Podcasts about basel iii

In this week's Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire reveals how BRICS nations, led by China, are accelerating the Basel III shift to physical gold, as the US faces rising pressure to audit Treasury holdings and expose the true state of its gold reserves.With bullion banks trapped in derivative losses and June market tightness signalling limited supply, Andrew tracks a bullish coiling pattern in gold and silver, pointing to a looming price revaluation that Western institutions can no longer stall.'Bullion Banking Explained' publication: https://www.gata.org/files/CPMGroup-BullionBankingExplained.pdfSend your questions to Andy here: https://www.speakpipe.com/LFTVAlternatively, you can send questions via the forum: https://forum.kinesis.money/forums/questions-for-lftv-live-from-the-vault.80/ Sign up for Kinesis on desktop:https://kinesis.money/kinesis-precious-metals/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=video&utm_campaign=lftv_225Download the Kinesis Mobile app - available App Store and Google Play:Apple: https://kms.kinesis.money/signupGoogle: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.kinesis.kinesisappAlso, don't forget to check out our social channels where you can stay up to date with all the latest news and developments from the team.X: https://twitter.com/KinesisMonetaryFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/kinesismoney/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/kinesismoney/Telegram: https://t.me/kinesismoneyTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@kinesismoneyThe opinions expressed in this video by Andrew Maguire and any guest are solely their own and do not reflect the official policy, position, or views of Kinesis. The information provided is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or any other type of professional advice.Viewers are encouraged to seek independent financial advice tailored to their individual circumstances before making any decisions related to the gold market or other investments. Kinesis does not accept any responsibility or liability for actions taken based on the content of this video.

John Rubino, [Substack https://rubino.substack.com/], joins us for a wide-ranging discussion on the macroeconomic factors driving gold and silver, along with strategies for portfolio management in the precious metals stocks.   We start off discussing how the higher underlying metals environment has started allowing for more investor confidence in the gold producers maintaining healthy margins and valuations, which is attracting more generalist investor capital flows. Additionally, now the gold development projects economics are starting to look more and more attractive.  John discusses how he is still striking a balance between have exposure to the larger PM producers and royalty companies, but also have exposure further down the risk curve into the exploration stocks as “lottery tickets.”   This leads into a discussion about some of the developers with large resource bases delineated, like Seabridge Gold, and whether or not they will be acquired or built in this cycle; after sitting available for development since the prior cycle.  We dig in to if the reservation from other companies to acquire them is due to jurisdiction, capex requirements, or if it is simply a lack of human capital. John weighs in on what aspects he would describe as “high quality,” and the importance of limiting the amount of portfolio positions to the companies one can really do proper due diligence on.     Wrapping up we circle back to macroeconomic factors that may drive gold prices even higher.  We start of focusing in on the rising sovereign debt levels in countries all over the world, and the changes in the Basel III demarcation for gold as a Tier 1 reserve asset that more banks will be buying to gain more exposure to and diversify their asset mix.  We talk about BRICS countries continuing to reduce down US dollar exposure and mitigate potential trade wars by increasing their gold holding. Lastly we reflect on the increased retailing buying, using the example of new limits on gold purchases from Costco as another tailwind for gold, that may spill over into more sympathetic investment in silver.   https://rubino.substack.com/

In this week's Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire takes calls from the community, answering pressing questions about gold's rally fuelled by strong Asian and BRICS demand amid limited Western speculative activity, and other key topics.Andrew also discusses the impact of Basel III regulations starting 1 July, which are accelerating physical gold repatriation, alongside China's expanding global gold settlement system — signalling a major shift in gold ownership and pricing.Send your questions to Andy here: https://www.speakpipe.com/LFTV_______________________________________________________________Timestamps: 00:00 Start00:48 Gold rises quietly as East outpaces West07:04 Physical gold sets price as COMEX loses grip15:40 Basel III January 1st deadline: gold revaluation coming?21:50 China's trillion gold push, BRICS new gold vaults28:40 China boosts gold buying. Silver lags under OCC shorts34:00 About silver suppression, demand surging globally_______________________________________________________________Alternatively, you can send questions via the forum: https://forum.kinesis.money/forums/questions-for-lftv-live-from-the-vault.80/ Sign up for Kinesis on desktop:https://kinesis.money/kinesis-precious-metals/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=video&utm_campaign=lftv_221Download the Kinesis Mobile app - available App Store and Google Play:Apple: https://kms.kinesis.money/signupGoogle: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.kinesis.kinesisappAlso, don't forget to check out our social channels where you can stay up to date with all the latest news and developments from the team.X: https://twitter.com/KinesisMonetaryFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/kinesismoney/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/kinesismoney/Telegram: https://t.me/kinesismoneyTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@kinesismoneyThe opinions expressed in this video by Andrew Maguire and any guest are solely their own and do not reflect the official policy, position, or views of Kinesis. The information provided is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or any other type of professional advice.Viewers are encouraged to seek independent financial advice tailored to their individual circumstances before making any decisions related to the gold market or other investments. Kinesis does not accept any responsibility or liability for actions taken based on the content of this video.

U.S. Global Investors CEO Frank Holmes joined Steve Darling from Proactive to discuss a seismic shift in the financial treatment of gold ahead of new Basel III regulations set to take effect on July 1, 2025. Under the updated rules, physical gold will be recognized as a Tier 1 High-Quality Liquid Asset (HQLA) — the same category as cash and government bonds — fundamentally changing how banks and institutions view and utilize gold. “This reclassification legitimizes gold as cash or better than cash,” Holmes stated, emphasizing that the change could eliminate existing regulatory disincentives and fuel substantial new institutional demand. By elevating physical gold's liquidity status, Basel III could incentivize banks, particularly in Europe and Canada, to hold more gold as part of their reserve requirements. Holmes also highlighted broader macroeconomic tailwinds, including surging M2 money supply growth in China and India — historically strong precursors to rising gold prices — as well as escalating global de-dollarization efforts and central bank gold accumulation. He cited monetary policies across countries representing over 40% of the global population as further catalysts. Reflecting these trends, Holmes revised his long-term gold forecast upward, now projecting USD 6,000 per ounce by the end of a potential second Trump presidency, pointing to favorable policy conditions and accelerating monetary expansion. With Basel III implementation looming, Holmes believes this could mark a historic turning point in gold's role within the global financial system. #proactiveinvestors #usglobalinvestorsinc #nasdaq #grow #etf #trip #travel #colombia #WARETF #DefenceSpending #Cybersecurity #Semiconductors #Aerospace #SmartBeta #ETFs #NYSE

“There's a mad rush for physical gold... even the U.S. is bringing it back in. It tells you that they're preparing for something,” warns billionaire philanthropist Frank Giustra in a must-watch video. He sits down with Daniela Cambone to discuss how the global financial order is shifting, with gold returning to a central monetary role.As the U.S. prepares to adopt gold as a Tier 1 asset under Basel III regulations on July 1 of this year, Giustra says he sees a monetary reset coming and that “gold in one form or another is going to play a role in a new global monetary system.”For banks in particular, this change means they can increase the allocation of gold holdings on their balance sheets, using it as collateral or capital counted at 100% of its value—just like cash or U.S. Treasuries. And this, according to Giustra, will trigger “incredible ramifications” to the existing financial system. On the recent power outage scenario in Spain and Portugal, where cash withdrawals were limited, Giustra calls it 'a war on cash' and warns it could ripple globally as central bank digital currencies take hold. Watch the video to learn how you can safeguard your wealth now. You can register for Rick Rule's Conference: rickrulesymposium.com/dani Key Facts: What are the ramifications of Basel III?What role will gold play in the new financial order?Monetary reset is coming.Banks to upgrade gold to a Tier 1 asset - what comes next?Gold remains the constant.What might a new monetary system look like?Are we seeing the rise of a bifurcated system?Spain's power outage scenario is "war on cash"

BUY GOLD HERE: https://firstnationalbullion.com/schedule-consult/ Avoid CBDCs and work with Mark Gonzales! HELP SUPPORT US AS WE DOCUMENT HISTORY HERE: https://gogetfunding.com/help-wam-cover-history/ GET NON-MRNA FREEZE DRIED MEAT HERE: https://wambeef.com/ Use code WAMBEEF to save 20%! GET HEIRLOOM SEEDS & NON GMO SURVIVAL FOOD HERE: https://heavensharvest.com/ USE Code WAM to save 5% plus free shipping! GET YOUR APRICOT SEEDS at the life-saving Richardson Nutritional Center HERE: https://rncstore.com/r?id=bg8qc1 Josh Sigurdson talks with Mark Gonzales about the closure of another 42 banks including many Bank of America, Chase and U.S. Bank locations. This is the latest in a long trend of banks shuttering as the system reaches a breaking point. The banks are bankrupt. Their cash to deposit ratios are much of the time under 1%. The FDIC cannot insure the debts. 63 central banks are implementing Basel III to bring in Bail-In Regimes. This means they basically empty your bank account. In 2024, banks closed 1,043 branches nationwide and this year's trends see a massive acceleration. So far we have seen 272 locations shuttered in just the first quarter. Simultaneously alongside the banks collapsing, retail continues to collapse as well in what they call the "retail apocalypse" as Rite Aid files for a second bankruptcy, Subway closes countless locations and the company that founded Canada, the Hudson Bay Company closes all locations. What we are witnessing is historic, so it's suspicious to say the absolute very least to see AI being propped up by both leftist and right wing governments worldwide as the so-called "solution." Elon Musk at the recent Milken Conference called for AI to replace government as he also says it will replace nearly all jobs and we will live with Universal Basic Income, UBI. This is the agenda of the World Economic Forum and via carbon credit allotments in 15 Minute Cities and the use of digital IDs with CBDCs, we are facing down total technocratic enslavement and dependence. The European Union is banning privacy coins by 2027 restricting people from doing anything digitally without total centralized surveillance and the EU is also releasing their CBDC by October this year at the latest. With the STABLE and GENIUS Acts passing in the United States, a centralized Stablecoin system is being implemented essentially creating a CBDC in the United States complete with KYC. Interestingly, gold is skyrocketing. It's almost like people see what's clearly coming and they're doing something about it... Prepare yourselves. Stay tuned for more from WAM! Get local, healthy, pasture raised meat delivered to your door here: https://wildpastures.com/promos/save-20-for-life/bonus15?oid=6&affid=321 USE THE LINK & get 20% off for life and $15 off your first box! DITCH YOUR DOCTOR! https://www.livelongerformula.com/wam Get a natural health practitioner and work with Christian Yordanov! Mention WAM and get a FREE masterclass! SIGN UP FOR HOMESTEADING COURSES NOW: https://freedomfarmers.com/link/17150/ Get Prepared & Start The Move Towards Real Independence With Curtis Stone's Courses! GET YOUR WAV WATCH HERE: https://buy.wavwatch.com/WAM Use Code WAM to save $100 and purchase amazing healing frequency technology! GET ORGANIC CHAGA MUSHROOMS HERE: https://alaskachaga.com/wam Use code WAM to save money! See shop for a wide range of products! GET AMAZING MEAT STICKS HERE: https://4db671-1e.myshopify.com/discount/WAM?rfsn=8425577.918561&utm_source=refersion&utm_medium=affiliate&utm_campaign=8425577.918561 USE CODE WAM TO SAVE MONEY! GET YOUR FREEDOM KELLY KETTLE KIT HERE: https://patriotprepared.com/shop/freedom-kettle/ Use Code WAM and enjoy many solutions for the outdoors in the face of the impending reset! PayPal: ancientwonderstelevision@gmail.com FIND OUR CoinTree page here: https://cointr.ee/joshsigurdson JOIN US on SubscribeStar here: https://www.subscribestar.com/world-alternative-media For subscriber only content! Pledge here! Just a dollar a month can help us alive! https://www.patreon.com/user?u=2652072&ty=h&u=2652072 BITCOIN ADDRESS: 18d1WEnYYhBRgZVbeyLr6UfiJhrQygcgNU World Alternative Media 2025

