Podcasts about so all

God said the race don't go to the strongest or the fastest. But to the one who endure to the end. So All the way to the end of our race we will be attack by our adversary. The

• Today's Top Story: Senator Rand Paul says To Resist COVID Mandates, Passports and Forced Vaccinations. Let's hear his words and then explain legally why #DoNotComply • Today's 2020 Olympics in the year 2021 Update: The Games are finally over, but who Got the Most Gold Medals? And will Subway now drop Woke Athlete Activist Megan Rapinoe after embarrassing herself in the Tokyo Games? We got the Olympic News ya need to know • Today's Local Story: 36,000 Students in Clarksville Montgomery County go back to school, but do they have the option to show off their smiling faces? We got the Local News ya need to know • Today's Featured Guest: Valerie Coffee who needs your help to win the Fab Over 40 competition that will get the Clarksville Lady in a 2-page spread in NewBeauty magazine, plus the spa-cation of a lifetime and $40,000 cash. Let's find out why she is Fab Over 40 https://votefab40.com/2021/valerie-coffee • So All of this and much more, today on The Joe Padula Show, absolutely. Become a monthly Supporter of Free Speech for exclusive content, videos and merchandise https://www.facebook.com/theJoePadulashow/support Lawyer Wayne, know your rights, know your options. https://www.lawyerwayne.com/ O'Connor's Irish Pub and Grill – Eat, Drink, Play https://www.facebook.com/oconnorsfun Waterdogs SCUBA & Safety – Get away and Go Dive https://www.waterdogs-scuba.com/ Oak Grove Racing, Gaming & Hotel https://www.oakgrovegaming.com/ Art Link Clarksville https://www.artlinkclarksville.com/ #TalkRadio #JoePadula #Veterans #FtCampbell #Comedy #LocalNews #Nashville #Clarksville #Absolutely #PartyWithaPurpose #Tennessee #TheJoePadulaShow #officeNOWClarksville #iHeartRadio --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/joe-padula/support

• Today's Top Story: Who is the Trans City Council Member going after a Local Owner's Star Wars Store for posting a message saying if you have a d*ick, you are not a chick? Let's react to obviously set up video https://nypost.com/2021/08/06/store-owner-gets-in-heated-exchange-with-transgender-woman-over-sign/ • Today's In Depth Book Report: US Gold Medalist Tamyra Mensah-Stock. She is winning over the nation with her success in Tokyo and her love of country. Let's learn so much more about her with Adam Glexy https://www.instagram.com/mensahtamyrastock • Today's Go Home Internet, You're Drunk: The Internet is going OFF over an interracial couple's Slavery Themed Pre Wedding Photoshoot. Are they cool or are they fool – ish? Ashley Minor will fill us in https://www.blackenterprise.com/the-internet-goes-off-over-interracial-couples-slavery-themed-pre-wedding-photoshoot/ • Today's Featured Guest: Laurel Judd of Pure Sweat + Float Studio Now in Clarksville. So what is Float Therapy and how can it make you healthier and looking younger? Laurel will explain it all https://www.puresweatfloatstudio.com/clarksville • So All of this and much more, today on The Joe Padula Show, absolutely. Become a monthly Supporter of Free Speech for exclusive content, videos and merchandise https://www.facebook.com/theJoePadulashow/support Lawyer Wayne, know your rights, know your options. https://www.lawyerwayne.com/ O'Connor's Irish Pub and Grill – Eat, Drink, Play https://www.facebook.com/oconnorsfun Waterdogs SCUBA & Safety – Get away and Go Dive https://www.waterdogs-scuba.com/ Oak Grove Racing, Gaming & Hotel https://www.oakgrovegaming.com/ Art Link Clarksville https://www.artlinkclarksville.com/ #TalkRadio #JoePadula #Veterans #FtCampbell #Comedy #LocalNews #Nashville #Clarksville #Absolutely #PartyWithaPurpose #Tennessee #TheJoePadulaShow #officeNOWClarksville #iHeartRadio --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/joe-padula/support

• Today's Top Story: Are Vaccination Passports and Mandates actually prejudice towards Blacks and Hispanics? Well the numbers say so, let me show ya how • Today's Featured Guest: Henry Walker of the Axe Throwing Place. So let's find out how you can earn some cash at their Back To School Axe Bash https://www.facebook.com/events/4406972862697132 • And who is woman I am now secretly hoping get's a divorce? • So All of this and much more, today on The Joe Padula Show, absolutely. Become a monthly Supporter of Free Speech for exclusive content, videos and merchandise https://www.facebook.com/theJoePadulashow/support Lawyer Wayne, know your rights, know your options. https://www.lawyerwayne.com/ O'Connor's Irish Pub and Grill – Eat, Drink, Play https://www.facebook.com/oconnorsfun Waterdogs SCUBA & Safety – Get away and Go Dive https://www.waterdogs-scuba.com/ Oak Grove Racing, Gaming & Hotel https://www.oakgrovegaming.com/ Art Link Clarksville https://www.artlinkclarksville.com/ #TalkRadio #JoePadula #Veterans #FtCampbell #Comedy #LocalNews #Nashville #Clarksville #Absolutely #PartyWithaPurpose #Tennessee #TheJoePadulaShow #officeNOWClarksville #iHeartRadio --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/joe-padula/support

John McAfee did not kill himself, but who wanted him dead? And who is next? Let's find out Did a High School Prom really mark the hands of the unvaccinated Students? Let's see if the papers are in order And locally, let's look at the footage of the Semi Tractor Trailer running into the house at full speed and the car that tried to beat the train. Plus is there a firework shortage that will effect your 4th of July and which Nashville Zoo animal are they now letting walk around the Wax Museum? So All of this and so much more will get covered today on The Joe Padula Show, absolutely. All of this and so much more will get covered today on The Joe Padula Show, absolutely. Become a monthly Supporter of Free Speech by signing up for exclusive content, chats and merchandise, now available at the top of The Joe Padula Show facebook page. Lawyer Wayne, know your rights, know your options. https://www.lawyerwayne.com/ O'Connor's Irish Pub and Grill – Eat, Drink, Play https://www.facebook.com/oconnorsfun Waterdogs SCUBA & Safety – Get away and Go Dive https://www.waterdogs-scuba.com/ Oak Grove Racing, Gaming & Hotel https://www.oakgrovegaming.com/ Art Link Clarksville https://www.artlinkclarksville.com/ #TalkRadio #JoePadula #Veterans #FtCampbell #Comedy #LocalNews #Nashville #Clarksville #Absolutely #PartyWithaPurpose #Tennessee #TheJoePadulaShow #officeNOWClarksville #iHeartRadio --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/joe-padula/support

First things first: • Taiwan is a Country. John Cena, you're Dumb. Or does the former USA Flag waiving wrestler turned actor just choose China blood money over Freedom? Let me tell ya why I stand with Taiwan. Then On Deck: • Will the Student win the lawsuit against her High School for not publishing her poem about George Floyd? To woke or not to woke, that is the question Third: • Locally, will having Public Open Containers allowed in Downtown Clarksville help or hurt the Queen City. Let's go over the facts then debate it Batting clean up today, • Who will win the Gift Card to Wicked Good Sandwiches? We'll find out in today's game called Who Pissed themselves? So All of this and so much more will get covered today on The Joe Padula Show, absolutely. Become a monthly Supporter of Free Speech by signing up for exclusive content, chats and merchandise, now available at the top of The Joe Padula Show facebook page. Lawyer Wayne, know your rights, know your options. https://www.lawyerwayne.com/ O'Connor's Irish Pub and Grill – Eat, Drink, Play https://www.facebook.com/oconnorsfun Waterdogs SCUBA & Safety – Get away and Go Dive https://www.waterdogs-scuba.com/ Oak Grove Racing, Gaming & Hotel https://www.oakgrovegaming.com/ #TalkRadio #JoePadula #Veterans #FtCampbell #Comedy #LocalNews #Nashville #Clarksville #Absolutely #PartyWithaPurpose #Tennessee #TheJoePadulaShow #officeNOWClarksville #iHeartRadio --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/joe-padula/support

First things first: • Do School Bus Drivers have the right to slap students who aren't wearing masks? Let's check out the surveillance footage Then On Deck: • What caused the Cat Fight at Little Caesar's Pizza. Let's take a deep look at the video Third: • Which child star was just killed while on his bicycle? Let's find out the details Batting clean up today, • Who is the biggest loser of the day? He's a wrestler turned movie star and now apologizing for freedom to communists. So All of this and so much more will get covered today on The Joe Padula Show, absolutely. Become a monthly Supporter of Free Speech by signing up for exclusive content, chats and merchandise, now available at the top of The Joe Padula Show facebook page. Lawyer Wayne, know your rights, know your options. https://www.lawyerwayne.com/ O'Connor's Irish Pub and Grill – Eat, Drink, Play https://www.facebook.com/oconnorsfun Waterdogs SCUBA & Safety – Get away and Go Dive https://www.waterdogs-scuba.com/ Oak Grove Racing, Gaming & Hotel https://www.oakgrovegaming.com/ #TalkRadio #JoePadula #Veterans #FtCampbell #Comedy #LocalNews #Nashville #Clarksville #Absolutely #PartyWithaPurpose #Tennessee #TheJoePadulaShow #officeNOWClarksville #iHeartRadio --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/joe-padula/support

First things first: • Are your favorite songs on the radio actually filled with hidden curses and racial slurs? Let's investigate Then On Deck: • Meeting the Musician: Luke Davids. Let's learn about the London-born singer-songwriter now based in Des Moines, Iowa while we have him in Clarksville, Tn. http://www.lukedavids.com/ Third: • We still have an ongoing issue that has to be solved, leaving our kids and pets locked in hot cars. Let's finally come up with the solution Batting clean up today, • Who is the biggest loser of the day? He's a wrestler turned movie star and now apologizing for freedom to communists. So All of this and so much more will get covered today on The Joe Padula Show, absolutely. Become a monthly Supporter of Free Speech by signing up for exclusive content, chats and merchandise, now available at the top of The Joe Padula Show facebook page. Lawyer Wayne, know your rights, know your options. https://www.lawyerwayne.com/ O'Connor's Irish Pub and Grill – Eat, Drink, Play https://www.facebook.com/oconnorsfun Waterdogs SCUBA & Safety – Get away and Go Dive https://www.waterdogs-scuba.com/ Oak Grove Racing, Gaming & Hotel https://www.oakgrovegaming.com/ #TalkRadio #JoePadula #Veterans #FtCampbell #Comedy #LocalNews #Nashville #Clarksville #Absolutely #PartyWithaPurpose #Tennessee #TheJoePadulaShow #officeNOWClarksville #iHeartRadio --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/joe-padula/support

First things first: • You may have had a good week, you may have had a bad week, but I will go over why the best is yet come. Then On Deck: • A Clarksville school nurse is charged with photographing over 40 girls in Northeast High School bathroom. How did he allegedly do it and what happens if convicted? Third: • A Man at a Waffle House gets arrested and tells the officers that he wants to be a cop and that the CIA is looking at them through his eyes. What does he know that we don't? Batting clean up today, • Best of the Best 2021. VIP Clarksville Magazine has their Reader's Choice Awards going on, but voting ends tomorrow. So let's help you decide who is Best of the Best in Clarksville in all the categories https://www.vipclarksville.com/ So All of this and so much more will get covered today on The Joe Padula Show, absolutely. Become a monthly Supporter of Free Speech by signing up for exclusive content, chats and merchandise, now available at the top of The Joe Padula Show facebook page. Lawyer Wayne, know your rights, know your options. https://www.lawyerwayne.com/ O'Connor's Irish Pub and Grill – Eat, Drink, Play https://www.facebook.com/oconnorsfun Waterdogs SCUBA & Safety – Get away and Go Dive https://www.waterdogs-scuba.com/ Oak Grove Racing, Gaming & Hotel https://www.oakgrovegaming.com/ #TalkRadio #JoePadula #Veterans #FtCampbell #Comedy #LocalNews #Nashville #Clarksville #Absolutely #PartyWithaPurpose #Tennessee #TheJoePadulaShow #officeNOWClarksville #iHeartRadio --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/joe-padula/support

First things first: • You can do it. I have 3 stories from our great nation that prove you can do anything Then On Deck: • More Pro Palestine Protesters attack Jews in the streets of America. Let's watch the videos and I want you to convince why I should support Hamas Third: Locally • Should Tennessee parents over school boards, be choosing if their child should be wearing facemasks? Batting clean up today, • Will the return of God Fearing, America Loving Tim Tebow reverse the record low NFL Ratings? • Who is the former SNL alum turned movie star that just ripped apart Cancel Culture? • And are Legos Gay? So All of this and so much more will get covered today on The Joe Padula Show, absolutely. Become a monthly Supporter of Free Speech by signing up for exclusive content, chats and merchandise, now available at the top of The Joe Padula Show facebook page. Lawyer Wayne, know your rights, know your options. https://www.lawyerwayne.com/ O'Connor's Irish Pub and Grill – Eat, Drink, Play https://www.facebook.com/oconnorsfun Waterdogs SCUBA & Safety – Get away and Go Dive https://www.waterdogs-scuba.com/ Oak Grove Racing, Gaming & Hotel https://www.oakgrovegaming.com/ #TalkRadio #JoePadula #Veterans #FtCampbell #Comedy #LocalNews #Nashville #Clarksville #Absolutely #PartyWithaPurpose #Tennessee #TheJoePadulaShow #officeNOWClarksville #iHeartRadio --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/joe-padula/support

• Is Caitlyn Jenner anti trans or is Caitlyn Jenner the only Republican in California with balls? We'll find out in her video interview not supporting transgenders competing in female sports. • Which state has just removed all of its Covid Restrictions and will it hurt them or help them? Can't wait to hear your guesses and comments. • What happened to the school nurse in New Jersey following her statement, Mask Mandates are Harmful to children? Wait until you watch her interview. • Is LeBron James officially now the highest paid actor ever? • Are Gymnast Leotards sexists and should be banned? • And is will Disney have to cancel Snow White because of the Sleeping Kiss Scene? • Why was the Nashville Homeless man shot and killed by Metro SWAT? Let's watch the body cam footage • What will soon be required on every Tennessee Ballot when you vote? • And do some Tennesseans just look like pyro maniacs? Why were the Police called on Mikey Yea Yea while at his fundraiser for Veterans? https://www.facebook.com/American-Legion-Riders-Post-233-Fort-Campbell-152717464783724 And is Covid 19 now affecting….. women's periods? So All of this and so much more will get covered today on The Joe Padula Show, absolutely. Make sure to Subscribe, hit the notification bell, click Like, leave your comments and definitely help us out and share this video now, absolutely. Plus Become a monthly Supporter of Free Speech by signing up for exclusive content, chats and merchandise, now available at the top of The Joe Padula Show facebook page. Lawyer Wayne, know your rights, know your options. https://www.lawyerwayne.com/ O'Connor's Irish Pub and Grill – Eat, Drink, Play https://www.facebook.com/oconnorsfun Waterdogs SCUBA & Safety – Get away and Go Dive https://www.waterdogs-scuba.com/ Oak Grove Racing, Gaming & Hotel https://www.oakgrovegaming.com/ #TalkRadio #JoePadula #Veterans #FtCampbell #Comedy #LocalNews #Nashville #Clarksville #Absolutely #PartyWithaPurpose #Tennessee #TheJoePadulaShow #officeNOWClarksville #iHeartRadio --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/joe-padula/support

Have you seen the body cam footage from the white female officer that shot and killed the 20 year old black male during an arrest in Minneapolis? So Should the city currently be burning and looted? Let's review the now released video A post was made on Clarksville Chat about painting the rainbow flag over the Blue Line Police Officers flag and it got heated. Mikey Yea Yea will go over it all https://www.facebook.com/groups/519804518192392 Is actor James Franco a Sexual Predator and actor Seth Rogan an enabler? One female co-star thinks so. Red Pill Jenn will fill us in And to battle all of the negative news, what stories will 10 year old MacKynzie Bryant bring to the table to report on? She and mom Kacie Bryant of Local Clarksville will have it all https://localclarksville.com/ So All of this and so much more will get covered today on The Joe Padula Show, absolutely. Make sure to Subscribe, hit the notification bell, click Like, leave your comments and definitely help us out and share this video now, absolutely. Plus Become a monthly Supporter of Free Speech by signing up for exclusive content, chats and merchandise, now available at the top of The Joe Padula Show facebook page. Lawyer Wayne, know your rights, know your options. https://www.lawyerwayne.com/ O'Connor's Irish Pub and Grill – Eat, Drink, Play https://www.facebook.com/oconnorsfun Waterdogs SCUBA & Safety – Get away and Go Dive https://www.waterdogs-scuba.com/ Oak Grove Racing, Gaming & Hotel https://www.oakgrovegaming.com/ #TalkRadio #JoePadula #Veterans #FtCampbell #Comedy #LocalNews #Nashville #Clarksville #Absolutely #PartyWithaPurpose #Tennessee #TheJoePadulaShow #officeNOWClarksville #iHeartRadio --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/joe-padula/support

