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Markets are looking to open lower, but there's no, one reason as the cause. We'll retest the 200-DMA again today: Be careful of breaks in support! When these have occurred in the past, they've turned out to be buying opportunities, not selling opportunities. Concerns over negative GDP data should improve as new data is received. This is hinted in improving ISM Services and Manufacturing data, which will feed into the next Atlanta GDP report, and provide positive input. It is also likely that a better-than-expected Employment Report will be seen on Friday. Be careful when everyone is negative: Counter-trend data can reverse that mood. Remember, sellers live higher, buyers live lower. We've got to go back to November 2023 for the last retest of the 200-DMA. Every time markets have been as over sold as this, near-term, bottoms have resulted. So, even though markets could go lower, the trend right now is positive. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6r57nK-lMtQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Retest200DMA #EmploymentReport #AtlantaGDP #MarketRally #MarketBottom #ReflexiveRally #Tariffs #InvestorSentiment #Negativity #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #ReflexiveRally #RebalancingRisk #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
“We're seeing existing employees stay where they are,” and difficulty for job seekers and temporary workers to find employment says Stephen C. Dwyer, despite signs of growth in the Jobs report. Cory Stahle agrees, saying that “your experience of the job market” depends on what sector you're in. He discusses the concentration of open jobs in government and healthcare and whether they can continue to hire at the same rate. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Dante joins the podcast to discuss the October employment report. The impact of recent strikes and hurricanes weighed on the headline jobs figure, but everyone agrees that underlying job growth remains strong. Cris and Mark debate the reasons why productivity growth in the U.S. has outpaced the rest of the world, but Dante remains skeptical that recent productivity success is sustainable.Guest: Dante DeAntonio, Se nior Director of Economic Research, Moody's AnalyticsHosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody's AnalyticsFollow Mark Zandi on 'X' @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn
On this episode of The Lonely Office, we dive into the latest economic insights with Glassdoor's lead economist, Daniel Zhao, as he unpacks the complexities behind two major job market reports—the JOLTS report and the Employment Situation report. With factors like hurricane impacts and the Boeing strike shaping this month's data, we break down what these reports reveal about job openings, hiring rates, and why so many employees feel “stuck” in their roles. Join us for a candid look at the evolving job market and the pressing questions around work-life balance, job security, and career satisfaction. Special Guest: Daniel Zhao https://www.linkedin.com/in/dbzhao/ Hosts: Matt Sunbulli https://www.linkedin.com/in/sunbulli/ https://www.threads.net/@mattsunbulli https://www.firstdraft.vc Aaron Calafato Listen to Aaron's 7 Minute Stories
More jobs data points to a healthy economy The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTs) showed a surprise increase in the month of August. Openings totaled 8.04 million, which topped the estimate of 7.64 million and July's reading of 7.71 million. While this is still well off the highs from just a couple of years ago, there are still 1.1 available jobs for every person looking for one. On the inflation front, I believe it was positive to see the quits rate decline to 1.9%, its lowest level since June 2020. This indicates that the labor market has softened as employees are seeing less opportunity to quit their job in favor of another one. This should help put less pressure on wage inflation. The Fed will have to continue to walk the fine line of keeping the economy moving in a positive direction without stoking a rise in inflation. It's a tough task, but the labor market has continued to hold up much stronger than many believed was possible. Employment report surprises to the upside I was surprised to see the continued strength in the labor market as the growth of headline nonfarm payrolls of 254k in the month of September easily topped the estimate of 150k. Strength came from leisure and hospitality, which saw payrolls grow 78k thanks to a nice spike of 69k jobs from food services and drinking places. Other positive sectors included health care and social assistance (+71.7k), government (+31k), and construction (+25k). Only two sectors saw declines in the month with manufacturing losing 7k jobs and transportation and warehousing down 8.6k jobs. Both July and August saw upward revisions to their reports for a combined total increase of 72k. Wage inflation was also stronger in the month as average hourly earnings grew 4% compared to last year. This is up from last month's reading of 3.8%, but still remains substantially below last year's high of 5.92%. Precovid, wage growth was in the low to mid 3% range. Overall, this report didn't have many problems. The only concern is, did the Fed move to soon and could inflation still be the larger concern rather than a weakening labor market? This report did increase expectations for a November rate cut to be 0.25% rather than 0.5%. I would have been shocked if the Fed would have opted for another 0.5% cut even if the jobs report wasn't this strong. ILA Dockworkers strike Good news for those that were concerned about the International Longshoremen's Association's (ILA) strike as the union and the United States Maritime Alliance reached a tentative agreement on wages and agreed to extend the Master Contract until January 15th, 2025. Wages will increase 61.5% over six years under the tentative deal, but the major point of conflict that still needs to be negotiated is port automation. With the increase in wages, it will be interesting to see how much the Maritime Alliance is willing to budge on automation as they will likely need to look for ways to improve efficiency to offset the higher wages. Efficiency is already a concern for US ports as a study from just a couple of years ago ranked the LA and Long Beach ports as the least efficient trade hubs for handling containers in the world. Other US ports including Savannah, Georgia, New York, and New Jersey also ranked in the bottom half of the list. Of the 370-member Container Port Performance Index, we did not have a single port in the top 10. While this resolution is positive, the problems could be delayed until early next year if the two sides still cannot come to an agreement. During my research on this strike, I learned some surprising things about the union leader, Harold Daggett. You may be shocked to learn that his combined income as president of two unions is around $900,000 per year with $728,000 coming from the ILA. He currently drives a Bentley, which is a high-end luxury vehicle with a price of $210,000 for a new one. He also recently sold his 76-foot yacht and based on the US boat group market index, the average price of a yacht in that range is $1.5 million and costs around 10 to 15% of the value to operate yearly. I was also surprised to see this is a “family business” as his son is employed by the same two unions as his dad and was paid a total of more than $700,000 last year. As for the workers, on the East Coast the union workers have an average pay around $81,000 per year. However, the waterfront commission of New York estimates 1/3 of the longshoreman made $200,000 or more last year with overtime. Investors are still adding money to money market funds Even with the recent rate cut by the Federal Reserve, investors still put nearly $130 billion into money market funds. This brought total assets in money markets to $6.8 trillion. I don't believe this money will stay there very long as probably within 3 to 6 months investors will start seeing the interest rates decline and once, they fall below 4%, we could see a large drop in the assets held in money market funds. The big question for investors is where to go. If you need liquidity, you're probably best off staying in the money market funds, but if you won't need the money for the next 3 to 5 years, you should be looking at building a strong investment portfolio using