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Today's expert, behavioral economist Peter Atwater, adjunct professor at William & Mary College, has long affirmed that changes in confidence consistently and predictably impact investor preferences, decisions and actions.Well, there's certainly been a lot happening so far this year to both spike and crash investor confidence.It's been one heck of a sentiment rollercoaster so far, with little signs that things will calm down anytime soon.What are likely to be the biggest drivers of confidence from here, and what are his key indicators are telling him about the prospects for the rest of 2025?WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#confidence #sentiment #investing _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Have you ever found yourself wandering amidst the chaos, yearning for a guiding light of clarity? Life often presents us with moments of uncertainty and chaos, leaving us feeling adrift and in need of direction. Like travelers in a dense fog, we stumble forward, desperately seeking clarity and a sense of purpose. It is during these times that having confidence becomes paramount, for it is the beacon that guides us through the storm. Peter Atwater, a renowned author, speaker, and consultant in the field of behavioral finance and investor sentiment, delves into the profound impact of confidence on our decision-making, resilience, and overall well-being in his latest book, The Confidence Map: Charting a Path from Chaos to Clarity. Drawing from his extensive expertise in behavioral finance and investor sentiment, Peter presents a compelling framework that illuminates the intricate relationship between confidence and chaos. In this episode, Darius and Peter discuss the vital role of confidence in decision-making and behavior across various aspects of life. Peter shares the journey behind his book, The Confidence Map: Charting a Path from Chaos to Clarity, emphasizing resilience in facing uncertainty and embracing growth from failure. They explore making financial decisions with uncertainty, avoiding gut-driven choices, and the importance of seeking help and feedback for personal and professional development. Topics include: The crucial role of confidence in driving decisions and behaviors in various aspects of life Peter explains the story behind The Confidence Map: Charting a Path from Chaos to Clarity How resilience plays a role in dealing with uncertainty and lack of control Why it is important to embrace uncertainty and powerlessness The benefits of seeing failure as an opportunity for learning and growth Making financial decisions with an understanding that the future is uncertain Why you should avoid making decisions solely based on gut feelings Why it matters to be willing to ask for help and seek feedback to improve and grow in personal and professional endeavors And other topics… Connect with Peter: Website: https://peteratwater.com/ Book: https://peteratwater.com/books-2/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Peter_Atwater LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/peter-atwater-08467034/ Connect with Darius: Website: https://therealdarius.com/ Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/dariusmirshahzadeh/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/whoompdarius/ YouTube: https://therealdarius.com/youtube Book: The Core Value Equation https://www.amazon.com/Core-Value-Equation-Framework-Limitless/dp/1544506708 Sponsored by: Shopify: Sign up for a $1/month trial period at shopify.com/darius. Rocket Money: Cancel unwanted subscriptions and reach your financial goals faster at RocketMoney.com/Darius. Write a review for The Greatness Machine using this link: https://ratethispodcast.com/spreadinggreatness. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
A life-changing book and conversation My guest today is Peter Atwater; he is a Wall Street veteran and the author of a wonderful book, The Confidence Map. We are talking about everything from investing and navigating the financial crisis to what it takes to be a successful money manager. We are learning from airplane pilots, pandemic-era doctors, and more. Peter proposes an eye-opening framework, a map that has already helped me in my professional life in many ways, and I think it could guide you in your endeavors as well. Please help me welcome, Peter Atwater. When Peter Atwater turned 45, his son said, “Dad you are halfway to ninety.” Three months later he left a very successful career in financial services to do something different. After helping several hedge funds successfully navigate the 2008 banking crisis, that “something different” turned out to be studying confidence. Tossing aside his academic training in economics and his experience on Wall Street, Atwater turned to social psychology and discovered that not only do we act as we feel, but we do so consistently, too. To paraphrase Mark Twain, history rhymes for a reason. Today, Atwater is a recognized expert on the impact of confidence on individual and group decision-making. He teaches classes on the topic at his alma mater, William & Mary. And when he isn't in the classroom, you can find him leading corporate retreats, speaking on stage, and offering his insights on current events on CNBC and Bloomberg Television and in the Financial Times, the Wall Street Journal and Time Magazine. In his book, The Confidence Map, Atwater shares the tools and framework he uses in his work with business leaders, investors, coaches, and public policymakers. Website:peteratwater.com Twitter: @peter_atwater Book: https://www.amazon.com/Confidence-Map-Charting-Chaos-Clarity/dp/0593539559 Takeaways: Confidence is a key factor that underpins the important choices we make. The confidence map consists of four quadrants: comfort zone, stress center, passenger seat, and launch pad. Understanding our emotions and stories can help determine our position on the confidence map. Trust is essential in both personal and professional relationships, and it is earned through consistent actions and experiences. Having clear principles and a philosophy in investing provides a solid foundation, while allowing for flexibility in individual actions. In times of crisis, shared processes and procedures are crucial for effective decision-making and reducing improvisation. Creating slack and choosing what to focus on can help navigate uncertainty and maintain a sense of control. Success is not solely about personal achievements, but also about helping others succeed and leaving a positive impact. Podcast Program – Disclosure Statement Blue Infinitas Capital, LLC is a registered investment adviser and the opinions expressed by the Firm's employees and podcast guests on this show are their own and do not reflect the opinions of Blue Infinitas Capital, LLC. All statements and opinions expressed are based upon information considered reliable although it should not be relied upon as such. Any statements or opinions are subject to change without notice. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Information expressed does not take into account your specific situation or objectives, and is not intended as recommendations appropriate for any individual. Listeners are encouraged to seek advice from a qualified tax, legal, or investment adviser to determine whether any information presented may be suitable for their specific situation. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.
In the wake of the COVID-19 recession, many economists were describing the United States’ economic recovery as K-shaped. Basically, high-income Americans bounced back quicker than those at the lower end of the income scale. So, did we ever ditch that K shape? The person who coined the phrase “K-shaped recovery” back then, says no. On the show today, Peter Atwater, president of Financial Insyghts and adjunct professor at the College of William & Mary, explains why he believes economic inequality has grown since the pandemic recovery, why considerable wage gains for low-wage workers tell only part of the story and the risks of letting a K-shaped economy run wild. Then, we’ll get into how the fragility of global shipping supply chains could be playing into Federal Reserve decisions on interest rates. And, happy wedding anniversary, Susanna! Here’s everything we talked about today: “The ‘K’ Is Not OK” from LinkedIn “Inflation Is Bringing Back the K-Shaped Economy” from Bloomberg “Behind America’s divided economy: Booming luxury travel and a jump in ‘relief’ loans” from CNBC “A tight labor market and state minimum wage increases boosted low-end wage growth between 2019 and 2023” from the Economic Policy Institute “U.S. Wealth Inequality: Gaps Remain Despite Widespread Wealth Gains” from the St. Louis Federal Reserve “First publicly funded religious charter school in US ruled unconstitutional” from The Hill “Fed's Bowman Warns of Upside Risks to Inflation, Not Time to Cut” from Bloomberg “Supply Chain Under Strain as Houthis Intensify Red Sea Strikes” from The New York Times Support Make Me Smart: Marketplace.org/givesmart We love to hear from you. Send your questions and comments to makemesmart@marketplace.org or leave us a voicemail at 508-U-B-SMART.
In the wake of the COVID-19 recession, many economists were describing the United States’ economic recovery as K-shaped. Basically, high-income Americans bounced back quicker than those at the lower end of the income scale. So, did we ever ditch that K shape? The person who coined the phrase “K-shaped recovery” back then, says no. On the show today, Peter Atwater, president of Financial Insyghts and adjunct professor at the College of William & Mary, explains why he believes economic inequality has grown since the pandemic recovery, why considerable wage gains for low-wage workers tell only part of the story and the risks of letting a K-shaped economy run wild. Then, we’ll get into how the fragility of global shipping supply chains could be playing into Federal Reserve decisions on interest rates. And, happy wedding anniversary, Susanna! Here’s everything we talked about today: “The ‘K’ Is Not OK” from LinkedIn “Inflation Is Bringing Back the K-Shaped Economy” from Bloomberg “Behind America’s divided economy: Booming luxury travel and a jump in ‘relief’ loans” from CNBC “A tight labor market and state minimum wage increases boosted low-end wage growth between 2019 and 2023” from the Economic Policy Institute “U.S. Wealth Inequality: Gaps Remain Despite Widespread Wealth Gains” from the St. Louis Federal Reserve “First publicly funded religious charter school in US ruled unconstitutional” from The Hill “Fed's Bowman Warns of Upside Risks to Inflation, Not Time to Cut” from Bloomberg “Supply Chain Under Strain as Houthis Intensify Red Sea Strikes” from The New York Times Support Make Me Smart: Marketplace.org/givesmart We love to hear from you. Send your questions and comments to makemesmart@marketplace.org or leave us a voicemail at 508-U-B-SMART.
