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Latest podcast episodes about sapientrazorfish

Marketing Mistakes (And How To Avoid Them)
SEO Strategy To Safeguard And Elevate Your Online Presence

Marketing Mistakes (And How To Avoid Them)

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2023 34:37


In this episode, Stacy and Joseph chat about how to lead with SEO strategy before optimizing your website so that you guarantee success versus accidentally losing your digital status. We'll learn what works from Joseph perspective, what should be avoided, and how some businesses miss the mark. About Joseph DeVita Joseph is one of the Managing Partners at Moving Traffic Media, an internet marketing agency focused on search marketing, social media, and display advertising. Joe has spent over twenty years working to revolutionize digital marketing and driving business growth and oversees operations, with his expertise stemming from a decade at SapientRazorfish, working with renowned clients like Marriott Hotels and various Fortune 500 companies. --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/hollywood-branded/message Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/hollywood-branded/support

CaseyDigital Podcast
EP #19: Kurtis Powers - Big Agencies Vs. Small Agencies

CaseyDigital Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 7, 2020 69:19


I interviewed Kurtis Powers who is a Creative Director at Analogy and a Broadcaster, Curator/Speaker and DJ. He has amazing experience in the creative and digital space and he has worked at some of the largest agencies in New York including JWT and SapientRazorfish. In this episode we discuss what the differences are between the large agencies and then also working for smaller consultative agencies in a contrast piece. Kurtis shares his many years experience in working on large projects with huge brands and this really gives an insight for people looking to get into the world of agencies. You can get in touch with Kurtis by emailing kurtis@thefaceradio.com or following him on the handles below: Kurtis Powers on LinkedIn Kurtis Powers on Instagram @kurtispowers on Twitter We hope you enjoy the episode and if you have any questions please email caseydigital@gmail.com Connect with the host, Paul Casey https://www.casey-digital.co.uk @caseydigital on Instagram  Paul Casey on LinkedIn  Youtube Channel - Casey Digital @casey_digital on Twitter

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

EP154 - Turkey-5 2018 Recap Episode 154 is a quick recap of all the retail and e-commerce activity over the Turkey-5 weekend (Thanksgiving through CyberMonday). Jason interviewed by eMarketer about AmazonGo stores Jason article in Forbes "The Future of Brick-And-Mortar Retail is Mobile"   Adobe    Revenue YoY Growth Thurs $3,700,000,000 28.00% Friday $6,200,000,000 23.60% Sat $3,200,000,000 25.00% Sun $3,200,000,000 25.00% Monday $7,900,000,000 29.00% Turkey 5 $24,200,000,000 26.41% Nov-Dec $124,100,000,000* 14.8%*       * Adobe Forecast   Amazon Cyber-5 Press Release Salesforce Holiday Insights Hub Adobe Holiday 2018 predictions, actuals, and analysis IBM Analytics Outage J Crew Website Outage Google and Facebook Outages Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 154 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Tuesday, November 27, 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 154 being recorded on Tuesday November 27th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your Cohoes Scot Wingo. Scot: [0:40] Hey Jason welcome back Jason Scott show listeners we sincerely hope you had a great Thanksgiving an awesome profitable Black Friday and a record shattering Cyber Monday Jason did you get enough turkey over the break. Jason: [0:55] I did indeed it's my favorite time of the year my two favorite things shopping and eating. Scot: [1:01] I have been dying to ask you two questions what's your favorite pie if pies are the favorite Thanksgiving dessert which pie and if not what's your favorite Thanksgiving dessert. Jason: [1:13] Do you like I'm a traditionalist I go with a pumpkin pie with whipped cream on it what about yourself. Scot: [1:18] I am a southerner so it has to be pecan pie with a little scoop of ice cream. Jason: [1:28] So my grandmother's family my grandma Daisy who's no longer with us is also a southerner and we always have followed her Thanksgiving Traditions but oddly somehow somewhere along the line she added a German chocolate cake to the mix so full disclosure I sort of Miss now that she's not with us anymore the grandma Daisy's German chocolate cake in addition to my pumpkin and pecan pies. Scot: [1:54] Maybe she was Southern German. Jason: [1:56] Exactly Daisy just was at a head of her time she was just a multicultural. Scot: [2:02] And then I've been dying to know how you survive when Starbucks closed for a day. Jason: [2:07] That is a great question there have been years when that was a challenge for me but I feel like at this Advanced stage of my life I have pretty much mastered at so a Starbucks wasn't Starbucks strategically close early so I like to make a visit before they close and then Abby as a back at the Starbucks I do have a super fancy automatic espresso machine that makes my Starbucks drinks at home. Scot: [2:36] Call and I saw you have published couple articles before we jumped into the meat of the show toast us what you been putting out there into the interwebs. Jason: [2:43] Yeah I was prolific the time off I give me a chance to catch up on a few things I've been meaning to do so you and I are both Ford's contributor so I published a Forbes article today and it's about a topic we first started broke on the the podcast it's called the future brick-and-mortar is Mobile in its talking about all these new store Concepts that are opening up and and how the customers mobile phone is increasingly becoming a mandatory part of the in-store shopping experience in an increasingly you need a mobile phone to get into the store so that that was interesting to me and then I did do an interview in emarketer all about the Amazon go store soap again probably not any, opinions that would be new or surprising to Jason and Scott show listeners but nice concise article of sort of every swear I think the the Amazon go stores are going so I'll I'll post a link to both of those in the show note. Scot: [3:46] Cool this is kind of a the first of a Trilogy of shows were put together that really are looking at kind of the halftime report of where we are as far as holiday 18th concerned we're recording this the day after Cyber Monday so we've got those key 5 days out there and some data starting to roll in then our next to Gaston the show or going to come with some more proprietary data someday we're going to do kind of a hot take on what we're seeing out there from Publix results from all kinds of sources that that will try to slip note as we go through and we want to jump into that and it wouldn't be a Jason Scott show without some Amazon used to kick it off. Jason: [4:34] Amazon news new your margin is there opportunity. Scot: [4:42] So Amazon is one of the most secretive companies you'll ever come across and holiday is no exception typically they did Issue a press release which was some of it was interesting and revealing and others of it was frustrating leak looked so I just wanted to walk through some of the highlights there. First highlight is a tortoise a new term where Amazon is calling it instead of I like the Cyber 5 they're calling it The turkey-5. Jason what you think about this rebranding of the five days from Black Friday to Cyber Monday. Jason: [5:13] So I think I don't consider rebranding I think both terms are important so you were actually the first person I heard you cyber 5 and it was quite some time ago way before the podcast and so I've embraced that when I'm talking about e-commerce sales over those five day. But when I'm talking about omni-channel sales and brick-and-mortar sales then I feel like we need to talk about the turkey-5. Scot: [5:36] Okay well next time they can both look together so. What are some of the highlights of wood Amazon announced they announce the Cyber Monday was their biggest day ever and they sold millions quote-unquote millions which you know I think. Is a range between 1 and 100000. I don't know how to arrange that I know it starts at 1 and goes Tenpenny so millions and millions of Amazon devices were sold the new Echo dot was the top Amazon device, they sold Millions more this turkey-5 versus last over 18 million toys and then over 39 fashion items and I always find it interesting to Think Through. And some of this is probably much mind-reading but herbal Tea Leaf reading that goes on here you know why do they pick out these two categories I think 21 is kind of like Hey we're picking up that Toys R Us business that evaporated out there and then fashion everyone there's been a lot of negative kind of Amazon Fashion Stories where people are saying Yep they're not really doing well they're fashion designers aren't embracing Amazon so this one I thought was just a little bit of hay. Fashion industry check us out. [7:05] This is the most revealing data point they said in total and I believe this is a u.s. number over a hundred eighty million items were sold over the turkey five and when I try to do the math on that if we assume, $50 average order value that comes in kind of 9 billion now sometimes Amazon average order value is tricky because sometimes they include didn't see if this was paid or unpaid items as soon as paid items unpaid items would be free books to Kindle stuff there free apps on stuff like that. So this could be as high of us as a $75 ASP 1213 billion dollars. [7:48] So I wasn't ashamed actually kind of put a number out there that I could actually anchor off of and get to a real number that's the first time. [7:56] It's a third party sales grew 20% year-over-year Which is pretty good you know I would expect so so you know. E-commerce is going around 15% according to the US Census and Cubs score. Amazon has been growing in the mid-to-high 20s so it's actually little loaf I felt for this third-party datapoint if I understood the metric right I've only grow 20% year-over-year and then couple of highlights they said Black Friday alone or million toys and electronics are sold through the mobile app so I think they're they're highlighting you know I think there were talking a little bit about showrooming where I think they're trying to hints that people are out in the stores shopping toys Electronics on Amazon from their phones while they're out couple other highlights of the top sellers. Obviously Amazon devices everywhere you go you see that mentioned so this is Nivea. Echo Christmas there should be a lot more Echo devices out the world after this holiday looks like instapot the classic is a top seller I am now seeing it everywhere so around Prime day you only saw it at Amazon and now I can't run into a store without Nintendo switch is hot this year. [9:20] Such a platform has been around awhile but has, new Breath of Life Jason what did what did you think of Amazon's results on Turkey 5. Jason: [9:28] Yeah it's always interesting to try to parse anything out of their press releases because that you know they're the pretty expert of giving you these numbers. That we don't have any frame of reference for a right like everything's the biggest ever but you know they said all these records last year so if they were .1% growth it would be, it would still be the biggest ever and they let you know they give you this many items in these big categories you know it's obvious they're trying to paint a Rosy picture without disclosing too much real information but to me some of the things that jump out like your math is super interesting if we take that $50 aov and say they're like. You know it will you don't 9 billion to 12 billion that puts them at a third to about a half of what a Dobby predicted. Overall e-commerce sales were for the the December 5 so. Normally we think of Amazon as being about half of e-commerce so if they're only a third to a half of cyber 5 e-commerce that actually means. Other retailers are doing a better job of of grabbing a little bit of that traffic so that to me is interesting. [10:38] It does make sense to me that 3-piece sales would it be growing as fast on Cyber 5 because I think Amazon promotes the bejesus out of the Amazon owned products particular The Echoes In fires and the Rings were heavily promoted and so you know when they're selling. Not even just one p items but Amazon owned Brands so heavily and kind of crowds out that the three p a little bit. And it is interesting to me you know this these guys are increasingly becoming the largest retailer in North America get on the biggest sales days of the year the things they're able to sell the most of our the things they own which is like completely unique like you know prior to Amazon you know Craftsman was not the number one selling item at Sears on Black Friday for example so that feels like a. That's sort of interesting Trend and you know it'll be interesting when we get some of the other guests on that have some datasets to kind of get their point of view about all that. Scot: [11:39] Now Adobe has been probably the most prolific this holiday with getting their data out which is interesting because I haven't seen last couple years IBM made of big push but I didn't see them out there really pushing hard on the data so it's almost like a one kind of company show now with Adobe and I know you gathered some of the highlights what what did you see there. You don't want to spoil it for 4 we have us be coming on the next shows we don't want to spoil too much but what were some highlights. Jason: [12:11] Just a quick primer on data sources the route to write like the the most ubiquitous best data source out there that I use the most of it kind of track it is Adobe there's three big analytics platforms that e-commerce lights tend to use Adobe IBM and Google Google you know his never liked had an evangelist kind of you know posting real-time data out there IDM some years does some of your doesn't they actually had a very meaningful outage on their analytics platform this year which will talk about a little later so even if they're planning on it I suspect they they bailed when they started having problems and Adobe did a phenomenal job so it will hear specifically from Adobe tomorrow but just so listeners have sort of a frame of reference. Adobe is heavily used by the largest. Brick-and-mortar retailers in in North America so I feel like they're their data ranges a very broad set of retailers from. Serta medium size two very big you know they don't have much data from Amazon who doesn't use any of these platforms for their main main site. So to me Adobe is kind of the broadest and definitely best representation of the biggest sites that are most meaningful. [13:27] I do have some data from Shopify which I think of a sort of the long tail so it's interesting to see what's going on there and then we do get some data from Salesforce which is. Salesforce Commerce cloud is the old demandware e-commerce platform and to meet a man where is a little more than itchy it's kind of in the middle between. The really big sites and the long tail it's these like pretty darn big predominately apparel sites for example. And so it just it's interesting to see where the date of matches between those different sets and where it's different but that kind of. [14:04] Key things up adobe gives us a number for every day of cyber 5 so Thursday was 33.7 billion. Which is up 28% Friday with 6.2 billion which is up 23.6% Saturday was 3.2 billion. Which is up 25% Sunday was 3.2 billion which was up 25% Monday the biggest day ever for. Ecommerce with 7-point not in North America is 7.9 billion which was up 29% so. Hopefully you're not doing math while you're driving in the car you add up those 5 days and there were 23.1 billion dollars worth of sales during those. Those 5 days. [14:53] I just realized I had a slight air in my spreadsheet so we'll actually see Liam and then I caught 24.1 billion in in sales over those 5 days. And the gross for all 5 days was about 26% and what's interesting about that is Adobe predicts. 124 billion for the entire November December. And a growth I would like 14.8% which is. Kind of similar to all the other e-commerce estimates we see you in that 10 to 15 to 16% and so you go wait. These five days grew 26% they represent about 15% of the whole holiday right there. You know about 19% of the holiday right there so it's it's it's interesting that that it seems like these days are getting the disproportionate amount of the. The grout sensor you sometimes your talks about how promotions are stretching out longer and in that stretching out sales but the data makes it seem like people are still very habituated to shop on these Amy's 5 cyber 5 days. Scot: [15:58] So yeah. Jason: [16:01] I was just going to add to it in Shopify doesn't provide super granny or data. But they did give us an Insight that on the the four days between Thanksgiving in and Cyber Monday they sold about 1.6 billion and about 1.8 billion over the Cyber 5 so if that's true again Adobe says 24 billion sold all over the Cyber five and Shopify alone sold 1.8 billion that would put Shopify at about 7.5% of all. Cyber 5 sales witch. I kind of doubt year-round that they have that big market share again that we don't have good data to know for sure. It's believable to me that more shopping shift to do some of the Shopify sites over holiday so I don't know what what's your initial reaction on that Scott could you. Scot: [16:53] Kills High you know but. It's hard to say the thing that always confounds me about some of these things is when you add up the pie slices I always get up to like 130% so no matter whether it's holiday data or quarterly data or annual data I always get a little confused by how all the stuff adds up. The number to supposed to. Jason: [17:18] Incident if you compare that so again and that the Dobies kind of this broad look if you look at like Salesforce you see like more like a 16% growth for e-commerce to see traffic going 9% what what's interesting to me about salesforce's they share some of their mobile numbers and sales for says that like 62% of all there traffic was mobile. And a 45% of all their sales was Mobile on Cyber Monday for example and on. Black Friday mobile actually Pete that slightly over 50% of all of all sale so so you know. [18:03] In the demandware Echo System the majority a strong majority of traffic is mobile and almost half of all orders is of of Revenue is mobile orders are actually number of orders is actually even a little higher so if you think about like you got dollars in sales you got number of orders and you got traffic. The the Salesforce number to look kind of like the Shopify numbers from mobile so we have a couple of vendors that share their data that mainly live on the Shopify platform and swim it was one that talked to you on Twitter and they were claiming 73% of their Shoppers were mobile and 62% of their shop their purchases were mobile those mobile numbers are way higher than what we see from Adobe where it's going to be something like 45% of traffic was mobile and only like 30 or 30. 5% of of orders were mobile so it's going to be interesting to talk to Adobe about about that if it is. In their mind true that this a longer tail is more mobile than than their whole user base or what were missing their. Scot: [19:09] And I also wonder if it Dobie is including any Magento data because historically it was mostly kind of that omniture I did it right that they were effectively tapping into so I wonder if they're able to pull in the Magento data analysis. Jason: [19:26] Yeah that will be interesting I'm going to Mike Hess is going to be no for this year the murderer wasn't that long ago and remember. Magento can't see the majority of their data so most people are running the gento on-prem they they have the software but magenta wouldn't necessarily know whether the revenue was unless they happen to be either one of the the minority of Magento customers that's hosted. Scot: [19:50] I forgot that they were more of an assault versus has. Bottom line this it feels like online were definitely kind of more in the 20 to 30% Reigns versus kind of the traditional 15 so that feels good and then it feels like a brick-and-mortar is a little slow. Jason: [20:10] Yep so well it depends on what you mean by slow so. Scot: [20:18] They have been drawn at kind of like three or four percent right kind of mid single-digit. Jason: [20:22] Some MasterCard says that like on Black Friday brick-and-mortar sales were up 9% there. Scot: [20:32] What's good. Jason: [20:33] Yeah that sounds great MasterCard is predicting that November December sales will be up. 5% right and of course you know you can imagine what MasterCards dataset is they have like like a 1/3 of all the credit card sales. [20:47] So so those are good numbers there's a couple companies that rent Hardware to retailers that gets installed on the front door to the store to measure traffic in the store so one of those companies is called shoppertrak and the other is called retailnext they aggregate all their data as traffic data shoppertrak says that traffic was down 1% over the holiday over by Friday retail next said the traffic was down five to 9%. [21:20] They do tend to attract slightly different customer so as I sit here I can't tell you exactly what categories they tend to be strong in butt that sounds to me like fewer people are going to the store then they have in years past and yet we still see higher sales in the store and we have in your past which just means the conversion rate of Shoppers to buyers is higher and the amount they're spending when they're in the store is higher and so you add all that up I think before the holiday started people were kind of forecasting they're like 16% e-commerce growth like in a three to 4% brick-and-mortar gross I think it's possible we're going to see like 5% he, brick-and-mortar drugs which would be the biggest year since 2011 so we may see some big numbers on the revenue side when I'm more worried about is that it it potentially was super promotional revenue and said the earnings may may suffer that that commonly is the yin and yang of of holiday sales. Scot: [22:23] Yeah unfortunately won't have a read on that until some of the January did I start to come out right before results. Jason: [22:29] Exactly it mostly shows up in earnings where people are like oh we had our Revenue goals but we missed our earnings goals Adobe does get to see some interesting promotional data so when they're on we will definitely get their perspective about whether the holiday felt online more. Lesser the same promotional is past years. Scot: [22:49] Call a couple other seems I saw out there there was this kind of is Black Friday dead a lot of this circles around somatic Mall while getting your everyone is there's a whole controversy around the opening on Thanksgiving Day itself and. Some retailers like REI stand on that others are kind of messaging that up even more and more and they're doing their doorbusters around that so there's a dinner I had some day. [23:20] Where they actually had several buckets of Shoppers they reported on so they said 41.4 million people shot online only from Thanksgiving to Cyber Monday so the I guess I'll call that cyber 5 and that 6.4 million more who's been shot exclusively in stores so they have an online exclusive bucket stories lusive bucket and then they have an omni-channel bucket and then the omni-channel bucket they say 89.7 million hour Shoppers. So I'll see you in a day or calling a reference so so that was interesting and there's an article that was kind of saying because more people shopped online than offline during that. It was kind of the end of the traditional Black Friday. Brick-and-mortar holiday discount Holiday in your reaction to that. Jason: [24:22] Yeah it was it yummy you here to Reasons by Friday is going away because people are shifting online and because black Fridays you know keeping earlier tough to Thursday night it didn't feel like, more stores open on Thursdays then did years pass so I don't think that really affected by Friday I do think / that interested anymore yeah if you're only going to do one of the other there more people that are opting for the convenience of online shopping and that that seems reflected in the the few datasets we had that show store traffic was down so I could lie but honestly it doesn't feel like. [25:03] A dramatic shift to me over your you know it seems very windy or change versus sort of an exponential change and I think all this is happening in a climate in which like most of the consumer macroeconomic factors are really favorable and particularly for the first time in a long time the macroeconomic factors for low-income Shoppers are favorable in those are the Shoppers that are least likely to shop online right like so that's the the low-income Walmart Shopper probably feels like they have more money in their pockets and they have the last several holidays and until I feel like you know some of that the trends that we try to predict do I get office gated by the fact that there probably just are more people shopping and more people spending money this year than they then we've seen in the last couple years so that's that's a good problem but it makes it hard to really. [25:59] Really have a strong opinion I have I will say one of their data points from UW data is that buy online pickup in-store orders were up 50% over your past so I think like driving with an RF data what we're seeing is that the this notion of these being separate channels is going away and people are increasingly using digital tools whether they. Go to the store or not and you know you tease me for talking too much about grocery on the show I feel like this is the first year when people could potentially buy online curbside pickup their their ingredients for their Thanksgiving dinner and so I haven't seen any data on that yet but I but I know as an amenity digital grocery shopping was available to many more consumers this year than ever before and so I'm going to be really interested to see if Shoppers take advantage of that and if that you know changes behavior and all of those are two things so I think there's going to be a lot of fun fall out to follow from this holiday. For the next several months we should keep doing the podcast. Scot: [27:01] We we will another theme that was interesting and you kind of touched on this little bit with outages Amazon seems to be pretty robust Facebook had an outage kind of like right around Thanksgiving so happy for freaking out. It was kind of a yeah that was interesting and then you would mention coremetrics an outage Amazon I've been kind of rough for Prime day then they did Cyber Monday and end so that's interesting it seems like they must have tweet whatever they had some lips on on Prime day good warm-up for Cyber Monday. I did see some articles that highlighted some other stuff it's hard in today's news climate to know kind of what exactly is going on and how bad it is with what did you see as far as I was just. Jason: [27:47] Yeah I think there were some partial out I mean the number retard saw some partial added outages for you know for some subset of all the people that tried to get to the site for some small. Of time during the day and it's really hard size how significant those are I would slide side note on the Facebook one when Facebook has an outage it has an impact on e-commerce in an unexpected way there's a fair amount of eCommerce sites that let you use your Facebook credential as the keys to your eCommerce account in your stored payment information so it is possible when Facebook's down that the people can't log into their account on an e-commerce site and and Shop so it has the potential to have that impact and Facebook tags are all over these e-commerce sites so even. If the outage and I don't think this was such an outage causes those tags to not respond it can really have a material impact on the page load speed on all these e-commerce side so there's. [28:46] Town of best practices that site should do to mitigate those risks and and frankly wait way too many sites do do to those best practices so it's always surprising to me. But you reference IBM and their analytics package which I think officially is now called IBM Analytics all ice Old-Timers would know it is coremetrics and from my perspective they had a pretty catastrophic outage so I think they were out for most of Black Friday and then, I were able to resolve the issues and then they have another significant outage for most of. [29:24] Cyber Monday so that's a huge deal if you're running a site in your using the analytics to make decisions about you know whether you should get more less promotional you know what what marketing you should be doing on the side how much additional email you should send you know that. Data from that from your analytics platform is critical and you know some heavy rain Deluxe platform out is a huge deal I will tell you I had several clients that that had an outage and the only reason that they weren't Furious is because many of them are now using more than one analytics package so pretty, and that you had a IBM and Google which meant you were exclusively. Using Google for the holiday and it probably is not going to bode well the next time you know IBM comes to have Yuri up your your contract and you had this outage in the most important time and you were forced to use Google and probably found out that that that Google Map most your needs so I think from a business standpoint that that IBM analytics at outage is going to be pretty catastrophic I think they were probably struggling to maintain market share against Adobe and Google anyway and so this is probably going to be a. Another black eye to them in that regard. Scot: [30:42] Quick question did this. So I know that mosites almost every page of a site while will reference to the underlying analytic system and there's a lost tag and stuff did this cause the retailer sites to either go down or be sluggish or to those guys. All currently have that kind of asynchronous so that if it's down it doesn't really. Jason: [31:02] Exactly so what you want and what the in finished all these vendors at least the analects vendors sort of beg you to do is have these tags load asynchronous way which essentially means it doesn't block anything from happening lower on the page from still happening while that tag loads and so it's still even when you load it asynchronously there still you know some ways in which its it's hurt hurting your rendering budget but but the impact is much lower than having the screen be white while you wait for that tag to fail and so for analytics most people have them well implemented and I didn't hear about any anyone that had coremetrics tags blocking the whole site. You do like to also put all these vendors at the end of the page but for Analytics. [31:50] That means you miss out on a lot more analytics if someone like interrupt a page from completely loading or their clicks away from the page before for renters and so you know the analytics vendors like to have their their tags at the very top of the page so when there's an outage. It's even a little more prominent so. Bad deal all around but to my knowledge there were no there were no sites that were like literally WhitePages while they're waiting to find out that the idiom tags didn't work. I don't think Google analytics had any problems but Google had a problem with her at platform over the holiday and I know that impacted a lot of people's promotional plans that you know I felt like the number of clients that had. Plan spins and open the spins that they you know we're going to make over holiday depending on how things went and they literally were like locked out of their AdWords account and weren't able to make some of the adjustments that they intended to make. Scot: [32:46] Yeah that the Facebook ad platform was down during their outages well so it could be some pretty material. Jason: [32:54] Yep that digital marketing tends to be about the third-highest source of traffic to the site so that's a big deal and then the retailer that I think at the most news for having a complete outage unfortunately it was at J crew had a very aggressive sale they were they were offering 50% off on everything and I think they were there down for like the majority of of. Black Black Friday so that's a pretty tough outage I know that they probably offered to extend that sale. Extra days to try to catch that that Revenue but in most cases you know a shopper. Likely move to some other other site and spent that money somewhere else so so you know that that's. Pretty material impact to be down that long on this holiday so sorry for my friends at J.Crew and that's probably going to be a perfect place to wrap it we promise to keep this is a short concise show just about the holiday folks have any comments or questions as always we encourage you to jump on her Facebook page and will continue the dialogue there as always if you found the show useful we'd love it if you jump on the iTunes and give us that 5-star review. Scot: [34:10] Makes everyone we hope that you're cyber 5 / turkey-5 crushed all your expectations and that you are going to finish strong in Holiday 18. Jason: [34:23] Absolutely and then till next time happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP153 - Pre-Thanksgiving Industry News and Listener Questions

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 21, 2018 62:26


EP153 - Pre-Thanksgiving Industry News and Listener Questions Thanksgiving road trips with Jason & Scot have become a tradition in the digital shopper marketing industry.  Here is an hour of new and listener questions, to get you ready for the Turkey-5 holiday! Spiffy announces connected car initiative.  The first connected car feature grants limited access to vehicles through OEM (Original Equipment Manufacturer) connected car capabilities. Eliminating the step of handing off keys prior to a service makes Spiffy's on-demand services even easier for customers. Amazon News HQ2/3 discussion Amazon offers free shipping w/o Prime (how will Target/Walmart respond) Apple establishes an official presence on Amazon Other News 11.11 Recap Walmart earnings (e-com up 43%) Walmart CEO Doug McMillon on Tim Ferris podcast New store concepts dominated by mobile experiences 7Fresh (JD Grocery) New Nike NY Store "House of Innovation 000" 7-11 scan and go Sams Club Now Amazon Go / 4-Star / Books Listener Questions Sri Rajagopalan Is the Amazon business in consumables really growing? Why are we not embracing Alibaba in the USA? Anonymous Anker rose to be a powerhouse of an Amazon business. Can you analyze their changes to highlight the overall marketplace transition to differentiated product development? Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 153 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Sunday, November 18, 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 153 being recorded on Sunday November 18th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek, and as usual I'm here with your co-host. Wingo. Scot: [0:41] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason Scott show listeners. Tonight we are sitting here on the cusp of Thanksgiving which is the official kickoff of holiday 18 we got some great guests on as we get into the thick of that but we thought we'd take this kind of opportunity here before at everything hits to go over some industry news and we I had some listeners that were really dying to ask some questions so we have some listener questions and we have hopefully if our sound engineer is doing his job we should have this out before you do your travel for Thanksgiving so hopefully this gives you something to you get the folks in the car asleep so that you can pick about some e-commerce and get really super hungry as you ride to that, great turkey dinner that you're going to enjoy. Jason: [1:34] That's a lot of pressure you just put on the audio engineer thanks a lot. Scot: [1:38] Well we have a we have a big team and I'm confident they can they can get it done. Before we dig into news and Lester questions Jason you were at something to deal with a bonfire so tell me about this big block party with you. Jason: [1:55] Sorry I did not get to light anything on fire. Loyal listeners will have heard of last week show where we talked a little bit about some joint research that my employer poop assisted with salesforce.com and so we did this. Speak study called The Shopper first study and you can listen to episode 152 if you want to learn more about the study but one of the things we we've done is leverage pieces of that study in various social events around the country so one of these we called the retail retail bonfire was in Manhattan a couple weeks ago we had three or four hundred clients in. To the Dream Hotel put on a cool event and shared some of the research but I also got to, talk a little bit about one of my favorite topics which is personalization and I I got to share this story that I enjoy sharing that I call hashtag United you don't know me and it's essentially this. This tragic story about how I'm United's best customer and I'm in their Secret customer Infinity program and I travel millions of miles with him and I. Do all my spending with a very expensive United credit card and so imprimis they should know everything about me and they should have tons of data. Dramatically reduce friction and make my my experiences with them easy and. [3:23] There's just numerous touchpoint I have with them every day where they missed that opportunity and so. I used that story to sort of underscore the point that at the moment in the industry were talking off a lot about personalization but in reality, nobody's doing a very good job yet and we we have all that the data and insight to treat customers much better than we in fact actually are and so that's kind of. The kind of said my my talk which seems like it was well-received I got some good feedback at the retail bonfire. Scot: [3:57] Yeah there was a video posted in I couldn't hear what you were saying because it was from the audience there and but there was a lot of laughter I thought you were doing your quit this whole e-commerce retail gig and doing stand-up. Jason: [4:09] So you may have busted me I'm a little Overexposed I flew straight from the retail bonfire to the Home Improvement Aerie tail summer in Chicago which was that show for the Home Improvement industry at talking about digital disruption and so I think the video you're referring to is actually a little bit of my my sort of omni-channel presentation at the retail bonfire and I always. Put some jokes in there and occasionally one of them lands. Scot: [4:38] I don't know you're saying but those people were very rolling in the aisles. Jason: [4:43] I got super lucky that they accidentally recorded the one one segment where where they thought it was funny and they didn't record what I said so you will never know that they just don't have a very good sense of humor. Scot: [4:56] I was guessing that maybe you would like you're like the 9 p.m. and then going to dinner and had like 45 drinks or something. Jason: [5:04] Yeah well that for folks that are interest in having me speak to your event you should know I do have a two drink minimum so I only accept it and swear people are likely in that state already. But yeah so I've been traveling a lot since grocery shop doing a bunch of fun events and I've been trying to keep up on stuff, I feel like everytime I open my newsfeed all I see is a big giant picture of Scot Wingo, doing something with speed and I think there was some pretty cool news this week if I'm not mistaken. Scot: [5:35] Yeah it's kind of you know you would think that my car washing world would not intersect with our digital world that much but the increasingly dense and so one of the things we've been working on it's 50 for a long time is a fair number of Manufacturers have connected car initiatives big Tesla do so I've been in Connected car world since 2013 and what would connect the car is essentially is your vehicle has a 3G or 4G or an LTE connection, that essentially connects your car to the cloud and then usually the manufacturer will give you a nap and I'll let you do a lot of cool stuff so for example with the Tesla app you can lock and unlock the car to put it in the valet mode you can now actually. [6:23] It has a mode where will we will come to you that's pretty cool kind of Tony Stark mode and then so various other manufacturers have other features in addition to the app haven't connected car it in the vehicle you will have Wi-Fi and then you can have just like over the air updates you can have better Maps so there's a lot of really great reasons to do this from a consumer Behavior perspective so 2015 people started in it and it was kind of spotty because a lot of them would charge you extra a lot of consumers didn't sign up for it within the last 2 or 3 years OEM zarchive including it in the the first three to five years of the vehicle ownership so we're that ties in with our world is 50 is for doing Car Care car wash and oil changes those kinds of things and we're having watched Amazon for 20 years yeah I think they think they get right as a musician is being really obsessed with with customers so we. [7:24] I'm thinking how can we make that customer experience better and one of the painful things, drives us crazy is we have to get our customers keys and that can be kind of an arduous process so this allows us for those customers that you have connected cars they can give us permission and then the day of service we can come in and our technician can walk in the black car and get the keys to our service without having them involved. Inet School transparency in mission control of that so that was really well received a lot of good press and thanks for bringing up it's it's it's fun to see how these things overlap. Jason: [8:00] Yeah it's that's kind of cool. It reminds me a lot of sort of it's the carwash equivalent of the Holy Grail of Amazon or Walmart delivering the groceries right through my refrigerator. Scot: [8:12] Yeah Amazon does have a program So within the Amazon key there's two flavors to key there's that home one where they can you can grab them permission with a Wi-Fi lock that come in or out and then you have a camera to watch Lily person I've been else have a car delivery system within tea and they're using a lot of the same technology that we are in the connected car to do that. Jason: [8:33] I will say I know you. Joke about there being a lot of overlap but it's kind of annoying for me because I feel like I'll go to visit a car client and you don't be talking that e-commerce and. You know if you start to feel like you've moved on from e-commerce the car and then they're still out yet we're sick of Jason can we meet Scott. Scot: [8:54] Funny Cooks so it would not be the Jason Scott show without a little bit of. Jason: [9:07] Your margin. Scot: [9:16] Cool well the big amazon news that that has happened since our last news podcast is they they did make the final hq2 decision. Good news is it lined up the rumors reported on so this is kind of like old news in a way but I guess we should say. [9:33] So what Amazon did I is they did kind of did the proverbial the Old Testament splitting of the baby and instead of announcing they decided to split it into two so, New York's and Virginian were the winners so specifically New York City somewhere around Queens called Long Island City which is maybe you can explain this list I don't understand this particular thing. It in Crystal City and they're actually, asking people to kind of create a new names there's a whole new name there that they're going to kind of call where they're going to be, something like National Landing so that's interesting and so there was a lot of controversy after Nelson super small lot of people were upset they split it. I and our cock will this isn't really another headquarters is just two things. You know dr. Holloway was right he had predicted this and so he was indicated in his whole thing about you know it's convener to abduct businesses houses and their political influence. The light people of observed that now Amazon has data from sunlight 240 cities and Metro areas about. [10:50] All this data they had them put together for Amazon is now sitting somewhere in a database I hopes Amazon in the variety of different ways young next time they build a building center or a Dana Center they can kind of go and say well you know for hq2 you said this, certainly give us portion of whatever you promise, and then the other big one is now that it's public the subsidies have been released and it turns out we add up New York in Virginia it's over 2 billion dollars and subsidies, so this creates a lot of consternation from citizens who were like wow why are we paying so much and then company exist, okay we've been here forever when are we going to get our tax credits and it's just really kind of, yeah I probably read 5 articles a date so kind of from the aftershocks this that's been and, you're so that's good be interesting to watch and see where they they plant more flights would you think about it all Jason. Jason: [11:59] I'm a little over at my wife asked me today and I she pointed out that I kind of snapped at her in the answer. Cuz I'm a little tired of talking about it out of course I want to share my myhumboldt pod with our listeners. [12:20] So they're opening a new headquarters in a suburb New York and they're going to 25,000 employees Google already has close to 25,000 employees in New York and there was no year long. Contest or you know this constant drumbeat of news Amazon set. Nothing's up by calling at hq2 and having this kind of formal contest and all of us to follow the industry and in the media. [12:51] I feel like sort of overreacted and bought into it too much because it's in some ways it's it's not a heck of a lot different than. Then the way every other company behaves I mean all all companies you know try to extort these business development funds from cities when they moved new infrastructure there I mean. Towing threatened to move their headquarters from Seattle to Chicago McDonald's and moving their headquarters like they're all these things that happen all the time. And it's it's kind of annoying that the Amazon one stayed in the new cycle for a year and then had this anti-climatic ending right so. They split it up between two City so it clearly isn't that co-equal headquarters like I'm sure the center of gravity for Amazon is going to stay squarely in Seattle so people that like that or going to be happy people that don't like Amazon's presents in Seattle and probably. Going to be disappointed they're going to hire a bunch of people in New York and compete with with Google and the agencies protect tires in New York but that's not. [13:53] I think a game changer you know it's. I feel like it's a little overhyped I will tell you that Steve Carell was the host of Saturday Night Live this week and he played Jeff Bezos. In the opening and he had a bunch of funny lines but one of them he's like we are excited to announce hq2 last week and everyone was really excited with our result. What are the people in one of the cities that we selected as hq2 or any of the people that live in anywhere that is not hq2. Scot: [14:25] Spring Arbor. Jason: [14:30] Pretty funny and summed it up pretty well side note. Anytime a city cut these Economic Development projects with employers one controversial thing is right. How much input you gave the citizenry in this and what you know sort of checking balance process were followed and obviously. Particularly in New York Amazon negotiated for these things and the governing politicians a largely. Agreed to them without any public discourse and so now that they're revealed there's there's a lot of folks on City councils and Andreas capacities that are sort of. Outraged and obviously the Optics to Amazon probably look pretty bad because they're. There you know compared to many companies there they're doing very economically well now these these. Subsidies that they're getting our are publicly revealed there was no there was no sort of public comment. [15:33] And it looks a little shady that they promise this whole hq2 thing and then they they split the baby and you know we all assume that the subsidies they got are not half of what was offered because they split the headquarters in half they probably. Got most or all of the the offered subsidies even for the the half the jobs that they promised and as you kind of pointed out. Every single time they open up a filming center from now on they're probably going to remind that municipality what kind of. Program was off and you know the try to get as much as they can and I think they even announced a big new facility in Nashville the same time they announce these two headquarters. I'm not I don't think they're behaving that much different than any other employer but I feel like. Some of the overhyped pr maybe sort of backfiring on them at the moment because there is a big backlash. And it almost even feels like Amazon recognized it again overboard cuz I feel like they they'll eat the announcement on Election Day in that like I assume that was to try to. Can I sneak it in and a busy new Psycho. [16:40] So another interesting one that I was following this week is there's been kind of a fun arms race on what retailers would do for their free shipping program for holiday. So Target. [16:57] Several weeks ago and asked that they would drop all minimum thresholds on their free shipping so you know if you want to shop from Black Friday to Christmas it Target no matter what you buy what volume you get free 2-day shipping. Walmart normally has free 2-day shipping with a $35 threshold so we are all curious to see if Walmart would respond to targets. Offer in Walmart did not respond they announced that they were going to keep their $35 threshold and so at the time I thought that was kind of interesting Walmart didn't feel like they had to chase. Target in this particularly expensive to offer promotion over holidays I thought that was kind of fascinating and that in a way I, I sort of admired Walmart's position there and then the totally unexpected thing happened Amazon came in and said, oh and by the way we're offering free shipping with no threshold whether you're a Prime member or not for the holidays Inn in effect matching targets offer and undercutting Walmart and well haven't been in Walmart was comfortable, not matching Target I suspect they they did not anticipate that that, Amazon would have a significantly more generous shipping offer than they did. Scot: [18:14] Yeah I had some people tweet at me in there like what why I would even pay for Prime and you know I think what those folks are missing is this is the Super Saver quickly a program that used to be you had a minimum car that you have to get to get Super Saver but it's still the Super Saver service-level just Hard series things to say but essentially you know that's kind of the slow boat and it's a 4 5 6 day kind of a shipping window not a not a two-day so Prime Sole is the thing that makes sense in my mind to pay for it because now you're getting free 2-day shipping for pain description so that's the difference in yiay Prime and Super Saver can still co-exist even when Super Saver is free. [18:58] One thing I noticed it was interesting is there's been a lot of kind of friction between Apple and Amazon over the years and then also Facebook their Style lot of drama going on with with all these companies fit specifically between Apple and Amazon you know there's been no love lost there they had, what example is Prime video for the longest time wasn't available on Apple TV devices you know I don't think apple is ever available on Amazon Fire devices and then I'll dig up that resolved and then one of the ones that got resolved that was kind of nursing is is Apple app that apple is going to really increase its listings on Amazon with kind of bring that the main product lines up there with iPhones iPads and that kind of stuff so it was actually Apple selling on Amazon, I thought the timing was interesting it feels like if your Apple you want to do that for the holiday, the water of Wall Street on Judith at the new iPhones aren't selling it, the pace ever thought they should be and suppliers are swimming in inventory so that was interesting you know what is the quid pro quo if I'm if I'm. [20:15] Amazon and I say alright I'll let you somewhere your stuff here you know obviously you're getting it cuz of that, but then you got it feels like there's something else going there and one of the big friction points as a Kindle reader so I use my Kindle app on my iPad is can't really buy from the Kindle app you have to go to the Amazon website you can buy to the Amazon apps Can't Buy Kindle content website order it and then download it and what they're doing is it getting around the 20 to 30% take right at the store level not selling right from the iTunes Store. So I would love to see you know that is a big friction point that with the Amazon ecosystem I'd love to see kind of hopefully as he's guys get along better let's see that go away. Jason: [21:07] I totally agree you know I assume one of the things that that Apple's getting in the short run is that by being on on the. The popcorn formula that they're going to get more brand protection help in more policing with all the the counterfeit product and because am is Apple so popular. You know there's a lot of speculation that there's a ton of counterfeit fit product and I'm I'm thinking mainly like Chargers and cables and things like that that that. Probably part of the quid pro quo of Apple being on their formally is that they'll get more help with their brand protection and so in some ways it felt not too dissimilar from the like the deal Nike cut earlier for example. [21:52] But I will throw one thing out, I share your frustration I can browse for books on the Kindle app but I can't buy them I have to go to the website and prove your point it's because when you buy something through an app you pay a commission to the app store owner right and so. Amazon doesn't want to pay Google and iTunes the big Commission on those. So they make you go to the web there is now a traffic solution for this Amazon should release a Kindle Progressive web app. An answer that that essentially like would be. Functionality that you don't get from the the App Store and therefore don't have to pay a commission and so they could basically have all the same offline capabilities that they have in their app that can let you put an icon on there on on the. The homescreen let you read books offline and all those sorts of things and they could sell you books which without having to pay on iTunes or Google Play. Commissioned so regardless of whether this deal makes apple and Amazon more friendly in that way if you like Amazon needs to get off the dime and embraced pwa. Scot: [23:04] So then how do you it's so I'm going to do it for dummies question if they're not in the app store which everyone's been trained as a way to get this stuff how do you do discovery. Jason: [23:15] So that still is the that is the problem with pwa today. [23:21] Never trying to con in Discovery they're not discovered in the App Store but they are much more discoverable in Google then amps are in so. I if I were a Amazon I would certainly still have. My app in the app store for Discovery but I would give them an alternative which is this pwa version so instead of throwing someone to the Amazon website to buy. The book and then having them come back to the app to read it I would throw them to the pwa version of my sight to both by the book and read them going forward and it will see if the App Store. Track down on this pain at the moment there's no restriction against having an app in the app store if you get that app away for free by the way you pay nothing to the App Store have utility in that app. In that app you can totally promote your pwa and even had a direct link for someone to download the PJ pwa version, as having greater capability than the App Store version so. You can kind of use the app store version of the Trojan Horse for your pwa version but at the very least the pwa version would be a good would be a better alternative than. Send him to the website to buy and then having them come back to the Kindle app. [24:46] So we'll see how that all plays out. Scot: [24:48] Search Jeff listens I'm sure he's taking care of since Jeff call Jason if you want details. Jason: [24:53] Or I'll just send an email you can add a? In forward it off to someone to ruin their life on Thanksgiving. We you did not record a show directly adjacent to it but. Of course singles Day November 11th was happened since the last time we did a new show and it's kind of a big milestone it's the 10th anniversary of double eleven day. Did you were you up late buying some stuff from Hong Kong. Scot: [25:29] Wasn't you know I think it's been interesting over the 10-year Ark where you know I feel like the last first nine years there was all this hey this is going to spill into the US and then feels like this year there's finally capitulation and I didn't even get a single email I think from us retailer promoting it like last year I got a couple of your before I got a lot and you before you a lot so it feels like, we kind of given up on the spilling over in the US and then Prime day is kind of become are on the singles day. And now everyone is anchoring on that and offering their own kind of deals around that time for 11:11. Yep. Jason: [26:10] The number of years where singles they grew dramatically and Jack ma would threaten next year. We're coming to the west and mostly what that meant and this has definitely been true. Every year alibaba's done a great job of recruiting more Western Brands to participate in singles day, in Asia and definitely singles day has expanded Beyond China so Alibaba now you don't has a presence in other cities are other countries rather, they have is it was Zada. In Singapore did they extended it too so it's it's definitely become a bigger Regional event and there's a ton of Western Brands I have a ton of clients that are excited about it as an opportunity to sell to. The indigenous populations in those countries but I would agree with you right there was always some type that there might be some play for for us consumers and it most there's like a kind of soft play for. Scot: [27:14] Like a kind of soft play for. Jason: [27:17] But I definitely know I haven't seen any any traction with with Western Choppers. Just what happened they sold 30 billion the equivalent of 30 billion dollars in US 30.8 billion so huge day. Compare do I cut prime day that might be 4 billion or a Black Friday or Cyber Monday they could maybe hit 6030000000 the normous number, that's up from Mike 25.3 billion last year so, in a superficial you look at that and go man this this thing continuing a crank it does seem like the rate of growth is starting to slow down so that represented a 27% growth over last year to put things in perspective last year was a 39% growth over the year before that and I'm pretty sure every year other than those two has been over 50%. [28:14] Feels like the growth rate is decelerating a little bit and. In some ways even though was the 10th anniversary it felt a little bit Mewtwo number one Jack ma who played at the super prominent role in the first nine was was there but had like a much less significant role as he sort of stepping back from the company a little bit. I think Alibaba issued some guidance either right before or right after, singles day that they sort of downgraded their the revenue guidance for the year and there's a lot of talk about how the Chinese economy is slowing down a little bit so. You know it's it's one of those things like objectively. It did really well but against expectations it was a little bit of the year if you will. Scot: [29:06] Yeah absolutely and dumb Alibaba stock is spelled it so even after you know what kind of a crazy number like 31 billion essentially if you around up a tad which is crazy to do in a 24-hour period the stock is trading kind of New Year Of Glow and it's that pressure up lowering the forecast China economy slowing down the tariffs you know everyone is thinking. Is, assuming the worst with this tariff environment that were in so yeah it's going to be a little bit of a rough time there yeah I did see another article that to your point about brands that they had the most semi 200 Western Brands sold pretty considerable amounts on there and it it's funny it's kind of like you know everyone goes to China and tries to set up a.com to give up and they essentially saw Auntie mall to you're looking at, even Amazon who runs their own Chinese store they sell a lot of candles and devices over there which be like let's see if you like Amazon selling on eBay which you would never have so it is interesting to see it even though they're slowing down there quite dominant and huge portion of e-commerce goes to Ali. Jason: [30:24] For sure what one of the thing that seems what is containing attractions every year they make significant progress in trying to turn this into a omni-channel event so Alibaba owns a bunch of stores they only like a hundred of these fancy digital-first grocery stores they don't like 500 convenience stores. Increasingly there their soliciting other retailers that they don't, direct Lyon to participate in double eleven day in so what that usually means is some kind of digital enablement so maybe they have a digital sign in the front of the store with the deals and you can. Activate the deals in the store you might take the goods with you or had the good ship from home but you don't really trying to expand from being a pure e-commerce holiday to being an omni-channel holiday. [31:15] E-commerce is bigger in in China than is in u.s. it still is true that it's like e-commerce is like 15% of the total. Retail spend in China and that's. More true in a lot of the West develop cities so you know it. Yeah you got a really big tier-1 cities there's kind of a premise that they're they're getting saturated with e-commerce and that you know everybody knows about it and use it as much as they want to and that really is driving the. The swelling growth rates in China. There's a huge untapped Market in China which are all these West develop cities that you are more likely to have like real farmers in them and to one of those you get singles day to reach him or them is you. Enable that one physical store that's in that City to sell stuff from. From that singles day in that store and so it seems like there was something like 200,000 stores that participated in singles Day this year so so that to me is is. Kind of interesting and you know frankly that's going to have to be the future of the growth story in China right like you. [32:30] It's already bigger than the US that the addressable Market is even way bigger, but they increasingly have to get these not digital Shoppers to to get in online before they are able to get them to become e-commerce shop. Scot: [32:47] Yeah so pooping so we've covered Amazon Ali Baba and now another large Global retailer is Walmart they announce their quarterly earnings and this was weird once were they that came out in and you exceeded. Expectations and it seems like they raised him in the stock went down and I'm not exactly sure what went on there I bet you made his watch that little bit closer than I did the headline that caught my attention was they announce that e-commerce group 43%, I think that's a pretty good acceleration for these guys and Baseline about kind of 15% growth rate that's the top scorer number and government is a lot of people that anchor on this 15% growth number so it feels like Walmart's e-commerce is growing 3x Amazon's quarterly earnings were more in the mid-20s range so feels like they're growing faster than congratulations to our friends at Walmart there sounds like. Jason: [33:49] And kind of put it in a frame it a little bit if the investor Day last year mark Glory promise 40% annual growth in e-commerce and then the next quarter out they slightly miss that at 39% and, a 1% misses apparently enough that they took a pretty big beating in the in the. Financial press and in their stock market in their in their market cap so the next couple quarter since then they basically hit that, percent exactly in fact it almost seems suspicious cuz I hit that exactly so this quarter getting 43%. With big holiday quarter up is pretty favorable and good news for Walmart, you know I do like to remind people in my mind a big driver that huge number so you know what we're doing a lot of things to grow e-commerce they really turned up the heat on the marketplace and they've dramatically expanded their selection so I think. Not very long ago that they were selling about a million rescues online and today they're more like 40 or 60 million skus online so making huge progress on the assortment. But one of the big drivers of e-commerce at Walmart is. [35:03] Selling groceries online in the way Walmart predominantly sells groceries online is you order them online in there for field from the store so either curbside pickup. Or home delivery and. You know you can add a new skew to your eCommerce site and it instantly available to everyone in the US but to grow grocery sales. [35:26] You have to make more stores available to fulfill that order so Walmart has like 4,000 stores in the US. As of this quarter they had 2100 stores that did curbside pickup and 800 stores that did. Home delivery that's twice as many curbside pickup stores that they had last year so. In a way they've doubled their capacity to sell groceries online in the last year and they're promising another thousand next year and so a lot of this e-commerce growth is be coming from. Like this this significant investment the Walmarts making in grocery. Scot: [36:04] When will that be in every story like when will they laughed that that whole thing. Jason: [36:10] Yeah they haven't said yet but like if you. Last year 2000 stores next to a thousand stores if we if they keep up that linear progression they have two more years before they max out and so then it's another year after that before they really lap the. The 4000 store number so there's there you know could easily be two or three more years of. Benefit from this kind of digital same Source Tails phenomenon that's playing out at Walmart. Scot: [36:39] What's going on with our friends in Bendel. Jason: [36:43] I want a few things but the other one I would have just hit on right now it's kind of fun to Doug mcmillon's the CEO of Walmart impressive guy started out as in internal Walmart work in the stores and is now I think according to Fortune Magazine like the 40th most powerful man in the world which I remind myself every time I've been meeting with him he did an hour-long podcast on the Tim Ferriss show so, like you know he speaks a lot but not really long form like that and so it's kind of fun to hear him and he got to share a little more personal stories then then he's normally known for so if you're interested in Walmart I'd encourage you to listen to that podcast on the Tim Ferriss show and frequently the Tim Ferriss show is kind of a feeder for this show so we watch that show carefully if a guest as well there then we might consider having him on our show so you know maybe that bodes well for Doug's chances of getting on the Jason and Scott show one day soon. Scot: [37:44] Tim doesn't have the reach we do so we try to help me out by by mentioning his podcasr once in awhile. [37:55] So there was a lot of brick-and-mortar stuff announced involving phones and I wanted to pick your brain on that one I saw was 7-Eleven they have this kind of Scan & Go technology what's interesting is kind of pivoting from from Walmart there Walmart had this functionality I think they've actually kind of liked it so you could kind of self checkout at Walmart so now you can't do that but everyone else is trying it so, what the heck's going on with that. Jason: [38:25] So what we kind of genetic I'll scan and go is the ability to pull out your phone scan a product yourself in the store and then pay for it on your phone on and therefore not have to go to a cashier to pay for it and that the expressive been around for a while they weren't the first ones but actually Apple Store is offered this for quite a while so you can walk in and grab your accessories scan them in the Apple app, pay with Apple pay or whatever payment methods you have on file and walk out of the store never have to get help from anyone. [39:00] And we're seeing that increasingly being used Macy's is rolling that out one of the big complaints and these big department stores is that it's hard to find a cashier to check out. So that, potentially attacking the number one complaint at Macy's is you mentioned they rolled it they piloted it in Walmart and Sam's Club and they should have turned off that pilot in Walmart they've doubled down on that pilot in Sam's Club we haven't officially heard from Walmart what what's going on but, my suspicion is in this is kind of a funny side note about anything you do in retail. I'm willing to bet that a bunch of the clerks in Walmart did not love promoting Scan & go because it peten, the potential to reduce the number of shifts they have for cashiers in Walmart so you can imagine this labor force that's responsible for educating customers about this feature. [39:59] It feels like that picture is competing with their livelihood and so, wouldn't surprise me if Walmart is having a retrench How They Roll that out in the Walmart stores but they definitely have embraced it in the Sam's Club stores and in fact Sam's just announced a new. Concept store called Sam's Club now and not only can you scan & Go in Sam's Club now it's the only way to check out so you absolutely have to have a phone and you have to have the Sam's Club app installed before you're even allowed in the store you scan all your items as you put them in your car. And you you self checkout before you leave the store that's a interesting pilot. [40:44] At the same time since they now know every customer is using the phone in the app in the store they've added a bunch of features to the app so they actually have one of my favorite features they've added an augmented reality feature so you can name your phone camera. Add a shelf in the store it recognizes the products on the store and it gives you supplemental information about this product. So you can do the like kind of product comparison where you compare two products and see how the attributes are different than what the pricing is. With why products in the store you can also see ratings and reviews and things that were used to an e-commerce, Sam's is now enabling in the Sam's now store but using the the phone that they're forcing the customer to use and to me that's a big Trend in brick-and-mortar so I'm calling this Tran the future brick-and-mortar is mobile. Because we're increasingly sting same-store Concepts where you literally can't shop the store without using your mobile phone so. We talked a lot about Amazon go and this show can't get in the Amazon go store, without using the mobile app Amazon has book stores in these four star stores in if you want to know the price of any book in the bookstore you need to use the app if you want to pay in the stores are highly encouraged to use the app in those Amazon stores. [42:05] Jd.com that the second biggest e-commerce site in China has just rolled out this new digital grocery format called 7 fresh and they're requiring customers to use their, the phone to get in the store and to do scan and go and have all these features in the store excuse me. And Nike just opened a new, flagship store in on Fifth Avenue in New York it's a cool store for variety of reasons but most of the cool new features are digitally enabled features that require you to have your phone in the store that day, stores geofence the app so when you watch the Nike app near the store the app goes in the in-store mode and it gives you all these unique capabilities. Help you shop the store better so we could eat that in the future episode on any of the specific store formats but to me the big takeaway is. [43:00] 15 to 20% of all e-commerce sales sales happen in e-commerce the rest happen in stores, throw these things people are getting used to online like Dynamic pricing and ratings and reviews in more detailed product information and, the very consistent answer that we're seeing to solve all those problems for brick-and-mortar Shoppers is to have that experience on the phone. Perfect sense because. Customer bring the super expensive phone with a big brilliant screen with him to the store that's a lot more appealing than putting thousands of super expensive screens in the store at the store would have to pay for so I think there's a train we're going to continue to see play out. Scot: [43:41] Yeah and judging from your voice to get pretty you're pretty emotional about the stuff man. Jason: [43:48] I love me some mobile brick and mortar shop. Scot: [43:50] Cool that's the all the News That's fit to chat about any Commerce in retail with that let's move over to listener questions. Jason: [44:08] Question question question question. Scot: [44:14] Our first question comes from, Patrick and he says we're a small retailer with about 30 or 40 employees and we're transitioning from selling other people's stuff. To developing in manufacturing our own brand of products any suggestions on building a team within a retailer that is responsible for manufacturing your own. Brand of products does seems to require a new skill set of employees that we have not traditionally hired for for example Engineers product Developers osetra, Jason had any advice for Patrick on how to counter if swivel maybe not pivot is Right work but too kind of gradually go from selling other people's stuff to developing your own products and sign this. Jason: [44:56] That will sew a congratulations on leaning in that direction I absolutely the dad is a important part of the future of Commerce is more more companies are going to be selling their own stuff it's going to be increasingly harder to make a living selling other people's stuff and I do think you're right like I. You need a lot of different skills to be a product developer manufacturer and marketer, then you do to be a wholesaler or retailer in so I do think you want to think about. Adding those new capabilities via VIA dedicated teams. [45:39] A picture of the things I really want you to think about in the places I would start thinking about investing in in shifting my labor force the most are the successful products that people watch today. Are based on. An intimate understanding of the Target customer and their needs wants and desires and so like all the companies we've seen their been really successful launching new products have a direct relationship in some way or another with a customer, and they use that relationship to test launch new products and quickly iterate and that is Maybe, not best done on platforms like Amazon where's your. Pretty heavily disintermediated from the customer and so you know one of the things I encourage companies to do is they pivot part of their business from from wholesale to to being a brand of manufacture. Is [46:34] Thinking about how you can develop a direct-to-consumer Channel or some way to have meaningful intimacy directly with customers so that you can get. [46:44] Feedback from from customers and so you can more quickly iterate on five development and by all means once you have a great product. Use all those other channels to sell the heck out of it so I have no problem with you selling that new product you invented. On Amazon but I think you need another Channel besides Amazon to test and learn and really develop those those product quickly. The other thing I would remind you is when you're selling someone else's stuff someone else is invested a lot of money in creating awareness and demand for that product when you're making your own product. You really need to have a marketing strategy around how you're going to treat that awareness and brand and usually the, different skills the dirty secret is when you're selling someone else's stuff the Big Marketing skill you need is actually B2B marketing skills, you build a relationship with those retailers but when you start making products that you want consumers to buy, because they recognize that your unique value proposition you really need true b2c marketing skills and said yeah you need to start thinking about, having the right people with the right skills and the the appropriate budgets to do that and so you know those are all some of the things I would. I think about as I made that transition Scott any important stuff I miss. Scot: [48:04] Yeah we're going to have a question in a little bit about anchor spoiler alert and so listen. Don't stop listening. Here at this point Patrick Patrick didn't tell us the categories in so sometimes this works or doesn't but one what area is kind of July feedback like you talked about is Kickstarter or Indiegogo and a lot of the biggest campaign to see on there already pretty well put together so but there's this kind of, level down or maybe two levels down if you kind of Explorer to there and companies are using those platforms to do a lot of experimentation around features so let's say you're going to come up with a widget and I kind of want to find out if people want feature 1 2 3 or some combination of those use those platforms for that what you do is you put the basic product out there then as you date they have different terminology for this but it's actually there's these different levels that that people can commit to. I'm going to vote with their dollars so let's say your base product is $30 and then you can add these features and. You can use that that feature set on those platforms to kind of let people vote with their wallet for different features that you may or may not want associated with your widget. So if you still a little time poking around there you'll see what I mean but that's kind of a cool way of of kind of. [49:29] Killing three birds with one stone so you're getting dressed feedback from consumers you're getting people to pay for YouTube product which is always nice, I did the third one is your building that direct channel so that those platforms can be really useful way that I don't think a lot of Amazon sellers may think about leveraging those platforms for for for doing that. Okay our next question is from Street, and we'll do kind of lightning round here so his first question Jason is is the Amazon business in consumables really growing. [50:06] All right. Jason: [50:08] But clearly there's categories like the Amazon basic battery famously has. 31 market share which is 10% bigger market share than Duracell tons of brands are seeing huge growth on Amazon subscribe and Save. I think it's fair to say that like Dash replenishment well super interesting and potentially the future. Isn't huge yet but absolutely Amazon's having I think very meaningful success in in consumable type product. Scot: [50:39] Are there any consumables that aren't doing well. Like maybe razors like me up Dollar Shave Club and doesn't seem like Amazon's really directly address to that that market that seems to be where razors are going just going to rain in my pickle. Jason: [50:55] That so you know we're going to do is we have to invite one of our data friends like 10 10 data onto maybe share that but I would not be shocked if Amazon sells more razors than Dollar Shave Club or Harry's. So I haven't I'm guessing I haven't specifically seeing the data on razors obviously there are a lot of people buying razors as a single order from Amazon. What's the mixture make a note and we will find out from from some folks that might know in the future shop. I think one of the other questions that tree ask got was why are we not embracing Alibaba in the US. Scot: [51:37] Yeah we kind of talked a little bit about this on the singles day coverage and there's just kind of an interesting little history lesson here, not a lot of people may know so Alibaba acquired a eBay selling platform full disclosure this is a kind of small competitor of Channel advisors called Activa in August of 2010 and then one of the things that Activa team did it and I'm good friends this guy's name is Jeff they pitched Ali Baba on building a Marketplace so essentially aggregating the products from those eBay sellers that now we're kind of also buying a lot of products from Alibaba to sell in the US and they came up the little Marketplace called 11 mean that never got traction a lot of people kind of a room you'll see felt like that was Ali Baba's bet on the US and that's not true and it was just kind of experiment Within that ended up getting caught wound down in 2015. Combined with a bunch of other marketplaces and then. [52:47] Alibaba you know where they're investing heavily is so special to have a very large US presence in New York and their they seem to be expanding that AliExpress is, have a B2B site where you can buy in bulk you know products and then resell them so lot of these Marketplace sellers Source from AliExpress I don't think Alibaba disclose exactly how big that is in the US but I I know it to be quite large so that's a big Market Place a lot of people don't know about because it's kind of weird B2B and then the other kind of technical of Alibaba that reaches into the u.s. today is they invest in a lot of companies. So let's see I always get some of this mixed up with Racket and who's the other company that kind of comes in and buys a lot of our companies so alibaba's a big investor in ShopRunner and then they see today by some The Flash show cat is or was that. Jason: [53:48] I know for fact rocket on about a few but it wouldn't shock me a volume also has. Scot: [53:55] So it seems like most of their their plays in the US have been to really kind of, invest in things and keep an eye on it where you know where I think they're they're doing a lot of the US is more China in so we mentioned earlier the show getting large Brands sell into China that have done some experiments we're trying to get Chinese Francis on the US yep that hasn't really play doubt busiek Park is flowing through Amazon right now or through AliExpress or from Alibaba which you know back to the first question how do you start building questions how do you your seller of other people stuff how do you start the Liam one thing we didn't talk about is finding a Chinese manufacturer alibaba.com is great for that so you can go on there and literally find a factory to make you any. [54:45] So those are the ways that there is some connective tissue between kind of the the China Alibaba world and the US so yep there's always been speculation to sew on eBay and PayPal split up there's rules around this I think we're past the time frame around these rules there's a lot of speculation that it was being done so that the eBay asset could be sold off mom and the number one company admission does find that would be Ali Papa so that would become an interesting way for Alibaba to really get serious about the US market is by eBay retool it and kind of what's worked in China which is splitting the people kind of oriented auctions from any of the B2B sotol Ballentine mall and and then taking a run at the US with some combination of putting a lot of Chinese sellers in the mix so so we'll see the jury still out on that I think it's definitely something Ali Baba has it keeps an eye on and want to the kind of in a weekend position right now like we mentioned earlier so out so I don't think it's you know if I was there I would do that right now, but you know it is something to keep an eye on and we will report any news there on the Jason Scott show. Jason: [55:56] Nice. We're starting stats for Tom little bit that you dirty tease this question so I want to make sure we get it in I think it came from an anonymous listener but it sent you the question was anchor which is a nktr which is the. The accessory mobile and PC accessories manufacturer anchor Rose to be a power a power house on Amazon business can you analyze their changes to highlight the overall Marketplace transition to differentiated product development. Scot: [56:28] Yeah and so my knowledge I've never works directly with these guys but I've read a lot of articles about him and I know people that have worked with him so it's all second-hand knowledge so Jason you may have more knowledge but urban legend at least on this is Anchor started as just kind of in one of these companies that sells a lot of accessories and then they started to see a hole in the market not and I think one of their. As they started to get their know their customer a lot of them are Travelers like like you and I and the one of the first things they noticed or heard from their customers was, hey you know I want, more USB ports on my power supply so that I don't have to buy as many of the Scituate of the bricks so one of their first products that came out with was a multi USB plug-in kind of power supply that was wildly popular and now they've taken that and really run with it and you know they have a whole, Kohl Mansion whole group that that innovates around these kinds of things talks to people and understands you know what what is their next gadgets need look like, I'm I'm sitting here and. [57:43] I got 30 or 40 different anchor thinks I have a thousand Jason and it's one of my favorite things to buy on Prime day because they are pretty aggressive song and to my knowledge they pivoted from Simply a Marketplace seller all the way to a top manufacturer I've read articles that kind of put their sales well north of of several hundred million dollars would surprise me I bet they're probably three to five hundred billion dollar company at this point so, back to that first question this is a really good example of how they do it but I also know, it's been a lot of time looking at Amazon search results there's various services that give you Amazon searches and the results, so for example we have a customer channelizer that spoke at a conference so I don't feel bad saying this they you know there's just this classic Han Solo in carbonite image there in the Star Wars world shockingly so I know a lot about them and they kept seeing people look for that in different ways and they came out with a beach towel that had it on it so it looks really funny the beach towel is just like. [58:50] The exact Han Solo in carbonite so it looks kind of funny when she was sitting there on the beach and they discovered that two looking at Search terms so people are actually looking in towels for Han Solo Carbonite not finding it and they saw the no search results there and decide, and I've heard danger guys talk about they spent a lot of time looking at the Amazon Marketplace in these inequities between Supply and man and then they figure out how to be the supply that meets that again. Jason: [59:18] Yeah it's an awesome tactic if your own e-commerce site it's one of the most valuable, places to mine are those zero results found on your own site but for sure using tools to get disability in the like what's happening on Amazon searches super valuable the other area that they they tend to farm a lot for good Insight is the reviews on the. Amazon so you you can actually learn a lot about the attributes people are looking for and products by reading the reviews of people that actually bought the. The previous versions of products which is another good tactic, and you did correctly surmise I feel like I am a little bit of an anchor hoarder I have some weird wait in fear that someone's going to come to my house with a weird device that they need charged and I'm going to be a bad host, and not have the right the right stuff so I feel like I I buy way too much of that stuff and every new Gadget that comes out open the door to replace it all right so. Now are our latest iPhones can be charged by 18 watt Chargers and they charge a little faster so I had to replace all the the the older usb chargers with USB C Chargers and one of the things you'll find from a company like anchors they have now moved in a differentiated products is. [1:00:36] Actually have competitive advantages over the ocean of of generic products that are there on the market so you can find, 18 watt USB C charger from anchor that are much smaller, that have like nice usability features like folding plugs and all these things then almost in the other sellers on Amazon so it it it are a little tip of my hat. It's always surprising to me when you can offer a differentiated product on Amazon where they now have like 600 million. Million skews and so that's going to be a great way to leave it hopefully you're listening to this show, in your car on the way to. Your relatives for for Thanksgiving and when you jump on your phone to look for some of those Black Friday deals make sure you check out some cool new usb chargers, from our friends and anchor and so, if I'm wrong or you have another paper product or there's anything else you want to discuss from the show we did encourage you to jump on a Facebook and leave us a question we do try to get to all of them we can. What is a good enjoy the show we sure would appreciate it if you would jump on to iTunes and give us that 5-star review. Scot: [1:01:48] Thanks for listening when we hope you have a great Thanksgiving and we're thankful here at the Jason and Scott show for you listening to these crazy ramblings through over a hundred 50 episodes we have no idea why you do it but we really appreciate it. Jason: [1:02:05] Absolutely and so until next time happy turkeying and happy commercing.

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The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP152 - Salesforce.com Shopper First Research with Rick Kenney

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 19, 2018 55:01


EP152 - Salesforce.com Shopper First Research with Rick Kenney  Rick Kenney (@rickkenney) is Head of Consumer Insights at Salesforce. Rick recently completed a "Shopper First Retailing" study in conjunction with Publicis.Sapient. The study included data from: Shopper activity: Digital shopping behavior of 500+ million shoppers Consumer survey: Preferences of 6,000 global consumers Mystery shopping: 70 brick-and-mortar stores evaluated for consumer experience Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 152 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Monday November 12th 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 152 being recorded on Monday November 12th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scot Wingo. Scot & Rick: [0:40] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason Scott show listeners Jason all the trade shows going on in travel that you have been plugging in over the last month's we took a little bit of time out and haven't had some guests on the show they don't like it when you're like well we could do 1 a.m. or 3 a.m. I'm so not the good news is continuing here with episode 152 and through the holiday season we have a really strong slate of guess they're coming on the show is a theme they have one thing in common they are bringing to the Jason Scott shows some really awesome data and insights around consumer paper. And kick off that thing we're excited to have on the show Rick any and he is the head of consumer insights at salesforce.com Salesforce in publicist Sapien and full disclosure that's Jason's company and he played a role he would say pivotal I think Rick would say minor so what. You played a role in the project and it was recently completed and has some really comprehensive research and Retail consumer Behavior Jason I Jason's kind of been talking about this a lot Rick and we are really excited to have you on the show welcome. [1:50] I am thrilled to be here I'm a long time listener first-time guest so thanks for carrying the torch on Commerce podcast and let's let's talk about it. Yeah I think any good geographies interesting I am in my home state of North Carolina Jason's in Atlanta and you're in Seattle so I think we got kind of the you know by coasts and covered here Coast to Coast. Jason: [2:14] Exactly it's pouring rain here are you guys going to do some weather. Scot & Rick: [2:18] It's beautiful outside in Seattle today we are rainy here as well. Jason: [2:23] So the West Coast wins this week so you will know we always like to get things started by getting a little background about our guest and how they came into their role so can you you share your your story with. Scot & Rick: [2:38] Yeah so so as you know I'm I'm in a sales Force uniform now but it all started with the boy and a dream about e-commerce back in the early 2000s when the what I said a company called Zildjian so is Elgin mini know as symbols and drumsticks and that's a very entry-level. Participant in the marketing department I figured I'd hitch my wagon to e-commerce. And I found my way into email marketing and then threw some acquisitions. And it has been a time since I'm just really been infatuated with all things Commerce and Performance Marketing since early 2000 so that means. Carly Salesforce in prior to that company called to man where was e-commerce ranks and then GSI Commerce. Which was a another e-commerce provider back in the early 2000. [3:36] Lucy got some GS either I'll have to ask her are you a musician is that why you went to cymbals and drums. Yeah you know I thought early on in life that I was going to go pro in in the Rockstar thing but. Change of plans went pro in e-commerce and look back but. [3:59] Rickles so then see you were at GSI and then demand and then. That's that's the exact one in Gs I came in through an acquisition of a company called the dialogue which folks may remember from the. Earlier days of email on the 2006 well Brickell and then the sales force is obviously a huge company and after acquiring demandware it became part of their what are there many clouds have Like A Thousand Clowns so maybe just for folks that aren't familiar with that 100% maybe give a little high level overview of of that cloud and then tell us about your role. [4:37] Yeah so so Salesforce many know is the number one CRM provider in the world in particular to folks who are listening in now on the e-commerce space you may know Salesforce Commerce Cloud so Salesforce Commerce cloud is B Enterprise leader for all things Commerce providing and so we are my team particular we are part of our retail team so I've got a really fun group but really fun jobs at our aim is to tell that true story of shopping. [5:07] And the other super Advantage build in that we get to look at the actual shop activity of half-a-billion Shoppers globally and that's. Direct-to-consumer Enterprise Brands and retailers in inside all those quicksand all those Taps UC the change in retailing to the pace of that change and really how Shoppers are acting today and it provides really a great canvas to tell a whole lot of cool stories I don't really wear retailer should be putting their Investments and working towards these days cool well we're all here for the data so let's jump in I think the the name of the the program here is chakra first couldn't go shopping first so let's lay a foundation tell us about how did this come about sounds like you want them part of this you have all the stator I'm through the demandware system it's based so obviously you can see all the analytics and things that your your aggregate. Retail and brands are generating their and you said something like half a billion so tell us a bit more about the research and what was the goal. [6:17] Yeah and this is really this is my favorite piece that we've done over the past 10:05 or 6 years of doing this and we had first some some great call authorization mention heike Young from Salesforce and he'll be Anderson from pupusas. Safety and then there were three of us and we also did this three-dimensional data said I talked about that shopping activity we look at a half billion Shoppers a recorder and inside that we see a whole lot of really great things to devices that use the thracian they stand box that they by Cecile a lot about the Shopper activity. When will you want to look into Shopper preferences we added some survey data and then we also had this really fun mystery shopping expedition across 70 stores in the US and London as well. What are the three things together and we created this what we we consider this blueprint of retailing success sends who tells the story of what it takes to succeed in retail given the climate that certainly we all know about of some really interesting macro pressures that are facing the retail Market overall. [7:21] Did you guys to 501 Shoppers is a lot do you guys just close the GMB going to the Wyndham and where was Private or a public separate they did disclose I can't remember the number but you have any idea. Dollar amount of transactions work we're talking about here. Yeah we disclosed last year for 2017 calendar year we had more than 25 billion in gmv across the across the sales work on her class about that is sore retailers for retailing brands are those gray lines exist now they're really looking to see how they compare with other Enterprise Brands to retailers. Direct-to-consumer space nut is the Wheelhouse of All Things Early Salesforce but to the state of set as well. [8:12] And then again I remember so in demand where was Independence the the set of customers kind of skewed have the fashion I would say you're or apparel did you guys do anything in the data to kind of normalize it against kind of a categories drinking like that. Yeah there's some really good depth in a few of those vertical sea mentioned so all things apparel General active luxurious three different flavors of apparel overall there's a really healthy component of Health and Beauty inside of theirs as well so that that spans from high-end Beauty all the way down to something more cosmetics. [8:54] Epgi felonies and then as well as Electronics there's well this really cool view of a really strong Brands and retailers for this year's report this actually the second year that we ran it last year we gets the splits based on those different verticals we do have some other assets where we look at those verticals in particular and and see how they compare with each other but the I think we tried to get out and in this report was how do you tell the story of all the Shoppers and. What's interesting though we see differences that exist between Francis Health and Beauty and apparel we do see is the general shopping at tivity thanks for the foundational items like what device they use when are very similar average order value certainly be different for luxury apparel then more of a fast-fashion set but overall for this predictive group that spans of kind of file, specialty Branson retailers we see a lot of similarities across those. Jason: [10:01] That's awesome Rick I am sort of a geek on the data set I ask you questions all the time and. I'm trying to avoid the temptation to go down a rat hole and get into Super. The new show level stuff but so in addition to that data what you have all the time you did this one time survey and remind me how many consumers were in the survey. Scot & Rick: [10:27] Yes we had half a billion inside of this the particular data set for it's generally we looked at for this one egg quarters worth of data against the year of your peers you before so 2018 you won against 2017 QR codes. Half a billion little bit more than 500 million Shoppers voice. Jason: [10:50] Call n&s on the survey data haven't how many consumers did we talk to. Scot & Rick: [10:55] Yes the survey was 6000 consumers that Global across six Market split evenly US and Canada UK Germany France and A&Z as well 4,000 from each of those those Cheetos. Jason: [11:11] Cool and then we visited some stores and how many store visits do we do. Scot & Rick: [11:16] So Physical stores you visited more than 70 stores it was for in San Francisco New York and London as well. Jason: [11:24] Perfect in so one of the fun things is the story you can tell by by seeing the the sort of. Intersection of those three data sets together and so. Like I know that you came out with these like three big categories of insides as a result of what. [11:44] The things and we named them make it fresh be where I am and give it meaning so I'm hoping we can do a little bit of a dive into each one of those and explain to the listeners what we mean and and what some of the key takeaways were but did you have a favorite of the three buckets. Scot & Rick: [12:03] Absolutely that the first one and we we share this together last week but her on stage together my favorite of the mandates and again we consider this the blueprint he do these three three things really well you're able to can be Pete Wentz the first one though make it freshers is my favorite other couple really interesting things that jump out at me with naked fresh we like to look at what is that product catalog look like how important throughout the year at the very top of the catalog what does that contribute to what we found is that the top 5% of your very best Frost the top 5%. [12:40] Driving 48% of Revenue and a lot of folks talking about the Pareto rule here at the 25%. Is driving 48% of Revenue what's interesting though is when he compounds that. With what's happening with 5% those those top products are changing really rapidly 59% all of the top 5%, are changing. So we're entering the Sarah where you're God or these days of Evergreen products that you have to make it fresh you have to be fast and fresh with your Shoppers and this is really a nod to what happened or rather what fast-fashion did to all of retail that it has Inspire The Shopper to expect to see new whenever they come to a site or stored back when surveyed, they say 69% a shop or so yeah I expect to see something new whenever I get to the site or store in the catalog data saying the exact same thing you need to be fast you need to move quickly and you can't just Sand by the old the old guard of products that may have gotten you somewhere previously. Jason: [13:48] Yeah and that that like it's pretty well with the data like Google typically shares on search right like that. An overwhelming majority of the the search volume is on these head terms but still something like 80% of the searches Google Seas have never been searched before I write like so it you know there's there's this constant churning of what people are thinking about and what they're doing or not when I saw your data on the catalog. [14:19] It was very similar to that white people are coming to these sites with different problems different challenges different occasions and contacts every single time and they expect the retail to beat the meet the needs of that particular occasion in contact. Scot & Rick: [14:37] And I love that you brought up that Google example because I've seen that day. I think I heard it from you from one of your tweets right back went and we decide to look at the same thing of what we look at our site search the Google data is all about SEO and what they're singing in their box when we look at site search so when you go to the top right-hand corner of your phone or to recite you want to see that how often is that changing as well and we know that site search is extremely important extremely productive what does it look like a cross Shopper in turns out that 75% of site search queries are new every month. So this is the hardest part of e-commerce iste the plane simple basic active merchandising is really hard because there's constantly new things than these Shoppers are looking for and if you don't really. Yes I sent you a lot of different topics about merchandising help or is it is but just that number always jumps out of you need always be fresh you need to not just showing freshmen also responding to all this activity is happening all this change the chopper. Jason: [15:50] Yeah for sure it's super easy to do too so that's the good news the wheat we said this a bunch of times. At 75% of queries being new every month totally underscores one of those my one of my favorite Tools in analytics Platforms in my mind when the most valuable. Analytics views we get our these Zerorez search results found right and so you know I'm always encouraging Merchants like there's gold in. [16:21] Typing in your search you're on site search and expecting to get results for an arms and you know that. Telling you all those new items that could be part of next month 59% on your site if only you were able to respond quickly to the to these new emerging demands and to me that. No results found search queries are kind of the canary in the coal mine is as trans and interests and indications are shifting. Scot & Rick: [16:48] Yeah site site search is an endless waterfall of just great things that can happen if you take care of it if you are seeing no results coming to 1518 20% you're starting to get invite big trouble at that point we actually have a a benchmark that we've run for number of years for our customers which is how good are you at site search and looking at conversion on site search no results search and it is always a source of found money for retailers of. [17:17] Cultivate your side search always go back to it the good news today and now is that they're a lot better tools and then just the analyze how much stronger and. Utility trucks the applied intelligence artificial intelligence into merchandising is much more of a chore today that was gosh 5 or 7 years ago. I want more manual orbis extreme rules rules ribbon that is today. Jason: [17:45] For sure and it turns out those this hoax using site search have very high buying intent so so there are good cohort to take care of. Scot & Rick: [17:51] Absolutely. Jason: [17:52] I know that the next foundational thing was called be where I am can you tell us a little bit about about what you meant by that. Scot & Rick: [18:01] Happy where I am just as it sounds this is about making sure that you are surrounding that shop or wherever she or he may be but also maybe more importantly is reducing friction in that experience and Jason you rightfully so bad on your soapbox about things like mobile buying how much friction that has the still in that process the books of not getting rid of them we look at beer I am is that opportunity to inject or rather reject friction and inject a lot of that seamless opportunity what are the easy things we we jump into is the use of mobile wallets and it might seem like a basic and and maybe even in Alyssa is here and and and the three of us we're somewhat tired of talking about mobile but there's still so much opportunity with it and you know we look at where we are today that's as of Q3 2018. We see 65% of traffic is just coming through phone and we need to get better at converting that one of the ways that books are starting to do that night I look at Johnston Murphy Footwear retail job. Bringing Apple pay into their experience and I love the story of Southern Marsh who runs Commerce Johnston Murphy that they actually launched Apple pay last October so over 2017 on a Friday. [19:23] Soft launch no promotion and LSU folks know you don't typically like to launch features on a Friday but they weren't if we're not there they came in the office on Monday and already Apple pay accounted for 15% of all their mobile orders. It made me more over what was really impressive and they were glad to see at the speed. [19:47] At which folks were actually getting through that shop attorney that folks who use Apple pay would 90 seconds faster than someone else who bought with a credit card so that bottom half of the funnel essentially has been sliced off. Buy Mobile balls in particular Apple pay for their example and we're just seeing that when you can reduce friction and be with that Chopper is in their context really great things can happen. Jason: [20:14] Yeah that's that's an awesome example and you see similar results with other mobile wallets like PayPal or Android. Scot & Rick: [20:24] I'm glad you brought PayPal everyone forgets the PayPal at least in the states is still farther away than a number one mobile wallet that sits PayPal. Apple pays doing well for those that are inclined to use and have Amazon payments that is performing well in those really the three that in the states are carrying some real Cher. Last holiday season we saw just the last couple of days we let up to Christmas than 40% of mobile orders were using one of those three. Mobile Wallet site PayPal Apple pay or Amazon his and what we expect to see this season is actually very similar so there was three absolutely Carrie Carrie the share we haven't yet seen evidence of the other ones that are out there we're starting to see more discussion and more information of some of the financing options for the VA. Says all after pair but right now it was three wallets just by themselves are really caring you all the share of. Mobile Wallet. Jason: [21:36] Nice and one of the other things that's really interesting me in be what I am is something it's kind of talked about a long time on the show and you ordered two is is what we call this mobile Gap that essentially you know traffic's increasingly shifting to the mobile device which is great news but bad news the conversion rate you know tends to be you know a half or third on the mobile device what it was on the desktop so that's if you follow that Trend out that's not a very favorable trend. The. And a year 2 years ago Scott and I would debate like what the causes of the mobile Gap was and if it's something that would abide over time as people got. More used to mobile and is the mobile checkout experience got better or whether there's something endemic and in phones versus. Apps that was causing it and most of the data source I do sort of show that while there still is a mobile Gap it is starting to close. Scot & Rick: [22:37] It is an indoor really interesting things about Mobile in end the story because a couple years ago I got to go to stage and it's actually did my big convert speech it was welcomed with open arms because what's happened. Overall in Commerce in the past bunch of years is that no way back when if you go back to the earlier days of when we're all doing this we were trying to educate our boards of directors to start a conversion rate online at. 2 or 3% is it okay that's that's where we're all at is an industry and the folks who had a store back bro we're pause right there 30% of folks who who crossed the threshold goodbye and condition them. Digital reality of to 3% when we did that as it as a group of of e-commerce leaders we also decided that we would put our bonus against increasing conversion rate so soon the practice of conversion rate optimization was born and we pindar are bonuses against that in and we saw this nice Rising tide of conversion right or wrong a bunch of traffic went there but no conversions went there so I'm sending the birth rate started to fall. [23:58] And we had folks coming to us saying hey Mike anniversary it's falling what's going on and it was pretty easy to point out that mobile Gap that you talk about. It was causing this is decreasing conversary you could still have higher orders per Shopper which is a really cool metric to look at us just a look at all your Shoppers look at the orders and walleye you have a nice healthy message to look at compared to this old star geometric. [24:26] And if we start to get their folks are disabled how can I actually Benchmark myself. Permobil in as you may know we have a benchmark and practice in Salesforce but we have one super easy metric that anyone can use and put themselves against now we talked to her. And you take your order share on a device so today that order share on phones is 45%. And if you divide that by the traffic share which today is 65% you get a decimal it's like .67 metric conversion indexed by definition that showing that you have a lower conversion on your phone than your overall conversion rate in the other devices always gives you the sense of what the Benchmark is. That leads me to is the mobile Gap is still there they're still friction we need to get rid of but. [25:24] The goal should not be part we're not trying to be 65% or 65% traffic because the intention mobile Shopper is very different. Attention is when you're in a store and you still want to bother the associate or don't want to be bothered by this so if you take care of your phone into research. And we found that in the research they already uses their phone illegal to walk into your laptop and start checking something out you walk into the phone 83% of those score 18 to 44 year old Chopper are using a phone when they're in the store generally speaking those folks are not buying on their phone while they're probably going to check out through that store and actually buy with a credit card on the way out so the the actual potential of buying on the phone is lower set intent is just naturally going to be crazy so while we haven't figured out the exact value we do know that the Benchmark of what mobile looks like today has risen nicely in the past 40 years we have been monitoring that conversion indexed the past 3 or 4 years and we see that it was 33 if you go back to 2014 reptile that point 67.7 rage now so we are seeing good things happening, we still have that mobile gap insurance the traffic Sharon or share. Jason: [26:46] Yeah I know it makes perfect sense and I love your point that you like we're not the goal isn't conversion parody because all of these are our different circumstances I would like to remind people conversion is a metric not a kpi. There's a lot we can learn from it but it it on its own is a very poor goal and to your point. A 50% conversion rate might be great for a store because there's a heck of a lot of friction to get to that store people only get to that store that had a very strong buying intent you had to drive 5 miles at the park in the scary parking lot yet she weapon in the store you know people were pretty committed before they got through the front door that store in the further away your story is from the the customer the higher the conversion rate of that store is going to be because only more committed customers will do it. The closer the store is to the customer of the worst the conversion rate gets and of course there's way less friction to jump on your laptop then there is to get in your car and drive to a store and there's. Even weigh less friction to hop on your phone while you're standing in line at the bank then there is to hop on your laptop so these are all sort of. [27:56] Different situations then um you know the goal isn't parody I'm embarrassed to say I still have clients that you know come to me with it. Jason we just want to improve conversion rate and frankly more often than you would expect they're even willing to do a performance agreement when I get paid based on how well I can prove right now I have to tell him. Will totally accept that contract but just so you know the first thing I'm going to do is only allow previous purchase orders to to visit your website. Scot & Rick: [28:28] I love it yeah I didn't I love that point about the friction that it's involved with the digital environment compared to the friction involved in the. Is a teaser we have to put this research out but some point early in 2019 will have an analysis of location-based Uber traded in. Eat the spoiler is the geographies that have lower population density which generally have less access to store tend to have a better conversion rate in digital because that is the channel they have to go to. There's a really assuming top of that when you look at the metric. We use the term you always be careful data because it's Dana and other lies you can be really careful and what day that you accept what day does that you need to focus and say I don't know if I believe what's underneath that lets get into it and any any retailer worth their salt knows that they can't take anything at face value and what are you actually measuring. [29:26] Yeah your ear point about previous purchasers making sure that it's true there's reason why when you think about old school direct marketing based on our FM right recency frequency monetary reasons why the are Whispers because recency wins and you can predict who is going to actually be a good shopper based on how they bought from you before and if so how frequently rather are they grow the business. Jason: [29:59] That that's terrific advice in an attention to the third pillar give it meaning can you tell us a little bit about that. Scot & Rick: [30:08] Yeah give it to me anyway we want to do a lot of a lot of diving into really that relationship between the Shopper and the brand of the Shopper and retailer we can have some really into three pieces within this one that there's a side of giving meeting in the it there is the relationship. There's a side about values in about how you as a brand stand for something I hope to connect with the shopper because of that and there's there's some evidence that shows that yes shoppers do and will be more likely to buy from you if you have something that you stand for and they connect you there's is 45% Shopper said that they are more likely to buy someone we also saw a lot of evidence to say yes loyalty programs matter to Shoppers we didn't we didn't ask particularly which types of oil favorite within to give it needs that give it meaning section. It's all about how do you connect Shopper with product and the Art of retailing is doing just that. [31:12] And one of the best way to do that is by using recommendations it's not a new tactic in fact it's one of the oldest and we've had a digital Amazon years ago. Absolutely astounding numbers on what's happening with. Product recommendations next Shoppers then click or tap on a recommendation account for about 6% of all visits. But that group of Shoppers is driving 37% of all revenue. And when you talk about connecting Shopper product there to foundational things on product find ability got to be great at. [31:51] We talked about one earlier which is site search. Site search is always going to be massively overweight in a good way that you'll have 10% of visits and will yield 25.6% of Revenue. This product recommendation finding of 6% of Shoppers and 37% of Revenue is just. And just goes to show you how the power of suggestion the power of connection in a relevance is driving outside results and in there should be other couple folks are still run a nice day is generally the luxury space that. Art ready to rest her or give control over to to some of the algorithms that make up those recommendations bide relevant product recommendations good things happen, With Your Shopper cool some kind of sitting here and that's these are all insightful, what's landed plane for listener so keep it fresh if I'm in fast fashion I'm already doing that but let's say someone is not in that category are there any any tips or tricks for keeping it fresh outside of the national. [33:04] Yeah I know I'm sure the store last week when I was in Stockholm about this time last year I tried to broach the topic of fast fashion with a premium apparel brand and it was it's really what I once I said the words out loud and Fast fashion just the visceral reaction of we are we are not disposable I think it was lost in that it is the baggage attached fast fashion but what the concept has brought us is this the Snead inability to be. Fast in terms of how you turn inventory how you release product how you get away from the know by fashion Seasons into season list and into micro seasons. [33:48] We see more evidence of folks and Jason actually bring up the example of Woodbury launch just less than a month ago that now they've started to actually have these monthly. Drop Cadence's limited edition 24 hours available only through social social channels or least new newer media channel and they started that series and we see. More and more evidence of folks that aren't in the fast faster that might be premium. Or might be entirely different sector that there. Pretty nice limited edition products that are only available for a particular holiday or sees it and the other side of that is expressly bringing customize good maybe the hottest topic that applies not just to retail but also into supply chain components of retail light is who you bring those customized products they made for me just for me. Over to a larger set of your Shoppers and that we see countless points of evidence of some success in there with a lot of the Footwear makers we see apparel brand even toy brand American girl who's doing some. A customized it all inside make it your own this is a lot to be learned here. [35:03] Yeah I think Doug from Fanatics voices like over half their goods or customize that that's definitely people love customization. It's also you know not to take it back to the shop or but it's generally not promotional. And it is insulated from Martin head because of that you not discounting it either so you you can put that van without usually the premium, and not need to take the 30% off at the end of the season so if there's some really good things happen with. Jason: [35:33] Payless returns as well. Scot & Rick: [35:35] We less returns yeah okay I think I think that was the one kind of the pillars are that the make it fresh is probably the hardest to get your head around one question on be where I am used to talk a lot about mobile you know we miss you a lot of Echoes out there and other voice assistance did you guys discover anything about that is that work somewhere retailers should be spending some time. Data voice remains this curious beasts that we we haven't seen shopping activity evidence 2.2 here's how well is performing at its 8 is it difficult to measure this point because of what's coming through from the players the survey evidence supports that. [36:17] There's some interest and activity in terms of shopping related activities the folks. Only one these devices are taking that number was 70% of owners of one of these smart speakers are doing something Commerce related within the past 3 months and realize there's a lot of caveats on top of that I think that's that's kind of where we are right now that there's there's not a whole heck of it is 22. Massive success of this and honestly this this coming season don't expect it either will get more of these devices in homes will see a lot more use of them for basic activities but we're not ready especially in the break the world into wants and needs especially in those those kind of wants of products that might have some. The Peril in the Shoppers that are looking for the technical Goods inside or performance Fabrics not yet just reorder your replenishing through a device that actually researching and getting himself excited and inspired by those goods your little while until voice catches up and maybe you can meet us at team up. With some other elements of behavior trashley when that Chopper through that. [37:35] Put it wouldn't be a Jason Scott Schofield and talk about Amazon a little bit too can I take the B where I am to the extreme and say well you know there's a lot of people on Amazon and. I put that in the bucket of marketplaces and your eBay is in there and even the Walmart marketplace essentially if I follow be where I am to The Logical conclusion is the Dana telling you to sell on Amazon another Marketplace. Yeah I know they were say maybe are our most important finding regardless of what Mandy that lives in is really what's happening in terms of how that how did The Shopper is relating to these different models of retail like that on one side you have a Marketplace if you fall the Spectrum to the bar other end you have the brands and in the middle you have your retailer and what was really interesting was when asking shoppers. Where they choose to buy they said won't of course I go to the marketplace for pricing convenience and access to products. [38:40] And then when it comes to product Innovation and authenticity and just a cool fact of course it's the Brand's because you are able to go dressed as friends to buy now and what's what it shows then is the only reason the chopper said I will go to a retailer in this is where we talk about the squeeze. Only reason that someone will go to a retailers for customer service, CBC the squeeze and bird with brands on one side of the retailer Market places on the other and what is really interesting to me is thinking about the the winners in retail in the past. Five or so years and you'll get folks like Nordstrom in REI and even Stitch fix at putting that list of just really good retailers that had and have a service proposition. Compared with the folks will be there falling or failed you can certainly look at Oakland Toys R Us and pennies have intelligence. I think what the what the retailing world has become as you got to be good at that way that you attracted to shop with it. Brands are great at showing how great they are at being your friend. [39:55] Marketplaces are winning in being so successful because they have access meat provide such value that access. And then if you happen to get stuck in the middle you better have a way you can actually serve your Shoppers and for those that have hooked on the service they're doing well for folks that, so no one we think about what it takes to compete alongside folks like Amazon these days it might very well be that you need to be there that you need to be on that Marketplace but you also as a brand should we consider it well what do you think about me that will actually bring Shoppers back to me. And that's where all those things about make it fresh about limited edition products about collaboration about customized Goods but that could be a real differentiator for you sure put some of your Evergreen product on Amazon that's a great way to meet some of those Shoppers first time but you better have something unique. They actually get to your shingle that you had to hang up your own. Jason: [40:57] Rick one of the points. One of the things is really interesting to me in the research that related directly to marketplaces was this whole notion of how important it is to get the second purchase from that customer can you talk a little bit about that. Scot & Rick: [41:14] Yeah that the wanting to jumped out we we put it into the to make it fresh because there's this sense of needing to act with urgency and we talked about our FM early on about this. What we found is that when Shoppers see that first purchase that sure they're they're going to retailer or brat but when they want to buy something again. [41:36] They go straight to the marketplace and it's actually rather concerning if you look at what's happening that your first purchase you might win. But your second purchase is essentially a shopper at writing and going towards at Marketplace the challenges that we see in this is end for for smart press retailers that are you driving their acquisition cost based on, their lifetime value of a customer and lifetime value the function of how many purchases generally more than a couple. Then your challenge the Beretta retailer is if you only get that first purchase and you lose that shop in the marketplace your economics are totally upside down. Add this we think about acting with urgency the need to anticipate right and immediately after they buy for that first time where you need to take that Shopper and where she wants to be so she does not at right and no chores that Marketplace it's something you've got to be really really good at and side and we just it's it's astounding how many folks are not yet prepared, to do that and not yet prepared to participate that second action. And some bad news is you will lose your Shoppers to the marketplace and the second or bad news is it might not be your exact product the next time I feel better. [43:00] Another interesting output of the research you guys did are what you called for quote on quote foundational retail truths and they are lead with mobile the power of the store Infuse intelligent and connect experiences summer obviously Mobile in empower the store. No maybe it was some highlights you like curious about the last two because on their surface at school. Harder for me to understand what there. [43:28] Yeah you know what we talked about using intelligence it really comes down to what are you doing to really Drive value from the date of that you know and can access and now there's a very basic kind of hierarchy piece around boy talk to her live person you got to be really good at personalization or at least be able to start those recommendations in place increasingly it work or maybe better put the standard is the bottom of your product detail page you have to have recommendation. The challenges a lot of people stop their most folks say alright check I've got recommendations on site what we're seeing is this this new Renaissance that I actually using personalization to create recommendations and create better experiences in whole bunch of other places throughout the shop or Journey not just Aldi shopping for that so yes you need to have. [44:26] Throughout those two site experiences go beyond the product detail page that means having more relevant search results that might not just be rules driven or rather you can service product. The shop will be more interested in because of what you know about their last Clicker. So text me if using personalization site search or even sorting the category Pages based on based on the things that you know about that shower so that's kind of level to it's it's just barely above the product recommendation. [44:59] But now we're seeing this evidence of better mortality experiences like in customer service that we're seeing this will be the year that when we're all shopping will see a whole lot more. The folks at Adidas at the 34% of their inbound increase are generally some of those basic and a wizmo type pieces that a chat box you just take the bottom off of your service increase for though so you're going to see a lot more uses in service. And then finally I think we're finally at that spot and I say finally because I heard it on a commercial last week that Home Depot is advertising. Hey you can take a snap of a product and you can no search our product catalog based on that so you know when the big boxes are doing something like that and there is good investment in good technology around visual search and we seen this for a few months with Pinterest and with Asos we have just one of our customers Rebecca Taylor is actually a piloting some visual search elements right now as well so we're starting to see the intelligence it was beyond sodiq reporting personalization into this in a higher level of actually connecting Shoppers with products in more unique ways that. Can we have not been done before the last few months. Jason: [46:25] Yeah if I'm not mistaken right I think there are two or maybe even three National advertisers that are prominently featuring visual search in their in their television advertising right now so that that definitely tells you at the rabies it's at the top of the hype cycle or or maybe it's it's starting to really add value. Scot & Rick: [46:44] Why I think that's it was just one of those funny moments of I was half listening to the TV in the background when I heard the commercial and it referred to you take steps that way I'm glad I got to DVR and record show that live in a week or two is real Oaks or actually implementing it and that's good news because you know this is this is one of those areas that. Who is Kenna beyond the basics into something is a little bit higher. More compelling for Shoppers and it's actually use case this is a real use case it's good to see that what's happening. Jason: [47:23] Yeah I know you don't need the DVR anymore to capture the interesting commercials much every Advertiser upload their commercials to YouTube now so you can usually find it. Scot & Rick: [47:33] That sounds like a fun day activities at sifting through commercials. Jason: [47:36] Don't bonus tip there yeah anything come out of the research that that struck you as counterintuitive or there was like sort of a fun surprise for you who you know who's been looking at this stuff for a long time. Scot & Rick: [47:49] Yeah I know it's funny one of the one piece of advice when I started doing a lot of this was he never be surprised by a result weather still thinks it did jump off the page I need one of those for me we talked about the Amazon second purchase thing which was may be jarring Morrison surprising because we put that together with the speed at which we see Shoppers terminating as well so if you run a termination to see when your Shoppers mites actually leave you what we found this that. [48:24] Half of your repeat buyers will make that second purchase within 16 days and I think it would when you talk about it talk with retailers of what do you need to change what do you need to do differently. One of the most important things that we found in the surveyor in the in the research overall is that notion of anticipating because. Now you are your butt respite of toothaches Amazon her once I was going to Take Your Shopper if you don't stay tight or going to put a bubble around a shopper and then even for those that stay you only have a couple weeks before you start to lose a whole bunch of your Shoppers so just the speed of which are retailers Brands need to operate today to eat is I think it needs to be jarring to to all bran to retell it today because. Your clock is literally taking on you and making sure that you bring that Shopper back is maybe the most important activity that you can get into. [49:27] So we spent a lot of time talking kind of in the in the present when you look at the data can you extrapolate it and give us kind of your thoughts on and feel free to mix in your own personal lease obviously where do you see the future of e-commerce. [49:42] Yeah I know one of the one of the things that I think is most important today is that we've cut forgotten what we we've been wanting to do that for years in I'll go back to marketing we moved from batch and blast into segmentation and then have been injecting marketing with more personalization recently. Ed in Commerce we spent so much time trying to get those recommendations on the side and if I knew areas of bit of the experience that can be more relevant in meanwhile on the side we had customer service which is really need the true one to one channel. The entire time and it's been largely ignored and looked at as a cost center in silver profit Center and if there's one area that we're learning and I think we'll take a lot from is next couple years is that will start to see this service LED retailing model starts really take shape and take take effect across retail in. I mentioned the datapoint earlier that retailers are successful retailers are ones who do have a service proposition I think it goes deeper than that in the success that we seen from and I can point to stitch fix because their approach has been a service letter the fact that they have a box to get sent to you because there's there's there's a lot of hype around subscription models. [51:09] And it just like any Eddie hot treasury hype cycle topic. [51:15] Those things will will at some point fall and get quieter just like if you go back five or seven years when we saw the flash cell model but, every one of these friends leave something behind in the flash sale model turned us on to the concept of emergency in Access and it even rate ethically showing the word sold out on the website which knowing in the early 2000s something wrong product next Leona Group HST sold out it changed after that after the plastic model to be over this about brand heat look you should have come here earlier this time what we will see from all of these box models that have happened isn't the infusion of this relevance alongside this notion of service and it created just for you and curated just for you will start to be something that retailers and Brands need to differentiate on actually relate to their Shoppers in a much more 1 ton weigh it and to be honest it's an asset that brand retailers have and it's one that the other competition i e Market places, might not yet have holder might not be using so for those that want to succeed try to play the advantages and it said of just fighting the swamp take him out of it. Jason: [52:40] That is a a great piece of advice and that's going to be a great please place to leave it because it's happening again we've used up all our a lot of time so folks if you were eager to get one last question in with Rick or you want to follow up. [52:55] During the show feel free to leave us a note on our Facebook page and what will continue the dialogue there I will put a link in the show notes for where folks can go to download a digital copy of the research we've been. Talking about on Today Show and as always if this show is valuable to you the best way you can repay us is by jumping on the iTunes and finally giving us that five star of you that you've been holding out on I know you're still out. This week would be a great week to do it. Scot & Rick: [53:28] Rick we really appreciate you coming on and spending about an hour with us while you're traveling I know that's never a fun thing if books want to follow follow you on social media and learn more about what you're up to where should I go. Yeah on Twitter you can find me at Red Kenny and I think Jason like you mention you'll drop their link into show notes but if you want to find this Shopper first retailing report it will be a test for stucco get Shopper first and really hard to take a race. [54:00] Are you guys going to be doing any holiday Updates this year to the demand play the band work platform. Absolutely we will have our flash reporting so every morning after those big days you'll have a nice blog post of flash report results from us so your Friday morning after Thanksgiving your Saturday after Black Friday and your Tuesday after Cyber Monday. Will be glad to pick up your inbox with some really cool findings of what happened the day before. And I'm assuming if people follow you on Twitter you'll be throwing this out there absolutely. Jason: [54:37] Awesome Lil Rick thanks very much for joining us and until next time happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP151 - Tyson Food E-Commerce VP Tim Madigan and Samir Bhavnani of 1010data

