Podcasts about S400

Après une escalade militaire ayant provoqué la mort de plus de 70 personnes, l'Inde et le Pakistan ont convenu d'un accord de cessez-le-feu le samedi 10 mai 2025. Si les armes se sont tues, la guerre de l'information, elle, se poursuit entre New Delhi et Islamabad. D'un côté comme de l'autre, des comptes de propagande continuent de diffuser massivement des fausses informations afin de présenter leur pays comme le vainqueur de cette confrontation. À l'instant où le cessez-le-feu aérien, terrestre et maritime a été annoncé, la bataille numérique entre l'Inde et le Pakistan n'a pas baissé en intensité. Au contraire, les comptes de propagande ont rapidement réorienté leurs narratifs autour de deux axes : la glorification de l'action de leur armée et l'humiliation de l'adversaire. Pour y parvenir, différents modes opératoires sont employés, du simple montage photo au deepfake sophistiqué.La guerre des deepfakesÀ ce jour, de nombreux politiques indiens et pakistanais en ont fait les frais, à commencer par le Premier ministre indien, Narendra Modi. Dans une vidéo d'une minute et treize secondes, on pense l'entendre présenter ses excuses, en hindi, au peuple indien : « Le Pakistan nous a complètement détruits. Notre économie s'effondre. Aucun investissement n'est à venir. Les marchés sont déserts. (...) Nous avons essayé de faire la guerre. Mais maintenant, nous réalisons que nous avons commis une grave erreur. Je présente mes excuses ». En réalité, Narendra Modi n'a jamais tenu ces propos.Cette vidéo a été générée via l'intelligence artificielle. L'analyse visuelle du mouvement de ses lèvres, ainsi que les détecteurs d'IA que nous avons utilisés, le confirment. C'est un deepfake, un hypertrucage audio et visuel. La voix du Premier ministre indien a été fabriquée de toutes pièces. À noter que le ministre des Affaires étrangères et le ministre de l'Intérieur indien ont également été ciblés par ce type de deepfake.Côté Pakistanais, c'est le porte-parole de l'armée qui en a été victime. En effet, une vidéo artificielle du général Ahmed Chaudhry a semé le trouble sur les réseaux sociaux. Durant une minute et trente-et-une secondes, on croit l'entendre reconnaître la perte de « deux avions Chengdu JF-17 ». Sauf qu'une nouvelle fois, il s'agit d'un deepfake. Ahmed Chaudhry n'a jamais prononcé un tel discours.L'extrait provient d'une conférence de presse de l'armée pakistanaise tenue le 27 décembre 2024, soit bien avant l'escalade militaire avec l'Inde. Quelqu'un a fourni ces images à une IA pour manipuler le discours du porte-parole de l'armée.La bataille des chiffresCette infox ciblant le porte-parole de l'armée pakistanaise est le symbole de la guerre des chiffres qui se joue actuellement entre les deux pays. Chaque camp publie quotidiennement des bilans concernant les supposées destructions matérielles et humaines infligées à l'adversaire.Ces données sont impossibles à vérifier de façon indépendante à ce stade. Mais pour donner de la crédibilité à ces chiffres, la propagande pro-pakistanaise a détourné l'identité de plusieurs médias occidentaux. Une infographie avec le logo de CNN affirme par exemple que l'Inde aurait notamment perdu 6 avions de combats, 553 drones et un système de défense antiaérien S400. Sauf qu'en réalité, le média américain n'a jamais publié ce tableau comparatif.Contacté par le média de vérification, Logically Facts, un porte-parole de CNN, a confirmé que « cette image est fabriquée. CNN n'a jamais relayé cette information ».Dans la même veine, un article à la gloire de l'armée de l'air pakistanaise et attribué au Daily Telegraph circule ces derniers jours sur la toile. Mais là encore, c'est une fausse information. Le Daily Telegraph n'a jamais publié une telle information.

The Suppression of Enemy Air Defenses (SEAD) mission has evolved alongside the development of Surface-to-Air Missile (SAM) systems. In this episode of The Lowdown, host Mike "Flash" McVay takes a deep dive into the history and advancements of SAM technology, from its early origins to today's modern, highly integrated air defense networks.

三手菸殘留在衣服、沙發、等處物質，是隱藏的健康殺手！為了家人健康，請即刻遠離菸品設籍桃園40歲以上有重度吸菸史及其同住家人，桃園市衛生局提供免費低劑量電腦斷層檢查，歡迎預約 https://fstry.pse.is/6r23xl 本廣告由菸品健康福利捐支應 —— 以上為 Firstory Podcast 廣告 —— 北韓派兵援助俄羅斯。南韓國家安保室長表示，俄羅斯向北韓提供了先進防空飛彈作為回報。防衛專家則分析有可能是S400防空系統，以提升平壤脆弱的防空網路。而在川普即將重返白宮前夕，北韓領袖金正恩表示跟美國對話沒有用。 小額贊助支持本節目： https://open.firstory.me/user/cku2d315gwbbo0947nezjmg86 留言告訴我你對這一集的想法： https://open.firstory.me/user/cku2d315gwbbo0947nezjmg86/comments YT收看《寰宇全視界》

‘BRICS'a başvurunun sonu da S400 gibi olacak' diyenler, S400'lerin sonunun BRICS olduğunu hâlâ anlamıyor… ‘S400'lerin sonu'nda bir şey yok ayrı konu ama Türkiye'ye uygulanan yaptırımlar ve daha bir ton başka rezillik yüzünden sonu BRICS oldu işte… Türkiye, ilişkilerinde en ağır haksızlıklara, saldırılara uğradığı zamanlarda dahi elini Batı'ya uzattı. Sonunda da tükendi işte…

Turkey's 2023 was marked by the reelection of President Erdoğan and by a reorientation of the country's economic policy—while old disagreements with the West over Ankara's close relationship with Moscow and poor rule-of-law record persisted.Marc Pierini and Sinan Ülgen, senior fellows at Carnegie Europe, discuss Turkey's political and economic landscape ahead of the 2024 municipal elections and what the future holds for the country's relations with Brussels and Washington.[00:00:00] Intro, [00:01:46] The Upcoming Local Elections in Turkey, [00:08:17] The Headlines From Turkey in 2023, [00:19:21] The Future of Turkey-EU Relations in 2024.Marc Pierini and Francesco Siccardi, October 24, 2023, “Turkey at 100,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.Marc Pierini, September 18, 2023, “Turkey's European Goals: Prospects and Impediments as Seen From Brussels,” Carnegie Europe.Marc Pierini et. al, July 24, 2023, “What does Erdoğan's new term in office mean for EU-Turkey relations?,” Centre for Applied Turkey Studies (CATS) Network.Marc Pierini, 2023, “Turkey's Geopolitical Role. Between National Ambitions, Western Anchors and Russian Sway,” European Institute of the Mediterranean.Marc Pierini, Alper Coşkun, Francesco Siccardi, June 14, 2023, “What to Expect From Erdoğan's New Term,” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.Marc Pierini, May 19, 2023, “Turkey has to reassess its position between NATO and a disruptive Russia,” Le Monde.Sinan Ülgen, November 20, 2023, “Europe needs a new framework for Turkey,” Financial Times.Sinan Ülgen, Alper Coşkun, November 7, 2023, “A Reflection on Türkiye's Centennial,” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.Sinan Ülgen et. al, October 13, 2023, “Arab Perspectives on the Middle East Crisis,” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

On this episode, Misha talks with Ruslan Pukhov, a Russian defense analyst and the director of the Moscow-based Centre for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies (CAST). Mr. Pukhov shares about the origins of CAST during the late 90s, the state of Russia's defense economy, and his views on the current war in Ukraine. He states that neither the Ukrainian public nor Ukrainian leadership and elites understand what "victory" means in terms of a realistic approach and that continued American support, strongly dependent upon the upcoming US presidential elections in his view, is critical to Ukraine's prospects in this war. EPISODE NOTES: 1. The journalist Mr. Pukhov mentions is Yuri Lyamin. The link to his blog the Imperial Navigator, where his latest pieces analyze Hamas propaganda following the recent eruption of hostilities between Iran-backed Hamas and Israel: https://imp-navigator.livejournal.com/. 2. Select articles from a variety of sources that include commentary from the demographer Alexey Raksha: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-10-20/rogue-demographer-says-russia-covid-deaths-may-be-europe-s-worst https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-18/putin-s-war-escalation-is-hastening-demographic-crash-for-russia https://fortune.com/2022/10/18/russia-population-historic-decline-emigration-war-plunging-birth-rate-form-perfect-storm/ https://www.economist.com/europe/2023/03/04/russias-population-nightmare-is-going-to-get-even-worse https://theweek.com/russia/1017914/russias-catastrophic-missing-men-problem https://www.straitstimes.com/world/europe/conflict-deepens-russias-demographic-crisis 3. For a list of pieces by Mr. Pukhov as written for The Moscow Times visit https://www.themoscowtimes.com/author/ruslan-pukhov PRODUCER'S NOTE: This episode was recorded on October 1, 2023 via Zoom. The views expressed in this episode belong to the speakers and do not reflect those of either the Center for Russian, East European, and Eurasian Studies or the William P. Clements, Jr. Center for National Security at The University of Texas at Austin. If you have questions, comments, or would like to be a guest on the show, please email slavxradio@utexas.edu and we will be in touch! CREDITS Associate Producer: Misha Simanovskyy (@MSimanovskyy) Associate Producer: Cullan Bendig (@cullanwithana) Associate Producer: Sergio Glajar Production Assistant: Faith VanVleet Production Assistant: Eliza Fisher Supervising Producer: Nicholas Pierce SlavX Editorial Director: Sam Parrish Recording, Editing, and Sound Design: Michelle Daniel Music Producer: Charlie Harper (@charlieharpermusic) www.charlieharpermusic.com (Main Theme by Charlie Harper and additional background music by Beat Mekanik, Broke For Free, KAZKA) Executive Producer & Creator: Michelle Daniel (@MSDaniel) www.msdaniel.com DISCLAIMER: Texas Podcast Network is brought to you by The University of Texas at Austin. Podcasts are produced by faculty members and staffers at UT Austin who work with University Communications to craft content that adheres to journalistic best practices. The University of Texas at Austin offers these podcasts at no charge. Podcasts appearing on the network and this webpage represent the views of the hosts, not of The University of Texas at Austin. https://files.fireside.fm/file/fireside-uploads/images/9/9a59b135-7876-4254-b600-3839b3aa3ab1/P1EKcswq.png Special Guest: Ruslan Pukhov.

A Ucrânia começou por usar forças especiais, depois destruiu baterias de mísses S400, depois aeroportos, paióis e quartéis e depois a frota russa no mar negro. Rogeiro deixa a questão: serão estes ataques ucranianos à Crimeia simbólicos, ou será a península ocupada o derradeiro objetivo da contraofensiva ucraniana, mantido em segredo até agora?Se a resposta for positiva, representa para as forças russas uma completa reformulação da sua defesa de um sítio que se considerava impenetrável. Oiça o podcastSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

EPISODE NOTESGuida tornando a casa: Daniele TrovatoOspite:  Edoardo FontanaIntervengono:   PMO_W , Figure di Sfondo , Amos PozziEditing della registrazione:  Daniele Trovato

Big contracts are being let for new aviation systems. From the B21 and FLAA in the US, to FCAS and Tempest in Europe, 6th generation air platforms are all the rage in government investment decisions at the moment. Dr Justin Bronk wonders whether these can make a difference to a much more challenging environment than has been assumed in Western capitals. The airspace over Ukraine is a deadly environment. The air defence capabilities on both sides makes flying a precarious proposition for anyone who enters the realm of mutual denied airspace. This has significant implications for everyone from force designers and military planners, to infantry companies and cartographers. If stealth, penetration, and survivability have become the key facets to air power in high intensity conflict then – according to Justin – we can do more with older platforms provided we start to buy back some of the risk that has accumulated in air forces across Europe since the peace dividend was taken.

İç siyasette kısır muhalefet ve sadece algı ve manipülasyona oynayan üst aklın zihinleri işgal çabası şiddetlenir ve gündemi oluşturma gayreti sürürken, dış dünya Erdoğan'ı ve Erdoğan'lı Türkiye'yi konuşuyor. Geçen hafta ünlü bir düşünce sitesinde yayımlanan makalesinde eski İspanya Dış İşleri Bakanı-İspanya Başkan Yardımcısı, Dünya Bankası Grubu Danışmanı, Georgetown Üniversitesi hocası, Ana Palacio'nun Erdoğan analizi dış dünyanın bizi nasıl baktığına dair önemli bir yazıdır. Palacio makalesine, “Diplomat Erdoğan” başlığı atmış. Makalede şu ifadeler yer almakta; Ukrayna limanından tahıl yüklü bir gemi hareket etti. Aylardır ülkeyi terk eden ilk sevkiyat; Rusya ve Ukrayna arasında Türkiye ve Birleşmiş Milletler'in aracılık ettiği yakın tarihli bir anlaşmayla mümkün oldu. Afrika ve Orta Doğu'daki insanlar için anlaşma, şiddetli gıda kıtlığının yakında azalacağına dair bir umut ışığı sunuyor. Türkiye Cumhurbaşkanı Recep Tayyip Erdoğan için bu diplomatik bir zafer ve ilk değil... Erdoğan, on yıllık gergin ilişkilerden sonra Körfez monarşileriyle duvarları onarma konusunda ilerleme kaydediyor. Tahıl anlaşmasının hayatta kalması garanti olmaktan çok uzak olsa da Türkiye'nin bölgesel bir güç arabulucusu/komisyoncusu olarak konumunu şimdiden sağlamlaştırdı. Palacio bu tespitlerinde sonra esas can alıcı analizini ortaya koyuyor: Erdoğan'ın diplomatik başarısı, görünüşte düşmanca ilişkilerde iş birliği için alan bulma yeteneğini yansıtıyor. Özellikle, derin ekonomik ve endüstriyel bağlarla bağlı olan Rusya ve Türkiye, Suriye, Libya ve dolaylı olarak Dağlık Karabağ'daki çatışmalarda karşıt tarafları desteklemiş olsalar bile, makul derecede etkili bir diyalog sürdürdüler. Ukrayna ve Rusya tahıl anlaşmasını müzakere ederken, Ukrayna kuvvetleri Rus saldırılarına karşı Türk insansız hava araçları kullanıyordu. Erdoğan zayıf bir eli tutuyor olabilir ama ustaca oynuyor. Aslında, bugünün jeopolitik gerilimlerini onun kadar etkili bir şekilde kendi lehlerine kullanmayı başaran çok az lider var. Özellikle Putin ile yapılan seçici iş birliği, oyunun kurallarını kendi lehine yeniden yazmaya hevesli Türkiye lideri için önemli kazanımlar sağladı. Erdoğan'ın pragmatik oyunbazlığı Türkiye'nin müttefiklerini sarsabilir (S400 alımı, NATO'ya girme talebi olan ülkelere veto vs. konularına atıfla), ancak pragmatizm, yaratıcı düşünceyle birlikte mevcut uluslararası ortamda önemli bir iş birliğini mümkün kılmak için elzem olacaktır. Sonuç paragrafında Palacio; Batı, kurallara dayalı düzenin erozyonunu durdurmaya çalışırken, Erdoğan ders almaya değer bir örnek olabilir. Batı, bu dersleri Türkiye ile ilişkileri canlandırmak için kullanabilirse, o da yararlı bir geçici yol olabilir.

Been a while PGA Championship review - The course was great! - TW withdrew - His future? - If he had a cart… - How does it get better for TW? Mito Pereira 18th at PGA collapse JT: 2nd PGA (2nd Major) Will JT win any other Major? Will Z: Does he win a major this year? JT & Zalatoris playoff - 3 hole aggregate - JT Almost birdies all 3 holes JT WITB PGA Championship edition Driver: Titleist TSi3 (10 degrees @9.25, D1 SureFit) Shaft: Mitsubishi Diamana ZF 60 TX 3-wood: Titleist TS3 (15 degrees, B1 SureFit) Shaft: Mitsubishi Tensei AV Raw Blue 85 TX 5-wood: Titleist 915 Fd (18 degrees @19.5, B3 SureFit) Shaft: Fujikura Motore Speeder VC 9.2 Tour Spec X Irons: Titleist T100 (4), Titleist 621.JT (5-9) Shafts: True Temper Dynamic Gold Tour Issue X100 Wedges: Titleist Vokey Design SM9 (46-10F @47.5, 52-12F @52.5, 56-14F @57), Titleist Vokey Design WedgeWorks (60-06K @60.5) Shafts: True Temper Dynamic Gold Tour Issue X100 (46), S400 (52-60) Putter: Scotty Cameron X5 Tour Prototype Grip: SuperStroke Pistol GT Tour Ball: Titleist Pro V1x Grips: Golf Pride Tour Velvet Cord LIV: DJ Commits to LIV Tour! - $125 million dollars - Tiger Woods PGA Tour earnings $120.8 Million Norman on thin ice 1st event field - 42 of 48 announced - No Phil announcement yet Is LIV Tour done before it starts Mistakes? Sam Burns: 3rd win this year in a breakout season. Best player no one is really talking about? Driver: Callaway Rogue ST Triple Diamond (Fujikura Ventus Blue 7TX shaft), 10.5 degrees

Fairway wood: Callaway Mavrik (Fujikura Ventus Black 8X shaft), 17 degrees

Hybrid: Callaway Apex UW (Fujikura Ventus Blue 8X shaft), 21 degrees Irons: Callaway Apex TCB (4-PW; Project X 6.5 shafts) Wedges: Callaway Apex TCB (50 degrees; True Temper Dynamic Gold Tour Issue X100 shaft), Callaway Jaws MD5 Raw (56-10S and 60-12X degrees; True Temper Dynamic Gold Tour Issue S400 shafts) Putter: Odyssey O-Works 7S Ball: Callaway Chrome Soft X Grips: Golf Pride Tour Velvet Align Steve Alker: Wins Senior PGA and continues absolute heater on the Champions Tour HV3 total breakdown on back 9 (45) Adam Scott equipment saga - Titleist 680 - Titleist 681.AS - Miura A.S. Model - More to come… Spieth testing putters - T22 Newport Teryllium short swoop neck - New 009 blacked out w/ orange Cameron crown

ANCA Advocacy Agenda 2022 - MaY 13, 2022A Conversation with ARAM SUREN HAMPARIANTopics:The US/Turkey F-35/F-16 FalloutUS Aid to Armenia and ArtsakhThe Armenian Genocide Education BillDr. Oz is Mehmet OzThe US Election Cycles of 2022 and 2024Guest:Aram Suren Hamparian is the Executive Director of the Armenian National Committee of America.Hosts:Hovik Manucharyan TW/@HovikYerevanAsbed Bedrossian TW/@qubriqEpisode 136 | Recorded on Wednesday, May 12, 2022