In the wake of the COVID-19 recession, many economists were describing the United States’ economic recovery as K-shaped. Basically, high-income Americans bounced back quicker than those at the lower end of the income scale. So, did we ever ditch that K shape? The person who coined the phrase “K-shaped recovery” back then, says no. On the show today, Peter Atwater, president of Financial Insyghts and adjunct professor at the College of William & Mary, explains why he believes economic inequality has grown since the pandemic recovery, why considerable wage gains for low-wage workers tell only part of the story and the risks of letting a K-shaped economy run wild. Then, we’ll get into how the fragility of global shipping supply chains could be playing into Federal Reserve decisions on interest rates. And, happy wedding anniversary, Susanna! Here’s everything we talked about today: “The ‘K’ Is Not OK” from LinkedIn “Inflation Is Bringing Back the K-Shaped Economy” from Bloomberg “Behind America’s divided economy: Booming luxury travel and a jump in ‘relief’ loans” from CNBC “A tight labor market and state minimum wage increases boosted low-end wage growth between 2019 and 2023” from the Economic Policy Institute “U.S. Wealth Inequality: Gaps Remain Despite Widespread Wealth Gains” from the St. Louis Federal Reserve “First publicly funded religious charter school in US ruled unconstitutional” from The Hill “Fed's Bowman Warns of Upside Risks to Inflation, Not Time to Cut” from Bloomberg “Supply Chain Under Strain as Houthis Intensify Red Sea Strikes” from The New York Times Support Make Me Smart: Marketplace.org/givesmart We love to hear from you. Send your questions and comments to makemesmart@marketplace.org or leave us a voicemail at 508-U-B-SMART.
In markets as in life, sentiment drives decision making. And until sentiment shifts, the status quo will maintain. Even when at extreme conditions. Today's guest has made the study of sentiment his life's work. Which is particularly timely given that consumer confidence continues to plunge, with the recent April Consumer Confidence numbers coming in far below the consensus estimate. This is important because when it comes to the markets, as well as a number of other issues central to our way of life, we may be walking dangerously close to a tipping point where the prevailing sentiment suddenly reverses and the herd bolts in an unexpected direction -- potentially leading to sharp changes most will be caught unawares by. So what do we need to be keeping our eyes on most closely? To find out, we're fortunate to speak today with behavioral economist Peter Atwater, adjunct professor at William & Mary College, and author of the book The Confidence Map: Charting a Path from Chaos to Clarity. We'll ask him what his key confidence indicators are telling him about the prospects for the rest of 2024. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #socialunrest #bullmarket #sentiment
Peter Atwater is one of the world's leading experts on confidence and its role in decision-making. He is a professor of behavioral economics at William and Mary and the author of a new book, The Confidence Map, published this year. Peter has a unique background, transitioning from a successful career in financial services to focus on studying confidence. He is a sought-after speaker and has been featured in Bloomberg Television, The Financial Times, the Wall Street Journal, and Time Magazine. Peter joined host Robert Glazer on the Elevate Podcast to discuss The Confidence Map and how confidence factors into leadership, economics, decision-making, and more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
In this episode of Just Press Record, I dive deep into the dynamic nature of confidence with two incredible guests: Grace Nikae, a fractional marketer and recovered classical music prodigy, and Peter Atwater, a financial expert and the author of "The Confidence Map." Together, we explore the interplay between certainty and control, discuss the artistic process, and uncover the importance of embracing discomfort for personal growth. We also delve into the difference between authenticity and vulnerability, and how leaders can better understand and support their employees. Join us for a thought-provoking conversation that will leave you reflecting on your own journey with confidence.
Peter Atwater joins us to explore the hidden role of confidence in the choices we make, and why events described as being unprecedented are often entirely predictable—if we know what to look for. You'll learn how to spot opportunities, avoid psychological traps, and navigate the road ahead with clarity and confidence.
Today's guests are Peter Atwater and Grant Williams, two guys that have known each other for a decade. Peter is a professor and author of The Confidence Map: Charting a Path from Chaos to Clarity. Grant is the author of the newsletter Things That Make you Go Hmmm… and host of The Grant Williams Podcast. He was also a co-founder of Real Vision. Today's episode is a masterclass in how to analyze market sentiment, which seems particularly timely given how the market has been lately. Peter shares his framework for looking at the world through the lens of certainty and control and how that drives consumer confidence. Then he and Grant kick around a bunch of topics, including the relationship between natural gas and Nvidia, Elon Musk and the velvet rope economy, gold and Bitcoin, the opportunity in Japan, and much, much more. (1:40) - Welcome to our guests, Peter Atwater and Grant Williams (2:28) - Confidence and vulnerability's role in financial market (6:18) - Elon Musk 0 - 60mph Tweet (10:21) - Peter's take on natural gas and Nvidia (13:17) - Class versus wealth (17:30) - Thoughts on gold and Bitcoin (22:38) - The world of luxury (28:43) - The UK stock market (33:10) - Why Grant is excited about the Japanese stock market (37:14) - Who would Grant want to interview today? (38:23) - Modern-Day Asset Management Business w/ Anthony Deden (44:29) - Peter and Grant's most controversial opinions (48:59) - Peter and Grant's most memorable investments ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: Today's episode is sponsored by The Idea Farm. The Idea Farm gives you access to over $100,000 worth of investing research, the kind usually read by only the world's largest institutions, funds, and money managers. Subscribe for free here. Follow The Idea Farm: Twitter | LinkedIn | Instagram | Tik Tok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
With the Enneagram, what we do is not as important as why we do the things we do. This also applies to confidence. Behavioral economics pioneer, internationally sought-after consultant, and professor of confidence-driven decision-making Peter Atwater explains, “The ‘why' to me is all related to our feelings of certainty and control because when I boil down what confidence is it's knowing what's coming and feeling like we are prepared for it.” Today, we explore what confidence is and how to cultivate confidence….We dig into Peter's new book and go over his confidence quadrant framework, which includes the stress center, comfort zone, passenger seat, and the launchpad. It's a tool you can use to not only understand yourself better but to understand those around you better. This is a rich conversation and you're going to want to grab this book, The Confidence Map: Charting a Path from Chaos to Clarity. To learn more about Peter Atwater, visit his website, check out his TED Talks and pick up a copy of The Confidence Map.
Bloomberg Radio host Barry Ritholtz speaks with Peter Atwater, president of Financial Insyghts and an adjunct professor at William & Mary and the University of Delaware. He studies the impact of changing confidence on consumer decision-making and advises investors, businesses and policymakers. He coined the term “K-shaped recovery" to describe the pandemic's effects on the economy. Atwater previously ran JPMorgan's asset-backed securities business and served in executive roles at First USA, Bank One and Juniper Financial.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
President of Financial Insyghts. Researcher of confidence-driven decision making, and Professor, Peter Atwater, joins us to discuss his new book, The Confidence Map: Charting a Path from Chaos to Clarity. In this book, he shares the tools and insights he uses in his work with business leaders, investors, coaches, and public policymakers. When Peter Atwater turned 45, his son said, “Dad you are halfway to ninety.” Three months later he left a very successful career in financial services to do something different. After helping several hedge funds successfully navigate the banking crisis, that “something” turned out to be studying confidence. Tossing aside his academic training in economics and his experience on Wall Street, Atwater turned to social psychology and discovered that not only do we act as we feel, but we do so consistently, too. To paraphrase Mark Twain, history rhymes for a reason. Today, Atwater is a recognized expert on the impact of confidence on individual and group decision-making. He teaches classes on the topic at William & Mary, his alma mater, and for the honors program at the University of Delaware. And when he isn't in the classroom, you can find him speaking on stage, on Bloomberg Television and in The Financial Times, the Wall Street Journal and Time Magazine. Tune in on Wednesday, November 15 @ 6pm EST!