Should teachers be teaching your kids about transgenders and gender identity? Let's take a look at the current bill on the floor President Joe Biden says Gun Control will be coming. We'll cover what he wants and also will it happen and if so, when Have ya seen how fast Tiger Woods was driving when he went airborne and crashed? We have the updated reports What is the Worst of the Best when it comes to the Marvel Cinematic Universe films? And why should you be attending the upcoming Fort Campbell Spouses Club event called VICE Night? Club President Crystal Garcia will explain it all https://www.fortcampbellspousesclub.org/vicenight2021 So All of this and so much more will get covered today on The Joe Padula Show, absolutely. So All of this and so much more will get covered today on The Joe Padula Show, absolutely. Make sure to Subscribe, hit the notification bell, click Like, leave your comments and definitely help us out and share this video now, absolutely. Plus Become a monthly Supporter of Free Speech by signing up for exclusive content, chats and merchandise, now available at the top of The Joe Padula Show facebook page. Lawyer Wayne, know your rights, know your options. https://www.lawyerwayne.com/ O'Connor's Irish Pub and Grill – Eat, Drink, Play https://www.facebook.com/oconnorsfun Waterdogs SCUBA & Safety – Get away and Go Dive https://www.waterdogs-scuba.com/ Oak Grove Racing, Gaming & Hotel https://www.oakgrovegaming.com/ #TalkRadio #JoePadula #Veterans #FtCampbell #Comedy #LocalNews #Nashville #Clarksville #Absolutely #PartyWithaPurpose #Tennessee #TheJoePadulaShow #officeNOWClarksville #iHeartRadio --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/joe-padula/support

This sura starts with its name: the sound Saaaadd/ this is stronger than the sound of the letter S. It's sound comes out from the back of your throat. Sounds have echoes that vibrate into your body and soul. This sura talks about the prophets before Mohammed, all were tested and their reward was being near to God. So what lessons do we humble beings take from this Quran. Other than it's soothing of our soul when we listen to it. Verse 18 the importance of glorifying God / Subhan Allah/. Prophet David was famous for his constant glorification of God. Even the mountains and birds all echoed his praise! Verse 29. ( This is a blessed Scripture, which We have sent down to you, so that people may think about it's messages and those with understanding take heed). The sura ends with truth all will come to know! So All people have a choice ? What do you choose? May Allah Bless us with the blessings of this scripture it's barakah, teachings, it's secrets, it's soothing and healing abilities). Ameen.

Why was the Ex-Osama bin Laden henchman freed from the NJ prison? What is Jeffrey Epstein's Ghislaine Maxwell willing to give up to get out of jail? What happened to the Pee Wee Football coach after he cold clocked his little player? Are your missing Amazon packages being placed in the woods for the delivery drivers just to pick them up for themselves? Should the federal bill get passed that would restrict federal funds from going to schools that allow males to compete against females in sports? What is now on the McDonald's Menu that is not a food or drink? Locally Can you get arrested in Tennessee for Stolen Valor and impersonating a Veteran? What will Austin Peay State University be teaching their students in their new Black Lives Matter Course? Intern Shane has the exclusive. And what does VIP Clarksville Magazine know about Christmas events? VIP Bethany has the details https://issuu.com/vipclarksville And how did, Tommy “Tiny” Lister, the famed Deebo from the “Friday” films, die at the young age of 62? So All of this and so much more will get covered today on The Joe Padula Show, absolutely. --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/joe-padula/support

With now 18 States Demanding to be heard by the Supreme Court on Election Laws violated, does this mean the beginning of succession and the new Civil War? Ya gotta hear about The Liberal States of America vs. The Conservative States of America WTF: The COVID-19 Vaccines are ready to rollout to the public, but what has been the side-effects coming from those already taken the drug? Red Pill Jenn has the details Locally Will Tennessee soon force a State wide Face Mask mandate and if the Governor does so, do you have to comply? Plus can you get arrested in the Volunteer State for Stolen Valor and impersonating a Veteran? And in Clarksville, who stole the entire Old McClure Bridge and will they bring it back? This is Local News ya need to know And finally, who will win Two Free Scuba Diving Lesson today from Waterdog Scuba and Safety? Waterdog Rich has the goods! https://www.waterdogs-scuba.com/ So All of this and so much more will get covered today on The Joe Padula Show, absolutely. --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/joe-padula/support

YouTube now says that we can't talk about the election unless we say Joe Biden has won and we'll remove the videos and even the channels that do. So will we be shut down again today when we talk about the legal election lawsuit going to the Supreme Court? Hunter Biden is now under federal investigation for possible tax fraud. Will it reveal China ties to him and his father the Joe? If you hang up Christmas lights this year, are you now a racist? Why are some home getting notes left on their doors? Locally, Will Nashville have their New Year's Guitar Drop Party this year and should you download the new City of Clarksville App? And how do you get your name or business on top of the Google search list? Wes Foster of Wesfed Media will tell us how. So All of this and so much more will get covered today on The Joe Padula Show, absolutely. --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/joe-padula/support

Election 2020 Update: The State of Texas Files a Supreme Court lawsuit to Rule the Election in Four Battleground States Unconstitutional. Boom Are you ready for what's next? And in Georgia, the blonde braided lady in the ballot counting surveillance video has been exposed and you have to see her connections COVID Conversations Will you be forced by law or profession to take the COVID-19 Vaccine? Where can you get an at Home COVID Test Kid and do you have to submit your results? And if your city is 99.6% COVID Free, should it be under emergency mandates? Viral Videos: Is Santa Claus a liberal telling children that you can't ask for Nerf Guns? What did the Tik Tok woman do when a stalker breaks in during her live video? And can a high school football play get arrested for tackling a referee? Ya gotta see today's Viral Videos. Is Movie Rental giant Redbox going away? And is the best present to give in the year 2020 Beer? Eric and Wendy of Tennessee Valley Brewing Company may think so and will be at this weekend's Christmas Market. So All of this and so much more will get covered today on The Joe Padula Show, absolutely. --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/joe-padula/support

Election 2020 Update: Following the Georgia Footage of Hidden Ballots being counted, the Peach State Governor now calls for a total audit of the votes and did they find out that over 60,000 ballots casted by kids under the age of 18? I've got what the mainstream media is not telling you Crime 411: What should happen to parents if convicted of sexual abuse of their own daughter? Melissa Marquais will provide the details The U.S. House of Representatives just passed a historic bill that would decriminalize cannabis. Will it get through Senate and Will President Donald Trump sign it into law? I HIGHLY think so. Can a high school football play get arrested for tackling a referee? You've gotta see the footage coming out of Texas. And did Jesus Christ have a bunch of deadbeats for family members? Pastor Chris Edmondson from OneChurch.Tv will explain. So All of this and so much more will get covered today on The Joe Padula Show, absolutely. --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/joe-padula/support

ASCO: You’re listening to a podcast from Cancer.Net. This cancer information website is produced by the American Society of Clinical Oncology, known as ASCO, the world’s leading professional organization for doctors who care for people with cancer. The purpose of this podcast is to educate and to inform. This is not a substitute for professional medical care and is not intended for use in the diagnosis or treatment of individual conditions. Guests on this podcast express their own opinions, experience, and conclusions. The mention of any product, service, organization, activity, or therapy should not be construed as an ASCO endorsement. Cancer research discussed in this podcast is ongoing, so the data described here may change as research progresses. Cancer does not affect all people equally. Some groups of people, including racial and ethnic minorities, poor people, sexual and gender minorities (LGBT+ people), adolescent and young adult populations, and older adults, are more likely to be diagnosed with cancer, or have poorer outcomes. This is known as “health disparities.” In today’s podcast, Dr. Petros Grivas and Dr. Edith Mitchell discuss health disparities in cancer clinical trials, why it is important for clinical trials to be inclusive, and resources for people with cancer who face barriers to care. Dr. Grivas is the clinical director of the Genitourinary Cancers Program at University of Washington Medicine, and an associate member of the clinical research division at the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center. He is also a Cancer.Net Specialty Editor. Dr. Mitchell is Clinical Professor of Medicine and Medical Oncology at Jefferson Medical College of Thomas Jefferson University, and the Director of the Center to Eliminate Cancer Disparities at the Sidney Kimmel Cancer Center at Thomas Jefferson University. View disclosures for Dr. Grivas and Dr. Mitchell at Cancer.Net. ASCO would like to thank Dr. Grivas and Dr. Mitchell for discussing this topic. Dr. Grivas: Hello. This is Petros Grivas. I'm a medical oncologist at Seattle Cancer Care Alliance. I'm an associate professor at University of Washington and associate member of the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center. I'm real delighted today to be able to discuss with a legend in the field, Prof. Dr. Edith Mitchell. Dr. Mitchell is well-known internationally for her work in oncology as well as health care disparities. Dr. Mitchell is directing the Diversity Services features of the Sidney Kimmel Comprehensive Cancer Center, and is a full Professor there, she is a medical oncologist, as I mentioned. And in addition to many achievements that she has over the years, and her international role in cancer research education and patient care, a few examples of her achievements include that she has been selected to be a member of the President's Cancer Panel and also in the NIH Council of Councils, which speaks highly of her contributions in the field. And I was impressed to find out recently that she was the first woman physician that was promoted to the rank of general in the U.S. Air Force. And again, there're many other accomplishments. Dr. Mitchell and myself have no relevant disclosures in relation to this particular topic that we're discussing today.  Dr. Mitchell, thanks for joining us today. Dr. Mitchell: Well, thank you so much, Dr. Grivas. It's really good to speak with you again, Dr. Grivas.  And thank you so much for the opportunity to discuss disparities with you today. Dr. Grivas: Absolutely. And thank you so much, Dr. Mitchell, for your nice words. We talked a bit about health care disparities. And your work in the field is really, really important. Could you comment a little bit about health care disparities—the definition—and what we mean when we talk about that? Dr. Mitchell: Sure. So when we speak about disparities, it's very important that we understand that for any disease process, whether it's a cancer disease or some other disease, if there are differences among communities, either in the incidence rates, that is, how often the disease or the problem occurs, as well as how often there are deaths. So mortality rates being different in different individuals. Could be men versus women, or Blacks versus Caucasians, or Latinx or other racial or ethnic, or differences even between the South and the North. There are a number of disparities that are different and occur more frequently in individuals who live in the southern part of the country. So disparities meaning that there are differences either in the number of occurrences or incidence rates or in the number of deaths, mortality rates, in different communities and among either a racial or ethnic groups or among people. For example, young patients versus older patients. So evaluating differences that occur among people because of their community. Dr. Grivas: Thank you, Dr. Mitchell. This is very, very helpful to understand. You mentioned some very good examples. Can you elaborate a little bit further about who are the most negatively affected by this, in your opinion? Dr. Mitchell: So it's well-recognized that men have higher death rates from certain cancers. It's also recognized that for the number of individuals that we've collected information about over the years, that African Americans have higher incidence rates of certain cancers and higher mortality rates of others. It's also recognized that African American men have the highest death rates and highest cancer occurrence rates or incidence rates of any group in the United States. So there are a lot of research ongoing now, evaluating men, and particularly African American men, to find out why there is a higher incidence rate and a higher death or mortality rate in this country. So lots of research. There is also a lot of information that over many years, cancer incidence rates have been higher in Blacks compared to whites among males and in whites compared to Blacks among females. So while Caucasian women have higher incidence rates, the African American women have higher death or mortality rates. Also, we have evaluated cancer mortality rates in many different populations and it's still the fact that African American men as well as African American women have higher mortality rates compared to whites. So very important that research continues with those. And for a few cancers, for example, prostate cancer in men, African American men have higher incidence rates of prostate cancer as well as higher death rates. Breast cancer, another area. African American women have higher death rates from breast cancer, although the incidence rates are approximately equal. African American women have more aggressive tumors and more of triple-negative tumors. And triple-negative breast cancer tumors are more aggressive tumors. They spread more rapidly, there are fewer medications to treat the cancers with, and consequently, overall death rate's higher in Black women compared to Caucasian women. Colorectal cancer, another where there are higher incidence rates, with African Americans having a 20% higher incidence rate of colorectal cancer in this country and African Americans having a 40% higher mortality or death rate in this country from colorectal cancer. And then the last that I will mention-- now, I could go on and on with different cancers, but multiple myeloma. Multiple myeloma is probably the most disparate cancer of all of those in the United States. The incidence rate of myeloma in African Americans is twice that of Caucasian patients, and the death rate being even higher than twice as many. So there are so many different-- and consequently, it's important for clinical trials for us to-- understand everything from the preventive strategies and trying to prevent cancer in various populations through early detection and trying to find the cancers at an earlier stage. And the earlier we find the cancer, the better the treatment outcomes and better opportunities for a cancer cure. So really important. And then, of course, there're the diagnostic studies. Treatments can be different in patients and consequently, finding the right treatment for the right patient at the right time being important. Also, we do research and clinical trials regarding posttreatment, quality of care, and survivorship. So really important for individuals to participate in clinical trials so that the patient can have access to and the opportunity to receive the latest information on treatment for this specific cancer as well as follow-up diagnostic studies, the specific scans, or other markers.  There, actually, Dr. Grivas, is a study ongoing where individuals may participate in a study even before they develop cancers or chronic diseases. And that's called the All of Us study. With All of Us, it is planned that approximately 1 million participants will be invited to participate in this trial, and information regarding a specific participant or a specific individual can be given back to the patient or the individual. Like I said, many individuals will not have developed a cancer or a chronic disease. And this might help individuals determine what the risk factors are for developing certain tumors over a period of time. So All of Us is another study by the NIH that will help determine risk factors for patients. So I think for every patient to try and find out information, 1, regarding the tumor if they have developed a cancer but, 2, determine screening strategies to try and find the tumor at an earlier stage and then opportunities for participation in prevention trials to try and prevent cancers from forming. So lots of different clinical trials ongoing and very important for specific populations. It's well-recognized that African Americans have higher incidence and mortality rates. Latinx or Hispanic patients, there are some tumors that have higher incidence or higher death rates. And the Native Americans also, for certain tumors, have higher incidence rates and higher death rates. So so much in terms of clinical trials ongoing and especially for minority populations. Finding out information about a clinical trial and the opportunity for participating in a clinical trial, very important. Dr. Grivas: These are excellent points, Dr. Mitchell. I want to ask you to comment a little bit on the efforts overall and your role in National Cancer Institute and other forums. What is the oncology community's trying to do to reduce these disparities? You mentioned clinical trials as a main important topic. But what resources are available to the patients in order to try to avoid those barriers and enroll in clinical trials and eliminate disparities in patient care? Dr. Mitchell: Certainly. And that's a great question because individuals can, if there is access to the internet, go into clinicaltrials.gov. One can find information about trials as well as potentials for treatment trials and just basic information about the disease process. So if there is breast cancer, you can type in "breast cancer," and you'll get the information on breast cancer or any specific cancer. And I urge patients not to just go to the internet and look for things but go to the NIH or the NCI websites. Those are the areas where the greatest research has occurred, and this is research that is specifically targeted for the United States population. So we do provide that information. We also provide information that patients can give to their physicians and ask questions. Always ask questions to your physicians or other clinical staff. The nurses are great resources of clinical information. It's always good to ask those questions. And if you use the internet, go to clinicaltrials.gov, and you will get the latest in terms of the National Cancer Institute studies. But you can also get information regarding the disease processes. And another good site is that of the American Cancer Society, which also has outstanding patient information that is reliable and trustworthy. So I usually recommend those 2 sites, but there are others. And especially if there is a National Cancer Institute-designated cancer center in the area. These are funded by the Congress and therefore are excellent areas for information as well as treatment. So I do recommend that patients utilize these resources instead of routinely just clicking on the disease process and seeing whatever comes up on the internet. There are some resources on the internet that are not reliable, that are not clinical trials, and I advise patients to be careful about obtaining information on the internet, and make sure it's from a trustworthy resource. Dr. Grivas: These are great points, Dr. Mitchell. I appreciate all your work you have done in the field. That's one of the very valuable points for our audience today. I think the take-home message is for our patients and audience participants to ask questions, seek opportunities, make sure they discuss with their treatment providers about clinical trial opportunities for them to be involved in the research and clinical trials. As you mentioned, that's the way to move forward as well as to eliminate disparities in health care. So thank you so much again for your time today and your so-important insights for our audience. Thank you, Dr. Mitchell. Dr. Mitchell: Oh, thank you so much, Dr. Grivas, and we look forward to working with you on the various projects that we have. And the last thing I'd like to say for patients, that despite the COVID-19 pandemic and the number of patients affected, if 1 has symptoms, then they should still discuss this with their clinicians and go in for cancer screenings, go in for cancer treatment. And if there are questions, talk with your physicians about it. Because although the coronavirus is here, cancer doesn't go away. So we still have to address cancer despite the COVID-19 pandemic, which affects so many Americans. But cancer is not going away. So still talk with your doctors about cancer screening and cancer treatment. Thank you. Dr. Grivas: Fully agree with you. Great point. Absolutely. And thank you for pointing this out to avoid delays in cancer diagnosis, avoid delays in screening and proper workup. Thank you so much, Dr. Mitchell, for your time today. ASCO: Thank you, Dr. Grivas and Dr. Mitchell. Learn more about cancer disparities at www.cancer.net/disparities. And if this podcast was useful, please take a minute to subscribe, rate, and review the show on Apple Podcasts or Google Play. This Cancer.Net podcast is part of the ASCO Podcast Network. This collection of 9 programs offers insight into the world of cancer care, covering a range of educational, inspirational, and scientific content. You can find all 9 shows, including this one, at podcast.asco.org. Cancer.Net is supported by Conquer Cancer, the ASCO Foundation, which funds breakthrough research for every type of cancer, helping patients everywhere. To help fund Cancer.Net and programs like it, donate at conquer.org/donate.

