | Dupree Financial Group | dupreefinancial.com | 859-233-0400 Episode Description Markets are hitting all-time highs in the spring of 2026, and Tom Dupree sits down with analysts Michael Dawahare and James Dupree to examine what is actually fueling the rally. The conversation goes well beyond the headlines — covering real earnings growth at AI infrastructure companies, a sweeping national push to bring critical industries back to American soil, and what the arrival of Kevin Warsh as the new Federal Reserve chairman could mean for bond markets and retirement investors. The team also takes a careful look at how to tell the difference between companies with genuine contracted revenue and those priced years into a speculative future. And in a segment that hits close to home for many Kentucky listeners, the hosts examine the structural forces reshaping the bourbon and spirits industry — from shifting generational attitudes toward alcohol to the surprising effect that GLP-1 medications are having on consumer behavior. “Markets don’t drift up — they only rise on conviction. Right now, that conviction is being written in the earnings reports and long-term contracts of the companies building America’s next industrial base.” Topics Covered Why markets are at all-time highs — and whether the earnings justify the rally AI infrastructure spending: hyperscalers committing close to one trillion dollars in 2026 Reshoring as national security strategy: six to eight industries America should stop outsourcing Separating real AI businesses from speculative plays priced years into the future Kevin Warsh as new Fed chairman: a smaller balance sheet and better price discovery in bond markets Historical midterm election pullbacks and what they may signal for the current market cycle Commodities as the most compelling derivative trade of the global reshoring movement GLP-1 drugs and generational attitudes reshaping the bourbon and spirits industry The dot-com bubble parallel: which AI companies have staying power, and which don’t How the COVID pandemic became the pivotal catalyst that accelerated reshoring across industries Key Takeaways Earnings are driving the highs, not speculation alone. Some AI infrastructure companies are reporting 500%+ year-over-year revenue growth backed by signed, long-term contracts. That is a meaningfully different foundation than the dot-com era provided. Know the difference between a business and a bet. Within the AI space, some companies hold 15-year leases and tens of billions in guaranteed revenue. Others are priced five years into an uncertain future with minimal earnings today. Understanding which type you own matters. Reshoring is a generational investment thesis. A coordinated government-and-industry effort to bring back pharmaceutical production, chip manufacturing, steel, aluminum, and energy creates real downstream opportunities in commodities, infrastructure, and labor. A smaller Fed could be good for markets. Kevin Warsh has signaled a desire to reduce the Fed’s balance sheet, which could restore honest price discovery in the bond market — a shift that ripples positively through stocks and other dollar-denominated assets. All-time highs historically lead to higher highs. New market highs on volume reflect the collective judgment of all participants. Pullbacks of 10 to 15 percent are healthy and expected, but they do not change the long-term direction for investors holding quality positions. The spirits industry faces headwinds that may not be temporary. Younger generations are beginning to treat alcohol the way prior generations came to view cigarettes. GLP-1 drug adoption is compounding that shift, with real implications for Kentucky’s economy. Commodities deserve a closer look. As countries reshore and protect the raw materials they need, global supply is tightening. Energy, metals, and materials could benefit from a sustained multi-year tailwind that many retirement portfolios are not currently positioned to capture. About The Tom Dupree Show The Tom Dupree Show is hosted by Tom Dupree, founder of Dupree Financial Group and a 47-year veteran of the investment business. Each episode covers the financial topics that matter most to retirees and those approaching retirement — in plain English, without the Wall Street spin. Dupree Financial Group is a fee-only, fiduciary Registered Investment Advisory firm based in Lexington, Kentucky. The firm manages separately managed accounts focused on income-generating, dividend-paying portfolios — no products sold, no commissions, no conflicts of interest. Past episodes are available at dupreefinancial.com under the Radio tab. Schedule a Complimentary Portfolio Review If you’re not sure whether your current portfolio is built for yesterday’s market — or whether it’s positioned for where things are actually heading — we’ll take a look. No charge. No pressure. Just an honest conversation about what you own and whether it’s working for you. Call: 859-233-0400 | Visit: dupreefinancial.com The post All-Time Highs and America’s Second Industrial Revolution appeared first on Dupree Financial.