patience and a lot of research to make sure you have the right investments. A Lesser-Known Spousal Social Security Strategy After 2015 many of the spousal strategies such as the file and suspend or restricted application options are no longer possible. This is because a “deemed filing” rule applies which means when someone files for Social Security benefits, they are deemed to be filing for all benefits they are eligible for such as spousal and their own benefits. When they apply, they will receive whichever benefit is larger, but not both. However, there is still a way to switch between benefits. In order to receive a spousal benefit, the spouse you are collecting from must also be collecting. If they are not, you would only be eligible for your own benefit until they begin collecting. Consider a wife who is no longer working and whose full retirement age 67 amount is $1,000 and who has a working husband with a full retirement age amount of $3,500. Because of the husband's larger benefit, the wife is also eligible for a spousal benefit of half that amount, $1,750, if she collects it at her full retirement age. In this situation the wife may collect from her own record as early as age 62. Since she would be collecting 5 years early, her own benefit would be reduced from $1,000 to $700. Later on though, when her husband retires and starts his own social security, she could begin her spousal benefit at age 67 and boost her benefit by $750 up from $700 to $1,450. This $750 boost is because her spousal benefit of $1,750 is $750 larger than her own full retirement age amount of $1,000, even though she began collecting at 62. If she had waited to apply for anything until age 67, she would receive the full spousal benefit of $1,750, but she would have waited 5 years of collecting nothing just for an extra $300. From a Net Present Value perspective, it is better for the wife to collect her own benefit at 62 and later receive the spousal boost rather than wait completely until 67. Also, there are many spouses who collect early without knowing they are also eligible for a larger spousal benefit when their spouse retires. If they do not alert the Social Security Administration, they may not ever receive their increased benefit. Companies Discussed: Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST), Humana Inc. (HUM) & LyondellBasell Industries (LYB)
09th Sep: Blockchain DXB Podcast
Michael Reinking, Senior Market Strategist for the NYSE, details the latest trends and developments in global markets for the week of September 3rd, 2024, and provides a preview of what's to come for the week of September 9th, 2024.
Andrew, Ben, and Tom review Tesla deliveries, the ADP Employment Report, Jay Powell's progress on inflation, & UK general election. For information on how to join the Zoom calls live each morning at 8:30 EST, visithttps://www.narwhalcapital.com/blog/daily-market-briefingsPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhalcapital.com/disclosure
Recruitment site SEEK says job ads have fallen in the past month across most sectors and in virtually all regions. According to its latest Employment Report, monthly job ads dropped five percent between April and May, and are thirty percent down on the same time in 2023. Welllington is particularly hard hit, with a 40 percent drop compared to May last year. Seek country manager Rob Clark spoke to Corin Dann.
AP correspondent Donna Warder reports the federal government releases its May jobs report this morning. ((May jobs report is released at 8:30 am EDT))
Discover the hidden truths behind the stock market's resilience, inflation's real impact, and the disruptive power of AI and meme stocks. Join Andrew Brill as he interviews Phil Rosen, co-founder and editor of Opening Bell Daily. Phil is a seasoned financial reporter with experience working with Business Insider, Inc, and other financial outlets. In this episode, Phil shares his expert insights on the current state of the US economy, highlighting the resilience reflected in the stock market despite widespread economic uncertainty. He addresses the discrepancy between official inflation statistics and the real-life impact on consumers, emphasizing how cumulative price gains are felt in everyday expenses. The conversation also explores the fascinating world of meme stocks, focusing on the story of Roaring Kitty and GameStop. Phil discusses how a single trader's bold moves and the ensuing retail investor frenzy have disrupted traditional market dynamics, raising questions about market manipulation and sentiment-driven investments. Additionally, Phil offers his perspective on the AI revolution, noting the relentless hype surrounding AI advancements and their potential long-term impact on the market. TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 - Introduction 01:14 - Overview of Opening Bell Daily 03:07 - Current Economic Sentiments and Inflation 05:16 - Divergence Between Market Performance and Economic Data 08:45 - Impact of Interest Rates and Money Market Funds 12:14 - Stock Market Resilience and Future Projections 14:08 - Meme Stocks and Market Manipulation 19:23 - Fundamentals vs. Sentiment in Investing 23:50 - Employment Report and Economic Indicators 27:40 - Federal Reserve Policies and Their Lagging Effects 30:18 - The Hype and Future of AI 34:04 - Nvidia's Dominance in the AI Market 35:16 - Powering the AI Revolution 36:27 - Closing Remarks
We're thrilled to bring you the first episode of the Leadership on the Links podcast with guest expert Pat Jones! Pat has been a passionate advocate for superintendents and the golf industry for 30 years. As head of Flagstick LLC, he uses that passion to help organizations communicate with customers and drive sales more effectively and efficiently. Pat has been a business media executive for most of his adult life, profitably steering the sales and editorial operations of Golf Course Industry, Lawn & Landscape, Golfdom, and GCM. He specializes in researching and tracking the state of the golf course maintenance market and shining a spotlight on the industry's best people, practices, and products. Pat is also a frequent keynoter at conferences and industry events. In this episode, Pat and Tyler break down our recent 2024 Golf Course Superintendent Employment Trend Report, including steps you can take to market yourself more effectively and prepare for the next level in your career. The #1 Skill Golf Course Superintendents Want to Learn We had over 300 respondents for our 2024 Golf Course Superintendent Employment Trend Report, but what was most interesting was the qualitative data. The verbatim comments provided deep insights into how satisfied superintendents are with their careers, what worries them, and what they need to go to the next level. Although some superintendents mentioned the need for certifications or better leadership skills, the overwhelming majority felt they needed to become better communicators–to tell their stories, expand their network of contacts, and sell themselves more effectively. In general, our respondents felt good about their jobs, but 43% said they were waiting for the next opportunity to come along (either within their organization or at another club), which makes communication even more vital. Pat recommends superintendents share their goals with their team and board members regularly. Keep people informed about what you're doing and why. Not only is this a great way to hone your communication skills, but it will also position you for that next opportunity when it becomes available. Biggest Challenges The biggest worry for superintendents in 2024 is managing club expectations. Many respondents said they feel pressure to create perfect course conditions, even though they don't have the resources. The other major theme was work-life balance. Superintendents are increasingly standing firm on work-life balance, with 80% actively working on improving their well-being Gone are the days when superintendents were happy to put in 90-hour weeks and miss their kids' baseball games. Many respondents said they've started communicating with their leadership about mental health, while others are working on their own internalized expectations and making more time for family, hobbies, and exercise. Hit play on this episode to hear the full report breakdown with insights from Pat Jones… Quotes “That's what this industry is all about, the relationships and the people we've gotten to know over the years.” “It's a small, small business…if you know a couple hundred people, chances are pretty good you can be successful with those relationships.” “Networking and communications–it all comes back to that.” “Train, trust, and delegate.” “The #1 piece of advice for building a good team and being a good leader and a good manager of people was to get to know them as human beings and not just as somebody who punches a clock.” Links mentioned in this episode: The Flagstick Blog: https://www.patjonesflagstick.com/ Connect with Pat on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/pat-jones-226766b0/ Send Pat an email: patjonesgolf@gmail.com