Peter Atwater, President of Financial Insyghts, discusses the outlook for earnings and the impact of a possible government shutdown on the business sector. Erik Wasson joins to discuss the latest on a potential shutdown. Steve Case, Chairman and CEO at Revolution, discusses his book Rise of the Rest: How Entrepreneurs in Surprising Places are Building the New American Dream. Paul Hsu, CEO at Decasonic, talks about the mainstream adoption of web3. And we Drive to the Close with Stephanie Pierce, CEO of Dreyfus, Mellon and ETFs at BNY Mellon. Hosts: Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec Producer: Paul Brennan See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Peter Atwater, President of Financial Insyghts, discusses the outlook for earnings and the impact of a possible government shutdown on the business sector. Erik Wasson joins to discuss the latest on a potential shutdown. Steve Case, Chairman and CEO at Revolution, discusses his book Rise of the Rest: How Entrepreneurs in Surprising Places are Building the New American Dream. Paul Hsu, CEO at Decasonic, talks about the mainstream adoption of web3. And we Drive to the Close with Stephanie Pierce, CEO of Dreyfus, Mellon and ETFs at BNY Mellon. Hosts: Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec Producer: Paul Brennan See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Our guest today is Peter Atwater, President of Financial Insyghts and an adjunct professor at William & Mary and the University of Delaware. He studies the impact of changing confidence on consumer decision-making, using his research to advise investors, business leaders, and policymakers. In 2023, he released the book, The Confidence Map: Charting a Path from Chaos to Clarity. In today's episode, Peter walks through some of the key topics in the world today, including the dominance of U.S. stocks, the rise of grifters in the past few years, why he coined the term K-Shape Recovery in 2020. Everything Peter discusses is through the lens of the decision-making framework laid out in his recent book, which is the best writing about the way feelings of confidence and vulnerability relate to the markets at any given time. Our co-hosts today are Chris Cannon, CFA, and myself, Colby Donovan, CFA. Please enjoy the episode. Follow the CFA Society of Orlando on Twitter at @CFAOrlandoFL
Join us for a captivating episode where we delve into the hidden influence of confidence in our decision-making. Discover why seemingly unprecedented events are often predictable with the right insights. Peter Atwater provides an accessible framework for understanding confidence, helping us navigate uncertainty and lack of control. Our conversation delves into how confidence impacts politics and the economy, as well as how we can nurture confidence in the younger generation to face life's challenges with resilience. Tune in to gain valuable perspectives on the role of confidence in shaping our world.-----EXCEPTIONAL RESOURCE: Find Out How to Build a Safer & Better Performing Portfolio using this FREE NEW Portfolio Builder Tool-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “The Many Flavors of Trend Following” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Cem on Twitter.Follow Peter on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 02:04 - What does confidence mean to Peter?04:38 - The feeling of vulnerability06:19 - Being in the present07:57 - Understanding the confidence map12:08 - How to become confident13:32 - Peter's advice for the younger audience17:02 - Having confidence is not a constant17:48 - Learnings from a traumatic experience21:23 - Map it out22:33 - Why is sentiment changing so quickly?28:05 - The generational shift30:49 - Is crypto the new Woodstock?36:15 - Is the Fed losing the...
When big events happen in the markets, or even in history, analysts, economists and journalists set out to discover what led to those events, often working backwards, organizing a chain of events into a logical timeline. But on the flip side, accurate forecasting is a far harder skill to master and Professor Peter Atwater, behavioral economics pioneer, suggests that the same deciding factors we see so easily in hindsight could in fact be easier to see in the present if only we looked through the right lens.This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
I sit down with Peter Atwater to find out more about how social mood affects decision making, the economy and the markets. Nir And Far, a podcast about business, behaviour and the brain by Nir Eyal. If you enjoy this podcast, please subscribe on iTunes and leave an iTunes review. It will greatly help new listeners discover the show. Please visit my website Nir and Far for other info about my writing, books and teaching: http://www.nirandfar.com/ --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/nirandfar/support
There's an old saying in investing: The market can stay irrational longer than you can remain solvent. Why is that? Well, it has a lot to do with how humans make decisions. It's not alway -- or even often -- rational. And today's expert, behavioral economist Peter Atwater, adjunct professor at William & Mary College, has long affirmed that changes in confidence consistently and predictably impact investor preferences, decisions and actions. He's out with a brand new book, The Confidence Map: Charting a Path from Chaos to Clarity, that shares a groundbreaking framework for making better decisions -- in investing and in life in general -- by understanding – and mastering – confidence. We'll also ask him what his key confidence indicators are telling him about the prospects for the rest of 2023. ************************************************* At Wealthion, we show you how to protect and build your wealth by learning from the world's top experts on finance and money. Each week we add new videos that provide you with access to the foremost specialists in investing, economics, the stock market, real estate and personal finance. We offer exceptional interviews and explainer videos that dive deep into the trends driving today's markets, the economy, and your own net worth. We give you strategies for financial security, practical answers to questions like “how to grow my investments?”, and effective solutions for wealth building tailored to 'regular' investors just like you. There's no doubt that it's a very challenging time right now for the average investor. Above and beyond the recent economic impacts of COVID, the new era of record low interest rates, runaway US debt and US deficits, and trillions of dollars in monetary and fiscal stimulus stimulus has changed the rules of investing by dangerously distorting the Dow index, the S&P 500, and nearly all other asset prices. Can prices keep rising, or is there a painful reckoning ahead? Let us help you prepare your portfolio just in case the future brings one or more of the following: inflation, deflation, a bull market, a bear market, a market correction, a stock market crash, a real estate bubble, a real estate crash, an economic boom, a recession, a depression, or another global financial crisis. Put the wisdom from the money & markets experts we feature on Wealthion into action by scheduling a free consultation with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors, who will work with you to determine the right next steps for you to take in building your wealth. SCHEDULE YOUR FREE WEALTH CONSULTATION with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors here: https://www.wealthion.com/ Subscribe to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKMeK-HGHfUFFArZ91rzv5A?sub_confirmation=1 Follow Adam on Twitter: https://twitter.com/menlobear Follow us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Wealthion-109680281218040 #classwar #wealthgap #behavioraleconomics ************************************************* IMPORTANT NOTE: The information and opinions offered in this video by Wealthion or its interview guests are for educational purposes ONLY and should NOT be construed as personal financial advice. We strongly recommend that any potential decisions and actions you may take in your investment portfolio be conducted under the guidance and supervision of a quality professional financial advisor in good standing with the securities industry. When it comes to investing, past performance is no guarantee of future results. Any historical returns, expected returns, or probability projections may not reflect actual future performance. All investments involve risk and may result in partial or total loss.
I speak to Peter Atwater, author of The Confidence Map about understanding the role of emotions in decision making. Peter is also an adjunct professor at William & Mary, where we both are alumni. By plotting our experiences across four boxes, we can gain powerful insight into our decision-making process: Stress Center = low control/low certainty Comfort Zone = high control/high certainty Launch Pad = high control/low certainty Passenger Seat= low control/high certainty Subscribe To Financial Samurai Join 60,000+ others and sign up for my free weekly newsletter so you never miss a thing. You can also get every post I publish immediately in your inbox by signing up here. If you enjoy this episode, please share, rate, and subscribe. It helps the FS podcast grow!
If you've been wondering HOW to get where you want to go. If you've been wondering WHY you aren't getting the results you want. If you wonder WHERE you should look for better ideas, Peter Atwater has you covered on today's show. We recorded this podcast two weeks ago and we have already referenced it in SO MANY other situations…Peter Atwater joins us to talk confidence when investing, when managing, when leading…and generally when living. At first, we didn't understand why this was the breakthrough idea, but the longer we sat with it, the more we referenced his idea. But that's not all. In our headline segment, 401k balances are rising, but 401 hardship loans are through the roof. What's going on? We'll share ideas (and solutions if you're borrowing from your 401k). Plus, we also have our TikTok minute, throw out the Haven Life line to a lucky listener, and more. FULL SHOW NOTES: https://www.stackingbenjamins.com/creating-stories-to-find-confidence-peter-atwater-1395 Deeper dives with curated links, topics, and discussions are in our newsletter, The 201, available at https://www.stackingbenjamins.com/201 Enjoy! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Author Peter Atwater joins The Wall Street Coach Podcast to talk about his book, "The Confidence Map," which is a current must-read for anyone who wants to improve their decision-making. The post Ep 83: Peter Atwater on Confidence-Driven Decision-Making appeared first on .
In THE CONFIDENCE MAP: Charting a Path from Chaos to Clarity, behavioral economics pioneer Peter Atwater explores the hidden role of confidence in the choices we make and why events described as being unprecedented are often entirely predictable if we know what to look for. Peter Atwater is an Adjunct Professor of Economics at William and Mary, and President of Financial Insyghts, a consulting firm that advises on how social mood affects decision making, the economy, and the markets.
