POPULARITY
Zum Hanfverband. Podcast abonnieren: Per RSS Feed: http://cscstuttgart.org/podcasts/dhv-news/feed Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5pmLnsXVSVv4WegMEab7P Vorbemerkungen Säule2 – Tweetstorm! Reul lügt, kein Nachweis für Zunahme des Schwarzmarktes Tino Sorge (CDU): CanG schon in den nächsten Wochen zurücknehmen Oktoberfest offenbart Bayerns Schizophrenie Verbot von Cannabiskonsum auf Veranstaltungen in Bad Zwesten Greifswald: CDU will genehmigten CSC verhindern MeckPom: Zweiter Anbauclub genehmigt Termine … „Reul lügt & #Säule2Jetzt | DHV-News # 437“ weiterlesen
Lake takes us through a bunch of topics this hour. Is the popularity of Peloton exercise equipment waning? Has Colorado coach Deion Sanders shifted his confidence to arrogance? In hindsight, the Wolves made the right decision. And we hear Thursday's headlines.
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: The Best of Don't Worry About the Vase, published by Zvi on December 13, 2023 on LessWrong. Hello everyone! This is going to be a bit of a housekeeping post and a welcome to new subscribers. Note that this is not the primary version of my writing, which can be found on Substack, but it is a full copy of all posts found there. My writing can be intimidating. There is a lot of it, and it's often dense. As always, choose only the parts relevant to your interests, do not be afraid to make cuts. I attempt to make every post accessible as an entry point, but I also want to build up a superstructure over time. This seemed like a good time to recap some of the very best of my old writing and talk about what I'm up to. Over many years, this blog has morphed from focusing on rationality to COVID to AI. But not only those things. I'm interested in almost everything. I write periodic updates about housing policy, childhood, fertility, medicine and health, gaming and grab bags of everything else. In addition to writing, I also run a small 501c(3) with one employee called Balsa Research. Balsa is dedicated to laying groundwork on a few key issues to make big civilizational wins possible, starting with repeal of the Jones Act. This link is to an update on that, and you can donate here. Your subscriptions here are also very much appreciated. Underlying it all continues to be my version of the principles of rationality. Rationality A lot has changed since my last best-of writeup six years ago. One thing that has not changed is that I consider myself part of the rationalist community. No specific interest in rationality or its modes of thinking are required, but I strive to embody my version of this style of thinking, and to illustrate and hopefully pass on this mode of thinking throughout my writing. What is rationality? This post is one good answer. It is believing, and updating on evidence, so as to systematically improve the correspondence between your map and the territory, and using that map to achieve your values. To me, a rationalist continues to be someone who highly values, and invests in, the version of this process and the art thereof that they believe in, both in themselves and others. If you're wondering why anyone would think this way, my best responses to that are Responses to Tyler Cowen on Rationality and Why Rationality? If you're interested in going deeper, you should try reading the sequences. You can get the Kindle version here. I think rationality and the sequences are pretty great. The sequences were created by Eliezer Yudkowsky, in the hopes that those who learned to think well in general would also be able to think well about AI. Whether or not you have any interest in thinking about AI, or thinking about it well, I find it valuable to think about everything well, whenever and to the extent I can. While I do consider myself a Rationalist, I do not consider myself an Effective Altruist. That is a very different set of norms and cultural constructs. The Evergreen Posts These are to me the ten posts most worth reading today, along with a pitch on why you might want to read each of them. Only one is directly about AI, exactly because AI moves so quickly, and my top AI posts are listed in the next section down. The top ten are in alphabetical order, all are listed again in their appropriate sections. If you only read one recent post and are here for AI, read OpenAI: The Battle of the Board. If you only read one fully evergreen older post, read Slack. An Unexpected Victory: Container Stacking at the Port of Long Beach. This is still highly underappreciated. How did Ryan's boat ride and Tweetstorm cause a policy change? Could we duplicate this success elsewhere in the future? How? Asymmetric Justice. A concept I wish more people knew and understood. Many moral and f...
Link to original articleWelcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: The Best of Don't Worry About the Vase, published by Zvi on December 13, 2023 on LessWrong. Hello everyone! This is going to be a bit of a housekeeping post and a welcome to new subscribers. Note that this is not the primary version of my writing, which can be found on Substack, but it is a full copy of all posts found there. My writing can be intimidating. There is a lot of it, and it's often dense. As always, choose only the parts relevant to your interests, do not be afraid to make cuts. I attempt to make every post accessible as an entry point, but I also want to build up a superstructure over time. This seemed like a good time to recap some of the very best of my old writing and talk about what I'm up to. Over many years, this blog has morphed from focusing on rationality to COVID to AI. But not only those things. I'm interested in almost everything. I write periodic updates about housing policy, childhood, fertility, medicine and health, gaming and grab bags of everything else. In addition to writing, I also run a small 501c(3) with one employee called Balsa Research. Balsa is dedicated to laying groundwork on a few key issues to make big civilizational wins possible, starting with repeal of the Jones Act. This link is to an update on that, and you can donate here. Your subscriptions here are also very much appreciated. Underlying it all continues to be my version of the principles of rationality. Rationality A lot has changed since my last best-of writeup six years ago. One thing that has not changed is that I consider myself part of the rationalist community. No specific interest in rationality or its modes of thinking are required, but I strive to embody my version of this style of thinking, and to illustrate and hopefully pass on this mode of thinking throughout my writing. What is rationality? This post is one good answer. It is believing, and updating on evidence, so as to systematically improve the correspondence between your map and the territory, and using that map to achieve your values. To me, a rationalist continues to be someone who highly values, and invests in, the version of this process and the art thereof that they believe in, both in themselves and others. If you're wondering why anyone would think this way, my best responses to that are Responses to Tyler Cowen on Rationality and Why Rationality? If you're interested in going deeper, you should try reading the sequences. You can get the Kindle version here. I think rationality and the sequences are pretty great. The sequences were created by Eliezer Yudkowsky, in the hopes that those who learned to think well in general would also be able to think well about AI. Whether or not you have any interest in thinking about AI, or thinking about it well, I find it valuable to think about everything well, whenever and to the extent I can. While I do consider myself a Rationalist, I do not consider myself an Effective Altruist. That is a very different set of norms and cultural constructs. The Evergreen Posts These are to me the ten posts most worth reading today, along with a pitch on why you might want to read each of them. Only one is directly about AI, exactly because AI moves so quickly, and my top AI posts are listed in the next section down. The top ten are in alphabetical order, all are listed again in their appropriate sections. If you only read one recent post and are here for AI, read OpenAI: The Battle of the Board. If you only read one fully evergreen older post, read Slack. An Unexpected Victory: Container Stacking at the Port of Long Beach. This is still highly underappreciated. How did Ryan's boat ride and Tweetstorm cause a policy change? Could we duplicate this success elsewhere in the future? How? Asymmetric Justice. A concept I wish more people knew and understood. Many moral and f...
Im Podcast diskutieren wir über den potentiellen Nonsens den Balaji Srinivasan in seinem Tweetstorm und der 1 Mio $ Wetter zur Bankenkrise und kommenden Hyperinflation von sich gegeben hat. Was passiert eigentlich wirklich aktuell mit den Banken. Ist es so schlimm wie er behauptet? Außerdem reden wir noch viel über Inflation, Geldmengenausweitung, die Rolle der Zentralbanken usw
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Revisiting EA's media policy, published by Arepo on December 3, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Epistemic status: This post is meant to be a conversation starter rather than a conclusive argument. I don't assert that any of the concerns in it are overwhelming, only that we have too quickly adopted a set of media communication practices without discussing their trade-offs. Also, while this was in draft form, Shakeel Hashim, CEA's new head of communications, made some positive comments on the main thesis suggesting that he agreed with a lot of my criticisms and planned to have a much more active involvement with the media. If so, this post may be largely redundant - nonetheless, it seems worth having the conversation in public. CEA adheres to what they call the fidelity model of spreading ideas, which they formally introduced in 2017, though my sense is it was an unofficial policy well before that. In a low-fidelity nutshell, this is the claim that EA ideas are somewhat nuanced and media reporting often isn't, and so it's generally not worth pursuing - and often worth actively discouraging - media communication unless you're a) extremely confident the outlet in question will report the ideas exactly as you describe them and b) you're qualified to deal with the media. In practice, because CEA pull many strings, this being CEA policy makes it de facto EA policy. ‘Qualified to deal with the media' seems to mean ‘CEA-sanctioned', and I have heard of at least one organisation being denied CEA-directed money in part because it was considered too accommodating of the media. Given that ubiquity, I think it's worth discussing the policy more depth. We have five years of results to look back on and, to my knowledge, no further public discussion of the subject. I have four key concerns with the current approach: It's not grounded in research It leads to a high proportion of negative coverage for EA It assumes a Platonic ideal of EA It contributes to the hero-worship/concentration of power in EA Elaborating each. Not empirically grounded The article assumes that low-fidelity spreading of EA ideas is necessarily bad, but doesn't give any data beyond some very general anecdotes to support this. There's an obvious trade-off to be had between a small number of people doing something a lot like what we want and a larger number doing something a bit like what we want, and it's very unclear which has higher expectation. To see the case for the alternative, we might compare the rise of the animal rights movement in the wake of Peter Singer's original argument for animal welfare. The former is a philosophically mutated version of the latter, so on fidelity model reasoning would have been something that's ‘similar but different' - apparently treated on the fidelity model as undesirable. Similarly, the emergence of reducetarianism/flexitarianism looks very like what the fidelity model would consider to be a ‘diluted' version of the practice of veganism Singer advocated. My sense is that both of these have nonetheless been strong net positives for animal welfare. High proportion of negative coverage If you have influence over a group of supporters and you tell them not to communicate with the media, one result you might anticipate is that a much higher proportion of your media coverage comes from the detractors, who you don't have influence over. Shutting out the media can also be counterproductive - they're (mostly) human, and so tend to deal more kindly with people who deal more kindly with them. I have three supporting anecdotes, one admittedly eclipsing the others: FTXgate At the time of writing, if you Google ‘effective altruism news', you still get something like this. Similarly, if you look at Will's Tweetstorm decrying SBF's actions, the majority of responses are angrily negativ...