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 14, 2018 41:15


EP151 - Tyson Food E-Commerce VP Tim Madigan and Samir Bhavnani of 1010data Tim Madigan is the Vice President of eCommerce at Tyson Foods.  Samir Bhavnani is the Vice President Consumer Insights at 1010data.  We caught up with Tim and Samir at the 2018 GroceryShop tradeshow in Las Vegas.   "The State of Grocery" PDF Report from 1010data Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 151 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Monday, October 29th, 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this episode is being recorded live from the grocery shop trade show in Las Vegas on Monday October 29th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg, unfortunately Scott is unavailable for this episode so you get twice the Jason for half the usual cost but to make up for it we have some great news we have two great guest for this episode returning to the show third timer Samir bhavani is the vice president of consumer insights at 10:10 data welcome back to the show Samir. Samir: [0:58] Thanks for having me Jason it's good to be back for the third time. Jason: [1:01] It's a it's a rare full of people that have made it three times so we expect you to continue to be a, bassador for the shows you've been and then joining us is a first-time guest Tim Madigan is the vice president of e-commerce Commerce at Tyson Foods. Tim: [1:19] Thanks for. Jason: [1:21] Sofa, books that are not listening to every episode of the show and shame on the three of you that are doing that Sammy was on show 103 which was our Amazon private label show and then you came back for one, talk shows if I'm not mistaken which I think was episode 125 and so folks would probably hurt a little bit, background but remind everyone exactly what it is that 1010data. Samir: [1:48] Yeah sure so I think many of you guys are familiar with tents and we've been around for over 20 years now what we do is, we help companies take big data and turn them into basically smart insights using a very powerful cloud-based analytical platform. Jason: [2:05] They go in like more specifically you have visibility into like how consumers make purchases consumers make on some of the big platforms that are not very open themselves. Samir: [2:18] ESO a great way to kind of distill things down is that we have a very nice lens into how consumers are spending their discretionary income so it's things like you are people buying Huggies or Pampers right Fiji or hints are they taking Uber or Lyft. Jason: [2:33] Very cool and so we will hear more about that throughout the show and then Tim of 1 ways we always like to start the show is share a little bit of background about how you how you sort of matriculated in your career to this current role. Tim: [2:46] Sure yeah I started my career with Procter & Gamble and kind of came up with your traditional sales marketing and did that for about 12 years and while at P&G I done had the opportunity to, work with Walmart as they were trying to figure out consumables e-commerce they wanted to sell diapers and beauty products online diapers.com was becoming a thing Amazon was getting into the space so Walmart realize they needed to, going to start selling products and I was tasked with the opportunity to leave that relationship for Procter & Gamble and so over the course of five years, and we built the team I built a business from United basically zero to a hundred million dollars and just really learned, from the very early stages and consumers e-commerce what the effective ways to do e-commerce online wear for consumables then had the opportunity to go to SC Johnson. [3:43] And work with us in Johnson and creating an overall strategy build out a team going to put the foundational elements in place to, do e-commerce across a company it was a really great learning experience for me and also really help icj kind of take that first step into digital income, in about 2 years ago had the opportunity to come to Tyson at that time grocery e-commerce was just beginning to be a thing, and I'm Krogers in Walmart and Amazon Raw, looking to Tyson as a major food supplier to understand you know how to how is the space going to evolve unfold online and expected Tyson to really have a seat at the table to be as strong, partner in that and so I was asked to come Tyson to help create that capability for the company. Jason: [4:32] Very cool, so am I'm so jealous I feel like every place you've ever worked at Super familiar you never have to explain what your company does, the people in an elevator when you work for a goofy agency that changes his name every week you don't necessarily have that luxury, in your P&G days was that sort of like that, business units or was it like winning a particular product family. Tim: [5:14] So gay a straight question so it was very early and that, we had an amazon.com team which was probably to three people and Seattle and then we had one e-commerce person that was sitting in Cincinnati banging on the brand managers door saying there's a thing called e-commerce coming we better figure out how to do it, so I was one of the very first teams outside of that we didn't really have a corporate approach yet, I'm so very early days I was sitting on the couch typing out content forms and really figure out merchandising marketing strategies cuz we just didn't have a Playbook yet, within about 2 years though doesn't take PNG long they very quickly created at centralized capability and brought in the central team, created at corporate strategy and capabilities so that other folks like myself out in the field we're working with retailers had that sort of enabling Center of expertise that were supporting. Jason: [6:15] It is funny one of the things I have observed in a lot of companies is like that initial Amazon team like they almost always they started out as the interns right. Tim: [6:25] Yes. Jason: [6:27] Let you know most Junior people in the organization got assigned to this like relatively meaning less account and then obviously like as it's it's grown in prominence it's now, like one of the most significant roles in all these companies and so it's a it's an interesting Evolution to see those interns grow up to rule the world and then, sort of fun I want to dive into your rolling your scope at Tyson but before I do that I want to jump back to Sammy and I know you guys just published this size of digital grocery report and not I think you can download it for me website so I'll put a link to that in the notes but I'm wondering if you can tell us a little bit, like what that report was an and maybe share some of the cool insights. Samir: [7:07] Yes sir so I'll finish for some of the insides as we're talking and says to bring some things up but, one of our one of our analysts her name is Julia Mello author author the report and it's just Fantastic look into will work on the rise of online grocery and it's very time we obviously right being here at 8, grocery shop talk to grocery shop show and some of the things that that we looked at were, how successful are places like Peapod or Walmart grocery right versus some of the other more traditional players and you know some of the stats that popped out one is like just the growth of it is, outlandish Rye were seeing over 30% year-on-year growth and in specifically in the online grocery space, and we Define that is in a different than buying something from you know Amazon.com or target.com you know it has a lot to do with, cooking class with places like instacart Etc and one of the findings that was kind of unique is that people who do shop, online grocery 10:10 to spend a lot more money than the general populace, which is certainly good news I found some of those like as the touchpoint changes the behavior change. Jason: [8:22] Changes the behavior changes. Samir: [8:25] So fascinating just around Orlando but it's been really into. Jason: [8:30] Interesting to me to see you like foods that don't sell as well in store. Samir: [8:33] Yeah it was not obvious. Jason: [8:38] Up to me but like sometimes these in. Samir: [8:39] Is there a shopping cart around the store with a giant. Jason: [8:46] NBC. Samir: [8:46] And be seen by their neighbors but that but when it comes to having nothing loaded right in your trunk. Jason: [8:51] It's get. Samir: [8:52] Get the big thing I've been in, so that point is very important right the ice cream thing and dodging items the other thing to is the ability for people to discover items if they wouldn't ordinarily purchase, partially for the same reasons also because online gives you an opportunity to be marketed to write whether it's like a vegan burger for example, yeah I think there's dent above a challenge and an opportunity in the different marketing vehicles that are available. Jason: [9:17] Digital Lake but let's. Samir: [9:18] Zoom in a little bit on. Jason: [9:21] I want to think I was interesting to me. Samir: [9:23] Ecommerce in your title which is very near and dear to my heart so I was like that but I thought you can have very different scope a different company. Jason: [9:32] So can you talk maybe a little bit about what what it means in texting. Tim: [9:35] Yeah so are primary go to market is through retailers and so the key for us is you know we've spent, decades in creating category management and Shopper Marketing in all of these other, analytics and skills on how do we optimize the in-store experience in a what are those right tactics and tools to to really make our business performance. [10:01] I look at my job and my team's job is doing the same thing but for online, through those retailer so it's now it's no longer and I all but it's now a screen that we've got to figure out how to optimize our portfolio for, so that's everything from the basic content to merchandising marketing to understanding you know what's working and optimizing across those three on a letter, and then you know I think Sam made a great Point around the the portfolio in understanding the portfolio that performs well and store isn't necessarily the same one at the forms while I'm lying so, as a company we need to send to rethink and reprioritize what we're focused on, I'm at work think about online that said we are also considering the drive to Consumer and we have several brands in our portfolio that do some direct-to-consumer today Adele's premium sausages one, where there's a really big fan following for it and it's not available everywhere, and so that's a great product that you know is pretty pretty Nick pretty Gourmet, we want to make sure all call the consumers who want to have access to the brain can find it. Jason: [11:10] Very cool and send me a little bit earlier to like this notion of hey you have different tools for digital marketing than we did in traditional Shopper marketing. Samir: [11:19] Shopper marketing once one of the two. Jason: [11:22] It was weird I allowed on Shopper marketing is like Shelf adjacency. Samir: [11:26] Want to launch a new product one of the best ways to get eyeballs in from the new product is that new brother. Jason: [11:31] On the Shelf next to a popular existing. Samir: [11:32] Will pop your existing product. Jason: [11:35] Use all the traditional instrument in vehicles to drive tension to it in. Samir: [11:39] In digital it like I feel like we have a lot more spearfishing people are searching then go you no right to. Jason: [11:42] Fishing people are searching then go you no right to a search result and then do a product listing page. Samir: [11:49] Or you know God forbid there. Jason: [11:50] Lowe's customer they start shopping off a recurring list. Samir: [11:54] It's a one of the things I always worry a little bit about is we lose some of the Opera. Jason: [11:55] The things I always worry a little bit about is we lose some of the opportunities for those impulse sales and for what I like to call serendipitous Discovery just cuz it's super fun to say Serendip. Samir: [12:06] I mean you at now that later in the hall when you're just saying. Jason: [12:10] I'm just saying serendipitous you're going to think of me so. Samir: [12:14] Like is like part of that challenge. Jason: [12:15] Part of that challenges the onus is going to be on the Retailer's to figure out but is that a conversation you have with retailers and is that something you guys think about or worried. Tim: [12:24] An app for sure special on new innovation right and that's our company's life like it is you know we want a significant amount of our growth and our sales every year to come from new innovation so, definitely something we spend a lot of time thinking about your point, where sometimes a limited to the tools and capabilities of the Retailer's platforms, so it's starting there and also bringing ideas and I'll right now especially in grocery the shopping experience is different you're very much at a shelf view versus you know item-by-item at like you having a. Com you so, the platforms involving for sure in a different way so we've got a partner on intestinal are no way there little bit, but I will say you don't know the area that we're really trying to think through is what are the, opportunities we can bring outside of the retailer platforms that enable that Discovery so we are spending any time we launched a new Initiative for spending money on driving awareness, Across the Universe online digital in other other kind of places and so that that question is how do we connect, I'm not point of awareness or inspiration directly to the cart and saw things like recipe to car is a great example, have a capability that you know is it's pretty new but really unlocks that opportunity to say, I found us they are interested in us let's just kind of try to close the deal and put a ride into the car. Jason: [13:52] That one is fascinated by that use case tell me if I'm wrong but this is the first year of grocery shopping show dedicated to digital. Samir: [13:53] Fascinated by dad use case tell me if I'm wrong but this is the first year grocery shopping show dedicated to digital online. Jason: [14:01] And regular listeners will know I spent a lot of time in line and Starbucks I'm pretty sure. Samir: [14:06] Second person in that Starbucks online. Jason: [14:07] Second person in that Starbucks online is somehow involved in a recipe to carts business. Samir: [14:14] Like that I ran into to today. Jason: [14:20] When people are are at experimenting and pilot. Tim: [14:24] Absolutely it's funny you say that but you're right and it and it went within a year, it's it happen like that and I think you know it's in there are several different approaches they're taking everything from you know I'll be a widget within your media to know know I'm going to be the media platform and you got to work through me, which puts and calls for each of those I think you know the more you can I think that's this is true across most of what we're dealing with, you got to be able to play within an ecosystem, and so if you're going to be a supplier in a survey new piece of innovation you've got to be able to work with an existing Partnerships and and relationships that are out there, I'm guessing it's too hard to just come in and sort of kick out an existing agency relationship and partnership media investment it's been really challenging. Jason: [15:14] So when you have a lot more experience and cpg than I do but in my observation it like traditional mod. Samir: [15:21] There were two Big Marketing budgets in in. Jason: [15:24] It's in in most most I mean probably more. Samir: [15:26] That I mean probably more marketing budget that earmarked for specific retail accounts right. Jason: [15:31] For specific retail accounts right and get spent on various activities that are mutually beneficial and then there is a brand marketing function usually what you know run by some see him know that's famous for going to South by Southwest in. Samir: [15:40] Usually what you know run by some zmo that's famous for going to South by Southwest and and doing some of those. Jason: [15:47] Does Advanced Khan and Davos and all that crazy stuff as we moved to digital I feel like, to me is sort of digital Shopper marketing like summer. Samir: [15:59] Shopper marketing, Sears on the Shelf in front of content but in a way that's analogous to the original account Bay Shopper marketing but then some of those other activities you just mentioned like the the recipe. Jason: [16:15] 2p stuffing and some of those other activities. Samir: [16:19] Digital versions of traditional. Jason: [16:20] Digital versions of traditional brand marketing. Samir: [16:24] Do you feel like digit by it sounds like something booked. Jason: [16:25] Do you feel like digit like it sounds like something booked of some of those functions are in your scope and that maybe wouldn't have been true in the old world. Samir: [16:32] Shopper Market. Jason: [16:34] Stars and brand marketers. Tim: [16:35] No it's really interesting so I'd say neither one of my scope and that's been the challenging part right we we grew up in the silos and we're going to figure it out over the course of decades this is how I play this is where you play and we wrote the rules so that nobody would, you know step on each others toes and, budgets could be really clearly defined and blame could be a sign when things didn't go so well but this is absolutely disrupted that and I think, going to be a, we've got to figure out new ways of working together and so literally at Tyson in the last six months we've created a digital Innovation group, which is the combination of a brand marketing organization going to lead our Shopper marketing myself and our technology guys and so we've created so this, that's really focused on understanding and what are those emerging spaces recipe to cart being one voice being another and how we are going to go play in those spaces and who's going to take point, but it's much more of a collaborative effort and we were going to do this in conjunction with one another versus lots of one-offs you're doing this over here and I'm not aware of it because unless unless we coordinate we're not going to do this. Going to go swell. Jason: [17:55] Interesting so am I. Samir: [17:56] So he my mind like you guys are evolving to sort of in a boat organizationally figure out the right up. Jason: [17:59] Going to sort of in a boat organizationally figure out the right approach and then we have to figure out what the right digital tactics are. Samir: [18:06] At the same time. Jason: [18:07] Most of these activations require some partnership with a retailer and it feels. Samir: [18:10] Partnership with a retailer and it feels probably like. Jason: [18:13] The retailer silos are also involved. Samir: [18:16] And I think it's sort of. Jason: [18:19] Early days at Walmart. Samir: [18:19] Walmart labs in San Bruno or still is in and most most of the merchants are in Bensenville in, yeah you did yesterday had a lot of collaboration between the digital arm and and traditional arm of the retailers are you. Jason: [18:36] Of the retailers are you seeing the functions at various retailers. Samir: [18:40] Evolved. Jason: [18:43] With you on these more integrated programs or is that still a challenge. Tim: [18:48] What's funny because I I started and cpg and shelf-stable world through that, I felt like, it was definitely that Dynamic you were talking about but over the course of several years especially as diapers as an example some of these categories became meaningful businesses that really impacted the store Merchants bottom line they, forced that collaboration between the two and integrates between the two groceries back to where that was 8 years ago, so it still feels very much like you have a lot of digital teams, responsible for the interface and then the merchants who you know because he's our store pick models by and large, their decisions for what's happening in the store is reflected online but there's really no coordination between the two around you know I'm going to choose this assortment because, you know it could work in both our I'm going to add this item that may not be a big store seller but could be bigger there's none of those types of conversations happening right now and it's much more you know I'm going to focus on my store I know it's going to do something over here online, adult digital guys that are part of my company are going to go figure that out. Samir: [19:59] So for sure. Jason: [20:02] It seems funny. Samir: [20:03] You're jumping from as as Industries material you're jumping to the last mature markets that are having to reinvent the Roundup. Jason: [20:07] Two less mature markets that are having to reinvent their own approaches and stuff which is week we talked about before the show there's there's no play but for that it's kind of fun cuz you get to. Samir: [20:17] It's kind of fun cuz you get that to figure it out. Jason: [20:21] The it was my thoughts I'm just going to put enough. Samir: [20:29] Pause. Jason: [20:31] The awkward pause 2009. Samir: [20:36] Everybody doing alright, so Jason: [20:47] Retailer is also evolving. Samir: [20:48] Evolving I just want to work with you like in this New World by any. Jason: [20:54] Any particular best practices or tips you. Samir: [20:59] Have a branch of you thinking about. Jason: [21:00] How Branch should be thinking about partnering with retailers in in this sort of new integrated digital world. Tim: [21:07] The first the first thing we had to do was reassessed the landscape, one when I got to Tyson we had decided that we were going to make a big investment in Amazon, what course you did right Amazon's the underground gorilla that dynamic in our world is in grocery specifically online is there not quite there yet, Sammy I don't know if you want to come to speak to who is there right now. Samir: [21:39] Yeah I mean that's that is that is such a big piece because like if you look at what the general consumers going to think you think Amazon is winning, everything and the reality is is that Amazon is still very much in its infancy and just finding its feet in grocery right so, if you look at online grocery on Amazon's not even the fastest growing right so Walmart's the fastest growing right instacart one of the fastest-growing, and while Amazon is growing it's nowhere near the, for the scale of of what some of these others so that Walmart has that over a third of a share of online, and amazonfresh is under 10. Tim: [22:22] And says so is we reimagine our structure you know that the structure that a lot of cpg companies started with was we're going to build this little e-commerce team, that's going to fix own care play build the capabilities to enable pure clay and then eventually those capabilities will sort of, go out to these in a brick-and-mortar brick and click stores as they start to accelerate, we've almost got a flip it a little bit and grocery because of that point RR Walmart team is feeling the impact already of grocery, online and some of those stores are doing between 5 and 10% of their business through online grocery and Walmarts in wow and that's really changing then that Walmart customer team that grew up and built all there, skill sets and functionality around in-store execution, they need some support now they need capacity expertise now to focus on line and so that really part of what we've had to Pivot on over the last year too, it's a-okay yep it was important we're going to work on instacart so that's part of the eye space that we own Cuoco pure-play, big enabler for us now is how do we go and really focus on the Krogers in the Walmart because that's really where the size of the businesses today and a growth is happening. Jason: [23:43] I don't know what the data is. Samir: [23:43] Is granular nuts about this or not but in my mind. Jason: [23:49] Part of the secret to Walmart success in and also. Samir: [23:52] Kroger is curbside pickup. Jason: [23:55] And in. Samir: [23:56] That's one of the like differentiators between Walmart and Kroger and Amazon. Jason: [24:00] Amazon is like Walmart has 4,000 store. Samir: [24:02] Walmart has 4,000 stores over 2,000 of them are now in. Jason: [24:06] Free pick up Kroger I think has like 800. Samir: [24:08] Flag store and you know Amazon wasn't in the pickup game at all until they bought Whole Foods. Jason: [24:15] And to their credit I feel like they've. Samir: [24:16] If you've all of that I've been very quickly but it's in. Jason: [24:21] 400 stores and it's in the. Samir: [24:22] Stores in it in the stores in the markets that are most friendly to delivery versus pick up in a half of them so Whole Foods is a really fun little sandbox that Amazon's experiment thinking today, and it gets a lot of new lot of press a lot of people talk about it the Whole Foods is not a very big retailer right that's the fact of the matter, and when you look at scale when you look across the country right it's the Kroger's and the Walmarts were people are shopping and which have the ability to do, curbside pickup right at a much broader scale so let's change topics a little bit from. Jason: [25:01] Thinking about the retail side to. Samir: [25:03] Decide to evolution of bran. Jason: [25:07] Nights are you you are now sitting at. Samir: [25:08] Sitting at top of the dream well-established brand is trying to figure out. Jason: [25:13] It feels like increasingly your competition are these new startup brands that don't have near you. Samir: [25:15] Play your competition are these new startup brands that don't have near your scale but they also don't have any of. Jason: [25:25] Impediments are infested, they have to carry three ways, circassian like shelf-stable cpg are you are you seeing that in in food as well. Tim: [25:36] Yeah you know I'm reminded of when I was down on the Walmart team with Procter & Gamble we were looking at our shave business and it started to decline pretty quickly, and we couldn't see where it was going typically are, reports would say while we're seeing some Camel shift it's going to Dollar General or you know it's moving over to Target and then, the but we didn't see we just saw the category declining and we saw our brand declining, I couldn't understand why we look around the office and we saw some scruffy looking guys and so maybe they just not shaving is much in this mode ever November thing is really, well know we were listening every morning on our ESPN Drive in hearing about this company called Dollar Shave Club and how funny they were great. [26:25] And all the sudden they took 300 million out of the category and out of the stores but are classic data and Analysis didn't have any way to account for that anyway to show us that shifting and so as far as we were concerned, it wasn't happening we just until we were caught very flat-footed that's my fear an obsession right now in food, there's a lot of these companies you're talking about the grass wet grass pads in the locals in the Organics that are you know they're 10:50 million dollar type companies but they're all live, and there's some of them that are scaling pretty quickly, and so the dishes we just don't have the visibility the data and to how fast or how many of them are are out there and so, absolutely an area that we've just got to get better at and it's actually we worked a little bit with Sammy and Tenten and that's one of the challenges I put forth to him is how do we understand where, these new up and comers that we just don't have on our radar where it where are they who are they and how fast do they run. Samir: [27:30] So I will turn the question like are you. Jason: [27:32] Like are you starting to see some of those like new brands Emergen captures and market share online and. Samir: [27:40] Yes and that's the that's the challenge right where everyone's been dealing with this weather your Nielsen or NPD or iri or 1010data Rakuten or never is, catching hold of of one of these companies that's all the sudden going to start hockey stick me in becoming a really big company and what what Tim brought up is a really good point is, is when you're looking at the data sometimes on an individual on one DTC, it that individuals you to see maybe maybe just too small to report on and maybe insignificance report on, but if there's 80 or 90 of them right that are that are growing very quickly all of a sudden you've got this thing and, right in the last thing you want to do is to be Dollar Shave Club again right live through it once you don't want that to happen again and so what we do from the, in the day the world is were constantly working with our data providers to ensure that we have visibility to anything new that comes forth, I'm in a great example of that is we very recently were able to split out the Walmart grocery piece from the Walmart piece once it got to a point where the scale is big enough, that we had sufficient sample to make Market estimates, that's going to become increasingly important a lot of retailers in Walmart so perfect example in in grocery is a hundred percent, I can tell you different. Jason: [29:05] They're trying to promote skus that are available in the store. Samir: [29:07] Use that are available in the store and the capability gets drones for by store so I've been talking a little bit I feel like something I should be thinking about, sales metric for online. Jason: [29:19] Because Walmart. Samir: [29:21] Walmart reporting this huge e-commerce, is there a tracking more more customers to the website and whatnot but a lot this because they just added the grocery capability to a bunch of more stores than they had the year before. Jason: [29:35] So you know in some ways you almost have to think of it like a. Samir: [29:39] Storm Atronach Forge a merchandising I might argue that Walmart has sort of the opposite merchandising strategy that they're really trying to focus on having a long day. Jason: [29:49] They put a lot of emphasis on the marketplace. Samir: [29:50] If a lot of emphasis on the marketplace and you know they're trying to get, use most of which are getting fulfilled by third-party providers or from a fulfillment center in so I do really need to think about them as, different business that's another good example so with Amazon right people look at Amazon 1 p.m. Amazon 3 p.m. sufficient data to split those in to see what's happening Amazon direct and what's happening with the marketplace, Walmart even though they're making this push towards Marketplace, candidly just doesn't have the volume in those traditional Goods to Warrant us breaking that out at this point in time it might be another couple of years before we able to see what's Walmart third-party doing compared to Walmart first party, a side note one thing that is different from the Heyday of Dollar Shave Club you you mentioned what they have would like. Jason: [30:41] You mentioned you would have had would like all those ESPN ads. Samir: [30:46] Today of course if people are driving a word. [31:01] So one of the things. Jason: [31:02] One of the thing that's interesting to me thinking of. Samir: [31:05] About the emerging Brands and did you need a brand purses. Jason: [31:08] And did you need a Brands versus a new products and Innovations in existing companies as they. Samir: [31:16] Exact opposite so if I start a new come. Jason: [31:17] Opposite problems so if I start a new company today the world is made it much easier right. Samir: [31:22] Made it much easier right I can go, Shopify side and you know I can hire you know 99designs to do my marketing and I can do all these things with my credit card on the weekend. Jason: [31:30] Things to do my marketing and I can do all these things with my credit card on the weekend. Samir: [31:35] Company pretty quickly find a group of loyal customers wants a product to them and get real-time feedback and so I can innovate and iterate really quickly in it. Jason: [31:44] Expensively which is. Samir: [31:45] Great most of this man's are really struggling to hit some peeps kale and in your organization I suspect when there's a new idea. Jason: [31:50] And in your organization I suspect when there's a new idea. Samir: [31:55] What can this idea be big enough to be financially, why I'm always curious how big companies that are the Cavs Gail think about. Jason: [32:03] Bunnies that already have scale think about Innovation and how do you sort of you know instill some of those advantages of the little company in your big company. Tim: [32:12] Yeah it's a it's a really great question and you know it as a company I think we several years ago came to that conclusion that you know Innovation gets washed if it's, you know if it feels cortical too small of an idea, yeah we just still wouldn't let it play out if you would see a trend and it might be too early, by the time you react it's also going to be little bit late so as a company what we've done is created a couple different entities internally, we have one or innovation team which we've had for a while is really focused on call 12 to 18 months out. [32:49] Fairly close in animation new flavors new forms some adjacent categories and so that there's that group focused though but we also then recently created a new products the lab, which is really kind of taking off the, Elders of this is what we do today to where are some interesting protein spaces coming from so where can we innovate in a great example that is our God, that is essentially comes in a tennis ball kind of a can and instead of being a potato chip or like a pringle chip it so it's a protein shake, so it's brand new initiative brand new idea, and we're launching it in a very sort of small pilot but scale up kind of way that would not have happened before this team. [33:42] And then the other area that we brought on is our new Ventures team, and so that is allowing us to find a new companies that are, testing kind of smaller nitty spaces and I'll give an example of going to be on me, vegetable proteins Memphis meat is another company that we've invested in which is sort of lab-grown protein, and these are early days for the four especially Memphis meat but what we're seeing is this is an opportunity space, and as a company we want to be able to be the world's best producer of protein and we're raising the world's expectation for what good food can do, and that means we're going to have to go beyond just land-based animal proteins, and so by investing early on and some of these companies we get to learn a lot and we get to see them scale, and then you know continue to think through down the line how do we integrate you know they're there Prada. Samir: [34:47] Oh so you can actually also help them scale right that's a really big deal to cuz a lot of these companies have no idea how to get on a store a store shelf, I want to follow up on that a little bit but you I had one. Jason: [35:02] Not a little bit but you I had one terrifying thought while you were saying that but I just want you to make me comfortable about. Samir: [35:06] About we're not all. Jason: [35:09] Just drinking Soylent to Prairie me. Tim: [35:11] It's pretty tasty I never have one, not you know and I think you look as we look out just eating 20 years the challenges of feeding the world they're pretty daunting, and Tyson we believe is one of the handful of entities out there that can help find a solution, and that's going to require a range of offerings so hopefully we can still have our steak dinners when you come to Vegas, yeah there's going to be new forms of protein that will have to be you know brought in in order to see the world. Jason: [35:48] Personally I'm banking on us all dying of dehydration before we run out of protein but I know it's a it's a race so well. Samir: [35:54] See how that plays out going going back to the investment side of innovation like what. Jason: [36:00] Nations like what's the out the best outcome for you there like would you ultimate. Samir: [36:06] Taken like a. Jason: [36:08] A hundred percent ownership position in some of those like his are you investing primarily with the hope of getting a financial return is it to incubate companies where you didn't have an exclusive like what it what is. Samir: [36:18] Winning. Tim: [36:20] I think it's all the above I mean the intent really right now is to learn is the weather is against some of these new product spaces at Armor, or even capabilities so companies that do things particularly well that we want to learn more about, it's an interesting way to go do that is by becoming part of, owner of that company and then hopefully ingest that learning a 10in skillet across organization. Jason: [36:53] And are you finding that it's difficult, you know at a company with Good Financial rigor that used to sort of focusing on quarter-to-quarter results to think like a longer-term investor on some of the light you know BC's think about a very different pay back her eyes and. Samir: [37:04] I think like a longer-term investor on some of the Viking BC's think about a very different pay back her eyes and then you know I would come. Jason: [37:12] Companies that are trying to keep shareholders have. Tim: [37:14] Yeah I know it's right and it's so this company this group was purpose-built to pretty much avoid that so they've been given an investment, amount and how to ring-fence that amount and so they act very much like a VC company and then we're going to go, we're going to look for this portfolio of companies that either from a product or capability Sandpoint look interesting and then you diligence up through our leadership team with the recommendation. Jason: [37:45] Very cool. Samir: [37:46] Well we're at work. Jason: [37:47] Coming up against time I want to do one last question I know we're halfway through this show and I know. Samir: [37:51] We're halfway through the show and I know we don't have. Jason: [37:54] Navigation so I don't think anyone's got a chance to sort of absorb everything going on. Samir: [37:57] Everything going on in the show but. Jason: [37:59] Do I get there any trender theme or vendor that like has emerged in that you know that was interesting to you that you either came here looking for or maybe surprised you. Tim: [38:11] It's interesting for me that the conversations that happened seem to be where for me a lot of the value starts to come out a meeting with peers were having some more challenges and brainstorming together I think one of the biggest themes though, is wow this is happening really fast 2 years ago this wasn't a thing you know and so, that speed in Pace that's happened I think even our leadership at back at home and Company, don't necessarily appreciate it it's a part of you know what I have you as my job is still going to bring that urgency back with a bit of a game plan as well for what we need to be doing. Jason: [38:51] For sure. Could you imagine trying to talk more more senior leadership into coming. Samir: [38:53] Trying to talk more more senior leadership into coming to an event like. Tim: [38:56] I think that's a great idea you know again it's it's kind of palpable you walk the floor you see some of these speakers, you really do get a sense for the Earth the pace and urgency that's out there and so I think it's a great suggestion of bringing in some more high-profile execs and not just having them send their econ guy out to this conference. Samir: [39:17] I'm sure an ant as a me and in all your conversations anyting jump out of. Jason: [39:20] Jump out at you or surprised by the new data competitors or anything like that. Samir: [39:24] Got the data competitors are great I love seeing you did it competitors right and it's just it's it's great the more the better, the one thing that I've noticed and I've noticed since the last the last shop talk show in March I'm coming into this one is, it appears to me that the companies that, are sort of weathering the storm or taking the most advantage of this shift to online grocery are actually indeed those companies that have formed or in the process of forming Innovation teams are there in Seattle near Amazon, and the ones that have not are the ones that clearly in the data show up as kind of ligers, so you know kind of the advice is if you will if you are a grocer or a traditional brand, if you don't have some kind of innovation team together that has its own budget and actually has a seat at the table you're going to be in big trouble. Jason: [40:23] Very cool that is an interesting insight and that's going to be a great place to leave it because it's. Samir: [40:26] Because it happen again weave. Jason: [40:29] Used up all our a lot of time but before we go Sammy of those aren't real. Samir: [40:31] But before we go Sammy of those are intrigued by the rise of grocery report or just want to. Jason: [40:37] I just want to get in touch with you what's where do you hang out in the intern. Samir: [40:40] You can reach me on LinkedIn or on Twitter music to find them both of those places. Jason: [40:44] Links to both of those in the show notes and Tim. Samir: [40:48] Are you an active guy on LinkedIn can I. Tim: [40:52] Yeah that's fine. Jason: [40:53] Cool again again PlayStation Network with Tim and soul. Samir: [40:54] Tim and so you know thanks to both you guys for taking time out of their busy show to come speak with our listeners as all. Jason: [40:59] Busy show to come speak with our listeners as always listeners if you have any questions or you. Samir: [41:04] Want to follow up on any of the topic. Jason: [41:06] Play some the show you can join us on our Facebook page and leave a question. Samir: [41:10] As always if this was the. Jason: [41:11] Please if this was the the show that you know was finally worth it to you do with the big favor of jumping over to iTunes and getting us. Samir: [41:16] I'm getting us at 5. Jason: [41:19] And until next time happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP150 - GroceryShop 2018 Recap

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 7, 2018 49:04


Amazon plans to split HQ2 to two cities Amazon Plans to Split HQ2 Evenly Between Two Cities (WSJ) Amazon Plans to Split HQ2 Between Long Island City, N.Y., and Arlington, Va. (NY Times) GroceryShop Recap GroceryShop is the first year of a new show focused on disruptive trends, technologies and business models in grocery & CPG that includes both established and startup CPG brands, supermarkets, c-stores, drug stores, discount stores, ecommerce players, warehouse clubs, grocerants and non-traditional grocery retailers.  The show took place October 28-31 in Las Vegas, at the Aria Hotel and Convention Center. Jason's Activities Jason interviewed Sanjiv Mehra, co-founder and CEO EOS products for a keynote fireside chat Jason moderated a panel "Evolving CPG Retailer relationships" with Constellation Brands, e.l.f. Beauty, and Fairway Market Jason moderated a panel "Using product content to build brands" with Boston Beer Company, Chobani, and The Wonderful Company Keynotes Yael Cosset, Chief Digital Officer, The Kroger Co. Andy Katz-Mayfield, Co-Founder & CEO, Harry's Sanjiv Mehra, Co-Founder & Co-CEO, eos Products Apoorva Mehta, Founder & CEO, Instacart Chieh Huang, CEO, Boxed Nina Barton, President, Global Growth, Kraft Heinz Luke Jensen, CEO, Ocado Solutions Narayan Iyengar, SVP, Digital & eCommerce, Albertsons Companies Nick Green, Co-Founder & CEO, Thrive Market Key Themes Digital Disruption of Grocery Store picking vs. Dedicated Fulfillment Center   Startup Brands vs. New products from established Companies Private Label/Owned Brands Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 150 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Monday, November 5th, 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 150 being recorded on Monday November 5th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek host Scott Wingo. Scot: [0:41] Jason welcome back Jason Scott show listeners. Jason you just recently got back from sunny and blazing hot Las Vegas Nevada for the first annual grocery store. And that's what really to see what today show is going to be is a grocery shop recap but before we jump into that we did want to cover some breaking. [1:03] Amazon news your margin is there a opportunity alright well we've been talking about this on the chauffeur about a year ago Amazon announced that they are going to look for a second headquarters that would has 50000 employees. I am if it was kind of this huge process and we're coming down to the end of it and there's two I'm confirmed reports out today, one from the Washington Post one from your times and it looks like Amazon is first of all going to split this is also not confirmed us the Wall Street Journal says Amazon's actually going to do two cities instead of one so it's kind of like HQ one and a half and hq2 and they're splitting the jobs pretty even Lisa 25,000 jobs in to eat City. The two cities that seem to be most rumored are Crystal City which is a suburb of the DC area and Northern Virginia. The other one is a suburb of New York City called Long Island City Jason what do you think about this result if it's true and how true do you think it is. Jason: [2:17] Yeah well it does sound pretty true there's a lot of rumors earlier in the week and it seem like Amazon was actively. In some cases refuting them and or scolding the leakers and they they seem completely silent about this which makes me feel like. It is on the markings pretty credible news organizations that are setting multiple sources so seems pretty credible and if it's true it. It reaffirms a lot of people's hypothesis that this was, sort of largely a marketing stunt in it it makes me feel like Seattle is actually the big winner because. Like these this would definitely would not be co-equal headquarters now that they're dividing up the jobs and I'm going to assume that that the center of gravity and most of the senior leadership are going to continue to put on in Italy live in the, in the Seattle area in this scenario. Scot: [3:18] Yeah yeah it's my Logic on this was. It never made sense to me that they could hire 50,000 people cuz to my logic is the retail part of Amazon is pretty stacked up in packs you know robots replacing humans a lot of times in the, Commerce part of Amazon so this feels like largely AWS engineers and you know it's very hard to go find 5000 much less 2000 50,000 folks that can work on AWS so so I think they started kind of come to that same conclusion the dust splitting them up and I imagine those 25,000 10 years or something. You could possibly hired that mud many AWS qualified people even in those dense text cities to to work on stuff so it'll be interesting to see how this lands. So we just wanted to cover that really quickly because it's been the source of so much speculation but we want to spend the bulk of our time tonight on grocery shop so it's Jason. I was not able to go but you went on for so how was House Las Vegas did you end up making money losing money. Jason: [4:31] I go to Las Vegas too often so I am no longer much of a wager or so I I did lose some money but I lost it spending a week in Las Vegas not at the table. Scot: [4:43] Visit your favorite Starbucks. Jason: [4:46] I did not so dedicated listeners or remember I spent like 18 days in a row in Las Vegas at the Venetian earlier this year which I wouldn't wish on my worst enemy this show was at the Aria so I did not make it to the Venetian Starbucks but I I did get to reacquaint myself with a several Starbucks in the vicinity of the Aria. Scot: [5:10] Awesome so so for the the grocery shop show maybe Orient for listeners you know how this show came to be who puts it on and how did this compare to kind of shot Talk Money 20/20. Jason: [5:25] So that the show did the first year of the show is put on by the same folks. It started shoptalk and money 20/20 as you mention money 20/20 was their first show and it started at the Aria as well. And then it eventually it it felt like the show doubled in size every year and it eventually outgrew the Aria Convention Center and then had to move to the Venetian. I'm in after 3 years of growth. They actually sold the show to another event company and they started simultaneously they started the second show shop talk and Shop talk also started. At the Aria and it also doubled every year last year it outgrew the Aria and moved to the Venetian. And they this year they started to new shows or show I don't know a lot about this in the healthcare ligori and they started this show grocery shop which is all about digital grocery. [6:19] And the show started the Aria it. It felt very similar to the first year of money 20/20 or shoptalk and I mean that in a good way I feel like these guys have. Have built a pretty good template for an event so they they do a really good job of recruiting. Interesting speakers that people want to hear from and they're great digital marketers and they Market the heck out of their speakers which causes other people to want to go in network with those folks. And you know at this point kind of three or four shows into their their progression. I feel like they have a a really solid template eyes execution, did they run and you know they invite me to speak at all of them because they use caricatures of you and I feel like I'm just cost-effective because they already paid to have my character children. Scot: [7:10] I'm sure that's what it is. Jason: [7:12] Yeah I think that's my main value-add a fun fact for speakers is that they. Send you a coffee mugs with your charger on it so I have a complete collection of shop talk, money 20/20 and now grocery shop mugs that my mother-in-law has claimed so if you ever get coffee at my mother-in-law's house be prepared for the jarring image of my face and this year they upped the ante they sent us a cookie with my my characterture on the front of the cookie in frosting. Scot: [7:48] I remember I had jokingly asked one of the folks at shoptalk who does the character in the show that's her that's her most closely held Secret. Jason: [7:58] Yeah so you know what's funny about that I I believe they did say that to you if you went to an early money2020 that guy was working in a a shop a money 20/20 booth and you could stand in line to get your own character children. And eventually apparently he became so so popular and beneficial to them that they they hit him behind the scenes but like there were attendees from those first money2020 is that actually got there, their characters are drawn while they were attending the show but the big controversy among the speakers on Twitter earlier this year when the cookies went out was. Can you infect eat your own face like is that is that weird. And you know there was a lot of talk about that and I defended we solve the The Dilemma when I tweeted out a picture of my three-year-old gleefully. Diving into my face to eat it. Scot: [8:48] Eaton Trinidad face. Jason: [8:53] So more than listeners want to know about the logistics from the show but I feel like at a high level they picked a really good topic for a show I think they were hoping like a thousand people would attend in the show and they sold out the show at 2200 people which is the capacity for the the convention center they had so already. Don't be surprised if you see the show move from the Aria to the Venetian next year or I guess there is a rumor that the Aria is expanding their. Their facility so maybe maybe I'll stay in this expanded facility but it definitely felt like there there was unmet demand for folks in this industry to be able to get together and share some ideas and best practices and I feel like, a lot of people were we're excited to come people are super engaged and all the feedback I got from people on the way out of town or from from my own team after we got back was was super favorable that it was a good event and everyone wants to have a, a bigger participation next year so congratulations to the the folks at grocery shop on on doing a great job for the first year. Scot: [10:02] Awesome. Let's dig into some content first of all as mentioned you were quite busy so that I kind of thought they should have called it Jason talk so you gave the keynote and you led to panel so it was kind of go through those and sequencing and not good to some highlights of what you learned there I'll start with a keynote I saw on Twitter that a lot of people took this one picture where it looks like you were putting some lipstick on tell us about that one. Jason: [10:29] Yeah I'm a very Metropolitan dude what can I say so I feel like you're being slightly generous and calling into keynote so that it it it it was a keynote but I'm not sure I gave it so what this was a fireside chat format so I was interviewing, gentleman named Sanjeev who was one of the founders, I have this cool company that that listeners are probably familiar with that may not know called EOS products and it cos it actually is a acronym for the evolution of smooth. [11:04] And, little over 10 years ago they invented a new lip balm for women that was in this sort of round egg-shaped format in there now ubiquitous in super popular, but anyways go sort of, invented or was an early Pioneer in influencer marketing they they started out with her than affiliate program where you could earn credit and free product by getting your friends, to share EOS products on social media and back then sponsored social media was not a thing, and a bunch of celebrities sort of got in on the ACT in organically started promoting this product and so you know today the the the sort of early eye doctors of this product it was like Miley Cyrus and Kim Kardashian and and all these these people that would today would cost millions of dollars that they got to sort of endorse the product early which caused this product to, completely take off in Skyrocket so one of the the very first sort of. [12:15] Influencer viral product out there so it's interesting to talk to sanjiv about his. His experiences with that and you know I just got a chance to interview him and I I did in fact apply some some EOS lip balm during during the talk so I think that's maybe the tweet that you saw. Scot: [12:33] I can't right now in Las Vegas I never really need like chapstick type stuff but in Vegas I do the kisses so during dry out there. Jason: [12:41] I'm 100% with you I normally would not use lip balm but I do always bring ChapStick and like to Saint jeans credit like. Part of the genius of this product is whip-whip Bomb is predominately bought by women and all of the products were not very women-centric right and so they're all convenient form factors for you and I to put in our pocket but a lot of women's apparel doesn't have pockets and so these things go in purses and so they designed a product that was very well intentioned to live in a woman's purse which ironically makes it super inconvenient for guys until I had to smuggle it onto the stage because it would have look silly in my pocket. Scot: [13:20] Now that's kind of a healthcare item not something you'd find in a grocery store symbol surprise that's so am I done for this kind of had also kind of the drug stores in the whole thing and the healthcare are the the beauty category as well. Jason: [13:37] Yes I think they would characterize this is more Beauty than then Healthcare and it's it's sort of. Affordable impulse Beauty and so it is so like actually at the cash wrap and a lot of grocery stores and also drug stores and convenience stores and I do think there was some overlap I think that the show is primarily targeted at grocery which meant, a lot of the retailers that attended where Grocers but then equal or more attendees were brands that View Grocery as a super important Channel, and it just so happens that a lot of those brands also sell in, mass and and the convenience and Drug so you had a lot of the the Wakulla food and non-food cpgs and so yeah I definitely think that that many of the conversations and takeaways expanded Beyond pure grocery but grocery was sort of the epicenter. Scot: [14:42] Cool and then you're so you let that keynote you Fireside chatted that up and then you had a panel called a balding cpg retailer relationships that sounds pretty intense. Jason: [14:53] And so that panel was we had three panelists and they're talking all about the Dynamics of retailers and Brands and how they work together in a lot of the challenges in in the new world of digital marketing. You know how there's there's a lot of frustration on both sides retailers generally feel like. The brands are behind and aren't really ready to partner with the retailers digitally and retailers are asking for like a lot of support for e-commerce initiatives that Brands aren't always. Well prepared to meet so there was a lot of talk from the retail side about Heather they expire for the brands to sort of catch up. And on the brand side there's a lot of talk about like the lack of. Of data and transparency and and you know it it not feeling like an equal partnership on the part of retailers to this panel was a lot about best practices and started making that relationship work and so we had. Wingo on who's the VP of e-commerce at constellation Brands which is a well-known alcohol. [16:00] Manufacturer with a bunch of popular brands. The Wayne also had formerly been on the e-commerce team at Walgreens so he kind of talked about his experience at both places. We had that the VP of brand from Elf Cosmetics which is another affordable Beauty brand that kind of represented the brands perspective in this. In this a dynamic and elf 10 years ago started out as a direct-to-consumer brand then they they sort of got really popular and became like 90%. Wholesale and now they're starting to shift the balance again and then we had a retailer whose. A well-known Market in New York City called Fairway Market. Well known local chain with a bunch of like really high-end Gourmet products as well as a full. Call grocery store and so Jason is work there long time and talk about their overall perspective but today the portfolio he mainly owns is. Private brands for Fairway and so he talked about some of the unique Dynamics with partnering with brands on on exclusive products so that was. A good set of conversation in the audience that seem engaged and we got some nice feedback about that panel. Scot: [17:18] Did you get to the so we talked up private label then you started using the term owned products have to have you as a cut on what's what's what's the difference between the two. Jason: [17:31] Yeah they question if it's definitely one one of the themes at the show maybe we'll talk a little bit more about later but. [17:38] In general I call private label sort of this hundred-year-old practice of a retailer offering a a, more value oriented version of a national Brand Products what has the exact same product attributes as the national brand it just sold at a lower price point without the brand name on it, generally a hundred percent of the marketing for the product is simply the fact that it's on the Shelf next to the National brand so you get a headache you go to Walgreens to get Advil and on the Shelf next to Advil as well bupropion. [18:11] And it says right on the package compared to the active ingredient in Advil and it's a little cheaper right so to me that's private label and there's this show there's a lot of talk about private label and it's an important part of the mix for retailers in it obviously has an impact on profitability and there's there's a bunch of good reasons why private label is important but to me, the thing is getting more traction is this evolution of that idea, where retailers actually wants their own unique products that are different from the national brands in most cases the retailers using their intimacy with the customer to design a product that's in a gap that's not well met by the national Brands and in most cases retailers, have to learn all of the skills that the brands have in terms of building a brand and marketing and advertising it and so to me owned brands are these, all brands that just happened to be owned by a retailer versus private label are these sort of value-oriented alternatives to the National brand and there's a lot of talk about both of those at the show. Scot: [19:13] And then your last panel was called using product content to build brands. Jason: [19:20] Inside, what you're not getting a lot of practitioners at the show so there a lot of like directors and VPS that are trying to learn best practices and I'm both sides of the fence like one of the primary areas were Brands and retailers really have to work together is on this digital Shelf. [19:37] And so you know one of the ways this comes up most often is oh my god Amazon didn't used to be relevant in this category and now it's super relevant and. You know increasingly searches are shifting from Google the Amazon and so how are we going to get our products to show up in the Amazon search engine like they used to show up in the Google search engine. And once people find our products how are we going to get them to learn enough to decide to buy a product and send it alternative instead of the the that what we in e-commerce called that product detail page. You know brands are thinking of is the digital equivalent of their retail shelf and so there's a lot of conversation amongst friends about what the best practices are in content. For that digital shelf in the overwhelming majority of cases Brands create that content and then they syndicated to the retailer. To show up on all these various e-commerce sites and so there's. [20:32] Different retailers have different request and criterias and preferences about how to execute that content different brands have different philosophies about how much to invest in and what the best practices are so we had a really good rub us conversation about. Like what what some of the the best practices are and what some of the new ideas are and what some of the pros and cons are tough. The various approaches in investing in. This content to you notes or to build a brand in a in a world in which a lot of purchase decisions are are substantially digitally influence. Scot: [21:09] Are these guys struggle with just basic digital assets cuz you know in the traditional grocery store model them really had to provide much chaga tea or short long title or, all that kind of stuff. Jason: [21:24] Almost all of them have followed this way great like slow progression of maturity so when you're selling Oreos to Walmart like you you if it at the base level needed to provide about six attributes about the about the Oreos bike how many cookies were in the bag with the net weight of the bag was like what you know a basic description that could show up in ER P&B printing on the on the Shelf label in the store, it's always super simple and every brand new how to provide the six attributes that Walmart wanted as e-commerce really took off. You know Amazon Walmart ask for for 60 and increasingly more attributes about the product is a gluten-free is it you know does it have any allergens in it. You know what's all the nutrition information in the in the old world they just provided a picture of Ninja trition label to the store, now they have to provide all this data and is you alluded to a super important attribute is images and how many to take and what should they be pictures of, and is there any rich media going with that and you know any any comparison copy and they're off all of these. [22:29] Evolutions of best practices and so you know his you kind of alluded to, early on you know that's a Walmart sales guy like you know filling out an Excel spreadsheet and emailing it to his buyer at Walmart. And frankly in the early days not caring very much because. 99.9% of sales were happening through the the Walmart by owner in Bentonville and only you know .1% of the sales were happening on walmart.com and so you know. It's in the walmart.com guy with what he needs to go away. You know that rapidly evolved and you became a very meaningful part of sales very quickly and eventually retailers you know sort of used the, their store volume is leverage and said hey we're going to give you a shelf face in the store if you're not complying with all the the new digital content requirements we have and we want you to send the Kate ratings and reviews and want you to do all these other things inside of the kind of like. Sales guy hiring some company to fill out a spreadsheet turned into. These internal teams and centers of expertise creating all that content and and you know, buying or building the kind of tools that they would use for product information management in content syndication in all that and if I'm not mistaken I think Channel advisor plays this pretty significant role in in parts of that echo system for a lot of Brands as well. Scot: [23:51] Yep yep you know we talked about the capability to take your eCommerce products and, push me around and under the hood it's very similar to a set of capabilities 2 so those were the things you got to speak about and then did you tell if you were super busy between Starbucks runs applying lip balm and in all the stuff did you get a chance to go to any other talks or can you summarize some other things that we should know about. Jason: [24:26] I did I think I made it to all the Keynotes and I made it to as many of the other breakout sessions as I could and then of course there we're a couple of friends of the show former guess that were also with the show by tweeting a lot of the sessions and so is pretty funny a lot of times I was in one session you know trying to consume the content myself and I'm following like Michelle who's been on the show from euromonitor who is doing a fabulous job of what I've tweeting the. The session she was at and so so I feel like I got a pretty good feel for the overall show despite the fact that that. There and she'll like this there is a fair amount of fear of missing out that you're going to go to one session and it's going to. Not be what you hoped and and you'll miss some really good content in another. Scot: [25:14] Yeah, so what were the highlights. Jason: [25:17] So high level I kind of broke the show up into these for big themes and the biggest Theme by far is this overall digital disruption of grocery. That essentially you know grocery ad in pretty stagnant for. For a long time and that now digital shopping for groceries digital influencer sales in grocery and increasingly. Delivery and curbside pickup of grocery is gaining huge traction it's going to be a meaningful part of grocery I think emarketer publishing data that it's like. 1.3% of grocery sales right now or digital the grocery same stories e-commerce groceries growing at like 2%. But digital grocery is growing at like a 20% K Garceau. You in the next five years that 1.3% is going to be more like 3 or 4% of all Grocery and it's the overwhelming majority about growth in the grocery category so you know all the other themes and most of the content in the show is all about how Brands and retailers and consumers are responding to this, this digital disruption of the traditional grocery model. [26:34] So then the three sub themes under that that I felt like came up a lot is there's a lot of conversation and opinion and evolution of, the idea of how you get all the groceries into the grocery bag right so there's a lot of traditional grocers that own a bunch of stores. That you know feel like. [26:59] Sending professional employees to pick groceries off the shelf and put them in the bag is the most cost-effective model because it leverages all this fixed assets that the retail already have it leverages all their existing inventory it shares the inventory between, in-store customers and digital customers you know it's it's the Leverage is all these fixed assets that that that retailer already has and so you think about like what Walmart curbside pickup and Kroger curbside pickup are both. [27:30] Are both sort of in store picking models and you know most notably instacart which is now past like 3 billion dollars in sales is all sort of in-store picking in so a lot of traditional grocery all feel like that's the preferred model but then there's a lot of digital startups that have said actually that's super inefficient in the unit economics are really challenging there because in a traditional general merchandise e-commerce site you know an average you're lucky if you sell two or three items per order and so the amount of picking her order is pretty small but a typical grocery order might have 30 to 60 items in it and so the cost per item to pick is is a much bigger part of the overall cost. [28:19] Of an e-commerce order and paying people to walk around stores that are not efficiently assorted for Pickers but instead are designed for Discovery and browsing is really inefficient and so you you have dedicated digital Grocers like Fresh Direct or Peapod or a super successful digital Grocer in the UK called or Colorado that all have this model where they use dedicated automated. Grocery up fulfillment centers that are much more optimized for picking costs and in one interesting case ocado which is based in the UK is partnered with Kroger and they're there. [29:03] Opening fulfillment center using okada's technology and software in the US so Kroger is both doing store picking and there now piloting these microfilaments centers Albertsons which is like the second largest. Dedicated Grocer in the u.s. made a big announcement that they were launching micro fulfillment centers and they felt that that was a superior more cost-effective model in the long run so they're like, it's still early days but there's a lot of pros and cons on both sides in this whole whole conundrum of what's the efficient supply chain. You know when you're dealing with perishables and fresh and and you know cold chain and all these these products that have to be kept at. A particular temperature so that it was an interesting pros and cons from various practitioners around those picking models. So that was kind of something one sub theme to is this whole debate about. [30:02] New start-up Brands versus new products from existing brands in so you think about like a Harrys Razor which would be appear startup brand. Or a new product being launched by Kraft. And you know a lot of the buzz in the industry is all about these new digital native startup Brands we talked about a lot of them in general but there are also a lot of them that are in the grocery space. And get a lot of buzz but also in the grocery space are more products. That our new products that are either launched by big companies or. New products that are launched by companies that are intended to be sold through wholesale versus. Direct-to-consumer so you think about like Chobani yogurt for example like that emerged in quickly disrupted the industry and took a huge chunk of Dan and sales because, Dan and didn't you know jump on the Greek yogurt trans quick enough in Chobani like became a very big company. Shivani doesn't really focus on selling yogurt direct they sell it through all these grocery wholesalers. It's a lot of interesting discussions about the pros and cons there and like my big takeaway is. [31:16] All of these dedicated startups that are focused on direct to Consumer are making more Innovative products and they're iterating them faster and they're getting them out in the market and getting initial customer adoption much quicker. Then that the big brands are or than the wholesale distributed products are but all of them seem to hit this plateau and really struggled the scale. So I'm calling the the direct to Consumer startups really good at Innovation and product development and early launches, but the really challenging to scale in on the big side the products that they get to Market are doing much better and scaling and becoming much more significant in the marketplace, but in general are there's far fewer of them in there they're much slower to come to Market and there's in general that's innovation in them and so there's kind of this interesting thing that you had these two models that he. Each have their pros and cons and you know how do you kind of get the best of both worlds and is is that. Harry's launching is a direct-to-consumer brand and once they hit that plateau. You know they they shifted to today the majority of their sales are now wholesale then and so you know there's kind of some of those those conversations. Internet the third big trend is this whole private label owned Brands thing that we discussed earlier. [32:40] But I would say both of those Trends are becoming increasingly prominent in so you think about like all the Keynotes at the show and like Kroger, I have a huge private label it's the most successful, organic food brand in the US called Simple Truth and Kroger's grocery store in the US but in China Kroger's a brand because they're selling simple truth on Alibaba, in China we've talked a lot about boxed on this show which is an Innovative a retailer that started out selling wholesale Goods today a big chunk of all their sales are own products that they're developing. One of the founders of Thrive Market which is sort of a online version of Whole Foods in a way talked about. The overwhelming success of their own products and how you know they were differentiated in the marketplace so that that was a big Trend in those. You know I think of you up there all the key notes in a lot of the breakouts you did see them like pretty neatly fall into those three big trim. Scot: [33:43] How how do you nod out on jobs pick one so we talked a lot about delivery versus curbside was there any conclusive evidence on either of those. Jason: [33:55] No I think the jury is still out I will say like I have in a pretty flippantly run around saying hey the big winner is going to be curbside that the unit economics really don't work. For for home delivery for grocery in perishable and kind of the Reader's Digest on my Logic for that is. [34:16] General merchandise e-commerce is generally what we call a route based delivery like you get 300 orders you put them all in the UPS truck the guy drives to 300 addresses, and deliver them all and so you know each one of those delivery is paying for one 300 that trip. And the UPS driver could show up at your house or work any place within kind of a 10 hour window and deliver the goods and it would be no problem. And fresh and perishable if you order milk or you order ice cream. You need to be home exactly when that delivery arrive so that you can put those products in a refrigerator or freezer. And generally the way that that retailers have to do that for most of the country is that to do a point-based delivery which means a guy drive straight from the store or fulfillment center to your house, and now that delivery has to pay for 100% of that trip instead of one 300th and so, in general because of that the unit economics are much more favorable to curbside pickup. And curbside pickup is good enough from a convenient standpoint like a lot of families fine, super convenient to order their groceries digitally pick them up at their convenience maybe on the way home from soccer practice and they're stored in a climate controlled storage facility and they they get put in your trunk really efficiently. And that's a really high customer satisfaction experience for most consumers so. [35:40] Put all that together and curbside pickup is the big win and I still believe that's true but I got to express that point of you do some really smart operators that a bunch of these grocery stores, and and they're kind of feedback which I do take the heart is hey Jason you're probably mostly right, but you're actually under estimating the fact that the picking is way more expensive than the delivery and so you know that the unit economic problem is more around, if you if you have a really expensive pic of 30 or 60 items you then can't afford to do a point delivery, but that if you have a really efficient fulfillment center and you can get the picking cost down a low enough. You can put those deliveries on a refrigerated truck and you may not be able to do the the 300 deliveries that a UPS driver can make in a day but you still can make multiple deliveries, guarantee tight delivery windows in a climate control truck from a dedicated fulfillment center and so they were arguing that that you know maybe there's more. [36:47] Communities that have enough density to support delivery than I was originally thinking so I'm I'm starting to amend my thought process I think the clear answer is, that the world is going to have all of these delivery modalities sometimes you're going to want to go to the store and pick the stuff out yourself and that's going to be your preference sometimes you're going to want to leverage curbside pickup and other times you were going to want delivery and so you know good good retailers are going to have to figure out a way to support all those modality. Scot: [37:16] And then in the whole kind of digitally native vertical brand startup versus brands from existing companies where where did Jeanette Allen. Jason: [37:27] Yep that that is interesting so the it feels like then the. Digitally native brands have more Tools in their their tool belt to overcome, their deficiencies than the big brands do right now right like so you you go talk to the big cpgs and you talk about what their strategy is to infuse Innovation and have a you know a faster pace of new products and have product that are better suited to the consumer and you frankly get a lot of blank stares and you get a lot of. [38:03] Kind of the same unfulfilling answers that oh we're going to set up an innovation team or we're going to act as a venture capitalist in and go unifund a bunch of projects, but you know these big brands have just not demonstrated the ability to get much faster and get much more Innovative and these big brands that are exclusively selling through wholesale are fundamentally disintermediated from the customer so they do not have the customer preference data to use to design and execute new products very well and I I just haven't seen any of them you know really like, clearly articulated solution to some of those deficiencies whereas the the the native direct to Consumer products have the ability to take advantage of all of the strengths of the direct to Consumer space and when they get to the point where they kind of max out on the scale they can reach direct-to-consumer they they have the option to them in pivot to a a wholesale distribution model or a blended model or they're in a position to establish a reasonable valuation and get acquired by one of these big companies and so it, like you know why there are challenges on both sides it appears there's more ways to overcome the hurdles if you start out as a new digital native brand then there are if you start out inside of one of these these big brands at least least for now that's that's how it seems to me. Scot: [39:33] If I come pull the thread on that so we talked about so some of these grocery stores like Kroger creating their own private label or our own Brands but then if I'm a cpg it it seems like. That's another reason to go direct other than the channels kind of being complicated to navigate without a team so cpgs going director or is that just not happening in grocery. Jason: [39:57] No no no it so it's often discuss there's not a ton of success stories right and so usually when a cpg tells you about their direct-to-consumer 6s they're going to be telling you about a direct-to-consumer brand. [40:10] But they're all talking about it and frankly like I strongly advocated and I think you and I have talked. In general I feel like developing a direct-to-consumer capability and strategy needs to be an important part of every one of these Brands because if yeah. You you sort of look at this at the moment and you've got a bunch of brands, dinner depending on on wholesale retailers and you look at the retailers and they're they're super distressed and have them bunch of head winds their number one tactic for overcoming their head wins is in differentiating themselves from our our friends in Seattle or when I'm soon going to have to say our friends in, Seattle New York Virginia. Is to have exclusive products and have owned Brands and said the retailers and brands that used to be you know super synergistic have are increasingly becoming Frenemies or direct competitors and it and the retailers are frankly having a lot more success with that at the moment then the brands are so a bunch of retailers are becoming super successful at building Brands we talked about a couple in the groceries Facebook like. Yeah oh my God I target has one strike three brands that sold over a billion dollars in their first year none of the digital native brands that we talked about on the show have and have done that right and so retailers are getting successful at making. [41:39] The transition to build products, and in that world there is a left there's less shelf space for the brands in a world that's increasingly becoming have a winner-take-all you kind of imagine some future when. When you know we're all going to get the bulk of our purchases from. In Amazon Monopoly in North America or maybe a Amazon Walmart duopoly there's a lot less points of presents to carry that brand product and so. [42:07] That brand is going to lose all the leverage to the unit few set of aggregators at the top of the echo system on the less. They're also able to sell the wrecked unless they can build a relationship direct with the consumer even if it's not high volume and profitable in the short run. I feel like they need to develop the skills just so that they get some customer intimacy so they can start building more relevant faster, more agile products and I feel like they they need a lab to test and learn all this digital shelf content and all these digital best practices that we. Been talking about on Today Show so when they execute at Walmart, they're not just you know sending an image that they have no way to test and hoping it sells well in Walmart like far better to be able to test all that content on your own direct-to-consumer channel Gatorade it really quickly and then take a hero image that you know work since indicated to Walmart so for a variety of reasons I think that's an important a scale for cpgs to evolve and I would say they are they are doing that cautiously and slowly. Scot: [43:09] We haven't done it wouldn't be a Jason in the sky show that will Amazon and we recovered at the top of the show but I didn't see anyone from Amazon speaking on I may have missed that but sometimes these conferences it's funny people are avoiding talking about it and stay 800-pound gorilla in the room was was there a lot of Amazon talk to at least find the scenes. Jason: [43:31] Yeah so to my knowledge Amazon really didn't have a presence at the show which on the one hand isn't surprising but on the other hand I would say the founders of this show have actually been pretty decent at getting Amazon speakers to their other shows now admittedly the speaker's they get are the ones that you don't have the most vested interest in. In selling their products to the industry so not shocking that pay by Amazon is happy to go to money2020 and talk about their digital wallet right and not shocking that that the Amazon Marketplace when that used to be a separate and into the you know was was happy to go to shop talk and kind of Recruit new Sellers and things like that. [44:18] The but they did have the prime now folks I have spoke at several of the shop talk shows and so you might have thought they would be there, it would have been fascinating to hear from some of the Amazon Fresh people are now that you know that the folks responsible for the Amazon Whole Foods in a graichen in and none of them were publicly there I'm sure Amazon secretly had some people there but. Almost every conversation when you say digital disruption of grocery, everybody points to the same event that like there was a lot of talk about digital disrupting grocery but nobody nobody was personally experiencing it or nobody was very worried about it until the day that Amazon announced today, they purchased Whole Foods and that that really sort of Kick this whole. Disrupt digital disruption of grocery in a high gear and caused by you know almost all the people we saw speaking were people that got hired as a direct result of that acquisition. [45:19] Mom said they were definitely on everyone's mind even if they weren't there in 4 in in person. Scot: [45:26] Put in the other high like showing it. Jason: [45:29] I think those were the big ones it is interesting that this is one of the spaces that I like doesn't feel like Amazon has one yet and they actually, probably have some intrinsic disadvantages versus some of the other players so. I'm by no means prepared to say oh my gosh they're not going to win Amazon on the Rhone you know dabbled in in fresh fresh, for I want to say amazonfresh is like 10 years old right and never really got a ton of traction and then after they bought Whole Foods I've been really impressed by how fast. Amazon's been able to integrate a lot of their digital chops in a Whole Foods and then some test markets like the one I live in they have some really compelling Whole Foods delivery options and Whole Foods curbside pickup options which are great but the reality is Whole Foods is a tiny percentage of the whole grocery market and they've you know implemented these tests in a tiny percentage of the whole food so you know you look at the the folks that Walmart or Kroger is touching with digital grocery versus the amount of customers Amazon's touching and right now. Walmart and Kroger have a head start now I would argue Amazon the way faster more agile company than Walmart or Kroger and so you know I think we can expect to see Amazon continue to make up ground but it is always interesting to see see a market where Amazon probably has to try harder than some other folks if they want to win. [46:58] I don't know. What do you think. Scot: [47:00] It's going to be interesting so you know they are pushing the Whole Foods pretty hard I've noticed in my Prime now recently there they're kind of integrated Whole Foods delivery right in the prime now in her face which is used to separate set of inventory and yeah I think it's too early to call account Amazon out of any fight. Jason: [47:20] No no I I totally agree I'm so in and it's going to be fun to have a ringside seat to watch it all play out I will throw one other teas are out there we did get to talk to several of the friends of the show that have been on the show a number of times before and so shortly after this episodes available will have a couple episodes live from the grocery shop show and we will get some other folks perspectives on the show in the industry and so you know if you're if you're trying to figure out the the digital grocery space I would encourage you to look for those upcoming episodes as well and with that this is going to be a great place to rap because we have used up our allotted time so as always love to continue the conversation on Facebook if you have any questions or feel like we got something wrong we love to hear from you and as always if you love this show we sure would appreciate if you jump on the iTunes and give us that five star review that's the the biggest favor you can do for the show. Scot: [48:24] Awesome thanks everyone for joining us and thanks Jason for being our Jason Scott representative in the field in Las Vegas. Jason: [48:32] It's it's never as fun without you but you were that you were certainly there in spirit so hopefully next year we'll get to do it together and in total next time happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP149 - Amazon Q3 Earnings, UPU Treaty, News