In this explosive episode, Chris Whalen, Chairman of Whalen Global Advisors and Wall Street veteran, delivers an unfiltered breakdown of what's next for the U.S. economy. From the Fed's policy blunders to a looming 20% housing market correction, Chris lays out what most analysts refuse to say. We cover the fintech credit crisis, inflation's true cause, commercial real estate's silent implosion, and why gold is set to become a central bank favourite again. Buckle up — this one's packed.#Gold #housingcrash #inflation ---------------------

Basel III, gold, and the decline of the U.S. dollar—in this video, Taylor Kenney explains how global banking rules are quietly repositioning gold from a commodity to tier one money. You'll learn why central banks are stockpiling physical gold, how Basel III exposes weaknesses in the current financial system, and what this shift could mean for global markets, inflation, and the future of U.S. monetary dominance.Questions on Protecting Your Wealth with Gold & Silver? Schedule a Strategy Call Here ➡️ https://calendly.com/itmtrading/podcastor Call 866-349-3310

We could see a reset of some type that changes the whole system,” warns David Morgan, publisher of The Morgan Report. In an interview with Daniela Cambone, Morgan discusses the looming failure of the debt-based fiat monetary system, which he believes will ultimately lead to a financial crisis. “We are not where the market says we are… the financial system has been illogical for a very long time.” He adds that we're now in a “brisk walk” phase of gold accumulation, with central banks buying gold “hand over fist” as the public slowly begins to catch on. Meanwhile, “Silver is the Achilles heel of the entire financial system,” he says, indicating the metal's disruptive potential to the current fiat structure. Key Facts:Silver is the Achilles heel of the entire financial system.The run to gold has begun.Monetary reset is coming.The BIS has a plan for a new monetary system.

In this week's Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire breaks down gold's recent sharp rise and fall, exposing how short-term volatility is engineered through unbacked US paper markets — now facing a reckoning as Basel III enforcement draws near. As China steps up physical gold acquisition and global FX markets eclipse COMEX in both credibility and scale, July's compliance deadline threatens to shift gold's pricing power eastward, marking a structural break from Western dominance.Send your questions to Andy here: https://www.speakpipe.com/LFTVAlternatively, you can send questions via the forum: https://forum.kinesis.money/forums/questions-for-lftv-live-from-the-vault.80/ Sign up for Kinesis on desktop:https://kinesis.money/kinesis-precious-metals/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=video&utm_campaign=lftv_221Download the Kinesis Mobile app - available App Store and Google Play:Apple: https://kms.kinesis.money/signupGoogle: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.kinesis.kinesisappAlso, don't forget to check out our social channels where you can stay up to date with all the latest news and developments from the team.X: https://twitter.com/KinesisMonetaryFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/kinesismoney/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/kinesismoney/Telegram: https://t.me/kinesismoneyTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@kinesismoneyThe opinions expressed in this video by Andrew Maguire and any guest are solely their own and do not reflect the official policy, position, or views of Kinesis. The information provided is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or any other type of professional advice.Viewers are encouraged to seek independent financial advice tailored to their individual circumstances before making any decisions related to the gold market or other investments. Kinesis does not accept any responsibility or liability for actions taken based on the content of this video.

In this episode of Palisades Gold Radio, host Tom Bodrovics interviews Josh Phair, CEO of Scottsdale Mint and Wyoming Reserve. The discussion centers on the current state of global finance, particularly the role of gold as a reserve asset and its implications for central banks, markets, and investors. Phair highlights that central banks are increasingly turning to gold as a risk-free asset, replacing treasuries on their balance sheets. This shift is driven by de-leveraging and de-risking strategies amid concerns over fiat currency inflation. He notes that countries like China have been leading this trend, with significant imports of gold into the U.S., signaling a global "gold race." The conversation also touches on Basel III regulations, set to take effect in summer 2025, which require banks to hold more capital and physical gold. Phair explains that owning ETFs does not provide the same risk-free status as holding physical gold, prompting central banks to prioritize its acquisition. Phair discusses the recent LBMA delivery issues, where metals were being requested at unprecedented rates, leading to delays. He suggests this was a combination of factors, including tariffs, market dynamics, and regulatory preparedness. Phair also explores the role of gold in a potential monetary reset, suggesting that while it won't happen overnight, gold is likely to play a significant role due to its status as a trusted asset. He advises investors to follow the lead of central banks and accumulate physical gold as a hedge against uncertainty. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:48 - Gold Vs. Treasuries3:20 - LBMA Deliveries & Tariffs10:37 - Exchange Purity Specs12:36 - Who is Buying?17:02 - Bessent & Gold19:24 - Risks & Scenarios24:27 - Public & Retail Interest27:25 - Fed & China Trade Collapse35:49 - Manufacturing Investment42:50 - Capital Rotation & BRICS45:02 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Website: https://www.scottsdalemint.comX: https://x.com/scottsdalemintX: https://x.com/JoshPhilipPhairInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/scottsdalemint/ Scottsdale Mint was started in 2008 by Josh Phair after working as Vice President of what is now known as Willis Towers Watson, where he ran the North American Mining Practice, personally managing dozens of the largest mining companies and their risk management operations. Dedicating himself to innovation, quality, and security, Mr. Phair orchestrated a remarkable transformation of the company, evolving it from a mere retailer into a prominent U.S.-based manufacturer. Simultaneously, he adeptly managed a sophisticated trade and hedge book encompassing commodities, currencies, and digital assets. Thanks to his strategic leadership, Scottsdale Mint has earned global recognition as a premier brand in the precious metals industry. Josh Phair also cofounded and serves as CEO of The Wyoming Reserve Opportunity Zone Fund, a tax-advantaged precious metals vaulting business.  In addition to his remarkable achievements, Mr. Phair's profound appreciation for fine art extends to a deep passion for both traditional and digital artistic expressions. This passion serves as the driving force behind the artistic excellence that sets Scottsdale Mint apart in the realm of precious metals.

In this episode of Current Account, Clay is joined by Eugene Ludwig, Founder and CEO of Ludwig Advisors, to discuss a variety of updates within financial regulation - specifically those in the spotlight as President Trump continues to fill his regulatory cabinet. Clay and Gene start the discussion by assessing how the current administration seems to be approaching regulation, before diving into topics such as increased White House supervision on regulators, plans for potential Basel III implementation, a drastic change from the previous administration in approaching digital assets, how the U.S. is varying its approach from other jurisdictions, how financial institutions are approaching this period of transition and much more. This IIF Podcast was hosted by Clay Lowery, Executive Vice President, Research and Policy, with production and research contributions from Christian Klein, Digital Graphics and Production Associate, and Miranda Silverman, Senior Program Assistant.

David Zaring, Wharton Professor of Legal Studies and Business Ethics, discusses the evolving regulatory landscape in the U.S. banking sector, highlighting key contrasts between Biden and Trump-era policies, the uncertain fate of Basel III implementation, and the role of agency discretion in shaping financial oversight. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

ABA's Washington Summit just wrapped up, and this episode — sponsored by Intrafi's Banking with Interest — features a main stage conversation with Travis Hill, acting chairman of the FDIC. In this episode, Hill discusses: Revisions to the FDIC's supervisory appeals process. Transparency in bank merger reviews by regulators. The future of bank capital policy after the Basel III “endgame.” Ethics and operational improvements at the FDIC.

BUY GOLD HERE: https://firstnationalbullion.com/schedule-consult/ Avoid CBDCs and work with Mark Gonzales! HELP SUPPORT US AS WE DOCUMENT HISTORY HERE: https://gogetfunding.com/help-wam-cover-history/ GET NON-MRNA FREEZE DRIED MEAT HERE: https://wambeef.com/ Use code WAMBEEF to save 20%! GET HEIRLOOM SEEDS & NON GMO SURVIVAL FOOD HERE: https://heavensharvest.com/ USE Code WAM to save 5% plus free shipping! GET YOUR APRICOT SEEDS at the life-saving Richardson Nutritional Center HERE: https://rncstore.com/r?id=bg8qc1 Josh Sigurdson talks with Mark Gonzales about the launch of the digital ID systems in the European Union as well as in the United States as 1.3 billion Euros are put into the new digital ID launch in the EU. As facial recognition for payments are integrated with the new US digital ID, few are actually talking about it despite the massive implications. However, in the EU, many are speaking on the matter as privacy is thrown out the window with the digital ID wallet being unveiled for 2025 - 2027 weeks after the EU announced the launch of the CBDC digital Euro by October at the latest. At the same time, as technocracy expands, the 15 Minute City agenda carries on with further surveillance networks being constructed. C40 Cities following the blueprint of the World Economic Forum's 15 Minute City agenda are full steam ahead. The plan is to essentially force green spaces by eliminating 30-40% of city surface area. Where will people live in places like LA and New York? What about London? This is happening simultaneously with the takeover of major shipping canals worldwide including Panama Canal where we see China and Blackrock in a fake face off as both bring forward a technocratic agenda. Meanwhile, 63 central banks have implemented Basel III which means bail in regimes are enforced, effectively meaning your money can be stolen from your bank account at any moment and with the FDIC bankrupt, your money is truly in danger. None of this is a coincidence. It's happening at the same time as the CBDC system, digital ID rollout, destruction of the supply chain and war for a reason. Prepare yourselves! Stay tuned for more from WAM! Get local, healthy, pasture raised meat delivered to your door here: https://wildpastures.com/promos/save-20-for-life/bonus15?oid=6&affid=321 USE THE LINK & get 20% off for life and $15 off your first box! DITCH YOUR DOCTOR! https://www.livelongerformula.com/wam Get a natural health practitioner and work with Christian Yordanov! Mention WAM and get a FREE masterclass! SIGN UP FOR HOMESTEADING COURSES NOW: https://freedomfarmers.com/link/17150/ Get Prepared & Start The Move Towards Real Independence With Curtis Stone's Courses! GET YOUR WAV WATCH HERE: https://buy.wavwatch.com/WAM Use Code WAM to save $100 and purchase amazing healing frequency technology! GET ORGANIC CHAGA MUSHROOMS HERE: https://alaskachaga.com/wam Use code WAM to save money! See shop for a wide range of products! GET AMAZING MEAT STICKS HERE: https://4db671-1e.myshopify.com/discount/WAM?rfsn=8425577.918561&utm_source=refersion&utm_medium=affiliate&utm_campaign=8425577.918561 USE CODE WAM TO SAVE MONEY! GET YOUR FREEDOM KELLY KETTLE KIT HERE: https://patriotprepared.com/shop/freedom-kettle/ Use Code WAM and enjoy many solutions for the outdoors in the face of the impending reset! PayPal: ancientwonderstelevision@gmail.com FIND OUR CoinTree page here: https://cointr.ee/joshsigurdson JOIN US on SubscribeStar here: https://www.subscribestar.com/world-alternative-media For subscriber only content! Pledge here! Just a dollar a month can help us alive! https://www.patreon.com/user?u=2652072&ty=h&u=2652072 BITCOIN ADDRESS: 18d1WEnYYhBRgZVbeyLr6UfiJhrQygcgNU World Alternative Media 2025