This Day in Legal History: Free Exercise Clause Applies to StatesOn this day, May 20, in 1940, the United States Supreme Court made a landmark decision in the case of Cantwell v. Connecticut, significantly shaping the landscape of religious freedom in America. The Court held that the Free Exercise Clause of the First Amendment, which guarantees individuals the right to practice their religion freely, applied to state governments. This decision was pivotal as it extended the protections of the Bill of Rights to state actions, not just federal, through the incorporation doctrine.The incorporation doctrine is a constitutional principle that ensures the fundamental rights and freedoms outlined in the Bill of Rights are protected against infringement by state governments. This doctrine relies on the Due Process Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment, which has been interpreted to incorporate most of the protections guaranteed in the Bill of Rights. The Cantwell case was a critical moment in the application of this doctrine, marking the first time the Supreme Court applied the Free Exercise Clause to the states.In Cantwell v. Connecticut, the case involved Jehovah's Witnesses who were arrested for soliciting without a permit and for inciting a breach of the peace. The Supreme Court ruled in favor of the Cantwells, stating that their arrests violated their First Amendment rights. This decision underscored the importance of protecting religious expression from state interference and set a precedent for future cases involving the incorporation of other Bill of Rights protections.This ruling reinforced the principle that religious freedom is a fundamental right that must be respected by all levels of government, ensuring that individuals could practice their faith without undue state interference. It paved the way for broader interpretations of the First Amendment and fortified the legal framework that guards against religious discrimination and promotes religious liberty in the United States.Donald Trump, currently on trial in New York for falsifying business records, may testify in his defense this week, although his decision remains uncertain. While Trump initially indicated he would testify, his lawyer Todd Blanche has since expressed uncertainty. Trump faces 34 counts related to hush money payments to Stormy Daniels, aimed at silencing her allegations of an affair before the 2016 election, which Trump denies. Outside the courtroom, Trump has labeled the trial a politically motivated effort to undermine his 2024 presidential campaign. Inside, he has listened to testimony, including lurid details from Daniels and accounts of efforts to suppress negative stories. Prosecutors are expected to conclude their case after testimony from Michael Cohen, Trump's former fixer who made the payment to Daniels.Trump's legal team will soon present their defense, potentially calling witnesses, including Trump himself. If Trump chooses to testify, he could challenge the allegations directly but would also face rigorous cross-examination, posing risks of perjury and damaging his credibility. The outcome of this trial, one of four criminal cases Trump faces, could impact his political future.Trump has the chance to testify at hush money trial - if he so chooses | ReutersColorado is set to become the first U.S. state to enact a comprehensive law regulating the use of artificial intelligence (AI) in employment and other critical areas with Senate Bill 24-205 (SB205). Passed on May 8 and awaiting Governor Jared Polis' signature, the law aims to prevent algorithmic discrimination and will take effect in 2026. It targets high-risk AI systems influencing decisions in employment, education, finance, government services, healthcare, housing, insurance, and legal services.SB205 imposes significant compliance obligations on both developers and users of high-risk AI systems. Developers must provide detailed information about their AI systems, publish risk management strategies, and disclose known discrimination risks to the attorney general. Deployers are required to implement risk management policies, conduct annual impact assessments, and notify consumers about the use of AI systems in decision-making.The law also mandates that businesses inform consumers about the purpose and nature of AI systems, their influence on decisions, and the right to opt out of profiling. The Colorado attorney general will enforce the law, treating violations as unfair and deceptive trade practices, though there is no private right of action. Businesses can defend themselves by showing they discovered and corrected violations through feedback or internal reviews.This groundbreaking legislation is expected to influence broader AI regulation across the U.S., as other states consider similar measures, prompting employers nationwide to prepare for stricter AI compliance requirements.Colorado Passes Groundbreaking AI Discrimination Law Impacting EmployersThe U.S. Supreme Court upheld the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau's (CFPB) funding mechanism, which allows it to draw funds from the Federal Reserve rather than through annual congressional appropriations. This 7-2 decision, issued on May 16, has broader implications for other financial regulators such as the Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC), and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), which also rely on independent funding mechanisms. Justice Elena Kagan, in a concurring opinion joined by Justices Sonia Sotomayor, Amy Coney Barrett, and Brett Kavanaugh, emphasized that Congress has historically used various funding mechanisms for federal agencies, underscoring the constitutionality of such arrangements. This decision signals to potential litigants that challenges against the funding of financial regulators are unlikely to succeed.The ruling reassures that the established funding methods for these agencies, which include assessing fees on the banks they supervise, are constitutionally sound. The decision also highlighted that the independent funding of U.S. regulatory agencies has long been accepted due to its prevalence and practical necessity.Dissenting Justices Samuel Alito and Neil Gorsuch, while disagreeing with the majority on the CFPB, did not find the funding methods of other regulators constitutionally problematic. They pointed out that the Federal Reserve, FDIC, and OCC operate on specific charges for services, contrasting with the CFPB's unique funding ability.Legal experts see this ruling as a robust defense of the current financial regulatory framework, suggesting that any future claims against the funding structures of these agencies will likely face significant hurdles. The case referenced is CFPB v. Community Financial Services Association of America, U.S., No. 22-448.Banking Regulators See Relief From Funding Fights in CFPB RulingStates poised to receive portions of $7 billion for bringing solar power to low-income communities face a significant skilled labor shortage in the construction industry. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has selected 60 applicants, including many state energy departments, to implement the Solar for All program, aimed at providing residential solar to disadvantaged populations as part of the Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund.The program faces a shortage of 500,000 skilled construction workers, exacerbated by early retirements and recruitment challenges, according to Ben Brubeck of the Associated Builders and Contractors. The Department of Energy's 2023 US Energy and Employment Report noted that 97% of construction employers find it difficult to hire qualified solar workers.The Solar for All funding encourages project labor agreements, which may deter non-union contractors. Currently, only about 11% of solar energy workers are unionized. This shortage raises concerns about maintaining high-quality and safe infrastructure.Labor union representatives argue that the issue is more about wages than worker availability. Higher wages, as mandated by the program, might attract more skilled workers. However, the absence of solar-specific apprenticeship programs, unlike those in other construction sectors, contributes to the labor gap.States like Michigan, Colorado, Washington, and New York are planning to address these workforce challenges during their planning periods. Michigan is considering partnerships with community colleges and labor organizations to meet the expected demand surge. Colorado aims to balance labor distribution between rural and urban areas, while Washington plans to require an apprentice for each solar installation project. New York will leverage federal funding to enhance its existing clean energy jobs and workforce development programs. The EPA emphasizes that workforce development is crucial for the success of Solar for All, with many applications proposing partnerships to build a robust clean energy workforce.States Set for Solar Cash Infusion Aim to Build Worker PipelineNew federal staffing requirements for nursing homes, introduced by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) in April, aim to enhance care quality but face significant hurdles due to waivers and exemptions. These regulations, set to take full effect in 2026, mandate specific staffing levels for registered nurses (RNs) and nurse aides. However, federal laws and the Social Security Act allow states and the Health and Human Services (HHS) secretary to grant waivers, potentially delaying compliance for many facilities.Thousands of nursing homes may qualify for exemptions from these staffing requirements, which worries advocates like Sam Brooks from the Consumer Voice for Quality Long-Term Care. These exemptions could disproportionately benefit poorly performing homes, undermining the rule's intent. Enforcement is further complicated by a shortage of state nursing home inspectors, affecting timely compliance verification.The rule stipulates that facilities must provide 3.48 hours of care per resident per day (HPRD), with specific hours allocated to RNs and nurse aides. Significant staffing gaps exist, with an estimated need for 12,000 RNs and 77,000 nurse aides to meet the new standards. Facilities in nonrural areas have three years to comply, while rural ones have five.Exemptions are not guaranteed; facilities must document efforts to hire staff and meet transparency requirements. Critics argue the exemption process is cumbersome and may lead to facility downsizing or closures, limiting seniors' access to care. CMS aims to encourage compliance through these transparency and documentation mandates, but industry representatives are concerned about the feasibility and impact of these rules. The ongoing labor shortage in the nursing home sector and the high cost of compliance, estimated at $43 billion over 10 years, present additional challenges to the successful implementation of these staffing requirements.Nursing Home Watchers Wary of Staffing Rule Waivers, Exemptions Get full access to Minimum Competence - Daily Legal News Podcast at www.minimumcomp.com/subscribe
As we turn the page on a volatile month of April and look ahead to the summer, we consider whether the April FOMC meeting and Employment Report outcomes have hinted at the return of a ‘goldilocks' environment? Jason explains, along with outlines positioning considerations for the current environment. Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy
The annual CIPD–IRN private sector report has recently been released, and captures the changing pay and employment trends as well as the drivers of change in the labour market in Ireland. It's always an interesting and useful piece of research, and this year is no different, with some fantastic insights into the world of work here in Ireland. And to share some of these insights and speak to us today, we're delighted to be joined by Mary Connaughton, Director at CIPD Ireland. About The HR Room Podcast The HR Room Podcast is a series from Insight HR where we talk to business leaders from around Ireland and share advice on how to create the HR systems and workplace culture that's right for your business. If you need any HR support in Ireland, get in touch with us at Insight HR. Whether it's conducting a complex workplace investigation, filling a gap by providing you with a virtual or an onsite HR resource, or providing advice via our HR support line, as an expert HR consultancy in Ireland, we'll help you resolve whatever Human Resources challenge your business is facing. Visit us at www.InsightHR.ie.
It is US employment report Friday (or “average earnings are not wages” day). Since mid-last year, the US has added almost 1.60 million jobs, and has also lost almost 0.25 million jobs depending on which bit of the employment report you read. Labor markets are changing—flexible working, changing industries like online retail, new jobs like social media influencers, the rise and fall of job hopping, side hustles and more self-employment, automation, volunteering, early retirement, and population movements. Data is not capturing these changes properly.
Eskenazi Health held a ribbon cutting late last week to unveil its newest health care complex on the east side of Indianapolis. Republican gubernatorial candidate Jamie Reitenour says local television stations should correct the “injustice” of excluding her from primary debates. Indiana officials say the state's overall economic outlook remains strong, even as the state's labor force has shrunk four consecutive months. Indianapolis non-profit Public Advocates in Community re-Entry assists people re-entering the community after incarceration. Want to go deeper on the stories you hear on WFYI News Now? Visit wfyi.org/news and follow us on social media to get comprehensive analysis and local news daily. Subscribe to WFYI News Now wherever you get your podcasts. Today's episode of WFYI News Now was produced by Darian Benson, Abriana Herron, Drew Daudelin and Kendall Antron with support from Sarah Neal-Estes.
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In this week's Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of investment experts as they share their perspectives on the latest market and economic activity. Our panel shares detailed insights into the Purchasing Manager's Index, the JOLTS report, the employment report, the Fed, the yield market, the stock market, and anticipated U.S. spending.Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment Officer Jim Kerrigan, Senior Fixed Income Portfolio ManagerSteve Hoedt, Head of Equities 01:26 – The Institute of Supply Management reported their Purchasing Manager's Index at 52.8% for the month of February. This is approximately a 0.8% decrease from January02:03 – The JOLTS report was announced and remained unchanged from December 2023, signifying employers are still actively searching for talent07:02 – Comments stemming from Fed Chair Powell's speech to Congress earlier in the week. The Fed and the Market are aligned to expect at least 3 rate cuts (around 75 basis points) this year beginning in June 09:06 – As a result of comments from the Fed this week, and what's happening in the market, the yield curve has seen volatility this week 11:07 – The team discusses The Wealth Effect and its relation to the stock market. More specifically, how it relates to a decrease in stocks for some of the Magnificent 7, while the S&P 500 still holds strong14:49 – A look into U.S. spending expectations as election season approachesAdditional Resources:Key Questions: Should Investors Binge on (or Abstain From) the GLP-1 Craze? | Key Private BankKey Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn
Shain Filcher (they/he/she), Executive Director of the LGBT Bar of NY, sits down with Yvonne Martinez (she/her), Deputy Commissioner of Policy, Strategy and Research at the New York State Department of Labor, and Brie Vallese (she/her), Senior Policy Advisor at the New York State Department of Labor, for a behind-the-scenes look at the recent NYS DOL study surveying the employment experiences of TGNCNB people, including never-before-shared stories. To access the study, visit https://nysdolreports.com/gwg/2023-tgncnb/#:~:text=Significant%20Employment%20Barriers%20Exist%20for,than%20non%2DTGNCNB%20New%20Yorkers.