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 26, 2018 54:09


Happy Birthday, to Jason's wife, Leila! Scot Wingo is contributing the Forbes Digital Council, and writing about his new Vehicle 2.0 Framework.  Introducing Vehicle 2.0.  Jason Goldberg is also contributing to a regular retail column on Forbes, starting with his first article: What Competitors Are Missing About Amazon's New 4-Star Retail Concept. Scot is appearing in a national TV spot promoting his alma mater, North Carolina State, "Think and Do!" Jason is leading several sessions at GroceryShop October 28-31 in Las Vegas, including a keynote interview with Sam's Club Chief Merchant Ashley Buchanan. Amazon Earnings: Amazon's third-quarter earnings beat Street estimates, but its revenue and fourth-quarter outlook fell short of expectations. Revenue: Revenue increased +29% Y/Y (+30% ex-FX) to $56.58B, 1% below the Street's $57.11B. 29% Revenue growth was below consensus expectations as Int’l revenue disappointed with a ~$1B shortfall. North America revenue (ex-AWS and ex-WF) of $30.10B was up 25%, in line with 2Q18 growth. International revenue of $15.55B was up 13% (+15% ex-FX), a notable deceleration from 27% growth in Q2 (+21% ex-FX). AWS revenue of $6.68B was up 46%, down from +49% growth in Q2 but in line with expectations. Physical Stores revenue of $4.25B was slightly ahead of consensus expectations. Amazon's "other" category, aka advertising, jumped 123% to $2.5 billion in revenue AWS revenue: $6.68 billion vs. $6.71 billion estimated, according to FactSet Net income, meanwhile, grew more than 10-times from the year-ago period, to a record-high $2.8 billion, marking the fourth straight quarter of topping $1 billion in profits. The $3.7 billion in operating income far-exceeded Street estimates of $2.1 billion GAAP Operating Income of $3.72B was higher than the Street's $2.12B. Gross margin of 41.7% came in above the Street's 40.5%. GAAP Operating Income margin of 6.6% was higher than the Street's 3.7%. Profitability, once again, was a positive surprise with Op Inc ~$1.5B ahead of consensus expectations, Other News: Implications of the US pulling out of UPU Treaty Implications of Sears bankruptcy Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 149 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Thursday, October 25th, 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 149 being recorded on Monday October 25th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host and television spokesmodel Scott Wingo. Scot: [0:46] Hey Jason welcome back Jason Scott show us nurse yeah yeah yeah. So if you're at the front should I guess we'll will preface it's been a couple weeks but a show out so apologies to everybody we have been just crazy busy and what Jason's referencing there is I did a small video for this NC State thing and then end up being in a promotion that they are nationally a lot of people have seen it so that's been fun we'll put a link to it in the show notes so NC state has the motto which is thinking do, I am and I'm featured in there talking about they can do. Jason: [1:26] And they are airing at like on ESPN during the games. Scot: [1:30] Yeah when the when the college's nobody watch college football UIC usually during halftime they get two spots that they can kind of do a promotional video about University each University gifts and this is one they've been running for. Jason: [1:45] That's it's totally awesome I'm just saying it's my animated screensaver now so just so you know. Scot: [1:50] It's a little creepy but whatever floats your boat Jason. Jason: [1:56] Not even the weirdest thing about me. Scot: [1:58] Another fun fact is we are both contribute to Forbes you had a really good article where you you went through your Amazon go store the force Star Story. Jason: [2:13] Yeah and you are like some fancier CIO contributor if I'm not mistaken. Scot: [2:21] Yeah if you have the tech Advisory board or some such and I am writing about vehicle 2.0 which is a framework we've developed its if he for thinking about the future of cars which seems like it wouldn't have anything to do about e-commerce but it's kind of interesting. The first of all you have a. Perspective on how fast or how slow this vehicle stops going to go in and then second of all there are overlaps there so for example imagine autonomous vehicles delivering packages. Jason: [2:54] Yep for sure and I suspect in the not-too-distant future will be ordering a lot of packages from our vehicles and in many cases getting delivered to our vehicles. Scot: [3:05] Yes sir that's good and then the in exciting car news so Tesla's new operating system came out so that that has been fun to play with and a lot of the folks that are in the same demographic issue and I the most exciting part about the parade this is the Tesla West Nine is they have an Atari simulator in there as one of the new Easter eggs so that you can't do this while you're driving so full disclosure there. Sadly but I guess safely but it is a lot of fun to play on the touch-screen the various old Atari games, most fun one probably is Missile Command because he was always super frustrating to have to deal with that track ball and you can never get faster left right it in your little basis would get destroyed so now you can kind of do a two-finger thing and it makes it a lot easier to save your bases file. Jason: [3:57] I am always jealous when you get a new upgrade because I just think that's the coolest thing that you're you go to bed and wake up in your car has been upgraded it makes me want to like go out and get a fancy new cup holder or something for my car. Scot: [4:10] Yes you could. You could get a Tesla you should. Jason: [4:14] Yep despite the fact that my wife and I have no commute in the car is almost exclusively used by a three-year-old shirt. Scot: [4:21] Call Anna Jason you got a lot of stuff you can be doing here either this week or next week. Jason: [4:31] Yeah the the these next two weeks are super busy for me on the personal front this is the busiest week of the year for me tonight is my wife's birthday, inside of a side-note shout out to you honey happy birthday she most wanted to celebrate it by having me catch up. With the podcast cuz she knew the listeners were frustrated with the, the Gap we've had and her main request for her birthday is she wants to go to the Star Wars experience in Orlando on a joint vacation with the windows so we're going to have to. I think we're gonna have to find a way to make that happen. Scot: [5:13] Absolutely that is one birthday gift I'll be happy to help make happen. Jason: [5:17] Exactly and then it's a crazy fertility week apparently in my family because in addition to my wife's birthday. Tomorrow is like my mother's birthday my mother-in-law's birthday and my father-in-law's birthday. So so we're doing a lot of birthday celebrations this week and then Sunday I shoot out to grocery shop which is this new trade show in Las Vegas this will be the first year. Mainly focused on digital disruption of the grocery category. It's put on by the same folks that started money 20/20 and Shop talk. And I think they were hoping to get like a thousand attendees in this first year and they actually sold out capacity of the venue at 2200 people. So it's it's shaping up to be a really good event and I'm dramatically Overexposed at the event so Sunday night I'll actually be doing the keynote interview with Ashley Buchanan who's the chief Merchant at Sam's Club. So I get to talk to him about digital at Sam's and we'll talk about scan and go and some of their partnership with instacart and some of the other things they're doing hopefully I'll have some. Samara tough questions I'm doing a piano on. [6:36] Brands using product content help build a brand since we got. Folks from the Boston beer company which is like Sam's Sam Adams we've got Chobani what unit or disrupted the the yogurt space and we've got the wonderful company with the almonds and pom wonderful Fiji Water and all that stuff. And then I'm doing a panel on the evolution of the cpg retail relationship we've got constellation Brands which is. A big house of brands in alcohol space I think has Corona amongst others you have a elf Beauty and then a Fairway Market which is a great bespoke grocery retailer in the New York City area so. Some topics that are near and dear to my house heart and I'm looking forward to seeing everyone at grocery shop and the. I do have plan I know you're not going to go to join us so that always makes me sad but I do think we're going to get the opportunity to record a couple shows from there with some of the the grocery industry makers. Scot: [7:38] Next year they're going to Rebrand the sink to Jason talk or something like that cuz it seems like you're just doing everything there. Jason: [7:45] Yeah I think that was actually there original premise and then they found out like that the only for family members I could possibly get to attend we're all celebrating their birthday and so they decided to scrap. Scot: [7:56] Expanded to smother people in the loss of that that looks good I look forward to seeing all the social media that comes out of that and and he ran to the interviews any trip reports. Jason: [8:11] I do so, we've talked about Amazon go on the store on the show we did talk after they open the first go store in Chicago they have open to other go stores in Chicago so now we have a. A fleet of ghost tours and then this week or last Thursday Google opened a pop-up shop shop here in in Chicago for the holidays. So Google has done pop ups for several years but they've always been in New York this is their first year in Chicago so I was eager to see. What that look like and I I went and visited it this week so I'll talk about that in just a minute and then. They have announced their first permanent retail store in the US and that is going to be in Chicago there's no official date on when that's opening yet so we're continuing. To watch for updates on that but I'll be interesting to see what a permanent Google Store looks like but the pop-up is really sort of. [9:12] Very similar to pass Google pop-ups it's it's focused on the Google Hardware products so the pixel 3 phone their new home hub which is there a voice assistant that has a screen built-in so it sort of. Competing with Amazon Alexa show. [9:32] They you don't have a a couple cool accessories I've never really smart a wireless charger for the pixel phone. So you know you go to the pop-up they have all the products they had them on launch day. Which would which is kind of cool as the first place outside of Verizon you can get the pixel 3 phone. And they set up a couple of fun vignettes to sort of demo the capability so they have sort of a. A fake record store you can go into and play music using the the Alexa assistance in there that their new high-end audio Fidelity speaker. You can go into a tree house and do a bunch of home automation stuff so you can you know give commands to Google and you know see the shades in the tree house go up and down or change the lighting in a few different things. And they have a kitchen vignette and in the kitchen vignette you can have a bunch of Easter eggs you can give commands and it'll like pop open a drawer with candy in it and some stuff like that so. Some some fun little vignettes to kind of get you experimenting with a Google product but sorta in typical. [10:44] Pop-up shop fashion you know it it really felt more like some sort of Museum exhibits where you could go in and try products rather than a working retail store. [10:57] And you know the it was very sales assisted experience you know there more Google employees in the store then there were customers. [11:06] You know if if you are specifically looking to get Hands-On a Google product it was great opportunity to do that but I'm not sure as a pure retail store. [11:15] It was all that that interesting or or Works particularly well and in my mind the big change from previous Google pop-ups was just sort of the. The visual treatment so in the past they've done he's really kind of techno treatments with a lot of like. Animated light things and fiber optics and you kind of got a very sort of Tron feel from the the Google pop-ups in this Google pop-up was a much more. Sort of the Vintage organic feel so you know instead of a house they had a tree house and they they don't sell these other they should they they're like merchandising all of the. The the phones and he's cool Google tool boxes that they made for the store and so is very white. Sort of organic store with a fake tree in the middle of it and it was two stories and so if you live in Chicago you're interested in some Google products totally worth we're checking it out there are a couple features in the pixel 3 that I'm super jealous up as a. IPhone user they have dramatically improve new spam telephone spam filters which. I feel like I'm getting a lot more telephone spam so that seem cool and they have a great new visual search built into the the camera and incredible new will light features for the camera that seem to be class weaving. Scot: [12:40] Awesome I don't want to. Get you an agitated but I am ambidextrous and my pixel 3 actually just arrived today and I'm going to crack it open after this podcast so I'll do it boxing next week and tell you about all the awesome teacher missing. Jason: [12:57] Exciting I I probably will add one of the beat to I think it is going to be fun and if you have already gotten one spot I do suggest you get the the Google pixel. Wireless charger. It's really smart and clever like unlike traditional wireless chargers it recognizes each individual phone and you can have different settings for each phone it basically turns the phone into a mini Google home hub when you put the phone on the charger it has a bunch of unique features that I feel like everyone else should have thought of but give always the first ones to implement. Scot: [13:31] Awesome I didn't know about that so I appreciate that cool wall decals caught up on outside and it wouldn't be a Jason and Scott show without. Amazon news your margin is there a opportunity. [13:59] Yes Jason said at the top of the show it's Thursday October 25th and. After the market closes today Amazon announced their third quarter earnings and just kind of position awareness if you listen to podcast setting up for Holiday 18 and I like good stuff going on in a little while kind of shaky here in the last couple weeks the stock market's gyrating a bit tariff kind of stuff is accelerating were to talk about some things there later than the show around China impacts so for me this is a really important set up cuz this is kind of the one the last data points work it going into holiday 18. Add a reminder for everybody we tend to think of e-commerce as Baseline going about 15% 1/5 overall retail tubilee grows low-single-digit so 4% so with that being said Amazon did announce their ornax and it's kind of a mixed bag so he was a little light and and I'll go into why but then profitability exceeded expectations so as of the recording of that show the stock is down a tad and a smoke so. [15:20] When you peel the onion on on the top line revenue came in at. 30% year-over-year growth is 56 billion and that was about 1% will at the street was looking for so that one person. Turns out to be about a billion dollars so what's a billion dollars between friends who was largely on the international side Amazon doesn't really give any details about things but reading the tea leaves their you know it feels like there's there's some stuff going on they did annualize some things like suck exertion of some changes they made in India but then also you know I think a lot of the Wall Street analysts are or feeling like this is Felix of tariffs and packed so when item is sold from China and us that counts as it's where the seller is that that counts is international Judy and Skip Bayless so so that could be Amazon on the little bit of that passes Air Force they're going on Ding and revenue little bit more when you look at North America and you take out just when you just get the retail North America that snow cloud computing. [16:33] Whole Foods is a 25% begin to put this in perspective Amazon overall grew about 30% even that it's amazing you know huge 800 lb scale North America grew at 25% and then International only grew about 15% which is a pretty steep deceleration from last quarter is 27% of us continue to do really well that 46% and a physical stores came in right at expectations one of the stupidest things we like to talk about on the show is the advertising that continues to grow triple digits that grew a hundred 23% and is now 2.5 billion dollars and yeah that that just kind of looking at the trend overtime book with this the show notes so you'll get you one of 18 at 132% U2 under 29% you 323% so little bit of a slow down but really just continues to be white hot that eternity Jason for some other highlights. Jason: [17:42] Yep it's always hard to talk about a Slowdown in growth when it's still over 100%. That's a first world problem for sure but it's it was sort of a bifurcated story you I got the, the revenue was a slight Miss for the quarter but earnings for the quarter were really strong so they were. 2.8 billion for the quarter which is the their highest earnings ever that means that's four straight quarters that they've earned over a billion dollars in profit hopefully that. Scot: [18:18] Jason. Jason: [18:20] I was just going to say I hope I hope that finally puts to bed the the silly myths that they're not profitable. That is wildin more profitable than they were just a short time ago so that is like 10 x their profit from a year ago and that earnings was a pretty solid beat on the market expectation so on the one hand you go man they say we miss Revenue but they blew away earnings that should be a great story but then you know they gave their guidance for Q4 which was a little soft and disappointing to the market and the ramifications of that is this after hours trading their stock took a meaningful dipso their stock was down 9% tonight, if that holds tomorrow it is conceivable that Microsoft which had a good earnings report yesterday well at least briefly pass Amazon is the second most valuable company so I'm not sure that says anything particular negative about Amazon but that's a pretty impressive run for Microsoft will get themselves on the mixer. Scot: [19:31] There's a little bit of overlap so one of the reasons Microsoft doing well is azure which is their competitor to AWS it seems to be really doing well and and kind of sticking out of a definite second position and nudging out IBM in Google that were trying to get that that second position by the Amazon seems like seems like it's pretty quickly becoming a two-horse race between Microsoft and Amazon. Jason: [19:56] An in general Microsoft is still way behind in Cloud but. As a result able to grow much more quickly and of course in our category of retail what are the one category where you know Amazon faces some headwinds and their major retailers that obviously don't want to use AWS and there's some big powerful retailers like Wal-Mart they really discourage their vendors from using AWS so retail is one one particularly lucrative category for Microsoft azure. Scot: [20:26] Yeah on the. On the marketplace side one of the metrics than Amazon does discloses 2% of orders are units that came from Marketplace sellers last quarter it was 53% and it held steady at 53% again. Don't spend picking up about 1% every quarter so stabilize here at 53%. Jason: [20:53] Yeah and then there you know there after their names there's always the Q&A with a couple of the Business Leaders and, I'm always looking for tidbits there and one question that that Amazon got asked is about ads on the Alexa platform and I was. Happy to see there the guy that weaves investor relations for Amazon say that that they have no plans to, put in the ads on the Alexa platform in the day exclusively want to focus on it being a good customer experience so. Not shocking but but good to affirm that that they're not going there. [21:40] The and then you know kind of following up on the analysis of of the quarter I think you know people are definitely looking at that International softness and you called out like that they laugh their suit. Acquisition so that that probably had a material impact on International growth and then there's this big. Indian holiday it's right on the cusp of a shopping holiday that's right on the cusp of Q3 and Q4 so. Last year it was in Q4 this year it's in Q3 and so they're cute their comps. Mirror over a year are challenge cuz the holiday was in in one year and not the other. One piece of speculation is another report out there estimating the size of the Prime Membership. And that they are reporting that that growth in frying is dramatically slowing down which is, not a huge surprise you know the Amazon themselves they said they have over a hundred million Prime households and that's a global number but in North America there's only like 120 or 240 million households depend on how you count so it and it has to be getting harder for Amazon acquire more. Prime households and if it is in fact true that they're requiring us households than that certainly would have an effect on on future quarters growth so that's going to be an interesting thing to what. Scot: [23:09] Yeah yeah once you've kind of have every household on Prime then it becomes a saturation game to see the one thing on the fourth-quarter guides that you mentioned is it was a little soft on Revenue but but about 8% off on the prophet side and Amazon's not being specific about it but one thing they did announce that we haven't heard on the stove is there increasing everyone's wage for warehouse workers to $50 there's a lot of controversy around this so so this was a reaction to a lot of politics going on Bernie Sanders has been kind of lighting them up these ladies kind of but I think as an ox we're kind of silly things where they'll take Jeff bezos's net worth in / 365 and don't say that that's how much he makes a day or so. [24:05] Forgets the 20 years where he you know took tons of building Amazon but whatever I do dress and there is a point there that there is a large disparity between his of the top echelons of Amazon warehouse workers to Amazon straighten that out by $50 an hour doing so they get rid of stock options and some other things that they don't like that I can't win so that in the lot of people trash come over getting rid of those things so that being said it is a prematurely and talk to literally hundreds of thousands of employees so a lot of speculation that. Big head wind on the bottom line going in the fourth quarter is going to be that that wage increase Warehouse her. Jason: [24:52] Yep and I I think they were specifically asked if that it was going to have a material impact and Amazon didn't comment on the exact impact of the wage increase but that that wasn't pretty like from my view a pretty Savvy move you know there's been this trend in retail for a while you don't return a really competing for talent you know unemployment is low so it it's hard to get people and we've seen both Target and Walmart you like dramatically increase there starting wages in an effort to improve the quality of the workforce and then you know Amazon came in and LeapFrog them in and Amazon is competing for four people at this point to fill those Protomen centers in so that like I'm sure there was some political advantage in doing that like that you know I do think in a lot of ways it's the right thing to do I was here for the employees. [25:48] But it also just is a capitalistic thing to do in terms of making sure that you get the input the workforce that you need in this competitive environment so be interesting to see even what economic impact it has but the other question that they got about the financial impact in this going to happen thank you for is the u.s. postal rate increase that is coming and am I was pretty clear that they did not feel that the postal increase was going to materially affect them into me this is another one of these sort of funny ironies where. [26:28] You know that the president that appears to have some animosity towards Jeff Bezos adopts an issue and then some some which situation gets past like the sales tax Supreme Court ruling or now this postal rate and you know that you like him superficially is tweeting that this is going to have some negative impact on Amazon Amazon. [26:52] Has more ways to deliver packages than everyone else they have more of their own package delivery and so the operations folks and Amazon or like no we're just going to be smarter about which of our delivery vehicles we use only think we're going to be able to absorb that rate increase and of course no other retailer has those levers to pull in so like the postal rates going up actually is a competitive Advantage for Amazon versus the rest of the market that doesn't deliver 15% of their own packages like Amazon does. Scot: [27:24] Yeah to that vein couple of tidbits so there's a lot of video surfacing of Amazon order to something like 20 to 40,000 Prime delivery dance these are really nice there these Mercedes sprinters and I don't know about you in Chicago but in the Research Triangle the Raleigh-Durham area I probably see four or five of those a day right now and it started where they were going to large corporations so where were there a lot with my stuffy and your folks are reporting to Neo at Cisco and Citrix and MetLife. All these large employers there seeing the Amazon big ants go there a couple times a day and then now it seems, large Prime neighborhoods deserve this kind of replicating the FedEx Ground model to FedEx ground not realize this but the next error is W-2 employees FedEx Ground as a 1099 network of local stores that are given license to FedEx brand and they operate ground on behalf of their local businesses so, Amazon your kind of started. [28:35] This mix of some fulfillment center employees are driving these things and I talked to several of them and the ones I've talked to her are full on Amazon employees but a lot of them also are these 1099s ramazan will set you up in your own little 1099 delivery to you certain number of packages and effectively a dollar per package so your point pretty fast meeting at Amazon that really wrapping that up. Jason: [29:05] Yep. A couple of other pieces of Amazon news not necessary related to earnings but Amazon did launch a new credit card in partnership with Amex this I think maybe you last week that was targeted at small businesses and it has some interesting features it's a no fee Amex or if the first time you can get a free MX and. They sort of have variable terms for each purchase that you can select at the time of purchase in Amazon so that so there's a unique user interface in Amazon for purchases better. Completed with this credit card and so you can say for example that I want to use my Amazon reward points to pay for this purchase or you can say I'm going to, pay back this credit card charge in the next 30 days and you get 5% back for doing that or you can select these 90-day terms. You know take 90 days to pay for the purchase so kind of an interesting tighter integration between Amazon and Amex. You know what I'm always interested in those kinds of tie-ins because you know payment is such a. A potential competitive advantage in the e-commerce pay so it's interesting to see Amazon doing that. [30:26] I mentioned earlier that we now have 3 ghost tours in Chicago we also had the the first go store open in San Francisco this week so these things are rapidly opening. Side note kudos to the Amazon real estate team they've actually done a phenomenal job of hiding a lot of these stores from the media which is you know. Carefully carefully watching property managers to figure out where all these stores are and I I know it's Amazon's been a pretty good job of surprising us all with some of these openings. I had an interesting little debate with some folks on Twitter this week. [31:01] You know as as it seems clear that they're opening a network of these stores and there is that Bloomberg report that they're going to have it three thousand of these go stores buy. 2022. Doug Stevens a retail author and and subject matter expert me to tweet saying. You know that 7-Eleven is now on the clock. They're going to get dramatically disrupted by Amazon and they're really not ready for it and I sort of made a smart alec or reply. You know while I've never would tell anyone not to worry about Amazon I'm not sure that first and foremost Amazon go is likely to affect 7-Eleven I said that. You know probably print amazed year or hobo pie. Are at much more risk from the Amazon go store then 7-Eleven is and my contention is the ghost or is really a restaurant. You know whose main mission is to get you lunch when you only have a half hour lunch break and that it's it's not really a competitor to a traditional convenience store in so some folks on Twitter jumped in and we had a we had a good healthy debate about that then. Obviously the Ender Wintergreen I'm right. Scot: [32:11] Or they got blocked. Jason: [32:14] Yeah alright I just scream them exactly a side-note top three categories at 7-Eleven. 7-Eleven sells a ton of gas which Amazon go stores don't sell yet 7-Eleven sells a lot of tobacco which Amazon doesn't sell at all and then they sell a lot of alcohol which Amazon go only sells in one store in Seattle so you know where food is in a growing part of 7-Elevens business it's not even a top 3 category and it's it's like 95% of the skews in this this ghost or so that's why I think Joe is much more of a restaurant than a traditional convenience store. Scot: [32:53] When one last reminder is it's been a little over a year since it was on announce their hunt for hq2 so Alaska chelation is that we should be hearing about that here in the fourth quarter. Amazon said it would take about a year now it's firm you this involves a lot of details and local governments and stuff so I. Adders reversing a ramp up of speculation around hq2 stuff I'm kind of interested. You know there's a lot going on in Chicago not pick on Chicago's great City. For all the other stuff they've done the kind of event Seattle York and Chicago but now they're just really pouring it on in Chicago I wonder if that so I could slide indication that maybe Chicago's kind of pulling into one of the top. Possible locations for hq2. Jason: [33:50] Yeah it would be interesting with my wife and I were driving around town today and there's a ton of trains building conda commented like do the the condo developers know something about Amazon that we don't know. That. Why do you think Chicago is a interesting market for Amazon and you know it's a good test Market because it is it does. I have a broad representative demographic I personally would be a little surprised if it's here but that being said I suspect we're all going to know pretty soon. Scot: [34:28] And then you use it surfaced at nursing little spot between Amazon and eBay. Jason: [34:34] Oh yeah so you may actually filed a lawsuit against Amazon and it related to Amazon potentially trying to steal top Marketplace Sellers from eBay and the reason I was a lawsuit is the allegation is that the way Amazon was doing this is they very systematically infiltrated a private chat board for these eBay sellers and created a bunch of fake personas and you know what we're reaching out in Contin privately contacting sellers, through like a pretty sophisticated alleged hacking of this this site eBay communication platform and you like it it seems like they have a fair amount of evidence it is true it's a little surprising to me that there's someone in Amazon's position would do, you know I would certainly presume that wasn't a corporate directed to do this but that you know someone had enough autonomy to do this and can put off of that scale it would be interesting so I don't know what the real story is there but it's going to be fun to watch the lawsuit play out as a an interested Observer. Scot: [35:55] Cool so that that kind of wraps up our Amazon part of the show and then we had a lot of listeners that were sad that we we took a little break there so apologies for that and then two other topics that it looks really wanting this hit on IR Sears and then this really big change to the u p u which is squarely in your. [36:18] Your wheelhouse Jason saw the Sears side there was kind of two buckets of questions we got from listeners one was really you know some folks selling on the Sears Marketplace or are you in this would apply a guest to vendors yo what what should I do to Sears in her chapter 11 bankruptcy what percentage of the time companies come out of bankruptcy other times they don't and when they don't they're they leave creditors sitting there kind of holding the bag and a lot of times adders even a Marketplace seller would be considered under their left holding the bag and then the other thing so I'll tackle that one in the other one Jason was over all kind of Redan what's this really mean for retail my guidance would be you know it's all a risk tolerance question and Anna scale question so if you're you know if if you did have a speed bump and you lost you know usually is inside of trailing 30-day payment type cycle skiers of material enough that you did lose 30 days of that cash because of a bankruptcy if that is you know pretty. [37:32] Material to your business to be getting packs it out of 10 percentage I would start trimming my sales for selling on Sears and reduced to a tryst September set yes it was I think that's the prudent thing from a risk management perspective when a company goes into bankruptcy to start limiting your risk, now if you're someone that that is super risk intolerant and it is going to bother you make me time to phase out that Marketplace because and and see what happens with the chapter 11 you can always come back and it when the risk is diminished so I would kind of you know. Figure out your risk tolerance a spectrum of hey I go bungee jumping off Bridges as a super sweet. Each risk for breakfast all the way to I don't own stocks I keep cash under my mattress and level and then apply that to to your. Your strategy for selling on Sears and also put it through a filter of materiality is is this more than 10% of your business or not. Jason: [38:38] Yeah that seems like totally Sound Advice I can't believe you you gave out my mattress strategy online though. Scot: [38:47] Yeah they will talk about inflation some other time. Jason: [38:51] Okay. Scot: [38:53] It's actually. Jason: [38:55] You know every time one of these is a significant retailer goes under there's always this question like who's going to benefit from them going under or what what's the impact going to be on the rest of retail you know Sears is still like a 10 billion dollar a year retailer in so that you know it today. Assuming they don't emerge from the realreal organization and and retain a significant portion of their. There are 10 million dollar Revenue run rate a bunch of other retailers are going to benefit. [39:31] The thing I like to point out is Sears has already donated most of its market share to the rest of the market so you know. There there was a time when they were 40 billion dollar retailer and they've been slowly a roading since 2006 and they probably have donated. Over a hundred million a billion dollars in in share to other retailers. Over these last 12 years or so and so you know the the bulk of. [40:03] The benefit of them going out of business like has already paid off two other retailers. And you know there's a lot of analysis that goes in a who's going to benefit most from these stores closing and you know who has favorable, merchandising categories that are similar to Sears who has similar geography to Sears to benefit from the. The specific store closures. But in general I think if you look at the macro Trends I I sort of have this premise that were really seeing a bifurcation of retail and where were essentially seeing. A few huge aggregators that focus on selling every product that's available in doing so at a really low price and super efficiently. And if that sounds familiar to you in North America and that's because I just described Amazon. There would be a good argument that Walmart is also one of those aggregators that that's going to continue to do well and in the future we might have a duopoly if he's too big. Big aggregators and then everyone else is in a really focused on selling curated assortments to specific. Target audiences and really selling exclusive products that you can't get from the big aggregators in so those big aggregators are. In the best position to benefit when. [41:24] You know someone else that used to win based on assortment and scale goes away so like obviously Amazon Walmart or. Going to take a significant percent of that share that Sears losses in Sears specific case because of a big portion of the revenue is soft goods at a low price point poles is particularly well positioned to. To get a nice benefit from the Sears stores going away and because appliances what a big chunk. Of Sears Revenue Best Buy is also in a position to get. A nice lift from the the the Sears market share lost so I think those are the retailers. Will see benefit the most but you know. At this point we're not losing the big one of the biggest retailers in America we're losing eyeshadow up there once was one of the biggest retards in North America so I don't think this is going to be a title change in the Retail Landscape by any means I think you know it's more sad because of. The history of Sears and what a dominant position they want had and how important they were to the evolution of retail in North America and frankly in many ways how important they were to the actual development of North America. Scot: [42:41] Anderson so you can take off the mattress all the money from of your mattress and put it. It sounds like. Jason: [42:48] That probably would be far from the worst investment I ever made. Scot: [42:53] What will save that story for a future ship so that's that's good perspective now tell us about this whole Universal Postal Union treaty and what's going on. Jason: [43:07] So this is a very little known thing that suddenly is getting a lot of ink so you know back in 1874 at the treaties burn the world establish this thing called the universal Postal Union later got rolled into the to be sort of a subsidiary of the United Nations and then the idea of this poster 3D was that every country you would agree to uniform rates for postal delivery so when you're in France and you want to mail something to Germany you could know in advance what the cost would be to mail that and the cost ought to be, the same for mailing between every country and each because that mail requires the, cooperation of at least two Postal Services the one that picked up the package from you and hands it to that that foreign country and then that terminal country that the country that gets it and has to deliver it. [44:11] They ate their handling of that package the treaty agreed on how those two postal entities would share the the rates for that shipment and they agreed that that the international shipments would get equal trip treatment with domestic shipment so if the. Is the terminating country you know couldn't for example deliver International Post much slower or less reliably or with West tracking are these kinds of things. [44:44] And so it sort of made it very easy and possible for 4 people all over the world to mail things to each other and know in advance how how much it was going to cost and have pretty good confidence that it was going to get delivered and then overtime this treaty added some other useful things they added some standards like a big stamp should be they added electronic data interchange so that the the Post Oak interchanges could be more efficient and they added some you know things to catch fraud and crime and and share databases and things like that so so we've all had benefited for a long time from the Disposable 3D it's got a hundred and ninety-three member countries in it now. [45:26] So if I feel like that's that's good for the world it's super important in a lot of e-commerce. Pretty good cross-border e-commerce still gets delivered via the post office so there's a lot of artists that make beautiful art here in the US and they sell it to people in Europe in the primary way they deliver that is. They mail it via post a post so the one sort of real challenge is, did there was a clause built into this postal treaty that essentially said developing nations, would get charged less terminal fees. And so what that essentially said is more developing poor or countries would not have to pay as much to have their their post delivered by richer countries and so if you're in one of these more developed countries you are obliged to accept packages at a lower cost from a developing country and if you lost money delivering that the way you would have to make up that money is by charging the people in your home Market. More for postage and like there's probably a good argument that that. [46:43] That mechanism for developing countries was probably fair and had some benefits and made it easier for more countries to participate in the treaty, one of those countries that was flagged as a developing country was China. And the treaty is super slow and it takes a long time to change like I think there's not a good argument that China should still be considered a developing economy for purposes of this treaty but but they were and so what that essentially meant is that a seller in China could sell something on Amazon to it to a buyer in the US and they could very cost-effectively, male that that good via post and frankly it was much cheaper to send something from Shanghai to San Francisco then it was to send something from Chicago to San Francisco and ironically that that seller in Chicago selling the San Francisco was having to pay a higher postal rate to subsidize that cheap delivery from that Chinese seller so treated this really unfair situation where Chinese sellers had a much lower cost of postal delivery for cross-border trade then did for example American companies and so a lot of people felt that was unfair and so now the Trump Administration is threatening to pull out of the treaty, because of that that fundamental unfairness which frankly totally agree is unfair the problem is. [48:13] If we do in fact pull out of the treaty. What that also means is that all those sellers in the US that want to ship via post anywhere else in the world can only do it if the United States negotiates a individual treaty with a country you want to ship your goods to sew. [48:30] That that potentially would mean we need a hundred and ninety-three postal trees that we have to negotiate one and one with each of these countries, many of those countries we don't have an ambassador with right now so I guess it would be a big Challenge and so while I think pulling out of the upu fixes this this. Fairness imbalance with China it's going to create a bunch of new headaches for people in the US that do cross-border trade and so what you know frankly the best out come here and what what I think a lot of his hope is the case is Milli by threatening to pull out of the upu we could put. Pressure on the the governing bodies of the upu to sort of fix this this China Gap to keep us in the treaty and so hopefully this is just some sabre-rattling it causes them to rethink the developing nation clause and we stay in the treaty but if we do pull out that'll be you no good news for some people that are competing with China but it'll be bad news for a bunch of other US base sellers. Scot: [49:32] One of the companies that seems potentially most impacted is wish so Bocas wishes Marketplace are Chinese sellers Supervalu oriented so they're not using FedEx or anything like that they are using the postal system and the wish founder was actually kind of saying to you earlier point about it is kind of ironic that. By raising the postal rates it actually kind of helps Amazon versus other retailers that this is another interesting kind of example actually oddly benefit Amazon because you know now there won't be the goods from wish that you're competing with Amazon isn't the middle sister where they bring products are from China on boats called Dragon Boat so it'll have to get a lot of their goods they skirt this this this just don't understand how that works correctly. Jason: [50:25] Yeah. You're exactly right and this is again the biggest sellers I actually have more options right and so even and I don't know how true this actually is Betty wish claims that hey this isn't going to be you know to join material to us because we are selling enough stuff from China to the US that we can be a cost-effective freight forwarder so we can put all those small packages on our on boats bring containers over here and then dump them in the US Postal System to be delivered domestically and not have international right and because we're a big seller we have enough volume to aggregate to do that where as you know smaller sellers wouldn't wouldn't have that option so remains to be seen whether which will be able to follow through on that if we pull out of the upu treaty but like certainly it's your point Amazon. [51:16] Already doing that and there was a I think Jason Delray did an interview with the CEO of wish and he had a funny comment like when the the Diplomat talk about pulling out of the UVU one of the reasons they say it is it's totally unfair the US Post Office is losing three hundred million dollars on. On postage as a result of this deal and the wish CEO offered to pay it and obviously like that's not the the total cost that's lost from from this this imbalance but it I thought it was a funny snide remark. Scot: [51:57] Hearing you describe it almost could be an eBay proxy on eBay benefits from a lot of this stuff too so it'll be interesting to watch that and then in the world that talk a lot about ePacket do you know what that is and if it's a fact about us. Jason: [52:12] Yep like so that is a specific postal product and it if I'm remembering right it's indexed to the upu rates but it's not actually governed by the upu rate so it would be possible for us to change the ePacket rates without pulling out of upu but it would require the US Post Office to change some of their their pricing policies and I think that might require a vote of Congress if I'm if I'm not mistaken so it's a a slightly special case but it basically is indexed to the rest of this problem. I'm so it's all it's all going to be interesting to watch like I never thought I would get a chance to talk so much about the nuances of international postage systems. I think my my father-in-law the stamp collector would really enjoy it. [53:09] And that's going to be a great place to wrap it because it's happen again we've used up all our a lot of time as always if we got anything wrong or are you have further questions or want to discuss anything from Today Show would love it if you jump on Facebook and leave us a comment will try to reply right away as always if you benefited from the show now would be a great time to jump over to iTunes and give us that 5-star review if you hate it today show Scott's a personal cell phone number will be in the show note so you can give him a call and let him know. Scot: [53:44] Absolutely look forward to hearing from everybody thanks for joining us everyone have a great week. Jason: [53:49] And until next time happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP148- Amazon 4-Star Retail Concept Store

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2018 42:44


EP148- Amazon 4-Star Retail Concept Store  Amazon 4-Star, Amazon’s latest brick and mortar retail concept, opened in the SOHO neighborhood of New York City on Thursday, September 27th. The premise that its assortment of merchandise available in the store is rated 4-star or higher, curated by customers, a top seller or is new and trending on Amazon.  Jason was on-hand for the grand opening and gives a first-hand account.   "What Competitors Are Missing About Amazon's New 4-Star Retail Concept" from Forbes. Overview of Amazons brick and mortar formats to date Description of the Amazon 4-Star Store Digital Fact Tags SoluM is the hardware provider  Checkout Experience Implications for other retailers Upcoming: Groceryshop October 28-31, Las Vegas Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 148 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Monday, October 1st, 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 148 being recorded on Monday October 1st 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host, Scot Wingo. Scot: [0:41] Hey Jason welcome back Jason Scott shirtless nurse well it says you have a special treat for you this week we. Jeff Bezos says you know is one of our top listeners and he knew Jason was in New York last week and he thought that would be a good time to open an exciting new store the four-star store in Jason Our Lives always in a city on a new Amazon thing opens a reporter is going to give us a trip report today. Jason: [1:10] Yeah I know it's super excited to talk about a 4-star I'm sad because the last show we were together so now I'm having to get used to the the separation and doing it remotely against God. Scot: [1:23] I know I know well I'm sure we'll see each other next couple years. Jason: [1:27] I'm looking forward to it already. Scot: [1:29] Cool let's kick it off by so you know you and I fall asleep closely maybe not everyone else's is obsessed with the Amazon physical stores let's kick it off once you give us an overview of the different store formats that are out there. Jason: [1:49] Well so I think the first brick-and-mortar store than Amazon ever opened was probably the Amazon bookstore the original one in the University Center in in a suburb of Seattle. Now I want to say there are 17 or 18 of the book stores open. Instead of this is like the. They do Intex sell books they also sell Amazon Hardware in the store some of the key unique concepts of the store. [2:21] Amazon has Dynamic pricing their pricing on a line changes all the time they want to offer the same price in the store that they do online so the store has no price tag so you have to use the Amazon app and scan everything in the school or store. To learn what the price is when you make your purchases you get in line at a traditional cash wrap but instead of paying with a credit card you're highly encouraged to use, the Amazon mobile app to check out using your Amazon digital wallet so they have kind of a. To my way of thinking convoluted High friction. Checkout experience and I expect we'll talk about that more and there's a lot of speculation about the purpose of those book stores. It it seems unlikely to me personally that that Amazon has identified the dead tree book category is a category where they desperately have to get more market share than they were getting online and so they open. Book stores because they thought that that was the category the world needed more of my my promise has always been, that Amazon has these really successful Hardware products like the Echo and the fire and the day recognizes that they needed a demo environment in a customer service environment for those and that the the books were kind of. The decoration around the Amazon Echo Store if you will. Scot: [3:50] And then what other formats are there out there. Jason: [3:55] So a couple formats cropped up after that. Amazon head-to-head Amazon Fresh for a while and today you want a couple of these Amazon Fresh pick up locations in Seattle so these were, places where you can order your groceries from Amazon Fresh and instead having them delivered you could drive through almost like a bank teller. I drive through bank to our kind of situation and they would put your groceries right in your trunk, they're very fast service level so you can get your groceries delivered like 30 minutes after you place the order these two stores. Open shortly before Amazon bought Whole Foods so this at one point was there. That you know what like the tip of their Spear of their brick-and-mortar grocery strategy and then of course they, they are upset the industry by actually buying a brick-and-mortar grocer. So they they have of course they have the Whole Food stores is another Amazon format and they, they made a lot of progress in digitalizing I think I just joined a new version of that were there. [5:03] The grocery store so prior to the acquisition you could not find out what Whole Food carried in the individual store you cannot see inventory now you can shop the whole inventory of all the Whole Food store, they've added a ton of omni-channel feature so you know Whole Foods delivers. In many markets they have curbside pickup I would very fast service levels in in mini markets they've integrated Amazon Prime into the Whole Foods experience so you you get discounts on product of your Prime member and you are now using, your mobile app in your barcode to get that Prime discount when you checkout at the front Whole Food store so Whole Foods is there only one of those Concepts and then. [5:47] Inside of many of the Whole Foods Amazon has a hardware pop-up shop and so there now 37 or 38 of these Amazon pop-up switch is a, format you know. Dedicated to the Amazon Hardware so that's mainly Echo fire ring, antonym of amazonbasics products and as we know that those are all expanding lines they're adding new skis used some of these pop-ups are not in Whole Food stores, and then not included in that count Amazon has also done a shop and shop inside of a bunch of Best Buy stores that has a lot of these physical things, so those are is far as I can remember where the main, Amazon brick-and-mortar formats leading up to this this new Amazon 4-star store that just opened in the Soho neighborhood in in Manhattan. Scot: [6:43] Cool so it's good over you so give us an idea of what. What it's like when you walk in this thing one thing I saw online a lot of people are not questioning the name for Star it's almost kind of like why not just have five-star stuff so I would love to hear your thoughts on that and then you walk in and give us a lay of the land is a categorical or some people say it's a bunch of random stuff I would never buy just kind of all jostle together I love to hear your kind of like a little tour of what you saw there. Jason: [7:16] Yeah they got some merchandising is currently in the eye of the beholder we haven't explained it to her listeners the concept behind the four star store is that everything in the store has earned four stars or more on the Amazon platform, or is a hot seller or is a new and trending products, so it's essentially it's their taking these products that are doing really well on the Amazon e-commerce platform and putting them in a physical store format and so yeah you know. Haven't given a lot of thought to the name the. You know you're right like it's open a misinterpretation that it's tough that's rated for not five-star it if it really is meant to be four star and above. In many of the products in their likely aren't 4-star because they're their new new trending products as well so so the. The merchandise in the store is a little broader than the name might imply it's a 4000 square foot store which of the similar footprint to the book stores, and the physical fixturing in the store in the signage in the graphic elements are all very similar to the bookstore so if you shopped a bookstore the. The visual merchandising in the the four-star store with feel very similar to you. [8:42] There there's One Merchandising element that's dramatically different and we'll get to that in just a minute but the main thing that would feel different about the four star store from the book stores is. [8:54] Quite simply the merchandising assortment that is in the stores and in fact you actually can see some of the. [9:03] The Fingerprints of this store in the earlier book stores so in the book stores. At some of the unique gondolas they had four books is they would have a gondola just for books that were rated 4.8 stars or above, at the time that was a novel concept that that you know that they had a merchandising display unit dedicated to well-reviewed products and then they also had a gondola for stuff that was rated 4.6 stars and above, my New Yorkers for the store in New York so they had Us store that had you know that was very sensitive to. Well reviewed products from other people in the same Market is you and so in a way you can almost think of this door as taking those couple of innovative displays out of the book stores and turning them into a, a whole brick and mortar store there is very very clear wayfinding so the. You like that the signs for the categories of products are pretty clear and in so you both have sort of tables that have things like, new and trending products you would we have a category for like, products at 10 to get purchased together you have a table for things that are hot in Manhattan you have those kinds of. Of curated assortments based on on on ratings and reviews and user-generated content. [10:30] On tables in the middle of the store in the most of the walls of the store are little micro categories so pet products or travel products or kids products, and then there's a couple big category so they're their there are tables that are dedicated and labeled as Amazon product separately there's a home automation section, there's a fire section, there's a big section in the middle of the store that I'm pretty sure is a vendor funded display that's for the the the iRobot. [11:10] Artificial intelligence vacuum cleaners. And so you have a bunch of these categories and I think it's toy fair to the unit people that walk in and say hey it feels a little hodge-podge G disorienting. To me what that is is you got a. A category of pet products sitting next to a category of travel products right and you you know there's there's not necessarily. In an obvious association between those two categories and yet they're their merchandise adjacent lie in the store. I'm not sure if I mentioned it earlier but they're even tables for things like amazonbasics cookware for exam. So that the assortment can feel a little. [11:58] Random the or or you know there's some objects of positions of the assortment but in a way that's one of the things that's interesting to me about the store, you know ink increasingly we talk about stores like Amazon's website as being the. [12:15] You know the absolute winner at things like a sort mint and convenience and priced and so we talk a lot about you know the best play for a lot of other retailers is to be at the other end of that spectrum mbn that sort of. Accuration in Discovery into the Spectrum where you you know you you could be surprised and delighted to discover some new product that you didn't even know you wanted, did the retailer help you find and none of the previous Amazon Concepts were really very good at Discovery and certainly Amazon's website you know has not been successful at Discovery, yeah they've done the number of Pilots including one we talked about last week the the Amazon Scout experience to try to get better Discovery but that's always, been sort of a a gap for Amazon and it's it's been one of the. The plays you seen a lot of other retailers do to try to compete against Amazon and so now you have this new store format that I do think, has a strong element of surprise and Delight but if you went in there to shop for Amazon products if you went in there to see the new echo or to see the the the microwave oven which side note it's not in the store yet. [13:28] You you would discover some other products that are highly rated that a bunch of people are buying on Amazon that you probably didn't know existed and said there is that kind of fun element of surprise and because it's a broad assortment a lot of people point it out like you know it's a pretty it's a particularly good assortment if for example your shopping for a gift for someone because there's a wide variety of different things for people with different tastes. Scot: [13:54] Coop's what, we'll see where this was the biggest swell a lot of people in New York love that store called story that you know, Angels kind of every quarter that has a theme of the tend to be seasonal like around. X day it'll be love and home Macy's acquired that I believe and then that's a store that's like really just focused on Discovery and then we've had beta on the show where is really around device Discovery at what time is the Apple Store you can have that time. How would you kind of rate this and that Spectre mode stores oriented towards discovery. Jason: [14:37] So it is much closer to the, the sort of beta end of the Spectrum in in fact I would in some ways that share some common strengths and challenges with the beta format right so you know like Bay that you're your apps to discover some new stuff when you walk in that store that you didn't know existed and that's great but will I get beta, there probably aren't a lot of customers that have a particular product in mind. And then are going to go to the beta store to fulfill that particular product right so you know to me one of the challenges with the beta format is it's very strong if you just want to discover something you didn't know existed but it's it doesn't you know, do particularly well as a destination for products I already know I need. [15:25] Into what's interesting about this Amazon 4-star is it does have a little bit of both like a view new that you're all your friends were talking about Echo and you finally want to jump in and buy an echo or do you already have an echo and you want to learn about more home automation products that you can integrate with your Echo, this store is going to be your destination they have the broadest assortment they have in staff Nina in-store people that are trained to teach you they're doing in-store demos and things like that and so it is your demo for Amazon products and then you're going to have that beta style Discovery experience, around the Amazon products so in that way it's a little bit better of a blend you did you mention story Into Me story also is a very much a discovery experience but it's a much more, carefully curated Discovery experience so. [16:20] Everything in story is going to fit into a single theme in that theme is going to change every couple of months or every story is they call it right so you know if it's a, a local food base theme all the products in the store are going to be related to local food and how to prepare it and shop for it and buy it, until there is a cohesive theme and you know the the cohesive team in beta is sort of tech gadgets if you will, then you know that there really isn't as much of a cohesive theme in this Amazon store it's more of the decoration bye bye rating, plus all the Amazon products but I do think. [17:03] This is going to end up being a destination store that's a mission for people that decide they want to buy Amazon products if you want to see that microwave oven before you buy one, I think this door is clearly going to be your destination if you if you live in the New York area and then it is going to be. Another store in a popular shopping district in SoHo that people just want to go into brass and see what's new in hip and they're going to expect to see fun new stuff every time they walk in the store and compare that for example to the, the world's most successful retail concept Apple, like I would argue that there's very little fun surprise when you walk into an Apple Store I mean you know when they first want to take care of a lot of third-party product but as they have launched more of their own products they really. Apple is really narrow the assortment to just stuff they sell and when they you know bought beats they said they didn't want to sell other people's headphones very much and so, in general all the products in that Apple Store are Apple products and they change at best once a year and so you're really surprised when you walk into an Apple store that you're going to be able to walk into this Amazon store you know it certainly every couple of weeks and in discover some new stuff so that's an interesting play for Amazon. Scot: [18:18] Go see you're getting you got the vibe they're going to be changing this products pretty frequently like where they like running around like oh my God this is now below for stars and here's the new thing in this is hot and turned in her. Jason: [18:29] Yeah I definitely don't get the sense that is going to be real time but I think they are committed to two very frequent product refreshes and that certainly is one of the things wall, will want to watch. [18:41] The I hinted up front that there's that the merchandising mostly feels exactly like the Amazon bookstore but there is one dramatic difference between, the book stores in this door and that is that this door. Uses digital displays are what we call Electronic shelf labels or sometimes they're called electronic fact tags. In front of every product in the store so there's a little e ink display in front of every product and what that lets the the Amazon 4-star, store do is it let that store show that Dynamic price in at that price changes throughout the day, the prices updated on that on that ticket in real time and of course in addition to having a price on that ticket they also show the average star rating and the number of reviews that every product has got it has and so since all of those things are kind of real time and can be changing on the website all the time, it makes sense that they went to a digital display in the store so that you get that updated information so it's not so much, but they're changing products out every single day but at the very least they're updating all that information about the products every single you know our, and then interchanging out the products fairly frequently. Scot: [20:02] Is it you know when you say this I imagine like a little candle kind of cut to fit on the Shelf is like is it an Amazon product they've made for this or is it a third party. Jason: [20:14] It is not it's a third-party product so there's a. Vibrant competition out there for these fat tags some other retailers use them Whole Foods interesting enough was an early adopter they use them in some categories like the beer category. Kohl's has deployed them pretty much everywhere in New York City there's a very popular photography store. That's a e-commerce site to the rest of the country which is called B&H Photo and they use all these fact tags the in many states, if the price of the cash register is different than the price on the Shelf the Retard gets fined and so one of the reasons that a retailer might want these electronic fact tags is to guarantee that the cash register price is always. To the shelves into a lot of retailers particular in Europe have deployed this technology just to protect themselves from that kind of Regulation, I'm in consumer protection laws but increasingly we're seeing that you can also use these digital fact tags to give customers a better experience and if you're someone that's going to change prices frequently. Frank Zappa Warren Buffett owns a store in Nebraska called that are in Omaha, Nebraska Furniture Mart. [21:27] They they sell a it's a huge Furniture campus but they have a 50000 square foot consumer electronics store that's kind of like a Best Buy in it, and that store spreads all their competitors prices every morning and they update the price on everything in the store to be lower than any competitor and they do that using these digital fact tag, so we're trying to see him, yeah it is a display technology that's very similar to the Kindle and I did do a little spelunking when I was in the store and and their particular solution comes from this this Bender called, so um I'll put a link to to their products in the in the show notes but it's s o l u - m.com. And you know typically all these vendors make a wide variety of sizes they have some color capabilities so you can add Getty ink in like three colors, but mostly what Amazon's using our bar kind of the least expensive products in the in the line so they're the two smallest format tags than Amazon's using and they're just black and white. These things are run on a battery they clip to a shelf just like a paper sign would. [22:38] Store updates prices on a server that talks to all of them you use a mobile phone with Wi-Fi to update pricing, and then there's a zigbee server which is a flavor Bluetooth that used to actually update all the all the individuals back tags in the store. Scot: [22:58] White so I have been in an Amazon bookstore and their you kind of used app why do you think they're using this instead of the app based approach. Jason: [23:07] Two reasons number one like I would if you actually go back to our bookstore first first show I suggested back then that I was surprised Amazon wasn't using electronic fat tags in the bookstore because I felt like forcing customers to use the app is a. High friction experienced some customers will do it some won't but it's slower and you know customers shot the store they don't have the app and so, I was kind of surprised they didn't have fat tag Justice all the pricing problem but now in this poor starving store they've doubled the problem because they had that they have the dynamic pricing problem but now they have the problem of showing you what the ratings and reviews are like that's the whole premise of the store and so they can't get that social proof available for every product than that's you know, it's hard to deliver on the on the promise of the store and so I think they needed the fact tag to have the real time updates of the of the the star rating, and the dynamic pricing and so you know I think that that's kind of cool I'll bet you we don't see any new book stores open that don't have these, these these tags in them and I'll bet you if if Amazon does deploy this this format a little more broadly that it's another nudge to a lot of other retailers because once you, have the ability to see the star rating in the store for a product. [24:31] You really want that everywhere and you you certainly want that at Target and Walmart and you know once once the expectations are raised that you can easily get that like I think a lot of other retailers are going to have to. Have to match that capability and are least I certainly hope so. Scot: [24:46] Cold out how often do these things update like when you're in the store did you see them updating or you think it's like that once a day thing or. Jason: [24:52] So I didn't I didn't see any updating I didn't have the patience to stay the same United change a review and see it see a change I pray I should have done that in hindsight in my mind I I know if I'm working with these tags that it's totally viable to change the price multiple times a day so I just imagine that they're probably refreshing the tags every hour or every, couple hours in the stores you don't want to constantly refresh him cuz they are running on a battery and so for example if you. If you updated every 10 minutes or something that you know that the batteries would would last considerably last time. These tags actually don't use any power when they're not being updated so one of the benefits of the E tank is it needs electricity to change but once it changes. It doesn't take any power to two. Keep its display State and so then when there's igby goes to sleep you basically have a tag that's that's electric but isn't isn't drying any power from the battery which is pretty clever. Scot: [25:54] I kind of believe V Amazon 6S for mandevilla themselves cuz they've got all the underlying technology and. Jason: [25:59] I'll be totally honest. Yeah I'm familiar with the number of these tag manufacturers I was not familiar with this particular manufacturer and I was somewhat surprised when I you know climbed underneath that is playing was looking at the back of these things to see the day they were a third-party product I tend to agree with you I can feels like something, you think Amazon would have engineered and then maybe potentially sold the other people. Scot: [26:26] Did you get arrested. Jason: [26:28] I did not get arrested. Scot: [26:31] Did you get caution to the work of the lake sir sir get down from that ladder. Jason: [26:36] I feel like I have this whole skillset about being really slick and smooth and retail stores and and you ain't getting a little another Eyes Photography and stuff and it's mostly wasted skill now because in the old days, they tried to catch you and they really frown on that like now like every single person in the store is taking pictures for Instagram and what not and so. If you like being stealthy is a is a valued skill in the stores I will say One Missed opportunity I was really happy to see the digital fact tags he missed opportunity is what you can also do on those digital fat tags is you can throw an NFC chip, inside of the fact tag. In effect this manufacturer even offers that as an option and so is we we covered last week the newest Apple products can now read NFC chips with in the background and so what that would mean is. [27:33] You shop this door you see the price you see the number of ratings and reviews and you could take any Android or any brand new Apple phone and just wave it in front of the price tag and it could open the Amazon for the detail page and let you actually read the reviews for example and so to me that would have been a nice link, to the customers mobile device for the people that want to do a deeper dive or at the very least Amazon owns their own 2D barcode technology called smile codes you would have expected, there to be a smile code you can scan for each of these products in at least so far they they have not gone that way so maybe that will be there next door concept is though, the lad smile codes in the NFC chips to the to the digital Factory. Scot: [28:17] Someone told me on the tag anyone can shop in there but it will actually highlight if there's a prime discount so there's certain things that were either Prime exclusives our heads exclusive Prime discounts did you see that. Jason: [28:29] Yeah I did not notice any Prime exclusive but I did notice product that had a prime discount and so then the tag use this kind of is was format and said they say like with price. You know 1999 Prime price 1599 or whatever. So you could see that that you know and they they this store like I got you know I didn't count how many skus are in the store but like it it, it would not Shock me if 40 or 50% of all the shoes in the store are Amazon products between Echoes Kindles fires. Amazonbasics you could easily imagine that have two products in the store Amazon Prada. Scot: [29:15] Sagittarius fortune.com. Jason: [29:17] You you may yeah usually I have a muted for podcast but because we did a special episode tonight I decided to leave her on and she's punishing me for it. Scot: [29:25] What else can you highlight about about the storks prankster. Jason: [29:34] So the instapot was prominently featured I know that's a super product Everyone likes to talk about the. They did have some digital displays for some of the Amazon product so. Particularly for like the the ring doorbell displays they they had a button you can push that was built into the table and they are like a 20-inch monitor built into the table and they played a video sort of. A demonstrating the the the ring value proposition to customers and said that you know these were these richer interactive tables most of the Amazon products. Out and available for customers to try and use and then tried to set up good demo environment for all these products. This is all live merchandise so all the Amazon or non Amazon products if you wanted to buy something you you grabbed it on the Shelf there's an inventory on the shelf and you will you walk to the cash register and and buy it yourself. The. [30:37] You know so in general I walked in that store and I might go out you know this is a more fun store to shop then any of the previous Amazon Concepts I've been in pain so I thought that was really favorable and I actually think. The idea of merchandising the store based on customer social proof is really smart and I think it's very smart for two reasons. Does ratings and reviews it become like the most persuasive attribute in selling stuff online and and you know there's a lot of studies that each other like 2nd or 3rd behind price as the, the primary attribute to customers care about Amanda cases they're more important attribute than the brand name. Anythink gosh all those ratings reviews are ubiquitous available online they're not available in any brick-and-mortar format right and so who's the first retailer to figure out how to leverage ratings and reviews in a brick-and-mortar store. [31:30] What a surprise it's Amazon I think that's really smart I think a bunch of other retailers are going to. Have to move in that direction and we've also talked on the show a lot about this trend of moving away from. Sort of intuition bass merchandising to data-driven merchandising right in historically, you know if you were opening a store that was going to cater to gift-buying you'd hire some Merchant and they would you know be responsible before deciding what Pool Products They Carried and they would use their own intuition, and if they did go to, new product trade shows and they look at stuff and they say I want that bad in that and I don't want that bad in that and it would be entirely based on their own previous experience and intuition, I'm increasingly we see some of the really successful online retailers like Amazon and Stitch fix. [32:20] Replacing those merchants and their intuition with data scientists and their evidence and so you know now you got an example of a brick-and-mortar store that's largely curated. Based on data in this case review data rather than the intuition of a merchant and so you know again, traditional retailers probably look at that and look down their nose at it but I think it's the direction that retail is going in and it's not not wholly surprising that that Amazon is. Pushing pushing the world in that direction more so than then you know we need traditional retailers currently. Scot: [32:58] Calypso summarized by give us like a couple things you loved in a couple things you hated and then what do you think this means for the future of retail. Jason: [33:08] Favorite things like I think the overall concept of of merchandising based on social proof, I really loved I loved some of the the clever cross merchandising categories like you know things that are frequently bought to be together like that's that's not a. Merchandising approach you I've ever seen in a in a physical store before so I I liked some of those obviously I really like. The electronic bag tags in and letting customer see you live ratings and reviews in the store, and I I love the the surprise and does Dwight element in the fact that you don't know in advance everything that's going to be in that store and you might might discover something new so to me those were all the, the big wins the thing I hated is, that the checkout experience as far as I'm concerned totally sucks and I think I think they totally missed it it it is the same checkout experience at the bookstore but I didn't like it in the bookstore and now I think it's even more acute, in the store where they have a higher velocity of purchases and more skus so. You get to the front of that line and the clerk wants you to open up your Amazon app. And go to a bar code reader in the Amazon app and scan a barcode that the clerk has at the point-of-sale counter so the first problem is. [34:29] You may not have the Amazon app installed. If you do have it installed you didn't need Wi-Fi or cellular connectivity which they were actually having problems with cellular connectivity in this store. If you're both of those then you have to be smart enough to know that the way you check out is by clicking the camera icon in the app which is totally unintuitive. That's arguably the most stupid thing I've seen since Amazon since Windows put shutdown on the start button. [34:57] So I got to click the camera I get the barcode reader I scan the barcode that Amazon provides me and then that generates a new barcode on my phone that then the cork has to scan so it's a handshake the barcodes. Which is. There's some potential security arguments in favor of it but it's really convoluted in high-friction and it just watching people check out it felt like I was sitting in line in The Genius Bar watching, watching the Apple Genius you know folks trying to help people with problems on their smartphone and they were having to do like tech support for every customer to help them check out. And you know I found myself just saying like geez can't you guys just use the. The barcode reader in and swipes on credit cards here cuz it would be much faster and more pain less than this was an. You know that the huge huge irony of course is that the Amazons store format that gets all the buzz, is Amazon go in the whole value prop the whole premise of Amazon go is, we make it really easy to check out and so then they had this other really interesting format and Amazon for star and the one thing that they get wildly wrong as it's the world's hardest or to pan so I guess that's. That's a room for improvement for Amazon. Scot: [36:12] And what so you luck the checkout what's this mean for the future of retail. Jason: [36:21] Yeah so remains to be seen whether you know this is something that Amazon's experimenting with where it's you know there's a way to look at this and say, this actually is just an evolution of the bookstore that you know I opened up by saying that my own personal theory is that the book stores are really about selling in Deming demonstrating Amazon devices and in the same way Apple had to open their own store stat to increase their, their market share with their products and you know we see bows and a lot of other people have their own stores to tell their own product stories. Amazon need their own stories to tell their product stories and this is just a. AA higher-margin more interesting version of of what they launched with the bookstore and so that's true it wouldn't be surprising at all to see if we of a few hundred of these. The stores you know in in in some. Of time and if that happens then I think a lot of the best practices with his from the store are going to become consumer expectations that a lot of other stores are going to have to match, if it just stays as a novelty in New York you know I think it's it's something that the. The retail Talking Heads like you and I will talk about but you know it won't necessarily. By itself Drive new customer expectations and therefore Force other retailers to evolve. Scot: [37:45] I am, I forgot twinsies did you get any vibe that it's I've been down to Soho there's a lot of popups like down there and that it's pop-up or did it feel permanent did anyone talk about that. Jason: [38:00] Nope not today very explicitly said that this is a permanent store and not going to be a papa but you are right like there's a lot of similar stores. In that neighborhood that are sort of medium ish turn pop-ups that might be there for 3 or 4 months. Google opens a store over Holiday Inn in a very similar space. But this this feels like a permanent one in again like there's a few bucks or they're under construction so they may may be very similar to the ones were familiar with better that you know the next book store do they plan it open. Yeah I won't be surprised if they're four star stores instead of bookstores or or you know a closer blend between the two like this just feels like Amazon evolving their own format for merchandising their own products and I think there's a, a lot of logic in in Amazon doing that. Scot: [38:52] Yeah and you know relentlessly analytical so I'm sure they're taking those you know that 4000 square foot is split up into sections and they know the revenue per square foot per day, etcetera and I bet they'll have that as an input into your comparing this format versus all the other ones and and their it feels like they're iterating towards something that you know is an optimal store. Jason: [39:18] Oh for sure and I'm sure part of the reason they're so adamant about getting you to check out with the App instead of a credit card is for that analytics right when you check out with that app they're they're able to associate you and all the shopping you did in that store and what you bought and what you didn't buy with your Amazon account and all your history and so you know I expected the did they're taking it very hard look at that data and that's part of the reason that you're highly discouraged from from using an anonymous credit card when you check out there. Scot: [39:49] Did you see any instrumentation like her cameras or anything that could be you know kind of go like technology at least kind of seeing which part of the store you went to or anything like that. Jason: [39:59] Nope they have some and I wish I would have needed a ladder to find out the vendor but they have traditional, retail traffic monitors in the store and not just in the front of the store so to your point like they're probably able to do heat map to the whole store but these are like. Mortified webcams in a in a security case and so they are great for understanding traffic and dwell times and things like that, but they weren't near dense enough to resemble the sort of Amazon go Style, attract everyone's face you know perfectly throughout the store and the store doesn't fact have a public bathroom which is one of the things we talked about you you can't do in a ghost or if you're trying to track the customer perfectly at all. Scot: [40:43] Last question did you find anything exciting that you bought. Jason: [40:47] Well so I did I was traveling and I too I try to travel light and so I couldn't buy anything big but in all these new store formats in the go store and then again in His Four Star format they had some branded merchandise and so I've been buying the permanent shopping bags from all the different store formats and they have. This sucks steel water bottle with Amazon graphics on it and the name of the store and so you know now I have one from. Go and and four star so I feel like I'm starting an Amazon brick and mortar retail collection. Scot: [41:24] Rick will have to put those in the show knots loves you. Jason: [41:27] Got it I wasn't happily upload some pictures. But Scott that's probably going to be a good place to end this Amazon 4-star special edition of the Jason and Scott show as always if people have questions we didn't cover or you finally disagree with anything that we said on the show we'd love to hear from you on Facebook if this is the show that that finally pushed you over the edge take the extra 30 seconds to jump on the iTunes give us that four star review or five star review either way it would get us in the Amazon store so, we would certainly appreciate that in a special shout-out to all our new Spotify listeners this is the first episode going live, on to Spotify along with all the other podcast formats that we've always supported so happy to have the team Spotify in the the Jason and Scott show Family. [42:23] Until next time happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP147- Industry News, Amazon, Apple, Recode, Shop.org, and holiday forecasts

