Podcast appearances and mentions of erica thompson

Hear from Prof. Aled Jones, Director of the Global Sustainability Institute at Anglia Ruskin University, as we dive into the role of models in shaping policy, and particularly their weaknesses.  Models are not neutral – they reflect the assumptions, values, and agendas of those that create and use them. Using the energy system as an example, models can (and have been) used to protect the status quo. In part, this is because many of the models are based on the notions of ‘equilibrium' and so they simply can't cope with major structural changes, such as the current energy transition. But it can be difficult for policy makers to switch towards models that are arguably more suited to the job. So, what can we do to supplement the models? One very effective approach is to adopt a structured process of expert elicitation, where we use the insights of experts to uncover vulnerabilities and risks. To bring it to life, we explore how this has worked in the case of the food system. We discuss: The role that models play in shaping energy policy, and how they can lead us astray; How expert judgment and insight can help address model blind spots; and Finally, what are the key lessons for risk professionals? To find out more about the Sustainability and Climate Risk (SCR®) Certificate, follow this link: https://www.garp.org/scr For more information on climate risk, visit GARP's Global Sustainability and Climate Risk Resource Center: https://www.garp.org/sustainability-climate If you have any questions, thoughts, or feedback regarding this podcast series, we would love to hear from you at: climateriskpodcast@garp.com Links from today's discussion: Global Sustainability Institute homepage: https://www.aru.ac.uk/global-sustainability-institute-gsi Institute and Faculty of Actuaries, Planetary Solvency Report: https://actuaries.org.uk/news-and-media-releases/news-articles/2025/jan/16-jan-25-planetary-solvency-finding-our-balance-with-nature/ GARP Climate Risk Podcast with Erica Thompson: https://www.garp.org/podcast/the-power-and-pitfalls-of-models-in-climate-risk-management Speaker's Bio(s) Prof. Aled Jones, Director, Global Sustainability Institute, Anglia Ruskin University Aled's work in climate finance was recognised by California and he has received a key to the city of North Little Rock, USA. He is a Co-Investigator on the ESRC Centre for the Understanding of Sustainable Prosperity, the AHRC Debating Nature's Value network, the Economics of Energy Innovation and System Transition project and leads the BBSRC Backcasting to Achieve Food Resilience in the UK project. He was lead author on the seminal report on resource constraints to the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries in 2013, was made an Honorary Fellow in 2018 and currently chairs their Biodiversity Working Party.

From ancient times what we now call mathematical models have been used to predict the arrival of seasons, comet returns, and eclipses. With sophisticated mathematics, good data gathering, and modern computers we can now predict things like the tides and the trajectories of interplanetary probes with considerable accuracy. We have also made progress in predicting weather. For some phenomena, for example earthquakes, we are still seeking to develop predictive models. As we heard in Episode 2 of this podcast, AI systems can be described as making predictions based on models, models that are trained on vast collections of data. These models seem intuitively different from the others. However, some truths hold for both kinds of models, in particular while "all models are wrong, some models are useful," as is explained by our guest in this episode in which we explore the world of models with Dr Erica Thompson.

Beloved mother, sister, friend, co-worker doesn't show up for work on September 26, 2019. She is seen on an ATM camera on September 25th at 4:30PM making a deposit after work near her home. She was a contentious Controller at a large company in Chicago and would always notify her employer if she were not coming in to work. Brian Sanderson was a native of Vermont. He left home and did not keep in contact with family. Remains were found of a male between 40-60 on November 30, 2003. It look most of two decades to determine those remains of a male who had died from multiple stab wounds was Brian A Sanderson, 54 at tbe time of his death. Our beloved friends from Othram Labs, Drs David and Kristin Mittelman found the answer Brian's identity. Now law enforcement are asking for the publics help. If you know anything about what happened to Erica Thompson please contact the Brookfield IL PD at 708-485-8131 or FBI's VICAP 800-634-4097 If you know anything about what could have happened to Brian Sanderson please contact Knoxville PD Major Crimes Unit at 865- 215-4010 Magicmind.com Use Promo Code: TIPSISJAN for 45% OFF!!!!

