Podcasts about Grilo

Ressentimento não é algo fácil de lidar. Já teve um conflito com alguém que foi difícil de engolir e isso mudou a forma como você age com ela? O pior: também há a possibilidade do ressentimento surgir por algo que é sobre você, nem é pela atitude de alguém. Para falar sobre isso, estou com Bela Reis, dos podcasts Angu de Grilo e Conselhos que Você Pediu. --------- PRA FICAR MELHOR SÉRIE: As Pequenas Coisas da Vida SÉRIE: Succession LIVRO: Tudo Sobre Amor, de Bell Hooks LIVRO: Por que gritamos, de Elisama Santos --------- SIGA A GENTE NAS REDES SOCIAIS! Twitter: @estamosbempod | Instagram: @podcastestamosbem Bárbara dos Anjos: @dabarbara (Instagram) | @dabarbara (Twitter) Bela Reis: @belareis --------- COLABORE COM O PODCAST PELO APOIA.SE! No Apoia.se do Estamos Bem? você pode contribuir com nosso podcast e ganha acesso ao grupo do Telegram e até assistir à gravação. Bora? Acesse https://apoia.se/estamosbem --------- MANDE O SEU CASO PARA A GENTE! E-MAIL: podcastestamosbem@gmail.com

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Exploring Metaculus' community predictions, published by Vasco Grilo on March 24, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Summary I really like Metaculus! I have collected and analysed in this Sheet metrics about Metaculus' questions outside of question groups, and their Metaculus' community predictions (see tab “TOC”). The Colab to extract the data and calculate the metrics is here. The mean metrics vary a lot across categories, and the same is seemingly true for correlations among metrics. So one should not assume the performance across all questions is representative of that within each of Metaculus' categories. To illustrate: Across categories, the 5th and 95th percentiles of the mean normalised outcome are 0 and 0.784, and of the mean Brier score are 0.0369 and 0.450. For context, the Brier score is 0.25 (= 0.5^2) for the maximally uncertain probability of 0.5. According to Metaculus' track record page, the mean Brier score for Metaculus' community predictions evaluated at all times is 0.126 for all questions, but 0.237 for those about artificial intelligence. So Metaculus' community predictions about probabilities look good in general, but they perform close to random predictions for artificial intelligence. There can be significant differences between Metaculus community predictions and Metaculus' predictions. For instance, the mean Brier score of the latter for artificial intelligence is 0.168, which is way more accurate than the 0.237 of the former. According to my results, Metaculus' community predictions are: In general (i.e. considering all questions), less accurate for questions: Whose predictions are more extreme under Bayesian updating (correlation coefficient R = 0.346, and p-value p = 0). With a greater amount of updating (R = 0.262, and p = 0). With a greater difference between amount of updating and uncertainty reduction (R = 0.256, and p = 0). For the category of artificial intelligence, less accurate for questions with: Greater difference between amount of updating and uncertainty reduction (R = 0.361, and p = 0.0387). More predictions (R = 0.316, and p = 0.0729). A greater amount of updating (R = 0.282, and p = 0.111). Compatible with Bayesian updating in general, in the sense I failed to reject it during the 2nd half of the period during which each question was or has been open (mean p-value of 0.425). If you want to know how much to trust a given prediction from Metaculus, I think it is sensible to check Metaculus' track record for similar past questions (more here). Acknowledgements Thanks to Charles Dillon, Misha Yagudin from Arb Research, and Peter Mühlbacher and Ryan Beck from Metaculus. Dark crystall ball in a bright foggy galaxy. Generated by OpenAI's DALL-E. Introduction I really like Metaculus! Methods I believe it would be important to better understand how much to trust Metaculus' predictions. To that end, I have determined in this Sheet (see tab “TOC”) metrics about all Metaculus' questions outside of question groups with an ID from 1 to 15000 on 13 March 2023, and their Metaculus' community predictions. The metrics for each question are: Tags, which identify the Metaculus' category. Publish time (year). Close time (year). Resolve time (year). Time from publish to close (year). Time from close to resolve (year). Time from publish to resolve (year). Number of forecasters. Number of predictions. Number of analysed dates, which is the number of instances at which the predictions were assessed. Total belief movement, which is a measure of the amount of updating, and is the sum of the belief movements, which are the squared differences between 2 consecutive beliefs. The values of the beliefs range from 0 to 1, and can respect a: Probability. Ratio between an expectation and difference between the maximum and minimum allowed by Metaculus. T...

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Scale of the welfare of various animal populations, published by Vasco Grilo on March 19, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Summary I Fermi-estimated the scale of the welfare of various animal populations from the relative intensity of their experiences, moral weight, and population size. Based on my results, I would be very surprised if the scale of the welfare of: Wild animals ended up being smaller than that of farmed animals. Farmed animals turned out to be smaller than that of humans. Introduction If it is worth doing, it is worth doing with made-up statistics? Methods I Fermi-estimated the scale of the welfare of various animal populations from the absolute value of the expected total hedonistic utility (ETHU). I computed this from the product between: Intensity of the mean experience as a fraction of that of the worst possible experience. Mean moral weight. Population size. The data and calculations are here. Intensity of experience I defined the intensity of the mean experience as a fraction of that of the worst possible experience based on the types of pain defined by the Welfare Footprint Project (WFP) here (search for “definitions”). I assumed: The following correspondence between the various types of pain (I encourage you to check this post from algekalipso, and this from Ren Springlea to get a sense of why I think the intensity can vary so much): Excruciating pain, which I consider the worst possible experience, is 1 k times as bad as disabling pain. Disabling pain is 100 times as bad as hurtful pain, which together with the above implies excruciating pain being 100 k times as bad as hurtful pain. Hurtful pain is 10 times as bad as annoying pain, which together with the above implies excruciating pain being 1 M times as bad as annoying pain. The intensity of the mean experience of: Farmed animal populations is as high as that of broiler chickens in reformed scenarios. I assessed this from the time broilers experience each type of pain according to these data from WFP (search for “pain-tracks”), and supposing: The rest of their time is neutral. Their lifespan is 42 days, in agreement with section “Conventional and Reformed Scenarios” of Chapter 1 of Quantifying pain in broiler chickens by Cynthia Schuck-Paim and Wladimir Alonso. Humans and other non-farmed animal populations is as high as 2/3 of that of hurtful pain. 2/3 (= 16/24) such that 1 day (24 h) of such intensity is equivalent to 16 h spent in hurtful pain plus 8 h in neutral sleeping. Ideally, I would have used empirical data for the animal populations besides farmed chickens too. However, I do not think they are readily available, so I had to make some assumptions. In general, I believe the sign of the mean experience is: For farmed animal populations, negative, judging from the research of WFP on chickens. For humans, positive (see here). For other non-farmed animal populations, positive or negative (see this preprint from Heather Browning and Walter Weit). Moral weight I defined the mean moral weight from Rethink Priorities' median estimates for mature individuals provided here by Bob Fischer. For the populations I studied with animals of different species, I used those of: For wild mammals, pigs. For farmed fish, salmon. For wild fish, salmon. For farmed insects, silkworms. For wild terrestrial arthropods, silkworms. For farmed crayfish, crabs and lobsters, mean between crayfish and crabs. For farmed shrimps and prawns, shrimps. For wild marine arthropods, silkworms. For nematodes, silkworms multiplied by 0.1. Population size I defined the population size from: For humans, these data from Our World in Data (OWID) (for 2021). For wild mammals, the mean of the lower and upper bounds provided in section 3.1.5.2 of Carlier 2020. For farmed chickens and pigs, these data from OWID (for 2014). F...