(2/5/24) Getting February underway with an "amazing" Employment Report (with seasonal adjustments!) Full Employment is trending downward; where did 4-million people go?? Interest Rate cuts have been pushed farther out in the year. Markets don't care about economic reports' details. Why Markets continue to do better: They're focused only on the headline data. February is typically a weaker month: Will there be negative rates of return? A visit to Costco illustrates the bifurcated economy: The have's vs the have-not's. Almost all large-cap companies have reported Q4 earnings, and doing "well" (thanks to stock buy-backs). Lowered earnings per share estimates have resulted in higher "beat rates," but no one cares. Why stocks are popular hedges for retirees (with charts: See link below for full article); risking retirement in the markets because the gains are too large to resist. Understanding the Markets' Secular Cycles. How long will the current cycle continue? Gen-Z's "Loud savings" trend on Tik Tok: Being very vocal about things that do not fit within their budget. Dealing with peer pressure to spend money; post-pandemic revenge spending. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, SEG-1: Getting February Underway; Markets Don't Care SEG-2: Economics vs Reality: The Costco Indicator SEG-3: Why Stocks are a Popular Hedge for Future Retirees SEG-4: Understanding the Secular Cycles in the Market ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/TJz2bu2Xn9Hu -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Bq-hOZP95U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=20s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Really Don't Care About Economic Reports," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5Ix8w3gJHp0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Having the Money Conversation with Kids" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xLj4b6hAiQE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: Retirement Savers Are Piling Into Stocks. Is That A Good Idea? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retirement-savers-are-piling-into-stocks-is-that-a-good-idea/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #CorporateEarnings #Retirement #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/5/24) Getting February underway with an "amazing" Employment Report (with seasonal adjustments!) Full Employment is trending downward; where did 4-million people go?? Interest Rate cuts have been pushed farther out in the year. Markets don't care about economic reports' details. Why Markets continue to do better: They're focused only on the headline data. February is typically a weaker month: Will there be negative rates of return? A visit to Costco illustrates the bifurcated economy: The have's vs the have-not's. Almost all large-cap companies have reported Q4 earnings, and doing "well" (thanks to stock buy-backs). Lowered earnings per share estimates have resulted in higher "beat rates," but no one cares. Why stocks are popular hedges for retirees (with charts: See link below for full article); risking retirement in the markets because the gains are too large to resist. Understanding the Markets' Secular Cycles. How long will the current cycle continue? Gen-Z's "Loud savings" trend on Tik Tok: Being very vocal about things that do not fit within their budget. Dealing with peer pressure to spend money; post-pandemic revenge spending. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, SEG-1: Getting February Underway; Markets Don't Care SEG-2: Economics vs Reality: The Costco Indicator SEG-3: Why Stocks are a Popular Hedge for Future Retirees SEG-4: Understanding the Secular Cycles in the Market ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/TJz2bu2Xn9Hu -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Bq-hOZP95U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=20s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Really Don't Care About Economic Reports," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5Ix8w3gJHp0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Having the Money Conversation with Kids" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xLj4b6hAiQE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: Retirement Savers Are Piling Into Stocks. Is That A Good Idea? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retirement-savers-are-piling-into-stocks-is-that-a-good-idea/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #CorporateEarnings #Retirement #Markets #Money #Investing
On Friday US bond yields soared, the USD strengthened and expectations for the size of the 2024 rate cuts were scaled back. Equities didn't mind, with the US indices reaching new all-time highs. All of this was driven by a red-hot US January jobs report last Friday, following an already eventful week for financial markets on the back of some exciting earnings reports. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, joins the show today to discuss the technical setup of the market and why equity markets continue to have all the characteristics of a bull market.00:00 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)00:26 Markets wrap-up by Jan Bopp (Investment Writing)07:13 Technical Analysis update by Mensur Pocinci (Head of Technical Analysis Research)10:20 Closing remarks by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or your favourite podcast player.
Dante joins the podcast to break down the January employment report. Fitting for Groundhog's Day, the jobs report delivered an eerily similar upside surprise to what we saw in January 2023. Following the January meeting of the FOMC this week, the team discusses what the Fed is likely to do in light of recent data.To access the 2024 Election Model Whitepaper click here Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn for additional insight.
S&P Futures are displaying positive action this morning. Earning results from META & AMZN are fueling the pre-market move. META announced that they will start to pay a dividend. This morning Employment Report will be closely watched and is expected to show signs of modest labor-market cooling which would be positive for the markets. CI, CVX, REGN & XOM delivered earnings beat this morning and are also trading higher. In Europe, stocks are positive. Oil prices are higher as a ceasefire in the Middle East appears to be likely.
In this week's MBA Admissions podcast we began by noting that the Round 2 admissions process continues with a few key deadlines remaining at MIT / Sloan, NYU / Stern, and INSEAD and many applicants who applied to programs with early-January deadlines turning their attention towards admissions interviews. DecisionWire also remains popular, as Round 1 MBA candidates start making decisions as to which MBA program they will enroll. Clear Admit is hosting a Real Humans admissions event, scheduled for January 24. This event will bring together students from a variety of top MBA programs, including Dartmouth / Tuck, NYU / Stern, Georgetown / McDonough and Washington / Foster, ready to answer questions from MBA aspirants. Signups for this event are here: https://bit.ly/carealhumans Graham highlighted two recently published admissions tips which focus on application data forms, and resume versus application-based interviews; we are now moving to the interview preparation phase of Round 2. Graham also mentioned two Real Humans pieces that were recently published, covering students from MIT / Sloan and CEIBS. We then discussed the recently released Employment Report for the Chicago / Booth Class of 2023. With an average starting salary of $180,000, their report looks very robust. Interestingly, they saw a slight uptick in placements on the west coast, and in tech. For this week, for the candidate profile review portion of the show, Alex selected two ApplyWire entries and one DecisionWire entry: This week's first MBA admissions candidate is from South East Asia, and works in consulting. Their GMAT is 710, and this appears to be the weakest aspect of their overall profile. We really like their work experience and their extra-curricular activities, as well as the fact that they completed their undergraduate degree in the US. This week's second MBA candidate is a first-generation immigrant to the United States. They pursued a double major in Engineering, and their GPA is a 3.22. They were also quite busy in outside activities during their undergraduate studies. They have a GMAT of 720, so their numbers combination is not outstanding. They also appear to have interesting work experience, with a focus on entrepreneurship. The final MBA candidate for this week has some terrific options to consider, which include Harvard, Northwestern / Kellogg and Michigan / Ross. Some financial awards also make the options to consider less clear cut. This episode was recorded in Paris, France and Cornwall, England. It was produced and engineered by the fabulous Dennis Crowley in Philadelphia, USA. Thanks to all of you who've been joining us and please remember to rate and review this show wherever you listen!