Todays guest is Jessica Weinkle, Associate Professor of Public Policy at the University of North Carolina Wilmington, and Senior Fellow at The Breakthrough Institute.  In this episode we explore a range of topics and we start with the question: What is ecomodernism, and how does The Breakthrough Institute and Jessica interpret it?  “It's not a movement of can'ts” Why are environmentalists selective about technology acceptance? Why do we assess  ecological impact through bodies like the IPCC and frameworks like Planetary Boundaries? Are simplified indicators of complex systems genuinely helpful or misleading?  Is contemporary science more about appearances than substance, and do scientific journals serve more and more as advocacy platforms than fact-finding missions? How much should activism and science intersect? To what extent do our beliefs influence science, and vice versa, especially when financial interests are at play in fields like climate science? Can we trust scientific integrity when narratives are tailored for publication, like in the case of Patrick Brown? What responsibilities do experts have when consulting in political spheres, and should they present options or advocate for specific actions?  How has research publishing turned into big business, and what does this mean for the pursuit of truth?  “Experts should always say: here are your options A, B, C...; not: I think you should do A” How does modeling shape global affairs? When we use models for decision-making, are we taking them too literally, or should we focus on their broader implications?  “To take a model literally is not to take it seriously […] the models are useful to give us some ideas, but the specificity is not where we should focus.” What's the connection between scenario building, modeling, and risk management?  “There is an institutional and professional incentive to make big claims, to draw attention. […] That's what we get rewarded for. […] It does create an incentive to push ideas that are not necessarily the most helpful ideas for addressing public problems.” How does the public venue affect scientists, and does the incentive to make bold claims for attention come at the cost of practical solutions? What lessons should we have learned from cases like Jan Hendrik Schön, and why haven't we?  “There is an underappreciation for the extent to which scholarly publishing is a business, a big media business. It's not just all good moral virtue around skill and enlightenment. It's money, fame and fortune.” Finally, are narratives about future scenarios fueling climate anxiety, and how should we address this in science communication and policy-making? “There is a freedom in uncertainty and there is also an opportunity to create decisions that are more robust to an unpredictable future. The more that we say we are certain ... the more vulnerable we become to the uncertainty that we are pretending is not there.” Other Episodes Episode 109: Was ist Komplexität? Ein Gespräch mit Dr. Marco Wehr Episode 107: How to Organise Complex Societies? A Conversation with Johan Norberg Episode 90: Unintended Consequences (Unerwartete Folgen) Episode 86: Climate Uncertainty and Risk, a conversation with Dr. Judith Curry Episode 79: Escape from Model Land, a Conversation with Dr. Erica Thompson Episode 76: Existentielle Risiken Episode 74: Apocalype Always Episode 70: Future of Farming, a conversation with Padraic Flood Episode 68: Modelle und Realität, ein Gespräch mit Dr. Andreas Windisch Episode 60: Wissenschaft und Umwelt — Teil 2 Episode 59: Wissenschaft und Umwelt — Teil 1 References Jessica Weinkle Jessica on Substack Jessica at The Breakthrough Institute Jessica at the Department of Public and International Affairs (UNCW) The Breakthrough Journal Planetary Boundaries (Stockholm Resilience Centre) Patrick T. Brown, I Left Out the Full Truth to Get My Climate Change Paper Published, The FP (2023) Roger Pielke Jr., What the media won't tell you about . . . hurricanes (2022) Roger Pielke Jr., "When scientific integrity is undermined in pursuit of financial and political gain" (2023) Many other excellent articles Roger Pielke on his Substack The Honest Broker Jessica Weinkle, Model me this (2024) Jessica Weinkle, How Planetary Boundaries Captured Science, Health, and Finance (2024) Jessica Weinkle, Bias. Undisclosed conflicts of interest are a serious problem in the climate change literature (2025) Marcia McNutt, The beyond-two-degree inferno, Science Editorial (2015) Scientific American editor quits after anti-Trump comments, Unherd (2024) Erica Thompson, Escape from Model Land, Basic Books (2022)  

Heute wieder eine Episode in der ich kurz über eine Thema der Wissenschaftspraxis reflektieren möchte, den meisten Zuhörern wahrscheinlich nicht klar ist, dessen Konsequenzen sich auch mir noch nicht völlig erschließen, ich freue mich also auf Emails und Kommentare. Das Thema ist wenig erbaulich, ist aber ein Puzzlestein, der gut in das Bild passt, das wir in einigen früheren Episoden schon angesprochen haben. Die Qualität des wissenschaftlichen Publikationswesens scheint sich im Sturzflug zu befinden und dies seit vielen Jahren. Die deutsche Physikerin Sabine Hossenfeldern sagt leicht polemisch: »Scientific Process is slowing down and most of what gets published in academia is now bullshit.« Was erleben wir in den letzten Jahrzehnten und warum hat mich eine persönliche Beobachtung zu dieser Episode gebracht? Warum ist das Motto der 1660 gegründeten Royal Society heute aktueller als je zuvor. »Nullius in Verba« Referenzen Andere Episoden Episode 106: Wissenschaft als Ersatzreligion? Ein Gespräch mit Manfred Glauninger Episode 104: Aus Quantität wird Qualität Episode 91: Die Heidi-Klum-Universität, ein Gespräch mit Prof. Ehrmann und Prof. Sommer Episode 86: Climate Uncertainty and Risk, a conversation with Dr. Judith Curry Episode 84: (Epistemische) Krisen? Ein Gespräch mit Jan David Zimmermann Episode 79: Escape from Model Land, a Conversation with Dr. Erica Thompson Episode 71: Stagnation oder Fortschritt — eine Reflexion an der Geschichte eines Lebens Episode 68: Modelle und Realität, ein Gespräch mit Dr. Andreas Windisch Episode 47: Große Worte Episode 41: Intellektuelle Bescheidenheit: Was wir von Bertrand Russel und der Eugenik lernen können Episode 39: Follow the Science? Fachliche Referenzen Report of the Investigation Committee on the Possibility of Scientific Misconduct in the Work of Hendrik Schön And Coauthors Publikationen von Jan Hendrik Schön (Google Scholar) John Ioannidis, Das Gewissen der Wissenschaft, Ö1 Dimensionen (2024) John Ioannidis, The scientists who publish a paper every five days, Nature Comment (2018) John P. A. Ioannidis, Why Most Published Research Findings Are False (2005) Jesse Singal, Quick Fix, Picador (2022) Erica Thompson, Escape from Model Land, Basic Books (2022) Sabine Hossenfelder, Lost in Math: How Beauty Leads Physics Astray (2020) Beall's List Jeffrey Beall Sabine Hossenfelder, Science is in trouble and it worries me (2024)

Merriam-Webster's Word of the Day for November 13, 2024 is: bevy • BEV-ee • noun A bevy is a large group of people or things. Bevy is usually used in the singular form and accompanied by the word of. // The new streaming platform featured a bevy of new movies to choose from. See the entry > Examples: “Among several ‘moving murals' currently displayed on select CTA trains is the picture of a young girl standing among daffodils, meant as a symbol of hope. Another train features a hand painting the phrase ‘New Ideas' amid a bevy of flowers. A third includes the phrase ‘Help us bridge the gap' while showing the juxtaposition of the city's pristine downtown and the disrepair of certain neighborhoods.” — Erica Thompson, The Chicago Sun-Times, 18 Aug. 2024 Did you know? There's no need to quail when confronted with a word of uncertain origins; some mysteries are simply destined to remain as such. Etymologists have a bevy of theories about the roots of bevy, for example, but little definitive evidence—and that's okay! What we do know is that bevy emerged out of Middle English as the collective noun for a number of birds and mammals that were commonly hunted, including pheasants, partridges, roe deer, larks, and especially quail. Bevy is still used in this way today, not only for wild game but for gulls, hens, etc. But bevies are now most often composed of a great many people and things, as in “a bevy of reporters” or “a bevy of menu options.”