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 26, 2018 68:24


EP147- Industry News, Amazon, Apple, Recode, Shop.org, and holiday forecasts  It's a news-a-palooza this week including including Amazon, Apple, Recode, Shop.org, and holiday forecasts and more.  Scot and I get together in person in Chicago to discuss all the news an implications. Amazon News Amazon Go opens in Chicago and Jason has a trip report Bloomberg reports Amazon may have plans to open 3000 Amazon-Go stores Amazon Storefronts is a new feature for small businesses to curate collections Amazon has launched a new AI based visual discovery tool, Amazon Scout SnapChat and Amazon have partnered on a new social shopping experience, using visual search Amazon launched 14 new Echo devices Amazon and Good Housekeeping partner on Mall of America Pop-Up Apple News Iphones ship with new commerce features Background NFC Scanning Native QR Scanning Augmented Reality in web-browser via ARKit 2.0 Other News Holiday forecasts are beginning to come in Deloitte: 17-22% ($128b-$134b) (19.5% midpoint) Internet Retailer 15.5% ($120b) Forrester (preliminary) forecast 14-16% Adobe acquires Marketo Farfetch (luxury e-commerce marketplace) has successful IPO Event Recaps Code Commerce in New York.  All the interviews are available on YouTube (thanks to @DelRey) Shop.org in Las Vegas. Interesting new vendors: Seek - Augmented Reality in Mobile Browser hosted solution for retailers/brands. Hero - Connecting online shoppers live with associates in the physical store. Upcoming: Groceryshop October 28-31, Las Vegas Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 147 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Monday, September 24th, 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 147 being recorded on Monday September 24th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scot Wingo. Scot: [0:41] Hey Jason welcome back Jason Scott show listeners for long-time blisters you may detect something different in the audio today. Jason and I are actually physically in the same room together this only happens about, maybe one in 10 episodes maybe one in 20 but I am in Chicago for the B2B show called B2B next that started this evening and then is ramping up tomorrow and I'm giving a talk about, winning the away game for B2B companies and Jason lives in Chicago even though he rarely is here so it was fortunate we were in the same city at the same time. Jason: [1:15] It's super fortunate I'm just finding out now that you didn't exclusively come to Chicago to see me so I'm a little hurt but I am thrilled for your company and companionship none the less. Scot: [1:27] Yeah I can Chicago to see you... And do a quick cake. Jason: [1:31] Yeah I mean I feel like if I knew Scott wing it was coming to Chicago I would throw a trade show just to get you to do it. Scot: [1:37] That's thank you I appreciate it we should do a Jason Scottrade shift I'll be our next one of our 2020 goals. Jason: [1:45] Yeah if you're any of our friends in the trade show industry don't worry Scott's just joking. Scot: [1:49] Will have peanut butter and jelly sandwiches it'll be within the range of 6 Starbucks. Jason: [1:58] I like that last part a lot. Scot: [2:00] Call somebody excited to be here because there's an Amazon go store and I am going to stop by tomorrow morning if it's not raining but I heard you have already been. Jason: [2:10] I have indeed I've been super excited to touch you because I feel like this, week is just busting with exciting e-commerce news that Amazon go store actually opened last week, and I was out of town so some of that Amazon go stores are in locations that are open 7 days a week this particular one, is in a busy downtown area during the week that's kind of dead on the weekend so the store wasn't open over the weekend so today was my first chance. To go shopping and compare and contrast it to the Seattle locations. Scot: [2:47] Brickell what were the the pros the cons the differences the similarities. Jason: [2:52] So I have a feeling most Shoppers would feel that they were very similar to the Seattle one is a reminder just walked out technology you have to use an app. Scot: [3:04] JJ Watt hashtag JJ Watt. Jason: [3:05] #Jay Watts you have to use an app to get in the store you cameras watch you throughout the store you grab all your purchases at this convenience store format, and then you just walk out and Amazon automatically charges your account for your purchase at so that's the original promised the first store in Seattle had a very visible, kitchen until like the majority of items they sold we're actually not National brand food products they were. [3:34] Sandwiches and in meal kits that were made on site on the premise. And they also in that original store later got a liquor license and started selling alcohol, they open the second location in Seattle that did not have a kitchen and I and many others assume they use the one kitchen as sort of a hub-and-spoke and deliver food to, go shuttle locations from that kitchen so I was really curious to see what they do in Chicago when they open their first store and once again there is not a public kitchen so either they have. A private kitchen somewhere else in Chicago and they're delivering the meals in or, and I did seem slightly farfetch but they're delivering the meals from out of town, and restocking on the I was kind of curious if they had the date that they were made on the sandwiches and they they have the date their best consumed by. Which most of the sandwiches that were available when I was in the store where best consumed today so. Scot: [4:36] You could fly them in on that Fleet of Amazon Prime planes. Jason: [4:40] It's always remotely possible and since the store just hoping you can imagine there's a kitchen coming somewhere else that isn't live yet or maybe it already is why there's no there's no I could have been his one way or another store has more. Gondolas in the original store so there's more aisles in the store which since they're watching you with a bunch of cameras in the roof I imagine the aisles are a little harder to do because they potentially block lines of sight. It has two entrances. [5:12] So that adds a little bit of complication you walk through kind of a Subway style turnstile and scan a QR code on your Amazon Go app, to get into the store in the very first or when you were running the app and you grabbed purchases you could kind of see on the app I running, shopping cart you could see what Amazon thought you had it when you put something back you could see it disappear in real time from your cart. In this store and I did two shopping trips you don't get any real time does ability to what you're taking you walk out of the store and frankly the second you walk out it's not clear. If you been charged at all and then a minute later this receipt pops up that says pending and then about 3 or 4 minutes later, you get an itemized receipt that shows you what you charged and I don't know why the difference but I bet the. The scenario here seems a little problematic you could potentially being a cab on your way away from the store and find out you were. You are Miss charge for something. Scot: [6:14] Sounds like human intervention in there this is one reason I can think of you to have a pause like that you know of some kind of Mechanical Turk like check that's going on somewhere. Jason: [6:24] Potentially it the original store, they actually have Windows and you can see a video observation area where a bunch of guys in red shirts are watching video and this was like, even when I was an employee only mode none of that is visible in the store now that doesn't mean it's not there it just means they they didn't choose to build a. A window in that first or is in an Amazon owned building so you imagine, it's cheaper and easier for them to do exterior things where they're just a tenant in a in an office building. In the Chicago store so unclear they have an army of people watching I did two purchases and both were accurate, I bought a web we just walk out technology technology coffee mug for my wife some Amazon go. Scot: [7:15] You're hopeless. Jason: [7:16] I am I am Amazon go chocolate for for Stephen and I got the beam on a sandwich because, we heard that's the number one skew and I thought this would be a super exciting gourmet sandwich and Jeff if you're listening the sandwich wasn't that good I was so disappointed. Scot: [7:34] Too much Mayo not enough a Sprouts what what was off. Jason: [7:37] The bread to be my ratio I thought was way off it was way too much bread for two little feeling. Scot: [7:44] It's interesting that there's been a fair amount of traffic on Twitter around people that have gone to the store and initial reaction is oh I'm not worried about grocery stores I'm worried about 7-Eleven. At is a kind of what you think through this. Jason: [8:00] So I think there's two categories that are potentially at risk one is 7-Eleven or just hit more generically non gasoline convenience store so it turns out, that 80% of convenience stores sell gas and that's a special reason to go there that the Amazon go doesn't have so it is a competitor for those doors, but. Those those kind of sore tennis sell a bunch of prepackaged food in National Brands and there's a little bit of that in this store so there's National brand drinks and there's a few different varieties of chips but the assortment. Bike is probably like more Amazon made stuff it probably feels slightly fresher and more healthy than. Scot: [8:45] It sounds like an old Bon Pain or those are called or a Marks & Spencer in the UK where they're saying yeah kind of. Jason: [8:50] So I was actually going to say like a pretty amazed you or maybe sort of grab-and-go pre-made sandwiches like. Scot: [9:00] Where I'm from we call it pret a Manger you get the fancy French talk. Jason: [9:04] I work for a French company so I've learned like for French words and you just heard 3. The other ones not suitable for our general audience podcast in some ways. It feels like the primary use case for this store is, office workers grabbing lunch and not being gone from their desk that long and so you can imagine that that was the original problem that Jeff was trying to stuff for was getting Amazon employees back to work quicker, and yes I could be the Subway sandwich that this is more a threat to. Scot: [9:39] Yeah one of the writers so internet retailer is here in the city and one of the writers was saying in Chicago it is a huge problem to go out for lunch and his it's a four minute longer walk to the Amazon go store but it took him 2 minutes to get in and out and all the other places he walked by we're at the 30 minute wait so it is you know we've had arguments with some folks on Twitter that talk about, it's not really convenience and then one of the things I think long-term they're going for is there going to be less labor a better one that goes to one says it's got like three times the labor of any other store they've ever been in. How to get Amazon's just Staffing that early days to get people, trained and download the app to help kind of jump start it but I think long-term I think the labor will be very low on these. Jason: [10:27] Yeah I think you're right like the you are out customers are definitely outnumbered by Amazon employees at the moment. That's because there's some new things that customers are having to be taught and so you know we we were talking earlier it's it's someone analogous to an ATM machines first launched and Banks would staff a human to stand next to the ATM and teach you why in the short run that that didn't make sense why why. Put a person next to the machine trying to replace a person but once I want to learn how to use ATM machines they were able to get rid of those trainers in the airline's did something very similar with, electronic boarding passes where they had a lot of help initially so at the moment. They remove the friction of standing in line to pay but they had this new friction of having to download an app before you can even get in the darn store so that a lot of people standing outside the store in the rain, helping you install your your app now luckily Amazon's from Seattle so that people are familiar with standing in the rain, presumably they imagine a future when everyone already have the app install the and or it'll become more familiar and so they won't they won't need all that labor to explain everything to everybody. Scot: [11:42] Brickell and then last week you were at shop.org which unfortunate had to miss due to some hurricane issues but give us a little trip report from shop.org what was interesting there it was in Las Vegas this year your favorite City. Jason: [11:56] Sorry one other thing I forgot to mention on the Amazon go they just want to ride their super quick they did add alcohol to the Seattle store and there's been a lot of talk that's another, friction point because now you have to have another human you know you're supposed to just be able to walk out when you're done but now you have to have a human when you're walking out they can check your ID, and Zoe you know we talked about the pros and cons of that this store does not have alcohol so that that may have been some decision or maybe that it takes longer to get a liquor license. Scot: [12:28] This may seem unrelated but in my city of Raleigh we were a Goldilocks City for a lot of different things because we have just like a million million at people Ivory digital City and all that good stuff we have all of the different kind of Transportation model so we have all the lime bikes the birds and all that stuff I've tried all of them and what's interesting is they all have, if you're over 18 to use this and I'll have a driver license scanning mode where else can the front, Idaho Ciara and they scan the back and they're saving that data as you saying I am over this age I don't think that works for alcohol but, I kind of think there could be some way to do that and you have to work with the local alcohol real people but you know, Amazon really good at kind of saying alright let's take a room of people and put them somewhere in a back alley in Seattle not in front retail space and just like you know we fly all these drones out of remote locations why not have a lot of the stuff pushed to a cheaper location somewhere like maybe the people in the Amazon store they're standing around maybe they're standing somewhere in Seattle for the Chicago store if there's no reason to have to physically be there. Jason: [13:35] Telepresence for doing a d Checkers and in fact you can imagine that use that same teleprinter sentence for delivering alcohol at some point and I D Jackson. All kinds of boys like that I have zero doubt that Amazon can solve the technical problem of doing, inaccurate age verification at your point it will probably take slightly longer and be slightly harder to get the, the Bureau of Alcohol to agree that that's a suitable approach. So you would ask me about shop.org we had surgery on last week and we did talk a little bit about some of the content with sucharita so she gave, a presentation about marketplaces that was super interesting I know that's a topic that you sometimes have a personal interest in. I did some stuff on on the areas where artificial intelligence is actually getting Traction in retail in Commerce and got some decent feedback, but one of the things that jump. Org has added in the last couple years is an innovation section so this is a, less expensive portion of the trade show floor that's cheaper to exhibit that's enticing, newer younger emerging companies and so it's one of my favorite parts of the shofar to walk because I'm generally familiar with most of the, vendors that have been exhibiting shop.org for many years but it's fun to see some new you know sometimes crazy stuff. [15:04] Answer this year two companies kind of jumped out at me there's a company called Shiro. Which is really focusing on the problem of digital. Digital Shoppers getting the equivalent, personal experience of an in-store Shopper and so along the lines of the ID check you just talked about these guys are essentially, creating a telepresence solution so that store staff when they're not helping an employee customer in the store, can I have live chats and create video content for customers that are shopping the website. I'm so it's sort of a way to have a more human interaction with web Choppers that's whatever Jean the in-store labor force and that's, part of the genre of omni-channel that I think is really smart and interesting so I like that. Approach and then there was a company called seek and and I suspect we can talk a little bit more about this in general terms later but, Sikhism, augmented reality company for mobile phones we've talked a lot about how augmented reality is probably much more important than, virtual reality for Commerce in the short run and what seek is really focused on is. [16:28] Apple in OS 12 just launched some new features that now that you do good augmented reality in the web browser no app required and so seek is. One of the first companies with a tool set that retailers can, license on the cloud to have good a our experiences in a mobile web browser without having to get an app downloaded and I think that's really smart and obviously there. Timing their company launched with the the release of this new product last week. Scot: [17:02] Brickell and then last but not least I think you were going to New York to go to recode did you were you able to make it to that to see mr. Del Rey. Jason: [17:10] So sadly so I have a ticket I had a client call me in another Direction at the last minute but I did get an opportunity to watch, a lot of Jason's interviews on YouTube and they're they're uploading all the all the speakers to YouTube so if you're interested you are, they're all available in a couple that stood out to me the founder of Shopify who seems like. He's sort of up to his his public visibility in the last few months that you used to be kind of a rekluse that didn't, do a lot of public presentations he had a good conversation with Jason Delray I had sent Jason all kinds of specific questions I wanted to ask about shopify's size and Market penetration which I notice. Jason didn't get a chance to ask but he did talk a little bit about who's probably the Marquee you know Enterprise customer using Shopify which is Kylie Jenner, interview back into some of his answers you don't think he he was saying that over the last 2 years, Kylie Jenner sold 900 million dollars worth of product on the, maybe two and a half years sold 900 million dollars on Shopify which is in a pretty good scale we normally think of Shopify as a long tail solution for very small Merchants but that's a pretty good size. Scot: [18:39] Yeah I think what makes it work is I think it's not a huge number of skews right I think there's like, two nail polishes and tendus too. So I think she just has like in a quantity of Brazilian of 50 skews which doesn't put a cart through too many of its Paces Paces you don't need a fancy content management system you just need scalability in robustness on the check outside. Jason: [19:00] Yeah I know I totally agree there are some boxes that that checks that shows that they have good elastic availability for these peak days but you're right like there's a lot of things that you would exercise in the catalog with a million skews in it that. [19:14] That particular site isn't isn't demonstrating scale on it at all, I had asked Jason if you could ask who some of the big catalog we can go there but it was interesting cuz he what he talked a lot about hey we started trying to solve for the small business customer, and a lot of companies as they grow try to move up market and he he's claiming the day over we don't want to do that they don't want to abandon. Their core market so they want this new product Shopify plus which is intended to be more upmarket but they explicitly, launch that with a new team and a new office in a new city and sort of partitioned it. From the original offering so it really Leverage is the quote the court code base and add some new capabilities and services but his promise for. [20:10] How he was going to expand their Market rather than a band in the the low end of the market to move up was, The Silo this the Shopify + offering and he talked a lot about how in his mind, front and commerce experiences are actually pretty easy and he's a coder you mentioned a lot of the original Cody Road, is still in the platform and hasn't needed to change for the front end but they're like 90% of the ongoing development effort they're doing are all the post order code in. Complex water management and integration to to Legacy Erp systems and one of the big features they just launched for Shopify plus is the ability to manage multiple Warehouse locations for exam. Scot: [20:57] There was you I saw some people kind of kind of gasp on Twitter because I don't think that those numbers were public that Kylie had that he revealed I mean she had talked about in 2017 we talked about this on episode 145, what was out there that they were dude they did 300 million in 2017 so it means they probably did for 5500 maybe even 620 18th so you know I don't think a lot of people would have guessed, what was that big so kind of added her Revenue I don't know if she was aware of that or happy or sad or she's probably more on Instagram than following what's going on too. Jason: [21:33] Exactly where she I think she left Twitter so so he was safe I don't know yeah but that was the first time I heard some confirmation from a third-party Source oh. That was interesting another talk with Jen Rubio and Jen was actually at shop.org but then she she was also interviewed by Del Rey she's one of the two co-founders of a way which is, terrific example of a digital native vertical brand in the luggage space. Scot: [22:01] Yeah and I have my birthday present was away luggage to this is my first trip using it and I have to say I'm very pleased right now. Jason: [22:06] Nice so I feel like it gets really high marks we may need a product review from you the one thing I'm always curious about is I think a lot of the way luggage has the option for a smart battery built into the luggage, and there's a lot of controversy now about the airlines not letting you certainly not letting you check that but in some cases, making you take the battery out to even carry it on which frankly doesn't make sense to me. Scot: [22:32] Yep so it's checking it you can't check it with the lithium in there and they now pops out so I think they're V1 was fixed and now it meaning it could not. Jason: [22:40] The ball so it's easy to pop out and put in your lap. Scot: [22:41] Injectable that makes a lot easier to charge to like lifting your suitcase up onto the. Jason: [22:48] Well I look forward to buying something electricity from you at Future shows that we travel together. Scot: [22:52] Absolutely just at yeah I've got a milliamp hours of plenty. Jason: [22:57] So we've heard a little bit about a way one of her investors what was on Earth from Comcast best Adventures was on her show earlier, this year but one of the interesting comments that she made the Jason that I thought was really clever so they have a few stores at the moment one in SoHo in New York, in one of the kpi that they have for the store is. How many times people upload Instagram pictures from the store. In a way that sounds cheesy and sort of superficial but as we're in this world where, sort of Assortment and low friction shopping is moving out of brick and mortar and onto the you know these big online marketplaces one of the main roles for brick-and-mortar is around experiential environments, and one of the ways you know you've accomplished a exponential environment is when people shopping in the store, want to memorialize their trip to the store so I actually thought that was a kind of clever and smart metric to be looking at, maybe we'll do a deeper dive in some other show but there's this big trend of these instagrammable spaces the for example the Ice Cream Factory in San Francisco there's a couple temporary ones you just opened here. Scot: [24:19] Yeah I have a I have two teenage kids and every time we go on a trip we have to include their the things they want to do or these instagrammable places that they've seen on Instagram so. What time it was this bubbly ice cream thing and then it was raw cookie dough then it was let's see it's rolling ice cream is big now. Jason: [24:40] No answer I mean on the way. Scot: [24:42] The food is very instabul in which is a huge part of the experience. Jason: [24:46] And that sounds somewhat silly on one hand but it it makes a lot of sense and you know it someone reminded me in the old days like to differentiate yourself you just had to be unique amongst your 200 code students, in your high school class or ever did your high school class was, but these days you have to be unique amongst your ten thousand friends on Instagram and so you know it is harder to differentiate yourself and so these these opportunities for, more digitally native Shoppers to have a differentiated experience and share it you know makes a lot of sense so that's a smart thing for for retail designers to be thinking about. Scot: [25:25] Packaging for a way was really interesting that comes in a cardboard box what you expect, but then the bag is in a really nice kind of a cloth bag and then when you open it there's a whole experience around there's a little booklet there global travel pack that comes with it, and then they train you on how to use it and then there's a little book about, it is very much pitch is a Lifestyle brand of you know the things you can do with your way and then they promote hashtags that you should, do while you're going and you know it's almost kind of like the beginning of an adventure around travel and and going to see things so it's pretty well done your versus you're just like you know. Popping open a Samsonite or something and you know it'll be just fall out in this kind of experience. Jason: [26:10] The premise of her shop.org talk was. They build the brand less about talking about the features and benefits of luggage and trying to sell luggage and then said they are, they start from the perspective of selling travel experiences so the store, is less about here's how to demonstrate all the things in the luggage you can of course do that but the luggage is in vignettes of aspirational trips to Bora Bora in Amsterdam, and it's it's really about reading to me in for you having this fabulous vacation and oh by the way, you need this luggage to get there as more so than it is features and benefits of the Prada. Scot: [26:51] Absolutely cool thanks for the trip reports I think that was some good stuff like I got trips happening and it wouldn't be a Jason Scott show without. [27:16] So a lot to cover in Amazon news we talked to Jason give us his live report from the Chicago Amazon go store and then a friend of the show we going to get him on here Spencer soap. Yeah he he broke a story where there have been internal talks and I'll Circle back on this about. Amazon potentially opening 3000 Amazon go stores by 2023. Jason: [27:46] I think I might have been like 20/21 I thought it was a relatively short. Scot: [27:51] This is funny because we've been talking on Twitter about you. Just feels like. There are they are opening stores at a pretty good pace and it feels kind of prime now when they they decided with prime now it's go time and then suddenly there was 40 to 60, Prime storage pronounce doors to 3000 is a stretch just kind of getting that real estate I've heard a lot of skeptic say it's impossible while they do that and it figured out how the end of the alcohol sign 3000 Lisa's that fast so I think it will be. I think what could be happening here is your encourage the Amazon meetings to do a lot of brainstorming to write press releases from a future State and I think maybe there's some of that that kind of came up so I'm not sure. Yeah it feels like damn it nailed the format yet I think they're probably won't get a couple more figure it out but you know, when they do on a scale these getting to 3000 I don't think that's impossible. Jason: [28:48] Yeah I'm sort of in the same boat I'm up to mine so for sure. Part of the Amazon methodology when they first pitch new idea they write the six-page memo. Attached to that memo is they write an aspirational press release that they want to be able to issue when the things been successful so for sure there is a press release for Amazon go stores that talks about a mask deployment so. Scot: [29:12] We just open the 3000 store. Jason: [29:15] So that would that would be the exact Spencer one possibility is someone just saw that press release and misunderstood its purpose. The the other side of my brain says Amazon actually is pretty good at keeping secrets and they don't tend to have a lot of unintentional weeks so the fact that this was weed. Partly I believe that probably wasn't completely unauthorized and so, is that because they really are preparing for scale and if so you know I was surprised cuz I wouldn't have thought they nailed the format. [29:53] But you know or is it potentially I had fake I don't know but what I will tell you is, it's absolutely possible possible to open that many stores and Retail in that time. And retailers have done it, in the nineties I work for Blockbuster entertainment we opened a store every 12 hours for my entire 10 year so once you get to a certain scale, like these things are really Temple dies then the the advanced teams are you know just 6 weeks out in front cutting deals on leases and everything Cascades from that and so it. Absolutely possible if they decided to just penciled out and that they needed a big footprint of stores they could run 3000 stores by 2021 now. 3000 stores if this is really can me competing with a convenience store 3000 stores actually probably isn't enough to have a real meaningful business and now that Amazon's a trillion-dollar company. [30:52] You know if there's a million-dollar p&l for each of these 3000 stores like. Arguably isn't a big enough business to get in to be really material to Amazon so we'll have to see. Scot: [31:04] Do you think he'd stores doing a million dollars but what is convenient store to get to take gas out. Jason: [31:09] Yeah I'm trying to and I don't have specific knowledge that this is an estimate based on other types of small format stores, and I would imagine that in the those convenience stores there's a huge standard deviation cuz there's going to be some fast Runners that are easily 10 million dollar stores. If you have 3000 there's there's going to be some snow our stores in there too so to me, you know a million to a couple million per year for many kinds of restaurants would be very good. Scot: [31:41] So million at 3000 is 3 billion so each million is 3 billion so if they did five that be 15 but that's a needle mover for them to hunt. Jason: [31:53] You never like to talk about Revenue you always like to go with the big number. Scot: [31:56] Well then there's a multiple there that yeah so yeah so that that's. Jason: [32:06] That's going to be interesting to watch that would be to meet someone fascinating if that's the brick-and-mortar format that gets. Scale the fastest versus the books or the or you know some information of the grocery pick-up for some of the other things they've done. And a new store format won't will probably talk about in a minute but another piece of online news that we saw from Amazon this. Weaker last week was this new Amazon small business store fronts, and so I thought you might have a POV on that but the gist of it is it's a way for small business that's a 3-piece seller on Amazon to offer a curated collection, of products and have their own sort of landing page and in some ways you'd be where some of our listeners might not, Amazon used to have a Amazon webstore which was essentially. Competed with Yahoo web store and let us small business run their own website on their own URL that's not what this is. Scot: [33:13] Yes in a lot of people depressed confusing these things. That's the problem one of the main problems with Amazon webstore was it had the initials a w s s cousin to the cloud computing AWS, PSO2 Amazon used to have a thing where they would go out and run a store for people it was the downgraded kind of technology that. Your Target and all those guys ran this to me is just really giving a little bit of content to the store owners desk and be types so they can tell them or their story, and they're highlighting some of them and, part of the press release was really starting to thump their chest and say over 50% of the items or the units sold on Amazon or from third parties and there's an integrated TV commercial as well I haven't seen it running. So it feels like a didn't get like a huge I haven't seen on NFL games are in that kind of stuff which of the big spots I'm so don't know where they're running it but I did see the online version so but it is you if your 3-piece seller it is pretty cool to have an Amazon you know out there used to be kind of this dirty secret that some of the stuff you bought from Amazon list of these third parties now Amazon's kind of put you more front center so it felt like a big. If something is change they're pretty dramatically and how they're thinking. Jason: [34:32] And so I I think you sort of app we described it but I have heard people, sort of think of it as a Etsy competitor which is not really right Amazon does sort of have another offering that's more competitive with that seat and then the Jason Delray did Ash Shopify, if they considered it competitive and he had the the sort of typical competitor answer it feels like a little bit of a trap to me. Scot: [34:59] It's a trap. Jason: [35:02] Pictures of Admiral Ackbar. Scot: [35:05] Black bar on it yeah yeah I don't know if it's true or not I mean it is very hard for. Jason: [35:13] Going on Amazon I would use it likely wouldn't make that my only destination on the web like me Amazon has one channel for most people shouldn't be there exclusive Channel. Scot: [35:24] When your Kylie Jenner you can have your own store and not worry about Amazon and you know also comes to you and I'm sure she had a lot of power in their relationship. Promosi small business out there and you start on Amazon and then you're lucky if you get anyone to your website so so yeah yeah I think it makes a lot of sense for four people to embrace it and and, rapper on it a lot of people that's because some of the ones that are highlighting do you have more of car that Homespun handmade kind of provide to him like there's this handmade Candle company that was both on the front page of the store fronts and on the TV commercial I hope those people have a lot of inventory because it felt like they're going to sell out of those handmade candles pretty darn fast. Jason: [36:04] Yeah I was always a problem when you highlight the small businesses right. Scot: [36:08] Couple of quick things Amazon has been obsessed with visual shopping and they've done several kind of things around that so, the the first one is they've had they had something called visual shopping where you can kind of like pick some colors and stuff then they deprecated that, then they have active on the homepage if you look at the top bar I'm always logged in this Prime and I think this is available and non-prime to it'll say new and interesting finds and that's kind of like a Pinterest so you could put together a little you know of Jason's Board of interesting finds of cool gadgets I'm so Scott a Pinterest board, feel to it that I've always thought of new and interesting is kind like their Pinterest competitor have a new one called Scout if you go to amazon.com Scout and it's more of a Instagram meets machine morning to see thumbs up thumb down some stuff and then it's supposedly going to learn about what you like and don't like and and. Pretty quickly after 5 to 10 ups and downs you'll get to some interesting new products that that it learns that you may want so then so that kind of feels like Pinterest Army sorry Instagram so they've got. [37:15] Pinterest and Instagram covered the other big visual thing out there is Snapchat and actually just today announced integration with SNAP, where are you can go and take a snap of the picture and then Snapple use I assume they're using the machine learning a library that Amazon has for Parker Mission so you see a cool celebrity you see Kylie on your way home tonight you take a picture of her sneakers and it will identify them and then show them to you over on Amazon which feels kind of like an affiliate type model so I'm sure there's a rough share there but it is pretty interesting that snap is the front end of an Amazon kind of the backend which is Young so now they have an integration on the snap sides the good kind of, the three visual shopping Technologies covered in a way to different business models which is pretty pretty. Jason: [38:02] No I I would agree the Scout thing was kind of interesting to me I've heard some people describe it as Tinder for shopping. Scot: [38:10] Apple swipe right. Jason: [38:11] Yeah you go get products and go hot or not and they're broken at in the category so you know you you decide you're looking for, home furnishings and then you can say lighting and you get 5 chandeliers and you say like don't like don't like in as you're doing that, the assortments getting curated to visually 2/5 chandeliers that match your taste in so it's it's pretty fun and fast and immediate and they're promising, more categories to come it's slightly reminded me of you go old school on Amazon when they used to mainly sell this, stack of books and video. [38:52] The recommendation logarithm was based on what you bought but of course you could buy a book arm or watch a video that you didn't like and so they act they used to have an interface where you could look at all the stuff you bought and go back and say you liked it or didn't like it, and sort of refine your own recommendations and so if you want to invest some time you can improve it in my mind this felt like, how much more evolved visual version of that so that it's interesting to invent new ways to shop and, Amazon's always been great for the spearfishing but like you know browsing and Discovery has been the Gap so it's it's interesting to see them try new things and it seemed interesting the snap one to me. [39:36] Is a very interesting because a lot of social networks have tried to integrate Commerce and they generally try to do it in a bran friendly way, and like it's not particular brand friendly to say and we're going to sell everything on. Amazon right like when when you want that feature so this is like the Pinterest wins feature which is a visual search capability but then connecting all of those visual searches to Amazon, no other retailers ever going to buy an ad on your platform and so part of me wonders if snap was only able to do this because they sort of are in the Challenger position, Instagram feels like it's getting more of the momentum and so this was, a a big move snap could make but potentially the risk of alienating a lot of other advertiser's. Scot: [40:27] Yes snaps been under pressure and there. Their head of Partnerships left recently and he is a big yeah she was an internet analyst I've known for a while and, I imagine they may have been building some stuff out they realize how hard the backend is and they kind of got the front end working and they just decided to marry them together instead of having to go to all that. One thing that occurred to me as you're talking about they are stuff earlier is Amazon does have an AR functionality and it used to be buried in that so you'd have to go kind of down the sub menu at the hamburger menu down three levels in the camera app now and then update, you have, you have your normal scan barcodes but now you can search with photos is is kind of promoted to a very high level up inside the camera and then also you can do smile codes and then last but not least you could do if you had room so it's right in the camera now so they've they've upgraded the AR View and in the Amazon that up into the camera, which is pretty nursing another part of this visual search is Dave and Kurt are going to take out your Amazon app hit the camera button there's a lot of cool new stuff inside of there to play with now. Jason: [41:32] Yeah I know it's very cool, another big an Amazon announcement as if they didn't have enough is they had a president last week and they launched I want to say 14 new products with Echo embedded in them. Scot: [41:47] Yeah and I was really excited for you cuz I know you are really big on the Amazon button e things and they had an amazonbasics microwave and it has a button on there where you can order more popcorn. And I just envisioned you and having that installed by now have you bought and installed one of them. Jason: [42:05] So the challenges I have a 3 year old son that's where and how to talk to all the Echoes and. Would constantly be running the microwave if it was too in closer to the ground so I feel like it's probably a bad combination of might like Echo cook popcorn with nothing in the microwave will be happening a lot in my house. Scot: [42:26] I saw a lot of people scoff at this but you know the the microwave is a challenging thing so every every microwave you come across is different, and yeah sure if you're going to do a minute heat up or something it's not a big deal but for my microwave whenever I want to defrost something or whatever I have to take out the little guy and there's this complex you know, non-intuitive side of things you have to do where is it be really cool to say you know Alexa you know heat up this pizza and it just kind of knows that okay you need the heat at 50% and so it's I think there's actually something there that that actually is a time-saver to be able to say that for the microwave and have it kind of decode oh you know I need to go 50% power so the cheese doesn't get all rubbery or whatever it is that did microwaves do, so I don't think a lot of people realize that that it's doing that behind the scenes there's there's a fair amount of complexity as I read more about it, in there about what it's going to do with the voice that. I think it's pretty interesting. Jason: [43:21] No I I think there is some very real world use cases a lot of the space saver microwaves don't have a numeric keypad anymore and so you know now you have this. Awkward, dial that you know is sort of variable speed that you have to use to set microwave for 3 and 1/2 minutes and so like voice is the perfect way to have a minimal space footprint but still have no easy low-friction access to, you know all of those features that often don't get used in the microwave because they're too hard to find. Scot: [43:53] When when I was excited about is in my car I can I can put an echo dot in there and. It takes a little works at to connect it to the Bluetooth every time is it's not like Auto connected to the Bluetooth, but it's a really cool Auto interface but you know I don't think my OEM is ever going to have Alexa and the dash certainly they'll be some people that do that some people are brought into the Apple ecosystem some people are building their own so one of the projects I was excited about was called Echo Auto so it's kind of like an echo. But I think the Bluetooth going to be more persistent and smart and connect better but also has it kind of lays flat and I think you can velcro it to your dash and it also has eight little microphones on top so you know they're saying that it'll be able to hear inside of a car better, sex can be a pretty interesting auto experience that's why the one I was most excited about, but sadly I know you can't pre-order it unless you have an invitation so all the Amazon people listening I know I would love an invitation I don't know about Jason, Jason Jason would probably love an invitation to. Jason: [44:56] For sure without doubting you for your fancy Fleet of automobiles I'm just going to say that your OEM probably wouldn't add an Alexa interface unless and until Jeff Bezos divested blue origin. Scot: [45:10] Yes. Jason: [45:11] But there were a bunch of other products they improve the core products so they did another iteration of like the view in the. The View has a is a smaller footprint, overall but a bigger screen so I have a couple of the 7-inch devices and use them in my house and so now the, 10 feels more appealing they have a clock which it's an analog clock and I. I don't have a place to put this but I really want this, so it is a traditional analog clock that looks like a standard kind of office wall clock, when you set timers which is one of the things I'm most frequently do with the echoes in my house they have sort of stealthy LEDs around the rim of the clock, that show you the progress of the timer so you can see him visually how much, time you have left in a timer but the feature that I think is most cool which is super lame is when daylight savings happen, the hands on the analog clock actually moved to automatically change your analog clock for daylight savings. Scot: [46:17] You give me staying up you're going to get this or you have to stay up till 3 a.m. my time does it still 3 a.m. in Chicago or is it to him. Jason: [46:23] I couldn't tell you because I have no analog clocks and all the digital lens automatically adjust. Scot: [46:27] You can stay up all night watching and waiting to see what it does like this it just doesn't stand still for an hour and our plastic depends on if we're going forward or backward this is this is we're going to do a live report. The world's best book still nothing happening. Jason: [46:45] Rest of it we have some grass growing. My big thing I felt was interesting about all these releases is you know we talked about it CES this year that Alexa was embedded in like five thousand devices are 4,000 devices into, there was a school thought that they made these initial products to see the market and they're happy to sell these core products but that, they were you know trying to be very appealing to oems to get embedded in a lot of other products and so it's somewhat surprising to see them. Expanding the line of first-party products that they in bed in themselves and arguably. That could make it less appealing for other microwave ovens to license the tech or. They could make that the must have desirable feature that then entices other opm's to take the future. Scot: [47:37] Yeah I got a fire watching the video that they were. There's been a couple microwaves actually integrated with with Alexa and I get the feeling they're underwhelmed and I think they wanted to say here's where the bar needs to be you no have it, be able to talk about different recipes and talk about you know defrost my vegetables and have it understand that stuff. I think they're frustrated that allow that Williams to do that kind of thing. No some of the commands for like Alexa run the oven at 50% power which is I think they were trying to make more of an intuitively than than though instead. Jason: [48:10] No I think I think you could have hit the nail on the head with that I did feel to mention one other interesting product they have them or audiophile. Alexa now so you can I get an Alexa with a. Remote subwoofer which more directly causes us to compete with like the Sonos is of the world. Scot: [48:31] Recode pregnancy. Jason: [48:33] I teased earlier in our Amazon segment that we were going to talk about another new retail format from Amazon and that format is a pop-up shop that Amazon and Good Housekeeping, just opened at Mall of America. So this a curated assortment of products from Good Housekeeping and they all have smile codes which you mention which is Amazon's proprietary 3D barcode and you scan any of those smile codes, to be able to order those products from Amazon. Scot: [49:08] Cold sores a kind of touch and feel and then you can't really buy from there you have to buy them online. Jason: [49:12] Yeah my sense I have not visited yet Mall of America for a long time with the largest mall in the US it's so realize that status but it's this huge huge destination Mall in Minneapolis. Scot: [49:25] I've been there Camp Snoopy as big giant thing in the middle. Jason: [49:28] Yeah that's an amusement park in the middle of the mall I I've spent weeks Sweeping in that mall we don't we don't need to rehash those. Scot: [49:35] So we'll save that for another podcast. Jason: [49:36] Those stories but so an interesting new new partnership as Amazon you know partners with more these curators create you know novel newcomers experiences. Scot: [49:50] Okay that was Amazon news and looking at 9 Amazon news I like to keep track of everyone's holiday forecast cuz we're sitting here knocking on the door of October and so we Deloitte was out our good friend Casey and they are at 17 to 22% incest pretty robust with a 19 and a half midpoint internet retailer came out this week at 15 and a half and then sucharita was on and she talked about how they haven't formalize our forecast but she was thinking kind of 14 to 16% and she kind of highlighted that the the Grinch this year could be these tariffs and there is, creasing noise even since we had to treat on like literally 3 or 4 days ago you know Walmart is really kind of banging the drama and there's a lot of people out there saying, hey this this could be a pretty big head when coming in the holiday so we'll have to see how that plays out. Jason: [50:42] There's a part of this could be a scare tactic but they're saying in some categories that does terrorist could drive 10 to 25% pricing keep creases in some category. Scot: [50:52] And it's all the dollar store but what are they going to do. Jason: [50:56] Yeah that would that would obviously. Scot: [50:56] Scot a dollar 15 store doesn't have the same ringtone. Jason: [51:00] It doesn't but if you shop at our store you'll find a lot of not. I don't already sorry spoiler work yeah. There was another big acquisition in my world, on Friday I want to say and that was that a Dobby has been very active lately and Acquisitions we talked about their acquisition of Magento the e-commerce platform on Friday they acquired martello. Which is a big marketing automation platform that particularly excels in the B2B space. Scot: [51:38] That was a was a big deal in it how do you think that's going to is that kind of tying into Magento one report I saw so now that adobe owns Magento there's a lot more Wall Street people talking about it, I'm in every report I read is not very favorable towards Magento and it talks about them as a share loser to Shopify Bigcommerce, now a lot of that's anecdotal so do these Channel checks and there is kind of hearing you know if they'll be at these still be at the shop. To hear Rumblings Aid you agree with the B is this some kind of a very trying to stitch together a cloud in an interesting way because sales horses gut you know Cloud for everything they've got you Noah house Cloud car Cloud marketing Cloud sales Cloud 9 Stein cloud. Is Adobe playing catch up what's going on. Jason: [52:27] Infernus to Adobe I'm not even sure I would say they're playing catch-up they me depending on how you look at it, Head Start of lead sales for Salesforce from day one was Cloud oriented with a single product right so they they, yeah unquestionably dominated the cloud CRM model in eventually put a world of hurt on the, the traditional on-prem CRM folks and they've expanded to have what they now call is a marketing Cloud right so their marketing cloud, then they added exacttarget which was their sort of direct marketing thing and they since added a bunch of pieces to the the Salesforce marketing cloud. So they printed to me and where that actually is at sorry to be complicated a second Cloud for sales. Scot: [53:18] Is Commerce club. Jason: [53:19] It's a Commerce cloud and said they've Salesforce about to Commerce put Solutions, demandware and Cloud trays which is more B2B so that's in the Commerce Cloud Suites you got a bunch of these marketing activation tools in the the marketing cloud, Adobe has probably had a marketing Cloud longer than Salesforce and also through acquisition they acquired a bunch of, they would put their analytics Solutions in their CMS solution their campaign management solution and they have a bunch of customer data product, so I would actually argue adobe's had a more comprehensive. Suite of capabilities and what they call the marketing Cloud then Salesforce. [54:09] One of the tools in that sweet is called campaign manager and that probably is not the absolute strongest product in the sweet and it's primarily focused on b2c, outbound Communications and so Marketo bolsters that capability and sort of experience and in the B2B. I would agree that that in general Magento is a share loser to some of the cloud-based Solutions most notably Shopify but I would say, an area of strength for Magento has probably been on the B side of Commerce in so you could look at that from Adobe and say, hey the marketing cloud has been pretty successful and well penetrated in the The Big Brand b2c space. Between Marketo and Magento. Probably bolsters their treads in the B2B space and you know potentially on the longer tail a little bit more. Scot: [55:07] That was way deeper than I was. Jason: [55:09] Yeah I'll see a lot of my Adobe friends in my travels this week so that I'm sure they're going to tell me if I got that wrong. Scot: [55:15] Quotes of this was also a big week because we're both Apple Fanboys and lot of new stuff out there's new watches and phones and you had a fun Journey on your phone's I'm sure listeners would love to hear about. I had one where I I did the whole get up at 3 and was disappointed cuz launch day was the 21st and then I got to like 28th October 5th ship date, but being good under-promise over-deliver I got my Apple my new phone today. Came in 5 days earlier which was exciting and I was frantically installing and upgrading and so I got the x-maxx and I'm really happy with it it's got a longer battery doesn't feel ginormous I feel like I'm back to that plus format. I also have a. Pixel 2 and it feels like it's almost the exact same format as up until 2 so it's been good and then I also got the new generation 4 watch sadly it does not have the ECG yet it's coming soon, but the thing they did those genius there is they got rid of the bubbles and it just feels like the data display is, in a 50% larger so there's a lot more information on the watch which is which is kind of neat and it seems like the battery life there is dramatically improved tell us about your your phone experience. Jason: [56:31] Well first let me just paint a word picture for our listeners during this entire podcast on our face-to-face and Scott has mainly been playing with the Amazon VR feature on his giant Max phone and flashing his humongous Apple watching me. So I have some serious Apple Envy as we sit here I'm sad to say I had to replace my Apple watch 3 months ago so I did not pull the trigger on a Gen 4, I knew after I. Scot: [57:00] Is your screen cracked. Jason: [57:01] No not yet but it may be by the time I get home tonight. Scot: [57:05] Girl accident. Jason: [57:07] After I saw it I was going to have some screen envy and I I certainly just watching you and having some screen Envy, luckily there's a 24-hour Flagship Apple Store about 300 yards from where we're sitting right now so I can fix it on the way home and I don't think they're in a constrained Supply situation I think you can walk in and buy a watch. Scot: [57:28] Sounds like a fun trip that we can report on next week. Jason: [57:31] So I got up in the middle of the night in the middle of shop.org to place my. IPhone upgrade order at the earliest possible moment and I also pay a little bit of extra money in this Amazon upgrade program because you generally have. Preference for the new stuff. Scot: [57:50] The Apple subscription program. Jason: [57:52] Apple subscription program includes AppleCare so if you're going to buy AppleCare anyway it actually and you were for sure going to replace your phone every year, it actually does a pencil out to be a decent economic deal but the main reason I do what I don't want to get anyone is because, I want to make sure I get that new phone day one because frankly all my clients on day two are going to be disappointed if I show up without the new Apple product. Scot: [58:20] You have a secret it says retailgeek right on your laptop you have to I mean you at the bar very high. Jason: [58:25] Yeah so I got up early, finish my pre order was promised a launch-day phone I was traveling on launch day I sent that and it signature required so, I sent a signature required form to be put out in my house while I was gone somewhere justix went awry on that and the the phone didn't get there so I came home Friday night to a sorry we missed you. Scot: [58:52] Sad. Jason: [58:53] The saddest worst customer experience although it's my fault it still is the most disappointing customer experience you can possibly have your want your phone was here but now it's not. Scot: [59:05] Wow wow wow. Jason: [59:07] So jump on the UPS website change the delivery address to some UPS lockers very close to my house, and get it rescheduled for Saturday delivery so now I don't need a signature or sometime Saturday UPS is going to drop this at a walker that's half a mile from my house so I'll get it into the day Saturday still in time for my trip this week. Saturday 6 I get the exciting note that is in the locker walk over to the locker the locker opens and is empty. Want Walmart so that was very disconcerting turns out the driver made a mistake. They delivered it to the locker wait tonight and so I I did in fact like my phone, moments before we started this podcast but unlike you did not have time to activate it yet so I also got a big capacity Max and then and I'm excited for that as well. Scot: [1:00:08] So you know we ordered about the same time and you pay all that extra for the subscription I got my phone earlier. Jason: [1:00:13] Yes I mean the main takeaway from this whole story is Scott is better than Jay. Scot: [1:00:17] It just luck of the draw. Jason: [1:00:21] But I will say there were a couple things they were either surprises in this more the OS X launch and the hardware or that I just don't have missed during announcements but there's two kind of, relevant features to Commerce, so we did mention when the OS 12 operating system was iOS 12 was launched that there's a new improved AR library in it called AR Kit 2.0 what I missed, is AR Kit 2.0 that you do AR in the web browser no app required and so I'm that's the capability that are friends at Sea car using, to watch that so in general I don't recommend retailer spend a bunch of money on an app, because there's a lot of friction to getting users to download the app I do IKR experiences for a lot of in-store retailers and so now I get the best of both worlds my retail clients can implement, the in-store AR shopping features without requiring an app so that that's actually very exciting, and then the Easter egg in the hardware is the phones that you're holding the access model so that excess in the excess Max which is not how Apple want you to say it by the way they want you to say 10s. Yes in 10s maxed and coming soon 10 r. [1:01:46] All have an improved NFC chip over the previous generation, and what's exciting about this new NFC chip is a, it has a passive reader in it so the original phones with NFC chips they can really only be used for Apple pay and you couldn't use them for other experiences, now we have a complete implementation of NFC, and one of the things that means is for example a store could put an NFC tag in every fact tag in the store, and if you just wave your phone you don't have to launch an app or do anything you just have to have the phone unlocked if you just wave your phone over that tag. You will go to a web page that can have supplemental product information for all those pages so now we can have NFC tags that we put in our house to like, trigger scenes for virtue we can use them for shopping all sorts of capabilities in the NFC stack that we didn't used to have now with this new hardware we did so I actually bought. In NFC writer in a bunch of tags to start playing with us and they came even though I didn't get the phone so. Scot: [1:03:00] What are the most fun apps and if you look on Twitter iOS 12 I think comes with measure so you can go measure all kinds of random stuff there's always funny people pictures of people measuring like their cat's tail and all kinds of interesting thing so it's a it's a cool way to experience they are. Have a lot of fun measuring stuff. Jason: [1:03:19] I will say this some of the third-party measuring apps that use it still better than measure but it's fun to have a native Native program. Scot: [1:03:27] Call any other fan boy stuff. Jason: [1:03:31] Nope nope that was it again I think there's going to be another announcement with some iPads and then there's probably at least one model of iPad on my list for that so I'm. Scot: [1:03:43] One thing that we watch Pretty closely is the stock market to see what's going on in IPOs and there was an e-commerce IPO this week There's a European luxury Marketplace called farfetch and they went public on the New York Stock Exchange and this one was interesting date they price a little bit below the range but they end up raising 875 million which is not too shabby and the stock, October 50% on on diepio day does farfetch Marketplace lol you probably haven't heard of evaluation of 6.2 billion, be billion there revenues are about 400 million a year which we know that's a very good multi, but they're growing north of 50% year-over-year so that's why they are commanding a really good multiple there so it should be interesting to see what they do with those phones or largely European I'm in focused on luxury you can imagine more International expansion and maybe even a push into the US that's what I would do where I European luxury Marketplace. Jason: [1:04:43] The Ed suddenly found a lot of excess capital. Scot: [1:04:47] And did not this time I thought it was interesting we've talked a lot about a rvr on the show we did a deep dive you and I are kind of hobbyist on this and what did we miss in VR at least is that killer app, so I'm a big Elon Musk fan and he announced kind of surprisingly a SpaceX, project funded by a Japanese billionaire where they are going to go on a moon travel servngo launch from Earth on the bfr the big Dokken rocket and they're going to take that puppy and circle the moon and then come back and he announced on Twitter I use a mouse with air quotes because. Alive not a hundred percent sure he's serious about this but he generally is like you know what he says he's going to solve things that are not flamethrowers but they really are they did that, the boring companies real most the stuff that you think is a joke end up being real he did say they're going to live stream in 4k you were going to have series of cameras mounted on the spaceship and they're going to Live cast of er to imagine of your experience where you. [1:05:57] Be on the spaceship and looking around as it goes around the Moon bee that could be the killer app and I'm I'm curious to see what headsets he's going to work with and know you'll on, probably would decide the ones out there aren't up to spec so maybe they'll have to be a boring headset or a SpaceX headset or something that comes along with it so they'll be fun to watch and kind of out there, pretty super geeky. Jason: [1:06:21] You and I could be at the geekiest launch party ever for that product as weak sit in a dark room with her. Scot: [1:06:27] If you see the only sold two of them and it's the same guys that bought the Fire Phone. Jason: [1:06:35] Exactly there is a retail tie in there that the Japanese billionaire you know I think he sold like, 8 seats for this first flight in the Japanese billionaire bought all 8 he's a retail billionaire and he runs a

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Inside Outside
Ep. 116 - SapientRazorfish's Jeremy Lockhorn on the Fourth Industrial Revolution

Inside Outside

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 25, 2018 15:10


Jeremy Lockhorn is VP, Experience Strategy, Mobile + Emerging Technology at SapientRazorfish and has served a wide variety of roles during his 20-year tenure. The common thread is on a focus of what’s next. In this podcast, Jeremy and Brian Ardinger discuss technology changes over the past 10 years and the implications for the future. They know each other from their days in the digital signage space.  When the iPhone was launched more than 11 years ago, it was immediately breakthrough technology. What people didn’t know, was how big and disruptive it would be. We never imagined how seamless the phone would become in our lives today. Jeremy believes the Fourth Industrial Revolution is coming. He defines it as an Intersection of emerging tech such as smart home, self-driving vehicles, wearable tech, AI, VR/AR, and smart speakers, etc. Of course, the phone has a role to play in everything.  The next 10 years will move faster and be more disruptive. In the past there was one disruptive tech at a time, now all this new tech is hitting at the same time, with interconnectivity. Consumers are going to expect companies to be where they are. Creating magical experiences for customers. When you make things so simple, the interface fades into the background. Jeremy provides other examples from Whirlpool Appliances and Hertz.  Are companies that will win, the ones that can customize and predict what customers want? Jeremy believes companies must use “Clairvoyance Marketing.” That is removing friction, predicting need, and then completing the task. Anything that does not do that in the future will jar the customer. It’s hard to keep up with that pace of change. Creating collaboration opportunities to drive innovation and bring in outside thinking is crucial. Look at companies like Mercedes Benz and Patron Tequila as early leaders in the space. Note: Since this recording, Jeremy Lockhorn has left SapientRazorfish and is consulting and public speaking while finding his next full-time gig. Connect with Jeremy on Twitter at @newmediageek for more information. For more interviews like this one, check out Brian's interview with David Mattin at TrendWatching - https://insideoutside.io/podcast/ep-60-david-mattin-w-trendwatching/ GET THE LATEST RESOURCES Get the latest episodes of the Inside Outside Innovation podcast, in addition to thought leadership in the form of blogs, innovation resources, videos, and invitations to exclusive events. SUBSCRIBE GLIDR This episode is sponsored by GLIDR. GLIDR software helps you validate that you’re going to market with products and business models that drive real value. Check them out at https://www.glidr.io/iopodcast For information regarding your data privacy, visit acast.com/privacy

Inside Outside Innovation
Ep. 116 - SapientRazorfish's Jeremy Lockhorn on the Fourth Industrial Revolution

Inside Outside Innovation

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 25, 2018 15:10


Jeremy Lockhorn is VP, Experience Strategy, Mobile + Emerging Technology at SapientRazorfish and has served a wide variety of roles during his 20-year tenure. The common thread is on a focus of what’s next. In this podcast, Jeremy and Brian Ardinger discuss technology changes over the past 10 years and the implications for the future. They know each other from their days in the digital signage space.  When the iPhone was launched more than 11 years ago, it was immediately breakthrough technology. What people didn’t know, was how big and disruptive it would be. We never imagined how seamless the phone would become in our lives today. Jeremy believes the Fourth Industrial Revolution is coming. He defines it as an Intersection of emerging tech such as smart home, self-driving vehicles, wearable tech, AI, VR/AR, and smart speakers, etc. Of course, the phone has a role to play in everything.  The next 10 years will move faster and be more disruptive. In the past there was one disruptive tech at a time, now all this new tech is hitting at the same time, with interconnectivity. Consumers are going to expect companies to be where they are. Creating magical experiences for customers. When you make things so simple, the interface fades into the background. Jeremy provides other examples from Whirlpool Appliances and Hertz.  Are companies that will win, the ones that can customize and predict what customers want? Jeremy believes companies must use “Clairvoyance Marketing.” That is removing friction, predicting need, and then completing the task. Anything that does not do that in the future will jar the customer. It’s hard to keep up with that pace of change. Creating collaboration opportunities to drive innovation and bring in outside thinking is crucial. Look at companies like Mercedes Benz and Patron Tequila as early leaders in the space. Note: Since this recording, Jeremy Lockhorn has left SapientRazorfish and is consulting and public speaking while finding his next full-time gig. Connect with Jeremy on Twitter at @newmediageek for more information. For more interviews like this one, check out Brian's interview with David Mattin at TrendWatching - https://insideoutside.io/podcast/ep-60-david-mattin-w-trendwatching/ GET THE LATEST RESOURCES Get the latest episodes of the Inside Outside Innovation podcast, in addition to thought leadership in the form of blogs, innovation resources, videos, and invitations to exclusive events. SUBSCRIBE GLIDR This episode is sponsored by GLIDR. GLIDR software helps you validate that you’re going to market with products and business models that drive real value. Check them out at https://www.glidr.io/iopodcast For information regarding your data privacy, visit acast.com/privacy

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP146 - Forrester Analyst Sucharita Kodali

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 23, 2018 54:51


Sucharita (Mulpuru) Kodali @smulpuru is the Vice President and Principal Analyst at Forrester Research covering retail and e-commerce.  She has previously worked at Saks Fifth Ave, Toys R Us, and Walt Disney Company. In this interview, we cover a wide range of topics including shop.org 2018, Amazon, marketplaces, holiday 2018 predictions, personalization, and the future of e-commerce. Upcoming: Groceryshop October 28-31, Las Vegas Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 146 of The Jason & Scot Show was recorded on Thursday, September 20th, 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 146 being recorded on Thursday September 20th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scot Wingo. Scot: [0:41] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason and Scott show listeners Jason were sitting here at episode warning 146 knocking on 150 and there's someone we've been trying to get on the show for a long time but she is so busy it's taken almost a hundred fifty episodes for the stars and the moon and the planets to align so we are really really excited to finally have on the Jason and Scott show the Infamous and famous sucharita kodaly welcome to the show sucharita. Sucharita: [1:11] Oh thank you Scott and I'd only been waiting for years to even be invited to the show so this is my moment. Scot: [1:20] Usually the inter I give like a little blurb about people and I was like near LinkedIn and there was so many things you've done the the ones I'll just throw out there you've got tons of retailers at Walt Disney and of course well known for Forester so so you're welcome to show excited to have you. Sucharita: [1:41] Thanks for having me I appreciate it finally. Jason: [1:46] Hahaha. I feel like the weight is going to be well worth it as you know from having listened to a couple shows we always like to start by a kind of orienting the listeners with a little bit of background and sort of a. A quick synopsis of of the scope of your roll now so I know you have a fancy title principal Analyst at Forrester. What does a principal analyst do. Sucharita: [2:10] Yeah I'm pumped Forrester for for for those who don't know is a technology research company it said based in Cambridge Massachusetts and we have a number of analysts to focus on different aspects of a technology research and I've focused for the 10-plus years that I've been at Forrester I'm on the retail industry so that means digital retail omni-channel issues mobile Commerce social commerce and anything and everything that really involves a bit technology or the internet and I work with retailers and a lot of the technology suppliers and Technology software providers that that support the retail industry. Jason: [2:56] Very cool and Anna Scott alluded to it but you you have a prodigious retail background before coming to Forest or can you share their listeners of the synopsis of how you got there. Sucharita: [3:08] Yeah yeah there would you pull just before I had joined Forrester I was at a department store so I worked at Saks Fifth Avenue for the saks.com team. And the four sacks I worked in Big Box retail I was at Toys R Us for for a little while and then before that I was at a startup during the first.com the late 90s and it was that it was a startup that was in the e-commerce space selling baby products Baby Style and that was actually founded by a colleague who had worked at Disney when I was when I was there so so that is that range of experiences except brands internet start-up department stores in big box. Jason: [4:00] Awesome and that you Scott and I are part of the prestigious club we have we've all served on the shop. Org board of directors and you and I were just at shop.org in Las Vegas last week. Sucharita: [4:15] Indeed indeed yeah that shopped out of work is where I think I got to know both of you. Jason: [4:22] So that alone is a good reason to be part of shop.org to get to meet fabulous people like Scott and sucharita and. I'm curious I haven't had a chance to kind of debris that you sent the show any big takeaways or or. I think thank you you saw or heard of the show that they stood up to you. Sucharita: [4:43] You know that the topics that seem to come up have been a lot of the topics I think that that don't have been pretty popular in 2018 as you know Jason I know that you had spoken on that like a Ally and machine learning which retailers I think we're just still trying to get their arms around what does it mean for their businesses and is there a flexibility and is there applicability really to amateur business that has a large sore foot print where where is there an opportunity there and in how do they even know think about leveraging it it to their advantage. Amazon is always have Perpetual topic of it's almost kind of every conversation I have with a retailer it almost seems like it I have done to that territory. There was that that you know also I think I'm an interest in in just it as an extension of the Amazon discussion around marketplaces. And that will likely be wanted the topic said that will probably talk about today is that is that a Facebook and what it's doing with it latest Commerce Commerce initiative those are definitely that that the teams that stood out to me that seem to be recurring that that came up over and over again. Jason: [6:09] Nice I actually feel bad because Scott wasn't able to make it this year due to the hurricane. Sucharita: [6:15] We miss you Scott. Jason: [6:17] I know it's not the same. Scot: [6:18] Is the first one I've missed and I think I'm going to say tennis shoes on it it was very strange not going this year but I've heard a recap so I saved. Jason: [6:28] Nice if you're doing the math at home that means Scott started going shop.org when he was a teenager. But you gave it talk there's a secret session on the giveaway that the inside scoop is it shut that or there's a secret invite only session call Executive afternoon and Shop. Org. Then all the fancy people attend and that's when they get all the big brains to present. And you were one of the presenters at that section and you actually talked a lot about marketplaces and I was as I was listening I was thinking of myself. Scot Migos toys. Sucharita: [7:02] Well this is wet that Scott's been evangelizing for for so long right is it is how much of the world is is now marketplaces how much of retail is now Marketplace is and the Forrester stats are that globally marketplaces are now. 50 more than 50% of all of e-commerce projected to be north of 60% in 5 years or so so your call at has always been right Scot Wingo. Scot: [7:29] Thanks thank you I need to bring you on on all my meeting so you can talk. I'll just put a quote then I'll just put on my slides Scot Wingo is always right situated so you know one of the things we identified early in the Chow beiser was sweet we started going to China and realizing you over there it's like 90% marketplaces to do feel like we're heading towards that kind of world or do you think you feel like that kind of balancing point in the 50 to 60% range right where do you think that goes. Sucharita: [8:03] Well I'm a large you're right I mean it's there's a large part of e-commerce that is China it is the largest e-commerce Market in the world and when most of the e-commerce in the largest market is marketplaces it's going to be skewed a little bit that figures for the US I think we have our life more like 30 to 40%. Scot: [8:23] That was a global to 50%. Sucharita: [8:25] So yeah sorry I if if that wasn't clear but that so so where is the saturation point for for marketplaces in the US and I think that that is a question that's all smelly what's there to nuances I think that are important with that question 1 is how broadly we Define marketplaces once you get into defining marketplaces with travel or potentially with food or other categories it becomes the penetration numbers change and it's actually even higher because there are certain categories that are entirely marketplaces like in a large marketplaces like ride-hailing. [9:05] So so that is why I think that there's a there's a there's a very narrow definition of e-commerce that we have now which is about 30 categories of physical goods and within those 30 categories the future I think is ultimately I intertwined with the future of Amazon in retail and I think that's the at the big that's one of my big questions is given Amazon's first-party margins which I don't I think are probably the lowest margins of all of its key category is that it does business in Risky Business says that it participates in I think it really begs the question of yet you know do they do they consider do they lean into their higher margin businesses like advertising or cloud or hardware and ultimately give up on on some of the retail on pieces and they've become more of or they become more of a service at service provider and in that in in that scenario I actually think. [10:13] We may see a cab to that market place to Unistaff. Maybe we won't get to 70 or 80% liking somebody you know some of these other markets like China or north of that but. But I did it for I think it's it's it's heavily dependent on your what sort of happens in the next five years with Amazon. Scot: [10:34] Yep so we we've already kind of jumped into it but it wouldn't be a Jason Scott show without talking about Amazon so it's a good Market Marketplace kind of approach I had a 30000 foot question for you I were Twitter buddies and you know if I kind of look at the trend your your kind of. Not anti Amazon but I get the vibe that you're kind of feeling like you know maybe they'll come under more scrutiny around some stuff with what's going on there. Sucharita: [11:01] Well I think that it there a lot of people that think that I did you know there's there's no question that there are there certain things that happened on Amazon there are CEOs of companies like Birkenstock and Swatch that have called out you know that there are fake versions of their product on on Amazon so you have counterfeit issues you have pricing issues there yet you know there are issues related to the authenticity of reviews on the other number of products that I bought an Amazon that I'll have like 500 positive reviews and then you get the product and the packaging contact this URL for support and it's it's a URL for some heat for a non-existent website. [11:55] There is all kinds of there all kinds of issues with you know it's gotten to Amazon has gotten so big and even though they have some of the most Brilliant Minds in retail working. There are there are there a lot of fraudsters in the marketplace that are one step ahead and constantly you know it's it's a whack-a-mole situation for Amazon so so my so anyway my net-net of my by my salon Soliloquy here is that I think that there are. A few different directions that Amazon could be tackled it could be you know that you have State's attorney generals. [12:38] Brett unipack reading some case with the but you no wonder that the guys of consumer protection laws we have it another artist at the DUI Mantee trust commissioner I'm just the other day who said that you know she's looking at some of the pricing issues with who or what the data that Amazon is collecting from Marketplace Sellers and does that affect the pricing of UniFirst versus third-party merchandised so so there are a lot of different I think constituents within government regulation that I think may have some some legs to stand on with respect to addressing these issues I mean that I can't think of other business that's had a first and third party Marketplace in. [13:30] Piano ever and you know kind of that also has instant transparency of information and there there just no laws around this so it's it's difficult to retrofit our existing laws on topics like predatory pricing or price-fixing. When it you know what Amazon May doing may be doing their site nuances to those to those issues. Scot: [13:58] Yes and hq2 you want to share Charlotte. Sucharita: [14:00] Might my guess what Charlotte was do was kicked out of the first round better shot. Scot: [14:13] Yep yep we're on the short list. Sucharita: [14:15] Write the short list of a my my my bets would actually be on Boston. Scot: [14:19] A lot of people are saying DC because of a lobbying thing which I don't understand at that tire lot of lobbyists 20,000 lobbyist. So Jason I got in a vigorous debate with some people about Amazon go they were they announced they were going to open a couple more people like this is crazy and stupid and then they announce they're going to open 3000 leakage that they may open what would you think about the Amazon go store in the strategy there. Sucharita: [14:50] Well I think that you know when when things like this are said with Anonymous sources it it does become more questionable that I want to see the lease it is and I'm going to wait and let you know I'm not going to speculate too too early because I feel like we've seen this movie before you know when Amazon took out the lease at the Empire State Building everyone thought that was going to transform you know grocery in retail and distribution in New York City you know after they launch the bookstore's there was speculation that it was you know they were going to have you know hundreds of them throughout the country there by think 15. You know when they even launched with Amazon Fresh you know I think that there was some speculation that they were going to be in you know hundred plus cities and you know what a very short. Of time and that roll out spend a lot a lot slower so I I don't know that I completely believe the rumors there's a part of me that that wonder is you know is it is it somebody who's trying to short grocery stocks is planning these Rivers you know so I'm not I'm not I'm not sure that I fully believe it. Also be the logic of of opening that many stores that do require such a high capital investment. [16:14] I'm usually pretty small format stores. Especially ones that are not selling high-ticket goods and you know a lot of what they're selling or these you know convenience store items are lunch for someone. You're not talking about you know business that is like 10 or 15 million dollars per location and I'd be surprised if it was even that much so. Terribly High capital investment for a business that ultimately I don't know how much of an impact is going to have on Amazon's overall business at this point I mean the kind of bet that Amazon needs to make now now that it's like a 200 billion dollar plus company it has to be really big and and I don't even know that you know kind of opening a convenience store chain is going to deliver. Those kind of numbers for them. Scot: [17:14] Yeah and we like we like to say it's a trillion-dollar company just use the bigger number. Sucharita: [17:19] Google valuation versus Revenue right. Jason: [17:24] Yeah that is a very first world problem when you get to the scale where. Buying a business is only interesting to you if it as a potential to be huge and an Amazon certainly has entered that phase. Sign on Amazon go if the rumors are true and they roll a 3,000 there's an interesting question does that disrupt convenience stores I-80 is that horrible news for 7-Eleven or is it actually worse news for like. GSR Quick Serve restaurants like Subway sandwiches and those folks because it really seems like the in the first few stores. The the purpose people have her going to the store is to get lunch more so than you know get emergency convenience items. Sucharita: [18:09] Right right yeah I think that that's that the end up an unknown I mean that whether it ends up being more of a grab-and-go restaurant dsmi restaurant semi going to pick up some Essentials I mean when I when I visited one time and they had meal kits bars in a wine all kinds of eating it seemed almost like it was an experiment on you know what are what are things that people can can carry consumed in the next few hours so so yeah it'll be it'll be interesting to see I mean I don't know that 7-Eleven and. Gas station convenience stores are going to be necessarily that disrupted the reason being that you're fundamentally it's gas or cigarettes or the other some other driver of the visit to those stores as far as as as Amazon goes ability to provide food I think yes they become essentially a new at the dispensary to come like a new quick service restaurant in in the space you know when it's I think that that's just the natural competition in the restaurant industry and it's so hyper competitive and it's so hyper competitive I don't know that any given quick service restaurant is going to feel the pain because there are their players that come and go in any Market within the restaurant industry in a year's time any. Jason: [19:37] Yeah yeah it's it's really going to be interesting to watch the one thing it was interesting to me that you know they just open the third one in Chicago first one had a big kitchen in it second one was very close to the first one in Seattle and I didn't have a kitchen because presumably. That kitchen was sort of a hub for spoke of a story but the first one in Chicago does in fact have a kitchen and so you know when you're when you think about it like that. Well a lot of the traditional convenience stores may have some food but they don't actually have fresh food they're preparing on site. And I think we did hear from one of the Amazon execs that that's so far that be my sandwiches they're number one's cute whereas like a convenience store it would be a beverage. In the old days cigarettes. It's going to get you some lunch another category that people are selling speculating Amazon is is on the cusp of disrupting is the pharmacy I know they bought till pack earlier this year any any thoughts about Amazon's true aspirations in the pharmacy space and how that might play. Sucharita: [20:42] Yeah I mean it will this is it's a it's a fascinating one because going. To the point about they need to go after really really huge markets obviously Healthcare is one of the biggest and one of the fundamental advantages of healthcare is it it's a sec actually growing unlike retail which is growing probably at the rate of inflation that Healthcare is growing. Faster than inflation and to be part of that probably one of the more scalable aspects of it in there on the prescription drug side versus on the provider side and by the way there actually let you know there was the whole announcement of Amazon with Berkshire Hathaway JP Morgan which is actually an experiment on the provider side too but on the the prescription drug side of it makes it makes a ton of sense it's an enormous mark. You know a hundred billion dollars plus there's inefficiency in that space and if Amazon is able to do to help support that. And Chad make life easier for for everyone in the Echo System whether it's. A medical provider or whether it is a patient that's that's a that's a transformational thing so so that makes actually a lot more sense to me because that's that's a market that that that is one of those markets that could be meaningful to a company that is still 200 billion dollars in Revenue. Scot: [22:10] So just tap it a little bit when when retailers asked you what to do about Amazon what what kind of what are you. Sucharita: [22:17] I think that there's a lot to learn from Amazon Amazon executes of course incredibly well they there they have they make customer so happy with with their fabulous customer experience whether it's shipping or how easy it is to return something or how easy it is to track merchandize or you find whatever it is that that you're looking for I'm so so all of that I think is is absolutely worth emulating and you know I always point out that one of our data points says that one of the things that consumers want from any website is just visibility until when you know when an item is supposed to arrive and you're Amazon's been doing that for years but yet to this day most e-commerce site still don't have it so when the question is you know what should we do about Amazon my first inclination is to take the best parts of it because you know they said some pretty good standards in. In a great customer experience and so I think that that's that's that's one of the things that you can do there I think that there are our other opportunities from the standpoint of leveraging a lot of the information of a night I think that Amazon is one of the largest open source product databases. [23:35] And I'm going to expose a lot of what's actually selling on their site when you dig into categories and subcategories and Sub sub categories and I don't know that there are a lot of companies that take advantage of that data to see if there are opportunities and trends that benefit them to now it's light from from Dad I think that's one of the biggest questions that we got about Amazon are related to well how do we how do we engage with them as a as a partner on do we sell on the Amazon Marketplace knowing that it is it could be you know deal with the devil if you know where exposing everything from emergency to. Velocity and dumb is that is that something that could come back to haunt us if they Jordan shoes Deb to private label or or basically take the best aspects owns of you know kind of merchandised universes do we go at it and try to sell something to sell our products direct-to-consumer through other channels and and that I think is those are those are tough act to existential decisions that be at the right answer is going to vary from company to company it's going to depend on everything from your culture to what it is that you actually sell to you know what kinds of barriers to competition your brand is has even set up if any. [25:00] But that but yeah it said it's a it's a complicated relationship I think the easiest answer is you take the best of what they've already established and and you know of an embrace it and harder side it's a big kind of how do you how do you spell exist in this you know in a world where online it such a dominant force and it is that it's it's it's proven to be. [25:28] Front of me to at it too many Brands and retailers you know I used to work at Toys R Us and see it you know kind of a lot of that there was a big huge lawsuit in an hour more than a decade all of that when you go back and read you know they're the ultimately wet that the judge wrote about it you're so much of of what happened then when Toys R Us was selling on Amazon platform. Still applies today in Amazon's approach toward its Partners so so that this this notion and this is concerned that their front of me is is absolutely. Jason: [26:07] Yeah one of the fun games to play on Amazon is sort of imagine what categories are going to disrupt next do you have any prognostications you care to make about about love wet wet the next big move might be. Sucharita: [26:21] Well I think that you know what I've been thinking for a while is I think they're going to make another go at mobile phones we know that they're their first attempt at the fire phone was loose a disaster but that was just a thing wrong item wrong time you not the right the right mix of value for for the customer but the Despicable phone being a space is so large and is one of again those categories that would be meaningful to a company that's already 200 billion dollars that it it almost seems that they would be foolish not to take the IP that they had development that's their playbook right is like you know nothing's a failure everything is you know learning opportunity that you build on later I mean I'm actually more surprised that. After all the failures and challenges with grocery which is such a low-margin category they keep going after that whereas phones which are you know when you look at you know Apple's number is a really high margin category why why they haven't Give Mickey why they haven't made another attempt there I think there are other categories like you know potentially you know Automotive or travel that are also substantial. That they may tackle in some way shape or form. [27:48] But and I'm actually in a frankly surprised they haven't already done something in in the automotive space but but I think that's hardware makes a lot of sense and also given. So much of the unicorn of the credibility they've now built with with Echo. As a hardware manufacturer I think that you know any attempt at a phone this time around will be more positively receive. Jason: [28:17] Yeah that's really the reason why I guess I'm hoping is wrong because. We we do these forecast at the beginning of every year Scott and I are highly competitive and I think you may have just agreed with one of his his pics in the forecast so I just for the sake of me winning I'm I'm hoping that doesn't happen but I. Scot: [28:37] Sucharita is truly a genius. Sucharita: [28:39] What we're just going to link to one another Twitter Scott. Jason: [28:46] I'm actually going to go back to an Andre at at that show and I'm going to add a prediction that Amazon is going to get into the microwave oven business. Cuz I didn't answer I see that one coming back I don't know if you guys got the news Amazon announced 14 new Alexa enabled products today and you know there's a microwave oven in a wall clock. Scot: [29:05] Yep I thought you'd be excited about the microwave it has a order more popcorn but I know you can't talk about you love the buttons being integrated so that's exciting. Jason: [29:14] So needless pivot off of Amazon for second and we could certainly talk about them all day. Most other retailers that are definitely trying to compete with Amazon have a very unique attribute they have these these physical stores that Amazon doesn't have. Any any thoughts about the best way to leverage those those stores and sort of omni-channel way as a competitive advantage or what what are you saying going on in that that's out of the fence. Sucharita: [29:43] Yeah it's so I one of those pieces at Forrester that I just finished up doing research on is retailer LED media networks and it's funny that because this Amazon actually the biggest of retailer let me in it works but there are actually a lot of meat media networks bad that are less well-known but are successful growing profitable and really interesting engines of profitability for for retail or so Best Buy has one target has one Walmart has one and you know Credit Union there other players in retail that are in the Commerce Pace like Expedia that have had these media networks as well and the most successful ones are seeing double-digit percents of their sales coming from these media networks and their. Profitable been there for retail business so I said okay so what's the implication there and I think that the takeaway is that retailers have opportunity take advantage of the assets they have and monetize them in other ways and for some of these large mass Merchants one of those ways is to see what they have as traffic you know they the biggest Merchants have more. [31:07] Captive visitors who are engaged for longer periods of time than most media prettiest out there whether it's a magazine or you know what a TV show or you know a movie I mean it's it's an incredibly powerful. I said that they have that very few have taken advantage of and some of that spin just historically. [31:30] They never knew how to take advantage of that into technology didn't exist to necessarily make it scalable there maybe like a TV that would be mounted in Walmart stores this is before Cloud these things would break down and no one would know and it may take months before somebody figured out that it needed to be fixed and you know there goes you know the media that should have been visible in that particular Store so slow but things are different now and you know I think. These online media networks are proven that there is an ability to get alternative revenue and I I see this as an opportunity. For other large mass Merchants whether they're hyper markets or. [32:17] Even drug stores convenience stores that attract broad audiences of so so that's one thing I think just the overall mix of how retailers look at inventory the idea of stores within stores and Market places within storage and being more inventory light letting the brands be more of the stewards of what's in that physical store I think those those are those are definitely things that have to to to be different I mean what I'm describing is more kind of you know play is Sean how do you monetize the store and how do you think about. Destroyed from in a different financial model not just you know having a lot of inventory and selling it but ultimately all of that also needs to be wrapped into a great visual experience and you know when you look at retail I'm especially the big National chains. [33:17] Supposedly the most experiential like Mall based apparel Merchant the really for the most part haven't changed that much and you know that the Adena from when they started too often where they are now. But the sector that I'll look at 4 visual inspiration is the ruler look at the restaurant industry I mean there are so many different restaurants out there that cater to so many different demographics and you know whether it is the highest-end booty the culture or whether it is you know kind of mass you know there's a lot of innovation in in the restaurant space and. Part of that is due to Innovation and Yuna food and ingredients and menu items a lot of it is also in. [34:06] The visual look and the inviting nature of the establishment and that's part of the reason that the restaurant industry which is. For the most part offline I mean there's now online ordering but you know it's still an experience where people go to the the venue for the most part and even in the age of seamless and all of the delivery space at the delivery company is I mean it's still the vast majority is is is still in the the physical store I mean that's a space that's grown like 30 or 40 times in the last few decades and I'm it's because there has been innovation in the experience and if retailers applied that same Innovations their businesses I think. You know me they would they would probably bring a lot more people back to the shorts. Scot: [34:55] People speaking of storage to every store I go to now is full of Halloween gear we're sitting here at September 20th Halloween will will come and go pretty quickly and there were looking at holiday 18 our friend Casey over at delete they just released their forecast and they're saying online growth 17 to 22% which is pretty robust I think last year they said that they measure 18% based on the categories and stuff where where have you guys put out your Forrester report and and where where do you think that's going to end up. Sucharita: [35:29] Yeah we're in the midst right now of figuring out those numbers were not quite as a aggressive as Casey's number is our figures are in the low-teens they've been about there for the last couple of years and you know part of part of that is it is is you just kind of that historic Trend and so much of it is is about the key holidays it's around that it's Black Friday Cyber Monday you know this person in demand that really generates so much such a high volume of the sales there's one other big unknown and for this particular holiday season and that's what effect the terrorists are going to have on on retail I mean the the latest round which takes a fact. [36:20] Any day now effects a lot of consumer goods in a lot of holiday items like apparel accessories Footwear Consumer Electronics Home Goods so it'll be it didn't even even though we're probably not going to be in a revised our forecast down for that reason you know we'll see and at the end of December and in January if there was any impact in if there wasn't yeah we can he is a great sigh of relief for the holiday season but then yet you know it. That just means that were delaying the inevitable and the impact will be seen in q1. Scot: [37:00] Got it so the tariffs are the possible Grinch this year that's going to a bummer. Sucharita: [37:05] Yeah yeah I mean what's that mean that the terrorists are 10% right on most of these goods and when you look at some of the mass merchandised particularly you know in nabbed and HomeGoods are electronics that the margins are any then stop by for some of those categories so the retailer couldn't even absorb it if they wanted to so will you absolutely will see some of those eventually show up and in what consumers have to pay. Scot: [37:37] This actually brings up a topic that that kind of we hit on the show sometimes you know we will do these news reports and everyone's reporting so I can Amazon Q2 was like 30% growth and Walmart was 40% and Targets this all the online numbers. And then Target was like in a 30%. But then e-commerce is growing 15% even even like shopify's GMB kind of an aggregate is growing at like 20 or 30%. So have you have you thought about the site I kind of end up there's there's some people in the industry that kind of say they think the number to 15% kind of off because it's Baseline to this government number and it's a survey and comes were bass lines off of that it is a question I ask myself is if the biggest slices of the wedge of the pie are growing. Twice a 15% than the ones were not talking about have to be something has to be losing Trinidad share for e-commerce going to be growing 15%. Sucharita: [38:43] Sears JCPenney yeah I think that it's there is you know there's that psychological bias called survivorship by us that that we hear about which is that yeah you know we could we talked about the 6s cases and 6s cases talk about themselves and what you end up with is kind of have an understanding or seemingly and understanding that that that everyone's doing well. But when in and I do see a lot of the the numbers from specific retailers because we. [39:22] They still out our surveys and not everyone is is doing that well I mean there are absolutely do you know kind of some of these thieves. Some of the big box stores this past year for the last couple of quarters have been doing fairly well but a lot of small ones are not and Gina there are a number of companies that are that are dying you know a lot of a lot of retailers in the big box space you know I mean Toys R Us great I'm Staples you know Office Depot you know there's so many. Companies that are included in Indy's figures that you don't you don't always think about because they're not really publicizing Derek their stats but that's that I think is an important piece to keep in mind there's also and I think they get the other prevailing pieces then. [40:18] An e-commerce the big have been getting bigger which is ironic because e-commerce was supposed to be an equalizer right it was supposed to be in a zero barriers to entry and anybody can you can come in. But you know what you are seeing as you know you're seeing company is like that like it look at you know Amazon getting more share Walmart getting more share getting disproportionate share to the growth of the industry and. Neon we definitely know that it's harder to attract customers it's harder to let you know kind of gain mindshare on the internet these days and you know that could be part of part of the issue 2 is that there are 800,000 e-commerce Merchants out there in the United States so you know this is many of them are or are not piecing double-digit growth and I think that stuff you know likely where the figures that we see are coming from. Jason: [41:12] Yeah I certainly will buy that the survivorship bias light. Affects how we do this I do still think though there's some goofiness and have and numbers are collected and reported by the the the census Department like there's actually some tangible examples that they report you can get the date of is IC Code and you know for example if you take the ssic code that Walmart sand and you look at e-commerce sales in that ssic code total sales e-commerce sales for that ssic code are way lower than Walmart's e-commerce sales so there's something's getting Miss coded or like it's even sales are getting attributed in a different bucket or you know it again. In many cases of these are self-reported numbers to the retailers just have to make a mistake in order for the data it'll be wrong so potentially. Simulation of of some of these weird data collections in this new industry and some of the survivorship bias that your your highlighting. Sucharita: [42:13] That's a fair point Jason I mean I think that the truth is and this is the dirty secret of a forecasting is that. There's no there's no one knows what the right answer is because there's nobody has every datapoint and you know as a as a result of that Unifour casts you no matter who puts them out or a combination of a little you know in a little bit of Art and Science so you know there is the date of points that you do know and do you have different types of data points that you can gather some can be in Summerside data .7 could be you know retailer. Yeah they're always questions around how accurately or how truthfully you know companies and people may be answering some of these reported numbers and they're even very few even when you're talking about the census it's not getting figures from from yeah the IRS it's getting again it's getting figures from a survey defense is definitely has the ability test unit has the government behind it so you know there is presumably a little bit. You know the sense of responsibility that people have to have reporting numbers truthfully but even they aren't going to get every single data point so there's there's absolutely extrapolation and within that extrapolation there is a lot of there's there's there's a lot of speculating and that's where the art comes in. Jason: [43:42] And we're not going to sell that on the podcast unfortunately. But I do want to Pivot. An annoyance I have and I'm just curious you you would have some sort of analogous conversations on with clients I'm sure I get asked a lot about these trends that in my mind are simultaneously like overhyped buzzwords. And really important trends. I got to talk about one of those a shop.org a I like you know I sort of my my POV was. That it's grammatically overhyped in a lot of people you know her are trying to implement a I just to say they implemented a i but in the long run it's going to have these really profound effect on on our industry and be hugely disruptive the one of those trends that comes up the most in my world is personalization. I'm curious if you have a a point of view about personalization like is anybody doing it well or are we doing enough of it are we doing too much of it what your. What's your thoughts. Sucharita: [44:42] Why yes yes it said it did yeah incredibly I probably one of the most frequently asked questions that that we get I mean my perspective and I'd love to hear your thoughts too because I know that you'll have a point of view on it is that I don't know that people know even what it means I think that a lot of people still think that personalization means the recommendation and Jen's there other people who think that personalization means getting as much data as you can collect they don't have any plan for how they're going to use the data that they collect you know I mean some of the the best examples when I pink at you know kind of the heart of it what's great personalization is you know when a sales associate or somebody that you've had a business interaction with her some, Commerce interaction with to send the thank-you note you know where they do something special for you. In a bathtub a great examples of peanut butter personalizing an experience that's incredibly welcome but that type of personalization. [45:49] Doesn't get considered in the discussions that that retailers are having about personalization. I'm so I'd I think that you know there's it's your personalization data-gathering. Big data analytics officer I think all of these terms get get co-mingled and there is not. Even a great. [46:16] Did you know there's not even I don't I haven't seen any great examples of companies that have have have truly you know kind of Taken personalization and created some unique strategy. And have made you know billions and billions of dollars from it I don't know I mean that maybe I'm mistaken have you. Jason: [46:37] No I'm desperately looking for that example cuz we get asked for it all the time and I I'm sort of a I like mine with you I am fond of reminding people personalization isn't an outcome it's attacked it right and so you know how I get annoyed when people say the goal is to have personalization because like your goal should be to use a packet your goal should be to achieve some some help come. Sucharita: [46:58] Exactly cuz then you're just checking the box right I mean you're not really you know kind of delay you're not doing anything for your business that's that's meaning for for your customers. Jason: [47:08] Yeah like so I would argue most person was it when people say personalization what they really the outcome they're hoping to achieve is relevant city right like is never more relevant experience that therefore connect better with the Shopper in in case of Commerce. Like I know I can't think of any front in experiences that are. Fabulously personalized should therefore be more relevant for the Shopper I would argue like a maybe like a stitch fix is a good example of personalization in the custom assortment they offer customers pretty personalized to them. But not so much on that on the front end shopping. Sucharita: [47:46] Right right right and I think that you know sometimes some company is make it carried away with it you know this idea of relevancy doesn't matter as much if you have a small or limited product catalog you know it's like then you're over personalizing you know you just want people to see everything in your you know 50 product catalog and it doesn't make sense to necessarily you know go more granular than than that. You don't make the tennis sounds if you have a catalog with you know 5 million products but I think. You know that that's part of the the challenge 2. Anytime within you know small product how I can get very nuanced if you know if it's a VW purchase or if it's a very complicated purchase but but but yeah I mean there's there's often this the sense that you know personalization is some silver bullets and you know it's not. Jason: [48:41] Yeah and I 10% agree like you know sometimes you don't need personalization if if your product is super relevant to a huge audience you have a great product and you can make the same offer to all of them and I would argue that that's Apple for example. And you know if you can take the best personalized e-commerce experience in the world and I'll take apple and I'll probably retire before you. Sucharita: [49:02] Exactly and I think also you know I mean maybe if some of the Holy Grail is is loyalty like how do we get you know the outcome being in this store this belief that somehow personalization is tied to loyalty or tied to more loyalty and and I think that's where so you know there is a little bit of fallacy because the best loyalty programs out there it's not necessarily about personalization it's just that they give you free stuff for her you know they just they just have amazing prices or perks. Scot: [49:40] Cool so we spent a lot of time kind of in the in the present may be stretching out the holiday but but let's going to go to 325 and maybe 10 years out what her what are some of the things that are on your radar that that you think retailers brands should be thinking about our show is talked about everything from drones 3D printing to a rvr what what are some of the things that get you excited about the future of online retail. Sucharita: [50:04] I think that within Rudy tail the the biggest changes are going to be in. Disrupting the orthodoxies of retail and what I mean by that is that retails fundamentally constrained by a few things that they've always done you know they've always owned inventory they've always you know hired store associates to do certain tasks and they don't even share those store associate with other stores in their chain they did they have real estate that they have bought you skin a 20 30 year 50 year long leases that they're they're stuck with. [50:50] And when I say the orthodoxies change I think all of that changes in the future so it may not be you know and in some cases technology will will potentially in power and change aspects of that like for instance with labor force differences in the most retailers now you know will have their store associates and they they put them on their shifts and they come in and the store associates only work with that particular store but there are companies out there there companies like shiftgig for instance that actually have a Marketplace of basically store for workers and as a store you can tap into that market place based on who's available who's worked at your store before you know who has good ratings from their managers and who's in a potentially train to unload a truck or he knows how to work the returns desk or whatever the task maybe that you need and that kind of nimbleness I think is is what will transform retail in the future it's really about rethinking how are things done now and are there ways to change that dysfunction in the future for our for the better in the future. Jason: [52:13] I do agree I think that that is a very interesting for the evolution and you know how can we leverage that that in Star labor force across a bigger pool of customers with. Telepresence is in all of those sorts of things. Sucharita: [52:27] Right absolutely absolutely yeah the new question I think that you know me we've spent so much time in the last year talking about omni-channel but for the most part it's really still only in the realm of fulfillment issues and it you know me there's any channel merchandising omni-channel customer service on. You know there's so many different places where cross-channel present exactly like what you described and why can't I FaceTime you know somebody who knows everything about being a Sony. TV's when I want to purchase a Sony TV like you know that's that just seems like that's a logical thing to do. Jason: [53:07] For sure and I hope we do see that in the in the near future I think they're actually may have even been a few vendors in that space in the Innovation Center in shop. Org. Some of those guys will make it. But that's going to be a great place to leave it because it has happened again we've used up all our a lot of time but if you have a burning question that we didn't answer on Today Show or you have a comment we encouraged you to jump on the Facebook and continue the conversation there as always if you enjoy the show the way you cannot repay us is to jump on to iTunes and give us that 5-star review it really helps us to continue to build our audience. Scot: [53:46] Sucharita we really appreciate you coming on here this evening and sorry it took a hundred 50 episodes for us to line up everything but let's let's have you back on in less than before episode 1 300 your very active online where do you Journal edirect people if they want to see your your thoughts about what's going on up. Sucharita: [54:07] Am I I am a big Twitter fan so I would say Twitter yes my Twitter handle is an decimal Peru which is which is the name before I started using my married name is s m u l t u r u. Jason: [54:22] Awesome we will put that in the show notes sucharita as always it's been a true pleasure thanks very much for coming on the show. Sucharita: [54:29] Thanks so much Jason and Scot. Jason: [54:30] And until next time happy comercing.

Retail Gets Real
#77 Retail trends that will gain traction in 2019

Retail Gets Real

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 20, 2018 22:03


The retail industry loves to talk trends, but SapientRazorfish’s Jason “Retailgeek” Goldberg says that many are overhyped. So what will stick? Joining us at Shop.org 2018 in Las Vegas, Goldberg chats about the retail tech trends that will gain momentum in the coming year and why a solution is in sight for the “mobile gap” problem. Learn more at retailgetsreal.com.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP145 - Industry News Amazon, Walmart, Apple

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 10, 2018 43:59


EP145 - Industry News Amazon, Walmart, Apple Amazon News Amazon (briefly) passes $1 trillion market cap J-Crew selling on Amazon New Amazon Ad tracking pixel Amazon Go opens third store (with more announced openings in IL, CA, and NY) Apple News New iPhones being announced 9/12 iOS 12 Ipads/AppleWatch Other News Instagram Shopping App Kylie Cosmetics coming to Ulta Walmart Premium Outdoor Store Who will win holiday toys? Kroger Simple Truth expands to China Upcoming: Shop.org September 12-14th, Las Vegas Groceryshop October 28-31, Las Vegas Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 145 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Wednesday, September 5th, 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the jason and scot show. This is episode one hundred and forty five being recorded on wednesday, september fifth, two thousand eighteen. I'm your host, jason retailgeek" goldberg. And, as usual, i'm herewith your coast, scott wingo. Scot: [0:41] Hey, jason, welcome back, jason scott, show listeners. We're sitting here in early september and thought we would update you guys on some e commerce news in between our releases of some great guests that we had when we were in detail east on jason. I want to start off,you had a tweet, and i didn't understand really what you're talking about. So your little grumpy, you're usually happy tweeter, so i wanted to pick your brain on this one, so that the tweet says, i'm so tired of talking about the r o i of a i based personalization client, quote, what's the r o i ofpainting my house. Me, it depends, is your last paint job one day old or ten nailed. What color do you want to paint it? End, quote and seen so tell us what? What does that mean? Jason: [1:26] So first of all, i've been watching my twitter analytics. And it turns out that when i'm cranky and i just rant about something that annoys me in the moment, it gets way more engagement than the like, superthoughtful, ah, well prepared tweets that i do. So now i'm just i've just decided to try to be cranky. Jason. So that's, what that's really all about? Scot: [1:45] So it's, not a it's. Not ah, fake account. It's. Really. Jason: [1:49] It is the real me, although you did call me out. My my son did do some tweeting earlier this week, and you correctly identified that, too. Ah, which is pretty funny. Scot: [1:58] I think it was like left. Parentheses. Right brace at e. I was like, what is going on? Jason: [2:05] Yeah it was either my three year old or the president united states one of those too probably. Scot: [2:09] Yeah. Jason: [2:10] Ah but like so that i think what happened there and this comes up a lot of, people are super well intentioned but like a client will reach out and they're trying to sell some initiative internally like hey we really want to do this new aye aye personalization initiative, and we need to pitch it tio our senior executive our board of directors or whomever and so i get all these well meaning queries what's the arli of aye aye based personalization, and i get why they're asking the question but it's an unanswerable question in my mind because a, yeah based personalization is a tactic like you could do it well and it could generate a way better customer experience that had a huge improvement or you could do it super poorly, on and have a negative experience and have it you know have ah negative return. [3:03] And it's not a binary thing where you weren't doing personalization before and now you are right so you know everyone's starting state and in st, are wildly different on dso that's kind of ah i think you you slightly mis read my quote like, if you ask what the r o i painting your house is like the first thing i want to know is is your last paint job a day old there is a ten years old right because if you currently have a really crappy paint job. The are lies probably hire for repainting it. Then if, you know you have a super fresh paint job and are you going to sell your house right away? Because then there's going to be a monetize herbal value for painting it? If you're planning on living in the house for ten more years, the return is gonna have to be your personal satisfaction from that improve curb appeal, and you can have a four year old repainted or you going professionalpainters repaint it because that's goingto dramatically affect the outcome. That's goingto ah influence that return. And so, ah, i guess i'm i was just slightly ranting that people want this super simple number and, you know, if you google our ally on a base personalization, you're going to get some, like, ah, be cg report that says that you get an eleven percent left if you do a i base personalization, and so that's, you know, it obviously totally absurd, but lots of people you know, go to their board of directors and say, hey, we're implementing this new tool because bcg says, we'll get eleven percent more sales. Scot: [4:33] Maybe it would make you less cranky if you just said eleven percent. Jason: [4:36] Yes, that's, exactly what the poor account manager asked me the question. Want this for me? I just wanted that bcg study on. Instead, i gave him, ah, stupid metaphor about a house, and then i outed them on twitter. Scot: [4:52] They loved it. And hopefully they don't listen to the podcast because you get a double dose. Jason: [4:56] Exactly. Scot: [4:58] Well, i guess we should move on. Hopefully, hopefully, they weren't listening. It wouldn't be a jason scott show without. [5:12] Use your margin. [5:20] Well, it happened aah! Little bit last week and some this week. Amazon is flirting with a trillion dollar market cap. We've been kind of watching this race here on the jason scott show for a while, apple has been pretty squarely in the trillion dollar club now for about a month it's kind of flirting with one point, one trillion, and i'm sure, with some new iphones there on tap, we'll talk about the minute that that will's further cement that, um, but amazon, when their stock price gets over it's right around two thousand gets two thousand five or seven or ten something like that right in just over two thousand it gets into the trillion dollar mark. So it's been flirting with that it's closed over in a couple days as we're recording this it's underneath it. Um and, you know, i think who knows when they announce q three results? We may see it kind of stay there if they have a solid q three, so i was thinking, i have to go back and look at our holiday ah, guess is i was thinking amazon will get there first, but apple beat him, but it is interesting now that we have these two companies and, you know, kind of in the trillion dollar club. Jason: [6:28] Yeah, it's, super interesting. And i saw. I don't know that it's meaningful in any way. But i saw this pretty funny analysis today on like jeff bezos, personal net worth has increased sixty seven billion dollars. This year is a result of that. That stock climb. So that's eight million dollars an hour, that his net net worth is increased. Scot: [6:48] Yeah, and there's all these, you know, there's, a lot of politics now, kind of surrounding amazon and there's. All these folks that say, you know, jeff basis, they kind of take his net worth and divided by hours or something like that. So it's just tons there, like he makes eight million dollars a second, and he pays his workers fivedollars an hour. All that sounds kind of hooey, because, you know, jeff bezos has put all his capital at risk, and he sells very little amazon stock, so it's all paper money until he sells it. So i don't know. It's apples emerges. Jason: [7:22] Yeah, i mean mostly only sell stock for rocket fuel, right? Scot: [7:25] Yeah, absolutely, yeah, most of it. Or, if he's going to buy a newspaper like a newspaper, like the washington, like the washington post. Jason: [7:33] Yeah, a lot of newspapers, exactly. Scot: [7:34] Yes, yeah, so that that's interesting to see, you know apple and amazon there, right in that trillion dollar club. Jason: [7:42] Yeah, for sure. Be interesting to see, like when they are safely over it, and it sticks. And if anyone is able to join him? Ah, i did see that j crew is the latest kind of director consumer brand. Ah, that has announced they're going to start selling their product on amazon, in addition to selling direct to consumer. Scot: [8:07] Yeah, that'll be good, it's. Funny. You know, i've kind of over the years. I think i've pitched everyone on this, and i've heard, ah, more, quote, i'll never saw an amazon in, quote. Then i've heard, yes, i want to sell on amazon so it's, kind of gratifying to see these walls come crumbling down. Jason: [8:25] Yeah, i will say that what is interesting is at the moment, and they're the latest of a number of brands that, like at one point, would have said, will never be on amazon. And now they're selling on amazon. The majority of those brands are doing it at a point of distress. Right? And i think j crew's, like, pretty clearly a distress brand. That's, that's looking for cem for, you know, an infusion of life by potentially selling through these marketplaces. What, what we haven't seen yet are like, you know, companies that sold direct to consumer are like cooking with gas growing really fast, and then are deciding, like amazon is the next distribution point. So it'll be interesting to see, you know, when and if we get some of those examples as well. Scot: [9:10] And i think they're there. I think a lot of the d m v b s are on amazon. They just don't make a big deal about it, like these guys are doing. It clearly kind of send a message to their shareholders that's, like, we're doing something, but, you go look at the mattress category on amazon, i think could be surprised by what you see there and, ah, you know, some of them, yeah, but no boast made a conscious decision not to, but you'll find all the mattress guys were there, and, you know, other categories have, ah, lot of the direct consumer kind of guys are onamazon. Jason: [9:40] Oh, to be clear, i agree, and i think i know there's a bunch of digital native brands on amazon. And in fact, i would argue it's, the second most popular distribution channel besides direct to consumer for those young brands, it's, much more popular than selling wholesale through traditional retailers. Ah, but i guess what i was more saying is the ones that were holdouts and for what, for a good or bad reason, said initially, and we're not using amazon is part of the strategy, like a warby parker or bonobos or someonelike that. We haven't yet seen one of those go. You know what, we're drilling really fast. We're trying to reach more customers, and we were wrong about staying away from amazon. We want to add amazon. I just i don't feel like ihave a good example of that scenario yet. But if a listener thinks of one, definitely drop us a line. The big news, though, in my little corner of the advertising world, is the amazon is piloting. I think, technically, beta testing a new program where they're offering a amazon tracking pixel for for brands to put on all their own properties. So they can get a multi channel, multi touch attribution model for all their there at amazon media. And understand. Like what? What? Actual sales on amazon are are occurring as a result of their various marketing activity. Scot: [11:10] Yeah it's kind of even a broader theme and we talked about allowed in the show i think we were we've been really early on this that you know we kind of have said that this is going to get, out of another billion dollars kind of offering for these guys and if you track it out it will be his biggest facebook by i think twenty twenty two ah, the mainstream media has picked up on it leased the business press so there's been a lot of articles in the wall street journal and the new york times loved don't really add anything but this was really pretty interesting so iwould just want to throw this quote out there our listeners, they interviewed the new york times had a peaceful linked to it in the show nuts. [11:47] Talking about um you know, just amazon moving in on the market and they had a quote from monica mcgurk and she is, the chief revenue and e commerce officer that's nice title at kellogg's that's so cpg on and she said we can reach the right consumer at the right time using their wealth of data to target, other traditional digital platforms do not have the level of purchase data that amazon has on their customers, so you know that's pretty powerful in the same article had some quotes from verizon and, geico and you know so pretty interesting and even i think some car liam's that are you know amazon, with their wealth of data, is starting to get some really interesting signals from people on where they are. The purchase funnel. And i just don't think you get from other ad platforms. So it's going to be be interesting to see where amazon takes this. And, you know, i think we've predicted it's going to be really big business. I think this is what takes amazon from a trillion to the next. You know, several hundred billion dollars of market cap is, you know, this. This becomes another big pillar and a big business for them over time. Jason: [12:56] Yeah i agree and i feel like it works really well as one of multiple revenue streams i actually think that's a much healthier place to be than to be ah ah a pure advertising based business model like a google or afacebook in the long run, but it is you know i remind people like for the majority of of history the majority of marketing has had really lame kp eyes and success criteria right like, most most marketers are their success criterias how many people saw that the, the marketing that they did or at best like how many people remembered my brand or you know, unaided recall or these kind of, silly, synthetic success criteria on and then you know you've got a platform like amazon where the success criteria is, how much stuff you sold and what was the gross margin for the incremental stuff you sold right and so you can really look at the spin on that platform through much. [13:58] Clear set of green eye shades than you can you know certainly that that super bowl ad that you bought and even more so than you can like, top of funnel brand awareness advertising that you might do on a platform like facebook and so it is, it is very different and i do think marketers get kind of giddy about like having these more tangible r o i kp eyes, you know, it is to me slightly different form of advertising like i do think there is some value in some top of funnel brand awareness advertising. But i certainly think it's much more valuable on these platforms, like facebook, google, amazon, where you can, you know, way more actually targeted. And just put the content in front of an audience that's likely to want that content vs that ad. You run on the super bowl that you know, ninety nine out of a hundred people have have no interest in your your toenail funguscream. Scot: [14:54] Yeah, and if you're calling about a year ago, we had darrell juvenile on there and that's episode eighty six on one thing, that really kind of stuck in my mind from that episode was they talked about being able tomeasure downstream from amazon. So not only could they get to your point that you're omar margin of what they were selling on amazon, they were advertising their products on. Then they were seeing kind of a bump in sales at target, walmart, costco, other places like that where their products were, because, you know, as we you know, you have a little bit of, ah, disagreement on this. But, you know, there's survey date out there that shows that amazons become the product search engine. So, you know, you have an outsized impact by advertising an amazon, because not only are you gonna sell more stuff on amazon, there is downstream benefit out into the physical stores as well. Jason: [15:44] Yeah, for sure, and, you know, the site, the more mature platforms like google and facebook, they're actually spending a lot of time trying to come up with that that multi channel attribution and tell you like, howmany people are showing up in a store as a result of their advertising, and they have to use really in perfect methods to do that like that, like, upload your own point of sale sales data, and we can match it up, you know, for the small percentage of your shoppers that, that are known customers when they buy stuff at the cash register, you know, amazon has has more than four hundred grocery stores, what you could imagine them adding an attribution model where, you know, they told you how that that media you're buying on their platform drove traffic in whole food stores, for example, like theirs, lots of interesting things that you could you could see play out here. That doesn't remind me of one adjacent piece of news that i'll just briefly mentioned here there were there was also an article that got a lot of people slightly perturbed. It came to light last week that google had been buying personal data from credit card companies to do some of this this in store attribution on behalf of their ever. Scot: [16:58] On dh that's. Uh, so, i guess, that's. Just controversial because it's tracking you, mohr and everyone's freaked out about all that. Jason: [17:06] Yeah, it's, you know, it's all the personalization fears, and you know how much of your personal behaviour do you really want google to know, like they, you know, in their own ecosystem, they know a ton, andnow they're, you know, one one gap that they had versus amazon is amazon. See stuff you buy? Google usually doesn't on dso. More recently, we've seen google partner with a couple of big retailers like wal mart and target, who, for particular use cases, will share their sales data with google. And now we're seeing that google is going out and buying, you know, credit card sales data as well, the kind of augment that database and and build that big, in my world. That wasn't shocking at all, like, i mean, we've all known that that data was for sale. And so, like when it became a big news item you're like, oh, people are upset about that interesting. Scot: [17:56] And you guys are getting a ghost. Where have you been today? Jason: [18:00] Uh it's it's not open yet so they did just this week open a third ghost door but they're all still in seattle so they're all in downtown seattle on the one that just opened two days ago i have not been to yet, what's interesting about it is that it's the biggest go store so it's about twenty one hundred square feet, which is ah an average sized convenience store it's not a huge store but why that slightly interesting is the very first ghost door that's you know in in the day zero building is, eighteen hundred square feet and so then they opened a second one in seattle that was actually smaller it was fourteen hundred fifty square feet and they're a bunch of ah pundits are maybe i should say a few pundits theywere like ah, amazon's having trouble with the technology and they're having trouble scaling in and they can't they can't even make it work in eighteen hundred square foot store so they're having to downsize, to the smaller stores, which didn't seem very accurate to me at the time and then you know two weeks later after all that that came out like they opened the third store and, what a shock it's the biggest one right and it turns out more there's a variety of factors you used to pick a a store location and do a lease and you know you you have to take the size space that's available that means herecriteria. And sometimes they're going to be a little bigger. Sometimes they're going to be a little smaller. Scot: [19:26] Yeah, it'll be interesting to see what they used extra three hundred square feet for, you know. Will it just be more of the same, like more prepared food? Or really introduce a new area? Jason: [19:35] The thing i'll be particularly curious to know so that eighteen, the first door had a kitchen and they prepared a lot of food in there, right? And so one of the nice i think they're number one selling skew is this b masandwich that's made on premise, and you can grab it and have for your lunch. The second store does not have a kitchen, so presumably there they're driving prepackaged sandwiches from the other store or from some co packing facility somewhere. Um, and, you know, you is easy to imagine that the food's not going to be his fresh and that it's not quite as good an experience when the kitchen isn't connected to the store, and so i'll be curious, if that third store has a kitchen again or of the you know, they're trying to have a centralized kitchen that feeds the number of stores and, you know, i'll certainly be curious to see how the chicago store when it opens,which they haven't. I've been to the site it's under construction, they've announced the location, but they haven't announced yet like any details about what actual size that is or when it's scheduled to be opened, so i just have to drive byoccasionally. Scot: [20:39] Do they security run you off when they see you milling around out. So. Jason: [20:43] No, i mean it's, it's, it's, literally in the willis tower building, which used to be the sears tower. So it's, a pretty public space and it's it's on the ground floor. And, you know, just the windows, air, all newspapers off. So, you know, you can't. You can't see it. But it's. Not like you see a lot of robust activity from the outside, or guards or anything. Scot: [21:03] Yeah, cool that's, our amazon news summary. And then i know any geek worth their their street credit is excited about next week. Jason know, you and i are on pins and needles, because it's going to be new iphone week next week. Or do you looking for? Jason: [21:24] Yeah well you know so i feel like a lot of the mystery has gone these days that you know, apple is amazing compared to most companies at keeping like these private development efforts under wraps, but even for them has become next to impossible and you know apple in particular like to manufacture a lot of the phone so they can ship him shortly after the announcement so i feel like most of the major stuff has beenleaked, and you know so now you watch the announcement to see like the ten percent that was a surprise or that they got wrong in the weeks, but based on what has been leaked ah it's not super exciting for me it's it's what like i think apple has historically called kind of s year where they increment the, the previous products rather than a dramatic change like the iphone ten was last year, so i think it's going to be faster, going to have a little more memory you know, i don't know what your experience has been but like one of mine pain points is not that the phone isn't kind of performance or that i'm doing some, ah advanced math on the phone that needs more horsepower they're going to offer you and i both have the ten they're gonna offer a bigger screen size in the ten, which yeah i don't know what i'm going to do you ah i possibly will get the bigger sizes just tow. Have something more different. But what are you thinking about? Scot: [22:51] Yeah, i think the operating system will probably the big new things, so the less talk twelve will come out, it's, one of these it's, kind of like an s release itself and there's gonna be a lot of just kind of tuning and performance improvements and that kind of stuff. Um, yeah, i'm, uh i'm kind of there's, not a lot of e commerce stuff going on. You know, last time we had this, who had apple pay for webs, that was a nice little nugget on the commerce side. The only thing i can see that has a little bit of e commerce angle is some of the e r stuff is coming on, so this will be a generation on air kit. I know you've speculated about three d cameras, and are we gonna get one of those? So, you know, i'll be watching for any surprises around that. Jason: [23:36] Yeah, i think from a period commerce standpoint like, you know, the, the rear facing camera, the camera that you, you know, see that sees you when you're looking at the phone is a three d camera in the in the iphone ten that's what they use for the face, i'd, and their couple retailers that kind of leverage that right away for some interesting e commerce experiences, warby parker can scan your face and use that scan of the face to recommend frame specifically for you, whichis pretty clever. What would be really exciting is if that back camera ends up being a three d camera at some point, i haven't seen that b a rumor yet for this phone, but that feels like the kind of thing, that they could sneak in, and that could be a surprise announcement, and if that were the case, you can imagine, like all the furniture guys would be super excited. All the apparel guys would be excited because there's a lot of experiences that could be enabled with that that camera could be used for really accurate measurements of where to place furniture, art or, what size apparel the wear is. I'm with you, like, clearly, like a bunch of the things i'm excited about our inn, o s twelve. [24:46] The like i hear that it's just going to perform way better, and so you know, even if you keep your old phone, your old phone is going to be snappier because it's it's much more efficient, one features the camera now has native q r code scanning, so you know, for folks that are having to use a third party q r code scanner for any any use case you khun, you can now use the built in camera, so that is slightlycommerce e, and this isn't commerce e at all, but the the feature on most excited about in the phone going back to jason cramer ginny, they have a new feature called instant tuning, and what this what you do is when you get some annoying notification on your phone that you never want to get again, today, what you have to do is figure out what app made that notification drill twelve menus deep into the settings things scroll through your three thousand aps tto find that app, and figure out how to have a change notifications so that app doesn't, um, notify you in the future, and in this new os they have this feature called instant tuning, which essentially means like you can click an x on the notification and that apple never notify you again, which i'm eager for. Scot: [26:02] Yeah, i love the feature. Where, when you have to, do, you know, dual off that the it'll automatically just kind of copy the codes, so for you, and you can split it. Summer. I spent a lot of time entering the stupidaccess codes. Consulate. Jason: [26:16] Yeah, so i agree with you i'm excited to slash i i guess i more recently have mixed feelings, so the the feature for folks that aren't super from there would do authentication, so you type your password to get into some account and then as an extra security measure, they send a six digit code to your mobile phone and you have to type that six digit code in, so that verifies that you both, are holding the phone and have the passwords. So you have, you know, two factors of authentication. Two factor authentication is way more secure in text messages is one of the common ways to do two factor authentication and so, in os twelve there, automating that like you no longer have tto, switch over to the texting and remember the six digit number to type it in like the browser can literally like automatically detect the code from text messaging, which so like you, i'm excited about that comma. All the security gurus have told me that, using the sms text message for your second factor of authentication is next to worthless because it's, so easy to fake your identity and hijack your sms messages, that the security professionals really don't recommend using sms messaging as that that second factor and two factor authentication so. Scot: [27:38] One. So we're all just kind of like going through the motions. Makes me feel good. I feel so much better. Jason: [27:39] Sorry yeah, sorry to burst, we're all doing more work for no extra security exactly. Scot: [27:47] Cool the there's. Rumors of some watch upgrades and ipads. The one thing that's interesting. So apples, definitely doing something around. More of a pr are kind of, ah, area. They've got a bunch of patents. There aren't. Cos i don't think we're going to see anything here but there's, a lot of rumors going around that they are working on a pair of, you know, of a our glasses of some kind, so thatthat would be the big one more thing, if there was gonna be a surprise, i think. But i think that's further off, and, of course, they're working on a, you know, a kn automated car, but again also far off. Jason: [28:25] Yeah, don't i like, is boring, but i probably will. Ah, depending on what they look. I get one of the new ipads, like, i think they're going to have a lot smaller vessels. And my ipad's, which i used fairly frequently, are kind of long in the tooth, and they definitely haven'tbeen getting the same updates that the phones have. Ah, and i kind of want a pencil and don't have. Ah, ah, i like the small format ipad, which had they haven't out heretofore, offered a pencil for. So if they make a smaller pro, which the speculation is that they will. Ah,that could be an exciting upgrade for me. Scot: [29:00] Awesome, cool couple lightning around things. Just make sure no one saw some of these news items. Instagram, which is owned by facebook, has been flirting around with some shop bubble kind of options, and now they're going to roll out an app that really let's brands, published their catalog and the instagram picture kind of oriented way, and then consumers khun just shop using that app. S so that's going to be interesting. Are you hearing much from clients about the effectiveness of selling industry, um, over it, channeladvisor, we're not really hearing much about it, but maybe we're not talking to the rightfolks. It seems like it would be kind of really segmented in the fashion area. Jason: [29:39] Yeah, so there's, certain categories where influence or marketing is disproportionately affected, i would argue, influence marketing's, getting more effective across a bunch of categories, but it, you know, it's it's, totally dominant in fashion and beauty, and so definitely in those categories, people are excited about the richard commerce features. Come on. Instagram is emerging as, ah kind of the darling of the social of the north american social media platforms for discovering customers with buying intent. So it's kind of ah, taken over for pinterest in that regard. So i think people are excited about it, you know, comma there's, there's, certainly no one that i know of that's making a fortune on it yet, or, you know, is, um, you know, i don't think there's a grand slam case study justyet. [30:32] Ah related to that influence our marketing thing though, ah you know i know all the westerners the show know that we like to spend a disproportion amount of time talking about the kardashian family um so kylie jenner who has a very successful cosmetics line, has just announced that they're going to start distributing that product which was originally a pure direct to consumer play through ultra, um so through a wholesale channel and that's interesting to me because there's this there's this really. [31:09] Important divergence of influence or marketing like theirs what i'll call traditional influence or marketing or you go find these people that have a huge falling which kylie certainly does, you know kim kardashian certainly does and you pay them a bunch of money to say something about your product, and that advertising a super expensive and increasingly ineffective right because everyone knows, that kim kardashian's a paid spokesperson for that whit bomb and doesn't really have any personal affinity for that whip on and so that kind of paid mega influencer stuff i'm not very, excited about and have never particularly liked but what's working much better are these influencers, that are making their own products and turk turning themselves into a brand, on dso kylie cosmetics is certainly one of the best examples of that like arguably her her net worth has has surpassed some of her sisters because, of this line and so you know now this is an example of a digital, native, vertical brand that hit some critical mass. And now they're expanding to other wholesale channels and for our earlier conversation. Kind of interesting that the next channel they chose was olga. And not, for example, amazon. Scot: [32:26] Yeah, yeah, it's going to be interesting to see. Do you know if it's going to be stores and online err are just stores? Jason: [32:33] So that is a good question. I would expect that it stores and online. It is absolutely true. There are some cosmetic brands that give distribution rights to olders and sephora's for in store, but not online. So there is, ah different assortment that those retailers have online offline. But i would, i think, that's more and more rare. I think you know, older, generally doesn't want to sell anything in the stores that they're not allowed to also promote online. So i'm going to assume it's everywhere. Scot: [33:03] Yeah, another kind of ah na names on news. There was an interesting kind of ah, kerfuffle with walmart. Soso walmart acquired moose jaw back in the day about a year going guess now on dh then they just launched a kind of a store within a store concept. Andwhat walmart's doing here? It's quite classic mark laurie is, you know, they really want some of these kind of premium outdoor brands things that you would find it like an r e i or a back country. But those brands say, you know, we don't want sohn woman. So what they did is they acquired ms jo, which is a place where all those brands cell. Then they opened up a moose jaw store within wal mart. Well, some of the brands were having none of that. So several of them there's one called black diamond and a couple others were like, no, we never agreed to sell our stuff on walmart. Please take that down. So kind of a clever way of getting that product honey on wal mart. But i don't think the brands were really on board with that one hundred percent. Jason: [34:03] Yeah although i do think some of the reporting on it kind of misses the bigger point right like so there was this like, i don't know what the conversation was with black diamond and why wal mart thought that they could sell it and then black diamond got upset and said they couldn't. [34:22] But what what's interesting is that most of the brands that moose jaw cells are not on this premium portal on wal mart right like him very clearly wal mart didn't try to sell them so i know you read these articles andit's almost like, oh my gosh they tried to take all the products they have permission to sell through moose jaw and sneak them onto the wall mars mark site, and that's not actually what happened, if you go to moose jaw and you moose jaw dot com and you go teo like outdoor jackets, you're going to see like forty brands of jackets that they sell including all the aspirational brands in the outdoor space the you're going to see patagonia north face and um all of those those aspirational brands, if you go to the moose jaw shop in shop on walmart which is to me kind of awkwardly called the premium outdoor store, and you you go on outdoor you're going to see like two brands and one of them is the moose jaw house brand, so it's not like they tried to sell all that stuff and only black john diamond stopped them like the majority of brands that moose jaw cells, like clearly told wal mart way don't intend to be part of that, and wal mart didn't put them on there, so i don't know what was different about black diamond that caused, them toe to be, the subject of all these articles. [35:51] You know, i think the leveraging that the brands that wal mart owns on their site, you know, is interesting and ah, but but the shop and shop feels a little weird to me, like the way you get to this moose josh shop and shop wal mart is you go to the guided navigation and you say i want to shop for a peril on. Then you say, you know, they're under the apparel there's a bunch of choice is one of them is outdoor apparel, and a different one is premium outdoor apparel, and when you click the premium outdoor peril, you get this,like moose jaw curated selection. But it's it's, you know, the much narrower assortment of moose jaw stuff that's allowed to be sold on wal mart. So, you know, it's, a it's, potentially better shopping experience, but do shoppers really want to self select between average outdoor apparel and premium outdoor apparel? I'm not i'm not so sure they do. Scot: [36:40] Yeah, and, you know, i guess if you're intrigued by that stuff, you could go over to moose jaw, so it drives kind of within family traffic. I don't know, it's, hey, you know, you, you miss every time you don't take a swing. So i think it's interesting to see him taking some swings of this stuff and tryingto you know what, what, what, what i would do if i was them, as i would say, the brands. Jason: [36:57] Yeah, and they do. Scot: [37:00] Look, we're selling your stuff on warrant. You misunderstand our customer, our online consumer, wants your stuff, that that's the thing i've never understood, like why brands have such a like, oh, my god, i wouldnever associate with wal mart. Jason: [37:12] Yeah, no, i i tend to agree. And if i were walmart, i'd be using the search query data and things like that to be making those cases, you know, again like, to me, it's, a little bit of, ah, you really start splitting hairs when you're like, ah, selling via amazon's, not erosive to my brand. But selling on wal mart is and selling through jet, maybe is. And selling through moose jaw, which is owned by walmart, for sure, isn't like the the lines just get really bored there. Scot: [37:45] And i have ten out list. Jason: [37:47] Yeah, and all by the way, all your stuff is like unauthorized versions of it are being sold on every market place in the world. So what? Yeah, yeah, yeah. Scot: [37:54] And i saw last year stuff at costco. Jason: [37:58] So i feel like a little bit of that. Is people still acting like the old world economy in the new economy? I will agree with you. I do admire walmart seeming willingness to test, and one of the things that's interesting to me is, ah, moose jaw ends up being a shopping shop that's in the walmart, earl, they've watched some other new brands like all's well home, which is there, like premium home goods, and they watch that is a complete separatestandalone site on its own. Earl. So you actually camp all swells a walmart invented brand that you can't buy on walmart dot com, but you can buy from the separate sites. So could it be there, you know, trying to figure out what the consumers want and do it that way. And i like, i certainly think that's the right approach. [38:45] Ah, so speaking of wal mart, like one of the big categories that they're all in on, and that there's been a bunch of news lately is ah, walmart, target and party, party, city air, all dramatically expanding their toyassortment, as we start to approach holiday season and, of course, poison ruses and in the market. So they're all fighting toe to capture that. That additional market share that used to be owned by by toys, arrest. So that's that'll be an interesting battle this holiday, period. But we're seeing things like thirty percent mohr toy skews than they've carried in past years. Scot: [39:22] You have seen it. I spent a lot of time in my local target and walmart. And they're they're definitely kind of bulldozing certain areas and putting up more shelves for choice. It's going to be be interesting to see whatthat looks like. Jason: [39:34] Yeah, it's. Interesting, like you have a utah me unique use case like you're looking for these constrain toys, like the star wars toys that go out of stock pretty quick. And you've always had the smart strategy to goto, the less pop your retailer. So when everyone's in line at toys r us, you were in line at walmart. Now, if wal mart becomes a primary destination, like, you know, maybe party city, that your new new hookup for star wars toys. Scot: [39:59] My my secret sauce is kmart there's one k mart, left open in. Uh, no joking. They always get a nice, plentiful set of toys, and no one else is in there. But me and a couple of little old ladies hanging out, they're not in the star wars where they're out there getting urine and stuff. Jason: [40:17] I like it. They could get you a star wars sweater. Scot: [40:20] I may occasionally not one over on my way to the star wars while it's totally accidental. Jason: [40:25] I forgive you s oh in other news speaking of all these these retail own brands and what i call own brands which in my mind is ah evolution of what used to be called private label, one that really caught my interest is kroger has a very successful brand called simple truth and it's actually the the largest best selling organic food brand in north america, on dh to my way of thinking very wisely kroger has started to sell that simple to truth brand in china and hong kong on the various team all sites. [41:07] And to me that's really smart like it it turns out it's really hard to be a retailer in one market and expand globally, so you know best buys a super popular concept in the u s and they open stores in china and it doesn't go very well and targets you know very popular in us and open stores in canada doesn't go very well wal mart in brazilthere's tons of examples of, retailers that are very successful in one market, legal in germany trying to come to the us and when they try to expand globally, it's very difficult but this new model of retailers having desirable owned product brands, you know creates a new global expansion opportunity it's much easier to expand your popular organics food brands internationally than it is your retail concept internationally so i uh, i don't think kroger will be the last retailer we see that, you know, takes there. They're pop your own brand and tryto use that as the new tip of their spirit for their global expansion. [42:13] Um, and hopefully that is a interesting topic to end on because it's happening again, we have run out of our allotted time, but as always, if we missed something or you want to continue the conversation, please jump on facebook and you can correspond with us there. As always. Have you enjoyed tonight's show? We sure would appreciate you jumping on the itunes and giving us that five star review. Ah, there are a number of e commerce events coming up, so i think it's next week is the shop dot org's show in las vegas, so i will be there all week. I'm doing a couple presentations. Eso if folks are interested, i would love a catch up and say hello. It shopped at ord on dh, then, because i can never get enough las vegas. I'll be going back to las vegas in october for grocery shop, which is a brand new show focused on food and see pg e commerce, which i'm pretty excited about. Scot: [43:14] Awesome. We look forward to some detailed trip report from those on. Then we have a couple guests coming up, and then we need to get some listener questions out. So definitely jump on. The facebook will be collecting some listener questions and trying to work that in, as we have a couple of guests coming on the show tio to answer your burning questions about retail e commercepayments, or whatever's on your mind. Jason: [43:37] Terrific scott until next time, happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP144 - Tommy John founders Tom Patterson and Erin Fujimoto