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Counterproductive Altruism: The Other Heavy Tail, published by Vasco Grilo on March 1, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum. This is a linkpost to the article Counterproductive Altruism: The Other Heavy Tail from Daniel Kokotajlo and Alexandra Oprea. Some excerpts are below. I also include a section at the end with some hot takes regarding possibly counterproductive altruism. Abstract First, we argue that the appeal of effective altruism (henceforth, EA) depends significantly on a certain empirical premise we call the Heavy Tail Hypothesis (HTH), which characterizes the probability distribution of opportunities for doing good. Roughly, the HTH implies that the best causes, interventions, or charities produce orders of magnitude greater good than the average ones, constituting a substantial portion of the total amount of good caused by altruistic interventions. Next, we canvass arguments EAs have given for the existence of a positive (or “right”) heavy tail and argue that they can also apply in support of a negative (or “left”) heavy tail where counterproductive interventions do orders of magnitude more harm than ineffective or moderately harmful ones. Incorporating the other heavy tail of the distribution has important implications for the core activities of EA: effectiveness research, cause prioritization, and the assessment of altruistic interventions. It also informs the debate surrounding the institutional critique of EA. IV Implications of the Heavy Right Tail for Altruism Assume that the probability distribution of charitable interventions has a heavy-right tail (for example, like the power law described in the previous section). This means that your expectation about a possible new or unassessed charitable intervention should include the large values described above with a relatively high probability. It also means that existing charitable interventions whose effectiveness is known (or estimated with a high degree of certainty) will include interventions differing in effectiveness by orders of magnitude. We contend that this assumption justifies well-known aspects of EA practice such as (1) effectiveness research and cause prioritization, (2) “hits-based-giving,” and (3) skepticism about historical averages. V Implications of the Heavy Left Tail for Altruism What if the probability distribution of altruistic interventions includes both a left and a right heavy tail? In this case, we cannot assume either that (1) one's altruistic interventions are expected to have at worst a value of zero (i.e. to be bounded on the left side) or (2) that the probability that a charitable intervention is counterproductive or harmful approaches zero very rapidly. Downside Risk Research Many catastrophic interventions — whether altruistic or not — generate large amounts of (intentional or unintentional) harm. When someone in the world is engaging in an intervention that is likely to end up in the heavy left tail, there is a corresponding opportunity for us to do good by preventing them. This would itself represent an altruistic intervention in the heavy right tail (i.e. one responsible for enormous benefits). The existence of the heavy-left tail therefore provides even stronger justification for the prioritization research preferred by EAs. Assessing Types of Interventions Requires Both Tails Another conclusion we draw from the revised HTH is that the value of a class of interventions should be estimated by considering the worst as well as the best. Following such analysis, a class of interventions could turn out to be net-negative even if there are some very prominent positive examples and indeed even if almost all examples are positive. This sharply contradicts MacAskill's earlier claim that the value of a class of interventions can be approximated by the value of its best membe...

Boa terça, angulers! Abrimos o #171 comentado os lamentáveis casos de racismo contra o jogador do Real Madrid, Vinicius Jr. Os episódios criminosos extrapolaram na brutalidade e fundamentalismo. Depois, o assassinato de mais um jovem negro nos EUA em abordagem policial. Tyre Nichols morreu após ser espancado por cinco policiais negros. Por fim, a exposição do IMS que propõe revisão na própria narrativa sobre povos indígenas e outras dicas culturais. Sirva-se! Edição e mixagem: Tico Pro - Laranja Preta Produtora - Indicações do #170: - "Luto em Memphis", de Dorrit Harazim: glo.bo/3Y5O0Pz - Xingu: Contatos, no IMS Paulista (exposição): bit.ly/3XVicwv - Levantamento da SUMAÚMA sobre morte de crianças Yanomamis: bit.ly/3wssYy8 - O avesso da pele, de Jeferson Tenório (livro) - EcoVilla RiHappy: ecovillarihappy.com.br - Comunidade do Angu de Grilo no twitter: bit.ly/3Zil5J3

Boa terça, angulers! Abrimos o #169 com o documento golpista encontrado na casa do ex-Ministro da Justiça, Anderson Torres, e sua prisão, no último sábado (14). Depois, o rombo de 40 bilhões nas contas da Americanas e suas possíveis consequências. Sufoco! Por fim, Flávia escolheu sua palavra do ano e divide suas metas para 2023. Sirva-se! Edição e Mixagem: Tico Pro - Laranja Preta Produtora - Indicações do #169: - Comunidade do Angu de Grilo no twitter: bit.ly/3Zil5J3 - "Do discurso violento ao terrorismo: um relato exclusivo de 2 meses dentro do acampamento de bolsonaristas golpistas em Brasília" (G1 DF): http://glo.bo/3HaVUAY - "Meus pais foram presos em Brasília. Fiz tudo o que podia para ajudá-los" (TAB UOL): https://bit.ly/3ZE80tE - Visita, Presidente (documentário Globoplay)

Boa terça, angulers! A semana começou agitada com os atos golpistas em Brasília, no último domingo. No #168, tratamos da tentativa de bolsonaristas de desestabilizar a ordem democrática e as instituições. Falharam, mas não sem danos. Comentamos a destruição nos prédios dos três poderes e de obras de arte de valor artístico inestimável. Por fim, as consequências dos atos se desdobraram de prisões dos terroristas à intervenção federal e afastamento do governador do Distrito Federal. Seríssimo. Sirva-se!  Especialmente neste episódio, edição de Isabela Reis - Indicações do #168: - Twitter @PrintsMinions que reúne prints de grupos bolsonaristas: twitter.com/printsminions - Íntegra da decisão de Alexandre de Moraes: https://bit.ly/3IxXzSj - E-mail do Ministério da Justiça para denúncia e informações sobre os terroristas: denuncia@mj.gov.br - Comunidade do Angu de Grilo no twitter: https://bit.ly/3Zil5J3

Ex-ministros Marçal Grilo e Carmona Rodrigues defendem uma reflexão por parte do Governo e do Presidente da República. "Eu não sei se as demissões já acabaram por aqui", diz António Carmona Rodrigues.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

A Rádio Cruz de Malta, fundada em 1946, é uma das emissoras mais antigas do estado. Ao longo dos seus 76 anos de existência, dezenas de pessoas, empresas e entidades estiveram no comando. Desde o ano 2000, a família Librelato está na administração da emissora. Agora a emissora foi alugada pelo empresário Carlo Alberto Mendonça, o Grilo, e a partir de 1º de janeiro de 2023, passa a gerenciar o negócio. A informação do arrendamento da emissora já circulava há alguns dias de forma extra-oficial pela cidade. Nesta quinta-feira (22), em respeito aos anunciantes e ouvintes, o aluguel foi confirmado. Durante entrevista ao Cruz de Malta Notícias, Grilo destacou que a priori, não serão realizadas mudanças. Seja na equipe de profissionais ou na grade de programação. O novo diretor também ressaltou que a linha de atuação da emissora também não irá mudar, a rádio continuará a serviço da população. “Aqui tem que ter uma neutralidade, o microfone é para todos. Mas eu também não pouparei nenhuma crítica se algo de errado acontecer”, comentou Grilo.

Vento da Liberdade

Dr. Rebecca Price (University of Pittsburgh) discusses a novel, computer-based intervention designed to extend the antidepressant effects of a single dose of ketamine. Afterwards, AJP Editor-in-Chief Dr. Ned Kalin discusses the rest of the December issue and what draws it together. Price interview [00:40] What does the computer-based intervention consist of? [03:55] Comparator arms [05:25] Are there immediate clinical implications? [08:04] Limitations [10:19] Further research [12:17] Kalin interview [14:02] Price et al. [14:28] Santos et al. [17:28] Grilo et al. [19:43] Solmi et al.v [22:51] Lam et al. [25:01] Transcript Be sure to let your colleagues know about the podcast, and please rate and review it on Apple Podcasts, Google Podcasts, Stitcher, Spotify, or wherever you listen to it. Subscribe to the podcast here. Listen to other podcasts produced by the American Psychiatric Association. Browse articles online. How authors may submit their work. Follow the journals of APA Publishing on Twitter. E-mail us at ajp@psych.org

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Cost-effectiveness of operations management in high-impact organisations, published by Vasco Grilo on November 27, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Summary Following up on the challenge to quantify the impact of 80,000 hours' top career paths introduced by Nuño Sempere, I have estimated the cost-effectiveness of operations management in high-impact organisations (OM), which arguably include 80,000 Hours' top-recommended organisations. The results for the mean cost-effectiveness of various metrics in bp/G$ in terms of existential risk reduction are summarised in the table below for my preferred method. I present all results with 3 digits, but I think their resilience is such that they only represent order of magnitude estimates (i.e. they may well be wrong by a factor of 10^0.5 = 3). Mean cost-effectiveness (bp/G$) of.Global health and developmentLongtermism and catastrophic risk preventionAnimal welfareEffective altruism infrastructureThe effective altruism communityOperations management in high-impact organisations Method 3 with truncation 0.431 3.95 1.62 3.20 1.55 7.01 Acknowledgements Thanks to Abraham Rowe, Dan Hendrycks, Luke Freeman, Matt Lerner, Nuño Sempere, Sawyer Bernath, Stien van der Ploeg, and Tamay Besiroglu. Methods I estimated the cost-effectiveness from the product between: The cost-effectiveness of the high-impact organisations, which I assumed equal to that of the effective altruism community. The multiplier of OM, which I defined as the ratio between the cost-effectiveness of OM and the high-impact organisations. This method assumes the cost-effectiveness distribution of the high-impact organisations is represented by the one theorised for the effective altruism community in the next section. Moreover, the cost-effectiveness estimates are only accurate to the extent that future opportunities are as valuable as recent ones. The calculations are in this Colab. Cost-effectiveness of the effective altruism community I calculated the cost-effectiveness of the effective altruism community from the mean cost-effectiveness weighted by cumulative spending between 1 January 2020 and 15 August 2022 of 4 cause areas: Global health and development. Longtermism and catastrophic risk prevention. Animal welfare. Effective altruism infrastructure. These are the areas for which Tyler Maule collected data here (see EA Forum post here). I adjusted the 2020 and 2021 values for inflation using the calculator from in2013dollars. I computed the cost-effectiveness of each area using 3 methods. All rely on distributions which are either truncated to the 99 % confidence interval (CI) or not truncated, in order to understand the effect of outliers. The parameters of the pre-truncation distributions, which are the final distributions for the non-truncation cases, are provided below. Method 1 I defined the cost-effectiveness of longtermism and catastrophic risk prevention as a truncated lognormal distribution with pre-truncation 5th and 95th percentiles equal to 1 and 10 bp/G$ in terms of existential risk reduction. These are the lower and upper bounds proposed here by Linchuan Zhang. I assumed the ratio between the cost-effectiveness of i) longtermism and catastrophic risk prevention and ii) global health and development to be a truncated lognormal distribution with pre-truncation 5th and 95th percentiles equal to 10 and 100. These are the lower and upper bounds guessed here by Benjamin Todd for the ratio between the cost-effectiveness of the Long-Term Future Fund (LTFF) and Global Health and Development Fund (search for “10-100x more cost-effective”). I considered the ratio between the cost-effectiveness of i) animal welfare and ii) global health and development to be a truncated lognormal distribution with pre-truncation 5th and 95th percentiles equal to 270 μ and 211....