In this week's Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire reflects on the Federal Reserve's focus on large-scale bullion repatriations ahead of the US Treasury gold audit, driven by Trump's initiative, and its impact on both the gold market and EFP spreads.Andrew also examines how these moves, combined with intensifying central bank buying and shifting market dynamics are strengthening gold demand, while paper gold positions face increasing pressure ahead of Basel III compliance in July 2025._______________________________________________________________Timestamps: 00:00 Start01:50 Gold price outlook for Q208:05 Gold & silver charts and market analysis17:25 How Trump's tariffs triggered the Fed's gold repatriation efforts25:05 Surge in US fund managers buying COMEX and ETFs30:30 Silver poised for a strong rally towards $38_______________________________________________________________Ask your questions for Andy here: https://forum.kinesis.money/forums/questions-for-lftv-live-from-the-vault.80/ Sign up for Kinesis on desktop:https://kinesis.money/kinesis-precious-metals/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=video&utm_campaign=lftv_215Download the Kinesis Mobile app - available App Store and Google Play:Apple: https://kms.kinesis.money/signupGoogle: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.kinesis.kinesisappAlso, don't forget to check out our social channels where you can stay up to date with all the latest news and developments from the team.X: https://twitter.com/KinesisMonetaryFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/kinesismoney/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/kinesismoney/Telegram: https://t.me/kinesismoneyTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@kinesismoneyThe opinions expressed in this video by Andrew Maguire and any guest are solely their own and do not reflect the official policy, position, or views of Kinesis. The information provided is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or any other type of professional advice.Viewers are encouraged to seek independent financial advice tailored to their individual circumstances before making any decisions related to the gold market or other investments. Kinesis does not accept any responsibility or liability for actions taken based on the content of this video.

Send us a textThe $150 million cryptocurrency heist linked to the 2022 LastPass breach serves as a powerful wake-up call for cybersecurity professionals. As Sean Gerber explains in this comprehensive breakdown of CISSP Domain 2.1, even security-focused tools can become vulnerability points when housing your most sensitive information.Dive deep into the pyramid structure of data classification, where government frameworks (Unclassified, Confidential, Secret, Top Secret) and non-government equivalents (Public, Sensitive, Private, Confidential/Proprietary) provide the foundation for effective information protection. This systematic approach to identifying and classifying information and assets isn't just theoretical—it's a practical necessity in today's complex regulatory landscape.The episode meticulously examines classification criteria, benefits, and implementation challenges. You'll discover why identifying data owners is non-negotiable, how classification enhances security while optimizing resources, and why enterprises without leadership buy-in are fighting a losing battle. Sean provides actionable insights for protecting data across all three states: at rest, in transit, and in use.Security professionals will appreciate the comprehensive review of industry-specific regulations requiring data classification, from GDPR and HIPAA to sector-specific frameworks like Basel III for banking and NERC SIP for energy infrastructure. Understanding these requirements isn't just exam preparation—it's career preparation.Whether you're studying for the CISSP exam or implementing security controls in your organization, this episode delivers practical wisdom you can apply immediately. Connect with Sean at CISSPCyberTraining.com for additional resources to ace your exam on the first attempt, or reach out through ReduceCyberRisk.com for consulting expertise in implementing these principles in your enterprise.Gain exclusive access to 360 FREE CISSP Practice Questions delivered directly to your inbox! Sign up at FreeCISSPQuestions.com and receive 30 expertly crafted practice questions every 15 days for the next 6 months—completely free! Don't miss this valuable opportunity to strengthen your CISSP exam preparation and boost your chances of certification success. Join now and start your journey toward CISSP mastery today!

In this week's Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire revisits his gold price prediction, now close to materialising as gold hits record highs, with rising physical demand pushing prices higher despite persistent suppression efforts.With central banks ramping up gold accumulation, short sellers are facing growing pressure, while the Basel III compliance deadline accelerates the shift to physically-backed assets, making price suppression increasingly unsustainable.Ask your questions for Andy here: https://forum.kinesis.money/forums/questions-for-lftv-live-from-the-vault.80/ Sign up for Kinesis on desktop:https://kinesis.money/kinesis-precious-metals/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=video&utm_campaign=lftv_213Download the Kinesis Mobile app - available App Store and Google Play:Apple: https://kms.kinesis.money/signupGoogle: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.kinesis.kinesisappAlso, don't forget to check out our social channels where you can stay up to date with all the latest news and developments from the team.X: https://twitter.com/KinesisMonetaryFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/kinesismoney/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/kinesismoney/Telegram: https://t.me/kinesismoneyTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@kinesismoneyThe opinions expressed in this video by Andrew Maguire and any guest are solely their own and do not reflect the official policy, position, or views of Kinesis. The information provided is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or any other type of professional advice.Viewers are encouraged to seek independent financial advice tailored to their individual circumstances before making any decisions related to the gold market or other investments. Kinesis does not accept any responsibility or liability for actions taken based on the content of this video.

This week on Power House, Diego sits down with Jay Plum, a 35-year banking veteran and the EVP of Consumer Lending at Fifth Third Bank. As the 10th largest bank servicer in the country, Fifth Third Bank has over a thousand branches and $200 billion in assets.  Today's conversation is all about mortgage lending. Jay and Diego talk about Basel III and its impact on warehouse lending, and the important role that the affordability programs like downpayment assistance play in increasing homeownership. They also talk about Fifth Third's focus on MSRs and home equity products, and what they're doing to increase market share in a high-rate environment. Here's what you'll learn: Fifth Third has many mortgage channels, including retail and correspondent. Regulatory changes, such as Basel III, significantly impact the mortgage industry. Affordability remains a key concern for potential homebuyers in a high-rate environment. Fifth Third engages in community initiatives to promote homebuyer education and assistance programs. Servicing mortgages allows Fifth Third to offer additional consumer lending products. Related to this episode: Fifth Third Bank Home Lending | Fifth Third Bank Jay Plum | LinkedIn HousingWire | YouTube Enjoy the episode! The Power House podcast brings the biggest names in housing to answer hard-hitting questions about industry trends, operational and growth strategy, and leadership. Join HousingWire president Diego Sanchez every Thursday morning for candid conversations with industry leaders to learn how they're differentiating themselves from the competition. Hosted and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Basel III's Endgame is here, but is it really about stabilizing banks, or is there a bigger agenda at play? With gold creeping back to the center of the monetary system, the future of money could be on the verge of a historic transformation. What is Basel III, and how could it reshape the global financial landscape? Dive in to uncover the hidden implications for gold and the impact on the balance of power in the financial world.Questions on Protecting Your Wealth with Gold & Silver? Schedule a Strategy Call Here ➡️ https://calendly.com/itmtrading/podcastor Call 866-349-3310

Greg Baer, the CEO of the Bank Policy Institute, argues that bank supervision has gone off course, focusing on the wrong areas and making the system less safe.  He outlines how he and big banks would recommend fixing it. He also discusses stress test and AML reform, new liquidity rules, Basel III, CFPB and more.

Vince Lanci: "Basel III, Tariffs, & Demand Are Setting Stage For Gold Market Reset" Amidst tariff confusion, strong institutional gold demand, and the implementation of Basel III in the US, Vince Lanci reports that we're seeing conditions fall in place that could facilitate a gold market reset. To find out more about what he's seeing, and why he feels that way, you'll want to see today's show! - To get access to Vince's research in 'Goldfix Premium' go to: https://vblgoldfix.substack.com/ - Get access to Arcadia's Daily Gold and Silver updates here: https://goldandsilverdaily.substack.com/ - To get your very own 'Silver Chopper Ben' statue go to: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/chopper-ben-landing-page/ - Join our free email list to be notified when a new video comes out: click here: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/email-signup/ - Follow Arcadia Economics on twitter at: https://x.com/ArcadiaEconomic - To get your copy of 'The Big Silver Short' (paperback or audio) go to: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/thebigsilvershort/ - Listen to Arcadia Economics on your favorite Podcast platforms: Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/75OH2PpgUpriBA5mYf5kyY Apple - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/arcadia-economics/id1505398976 - #silver #silverprice #gold And remember to get outside and have some fun every once in a while!:) (URL0VD)Subscribe to Arcadia Economics on Soundwise

Robin Wigglesworth, editor of Alphaville, the Financial Times financial blog, joins host Patrick Dolan to discuss the differences between synthetic and non-synthetic CRTs, common types of CRTs and their appeal to investors. Robin also reviews the historical developments and differences of the European and US markets, and their impact on the private credit market. We'll also cover regulatory changes like Basel III, and explore the current and future market trends.

In this week's Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire examines the widening disconnect between synthetic and physical gold and silver markets, highlighting spiking lease rates and the move towards Basel III-compliant bullion.Drawing on historical precedents and emerging arbitrage opportunities driven by tightening physical silver supplies, Andrew reveals the structural shift towards physical price revaluation and the growing demand for safe haven metals.Ask your questions for Andy here: https://forum.kinesis.money/forums/questions-for-lftv-live-from-the-vault.80/ __________________________________________________________________Timestamps: 00:00 Start02:00 Gold lease rates spike to 2002 levels due to paper-to-physical disconnects09:10 Gold Charts: exploring the shift towards Basel III compliance12:50 Risks of investors flocking to money market funds22:15 Abot the ‘Cartel' exploiting Comex spreads and the tariff threats loom28:45 US regional silver premium's impact on global FX crosses __________________________________________________________________Sign up for Kinesis on desktop:https://kinesis.money/kinesis-precious-metals/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=video&utm_campaign=lftv_207Download the Kinesis Mobile app - available App Store and Google Play:Apple: https://kms.kinesis.money/signupGoogle: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.kinesis.kinesisappAlso, don't forget to check out our social channels where you can stay up to date with all the latest news and developments from the team.X: https://twitter.com/KinesisMonetaryFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/kinesismoney/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/kinesismoney/Telegram: https://t.me/kinesismoneyTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@kinesismoneyThe opinions expressed in this video by Andrew Maguire and any guest are solely their own and do not reflect the official policy, position, or views of Kinesis. The information provided is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or any other type of professional advice.Viewers are encouraged to seek independent financial advice tailored to their individual circumstances before making any decisions related to the gold market or other investments. Kinesis does not accept any responsibility or liability for actions taken based on the content of this video.