This week, Mike Agerbo and John Biehler try to keep up with all the news that happened this past week over at Twitter and Elon Musk's purchase of the social media app. We'll also talk with a Canadian company, Unitron, all about the latest tech inside hearing aids and they've come a long way! Mike shares his thoughts on iRobot's latest robot vacuum that also mops at the same time. All this and the latest tech news. Can't get enough of GetConnected and our charmingly nerdy hosts? Subscribe to the GetConnected podcast and don't forget to listen to them discuss mobile technology on the App Show podcast. You can also find us on the web, YouTube, Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, and TikTok.
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Far-UVC Light Update: No, LEDs are not around the corner (tweetstorm), published by Davidmanheim on November 2, 2022 on LessWrong. I wrote a tweetstorm on why 222nm LEDs are not around the corner, and given that there has been some discussion related to this on Lesswrong, I thought it was worth reposting here.People interested in reducing biorisk seem to be super excited about 222nm light to kill pathogens. I'm also really excited - but it's (unfortunately) probably a decade or more away from widespread usage. Let me explain. Before I begin, caveat lector: I'm not an expert in this area, and this is just the outcome of my initial review and outreach to experts. And I'd be thrilled for someone to convince me I'm too pessimistic. But I see two and a half problems. First, to deploy safe 222nm lights, we need safety trials. These will take time. This isn't just about regulatory approval - we can't put these in place without understanding a number of unclear safety issues, especially for about higher output / stronger 222nm lights. We can and should accelerate the research, but trials and regulatory approval are both slow. We don't know about impacts of daily exposure over the long term, or on small children, etc. This will take time - and while we wait, we run into a second problem; the Far-UVC lamps. Current lamps are KrCl “excimer” lamps, which are only a few percent efficient - and so to put out much Far-UVC light, they get very hot. This pretty severely limits their use, and means we need many of them for even moderately large spaces. They also emit a somewhat broad spectrum - part of which needs to be filtered out to be safe -/ - further reducing efficiency. Low efficiency, very hot lamps all over the place doesn't sound so feasible. So people seem skeptical that we can cover large areas with these lamps. The obvious next step, then, is to get a better light source. Instead of excimer lamps, we could use LEDs! Except, of course, that we don't currently have LEDs that output 222nm light. (That's not quite true - there are some research labs that have made prototypes, but they are even less efficient than Excimer lamps, so they aren't commercially available or anywhere near commercially viable yet, as I'll explain.) But first, some physics! The wavelength of light emitted by an LED is a material property of the semiconductor used. Each semiconductor has a band-gap which corresponds to the wavelength of light LEDs emit. It seems likely that anything in the range of between, say, 205-225nm would be fine for skin-safe Far-UVC LEDs. So we need a band-gap of somewhere around 5.5 to 6 electron-volts. And we have options. Here's a list of some semiconductors and band-gaps;. Blue LEDs use Gallium nitride, with a band-gap of 3.4 eV. Figuring out how to grow and then use Gallium nitride for LEDs won the discoverers a Nobel Prize - so finding how to make new LEDs will probably also be hard. Aluminum nitride alone has a band gap of 6.015 eV, with light emitted at 210nm. So Aluminum nitride would be perfect. but LEDs from AlN are mediocre./ Current tech that does pretty well for Far-UVC LEDs uses AlGaN; Aluminium gallium nitride. And when alloyed, AlGaN gives an adjustable band-gap, depending on how much aluminum there is. Unfortunately, aluminum gallium nitride alloys only seem to work well down to about 250nm, a bunch higher than 222nm. This needs to get much better. Some experts said a 5-10x improvement is likely, but it will take years. That's also not really enough for the best case, universal usage of really cheap disinfecting LEDs all around the world. It also might not get much better, and we'll be stuck with very low efficiency Far-UVC LEDs, at which point it's probably better to keep using Excimer lamps. But fundamental research into other semiconductor materials could a...
Link to original articleWelcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Far-UVC Light Update: No, LEDs are not around the corner (tweetstorm), published by Davidmanheim on November 2, 2022 on LessWrong. I wrote a tweetstorm on why 222nm LEDs are not around the corner, and given that there has been some discussion related to this on Lesswrong, I thought it was worth reposting here.People interested in reducing biorisk seem to be super excited about 222nm light to kill pathogens. I'm also really excited - but it's (unfortunately) probably a decade or more away from widespread usage. Let me explain. Before I begin, caveat lector: I'm not an expert in this area, and this is just the outcome of my initial review and outreach to experts. And I'd be thrilled for someone to convince me I'm too pessimistic. But I see two and a half problems. First, to deploy safe 222nm lights, we need safety trials. These will take time. This isn't just about regulatory approval - we can't put these in place without understanding a number of unclear safety issues, especially for about higher output / stronger 222nm lights. We can and should accelerate the research, but trials and regulatory approval are both slow. We don't know about impacts of daily exposure over the long term, or on small children, etc. This will take time - and while we wait, we run into a second problem; the Far-UVC lamps. Current lamps are KrCl “excimer” lamps, which are only a few percent efficient - and so to put out much Far-UVC light, they get very hot. This pretty severely limits their use, and means we need many of them for even moderately large spaces. They also emit a somewhat broad spectrum - part of which needs to be filtered out to be safe -/ - further reducing efficiency. Low efficiency, very hot lamps all over the place doesn't sound so feasible. So people seem skeptical that we can cover large areas with these lamps. The obvious next step, then, is to get a better light source. Instead of excimer lamps, we could use LEDs! Except, of course, that we don't currently have LEDs that output 222nm light. (That's not quite true - there are some research labs that have made prototypes, but they are even less efficient than Excimer lamps, so they aren't commercially available or anywhere near commercially viable yet, as I'll explain.) But first, some physics! The wavelength of light emitted by an LED is a material property of the semiconductor used. Each semiconductor has a band-gap which corresponds to the wavelength of light LEDs emit. It seems likely that anything in the range of between, say, 205-225nm would be fine for skin-safe Far-UVC LEDs. So we need a band-gap of somewhere around 5.5 to 6 electron-volts. And we have options. Here's a list of some semiconductors and band-gaps;. Blue LEDs use Gallium nitride, with a band-gap of 3.4 eV. Figuring out how to grow and then use Gallium nitride for LEDs won the discoverers a Nobel Prize - so finding how to make new LEDs will probably also be hard. Aluminum nitride alone has a band gap of 6.015 eV, with light emitted at 210nm. So Aluminum nitride would be perfect. but LEDs from AlN are mediocre./ Current tech that does pretty well for Far-UVC LEDs uses AlGaN; Aluminium gallium nitride. And when alloyed, AlGaN gives an adjustable band-gap, depending on how much aluminum there is. Unfortunately, aluminum gallium nitride alloys only seem to work well down to about 250nm, a bunch higher than 222nm. This needs to get much better. Some experts said a 5-10x improvement is likely, but it will take years. That's also not really enough for the best case, universal usage of really cheap disinfecting LEDs all around the world. It also might not get much better, and we'll be stuck with very low efficiency Far-UVC LEDs, at which point it's probably better to keep using Excimer lamps. But fundamental research into other semiconductor materials could a...
We talk about Adam Schefters “tweet heard around the world” and Gil Brandt's comments. Also, Russ to the Hornets?
