Podcasts about james is

Patrick explains the traditions of Ash Wednesday, from the origins of the ashes to the spiritual discipline of fasting and abstinence. He underscores the power of our public witness during this sacred time, encouraging the faithful to carry their ashes with pride. As we embark upon this Lenten journey, Patrick provides valuable insights into the practices that not only define our Faith but also draw us closer to the divine. Join Patrick as he inspires and illuminates, helping us prepare for a season of reflection and renewal. Here's to a Lenten journey filled with faith, growth, and spiritual health! Delia - I attend a senior day care and they will have a dance for St. Valentine's Day. Is it okay for me to dance on Ash Wednesday? Grace - Can a catholic go to a protestant Ash Wednesday service? (04:22) Rae - If a priest healed me from laying on hands, should I report that to someone specific? James - Is it customary to wear ashes throughout the day or should we remove them after the service? (13:35) Dennis (email) – Should those not required to fast still fast? (22:21) John (email) – Wasn't Elijah assumed into heaven without dying? Daniel - What should we do for fasting if we are over the age of 59? (27:56) Chris - My wife and I recently lost a pregnancy over the holidays and have been struggling. What is the Catholic belief on the soul of a miscarried child? Greg - My boss has a daughter getting married outside of the church. Can I go to her wedding? Sandy – Is “once saved always saved” true? Eleanor - Is it okay to have a party the night before Easter? Shanda - I was told that the Ashes used are the blessed palms from last Palm Sunday. Is that true?

Top headlines for Dec. 14, 2023:Hollywood community questions Charleston Co. Sheriff's Office after deputy assaultLowcountry law enforcement agencies kick off ‘Sober or Slammer' CampaignBerkeley Co. Sheriff's Office launches new mobile app80-ton gate replacement to improve water flow at Santee CooperFormer teacher arrested after sending nude photo to Moncks Corner studentBeaufort Co. authorities arrest 2 on gun chargesCharleston Co. School District approves expansion at 2 James Is. schools

I have teamed up with Health Waterford for 6 weeks to show case the abundance of local fresh and organic producers in the county of Waterford which is so important to support not only for your health but also for the environment. This is week 3 of 6 where you listen to small business owners who have high quality food items and the story about how they got started and it great to get their story out their too more people. James Is an organic Dairy farmer who is based in Ballyduff upper and tell us how he is on conversion and what was the light bulb moment that made him go Organic. Saving 40k from fertilizer was defo one of them. So if you like the show dnt for get to tag me in your stories on social media and we start getting more & more people on the good stuff. Hope you enjoyed the show as much as I did recording it. Check out coolydoodyfarm for updates on future plans and activities on the farm on insta coolydoodyfarm Colman

Top headlines for July 27, 2023:James Is. hit-and-run victim's family calls for additional resourcesSearch ends for body of infant swept away by flood that killed sister, mother, 4 othersMobile home destroyed in Colleton County fireLowcountry Period Pixies celebrate 2 grants serving period povertySC pays inmate $100K after 2018 prison attack lawsuitMake-A-Wish South Carolina surprises 9-year-old with dream tripLadson boy receives special message from idol Gordon RamsayDUI trends in 2023: Lowcountry sees over 400 alcohol-related crashesRoad nicknamed ‘Dorchester Raceway' raising safety concerns for residents

Top headlines for July 7, 2023:Man who led authorities on four-day S.C. manhunt escapes Pa. prisonVigil held for victims of Green Pond stabbing, house fire‘It's evil what someone has done': Pleas for info on James Is. woman hurt on road8 puppies found abandoned behind store almost ready for adoption, shelter saysNew Charleston Co. Schools superintendent says he's ready to listen, learnColleton Co. interim superintendent discusses plans for upcoming school yearCharleston Co. libraries awarded grant to help adults build online skills‘Wherever the need is most': Biden says economic policies help everyone

On today's show: 1. ‘It's evil what someone has done': Pleas for info on woman hurt on James Is. road - https://www.live5news.com/2023/07/06/its-evil-what-someone-has-done-pleas-info-woman-hurt-james-is-road/ 2. Biden makes his economic case in deep-red South Carolina, says his policies add jobs in GOP states - https://apnews.com/article/biden-south-carolina-inflation-reduction-act-solar-34dfcc27ed387d1b422a05c0590551e7 3. Four golf cart incidents in four days in the Charleston area https://www.counton2.com/news/four-golf-cart-incidents-in-four-days-in-the-charleston-area/ 4. Editorial: SC Freedom Caucus' school win is worrisome — if officials believe it is - https://www.postandcourier.com/opinion/editorials/editorial-sc-freedom-caucus-school-win-is-worrisome-if-officials-believe-it-is/article_bd3dcbd4-146a-11ee-8869-47ed74b926f9.html 5. America's Family Secret - https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/usa-slavery-lawmakers/ This episode's music is by Tyler Boone (tylerboonemusic.com). Theepisode was produced by LMC Soundsystem.

James Is a little down... December JLJ Events Friday Dec 16th- 5pmPST-JLJ Happy Hour ($10) Saturday Dec 17th- 12noonPST-Private Soap Zoom Chat #4 ($20) January JLJ Events Sunday Jan 1st- 12noonPST-JLJ & Flobo's NEW YEAR NEW YOU ($25) Saturday Jan 7th- 12noonPST-How TO Feel Comfortable On Live Videos ($20) Friday Jan 13th- 5pmPST-JLJ Happy Hour ($10) Saturday Jan 21st-12noonPST-Private Soap Zoom Chat #5 ($15) February JLJ Events Saturday Feb 4th- 12noonPST-How to Promote Yourself The JLJ Way ($20) Tuesday Feb 14th- 6pmPST-JLJ/Flobo's Aquarius/Valentine's Day Zoom Party ($20) Saturday Feb 25th-12noonPST-Private Soap Zoom Chat #6 ($15) 4 ways to pay: Venmo- james-lott-7 PayPal- blakhope9@aol.com Zelle- jharrisonlott@gmail.com CashAPP- $blakhopela SIGN UP NOW! GET YOUR SPOT!

Patrick answers listener questions about the earth being flat, is a marriage valid if they lie about being open to life, if it's possible to sell your soul to the devil, and he gives his thoughts on if 12-year-olds should be dating Denise - My sister in law told me that the world is flat; she is Catholic. What should I do about this? Amy (09:05)  - Is a Catholic Marriage valid if they lie about being open to life? Jason - I am in favor of Flat earth based on bible texts. John – Can someone sell their soul to the devil? Rachel (28:54) - How can someone live in a marriage with a narcissistic spouse? Patrick recommends https://marysadvocates.org/ for marital advice and help Evangeline - What should I tell my grandson who has a girlfriend at 12-years-old? Mary - My sister is generous with her time and money with my mom, but is living a sinful life. Will she inherit the promises in Sirach? James – Is there a revised version of the Confessions of St. Augustine that is easier to understand?

Patrick answers listener questions about The Church Fathers, Guardian Angels, and scrupulosity, Mary – If Walmart is supporting abortions and paying for travel, should we still shop there? James - Is there a book called 'The Church Fathers?' Patrick recommends “When the Church was Young” by Marcellino D'Ambrosio and “The Four Witnesses” by Rod Bennett Anita - Question about talking the Lord's name in vain and then being sorry. Is that still mortal sin? Eileen - Can you ask your guardian angel to talk to other guardian angels? What happens to them after we pass away? Kristina - As a caregiver, I meditate on sorrowful mysteries and it helped me to be a better caregiver to my parents Barbara - I am scrupulous and want to know how sinful that is?

We are going thru a family crisis. James Is talking about his feelings!

Sure this can be argued that this is a holiday movie, but I'm releasing it early because 1) I couldn't wait to share this one, and 2) I don't have room on my hard drive to retain it until November. James Richardson is my best friend's younger brother, and probably grew up quicker than I did!He runs outreach and missionary care in a church in Omaha, Nebraska. He shares a little bit about his mission work in Mexico City. About Hook, I ask which is better? Hook or Pirates of the Caribbean? We pretty much decide that the sets in Hook alone elevate it over the more recent pirate franchise. How cool is it that this movie morphs over time, like how as kids we relate to Jack and now as adults and parents we associate more closely to Robin Williams' character as Peter Banning. And not only did we all grow up to become Peter Banning, but like our own parents. We spend some time reminiscing about old days and our perceptions of each other, and how a lack of communication led to a lot of missed opportunities. We discuss how a lot of children don't have dads that go off and find themselves in Neverland, and how children and their parents can reconcile. How traumatic was the kidnapping scene? I think it might have scared me more than it did him.And what the heck caused Peter Pan to grow up to be an alcoholic father? It makes sense that people want to chase away the passage of time by drinking away the idea of aging. Who's the real antagonist in this movie? Peter? Hook? Or is there something else at play here? And speaking of villains, what's with that stupid taxidermic crocodile?? And what about when we as parents become our kids' bad guys? How do we deal with that? Peter tells his kids to grow up. Wendy tells them, "No growing up." I ask James who's correct. Has the pendulum swung the other way, where our parents' generation wanted us to grow up, and now as adults, we want to stay young, thus we encourage our kids to not grow up? I ask a very raw, personal, and difficult question of James: Is there any fear that would keep you from saving your kids? His answer is deep and profound and heart-breaking. Mine... is a bit different. Here is the link to the Adam Young podcast I recommend about diving into your trauma to find yourself: The Place We Find OurselvesWe finish off with a few trivia questions about Hook and James shares three other movies he'd want with him if he were stuck on a desert island. Don't forget to rate and review. Here are the socials you can find me on: InstagramFacebookTwitterEmail: Author.andrewtoy@gmail.comThis episode was sponsored by Spur Creative

ItsMarch 1st! James Is excited about life and the possibilty of Old soaps on streaming services!

Hello! I'm excited to share my conversation with one of my dear friends James Little. This episode was recorded the week of Halloween and James attempted to teach me how to do a cute cow makeup look. He looked amazing but I looked pretty nuts haha (you can see for yourself on youtube). James Is an incredible dancer who is currently performing for Todrick Hall. He is Insanely talented and also a wonderful human who has really taken the time to find who he is as a person and what he has to offer this dance world.  Follow James on instagram @jamesglittle to see what he is up to and where he is on to next! ________________________________ The Patreon is officially live! Check it out here https://www.patreon.com/essentiallyhaley Don't forget to create your profile on Arts Wrk using my special link (and then I might get a prize!) and definitly add me as a connection once you have your profile set up! https://artswrk.com/join/HaleyGrove

This week James Is joined by Jonathan (He/Him) one of D&Fs incredible GM team and RPG content creator. Check out their twitter here = https://twitter.com/jrsyson?lang=en RPG content here = https://jaysys.itch.io/ Games Featured in this episode are = Coup, published by Indie Boards & Cards, Designed by Rikki Tahta. Advanced D&D 1981 by Gary Gygax and David Arneson. Azul, published by Plan B Games, Designed by Michael Kiesling Contact LGNOE at @LGNOEpodcast or email us at lastgamesnightonearth@dungeonsandflagons.co.uk Thank you so much for listening!

In this episode of the PNWild podcast, Jeff and Bob are joined by their mentor and dear friend James Cusumano. James Is a very accomplished hunter he's the one who opened jeff and bob up to the world of backcountry hunting and the high buck hunt. James grew up in the heart of Washington state's mule deer country, the Methow Valley. If you enjoy some old stories and listening to a successful hunter give tips and tactics on mule deer you're in for a real treat. www.pnwild.com

We had a great chat with James McGrath in his studio In Sydney, a former textile warehouse,  he shares with his architect wife, Catherine. We spoke to James about his art world upbringing, (his mum Is art critic and author Sandra McGrath), his time spent with Arthur Boyd and baroque painter Patrick Betaudier, his video Installation work and much more. James Is a very generous and candid person who we could have talked to all day about all art matters, let's hope we can catch up again soon and listen to another of James' anecdotes! James Is represented by  Olsen Gallery In Sydney. Take a look at his amazing and varied body of work here. Thanks so much for talking to us James, we so enjoyed meeting you and your wife and taking a tour of your very cool studio. 

James: Hey, audience and listeners. This is James Kandasamy from Achieve Wealth Through Value Add Real Estate Investing Podcast. Today I have Raj Tekchandani from the Boston area. Raj is a co-sponsor/KPGP in 650 units across Georgia, Florida, Kansas City, and Texas. Hey Raj, welcome to the show Raj: Thanks, James. Thank you for having me James:  Good. I'm happy to have you here because I want to talk about technology. You are a technology guy turned into a multifamily investor, right? Raj:  Absolutely, I can speak technology all day long James: Yeah, absolutely. So I want to make sure I give you an opportunity to explain some things that I missed out. So why don't you tell us about your story? How did you get started and how did you end up being a multifamily investor? Raj:  Sure, I will do that. So hi guys, I've been in technology for most of my career, I did Undergrad Computer Science, then I did an MBA in high-tech so purely technology-based and wanted to become the next big company founder. A lot of my jobs were mostly startups but when I realized that I'm sitting on a lot of options and not going anywhere, I said, I need to diversify and started looking into real estate investing that was not until 2012, but that was just a side gig. I still was fully devoted to my job, which was startups and it was in data analytic space and we're building a platform to connect all the data in the world together and put meaning into data, using something called a Data Lake. A lot of formal companies were using our software, financial services, but there was no real estate company using it. But anyway after I finished my five years with that company, my stocks options fully invested. I was like, okay, what is my next startup? And by this time I had started collecting my grants from the little investments I'd done. I had started investing in 2012 in one Condo in Orlando, Florida, and gradually went on to buy more because the prices were very attractive and I could see the prices going up and I said, let me just get in there, so I got in there, fortunately, had a good property manager that helped us take the worries or headache off our head and the cash flow was beautiful. So in about 2016, I said, okay, they need me to see this look and I bought actually a 15 unit multifamily near my house in Boston and I wanted to do more of that because I'd heard, you know, multifamily the whole economy is upscale. So I said, let's get into multifamily and that experience was interesting, to say the least. I had not too much knowledge about the underwritings and how to really look at expenses and that came in as a very expensive learning lesson for me in terms of multifamily. So from there on, I said, this is too much work, I can't do this. I found a good property manager and he quit and then found another one then he quit and it's like, this is too much. So I said, no passive investing is my way to do it, this whole active thing is not my thing and I'm still working full time on my job. So I started nesting passively with some investors. The first time I looked at a passive deal I was like that's too much, there are too many zeros in here, I can't do this but gradually as I understood, I took learning and took all the courses and reading blogs and podcasts and I got comfortable with investing passively and then a couple of passive investments and I was like, this is great, I have my nine condos, I have my fifteen hundred, which has now started giving me cash flow and now has passive investments. Interestingly, it was almost matching up to my startup salary. And I was like the options are great, but what if the options don't mature or do much? So I took a bet and I quit after five years of my job to do real estate full time and that's how I dig more into multifamily. But interestingly at that point, I had this idea of another startup, which didn't go too much far because I wanted to take these learning from data analytics into real estate and now that I'm doing multifamily and doing all this, I'm not seeing too many systems out there. It's still very, laborious jobs, the property management company is a lot of work on paper and even the underwriting was very painful. So I was like, what if there's an automated software machine learning data, whatever we have learned in technology to build that. So I met up with the person at MIT, Jennifer, she had done a Ph.D. in Real Estate Technologies, like Artificial Intelligence Machine Learning for Real Estate. I'm like wow this is a person that I James: Talk to right? Raj: Yeah, so I sat down with her and she went through her thesis with me. In fact, she was nice enough to explain her thesis; there are too many companies out there that are doing what I'm trying to do.  James: So what was the thesis about? Raj: The thesis was the use of machine learning and artificial intelligence in real estate  James: But is it real estate underwriting, or is it real estate analysis or--  Raj: --Real estate analysis  James: Is it for investment or is it-- Raj:  So she actually worked for MITs and Darwin program buying the advisory real estate James: Oh, okay. So they're basically looking at investing Raj: So they're looking at investing so mostly commercial real estate, eventually, from her thesis, she came into that, MITs fund. She was working there at that time. But in her research, she had looked at a lot of technology companies, right? From doing everything from sensitivity analysis to underwriting to figuring out where the locations thesis are, property management companies that are looking to do automation based on the [inaudible06:24] so a lot of machine learning in there. Actually, one of the companies that struck me at that time was in [inaudible06:33], which is what I had been thinking about, sort of how to automate underwriting and how to take all the data that's been sitting in, all these Yardi Matrix and all the places that been collecting data. How can we leverage that to say, okay, well, this is a property that I'm looking at in multifamily, this is the address and boom, we'll go and run into algorithms and come back and say red light, green light, yellow light based on all these factors and in [inaudible 07:02] was doing that, some of that, I talked to the CEO there and start using the platform. So I had some suggestions for them into building other plans and other features on the platform but at that point I said, you know what, I'm more of a user now, and they're not technologists, I want to use these technologies that are out there, I can talk about what features they need, like lease analysis. In one of the deals we went inside in the back and you're looking at 150 leases, one by one, what is matching up. There's no use of doing that, those leases should be fed into a system and outcomes, and these are the mismatches  James: The lease [inaudible 07:38] should be automated Raj: This is a tenant profile and based on this tenant profile and this property and this neighborhood, this tenant profile will be surviving through any downturn, that’s what you need to know on tenant profile I'm sure somebody will build it in there; I think [inaudible 07:55] was already thinking about doing that. Anyway, from that I said, okay, I'm going to stay as a user, I started using these technologies but then I got stuck more into the whole underwriting piece and managing the properties, finding the properties, I was like talking to brokers, now I'm talking to this and that's how I met a couple of good people through coaching programs that I said, okay, it's time to take the next step, move from passive to active, and see how the big things are done. I wanted to be closer to the action. So that's how I got into active investments James: Got it. I mean, that's a lot of things there. So I want to go a bit more in detail on that, but that's good. I mean, so right now you're a full-time real estate investor, right? Raj: Full time real estate investor. Yes. I mean always thinking of the next technology ideas James: Well, that's the problem with all these tech guys coming into real estate? I also think the same, let's automate this, and let’s create a system on this Raj:  Yeah. But I mean, I keep in touch, keep a pulse on that. So I don't know if you know about this organization called CRE tech- Commercial Real Estate Tech, middle of New York and they are looking at all these things, all kinds of who's doing what, which company is being funded. So I keep in touch with them. I'm a member of them, but just looking at ideas, someday somebody has come with a great idea that we are still a little behind than other industries in terms of use of technology James: Oh yeah. Real estate is so manual. I mean, there's not many people investing in technology and it's a bit tricky too because a lot of people component Raj: And I was told one day that, (AI) Artificial Intelligence, the biggest tool, billions of dollars are being traded in real estate based on excel spreadsheets. That is the technology of choice of all these big reads and fund managers and they're just doing Excel spreadsheets James:  Yeah. I don't know why the real estate is just so hard to automate in terms of location because even like, if you look at a street, one side of the street can be completely different valuation from the other side. And how do you tell that to the software? You can't tell them that people have different preferences going in Raj: Well, if you feel that, you can tell that by how many murders were on the left side of the street and how many murders on the right side [inaudible 10:16] I mean, I just think the crime rate, our school districts and there are so many factors you can pinpoint it. Now there's so much data being collected on all of this, right? You just have to leverage the data and every time a property gets sold, a property gets bought that data is entered into a system, right? The analysis entered into the system, even for an upgrade, all the data has been entered so you should be able to tell that if I put granite flooring in this, or I put up vinyl flooring in this, or whatever, this is the gorgeous fettuccine down the road, right? Because that's [inaudible 10:50] James:  I think that's what [inaudible 10:52] does, right? Sometimes they do a lot of underwriting, they try to predict what is the rent going to be, but I'm not sure how big they are. I know there were some people really excited about it, but some people really didn't like it. I saw it once; the tool looks good for a tacky, right? If you're a second, it looks like everything's done for you. But I don't know for me, I don't feel comfortable yet. Raj: I think there's nothing. So all that said, James, there is no equal end to be having boots on the ground. So this is what I've learned James: Well, for real estate, you have to go to the property, you have to do the cost yourself Raj: Exactly. So you'll do all, that saves you a lot of time, right, because you can do the cost, the real analysis is done when you're there and you're looking at the property because we walked away from a deal that had everything looked good on paper and technology tools and everything, because this one building down the slope, had some structural issues that we didn't know, I mean, no technology tool will tell you that turning on some like pillars that are like fake  James: Correct. There's no way to know. I mean, as I say, I love all these tools, but I don't know for me, I don't want to pay so much money for this tool unless it giving me an automated thing. Raj: That's where the progression has to happen. The more they have to get better and they have to get cheaper for that option. Otherwise, excel spreadsheets help people doing their report James: One day will, right? I mean, if you look at it right now, we need a buyer agent, we need a seller agent to do a house transaction and the reason for that is so much people touch, right? I mean, a seller needs to know that he's getting the best value for his product. Only people can see the house and decide whether it's a good house or not, right? It's a bit hard for computer AI to really say that this is a good house for this person, right? Maybe one day it will. Raj: It will. They'll cut short the time or for your needs maybe James: Correct. And I know a lot of startups were trying to do all this right there. I mean, every tech guy who was introduced into real estate in the behind them is [inaudible 12:53], oh, I can do a startup, even syndication people are trying to automate right? They're trying to rank the sponsors, they tried to give stars to sponsors and everybody is trying to do all this but as I said, it's very hard to give a star ranking to sponsor there are so many other things that are involved. I mean, one day probably, yes. But we are not there yet with the technology, the information we have so how do you feel? I mean, you and I are almost the same, right? I mean, we're always in the technology space and suddenly become real estate. Do you think you've wasted all that lifetime in tech space? Raj: No, not wasted. It's a game, it's life as it plays out, now where I am my biggest strength is my value for my time. I mean, I control my time in what I'm doing, when I was working tech job, I mean, you had management meetings on Friday afternoon. I was like an owl, now if you go look at my calendar, you'll never find a Friday afternoon open because I dropped it James: Okay. That's good. Yeah. I mean sometimes people who have studied so much in certain fields, I don't know. I do see some doctors moving from being a doctor to becoming a real estate investor. I mean, at the end of the day it's all about time, right. Time and how much [inaudible 14:13] Raj: I mean it’s time and it's what you enjoy. I mean, I also realized that a lot of what I do in real estate is marketing and I love marketing James: Nobody cares in the tech company Raj: Yeah. So when I'm even in my tech job, my last job was in marketing. So I was basically a demand generation for this data analytics back on rebuilding. So basically evangelizing technology for people that don't understand it, it's sort of marketing. So writing blogs, writing white papers, writing all this stuff, simplifying things for them. That's what I had become in my technology job also because nobody wants to hear the mumble-jumble of data lakes and medication and all that stuff. It's like, bring it down. What does it do for me? And now he's the same thing, syndication and all what does it do for me? I mean, so marketing is basically attracting the right people and getting rid of people that you don't want in your system. So that's why even in capital raise or even the deals that we do it's very important to figure out who your customers are which in our case is investors and it took me a little while, my first four deals, I was like talking to everybody and anybody like, okay, this is what we have and I was like, no, that's not me finally figured out the people who are attracted to my deals, especially are tech executives, like me that have collected a decent paycheck, they have a decent amount of wealth, they want to diversify, they're paying a lot of taxes and they are paying [inaudible 15:50] that. So they want to learn about how real estate can help them with taxes, how real estate can help them diversify, a lot of them have invested completely in the stock market, which we have done that in the past and I've lost a lot of money in stock and that's why I never want to go back to stocks anymore and I'm trying to teach the same thing through my formal education. James: Yeah. Surprisingly not many people know about real estate. I know probably all the listeners here, they will. I mean, you are already learning and listening to podcasts about real estate, you already know, but it's very surprising to know how many people don't know about real estate and don't know what passive investing. I mean, people know that you can go buy a house and give it for rental, but nobody knows that I can put the money with a sponsor who will do the work every time Raj: They know real estate investing, they don't know realistic passive investing James: Correct Raj: Yeah, passive investors have become my passion James: Yeah. I mean, that's why I wrote my book too because not to introduce real estate to passive investors, I want them to be a bit smarter. I mean, sometimes when they got introduced to real estate, they think, wow, my God this is the best thing they just follow one way of thinking, right? So Raj: You just stole my line that's what I say, because, at smart capital, we make you smarter James: Okay, good. Because I mean, first, you get introduced to passive investing, second is how you become smarter, right? So let's talk about that. I mean, you said you have done some really cool stuff for passive investors and incorporating some technologies and all that Raj: Absolutely. I mean, again, nothing was planned. It just happened over time, my first deal, when I presented to some of my friends, they said, Raj take my $50,000. I'm not going to take your $50,000. You need to sit down with me, understand what it is James: Well, that's the problem with me. I don't like just taking money. I want you to understand the deal. Cause I believe it's a good deal Raj: I actually know the four friends that I had, I bought them tandoori chicken. I said, come sit with me and I'll explain to you what it means. So I bought wine and food. I said, look at this, I'm going to tell you what it is if you understand it and if you still want to invest, that's great. I want you to understand it because I can take the money and invest it, I mean, that's not a problem, that's the easiest thing for me, but I really want you to get smarter in my sense, you know, that's why smart capital and so that small group grew into a little bigger group and I created a meet up in the Boston area on just apartment investing and teaching what it is and growly slowly And I kept it small for a number of my first year I did it in my office in a conference room. They were like 35 chairs and who can come but we kept it very educational. That was the thing. We'll take a topic, we'll discuss the topic or make sure that anybody in the room is understanding and if there is somebody else experienced in the room, they're absolutely allowed to speak up and do so, kept it very educational, very different meet ups. A lot of people said, okay, Raj's meet up is educational so we're going to go there, and then I didn't have enough space so I took a bigger space now the membership in that whole meet up has grown to 600 plus people but we now get about 60, 70, 200 people monthly and I've kept it monthly and still, we talk about educational purposes There's no come have beer, learn about network and go back. That's not it. So to answer your point in doing so right, I've internally built some systems to make sure this is a smoother process for me. So in terms of the thought leadership platform, I have my meet up, I started doing blogs consistently. Obviously I'm active on Face book, LinkedIn, and really wherever else I can post my blogs. I also to become a member of the Forbes relisted council so I can do some technology related articles there and talk about what I'm thinking. So yeah, I've done all these things and now I have in a way that I've created this CRM and systems and attracting investors who, whatever platforms that they can get onto podcasts like this and talk more about what I've done in my past and just share my experiences, that's basically it. James: So how do you decide on doing a deal? Let's say someone brings you a deal, right? How do you decide this is a good deal, I really like it. What are the things that you look for? Raj: So the first thing I like, ideal deals only very few people. I mean, as partners, right? I mean, I'm not into numbers of deals and I don't count the number of doors. I don't do that. I like to enjoy myself, I mean, to [inaudible 20:30] my life, you're going to be just chasing money and [inaudible 20:33] James: You want to be peaceful too, right. Reinvesting the right sponsor because you can make an investment any-- Raj: --People that I enjoy, I mean, the deals will have good and bad times. One of our deals is we haven't done distribution, but I will say that I'll invest that deal again. I believe so much in the team that even because I'm so close to the deal and my investor is saying, Hey Raj, we haven't distributed work. I said it'll be fine. It's just because I trust the people that I work with and I could do another deal with them. So I’m very selective about who I work with, these are people from my coaching backgrounds, I've heard them say I hear them strength and they have to be complemented with my strength. So if I'm good at finding markets and I say, what, I'm going to invest in Orlando or Kansas City or whatever markets that I have in my head because I've done some research on data on that and obviously then underwriting should make sense but my number one criteria is the people that I work with and do I add value to them and they add value to me. So I will claim I'm not a good asset manager, I've never intended to be so I will always look for a very strong asset management on the team James: Got it. So you basically look for the sponsorship and how the team complements with you as well Raj: The dealership and the numbers should make sense, but that's true for everybody. You will not invest or be participating in the deal, that doesn't make sense James: Yeah. What do you look for in a very strong sponsorship team? That you really like? I mean, what personality, integrity or--? Raj: --Integrity, number one is integrity, right? I mean, the track record is okay, but I think track record, I've seen these guys done. I mean, it was not done like 15, 20 syndications, some of them have, but some of them are still early in the stage, they have done maybe two syndications before this one, but I've seen them through the coaching classes and going through with them to on due diligence trips. So I always go and make sure that I'm on part of, once we go sign up, form a structure, I'm going to get involved with all the due diligence and all everything. So I'd sit down with them and see what their work ethic is, how passionate they are about it, and will they stay committed with me? James: Got it. Very interesting. What about, on other things, in terms of the underwriting or in terms of market analysis, have you done any; have you incorporated any technology things into analyzing that? Raj: Yeah. I mean, I do my own technology things. I mean, I haven't written software for that, but I do look at a lot of data James: What kind of data do you look for? Raj: So, I mean, a standard feature, like population growth, job growth, and median income. We will also look at STEM jobs, right? I mean, I look at if it's a technology oriented job, are there or not because I mean, in these times the properties that are doing well, are people technology, company, people working from home, right? So all of that is important as well [inaudible 23:34] James: Got it. Very interesting. So is there any proud moment throughout this real estate career that you think oh, I did that and I feel really proud about it and you can never forget about it until the end? Raj: Well, the proud moment was I'm into partner with you on my first deal. I mean, that was a very proud moment. I told you right when the first time I looked at syndication when a friend of mine presented to me, he was on the GP side, I was on the limited partner side. He says "Raj I got the deal."  And I said, "What is this? This is like 300 units. I mean, there are too many zeros. There was no freaking way." So now when I did my first deal with that number of zeros, I mean, it was not 300, it was 152 units that deal was a very proud moment for me having gone through understanding what it means and then the other proud moment was to convince some of my investors to partner alongside with me right now that I learned this and I'm sort of sharing my education. I don't even call it capital raising. I'm giving them an opportunity to participate with us. I'm doing them a favor, sometimes I feel that way and that's one way to look at it and I'm saying no, every deal of mine for my side has the same investor. The first investor is always the same, that's me. So I'm going to invest in these deals, I've done the research; I've been to the property. Now I'm presenting it to you this deal, why I like it, and you're welcome to join along, so the proud moment was to getting that achievement, right? The first one and the second one becomes easy. And then the first one was the problem James: Got it. Awesome. Can you tell our audience how to get hold of you? Raj: Absolutely. I mean, I have a website, I'm very active on Facebook, but my website is smartcapitalmgmt.com. My email is raj@smartcapitalmgmt.com. Easy to use to get to me or LinkedIn. Facebook also is there James: Awesome. Thanks so much for coming. It's so refreshing to see how someone from the tech industry moved directly into a multifamily investor. I think a lot of people do, right? But there are still tons of people who don't, right? So it's just the thought process and sometimes the desire to technologize everything, sometimes it's hard, right? Real estate-- Raj: -- Why do you want to do that? I mean, you want to enjoy what you're doing, right? If building a technology company is your passion then real estate will not be the thing, but leveraging technology to get smarter is another issue James: Got it. Awesome. Well, thanks for coming. I'm sure everybody got tons of value Raj: Thank you, James. Thanks for having me James: All right. Good

James Is an Army Combat Veteran, two-time suicide survivor, and a college student. He is also the author of the book entitled "Finding your Personal Mission" which launched 20 May 2020. His mission Is to provide veterans, their friends, and families with the tools to overcome suicidal thoughts and Ideations. James is also the founder of a T-shirt company called Coffee Tees and Inspirational Connection. You can find out more about James on Facebook and Linkedln. 