The world of systematic investing is evolving fast, and in this episode Nick Baltas joins Moritz Seibert to explore the explosive growth of QIS strategies, the current state of trend following in 2026, and the challenges facing systematic investors in today's macro environment. They discuss crowding risks in quantitative strategies, the recent collapse in commodity curve carry, and why some trend managers continue to outperform through broader diversification and alternative markets. The conversation also dives into execution alpha, AI driven research workflows, inflation risks, and the ongoing institutional demand for systematic macro strategies. A sharp and highly practical discussion for anyone interested in trend following, QIS, commodities, and quantitative investing.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Nick on Twitter.Follow Moritz on LinkedIn.Episode TimeStamps:00:00 – Introduction to the episode01:17 – Nick Baltas on AI, research, and market volatility03:02 – Trend following performance update for May 202606:25 – What investors are focusing on in QIS strategies10:14 – Is there cyclicality in investor demand for QIS?15:25 – Wall Street Journal article on the growth of QIS17:15 – Crowding risks and overlapping systematic strategies24:15 – Can hedge funds front run QIS trades?27:46 – Commodity curve carry explained30:48 – Largest drawdown ever for commodity curve strategies33:59 – Is now the right time to buy commodity curve carry?37:20 – Why some curve carry implementations still made money40:01 – Trend following performance across alternative vs traditional markets44:21 – Why broader trend portfolios may improve Sharpe ratios47:22 – Listener question: Is there alpha in execution?49:53 – How CTAs think about execution and slippage53:50 – Why trend following on single name equities is rare57:58 – Chesapeake's single name trend approach59:04 – Final thoughts and wrap upCopyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved----PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score One of the things I'm really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here3. Other Resources that can help youAnd if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click HerePrivacy PolicyDisclaimer
May 22, 2026 – Greg Weldon, publisher of the Global Macro Strategy Report, offers a candid assessment of current global economic risks. He discusses the geopolitical stalemate between the U.S. and Iran, highlighting the influence of China and Russia...
May 22, 2026 – Just as Copernicus revolutionized astronomy, he also revealed the vital role of sound money. Ralph Benko explains how currency debasement endangers prosperity, and why Copernicus's age-old wisdom on stable money...
May 22, 2026 – Discover why microcontrollers—the tiny computers at the heart of today's smartest machines—are stealing the spotlight in tech and investing circles. In this interview, Financial Sense Wealth Management portfolio analyst...
Josh Crumb talks all things commodities, green energy transition, mining labor shortage, and building Abaxx Futures Exchange.I hope you enjoy.NOTHING YOU HEAR IS INVESTMENT ADVICE. IT IS FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY. YOU ARE A FOOL IF YOU TAKE ANY OF THIS AS ADVICE.