In this week's Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire teams up with industry heavyweights Andy Schectman, Craig Hemke, and Rob Kientz to dissect central bank gold accumulation and the widening gap between wholesale and retail demand.The panel of experts unpacks strategies for preserving wealth in a changing precious metals market, shares market predictions for gold and silver amidst U.S. economic challenges, and uncovers how consumer distractions influence retail activity.Check out our amazing guests:Andy Schectman: https://x.com/MilesFranklinCoCraig Hemke: https://x.com/TFMetalsRob Kientz: https://x.com/freedom_rptAsk your questions for Andy here: https://forum.kinesis.money/forums/questions-for-lftv-live-from-the-vault.80/ __________________________________________________________________Timestamps: 00:00Start02:30Introducing Andy Schectman, Craig Hemke and Rob Kientz03:20On the reversal of the inverted yield curve from late last year07:30Divergence between physical wholesale demand and retail activity11:35The impact of economic challenges on individuals17:15The dichotomy between retail and institutional market behaviour21:40Tariffs, Basel III and the shift away from the US dollar and treasuries32:45The 50-year-old gold price suppression scheme boiled down45:20The FED faces a stark choice: control inflation or prioritise liquidity56:00Dissecting the gradual decay of the current economic system01:06:00 Shanghai Metals and Futures Exchange surpasses COMEX in volume __________________________________________________________________Sign up for Kinesis on desktop:https://kinesis.money/kinesis-precious-metals/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=video&utm_campaign=lftv_206Download the Kinesis Mobile app - available App Store and Google Play:Apple: https://kms.kinesis.money/signupGoogle: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.kinesis.kinesisappAlso, don't forget to check out our social channels where you can stay up to date with all the latest news and developments from the team.X: https://twitter.com/KinesisMonetaryFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/kinesismoney/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/kinesismoney/Telegram: https://t.me/kinesismoneyTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@kinesismoneyThe opinions expressed in this video by Andrew Maguire and any guest are solely their own and do not reflect the official policy, position, or views of Kinesis. The information provided is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or any other type of professional advice.Viewers are encouraged to seek independent financial advice tailored to their individual circumstances before making any decisions related to the gold market or other investments. Kinesis does not accept any responsibility or liability for actions taken based on the content of this video.

In this week's Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire dives into the forces reshaping gold and silver markets in 2025, examining how surging physical demand and Basel III regulations drive a structural shift in pricing dynamics.Andrew unveils his bold forecast for gold and silver, then explores the growing impact of dedollarisation and central bank buying in accelerating the transition to a more transparent, physically backed market system.Ask your questions for Andy here: https://forum.kinesis.money/forums/questions-for-lftv-live-from-the-vault.80/ __________________________________________________________________00:00Start02:45The short-term New Year action following December's COMEX-driven sell-off.05:45How Basell III regulations push the price of gold higher.12:05Gold charts: The disparity between physical gold and paper gold markets.16:20Gold charts: a detailed forecast for 2025 (PBOC, COMEX & Basel III)41:45Silver market analysis and price predictions.52:30The impact of recent geopolitical tensions on precious metals markets. __________________________________________________________________Sign up for Kinesis on desktop:https://kinesis.money/kinesis-precious-metals/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=video&utm_campaign=lftv_20Silver,Silver Bull,Silver deficit,precious metals expert,silver price,silver price forecast,Andrew Maguire,andrew maguire silver,next for gold and silver,gold and silver price,precious metals,precious metals investment,gold and silver markets,kinesis,kinesis money,silver rally,Silver short,gold price,LBMA,Central Banks,Fed,Gold Price 2024,gold revaluation,Gold breakout,Silver breakout,China,Russia,India,Gold,PBOC,BRICS,CME Gold LaunchDownload the Kinesis Mobile app - available App Store and Google Play:Apple: https://kms.kinesis.money/signupGoogle: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.kinesis.kinesisappAlso, don't forget to check out our social channels where you can stay up to date with all the latest news and developments from the team.X: https://twitter.com/KinesisMonetaryFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/kinesismoney/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/kinesismoney/Telegram: https://t.me/kinesismoneyTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@kinesismoney

Original Release Date November 19, 2024: On the second part of a two-part roundtable, our panel gives its 2025 preview for the housing and mortgage landscape, the US Treasury yield curve and currency markets.----- Transcript -----Andrew Sheets: 2024 was a year of transition for economies and global markets. Central banks began easing interest rates, U.S. elections signaled significant policy change, and Generative AI made a quantum leap in adoption and development.Thank you for listening throughout 2024, as we navigated the issues and events that shaped financial markets, and society. We hope you'll join us next year as we continue to bring you the most up to date information on the financial world. This week, please enjoy some encores of episodes over the last few months and we'll be back with all new episodes in January. From all of us on Thoughts on the Market, Happy Holidays, and a very Happy New Year. Vishy Tirupattur: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I am Vishy Tirupattur, Morgan Stanley's Chief Fixed Income Strategist. This is part two of our special roundtable discussion on what's ahead for the global economy and markets in 2025.Today we will cover what is ahead for government bonds, currencies, and housing. I'm joined by Matt Hornbach, our Chief Macro Strategist; James Lord, Global Head of Currency and Emerging Market Strategy; Jay Bacow, our co-head of Securitized Product Strategy; and Jim Egan, the other co-head of Securitized Product Strategy.It's Tuesday, November 19th, at 10am in New York.Matt, I'd like to go to you first. 2024 was a fascinating year for government bond yields globally. We started with a deeply inverted US yield curve at the beginning of the year, and we are ending the year with a much steeper curve – with much of that inversion gone. We have seen both meaningful sell offs and rallies over the course of the year as markets negotiated hard landing, soft landing, and no landing scenarios.With the election behind us and a significant change of policy ahead of us, how do you see the outlook for global government bond yields in 2025?Matt Hornbach: With the US election outcome known, global rate markets can march to the beat of its consequences. Central banks around the world continue to lower policy rates in our economist baseline projection, with much lower policy rates taking hold in their hard landing scenario versus higher rates in their scenarios for re-acceleration.This skew towards more dovish outcomes alongside the baseline for lower policy rates than captured in current market prices ultimately leads to lower government bond yields and steeper yield curves across most of the G10 through next year. Summarizing the regions, we expect treasury yields to move lower over the forecast horizon, helped by 75 [basis points] worth of Fed rate cuts, more than markets currently price.We forecast 10-year Treasury yields reaching 3 and 3.75 per cent by the middle of next year and ending the year just above 3.5 per cent.Our economists are forecasting a pause in the easing cycle in the second half of the year from the Fed. That would leave the Fed funds rate still above the median longer run dot.The rationale for the pause involves Fed uncertainty over the ultimate effects of tariffs and immigration reform on growth and inflation.We also see the treasury curve bull steepening throughout the forecast horizon with most of the steepening in the first half of the year, when most of the fall in yields occur.Finally, on break even inflation rates, we see five- and 10-year break evens tightening slightly by the middle of 2025 as inflation risks cool. However, as the Trump administration starts implementing tariffs, break evens widen in our forecast with the five- and 10-year maturities reaching 2.55 per cent and 2.4 per cent respectively by the end of next year.As such, we think real yields will lead the bulk of the decline in nominal yields in our forecasting with the 10-year real yield around 1.45 per cent by the middle of next year; and ending the year at 1.15 per cent.Vishy Tirupattur: That's very helpful, Matt. James, clearly the incoming administration has policy choices, and their sequencing and severity will have major implications for the strength of the dollar that has rallied substantially in the last few months. Against this backdrop, how do you assess 2025 to be? What differences do you expect to see between DM and EM currency markets?James Lord: The incoming administration's proposed policies could have far-reaching impacts on currency markets, some of which are already being reflected in the price of the dollar today. We had argued ahead of the election that a Republican sweep was probably the most bullish dollar outcome, and we are now seeing that being reflected.We do think the dollar rally continues for a little bit longer as markets price in a higher likelihood of tariffs being implemented against trading partners and there being a risk of additional deficit expansion in 2025. However, we don't really see that dollar strength persisting for long throughout 2025.So, I think that is – compared to the current debate, compared to the current market pricing – a negative dollar catalyst that should get priced into markets.And to your question, Vishy, that there will be differences with EM and also within EM as well. Probably the most notable one is the renminbi. We have the renminbi as the weakest currency within all of our forecasts for 2025, really reflecting the impact of tariffs.We expect tariffs against China to be more consequential than against other countries, thus requiring a bigger adjustment on the FX side. We see dollar China, or dollar renminbi ending next year at 7.6. So that represents a very sharp divergence versus dollar yen and the broader DXY moves – and is a consequence of tariffs.And that does imply that the Fed's broad dollar index only has a pretty modest decline next year, despite the bigger move in the DXY. The rest of Asia will likely follow dollar China more closely than dollar yen, in our view, causing AXJ currencies to generally underperform; versus CMEA and Latin America, which on the whole do a bit better.Vishy Tirupattur: Jay, in contrast to corporate credit, mortgage spreads are at or about their long-term average levels. How do you expect 2025 to pan out for mortgages? What are the key drivers of your expectations, and which potential policy changes you are most focused on?Jay Bacow: As you point out, mortgage spreads do look wide to corporate spreads, but there are good reasons for that. We all know that the Fed is reducing their holdings of mortgages, and they're the largest holder of mortgages in the world.We don't expect Fed balance sheet reduction of mortgages to change, even if they do NQT, as is our forecast in the first quarter of 2025. When they NQT, we expect mortgage runoff to continue to go into treasuries. What we do expect to change next year is that bank demand function will shift. We are working under the assumption that the Basel III endgame either stalls under the next administration or gets released in a way that is capital neutral. And that's going to free up excess capital for banks and reduce regulatory uncertainty for them in how they deploy the cash in their portfolios.The one thing that we've been waiting for is this clarity around regulations. When that changes, we think that's going to be a positive, but it's not just banks returning to the market.We think that there's going to be tailwinds from overseas investors that are going to be hedging out their FX risks as the Fed cuts rates, and the Bank of Japan hikes, so we expect more demand from Japanese life insurance companies.A steeper yield curve is going to be good for REIT demand. And these buyers, banks, overseas REITs, they typically buy CUSIPs, and that's going to help not just from a demand side, but it's going to help funding on mortgages improve as well. And all of those things are going to take mortgage spreads tighter, and that's why we are bullish.I also want to mention agency CMBS for a moment. The technical pressure there is even better than in single family mortgages. The supply story is still constrained, but there is no Fed QT in multifamily. And then also the capital that's going to be available for banks from the deregulation will allow them – in combination with the portfolio layer hedging – to add agency CMBS in a way that they haven't really been adding in the last few years. So that could take spreads tighter as well.Now, Vishy, you also mentioned policy changes. We think discussions around GSE reform are likely to become more prevalent under the new administration.And we think that given that improved capitalization, depending on the path of their earnings and any plans to raise capital, we could see an attempt to exit conservatorship during this administration.But we will simply state our view that any plan that results in a meaningful change to the capital treatment – or credit risk – to the investors of conventional mortgages is going to be too destabilizing for the housing finance markets to implement. And so, we don't think that path could go forward.Vishy Tirupattur: Thanks, Jay. Jim, it was a challenging year for the housing market with historically high levels of unaffordability and continued headwinds of limited supply. How do you see 2025 to be for the US housing market? And going beyond housing, what is your outlook for the opportunity set in securitized credit for 2025?James Egan: For the housing market, the 2025 narrative is going to be one about absolute level versus the direction and rate of change. For instance, Vishy, you mentioned affordability. Mortgage rates have increased significantly since the beginning of September, but it's also true that they're down roughly a hundred basis points from the fourth quarter of 2023 and we're forecasting pretty healthy decreases in the 10-year Treasury throughout 2025. So, we expect affordability to improve over the coming year. Supply? It remains near historic lows, but it's been increasing year to date.So similar to the affordability narrative, it's more challenged than it's been in decades; but it's also less challenged than it was a year ago.So, what does all this mean for the housing market as we look through 2025? Despite the improvements in affordability, sales volumes have been pretty stagnant this year. Total volumes – so existing plus new volumes – are actually down about 3 per cent year to date. And look, that isn't unusual. It typically takes about a year for sales volumes to pick up when you see this kind of significant affordability improvement that we've witnessed over the past year, even with the recent backup in mortgage rates.And that means we think we're kind of entering that sweet spot for increased sales now. We've seen purchase applications turn positive year over year. We've seen pending home sales turn positive year over year. That's the first time both of those things have happened since 2021. But when we think about how much sales 2025, we think it's going to be a little bit more curtailed. There are a whole host of reasons for that – but one of them the lock in effect has been a very popular talking point in the housing market this year. If we look at just the difference between the effective mortgage rate on the outstanding universe and where you can take out a mortgage rate today, the universe is still over 200 basis points out of the money.To the upside, you're not going to get 10 per cent growth there, but you're going to get more than 5 per cent growth in new home sales. And what I really want to emphasize here is – yes, mortgage rates have increased recently. We expect them to come down in 2025; but even if they don't, we don't think there's a lot of room for downside to existing home sales from here.There's some level of housing activity that has to happen, regardless of where mortgage rates or affordability are. We think we're there. Turnover measured as the number of transactions – existing transactions – as a share of the outstanding housing market is lower now than it was during the great financial crisis. It's as low as it's been in a little bit over 40 years. We just don't think it can fall that much further from here.But as we go through 2025, we do think it dips negative. We have a negative 2 per cent HPA call next year, not significantly down. We don't think there's a lot of room to the downside given the healthy foundation, the low supply, the strong credit standards in the housing market. But there is a little bit of negativity next year before home prices reaccelerate.This leaves us generically constructive on securitized products across the board. Given how much of the capital structure has flattened this year, we think CLO AAAs actually offer the best value amongst the debt tranches there. We think non-QM triple AAAs and agency MBS is going to tighten. They look cheap to IG corporates. Consumer ABS, we also think still looks pretty cheap to IG corporates. Even in the CMBS pace, we think there's opportunities. CMBS has really outperformed this year as rates have come down. Now our bull bear spread differentials are much wider in CMBS than they are elsewhere, but in our base case, conduit BBB minuses still offer attractive value.That being said, if we're going to go down the capital structure, our favorite expression in the securitized credit space is US CLO equity.Vishy Tirupattur: Thank you, Jay and Jim, and also Matt and James.We'll close it out here. As a reminder, if you enjoyed the show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.