James: Hey, audience and listeners, this is James Kandasamy from Achieve Wealth Through Value-add Real Estate Investing. Today, I've Cody Payne and Michael Tran from Colliers International out of Dallas market. Hey guys, why don't you say hi to our audience and why don't you introduce what you guys do? Michael: Oh, Hey everybody. Michael here. You know, we focus mainly on multitenant, mid-rise office buildings or industrial buildings or industrial parks. Anything between three to 25 mil is our typical range that we work on. Cody: And I'm Cody Payne and I work with Michael and that pretty much sums it up pretty well. We sell investment office and industrial buildings in Dallas Fort Worth. James: Got it, got it. So you guys are brokers, right? Do you own any of these as well? Cody: Yeah, actually we do, we actually just did a syndication not long ago where we pulled together a few investors and bought a portfolio of five office buildings down the mid-cities. And we've even done some development also. James: Got it. So office and industrial; nobody has talked about this asset class in the show. So I want to go really deep into how people make money out of this asset class because I'm a multifamily guy. I'm so used to multifamily and a lot of people knows multifamily very well. It's like seems to be like the only asset class out there. Right? But I'm sure there's a lot of people out there who's killing it in industrial and office. Right? So, I want to go deep into, you know, how an active investor would look at these two asset classes and you guys absolutely will be you know, giving a lot of value in this discussion. So let's start with industrial. Can we define what is an industrial asset class and how does it look like when I drive by, how can I say this is industrial and is there any different types of industrial that I need to be aware of when I drive by and when I'm going to look at something? Cody: Yeah, absolutely. So industrial is going to be, you know, your big box, tall, concrete warehouses that you'll see as you're driving along the freeway or in some other parts. These things can range anywhere from tenants utilizing just a couple thousand square feet up to a large shipping receiving warehouse that you'll see, that can be half a million-million square feet. A lot of things that I think a lot of people are familiar with is, seeing those tall, 24 36 foot tall concrete structures where a lot of 18 wheelers are backed up to that are loading, unloading, cross-docking and things of that nature. That's what your typical image of a warehouse industrial is. And a lot of people look for that and that's one of the key asset classes that a lot of investors are looking for right now. James: Well, so you said a lot of investors, I mean, it's a very relative term, right? And I'm not sure you guys know how much people invest in multifamily. So is that same equal in people investing in industrial and office or is it like coming from your knowledge in a multifamily is like crazily too many people and industrial is like a niche [03:26unclear] ? Cody: So the office and industrial it is a little more niche. I wouldn't say there's as many buyers for it as there is for multifamily. I mean, you, obviously there's a lot more multi-families than there are mid-rise office buildings, especially out here in Dallas, Fort Worth and even in Texas as a whole. But it's very niche specific. And so, that's why a lot of times you'll see a multifamily guy refer out if someone's looking at buying an office building or even vice versa. Because we won't sell a multifamily complex just because we're not as aware of it but the buyer pool is still very good. We get a lot of multifamily people, especially over the past three, four or five years, that have really started to hone in on the office industrial market as compared to my 10 years prior to that. James: Got it. Got it. Yeah. Even in my book, I mentioned that, you know, all these asset classes, they are somebody who's really good at these asset classes. And a lot of passive investors just look to, you know, seek to this kind of operators who are really good at industrial office or multifamily. There are people who specialize in this and they're really, really good at it so they have to seek for that operators. So that's good to know. It's very niche market. So, coming back to industrial, how do I identify a sub-market...how do I find an industrial, which is a really good, in terms of location, how do I say if I look at this building, I can say that this building is in a really good industrial location. How do I say that? What are the factors I need to look at? Michael: You know, one of the main ones nowadays is access. A lot of the logistics chains, they kind of make sure they can get the 18 wheelers in there, parked. That's why a lot of the users that are looking out that way, they're always making sure that they're centralized too. So like, let's say the great Southwest district here just South of DFW Airport; that's one of the biggest industrial hubs over here, you can get to almost any part of the metroplex within 20 to 30 minutes max. And then you'll have Alliance, which is in North Fortworth. I think that's a sleeper town that a lot of people overlook here but they're just building more and more bigger boxes up there. And it's due to 35 West Highway that goes all the way down to Austin, even down where you guys are at. So that's become another major hub press as well. And FedEx, Amazon they're all up that way. And you've got little pockets up in Plano as well which is probably about 30 minutes from the airport and they've got some major like Toyota is looking to move up that way. And they've got everybody else just following them over here. James: So do you look at, like for example, in multifamily, we look at household demographic, we look at median household income and income growth, job growth and all that. But it looks like industrial is different, I guess. Like you have to look at how convenient it is for the 18 wheelers to meet and compare and also seems to be some kind of adjacency with the certain key distributors like Amazon or Toyota. So is that key factors, I presume? Cody: Yeah, absolutely. And actually, we've got a map behind us.  James: So those who are on YouTube, you can definitely see the map. Cody: Yeah. James: To really, you know, talk numbers in terms of what? Cody: Just as the Dallas Fortworth airport right here. And this is the great South West district that Michael was talking about. This is where you'll have a lot of warehousing and a lot of it up North as well. Amazon's got a large center as well. So you've kind of have the same thing, which is growing a lot out here where Hillwood has their Alliance airport. And then the same thing back over here where Dallas load field is, there's a lot of warehouses over there and there's a lot off limits. So you know, a lot of these guys where we see a lot of tenant velocity and things of that nature are going to be closest to the airports because that [07:49unclear]  Fortworth because here and going to Fortworth and go to Dallas and go South and go North and they can receive from one of the largest airports in the world right here. James: Got it. So it's basically access to the airport and access to the highway and how can we get to go to other big cities, I guess, right? Fortworth, Austin. Cody: And they don't necessarily need highway visibility cause that's your most expensive parcel of land, but they need good access to it. And so having that nearby that airport, they've got access to I-20, I-30, 183, 360, and so that's a really good hub. And that's why that district is such a large district and continues to expand. James: Is there like a park, like an industrial park where the city or the government is allocated or is it like, is there random everywhere? Cody: They're more spread out. James: So there is no like tax incentive offered by any government or any cities, I guess. Cody: Well, yeah, certain cities will offer certain tax incentives. I know Dallas offers quite a few in certain areas and even if you start getting into like the opportunities zone areas and things of that nature. James: Got it. Got it. Got it. So, you talk in terms of industrial, in terms of square footage, right? That's what you said, or square footage and access, access is also an amenity. But I presume, what is the average price per square feet in terms of industrial buildings? Michael: So that is a very good question cause those can actually range anywhere between 50 a foot all the way up to, you know, building new. It also depends on the age of the building, ceiling height, [09:39unclear] in the building. So there's a lot of factors in industrial that you have to account for. How many docks as well. Dock high, grade level doors or are you familiar with any of these terms? James: No, no. This is all completely new. But it's important. I want you guys to share that level of detail because I want people to really learn how do you, cause I'm going to go to their underwriting later on. So that's going to features of the industrial, is that like a class A, class B, class C industrial buildings? Cody: Absolutely. Go over some of the rates that you see on some... James: Yeah. What are the class As? Cody: Are you asking for rental rates? James:  Rental rates and also buildings, right. I presume that's all correlated? Michael: Yeah. So rental rates, you'll see anything, depending, like I said, very niche-specific stuff. So like you'll see anything from $4 a foot all the way up to 10 and sometimes even higher and triple net or some of the newer industrial products coming out. And then you have if it's, you know, if it's in the less desirable area, they'll Teeter with the four to seven modified gross or industrial gross as you'll hear. And those usually have some expenses in there that are charged back to the tenant. As for space, if the space is less desirable, you're going to see more of that industrial gross number anywhere between, you know, five to seven. Newer stuff, like I said, $10, sometimes triple net, just depending on area and access. Cody: And a lot of times is that building size gets larger, that rental rate, well a lot of times go down. James: Okay. Okay. So before we probably go further, can you define triple-net because a lot of people in the residential stage, they are not used to this triple net. Can you define triple net, what does it mean? Michael: Yeah. So if you can ever in residential, try to charge them triple net. But when I was saying it's a triple net, basically it's taxes, insurance, and common area maintenance is charged back to your [11:46unclear]  Sometimes you can get an absolute triple-net deal and that's where the tenant also care of the roof and structure. It's not as common in industrial unless it's a single-tenant deal, but most of the time you're going to see this regular triple nets. James: Okay. Right. Interesting. Because we don't have that in multifamily. That'd be awesome. So triple net also means that if the property taxes go up, the landlord doesn't get any impact. We still get the rents that we supposed to get, I guess. Michael: That's correct. And sometimes, you know, your tenant, if they're a little more savvy they'll have like a protection on no higher increase in five to 10% on their common area maintenance or taxes. So let's say like your lawn guy wants to charge you way more, that'll force you to just find a new one at a more reasonable price. James: Got it. Got it. Got it. So what is the landlord responsible for then? Michael: Roof and parking lot. Structuring the building if it's triple net. Yeah. James: So does the landlord still get the tax benefits of owning the real estate? I'm presume so, right? Because you own the building, you own the roof and you own the real estate, I guess, right? Cody: Yes. So, well it depends on the tax benefits that they're getting, but if it's, you know, ownership of the real estate tax benefits, yes. Now if it's business-related or some of that nature, that's for them, obviously. James: Correct. Correct, correct. And I think the depreciation schedule for industrial and an office, I just want to cover that, is 39 and a half. Is that right if I'm not mistaken. Cody: I believe you're correct. James:  I think in residential it's 27.5 and all of the asset classes like 39 or 39.5, I can't remember. But that's a good distinction within triple net and the normal deals that we buy in multifamily. So, coming back to my question, I know we talked about different rental rates, but are there any classes that you guys have categorized in terms of industrial buildings? So it's just based on how old they are and there's no real definition... Cody: Yeah. So they do have classes, you've got B, you've got C, you've got A class and a lot of times that is determined by age and location and building quality and things of that nature. James: Okay. Okay. Got it. Got it, got it. But definitely have to be in some way accessible near to their distribution part I would say, or distribution hub. I guess Cody: That's when a lot of them like it, they are very keen on location. But like I said, I didn't have to have highway frontage. In that access is very key. James: Okay. What about the, who buys the industrial? I want to interview a buyer of industrial parks and industrial buildings and I can never find, but you guys know all these guys, but who buys...what are the typical buyer characteristics or where does it come from? What does he look for? What is his appetite in terms of investment whenever they buy these industrial buildings? Cody: Absolutely. So there's a lot of buyers for industrial and they increase every day. And you know, even for the small Bay warehouses, you know, we have so many of those people that keep pouring into the marketplace and not just Texas, but in the US as a whole. But yeah, I mean industrial probably gets some of the most cross product or cross asset buyers that we've got. You know, people from self-storage buy these, people retail, past experience, they buy these. We even have apartment owners and operators buy these. But you know, there's a lot of REITs and institutions and things of that nature that are big in it. But no, a lot of, I would say the past 10 industrial buildings that we sold, probably I think, I want to say seven of those were an out of state owners. James: Got it. Are they from coastal city? Like New York and California? Are they local? Cody: Yeah. Canada, Florida, Chicago, absolutely. James: And do you see that this one guy buying across the nation or it's still very localized? Cody: No, a lot of these people will buy across the nation, but this is a market that a lot of these people will look into.  James: Texas, they like a lot of Texas? Cody:  Oh absolutely. Yeah. And like Michael was saying, you know, because of the Dallas Fortworth economy and things of that nature, it gets a lot of eyes. James: Got it. Very interesting. So, let's go back to underwriting and industrial building. So I presume that's a rental of the building where the tenants...is it like usually one tenant or is it like multiple tenants or how does that or is it all the 17-wheelers parking need to pay rent?  Cody: Yeah, it can be one tenant. We just sold a very large complex off of 360 and about 80 tenants in it. So, it can be very, very intense with a lot of tenants. And I think the group that bought that had a lot of multifamily experience as well. James: So 80 tenants in one building. I mean, do they have like counters in it or do they have docks? Cody: Yeah, so it was a bunch of buildings in a business park and so it was about 22 of them. And so it was just park. James: So it's like an industrial park where everybody had buildings and they ran the... Cody: Yeah, they had their own suites and things of that nature. James: Okay. So if it's triple net then probably there's nothing to do with expense ratio for a landlord. Right, because you get [17:30 crosstalk] Cody: One of those, I believe, were on gross leases still, but with industrial, a lot of people that aren't on triple net are going that way. James: Okay. Explain what's the difference between gross lease and triple net? Cody: So a gross lease, you'll find a lot more in office, in general office. You will absolutely find it in an industrial and gross lease is going to be where the landlord's taking on commonary maintenance, landscaping, repairs and maintenance, you know, HVAC, things of that nature. And so it's more management intensive. Your expenses on the landlord are going to be higher and that's a gross lease. But then you start getting into other types of leases. You know, you've got full service, you got gross, you've got modified gross and you get into like net, double net, triple net. James: Oh, okay. And what about full service? As you mentioned, because I've seen Cody: So full service, you're really only going to see that in office. And what I mean by that is landlord pays everything. They pay the utilities, they pay the janitorial, they pay the common area maintenance, they pay taxes, insurance, they cover everything. A tenant goes in as you know, a price per square foot and that's all they pay. James: Got it. Got it. Very interesting. So let's go to office. I mean in general, people are worried about office. Because you know, people say the trend is working from home. So is that still true?  Cody: Not here. James: Not probably in Dallas, I guess. Cody: No. I think office is actually trending a lot more towards coworking and things of that nature. And that's a model that has just expanded and blown up like crazy, especially out here in Dallas, Fortworth. James: So what is a typical investor who's looking to buy office space, office buildings? Where do they come from, what do they look for in an office? What kind of hold time do they have usually? Michael: Yeah. So their hold time can range anywhere between five and seven years. But you know, we just did a major value-add project in Plano where Toyota's headquarters is. State Farm had moved out and it was probably 20% occupied. That buyer actually, you know, did a bridge loan and he's going to go ahead and get that filled up very quickly, just cause the area's occupancy is not any lower than 80, 85%. But where these buyers come from, same thing as the industrial guys, cause a lot of industrial buyers also look at office and office guys look at industrial as well. But like I was telling you the other day on the phone, we've noticed a huge influx of multifamily buyers moving into office just because the returns are a little higher. And so, we had like that last guy, California we've got one in Chicago looking at one of our deals right now. We've got a couple of local groups out here that know these office buildings really well too and they know the trends of the area and how the occupancy is. So one specifically we're working on right near White Rock Lake in Dallas. That one's at 92, 93%, and that one's always been full ever since anybody can remember. So that's where these buyers come from. Any other questions? James: Yeah. How do you decide this office space is in a good location? Other than knowing, I know Plano is hard and I know free score is hard, but how, what are the parameters you look for in terms of like like you know, jobs growth in that particular submarket? Michael:  So, yeah, so you look for competition within the area for that office building, comparables in that market to the building because if you know the market really well and you know every building, you'll see that some gives you like a better bang for your buck. You know, some will have a lot of amenities that they're starting to offer. [21:48unclear]  groups are starting to do incubator spaces where they have a smaller coworking model and then their tenants will grow into spaces that are available in their building that they have rooms. And so they'll convert, you know, a small executive office and they can charge anywhere, you know, 35 to $45 per square foot just for a room. And as that tenant grows, they can grow within the building. But if you want to look at like specific markets like Las Colinas Irving area, are you familiar with that area? James: Yeah. Michael: Yeah. So you know that area has a lot of office and that's one thing you need to make sure of when you're looking at a deal. How many other class B or class A properties can your tenants look at before they commit to a space? But if you're looking over in Dallas, like where White Rock is, our building is the only building for the next two or three miles before you hit a highway, either going towards 75 or going North towards 635. And so that's why this building has been able to capture a lot of the people who don't want to drive all the way to 75 and fight that traffic every day or drive North on  635 and fight with that traffic as well. James: So you probably look at a cost, what the VPD, vehicle per day drive on that nearby highway, I guess. And I think you probably...I mean, as you mentioned, you look at other office supply in that area and I'm presuming you look at vacancy rate as well, on nearby office. And what tool do you use? Is it CoStar that you guys is primary for this industrial and office? Cody: Yeah. So there's a lot of tools you can use CoStar and Craxi and things of that nature. There's a lot of, you know, real capital analytics as well. They track a lot of good stuff. What I would also say on the office side is it's probably one of the product types. It's a little closer to multifamily as far as kind of a how to make them successful and things of that nature. Because, you know, when people go look at a multifamily complex, they usually have a couple options. And so a lot of times what they'll look at is amenities, access, recent renovations, things of that nature. What can they do for me on a new move in? And so office is very much a model that is driven just like multifamily. And so, keeping up with the times, making sure the renovations are good, making sure the building offers things like the deli or wifi and stuff of that nature or coworking style environment. Those things all help office buildings succeed. James: Got it. And what about this vacancy rate? Cause sometimes they're not...I mean multi-families and people that need a place to leave and vacancies are pretty low I guess comparatively to office, I mean different tenant profile. Right. So what is the average vacancy rate? I mean, how do I know like this area, this is the vacancy rate because somebody can be like six months, one year or somebody can be a few months, right? Depends on the area, I guess. How do you determine what is the vacancy rate for office and what are the lease terms in office? Cody: Absolutely. So the vacancy rate is going to be area driven. And so, you'll have certain areas like downtown Fortworth, which will have a certain vacancy rate and then that is going to be very much different than Las Colinas, downtown Dallas, Plano Allen, McKinney, Frisco. We pulled something earlier today working on a few things out in the Allen and McKinney area up there by Frisco and you know, they're class B office spaces around 5% on the vacancy side, which is very good for office, especially with more and more supply continuing to come up out there. In Los Colinas, it's gonna move a little bit more. And so, in my career, I've seen Los Colinas go down to almost 30%, and come up to somewhere around 10. But there's a lot of supply out there and there's always things shifting. Fortworth, I believe their occupancy is higher than what's being shown, but that's because XTO owned a bunch of the office product out there at one time and they recently sold a lot of that off. So some of that's being converted to hotels and things of that nature. But what you want to look at when you're buying an office building is yes, the area of vacancy, the area rental rates, but also the velocity of tenants, how many tenants are moving in that area. And then you also want to look at what are the size of tenants, the square footage sizes that we have and what is really the area tenant size. And so, some people will buy a building and they'll have 10,000, 15,000 square foot units, when the area is really commanding three to 5,000 square foot tenants. And so they'll see a lot longer on market time. And so what they need to do is chop those spaces down. James: And do people who buy, you know, I just want to add industrial. So industrial office, are they people who syndicate deals, like what a lot of multifamily people do? Or is it REITs or is it some institutional or some rich guy from the coastal areas? Cody: It can be a rich guy like yourself or it could [27:23crosstalk] James: I'm in Austin, Texas.  Cody: It varies. When you start dealing under $5 million, a lot of that's going to be private. James: But is it a lot of syndication happening? Cody: Oh yeah. James: Oh really? Okay. So, syndication is not a multifamily game only is also in the office and industrial. Okay. That's really good to know because I didn't know that. Michael: Yeah. And to go back on your question, you're asking about these terms. So you want to make sure that, area driven but you also want to make sure that your TIs are not going to eat you alive. James: Yeah. So TI is tenant improvements; just for our audience, for them to know. Michael: Yes. So and you'll see a lot of these guys in office that are moving. Sometimes they really want like a gold plated wall finish out and you just can't do that for them. You need to make sure you get that lease term where it can get your TIs not in the red for the first year. I even try to keep that around like $10 or so per square foot. But you'll see those terms go just depending on what they need done to the space, how many offices they need built out. You'll see that range anywhere between three years, five years, seven or 10, sometimes 15. That's really big one that's usually the range you'll see on a lease term. James: Got it. So I think it's all up to negotiation and how much the landlord is going to pay and how strong is the lease terms and all that. How do you qualify your tenants? I mean, let's say I'm a buyer, I'm buying an office space with 10 different tenants in it, how do I say this is a class A tenant, this is a class B tenant and this is a class C tenant. And how do I say that? Michael: So when we underwrite a lot of these deals, we're looking at the tenants, how long they've been there. We can also reach out to the seller or ourselves if we know the tenant what their credit rating is. And you can give a write upon them. Like we were selling a three tenant deal out in Las Colinas and some of the tenants themselves put in their own money. They put in 500,000 in improvements to the space work for them. So that was one of the things that we made sure that we had in our OM when we were underwriting that deal and how much time they had left. Cause when you're looking at these, you're like, Oh man, this guy, he's only got a year or two left. But you know, a year or two ago they put $500,000 into this space. So sometimes it was a really big key factors, explaining these commitment levels of the tenant. James: So you said credit rating. Is there data that you pull out from them or you just look at history and how they [30:18unclear] Michael: Yeah, all those things combined. James: But is that something that way you can pull from the credit rating of the tenants? Is that a system or you just have to look [30:30unclear] Michael:  Yeah, not always, but you know, when you're working a lease deal when I used to lease back from the day, we would get tenant financials from them, sometimes, yeah. James: So based on their financials and what's their commitment to the space that's where you establish their credit rating, I guess? Michael: Yes. And comfort level and then like, Oh, okay. I feel like their financials are good enough for me to say. James: So it's very subjective then because I mean, somebody who want to sell the deal, he may say to all my tenants are A-plus credit rating, I guess. So, I'm just trying to quantify that a bit more, but I think it looks like there's no real... Cody: Sometimes you would have like an A-plus credit rating or something of that nature is when you've got like a DaVita or something of that nature in the building or a FedEx or something like that. But a lot of times, office buildings will have, you know, a little bit more generic companies, local regional firms. And so that's why Michael said if they're going to spend a lot of money on the finish out, they'll say, Hey, we'd like to see your business financials just so we can make sure that the money we're spending that you look like someone's going to be in business for the term. And you know, they're pretty much used to that. James: Got it. Got it. So let's say a building is being sold right now and some of the residents have like one or two years left in their lease. If they get to know that somebody's going to buy this building, will they start negotiating with the new buyer or the new buyer have an option to know whether they're going to be renewing? How does that work? Cause you know, that basically increases your risk. Michael: Yeah. So typically they do not know until you're pretty far along in the process. So they'll usually get attendant estoppel, which will signal to them that, Hey the building may change hands to a new owner. But although they're getting that, it's mainly just a lease verification to make sure also their security deposit is transferred over as well. And you know, you don't want to alert the tenants, but you also want to make sure that when you're working on these, they're paying what they're saying on the OM and it's matching what it has on the estoppel as well. James: Got it. Got it, got it. Well, Michael and Cody, thanks for coming. I mean, can you tell our audience and listeners how to get hold of you? You guys are doing really big deals in the DFW area. I'm not sure, are you guys covering any of the areas other than DFW? Cody: I'd say 95% of the business that we've got is in DFW now. We will branch out and sell a couple of things here and there. We're actually about to bring out a 20 story office tower out in Corpus Christi. That's a relationship that we have. James: Let me know if some of the towers in Austin is coming for Salem. Probably I can even buy one. Cody: Absolutely. James: I just heard there are 37 new towers coming in Austin. Cody: Well, there's a lot of people that are looking out there, I can tell you that. James: Yeah. So why not you guys tell our audience how to get hold of you guys. Cody: I'll do it. So yeah, Cody Payne, Michael Tran. Our number is (817) 840-0055, we're with Colliers International, we're office and industrial specialists and we've got some really good self-storage and retail guys here as well. James: Good, good. Guys, look for a specialist because all this asset class, there's a lot of nuances to it as so much of details. Not everybody can do this. And you know, these guys are some of the best in the industry. Thanks for coming on Cody: See you.

James:. Hi, audience and listeners, this is James Kandasamy from Achieved Wealth through Value Add Real Estate Investing podcast. Today we have a special session with Rama Krishna from Zovest Company from California. Hey Rama, you want to say hi to our audience and listeners?    Rama: Yeah. Hi James. Thank you for inviting me on this special session. I know definitely the primary reason is we are attending so many webinars on this COVID19 impact for multifamily, a lot of other groups that we're discussing. I wanted to just compile all that strategies that I have compile and also mine as well. What I'm actually going through right now with my properties, compiling the blog posts and whatever you wanted to talk about it.    James: Yeah. Today's a special session. I'm trying to make all this podcast release. I'm actually rearranging all my podcast releases to make it really timely. So all of you guys, listeners, can we take action from whatever you're listening from this podcast and listening to podcast that was recorded one or two months ago, which is like super boring because all that is pre-Corona. I'm sure all of you guys are wondering what is this guy talking about. 3% rent growth at that time, so this is timely. We're going to release as soon as possible. Rama has done a really good job compiling fifty strategies for multifamily operators and asset managers to tackle Covid19 and we're going to go to each one of those quickly and also in detail so that each one of you can take a pencil and paper and write down what are some of the things that you can use right now. Rama, let's get started.    Rama: Yup.    James: What's the first one?   Rama: I think before even getting there, I'm reading the primary thing that we need to do here is, people lost jobs in the sense that we need to become passionate about the way how things are going. I think we are actually suffering as operators. We also have to put ourselves in the tenant's shoes and they got impacted. Some of these strategies to also have to work with them to see how they can weather the storm, including us, have to weather the storm here. Another thing is, I mean, there are federal regulations right now that we cannot evict tenants. So in a sense, even though, we can do some of these things, but the strategy is what we have before we cannot do it because of the regulations in place and then also shelter in place right now.    The first primary thing that we wanted to do to alleviate the problems of tenants is the late fee waiver. We actually wanted to not to communicate this thing until the fifth, but we did communicate before that itself, just wanted to give some assurance to the tenants saying that you're not going to charge late fee for the month of April and May. That's the first strategy you want to do. Also they cannot; they are impacted. The primary thing we wanted to do, James is when you're working with the tenant that they have an issue, you want to get a proof from them that they got laid off from their job and then put it into your resources, your folders so that in case if you're applying for any other benefits in the future, any ADL program or a PPP program, or maybe a forbearance or forgiveness, you can have all these things noted in your documentation.    The second thing is some of the tenants are not misusing this thing. There is a late fee waiver. There's a flexible payment plan, but if you're not impacted, you're not eligible for that. That's the reason. The second point where we wanted to put them into a payment plan, if they are impacted and then they can continue catching up these payments. The second thing again and then typical guidelines to the tenants saying that you need to do the shelter in place and follow the state or CDC guidelines to make sure that there are protected. The last thing that you need is a Covid19 patient in your properties and then they're spreading and they don't know what, and God forbid there's a death. There are lot of things that you need to do to make sure and also fundamentally you want your tenants and everyone to be safe. Then follow the state guidelines and what you have to do or they have to do somebody tested positive in your property. How they can do self quarantine and how you can help them also.    I know maybe there is one more point in here is to, for us as an operative to disinfect the common areas and especially, I think we'll come back to those points again in the later strategies is to disinfect the common laundry mailboxes and other things, leasing office and other things. The other thing from a financial standpoint was security deposits. When we found out about this program called [05:15unclear] there other insurance programs, even not just for this one later also the operators can use this strategy to actually use in lieu of security deposit. They can actually get into some of these insurance programs like the Rhino or like Nash tag, Lemonade, where in this strategy, James, I think you might already know. Let's say the security deposit is thousand dollars. They need to pay $5 per month as insurance and they don't need to deposit this thousand dollars. So somebody coming in new as a tenant instead of paying first month's rent plus a security deposit of say $2,000. Now the need to only pay $1,000 and an insurance program for $5 a month. If it is $2,000, it will be $10 a month. It covers both security deposits and also any damages that they do, including they haven't officially confirmed but when I talked to rhinos representative, they're saying even wear and tear. Say if we want to do and make ready and there is damage that you have under the unit it covers that. So the way how it works is, so let's say if the tenant vacates and you go and do the move out inspection and you saw overall to make ready of this is twelve hundred dollars, and you do it claim to rhino and then they pay you within 48 hours and they collect from the tenant later because it's still learning deposit. There is wear and tear or some damage happened to the unit.    James: So that is a sayrhino.com, that's what you're saying?   Rama: Yeah.    James: And there are a few other people as providers?    Rama: Providers, yeah.   James: Let me get a bit more structured here. We are on that line item number five, which is basically the first one, is look at late fee waiver. Second is look at payment plans for your residents who are impacted, make sure they are impacted. Third one is a make sure that you communicate to residents and make sure they follow the shelter in place and follow the State and CDC guidelines. Fourth is basically if they are exposed to Covid19 patients who are tested positive you want to do a self-quarantine as well. If you as a property manager knows about whether any residence has been impacted, usually a lot of property management software have given us access to additional fields in the tenant information to mark them as Covid19 quarantined and all that. I do have it recently on my property management software. So check with your property management company, so they can mark it as someone was impacted or quarantined or what's the status.    The fifth one is basically using some of the security deposit for some of the two months rents using some companies like sayrhino.com where you can use it as an insurance for evictions and if they evict out or if for any make ready, if the tenant cannot pay.    Rama: If you collected the security deposit, you can convert to a sayrhino agreement.    James: Okay.    Rama: The minimum is at least they need to have six months more left in the lease because at least whether the new person coming in or maybe like another two months are done in the...   James: But this program already existed before Covid19? Rama: No, sayrhino has 700,000 units insured.    James: So they already existed right now. So you can just use this at this stage, I guess. Use some of the current security deposit and convert it to this insurance program, I guess.    Rama: Exactly.    James: Okay, got it. So sayrhino.com and REIG insurance, call home, [08:59unclear] king.com and these are the some of the providers?    Rama: Yes, there are some other insurance providers in lieu of a security deposit.    James: Okay. Let's go to number six.    Rama: Okay. Let's say from an operator perspective you feel that there is one more point here that we can come back to this. I think I haven't ordered this in the right format, right numbering. The first thing before doing that is to privately segregate our profile tenants. Go each lease by lease and profile your tenants how exposed are they with this Covid19 impacted businesses. Are they in restaurants, are they in travel tourism industry or whatever it is to see what would be the impact of it. Say if you have 50% of your tenants are in medical profession or maybe some other which are not really impacted into that. So at least you will know yourself if you own [09:55unclear] unit, Hey, like, I'm 50% of my tenants are restaurants, maybe. Then you can actually be really alert and also do go to these programs, what we're talking about here. Talk to your Fannie/Freddie lender and see if they have any mortgage forbearance or relief. No, they already have it. Fannie and Freddie already rolled it out, for 90 days you can forbear your mortgage not to pay that. Then how the payment plan of twelve months to catch up on this 90 day payment.    But make sure that there will be some negative remark or agency loan history and to see, make sure you go through all the agreement before actually signing up. But yeah, if you're really impacted, definitely if you're going on water with not being able to make mortgage payments, for sure you should consider this mortgage forbearance.    James: Okay, good. Let's go to the next one.    Rama: Yeah. And then so that is one aspect of it. The other aspect of it is the SBA disaster loans. There is an EIDL emergency loan...   James: I think it’s called Economic Injury...   Rama: Economic Injury Disaster Loan. So that's the loan that SBA is giving up to $2 million for small businesses including rental apartment owners, there is 3.75% interest and then there is some times that you need to pay. The idea here is based on your situation you can actually apply for this a disaster loan for EIDL program so that you can weather the storm for the next three to six months or nine months. There's another loan for a payroll protection program, PPP, which I can update this as well. If you have a payroll that you're running by yourself, you can actually apply for this PPP program to get two and a half months of payroll from the government or if your property management company actually runs the payroll, you can ask them to apply for this PPP loan so that they cannot bill you for the next three months for the property management personally. James: Yeah. I think the caveat is anybody who's applying for it to be having less than 500 employees.    Rama: Exactly. I think they figured out some more than 500, but overall, yeah, up to 500. Yes. And then also thing from I think from a tenant perspective some of this one's four or five points series. If they are actually having some hardships right now how they can use some of these federal programs. They're actually sending a $1,200 to $3,400 checks every person who actually filed their taxes. Also they can apply, if they are a small business, they can apply SBA loan or they can apply a PPP loan and they can weather the storm and actually use that money and then if they get referred, they can file the taxes immediately and use that money to pay rents. Some of these aspects that you can think on their shoes and see how these federal programs can help them as a tenant. Maybe one of your tenant is a restaurant owner, then you can see how the federal programs can help them so that they maybe they can file an employment benefits and then you can tell information about that or you can find local companies which are hiring and then see if some of these tenants that actually wants to find a job right now. Then you can ask them to continue pay the rent.    James: Yeah. Let me add some more things. Some of the apartment association in many big cities have given renters resources, which includes how to file unemployment. What are the resources for them to get different types of help from different organizations. Rama: Yeah. So again, two aspects of our operations, one is income and the other is expenses? Right now we've talked a lot of stuff from income perspective and some are expenses perspective. The other aspect that we kind of brought in is with all these people talking about are expenses. So in the non-essential expenses, even send email like a message to all the tenants, memo the tenants saying that, if you have any emergency only like create a service request, non-emergency service request will be done once the things settle down. Now if you are a light bulb vendor where you can fix it yourself or you leave the light bulb at the doorstep, let them fix it. Instead of you exposing your maintenance staff to more people, either they can fix it themselves or we can drop the light bulb there or they can wait for a few weeks until these things settle down so that you can cut your non-essential expenses and other controllable expenses that you can eliminate and you can close all the amenities, pool, the common amenities so there is no need to continue maintaining them.    James: I think also you do not want to people to use that and spread the virus more.    Rama: Exactly. Those are shelter in place, not using the common amenities, throw a party in a club house then you will have 50 people infected there. Primary thing is the common amenities. You have laundry room, everybody's coming in there to do the laundry, how they can sanitize this thing or maybe one person at a time or have a roster, Hey, this building one to ten people using Monday to Monday 9:00 AM to 12:00 PM some roster so that not everybody coming in Saturday morning to do the laundry. Or maybe some mailbox to see if somebody is there at the mailboxes, have some instructions that say wait for them to leave and then you go, wait for a minute and then you can go and pick up your mail.    Some of this stuff that you can instructions at the mailing and laundry, or in any common areas. The other thing is aspect of income perspective is primarily focused on the leasing aspect. Can you put some deals on renewals or lease modifications or if you already gave notices and then maybe cancel the notices and then pause the rent increases right now to make sure that you're at least a hundred percent physically occupied and then later on 100% how it can be economically awkward as well. At least at this point right now if you can make this a hundred percent thing, James, both physical and economically, you can weather the storm for the three to six months and come back and again go back to your typical asset management strategies to increase the valuation of the property. Right now it's more a fight or flight mode right now. Let's see how to make it smoother for the next 90 days to 120 days is the strategy here.    James: Yeah. So what you're saying is rather than pushing for rent, try to keep people in the units, whether they're paying or not.   Rama: If you renew it, we're going to not increase it, let's say if you renew it in April, May, we're not going to do any rent increases. The last thing for you to do is make this unit empty right now and then we don't know what the situation of leasing activity in that building. So continue withholding rent increases, especially if you renew it in the next two months, we will not increase the rent, for example and the things that were discussed already, it'd be sympathetic and then also profile your tenants, see what jobs they do. Another strategy on this is, you don't need to pay April or maybe May but that rent will be amortized in the next 12 months. That's another strategy they're doing. Hey, you know, you're affected. We're not going to charge you for April or maybe half of May as well, but that $1,500 will it be amortized for the next twelve months. James: Okay, so you'll give them a break for one month and you take that money and amortize over 12. Rama: Yeah. Just like forbearance from a mortgage, same thing. That is amortized for the next 12 months. Same thing that you can do here, but some of these are lease modifications and see how painful it is, but whatever that is kind of, it takes it to get this thing done right and extending the leases. One more thing in the leases we can come back to later on is usually when you do a short term rentals at the three months lease, six months lease, you have a premium. You can actually reduce the premium, no premium for short term rentals. Say, hey, like, we are leasing right now. Hey, you want a six months, and then it will be same as the 12 months’ rent. So at least you can fill up your units by doing that. James: Yeah, even on a month to month. I think they can usually we charge premium for month to month, but you can either reduce it or don't charge that for now. Rama: Exactly. So I think maybe for them also they also wanted to try for month to month, three months, and then they can do an annual release after two to three months.  So you can at least fill them in coming in, let them pay, and then you can think about this after three months. The same topic we discussed before is the go to a local; even though there are jobs lost, some are trying to hire. Amazon is hiring for the warehouses, grocery chains, hospitals; some of them, they're not able to have enough staff. So you can find these in your market, in your sub-market and see and take those information and then send you to your people who actually came, Hey, I lost my job. Hey, why don't you try to go to Amazon warehouse five miles from here, they're actually hiring. That you can help to see if they can come back to the employment at least for temporary for the 90 days until this thing comes back.    A lot of these people are furloughed right now just because they can get unemployment benefits, but if they can get some other job for the next 90 days, because what if just delays more, they can get some job for the next six months and come back to the workforce later. Another thing is something similar is lot of charities and churches and they pay the rent and if they're part of the local church or a charity program now there are so many people paying rent and also their utility payments.  James: To help our residents and one good resource that you guys can use, all the listeners can use. It's findhelp.org, that has all the completion of all the organizations which are helping people in terms of money, housing all kinds of things there, so use that resource. Rama: Yeah.  And like this is the first step. So whatever that's happening for us or for them, the message to tenants is the rent is due, just because we have to have utility payments, we have to have mortgage payments, we have to pay salaries for employees. This is a laser thin business. This is not; we're making 50% as profits here. So we had to send that message properly that we also have expenses. We cannot  just not forego this thing, not paying rent. That's the message that I might not be putting into the right way here, but you have to [21:24unclear] because some of these articles in some of these markets saying, Hey, don't pay rent for three months. So it's just showing a wrong message, but they're not thinking about the operators. James: Yeah and the government or our mortgage providers did not give us a break on our mortgage. The rent is still due, we do sympathize with all the residents. Let's work out some plan. But rent is rent and it still needs to be paid in some way. So we have to figure that out and see. Rama: Then another thing is if you're doing renovations, if you have draw requests, it's already competitor immediately do the draw request because there might be some delays right now because of this demo here, the inspector might not come in to verify that renovations that you did to approve the draw request. Submit your draw request as soon as possible so that your money, you had to pay your vendors. James: So this is the capital or replacement reserve, what we're talking about here?  Rama: Exactly. So you renovated like say five, ten units and usually the bridge loans, other loans which we have escrow money. Get the draw request and then get the money at least and then you can pause. The idea here is to release what you did to now, get the money, pay your vendors and pause your renovations for some time until this is done. Another aspect is until it is utilities, because now everybody's at home. They're going to use all their deliveries for the maximum, the water, the electricity, the heaters, the air conditions, and the internet, everybody utility company is right now maxed to the capacity. So just keep it down on the utilities and see how things are going on that. All bills paid or you're doing the reps program. Do you need to increase the reps? Like whatever it is, just keep an eye on it. It'll definitely be a much higher. James: Yeah. I think because everybody's staying at home right now and the one or two months when the utility bill hits to everyone is going to be much higher and now I appreciate why all this spend people go to work, somebody else is paying for their utilities when they are at work. Now operators do feel the heavy load here, but it is what it is.   Rama: And also the load on this, if you're continuously using something like your HVACs maybe break broken, or your water, something that issues that you need to make sure that you do the regular maintenance of these stuff and then make sure that you have ducks in row. Like, hey, we're talking to the Water Company, talking to your Plummer, talking to your electrician or HVAC Company, making sure they're ready for any service request that comes in. Because if the HVAC broken or some water broken, last thing is that the tenants are not happy.    James: Correct. Correct.    Rama: So I think we discussed it the month to month of high risk tenants, rental increases on this. Yes. Pausing all upgrades and the distribution side. Another thing is we've talked about lenders, talked about the tenants but you did not think about the investors. If you're syndicating this deal or if you have the private money that you raised or whatever that you have investors in your deal, make sure that you inform them about what's going on and how well your assets are performing and what are the things that you are doing as an operator to get some of these strategies are what your strategies that you're already applying to whether this storm and maybe there are some other great topics, uncomfortable things that you need to talk to them. Say there might be some pause on distributions because we don't know what's going on here. We need to preserve the cash, preserve our reserves right now, what if this goes beyond 90 days. So maybe pause or reduce your distributions or pause it for now and then you can catch back once everything kind of settles down. That's one of the conversations you should have. James: Yeah. Make sure, I mean, just a caution to everyone who's listening. Make sure that any operators are communicating to the passive investors more frequently than what they used to know. This is very important right now. Just because everyone knows Covid19 is happening, the whole country is in a lockdown, doesn't mean that you can't communicate. So make sure you communicate all your plans and what are you doing to your passive investors? Rama: I think we kind of came through this reprint reserves. We need to make sure that you're are person maintenance; so make sure that now is the time that you have a pause. So you can actually flag kind have all your depreciated items, have HVACs these other things. Make sure that you have all of them done properly. Also, again, the same thing, use audit, full use audit to categorize your employers. So their dependents are at risk or not. James: Yeah, I mean, you can do a general lease audit as well because most of the time, right now our offices are closed for public. Most of the apartment office. So in my company, most of my staff are doing lease audits. Just as part of the normal thing, but to keep them busy.    Rama: So this is the right time, everybody give it time we are running, now is the best time to profile your tenants lease audits and make sure that what strategies that you can employ to make them in place and again, same thing as utility, like just how you can do savings of utilities. Is it a new water leaks that are happening. Let's see your old bills in the last six months or one year. See any patterns that you can identify or any other measures that you can save utilities because the utilities will be stressed in the next a few months. Again from the expenses side, completely renegotiating all your contracts and [27:30unclear] every insurance, everything that you spend, your controllable expenses like non-controllable, property taxes and mortgage. You cannot do anything. Maybe yes, if you can refinance now if you have ability you can do that, if the rates are low. But if the controllable expenses you have the negotiating ability, your pool vendor, hey, pause for a few months or maybe renegotiate the contracts, go through every line expenses that you have and try to get renegotiate these things.    There are even companies it seems, which can do like this, that can help you go through all your bills and then find anything that you can renegotiate the contract. The thing is noise notices because now everybody's home. There will be a lot of complaints. Hey, like my neighbor is making a lot of noise. Make sure that you again send it across back to the tenant notification saying after nine o'clock it is a quiet time for what it is like in the night. Any of the notices that you want to do, the courtesy notices to make sure that everybody's people are working from home. Whatever it is and again, so a lot of people kind of saying maybe on the section eight, what's yours? Maybe this is a time to think about rethink...   James: It's the best time to get section eight vouchers because that's guaranteed income for now.        Rama: Exactly. So if your property is already approved and you have a few tenants in section eight now go through, go to your city and say, hey, do you want any more? We have vacancies right now. Hey, absolutely we have so many people are looking at it and we are already approved as section eight for your property, they'll let them send your way. And you can fill up easily and these are at least for the next one to two years, it'll be like in a way standard and then not all section eight is bad, just make sure that you profile your tenant properly and then...   James: Yeah. And I also heard that the government provided a lot more funding for housing people so there could be a lot more section eight vouchers coming in and what you're saying, they're not bad people. I mean they are definitely a lot of good people there you just have to make sure that you screen them properly and make sure you get the good ones.    Rama: Yes. I think we kind of briefly touched based on this too about the [29:57unclear] and all the forgivable loans or the loans and then property managers can use some of these loans. Each LLC, that own asset can use this. Check with your lending terms to see that it's not violating any terms. There are a couple of things, I got it from the CVRE webinar, make sure that you have fire productions on the building equipment and backups and mission critical operations that you have. These are kind of into the back-end of it that we already usually ignore. Make sure that all the buildings are inspected properly by the fire inspection because now that everybody's at home, there are higher chances of some of the stuff they could make big dormant happen. Do you have your backups of emergency?  And then any mission critical operations your cooling any heating water or anything, we have redundancy on these things. Make sure that you're building physical aspects of your buildings, make sure that you do those and then if you don't have credit card payments, for rent payments, make sure to enable them and also inform tenants that you can pay rent through credit card or maybe in that you can actually give back the money or the transaction fees. Usually in a credit card payment there is a two and a half percent transaction fee. Hey, you can use credit card. If you use a credit card, let us know. We can refund you the transaction fee.    James: Yeah. That's something that we are happy because we moved all to online payment for the past one year. So now it's so much easier during this kind of thing because...   Rama: Especially if you're not yet on the credit card payment option, make sure that you talk to your property management software and enable that and then also inform them, Hey, like you already have ACH but you have an option to pay through credit card. That's another thing and also another incentive is, I think Neil was using his, if you can give some credit, if they pay the rent before fifth of the month, or if you pay April and May upfront now you'll get a $100 off or $150 off. Give them incentive to pay for the next two to three months upfront. So that if somebody has that capability to do it now they can use up the program and they can get, they can get a credit for that and make sure, again, this one is, I think should be the first stop. If you're working with the tenant, either a late payment waiver or a traded audit, lease modification, any other that you're working with them, make sure that they show the letter that they lost their job. Otherwise people will make use of these features that you would actually giving. So that's the primary and then the couple of things we already talked about the short term rent leases and renegotiating the contracts and other one is primary, the model unit. Now that nobody's coming in and seeing the units, maybe you can use your model unit as lease apartment for short term, but this is the [33:07unclear] idea and lease to traveling nurses because right now with the Covid a lot of these hospitals are actually getting healthcare professional from outside, from other towns, other places and they're hiring more people as a temporary staff, but these traveling nurses and healthcare professionals need to have some place to stay. You can go; I had to find this link, James. I'll talk to Ellie and then send it to you as well later on; you can put it into your notes.   James: Is this a link for traveling nurses?   Rama: Yeah, there is a way to find out these people and then post your apartments there. Hey, if your apartment is say five to ten miles from a hospital major hospital and you can actually use these resources to actually post, hey, we have available short term rentals, maybe for lease or not, we can give you this for the next 90 days to 120 days. That's another way to actually fill a unit. James: That's awesome, it looks like we went through the list. So let me add one more thing, which I just remembered. If you have never done a virtual 3D tour of your units, you want to prepare right now, there's a lot of photographers out there that they can do a virtual 3D two of the units. Right now that's very useful because right now we can't use our leasing agents to go and tour the units, we just tell them to go themselves or drive around or look at the pictures or look at the videos. But if they have a really nice virtual 3D picture, there'll be a really good way to attract leases to you. Rama: Rentally has a self-touring technology. You can purchase webcams. So if you're using Rentally, also Rentally is also an app into existing property management. You can put the webcams there. You don't need to be there, your leasing staffs are not exposed. So they can come in 24/7, you'll send them the lock core. You'll open the unit and you can monitor from your leasing office or whatever desk you are and then do that, Rentally has that. James: Yeah, I did look at that as well. So that's awesome. Rama, thanks for sharing this. Is there anything else you want to mention to the audience and the listeners? Rama: Yeah, I think we have some light on the other end of the tunnel. The government is helping us. Hopefully I think this will pass and we'll back stronger and stay safe.    James: Yeah. Yeah. Multifamily is still one of the best asset classes to invest in because there's so much help we are getting from all our different sauces. Imagine if you are an office or warehouse or industrial or everything is closed down, or hotels. Right now things are doing really badly in that asset classes. But shelter is part of the Maslow's hierarchy of needs, food, shelter and safety. So absolutely everybody needs housing to stay on and live on.  So thanks for coming in and hopefully we can add this as soon as possible and that's it. Thank you very much, Rama.    Rama: Yeah. Thank you, James.   