If you've been enjoying The Independent Advisors podcast for a while now and want to take the next step in your financial journey, I'd encourage you to head to our website, jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) . Matt offers a 15-minute initial call where you can discuss your financial goals and see if JWM is a good fit for your needs. Scheduling is easy—once you land at jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) just click “Schedule Initial Call” and select a time that works best for you! There's a quick survey to fill out that will help guide the conversation and ensure your time is used efficiently. If you're ready to learn more, visit jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) and book your call today! Take advantage of our partnership with LifeLock and get discounts using our link: https://lifelock.norton.com/offers?expid=LLONEYEAR&promocode= JSPW24&VENDORID= _JESSUPWM&om_ext_cid=ext_partner_ JSPW24_Productpage $) #351 Topics• Market Performance & Interest Rates (02:58–07:38, 23:58–24:32) YTD market gains, rising Treasury yields, and higher rates not necessarily hurting stocks • Sector Trends & Active Management (18:17–19:45, 30:34) Tech/semiconductors leading markets; managers becoming more cautious • Investor Psychology (13:47) Focus on staying invested rather than timing the market • Inflation Pressures (10:57, 27:21) Commodity, oil, and trucking costs keeping inflation elevated • Trump IRA Program (37:50–46:02) New retirement savings plan with federal matching contributions • M&A & IPO Activity (08:45–09:50) Utility merger news and rising IPO activity like SpaceX • Earnings & Volatility (33:57–35:20) Strong earnings supporting markets despite volatility concerns
In this episode, Ted Oakley, founder and managing partner of Oxbow Advisors with 49 years in the business, returns to discuss the stark disconnect between Wall Street momentum and the collapsing consumer, revealing credit card and auto loan delinquencies are now at Great Financial Crisis levels while the economy has shifted from K-shaped to "i-shaped" with only a tiny dot at the top. He explains his letter "The Gambler" addresses how younger investors have abandoned real investing for a betting culture of sports gambling, one-day options, and Bitcoin, while most advisors no longer know when to "hold 'em or fold 'em." Ted maintains 50% cash in short-term treasuries, predicts inflation will hit 4.25% in May rising to 4.75% by fall with financial repression as the only way out of the debt trap, and reveals energy is his largest position up 35% year-to-date despite being only 3% of the S&P (it was 33% in 1980). He expects energy to rip like gold and silver did last year since nobody owns it yet, outlines his "well to the end" strategy covering producers to pipelines to rigs, confirms we're in early innings of a commodity super cycle, and warns speculation will continue pushing until a recession breaks the momentum. Ted draws parallels to 1999 when shorts got killed for nine more months, sees no recession on the horizon yet to break the fever, and cautions that baby boomers age 65+ hold more stock than ever in history making them the worst positioned he's ever seen for the eventual wealth transfer.Links:Oxbow Advisors: https://oxbowadvisors.com/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@OxbowAdvisorsX: https://x.com/Oxbow_AdvisorsBook: https://www.amazon.com/Second-Generation-Wealth-What-Want/dp/1966629168Timestamps: 0:00 Introduction - Ted Oakley returns, founder of Oxbow Advisors0:56 Two different things - Wall Street vs. the economy1:42 Consumer keeps falling apart - Credit card delinquencies at GFC levels2:24 K-shaped economy becoming more like an "i-shaped" economy3:32 "The Gambler" letter - Younger investors just betting, not investing4:02 Betting culture - Sports betting, one-day options, Bitcoin5:21 Know when to hold them, know when to fold them5:39 Cash position at 50% in short-term treasuries6:41 Long bond move - Topped 5.19% on 30-year6:57 Late 70s/early 80s parallel - Inflation went from 5% to 18%7:49 Are bond vigilantes coming back?7:54 Bond market eventually rules everything8:21 Expectation of more inflation ahead8:27 May CPI could come in at 4.25% or higher, 4.5-4.75% by fall9:30 Financial repression is the only way out10:36 Can't see how Fed cuts rates at all11:09 Asset holders benefited from inflation but that changes in linear inflation12:18 Energy is largest position - Up 35% vs. S&P's 20%13:11 Big tech stocks barely up from November/December levels13:41 Semiconductors probably at high for next 5 years14:34 Energy dramatically underweight in portfolios - Only 3% of S&P15:03 1980: Energy was 33% of S&P15:54 Energy names - Well to the end strategy16:53 Producers, midstream, rigs - The whole package17:34 Where we are in commodity cycle - Early innings18:38 Commodity positions - Rio Tinto, Vale, uranium, antimony, critical minerals19:18 Oil price and energy thesis20:16 AutoZone warning on motor oil shortages coming20:54 Precious metals positioning today21:54 Gold could go to $4,000 or $3,800 - Shake out momentum players23:12 1999 parallel - Momentum could continue 9 more months24:19 No recession on horizon - Need that to break momentum25:14 Speculative nature pushes until recession breaks it25:51 Second Generation Wealth - Massive wealth transfer concerns26:31 Baby boomers 65+ have most stock in assets ever in history27:22 Closing thoughts
May 19, 2026 – FS Insider interviews John Butler at Amphora Report, former managing director at Deutsche Bank and Lehman Brothers, on the interplay between rising global bond yields, Middle East tensions, and soaring tech sector valuations...