http://microconfonair.com In a recent blog post (https://allisonseboldt.com/september-2020/), Allison Seboldt, Founder of Fantasy Congress, pondered whether right now was the time to put a pause on her plans for the expansion of the product. During this conversation, Rob and Allison will chat about some of the elements that go into what that decision means, what steps to take to let things run on autopilot, and what comes next. Allison is a self taught developer and bootstrapping enthusiast. After working as a web developer for four years, she quit corporate life to pursue her passion project. Fantasy Congress is an online game that puts a fantasy sports spin on politics. Players draft members of Congress for their team and earn points based on legislative actions like votes, sponsoring bills, and debating on the chamber floor. Fantasy Congress is intended to be a fun way to connect with friends while also helping people stay engaged and informed in the political process. https://microconf.com MicroConf Connect ➡️ http://microconfconnect.com Twitter ➡️ https://twitter.com/MicroConf E-mail ➡️ support@microconf.com MicroConf 2020 Headline Partners Stripe https://stripe.com Twitter ➡️ https://twitter.com/Stripe Hey https://hey.com Twitter ➡️ https://twitter.com/hey Transcript Hitting the Pause Button On Your SaaS with Allison Seboldt Rob Walling: [00:00:00] And we're live. Welcome to this week's MicroConf On Air. I'm your host, Rob walling, every Wednesday, 1:00 PM. Eastern 10:00 AM. Pacific. We live stream. For 30 minutes and we covered topics related to building and growing ambitious SaaS startups that bring us freedom and purpose and allow us to value and maintain healthy relationships. We believe that showing up every day, shipping that next feature, next piece of marketing copy or closing your next sale is a way to build a sustainable company. We don't ask for permission to start companies. We build and ship real products. So the real customers pay us real money. Welcome to MicroConf On Air. You may be able to hear my dog in the background. This is live streaming in a pandemic. I have a couple of children at home, as well as a Sharpie who is steadfastly guarding the front door. Today. We are talking about hitting the pause button on your SaaS. It's a, an interesting topic. And a new one that I don't think I've covered before, where they're on this, this show or on other podcasts that I've done. I am pretty excited to dive into this. My guest today is Allison Seboldt. Of Fantasy Congress. She's the founder of Fantasy Congress @ fantasycongress.com. Allison is a self taught developer and a bootstrapping enthusiast. After working as a web developer for four years, she quit corporate life to pursue her passion project, which is Fantasy Congress. Fantasy Congress is an online game that puts a fantasy sports spin on politics. Players draft members of U.S. Congress. I love this for their team and earn points based on legislative activities, actions like votes, sponsoring bills and debating on the chamber floor. Fantasy Congress is intended to be a fun way to connect with friends while also helping people stay engaged and informed in the political process. So again, we're going to be talking today a little bit about, building and loans and putting Fantasy Congress on pause for the moment. We're going to dive in. So All

This one is for all the parents out there (and for those who aren’t this will serve as Learning experience and/or entertainment lol) who haven’t always got the parenting thing right all the time. So All of us lol! We decided to share some of our Oops moments and how we navigated a few of our less successful experiences with our little ones. This episode will remind you that it’s ok to not always get it right. Your kids don’t need perfection-they just need you. Laugh off the craziness and enjoy the life you have. Live, Laugh, Learn, Love.