James: Hi audience and listeners this is James Kandasamy from Achieve Wealth through Value at Real Estate Investing podcast. Today I have Anton Mattli from Peak Multifamily who is one of the leading multifamily financing agencies. Anton is a CEO of a big multifamily funding. He graduated from Zurich Business School. He's from Switzerland originally, love Switzerland for the view of it and he has been advising family officers’ high net worth individuals and has done billions and billions of dollars of loans. Anton and I was discussing before this interview started saying it's not fair for lenders to declare how many billions they have done because that can be a lot of money but the experience level and the knowledge and the acumen of the industry matters a lot when you're doing financing. Hey Anton, welcome to the show. Anton: Yeah. Hi James. Thanks for having me. James: Absolutely, absolutely. Actually we are having, originally I planned to have a meeting with you to talk about what could happen similar to 2008 crisis because we have been talking about it for past few months, but now we are in the middle of corona virus recession, I would say and we are in the first or second week of this happening. So basically we don't have to predict what the recession can be, but we can predict what are the outcome from this event could be. I think a few months ago you and I have a lot of discussions about how the market would turn, how dangerous is the market right now in terms of operators or sponsors or syndicators buying things because overleveraged, overpriced and all that. What were your thoughts before this Covid19 recession came about and how was your state of mind in terms of how the economy was and how everyone was buying deals and we'll go into the details on Covid19 and what's happening now? Anton: Sure. As you write on the operator side have seen quite a number of deals that for me personally didn't make sense but I didn't know a deal was financeable from a lender perspective, from a debt service called [02:36unclear] particularly when it's an agency loan, does not necessarily mean that it's a good deal from an equity investor perspective. Even though we were able to finance some of these deals with a number of them I would not have felt comfortable to invest in those deals. There were plenty of deals that still made a lot of sense, so don't get me wrong, it's not all of them, but there were only the number of deals that in my view, didn't make sense over the last two years, only have increased dramatically compared to before. At the same time we have also arranged bridge loans and as you probably know, bridge lenders, they're extremely active. They have taken a major activity uptake over the last few years.  So there was a lot of competition in the bridge lending space, which meant that you were easily able to get 80% of cost for your C class property and sometimes in really tough locations and bridge loans make perfect sense when it's a true value-add deal. When it's not really a value add and it's mostly to do with soft rehab, but you feel that you get the agency loans when you need it and you go with a bridge loan, then I think it was much more problematic. So with that obviously we have seen quite a number of these bridge loans and deals that I believe particularly in the current environment will likely struggle. Because this bridge lenders they are not like the agencies and that came down now with the forbearance offer. Don't expect that from bridge lenders. James: Yeah, I know. It's crazy. Now I feel so happy. I'm all in [04:41unclear] for the past one and a half year I've moved to [04:45unclear]. So are you saying on the bridge side there is no forbearance or what's happening on the bridge side with the Covid19 crisis right now? Anton: Well as a general rule, bridge lenders have never been; some of them, the good bridge lenders they have always been willing to make adjustments when they see that a borrower is behind of the original plan, the ones that are really in there as a partner, they have been willing to cooperate and I think those lenders, and they are not really that many among all the bridge lenders that are out there, they will continue during these times to help a borrower to get through that time. But the majority of bridge lenders are not maybe staying, very often it's not their own money so they essentially have orders behind that that they buy into and they have kind of an obligation to fulfil that loan agreement to the letter and their investors demand that they fulfil their obligation as per the loan agreements.  So some of them are very aggressive just by nature and the others have to force from the investors they have the loan funded from do actually go into enforcement or you can call it loss mitigation as the nice term sounds with these loans very forcefully and very quickly.  So now maybe the [06:25unclear] is a little bit of a shine of positive light here that they may say, look, yes, we could foreclose right now, but maybe it's not a good time to do the foreclosure now anyhow so let's just go through another couple of months and then see if we want to foreclose. But it's still in my view that just kicked the can down the road for a very brief period of time until they go all way in with their loss mitigation process.  James: But I think it only depends on what's happening in April, right? I mean, we have another 10 more days to go [07:03unclear]. But in general, I am already seeing even in my properties, they are residents who are declaring that they can't pay and this $3000 a door family units. I'm not sure, as you mentioned they're going to use it for rent or is it one time? I'm not sure for how many months is that? But the thing is the delinquency will be higher. So I believe the sponsors or syndicators who are halfway to value add and right now they are not done with the value add. So their value add might be struggling. If it goes below certain level, they're going to be stuck because it's going to be negative and as you mentioned, bridge lenders are or private people. They have the obligation to whoever gave them the money.  Anton: That's right. Yeah. So if you have already a property that is, let's say a third empty because you planned all your rehab, even if you do rehab, a lot of tenants that you now can attract and so you would have to attract them with very aggressive terms. If you find them and then you still know that at that level that you need to be based on your performance, which the lender wants to essentially base their decision on to release more rehab money for future doors. So then essentially that rehab money sits with the bridge lender, you have not performed as per the loan agreements. So if you want to go ahead further, you need to inject more equity. James: Yeah. It's basically... Anton: It's kind of a vicious cycle. James: Yeah, it's a downward spiral because now I believe on the bridge sites, a lot of loan are based on LTV, loan to value and they're going to assume the values are going to drop. Because now your rent is going to drop [08:54unclear]. Anton: Yeah. It's a combination of loan to value, but as you go through the draw process, it's more driven by some amount of collections that you need to achieve and why and then the dead deals that you need to achieve with that. So it's a little bit of a different measuring sticks. But at the end of the day, it doesn't really matter what you use, it's maybe hard to achieve these points that you need to meet at some point in the timeline, then you property is not performing and so the reality is all these bridge loans they typically have very aggressive timelines to start with. So if you fall behind just by a couple of months, it can become very problematic. When it says after six months we should achieve this and you are essentially behind by two or three months and it continues to go in the same direction as you fall behind once you are at the enrolment then, and so long. So I would say the ones that have enough cash on their own that they can inject as needed, they will be fine. So the ones that suffer the most are the sponsors that just kind of get by with their own personal financials and they don't have the ability to inject a couple of hundred thousand as needed to get the ball rolling at the property. James: Yeah. But it is tricky, right? Right now, I mean most sponsors can use this Covid19 and burn the equity and get out or they can keep on injecting and try to; because no one knows what's going to happen in the next six months. So it's a gamble. A lot of sponsors or syndicators need to take whoever on the bridge loan if they need to continue injecting more money or give it back to the bridge lender. But right now they have a valid reason. They can say the whole world is collapsing. I'm getting out now.  Anton: Yeah. If you're a syndicator. So you essentially can ask your investors, look, we are in really deep trouble. Do we want to inject more money? Generally I would say what typically should happen is that you do a capital call and if no one wants to do it, then you would have to lend yourself or you come up with the equity yourself. But in most instances it's not equity, but it's more a loan by the partners. But again, that all requires that the channel partners actually have the cash available if we lend to the property and a lot of them I've seen out there they don't have that capacity. So they'll be very interesting. Obviously that always assumes that things really get bad but we don't know yet. Maybe it's a miracle and all that stimulus money somehow entices these tenants to pay the rent. Obviously I hope for you and for everyone else who operates properties that that's going to happen. But based on history I don't think that that is really going to happen. I think last night I do have Brian on and he was referring to the situation during the hurricanes in Houston and that's a perfect example I would say but you cannot compare with 2008, I think we all agree with that, but certainly what happened with Harvey and the flooding is probably much better comparison. Because everything had to be shut down. It was very localized, but it had to be shut down. As Brian correctly mentioned like the properties across the board suffered with delinquencies. So I would say we will likely see that we just do not know yet how big the percentages by asset class and by location. I think it will depend a lot on locations obviously places like the Northeast, the greater New York City areas only suffer more. Same thing in Washington State, in Texas we would have to see how bad it is. Obviously we have also the additional element of oil and gas that has laid a massive negative role here for us in Texas, particularly for the property owners in Houston and we don't even have to talk about Midland and Odessa. But even in Houston it's only something that will in addition to Covid19 will have a negative impact on these properties. So it will be very fascinating to see how the performance looks like in the next a few months. James: Yeah, I'll get a good indication in the next 10 days. But we are already getting our property managers to start probing with tenants and who's having trouble and all that. So we are compiling that, trying to understand and trying to work with them. Some kind of payment plans. That's what Texas apartment association or we call it TAA has given us guidance. But I think a lot of it depends on which sub market you are in. I mean, I know sometimes we use and it depends on and then people think, okay, my property's good but there's a lot more details to it. So whether you have a base manufacturing in that area or not, or whether you are CTO or whenever you invest it's a lot of its service industry or not a service industry is dead right now. Las Vegas, we used to be the best place to invest before two weeks ago, but up until now, the whole Las Vegas is closed down. I'm sure you people don't have money there because they are both more leisure business and gambling, hotel business. So basically there's no money, so within two weeks, things change now. So compared to places where there's a lot of manufacturing happening, this diversity of employment, you can still reduce the rent slightly and then you still get people who can pay because they are still being employed. Anton: That's right. Yeah. Yeah. And if you're right next to an Amazon logistics center, you're probably good. James: Correct. Correct. Correct. Absolutely. Absolutely. I am still getting rent right now, up to now for the past two, three days, I'm still getting rents for April, so that's a good sign but ours is all automated. It's all virtual. So probably they already set up, the ACH is all coming online, but we'll know more in the next 5 to 10 days, where it's very interesting times. But as I say, I mean last time, everybody was doing very well because the market was doing very well. Right now no sub market location becomes very important and the good thing is whoever has this agency load, I think they have many ways to weather this; either take the forbearance or just ride it through because your loan is there. But guys with short term loan, this is very, very tricky right now and you talked about the bridge loans and all that. Do you see the same issue with loans on credit union, the banks, small banks and all that? Do you think they still have issues similar to bridge loan guys? Anton: No. I mean, what we have seen was actually so far has been very positive where particularly these small credit unions and banks have been very cooperative in finding solutions better rates for barons. And that seen before it started. Why it's almost like, okay, we understand, we are reaching a now a tough period of time and that you're willing to either modify it along to stretch it out to lower the right. So they feel very at least a good number of them that we have heard back from, from various borrowers have had a very good experience there. James: Got it, got it. So are they being managed by a FHK well? The small banks and credit unions? Anton: No, it's all balance sheet based. So these are really the easy loans to long straddle which unite the loans and then secured the heist then too, they are in the same boat as I would say all the other loans that are out there. I'm talking the ones that typically it's more the small loans somewhere in the $300,000 to maybe 2 million, 3 million range. So not really the large lumps, they are some exceptions there but they are loans that are not a significant burden on their balance sheets and it's much better for them to work out these existing lumps that they have on the balance sheet that are on the basis of still that we sound them just going through a hard time but they are willing to work it out with the borrowers. So that's really for the ones that are on balance sheets and the ones that really have had success, the borrowers or the ones that have already very good established relationships with these banks. So they know the owners or the branch manager and that brings us back to that relationship. Now is more important than ever. Whether you do a new loan now or whether you already have an existing loan, the way you will have managed your relationships, whether it's your tenants, whether it's your property management company, whether it's your lender. Now that all comes back to you but if you treated them badly, they will remember if he treated them well, they are more willing to work with you. James: Yeah. And just for the audience, I mean, if you guys read my book, Passive Investing in Commercial Real Estate, I did very, very specifically mentioned that bridge loans may not be the best loan during the market peak. I'm not sure how many people read my book, but I did mention it there and that was written like two years ago. As I say, I stopped doing it just for my peace of mind and I want to make sure that I protect my investors’ money as much as possible than doing these flips at the end of the cycle and giving them; taking  large risk and trying to do a flip at the end. I rather go on a much better, safer bet with the better finance strategy. So when was this triggered to you? I know we are talking about; I think we are like two weeks into this crisis right now. But this happens so quickly. When did you feel like, okay, we are in trouble right now because you and I spoke and we had like 12 different reasons why the market can go bad. We have Brexit, I don't know if we have 12 things. I can't remember what the exact things. We had so many things we laid out what could go wrong, but I believe this is completely out of the norm. A medical health issue, a virus infection that's causing everybody to stay at home. I mean, is that right? When did you start to think that, oh my God, this could be the next recession? Anton: Yeah, I mean, we have seen already pressure in the system for a while, where we have seen that already [21:06unclear] was an issue and in the banking system we have seen it already last fall and we have seen it in January and February. Just because of the all whole world view that we have reached a point where everyone is getting more concerned. But it was still possible with the fad essentially doing all these liquidity measures in the past, as soon as there was the slightest view that there might be a little bit of a slowdown. So they were able to essentially put as much liquidity into the market as they needed to. Now, I would say the current situation and where we are now on the lending side really has started just about two weeks ago. It's not that it really built up. Obviously everyone was watching what was happening in China and then slowly in Europe. And as it was building up in Europe, suddenly the clouds came out. But you may recall at that point the treasuries dropped significantly. The fed already dropped the rates once and that actually resulted in some of the best time to borrow and to refinance. So that we had maybe a period of two weeks, maybe three weeks. But I think it was just around two weeks. Then we were able to get essentially 10 year and 12 year loans at close to 3%. I know someone that was not arranged through us, but I know someone who bought the rate that was below 3%, I think it was 2.94 or something like that and that lasted really just for a brief period of time until two weeks ago and everyone realized we have a problem and that problem really just was shown again in the market that there was no liquidity. And the fed will stay in coming out with their one and a half trillion injection where they said we are going to buy as much treasuries as we need and we are going to buy commercial papers and that still didn't do anything to the market. And then so the spreads started to do tighten on the agency loans at that point and then we were up into the mid two, three, 3% in Olin rates. And then this weekend and the lamps, as you may recall last weekend, that we, the fed announced that they are now buying also agency NBS for as much as it is needed. So now obviously the hope was there that they would provide the contents to the market that was so much liquidity that they are willing to put into the market that no investor in these NBS should be concerned and that that would stabilize at least the multifamily market. Always leave a half note to say that they will buy all the commercial mortgage backed securities like hospitality or retail based NDS. But it still did not help when it came to the agency side. And I would say that was probably the biggest surprise so then that deal ended on Sunday and then on Monday the agency spreads actually went up by 75 to 100 basis points. So, even though they announced it that they will buy us many agency mortgage backed securities as the market needs to get the liquidity in the market, obviously they didn't believe it and spreads moved up even further and we all still in the same situation today.  So if you wanted to get into new agency loan today with the new Fannie loan, ten year Fannie loan, your rate will be at four and a half percent for a large Fannie loan that passed some form of, as we call it, permission-based, like with affordability elements to it. If there was no affordability element to it, you're probably closer to 5%; and that's coming up from just three weeks ago when we were at the low threes. That's all grim because the markets, there are no buyers out there, so no one is able to price right now. Obviously the hope that that will be sorted out and I think as market participants see how the impact on multifamily is going to be in April or May it will calm down because then they understand how big that impact is and are able to determine where the priority should be, but until then, it's essentially there is an old one that is buying. That puts Fannie and Freddie in a very difficult position because obviously they are obligated to buy that loan from a lender that originates that loan and then they need to securitize it and sell it. They do not want to keep it on their book.  Even if they keep it on their book, they still have half the credit risk transfer buyers that they are going to so they're good. Fannie score has always been that they will find and Freddie too that they find other risk participants and in order to find them, the loans need to be priced so that these risks, participants are willing to buy whatever share of risks that they are participating in and right now, no one is willing to take that risk. James: I know it is crazy. I mean where we are looking at to do deals or to refinance should wait a few more weeks or because, I don't know, a few more weeks or months or what do you [27:43unclear]? Anton: Yes. I think for refi is in my view is easier. Why? Because you are not really under immediate pressure unless you're really in a very difficult financial situation. But then it's probably the last thing to consider refinancing now. I would wait on the refinancing side until the market has calmed down. Why would you want to now deal with an interest rate that is four and a half to 5% when the 10 year treasury holders are under 1%. If the market calms down, there is a reasonable expectation that the spread narrows again and that you're back down. Maybe not to the three and a half, but maybe in 4% or four and a quarter. It is such an uncertain time, but in my view it just doesn't make sense to campaign and apply for refinancing. Also the other point is since your future collections are still taken into consideration. If you apply today, a lender may underwrite your T12 up to March and everything looks great and as April and May and June come in and if the drop is pretty significant, that will impact your loan proceeds at that point too. So not only have you applied for a loan potentially at a very high rate but now with the loan proceeds are getting customers. There is so much uncertainty that in my view just doesn't make sense right at this point unless it's an absolute emergency to do so. When it comes to acquisitions I mean it needs to be a blazing deal in my view to even consider an acquisition. Because you have the same situation. How you negotiate with a seller? What clauses can you put into a contract in terms of occupancy and in terms of collections that a seller would feel comfortable with, but you are also comfortable with? Because that's really what you should do, in my view, if you go under a new contract, you should say that the occupants who need to be at certain level and the collections need to be at a certain level. And if not, then it's going to be through a re-trade.  If you don't have that, then I think the risk is just too high. And on the other side with the loan, it's essentially the same thing. So yes, you can apply for that loan, but unless you have these clauses in that PSA, you'll run the risk that you go in for a higher price. You should reprice the seller, but you cannot. But the loan amount is still being cut. So my recommendation is if you find that deal the first step is we need to get these clauses with the seller and the PSA. And if you have these clauses the way out, then you need to decide whether it's worthwhile to spend, let's say 20,000 in loan application fees and all that that you may lose. But that's ultimately the session that depends on that you feel that deal is so good. So I wouldn't say don't do it, but have these clauses in that PSA that allows you to re-trade with the seller that essentially then reflects the lower loan proceeds that you would likely get the occupancy and collection slow. James: Got it. Got it. Got it. Yeah, and also, I think it's a very tricky situation. You want to raise money but I'm sure if you find a deal, which is screaming good and you fear an experienced operator, you probably can raise the money. But it's just so uncertain right now and I don't know whether you probably already know this, I heard Fannie Mae right now is asking everyone to put like 12 months principle and taxes and insurance into escrow, I guess, right? Anton: Yes. Up to 18 month. It depends on the tier, if you're on tier two; it's up to 18 months. It's massive. At least I say it's cap that 10% of the loan amount, it's a massive amount. So obviously what does that mean? Now you need to raise more money. So you've likely also, I would say there haven't really lowered the LTV or increased that service, Coleridge recline that may come too but I would say it's more on a deal by deal basis anyhow now but let's assumes they are still in place that you still get can get these maximum leverage and the same service coverage. Just the fact that you have full these escrow that you need to build is a on top of the higher interest rate deal, which means that you need to get the lower price from the seller, there is just no way around. James: Yeah. Yeah. I think Fannie is just saying we are actually out of the market, but if you can meet this, we maybe come back. Let me just basically break it down. Anton: Yes, that's right. Yes. Yes. So actually that's always the conventional Freddie side and Fannie on the Freddie SPL side. I mean there has nothing being communicated officially, but there are solely some rumours that Freddie may stop any new origination for a certain period of time just to see their things all settled. So it will be again, the next few weeks will be extremely fascinating to watch how the market participants will from tenants to operators to lenders respond and right now we just do not know, but it's already extremely difficult even to get an agency loan into place that makes sense. But also would say it's really dangerous if someone still seek quotes from brokers and lenders that come in at the three and a half percent, because I guess they often threaten you or just to get the borrowers into the door knowing that it will be re-traded. That is another thing that borrowers really need to be acutely aware of. Do not trust any quote until you have it validated and validated, ask the broker, ask the lender multiple times, is that still valid?  Again, what we said just a couple of days ago is already outdated. It's important to be really on top of it and know what the current situation looks like. So maybe just to go quickly back to the forbearance discussion. Obviously it's a very attractive program. It's good news when you have agency loans, but I still would caution to use that forbearance and just would, because you can. Both Fannie and Freddie obviously they have implemented it.  It came down from FHA, so it was not really Fannie and Freddie that wanted to do it, but it's essentially a government driven decision that it's necessary and I think it's the right thing to do and it's a very good backstop for all the operators. However, if you operate the property in a good fashion or take it if you have owned the property already for a year or two years you should have enough operating reserves to get through a month or two without having already to suffer so much with let's say a 20% or even 30% collection loss that we needed to go back to the lender and ask for forbearance.  Now could you do it? I would say you probably could, but generally speaking I would say you really should only go back when you see that you are getting close to the 1.01105 of that service cover and essentially make a case, look, it's all bad at my property. I have a collection drop for 40% or whatever it is, I need your help. But if let's say the drop is 10% or even 15%, even 20% and you go right now to Fannie and Freddie they may agree to it, but I think it will be a negative Mark with them down the road when you go for a new loan that they feel that you really haven't attempted to work out the solution on your own first before you lend to them. So I will just to be a little bit careful there in how quickly you want to pull that trigger.  James: Yeah. Yeah. And also forbearance is not free. You have to make sure you don't even meet the person for 90 days or whatever time that you're getting that forbearance.  Anton: Yeah. That's actually an interesting part. So with Fanny, it's actually not just the 90 days. If you have that forbearance, so you're allowed essentially you have that 90 days and then you can pay it back over a stretch off twelve months without any late fees and interest charge on it. Now, Fannie has communicated that you are not allowed to extend the 90 days of forbearance, which is obvious, but also that you're not allowed to be late until you bring the loan current, which includes that 12 month of repayment period if you choose to scratch it out for the 12 months. Now, Freddy so far only refer to the 90 days. I suspect that they just forgot to mention that by the way, you need to bring it current. So I have seen it on Facebook and in some other places where people say, well, Freddy is easier because you only need to have 90 days. The eviction is halted and then you can do it again.  I suspect Freddy will probably also come out and announce that you need to bring the loan current and only then are you allowed to run your evictions again. So in other words if you want to or if you need to go back to normal that your property allows to do action, the property manager, you essentially do pay after these 90 days, then if you do not and you want to stretch out for an another three month or all the way up to 12 months, you essentially have potentially 15 months at your property. They cannot do any of evictions at all.  James: How do they track whether you're doing evictions or not?  Anton: I don't know how they... James: There's no way to? Anton: Well always a way that they can, I'm pretty sure that they all have access to the local court system and validate that you have not filed any evictions.  James: Got it. Great. Yeah, but somehow it may trigger bad [39:49unclear] if you go and not follow the agreement [39:53unclear]? Anton: That's a good question.  James: You can only say you violated our agreement, so... Anton: Maybe it's not triggering the bad [40:02unclear] but don't go back to Fannie or Freddie if you didn't follow these rules to the dot.  James: Okay. Got it. Got it. So it's just so crazy. So I mean are you already seeing that a sponsors and syndicators are getting bridge letters for people on bridge? I mean it's still very early right now to say?  Anton: No, we haven't seen anything, what we have seen is that the number of bridge lenders walked away from their loans at the last moment, I mean there are several bridge loans that we know of. Lucky for us it was none that we were arranging, but I know of a number of a sponsors that had bridge loan commitments in place that are supposed to close within a week to two weeks and the bridge lender said sorry we cannot fund. So these are situations that have happened already. It's more that lenders essentially have pulled out, but we haven't heard anything yet on existing loans that are in place by then. It's really too early. We need to see how April comes in and I would say probably takes until May until things get really bad, if a property has a massive loss of collections.  James: Based on your experience, because you have gone through 2008 and you have been in the industry for a very long time. Let's say right now Covid19 is gone within one month, so everybody start going to work, what will the impact be as we move forward to the financial market? Because that's a big shock happened in the financial market. There are a lot of people, who didn't have income for one or two months, is there a downward spiral or are we a good back again, the sun shines and everything goes back to normal. Where do you see it? What would happen? Anton: I wish I had a crystal ball, but I think the harder we land over the next few months. I think the quicker the upturn is going to be, but I still feel that they probably will take 18 months to two years until we are truly stabilized. I know some feel that everything will jump back up again right afterwards. I think the damage to consumer confidence will still be a lingering around for quite some time. Yes, there is that pent up demand for some items, but places will still suffer particularly the small businesses, some of them really are suffering tremendously and some of them are not able to come back and also I think a lot of the service employees, restaurants will be very slow in hiring. It also the reason to keep wages lower so it's the impact I think on the GDP or we probably go through obviously little jump up very quickly, again, form from a deep drop, but this year it definitely will be negative in my view but Goldman Sachs talks about roughly 3.8% for the year after a 25% drop. I think Morgan Stanley in talks about a 30% drop, who knows? But I think when you look back on 2008, also when you look back into the savings and loan crisis I haven't been around for the actual savings and loan crisis in the past but I was when I first started out in New York in banking, I was involved with a lot of the workouts of loans that went through in the early nineties that were caused during the savings and loan crisis in the 80's. So it still took several years to get out of that. And as we have seen in 2008 it took a long time to get back running. Yes, it was a very different situation then, but here the shock, in my view, is so much faster and also it's at the global level, the global economy is suffering so much and a lot of the US companies are dependent on global rate too. So everything just will take much longer to recover. That's my personal view and again, I think it probably will take two years, 18 months to two years just to fully stabilize.  James: Got it. Got it. So yeah, that's a lot of discussion about, H=hey, this is going to be a sharp V. So we go down very quickly we're going to come back and everything is normal. Even the government saying our economy's going to be roaring back again and everybody go back, it's normal again, but what you're saying is in terms of recovery, a lot of us businesses, global trade, yes, impacted, maybe the hiring would be slowed down because the profit has been lost I guess. They want to be careful, I guess. But for example, let's say a restaurant has been closed down for two months, so the third month they open again, back to business again. So do you think that will be slower in terms of hiring as well? I mean, because they're back in business. I mean they probably have two months of rent that they didn't pay.  Anton: So it won't be very interesting to see how the human behavior is going to be at that point. So particularly the first six months to nine months. So you have seen that if all the governors at federal level to say now we all clear, obviously the virus is still lingering. So I think people will still practice a little bit more of that social distancing. Everyone is a little bit more careful. Personally I feel air travel will probably not pick up nearly as fast. Why? Because everyone feels why should I want to be in that airplane with other people next to me, I cannot really walk away. Also I think launch events will have a much harder time to come back. It's really hard to tell but I just feel based on all the downturns we have gone through. Very often people say, well it comes back fast and I think the initial recovery undoubtedly will be extremely strong. I think there is no doubt about that because we are essentially shut down to a large extent so it has to come back drastically. But really come back to the confidence level, where we were before I think it will take much longer.  James: So you're talking about consumer confidence?  Anton: Yes, yes and business confidence.  James: Got it, got it, got it. Yeah, I mean I read somewhere that consumer confidence is the most important indicator for any economy or any crash or any recovery. If that comes up, everything comes up; if that goes down, everything goes down no matter what you do that consumer confidence in terms of probably spending money and doing events and taking flights and so. So for example, let's look at class A, B and C renter’s base plus B and C is a lot of service industry. People are on pay check, pay check. I don't know I'm just thinking this quickly, they may be okay. So about third month, fourth month we are back in business. I mean, unless they are wage is lower than say impacted them but if their wage is the same they probably have that wage coming back to them again. Maybe they are scared. Maybe they want to go to a lower rental amount. Maybe, I do not know. But I think still the impact to the flights and to the big companies it's going to be more because now this is a global trade. So could that be the A-class renters are more impacted compared to B and C in the long run? I'm not sure. I'm just thinking this quickly.  It depends on how fast it comes back and what is the wage they are getting and how confident they are buying.   Anton: It think when you look at most people that live in any class properties they have really decent jobs and always leave some of these jobs are now being lost or at least they are in a furlough, so they are not getting paid right now. So they can collect their unemployment; and I would say if they cannot afford it then the A class, they may move down to the B class. So that's where I would see people that struggle in these shops do not get back that I need to move down into B. I just do not see that someone who is in an A class will be willing to go into a C class property. So I would say they would probably rather move somewhere else than into a C class property. I feel kind of the same for the people that live in B class properties that moving into a C class property is for them in my view, is also kind of the last resort. Now the big question is how the residential market will evolve. We haven't even talked about that, will there be a massive dropping in prices in the short term, because no one now in some markets can even see properties.  James: Are they getting forbearance as well, the single family houses?  Anton: I think when you are a residential and not active at all in in the single family space but my understanding is if it's your own primary residence, you get forbearance you can apply for forbearance too but not for less than property. But I think I'm more wondering how it would work for someone who is in the B class property would they have an opportunity potentially then buy a property and if still not able to buy your single family home. Whether they will be able to rent a single family home instead. I just do not feel, and again, some people say that doing the last downturn, a lot of people move down from A to B and from B to C, it's hard to track. I do know that really believe anyone has been able to properly track that, but based, at least on what I have seen during that time, there was not really much movement. There was a lot of moves from A to B because of that pricing point, but it's still a decent quality property. When you are used to an A class property, but they have not really seen much coming from a B class to a C class. But again, I'm not an expert in this light there may be economist out there that have studied this.  I just feel that these movements are really happening. Now when it comes to the service employees I agree with you. Once they start back up, they need to employees right away. There is no doubt about that and that thing that's really in my view is kind of that positive flight for C class properties at the end of the tunnel. Once the shutdown is over and restaurants are able to operate again and stores are able to operate and all the other service type related business including hotels they have a job again.  James: Provided they don't have a negative wage growth, I guess which could happen as well.  Businesses may be covering this, but this is, I mean, within two miles, if I'm an operator, if I'm a restaurant, I will hire back the same people. I mean I have two options, either pay them the same amount before they leave or I pay them slightly lower. I just don't hire, that's the option [53:36unclear].  Anton: So there the question again is how many restaurants are able to reopen. So we just don't know if it's just for another month or two month, I would say the majority are able to cover the loss and go back to normal afterwards or go back to business. But a lot of them I think will without some form of a bailout, wherever that comes from will probably not be able to reopen. So that's fair. That question comes in. It's there all sort of pressure, at least in the short term on wages that whoever is in the service business now does not have as much choices as they've had pre-Covid19.  James: What about the construction loan? What's happening in that space? I mean people with construction that is ongoing right now. From what I understand, the construction loan is also a loan where if the value of the building that you're constructing drops, they may ask whoever the developer is to put in more money right now, could they be in trouble as well?  Anton: Yeah. They haven't really seen that yet. It probably depends on what phase you're in, in that construction loan. If you're in the early phases or just started the earth movements or started with going vertical and you're still in year last to start your lease up, I don't really see that that impacts it that much. If you're already doing your lease up period span, I think you need to go back to your lender and find out how you can extend that loan. You'll see, usually you may have to do three years, two and a half to three years of the construction before you go into perm and you may not need another six month to complete that lease up, but if you're early or right in doing the construction I would say it shouldn't be such a big issue because when you consider the leverage for most of these loans is relatively low anyhow. Value at your 60, 65 of cost, maybe 60, 65 to value if it's a more an established sponsor. So the leverage is not really in most senses, it's not that high to start with. So I don't think that these lenders will be holding back. I'm more concerned about, again, the harm on the construction lenders that are out there too.  James: [56:31unclear] Anton: Yes. So where you are in your eight, nine, 10% construction loans, so these players I'm more concerned about. James: Is there a chance for the construction loan guys to say, okay, I'm not funding anymore because they go on draws based on the progress of construction. Is there a chance they said, okay, we are done. We are no more funding you; we are out, even though they have signed the commitment because they probably don't have the money. I mean it’s all come from some pool of money?  Anton: Yeah. I would say you have that risk. The law to the player I would say the less likely it is. I would say if you have a strong bank, a bank will continue to do lends, if you have a life insurance company that has provided that, they're likely will continue to lend and have the access to the funds but if it's a private lender then that would be probably more concerned that they are able to continue to fund the draws.  James: Yeah. That's interesting because I think in 2008 that's what happened. A lot of construction projects. Everything stopped because everybody ran out of money.  Anton: I mean, it could happen, we do not know but at least so far we haven't seen it where they have come to a complete halt. And again, the private space I do not know, but suddenly the institutional space hasn't come to complete halt yet.  James: Got it. So the other thing that I want to just give some education to the listeners is how a loan can be made from non-recourse to recourse. And I know since we talk offline in the past crash or you had that one of the function that you are familiar with or you are doing is like lenders are trying to figure out how to make deals from non-recourse to recourse. What are the potential ways that that can happen? I mean, we know we talk about this [58:48unclear] agency loans.  Anton: So obviously I think most of your lessons that for now have that [58:54unclear] which essentially means that if you cause fraud or gross negligence, then that loan can turn into a personal recourse and one of the examples for this kind of obvious when it comes to the property operations, when it comes to gross negligence can be that you are not maintaining the insurance. That can be, even if you forget about it, that's gross negligence. So even if it's unintentional, it's still gross negligence. If you do not verify that the insurance meets all the agency requirements, particularly when you might change the insurance from one to the other and the somehow you feel, oh, I get a better rate and then suddenly you get that better premium, but you may not meet all the requirements of the loan insurance requirements. So these are kind of the obvious things like this now will all be [1:00:10unclear]. James: But usually the agency have the specialized insurance department to verify all insurance requirements met whenever we change the insurance provider?  Anton: Well, yes they should. It's essentially the service server is supposed to track this but it's still up to you to verify that you would actually need these requirements. You cannot say well the service from that lender didn't save me anything so I'm fine, that's not the way it works. It's really important that with an insurance change, always leave if you'll get the approval from the insurance person that the lender or whoever they are hiring and gives the green light and it's a different story, but that's not as you are in a loan, that's not necessarily happening, I'm not talking about when you apply for the loan, but more down the road when you make changes to that insurance.  James: Yeah. Yeah. I mean, my experience has been like they are very, I mean, even I've made changes to my insurance and the insurance department is so particularly they go into every line item, they make sure we are reading it. So there could be some of those lenders, which is not doing a detailed job, I guess.  Anton: Yes, that's why and it really varies from lender to lender how detailed they are now. What a lot of people do not realize and that's something that we have to discussed offline is that  your representation and your order, guarantor representations when you apply for that loan are also part of that bad boy car found. So what that means is that if you or any of your guarantors make a representation when you apply for that loan, that can ruled as inaccurate. And I'm not talking about, oh, I put in a value for a property that I felt was a million and it's only 900,000 or 800,000. I'm talking about a gross misrepresentation of your financial strength, of your experience but particularly your financial strength that can be triggering that bad boy carve out and we have seen that in the past.  You need to understand why particularly when it comes to Fannie, what a lot of people do not know is that each Fannie lender has a loss share agreement with Fannie. So they take a loss. If Fannie takes a loss, they take a loss too. And though they have that first loss arrangement. So they have an interest of loss mitigation. And obviously if the property somehow will not pay back the loan plus all the accrued charges they need to look through all the solutions. Then one of the items is that they will have a in house or external lawyers look at all the representations that were made pre-application to approve that loan or aside from all the documentation that was submitted throughout the loan being in place.  So it's very important that you trust your partners that they are or not lying. We have seen it a lot, a lot of people claim that they are accredited investors and they are participating in deals that are a 506 deals and because we don't need to verify that you are an accredited investor with these 506 deal offerings but then they suddenly then pop up and do their own or attempt to do their own syndication and then you suddenly realize, well you are not really an accredited investor.  James: But that's not really a loan thing, that's more of a system guideline?  Anton: No, that's not a loan thing. I completely agree. But that is just an example of another thing to read, most people they are so desperate to get into deals, particularly on the GP side, so many times they are stretching the truth or into deals that they are sometimes stretching the truth of what the true situation. So it's really important to ensure that all the partners and guarantors that you have on board, that they are not grossly misrepresenting their situations. Whether it's experience, financial strength, that everything on the REO schedule is really true. No one is really verifying this.  James: Oh yeah, no one read that in detail.  Anton: No one is looking at tax returns. So there is solely a risk that someone can inflate their balance sheet and their experience tremendously without being verified.  James: Got it. Alright Anton, why don't you let our audience and listeners know how to get hold of you?  Anton: Yeah, sure. So my email address is anattli@peakmff.com and that's probably the easiest to reach May also then when you're on Facebook or LinkedIn, just type in my name and then I will pop up. It's a pretty unusual name, so you should find me there and I would say that's the easiest to reach me.  James: Awesome. Thanks for coming on the show. I think this is a really, really timely show in terms of discussing the loans and all that. So sometimes when nothing happens, when we talk about how risky bridge loans are, nobody really cares. No passive way to look at what a sponsor is taking loan; they just look at the numbers and did that. But keep in mind, I did write it in my book like two years ago. So if you have read it, I mean, there's a lot of resources out there as well. You would have been warned about it,  there is nothing wrong is just market risk, sometimes you make a lot of money doing bridge loans as well, but it just depends on the market cycle and the sponsor and the syndicator, how strong they are as well. I mean, there's a lot of sponsor who's going to write this bridge lending uncertainty as well, fine. But just for anybody to be aware of, I guess. Thank you very much Anton. Anton: Yep. Thank you James. 