May 20, 2026 – We are living in an age of biblical miracles, but our ancient brains are failing to keep up. In this urgent conversation, Cris Sheridan interviews bestselling author Steven Kotler about his new book, We Are as Gods: A Survival Guide for the Age of Abundance ....
The conflict remains in suspended animation with little concrete progress to support the more optimistic assessments of a return to normality. Commodity markets are on a knife-edge and tanks and strategic supplies are emptying. Aldo Spanjer, Head of Commodity Strategy at BNP Paribas' Markets 360 outlines the pathways from here. Will oil be at $70 or $200? Why does gas face larger risks in a prolonged disruption? And how to cut through the noise and focus on the signals?? For more on BNP Paribas Markets 360 visit https://globalmarkets.cib.bnpparibas/markets-360/ For related content and to find out more about HC Group, a search firm dedicated to the energy & commodities sector, visit https://www.hcgroup.global
What is it that Bitcoin Miners produce? $ BTC 77,620 Block height 950,255 Today's guest on the show is Bob Burnett from Barefoot Mining. He discusses his extensive background in the tech industry, his strong critique of Bitcoin Core development, and his vision for the future of Bitcoin mining, including the importance of BIP-110 and the decentralisation of hash power. Key Topics: Bob Burnett's background and entry into Bitcoin mining Critique of Bitcoin Core's development process and decision-making BIP-110 (RDTS) soft fork and its temporary role in community reset Distinction between Bitcoin miners and hashers Centralization of hash power and selfish mining attacks Block space as a commodity and the future of derivatives markets Nation-state adoption and the need for sovereign mining Empowering plebs through hash power rental and alternative mining pools (Ocean, Datum) Fungibility of Bitcoin and the value of "virgin Bitcoin" Follow Bob: X - @boomer_btc NOSTR - npub1f7p776fz3vlqnv9tcyw7m8nts5ceczmlaudqgjuwaxtsuwzyrqtssuvg6q https://www.barefootmining.com/ Link to the article by Renaud Cuny - https://blockspaceweekly.substack.com/p/issue-21-mining-health-part-1 Check out my book ‘Choose Life' - https://bitcoinbook.shop/search?q=prince Pleb Service Announcements: Join 20 thousand Bitcoiners on @cluborange https://signup.cluborange.org/co/princey CONFERENCES: BITCOIN IRELAND - 22ND -25TH MAY 2026 - DUBLIN https://bitcoinireland.eu/ Use code BITTEN for - 10% BTC PRAGUE - 11th - 13th June 2026 http://btcprg.me/BITTEN - Use code BITTEN for - 10% BTC HEL - 25th - 26th September 2026. - Helsinki https://btchel.com/ Use code BITTEN for - 10% My First Bitcoin. https://myfirstbitcoin.org/ Shills and Mench's: BITBOX - SELF CUSTODY YOUR BITCOIN - www.bitbox.swiss/bitten Use Code BITTEN THE MEETUP BREAKDWON - BITCOIN EVENTS UK - https://www.themeetupbreakdown.com/ SWAN BITCOIN - www.swan.com/bitten PLEBEIAN MARKET - BUY AND SELL STUFF FOR SATS; https://plebeian.market/ @PlebeianMarket SATSBACK - Shop online and earn back sats! https://satsback.com/register/5AxjyPRZV8PNJGlM ALL FURTHER LINKS HERE - FOR DISCOUNTS AND OFFERS - https://vida.page/princey - https://linktr.ee/princey21m
Something unusual happened to the price of gold as the Iran war broke out. Confluence Chief Market Strategist Patrick Fearon-Hernandez joins Phil Adler today to discuss what happened and what this might mean for the future.