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 6, 2018 52:36


EP144 - Tommy John founders Tom Patterson and Erin Fujimoto Erin Fujimoto and Tom Patterson are the founders of Tommy John, a vertically integrated consumer brand in the underwear category.  They have recently expanded to include direct to consumer, woman's apparel and are now opening their own stores. In this interview, we cover a wide range of topics including the origin story, direct to consumer versus wholesale, the challenges and opportunities of being a digitally native brand, omni-channel expansion, and the future of commerce. Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 144 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Tuesday, August 8th from the eTail East tradeshow in Boston. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the jason and scott show. This episode is being recorded live at the detail east trade show and rainy boston on wednesday, august eighth. I'm your host, jason retail. G goldberg. Unfortunately, scott had a personal conflict and couldn't make it, so you guys are stuck with me, but to make up for it, we have to really exciting guests for this episode. Tom patterson and aaron fujimoto are the founders of tommy john, a a digitally native vertical brand in the apparel and underwear category. Tom and erica, welcome to the show. Erin: [0:57] Hi, jason. Thanks for having us. Jason: [1:00] I am super excited to jump into it. I know you've listened to the podcast before, um, and one of the things we always like to start with is getting a little background from our guests about how they came into into your roles. So maybe tom. We could startwith you. Tom: [1:16] Shirt mind was not a natural transition. I'm a former medical device salesman i got in underwear but frustrated with the fabric fit and function in my undershorts, buying fitted suits, starting my dress shirts, and icouldn't figure out why are all the undershirts bagging boxy? So in two thousand eight, i had this idea and created some undershirts and started selling them online with aaron, and five months later, the follow it happened. I was laid off my medical sales job and i decided, you knowwhat? I don't want to be this could've would've should've guy have this idea? I want to see how far it can take it and cash up my four oh one k savings used my friends that all the credit card companies that financed the startupfrom there, that is a very cool origin. Jason: [1:56] That is a very cool origin story and it's crazy. If you had just gotten in a more casual job, we'd all be walking around with annoying t shirts that don't tuck in. Tom: [1:59] You have just got in a more casual job. We'd all be walking around with that noise. You're totally right. Jason: [2:07] Yes, say. Ah, thank goodness for the formal attire in the medical sales industry. Tom: [2:12] There'd still be a lot of guys talking their undershorts inside their underwear, which is not a great visual. So i think if i could be a part of saving that, i feel it's all worthwhile. Jason: [2:17] No, and thanks for putting that in my head. [2:22] Very cool. And, aaron, how did you come to the. Tom: [2:23] Michael and aaron, how did you come from? Erin: [2:25] So i actually have no business being in the apparel in fashion space, either. I transitioned from a career with jp morgan as a financial advisor, and i got the entrepreneurial bug when i was, there, and i actually started a small website selling organic products, natural prague, skincare, stuff like that. And i had a lot of fun with building that initial website and choosing all the products and getting the site launched. And then when it came to the marketing side of it, actually promoting the site, i kind of lost all interest. But, you know, tom and i had the entrepreneurial bug, and we're always idea ting on, what can we dio that could be impactful? What are some of our pet peeves in the world? Would what are some of the things that wehate? And this idea of a simple undershirt that would stay tucked in and was fitted to the body, was the idea that took off. Jason: [3:18] That is awesome. And because scott is not here, i get to take advantage and just solve all of my personal problems on the show. Some, some listeners, will know my wife is in the same industry as i am. So we always had this. This ah dilemma that we, you know, both do our day job all day long. And then it's, the main thing we have to talk about when we get home after work on. If i'm not mistaken, you two are also married, eh? So i'm wondering if you have any. Ah, tips or advice for working with a spouse, or how that, how that's going for you guys. Erin: [3:52] So tom and i have always had complementary skill sets. And, you know, he used his medical device sales background as kind of just how to get this thing off of the ground and use his skills. Teo, you know, pitch to buyers and broken to our first account. Neiman marcus and i was much more behind the scenes and kind of more on the operational side. Basically, anything that could be done on the spreadsheet.That was my job. Jason: [4:16] That seems like a good division. I have a similar division with my wife were very complimentary because she's talented and i am not so there's that that that was a shadow tow to my wife and her in laws of therelistening. Erin: [4:17] That seems like a good division. [4:23] Uh Tom: [4:26] No, my wife and her in laws. Jason: [4:30] So let's, talk about tommy. John, can you give us, ah, feel for how big a company tell me john is today. Tom: [4:31] So, john, you feel for, so so. We're a private company, so we don't disclose revenue but were ten years old. We turned ten years old in april. Um, you know, for us, you know, we now disclosing, but i can tell you, we've grown five times since twenty fourteen. We just sold our five million pair of underwear earlier this year, and we open up our first or last fall. We're gonna be opening up our second brick and mortar store later on at the end of this month in august in charlotte, north carolina is so a lot of exciting things, um, that have happened, and still to come. Jason: [5:07] Very cool on dh. In the beginning of the show i introduced you is a digitally native vertical brand, this ah phrase that i think andy dumb done, the ceo, founder of bonobos, invented. Usually, when we talk about digital native vertical brands like rightly or wrongly, most people sort of imagine that their initial model wass, we're going to sell direct to consumer in your case. Well, i sort of do you think you're doing native vertical brand because you are all of those things? I'm not sure that was your original model, right? Like when you first sort of i d ated the product problem and your solution to the problem. Did you guys envision that? You'd mainly some director? Where you thinking about selling through a wholesaler? Tom: [5:52] Not at all it was really built to be a wholesale business and with my background being strategic selling to get in contact with the department store buyer was very similar to getting a touch of the hospitaladministrator a doctor, a surgeon, but i think what we found is you know, wholesale as it started to grow, we couldn't grow as quickly as we wanted to in two thousand twelve we really started focusing more on that direct to consumer channel building adirect relationship with the customer. [6:17] And i think that was a really in critical part because getting the insights and the data i'm the feedback from the product as a really allowed us to continue to innovate and deliver a better product to the customer and ithink what we believe that tommy john we really focus on fabric, fit and function, and having your ear on the floor at a wholesale department store is great feedback from actual in store experience, which we did a lot of in the early days and we still do, but we also have that real time feedback online that's immediate ce we look at the omni channel experience as a full three sixty feedback loop that helps us continue to improve the customer experience improved productwhere you may have some challenges on fit, fabric, whatever but also thinking about what aren't we delivering the customer that they want or maybe they don't know that they need yet that we're going to bring in, deliver, too the next two or three years. So i think the digitally native vertical brand, i think i hope that term will go away. I think it would just be it's a brand. The brands in the twenty first century have to be on a channel. They have to be at all channels, where the customer is the end of the day, and i think what you're finding is digitally native on ly, brands, are kind of their growth is becoming very limited by not having that offline experience with what we talked about, over eighty percent of transaction still happen off line at the end of the day. And i don't think it's goingto flip in the next couple years, the opposite. Jason: [7:37] No, i would. I would till i agree. And i would at least hope the definition people have in their head. And i suspect this is what andy originally meant. Will evolve. Like, to me, digitally native doesn't mean you have to sell online. It means you were born in the era when digital was already an equal part of the eco system. So you need to think about how you catered shoppers that air, using their digital tools to make purchase decisions, and all of those it's more to me. That's. What the d m means, then, necessarily, we have to sell everythingthrough a digital champ. Tom: [8:10] Yeah, i totally agree. I mean, you have to be digital today. I mean, if you look at a lot of brands, every digital is the fastest growing channel for pretty much everyone today, yeah, for sure and it's. Jason: [8:20] Yeah for sure and it's funny like ah, i'm a fancy consultant and so you know, a lot of our clients have gone through this phase where they've hired a chief digital officer. Tom: [8:21] Funny. Like what fancy consultant and it's, you know, a lot of our clients to the space, but he hired a chief digital officer. Um, well, bye. Jason: [8:30] And you know, we are i chuckle one of my own body my old boss is the chief digital officer at ibm i'm like, what is ibm need a chief did like who's not digital at ibm right? Tom: [8:33] My old boss is the chief officer of ibm. I'm like, what is ibm needed, chief who's? Not yeah, right, like and so do i think, it's. What? Jason: [8:40] Like um and so i do i think it's what? Putting digital in front all this thing is one of those temporary things right? And ah so i do have a point of curiosity though, so you have this original product inside that like, hey, you know, the ubiquitous product everyone's familiar with, doesn't doesn't mean the need and you guys invented a great solution on that product and then you're going to go sell it into a bunch of retailers and the traditional wholesale model, every week i watch shark tank and they make it seem like you can't possibly sell a product to a retailer unless you have a shark to make the introductions for you. Andi, i have a hypothesis that that's that's sort of b s s o i'm curious like did you find like having ah great product did you find you were able the open doors and have conversations with merchants and sell it in or was itreally. Tom: [9:36] Up for sure, i think differentiated product is one thing that buyers look for more than anything else. And so we already had a unique product that really stood out from everyone else. And i think what you see today is a lot of brands air focussing in differentiating their business model, and the product isn't often of forethought where the product is really from day one b been the be all and end all to our to our business. And if we don't innovate in the product and keep improving on it, people will catch up and we'll become stale and that's. Something that we've always really pride yourself on is. How do we not be happy with where we are today, but continue to improve and, well, there's. The iphone five six seven eight we've also had different interational of many of our categories and in styles over the last ten years and building the pipeline out very far, much far further beyond twenty eighteen. Where we are today is a really important part of building a longevity and lifeline into the business. Jason: [10:33] Very gold. Eso started the company in two thousand eight, predominantly with a traditional wholesale model in line two thousand twelve. You really turn on the gas about selling direct, primarily the website. And then it sounds like last year you opened your first own store. Um, can you talk a little bit about, like, what? The mixes today of, like, direct sales versus wholesale? Erin: [10:55] Yeah so we are primarily online so more than fifty percent of our our sales are direct online and we still have about over a thousand points of distribution through wholesale, our first stores in king of prussia and that we call it a learning lab because everything about it is just learning, first of all you know to sell men's and women's underwear in a retail space and men's underwear specifically that's a kind of a unique experience for most men, they just haven't had their own personal space in a store where they can go buy men's underwear, so there was a lot of learnings and we knew we needed to make it a new experience so we have you know, local brews on tap per seco on tap and large, so fun because we have a lot of families that she'd like to shop our brand and, yeah we try to make it a real experience to walk through we have comfort concierge that walkies through and give you a guided tour of all the products that features and benefits because our products do pack a lot offeatures they're not just kind of standard you know, pick pick anyone there's you know a lot of people have specific preferences and we've had a lot of learnings with our first retail space so we will be running, plans to open more stores. We have our next store opening in south park mall in charlotte, north carolina after labor day and more stores to come in. Twenty nineteen. Jason: [12:19] Very cool. And i assume that second story was located primarily to be convenient for scott wing go. So, um, he he will appreciate that one. I spent a lot of time in the king of prussia mall, so that that totally worked for me. I've had to spend the night and that's that mall many times. Erin: [12:25] Oh, yes, of course. Special requests. Jason: [12:37] Maybe you guys did, too, when you're putting this door. Ah, but i am curious, like the original decision to open that store. Was it, um, i mean, what? What was the impetus that made you say up? Now is the time, and like what? What did you hope to get out of opening your own store? Erin: [12:54] Well, i think, you know, just homes point earlier. We want to be everywhere that the customer is. And while we have a lot of presence through our wholesale partners and you know it gives it gave our brand a lot of prestige and credibility, being behind some of these wholesale names. But at the end of the day, we still want to have very close communication with our own customer. We want to own our own data, understand the data, understand how we interact with our customers, what our customersexpect to see from us. And we take our customer feedback very seriously, whether that be around product, the experience, anything that they want to see from tommy john. So those conversations are so important to us. Yeah, and we also wanted teo be able to control the brand experience because at the end of the day, it's underwear. So we try to make it as fun as possible. And, you know, we the only way to get that is either through our website or in our own retail setting, where we can interact directly with the customers. Tom: [13:53] And i think to the other things that we looked at it's, obviously lease availability is an obviously ideal. So you have to look at a handful of of locations and also proximity to new york city's. So we could have a lotof presents from our team at headquarters to really like aaron talked about a learning lab. How do we have different teams there, testing different user experiences for the comfort concierge's team? Two questions that we asked how the store's merchandised not really to see how good the beer tastes on tap that's not really important part of that, but it was it was early on, but not so much anymore, but so, yeah, i think our criteria for stores of little different, too, and the fact that were, for the most part itself on a business, we really have to be profitable very quickly in a market and ideally, new york city would havebeen the market. We opened up our store selfishly, because we're based in new york city. But new york city rents are very expensive, and we really think our customers are all over the u s in philadelphia is a great representation of the u s and general, versus the coastal city like new york or san francisco, where buying behavior and tourist concentration may be a little different. Jason: [15:00] Cool. And you did mention early on that being in the wholesale channel helped helped you get a lot of feedback from customers. You primarily had a lot of prestige retailers. So i i imagine that added some prestigeto the brand. But now that you have your own store, i'm assuming, ah, that you like. The feedback loop is much faster and, uh, presumably richer. Tom: [15:26] For sure, i mean, early on, you know, the first two years i was pretty much in stores irn aaron at times, but i went over ninety north from stores. Jason: [15:34] And was busy paying all the bills. Tom: [15:35] Yeah, she was very busy in the spreadsheet. See, i was just checking facebook in stores, but going to ninety stores over a year period and spending full days on this in the store, talking to salespeople, training thesales. Team's, talking to customers was vital to really where we are today, because what do you like about this? What would you change? And a lot of our product ideas were inspired from that feedback from customers. So if anything, and i still think you can learn more in a store in ten minutes and anywhere else today and that customer face face experiences really valuable. So if anything, we really pushed our team being in stores our store more often because you can't it's, not all data driven a lot of it you just can't interpret. We don't believe without that experience. Jason: [16:22] Oh for sure and it ah well there are tools but for the most part like the online experience the customers you have a best relationship with online are the ones that had the best and worst experiences, so like they had some horrible problem and they called customer service you get to know those customers pretty well, and the your most loyal customers that proactively reach out you might hear from but the overwhelming majority of those customers in the middle, the online experiences pretty anonymous right and so you know it's harder like there are tools to kind of you know look at the analytics and watch how people are behaving but i'm one hundred percent with you, being able to stand in a store and see how you know how people are interacting with mannequins how many products they're taking into the dressing room you know are they asking for help from a sales person are theynot all those sorts of things, there's a rich source of insight that, seems much easier to get out of the physical environment than the digital environment at the moment, i am curious just ah from the boring technical stack thing s o we have a direct website i think you guys on shopify if i'm. Erin: [17:30] Yes. Jason: [17:31] Is that right s o so you're on shopify you're having released successful director consumer channel via e commerce now you open your first store and you need a point of sale system and the inventory system for thatstore. Did you, like, try to pick some omni channel things, like, did you extend the shopify eco system to the store? Or did you just like, how did you? Erin: [17:54] That's. A tough one, that's, something that we're still working through, and that's. Why we call our king of precious store a learning lab, because thes air, all the kings and it's it's a big, you know, i think many brands are probably struggling with us howto integrate online with the retail environment andit's, a real problem. So e think there's a lot of opportunity, but, yeah, we're, we're definitely looking into its hot on our radar and just teo integrate that customer experience so it's seamless, because so many of our customers do go back in force from retail to online and back again. So, you know, we just launched a loyalty program. So how do we, you know, get them engaged on loyalty, to able to shop in any environment and take advantage of those parts? Jason: [18:38] Oh, and i actually want to come back to the loyalty program. But one question on the that decision is open. A store that had physical inventory. And, like what you see, some new brands are opening the ah showrooms or, ah, guide chops from bonobos. Nordstrom, who i think is, ah big partner of yours, now has some some white inventory stores in l a, the north from local stores. Did you guys think about that model and all? And how did you decide? Erin: [19:08] Horse, yeah, way didn't think about it, and we did some focus groups before we did our actual opening store opening, and, the focus groups, loud and clear, said that they wanted to walk out of the store with product and, you know, it's, i think, it's, that instant gratification of shopping and retell you want to touch and feel the product you wantto see. Is this going to fit? You know, you maybe want to try things on, and you want to walk out of the store with it, right? And the great thing is, is that if there were anything that was missing in the store, we could ship it to them overnight from our website. So we have the benefit of being able to fulfill that way. But at the end of the day, the customers still wanted to walk out with a bag in hand, get. Jason: [19:52] Okay, um, the and i there's something we haven't talked about yet, but i now realize we need to bring it up so that i can ask my next question. You and you sort of alluded to it. Aaron, you guys on lee recently expanded into women's apparel as well, is that do i have that right, eh? So we'll come back to the women's apparel, but i'm i just wanna get the sequenceright. Erin: [20:08] Yes. Jason: [20:14] Did you decide to open a store and then later added women's, or did you know you were gonna have men's and women's before you open the store or didn't happen at the same time? Tom: [20:25] So i think we wanted to open up a store earlier ended up being pushed later but we knew women's would be coming down the five and be part of the brand and be launching shortly after so, a lot of when we opened up the store we wanted we didn't want to lose sight of, having men's and women's in there at some point some day making sure it's a unisex experience and the great thing is we had a lot of women already in the store buying for their husbands or sons for gifting, and we were able to get feedback and really understand what was you know important to them in the shopping experience, selfishly to point earlier i think having a guide shop where is really very limited inventory is much easier on a business, it's much less of an inventory burden and i think most brands would be crazy not to do that if their customers are asking for it, but i think we've always believed in the customer's always right and the customer really guide you towards the right experience, and who knows we could be talking to you three years from now saying you know what we actually have virtual showrooms people don't need to try on underwear and t shirts and socks they could just come in touch feeland they can wait two or three days to receive it online. [21:34] In the mail so we're always open to change but i think what we've seen is this the velocity of change today in our space, it's so much quicker than it was two or three years ago. And i think, that's. The challenge of a lot of systems is a lot of brands invest in systems arguably too early. And then they're outdated very quickly, where we would rather not painfully, but, learn as we go before, we make a big investment, because first, we need to understand what stores means to our business at a larger scale than one or two stores, to really justify some of these bigger investments that aremore infrastructure driven. Erin: [22:08] Yeah, and as as faras our stores, we have tto learn very quickly and react very quickly, because our goal is, well, our stores have to be profitable. Everything we do in our business, we're not heavily funded, were not happily vc backed, so we have to make our retail experience profitable as soon as possible. So if we see that pivot, if we see the customers are responding in a certain way, we lean in very quickly, and our entire team is on board with that strategy of, being nimble, maintaining nimbleness, always learning right cause even the environments changing so quick that things that we knew six months ago, let alone a year ago, are completely changed. Like we have to constantly be testing and re learning and revisiting old things. That didn't work, you know, six months ago, because maybe they work now, and it means it leads to higher revenue. Jason: [23:02] And that that is a great insight. That's really hard to internalize, right? Because, you know, you think about all the clients i walk into, and the most common reason that a client doesn't want to try. Something is, oh, we tried that once, right, like, you know, back in the day someone tried that. Tom: [23:11] Mine doesn't want to try. Something is, oh, we tried that, right. Like, you know, back in the day, right, someone tried that, and, like, access is about having the right idea, but also at the right time and your point. Jason: [23:19] And, like, you know, success is about having the right idea, but also at the right time and your point. The customer expectation is always moving. So just because something wasn't right in nineteen ninety, by no means means it's. Not right today. Tom: [23:25] My expectation is always moving. So just because something wasn't right ninety nine. Yeah, we may have fifty stores, and we'll still be calling him learning labs. You know, it may still be changing that quickly. Where we don't have a reform. You'll figure it out. Yeah. Jason: [23:41] Yeah, i do. So i have a personal wish for you. Having worked with a bunch of retards that start opening stores, the first door is a huge disruption to the business, right? Because everybody's got a day job, and now they have to put their day jobs aside, and i'll get in the car and drive from new york, philadelphia, and you're like, you know, there with a sawed cutting store fixtures and figfiguring everything out, and, you know the business kind of stops while he opened that store, usually by the tenth store it's like, oh, we have a system now, right, like i pick up the phone and i call i call my store guy and i say let's, open a store in this market and. Tom: [24:13] All my store guy and i say let's, open a store in this market. And, you know, there's dedicated employees in the process. Jason: [24:18] You know, there's dedicated employees in the process, and it becomes much less disruptive to the to the business. Tom: [24:23] So i'm hoping that you're able to short circuit that a little like the second story. Still still probably pretty bespoke. But hopefully you continue growing twenty nineteen year able. Jason: [24:23] So i'm hoping that you're able to short circuit that i like the second story, still probably pretty bespoke. But hopefully as you continue grow in twenty nineteen year able, the tow, have it not be such a big disrupt. Tom: [24:33] Have it not be such a big a great point. I think the second store has been easier than the first, just based off of simple things that we learned. Jason: [24:43] Yeah we were we did a show recently with the founders of beta which is this great brick and mortar, concept that started out on the west coast it's in it's a shop and shop in macy's in new york now see you can check out but he was talking about like oh our first store the fixtures cost a fortune and they were all made out oflike exotic woods, and he's like the second store the pictures looked exactly the same but they were laminating right yeah. Erin: [25:11] Oh, yeah, you learned fabrication really quickly. Tom: [25:13] Yeah, i mean those. Those were just kind of the common evolutions. You, you mentioned that they even were just a men's brand. Like we still have the care to female shoppers. That, to me, is always one of thefunny and. Jason: [25:13] Yeah yeah i mean and those are those air just kind of the common evolution's you you mentioned that he even were just a men's brand like we still had to cater to female shoppers that to me is always one of thefunny insights, when you're talking to people about opening a men's store like and i'll make a joke about where the man chair is going to go right like and you know the man chairs this metaphor for where the dude sits down while thewoman shops and they're like we're not gonna have a man shareware we're a man store, and i'm like yeah but you still like you're still gonna have couples walk in and the guy's gonna plop down on the chair while the wife goes shopping for him, and so i was curious on your couch is that they were man couches or whether they're they're multi gender couches it sounds like. Erin: [25:57] Front, everyone couches, right? I mean, sit down, have a beer couch. Tom: [25:59] They've definitely been multi, multi, jenner. I mean, well, i remember black friday morning at like ten a m we had some, eighty five year old woman come in and sat down on the couch and drank two beers well while her grandson was shopping or her someone shopping, so we haven't had to kick anyone off the couch because it wasovercrowded. But yeah, i mean, i think if anything, it just allows people to rest and there's no pressure for their spouse to hurry up and buy your stuff so i could go to this store. It could be on their phone and it's more of a comfortable experience, and i think that's one thing we've really tried do it because we're brand based on comfort, having comfortable furniture, comfortable sense. When you walk in the store, we really try to think about the entire user experience from the moment you walk into every second that you're in the store, too, the moment they walk out. Jason: [26:47] Very cool. Let's. Talk about the decision moving. Ah, tau women's. Where for a second, like you, you've built a well known, highly regarded brand and men's where, like his has that translated to women like. Do women, you know, have a preconceived notion of your fit in quality based on the men's brand? Or you having to start from scratch? Erin: [27:08] Yeah, those were so the launch was in april of this year, and we sold out of six months of product in our first six weeks. So we were out of stock for about two months, and we're now slowly getting back into stock, so you can say it greatly exceeded our expectations. You know, there's, a lot of we knew that we'd have a strong customer following just with our existing customer base. Like tom said, we have, ah, ah, pretty large, built in female customer customer base, already who's shopping for her significant other or family member on who's a guy. But, you know, we we knew that that was going to be there, but overwhelmingly. I think, you know, people just gravitate to the brand. I think we built a reputation much stronger than we knew, known for comfort and function and innovation, and really giving the customer what they want anddelivering on our promises. Tom: [28:05] And i would add that i think about five years ago we started hearing when you're going to make women's and every year up until last year it seemed like it would just become louder and louder from from womensaying you know i want to be as comfortable as my husband is and i think, aaron talks about someone posted on facebook that this is what it's come to after where my husband's boxer briefs because nothing is this comfortable, so that's when i think it really made sense for us really guard now is the time to do it and to the category and, bring deliver comfort in a new and unique way that we believed in exists before in the women's category. Jason: [28:40] I feel like if you're going to really deliver on that brown brand promise, you're going to have to address shoes, because it's like that seems like the biggest disparity to me and men's and women's comfort in theworld, but, ah. Tom: [28:41] If you're gonna really deliver on that brown brand promise you're gonna have to, but that seems like the biggest disparity to me and women's comfort for women's high heels and stilettos and stuff like that yeah. Jason: [28:51] Yeah, exactly, yeah, yeah, ah, that, yeah, women totally gets screwed on the shoot comfort thing. Tom: [28:55] That yet women telling it screwed on us you comfort i'm utterly convinced. Jason: [28:58] I'm utterly convinced, ah, but ah, and i guess one more point on the women's brand, that's interesting to me, like a lot of times you have a successful means brand they expend and women by inventing a new brand,and i actually think even buddha boasted that, like they invented a. Tom: [29:00] What and i guess one more point on the women's brand that's interesting to me like a lot of times you have a successful means brand they spend in women by inventing a new bird don't you think even boasted thatlike they a program for women. Jason: [29:13] Different brand for women that ultimately spun off, you guys decided to leverage the brand and sort of expanded, like, was that something consciously that you did? Or was it just? Tom: [29:15] You guys decided to leverage the brand, and it was that something consciously that you did or was it just wait? Yeah i mean it was really never thought to create a different brand. When the brands that we admire, whether it's, patagonia or nike or lose a lemon, they never created another brand. You know, we've always believed that comfort doesn't matter if your men are manner woman. Everyone deserves to be comfortable in their underwear and it's really hard to build a brand and to build another brand. I think it's been very few and far between, where brands spun off and created a male and female brand that have been able to scale to the same levels. We're for us. We felt there was so many center jeez in the men's business with the brand awareness, recognition and distribution that we have, that we wanted it, really. I don't think we thought about it. It came up acouple of times, but. Erin: [30:07] No, i mean, we definitely did our due diligence. And, you know, early focus groups that we spoke, you know, spoke with various women throughout the country, and just, you know, ask them about the brandname. If that was going to be a turnoff in any way, or with that, steer them away from shopping, you know, for women's underwear with the brand called tommy john. And, if anything is, it was funny. Wasn't a reaction that i expected. But they said they actually felt like there'd be more innovation because they feel like men's. Clothing in general, gets more innovation on dh has generally has more technical and smart properties to the fabrics. So if anything, they they liked it. Have it. Jason: [30:45] That's. Totally fascinating, it's almost the inverse you were seeing that sometimes in ah, beauty, like where men want want men's products, but they want them from aa company that makes women's companiesbecause they perceive there's a lot more. Erin: [30:50] City like where men want one minute. Women's company. Jason: [31:00] R and d behind the the products. Erin: [31:01] Yeah, interesting. Jason: [31:04] I do want to pivot for minute. We teased loyalty earlier, um, and that, like, superficially, i go. You know, when i saw that you offered a loyalty program. Have to be honest, i'm like what's. The frequency of purchase of of underwear, like you know, is like you don't have a huge breath of products to solve a bunchof different problems for the customer. What what was the thought process behind loyalty and and how, how is that going? Erin: [31:30] We'll repeat, is such a huge component of our business, so, you know, starting out underwear, it's. We want people to fill their door, would tommy john underwear, so and you have to replenish your underwear. You have to replace them every so often, and we wanted teo. We want to be the brand that people go to. So that's always been a huge component to our business model and it's. It will always continue to be so it's, very important to us that customers have a reason to come back, and that we reward our best customers for being loyal to our brand. Jason: [32:02] On one of the things i noticed about the loyalty program is it's. Ah, not exclusivity, rewarding people for purchasing the product. So it feels like there's. Multiple triggers that can earn earn points. So it does seem like you're you're trying to entice people to engage with the brand. Erin: [32:17] Yeah, definitely. Definitely. The interaction is important. We want to encourage people to also write reviews, you know, share just who they are, you know, i mean, and just kind of start engaging in and, you know, there's many different things that we can just kind of give, incentivize small points for just to get that initialengagement and, kind of have them start navigating through the platform as well, because the more they use it, then they'll kind of know where it is and how to get back to it. Check their points, how to redeem points, so it allows them to get familiar with the system as well. Jason: [32:49] Nice. A question i have to ask on scott's behalf is about funding, right? So scott's, a serial entrepreneur, is, you know, taking several companies a company public, and been very successful. Ah, and so he, you know, likes to talk a lot about the sort of vc legacy for companies. And you mentioned that you hadn't raised any money through a traditional vc. Was that overt strategy? Tom: [33:16] Way haven't so so starting in two thousand eight during the recession i think we, we start out where we had to sell the dollar for more than a dollar versus selling a dollar for say thirty five cents to build top line but we did raise a small round of funding of one point five million in two thousand twelvebut what was really important to aaron and myself was to maintain control the company, and by having slower arguably slower, more profitable growth we're not chasing evaluation that we have to live up to and the pressures that that. [33:45] That come around that where we really put pressure on ourselves to grow the brand the right way and built for longevity and quality and duration, so our approach has been a little has been very different i think especially from a lot of the brand's you've seen emerging just the categories in general the last three or four years, where you can grow in two or three years maybe what's taking us to grow ten years but is it sustainable growth is a profitable growth can they become profitable at some point a lot of that is still to be determined where, it's a lot easier to spend someone else's money when it's not yours so we talked about earlier we had to be really thoughtful with our money whether it's stored we have to look at stores differently because they need tomake money, when we look at building the products that you know, they they have to be able to support the infrastructure that we need to scale over time. So we don't have a lot of pressure to grow. And, um, we we do like pressure to grow. But it really comes from ourselves. I think at the end of the day, if you have anything else to say, said. Jason: [34:47] It is interesting it annoys me a little bit like one of the challenges with the v c model is once you take that institutional money, the successful outcome they're looking for is a billion dollar exit right and so like there really is no happy medium where your ah, ah profitable company that's you know sustaining a bunch of employees making customers happy in your your you know, even half a billion dollars a year in revenue, you're you're still not a success to your your institutional investors, and to your point what we've seen a lot in these did you donate a vertical brands is, you you build a brand promise that appeals to a certain market size right and depending on your product and the promise and the category that could be, you know, one hundred million dollars a year with a business or it could be ten million dollars a year with the business or you know there's some sort of organic cap that your brand positioning earned you, but if your venture funded once you hit that cab you have to keep buying more customers and that's usually the point when you start seeing people do really stupid things, um like ah, you know these crazy customer acquisition costs and you know i think there's been some companies and went public recently where they're paying like fifty one hundred dollars customer teo to acquire customers and itjust seems like like what's the payback on that right, like. Tom: [36:17] Yeah i mean you know as a business we don't we don't look teo enter a category unless it has ah replenishment nonseasonal component to it so whether it's underwear or t shirts or lounge where it's something thatpeople will need to continue to buy throughout their life for a, or some of these products have ah repeat within five or ten years so we know that there's going to be a repeat revenue stream coming in so the customer turn is in this high as some other categories, we also don't have tech valuation there's a lot i think there's been a lot of tech valuations in this space where it's not a nap it's not a software it's actually a product, so i think they're coming back to reality now with how the evaluations of the companies in our space or being evaluated, but it's been painful valuations or down rounds for a lot of the companies that we've seen in this space. [37:02] Where we've seen a lot of brand to come and go over ten years you know? So i just think you know, every founder makes a different decision for what they think is best to grow their business and they try to make the best decision they can with the information that they have at that time, but i think what i've learned to a lot of conversations a lot of people regret taking so much money early on, and if anything if they could do it over again they would have grown slower, and maintain control of the company and try to figure out how big the business model was and helping the revenue opportunity was within that category where i think a lot of um i've just been over valued the market sizeisn't this biggest they think it is, and then on top of that they have a lot of pressure to make it bigger than it probably is going to be ever, where you know underwear is actually one of the few obviously we saw. [37:51] Many products outside of underwear but underwear is actually the only, category in the last three years that has continued to grow especially the premium space so, um underwear doesn't last for decades we've actually found with some of our customers it does unfortunately, but there is there again that whether it's underwear t shirt socks there's that repeat component which is really critical to our business, but that was not white space that we identify before reap built his business by any means it is just something you know this business was created off from a problem that i wanted to solve, we've really taken that problem solving mindset to other categories and use the learning so what we have um, to continue to grow but also minimized the level of risk and inputting the business in a position where we may go out of business or we may need to raise a large amount of funding. Tohave, a lifeline we've never wanted. Put the business in a position where we were exposed to something like that. Jason: [38:47] Yeah, no, i don't. I don't blame you. Um, i also have a perception that early on, one of the things that you used help build your brand was some influence or marketing. All right. And the in my in my head, i feel like i've seen maybe too many pictures of kevin hart. Naked is that is that. Tom: [39:03] I mean i don't know where you're seeing naked pictures of kevin i haven't i haven't seen those. Jason: [39:07] Semi naked sigh in comfortable loungewear. Tom: [39:08] Say my name you know we've been comfortable way we've been fortunate to know, a handful of influencers howard stern ended up getting our product and talked about how he's never been so comfortable but it was after he try the product we didn't even pay him we're now ah paid advertiser on thisshow, but kevin ended up posting on instagram three or four years ago and someone in our office a tom here and check this out kevin hart to dancing around in our underwear with the shirt off, not naked and he saw his underwear away span and, i knew someone who could connect me to kevin sent him a note said hey i'm a huge fan congrats on all your success here some more underwear and a couple years ago he was in new york and said, hey, i'm a huge fanthe brand can i come meet with you i just want to learn more about the company, and i just love everything you guys are doing so when we look at influencers we're not paying people, to promote our product actually kevin paid us through through ah meaningful investment in the brand because he believed in this so much and as a result you know kevin has one hundred million social media followers. [40:13] The most successful comedy tour of all time and is just this honest hardworking, funny, relatable guy it's also very thoughtful and a lot of things that he's done, and we just had a lot in common. He's, like tom it's, taken me eighteen years to become an overnight success. People think i'm this overnight success, but they don't understand it. Been doing this since i was eighteen years old, and i think the way we have built tommy john, we had a lot of empathy for each other in the way he's built his business and hollywood not having any connections inhollywood. Us not having any connections in the fashion, retail space and it's just been amazing partnership for us. And we're actually launching our second, kevin hart to point online this october, the sex over with him, which is really exciting, and i definitely want to congratulate you understanding. Jason: [40:57] Very cool, and i definitely want to congratulate you on deciding put pictures of kevin and underwear on your website, and not howard i. I'm glad he enjoys the product. Tom: [41:03] Yeah. Jason: [41:07] I'm just saying, probably a good aesthetic decision. Tom: [41:07] Nothing, probably. Jason: [41:09] Um, the i am curious, the like they're so i totally get that and that's very different than paying a kardashian toe tweet about your product. Tom: [41:11] I secured the right there. I totally get that and that's very different than paying a kardashian to tweet about your problem. Yeah, in my mind, that sort of payed mega influencer technique has kind of played out. Jason: [41:20] In my mind, that sort of paid mega influencer tactic has kind of played out. I think customers see through that and know that that's, not authentic, but we're starting to see emerge. Tom: [41:26] I think customers that and know that that's, not antic, but we're starting to see emerge a lot, sort of. Jason: [41:32] A lot is these sort of micro influence, our campaigns, where brands partner with, non celebrities that have, ah, you know, a niche falling in a particular category, like is, if you guys looked into that at all, is that something you could see being part of the, the marketing mix at some point? Erin: [41:51] I'd say never say never more than anything when we pick any of our partnerships, it's, usually comes from a place of authenticity so it's an authentic partner, somebody who's a true fan of the brand or were a fan of them and we see our great alignment and alignment and our values in general, that was what was so great about kevin is that he came to us and just said, i'm a fan of your brand, how can i help? How can i help you? Right? And that was his approach, and, you know, we were so stuck in our heads saying, well, you know, we don't we're not really looking to endorse anybody, we can't afford to endorse anybody wecan't afford it endorsed kevin hart, you know, and he's had to really just shout loud like, look, i'm trying to give you my money, i take my money and i want to help i want to help you guys grow, you know, and and we're kind of thrown back by that thinking, well, this guy's real deal, he actually just loves the brand he's a fan, he wants to be a partof it, he wants to be part of the growth, and, those are the types of partnerships that we would look for very cool. Jason: [42:53] Very cool s o unfortunately wouldn't be a jason and scott show if we didn't talk about the book resellers in seattle. Ah, amazon, right? And ah, you know is interesting is the number of years ago amazon sort of announced this like, you know, shift to get into the apparel business, and back then there were a bunch of people predicting like, oh, apparel is way different than the other categories. They're not going to be successful fast forward about four years, and it seems like the evidence is, they're very successful in apparel, but it's a specific subset of apparel like it, it is the basic needs stuff, more so than the luxury fashion stuff at the moment, right? Like, i'm i'm not betting against them, the jury's out on the long run on the the fashion stuff, but i'm curious is that scary to you? Because you're in the underwear category, which kind of sounds like basic needs? Or is the fact that you're a premium, differentiated product, like, really put you insulate you from some of that success that amazon's having, or are they a potential partner? Erin: [43:59] I think it comes down to you know, of course they're a threat just because of their sheer size, right? And and when you talk about market share, anybody that's competing on market share and taking that that awayis a potential threat. But guess where we don't get so scared is that it's not necessarily what you do, it's, how you do it, and i think we've, you know, prove to our customers, and we continue to prove to customers that we're here as the loyal brand, we have a strong line of communication with them. We're here to serve them, and we really listen and take into consideration what they want, and i don't know, i don't know if amazon, if anyone's really been able to talk to amazon and tell them what they want, you know, or if they have, ah, open ear to listen and unnecessarily here, that so i think what we've built as a brand and how we continue to communicate and engage with our customers is what separates us. Tom: [44:55] Yeah, i think the relationship is really important. You know, loyalty is something that we want to offer. We really wanna have a deeper, more meaningful experience. And, you know, there's restrictions and guidelines that you have to work within within amazon, that we just don't feel are. They just there. It's not fit for us at this time, but you never say never. You know, things change and models models evolved, so i think we're open to the future. But right now, at this point time, it just doesn't make sense for us and awaiting question. Jason: [45:22] I want you and related question. Like, when you talk about the big market places, one for a brand. One of the issues that always comes up is authenticity and counterfeit products. Like, have you guys run into that at all? Is that something you're having to battle in terms of? Tom: [45:33] Yeah, run into that and always battle with counterfeits. Jason: [45:39] Yeah, in terms of people knocking off your product or something. Tom: [45:41] Of course yeah i mean yeah i think there's been a lot of brands that have reinvented underwear since after we launched but i think it goes back to you just we actually embraced competition competition only makesyou better, but like i think what we're always thinking about it what are different types of partnerships whether it's kevin hart i'm doing you need things with nordstrom how do we deliver value to our wholesale partners how do wedeliver value to our existing customers? A lot of it comes back to the product and continue to innovate and evolve as a brand, and you know and also i think what we've really enjoyed as as we've grown is we have a unique way of talking about a very uncomfortable topic underwear and a more funny in a funnier, more relatable way and that'ssomething i think, brands need to continue to do is just, i think authenticity is a very overused word everyone's talking about it you have to be yourself and you know it took us seven or eight years to really figure out what our tonal voices and really get it out there in a clean,concise way, and that's really when the brand i think became much stronger and the relationship their customers hasn't is continuing to become much deeper and that just something you can't get on a lot of other platforms that re sellyour product and i think the brands i can figure that out. Maintaining evolve. It are the ones that will you continue to outrun the competition. Jason: [47:05] Nice. I think that is going to be fascinating to see how that continues to evolve. And that brings me to sort my last question. If you take your sort of today, head off and think about how the industry is going to continue to evolve over the next four or five years, do you have a sense for how different things are going to be like? Are we, you know, is everyone going to be a brand selling direct in five years? Our, you know, you know it r is the shopping experience going to be wildly different? Do you have any guesses for, for the future of commerce? Tom: [47:40] I mean, no, i mean, if you told me you were going to be here five years ago, you like, maybe, okay? I mean, i think a lot there's so much out there right now, and i think there's so many things that came into the market too early, whether it's like a i or chap pods, and i think we're still we're not one of the earliest adopters, you know, like apples, never first to market, they kind of sit back and learn from the learnings from other brands. That's, really, how we've looked at the market in general, let the bigger brands who have bigger budgets, more money or funding, let them spend money trying to figure it out, and we'll come in and at some point well enough that but we're not really in this space of being the earliest of doctors unless we really feel strongly about it. And i think it's been more on the physical product side that we've taken that approach, but as faras the systems and technologies we're not selling ourselves as the tech company, you have to be a tech company today to bein retail, especially, is it digitally native vertical brand, but i don't think, i don't know it's. Erin: [48:45] Yeah it's a great question it's of course don't, very hard to tell where it's going to go i do see this shift you know, there's a lot of the digitally native brands as we talked

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP143 - Dell head of digital transformation Sarika Puri

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 2, 2018 46:28


EP143 - Dell head of digital transformation Sarika Puri Sarika Puri is a Senior Director and Head of Digital Transformation Acceleration Organization at Dell Technologies. In this interview, we cover Sarika's background and discuss Dell Technologies journey to digital transformation. Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 143 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Tuesday, August 7th from the eTail East tradeshow in Boston. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scot show. This episode is being recorded live from the detail east show in sunny boston on tuesday, august seventh. I'm your host, jason retail, g, goldberg, and unfortunately, Scot had a personal conflict this week. S o he's not able to make it, which means the listeners are getting twice as much jason for half the usual price. Ah, the great news is, we have a terrific guest for you on this episode. We have sorry ca hurry who's, the senior director and head of digital transformation acceleration at a little company you may have heard of in austin, texas Dell computers, and i probably already blew it. Have a nice erica it's, not Dell computers anymore. Sarika: [1:08] Well, it's still technologies were not very, very big. It's, it's, delhi emcee. But it'll all the seven strategically businesses aligned and of your big companies. Jason: [1:15] Hey, exactly. I'm trapped in this like old time warp from, like the nineteen, ninety five version of Dell it's, it's, it's. A little bit sad. Sarika: [1:22] Okay, yeah. Jason: [1:24] But before we get into that, one of the things we always like to do on this show is getting to know our guests a little bit and get a feel for how they came into their roles. So could you tell us a little bit about yourbackground and how you ended up a Dell? Sarika: [1:36] Yes, absolutely. So i started my career a Dell thirteen years ago, working on the Dell dot com commerce team. As a programmer, i have been a programmer for many years and love building platforms. Last year, i had the scenic opportunity to go lead the digital transformation off a future commerce platform. And that is how i came about to this roll. And, you know, it's, been it's. Been an exciting journey, being a Dell technologies overall, you know, i was surrounded by really smart people, good, great developers and and had a and that really sparked my interest in the commerce world. And on guys. Consider this like a very glamorous world where you have access to, like all the technology choices that she could make to go drive that outstanding customer experience. Jason: [2:22] I totally agree, it's. Odd, because in my personal life, i find very few people that think my world is glamorous. So i'm i'm glad that we are of a like mind on dh were cruelly correct. And as we're sort of alluding to before, like, you know, folks probably think of Dell as, ah, primarily a computer manufacture. But as you alluded to earlier today, it's ah, huge portfolio of prada, b to c b to b products and services. And so i assumed that part of the scope of that platform is toe. Think about all the different use cases for for all of that. Sarika: [3:01] Absolutely, absolutely so what's happened is when i was in wild, you know, buildings have been here thirteen years have been through several transformations, and this this transformation is really about we're on being on this mission to go deliver a global cloud based omni channel, commerce platform that enables our customers to buy a needle technology product line from anything and from anywhere, and also established agreed fantastic work culture for our employees, and that's the mission because we are dealing with traditional platforms, which are, you know, siloed across the different ecosystems, were dealing with lengthy leases and inefficient it processes were also dealing with disconnected experiences across Dell dot com, premier amc and the other strategically line businesses, our customers are no longer looking for a specific server or a storage option or a specific computer. They're looking for solutions. They're looking to transform their digital future, and they're looking for entering solutions, and we're building this global common platform, that can deliver that into an experience or customers have needs, and they're looking for art comes, they contrive the entire experience for them. Jason: [4:12] Very cool. And i'm curious. Weed. In my my day job, my practice, we talk a lot about selling and implementing platforms on behalf of clients and there's. Always this sort of build versus by conversation, was that even in the dialogue, Dell, was it a no brainer that you guys were that your next generation platform was going to have to be built? Or like? Sarika: [4:34] Great question i think we go it's it's like a ping pong game right you go through barrier versus pie you make some by decisions and you realize oh my god not so good, and then you end up going down the path to go build your platform and then you you realize oh it's not you know why am i building a platform if there is something that's already out there that can do the same thing, and how can i innovate faster rather than going to have i have to go having to go bear the same functionality that could be just procured from the outside i think the key it's not really build verses by i think it's not the ideathat that really matters, it's the execution off that idea sometimes we just don't have the patients to see it through, you know sometimes by a product and will realize oh it's not it's too expensive or it's not something that we really want to go down this path there's too much custom work that has to be done what was promised is notdelivered, and then you go down this path to go bury something and guess what when you're trying to build something there's just not off like for like functionality that has to be built, and and you realise why why why is this so slow like i would like to innovate faster so it's really how you execute and i think the speed in how you deliver your software changes to production is the key. And that is why i keep bringing up it's, not the idea. That's, so much that's. Bad that's. The execution of that idea. That's, that's, so critical to success. Jason: [5:49] That makes perfect sense. The only bummer, though, is that execution is like messi and boring, and it requires all kinds of hard work. It's way more fun to just talk about the shopping and, like, oh, my god, should we go builds by some shiny bobble from one of these friends. They'll take us to a nice dinner, or should we hire a big team and develop ourown stuff? Sarika: [5:59] Yeah, yep. [6:04] Dell wait we're changing that so we're changing i mean i think i and i said this before it's not just about you know delivering another platform, it's about creating this fantastic work culture for employees so it becomes fun building a platform, and we're using you know what some people may might know about this is pivotal labs methodology and technology that really drives employees experience so we're so centered around the customer, will be bitter things that there are customers care about you're no longer building things that are customers no longer care about, we're constantly validating it rating we're talking to the customers the entire team is talking to the customer it's not, that you're not operating a traditional waterfall software life cycle where you have a team in the business that comes up with an idea and you have a team of product managers that figure out how to write rightrequirements, and then you have another team of architects that who figure out all right how do you architect this entire solution and they handed over to a team of developers which, could take months to go deliver something to into ah sit environment and then it might take you know, another few weeks to get it tested now all disconnected themes and it can get very, very boring and very frustrating, what we've done is we've infused those dysfunctions do not go away we have infuse those functions within a within a very small product ing. We're moving away from project. He esteems into more small product. Hastings and and the steam is responsible for design. [7:29] Develop and delivering changes to production and how to support those changes back in production is really changing that entire operating cycle, so we're going to actually be on this path to make it a fun exercise.So it's not going to be boring. Jason: [7:41] Nice. I think that is critical because, you know, we talk a lot about it is ten percent, the tool in ninety percent, the people and on dso like putting those people in a position tau be successful and add the most value seems seems critical. I don't wantto spend too much time, but just to get like, so transformation implies a current state to a future state. So so the state you're moving away from, i'm guessing you had a number of platforms that came in through your various acquisitions in your legacy businesses. And is it fair to say you mentioned that the aspirational state is a cloud based solution? Is it fair that you may have had some class stuff before, but i'm guessing the bulk of your stuff was sort of on graham type solutions. Yet so making the big migration to the cloud on then the other buzz word that i usually hear in that sentence that you did not say so i'm just curious if you were trying to keep it simple for my my ah non engineering brainmicro services are you? Sarika: [8:41] Oh, absolutely. I think that and this is where, you know we've been on this transformation journey for a long time. And what's different about this transformation is, i think we took a big leap a few years ago where we were trying to deliver more seamless, online offline experiences. And we went down this path to create heavy, service oriented architecture and and and that led to big, monolithic services that did too many things across too many different personas. And it became very hard for us to deploy incremental changes to production at a faster rate. So we are on this path to decompose those big, monolithic services, into more micro services, again establishing more autonomy with these small product teams that owned these micro services so they can they can really leverage the speed in which they can deliver these changes intoproduction. So absolutely, i think that's, a very that's that's, a very critical architectural component on how we go, you know, drive speed to mark. Jason: [9:38] Nice. And when you talk about those small, autonomous teams, i always hate toe draw analogies to the evil book reseller in seattle. But, like they famously coined this to pizza team term. And it sounds like philosophically that's, a little bit. What you're what you're thinking. Sarika: [9:56] Yes, so what? Me, when i say high autonomy, i mean, you need tired on me across thes product teams, but you also need high alignment, to ensure there are all working too well towards one singular purpose to deliver that one single customer outcome and on dh. These are very small product teams. We don't call them project teams anymore and the three essential rules within the steam one is the product designer product managers, and then you have product developers who arepart of the steam, and they will work together, and they were like i said, they're sitting very closely with the customer. The business is part of the steam. We're no longer working on requirements to in in silos were very closely working with the customers, validating every feature that goes out live to ensure that it's creating the out things that we want to go see from a business standpoint and continuously trading on that product. So these are, like very small teams, six product developers, designer and a product manager on the same team. Dell. Jason: [10:50] Nice on dh, if you can say, are are you guys envisioning? This is something that would run on aa Dell hosted cloud. Are you guys thinking about leveraging the public cloud? Sarika: [11:01] Well, i think this is our i mean, look, i mean, Dell technologies is, ah, is a unique family of businesses that that provides all the essential infrastructure to help companies for their do digital future. And we really have access to all this infrastructure in house. So this is our story around. How can we deliver a modern, global cloud based commerce platform to sell Dell technologies on their technologies? So that's, that's, a that's, a key part of our success. So we'll be looking at leveraging our in house, we, um, where e m c, cloud based solutions transforming our data center so they can act in a more optimized cloud environment. And we're using our own technology and methodology to go drive our own transformation. Jason: [11:49] Very cool on. I do want to dive into the transformation aspect a little bit more. But before we d'oh a sort of when, when you think of platforms for Dell, like one of the unique experiences that you would certainly think about is when you are selling that, uh, made to order configured to order stuff, which i feel like a lot of your catalog, has heavy customization components. You rely heavily on, ah, a configuration or experience on i'm i'm curious, was, is that something that you also felt like you had to develop yourself? Were you able the leverage to my p from the open market for that? Or? Sarika: [12:25] Well, i mean, if you focused on so we have, we have our own in house customer experience that enables the configuration of both from a front and a back and perspective again. It's, it's, very it's. You know, we were dealing with again a monolithic application where your front and is likely coupled with your back, indeed a structures. And with Dell a dmc the when the murder happened, we no longer can support those applications that just support one kind of product. So there is there's, a huge effort going on around abstracting a product structures. So regardless of what your product line is being able to go, go abstract, these global common services that support the configuration experience and can support configuration across any product line. And i think it's been hard for us to go find something that can do that in the marketplace outside. So it's really about establishing those services that can be abstracted away from these masters so we can support that frictionless and seamless configure experience. And we can play around and experiment different configuration experiences against closely working with our customers and understanding what what? What leads to higher revenue? What leads to higher conversion rates? So that just gives us more flexibility with our own solutions as we develop them in house. Jason: [13:41] Sure, and it does feel like in the evolution of configuration. Ear's in the old days, like the goal, was really just, ah, reduce friction and enable the complete complement of configurations and follow the business, like just the basic block. And tackling was hard. It seems like today, in addition, getting on that block and tackling, which is still hard, there's a lot of art to so which configuration do i present to each potential shopper by default on what's, the highest profit configuration, what's, most successful for that client and to your point, like, the answer, isn't the same for everyone. So how do i split? Test that and and all those sorts of things. Sarika: [14:22] Absolutely, i mean you're dealing with simple configuration, others that do not have too many validation that needs to happen. The customer just needs a few options and few choices, and they can place an order in the cards so it's really about providing that seamless experience and focusing on each persona at a time, you cannot bear something that applies to all personas and understanding what your persona eyes. I mean, for example, we're also dealing with customers, for example, if they're looking to install her dupe a solution and they're looking for what are my small, medium high options, and their customers were looking to install splunk in their in their environments, and they're looking for small, medium high options and that involve our products across the entire product portfolio. It's no longer just legacy Dell legacy and see product product, it's it's the combination of products across the entire portfolios it's, it's really, really depends on the persona that you're trying to serve, again working, you know, becoming this customer centric organization, customer centric team and working backwards into utilizing all these capabilities to deliver the right experience for the right persona. Jason: [15:23] Yeah, you know, it's fascinating, a fun antidote from the last couple weeks for my life moves of my client's look a lot like you. You guys would be a sort of a typical client for us. But, you know, who's getting disrupted a lot at the moment are like food and restaurants. And so i have, ah, fast casual client, and they're our cages and quick question. Should we be trying tto add cheese to the sandwiches, or should we be trying to sell fries with the sandwiches like what's? A better question for the server to ask. And you know, at first you're like that's really interesting, and then you start thinking about it, and it it is the same configuration conundrum. And of course, the answer is exactly what you describe. We should get to know all of our dining guests and, you know, for some guests were smarter to offer add ons and for other guests were smarter to offer side dishes. So we got to give the servers tools. Teo, help identify those opportunities on. Sarika: [16:19] And that's, right? I mean, and then also, you know, we're going to stop just going to stop guessing, you know, anymore. We are going to focus on using customer data and what drives that, you know, selection, and then use that to it, potentially also pre compute these configurations, so we don't have to every single time validate, make sure every single option works with that configuration, and s o, you doing a lot of intelligence around, you know, what's, one of the most bought, what are the most purchased items? And and having to go reconfigure them over and over again by our customers may not be a great idea. So how can you go pre compute them? So it becomes, like, a very fast and a seamless experience where they can just check out with that configuration. So, yes, yeah. Jason: [17:01] Now, there's. Ah, funny old, quote that that i adore. If we're making this decision based on data, show me the data. If we're going with opinions, let's, use mine. Sarika: [17:05] We're making this decision based on data. Show me the data if we're, that's that's, right? That's? Absolutely right. Jason: [17:14] S so you're at detail today. You were on a panel this morning talking about the transfer business transformation and the transformation aspect of this project. So i want to jump into that. I have to be honest, like, intuitively, i think of Dell is, is, you know, arguably one of the very first, digitally native companies. And so, you know, part of me goes like most of these are analog companies that air transforming as a result of digital, somewhat surprising that Dell needs to transform. Sarika: [17:48] Well absolutely i mean we have to transform and look i mean we have established some key metrics that we want to go achieve and without going digital we won't be able to go achieve those those those numbers imean for example, we want to get to five nines off availability, which is like less than six minutes of downtime every year we want to get to one point five paige second speed response times globally, and historically we're focused on that number in the u s due to the limitations we've had in acts in accessing the cloud infrastructure solutions, and we want to get to seventy five percent and above sea sat the customer satisfaction score, which is really a way for us to measure if the customers of the customer was satisfied you know, going through an onlineexperience, and also the employees that promote a score we're not where we need to be from an employee you know, engagement standpoint, and and i think they're making great progress we've seen some really good numbers in the last year, and those those those numbers are like super critical for us so until we go achieve those numbers were not going to stop transforming and it's a journey it's not like a destination i mean you keep transforming, it still takes us you know, i remember you know him and i used to say this that you know, men even somebody in the business has an idea and the in the morning. If you're not able to publish our deliver that idea into production that afternoon, then you need to transform. Yeah, uh. Jason: [19:09] I love the idea that it's, it's, ah journey and it's it's, probably a perpetual journey. There's. This terrifying survey i saw this year that sort of broke my heart for a star goes out on the survey. Like twenty thousand ceos on, they said, like, where are you in your digital transformation? Twenty one percent of the ceos said they were done. Sarika: [19:31] Dell yes, man, on the bad investor, but i'm shorting all those nuts and, you know, i think you're done and it's and it's very dangerous, because every person you talk to, they have a different definition of digitaltransformation. Jason: [19:33] And i'm like, man on the bad investor. But i'm shorting all those stocks because if you think you're done. Sarika: [19:46] And if the thing think they're done that's very dangerous for their business. So, i mean, every everyone in the company, they have to realize that, you know, the future is upon us. The customer buying behaviors and buying patterns are changing. We cannot just continue to, you know, re architect are solutions every single time. There's a new touch point in the market. How do they establish the right architecture? Er, with the right process is in place so we can deliver things into production faster so we can deliver those outcomes for our customers. And so that every single time there's anew touch point in the market. We're not re architect ing the whole solution. Jason: [20:21] Absolutely. So i'm in a company your size. One of the things i find to be the hardest is all of those legacy systems were chosen by individual stakeholders, likely based on a on a set of narrow requirements that they had for their business. So, gmc, pick some stuff. That was right for amc and the Dell bea to see guys pick some stuff for the computers. That was right for them on dh. Now you're trying to build this global platform, and, like usually the first problem is, stakeholder alignment, like how, like, how do i get all of those dispirit stakeholders to trust that what i'm going to build, like honors and prioritizes? The the capabilities that they need is that? Sarika: [21:08] Yes well i'll tell you like i think i've been very fortunate to be part of their technologies and i think one of the best things that's come together is, it's it's the alignment from a leadership team it's the alignment across the entire executive teams on what's important, this is not lead from the bottom of this transformation that's really lead from the top it's a it's a mandate across the entire company to go transform and and go through this transformation, and we go look at pros and cons we look at data were very objective about what makes sense what does not make sense across the ecosystem we're going to pick the good pieces in the ecosystem not everything is bad, and then we're going to augment it with new innovation and new capabilities so so that's that's really the approach that we're taking it's not you versus me or it's not i think we have, past that i think Dell any m c has has not come together as an organization were not part of the same digital organization, and we're all making the same decision we all are operating as if you're one single organization with one singular purpose so those silos do not exist anymore you've taken those silos you know we've toned down thosesilos. Those barriers won't exist for us anymore. You're past that nice, uh and the way you got past that it sounds like a part of that wass, uh executive yes, yes, absolutely. Jason: [22:18] Nice on dso. The way you got past that. It sounds like part of that was executive buy in and, like, so did that started. The c suite is that way. Sarika: [22:29] I mean, you start when i said you have it has to be it has to be at the top you much these teams because you cannot expect the silo teams to make the decisions that are good for each other, right? I mean, you have to really bring these teams together so really aligning all the leaders, to understand that we have one global set of common commerce capabilities let's go bring those teams together, let's, let's, let's pull them accountable so they can deliver on the new use cases that we want to go deliver,so it has to be much too at the top. So the top leaders came, came together and they re aligned on what the new york times outcomes were that we have to go established in the company, and that really helps trickle down the right message in theorganization and then and then you're, teams, they work really well together, you know, again, i think collab if you're still working in silos and sister working in these, you know, traditional set up of the organization and that collaboration and cooperationbecomes very, very messy, it can be very exhausting, and, you know, sometimes people lose patients and they leave, because they just can't get anything done because they don't agree with each other, they don't align with each other. Jason: [23:34] So it sounds like, get get that alignment from that top. Get those dedicated teams. Identify some measurable success criteria. Then, did you guys do some, like, ah, global requirements gathering, like, how did you guys tackle the sort of requirements? Gathering in scope generation? Sarika: [23:55] That's a great question so i think what we did was when we started down this digital transformation that way said it's important that we go stand up, stand up an agnostic organization that's not tied to a particular business and that's the organization that i'm part off we said we're going to start up in organization we know these changes need to happen. [24:14] So we decided to go you know identify resource is across the multiple different teams and we brought them together, and it's part of each team again regardless of the reporting structures regardless of who they work for and we brought them together as part of one common theme, and and and the way we decided we're going to go deliver on those new capabilities and established the new platform wass he let's understand the missing pieces in the existing platform today instead ofthe taking like forlike and, you know because they're supporting our existing businesses were running the business we're keeping the lights on and we're generating the revenue from a current ecosystem from the current ecosystem we do not wantto disturb that, we want to make sure there is constant focused on ensuring that we deliver value to our customers through that platform at the same time they're called missing pieces called missing capabilities so let's start there, rather than doing like for like let's focus on things that we cannot do on the existing platform today and then privatize and sequence your platform work so we can deliver on those incremental business outcomes. It's not going to be let's. Go in a silo, build another platform, and then we'll show value. In three years. This was going to be what the missing capabilities let's, understand what those are. Start burning global common services so that it can easily be extended to not just support amc product lines, but then also support the american. Also start supporting, selling, marital another in other use cases. Jason: [25:38] Ah, one of the things i'm always interested in. So usually like despite the fact that it's ah ah, multi business unit, multi discipline, project, like, usually there's, a owner that comes from a orientation, right? And so, you know, even though you're thinking about all the different business unit users, it's not uncommon, that, like the the platform transformation, is ah, lead or engineering led. And so then the pitfall you run into there is, you know, how does that team get good at understanding marketing outcomes and supply chain outcomes and all those those various stakeholders like where they like, did youreach out to those stakeholders? Air? How did you sort of integrate them into the process? Sarika: [26:22] So what we do is we start s o b become a put, the work that needs to be done and why and how we're going to show incremental progress, and then you and what we've done is we've engaged the stakeholders on a monthly basis, hey, look at the progress we're making on the platform change on how we do things and it's really about its ensuring that you have your stakeholder alignment, where their teams become part off the balance team. So we have these small product teams where we're not just going to he tell us what the requirements are, let us go build it instead. It's come sit with us as part of the team, so we're we're really creating a very seamless, you know, interface between business and i we're not so different teams anymore. We're part of the same team, you're driving the same outcome, so those resources are actually part of the same team so that's that that is what pervert labs methodology advocates where you conclude your business andyour end users, they're part of your team, they're constantly privatizing the backlog. You're not working on something that's misaligned against the business and that's how you saw that. Jason: [27:19] Got you on dh for listeners that aren't super from later with the pivotal labs methodology, why generically, you hear a lot of sort of traditional waterfall approach, and on, you know, buzzword now is more agile. Approach like is a is pistola. Does pivotal abs have a point of view on that spectrum, or is it? Is that more stakeholder approach, or what's? The. Sarika: [27:42] Pivotal labs is is really, really the methodology on how you, how you make folks within the team work together, and how they work with their business partners and how they walk with their end users. It's really, the methodology, your this, the steam. Like i said, the three key critical rules designer product manager and developers on the team, they work together and understanding the customer requirement that developers on the team, the duke bad programming, they used test driven programing practices to develop software. So they think this first before they write any good, and that ensures that you know, there's there's, good quality in the system and it's, really the methodology and then also pivotal, pivotal also comes with a new great technology, which is their platform is a service but little cloud foundry that lets these product teams deliver software changes to production in a very cloud agnostic fashion. So regardless of what your cloud environment is, it could be a public cloud hybrid cloud. You may decide to change which your cloud, but if you use platform is a service which is pivotal flowered foundry, you can deploy these applications agnostic off any cloud environment and ensure that there's an, youknow, continuous delivery in driving the outcomes. Jason: [28:53] Yeah. It's, really both a methodology and a tool set. Yeah. Sarika: [28:55] Dell methodology and, technically, yes. Jason: [28:57] Ah, so how far into, like, when would you say you started this transformation, transformation? How far into it are you? Sarika: [28:58] So far. [29:04] So i way started this transformation a year ago. And i've been in this Job for the last 12 months. It's, it's, it's been almost a year. Okay? And so years seems like enough time. Jason: [29:15] Okay, and so year seems like enough timeto, really getsem learnings, like, have you identified what, what? Some of the big pitfalls khun b for this type of project, or like what? You know, what are the top reasons this project of this scope, my fail. Sarika: [29:27] The top reasons. Well, the top reasons the project might fail is people related. I mean it's not technology, it's, not process. And let me tell you, technology alone cannot transform your organization. All the three essential pieces these people process and technology must be effectively aligned. You cannot, you know, take a new technology by a new technology and have people working in the same non age. I'll methods using the old processes and you expect outcomes. You also cannot have people working in an angel environment on then expand, have and not have them make the right technology choices or not have access to the technology choices, that can also really, you know not you cannot drive transformation. So all the three essential pieces must come together and there needs to be effective alignment across the three central pieces and the top two reasons why a transformation can feel his people related, which is lack offalignment across the leadership team, and lack of skills needed to execute on that transformation. And without having the right people with the right skill sets and a shared vision to execute on that transformation, any attempt to due process and technology will fail. It will not work. Jason: [30:42] Which is a big bummer right here. Ah, and at Dell, did you guys primarily assigned dedicated resource is to this project. So you took people. I'm assuming these were often existing Dell employees. And so you took them off of their previous assignments and made them full time members of this team. Or do they have sort of a hybrid role? Sarika: [31:02] So yes so what we did was b we be identified some existing resource is within the organization. [31:11] That were truly passionate about building future state commerce services because we don't want folks in the organization to feel like they're not part of the future state because everyone is part of the future state. [31:21] And s o way identified resource is across the entire organization, and we've also hired fresh talent coming in from the organization i mean to be frank everyone has blinders on including myself and b we have lot of limitations approach has lot of limitations based on our past experiencebased on, what we've done so far we know this is never going to work we have tried this in the past it never works, and in that kind of baggage we all come back very heavy baggage so bringing this fresh outside talent and really brings that fresh perspective, and and and things that you may not even know what to ask you know those those folks can really help you drive that transformation so really creating that you know that the nice much team with good from fresh outsidethinkers, merging them with the existing resources in the organization and should always be hiring for skill sets that are missing in your organization because the skill sets that are needed, to transform the future commerce is different i mean they're different skill sets you need folks to understand how to continuously integrate deploy and deliver changes to production. What does that high velocity environment looks like? And you also need, you know, folks to understand how to build cloud native applications, and that's and that's, a different skill set all together. So it's, really about, you know, hire ingles. Resource is from the outside. Merging them with the existing resource is so weakened, ramp and scale, the talent within the organization. Jason: [32:41] Very cool. And so it sounds like you bring outside people in both from a resource standpoint, that you need more resources from, ah, perspective, sandpoint, that they maybe don't have some of the legacy biases. And from a skills gap standpoint, did you also do any ups killing of the legacy employees that got assigned to this? Like, did you guys have to do more of like the cloud based methodologies and pivotal training? Andalthough. Sarika: [33:08] Oh, absolutely, absolutely constantly training, we're constantly, you know, putting folks through, you know, new skill sets that we want them to go acquire. We actually have the spirit labs transformation program within within Dell and what that means is that we be repair our existing developers with the pivotal developers and the pair program, and they're bearing togetheras a team, and also the product managers there, pairing with apparently trained product managers. And the designers are also pairing with another designer, the constantly bearing and and there in a twelve week program where they get officially certified that they cannot think, you know, very customers that can bethey think they should be thinking about the customer. They can't be making decisions that are very business outcome based, their validating, their assumptions there validating their problem statements and their solutions constantly with the customers. So so they're really working together, so absolutely, like, you know, upscaling that talent is to put them through. What we've done is put them through private labs program. Jason: [34:07] Okay? And and a curiosity. This seems like a self defeating attitude. But i sometimes have clients that are like when they talk about getting people on these exciting projects, where they get to work with moremodern approaches and technologies. Ah, admittedly, one of the risk is that employee is more valuable to other employees. And you guys are in austin, where there's a bunch of tech start ups all the time and all this sort of things. Like, was there a fear about retention? And if you had any retention issues or what's, the attitude? A Dell. Sarika: [34:38] Well, the attitude actually it's, it's, it's gotten a lot better. I mean, i don't have talked about the employee that promoter school earlier and that's the question that you ask your employees every year, how likely are you to recommend Dell and and we see that school going up, we see less and less, you know, folks leaving the organization because they like the new culture they liked any operating model you may think that Dell technologies is a really big unit in a big company, but we're really a small startup. Then the commerce teams of a very small start up, so they're highly energized the highly autonomous in their decision making. They don't have to go through the same same processes t get yu know their decisions made,and like i said, it's really lead from the top. I mean, our our executive teams are constantly asking us what help do you need? How can help you go move faster, who's, your barrier what whatever obstacles, and that really helps move the transformation along for sure. Jason: [35:29] Nice for sure. Let's, change pages for a second and talk about the outcomes for a minute. You mentioned up front some of the metrics that you used well, and i'm sure there's a ton of metrics was there in your mind. Sarika: [35:34] You mentioned a front. Some of the metric. Well, i'm sure there's. A ton of metrics was there in your mind, was there, like. Jason: [35:41] Was there, like a high, high level k p i or where they're like specific, measurable outcomes that came from the sea. Sweet that you think about for this project. Sarika: [35:44] Like specific, measurable outcomes that. [35:51] Yes, absolutely so one was, you know, if you want to deliver future state, but we also want to, in your deliver incremental customer outcomes and how we measure those customer outcomes. I talked about c set, which was the customer satisfaction score. We monitor that very closely. We also monitor our page response times globally. You know, we want to go achieve those page response times, and also we measure stability. You know, what are your stability? How many incidents are you causing in production? Are you able? Are you building applications that are more resilient on more fault tolerant? So those are, like the key metrics, availability, metric, see, sat page, response times and employing that promoter school. Other four key metrics that we've aligned our organization on. Jason: [36:35] Nice and addict. Riaz ity how deep do you go into something like, ah, page response time, like one of the things i find, like so okay, so people weren't paying attention to page speed, and then they got taught thatthat's important. Sarika: [36:38] Go into something my. Jason: [36:49] And so now, everyone nose, nose, superficially, had to talk about paige speed. Sarika: [36:50] One yes knows. Jason: [36:54] But as soon as you start scratching under the covers like, oh, how do you measure? And are you using? Synthetic browsers are real users, and our you know you. Sarika: [36:55] The cover's, like, oh, how do you measure? And are you using? Synthetic browsers are really users and our, you know. Jason: [37:03] You pretty quickly find that, like the whole world is saying like that, they're targeting some number, but they have. Absolutely. They're not measuring that number in the same way. Sarika: [37:04] Quickly find that like the whole world is saying like that they're targeting some number but they have absolutely, they're not measuring that number in the same way yes yes so what we measure yes and they've gone through that evolution ourselves right we think we thought we were measuring, paid speed but we were not measuring page speed because your browsers are different and you know do geographically you know you have customers that are you know located where they're trying to browse anexperience that's hosted with in austin, and since it's really critical so what we did was we actually went through this transformation were not measuring time to interact which is your t t i, and we look at that metric because that really gives you true sense off i was in this country and i was using this browser and what was a page response time, and it's that that data is so important to us and we have technology clea transformed and identifying the right technology solutions that will give us that information, on dh that information like i said it's so important because i could be sitting in austin and looking at Dell dot com and these experiences and be like they're just fine on what the customers are complaining about. Jason: [38:05] Yeah, the home page, george. Just fine. Sarika: [38:05] Yeah but when you look at the data and your ability to go measure and aggregate all this data and have visibility to all this data and those those numbers can be very astonishing. And you need that customer data. You need the data to be able to go mate, great product decisions. All right, so. Jason: [38:21] Yeah, no, for sure, and one of the things i always, uh, i'm crying. But i'm chuckling at the same time. So, you know, someone's thinking about new plant form, and they're, you know, they're getting the sales pitch from the platform, people on the right and let me show you all the cool features like this is the super powerfulpromotion engine, and this is the personalization engine. And these are, you know, and all these desirable things that the that the enterprise wants. And so they buy this plant form on dh. Then the performance team comes in after they bought the platform, and the performance experts from the same company that made the platform are like, yeah, so step one. Wehave to turn off all those features. Sarika: [39:00] You're right, you're absolutely right, and i think it's really important for us to understand what the outcomes are and walk backwards, and what happens is you. If you start with black form first technology first that's not going to work, you have to start with the customer outcomes, and this is why i think they have gone through this huge transformation. We've not become very customer centric organization. We understand the customer outcomes, sometimes it's page speech, sometimes it's a great experience. Sometimes i just need access to these features and functions let's, not guess let's, ask our customers and continue to trade on that, you know, and and i like to say the successful digital experiences they always areachieved through it, oration, using destined, learn approaches and and, however, like it's, impossible to go, use that approach if your development processes that way too slow, sure on dh so that speed of development. Jason: [39:51] Um, and and so that speed of development seems critical. You mentioned in the very beginning that, like, hey of a business user, as a requirement in the morning. Sarika: [39:55] In the very beginning. Jason: [39:59] And we can't deliver by the afternoon. We haven't finished our transformation yet. Is that one of the the metrics that you use is like time to release, sir. Sarika: [40:00] Liver by the afternoon is that one of the, the metrics that uses like time to release absolutely it's very critical i think it's not just about the water it's aboutthe how, and we're not and we're not saying tow our business stakeholders are we're not done with transformation yet you have to go build this platform that's not what's happening, you know way have identified some critical experiences that we want to go fix for example i think the focused on our such experience as a starting point, we looked at the such experience and said all right we not only want to make sure that we have the right search platform we also want to make sure that when a business person in the business team has an idea and wouldlike to go change something, and i need that change made in the afternoon so what we have seen everything some fantastic results you know, just accomplishing that where we are now able to deploy our changes multiple times a day to production, through a highly automated ccd pipeline that requires no manual intervention everything is automated, and we're able to deliver changes to production in less than eighteen minutes and that is transformation now we can change the platform we can ring new features and functions we may not have the right experience thaton that day, that's fine and we'll go it rate like i said the digital experience is successful original, you know, properties they trade their rate of success so. [41:23] And that's, just so critical. How is so important, their speed? Two deliveries so important, if you don't like something, no problem. And we want to get to a point where we're always experimenting. And these experiments are so less expensive that that we can, that we can achieve great success, right? And we don't have to every single time, re factor your entire platform. Let's, go ask for another, you know, a couple of million dollars to go trance, you know, to go deliver any feature or function. Jason: [41:52] Yeah, it's, it's. Fascinating. How, as the, the platform evolves, it actually changes how business users think right in that if, everyone has to fight for these precious resource is and there's some, you know, horribly slow release cycle, then you've got every stakeholder making a big bet and, like and, frankly, a nun ce abs dance hated back, right,like, just i need this on the road map. It's time. I know i'm not going to get it for nine months, but this is the thing i most want. No idea whether that thing is going to add value or not, right. Sarika: [42:24] That's, right. And the yes, exactly. And the key to success is include those business partners as part of your team, and then have the speed to go deliver changes to market, and then they're less anxious. The less didnot panic anymore, exactly, and what they. Jason: [42:36] Exactly, and what they what you start seeing is as they get used to this much faster pace of it oration. Instead of saying, hey, it's, the one big bet. Wait nine months, it's! Hey, let's, test and learn let's, try something, let's, think about more iterated of approaches on, and so i do. I do. You know, i believe that there is this enterprise wide mind shift. You see as you start, ah, unveil more, more nimble processes and platforms in the organization. Sarika: [43:04] Yes, yes, exactly, s o year in like, are there? Jason: [43:06] Um, eso year in like, are there some public success stories that you talk about, like, are there any particular elements of the customer experience that have gone live and that have benefited? Sarika: [43:17] Yes i just talked about the such experience that we were able to go put life and again we're again making very data driven decisions where we're focused on the customer outcomes were looking at revenue per visitwe're looking at were doing, a b test to ensure that the newest such experiences indeed better than the old such experience and and using those were driven decisions to go you know incrementally launch more new features new functions, and i think the biggest success that we've had is just the ability to go launch to production faster. [43:50] The ability to go automate the entire continuous integration and delivery pipeline so we can launch these changes that required no manual intervention that has been another big success now once you have thatpipeline, now you can go build new services new you know new and add new features to these services, i think that has been critical really really critical to our success in the last year a few months and we've also established you know, great progress across different fbi's, and and and and the kind of collaboration that we have achieved been working with our business stakeholders, and and really transforming thes thes development teams or product teams into operating in the new culture they're more happier way capture their testimonials you know every once in a while, and that that that is also a huge success that's really changing the foundation fixing the problem at the root and not really focusing on these shiny bells and whistles, but but focusing these problems at the root. And you're seeing some tremendous, you know, progress on that. Very cool. Jason: [44:50] There you go. Although is a consultant, i'd really like the shiny bells and whistles. It feels like how i make a living, but yeah, but i forgive you for focusing on fundamentals that actually had business value instead. Sarika: [44:55] You get it. Jason: [45:01] And so, speaking of time, that's going to be a perfect place for us to wrap up, because we've used up our allotted time. But i certainly want to remind listeners that if they have further questions, i want to continue the dialogue taken. Jump on our facebook page will continue to interact, sirica that there is a place on the internet where listeners can contact you. Are you on linked in or twitter? Sarika: [45:25] Yes, absolutely. So i'm on linkedin, and actually i was just talking to my sister just before the Scot and she goes, why are you not on twitter yet? And i'm like, i don't know, why am i not on twitter yet, but i'll try to get to twitter, but i'm definitely yes, yes, yes, and i'm on linkedin. Jason: [45:35] They need the users. They desperately need the user growth, so help him out. Sarika: [45:41] I'm on facebook and you know they can always contact me. My first name underscore last name, last name, a Dell dot com said me questions. You know, i'd be more than happy and eager to help us answer any questions. Jason: [45:55] Oh, that's, terrific, and i will put those links in the show. Notes. A cz always of the listeners enjoyed today's show. We sure would appreciate it if you jump on the itunes and give us that. Five star review sirica, thank you very much for your time until next time. Happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP142 - Industry News and Retail Earnings