Conversamos sobre preço, bear market e expectativas nesse sentido... Até que batemos em um assunto polêmico que dominou a LIVE até a sua conclusão: a importância da vigília constante dos repositórios das implementações do protocolo Bitcoin, em especial a Bitcoin Core. Impasses contribuem para a estabilidade no longo prazo. 00:00 Sala de espera 04:47 A Grande Resistência - A estória do Bitcoin video by tip_nz e traduzido by Imperativo Moral 10:55 Introdução - bloco 766438 12:47 Um milagre para quem está entrando no bitcoin agora ou apenas uma manipulação coordenada no seu preço? 16:32 Quanto tempo durará o Bear market e quais serão as novas surpresas do mercado após queda da FTX? 21:15 O próximo Halving do bitcoin como divisor de águas e criador de um novo mercado 22:08 A depressão do bitcoin conectado ao mercado financeiro global e a expectativa futura 28:36 A importância de fazer DCA - O que esperar do futuro no mercado de criptomoedas e bitcoin? 34:30 É perigoso ou tendencioso para a rede ter iniciativas e bolsas para desenvolvedores Bitcoin Core? 43:59 O que é a função full-rbf, como funciona e para quê serve? 51:15 Full-rbf: Incentivos, vantagens, desvantagens, dúvidas e instabilidade na rede 01:01:45 Interesses Lightning não podem afetar o Bitcoin Core e os riscos do full-rbf para a rede 01:06:18 Movimentos para mudar o núcleo do Bitcoin e as preocupações com o futuro da cultura Bitcoin 01:12:27 Quais são as chances da rede ser segregada por meio do full-rbf e os incentivos são semelhantes ao SegWit? 01:22:45 Quais deveriam ser as funções e preocupações dos desenvolvedores Bitcoin Core? 01:27:30 A importância do Bear market para o Bitcoin ________________ APOIE O CANAL https://bitcoinheiros.com/apoie/ ⚡ln@pay.bitcoinheiros.com Loja dos Bitcoinheiros https://loja.bitcoinheiros.com/ SIGA OS BITCOINHEIROS: Site: https://www.bitcoinheiros.com Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/bitcoinheiros Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/bitcoinheiros Allan - https://www.twitter.com/allanraicher Dov - https://twitter.com/bitdov Becas - https://twitter.com/bksbk6 Ivan - https://twitter.com/bitofsilence Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/bitcoinheiros Facebook: https://www.fb.com/bitcoinheiros Podcast: https://anchor.fm/bitcoinheiros COMO GUARDAR SEUS BITCOINS? Bitcoinheiros recomendam o uso de carteiras Multisig com Hardware Wallets de diferentes fabricantes ou próprias. Para ver as carteiras de hardware que recomendamos, acesse https://www.bitcoinheiros.com/carteiras Veja os descontos e clique nos links de afiliados para ajudar o canal Por exemplo, para a COLDCARD - https://store.coinkite.com/promo/bitcoinheiros Com o código "bitcoinheiros" você ganha 5% de desconto na ColdCard Playlist "Canivete Suíço Bitcoinheiro"

Muito se fala da possibilidade de ganhar satoshis roteando transações na lightning...mas quais são as reais oportunidades e os riscos presentes no momento? Receberemos os convidados Vilela e João Grilo para explorar o tema mais a fundo. 00:00 Sala de espera 08:22 The Great Resistance: The Story of Bitcoin video by @tip_nz 14:16 Introdução - bloco 761436 15:19 Dia 8 de Novembro terá o Satsconf - Uma boa porta de entrada para quem caiu na toca do coelho Bitcoin 18:22 vinteum.org: Capacitando construtores de Bitcoin de código aberto no Brasil - Uma boa forma de aprender sobre desenvolvimento no Bitcoin de forma online 21:16 O processo contínuo de aprender sobre Bitcoin e a curiosidade existente na comunidade 23:47 É possível eu faturar satoshis roteando transações Lightning sem fazer gerenciamento de canais e automatizado? 30:41 As dificuldades de montar estratégias na Lightning e a velocidade de mudança na rede 32:40 Está sendo criado uma teoria econômica por trás da Lightning? 33:40 Quão lucrativo são os roteamentos na rede Lightning e quais são os seus riscos? 39:00 O modelo de @zerofeerouting para criar canais Lightning com taxa zero - As taxas continuarão existindo na rede a longo prazo? 44:15 Quais são as diferenças na estrutura de um canal pequeno e comum para um grande e profissional na rede Lightning? 49:23 Vale à pena e como fazer um balanceamento automatizado no meu canal Lightning? 53:19 Qual é o perfil de usuários interessados na Lightning e quais são suas motivações? 01:01:44 Bugs novos que aconteceram na Lightning, suas resoluções e o futuro da rede 01:07:58 Amboss.space: Navegador e explorador Lightning Network e a função para adicionar informações sobre seu node 01:10:30 As utilidades e a motivação, funcionamento e repercussão da nova função do explorador Lightning Amboss 01:31:50 Satsconf está chegando, não perca o evento feito para bitcoinheiros em São Paulo 01:33:17 Cuidados e dicas para ter ao rodar um node Bitcoin e Lightning 01:35:30 Eu preciso ter 1 bitcoin para ter retorno com roteamento Lightning? 01:36:16 É possível ter um node Lightning 100% Cold? 01:38:56 Nodes Lightning como experimentos para valores baixos e poupança feita no Core? 01:39:40 Como entrar em contato com Vilela para aprender mais sobre Bitcoin e Lightning? 01:40:42 Qual node Lightning para Ubuntu é o melhor: Umbrel ou Citadel? 01:44:27 Dinheiro bom não pode ser gratuito e tem que ser PoW? 01:45:37 Como ter mais controle sobre meu node Lightning para proteger de ataques? ________________ APOIE O CANAL https://bitcoinheiros.com/apoie/ ⚡ln@pay.bitcoinheiros.com Loja dos Bitcoinheiros https://loja.bitcoinheiros.com/ SIGA OS BITCOINHEIROS: Site: https://www.bitcoinheiros.com Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/bitcoinheiros Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/bitcoinheiros Allan - https://www.twitter.com/allanraicher Dov - https://twitter.com/bitdov Becas - https://twitter.com/bksbk6 Ivan - https://twitter.com/bitofsilence Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/bitcoinheiros Facebook: https://www.fb.com/bitcoinheiros Podcast:

Neste episódio do programa Rádio Ciência, o repórter Antonio Alex do curso Ciência da Computação, entrevista, Rafael Ribeiro Soares Araújo, Doutorando em biotecnologia pela Universidade Federal de Ouro Preto, a qual é autor da pesquisa “Qualidade Nutricional Biológica da Proteína da farinha do Grilo Preto (Gryllus Assimilis) e das Suplementações com Metionina e Farelo de Trigo.”. Ouça agora o Rádio Ciência e fique por dentro de todos os detalhes. SIGA A RÁDIO UFOP e SINTONIZE 103,05 Facebook.com/RadioUFOP Intagram.com/radio ufop YouTube.com/Radio UFOP