Turkish-made drones have featured prominently in Ukraine's resistance against Russia's invasion, taking out significant Russian targets in the first few weeks of the war. But the conflict, and any possibility of a Russian victory, have cast a shadow over the future of Turkey's rapidly growing drone industry, which relies on Ukrainian engines.  A Ukrainian controller carefully aims at a video screen of a Russian tank and then unleashes a missile from a Turkish-made Bayraktar drone, destroying the target to cheers by the operators.  The Ukrainians widely distribute videos like these. Both militarily and psychologically, the drones have given much-needed hope to the Ukrainians and struck fear in their Russian adversaries.  The conflict is the latest in a series of military successes for Turkey's TB2 Bayraktar drones. But their future could be in doubt if Russia was to prevail over Ukraine, given the drone's dependence on Ukrainian engines and Moscow's growing concerns over their success. Competitive "Russia sees Bayraktar's TB2's in particular as a highly competitive weapon and technology not just in the former Soviet space but in the global aerial vehicle market," points out analyst Samuel Bendett of the Russian studies Department at the US-based Centre for Naval Analyses. "Russians are nervous that Bayraktar is penetrating the former Soviet space, the Caucasus and Central Asia, and now Ukraine. "And so, if Russians were to sort of exercise the full extent of their powers in the outcome of the (peace) negotiations, they would probably seek to limit Ukrainian military cooperation with Turkey so as not to further growing Turkish advantage in certain technologies like UAVs." Outrage as Turkish courts seek to silence anti-femicide campaigners Turkish Bayraktar drone promotional videos highlight their recent military success from Azerbaijan to Syria and across Africa. The drone's success, coupled with competitive pricing, has become a formidable commercial force in the fiercely competitive arms world. "The advantage of the TB2 is that it's a one-stop-shop. You get the drone, you get the training and the munitions come with it," said Aaron Stein, director of research at the Foreign Policy Research Institute. "And the overall price tag, I think the consensus is around five million dollars, and I think that it's all-in including the munitions, And so for less well-to-do countries, it's a bargain." Few controls But that's not all, as Turkey attaches few controls on how the drones are used, unlike their western counterparts. As a result, Turkish drones have been used in conflicts such as the Ethiopian civil war, drawing international criticism from rights groups. Such sales are only possible because Ukrainian engines allow Turkish companies to circumvent restrictions on third-party use from their traditional western suppliers. "Turkey has been facing big problems in procuring subsystems, technologies, and components from western countries," said Turkish defence expert Arda Mevlutoglu. "Whereas Ukraine is offering reliable and relatively low-cost technologies without major political strings attached. Ukraine has become a major power plant supplier not only for drones but for helicopters as well." Ankara earns new friends thanks to efforts to end Ukraine war If Turkish drone manufacturers are forced to turn back to their traditional western suppliers, they are predicted to face significant problems – especially when it comes to drone technology. "There are more restrictions when you deal with the UK, European or American suppliers, and that is something Turkey will definitely keep in mind," warns James Rogers, assistant professor in war studies at the University of Southern Denmark.  "We know that the United States has been very selective as to who it sells drones and drone elements to around the world. "This was one of the reasons why Turkey started its entire indigenous drone program because Congress wouldn't approve the sale of Reaper-Predator generation medium-altitude, long-endurance drones to Turkey."  Failures Earlier this year, a prominent Turkish military helicopter deal with Pakistan collapsed over Washington's restrictions on the use of American engines. In addition, Congress has been enforcing increased controls on the supplies of military components to Turkey over Ankara's purchase of Russia's S400-made missile defence system. Despite Ankara receiving praise from Washington over its support of Ukraine, analyst Stein expects little change in Washington's stance towards Turkey.  "One side is that Turkey is hostile to the United States. It's no longer an ally; it's an adversary. So, we should be treating it as such," says Stein. "The other side is we misunderstand Turkey, and it needs a big hug because it's so important. And the government is somewhere in the middle, and usually, current events reinforce positions on either side."  Given the challenges of finding an alternative to Ukrainian engines, Turkey's drone industry will likely look for drones to thwart Moscow's ambitions and secure Kyiv and its future. 

Ankara's support of Kyiv and diplomatic efforts to end the Ukrainian war has won plaudits from its western allies, including France, offering the hope of a reset of deeply strained relations. At March's NATO summit, smiling Turkish and French Presidents exchanged a warm handshake in front of the world's media. The two leaders were more accustomed to exchanging barbs and even insults until recently. But Russia's invasion of Ukraine has changed the tone. "Although they were not shy of invectives against each other. Now they both pat each other's backs," said former senior Turkish diplomat Aydin Selcen now a presenter for news portal Mediascope. Warming ties In a sign of warming ties, both sides have committed themselves to reviving the sale of an Italian French missile Samp/T defense system to Turkey. That is seen as potentially significant as the defense system could provide an alternative to Russia's S400 missile system that Ankara purchased. The purchase remains a key point of tension between Turkey and its NATO partners, who call for its removal. But Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's close ties with his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin while contentious, have allowed him to present himself as an honest broker in efforts to end the Ukraine conflict. "There are no losers with peace," Erdogan declared to Russian and Ukrainian delegations in a short speech ahead of peace talks in Istanbul. Turkey's geostrategic importance Ankara has close ties with Kyiv and Moscow. But Erdogan has strongly condemned Russia's assault on Ukraine, closing access to the Black Sea to most of Russia's warships. Such moves received strong plaudits from Brussels and Washington. The Ukrainian conflict could offer an opportunity to Ankara.  "That the world has entered a new era, somewhat similar to the Cold War, will also emphasize Turkey's geostrategic importance," said Sinan Ulgen of the Center for Economics and Foreign Policy Studies, a research organization in Istanbul.  "And as a result of which there will be an opportunity for Turkey and its Western allies, and here particularly the United States, to try to resolve their outstanding issues on a more constructive note," Ulgen added. Erdogan's backing of Ukraine comes as he is already working to repair relations with others, including Armenia and Israel — moves that have also drawn praise from the West, including Paris.  But Turkey is still facing significant obstacles to any reset in relations with its Western partners, warns Sezin Oney, a political columnist for PolitikYol, a Turkish news portal.  Turkish people feel pinch as Ukraine war drives up poverty New talks could see Turkey and Armenia reopen their borders after 30 years "I don't see a return to old alliance structures, not unless there is a very big change in Turkey, and Turkey moves towards democracy and the rule of law and respect of human rights. And we don't foresee that at this point, not with this government. So, I don't think so. But there might be coinciding interests. There might be new coinciding interests developing. There might be cooperation, "said Oney, Rights groups say Turkey is one of the biggest jailers of journalists globally, while its treatment of government opponents and its Kurdish minority continue to draw strong international criticism. Ankara rejects such criticism, insisting it's a law-abiding country. But some analysts suggest Ankara may be calculating that any return to Cold War-like diplomacy could, as in the past, see Turkey's Western allies placing security concerns ahead of democracy. Selcen says such a calculation is misplaced.  "As long as the war is underway, Turkey's geopolitical importance and value is very high. It's not negligible at all. But once the war ends and once we step into this new world. Probably then there will be more pressure again from the West from Europe and the US on Turkey to move on democratization, and we have to keep in mind that by next year there will be elections in this country in 2023," said Selcen

Jordan and Weston Play golf! - Cedar Hills - No score was kept but Jordan Kicked Weston's butt Greg Norman Announces LIV events and locations - Norman speaks out DJ Falls out of top 10 - First time in 10 years USGA Distance debate Phil out of The Masters - On the Past Champion not in field list Birdies&Bogeys Driver Testing - Srixon ZX7 - Taylormade Stealth+ - Taylormade Stealth - Callaway Rogue ST LS - Callaway Rogue ST LS Triple diamond - Cobra LTD x LS Vs Gamers - Jordan: Ping G400 LST w/ Ventus Blue 6X - Weston: Avian 455 TL w/ Kiyoshi Tour Limited 6X Sam Burns with the W! Back2Back Valspar Champ SAM BURNS WITB Driver: Callaway Rogue ST Triple Diamond (10.5 degrees @10.3) Shaft: Fujikura Ventus Blue 7 TX (45 inches, tipped 1/2 inch) 4-wood: Callaway Mavrik (17 degrees @15.5) Shaft: Fujikura Ventus Black 8 X Hybrid: Callaway Apex UW (21 degrees @19.9) Shaft: Fujikura Ventus Blue 8 X Irons: Callaway Apex TCB (4-PW) Shafts: Project X 6.5 Wedges: Callaway Apex TCB A (50), Callaway Jaws MD5 Raw (56-10S@55, 60-12X) Shafts: True Temper Dynamic Gold Tour Issue X100 (50), S400 (56, 60) Putter: Odyssey O-Works 7S Ball: Callaway Chrome Soft X (2020) Grips: Golf Pride Tour Velvet Align Midsize Dell Match Play Preview

Hindi News (हिंदी समाचार), Breaking News in Hindi: Will America impose sanctions on India too? भारत से नाराज क्यों हैं अमेरिकी राष्ट्रपति जो बाइडेन? क्या भारत का रूस के साथ S400 मिसाइल का सौदा खतरे में है? क्या रूस से हथियार खरीदने पर अमेरिका भारत पर प्रतिबंध लगा देगा?

1.雙俄聯合軍演＋賀錦麗德 俄白的雙俄聯合軍演10日從白俄羅斯開始。 地點就在距離烏克蘭首都基輔僅100公里的白俄羅斯南部邊境。 隨著美國和歐洲軍隊抵達東歐，烏克蘭局勢變得更加緊張。 “決心2022”軍演為期十天將於20日結束。 據俄新社報導，參加軍力總數為6萬至8萬人。 北大西洋公約組織（北約）估計，其中，俄羅斯軍隊是 30,000 人。 在五個訓練場以及四個機場進行了戰鬥機和坦克的訓練，並部署了地對空導彈S400。 白俄羅斯和俄羅斯結成同盟。 白俄羅斯總統亞歷山大·盧卡申科表示「如果白俄羅斯和俄羅斯遭到襲擊，就會發生戰爭。」聯合軍演通常每兩年在秋季舉行一次，到2021年9月才剛進行了大約有 20萬人次的軍演。這次的軍演距離上次才五個月加上演習地點靠近基輔，可能會影響基輔市民的平靜生活。預計俄羅斯將把這次的軍演當成與美國和歐洲就安全問題​​進行談判​​的材料。 俄羅斯海軍艦隊8日進入黑海。也有可能對面向黑海的烏克蘭進行登陸行動，這當中包括三艘大型兩棲艦艇。俄羅斯在與烏克蘭邊境附近部署了10萬士兵，如果要入侵烏克蘭的話，將可以分別從北、南、東三個方向入侵。 美國現在白俄羅斯以西的波蘭派遣了大約 1,700 名美國陸軍第 82 空降師。據五角大樓表示，駐波蘭的美軍人數比之前的 4000 人增加了 40%。 新部隊主要的目的將是支援撤離駐在烏克蘭的美國人，也希望從波蘭增加對俄國的威懾力。 8日，第一批美軍抵達與烏克蘭西南部接壤的羅馬尼亞。 8,500名美軍也將隨時待命，為北約決定派遣立即反應部隊做準備。英國決定增兵波蘭，德國增兵立陶宛，​​這兩國各自增兵350人。 英國首相強生10日在與北約秘書長斯托爾滕貝格的會晤中提出，向南歐派遣英國戰機，向東地中海派遣巡邏艇和驅逐艦。據報導，他表示，如果俄羅斯入侵造成人道主義危機，他準備派遣 1000 名士兵。 “這可能是歐洲幾十年來將面臨的最大安全危機，”強生在會後就烏克蘭局勢舉行的新聞發布會上說。他呼籲美國和歐洲團結起來，“如果準備好嚴厲的製裁，就可以阻止俄羅斯的非理性反應。” 北約從1月下旬開始在地中海舉行大規模軍事演習，北約指揮下的美國海軍航空母艦也參加了演習。北約一直通過在波羅的海和黑海進行軍事演習來限制俄羅斯。 此次聯合軍演的焦點之一是俄軍是否會在結束後撤出白俄羅斯。如果它繼續存在，俄羅斯從北部以白俄羅斯為基地入侵烏克蘭的情景將會發生。美國和歐洲也在努力緩和緊張局勢並與俄羅斯進行對話。 10日，德國、法國、俄羅斯和烏克蘭的高級官員將在柏林進行談判，英國首相強生也將訪問波蘭，與杜達總統等人討論烏克蘭問題。德國總理奧拉夫·舒爾茨15日將在莫斯科舉行德俄首腦會晤。#美國 #烏克蘭 #俄羅斯 #白俄羅斯 #英國 #歐盟2.韓國總統大選進入肉搏戰離 3月9日的韓國總統大選越來越近，韓國政壇反覆的「政治報復」將會再次成為一個問題。保守派反對派候選人、前檢察官尹錫悅表示，如果他當選，他將對文在寅政府進行調查。這個主張造成文在寅反彈，要求尹錫悅道歉。 9日，在接受保守派《中央日報》採訪時，尹錫悅被問到，如果他成為總統，是否會調查前任政府？「尹錫悅表示當然會調查，但是發動調查並不是總統的職權。」尹錫悅曾在特別調查部門工作，在檢察體系有著一定的人脈，而且在 2021 年 3 月之前他一直擔任檢方最高層。對現役檢察官的影響仍然很大。為了在勢均力敵的情況下控制總統大選，他極力強調“反文在寅”的立場。 文在寅總統10日在一次會議上說：“我們對將現任政府毫無根據地作為調查對象表示強烈憤怒並要求道歉。”在接受韓聯社的書面採訪時，他指責他“無論選舉時間有多長，我們都無法助長政治世界的分裂和對抗，整合政治。” 文在寅試圖整肅具有強大調查權的檢察機關，因為前總統盧武鉉的秘書官在退休後被檢察機關調查後死亡，對同樣當過盧武鉉祕書官的文在寅對韓國檢察系統一直很有意見， 然而，文在寅本人在任期內主張“積弊清算”，否定過去保守政府的政策。包括朴槿恵在內的政府官員被控濫用職權，而被陸續送上法庭。 3.日美印澳外長會談林義政外長8日在記者會上宣布，他將於11日出席日美澳印“四國”會談外長會議。 他還將參加定於12日在夏威夷舉行的日美韓外長會議。 它涉及實現“自由和開放的印度太平洋”以及朝鮮的核和導彈反應。 四方會議將討論定於春季在日本舉行的首腦會議的日期和議程。 日本、美國和韓國之間的會議將是自 2021 年 9 月以來的首次會議。 兩國也有可能舉行外長會。 4.川普社群平台三月底上線福斯財經新聞網披露，美國前總統川普（Donald Trump）自創社群平台「真實社群」（TRUTH Social，暫譯）伺服器已開始運作，將可讓這個社群平台在預定季底登場的日期前全面上線。 福斯財經新聞網（FOX Business）引述消息人士表示，川普媒體科技集團（Trump Media and TechnologyGroup）的TRUTH Social測試版也正在進行測試。美國一般用戶預計可以在3月底前下載app，並且創設帳號。 TRUTH Social雖然尚未對外公開，但在蘋果公司（Apple）的App商店可以預購。 消息人士告訴福斯財經新聞網，川普媒體科技集團的基礎建設需求並未仰賴任何傳統的大型科技公司，而是在雲端服務上和加拿大影音平台Rumble合作。川普媒體科技集團打算透過和已上市的「數位世界併購公司」（Digital World Acquisition Corp）合併，成為一家上市公司。數位世界併購公司是一家「特殊目的收購公司」（Special Purpose Acquisition Company,SPAC），這種公司成立的唯一目的是收購未上市公司，讓它上市。 5. 美國仇亞氛圍加劇基於種族歧視的仇恨犯罪在美國繼續增加。 2021 年主要城市針對亞洲公民的仇恨犯罪比 2020 年增加了四倍。主要的原因還是新型冠狀病毒的傳播，前總統川普稱其為“中國病毒”。 加州州立大學仇恨和激進研究中心發現： 2021 年，15個城市共發生 2106 例，比20年增加50%。紐約市則是增加了一倍，達到 538 例，西加州洛杉磯市增加了 70%，達到 615 例。 尤其引人注目的是針對亞洲人的仇恨犯罪。 2021 年，8個城市共274例，是 2020 年（62例）的4倍多。最常見的是紐約市，有 133 例。緊隨其後的是加利福尼亞州舊金山（60）和洛杉磯（41）。仇恨與激進研究中心主任布萊恩·萊文教授指出，雖然許多城市針對黑人的仇恨犯罪數量最多，這幾年針對亞洲人“正在迅速增加”。他說，這種情況正在增加，尤其是在亞洲人口眾多且公共交通發達的沿海城市。 新冠疫情流行之後，針對美國亞裔的仇恨犯罪有所增加。據該中心稱，與 19 年相比，20 年來針對亞裔的仇恨犯罪數量增加了一倍多。 2021 年 3 月，佐治亞州南部發生大規模槍擊事件，造成 8 人死亡，其中包括 6 名亞洲人，也使得抗議活動在全國蔓延。今年 1 月底，也就是一名 80 多歲的泰裔美國人在街上被撞並在舊金山去世一年後。亞裔民眾集會在紐約市舉行，以抗議對亞洲公民的襲擊。 為了消除對亞裔的偏見和歧視，越來越多的運動將美國亞裔公民的歷史強制納入學校教育。一月份，新澤西州東部州長墨菲簽署了一項法案，要求公立學校教授亞洲公民的歷史。這是伊利諾伊州中西部的後續行動，去年強制實施。 “亞太島嶼的孩子們在學校面臨著仇恨，”一群亞洲人在給墨菲的信中說。他呼籲實行義務學校教育，稱“教育是打擊種族歧視最有效的手段”。 #Dennis #福澤喬 製作人： #KIMI #國際新聞 #DJTALK #DENNIS全球政治筆記 #Joel來談日本 #Dennis #福澤喬 製作人： #KIMI #國際新聞 #DJTALK #DENNIS全球政治筆記 #Joel來談日本