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 28, 2018 48:45


EP142 - Industry News and Retail Earnings Scot Wingo Tarheel of the week. Amazon News Amazon licensing it’s Amazon Go “Just Walkout Technology” to Hundai in S. Korea Whole Foods now selling via Alexa Whole Foods  offering 30-minute windows for curbside pickup Party City selling on Amazon Walmart News Earnings – Same Store Sales up 6% y/y (highest in 10 years) 40% E-Com Growth  Traffic and Tickets up 2% in US Grocery pickup is now in more than 1,800 locations (40% of US Pop by EOY) “Clearly, the consumer backdrop is favorable, we’re getting a little bit of benefit from that”, Dan Binder VP Investor Relations Allowing 3p returns in stores Walmart co-leads $500M investment in Chinese online grocery service Dada-JD Daojia Target News Same Store Sales up 6.5% y/y (highest in 13yrs) E-Com Up 41% (vs 36% last year) Traffic up 6.4% “I’ve been doing this for a long time, and I think this is the healthiest environment I’ve ever seen” Target CEO Brian Cornell Same Day Delivery 1100 stores / Curbside pickup 800 stores Owned Brand Cat & Jack $2B in 1 year Mallageddon 4,379 closures / 2,239 opens = 2,100 net fewer stores  (net 2800 reduction in stores in 2017) Loss of 35M ft sq of retail space (closed stores are typically smaller footprint than new store openings) Industrial space is now MORE expensive than retail space Upcoming: Shop.org September 12-14th, Las Vegas Groceryshop October 28-31, Las Vegas Don’t forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 142 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Thursday, August 23rd, 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason “retailgeek” Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:29] Welcome to the Jason and Scot show. This is episode 142 being recorded on Thursday August 20 3rd 2018. I’m your host Jason “Retailgeek” Goldberg,and as usual I’m here with your cohost and TarHeel of the week, Scot Wingo. Scot: [0:47] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason escutcheon listeners. Yes it’s true. Star High I guess I’m Tarheels this week. So we have a newspaper here in Raleigh called The News and Observer. It’s been around forever. And they do this weekly thing where someone is the Tarheel of the week. And that was me this week. I get I get a pen. Evidently I’m excited. Jason: [1:11] I think that’s actually totally cool. At the risk of sounding corny I am sort of proud for you. Scot: [1:18] Thanks man. The thing that is a little complicated. Musher in this area you may not understand. And so our state is the Tar Heel state. But you can see the Tarheels and immanence 8 person. So I’m really a wolf pack fan. It’s all my Wolfpack fans have been me crap this week that I’m Tarheels the week because lot of them don’t understand it’s a state thing and not a season. So yeah. So it is friction between USC NC State Duke. Jason: [1:44] Gaji so. Scot: [1:50] There is so that’s been fun to do. Jason: [1:51] Oh I could totally imagine I’ve just gone from being proud of you to thinking you should not accept. Now it’s very cool. I do. I do get that conundrum though. Scot: [2:04] Yeah. And you were at east up in Boston. How did that sugar. Jason: [2:10] It went really well for those that have never had a chance to spend time in Boston. It is very easy access to a Dunkin Donut from anywhere in downtown Boston. Scot: [2:21] I have been to Boston and there are a fair number of Starbucks to see must of been a happy camper. Jason: [2:25] Yes. Yes. As I may have joked with you in our our voluminous rehearsals that we do for these podcasts the the show Hotel is, a nice Sheraton that has an adjacent Starbucks and a Shake Shack so that basically has all the amenities I need. Scot: [2:44] And a none. There sure there’s your meals right there boom. Jason: [2:47] Yeah yeah. I never got an opportunity to have any of the show food because I was I was you know always making the super healthy Dunkin Donuts Shake Shack runs. Scot: [3:00] And the plan was we were both going to go but I couldn’t make it because I had to help my daughter move into college. We got a last minute note that she could move in all early so we had to do that. But you carried the Jason Scott banner up to Boston where your triangle had played flute and you laid down some good podcasts that we’re going to be rolling out here soon. Jason: [3:20] Yeah I sure did. It’s a good event. You know it’s a little more intimate than some of the biggest events. You get a chance to interact with more folks. And I got to record three great shows so listeners have probably already heard her as who’s the web psychologist from quick tell on last week’s show and into upcoming shows will be talking about, Dell and sort of their their evolution, from a you know pure consumer B2C company to this big enterprise company today. And we’ll also be talking to the two founders of Tommy John and, they’re they’re great entrepreneurial Nergal story of sort of inventing a better T-shirt and turning it into a very successful business and you know kind of an early digitally native vertical brand that will get more and moreabout. Scot: [4:13] Yeah it’s funny when I’m not listening to the Jason Scott show my favorite podcast. I do listen to some other podcasts and you can’t really listen to anything without a tommy john added being on there. If I listen to XM Radio they’re on there they’re on CNBC so they seem to have really embraced not only digital and that media but the analog media as well. I look forward to hearing their whole story. Jason: [4:38] Yeah yeah I don’t want to spoil the surprise for you but I think it was a good show. They were super interesting so I will look forward to hearing your feedback. Scot: [4:47] Cocq Well this week we are going to really focus in on some e-commerce news. We’re recording this at the back half of August which is an interesting time because in the world of retail what happens is we we take a luxurious summer and then Labor Day hits and then everyone freaks out. It’s theholidays right around. So this is when the news picks up. So we wanted to pick up some of what’s going on for everybody and and watch this highlights. We’re going to start with. Jason: [5:30] Yes. I think the first piece of Amazon news is exciting because it arguably makes you and I sound wise. There was a news report that came out this week that Amazon is licensing a bunch of their technology including just walk out technology from the Amazon go store to Hyundai, to be used in a number of retail stores in South Korea. So you know Wisner’s of the Amazon go episode of our podcast will remember that we we talked a bit about the potential of Amazon licensing that technology and it appears we’ve we’ve seen the first version of that inthe wild. Scot: [6:08] Yeah yeah. The you know I always you and I speak, out in the world a lot about Amazon and one thing I like to tell a lot of people is the Amazon playbook and you know the playbook pretty simple now and they’ve repeated it hundreds of times but it’s dog food. So dog food something out meaning use it internally. And then every one of these steps there is a path off this ramp that is it doesn’t work until it likes the Fire phone for example it went down the kill path. So dog food is step one step two is scale first party steps. Step three is scale third party and then the next step is really kind of opening it up even outside of third party. So you’ve seen like cloud computing with this FBA has gone through this and now I think this just walk out of Cassiel a store will walk through this as well. Jason: [7:03] Yeah. So it’s going to be interesting to see how it all plays out. As we’ve already talked about there’s a Amazon story that’s going to open soon here in Chicago so I’ll get a chance to see it in the live with much more regularity than periodic visits to Seattle. Scot: [7:22] Have you. When does the campout start. Jason: [7:24] I don’t think the publicly announced a date. I have gone by the site and it is all sort of newspaper up all the windows and whatnot. So like it appears work is happening. [7:40] I am slightly less excited about this next piece of news but it may be interesting to listeners nonetheless. Amazon has extended the Lexx voice shopping capability to all of the Whole Foods products so you can now place orders not just from, the huge Amazon catalog but from all the the Whole Foods in-store products directly from your Amazon. Alexa. Scot: [8:09] Yeah and I saw that also within the whole foods part of Amazon. They now have you know they’re expanding the number of stores that have curbside pickup and they have 30 minute windows now. And I think you were telling me that there’s a if you do an hour under there’s a fee but two hours is free. Is that right. With Prime. Jason: [8:29] No. So you can order your food online and pick it up in an hour for free or you can pay a fee and I want to say it’s like seven dollars to pick it up 30 minutes after you order it. Scot: [8:42] Have you. I looked at the list of stores in major metros of late with that. Jason: [8:47] Yeah. Yeah I’ve tried it and it does work well. The whole foods causes to mind supports it but it doesn’t feel like they did a major build out to support it. I’ve seen photos of other Wholefoods where they clearly constructed some new infrastructure to support high volume curbside pickup. [9:08] But you know to me this is a very thin Mandic for Amazon first of all I would just remind people that prior to the acquisition Wholefoods didn’t have a digital copy of their inventory online anywhere. Like you couldn’t get a whole foods accom and even see what products Wholefoods had in their store much less. Order anything. And now of course you can order anything from Whole Foods and have it delivered in an hour to your house or you can have it ready for pickup at a store in 30 minutes. So I just think that’s super impressive and a much faster pace than most traditional retailers move. And then I can also tell you that there’s a ton of grocers that are super excited about order online curbside pickup and they’re all debating the pros and cons of every nuance of their experience. And they’re all thinking about this kind of like should we do same day pickup versus next day pick up. And is it a four hour window after you order a six hour window. And you know of course Amazon just comes in here and drops a bomb and says no the customer standard is going to be 30 minutes to an hour after you order you should be able to get your groceries. Scot: [10:20] Yeah I was actually. So two interesting things here real quick. The when we did our deep dive on the acquisition of Wholefoods you know one of the things that was kind of a question mark out there is to cart had you know a deal with Amazon. And then you know I think it had been described as exclusive. But now we see Amazon doing curbside pickup which you would argue maybe it’s the same obviously as art which is still free but then Amazon is using flexto deliver things too. So I think the insta cart integration is still alive so it’s really interesting you know it’s initially confusing to a consumer you know because you can go to Whole Foods directly and get it delivered or go through to card oryou can do the curbside. Jason: [11:02] Yeah but I do think it is the case that in most markets it’s a much better deal to order from Whole Foods slash Amazon rather than to order Whole Foods through insta cart. And the the Amazon experience is a superset of the product catalog it’s available on insta cards. So the you know I sort of predicted when we did that that acquisition show that this was bad news for insta card and that they were going to get squeezed out. Like I don’t think Wholefoods is still honoring the duration of that that contract. But it certainly doesn’t seem like a good long term prognosis for insta with Wholefoods. And you know in fairness I would point out there’s there’s one potential experience advantage that insta has that I’m not sure a ton of people take advantage of. But in many markets it is possible to place a multi retailer order from inside a car. So you know whole foods you know famously is missing a lot of unhealthy national brands that people still crave. And so you know if you want some Captain Crunch cereal with your organic milk in some markets it’s possible to have a card. You don’t go to Kroger and get the Captain Crunch and go to Whole Foods and get the organic milk and you obviously won’t be able to do that from the Whole Foods direct delivery. Scot: [12:25] Yeah. And then the other one is I was tweeting with one of our listeners and, you know what drives me crazy about most of the grocery experiences for pickup is you’ll go to this pretty laborious process you know can take up to 20 30 minutes to get through everything in your card and then theytell you you know it will be a Saturday morning. I’m doing this and in the end it will say the first available window is Monday at 2:00 p.m. and you’re just like. So it may be a chicken and egg thing where they can’t tell me upfront but they should be able to you know they they should know. You know they should get a pattern for their border and realize it’s four bags of groceries and they can’t do it until next Monday. So it’s terrible user experience because you go through all the investment upfront which may be what they’re after but then like that Hillary window is terrible. So hopefully Amazon can offer. Jason: [13:15] Yep that’s a universally bad experience that you see all the time right. Like I call it the when we get a problem and there’s lots of permeation where you go hey I’m ordering this thing online for you know my nephew’s birthday party or some upcoming event. I only want to order it if I know I can get it by a certain date. And very often you can’t find out what that date is until after you’ve offered up all your payment details and in some cases not even then. So that’s that’s just always a bad experience and you’re right. It’s a it’s a super common bad experience on grocery ordering. Scot: [13:50] Protip i just throw an apple in there and start the checkout in the middle. Jeremy tell me what the window is and then there’s the ability that to either. Jason: [13:55] Yeah but how ridiculous is it that you that you have to learn how to hack the system to do that and think of other analytics that are like why can’t we sell any apples our conversion rate on Apple is horrible or a cardabandonments superhigh. Scot: [14:08] Now. Yeah. To me that’s a sign that that’s their punishment for for for not telling me of. Jason: [14:14] Yet double protip next time you want to do that click on the Google product listing ad for the app or to test it in there so they have to pay for the quick to yeah I’m a bad person. Scot: [14:23] Kate nice. So they’ll get your devious Saari like. Jason: [14:29] And so there this this last piece of news which is going to be interesting I could see this going either way. Party City has formed a partnership with Amazon where they are now selling their goods on Amazon right. And you know when you first hear that you go home party sell city sells third party products that they don’t make. Why would a retailer want to sell someone else’s stuff on Amazon when that you know someone else can also sell that stuff. So it’s pretty hard to have a competitive advantage there and obviously you have to give away the the margin from Amazon’s take rate. Party City does contract manufacture some of their own things and I think a lot of what we’re going to sell on Amazon are Halloween costumes. So in some cases these are are things that are exclusive to party city. But then you look out in the world and you go gosh most retailers are primarily focused on on owned brands or exclusive products primarily as a strategy to compete against Amazon. So it’s interesting that cities creating some of their own desirable products and embracing Amazon as a platform to sell them. So I just haven’t hadn’t seen that particular dynamic play out in this exact way before and I’m gonna be curious to watch how it plays out. Scot: [15:48] Yeah you know that will be interesting. And it was a really weird week news wise because Amazon that’s kind of the of the Amazon news and usually we have like 50 things we can talk about talk about, that that being said a lot of other retailers had pretty interesting news it’s kind of the time of year where we’re getting the same store sales and updates from YouTube. So Wal-Mart had a lot to say this week. Watch to kick us off with some highlights from that. Jason: [16:15] Yeah yeah. In general I think if you’re a fan of retail it was a pretty exciting earnings season this quarter. So Wal-Mart came in with a 6 percent year over year growth in their same store sales which was a beat over there. Their expectation in the U.S. It was a 4 percent year over year growth which is still beat the expectation. That’s the highest growth in same store sales and Wal-Mart in ten years. So that’s a huge win. They also announced a 40 percent increase in their e-commerce growth. And they they reaffirmed that their guidance for the whole year is that they’re going to grow Econ. by 40 percent. Some listeners may remember last quarter they only grew by 33 percent and, the market beat them up a little bit because the market was promised 40 percent for the whole year and they only turned 33 percent in that first quarter and Erwin’s like how are you going to make it so this quarter they hit40 percent so they still have some makeup to do. But but trending in the right direction and 40 percent growth, it at Wal-Mart is a big number I give you know you know anyone other than Amazon you know Wal-Mart e-commerce business is very big it’s north of 15 billion dollars so growing that by 40 percent is pretty darnimpressive. Scot: [17:32] Yeah. And as a reminder the bay side of e-commerce growth is 15 percent so that’s you know a two to three acts based on. Jason: [17:39] Yet. And we’re Pragyan to have to talk about that again later because that that 15 percent is feeling increasingly fishy as as we look at all the news here, but one of the things that’s super interesting for a retailer is that traffic is actually up in the stores right. So there’s things you can you can control by changing your experience in your pricing and all these sorts of things. But like one of the you know the biggest needle’s most difficult to move is to get more people to show up in your store and do more shopping and at Wal-Mart in the U.S. Foot traffic was up 2 percent in the stores. And the size of the average ticket was up 2 percent. So those are two super favorable metrics that at Wal-Mart scale translate into a lot of gross margin dollars which is pretty exciting. If you’re a Wal-Mart investor so super Rosy. [18:34] I like to remind people a couple of the underlying reasons why some of those numbers particularly the e-commerce numbers were so good. So in their earnings announcement they also said that they were now at 8500 locations where you could order groceries online and pick them up in the store. And so it’s my contention that a big chunk of their 40 percent growth is that they keep adding more stores that offer curbside pickup right. So normally when you talk about e-commerce you kind of think of it as this big homogeneous thing and oh we sold one billion dollars across the whole U.S. online last year and this year we sold one point five billiondollars. That’s great. [19:15] Your goods online are generally available anywhere in the country but curbside pickup groceries aren’t right. You can only sell curbside pickup groceries in a zip code where you have a store that can fulfill those orders. And so the fact that they only had 1000 stores last year that could fulfill those orders and they have 1300 stores now means they essentially doubled their capacity. So it’s not surprising that there are e-commerce growth was so high as well. And so I’ve actually talked to analysts like you you really need to think about digital grocery sales sort of as analogous to same store sales like you really want to see a number that says what was my e-commerce in theset of stores that I had last year. And then what was my incremental growth from new stores that I opened this year. Scot: [20:02] Yeah. So you can make the argument that they’re kind of like you know playing a shell game and moving stuff out of the store piano and into the e-commerce know what which sounds like there’s a little bit goingon, but the fact that still you know same store sales were 6 percent indicates that you know they maybe there’s a fair amount of incrementally in there with the Grocery pickup that that there are not. Does it seem to be cannibalizing the store side of the business. If if if it’s growing 6 percent. Jason: [20:30] Yeah and there are a bunch of interesting dynamics. We’ll have the deep dive into another time. But it’s funny the things you are willing to buy and that you do and don’t spend your money on when you walk through this door and put all your products in the cart tend to be different than the things you’re willing tobuy when they’re anonymously put in your trunk in the parking lot. And so they’re they’re actually like there is some evidence now that consumers are willing to buy more unhealthy food for curbside pickup than they are in the store when all their neighbors are going to see them with thebig tub of ice cream in the cart, for example. Which I find is interesting. Wal-Mart in addition and this curbside pickup which I of course I’m very bullish on Wal-Mart is also playing a placing a big bet on home delivery of groceries from a store and they said that they’ll have, coverage in 40 percent of the U.S. Population by the end of this year so that that is scaling as well. And I think they made some some announcements a little earlier in the month that they were exploring some interesting automation to help pick products to expedite those grocery deliveries in the curbside delivery. So lot of investments in that space. It’s a hot space in grocery overall. [21:42] And you know as the executives were talking about the climate that was driving this you know they were pretty clear. They’re like hey the number one reason that we had such a good quarter is the consumer backdrop is so favorable. And I think that’s a theme where we’re going to hit you know again later in the show. Scot: [22:04] Yeah absolutely. The there was some third party news where you can now so Olmert had a marketplace. And now you can return those products and the story used to be if you bought a third party online you couldn’t return it to the store which was super confusing for people. So consumers get confused by the whole third party thing. So you know this is this is a huge win for the marketplace because now you have a similar experience to any Wal-Mart item you can buy it on line or turn it online or return the store. Jason: [22:41] Yeah and I imagine that that’s a huge benefit to consumers and pretty annoying to a bunch of marketplace sellers that are now forced into more generous terms than potentially made economic sense for them. Scot: [22:57] Call did you want to move on to target or any other Wal-Mart stuff you want. Jason: [23:02] I guess one last Wal-Mart note Wal-Mart made another investment this quarter of 500 million dollars in a Chinese online grocery service during a grocery in China is huge. There are a bunch of big players. Wal-Mart has stores in China. It’s one of the international markets that they continue to fight for. And it’s interesting to see them still in growth in investment mode as people remember they made a big investment last quarter in Flipkart in in China which makes 500 million dollar investment almost seem like chumpchange. But but very clearly you know that China is still a huge digital land grab and all the big global players want to want to have a strong presence there. Scot: [23:47] Yeah. One other aquisition thing there. They did close out the acquisition of Flipkart. When you when you do these big international deals governments get involved and you know there is risk in there that you know either India or someone in the U.S. There’s this whole foreign investment board thing that can kick in and say you know we have a problem with this. This acquisition and this example is you know a lot of that happens around China. So because U.S. has a friendly relationship with India I wouldn’t see it go that way but it is very squirrelly about retailers out of the country coming in. So it is good news that they were able to close that flip. Jason: [24:26] Yeah I’m sure that that was a sigh of relief for all the folks in Bentonville. Scot: [24:31] Yes. Literally the day after Wal-Mart this week then Target announced and it was kind of funny because there was a little bit of shade being thrown there. So there same store sales were up six point five percent which is you know 500 basis points higher than Wal-Mart and it was the highest in 13 years. So they know a lot of people listeners that show kind of noticed that target use a lot of the similar language but that had know slightly better results than Wal-Mart. That was kind of funny. Their CEO. You know I think it was a little bit giddy with excitement. So Brian Cornell he said quote I’ve been doing this for a long time. I think this is the healthiest environment I’d ever seen. End quote. So clearly the economy has you know kind of. And if you look at a lot of the data I will belabor it but if you look at consumer price index, unemployment is way down and then even now we’re starting to see wages go up across a lot of different bands not just college people but hourly employees. So. So it feels like these guys are feeling it. You and I have a little bit of another theory. We’ll talk about after this. But that’s benefiting the department stores. [25:50] But what are. E-commerce was up 41 percent versus 36 percent last year. And then they have same day delivery in 11 areas. You and I have been talking on Twitter as I go through different targets. So I was down in South Carolina at a target and I saw him installing the same day delivery the curbside pickup there and stopping at a lot of stores around here. And there are currently 800 stores. And then you know they have been investing a ton and owned brands. One of the most popular ones is cat Jack that has reached a two billion dollar run rate in a year which is just amazing. And I can say as a guy that just took two kids to college you know more and more of the stuff you buy at Target especially if you get like dorm furniture and seasonal seasonals is is kind of brands. They have one called Room Essentials and I think we personally. Yeah. The silver dollars on Room Essentials for college kids. Jason: [26:50] Yeah I mean I think that’s a super common strategy that we’re seeing a lot of traction on his own brands. But Kevin Jacques is particularly amazing. I mean imagine any any company watching a new consumer brand and getting that two billion dollars in sales in one year. That’s that’s pretty spectacular. Scot: [27:08] Where did that go. So like what did they displaced think. Jason: [27:13] Baby Gap. Now I’m being slightly sarcastic Baby Gap did have a gap had a bad quarter. But why. Most beneficial Babies R Us is a big chunk of Toys R Us. And so you know I think there’s an argument that that target was a good beneficiary of that. Toys R Us closing their stores this quarter. Whether that was all. Kevin Jacques or not. I’m less clear. But but they’re killing it. But the eye popping number out of all that target news to me was that their store traffic climbed six point four percent. So that’s a huge number that you’re not used to seeing in a well-established retailer. And just to put that in perspective for people I want to see a target it has about 1100 stores so, having their traffic increased by six point four percent is the equivalent of they magically had 110 more stores that just opened for free this quarter. That’s amazing. Scot: [28:20] Yeah and one of the. You know they don’t quantify it but they did have a lot of superlatives around what they called it. They had a Prime Day sale both online and in-store if I recall they did call out on their conference call that that that had some you know some really good benefits for them. And Jim. Jason: [28:36] Yeah. Yeah I think they definitely got the nice Amazon Prime Day kiss. Scot: [28:42] Yeah thanks dimsum. So as we were going over this we thought it was kind of interesting because the economy is doing well. But really look what’s changed in the last 30 days. And when you dig into that I think what’s happening here is Mollah again. So so in an ironic twist of fate we want to update you guys on store closures but we think that this is having an impact on Wal-Mart and Target. You know the simple example is Toys R Us closing has created you know a huge opportunity even party city we talked about before. Everyone is adding toys Barnes Noble’s adding toys. I think that’ll be you know they’ll be OK. But I think consumers are thinking about that. Now when you think about toys you really have two choices Wal-Mart Target and Halloween. And back to school so so it can be interesting but we’re two thirds through the year and we thought it would be good to havea Maalik get an update. So the way this plays out is so far this year. So again this is through mid August when this data is collected. We’ve had 4000 379 store closures and two thousand two hundred thirty nine opens. I think it’s important look at this data because I see online a lot of times that there is no retail apocalypse. There’s you know for every store that closes there’s five that opened and they’ll talk about war or something likethat. [30:07] That’s just flat wrong. So this is the real data. This is announced closure so it’s hard to know exactly when a retailer is opening a store or closing it. So these are announced opens and announce closures. So you net those two numbers out you get about 2000 fewer stores. [30:23] Now looking back OK that’s that’s kind of where we are in 2018. If you look back last year and again 2018 is two thirds of a year so we’ll probably have some more. And in fact since the 15th when this data comes out there there have been more or I’ll give highlights on last year. There are 7000 closures. So you know I don’t think we’ll get to 7000 this year. There have to be quite a lot. And then there’s 3000 opens. So last year there was a net loss of 2800 stores. So I do think we will probably replicate that you know. All we need is another 6 700 stores to be announced. And I think we’ll get there. So we’ll see. So for example Sears just announced today 46 more stores and then Lowe’s announced they’re going to close something called or worker. Jason: [31:12] Orchard Supply Hardware. Scot: [31:14] There you go. That’s news to me and that’s about 100 stories. The other thing is that that kind of gets missed in a lot of these conversations is the square footage right. So it’s easy to lose a Toys R Us and you gain a I don’t know a word. You know a 2000 square foot Wabby showroom. You know what. What’s the difference in the square footage. So there are some Wall Street firms. Chris was really good data on this. They’re projecting so. So they had they said 2017 was the worst year in since 2001 when we were in a recession then and it was a 100 million square feet that closed 110. [31:58] They think this year will be about the same. So it’s I guess it’s good in that it’s not accelerating but we’re not losing a 100 million square feet of retail which can’t be good. And then when you start to look at some of the stores that are closing we’ve talked about some of them but some of the ones that are opening for example Dollar General’s opening 900 stores Aldi 5 below is opening 125. So I think what you’re seeing is this really interesting kind of to kind of speak to the bifurcation that Casey has introduced to us. A lot of the show you’re seeing the value oriented retailers really opening a lot of stores. But the convenience and and there are some of those things and there like a would be but we’re being open like you know 36 stores they’ve announced. [32:45] Then you have like Inochi opening 18 there’s just no countering the the other side of that coin where you know 46 Sears I think of the size of those things that’s going to be worth, you know 90 or 150 warbirds or something like that 50. Jason: [33:00] So a lot of tests dealership’s Exactly. Scot: [33:02] Yeah. Yeah so. So it is interesting to kind of think through that. Now the other thing that’s really interesting is, I know a lot of people in the real estate world and for the first time ever in just Aeriel the price of industrial space exceeds retail space. Our mall space. So there’s a lot of mall space out there it’s heavily discounted. You see things. Another big one that’s a problem is this Bonneton I’m not that familiar with these guys. There are evidently in with a lot of these years that are closing in on these analysts also do this the math that says if you lose two anchors you’re pretty much toast. So what’s Bonneton announced they are closing I think about 200 stores that put a big chunk of malls at risk. Solok 100 store you know kind of half the band tines probably will make some malls fail. So this put extreme pressure on the retail pricing in malls specifically. So now you are seeing industrial which is essentially like warehouse space. The square footage there it’s in such supply Amazon and all these people are going up and buying all they can get. They are now seeing that invert for the first time ever which is pretty interesting. Jason: [34:10] Yeah it’s super fascinating and probably explains why Amazon opened the fulfillment center in an abandoned mall this year. Scot: [34:17] Yeah yeah. Amazon just opened another famous here center here in the Triangle. And they had to put it kind of a pretty good distance out because there’s just like you know and at the same time they’re they’re building million square foot fulfillment centers and 2 million. So. So the amount of land they need is going up. So it’s pretty interesting. Jason: [34:37] Yeah it’s it’s very fascinating to just put those the net store counts in some context. I think it’s possible that the 2017 was the first year in like the history of tracking retail that we had net store closures. So I bet that is not the normal trend like you know even in years like the 2008 when we were having a real challenge. There were still more store openings than there were closing and so the fact that last year we actually lost net number of stores. And we’re going to again this year and to your point like probably more severe when we look at square footage than store counts. That is absolutely a disruptive new trend in the market. And so like I’m perfectly fine jumping on the bandwagon with you and talking about Mawle again because you know I do think this this is an Armageddon for a lot of the malls in the U.S. I’m less willing to talk about retail Armageddon because I do think. [35:47] That there’s a lot of segments of retail outside the mall that have far fewer headwinds than the mall based retailers have. And you know so I like retailers absolutely being disrupted but right now like digital is certainly one of the big factors I would argue there are other other factors that are contributing to it as well. But as we’ve talked about on the show a lot the U.S. is uniquely over stored with 24 square feet of space per person versus like the UK where they have five square feet of space per person. So even if retail was going to grow revenue and be healthy we still have way too many, stores and so the fact that that we’re having a correction in that like to me alone isn’t isn’t super worrisome. But but I think what we’re seeing is even when the economic factors are really good like they are this quarter and in Wal-Mart and Target are giddy. It’s not. It’s affecting different retailers in different segments, at dramatically different rates and so it’s that rising tide is not lifting all boats lifting a bunch of boats and it’s weaving a number of those boats boats in the malls in dry dock. Scot: [37:04] Yes it’s a really interesting set up thinking about holiday 18 because we’ve got the economy really cooking. You’ve got less competition because these stores are closing. And then you’ve got Wal-Mart and Target kind of heading into September with what feels like a really robust tailwind. So it’s going to be a pretty interesting holiday to see how things come out. And then you kind of teased this earlier that the thing that continues to befuddle me is you know everyone talks about e-commerce growing 15 percent. I just checked the U.S. Commerce data. They came out with Q2 it like 15 percent like fifteen point five percent e-commerce growth. But here we have now we know Amazon reported you know kind of in the high 20s. Wal-Mart and Target are in the 40s. Platforms like shopper fire in the 20 30 percent the only the only company I know of that’s below 15 percent is eBay. Kind of like six to nine percent. [38:05] So it just really continues to not add up for me where if we take the biggest guys Amazon’s half of e-commerce Wal-Mart is is a big chunk. A lot of times Apple gets counted in here. Apple had a great quarter. I don’t understand there has to be like when you do the math there has to be like a slice of 10 percent that’s growing minus a thousand percent for e-commerce. Only growing 15 percent. So I keep coming to this conclusion that I think e-commerce has got to be growing faster than the 15 percent it just kind of mathematically has to so well that someday, we’re going to get to the bottom and build a table and really dig in on it but not today. Jason: [38:47] No. Very true. It’s going to be interesting to see as it becomes a more important part like accurate data is going to become more important. And like we we just don’t have numbers we can rely on right now for the actual size of e-commerce and the growth. So, something we’ll probably talk about a lot more. But there are a number of other odds and ends in the news that I want to make sure we saved just a little bit of time to cover. So again I don’t want to brag. Chicago feels like the the new retail e-commerce capital of the world like we get all the new stuff first. And this this month Google announced that they’re going to open their first permanent store. And of course they have chosen Chicago for that store so Google has done a bunch of pop ups. I think we’ve talked about some of them on the podcast before. They’ve done one in Tribeca the last couple of years selling all their their Google branded products. But the first permanent Google store is going to open up here in Chicago and there really hasn’t been a lot of word about like, what the goal of the store will be is it predominantly selling pixel phones in, google home voice products you know or you know is it going to sell third party products and so it’s going to be interesting to see what that looks like and I will look forward to doing a trip report when this store open. Scot: [40:09] You can only camp out for the Amazon go store in Chicago or the Google store which winning in a. Jason: [40:15] I would do the Google story because I had been Amazon go store so it just you know for me it will be newer. And I guess I’m I’m less certain what I’m going to see in it. Scot: [40:27] I remember you gave a trip report to Google pop up store and you were not happy. There was some V.R. thing that didn’t work and they didn’t understand a pixel question you had. So I don’t know. We’ll see. I think the bar is going to be set high for them to do a major. Jason: [40:44] Yeah. Right. Retail is very hard. And you know so some of these digital companies that that’s not their core business you know find it out the hard way when they first started trying to have these these directconsumer experiences. Scot: [40:56] Yeah I saw two interesting digital native vertical brand news items. So in the empty your movement watches and this is interesting because they kind of both fit in a theme I thought that was kind of interesting so I called the the analog dinosaur by as the digital diva. So they sold their company for 100 million dollars cash upfront plus a hundred million dollar earn out to movado. So a traditional watch company buying the direct consumer kind of digital native brand. And then as part of announcement it was revealed that a company had 70 million dollars in revenue run rate which is, you know so against 100 million that’s maybe like a little bit more than one times one and half times revenue which isn’t too exciting but if they can get their turnout at 200 million then you’re talking three times that. That’s that’s pretty good when there was more secret. So I don’t have any juicy numbers but it is in this theme is their traditional mattress company Surtur acquired tough to needle one of the many Casper like kind of mattress and box companies. [42:00] And what’s interesting about that release was a couple of things. Number one they specifically said the reason we bought this these guys is we’re going to have them build a whole platform for certain. So I guess it of doesn’t really sell direct to consumer. And this is probably driven by the chaos in the mattress world that the mattress firm announced that they’ll probably go into bankruptcy, and sort of is owned by a private equity firm and there’s a lot of speculation that private equity firm kind of has to buy the Mattress Firm because there that’s like some ginormous chunk of their revenue. [42:37] And then a lot of people have been wondering about Mattress Firms because there’s kind of a you can hardly drive a block you know in these strip malls without you know sometimes you see pictures on mine ofMattress Firms effectively next to each other. And so there are there were clearly overbuilt on Mattress Firms. Another little tidbit of that is they did say they believe sort of said they believe 30 percent of mattresses are now bought through e-commerce and this was kind of there. You know it was fed to them saying hey this is pretty serious we need to get involved. Jason: [43:14] Yeah that certainly seems like an industry that was disrupted like the traditional model is pure wholesale model and has come of the slimy version of a wholesale model like all these Matt mantra’s companies makeunique models of their mattress. For every retailer so that the retailers can all offer price matching guarantees knowing that they’re the only ones in the world that carry that particular sort of mattress for example and so that the whole model is wholesaledistribution, and you know of course they’ve been disrupted by all these direct to consumer matters companies Casper and Tupman needle and you know I think there’s a cohort of like six of them. So yeah not not shocking that you’re seeing the old guards you know play defense by trying to acquire the new guard. [44:05] I also you know there were a bunch of other retail earnings reports we’re not going to deep dive into all of them. But T.J. Maxx which you know there they’ve been a very good position in the market place for a long time with the value oriented retailers. They had another beat this year this quarter. That’s them them having a quarter is impressive because they’re working against pretty aggressive comps so some of these retailers that have had you know sort of a lot of bad quarters, you know announcing that your growth was good against those soft sales in the past isn’t as impressive as as it is for like a T.J. Maxx Macy’s had a really good quarter. They had a beat. [44:47] They also credited the sort of turnaround in the consumer environment as a major factor and they I think actually raised their guidance for the rest of the year. So that that’s encouraging. You know they’re they’re the big anchor left in most of those distressed malls so you know they’re going to be particularly interesting to watch, Nordstrom had a beat you know Nordstrom is normally viewed as kind of the safest of the the the anchor stores and the department stores and so you know they’re working against decent comps and they were up 4percent same store sales. Their economy was up 23 percent which sounds modest compared to some of the companies we talked about earlier. But to your point that still dramatically above what allegedly is our industry average growth. So you know doesn’t doesn’t seem to jibe. And then one last piece of news that was interesting to me on this show talked a little bit about own brands and retailers investing in that strategy. And you know I see it a lot that that’s one of retailers primary strategies for defending themselves against Amazon has sell stuff that Amazon can’t sell. [46:06] Kroger has an own brand called simple truth which is actually the largest organic foods brand in the U.S. And an interesting piece of news I noticed this month Kroger is now selling simple truth on teamo. So this seems like a extra benefit of doing well in the own brand. Most retailers really struggle to expand geographically and just because you’re a good grocer in the U.S. Moving to China and trying to open grocery stores in China is really challenging and you know the most retailers don’t successfully expand internationally the way they’d like. But when you build these own brands and then you can leverage existing marketplaces to expand those brands internationally. That seems like a much lower risk higher likelihood of success waited to diversify their revenue into international expansion. So I wouldn’t be surprised to see a lot more of those kind of plays and certainly we mentioned Captain Jack earlier that that seems like an obvious one to see some some international expansion on. [47:17] So that is a lot of news. And I want to remind listeners that we’re coming up very soon. Less than three weeks away is the annual shop dot org Summit in Las Vegas. It’s the 12th through the 14th if you haven’t made your plans yet. Go ahead and book that trip. I will be there and would love to catch up with any listeners that are going to be in Las Vegas this year. And that is going to be where we’re going to have to see that because it’s happened again. We’ve used up our allotted time. As always if you have any questions or comments about the show please jump onto ourFacebook page and we’ll keep the dialogue going there. And you know now would be a great time to finally thank us for this podcast by jumping on iTunes and giving us that five star review. That’s really the best way for you to thank us if you are finding the show to be valuable. And of course if you’re not finding the show valuable the best way is to call Scott on his personal number and talk to him about your Greven. Scot: [48:22] Absolutely. I look forward to hearing this. Jason: [48:24] And so until next time. Happy Commercing.    

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP141 - Liraz Margalit, Web Psychologist

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 22, 2018 42:26


Liraz Margalit, PhD, is a Web Psychologist, a Keynote Speaker and Head of Behavioral Research at Clicktale. She integrates Cognitive Psychology and Behavioral Economic perspectives to analyzes online consumer behavior and delivers actionable insights for business stakeholders. In this interview, we cover Liraz's background, digital body language, the mobile mindset, and the role of emotion in shopping. Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 141 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Tuesday, August 7th from the eTail East tradeshow in Boston. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this episode is being recorded live at the e'tae least trade show in Sunny Boston on Tuesday August 7th I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg unfortunately Scott had a personal conflict and wasn't able to make this show so you guys are stuck with just me but we have some great guess this week and first up we are excited to have dr. Laura's mark delete from cooked tail on the show or as is head of Behavioral research cook tail and she's going to share some fascinating psychological research that that she's been conducting about online Shoppers and their behaviors welcome to the show with us. Liraz: [1:10] Thank you I'm very blessed to be here. Jason: [1:12] The president Charlie R's one thing I was like to do to get things started on the show is just for a little bit of background about the guest so maybe you could take just a minute and tell us how you came into the doesn't seem like online marketing is necessary the first place you think of her psychology. Liraz: [1:29] So interesting the fact that there is no such a degree in web sites out or web psychology or digital say Call of Duty and people keep coming to me and ask, how can I become a psychologist and there is no one answer so for me I have a PhD in Psychology. Specialize in decision-making processes and cognition also Game Theory and over the past 5 years I've been utilizing model from cognitive psychology neuropsychology and behavioral economics how we can understand and identify customers behavior and did you deter work because we know that there is a slight difference and you don't like it's not so slide, there are differences between how people behave online and in the physical world and they are communicating frankly even their personality trait. James like if someone is an extrovert become an introvert and vice versa so I think there is a huge need to understand how people behave in those Windows media and those Arenas so a disability. Jason: [2:37] That's very cool and I'm excited to dig into it before we go too deep maybe we should tell our listeners just a little bit about cooked tail for anyone that's not for me. Liraz: [2:45] Sure she looks so cute Bella is an experience analytics company so what we do is that we, how to analyze and understand the customers Behavior the motivation for example what makes them motivate them to purchase certain products and why they would has it, before clicking on a call to action their Journey at the differences we can have different Behavior patterns we're talking about, thousands of visitors all together so we can take a view of individual visitor of thousands of visitors all together and this is how we can have heat inside into what's going on in your mind before deciding to purchase or to leave website or what is there Experian. Jason: [3:32] Wonderful in the way I sort of think of it there's lots of tools out there that I'll call Page analytics tools that sort of keep track of how I consumer moves from page to page and what unique about could tell as in my mind you were one of the very first tools that were what I'll call on page Analytics and you could actually see all the micro behaviors of the consumer wow they're spending time on a page so are they you know are they scrolling are they hovering I mean not I know there's a small part of it but like. Gray superficially I think people always think about the heat maps and understanding where like the real fold is on the page how far down is the consumer really going. Liraz: [4:10] Exactly so there is a common mistake that we are a heat map company goes much deeper than heatmap so if you think about it I can understand how you feel I can understand what you are going to remember from The Experience only based on how you interacted with the different pages I can under, if you're going through shift from positive to negative negative to positive and I can take, into consideration all your behaviors and actually see who you are or your personality traits are you crying to mine said so there is a whole lot of things we can detect only based on your micro-level behavior. Jason: [4:49] I feel like I'm never going shopping again I love online shopping and now I'm terrified that all my deepest secrets are going to be revealed by my my my mouse behavior. Liraz: [4:58] It's so now it's all I have. Jason: [4:59] Just made me very self-conscious. Liraz: [5:02] I have actually I can use it up for you because I don't care where you are I mean I care a lot about you. Like from we can we are not going to save the information about you the gender only based on what you doing what you did online so that's it and it means that I don't know who you are I can only see what you're doing online. Jason: [5:26] And that is it that is another interesting thing like a lot of times when people think about personalization or even, I I care more about relevancy necessary then personalization they think about like storing and collecting data and knowing who is user is individually and accumulating more insight that you can somehow use to change the experience one of the things that's that's cool about this field is you can use kind of contextual signals in a single session so I can be entirely Anonymous Shopper or shopper you've never before and you can instantly start getting some signals you can use to make the experience more relevant for her. Liraz: [6:03] Exactly exactly so is I look at it ice I've used the language model meaning that at the bottom of the mother we have the letters of course so these are like. Peaks and espola to have hers and then you go one level up and then we can talk about words for example if you click and butt before you click to hezzy. So I will call it hesitation are you at school really fast or really slow and then at the app we have the mindset for example if you are gorgeous. So I would see a direct action and then click so meaning that you know exactly what you're looking for and how to accomplish. On the website so I can actually understand your mindset if your focus if you're frustrated so this is like the the sentences in Thai language. Jason: [6:51] Very cool and it's this is maybe a silly analogy but the the expanse I feel like Moe's online consumers have had that makes this sort of apparent is the the little button I am not a robot. Right and everything goes well that's stupid like if I were a robot I would be able to quit that. I am in what what you're not realizing is that that which it is watching how you move your mouse, the button and the the unique way that a human being moves the mouse is different than the perfectly linear way and I'll order them is likely to do a. Liraz: [7:26] This is the magic word actually the house because actually my whole research is focus on the how customers behave and not what you're doing and also you know there are many many companies today. Dad or like your your detect that you use bad. I think that it doesn't matter because you know 70% of our day-to-day interactions are actually based on nonverbal signals meaning. Hope you're saying to one another so I can ask you if you like to come over and you will say yes because you are being polite but from the way you say from how you say I can infer that you really don't like to come over so it's about our body gestures and her facial expression when we're talking about the physical world but when were talking about the online it is also about the how is that it as you described right now. Jason: [8:14] Yeah it's super exciting let's jump right into it now you've done for the three big areas of research and I want at least be able to touch on all of the the first one is when we talk turn it down on the show we talk about this thing we call the mobile Gap right and in general you got all the traffic on the web is predominantly moving to mobile devices but if you're an e-commerce site people don't tend to shop as frequently and successfully on mobile devices that used to on desktop so you so that's a scary Trend and we're always talking about how sides can do better what we can fix in the customer experience and you know frankly you have a chance to settle up our way in on his dispute Scott and I always have without putting words in Scott's mouth while he's not here but he's not here so I might as well. He thinks some of that Gap is in friends and that it just harder to shop on mobile devices in the screens last. Liraz: [9:08] I would like technical issues. Jason: [9:10] Yeah not all of it I don't think you would say but I think he would you know just say hey it's West convenient and and I argue that a lot of it is inferior experiences and execution that as we get better we can remediate and and that we should expect to see. The mobile Gap certain Arab so I love to hear your perspective on that and tell us tell us a little bit about the study and what you learned. Liraz: [9:36] So yeah I'm sorry Scott but I will have to go with you or with your assumptions about it, if I say we we are calling it The Mobile man mindset meaning that I think exactly as you described we have a different mindset as we go on mobile and if you think about it it is done unconsciously it start with her body posture meaning that when you when you browse. Add to desktop when you add to your table to your straight up so he's actually affect who you are what you think what you do and when we on our mobile device where usually on the go and for us I would mobile we have an association between our Mobile in our social social life and we are. Conscious about about what we do and that is why we like to buy more precious thing on the mobile and you know our mobile is like an extension of our body so we treated completely differently you know. I thought that was conducted about people how they treat their mobile they found it if I will give you my mobile people we always start being jealous at you for touching my mobile if they make us feel more emotional about her mobile so also it from wanting that we have discovered is the three of you in completely different types of corn. [11:04] Lake Murray Sports Bar social media on our mobile Facebook and Instagram for for Generation Z and the desktop so. Most of us will also feel most secure like to complete the purchase so like there is a processing cycle you start with your mobile your brows for things and you landed at your desk but they also because we feel more emotional. When we are holding our mobile so we will be more people's purchaser meaning we we are not going to think about it too much we're not going to use a rational system because you know we have two different systems operating in or my system 1 system too so system to is the rational system. [11:50] And 61 is the emotional it is more at o matic so it is based on war base you don't. Too much so this is exactly how you behave on your mobile you don't, too much you play out of habit so this is a habit forming most of the mobile website or the mobile apps these are habit-forming apps and when you are like you lost yourself you don't think too much so that is why we will buy more I will be engaging more impulse purchase and for the desktop we are more self-aware and we are price-conscious and the reason address, because you have this big screen so so are exactly is called said so because you have this big screen this is an illusion that you can see clearly you can see all the details so I'll for some people most for the elderly guys out if they feel like they feel more safe to purchase order this. Jason: [12:48] Very cool and so and I imagine it's all somewhat relative like so for example I always talk about how in ux design Everyone likes to, to act very rational right and you know my promise is the overwhelming majority of all purchase decisions are made with that fast system they're made with the irrationals not that I work the subconscious portion of our brain and and so what you're saying is on the mobile device it's even more so. Into one of my takeaways from that is what you there's been this big Trend and they slightly misused word but we'll talk responsive-design like one one experience and it's just kind of fluid in a liquid so it can, Flex to fit a big desktop screen or small Mobile screen and well that's certainly better than have any experience that doesn't fit the screen it's probably not the optimal experience because your point, there there could be more emotional triggers that I want to deliver to someone on that mobile device and there might be more. Rational objective information that I want to deliver to that. Liraz: [13:56] Yeah definitely that's what I keep saying to our client it's not about the designer design shouldn't be different what you'd be different is the content. Contact because on the mobile we are on the ghost so mostly we are not, to be interested in all the details and information we want to to see images we want to be to have an access to the information and we want the more emotional con. Like like for example if you're talking about our social media so we want to be connected to our social media we want to know what my friend bought before me but on the desktop this is completely different on the desktop you want to review all the details, very carefully we want to have access to two Idol reviews so yeah it's not about the design it's about the content to be completely different and it should feed our minds at her mobile or desktop. Jason: [14:49] Yeah that's pretty cool until I think of that is sort of like on the desktop I might want a deep dive into all the reviews in the numerical rating. On the mobile I want to see a picture of the person from my social network that I know that that bought this product and had a good outcome yeah that's that's super interesting and exciting part of me it's sad because I feel like most designers work on these super expensive giant monitors and if anything they they did say their best most emotional visual experience is. For the big screen and then when they say hey what's the mobile experience they're like oh it's much smaller I'm just going to give him a thumbnail and give him. Attacks and and what you're funny cuz that's exactly opposite of the. Contacts to the user very interesting I can talk about mobile with you all day but I'm super interested to Diamond to the the next two studies and the next one that we were talking about is this. I think it's a huge opportunity for people to improve their customer experience it's shopping stress. Liraz: [15:56] Exactly so you know there are different tips to the shopping stress there different finding so first we know that for some of us, is like an addiction it's like you like to go shopping the same as you like to smoke it's relaxing and fun and you get to forget about yourself and just be like. When you play a mobile repair like mobile game so for some people it is exactly the same mostly women but. [16:25] I also some men that like to shop ever. Although we know that is supposed to be fun and enjoyable it can be all so it can also be stressful especially when we're talking about the checkout process and especially for men because what we have found that you that we can we have. [16:44] Different mindset for men and for women I think the differences between how men shop and how woman chokes is extremely important here. Because we said that men they want to find what they want to go shopping they know what they want. Ahead of time and they want to find it as quickly as possible looking for similarly related items and they are a price conscious and it's not about the fun it's not about the pleasure fat woman it's not about the end result so we found it sometime woman will enjoy the process itself they derive pleasure from The Experience they say calf and sensory stimulation when they are shopping so it's all about applying the associative thinking so they can start with I don't know why I baby back in skin care and they will find out go find himself they're going shopping for bags for example, so it's all about the pleasure in the fan and the association so you can see why it is less stressful for women if you are going to focus on the experience itself but for men if you are looking for something and you cannot find it especially play in the holiday season or if you really need something so then it become pretty stressful. Jason: [18:00] And it is interesting to me I often feel like the best opportunities to improve experiences and in increase conversion is shockingly sometimes it lasts about. More tools for task completion in more about this stress avoidance that like the low-hanging fruit is usually what can I take. Out of the experience that's causing the stressors and releasing like all those hormones into the bot like it's it's a. Liraz: [18:30] Espressos yeah exactly because what we see is the people the designer for example about the customer State of Mind what do you need like what would I need to find out they don't think about the actual experience so let me give you one example we found that the most stressful thing for some people is that they are entering a voucher or there is a voucher and they don't have it so they keep comparing himself to the other people because we are all engaging social comparison so oh my God. I could have this item in the lower price and I can't have it even if it is even if it is not so we need to think about this ecology over customers because those types of things they are what make them stressed. Jason: [19:22] Yes and that that particular use cases a huge pet peeve because not only is it it hideous it's at the exact wrong point it's at the very end of that purchase. They're 99% of the way through and you just said a new anchor change their pricing perception and made them feel like they're stupid if they make this purchase. Without a and none of us none of us like to feel that way another one that I talk a lot about is just the underlying Speed and Performance of the the site and it's shocking to me how much stress it induces just when the page loads slow or a button someone clicks. Liraz: [20:01] Because you feel wasn't what went wrong and oh my God what about my money because whenever it comes to your money because if you think about it. Long I mean of course we have the internet for many years now but still like the money is going somewhere we cannot see it's not like we can feel the actual money so everything about what's going on with the transaction can make a really really stressful even if you just like a slight error and everything because and then even if it was a slight error and everything comes back to normal afterwards we will still. Have a negative feeling about experience this is the. Jason: [20:42] Yeah that memory effect from that so there's a steady out and I'm terrified some was going to do bunk this study because it's one of my favorite studies in the space but they weren't they were studying, the the level of stress induced meant from different experiences and the Baseline was watching a horror movie and and they actually found that like, the average subject was releasing more cortisol and having you no more of a stress reaction to a slow mobile page. And watching a horror movie and I think that's hysterical like the most talented creative people in the world that are intentionally trying to stress you out. Just having a slow web page can accomplish the same experience on the part of the user. Liraz: [21:28] Exactly and you know what's the interest another interesting finding was that when I talkin about the holiday season so when you need. To buy to buy something you will feel much more stressful and then we can see more at disoriented behavior and because when we shop about a stand when any told about the van and we don't have a certain purpose purchasing then it could be relaxing and fun and we can avoid everything else in the neighborhood but when we need to do something it becomes press for, and we need to pay it. Jason: [22:00] And again like when you're getting practical advice to people and you're saying like so maybe that that best experience during a particularly task-oriented season like like a holiday season or your big annual sale needs to be different than the browsing experience that. Yeah any other like cheap pieces of advice that you give clients based on the emotion research. Liraz: [22:24] Yeah based on day is stress research so we know that we were actually analyze how men and women shop and we found that men that don't like the broad selection and Foot Woman if they don't have the road selection it's like they did in the if for example I'm going to buy seven jeans and I find exactly what I wanted like the exact same size as the exact course I will feel a frustrated because. It so if it's all about the shopping I like to have a road selection it's part of the fun to try it out in the brake and rotors service also when I talkin about the online experiences we need to have the accessories and we need to have a broad selection and we need something that fits the hours to see a patient so are we really need to create a different experience for men. Jason: [23:14] That that's super interesting and like so there's this a book in a principle that's out there in that a lot of women are familiar with the Paradox of choice right I think Dan ariely. Yeah and. Really smart guy lots of super interesting insides I feel like that particular inside is now. It has been difficult to repeat like that the whole notion that that the original test for westerners it maybe don't know is you bring a shopper to a Shelf with a bunch of jellies on it and if there's more. Liraz: [23:52] 54 vs 6 the word to two flavors are like they were trying to have the septic station of gems so in the grocery store that was at 21st flavors of jam and only six people of course came to the 24 but when I talking about how many purchase. Purchase three times more only six flavors. Jason: [24:18] Which is fascinating right inside the original inside there was. Liraz: [24:22] But this is Walden Diner really this is what she not anger but yeah he's talking about yourself. Jason: [24:27] Yeah he is talking about her study and he made it very popular by writing a consumer book and any is very approachable and joy is his reading quite a bit but. The takeaway from there was like oh my gosh Apple they have 47 different kinds of laptops and when Steve Jobs made them normalize it down to three laptops it reduce a lot of shopping stress and did all these things and and they sold a lot more and so they were suddenly this huge Trend towards curation. And I think what we've seen in further studies is there are context in which, that that affect is very real. Your point you know from the differences between men and women. Liraz: [25:08] Exactly depends but not for everyone. Jason: [25:10] Text where it's actually a mistake to assume that curation is. Liraz: [25:15] So it's all about Sigmund Tatian is all about I mean when I talk about personalization what is prisonization it's actually the realization that we have different types of customers so we have to provide them with different types of experiences and you know the two words that I hate the most in all these, online arena is. What are best practices we have a common basis for everyone we don't we don't we need to treat everyone as an individual and on state taste and this is the opposite of press. Jason: [25:54] Yeah but the actual technical definition of best practices is whatever I say. I'm totally teasing yeah but you're course right right in and it's I mean that's a cognitive bias to write like the clients are overwhelmed with all these decisions that they have to make and sometimes it just easier to Advocate some of these decisions and say hey what have people done before. And had a good outcome and what they don't understand is there's an unlimited number of variables that affected that outcome that are not the same. Liraz: [26:27] Sometimes you're not aware of all these variables. Jason: [26:29] Can't be in many cases it's it's it's fascinating but still for my clients just feel free to just take my advice. And is my clients hopefully no I don't recommend that either right like it's interesting to have hypothesis is but like it's it's really good to test those and pierpoint the old model of one-size-fits-all something and then you know that's why I like frankly we had all this a b testing and multivariate testing in the world for a long time and there's this interesting phenomenon. Conversions no better than it was 10 years ago everything regresses to the mean in mini case. And part of it's because the the experience that succeeded for Shopper age does not succeed for sure. Liraz: [27:16] And it's not only that because if you actually mentioned maybe says there is not a problem with a B test because when I talk to designers or two product analyst and they're trying out some tests they don't really have the notion. Maybe like the evidence we should maybe three work maybe it's not but it's not based on a committee the Samsung it's not based on psychological research and at the end of the day we are dealing with human being so it's not about okay so I have an idea let's try that it's about how people will behave in about reading the secret vehicle research and I know that you don't have time for this but it will at the end of the day of the long run we save you so much. Jason: [27:56] Yeah and it and then side note because most people are using his test to validate a preference rather than actually learn permit test like they're all so they're there generally the math is horribly flawed and people don't don't use proper sample sizes in the Simpson but we don't have time to talk about that you have a third study which I've only recently just wondering about an emotion so tell us about that. Liraz: [28:22] Right so we know that for example in the reported first a reason to release day Road brands that want to break away from the pack should focus on emotions, and you know what the part is I like the most is how an experience makes customer feel is a big influence on the loyalty to abandon Effectiveness series of using nearly every industry. And you know what we know it's not only Foster over the past five years we have been hearing about the significant fall off emotions and driving engagement and experience and brand awareness organization. No one really knows and no one really tells you how what is the mechanism behind it you know what's the relationship between emotions and experiences and how emotions can be utilized to drive digital experiences so this is exactly what we said to do and what you need to ask is how our brain, memorizes daily experiences and what do we need to be discussing his emotion emotion as a gateway to our memory. [29:23] Let me check with you a personal storage is to demonstrate it so it was a few minutes ago we were sitting in your family after Friday family dinner we were sitting in the living room and then my oldest daughter she turns to me and asked how we met her daddy so I told her the story I told her that I went because of my friends to a dance club and as we entered the club I saw him standing there the battery cover. And he was so good looking and then we went to the dance floor started dancing and after a few flat it looks he came over cancel my friend and ask if he can see me away from them. [29:57] And this is how we talk again and he is there sitting there listening to me telling the story and says oh my God liraz it was nothing like. [30:05] And for a minute there I was doing. But you wasn't eating and you know today after starting the dynamic nature of our memory I know that you wasn't kidding because our memory is greatly influenced by. Our recurrent mindset and our private stations in our emotions of course and that is why and this is very important lesson it doesn't matter what we need happened to the digital experience what matters is what we're going to remember from The Experience right so in order to study emotions in the digital world we have developed this mother According to which the emotions evoked are the result of our private stations and a recurrent mindset. [30:48] And by private spectation I mean the actual wrong. Interacting with digital work we have developmental model that guide our XP patient is to what to expect from different online experiences and what do I mean by mental model for example you are going to rest. [31:05] You know how to behave you know this need to wait for the hostess first date you know how to behave so we have mental after interacting with him so he's the actual interaction play online interactions meets our expectation it is considered to be an an event and no emotions are involved so for example if I want to buy a certain the product this is what I expected, and that's it but if the actual interaction at least below our expectation meaning that is -2 what we expected then the experience would be associated with a negative emotion however if their experience rises above our expectations then we can do, talk about Peak experiences and delight and then the experience will be associated with a positive emotion so it is extremely important to understand our products spectation in just to give you an example, there's something that we need to understand about our brain a brain did not develop as fast as our technology, in one of the basic human needs is the traffic control and the response to the loss of control is the same and it doesn't matter. [32:20] If you find the jungle fighting for a life if we are trying to possibly the street or if we are on stage in front of a big crowd so recently we have one of our clients music station do analyze the customers behavior on the pages and they were trying to push video content by having them load automatically. [32:36] On your pages so what me so when we observe the behavior is it whenever the customer and to the website and counted the video immediately clicked on the pause button. [32:46] 85% of the customers think I called you the video and click on the start button because clicking on the pulse by then put the control back into their own hands so it's not about the video was click and well-designed it's not about the video it's about our private station and our emotion and you know different emotions affect. Whole different functions today influence information processing in-memory in different ways and it is extremely important to understand it. Jason: [33:16] Andrew thinks of that autoplay video took the control away from me my expectation was birth control so there was this negative Delta of the experience versus my expectation and the. The further the Delta is from the the expectation positive or negative the more likely that emotion is to be preserved in our memory. Liraz: [33:42] I need it depends because if you think about it from ever and evolutionary. Negative experiences are quicker and more likely to form long lasting memories because. It is much more valuable to hold on to those negative experiences and there is something that we need to know about our brains memory system Brands memory system work something like a pen in and out. So for a brief time before the ink dries it's possible to smell what's written. Did the memories Consolidated it changes very little so you need to be self-aware about the emotions that are revoked in your websites and products. Jason: [34:21] Yeah and that's exactly what happened to you and your husband at your meeting right is you you both had this expectation and smudge the memory. The time and now they're heavily imprinted years later and I'm sure your memory was the accurate one by the. The another thing that's odd about that emotional memory that I've heard and tell me if I have this wrong but I've heard that sequence can also have some impact so we've always had this this piece of common advice that like the first and last experience in a a path are more likely to be imprinted in that memory than some of the inner. Yeah okay. Liraz: [34:57] So for example if you go on vacation so when let's say that you are visiting to different states so the shift. Between when you move from one state to another then you're going to print it as well. And I you know the continent has a really great analogy about emotion he says that in one of his letter in the Q&A session there was a man and the man says that he has been listening to Symphony and it was absolutely a glorious music I need the very end of the recording there was a dreadful stretching song, and any of the really quite emotionally it's ruined all experience for me I think about it it hasn't had to experience it had 20 minutes of Glorious music. Accounted for nothing because he was left with a memory the memory was ruined and the memory was hold your garden. Jason: [35:49] Yep and so I think there's even things like I have a three-year-old at home and you know going to the doctor or stressful and they give you all these immunization shots and now they like they give you a dose of sugar. At the end of the shots and I I presume that part of that is so that like the last. Liraz: [36:07] Find Alex. Jason: [36:08] Final experience that kid has is like a nice nice dose of Sugar Rush which I feel like every time I go shopping if someone would just give me a hit of caffeine at the end I feel like that would be a really smart. That's why I think it's interesting cuz I talked with plants a lot about. The the role of brand and Tumi brand works both ways there's a psychologist at Stanford Professor Samsung that does. Is a principle called the absolute value and essentially it's hey brand has often been a surrogate for Quality when we can't judge the quality of products we associate quality with the familiar brand but they didn't the modern world it's much easier to judge, the true quality of products we have access to all this information at our fingertips and in an environment where it's easy to get objective information. Brand becomes less important as a surrogate for Quality Inn. Liraz: [37:06] Yeah I think that it's not about the fact that Brands become less important it's about that people. Meaning of the growing flag of information goods and services the emerging middle in our memory and we cannot separate one brand from another and that is why, when our brain needs to choose a product for my multi to the product that are more that's the same characteristics the deciding factor will always be the emotions that are, so deciding to buy a certain brand has nothing to do with the features of and benefit of that product, think about your own smartphone how many of you can celebrate yours on the differences between your smartphone to the competition maybe if you like, most of us choose based on emotions that are attached to that bread so if there is an association between dead product in a positive emotion you think about the benefit you. You feel and you know Gladwell wrote in his book playing about the emotional shortcut hero they're the only way that you meant being could have ever survived the species for as long as we have, is that we have developed another kind of decision-making apparatus that is capable of making very quick judgment based on very little information, so if you have these emotional shortcut you don't need to think you just need to feel. Jason: [38:25] Yeah exactly and that's always liked it when I do that to Value thing to a very famous brand they're always just hard in like oh my my friends is valuable in and then that's my Counterpoint no brand still has super important roles it's it's a it's a shortcut to these emotions. Liraz: [38:42] Play The Association. Jason: [38:44] I can be permanently associated with these emotions now the one downside of that is the relative to expectations. The expectations. Go up with that brand and then it it becomes increasingly difficult for Apple which is already beloved if they make a product that like disappoints customers in anyway it's a negative association versus. Yeah Samsung where we're at. Liraz: [39:12] Yeah I wouldn't expect too much and yeah and it is very easy to disappoint our customers I think this is the most easiest thing in the world. Jason: [39:21] And in you mention that like you know most of us like pick our phone and couldn't, describe why we we pick it up I would even argue it's worst most people will try to describe it the rationalize it. And not even realize that actually those rational reasons you just ate it had nothing to do. With why you until I always like on the internet where this big Echo chamber and you know you follow my Twitter feed and you'll see thousands of studies and all these studies are like surveys of stated preferences and I hate those two studies because again those are consumers that are rationalizing why they did something instead of observed study. Liraz: [39:59] Yeah we keep seeing these in psychological studies there is a God. People weekly inhabited really feel and you know what it's not because you're lying to you. Not lying it's because we just don't have it true regarding what motivates our behavior and there is a great experiment that was recently conducted the demonstrated so customers brainware scan using fmri device. And this technique measure changes in blood flow to correspond to increase and decrease in mental activity and the interesting finding all that customers were showing different products is part of the go-to-market strategy of these brother and interesting be if customer declares that is going to purchase a certain product but it was not an increase in the emotional brain Terraria those products usually felt, so it's not about asking people it's about trying to find out a different measurement to understand how they felt. Jason: [40:52] Very cool and that's actually going to be a great place to leave it because it's happening again we've used up all our a lot of time. And I know it it it goes too fast and I could deep-diving a bunch of these topics with you would be be fascinating but it wouldn't want to continue the conversation or they have further questions we have a Facebook page they're welcome to go to Facebook and post questions and I'll be happy to forward them to you. Liraz: [41:16] Always would be great. Jason: [41:17] We we can continue. The Dying Light there is listeners want to get in touch with you directly are you like is there a you have a preferred like you are you active on Twitter or do you. Liraz: [41:28] Sure on Twitter on LinkedIn and of course if they are going to post question to the Facebook I will be more than happy to address the person. Jason: [41:37] We we sure appreciate it I will put your links and our show notes and as always if you enjoyed Today Show we sure would appreciate it if you jump on the iTunes and give us that 5-star review there still rational listeners that want to read those. Does does reviews to pick a pod and you know you can imagine Scott and Jason's great looking pictures if you if you want to go with it emotional reason to listen to our podcast but thank you guys very much in until next time, happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP140 - Stripe Head of Stripe Issuing, Lachy Groom

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 10, 2018 32:16


EP140 - Stripe Head of Stripe Issuing, Lachy Groom Lachy Groom is the head of issuing at Stripe. Stripe is a payment processor that provides a set of tools to help businesses accept payment online.  Their clients include Warby Parker, Wish, and Target.  Lachy was the 30th employee at Stripe, he leads Stripe Issuing which is an end-to-end platform for quickly creating, distributing, and managing physical and virtual cards. In this interview, we cover Lachy's background, the range of Stripes services, the state of online payments, mobile payment best practices, digital wallets, and marketplaces. Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 140 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Friday, August 3, 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:29] Welcome to the jason and scott show. This is episode one, forty, being recorded on friday, august third, two thousand eighteen. I'm your host, jason retail, g, goldberg. And, as usual, i'm here with your co host, scottwingo. Scot: [0:43] Hey, jason, and welcome back, jason's got show listeners. Well, jason, one of our favorite topics on the show, and certainly something near and dear to your heart, is payments on dhere in two thousand eighteen. You cannot think about payments without thinking about one of the top payment companies out there. Stripe we're very excited tohave on the show, laki groom, who is the head of Stripe, issuing here with us today, he is employee number thirty, and we're excited to have you lucky. Welcome to the jason scott show. Lachy: [1:15] Thanks very much for having me. Jason: [1:18] We're super excited, and i'm eager to jump into payments. But before we do, one of things we always like to do on the show is, have our guests give a little bit of a background of their career and sort of how theycame to the role. And particularly in your case, it seems like Stripe was still a very small, entrepreneurial company. When you came to them. So could you. Could you give us the kind of ah, the version of your career project progression? Lachy: [1:43] Sure so i i started seven in online development startups things of that nature pretty young my my granddad actually taught me html when i was a kid, which got me pretty fascinated with the internet and from there i had a, i started a business creating websites for friends and family and that sort of just, just grew into servicing clients around the world on di i got started in and sort of something tangentially related to payments when i started a company called card nap which is a was a gift card marketplace, on dh ii build this side out in australia it looked pretty similar to a company called plastic jungle here in the u s, and it was just a nightmare to set up setting up this marketplace where i had to accept payments and pay people out manage inventory in and verifications and and so i ended up pivoting that business to be something elsethat it didn't really have a lot of those complexities. [2:41] Ah and and from there that that really just kicked off my fascination with with startups and tech and so i knew i wanted to move out toe, san francisco and had had a few friends that walked it Stripe didn't really understand this whole, developer tools thing until they explained it to me and explained how starting my business back in australia could mean so much simpler if something like Stripe have existed ah and that that began my my joanie it'sStripe as one of the, first few business high as high, initially focused on on one of our products, a product called check out. Then i moved in tow. International expansion, where i helped Stripe launch, and singapore, australia and new zealand, hong kong, on bit of the rest of europe. And from there, i i worked on partnerships and, our co payments product, walking with all the different credit card networks, building our copayment acceptance infrastructure. And after doing that for a few years, i got fascinated with the whole other side of of payment acceptance and the credit card networks. Which is, is sort of where i've landed today, issuing cods. And instead of making in payments, rather than focusing just on accepting them. Jason: [3:47] Very cool on dare you talking to us today from san francisco from the bay area. Lachy: [3:52] I am, yeah. We just moved into it new office here and talking to you from from san francisco. Jason: [3:59] Well, congratulations on dh for listeners that aren't super familiar with Stripe, can you give us, ah, kind of the the high level overview of aa. What you guys doing where you sit in the eco system? Lachy: [4:10] Sure, so fundamentally, we're a global technology company. We build, economic infrastructure for the internet, so we work with businesses of all sizes from from brand new startups to public companies like sales force and facebook who all you Stripe teo to power some, some part of their economic infrastructure, and accepting online payments, managing their businesses online, you've got millions of customers and over one hundred hundred or so different countries that used Stripe to start, run and scale their business, on one thing that we've really being focused on is just reducing the barriers to entry for starting a business and then subsequently growing it in scaling it especially internationally. Andi, we fundamentally believe that we're still in the early days of the internet's potential on we're seeing people you Stripe to build the kinds of companies that couldn't exist ten years ago. New models like online crowdfunding or undermanned aps e commerce marketplaces really high growth companies with a broad appeal on dh. We build that the tools that allow them tio stop those kinds of businessesand scaled them out. Scot: [5:16] Very cool. Let's was kind of jump into some payments. Just topics that that we've covered on the show would love to hear what you guys are seeing out there. There's been a lot of innovation around, you know, touchless payments. So, you know, google pay, apple pay and those kinds of things. If my memory serves me right, you guys were like one of the first folks to reallykind of support. You know, those platforms, how are they doing? And he thought, son, on where that's going? Lachy: [5:43] Yeah, i'm i'm a huge fan of these kinds of payment methods, i think it is if you've got an iphone and you're paying with apple pay it's almost the perfect payment experience, you know, there's been some, i think some hitches with the new face i'd method, but when it was touch idea and you just press that one button to pay, i thought that was, you know, it's almost perfect. You don't even need to think about the payment experience, which is is our real aspiration to make payments fade into the background. It shouldn't need to be this this thing that consumers think about on dso for may, apple pez i think it's had an even bigger impact on purchases online than purchases offline, we we work with with a bunch of companies that have the apple pay flow is a core part of their e commas floor, their mobile check outflow, and i want one of those companies insta cot, which is a a marketplace here in san francisco and throughout the rest of the u s for purchasing groceries, they see their customers check out, i think it's around fifty eight percent foster with apple pay on so it's just the these kinds of methods really simplify the payment flow, so it's something that we're, we're really bullish on the trend that we're seeing. Jason: [6:53] Yeah, that's. Awesome on dh. I have seen some similar stets, stan. Ah, there definitely is. Ah, sort of universal, axum, that if you have a lower friction, check out option b it apple pay or samsung pay, or even the payment ap. I built into the ah, the many of the web browsers now, which i know you also support that. Not only do people check out faster, but just conversions higher. They have much of us abandonment, and so they literally make more money. Lachy: [7:23] Yeah, we receive that across a bunch of different uses where they're seeing typically double the conversion rates with when, when a consumer uses a method like apple pay, they don't need to go fetch that creditcard number. It's. Just ultimately, great for businesses and that's, an area that we try and focuses. How come we reduced the friction to improve the the conversion rate? Jason: [7:45] Yep, and so at the risk of alienating the apple pay team, which in all seriousness, i know our listeners of the show apple pay is awesome. The traditional knock on apple pay is, obviously the whole world doesn't use or have access to apple pay right like that, you know, ah, a minority of users are carrying an apple device and, you know as good as apple. Is it an upgrading everyone there's still a lot of deployed apple devices that aren't apple pay compatible and so it's like the traditional knock wass it's, a great conversion tool for this very affluent, high spending, ah, subset of the market but it's now feeling like even if it's not apple pay, but samson payer our microsoft pay or google pay or pin and a p i, you know, we're trying to get to a critical mass where the overwhelming majority of shoppers have access to one of those easier payment things, that's becoming much more you. Lachy: [8:42] Yeah, absolutely. And as you mentioned with the payment request a p i it's now really coming to browse isas well, with quick ways of checking out on dh. So now that i think pretty much every major phone manufacturer has, one of these methods were seeing it at least come to ubiquity in terms of the gaps that are adopting it. And now, it's, really just driving the consumeradoption and getting those cards into those wallets? Jason: [9:05] Yeah, and tell me about had this right like a if i built an e commerce experience and i used ah ah, an older school, more traditional payment gateway, i program my own check out flow. You know, i'm i'm doing some sort of interface to that. That payment gateway and then some new technology comes to the market like, ah, the payment, a p i ah, my developers have to go in and update my checkoutflow. And so, you know, that's got to get in the road map and it's competing with a bunch of other priorities, and it might take a while before i support it, but one of the benefits ah, to Stripe clients is, that they're they're actually using a Stripe check out follow. So when some new payment system becomes available and you guys jump on supporting it quickly, that propagates toe to a large part or all of your your users basically instantly do what do i have that right? Or am i over selling you? Lachy: [10:05] Yeah, you were gonna hire you on our honor and our team to describe it to our customers, so we have a bunch of tools and what we focus on his building tools to make it quick for much ensign developers to reactto these kinds of trends. Before apple pay existed, people didn't really imagine apple pay what would have existed, and so it wasn't is easy thing for them to comprehend, adding, and so what? Well, we're focused on building is things that they can effectively drag and drop in. One thing that we find is that margins are businesses they really liked to control their checkout experience, it's something they generally feel, ah, just a lot of protectiveness over, and so what we give them is the ability toadd that, really, seamlessly, there are options where they can they can effectively outsource that checkout experience to us, and we'll continuously update it with the with the latest payment methods that we see here if they'reexpanding the new countries payment methods of different countries. So we kind of have two pots, one is where you just want to drop in something like apple pay and then not need to do any other work beyond that, that little update and the other where will continuously update thecheckout experience. Jason: [11:11] Got it. And is it fair to say, like, in my mind, sort of the original market positioning, whether this was, ah, accidental or intentional, is, you've always been the really developer friendly option. And so it feels like, like you guys turned up in a lot of experiences because the product manager left it to the developer, toe comp something up. And you guys had this, you know, you know, great fbi examples on your website, and the developer would grab your sample code and get it implemented quickly. And and that that was probably, you know, sort of one ofyour original conquest strategies for getting a lot of customers. Lachy: [11:46] Yeah, that's, that's absolutely right. When when Stripe got started, there was no easy way to accept payments online. And it would be a developer that starting this company and they would be the one that pickedthe payment solution. And they would want the easiest one to get up and running. But increasingly, we're seeing larger companies come to us for the same. Where there, glad your company's heir increasingly recognizing the developer leverage that that they have the scarcity of engineering resource is and the importance to pick the solution that will allow them to move thequickest and react to trends like apple pay. And i think apple really is a great example that where if you're running on a legacy, stack may take months and months to get this this into the market. Where is that nimble start up competitor? Or, you know, even even a larger company that has ah, better engineering tools or developer tools can get it out in the market in time for launch. Jason: [12:39] Yeah, absolutely. And i'll fully say, i am, ah, still super disappointed in the percentage of e commerce sites that don't support the payment. Ap. Which, to me, seems like a big myth, sort of. But going your point about, you know how resource constrained for developers. So many of these sites are. Lachy: [12:58] Yeah, it just doesn't make any sense that that there, they're not adding these things. It's leaving conversions on the table. Top line revenue on so it's. It really holds customer companies back, not having. I think the best developer tools out there. It's, it's, similar trend with eight of us, where companies have gone from, on premise, hosting or building their own data centers, recognizing that if you have a provider like kws, he'll just be able to move so much foster it puts you on on equal footing. Jason: [13:27] Yeah, for sure and it's funny like at the moment. So we talked a lot about mobile e commerce on this show on dh. For years, we've been talking about this thing called the mobile gap, which still exists, which is essentially, ah hey, way more users are shifting from desktop browsers to mobile browsers, it's the majority of traffic on most big sites now, but the conversion rate on those mobile devices is is poor compared tto desktop. Maybe it used to be a third and now it's approaching ah half and like i look at that ah, apple pay, but certainly the payment fbi as ah as well hanging fruit. Ah, to improve that mobile gap and then i you don't now have this macro thing, which is admittedly more work and not necessarily ah exclusively, you guys. But progressive web aps is another huge tool in that arsenal, and a very small number of e commerce sites have successfully got in that stuff done yet, like, do you guys see those kind of mobile trends? And are there any other mobile trends that. Lachy: [14:30] Yep, we see the same thing. We we we continuously review the largest e comma sites on. We did a recent review of the top hundred commerce sites globally, and seventy two of them had greater than three, errors in there. Check out flows, things that could really easily be improved, to reduce friction for theirconsumers to pay them. And a lot of those areas were mobile related. One fifth of those sites made mobile check out significantly hotter by not having a numerical keypad for entering credit card numbers. Almost half of them didn't have order phil correctly. Setup it's little things like that, where you just you just give up, you try and you know, you decide. You'll wait until you're back on desktop, and then the punch is neverreally ends up happening. Jason: [15:16] Yeah, and it's and i have to admit, like being a practitioner in the space. It is like a huge pet peeve of mine. It's like nails on a chalkboard when, like developers, don't get their input masquerade and you get thewrong wrong wrong keyboard for input. I'm a big fan of them. Ah, predictive type ahead for address entry and stuff like that, and you know you still, ah, don't see that. Enough. So it's it's crazy, but it's. Ah, not surprising that you're you're seeing similar similar. Lachy: [15:46] These things, really on hard to build it's just it's, kind of crazy that everyone has to do it themselves, and so on. Area, we've focused, is how do we build the tools such that everyone is on equal footing. Everyone gets the lessons of the best practices and were positioned really well to know what converts well, what, what consumers like, and so that that's that's been a big area of focus for us in the past few years is, how do we take all the learnings we have developed from, from servicing millions of bill's businesses around the world and applying those toe aah, letting businesses have the right defaults from the get go. Scot: [16:23] I recall one thing i wanted to talk a little bit more about. I'm the marketplace guy on the show and there's been an explosion of marketplaces on and started with products. And now we're seeing a lot around what i would call on demand services. And i know that's an area where you guys do a ton, tell us about some of the things Stripe does around marketplaces. Lachy: [16:43] Yeah, we got we got started with marketplaces and number of a number of years ago ah and then, the way it happened is pretty interesting because before that Stripe was if you're accepting payments from customers on we didn't really focus on what you would then do with those funds, on we started to get some pretty interesting requests and one of them was from from lift its must've been five or so years ago, where they had this request to add multiple bank accounts to their Stripe account, and we're scratching our heads wondering what they were looking to do that we found out that they had this process of cutting checks to pay their drivers and they were wondering why khan strategist automate that potlike they do with with our our daily payout, on that seem to be a pretty common problem amongst a number of thie marketplaces that used Stripe at that point in time they had all these back office operations and they're all doing the exact same thing and it seemedlike a real opportunity for us tow, really simplify that providing a pea eye for it and. [17:42] Fundamentally automate it on so that was something we began doing about five years ago wade called that product Stripe connect and we internally we call that the payments platform for platforms it z, marketplaces and platforms you Stripe connect to accept money and then pay out to third parties and we provide everything in the middle. To do that compliant, lena. Handle the tax, reporting the identity, verification and onboard and compliance with the different regulatory laws. And ah, pretty much everything you need to do to manage a marketplace online as it relates to the movement of money. Scot: [18:22] Wrinkle. And then i couldn't help but notice your title now has card issuing in there. And, you know, one of the challenges you have in these kind of digital and physical marketplaces is if i send you mentionedinsta card earlier. If i send ah ten ninety nine shopper to go buy some groceries for a customer, i'm going to need to pay the grocery store. And you know that that quote, unquote, shopper is going to want to come out of pocket for that. Is that kind of what's going on with the card is sure thing. Lachy: [18:52] Yes, that's, exactly right there's a there's a bunch of different use cases that that Stripe issuing consult and fundamentally, it is infrastructure, like the rest of stripes products on its infrastructure that relates to money,movement, and so instant cult. To use that example, they have that store of funds that they have taken from from customers that they need to move to ah, grocery retailer that they don't necessarily have a contractual relationship with and and the bestway of doing that is with the credit card. And so what we're providing to companies like this is an a p i to issue cod's both physical and virtual, and then dynamically control the span. So, for example, insta kat would know exactly when a sort of a shopping session is taking place, and they would only want to authorize transactions in that window. They would know exactly which store it's happening out, and they're on. Lee wants approved transactions at that store, and so we give you or the customer complete flexibility on on how they use those cards and what what transactions can go through them, but again, fundamentally it'sinfrastructure and that's one use case of, of many that we could support. Jason: [19:59] That's. Awesome. And it feels like, ah, marketplaces air, really expanding, like, certainly internationally. But even here in the u s, we're getting more marketplaces and a wider set of use cases from marketplacesalmost every week. Are there any surprising trends or particular learnings that you would want to share with new entrepreneurs that are getting into the marketplace model? Lachy: [20:21] Yeah, there's, you know, obviously two sides to a market place, you've got your your bias and your cell is on. We focus on both sides on the on the bias building tools, tow service. Those customers, things like apple pay make the transaction experience incredibly easy on then on the cellars with that Stripe connect product is talking about but one one interesting thing way we've discovered recentlyfrom our data. We have thousands of market places that use us and, you know, obviously not all marketplaces grow at the same pace. We found that market places with higher seller retention rates generate much greater revenue than the others. This may sound obvious, but it's, in contrast, to buy our attention higher. Bio retention isn't really associate idfrom from our data with significant revenue increases. Way saw that increasing seller attention by one percentage point predicts ten x more revenue than the same one percentage point increase. Ah, in buyer attention, i thought this was a pretty fascinating stat. Jason: [21:21] Yeah, that's. Always a challenge for entrepreneurs. Is, is. How do you grow these marketplaces? And you put all your resource is on the the seller side or the the buyer side? Or ah, scott likes to advise, like you couldn't need to balance it, right? Lachy: [21:38] Right, right. But it's it's really highlights you need think about how you retain sellas and you know what, what to sell is care about. One thing that we've found they really care about is the speed of their payment, so they're they're delivering value on a marketplace and then they need to get paid on dso one one area we've focused there is, how can wereduce that payout cycle? No, i get paid every two weeks, but as a competitive advantage on one of these marketplace marketplaces, how can you bring that down? And so, with a partner like lift, we built a product called instant payouts on so they can get paid out right after they complete ah, right. And now, over fifty percent of of lifts drivers take advantage of that instant payout functionality on dh so that veterinary where we liked folks, is well, where the one of the ways in which we can help platformsdifferentiate, toe better service, they're they're cell is not just the bias. Scot: [22:32] Very cool, sir. Pivoting off marketplace is a little bit. You talk to the very early part about international on dh. You have, ah, cool international accent. So this ties in with your accent against what are some interesting international payment trends. You guys, we're seeing you read all about it, ali, pay and and what's going on there. And, you know, china has a lot of really interesting things, curious to see some of the the trends you're seeing internationally. Lachy: [22:57] I think one of the most interesting things just a top level is how hard it is for market places to expand internationally, there is there is a whole different regulatory environment different payment methods is your highlighting both on the acceptance side and on the pay outside on so it's, it's i honestly find a pretty impressive any market place that has managed to build infrastructure to take them from one country to many just because of all of the complexity involved in that expansion and i i think that's, that's just so hard to understate the power of that, on so it's it's you know it i love it is a consumer of something like uber where i can use it in the u s and then go to a different country and it just works out of the box the same app and so it's really impressive theinfrastructure that built, in the in the background but in terms of payment methods you know money is money is oddly cultural on dso we're seeing in every country we go too and we expand into, is an entirely new set of payment methods that we have tto have to deal with and soon in the us obviously everyone uses credit cards on dh in france it's the same over eighty percent of online purchases are credit cardsbut for, neighboring germany it's less than twenty five percent and they use something called sepa which is effectively just a bank transfer. So if each of these new countries, marketplaces or retailers have to think about how they accept money from their consumers, and and we can just take this. U s centric view of credit cards and debit cards dominate. Jason: [24:26] Very cool. A lot of companies, yourselves included, sort of started on the digital realm accepting payments online. But we've seen a number of them sort of extend to physical payments and sort of omni channeluse cases. Is that something you guys are doing as well? Lachy: [24:41] Yeah, and, you know, i think there's there's more than just a sort of the point of sale devices there we see a lot of, like when you think of something like lift, fundamentally, you're you're operating with a real world service, you're you're getting into a car, and so what is ah, on online payment, what is an offline payment anymore? And they've solved that by the having the payment experience just happened in the background. You don't even think about transacting there's no, no riel time exchange of information with each ride that takes place or transaction on so that's an area where we really try to push the businesses that air. Welcome with Stripe think about how to make payments fade into the background, but obviously with with retail transactions, and we work with companies like shopify and we'll be parka who have ah, store they'rethey're they're merchants have storefronts, and so, we power point of sale systems for them as well, but fundamentally it's about unifying those systems and so it's a single system with stripes, they can look at customers online looking customers offline ah, and make it asseamless as possible. Scot: [25:45] One thing that's kind of nursing as a sow, one of one of the atmosphere on fire and one of my companies was was kind of a platform play, if you will, are tools for developers, sometimes it's, hard to kind of, you know, ask you figure out when to stop, have you guys so, like on the marketplace example, you could go into helping marketplaces recruit sellers, you could go into you kind of hint, you know, said that you do a little bit of verification, you could even go into, like, background checking of drivers or something like that. How do you guys think about how deep you want to go? And then, like, no, we stop here, and this is kind of where this is the platform. Anything above it is not us. How do you guys think about that? Lachy: [26:23] It's a really good question on dh you know, i wish i had some framework i could just give it to you, but fundamentally we talk to our uses, what water, the common themes of problems that they're all having on,and, then we do our best to solve them. We generally don't go into super niche use cases on sort of solved just for one vertical. We like to look at the problems that pretty much all marketplaces were having or in the case of subscription business is pretty much all subscription businesses are having and then build software toe, to the extent that is useful for sort of the eighty percent and then where those nuances come in for maybe a very vertical ized business, they build that lost twenty percent that's really specific to their business or the needs of those customers. And this is where we try through the ap eyes that we build to make it generic enoughto handle that wide variety of use cases, and just really folks on the infrastructure is maybe that's. One way of thinking about what is infrastructural thus is sort of what sits on top of the infrastructure. Scot: [27:24] Cool one topic that's in the news. A lot lately is. Security is kind of interesting as an e commerce guy, i think it's interesting that, you know, the variety of hacks read about now are kind of happening out on the physical point of sale system. It seems like, but i know a full disclosure at my current companies. Fifty we use Stripe and one of the reasons we love it is on my previous company. We went out, we had to build out that whole pc. I stack ourselves. Andi, i i love that we could just use Stripe and, you know, we don't even see the credit cards. You guys take care of all that, and we just kind of, you know, we get pc i compliance, quote unquote, for free. What, you give us a little a little blurb about security in today's world, and you know how Stripe looks at that and any trends you're seeing there. Lachy: [28:10] Yeah i mean you've kind of set it all we really try and make security cool feature of the Stripe offering that again something folks don't need to think about it's just a strong default, on and there's all this talk of token ization in the payment schemes are the payments walled these days but it's something that Stripe did from the get go, i think a lot of people think about Stripe score innovation as developer tools i think of it, one of the really important ones that got us to where we are today is that that pc i shielding that you're highlighting there we had the concept of a token since, the beginning of Stripe where we would we would store there's card details and and the merchant or business owner wouldn't have tio, and that was that was about eight years ago that we started doing that and so security is court of the dna off Stripe it's something that we think about in each new product that we launch because it is your highlighting itsomething that distracts from delivering a product to your customers, building that pc i vote that isn't necessarily directly beneficial and if someone else khun solve that problem even better you can focus on unsolved ing the problem that they came. [29:20] I think very broadly hackers will often talked at the weakest link in a chain stitch together many providers in in a long chain so there's many weak links that you can possibly target on dso. We're focused on when folks use us, you've gotten and twin solution for, for all things security. You send the card numbers directly to Stripe. We only provide one time use tokens to ma agents, and i think that really reduces the surface area, especially in an online payments. Jason: [29:48] Yeah, it's. Funny. I talk a lot about trust and, like there's, a lot of evidence that consumers still have a huge trust. Graff gap with, with online experiences, even from very well established businesses. And it's. Always ironic to me that fewer customers trust typing that payment information into the token eyes encrypted browser than they do, handing it to the minimum wage clerk at the store that has a skimmerunderneath her death. Lachy: [30:16] Yeah, i mean, for good reason to a lot of folks not trust the retail is that they're paying not because of any bad intent, just because it could be so easy to to breach these legacy systems. As we saw, with many of the breaches that have come to light recently on so that's an area, well, we really just try and focus and make sure that their aunt ways of ah breaching Stripe much is by providing them the besttools possible. But it's it's, obviously so hot. And i think one of the really mind boggling things is. How can these small businesses have the kind of security that these large mega cops have? Ah, and even these large mega collapse air getting breached. And so the more we can do to democratize security tools are best practices. I think it's, a really worthwhile place for us to continue to focus. Jason: [31:06] Yeah, that is ah, on awesome area of opportunity and that's going to be a great place to leave it. Because it's happened again, we've used up all our allotted time. S o. We certainly appreciate having you on the show if listeners have any questions there, encouraged to go to our facebook page and posting comments there, and we can continue the dialogue, as always. If you enjoyed today's show, we sure would appreciate that. Five star review on itunes. Gosh, really appreciated you being on the show today. If wisner's wantto contact you directly, can they find you on twitter? Or lengthen or what's your preferred method of contact? Lachy: [31:46] Yeah, i'm pretty active on twitter it's, twitter, dot com slash laki groom on it's. My. Jason: [31:53] Perfect, and we'll put that in the show. Notes. Ah, and so, until next time, happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP139 - B8ta founder and CEO Vibhu Norby