In this review of the year, ISDA CEO Scott O'Malia and Chairman Eric Litvack look back at the derivatives market and regulatory issues dominating 2024, including Basel III, Treasury clearing and non-bank financial intermediation. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Alison Bisbey, Senior Writer at Green Street News, joins host Patrick Dolan to discuss the potential for increase in Federal Family Education Loan Program (FFELP) Asset-Backed Securities (ABS) issuance as prepayments rise. She explores the impact of prepayments on FFELP ABS, the factors behind them, and whether sponsors may wait for spreads to narrow. This episode also highlights the continued dialogue between insurers and bank regulators about unfunded guarantees in bank credit risk transfer (CRT) and synthetic risk transfer transactions and the concerns raised by regulators. Alison examineswhether the revised Basel III proposal will address these issues.

In this week's Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire examines the recent gold retracement rally, driven by physical demand reclaiming control from speculative momentum traders, and delves into the central banks' quiet revaluation process.Andrew also highlights China's strategic gold acquisitions and the PBOC's game-changing efforts to bolster the yuan with gold-backed reserves, while Basel III pressures heighten risks of a COMEX default amid soaring delivery demands.Ask your questions for Andy here: https://forum.kinesis.money/forums/questions-for-lftv-live-from-the-vault.80/ __________________________________________________________________Timestamps: 00:00 Start01:40 Andrew discusses the recent gold retracement rally06:50 Gold chart: Andrew's analysis of recent price action16:45 Gold chart: Short-term market outlook20:20 Andrew on China's gold purchases and PBOC efforts32:45 Could a Sino-Russian currency revalue global gold reserves? __________________________________________________________________Sign up for Kinesis on desktop:https://kinesis.money/kinesis-precious-metals/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=video&utm_campaign=lftv_191Download the Kinesis Mobile app - available App Store and Google Play:Apple: https://kms.kinesis.money/signupGoogle: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.kinesis.kinesisappAlso, don't forget to check out our social channels where you can stay up to date with all the latest news and developments from the team.X: https://twitter.com/KinesisMonetaryFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/kinesismoney/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/kinesismoney/Telegram: https://t.me/kinesismoneyTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@kinesismoney

On the second part of a two-part roundtable, our panel gives its 2025 preview for the housing and mortgage landscape, the US Treasury yield curve and currency markets.----- Transcript -----Vishy Tirupattur: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I am Vishy Tirupattur, Morgan Stanley's Chief Fixed Income Strategist. This is part two of our special roundtable discussion on what's ahead for the global economy and markets in 2025.Today we will cover what is ahead for government bonds, currencies, and housing. I'm joined by Matt Hornbach, our Chief Macro Strategist; James Lord, Global Head of Currency and Emerging Market Strategy; Jay Bacow, our co-head of Securitized Product Strategy; and Jim Egan, the other co-head of Securitized Product Strategy.It's Tuesday, November 19th, at 10am in New York.Matt, I'd like to go to you first. 2024 was a fascinating year for government bond yields globally. We started with a deeply inverted US yield curve at the beginning of the year, and we are ending the year with a much steeper curve – with much of that inversion gone. We have seen both meaningful sell offs and rallies over the course of the year as markets negotiated hard landing, soft landing, and no landing scenarios.With the election behind us and a significant change of policy ahead of us, how do you see the outlook for global government bond yields in 2025?Matt Hornbach: With the US election outcome known, global rate markets can march to the beat of its consequences. Central banks around the world continue to lower policy rates in our economist baseline projection, with much lower policy rates taking hold in their hard landing scenario versus higher rates in their scenarios for re-acceleration.This skew towards more dovish outcomes alongside the baseline for lower policy rates than captured in current market prices ultimately leads to lower government bond yields and steeper yield curves across most of the G10 through next year. Summarizing the regions, we expect treasury yields to move lower over the forecast horizon, helped by 75 [basis points] worth of Fed rate cuts, more than markets currently price.We forecast 10-year Treasury yields reaching 3 and 3.75 per cent by the middle of next year and ending the year just above 3.5 per cent.Our economists are forecasting a pause in the easing cycle in the second half of the year from the Fed. That would leave the Fed funds rate still above the median longer run dot.The rationale for the pause involves Fed uncertainty over the ultimate effects of tariffs and immigration reform on growth and inflation.We also see the treasury curve bull steepening throughout the forecast horizon with most of the steepening in the first half of the year, when most of the fall in yields occur.Finally, on break even inflation rates, we see five- and 10-year break evens tightening slightly by the middle of 2025 as inflation risks cool. However, as the Trump administration starts implementing tariffs, break evens widen in our forecast with the five- and 10-year maturities reaching 2.55 per cent and 2.4 per cent respectively by the end of next year.As such, we think real yields will lead the bulk of the decline in nominal yields in our forecasting with the 10-year real yield around 1.45 per cent by the middle of next year; and ending the year at 1.15 per cent.Vishy Tirupattur: That's very helpful, Matt. James, clearly the incoming administration has policy choices, and their sequencing and severity will have major implications for the strength of the dollar that has rallied substantially in the last few months. Against this backdrop, how do you assess 2025 to be? What differences do you expect to see between DM and EM currency markets?James Lord: The incoming administration's proposed policies could have far-reaching impacts on currency markets, some of which are already being reflected in the price of the dollar today. We had argued ahead of the election that a Republican sweep was probably the most bullish dollar outcome, and we are now seeing that being reflected.We do think the dollar rally continues for a little bit longer as markets price in a higher likelihood of tariffs being implemented against trading partners and there being a risk of additional deficit expansion in 2025. However, we don't really see that dollar strength persisting for long throughout 2025.So, I think that is – compared to the current debate, compared to the current market pricing – a negative dollar catalyst that should get priced into markets.And to your question, Vishy, that there will be differences with EM and also within EM as well. Probably the most notable one is the renminbi. We have the renminbi as the weakest currency within all of our forecasts for 2025, really reflecting the impact of tariffs.We expect tariffs against China to be more consequential than against other countries, thus requiring a bigger adjustment on the FX side. We see dollar China, or dollar renminbi ending next year at 7.6. So that represents a very sharp divergence versus dollar yen and the broader DXY moves – and is a consequence of tariffs.And that does imply that the Fed's broad dollar index only has a pretty modest decline next year, despite the bigger move in the DXY. The rest of Asia will likely follow dollar China more closely than dollar yen, in our view, causing AXJ currencies to generally underperform; versus CMEA and Latin America, which on the whole do a bit better.Vishy Tirupattur: Jay, in contrast to corporate credit, mortgage spreads are at or about their long-term average levels. How do you expect 2025 to pan out for mortgages? What are the key drivers of your expectations, and which potential policy changes you are most focused on?Jay Bacow: As you point out, mortgage spreads do look wide to corporate spreads, but there are good reasons for that. We all know that the Fed is reducing their holdings of mortgages, and they're the largest holder of mortgages in the world.We don't expect Fed balance sheet reduction of mortgages to change, even if they do NQT, as is our forecast in the first quarter of 2025. When they NQT, we expect mortgage runoff to continue to go into treasuries. What we do expect to change next year is that bank demand function will shift. We are working under the assumption that the Basel III endgame either stalls under the next administration or gets released in a way that is capital neutral. And that's going to free up excess capital for banks and reduce regulatory uncertainty for them in how they deploy the cash in their portfolios.The one thing that we've been waiting for is this clarity around regulations. When that changes, we think that's going to be a positive, but it's not just banks returning to the market.We think that there's going to be tailwinds from overseas investors that are going to be hedging out their FX risks as the Fed cuts rates, and the Bank of Japan hikes, so we expect more demand from Japanese life insurance companies.A steeper yield curve is going to be good for REIT demand. And these buyers, banks, overseas REITs, they typically buy CUSIPs, and that's going to help not just from a demand side, but it's going to help funding on mortgages improve as well. And all of those things are going to take mortgage spreads tighter, and that's why we are bullish.I also want to mention agency CMBS for a moment. The technical pressure there is even better than in single family mortgages. The supply story is still constrained, but there is no Fed QT in multifamily. And then also the capital that's going to be available for banks from the deregulation will allow them – in combination with the portfolio layer hedging – to add agency CMBS in a way that they haven't really been adding in the last few years. So that could take spreads tighter as well.Now, Vishy, you also mentioned policy changes. We think discussions around GSE reform are likely to become more prevalent under the new administration.And we think that given that improved capitalization, depending on the path of their earnings and any plans to raise capital, we could see an attempt to exit conservatorship during this administration.But we will simply state our view that any plan that results in a meaningful change to the capital treatment – or credit risk – to the investors of conventional mortgages is going to be too destabilizing for the housing finance markets to implement. And so, we don't think that path could go forward.Vishy Tirupattur: Thanks, Jay. Jim, it was a challenging year for the housing market with historically high levels of unaffordability and continued headwinds of limited supply. How do you see 2025 to be for the US housing market? And going beyond housing, what is your outlook for the opportunity set in securitized credit for 2025?James Egan: For the housing market, the 2025 narrative is going to be one about absolute level versus the direction and rate of change. For instance, Vishy, you mentioned affordability. Mortgage rates have increased significantly since the beginning of September, but it's also true that they're down roughly a hundred basis points from the fourth quarter of 2023 and we're forecasting pretty healthy decreases in the 10-year Treasury throughout 2025. So, we expect affordability to improve over the coming year. Supply? It remains near historic lows, but it's been increasing year to date.So similar to the affordability narrative, it's more challenged than it's been in decades; but it's also less challenged than it was a year ago.So, what does all this mean for the housing market as we look through 2025? Despite the improvements in affordability, sales volumes have been pretty stagnant this year. Total volumes – so existing plus new volumes – are actually down about 3 per cent year to date. And look, that isn't unusual. It typically takes about a year for sales volumes to pick up when you see this kind of significant affordability improvement that we've witnessed over the past year, even with the recent backup in mortgage rates.And that means we think we're kind of entering that sweet spot for increased sales now. We've seen purchase applications turn positive year over year. We've seen pending home sales turn positive year over year. That's the first time both of those things have happened since 2021. But when we think about how much sales 2025, we think it's going to be a little bit more curtailed. There are a whole host of reasons for that – but one of them the lock in effect has been a very popular talking point in the housing market this year. If we look at just the difference between the effective mortgage rate on the outstanding universe and where you can take out a mortgage rate today, the universe is still over 200 basis points out of the money.To the upside, you're not going to get 10 per cent growth there, but you're going to get more than 5 per cent growth in new home sales. And what I really want to emphasize here is – yes, mortgage rates have increased recently. We expect them to come down in 2025; but even if they don't, we don't think there's a lot of room for downside to existing home sales from here.There's some level of housing activity that has to happen, regardless of where mortgage rates or affordability are. We think we're there. Turnover measured as the number of transactions – existing transactions – as a share of the outstanding housing market is lower now than it was during the great financial crisis. It's as low as it's been in a little bit over 40 years. We just don't think it can fall that much further from here.But as we go through 2025, we do think it dips negative. We have a negative 2 per cent HPA call next year, not significantly down. We don't think there's a lot of room to the downside given the healthy foundation, the low supply, the strong credit standards in the housing market. But there is a little bit of negativity next year before home prices reaccelerate.This leaves us generically constructive on securitized products across the board. Given how much of the capital structure has flattened this year, we think CLO AAAs actually offer the best value amongst the debt tranches there. We think non-QM triple AAAs and agency MBS is going to tighten. They look cheap to IG corporates. Consumer ABS, we also think still looks pretty cheap to IG corporates. Even in the CMBS pace, we think there's opportunities. CMBS has really outperformed this year as rates have come down. Now our bull bear spread differentials are much wider in CMBS than they are elsewhere, but in our base case, conduit BBB minuses still offer attractive value.That being said, if we're going to go down the capital structure, our favorite expression in the securitized credit space is US CLO equity.Vishy Tirupattur: Thank you, Jay and Jim, and also Matt and James.We'll close it out here. As a reminder, if you enjoyed the show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.