1. 俄羅斯軍演最新俄羅斯國防部9日宣布，從10日起參加聯合軍演的部隊已抵達鄰國白俄羅斯。指揮演習的總參謀長格拉西莫夫也進入了戰場。俄羅斯主要媒體報導。聲稱俄羅斯準備入侵烏克蘭的美國和歐洲保持警惕。 演習是“2022年聯盟決心”，計劃到20日進行。俄羅斯國防部還透露，S400地對空導彈部署在白俄羅斯西南部的一個訓練場。一段視頻展示了俄羅斯媒體是如何被引入的。 根據公告，演習是在假設外部襲擊和恐怖主義的情況下進行的。還將進行培訓以加強邊防。 2. 烏克蘭局勢緊張 日本支援歐洲天然氣需求 日本國會通過議案 不允許動武改變烏克蘭現狀+俄烏緊張加劇 歐美籲銀行提防俄羅斯網攻威脅經濟產業大臣萩田光一9日宣布，將向歐洲借出一部分液化天然氣（LNG）。應政府要求，一家日本公司將於 3 月向歐洲派遣幾艘裝載液化天然氣的船舶。一艘船可以裝載的LNG據說是7萬噸，是幾十萬噸的規模。他在新聞發布會上說，“我們要求企業在觀察4月以後的情況的同時，盡可能多地考慮如何應對。” 隨著烏克蘭局勢變得緊張，他將應美國總統拜登的合作請求予以配合。首相岸田文雄9日在首相官邸對記者說，“鑑於美國盟友的要求，以及歐洲天然氣嚴重短缺的情況。” 萩田先生9日會見了歐盟駐日本大使帕特里夏·弗洛爾和美國駐日本大使拉姆·伊曼紐爾。他宣布了一項支持液化天然氣住宿的政策。 在歐洲，來自俄羅斯的天然氣供應已經在下降，而液化天然氣的進口正在擴大。預計1月份歐洲LNG進口量為1100萬噸，是去年同月的4倍。從它的規模來看，幾十萬噸都是小數目。在歐洲，5月份的天然氣消費量在1月份減半，4月份是關鍵時刻。 國內LNG庫存最多不超過兩週。沒有國家儲備，但剩餘的將在確保國內所需數量後出售。據日本經濟產業省稱，在向日本公司申請住宿之前已決定前往歐洲的幾艘船將於 2 月抵達。隨著幾艘應政府要求將目的地改為歐洲的船隻的增加，據說3月份抵達的船隻將比2月份更多。 如果俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭，美國和歐洲正計劃對俄羅斯實施經濟制裁。俄羅斯可以通過減少對歐洲的天然氣供應來應對。歐洲40%的天然氣進口依賴俄羅斯。美國曾詢問日本和其他國家是否可以將液化天然氣運送到歐洲，這樣歐洲就不會耗盡能源。 2020年全球天然氣交易量約為9.2億噸。其中，5.6億噸天然氣通過管道運輸，3.6億噸LNG通過船舶輕鬆運輸。 LNG中，亞太地區2.5億噸，佔比70%，其中日本約7500萬噸，為國內最大。它由電力、天然氣和貿易公司等私營公司進口。排名前三位的國家澳大利亞、馬來西亞和卡塔爾佔總數的 65%，其次是俄羅斯，佔 8%，美國占 6%。 LNG比石油和煤炭更難儲存，國內庫存上限為300萬噸，相當於國內兩週左右的需求量。 LNG火電約佔國內發電量的40%。由於大雪和寒潮導致供需緊張的風險，政府已決定在不干擾國內能源供應的情況下接納歐洲。 據經濟產業省稱，1月下旬來自美國和歐洲的住宿請求。一家大型貿易公司表示，“1月底，經濟產業省問我們是否可以容納歐洲。我們會考慮是否有盈餘。我們會調整是否真的可以做，什麼時候做。可以開始了。” 液化天然氣是從幾年或更長時間的長期合同和短期合同（不時簽訂的合同）中採購的。在長期合同中，似乎可以出售給其他國家的部分液化天然氣將主要在美國生產。由東電控股和中部電力共同出資的大型貿易公司JERA和大型城市燃氣公司可能不會將購買的液化天然氣進口到日本，而是將其出售給其他國家的公司。被稱為“交易”的液化天然氣可能會在正常時期被發送到歐洲。將美國液化天然氣直接運送到歐洲大約需要 15 天，大約是從美國運送到日本所需時間的一半。 4 月之後可以容納的數量很難預測。另一家大型貿易公司表示，“可以將現貨交易的金額轉移到歐洲，但最多只能轉移一艘LNG運輸船。” 正是美國敦促日本在歐洲接納液化天然氣。有人說，日本政府很難回應，因為國內供需空間不大。然而，美國似乎已經敦促讓地理上遠離烏克蘭的日本參與進來。目的是增加對俄羅斯的威懾。 也有人擔心日本在LNG住宿方面的合作將減少俄羅斯對日本的資源供應。經濟產業省表示，目前還沒有假設，但如果成為現實，將不靈活，將直接面向日本。 20年來從俄羅斯進口的煤炭佔總量的14.5%，原油占4.1%。 #液態天然氣 #歐洲 #日本 #美國 3.歐洲聯盟公布「歐洲晶片法案」，將投入超過430億歐元，讓歐洲晶片全球市占率倍增。8日，歐盟委員會（EU）宣布了一項擴大該地區半導體生產的法案。歐盟和成員國將建立一個易於提供補貼的製度，到 2030 年，公共和私營部門將投資 430 億歐元（約合 5.7 萬億日元）。著力吸引龍頭廠商，強化經濟保障。 歐盟的目標是在 30 年內將其半導體生產份額從目前的 10% 提高到 20%。據歐盟稱，英特爾和台積電已經表現出在歐洲建立新工廠的興趣，但兩家公司都在為此尋求補貼。 歐盟原則上禁止向私營公司提供補貼。將半導體視為戰略領域並利用補貼規則的例外情況。不僅歐盟而且成員國都將能夠補貼工廠建設。 4. 美國共和黨內部紛爭擴大，參議院領袖批判親川普派美國共和黨內部衝突普遍。共和黨領袖米奇·麥康奈爾8日公開批評受前總統特朗普影響的共和黨全國委員會。黨內凝聚力已成為11月中期選舉勝利的主要問題。 4日，全國委員會通過了一項決議，譴責包括共和黨人利茲切尼在內的兩名眾議院議員。他們加入了一個民主黨領導的特別委員會，以查明 2021 年 1 月國會佔領的真相，從而為特朗普先生負責。據美國媒體報導，該決議積極評價該決議是關於要求推翻特朗普在20年總統大選中失敗的佔領案的“合理政治辯論”。 麥康奈爾8日批評了全國委員會的決議，決定對記者說，這是一場針對占領案的“旨在阻撓和平移交權力的暴力叛亂”。 “我們不應該譴責與大多數人想法不同的立法者，”他為錢尼和其他人辯護。 據美國有線電視新聞網報導，像麥康奈爾這樣的共和黨領導人參議員約翰·圖恩和約翰·科寧也抱怨譴責決議會傷害他們的親屬。有一種觀點認為，麥康奈爾對全國委員會的不滿實際上是針對特朗普先生。起草該決議的全國委員會主席羅娜·麥克丹尼爾（Ronna McDaniel）在特朗普先生的大力支持下於 2009 年 1 月贏得了第三屆主席職位。特朗普先生的前助手也領導了這項決議。 5.英國內閣改組逼宮面臨內憂外患等逼宮危機的英國首相強生，8日宣布小規模內閣改組，期望藉此安撫民怨，避免下台。強生私下宣稱，要他離開首相府，除非出動一個「裝甲師」的兵力才能逼他下台。 BBC報導，脫歐派大將、下議院領袖芮斯莫格（Jacob Rees-Mogg）出任新設的英國脫歐事務大臣，職責包括提升政府運作效率。 #Dennis #福澤喬 製作人： #KIMI #國際新聞 #DJTALK #DENNIS全球政治筆記 #Joel來談日本 #Dennis #福澤喬 製作人： #KIMI #國際新聞 #DJTALK #DENNIS全球政治筆記 #Joel來談日本

Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ đang đứng trước một thách thức kép. Về đối nội, Ankara trực diện với cuộc khủng hoảng kinh tế nghiêm trọng nhất từ 20 năm qua kèm theo là những hậu quả chính trị khó lường một năm trước bầu cử. Về đối ngoại, tổng thống Erdogan vừa bị thêm một vố đau : Kazakhstan, một lá chủ bài của Ankara tại Trung Á lệ thuộc nhiều hơn vào nước Nga. Nhà nghiên cứu Tolga Bilener giảng dậy tại đại học Galatassaray, Istanbul, phân tích về đối thoại Nga-Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ thêm phức tạp khi lợi ích của đôi bên chồng chéo lẫn lên nhau. Kinh tế Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ trong cơn bão tố Achentina thường giữ kỷ lục thế giới về lạm phát, nhưng vừa bị Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ soán ngôi. Theo thống kê của Ankara trong năm 2021, chỉ số này  tăng 36 %, cao gấp 7 lần so với dự phóng của chính phủ. Đồng tiền quốc gia mất giá gần 50 % so với đô la. Hóa đơn nhập khẩu do vậy tăng lên gấp đôi. 15 % dân số trong tuổi lao động thất nghiệp và theo giới quan sát Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ con số chính thức « thấp hơn nhiều so với thực tế ».   Vào lúc mãi lực của người dân Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ trung bình tuột dốc không phanh thì hóa đơn tiền điện tăng lên từ 52 đến 120 % (tùy theo hợp đồng), giá một lít dầu ăn tăng gần gấp đôi, giá một ổ bánh mì tăng thêm 54 %. Những khó khăn chồng chất đó xuất phát từ nhiều yếu tố : một là giá xăng dầu, nguyên liệu, nhu yếu phẩm trên thế giới tăng lên. Hai là Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ lệ thuộc vào nhập khẩu năng lượng, mỗi năm phải chi ra gần 50 tỷ đô la để mua dầu khí của nước ngoài, chủ yếu là Nga. Việc đồng tiền quốc gia mất 50 % trị giá so với đô la là một tai họa. Nguyên nhân thứ ba giải thích khủng hoảng kinh tế Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ hiện tại là nguồn đầu tư trực tiếp nước ngoài cạn kiệt : đang từ 20 tỷ đô la năm 2007 rơi xuống còn 5,5 tỷ đô la hồi 2020. Phó giám đốc Viện Nghiên Cứu Quan Hệ Quốc Tế và Chiến Lược IRIS của Pháp, Didier Billion nói đến một sự « sụp đổ » về tín nhiệm của các nhà đầu tư quốc tế đối với chính quyền Erdogan càng lúc càng độc đoán - đặc biệt là kể từ sau cuộc đảo chính hụt năm 2016. « Kinh tế trưởng Erdogan : một tai họa » Nguy hiểm hơn nữa là chính sách kinh tế của Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ đang « đi lầm đường ». Trong bài tham luận hôm 10/01/2022 Préoccupantes turbulences économiques en Turquie  -Những khuấy động kinh tế đáng lo ngại của Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ trên trang chủ của viện IRIS, Didier Billion không quên những yếu tố nhất thời làm suy yếu kinh tế Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ hiện tại. Đứng đầu trong số đó là những tác động dây chuyền Covid-19 dẫn tới. Nhưng tình hình đã trở nên nghiêm trọng do từ 2018 tổng thống Ergogan tập trung quyền lực kể cả trong lĩnh vực kinh tế. Tác giả bài viết nêu bật những « chỉ thị bất cập » mà tổng thống Recep Tayyip Erdogan áp đặt : từ quyết định giảm lãi suất chỉ đạo đến việc liên tục sa thải các chuyên gia cao cấp của Ngân hàng quốc gia, thay thế bộ trưởng Tài Chính như thể giải pháp thay thế nhân sự đó là ngõ thoát hiểm, chấm dứt nạn lạm phát, chấm dứt hiện tượng đồng tiền quốc gia bị mất giá. « Một phần các chuyên kinh tế của Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ, các tổ chức công đoàn, chính trị gia trong hàng ngũ đối lập liên tục chỉ trích chính sách kinh tế vô hiệu quả đó » nhưng nhà nghiên cứu Pháp, Didier Billion ghi nhận « mọi tiếng nói bất đồng đều đã bị gạt qua một bên ». Ankara lệ thuộc hơn vào Matxcơva  Vấn đề đặt ra là đến mùa xuân năm 2023 Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ bầu lại tổng thống và Quốc Hội. Đảng cầm quyền Công Lý và Phát Triển AKP cần lấy lại hào quang trong lòng cử tri. Một trong những chìa khóa tháo giữ bế tắc dường như đang được đặt tại nước Nga. Trả lời RFI tiếng Việt, giáo sư Tolga Bilener giảng dậy tại đại học Galatassaray, Istanbul điểm lại quan hệ kinh tế mật thiết về kinh tế giữa Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ và Nga Tolga Bilener : « Về khối lượng, tổng trao đổi mậu dịch giữa Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ và Nga liên tục gia tăng từ thập niên 1990 : đang từ 4 tỷ đô la năm 1997, đã đạt tới 26 tỷ vào năm 2019 trước đại dịch Covid-19 và đương nhiên giao thương hai chiều bị sa sút do khủng hoảng y tế. Sau Đức, Nga là đối tác thứ nhì của Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ - nhưng lại đứng trước Trung Quốc. Matxcơva xuất khẩu năng lượng và mua vào nông phẩm ở chiều ngược lại. Cán cân thương mại nghiêng về phía Nga. Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ lệ thuộc vào khí đốt và dầu hỏa của nước ngoài mà Nga bảo đảm đến 30 % nguồn cung cấp. Ngoài ra, nhà máy điện hạt nhân đầu tiên của Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ do Nga xây dựng. Trong ngành du lịch, một lĩnh vực tương đương với 5 % GDP, 20 % du khách ngoại quốc là người Nga. Cuối cùng, vũ khí cũng là một yếu tố quan trọng trong quan hệ song phương : năm 2019 hợp đồng trang bị hệ thống tên lửa S400 của Nga đã gây ra một cuộc khủng hoảng ngoại giao sâu đậm giữa chính quyền Ankara với các đồng minh phương Tây ». Hiềm khích Nga - Thổ Nhưng bang giao giữa Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ với nước Nga ngày nay hay với Liên Xô cũ và xa hơn nữa là giữa hai đế chế Ottoman và đế quốc Nga chưa bao giờ suôn sẻ. Chuyên gia Bilener nhắc lại là xung đột quân sự từng xảy ra 14 lần, từ thế kỷ thứ 16 đến Đệ Nhất Thế Chiến, bởi đôi bên có những quyền lợi đối chọi với nhau Dưới thời Liên Xô cũ, Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ gia nhập Liên Minh Bắc Đại Tây Dương năm 1952. Kể từ khi Liên Xô sụp đổ, năm 1991 Nga và Thổ vẫn trong tư thế kình nghịch. Dưới thời tổng thống Vladimir Putin, Matxcơva muốn kiểm soát trở lại các nước cộng hòa thuộc Liên Xô cũ và điều đó càng khiến xung khắc giữa đôi bên hằn sâu thêm. Điều này được kiểm chứng tại vùng Kapkaz, trong xung đột giữa Armenia và Azerbaijan, trong vùng Balkan hay ở Trung Đông. Còn liên quan đến Ukraina : Ankara không chấp nhận việc Matxcơva thôn tính bán đảo Crimée, Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ, một thành viên của NATO bán drones cho Kiev. Dù vậy chính quyền Erdogan không về hùa với phương Tây để trừng phạt Nga xâm chiếm vùng lãnh thổ này của Ukraina.   Tháng 11/2021 tại thủ đô Ankara, tổng thống Ergodan đã chủ trì lễ khai sinh Tổ Chức các Quốc Gia nói tiếng Thổ (Organization of Turkic States) hậu thân của Hội đồng các quốc gia nói tiếng Thổ. Tổ chức đó bao gồm Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ và 4 nước Trung Á, Azerbaïdjan, Kazakhstan, Kirghizistan và Uzbekistan.  Tolga Bilener đại học Istanbul phân tích vì sao Trung Á dù là sân sau của Nga, nhưng luôn là một vùng ảnh hưởng mà Ankara muốn nhắm tới : Tolga Bilener : « Trung Á là một khu vực ưu tiên đối với Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ kể từ năm 1991. Ankara đã rất hân hoan trước việc 5 quốc gia trong vùng giành được độc lập bởi do có một sự gần gũi về ngôn ngữ, về sắc tộc, lịch sử, văn hóa và tôn giáo. Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ muốn lôi kéo khối này vào quỹ đạo của mình. Đương nhiên bên cạnh đó là những quyền lợi kinh tế : Ankara tìm kiếm những thị trường mới cho doanh nghiệp và muốn củng cố ảnh hưởng tại Trung Á, xem đó là bệ phóng mới, tạo thêm sức mạnh cho Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ. Giới lãnh đạo nước này từ thập niên 90 đã có tham vọng mở ra một thế giới thuộc ảnh hưởng của Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ trải dài từ vùng biển Adriatic đến tận Vạn Lý Trường Thành. Ankara muốn phát triển hệ thống các đường ống dẫn dầu và khí đối với các nước Trung Á. Hơn 4000 doanh nghiệp Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ đang hoạt động trong khu vực này, đồng thời Ankara mở rộng các mối quan hệ từ ngoại giao đến văn hóa, tôn giáo với các nước tại Trung Á. Tháng 11/2021 dưới sự vận động của chính quyền Erdogan, Tổ Chức Các Quốc Gia thuộc văn hóa Thổ đã được khai sinh nhưng khủng hoảng Kazakhstan vừa rồi đã cho phép Nga ghi được một bàn thắng quan trọng và phải nói là điều đó khiến Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ lo ngại ». Do vậy trong cuộc khủng hoảng tại Kazakhstan khi chính quyền của tổng thống Tokaiev cầu viện Tổ Chức Hiệp Định Anh Ninh Tập Thể OTSC mà đứng đầu là Nga can thiện để « dẹp lọan, tái lập trật tự an ninh » : Ankara cảm thấy bị việt vị. Tolga Bilener : « Kazakhstan là một lá chủ bài ở Trung Á, nhờ trọng lượng về địa lý, nhờ các nguồn dự trữ năng lượng, nhờ tầm cỡ lịch sử của quốc gia này. Tuy nhiên chưa bao giờ Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ lấn át được ảnh hưởng của Nga trong toàn khu vực Trung Á. Đó là chưa kể đến một đối tác mới vừa nổi lên gần đây là Trung Quốc. Thậm chí là quyền lợi về kinh tế của Bắc Kinh đối khu vực này bắt đầu đe dọa đến lợi ích của Nga và Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ. Nói cách khác, Nga đóng vai trò sen đầm ở Trung Á, Trung Quốc là ông chủ ngân hàng, ảnh hưởng của Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ bị thu hẹp lại trên phương diện văn hóa và tôn giáo và rõ ràng là Ankara không đủ phương tiện kinh tế để thực hiện những tham vọng chính trị ».    Lực bất tòng tâm Nhưng những tham vọng chính trị đó bị hạn chế bởi những phương tiện tài chính eo hẹp. Chuyên gia Tolga Bilener, đại học Istanbul kết luận : Tolga Bilener : « Chính những khó khăn kinh tế thường xuyên giới hạn tham vọng về chính trị của Ankara đối với khu vực. Cho dù Nga và Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ nỗ lực sưởi ấm bang giao, quan hệ song phương luôn bị những hiềm khích quá khứ tác động. Hiện tại quan tâm hàng đầu của Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ là khó khăn kinh tế, đồng tiền quốc gia mất giá 50 % từ đầu 2021 đến nay so với đô la và euro. Sức mua của người dân qua đó tuột dốc mạnh. Hơn thế nữa, là một quốc gia phải nhập khẩu dầu hỏa và khí đốt, hóa đơn năng lượng lại càng nặng thêm. Bình thường ra, mỗi năm Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ huy động 45 tỷ đô la để bảo đảm nhu cầu về năng lượng. Với tình hình hiện tại, giá nguyên liệu trên thế giới tăng cao, Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ chịu chung luật chơi của thị trường. Các khoản nhập siêu và thâm hụt ngân sách càng thêm nghiêm trọng. Giới phân tích không loại trừ khả năng, Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ sẽ lại phải đối mặt với một cuộc khủng hoảng tương tự như hồi 2001 và chính khủng hoảng đó đã dẫn tới một sự thay đổi về chính trị ». 