SUBSCRIBE TO OUR PATREON: https://www.patreon.com/ARationalFearMAILING LIST: www.arationalfear.com The pod must go on — from our separate homes we keep cup and carry on — on the show this week we bring you the best and brightest brains on COVID19 including Eureka Prize winner Dr. Darren Saunders, comedian Rosie Piper, Dj Dylabolical, hosts Dan Ilic and Lewis Hobba and comedian Bec Melrose drops in to do 5min from her cancelled Melbourne Comedy Festival Show. (00:00) Preamble.(01:40) Start.(02:50) Introductions.(04:27) Sponsor: Visit the 90's.(06:22) The 3rd week of Coronarama.(12:28) Dr. Darren Saunders gives some COVID19 answers.(26:40) Alan Jones on the Coronavirus(29:10) Bec Melrose does 5min of her cancelled MICF show.(35:50) Wrap up(36:47) News Fighters Dan Ilic 0:00Well, before we start, the building committee festival has been cancelled. Lewis actually predicted this the day before they actually cancelled it on our last week's show. I've actually got a clip of you Lewis predicting this. Here it is. Now before we start letting people know that our Melbourne Comedy Festival show Tickets are on sale at this stage. The Melbourne Comedy Festival is still going. Yeah, I mean, what is it? It's currently Thursday evening, I would say we have 12 hours left for you to purchase tickets, feel good about them and then feel the need to return them when the coroner predicted predicted Louis hell but what do you think about that? I mean, obviously, I'm a genius. I see everything. It's palpable tonight. It's Thursday again $60 million. It's gonna be number 37. Touch all your money. I'm 37. Now if you if you get a refund, I should let you know. become one of our subscribers on Patreon. For as little as five bucks a month you can support a rational fear to bring you podcasts and videos. This week. We actually double Our Patreon subscriber limit term to 11. And a big shout out to someone named Margot haba. Who is now donating any relation Louis maga haba hey, yeah, that's my Lewis Hobba 1:14mom shout for mom. She's been financially Dan Ilic 1:18helping me out since day job. So it's still good to know that she hasn't laid off Thank you, mom. And also, for every patient subscriber who wins will expected like 50% of that to go to restaurant fears pitcher Patreon. Thank you very much, Louis. It's very generous of you. irrational fears are coated on gadigal Land of urination. I pay my respects to elder's past, present and emerging. Let's start the show. Unknown Speaker 1:42A rational fear contains naughty words like bricks, camera, Unknown Speaker 1:48and gum and section 40 of a rational Unknown Speaker 1:51fear recommended listening Unknown Speaker 1:53by a mature audience. Dan Ilic 1:54Today on irrational fear cuantas is reportedly seeking a government bailout when asked What they did with their recent $5 billion profit, a spokesman suggested it was stuck on the back of the cuantas lounge. The NFL is seeking a bailout from the government claiming that Australia won't be Australia without Rugby League, which is news to people in Western Australia, South Australia Victoria Northern Territory in Tasmania who all said who is rugby lake. Tasmania has shut its border to mainland Australia. On top of a 14 day quarantine people will be deported from the island if they don't test positive to being a close cousin. There's plenty of toilet paper for everyone. This is irrational. Unknown Speaker 2:38irrational. Dan Ilic 2:50Welcome to irrational fear. Now let's meet our fear mongers tonight billed as one of Australia's premier transgender lesbian Canadians maybe it's rise pifo Hello Hello, in 2019 he was the winner of Australia's most prestigious science prize in 2020. He's shutting down his lab because as it turns out, being good at important work is not valued in Australia. It's Dr. Darren Saunders. Good, I will look I'm fine. And as someone who is pretty good for the apocalypse and as someone who has to live with the uncertainty every day in the cutthroat, chaotic world of US public broadcasting, it's Lewis. Hello. Hello, Dan. Yes, a joy to be here. Not broadcasting. I can't hear anything. It's actually can I say, my my Cynthia virus here and everyone's been working from home. This current setup of a million people speaking from different places, has become the norm. And I feel like I'm just back in high school watching my substitute teacher struggle with the DVD player again. And on the pots and pans, it's DJ diabolical Unknown Speaker 3:59now Now I've always stood up the back end being the silent DJ and the whole by Paul Shaffer and I took a global pandemic to get me on the mic. You will probably regret it. Thank you, Dan. Dan Ilic 4:09A little later on the show broadcast. Alan Jones shares his view on Corona virus comedian Beck Melrose will be popping by two to five minutes after cancelled Melbourne Comedy Festival show and della balika will deliver us fresh new news fighters. But first, we couldn't do this show without our sponsors. Here's our first sponsor for tonight. Hi, Unknown Speaker 4:29I'm unindicted war criminal and foppish former Prime Minister Tony Blair. And I mean, look, these are uncertain times, right? Like 2020 his brothers coronavirus, the climate crisis and married at first sight. And since international travel has been banned, I'm inviting you to take a break and book a journey to somewhere when nothing interesting happens. The 90s I mean, look, you could learn to surf the web with Morgan Freeman. Unknown Speaker 4:55Click on Netscape Navigator Unknown Speaker 4:56and type in www dot But you thought out the vista.com Unknown Speaker 5:02then search for the answer to anything you want. Like why can Kevin Costner do Unknown Speaker 5:06an English accent? Or go on a tour of the White House with my good colleague, Bill Clinton. And in this drawer is where I put all the things I want to disappear, lock cigars use tissues and genocide in Rwanda. I've never even heard of that place. Sir. Mr. Epstein's on the phone. Oh, Unknown Speaker 5:25excuse me, Unknown Speaker 5:26Jeffrey. Hi. Of course, Saturday's great for me. Or you could even visit the set of a television commercial with Donald Trump. I don't even drink vodka. They want me to sell it because I can sell it. Vodka. It's Unknown Speaker 5:42fantastic. Believe me, but Oh, hang on a second. Hello. Hello Jeffrey. Jeffrey Epstein. My friend is a billionaire just like me. It's what we have in common. Saturday. I'll be there of course. Unknown Speaker 5:57So look, book a ticket to of the 90s when the war on terror was just sparkle in my eye. What has it hasn't finished yet? This month? Oh, good, who? Actually Don't tell me I'll watch it on DVR. So pimp your right to the 90s. Right? a time where if you wanted to enjoy an apocalypse, you have to go to the cinema. How about good deeds? Unknown Speaker 6:22Thank you. Dan Ilic 6:23This is irrational fear we're into the third week of coronavirus on last week on inside is paid event ensel and tweeted that when tweeted when the CMO into the studio he offered to shake everyone's hand. Later that afternoon the Prime Minister suggested that everyone stop shaking hands which gave us a huge release to everyone who is forced to meet the prime minister and Kobe did a monologue this week from his bath. The NBC today show as Al Roker the weatherman did the weather from his kitchen TV shows are doing shows with that audiences which is nothing new. We did we did it tonight lay all the time the difference is popular shows are seeing their audiences to stay at home and people in the middle Panic buying weed. So my friends, how is the apocalypse treating you so far? Unknown Speaker 7:05I think Unknown Speaker 7:07people would probably expect it to be worse than it is. Right. But I've been doing some thinking. Because a lot of people think that like comedy is in like a bit of crisis at the moment, right? Like the comedy festivals being cancelled and everything. And that's obviously, you know, a bad thing. But I think like, it's actually going to, sort of, in at least when like, everything kind of blows over in the end, it's actually going to set the comedy community out quite well. And I like I've been talking to a lot of comedians and whatnot. I've just got like a sort of like a list of things he that I'd like love to go through. Sort of like, tell everyone, what, what sort of good, good stuff we've got to look forward to right. So like, at least while we're all like self isolating, socially distancing and whatnot right now. There's a Everybody is being pushed to like the podcasting world, right? Dan Ilic 8:04Unfortunately, yeah, this is how we do it. We were unfortunately having to make a podcast over Google Hangouts. It's very shoddy. Unknown Speaker 8:11Yeah. Well, I think there's gonna be a lot more of that right and like obviously like, that's a great thing because all we want is a lot more straight white men telling us which movies we need to watch right? So I've talked to like a few people who have got some like podcasts in the in the works and I just want to go through some of them right now. So I've heard there's there's one coming up was called Mighty Morphin Power recap, right? Which is a it's two middle aged white men just sort of watching Mighty Morphin Power Rangers episode by episode and going through that and I can only imagine that that is going to be some truly interesting content. Another one that is come through my my friends podcast, you should go to the fuck are you looking at again, middle aged males Come on there and discuss all the best fights that they've gotten into over their, over their lifetime. So that's a pretty good one is there's also one called, we'll just tell you a mother, we ate it all, which is essentially it's two white males and a trans woman who watched sort of that American Pie style teen sex comedies every week and discuss those and I know you're thinking that doesn't sound like it has any legs at all. It couldn't even have 100 episodes. It didn't celebrate that today. Please listen, please listen. Dan Ilic 9:30Is this is this your podcast? Right? Unknown Speaker 9:33Oh, no, it's certainly not mine. No, I don't know he's talking about I don't have any involvement in that podcast at all. Please listen. We really need it. Please listen, Unknown Speaker 9:41this there's certainly going to be a lot of time for binge watching. So I see those podcasts going well, I'm just not sure about the restaurant review and travel podcasts how they're gonna car living, Unknown Speaker 9:51may not suddenly gonna suffer. Yeah. Unknown Speaker 9:56I think what it's gonna come down to is a lot of kind of reminiscing style. ones another one that I've heard of, sort of in the vein of in the vein of guys we fuck these chicks we've routed so I'm sure there'll be quite a lot of tasteful material covered in in that podcast yeah or Unknown Speaker 10:12remember what toilet paper was or what was food Unknown Speaker 10:17Yeah, that was that was actually quite a good thing I haven't posted I wait I wait I might move out today and left behind or who gives a crap toilet paper so we are set Dan Ilic 10:26oh my god that is my leaving behind gold. Unknown Speaker 10:29Yeah, I was surprised except Dan Ilic 10:31you can watch your mom with it. Unknown Speaker 10:34You can watch it on with gold if you try hard enough. Unknown Speaker 10:36Yeah, probably get to that point. Dan Ilic 10:38I think it's a it's a rough endorsement if someone facing a period of potential quarantine with housemates is moving out right now. Like I don't want to spend two weeks with you specifically. Thanks not even two weeks. It's like It's like people would really have to be bunkering down for if month so I pick people that are saying the next five months are going to be awful in this house if I don't move. It's gonna be a real test, particularly if you live in a share house. I think a lot of people are talking about the the rate of babies going up in nine months after this, but I think people are gonna start talking about the rate of divorces going out. Unknown Speaker 11:20Statistically divorces have gone up in China because of the all the all the isolation. Well, really well. Yeah. Yeah. No, it's it's already in this in the stats. Unknown Speaker 11:30Yeah, that's the biggest problem actually. Yeah. Well, Darren, what's your Unknown Speaker 11:34best shot his biggest problem? Dan Ilic 11:36Darren, what are you saying? What are you predicting will happen in five months time? Unknown Speaker 11:40Ah, look, I think I just want to point out that I think I was way ahead of the curve. I'm shutting down my lab because unless you're building covert test kits or vaccines, everyone's shutting down their lab. So that turned out to be quite prescient, actually. I'm just yeah, I'm, it's where are we gonna be in five months time? Well, I think the world's gonna look really different. I hate to be really heavy about that, but I think actually, you know, to put a positive slant on it, I reckon we're gonna come out the other side of much better society and a much better community. I think we're getting a really good reminder of what's actually important in life. And I think that's a good that's a good thing to hang on to. As we go into as we go into pastor it's definitely a good thing to hang on to. I've been eating I've been eating types of pasta and rice I never even knew existed this week. Unknown Speaker 12:23First time in about five years. Dan Ilic 12:27Darren, it's great to have you on the podcast because we're not experts at all. But you know, you are an expert. You are a doctor now a professor. So can you tell us I'm sure people were turning to you for all kinds of scientific advice because your head is often on the television. Often your voices often on the radio as a as a communicator of science. What are the kinds of questions I thought maybe I could ask you to collect a bunch of questions that people have been asking you and maybe you could quiz us tonight on the answers and so we'll we'll try and provide With the answers, and then you can tell us whether we're right or wrong. Dr. Darren Saunder 13:02Oh, this is perfect. I've got more questions than I can answer so I can feed these back to people this will be excellent. I reckon the good ones will lead off with is what? What's the effect of what bushfire smoke we all breathe in for months and months and months on what's going to happen? We've covered infection. Dan Ilic 13:20Your lungs will taste like smoked salmon. Unknown Speaker 13:26Fewer koalas are alive to die. Unknown Speaker 13:30That's a positive shadow that koalas can get covered up? That's a good question. Unknown Speaker 13:33Let's find out why I gave I gave them chlamydia. Rose Piper 13:39I think in effect it will have is because we were all told that we were breathing, whatever it was, like 37 dots a day or something like that. But now the economic downturn is probably going to cause some people to stop smoking. So it was like kind of getting your fixing before you before you quit, you know? Unknown Speaker 13:57Yeah, yeah, it's not not a bad way to look at it. Dan Ilic 14:00actually did buy a facemask during the bush fires that turned out to be quite handy in the long run Unknown Speaker 14:06ahead of the curve again, Unknown Speaker 14:07yeah, you're like Nostradamus Dan Ilic 14:13Listen to me more. But what what do you think Dan? What do you think the the ramifications of breathing in that bushfires mega? Unknown Speaker 14:21The actual answer is we probably don't know the guests or the hypothesis would be that we're probably a little bit more susceptible to infection all that smoke has been damaging our lungs the whole time we bring breathing it in and it's probably making us a little bit more susceptible to the infection as for having fictional play out in people had to say so it's not a good news story. That one. Dan Ilic 14:41There was such a weird point in kind of time where the smoke you couldn't really avoid it anywhere like you like with the corona virus. I feel like you can probably do if you don't have it, you can probably do your best to not have it for a long time. But the smoke was just so unavoidable because you couldn't really escape to any place that didn't have it. Unknown Speaker 15:01Yeah at one point I was sharing it the water tank where I was staying actually got permeated with smoke. It was like sharing scotch. It was not pleasant. Unknown Speaker 15:10Yeah, it sounds pretty good. It's not you Dan Ilic 15:14could you could you could sell that at a Gwyneth Paltrow resort. Out showering genuine Australian bush is a $300 so I'm just gonna make a note of that. That's actually pretty good. What's your next question? Derek? All right, next question was Unknown Speaker 15:32what is going to happen to everyone that's swimming and can we swimming pools? Can we swim in the ocean and avoid covert Dan Ilic 15:39thought calls? Were a no no rush think the ocean should be fine, right? Unknown Speaker 15:43I hope the ocean is fine. Dan Ilic 15:45That's my thought to my thought is that the ocean is antibacterial. Every Unknown Speaker 15:53interesting one isn't the ocean. Nobody knows the ocean. The sunlight kills a lot of germs. But if probably want to kill the viruses. But Dan Ilic 16:03before you go on are the answers to all your question is nobody knows. There's a lot of Unknown Speaker 16:11things that we're all getting it right. Dan Ilic 16:13It's good. All right, great. What's the next question? Unknown Speaker 16:17When are we gonna have a vaccine? Dan Ilic 16:20I got this one. I got this one. I got this one. Nobody knows. Unknown Speaker 16:25Louis, what do you think? Unknown Speaker 16:26I would have said, Yeah, nobody knows. Dan is one of the few things we do we actually don't know. Unknown Speaker 16:34I'm gonna I'm gonna get confident and Unknown Speaker 16:36get on the front foot and say within a month. Unknown Speaker 16:38Damn. Oh, that's a big goal. Wow. Unknown Speaker 16:42I was actually hoping that Louis would say that because then it would happen. Oh, that's not Unknown Speaker 16:49to say that I'm afraid. Unknown Speaker 16:53So this one I picked deliberately because I can't actually answer this one. This is ah, Unknown Speaker 16:58so I don't know if you saw Yes, I think it was yes. Today Unknown Speaker 17:00the very first human guinea pigs patients got the first test doses of one of the new vaccines. So Unknown Speaker 17:07where were they? Where can we get it from? Unknown Speaker 17:10Woollies? I think I think Trump's bought it already. Probably. That's what Unknown Speaker 17:13he tried to he tried to buy one of the German companies. Dan Ilic 17:16So where were they doing where who got Unknown Speaker 17:18the first vaccine? Why don't we find out? I believe they were in Europe. I could be wrong. I don't remember precisely. We've got a we got a vaccine in development in Australia that's been in animals now. So it's almost ready to test in humans. And then the trick is making enough for hundreds of millions of people that that will take a few months at least. Dan Ilic 17:36Right. Is that when you're gonna start your lab again, that's the that's the plan. Unknown Speaker 17:40We're just gearing up for that. Now. Dan Ilic 17:42Do you have another question for us about 19? just mash misconceptions. Unknown Speaker 17:46Oh, look, here's the one. Here's the question of the day or the question of the week is, why haven't they shot schools yet? Unknown Speaker 17:53Why haven't they shot the schools yet? That's the one that's on everyone's lips around here. Why haven't they shot the schools yet? Dan Ilic 17:58Because people need To know about white history and forget about colonialism. That's why schools Yeah, this time, the white man fixes everything. That is why they haven't shut the schools yet. Unknown Speaker 18:09There's probably too many decision makers in there who've just had the kids get to school age who have gone I'm not fucking taking them back in the house now. I feel Unknown Speaker 18:18like Dan Ilic 18:20it is consistent with like this government's long term war against teachers, namely that it's hoping that instead of having to underpaid them, though, they can just get what? Unknown Speaker 18:42destination crook? Unknown Speaker 18:44Yeah. It's funny. Remembering the value of all of these kind of jobs like nurses and teachers, right. Dan Ilic 18:50What is what is it Darren, I mean, you're someone who's seen the brunt of this kind of attitude from our government that there seems to be a dislike or distrust of expertise of really smart people who know things. Why is it that this government does