Lead Balloon - Public Relations, Marketing and Strategic Communications Disaster Stories
On January 3, Pabst Blue Ribbon lit the internet on fire with one obscene tweet: “Not drinking this January? Try eating ass.” The uproar was swift and loud. And PBR deleted the tweets and apologized publicly, even as some writers blamed a “rogue employee” for the tweets. That was NOT the case. The offending Tweeter was actually an established social media manager by the name of Corey Smale, a creative enigma whose free-wheeling, hands-on approach had really resonated with the brand's fans. So what went wrong for PBR? What safeguards did they have in place? Who's REALLY to blame for the ass-eating Twitter incident, and what can we learn from it? On this episode, we pick through the wreckage with Kyle Brown, our go-to beer marketing correspondent, and with David Griner, Adweek's International editor, who scored an exclusive interview with former PBR social media manager Corey Smale. Plus, we examine an interview that Corey gave on the In Defense of Ska Podcast—mere weeks before his dismissal—to learn more about the process that had been established for running PBR's social media. *Please note, this episode is NOT SAFE FOR WORK* While you're here: Leave us a message on the Lead Balloon Comms Gripe Line Sign up for the Podcamp Media e-newsletter Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Today, Dom led off the Dom Giordano Program by discussing the Tweetstorm that he received over the weekend after announcing his 2021 Local Person of the Year, Dr. David Damsker. Dom responds to the online critics, specifically discussing a Tweet sent by a columnist that writes for the same local paper. Giordano then discusses developments centered on Dr. Damsker and Bucks County, telling of an investigation by the Bucks County Courier Times that exposes emails sent by the state toward Bucks County dictating which mandates to enforce. Then, Giordano discusses the emergence of Gardner Minshew after a successful outing as the Philadelphia Eagles starting quarterback yesterday. After announcing the side topic centered around Minshew, Dom turns back toward more serious issues, discussing a rally on Temple's campus featuring parents protesting against the lack of safety on campus, after another student was recently murdered. Then, after debating whether chips or pretzels are the better snack food, Giordano moves into a conversation about a potential rebirth of a mandatory draft. (Photo by Getty Images) See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Comptroller's October sales tax announcement Austin's Prop A Ryan Peterson's port-related Tweetstorm Zach Klein's guerrilla speed bump installation Tweetstorm
Oxide and Friends Twitter Space: October 18th, 2021Dijkstra's TweetstormWe've been holding a Twitter Space weekly on Mondays at 5p for about an hour. Even though it's not (yet?) a feature of Twitter Spaces, we have been recording them all; here is the recording for our Twitter Space for October 18th, 2021.In addition to Bryan Cantrill and Adam Leventhal, speakers on October 18th included Edwin Peer, Dan Cross, Ryan Zezeski, Tom Lyon, Aaron Goldman, Simeon Miteff, MattSci, Nate, raycar5, night, and Drew Vogel. (Did we miss your name and/or get it wrong? Drop a PR!)Some of the topics we hit on, in the order that we hit them:Dijkstra's 1975 “How do we tell truths that might hurt?” EWD 498 tweet > PL/1 > belongs more to the problem set than to the solution setThe use of COBOL cripples the mind; its teaching should, therefore, be regarded as a criminal offenceAPL is a mistake, carried through to perfection. It is the language of the future for the programming techniques of the past: it creates a new generation of coding bums - [@3:08](https://youtu.be/D-Uzo7M-ioQ?t=188) Languages affect the way you think It is practically impossible to teach good programming to students that have had a prior exposure to BASIC: as potential programmers they are mentally mutilated beyond hope of regeneration. - [@4:33](https://youtu.be/D-Uzo7M-ioQ?t=273) Adam's Perl story - The Camel Book, not to be confused with OCaml - “You needed books to learn how to do things” - CGI - [@9:04](https://youtu.be/D-Uzo7M-ioQ?t=544) Adam meets Larry Wall - [@11:59](https://youtu.be/D-Uzo7M-ioQ?t=719) Meeting Dennis Ritchie - “We were very excited; too excited some would say…” - [@15:04](https://youtu.be/D-Uzo7M-ioQ?t=904) Effects of learning languages, goals of a language, impediments to learning - Roger Hui of APL and J fame, RIP. - Accessible as a language value - Microsoft Pascal, Turbo Pascal - Scratch - LabVIEW - [@25:31](https://youtu.be/D-Uzo7M-ioQ?t=1531) Nate's experience - Languages have different audiences - [@27:18](https://youtu.be/D-Uzo7M-ioQ?t=1638) Human languages - The Esperanto con-lang - Tonal langages - Learning new and different programming languages - [@37:06](https://youtu.be/D-Uzo7M-ioQ?t=2226) Adam's early JavaScript (tweet) - circa 1996 - [@44:10](https://youtu.be/D-Uzo7M-ioQ?t=2650) Learning from books, sitting down and learning by typing out examples - How do you learn to program in a language? - Zed Shaw on learning programming through spaced repetition blog - Rigid advice on how to learn - ALGOL 68, planned successor to ALGOL 60 - ALGOL 60, was, according to Tony Hoare, “An improvment on nearly all of its successors” - [@50:41](https://youtu.be/D-Uzo7M-ioQ?t=3041) Where does Rust belong in the progression of languages someone learns? Rust is what happens when you've got 25 years of experience with C++, and you remove most of the rough edges and make it safer? - “Everyone needs to learn enough C, to appreciate what it is and what it isn't” - [@52:45](https://youtu.be/D-Uzo7M-ioQ?t=3165) “I wish I had learned Rust instead of C++” - [@53:35](https://youtu.be/D-Uzo7M-ioQ?t=3215) Adam: Brown revisits intro curriculum, teaching Scheme, ML, then Java - Adam learning Rust back in 2015 (tweet) “First Rust Program Pain (So you can avoid it…)” Tom: There's a tension in learning between the people who hate magic and want to know how everything works in great detail, versus the people who just want to see something useful done. It's hard to satisfy both. - [@1:00:02](https://youtu.be/D-Uzo7M-ioQ?t=3602) Bryan coming to Rust - “Learn Rust with entirely too many linked lists” guide - Rob Pike interview Its concurrency is rooted in CSP, but evolved through a series of languages done at Bell Labs in the 1980s and 1990s, such as Newsqueak, Alef, and Limbo. - [@1:03:01](https://youtu.be/D-Uzo7M-ioQ?t=3781) Debugging Erlang processes. Ryan on runtime v. language - Tuning runtimes. Go and Rust - [@1:06:42](https://youtu.be/D-Uzo7M-ioQ?t=4002) Rust is its own build system - Bryan's 2018 “Falling in love with Rust” post - Lisp macros, Clean, Logo, Scratch - [@1:11:27](https://youtu.be/D-Uzo7M-ioQ?t=4287) The use of anthropomorphic terminology when dealing with computing systems is a symptom of professional immaturity. - [@1:12:09](https://youtu.be/D-Uzo7M-ioQ?t=4329) Oxide bringup updates - I2C Inter-Integrated Circuit - SPI Serial Peripheral Interface - iCE40If we got something wrong or missed something, please file a PR! Our next Twitter space will likely be on Monday at 5p Pacific Time; stay tuned to our Twitter feeds for details. We'd love to have you join us, as we always love to hear from new speakers!
This week Jeff and Ian discuss the North American Olympic picks, Robin Lehner's Tweetstorm, and more.
First, Ian and Hailey discuss Robin Lehner's weekend tweetstorm essentially accusing NHL teams of medical malpractice, as a reaction to Jack Eichel's ongoing struggle with the Buffalo Sabres about surgical options for his neck injury, Edmonton Oilers forward Josh Archibald being out indefinitely after a myocarditis diagnosis related to a battle with COVID-19 in the offseason, and more. Then, The Athletic's Rick Carpiniello joins the show to talk about playoff expectations for the New York Rangers this season, if the franchise overreacted to last year's Tom Wilson incident with their offseason moves, Mika Zibanejad's contract situation, Jack Eichel still as a potential trade target, what Adam Fox's next deal could look like, Alexis Lafrenière's future, and more. Next, The Athletic's James Mirtle joins the show to give his thoughts on the All or Nothing: Toronto Maple Leafs documentary series, Sheldon Keefe's extension with the team, Mitch Marner on the hottest hot seat this season, what's at stake for the Leafs after another playoff disappointment last season, and more. Plus, to close things out, Ian and Hailey run through a series of Multiple Choice Madness questions including the most anticipated return for a player to his old city this season, if Alex Pietrangelo being amongst the first three Team Canada players added to the roster was surprising, and which veteran defenseman would you take in a fantasy hockey draft. Join The Athletic Hockey Show's official fantasy hockey pool on OfficePools.com: http://www.officepools.com/invite/classic/m/HAFE2H6Q And, right now, you can save 50% on an annual subscription to The Athletic when you visit http://theathletic.com/hockeyshow
"The Bitcoin Standard is a great introduction to Austrian Economics, hard money, and why Bitcoin might claim gold's role in a digital, global economy. Yorick de Mombynes (@ydemombynes) put together a 133-part tweetstorm, which I read to you today."