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 7, 2018 53:55


EP139 - B8ta founder and CEO Vibhu Norby  Vibhu Norby is the founder and CEO of b8ta.  b8ta is a software-powered brick and mortar retailer designed to improve the customer and maker experience. They help people discover, try, and learn about new tech products while empowering makers with a simple retail-as-a-service model that puts them in control. In this interview, we cover Vibhu's background, how he came to the idea for B8ta, b8ta's retail partnerships (including Lowe's and Macy's), their unique marketplace dynamic, their experiential retail as a service offering, their recent fundraising success, and Vibhu's vision for the future of retail. Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 139 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Wednesday, August 1, 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing.   Transcript Jason: [0:26] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show. This is episode 139 being recorded on Wednesday August 1st 2018. I'm your host Jason retail geek Goldberg. And as usual I'm here with your cohost Scott Winslow. Scot & Vibhu: [0:42] Jason and welcome back Jason's Ghosheh listeners. Jason I don't know about you but I've been on pins and needles this week no we have a special guest tonight. You and I are both probably the biggest gadget geek ever and we have a new favorite store and it's pretty exciting to have someone from that store on the podcast. There's a company that we have talked a lot about on the podcast so I'm hoping longtime listeners can kind of guess what we're talking about here. The company is beta and that's B the number T.A. Beta is such a unique company. I don't want to get in the middle of describing it to everybody. I want to kind of leave that for our guest who is the CEO and founder of b8ta, Vibhu Norby. Thanks for having me. I'm so excited I've been listening since the first episode. Jason: [1:37] We are we're thrilled to have you. And I do think Scott and I are the target market for your concepts. We'll get to that in a moment. But before we do normally we'd like to start interviews is get a little rundown from our guests on their career progression and what led them to their current role. And in your case. Beta is not your first cool gig. So definitely want to share that with the audience. Scot & Vibhu: [2:10] Yes so I I grew up programming, and fell in love with computers and software when I was an early teenager and sort of joined a series of startups and then end up leaving to do one of my own. And we got funded by Y Combinator and then raised a couple of million dollars from, some investors and that we were making a social network for the phone and back in 2011 when snap chat and a bunch of these guys got started and we didn't make snap chat. So the company didn't totally work and we we found a home at Nest a few years ago. [2:53] At the time when they had one product and were just starting to think about launching multiple products and so there I joined as an engineer and brought my whole team and company over. It was sort of an acquisition. And that was where I got introduced to retail for the first time really from the brand side. Nest was a really pioneering company. A lot of ways we were were really introducing the idea of smart home to the consumer not just the Nest Learning Thermostat and doing that was complicated. It was a complicatedproduct. We also really love retail because a lot of the team had come from Apple and understood the value of retail beyond sort of sales. And so we used we used retail as a as a place to store and make people aware of the product and get them hands on and that was what the genesis but actually I want to talk about the first time I talked to you Jasonbecause, it's kind of you know four years ago I actually didn't know very much about retail and so when I was trying to learn about the first thing I did was like you know basically typing like who who to follow about you knowin retail, and your name came up and I ended up falling on Twitter for a bit. And at a point when I wasn't sure if I should we should actually do beta. I called him LSU and is like hey can we get a call I want tell you the idea that working on and just get your feedback and so we got on the phone. Do you remember this. Jason: [4:20] I totally remember this. I wasn't sure you wanted to disclose it. Scot & Vibhu: [4:25] Yeah. So we we got on the call and I was like hey you know this is what we're thinking about doing. We don't know much about retail what we understand the problem. And I think you said you know this is like been done a lot, or it might work but you'd be much better off if you could solve this other problem that I have which is that people are not buying chewing gum anymore because they're looking at their phone and they're checking out atthe supermarket. And I was like oh that's that's interesting like I me think about they actually spent way too much time thinking about how to get people to buy chewing gum after that conversation. But I'm very thankful that we decided to move forward with this. Remember that. Jason: [5:05] Yeah I totally do. I might slightly I don't. I'm not sure I necessarily tried to completely pivot you. But I'm also glad you stuck to your guns. Scot & Vibhu: [5:17] If you ever saw the chewing gum problem I'm not sure what. Jason: [5:20] No no. I feel like there still is an opportunity as the world moves to auto replenishment for for you know all of those consumable items like you know impulse purchases are likely to go away. So if there's any entrepreneurs out there with a clever idea you know we've got to we've got to figure out how how we're going to do impulse purchases in all digital purchases path. Scot & Vibhu: [5:45] So spoiler alert but I think we should put a gum station in every beta Boom problem solved. Jason: [5:51] Yeah that that's one way to go. The part in conversation I remember us talking about though which I think we should come back to later is the role of other retailers in your concept. Scot & Vibhu: [6:09] Yeah. I mean you have I think if I remember you had suggested that we should talk to some other retailers who were pretty focused on building something for ourselves on the software side. But that opinion obviously change in the last 2 1/2 years. Jason: [6:25] Yeah I was gonna I mean that you probably got the sequence right. But I think I feel like I mentioned that, there would be potential interest in some established retailers and partnering with you or potentially funding the idea you had and at that time, as any entrepreneur you were you were laser focused on crushing all the traditional retailers and doing it all yourself. And so I think that's that's how you started that. You may have progressed since then. So one other thing before we jump into beta hardcore though is you were at Neste pre Google right so you were actually acquired by Google is that do have the timing right. Scot & Vibhu: [7:08] That's right. Yeah. Very shortly after I joined, and it was you know the acquisition was I think we learned about it like January 11 2015 14 and then it closed in February and I had joined just four months or five months prior to that. But it was the company was at an inflection point when I had joined and it made a lot of sense. Jason: [7:33] Yeah for sure. I feel like a super friendly product to everyone now but, if you go back to that Genesis you original concept was sort of, what with a smart thermostat look like if Apple were to design one and when you guys want that first product it was one of the original digitally native vertical brands right. Like you you made this product that you were predominant you were selling direct and partnering with retailers on it required a bunch of education because no consumer knew they needed it. And so I feel like there was a big retail education play in it which is of course interesting. Scot & Vibhu: [8:15] As funny. I mean we didn't see it that way at the time. And even it took even after we started the company I didn't realize that but every single Early Stage Harbor company was a DnD VB as you noticed, because they were selling the product direct and and that and the advantage that a lot of Harbor companies have relative to other types of, DNA BS is that they always have the users contact information because most of them have an account sign up as part of the onboarding process. And so it sort of they're sort of natively by default dnt Bebe's. Jason: [8:59] Absolutely. Scot & Vibhu: [9:02] Yes. Let's let's jump into beta so let's start at kind of the the origin story. Anything kind of tell us how you got that idea and maybe kind of tell folks what how you describe it today. [9:21] Sure. So I don't think any good idea is sort of, a singular eureka moment maybe it is but for us it was a lot of different kind of influences came together to create this. The the biggest the biggest thing for me was working at NASA and, understood and sort of seeing this disconnect between how we as a brand and as a supplier to stores thought about are the value of our presence in their stores versus the value that a retailer saw. And the presence in their stores and that disconnect is is incredibly fundamental and incredibly hard to fix. And so you know as a brand we wanted stores to be education point for customers. We needed a scalable way to get our product Nest thermostat in the hands of customers. And and we felt that you know when we came into a store we wanted to present the product in a beautiful manner kind of let it let it live like a hero product there. We never came into a store without uncap or display or you know something that was sort of taking the product out of the box. [10:45] And and in order to do that you know we end up spending a lot of capital a lot of time you know deploying a lot of people into the field to sort of ensure that like every time we had our product out there that cost. And when a customer saw that it was presented beautifully and and frankly retailers back then and it wasn't that long ago. But you know how fast things have changed in this industry. [11:10] This was not a totally common idea for them I think they had an Apple shop and shop and maybe a few of their large brand partners but to allow of any new company to come in and build a cool experience wasn'tnative to their business. And you know they their business model of retail is really set up to to be the end of the supply chain the store right. They've got a buyer they figured out that this is a product they want to bring in. This is how many units they want to get. They think they can sell and the store is sort of like this the warehouse with a pretty face as a retailer wants described to me and you know for us it was the start of the consumer journey. And so. [11:54] This basically what happened is I learned about this because I had asked our Head of Retail who's now my co-founder Philip RHA UB and he had a retail analyst. I asked him why we weren't in more stores. You know we were in Target. Apple Best Buy Home Depot Lowe's. And I was looking at our sales force. One of the bucket in sales force and I just noticed like hundreds of retailers from you know globally who are asking to get its products in their stores. And I was like This is a you know an amazing opportunity. And he said well because we don't see retail as a surprising pivot you want to make sure the products are presented well and so we just can't, give away it to anyone who asks and that was like you know that that gave me this aha moment that maybe there was, a way to fix that. At the fundamental level for a retailer. [12:53] But but you know we. You know I sort of sat on that kind of learning for a while and then I got more involved the retail team at NASA when they asked me to build a training system for associates inside of other people's stores. And you know when I started working with the customer support team on trying to figure out how to, address you know sort of this you know when a customer buys a product at a store but then they call, our support center and then you know where we said that customers should they return the product and I realize that like a retailer like a brand like Nasz never wants the customer to go back to the store. There's all these kind of weird things that I was finding out and I wondered if you know if we were having these issues that probably means that every other supplier in Best Buy. That is like us like GoPro for example or Fitbit at a similar stage was probably having a similar similar fundamental issues. And and you know if we were building sort of code bases and processes to solve this and they were as well that that's a very inefficient use of all of our resources. So beta was this idea to create a retail platform from the ground up that supported a customer experience as the primary use case for the store. [14:20] And supply chain as a secondary or test Cherry use case. And then we I mean it is really that simple honestly we just want to we didn't you know the business model kind of came around later. You know if you're if you're going to separate yourself from the supply chain use case of a store then you can't buy the product and so it kind of made sense to rent space to companies. But yeah the disconnect was the genesis. And as it turns out like you know now nowadays anytime we find a disconnect between, two parties that are doing business you know a customer brand or a brand and a retailer or a retailer and a customer we think there's an opportunity to deploy business new business models or software to fix it. There's but anyway that's that's a bit about the company but we can talk more. Yeah. So. [15:19] Maybe this is a good place to start. How big is speed of just kind of from a store footprint perspective. [15:27] So we have eighty two stores that we managed today and own operate 70 of those are inside of LOEs so we have a quite large partnership with them around smartphones. We've got a store with Macy's inside of their flagship store and we've got, 13 actually I think 12 owned like kind of flagship in line stores or kiosks inside of malls. And in terms of the scale of people we about 350 people that work inside of these stores and we're at our per post office call so I've been in Palo Alto is kind of what you would think of as the flagship store, flagship for us we have. We have a number of flagship. So we just we just mean any kind of any store that has our flag our logo on it that it was our first store. That's actually a very unique store none of our stores look like that today it was it was built on a budget in a woodworking shop. Beautifully done. But but definitely a one off. So the newer ones are fancier who's that Congressman. [16:42] Yeah we spend a lot more time in designing them. It's the series a store the Series B stores are much nicer. The Up series is this the series a sort of the best and then you start to realize that you've got to build a business and that every single thing that you see in the store has to be cut from a tree. Yeah. Jason: [17:02] Yet it's all the timbre turns in all the hardwood turns into a particleboard is basically what happens in other curves. Scot & Vibhu: [17:09] 100 percent is exactly exactly right cool. The way I've described it is it's kind of a you know Apple Store like kind of feel with seems like about 2000 square feet there. And but you know literally hundreds of different kinds of products you can interact with mostly in the kind of gadget electronic category. It's not fun because you come to the folks that work there are super helpful so if you had an idea of what you wanted they were ready to leave bailable. But I thought my experience was just kind of spinning like two or three hours and they're just kind of touching everything and trying it out and learning about it. Is that kind of how you think about the old experience at this point is that a decent description. Yeah. So each store is about 25 100 square feet features that are 120 different brands. You know maybe 130 different products. Every price out of the box and it's a real live working demo. Like we when we get a new product in a store we actually take like the first one out of the shipment and just take it out and set it up like we were a customer. [18:20] There's a lot of space between the products. It looks like an Apple store although that wasn't the intention it was really designed around actually or analytics system and how overhead cameras capture information. But you can definitely spend two to three hours in there because everything that you're seeing is kind of a one of a kind. Interesting thing that you probably haven't seen before and these are complet. You know the price to carry the tech products are complex and and they were hard time to understand. And so you know having really good staff is super important to us. I think two to three hours is definitely way above the average visit which is about 15 minutes. But the average customer only usually look at about a third of the assortment on a given at a given time. So but we have a tremendous amount of customers who kind of see it like a museum they come and they look at everything one by one and want to make sure they don't miss something. Jason: [19:25] And it's funny because in one way I would argue you're sort of the the opposite of an Apple store in that, there's not a lot of surprise and delight moments in an Apple store anymore. They actually used to carry more third party products than there was a little more variety but my sense today is you know exactly every single product you're going to discover in the Apple store before you walk in there.Right. So it's it's most people that walk into an Apple store are walking in with some kind of mission in mind. Like they're either coming for service on an existing product or they're coming to buy a product that they already know about and know that Apple has there or maybe they want to see it and make a final determination inin a big way. I would I sort of feel like your story is the opposite. I'm not likely to know. I know the kind of products you're going to have in your store but I'm not likely to know exactly what you have and I'm almost certain to discover some products I didn't know about. And so to me it feels much more like a sort of serendipitous discovery moment for the shopper versus a specific mission in mind a moment like I might have at Apple is that. Scot & Vibhu: [20:37] Yeah. So the data proves that out for sure. So 70 percent of the products at a average customer season are store they're discovering for the very first time. So and actually on the other side of that and Apple and Apple stores about 70 percent Apple products. [20:55] Oh you're probably 70 percent Sandras seeing something that you you definitely saw before. But we have two types of shoppers in our store. There is there is the shopper who kind of wanders into just be surprised and be delighted by everything that people are making in the world. But we definitely serve a use case for a lot of our brands of high quality demonstration. So a lot of the company and you can if you if you like google some of the companies that we have in our store you can see when you go to their website they have a store finder and the store finder is just pointingcustomers to us you know saying hey if you want to check this thing out in person. This is the place for you to do that and we love those kind of visitors because they come in for one thing and we give them that amazing demonstration experience that you know no one else could give except for beta. But of course while they're there they'll find a bunch of other things that maybe, they didn't know about and that's that in terms of a percentage of traffic about 40 percent of our traffic is driven by the brands that individually use case but in a mature store for us that that that tends to go up and up. So basically like if you lived in Palo Alto once you've been to the store once and you've seen everything are a couple times the next time you come, back is because you saw like a prophet on the Internet that you were interested in trying out first and then you'll come in for that specific thing and try it out. Jason: [22:21] Yes. That makes perfect sense. It's funny because I imagine as people get more familiar with this door that you definitely could have some sort of mission shoppers and it it sounds like one way, they might find you is through the product manufacturer's website. But you do now have your own Web site as well. And that's another discussion you and I had when you first launched you didn't have your inventory online. And I mentioned that like in the long run customers that became familiar with your store would want to be able to see what kind of products you were carrying before they made a visit. So now that you apparently took that advice and so now I'm going to ask a terrifying question. Has that had any value or are you finding that that you do have perhaps a subset of your shoppers that that shop your website and then decide oh cool you've got a new a new kind of product in stock that I want to go see. Scot & Vibhu: [23:18] Yes so funnily enough we I mean I think we specifically avoided doing an e-commerce site for a while because we wanted to stay focused on on stories which was our kind of unique value prop for brands. And we also didn't want to do e-commerce that we didn't have something to offer that was special and we act. We launched e-commerce in August officially last year. So it's been one year to date in that time period. It's gone from obviously zero percent of our sales volume of products to almost 20 percent today. [23:55] So we've had a lot of growth there. I think you know what we learned more than anything was that our associates in the store needed a place to, can point shoppers to who maybe wanted to do more consideration or you know had some kind of education like they were traveling and you know the product shipped somewhere you know. And and so it serves an essential function. Are our sales associates. I would say more so than customers. We don't like buying from beta dot com is not better than buying from Amazon. If you're a Prime member for example so we're not trying to compete for every single sale but it's been an effective tool on the store side of the business. I would say we built the entire platform in-house for a reason which is that we have a lot of really cool things coming down the pipe that, will give us at least some advantages over maybe shopping on Amazon or from the brand's website that we can uniquely do because we have a lot of stores. Jason: [25:04] Nice. And just a clarification. I like that to me is exactly why I was suggesting you have the inventory online was sort of as an adjunct to your sales process. Not so much that you'd capture a ton of sales via e-commerce but that people would wanna know what you had in stock before they visited the store or or people would want to do that final consideration after the store. So I'm glad to hear that. That's providing some benefit to you. I get that you're you know nobody wants to our Amazon Amazon so it probably doesn't make sense to just try to compete with their exact customer experience. But one of the things that I perceive is also true and I'd be curious to hear from you is I do think it's possible for you to be selling products before they're likely to show up on Amazon. So I do think there's some early stage new new products that you know where manufacturers reach out to you as early experience and they may not be distributing through Amazon yet. Is that true or does everyone go to Amazon Day one these days. Scot & Vibhu: [26:16] No that's totally true. And in fact it's not just that they come to us. You know before Amazon but they also come to us after Amazon a lot of brands that we work with. They start selling there and they don't necessarily get what they want out of that experience and it was a bit more control they want more data and they'll come back and you know will be sort of be one of the onlymultibrand experiences that can carry it. We also have a lot of international companies that don't have a, local distributor or as a Web site where you can you can buy from here and so there are a lot of cases where we are the only place you could buy that wasn't necessarily our strategy initially but, you know more and more I think that will be a focus for us. The other interesting thing is I think you know. [27:07] When you sign up with beta as a brand, your entire experience of managing your stores with us and deploying content and training and materials is all through our dashboard. And so we've found that companies don't want to have to sort of manage all these different silos of of you know information and marketing information. And so our our our system allows a company to sort of make a change once in it and that content reflects everywhere in-store online, in our accounting backend in our checkout you know everything all at the same time and that's for the right type of company at an early stage that's actually better than even selling on their own website. Jason: [27:52] Yeah. And I think that teases something that's unique about your model that we haven't totally covered yet which is you are not a pure traditional wholesaler where you just, go discover some product you want to sell the people you buy a thousand of them at a wholesale price you mark them up to retail and sell them to someone else. You're actually closer to Scott Wingels favorite thing a market marketplace right where you're essentially providing a platform and you're letting manufacturers, leverage your platform your drive you're generating traffic and then you're letting them sell to do that traffic through your platform. Do I have that right. Scot & Vibhu: [28:37] Yeah we're actually a two sided marketplace and it's it's hard to see from the outside because we look like a kind of technology store brand. But on the inside you know brands are subscribing to space in a store. But we also work really closely with landlords and on that side they're competing through lower rents or things like you know funding for store build outs or you know marketing. They're actually competing for these brands dollars and our store is sort of the glue that that brings those two together. And so you know across our every store of ours is different because companies that sign up with us they can choose where they want to be and they don't have to be in every everywhere if they don't want to. And they can also in every store sort of price differently and so you'll oftentimes you know you might see a company that is you know maybe moving from store to store or trying to figure out the right markets for themto be in. And what really makes their decision is how good the data is in that in that spot and what and what the economics look like and that's driven by the landlord in our case that you know we didn't. Again a lot of the stuff we didn't really see going into it we were just like we wanted to solve this really central problem that brands had. [30:00] But it's evolved to look more like a marketplace on the business model side than any other type of retailer today. And I think that you know just I can anticipate your next question but I think that's where we started getting interested in working with other retailers because you know there are effectively some of the largest landlordsin the country. And and I think as we export our model further we knew that square. Good square footage was going to be the thing that the supply side that sort of drove a lot of the demand. Jason: [30:37] Yeah and I want to come back to that in a bit. It's even it's good square footage with high buying content which is even more exciting. Scot & Vibhu: [30:44] Of yes. Yeah. Jason: [30:45] But the so one of the things that I'm always curious about. So a brand has to want to work with you. The economics have to work. They have to see the benefit. You know they likely they have to have a product that requires some storytelling or some demand. And so there's a bunch of factors that would make a brand want to work with you. But it probably wouldn't work for you to just accept any brand that wanted to work with you. Right. So you know you wouldn't want to end up with a bunch of brands that just were struggling to sell their crap. And so therefore were were willing to you know be a tenant in your store and sell their stuff. It does feel like you have a curated assortment of cool gadgets that people like Jason and Scott Wingo would like to buy. So like I guess I'm I'm curious how you work that curation in a in like a traditional retail model of curation is easy the merchant decides what they're going to carry and what they're not going to carry. It feels like your emergence if you even have a of merchant sort of has a harder job because they have to both decide what they want and then it has to be an appealing model for that stuff. Scot & Vibhu: [31:58] So we actually philosophically are anti-corruption. We think that a lot of the problems that brought that retailers have encountered over time is is because of their you know quote unquote curation process on the buying side. The way curation works. And the reason that that the products in the store are actually you know out to be really good is that their business model we chose. [32:29] Weeds out bad products extremely quickly in the same way that maybe you know an advertiser in an auction system like Google AdWords weeds out bad ads as well. Basically when you have a product that doesn't resonate with customers they don't want to spend money and so they leave. And when it comes when a product is resonate with the customers they never want to leave because they're making money. And in fact they start to expand with us and take over more space and more and more stores. And we've seen this effect really dramatically in three years of running this model where you know we've built up you know for every 10 companies and maybe you know two or three of those company turns out to begood. And we've built up a roster of you know the best brands in the world who again have great economics and would never want to go. But it's important for us to compete you need to bring in new things, because you know and we don't want to make the choice upfront all the time as to whether that product you know would sell because that you know frankly like you know maybe buyers have some some algorithmic helpand you know spreadsheets all kinds of stuff. But like you know a lot of decisions are made at the gut level and I can tell you from our kind of internal game of trying to guess what their product going to do well with us. We just get it wrong so often that it's not even worth trying to be honest with you. [33:55] I think where we have a couple of of sort of post launch with beta curation moments for example with a product return block and we have an algorithm for that. [34:06] We take it out. You know if the if the product doesn't have a you know a return policy that jives with ours. We oftentimes won't accept it but we're pretty open. I mean we I think to be honest that's what makes us really unique and. And the other thing is like I think for customers retail can be a decision making tool and sometimes that decision is a negative decision. This learning that that you don't want this product. Maybe you saw this thing in mind but you know after seeing it in person it's not for you. Disserve that kind of function you have to take things to that are kind of on the edge. So I don't know if you expected the answer but I we we we take this. I mean we've really thought a lot about this and it's it's a big part of our business. Yeah. I'm intrigued on the marketplace side of building a two sided marketplace. Seems easy but it's hard because I always tell folks that are starting on it is kind of like rowing if you row on one side of a canoe or a kayak or something like that too much then you just go in circles ChAFTA. There's a there's a balance you have to fall and there has been harder building this on the supply side which I think you call makers or on the demand side or tussle bit about it. Any interesting stories there. I'd love to. I think other marketplace people would love to hear. Yes the supply side for us is there a state side. On the demand side as the Brandts. [35:30] So it has been hard. And one of the reasons it's been hard is that we we have grown significantly faster than the category itself. And so you know we ended up finding a lot of opportunities on the supply side. You know really early on and so we've we've had to actually really control how many locations were launching every year and keep in lockstep with our best companies. But the thing is like there's enough there's enough brands out there that are launching every day every week that we've been able to. We've been able to open stores that are added and grow at a pretty good rate. [36:16] You know the I think there I think there will be a point in the future that where it's not clear that you know opening another store is best for all of the brands. But you know so far so far it's been working and it hasn't been as much of an issue as maybe you would think. [36:39] Another interesting challenges like where do you stop. We all kind of like as a soccer guy your practice. You know you like to solve customer problems. I have this problem of where stuff. So I imagine it's kind of interesting. So on the brand side you guys have done a really cool job of you know I can be in five stores in California and then I can kind of like you give me this life cycle that I can use right allthe way to. You know I think you call it store open concept flagship when I looked to your site you have this kind of like model that I could even see on the soccer side. You know if someone wanted to start selling on on Amazon there's no reason you couldn't like you know launch them there you know. So. So that's interesting and then you know maybe you can almost become their PM. You know there's there's because like you said earlier you've got their product data. They've started with You Can you be you know is that an interesting place to go or do you start there and then on the landlord side. I imagine you guys are you know generations ahead of a lot of these landlords on now to think about Dhara why are these things what's resonating with their customer. So I can see you going deep there too. How do you think about those aspects. [37:49] Yeah we we actually I mean we've we've talked about projects like that a lot. But we've I think the opportunity that we have stumbled upon is really in physical retail becoming. [38:07] Experiential rather than supply chain focused. And I often started to to think that you know experience for retail is a third channel. It's a new channel you know compared to maybe wholesale is the first one and an online as a second because it doesn't cannibalize your, or other channels you're the focus is different you're capturing customers at maybe a different part of the of their lifecycle. [38:40] And so. For us we think about growth really on three vectors I would say. One is on the contacts where one might find products. So today we have like you said we have owned stores and they come in different flavors. We have that flagship in line. We have the open air format and then we have this full store as a service product that we launched called built by beta. And then you know in other contexts there's Lowe's. We just added Macy's as a big partner for us. And maybe you can imagine others as well coming down the pipe. There's environments so these are the different ways that a brand might want to represent themselves in the physical world. So you know we started with a two foot display that was the only option that companies had. And then we we started adding more options you could take forefeet you could take a table you could take a room you could take half of the store you could take a TV, you know create a whole store and and then on the on the third vector you have, product categories and we've been really focused on tech for a long time but I think if you watch us closely especially if you watch our product assortment over time we started to to bring in other things like apparel andcosmetics and and so on. [40:04] I think those each of those three vectors is is is growing for us and we're we're exploring them as far as we can take it. But we've I mean I think you can. I think one day we we've imagined sort of building that that software distributions system that you're talking about, but the online experiential retail opportunities is such a fast growing category that, we'd be remiss not to to see how far we can take this. There. Jason: [40:38] Very cool. And you you mentioned something in that answer I want to drill into a little bit more of the built by beta program. Real quick you guys have like I mentioned that right from my perspective you guys have built a platform you engineered a lot of the pieces yourself like as opposed to a lot of retailers go out and buy, a POS from company eBay and they buy you know gondolas from Company B. You guys built the digital signage system for the stores and a content management system that the that the brands have access to to publish content to those digital signs you you build your POS you alluded earlier to thefact that you have. Scot & Vibhu: [41:18] Training system. Jason: [41:19] Yeah. Training for the sales staff. You alluded to that, detail the in-store analytics package that's not just purchase analytics but actual browse analytics so you're you're watching shoppers flow through the store. So you're using that in your own stores and obviously in your shop in shops in Macy's and was, built by beta is you selling that whole platform of tools to another brand that wants to have their own branded store is that right. Scot & Vibhu: [41:56] Yes so as I mentioned like experiential retail is a different channel and what we realize what we noticed you know in sort of trying to find the right tools to build the business. We notice that everything has been subtly architected around the store as a sales channel as a place to get a box out the door. And and and you know as it is as one example a lot of the companies that we work with don't see the first purchase from a customer as the as the last time they're going to make money from that customer. Right. They are thinking about it as a customer acquisition cost but they maybe have a subscription package or accessories other things that they are or are you know consumables that they think are going to drive longterm value from a customer. And the typical In fact every single point of sale system in the world today, does not support a customer or checking out and adding on a cloud subscription or does not support a customer or checking out and adding on accessories or or other sort of options like that. And so we we you know in order to serve the brands that we work with the best we had to we had to think about those challenges. And we ended up just sort of building a lot of the pieces ourselves. [43:17] But that that kind of example I mean that's just one of many many things where like the existing tools out there are just not good enough for this new channel thats being created. And so when we you know I think as Scott was mentioning before like this this continuum of like you know a company is the way we are. The ideal path for a brand with us is that they start with something small in a handful of stores that they think are really good. Maybe a display is two feet and as they find success though maybe take out a room and build something thats a, more custom and and a bit more of an experience and I think we started to hear from some of our our our best customers are especially our large customers that, maybe a room inside of our flagship store wasn't enough and they wanted, a much larger kind of representation. And so we said Well of course like why not like we can easily take a lot of the stuff that we built and help other companies. [44:18] But the store just like we have. And I think even the business model that we have was useful in thinking about this because, when you are a new brand opening a store and maybe your vertical brand and you sell a few products but you don't have that many. It's actually hard to figure out like what your store looked like and what other like should you bring other third party products in there like you know should you have like you know a product duplicated. You know 20times in the same space. So our business model actually helps companies who deploy stores with us, find other brands that that may want to participate in their ecosystem and so they in effect. The the people who consume our platform on that side also kind of plug into this marketplace as a supply supplier. And so it's a unique product I don't think anyone else has ever worked or built a turnkey storefront that has staffing and build out and all the things that you need included. It's I mean we launched in April it's super early but you know we've there's a couple of. [45:34] But you know definitely a lot of interest on that saw from companies across categories not just in tech. Jason: [45:39] Nice in my remembering right. So I feel like I read something about him. There was a TED store that may have permanently or temporarily opened using built by beta. And then I think you guys did a net gearcompany in stores right. Scot & Vibhu: [45:56] Yeah. So we. So we launched it at TED. TED had asked us to come in and build the store with them. So that was that was a really cool experience for us. But yeah the net net your flagship was the first one that we announced and is live today in San Jose at Santana Row. So basically it's it's a it is it's a Netgear store it has their signage. It's got you know their logo on the receipts it's got their logo on the bags and on the employee's shirts. But behind the scenes we've actually we're actually running the store so it's our people they're on our payroll. We designed the experience with them and then we worked with them to find other third party products that would be sort of merchandise around theirs. But it's the first time that they've ever done something like this before. They've typically I mean they're gigantic company but they've typically, you know a wholesaled to Best Buy and a lot of multi-brand retailers like that and like a lot of enterprise company a lot of large companies they had been thinking through, this transition that's happening from wholesale direct to consumer and they don't want to miss out. And so you know in in that when you become a direct to consumer brand you start to think about retail differently. And I think we were we really worked with them to define the first version of the beta to be honest with you. [47:18] But they're just one of many companies that are going through this right now. This transition very well girl. It's kind of like experiential retail as a service. So everyone you know you have to have as a as a service on your name these days that is exactly how we talk about it. [47:37] Very cool that is a good time to pivot. Fellow entrepeneur so I love to talk about the nuts and bolts. I was looking on base and it said that you guys have rates 38 million. So progress on that and you have some really good blue chip investors like Khosla Ventures Comcast and then some strategics like me. And there I imagine it was kind of fun. Two or three years ago when you started pitching VCs on a retail concept because you know every headline is about end of stores and mageddon and whatnot, but you've restarted it. So I'd love to hear a little bit about that journey there. [48:13] Yeah. Yeah. We've we've raised a lot and in a short time frame. So what I'm going to say it doesn't sound authentic but it's true. It wasn't easy to raise the money. I think we you know in our seed round we must have approached about 75 investors and a lot of them didn't even want to talk to us. They didn't believe in brick and mortar the kinds of things that we heard about stores were apt to be honest with you were ridiculous. We we you know I think retail is kind of interesting in the sense that like everyone thinks that they know it because they shop in stores but very few people actually understand the dynamics. And we definitely face that a lot. But as as time has gone on I would say each year of our company the environment has gotten easier and easier for brick and mortar are concepts. And you know in this year Larry you've seen a lot of direct consumer brands getting funded and a lot of that a lot of funding is going into opening stores. And so I think our business case has been validated increasingly so. But you know a couple of years ago when we started it was definitely like you said like the headlines were just not good and a lot of people based there in vestment decisions on how the group is thinking. And that was probably a mistake. Jason: [49:41] And we're coming up on time but I want to ask this question because you guys you know you guys have developed some interesting category leading experiences up to now. Do you have a vision for where experiential retail is going. Like if we jump in a time machine and move forward like five years what's awesome experiential retail environment going to feel like that as it is it just a slightly more polished version of, what we're doing a day or do you see some significant changes. Scot & Vibhu: [50:14] So we were not a gimmicky company. So I don't you know we don't think a lot about how the store experience itself is going to change. But I would say that if you look at a macro level every. I mean you know this as well as I do but every bad retailer is going to go out of business. Between now and like you know 2040. [50:34] And they're you know a lot of them are going to be replaced by these new brands who are you know getting to a point where stores start to make sense. You know brands that sort of online. And and I think when you walk into a mall in the future really five years from now, it will primarily be a bunch of kind of direct to consumer and vertical brands taking up the space there and, I think that's great for customers because those products are better. They resonate with a different audience than maybe the typical traditional retailers that today occupy a lot of square feet, and and frankly like the business model these companies are using kind of naturally lends itself to better customer experience in the store because there's certain no conflict of interest between you know what a customerwants and what what the brand wants like that. These brands don't care whether that customer buys the product right there and then they they think about the store for lots of thing for customer service for learning for for events all things that people love. [51:46] But yeah we don't have a lot of insight into what the store will look like but I can tell you that if we have something to do with it a lot of stores will be designed around analytics and data and data capture. And so they'll probably look a little bit more like our stores than than not. Jason: [52:05] Yeah I hope you're right on that one. I know you and in the show you know at the beginning of the year we do this prediction show. And I feel like I used to do a prediction every year that retailers would get more serious about their in-store analytics and I keep losing on that prediction. So I would I would love your help in making that one finally be true. Scot & Vibhu: [52:26] Well it will be true by NEC and by just by companies these retailers going out of business and being replaced by new ones like us. Jason: [52:34] Yes yes. Although that cooling takes a little bit of time. But it's happened again. We've used up our allotted time serve if listeners have any questions that they didn't get answered during the show. We encourage them to jump on Facebook and ask questions and we certainly feel free to reach out to you you know to the extent that any of them are, focused on your business and of course if this show is valuable to you we sure would appreciate if you jump on iTunes and give us their five star review. Scot & Vibhu: [53:08] Thanks for joining us. And where can folks follow you online if they want to learn more about either what you're up to or beta. [53:17] Site. I look at every e-mail I get. So definitely email me via B.H. You made a dot com or you can follow me on Twitter. But to be honest with you I just tweet about beta. So if you if you want that that's the best place for Beta news. Jason: [53:34] Nice and Until next time. Happy Commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP138 - Amazon Q2 2018 Earnings Hot Take

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 31, 2018 52:11


EP138 - Amazon Q2 2018 Earnings Hot Take  This episode is a hot take on Amazon Q2 2018 earnings Amazon Q2 Earnings Highlights $52.9B, which is a 39% y/y increase $2.98B in operating income $21.8B in Free cash flow, less $11.4B in capex, $6.2B in lease repayments = Net $4.1B Free Cash Flow AWS had a material acceleration up 48% y/y constant currency and profits were $1.4b Amazon Web Services – came in at $6.1b – 49% y/y growth (an acceleration from last quarters 48% growth) North America – $32.2B up 44% Y/Y, operating income of $1.84B International  – Revenue increased to $14.6B (+21% Y/Y) for a $0.494B loss Marketplace 53% 3P by Unit sales 3P Growing at 55% (constant currency) Wingo GMV estimate -> 1p – $37.6b/ 3p – $71b = $108.6b GMV Amazon Ad Business – grew 129% y/y  to $2.19B Cowen estimates $8.6BN in 2018  rising to ~$37BN in 2023 Amazon increasingly bypassing agencies to go directly to advertisers Increasing likely Amazon becomes first $1 trillion dollar company Jason & Scot will at eTail East in Boston next week. Don’t forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 138 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Monday, July 30th 2018. Join your hosts Jason “Retailgeek” Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. New beta feature – Google Automated Transcription of the show: Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 138 being recorded on Monday July 30th 2018 I’m your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I’m here with your Tahoe Scot Wingo. Scot: [0:40] Hey Jason are welcome back Jason Scott show listeners well last week the big news in e-commerce was Amazon 2nd quarter results but we didn’t get a chance to cover it live because you were down under. Jason: [0:55] That I was I was in the future in Australia. Scot: [0:58] I know he’s not wild you you cross the time zone when you go there and then you lose a day when you come back so yeah it’s very strange. Jason: [1:07] I assume I’m now even. Scot: [1:09] Yeah if you if you keep going though One Direction you’ll either turn time backwards like Superman to or I don’t know if you’ll arrive younger than when you left. Jason: [1:21] Yeah I can certainly use that but I’m not currently that’s not a nephew and I’m currently experiencing. Scot: [1:27] Cool before we jumped into Amazon’s second quarter deep dive give us some highlights of what you saw in Australia and you know since we’re theming on Amazon here let’s start there Amazon has launched in Australia and I imagine that the Aussies are really fired up about that. Jason: [1:44] Should I feel like that is the big change last disruption in the local retail Market I would also I also feel like the. The sort of recovery from the global financial crisis has changed circumstances in Australia a little bit but it said it’s an interesting Market. [2:04] For me it felt a little bit like a Time Warp like I was going back in time a couple years in retail. They’re they’re not as over stored as we are so malls are still like a pretty popular concept like they don’t have too many into the overwhelming majority of malls or sort of the equivalent of what we call in a mall here. And that’s a a growing in popularity shopping concept there in fact like there’s a premise that the. Traditional department stores in in Australia are suffering a little bit because people are choosing. Two shot multiple manufacturer stores in the mall versus going to a department store but overall. It’s a timer for two reasons number one is Scott and I think you already know it’s an odd Market in that a lot of international retailers. [2:57] Didn’t protect their IP rights in the early days until entrepreneurs from Australia would travel abroad they would see some interesting retail concept. And they would bring it an unlicensed version of it tossed really on their own so you’ll see lots of familiar brands for North American Choppers like Target and Kmart. Woolworths but they’re they’re not and The Branding may even feel very similar to what you would expect in the US. But they’re not in any way related to or associated with the North American companies and in some ways it’s a Bizarro world so. Like you know Kmart is probably more vibrant in Australia than Target for example. [3:40] Which feels a little bizarre for anyone that you used to North America where that’s that’s definitively not the case so to the retail Brands it takes a little bit of time to get your head around because they’re familiar and yet for him and then you know I think it’s dorkly the market just hasn’t had a lot of competition like most of the Australian retailers have had to compete with each other but there’s not a huge number of them so they. They don’t have direct overlap like you don’t tend to have two or three brands with the same product assortment in the same price point so i q no U tend to have. [4:13] A retailer in every price point or a category killer in the in the category so you have like an office works. As the category killer for Office Products but they don’t have. A direct competitor like like Office Depot OfficeMax have a Staples here for example and then until recently the the currency exchange rate really sucked in so you didn’t you also didn’t have Australian consumers. Shopping internationally via e-commerce and so really those consumers were kind of locked in the to the local choice there’s no they’re not a lot of international retailers in Market there’s a lot of international Brands and Market but not a lot of. Wholesalers of other people stuff inside so I would argue that the market just didn’t involve really fast and now you got Amazon coming in there I’m which is a big disruption and you have much more favorable exchange rate so you have. Australian consumer shopping tomorrow in Hong Kong and and shopping pesos in in the UK and doing cross-border Commerce and things like that so suddenly there’s a lot of competition suddenly they’re all getting much more heavily disrupted and they’re all trying to figure out a lot of the digital things and Omni Channel things that retard you know we’re more likely to be struggling with you know 2 to 5 years ago here in North America so it’s it’s it’s going to be interesting. Scot: [5:36] Yeah so Channel advisor full disclosure we have an office in Melbourne and it’s a good region for us Amazon coming has been great for us the one thing we’ve seen a ton of is there’s a lot of Chinese Imports and Australia and it frustrates Australians because they have this weird kind of this is kind of topical because the news did this weird thing where you can sell anything and Australia for $1,000 and under and there’s no tariff but then Aussies can’t sell the China without Tara so there’s like this huge disadvantage and it really always frustrates the third-party sellers I know they’re that anything can come into the country for under $1,000 without any kind of a there’s just some guy text benefit almost like they don’t pay Australian tax on it or something and but then they always had a hard time exporting out of Australia so did you hear anything about that or. Jason: [6:29] Yeah so I feel like there’s a number of those sorts of things and and you know I was really really is part of Asia is it is you know there’s it’s very International population and so there there’s a lot of Asian expats in Australia and said there’s there’s it you know it’s it’s not just proximity to the good deals like there’s a lot of Asian brands did it appeal to a big chunk to the local market in Australia, alright are multi-generations in Australia there is this strong sort of national pride thing so I always feel like. They’re they’re very there they’re more opposed to Outsourcing jobs and their there more favorable to. Meeting RC Brands and products then some other markets in all markets we see. That that does kind of stated preferences you no go away when. When there’s economic pressure so I’m not saying Australians won’t buy cheap goods from China but I’m just saying, they maybe put a little more weight on the local stuff then do Americans for exam. Scot: [7:44] Call the other thing I’ve noticed in Australia is pretty much everything will kill you did you run into that at all. Jason: [7:49] I was aware of that but I did not run into that I did not see any vocals boxing with kangaroos. They’re made they’re probably were venomous spiders but I’m happy to report I didn’t see them which is all I care about like I just want to die in my sleep and not be scared the bejesus beforehand. And I was I was mostly in Melbourne and Sydney which are you know big Metropolitan City so I I imagine the density of things that can kill you is more skewed towards public transportation in Alaska Critters. Scot: [8:23] House on the Gold Coast in like a I thought I’ll go to the beach for half an hour or something and it like every other sign was like no warning Riptides warning sharks warning life threatening jellyfish poison manowar’s warning piranhas like ever in Australia. Jason: [8:43] No I think it I think it was Jim that fact that there are there are like more deadly species in Australia than anywhere else and I think that’s particularly like the snakes in the venomous spiders and then is you mentioned a lot of the The Aquatic Life. Scot: [8:56] Yeah they couldn’t tell hundred percent if they’re yanking my chain but the folks in the office for telling me there’s a venomous spider that hangs out in toilets and like all Australians when they go to the toilet they will actually do a visual inspection for this spider because it will actually bite you in the bum and it can kill you if which is like a terrible way to got. Jason: [9:14] That’s why I don’t know the weather know this but either they were totally yanking your chain or my house were much more happy for me to die. I was not worried about that although I did Quinton Henley I did look in every toilet because I was I was constantly making videos trying to get some that were flush and counterclockwise in it yeah. Scot: [9:33] Nice but still have to put those on the action. Jason: [9:38] Exactly yeah the toilet videos yeah I’m pretty sure it’s like cow tipping. Scot: [9:43] Cool any other exciting Australia highlights. Jason: [9:48] Nope I mean people are super nice I had a ton of great conversations with retailers and I do think they care a lot about the customer experience and they care about winning in this certavite in competitive market that there now in butt you know just circumstances they they haven’t had the impetus to change quite as quickly as as some other market so. Scot: [10:11] Well let’s jump right into the big amazon news with the Q2 Deep dive. Amazon news your margin is there. [10:34] Also serves a lot to go through so we’re going to contact what I call a peel the onion approach and start at the macro-level and then look at the different lines of business with an Amazon we’re going to look at the cloud segment the add business and then the US and international retail businesses as well as the third party Marketplace that’s a lot to cover so let’s jump in from a macro standpoint the big story of Q2 was the bottom line. And in fact the top line was a little bit below and the analyst estimates and part of that was due to there’s a lot of rule changes going on in the world of accounting. Which is causing every company a lot of Heartache intimate with this unfortunately there’s this new accounting principles 606 which is making a. We visit how they look at their different things so Amazon had to move some stuff from 1 P to 3 p which creates a revenue headwind because in 3p they only count about 10% of the revenue because it’s their Commission CNN 1p the count a hundred percent so in fact Amazon actually missed the top line so usually if that happens you see this whole you know crater going to stock but then that didn’t happen here because what happened is operating income blueway expectations so it came in at. [11:52] 2.98 billion so that’s the third quarter that operating income was over 2 billion and it was just too shy close at 3 billion you know what would that be 2 million short short of that. That’s a 375% year-over-year increase in operating income and then every segment Amazon reports on improved their profitability as well and will cover that as we get in that represents a 5.6% margin and expectations was for 1.7 billion so this was 77% above expectations which of these numbers is you know 1.2 billion dollars more than while she was expecting in his truck that is meant. Amazon is I kind of caught this stair step effect so Amazon will. [12:39] You know don’t don’t climb the stair and profits will go down and what they’re doing is this business is very capital expenditure heavy right so you have the big capex is fulfillment centers which are not cheap and data centers which are also not cheap so Amazon and Fortune asked both because derp derp those are the two core pieces of what they’re building so you can imagine the phase where they’ll build like 24 filament centers in 20 distribution centers and the look massively unprofitable but then as those come online and they optimize them and they get capacity then Revenue starts to kind of the the capex stair goes sideways and profit starts to climb and then Amazon will kind of go through another phase of of harvesting. [13:28] Prophets and then after that they’ll say oh we need more data centers and fulfillment centers and I’ll have to kind of keep chewing away at it so we’re one of those Cycles now I’m that that we’re kind of harvesting investment and what’s interesting is as they’re climbing the stairs every time they take a breather the possibility is going up pretty materially and they’re doing it again such a big number you had so you normally people would scoff at a 5.6% total margin but they’re doing it against a top-line that. [13:56] Massively large so 3 billion dollars works out of the bottom of that equation which is which is pretty incredible so so that was kind of everyone was pretty kitty about that to see if they know they haven’t level in a very long time. And then there was there’s a nursing backdrop that happened you were not show you sounded like you picked up on this but there’s this this whole kind of thing that’s been out there called Fame search Facebook Amazon Netflix and Google and Google had pretty good results obviously Amazon did and then Netflix kind of had a little bit of a bad results at there they miss their subscriber growth number and then Facebook had a really really really bad week last week so they they had that kind of guy on their conference call so their revenue and profits missed an egg on a conference call and it essentially said look we’re going to reset expectations of Skyway on Washington caught kitchen sink order the stock was immediately down 20% and unfortunate that kind of held there so there was this whole thing coming in so it’s kind of interesting to see Amazon really kind of printer. A quarter and blow errands expectations. Jason: [15:11] Boxer to put the F into Fang if you will. Scot: [15:14] Absolutely yes Google kind of mess it up cuz they change their name to alphabet but everyone still calls it thing but it’s it should be either fan or whatever. Santa hat the another kind of interesting tidbit here subscription Services which is where Prime lives are there’s a couple other subscriptions on there that you can buy but that is primarily Prime Revenue. That accelerated to 55% year-over-year growth which was good and then longtime listeners the show will no operating income and revenue are the measuring sticks that most other companies use but Amazon really uses. Cancel that is a lagging indicator and what they really focus on is as more of a Ford indicator and it kind of has to do with the stair step. I love you and I’ll G I introduced that’s free cash flow and what free cash flow does is it it kind of is an earlier way. To the counting rules to kind of predict where. [16:12] Profitability is going to come in so let’s let me kind of walk you through that I’m going to try that this always gets a little confusing so I think I’ve tried to boil it down here so when you when you just take what I would call. [16:23] You got to go to this waterfall right so the top of the waterfall you have just pure free cash flow and that was about 22 billion dollars massive amounts free cash flow. Then they go and they invest more Catholics right because Amazon is Never Off This treadmill of investing in capax just the. So this quarter they invested only 11.4 billion and capex just hilarious because that’s probably more than. People are spending in like last 10 years for like most retailers but that’s that’s so is a light investment quarter. Do only 11.4 billion that leaves you with kind of 10.4 billion in free cash flow after the capex Investments then they’ve gone out and they have you know some of these things that they buy they buy outright and other ones they leased land and what not to try to smooth out. Cash outlay for data centers in fulfillment centers along with more with Revenue comes in so they have 6.3 billion of that they paid back in the quarter so really when you get all that out the cord which is free cash flow without lease. When you take out least principal repayments was 4.1 billion so those are kind of the end of the metrics Amazon spends a lot of time thinking about what you could argue is. That biggest number I gave you that 21 billion is really what Amazon focuses on because you know if you kind of go to this. [17:45] Take a region like the United States there there’s they’re getting to the point where they really don’t have to go that many more fulfillment centers in it and in fact the profitability of the North America really kind of pop this quarter will talk about it because of this they’re essentially it saturation so when you get saturation with some of these things that free cash phone number. The top of that waterfall becomes the number because you pay off the cappex pay off at Lisa’s now you’ve got all these fulfillment centers they’re producing Pan the free cash flow flows all the way to the bottom line so over the long-term you should see that gap between about the three billion dollar operating income in the $22 free cash. 12 close as a market matures that’s what gets Wall Street so. [18:28] Not terribly excited about Amazon is these free cash flow numbers are are pretty amazing and Amazon while they’re investing yeah I started that 21.8 billion + free cash flow and ended up with 4 there’s a lot of investment in there like 17 billion dollars with an investment when there’s a day where they’re not making those Investments this is just going to eat a massively kind of cash generating business which was funny we talked about it a lot on the show there still this overwhelming belief out there. That either a olive Amazon is a profitable or that be the retail business is sustained just by the cloud business none of that’s true the retail business on its own as profitable. Especially in North America and international it’s still losing money but that’s because certain markets specifically India Scot amount but I think it’s pretty safe to assume there’s markets like the UK and Europe for their probably look a lot like the US they’re pretty mature but then there’s a lot of markets and I including Australia even yeah I bet Amazon isn’t profitable in Australia so. Just want to make sure we just spelled the you know that that whole incorrect urban legend at Amazon or its retail business are not profit. Jason: [19:40] Yeah for sure and Scott correct me if I’m wrong in this but. Even if they wanted to keep investing at this same Pace like they’re there is a scale problem right like it is you keep growing that Top Line cash flow that fast like there comes a point when you just can’t make. The capex Investments at that same. At that same growth scale if you well some people would even say like the stair-step isn’t necessarily intentionally that they’re taking profits but just that it it takes them more time to retool and and scale the Investments at the same Pace that they’re there their top line revenue is scaling. Scot: [20:19] Absolutely let me have some you know so the most exciting line-of-business we’ll talk about is ads and you and I both there are in this world the nice thing about ads is it it doesn’t require any cat that’s right so it’s. It actually possibly could be the most profit line of business that Amazon has and I I think. Even though Amazon is closing are showing Dollar business I think there’s probably the could be a joined our business there that a lot of people haven’t woken up to because unlike all the Amazon other businesses it doesn’t need data centers that doesn’t need for Film It Centers and it rides on top of those so it gets this kind of triple flywheel effect. I’m from those Investments That Amazon’s making. Jason: [21:04] Death of though this last reporting. You probably didn’t want ads to be the the dominant source of income you had cuz that that probably dancer Facebook Super Bowl. Scot: [21:14] Yen one one sidebar is a kind of thinking there’s been a lot of interesting writing about this if your Facebook and Twitter is also in the same bucket Netflix will go in and it sits on it stop living subscribers I don’t think those big deal but but the Twitter and Facebook their core bottle is under attack right because you have this whole attention to swinging very far away very far towards privacy with gdpr the whole Cambridge analytica and you know so they’re core model is kind of under attack were there since Lee saying give us your data for free and we’ll monetize it by selling it to other people which which sounds weird when I say it like that that’s perfect what you been doing all this time and you know so you have to I have to imagine somewhere in those boardrooms people like we really need to find an e-commerce leg you know kind of a of Revenue here so I wouldn’t be surprised if we saw Facebooking and Twitter got a lot more serious about e-commerce Revenue because transactional review is way cleaner from political economy misgivings than than address. Jason: [22:22] Yeah for sure and I mean a ton was written about Facebook but I don’t know if you follow John Oliver he has the Last Week Tonight Show on HBO and he did a hysterical honest version of the Facebook app. That. Can’t completely describe an RPG rated podcast but you can find it all over the internet and it’s it’s definitely worth the watch is pretty funny. But the punchline of the lad is Facebook we own Who You Are. [23:02] So at the very top line for Amazon the growth was pretty big RightSource 37% year-over-year growth. On the revenue and you don’t remember remedy for for for Amazon doesn’t exactly equate to e-commerce DMV because they they do have some other businesses and in the revenues a mix of one p m 3 p but 37% growth. You know for a company they’re sized you know we always highlight on the show that that the Department of Commerce in comscore sort of estimate all e-commerce growth in North America at about. A 15% growth rate so you you have the the biggest company in the space that represents more than half of all the activity in the space and they’re still growing at more than twice the the average growth rate which is pretty scary. Scot: [23:57] Yeah a lot of people are starting to kind of wake up to this and you you pricing all the headlines that you know Amazon what’s half of e-commerce and that kind of thing would which is true but if he Commerce is growing it fit. 15% and Amazon phone at 37% then you know next stop 65% $0.75 85% 95% so we will later we’ll see you know eBay group pretty decently like eight 9% but then we’ll always here from Walmart and Target those kind of guys that they’re growing 30% shopify’s gmv is going 30% and it always becomes this kind of question of who is who is growing at negative. And e-commerce to kind of generate this 15% I always come back to that when I when I when I start to hear all these things come out of the quarterly reports I don’t have a great answer for that we’ve talked to folks. Animal I believe the numbers are wrong out there and they don’t trust at 15% so we’ll leave that two listeners kind of decide. [25:03] The glass little thing on the top level here is at Wall Street. [25:11] You’re very quickly says wow that was great cue to tell me about Q3 so it’s very much a show me show me kind of a world there I am the do that through guidance so Amazon’s guidance for Q3 was a little light on revenue and I think that this again was due to this kind of Optical news from stuff from 1 P to 3 p but then the prophet guy that gave to Wall Street was wildly ahead of their estimates and this is why you see that world of Wall Street you called us a beat and raised quarter that’s essentially what Amazon did is they not only did they being cute too but they all the analysts had to scramble and go out and say the whole world of profitability Amazon has changed what does that do for our bottles and minute is models are built off of operating income and free cash flow so you know I saw I saw price targets out there 2020 120 200 I think the highest I saw was 2300 I remember right around 2000 is when Amazon it’s $10 so yeah this is the kind of momentum here that that’s pretty interesting to see if this is what catapults Amazon there I don’t think I quite get there but you know when Q3 comes out I think Amazon all indications are from third parties out there that they had a Blow Away Prime day. [26:33] That could be if they were kind of being raised and 2/3 on top of this and especially on the bottom line then we could get that $20 by Lucy will have to July. So probably be. August 28th 23 or October 22-23 is probably when they’ll announce Q3 and I bet that maybe when we kind of see the first trying to our company. Jason: [27:01] Yeah and that’s a great reminder to me that we need to get started on the trillion-dollar sound effect that will need for the podcast from them. Scot: [27:08] Yeah yeah I’ll have Jeff on he’ll be a big celebration party. Jason: [27:12] Exactly I know he keeps asking but that maybe would be the occasion to finally let him on the show. So one of the businesses in this number is of course the Amazon web services and you know if e-commerce is doing pretty well against its competition amazon-web-services is doing even better right and is you is you mentioned you know one of the two common myths is that this is the only profitable part of Amazon that’s her to carries the retail part as a reminder like this service want and really had like a 7-year Head Start before they developed any serious competition and today you have. Microsoft and Google in particular you know fighting hard to catch up. Spencer literally 7 years behind and I think there’s a Warren Buffett quote you know something to the effect of you really don’t want to spot Jeff Bezos so 7 years head start on anything. Scot: [28:06] Yes all that was great. Jason: [28:07] Which is a pretty good quote so you know again the circumstance going into this is. [28:14] That Amazon web services is way larger than all of their competition combined and so normally you’d expect. That’s great but it should probably be harder for them to keep growing at this pace and the bad news for the competitors is they did keep growing at that pace and in fact there their rate of growth is still slightly accelerating so so they had like 6.1 billion in in revenue for AWS that’s a 49% year-over-year growth. Which is an acceleration of of 100 basis points from q1 and you know that puts them at like at 24 billion dollar. [28:55] Run rate. And the operating margins are getting better so so operating margins for the quarter went up like a hundred 20 basis points you know so you got margins improving on a big growth when you’re already like the. The huge market leader in so that’s that’s you know pretty impressive and for sure those profit margins. Are much higher than you typically see you in any kind of retail and certainly higher than we see an e-commerce or or Amazon so you know they’ve there pretty consistently in the 20 to 25% operating margins for the for the last three years on on Amazon web services which is much more healthy Marge and then you’re going to see you in a in a retail bit. Scot: [29:45] Yeah as a is a super geeky a fellow Super Geek guy I saw one analyst it did this kind of cool kind of. Thinking on this Amazon discloses some of the work load data so work load and growing at 49% workloads I think we’re going at like 60 70% so what’s happening is they are getting better at optimizing the data centers and handling those workloads with less capex imagine some that’s Morris law that kind of kicks in their butt yeah I’m sure there’s some technology to I’m sure they’re getting good at your how do you spread these things across the field data centers you know how do you buy more commodity Hardware there’s a lot of rumors that they were going to compete with Cisco because they build your own network they do software kind of networking Stratus infrastructure instead of Hardware so they were so they they were able to handle a tremendous amount of workload growth convert that into Revenue but then increase margins more efficient inside of the data center layer there in end of cloud services they’re providing they’re also seeing really good you know there’s this whole family of things people can use an and you know on the conference call they talked about they don’t get specifics but they said they were very pleased which means. [31:08] Yeah it kind of Amazon body language must have been more than 10% kind of a thing you know of cloud customers expanding into some of these new Services they have so they have a lot of new scheme was database Technologies bi. Call center Technologies and machine learning and Ai and they still seeing a lot of customers expand into those things which is which is new needs more Revenue per customer as well. I bet they don’t really totally disclose that. On your Warren Buffett quote one analyst had a clever thing it’s not funny they run out of superlatives here so he essentially kind of said I mean dang they they added an Azure I would just Microsoft clouds and a Google Cloud platform just in the last year so they you know they’re just like every quarter they had like four or five JCPenney’s on on the GMC side there they’re laughing those guys so bad that they’re yep there you go over your number added kind of just you know the year of your growth exceeded the two top competitors which is crazy. Jason: [32:12] Yeah yes it it’s pretty scary. And I hesitate to even call it a stumble the one slight bit of negative PR I’ve seen lately has to do with one of those AI Services they have a facial recognition service and there was a little bit of a stir somebody use the Amazon facial recognition search service and ran it against Congress and it said Miss identified like a hundred and fifty of the congressman as. Criminals and like I’m not sure anyone did the fact-checking like it’s possible that that just true it sounds like to me but. [32:49] I’m assuming from the articles that that was a mistake like that really has nothing to do with Amazon web services it’s kind of the state of the. The technology in the databases that all these guys used to train facial recognition. But I did see them get some slightly negative Buzz there and then of course it is interesting retailers the one segment where you would expect. Ews to have a little bit of head winds because Amazon is such a successful retailer if you are another big retailer that’s fine cloud services. It wouldn’t be surprising to see them you know Skip Amazon even though they are the dominant player and we are starting to see that a little bit like it was more of a press release than. Then any actual activity but on Friday this year Walmart announced a big partnership with Microsoft Azure for data services and I you know I presume that was designed to. Somehow take some of the steam out of prime day which. Unite I would argue wasn’t wasn’t very successful and then I know Google Cloud platform Services just had their annual conference and one of the big announcement today or was that that apparently for some time Target has been. One of the main tenants on Google Cloud platform services so so it is too we’re starting to see some of the big retailers adopt some of the other class but your point like. And not in the overall economic picture it’s it’s not making you in that tiny little dent. [34:18] So moving on to another business that’s not as big as Amazon web services but pretty interesting is the emerging advertising business on Amazon and so you know what is regular listener I don’t know there’s a bunch of different formats of of marketing opportunities that sellers can buy on the Amazon platform to improve visibility for their product in so that that generates advertising revenue for Amazon in Scot keep me honest here but they they want that Revenue into a kind of miscellaneous bucket they call other revenue and I I think we’re all. Largely assuming that the bulk of of quote-unquote other revenue is this ad business but it but there are some other pieces of. Of Revenue in that bucket as well do I have that right. Scot: [35:09] You do and it’s kind of confusing so they they give you some tidbits on revenue and break out ads inside of other and then like I mentioned subscription services but because those things aren’t going quote material part of Amazon’s business the SEC doesn’t require to break him out and that in their entirety so ads end up being in North American International but AWS is all the way out because it’s pulled out as its own kind of operating its own p&l if you also unlike line business ads we only know the Top Line we don’t know the profitability I think we all assume it’s probably. Jason: [35:43] It’s hard for it not to be very profitable yeah. Scot: [35:46] What is the extent there is no expenses psych are there are you at the traffic in the it just kind of like almost pure profit I would imagine so so yeah you’re right. Jason: [35:56] So that so the number for that other Revenue grew a hundred and 29% so so she use year-over-year growth and I think cow and came out and said that their estimate for the annual revenue from this advertising service is now 8.6 billion in for 2018 and you know when they start a forecast that out there there forecast says forecasting that that could be a 37 billion dollar business by 2023 which is the acceleration over. Over their previous estimate from just a couple months ago. Scot: [36:35] Yeah that’s a Facebook so this business will grow to be a Facebook by 2023 in 5 years and he had to nudge their numbers up because it’s outperforming what what they’re saying they’re so. Jason: [36:46] Now we used to say. Scot: [36:48] An Amazon fashion day could pull that in a year you know someone for years they could have added a Facebook. Jason: [36:52] Yeah now generally when people tell that story they remind you that that that’s a 2017 or 2018 Facebook and the 2023 Facebook will probably also be a lot larger but that’s may be less obvious this this week than it was last week so that is certainly interesting not really related to their their announcement that there is other data out there to just sort of highlight. What at what an interesting business this is you know if you’re doing a search on Amazon platform. By definition you have really high purchase intent so the ads on that platform. Are are likely to have a directors are much more likely to have a direct response then adds on almost any other other advertising vehicle. And so you know Merkel consolidate the data from other clients. Every quarter and they publish this this great compendium of a marketing stats and they would they were talking a little bit about the efficacy of like one of those signature ad formats on Amazon which is the Amazon headline search ads there’s an ad. It shows up at the top of a search and they’re saying that like comparing that to a Google pla which is one of the the most Commerce friendly. Appointments on Google that Amazon headline search get 42% more clicks and convert 3 1/2 times better than Google play so that’s. [38:18] You know partly a definition of the of the shopping traffic than Amazon gets versus the more you know browsing and in general information traffic that the Google gets butt. You know if if their revenue gets anywhere like Amazon or Facebook’s advertising Revenue it’s. Its Revenue that has a much clearer Roi for the ad purchaser. Then some of that that the ads that are purchased on the other platforms where you have to believe that influences eventually going to translate to purchases. So I think that’s that’s super interesting, and then you know somewhat in line with the other digital ad platforms like Google and Facebook is becoming increasingly clear that Amazon’s very interested in fostering a direct relationship with the big ass fenders and they’re really trying to bypass the traditional agencies so you know I work for one of those agencies like that’s you know definitely not good news for that sort of old app Revenue stream for the big big digital agencies as it increasingly seems obvious that you know if there’s only a handful of these big digital advertising platforms they make themselves really friendly today advertisers that you know they can make it difficult for the for middleman to add much value. Scot: [39:38] Free Colts those are the that’s the cloud in the ad highlights Witcher are in a driving substantial beats here and then let’s dig in the retail side 2 on the third-party side revenue from third-party seller Services grew 36% year-over-year which is down slightly from which it was about 40% of year ago so you know just kind of scale kind of slowing down I think but again you have third parties are growing 36% year-over-year is not too shabby in a world of 15% and in fact when you think about it if third prettiest girl. [40:15] That fast then overall online sales for Amazon were about 18% first party is growing for a bit slower so the third party part of Amazon is growing substantially Amazon does report the unit volume mix and the unit volume mix hit a new high water mark and Q2 of 53% it was interesting it it kind of when you look at it overtime at q117 and it kind of this equilibrium of 50% and it stayed in that range all the way through 2017 and then here and 2018 it’s really kind of started to ramp up I think some of that was a couple things so I think Amazon always loves for 3p to go through FBA if possible cuz that’s the best user experience and it so I think Amazon and in 17 had vastly underestimated the the popularity of FBA with third parties so they built a lot of fulfillment centers globally in Parsippany us to kind of catch up so it feels to me it didn’t seem time they had some policies to kind of help drain some of the slower moving stuff out of a PA so I feel like the kind of used 2017 as a catch-up to get. [41:27] APA right sized again counties in that stair step method ology profits took a hit from that and now we’re really seeing creepy ramp up because I think there’s a lot more room in that PA to drive things I do my own proprietary analysis of this and one I kind of peel apart the quarter I end up with first party at 37.6 billion 71 billion for third-party so third-party is getting to be almost as twice as big as first party so it’s your time looking at. 6030 Castle Cliff there I mean 6535 and I have three pgmp growing at 27% and 1p growing at 12% so this move between one p3p delete this a little bit but adding those together to get 108 billion dollars of gmv for the quarter which I think is the right way to think of Amazon and that puts them at a you know north of a 400 billion gmv run rate. Which is essentially the size of Walmart we can compare Amazon’s GMB to Walmart retail sales which I think is the right comparison there. On the US side to side Jason or you want me to jump into that. Jason: [42:43] Sure I’ll hit the top on and you can add any any color but North American revenues continue to be really strong so that there were 32.2 billion for the quarter that’s a 44% year-over-year increase and I I think that basically hit the Wall Street expectation but they you know again you don’t improve the operating margin I think they beat their. Their consensus estimates for the operating margin so again fast expected grossing growth in North America and North America has been properly 17 consecutive quarters or. Scot: [43:31] Yeah but I’ve lost track to being sweet. Jason: [43:34] Yes but so it’s something something in that range. Where you at we’re going to call it a 12 consecutive quarters of profitable growth in North America so going back to positive profit in North America so that’s you know going back to the the sort of old wives tale that they’re not profitable the retail business in North America on its own is a profitable business it’s growing robustly it’s not super high margin as. You know most most retail is not super high margin but there’s not very many retards in North America that it wouldn’t take the last the last 11 quarters for for Amazon’s business so North America is a very robust retail business. Scot: [44:28] Yeah and if you look at the operating margin for that segment again operating margin is really a trailing indicator free free cash flow would be better but they don’t break it out by a segment cuz you’re not required to file SEC but it improved from 3.7% bottom line profitability 5.7 in Washi parlance that’s a 200 basis point increase which is pretty material on a quarter to quarter so you’re really starting to see them. Squeeze some some benefit there. Some of that is coming from the ad Revenue so that again the ad revenue does getting mixed into this North America piano AWS isn’t cuz it said separate Simon so it is in their hind it’s helping but it’s maybe a third of the profit comes from that business. But I don’t think it’s fair to separate that because those two things are very much more intimately connected than AWS is essentially. Jason: [45:24] Yeah and that I mean reminder that the ad business wouldn’t exist if they weren’t retailer driving a bunch of traffic to that site to shop for Stuff. Scot: [45:35] You want to do International. Jason: [45:37] No I’m going to toss it to you for the cool accent. Scot: [45:41] Yeah yeah thanks crikey so. On the international side if there’s any kind of blemish on this quarter it was International and then maybe the Top Line kind of being a little light but I think people kind of get the Top Line being of 1 Peter 3 p move and it is. Truck drives Rockville police they’re okay with it so he International Group 21% year-over-year was largely due. [46:08] A launch last year sometime that there anyways I’m so they had a tough comp in in a Wall Street. ABS line but so is a little bit of white on the top line from what people were expecting it again on the bottom line it was good it was pretty strong so International has a loss so it is she won the last was 4.2% and then this quarter it was 3.4% so again kind of a really nice quarter-on-quarter Improvement but this is clearly a part of Amazon that’s losing money and yeah for those folks that really want to find a piece of you found it so the international business of Amazon’s losing money right now it is improving its profitability pretty dramatically quarter-on-quarter so and Q4 it was down 5% in a lost 5% and then yeah back in the 2017 it lost as much as 7% so it’s really kind of cut the losses and half in less than a year and you know I think we’ll see this at this kind of pace you could see International get profitable. If you stretch get there in 18 but maybe by mid 1990 you know if Amazon opens up Brazil in a more serious way there’s a lot of countries that are not in and or they do some Acquisitions so they’ve added some things like sukur that. Could make it kind of go negative again they they will do that because I see it is as such a big opportunity. Jason: [47:30] Yeah and I would just remind people of your thinking about this in terms of a traditional retailer very few retailers that are wholesalers of other people’s stuff that sell third-party product had been very successful at expanding internationally so lots of retailers have success in their home Market they say hey what time you getting getting saturation here we should expand in some other markets to grow our our total addressable market and they start opening stores in other markets and more often than not they fail utterly or at the very least aren’t profitable and so like I would argue if you pull Brandon manufactures out that sell their own stuff the the majority of retailers International operations are unprofitable and some much more wildly so than Amazon right I think an Amazon case what we’re still seeing is is an investment that hasn’t paid off yet but there’s you know every reason to believe that it could just be early in the investment cycle and I I think that compares favorably to a lot of traditional retail competitors. Scot: [48:35] Yeah and the last thing here you know what Amazon is really good at is seeing something work in one market and rolling it out rap play the others I don’t know I haven’t tracked person where they are on the ad but I’m sure like in Australia they don’t have the ad platform active yet because they’re trying to get third parties ramped up but you know what you can Dad is there seeing the ad platform work really well in North America I’m pretty sure it’s it’s. Parody Future parody in England but I don’t think the rest of Europe is really been aggressively sold that and then countries like India you know where the the type of a model this kind of hybrid ad and Marketplace model is is much more prevalent in Asian Alibaba really kind of I read this whole concept you can see you know you can see International almost getting prop on the back of rolling that ad platform out in a in an aggressive way and getting it into all these countries where it’s not and then getting it penetrated more intended the countries where it already is an English and whatnot so that’ll be interesting to watch. It could even further because they don’t kind of tell us the breakdown of of that other line you’re my bet be it’s probably 80 or 90% North America and very small International and I would imagine the international side to be as big as a North America side just kind of just naturally so that ad business we could be vastly under sizing that add business even that kind of like that’s Facebook scale that the people are saying. Jason: [50:04] Yeah and I I mean I would argue that the ad business is as robust as it’s getting it’s still pretty immature even in North America so there’s there’s certainly lots of room there but you know this this whole metaphor of a flywheel like the one downside of a flywheel is it’s hard to start pedaling in the beginning until you get the momentum right and. Why can’t a lot of these markets they’re still doing that initial pedaling like in Australia they really just want Prime so you know a lot of the synergies that that all of these different systems than Amazon launches that ultimately turn into this you know Juggernaut platform ekosistem. You know aren’t in play as much in some of these new international countries as have already played out in North America and so like overtime. [50:50] They look those things could get fired up you know they can pour gas on Prime sign ups and in Australia for example. And Scot it’s going to shock you but it does happen again and we have used up all of our allotted time we are at minute 50 of our 30-minute highlight show if you want to continue but it was all valuable stuff and I know all the Whismur stuck with us so if you want to continue the conversation or do you want to know what Scott would have talked about it I gave him 10 more minutes you can jump over to Facebook and drop us a question and we’re happy to have a dialogue there as always Aviv that this episode was helpful to you we sure would appreciate it if you jump on iTunes and give us that 5-star review. Scot: [51:35] Next to join us are one we are going to be at Etail and Boston ETL East sews drop us a message to Vitas Facebook as whatever your preferred method of communioncation isn’t would love to meet up with some are there. Jason: [51:49] That would be awesome and until next time happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP137 - Amazon Prime Day and Listener Questions