What does our desire for certainty and control have to do with our decision-making? According to behavioral economics pioneer Peter Atwater, the answer is simple: everything. Today, Peter joins us to talk about how to get comfortable without certainty or control, why powerlessness is a choice, and why the future we imagine is consistent with how we feel today. I'm really excited to talk with Peter about the hidden role of confidence in the choices we make, and why events described as being unprecedented are often entirely predictable—if we know what to look for. Dive Deeper: If you enjoy this episode with Peter, I'm sure you'll also enjoy the following: 347: Dr. Henry Cloud on When to Withhold Trust, Emotional Regulation, Developing Discernment, and Why “Believing the Best” Might Be Bad Advice 349: Mark Batterson on How Science Proves that Our Words Create Our Worlds, Learning Non-Anxious Curiosity, and How to Become More Emotionally Intelligent ++++++ Episode Links: Peter Atwater's Website | Twitter | Buy Peter's book on Amazon! Subscribe to #WinTodayShow on YouTube. Join the conversation wherever hashtags are welcome using #WinTodayShow. Get the "Win the Week" email newsletter here. ************************** This week's show partner(s): Get LMNT and a free gift with your purchase here! **************************
On episode 91, Julia La Roche is joined by Peter Atwater, an adjunct professor of economics at William & Mary, and author of "The Confidence Map: Charting a Path from Chaos to Clarity". Atwater explains how confidence is the real "invisible hand" in our economy, markets, and everyday lives. He also shares his concern about the divergent economy, where billionaire confidence is soaring while a large population feels left behind, not only in the US but also in other countries. Atwater is the first who shared the notion of a K-shaped recovery in the economy. Links: The Confidence Map: https://www.amazon.com/Confidence-Map-Charting-Chaos-Clarity/dp/0593539559/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Peter_Atwater LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/peter-atwater-08467034/ Peter's website: https://peteratwater.com/ 0:00 Intro / Background 2:48 Psychology of investor decision-making and economic decision-making 3:35 Behavioral economists typically focus on what we do wrong 4:30 The role of confidence 6:40 Confidence Quadrant framework 10:00 Application of the Confidence Quadrant on macro/micro level 13:00 Executives discussing AI 14:47 Investors are in the “comfort zone” on the Confidence Quadrant 15:35 The K-shaped recovery 17:48 If markets were to price in Main Street sentiment they would considerably lower 18:30 Two different sets of moods and preferences 20:30 Assessment of the current state of America today 24:00 Evaluating consumer confidence and the 2016 election 28:00 Gen Z's confidence? 31:00 Millennials' sentiment 33:00 Real life moves us around 35:00 Music and the mood 38:00 Taylor Swift phenomenon 39:30 Peak confidence? 40:30 Mania in the Magnificent Seven 41:15 Passive investing puts investors in the “passenger seat” 44:00 Elon Musk is the “Kevin Bacon” of every popular investment theme 47:20 Media is the “mirror of mood” 50:30 Why confidence is the real “invisible hands” 53:00 Best indicator of an upcoming recession 55:00 Bidenomics is another sentiment indicator
Have you ever been absolutely, utterly confident in an outcome, only to get a rude awakening when things go very differently? Well, you're not alone. Behavioral economics pioneer Peter Atwater has made it his mission to help more people understand the role of confidence in human decision making, outcomes, and how it's rooted in "our desire for certainty and control." In this week's show, Jeff and Jason talk with Peter about his new book, The Confidence Map: Charting a Path from Chaos to Clarity. They discuss his background, his decision to leave a successful banking career and start over at 45, and and how The Confidence Map came to be, and how it can help people make better decisions in many aspects of their lives. In the second part of the show, Jason and Jeff share their thoughts on the book and the conversation with Peter, and how the concepts in the book can fit in the investor's toolbox. Companies mentioned: BRK.A, BRK.B Buy The Confidence Map on Amazon. Peter Atwater on Twitter: https://twitter.com/Peter_Atwater We would love feedback on the show. Share with us at: Email: thesmatteringshow@gmail.com Twitter: @smatteringshow Check out our YouTube channel for more content: https://www.youtube.com/@TheSmatteringShow Find the 2023 Smattering Portfolio here: https://tinyurl.com/Smatterfolio2023
Have you ever found yourself wandering amidst the chaos, yearning for a guiding light of clarity? Life often presents us with moments of uncertainty and chaos, leaving us feeling adrift and in need of direction. Like travelers in a dense fog, we stumble forward, desperately seeking clarity and a sense of purpose. It is during these times that having confidence becomes paramount, for it is the beacon that guides us through the storm. Peter Atwater, a renowned author, speaker, and consultant in the field of behavioral finance and investor sentiment, delves into the profound impact of confidence on our decision-making, resilience, and overall well-being in his latest book, The Confidence Map: Charting a Path from Chaos to Clarity. Drawing from his extensive expertise in behavioral finance and investor sentiment, Peter presents a compelling framework that illuminates the intricate relationship between confidence and chaos. In this episode, Darius and Peter discuss the vital role of confidence in decision-making and behavior across various aspects of life. Peter shares the journey behind his book, The Confidence Map: Charting a Path from Chaos to Clarity, emphasizing resilience in facing uncertainty and embracing growth from failure. They explore making financial decisions with uncertainty, avoiding gut-driven choices, and the importance of seeking help and feedback for personal and professional development. Topics include: The crucial role of confidence in driving decisions and behaviors in various aspects of life Peter explains the story behind The Confidence Map: Charting a Path from Chaos to Clarity How resilience plays a role in dealing with uncertainty and lack of control Why it is important to embrace uncertainty and powerlessness The benefits of seeing failure as an opportunity for learning and growth Making financial decisions with an understanding that the future is uncertain Why you should avoid making decisions solely based on gut feelings Why it matters to be willing to ask for help and seek feedback to improve and grow in personal and professional endeavors And other topics… Connect with Peter: Website: https://peteratwater.com/ Book: https://peteratwater.com/books-2/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Peter_Atwater LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/peter-atwater-08467034/ Connect with Darius: Website: https://therealdarius.com/ Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/dariusmirshahzadeh/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/whoompdarius/ YouTube: https://therealdarius.com/youtube Book: The Core Value Equation https://www.amazon.com/Core-Value-Equation-Framework-Limitless/dp/1544506708 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Peter Atwater, Adjunct Professor of Economics at William & Mary, discusses his book The Confidence Map: Charting a Path From Chaos to Clarity. Hosts: Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. Producer: Paul Brennan. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
This podcast episode was made availableto premium subscribers on July 25 without ads or announcements. There are many other benefits to being a premium subscriber. Sign up through Supercast or our Substack. Peter Atwater joins the podcast to discuss the ideas from his latest book, "The Confidence Map: Charting a Path From Chaos to Clarity." Crucially, he tells listeners why investor confidence is today fast approaching the 'invulnerable extreme' that indicates a top in markets... Content Highlights Investor preferences change dramatically with their confidence levels. Generally high confidence corresponds to preference for abstract items (NFTs, cryptos) whilst low confidence yields a preference for more practical things (2:48) Yes, magazine covers can be a reliable contrarian indicator (5:52); Investor confidence levels are rapidly approaching the 'invulnerable extreme' with AI hype and a bull market for luxury goods (10:08); How to deal with the question of timing, and signs to look for when seeking to identify a top (15:17); When it comes to cryptos, the most recent mania has passed and the prospects of another round is remote (18:16); Background on the guest (24:10); Investor mania is not defined so much by overconfidence but invulnerability (27:37); Where does this leave investors in terms of asset allocation? Introducing 'sentiment diversification' (30:08); Natural gas may be at an inflection point that presages a really (32:19). More on the Guest Website: PeterAtwater.com; Twitter: @Peter_Atwater; Ways to order the book here. Not investment advice.
Peter Atwater, Adjunct Professor of Economics at William & Mary, discusses his book The Confidence Map: Charting a Path From Chaos to Clarity. Hosts: Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. Producer: Paul Brennan. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
What does our desire for certainty and control have to do with our decision-making? According to behavioral economics pioneer Peter Atwater, the answer is simple: everything.In his book, "The Confidence Map," Atwater explores the hidden role of confidence in the choices we make, and why events described as being unprecedented are often entirely predictable—if we know what to look for.
Ever wondered how your confidence level influences your decision making and how understanding this concept could be a game changer in the world of finance? Tune into our engaging conversation with Peter Atwater, author of the new book The Confidence Map: Charting a Path from Chaos to Clarity. You probably know Peter as the thought-leader who coined the term 'K-shaped recovery.' In this interview we navigate the intriguing facets of confidence mapping, from the two critical axes of certainty and control to the four quadrants — the Comfort Zone, the Stress Center, the Passenger Seat, and the Launch Pad — each providing unique insights into our behaviors and responses. As our dialogue deepens, we explore how personal vulnerabilities can act as catalysts in decision making, shifting our focus to immediate concerns and diminishing strategic thinking. Peter introduces us to the concept of the 'five Fs,' a framework delineating our reactions to stress and providing strategies to evade the negative reinforcement loop of catastrophizing. This discussion serves as a critical reminder of our need to manage vulnerability and anxiety to make more informed decisions. Our discussion then takes a leap into the world of finance, revealing how these concepts can significantly impact investment strategies. We dissect the five reactions to intense vulnerability — fight, flight, freeze, follow, and nihilism — and their crucial role in risk assessment and decision-making within the investment landscape. To cap it off, Peter shares invaluable insights from his own career journey, underlining the importance of understanding the crowd and its sentiment. So, join us for this insightful episode where we delve into the human psyche, its impact on our decision making, and the role it plays in the world of finance.