The May 20, 2026, Closing Market Report covered agricultural commodities, local infrastructure legislation, global energy supply chain disruptions, and international weather impacts. Market analysts noted that commodity prices initially rallied on potential Chinese agricultural purchases following a diplomatic meeting, but recently declined due to falling crude oil prices and profit-taking. In local news, the Logan County, Illinois Board bypassed a proposed 90-day freeze and instead approved a 12-month moratorium on a new data center project. On the energy front, the ongoing 80-day closure of the Strait of Hormuz has severely disrupted global supplies of crude oil, gasoline, and engine lubricants, with analysts warning that a full recovery to pre-war inventory levels could extend into late 2027. Finally, meteorologists highlighted ongoing drought and freeze stress on U.S. winter wheat, alongside unseasonably wet conditions in Brazil and the Canadian Prairies, though warmer, more favorable planting weather is expected soon for the U.S. Corn Belt.- Ag Markets with Greg Johnson, TotalGrainMarketing.com- Logan County IL Board Imposes 12 Month Data Center Moratorium- Strait of Hormuz Closure May Trigger Years-Long Recovery- Ag Weather with Drew Lerner, WorldWeather.cc ★ Support this podcast ★
A potential peace deal with Iran led crude oil lower today, and grain trade followed, with money flow out into the stock trade. China has yet to confirm the $17 billion agricultural trade deal that includes 25 million metric tons of soybeans. Cattle futures closed mixed today ahead of Friday's Cattle on Feed report. Mike Castle with Stone X Financial recaps today's trade.
It's the question every investor is asking right now: Where should I put my money in this market? In today's episode, we tackle a viewer question about which asset classes may be best positioned going forward. With equities sitting near all-time highs, commodities surging, crypto regaining momentum, and interest rate uncertainty still hanging over the markets, investors are being forced to make some tough decisions. So where is the real opportunity? We'll break down the pros and cons of several major asset classes, including: Stocks and tech Commodities and energy Bonds and interest rate products Crypto and digital assets Cash and defensive positioning This isn't about hype or chasing the latest trend. It's about understanding: risk, probabilities, and where capital may flow next. I'll also give updates on my current trades and portfolio positioning, including what I'm seeing in the markets right now and how I'm managing risk in this environment. Because successful investing isn't about finding the "perfect" asset… It's about aligning opportunity with your strategy and timeframe. Listen now:
Veteran strategist Jeff Currie said the world is in the early stages of a commodity supercycle that may last another decade or more as the artificial intelligence buildout collides with chronic underinvestment in energy and materials capacity. Currie said the energy sector presents “the biggest asymmetric trade in modern finance” because oil companies are returning a 15.5% free cash flow yield while hyperscalers have none. He speaks with Bloomberg's Jonathan Ferro and Annmarie Hordern. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
This May 19, 2026, Closing Market Report covers a range of agricultural, economic, and weather updates. In the commodity markets, speculation regarding potential US-China trade deals caused a brief market rally, though prices quickly pulled back due to a lack of specific purchasing details. Significant agricultural industry news includes John Deere's preliminary $19.9 million settlement in a "right to repair" class-action lawsuit, as well as growing concerns from scientists over a USDA proposal to relocate vital soybean and maize seed banks out of Illinois. On the legislative front, Illinois lawmakers are considering a ban on the use of eminent domain for CO2 pipelines, while federal efforts face headwinds regarding nationwide year-round E15 fuel access and a newly proposed annual road-funding tax for electric vehicle owners. Meanwhile, agricultural energy markets remain volatile and captive to Middle East tensions, prompting advisors to recommend cautious, hand-to-mouth fuel purchasing strategies for farmers. Finally, the weather outlook highlights beneficial, albeit sometimes severe, recent rainfall across the Corn Belt and late-season snow in the West, with an active weather pattern expected to resume in the coming week.- Ag Markets with Naomi Blohm, TotalFarmMarketing.com- Right to Repair, Seedbanks, CO2 Pipelines, Year-Round E15, EV Tax- Ag Energies with Dave Chatterton, SFarmMarketing.com- Ag Weather with Don Day, DayWeather.com ★ Support this podcast ★