James: Hey audience and listeners, this is James Kandasamy from Achieve Wealth True Value Add Real Estate Investing Podcast. Today I'm happy to get Ivan Barratt into our show. Ivan is a multifamily owner-manager syndicator who specializes in large apartment complexes in the Midwest and he has been doing it since 2015 with over $18 million in equity, with more than 3000 units as the primary GP. And he has grown his company, which is Barratt Asset Management to be best in class two time inc 5,000 private equity and management firm. And he focuses a lot on equity, finance, acquisitions, and companies' strategies. So currently managing over 300 million in assets, comprised of almost 3,500 units. Hey Ivan, welcome to the show Ivan: James, so good to see you, dude. I always love talking to you man. It's good to be on the show officially. James: Absolutely. I know we postponed it a few times so this is going to be very, very valuable to me and to my listeners as well. And so, Ivan, let's get started. How did you get started, right? Let's quickly go through it. How did you get started and how did you end up with $300 million in assets under management? Ivan: Yeah. You know, for me it all started with one duplex that I house-hacked back in 2000. I'd wanted to be in real estate my whole life. My dad is in real estate. He was an attorney, always owned rental properties on the side. A couple of entrepreneurial uncles on both sides of my family that owned apartments, gas stations, car washes, all kinds of businesses. So at a really early age, I wanted to be an entrepreneur and I wanted real estate because I thought, gosh, why would I want a real job when I could just go out on a lot of property and do whatever I want and watch the rent cheques just come in. So I went to school, went to college, went through business school, got a degree in real estate finance, got out, house-hacked a duplex. For the first eight years, I worked for a mentor in mostly development, but also property asset management. All kinds of different jobs that I got to have that I got to where I working for this real estate developer. And most importantly, I got a front-row seat to the great financial crash in 2008 at a really young age, a huge gift. I learned. I wasn't as smart as I thought. I learned that I was doing real estate the wrong way and that's when I really started modeling multifamily companies. Because I'd always wanted to own apartments, but I also saw that in a downturn, those multifamily companies got bigger, they got stronger, they acquired more assets because of the way they were financed. And so that really was the impetus to get me started in my own pursuits. Then I actually started in 2010 as a property management company first because I knew that if I could figure out the property management game and doing that for others, that when it was time to buy bigger deals for myself, I would have a higher likelihood of success of execution. So I started buying a few small deals at the same time, was managing for other clients. Anything I could get my hands on where I didn't have to carry a gun and I was doing everything. Started from the bottom, then started being able to buy larger apartment deals. And when I say large, I mean, my first apartment deal was six units and about 35 and a 30. Then I said I'd never do another small deal again and I bought 15 cause it was just too good to pass up. And then from there, I started syndicating. I did my first syndication of 60 units and I bought 112 and all the while, still managing for other people as well. That was really how we grew the company in those early days. Once we got to onsite staff size properties, there was really no turning back, pretty addictive. Fast forward to today, we still do some management for others but we mostly manage our own assets now. And we are far and above are our biggest clients. And that's the shorter version of where I come from and how I got here. James: Got it, got it. So is this 3,500 units, is it all you? I mean, your company or you guys do fee manager part of it or how does that? Ivan: Yeah, so I own about 3000 units. We're down to about 500 units that we manage for others, it's not really a focus moving forward. We still have a few close partnerships that we like managing for. But really the way I've built and designed my company is not to be a profit center of property management, more to be an execution machine for my own wealth strategy. And so I think you and I've talked about this before, you know, on the property management side, I could be Scrooge and I could really be tight and I could probably make a 15% margin but instead, we focus those dollars into our culture, our people, growing leaders within the organization, having fun. Property management is not easy. You know, having great events and really trying to create this beautiful machine of people that want to come to work, want to do a good job, want to stick around a while and believe in what we're doing. We call it the band fam. James: Awesome. Awesome. So let's go deep into the, you know, how you got started and it's just so interesting, right? I mean, you had that vision to start from property management first and then added assets, which is, you know, how like even like Ken McElroy started, right. He started being a property manager first. Ivan: Ken McElroy was a huge influence in my career. Yeah. Huge influence. I read his book very early on and that was one of the key influences for starting my management company and figuring that out first. James: Yeah. And I think he had mentioned it many times. I mean, for the audience who doesn't know who's Ken McElroy. He is one of the largest owners of multifamily in the US. I mean, he is an advisor to Robert Kiyosaki and he's a big guy, well-known guy, a well-respected guy in the multifamily industry. And he mentioned very clearly in his book, right? I mean, to get started, you probably want to work for someone or go work as a property manager. And I don't think so many people are following it because people think it's just buying assets and letting it ride through a, it's okay. But what did you learn from that experience? And starting from property management and going into as an owner as well. Ivan: You know, this is 2011, 2012, I've got 70 units and I am everything. I'm the busboy, the cook, the maitre D. I'm the leasing agent. I'm the property manager. I'm the rent collector. I had a little bookkeeper that came in every other week cause I didn't want to screw that up. So I literally did everything first and learned to be efficient with it and also learn, you know, strengths and weaknesses and made a lot of mistakes. I've finally just decided early on that I knew I was gonna make a lot of mistakes and that was just part of it. I finally figured that out in my mid twenties, that being an entrepreneur is a lot about failing forward, making mistakes and learning from those mistakes and not quitting. It's not a calm, okay sort of method, but it's the backstory to a lot of successful entrepreneurs. So I just copied what those who had been there before me had done. James: Got it. Got it. And I mentioned it in my book, I mean, across all commercial real estate, multifamily is a really, really good asset class but the hardest part in multifamily is property management, right? I mean, managing that 300 or 100 units income stream from different people is just the hardest. I mean, you'd rather buy an office, have three tenants, professional tenants and you're done. Ivan: Yeah. Multifamily is the best asset class for return on investment on the planet until you move in the people. James: Yeah. Until you move into the hard job of multifamily, which is basically the property management and, you know, you'll figure it out. You'll figure it out beginning in itself that, you know, property managers, I mean, you want to start from property management and going into asset management. I mean, you and I know that you really don't make money in property management. It's basically a time-consuming job. Ivan: The most important one, but very, very time-consuming. The most important job, James: Absolutely, the most important and we do it for control, right. For control of our value... Ivan: Oh, absolutely. I couldn't imagine hiring a third-party manager for my own assets. It's just the way we do things and the amount of control we have, the ability to move pieces around. For instance, we had one property that was suffering a little bit. We were still trying to get the right management team in place. We took our best leasing agent in the entire company and we moved her across the state to do her thing at an asset that needed her assistance. And that's very easily done when you control the management side of it. If you're out there and you're just another number to a third-party company that's a far more difficult solution to get. They're not necessarily going to give you their best people or move around their best people. James: Yeah. And I also think property management is the best way to make deals, numbers work in this market cycle, right? Where the market, it's not like appreciating like what it used to be in the past five years. Ivan: You're giving away my best secrets, James. James: I know. Ivan: How we get our value-add picture to work is a big part of it is being able to manage these units efficiently and knowing exactly what it's going to cost to run them and finding inefficiencies and reducing expenses. It's one of the three legs on the stool right now for making deals, achieve target returns. No question. James: Absolutely, absolutely. I think that's very important for...that's why we do vertical integration. Because deals at this stage of the market cycle, where everything is overpaid and people are bidding for high prices for everything and it's just so hard to do, you know, if you're doing it third-party. Ivan: No question. James: So, yeah, I mean, to be frank with you, in the last one month, I have like four guys, four friends who are syndicators, who never had a third party. I mean never had their own property management. They called me for a meeting. They say, Hey, how can we do our own property management company? And I asked why and they said, Oh, you know, all these guys are not good. All this third party, what I told you guys like two years ago, right? And I say, do not do it. But they say, no, we are going to do it. Right? So I mean, yeah, if the market is 150% and your property management is 70% capable, market is 150%, your property management company capabilities are mask off by the market. Right? But if it's the other way around, right now, I don't think the market's at 150% probably is 90 80% right? But now you know, everybody's getting undressed on how capable they are. Now, everybody's like scrambling to go and say, now they're seeing all the weaknesses of all the third-party property management companies. Right. Ivan: Agreed. James: Yeah, absolutely. Absolutely. So come back to deals that you buy in the Midwest. So is it you are in Midwest and is that why you buy in that market? Ivan: Well, I'm lucky. I live in a place that's really great to invest in right now. Midwest, it's steady. The markets we look at have been growing on average 3% a year for 35 years. They don't boom, but they don't bust either. And so, we like a lot of these tertiary and secondary markets in the Midwest that have also successfully decoupled from the Roosevelt economies of old and have government education. Health care is big. There's some blooming in the tech space, R and D, there's some big insurance companies, financial services. So there are these markets like Indy is a great example that hasn't quite seen the boom that some other markets have, but they've just continued to steadily grow, which is really good on a five to seven-year hold period if you can find the right assets inside those markets. James: Yeah. Midwest I mean, I'm not sure where I read it, but essentially the whole Midwest is very stable in terms of economy, right? Ivan: Yeah, it really has become that way. And also in the B, B plus rental cohort, the percentage of rent income is still in the mid to high 20% range versus a lot of hotter markets where it's higher than that. So I would see that as a sign that there's still room to grow rents if you're good at picking growing submarkets within those markets. James: Got it, got it. Yeah. If you're able to identify the submarkets within the market itself.  Ivan: The submarket within the submarket, within the submarket, right? James: Well that's what real estate is.  Ivan: Hyperlocal.  James: Hyperlocal. Yeah. And I'm sure you being local, you would be able to know a lot of areas on your own and then you'd be able to figure it out things. So what are the States are you investing right now in Midwest city? Ivan: So far we're in Indiana, Ohio, Illinois, we've got lots of submarkets in these areas that we are targeting. And then from there, there are certainly other States we've got our eye on, here in the Midwest as well. James: So, the deals that you are getting from this Midwest, is it through brokers or how are you guys, through relationships or how's that? Ivan: At our level...so our typical deal is going to be somewhere in the 30 to $40 million range and all those assets are controlled by the brokers. If you try to circumvent them and start going direct to sellers, they're really not going to keep you on their deal flow list. So we use the brokers to our advantage and we get a lot of off-market deal flow from our beloved brokers. We've closed a lot of transactions with them. They know we're a great company to do business with. We never retrade, we close quick. And so, we ended up being on the shortlist when they've got a seller that may be willing to transact but doesn't necessarily want to go full bore on market. James: Got it, got it. So let's say today a broker sent you a deal, right? So what would you look for in that deal that may be attractive for you? Ivan: Yeah, so we're looking for newer assets that are late 90s, early two 2000s. We'd like some stability because our fund dictates that the property can pay monthly cash flow to the LPs starting within 30 days of closing. And we liked that cashflow to be current to the preferred return of 7%. So it's got to have cashflow, day one. And then we still want to see some upside from value add, bringing in our management team, like you and I just spoke of, to manage it more efficiently, but also to make some improvements. If it's the mid-90s, it likely can stand some amenity upgrades and some cosmetic upgrades to the units. So we're looking for, for those two pieces.  And then third, we want a market where the rent is still growing, jobs are coming in, it's a good school district, you've got population growth. So those three components. If those add up to a reasonable expectation of 15, 16, 17, 18% IRR on a five to seven-year hold, we'd like it. We underwrite it to attend. So, if we're holding it more than seven years, we want to do two and a half, three and a half X equity multiple net, or we really want to harvest every five years if we can. James: So how do you determine the exit cap rate? I mean, I know you can't really determine the exit cap rate but in the Midwest States, how would you underwrite, what is the market cap rate plus how many...? Ivan: Yeah, I know there's a lot of talk right now about exit caps and what makes sense. We always just provide a cap rate sensitivity analysis. So we show what it looks like if the cap rate goes up every 25 bips, we show what the return looks like. It's our suspicion that cap rates are maybe a little bit lower than they will be over the long run, but not as much as you'd think. The spread right now between the 10 year treasury, which is at 150 today (actually it's a little less than 150 thanks to the coronavirus) and say a cap rate on buying out of five and a half or six, you're talking about 500 basis points spread in some cases.  In 2008 when the economy crashed, the spread between the 10 year and commercial cap rates was 50 75 basis points. So if you think about the spread between what you get for leaving your money in a 10 year bond and what you get for putting your money in multifamily is still very, very fast. So I don't see that spread going up unless interest rates go up a lot and there's a growing consensus that interest rates aren't going up anytime soon, the debt would just get too expensive. There are too much deflation and global slow down in the macro global economy to force rates up. They're actually continuing to have to ease and keep rates down. And so, I am certainly in the school of thought that we are going to look much more like Japan over the next decade. We're not going to have a lot of negative GDP but we're not going to have a lot of positive growth either. So rates will stay fairly low and there will be a demand for risk assets that offer a healthy spread above the 10 year. So that being said, you know, I probably went down a rabbit hole, maybe a little too deep, but with that being said, you know, we're typically looking at 50 basis points on the exit at five years but we don't get too caught up into that. We never show our pie in the sky and projections to our investors. We never show what we think the maximum rent we're going to return is. For example, I just bought a 272 unit deal, a fantastic deal I'm excited about in the submarket called Greenfield, Indiana, it's inside the Indianapolis MSA, third fastest growing County in my state. And I just have been organically raising, for instance, closing $150 a door on renewal and I'm painting and carpeting. James: That's awesome. Ivan: So I'm not really worried about my exit cap on that deal. You know what I mean? The thing is if cap rates, this is the other reason why you and I get 10 year, 12 year agency debt is because if there's this point in time where cap rates spike, I'm not selling, I'm going to hold the property in cashflow. Just think about it, James. If cap rates are going up, it's because of inflation. Interest rates are going up to fight inflation. Agree? James: Yep, absolutely.  Ivan: Well, if inflation goes up, rents are going up too. And the best part about apartments is that we get to reset our rents every month and every year. And so if I don't have to sell at this little point in time and I can raise my rents and wait for things to stabilize and cash flow along the way, I shouldn't be as worried about an exit in a specific year. Where people should be worried about exit cap are these shorter terms bridge loan deals where they're banking on a big rent increase in a refi or a sale two years from now or three years from now. I think that's taking on a measure of risk that would be a little more than I'd be willing to buy it off. We locked in that agency debt early. James: Yeah. Yeah. I've been doing my agency, all my deals has moved to agency, you know, for the past two years I've stopped doing bridge loans just because of the exact reason that you are talking about and yeah, I agree. Bridge loan do have some risks. Some people like it because they think they can flip it but you don't want to flip at the end of the age of the market now [21:51crosstalk]  Ivan: It can also flip the other way on you. James: Yeah, exactly. I mean, bridge loans and turning around huge deep value add needs a lot of skills and you are really banging on the market timing right now. There are a lot of factors to put in. I mean it's like a flipping a house, you're flipping an apartment. So is that how you started from the beginning itself, where you have trained your investors to focus on the cash flow of the deal? And a lot of my investors now, they want like annuity, just give me a cash flow. I don't really look at the pop the bag and it just give me an annuity because you know, six to 8% return cashflow is an awesome return. Right? And it can be much more awesome going down there. Ivan: Yeah. So, how we work with our investors is first, we educate them on how we mitigate the downside. Why we do agency loans, why we lock in for a longer period of time and we plan to hold it. Why we're buying a little bit newer of an asset versus what we were buying in different stages of the market cycle. Then we look at the yields of the property and we look at with them, like you just said, look at this asset. If nothing else works, it's still going to yield seven, eight, 9%. And then we're looking at what's the potential upside down the road, in that order because people do want to see cash flow first and they don't want to lose money. And it's nice to be in a situation where if the stock market is down 30% or if it's 2008 2.0, we might not be selling anytime soon, but we're still going to be cash flowing. Whereas, other parts of their portfolio will be hammered. James: Correct. At that time, that seven to 8% would reap some really, really good return. I mean, you are basically getting it now and you're just maintaining it throughout your market up or down cycle. Ivan: And it's harder but that's why we look for deals that have that seven, eight, 9% cash flow very quickly. And we pay monthly on our distributions is because I like monthly cashflow. I know you do and investors you do. James: Yeah. But is that how when you started like six units, 30 units, 35, is that how you were looking at the apartment? The perception of change. Ivan: No. [24:17inaudible] 2010-2011. When I bought that property, it was bank-owned, REO so that those were heavy value add deals. So early on, I was learning how to reposition a property. Because that was the market cycle that we were in, the stage of the market cycle at that time. And so, I started off buying those, I bought some C properties and Bs and we're looking for more of those heavy value-add deals. And as the market changed, we changed with it. James: Got it. That's very interesting. That's the part that I did. I did a lot of deep value-adds and you know, prove ourselves. I mean, deep value-add takes a lot of skills. I mean, even value-add takes a lot of skills or how fast the turnaround or how we manage a contractor, how you manage your finances, how do you manage your scope of work and the schedule itself. It's very complicated, right? I mean, a lot of people would have done it by skill. A lot of people could have done it just because the market appreciated, not to say because they did the job itself. Ivan: I'm sure you are excited for those deep value-add deals to come back one day down the road. But today a deep value-add deal, we just underwrote one. There was a moderate value-add, maybe $15,000 a door and if everything went according to plan, we would make a 15 IRR. James: Then what's the point of doing deep value-add? Right? Ivan: What's the point? Right. Because I just bought a 1998 vintage deal. It's fully occupied. And I just told you I raised rents organically already and that's going to do a 17. And so, there's so much demand and there are so many buyers trying to crowd in and buy these so-called value-add deals that we've gone to a different strata within our space to find value. And then, when those value-add deals, get back up above a 20 IRR, I'll start taking another look at them. James: Got it. Got it. Got it. So you have changed your strategy just because of the market cycle, and you think that is what the investors want, and you still get, I mean, a lot of investors who had even one, three, 4% return, right? So if you're able to give them like, you know, 15% IRR or 17% IRR, they would be ecstatic. Ivan: Yeah, in my opinion, I've got to be mindful of the market and work within my marketplace. There's opportunities in every stage of the cycle. But you have to go right with the market, not against it. James: Yeah. So how are you competing with big institutional players? Because they look for this 1990s, 2000, and they'd be able to look at the same deals that you are looking at. Right? Ivan: Yeah. It's very hard. It's very hard. I'm very lucky that I started this several years ago. And that I've got a reputation and a track record with the biggest brokers in my region which are all national brokers. And we lose a lot, we lose a lot to big guys. I've just lost a deal yesterday for a deal, I loved it, at 41 million and some out-of-town buyers who've done it for 44 million so they can have it. A lot of times it's off-market. And then some of these submarkets that we're keenly interested in are off the radar of some of the bigger fish from out of town. And that's really how we're finding a lot of value. We know where the emerging markets are, the old Dave Lindahl approach, right? We know how to spot an emerging market and that's a key to getting that value. That's really, in my opinion, one of the only ways that you can get those returns up to where they need to be to continue to please your existing investors and attract new ones. James: So let's go into details on how do you identify emerging market. Can you give like top three things that you look for to identify this as an emerging market? Ivan: You know, there's a lot to it. I'm lucky that I'm in an area that I want to be in, but we're looking at infrastructure improvement is a big one. We're looking at population growth, job announcements. Have the developments. So example in Indianapolis, I know where the growth is going. I know where the good submarkets are that it'll be the big suburbs of tomorrow. Infrastructure is probably one of the biggest ones. For instance, we're buying in a market right now or they're building a brand new federal highway over the Ohio river that is going to bring more jobs and more commerce. Right?That's just a few of the nuggets James: I think the local knowledge and the local connections, right? Just, just the local knowledge itself is just very powerful. Ivan: Yeah. But it's not as hard as people think to find. I mean, if you're looking at the entire map of the United States and you're like, okay, I got to find an emerging market, that's going to be tough. But if you can start to focus in on an area and say, okay, what's like one rung out, where's the growth going? Where are the new big infrastructure projects planned? Where are the good schools out in those areas where people are moving to, where the housing starts, right? Housing brings commercial, commercial brings jobs and jobs bring multifamily. James: Got it. Yeah, it's very interesting to see where is the path of progress and just go and target that where the big fish is not really looking at.  Ivan: And then if you're buying below replacement costs and you're doing it right, you should have a rental range that gives you an economic moat between what a new construction project would have to deliver and would have to charge in rent. So if I'm in an area, like I told you about Greenfield and Indianapolis, I'm in that area and right now my target rental rents are maybe 1150, 1175 target rents after renovation. If I know in that market that somebody wants to come in next door and their rents have to be $1,400- 1,500 a month just to get a shovel in the ground then, I've got a decent defensive asset. So new supply, in many cases for me, isn't as dangerous. It's actually, it can be a good thing. James: Got it. Got it. Yeah, that was my question because in 1990 2000 vintage, sometimes can be competing with a new supplier.  Ivan: Yeah. You really got to make sure your Delta is three, four, five, $600, especially if you're buying A-minus like me. It used to be the difference between A-minus and A-plus was maybe $200 and now in a lot of markets, it's 500, 600, 700, maybe a thousand. And so, if you can figure out where to enter that market and have a large spread between you and new construction, you're much more insulated from A-plus concessions. James: Yeah. Got it. Got it. So apart from getting good loans, because right now, the interest rates are pretty low, apart from the buy itself, you're probably buying at a certain price that you think you can hit the investor target. How do you do value-add? I mean, what do you look for in this 1990s, 2000 vintage that is common. What are the biggest value-adds that you see that is your favorite? Ivan: Oh, that's none of your business. James: Come on, man, reveal the secret. I have to work hard on 1980s, 1970 probably. I want to go to 1990. What are the things, apart from the price, apart from the loan? Ivan: Well, listen, I'll give you a nugget. James: Yeah, you can give a few. Ivan: A lot of operators are spending way too much freaking money on unit improvements. James: Okay. Ivan: Okay. And so because we're vertically integrated because we're property managers and we know everything going on on the front lines, in the trenches, we know where we're going to get an ROI. We know that maybe granite countertops don't get us the ROI but really nice Formica does. We know that a yoga studio...in redoing a 90s fitness center with new equipment and a little yoga studio, it's going to get us a much better ROI than stainless steel appliances, for instance. So it's just knowing your market, it's knowing really the ROI on those improvements and how they impact rent and it's different everywhere you go. It's not like you can just take what I say, go do it anywhere. You have to know in that market what works. James: So is it by doing market surveys where you look for, I mean, in terms of...? Ivan: Well, remember we don't have to survey the market here because we are in the market. We manage the properties. We have leasing agents all over the Midwest that are giving us instant, realtime feedback, right? James: Yeah. Yeah. Ivan: But with that said, we shop our competition. So, because we control our management company and we're part of the apartment association, it's a very tight family in the apartment industry and we really hire from within most of the time because it's such a specialized job. And so, my team can call anybody on any apartment project anywhere in the Midwest and say, hey, it's Cat from Band. Can I shop you today? And they do the same to us and we all trade information on what's working and what's not. And that's really one of the really cool things about property managers, we help each other, right? James: Yeah. Yeah, absolutely. Absolutely. I mean, it is a very small... Ivan: No here is what we do: We shop ourselves, we secret shop ourselves. We're very upfront with our competition. When one leasing agents calling my competitor and saying, Hey, can we trade what's working, what's not? What are you guys renting for? But then we secret shop our own people and they get scored on how they do by outside sales consultants. James: So, you talk about two things. One is the amenity where certain amenities are desirable, where you can raise rents because it's more desirable. The second thing you talk about is the efficiency within the pipeline of property management. Ivan: Listen, nobody uses the gym but it still sells people on renting. James: Yeah, I know. It's crazy, right? I mean, right now I'm being more cautious about what I spend on a gym because I know people may not use it. So I know there's a gym…  Ivan: Yeah but it's the wow factor, James. Oh, you've got a yoga studio. Maybe I'll do yoga now. I've been meaning to do yoga. The year goes by, I never did any yoga but I rented from that guy, James. James: And I see my property managers using the gym, not my residents. That's okay, you need everybody to be healthy.  Ivan:  #culture. James: So let's talk about amenities. How do you decide on which amenities are more attractive? Ivan: It's all a functional market. And, again, it depends on what marketplace that we're talking about. So we're looking,  we will redo pool furniture. Bark park is an easy one to put in if it's not already there, we're typically redoing the gym. A lot of times we're redoing the clubhouse with new paint, new furniture, maybe a couple of computers. Again, things that sometimes we will never use, but just to give that wow factor when they come in to be able to close them on living there. James: So do you increase, like, I mean, you'd be mentioned in the beginning, $100-150 per door just by adding amenities and better management, I guess. Ivan: Yeah. It doesn't always work out that well and usually that 150 is coming from multiple areas. We're raising certain fees so maybe the owner hasn't raised pet fees or water fees since they bought the property. I get bad reviews on my website because we raised water fees to market, you know, but that's just part of it. It'll come from organic rent increases, which is where we're just raising the rent on turn. And then it comes from quick cosmetic improvements to the units, on turn as well. Paint, countertops maybe new cabinet hardware. We rarely ever take out the cabinets. Maybe new switch plates, maybe some new flooring in the kitchen and bath. Very light improvements. James: So among the things that you mentioned just now, what do you think is the most valuable improvements that is the biggest bang for the buck that all your residents love? Ivan: Yes. James: Which one? You've mentioned like five or six, which ones? Ivan: I've given you more nuggets that I should, man. I feel exposed to you. I feel like I got to tell you these things, but no, no. I'm like, keep this to myself. You know, it depends. Sometimes it's organic, right? We bought a couple assets where it was a big company. They own 5,000 units, but they still ran it like a mom and pop and they were like 20 years old and they never raised rents. If people don't move out, they don't renew them and increase them; we do. Another property, it was the amenity package that really started getting more income in other properties. So it's all those things and it's property by property, which one's going to move the needle the most. But typically you need all those components to get into that target rent. That 125, 150, 175, it's going to help you achieve your target returns over the whole period. James: Got it. Got it. So yeah, that's very interesting. So let's go back to whatever you mentioned just now to the demand of the property, which are the residents. Do you think the residents in this 1990s vintage, 2000 year apartment residence is harder than class C, 1960, 1970 residence. How did you manage? Was it more maintenance? Ivan: In some ways, it's less maintenance but in other ways, the tenants can also be the residents. We don't call them tenants anymore, James; the residents. James: Yes, exactly. Ivan: The residents can be more demanding, have higher expectations. See you've got to have the right people there that are used to managing that particular product with the income of the residents that live there. So yeah, some people would misunderstand and thinks that A-plus is easier because everything's new and shiny and oftentimes A-plus is extremely management intensive because of the expectations of the residents. So in some ways easier and in some ways not. James: Yeah, someone told me, a regional manager told me that A or A-plus residents are much harder to manage because they have all this ego that they can pay. They expect a lot of things from the property management company and sometimes their delinquency can be high because they say, I can pay next week, you don't have to really come up... Ivan: We find the collections are usually better. James: Okay. Got it. Got it. So let's go to financing. So on top of agency debt you also do hard debt,  right? And why did you choose some of the deals to be under hard loans? Ivan: It's a great way to take a ton of risk off the table. It's a 35-year amortization and it's full and meaning, you can hold that note for 35 years without having to refinance yourself. So you take a lot of risk off the table. The interest rates are somewhat lower, although Fannie and Freddie have gotten very competitive in the last couple of years. It allows you to get an 85% loan to value on after repair value, so you can finance a lot of improvements as well, which is great in some circumstances. So if you want to hold the deal a while, like 10 years or more, HUD can be a good alternative. It's also very compliance heavy. There are audits, there are physical audits of the property, so you really have to know what you're doing.  We like it just simply for risk management. So we have several assets that are HUD. Big myth is that HUD means it's an income subsidized project and that's actually incorrect. HUD finances A, B, C, D assets. Their mandate is to help provide rental housing so it's available to a lot more people. A lot more assets than people may recognize. It's certainly not for everyone, but in certain circumstances, I think it's advantageous. We locked in our last HUD deal November of 2018, a $34 million deal. Locked in with HUD, our all in note rate is 313. James: And I remember November 2008, the interest for agency debt was pretty high cause I did lock in some deals at that time and I think that was, I think, November, December is when it picked up and it came down again. Ivan: Yeah, it was luck, we were able to catch the bottom of that treasury dip, which helped but it was still lower than the agency. James:  I know HUD like a six months once distribution, where you can take out the money. How do you do distribution to your investors when you have that kind of limitation? Ivan: That's one of the downsides of HUD. You can only distribute every six months. That's why we don't use it very often. It's a different investor profile. Some investors want to be defensive. They want to have their money in something and they want to have leverage but they want to have downside protection. So HUD works really well but it does not provide the same sort of cashflows that agency and Freddie do, which is why we typically use the agencies. For instance, I think I said earlier with our fund, it distributes monthly; I couldn't do that with HUD. James: Got it. Got it. Hey, Ivan, let's go to a personal side of you, right? Why do you do what you do? Ivan: You know, for me, multifamily and growing BAM as a business is a lot of fun. Because the bigger it gets, the more fun I get to have and it's a great business for designing the life I want and designing the business in a way that it's the life I want for myself, my wife, my family. And so I liked the wealth and the freedom with real estate. Yeah, that's the crux of it. James. I've got some big goals and being a good dad and a good husband and a good member of my community and leaving behind the legacy. And for me, owning real estate and owning a business to operate it, is the path. James: Would you do this for another 20 years? Ivan: You know, it's funny, I got to sit down with an older guy on the banking side of our business of multifamily. He took his bank public. I dunno what he's worth, but it's over half a billion dollars. He's probably approaching 70. And he says, Ivan, you don't stop; you just play the game at a higher level. And I can tell you he's having a lot of fun, has a lot of freedom, has a lot of time with the grandkids, travels wherever he wants for as long as he wants, with whomever he wants. So I don't see myself retiring in the traditional way, I want to continue to just play the game at a higher level. James: Yeah, it is so fun to keep on improving things. Ivan: Yeah. And I like to tell young entrepreneurs this and people that are newer to the business, if you're getting bigger and you're not having more fun, you're not doing it right and you need to refocus on your people and your process and so that you can scale it. Because none of us can just keep working harder. It's unsustainable. James: Correct. Yeah. That's one of the challenges that we are having and we are trying to grow and you know, it's becoming harder to find that process and people especially to replace what we do. And we have set an expectation on how things should be done, but not everybody is gonna work like what we do. Ivan: The first coach I hired four years ago, all we focused on was figuring out what my one thing is that if I spend most of my time on that, I will be successful and then finding the right people to do everything else. And then the hardest part is from a guy that started myself and did everything myself, the hardest part but the key is getting out of their way once you hire them. James: That's really hard. And you're right, that is the hardest part. Ivan: I think Tim Sarah(?) said it best. James, he wrote some articles about letting little bad things happen and that's key. Excuse me, I thought I was going to sneeze. Learning to let people make mistakes even when it costs you money and letting them learn and fail forward just like you had to do, it's very freeing. And when you have a management company and you've got fees coming in every month, it becomes a little bit easier to start to let those little bad things happen. Let people fail forward, let them learn and make sure they're not just coming to you for the answers all the time. James: Got it. Got it. Yes. The art of delegation and managing people. So it's just so hard to master, right? Ivan: Well, if you get the right people, there's far less management. You get the right people in the right seats. That's a big part of it. James: Yes. Yes. I agree with you. Let me ask you one more thing. I mean, you started from six units to now, almost 3000 units. So I mean, you have gone through a lot of experiences. Tell me one proud moment that you can never forget that you were really, really proud of yourself. Where you think, Hmm this is something I will never forget in my life, what is that moment in your real estate career? Ivan: Oh, so real estate category? James: Yes. Something related to real estate. Real estate family, I mean, anybody, just a human interaction. What is that one moment where you think that, 'I'm very, very proud that I did this and I can never forget this until the day I die'? Ivan: So it was one of our first bigger deals, it was only 89 units. I think I bought that one after I bought [48:53crosstalk] Yeah, I bought 112. I had already bought 112 units. And so I almost passed on this deal. It was only 89. I'm like, I don't want to do a deal that's only 89 units. And it was in kind of a rough area that we thought was maybe emerging. We kind of looked at each other or like my partner and me, like six months ago, this deal would have been huge for us, why are we turning our nose at this deal? We should do it. And we did the deal, we got it at a good price and people thought we were crazy. And it was a little bit difficult to raise the money. And we bought it from a construction guy that had already done all the heavy lifting on the value. So people thought, right, what's left to do because this guy already improved it physically, but we had the suspicion that we could manage it better. And two years later, we sold it for almost $2 million more than we bought it for, ended up selling it at a two and a half X to our investors in two years, a little over two years. And that was my first like really big home run. And I remember thinking, gosh, we almost didn't even do this deal. James: Yeah. So what did you guys do in that deal to make that much money since it's already done..? Ivan: We got a much better manager in place. We got a really good maintenance guy in there and of course, we asset managed them and we were able to raise rents, we got occupancies up. We reworked the utility bill back to make more revenue there. So the cap rate on that one didn't compress all that much on the sale. It wasn't just like the market went up. We just got in there and turned around the NOI because this guy was really good at making all these physical improvements and he was a terrible manager. And so we got all that straightened out and a couple of years later, had a big win to show for it. James: Awesome. Awesome. Yeah, I remember my third deal was like, everything's done, well, I was trying to find out what's wrong with this deal and it was a smaller deal from what I used to do, trying to really analyze what's wrong. Something is wrong but it ran in and out of contract like five times and the seller was really frustrated, so he wanted someone to close it so that's where I came in at that time. So Ivan, why don't you tell our listeners how to find you, how to get hold of you or your company? Ivan: I'm all over the internet. The easiest way to find me and my team is probably Ivan barratt.com. B A R R A T T If you Google Ivan Barratt, you can find ivanbarratt.com. Barratt Asset Management. Ivan Barratt Education, which is a site I put together for accredited investors, but they all cross-pollinate. So you find one, you'll find them all. I'm all over LinkedIn. Okay. And then if you want to talk, 317 762 2625 James: Is that your cell? Ivan: That is my scheduler to get you on the phone with me.  James: That's going to be, I was surprised. It sounds like a cell phone, but it's not. Awesome, Ivan, thanks for coming over. Hope you enjoyed it. Ivan: I had so much fun, man.   James: I learned so much from you and I'm super happy to know you and thanks for coming in and add value. Ivan: Yeah, I'm sorry to miss you in New Orleans. I can't make it. I'll see you at the next one, dude. I always enjoy our conversations and I gave my banker a ton of crap, thanks to you. I appreciate that. James: Oh yeah, absolutely. I gave you that tip.  Ivan: Oh, yeah. James: All right, so thank you.