2021 has been a turbulent year for Turkiye-US relations. Ankara's purchase of the Russian-made S400 missile defence system and Washington's continued support for YPG/PKK terrorists in Syria remain at the heart of fraught relations between the two NATO allies. And even as Biden and Erdogan agreed to patch things up at the G20 summit in Rome, major points of contention remain unresolved. So what will it take to restore trust between Ankara and Washington? Guests: Rich Outzen Former US Diplomat Helin Sari Ertem Associate Professor at Medeniyet University Matthew Bryza Former US Ambassador

On 9 December, India's Chief of Defense Staff, Bipin Rawa, suddenly crashed and died while taking a helicopter to inspect Tamil Nadu.Just two days before the plane crash, Russian President Putin made a visit to New Delhi. The two sides signed 28 cooperation agreements, among which weapons procurement including 5 sets of S400 missile defense systems and 600,000 AK-203 assault rifles.I set up and operate this channel alone, hoping to share the real China with the world as well as clarify misconceptions and lies against China. The continued development of China is the biggest game-changer in this century that affects all aspects of everyone's lives. Embrace the change and seize the opportunity.Creating original content is hard work, your support is what keeps me going. Please donate to this channel: https://paypal.me/ChinaExplained?locale.x=en_GB

1. 美國政治抵制 2022 北京冬季奧運+拜登認為民主國家面臨三大危機12 月 6 日拜登政府決定對於北京冬季奧運進行外交抵制，不派遣運動員以外的外交使團。 主要的原因是對於中國在新疆維吾爾自治區打壓人權的立場表達嚴正的抗議。中國政府也在 7 日的時候，宣布將採取反制措施。白宮發言人薩琪在記者會上說：「我們認為中國對維吾爾人犯下種族滅絕和人道主義罪行，侵犯基本人權。」 美國政府 9 日至 10 日在邀請110個國家和地區舉行的「線上民主峰會」，將「促進尊重人權」作為其支柱之一。目的是促進日本和歐洲等盟國和台灣等價值觀相同的國家能夠團結，對抗被視為威權主義的中國以及俄羅斯。 目前還無法看到抵制會蔓延到什麼程度。除了像往常一樣派遣團隊，美國採取了「我們告訴每個國家我們的決定，但（決定）由每個國家決定」的立場，並避免對其他盟邦施加壓力。 據路透社報導，意大利將不參加美國7日宣布的對北京冬奧會的外交抵制。意大利計劃在2014年在米蘭等地舉辦冬奧會，似乎是為了避免對本國舉辦的奧運會造成影響。 7日宣布不派部長出席北京奧運會的紐西蘭也與美國保持距離，指出是為了新冠病毒與無關人權利，每個國家都在為國內輿論和與美國和中國的平衡而苦苦掙扎，這當中包括日本。在外交抵制北京冬奧會的問題上，日本自民黨和其他方面的聲音都在尋求與美國同步。外交部門主席佐藤正久強調「日本政府應該進行外交抵制」但是日本的岸田政府將繼續觀察歐洲和其他國家的動向的同時確定決定的時機。 在 2008 年北京奧運會期間，國際上對中國政府鎮壓西藏自治區示威活動的批評增高的時候。當時的日本首相福田康夫依舊出席了開幕式。不過現在的日本輿論跟當時非常不同，現在的日本輿論與民眾對中國抱持更嚴厲的態度，針對中國政府侵犯香港和新疆維吾爾自治區的人權，進行批評。尤其日中對於釣魚台的糾紛也讓日本民眾對於中國不滿。不過日本外相林芳正7日在記者會上表示，「我們將綜合考慮各種情況，適時作出決定。」另外，在東京奧運的時候，中國向東京奧委會派出國家體育總局部級主任。也是中國奧委會的執行委員。所以日本政府內部有另外一個解法，即使採取抵制外交，如果日本奧委會（JOC）派一名執行官出席就可以。除了國家之外，贊助公司也被迫做出艱難的決定。據國際奧委會（IOC）稱，在奧運會排名最高的14個「合作夥伴」中，美國企業分別是英特爾、Air B&B、可口可樂、Visa、寶潔（P&G） ). 5 家公司。日本公司包括豐田、松下和普利司通。 美國的消費者認為廣告和商業內容具有歧視性，往往會招致抵制等企業的批評。美國公民團體也越來越多地批評中國在新疆維吾爾自治區打壓人權，贊助公司可能被要求同步抵制。#北京冬奧 #中國 #日本 #外交抵制 #美國 #東京奧運 2. 緬甸翁山蘇姬判刑 4 年＋柬埔寨總理韓森一月與緬甸軍政府高層會談6 號緬甸首都內比都法院判處2月政變中被關押的民主化領袖翁山蘇姬四年有期徒刑。 他被控10多項刑事罪名，不過這是他第一次被正式宣判。 武裝部隊當晚宣布將刑期減半至兩年。目的應該是想要減少國內外批評，同時將翁山蘇姬排除在政界之外。據說是緬甸軍隊總司令敏昂萊下令減刑。雖然翁山蘇姬目前處於軟禁的狀態，但是即便想要上訴，應該還是不可能在高等法院推翻原本的判決。翁山蘇姬被指控違反進出口法、電信法等違法進口和使用小型收音機罪名。此後還增加了多項重罪指控，包括違反國家保密法14年監禁和違反反腐敗法15年，迄今已開庭審理11起案件。最高總刑期超過 100 年。所以只要緬甸軍方繼續統治，翁山蘇姬沒有希望重返政壇。 除翁山蘇姬之外，其他民盟高級幹部都被判處長期徒刑。全國民主聯盟中央執行委員會委員、東南克倫邦總理南金茲維明因違反反腐敗法被判處75年有期徒刑，其黨內顧問溫坦因煽動叛亂罪被判處20年有期徒刑。據全國民主聯盟表示，截至 11 月底，已有 430 多名黨員被當局拘留。 13 人在拘留期間或獲釋後不久死亡。隨著翁山蘇姬被定罪，歐美等武裝力量面臨的壓力很可能會更加嚴峻。不邀請敏昂萊參加東盟（ASEAN）首腦級會議，緬甸難免會被孤立在東協之外。 美國國務卿布林肯指責翁山蘇姬被判刑是對民主和正義的踐踏，並且強調「強烈敦促緬甸軍政府釋放所有被不公正拘留的人，英國外長特拉斯也批評這是「這企圖壓制自由和民主」。 不過在各國譴責的同時，2022年東盟輪值主席國柬埔寨首相洪森 12 月 7 日在首都金邊會見被緬甸軍政府任命為外交部長的瓦納·芒·魯溫。 洪森已宣布將於明年1月初訪問緬甸。 與緬甸軍方總司令敏昂萊。洪森將會是緬甸政變之後，第一名訪問緬甸的外國領導人。洪森表示身為主席國應該盡快解決相關問題。東盟已就接受緬甸特使等五項達成一致，柬埔寨也從不干涉內政的原則，轉向積極與緬甸軍方對話的積極態度。#柬埔寨 #翁山蘇姬 #敏昂萊 #緬甸 3. 布林肯首訪東協重新重視東協與美關係美國國務卿布林肯將於12月中訪問印尼、馬來西亞等東盟成員國。這是布林肯先生第一次走訪東盟成員國。美國也將調整對於東協的影響力，主要也是因為中國正在擴大在東協的影響力。 布林肯將在13日至14日訪問印尼，會見外交部長盧托諾。針對中國單方面主張主權的南海問題、緬甸局勢等問題交換意見。 東盟地處美日倡導的「印太自由開放地區」的中心，可是中國正在通過與東協經濟合作擴大影響力。 11月下旬，習近平主席與東協領導人在網上舉行會談，並確認將兩國外交關係提升為「全面戰略夥伴關係」。明年1月，拜登邀請東協領導人到華盛頓舉行特別峰會。 4. 印度俄羅斯武器合作協議印度總理莫迪與俄羅斯總統普京6日在新德里舉行首腦會晤，同意推動加強國防和宇宙空間研究等超握 28 項議題。 最主要是簽署從 2021 年共10年的軍事技術合作，並將著手在印度聯合生產俄製步槍。這一次印度俄羅斯簽署了備忘錄（MOU），以促進在中小企業、能源、網絡防禦、教育等廣泛領域的合作。在軍事合作方面，將合資生產俄製武器。根據印度媒體報導，印度俄羅斯將在印度北部製造超過60萬支俄製步槍“AK-203”。 2018 年印度向俄羅斯購買地對空導彈“S400”。這些武器將部署在印中邊境。 除了針對新型冠狀病毒的措施外，還交換了由伊斯蘭組織塔利班控制的阿富汗局勢。關於疫情部分，會後通過的聯合聲明表示，“疫苗接種證書將在早期相互承認，這將促進兩國之間的交流。#印度 #俄羅斯 #中國 5. 中國恆大財務危機擴大，廣東省政府正式介入背負巨額債務、陷入財務困境的中國恆大集團，今天是美元計價債券的付息期限。包括路透社在內的多家媒體報導稱，無法確認恆大是否能支付利息。這可能是恆大首次公開發行的債券違約。受中國政府深化涉足恆大的政策影響，金融市場暫時趨於穩定，但也有不少觀點認為，就債務重組達成共識尚需時日。 美國評級機構標普全球7日表示，基於債權人的債務擔保履約要求，「恆大違約似乎不可避免」。恆大以美元計價的債券已跌至市場面值20%的水平，處於違約水平。由於對恆大違約的擔憂日益加劇，中國當局宣布了全面參與外幣債務重組的政策。廣東省政府已宣布將向恆大派出督導組。還決定成立一個風險管理委員會，由該部政府附屬公司的高管共同領導。為避免社會動盪，中國政府將著眼於向購房者移交財產和保護商業夥伴，旨在實現恆大問題的軟著陸。 中國人民銀行六日也宣布，從15日起，將下調商業銀行強行存入資金的“存款準備金率”。據央行稱，將向市場釋放總計1.2萬億元人民幣（約合21萬億日元）的長期資金。明確支持企業現金流的態度。 在當局採取一系列措施實現軟著陸之後，金融市場正在避免動盪。 7日港股市場，恆大等地產公司股價全線上漲。亞洲和歐洲的主要股指也全線上漲。摩根士丹利表示：“中國當局和地方政府擁有在緩解系統性風險的同時應對違約的經驗和機制。” 然而，恆大有近2萬億元的債務，包括支付給商業夥伴的款項。似乎很多外國投資者持有美元計價的債券，如果將債務重組視為“過度的國內優先”，可能會招致投資者的反對。目前尚不清楚會談能否順利完成。 #恆大地產 #中國 #房地產泡沫 #Dennis #福澤喬 製作人： #KIMI #國際新聞 #DJTALK #DENNIS全球政治筆記 #Joel來談日本

Hafta ortasından günaydın! Gündemden öne çıkanlar şöyle;-ABD, Covid-19 sebebiyle ‘Almanya ve Danimarka'ya seyahat etmeyin' uyarısı yaptı.-Hindistan, S400 alımı sonrası ABD CAATSA yaptırımlarından muaf tutulabilir.-İstanbul ve Ankara‘da doların yükselişi protesto edildi.-Elektrik faturalarındaki TRT payı kaldırıldı.-İçişleri Bakanlığı, Bolu Belediyesinin yabancılara uygulayacağı nikah ve su ücretlerine ilişkin soruşturma başlattı.

The Bharatvaarta Weekly is our reaction to the news headlines of the week that was. This week we spoke about the Vir Das controversy, delivery of the S400 air defence systems from Russia, Delhi lockdown due to smog, repeal of the farm laws, and more. If you liked this episode, then don't forget to subscribe to our channel and share this content. You can stay updated with everything at Bharatvaarta by following us on social media: we're @bharatvaarta on Twitter, facebook.com/bharatvaarta.in on Facebook, and @bharatvaarta on Instagram).

The Bharatvaarta Weekly is our reaction to the news headlines of the week that was. This week we spoke about the Vir Das controversy, delivery of the S400 air defence systems from Russia, Delhi lockdown due to smog, repeal of the farm laws, and more. If you liked this episode, then don't forget to subscribe to our channel and share this content. You can stay updated with everything at Bharatvaarta by following us on social media: we're @bharatvaarta on Twitter, facebook.com/bharatvaarta.in on Facebook, and @bharatvaarta on Instagram).

Devr-i Sabık'da bu hafta, Özgün Emre Koç konuğu Burak Yıldırım ile, İHA/SİHA'lar ne kadar yerli?, F35, S400, F16, savunmada dışa bağımlılığı yenmek, AKP'nin jeopolitik hataları ve yeni fırsatlar hakkında konuştu.

Perşembe gününden günaydın! Gündemden kısa kısa ile başlıyoruz:-Milli Savunma Bakanlığı, sosyal medyada yer alan S400'lerin İncirlik'e götürüldüğü iddiaları gerçek dışıdır.-ABD, Etiyopya'daki vatandaşlarına ülkeyi terk etme çağrısı yaptı.-İran, Viyana'daki nükleer anlaşma müzakerelerinin 29 Kasım'da yeniden başlayacağını duyurdu.-Mısır ve Hindistan, Mısır'da iki ülkenin savaş uçaklarının katılımıyla ortak tatbikat gerçekleştirdi.-Fed, politika faizini değiştirmeyerek yüzde 0-0,25 aralığında sabit bıraktığını açıkladı.-Çanakkale Boğazı, sis nedeniyle transit gemi geçişlerine ve feribot ulaşımına kapatıldı.-BioNTech aşısı olanlara bugünden itibaren hatırlatma dozu uygulanacak.

Rengin Arslan'ın hazırlayıp sunduğu Ne? Nasıl? programında ABD ile Türkiye arasında yaşanan S400 krizinden çıkış yolları, Hindistan faktörü ve Türkiye'nin ABD'deki imajı masaya yatırılıyor. Soner Çağaptay'ın yorumlarıyla...

Cette semaine en Turquie (95): Réunion Erdoğan-Poutine, de nouveaux missiles S400 en perspective

HDP İzmir il binasına silahlı saldırı, Meclis'ten geçen infaz yasası, Şahin'den dördüncü dalga uyarısı, Erdoğan'dan F35 ve S400 açıklaması...Kısa Dalga Bülten'de günün gelişmeleri abartısız, sade ve net haliyle yayında.

Haftanın ekonomi alanındaki gelişmelerini Güldem Atabay ile Eser Karakaş Ekonomi Gündemi'nde konuşmaya devam etti.

Dünya siyasetinde sıcak gelişmelerin yaşandığı bir haftayı geride bırakırken, Brüksel'deki NATO zirvesi ve Cenevre'deki Putin-Biden görüşmesi yeni döneme ilişkin ipuçlarını bize verdi.Cumhurbaşkanı Tayyip Erdoğan ile ABD Başkanı Joe Biden arasında Brüksel'deki NATO Liderler Zirvesi çerçevesinde yapılan ikili görüşmeden uzlaşı çıkmış gözükmüyor. Bunun yerine liderler pozitif mesajlar verirken, yeni döneme ilişkin temenniler sıralandı.İki ülke arasındaki başlıca krizlerden S-400 meselesi, F-35 yaptırımları ve Suriye'de YPG'ye olan destek gibi konularda bir açıklama gelmedi.Uzman ve analistlerden iki liderin görüşmesine ilişkin farklı değerlendirmeler gelmeye devam ediyor.Rusya uzmanı Dr Kerim Has da, Moskova'dan programında yaptığı değerlendirmede, Erdoğan'ın tekrar ABD'ye dümeni kırdığı, Biden'dan bir nebze de olsa istediğini aldığı ve Rusya'yla yeni kırılmaların kapıda oluğu görüşünü dile getiriyor.“Ortada Türkiye'nin çıkarları değil, Erdoğan rejiminin bekası ile ilgili bir görüşme olarak bunu değerlendirmek lazım” diyen Has, “Biden, Erdoğan'ı zorlayacak hiçbir konuda açıklama yapmadı, ortak açıklama dahi yapılmadı. Bence Biden, Erdoğan'a bir ev ödevi verdi ve onun iktidarının devamı adına bir gelişme olarak da yorumlanabilir” ifadesini kullanıyor.Erdoğan'ı bundan sonraki süreçte Rusya'ya büyük bir kazık atma eğilimine girebileceğini söyleyen Kerim Has, Rusya'daki Türk iş insanlarına ve Türkiye vatandaşlarına seslenerek, “Türkiye-Rusya ilişkilerinde yeni ve çalkantılı bir dönemin başladığı kanaatindeyim. Risklerini minimuma çekmelerinde fayda var” tavsiyesinde bulunuyor.Has'a göre, Erdoğan'ın dümen kırmasından sonra Rus uçağının düşürüldüğü dönemdeki krizin de ötesine geçecek bir kırılma yaşanabilir...Türkiye'nin ABD'ye teklif ettiği Kabil Havalimanı'nın korunmasının üstlenilmesi meselesine de değinen Has, “Erdoğan, bir anlamda kendini haşhaşi imamı olarak atadı” ironisi yapıyor. Afganistan'ın terör ve uyuşturucuyla iç içe olduğunu anımsatan Has, “Burada akademik konuşmaktan ziyade, işin arkasındaki kirli emellere bakmakta fayda var. Erdoğan bekçiliğe soyunarak Türk askerini de tehlikeye atacak” yorumunu yapıyor.

Even if Turkey manages to come up with a solution to the S400 issue or the eastern Mediterranean issue during the NATO meeting on June 14 between U.S President Joe Biden and his Turkish counterpart Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, there is not going to be a new page within the U.S. Turkish relationship without real democracy and reforms, Merve Tahiroglu, the Turkey Program Coordinator at the Project on Middle East Democracy, told Ahval's editor-in-chief in Ahval on Saturday. Tahiroglu said that Ankara really wants an image out of this meeting on Monday of positive U.S-Turkish relations.

Even if Turkey manages to come up with a solution to the S400 issue or the eastern Mediterranean issue during the NATO meeting on June 14 between U.S President Joe Biden and his Turkish counterpart Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, there is not going to be a new page within the U.S. Turkish relationship without real democracy and reforms, Merve Tahiroglu, the Turkey Program Coordinator at the Project on Middle East Democracy, told Ahval's editor-in-chief in Ahval on Saturday. Tahiroglu said that Ankara really wants an image out of this meeting on Monday of positive U.S-Turkish relations.