have all got this government? Not in this not it's not particularly this government coming through all around the world? Yeah, have a have a distaste and a distrust of people with expertise and doing everything they can to seemingly defund them and get rid of them. I think Unknown Speaker 19:22the brutal truth of that is because they delivered some uncomfortable facts and truth to them that didn't suit their sort of political ends. And so they undermine them as much as they could, you know, people have been profiteering politically and financially for years of undermining facts and truth. Dan Ilic 19:38But getting rid of like that getting rid of like the pandemic unit for the CDC in America seems like a completely counterintuitive act, Unknown Speaker 19:48given that we're just they're just sitting around doing nothing. It's just Dan Ilic 19:52wasting money, and then we can get them back. We want them we know where they are. We can get them back whenever we want. Unknown Speaker 20:00No like firemen, they just sit around all day doing nothing get rid of them. Unknown Speaker 20:03Most medicine? Dan Ilic 20:05Do you honestly think Darren that that is like that is the motive like it's it is purely, you're you're delivering information that is too dangerous for us politically to even have. Unknown Speaker 20:14But I think well, you're probably I mean, if you look at the climate change, the climate change is an obvious one, you know, that's where it seems to be the lightning rod for this sort of approach of denying truth, or whatever you want to call it. And it was literally that there were some really rich people and big companies that were, you know, their profits are under threat, and they've spent a lot of money trying to prop up those profits by sitting down, you know, we saw the tobacco companies do it before them and then and then what's happened is the political parties have all figured out that that's a really good way of getting hold of power is to is to take that approach, you know, and I think that that's fine when the threat is just as existential as the as the coronavirus, but it's, you know, 20 or 40 years down the road and suddenly that model doesn't work when the threat is very real and very now, huh? Dan Ilic 20:56Well, here are some good things about Kovac 19. There has been a huge reduction in co2 emissions up to 10%. In some countries, because of the ban on cruise ships, the Venice canals have become extremely clear and you can see to the bottom bottom of them without pollution and sediment. And another good thing about the Cova 19 is that your revision has been cancelled for this year. So no Eurovision what are the good things have we seen out there because it covered 19 do you think Unknown Speaker 21:25a lot of videos of penguins loose in zoos looking at the fish for them all sounds pretty good. Unknown Speaker 21:32I think my favourite good news story was the directive from ISIS that came out through the way Unknown Speaker 21:41ISIS put out a press release banning the Unknown Speaker 21:47suicide bombers from going to Europe because obviously, you know, Venice, probably beautiful but you know, even all h&s sit up today. They've ended it. If terrorists you go into Europe Unknown Speaker 22:03you don't want to you know, blow off a building while you're feeling a bit snotty in the nose there Unknown Speaker 22:10is a one way ticket surely I don't quite know what they're saying. Unknown Speaker 22:16And then I believe the the mayor of Baltimore has ordered everyone to stop shooting each other so they can. So they can create rooms for in the hospitals for covered victims. So I think they'll be a massive downturn in street violence until we run out of toilet paper and then there'll be a massive upturn in street violence. Dan Ilic 22:37Well, Arnold Schwarzenegger has been making great content from his home he's been advocating for social distancing you may have seen earlier in the week him feeding his ponies inside his home. Here is one of him sitting in a sitting in a in a hot tub, smoking a cigar giving some very good advice. Unknown Speaker 22:55I just finished a bike ride and a little bit of workout and I just didn't keep staying at home all the way from the crowd and away from outside. The reason why I'm saying that is because I still see photographs and videos of people sitting outside compares all over the world and having a good time and hanging out in crowds. That is not wise, because that's how you can get the virus. That's how you get it, like contact with other people. So stay away from crowds stay away from being in restaurants and outdoor cafes, especially now it's springtime, all the kids are going to the beach and celebrate and drink and all that stuff. This is not a good idea to stay away from the crowd, go home, and then we can overcome this whole problem. This whole virus in no time, but you got to go and follow those orders. Just remember, stay at home. Don't go go to crowds, but they took it down. Dan Ilic 23:55Think he's been incredibly responsible. He is the most responsible vendor out there. I've been trying to tell my mom to stay away from her church and stop going to the shops. But she just ignores me She completely says she says, you young people are too worried we're at church and we're not coughing over each other. The upside of that is I can say my inheritance will be coming a little bit earlier than I expected, but it's silver linings, a silver lining, how do we convince how do we convince our parents that they should be staying home kalon that there's a property that they can buy inside their already existing property? Unknown Speaker 24:33negatively? Unknown Speaker 24:38Many negatively, Unknown Speaker 24:41that it just sort of folds in on itself, and then they'll never leave. They'll always be searching for that next property that we can't have Unknown Speaker 24:49a good excuse for them to be more xenophobic, because then they can blame someone for them. Having to be Dan Ilic 24:57I hate to tell this story, but my mom, you very quietly xenophobic. whenever she's telling anecdotes she will dip her voice whenever she has to name the race of the person in the anecdote so she'll be like, and then at the shops I saw, man and he just went. Well, that's nice Alicia, Alicia blunting is xenophobia. Unknown Speaker 25:18My mom went from complete and utter coronavirus denial to full blown prepper in 24 hours. So I had a quiet word to use. Unknown Speaker 25:26What was the turning point? Because I'm curious. Yeah. Cuz a lot of Berman's like everything's fine. And then they turn what was the feed for them? Unknown Speaker 25:32I pointed out she was letting me down. You know, I was going on TV and radio and telling everybody all this stuff. And she was basically making me look like a fool for ignoring me. And, you know, no mom wants to embarrass this unlike that. I was talking to a girl and she's gone from, you know, you need to teach the kids how to grow their own food they need to know how to so she went right back to full on 1930s self sustaining skills. Can she talk to my mom, we can swap numbers. Unknown Speaker 25:57I think the main thing the responsibility for all of us to do Is share our netflix possible with our parents. Unknown Speaker 26:05My mom the shares with me. Dan Ilic 26:10I'm just trying to do as many irrational fear podcasts as we can because I know as a passionate subscriber, we make a lot of money. We'll just keep listening and you'll never be able to leave the house. Thank you, Margot harbour. Thank you very much. A little later on comedian back Melrose will join us to do a type five from her cancelled Melbourne Comedy Festival shot. But I don't know if you heard this. Earlier this week. Alan Jones compared the corona virus to climate change claiming it was a high experimentally yesterday and clarified a few things. Good morning everyone. A lot of people have suggested to me that I'm not taking Corona virus seriously enough by comparing it to the hopes of climate change. Oh, God. Well, let me tell you Cova 19 as they're calling it, that some sort of scientist or something Ah God, nerds. kovat 19 is a hoax much like carbon dioxide. I haven't seen it with my own eyes so it doesn't exist. And my eyesight is very good, like posted on the door on the other side of my Southern Highlands studio where I'm broadcasting from for the next six months for no reason in particular, I could read a sign that says warning stay 1.5 metres away from this door. Nothing to do with coronavirus I've just got to keep the home studio sounding crystal clear. Don't want some sort of goose coming in here squawking at me, and I'm not talking about any easy God. Now my good friend Scott Morrison has just told me you must stop panic buying it's clearly an Australian Well let me tell you something. He got something wrong there. The only thing you should be panic buying is my new album, Alan Jones's songs for a life of isolation. Got me Alan Jones singing all of your favourites like oh bye bye Unknown Speaker 28:00Don't want to pay Oh Unknown Speaker 28:07give us a call the open line Unknown Speaker 28:10wonderful. Don't forget that classic don't don't Unknown Speaker 28:16don't sketch show close to me. And how about a cheeky Jewett? You give me feed Unknown Speaker 28:25when you kiss me fever when you hold me tight Unknown Speaker 28:32in the morning fever all throughout Unknown Speaker 28:35the night taken away Anthony Kalia Dan Ilic 28:38god what a voice wait till you hear him sing our water voice. We had to do it on Skype but still you get the idea so don't believe what you read. There is no Corona virus. If you can't see it, it doesn't exist a bit like the Bledisloe Cup. I've never seen it so we've never lost it. All ballad joads Alan Jones there. Unknown Speaker 28:58That's right. I haven't I haven't been travelling work for a few weeks but I feel like I just had a nice taxi ride to the airport. That was fantastic. Dan Ilic 29:04irrational fear and I haven't touched my face in weeks and weeks since the Melbourne International Comedy Festival has been cancelled I thought wouldn't be great to get some of our comedy Friends of the show to come and do their best tight five from the cancel shows that they can't perform in Melbourne and coronavirus is really knocked that right out of the park. Now we have to do it on Google Hangouts, but we're going to try it anyway. I thought we'd get back Melrose to give it a go since she's gonna be on the show on irrational fear next week, I thought what better way to get her to come on the show but do a bit of a warm up by doing her best High Five from her cats of Melbourne, Melbourne Comedy Festival show. So ladies and gentlemen without any further ado back Mel rose. Unknown Speaker 29:51Hello are legends. How are we doing? Dan Ilic 29:53Yeah, well. Unknown Speaker 29:55Good, good. Unknown Speaker 29:57Nice crowd work. Unknown Speaker 30:01What I do for a living? Unknown Speaker 30:03I thought I do. I'm the top five of my office gear because some I thought I wrote that thinking it'd be evergreen and I'd be able to use it forever, but we don't have offices anymore. So I might as well give it a run. Unknown Speaker 30:17Please come straight from work. Give us a word. Yeah, Unknown Speaker 30:23that's all right. Don't worry. Unknown Speaker 30:25What's blocked isn't it? I've just started working in an office so my zest for life is draining faster than the Murray Darling I can assure you No one's talking to one another like human beings in the office. There's all this jargon and buzzwords and shit that get in the white. My favourite one they use it my work is as per my last email. Have we heard this? Unknown Speaker 30:49A power move. As per my last email. It's the closest you can get to saying Fuck off. You grow up at work, isn't it? Unknown Speaker 31:00As per my last name I haven't got the confidence to use as per my last name I like 50 Bernie brown TED Talks short of the conference it takes to use as per my last email but there's so much of this bizarre language at work I kept hearing my boss say well why don't you give that project to back she's got capacity but once we got one over the back she's got capacity pass that over the back she's got capacity Unknown Speaker 31:25to fucking Tupperware container Unknown Speaker 31:28absolutely ridiculous. And everyone works worried about AI taking their jobs robots taking our jobs. I'm not that worried yet. I've seen the test online to prove you're not a robot. I reckon it's I can't check a box. So pick out a bridge in a lineup. I don't reckon they'll be coming for our jobs anytime soon. But even when they do, like my job, I don't give a shit. Let's see you try and machine learn your way through the social obstacle course. passive aggressive If kitchen signs we did set in my office had a sign above another sign that said read the sign. Unknown Speaker 32:11Never mind a robot that shit would short circuit a robot. Unknown Speaker 32:16We are decades away from developing the kind of technology that's going to be able to definitely navigate pretending to give a fuck about nails weekend's No, but we can do the same argument about I don't mean that it's going to save us so much time. So what we're just going to find more bullshit to fill the time with anyway. All the time we saved not having to turn our own butter that bought a training time just dissolved in extra weeks in a single generation. But my boss has been trying to get in a roll up but my work amongst a spate of redundancies and he kept trying to get us to do a sweep for the last races and no one was ever came. And I felt kind of sorry for him. So All right, so I printed out photos of everyone in the office and put us all into a little bowl. You're about to pick someone out. Unknown Speaker 33:08Now we just have to wait and see who gets the next redundancy. Unknown Speaker 33:13Someone's gone home with a hammer. Someone's kids aren't going to Disneyland this year. But we'll pull it ourselves a glass of yellow and we filed into the boardroom watch the real race unfold. It's a beautiful day for it. The race it stops a nation the crow's nest regional office redundancy cop. Janet from accounts is playing up in the barriers and what do you know what Alan the it lead made it to the start after having every Monday off for the last financial quarter. Unknown Speaker 33:45It is a miracle. Unknown Speaker 33:48They're all in. The lights are on set. Unknown Speaker 33:52Racing in the crow's nest regional office redundancy copy combo from comms is started strong closely followed by as per my last email Do you have five for a quick chat and Kathleen What do you even do? They round the corner and who called the unions coming down the outside buffeted by clearly the intern mansplain Mark has midfield on the rails just behind no before I've had my coffee and that's sort of my job description. Coming down the street is unsolicited neck massage on med KPI and some pre k my sandwich. Just a quick one for years going steady. Peter from risk is yelling, but nobody's listening. Hop ahead to For God's sake. Rob, why do you have the microwave? Oh, we've had a fall. It's clearly the intern. Clearly the interns broken down at the 650 and Neil says millennials just can't hack it in the workplace off the road. Deborah the gender and diversity lady is going strong having a renaissance in relevance off to some dodgy comments were made at the Christmas party. Janet from accounts hasn't wasted energy on a single smile as they had for him and he called the union's out in front of Monday morning small talk common from concert Oh, good birthday song. But he comes accidental reply Oh, accidental reply. Oh, Challenge by Rich Craig left jr in the lunchroom 350 to go in the crow's nest regional office, redundancy kaput, it's over called the union number called the union. Kathleen What do you even do and get fucked at smartcard, but who's this coming down the outside? It's the favourite wrench reparations is the line down the outside. He's not going anywhere. He plays tennis with the chairman. He's utterly useless and he's here to stay at wrench taking out the crow's nest regional office redundancy cop. hoffa had to wake on fire the CEO and a further third between should have stayed in Union I'm useless but the director is my uncle. Unknown Speaker 35:34Thanks, guys. Thanks very much. My I lost my job but I did want a hand. Dan Ilic 35:41You can't say back Melrose at the Melbourne International Comedy Festival tickets are not on sale now. Well, we're gonna be back weekly with irrational fear since our Comedy Festival show isn't going so please hit us up on Patreon give us a few bucks a month. Also FBI Radio where we normally record this needs your help. So please go to FBI radio.com for slash donate and give them a few bucks particularly if you live in Sydney and you love independent radio and and great music Special thanks to this episode to Rupert de gas Jacob Brown, FBI radio, Darren Saunders Lewis haba, Rose Piper, Dillon, Bain and the wonderful Beck Melrose. Unknown Speaker 36:25News guys. Dan Ilic 36:27Thanks so much. We'll leave you with the latest news fighters on the coronavirus Dylan Do you want to introduce it? Unknown Speaker 36:34Sorry coronavirus I actually did it on the NBA March Madness. No one I haven't haven't. Unknown Speaker 36:44What's coronavirus? Unknown Speaker 36:47This is new spiders. Unknown Speaker 36:52So you don't have to. One of the Unknown Speaker 36:54great things about the current age of having internet and social media is being able to watch your favourite celebrity breakdown over the corona virus pandemic in real time. sama handling it better than others he is rapid kadhi Bay who had her to a cancelled Unknown Speaker 37:09guess why because Corona Corona virus is this Unknown Speaker 37:19Corona virus shake on me like a couple of weeks after she was gonna be a couple of months after she let me know soccer star motherfucking backing up all foods a man clear so a bass can move to motherfucking Antarctica which once again cardi Bay the voice of reason in an age of confusion. Meanwhile, Arnold Schwarzenegger is living his best life hanging out at home with Danny DeVito. Oh, no, wait, sorry. That's a miniature horse. Unknown Speaker 37:45Luna loves carrots. Whiskey loves carrots. I just said my little bitter vegan food. Oh, that was yummy. Hmm. I just had a fantastic broker that the house amount, Jim. Unknown Speaker 37:58Yeah, I am at home. Take Michiko Both hills stoeger Unknown Speaker 38:05finished a bike ride and a little bit of workout and I just you know keep staying at home. Unknown Speaker 38:10Yes Do like on a stay at home, but maybe don't smoke a cigar I think we might need your lungs to be as healthy as possible. Meanwhile, Michael Stipe from REM isn't coping too well. It's the end of the world as we know it. And I feel stop trying to help Michael Stipe And don't you dare pivot to that shiny happy people bullshit either. We need you to stay calm in this time of crisis. Now a lot of musicians are getting in on holding online quarantine concepts, including Chris Martin of Coldplay whose music is like coronavirus for your ears. Unknown Speaker 38:49They were Oh Unknown Speaker 38:52look, I'm not trying to say that keyboard sounded bad but geez I think the audio is better on Keyboard Cat Just when things couldn't look any worse, Willie Nelson son Lucas hates us about the years with the biggest cliche he could reach for. Unknown Speaker 39:22Now look, if any government out there is listening Scott Morrison Trump bars Angela Merkel, the UN who I don't care, please Institute an immediate indefinite ban on performances of hallelujah. This is actually a policy I've been pushing for years long before Corona virus but this is the time we can make it happen. Meanwhile, Aussies returning home from overseas are going to be facing two weeks of self isolation. And most of them seem to be handling it pretty well. Yeah, just gonna lock myself in and just have some kinds for kotlin eyes. Unknown Speaker 39:53You're gonna spend the next two weeks again thanks Unknown Speaker 40:04Okay, that's news five is an irrational fear to listen to the full episode, subscribe to news fighters on your podcasting app or check us out at news fighters calm. I'm Dylan Bane. Keep washing your hands and bye for now. Unknown Speaker 40:16This is News spiders where we find the news. So you don't have to Transcribed by https://otter.ai A Rational Fear on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/ARationalFear See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