In Episode 320 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Peter Atwater, a recognized expert on the impact of confidence on individual and group decision-making, which he examines in his book, “The Confidence Map: Charting a Path From Chaos to Clarity.” In today's conversation, you are going to learn about the hidden role that confidence plays in the choices we make, and why events that are often described as being unprecedented are more often than not entirely predictable if we know what to look for. In the first hour, Atwater and Kofinas go through the framework that Peter has put forward in his book—what he calls the confidence quadrant. In the second hour, the two apply this framework to both the world at large, as well as to our own lives by examining what we can do to be better prepared for the inevitable crises that come with living a human life. What are the steps that we can we take when facing an overwhelming challenge—when we are deep inside what Peter calls “the stress center”—to alleviate some of its symptoms and help us make better decisions on our way to higher ground? You can subscribe to our premium content and gain access to our premium feed, episode transcripts, and Intelligence Reports (or Key Takeaways) at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you want to join in on the conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces genius community, which includes Q&A calls with guests, access to special research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners, you can also do that on our subscriber page. If you still have questions, feel free to email info@hiddenforces.io, and Demetri or someone else from our team will get right back to you. If you enjoyed listening to today's episode of Hidden Forces you can help support the show by doing the following: Subscribe on Apple Podcasts | YouTube | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | CastBox | RSS Feed Write us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify Subscribe to our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/ Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe & Support the Podcast at https://hiddenforces.io Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas Episode Recorded on 07/19/2023
What exactly is confidence? Peter Atwater describes it as the feelings of certainty and control that we have about our future self. He explains The Confidence Map framework and how our horizon preference and vulnerability first mindset change, based on our level of confidence. Peter Atwater is an adjunct professor of economics at Williams and Mary University, and the President of financial insights, a consulting firm that advises global policymakers on how social mood affects decision making, the economy and the markets. He is known for coining the “K-shaped recovery” which is an economic term used by political and economic leaders. Most recently, he has examined the hidden role of confidence in the choices we make, in his new book “The Confidence Map: Charting a Path from Chaos to Clarity”. Confidence is inherently forward-looking and involves imagining the future, which is inherently uncertain. To illustrate this, Peter introduces us to the Confidence Map, a two-by-two grid with certainty on the x-axis and control on the y-axis. The upper right quadrant represents high confidence where there is both high certainty and control. This is the "comfort zone." The lower left quadrant represents low confidence due to low certainty and control. This is the "stress center." The other two quadrants represent situations where there is only one of the two factors needed for confidence. The "passenger seat" quadrant has uncertainty but no control, like being a passenger in a car. The "launchpad" quadrant has control but no certainty, like pulling the lever on a slot machine. Overconfidence and under confidence can both be issues. Organizations often ignore the vulnerability people feel during a crisis, focusing only on fixing the problem, as Boeing did during the 737 Max disasters. Listen to Tim and Kurt's discussion with Peter and the following Grooving Session to learn how confidence can be both an input and output of decision-making and about the complex interplay between feelings, stories and actions. We hope you enjoy listening to our discussion with Peter and if you would like to support the work of Behavioral Grooves, we would love you to join our Behavioral Grooves Patreon membership. Topics (2:15) Welcome and speed round questions. (4:44) What is confidence? (7:50) The confidence quadrant. (12:55) Can you have too much confidence and can it be false? (15:49) How Behavioral Economics influences our financial decision making. (18:42) Why groups can overestimate outcomes. (20:42) Confidence is both an input and an output. (23:39) Horizon preference and confidence. (27:29) What is a vulnerability first mindset? (29:33) How Boeing focused on the wrong issue with the 737 Max disasters. (32:19) What music would Peter take to a desert island? (34:44) Grooving Session with Kurt and Tim on confidence. © 2023 Behavioral Grooves Links Peter Atwater: https://peteratwater.com/ Peter Atwater's book: The Confidence Map: Charting a Path from Chaos to Clarity: https://amzn.to/3NB2gM3 Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky (1974) Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases, Science: https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.185.4157.1124 Episode 31, Leaving the Matrix: Annie Duke and Insights into how you can improve your thinking! https://behavioralgrooves.com/episode/leaving-the-matrix-annie-duke-and-insights-into-how-you-can-improve-your-thinking/ Boeing 737 Max grounding: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_737_MAX_groundings Behavioral Grooves Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/behavioralgrooves Musical Links Steve Sondheim “Send in the Clowns”: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UBuDSsc9Pak George Winston “Autumn”: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JKmqyQUDehs
Peter Atwater, Adjunct Professor of Economics at William and Mary, and author of “The Confidence Map: Charting a Path from Chaos to Clarity” joins Forward Guidance to diagnose the sentiment that's driving the current (unofficial) bull market in risk. Follow Peter Atwater on Twitter https://twitter.com/Peter_Atwater Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Peter Atwater's book, “The Confidence Map: Charting a Path from Chaos to Clarity”: https://peteratwater.com/the-confidence-map-2/ “The Confidence Map” on Amazon: https://www.amazon.com/Confidence-Map-Charting-Chaos-Clarity/dp/0593539559#:~:text=The%20Confidence%20Map%20is%20a,that%20too%20often%20feels%20senseless. ____ Use code GUIDANCE30 to get 30% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of Forward Guidance, you can use code GUIDANCE10 for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ ____ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://rb.gy/5weeyw Market commentary, charts, degen trade ideas, governance updates, token performance, can't-miss-tweets and more. Subscribe to the Blockworks Research “Daily Debrief” Newsletter: https://rb.gy/feusos ____ Timecodes: (00:00) Introduction (00:38) Blue Sky Optimism Has Gripped The Stock Market (06:13) The Bubble Can ALWAYS Get Bigger (15:56) Sentiment On Recession Has Changed Massively (21:28) The Confidence Map (33:00) Passive Investing (39:09) Finding Extreme Sentiments In Markets (43:04) U.S. Banking System (45:46) The K-Shaped Recovery, 3 Years Later (57:04) Psychology Of The Federal Reserve (01:01:14) Commercial Real Estate (CRE) -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
#452: Peter Atwater, an economics professor at The College of William and Mary and author of “The Confidence Map,” joins us to discuss how confidence shapes our financial markets. He explains how The Hunger Games relates to the Lehman Brothers collapse. He describes why you should “Buy Adele and Sell Pharrell.” From the Panic of 1857 to the patterns behind modern media consumption, Peter talks us through the intricate web of behavioral oddities that extend beyond finance. He talks about the “K-shaped recovery” – how different segments of the population are experiencing different economic realities. He touches upon economic, political, and social trends, and the hidden dynamics that shape market behavior and reveal the profound impact of consumer confidence. Our conversation will leave you with a deeper understanding of how behavioral patterns shape the financial landscape – including your investments. Enjoy! For more information, visit the show notes at https://affordanything.com/episode452 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
The 2024 presidential campaign is already well underway, but today we’re going to take a step back and examine the connection between Barack Obama’s presidency and the rise of white racial violence. It’s what Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist Wesley Lowery calls the “American Whitelash” (also the title of his new book), which to some extent is rooted in economic fear. On the show today: How the election of former President Obama spurred a white racist backlash, why economic fear is entangled with xenophobia and the media’s role in all of it. Plus, is the media ready to cover the 2024 elections? (Spoiler: It’s not). Later, we'll explain how Russia's decision to pull back from a wartime agreement on grain exports will hurt countries that suffer from food insecurity. And, why the Joe Biden administration's plan to restrict investment in Chinese tech could get a bit messy. Then, a listener tells us how their home state is dealing with flighty insurers. And, economist Peter Atwater shares that he was wrong about what it really means to have confidence. Here’s everything we talked about today: “The ‘American Whitelash' Is Far From Over” from Politico “Support for the Black Lives Matter Movement Has Dropped Considerably From Its Peak in 2020” from Pew Research Center “Trump's history of inciting violence in words and tweets: A timeline from 2015 through the Capitol attack” from Vox “Why allowing Ukraine to ship grain during Russia’s war matters to the world” from AP News “US Plans Narrow China Tech Investment Limits, Likely by 2024” from Bloomberg We want to hear your answer to the Make Me Smart question. You can reach us at makemesmart@marketplace.org or leave us a voicemail at 508-U-B-SMART.
The 2024 presidential campaign is already well underway, but today we’re going to take a step back and examine the connection between Barack Obama’s presidency and the rise of white racial violence. It’s what Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist Wesley Lowery calls the “American Whitelash” (also the title of his new book), which to some extent is rooted in economic fear. On the show today: How the election of former President Obama spurred a white racist backlash, why economic fear is entangled with xenophobia and the media’s role in all of it. Plus, is the media ready to cover the 2024 elections? (Spoiler: It’s not). Later, we'll explain how Russia's decision to pull back from a wartime agreement on grain exports will hurt countries that suffer from food insecurity. And, why the Joe Biden administration's plan to restrict investment in Chinese tech could get a bit messy. Then, a listener tells us how their home state is dealing with flighty insurers. And, economist Peter Atwater shares that he was wrong about what it really means to have confidence. Here’s everything we talked about today: “The ‘American Whitelash' Is Far From Over” from Politico “Support for the Black Lives Matter Movement Has Dropped Considerably From Its Peak in 2020” from Pew Research Center “Trump's history of inciting violence in words and tweets: A timeline from 2015 through the Capitol attack” from Vox “Why allowing Ukraine to ship grain during Russia’s war matters to the world” from AP News “US Plans Narrow China Tech Investment Limits, Likely by 2024” from Bloomberg We want to hear your answer to the Make Me Smart question. You can reach us at makemesmart@marketplace.org or leave us a voicemail at 508-U-B-SMART.