C'est un des sujets brûlants qui empoisonnent depuis plusieurs années la relation entre les États-Unis et la Turquie et qui sera abordé lors du premier entretien bilatéral entre les présidents Biden et Erdogan, en marge du sommet de l'Otan lundi 14 juin 2020. Ankara, qui assimile les forces syriennes des YPG au PKK (mouvement classé terroriste par les États-Unis et l'Union Européenne) souhaite la fin du soutien occidental à ces milices. Autres sujets sensibles : l'équipement de la Turquie en missiles anti-missiles russes S 400 ou encore la Libye. L'ambassadeur de Turquie en France Ali Onaner répond aux questions de RFI. RFI : Le sommet de l'Otan se tient ce lundi 14 juin. Le président turc Recep Tayip Erdogan a prévenu les États-Unis il y a 10 jours avec cette formule « ceux qui acculent la République de Turquie perdront un ami précieux ». Y a-t-il vraiment un risque que les relations se dégradent encore ? A. O. : Je ne vois pas de risque que les relations se dégradent encore, parce que nous avons eu le temps d'expliquer à nos amis américains et à l'ensemble de nos alliés qu'un certain nombre d'initiatives de politique de leur part avaient été erronées et avait causé du tort à nos relations avec nos alliés. Je fais notamment référence à l'utilisation par nos alliés des terroristes du PKK en Syrie. C'est une chose que nous n'accepterons pas, c'est une erreur qu'ont faite nos alliés, et nous les incitons à revenir sur cette erreur. Je pense que la rencontre avec monsieur Biden sera l'occasion d'aborder cette question. Justement sur ce dossier, qu'attendez-vous concrètement de vos alliés, et en particulier de Washington ? C'est très simple : de cesser totalement toute forme de coopération avec les terroristes du PKK, sous prétexte d'une prétendue lutte que mènerait le PKK contre Daech. On voit aujourd'hui que l'utilisation de ces terroristes est contre-productive, car nos alliés deviennent les otages de cette organisation terroriste, à travers notamment des camps de détentions, où le PKK prétend retenir des personnes liées à Daech et en fait tient nos alliés en otages en utilisant ces camps. Le choix de la Turquie de s'équiper en missiles anti-missiles russes, les S400, est, on le sait, aussi un sujet de tension avec les alliés de l'Otan et notamment les Américains. Le sommet de lundi peut-il permettre d'avancer sur cette question et si oui comment ? Vous le savez peut-être, l'une des raisons pour lesquelles la Turquie a été contrainte de faire ce choix - au sujet duquel d'ailleurs toutes les réponses ont été apportées à nos alliés de l'Otan pour confirmer que leur utilisation ne constituerait pas un risque pour l'Alliance atlantique- est que malheureusement, notre souhait d'acheter des missiles comparables à notre allié américain, des missiles Patriot, ou de concevoir et produire des missiles comparables avec nos alliés français et italien, n'a pas abouti. Nos alliés n'ont pas été capables de répondre à notre besoin, donc ils sont responsables de l'obligation dans laquelle s'est trouvée la Turquie d'aller s'équiper ailleurs pour résoudre cette question. Il faudrait tout d'abord que notre allié américain puisse être capable de fournir la Turquie avec les équipements que la Turquie souhaite acheter, notamment les missiles Patriot. L'achat par la Turquie des missiles S 400 est causé directement par cette difficulté de nos alliés de fournir les équipements que nous avions souhaités. Pour être très précis, si jamais les États-Unis vous fournissaient les équipements que vous demandez, est ce que la Turquie renoncerait aux S 400  russes ? Cette discussion aura lieu entre les deux présidents. La Turquie a jusqu'à aujourd'hui acquis un certain nombre d'équipements liés aux S 400. Si nos alliés reviennent sur leurs erreurs et fournissent à la Turquie les équipements qui lui sont nécessaires, la Turquie n'aura plus besoin d'acheter les équipements liés aux S 400. À droite comme à gauche, les membres du Congrès américain réclament une ligne plus dure vis-à-vis de la Turquie. Cinquante-quatre sénateurs américains, toutes tendances confondues se sont unis pour exhorter le président Biden à hausser le ton face à son homologue en matière de droits humains. Qu'en pensez-vous ? C'est la réussite des différentes campagnes de lobbying aux États-Unis qui ont été poussées à travailler contre la Turquie par différents groupes d'intérêts. C'est le fonctionnement de la démocratie aux États-Unis : les membres du Congrès sont directement à l'écoute de ces groupes de lobbys. Mais je suis convaincu que le président Biden, une fois qu'il aura rencontré le président Erdogan, aura tous les éléments en main pour convaincre les membres du Congrès de l'intérêt qu'ont les États-Unis à avoir les meilleures relations avec la Turquie. Juste après le sommet de l'Otan, le président Recep Tayyip Erdogan se rendra trois jours en Azerbaïdjan, il ira notamment dans cette ville symbolique du Haut Karabakh, récemment repassée sous le contrôle de Bakou : Choucha. Quel est le sens de cette visite ? Le sens de cette visite est une continuité naturelle des relations de proximité que la Turquie a toujours eu avec l'Azerbaïdjan. Les territoires dont vous parlez sont les territoires de l'Azerbaïdjan qui ont été occupés illégalement pendant trente ans par l'Arménie. Le groupe de Minsk malheureusement n'a pas été capable de mettre fin à cette occupation illégale arménienne et les récentes agressions de l'Arménie -qui ont alimenté ce conflit- ont finalement abouti à un résultat où l'Arménie s'est retrouvée obligée de quitter les territoires qu'elle occupait. Ces territoires qui sont azerbaidjanais peuvent bien sûr faire partie d'une visite d'un dirigeant étranger ami. G7 ce week-end, puis sommet de l'Otan avant la rencontre entre Joe Biden et Vladimir Poutine mercredi prochain à Genève : pour certains analystes ces deux premières rencontres sont aussi un affichage qui fera la part belle à un front anti-Moscou. En tout cas, depuis son arrivée au pouvoir, Joe Biden affiche une grande fermeté face à la Russie. Est-ce une ligne diplomatique avec laquelle vous pouvez être d'accord ? La Turquie a été obligée de se positionner sur plusieurs dossiers régionaux face à notre voisin russe, avec lequel nous avons bien sûr des relations économiques et politiques importantes. Mais si vous regardez les questions régionales, vous verrez que la Turquie a souvent été opposée à la Russie et a parfois souffert du fait qu'elle soit restée le seul pays occidental à devoir faire face à la Russie. Je parle notamment de la Syrie, mais de la Libye aussi, où c'est seulement grâce aux efforts de la Turquie que la présence russe a pu être contenue. Donc nos alliés, que ce soit les États-Unis ou la France, peuvent facilement observer que la Turquie représente l'Occident, l'Alliance atlantique, quand il le faut sur des questions régionales face à la Russie. Au sujet de la Libye justement : le 23 juin prochain à Berlin se tient une nouvelle conférence où le sujet principal sera le retrait total de toutes les forces armées étrangères dans le pays. La Turquie est-elle prête elle-même à faire ce pas ? La Turquie encourage aussi le retrait de tous les mercenaires et de tous les combattants étrangers venus illégalement en Libye. Les conseillers militaires et formateurs militaires turcs qui contribuent aujourd'hui à la formation de l'armée libyenne et se trouvent actuellement en Libye, le sont en application d'un accord bilatéral. Ils ne sont donc pas concernés par ce besoin de retrait des mercenaires étrangers. Les Libyens et les Libyens seuls –le gouvernement actuel ou le futur gouvernement issu, nous l'espérons, des élections du mois de décembre- peuvent décider de la poursuite de la collaboration avec les militaires turcs ou alors de leur départ. Cette décision appartient seulement aux Libyens, tandis que la communauté internationale, la Turquie y compris, doit travailler ensemble pour le départ des mercenaires, question sur laquelle nous sommes en accord avec notamment notre allié français. Au Mali il y a un an, lors du dernier coup d'état, le ministre des Affaires étrangères turc a été le premier à atterrir sur place. Aujourd'hui, il y a une nouvelle donne à Bamako, nouvelle donne vous le savez qui a beaucoup inquiété. Le président du Burkina Faso, a estimé hier que les Africains devaient "se ressaisir" et s'unir pour lutter contre les jihadistes qui déstabilisent l'Afrique de l'Ouest. Partagez-vous cette position ? Notre priorité aussi est la stabilité de l'Afrique et la lutte contre le terrorisme sur ce continent. Nous notons les efforts très importants accomplis par notre allié français en ce sens. Par définition, toute mesure prise pour lutter contre le terrorisme est soutenue par la Turquie sans aucune ambiguïté. À lire aussi : Entretien : «L'Otan est aussi une alliance qui réunit autour de valeurs communes, dont la première est la démocratie»

Amerika Birleşik Devletleri (ABD) Başkanı Joe Biden ile Rusya Devlet Başkanı Vladimir Putin arasında 16 Haziran'da Cenevre'de gerçekleşecek görüşmenin Türkiye'ye bakan yönleri de merak konusu.Washington ile Ankara arasında derin krize yol açan S-400 meselesinin nereye evrileceği üzerine farklı senaryolar yazılıp çiziliyor.Rusya uzmanı Dr Kerim Has, bu görüşmenin S-400'lerin kaderini belirleyi belirlemeyeceğine dair görüşlerini Moskova'dan programında paylaşıyor.Kerim Has, Erdoğan'ın Biden'a yeni bir formül önerebileceği, bunun da S-400'lerin Türkiye'nin güneyindeki İncirlik Hava Üssü'nde ABD'nin kontrolü altında konuşlandırılacağına yönelik kulislerin Rusya tarafından asla kabul edilmeyeceğini belirtiyor.Has'a göre İncirlik modeli Moskova için "kırmızı çizgi" niteliğinde...Günün sonunda Biden-Erdoğan görüşmesi Ankara için "suni teneffüs" olacağı görüşünü dile getiren Has, "Yanılabilirim ama defaatle söylediğim gibi Türkiye'nin ikici part S-400'leri de almak zorunda olacağını düşünüyorum" ifadesini kullanıyor ve ekliyor:"Erdoğan da İncirlik konusuna cesaret edemez, etse bile Ruslar buna müdahale edip engel olurlar. Kerim Has, Rusya'nın Türkiye'ye yönelik uçuş yasağından vazgeçmemesine dair ise, "21 Haziran'a kadar açılması or geliyor, en erken temmuz başı olabilir. Bu da olumlu gelişme olarak değerlendirilmeli. Öyle ki bu ihtimal de çok güçlü değil" ifadesini kullanıyor.İşin siyasi boyutunun da etkili olmaya devam ettiğini ifade eden Has, "Bunun yanı sıra Türkiye'nin açıkladığı korona rakamlarındaki şeffaflık da yasak kararına doğrudan etki ediyor" diye konuşuyor.Yayının tamamını buradan izleyebilirsiniz:

8 Haziran 2021 tarihli #AkılOdası​'nın ÖZET bölümünde gündemin önemli başlıklarını ve önemli yorumları sizler için derledik: ◼ "#S400 yaptırımları için alternatifler sunduk" diyen #ABD, bu kez de taahhüt istedi. ◼S-400'leri aktive etmeyeceğine ilişkin taahhüt isteyen ABD'ye #Türkiye'nin cevabı ne oldu? ◼#Biden'ın 'süper güç' açıklaması dünyaya bir mesaj mı? ◼#G7 Zirvesi'nde masada hangi konular vardı? ◼#Almanya'da eyalet seçimleri yapıldı.

Türkiye'ye Bakış programında Dışişleri eski Bakanı Yaşar Yakış, Türkiye'nin resmen F-35 projesinden çıkarılmasını, ABD ile Türkiye arasındaki S-400 krizini ve 14 Haziran'da Brüksel'de düzenlenecek NATO toplantısında olası Biden-Erdoğan görüşmesini yorumladı.

Türkiye’de bir yandan suç örgütü lideri Sedat Peker’in ifşaları gündemi sarsmaya devam ederken, diğer yanda Rusya-Türkiye ilişkilerinde sıcak gelişmeler yaşanıyor.Rus üst yetkililerden peş peşe uyarı ve üstü kapalı tehdit olarak da yorumlanabilecek mesajlar geldi.Önce Rusya Dışişleri Bakanlığı Sözcüsü Mariya Zaharova, haftalık basın toplantısında bir gazetecinin sorusu üzerine, Türkiye’nin Kırım’la ilgili yaptığı açıklamasının endişe verici olduğunu belirterek, “Biz de Türkiye’nin kendi etnik ve dini sorunlarıyla ilgilenmek zorunda kalırız” dedi.Dışişleri Bakanlığı Sözcüsü Büyükelçi Tanju Bilgiç, "1944 yılının 18 Mayıs gecesi, 250 bin Kırım Tatar Türkü soydaşımız insanlık dışı koşullarda sürgün edilerek anavatanlarından koparılmışlardır. Bu elim hadisede Kırım Tatar Türklerinin büyük kısmı hayatlarını kaybederken, sağ kalanlar anavatan hasretiyle yaşamaya mecbur bırakılmışlardır. Türkiye, sürgünden 77 yıl sonra Kırım’ın yasadışı ilhakından doğan zorluklarla sınanmaya devam eden Kırım Tatarlarının mağduriyetlerinin giderilmesi, kimliklerinin korunması, refah ve esenliklerinin sağlanması için soydaşlarının yanında olmayı sürdürecektir" demişti.Zaharova’nın ardından Rusya Dışişleri Bakanı Sergei Lavrov da, Türkiye’yi Ukrayna’nın "militarist duygularını" teşvik etmekle suçlayarak, Umuyoruz ki Ankara izlediği çizgiyi meşru endişelerimiz uyarınca düzeltir" mesajını yolladı.Rusya uzmanı Dr Kerim Has’la Moskova’dan programında bu sıcak gelişmelerin yanı sıra Türkiye’nin Polonya’ya SİHA satışının Moskova’yla ilişkileri nasıl etkileyeceğini ve S-400’lerle ilgili “Katar’daki Türk üslerine konabilir” görüşünü konuştuk.Kerim Has, Zaharova’nın mesajına ilişkin olarak, Kırım Tatarları konusunda Türkiye’nin suçlayıcı çizgisinin devam etmesi hâlinde Rusya’nın da Kürt sorununu öne çıkaracağını söylüyor ve ekliyor:“Rusya, Türkiye’nin bu konuda daha hassas olduğunu bildiği için ‘Sizi rahatsız ederiz’ mesajını veriyor açıkça. Etnik meselelerin hız kazandığı, demokrasinin rafa kaldırıldığı ve devletleşen bir mafyanın olduğu bir dönemde Türkiye’nin bu konuyu jeopolitik bir araç olarak kullanması kendisine zarar verir. Türkiye cevap vermese de Moskova’nın mesajını almıştır. Başta Suriye meselesinde en hassas konu Kürtler. Rusya burada Kürtler ile Esad arasındaki anlaşmaya önem verecektir.”Kerim Has, Lavrov’un Türkiye’yi Ukrayna’nın "militarist duygularını" teşvik etmekle suçlamasını ise daha önce de iki ay kadar önce dile getirdiğini söylüyor.

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Podcasting from both sides of the divide in Nicosia-Cyprus, Andromachi Sophocleous & Kemal Baykallı are producing the popular politics podcast - Nicosia Uncut. In this episode, they discuss the conclusions of the latest EU Council meeting and provide a background in the global and regional politics. While the new US Administration is trying to restore the American foreign policy around containing Russia, Turkish-American relations are likely to face various tests including the one in the East Med. Europeans are still lacking a coherent and unified foreign policy, a gap that might be filled by post-Trump USA. Cyprus, however, is still a chip in the bigger game. As the date for the informal 5+1 summit on Cyprus is fast approaching, Nicosia Uncut producers discuss various scenarios for the meeting that will take place between 27-29 April in Geneva.

Rusya uzmanı Dr Kerim Has, Moskova'dan programında Rusya-Türkiye ilişkileri üzerinden son gelişmeleri değerlendiriyor.İdlib'de neler oluyor, Ankara-Moskova hattında soğuk savaş dönemi mi başladı?Rusya da Türkiye'den ümidi kesme noktasına mı geldi?

On this episode of Going Underground, we speak to the lead singer of System of a Down, Serj Tankian. He discusses the new documentary ‘Truth to Power’, which explores his family history, including his grandparents surviving the Armenian genocide, and his own early life growing up in Lebanon. Tankian discusses the history of Armenia as a nation, and why many countries such as the UK don’t recognise the repression that Armenians faced under Turkey as genocide. We also talk about the Nagorno-Karabakh war and the dangers Armenians are facing, Turkey’s work to prevent nations from recognising the Armenian genocide, and much more! Finally, we speak to former Turkish ambassador to the UK and leader of the Republican People’s Party, Unal Cevikoz. He discusses the allegations Serj Tankian made about the Republic of Turkey, Turkish power within NATO, the purchase of the S400 missile defence system from Russia, allegations of Turkey using Syrian mercenaries in the Nagorno-Karabakh war, and much more! ‘The United States Congress formally recognised the Armenian genocide in December 2019, both Houses of Congress, so the US has recognised the Armenian genocide, it’s Britain’s turn to recognise the Armenian genocide. Russia has recognised the Armenian genocide, the European Parliament has recognised the genocide, the Vatican, a number of countries around the world, most of Europe, a lot of South America. You tell me why Britain hasn’t recognised the Armenian genocide. I would say that there are too many cosy relationships with BP, Azerbaijan, Turkey, the gas corridor, the southern gas corridor, and it’s basically playing geopolitics and using genocide as political capital, which is disgusting.’

This Week in Turkey‘s guest was Dimitar Bechev. Mr. Bechev is a fellow at the Atlantic Council Europe Center and the Institute for Human Sciences Vienna, as well as a visiting researcher at Oxford University. Dr. Bechev has written extensively on the EU’s external relations, the politics and modern history of Turkey and the Balkans, and Russia’s foreign policy. Mr. Bechev evaluated the today and tomorrow of Russia-Turkey relations, in light of the S400 situation, Syria and NATO. Mr. Bechev also assessed the role of democratic values in Turkey’s future relations and how foreign policy and Erdoğan’s domestic popularity align.

Haber Hafta Sonu’nda bu akşam Türk Tabipleri Birliği Kovid-19 İzleme Kurulu’ndan halk sağlığı uzmanı Doç. Dr. Cavit Işık Yavuz ile yarın (25 Ocak) gelmesi beklenen 6,5 milyon doz aşıyı, aşıda tedarik sürecinin uzamasının koronavirüs salgınına etkisini ve salgında son verileri, Vaşington’da yaşayan araştırmacı Merve Tahiroğlu ile Amerika Birleşik Devletleri (ABD) Başkanı Joe Biden’dan sonra ABD’yi, ABD-Türkiye ilişkilerini ve S400 krizini, Oğul Tuna ile Rusya’daki protestoları konuştuk.

“Biden’ın başlangıç döneminde Türkiye-ABD ilişkileri çok sıkıntılı olacak” Emekli Vaşington Büyükelçisi Faruk Loğoğlu, Joe Biden’ın Amerika Birleşik Devletleri (ABD) başkanı seçilmesinin ardından Türkiye-ABD ilişkilerinin nasıl bir yol izleyeceğini değerlendirdi. Loğoğlu, “Türkiye-ABD ilişkilerinin şifresi S400’ler. Türkiye bu sorunu halletmeli” dedi. PATREON'dan Medyascope'a destek olabilirsiniz → https://www.patreon.com/medyascopetv Teşekkürler!

Rusya Devlet Başkanı Vladimir Putin, 11 Ocak’ta Kremlin Sarayı’nda Azerbaycan Cumhurbaşkanı İlham Aliyev ve Ermenistan Cumhurbaşkanı Nikol Paşinyan’ı ağırladı.İki ülke lideri, 10 Kasım’da imzalanan ateşkes anlaşmanın ardından ilk kez Kremlin’in çağrısıyla bir araya geldi.Üçlü zirve, taraflar arasında savaşı bitirmek için varılan anlaşmayı riske atan sorunları çözmek amacını taşıyordu. Putin, iki liderle hem ortak bir görüşme yaptı hem baş başa bir araya geldi. Görüşmelerin ardından liderler basının karşısına geçti ve imzalanan bildiriyi kamuoyuna duyurdu.Peki, Kremlin’deki Karabağ masası ve üçlü zirveden çıkan bildiri ile kime, ne mesaj verildi?Türkiye’nin masada yer almaması bir anlam ifade ediyor mu?Rusya uzmanı Dr Kerim Has, Moskova’dan programında bu soruların cevaplarını analiz etti. Kerim Has’a göre Moskova’daki zirveyle Rusya, Karabağ üzerinden Kafkasya’daki ulaşım hatlarını kendi kontrolüne almanın yollarını döşedi...“Türkiye sayesinde Azerbaycan, uzun yıllar hem NATO hem de Rus askerine aynı anda ev sahipliği yapacak tek eski Sovyet Cumhuriyeti oldu” görüşünü dile getiren Has, “Nahçıvan koridoruyla sadece Azerbaycan, Rus istihbaratı kontrolünde Türkiye’ye bağlanmış olmayacak, Rusya da Türkiye’ye ve müttefiki Ermenistan’a demiryoluyla erişim sağlamış olacak” ifadesini kullanıyor.Kafkasya’da bu saatten sonra oyun değiştirici asıl hamlenin, Türkiye’nin Ermenistan’la diplomatik ilişkilerini tesis edip sınır kapılarını açması olacağının altını çizen Rusya uzmanı, “Ama bunun için akıl ve strateji lazım” notunu düşüyor.Kerim Has, Putin’in Aliyev ve Paşinyan’la görüşmesinde Erdoğan’ın olmamasının nedenlerinin çok fazla olduğunu vurgularken, “Her şeyden önce Erdoğan, Rusça bilmiyor ve masa, Erdoğan’ın kapısında beklemeye alışık olduğu Kremlin’de” göndermesi yapıyor.Öte yandan Has, Dışişleri Bakanı Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu’nun, “Türk askerinin Karabağ'da nerede konuşlanacağı” sorusu üzerine verdiği yanıttaki çelişkiye dikkat çekiyor.Çavuşoğlu, “Ortak Gözlem Merkezi için yer belirlendi, konteynırlar geldi, inşaat başladı. İlk etapta 60 Türk, 60 Rus askerinin eşit sayıda olacağı bir merkez yapılıyor” iddiasını öne sürmüştü. Oysa Milli Savunma Bakanı Hulusi Akar ise bunun yarısı kadar bir askerden bahsediyordu.Kerim Has, “Çavuşoğlu’ya yalanlanmadığı günler sayısınca maaş ödenmesi lazım, dış politikaya zararı kapatılamaz ama ülke ekonomisi üzerinde oluşturduğu yük böylelikle bayağı hafifletilebilir” ironisi yapıyor.Has, ikinci part S-400 alımına ilişkin görüşmelere de değiniyor ve “Erdoğan’ın büyük güçler arasındaki sıkışıklığı sürdüğü müddetçe bu güçlere vermek zorunda kaldığı ‘siyasi rüşvetler’ de devam edecek, Rusya’dan yeni parti S-400 alımı da bu perspektiften değerlendirilmeli” yorumunu yapıyor.Son olarak yayında, Putin muhalifi Aleksey Navalni'nin zehirlenme iddiasıyla ölümden döndükten sonra şimdi de Almanya’dan Rusya’ya dönüşünü değerlendiren Has, “Bu dönüş, Kremlin’de siyasetin taşlarını yerinden oynatmaz, sadece Moskova’daki soğuk havayı biraz dağıtır” diyor.