Greg Hertrich, Managing Director at Nomura Securities International, Inc., joins host Patrick Dolan to discuss the changing world of Synthetic Risk Transfers (SRTs) and Credit Risk Transfers (CRTs). Greg explores the potential impact of increased regulation under a Trump administration on SRTs and CRTs, and how Basel III and other regulatory changes could shape these sectors, including both current and future issuance volumes. Additionally, we look at risk profiles for different loan and asset types, such as large corporate, SME, consumer and commercial sectors.

In this episode of the InsuranceAUM.com podcast, Stewart Foley hosts Armen Panossian, co-CEO and Head of Performing Credit at Oaktree Capital, for a deep dive into insurers' role in alternative investing, especially in private credit. Armen shares insights on the evolving sentiment in today's markets, where economic fundamentals, regulatory influences, and the effects of recent rate hikes are shaping debt and equity strategies. He details how technical and regulatory shifts, like the implementation of Basel III in the U.S., are creating new avenues for insurers to capitalize on asset-backed finance while banks retreat from specific lending areas. Armen emphasizes that private credit remains a valuable asset class for insurers, especially given the long-term growth and diversification opportunities it provides alongside efficient rating structures.   Looking ahead, Armen sees opportunity in sectors where expertise drives returns, such as specialty finance and asset-backed lending. He also highlights the unique value of rescue lending as more companies face refinancing challenges due to high interest rates. For insurers, he advises considering the distinct advantages of rated feeder note structures to optimize capital efficiency in corporate credit and exploring asset-backed finance for diversification.

In this episode, Kathy Jones and Liz Ann Sonders discuss several of the latest economic indicators, focusing on inflation, employment, and the housing market. They analyze the current state of the S&P 500®, bond yields, and the implications of global interest rate cuts. The discussion highlights the importance of understanding market rotations and the impact of economic data on investment strategies.Next, Kathy speaks with Collin Martin, director and fixed income strategist at the Schwab Center for Financial Research. Kathy and Collin discuss the current state of the fixed income markets, focusing on the outlook for interest rates, corporate credit spreads, issuance dynamics, preferred securities, TIPS, and strategies for building a bond portfolio. They explore the resilience of the economy, the implications of Fed policy, and the importance of understanding various investment vehicles in the context of market volatility and economic uncertainty.You can read more about the Basel III regulations Collin mentions here.Lastly, Kathy and Liz Ann review the schedule for next week's economic data and indicators—and tell you which ones really matter.On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting.If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThe information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision.  All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed.  Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve.  All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.  Past performance is no guarantee of future results and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) are inflation-linked securities issued by the US Government whose principal value is adjusted periodically in accordance with the rise and fall in the inflation rate. Thus, the dividend amount payable is also impacted by variations in the inflation rate, as it is based upon the principal value of the bond. It may fluctuate up or down. Repayment at maturity is guaranteed by the US Government and may be adjusted for inflation to become the greater of the original face amount at issuance or that face amount plus an adjustment for inflation. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities are guaranteed by the US Government, but inflation-protected bond funds do not provide such a guarantee.Preferred securities are a type of hybrid investment that share characteristics of both stock and bonds. They are often callable, meaning the issuing company may redeem the security at a certain price after a certain date. Such call features, and the timing of a call, may affect the security's yield. Preferred securities generally have lower credit ratings and a lower claim to assets than the issuer's individual bonds. Like bonds, prices of preferred securities tend to move inversely with interest rates, so their prices may fall during periods of rising interest rates. Investment value will fluctuate, and preferred securities, when sold before maturity, may be worth more or less than original cost. Preferred securities are subject to various other risks including changes in interest rates and credit quality, default risks, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, deferral risk, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.Lower rated securities are subject to greater credit risk, default risk, and liquidity risk.Diversification strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs and expenses, and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.(1024-1GEH)

BUY GOLD HERE: https://firstnationalbullion.com/schedule-consult/ Work with Mark Gonzales, escape the CBDC system and let him know you found him at WAM! GET HEIRLOOM SEEDS & NON GMO SURVIVAL FOOD HERE: https://heavensharvest.com/ USE Code WAM to save 5%! GET FREEZE DRIED BEEF HERE: https://wambeef.com/ Use Code WAMBEEF to save 25%! 10+ Year Shelf life & All Natural! GET TICKETS TO ANARCHAPULCO HERE: https://anarchapulco.com/ Save money by using code WAM GET YOUR WAV WATCH HERE: https://buy.wavwatch.com/WAM Use Code WAM to save $100 and purchase amazing healing frequency technology! GET YOUR APRICOT SEEDS at the life-saving Richardson Nutritional Center HERE: https://rncstore.com/r?id=bg8qc1 Josh Sigurdson talks with Mark Gonzales of First National Bullion about the breaking news that The Bank For International Settlements in Basel, Switzerland's "Basel III" (or Basel 3) accord is set to be implemented by 63 central banks leading to bail-ins. Bail-in regimes are like bailouts, but they're involuntary and are a way for the banks to pay off debts and liquidity issues by emptying your bank account. With the massive shortfall at the FDIC, it's very likely that the vast majority of people's money will be uninsured. This is happening as the economy is in a free fall collapse, the dollar is losing its battle for world reserve currency vs. the BRICS bloc and banks are facing total bankruptcy with cash to deposit ratios sitting below 1% in most cases. This move is an open admittance that your money is not safe in the bank and that the global establishment will force you into total poverty in order to give themselves a life raft. In return, everyone will be placed under emergency orders on a digital ID with an eventual CBDC. This will in turn force people onto food and electricity rations on social credit scores. This is the World Economic Forum's move into the "Great Reset." It is vital that EVERYONE gets prepared today. This isn't about fear. It's about understanding what's coming and protecting yourself from the storm so you can prosper. Stay tuned for more from WAM! GET YOUR FREEDOM KELLY KETTLE KIT HERE: https://patriotprepared.com/shop/freedom-kettle/ Use Code WAM and enjoy many solutions for the outdoors in the face of the impending reset! HELP SUPPORT US AS WE DOCUMENT HISTORY HERE: https://gogetfunding.com/help-wam-cover-history/ PayPal: ancientwonderstelevision@gmail.com FIND OUR CoinTree page here: https://cointr.ee/joshsigurdson JOIN US on SubscribeStar here: https://www.subscribestar.com/world-alternative-media For subscriber only content! Pledge here! Just a dollar a month can help us alive! https://www.patreon.com/user?u=2652072&ty=h&u=2652072 BITCOIN ADDRESS: 18d1WEnYYhBRgZVbeyLr6UfiJhrQygcgNU World Alternative Media 2024