  This episode is sponsored by SHUG THE DUG PRODUCTIONS   Hello and welcome to Film Pro Productivity, the podcast that helps film professionals and other creatives to live a more focused, effective and HAPPY life. My name is Carter Ferguson and this is EPISODE 43 – THE LAW OF SUCCESS IN 16 LESSONS: PART 4   So yes, this is the fourth part of my series on Napoleon Hill’s powerful book and if you’ve not yet heard the previous parts then I’d strongly advise you to go back and check out episodes 40 through 42 first before listening to this one. My aim is to give you a fleeting glimpse of the power that lies within the book ad to open your mind to the possibilities that lie within its pages.   Now I won’t always identify sections of quoted text within this episode purely for streamlining purposes, but much of the content is my interpretation or direct quotation of NAPOLEON HILL. The main change I make is in neutralising the gender every now and again because I want to make the lessons as accessible and relevant for today’s audience as Hill intended it to be in 1928. Clothes and manners do not make the man; but when he is made, they greatly improve his appearance. Arthur Ashe UNQUOTE WHATEVER THE MIND CAN CONCEIVE AND BELIEVE THE MIND CAN ACHIEVE   This is a very big episode with a veritable Aladdin’s cave of new ideas, observations and advice. I would give this next lesson an episode of its own if I could but instead what I’d advise you to do is pause between the lessons or listen again to take it all in. I have augmented it with additional information from Hill’s 1954 film as it adds a lot to the equation which the original book leaves out. Hang on to your breeks and stand by. This is…   LESSON 10 – A PLEASING PERSONALITY: Here, Hill encourages us to arrange the outward appearance through which the nature of our personality is expressed, SO THAT IT WILL ATTRACT AND NOT REPEL. He wants us to realise that our personalities can become what he calls master salesmen working on our behalf. If we look at successful people and wonder how they managed it, but overlook the importance of analyzing their methods and the price they had to pay in careful, well-organized preparation and presentation - then we are NOT seeing the full picture.   Hill kicks all this off by describing PERSONALITY as the sum of our characteristics and appearances which distinguish us from all others. The clothes we wear, the lines on our face, the tone of our voice and the thoughts we think ALL CONSTITUTE PARTS OF OUR PERSONALITY and by far the most important part of our personality - is the part that is not visible - OUR CHARACTER.   Whether your personality is attractive or not, of course, is another matter. Italian designer Alessandro Michele says “The way you dress is an expression of your personality.” And that’s yet another point that Hill makes in this chapter. He says the same thing my mum did when I was going for a job interview or meeting someone for the first time, that people form first impressions of you from your outward appearance. I highlight this here as a reminder to us all, that things like this matter, maybe not TO YOU, but to the people you meet and work with. Whether you like it or not, if you want to increase your chances of being successful you can start by dressing in a way that attracts and doesn’t repel success. This doesn’t have to be a suit and tie of course, just appropriately for the world in which you live and work, and thinking about what would be most likely to bring you success in that environment.   Hill touches on this topic in his lesson on enthusiasm, where he talks about being able to wear WEAR NICE CLOTHES and how it will make you feel better and be more enthusiastic. There he explains that IF YOU LOOK LIKE A MILLION BUCKS, YOU'LL FEEL LIKE A MILLION BUCKS, and you will quite likely FIND YOURSELF AROUND A MILLION BUCKS. The opposite is also true, of course, and this is to be avoided. I love these little, but incredibly telling, observations and this book is full of them.   He takes the time to talk about elements of success that no one would tell you to your face and so next he goes into personal hygene. YOU SIMPLY WON’T BE SUCCESSFUL IF YOU SMELL LIKE A RATS BACKSIDE. Wash yourself, wear deodorant, brush your teeth, use mouthwash and if you know you have a problem with sweat or bad breath or whatever - carry the things you need to stay clean and smell good with you. Whether you like it or not, and none of us particularly like it, you also need to regularly attend the dentist. Knowing your teeth are cared for and that problems with them are fixed, gives you much increased confidence. That confidence will be the key for you to open more doors to success. Ya know what I do almost every day? I wash. Personal hygiene is part of the package with me. Jim Carrey UNQUOTE Hill devotes a considerable amount of page space to something I’ve only vaguely ever thought about - the art of SHAKING HANDS. He believed that it forms an important part of our personality and points out that, like so many other things outlined here, it is an art which can be cultivated. Every trait which goes into your personality, he explains, is under your control and you can improve it so it will be whatever you want it to be.   Helen Keller was the first deaf-blind person to earn a Bachelor of Arts degree. Touch to her was a truly vital sense. She said – “The hands of those I meet are dumbly eloquent to me. The touch of some hands is an impertinence. I have met people so empty of joy, that when I clasped their frosty finger-tips, it seemed as if I were shaking hands with a northeast storm. Others there are whose hands have sunbeams in them, so that their grasp warms my heart. It may be only the clinging touch of a child's hand; but there is as much potential sunshine in it for me as there is in a loving glance for others. A hearty handshake or a friendly letter gives me genuine pleasure.” I have occasionally shaken someone’s hand only to feel it collapse under my light but firm grip. I describe such handshakes as fish-fingers which amuses me greatly but I admit it leaves me with a feeling of discomfort with the person who’s squishy fish finger hand I have just shaken. Hill explains his feelings on this one as follows, “ If there is anything which leaves me flat and unfavourably impressed when I'm introduced it's an extended hand which feels like a piece of cold ham”. There’s also the hand crusher, the person that catches you unexpectedly in an iron like grip that breaks bones. I looked this up on google. Littlethings.com says The Crusher is a handshake that is all about power and aggression.   Shaking hands is a lost art of prosperity which is surely worth a little of our twenty-first-century consideration. Napoleon Hill says, in general, that you should make your handshake firm and vibrant and that if you merely permit the other person to shake your limp, cold, lifeless hand, you are displaying what constitutes a negative personality. And I’m very well aware that today’s society would encourage us to dismiss all this other stuff because it’s what’s inside that counts, OUR CHARACTER, but we would be remiss to not consider the outer elements through which others will perceive and judge us as this is, after all, a series of lectures about SUCCESS. What’s inside is not the only thing that counts. It just counts more than anything else…   And so again Hill gives examples in this chapter of how external appearances, manners, a firm handshake or a gentle and mesmerizing voice when presented by salespeople have won him over and how if these salespeople with pleasing personalities were to visit him again he would happily sit down and listen for three-quarters of an hour enjoying their company. I’ve certainly experienced this myself. He gives examples so that we can learn from them and cultivate our own personality traits. This is something which he covers too in Lesson 7 Enthusiasm. We continue to shape our personality all our life. If we knew ourselves to be perfect, we should die. Albert Camus UNQUOTE I’ll post a youtube link in the show notes to show a great example of personality in sales so go check it out. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6EuA6hvDjg0&t=44s   Hill warns that cheap flattery has just the opposite effect. It repels instead of attracting. Analyze anone, he says, WHO DOES NOT HAVE A PLEASING PERSONALITY and you will find lacking in the faculties of Imagination and co-operation.   This lesson emphasizes at length the importance of making it your business to take a keen interest in other people and their work, to cultivate and work on your personality, and to be aware of your outward appearance. This is simply not something that is discussed these days, other than perhaps a mother nagging a child about looking smart, but I find it all quite intriguing as if we can consider it when others do not, it will give us the edge we may need to achieve success.   This year, for the first time ever, I had shirts and hoodies made up with fightdirector.com and Get Carter on them. I used to joke about having to prove myself on film sets on which I don’t know many people, that I should maybe have my CV printed on my T Shirt or a picture of me holding our Cineworld Audience Award at the BAFTAS, as some people try to sideline you as soon as meet you as they go through life offering up little or no respect to others. I’ve noticed now that things have changed. People ask me for my number far more often and proving myself to be competent when meeting new crews seems no longer to be a problem. It’s a fascinating subject this, and that’s why I’m giving it a bit more time.   Hill, himself, commits considerable time to character building through rigid self-discipline, self-control and autosuggestion. He provides a formula for character building and lists the factors that make a good personality. Here are just a few. · Your mental attitude is the most important trait of your personality. This is a trait with which you attract people to you and cause them to like you or repel them and cause them to dislike you. This is something Hill went into earlier on in the Enthusiasm lesson and which permeates the whole book. · The next most important trait of your personality consists of your flexibility of your mental attitude or your lack of it. If you have flexibility you adjust yourself to all the circumstances without losing your composure or allowing yourself to become irritable or angry. This is one I find easier to adopt the older I get. It’s a difficult skill to master though and I am still a novice. Hill explains here that you cannot control the actions of other people which might justify you becoming irritated by them but YOU CAN CONTROL YOUR REACTION to all such circumstances by exercising your trait of flexibility. · The third most important trait of a pleasing personality is the ability to control and direct your enthusiasm. Enthusiasm is one of the means by which you can give force to your words but you must be able to turn it on or off at will as definitely as you can turn on and off the water at the tap. Uncontrolled enthusiasm often makes people boresome. It also allows others to enter and influence you in ways you do not wish to be influenced. That’s an interesting observation – tagged in almost as a throwaway. Don’t get carried away by your enthusiasm and find yourself committed to another’s purpose. Stay on Target. Remember your DEFINITE CHIEF AIM. · The fourth most important trait of a pleasing personality is SINCERITY OF PURPOSE. The person who is not sincere with others is soon detected and rejected because no one is attracted to the person who deceives others. Possibly my favourite quote of Hill’s is this “Sincerity is one quality of character which cannot be successfully faked: Not even by the most astute rascal or the most efficient actor.”   I’ll end with a list of DESTRUCTIVE HABITS which Hill explains will limit our success. · One of the most destructive habits which make one's personality objectionable is that of BREAKING IN AND RUNNING AWAY WITH THE CONVERSATION when others are speaking. · Next, SARCASM expressed by insinuations and wisecracks which are not so wise is near the head of the list of habits which you give you a negative personality · and third VANITY expressed by either words or actions is sure to make one unpopular. · Fourth, INDIFFERENCE in listening while others are speaking is sure to be noticed and resented. It is more profitable to be a good listener than it is to be a good talker because you are always apt to learn something while listening to others but never will learn anything from hearing yourself. · Five. The attempt to FLATTER WHERE FLATTERY IS OBVIOUSLY NOT DESERVED will bring quick resentment from others and if they are wise that the flatterer wants something they will ensure perhaps you should not get it. · Six. The habit of FINDING FAULT WITH THE WORLD AT LARGE AND PEOPLE IN GENERAL is never very popular habit and it is no part of a pleasing personality. It is far better to direct conversation to the circumstances and things which are right than to complain of those which one believes to be wrong. · Seven. One of the very worst habits is that of OPENLY AND DIRECTLY CHALLENGING THOSE WITH WHOM ONE MAY NOT AGREE, where there is no obvious reason for doing so, except the desire to be on the opposite side. Oh I know a few people that just can’t resist an argument and it’s something on which today’s internet fed populace just thrives. For me it just feels like a waste of mental energy. Energy that can be placed elsewhere - into more positive action. · …and Eight. The habit of VOLUNTEERING UNSOLICITED ADVICE to others who have not requested it can make one an intolerable bore. Free advice usually is considered to be worth just what it costs - which is nothing but the patience with which to listen to it · …and Nine THE HABIT OF SPEAKING OF ONE'S PHYSICAL AILMENTS and personal problems may be tolerated by others but this habit will never make one welcome or pleasing. · Ten. The habit of ENDEAVORING TO CONVEY AN IMPRESSION OF SUPERIORITY through the use of words and topics unfamiliar to others is a sure fire destroyer of popularity. · 11 ENVY OF THOSE WHO ARE SUCCESSFUL is a trait which destroys a pleasing personality. The truly great men and women have all been known to be generous, sympathetic and joyous in connection with the good fortunes of others. · Twelve. SLOVENLINESS - in body posture and in clothing never attract but always repels others. Carelessness in body courage and posture is immediately traceable to a negative mental attitude. OK, I must move on, but I’ll end with this. Hill says that before you can make full use of the MASTER KEY TO SUCCESS you will need to make your personality pleasing. This will require courage on your part and honesty with yourself. A PLEASING PERSONALITY STANDS NEAR THE HEAD OF THE LIST OF ASSETS WHICH WILL MAKE ONE TRULY RICH. WHATEVER THE MIND CAN CONCEIVE AND BELIEVE THE MIND CAN ACHIEVE. Accuracy builds credibility. Jim Rohn UNQUOTE LESSON 11 - ACCURATE THOUGHT: In this lesson we learn to sort "facts" from "information", and use AUTO-SUGGESTION in conjunction with FOCUSED THOUGHT. In a gun fight... Fast is fine, but accuracy is everything. You need to take your time in a hurry. Wyatt Earp UNQUOTE Hill straight off the bat warns us that unless you study this lesson with an open mind, you will miss the very key-stone to the arch of this course, and without this stone, you can never complete your Temple of Success. I’d add too that without accurate thought you’re going nowhere.   This is not WOOLY THOUGHT or BELIEF IN YOUR OWN HYPE or GULLIBLE THOUGHT. It’s ACCURATE THOUGHT and it involves two fundamentals which all who indulge in it must observe. · First, to think accurately you must separate facts from mere information. There is much "information" available to you that is not based upon facts. Don’t believe everything you hear on the internet, ABRAHAM LINCOLN, UNQUOTE · Second, you must separate facts into two classes; the IMPORTANT and the UNIMPORTANT, or, the RELEVANT and the IRRELEVANT. Only by so doing can you think clearly. So… · All facts which will aid you to any extent whatsoever in the attainment of your definite chief aim are important and relevant; · All that you cannot use are unimportant and irrelevant. I’ve covered PRIORITISING before many times with things like the focus funnel and the Eisenhower matrix so this shouldn’t be anything new to the regular listener. Focusing on the stuff that really matters is encapsulated very well in that quote of Peter Drucker who says “It is fundamentally the confusion between effectiveness and efficiency that stands between doing the right things and doing things right. There is surely nothing quite so useless as doing with great efficiency that which should not be done at all.” I have given this quote before as it’s a terrific pointer in the world of productivity.   The phrase WORK SMARTER NOT HARDER possibly originates here in The Law Of Success where Hill writes in regard to successful people that “Far from working harder than you, they are perhaps working less and with greater ease by virtue of their having learned the secret of separating the important facts from the unimportant”   Hill goes on to talk about other factors in ACCURATE THINKING as he talks about idle gossip and believing what one reads in the papers. This is so true about today’s world of FAKE NEWS and INTERNET FACTS that it could have been written this morning. He warns us too to accept that loose unsound opinions van be mistaken for accurate thinking but that most opinions are without value because they are based on bias, prejudice, intolerance, guesswork, hearsay evidence and out-and-out ignorance.   He goes on “the ACCURATE THINKER will not accept as such all that he sees and hears for the reason that it constitutes the rocks and reefs on which so many people flounder and go down to defeat in a bottomless ocean of false conclusions.”   Hill who trained as a lawyer talks of A principle called “the law of evidence; the object of this law is to get at the facts. Any judge can proceed with justice to all concerned if they have the facts upon which to base their judgment, but they may play havoc with innocent people if they circumvent the law of evidence and reach a conclusion or judgment that is based upon hearsay information.”   Hill points out that “The more successful a person is the less they are inclined to express wild unjustified opinions about anything – He warns us that often people he refers to as DRIFTERS or FAILURES have an assortment of opinions on about everything you can imagine”   In Hill’s 1954 address he gives us a simple rule to help us avoid being misled by unsound opinions expressed by other people. When you hear someone make a statement which your reason cannot accept or which you question or should for safety sake question for any reason whatsoever, ask this simple forward question. HOW DO YOU KNOW? Stand firm on that question and either force the speaker to identify the source from which he got the information he is endeavouring to pass on as facts or reject the statement entirely as if it had not been made. Do this no matter who is speaking or what may be his reputation for truth and veracity. Accuracy is twin brother to honesty, and inaccuracy to dishonesty. Nathaniel Hawthorne UNQUOTE Hill warns us too that “…it is true that most thinking of today, far from being accurate, is based upon the sole foundation of expediency. It is amazing how many people there are who are "honest" when it is profitable to them, but find myriads of facts to justify themselves in following a dishonest course when that course seems to be more profitable or advantageous.” An example of this may be the directors of companies that give themselves massive bonuses just before their companies collapse, leaving their former employees crying in the streets. Some, usually fair people, will simply lie through their teeth if it is advantageous to them to do so. Thomas Jefferson reminds us all “Whenever you do a thing, act as if all the world were watching.” So remember that the accurate thinker deals with facts, regardless of how they affect his own interests, for he knows that ultimately this policy will bring him out on top, in full possession of the object of his definite chief aim in life.   Other points of interest within this lesson include: · If one man slanders another, his remarks should be accepted, if of any weight at all, with at least a grain of the proverbial salt of caution; for it is a common human tendency for men to find nothing but evil in those whom they do not like. · The moment a man or a woman begins to assume leadership in any walk of life, the slanderers begin to circulate "rumors" and subtle whisperings reflecting upon his or her character. The slanderers killed both Harding and Wilson, he says - murdered them with vicious lies. They did the same to Lincoln, only in a somewhat more spectacular manner, by inciting a fanatic to hasten his death with a bullet. This was written 90 odd years ago remember… Could have been written yesterday. · Here again and throughout the book, Hill goes into a long section about auto suggestion, which I briefly touched upon before. It’s a valuable thing. It uses what we know perhaps as VISUALISATION and AFFIRMATIONS to move us towards our DEFINITE CHIEF AIM. As a reminder - Write out a clear, concise statement of that which you intend to accomplish, as your definite chief aim, covering a period of, let us say, the next five years. Make at least two copies of your statement, one to be placed where you can read it several times a day, while you are at work, and the other to be placed in the room where you sleep, where it can be read several times each evening before you go to sleep and just after you arise in the morning. This is how Hill introduced us to the power of auto-suggestion on our own minds at the start of the book. · As an accurate thinker, it is both your privilege and your duty to avail yourself of facts, even though you must go out of your way to get them. If you permit yourself to be swayed to and fro by all manner of information that comes to your attention, you will never become an accurate thinker; AND IF YOU DO NOT THINK ACCURATELY, YOU CANNOT be sure of attaining your DEFINITE CHIEF AIM in life. Finally, I believe that this quote sums up much of the lesson in one sentence – let it guide you "I do not believe I can afford to deceive others - I know I cannot afford to deceive myself!" This must be the motto of the accurate thinker. Don't believe the hype. Wyclef Jean UNQUOTE WHATEVER THE MIND CAN CONCEIVE AND BELIEVE THE MIND CAN ACHIEVE “One reason so few of us achieve what we truly want is that we never direct our focus; we never concentrate our power. Most people dabble their way through life, never deciding to master anything in particular.” Tony Robbins UNQUOTE LESSON 12 - CONCENTRATION: Learn to fix your attention on a given subject, at will, for whatever length of time you choose, and you will have learned the secret passage-way to power and plenty! THIS IS CONCENTRATION!   The dictionary defines concentration as “the action or power of focusing all one's attention.” but Hill takes this much further and attributes CONCENTRATION to be what he calls THE MAGIC KEY OF SUCCESS. “Concentration, in the sense in which it is used here, means the ability, through fixed habit and practice, to keep your mind on one subject until you have thoroughly familiarized yourself with and mastered it. It means the ability to control your attention and focus it on a given problem until you have solved it.”   Hill devotes a considerable amount of time in this lesson to environment, to habits, and to memory. I won’t go into all of this but it’s an interesting reading nonetheless. I’d just say on the topic of environment though that when my office or home is untidy, it is usually representative of the state of my mind. Getting on top of housework or office tasks, in the sense of cleaning up your environment, will, in the end, make you more productive. You can't break a bad habit by throwing it out the window. You've got to walk it slowly down the stairs. Mark Twain UNQUOTE Defined another way, Hill’s CONCENTRATION is the ability to THROW OFF THE EFFECTS OF BAD HABITS, and the POWER TO BUILD NEW HABITS THAT ARE MORE TO YOUR LIKING. It means COMPLETE SELF-MASTERY. · The ability to think as you wish to think; · The ability to control your thoughts and direct them to a definite end; · And the ability to organize your knowledge into a plan of action that is sound and workable. As a productivity podcaster this is a virtual snapshot of probably about 40 or 50% of all of the advice that’s out there about getting things done.   For Napoleon Hill “DESIRE” is the starting point of all achievement and he states that AMBITION and DESIRE are the chief factors which enter into the act of successful concentration. Without them, he says, the Magic Key, or CONCENTRATION, is useless.   And he says we must not underestimate the power of CONCENTRATION just because it did not come clothed in mysticism or because it is described in simple language. All great truths are simple in final analysis, and easily understood; if they are not they are not great truths.   Use this Magic Key with intelligence, and only for the attainment of worthy ends, and it will bring you enduring happiness and success. Forget the mistakes you have made and the failures you have experienced. Quit living in the past, for do you not know that your yesterdays never return? Start all over again, if your previous efforts have not turned out well, and make your next five or ten years tell a story of success that will satisfy your most lofty ambitions. Make a name for yourself and render the world a great service, through AMBITION, DESIRE and CONCENTRATED EFFORT!   You can do it if you BELIEVE you can!   Most people lack ambition, and desire nothing in particular, but if your DESIRE is strong and YOUR AMBITION within reason the MAGIC KEY OF CONCENTRATION will help you attain it.   No unbeliever, Hill warns us though, ever enjoyed the benefits of the Magic Key.   Summing Up   So I’ve covered a lot of ground today and it’s but a drop in the ocean of the content of the book. Let me recap though.   · LESSON 10 – A PLEASING PERSONALITY: His advice is have one, and if you don’t have one, cultivate one. Mediocrity does not care if you are pleasant or not. Success does. · LESSON 11 - ACCURATE THOUGHT: Separate facts from mere information. There is much "information" available to you that is not based upon facts. Then separate facts into two classes; the IMPORTANT and the UNIMPORTANT, or, the RELEVANT and the IRRELEVANT. All facts which will aid you to any extent whatsoever in the attainment of your definite chief aim are important and relevant; All that you cannot use are unimportant and irrelevant. · LESSON 12 - CONCENTRATION: "Concentration is the act of focusing the mind upon a given desire until the ways and means for its realization have been worked out and successfully put into operation"   Call To Action   The easiest person to deceive is one's self. Edward Bulwer-Lytton UNQUOTE One of the many important points I covered today was about accurate thought - Don’t get bogged down in your own hype and don’t deceive yourself. If you have been failing to achieve success in something, I want you to answer this question. Why? Once you know this, you have a chance at solving the problem. That’s today’s call to action.   Ending   The next episode will be the penultimate in this series within series 3 about the LAW OF SUCCESS. I hope you’ll join me for more mind expanding lessons from Napoleon Hill’s incredible book. In the show notes this week I’m going to make available for download the audio from a film that Mr Hill made in 1954 – I’m not sure how though, but it will be there. If I can figure out the legalities of it I’ll make it available as part of the podcast too. By 1954 Hill had refined his laws of success quite considerably and it’s an interesting listen.   Lastly I’d like to thank James at Shug The Dug Productions for sponsoring the last two shows. It is very much appreciated.   It’s been another long one so let’s end now with a final thought from the late Stephen Keshi: People don't have to believe in you for you to succeed. Just work hard, and when you succeed, THEY WILL BELIEVE. Now - take control of your own destiny, keep on shootin’, join me next time on Film Pro Productivity.   • The music you can hear right now is Adventures by A Himitsu • You can view the show notes for this episode on the official website filmproproductivity.com • You can follow my personal account on Twitter and Instagram @fight_director or follow the show on Twitter @filmproprodpod or on Facebook @Filmproproductivity • Please support the show by subscribing, spreading the word and leaving an AWESOME review.   References: https://owlcation.com/humanities/The-Law-of-Success-by-Napoleon-Hill-A-Quick-Overview   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6EuA6hvDjg0&t=44s https://www.littlethings.com/what-your-handshake-says-about-you/4 https://genius.com/Wyclef-jean-killer-mc-interlude-lyrics Thanks: A Himitsu Music: Adventures by A Himitsu https://www.soundcloud.com/a-himitsuCreative Commons — Attribution 3.0 Unported— CC BY 3.0 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/b... Music released by Argofox https://www.youtu.be/8BXNwnxaVQE Music provided by Audio Library https://www.youtu.be/MkNeIUgNPQ8 ––– • Contact the artist: x.jonaz@gmail.com https://www.facebook.com/ahimitsuhttps://www.twitter.com/ahimitsu1 https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgFwu-j5-xNJml2FtTrrB3A