Our experts discuss how the Iran conflict and AI-driven demand affect the outlook for oil, commodities, inflation, and energy security. 2:10 – Pre-war oil outlook 3:35 – Revised outlook for oil 7:00 – AI and an oil supercycle 9:50 – Critical importance of the Strait of Hormuz 11:30 – Downstream effects across supply chains 14:50 – Oil and energy market volatility 16:45 – Geopolitical implications 21:00 – Fertilizers, metals, and LNG 25:30 – Effects on the energy transition 28:10 – What to watch Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
For most of human history, stories were not primarily viewed as commercial products to be sold. Story functioned first as myth, meaning-making, entertainment, cultural memory, and a way of understanding ourselves and the world around us. But in today's marketplace-driven culture, storytelling exists almost entirely within commercial systems—something that inevitably shapes not just what we create, but how we relate to story itself. In this episode, I explore the tension between story as product and story as something deeper, older, and more archetypal. From publishing culture and content creation to commercial pressure and creative burnout, modern storytelling increasingly exists inside systems designed around visibility, productivity, and sales. And although those systems offer real opportunities for writers, they can also subtly reshape not just what we create, but our relationship to the creative process itself. Writers deserve to be supported for their work, and stories deserve to reach audiences. But it's worth examining how the modern entertainment marketplace influences our understanding of story—particularly when success metrics begin to overshadow resonance, meaning, and the deeper relationship many writers feel toward creativity itself. We explore: - Story as process vs product - Commercial storytelling vs archetypal storytelling - The commodification of story - Creative flow vs content production - The relationship between marketplace culture and creative burnout - How writers can balance commercial success with creative wholeness This episode is an invitation to reexamine what story is, what role storytellers serve in society, and how writers can remain connected to the deeper meaning of story while still navigating the realities of the marketplace. TIMESTAMPS 2:09 Story-as-product vs. story-as-archetype 3:40 Story Did Not Originate as a Commodity 5:40 Value, Money, and Meaning in a Marketplace-Driven Culture 6:00 The Storytelling Animal 6:39 Before Words, There Were Stories 8:09 Storytelling as Medicine, Meaning, and Cultural Foundation 8:53 One of Contemporary Culture's Dissonances… 10:16 How Perspective Subtly Influences Our Relationship to Our Stories 12:04 The Contemporary Model for Storytelling 13:32 The Most Important Balancing Act 14:46 4 Tips for Writers to Balance Commercial Success and Creative Wholeness 15:23 Understand Your Own Unique Perspectives About Story 17:32 Define Success on Two Levels—Not One 18:59 Write Your Best Stories by Honoring Your Relationship to Story 20:38 Engage With Story as an Archetypal Force 22:40 It's About the Lens You're Writing Fro LINKS & RESOURCES Read the post/transcript: https://www.helpingwritersbecomeauthors.com/how-marketplace-shapes-storytelling
Steve Griggs transforms backyards into multimillion-dollar outdoor experiences. After 40 years in the landscaping industry, Steve has built a $5M/year design firm catering to high-net-worth clients—including lawyers, investors, athletes, and celebrities.In this episode, Steve sits down with Ryan Atkinson to share the gritty reality of scaling a premium service business. From trimming bushes with his union-worker father in New York to starring on Bravo's Backyard Envy and authoring a best-selling book, Steve knows exactly what it takes to command top-tier prices. He explains why trying to be "good at everything" is a race to the bottom, why you should never just cut grass, and the exact strategy he recommends for landing your very first luxury client using nothing but a $500 investment and a yard sign.If you're ready to stop competing on price and start becoming the undisputed expert in your market, this episode delivers the blueprint.