In the fourth episode of Season 12 of Compliance Clarified, Todd Ehret, senior regulatory intelligence expert, is joined by Henry Engler for an insightful discussion on the Basel III endgame.Basel III was originally developed in response to the financial crisis of 2008- 2009. The Basel Committee for Banking Supervision finalization of Basel III, known as Basel III endgame, introduces extensive changes, especially in the calculation of risk-weighted assets (RWA). These changes will significantly impact business models, compelling banks to reconsider their capital allocation strategies.On July 27th, 2023, the US Federal Reserve and FDIC published their Notice for Proposed rulemaking for Basel III endgame. After months of criticism and discussion, on September 10, the Federal Reserve announced a re-proposal of the much discussed and awaited Basel III Endgame.Henry Engler is a Senior Editor for North America for Thomson Reuters Regulatory Intelligence based in New York. Henry joined Thomson Reuters after a decade in the financial industry in which he has served in roles as an executive or managing consultant overseeing compliance-related and other projects. Henry is also a trained economist and has served as a financial journalist and business strategy executive at Reuters. Henry has edited books on the European Monetary Union and the future of banking and is also the author of "Remaking Culture on Wall Street: A Behavioral Science Approach for Building Trust from the Bottom Up."For more information on the podcast and additional resources, see the links below.Links: Todd Ehret LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/todd-ehret-91827264/Henry Engler LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/henry-engler-29133/Link to recent article by Henry Engler:U.S. Basel Endgame enters uncertain phase as regulators jostle behind the scenes: https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7246539010406252546/ Compliance Clarified is a podcast from Thomson Reuters Regulatory Intelligence.Listen to wide-ranging, insightful discussions on all things compliance for financial services firms. We delve into the hot topics of the day, the challenges faced and offer up practical ideas for emerging good practice. We de-mystify regulation and explore the art, as well as the science, of the ever-expanding role of the compliance officer.  Enforcements, digital transformation, regulatory change, governance, culture, conduct risk – anything and everything impacting the compliance function is up for discussion.

In this episode, we dive into SAB 121's implications on Bitcoin, discuss BNY Mellon's crypto custody services, and explore how regulatory changes and institutional adoption could shape Bitcoin's future value. We also examine BlackRock's demands on Coinbase, changes in M2 money supply, and Basel III's risk weight requirements for cryptoassets. IN THIS EPISODE YOU'LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 01:32 - The significance of BNY Mellon's approval for custody services. 02:01 - Michael Saylor's three prerequisites for Bitcoin reaching $5M per coin. 16:06 - The impact of BlackRock's 12-hour settlement window requirement for Coinbase. 21:41 - ESG trend changes driven by AI advancements. 24:36 - How SAB 121 requires banks to treat Bitcoin deposits as liabilities. 25:26 - The 1,250% risk weight requirement for Bitcoin under Basel III regulations. 30:37 - Why Silvergate's bankruptcy may have been influenced by government actions. 34:38 - How stablecoins interact with traditional banking systems. 46:29 - Why Ethereum is currently facing a downward trend. 49:30 - The expansion of the M2 money supply and its implications for inflation. BOOKS AND RESOURCES America Hodl on Nostr . Jeff Ross on Nostr. Joe Carlasare on Twitter, Nostr. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: River Toyota Daloopa Sound Advisory Tastytrade Public Connect Invest Onramp Found American Express BAM Capital Fundrise Vanta Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm

In this episode of What's New at CFI on FinPod, we're excited to introduce our latest course, "Intro to Bank Valuations." We've designed this course to simplify the world of bank valuation models by focusing on practical methodologies like the asset value approach, comparables, and the dividend discount model. We dive into why mastering bank financial statements and Basel III regulations is a prerequisite of valuation performance, why traditional valuation metrics like enterprise value don't apply to banks, global banking comps, insurance companies, and non-bank financial institutions.

Today's podcast is sponsored by Candor. Candor's authentic Expert System AI has powered more than 2 million flawless, hands off underwrites. Every credit risk decision Candor makes is backed by a Warranty, eliminating repurchase worries.

In this episode of the Insider's Guide to Energy, host Chris Sass sits down with Thomas Byrne, CEO of Clean Capital, to discuss the critical role corporates play in driving the clean energy transition. Byrne emphasizes the urgent need for companies to step up their investments in renewable energy to meet rising power demands, driven by data centers and AI growth. He explains how clean energy leaders can accelerate the transition by engaging in tax equity markets and leveraging their financial power to support sustainable initiatives. Byrne shares insights on the evolving energy landscape, highlighting the challenges of rising energy demand and the slowing decommissioning of fossil fuel plants. He discusses how Clean Capital is helping corporates navigate these complexities, stressing the importance of strategic collaboration between energy providers and large companies to meet both economic and environmental goals. Byrne also touches on the impact of regulatory changes, including the Inflation Reduction Act and Basel III, on clean energy financing. Listeners will gain valuable knowledge about the future of renewable energy, the increasing demand for power, and how corporates can lead the way in funding and supporting clean energy solutions. This episode is a must-listen for energy leaders, corporate decision-makers, and anyone interested in the intersection of clean energy, corporate responsibility, and the financial mechanisms driving the energy transition. We were pleased to host: https://www.linkedin.com/in/thomas-byrne-b72ab524/Visit our website: https://insidersguidetoenergy.com/

In this episode of Current Account, Clay is joined by IIF's Andrés Portilla, Managing Director of Regulatory Affairs and Richard Gray, Director of Prudential Policy, to revisit the topic of Basel III implementation. The podcast covers how the United States Federal Reserve may look to repropose implementing Basel III, what metrics are being suggested in the reproposal process, the shifting implementation timeline, thinking of how other jurisdictions may monitor the Federal Reserve's process, the impact of the 2024 U.S. Presidential elections on impending steps and more. For more information on Basel III, tune in to Episode 55: "Can We Make a Discussion about Basel Capital Accords Interesting?" where Clay, Andrés and Richard analyze the Basel III Endgame.

On today's episode, Editor in Chief Sarah Wheeler talks with Bob Broeksmit, the president and CEO of the Mortgage Bankers Association, about the latest news for independent mortgage banks regarding the election, updates to the HUD 203k program, Basel III re-proposal wins and more. Broeksmit will be a featured speaker at HousingWire's IMB Summit on Oct. 1. Related to this episode: IMB Summit ‘Common sense has prevailed' as Basel Endgame proposal will be revised HousingWire | YouTube More info about HousingWire Enjoy the episode! The HousingWire Daily podcast examines the most compelling articles reported across HW Media. Each morning, we provide our listeners with a deeper look into the stories coming across our newsrooms that are helping Move Markets Forward. Hosted and produced by the HW Media team. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The tax credit equity market is affected by a variety of factors'and several looming factors could create upward or downward pressure on the pricing for low-income housing tax credits (LIHTCs), new markets tax credits (NMTCs), historic tax credits (HTCs) and clean energy tax credits. In this week's Tax Credit Tuesday podcast'the second of a two-part series'Michael Novogradac, CPA, discusses the issues that could affect equity pricing with three Novogradac partners: Brad Elphick, CPA; Tony Grappone, CPA; and Dirk Wallace, CPA. They begin by looking at how proposed Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) regulations might impact their respective credits, then look at the Basel III and Global Minimum Tax proposals and how they could affect tax credit equity markets. After that, they examine generally accepted accounting procedure (GAAP) regulations, as well as how proposed legislation could impact the markets and wrap up with what proposed tax law changes would have the greatest positive effect in the areas in which they work.

Rep. Andy Barr, the chair of the House financial institutions subcommittee, discusses why he should lead Republicans on the Financial Services Committee next year. He offers a preview of his agenda, including pushing legislation that would prevent banks from denying legal businesses access to financial services and why large institutions are suddenly supporting it. He also details what changes regulators should make in new Basel III capital rules, how regulatory reform for banks could happen, and why M&A approval rules should be revamped.

Pete Schroeder, who covers financial regulation and policy for Reuters, breaks down why federal banking agencies are split on how to finalize new capital rules and explains how policymakers are reacting to a nominee for FDIC chair.

Banks in the US are locked in a bitter fight with regulators. It's all about a proposed set of rules with an unusual name, Basel III Endgame. Regulators say the rules will help avoid future banking crises. Banks say they're overkill and could hurt everyday Americans. The FT's US banking editor Joshua Franklin explains how the industry is pushing back.Clips from Bloomberg, CNBC- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - For further reading:The US pushback against ‘Basel Endgame'The bank argument on the Basel III endgame is bunkEU to delay Basel bank trading reforms as US revisits plans- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - On X, follow Joshua Franklin (@FTJFranklin) and Michela Tindera (@mtindera07), or follow Michela on LinkedIn for updates about the show and more. Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