ARM is a simple mental model to help you intentionally craft more fulfilling work.-----Follow the MTTM journey on Twitter or LinkedIn!If you haven't already, would you do me a favor and take ~40 seconds to rate/review the show on Apple Podcasts? It really helps. (Scroll to bottom of page for rate/review links.)Links & resources mentionedVIA Character strengths surveyAndrew's original Tweetstorm on ARM model (expanded version of these ideas)Saeed Khan's "3 things in a job" model responseRelated episodes:#11 Rian Doris & Conor Murphy: Flow — Cultivating the optimal experience of life#24 Laura Garnett: Find your zone of genius and never fear a job search againBooks and other resourcesBrené Brown - values listSo Good They Can't Ignore YouDesigning Your LifeThe Infinite GameJob craftingWhat Job Crafting Looks Like - HBRJob Crafting - Univ of Michigan80,000 Hours Guide: A guide to using your career to help solve the world’s most pressing problemsUncharitable: How Restraints on Nonprofits Undermine Their Potential
The team goes deep on Twitter, digs deep into a new Facebook feature, and questions deepfakes. Your 5 Things: Twitter announced paid Super Follows Twitter Added 'Twemojis' To Fleets Twitter Tested ‘Safety Mode’ Facebook Launched BARS App Tom Cruise Deepfake Went Viral Sources: The Verge and Social Media Today Email us: Podcasts@Grey.com Check out our #5Things Newsletter!
The November 2020 DOJ-NAR settlement requires that buyer’s agent commissions are apparent to consumers. But that transparency is just a first step in a push to divorce real estate commissions entirely. Should the other DOJ lawsuits succeed, home buyers will negotiate buy-side commissions directly with the buyer’s agent. So, what happens if the disruptors calling for these changes (like Jack Ryan) get their way? On this episode of Industry Relations, Rob and Greg discuss Sam DeBord’s passionate Tweetstorm in response to their recent interview with Jack Ryan of REX, clarifying the arguments made by both Jack and Sam and considering how transparency around buyer’s agent commissions is likely to reduce the population of agent-facilitators and drive market share to the true realtor-counselors in the space. Rob and Greg describe how a rule ending cooperation and compensation would impact the industry long-term, exploring a possible transition from a buyer’s commission to a flat fee or hourly model. Listen in for insight into the questions industry disruptors raise with regard to the role of the MLS, the brokerage, and the agent in the absence of cooperation and compensation. What’s Discussed: Lone Wolf’s acquisition of W+R Studios and how Greg & Dan are sharing $1M of the proceeds with their team Sam DeBord’s passionate Tweetstorm in response to our interview with Jack Ryan of REX What makes a real estate agent a facilitator vs. a counselor How transparency around buyer’s agent commissions could significantly reduce the agent population How Jack Ryan’s background in politics and high finance informs the way he thinks about making real estate better for consumers How the end of cooperative compensation is likely to disrupt real estate referral networks The opportunity for vendors to help buyer’s agents demonstrate their value Why Rob thinks there could be a transition from buyer’s agent commissions to a flat fee or hourly model What agents and brokers might do to take advantage of the required disclosure of buyer’s agent commissions The questions Jack Ryan’s line of attack raises re: the value prop of the MLS or the real estate brokerage in the absence of cooperation and compensation Connect with Rob and Greg: Rob’s Website Greg’s Website Resources: Lone Wolf Technologies Lone Wolf’s Acquisition of W+R Studios Greg’s Post on the Lone Wolf Acquisition Sam DeBord on Twitter Sam DeBord’s Tweetstorm on Jack Ryan Jack Ryan on Industry Relations EP055 Spencer Rascoff & Austin Allision on Industry Relations EP056 HousingWire’s Acquisition of REAL Trends Jeff Corbett’s Post on Divorcing Real Estate Commissions The NAR-DOJ Agreement on MLS Rules Buyside Biden’s Proposed First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit Our Sponsors: Cloud Agent Suite Notorious VIP
I had the great pleasure of interviewing Jay Thornhill. Jay is an Australian-American whose one-year stay in China has lasted thirteen years. He is a cofounder and Head of Product Development at Baopals.Near the end of 2015, Jay and two close American friends, Charlie and Tyler, set out to make China’s largest online shopping platforms accessible and convenient for non-Chinese. They had no experience in ecommerce, no funding or guanxi, and plenty of legal, financial and technological uncertainty. However, they knew this problem needed to be solved, and there was nothing in the market like the solution they wanted.On March 1st, 2016, they launched Baopals (baopals.com). Baopals is a bridge to all products and sellers from Taobao, Tmall and JD, updating in real time and catered to foreign shoppers. In 4 years, the platform has helped expats in China purchase over 4 million items for CNY250 million in gross merchandise value. What are the most exciting trends you are seeing in China today?The speed with which China and its people build new infrastructure, adopt new technology, and take up new habits is a sight to behold. It’s taken for granted now that you can purchase anything you want with a few clicks on the phone and have it delivered to your door quickly and cheaply. Easy access to low-cost products and services is nothing new here, but consumers’ preferences are evolving too. Because China’s economy and culture changed so drastically the past 50 years, the generation gap might be wider here than almost anywhere in the world. The younger generation tends to be more open-minded, competitive, individualistic, and optimistic. A growing number want to carve their own paths, take more risks, try out more hobbies and interests, and live a more varied lifestyle than previous generations. It’s all relative, and China remains far off from the individualism and “pursuit of happiness” ethos of American culture, so it’ll be interesting to see what kind of balance is struck going forward.How has the coronavirus affected your business and other businesses in your industry?At the start of 2020, the outbreak looked as if it was going to have a dramatic effect on China but not the rest of the world. A lot of expats in China hurried to fly back home or travel while waiting for COVID to get contained in China. Since Baopals is built entirely for non-Chinese shoppers, we saw a drop of about 35% in sales almost overnight as expats fled the country. Then the outbreak turned into a worldwide pandemic and the borders were closed, so it became clear to us we weren’t getting those customers back for a while, and we wouldn’t benefit from new foreigners arriving in China for a while.Because of lockdown measures, we had nearly all of our staff working remotely in February, which meant there were 3 or 4 of us working in a 3-story house built for a team of 50 and costing us an arm and a leg. Without an end in sight, we built new backend tools to better manage remote work, including a fully automated points and rewards system for our staff. When we saw how well everyone was working from home, we decided to ditch the office and we never looked back. The pandemic forced a lot of companies and individuals to experiment with remote work, and I think many have found it to be more viable than expected.Our numbers rebounded more quickly than expected, possibly from shoppers preferring online shopping more now than in pre-pandemic times. With the improved efficiency we’re set up nicely for growth, and we’ve recently soft launched international service to do just that.What is one thing people outside of China misunderstand about the regionOver the years I’ve become a bit guarded whenever the topic of China comes up with family or friends back home. I have to first assess whether they are genuinely curious about Chinese people and my experience in China, or whether they’re merely seeking to confirm views shaped by western media. If it’s the latter, then they likely won’t be receptive to certain ideas. For example, that many expats feel they enjoy more freedom and opportunity in China than they did in their homelands. Or the idea that Chinese people are not brainwashed – at least, no more brainwashed than the average person nowadays. Most Chinese are proud of their country’s achievements without blindly agreeing to all of the ruling party’s politics. They tend to be defensive when China is criticized, and they’re justified in feeling that western media has a negative bias towards China. The truth is often more nuanced than what is presented, and western media typically avoids anything positive that might be said about China. When one’s homeland is criticized by those who have little to no experience with the country, some defensiveness is to be expected. What are some companies you admire in China?China’s tech giants deserve a lot of admiration. Alibaba built the world’s best shopping platform in Taobao, with the most products at the best prices. The only problem is that it was built entirely for Chinese – and therein lay the opportunity for us to create Baopals, making Taobao easy for non-Chinese to enjoy.Tencent has created, in my opinion, the most useful app in existence. WeChat has grown from a typical messaging app to a do-it-all digital platform that those in China can’t imagine living without. It’s an ecosystem for social life, payments, media, online shopping, gaming, events, and a wealth of other services. One of the first things we did as a company was create our official WeChat service account, which allows users to easily shop on Baopals without leaving WeChat. The bulk of our content and payments come through WeChat, so much so that in over four years we still haven’t built stand-alone apps (they are coming, though!).I’m also a big fan of other platforms that make life in China more convenient, including DiDi (China’s Uber, with incredibly low fares and an English version to boot), Ele.me and Meituan for food delivery, and Hello Bike or Mobike for biking all over the city.What is the single most important piece of advice you would give to someone trying to get their business to thrive in this time period?If there’s any one-size-fits-all advice, it’s to focus on profitability above all else. That may seem obvious, but this seems to be forgotten all too often in the startup scene today. In the second year of Baopals, we got caught up in the hype of top-line growth, media attention, and potential fundraising instead of focusing on what really matters: the bottom line. Our sales doubled while our net profit fell nearly 70%. Once we shut out the distractions and honed our focus on profitability, we found all kinds of ways to improve efficiency and earnings. With the right focus, you can grow your net earnings and improve cash flow even when top line sales are falling. That helps you get through difficult times and thrive on the rebound.Quickfire QuestionsA - What’s the best thing you have watched recently? (Film, TV Show, Ted Talk, Youtube Video, etc.)I’m enjoying the sci-fi series Raised by Wolves, about androids attempting to raise children and build a colony after leaving a post-apocalyptic Earth. It’s well crafted, visually stunning, and thought provoking. I always enjoy science fiction for being imaginative and exploring the unknown, while ultimately being about us. It’s also a great way to take my mind off anything that might be stressing me out in the real world!B - What’s the best thing you have read recently? (Book, Article, Research Report, Tweetstorm, etc.)I’m a big believer in Bitcoin, and there are a lot of exciting things happening in the crypto space these days. Bitcoiners have long anticipated corporations and central banks beginning to hold Bitcoin reserves, so the recent news that MicroStrategy allocated the vast majority of its cash reserves (over $400 million) to Bitcoin feels like a watershed moment. News just broke that Square has also begun purchasing Bitcoin, and no doubt more corporations are discussing how to do the same.C - What’s the best thing you have listened to recently? (Song, Album, Artist, Podcast, Audiobook, etc.)