We live in a world that is increasingly being dictated by data. But the models that govern different outcomes need a lot of work. Dr Erica Thompson's fascinating book, "Escape from Model Land: How mathematical models can lead us astray and what we can do about it" is all about it. For all their vaunted prowess, models can often mislead. In this podcast Dr Thompson offers her thoughts on the head scratcher of a subject.

Dr. Erica Thompson reflects on Making Model Decisions about and with AI.In this capsule series, prior guests share their insights on current happenings in AI and intuitions about what to expect next.To learn more, check out Erica's book Escape from Model Land: How Mathematical Models Can Lead Us Astray and What We Can Do About It

Hear from Dr. Erica Thompson, as we examine the modelling ecosystem and when we need to escape it to make real-world decisions. Climate science – like many areas of our lives, such as economics or public health – is based upon models. These models are often used to justify certain courses of action, such as investments in climate mitigation or adaptation, or even lock downs during the pandemic. But what makes a ‘good model'?  Is it purely how well it forecasts?  Or are there other aspects that we need to consider, such as reliability, complexity, and how well it deals with uncertainty? And who gets to decide how good a model is? In this episode, we'll take a closer look at these questions and explore some of the nuances of models, including: ·       How to judge how good a model is, ·       The vital importance of understanding the values which underpin models ·       And how models have the power to shape the very future which they forecast. To find out more about the Sustainability and Climate Risk (SCR®) Certificate, follow this link: https://www.garp.org/scr For more information on climate risk, visit GARP's Global Sustainability and Climate Risk Resource Center: https://www.garp.org/sustainability-climate If you have any questions, thoughts, or feedback regarding this podcast series, we would love to hear from you at: climateriskpodcast@garp.com Links from today's discussion: Praise for Escape From Model Land: https://www.ericathompson.co.uk/books/ IPCC Working Group III 2022 Mitigation of Climate Change report: https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg3/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGIII_SummaryForPolicymakers.pdf Yale's William Nordhaus wins 2018 Nobel Prize in Economics: https://news.yale.edu/2018/10/08/yales-william-nordhaus-wins-2018-nobel-prize-economic-sciences   Speaker's Bio Erica Thompson, Associate Professor of Modelling for Decision Making at UCL's Department of Science, Technology, Engineering and Public Policy Erica's book, Escape from Model Land: How Mathematical Models Can Lead Us Astray and What We Can Do About It, was published in December 2022 and was shortlisted for Best Maths Book of 2022 by Chaulkdust Magazine, a specialist magazine for mathematicians. Erica moved into her current role in April 2023, where she investigates the appropriate use of mathematical modelling to support real-world decisions, from mathematical and statistical questions about methodologies of inference from models, to psycho-social questions about the formation of confidence and the role of expert judgement. Erica is also a Fellow of the London Mathematical Laboratory, where she leads the research programme on Inference from Models, and is a Visiting Senior Fellow at the LSE Data Science Institute. Erica previously held a series of roles at the LSE's Centre for the Analysis of Time Series, initially as a Senior Policy Fellow, and subsequently as Co-Director and Acting Director. Erica holds a BA in Experimental and Theoretical Physics and a Master of Mathematics degree from Cambridge University. She completed her PhD in Physics at Imperial College London.

On this episode of Imposter Sisters, Alix brings another family member to the mic as we introduce you to her sister, Erica Thompson. Erica lives in the NWT and is an award winning educator and consultant working with Indigenous Youth. Erica has certainly felt Imposter Syndrome through the years. In the early days of teaching, she knew she didn't know everything she needed to know as anyone new to a teaching career would feel. She found her place creating innovative and amazing land-based programs for her students and in 2017, was awarded The Prime Minister's Award for Teaching Excellence.Erica currently consults with the school board to help build programs that are authentic to the Indigenous community. Our conversation with her was completely fascinating as Erica talks about what she has to offer, her experience, and her questions about whether or not she's the right person to hold this position of authority.We chat about the need for community through celebrations and through tough times, how Erica re-energizes through “chamber days”, what she's learned and loved about living up North, and about being embraced and welcomed into a community she now calls home. **********The Imposter Sisters podcast is hosted by two self-proclaimed "fake it 'til you make it" experts, Colleen O'Dea and Alix Robinson, as they discuss and analyze the ups and downs of feeling like frauds while navigating through their professional and personal lives!Please enjoy and be sure to share with the imposters in your life!**********LINKS:You can find Alix Robinson and Colleen O'Dea on Instagram at @ImposterSisters and also at @everydayimbranding (Alix) and @queenofcurtains (Colleen)…or, often in person @themellowmug.MENTAL HEALTH RESOURCES:Nova Scotia Mental Health Crisis Line: 1-888-429-8167 [toll-free]Nova Scotia Mental Health Mobile Crisis Team: 1-902-429-8167Kids Help Phone: 1-800-668-6868 | Text CONNECT to 686868Talk Suicide Canada | Text 45645 | Call 1.833.456.4566WHAT KIND OF IMPOSTER ARE YOU?Here are a few quizzes to try!https://www.everywoman.com/my-development/quiz-there-are-5-kinds-imposter-syndrome-which-one-yours/https://www.grammarly.com/blog/imposter-syndrome-quiz/MUSIC CREDITS:Drawbridge Creative Ad Spot - Stock Music provided by tunestogo, from Pond5Every Day I'm Branding Ad Spot - Stock Music provided by wolfgangwoehrle, from Pond5The Mellow Mug Ad Spot - Stock Music provided by AleXZavesa, from Pond5**********Imposter Roster:The Imposter Roster, a Live Podcast and Networking event!October 22nd, 6pm at The Mellow MugFollow us on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/impostersisters/ You can watch this episode on Youtube here: https://www.youtube.com/@impostersisterspodcast