EP129 - Amazon Q1 Earnings Hot Take This episode is a hot take of the Amazon Q1 2018 earnings Amazon Q1 Earnings Highlights $51b, which is a 43% y/y increase - 39% constant currency,  27% ex- Whole Foods NA was up 46% y/y which drove $1.1b in profits (26% ex WFM) Intl was up 21% constant currency and lost $622m  AWS had a material acceleration up 48% y/y constant currency and profits were $1.4b Amazon Prime fee increasing to $119 (20% increase) Marketplace  52% 3P by Unit sales 3P Growing at 60% (constant currency) JMP GMV analysis-> 1P - $31b / 3P - $69b = $101B GMV Wingo GMV estimate -> 1p - $37b/ 3p - $66b = $103b GMV   Amazon Ads - $2B quarter 132% y/y growth (72% y/y growth before accounting change vs. 60% last quarter) Increasing possible Amazon becomes first $1 trillion dollar company Bezos Annual Letter 100M Paid Prime Members (likely 60M in N.A vs. 124M Households) Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 129 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Monday, April 30th 2018. Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. http://jasonandscot.com New beta feature - Google Automated Transcription of the show: Transcript Jason:  [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 129 being recorded on Monday April 30th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scot Wingo. Scot:  [0:39] Jason and welcome back Jason and Scott show listeners. [0:45] Will Fox tonight we want to focus on some Amazon news because there's been a lot of really big amazon news that his hit the wire in the last week or so and we've been. Bisley publishing are shoptalk interviews and wanted to interrupt the flow of those coming out so you get something a little more timely here and so that you know how to, did Justice Amazon news and think about what it means for your business Jason wants to kick it off. Jason:  [1:12] Yeah so two big events that we're going to talk about tonight early last week, Jeff Bezos released his annual shareholder letter and as we talked about several times on the show this something that he publishes every year he publishes one for the current year and he republish is the first one he wrote which is. 97 if I'm remembering right is that. Scot:  [1:34] That is correct. Jason:  [1:35] Ding ding and highly recommend you read the 97 one if you haven't, what will you talk about that a little bit later but then later in the week Amazon did their earnings announcement and tons of interesting things from both events so that's what we want to talk about tonight. Scot:  [1:57] Yes we're going to jump into the earnings let's look at the high-level and then we can kind of dig in so one thing that's kind of interesting is there's a new accounting standard coming out I know you're excited about this Jason. Jason:  [2:10] Oh my god I've been like my family have been on pins and needles for months waiting for this. Scot:  [2:14] It's a sit-down folks it's a it's a big one buckle up and so the. I know this because I am involved to the public company but the there's a group called The General accounting standard thingy Gap, and they have come out with a new way of recognizing Revenue that's called accounting standard 606 and this is. I'm packing all kinds of businesses one example of how it's impacted Amazon is. Amazon used to take Prime subscriptions and waited heavily towards the fourth quarter because that's when I got a lot of sign ups in this standard says you can't do that you have to allocate it, equally amongst quarters you can't do weighted averaging and things like that so it causes a little chaos and in the world of looking at these kind of results because you said we have apples and oranges so tonight on the show we will. [3:06] Do our best kind of straighten that out whenever it comes up but it's interesting just for folks to be aware of cuz you'll start to see some really weird numbers coming out and if you see the 606 that's a clue that just the rules are changing under underneath it's not the company doing some kind of weird shenanigans. So that being said. Best way to come to give us a $30,000 summary of Amazon's first quarter is it was a blowout quarter so not only did Amazon exceed pretty much every Wall Street expectation and its own kind of guidance but I watch even more closely is, the growth rates and pretty much every growth rate we track here at Jason Scott show is accelerated, which is pretty impressive so they had a very strong fourth quarter so to accelerate year-over-year coming off of 4th quarter. It's just pretty impressive it just shows they've they've kept a lot of momentum I'm also you know we haven't had prime day it's just kind of a few one kind of a normal. A kind of boring quarter to be honest with you in the world of e-commerce usually it's a breather quarter but Amazon you know it doesn't take breathers they just soaked up a bunch of Cher. So [4:13] The Lucy so we're going to talk about the marketplace briefly at but then when things you want to spend a little bit of time on is the ad business ever going to jump into that and worked at the show then we have in the past. Jason wants you kick ass off with the overall results and then we'll will dig into the marketplace. Jason:  [4:33] Yeah first thing that caught my attention was shortly after their announcement I saw like a Jim Cramer segment and he called this quarter for Amazon like the greatest quarterback company ever did you. Scot:  [4:47] I did that saw that yeah. Jason:  [4:49] He may be slightly front of hyperbole but that seems like kind of a big deal. Scot:  [4:53] He is prone to hyperbole my favorite is when he famously wrote on his knuckles Duke 600. Got turns out he was right but yeah so which is Facebook Amazon Netflix Google so he watches these stocks all pretty close. Jason:  [5:12] For sure for sure answer the first time we want to talk about is the growth and before I make the big reveal let's remind listeners like what kind of growth numbers are impressive so, in most cases you hear folks talk about the typical annual growth rate for e-commerce is around 15%, inter put that in perspective. [5:37] Good a brick-and-mortar retail growth right now is maybe 4% averages like 1% so 15%. Is much faster growth. Then retail is a whole already which is kind of impressive but the 15% number actually has some controversy that comes with it so. Most of the folks that site these 15% numbers in. They vary slightly so do you know if depending on whether you're getting in an RF number or a comscore number or a drug number from the US Department of Commerce 15 could be 17 or 16 in a lot of that has to do with. Their definition of retail exactly what categories are are in or not in their number. [6:22] But most of those companies based their estimates on Raw data from the US Department of Commerce and the 10 all come in with North American grow that right around 15% and so when we look at a company crossword kind of comparing it to that 15% number, I will say that most of the companies we tracked are growing substantially faster than that 15% in it. [6:46] Kind of throws that 15% in doubt you know it's so for example Amazon alone is. Right around 50% of all e-commerce you know arguably a bigger percentage of the growth some of the other big retailers Walmart and Target. Best Buy you know if all of those huge companies are growing at north of 15% it's it's actually hard to figure out how you land at 15%. In there there are some Economist that you know fine fall in the Department of Commerce is methodology for tracking e-commerce a also. I'll just throw that out there for your consideration but that being said. Amazon q1 number was 51 billion in Revenue which is a 43% year-over-year increased so. What you dramatically above that 15% if you take out currency fluctuation that's 39% it at the constant currency if you take out the Whole Foods acquisition they grew at 27%. In that the thing I like to remind people is usually we talk about. The biggest players in the industry and then we talked about the fastest growers in the industry so usually you're talking about you know. Company X maybe it's Walmart you know what they say the hugest percentage of the, the retail market and then you're talking about Warby Parker is the fastest growing or so it's it's extremely rare and you know frankly scary. [8:22] When we talked about Amazon in in eCommerce and we talked about them has both the the dramatic market leader and. One of the very fastest Growers. [8:35] So one thing I always like to remind people like whenever you see these kind of numbers you always get someone in the room pointing out that hey that's great but like, you know it's easy to grow when you're not profitable in your you're sort of buying buying market share and you know so there's this common diatribe that that. Amazon is funded by eight of us and now maybe the ads and that the the core retail part of their business isn't profitable. And I would really encourage people to sort of update their they're thinking on that there's unit significant evidence that most parts of the the retail business and mature markets. Are profitable their operating income this year this quarter increased 92% to 1.9 billion in the first quarter so if you back in the math. The. The bulk of that that growth came from the business in AWS so it is fair to make the argument that, those are the the fastest growing businesses in contributing the most to the revenue but you know remember the Jeff Bezos, always talks about revenue and profitability not being the the the, key success criteria and the fact that free cash flow is really wet at Amazon's trying to optimize for free cash flow bassist the the retail businesses is like the majority contributor to their revenue. Scot:  [10:06] Yeah that's a good point. And the reason free cash flow is more miserable is because it's cash right and you pay stockholders back in cash not operating income operating income is an accounting. Space thing that, importing a lot different businesses but it's really hard and Amazon's business for it to matter because you have all these rules that spread Revenue out even though you got the cash and then they also spread out cappex to appreciate it so, I really kind of distorts what's going on so FCF is a better way to look at Amazon and how they're in the business so it's when you look at that free cash flow came in at 7.2 billion best down from 10.1 a year ago, but it's not down because when operating reason it's because. What you have is you have total free cash flow you subtract out Capital Investments and then you're left with kind of net free cash flow 7.2 this year q1 is down from the 10.1 last year. But if you take out the Investments they're making and quote-unquote your property and Equipment purchases and I'll talk about that in a second the gross. Freak Ashley was 18 billion and then they've invested. 10.9 billion and capex this quarter so we kind of say yourself you you made this point earlier you know if they're so big and they continue to grow how do they do that they are still investing at a just tremendous clicking other taking about. No more than half of that free cash flow and investing it back into growth and that's that's pretty crazy no not many businesses I'm not an expert on Walmart but I think they. [11:41] They're probably dusting I would imagine 10 to 15% into growth and hear Amazon's ingesting like 50% of free cash flow into into growth and you know where that and it's out what is that it's a lie. Buying rights for movies and things for the streaming that's a small part of it the two biggest chunks are going to be equipment for the cloud computing and fulfillment centers you know they they continue to build fulfillment centers that just on Norma's clip they're building out. Prime facility in CVG you know so just amazing amount of investment in infrastructure they're making to keep this business growing at the pace it's growing up. [12:20] A year ago that that same kind of investiture. What's 7.4 billion say ramp that investment up from 7.4 billion to 211 billion a year of a year so that. [12:32] Pretty sad when on capex that's why I went down your weird but it's because I think they're increasingly bullish that they can grow this business for the foreseeable future at least 2 x this rate of e-commerce which is which is. [12:42] Pretty crazy yes I'm point you do run out of. Performance tuners to build a I would imagine they continue to invest in the. Like the same day infrastructure with the planes and whatnot. Jason:  [12:56] Yeah and again all those Investments are out of long-term competitive Advantage it's a moat against everybody else. Scot:  [13:01] Yeah and at some point when they stop doing those Investments That free cash phone number in a right now if they weren't doing this investment would be 18 billion which would be. A lot of cash but if you keep going 30% you know that that number you know could conceivably get up into 30 40 50 billion dollars in free cash flow and that's why. That's how Wall Street salary this thing. Because if you look at kind of though you know the the single-digit billions that they're making an operating profit you're like wow why is this thing worth. Nearly a trillion dollars it's a free cash flow and that's what Wall Street you know it is watching and when you can see a packed free cash flow being like that it it's it makes sense to invest at the pace that while she does. Jason:  [13:45] Yeah and oh by the way they also drop 22.6 billion and 100 which is way more than any other company like way more than any tech company invest in R&D. Scot:  [13:56] Take us on into the sum of the Interior results. Jason:  [14:00] Yeah so is it a reminder like the break their revenue down into these three big lines of business that are you no material to there, their revenue so the first is North America so North America was up 46% year-over-year so that drove 1.1 billion and Prophets, without Whole Foods that's 26% year-over-year growth so pretty healthy in North America which is. Their most mature Market International was up 21% based on constant currency and they lost about 622 million on that. So you know a couple of things to know if they're that lost was actually. Much smaller than most of the analyst were forecasting for international a lot of the international markets. Are much newer in Amazon is investing to win those markets you know some of those markets India in particular is you no potentially. The biggest prize out there either India or China but India's largest perceived as like the the biggest potential consumer Market that that you know doesn't have a dominant player that already has it locked up. Like Amazon does North America or like Alibaba does China in so it it really is like the the biggest battle out there and you you wouldn't expect to be turning a profit in those kind of you know early. Investment markets at this point so the fact that that on their whole International portfolio they only lost 622 is actually. [15:35] A substantial piece of good news for Amazon. [15:39] And then the 3rd big chunk for them is AWS Amazon web services. That also had phenomenal growth That Grew at 48% based on your VR constant currency and prophets were like 1.4 billion. So you don't amazon-web-services once again 48% when you're already like the dominant market leader is super impressive. I think in the the shareholder letter Jeff Bezos talked a little bit about how. You know that Amazon really had this sort of 6-year Head Start before they had I think we called the like-minded. Competitors enter the market and so they they got this like 6 year old Vantage over everyone that they've really you know continue to keep their foot on the gas and just kind of you know take that early lead they were given and there. They're using that to keep building it and and you know so far they they haven't run out of growth opportunity there which is pretty scary and amazing. [16:47] So Saturday a business which we like to talk about a lot is there add business in it isn't yet big enough that it gets its own segment so the ads are kind of blended into those. Three buckets so there are at least they're in a 2/3 buckets in the North American International numbers. And what we'll talk a little bit more about them later but then the. The other shoes piece of news which I think it's most of the consumer a buzz this week, is that Amazon also announced a substantial increase in the price of a Prime Membership so they jacked up Prime 219 bucks a year, which is like a 20% increase for consumers. Scot:  [17:34] Yeah he had that goes into effect May 11th so if you're not a Prime member this is your chance to get it at a discount and it's it's it's interesting they're doing it now you got to presume Prime day will be sometime in early June so I think they're kind of ramping into Prime day I think they know they did have a lot of data that shows that's a big sign up time so there, third there some method to the madness on that date are you going to cancel your Prime Membership Jason. Jason:  [17:58] I am not potentially my wife and I which each one of them, for those not in the know One Prime Membership not only covers the whole household you can actually share it with five family members, and so someone silly that my spouse and I each have a Prime member but membership but you know those were these valuable assets that we both brought into the marriage and we're both love to let go of our, old old Prime memberships at work white and financially irresponsible. Scot:  [18:31] I look forward to hearing who's a subscribe and save as to be recreated. Jason:  [18:35] Yeah I as with most things I think it's pretty clear that my wife is going to win that. Scot:  [18:41] Cool let's see let's do a quick review of marketplaces so long time listener still remember that Amazon does not disclose the size of the marketplace from a GMP perspective but they do disclose one metric which is the mix between and it's a unit mix between 1 p.m. and 3 p.m. so that came in at a new high of 52% to 52% of the units sold on Amazon or third-party and. [19:07] We probably said this a thousand times so I'll just run through it very quickly so Amazon's revenue for the quarter is 51 billion and the third party is counted the other. 30 greatest between 10 and 15% I use 10% to make the math easy so really when you when you. When you back into it what you find is there's a huge hidden amount of sales happening at Amazon because they only can count 10% of those sales for the third party Marketplace so the ends up that about, 67 billion of that 50 billion is revenue from the third party Marketplace multiply that by 10, her actual number so this is. I used to be the only one that would pontificate on this so when I run it to my calculator I end up with the quarter at a hundred. The first party stuff has a lower aov because most of the digital. Apps books and those kinds of things are are in first party and they have a lower aov so it it kind of. Excuse the third party tends to be higher average order value so it's. Unit wise is 52% but volume-wise were looking at almost like 66% or 64%. Third party 40% first party so that people are kind of. [20:37] Picking a part of those clues in and then figuring out so they tell you. Seller Services Revenue in inside of their is FBA fees as well as third-party fees so if you make some educated guesses you can do something so one of the one of the Alice JMP, baseball schiano's pick this out there all around the same range they came in at 1 p.m. 31 billion third party at 70 billion so a total of 101 the right in the ballpark of where it where I've been guessing which is good so. The punchline of this is Amazon feels like a 200 billion dollar pastry Taylor but there really a 400 billion dollar pastry Taylor so just in this quarter. Yeah it feels like 50 billion which is the top line but there's another 50 or 60 billion have a hidden under the mass of the ice, which is this Marketplace in we always encourage people you and I are on a Jihad to tell all the retailers about this so that they don't underestimate the the impact of Amazon I just just reading an internet retailer. They're kind of doing that they missed it at this time and that all this is frustrating what other little nugget on the marketplace side Amazon is really pushing this new functionality called Amazon Global selling they were talking a lot about it at. [21:50] Shoptalk for example this is what allows small or businesses anywhere in the globe to search Lee use Amazon Fulfillment Network and load balance globally so you could be a seller in the UK. And have a practice doing well and if you allow Amazon they will load balance it. Across Europe into China and Japan that even in the United States so they had interesting stat that. The first time I saw where they said in 2017 Global sellers sales grew more than 50%. Exodus this kind of cohort of people doing Global selling their sales grew more than 50%, and now it represents more than 25% of third-party sales on Amazon so strong to be a pretty material part as this kind of cross-border trade functionality that Amazon has now. We know at Shell visor one of the red hot pass for this is China manufacturers over to the US and then to Europe in other markets. So so Amazon is kind of got rid of all the middle men in the import world so you have these factories directly shipping product into fpa's across the globe, and that product is getting sold on Amazon so it's kind of the wish model, put on steroids and that is a huge kind of growth area but it also frustrates a lot of the sellers on Amazon because you know they're up against I'm selling a brand in microscope, and there's a Chinese manufacturer signed exact same thing out of the same Factory without a brand for half price so that it does cause a lot of lot of angst out there in the world with this this program. Jason:  [23:25] Yeah and I think it's, Rite Aid the program works crazy well I get super hard to move goods from country to Country in Legally sell them and customs and Tara sent by, it used to be that that there was a huge competitive advantage to this like relatively small pool of people that have the expertise to navigate all those systems and Amazon really takes all the complexity out of that like kids in their dorm room can now do cross-border trade which, you know what uniform was not possible and so is as more people adopt this system like, the fact that it kind of raises all tides in it it it also makes you know counterfeit product and and all those things sort of more ubiquitous we available it is a growing concern. Scot:  [24:14] Yeah. I don't think that people underestimate it's just like just kind of Fino translation so because Amazon has this a sand catalog if they take a certain widget, and translate it you know it gets translated into for five languages the next person to come sell that widget doesn't have to do the translation for just kind of say, yeah yes that's the same Mason and they get the automatic translation that's been done they get to ride on that investment so, if you're doing your website or something like that you don't get that benefit you going to translate it over and over and over again for every SKU where's Amazon gets this really nice kind of I reuse out of their catalog which is another huge benefit of this program. Jason:  [24:52] Yeah you know one thing I've never asked you know Diddy translate like the reviews or the reviews country-by-country. Scot:  [24:59] Country by country. Jason:  [25:01] Okay so they still have to build up