"Behavioral Finance" is all the rage. BeFi (as the not-so-cool kids in the financial world call it) is the next phase in guiding individuals, teams, boards, companies, and leaders to better decision-making. There is plenty of material telling us where people get it wrong. Even the best brains get deceived by a litany of behavioral biases. These biases cause people to fall off the track of economic rationality. However, even with all of these labels, there is little guidance on how to identify and use this context. Until now . . . PETER ATWATER argues in his new book "THE CONFIDENCE MAP" that there is a straight forward mental model. https://www.amazon.com/Confidence-Map-Charting-Chaos-Clarity/dp/0593539559/ It can diagnose an individual's emotion and confidence, its directionality and its relationship to group and social mood. Further, Peter asserts that people (and their advisors) can use this information to pull decision-makers out of the own limitations of their own silos. People will be able to recognize what is occurring in their surroundings, mitigate risk and maximize opportunity. We'll discuss Peter's findings, the mental model he's developed and, finally, the process of writing the book. Outline Quick background- The Confidence Map- central tenet of the book The context of one's place on the confidence map has as much to do with the decision making process as data and logic. Rationale behind the book - what was the problem that you were seeing? What was your research showing? Examples Johnson and Johnson Tylenol Case Boeing 737 Dreamliner Bud Light Defining the axis- Toggling between "Certainty and Control" Toggling between "Confidence and vulnerability" (not price! Are humans innumerate?) Mapping human confidence (and using it in a forward looking manner) Individuals and recognizing their own position in the chart Leaders looking at group confidence and mood "at scale" to mark strategic shifts Collective mood vs individual mood Defining the group (which group is the individual following) Recognizing where one is on the map personally vs the group vs the masses Augmenting "behavioral finance" Behavioral economics tries to give us the tools and bias catalogues of where human beings fall off the train of rationality How do we think about the confidence map to help people predict (and avoid) their own frailties - especially around big decisions? What is the "equipment" you need to use these tools effectively to help me to understand their decision contexts and make better decisions (potentially in times of maximum stress)? Is there a danger that this is giving a loaded gun to the financial services industrial complex? What was the book writing process like? Turning a box of ornaments into a Christmas Tree Using a Coach What were the struggles? How do we stay in touch? https://peteratwater.com/ Linkedin: Peter AtwaterTwitter: @peter_atwater Amazon: THE CONFIDENCE MAP https://www.amazon.com/Wealth-Actually-Intelligent-Decision-Making-1-ebook/dp/B07FPQJJQT/
My returning guest in this edition of The Grant Williams Podcast is my friend Peter Atwater, Founder of Financial Insyghts and Adjunct Professor at the College of William & Mary. Peter's stellar work on the importance of mood and confidence has long been an important touchpoint for me when evaluating market conditions and likely paths ahead - never more so than this week. Given recent events, I wanted to try and add something to a conversation that has become noisier by the day. There are plenty of opinions and perspectives flying around (to which I'll add my own in this weekend's Things That Make You Go Hmmm…) and so it felt as though a conversation with Peter about the effect the twin collapses of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank this week are likely to have on public mood was a better contribution than debating the fast-moving details of what's happening. Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com. Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… Gold Tier subscribers have access to my new series of in-depth video conversations, About Time.
Bloomberg News Wall Street Reporter Sonali Basak and Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Global Banks Analyst Alison Williams discuss the selloff in global banks. Former FDIC Chair Bill Issac, Chairman of Secura/Isaac, shares his thoughts on the responsibility of regulators for the Silicon Valley Bank meltdown. Katie Thomas, Lead at the Kearney Consumer Institute, breaks down February retail sales and health of the consumer. Peter Atwater, Adjunct Professor of Economics at William & Mary, discusses current market and economic turmoil. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Bloomberg News US Economy Reporter Chris Condon the Businessweek Magazine story The SVB Collapse Threatens an Already Fragile Economy. And we Drive to the Close with Phil Toews, CEO at Toews Asset Management. Hosts: Carol Massar and Jess Menton. Producer: Paul Brennan. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Bloomberg News Wall Street Reporter Sonali Basak and Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Global Banks Analyst Alison Williams discuss the selloff in global banks. Former FDIC Chair Bill Issac, Chairman of Secura/Isaac, shares his thoughts on the responsibility of regulators for the Silicon Valley Bank meltdown. Katie Thomas, Lead at the Kearney Consumer Institute, breaks down February retail sales and health of the consumer. Peter Atwater, Adjunct Professor of Economics at William & Mary, discusses current market and economic turmoil. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Bloomberg News US Economy Reporter Chris Condon the Businessweek Magazine story The SVB Collapse Threatens an Already Fragile Economy. And we Drive to the Close with Phil Toews, CEO at Toews Asset Management. Hosts: Carol Massar and Jess Menton. Producer: Paul Brennan. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Ed Price, Principal for Geopolitical Forecasting at Ergo, previews the geopolitical risks to markets in 2023. Stephanie Kelton, Professor of economics and public policy at Stony Brook University, discusses what she expects from the Fed next year. Peter Atwater, Adjunct Professor of Economics at William & Mary shares his thoughts on the Global Economy. David Bahnsen, Chief Investment Officer at The Bahnsen Group talks about the Santa Claus rally that finally came. Hosts: Carol Massar, Tim Stenovec and Romaine Bostick.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Ed Price, Principal for Geopolitical Forecasting at Ergo, previews the geopolitical risks to markets in 2023. Stephanie Kelton, Professor of economics and public policy at Stony Brook University, discusses what she expects from the Fed next year. Peter Atwater, Adjunct Professor of Economics at William & Mary shares his thoughts on the Global Economy. David Bahnsen, Chief Investment Officer at The Bahnsen Group talks about the Santa Claus rally that finally came. Hosts: Carol Massar, Tim Stenovec and Romaine Bostick.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
While we often focus on the hard numbers & data when analyzing the economy & financial markets, we have to remember that these systems are ultimately driven by humans. Which means price behavior is a function of behavioral factors like sentiment and confidence. Today, we're fortunate to speak with Peter Atwater, adjunct professor of economics at William & Mary College. Peter is a top expert in how changes in confidence consistently and predictably impact investor preferences, decisions and actions. In this video he shares what his key confidence indicators are telling him about the prospects for 2023. ************************************************* At Wealthion, we show you how to protect and build your wealth by learning from the world's top experts on finance and money. Each week we add new videos that provide you with access to the foremost specialists in investing, economics, the stock market, real estate and personal finance. We offer exceptional interviews and explainer videos that dive deep into the trends driving today's markets, the economy, and your own net worth. We give you strategies for financial security, practical answers to questions like “how to grow my investments?”, and effective solutions for wealth building tailored to 'regular' investors just like you. There's no doubt that it's a very challenging time right now for the average investor. Above and beyond the recent economic impacts of COVID, the new era of record low interest rates, runaway US debt and US deficits, and trillions of dollars in monetary and fiscal stimulus stimulus has changed the rules of investing by dangerously distorting the Dow index, the S&P 500, and nearly all other asset prices. Can prices keep rising, or is there a painful reckoning ahead? Let us help you prepare your portfolio just in case the future brings one or more of the following: inflation, deflation, a bull market, a bear market, a market correction, a stock market crash, a real estate bubble, a real estate crash, an economic boom, a recession, a depression, or another global financial crisis. Put the wisdom from the money & markets experts we feature on Wealthion into action by scheduling a free consultation with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors, who will work with you to determine the right next steps for you to take in building your wealth. SCHEDULE YOUR FREE WEALTH CONSULTATION with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors here: https://www.wealthion.com/ Subscribe to our YouTube channel https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKMeK-HGHfUFFArZ91rzv5A?sub_confirmation=1 Follow Adam on Twitter https://twitter.com/menlobear Follow us on Facebook https://www.facebook.com/Wealthion-109680281218040 ************************************************* IMPORTANT NOTE: The information and opinions offered in this video by Wealthion or its interview guests are for educational purposes ONLY and should NOT be construed as personal financial advice. We strongly recommend that any potential decisions and actions you may take in your investment portfolio be conducted under the guidance and supervision of a quality professional financial advisor in good standing with the securities industry. When it comes to investing, past performance is no guarantee of future results. Any historical returns, expected returns, or probability projections may not reflect actual future performance. All investments involve risk and may result in partial or total loss.