The Columbus Museum of Art and The Wexner Center for The Arts are two giants on the Columbus arts scene, and both have new leaders at their helms.    Gaëtane Verna is the Wexner Center's new executive director, taking over the institution's leadership last November. Born in the Republic of Congo, and a Quebecer since age two, she is the first woman of color, and person of color, to lead “The Wex.”    On Broad Street, the 145-year-old Columbus Museum of Art welcomed new leader Brooke Minto in May. Born in New York to Jamaican parents, Minto has worked to inspire people to engage with the arts in New York City, New Orleans, Miami, and Cape Town.    Today, we meet these two new dynamic leaders for a conversation spotlighting what's “new and next” at CMA, The Wex, and in the Columbus arts world.   The speakers are:  Brooke Minto, Executive Director and CEO, The Columbus Museum of Art   And Gaëtane Verna, Executive Director, Wexner Center for the Arts   The host is Erica Thompson, Features Editor, The Columbus Dispatch  This forum was sponsored by The Greater Columbus Arts Council, Benefactor Group, and CoverMyMeds and was supported by The Ellis. The livestream was presented by The Center for Human Kindness at The Columbus Foundation and by The Columbus Dispatch.     This forum was recorded before a live audience at The Ellis in Columbus, Ohio's historic Italian Village on October 4, 2023. 

Todays guest is Dr. Erica Thompson who wrote the excellent book "Escape from Model Land", which I strongly recommend for reading. Dr. Thompson is Associate Professor of Modelling for Decision Making at UCL's Department of Science, Technology, Engineering and Public Policy. She is also a Fellow of the London Mathematical Laboratory, where she leads the research programme on Inference from Models, and a Visiting Senior Fellow at the LSE Data Science Institute. She is working on the appropriate application of mathematical modelling in supporting real-world decisions, including ethical and methodological questions. For instance, what is the best use of models in climate change, public health and economics.  Making and using models in the real world is — as it turns out — quite a tricky business and in our conversation we go deep into the question: what constitutes model land and how can we escape model land to achieve good results for our society from what we learned in model land. I covered similar topics in other podcast episodes, because this question can be tackled from a number of different perspectives.  The first question I ask Dr. Thompson is the obvious one: What is model land? “Nobody actually cares at all about what happens in your model. […] unless you make a claim that what happens within that model land has some relationship to what happens in the real world. So, how to transfer your judgement about the model to the judgement about the real world, is the key question?” What does Steven Wolfram mean with irreducibility of nature? Why do we have to treat different types of models differently? What is the difference between interpolation and extrapolation, and why is this crucially important? Many models of complex systems incorporate significant amounts of expert judgement, especially when models are extrapolating. How should we deal with such models? “All of these decisions about model construction imply value judgements about what we think to be important.” Value judgements per se are not the problem — but are they shared by the people affected by the model? How did you get to those judegements? Are the transparent enough? Do the decision makers know and agree with these judgements? Under what conditions can we assess the reliability of a model? In which category do models that are discussed in public fall, for instance climate models? What are the butterfly and hawkmoth effect? What is the difference between data driven vs. “expert driven” models and what role does data quality play in practice? Most models also are partial models. What is incorporated in a model? What is left out? What conclusions are we allowed to draw from complex models? Do they highly successful data driven models distort our expections in the more assumption driven ones? “The model is then very much part of the story. It is not just a prediction engine.” There are models that influence the world and the world feeds back opposed to models that “just” describe the world, and performative models that actually create the reality they describe and counter-performative models. Why is it important to distinguish among these different types?  “Those [counter-performative models] were not made with the aim to be accurate models and correctly predicting the future. They were made with the aim of showing what could happen if we didn't action which would then avoid these worst case scenarios.” What is the difference between a (conditional or unconditional) prediction and a scenario? Models are tools and cannot replace judgement. But did we use these tools accordingly? Or did models in the recent past (e.g. Covid) inflict more harm than good on our society? “This is exactly what models are for—to serve as working hypotheses for further research.”, Ludwig von Bertalanffy and “Build a society that is resistant to model errors”, Nassim Taleb Is this true? Models as narrative generating devices and communication tools and collective thinking — do we want that? Under what conditions — like flatten the curve? And, how to avoid group think and be captured by models? “Plans are worthless but planning is everything”, Dwight D. Eisenhower “Kein Plan überlebt die erste Feindberührung”, Helmuth Graf von Moltke So, there is a significant amount of expert judgement in building models, but do people know that and which expert do we trust? “Trust is a social process and expertise is socially determined. […] You must follow the science is saying you must agree with my value judgements.[…] A decision can never be science based.” Thus, science is never value free. Finally we talk about regulation in complex systems and how those relate to models, the long and short term perspectives and what skin in the game means. Is Niall Ferguson right when he says:  “Surely, once we have written a regulation for every possible misdeed, then good behaviour will ensue. This is just an amazing illustration of our ability as  human beeings to keep doing the wrong thing in the face of all experience. […] the big players are actually protected by complex regulation. […]  Regulation is the disease of which it pretends to be the cure.” Then, how should we regulate complex systems? Should every politician be a scientist in the Platonic sense? »Ultimately the definition of an expert is somebody who's judegements you are willing to accept as your own.« References Other Episodes Episode 68: Modelle und Realität, ein Gespräch mit Dr. Andreas Windisch Episode 67: Wissenschaft, Hype und Realität — ein Gespräch mit Stephan Schleim Episode 53: Data Science und Machine Learning, Hype und Realität — Teil 1 Episode 54: Data Science und Machine Learning, Hype und Realität — Teil 2 Episode 39: Follow the Science? Episode 37: Probleme und Lösungen Episode 2: Was wissen wir? Dr. Erica Thompson Personal Website of Dr. Thompson UCL's Department of Science, Technology, Engineering and Public Policy London Mathematical Laboratory LSE Data Science Institute Other References Erica Thompson, Escape from Model Land, Basic Books (2022) Lex Fridman #376 in conversation with Steven Wolfram (2023) Ludwig von Bertalanffy, General Systems Theory (1969) Cathy O'Neil, Weapons of Math Destruction: How Big Data Increases Inequality and Threatens Democracy, Penguin (2017) Niall Ferguson on Regulation in conversation with John Anderson (2023)