the start of social proof in each welcome Market. [25:06] Anything else we want to talk about in the marketplaces this week. Scot:  [25:12] Dallas jumping to ads. Jason:  [25:14] Yeah so you know they have this Revenue line they call other services which we think is mostly their ad business you know what else is in other services anything meaningful Scott. Scot:  [25:27] The do some of the do a branded credit card and they do some other, they do on-site advertising so that ever tizing were talking about is a mg and a mess that tends to be 95 to 90% of the Intensive purposes it's the advertising business which is the new helping sellers promote their products. Jason:  [25:49] Got it yep and said that whole pool guy grew a hundred 32% year-over-year to 2 billion dollars for the quarter so I think that is one of the this is one of those categories that was affected by the 606 Gap. Reporting is that true. Scot:  [26:05] Yeah if you if you met that out in group a paltry 72%. Jason:  [26:09] Well then I don't know why we're even wasting their talking about it. So like this is more than one of these classic models where you know Google and Facebook are the dominant digital advertising platforms that have the bulk of the revenue and, you know Amazon it at a much more base is there for able to grow much more quickly. But 72% is is still a red-hot growth and I think they worked that's up from 60% growth last quarter so I. The pace of growth is accelerating. [26:42] And you know as a reminder for somebody games on the one of the reasons ad revenue is super exciting is. It's highly profitable like you. Much more so than been selling physical Goods you know to the extent that it successful. It's an ear recurring Revenue stream and so it's almost like a more valuable dollar of Revenue than some of Amazon's other sources of. Of Revenue in the Amazon is really quickly and merging. As kind of the the third digital advertising platform and so you know you seen a lot of buzz in the trades about it. You know when people try to analyze that number they get to a couple different places like I think I've seen some estimates in the like 5 to 6 billion dollars a year. I seen some people estimating 8 or 9 billion dollars a year for 2018 I have a feeling some of that has to do with. Whether they're looking at the old accounting of the new accounting there is some seasonality that advertising for a for a lot of these products. [27:52] The I think there is an anise out there that kind of try to forecast this Revenue out to 2023 and they got 236 billion. So that put you in the order of magnitude of Google and Facebook although you know presumably those will both be a lot bigger by. By 2023 than they are today but today Facebook said about, like just under a 50 billion dollar run rate so like 48 billion dollars so they Amazon's really able to get there that's a meaningful third competitor and that's a pretty nice, like ancillary Revenue stream for Amazon on top of all the other well-established businesses that they have. Scot:  [28:29] Yeah and we will talk about this we've been pounding this drum for probably 2 years that you know a lot of folks think this will be the third leg so that retail being one actually, marketplaces I would call the second and then AWS the 3rd and then adds the 4th you have billion dollars and then you and I have talked about, a voice like Alexa being number 5 so so I think there's kind of five legs to the store which is just not fair that you only need three but anyway that's the life of the Amazon. Jason:  [28:56] It's a very stable stool. Scot:  [28:57] It is a very stable stool and you know I said I think. It's going to be really interesting so Facebook's had some stumbles here you know, Google has some headwinds in certain areas in fact Google had a really nice quarter and they're shocked and removed much and I think a lot of it is people are starting to think when does this you know, so if Amazon is growing this business at cause 72%, when is the start to eat into Facebook and Google and it's long been an industry metric that something like 25% of Google's revenue comes from product-based terms which makes sense cuz they're you know if you kind of think about the verticals at Google you have time for a retail vertical I finance vertical Auto those kinds of things, the feels like it would be a pretty big one Facebook also and I either Superior amount of product that's advertised on Facebook we had them on the show several times talk about all the great offering they have there so it's going to be really nice to see is this wraps up. Do yo at some point there's got to be some share that gets taken and, maybe maybe the lines cross faster than we think there are if maybe if Amazon on its path that 36 billion maybe Facebook doesn't keep growing it kind of the pace it is because there's going to be some loss of share somewhere in there, I am when we at Chalmers are we talked to Brands specifically they are moving big dollars to this in a lot of it comes from your Prime. More you got more data than I do on this but a lot of it's coming out of old school media but it's coming out of Google budget some things that because they're just feeling like this is actually more miserable than the Google stuff because if you're a brand is hard to go buy Google ads because you usually have to find a retailer to do it and it's really complicated you have to trust their data and it gets really. [30:44] Really murky but if your brand you get really good data back from Amazon on exactly what's going on so so to the Brand's it feels like one of those measurable things are doing, hi the last point we we had, Jamie from Darrell on and remember he was talking about how they can actually measure offline impact of Amazon advertising because so many people are starting their product searches Amazon they saw. Stop sales at like Walmart and Costco go up when they did a very kind of isolated programming Amazon so this is a pretty interesting area of Amazon and we're keeping a close eye on it and courage to run to, to watch this because and if you haven't experimented in your business this is where I be. Putting a lot of effort heading into holiday at 18 because I think it's going to be a really big opportunity. Jason:  [31:29] Yeah for sure to so one thing I don't you mention Jamie just a piece of side news Jimmy is actually left her out and he's now running e-commerce for Keurig which is a, interesting to report having a back on the show to talk about his experience there in the near future. [31:46] In your two interesting things about advertising the. At the moment the reason that you probably don't feel like Amazon's growth coming out of Google and Facebook is because it, it is like all digital advertising is growing very rapidly as it's coming out of the traditional sort of dead tree media right so so print in intellivision and if you think about, the the traditional base advertising, your most advertising comes from Brands not retailers and they start they do two kinds of advertising like they do advertising to build awareness for the brand so they'll buy a Super Bowl at the by ad in a magazine that just says you know Mercedes-Benz cars are great or you know Bounty towels are the quicker picker-upper or whatever whatever the case may be, and the success criteria for those ads are just how many people saw. [32:41] Or maybe they'll do some study to say how many people remember our brand as a result of seeing that at rights of the the the. The outcomes of those ads are that the ad reached a person and that maybe the person remembered it. And then brands do this other kind of advertising with a partner with a retailer and what they called trade advertising and most of that advertising is like. Ads in the paper for their products you know what we call store circulars. Or even a lot of the advertising in the store the the point-of-purchase advertising is funded by manufacturers. So when you think about digital the. A lot of the Google advertising is replacing that brand awareness advertising I'm in it has the same kind of success criteria like how big was the audience that's on my Google ad, one of the things that super you know interesting and appealing about the Amazon ads are that you your success criteria is, how much good you sold rights are you you do get much lower on the funnel as people start to lose confidence in these advertising Vehicles the safe place to be is the advertising Vehicles where you can actually measure a true Roi. And so Amazon actually has a big competitive advantage over Google and Facebook and being able to quantify the value of the ads which is super interesting. But the other interesting thing is Amazon can actually draw ad Revenue. [34:12] From both of those old school models right so Amazon can get ads from the CMO at Procter & Gamble that used to buy a Super Bowl ad, an Amazon can credibly make the argument that you'll get more eyeballs on our platform then you will on the Super Bowl, but they can also get ad revenue from those trade teams that were you know historically buying store circulars in it and advertising in store at Walmart and instead get them to advertise next to the products, an Amazon and so systemically those are two big advantages over the other big digital platforms it in the long run make Amazon a real scary competitor to Amazon Facebook and Google. Scot:  [34:51] Absolutely and there's a fair amount of add load on the site. But you know if there's an auction underneath there so there's a fair amount of room to run so Google for example has had you have near the same ad load the tweet that but you know call it around the same ad load and and they continue to grow the last 10 years so so just within the current system, but but Amazon hasn't even there kind of version 1 L on a lot of their tools and they haven't even really started with video so one of the smartest Acquisitions I think Amazon did a lot of people don't pay attention to his twitch so you see all these people now that are making, there's this guy ninja he makes like $500 a month streaming fortnite and other games, well that uses switch for that and you can imagine that's a pretty interesting audience for people to monetize so there's. This really interesting things that they can do and they're also doing the Thursday night NFL so you could even say. Musterbrand let's run in NFL ad and I can sell you exact exactly how much tide you sold this ad versus just eyeballs. Jason:  [35:54] For sure which is very powerful I think that NFL deal maybe one of the main reasons they're able to get away with a hundred twenty bucks. Scot:  [36:01] Yeah absolutely. Cool last little piece on the quarterly earnings everyone Wall Street is very much a what have you done for me lately things are like good job great quarter what's coming next work so it's Amazon's practice to provide for guidance and they released their Q2 guidance, and it's going to come in at a growth rate between 34 and 42% which is 38% of the midpoint this the succeeded what all Wall Street was thinking there so, I am kind of classic Wall Street parlance it was a beat so the current quarter. [36:35] Expectations and then they race was being raised which is kind of what you want and it was a it wasn't kind of a wallet and a huge jump up kind of thing, so correspondingly you saw the stock really take a nice move and then most analysts have raised their price targets up into the socks kind of in the 1500 right now most people have raised the stock up to the highest I saw this 20/20 which was actually a, a phone number where that is that's right when they get to $20 so Scott debit over at stifel raised it up to 2020 kind of saying, county is Chester this will be the first trying dollar stock, I'm to the point we we pretty regularly about once a quarter when we do these shows we talk about this race to a trillion dollars so when you. Public companies you have a market cap and that's essentially taking the number of shares outstanding of multiplying it by the share price niggachu a market cap, use Yahoo finance or something it's already calculated for either so last time we visited this Jason Amazon was kind of going back and forth. What's number 3 and 4 with Microsoft so today if we look at this the number for company is Microsoft at a 718 billion dollar market cap. [37:47] Number three is Google at 7:06 and Amazon is now number two so this move they've had up in the stock from about a thousand to 1500 over the last. 8 months. It's beautiful up to the number to market cap company is 760 billion which is only about in a 340 billion shy of a trillion and 10% away from the lead the lead right now Apple + 838 billion. Apple is announcing tomorrow Tuesday or Wednesday there's a lot of concern around Apple there, you know we talked about the the new speaker they have you were not a huge fan of that one and, that has been kind of dud the iPhone x hasn't been blowing off shelves and they have a China problem so there could be. Because you have this kind of combination of looks like Amazon how to blow out there's a lot of concerned about Apple watch can see how they come out. But but anyway long-term if we can't think about this leading up number 5. Is Facebook at 497 think I should drop pretty considerably since this whole Russian interference thing is going to come up and in Autumn so. The the number for listeners to keep in mind is when Amazon gets to 1700 they should be in the lead and then when they get to just around that 20/20 number, they should hit a trillion dollars so it weave, I've been calling that they would be the first to get to Troy and for a couple years and it seems like that was a long shot and it's increasingly looking like it's theirs to lose so we'll see. Jason:  [39:23] How much will you personally make it they do that. Scot:  [39:26] No, Jason:  [39:31] So we mentioned in the outset that Jeff also released his annual shareholder letter so you know there's a bunch of interesting facts in that way every year but this is one huge Marquee fact that caught everyone's attention and was at, some of the big reveal and that fact is the Jeff Bezos does not know how to do a handstand. Scot:  [39:56] They're so yeah so kind of a painful personal admission. Jason:  [40:01] Yep. So he told a little personal story that involve the fact that he's going to do a handstand and after he got through that he mention that oh by the way we have a hundred million paid Prime members. Scot:  [40:12] This is a surprise cuz they've been very private about this for since Inception so I think everyone was caught off guard when they're reading the letter to see that and it caused quite a frenzy. Jason:  [40:24] Yeah I feel friend the show Jason Del Rey like predicted back in in like 2015 that he thought this was going to be the big year that Amazon Finally Revealed their prime number and so he was was only off by 3 years which is. Better than some people but so that we were talking a little bit before the show that number. [40:45] It requires a little bit of context but it certainly was in the range of a lot of the estimates, the verse folks have been making right like I mean certain order magnitude would you you call that like soda in The Sweet Spot of those estimates. Scot:  [41:01] Yeah there's so the washer guys were kind of clustered right around this hundred million number and so couple, couple things so she act all these parts would but these guys a very closely so that person why they said over so that gives us some pretty big range you know something somewhere over, I got a hundred million and one up to Infinity so there's there's a big range there but I think we can assume, you know I doubt it would be more than 110 so I think I would guess it's between 100 and 110 I don't think they would. Jason:  [41:30] He would have said over a hundred ten million if it was over a hundred ten. Scot:  [41:33] Maybe but then they're very catty to so for all I know it could be like a hundred fifty so it's really hard to guess what you guys. But that being said so if you take that hundred million and it's paid so just remind folks do see a couple free entries into Prime and if she'll does off when used to be Amazon mom's now, if wrap that up in the family program Jason was talking about we can have multiple people on a Prime account and then so it's kind of more of a household thing and then number to used to have free for students, this is largely to get their textbook business which is quite lucrative, I'm in Amazon now doing it does that to give 6 months free for students that's a very long extended trial program and then four-year discounted until they graduate. So All those programs up now pretty much converted to two paid so the only free Prime out there are people that are either in their 30-day trial or their 6-month trial with their students so it's a largely survey people and they say their Prime I think, but she can be paid maybe plus or minus 10% but but pretty small. There is a global number so most Wall Street people had, weed when you take Amazon and you want to take their Global number and parse it I usually go 6040 so 60 us 40 International which is kind of how there, their GMP goes so some example that add number at 2 billion is probably 60% us 40% International now ads are probably less developed International so I made fudge that look at 7030 or 8020 but I do think for her prime, pretty mature and all the markets so I would say that hundred mine is going to be 60 us. Jason:  [43:07] Although there are a bunch of Prime benefits that are exclusive to North America still right like grocery a lot of the digital video content. Scot:  [43:18] Video ethics National now. Jason:  [43:21] Okay the the like the prime the grocery delivery from Whole Foods is certainly unique to the US. [43:34] Okay so I'll give it to you so 60. Scot:  [43:39] But in the UK you get same-day so it's kind of. Jason:  [43:43] Yeah but that's a tiny little island that's cheating. Scot:  [43:45] There's a pretty big part of your 2. Jason:  [43:51] Oh they're not part of your anymore he didn't get the memo. Scot:  [43:54] It hasn't happened yet we're working Liam. The the one outlier is there's this company called cirp in a few what it is like consumer information research protocol and they had Amazon it 99 in the US so I think they kind of are off a bit now. you guys find out to do surveys of really small numbers in the extrapolating so they like survey 10 people in 9/2 Prime and I like well certainly 90 million people in the US have, it's not that bad but I think that's the little bit off so. You know the way to think about this I always see this like 60-70 80% of us households have Prime if you take this number and we see it 60 million there's a hundred twenty six million households in the US so this puts a right at 50%, I'm so 50% of households in the US have Prime that that feels right to me and then I think if you know if you parse that and look at demographics. Yeah if for household this is the way the Census Bureau defines it for household incomes over a hundred and twenty K you're going to look at like 80 90% penetration then as you go lower it's going to get off. Yeah down at the sub 50k it's going to be 20 30% of us households so so at that all fuels and checks out to me. Jason:  [45:08] Yeah two things are interesting to me so you crank up Prime membership to a hundred twenty bucks a year you have a hundred million page users you, start the every year with 12 billion in Revenue before you sell I think. Which is a pretty nice asset versus every other retailer on the planet that starts in zero every year with one exception which is our friends at Costco. Scot:  [45:36] Give me. Jason:  [45:40] And so I always like to compare Prime Membership with Costco so Costco has 90 million paid members in Costco is almost exclusively and I think is exclusively North America so not so there still, significantly ahead of Amazon which is interesting and just a reminder on on Costco's model, what is an oversimplification but Costco almost drives to break even on all their sales and essentially make. There their annual profit be that that Costco membership fee that they earn every year. [46:26] Inside like pretty interesting you know Costco membership is less expensive than a Prime Membership but like it's Costco members tend to skew older than Amazon members at the moment so it's kind of interesting you, you would certainly think that if you're looking for with a cap is on Prime members it's certainly not the 60 million there at now it's at least the 90 million and since Amazon has a much broader demographic than Costco. In North America. You know you can imagine it's even north of that so you know maybe one day after Amazon passes that that trillion-dollar Mark you you know we could see them. I'm in that 90 or hundred million just in North America. Scot:  [47:07] Yeah I've seen analysts do a bunch of surveys on this and there's a pretty high enough it's almost like 85% overlap of Costco and Prime members is pretty high. Jason:  [47:18] Yeah for sure and then the other interesting thing to me about crime is there was also some news it was alluded to in the shareholder letter, but the Whole Foods is actually in the process of turning off all of their existing Affinity programs and it's a pretty clear that they're going to be replacing. The the Whole Foods Affinity programs with Prime in those Whole Food stores and that's going to be. What a real interesting set of new experiences and you know another lucrative reason that that people might. [47:58] Become Prime members or at the very least retain their Prime Membership. [48:05] And with that it is happening again we've used up all our a lot of time we tried to be a little more concise for this deep. But if you have questions or you feel like Scott or more likely I got something horribly wrong we love to hear your point of view on our Facebook page so jump on over there and leave us a comment and we'll try to respond as quickly as possible. You're always welcome to reach out to us on Twitter and if you found this show useful or valuable we would certainly appreciate it if you'd spend 30 seconds and jump over to iTunes and leave us that 5-star review. Scot:  [48:42] Thanks for this five stars everyone and thanks for joining us this week. Jason:  [48:46] Until next time happy commercing.

Testimonies begin about 32 minutes in. Being One - Women's Retreat 2013 One With God One with Others So All may Believe John 17:20-23

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Kelly Outdoors is a show about just that, The great outdoors and all that it has to offer, Hunting, Fishing, boating etc. Thats what its about folks, Waterfowling is my passion so there is lots of that, There have been some of the best folks in the industry on the show and I will continue to bring you the very best for your enjoyment, Listen live or Download them, Just enjoy. All of these shows are available on itunes. Join me and my very special Guest O'Neill Williams of O'Neill Outside, This man is a legend in the sports radio industry, Hope you can join us for a great evening of conversation and a bucket of laughs, Kel http://www.oneilloutside.com/ O'Neill just flat out forgot about the show, He has been busy as a one armed paper hanger, So All is forgiven, He will be back from his tour's in a few weeks and we are gonna have him on then, This show was a one man disaster under any conditions, I was comin in on a wing and a prayer on this show folks, Listen at your own risk, Kel