James: Hey audience, this is James Kandasamy from Achieved Wealth Through Value Add Real Estate Investing podcast. And today we are doing a slightly different format. We are doing a podcast plus a webinar and I have Dr. Glennn Mueller here. So Dr. Glennn is someone I have been following for many, many years looking at his real estate market cycle studies and he's a professor at University of Denver. He has been doing this almost 36 years, if I'm not mistaken, has gone through many, many different market cycle. And, Dr. Glennn, why not tell our audience what I didn't cover in terms of introducing yourself. Glenn: Sure. So I've actually been in the real estate field for the past 45 years. Started out as a loan analyst at United bank of Denver and by chance got put into the real estate group after a couple of years, realized that real estate people made a lot of money, went out and started my own construction and development companies and built custom homes for about seven years and then decided that I wanted to have a change and a different lifestyle. So I went back to school, got my PhD in real estate and started teaching at the University of Denver. I hired away by a big institutional investor, Prudential real estate investors and then onto a Jones Lang LaSalle. And then started working on the security side with Wreaths Real Estate Investment Trusts at Lake Mason. I ran the research group there and then one of my client's black Creek group invited me to come and head up research for them. And I've been with them now for the past 15 years and at the same time teaching as a full professor at the University of Denver. So I guess I'm a typical real estate type A personality running two jobs at the same time. But a lot of my research is focused on real estate market cycles, which is what we're going to talk about today. James: Yes, yes, correct. And real estate is very interesting because sometimes it's very hard for us to make it into a very analytical format. And when I look at your charts and the work that you do, you have really break it down to science. I mean, of course, definitely there's art in real estate but there's a lot of science to it as well. And it comes from years and years of research, like what you have done. And that's very important for people like us who are basically active investors who are buying deals day in, day out and going to different market cycles and it's also more important for people who have never gone to a full market cycle. Like, even for me, I've not gone through a down cycle yet and there are tons and tons of people who have not gone to a down cycle, so we always wonder how this different cycle is impacted by different property types. What do you call us, like industrial, self-storage, apartments, office and retail and few other things. So this presentation that you're going to be doing on the webinar and throughout the podcast, we're going to try to clarify some of the slides that's going to be covered here so that the people who are listening to the podcast is going to be able to follow too as well. And this going to be difficult [03:26unclear] Glenn: So do you want to... James: Go ahead doctor? Glenn: So if you'd like, if you want, I've got my slides ready to go. We could probably go to that. I can start in. James: Let's start, I mean I'm going to name this podcast, A State of the Union of Commercial Real Estate Property [03:46unclear] so let's go through it. Glenn: Throw the word cycles in there someplace because I do real estate cycles. So let me actually bring that to full screen size to make it easier to see. Is that clear for you?   James: Yes that's awesome.   Glenn: Okay, great. So basically I believe that real estate is a delayed mirror of the economy as the economy goes, so goes real estate when the economy is doing well, real estate does well. When the economy turns down, real estate lags by about a year and about a year after the economy starts to turn down, real estate will turn down. You can see that here in this first chart and on the demand side of real estate, there are three key things we look at. The first one is population growth. The US population is growing at nine tenths of 1%. We are 330 million people. So we're actually growing by 3 million people every year in this country; and let's put that into simple real estate terms. That means that we need to build one city, complete city the size of Denver, Colorado, which will actually hit 3 million people this year, to give them a place to eat, sleep, shop, work, play, pray, store things, et cetera.   So here you can see GDP growth, the great recession in oh nine and the beginning of 2010 with negative GDP growth. And then it has rebounded and it's been running at this nice average of right around, just a little over 2%. And the forecast is that that looks like it continues forward with a little bit of a dip here in in late 2020. But to be honest, economists are always wrong. Their numbers never perfectly accurate and there's a fairly high probability that doesn't happen. The reason for that dip is actually the employment growth below, which again, you can see the negative number back in 2009. It starts to recover and go positive in 2010 and has been running about 2%. And then you see the forecast for a slight decline back to down to close to zero in 2021. That's actually a mathematical calculation of the number of baby boomers like me getting to retirement age of 65 versus the number of millennials who are just coming out of school.   The only thing and one of the reasons I believe that that number is wrong is that most baby boomers like me, we enjoy what we do and we're not necessarily retiring or if we do within six months to a year, we're out with another job. It may be a totally different kind of job. I love up here in the mountains of Colorado and a lot of my friends that retired are working as ski school instructors or driving a shuttle bus or my wife is a host and tour guide, Arapaho area ski area. So those people are still working. So that decline in employment growth sort of forecasted decline in GDP growth, my guess is that doesn't happen. And a lot of economists now are saying maybe we're in the lower for longer term. As you probably all know. We just hit 10 years of economic expansion. So we're in the longest economic expansion in modern history and a lot of economists do say, well, it can't go past that, but I don't believe that because right now the country in the world that's had the longest economic expansion is Australia and they're in their 28th year of expansion with no recessions. So I believe that the way that we're set up with this more moderate growth is something that is potentially sustainable as we go along. James: So let me recap that because that's very important point because that's a lot of notion out there that we are too long in expansion cycle, we must come to an end, it's cyclic but what you're saying is the way the employment growth and the way that GDP growth has become moderate right now for the pass many how many years we have, and that's a good thing. So what you're saying is with that moderate growth, we might be able to go longer on expansion cycle. Is that right? Glenn: Right. We're at the beginning of the longest ever. James: Correct. So when you talk about Australia, I mean, I know it's one of the longest expansion cycle and things are getting very expensive there, but is that the same case in Australia? Were they like moderate growth for very long time and that's how they're able to sustain it? Glenn: Yes. James: Okay. Got it. Got it. And what's driving the 0.9% population growth, where is the growth coming from? Glenn: That is new births over deaths plus legal immigration.   James: Okay.   Glenn: And so we're actually growing at a higher rate than that from illegal immigration as well. But there are more people; we're at a very low unemployment rate at this point in time. So anybody that wants a job, basically you can get a job and that's a good thing.   James: Okay. I'm going to ask about inflation and you are showing the chart on inflation, okay let's go to inflation.   Glenn: So on the flip side of the coin is as we look at, and this talk that we're talking about, by the way, we're talking about income producing real estate, not homes, not home ownership. So we're focusing on the income producing side of this as we go along. So the two things that we look at, so we've got good demand as we put up new properties for people to us. On the cost side inflation is running at again about 2% and has been since the great recession when it was actually negative and that is expected to continue. And then we look at interest rates and of course we are at, actually, I'm going to jump ahead here to a different graph, I think. No, I'll wait on that because it's too far ahead.   We're at a very low interest rate. As a matter of fact, the lowest interest rates in 60 years. And then in income producing real estate, commercial real estate you can't go out and get a 30 year mortgage on an office building. The longest you're going to see is 10 years. And so we look at 10 year treasuries, US treasuries as our benchmark. And here you can see that 10 year treasuries and these graphs are actually wrong, they forecast going up to 4%, 10 year treasuries are running a little under 2%. So if you're going to go out and get a commercial loan, you might get in a 10 year treasuries plus a 2% premium. So that would be a, today, 10 year treasuries are running right about one seven, one eight. So you would be getting a 3.8% 10 year loan on your property, which is a very low interest rate. Hence good return to equity on investment after the loan amount.   James: So the chart that you showed is basically a forecast but we are running much lower than the forecast I guess?   Glenn: Yes. Yup. We are.   James: And who came up with the forecast?   Glenn: Every economists forecast what is going to happen. The forecast that we look at many times are the congressional budget office. So that's cbo.gov, if you want to go get their stuff; they do 10 year forecasts on GDP growth, limit growth, interest rates, all kinds of different things. So that's a very good place and it's free to go look at what's happening. And just underneath that they've got a lot of different things. Just click on the economy one and all that information will come up.   James: And why do you think the economists are wrong? Why were they forecasting at 4% [11:41unclear] 1.7?   Glenn: It's a statistical method called reversion to the mean. Interest rates over 60 years have averaged close to 6%. So now that it's low, it has to go back up.   James: Got it, got it.   Glenn: And every single year they did forecasting within two years, 4% and every year for the last 10 years they've been wrong. James: Last 10 years they've been wrong. Is there a chance for them to be continuously being wrong? Glenn: Again there's an old saying for kindness, forecast often. James: Well, the reason I ask is because every year people are forecasting the interest rates are going up or coming down when everybody's wrong all the time.   Glenn: Yes.   James: And it's very important for interested for investors like us, like where we are predictive because we do exit cap rate and we have buying deals, hoping on the cash flow, but also this market appreciation would be a bonus for us, so that's why I asked.   Glenn: So let's actually go right to talk about real estate and my market cycle analysis. So I believe there's really two cycles in real estate. The first one is the physical cycle, which is demand and supply for real estate. So people renting and space available for rent and that drives the occupancy rate which is just the inverse of vacancy. I like using occupancies and you'll see why here and occupancy drives rent growth. So if my occupancies are up, which means there's more demand, I can raise my rents. If we're in a recession and occupancies go down, people aren't renting. Landlords are going to drop their rents. And if I add occupancy and rent together, so if I get an increase in occupancy, in other words, I rent more space and I get an increase in rent, those two together will tell me how much income I'm going to get off my property. That's the physical cycle.   The financial cycle talks about the price of real estate and we're going to do that second and we're going to do it separately. So here's my market cycle analysis and you see that I've got four quadrants, just like the account, just like an economic cycle or recovery and expansion. I have a supply and a recession phase. There are 16 points on the cycle because historically real estate cycles have lasted 16 years and so at the bottom we've got obviously declining vacancy on the way up and increasing vacancy on the way down. We don't build much there in the recovery phase. We build a lot in both the expansion and the hyper supply phase. And then we don't start anything but we complete buildings that have been started in the recession phase. So actually we'll go to this slide. So the study that I've done and published that I get quoted on all the time is the fact that if you know where you are in the cycle, you'll know what kind of rent growth you might expect. So you can see here at the bottom, I don't know if my arrow is showing up here or not, but at the bottom of the cycle points one and two, you've got negative rent growth, so landlords are dropping their rent. So if it was $10 a square foot last year and it's going down 3%, 3% of $10 is 30 cents or it's going to go down to $9.70 a square foot to rent. As we start to come up through the cycle and occupancies increase you can see rent growing and at positions six, at the long-term average there, 0.6 is on the long-term average dotted line; you can see that rent growth was 4% and during this historic cycle time, inflation was running 4% then. So when you get to long-term average, you get basically the rate of inflation.   Then in the green shaded area here, which is the expansion phase, you can see rents really rising quickly to a peak and a high of 12.5% in position 10. Then when we hit the peak of the cycle, which is the highest level of occupancy after that, rent still grows positively, but it starts to decelerate or slow down, back to around inflation at 0.14 and then low and negative again at the bottom. And then one of the things to notice here is that 0.8 on the cycle is green and because that is the cost feasible rent level. By that I mean that if it costs $400 a square foot to build a new office building here in Denver and investors are looking for a 10% rate of return on that $400 investment, 10% of 400 is $40 a square foot. So rents in the market have to hit 40 before we can cost justify building the new building. Makes sense?   James: Got it. Makes sense. Makes sense.   Glenn: Okay. So every quarter I look at the major property types, look at that demand and supply, look at the occupancy levels and as you can see today five major property types office downtown or suburban office is at 0.6, downtown offices at 0.8, retail, which will surprise everybody at 0.9, industrial at 0.10 and retail industrial warehouse up at peak occupancy rates. And the only property type that's over the top into hyper supply is apartment. An apartment is there not because of a decline in demand, we've got all these millennials coming out of school and so every year demand is going up for apartments, but we're just overbuilding it a little bit. So for my company and for other investors, what I do is I analyse the 54 largest cities in the United States and where they are in their cycle. And as you can see here they're kind of spread up because demand and supply is very local in nature. Notice what's happening in New York office, which is driven by the financial sector and the stock market is going to be different from what's happening in Boston or Chicago or in New York or any other city. So you can look at the companies that are there, the industry that's driving the growth and what you see here is national average at 0.8. But some markets moving up the cycle and some markets over the top. And I'll give a quick example here. We've got two markets that are in the hyper supply phase, Austin and Houston, both in Texas   James: [18:19unclear]   Glenn: The Austin market is driven by technology companies. A lot of tech companies like being there because they can hire young people that want to live in Austin, It's a cool city. Actually [18:31unclear]   James: I'm in Austin. It is very cool to live here.   Glenn: And so, what's happening there is since that's been going on for a few years, the developers are putting up just a little bit more space than you need. So the occupancy rate is starting to come down just a little bit because there's too much space there. So that's a situation of too much supply. Houston is exactly the opposite. It's a place of declining demand because the oil industry is driving Houston and with low gas prices, the amount of exploration and other things going on has dropped off and they've laid people off. So that's a position of declining demand. So since you're in Austin, let's watch Austin as we look at this. So that's where office is, here's where industrial is. So warehouse space, again, Austin is just one point over the top. A lot of markets are at their peak, demand for an industrial warehouse space has been very strong because of Amazon and people buying things online.   So we've got a huge demand growth on the industrial side and there are some cities again where it's easy to build. So we're overbuilding just a little bit. Now we look at the apartment market and Austin is at the top at the peak point at 11 because you aren't putting up apartments fast enough for all these millennials moving in. But you look at, there's a lot of other markets where they are putting up a little bit too much space. In other words, we're oversupplying almost half the market. So the national average is just a little over the top. Every time I talk to developers I'd say if you just back off on building apartments by about 10% of what's being built, you'll come right back into balance and be back at peak equilibrium point 11. When we look at retail, you can see that the majority of the cities are at peak and Austin is there as well. This is the one surprising thing because everybody hears about retailers going out of business and we’ll talk about that a little bit more in just a second. And then finally hotels here you can see that hotels, the majority are in the expansion phase with some over the top. And again, Austin, you're oversupplying by just a little bit. So what I want to do now is jump to and looks at the historic cycles. As you said, you haven't been through a full cycle yet. Well here we're going to go back to 1982 and that's a point in time at which I was building. And you can see that occupancies in office were very high. They came down and bottomed out in the early 1990's with a small recession and we'd actually over oversupplied a lot. They peaked in 2000 with the technology boom, they bottomed in 2002 and three, with the technology bubble bursting; came up to a lower peak in 2006 and seven as the economy was doing well, bottomed out in the great recession in 2010. And today has come back and are reaching a kind of a lower level equilibrium occupancy level than we've seen in previous times. But it looks like it's going to last for at least another two or three years. So the other line that you see here is the rent growth line. And you can see that those two are very highly correlated. As a matter of fact, they're correlated by almost 80%. So if occupancies are going up, rents are going up, if occupancies are going to go down, rents are going to go down. Pretty simple and straightforward to look at. So let's look at my forecast and here's the forecast and it looks very much like the monitor. And you can see that markets are again, majority in the expansion place. Austin, as you can see there is in the hyper supply phase at position 13. And again, that's because I'm forecasting that you've got a lot of new properties coming online, so your occupancy levels are actually going to fall a little bit in the coming year. If we look at industrial, you see basically the exact same cycle of occupancies and rent growth and we've got this really nice equilibrium that happened back in the mid-nineties and another one that's happening today. Rent growth has been really high in industrial because of the, I call it the Amazon effect up at 7% more than double the rate of inflation and we expect that to kind of work its way back down over the next few years back to kind of a more normal by 2017 we expect to see kind of inflation type things there.   So again, half the markets at peak or equilibrium, the other half building just a little bit too much, but that's the way it is and Austin, again, just one point over the top. Oh, one other thing is you notice I've got some numbers after each city and those numbers tell you if the city is moved from the previous quarter, for instance below Austin there you've got Cincinnati at a plus one. So Cincinnati was at peak number 11, and its occupancy occupancies dropped enough for me to move it forward to position 12. So it's rent growth is going to be decent James: And the bolded city are the biggest cities? Glenn: Right. Okay. Yeah. So the bolded cities make up, one of the things I found was there are big concentrations. So in each of the different property types there is anywhere between 11 and 14 cities that make up 50% of all the square footage in all 54 of these markets. So what city is bolded may not be the same in each case. So like Riverside is here in the industrial, but it's not in any of the others. Las Vegas will be in hotels, but it's not a big city for office or any of the other property types. When we look at apartments, you can see that we actually hit a peak in occupancy back in where am I?   James: 2019.   Glenn: Yeah. We had a peak back in 2014. It looks like we had another peak here in 2019, but because of the overbuild; we slowed things down a little bit. But going forward, we just have a lot of it in the pipeline and so we're going to overbuild it looks like for next three or four years and hence rent growth, which was as high as 5% back in 2015 has dropped off. And in 2019, I think it's going to run about two and a half percent. James: But looking at that chart, you're predicting 2019 after 2019, rent growth is going to slow down because of the oversupply stage?   Glenn: Yes. Yup.   James: Got it.   Glenn: Exactly.   James: And does it matter on which class apartment is it? Which location? Which city? Tertiary, primary market? Glenn: Oh, well. So here are the cities for apartments. And you can see Austin I think is still at its peak. You're not putting up quite enough. Most of the other cities are in that hyper supply phase. Where they're putting up a little too much. And so they're occupancy levels are dropping. Denver had a number of years of 8% rent growth. And because we're over building and you can see Denver way over, further down the cycle there at a position 13, our rent growth now is only running about 3%. James: Yeah. So for example, like the city on the hyper supply, I mean going to the recession on the point 14. So what you're looking at is you're looking at the supply that's coming into that city and looking at the demand for that city and that's where you're determining the point 14 for that particular city. Glenn: That's right. Yup. Because when I combined supply and demand, I can then forecast the occupancy level. Okay.   James: Got it.   Glenn: So there were no cities of Memphis, Miami, Orlando, and San Jose. I don't expect them to get anything more than inflation, which is we're right about two percent. James: Oh, you mean rent group, right about 2%.   Glenn: Right. So their rent growth is only going to match inflation.   James: So at point 14 is supposed to be deaccelerating rent growth and recession. It should be like almost negative rent growth. Glenn: 12, 13 and 14 are decelerating rent growth. And point 14 is when rent growth should only be running at the rate of inflation, which if you remember back to your economics class, we have nominal inflation and real inflation or nominal growth and real growth. All that is, is nominal growth if the price of something goes up, that's inflation. So if we have 2% inflation, if you've got like GDP growing at 3%, that's nominal GDP growth. So 3% nominal GDP growth, subtract inflation of 2% and real GDP growth is 1%. James: Got it. So what about at point 11, the cities who are estimated to be at the final phase of expansion, still in expansion where; what is the percentage of expectation of rent growth for that kind of cities? Glenn: Well it will vary by city, but it's probably going to be, well, let's back up one slide there. And when you're at peak occupancy, you've seen historic rent gross as much as here's four and a half, here's almost 5%. This little peak here is that 3%. Okay. So again, and I do this model that you see here individually for each city. James:  Okay. How do we get access to that data to get a rent growth prediction for each city? Glenn: So, well that's what researchers do is we model and project things and I get my historic data from CoStar, the company that does all the major property types and I get supply information, demand information, occupancy levels, rent growth. So I can model every city. James: But your model of forecast is not available for public consumption, that's mainly for your research, I guess? Glenn: This is my forecast report that you're looking at here. And my regular market cycle report I give away free. It's actually on our website at the University of Denver. So if you go to du.edu/burns school, I'm in the Franklin Burns School of Real Estate, scroll of the bottom of the page and you'll see my market cycle forecast so you can get those for free. We sell a subscription to my forecast report that comes out four times a year. It's only a thousand dollars and that money goes into a fund to support research on real estate and sustainability. James: Got it, got it. So my question is on a specific city, for example, I'm buying a deal in Memphis and I'm trying to do a five year projection on my performer to show it my investors and raise money for you. So usually a lot of people use a 3% or 2% rent growth for next five years. But what you're saying is that's not correct, right? Because that's not how it's being forecast.   Glenn: They need to take a look at the city where it is in its cycle and it might be doing better and might be doing worse than that.   James: So how do we get that number rather than saying three or 2% blindly, is there a place where we can go and say it's 3% the next one year but after that it is going to be 1% for year 2 or second year or third year?   Glenn: Yep. So CoStar, you can subscribe to CoStar.   James: Okay.   Glenn: They do projections on all this stuff. City by city property type by property type.   James: Okay. CoStar for projections. Got it. Got it.       Glenn: Okay. Also Jones Lang LaSalle has their own research and forecasting group, so you can go there as well. For your individual investors who probably aren't doing enough to spend that kind of money on research. Most of them are probably working with a broker when they're looking to purchase properties operate the properties, lease the properties, et cetera. When they're talking to a broker, they should ask, do you have CoStar access for your city and your property type. And the broker is allowed to share that information and those forecasts with them. James: Got it, got it. And what about the cap rate? I mean, when we talk about rent growth, deaccelerating it's also meaning cap rate being expanding, right? So is there a place... Glenn: Okay, so we're almost there. Let me just finish this and then we'll jump right over to the financial cycle. Okay, here's retail; and the key thing here is that you can see that we are at the highest level of occupancy ever in retail. People go that doesn't make sense, got all these companies going out of business and everything else. So series is going out of business. What am I students family owns a mall in Macon, Georgia and series goes out of business. They open up the center of roof of the building on one side they put an experience retail, two restaurants, a movie theater and an escape room. On the other side, they're building four stories of apartments on top of the space. So they're actually going to have higher occupancy and rent going forward. We're replacing these department stores with experience retail and remember supply; we're not building a lot of new retail, number one, but we're also repurposing a lot of retail.   So many times a retail center that's not working, convert it to office space or today Amazon is trying to get that last mile delivery to you on the same day, convert that into closed in warehouse space where you can deliver it to someone the same day. So retail is doing well because it's got a low level of demand growth, it does have some. But it has an even lower level of supply growth, hence the high occupancy rate. But you can see that the rent growth is really pretty low too. It's only one and 2% going forward. James: So retail is more of a play off, people have given up on retail and there's not many people building but it's still a demand there that's why the occupancy is much higher. Glenn: Right, right. So again, most of the markets at the peak and then hotels, we are again at the highest occupancy rate we've ever seen. That's because millennials like experiences versus things. So they're doing a lot more travel. And we're in the process because hotels are extremely profitable at that high occupancy rate. We're seeing a lot more new hotels being built. So a lot of markets kind of heading over the top and Austin being one of those, where you're actually putting up a lot of new hotels. So when you think about it, the one property type that's the best in Austin is actually apartments at this point; highest occupancy, highest rent growth. So that's the income side of real estate. All we talked about is occupancies and rent growth. How much income can I get?   James: Yes.   Glenn: Now let's talk about the financial cycle and its capital flows that drive the prices and we look at that as cap rates. So the blue lines is the real estate cycle, the black lines, the capital flow cycle, and it should work as when things aren't very good, not much capital. The line's flat there at the bottom. As things get better, capital goes up. The highest rate of growth is when we go through that 0.8 now yellow where we reach cost feasible rents; capital flow peaks out in the hyper supply phase and then drops off very quickly. Now remember that we've got two types of capital flowing in the real estate. The green shaded area up here is capital flows to existing property. So if you buy a property from me for a higher price than I paid that's more capital flow. The other capital flow at the bottom is capital flows to new construction, adding more buildings in, so producing more properties.  Real estate, I consider it a separate asset class. So we've got stocks, equities, bonds, and commercial income producing real estate. It's about 20% of the marketplace. So for me, as I talk to and have worked with for 25 years, institutional investors, they should have a separate allocation to real estate. You should have a separate allocation to real estate in your retirement account. If you could only do public equities buy rates. Directly you can buy into funds or you can actually own properties yourself. But remember, when you buy a property, you just bought a business. You've got to operate it, you got to rent it, you got to take care of it, you got to maintain it, pay the taxes, you're operating a business. So when we look back over history, here's the history of ten year treasuries, you can see it going from 2% back in the 50's to 15% in 1982 to today, back to 2% with the forecast that it's going to go up but of course for the last 10 years, that's exactly what that forecast has looked like and it's always been wrong.   We've been running in the 2% range since the year 2010. So notice the total return between 1981 and 2017 is 8.4%. That's because as interest rates go down, bond values go up, your bonds appreciate. But if you think bonds are a good place to be today, go to the left hand side and when you go from two to the long-term average of five, eight, the total return has only one nine because if you bought a bond at a 2% interest rate, $1,000 bond at 2% and interest rates go to four and you want to sell that bond, the new buyer is going to want a 4% yield. So they're going to give you $500 instead of a thousand for that bond. So you're going to lose money on your bonds. So that's why today bonds kind of don't make any sense. Real estate versus stocks and bonds. It's only had five years of negative returns versus over 20 for both stocks and bonds, and it is capital flowing. That money coming in that makes a difference. So here's a company, real capital analytics that collects data on every commercial real estate transaction in the US over two point $5 million. The bars go up, the bars go down and their price index, which is along the top there, you can see follows that pretty closely. So as more people buy, prices go up. When people back off, like during the great recession of oh nine prices come down.   James: Is that the international money coming in or is that local money coming in or it's just [37:20unclear] you're easing   Glenn: I will be answering that question in two slides. When we look at the cap rate, which is the simple way to describe that, it's like a bond yield or cash on cash return. Back in 2001 cap rates were around eight to 9% and then as prices went up, cap rates dropped to a low in 2007 of around six to 7%. Great recession happened, property prices drop, cap rates go back up, so you're getting a better cash yield when you buy. Since then cap rates have been coming down and they're down at a low of mainly in the six and a half to 7% range except for apartments which are at five and a half. Now of course hotels are higher because they're riskier at eight and everyone says, well, so interest rates have to go up, therefore cap rates have to go up. Not true. All the historic studies done, and I've done some myself show that the correlation between interest rates and cap rates is no more than about 20% that's not what drives it. It's capital flow.   As a matter of fact just came from a conference where two different real estate economists say we expect cap rates to go even lower next year because there's so much money out there around the world trying to find yield, trying to find income and bonds don't have it. Today the US stock market [38:51unclear] 500 dividend yield is 1.2%. The 10 year treasury, which is risk-free, is 1.7%; corporate bonds are running around three to three and a half and you can buy into properties earning six. So that's quite different isn't it?   James: So what you're saying is the capital is going to continue, I mean your prediction is the climate is going to continue to go down in apartments and any, is it within all asset classes...?   Glenn: Cap rates are most likely going to be staying about where they are or coming in and it depends upon the property or coming down just a little bit. They probably won't go down in retail because people don't believe that retail's coming back yet. So one way to look at this as take the risk free rate of the 10 year treasury, ask how much additional yield income am I going to get over that risk free rate of the 10 year treasury. So that's the spread above the 10 year treasury. Here you can see that the spread was 375 back in 2001 it dropped down to only 150 basis points in 2007 but today you're getting somewhere between 275 and 600 points over the 10 year treasury for taking that additional risk of investing in real estate. So from that standpoint, real estate looks like a very strong buy as an investment and because of that, what we see is real capital analytics collects data from all over the world and this shows money going from one country to another. So at the top you see the United States in 2018, we don't have the 2019 yet numbers yet, sorry; into Spain, put $11 billion into Spain, that was 15% higher than the previous year. Because they believe the Spanish economy has finally figured itself out and is going well. The next one was France coming into the United States with money. $8.8 billion of French investors buying us real estate. The next one, the United States going in the UK, a $7.9 billion, that's a 20% decrease. Why do you think it went down?   James: Because of the Brexit?   Glenn: Yes, everybody has...   James: [41:03unclear]   Glenn: When Brexit happens, the economy in England will go down and hence if the economy slows, occupancy rates will go down and rent rates will drop. So you can see that money moves around the world and the most expensive property in the United States today, would be a class A office building in downtown New York City. It will go for a 3.8% cap rate. In London, the same size class A office building will go for a 2% cap rate.   James: Got it.   James: In Tokyo or Singapore, a class A office building will go for a 1% cap rate. So an English investor looks at the US and says, Hey, I can buy a top quality property for half price and an Asian investor goes, wow, I can buy a property in the US for a quarter of the cost in Asia. So we are the largest economy in the world. We're the safest economy. We have good laws that protect investors. In China you could invest there, but the government, since it's communists, could next year decide that oh, we own everything anyway, we're taking it away from you. So capital is flowing in the United States and I believe that keeps prices high and cap rates low. James: What about this trade war with China? I mean, I know it's a bit cooling down, but it's cooling down and heating up; so how is that going to be impacting the money flow to the US? Glenn: Well we've already hit the first level of agreement on it and it certainly did not hurt our economy in any major way. If you look here down at number seven, China and the United States $8.375 billion up 8% back in 2018 when it was first in process and our president was threatening. Chinese investing in the United States went up not down. Why? Because Chinese investors are trying to get their money out of their country where they thought it might slow down and move it into our country or where it was safer.   James: Correct.   Glenn: Okay. James: So this is a very awesome slide because it shows where all the money flows in the world and you can clearly see that a lot of money coming to the US which is important for capital flow too or real estate prices. Glenn: Right. So here's a slide from NAREIT, the national association of real estate investment trusts; you can find this on their website and they're showing historic cycles at being 17 years long. So the first cycle there from 1972, which is when they start having data through 1989, the green line, the total average return per year for publicly traded rates was 13.9%. The next cycle, 1989 through 2007, just before our great recession total return was over 14% a year. And here we are kind of halfway through the next cycle. 10 years in and so far the average return has been 3.9, but that's because of that big drop during the great recession and you had to recover the money that you lost. So I believe we're kind of mid cycle and a fair amount of expansion to go. James: So we are not going to die of old age I guess. Not because of the cycle is too long and we are due for a correction. Glenn: Correct. So that's my story and I'm sticking to it. If you want, we can do a quick summary or any other questions you have? James: I have a few questions. So in terms of development, so in this market cycle, let's say for example in apartments, if you look at the apartment, the market cycle that we put in, we are in hyper supply. I mean, of course you say we have like 10% additional supply it's not because there's no demand, but is this the right time to do development? Because I saw somewhere in your studies that the best time to start your development is 75% on the expansion cycle. If I'm not mistaken. Glenn: Right. I would love to be developing at points six seven eight on the cycle James: That's 0.6 or 67% of the whole cycle on the upward trend before it reached the equivalent, right? Glenn: Well, I know, let's go back to my cycle graph and we want to be, let's go to the apartment one as a matter of fact. So I would like to be developing points 6, 7, 8 and maybe 9 in the cycle. What's happening is a lot of people are over here putting up new properties at 12, 13, and 14. James: So right now, I mean, your chart shows the apartments at the 13, which means it's not the best time to really do development ideas.   Glenn: Correct.   James: And what about people, I mean, some of the investors who are doing like bridge loans or long-term loans. I mean there's pro and con in both, but what would you recommend in this market cycle? Glenn: Well, when you say a long-term note, you mean give me a mortgage on a property? James: Yeah. Getting a mortgage with agency debt or fixed rate long-term versus a bridge loan, which is a short term financing. Glenn: So bridge loans are basically taking the risks that properties being developed or redeveloped and that it will be successful upon completion. Whereas a long-term mortgage you get the first money, so the rents that come in and have to be high enough to pay your mortgage payment and if there's nothing leftover, then the equity investors aren't making any return in those years. So again you can buy an apartment and it most likely is going to cash-flow but it's a full time job to manage a big property, make sure it's done right, and finance it properly and everything else. That's why pretty much every university in the country today has a real estate program. We are actually at university of Denver, the second oldest real estate program in the country started in 1938. Where you are both an undergraduate or graduate and an executive online program so you can be at home and get your master's degree in real estate from us. James: Got it. Got it. Right. Wow really, I should probably look at that. But the other question I have, especially on this chart, why is it not symmetrical? I mean, I know during the recovery and expansion, it's just a longer cycle and update like a slight down. Glenn: Great question; and that's because historically we've had 11 years of up cycle and only three or four years of a down cycle. As a matter of fact, I'll go back to the, one of the slides that I bounced past earlier on, and that is this here you can see previous economic cycles, they last anywhere from 5 to 10 years historically and recessions are normally one to two years long. The great recession at two and a half years was the longest recession that we've seen since the great depression in the 1920s. James: Got it. Got it. And what about the the industrial office and other property types what do you think would try for in the next, I mean other than apartments, among all these property types, what would be the best property type to invest for the next five years? I would say from your perspective. Glenn: Here's the chart. Office has got the longest run in the expansion cycle followed by retail. Power centers doesn't mean that stuff can't sit at the top for a long time too. So if it keeps going, I believe we've got a good five year run of demand for industrial space going forward. James: Got it. By is office being driven by some factor. I mean, technology, right? I mean, a lot of technology people work from home too, right? So I'm not sure where that drive is coming from for office. Glenn: Basically more and more of the jobs in the United States are office using jobs and people start going crazy sitting at home and we're social animals. And so being together with other people and that social interaction actually benefits the work for every company, that's why we work. When you start a company, instead of working on your garage, you can now go and rent some, we work space on a daily, weekly, monthly basis. They charge you plenty for it, but now you've got a space to be in, all the amenities that are necessary there. There's a receptionist, there's copy machines, there's all the different things that you need to be successful; collaboration, conference rooms, all those kinds of things. So most new companies start out by going to you short term office rental space. Last year that was 10% of the demand in office. James: Got it. And what about the Amazon effect? Is that just on the industrial? Because I read somewhere that they own like 25% of the...   Glenn: Last year Amazon rented 25% of all warehouse space, new warehouse space rented in the United States. That's how much they're growing. They opened a 1 million square foot warehouse North of Denver and hired 1500 people.   James: Wow. What about this boom in marijuana and all that happening on some of the coastal cities is that impacting any of these property types? Glenn: The, I'm sorry, the? James: Like, they have this marijuana, right? Like you know like medical marijuana and...? Glenn: So yeah. Well Colorado was one of the first and it created a huge demand for warehouse space here in Denver and drove our rents from $3 to $6 over a two year period. I can see if you went to basically 100% all the old crappy warehouse got rented up to grow marijuana. And since we're one of the first States where marijuana tourism became very big. Now that other States are picking it up, less people are coming and we've had a couple of marijuana companies go out of business and so all of a sudden, and we built a lot of new space for them and so now we're in the hyper supply phase because that economic base industry in Denver is shrinking. James: Got it, got it. What would you advise an investor, let's say for example an apartment investor who are more in the hyper supply stage right now, what would you advise that person to be cautious of as we move forward for the next five years? If keep what? Keep on buying or do you want to be more defensive? Glenn: Well, if you believe that there is a recession coming, then what you want to do is have what we call defensive assets. You want to be in the best markets, the highest, the bigger markets like the ones that I show and the ones that I have in bold and italics. You want to be in higher quality properties that can attract and retain tenets and you want to try and get the longest term leases you can get to bridge you through the next down cycle. James: Got it, got it. And what about tertiary market? Is it a good idea to go into tertiary market looking for yield? Because I know some of the tertiary market is [52:52unclear]? Glenn: Yes, but you have to be careful and very selective. You need to look at what is the economic base industry that's driving the growth in that market. So for instance, an economic base industry produces a good or service it exports outside of the local market that brings money in. So in Detroit, Michigan for decades it was auto, the auto industry did well, so did Detroit. When the auto industry turned down and we got a lot more foreign competition, Detroit became pretty much a ghost town. Now you've got a billionaire, a tech giant who came in and started buying up a bunch of office space in Detroit to run his company out of at next to nothing and hire people in saying, come here and live in oh, by the way, you can go buy an existing house here in Detroit for like 10 or $20,000. So instead of spending 3000 or $4,000 in San Francisco and rent, you can have a mortgage that's only a couple hundred bucks a month. So Detroit is starting to turn around because of the new economic base industry. This tech company creating demand for office and when you create demand for employment, then people buy things. So retail goes up and the demand for rental goes up, it just, it moves everything up and plenty of growth is the number one key thing to look at for demand for real estate. James: Got it. Got it. What about some of the government controls like rent control and some of the cities, some of the States that's happening right now, how is that going to be impacting the cap rate and the rent growth? Glenn Right. so rent control is the government interfering with the free market and it has shown that when that happens it severely restricts supply because no one wants to build if they're going to end up with rent control on their property where they can't raise rents to at least meet inflation. And so every place where that kind of stuff is coming into play, investors aren't buying and property prices are going flat. In the long-term they will hurt the market. It will create exactly the opposite. They're saying, oh, we're trying to make apartments more affordable for people. Well, it does just the opposite. People that are there end up with a lower rent and then they sit on it even when they now have a good job. And I'll give you an example. I have a good friend who owns an apartment building in San Francisco. He has four of his 20 units are rent controlled. One of the people in it was a guy that when he got in, he was in school. Now he is a very wealthy person and he continues since he had it, it can't be released. His rent is less than 25% of what market would be on his property. And he's there maybe one or two nights a month. And my friend keeps asking, why do you rent this for the month when you're only here two nights? He goes, because it's cheaper than a hotel. So it's bad government policy in my personal opinion. James: Yeah. It's crazy [56:25unclear] like, so does that mean some of the cities which doesn't have rent control will have a lot more price run up because a lot of people want to be investing in like for example, in Texas or maybe Florida, which doesn't have a lot of space doesn't have rent control. Would that mean that a lot of people from the East coast or West coast will be investing more on these states? Glenn: Potentially, yes. James: Okay. Okay. So I think I covered most of the questions that was asked in the Facebook group. If audience and listeners, you guys want to join this multifamily investors group in Facebook and we have almost 4,000 people there and now we are recording this as a podcast and a webinar, so you should be able to get the webinar as well as you register. So Dr. Glennn how do people get hold of you and get in touch with you? I believe you mentioned it halfway through, but... Glenn: Right. Yup. So they can go to the university of Denver website, which is du.edu/burnsshool, and a scroll to the bottom and they'll be able to see my cycle reports there. And there I've got my profile and all the other information there. That's the easiest way to do it. James: Awesome. Thank you very much for coming into the show and doing the webinar as well. Thank you very much. Glenn: Okay, thank you. Have a blessed day.   James: Have a good day. Glenn: Bye.