Why are we so reliant on models, how can they lead us astray, and what can we do about it?On this episode, I'm exploring models. Of the mathematical kind, not the fashion or toy kind. Models interest me because so much of our world is run by them. Many of the things we take for granted in the 21st century have models either running or helping to run them. When they work well, they enable things to happen that wouldn't otherwise. But when they go wrong – as we've seen in the banking industry — there are serious consequences. The Human Risk angle on models is that models are designed, commissioned and used by people. As we know from people who blindly follow their GPS unit and drive into a river, we can often assume the models must be right. But what's right in theory might not be in practice. The real world is often complex, and models don't always capture nuances.My guest is Dr. Erica Thompson. She's the author of a fascinating book called ‘Escape from Model land: How mathematical models can lead us astray and what we can do about it'. Erica is an Associate Professor of Modelling for Decision Making at University College Londons 's Department of Science, Technology, Engineering and Public Policy. She's also a Fellow of the London Mathematical Laboratory, where she leads the research programme on Inference from Models, and a Visiting Senior Fellow at the LSE Data Science Institute. So, she's very highly qualified to help us explore what models are, why they can go wrong and what we can do about it.On the show, we talk about:the use of models in decision-making across various contexts such as climate, insurance, finance, and economic risk assessment';the limitations and complexities of models, particularly when predicting the physical impacts of climate change over the 21st century;the importance of understanding and acknowledging the uncertainties and potential risks in manipulating models;the significance of diversity in models and the concept of maximizing model diversity for robust and accurate inference;the challenges of shifting to new models that can effectively represent different values and judgments and the difficulty in changing the system when vested interests and incentives are not aligned;the importance of trust and the need for experts to be deeply embedded within society and responsive to its values; andthe role of science in shaping our optimism and understanding of challenges and the need for a more nuanced viewpoint about science and society.To learn more about Erica, visit her personal website: https://www.ericathompson.co.uk/For more on her book 'Escape from Model Land', visit https://www.ericathompson.co.uk/books/To see episodes of the show you might have missed, visit www.humanriskpodcast.com

In September 1969, African American journalist Wallace Terry reported on “another war being fought in Vietnam — between black and white Americans.” After the 1948 integration of the military, the U.S. Army had tried to be color blind, seeing not Black or white but just olive drab, but by 1970, the Deputy Chief of Staff for Personnel, Gen. Walter T. Kerwin, noted: “In the past year racial discord has surfaced as one of the most serious problems facing Army leadership.” So in the midst of fighting a deeply unpopular overseas war, the military also created the Defense Race Relations Institute (DRRI) and developed mandated race relations training. Joining me to discuss race relations in the U.S. Army during the Vietnam War era is Dr. Beth Bailey, a Foundation Distinguished Professor in the Department of History at the University of Kansas and Author of An Army Afire: How the US Army Confronted Its Racial Crisis in the Vietnam Era. Our theme song is Frogs Legs Rag, composed by James Scott and performed by Kevin MacLeod, licensed under Creative Commons. The mid-episode music is “Old Soul Record” by Musictown from Pixabay and is free to use through the Pixabay license. The episode image is “Photograph of Specialist 4th Class McClanton Miller Kneeling in Dense Brush Waiting for Orders to Move Forward;” picture was taken January 23, 1966 and is available via the U.S. National Archives and Records Administration (NAID: 17331387; Local ID: 111-CC-33199) with no restrictions on use. Additional sources: “Vietnam War Timeline,” History.com, Published September 13, 2017 and Updated March 29, 2023. “Ho Chi Minh,” PBS American Experience. “Foreign Relations Of The United States, 1952–1954, Indochina, Volume XIII, Part 1,” Office of the Historian, Foreign Service Institute, United States Department of State. “Tonkin Gulf Resolution (1964),” National Archives and Records Administration. “Vietnam Lotteries,” Selective Service System. “Resistance to the Vietnam War,” by Jessica McBirney, Common Lit, 2016. “The Draft,” Vietnam Veterans Memorial Fund. “Vietnam War Protests,” History.com, Published February 22, 2010 and Updates November 1, 2022. “The Forgotten History Of A Prison Uprising In Vietnam,” by Sarah Kramer, NPR All Things Considered, August 29, 2018. “History,” Defense Equal Opportunity Management Institute. “Black and White in Vietnam,” by Gerald F. Goodwin, The New York Times, July 18, 2017. “Training for Vietnam, fighting for civil rights: Post an island of relative calm in a turbulent sea,” by Christine Schweickert, U.S. Army, May 14, 2015. “As we rethink the Vietnam War, we have to grapple with its racial implications,” by Hannah Gurman, The Washington Post, October 6, 2017. “African-American struggle for equality in Army during Vietnam still instructive,” by David Vergun, U.S. Army, February 25, 2014. “The military provides a model for how institutions can address racism,” by Margaret B. Montgomery, The Washington Post, June 23, 2020. “Serving without 'equal opportunity': Vietnam veterans faced racism at home and abroad,” by Erica Thompson, The Columbus Dispatch, Published December 3, 2020 and Updated December 9, 2020. “War within war,” by James Maycock, The Guardian, September 14, 2001. “Reflections On The Curse Of Racism In The U.S. Military,” by David Barno and Nora Bensahel, War on the Rocks, June 30, 2020. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Some scrapbookers seem to being creating constantly! How do they find the time? In this episode I'm chatting with Erica Thompson, aka Erica Rose, about how she stays motivated and productive as a mom to six kids. Our conversation includes tips for juggling multiple projects, creating when you don't feel like it, and staying organized when you have a lot of product.Visit simplescrapper.com/syw220 for the full show notes.✨ Visit simplescrapper.com/story to watch the Before Your Story trailer video!