With cooling inflation and an expected drop for mortgage rates, will more affordable housing lead to a big spike in sales? Our Co-Heads of Securitized Product Research take stock of the US housing market. ----- Transcript -----Jay Bacow: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Jay Bacow, co-head of Securitized Products Research at Morgan Stanley.James Egan: And I'm Jim Egan, the other co-head of Securitized Products Research at Morgan Stanley.Jay Bacow: And on this episode of the podcast, we'll discuss our outlook for mortgage rates and the housing market over the next 12 months.It's Thursday, May 23rd, at 1pm in New York.James Egan: Jay, I want to talk about mortgage rates. From November through January, mortgage rates decreased over 120 basis points. But then from February to May, they've given back more than half of that decline. Where are mortgage rates headed from here?Jay Bacow: So, day to day, week to week, it's hard to have a lot of conviction, a lot of things can happen. But, over the next 12 months, we think mortgage rates are coming down. We estimate that by summer 2025, the 30-year fixed rate mortgage will be roughly 6.25 per cent.James Egan: Alright, that is a significant amount lower than about 7 per cent where we are right now. And that's good news for affordability in the US housing market. What gets us there?Jay Bacow: We think inflation is going to cool, and our economists are forecasting that the Fed is going to cut their policy rate by 75 basis points this year and 100 basis points next year. In fact, our economists are forecasting eight of the G10 central banks to cut rates next year.Now, mortgage rates are 30 year fixed rate products, so they're based more on where the longer end of the treasury curve is than the front end. But our rate strategists think ten year notes are going to rally to 375 by next summer.When you combine all of that with our expectation for secondary mortgage rates to tighten versus treasuries, that's how we end up with that forecast for the primary rate to rally.James Egan: All right, I want to dig in there. I really like how you highlighted the secondary mortgage rates tightening versus treasuries. One thing I know that we've both gotten a lot of questions on over the course of the past year plus is how wide mortgages are trading versus treasuries right now. So, what do you think drives that tightening basis?Jay Bacow: There's a lot of factors -- but in end, two of them that are always going to drive things are supply and demand. One of the interesting things is that while housing activity has picked up, we're near the decade high in the percentage of homes that are bought with all cash, which means that the supply of mortgages to the market is actually not that high.On the demand front, we think you're going to get demand from a broad spread of investors. We think there's been some money manager supported inflows into the mortgage market. We think that as the Fed cuts rates and you get the Basel III endgame resolution, domestic banks are going to come back to the market as they get more regulatory clarity.And then also as the Fed cuts rates, that means that FX (foreign exchange) hedging costs for overseas investors will be improved and so you think Japanese life insurance companies can go back to the market and we think there's going to be continued demand from Chinese commercial banks. But, if you get all of this support, then as mortgage rates come down, that should be good news on the affordability front in the housing market, right Jim?James Egan: Exactly. When we combine that decrease in mortgage rates with what our US economics team is saying will be about mid-single digit growth in nominal incomes, we get an improvement in affordability over the next 12 months that we've only seen a handful of times over the past 30 years.Jay Bacow: Now this six and a quarter forecast is certainly good news versus spot rates. It's almost two per cent below the peaks we saw last year, but I don't really think it solves the lock-in effect that we've discussed on this podcast previously.Close to 80 per cent of homeowners have a mortgage rate below 5 per cent. So, they're still out of the money versus our expectations for our mortgage rates going next year.James Egan: Right, and we think that's a very important point. You made the point earlier about thinking about supply and demand with respect to mortgage rates versus treasuries, and we're going to talk about it here in the housing market. We have to think about affordability improvement in terms of both that supply and demand piece.If we look back towards the start of this year, I'd say that demand increased a little bit faster, a little bit stronger than we thought. Typically, when you see sharp improvements in affordability, it doesn't always lead to immediate increases in sales volumes. However, what we saw from November to January seemed to be a little bit quicker to stir animal spirits, perhaps because of how healthy this improvement in affordability was. Home prices were still climbing. Mortgage rates weren't even coming down because the Fed was cutting; it was because of market expectations for future fed cuts in a soft landing environment. But on the supply side, while we expect for sale listing volumes to increase as rates come down, they aren't going to race higher because of that lock-in dynamic that you just described.Jay Bacow: So, Jim, you think more people will list their homes; but what will actually happen to sales volumes? Will people buy them?James Egan: Right. So, I think we have to delineate between existing home sales and new home sales here. Yes, we think existing listings are going to increase on the margins. New home inventory has already increased.Historically, new homes make up about 10 to 20 per cent of the for-sale inventory on a monthly basis. Right now, they're between 30 and 35 per cent, and that's been the case for a little while. So, when we think about our forecasts for sales volumes, we're confident that new home sales will increase more than existing home sales. And that that growth in new home sales will spur single unit starts to increase more than both of them. Our specific spot forecasts, 10 per cent growth in new home sales, 5 per cent growth in existing home sales, with single unit starts edging out a double digit return of about 15 per cent growth. Jay Bacow: Do you have specific spot forecasts for home prices as well? James Egan: We do. As supply increases, the pace of home price growth should slow from where it is right now. It's been accelerating for the past several months, but the absolute level of supply is still pretty tight. We're at 3.8 months of supply as we're recording this podcast. Any reading below 6 is really associated with home price growth, not just today, but at least over the course of the next 6 months -- and we're well below 6 months of inventory.Right now, home prices are growing at about 6.5 per cent. We think they're growing to slow to about 2 per cent by the end of 2024, before accelerating to 3 per cent in 2025. So, while growing inventory leads to deceleration, tight inventory keeps home price appreciation positive.Jay Bacow: Alright so, home sale activity is going to pick up. It's going to be led by starts, which we think will be up 15 percent and more new home sales than existing home sales. There's new home sales up 10 per cent. Home prices we now think will end the year positive; up 2 per cent in 2024 and up 3 per cent in 2025.Jim, always a pleasure talking.James Egan: Great speaking with you, Jay.Jay Bacow: And thank you for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share the podcast with a friend or colleague today.

Andrew Ackerman, a financial services reporter for the Wall Street Journal, discusses what happens next after FDIC Chair Martin Gruenberg's surprise announcement that he will resign upon confirmation of a successor. Ackerman also details how regulators plan to dial back the Basel III Endgame proposal, and talks about the CFPB's future after the Supreme Court upheld its funding structure.

Scott takes a look at Tesla's new shareholder vote and speaks with Charles Elson, Founding Director of the Weinberg Center for Corporate Governance at the University of Delaware, about the original ruling on Elon's pay package and whether the superstar CEO will get his way this time around. Then Scott and Ed break down the latest big bank earnings and discuss “Basel III endgame,” a proposal for stricter capital requirements at banks following last year's banking crisis. Order "The Algebra of Wealth" out April 23rd Subscribe to No Mercy / No Malice Follow the podcast across socials @profgpod: Instagram Threads X Reddit Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The perspective from our recent European Financials Conference looked positive for UK markets, loan demand and M&A activity. Our European heads of Diversified Financials and Banks Research discuss.----- Transcript -----Bruce Hamilton: Welcome to thoughts on the Market. I'm Bruce Hamilton, head of European Diversified Financials Research.Alvaro Serrano: And I'm Alvaro Serrano, head of European Banks Research.Bruce Hamilton: And on this episode of the podcast, we'll discuss some of the key takeaways from Morgan Stanley's just concluded 20th European Financials Conference. It's Thursday, March 21st at 3 pm in London.Alvaro, we were both at the European Financials Conference in London. More than 100 companies attended the event. 95 percent of the attendees were from CE level management. There was a lot to take in.Investor sentiment heading into the conference seemed noticeably more upbeat than last year's, thanks in part to stronger-for-longer net interest income (NII), an M&A cycle that is heating up, attractive capital returns, and increasing activity in private markets.Now you were the conference chair, Alvaro. And you have a unique overview of this event. What's, in your view, the single most important takeaway?Alvaro Serrano: Thanks, Bruce. Look, I think for me that if I had to summarize in two words is ‘risk on.' I think the tone of the conference has been positive almost across the board. The lower rate outlook has increased market confidence. And corporates were pointing that out. They've seen stronger activity, so far this year, in many product lines. They've called out loan demand being stronger. They've called out debt capital market activity being stronger. They've announced M&A -- we know is up strongly and asset management inflows are up strong as well. So yes, a strong start to the year - confidence is back, and I would summarize it as risk on.Bruce Hamilton: Got it. And in terms of the other key themes and debates that emerged from company presentations at the conference.Alvaro Serrano: Yeah, look, I think the main themes following up from what I was saying earlier are: First of all, I would say leadership change. Within the sector, we've been calling for leadership change in our outlook. And I think what we heard at the conference supports this. So, given market activities coming back, I think a lot of investors were more keen to look for more resilient revenue models; maybe less peripheral banks, less NII retail-centric banks. And looking for more fee growth that could benefit from that market recovery.The second point I would point out is UK. There's definitely a change in sentiment around the UK in the polling questions. It came out as a preferred region, and I think what's behind that preference is that we're seeing an inflection point in NII.And I think the third and final theme for me is investment banking and wealth recovery. Look, wealth may not recover already in Q1. But as this confidence builds up, we definitely expect inflows to pick up in the second half, both in quantity and margin.Bruce Hamilton: So, based on your own work and what you heard at the conference, what's your overall view on the financial sector and what drives that from here?Alvaro Serrano: We continue positive the sector. Look, the valuation is depressed. The multiples, the PE multiples on six times. Historically, it's been much closer to double-digit. We think, recovering PMIs should help re-rate that multiple. And while we do wait for those PMIs to recover, you're being paid 11 per cent yield between dividends and buybacks.I think the confidence build up that we're seeing in the tone of the conference suggests an early indicator of those PMIs recovering, if you ask me. And then in the panels, we've had plenty of discussions around asset quality. Obviously, commercial real estate exposure is a big theme. But we think it's a manageable problem. It's less than 5 per cent of the loan books, within that office is less than a third. And within that US office spaces is a fraction. So overall, we think it's a manageable problem and our highest single conviction in the sectors that the yields are sustainable and resilient.So, with a strong valuation underpin, we continue, positive of the sector.Bruce, why don't I turn it over to you? Given your focus on private markets, exchanges, and asset management sub-sectors within diversified financials, can you talk us through private markets and deal activity space?Bruce Hamilton: Yeah, our fireside chats with panels, and with private market management teams, saw more optimistic commentary on capital markets activity. And similarly fundraising improvements are expected to be closely linked to cash flows from exit activity flowing back to institutional clients, who can then reallocate to new funds.So there's a little delay. But overall, the direction of travel clearly feels positive and pointed to a reacceleration in the private markets' flywheel in due course, which has been, of course, the rationale behind the more positive view we have taken on this subsector since our outlook piece in November last year.Alvaro Serrano: AI is obviously a dominant theme across sectors and industries globally. Also, by the way, a frequent topic in the discussion of this podcast. Can you give us an update on AI and its implications for wealth and asset management?Bruce Hamilton: Sure. I mean, our discussions with asset management CEOs highlighted the transformative potential of AI, as they see it as a source of significant efficiency potential across the value chain. From sales and marketing, through investments and research, to middle and back office -- in areas such as report writing, research synthesis and client servicing. The benefits of starting early, with leaders having been working on this for 12 months or more, seems clear given the need to manage risks, for example, ensuring data quality to avoid hallucinations.One asset management CEO indicated that his firm had identified 85 use cases, with 35 already in production. The initial opportunities for asset managers were seen as principally in driving cost efficiencies; though in wealth management a greater revenue potential we think exists given the scope to improve the effectiveness of wealth advisors in targeting and servicing clients.Exchanges also noted scope for AI to both support revenue momentum. For example, via chatbots, assisting clients in accessing data more effectively. And in driving efficiency in report writing, as well as in costs. So, think about scope to drive efficiencies in areas such as client servicing and data ingestion and organization where large language models (LLMs) are already driving efficiency gains for employees.Alvaro Serrano: Finally, let's talk about private credit, another big theme. What did you hear, at the conference around the growth of private credit? And what's your outlook from here?Bruce Hamilton: Sure. So, the players were positive on the potential for growth in private credit from here. In the near-term deployment opportunities probably look stronger in the private credit space relative to private equity, where some differences in buyer-seller expectations is still acting as a bit of a constraint. There are opportunities given bank retrenchments, even if the Basel III endgame is expected to be less negative than initial draft proposals. And the appetite from insurance -- institutional, as well as retail clients for the diversification benefits and attractive yields on offer -- remains pretty significant.Both private market specialists and traditional asset managers continue to explore ways to extend their capabilities in the space, with some adopting an organic approach and others looking to accelerate scaling via M&A.We expect that as we look forward, that some recovery in the bank's syndicated lending markets is likely to reduce the record market share enjoyed by private credit in private equity deals last year. However, we think a more vibrant overall deal environment is likely to drive opportunities for both bank syndicated and private credit looking forward.The democratization theme with wealth clients increasing allocations to private markets remains an additional powerful growth theme as we look forward; both for private credit providers, as well as players active in private equity infrastructure and real estate.I'm sure there'll be lots more to unpack from the conference in the near future. Let's wrap it up for this episode. Alvaro, thanks a lot for taking the time to talk.Alvaro Serrano: Great speaking with you, Bruce.Bruce Hamilton: And thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share the podcast with a friend or colleague today.