A mixed bag in the latest Seek NZ Employment Report. August's data shows a 2% month-on-month rise in job ads, the first increase since March. That's 4% higher than August 2019, but 26% lower than a year ago. But Country Manager, Rob Clark, says comparisons to last year is dangerous as it saw levels likely never to be seen again. He says that's why the data's also compared to pre-pandemic levels, to see if things have normalised, which is what it would be described as currently. Clark says a dip in job ads is usually seen pre-general elections, but not in this case. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Tom, Moe, and Andrew discussed LULU & AVGO earnings, National Employment Report, and GDP growth. For information on how to join the Zoom calls live each morning at 8:30 EST, visit https://www.narwhalcapital.com/blog/daily-market-briefingsPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhalcapital.com/disclosure
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Employment Report The employment report showed nonfarm payrolls increased 209,000 in the month of June which was well below the expectation for growth of 240,000. Payrolls were also revised lower by 110,000 in the months of April and May. The report marked the slowest month for job creation since December 2020 when payrolls fell by 268,000. So far this year, we have seen a 6-month average of 278,000 in monthly job creation which compares to the average of 399,000 in 2022. While this all may sound like bad news, I believe it remains positive as the labor market is softening, but it still remains strong. In fact, if we look back to 2018 job creation averaged 223,000 per month and in 2019 it was just 176,000 per month. Wage growth in the month was 4.4% compared to last year, which is in line with many readings this year and softer than last year's peak of 5.9% in March. Job growth remained strong in areas like health care and social assistance (+65,200), construction (+23,000), and professional and business services (+21,000). Growth in the leisure and hospitality sector has cooled as the group was up just 21,000 jobs in the month. It still remains 2.2% or 369,000 jobs below its February 2020 level. Government employment was a big gainer in the month as it added 60,000 jobs to the report. I generally don't like to see Government jobs leading the charge, but the sector still remains 161,000 jobs below its February 2020 level. Areas that were soft in the report included transportation and warehousing (-6,900) and retail trade (-11,200). The participation rate remains stuck at 62.6% as it has been there now for four consecutive months. In February 2020 it was at 63.3%. While some may point to the younger generation not working, I believe most of this stems from more people retiring. In fact, the prime-age participation rate which measures those between 25 and 54 years of age rose to 83.5%, its highest in 21 years. Overall, I think this report provides more evidence we could see that soft landing. JOLTs The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTs) showed job openings fell by 496,000 in the month of May to 9.8 million. While this may sound concerning, this level still produces 1.6 jobs per available worker. It is important to understand this remains above pre-pandemic levels and I believe we can have job openings continue to decline and still have a good labor market. Layoffs also remained little changed at 1.6 million, this is also still below pre-pandemic levels. Work From Home Productivity You may hear some arguments from people that work from home about how productive they are, but data from the BLS, known as the Bureau of Labor Statistics, states otherwise. It was discovered that people working full-time from home put in 2 1/2 hours fewer per day than the workers who go into the office. If workers were to work at the same rate as they did back in 2019, our economy would be more productive, and the labor shortage would be less problematic. It was estimated that if workers filled up offices at the 2019 rate and worked 8.2 hours per day it would add roughly 800,000,000 weeks of more work, a nice boost to productivity. Maybe after Covid people have become used to not working and have become lazy?
(7/6/23) What to watch for this earnings season: What is the quality of earnings--are companies selling more stuff? Is corporate outlooks still strong? Employment Report tomorrow (7/7) is markets' focus. Pressure is on for Long-term Bonds. Janet Yellen goes to China; Is the whole Employment calculation being done incorrectly? If employment is strong, improvement in services resulting in expansion = inflationary: This is not an environment for cutting rates. The emergence of "Greedflation:" Is it just limited supply in the face of demand? No one thinks about companies' input costs. Now, as prices are starting to fall, how will this affect earnings estimates? The Cure for Inflation is Inflation. Problems occur when government interferes with economic process. Interest rates are a function of economic strength: The Physics of Economics. SEG-1: What to Watch for This Earnings Season SEG-2: Is the Employment Calculation Wrong? SEG-3: Greedflation or Economics 101? SEG-4: The Physics of Economics Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KLxNlWup0xM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "What Bond Prices are Telling us About the Economy" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yDypZ7rQbHg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RA3snVQyugvOF5TwZ1Xu7bm&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Welcome to the Second-half of 2023" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mp6FP4Jx1Ds&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=30s -------- Article Mentioned in Today's Show: "Treasury Yield Curves – Is This Inversion Different?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/treasury-yield-curves-is-this-inversion-different ------- Register for our next web event: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816835709464/WN_ItmsNXpsRs2uKE6xOrJtdg ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #Employment #Inflation #Jobs #EarningsSeason #CorporateEarnings #BondYields #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/6/23) What to watch for this earnings season: What is the quality of earnings--are companies selling more stuff? Is corporate outlooks still strong? Employment Report tomorrow (7/7) is markets' focus. Pressure is on for Long-term Bonds. Janet Yellen goes to China; Is the whole Employment calculation being done incorrectly? If employment is strong, improvement in services resulting in expansion = inflationary: This is not an environment for cutting rates. The emergence of "Greedflation:" Is it just limited supply in the face of demand? No one thinks about companies' input costs. Now, as prices are starting to fall, how will this affect earnings estimates? The Cure for Inflation is Inflation. Problems occur when government interferes with economic process. Interest rates are a function of economic strength: The Physics of Economics. SEG-1: What to Watch for This Earnings Season SEG-2: Is the Employment Calculation Wrong? SEG-3: Greedflation or Economics 101? SEG-4: The Physics of Economics Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KLxNlWup0xM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "What Bond Prices are Telling us About the Economy" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yDypZ7rQbHg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RA3snVQyugvOF5TwZ1Xu7bm&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Welcome to the Second-half of 2023" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mp6FP4Jx1Ds&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=30s -------- Article Mentioned in Today's Show: "Treasury Yield Curves – Is This Inversion Different?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/treasury-yield-curves-is-this-inversion-different ------- Register for our next web event: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816835709464/WN_ItmsNXpsRs2uKE6xOrJtdg ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #Employment #Inflation #Jobs #EarningsSeason #CorporateEarnings #BondYields #Markets #Money #Investing