when a son doesn't hear from his mother for a week he decides to go check on her in person. What he found would leave investigators stumped. Hosted by: Sara, Shauna, Sam, and Bobby New episode every Wednesday! Please subscribe, rate and review! https://www.patreon.com/missingmurderedhaunted Follow us on social media! https://www.facebook.com/people/Missing-Murdered-Haunted-Podcast/100076471251392/ instagram.commissingmurderedhaunted Contact the show at: speakingofmissingpersons@gmail.com sources: morrigansnook.home.blog nbcchicago.com disappearedblog.com rblandmark.com

Everyone who's followed climate change for any length of time is familiar with the central role that complex mathematical models play in climate science and politics. Models give us predictions about how much the Earth's atmosphere will warm and how much it will cost to prevent or adapt to that warming.British researcher Erica Thompson has been thinking about the uses and misuse of mathematical modeling for years, and she has just come out with an absorbing and thought-provoking new book on the subject called Escape from Model Land: How Mathematical Models Can Lead Us Astray and What We Can Do About It.More than anything, it is an extended plea for epistemological humility — a proper appreciation of the intrinsic limitations of modeling, the deep uncertainties that can never be eliminated, and the ineradicable role of human judgment in interpreting model results and applying them to the real world.As Volts listeners know, my favorite kind of book takes a set of my vague intuitions and theories and lays them out in a cogent, well-researched argument. One does love having one's priors confirmed! I wrote critiques of climate modeling at Vox and even way back at Grist — it's been a persistent interest of mine — but Thompson's book lays out a full, rich account of what models can and can't help us do, and how we can put them to better use.I was thrilled to talk with her about some of her critiques of models and how they apply to climate modeling, among many other things. This is a long one! But a good one, I think. Settle in. Get full access to Volts at www.volts.wtf/subscribe

On this episode, Dr. Erica Thompson joins Nate to unpack her recent book Escape From Model Land. Erica explores the pitfalls of conventional science models and the opportunities by which models can augment our imagination and collective understanding. What is a model, and how do our worldviews shape the way they're made - and conversely, how do they shape our worldviews? How can we rethink and bring creativity into something as scientific as modeling to create maps of the future that are both more accurate and - most importantly - more helpful to planning responses? About Eric Thompson: Dr Erica Thompson is a Senior Policy Fellow at the LSE Data Science Institute, where she works on a broad programme of theoretical and practical research about mathematical models, their use, interpretation and social context.  She recently authored Escape From Model Land (Basic Books, 2022) which explores the opportunities and challenges of augmenting our imagination about the future with mathematical tools. For Show Notes and More visit https://www.thegreatsimplification.com/episode/55-erica-thompson

Dr Erica Thompson is a Senior Policy Fellow in Ethics of Modelling and Simulation at the LSE Data Science Institute. Erica's research involves the appropriate use of mathematical and computational modelling to inform real-world decision-making. In this episode, we discuss Erica's recent book, Escape from Model Land and tackle issues such as bias, disillusioning science communication to help us get out of the ‘Model Land' worldview and into the real world. Links: Erica Thompson's profile  Erica's website Check out Erica's book, Escape from Model Land  Support the showSubscribe for email updates

In this episode of Talk Nerdy, Cara is joined by Dr. Erica Thompson to talk about her new book, "Escape From Model Land: How Mathematical Models Can Lead Us Astray and What We Can Do About It." They discuss the intersection of science, mathematics, and humanity, including how we make sense of data and use it to predict future outcomes.

https://www.facebook.com/ThompsonRunningShow   Intro music: Let Us Run For It by The Denotes | https://thedenotes.bandcamp.com Music promoted by https://www.free-stock-music.com Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/deed.en_USv

John J. Miller is joined by Erica Thompson to discuss her new book, 'Escape from Model Land.'

How do mathematical models shape our world—and how can we harness their power for good? Models are at the centre of everything we do. Whether we use them or are simply affected by them, they act as metaphors that help us better understand the increasingly complex problems facing us in the modern world. Without models, we couldn't begin to tackle three of the major challenges facing modern society: regulation of the economy, climate change and the COVID-19 pandemic. Yet in recent years, the validity of the models we use has been hotly debated and there has been renewed awareness of the disastrous consequences when the makers and interpreters of models get things wrong. Drawing on contemporary examples from finance, climate and health policy, Erica Thompson explores what models are, why we need them, how they work and what happens when they go wrong. This is not an audiobook that argues we should do away with models, but rather, that we need to properly understand how they are constructed—and how some of the assumptions that underlie the models we use can have significant unintended consequences. Unexpectedly humorous, thought-provoking and passionate, this is essential listening for everyone.

Dr Erica Thompson is a Senior Policy Fellow in Ethics of Modelling and Simulation at the LSE Data Science Institute.Using the trusty-ish weather forecast as a starting point, Erica highlights the gaps to be minded when applying models in real-life. Kimberly and Erica discuss the role of expert judgement and intuition, the orthodoxy of data-driven cultures, models as engines not cameras, and why exposing uncertainty improves decision-making. Erica illustrates why it is so easy to become overconfident in models. She shows how value judgements are embedded in every step of model development (and hidden in math), why chameleons and accountability don't mix, and considerations for using model outputs to think or decide effectively. Looking forward, Erica foresees a future in which values rather than data drive decision-making.A transcript of this episode can be found here. 