Última semana, angulers! Faltam poucos dias para o segundo turno! Abrimos o #158, comentando o domingo caótico com tiros de fuzil e granadas lançadas por Roberto Jefferson contra policiais federais. Depois, a reta final. O que podemos esperar da última semana de corrida eleitoral? Por fim, a economia finalmente apareceu na pauta eleitoral com a proposta de Paulo Guedes para reajuste do salário mínimo. Sirva-se! Edição e mixagem: Tico Pro - Laranja Preta Produtora - Indicações do #158: - Comunidade do Angu de Grilo no Twitter - Playlist com os sambas-enredo 2023 do Carnaval do RJ (Youtube) - Vale Tudo com Tim Maia (série no Globoplay) - Cinco dias no Hospital Memorial (serie na AppleTV+) - The Handmaid's Tale (série no Paramount+)

#Bitcoin #DTV #Podcast Chegou o novo podcast focado em Bitcoin (e, esporadicamente, algumas shitcoins, quando é preciso pôr o dedo na ferida) falado em língua portuguesa. Neste episódio temos um convidado muito especial, João Grilo, fundador do canal "21 Milhões" no YouTube. CONTRIBUIÇÕES PARA AJUDAR O PODCAST https://classic.coinos.io/dtv (Lightning Network) bc1pe4gtjc72rfd7957nulk8xgzfkk9hvv94a3yrujvmvlzfkn93causcun4l0 (Bitcoin) LINKS Website: https://fyoumoneypod.com/ Rumble: https://rumble.com/FYouMoneyPT Fountain: https://fountain.fm/show/K8Y5JQruNp7cAjpUuDi3 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/7atJjju3NGCtONJTZez2zz Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/f-you-money-em-portugues/id1606626713 Google Podcasts: https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9hbmNob3IuZm0vcy83ZjM2MGM5OC9wb2RjYXN0L3Jzcw Telegram group (English): https://t.me/FYouMoney Telegram group (português): https://t.me/FYouMoneyPT Twitter: @_Hugo_Ramos_ | @FYouMoneyPod Mastodon: @Silver_Surfer@bitcoinhackers.org Instagram: ssurfer_tuga Facebook group: https://www.facebook.com/groups/bitcoinfyoumoney LINK DE REPARAÇÃO HISTÓRICA https://www.youtube.com/c/BTREZE (Marcos Amaral "BTREZE") LINK ANCAPBIT https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCBfU-q1wMVbjCZrFscmciLA (LexLiber) LINKS DO CONVIDADO YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/21MilhõesPodcast Twitter: https://twitter.com/joaogrilobtc Substack: https://21milhoes.substack.com/ *O conteúdo deste canal não é informação financeira! Todas as decisões sobre como especular nos mercados devem ser tomadas pelo próprio com base na sua própria pesquisa!

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Longterm cost-effectiveness of Founders Pledge's Climate Change Fund, published by Vasco Grilo on September 14, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Summary This analysis estimates the cost-effectiveness of reducing existential risk via the Climate Change Fund (CCF) of Founders Pledge (FP) (see Methodology). The results were obtained with this Colab, and the key ones are summarised in the table below (for more, see Results and Discussion). Comments about how to interpret them are welcome. The cost-effectiveness bar for reducing existential risk (8 kt/$) is estimated to be 3 times as high as (an overestimate for?) the cost-effectiveness of CCF (2 kt/$) (see Discussion). This suggests the best interventions to fight climate change are not amongst the most effective ways of reducing existential risk. ResultMeanExistential risk due to climate change (bp)1.00Cumulative GHG emissions between 2020 and 2100 (Tt)3.76Existential risk reduction caused by removing GHG emissions (bp/Tt)0.273Cost-effectiveness of removing GHG emissions via CCF (t/$)2.34 kCost-effectiveness of CCF (bp/G$)0.640Cost-effectiveness bar for reducing existentiat risk (bp/G$)2.17Cost-effectiveness bar for removing GHG emissions (t/$)7.94 k Acknowledgements Thanks to Alexey Turchin, Anonymous, David Denkenberger, Johannes Ackva, Luke Kemp, and Nuño Sempere. Introduction Removing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions decreases heat-related deaths: Bressler 2021 estimated the 2020 mortality cost of carbon to be 2.2610^-4 life/t. However, most of the benefits of reducing GHG emissions respect the decrease in existential risk due to climate change. This analysis estimates the existential risk reduction caused by removing GHG emissions, and the cost-effectiveness of CCF, which is compared with an estimate for the cost-effectiveness bar for reducing existential risk. Nonetheless, it should be noted that, according to this comment from Johannes Ackva: The goal of the Climate [Change] Fund is to optimize spending that is not cause-neutral, to have as big as possible a positive impact given constraints, it is not intended or marketed as "the top bet on reducing existential risk" and we are careful to not crowd in resources that would otherwise go to areas we think of as higher marginal priority. I encourage the readers to check this comment from Matt Lerner, FP's research director, to better understand FP's mission: To be absolutely clear, FP's goal is to do the maximum possible amount of good, and to do so in a cause-neutral way. Methodology The (marginal) cost-effectiveness of CCF was estimated from the product between: The existential risk reduction caused by removing GHG emissions, which was estimated from the ratio between: The existential risk due to climate change. The cumulative GHG emissions between 2020 and 2100 assuming current climate policies. The cost-effectiveness of removing GHG emissions via CCF, which was estimated from: The reciprocal of the cost to remove GHG emissions via CCF. The assumption regarding the cumulative GHG emissions is consistent with the current Metaculus' cummunity prediction of 2.6 ºC for how much greater (in ˚C) will the average global temperature in 2100 be than the average global temperature in 1880. According to the Climate Action Tracker (CAT), current climate policies are predicted to result in a global warming between 2.5 ºC and 2.9 ºC (interval which contains 2.6 ºC). The modelling of the cumulative GHG emissions would ideally consider more scenarios. Existential risk due to climate change The existential risk due to climate change was modelled as a beta distribution with: Mean equal to 0.01 %, which was determined from the geometric mean between: The 0.1 % guessed by Toby Ord in The Precipice for the next 100 years (2021 to 2120). The upper bound of 0.01 % guessed by 80,000 ...

Nasceu em Jaguaruna, mas cresceu e viveu boa parte da vida em Criciúma. Filho de comerciantes, com o passar dos anos, o pai tornou-se representante comercial, ofício que desempenhou por 32 anos. Seguindo o exemplo do pai, assumiu o negócio da família e deu sequência ao trabalho de representante comercial da marca alemã Telefunken, rádios, televisores e componentes eletrotécnicos. Nesse cargo, teve a oportunidade de conhecer diversas cidades do estado. Ficou no cargo por alguns anos, até que aceitou o convite para trabalhar nas empresas do Grupo Fidelis Barato, pertencentes a família da esposa Astrid. Há 12 anos, fixou residência em Lauro Müller onde atualmente exerce atividade ligada ao setor pecuarista, com criação de gado de corte e outros animais. Na edição #127 do Bate Papo, que foi ao ar nesta terça-feira, dia 13, o empresário Carlos Alberto Mendonça, o Grilo, como é popularmente conhecido, contou um pouco de sua trajetória de vida. A rotina como representante comercial, a carreira como piloto de alta velocidade, o acompanhamento dos trabalhos para reabertura da mineração em Lauro Müller, política e as atividades pecuaristas, foram alguns temas abordados durante o programa. Ouça abaixo a íntegra do programa:

Essa é nossa mais nova série de rpg de yuyu hakusho! com Tairon como Yusuke, Will Fall (guy) como Kuwabara, e Grilo como Botan( isso mesmo que você leu) nossa história começa quando o mundo espiritual começa a investigar a escola de Kurama, nosso grande amigo tem algo a esconder? vamos descobrir!

Uma menina tenta conversar com um grilo, mas ele só quer dar um cochilo.

Com Matheus Nachtergaele, o Papo debate se rivalidade motiva ou corrói. Também discute se é melhor estar só do que mal acompanhado e fala sobre a lábia do personagem João Grilo.

Saudações retornantes queridos ouvintes! Eis aqui o Parolando, o podcast de feedbacks de vocês! Episódios comentados neste episódio: Paranerdia 188 - Filmes Rip-off do Conan Paranerdia 189 - O Peso do Talento Parolando sobre Junho de 2022 Aviso Importante Água de Muringa 15 - O Castigo da Soberba Água de Muringa 17 - As Proezas de João Grilo Água de Muringa 20 - Melhores Momentos Água de Muringa 21 - Salvo por uma Cagada Água de Muringa 22 - Desventuras de um Bardo Cuidado com a Grama Alta 005 Comentados no Episódio: Caju e Castanha na Embolada do Futebol no Inferno A Cor da Magia - parte 1 A Cor da Magia - parte 2

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Why does GiveWell not provide lower and upper estimates for the cost-effectiveness of its top charities?, published by Vasco Grilo on July 31, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. As noted by Sam Nolan here: GiveWell's cost-effectiveness analyses (CEAs) of top charities are often considered the gold standard. However, they still have room for improvement. One such improvement is the quantification of uncertainty. Why does GiveWell not provide lower and upper estimates for the cost-effectiveness of its top charities? Thanks for listening. To help us out with The Nonlinear Library or to learn more, please visit nonlinear.org.