Good God, we wish we were tall. Well, no, that's not strictly right. James IS tall, and Erin is perfectly happy at her current height of 5'6"...which, incidentally, is the same height as Pete Wentz and slightly taller than Patrick Stump. THEY wish they were tall. According to this song, anyway. Theme Music: “You Can’t Fail” by Density & Time

Technology as an alternative to the state :: Bitcoin as the answer to war :: technology to circumvent the state :: libertarians uniting against the state :: live debates :: James calls to be James :: Is watching porn bad? :: Free State Project, Inc., 501-c3 organization of the state :: David thinks he's a political prisoner :: Hosts - Aria, Jay.

Technology as an alternative to the state :: Bitcoin as the answer to war :: technology to circumvent the state :: libertarians uniting against the state :: live debates :: James calls to be James :: Is watching porn bad? :: Free State Project, Inc., 501-c3 organization of the state :: David thinks he's a political prisoner :: Hosts - Aria, Jay.

Dr Paul W Dyer talks with Vision Extraordinary Speaker James Mapes. James Is a keynote speaker for the uncertainty of the future, James Mapes defies categorization. When philanthropist/Microsoft co-founder Paul Allen asked Mapes how one person could do so much during his life, James’ answer was simple: “Because no one told me I couldn’t.” A true Renaissance man, James is considered the world’s foremost authority on applied imagination, having studied human behavior for more than 30 years. Since childhood, James wanted to make the impossible into the possible. This has led to a life-long fascination with the subconscious and the power of the imagination. https://www.jamesmapes.com

The book of James Is not about just talking the talk a good game of faith, but walking what we talk. Faith and works go together to confirm we believe what we say.

The book of James Is not about just talking the talk a good game of faith, but walking what we talk. Faith and works go together to confirm we believe what we say.