Welcome to Rhett Palmer with  David Hunter in “The David Hunter Perspective” - Retired US Diplomat David Hunter shares his knowledge, passion, interest and experience.Retired US Diplomat, David Hunter served in South Korea (1992-96), India (1996-99), Ukraine (1999-2000), Pakistan (2001-02) and Spain (2003-04).  In 1983 he was a Visiting Fellow at the School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS),  Johns Hopkins University.  He published a book in 1991, Western Trade Pressure on the Soviet Union. He holds a Masters Degree in International Relations from the London School of Economics , an MBA from the Crummer School, and a BA from Emory University. Today's Agenda…1)  China:  The NY Times on Monday wrote a story saying they are 'sneering at the USA'.  It reports that under Pres. Xi, China is becoming super confident.  They think our US failure to handle the COVID crisis is proof that we are no longer a competent country.  That their communist dictatorship has proven a more capable system.  Are they right?  And what should be our response ?2)  Turkey:  Trump has announced Monday new sanctions against NATO ally Turkey for its purchase of the S400 anti-missile system from Russia.  The US has also suspended sales of F35 jet fighters---our superstealth-type fighter aircraft---to Turkey.  Turkey's foreign minister condemned the sanctions and said Turkey would  take "Necessary Steps against this decision."  Russia said this is just another example of America's 'arrogant attitude' towards international law.  What do you think will happen?3) US Elections:  Lt. Gen. Retired Thomas McInerney has called for Trump to invoke Martial Law  to stop the inauguration of Joe Biden.  He claims that Trump has the authority under the Constitution to defend our election system, and that the US government, courts and election officials are all conspiring to steal the election.  Gen. Mike Flynn is also making this claim.  What do you think?4) Russia: Russia's intelligence service, the SVR, has reportedly hacked a large number of US Gov. agencies, perhaps even US Treasury and Dept of Commerce.  It could be worse.  FIreeye, a cybersecurity company, reports that the Russians stole info from the National Security Agency and used it to hack other branches of government.   Is it true? What should the US Gov. do in response? C.J. Cannon's Restaurant Located at the Vero Beach Airport, where the only thing we overlook is the runway! Your JUNK MONKEYS are just a click away! Don't let your junk drive you bananas!