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Corporate campaigns for chicken welfare are 10,000 times as effective as GiveWell's Maximum Impact Fund?, published by Vasco Grilo on July 28, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Summary This analysis estimates the cost-effectiveness of corporate campaigns for chicken welfare (CCCW), and compares it with that of GiveWell's Maximum Impact Fund (MIF) (see Methodology). The results were obtained with this Colab, and the key ones are summarised in the table below (for more, see Results). Comments about how to interpret them are welcome. The mean ratio between the cost-effectiveness of CCCW and MIF is estimated to be 10 k (i.e. 10^4). The specific value depends on very uncertain parameters, such as the ones defining the badness of the conditions of factory-farmed chickens relative to the goodness of fully healthy chicken life, and the moral weight. However, it appears to be robustly larger than 1 (see Discussion). ResultMeanMedianImprovement in the conditions of broilers (cQALY/cyear)1.120.505Improvement in the conditions of laying hens (cQALY/cyear)1.410.806Improvement in the conditions of chickens (cQALY/cyear)1.370.783Improvement in the conditions of broilers (%)45.449.8Improvement in the conditions of laying hens (%)64.665.2Improvement in the conditions of chickens (%)62.863.4Moral weight of chickens relative to humans (QALY/cQALY)2.410.0180Cost-effectiveness of CCCW for broilers (QALY/$)64.40.0269Cost-effectiveness of CCCW for laying hens (QALY/$)2040.656Cost-effectiveness of CCCW (QALY/$)1510.494Ratio between the cost-effectiveness of CCCW and MIF12.2 k38.9 Acknowledgements Thanks to Cynthia Schuck-Paim, Kieran Greig, Lewis Bollard, and Saulius Simcikas. Introduction About 2 year ago Stephen Clare and Aidan Goth (S&A) published an analysis comparing the cost-effectiveness of The Humane League (THL) and Against Malaria Foundation (AMF). The analysis presented here has the same motivation of better allocating resources between different causes (namely, animal welfare and global health and development). In addition, it relies on data from the Welfare Footprint Project (WFP; overviewed here) to model more accurately the relative improvement in the conditions of broilers and laying hens. Methodology The ratio between the cost-effectiveness of CCCW and MIF was calculated via a Monte Carlo simulation in this Colab. All distributions were assumed to be independent, and their parameters were estimated from quantiles as explained here. The methodology to determine the cost-effectiveness of CCCW and MIF, and assess room for more funding are presented below. Cost-effectiveness of corporate campaigns for chicken welfare The cost-effectiveness of CCCW was based on its cage-free campaigns, and determined from the product between: The cost of improving the conditions of chickens (cyear/$). The improvement in the conditions of chickens (cQALY/cyear). The moral weight of chickens relative to humans (QALY/cQALY). Cost of improving the conditions of chickens The cost of improving the conditions of chickens was supposed to follow a lognormal distribution with 5th and 95th percentiles in cyear/$ equal to: For broilers, 0.2 and 90. For laying hens, 12 and 160. For both combined, 9.6 and 120. These are the lower and upper bound of the 90 % subjective confidence interval estimated for the cost-effectiveness of "broiler and cage-free campaigns" in this analysis from Saulius Simcikas. Potential concerns with those estimates are discussed here. Improvement in the conditions of chickens The improvement in the conditions of chickens were calculated assuming weights of: 12 % for changing broilers from a conventional scenario (CS) to a reformed scenario (RS). 88 % for changing laying hens from conventional cages (CC) to cage-free aviaries (CFA). The fractions above were computed with the Guessti...

¡Ya está disponible el episodio 46 de la cuarta temporada de El Laberinto! 💊Hacia un neuroestado policial: Una prueba neurológica podría esclarecer si una persona es culpable o inocente en un caso de asesinato. ¿Nos dirigimos hacia una nueva concepción de la Justicia? ¿Dejarán de existir los jueces? Hablamos de todo ello con Miguel Ángel Ruiz, divulgador, Máster en Sociología y experto en teoría de la conspiración. #Entrevista 💀Leyendas canarias: Demonios que habitan en los volcanes, bailaderos de brujas, relatos aborígenes…Canarias tiene un rosario de antiguas leyendas y Héctor Fajardo ha hecho una selección de algunas de ellas. #SombrasYCalaveras 🔍Los crímenes de la calle Antonio Grilo: Desde el siglo XIX se han sucedido numerosos sucesos horrendos en algunos edificios de esta vía madrileña. Nos lo cuenta Virginia González. #CrímenesDePelícula ✉️Email de contacto: ellaberintoradio@gmail.com Facebook: www.facebook.com/ellaberintoradio Instagram: www.instagram.com/ellaberintoradio

¡Ya está disponible el episodio 46 de la cuarta temporada de El Laberinto! 💊Hacia un neuroestado policial: Una prueba neurológica podría esclarecer si una persona es culpable o inocente en un caso de asesinato. ¿Nos dirigimos hacia una nueva concepción de la Justicia? ¿Dejarán de existir los jueces? Hablamos de todo ello con Miguel Ángel Ruiz, divulgador, Máster en Sociología y experto en teoría de la conspiración. #Entrevista 💀Leyendas canarias: Demonios que habitan en los volcanes, bailaderos de brujas, relatos aborígenes…Canarias tiene un rosario de antiguas leyendas y Héctor Fajardo ha hecho una selección de algunas de ellas. #SombrasYCalaveras 🔍Los crímenes de la calle Antonio Grilo: Desde el siglo XIX se han sucedido numerosos sucesos horrendos en algunos edificios de esta vía madrileña. Nos lo cuenta Virginia González. #CrímenesDePelícula ✉️Email de contacto: ellaberintoradio@gmail.com Facebook: www.facebook.com/ellaberintoradio Instagram: www.instagram.com/ellaberintoradio

Sessão Temática 15 - Opsec e Risco Reputacional com João Grilo (@joaogrilobtc) e Sid (@SID_1318)

Espacio patrocinado por DISNEY PLUS. Nueva temporada de “SOLO ASESINATOS EN EL EDIFICIO” En este episodio de El Centinela del Misterio, vamos a relatarles dos horribles historias de asesinatos, que al contarlas y apelando a la concienciación humana, siempre albergamos la esperanza de que no vuelvan jamás a repetirse. Pero la cruda realidad, es que cada día en el mundo se repiten casos similares a estos, y si cabe, con más violencia, ensañamiento y crueldad. Esta noche El Centinela del Misterio… desde los estudios Manuel Carballal… Jarabo y Antonio Grilo Dos casos que en su momento, llenaron las páginas de sucesos de prácticamente la totalidad de la prensa española. Dos historias que siempre serán parte de la crónica negra más vil, salvaje y sanguinaria de nuestro país. Dirección y Presentación. Carlos Bustos Realización. David Castillo Responsable de Producción. Helen Bustos MetRadioTV Ayudante de Dirección. Davinia González ©️ ®️El Centinela del Misterio 07/07/2022 Queda expresamente prohibida la reproducción total o parcial de este programa/podcast, por cualquier procedimiento, plataforma de difusión, medio de comunicación, así como el tratamiento informático, el alquiler o cualquier otra forma de cesión sin la autorización previa y por escrito de los titulares del copyright y propietarios de los derechos de El Centinela del Misterio. Los colaboradores, asistentes y personas que usan la palabra en el espacio radiofónico El Centinela del Misterio, se hacen responsables unilateralmente de las opiniones vertidas en el mencionado espacio, y ceden los derechos de su actuación únicamente a El Centinela del Misterio. Escucha el episodio completo en la app de iVoox, o descubre todo el catálogo de iVoox Originals