Sheryl Cababa is the Chief Design Officer at Substantial where she conducts research, develops design strategies and advocates for human-centric outcomes.From the infinite scroll to Twitter edits, Sheryl illustrates how current design practices unwittingly undermine human agency. Often while delivering exactly what a user wants. She refutes the need to categorically eliminate the term ‘users' while showing how a singular user focus has led us astray. Sheryl then outlines how systems thinking can reorient existing design practices toward human-centric outcomes. Along the way, Kimberly and Sheryl discuss the limits of empathy, the evolving ethos of unintended consequences and embracing nuance. While acknowledging the challenges ahead, Sheryl remains optimistic about our ability to design for human well-being not just expediency or profit.A transcript of this episode can be found here. Our next episode explores the limits of model land with Dr Erica Thompson. Subscribe now so you don't miss it.

With Nirvana's 'Something in the Way' a streaming smash thanks to 'The Batman,' we look at the new movie's music and the whole story Batmusic, from the '60s TV theme song to Prince and beyond. David Fear and Erica Thompson join host Brian Hiatt for the discussion. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Erica Thompson is Georgia Tech graduate, Civil Engineer, and music enthusiast. We had a conversation to touch base 10 years after college to discuss some of Erica's journey since, music gotos, and lessons learned. --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/asher-tchoua0/message

Columbus Dispatch reporters Holly Zachariah, Micah Walker, Mark Ferenchik and Erica Thompson discuss their personal experiences so far with the Mobile Newsroom initiative, covering the Northland and Driving Park neighborhoods. Finally, we explain why this project is important to us and what we're hoping to accomplish by doing it. Read More: Dispatch Mobile Newsroom: Telling stories in Columbus neighborhoods

In this episode, Erica Thompson of Rio Grande Co., shares her unique perspective as an architectural products sales rep regarding what she looks for from manufacturers.Episode Highlights:Meet Erica ThompsonWhat Everyone in Building Products Sales Should Stop Doing with Regards to their CompetitorsWhat the Manufacturers Who Are Succeeding Are Doing in Their Marketing and Partner Enablement Efforts to Get the Spec from ArchitectsHow Architectural Sales Reps are Handling Supply Chain Disruptions and Representing Them to Your ClientsThe Three Biggest Things Manufacturers Need to Do To Gain the Loyalty of Distributor Sales RepsHow Distributor Sales Reps are Using Manufacturer's Customer / Partner PortalsWhat Architectural Sales Reps Prefer in a Manufacturer's WebsiteHow Value Engineering Impacts Architectural SalesThe Top Three  Realities to Understand About The Day-to-Day Work of ArchitectsTop Two Challenges Still Facing Distributors in 2022Factors Influencing Brand Switching Among Distributor's Sales Reps The Surprising Impact of Product Visualization and Project Photos on SalesWatch the full episode here: https://www.manobyte.com/growth-strategy/architectural-sales

WFP Lunch & Learn: Guest, Dr. Erica Thompson, Magnolia Health Foundation

Erica Thompson graduated with Web Development Cohort 46. Computers have been a part of my life since I was around 10 years old. Tinkering with computers inspired my career in technology when I started using that knowledge to fix other family member's computers to make spending money in middle school. I became certified at John A Logan College and my entry point into the tech world was repairing and troubleshooting the computers for local small businesses. I've been in the space for 6+ years, worked at Hype Media for 3 of them later as a DevOps Engineer for a non-profit. Finally, I have a love for helping companies and enjoy doing so by helping build scalable applications on a team utilizing modern technologies and solutions.

In today's episode, Gemise & Hamed speak with Erica Thompson, Founder & CEO of Feed The Soul, about what it means to be a life coach.

In this episode, we conclude this two part discussion this time examining three areas : "The Mandingo Factor", "The Cool Factor" and "The Tragic Figure". Guests : Kamillah Cummings, Erica Thompson and Tonya Pendleton. --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/muse2thepharaoh/support

Commentary around Prince often notes his “magical” quality as he seemed to be someone who defied definition or even understanding. In this 2-part episode, we thread the connotation of the word “magic” through the trope of the “magical Negro” to weave a nuanced conversation exploring Prince’s embodiment of Black exceptionalism. Guests : Kamillah Cummings, Erica Thompson, Tonya Pendleton --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/muse2thepharaoh/support

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In 2001, Prince was in the midst of a spiritual and musical evolution — and he was sharing that journey with his fans through his pioneering NPG Music Club and Paisley Park Celebration events. Host Andrea Swensson talks to musicians Common and Najee, Paisley Park staffer Sam Jennings, and fans Darling Nisi and Erica Thompson about this intriguing and reflective era.

In 2001, Prince was in the midst of a spiritual and musical evolution — and he was sharing that journey with his fans through his pioneering NPG Music Club and Paisley Park Celebration events. Host Andrea Swensson talks to musicians Common and Najee, Paisley Park staffer Sam Jennings, and fans Darling Nisi and Erica Thompson about this intriguing and reflective era.

Come along with us to hear a couple stories about missing persons Erica Thompson of Brookfield, IL and Tyler Davis of Columbus, OH. We hope that bringing awareness to these cases can help in solving them.

Darren talks to Erica Thompson about the third track from Songs in the Key of Life, Village Ghetto Land.

Darren talks to Erica Thompson about the sixth track from Fulfillingness' First Finale, You Haven't Done Nothin'.

This week, we chat with Erica Thompson and Dan Kraus of Nature Conservancy of Canada.

Both of these women are missing and from Illinois. Erica Thompson has been missing since September 25, 2019. Veronica Blumhorst has been missing since September 20, 1990. Both have mysterious circumstances around their disappearances, and yet they both seemed to of just vanished. To learn more about Erica's disappearance and to donate to the fundraiser, please visit:https://www.facebook.com/donate/2519134791707059/10215164136641624/To learn more about Veronica's case, please visit the facebook group:https://www.facebook.com/groups/254098139036/ Thank you to Delia Bryson for suggesting Veronica's case.