“Burn the House Down” by AJR. Never mind the dark lyrics; you can’t help feeling good and adding bounce to your step with this song playing. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eastwesthurricane.substack.com
I had the great pleasure of interviewing Michael Yang, CEO of TikTok Agents. TikTok Agents is a California-based TikTok Marketing and Advertising agency. Michael is originally from China, went to university in the US, and has worked across several companies in gaming and consumer tech. Michael’s professional and educational background gives him perspective on the East and West that I don’t hear often enough. I really enjoyed reading his answers and hope you will too.What are the most exciting trends you are seeing in China today?There are so many trends happening in China right now. 5G and AI both unleash great imagination and prospects for the country. As far as the industry I am working in, I think the most promising sector in the near future is the new consumer retail industry. With the rapid development of platforms such as Douyin and Kuaishou, the time for a brand to go from creation to becoming a major player in the market is getting shorter and shorter. And the whole integration of online e-commerce stores with brick-and-mortar stores is getting better and better. I think in the near future, online and offline will be fully integrated. Merchants will be able to comprehensively evaluate and quantify store performance from multiple dimensions, and consumers can also have a better shopping experience. How has the coronavirus affected your business and other businesses in your industry?I run a TikTok marketing & advertising company in the United States. This year, affected by the pandemic, billions of people left their jobs and were forced to stay at home. It is during this time period that many creators jumped into TikTok to become TikTok influencers. Many users also found joy and relaxation by coming to TikTok. This has brought TikTok rapid growth in its worldwide user base, including rapid expansion in the US. Therefore, in terms of overall environment, the pandemic has created favourable external growth for TikTok. Of course, the impact of the pandemic is reflected elsewhere. For example, because of shelter in place in California, our team was forced to work online. This was the first time that I led the team through online collaboration. This is a new challenge for me and the team. Fortunately, our business is mainly online. We were able to accomplish most of our online tasks seamlessly, but we still need to improve on management and collaboration. What is one thing people outside of China misunderstand about the country?Wow, this is a very big topic. I think first, it depends on how you define the term “people outside of China.” I have lived in the US and the UK for the past 10 years, talking with people in different cities and different places. I have heard highly prejudiced opinions or bias about China, and I have also heard far-sighted and considerate views about China. I think this mainly depends on the person’s positioning and experience. Just like me 10 years ago, when I first set foot in the United States, I discovered that the United States was completely different from what I saw on TV in China. I only discovered and felt all of these things by experiencing them in person.Overall, a lot of foreign people have a fixed stereotype that the Chinese government uses heavy-handed control to suppress the people, and the Chinese people will need to accept rules that may lead to a lack of human rights or freedom. But in my opinion, China is a completely pragmatic country and society. The Chinese government’s management model is totally results-oriented. For example, since the start of the epidemic, many Western media outlets have blamed the Chinese government for shutting down Wuhan. However, the fundamental reasoning of the government is that everything needs to be results-oriented. They were controlling the pandemic, reducing the speed of spread, and halting the number of infections and casualties. That is the purpose of their work.So the foreigners were surprised and worried about human rights when the Chinese people were willing to accept the government’s compulsory control during the pandemic. Meanwhile, the Chinese people were worried and surprised about the irresponsible and ridiculous actions of foreign people who refused to wear masks and quarantine. An important concept in economics is the trade-off between fairness and efficiency. An excellent social structure is able to maximize efficiency while ensuring fairness. In my view, Western society emphasizes fairness, while Chinese society emphasizes efficiency. The same principle is applied when we talk about doing business in China. If the result can be achieved in a short time, no matter what measures one may possibly use, it will be the most favorable choice.What are some companies you admire in China?Personally, I admire Bytedance. Bytedance’s products are very attractive and have strong user stickiness. As a young CEO, Zhang Yiming manages a team of more than ten thousand people. He has strong leadership and personal charisma, which makes him a role model for our generation.What is the single most important piece of advice you would give to someone trying to get their business to thrive in this time period?Hard times create heroes. The mission of starting any business is to solve problems and create value. In this year of frustration, loss, risks, and challenges, each of these “problems” need a solution. And every one of these solutions means an opportunity. So difficult times may also be a good thing for entrepreneurs. Without these problems, how can you talk about starting a business after all?Quickfire Questions…A - What’s the best thing you have watched recently? (Film, TV Show, Ted Talk, YouTube Video, etc.)The BBC’s documentary—The Planets. When I start to look up in the sky and realize how small human history is, I feel humbled and relaxed.B - What’s the best thing you have read recently? (Book, Article, Research Report, Tweetstorm, etc.)The Deer and the Cauldron - a historical fiction novel written by Jin Yong. It depicts precisely Chinese characteristics and values. I recommend it strongly if you are interested in knowing more about Chinese culture and social behaviours, especially the way government interacts with normal people.C - What’s the best thing you have listened to recently? (Song, Album, Artist, Podcast, Audiobook, etc.)10 Minutes of relaxing meditation music This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eastwesthurricane.substack.com
The 2020 election campaign season is fraught with unrelenting drama – who's infected now, hate-spewing, and the president's latest Tweetstorm – we lose track of the scale of what's really upon us. Beyond masks and death rates, the pandemic, the high court, the economy, democracy, fear of fascism, and all the rest there looms the Big One, our climate, and how the hammer of climate change will dramatically change our lives. Half of the American population will see a decline in their environment conditional. People are already on the move, fleeing fires, rising seas, too many hurricanes, too much heat. In the decades in front of us, climate migration - vast movements of people driven by painful climate change - is on track to explode. Abrahm Lustgarten does soften the blow. His New York Times and ProPublica piece over the summer reveals a world already on the move and forecast what's ahead for the United States...
Jack Butcher is the founder of @VisualizeValue, a Twitter/Instagram account he's grown to 100k+ followers in less than 2yrs. His business brings in $100k+ month with 99% profit margins. Five Things You'll Learn: building an audience from scratch transitioning from selling services (time) to products (value) how to tell better stories leverage, compounding + other ideas that changed his world view naval’s tweetstorm on building wealth Let us know what you think on Twitter: @bzaidi @creatorlabfm @jackbutcher @visualizevalue Timestamps (YouTube) https://youtu.be/bwBYNQGiOXo 00:00:00 Intro 00:01:49 Jack's Background 00:05:08 Naval's Tweetstorm 00:09:23 $100k/mo + 99% Profit Margins 00:11:27 Starting Visualize Value 00:15:16 Communicating Complex Ideas 00:17:37 Building an Audience from Scratch 00:22:09 Difference Between Twitter + Instagram Audiences 00:27:28 Constraints + Creating Consistently 00:29:49 Keeping A Brand Fresh 00:30:49 "Good Advertising Wears In, Not Out" 00:34:00 Finding Your Own Voice 00:36:54 Power of Visual Content 00:37:38 One Platform At A Time? 00:42:03 Platform Risk + Organic Reach 00:47:52 Jack's Creative Process 00:57:08 Lessons In Storytelling 01:02:45 How to Stay Consistent 01:08:07 Joe Rogan's First Podcast 01:10:17 Internal Motivation 01:11:30 The Future of Visualize Value 01:14:04 Behind The Mind: "Seek Wealth, Not Money or Status" 01:20:16 "Do You Love The Poor or Hate The Rich?" 01:23:49 Understanding Leverage 01:26:26 Employee vs Owner Mindset 01:30:30 US vs UK culture 01:36:17 "When You're Finally Wealthy, You Realize It Wasn't What You Were Seeking in the First Place" 01:39:19 Wrap Up + Book "The Almanack of Naval Ravikant": https://amzn.to/34uy7aE
Dave and Craig are back behind the mic. This week they’re talking about being pulled in different directions, bookkeepers, and perseverance. How long is too long when it comes to being persistent? They’re also covering updates on Castos and Recapture, along with Dave’s Tweetstorm about luck surface area. We would love to hear stories about […]