Eduardo Marçal Grilo refere que Pedro Nuno Santos "deixou de merecer a confiança do país e do PM". "Costa sai fragilizado e vai negociar com o PSD numa situação de quase inferioridade", refere.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Red-teaming Holden Karnofsky's AI timelines, published by Vasco Grilo on June 25, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Summary This is a red teaming exercise on Holden Karnofsky's AI Timelines: Where the Arguments, and the "Experts," Stand (henceforth designated “HK's AI Timelines”), completed in the context of the Red Team Challenge by Training for Good. Our key conclusions are: The predictions for the probability of transformative AI (TAI) presented in “HK's AI Timelines” seem reasonable in light of the forecasts presented in the linked technical reports, according to our own reading and numerical analysis (see 1. Prediction). All but two of the technical reports of Open Philanthropy which informed Holden's predictions were reviewed by what we judge to be credible experts (see 2. Reviewers of the technical reports). The act of forecasting and discussing AI progress publicly may be an information hazard, due to the risk of shortening (real and predicted) timelines. However, the forecasts of “HK's AI Timelines” seem more likely to lengthen than to shorten AI timelines, since they predict longer ones than the Metaculus community prediction for AGI (see 3. Information hazards). Our key recommendations are: Defining “transformative AI” more clearly, such that the predictions of “HK's AI Timelines” could be better interpreted and verified against evidence (see Interpretation). This could involve listing several criteria (as in this Metaculus question), or a single condition (as in Bio anchors). Including an explanation about the inference of the predictions from the sources mentioned in the “one-table summary” (see Inference). This could include explicitly stating the weight given to each of them (quantitatively or qualitatively), and describing the influence of other sources. Investigating whether research on AI timelines carried out in China might have been overlooked due to language barriers (see Representativeness). We welcome comments on our key conclusions and recommendations, as well as on reasoning transparency, strength of arguments, and red-teaming efforts. Author contributions The contributions by author are as follows: Simon: argument mapping, complementary background research, discussion, and structural and semantic editing of the text. Vasco: argument mapping, background research, technical analysis, and structuring and writing of all sections. Acknowledgements Thanks to: For discussions which informed this text, Kasey Shibayama, and Saksham Singhi. For organising the Red Team Challenge, Training for Good. For comments, Aaron Bergman, Cillian Crosson, Elika Somani, Hasan Asim, Jac Liew, and Robert Praas. Introduction We have analysed Holden Karnofsky's blog post AI Timelines: Where the Arguments, and the "Experts," Stand with the goal of constructively criticising Holden's claims and the way they were communicated. In particular, we investigated: 1. Prediction: Holden's timelines for transformative AI. 2. Reviewers of the technical reports: the credibility of the reviewers of the technical reports which informed Holden's timelines. 3. Information hazards: the potential of Holden's timelines to be an information hazard. The key motivations for red-teaming this particular article are: AI timelines being relevant to understand the extent to which positively shaping the development of artificial intelligence is one of the (or the) world's most pressing problems. “HK's AI Timelines” and Holden Karnofsky arguably being influential in informing views about AI timelines and prioritisation amongst longtermist causes. Holden Karnofsky arguably being influential in informing views on other important matters related to improving the world, thus making it appealing to contribute to any improvements of his ideas and writing. 1. Prediction Holden Karnofsky estimates that...

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Comparison between the hedonic utility of human life and poultry living time, published by Vasco Grilo on June 8, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Summary This analysis estimates the negative utility of poultry living time as a fraction of the utility of human life, under total hedonic utilitarianism (classical utilitarisnism). The results are presented by country in this spreadsheet (see tab "TOC"). The conclusions are very sensitive to the moral weight of poultry birds relative to humans, and the quality of their living conditions in factory farms relative to fully healthy life. However: In expectation, the (mean) negative utility of poultry living time seems much larger than that of human life. Realistically, the (median) negative utility of poultry living time seems comparable to that of human life. You can use this Guesstimate model to select your preferred inputs. Acknowledgements Thanks to Cynthia Schuck-Paim, Jason Schukraft, Lewis Bollard, Matt Sharp, Michael St. Jules and Scott Smith for feedback. Methodology The logic of the calculations is illustrated in this Guesstimate model. The tabs mentioned throughout the following sections refer to this spreadsheet. Utility of human life The utility of human life (QALY/person/year) was determined from the ratio between the healthy and full life expectancy. This is imperfect, but allows to estimate the utility of human life via a linear regression on life expectancy at birth: The utility of human life was calculated through the mean life expectancy at birth of the years between 2025 and 2100 (see tab "Future utility of human life"). Data about the future life expectancy at birth was taken from OWID, and is in tab "Future life expectancy". The linear regression coefficients were calculated based on data about the healthy and full life expectancy at birth from 1990 to 2016 (see tabs "Utility of human life and life expectancy" and "Past utility of human life"). Data about the past healthy life expectancy at birth was taken from OWID, and is in tab "Past healthy life expectancy". Data about the past life expectancy at birth was taken from OWID, and is in tab "Past life expectancy". Utility of poultry living time The utility of poultry living time per capita (-QALY/person/year) is the product of: The poultry living time per capita (pyear/person/year), which is the product between: The poultry production per capita (kg/person/year). The ratio between poultry living time and production (pyear/kg). Moral weight of poultry (QALY/pQALY). Quality of the living conditions of poultry (-pQALY/pyear). The factors defining the poultry living time per capita were modelled as constants, and the ones regarding the moral weight and quality of the living conditions of poultry as distributions. The following sections provide further details. The calculations of the utility of poultry living time per capita by country were performed in this Google Colab program, and the respective results uploaded to the tab "Utility of poultry living time per capita". Poultry production per capita The poultry production per capita between 2025 and 2100 (kg/person/year) was determined from the time-weighted average of those of the following periods: 2025 to 2050: mean between the poultry production per capita in 2025 and 2050. 2050 to 2100: half of the poultry production per capita in 2050. The poultry production per capita in 2025 and 2050 was estimated from the ratio between the poultry production and population. The poultry production was calculated considering: The poultry production by country in 2018 from OWID (see tab "Poultry production"). The poultry production annual growth rate by region, which was estimated by adding the following (see tab "Poultry production annual growth rate"): Poultry population annual growth rate between 2005/2007 an...

Avui, al Recapte ens acompanya Marc Navarro, comissari responsable del discurs teòric i conceptual de "Erres" de l'artista gallec, Rubén Grilo. Exposició que podrem veure fins al pròxim 24 de juliol, en un format dual que ocuparà l'interior i l'exterior del centre d'art "Lo Pati" d'Amposta.

Saudações estranhas queridos leitores. Eis mais um Parolando, o seu podcast de feedbacks da "família Paranerdia"! Neste episódio, temos feedbacks dos seguintes episódios: Água de Muringa 014 - Proezas de João Grilo pt 1 Água de Muringa 015 - Proezas de João Grilo pt 2 Paranerdia 184 - The Orville Paranerdia 185 - Doutor Mordrid Vídeo Respostas do Elias Passos Tenório: Paranerdia 184 - The Orville https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bDm8fv7a0oI Paranerdia 185 - Doutor Mordrid https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DfS-kbtdWLo Comentados nos emails e comentários: Doutor Mordrid em espanhol no Youtube

Avui, al Recapte ens acompanya Marc Navarro, comissari responsable del discurs teòric i conceptual de "Erres" de l'artista gallec, Rubén Grilo. Exposició que podrem veure fins al pròxim 24 de juliol, en un format dual que ocuparà l'interior i l'exterior del centre d'art "Lo Pati" d'Amposta. I, en aquesta ocasió a la secció "Anem a la biblioteca", David Magriñá, director de Biblioteca Francesc Balagué de Sant Jaume d'Enveja ens parla de les últimes novetats culturals al municipi.

Boa terça, angules! Abrimos o #137 com um editorial do Angu de Grilo. Explicamos a proposta do nosso podcast e alinhamos as expectativas com nossos angulers. Entrando nos temas da semana, falamos sobre a chacina da Vila Cruzeiro, o assassinato de Genivaldo de Jesus, as enchentes e mortes na Grande Recife e as mortes em massa na escola do Texas. Todos episódios repetidos que refletem o descaso, a necropolítica, o racismo ambiental, a política de extermínio e um replay sem fim no projeto de morte. Por fim, com a participação da advogada Thuane Nascimento, falamos sobre as eleições na Colômbia e a possibilidade de eleger Gustavo Petro, candidato da esquerda, e a vice Francia Márquez. Sirva-se! Edição e mixagem de som: Tico Pro - Laranja Preta Produtora - Indicações: Mano a Mano com Sueli Carneiro (podcast) Vozes Negras, o musical (teatro) “Samba da Maria”, de Maria Rita (show) Artigo “Ódio e Nojo” de Silvio Almeida: https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/colunas/silvio-almeida/2022/05/odio-e-nojo.shtml Artigo “Vila Cruzeiro, uma chacina-genocídio” de Thiago Amparo: https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/colunas/thiago-amparo/2022/05/vila-cruzeiro-uma-chacina-genocidio.shtml Eps do Angu em que falamos de enchentes, chuvas e racismo ambiental: Petrópolis e PL do Veneno #123 Voltamos! Com pandemia e chuvas #117 Coronavirus e chuvas em MG #24 Eps do Angu em que falamos de chacinas, genocídio do povo preto e a política de extermínio: Ômicron, Salgueiro e Libertadores #113 Justiça: CPI, 80 tiros e jacarezinho #107 Kathleen e o sonho que não nasceu #89 Jacarezinho, Colômbia e vacina #84