How does the employment report from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics help you plan for the rest of this year? In this short episode, Camille answers that question and more!If you want to learn more about how to use AI (artificial intelligence) in your remote work journey visit:www.camilleattell.com/remoteworkschoolYou can also take my FREE training at:www.camilleattell.com/remote-trainingIf you have suggestions for the show, you can contact Camille via Instagram: @camille.attell**DISCLAIMER: This podcast is not a substitute for professional consultation. For any retirement or income-related matters, it is best to work with a professional advisor.**Welcome to The Remote Work Retirement Show, the only show that is dedicated to remote work for semi-retirees, people leaving the workforce, and people working in retirement to help them have the peace of mind that they can live how they want without the fear of running out of money.Instagram: @camille.attellLinkedin: Camille Attell, MACheck out the Youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCaeS5wa0iAdD3C_cDLyj-PgRV Blog: www.morethanawheelin.comRemote Work Website: www.camilleattell.comEmail: hello@camilleattell.com Free Remote Work Training:If you're looking for more information about remote work, click here to register for the free "How To Get Remote Work To Have a Flexible Lifestyle" (Without Running Out of Money) or visit https://www.camilleattell.com/remote-trainingCamille Attell is the founder of Remote Work School, where she coaches and helps semi- and working retirees get remote work so they don't run out of money. In 2016 she walked away from a 20+ career in corporate training to live the life she always wanted—adventure and travel on her terms. She and her husband Bryce traveled full-time in their RV for four years while reinventing themselves professionally to work over twelve different remote jobs. Camille combines her corporate training experience, and her Master's degree in psychology, with being a long-time remote worker, to provide a well-rounded, no-nonsense approach to helping people in a career and life transition get the right remote work so they can live how they want.Disco Metropolis by Vyra | https://soundcloud.com/vyramusic Music promoted by https://www.free-stock-music.com Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/deedasdf
(6/5/23) Friday's Employment Report of 300k+ new jobs added in May sparked a rally in stocks with a sector rotation we've been expecting, boosting the Dow over 700-points. The question today is whether markets can achieve a follow through on that momentum. One of the supports for the Energy sector over the weekend was OPEC's announced 1-million/bbl production cut. Markets are very over bought by three-standard deviation points above the 50_DMA, which is unsustainable for any length of time. The markets' next barrier is the 4300 level, which goes back to last August. Historical evidence would suggest some sort of correctional behavior is due at these levels. Next week's Fed meeting could provide a bit of a headwind to markets, near-term, so profit taking may be a good strategy at this point. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BNHCNbU97zY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EmploymentReport #JOLTS #LaborDepartment #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Money #Investing
(6/1/23) The Employment Report has had an amazing string of "beats" by a large margin, and for a protracted period of time, so tomorrow's employment numbers for May could have significant impact on the Fed's forward plans and the markets' mood. The anomaly has been how employment has remained strong despite Fed efforts to tame the economy. There IS slowing on the Manufacturing side of the economy, but not so in the Services sector, which comprises 80% of the economy, and represents the lower-end of wage earners. Yesterday's JOLTS report was strong, suggesting tomorrow's Labor Dept. report will also exceed expectations, confounding the Fed's efforts to bring down inflation by slowing the economy. "Sticky" Inflation remains higher than the Fed would prefer, and is not on a trajectory to weaken anytime soon. Fed futures are betting on more rate hikes in coming months. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZyByuuLtlI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EmploymentReport #JOLTS #LaborDepartment #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Money #Investing
Markets get skittish on economic slowdown concerns. Employment Report - inline and not much of a surprise. 10-year Yield tumbles to lowest since Sept 2022 and helps precious metals break out. Let's look back to look ahead... Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (N/A)
Astor's CEO, Rob Stein, and CIO John Eckstein analyze the latest employment report and discuss what it implies to the Fed. MAS-M-360082-2023-03-14 The post What does the Latest Employment Report implies to Fed? appeared first on Astor Investment Management.
It's another Jobs' Friday and colleague Dante DeAntonio is here to discuss February's employment report. Wage growth is moderating and the unemployment rate ticked up, but labor supply among prime age workers reached a post-pandemic high--is that enough evidence to say we are at full employment? Also on the agenda is discussing the failure of Silicon Valley Bank, the 2nd largest bank collapse in U.S. History. We are already seeing the disruption in financial markets but what does it mean for the broader economy?Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn for additional insight
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw (3/9/23) Market response to two days of Jerome Powell's testimony promising more rate hikes: Rally on. Bulls held the line at the 200DMA; Fear sells, but markets aren't signaling that, retaining a bullish bias. How we communicate now: Most text-message; The Fed is driving blind, relying on backwards-looking data. At what point will higher rates break something, or has it already? Example: The latest JOLTS (Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey) report, and diminished constructio permits and starts. Is a pause as good as a pivot? markets' bullish sentiment is stronger than the Fed has expected; FOMO has come back into the markets. It will be a zig-zag market until more definitive economic numbers are seen: Next up is Friday's Employment Report. The simple formula that drives markets everyday is Suypply & Demand; the flaw in passive investing: If everyone did it, the market would flat-line. The conundrum of the Bond Market: As rates rise, money flows out of stocks; differentiating between 30-day and 30-year bonds. The inversion of the Yield Curves: We have never been as inversted without certain recession to follow. SEG-1: Is the Fed Running Out of Room? SEG-2: Communication Skills; The Fed is Driving Blind SEG-3: Pivots, Pauses, & Playboys SEG-4: The Simple Formula That Drives Markets Every Day Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AUf6WMBM2pI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Bulls Cling to Support" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NtuCYEAKVzo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=1s -------- Our previous show is here: "What Will Jerome Powell Break Next?