Julia Chatterley is live from New York. Here are the top business news stories today! Tweetstorm turmoil! President Trump halts stimulus talks, then calls for targeted aid deals. Big tech takedown! Amazon, Apple, Google, Facebook accused of abusing their dominance. White House chaos! The coronavirus spreads through the west wing. It’s Wednesday, let’s make a move.To learn more about how CNN protects listener privacy, visit cnn.com/privacy
Declassified College Podcast | College Advice That Isn't Boring
Whose crazy enough to move halfway across the country with $1000 to find a job in tech without any tech experience? Sean Thielen is and I came across his story after his Tweetstorm went viral. Sean graduated from UCLA with a degree in biology and turned down a job offer before moving to New York. This is part 1 of our 2-part series with Sean talking about why he made that decision and how he found his first tech internship in New York. There is also an amazing story that could only happen in NY at the end. Claim your free $10 of a stock with public.com by using this link: https://bit.ly/DCxPublic Thank you for listening to the show and making it all the way to the end of the show notes! (You’re dedicated and we appreciate you) If you want to join our newsletter that releases once a week (0 spam) with 5 college cheatcodes, you can subscribe here: https://mailchi.mp/31e942a00a1c/gcgunewsletter If you’d like to check out our Instagram Page: https://www.instagram.com/declassifiedcollege/ And if you want to the the cringe Tik Tok that Justin makes, make sure to give us a follow here: https://vm.tiktok.com/ZMJAakMkJ/
I had the great pleasure of interviewing Ryan Molloy, CEO of RedFern Digital. RedFern Digital is a full-service marketing agency based in Shanghai that helps international brands succeed in China, with a particular focus on e-commerce. Their clients have included Burger King, Fireball Whisky, and Panasonic. Ryan is originally from the UK, but grew up in Suzhou and has been living in China for most of his life. Prior to RedFern, Ryan worked in market research and consulting. Having lived and worked in both China and the UK, Ryan has a great East West perspective that you’ll see in this interview!What are the most exciting trends you are seeing in China today?There are two main angles to trends in China. You’ve got platforms and you’ve got consumers. And we’re constantly trying to find our balance between the two.Chinese platforms are so dynamic. Douyin changed their commission structure this week. Little Red Book changed their commission structure the previous week. These little changes have major and immediate impact on both our strategy and profitability. Although I hate it, it keeps me on my toes. Our digital strategy for brands last November is completely different than the strategy today. A client might say to us ‘Well this isn’t what you told us six months ago.’ and we’ll reply, ‘Well things have dramatically changed over the last six months and some platforms we don’t even use anymore!’The other angle is consumer trends, because China is very young in the way people react to products. Consumer trends in China will just hit all at once. For example, I was talking to a friend who works in the Japanese hair dye industry. I was telling him how hair dye is this insane recent trend in China. Everyone in our office has multi-colored hair now. One year, everyone had these little stems and flowers in their hair. And each time, I kept asking myself, ‘Where did this start?’ You talk about trends in the West and they’re more vague, larger concepts. In China, they’re right in front of you.In China, modernisation is still pretty new and Chinese people want to add their own spice to modern trends. When consumers come up with something new, it’s always very different. We had plant-based food become a hit recently. Within the first week of this trend, there were 10 million searches on Baidu. All of these trends suddenly appear and we have to jump on them quickly. Part of our job is go out and help these brands in the West realise the opportunity. As an example, we are working with a Western plant-based meat company right now. Based on what we’re seeing in market, we might approach them and say, ‘You guys have to come to China.’ We had a similar case with Sara Lee cheesecakes. Who would’ve thought that cheesecakes would become a big thing in China? In the West, cheesecake is something we’ve always had. We’ve seen the category change a little bit and maybe there are new flavors like chocolate cheesecake, but the category hasn’t dramatically changed. But in China, the category is born overnight. I like that.How has the coronavirus affected your business and other businesses in your industry?Our business is up a lot. We’re likely going to double this year. We were struggling in the first four months of 2020 and then things started turning around in April or May. I think a lot of global brands are looking to China since it’s now been open for so long relative to other countries. But at the same time, I definitely see the overall industry struggling. I interviewed six applicants for a role at our company yesterday. All of them had come from advertising agencies that had gone out of business because of Covid. We work in the young, digital e-commerce space and lots of brands now have to put their product online. So e-commerce is a necessary channel for your brand. On other hand—events, traditional media, traditional advertising agencies or anything considered not 100% essential for your business are the first things a major brand will cut this year. What is one thing people outside of China misunderstand about the region?People misunderstand how difficult it is. That is the number one thing. Brands might sell in the US and UK by dropping off a few containers that find their way to a supermarket. You can do a large campaign on Facebook or Instagram and you’ll get traction if your product is good. In China, offline retail is so segmented. The top 100 chain stores are the same size as Tmall. In the US, CostCo and Wal-Mart will take something like 20% of the market but in China you have this situation where there are so many offline stores, it’s hard to break in. For brands doing e-commerce in the West, there’s pretty much Amazon. In China, there are like seven main e-commerce platforms. You need to decide which ones to choose, how to work with them, etc. Western brands are also very overconfident. People believe that in China a product will just sell itself, since the purchasing power of China is growing. That doesn’t easily happen because there’s a lot of competition. People also underestimate the scale of China. I was speaking to a client the other day and there were clearly misaligned expectations on how many people you can reach with a certain ad budget. If you come into China with a $50,000 ad budget, you’ll be able to reach one suburb in Shanghai. You won’t hit the entire East Coast of China.What are some companies you admire in Asia?One that’s really, really impressive is Pinduoduo. We haven’t worked with them personally, since all of our brands are premium. That said, all of your products end up getting sold on Pinduoduo, whether you like it or not. We have a set distribution price, but Pinduoduo usually picks it up, makes a tiny margin, and has the investment to bring in a huge number of users. I think their user base might be bigger than Tmall now. All of the e-commerce companies in China are extremely impressive. In comparison to Amazon, the number of tools that Chinese e-commerce companies have to drive more purchases are really insane.In terms of Western companies, the most successful ones really understand what Chinese consumers are looking for. They understand the power of e-commerce. They grow as many channels as possible, using marketing with direct channel relevance rather than just making this big, loud noise everywhere. They make the packaging simple. They make their brand story simple. Some Western brands can have tiny market share in places like the UK while having a much more dominant market position in China.One good example is the milk brand A2. They do fresh milk, powdered milk, and more. They told a story from Australia, managed to own their IP in China, and are now making billions of dollars here. They did a great job and followed the playbook we usually suggest to clients—they started with small, direct activations. As they got bigger, their marketing budget grew and now they’ve got some of the most famous Chinese celebrities in their campaigns. They were also investing in Chinese marketing within Australia, like targeting Chinese tourists and Chinese students in Australia. What is the single most important piece of advice you would give to someone trying to get their business to thrive in this time period?Go online. If you look at the sales of retail in the West, they’re not necessarily down. We know that certain categories and clients in the West have had an increase in sales during Covid. People still need to eat food and still want to buy things. If you don’t have an online offering, then people can’t access your products. The second thing - brands need to be faster in their adaptability. The geopolitical situation has now meant that we can’t just make decisions over six months. Brands need to change their business quickly in order to match things like Covid. We’ve worked with some large food and beverage companies who don’t know what to do right now. I kept thinking to myself, ‘You guys have the ingredients. You should make a retail product. Why not?’ Brands need to move more quickly. We’ve seen smaller brands be very agile, increase their budgets and do well in China this year. Although at the same time, a lot of brands have suffered.Quickfire Questions…A - What’s the best thing you have watched recently? (Film, TV Show, Ted Talk, Youtube Video, etc.)I watched a really good British movie yesterday. It’s called Tyrannosaur. It’s not about dinosaurs. It has Olivia Coleman and is a great story, though quite depressing. It shows the power of circumstances people find themselves in that although they might appear to be bad people, they aren’t necessarily bad people. B - What’s the best thing you have read recently? (Book, Article, Research Report, Tweetstorm, etc.)I read Shoe Dog a few months ago. I’m not really into business books but thought that was a good balance between life lessons and business lessons. C - What’s the best thing you have listened to recently? (Song, Album, Artist, Podcast, Audiobook, etc.)‘Postcards from Italy’ by Beirut. I was listening to that song this morning. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eastwesthurricane.substack.com