While the focus of the world has been on the COVID-19 pandemic, Congress has been busy preparing a war authorization for the incoming Joe Biden administration. In this episode, we examine the advice given to Congress in nine recent hearings to learn which countries are on the World Trade System naughty list, as Jen prepares to read the NDAA that's soon to become law. Please Support Congressional Dish – Quick Links Click here to contribute monthly or a lump sum via PayPal Click here to support Congressional Dish via Patreon (donations per episode) Send Zelle payments to: Donation@congressionaldish.com Send Venmo payments to: @Jennifer-Briney Send Cash App payments to: $CongressionalDish or Donation@congressionaldish.com Use your bank’s online bill pay function to mail contributions to: 5753 Hwy 85 North, Number 4576, Crestview, FL 32536 Please make checks payable to Congressional Dish Thank you for supporting truly independent media! Recommended Episodes CD208: The Brink of the Iran War CD195: Yemen CD191: The Democracies of Elliott Abrams CD190: A Coup for Capitalism CD186: National Endowment for Democracy CD167: Combating Russia NDAA CD131: Bombing Libya Bills H.R.526: Cambodia Democracy Act of 2019 Congress.gov H.Res.751: Reaffirming the partnership between the United States and the African Union and recognizing the importance of diplomatic, security, and trade relations. Congress.gov H.Res.1120: Urging the Government of Tanzania and all parties to respect human rights and constitutional rights and ensure free and fair elections in October 2020, and recognizing the importance of multi-party democracy in Tanzania Congress.gov H.Res.1183: Supporting respect for human rights and encouraging continued democratic progress in Ethiopia, and for other purposes. Congress.gov Articles/Documents Article: Belarus Will Be an Early Challenge for Biden, By Gregory Feifer, Slate, December 18, 2020 Article: Expanded "America Crece" Initiative Launch Event, U.S. Chamber of Commerce, December 17, 2020 Article: Court Finds Evidence of Crimes Against Humanity in the Philippines, By Jason Gutierrez, The New York Times, December 15, 2020 Article: 2,596 Trades in One Term: Inside Senator Perdue’s Stock Portfolio, By Stephanie Saul, Kate Kelly and Michael LaForgia, The New York Times, December 2, 2020 Article: Africa: From caravan networks to investment projects, By Ahmet Kavas, Daily Sabah, November 25, 2020 Article: Ethiopia’s Problems Will Not End with a Military Victory, By Aly Verjee, United States Institute of Peace, November 24, 2020 Article: Tanzania: Repression Mars National Elections, Human Rights Watch, November 23, 2020 Article: DoD Policy Chief Quits As Leadership Vacuum Expands, By Paul McLeary, DefenseNews, November 10, 2020 Article: Biden landing team for Pentagon announced, By Aaron Mehta, DefenseNews, November 10, 2020 Article: Africa in the news: Unrest in Ethiopia, contentious elections results in Tanzania and Côte d’Ivoire, and a new UK-Kenya trade deal By Payce Madden, Brookings, November 7, 2020 Article: US doing its best to lock China out of Latin America By Vijay Prashad, Asia Times, November 4, 2020 Article: Ethiopia Proposes Holding Postponed Vote in May or June 2021: FANA By Addis Ababa, Reuters, October 30, 2020 Press Release: Crisis in Mali, By Alexis Arieff, Congressional Research Service, October 21, 2020 Article: América Crece: Washington's new investment push in Latin America By Jeff Abbott, Committee in Solidarity with the People of El Salvador, October 8, 2020 Article: Ethiopian Region Holds Local Elections in Defiance of Prime Minister By Simon Marks and Abdi Latif Dahir, The New York Times, September 10, 2020 Article: IRI Expert Discusses COVID-19, Protecting Democracy in Europe and Protests in Belarus in Testimony to House Foreign Affairs Committee International Republican Institute, September 10, 2020 Article: Nile dam row: US cuts aid to Ethiopia, BBC News, September 3, 2020 Press Release: Belarus: An Overview, By Cory Welt, Congressional Research Service, August 24, 2020 Press Release: Rep. Omar Leads Letter to Condemn Trump Administration’s Plan to Invest in Controversial Projects in Honduras, Ilhan Omar, August 13, 2020 Article: China Dominates Bid for Africa’s Largest Dam in New Pact By Pauline Bax and Michael Kavanagh, Bloomberg Green, August 7, 2020 Article: Nile dam row: Egypt fumes as Ethiopia celebrates By Magdi Abdelhadi, BBC News, July 29, 2020 Article: Remarks by CEO Boehler at the América Crece Event With President Hernández of the Republic of Honduras U.S. International Development Finance Corporation, July 21, 2020 Article: Can Malian President Keita survive growing anti-gov’t protests? By Hamza Mohamed, Aljazeera, July 10, 2020 Article: Pundits with undisclosed funding from arms manufacturers urge ‘stronger force posture’ to counter China By Eli Clifton, Responsible Statecraft, May 14, 2020 Article: The Three Seas Initiative explained By David A. Wemer, Atlantic Council, February 11, 2020 Article: FORMER OBAMA OFFICIALS HELP SILICON VALLEY PITCH THE PENTAGON FOR LUCRATIVE DEFENSE CONTRACTS By Lee Fang, The Intercept, July 22, 2018 Article: Is John McCain's Pick to Lead the International Republican Institute a Strike Against Donald Trump? By Timothy J. Burger, Town & Country, August 10, 2017 Article: The River That Swallows All Dams By Charles Kenny and John Norris, Foreign Policy, May 8, 2015 Document: The Grand Inga Illusion By David Lunde, University of Denver, 2014 Article: Can DR Congo's Inga dam project power Africa? By Maud Jullien, BBC News, November 15, 2013 Article: A New Take on the 1961 Murder of Congo’s Leader By Slobodan Lekic, Los Angeles Times, September 3, 2006 Article: How Biden’s Foreign-Policy Team Got Rich By Jonathan Guyer, The American Prospect Article: Christopher Fomunyoh Grabs Man Of The Year Award By Bama Cham, Eden Newspaper Article: Reform in Ethiopia: Turning Promise into Progress, Yoseph Badwaza and Jon Temin, Freedom House Article: Beijing and Wall Street deepen ties despite geopolitical rivalry, Financial Times Article: THE HISTORY OF DR CONGO TIMELINE, Welcome to the Congo Reform Association Article: Business: The Big Dreamer, By LOUIS EDGAR DETWILER, TIME, August 01, 1960 Additional Resources About The Jamestown Foundation Agenda 2063: The Africa We Want. African Union Alyssa Ayres Council on Foreign Relations DEREK MITCHELL National Democratic Institute Douglas Rutzen International Center for Not-For-Profit Law Daniel Serwer, LinkedIn Daniel Serwer, Middle East Institute Daniel Twining LinkedIn Dr. Daniel Twining International Republican Institute Elbridge Colby, LinkedIn Elbridge Colby, The Marathon Initiative Elbridge Colby, Senior Advisor, Westexec Advisors Employment Timeline: Albright, Madeleine K OpenSecrets.org Eric Farnsworth, LinkedIn Eric Farnsworth Americas Society Council of the Americas Flagship Projects of Agenda 2063 African Union History: IDEA TO REALITY: NED AT 30 National Endowment for Democracy Investing in Development U.S. International Development Finance Corporation Jamie Fly The German Marshall Fund of the United States Jamie Fly U.S. Agency For Global Media Janusz Bugajski, The Jamestown Foundation Jon Temin Freedom House Joshua Meservey, LinkedIn Lauren Blanchard, LinkedIn Michael Camilleri, The Dialogue Mission Statement, Growth in the Americas Monica de Bolle International Capital Strategies Our Experienced Team McLarty Associates Philip Reeker, LinkedIn Summary: Albright Stonebridge Group OpenSecrets.org Susan Stigant, United States Institute of Peace Team, The Beacon Project, October 2020 Team ALBRIGHT STONEBRIDGE GROUP Therese Pearce Laanela, Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance Yoseph Badwaza, Freedom House Sound Clip Sources Hearing: THE BALKANS: POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE NEXT ADMINISTRATION, Committee on Foreign Affairs, December 8, 2020 Watch on C-SPAN Watch on Youtube Witnesses: Madeleine Albright Chairman of the National Democratic Institute Chairman of the Albright Stonebridge Group, a global strategy firm Chairman of Albright Capital Management , an investment advisory firm Member of the Council on Foreign Relations 2003-2005: Member of the Board of Directors of the NYSE 1997-2001: Secretary of State 1978-1981: National Security Council Staff Daniel Serwer Director of American Foreign Policy and Conflict Management at the School of Advanced International Studies at Johns Hopkins University Former Vice President at the US Institute of Peace Former Minister Counselor at the State Department during the Clinton years Janusz Bugajski Senior Fellow at the Jamestown Foundation Former Senior Fellow at the Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA) Hosts a tv show in the Balkans Transcript: 40:03 Rep. Eliot Engel (NY): Serbia has been importing Russian fighters and tanks and conducting military exercises with the Russian Army. A US Defense Department report told us that Belgrade's drift towards Moscow has mostly occurred since President Vučić took power. The same time democratic space in Serbia has shrunk in recent years. Freedom House describes Serbia as a, 'hybrid regime', not a democracy because of declining standards in governance, justice, elections and media freedom. If Serbia wants to become part of the European Union, and the North Atlantic family of nations, it needs to get off the fence and embrace a Western path. 56:17 Madeleine Albright: As you know, Mr. Chairman, the President Elect has been personally engaged in the Balkans since his time in the Senate. And he was one of the most outspoken leaders in Congress calling for the United States to help end the complex and I was honored to work closely with him throughout my time in office. And I know that he understands the region and its importance for the United States. The national security team that President Elect Biden is putting in place is deeply knowledgeable and committed to helping all the countries of the region move forward as part of a Europe that is whole free and at peace. And that's important, because today this vision is in peril. The nations of the Western Balkans are suffering deeply from the health and economic impacts of the coronavirus pandemic. Corruption remains a serious problem, and nationalist leaders continue to stoke and exploit ethnic tensions. China and Russia are also exerting new influence in the region, with Serbia in particular the target of much anti Western propaganda. As the pandemic eases there will be an opportunity for the United States and Europe to help the region build back better, particularly as Western European countries seek to bring supply chains closer to home. And as new funds become available to invest in energy diversification and environmental protection. 59:36 Madeleine Albright: The answer is for the United States and the EU to work together to champion initiatives that help custom Bosnia and others build economic ties to Europe and the neighborhood while also pushing for needed political reforms. 1:00:00 Madeleine Albright: On Bosnia, the Dayton accords stopped a war and continue to keep the peace. But the governing arrangements are not captured by leaders among the three groups that negotiated the peace. They want to hold on to power even if it means holding their society back. While Bosnia is neighbors move toward EU membership, the United States and the European Union must focus their efforts in Bosnia on the abuse of government and state owned enterprises. Taking away the levers of power that keep the current system in place. 1:05:30 Daniel Serwer: Europe and the United States want a post state in Bosnia, they can qualify for EU membership. That Bosnia will be based not on ethnic power sharing, but rather on majorities of citizens electing their representatives. [?] entities as well as ethnic vetoes and restrictions we'll need to fade. the Americans and Europeans should welcome the prospect of a new Civic constitution. But no one outside Boston Herzegovina can reform its constitution, a popular movement is needed. The United States along with the Europeans needs to shield any popular movement from repression while starting the entities with funding and redirecting it to the central government and municipalities. 1:12:07 Janusz Bugajski: Moscow views Serbia in particular, and the Republic of Srpska in Bosnia as useful tools to subvert regional security and limit Western integration. 1:12:40 Janusz Bugajski: Western Balkan inclusion in the Three Seas Initiative and its North South transportation corridor will enhance economic performance and help provide alternatives to dependence on Russian energy and Chinese loans. 2:00:41: Rep. Gerry Connolly (VA): Why do you think longer term in the Balkans its Chinese influence we need to be focused on? Janusz Bugajski:Thank you very much for that question. Let me begin with why Russia is not a longer term danger. Russia is a country in serious decline, economic decline. Its economies size of a medium sized European state. China has the second largest economy in the world. Russia has internal problems with its nationalities with its regions, with increasing public unrest with increasing opposition to put in them even be power struggles during the succession period over the next four years, Russia faces major internal problems. China, on the other hand, unless of course, there is opposition to the Chinese Communist Party from within, is in a different stage. It continues to be a very dynamic country in terms of its economic growth. It doesn't face the sort of internal contradictions and conflicts that Russia does. And it's increasingly.. China's always looked at the longer term. In other words, they don't even have to look at succession cycles, because of the dominance of the Communist Party. They are looking eventually to replace Russia as the major rival of the United States. And the best way to do that is to increase their influence not only militarily in East Asia, South Asia and other parts of the world, but economically, politically, diplomatically, culturally, and through the media and that's precisely what they're doing, not only in Europe, but in other continents. 2:18:38 Madeleine Albright: I think that democracy and economic development go together also. Because as I put it, people want to vote and eat. Hearing: THE UNFOLDING CONFLICT IN ETHIOPIA, Committee on Foreign Affairs: Subcommittee on Africa, Global Health, Global Human Rights, and International Organizations, December 3, 2020 Watch on Youtube Witnesses: Yoseph Badwaza Senior Advisor for Africa at Freedom House Former Secretary General of Ethiopian Human Rights Council Susan Stigant Director of the Africa Program at the United States Institute of Peace Former program director at the National Democratic Institute, focused on South Sudan Tsedale Lemma Editor in Chief and Founder of Addis Standard Magazine Lauren Ploch Blanchard Specialist in African Affairs at the Congressional Research Service Former East Africa Program Manager at the International Republican Institute Transcript: 35:32 Yoseph Badwaza: The devastating developments of the past four weeks have brought inmeasurable human suffering and the destruction of livelihoods and appear to have returned to yet another protracted civil war and nearly 30 years after it emerged from its last. These tragic events have also dealt a deadly blow to what would have been one of the most consequential democratic transitions on the African continent. 37:09 Yoseph Badwaza: A series of missed opportunities in the last two and a half years led to the tragic derailment of a promising democratic experiment. A half hearted effort at implementing reforms by a ruling party establishment reluctant to shape its deeply authoritarian roots. Roots stands in the way of a genuine inclusive political process. Hearing: U.S. DEFENSE POSTURE CHANGES IN THE EUROPEAN THEATER, Committee on Armed Services, September 30, 2020 Watch on Youtube Witnesses: Dr. James Anderson Former Acting Under Secretary of Defense for Policy, Department of Defense (resigned the day after Trump fired DoD Secretary Mark Esper) 2006-2009: Director of Middle East Policy for the Secretary of Defense 2001-2006 - Gap in LinkedIn resume 2000-2001: Associate at DFI International, a multinational consulting firm 1997-1999: Research Fellow at the Heritage Foundation Lt. Gen David Allen: Director for Strategy, Plans, and Policy, Joint Chiefs of Staff Transcript: 17:14 Dr. James Anderson: As we continue to implement the NDS or efforts at enhancing our European posture beyond Eucom Combat Command Review, have shown recent successes, including the signing of the Enhanced Defense Cooperation Agreement with Poland in August that will enable an increased enduring US rotational presence in that country of about 1000 US military personnel. Hearing: DEMOCRATIC BACKSLIDING IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA, Committee on Foreign Affairs: Subcommittee on Africa, Global Health, Global Human Rights, and International Organizations, September 30, 2020 Watch on Youtube Witnesses: Christopher Fomunyoh Senior Associate for Africa at the National Democratic Institute for International Affairs Has been at NDI since 1993 Has worked for the Cameroon Water Corporation and Cameroon Airlines Corporation Dorina A. Bekoe, PhD Research Staff Member at the Institute for Defense Analyses Jon Temin Director of the Africa Program at Freedom House Freedom House gets most of its funding from the National Endowment for Democracy 2014-2017: U.S. Department of State’s Policy Planning Staff Director of the U.S. Institute of Peace’s Africa Program Member of the Council on Foreign Relations Non-resident Senior Associate with the Center for Strategic and International Studies Joshua Meservey Senior Policy Analyst for Africa and the Middle East at the Heritage Foundation since 2015 Former Associate Director of the Atlantic Council Former Field Team Manager for the Church World Service Resettlement Support Center Former Volunteer with the US Peace Corps Former intern for the US Army Special Operations Command Former Loss Prevention Coordinator for Dollar Financial Corporation Transcript: 7:13 Rep. Chris Smith (NJ): I fear that 2020 may see an even greater decrease in democracy on the continent. Today's hearing is also timely, as elections are approaching next month in Tanzania and the Ivory Coast, both countries which appear to be on a downward trajectory in terms of governance and respect for civil and political rights. And I want to note that Chairwoman bass has introduced legislation with respect to Tanzania, and I'm very proud to be a co sponsor of it and I thank you for that leadership. 8:37 Rep. Chris Smith (NJ): For example, was quite obvious to outside observers in the DRC that the declared winner of the latest presidential election held in late 2018. Felix Tshisekedi received less votes than Martin Fayulu low because of a corrupt bargain between the outgoing strongman Joseph Kabila Tshisekedi. The Constitutional Court packed by Kabila declared him to be the winner. What happened next was troubling, as our State Department issued a statement that said and I quote, 'the United States welcomes the Congolese Constitutional Court certification of Felix Tshisekedi as the next president of the DRC,' which was apparently driven by a handful of diplomats, including our ambassador. 9:26 Rep. Chris Smith (NJ): Elections in Nigeria were first postponed by sitting President Buhari and marred by irregularities in advance of the election date, quitting arson attacks on the independent national Electoral Commission offices in opposition strongholds in Buhari's his removal of Supreme Court Justice Walter Onnoghen. 10:40 Rep. Chris Smith (NJ): Before Sudan is delisted as a state sponsor of terrorism, I also believe there must be justice for all victims of its past bad acts including the victims of 911, many of whom live in my home state of New Jersey and in my district. 14:44 Rep. Karen Bass (CA): Most concerning is the situation in Tanzania, which I recently addressed in House Resolution 1120 where current leadership is repressing the opposition and basic freedoms of expression and assembly in a blatant attempt to retain power. 15:00 Rep. Karen Bass (CA): We see similar patterns in Cote d'Ivoire as the executive branch legalizes the deviation in democratic institutions to codify non democratic actions. We have similar concerns about Guinea and are going to be very watchful of upcoming elections there. And in Burkina Faso, the Central African Republic, Chad, Gabon, Ghana, Nigeria and Somalia. 15:57 Rep. Karen Bass (CA): What concerns me most is the democratic backsliding is not limited to Africa and we seem to be in a place of retreat from democracy that I only hope is an anomaly. In Europe, we see the egregious behavior of Belarusian president Alexander Lukashenko, who claimed success in a disputed August 9 election and sought support from extra national resources such as Russia to justify his claim to power. 17:28 Rep. Karen Bass (CA): President Duterte of the Philippines is accused of lawfare, or weaponizing the law to deter or defeat freedoms, personalities and establishments that promote human rights, press freedoms and the rule of law while also cracking down on individual freedoms. 24:39 Christopher Fomunyoh: NDI has over three decades of technical assistance to and support for democratic institutions and processes in Africa and currently runs active programs in 20 countries. 26:09 Christopher Fomunyoh: Notably, West Africa, previously commanded as a trailblazer region has seen serious backsliding, as Mali experienced a military coup, and major controversies have arisen about candidacies of incumbent presidents in Guinea, Conakry and Cote d'Ivoire. The Central Africa region remains stocked with the three with the highest concentration of autocratic regimes with the three longest serving presidents in the world. In that sub region, notably Equatorial Guinea forty one years, Cameroon 38 years, and Congo Brazzaville 38 years. 26:50 Christopher Fomunyoh: In southern and East Africa, continued persecution of political opposition and civil society activists in Zimbabwe and similar worrying signs or patterns in Tanzania since 2016 seriously diminished citizen participation in politics and governance and also stand my prospects for much needed reforms. 31:31 Dorina A. Bekoe: Mali's 2012 coup took place even though there was a regularly scheduled election just one month away. And the coup in August of this year took place despite the fact that in 2018 there was a presidential election and last year there were legislative elections. 38:44 Jon Temin: The United States should consider changes to term and age limits that allow incumbent leaders to extend their time in office as essentially a coup against the constitution and respond accordingly. These moves by leaders who have already served two terms are an usurpation of power, that deny the country and its citizens the many benefits of leadership rotation. 40:07 Jon Temin: In Sudan the long overdue process of removing the country from the list of state sponsors of terrorism may soon conclude, but that is not enough. The United States needs to support the civilian component of Sudan's transitional government at every step of the long road toward democracy and do all that it can to revive Sudan's economy. 40:25 Jon Temin: In Ethiopia, there are deeply concerning signs that the government is reaching for tools of repression that many hoped were relegated to history. Nonetheless, Ethiopia remains on a tentative path to democratic elections that can be transformative. In this context, the decision by the United States to withhold development assistance from Ethiopia in a quixotic and counterproductive effort to influence Ethiopia's negotiating position concerning the grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam is bad policy that should be reversed. 41:00 Jon Temin: Nascent democratic transitions in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, the Gambia and Angola also call for strong US support. 1:10:21 Rep. Ilhan Omar (MN): I want to start with Dr. Fomunyoh. In your testimony you discuss the massacres committed in the Anglophone region of Cameroon. Did the United States provide training funding or arms to the Cameroonian security forces who committed those massacres? 1:12:20 Rep. Ilhan Omar (MN): Did the Millennium military officers who led the recent coup [??] receive US military training? And if you can just say yes or no, because I have a few more questions and we have limited time. 1:29:23 Jon Temin: Freedom in the world, which we do every year rates every country in the world that includes the United States, the United States score was decreasing before this administration, we have seen a slow slippage of democracy in America for some time, rating based on our scores. That decrease has accelerated under this administration. 1:30:00 Jon Temin: I think part of it has to do with freedom for journalists. I believe there's been some concern there. Part of it has to do with corruption and some of the indications that we've seen of corrupt activity within government. I'll leave it there. We're happy to go dig into that and provide you more detail. And I'm sure that when we look at the scores again later this year, there will be a robust conversation on the United States. Hearing: THE ROLE OF ALLIES AND PARTNERS IN U.S. MILITARY STRATEGY AND OPERATIONS, Committee on Armed Services, September 23, 2020 Watch on Youtube Witnesses: Christine Wormuth On Joe Biden's presidential transition team 2018- present: Director of the International Security and Defense Policy Center at the RAND Corporation 2017-2018: Founding Director of the Adrienne Arsht Center for Resilience at the Atlantic Council 2017-2018: Senior Advisor for the Center for Strategic and International Studies 2010-2014: Various DoD positions, rising to Under Secretary of Defense for Policy 2004-2009: Senior Fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies 2002-2004: Principal at DFI Government Services, an international defense consulting firm Lt. Gen. Ben Hodges Center for European Policy Analysis Board of Advisors for the Spirit of America (not listed on hearing bio) Board of Directors is made up of CEOs of mulitnational corporations Board of Advisors is full of corporate titans and big names, including Michelle Flournoy, Jeh Johnson, Kimberly Kagan, Jack Keane, James Mattis, Stanley McChrystal, H.R. McMaster, & George Shultz 2014-2017: Commanding General of the US Army in Europe Elbridge Colby Principal and co-Founder of the Marathon Initiative Formed in May 2020 Senior Advisor to WestExec Advisors (not listed on hearing bio) Co-Founded by incoming Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Michelle Flournoy, who told the Intercept in 2018, "we help tech firms who are trying to figure out how to sell in the public sector space, to navigate the DOD, the intel community, law enforcement." 2018-2019: Director of the Defense Program at the Center for a New American Security Northrup Grumman is one of its biggest donors, also gets funding from Lockheed Martin, Raytheon, Bell Helicopter, BAE Systems, General Dynamics, Boeing, and DynCorp. 2017-2018: Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Strategy and Force Development Lead official in the creation of the 2018 National Defense Strategy 2010-2017: Center for a New American Security GWB administration (not listed on his LinkedIn) 2005-2006: worked with the Office of the Director of National Intelligence 2004-2005: President GWB's WMD Commission 2003: worked with the Coalition Provisional Authority in Iraq Transcript: 17:14 20:08 Lt. Gen. Ben Hodges: Second point of emphasis requires us to place importance on the greater Black Sea where. I believe the great power competition prevents great power conflict, failure to compete and to demonstrate interest and willingness to protect those interests in all domains, power vacuums and miscalculations which can lead to escalation and to actual conflict. This is particularly true in the greater Black Sea region, where Russia is attempting to maximize its sphere of influence. The Black Sea region should be the place where the United States and our NATO allies and partners hold the line. The Black Sea should matter to the west in part because it [was to the Kremlin.] taking the initiative away from the Kremlin denies the ability to support the Assad regime in Syria and then to live will reduce the flow of rich into Europe, or General Breedlove called the weaponization of refugee. Limit the Kremlin's ability to spread his thoughts of influence in the Balkans which is the Middle East and North Africa. 21:28 Lt. Gen. Ben Hodges: We must repair the relationship between Turkey and the United States. And see Turkey [?] as an exposed ally at the crossroads of several regions and challenges. Turkey is essential for deterrence of the Kremlin in the Black Sea region. And it is a critical both against ISIS and Iran we need to consider this relationship to be a priority, [but] condone or excuse several mistakes or bad choices about the Turkish Government. There are times are very quiet, but we think long term. The current Turkish administration will eventually change. But the strategically important geography of Turkey will never change. 23:31 Elbridge Colby: Allies and partners are absolutely essential for the United States in a world increasingly defined by great power competition, above all with China. Indeed, they lie at the very heart of the right US strategy for this era, which I believe the Department of Defense's 2018 National Defense Strategy lays out. The importance to the United States of allies and partners is not a platitude, but the contrary. For the first time since the 19th century, the United States is not far and away the world's largest economy. More than anything else, this is due to the rise of China. And that has become very evident. Beijing is increasingly using its growing power for coercive purposes. 24:08 Elbridge Colby: United States faces a range of other potential threats, including primarily from Russia against NATO, as well as from transnational terrorists, Iran and North Korea. In other words, there exists multiple challenges to US national security interests. Given their breadth and scope, America can no longer expect to take care of them essentially alone. Accordingly, we must address this widening shortfall between the threats we face and the resources we have to deal with them by a much greater role for allies and partners. 24:59 Elbridge Colby: Because of China's power and wealth, the United States simply must play a leading role in blocking Beijing's pursuit of hegemony in Asia. This means that the US defense establishment must prioritize dealing with China and Asia and particularly vulnerable allies and partners such as Taiwan and the Philippines. 25:24 Elbridge Colby: In particular, we will not be able to dedicate the level of resources and effort to the Middle East and Europe that we have in the past. We will therefore need allied partners to do their part not just to help defend our interests and enable a concentration on Asia but to defend themselves and their interests. 26:00 Elbridge Colby: The contemporary threats to us interest stem from China across Asia. Transnational terrorists largely in the Middle East, Russia and Eastern Europe, Persian Gulf area and North Korea in Asia. 26:11 Elbridge Colby: Yet the United States is traditional, closest and most significant allies are largely clustered in Western Europe in Northeast Asia. Many of these countries, especially Europe feel quite secure and are little motivated to contribute to more distant threats. This leaves wide areas such as South and Southeast Asia and the Middle East, for which long standing US alliances are of minimal help. The natural way to rectify this is for the United States to add partners and form necessary alliances to help address these gaps. 35:13 Elbridge Colby: In this effort, though, we should be very careful to distinguish between expanding our formal alliances or [?] alliances from expanding our partnerships, the former should be approached derivatively while the latter can be approached more liberally, when we extend an alliance commitment or something tantamount to it as in the case of Taiwan, we tie our credibility to that nation's fate. We should therefore be [cheery] about doings. In light of this, we should seek to expand our partnerships wherever possible. In particular, we should focus on increasing them in South and Southeast Asia and the Pacific Islands, where China otherwise might have an open field to [subordances] and add them to its pro hegemonium coalition. 27:41 Elbridge Colby: I do not see a near term need to add any allies to the US roster. But I do think we will increasingly need to consider this as the shadow of Chinese power darkens over the region. 27:53 Elbridge Colby: Our effort to expand our network of allies and partners should really be focused on states with shared threat perceptions. It has become something of a common place that shared values form the bedrock of our alliances. It is true that such values help allies, but the most useful alliances generally proceed from shared fears. The best motivator to fight is self defense. The states that have a shared interest in preventing Chinese or Russian or Iranian hegemony selves have a natural alignment with our own. This is true whether or not they are democracies. 29:00 Elbridge Colby: In Asia, given the scale proposed by Beijing, we should concentrate most of our allies like Japan, South Korea, the Philippines and Taiwan on readying to defend themselves alongside US Armed Forces and provide access to US forces in the event of a contingency. 29:16 Elbridge Colby: Meanwhile, we should assist partners like Vietnam, Singapore, Indonesia, with whatever means available to enable their defense against an ever more powerful China while concurrently seeking greater access and logistics support for US and other allied forces. 29:39 Elbridge Colby: Europe Finally, the overall us goal should be while preserving the fundamental us commitment to NATO's defense to have Europeans especially in northern and eastern Europe shoulder more of the burden of defending the Alliance from Russia assault. The reality is that given the stakes and consequences, the United States must prioritize Asia. United States must therefore economize in its second theater Europe. 35:13 Elbridge Colby: And move away from using these tools as leverage for key partners for domestic political reform or secondary geopolitical objectives. United States should always of course, stand proudly for free government that treats its people with dignity. We must keep our eye on the prize though China is the primary challenge to our interest in the world, including our government, both at home and abroad. Our top priority must therefore be to block its gaining predominance in Asia, which is a very real prospect. This means strengthening states in the region against Chinese power, whether or not they are model democracies. 35:15 Rep. Adam Smith (WA): When we should we just say, look, we're not going to worry about your domestic politics. We want to build the Alliance, however possible. How would we deal with extreme human rights abuses, as are alleged in the Philippines in terms of extra judicial killings, or in the case of India, and of course, we're dealing with this with Turkey and Europe as well, as you know, doing the arm sales with Russia, should we significantly back off on our sort of sanctions policy for those things? And if so, how do we signal that without without undermining our credibility? 40:55 Elbridge Colby: In a sense, what we're going to need to do to leverage this greater power of this network, you know, allies, partners, whatever their role is going to be interoperability, the ability to work to different standards to communicate with each other. That's partially a technical problem and an equipment problem, but a lot of it is human training and an organizational issue. And Taiwan, I think I'm very enthusiastic about the arms sales to Taiwan. And I know that one was recently reported, I hope it goes through because it's the kind of equipment that we want to see this kind of A2AD denial kind of capabilities to Taiwan, but actually, where I think would be really valuable to move forward with. And that's a sensitive issue, but I think this would be within the context of our trade policy would personally be on training, you know, and that's something we could think about with Vietnam as well. Obviously, the Indians have a very sophisticated military, but they're maybe we can offer there too. So I think that's a real sort of force multiplier. 42:00 Rep. Mac Thornberry (TX): Turkeys geography, history, critical role is always going to be important is certainly valid. And yet, not only are there human rights and governance issues, the current leader of Turkey has policies that contradict the, in many ways the best interests of the United States. So, take that specific example. We don't want to make enemies of Turkey forever. But yet, what do we do now? To to preserve that future when there's a different government, but yet make clear or in some way help guide them on a better policy path? 57:50 Christine Wormuth: We need to make adjustments to our posture in the region to be able to better deal with China. And so the announcement by Palau, for example, that it's willing to host US airfields and bases could be quite helpful to us. Even though they're relatively small. We do need to diversify our footprint. 1:24:52 Christine Wormuth: The challenge is that the many of the countries in the indo Pacific don't want to have to choose between the United States and China. They want to engage with China for very clear economic interests, while most of them lean towards the United States for security interests, and I think they're trying to sort of thread that needle. 1:32:07 Christine Wormuth: Turkey is a very challenging geostrategic problem. I was in the Obama administration when we were fighting ISIS, and we knew there was tension between the necessity to have partners on the ground and the Syrian Democratic Forces were what we had. We knew Turkey had issues with that. In my experience, however, the United States worked very hard and very closely with Turkey to try to assuage their concerns and nothing was ever enough for them. So we do have a challenge, they are very important in terms of where they are located, but the authoritarianism that Erdogan has turned to is concerning. So I think we have to keep the dialogue open and continue to try to keep turkey inside the fold, but at the same time, communicate that doing whatever they want is not acceptable. And the the S400 for example, is a key example of that. 1:34:07 Christine Wormuth: AFRICOM’s Zero Based review, I hope will shed light on which kinds of activities are helping us and helping our African partners. 1:35:36 Lt. Gen. Ben Hodges: The UK, France, Germany, Italy, Spain all have extensive efforts going on in Africa. So this is an opportunity once again, where we can work with allies to achieve what our objectives are. 1:40:00 Lt. Gen. Ben Hodges: What for sure brings a lot of military capability air landed forces to the a lot and that if for some reason, you know that it would have to be filled by us or the state or other allied to then that's a problem right? Sorry. But more importantly is control the strokes that can help the blacks in the Mediterranean. And so having a NATO ally has control and sovereignty over the strait we have the mantra. Hearing: Stemming a Receding Tide: Human Rights and Democratic Values in Asia, Committee on Foreign Affairs: Subcommittee on Asia, the Pacific, and Nonproliferation, September 22, 2020 Watch on Youtube Witnesses: Derek Mitchell President of the National Democratic Institute Returned to NDI in September 2018 after leaving in 1997 2012-2016: Former US Ambassador to the Republic of the Union of Myanmar (Burma) 2011-2012: U.S. Department of State’s first Special Representative and Policy Coordinator for Burma 2009-2011: Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense, Asian and Pacific Security Affairs (APSA) 2001-2009: Senior Fellow and Director of the Asia Division of the International Security Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) 1997-2001: Special Assistant for Asian and Pacific Affairs in the Office of the Secretary of Defense 1993-1997: Senior Program Officer for Asia and the former Soviet Union at the National Democratic Institute 1986-1988: Foreign policy assistant for Sen. Ted Kennedy Dr. Alyssa Ayres Senior Fellow for India, Pakistan, and South Asia at the Council on Foreign Relations Consultant for the Japan Bank for International Cooperation Senior Advisor for McLarty Associates A global consultant firm "at home in corporate board rooms & government cabinet rooms, anywhere in the world" Member of the United States Institute of Peace 2010-2013: Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Southeast Asia 2008-2010: Founding director of the India and South Asia practice at McLarty Asssociates 2007-2008: Special Assistant to the Undersecretary of State for Political Affairs Daniel Twining President of the International Republican Institute since 2017 Picked by outgoing President, Sen. John McCain 2009-2016: Former director of the Asia Program at the German Marshall Fund 2007-2009: GWB State Department Policy Planning staffer 2001-2004: Foreign Policy Advisor to Sen. John McCain Transcript: 16:12 Lt. Gen. Ben Hodges: Last year I introduced the bipartisan Cambodia democracy act which passed the House overwhelmingly, it would impose sanctions on those in Cambodia responsible for undermining democratic rule of law in the country. We must be especially cognizant of democracies in Asia in danger of backsliding into autocracy, with China's help with their alternative to Western democracies, and that is Chinese socialism with Chinese characteristics that is communism, regardless of how they paint it and try to rename it. 21:10 Derek Mitchell: For nearly four decades, my organization, the National Democratic Institute, working alongside our partners at the International Republican Institute, and the National Endowment for Democracy has assisted the spread and institutionalization of democracy around the world. Let me say at the start that we can only do this work thanks to the sustained bipartisan support of Congress, including from this subcommittee. So for that we are truly grateful. 21:50 Derek Mitchell: Today NDI maintains nearly a dozen offices in the Indo-Pacific region. And last week we just received clearance from the Taiwan government to open an office in Taipei, which we will do soon. 30:07 Dr. Alyssa Ayres: Sri Lanka after a five year period of improvement is now moving in the other direction with the return of the Rajapaksa government. The new political configuration will not pursue progress on reconciliation and accountability for the end of the Civil War, and the newly elected parliament is already hard at work, the constitutional amendment to expand presidential powers. 34:21 Daniel Twining: Beyond China the past year has seen countries once viewed as bright spots for democracy like Malaysia and Sri Lanka, regress due to political infighting, personality politics and failure to deliver promised reforms. 1:48:50 Dr. Alyssa Ayres: I do believe that the creation of the DFC is important. It is my understanding that it is not quite up and running 100%. So we have yet to really see what it can do as a potential alternate to these kinds of infrastructure under writings. The other piece of the DFC is that is it in part designed to help crowd in private sector engagement and private sector investments. So that's another part of the story. I think we may need more time before we're able to see how effective this mechanism can be. 1:49:22 Dr. Alyssa Ayres: I would note that we also had another very effective source of US government assistance that depends on, his premise on good governance indicators. And that's the Millennium Challenge Corporation. And I would just caution that in the South Asia region, we have now seen two examples in Nepal and in Sri Lanka, were the long process of engaging toward a Millennium Challenge compact agreement, large investments, about 500 million in each case towards transportation and power infrastructure. These have actually been held up in both of those countries because of political concerns. The Nepali government doesn't want to be part of the US-Indo Pacific strategy or feel that it is somehow being brought into the Indo-Pacific strategy. The Rajapaksa government is suspicious of the US MCC. So I would just offer those two examples of cases where we've got a terrific tool, but it's run into some challenges for political reasons and the countries of concern. 1:50:29 Daniel Twining: Thank you, Congressman, you've been such a leader, including with your Cambodia democracy act. And you know, that's a reminder that we do have the tools and, and leverage. The Europeans in Cambodia have suspended trading privileges that they had offered to Cambodia. Cambodia is very reliant on our GSP still. So some of these economic instruments matter in both a negative sense, but also in a positive sense. When countries do well, we should be working with them on new trade and financial arrangements, the Chinese do come in and do this in their own way. And we should get back to that as a country. Sir, you mentioned, do we withdraw support when a country backslides, on democracy? You know, I would argue that most of our support for country should not go directly to their governments, should go to independent civil society, free media, independent institutions and not just go into a central coffer that disappears. In the past, we've gotten a lot smarter about this as a country, but in the past, a lot of us development assistance disappeared because we were giving it to friendly autocracies in some cases, who did not have any means of accounting for it. So let's make sure that we invest in these democracy and governance instruments because we want to make sure that US taxpayer money is being used well. Hearing: U.S. ENGAGEMENT IN THE INDO-PACIFIC AND BEYOND, Committee on Foreign Relations, September 17, 2017 Watch on C-SPAN Read Transcript Witnesses: Julie Chung Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary for Western Hemisphere Affairs at the State Department Philip T. Reeker 2019 to present: Acting Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs 2017-2019: Civilian Deputy to the Commander of the US European Command 2014-2017:Principal Officer and Consul General at the US Consulate General in Milan, Italy 2011-2014: Deputy Assistant Secretary of State fo rEuropean and Eurasian Affairs 2008-2011: US Ambassador to Macedonia 2007-2008: Counselor of Public Affairs at the US Embassy in Iraq 2004-2007: Deputy Chief of Mission at the US Embassy in Hungary 1999-2004: Spokesman for the US State Dept David R. Stilwell Assistant Secretary for East Asian and Pacific Affairs at the State Department Transcript: 17:44 David R. Stilwell: For years, we in the international community credited Beijing's commitments that facilitating China's entry into the rules based international order would lead to increasing domestic reform and opening. Beijing's persistent flouting of these commitments has shattered those illusions. It is now clear to us and to more and more countries around the world that PRC foreign and security policy seeks to reshape the international environment around the narrow interests and authoritarian values of a single beneficiary. That is the Chinese Communist Party. 22:19 David R. Stilwell: We sincerely appreciate congressional leadership in establishing the new counter China influence fund in fiscal year 2020 Appropriations Bill. This very important provision provides the department with a flexible mechanism that will bolster our efforts to strengthen our partners resiliency to Chinese malign influence worldwide. The initial round of CCIF funding solicitation resulted in over 400 project submissions from around the globe, with demand far outstripping the appropriate funding. 29:57 Philip T. Reeker: By using platforms like the One Belt One Road initiative, the Chinese Communist Party endeavors to create dependencies and cultivate client state relationships through the 17 Plus One initiative which involves 12 countries that are both NATO and EU members primarily in Central and Eastern Europe, China aims to achieve access and ownership over valuable transportation hubs, critical infrastructure, ports and industries. 31:09 Philip T. Reeker: Using authorities granted by legislation members of this committee introduced, as mentioned the bipartisan Build Act and the European Energy Security and Diversification Act, we've been able to begin leveraging the New Development Finance Corporation to try to catalyze key investments in strategic projects. Most notable I'd point to Secretary Pompeo. His pledge at the Munich Security Conference earlier this year of $1 billion, a commitment to the Three Seas Initiative in the Czech Republic which Secretary Pompeo visited just last month, they have transformed from a target of Chinese influence to a leader in the European awakening. 33:29 Philip T. Reeker: Although China's GDP is about eight times the size of Russia's, Russia remains the primary military threat to Europe and the strategic priority for most of our allies and partners, particularly those in Central and Eastern Europe. Russia and China are more closely aligned strategically than at any point since the 1950s. And we see growing cooperation across a range of diplomatic, military, economic and information activities. 46:15 Julie Chung: In terms of [cepheus], and investment screening, we have extensive engagements in the region. We have been sending technical delegations to countries in the region to explain how public procurement processes and transparent processes work. We have helped governments build that capacity through the America Crece initiative. We have 10 mo use now signed with countries throughout the region. And that's part of the the tool to use in addressing the corruption issues that China is bringing to the region. How do we ensure the countries have the right tools in place, the practices in place, the procurement practices and regulatory framework to the private sector companies want to come and invest in those countries and ensure they have a level playing field to be working through the America Crece initiative. 47:17 Julie Chung: DFC has been a wonderful tool and resource that we've been able to now utilize more than ever, in from the former OPEX utilities, not expanding that broader base in Latin America and the Caribbean. So DFC in our region has already invested and has pledged to invest $12 billion in just the Western Hemisphere alone, and in Central America, $3 billion. So it's already invested in Central America, in El Salvador, for instance, on an LNG project, and other projects that are forthcoming. 1:17:16 Philip T. Reeker: Three Seas Initiative was developed by countries dozen countries in the Central and Eastern European region to provide alternatives particularly in a north-south direction for trade and infrastructure, and we have stepped in to support the Three Seas not as a member, but as an interested partner. And Secretary Pompeo outlined, as I mentioned, that the development Finance Corporation is offering up to a billion dollars in matching investment funds for opportunities throughout that region. 1:35:00 Julie Chung: Taiwan and the United States are working together in Latin America. So they announced financing to provide SME loan support for Latin American Central American region through the kabe. The Central American Bank of Government Integration. So that's one example of where we're providing that funding into the region. There's also a $26 million loan that DFCS provided to provide telecom towers in Peru and Ecuador 500 telecom towers, and this addresses both our strategic interest as well as a 5G telecommunications interest that where China is trying to take over and really control that that sector. 1:50:29 Julie Chung: In terms of DFC and working on digital authoritarianism, there's no better example in the region then in Maduro's regime, the authoritarian regime of Maduro and working in close concert with China, and China's ZTE has long had a relationship with the Maduro regime and providing the carnet de patria which spies on civil society and opposition leaders and determines how who gets what food allocations within that country. And so right now, of course, we are not engaging in DFC in Venezuela. But in a democratic future. When we have a democratic transition in that country. We would love to bring DFC into it and help rebuild. Hearing: THE HEALTH, ECONOMIC, AND POLITICAL CHALLENGES FACING LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN, Committee on Foreign Affairs: Subcommittee on the Western Hemisphere, Civilian Security, and Trade, September 15, 2020 Watch on Youtube Witnesses: Monica de Bolle, PhD Professor of Latin American Studies at the School of Advanced International Studies at Johns Hopkins University Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics Senior Advisor with International Capital Strategies (not listed on her hearing bio) Former professor of macroeconomics at the Pontifical Catholic Universtiy of Rio de Janeiro Managing partner of Galanto MBB Consultants, a macroeconomic consultancy firm based in Brazil Former economist at the International Monetary Fund Michael Camilleri Director of the Peter D. Bell Rule of Law Program for Inter-American Dialogue Senior Advisor at WestExec Advisors since February 2018 (not listed on his hearing bio) The firm founded by the incoming Secretary of State, Antony Blinken Former Western Hemisphere adviser on Obama's Secretary of State's Policy Planning Staff and Director for Andean Affairs at the National Security Council from 2012-2017 Former human rights specialist at the Organization of American States Former senior staff attorney at the Center for Justice and International Law Member of the Council on Foreign Relations Eric Farnsworth Vice President of the Council of the Americas since 2003 Former Managing Director of ManattJones Global Strategies, a consulting firm from 1998-2005 Former member of the global public policy division of Bristol-Meyers Squibb, a multinational pharmaceutical company Former Senior Policy Advisor to President Bill Clinton from 1995-1998 Former Foreign Affairs Officer at the State Department from 1990-1995 Former Services and Investment Industry Analyst at the Office of the US Trade Representatives in 1992 Transcript: 25:10 Rep. Francis Rooney (FL): US international development Finance Corporation will play a crucial role in investments in the region, which I believe can help the recovery and also as long term economic well being 2:08:13 Eric Farnsworth: Notably, Washington is taking actions to build a forward looking economic recovery agenda. Among them the Americas Crece, a program announced at the end of 2019 and enhanced financing facilities through the newly minted Development Finance Corporation. 2:09:21 Eric Farnsworth: Economic Recovery must be at the forefront of the pending summit of the Americas. Latin America already suffers from one of the lowest levels of intra regional trade worldwide, for example. The gains from expanded intra regional trade would establish sounder economic footing while helping to moderate the cyclical nature of commodities markets, as well. Nations across Latin America and the Caribbean can focus more attention on improving their respective investment climates. Mr. Rooney, the ranking minority member has made this case effectively many, many times. For its part, the United States should come to the 2021 summit with a robust economic expansion initiative. Absent a massive economic financial package of debt relief and new lending, renewal of a hemispheric trade and investment agenda will be the best way to promote regional recovery, support US and regional economic interests and renew a regional strategic posture that China has begun to challenge. 2:11:03 Julie Chung: So how does the United States continue to advocate democracy in Venezuela? I say sham of legislative election and the end of Guaido's mandate are rapidly approaching. How do we do that? Well, I don't if know if [inaudible] wanted this question. 2:13:03 Eric Farnsworth: There are huge amounts of illicit money being made and moved in Venezuela through illegal activities, illegal gold mining, drug trafficking and the like. And one of the best ways I think to get at the regime is to stanch the flow of those financial resources. And frankly, to identify and to freeze those funds and then also to begin to seize them and take them back at once the economic incentives for illegal behavior are removed or at least reduced, perhaps the political dynamic in Venezuela will change that people will begin to see that they really have to find a way out from this mess frankly, that Nicolas Maduro has created. 2:14:14 Monica de Bolle, PhD: It will be very hard to get other Latin American countries to focus on the issues in Venezuela given that they have runaway epidemics in their own countries. And we shouldn't lose sight of the fact that amongst the 10 countries that have the largest or the highest per capita death rate in the world right now are all in Latin America. 2:16:00 Michael Camilleri: Unfortunately, the Guaido interim government, the the National Assembly, the G4 are not in the same position they were in a year or your half ago, the balance of forces on the ground in Venezuela has tilted in favor of the Maduro regime. And so that will that will require us to calibrate our own efforts and invite view we need to be realistic about the fact that some sort of negotiated pathway to free and fair elections ultimately is the most realistic and the most peaceful, frankly, path out of the the awful situation that the country finds itself in. 2:23:21 Monica de Bolle, PhD: Apart from corruption, which is certainly a problem in the oil sector as well as in other parts of the Venezuelan economy, there's also been dramatic underinvestment in the oil industry, which has now led the country to this situation where, rather than being a very big net oil exporter, as they used to be in the 1980s in the 1990s, they've now become a net oil importer, which shows exactly how much you can squander your country's resources and just basically run an economy to the ground. 2:33:58 Eric Farnsworth: And what we're seeing is some concern in the investor community about actions that have been taken perhaps on the backtracking on the reform agenda around energy in particular, but in other sectors as well, canceling contracts that have been previously agreed, and some other actions like that and the investment community is very cautious. Hearing: PROTECTING DEMOCRACY DURING COVID–19 IN EUROPE AND EURASIA AND THE DEMOCRATIC AWAKENING IN BELARUS, Committee on Foreign Affairs: Subcommittee on Europe, Eurasia, Energy, and the Environment, September 10, 2020 Watch on Youtube Witnesses: Douglas Rutzen President and CEO of the International Center for Not-for-Profit Law Professor at Georgetown University Law Center Advisory Board member of the United Nations Democracy Fund Therese Pearce Laanela Head of Electoral Processes at the International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance Joanna Rohozinska Resident Program Director for Europe at the Beacon Project at the International Republican Institute Senior program officer for Europe at the National Endowment for Democracy at least as of 2019. She has worked there for about a decade Jamie Fly Senior Fellow at the German Marshall Fund and Co-Director of the Alliance for Security Democracy Senior Advisor to WestExec Advisors Co-founded by incoming Secretary of State, Antony Blinken Former President and CEO of Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty in 2019 & 2020 Former counselor for foreign and national security affairs for Sen. Marco Rubio from 2013-2017 Former Executive Director of the Foreign Policy Initiative from 2009-2013 Former member of GWB's National Security Council from 2008-2009 Former member of GWB's Office of the Secretary of Defense from 2005-2008 Transcript: 53:30 Joanna Rohozinska: Lukshenko must be held responsible for his choices and actions. Word mating strategies with transatlantic allies should be priority and to call for dialogue, immediate release of political prisoners and support for the political opposition's demands for holding elections under international supervision and beginning negotiations on a Lukshenko transition. 53:56 Joanna Rohozinska: Support for democracy requires patience as well as long term commitment and vision. This has been made possible with the support of Congress to IRI and the family. Thank you and I look forward to your questions. 1:03:05 Therese Pearce Laanela: Institutions that are as strong...What we are seeing... those that are able to safeguard and against disinformation for example, they are working in innovative ways because this isn't a challenge that existed really as much before social media and one of the things that we're seeing is a kind of interagency cooperation, a partnership between private and public. That's really hasn't been seen before. Let me just take Australia as a case, but the working together with social media companies and government agencies and security agencies and election officials for rapid reaction to anything that comes in and that kind of seamless communication between agencies, that is one of the ways in which we can protect. 1:04:15 Jamie Fly: We have tools. Radio Free Europe, Radio Liberty has a Bella Russian language service Radio Svoboda which has significant of followers inside Belarus. The problem is that Lukashenko like many other authoritarians have realized that when they face significant pressure, they should take the country offline. And Belarusian authorities have done that on a regular basis, which makes it much more difficult to communicate and allow information to spread freely. So what they really need outlets like Svoboda and other independent media are access to internet circumvention tools, which are also funded by the State Department and the US Agency for Global Media. 1:09:57 Douglas Rutzen: China is providing surveillance technology to countries including Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, and Serbia. They also provided a $2 billion dollar loan to Hungry to construct a railway which Hungry then classified as a state secret in terms of the construction. 1:19:28 Brian Fitzpatrick: In 2013, in 2000, and he saw large scale protests in Ukraine, following what many believed to be a falsification of elections by their federal officials. So my first question for the entire panel, do you believe that Belarus protests could lead to a revolution similar to the one we saw in Ukraine and secondarily, on Tuesday, President Lukashenko, refused to rule out the idea of holding new elections, and acknowledge that he may have overstayed his time at office, whether or not you see revolutions similar to Ukraine, do you think that these protests could lead to an actual change in leadership? Joanna Rohozinska: So I take it as a question to me. I mean, I think that things have been building up and I would say that with this similarity to Ukraine was that there was also a deep seated frustration with corruption. Here, it's less about corruption. But it's still meets, where you have the accountability and transparency aspect of it that I was mentioning in my testimony. And I think that the frustration with the lack of responsive government and being treated like animals, frankly, is what they say, is what finally boiled over, but there's been, there's been an uptick in protests in Belarus, if you watch these kinds of things over the past two years, over the parasite tax, for example, which was also was a special tax that was put on unemployment, and on to penalize people who are unemployed, is trying to target civic activists, but it ended up reaching far farther than that. So you can see things percolating below the surface for quite a long time. Now. You never know when it's going to blow. Here, I think that there was just the COVID, underlay everything and it mobilized such a broad swath of society, that the trigger event was finally the elections, which again, demonstrating a degree of hubris they decided not to put off right, they figured that holding the elections at the beginning of August was the best thing to do, because there is always a low torque turnout and all this, frankly, because people tend to go out to the countryside. So they simply miscalculated. They did not understand how the people were feeling