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hThK1DhuA54&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Speak Loudly Because You Carry A Small Stick" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/speak-loudly-because-you-carry-a-small-stick ------- Video's referenced in this broadcast: "Raising Money Smart Kids" | Richard Rosso & Danny Ratliff https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ly-09fRehKU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujtF0xU6bHGcIrXFq2dFy2X&index=1 --------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw (3/9/23) Market response to two days of Jerome Powell's testimony promising more rate hikes: Rally on. Bulls held the line at the 200DMA; Fear sells, but markets aren't signaling that, retaining a bullish bias. How we communicate now: Most text-message; The Fed is driving blind, relying on backwards-looking data. At what point will higher rates break something, or has it already? Example: The latest JOLTS (Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey) report, and diminished constructio permits and starts. Is a pause as good as a pivot? markets' bullish sentiment is stronger than the Fed has expected; FOMO has come back into the markets. It will be a zig-zag market until more definitive economic numbers are seen: Next up is Friday's Employment Report. The simple formula that drives markets everyday is Suypply & Demand; the flaw in passive investing: If everyone did it, the market would flat-line. The conundrum of the Bond Market: As rates rise, money flows out of stocks; differentiating between 30-day and 30-year bonds. The inversion of the Yield Curves: We have never been as inversted without certain recession to follow. SEG-1: Is the Fed Running Out of Room? SEG-2: Communication Skills; The Fed is Driving Blind SEG-3: Pivots, Pauses, & Playboys SEG-4: The Simple Formula That Drives Markets Every Day Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AUf6WMBM2pI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Bulls Cling to Support" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NtuCYEAKVzo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=1s -------- Our previous show is here: "What Will Jerome Powell Break Next?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hThK1DhuA54&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Speak Loudly Because You Carry A Small Stick" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/speak-loudly-because-you-carry-a-small-stick ------- Video's referenced in this broadcast: "Raising Money Smart Kids" | Richard Rosso & Danny Ratliff https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ly-09fRehKU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujtF0xU6bHGcIrXFq2dFy2X&index=1 --------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Superbowl mania - what we think (not that anyone cares) China balloons, market bubbles and plenty of frothy convo. An update on the Weekly Stock pick's game and the current Closest to the Pin PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter Warm Up - Superbowl teams are set - Eagles and Kansas City (spread +1.5 KC) - Markets have a very amateurish feel to them - crypto patterns of intraday rush and bust --- Meme Stocks moving again - Seems that the Church of Whats Hot Now - back in Biz (AI names) -- Latest Google, Baidu and Microsoft all announced AI integration today (catnip for traders) - There is a Sushi Terrorist on the loose - Hustle Bros are latching on and sucking your wallets - A new FED word to watch Market Update - Blowout Jobs report - what in tar-nation? - Another fraud uncovered - India - State of the Union Speech - going after the wealthy... - Powell speaks - Whipsaw Golf Fitting this week.. - Pretty interesting technology - Callaway Paradym X MARKETS! - The S&P 500 index rose 1.6% last week with the communication services and technology sectors leading a broad climb amid better-than-expected quarterly results from some companies and a slower pace of rate increases from the Federal Open Market Committee. - The market benchmark ended the week at 4,136.48, up from last Friday's closing level of 4,070.56. The index is now up 7.7% for the year to date but down 8.1% from a year ago. - This feels like an attempt to move off bottom like everyone in the pool from March/April 2020. (But this is a different time) Fed Speak - There was irrational exuberance - Transitory inflation - Green shoots - quantitative easing - not thinking about thinking about thinking about... - Average inflation targeting - balance outlook - And Now, introducing the work - disinflation... Powell used dozens of times in last speeches... Earnings Update - The slowdown in YoY revenue growth... Tesla: slowest since 2020 Amazon: 3rd slowest in company history Microsoft: slowest since 2017 Netflix: slowest in company history Google: 3rd slowest in company history Facebook: 2nd slowest in company history Apple: slowest since 2016 - BP on Tuesday reported a record profit of $28 billion for 2022 while boosting its dividend in a sign of confidence as it sharply raised overall spending plans and scaled back ambitions to reduce oil and gas output by 2030. MEME Stocks Moving again - BBBY (looking at potential bankruptcy) up 100% today. - AI Stocks on the move - KOSS, GME, AMC all rocking.... Fed decision and Employment Report? -- Odds rise after the the BLS employment report - 500k + new hires (estimates were for +250k) - labor participation rate rising - 3.4% unemployment rate (lowest since 1969) - USD jumps, Rates turn higher - Thoughts? State of the Union Speech - CNBC reports President Biden will call for quadrupling the tax on stock buybacks and a 'billionaire minimum tax' in his State of the Union speech tonight Earnings and corporate -Amazon, Google, Apple -all had questionable earnings reports - Apple showed worst revenue groth in years and years - stock came off then buyers stepped in for some reason - Amazon was down as AWS missed - Google (Alphabet) just bad all the way around. - FORD - ugly outlook, loss and not at all what GM looked like. - Dell slashing 6,000 jobs (5% of workforce) ----!!! Company up initially on the news, then falls 3% during session ------ ALERT, Job cuts may no longer be seen as a good thing (Investors were rewarding companies) - HP cutting 6,000 jobs - Chipotle - Misses on earnings (top and bottom) - guidance soft (slowing growth/comps)
Astor's CEO, Rob Stein, and CIO, John Eckstein break down the latest employment report and what it means for the Fed. MAS-M-346515-2023-02-06 The post Breakdown of the Latest Employment Report & What it means to the Fed? appeared first on Astor Investment Management.
Colleague Dante DeAntonio joins the podcast for another round of Job's Friday. The group dissects the January report, which included a shockingly large increase in jobs and a 53-year low unemployment rate. Everyone's probability of recession in the next 12-18 months appear to be trending downward. Including Cris!Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn for additional insight
It's job's Friday and Mark argues the labor market is cooling off according to script. Colleagues Dante DeAntonio and Marisa DiNatale provide the details. And Cris fine-tunes his definition of the best way to describe the economy's performance in the year ahead - "Slowcession".Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn for additional insight
Mark and Cris welcome back colleague, Dante DeAntonio of Moody's Analytics, to analyze the November U.S. Employment Report. Is the jobs market moderating? Depends who you ask.Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn for additional insight
Colleague Dante DeAntonio, Senior Economist at Moody's Analytics joins the podcast to analyze the September U.S. Employment Report and OPEC's announcement to cut oil production. Everyone gives their latest odds of a recession and how soon that could happen. Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Ryan Sweet @RealTime_Econ and Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon for additional insight.
Today, ADP Research Institute and Stanford Economy Lab releases what they say is more detailed employment data. We talk about what it’s like to form a startup under the current economic conditions.
Today, ADP Research Institute and Stanford Economy Lab releases what they say is more detailed employment data. We talk about what it’s like to form a startup under the current economic conditions.
The most valuable crypto stories for Friday, July 8, 2022."The Hash" team discusses today's top stories, including the impact of June's jobs report on crypto markets, crypto's liquidity crisis and U.S. taking the lead in setting international regulatory standards for crypto.This episode was edited by Eleanor Pahl and our executive producer is Jared Schwartz. Our theme song is “Neon Beach.”See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.