El 1 de mayo de 1962, el sastre José María Ruiz asesinó a toda su familia y luego se quitó la vida. Antes de este crimen múltiple, en el mismo edificio de la madrileña calle Antonio Grilo, en 1945, un camisero apareció muerto en su casa. Nunca se supo quién lo mató, a pesar de que logró arrancarle un mechón de pelo a su agresor. Dos años después de la masacre del sastre, en la misma vivienda, una mujer estranguló a su bebé recién nacido. Tres crímenes en menos de 20 años provocaron que en las calles se conociera ese edificio de Antonio Grilo como la "casa del crimen" o la "casa maldita". Twitter: @FPCaballero y @ESCrimenes Correo: elsenordeloscrimenes@gmail.com Escucha el episodio completo en la app de iVoox, o descubre todo el catálogo de iVoox Originals

Tudo seu precisa ser incrível, perfeito e cheio de ambição? Ou você fica bem entregando algo mediano? O programa de hoje é com Isabela Reis, do podcast Angu de Grilo, para falar sobre a pressão de sempre procurar ser ou fazer o máximo e a aceitação de ser mediano também. --------- PRA FICAR MELHOR: FILME: Virada de Jogo SÉRIE: New Girl LIVRO: Por que gritamos, de Elisama Santos --------- SIGA A GENTE NAS REDES SOCIAIS! Twitter: @estamosbempod | Instagram: @podcastestamosbem Bárbara dos Anjos: @dabarbara (Instagram) | @dabarbara (Twitter) Thiago Theodoro: @luxoeriqueza (Instagram) | @thiwitter (Twitter) --------- COLABORE COM O PODCAST PELO PICPAY! No PicPay do Estamos Bem? você pode contribuir com nosso podcast com vários planos de assinatura mensais e diferentes recompensas que vão desde o grupo do Telegram até assistir à gravação. É só procurar pelo Estamos Bem? no app do Picpay! --------- MANDE O SEU CASO PARA A GENTE! E-MAIL: podcastestamosbem@gmail.com --------- Entre no nosso grupo do Facebook e discuta nossas ideias! www.facebook.com/groups/313473979384217/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Oxente Jagunçaiada do meu coração, vamos acompanhar um dos personagens mais conhecidos das histórias nordeste. O João Grilo aparece em centenas de histórias, causos e contos, desde os cordéis até o personagem do Matheus Nashtergaile do filme O Auto da Compadecida. Nesse cordel você conhecerá como começou essa história. As histórias de cordel são uma expressão genuína da cultura nordestina, é um mecanismo de transmissão de cultura, lendas e da riqueza imaterial do nordeste, Ouça, se divirta e deixe seu comentário ali embaixo, ôxe!!! Se você deseja fazer parte de nosso grupo no telegram, é só acessar: t.me/aguademuringa Autor do Poema: Jessier Quirino Cordel: As Proezas de João Grilo Autor: João Ferreira de Lima Texto: Jotta Santos Agradecimentos: Paranerdia - http://www.paranerdia.com.br Animesphere - http://www.animesphere.com.br Taverna do Beer Holder Cego - http://www.beerholdercego.com.br RPGUAXA - http://www.deviante.com.br/podcasts/rpguaxa Me Julguem Podcast - http://mejulguempodcast.com/ PodPixel - @podpixelPodcast RPGNEXT - http://www.rpgnext.com.br Pensador Louco - http://www.pensadorlouco.com Sapo Brothers - http://www.sapobrothers.net Podcrastinadores - http://www.podcrastinadores.com.br SEJA UM MECENAS DO PARANERDIA: Você gosta do Paranerdia? Quer ajudar a manter o site e o podcast no ar? Acesse http://apoia.se/paranerdia ou http://picpay.me/paranerdia e ajude-nos a manter o podcast mais legitimamente nerd do Brasil funcionando! Contribuições a partir de R$1,00, por boleto bancário, cartão de crédito, entre outros. Ajude-nos também pelo PIX, usando a chave: paranerdia@paranerdia.com.br

E vamos hoje daquele episódio polêmico que faz ferver o sangue de muita gente, sim, falaremos mal do anime que todo mundo adora, pois é, o Nash tentou suavizar mais o fanatismo por Kaguya falou mais forte no coração de nossos co-hosts (vulgo tairon) para falar mal de Komi-san, com a participação especial de William, o Caído, falando mal dos preços dos mangás e de Grilo sendo esse verdadeiro agente do caos, curioso? é só dar play.

Nesse episódio, o papo foi com os bitcoinheiros maximalistas João Grilo (@joaogrilobtc) e Madu (@dudalobatoo). Juntos, nós exploramos diversos cantos da parte mias profunda da toca do coelho do Bitcoin, o chamado maximalismo. Referências citadas neste episódio: Em defesa do maximalismo - Vitalik Buterin https://explicabitcoin.medium.com/em-defesa-do-maximalismo-do-bitcoin-3f456507fcce Bitcoin Primeiro - Relatório Fidelity https://explicabitcoin.medium.com/bitcoin-primeiro-42d125584c26 Por que somos maximalistas? - Korea https://livecoins.com.br/porque-somos-maximalistas/ ‘Rough Consensus and Running Code' and the Internet-OSI Standards War (sobre a guerra dos protocolos da internet) https://courses.cs.duke.edu/common/compsci092/papers/govern/consensus.pdf Ouro de tolo digital - Leta https://explicabitcoin.medium.com/o-ouro-de-tolo-digital-e9ccf8d412d2 Por que Bitcoin e não Shitcoins? - Aleks Svetski https://explicabitcoin.medium.com/por-que-bitcoin-e-n%C3%A3o-shitcoins-c3bd65748aa1 Por que o Bitcoin é importante? - Aleks Svetski https://explicabitcoin.medium.com/porque-o-bitcoin-%C3%A9-importante-81f714790a30 Minha história com o Bitcoin - Leta https://explicabitcoin.medium.com/minha-hist%C3%B3ria-com-o-bitcoin-c983d63e80a0

Oxente Jagunçaiada do meu coração, vamos acompanhar um dos personagens mais conhecidos das histórias nordeste. O João Grilo aparece em centenas de histórias, causos e contos, desde os cordéis até o personagem do Matheus Nashtergaile do filme O Auto da Compadecida. Nesse cordel você conhecerá como começou essa história. As histórias de cordel são uma expressão genuína da cultura nordestina, é um mecanismo de transmissão de cultura, lendas e da riqueza imaterial do nordeste, Ouça, se divirta e deixe seu comentário ali embaixo, ôxe!!! Se você deseja fazer parte de nosso grupo no telegram, é só acessar: t.me/aguademuringa Autor do Poema: Jessier Quirino Cordel: As Proezas de João Grilo Autor: João Ferreira de Lima Texto: Jotta Santos Agradecimentos: Paranerdia - http://www.paranerdia.com.br Animesphere - http://www.animesphere.com.br Taverna do Beer Holder Cego - http://www.beerholdercego.com.br RPGUAXA - http://www.deviante.com.br/podcasts/rpguaxa Me Julguem Podcast - http://mejulguempodcast.com/ PodPixel - @podpixelPodcast RPGNEXT - http://www.rpgnext.com.br Pensador Louco - http://www.pensadorlouco.com Sapo Brothers - http://www.sapobrothers.net Podcrastinadores - http://www.podcrastinadores.com.br SEJA UM MECENAS DO PARANERDIA: Você gosta do Paranerdia? Quer ajudar a manter o site e o podcast no ar? Acesse http://apoia.se/paranerdia ou http://picpay.me/paranerdia e ajude-nos a manter o podcast mais legitimamente nerd do Brasil funcionando! Contribuições a partir de R$1,00, por boleto bancário, cartão de crédito, entre outros. Ajude-nos também pelo PIX, usando a chave: paranerdia@paranerdia.com.br