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In today's episode, Peter Atwater, author and adjunct professor of Economics at William & Mary, joins us to discuss socionomics and why media is a great mirror of mood, how confidence in Central Banks relates to the level of interest rates, “stacked vulnerability” and how it runs the potential of creating exhaustion, inequality and the battle between the top and the bottom of society. We also discuss how the current inflation creates false expectations and why we might see a violent move in market prices, how deglobalization is a consequence of a change in social mood, ways to implement a more confidence driven decision making investment strategy and much more. ---- ---- Follow Niels on https://twitter.com/toptraderslive (Twitter), https://www.linkedin.com/in/nielskaastruplarsen (LinkedIn), https://www.youtube.com/user/toptraderslive (YouTube) or via the https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/ (TTU website). IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/Ultimate (here). And you can get a free copy of my latest book “The Many Flavors of Trend Following” https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/flavor (here). Learn more about the Trend Barometer https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/market-trends/ (here). Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/reviewttu (iTunes) or https://open.spotify.com/show/2OnOvLbIV3AttbFLxuoaBW (Spotify) so more people can discover the podcast. Follow Cem on https://twitter.com/jam_croissant (Twitter). Follow Peter on https://twitter.com/peter_atwater (Twitter). Episode TimeStamps: 00:00 - Intro 03:05 - Peter's background 05:36 - Why socionomics is important to understand and follow 14:27 - How to determine the Confidence in Central Banks 17:26 - Accumulated exhaustion, what this means 25:35 - Crypto - a betrayal? 37:55 - Expected and Un-Expected Inflation - a sign of Scarcity 46:01 - A potential massive market Cycle Top? 51:33 - Heading towards deglobalization 01:02:54 - Global Fragmentation 01:12:24 - Confident decision making 01:16:21 - Thanks for listening Copyright © 2022 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved ---- PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey: 1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/ebooks/ (Click Here) 2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score One of the things I'm really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/market-trends/ (Click Here) 3. Other Resources that can help you And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/ (Click Here) https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/legal/privacy-policy/ (Privacy Policy) https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/disclaimer/ (Disclaimer)
Macro analyst Stephanie Pomboy interviews economist, hedge funder and professor Peter Atwater return for Part 2 of this interview where they share their outlook for what lies ahead for the financial markets and the economy. If, as they predict, the asset price bubbles created by the Federal Reserve in stocks, bonds, real estate/home prices, cryptos and the jobs market burst, a tremendous amount of consumer "wealth" will disappear. See the YouTube Video for the charts and graphics: https://youtu.be/_iV-nTQigOI
Peter Atwater, Adjunct Professor of Economics at William & Mary, discusses how market turmoil is impacting the K-Shaped Recovery. Bloomberg News Finance Team Leader Sally Bakewell reports on JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon saying the U.S. economy remains strong, and potential obstacles to growth are not set in stone. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Businessweek Features Writer Ashlee Vance share the details of Ashlee's Businessweek Magazine story Thrill of Better Office Wi-Fi Draws Attention to Startup's Pitch. Bloomberg News Deals Team Leader Liana Baker breaks down news that Broadcom is in talks to buy VMware. And we Drive to the Close with Michael Sheldon, Chief Investment Officer at Hightower RDM Financial Group. Hosts: Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. Producer: Paul Brennan. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Peter Atwater, Adjunct Professor of Economics at William & Mary, discusses how market turmoil is impacting the K-Shaped Recovery. Bloomberg News Finance Team Leader Sally Bakewell reports on JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon saying the U.S. economy remains strong, and potential obstacles to growth are not set in stone. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Businessweek Features Writer Ashlee Vance share the details of Ashlee's Businessweek Magazine story Thrill of Better Office Wi-Fi Draws Attention to Startup's Pitch. Bloomberg News Deals Team Leader Liana Baker breaks down news that Broadcom is in talks to buy VMware. And we Drive to the Close with Michael Sheldon, Chief Investment Officer at Hightower RDM Financial Group. Hosts: Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. Producer: Paul Brennan. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Recorded May 4, 2022 Donate generously to World Central Kitchen ➡️ https://donate.wck.org/fundraiser/3816260 Listeners have been asking how they can show their appreciation for the talks George is hosting. Top of mind right now are the millions suffering as a result of the tragedy in Ukraine. World Central Kitchen has joined the fight to provide humanitarian aid to those in need of fresh food and meals within Ukraine and in bordering countries. Please donate generously to World Central Kitchen on behalf of NO BULL - Market Talk with George Noble™️. Peter Atwater: Twitter and peteratwater.com Follow George Noble on Twitter and Youtube
Have you heard of the term 'k-shaped recovery'? Well, Peter was the one that immortalized that term to describe the post pandemic shutdown economic recovery.Peter has a long history of being involved with the financial markets but changed his focus after the 2008 financial crisis and became a professor. His research focuses on confidence. Peter is an expert in how changes in confidence consistently and predictably impact our preferences, decisions and actions.Please note that this was recorded in the late fall of 2021.
Peter shares with us his life experiences as they relate to a minimalist lifestyle. When you live as a minimalist, you strive to only use things that serve a purpose. It's about living simply and having only what you need to go about your daily life. We explore topics such a needs vs. wants, decluttering, and frugality. He also shares some great decision making advice. #financialdads #needsvswants #frugality #minimalistlifestyle
Peter Atwater, the consultant and finance professor who coined the phrase “K-shaped recovery” to describe the rebound from the 2020 recession, joined the “What Goes Up” podcast to discuss how a wide disparity in consumer confidence could affect the economy and markets. One thing that's caught his eye lately: A troubling move out of stock-market investing and into online gambling among young people. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Dr. Peter Antall, Chief Medical Officer at Brightline, shares his thoughts on vaccinating children against Covid. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Bloomberg News Editor-in-Chief Emeritus Matt Winkler discuss why Rivian, a company with no sales, is worth $150 billion. Peter Atwater, Adjunct Professor of Economics at William & Mary, discusses the economic vulnerability Americans are experiencing. And We Drive to the Close with Alan Zafran, Co-CEO at IEQ Capital. Hosts: Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. Producer: Paul Brennan. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Dr. Peter Antall, Chief Medical Officer at Brightline, shares his thoughts on vaccinating children against Covid. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Bloomberg News Editor-in-Chief Emeritus Matt Winkler discuss why Rivian, a company with no sales, is worth $150 billion. Peter Atwater, Adjunct Professor of Economics at William & Mary, discusses the economic vulnerability Americans are experiencing. And We Drive to the Close with Alan Zafran, Co-CEO at IEQ Capital. Hosts: Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. Producer: Paul Brennan. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
This week, hosts Tim Bohen and Kim Ann Curtin welcome special guest Peter Atwater. He's the president of Financial Insights and an adjunct professor at William & Mary and the University of Delaware. Peter Atwater's also the author of the book "Moods and Markets: A New Way to Invest in Good Times and in Bad." But he's most passionate about socionomy. The word has Kim tongue-tied. Socionomy focuses on the interplay between social moods, cultural and political movements, and the markets. So to break it down … Can you find the opportunity in a crowded room? Do you leave before the party's over? How we behave in real life is often the same as how we trade online. The key is timing. It helps when you can read the room. Peter Atwater will teach you how in this week's episode.
Socionomist, professor, and author Peter Atwater joins Kim and Lucas to discuss his book ‘Moods and Markets: A New Way to Invest in Good Times and in Bad'. He also offers his approach to trading and investing in the current market, crypto, and much more. The post Episode 30: Understanding the Moods of the Market with Peter Atwater appeared first on The Wall Street Coach.
Socionomist, professor, and author Peter Atwater joins Kim and Lucas to discuss his book ‘Moods and Markets: A New Way to Invest in Good Times and in Bad'. He also offers his approach to trading and investing in the current market, crypto, and much more. Prefer video? Watch the full episode below: Peter Atwater: […] The post Episode 30: Understanding the Moods of the Market with Peter Atwater appeared first on The Wall Street Coach.
Socionomist, professor, and author Peter Atwater joins Kim and Lucas to discuss his book 'Moods and Markets: A New Way to Invest in Good Times and in Bad'. He also offers his approach to trading and investing in the current market, crypto, and much more. Peter Atwater: HOME Tweets by Peter_Atwater Resources: Moods and Markets: Or watch the full episode below: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U02BxfQKuQc Learn more about The Wall Street Coach and sign up for The Wall Street Coach Newsletter: HOME NEW Get in touch with The Wall Street Coach: Contact Form Kim's book – Transforming Wall Street: Home Kim Ann Curtin – @kimanncurtin on Twitter Lucas Peterson – @fliptherook on Twitter
Alyssa Rapp, CEO of Surgical Solutions, provides a coronavirus and vaccine update. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Bloomberg News German Business Reporter Stefan Nicola talk about the story “Tesla Needs to Crack Europe's $360 Billion Corporate Car Market.” Peter Atwater, Adjunct Professor of Economics at William & Mary, discusses the outlook for a K-shaped economic recovery and government stimulus. And we Drive to the Close with Saira Malik, Chief Investment Officer of Global Equities at Nuveen. Hosts: Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. Producer: Doni Holloway. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Alyssa Rapp, CEO of Surgical Solutions, provides a coronavirus and vaccine update. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Bloomberg News German Business Reporter Stefan Nicola talk about the story “Tesla Needs to Crack Europe’s $360 Billion Corporate Car Market.” Peter Atwater, Adjunct Professor of Economics at William & Mary, discusses the outlook for a K-shaped economic recovery and government stimulus. And we Drive to the Close with Saira Malik, Chief Investment Officer of Global Equities at Nuveen. Hosts: Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. Producer: Doni Holloway.
Stephanie and Grant Welcome Peter Atwater, the brains behind Financial Insyghts to the Super Terrific Happy Hour for a discussion about mood and markets. The three discuss how the stock market's blistering rise has been fueled by sentiment, the places Peter sees potential trouble brewing and the dangers of complacency amidst today's euphoria. In addition Stephanie takes a look at everybody's favourite subject - the dollar - and ponders what the strange action of the world's reserve currency in recent months may portend. Don't forget to visit www.grant-williams.com to find out more about how to access future episodes of The Grant Williams Podcast after February 1st.