May 18, 2026 – Seventy percent of wealth transfers fail by the second generation. And a staggering 90 percent fail by the third. In this eye-opening conversation, Jim Puplava interviews lead advisor Brendan McMurtrie about why most...
In this episode, Confluence reviews the Asset Allocation rebalance for the second quarter of 2026, featuring a brief economic analysis and insights on asset class and security selection for the firm's Asset Allocation portfolios. Joining the podcast to recap the rationale for this quarter's changes is Kaisa Stucke, analyst and chair of the Asset Allocation Committee's quarterly investment meetings.
Management advisor and author Joe Pine explores a question that sits beneath most business strategy discussions but is rarely addressed directly: what business is ultimately for. Drawing on decades of work spanning mass customization, the experience economy, and his latest research on transformation, Pine argues that many companies misunderstand the real value customers seek and therefore stop too early in how they create value. The conversation begins with the progression from goods and services to experiences and transformations. Pine explains that transformations differ from experiences in one critical way: they must endure through time. "Memories of experiences fade over time," he says, "but transformations have to be sustained through time, or you did not in fact transform." A central idea throughout the episode is that "all transformation is identity change." Pine argues that meaningful transformation is not simply behavioral improvement, but a shift in how people understand themselves, whether through enhancement, expansion, cultivation, or complete metamorphosis. The discussion also explores where aspirations come from. One of Pine's deeper observations is that many aspirations emerge after disruption, trauma, illness, divorce, loss, or failure. The traumatic event changes a person immediately; the transformation comes afterward in the effort to become whole again. Pine is careful to distinguish between what companies can and cannot do. "You don't transform people as a company," he explains. "They transform themselves. You create the conditions under which" transformation becomes possible. Another major theme concerns how businesses price value. Pine argues that companies often reveal what business they are truly in through what they charge for. Commodities are priced as undifferentiated inputs, services as activities, experiences as time, and transformations as outcomes. "You are what you charge for," he says repeatedly throughout the discussion. The conversation ultimately expands into a broader philosophy of business itself. Pine argues that the true purpose of business is not profit maximization alone, but "to foster human flourishing", helping people become "more of who they are meant to be." In this framework, profit is not the purpose of business, but the result of creating genuine human value over time. The episode also examines resistance to identity change, sustaining long-term transformation, coaching and guidance, the future role of AI, and why Pine believes artificial intelligence will function primarily as a tool that helps people live and work more effectively rather than replacing human purpose altogether. For executives, consultants, educators, coaches, and operators, the conversation offers a deeper framework for understanding differentiation, customer value, and the growing shift from selling products and services to guiding lasting human transformation. Get The Transformation Economy here: https://tinyurl.com/5663jcjj Claim your free gift: Free gift #1 McKinsey & BCG winning resume www.FIRMSconsulting.com/resumePDF Free gift #2 Breakthrough Decisions Guide with 25 AI Prompts www.FIRMSconsulting.com/decisions Free gift #3 Five Reasons Why People Ignore Somebody www.FIRMSconsulting.com/owntheroom Free gift #4 Access episode 1 from Build a Consulting Firm, Level 1 www.FIRMSconsulting.com/build Free gift #5 The Overall Approach used in well-managed strategy studies www.FIRMSconsulting.com/OverallApproach Free gift #6 Get a copy of Nine Leaders in Action, a book we co-authored with some of our clients: www.FIRMSconsulting.com/gift
May 15, 2026 – Jim Welsh at Macro Tides highlights that massive AI spending by tech giants is currently driving GDP growth and boosting the stock market, but this growth is highly concentrated in a few sectors, especially semiconductors, making the market...
May 15, 2026 – Why can't America make its own chips, medicines, or missiles without China? Financial Sense Newshour sits down with systems thinker Craig Tindale for a wide-ranging conversation on the cracks running through the global supply chain...
Simon Constable reports on rising global commodity prices, including energy and food. He explains that inflation is outpacing take-home pay in Europe and the U.S., creating severe political challenges for current governing administrations. (13/16)1931