I had the great pleasure of interviewing Anup Dhalwani, one of the sharpest product minds I know in Silicon Valley. Anup is originally from India, and has spent over a decade working both at high growth startups and some of the world’s most important tech companies like Facebook, Uber, and Snap. Having lived and work in both India and the US, Anup has true East West perspective and I’m happy to share our conversation. You can find Anup on Twitter —> @__anoop and here’s an introduction from Anup…I’ve created technology products from the ground up as an entrepreneur starting with Ospinet, a consumer healthcare product many years ago. The last few years I’ve invested time in shipping products in the consumer space at Facebook, Uber, Snap and other companies. As a startup advisor I help about 2-3 startups at any point in time scale their offerings or find product-market fit. I came to the US in 2008 as an engineer and have built startups and worked in tech my whole career, except a couple of years at McKinsey & Co. after business school. Over my many years shipping products I’ve developed a sense for what makes successful tech companies in the Valley tick and what features separate the winners from everyone else. The other area I’ve gained a lot of insight on is what makes a consumer product successful. There are some higher order features that are a must but then there is always some secret sauce. I love spending time with my family, watching foreign language movies, and generally building products and helping other entrepreneurs build and ship successful products.What are the most exciting trends you are seeing in Asia today?Many come to mind but a couple standout: 1) Innovating from Asia for a global market and 2) Adapting a global trend for the Asian market. Both of these are meta-trends but I feel capture the key trends in a Mutually Exclusive Collectively Exhaustive (MECE) way.On 1) I think the single best example is Postman [which was founded in Bangalore]. If you’ve ever dealt with startups that have an API layer, you’ve seen this be a key part of their API strategy. Postman recently raised a massive private round and I think it serves as great proof and inspiration for an entirely new crop of startups from Asia building for a global market. Postman used many of the best practices that’ve made Silicon Valley SaaS type companies successful, including the classic ‘Freemium Model.’On 2) We see the other end of the spectrum. Taking a concept like Instacart and making an Asian version of it successfully. My friend Albinder started Grofers in India and it’s a massive hit because he and his co-founder could tailor it for the Indian market. This is an example of the second key trend I am seeing. I anticipate both of these trends to continue and fork over time, spawning new models.How has the coronavirus affected your business and other businesses in your industry?It’s an understatement to say there has been a massive impact of the virus on all industries. Within consumer tech though, it’s a different story. It’s been a boon for many of the core consumer companies. The reason is simple. As people are staying at home and are not able to spend time with friends and family in real life, they’ve had to expand their use of social media (which was already quite high) and similarly we’ve seen people start using Robinhood for trading in record numbers. So the companies that were well poised to benefit from a pandemic did just that. There is another crop of companies that got hit hard though, especially in the travel space. From AirBnB to TripActions to expense reimbursement cards and others. Not to mention WeWork, which was already in a tough spot. So it's a case of haves and have nots even within the consumer technology space.What is one thing that people outside of Asia misunderstand about the region?The number one thing would be how upwardly mobile the region is. People, especially the younger ones, are very focused on increasing their standard of living and until the pandemic hit, they were executing quite well on that. Now the employment picture has become a bit bleak. However, I am confident this will be a short term hit and the region will come roaring back.The other thing people might misunderstand is that building technology products for the Asian market isn’t as easy as it is in the USA. The reason is the amount of diversity from language to local regulations is quite a lot. While many might know about the amount of diversity in the region, its impact on shipping products might go unnoticed. For example, alcohol and age related laws are different state to state within the same country sometimes, and if you are a food delivery app for example, you’d need to account for that diversity.What are some companies you admire in Asia?In technology, Flipkart, Oyo, Grofers are some of the modern ones but there are a lot of companies from the 90s and 00’s that laid the foundations albeit from a services standpoint, like Infosys.Outside of technology, I think there is a vast range of companies and industries I admire. One example is Sula Wines in India. They’ve done an amazing job of fusing the wine business with lifestyle and culture. There are many, many such examples I feel aren’t as known outside.What is the single most important piece of advice you would give to someone trying to get their business to thrive in this time period?Borrowing from Taleb, the one thing I’d say is try to be antifragile. The world is only going to get more volatile in the coming years and simply being robust won’t help you thrive. If your startup’s business model isn’t one that will benefit disproportionately with volatility, it’ll be hard to thrive. More and more it seems the world is living in the ‘tails’ of a distribution where Black Swan events come from and have driven almost all of the outcomes in human history. We’ve already seen this with the pandemic (which isn’t even a Black Swan as it was predictable and predicted) and even there we saw companies like DocuSign benefit and those like AirBnB get hit (the antifragile vs fragile model).Quickfire Questions…A - What’s the best thing you have watched recently? (Film, TV Show, Ted Talk, Youtube Video, etc.)I’ve seen some recently uploaded old Steve Jobs clips from the 80s and 90s, which to this day are some of the most outstanding marketing examples I’ve seen.B - What’s the best thing you have read recently? (Book, Article, Research Report, Tweetstorm, etc.)I’ve been spending a lot of time exploring the art world and there's a bunch of really great art podcasts I’ve been discovering. There isn’t one specific channel or podcast but rather a collection I’ve been curating and thats’ been a lot of fun.C - What’s the best thing you have listened to recently? (Song, Album, Artist, Podcast, Audiobook, etc.)The Biggest Bluff, it’s a great book about Poker and how it applies in life. And then, Kings of Crypto on Audible. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eastwesthurricane.substack.com
Ted talks the recent protests and social unrest across America, and the woeful response from our politicians, then he is joined by his long time friend and tourmate Jim Gaffigan in an exclusive conversation about the feelings of frustration and concern that led to Jim's recent Tweetstorm about the dangers and lies of Donald Trump, and the reactions he got from his millions of followers. PLUS - Ted's new special Cut/Up debuts LIVE this Thursday at 8PM! Join him in the comments as it rolls out here: https://youtu.be/FUQtJvOfJAY Enter the mind of comedian Ted Alexandro as he explores our world through the lens of a long time stand-up comic and activist. LIVE Mondays and Thursdays at 7PM. Text Ted during the show at (909) 575-0737 with your comments and questions! Bonus content: https://www.patreon.com/tedalexandro Follow Ted! Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tedalexandro/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/tedalexandro Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/c/TedAlexandro Merch: https://www.tedalexandro.com/merch #tedalexandroshow #tedalexandro
Shaun and Chuck recap a rare midweek event as Glover Teixeira put himself back into the Light Heavyweight title mix with a brutal win over Anthony Smith and discuss whether Lionheart's corner should've thrown in the towel, if Glover's career resurgence is for real, and more. Then, the guys talk about Drew Dober's breakout performance against Alexander Hernandez, and who makes sense for him next, Ben Rothwell's callout of Alexei Oleinik, OSP's potential at Heavyweight, Jon Jones and Francis Ngannou going back and forth on Twitter, hinting at a potential future fight, another frustrating Michael Johnson loss, friend of the show Brian Kelleher continuing his winning ways as a Contender Series Slayer, and his callout of Sean O'Malley, and Andrei Arlovski's uncanny ability to continue fighting at a high level for the last two decades. Plus, a discussion about Conor McGregor's post-UFC 249 tweetstorm, and if Justin Gaethje should fight him or Khabib next, a UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris preview, and as always to close the show, the guys hand out their Interim Titles of the Week. Save 40% on an annual subscription to The Athletic when you visit http://theathletic.com/MATM Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Você vai ver COMO FICAR RICO (sem depender da sorte). Baixe GRATUITAMENTE o "TWEETSTORM" traduzido para português no site https://www.lereverbo.com Todos os pontos com mais detalhes no PODCAST que você pode acessar pelo meu site: https://www.lereverbo.com/podcast Naval Ravikant é o criador do "AngelList", um site dos EUA para startups, investidores anjos e candidatos a emprego. Ele já investiu em mais de 100 negócios, entre eles: Uber, Twitter e Foursquare. Nascido na Índia Naval se fez milionário nos Estados-Unidos, basicamente investindo em produtos digitais. É também um "filósofo" moderno e compartilha seus pensamentos em seu blog: https://nav.al Cheguei até ele através de um podcast e desde então pesquiso seu trabalho. O que é apresentado nesse vídeo é um Tweetstorm, ou várias postagens seguidas no Twitter. https://twitter.com/naval/status/1002103360646823936 Gostei muito de suas ideias e ele mudou minha maneira de perceber "riqueza". Agora vejo que é uma moeda social e o dinheiro é um dos realizadores do processo. #dinheiro #riqueza #rico
In which we learn that Portlanders just can’t seem to stay inside, even when it might kill grandma and grandpa. A big thank you to Oregon State University’s Professor Chris Nichols for chatting with us about the 1918-1919 influenza pandemic. You can read his fantastic Tweetstorm on the epidemic HERE, and read his Washington Port article HERE. DKC’s DoubleDub article on the epidemic in Portland can be found HERE. And be sure to check out the Infuenza Encyclopedia HERE!