Como funciona a redação e a dinâmica da Bitcoin Magazine. O Namcios trabalha na publicação de artigos e veio contar um pouco sobre sua jornada pessoal, a história da revista e a mudança no foco para bitcoin only. Uma entrevista diferente sob a perspectiva da mídia bitcoinheira. MINUTAGEM 00:00 Abertura 01:00 Sobre a Bitcoin Magazine 02:45 A história do Vitalik na Bitcoin Magazine 05:48 O crescimento das conferências sobre bitcoin 07:15 O reposicionamento da Bitcoin Magazine 09:30 Os bastidores da linha editorial da Bitcoin Magazine 12:15 Contratação apenas de bitcoinheiros 13:44 Definição de pauta e o trabalho de pesquisa para publicação de conteúdo 18:10 Criar fluidez no espaço do texto 20:05 Informações em primeira mão e o uso de credencial para entrevistar 22:25 Confira o podcast do namcios com o João Grilo - 21 milhões podcast 23:30 A jornada do entrevistado Namcios 24:55 O choque de realidade ao experimentar rodar um node do ethereum 27:10 A estrutura do ethereum: Infura, uniswap, metamask, Consensys 32:05 A entrada de cabeça na toca do coelho ________________ APOIE O CANAL https://bitcoinheiros.com/apoie/ ⚡ln@pay.bitcoinheiros.com Loja dos Bitcoinheiros https://loja.bitcoinheiros.com/ SIGA OS BITCOINHEIROS: Site: https://www.bitcoinheiros.com Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/bitcoinheiros Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/bitcoinheiros Allan - https://www.twitter.com/allanraicher Dov - https://twitter.com/bitdov Becas - https://twitter.com/bksbk6 Ivan - https://twitter.com/bitofsilence Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/bitcoinheiros Facebook: https://www.fb.com/bitcoinheiros Podcast: https://anchor.fm/bitcoinheiros APOIE O CANAL: - Dê uma gorjeta em Bitcoin: https://bitcoinheiros.com/apoie/ - Inscreva-se no canal - Deixe seu comentário no vídeo - Dê um like no vídeo - Compartilhe o vídeo e o canal com amigos e familiares na sua rede social - Envie um email com seu comentário e sugestões: bitcoinheiros@protonmail.com COMO GUARDAR SEUS BITCOINS? Bitcoinheiros recomendam o uso de carteiras Multisig com Hardware Wallets de diferentes fabricantes. Busque por "canivete bitcoinheiro" em nosso canal para saber mais. - COLDCARD - https://store.coinkite.com/promo/bitcoinheiros (use o código bitcoinheiros para ganhar 5% de desconto) - TREZOR E BITBOX02 PARA RESIDENTES NO BRASIL E AMÉRICA DO SUL Revendedor oficial: https://www.kriptobr.com/?afiliado=1288 Acesse com nosso link acima para ajudar o canal! ;) - TREZOR PARA RESIDENTES EM OUTROS PAÍSES https://shop.trezor.io/product/trezor-model-t?offer_id=15&aff_id=3722 ISENÇÃO DE RESPONSABILI --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/bitcoinheiros/message

O episódio que nos deixou mais ansioso porque tivemos a Influencer do Cancro presente! Esta guerreira, cheia de força! Ela estava nervosa mas foram duas horas a falar. Inclusive claro, Casados a 1ª vista! Se era para falar de coisas más isto tinha que estar presente!

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Direct effects of marine plastic pollution on wild animals seem small, published by Vasco Grilo on April 19, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Summary 1 kg of plastic is emitted to the ocean per capita per year. 0.0002 seabirds / marine mammals are killed by marine plastic pollution per capita per year. 200 wild fish are caught per capita per year. The catch of wild fish is 1 M times as large as the number of seabirds / marine mammals killed by marine plastic pollution. The data and calculations are presented below. Data Plastic emitted to the ocean in 2010 (PEO): 8 Mt. World population in 2010 (WP): 6.92 G. Deaths of seabirds caused by plastic debris (DS): > 1 M/year. Deaths of marine mammals caused by plastic debris (DMM): > 100k/year. Catch of wild fish (WFL to WFH): 0.97 T/year to 2.7 T/year. Calculations Plastic emitted to the ocean per capita in 2010 (PEOpC): PEO / WP = 8 Gkg / 6.92 G = 1.16 kg. Plastic emitted to the ocean to cause one death of a seabird or marine mammal (PEOpD): < PEO / (DS + DMM) = 8 Mt / (1 M + 100 k) = 7.27 t. Seabirds / Marine mammals killed by per capita plastic marine pollution in 2010 (DpC): > PEOpC / PEOpD = 1.16 / 7.27 k = 159 u. Wild fish caught per year (WF): (WFL WFH)^0.5 = (0.97 2.7)^0.5 T = 1.62 T. Catch of wild fish per capita per year (WFpC): WF / WP = 1.62 T / 6.92 G = 234. Ratio between the catch of wild fish and the number of seabirds / marine mammals killed by marine plastic pollution: WFpC / DpC = 234 / 159 u = 1 M. 1 kg is the global value, and it is much smaller for many countries. Most of the countries emit less than 0.1 % of the plastic waste to the ocean (see this map), although 3 % of the global plastic waste is emitted to the ocean. Thanks for listening. To help us out with The Nonlinear Library or to learn more, please visit nonlinear.org.

Ela é juíza, combate a doutrinação ideológica e convidada especial do #Contraponto desta semana: Ludmila Lins Grilo. Ludmila é juíza de carreira, tem um vasto conhecimento sobre a guerra cultural dos dias atuais e já foi perseguida pela grande mídia. Siga a Brasil Paralelo: Site: https://bit.ly/portal-bp Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/brasilparalelooficial/ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/brasilparalelo Twitter: https://twitter.com/brasilparalelo Sobre a Brasil Paralelo: Somos uma empresa de entretenimento e educação fundada em 2016. Produzimos documentários, filmes, séries, trilogias, cursos, podcasts e muito mais. Nosso foco é o conteúdo informativo e educativo relacionado ao contexto social, político e econômico brasileiro. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Começando mais um episódio da ética dos mugiwaras! hoje com o incrível, gostoso, o homem que faz o Bruce Wayne chorar no banho, o lendário Soge... é qur dizer usoop, se liga que o cast do Grilo está uma delicia!

El cielo de los toreros es un buen lugar de reunión: allí se encuentran toreros, ganaderos y aficionados. En este podcast se narra una charla entre dos grandes rivales y, sin embargo, amigos: Frascuelo y Lagartijo, aunque no están solos... Esta ficción es una invitación a asomaros a los orígenes del toreo moderno así como un homenaje a los que ya no están con nosotros. Reparto: Chemi Moreno interpreta a Frascuelo. Juan Carlos Talavera interpreta a Lagartijo. Este episodio ha sido impulsado por la Fundación del Toro de Lidia con la colaboración del Ministerio de Cultura y Deporte. Guion: Rebeca Fuentes. Producción: Lidia Cossio de la Iglesia. Documentación: Guillermo Vellojín. Dirección: Robert Albiol. Notas: Atencia, M.V., Las iluminaciones: antología y poemas inéditos, Madrid, Salto de página, 2014. Bleu, F., Antes y después del Guerra (Medio siglo de toreo), Madrid, Espasa-Calpe S.A., 1983. Claramunt, F., Los toreros de la reina Isabel II: la veta brava del Romanticismo, Madrid, Tutor, 2005. Delgado de la Cámara, D., Lagartijo y Frascuelo. Reflexiones del siglo XIX taurino, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Mz1ybGNnoA&list=PLCXLNT15bn_K8-vfimeSQzR27bcozBv2L&index=9[9/12/2021]. Fernández Grilo, A., Ideales, Madrid, 1891. Hernández Girbal, F., Salvador Sánchez “Frascuelo”, Madrid, lira, 1988. Manrique, J., Poesía, Madrid, Penguin Clásicos, 2016. Peña y Goñi, A., Lagartijo y Frascuelo y su tiempo, Madrid, Espasa Calpe, 1994. VVAA., El Cossío. Los toros, Madrid, Espasa Calpe, varias ediciones.

Queremos dar las gracias a Isa y Alex, Alex e Isa de la Ultima Sala Podcast por acordarse de este humilde podcast para su especial de Halloween 2021. Hoy Viajamos al corazón de la capital de España, concretamente al barrio de Malasaña, donde a solo 2 calles del Metro de Noviciado se encuentra la calle Antonio Grilo, el epicentro de muchas tragedias. Una calle de escasos 50 metros que comunica la calle san bernardo con la plaza de los mostenses. El inmueble número 3, a la que se ha llegado a bautizar como “la casa maldita” posiblemente sea la finca urbana con mas muertes violentas por metro cuadrado de toda España, pero no es la única finca de esta calle donde se derramo sangre… Vias de contacto: Twitter @xauenpodcast Telegram: detrásdelaverdadpodcast enlace de invitacion: https://t.me/detrasdelaverdadpodcast Correo electrónico: xauenpodcast@outlook.es Musica de cabecera creative commons: Light Years Away - Doug Maxwell Musica: Cinematic Suspense Series Episode 007 by Sascha Ende® Link: https://filmmusic.io/song/7128-cinematic-suspense-series-episode-007 License: https://filmmusic.io/standard-license Cinematic Suspense Series Episode 001 by Sascha Ende® Link: https://filmmusic.io/song/5786-cinematic-suspense-series-episode-001 License: https://filmmusic.io/standard-license Halloween Ghost Of The Dead Ballerina by Frank Schröter Link: https://filmmusic.io/song/8269-halloween-ghost-of-the-dead-ballerina License: https://filmmusic.io/standard-license Halloween Haunted House by Frank Schröter Link: https://filmmusic.io/song/6615-halloween-haunted-house- License: https://filmmusic.io/standard-license Hidden Truth by Rafael Krux Link: https://filmmusic.io/song/5296-hidden-truth- License: https://filmmusic.io/standard-license