James: Hey listeners, this is James Kandasamy. Welcome to Achieve Wealth Podcast. Achieve Wealth Podcast focuses on value at real estate investing across different commercial asset class and we focus on interviewing a lot of operators so that you know, I can learn and you can learn as well. So today I have Omar Khan who has been on many podcasts but I would like to go into a lot more details into is underwriting and market analysis that he has. So Omar is a CFA, has more than 10 years investing across real estate and commodities. He has experience in the MNA transaction worth 3.7 billion, Syndicated Lodge a multi-million deal across the U.S. and he recently closed a hundred thirty plus something units in Jacksonville, Florida. Hey Omar, welcome to the show.  Omar: Hey, thank you James. I'm just trying to work hard to get to your level man. One of these days.  James: That's good. That's a compliment. Thank you Omar. So why not you tell our audience anything that I would have missed out about you and your credibility. Omar: I think you did a good job. If I open my mouth my credibility might go down.  James: Yes, that's good. That's good. So let's go a bit more details. So you live in Dallas, right? I think you're, I mean if I've listened to you on other podcasts and we have talked before the show you came from Canada to Dallas and you bought I think you have been looking for deals for some time right now. And you recently bought in Jacksonville. Can you tell about the whole flow in a quick summary?  Omar: Oh, yes. Well the quick summary is man that you know, when you're competing against people who's operating strategy is a hope and a prayer, you have to look [inaudible01:54] Right?  James: Absolutely.  Omar: I mean, and hey just to give you a full disclosure yesterday there was actually a smaller deal in Dallas. It's about a hundred and twenty something units. And I mean we were coming in at 10-point some million dollars. And just to get into best and final people were paying a million dollars more than that, and I'm not talking just a million dollars more than I was trying to be cheap. The point was, at a million dollar more than that there is freaking no way you could hit your numbers, like mid teens that are already 10% cash-on-cash. Like literally, they would have to find a gold mine right underneath their apartment. So my point is it's kind of hard man. But what are you going to do about it? Right?  James: Yes. Yes. Omar: Just have to keep looking. You have to keep finding. You have to keep being respectful of Brokers' times. Get back to them. You just keep doing the stuff. I mean you would do it every day pretty much.  James: Yes. Yes. I just think that there's so much capital flow out there. They are a lot of people who expect less, lower less return. Like you say you are expecting mid teen IRR, there could be someone there out there expecting 10 percent IRR and they could be the one who's paying that $1,000,000. Right? And maybe the underwriting is completely wrong, right? Compared to-- I wouldn't say underwriting is wrong. I mean, I think a lot of people-- Omar: Well you can say that James you don't have to be a nice person. You can say it.  James: I'm just saying that everybody thinks, I mean they absolutely they could be underwriting wrong, too or they may be going over aggressively on the rent growth assumption or property tax growth assumption compared to what you have. At the same time they could have a much lower expectation on-- Omar: Yes. I mean let's hope that's the case because if they have a higher expectation man, they're going to crash and burn. James: Absolutely. Omar: I hope, I really hope they have a low expectation.  James: Yes. Yes. I did look at a chart recently from Marcus and Millichap the for Texas City where they show us how that's like a San Antonio, Austin, Dallas and Houston and if you look at Dallas, you know, the amount of acceleration in terms of growth is huge, right? And then suddenly it's coming down. I mean all markets are coming down slightly right now, but I'm just hopefully, you know, you can see that growth to continue in all this strong market. Omar: No, no, don't get me wrong, when I said somebody paid more than 1 million just to get into best and final, that has no merits on, that is not a comment on the state of the Dallas Market. I personally feel Dallas is a fantastic Market. Texas overall, all the big four cities that you mentioned are fantastic but my point is there is nothing, no asset in the world that is so great that you can pay an infinite price for it. And there's nothing so bad in the world that if it wasn't for a cheap enough price, you wouldn't want to buy it. James: Correct, correct.  Omar: I mean that that's what I meant. I didn't mean it was a comment on the state of the market.  James: Got it. Got it. So let's come to your search outside of the Texas market, right? So how did you choose, how did you go to Jacksonville?  Omar: Well, number one the deal is I didn't want to go to a smaller city. I'm not one of those guys, you know in search of [inaudible05:11] I find everybody every time somebody tells me I'm looking for a higher cap rate, I was like, why do you like to get shot every time you go to the apartment building? You want to go to the ghetto? Do you want somebody to stab you in the stomach? Is that because that's-- James: That's a lot of deals with a higher cap rate. Omar: Yes. There's a lot because I was like man, I can find you a lot of deals with really high cap rates.  James: Yes. Omar: But you might get stabbed. Right?  James: And they are set class 2 which has higher cap rate.  Omar: Oh, yes, yes, yes.  James: So I think people just do not know what a cap rate means or how-- Omar: Yes and people you know, all these gurus tell you today, I mean let's not even get into that right. So specifically for us like I wanted to stand at least a secondary, tertiary market [inaudible 05:48] I mean like, any City over at least eight, nine hundred thousand at least a million, somewhere in that range, right?  James: Okay. Omar: And specifically look, after Texas it was really Florida. Because look, you could do the whole Atlanta thing. I personally, I love Atlanta but it's a toss-up between Atlanta and say either of the three metros in Florida or Jackson. Lords in Central Florida, Jacksonville, Tampa, Orlando. You know based on my [inaudible06:11] experience I was doing this stuff portfolio management anyways, I kind of ran smaller factor model for all the cities where I took in different sort of factors about 30 different factors. And then you know, you kind of just have to do all the site tours and property visits to make all those relationships. And what I see across the board was, I mean Tampa has a great Market, but for the same quality product for the same demographic of tenant, for the same say rent level, Tampa was 20 to 25% more expensive on a per pound basis.  James: Okay. Omar: Let's say a Jacksonville, right? Orlando is kind of in the middle where the good deals were really expensive or rather the good areas were a bit too dear for us and the bad areas were nicely priced and everybody then tells you, "Oh it's Florida." right? James: No, no. Omar: But what they don't tell you is there's good and bad parts of Florida-- James: There's submarket. Yes Yes. Omar: Right? So you got to go submarket by submarket. And then lastly what we were basically seeing in Jacksonville was, it was very much a market which like for instance in Atlanta and seeing parts of say Orlando and Tampa, you can have to go block by block street by street. But if you're on the wrong side of the street, man you are screwed, pretty much. James: Absolutely. Omar: But Jacksonville to a certain degree, obviously not always, was very similar to Dallas in the sense that there is good areas and then there's a gradual shift into a not as a [inaudible07:29] Right? So basically what you kind of had to do was name the submarket properly and if you had a higher chance of success than for instance [inaudible07:38] right down to the street corner, right? And then like I said the deals we were seeing, the numbers just made more sense in Jacksonville for the same level of demographic, for the same type of tenant, for the same income level, for the same vintage, for the same type of construction. So Jacksonville, you know, we started making relationships in all the markets but Jacksonville is where we got the best bang for our buck and that's how we moved in.  James: Okay. So I just want to give some education to the listener. So as what Omar and I were talking about, not the whole city that you are listening to is hot, right. So, for example, you have to really look at the human capital growth in certain parts of the city, right? So for example in Dallas, not everywhere Dallas is the best area to invest. You may have got a deal in Dallas but are you buying in it in a place where there's a lot of growth happening? Right? Like for example, North Dallas is a lot of growth, right? Compared to South Dallas, right? In Atlanta that's I-20 that runs in between Atlanta and there's a difference between, you cross the I-20 is much, you know a lot of price per pound or price per door. It's like a hundred over door and below Atlanta is slightly lower, right? So it's growing, but it may grow it may not grow. I mean right now the market is hot, everything grows. So you can buy anywhere and make money and you can claim that, hey I'm making money, but as I say market is-- Omar: [inaudible09:03] repeatable [inaudible09:04] By the way I look at it, is hey is this strategy repeatable? Can I just rinse and repeat this over and over and over? James: Correct. Correct. I mean it depends on sponsor's cases. While some sponsors will buy because price per dollar is cheap, right? But do they look at the back end of it when the market turns, right? Some sponsors will be very very scared to buy that kind of deal because we always think about, what happens when the market turns, right? So. Omar: Yes, James and the other thing that I've seen is that, look, obviously, we're not buying the most highest quality product. James: Correct. Omar: But what I've seen is a lot of times when people focus on price per unit, say I will go for the cheapest price per unit. Well, there's a reason why it's cheap because you know, there's a reason why Suzuki is cheaper than a Mercedes. Now, I'm not saying you have to go buy a Mercedes because sometimes you only need to buy a Suzuki. Right? I mean that's the way it is, but you got to have to be cognizant that just because something is cheap doesn't mean it's more valuable and just because something is more expensive doesn't mean it's less than.  James: Correct. Correct. Correct. And price per door is one I think one of the most flawed metrics that people are talking about. Price per door and also how many doors do people own? Omar: And also cap rate, man. [inaudible 10:09]  James: Cap rate, price per door and-- Omar: How many doors have you got? James: How many doors do you have? Three metrics is so popular, there is so much marketing happening based on these three metrics. I mean for me you can take it and throw it into the trash paper, right? Omar: The way I look at it is I would much rather have one or two really nice things, as opposed to 10 really crappy things.  James: Correct. Correct. Correct. Like I don't mind buying a deal in Austin for a hundred a door compared to buying a same deal in a strong Market in another-- like for example, North Atlanta, right? I would rather buy it in Austin. It's just different market, right? So. Absolutely different. So price per door, number of doors and cap rate, especially entry cap rate, right? I went back and cap rate you can't really predict, right? So it's a bit hard to really predict all that. But that's-- Omar: Yes but my point is with all of these things you have, and when people tell me cap rate I'm like, look, are you buying stabilized properties? Because that's the only time you can apply this. James: Correct. Correct. Omar: Otherwise, what you really going to have to look at is how much upside do I have because at the end of the day, you know this better than I do. Regardless of what somebody says, what somebody does, everything is valued on [inaudible11:15] James: Correct. Omar: Pretty much. You can say it's a low cap rate and the broker will tell you, well yes the guy down the street bought it for a hundred and fifty thousand a unit so you got to pay me a hundred fifty, right? And then that's the end of the conversation.  James: Yes. Omar: Literally, I mean that is the end of the conversation, right? What are you going to do about it?  James: Yes. Correct. I mean the Brokers they have a fiduciary responsibility to market their product as much as possible, but I think it's our responsibility as Sponsor to really underwrite that deal to make sure that-- Omar: Oh yes. James: --what is the true potential. Omar: And look, to be honest with you sometimes the deal, that is say a hundred and fifty thousand dollars a unit might actually be a better deal-- James: Oh absolutely. Omar: [inaudible 11:51] fifty thousand dollars a unit. I mean, you don't know till you run the numbers. James: Correct. Absolutely. Absolutely. I've seen deals which I know a hundred sixty a door and still have much better deal than something that you know, I can buy for 50 a door, right? So. You have to underwrite all deals. There's no such thing as cap rate or no, such thing as price per door. I mean you can use price per door to a certain level.  Omar: [inaudible 12:15] in this market what is the price per door? That's the extent of what you might potentially say, in the submarket.  James: Correct. Omar: All the comps are trading at 75,000 a door. Why is this at 95 a door?  James: Yes. Omar: That's it.  James: I like to look at price per door divided by net square, rentable square footage because that would neutralize all measurements. Omar: Yes, see, you know we had a little back and forth on this, I was talking to my Analyst on this but my point is that I would understand [inaudible 12:46] at least to my mind. Okay. I'm not, because I know a lot of Brokers use it.  James: Sure. Omar: In my mind that would apply to say, Commercial and Industrial properties more. But any time I've gone to buy or say rent an apartment complex, I never really go and say like, hmm the rent is $800. It's 800 square feet. Hmm on a per square foot basis. I'm getting one dollar and then I go-- James: No, no, no, I'm not talking about that measurement. I'm talking about price per door divided by square footage rentable because that would neutralize between you have like whether you have a lot of smaller units, or whether you have a larger unit and you have to look-- but you have to plot it based on location. Right? So. Omar: Yes, so you know as you get into those sort of issues right? Well, is it worth more than that corner?  James: Yes. Yes. You're right. Yes. You have to still do rent comes and analyze it.  Omar: Yes. James: So let's all-- Omar: I mean look, I get it, especially I think it works if you know one or two submarkets really well. Then you can really-- James: Correct. Correct. That's like my market I know price because I know the market pretty well. I just ask you this information, just tell me price per door. How much average square feet on the units and then I can tell you very quickly because I know the market pretty well. Omar: Because you know your Market, because you already know all the rents. You already know [crosstalk13:57] James: [crosstalk13:57] You have to know the rent. I said you have to build that database in your mind, on your spreadsheet to really underwrite things very quickly. So that's good. So let's go back to Jacksonville, right? So you looked-- what are the top three things that you look at when you chose Jacksonville at a high level in terms of like the macroeconomic indicators? Omar: Oh see, I wasn't necessarily just looking at Jackson. What I did is I did a relative value comparison saying what is the relative value I get in Jacksonville versus a value say I get in a Tampa, Atlanta or in Orlando and how does that relatively compare to each other?  James: So, how do you measure relative-- Omar: What I did is for instance for a similar type of say vintage, right? Say a mid 80s, mid 70s vintage, and for a similar type of median income which was giving me a similar type of rent. Say a median income say 40 Grand a year or 38 to 40 Grand a year resulting in an average rate of about $800. Right? And a vintage say mid 70s, right? Board construction. Now what am I getting, again this is very basic maths, right? This is not I'm not trying to like make up.  James: Yes. Absolutely. Omar: A model out of this, right? So the basic math is, okay what is the price per unit I'm getting in say, what I have a certain crime rating, I have a certain median income rating and I have a certain amount of growth rating. And by growth I mean not just some market growth, [inaudible 15:21] are Elementary Schools nearby? Are there shopping and amenities nearby? Is Transportation accessible, you know, one or two highways that sort of stuff. Right? So for those types of similar things in specific submarkets, [inaudible 15:33] Jacksonville had three, Tampa had two and Orlando had three and Atlanta had four, right? What is the average price per unit I'm facing for similar type of demographics with a similar type of rent profile? With similar type of growth profile I mean you just plot them on a spreadsheet, right? And with the similar type of basically, you know how they performed after 2008 and when I was looking at that, what I was looking at again, is this precise? No, it's not a crystal ball. But these are just to wrap your head around a certain problem. Right? You have to frame it a certain way.  James: Okay. Omar: And what I was seeing across the board was that it all boils down to when you take these things because at the end of the day, all you're really concerned is what price am I getting this at, right? Once you normalize for all the other things, right? James: Correct. Correct. Omar: Right? And what I was seeing was just generally Jacksonville, the pricing was just like I said compared to Tampa which by the way is a fantastic market, right? But pricing was just 15 to 20% below Tampa. I mean Tampa pricing is just crazy. I mean right now I can look at the flyer and tell you their 60s and mid 70s vintage is going for $130,000 $120,000 a unit in an area where the median income is 38 to 40 Grand. James: Why is that? Omar: I don't know. It's not one of this is that the state Tampa is actually a very good market, okay. Let's be [inaudible 16:47] it's very good market. It's a very hot market now. People are willing to pay money for that. Right? So now maybe I'm not the one paying money for it, but there's obviously enough people out there that are taking that back. So. James: But why is that? Is it because they hope that Tampa is going to grow because-- Omar: Well, yes. Well if Tampa doesn't grow they're all screwed James. James: No, but are they assuming that growth or are they seeing something that we are not seeing? Because, if people are earning 30, 40 thousand median household income and the amount of apartment prices that much, they could be some of the metrics that they are seeing that they think-- Omar: Well, yes. Tampa's growth has been off the charts in the past few years, right? James: Okay. Okay. Omar: So what look-- first of all this is the obvious disclaimer is I don't know what I don't know. Right? So I don't know what everybody else is looking at. Our Tampa's growth has been off the charts, there is a lot of development and redevelopment and all that stuff happening in the wider metro area. So people are underwriting five, six, seven, eight percent growth.  James: Okay. So the growth is being-- Omar: No, the growth is very-- look the growth has been very high so far. James: Okay. Got it. Omar: My underlying assumption is, as I go in with the assumption that the growth must be high but as soon as I get in the growth will go down.  James: But why is that growth? I mean that is specific macroeconomic.  Omar: Oh yes, yes. There's first of all, there's a port there, number one. The port -- James: In Tampa. Okay. You're talking about Jacksonville or Tampa right now? Omar: No, I'm talking Tampa. James: Okay. Omar: Jacksonville also has it, but Tampa also has it, okay. James: Okay. Got it. Got it. Omar: Tampa is also fast becoming, Tampa and Orlando by the way are connected with this, what is it? I to or I for whatever, it's connected by. So they're faster like, you know San Antonio and Austin how their kind of converging like this? James: Correct. Correct. Omar: Tampa and Orlando are sort of converging like this. James: Got it. Got it. Omar: Number one. Number two, they're very diversified employment base, you know all the typical Medical, Government, Finance, Healthcare all of that sort of stuff, right? Logistics this and that. And plus the deal is man, they're also repositioning themselves as a tourist destination and they've been very successful at it. James: Okay.  Omar: Because there's lots to do you know you have a nice beach. So, you know that kind of helps all this, right? Have a nice beach. James: Correct. Correct. Omar: Really nice weather, you know. So they're really positioning it that way and it also helps that you've got Disneyland which is about 90 minutes away from you in Orlando. So you can kind of get some of the acts things while you come to Tampa you enjoy all the stuff here. Because Orlando relative to Tampa is not, I mean outside of Disneyland there's not a lot to do though. But a lot of like nightlife and entertainment and all that.  James: But I also heard from someone saying that like Orlando because it is more of a central location of Florida and because of all the hurricane and people are less worried about hurricane in the central because it you know, it has less impact. Omar: James. James. James: Can you hear me? Omar: When people don't get a hurricane, they are not going to be the people who get the hurricane. Other people get hurricanes. Not us. James: Correct, correct. Omar: But that's not always the case but that's the assumption.  James: Okay. By Tampa is the same case as well? Like, you know because of-- Omar: I don't know exactly how many hurricanes they've got but look man, they seem to be doing fine. I mean if they receive the hurricane they seem to be doing very fine after a hurricane.  James: Okay. Okay. So let's go to Jacksonville, that's a market that did not exist in the map of hotness, of apartment and recently in the past three, four years or maybe more than that. Maybe you can tell me a lot more history than that. Why did it pop out as a good market to invest as an apartment? Omar: Well, because Jackson actually, we talk to the Chamber of Commerce actually about this. And the Chamber of Commerce has done a fantastic job in attracting people, number one. Because first of all Florida has no state income tax. What they've also done is a very low otherwise state a low or minimum tax environment [inaudible20:29] What they've also done is, they reconfigured their whole thing as a logistical Center as well. So they already had the military and people always used to say, oh Tampa, Jacksonville's got a lot of military, but it turns out military's only 11% of the economy now. James: Okay. Okay. Omar: So they've reposition themselves as a leading Health Care Center provider, all that sort of, Mayo Clinic has an offshoot there by the way, just to let you know. It's a number one ranked Hospital.  James: Oh Mayo Clinic. Okay. Okay. We always wonder what is Mayo Clinic, but now you clarified that. Omar: Right? So Mayo Clinic is in Rochester I think. One of my wise colleagues is there actually. Think it's in Rochester Minnesota. It's one of the leading hospitals in the world. James: Okay. Got it. Omar: And now they've actually had an offshoot in basically Jacksonville, which is the number one ranked Hospital in Florida. Plus they've got a lot of good healthcare jobs. They've really repositioned themselves not only as a great Port because the port of Jacksonville is really good and they're really expanding their ports. You know Chicon, the owner of Jacksonville Jaguars, man he's going crazy. He is spending like two or three or four billion dollars redeveloping everything.  James: Got it. Got it. Omar: [inaudible 21:32] what they've done is because of their location, because they're right, I mean Georgia is about 90 minutes away, Southern Georgia, right? And now you have to go into basically, Florida and basically go to the Panhandle. What they've also done is because of their poor, because of their transportation Network and then proximity to the East Coast they repositioned themselves as a Logistical Center as well.  James: Got it. That's what I heard is one of the big drivers for Jacksonville. And I also heard about the opening of Panama Canal has given that option from like importing things from China. It's much, much faster to go through Panama Canal and go through Jacksonville. Omar: Oh, yes. James: Makes it a very good distribution centre. Omar: Because the other board right after Jacksonville in which by the way is also going through a big redevelopment and vitalization is Savannah, Georgia.  James: Okay. Yes. Omar: [inaudible 22:17] big enough and I think Jacksonville does something like, I mean don't quote me on this but like 31% of all the cars that are imported into the U.S. come through the Jacksonville Port. So there's a lot of activity there, right? But they've really done a good job. The Government there has done a fantastic job in attracting all this talent and all these businesses.  James: Okay. Okay. Got it. So let me recap on the process that you came to Jacksonville and going to the submarket. So you looked at a few big hot markets for apartments and looked at similar characteristics for that submarket that you want like for closer to school, in a good location and you look at the deal flow that you are getting from each of these markets. And then you, I mean from your assessment Jacksonville has a good value that you can go and buy right now for that specific demographic of location I guess, right? Omar: Look I love Atlanta as well. I was actually in Atlanta a few weeks ago looking at some, touring some properties. So that doesn't mean Atlanta isn't good or say Tampa or Orlando is good. We were just finding the best deals in Jacksonville.  James: Okay. Okay. So the approach you're taking is like basically looking at the market and shifting it to look for deals in specific locations of submarket where you think there is a good value to be created rather than just randomly looking at deals, right? Because-- Omar: Because man it doesn't really help you, right? If you really go crazy if you try to randomly look at deals.  James: Yes. Yes. I think a lot of people just look at deals. What, where is the deal? What's the deal that exist? Start underwriting the deals right? So-- Omar: Oh I don't have that much free time and I have a son who's like 18 months old man My wife is going to leave me if I start underwriting every deal that comes across my desk.  James: Yes, I don't do all the deals that comes across. Omar: I'm going to kill myself trying to do all that. Yes man it's very surprising I see a lot of people especially on Facebook posting. I mean I get up in the morning and I see this, [inaudible 24:05] who loves to underwrite deals? And I'm like, dude it's 1 a.m. Go get a beer. Why are you underwriting a deal at 1 a.m., man?  James: Yes. Yes. Yes I think some people think that you can open up a big funnel and make sure you know out of that funnel you get one or two good deals, right? But also if you have experience enough you can get the right funnel to make sure you only get quality data in, so that whatever comes in is more quality. Omar: My point is man, why do you want to underwrite more deals? Why don't you underwrite the right deal and spend more time on that deal or that set of deals. James: Correct. Omar: Because there's just so many transactions in the U.S. man. There's no way I can keep up man. James: Correct. Correct. Correct. So let's go to your underwriting Jacksonville because I think that's important, right? So now you already select a few submarkets in Jacksonville, right and then you start networking with Brokers, is that what you did?  Omar: Yes. Yes but you know with Brokers also, you kind of have to train them, right? Because what happened is every time what are you looking at? All that after all that jazz, wine and dining and all that stuff. We had to train Brokers [inaudible25:08] here are only specific submarkets we're looking at. So for instance Jacksonville, it was San Jose, San Marcos, it's the beaches, it was Mandarin and orange [inaudible25:16]  James: Okay. Omar: And Argyle Forest was certainly, right? If it's anything outside of that, unless I don't know it's like the deal of the century, right? Literally, somebody is just handing it away. We don't want to look at it. Don't waste my time. And invariably what the Brokers will do, because it's their job they have to do it. They'll send you deals from other submarkets because they want to sell. Hey, I think this is great. You will love this. James: Yes. Omar: And you have to keep telling them, hey man I really appreciative that you send me this stuff, not interested. Not interested. So, but what that does is you do this a few times and then the Broker really remembers your name when a deal in your particular submarket does show up. Because then you go to the top of the pile. James: Correct. Because they know that you asked specifically for these right now.  Omar: Yes. [inaudible25:58] You know the deal. Right? So that's kind of what we get, right? James: So let's say they send a deal that matches your location. So what is the next thing we look at? Omar: So what I basically look at is what are the demographics. Median income has got to be at the minimum 38 to 40 thousand dollars minimum. James: What, at median household income? Omar: Median household income. Right? James: Got it. Got it. Why do you think median household income is important? Omar: Because look, again this is rough math I didn't do a PhD in [inaudible 26:27]  James: Sure, sure, sure. Go ahead. Omar: Typically, you know, where [inaudible 26:30] everybody says BC but really everybody is doing C. Okay, you can just-- I think people just say B to sound nice. Right? It's really C. Okay, let's be honest. Right? Typically with a C if you're going to push [inaudible 26:41] within one or two years, in these submarkets at least, I don't know about other areas. Typically you want to push the rents to around a thousand dollars a month, give or take. Average rate. I'm just talking very cool terms, right? Which basically means that if you're pushing it to a thousand dollars a month and the affordability index is it should be 33%, 1000 times 12 is 12, 12 times 3 is 36. So I just added an extra 2,000 on top or 4000 on top just to give a margin of safety.  James: Okay. Omar: Right? It's very simple math, right? There's nothing complex in it. Right?  James: Correct. Omar: Because my point is if you're in an area where the average income is 30,000, man you can raise your rent all you like. Nobody's going to pay you. James: Yes. Yes, correct. So I think we can let me clarify to the listeners, right? So basically when you rent to an apartment, we basically look for 3x income, right? So that's how it translates to the household income, average household income and if you want to do a value-add or where deals, you have a margin of buffer in our site and you're buying it lower than what the median household income, that's basically upside. That means you can find enough renters to fill up that upside, right?  Omar: Yes. James: Just to clarify to the listeners. So go ahead. So you basically look up median household income. What is the next step do you look for? Omar: Then I basically look at crime. Basically, I just-- I mean look, there's going to be a level of crime, what I'm really looking at is violent crime. Right? James: Violent crime. Okay. How do you look for which tools to use?  Omar: Well, you can go to crime map, crime ratings, you can subscribe to certain databases and they can give you neighborhood Scout is one by the way.  James: Okay. Okay. Omar: You can use that. And then on top of that because it's harder to do this for Texas, but you can do this in other states like Florida, Georgia and all of that. But for instance, what you can do is see what the comps in the submarket are. Right? And that kind of helps you in determining basically, look if all the properties for a certain vintage around you have traded for a certain amount of money, then if something is up or below that there's got to be a compelling reason for that. Now I'm not saying if it's above it's a bad reason and don't do it. There's got to be a compelling reason. Now they might be actually a very good reason. Right? James: Got it. Omar: So, you know that's like a rough idea and then basically I'm looking at rent upside. Basically look at co-stars and see what the average rents are for this property. What is roughly the average rent upside and you can also seek [inaudible29:04] place that I had a few contacts in Jacksonville and you can also call those up. Right? Again, rough math kind of gives you hey, do I send five hundred two hundred dollars and then basically see what is the amount of value [inaudible29:16]. Because for instance, if all the units have been renovated which by the way happened yesterday. Yesterday we came across [inaudible29:22] in Jackson where I know the Broker and I mean he sent me the email. You know, the email blast out and basically what we saw was the location was great, there's a lot of rent up, supposedly there's rent upside, but when I called the guy up, we know each other. He's like, bro, all the units have been renovated. There's maybe 50, 75, I know you so I'm going to tell you there's only 50, 75 so the price isn't going to be worth it. James: Yes, and they'll ask you to do some weird stuff, right? Like go there, washer, dryer, rent the washer dryer out. Omar: Yes. Yes. James: But charge for assigned parking, right? So very small amount in terms of upside, right? Omar: My point is if it was so easy why don't you do it? James: Yes. Correct. Omar: That's the way I look at it.  James: Yes, usually I mean when I talk to the Brokers I will know within the few seconds whether it's a good deal or not. They'll be really excited if it matches what we are looking for, right? Especially-- Omar: Yes because I think the other deal is if you develop a good relationship with Brokers and they know what you're specifically looking for, good Brokers can kind of again look they have to sell but they can also give you some guidance along the way. James: Correct. Correct. Omar: Right? They can do a lot bro, it doesn't really work for you I think, but I'm just going to be honest with you, and look you still have to take it with a grain of salt but it is what it is.  James: Correct, correct. Okay. So look for rent upside by looking at rent comps and you said in Texas which is a non-disclosure state it's hard to find sales comp but…  Omar: Yes, but look, you know if you're in a market you're going to know who the people are doing deals. Which people are doing deals.  James: Okay. Omar: And even if you don't know it, say your property manager kind of knows it, or your  loan broker or lender knows kind of what deals have traded in the market. You got me. You can pick up a phone and call some people, right? Maybe you don't get all the information but you can get, I mean if you're in submarket or sometimes even in Texas, you can't know.  James: Yes, exactly. Exactly. So when do you start underwriting on your Excel sheet?  Omar: Oh bro after I've done the property tour because if these don't even pass this stuff why you even bothering to underwrite it.  James: Oh really? So okay. So you basically look at market-- Omar: [inaudible 31:28] My point is, if it passes all these filters and then I have a conversation, I talk to my property manager, I talk to the Broker, I talk to my local contacts there and if it's all a go and these are all five-minute conversations or less. It's not like a two hour long conversation if it passes through all this they're just going to [inaudible 31:45] property door, man.  James: Okay, so you basically-- but what about the price? How do you determine whether the price they asking is reasonable or not. Omar: Well, obviously because I can do a rough math and compare it against the comps, right?  James: Okay. Okay. Got it. Got it. So you basically do [inaudible 31:59]  Omar: Oh, yes. Yes, because my point is why waste myself? Because look, the price could make sense, all the Brokers pictures we all know look fantastic. It looks like you're in like Beverly Hills, you know. So the pictures you know are kind of misleading, right? And the location might be really good but hey, you might go there and realize you know, the approach is really weird. Or for instance we were touring this one property and then 90% of I think the residents were just hanging out at 12:00 noon. James: Correct. Omar: Outside smoking.  James: At 12 o'clock. Wow. Omar: I said, well what the hell is this. Right? So my point is some things you only know when you do tour a property, there's no amount of videos and photos because the Broker isn't going to put a bad photo on.  James: Yes. Yes. Their Excel spreadsheets are going to tell you that, right?  Omar: Yes. James: So basically, you know, you have to go. What about what else do you look for when you do a property tour other than…  Omar: So you know when they're doing a property tour, like obviously I'm taking a lot of notes, I'm taking a lot of pictures, a lot of times the Broker will say one thing and then you kind of turn back around and ask the same question a different way just to kind of see. But what I also like to do is I also like to tour the property. On the property tour I like to have the current property manager and look I'm not stupid enough to say that the Broker hasn't coached the property manager. The broker has obviously coached the property manager that's his job. But a lot of times you'll realize that they haven't been coached enough. So if you ask the right questions the right way you can get some level of information. Again you have to verify everything and another trick I also figured out is. You should also try to talk to the maintenance guy and have him on the property tour and then take these people aside and so the Broker can be with somebody else. Ideally you should tour with two people. So if one guy takes care of the Broker and you take care of the property manager or the other way around. Because then you can isolate and ask questions, right? So especially if you take like say a maintenance guy and you ask him, hey man so what kind of cap X you think we should do? What do you think about the [inaudible 33:54]? A lot of times those people haven't been coached as much or at all. James: Correct.  Omar: And to be honest with you, man, we are in a high trust society. Most people aren't going to completely just lie to your face. They might lie a little bit but people aren't going to say red is blue and blue is purple. James: Correct. Omar: You know you can see that. You know when somebody says it, you can feel it. Come on. James: You can feel, yes. That's what I'm coming. You can actually see whether they are trying to hide stuff or not. But you're right, asking the maintenance guy is a better way than asking the property managers or even the other person is like leasing agent.  Omar: Yes. James: Who were assigned to you. They probably will tell you a lot more information. Omar: And that's why I feel like it's better to have two people like you and a partner touring. James: Okay. Omar: Because then different people, like one because look, and there is nothing wrong. The Broker has to do this. The Broker always wants to be with you to see every question is answered the way he wants it to be answered. So then one of your partners or you can tackle the Broker and the other person can tackle somebody else. James: Got it. Got it. So let's go to, okay so now you are done with the property tour. Now you're going to an [inaudible35:01] underwriting, right? So, how do you underwrite, I mean I want to talk especially about Jacksonville because it's a new market for you and you are looking at a new, how did you underwrite taxes, insurance and payroll because this-- Omar: Taxes was very easy to do. You talk to a tax consultant and you also see what historically the rate has been for the county. Right? James: Okay. Omar: But again, just because your new doesn't mean you don't know people. James: Correct. But how do you underwrite tax post acquisition? Because I mean in taxes is always very complicated-- Omar: No but taxes is harder, right? But [inaudible 35:32] in Florida it's easier because the sale is reported. They already know what price it is. James: So do they, so how much let's say how many percent do they increase it to after-- Omar: Typically in Duval County where we bought, it's about 80 to 85% [inaudible35:46]  James: Okay. Okay. That's it.  Omar: But the tax rate is low, right? Just to give you an idea the tax rate is [inaudible35:51] in Texas a tax rate is higher. So you understand there's lots of things and for instance in Florida there's an early payment discount. So if you pay in November, so it's November, December, January, February, right? So if you pay in November, which is four months before you should be paying you get 4% off your tax return.  James: Oh, that's really good. Omar: And if you pay in December you get 3% off, if you pay January you get well, whatever 2% off. In February you get 1% off. James: So what is the average tax rate in Florida?  Omar: I don't know about Florida. I know about Douval. It was like 1.81.  James: Wow, that's pretty low. Yes compared to-- Omar: Yes, but you also have to realize you have the percentage of assessed value is higher, right? Depending on which county you are in. You're in San Antonio and Austin where Bear county is just crazy. James: Bear Travis County, yes. Omar: Yes. Bear and Travis are just crazy but there are other counties in for instance Texas where the tax might be high but percentage of assessed value is really low.  James: Correct.  Omar: No, I mean it balances out. Right? My point is-- James: Yes. So but what about the, do you get to protest the tax and all that in the Duval County in Jacksonville? Omar: I think you can. No you were not, I think I know you can because we're going to do it. But you need to have a pretty good reason, right?  James: Okay. Okay. Omar: Right? And obviously look, you can show that yea, look I bought it for this price, but my income doesn't support this tax or this or that. I mean you have to hire the right people. I'm not going to go stand and do it myself.  James: So basically they do bump up the price of the acquisition, but it's very easy to determine that and 80 to 85% of whatever.  Omar; Yes. Yes. Yes. James: That's-- Omar: But look man, on the flip side is that when you go in, you kind of have a better control of your taxes in Texas where taxes can just go up and you [inaudible37:29]  James: Yes. Yes. You have no control in Texas. So we usually go very very conservative to a hundred percent. So which-- Omar: Look my point is it's good and bad, right? It depends where you are. So now people will say, oh the tax person knows all your numbers and like, yes but I can plan for it.  James: Yes, yes, correct. But it also gives you an expectation difference between buyer and seller because the buyer is saying this is my cap rate whereas the seller is saying, this is what, I mean the seller is going to say this is one of the cap rate whereas the buyer is going to say this is my cap rate will be after acquisition because-- Omar: Yes. Of course. James: So when it's smaller [inaudible38:03] between these two, the expectation is more aligned compared to in Texas because you know, it can jump up a lot and there's a lot of mismatch of expectations. Right? Omar: Well actually a deal in Houston, it's near Sugar Land and yesterday I was talking to this guy who wanted me on the deal and the other deal isn't going anywhere because the taxes were reassessed at double last year. Now he has to go to this the next week to fight it. Man, there's no way you're going to get double taxes in Florida or Georgia where there's our disclosure state, right? James: Correct. Correct, correct. So that's a good part because the buyer would be saying that's not my, the seller would be saying that's not my problem and buyer is going to say I have to underwrite that, right? So. Omar: I mean man, you can have a good case, right? Because it's not like somebody is saying something to you like, look man this is the law.  James: Yes, correct. So let's go back to Insurance. How do you underwrite Jacksonville Insurance? Because I know in Florida there is a lot of hurricane and all that-- Omar: [inaudible 38:58] just to give you an idea that is a complete myth because Jacksonville has only had one hurricane in the past eight years.  James: So is it lower than other parts of Florida? Or it just-- Omar: Yes. So the first it only depends where you are in Florida. Number one, right? Number two, it depends if you're in a flood plain or not, but that's in Texas as well. Right? And number three, it also depends a lot of times, well how many other claims have happened in your area? Right? Because that kind of for the insurance people that's kind of like a you know, how risky your area is quote unquote for them. So yes, so in Jacksonville, and apparently I did not need to know this information but we were told this information. Like the coast of Florida where Jacksonville is the golf coast is really warm where Jacksonville is, not golf courses on the other side, it's the Atlantic side. These are really warm waters relatively speaking. So apparently there's like some weather system which makes it really hard for hurricanes to come into Jacksonville. So that's why it's only had one hurricane in the 80 years.  James: So when you get your insurance quote, when you compare that to other parts of other markets-- Omar: Oh yes, Tampa was way higher, man. James: What about like Houston and Dallas?  Omar: I don't know about Houston because I haven't really lately looked at something in Houston. Right? So I can't really say about Houston and Dallas was maybe like say $25, $50 less maybe. James: Oh really. Okay.  Omar: Yes. It wasn't because that was a big question that came up for everybody. I was like look man, literally here's all the information and you don't even have to take my word for it because I'm giving you sources for all the information. Right? [crosstalk40:24] James: [crosstalk40:25] rate at different markets? Omar: Sorry? James: Are you talking about the insurance rate for-- Omar: Yes. Yes. Yes. Because a lot of guys from Chicago, I had a few investors they were like, but Florida has real hurricanes. I was like, yes but Jacksonville doesn't. James: Okay, got it. So you basically got a code from the insurance guy for the-- Omar: Oh yes man, I wasn't just going to go in and just put my own number that has no basis in reality.  James: Correct, correct. So, what about payroll? How did you determine the payroll?  Omar: So the payroll is pretty easy man. You know how much people get paid on per whatever hour. You know, you can have a rough idea how many people you are going to put on site and then you know what the load is, so then it gets pretty easy to calculate what your payroll is going to be. James: What was the load that you put in? Omar: So the load in this particular case was like 40% which is very high. James: Okay-- Omar: Yes it is pretty high. But the-- James: That is pretty high is very high. Omar: No. No. No. But hold on. They put our wages really low, right?  James: Oh really? Okay. Omar: Then you have got to [inaudible41:16] around. I was paying roughly the same that I was paying in [inaudible41:19]  James: Really? So why is that market…  Omar: I have no idea man, and I tried to check I asked multiple people. We did all that song and dancing. It's all kind of the same.  James: So you looked at the current financials and looked at the payroll? Omar: No. No, I was talking about my payroll would be going forward. I don't really care what the guy before me paid. Why do I care? James: So you got that from your property management?  Omar: Yes. Yes. Yes. And then I verified it with other property managers and blah blah blah blah blah checked everything, you know did all the due diligence. James: Got it. Yes. It's interesting that because 40% is really high. I mean usually-- Omar: Yes but [inaudible41:52] basis was really low. Like people salaries are really lower.  James: Is that a Jacksonville specific? Omar: I don't know what it is specifically. I think it's a Florida-based thing relatively speaking. But yes, that's what I mean. I thought it was kind of weird too. But then I mean I checked with other people.  James: So the deal that you're doing, I presume is a value ad deal. Is that right? Omar: Oh yes, all the deals-- James: How deep is the value at? I mean roughly at high level, how much are you putting in? Omar: Man, nothing has been touched for ten years. In fact, let's put it this way. We have enough land we checked with the city that we have enough land at the back to develop 32 more units.  James: That's really good because it's hard to find deals now, you know. Like ten years not touched, right? All deals are being flip right now, right? So within a couple of years. So that's good. That should be a really good deal. And what is the-- Omar: A hundred percent we could do basically.  James: What was your expense ratio that you see based on income divided by your expenses? I mean first-- Omar: Hold on man, let me just take it out. I don't even have to tell you. Hold on.  James: Okay. Omar: Why even bother you know?  James: Because usually like 50 to 55% is common in the [inaudible 42:59] industry. Omar: Oh no in basically in Jacksonville. You can get really lower expense ratios.  James: Okay.  Omar: It depends if it's submarket [inaudible43:05]  James: Yes, and I know like in Phoenix, I think it was like 45, or 40% which was surprising to me [crosstalk43:13]  Omar: [crosstalk43:13] this right now. Hold on let me open this model I can tell you right now. I don't want to give you something [inaudible 43:21] then variably one person's going to be like, I looked at your deal your numbers--Like, yes I'm sorry. I don't like have like numbers with second decimal points. Because people always do that to try to catch you. Right? And they're like, yes it's off by like $2 man. So hold on, divided by, oh yes so it was operating at 52 and yes first year we're going to be at 56 because you know we are repositioning-- James: Yes. First year of course, it will be higher-- Omar: And then we just go down.  James: Okay. Okay, okay that's interesting, that's good. So, and then as the income grows and your expenses stabilize, I think that expenses should be-- Omar: That's the only reason why the expense ratio goes down. Right? Because you're basically your top Line growth is way higher than your basically your expense growth.  James: Got it. Got it. Got it. Okay, that's really good. And you look for mid teens IRR. Omar: Mid teens IRR, a 10% cash flow and stabilized, all that jazz. James: Got it. Got it. Got it. Okay, that sounds good in terms of the underwriting. So-- Omar: Am I giving you all my secrets James?  James: Yes, absolutely. I will be very specific to Jacksonville. Right? I like to see you know, how each market is being underwritten and so that a business can learn and you know, it's very specific to people who do a lot of analysis on the market because I think that's important, right? You can't just go and buy any deal out of the gate right there, right? So it's good to know that. And these three things like payroll, insurance and taxes are very tricky when you-- Omar: Oh yes. James: --in different markets. So it's good to understand how does that county or that particular city or state determines their property taxes? Because we have different things in taxes here where I buy so it's good to understand. That's good. What is the most valuable value ad that you think that you're going to be doing to this deal? Omar: Oh well look man, because nothing had been touched. I think everything is valuable.  James: Okay. Omar: Hold on but that we lucked out also, right? There's a part of this is work and preparation. Or part of this is luck also. I mean you can't just take that portion away, right? James: Oh yes yes. Absolutely. Omar: All my hard work. Right? James: Absolutely. Absolutely. Omar: Because there's lots of people-- James: It's really hard to find that kind of deals nowadays, right? So how much was your rehab budget?  Omar: So rehab is about a million dollars. James: A million dollars. So let's say your million-dollar today become 500,000 right? I'm showing million dollar you're bringing into your exterior everything upgrade. Right? So let's say then-- Omar: Your exterior is roughly split 70/30. Interior [inaudible46:01]  James: Okay. Okay. So between interior and exterior which one do you think is more important?  Omar: I think if you only had a few dollars, exterior. James: Exterior, okay. Omar: Because people make a-- again this doesn't mean you should ignore the interior. Just to add a disclaimer. The point is, my point is a lot of times we as humans make decisions on first impressions. So if you come into a property and the clubhouse looks [inaudible 46:28] the approach looks [inaudible 46:29] the trees are trimmed, the parking lot is done nicely, then you go to an apartment which may, I mean I'm not saying it should be a complete disaster, but it might not be the best apartment in the world. You can overcome that. Right? But if you come in and the approach looks like you know, somebody got murdered here, right and the clubhouse looks like you know fights happen here, then no matter how good your indeed a renovation is, there's a good chance people will say well, I mean, it looks like I might get killed to just get into my apartment. James: Yes. Omar: Right? So it's the first impression thing more than anything else. It's like any other thing in life I feel. James: Absolutely. So let's say you are 300,000 for exterior. Right? Let's say that 300,000 become a 150,000, what are the important exterior renovation that you would focus on? Omar: So we did all the tree trimming because man, there's first of all living in Texas you realize how much a mystery still [inaudible 47:26] right? So first of all, tree trimming. Trees hadn't been trimmed for 10 years man. They were beautiful Spanish [inaudible 47:34] oak trees with Spanish moss on them. But they just hadn't been trimmed. James: Okay. Okay. Omar: So doing all the tree trimming, all the landscaping, then basically resealing the driveway and then making sure all the flower beds and all the approach leading up to all of that was done properly and the monument signage.  James: Okay, got it. So this is what you would focus on. And what about-- Omar: But also putting a dog park by the way. [inaudible 47:57] you said if my $300,000 budget went to 150 what I do and that's-- James: Yes. Dog park is not very expensive. Omar: Yes. But I'm saying it's stuff like dog park and [inaudible 48:06] to your outdoor kitchen, you're swimming pool, put a bigger sign in. You know [inaudible48:11]  James: Yes and dog park is one of the most valuable value ad because you spend less on it, but a lot of people want it, right? So for some reason, I mean people like pets and all that. So what about the interior? You have 700,000, how much per door are you planning to put for each-- Omar: So roughly say I can do the math roughly. There was six something. Right? So and James: [inaudible48:32]  Omar: Yes, so we're not even-- so we're planning on doing roughly say 75% of the unit's right? So I think that's  104 units if you go 700 divided by 104, roughly we were going to be around $6500 per unit. James; Okay. That's a pretty large budget.  Omar: Yes, man you should see some of these units man, I was like why God how do people even live here?  James: Yes. Omar: Because it's a very affluent. I mean relatively middle class, upper middle class submarket, right? They just haven't done anything.  James: So are you going to be using the property management company to do the renovations? Omar: They have a very fantastic reputation and they were highly recommended a few of our other contacts also use them so that's why. James: Okay. Omar: Because we were seeing problems with a lot of other people's property managers. Either they didn't have the right staff or didn't have the right professionals and this and that indeed these guys were properly integrated across the value chain. James: So at high level, what are you doing on the interiors? Omar: High level Interiors, it's a typical, [inaudible 49:29] back splashes, change the kitchen appliances, countertops, medicine cabinets, lighting packages. The other small little thing which we realized was a very big value add but was cost us less than two dollars and fifty cents per outlet was the [inaudible 49:45] Yes it was the biggest value add-- James: Yeah, biggest value add; that is the most valuable value add. Right? Omar: Yes. James: Like I've never done it in any of my properties but I was telling my wife, Shanti and I said, hey, you know, we should do these, you know, because it's so cheap and a lot of people, a lot of-- Omar: Yes, it was like two dollars or whatever, it was cheaper than that and people cannot get over the fact that they have so many USB out, I was like, everywhere there is a plug there's got to be a USB outlet. James: So do you put for every outlet? The USB? Omar: Not for every, I was dramatizing but I mean for the ones that are accessible say around the kitchen, living room. James: Okay interesting I should steal that idea.  Omar: I didn't invent the idea go for it man.  James: Yes. Omar: [inaudible 50:25] USB port so take it.  James: I know a few other people who do it mentioned that too but I'm not sure for some reason we are not doing it. But that should be a very simple-- Omar: People love it man. And I don't blame them man. Like it's freaking aggravating sometimes, you know, when you got to put like a little thing on top of your USB and then you plug it in. James: Yes, imagine how much you know, this life has changed around all this electronic [crosstalk50:46] devices and all that. So interesting. So did you get a lot of advice from your property management companies on how to work and what are the things to renovate and all that? Or how-- Omar: Yes, and no because we had been developing a relationship with them six months prior to this acquisition. So we had a good relationship with not just them but with other vendors in the market. And especially luckily for us the regional we have for this property right now, actually in an earlier life and with an earlier employer had actually started working on this asset 15 years ago as a property manager. This is sheer dumb luck. This is not by design. So she really knew where all the [inaudible51:24]  James: Yes. Yes, that's interesting. Sometimes you get people who have been in the industry for some time. They say yes, I've worked on that property before they, which is good for us because they know. Got it. Got it. So let's go to a more personal side of things. Right? So you have been pretty successful now and you're doing an apartment syndication now and all that, right? So why do you do what you do? Omar: James, I know a lot of people try to say they have a big "why" and they have a really philosophical reason James, my big "why" is James, I really like-- my lifestyle is very expensive James. So all these nice suits. James: Okay. Omar: All these nice vacations man, they're not cheap. Okay. Real estate is a pretty good way to make a lot of money man.  James: Okay.  Omar: I want to give you a philosophical reason, I know a lot of people say they have the Immigrant success story, Oh I came from India or I came from Pakistan, I ate out of a dumpster, I worked in a gas station and no I had five dollars in my pocket, and everybody tells me that and I say, okay what did you do man? I don't know did you just swim from India, you had two dollars in your pocket you need to get on a plane buddy.  James: You can't be here, right?  Omar: No Indian shows up to America and [inaudible 52:37] Are you kidding me? All the Indians are educated. Everybody's an engineer or doctor or lawyer. You kidding me. He shows up with five dollars, man. So no I didn't show up to this country with five dollars James. I didn't eat out of a dumpster. I didn't work at a gas station, and I'm very grateful for that. Right? I've always had a very good lifestyle and I don't need to have a philosophical reason to say I'm doing this to, I don't know, solve world hunger or poverty or whatever. I have a pretty good lifestyle. I'm very grateful and very blessed. And the biggest thing in my life is being that, look I moved to Texas man I didn't know anybody. Right? But people have been so generous, people have been so kind to me. I'm not just saying investing with us, which is very nice, which I'm very grateful but also connecting me with other people, right? Hey, hey just opening a door. They didn't have to do it, but people have been so generous and so kind, So I quite enjoy the fact man that it's a good way to  make an honest living, right? I have a very expensive lifestyle that needs to get financed and that's just the way it is. And I didn't show up with two dollars in my pocket. So I'm very  grateful for that.  James: That sounds good. So, can you give some, do you have any daily habits that you think makes you more successful? Omar: No man, I just get up every day and I try to put one step after the other but consistently work in the same direction. So every day I'm reaching out to people and that's a lot of small little tasks. First of all, I never like getting up early but I've always known the value of getting up early. So I get up in the morning, right? 5:45, 550 ish I kind of up. Most days not always, right? I read a lot of books man. I reach out to Brokers all the time. I'm always looking at deals, coordinating with my team to do stuff and a lot of these like you do in your business there are a lot of small little tasks there's no one task that is, oh my God, you do this and [inaudible 54:33] But it's just small little tasks that you do daily, every single day in and day out. So even if you're feeling sick, even if your head is hurting you just do it.  James: So can you give a few advice to people who want to start in this business? Omar: Regularly communicating. So in my particular case, I don't know like when you're starting out specifically everybody has a different pain point, right? So in my particular case for instance on a daily, I can't say about weekly I can tell you, staying in touch with my marketing people, emailing Brokers, emailing investors, following up with people I've had conversations with, especially leads, you know people who use this stuff. A lot of word of mouth and just doing the stuff over and over and over. But it's not like I have a 9:00 to 5:00 now, right? It's not like oh Friday, I'm done and Saturday, Sunday I'm relaxing. I mean I could relax on a Monday now, but Saturday and Sunday I'm working. Right? So that's a good-- but it's like the same as you were doing with your business, right?  James: Yes. Absolutely. Absolutely. Well, Omar it has been really a pleasure to have you on this podcast. Is there anything that you have never mentioned in other podcasts that you want to mention? Omar: No James, I don't want to go down that route man.  James: Is there something that you want to tell, you know people who listen to you that you think that would be a good thing to talk about? Omar: Yes, what I want to tell people is listen, I don't think you should take words of wisdom for me. But what I should tell people is guys, honestly, I don't l