The creators of Cleveland's LaureLive music fest will bring another purpose-driven event to Columbus. Taking place at the Lawn at CAS on Saturday and Sunday, August 17 and 18, the WonderBus Music & Arts Festival will feature performances by Walk the Moon, the Revivalists, Jenny Lewis, Trombone Shorty and more. The festival will benefit the Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center’s Department of Psychiatry & Behavioral Health. Listen to features reporter Erica Thompson's interview with The Elevation Group President Denny Young and The Shipyard Chairman and CEO Rick Milenthal.

Beginning as a five-hour pilot project in 1996, Festival Latino has blossomed into a two-day extravaganza for thousands of attendees. The free, family-friendly fest returns to Genoa Park on Saturday and Sunday, August 10 and 11. Features reporter Erica Thompson sits down with Festival Coordinator and Programming Director Rich Corsi, along with the "Salsa King of Ohio," Carlos Rubio, to talk about this year's music, food, dancing and fun!

On this episode the guys discuss a plethora of nothing. They get into a conversation concerning the government official Erica Thompson & her grocery store fiasco. They dive into the Vesper Day Club fight & the racial things behind country clubs. The guys also discuss their astrology and later try and figure out who possibly had the best verse on So Appalled. They call Chan to hear about ComplexCon and so much more. Follow Us On Twitter/Instagram @Yup_AnotherPod @ImStunt @JGrasso_ @Adrian_Poitier @ChanThePlug ImStunt Vibes: Sweet Sixteen https://linktr.ee/imstunt --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/yup-anotherpodcast/message

Darren talks to Erica Thompson about Valentina.

Darren talks to Erica Thompson about Dreamer.

Darren talks to Erica Thompson about Feel Better, Feel Good, Feel Wonderful.

There’s a common trope that Prince “transcended race” which is a tricky concept, mostly due to the fact that “race” is not something that can be overcome. Today Darling Nisi and guest Erica Thompson focus on the context of Prince as a Black man in America and how that may have influenced his decisions as an artist as he moved in his career. --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/muse2thepharaoh/support

There’s a common trope that Prince “transcended race” which is a tricky concept, mostly due to the fact that “race” is not something that can be overcome. Today Darling Nisi and guest Erica Thompson focus on the context of Prince as a Black man in America and how that may have influenced his decisions as […]

There’s a common trope that Prince “transcended race” which is a tricky concept, mostly due to the fact that “race” is not something that can be overcome. Today Darling Nisi and guest Erica Thompson focus on the context of Prince as a Black man in America and how that may have influenced his decisions as […]

There’s a common trope that Prince “transcended race” which is a tricky concept, mostly due to the fact that “race” is not something that can be overcome. Today Darling Nisi and guest Erica Thompson focus on the context of Prince as a Black man in America and how that may have influenced his decisions as […]

Darren talks to Erica Thompson about Somewhere Here On Earth.

Darren talks to Erica Thompson about the Stevie Wonder track So What the Fuss.

Darren talks to Erica Thompson about Get on the Boat, the final track of 3121.

Darren talks to Erica Thompson about the Tamar track (featuring Prince) Beautiful, Loved and Blessed.

Darren talks to Erica Thompson about If Eye Was the Man in Your Life.

Darren talks to Erica Thompson about The Marrying Kind.

Darren talks to Erica Thompson about Family Name.

Darren talks to Erica Thompson about Violet the Organ Grinder, from the Gett Off EP.

Darren talks to Erica Thompson about One of Your Tears.

Erica Thompson - July 21, 2018 Support the show.

Darren talks to Erica Thompson about the lead single from New Power Soul.

IMMERSION - полное погружение... Дорога начинается с этно, проходя по мосту Tech House и заканчивая в глубине леса Deep Techno... A journey starts with the ethnic, crossing a bridge and ending Tech House deep in the woods Deep Techno... 01 Paul Deep - Shakti (Eran Aviner Remix) 02 Sam Farsio & Frederick Stone - Twisted Feet (Kintar 5am Mix) 03 Spuri - Alika (Original Mix) 04 Tantalis (Original Mix) - Roumex 05 Substate (Original Mix) - Tube & Berger 06 Yousef - Pleasure Defined (Vanyano Remix) (feat. Erica Thompson) 07 Day By Day - Koi Fish (Rick Pier O'Neil Remix) 08 Wild Card - Ressless 09 Skinny Pigs12th Planet, Lumberjvck & Protohype 10 Arkkaim - Gorje Hewek & Izhevski 11 Smalltown - Monkey Safari

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In Episode 17 - I talk to Erica Thompson about many, many things!

Erica Thompson aims to bring people to nature through the NCC’s Nature Destinations program.

LOTL RADIO Welcomes KUT KLOSE  -Featuring HITMEN PRODUCER J DUB GIVES THE GIFT OF A-LIST CHRISTMAS “STARS” FOR THE HOLIDAYSWITH HIS NEW CHRISTMAS CD ' CHRISTAMS AT MY HOUSE' FEATURING KUT KLOSE, ANGIE STONE, THE RUDE BOYS, KEV BLAZE, MEELAH, JAZZ, MAX C, NEVEAH, ERICA THOMPSON, MEN AT LARGE, SEAN HARDIN, SHEENA ROBINSON, J.DUB & REIGNDROP LOPES

As we learn from Three Square Food Bank‘s Erica Thompson, Restaurant Week combines great food and great prices. . .all for a great cause. That’s the happy, peppy, bursting with love portion of the show. Then John Curtas is back to spread a little love among some of his favorite Restaurant Week locations, followed by […]

As we learn from Three Square Food Bank‘s Erica Thompson, Restaurant Week combines great food and great prices. . .all for a great cause. That’s the happy, peppy, bursting with love portion of the show. Then John Curtas is back to spread a little love among some of his favorite Restaurant Week locations, followed by […]