Coronavirus worries trigger a massive sell-off on Wall Street. The Dow and the S&P to drop precipitously as investors worry about the global economic impact and the mixed signals from the Trump administration. Plus, two-dozen tweets and retweets from a President who woke up in Florida angry. As lawmakers debate how to handle the Coronavirus, two Republican members of Congress self-quarantine because they spent time with a man who has tested positive for the illness. And Super Tuesday II is tomorrow: Six states have Democratic contests. Michigan is the biggest prize as Joe Biden hopes to open a big delegate lead, and Bernie Sanders scrambles to regain his footing. Today's panel: Margaret Talev with Axios, Olivier Knox with SIRIUS XM, and CNN's Dana Bash & Manu Raju Also on the show: Greg Ip with the Wall Street Journal, and CNN's Christine Ramos, Kaitlan Collins, Jeff Zeleny, and Donnie O'Sullivan
This week I sit down with Kinsey Grant (Twitter @KinseyGrant) from Morning Brew (@MorningBrew) and the Business Casual Podcast (@bizcasualpod).I asked Kinsey to be on the podcast because I’m a huge fan of what MorningBrew.com is doing to spread business and financial literacy to the masses through educational and FUN email newsletters and now podcasts.You can either play the podcast directly in your browser by hitting the play button at the top of this page or find it on your favorite podcast player (links below).This podcast is part of my free investing newsletter. There is an option to pay $5/month or $50/yr if you want to help support the newsletter and podcast. We also appreciate you hitting the heart to “like” this post and sharing it on your favorite social media platforms to help others find us.Subscribe to the podcast, listen, and leave us a review on:Apple iTunesGoogle PlaySpotifyStitcherTopics Discussed & Approximate Timestamps 2:20 Kinsey Intro + How we connected over Twitter + empowering others7:40: Getting over the fear/imposter syndrome of reaching out to high-profile guests9:40: Understanding the importance of hardwork (and a little bit of luck)11:40 How Kinsey got her job at Morning Brew14:40 Why Kinsey started looking for new career opportunities while she was in a job she enjoyed at Thestreet.com19:40 What Kinsey has learned about taking feedback as a journalist/content creator. 21:40 How she’s navigated25:00 Kinsey’s creative process, how she prepares for writing + podcasting and what her week looks like. The best creators are great readers29:40 The origin story of Business Casual Podcast31:40 Kinsey’s Tweetstorm with lessons learned from getting their first 1M podcast downloads.34:40 What’s up next for the business casual podcast36:40 Two things Kinsey is trying to improve on professionally39:00 Obligatory Hot Seat QuestionsKinsey’s favorite episode of morning brewDoes hiring social media people make it feel like you’re in prison?How Kinsey’s mom saved her Instagram life. The Kindest thing anyone has ever done for KinseyMy Key Takeaways Take action - reach out to your idols, the worst thing that can happen is they say noWhen a great opportunity is put in front of you take it! You gotta risk it to get the biscuit.The team at MorningBrew starts creating the next day’s newsletter around 12:00 or 1:00 and covers similar stories to other big magazines. To be successful, we don’t have to invent the next light bulb, but do something meaningful our own way. The team started the podcast without knowing exactly what the format would be and who they would interview (just start!) Get full access to Founder Stock Investing at austin.substack.com/subscribe
Here are the links to today's episode: https://www.villageglobal.vc/podcast/ https://twitter.com/sama https://sifoundry.com/ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IAWAPKMKFFo&t=1114s and with this video, again the guest is Dr. Dominic Scalise --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/matt-gaboury/support
Value: After Hours is a podcast about value investing, Fintwit, and all things finance and investment by Tobias Carlisle, Bill Brewster and Jake Taylor. See our latest episodes at https://greenbackd.com/ About Bill: Bill runs Sullimar Capital Group, a family investment firm. Bill's website: https://sullimarcapital.group/ Bill's Twitter: @BillBrewsterSCG Value: After Hours is a podcast about value investing, Fintwit, and all things finance and investment. About Jake: Jake is a partner at Farnam Street. Jake's website: http://www.farnam-street.com/ Jake's podcast: https://twitter.com/5_GQs Jake's Twitter: https://twitter.com/farnamjake1 Jake's book: The Rebel Allocator https://amzn.to/2sgip3l ABOUT THE PODCAST Hi, I'm Tobias Carlisle. I launched The Acquirers Podcast to discuss the process of finding undervalued stocks, deep value investing, hedge funds, activism, buyouts, and special situations. We uncover the tactics and strategies for finding good investments, managing risk, dealing with bad luck, and maximizing success. SEE LATEST EPISODES https://acquirersmultiple.com/podcast/ SEE OUR FREE DEEP VALUE STOCK SCREENER https://acquirersmultiple.com/screener/ FOLLOW TOBIAS Website: https://acquirersmultiple.com/ Firm: https://acquirersfunds.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Greenbackd LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/tobycarlisle Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/tobiascarlisle Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tobias_carl... ABOUT TOBIAS CARLISLE Tobias Carlisle is the founder of The Acquirer’s Multiple®, and Acquirers Funds®. He is best known as the author of the #1 new release in Amazon’s Business and Finance The Acquirer’s Multiple: How the Billionaire Contrarians of Deep Value Beat the Market, the Amazon best-sellers Deep Value: Why Activists Investors and Other Contrarians Battle for Control of Losing Corporations (2014) (https://amzn.to/2VwvAGF), Quantitative Value: A Practitioner’s Guide to Automating Intelligent Investment and Eliminating Behavioral Errors (2012) (https://amzn.to/2SDDxrN), and Concentrated Investing: Strategies of the World’s Greatest Concentrated Value Investors (2016) (https://amzn.to/2SEEjVn). He has extensive experience in investment management, business valuation, public company corporate governance, and corporate law. Prior to founding the forerunner to Acquirers Funds in 2010, Tobias was an analyst at an activist hedge fund, general counsel of a company listed on the Australian Stock Exchange, and a corporate advisory lawyer. As a lawyer specializing in mergers and acquisitions he has advised on transactions across a variety of industries in the United States, the United Kingdom, China, Australia, Singapore, Bermuda, Papua New Guinea, New Zealand, and Guam. He is a graduate of the University of Queensland in Australia with degrees in Law (2001) and Business (Management) (1999).
The President boosted almost 20 QAnon-related Twitter accounts in a single day. Time to celebrate! Includes a Jake story that doubles as a peek into our very own extended universe. ↓↓↓↓ SUBSCRIBE FOR $5 A MONTH SO YOU DON'T MISS THE SECOND WEEKLY EPISODE ↓↓↓↓ www.patreon.com/QAnonAnonymous Merch: http://merch.qanonanonymous.com Tix to our first live show Sat Feb 8th in Los Angeles: http://tickets.qanonanonymous.com Music by Nick Sena (www.nicksenamusic.com)
Pres. Trump Shows Signs Of Increasing Frustration With The Uncertainty Surrounding His Senate Trial; Biden Again Rejects Call For Him To Testify At Senate Trial, Says It Would Take The Focus Off Pres. Trump; Pres. Trump Cries No Fair About Impeachment; Can Senators Be Impartial Impeachment Jurors? mcConnell: "I'm Not an Impartial Juror"; President Trump Stews Over Impeachment In Florida, McConnell's Approach In Limbo And Facing Criticism; Countdown To Caucus Day; Biden: "Our Democracy Is At Risk"; Democratic Primary Field Speeds Toward First Votes; NY Times: "Anguish And anger From Navy Seals Who Turned In Edward Gallagher"; NY Times: Leaked Videos Show Navy Seals Describing Eddie Gallagher As "Evil", "Toxic", And A "Psychopath"; Does Pelosi Ever Get Upset By Pres. Trump's Attacks?; Speaker Pelosi's Daughter: My Mom Is "Undeterred Politics Of Personal Destruction" From Pres. Trump; Speaker Pelosi's Daughter On The Family Not Talking Politics Over The Holidays: We "Put It On The Shelf"; Christine Pelosi On Her Mom: She Is A Woman Of "Immense Faith"; Pres. Trump's Biggest Lies Of 2019; Don Imus Dies At 79; Pres. Trump's Top Lies Of 2019; The President's Top Lies Of 2019
We hear from Liran and Isabella Hamilton as they breakdown a Tweetstorm from Silicon Valley tech expert and angel investor Naval Ravikant. Naval is the author of How To Get Rich Without Getting Lucky. This episode is focused on how to create a successful seller mindset, and not just specifically Amazon focused. Check out the top 15 tweets from this Tweetstorm below!
Howie discusses President Trump going after 'FOX News' for their Mayor Pete Town Hall, NY Times on the President's colorful language and a former 'Jeopardy!' champ praises the current phenom. Follow Howie on Twitter: @HowardKurtz For more #MediaBuzz click here Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Trump goes off on the Trump Tower meeting, tariffs, and Lebron; the Left continues to defend racism so long as it's directed against whites; and the press panic over Trump's war on media. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Trump goes off on the Trump Tower meeting, tariffs, and Lebron; the Left continues to defend racism so long as it's directed against whites; and the press panic over Trump's war on media. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
"So, what people call "SPV" today, is actually the practice of trusting the hashrate majority not JUST to prevent doublespending, but to properly verify and enforce Bitcoin rules." @giacomozucco The Twitter Thread: https://twitter.com/giacomozucco/status/1009281116837175296 Thread Reader Unrolled: https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1009281116837175296.html Support the show: 3Nn8jJSfK2oFherVWQUGXgesvHpzbMckz5 --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/bitcoinaudible/message
With President Trump of the US and Little Rocket Man Kim Jong Un of North Korea at odds with each other and claiming each has a nuclear button, or a bigger button, is World War Three around the corner? And what of unrest in the Middle East and Nazi style politics in Europe? Mark and Pete have the answers. Colorful conversation on social, economic and religious issues from a Christian worldview perspective. Mark and Pete: a businessman and a pastor
Trump goes off on Twitter, ANOTHER Al Franken accuser comes forward, and Charles Manson finally bites the dust. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Trump goes off on Twitter, ANOTHER Al Franken accuser comes forward, and Charles Manson finally bites the dust. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
It's another episode of the great podcast that you should absolutely subscribe to, Not With A Bang! (Subscribe to it.) On this episode, featuring comedian Pam Rana: – America is over, still. – The human species is maybe over? – The Liberal Party get up to some secret, saucy, scandalous sex stuff. Gay marriage, I mean.
Eddie Santiago and Zaire alongside Matt and Jon Ignal debate the various factors in the Celtics big win over the Utah Jazz and discuss Crowder's controversial postgame comments and tweets.