There are very few truly unique thinkers in the world and almost none of them regularly train their gaze on Wall Street. Peter Atwater is one of those rare few. Whenever a major news story hits the tape, it's Peter's opinion I look to to begin to understand what it means for markets and the world because of the grounded and clear-headed insight he brings to the table. Three years ago, on this show he accurately forecasted the current "backlash era" we now find ourselves in. In this episode, he discusses where we stand in this process today. Peter also postulates how companies and markets might fare amidst the coming "age of screwtiny." For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.
Dr. Peter Alperin, Vice President at Doximity, discusses the state of the coronavirus and wildfires in the San Francisco Bay area. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Bloomberg News Financial Investigations Reporter Caleb Melby walk through the story “A Virginia City’s Playbook for Urban Renewal: Move Out the Poor.” We get Businessweek Economics with Peter Atwater, Professor of Economics at William & Mary. He talks about a K-shaped recovery and "The End of The Age of Illusion.” And we Drive to the Close with Lincoln Ellis, Senior Investment Strategist at Northern Trust. Hosts: Carol Massar and Jason Kelly. Producer: Doni Holloway.
Dr. Peter Alperin, Vice President at Doximity, discusses the state of the coronavirus and wildfires in the San Francisco Bay area. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Bloomberg News Financial Investigations Reporter Caleb Melby walk through the story “A Virginia City's Playbook for Urban Renewal: Move Out the Poor.” We get Businessweek Economics with Peter Atwater, Professor of Economics at William & Mary. He talks about a K-shaped recovery and "The End of The Age of Illusion.” And we Drive to the Close with Lincoln Ellis, Senior Investment Strategist at Northern Trust. Hosts: Carol Massar and Jason Kelly. Producer: Doni Holloway. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Hosted by Carol Massar and Jason Kelly. Featuring a conversation with Peter Atwater Adjunct Professor of Economics at William & Mary, on the theory of K shaped recovery for the U.S. economy
Hosted by Carol Massar and Jason Kelly. Featuring a conversation with Peter Atwater Adjunct Professor of Economics at William & Mary, on the theory of K shaped recovery for the U.S. economy Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Dr. Tanjala Purnell, Associate Director of the Johns Hopkins Urban Health Institute, explains how Covid-19 has illuminated the reality of health disparities. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Bloomberg News Technology Reporter Jason Schreier discuss how Activision, Nintendo, and Electronic Arts are blowing up amid the pandemic but lingering issues about female gamers and exploited workers remain. Peter Atwater, Adjunct Professor of Economics at William & Mary, on his theory of K shaped recovery for the U.S. economy. And we Drive to the Close with Eric Clark, Portfolio Manager at Rational Dynamic Brands Fund. Hosts: Carol Massar and Jason Kelly. Producer: Paul Brennan Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Dr. Tanjala Purnell, Associate Director of the Johns Hopkins Urban Health Institute, explains how Covid-19 has illuminated the reality of health disparities. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Bloomberg News Technology Reporter Jason Schreier discuss how Activision, Nintendo, and Electronic Arts are blowing up amid the pandemic but lingering issues about female gamers and exploited workers remain. Peter Atwater, Adjunct Professor of Economics at William & Mary, on his theory of K shaped recovery for the U.S. economy. And we Drive to the Close with Eric Clark, Portfolio Manager at Rational Dynamic Brands Fund. Hosts: Carol Massar and Jason Kelly. Producer: Paul Brennan
Peter Atwater rounds out The 2020 Hmmminar Series with a fascinating look at the importance of mood and confidence as the foundations of, not only asset markets, but the entire social construct and outlines how understanding this can help investors make better decisions.
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Jelly Donut Podcast #23 was recorded on March 20, 2020. Peter Atwater is the president of Financial Insyghts and an adjunct professor in the Economics Department at William & Mary. He is a pioneer in the field of confidence-driven decision-making, studying how and why our confidence level naturally determines consumer preferences, decisions and actions. Called "a favorite source" by Rana Foroohar of the Financial Times, Peter's work has influenced the thinking of professional investors, business leaders and global policymakers. www.peteratwater.com http://financial-insyghts.com/ https://twitter.com/Peter_Atwater --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/jellydonutpodcast/support
Peter Atwater is a researcher, speaker, writer, university professor, President of Financial Insyghts LLC, and an expert in the psychology of confidence. Specific to this episode, he is an expert on how your brain changes when you lose confidence. Everyone is familiar with the […] The post Peter Atwater on Effective Conversations with Underconfident Clients appeared first on Becoming Referable.
Peter Atwater joins us in our 13th installment of In The Arena. Peter is the President of Financial Insyghts and author of the book Moods and Markets. He writes and speaks extensively about how changes in confidence affect our investing preferences, decisions and actions.
Peter Atwater is a man who is fascinated by why people do what they do. His iterative and impressive path in the financial world eventually led him to studying confidence, specifically the role confidence plays in the choices that we make and the behavioral parallels that cross politics, social action and the markets – presently and historically. By looking at these these factors, Peter has been able to predict much of what’s going on in our society today – from business, financial, political and personal perspectives. In this Elevate with Robert Glazer episode, you’ll hear Robert and Peter discuss some very interesting topics, including why Peter looks at books, music, architecture and food when researching confidence-levels and how we’re experiencing a 1960’s-esque “rhyme” today. Tune in to this Elevate with Robert Glazer episode with Peter Atwater to learn: What happens in our minds when confidence falls What the “me-here-now” concept is, how it affects our decision-making and why companies need to understand this How architecture gives us a peek into extreme peaks and valleys of confidence What Peter sees on the horizon for companies of the future Peter’s predictions for political and business environments, social media and global warming
On What'd You Miss This Week, Joe Weisenthal, Scarlet Fu and Julia Chatterley talked with Peter Atwater, President at Financial Insights, about why President Trump's favorite metric of success is actually hurting his approval ratings. Peter discussed why when it comes to the President's base, there is an inverse relationship between the stock market and his poll numbers. Alex Tabarrok, Economics Chair at George Mason University's Mercatus Center, also came on to discuss his surprising research about regulation and economic dynamism. He set out to ask "Is Regulation to Blame for the Decline in American Entrepreneurship?" and ended up making the Libertarian's case for big government. Then Erik Nielsen, Chief Economist at UniCredit, joined to recap a busy week for geopolitics and the global economy. Erik talked through the evolution of the West's sanctions on Russia, the war in China that he (and the rest of Europe) wished President Trump would fight and what he loved about Jay Powell's first news conference.
Will the Facebook-Cambridge Analytica fracas actually turn the tide of public opinion against the social media giant? Jesse Felder of The Felder Report and Peter Atwater of Financial Insyghts join to discuss. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant Williams and Alex Rosenberg trade Jerome Powell, scientific research and predictive coffee-based drinks. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
On this episode of Outperform, you’ll hear Bob Glazer and Financial Insyghts founder, Peter Atwater, discuss some fascinating topics, including why Peter looks at books, music, architecture and food when researching confidence-levels in the markets and why he recommends that you should buy Adele and sell Pharrell. Show Notes Tune in to this Outperform podcast episode with Peter Atwater to learn: What happens in our minds when confidence falls What the “me-here-now” concept is, how it affects our decision-making and why companies need to understand this How architecture gives us a peek into extreme peaks and valleys of confidence What Peter sees on the horizon for companies of the future Peter’s predictions for political and business environments, social media and global warming Key traits businesses will need to have to survive and outperform in future business environments Hear more Outperform podcast episodes at http://www.accelerationpartners.com/resource-center/our-podcasts/.
Peter Atwater (Financial Insyghts) and Ben Hunt (Salient) are masters of how to measure confidence in both the economy and in markets. In conversation with Grant Williams, they break down their methods, and share some surprising insights about where we stand right now. Peter Atwater explains how “hubris” led him astray in the aftermath of the financial crisis. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Peter Atwater was pioneer in securitization and has served in important leadership roles at some of the largest financial institutions on the planet. Today, he writes and speaks extensively about how changes in confidence affect our preferences, decisions and actions. In this episode we discuss how he discovered socionomics, what about it appealed to him and how it shapes his views on the markets and more. For links and notes related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com/podcast.
How can you tell whether people in any given country are happy or not? That's the topic we wrestle with on the latest edition of the Odd Lots podcast. First we talk to Peter Atwater of the firm Financial Insyghts about the growing signs that a significant swathe of the population is depressed and how that's showing up in markets, the culture and of course the election. Then we speak to Bloomberg Intelligence economist Carl Ricadonna about the so-called Misery Index, a super simple way of measuring the economy that has a surprisingly good track record for predicting Presidential results. We talk about the history of this indicator, and what it's telling us ahead of the November vote.
World Policy Institute — On today’s podcast, Peter Atwater returns to World Policy On Air to explain how lacking confidence in the Greek economy among Greeks and EU member states will make a “Grexit” from the eurozone a self-fulfilling prophecy.
World Policy Institute — Does a victory for Greece's leftist Syriza party mean a "Grexit" from the eurozone? Host David Alpern speaks with Peter Atwater about his recent post for the World Policy blog, "The Syriza Triumph," and what this says about confidence in the EU.