Beverly Langston from Bath Fitter joins us this week on the podcast, and we’re going to be talking about bathroom remodeling and renovations, and what sets them apart from the competition.Bath Fitter is an international company know for their state-of-the-art product line that includes acrylic bathtubs and shower liners, free standing bathtub and shower bases, acrylic seamless walls, domed ceilings, tub and shower doors, accessories and wainscoting.Know more about their services and products here! QUOTES“We are very versed in safety because bathrooms are very dangerous places no matter who you are. They’re slippery. So we have lots of different options for safety like grab bars, different types of grab bars, and we really work with our customers to make sure they’re getting everything they need so that everything is safe and secure, and usable and accessible for them.”MENTIONSBath FitterContact Beverly at:Office: 713-691-4110 orMobile: 281-636-3560Email: blangston@bathfitter.comSHOW NOTES[0:01:22.2] Bath Fitter: Who they are and what they do[0:04:11.2] Issues usually encountered when remodeling the bathroom[0:05:29.2] Converting the tub into a standing shower[0:06:56.0] Renovating and remodeling for investment properties[0:09:02.1] The origins of Bath Fitters, showrooms in Houston[0:10:54.1] ADA Compliance[0:12:06.7] Create your own custom bathroom on their site![0:13:17.6] Contact Beverly, Bath Fitter office hours[0:14:39.6] What happens during the consultation phaseFull Transcript:[00:03] INTRO: Welcome to Houston Home Talk featuring all things real estate in the Houston area. We'll interview real estate professionals, local business owners, and special guests from right here in the Houston community. This is where you get the inside scoop about what's new in real estate, new community openings and business openings and much more the Houston home talk show starts right now.[00:33] JAMES: All right. Welcome guys. Welcome to Houston Home Talk. My name is James and I am excited today I am joined by Beverly Langston from bath fitter and Beverly and I met just actually just not even a week ago at the sip and stroll and Katie and it was great getting a chance to meet you. How are you doing about really?[00:55] BEVERLY: I'm great. How are you?[00:57] JAMES: I'm doing great. Great. I wanted to have you on. SO as soon as I saw you in the booth, I wanted to have you guys come on and talk about what you do because I am a…in addition to roadster. I'm an investor as well and I think what you guys do can help anybody, but I was very intrigued by it and wanted to have you on. Thank you for coming on the show.[01:21] BEVERLY: Thanks for having. We're excited.[01:22] JAMES: Yeah, it's pretty cool. Why don't you tell, tell us a little bit about what it is that you guys do, how you got into it, a little bit more about bath fitter and I think it's pretty interesting what you guys do. I really do. Why don't we just start there and you introduce yourself to the audience.[01:40] BEVERLY: Sure. I'm Beverly Langston. I'm the event manager for Bath Fitter here in Houston. We are actually an international company. We're in Canada and the United States all over North America or United States. Our corporate office is right outside of Nashville, Tennessee. I've been here for about a year. I do mostly events and marketing and it's just a really amazing company, quite a unique product. It was started and the mid-80s about my [inaudible], four to be exact by three brothers, the Cotton Brothers. It started because one of them had had a baby and his wife said, I don't want to bath my baby in disgusting bathtub. He trying to figure out an economical way to repair the bathtub and make it look better and for it to be cleaner so that his wife would be happy because happy wife, happy life, right?[02:32] JAMES: Absolutely, yeah.[02:33] BEVERLY: They developed this system. The product is made out of acrylic which is really great for bathrooms because the bathrooms firmly are made…you have lots of tile, lots of grout, those kinds of things and they're porous which means they absorb the water. That's why you get all that mold and mildew in your bathroom which nobody likes and you can never ever get rid of. The acrylic is not porous. It will not ever mold and mildew ever.[03:01] JAMES: Okay. [03:02] BEVERLY: Very, very easy to keep clean. There's no scrubbing involved. Basically it's a spray cleaner if you have hard water, you either squeegee it or wipe it off with a cloth and that's it. That’s it. It's super easy to maintain as well which is a wonderful thing. Bath Fitters philosophy is we want everybody to walk into the bathroom and smile and be happy. We want to give you joy. We should all love our homes and our spaces so much and unfortunately the bathroom isn't one of those places where a lot of people are like, I just really hate it because of things like mold or mildew or maybe things are not updated so that's where the product, you know, it's great. It's a great solution for construction too because what we're most known for is our tub over tub system, which is where we can create a brand new bathtub that goes directly right over your existing bathtub. There's no like tear outs which is wonderful. Even if we do take out a product, it's still also a one day install. It's a very short timeframe.[04:06] JAMES: If you guys are going over the top of existing are there situations where maybe you're not able to just go over top or fruit for most bathrooms, I guess you guys have the ability to be able to really literally just go over top of everything that exiting. Is there any situation where maybe… [04:27] BEVERLY: There are. Sometimes there are plumbing issues that we might we have to people get. Most of the times we cannot go over fiberglass tub because the structure of them is weaker.[04:36] JAMES: Okay.[04:37] JAMES: We still have solutions for that. We can actually just remove those tubs that don't work and put in a brand new bathtub. Still with the product, still the great acrylic. Another thing that we do, we do showers as well the same way. We have a wall system that will go right over your tile. One of the greatest things about our wall system and we're the only company that does it, is it's seamless. There's in the corners is to bang on the material. There's no caulking or grout. It's not going to mold or mildew,[05:11] JAMES: That’s awesome. [05:13] JAMES: That’s is awesome. Literally there is no seam. I'm assuming then the corner is it rounded or --[05:16] BEVERLY: It depends on the material. We actually bend onsite. People always say to me, well, you're not going to get it through my door. Yeah, we will. You'd be surprised. You think you have a small doorway. We will get through it. The other thing that we do that's really, really popular now for a plethora of reasons is we take the tub out and turn it into a standing shower using the same footprint as that tub. You've got a long shower. I think a lot of people are in a point where they're not really taking baths like they used to like it's a waste of space. A lot of people also want to change it because of mobility issues, getting up and over the top. If you're older and if your short, it's very difficult so removing the tub and not having that 18 inches to get up and over is very, very popular. [06:07] JAMES: It's funny that you bring that up because a lot of people, when I sell homes or when I'm listing homes as a realtor, a lot of people for some odd reason they still ask for Tub. Most people don't use it.[06:20] BEVERLY: Yeah, yeah.[06:21] JAMES: Is baffling to me. It really is. I have a home in San Antonio where we actually built it with no tub. For some reason when we tried to sell it, like that came up at certain points, but I think now and that was I was eight, nine years ago. Now I think a lot has changed because of, like you said, the mobility for a lot of people as we start to mature, I'll use that word. Yeah, the tub. I have a tub. I never use it even now. My kids use it. That's awesome that you guys do that.Now do you guys have more like you, I guess your typical client. I don't know if you really have a typical client. I'm assuming you guys have people that are just looking to renovate, remodel, maybe investors. Maybe I could see that part of your product being awesome for a lot of people that may do an investment property where they don't have to come in and rip out. You guys don't have to come rip everything out. You could go over the exist and that's a big time saver because I've done some remodels and it can be expensive if I'm having to rip everything out[07:30] BEVERLY: Exactly, especially if you have an investment property where you have a tenants that leaving and you need to make a repair. It's pretty quick repair. The tub actually whether the shower whatever you're using has to get manufactured because it's all custom done so it's manufactured for you. Once the install happens it's a one day and the great thing is that with construction where there's a lot of dust and debris and dirt and it's sort of a messy process. We're not like that at all. The bathroom probably will be cleaner than when they walked into it. You've got a fresh, clean bathroom ready to show to your next tenant, which is wonderful. For residential, the product has a lifetime guarantee on it. For a rental facilities that's considered commercial. It doesn't have that lifetime guarantee, but I will tell you it really will last a very long time especially because in tenant situations people don't clean them as if was their property. That’s okay because the product is so sturdy and hold up so well to that. That is okay. I've talked with people that have had a rental property and the tub and the wall has been in there 30 years. Other than having to replace the caulk every few years it's been fine. [08:39] JAMES: Got it.[08:40] BEVERLY: We also do a lot of properties like hotels and apartment complexes, dormitories, lots of dormitories because kids.[08:50] JAMES: Okay. That’s makes a lot of sense.[08:51] BEVERLY: Yeah. Yeah, college students destroy things. They get in product for this. [80:59] JAMES: Absolutely. [09:00] BEVERLY: Yeah.[09:01] JAMES: Now you guys have locations. You said it started andI did not realize that you guys have been around for that long. You said the eighties. Where did this, I guess where the company originate and then where are you guys located in the Houston area? Because we're in the Houston Area. Where are you guys located? Where did things originate.[09:20] BEVERLY: It originated in Canada. That’s where the Cotton Brothers are from. Got some branches out in Canada, some stuff mostly with people who are buying in the franchises. There are some franchises store out there, but mostly they're all corporately owned stores. It is a US based company now though because our headquarters are in Springfield, Tennessee, which is right in [00:09:43] in Nashville.[09:43] JAMES: Okay. Yeah. Got it.[09:44] BEVERLY: It's manufactured here in the U.S. We manufacturer on acrylic. Everybody that works on it or all Bath Fitter employees. We never have third party. From the person that answers your phone call to the person who installs it. We are all Bath Fitter employees. We're behind our company. For Houston we are actually in the Garden Oaks District of the Heights, right off of Shepherd and Crosstimbers. We have a show room. We are welcome for people to come in and see the showroom and you have to that. If they're interested we'll send a consultant out to you and they have a mobile showroom they can bring you. If you are around and you wanted to come say hi, we love it. We love having people in here. We can give some more information here and let you see all the different models. We have garden tubs in our shower. We have the standard tub type of the tub. We have tub to shower. We also can change your shower into a bathtub, both ways. Really. Anything you want to do with your tub or shower, we can handle[10:52] JAMES: Got it. You guys can…not only just replace what is existing. You can actually do the remodeling more or less instead of ripping the tub complete out and just make it into a full shower?[11:05] BEVERLY: Yeah. We can. Yeah. Yeah. There's different color [inaudible], wall options as far style and things that people like. We even do showers for those who are wheelchair bound, who need an ADA shower.[11:20] JAMES: Yeah. I was just about to ask you about that because that's a big thing. I was about to ask you about ADA, being ADA compliant because I get a lot of clients that are looking for that so that is something that you guys have the ability to do as well.[11:32] BEVERLY: You can [inaudible] too as far the type of thresholds that we have with them or seat option. We are very, very verse also in the safety because bathrooms are very dangerous places no matter who you are. They're slippery. We have lots of different options for safety, like grab bars, different types of grab bars and we really work with our customers to make sure that they're getting everything they need so that everything is safe and secure and usable and accessible for them.[11:59] JAMES: That is awesome. In Houston that is the only location that you guys physically have here in the Houston. Go ahead…how can people look if they want to look on the website. What is the website? Go ahead and I'll post the website as well for people to be able to go and look and see what you guys have to offer. what is the website?[12:18] BEVERLY: Sure. The website is www.bathfitter.com.[12:22] JAMES: Okay.[12:23] BEVERLY: The website has got a great tool as well. You can watch some videos on how the process works. It also got a build your bathroom tool that you can imagine what you like, would it look like?[12:36] JAMES: that's awesome. That is awesome. Is it almost like a preview of what your bathroom would look like if you chose this or this --[12:47] BEVERLY: It's a virtual room to build your bathroom. [12:50] JAMES: Right[12:51] BEVERLY: On the computer so it's not going to look like it does in reality. It will show you how things will fit in certain ways. A lot of times when our design consultants go out, they use that tool as well on there. They always bring an iPad with them so that people can see and imagine it because sometimes when you actually see it put together, you're like I really don't like that soap dish. I want to be bigger. You could play around with it and see what you like.[13:18] JAMES: Got It. Got it. That is awesome. If anybody wants to reach out to you to have either email, phone number and I'll post that as well so people can reach out to you. I've got a lot of people that I work with but a lot of investors and a lot of clients that are looking for remodeling. I think you guys are very cost effective way of doing it which is really, really was intrigued when I saw what you guys did. Do you have like either a direct phone number for yourself or a… [13:44] BEVERLY: Sure. My office number is 713-691-4110. I also have a company cell phone and you can call me anytime on that which is 281-636-3560 You could e-mail me at blangstonatbathfitter.com. You're welcome to come by the store which is 356 Garden Oaks Boulevard.[14:08] JAMES: Awesome. What are your hours? What are your hours, Monday to Friday. Saturday. Tell us so we'll know what that is as well.[14:14] BEVERLY: We are Monday through Thursday. There's somebody here at 7:00 p.m. On Fridays we're open until 4:00 and on Saturdays there's somebody here from 10:00 to 2:00. Like I said we can bring everything to you. Our sales staff is great. Our consultants are great. If you can't make it in during those hours, we can come to you and we do have evening and Saturday hours or you book appointment for our consultants to come out.[14:39] JAMES: Awesome. Awesome. On the consultant, when they come out, I know you said everything was custom made so they look at the customer. Once they it out like is there…I'm assuming it's probably obviously case by case as far as how long it takes, Do you have… [14:59] BEVERLY: The process is really for us to give anybody a pricing we have … just like any home construction we've got to come out and take a look at what's going on in a bathroom.[15:05] JAMES: Sure. Sure.[15:08] BEVERLY: They'll come out. The first thing they generally do if they go into your bathroom and take out a lot of measurements because those measurements are what gets sent in when you decide to purchase. [15:18] JAMES: Right.[15:20] BEVERLY: They'll sit down with you and go over all options and all the colors and if there's any underlying problems with the bathtub or the bathroom, what those solutions would be. We do have a master plumber on staff. If there's some drainage problem or a leak somewhere, we can definitely get that fixed because we don't want to put a band aide on a problem. We want to make sure everything fits perfectly. The design consultants are really amazing people. We do understand sometimes we need to leave you with the estimate and let you think about it and they're not ever going to pressure anybody. When you decide that you want to purchase it, all of that goes to our plant in Tennessee. The product actually gets manufactured to fit your specifications. For instance, if Joseph Smith ordered a tub, it will have Joe Smith's name on it throughout the entire process up until it's actually put into their bathroom because that is Joe Smith's bathtub.[16:17] JAMES: Yeah. Awesome. Once you get it back, the actual installation, once it's put together, the actual installation process is about basically a day.[16:26] BEVERLY: It's one day, one day, unless we come across some problem. There are issues just like any construction. Sometimes you up a wall or whatever. For instance, we did a tub to shower renovation, we pulled that tub out and there was a tree root growing up underneath it[16:43] JAMES: Yeah.[16:44] BEVERLY: Our sales guy really tried to take care of that or installer trying to take care of it himself, but then he was worried he was going to damage the foundation. We stopped what we were doing. We made sure to have a professional…we met with the homeowner. They had somebody come out to fix that issue. We came back and finished it. The goal was one day but occasionally things happen.[17:08] JAMES: Yeah, it's amazing what happens behind walls. The reality is nobody really knows until there's a problem[17:18] BEVERLY: Yeah, unfortunately my guy – there's the times where I thought they're not going to finish it today and they always be like I was with a woman, very sweet lady. She'd had a knee and a hip replacement maybe six weeks out of surgery and decided she didn't want the bathtub. She wanted to shower and we took the tub out and there was this huge amount of concrete coming up from the foundation. We had to go run a Jack Hammer and it's still not done in one day. All done in one day.[17:44] JAMES: Yeah. It's amazing what happens. Unfortunately when these houses are being constructed whether it's new construction or 10 years or 15 or 20 years. The stuff that happens, it's amazing. I've seen a lot. I've been working for a few builders that I've worked for in the past and seen what happens as homes are being constructed. Yeah, it's amazing what can happen. So that's …[18:08] BEVERLY: Yeah. There had a been a ton of these structural support for the original tub that was there which was not the best option. That’s what happened. Our installers worked very hard to try to get everything done within that one day timeframe. I have done actual construction of a bathroom prior to me working here and not without a bathroom for a couple of weeks. That's not fun. We don't our customers to experience that.[18:34] JAMES: Yeah. No, I've, I've had to do the same thing. Yeah, it is a big hassle. Yeah. We like our bathrooms. We like our bathrooms and when were disrupted from being able to use one is it is definitely it disrupts my whole household. That's awesome that you guys…[18:52]BEVERLY: That’s what the construction does disrupt because there's so much dust and debris everywhere. Yeah.[18:57] JAMES: Awesome. Alright, I will post your website. Give me the website one more time Beverly.[19:03] BEVERLY: www.bathfitter.com.[19:06] JAMES: Okay. I will post that and then I'll also put your contact information. You guys share, reach out to Beverly. The service is, it's amazing. As soon as I saw it, I wanted to have you come on and talk about this because I think it's a really, really great way for people to save if they're looking to remodel or if someone's got an investment property. I think is a great alternative to ripping something completely out and investors like to save money. Actually we all like to save money. It's not even just for that matter who it is and I just think what you guys offer is a great alternative.[19:42] BEVERLY: It's great way to do it. Not have to redo it again in a few years. In the long run really cost effective.[19:51] JAMES: Yes, very, very important. I will post all that contact information there Beverly. Thank you so much. I appreciate you. It was a pleasure meeting you guys. [Inaudible] has been barely a week. That's how I'm sure what you guys l with you guys. We had a long conversation the other day. Thank you for coming on and you guys reach out. If you have questions, reach out to Beverly, www.bathfitter. That's FITTER dot com, correct?[20:19] BEVERLY: Correct.[20:20] JAMES: Got it. All right guys. Thank you. Thank you Beverly. I appreciate your time.[20:25] BEVERLY: Thank you[20:26] JAMES: All right. Take care.[20:27] BEVERLY: Take care. All right, bye-bye.If you like this episode of the Houston Home Talk podcast, please don't forget to like, share, and comment! We appreciate your support and feedback! See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

James Is a long time friend and co-worker. When he isn't busy with a new baby, working at the fire department or running his supplement company, https://atlassuppco.com/products/conviction , he and his wife are also starting a new store in Amarillo Tx, http://www.shopathleisureboutique.com. We had a barn burner of a conversation covering work, play, success, father-hood and conspiracies. I hope you enjoy this conversation as much as I did!Featured music by Ab-soul

You said that some of the early patristic writers believed that John the Baptist was a heretic and even the spiritual mentor of Simon Magus and Dositheus. Might this version imply the canonical gospels had not yet been written? Why do you think Matt changes Mark to make the fig tree wither away immediately rather than over the course of a day?  If Mark is a Paulinist Gospel how can the baptism be adoptionistic which seems to be a doctrine popular among Jewish Christians like the Ebionites?  I wondered if the baptism might not better be seen as the point where the man Jesus is possessed w/ the spirit (the Christ) which some Gnostics believed, what Bart Ehrman calls separationism.  What say ye? What does the Geek think is going on with Jacob and Laban's flock in Genesis 30? Why would the gospel writers in the second century have to embellish the Jerusalem siege and/or the Bar Kochba revolt and not have Jesus describe in detail what will happen just like how Josephus described it since the evidence is strong that the gospel writers have Josephus in front of them while writing the four gospels. Also, why would the writer of Luke dismiss the death of James? Is there any real proof for Burton Mackâ??s hypotheses re Q?

This week we try to talk about the great unknown: space. We get easily sidetracked and have what is possibly our least focused second half. It's awesome! Highlights form the show: -Ghost Pepper Chips Kick Our Asses -Rate My Hummus goes live -Erin Sings Men In Black Many, Many times -More Kingdoms of Amalur Talk - Brief Mass Effect talk -James Is a Crepes Machine -John Wick 2 spoilers 18:36-20:25 -Andrew Loves Dad Jokes -Dank Sols 3 -Mad Max Fury Road Black and Chrome Edition -Andrew is Bad At Big Boy Games like Spelunky -Nate Goes Into Debt -FAWM has cursed mike's equipment -Mike's FAWM page: http://fawm.org/fawmers/aragorn546/

Our fourth episode of Totally Made Up Tales, with more tales of wonder and mystery. Spread the word! Tell a friend!   Music: Creepy – Bensound.com.   Andrew: Here are some totally made up tales. Brought to you by the magic of the internet.   James: One   Andrew: Day   James: Elise   Andrew: Held   James: Her   Andrew: Boyfriend   James: Tightly   Andrew: And   James: Whispered   Andrew: That   James: She   Andrew: Was   James: Pregnant.   Andrew: He   James: Was   Andrew: Surprised   James: But   Andrew: Delighted.   James: Together   Andrew: They   James: Planned   Andrew: For   James: A   Andrew: Home   James: That   Andrew: Would   James: Welcome   Andrew: A   James: New   Andrew: Life.   James: Painting   Andrew: The   James: Nursery   Andrew: In   James: Bright   Andrew: Green   James: With   Andrew: Some   James: Dinosaurs   Andrew: On   James: The   Andrew: Walls.   James: Building   Andrew: A   James: Crib   Andrew: Out   James: Of   Andrew: Ikea   James: And   Andrew: Reading   James: To   Andrew: Each   James: Other   Andrew: The   James: Day   Andrew: Of   James: Delivery   Andrew: Arrived   James: And   Andrew: They   James: Took   Andrew: Elise   James: To   Andrew: The   James: Hospital,   Andrew: Where   James: She   Andrew: Gave   James: Birth   Andrew: To   James: A   Andrew: Healthy   James: Baby   Andrew: Dinosaur   James: The   Andrew: End.   James: This is the story of the Gamekeeper's Family.   Once upon a time, not so very long ago, there lived a couple in a wood.   Andrew: The husband was a gamekeeper at the local estate.   James: His wife was a housekeeper for the same.   Andrew: They had lived in their little cottage very happily for the last fifteen years.   James: But ... they longed for a child.   Andrew: They had tried many things, been to doctors, healers and priests but without success.   James: They had traveled the world looking for witches that might be able to cure their barrenness, but all in vain.   Andrew: After many years of searching and hoping, they had resigned themselves to their situation and were content to mind the children of their neighbours and fellow workers.   James: But one day, as the gamekeeper walked home through the forest paths, he came across a basket.   Andrew: Attached to the basket was a note, read, “please take care of me” and inside wrapped up in blankets there was a tiny baby.   James: He rushed home to his wife to show her what he had found.   Andrew: They spent a long time discussing whether or not it would be right for them to keep this child. Who had left it there and why?   James: Eventually, they chose to consult the local vicar who assured them that with all of their experience helping to look after their neighbours' children and given that almost everyone else in the village already had children of their own, the right thing would be for them to keep it and raise it as their own.   Andrew: This they did, with great success and a fine healthy young man was the product of their labours.   James: They had named him Benjamin, after the wife's father and as Benjamin grew in stature, he also grew in the love given to him, not only by them but by others in the village. For everyone enjoyed his outgoing and pleasant company.   Andrew: As the years passed the time came for him to take over his father's job as gamekeeper on the estate and this he did.   James: He had spent his childhood growing up amongst the forest and knew how to look for the different types of woodland animal and also how to protect them. How best to defend them from poachers and so forth. And so, continuing the charm of his childhood as he started his job, he proved to be more than adept as a gamekeeper and was rapidly promoted until he became head gamekeeper.   Andrew: After many years, his parents passed away in a peaceful old age and he moved back to the cottage where he had grown up.   James: By this time, he was himself, married, although as with his parents, he and his wife Amelia, had not been able to have a child.   Andrew: One day, while out walking in the estate, completing his rounds and jobs, Benjamin too came across a basket with a note attached.   James: The note, as the note on his own basket, said “please take care of me” and inside was a tiny child that he took home to Amelia and which as with his parents before him, they decided it was right to adopt.   Andrew: Now, the listener will not know that Benjamin's parents had not chosen to share with him the story of how they had found him in a cradle in the woods. And so, it did not occur to him that there was anything unusual about this coincidence.   James: As Benjamin and Amelia's daughter, Susanna, grew, she also, much like Benjamin was much loved around the village and when it came time for her to start working, she took over Amelia's job as housekeeper, as Amelia had taken over the job of Benjamin's mother before her.   Andrew: And so it was that this story played out from generation to generation. Susanna had a son named Robert. Robert had a daughter named Barbara. Barbara had a son named Tom.   James: And always, down through the generations, the same jobs were passed from father to daughter, from daughter to son, across the generations, gamekeeper and housekeeper both.   Andrew: But why? Why was it that these popular, lovable, outgoing people were never able to have children of their own? And where was it that the mysterious foundlings were coming from?   James: For that, dear listener, we must go back to the first gamekeeper and housekeeper, Benjamin's parents, and see their story from another angle.   Andrew: Once upon a time there was a magical forest where there dwelled many sprites and pixies.   James: Chief among them was a fairy who had lived for many hundreds of years, spending her time looking after the non-magical creatures of the kingdom.   Andrew: Now, many fairies have an ambiguous and complicated relationship with human beings, seeing them somewhat like a tree sees a fungus growing on its bark.   James: At times, the fairy would help humans through stumbling difficulties in their lives, but at other times she would punish them for what she saw as a transgression against the magical forest.   Andrew: She was, to our eyes, capricious in her whims. Sometimes kind, sometimes cruel.   James: One day, the gamekeeper, while walking home through the forest spied a rogue pheasant which had somehow escaped from, as he thought, the forest that he managed.   Andrew: What appeared to be a pheasant to his eyes, was in fact the fairy, wandering through her domain.   James: He carefully set a trap and as she did not consider him a threat, she walked right into it and was quickly bound and trussed with him carrying her home towards the pot.   Andrew: He was not by nature a sentimental person, having spent his life working with the wild animals of the forest. But, there was something about the way this bird fixed him with a seemingly knowing stare as he set it down on the kitchen table that made him think twice about instantly wringing its neck.   James: In the moment that he hesitated, the fairy, as fairies sometimes do, cast a spell, not only for her to be released and free but also so that he would forget having ever encountered her. And, as fairies are also sometimes wont to do, she cursed him at that moment, annoyed and upset that she had ignominiously been bound and walked over the forest. She cursed him that he should never have a child to love him.   Andrew: Sometime later, the fairy observed his wife walking through the forest and weeping and lamenting her lack of children.   James: Unaware that this woman was in any way related to the gamekeeper she had previously cursed, she cast a beneficial spell over the housekeeper that she would have a child that she so clearly desired.   Andrew: The child of course, was easy to provide for fairy folk often have children which they need to be raised in the human world.   James: And no one ever questioned from Benjamin through Susanna, through Robert, through Barbara, through Tom, why, when their feet touched the ground in the forest, flowers grew in their footsteps.   Andrew: And from generation to generation, they continued to live, in the small charming cottage in the middle of the wonderful magical wood.   James: Sally   Andrew: Held   James: Her   Andrew: Handbag   James: Defensively   Andrew: When   James: The   Andrew: Mugger   James: Threatened   Andrew: Her   James: With   Andrew: A   James: Knife.   Andrew: She   James: Balanced   Andrew: On   James: The   Andrew: Balls   James: Of   Andrew: Her   James: Feet   Andrew: And   James: Lashed   Andrew: Out   James: With   Andrew: Her   James: Handbag   Andrew: Knocking   James: Him   Andrew: Over   James: And   Andrew: Giving   James: Her   Andrew: The   James: Chance   Andrew: To   James: Escape.   Andrew: She   James: Reported   Andrew: The   James: Incident   Andrew: To   James: The   Andrew: Police   James: Who   Andrew: Promptly   James: Ignored   Andrew: Her   James: And   Andrew: Carried   James: On   Andrew: Filling   James: In   Andrew: Paperwork.   James: The   Andrew: End.   James: Our next story is Jeremy's Place.   One   Andrew: Day   James: Jeremy   Andrew: Was   James: Walking   Andrew: Along   James: The   Andrew: High   James: Street   Andrew: When   James: He   Andrew: Noticed   James: That   Andrew: The   James: Shops   Andrew: Were   James: All   Andrew: Closed.   James: In   Andrew: Normal   James: Times   Andrew: They   James: Would   Andrew: Be   James: Open   Andrew: On   James: Fridays   Andrew: But   James: Today   Andrew: They   James: Were   Andrew: Not   James: “Hmmm?”   Andrew: He   James: Thought   Andrew: “Is   James: There   Andrew: A   James: Special   Andrew: Occasion?   James: Perhaps   Andrew: It's   James: Remembrance   Andrew: Day?   James: But   Andrew: That   James: Is   Andrew: Always   James: On   Andrew: A   James: Sunday.”   Andrew: So   James: He   Andrew: Knocked   James: On   Andrew: The   James: Door   Andrew: Of   James: The   Andrew: Post   James: Office   Andrew: And   James: Waited   Andrew: For   James: Someone   Andrew: To   James: Open   Andrew: It.   James: Waited   Andrew: And   James: Waited   Andrew: Then   James: Waited   Andrew: Some   James: More.   Andrew: He   James: Gave   Andrew: The   James: Putative   Andrew: Post-mistress   James: Half   Andrew: An   James: Hour   Andrew: And   James: She   Andrew: Didn't   James: Appear.   Andrew: So   James: He   Andrew: Pushed   James: And   Andrew: The   James: Door   Andrew: Opened.   James: “Funny,”   Andrew: He   James: Thought   Andrew: And   James: Stepped   Andrew: Inside.   James: Inside   Andrew: There   James: Was   Andrew: No   James: Light.   Andrew: In   James: The   Andrew: Space   James: Reserved   Andrew: For   James: Packages,   Andrew: There   James: Was   Andrew: A   James: Small   Andrew: Dog.   James: “Strange,”   Andrew: He   James: Thought,   Andrew: And   James: Approached.   Andrew: The   James: Dog   Andrew: Looked   James: At   Andrew: Him   James: And   Andrew: Opened   James: His   Andrew: Mouth.   James: “Why   Andrew: Are   James: You   Andrew: Here?”   James: Asked   Andrew: The   James: Dog   Andrew: “I   James: Want   Andrew: To   James: Know   Andrew: What's   James: Going   Andrew: On?”   James: Said   Andrew: Jeremy.   James: “This   Andrew: Is   James: Not   Andrew: A   James: Place   Andrew: For   James: You.”   Andrew: Said   James: The   Andrew: Dog   James: “Where   Andrew: Am   James: I?”   Andrew: “You   James: Are   Andrew: In   James: The   Andrew: Seventh   James: Kingdom.”   Andrew: Jeremy   James: Backed   Andrew: Away   James: From   Andrew: The   James: Dog   Andrew: And   James: Fled.   Andrew: Once   James: Outside   Andrew: He   James: Started   Andrew: To   James: Calm   Andrew: Down   James: Again.   Andrew: He   James: Convinced   Andrew: Himself   James: That   Andrew: Nothing   James: Strange   Andrew: Had   James: Happened   Andrew: To   James: Him   Andrew: And   James: Proceeded   Andrew: To   James: Walk   Andrew: Down   James: The   Andrew: High   James: Street   Andrew: And   James: Knocked   Andrew: On   James: The   Andrew: Door   James: Of   Andrew: The   James: Butchers.   Andrew: Again   James: There   Andrew: Was   James: No   Andrew: Reply   James: So   Andrew: He   James: Pushed   Andrew: The   James: Door   Andrew: Open   James: And   Andrew: Stepped   James: Inside.   Andrew: Within,   James: There   Andrew: Was   James: No   Andrew: Light.   James: In   Andrew: The   James: Area   Andrew: Where   James: Meat   Andrew: Would   James: Be   Andrew: Chilled   James: There   Andrew: Was   James: Another   Andrew: Dog.   James: “What   Andrew: Are   James: You   Andrew: Doing   James: Here?”   Andrew: Said   James: The   Andrew: Dog.   James: “I'm   Andrew: Just…”   James: “No!”   Andrew: Said   James: The   Andrew: Dog.   James: “This   Andrew: Is   James: Not   Andrew: A   James: Place   Andrew: For   James: You!”   Andrew: Jeremy   James: Looked   Andrew: Confused.   James: “Where   Andrew: Am   James: I?”   Andrew: “Go!   James: This   Andrew: Is   James: The   Andrew: Kingdom.   James: You   Andrew: Must   James: Leave.”   Andrew: Jeremy   James: Backed   Andrew: Away   James: From   Andrew: The   James: Dog   Andrew: Into   James: The   Andrew: Doorway,   James: And   Andrew: Stepped   James: Back   Andrew: Onto   James: The   Andrew: High   James: Street.   Andrew: Now   James: He   Andrew: Was   James: Having   Andrew: Second   James: Thoughts   Andrew: About   James: The   Andrew: Shopping   James: Trip   Andrew: That   James: He   Andrew: Had   James: Planned   Andrew: And   James: Walked   Andrew: Back   James: Towards   Andrew: Home.   James: Passing   Andrew: The   James: Police   Andrew: Station,   James: He   Andrew: Went   James: To   Andrew: The   James: Door   Andrew: And   James: Knocked.   Andrew: The   James: Door   Andrew: Was   James: Not   Andrew: Locked,   James: And   Andrew: So   James: He   Andrew: Went   James: Inside.   Andrew: Within,   James: There   Andrew: Was   James: No   Andrew: Light.   James: In   Andrew: The   James: Cells   Andrew: Where   James: Prisoners   Andrew: Usually   James: Resided,   Andrew: There   James: Was   Andrew: A   James: Third   Andrew: Dog.   James: “Seriously!”   Andrew: Said   James: The   Andrew: Dog.   James: “What   Andrew: Are   James: You   Andrew: Doing   James: Here?”   Andrew: Jeremy   James: Panicked   Andrew: And   James: Ran   Andrew: At   James: The   Andrew: Dog.   James: “Give   Andrew: Me   James: Back   Andrew: My   James: Place!”   Andrew: He   James: Exclaimed.   Andrew: The   James: Dog   Andrew: Jumped   James: Sideways   Andrew: And   James: Avoided   Andrew: Jeremy's   James: Grasping,   Andrew: And   James: Replied,   Andrew: “This   James: Is   Andrew: Your   James: Place   Andrew: Here.”   James: Slamming   Andrew: The   James: Cell   Andrew: Door   James: Shut,   Andrew: Jeremy   James: Collapsed   Andrew: Into   James: The   Andrew: Corner   James: And   Andrew: Slept.   James: The   Andrew: Next   James: Day   Andrew: He   James: Awoke   Andrew: In   James: The   Andrew: Cell   James: To   Andrew: Discover   James: Three   Andrew: Policemen   James: Looking   Andrew: At   James: Him   Andrew: In   James: Confusion.   Andrew: “What's   James: All   Andrew: This   James: Then?”   Andrew: They   James: Said   Andrew: In   James: Unison.   Andrew: Jeremy   James: Stumbled   Andrew: Out   James: Into   Andrew: The   James: Open   Andrew: Air   James: And   Andrew: Saw   James: That   Andrew: Things   James: Were   Andrew: Back   James: To   Andrew: Normal.   James: The   Andrew: Post   James: Office   Andrew: Was   James: Open,   Andrew: The   James: Butchers   Andrew: Had   James: Customers,   Andrew: The   James: High   Andrew: Street   James: Was   Andrew: Bustling.   James: “What   Andrew: Happened   James: Yesterday?”   Andrew: He   James: Thought   Andrew: As   James: He   Andrew: Opened   James: His   Andrew: Front   James: Door.   Andrew: “I   James: Swore   Andrew: I…”   James: And   Andrew: In   James: Front   Andrew: Of   James: Him   Andrew: Were   James: Three   Andrew: Dogs.   James: The   Andrew: End.       James: Peter   Andrew: Liked   James: Jam   Andrew: And   James: Toast.   Andrew: He   James: Regularly   Andrew: Ate   James: Ten   Andrew: Slices   James: Of   Andrew: Them   James: For   Andrew: Breakfast.   James: His   Andrew: Constitution   James: Was   Andrew: As   James: Solid   Andrew: As   James: A   Andrew: House.   James: One   Andrew: Day   James: He   Andrew: Ran   James: Out   Andrew: Of   James: Jam   Andrew: And   James: Had   Andrew: To   James: Use   Andrew: Marmite   James: Instead.   Andrew: This   James: Gummed   Andrew: His   James: Works   Andrew: Up   James: And   Andrew: He   James: Slowly   Andrew: Died.   James: The   Andrew: End.   I've been Andrew, and I'm here with James. These stories were recorded without advanced planning and then lightly edited for the discerning listener. Join us next time for more totally made-up tales ...    

Ephesians 1:3-14 constitutes one sentence. Is there a mnemonic trick for mentally processing these long passages the first time through? Are run-on sentences common in other Greek literature of the period? What would be The Geek's "central theme" to the bible? Was Tertullian correct in his report that the author of the Acts of Paul & Thecla was defrocked as a forger and his book debunked? Bart Ehrman says that the cult of St. Thecla was once so popular that it rivaled even with the cult of the Virgin Mary. What is the evidence for this? Is there any evidence the canonical Acts of the Apostles shared the encratite teaching found in the various Apocryphal Acts? Observations on same-sex marriage and Christianity. What are the sources about Jesus having a brother James? Is there a 'best qualification' to have in order to examine if Jesus existed? Is it best to be a Textual Critic? Apologists say that you can't test God, "God does not put on a show for you," but aren't these Bible passages in which God does this? Can we say the Noachian Flood is a metaphor for Baptism, the cleansing of sin by water? We have two incompatible genealogies for Jesus, so I suppose it's fortunate we have two Jesuses: Jesus ben Joseph and Jesus Barabbas. Why don't more mythicists point out that there is no evidence for the existence of various towns mentioned in the gospels? Analogies between the related concepts of Trinitarianism and Modalism and some elements of Quantum Field Theory.

Dr Matthew Potter (MIC, UL). James Is forty chartered towns of 1613