Inizieremo la prima parte del nostro programma con la notizia delle sanzioni, che gli Stati Uniti hanno imposto alla Turchia per l’acquisto del sistema missilistico S-400 dalla Russia. Subito dopo, parleremo della decisione della Corte Costituzionale austriaca di depenalizzare il suicidio assistito per i malati terminali e i pazienti affetti da sofferenze incurabili. Poi, discuteremo di un recente rapporto, in cui il comitato etico del ministero della Difesa francese ha approvato l’avvio di ricerche, volte a sviluppare e implementare trattamenti medici, protesi e impianti, per aumentare le capacità fisiche e psicologiche dei propri soldati. Infine, per concludere la prima parte della trasmissione, vi racconteremo dell’ultimo murales di Banksy, il noto artista di strada dall’identità ancora sconosciuta, dipinto sul muro di una casa nella città inglese di Bristol.   Nel segmento Trending in Italy, vi racconteremo della decisione del Comune di Roma di vietare la circolazione stradale delle cosiddette “botticelle”, ovvero le tradizionali carrozze trainate da cavalli, limitandone l’attività all’interno di ville storiche e parchi cittadini. Poi, discuteremo della scomparsa di uno dei calciatori italiani più amati di sempre: il grande e indimenticabile Paolo Rossi, simbolo del Mondiale di Spagna del 1982. - Gli Stati Uniti sanzionano la Turchia per l’acquisto del sistema missilistico S400 dalla Russia - La Corte Costituzionale d’Austria depenalizza la morte assistita - L’esercito francese ottiene il via libera per produrre soldati bionici - Banksy colpisce ancora durante la pandemia! - Il Comune di Roma dice stop alla circolazione delle “botticelle” - È morto Paolo Rossi, idolo italiano del Mondiale di Spagna ‘82