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 20, 2018 51:58


Industry News NRFTech Peter Schwartz GetSpiffy Fund Raise Google Express Traction Amazon Prime Day Amazon Press Release  USA Today Recap Target results on Prime Day Listener Questions Joan Abrams asks: How important are progressive web apps going to be for retailers? Any retailers doing this really well yet? West Elm Example: https://mobile-beta.westelm.com/ Julie Acosta asks: Any updates on multi-touch attribution models/partners - who’s doing online/offline (brick & mortar) right? Upcoming Events Jason is doing retail visits in Australia July 21 - 29.  Ping him on twitter if you’re there. Jason and Scot will be doing shows from eTail East (8/6 - 8/9 in Boston) Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 137 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Thursday, July 19th 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 137 being recorded on Thursday July 19th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scott Wingo. Scot: [0:40] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason Scott show listeners Jason how is your summer going. Jason: [0:48] It is going traffic I am just starting sort of a. A heavy travel session for me so I just got back from San Francisco and I leave on another trip tomorrow but I I feel like the big news this week is I read that spiffy got some new fun thing so congratulations. Scot: [1:08] Thanks yeah so for listeners that may not know so I started Channel advisor 2001 move to exact chairman in 2015 moved over 250 full-time I kind of, experiment with it in 2014 and overlap there and yeah it's been fun so we are on demand Car Care started with car wash with added oil change and now even have some products on the market so we have a cool iot device called spiffy blue that you plug into your vehicle and there's a companion app that tells you all that's going on with your car. A passionate about Digital Services I think that's kind of where the future is going so decided to put my money in time where my mouth is and we just raised our second round this week so it's good to get that behind us so we can keep servicing customers. Jason: [2:03] That's awesome and you keep expanding in the cities to right right right you where are you now. Scot: [2:09] Get 1/5 we're holding firm at 5 right now cuz we have this explosion of Fleet business so e we started out really with optispark with consumers at office parks and Residences and then we added oil change it unlocked Fleet so we we've been kind of adjusting as much Fleet as we get on our plate and it will be adding more City suit store in Raleigh Charlotte Dallas Atlanta and Los Angeles now. Jason: [2:35] Awesome I'm kind of sad because I am assuming that the climate in Chicago means I'm not going to be next on your list. Scot: [2:42] Yeah we've identified our first 50 cities and unfortunately Chicago is not in the first 25 but will eventually get to you. Jason: [2:51] Not I will be waiting or I'll just move I'll just get so frustrated at my lack of spiffy then I'll move. Scot: [2:56] Yeah yeah there's stairs five markets for you to retire to that maybe we'll get you there. Jason: [3:02] Nice I like the thought of retirement. Scot: [3:06] Couldn't you just in San Francisco at the NRF retail Tech any interesting things you want to give us a trip report on there. Jason: [3:14] Yeah you'd be happy too so there's an interesting show interruptus had this show for a number of years and it's mainly been focused on the CIO and CTO. So they sort of had a private party for a number of years I think for a long time it was. Permanently located in Half Moon Bay then it may have moved around a little bit so it may have gone to Laguna Niguel one year and San Diego last year. But there was also a digital merchandising show that that that shop.org put on, MN that shows been retired and see what they kind of done with interests Tech is they've expanded the temp to include all the, the digital Business Leaders and have more more overlapping content for cio's and business leader so I would, I'm not sure if that interests agrees with this definition exactly that I would characterize this is sort of the second year. [4:10] Where this the show has a broader scope in and I think it was interesting content and I think I think all of us that attended. Got a lot out of it so it was two and a half days. In San Francisco of pretty jam-packed content and it's a you know it's a smaller venue with smaller group so it's much more intimate like you basically have an opportunity and network with everyone else that attends and. You know it's it's it's more what I would call a a conference then like a big exhibition show it. Scot: [4:47] What were some of the key takeaways. Jason: [4:49] Yeah it's a different number different topics that they're too many speakers to go over everyone one that I was practically looking forward to is Katie Finnegan, so she runs a store 8 for Walmart which is Walmart's incubation lab and. She I think she she was the founder of the couple startups that Walmart Acquired and she kind of laid out their methodology and it's it's interesting to me because they're there been a bunch of retailers that I've had internally incubation labs in. I think it's fair to say on the aggregate that they haven't actually been that successful. And the Walmart one you know is is these are wholly-owned LLC so if you Walmart is essentially going to acquire you and then incubate you and sit in there all kinds of. You know questions that come out you know what is the exit look like for the the founders in the management team and you know how to define answers work and what are the success criteria and all those sorts of things so it's kinda interesting. I think Katie is like pretty realistic about the track record of retail incubation Labs insert you know she she was pretty candid about. [6:06] Where where they felt like they had the problem solved and where they thought like you know they're still open questions to be answered and she she kind of painted this maturity model and you know she highlighted several several. Companies that are in the story labs and where they are in that maturity model and so the. [6:27] If they're six stages of maturity you know, the most mature thing they have is this jet black which is kind of at the third stage of maturity. Which is this kind of um concierge personal shopping service and delivery service in New York City and some most of what they have is even earlier than that. So that was interesting was interesting to hear her thoughts about incubation in general and then some of the specific initiatives Walmart had. You know a bunch of gas from the show we're speaking they're so so Billy May who's the the CEOs or the table was on. A panel talking about. How how to prioritize technical initiatives within the company Rob Schmaltz who's been on the show from Talbots did a did a couple of channels. [7:25] The John Nord Mark has been on the show for his iterate. Incubation lab he brought in a couple of the companies in in his lab to kind of talk about new. New companies and there was also some the VCU that had some of their companies and so. There is kind of some interesting startups that we got to hear from and chat box there's a company called Shadow research. And there's a ton of newer Marketplace aggregator called hinge to which you may be more familiar with I wasn't super familiar with them. [8:09] As you well know you know tons of interest in traction in the in the marketplace space going on. And in the very last speaker sound pretty interesting and. I think I think we need to get him on the show so it's a it's a guy named Peter Schwartz who's a futurist. And I think he's got like a boondoggle job for salesforce.com so he's the head futurist for salesforce.com. [8:40] The listeners may be more familiar with Peter Schwartz his work he's the main character that the Matthew Broderick character was based on in the movie War Games. So he was like literally a young hacker that broke into some government databases and he was a consultant on the movie War games and several years later he as a futurist he partnered with Steven Spielberg to do. Paint a picture of what the future would look like for the movie Minority Report so all those famous scenes of. You know facial recognition triggering customer have ads inside the Gap in The Minority Report where ideas that that he put together. It's got a ton of fascinating stories he said when we were brainstorming Minority Report we thought we were, we are thinking about what the future would look like in 2040 or 2050, and he's like basically everything that we had in that movie like is now here and it's 2018 so he's like you know we may have gotten some of the ideas right but we were way wrong on the. On the timer iser. Scot: [9:48] I love those two movies Joshua spoiler. Jason: [9:54] Exactly exactly so he was interesting and it was silly but he's like. He's an older gentleman and he's like I'm 72 years old on the oldest employee at Salesforce and the irony is not lost on me that the oldest guy tells horses responsible for the future. Scot: [10:12] What did he predict. Jason: [10:18] Yes so he we talked about a bunch of things. We talked about Ai and that's an interesting one because I feel like there's kind of two camps I think there's people and maybe Elon Musk is in this Camp to think. The AI is super dangerous and that the Killer Robots are coming and Peter Schwartz was like that's not what's happening with the AI that we have now and heat you know he made his Arguments for why. We we like we really aren't making very fast progress on General AI that has sort of generalized intelligence that could become sentient. [10:52] But he did talk about a bunch of the risks with the kind of AI that is emerging and he talked about like, you know in the near future when all these AI, algorithms are deciding like what medicine what Medical Treatments we qualify for and whether or not we get credit and all these things you know will there be. Transparency about all those decisions and what rights are we having and things like that so is his POV on on. Hey I was a little less like. Daunting and then some folks and we talked about the future of work you had a lot of folks that think that like all the jobs are going to get eliminated by all this Automation and that you know we're all going to be sitting around without anything to do and again he kind of felt like that. That wasn't likely to be the case cuz he kind of talked about how hey you may not have a lot of people sitting in truck driving trucks around that he envisions is future we're just like we have all the Air Force drone pilot sitting in Las Vegas. [11:53] Fly the planes over Afghanistan and then go home to their families in Las Vegas that you could have a ton of. Truck drivers that are moving trucks on it you know through the commercial residential streets and then getting them on the highway where they drive autonomous way and you know it. Some some data points to support his his hypothesis is that. Lots of New Jersey jobs emerge to replace the jobs that tend to go away. Scot: [12:20] Nursing school any other highlights. Jason: [12:24] Those were some of the stuff that they jumped out to me there are a lot of like sort of topic-specific stuff so you know topics about Big Data topics about how. To hire how to structure Innovation and companies you know so there there was a little something for everyone in their butt butt. I feel like those are those are some good highlights and I was a little distracted through the whole thing because I feel like there's some other e-commerce stuff going on at the same time. Scot: [12:57] Yeah it's been a busy week in the world of e-commerce and and since we're coming off Prime Day 2018 we thought we'd jump in the news and start off with. [13:25] Yes let's start off with the prime day got off to a rough start with I know you were tracking that and I saw you at least quoted two or three times out there in the Press what what did you make of that. Jason: [13:36] Yeah so I mean I'll start out by saying I was completely surprised and caught off guard I feel like Amazon has had a shockingly good record of reliability on all these peak days and so if you would have asked me up front to like make a bed on, on which retailers were likely to suffer an outage during up a peak event I would not have picked Amazon so I was, someone surprised that they had this outage right off the bat while to talk about like what the impacted the outage was and forms of hurting, the revenue hurting their Prime subscriber is hurting sales of there their first party products. Marker 01 Scot: [14:16] Yeah what when does Herzing is it on Twitter Marker 02 [14:21] people discovered that if you use the smile you no interface where you anything you buy donates money to a charity and I had previously set that up and I was able to go through smile I was are down for are the first four hour but I was able to go to smiling and get it to work which to be made it feel more like a networking thing I never know what happened but it was unusual to me that there were were little slices that were working. Marker 04 Jason: [14:46] Yeah for listeners that haven't been responsible for sort of peekaboo ability like I'll highlights. Prime day is is perfectly designed to be the worst case scenario for a i t system standpoint right like you're number one we have, all of this traffic coming at the same hour right like so you had this huge Peak which if you're really worried about up time you would try to do something to spread out that demand more but even worse. With all of these short-lasting deals and all the personalization on the Amazon site very little of the of the Amazon Prime day experience can be cashed, so you know they're all these things that you like where you would kind of compromise the customer experience. To make it easier to load on the servers if you were really worried about availability and and Prime day is a perfect storm of like all the all the best customer experience practices that are you know. Extra challenging for the it guys and so so obviously you know it it did come to bite them somehow this year. Scot: [15:54] Yeah well we'll see if they'll get better that's the thing you weren't about Amazon this when they take on the stuff that they learn a lot and then they they get better. Jason: [16:02] So I'm one thing that I'll be curious about him hopefully some of some of our friends that are. Marketplace hours on the site maintenance may be able to share some insight here but if you were a prime deal that had one of those early slots and you were disrupted. Like I'll be curious to see if Amazon does any kind of make good for for those vendors or they just missed their window or or how they're handling that. Scot: [16:27] I tried it with three or four people not specifically about this outage thing and they had deals going at that time and they said that there are deals sold out in, but even faster than I thought they would so so it's weird it does seem to be and I saw a heat map that showed there was only certain cities were impacted so it's it's kind of an anomaly to me, to my knowledge AWS itself wasn't down so, yeah it's definitely specific to Amazon's phone usage of their infrastructure which kind of points do your data thing or some kind of an internal just their Network just there their slice of the whole AWS Network it is kind of a mystery. Jason: [17:07] It'll be interesting to see if any more info weeks. A side note I think we're also some reports from Amazon Flex drivers that the flex app was down which I like also sort of boron my my theory that maybe there is some product data problem. Scot: [17:25] So despite all that they estimates are out that they did about 3.5 billion and I believe that's up from 2.4 last year Amazon doesn't release date the Allies frustratingly give you like little clues of how the day went, I'll talk in terms of growth in unit numbers ish kind of things so those are all estimates of how big it was it was 6 hour first longer this year social apples and oranges and that comparison and then you and I were kind of talking in the pre-show in The Green Room the virtual Green Room that it's in more countries this year for sure Australia is its first year at Prime day so hopefully they had an exciting time down under you can go so I report cuz you're going to Australia soon settle be exciting you can kind of tell us how they felt about prime day. Jason: [18:14] Exactly just to answer your question I booked a trip tomorrow. Scot: [18:18] Good good thinking my advice is to make sure you download a lot of movies. And then yeah did you happen I know you like live on top of a Whole Foods or something like that did you happen to go into a whole foods during the prime day excitement I know a lot of people were we're trying to take advantage of some deals are there something where you could on Prime day you got $10 off in the store and online if you wanted that day. Jason: [18:44] Yeah yeah so I did not get to take advantage of myself I do live in very close proximity to A Whole Foods but I was of course down in. In San Francisco so I didn't get to experience it first-hand but all the reports that I've seen is, it probably was very favorable in the whole foods that like you know the the month leading up to it that they had really like done a good job is starting to roll out Prime benefits and so they kind of trained a bunch of the. The whole food choppers that would also Prime members till I get the Whole Foods app for Eddie and you know arguably some of the best financial deals that they offered work you know you you if you gamified everything at Whole Foods you essentially could get $30 in extra. Extra cash which is you know on I'm not significant amount of purchase it so that you know that that was pretty substantial. Scot: [19:35] It's like 2% off my average Whole Foods check out. A couple of observations from my side on Prime day. You know that the sales every noise focuses on the sales but I've kind of come to believe that that yeah that's part of what Amazon is going for there but they're real benefit you know they're probably out ways so it say it is three and a half billion the real benefit comes from the the juice that flows into the ecosystem elements that Amazon has because of. [20:08] Prime day so it's the first of all you have a bunch of prime sign up so they don't reveal that obviously but they in the past they said things like you know tens of millions of sign-ups for Prime day in those kinds of kinds of numbers this year there, as you point out leveraging that Whole Foods intersection so so if she reports that say prior to that position there's only 40% overlap there between Whole Food Shoppers and Prime members so that that's like a huge audience that they can get over in the prime they're obviously focused on that I also saw a report that they they announced a million connected home devices were sold on the show here a week then I would. [20:47] Pat ourselves on the back with an early on this that we felt like, Echo and all of its Associated devices Alexa power devices that were really big opportunity for Amazon and now they're selling a million units in one day 36 hours is pretty amazing another one that we've been pretty early on it is talking about the ads that that we think, Amazon ads are going to be pretty big and we're seeing you have cpgs and Brands really spend a lot of money there everyone I talk to at a brand head really dialed up their ad spend during Prime day so so that's a really, kind of cool Catalyst that Amazon has for getting people to really come on to that platform experience it on a day that's pretty crazy and hopefully you know from the Amazon site at least get addicted kind of tangentially do that before Prime day one of the when I think the smartest Wall Street guys on this is John Blackledge accountant he has raised his ad number for Amazon just add number 236 billion in Revenue over the next five years. [21:53] So that that's almost like the quote on Facebook I am a size scale business that he believes Amazon will be building over the next five years obviously that's Facebook today in 5 years Facebook will be bigger but just trying to get a little scale to it because that's a just kind of insanely big number. [22:11] There is some last couple things kind of around this idea of the ecosystem the benefits and aside from the sales third-party sales were reported to grow 89% this from cnbc's numbers and orders were up 69% so how it was you know it in some years we seen Amazon, Prime day the traffic gets absorbed by kind of the Amazon first party and owns products and private labels and that kind of stuff this year they did a really good job of splashing it all through the marketplace so so we saw anecdotally talk to a fair number third-party sellers that just had a very robust Prime day and there's that CNBC data and then singing Brands it was interesting to see the brands that participated so you had by participating. [23:00] Spotlight on that home page of deals so you saw a lot of this around why is offline so it was Under Armour Wrangler Champion Columbia Calvin Klein Adidas and Reebok and then interesting Lee it's also who didn't, play so Nike to my knowledge I never saw them and I've read a lot of the the reports of folks that track this pretty closely they did not participate in Prime day in a meaningful way Skechers Haynes Converse and Ralph Lauren so so those are some other interesting kind of aspects of prime day to think about is yeah the sales are good and you can't sneeze it over 3 billion dollars but I think they're real benefit it was probably another 5 or 6 billion comes from these ecosystem impacts. Jason: [23:48] Yeah for sure and I don't know if you saw it I thought it was actually from the Amazon press release but one of the things that they did claim is that it was the biggest day, single day ever for Prime signups so they added more people on Prime day than they ever had before which isn't surprising. Scot: [24:06] Yeah so your guess the last highest was last Prime day. Jason: [24:09] Oh I think they did say that again that last year so I think they they exceeded last year's already good numbers on Prime signups just sort of highlight in your point. Another thing that they put in the press release it's also kind of fun is they like, the Highlight the best selling on Amazon products and every country which hours I think it's always interesting to just look at the trends there, so I think I'm almost across the board in every country that the prime products the Amazon products are the best seller or so the fire in the. The echo stuff but not on Amazon stuff in the US and Canada the instapot is the the best selling item, and there's a bunch of other countries where, the best selling item is kind of high ticket consumer good so you know there's some countries were TV sold particularly well the video game platforms were really good sellers in a bunch of countries. [25:13] Yes I'm like. Expensive SD memory cards were big sellers in a bunch of countries but then what's interesting is there's another whole set of countries, that have like 3 different shopping behaviors and you see like. Everyday essential consumer consumer packaged Goods being the big sellers right so so like you know some some food item or something like cleaning soap or something like that right and so you know there is kind of bifurcation of the countries where where I feel like you know their grocery shopping is still predominantly. Brick-and-mortar and they use e-commerce for all these these high-ticket items and then there's you know countries where all the shopping is it shifted to e-commerce until you see things like laundry detergent being the, the best prime day item in Japan for. Scot: [26:09] Yeah they sold over 300,000 of those were they called cooking pots that's crazy. Jason: [26:14] Yeah the instapot is a crazy phenomenon in and of itself online and offline but but yeah it's up it's a fast mover on Amazon. Scot: [26:24] It was also interesting to see what other retailers John Prime day there I think it's kind of funny Amazon has them kind of Anna a check kind of a medium Checkmate kind of position do they ignore it or do they participate do they mention Amazon what what did you see there. Jason: [26:40] So tender retailers have sales and to me it's a no-brainer that you should have a sale on Prime day like I think it's it's so in the ethos of e-commerce Shoppers now that it's a shopping day that you really missed out if you didn't have some promotions to push people over the edge and I would argue especially since that first hour had this outage if you went to Amazon and you had a glitch, you're one click away from buying something somewhere else and so you know I think other retailers could definitely, not to the same level as Amazon but you know there definitely is a halo effect for the whole whole e-commerce industry and you know without naming any names I can tell you, I had probably half a dozen clients that had their their top sales day of the year on Prime day and so. It is absolutely a big shopping day that has a broader effect than just Amazon I think the interesting strategy is. Do you call the back to school sale do you call it you know Cyber Monday into like you know do you just have it be a promotional day or do you overtly. Yum Soda counter program. The Amazon and call it Prime day like you know that potentially could help you from an SEO standpoint but you know you're also sort of. [28:03] Promoting your competitor and acknowledging their success in and you know psychologically you're celebrating their birthday ironically enough. So I think we saw some retail delivery over it we had prime Day sales and some details though it'll more more subtle about it. And then when the outage happened I think you know what's going around on Twitter that like Office Depot sent out sort of. A smart aleck email you to telling Shoppers that is. They're tired of looking at pictures of dogs that they could come shop on on Office Depot and I have to be honest that just feels like tempting fate and in sort of kicking a monster that you don't want to kick. Scot: [28:47] Yeah yeah it's like doing live demos it just Murphy's Law is just begging begging for attention when you do that. Call any other Amazon things you want to cover before I move on. Jason: [29:02] No I think those were all the sort of big things that jumped out at me. Scot: [29:11] Cool so it was a couple of weeks dominated by Amazon but in the anonymous on side you know one thing I wanted to talk about is kind of the biggest news and marketplaces that's really gone unnoticed we talked about a little bit on the show but I wanted to try to Circle back is in you know some confusing marketing but the Google within the Google Express system they have this new offering called a c I forget about it shopping action and it's essentially where you can buy things so to mobile kind of AD unit. [29:46] We're supposed to be at Marketplace we can check out right on the Google page so so that's interesting and you know they are adding a ton of retailers to the program and I guess it's a little self-promotional but but side of the channel visors are partner of theirs and a large number of those folks are coming through our connections into that new market place so I know Google is Steve always been flirting with the marketplaces and she feels like they've got a little more religion on it this time I kind of feel it this is the time of year one everyone's really kind of ramping into you know Q3 obviously but then you know here as we get into the end of Q3 will be Full Throttle talk about holiday so that's going to be I think one of them interesting things to watch this holiday is how serious does Google get about this plus we seen some retailers like Urban Outfitter has launched the marketplace you know there's there's a bunch of other things that are going on out there so why really interesting things going on under the radar in the rotor marketplaces that I think they're just getting hot not not like covered or talked about because of all the exciting stuff Amazon's doing with things I promise. Jason: [31:00] Yeah yeah for sure and I do think the Google offerings are there still is a little confusion out there because there are kind of a couple different Commerce statuses that you can have with Google so so obviously you know Google still has this Google Express system where they at where you get they'll accept orders from. A bunch of retailers and then like a Google employee will actually pick up that order from that retailer and deliver it to you and I think as you pointed out there's been some recent traction with new retailers joining ecosystem. Like separate from that other they can they can be married together is this Google shopping actions which is like. The most low-friction way Google has ever had to actually buy a product out of a Google promotional spot right and so you know I think. Originally launched as a pilot and and you know it was kind of hard to get in the program now they've opened it up. And I think we're seeing lots of people for certain types of products. Take advantage of those Google shopping actions I still feel like the industry needs a little more expertise around that. Offering um I'm always surprised how unfamiliar people are with it and then there's this even weirder status there are. [32:21] Unique Partnerships from retailers with Google to be able to sell products through the Google home device and so Walmart and Target for example, are not in Google Express at the moment but they are selling their products through the Google home Echo System until. You know between all that your you know I think there's more Commerce activity in the Google echo system than we've ever seen before. Scot: [32:47] Yeah yeah it's largely not getting talk about Skylanders I guess in some ways it actually gives Google some space to go and experimenting and I have like a thousand spotlights on them well well all this Amazon stuff happening so we had what we have been I had a very busy summer so we are a little delinquent and getting to some listener questions so we have a little bit of time here on the podcast and want to jump into a couple of them that have been lingering out there and Jason I get to kick back and relax on these cuz they're both for you so first we have Joan Abrams and Joan ask how important are progressive web apps going to be for retailers are there any retailers doing this really well yet so maybe, let's make sure we started the Top Gear what's the progressive web app how does that differ from a native web app or a responsive site and all that kind of stuff and then you can jump into the importance and then any retailers that they are doing a great job. Jason: [33:47] So great question so Progressive web app is a slightly unfortunate name cuz it makes it sound like. This is an alternative to a traditional Native app. And well it potentially can be that I would argue that it's much more than that essentially it's a set of standards for a way to build a mobile web experience that runs natively through the web browser. [34:14] And they been supported by by Google Chrome which is very important mobile browser for some time. But they were very poorly supported or not at all supported in Mobile Safari which is the next usually important mobile browser, and so what exciting is as of the last iOS released there's now. Port for Progressive web apps in both Chrome and Safari, which is essentially the bulk of Shoppers on mobile and so there's a bunch of. Tools that you can use to build a website and then there's this feature called remote workers which essentially gives you, the capability to add. Native app like functionality to the web experience and have it even function offline so have it work even if you don't have, I'm connectivity so for example. [35:19] Google can have a Google Maps or Gmail experience that lets you, you know. Calculate directions in in Google Maps or or you know reading compose emails even if you're in airplane mode, by leveraging use these remote workers and what's super important and unique about Progressive web apps is, did the really designed to be performance efficient and so by following the the the the pwa standards you end up with a mobile web experience, it's much faster and much more responsive than. [36:04] Traditional responsive mobile web designs were into the site performs much faster and it can have a richer future set it can essentially have, almost all the features that you can have in a native app and so one thing you could do with it is build a native app that didn't require the App Store and that. That is a huge thing because a lot of customers don't know how to download apps from the app store or they have app fatigue and if your retailer and your bill all these cool functions in your amp, Nobody ends up using them because apps have such a small reach but you have you put the same features in your mobile web experience using pwa, you know anyone that goes to your url like instantly has access to all those things and so it's a great alternative to spending a fortune on building a native app, but it's also just the best way to build a mobile web experience and because the performance is so much better. We're seeing that the early retailers that have adopted Progressive web apps are are really killing at their their mobile site so much faster they're getting much higher conversion rates. [37:13] And so it's I would highly encourage any retailer to put on the road map right now that they should be. Redoing their mobile experience as a progressive web app and I have to be honest because most is building a proper response to. Mobile site and they feel like they did a bunch of work and they want to feel like they're done now and not too many of them are thrilled to hear that they need to start a new project to build it over using a new set of Technologies, but the but the retailer the early retailers that are, are are getting really good results and so you know it it really should be kind of high on your on your your roadmap particularly as all your customers are shifting the mobile. Scot: [38:05] How do you, so I know we obviously write a lot of this stuff at spiffy so we have you know you have Swift and Objective C for a native app and then there's a lot of interesting JavaScript, turn based libraries for writing kind of a responsive sites that were even app so I react in those kinds of things what what do you write a progressive web app. Jason: [38:31] Yeah. So it is a JavaScript like framework, much more constrained and specific set of libraries so so often when you're you're jumping JavaScript you can you can pick you know all these different development Library sets and only you know small subset that have been Highway optimized not allowed to be used in npwa is but it's it's mostly sort of JavaScript style development environments. Scot: [39:03] Are there any retailers doing a really awesome job at it that you want to highlight. Jason: [39:09] So there are they like again, it it hasn't for the most part been the huge retailers that have completely embraced. The pwa jet like there have been some retailers that have done a pwa, like as a separate stand-alone site in a in a replace an app in addition to a mobile website but says some of the retailers that have gone full pwa and got some really good results one of the biggest retailers out there to my knowledge this done it is is West Elm and then there's some in a smaller specialty retailers I think Tommy Bahama I think Snapdeal is full Progressive web app now, I think Payless has a progressive web app some of these are fixed it Sweet Frog so they never had a good mobile site before and this is the first one Willie Pulitzer Lancome, some some folks like that and so if anyone any of the listeners have a favorite Progressive web app retail site I would love to hear about it as well. Scot: [40:17] Yeah so what's up pic on West Arm so just to be clear you don't just download their app right you just go to their website and you're going to have a much more responses or how much more mobile friendly experience then then if you there previously shipped is at. Jason: [40:35] Exactly you go to westelm.com right interview go to West Elm, dot-com on a desktop browser you're getting a desktop experience if you go to that same URL in the mobile site you're getting a mobile version of that experience in the mobile version you'll get from West Allen is a progressive web app and I, I'm compelled since you're calling me out on it to highlight that. The West Elm one may not be in full deployment yet so I think there's some may be testing going on so if you go to westelm.com you may or may not get the progressive web app version. There's a different URL you can do to guarantee that you get the the West on the pwa version which is I'll put the link in the show notes but it's. Mobile - beta. Westelm.com and that kind of bypasses the testing guarantee you get the pwa version but they shared some some public data from there, they're beta version that that's in this A B test and the. That the folks getting the pwa version of The Experience are spending 15% more time on the site and there are spending 9% more Revenue than them folks that are. On the traditional responsive-design version of the site so so pretty meaningful. [41:53] Non retail sites there's a ton of of big sites that have moved to Progressive web app, and across-the-board the performance metrics though the page weight and the load times and the time the interaction are wildly better for Progressive web apps and whenever we see those performance numbers go up, bounce rate goes way down and engagement goes way up so you know I think there's both. A big lesson about performance from the General market and I think you know we're now starting to see some some pretty tangible retail results. Scot: [42:27] Colt Express or some super-secret Insider information there what do you when you go to a Retailer's site on mobile is there some kind of way that you're seeing its Progressive web app is there is there some tell her or are you just speak he's going to have to know. Jason: [42:41] Not a very convenient one like I mean the old but you literally have to either go view the source and you could there some Telltale headers that would tell you that it's a progressive web app. Or there are now a set of tools on their companies like ghostery and built with their frankly not that convenient to use on mobile that they're much more convenient on desktop Adele sort of, scan the site you're on and give you a report of the the underlying technologies that are being used for that side and they'll both tell you if you're if you're on a pwa site like the only the big user experience tell, is if you're not in an app and your your get your given like a full interactive site even without, activity then it's a pretty safe bet that you're that you're benefiting from the pwa site. Scot: [43:35] Coop's so last question in this comes from. Julie Acosta and the question is a two-parter any updates on multi-touch attribution model Sim partners and who's doing online offline right. Gold attribution question. Jason: [43:53] Yeah I do love a good attribution conversation so so pretty like there are you know and ever increasing number of, specialized tools that that do multi-touch attribution models, but what has me most excited is much better tools for doing multi-touch attribution are, starting to evolve in our standard analytics packages so I to my mind I apologize to my friends that I've met him in a w I feel like the, Google analytics implementation of multi-touch attribution is maybe a little further ahead but, IBM Adobe and Google all have multi attribution models built in in Google's case that used to only be available in their expensive premium paid product and now it's, it's made its way down to the free version and the big evolution in these multi-touch attribution models is, you used to have to come to pick a model so you can say. [44:55] Hey I'm interested in a weighted model and this is how it works or I'm interested in first touch or I'm interested in last touch or I'm interested in that decay model where every subsequent touch gets less weight. And you had to kind of manually specify model and then you could use the Analytics tool to look through the data with that lens now multi-touch has become sort of machine learning enabled, into a century the two will tell you which multi-touch model from which amongst the the. [45:30] The pool of multi-touch models the name given to a support, best fits the data set that you have so you can actually use machine learning to sort of refine the multi touch model that you use for your particular data, and you know you can you can Embrace that for your Enterprise and so that's pretty cool. [45:51] Multi-touch is a slightly complicated word because I would argue there's kind of three versions there's there's online to offline which is. You know hey I saw some digital ads on Facebook and Google and then I walked into a store and bought something so how do I you know attribute that in-store purchase to those those digital touch, I'll call that multichannel, there's multi-touch like a I saw an ad in Facebook and then I saw an ad in Google and then I saw add-on, Abercrombie & Fitch and then I bought the shirt like how you know which which of those three marketing Vehicles gets all the credit or most of the Creditor how do you do that that's kind of. The most traditional version of a multi-touch that the tools are designed to support. And then there's Multi-Device like hey I started on a tablet and then I moved to a phone and then I will definitely made the purchase on a laptop. How do I do a tribution across those devices and So my answer before it was mostly based on. [46:55] Digital multi-touch for multi device we're starting to see some interesting Solutions. Adobe in particular has this interesting Co-op model where they they're building a shared database amongst all the people that use Google Analytics. Of all the device ID that they ever see and when you have a user on a particular device you can go to The Coop and say what other devices does that same user use and so you can use this kind of share. To identify the same user across multiple devices historically only the. The digital tools that are most likely to have the user authenticated can kind of recognize the same user across devices and so Google and Facebook have a huge advantage over the rest of the world. In Multi-Device attribution. And then online offline we're also starting to see so much better tools interesting Lee both Facebook and Google that want to you to spend more money on digital advertising. [47:56] It's very important to them that you be able to understand online and offline attribution because, a lot of the purchases that you make after seeing or digital ads are in a store and so they've actually built some pretty good tools that you can upload your offline data into, and then do online offline attribution so we're starting to see that a lot more commonly but when you ask which retailers are. Are the kind of best-in-class doing it right it's the retailers with an unfair advantage. And so it's REI that has 95% of their purchases coming from Members so they have. Capture of that that email address of that member number every time you do a transaction online or, in-store it's Sephora where 95% of their customers are in that customer Affinity program, and they're able to do very effective online and offline attribution it Starbucks where we high percentage of the transactions are being done with their Mobile payment at go system, they're doing the best job of online to offline, and you know that the more traditional retailers wear a lot of the in-store purchases are not Animas you know that they're all getting better at doing online offline attribution but they're only able to do it for a much smaller set of their data. Scot: [49:11] Well thanks to John and Julie for asking those questions I think we're caught up on listener questions we we regularly post he's over on our Facebook page so just go to Facebook and search for Jason and Scott show or go to Jason and Scott. Calm and you'll see a direct over to there yeah. Jason: [49:30] Awesome I got before we sign I did want to highlight a couple upcoming opportunities to meet some listeners. So we we looted to it earlier in the show but I am leaving Saturday for a week of retail visits in Australia. So I have a bunch of meetings booked with retailers in Sydney and Melbourne but if you're a listener that happens me in Australia be sure to ping me on Twitter sometime in the next weekend if it's schedules permit I would. Love to meet up but I'm I'm really looking forward to learning a lot more about that market and sharing some of. The warnings that we've had in some some more mature Amazon markets that maybe we can share with. With Australia which is the newest Amazon market so I'm looking forward to that trip that's going to be fun and I know my family is looking even more forward to having me be gone for a week. And then early next month August 6th through the 9th you and I are going to be live and in person together at the eat a least show in Boston. Scot: [50:40] Yeah it's going to be a lot of fun we will go and I plan on wearing since we'll be in the the the Founding Father home well I'm going to wear a white wig for that one side of the exhaust. Jason: [50:52] Yeah and it's and it's made me a person knows I just wear a white wig anyway so that'll be the normal for me. Scot: [50:56] Look for the two founding father type of sport or triangle hats to. Jason: [51:03] Exactly and with that it's it's happen again we've used up our a lot of time, but if you have any further questions or we got something wrong on this week show we'd love to hear about it so, let's keep the conversation going on Facebook or Twitter and as always if you got any value out of this show and you want to reward us the best thing you can do is go to iTunes and give us that 5-star review, if you really didn't enjoy the show the best way to do that is visit Scott in person at his home and give him your feedback that's appreciated as well. Scot: [51:36] Yeah absolutely will thanks for joining star Buy. Jason: [51:39] Until next time happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP136 - Amazon News, SCOTUS Tax ruling, Listener Questions

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 29, 2018 65:25


Amazon News Amazon Prime Day this year has leaked and will be July 16-17  Amazon today announced the acquisition of Pillpack for $1b Amazon recruits small businesses, to deliver packages Amazon was fourth-largest advertiser in the US ahead of Walmart, GM and Ford. Amazon is merging 1P and 3P and the robots are winning vs merchants - "hands off the wheel" Industry News Supreme court rules in favor of South Dakota in South Dakota v. Wayfair, Inc., et al.  The ruling effectively overturns the previous Quill Corp. v. North Dakota precedent and opens the door for all states to require e-commerce sites to collect and remit sales taxes to states. Amazon stands to be the biggest winner in the ruling.  Amazon already collects sales tax on all 1P sales.  Amazon will now be able to charge 3P merchants 2.9% to collect tax for them.  Amazon 1P will be more competitive with 3P and other e-commerce sites (eBay, NewEgg, etc..). Small E-Commerce sites and marketplace sellers are the biggest losers, as they will now need to collect sales tax (and likely pay a 3rd party to do it on their behalf), and navigate a multitude of complex out of state sales tax laws that are likely to emerge. All eyes turn now turn to Congress, to see if they will pass a law to clarify/simplify the sales tax collection issue on behalf of small businesses. Listener Questions Alex Volakis asks: Should others try the Warby Parker school bus store concept. Who do you think would benefit most from it? Amit Agarwal asks: Do customers like bundled products or do they like to create their own bundles? What are different merchandising tactics used to sell a collection of products? Jill Dvorak asks: Any leadership or managing through change tactics. at the corporate level to infuse more nimbleness in established brands? "The Innovator's Dilemma: When New Technologies Cause Great Firms to Fail (Management of Innovation and Change)" by Clayton M. Christensen "The Lean Startup" by Eric Ries Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 136 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Thursday, June 28th 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 136 being recorded on Thursday June 28th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scot Wingo. Scot: [0:40] Hey Jason welcome back Jason and Scott show listeners. Well Jason listeners that are paying very close attention will notice we took a little bit of summer vacation off so we haven't really podcast for last couple weeks but it's exciting to get back to it and we have a lot of news report on and some analysis of some big things that happened in e-commerce of the last couple of weeks plus we've had some listeners very patiently waiting some for with some questions that they wanted to ask us so that's going to be rude the real focus of the show tonight. So let's start off with some. Amazon news your margin is there. It wouldn't be a Jason Scott show without some Amazon news and there is no shortage today we're going to go through kind of the cream of the crop here so that the big one is and I know you've been on pins and needles Jason like I am is when is Amazon Prime day well it has leaks and it looks like it's going to be July 16th to 17th and like last year they're going to do kind of the day of the half of deals so I'm pretty excited I've been saving some of my Gadget money on the side and I'm going to be watching carefully to see what's offered this year. Jason: [2:04] Yeah I am right there with you it's it feels like as the as it gets more and more in French do not do the deals and stuff get better every year and I think there's been some interesting evidence that it's now starting to have a meaningful impact on back-to-school that people are literally. Like planning their back-to-school spend around Sunday. Scot: [2:25] Yeah any gadgets on your wishlist or I think you already have every flavor of the Amazon Echo if it's cracked but anything not that you don't have. Jason: [2:35] So to be honest of the stuff that's currently available I there's nothing on my wishlist so I'll be. Curious to hear if there's some deal that usually it'll be a deal on something that entices me or something that's relatively new released there are some new fire products that I don't have but I'm not sure I really need to add him to my repertoire. Scot: [2:58] Got it I I save all year for my little accessory cables so I'll probably be buying like 20 iOS cables and USB C use and we go to those like crazy at my house so this is my time of year when I stock up on all that good stuff. Jason: [3:14] My wife thinks I have a hoarding problem with those things and I like but I'm not smart enough to wait for the deal so I you know I get my eyes I would be the one customer that would do the subscription service from anchor. Scot: [3:26] Yes I Do by a lot of anchor product on Prime day that's like there the juicy stuff I keep an eye out for. Jason: [3:32] Yes and I'm a little OCD about it I like I have much cooked my cables color coded so I got all my lightning cables are red and All Nite Nite my USB or black so I can. Easily visually identify what I need. Scot: [3:50] Brickell there was a big acquisition today I know that you're probably excited about cuz we've talked about this category on the show did you see that one. Jason: [3:56] I did I did and I have to go back and check our predictions but I think this is even one of my predictions for the air which I'm so excited about. Scot: [4:05] Darn it. Jason: [4:07] Yes I I thought you might not have considered that but there today Amazon announced that they acquired a company called pillpack and this is a 1 billion dollar acquisition which is not the biggest obviously with with Whole Foods but on the bigger side of the Acquisitions for Amazon and pillpack is a male fulfillment Pharmacy. They specialize in custom packaging so their primary customer are. Dogs that have chronic conditions and have to take multiple prescriptions daily and pill pack make these. Custom packages of their particular caplet so you get this right you know nicely old. Baggy of the pills you're supposed to take everyday and so that simplifies life for a lot of people that have to take a lot of medications. And it is a good customer experience and arguably. [5:04] It is in and of itself a nice way to reduce friction and improve the. The prescription processed but I think the reason most people are are super interested in the Amazon acquisition is less because of their unique Twist on mail-order prescriptions and more the fact that. This is Amazon buying a licensed Pharmacy and jumping into the pharmacy space with two feet. We've seen them sort of toad it before course they they made an investment in drugstore.com many years ago and last year they got a bunch of. Medical equipment pharmaceutical licenses in a bunch of states which allowed them to sell like. [5:47] Oxygen dispensing equipment and gloves and a lot of the the medical equipment but this is now giving them access to actually fill. Prescription medications and so you know a lot of us have been speculating that this would be another industry that Amazon would attack. And you're as usually happens with these things with Amazon. That you know I think they're market cap went up by you had ate the investment a billion dollars their market cap went up by like 15 or 20 billion today depending on what time you looked, and the big pharmaceutical companies Walgreens and CVS lost about 15 billion dollars in market cap today and it was kind of funny I think Walgreens had an investor call today and and that you know that. That the Walgreens CEO at you know actually other the phrase that we we make fun of on the show all the time, that he's not very worried about Amazon that pharmaceutical Pharmacy is much more complicated than all the other categories Amazon's tackled and it'll be much different. Scot: [6:50] I'll never figure it out just like a apparel and what Macy's said there they can't figure it out return. Jason: [6:55] Exactly return Macy's is positive the returns are too complicated and all the apparel companies are positive that everyone wants to try clothes on before they order on them. And not excetera excetera usually a Bad Bet there are complications to the pharmacy but I would argue that that Amazon is very good at solving for complications. And then just a couple other sort of interesting Snippets around the acquisition there are rumors that that. Walmart was the primary acquire of pill pack and the Amazon swooped in at the last minute with a higher offer and sort of. Stole pill pack out from under Walmart. Scot: [7:40] Do you know if I know Amazon with myself registering in a bunch of States just go back to them into all the us or you know. Jason: [7:51] I don't think so but I think he'll pack has only certain states that they had access to and there still is a pretty big bear you're like like still having the pharmaceutical licenses one thing but really, be a hundred percent in the pharmacy space you also need all the insurers. To agree to partner with you and light accept your. Your claims against all the various insurance companies and so what would a lot of the traditional pharmacies think is the big barrier to Amazon is the Amazon doesn't have those. There's deals with all the insurers and so you know. Not sayings on can't cut all those deals and they probably will but that's potentially a multi-year process and so a lot of people are speculating that the day 1 Amazon would focus on the subset of the pharmaceutical Market that's paying out-of-pocket for for medication either because they're under uninsured or because the. Because they have some limitations or restrictions on the insurance that make them want to pay out of pocket and then you know there's. I got some speculation that Amazon would would even acquire an insurer which would then of course let them be the Fulfillment partner for that right and there's. There's that you know there's a separate initiative the Amazon is doing with Warren Buffett. [9:19] Yeah around revamping Healthcare and and you know one of the the speculated outcomes of that is a potential new insurance product that could potentially partner with and with Amazon Pharmacy. Scot: [9:30] Yeah they just announced the CEO for that energy so seems like it's getting some momentum there for those who didn't listen to kind of our predictions for the year maybe you know what what's this mean for a CVS or Walgreens near us a Amazon successfully can compete on the pharmacy side at least the pill dispensing are those things convenient enough still or do you think that this is a problem. Jason: [9:57] Yep so here's what's interesting so that the traditional drug stores that are Walgreens and CVS is. Their whole business is predicated on foot traffic coming in to fill prescriptions in so the. Like they they don't tend to be super price competitive on all the over-the-counter products that they sell in the store and they don't tend to be a destination for any of those products for very many consumers but what happens is you going to get your Lipitor and you realize. That you need some snacks or you need some tissue paper or you need some Advil or whatever the case is while you're in the store. And so have a significant number of customers no longer need to visit Walgreens to pick up their prescription. The Walgreens brick-and-mortar model literally doesn't work like there is not a like another compelling reason for traffic to go in those stores. [10:56] And so you know either that would you know put Walgreens in huge distress or Walgreens would have to sort of find some way to reinvent their their retail space. And you know most most of that analysts look at those retailers and say hey the big Investments those guys are making these are in insurance companies and they're really their their plan is to sort of pivot from being a brick-and-mortar retailer to being a. A healthcare provider that's not tied to brick and mortar. And you knows we talk about a few times on the show Amazon doesn't have to capture 50% of the pharmacy market or anything like it you know if they can take a a 10% or 15% and in the traffic of those stores. [11:38] Like that probably put them over a Tipping Point that makes those doors not profitable and so it's. A very material threat to traditional drug stores. Whether Amazon successful or not if a bunch of consumers just decide that it's better to have their Pharmaceuticals delivered to home. I'm in there many companies trying to do that then you know that puts that same stress on those drug stores, it's been interesting the kind of traditional mail order pharmacy hasn't really gained a lot of momentum so there's a insurers insurance companies drive people to mail order pharmacy and there's a percentage of. Consumers there get their stuff VIA mail order at the percentage of people that use my order has actually shrunk a little bit in the last couple of years and so it'll be interesting if. Amazon can come up with a new enough experience or these custom pill packs are a big enough value-add that they, you know permanently change that that consumer Behavior which will you know really put a challenge in the drugstores and I I would expect to see a ton of drug stores close. Scot: [12:44] It just sounds so slow mail delivery. Jason: [12:47] Yeah and maybe mail is the wrong word right like I mean you know you can imagine all kinds of same-day fulfillment centers like at the moment. You know people tend to get get the home delivery of prescriptions when they're tronic things that you take you around right and when you you know God forbid you're sick and the doctor calls in a prescription or you go see a doctor and they call in a prescription that you pick up like those are the things you're more likely to walk in and and get that but of course there's no reason that pharmacies couldn't. Prepare those those meds or Amazon you don't own pharmacies couldn't prepare those meds and deliver on in 1 hour to your house. Scot: [13:26] Yeah yes so it could be a cool Prime thing like Prime Pharmacy where yeah Auto refills the pharmacies I deal with like they never called the doctor and do stuff right so Amazon consult a lot of that stuff so. Jason: [13:41] There's a ton of friction in current experience that like we as consumers are just learn to deal with that that you can imagine someone like Amazon taking out of the experience and and make it game changing like in the in the same way that Uber disrupted the taxi industry. Scot: [13:57] Cope well that was one of your predictions of one of mine was about Amazon delivery and today there was an announcement about that sort kind of kind of even on this I guess Amazon sent out this really interesting effectively up a call to on chores to build delivery capability that that Amazon will then leverage there as we've covered on the show a lot there the really worried about the capacity out there in the network they're building their own direct this is really what I would consider a call to arms for entrepreneurs to build a 1099 kind of delivery Network yeah I talked about going out starting a business for a minimum of 10K wish you the vans that are Amazon branded uniforms and then they talk about how and their models of doing this. [14:43] You can make up to $300,000 in profit a year that's pretty interesting in. A little unknown thing is FedEx Ground did this they had they had a lot of 1099s their individuals and then there was some kind of a court thing that happened where that was deemed did they should be employees so they world all that up into businesses so when you see FedEx Ground delivery out there it is a it is a 1099 Network it'll frequently say you know FedEx Ground operated by and they'll be some little LLC brand they're kind of small down by the door. Doubt they have built a similar, Network so this is going to be interesting to see how Amazon build this out if they're certain areas they're targeting and then also what this means for the flex drivers which is more of an Uber individual kind of a thing there's a lot of work a lot of people believe the Uber 1099 model is at risk that that same kind of litigation will happen that they're actually should be treated as employees this would Guild Amazon another kind of an option on delivery if that were to happen to the flex driver thing too so so kind of covers several basis I thought that was pretty interesting. Jason: [15:55] Yeah and I in my mind I could imagine. That it's easier for Amazon to enforce and Achieve certain service levels with these. Individual with his business operators over the 1099s i e you know it's like you can require these businesses to buy these Amazon branded trucks into wear Amazon uniforms and things that are like, less convenient and economically viable to impose on individual 1099 work. Scot: [16:32] Yeah I should have mentioned it but one of the things they're going to provide is the software so there, I can give you all the software needed to run a business like this I think it's from an acquisition they did that they have kind of been using internally or maybe as part of flex and now they've there they're part of this whole deal is they will give you the software which is kind of a clever way for them to have visibility into the SLA is right they can kind of see if your using their software in the cloud presumably they be able to see you know how you're doing against LA's the required to use their software because they didn't want to be able to see them. Jason: [17:08] Yeah I mean I read through the whole program and to me it feels exactly like franchisee model like I mean they've they've completely template eyes the whole business they they give you all the processes and software like they literally have like. The Dead training program down in the hiring recommendations for these businesses and they have the whole economic model is it like they essentially say that like hey you know depending on how quickly you scale you're going to make between you're going to net between 70k and 300K a year in this business. [17:48] Anything else about the Amazon do it by the way what I just found someone interesting the Amazon delivery was this big plans PR thing and they had a bunch of media to Seattle and they you know gave the media all the story under embargo and so you know today was the big announced a and they got a bunch of press over that over all that and then it it feels like I kind of got stepped on when they announce the pillpack acquisition you know which they did none of this pre-press planning for. Scot: [18:20] Yeah yes sometimes the best plans going to get Crush by that the dip The Pride react to Walmart into that position was on its own timetable that they couldn't control and it just kind of unfortunately probably landed on the same day happen sometimes. Jason: [18:36] Another interesting thing that came out last week is at age does this evaluation of all the top advertisers every year and a surprise, appearance on the top 10 list was Amazon as the fourth largest Advertiser in the United States so they're spending more on Advertising then folks like for GM and they're the retailer that spending a listen advertising so they're actually spending more and advertising than Walmart it. Scot: [19:10] Yep that's interesting it's funny because it's for you know for the longest time basil said they would never really do marketing cuz they prefer to put all that money into shipping fee and you know that that word of mouse with mouth was the best marketing but then once they came out. With Kindle they had to really kind of start doing some marketing In and Out imagine if you looked up the bulk of that is going to be around Alexa. Jason: [19:34] Yeah no I think that's I think that's why Fair they develop a bunch of owned Brands and they've they've had the market to support those owned brands. But I do think you know that and they've kind of had them float on this they are also investing a lot more in Performance Marketing for just a core retail business at the moment then they. They have it in the recent past said so you know you leveraging Google products and things like that to drive more traffic to Amazon. Scot: [20:03] Another interesting Amazon news piece this is kind of more internal facing but I think listeners will find it pretty fascinating it was a little bit of clickbait so that you know the article came out of Bloomberg and it it showed one of the the Kiva warehouse robots and it said you know Amazon's robots are moving for the warehouse to headquarters which kind of you like what are they going to deliver pencils or what's going on what's really happening is as we've reported on the show we had to Andrea lay on and she was telling us about some projects they had internally where an AI World very frequently negotiate with indoors and they call it this whole hands off the wheel initiative, there's several layers so that there's there's vendor negotiations but then there's also you know on the first party side. [20:52] Putting machines against humans to see who can piss pick the best products to put on Amazon and buy. [21:00] And at the same time you also have the marketplace side of Amazon so what's happening is it looks like they're squishing all this together now the guy that ran the third-party marketplaces moved over to a new project that's on an ounce Peter Pharisee so they wrapped up the marketplace and the 1pt mused to be very despair teams you I would go to Amazon in in meetings and introduce people across his team so it was funny and it looks like the Common Thread there is less peep so more machines can imagine these categories because they effectively do a better job more machines doing negotiations and less people and then this kind of integration of 1p and 3p I think this is good because we found a lot of vendors get really confused and mixed messaging from Amazon where they'll go to one team in Amazon the go to the marketplace apparel team and say hey we want to do X Y and Z in those say you know oh no you have to do this that the other and then the one p team will get a whole different answer so I think this ultimately be good and you're the 3p team the three-piece cider Amazon bigger than the one piece side so I think it'll be great to have a lot of that DNA kind of mixed in there and you know there's a downside this Automation and can be pretty frustrating to companies that are used to the old school you know having going to. [22:23] Bendle and chicken someone's hand and showing them the products and those kinds of things this is essentially you can stay home and chat robot and have the same outcome of the Amazon now so you know it'll be interesting to see how vendors net out on this change but it did pretty interesting the automation you know what they at least according to Amazon's data has beat out people is as it comes to merchandising and negotiating with Thunders. Jason: [22:50] Yeah for sure who the things are interesting to me about that merger I do feel like there's a way when they were more siloed in which sellers could potentially take advantage of this I was so I do think they're brands that, wanted to sell 3p on Amazon didn't want to be one piece hours because they wanted to control their own pricing like in in principle, if you're going to be a three-piece seller on Amazon Amazon has the right to like also be a one piece seller but a lot of, Brie and seemingly fell between the cracks there and we're able to be pure 3-piece hours without being bothered by the 1p guys and there's a lot of speculation that now that one p m 3 p r kind of merging that like you know that Aunt Amazon going to be a lot more purposeful about who can be a 3p seller without without Amazon having the option to be a one piece hour. [23:46] So it'll be interesting to see how that plays out, and then that's the thing that I chuckle at with the hands off the wheel I think it's a super app metaphor if you're a very big seller on Amazon you do have a a human contact and you have this personal relationship and I think what's funny about that is it's exactly like the the safety driver in the autonomous vehicles like you know it maybe makes you feel better that there's a guy sitting in the driver seat but he actually isn't touching the steering wheel and so you can have all the good conversations and take him to dinner and do other relationship building you want. But at the end of the day it's the computer that's deciding you know what the the terms of your your trade relationship are with Amazon. Scot: [24:35] Summary of some of the Amazon highlights over the last couple of weeks biggest news item is our very own Supreme Court in the United States got involved in e-commerce and I know you have a lot of interesting insights on this one so I'm anxious to hear your thoughts about what happened there. Jason: [24:57] So this is a case that the Supreme Court heard several months ago and they they ruled I guess this would be the last week now. The actual case the Supreme Court ruled on is called South Dakota vs Wayfair Overstock and do egg and a lot of people sort of shorten it to South Dakota vs Wayfair. And essentially South Dakota passed a law that said we're going to require sell sellers. To collect sales tax when people in South Dakota buy goods from them even if the seller doesn't have. A presence in South Dakota and that there's actually a precedent. Based on a ruling the Supreme Court ruled on in 1992 that South Dakota can't do that right like there's this. President called quill which was confusingly enough it was actually quill vs North Dakota. That the Supreme Court ruled on a 1992 that essentially said. [26:03] In order for a seller to be required to collect sales tax for a given State they had to have a physical presence in that state to establish Nexus and so a lot of. Pure play online retailers. Based on that rule like avoided having a presence in big populated states so that they didn't have to charge sales tax in those States. And it actually determined where Amazon's corporate headquarters would be when Jeff Bezos was starting the company that. President was already in place and so they they pick Seattle because it was a good techhub that didn't have a huge population and wouldn't be a huge customer base and avoided. Having a presence in States like California that would be huge customer bases and in the early days of Amazon. Amazon was super restricted with their employees they wouldn't let their employees you know do business travel to the states they wouldn't let the campus recruiters like go to the the job fairs in the college dates because they were there being super careful too. Avoid establishing a physical presence so they could have avoided paying taxes. [27:11] Into this this the Supreme Court in this ruling essentially reverses that quill precedents and so so so now it's going to be possible for states to pass a law that essentially require. I'm all us out of state sellers to collect sales tax and remitted to the the states. [27:34] And you know there's a couple of interesting things in that first of all. You are a ton of the media you know I was writing about how what a big win for Mainstreet this was and you know how was a blow to Amazon and. You know that the national retail Federation you know kind of claim though it was a victory for retailers and in tax fairness and all these things. The reality is in my mind the biggest winner in this deal is Amazon and the reason I say that is because. Amazon is already collecting tax Amazon gave up avoiding that Nexus a number of years ago. They're collecting tax in every state that has attacks and the reason they do that is they wanted to put distribution centers everywhere and they wanted to put Prime now centers everywhere and they just found it. Was better for them to collect the taxes then to have all these impediments on where they could have a physical presence. So this actually makes Amazon more competitive with other online pure plays right so it it it actually makes Amazon more competitive with Overstock and Newegg and and like all these. Visa vertical specialty retailers like a faucet that you know specialize in plumbing fixtures in our aren't collecting tax. So it helps Amazon's 1p business be more competitive. [28:52] That detect the sales tax that Amazon isn't collecting is from 3-piece hours who have the option to collect the tax or not and most don't. And so this ruling is going to require all of Amazon's 3p sellers to collect tax which is actually going to make Amazon's 1p business more competitive with the 3p business so that's a win. Also Amazon charges a 2.9% fee on all sales. In order to calculate and collect tax for those 3p seller so this is a huge new service fee that Amazon is going to start collecting from all their Marketplace vendors so that's a. A big win. This ruling makes Amazon more competitive with everyone else and really doesn't hurt Amazon's competitiveness. In any meaningful way. [29:47] Which is which is interesting and I would argue a lot of the the the media and info Scott wrong when they when they first heard about this announcement. Who's probably getting hurt by this is a lot of the small sellers right if you are a a a small business that's primarily selling via 3p on Amazon and eBay. You know your your cost just went up and potentially. There are about 12,000 tax jurisdictions in the US and so every one of those jurisdictions in theory could now pass a law that says you have to collect their tax and they can each have their own rules for the tax. And So It Goes could be a huge burden to the sellers. [30:32] Track and calculate these 12,000 different tax laws and so you're not allowed to have to cut the tax but you have to pay a bunch of money to collect the tax. Properly and that is a potential big burden for the small sellers. I would argue there's very few small brick-and-mortar retailers that aren't also trying to sell online and aren't also trying to ship out of state. So you know when people talk about this benefiting Main Street it's only benefiting the dinosaurs on Main Street that haven't figured out how to launch a Shopify site yet right. And so so it is going to be a potential burden on a new small businesses. And what's going to be most interesting to watch now is that the South Dakota version of the tax law is a very mild version of the law. It essentially says that all the different cities in South Dakota can't charge their own individual taxes that that dumb. We're going to have a Statewide system that's easier for businesses to comply with. And it'll also says that the state can't collect taxes retroactively so no one's going to be on the hook for their sales over the last 5 years but. [31:44] Any new state could now pass out a more aggressive version of the law it has more burdens for the the small business and that even tries to retroactively collect taxes for The Last 5 Years and it's it's unclear based on the Supreme Court ruling weather whether the states will be able to get away with the more aggressive version of this wall so that it's it's kind of going to the tech e-commerce taxes into a little bit of chaos while this all plays out and you know I think. [32:15] Everyone's hope which seems like a long shot is that what what could really simplify all this is it Congress sort of enacted a a lot the clarified what what how State should treat the taxes and Congress could pass a national law that essentially say is all the states have to, you know follow the same system in charge the same rate and there's lots of draft of these kind of laws there was one that was drafted a couple years ago called The Marketplace Fairness Act and it could allow all the states to collect sales tax but dramatically simplify the process of collecting those taxes for all the the online Sellers and protect all the online Sellers from retroactive taxes and things like that so like the right thing to do for our economy would be for Congress to pass a law but it you know it seems like there's a lot of partisan stuff going on in Congress and you know doesn't seem like there their they're passing a heck of a lot of common sense legislation at the moment. Scot: [33:19] Another interesting win for Amazon is there's a fair number of people that don't use at ba because Amazon just parked around an FBI and if you're one of these companies that's really you know of a carefully watching where your Nexus is you can't say to Amazon you can't say two things you can't say I only want my product Cindy's FBA facilities you also can't say you know where is my product right now so I can make sure that I'm tracking where I kind of I could have Nexus or not so presumably this get rid of that both objection and now you might as well just use that Paso another win for Amazon is FBA if we're going to go to a world pretty quickly here which seems like what you're predicting where every state is charging some form of tax. The NFPA is another enough was going to get more users because it's going to be enough there are no negatives for for doing that around Nexus. How do you say so if I may say I'ma an eBay or an Amazon Seller today what do I do do I need to start, cutting taxes out there one should start that right now like what's the action item on. Jason: [34:30] Yeah so at the moment you're only on the hook for the state you have a physical Nexus and and South Dakota. The each state has to pass an out-of-state tax collection law in order for them to then put this burden on on sellers and there are a number of states that have laws going through their state legislature right now and so you like your your immediate action is that you you do need to start you do not have a tax liability in South Dakota based on this ruling but you can anticipate didn't very short order all the states are desperate for money so of course they're all going to pass along some of the legislators are in a position to do it real fast summer going to be slow and and complicated the burden is going to keep going up and almost you know certainly the the way that most sellers are going to have to do this is you're going to have to pay a third party to calculate and remit all these taxes on your behalf and so that's another big winner in this is companies like taxjar and vertex and Olvera and those those companies that help businesses calculate and remit sale. Scot: [35:44] Yeah now, physical stores the taxes get down to you know literally the municipality so you could be in you know Secaucus New Jersey and they have a different apparel tax there's a tax on shipping but then certain there's no food tax or something that you cross into another area and the taxes are all different do you think this is going to get that complex or are you to the municipalities going to try to take there local tax structure in Buckhannon National kind of for that City kind of. Jason: [36:16] So here is going to be the balancing act all the municipalities would have like to pass their own laws so Secaucus would definitely like to have their own tax collection law and have their there sales tax laws imposed on all out of the jurisdiction Cellars the thing that's going to keep them all from doing that is that there's a a clause in the the the. [36:45] Though the prevailing tax laws that says States cannot put an undue burden on cross-state Commerce. And so the argument is going to be that it every municipality have their own set of laws and Secaucus has a tax holiday on this particular day and doesn't text food and all these different things the bat is going to trigger the Commerce Clause and and put an undue burden right and so part of the reason that the Supreme Court said they ruled in favor of South Dakota is because the law is was very carefully written to try to minimize that the the bird and right inside they don't date the it explicitly does not allow individual municipalities in South Dakota to have their own tax laws like they are there there's a Statewide tax system for out-of-state Sellers and so it knows. Supreme Court rule on any other than the South Dakota version so if Secaucus now pass is a really you know burdensome law and again Secaucus could also say and you owe is taxes for The Last 5 Years of sales. [37:58] Then you know someone's going to be able to litigate that and say it's a violation of the Commerce Clause and that potentially could make it back to the Supreme Court and you you know, the Supreme Court could choose to hear it or not and they could you know essentially say hey the South Dakota version is we going to bed the more you know arduous Secaucus version is not legal and so you know every States going to have to balance how aggressive they want to be you know with with how much we go Jeopardy they they they want to assume you know in case these things get where to get it. Scot: [38:36] Yes it feels like it's going to take like 5 to 10 years for this all the sort out and it's kind of a kind of a boring Plumbing topic but I think it's important for listeners cuz a lot of articles I read we're super confusing and I think you did a good job of summarizing. Jason: [38:50] One last point that just was kind of sad I give you actually listen to the the oral arguments in the case like the justices were asking really good questions how expensive is it for a small business to calculate their tax liability if this if we rule in favor of South Dakota how you know how much is incremental cost is is that going to impose on Wayfair bright and. It was really embarrassing, how little tangible information the lawyers in both side of this case had and how e-commerce works and I I say that like. If your lawyer like arguing a case before The Supreme Court that is like the Superbowl of litigation right and you'd expect like the most prepared best teams and yet you know it it's felt like the the level of preparation in knowledge about how digital Commerce work you know was was pretty pretty lacking in the justices openly expressed frustration that they couldn't get. You know clear answers to who you know some some reasonable questions about this so it you know it's further further evidence that, you know the economy and Technology are way way way ahead of the legal system. Scot: [40:08] Oh I nominate you to be a expert for the next to supreme court hearing on this. Jason: [40:13] Yeah I would make myself available that would be a pretty awesome gig. Scot: [40:19] Yeah and you get to wear a suit how fun is that. Jason: [40:21] I I have done some federal expert witness stuff in the you know I am willing to wear a suit for the the fees that you're able to charge as an expert witness. Scot: [40:31] Cool that that kind of wraps up the news section of the show and let's transition into some listener questions. [40:44] Question question question question question. Alright get the echo turned way up on that one our first question is pretty Technical and it comes from a friend of the show Scott Silverman this one goes back you mentioned this kind of in a phrase recently sniffing the tires Scott wants to know what do you recommend is the best technique for sniffing tires. Jason: [41:15] Hey Scott I totally appreciate the question sort of two-party answer if you are a casual Tire sniffer I think what you want to do is just you know get down on the ground get your nose is close to the tires as possible and you know really just sort of in intake the the fumes but if you're going to be a serious professional Tire sniffer what you really want to do is get the hydraulic jack and raise the car up to nose level because that actually allows a lot more oxygen under the tires which which you know helps more molecules get in your nose and really get you the whole bouquet of the tire. Scot: [41:56] And of course it's important to take the vehicle for a spin before you do this you get that like nice fresh smell. Jason: [42:03] Yeah you do want the rubber warmed up absolutely great point. Scot: [42:06] Our second questions comes from and I'll do a blanket apology there's some last names in here that may be a little tricky but I'll do my best this is from Alex Velasquez and he asks should others try the Warby Parker school bus tour concept and who do you think would benefit most from it I had no idea what this was so I figured this was a good question for you. Jason: [42:27] Yep so this is one of the early marketing tactics at Warby Parker did I think they actually did this before they open the formal store I'm so they I think they may be were using their corporate headquarters is a showroom but essentially what they did is they bought an old school bus decked it out and started driving to events and venues and things and letting people try on their glasses and it was a super effective marketing vehicle it's sort of a mobile pop-up store if you will and so in general I would say those kinds of things are a great tactic particularly for e-commerce business is what you know you feel like you'd benefit from a physical presence so I got a pop-up store avoids a lot of the costs of permanent rent you know which a lot of the times of the year the traffic in that that store is going to be low so you can do a pop-up just around Peak times and instead of it being fixed to one location the idea behind this bus is you could send the bus to a lot of different locations so there you know what be purchased per ticket clever and they've done a bunch of versions of since the school bus so they continue to use that tactic I do think it's a good customer acquisition and brand building tactic. [43:45] The there's actually a retailer that's been doing it much longer LL Bean literally have a. A bus built in the shape of their iconic rubber boot that they drive around and let people try on boots and kind of build their brand. Do that and they send it to outdoor festivals and stuff where where people might be interested in the boots so I think it's a good tactic. A lot of Brands could potentially benefit from it but the brands that would most benefit from it. Is if there's a a physical a or experiential element to the kind of products you're selling, so that it's not only are you building your brand awareness but you're also helping people you don't get that tactical experience so if you're selling. You know food and and you going to give people a chance to try it or you're selling apparel that gives people a chance to try sizes or. I feel the textiles are or you know things like that are particularly going to benefit from these kind of mobile pop-up store. Scot: [44:51] Cool and thanks for the question Alex. Jason: [44:59] So I think the next question is from vomit. A gyro and thanks God for just claiming that were massacring names do customers like bundled products or do they like to create their own bundles what are different merchandising tactics used to sell collections of product. Scot: [45:19] Yeah this is this is a good one you know it it kind of depends so. I like a system where the consumer has the you know a fair amount of power and convenience and they can choose to either buy a core product and its Associated add-ons and you have any Commerce system that is smart enough to kind of recommend the right things you know so it's not kind of recommending these things that are kind of random but they're frequently bought together. Which is a feature that you see on Amazon all the time now one tactic where this comes up a lot is in the world of marketplaces where. Frequently you'll be selling where you see this the most is in digital cameras this is kind of case study of this so what you see is you go to Amazon and you search for you know a Canon D40 which is a common camera and you know the tops quc is that core camera body SKU. [46:18] But then what a lot of people do is they will create a new skew by creating unique bundle. And I'll take a camera a memory card a set of lenses and a bag and a variety of things and I'll create a new skew a new Ace in in Amazon parlance and that is you can kind of a. You should have separate from the competitors for that Coeur Camera. [46:43] The be there for you know when consumer searches for Canon D40 if you've done this right you should have a pretty good shot at showing up higher level and then see you can effectively have a price that is much just submitted Lee discounted for that bundle and you're effectively hiding you know the discount in the margin by obfuscating it to the consumer making it harder for them to price compare so some things now you know this whole truth holds true for other marketplaces like eBay and Walmart eye center now the downside of this is Marketplace in her wise to the store frequently kind of challenging these things and saying you know does a bundle really make sense what are you doing here are you kind of ruining the customer experience. [47:33] So I've seen that used in it as a merchandising tactic there on your own website to I don't think I've seen as we have a child as we have this very clever skateboard a Cellar and they've come up with a couple private labels like their own wheels and things like that so when they they take a deck and skateboarding you have the deck which is just sold without wheels and and the the other pieces there and then they they take some private label stuff or owned brands do use Jason's language and it does create this kind of unique bundle that then isn't available anywhere else, and they can do a lot of relaxing things with pricing on that because they can't really change do the map the price but when they put their wheels on there they can offer this bundle that that is never more competitive anything else out there because they have got a known brand on the wheels and they have more margin and they can pass it on to the consumer so those are some of the things that come to mind for me Jason anything you want to add on bundling. Jason: [48:31] Yeah I would just say like the there are two similar but different things in my expenses, in different circumstances consumers want both so so every e-commerce platform uses a different vernacular but, binocular would be bundles versus kits right and so in this scenario a bundle could be. [48:56] A set of things that are recommended to go together right so shop the look you you one quick button and you add the blouse the pants the belt and shoes. But all four things get separately added to your cart and then you could edit the cart you could get two pair of the the blouses if you wanted and you could delete the shoes if you already had two shoes for example so it's, a shopping convenience to put related items together you know in and apparel is a common version of that like in crafting it could be a kit or project I got all the. All the items you need to make a sweater or something like that in food it could be by the recipe to get all the ingredients for a particular dish. But you know of course the customer might already have salt so you you know the customer could take salt out of the cart after they. They bought that bundle in a kids are often. Hard coded things that have to go together so it's one skew it shows up as one line item in the car you can't edit it. If any of the items in that cat are unavailable then the itin. The kid is unavailable in the order we get back ordered and things like that and so there are certain types of products. That lend themselves to kits and to your point. If you're going to have a special price on the the multiple item configuration than you probably want that to be a kid because you wouldn't want customers to. [50:25] Then delete three of the four items and still get a special price. But in some cases you just want to make it easier for people to buy multiple things and have a higher overall cart and then there's. A lot of nuances in the kits are they. Hard-coated manual kits what you would often cause static it where you know the skews are permanently tied together are there Dynamic kits that are built by recommendation engines or things like that are there customizable kids you know that have different options that customers can pick via VIA attribute type selections and and so it is super complicated thing and it is one of the things that can differentiate some of the e-commerce platforms from the others is their support for a broad range of these different options vary wildly and then when you throw in the ability to offer promotions on top of these bundles or kits that can get super complicated and so that you know if you know that that's a core part of your business that might drive you to select one one eCommerce platform versus another because it might have better support for the that the particular model year use. Scot: [51:35] Is anyone using AI to solve this like. Yeah I think I need Amazon's is kind of a group thing I'm sure there's gotta be like 10 AI vendors out there trying to solve this kind of Phoenix recommended product. Jason: [51:51] Yeah and I mean this man takes get tricky like I would argue that the the Panic recommendation vendors that have been around for 12 years like they're rich relevance in a certain is like they're there heavily AI base solution so it's almost like. Saying it AI recommendations versus not as kind of a difficult distinction to make the, that most of the product recommendation product that I'm aware of the you know are going to be closer to you. The most common model is they're going to recommend other products and you have to click each product separately to add it to the car they may offer bundles which is one-click ordering right in in Amazon does bundle the recommendations the right so right below the main product information on the product detail page there's always going to be up by these bring three things together which is you know it's the AI base recommendation engine is putting the three things that you most want together and you can choose to add one two or three of those things to your cart so that just that S Mart Convenience that Amazon's done to try to get the aov up that's the company that's the best example of using AI to actually create schitt's if you will is probably going to be Stitch fix right because they send one skew to your house which is a fixed with five items in it and they're primarily using AI to select which five items they send to your app. Scot: [53:18] Wrinkled her next question comes from jeweled work and she a skinny leadership or managing through change tactics and then over on the Facebook group I asked for clarification on that if I gave her a couple choices there and she said you're more at the corporate level so let's assume you're one of these Brands that's been around for a hundred years this is very much in the news right now where allottees activists are going into the established Brands and brand houses and shaking them up and you know really getting agitated they're not doing enough direct-to-consumer you seen folks like Campbell's down 30 40% due to all these changes happening and you know I heard your question is essentially how did these companies become more Nimble you know you've had this guy a hundred year plus world where the consumer didn't change very much and now they're changing constantly. What what do you recommend a brand do to get more nipple. Jason: [54:13] Yeah it's a great question Jill and the real answers if I had a perfect recommendation I probably wouldn't be bothering to do this podcast cuz it would make my job so much easier that I'd be you know waiting on an island somewhere because it is a huge challenge in general you see digital native companies are much better at being agile and nimble then big established Brands and it just so happens in my practice I mainly work with big established Brands and they all struggle with being at a a speed disadvantage TD small companies and the one exception is you know that the giant company Amazon is annoyingly. Add jolyn and Innovative despite their their size in the fact that they're you know now 20 years old. So two things to think about here the first is like a big question always comes up is. [55:07] Ivory Tower Innovation versus Grassroots Innovation right so you know Ivory Tower would be, let's set up an innovation lab right you know your target let's set up an innovation lab you know your Minneapolis wet set up at univation lab in San Mateo California and let's hire a bunch of people whose only job is to be Innovative and let them come up with all the new ideas. And if you're a store manager in Minnesota you know it's not your job to be Innovative right and so I having a dedicated focus on Innovation the hope his bees Innovation labs. Can can be more efficient you know there was a huge Trend in retail towards these labs and. Target Nordstrom Zappos Walmart you know all we're opening opening these stand-alone labs. [55:56] While some retailers definitely still have these Labs I would argue the trend is a little bit against the stand-alone lab so we've seen a lot of the retailers including Target Nordstrom. And a post move away from the dedicated Innovation lab model and so the alternative is. Create the ability for Innovation to come from the the main line Grassroots employees right into the the Marquee example of this is not a retail for me it's it's a Doe B and they had this clever product called. [56:29] Process called the Adobe Redbox and essentially any employee at Adobe that thinks they have a good idea for a new. Product or process or or service at Adobe can apply for this thing called in Adobe red box and it's a Innovation kit. And it's all the tools you need to sort of prototype your idea and get it to a level where you can present it. 288 sort of jury of Senior Management at the. Add Adobe and so it you know it's pretty clever it has things like a debit card in it that you can use to buy you don't web hosting services and it has. You know I'm feeling codes you can get to you know provide to some of your colleagues have them help you with certain things. And said that the idea is to make it easy for anybody with a good idea anywhere across the the organization to pursue that idea. [57:30] And so it the moment I see more retailers trying to Foster Innovation through. Providing processes and tools to their main line employees than I do the Ivory Tower but I certainly seen both work and I've seen both fail. The biggest advice I give to Legacy clients. To succeed in Innovation is not so much where that Innovation sits in the organization it's how The Innovation is approached and here like I highly recommend. Serta imitating the Amazon model right so you know Amazon famous we have this to Pizza teen model in the the premise behind that is. Hey any project we do we're going to narrow the scope such that it can be performed by you know a team no larger than could be fed by two pizzas. So that could be you no one four digit software developer or you know it might be six or seven people in your department. [58:31] But the idea being. The way to do Innovation is not to do some Grand pilot that has to integrate with 37 Legacy systems and has to get approval from 18 different departments and requires a team of 40. And you know by the time you you get an experience to live you will spend so much money and effort that you know if if the experience isn't successful. You know you you passed your company of Fortune and even if it is successful like the the business probably you know shifted from the time you started to the time you finish. The most successful Innovations are when you can you know find gorilla ways to do things scale at and make the the. Hiwot as independent and distinct from the rest of the organization as possible right and so to me the great example of that is. [59:23] Amazon Prime now, you know when they said like hey we want to deliver stuff in one hour they didn't say all right let's get a meeting together with the leaders of the Fulfillment center and figure out how we carve off some space in the Fulfillment center and figure it out we, change all our software in the Fulfillment center to support this one hour delivery and do all these things they they got some guys that said hey we're going to buy our own you know even though we own all this stuff, we're going to buy our own building for this pilot and we're going to write our own software and we're going to just keep things as simple and independent as possible get the experience out there in front of the customer as quickly as possible and learn from the customer, which elements of our idea are valuable and value by the customer and which ones aren't then we're going to refine it from there and only after we've. Proven The Innovation and unrefined it are we going to figure out how to integrate it into the rest of the Enterprise so I really like that sort of. Independence and you know we highly encourage a lot of these big Legacy Brands to sort of adopt a more agile. Business process so we talked about ad Joel a lot as a development technique technique but it really can be a a business process and you know sort of isolate these these projects as much as possible and make an independent initiative. Scot: [1:00:40] That's awesome so I'm up I come out at from a startup bad guy perspective I'm on my 4th company I started and like you have worked with a lot of Brands and I think the step a lot of them get wrong is what I would call buying soda I'll start doing something kind of innovative like selling director something and then the VP of sales will say woohoo oh hey wait a minute what are we doing I've gotten upset Channel partner that's upset wrestling direct and then doll the panic in the unwind the whole thing so before you go down some of the steps you recommended you know I think. [1:01:17] The key is got to get complete buy-in from the whole management team that this is going to be something they're there once committed to a book that I I now that kind of started this discussion is the innovator's Dilemma. This is kind of a must-read for people interest in this topic in this by Clayton Christensen I will put a link in the show notes and you know what does essentially does it talks about, how do companies get in this position and why and then it has some cases of the very few companies that have gotten out of this position so it's really important to get that buying from everybody because if everyone's not bought in you'll get this whole failure cycle of trying to do something really Innovative as a brand and then it gets squashed by people that really aren't bought in and then you know there nothing too happens and companies that are large and older is a lot of ideas get squished because what I call exception base management where you come up with this idea and then to what is start to happen to edge cases well you know what if you know a you know what if this isn't profitable what if this and that the other and that. [1:02:25] Becomes you just get kind of stuck in tar with that you have to have to get everyone bought into taking some risk that the company's also not used to Basil's has a really good letter on this stuff about it Amazon where they have commit to disagree is kind of thing you know so so you know we disagree but let's try it and see what happens like why not try it. Go try something and to that and there's really good book Jason mention you're taking some of these ads all kind of Concepts out of software development putting them in your company one of my favorites is called Lean Startup sat is geared towards when you're starting a company but I think big companies can learn a lot there and it kind of educate you on the languages start upset you know Facebook kind of famously has said go fast and break stuff and that's really kind of craving orientation towards not worrying about the exceptions and guessing put something out there and take a little risk and then see how customers react to it and then course-correct quickly so the answer to you know what is what you know maybe not and. [1:03:30] We won't know until you try so you got to kind of get your culture oriented towards trying stuff rapidly, iterating versus kind of a 18 month cycle of planning and hand-wringing and getting every little detail done and then putting something out to be agile yet to be able to put something out and fail I go over and over again the case study there for Amazon that's classic is the fire phone you know they they put a phone out there there's a million reasons that would fail and it failed Jason I think they're the only people that have one but if they didn't fail at that Fire Phone they would have never done Echo because they really wanted to be in the platform World they realized the failure the phone that that was going to be at and then they went all in on Echo and. That is part of the culture they have is it's okay to fail just going to do it quickly and inner eight and learn you can't just kind of like digging infinitely deep hole. Jason: [1:04:23] Yeah that's great advice. Scot we have a few more a great listener questions but I actually think we are going to have to hold them for our next show because it has happened again we've used up the an hour of our listeners very valuable time. And so if you enjoy the show we certainly would appreciate that that five star review on iTunes if you have anymore questions or follow-ups on these questions please do jump on her Facebook page and drop us a line or hit either of us up on Twitter because we will pick up the remainder of these questions and any new ones in the next show. Scot: [1:05:03] Thanks for joining server buddy. Jason: [1:05:05] Until next time happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP135 - Prodege CEO Chuck Davis

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 18, 2018 39:20


Chuck Davis is the CEO of Prodege (Swagbucks, MyPoints, and Shopathome), a leading rewards discovery site.  Chuck was the first President of E-Commerce for the Walt Disney Company, former CEO for ShopZilla, former CEO of Fandango, and is a former Shop.org board member. Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 135 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Tuesday, June 5th, 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 135 being recorded on Tuesday June 5th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as always I'm here with your Tahoe Scott Wingo. Scot & Chuck: [0:40] Hey Jason in welcome back Jason Scott show listeners, Jason will real fortunate to have with us this week would I consider to be one of the Statesman of digital and e-commerce truck Davis, Chuck and I overlapped on the shop.org board for a little bit there and get to know each other and we've been trying to get him on the show for a while and finally all the moons and stars aligned and where, excited to have Chuck on the show today welcome Chuck thank you I'm glad to be here thanks for having me. Jason: [1:09] Entirely our pleasure, so usually won't have gas on I like to sort of memorize the the key digital places they've work so that I can you introduce your background of the audience but in your case that was impossible I couldn't remember all the cool places you had work. Scot & Chuck: [1:25] Yeah I don't know about that but I am you want me to jump in on that. [1:32] Okay well I'm 22 years in digital following a publishing career so the 22 years of digital. You know I think it's better to start off in the beginning I started at time Inc and I I was, on the life monthly magazine that was briefly alive after the weekly went out of business and it was very important part of my career because, weekly life Saturday evening post look all went out of business because they had one Revenue stream they really had two but one they gave away in that would circulation maybe they were getting $0.10 a week but they were getting a dollar a week and add Revenue, and when television came those Publications went away cuz he Advertiser switch to TV so on my first job at life, I learned there had to be two revenue streams they should be 50/50 and I went on a Sports Illustrated next. And you'll remember that from the football phones and sneaker phones and helping with Michael Jordan videos who was the first big, video purchase at the NBA at ever seen 400,000 I think on my first phone call they had to create a video to Vision the next day and then moved on a TV Guide, in Radnor Pennsylvania which was the biggest magazine in the country at the time it was 14 million circulation, and while I was there Netscape went public and all of a sudden that man it was opening day for a new industry called the internet. [3:03] And other than AOL CompuServe in Prodigy there were no employees in this new industry so as soon as there was a browser I I had five. Offers in the internet within 90 days of. Netscape going public and I called 1 800 Gateway in ordered my first computer, I mean things were moving very fast then and and I think the logic was will Chuck and get eyeballs to a publication that no one really needs maybe he can get eyeballs to my website. So there were a bunch of startups in Northern Cal and I landed a Disney in Southern Cal to start their e-commerce and that word e-commerce had not been invented yet. So a Michael Ovitz was President he had been there 11. I was only there is present for 11 months and he says Chuck who knows if this internet thing as a fat or not but if it's a fad will find you another job of the Walt Disney Company, so I hopped on a plane went back to Radnor Pennsylvania told my wife while we could do the start up north or we could go to Southern Cal and we could. Get a job at Disney and if the internet's a fad will have another you know will still stay they'll be something else there. So that's why I started my internet 22 years ago and my first job and. Launch Disney Store we lunch Disney Travel ESPN came into the fold 6 months after I got there so I launched an ESPN store in NASCAR Store. [4:35] Then infoseek I bought by Disney and we had all these go product I got to eat product groups and my concept was learn from a big company. And then. [4:46] I should do that smaller company thing but when I jump off I should know more about technology so 40 years after Disney I went to bizrate which became Shopzilla. And that's where you know me from Scott because I was on the shop.org board there and that was an interesting time because the industry was building up from the o. [5:10] Oak rash and that took a few years to build up and all of our companies of the board members were suffering at the same time. At the same time the industry was including shop.org and which was a not-for-profit that went significantly negative at that time but. What we found with bizrate after a series of cuts. Are their business started hockey sticking and it became a comparison shopping site and did really well in the ew Scripps company bought that in 05. [5:44] For over 500 million dollars so that we were working with all the retailers we had research that helped guide the shopping decisions for the consumer to know who to trust to buy online cuz at the beginning of the internet. No one trusted. Anyone online and Dad the credit card wasn't deemed to be safe I'm not even sure if purchases online recovered at the beginning of the internet anyway after Scripps bought Shopzilla. [6:14] I went to Fandango which was in the same building and West LA Fandango have 35 employees it was. It was kind of paused wasn't clear where it was going to go and quickly we scale back company and. Comcast bought it and I stayed on and. For another 40 years or so and that all worked out really well that was backed by tcv in Palo Alto. And I became a venture partner with tcv and I eventually found the founder Joseph Garlits of Swagbucks. And the parent company is called Protege with Addy Protege and. And Joseph and I became good friends and I became his chair Herman and. He said he wanted me to be the CEO and you never raised outside money and it was already a big company without money and I said you you don't have to have outside money you've already gone through the hardest part. And he wanted to do it and so tcv came in on that deal to that's our only investor that is the company of that today that's what we're going to talk about, so I presume we're going to talk about it a little so Protege is a reward consumer rewards platform. Where consumers have learned about 250 million dollars on the Swagbucks site and almost 550 million on the three protists. [7:45] Dating sites in free gift cards and we do this on our site from consumer shopping. Where I'll learn a commission and I'll share that commission with the consumer who will get points and redeem those points from free gift cards from basically all the Merchants Online plus PayPal. [8:08] Also from filling out surveys and sharing their opinion and from watching short-form videos that have ads on them. So those are three main businesses and we have 3 brand Swagbucks. Shop at home in my points the last two Brands we acquired over the last that's a couple years is that what you wanted to hear. Perfect yet I wanted to just take a little bit in the past just cuz I'm curious I'm I'm I'm a huge user of Fandango. Tulsa Lil Bit about that stint in. I love the little ad with the paper bag people just that was that created during your tenure it was but let me tell you the best story for Fandango so I started there as chairman. And I was chairman of Shopzilla and they were same building as take the elevator up and down, I was facing myself out of one company and phasing myself into the next company and about 1/2 year later I became the CEO and on my, first day is a CEO again we only have 35 employees at Fandango but a couple guys fat me down. Are they came to my office to Tech Guys and they go Chuck they're only like 5 of us who write code and we just and we know you have lots of things you want to test. But we also know that we need you to know that we're also here part-time really because we're working on a secret project with Apple. And I go well I don't understand am I paying For You full time but I'm getting you half time and they go that is correct and I go on that quite sure. [9:43] This is a good idea is it a good ideas it's a good project you're working on does Fandango benefit from this they go what we're not quite sure and. [9:53] And I said was it a bad project cuz I'll get our lawyer and I'll get you out of this and they go well we're not quite sure about that either now pause that thought for six months so that was July of 06 January of 07. My Blackberry is is vibrating so much. I figured someone was calling me and there was no one on the phone it was I was getting so many bbm's remember that that was a text message before we had text and and. They were saying Chuck turn on. [10:27] Turn on CNBC Steve Jobs is presenting at macworld he's showing this new product called an iPhone and he's buying movie tickets on Fandango. Tell my team built the first app for the first iPhone and a CEO I didn't even know it was coming that's how secretive apple apple is and that did help Propel Fandango new excited we're all using very much. [10:53] Brickell. [10:54] Is it also in your background you did a stint kind of with TCB which stands for tech technology crossover Ventures they're one of the story to VC firms out there in the Bay Area and I know that they are involved in your current company, are you still active with those guys so what's that relationship like. PCV is a great company and has great funds and I've known them for a long time I was fortunate enough to Jay Hogue found me he was on the board of Fandango and brought me in, to be his partner on that. And then that Pat a happy outcome and and then afterwards he asked if I would be a venture partner with tcv that helps sit in sourcing deals and coaching current Founders Inn, and just helping in the industry it did Girardi are all around and having someone on the inside is in a bad thing to do having a great. Growth Equity company like tcv has been fabulous for me, we brought them into Protege and they are the only investor in this company so I'm thrilled Jay Hogue and and. Maiorano board were thrilled to have them both and it's been a great relationship both ways. Well Jason I know is chomping at the bit to talk loyalty so I'll turn it over to him on that side. Jason: [12:20] Scot is fascinating and. [12:26] But you just got matching loyalty but I'm not sure why I think of Swagbucks first and foremost as a loyalty program right like you're you're really. [12:35] A traffic generation program for for a retail site right like you I would partner with you. Predominantly to get more new Shoppers to my site that that are already cut in the Swagbucks a ecosystem do I do I have that right. Scot & Chuck: [12:52] That is right and that's not dissimilar from what you know from my days at bizrate Shopzilla that there's a lot of lead generation that that comes from our shopping channel we. Transacted or LED two transactions of over 500 million dollars last year in our shop Channel. Jason: [13:16] Wow that's that's awesome and when I think about that like traffic jam versus loyalty like you know most people in they say loyalty they think of this traditional. Sir points for purchase program and in the hope is. You know if I get a bunch of points with Best Buy that that's going to let you know Anchorage people to want to use those points at Best Buy so that you know Best Buy will keep keep that customer loyal and it. [13:41] Like there's a lot of talk in the industry like these days there's a lot of fatigue with those kind of programs because. Consumers have so many are members of so many of these different programs that that none of them necessarily Drive loyalty but in your case. They're those customers are building value that they can use anywhere they want right so that it doesn't have that same fatigue Dynamic that. A Retailer's branded Welty program might have. Scot & Chuck: [14:09] One of the highlights of our whole platform is we have a horizontal platform versus a vertical so not only can you shop. Are any of the e-commerce sites out there but you can fill out surveys and watch videos and earn points from that. And redeem those points for shopping at your favorite retailers too so I think you have to look at it like an ecosystem. That everyone put something in a wreath, Taylor gets listed here they wait to see which customers come points are earned those points are usually redeemed to go back to that same retail or sometimes I'll go to other retailers. In the end everyone's happy cuz everyone's getting a good mix of incremental orders. Jason: [14:59] That that makes total sense and I I feel like even when we were looking at single retailer Affinity programs. [15:06] Like one of the characteristics of the best ones is they always. [15:10] Rewarded orange insanitized behaviors in addition to shopping so you might get you no points for buying but you might also get points for you know being a loyal. [15:20] Customer and wearing their clothes out in public and sharing them on Instagram or introducing new customers to the brand or things like that ends in so it feels like Swagbucks has many of those same, same characteristics and I'm assuming behind-the-scenes that that means like to other constituencies you have RR. [15:39] Clients that want to do market research and are willing to pay. [15:42] To get your your user base to answer those surveys and and clients that want to find eyeballs for their advertisements and are willing to pay to have have your your users watch those videos is that is that right I do swear to have. [15:55] Three can sit you and seizes its customers the retailers the the the researchers in the advertisers. Scot & Chuck: [16:03] We have at least three we we. [16:07] Transactive it on 25 million surveys last year and we had six billion video views so those areas are very large also but we also have, just your run-of-the-mill everyday search powered by Yahoo on our site. So when you do a search result every end sample you got a reward for that also we also have games on our site on channel in our play area. [16:36] So yeah there are many ways to earn what I think separates us from other sites that might only work on shopping is where a fun place to go. You you're going to be surprised with something new everyday. And we take a lot of pride in that we want to be fun we want to be rewarding we wanted to be a place you want to go and you want to be rewarded for your time. Your engagement is worth something and we want to make sure you get rewarded for it. Jason: [17:06] That that makes perfect sense it now I think I understand hopefully the listeners understand the ecosystem you know I'm always curious to ask all the entrepreneurs on the show is how do you get. What is your customer acquisition strategy how do you get customers into that echo system for the first time. Scot & Chuck: [17:26] And one of the unique things we do is we've got a referral program or a member can introduce another member. And we will give the introducer 10% of the points from their friend for life. [17:43] So if I introduce you and you start playing and then shopping and filling out surveys and watching videos and you earn points. The company is going to give me 10% on top of what you earned as a reward for life. For that introduction I made so there's almost a buddy system built in, where I'm going to keep track of you and let you know of new areas that I liked on the site and vice-versa you're going to close that loop with me and tell me tell me how much fun you had and how much you learned in the past month. [18:17] So that's one way we bring people in another really Innovative way. [18:22] That is fairly new is we launched a trivia app called swag IQ and this is. This was created I'd say in March April and we get. Tens of thousands of people coming on every day 8 p.m. eastern Time 5 p.m. Pacific and we have a 10 question game and what's unique about Swagbucks. Is we have our own currency is called SB and one point equals one penny it's $0.01. So we can give points out or sbe's out every time you got a question correct on our 10-question nightly trivia game. You don't have to just be the grand prize winner to win $2,500 or whatever that days for word is you're getting rewards all along the way and that has a strong following that. Introduces people to our currency who then come to the site to shop. Fill out surveys and share their opinions watch videos and search through Yahoo so it's all related so yeah we've got interesting lead-gen. Opportunities and an execution across our platform. Brickell and this is interesting to on the last episode that Jason I had we are going to the Mary Meeker deck and she had a section about China and you're a big thing in China right now is this intersection of kind of shopping and entertainment it sounds like you guys are. [19:58] We're kind of bringing some of that to the US any other interesting kind of, bottles you seen at that intersection especially on the how do you how do you bring entertainment into the e-commerce and shopping piece. You know you brought up that's by the other the other question ago and we did a whole swag IQ episode last week. That had to do with that spy that Best Buy had an electronic circular. On our site of different promotions going on in their in their store, and we had an entire game to tie in Best Buy two to the survey rewarding our customers for, for looking at the circular and getting familiar with the different specials going on in the store so there's many new innovative ways to cross-promote e-commerce, to cross-promote customer acquisition and to be engaged in a fun way. It's interesting at a theoretical level because you know we're as consumers were giving our quote-unquote R-value away for free till I use social media companies and you guys are kind of. Actually paying for it which is you know which is interesting because you you're obviously seeing you know the the government come in and got, a look at what's happening there and in a lot of consumers are upset they didn't realize what they're giving away and you know how much how much is kind of going along with that data where is you guys are making a much more clear kind of value proposition I think. [21:36] Well we like to think so too but the real. The real rubber meets the road moment is when we have a live screen in our lobby of our office here in El Segundo which is by. LAX to the Los Angeles airport and our lives screen shows. [21:56] Depiction of the United States and shows who's redeeming a card in which city at that moment for which retailer and how much money it is. Do we have done something like this at Fandango or people are buying movie tickets but what this does is it shows the total number of cards card value it's been redeemed since Inception. And when I came in this morning we were at 541 million dollars of cards that have been redeemed, and just watching that grow everyday is a heck of a lot more fun than seeing the billboard in Times Square showing how many people have died of cancer or in the more current way. What the national debt is per person in the US, this is fun people like earning rewards and the rewards just power the whole system of e-commerce, cool it was switch gears a little bit when we talk to retailers a lot of them have kind of had their quote on quote mobile moment which means more than half the traffic's kind of coming from mobile and Buy Mobile I mean smartphones imagine with an interactive platform like yours you you kind of crossed over that, how many books are in writing to you guys to the extent you can disclose things through mobile vs. desktop and any other interesting mobiletrans you guys are seen. [23:15] You know we've got very different channels on our sites as some work better on mobile than a mother's friend since the video channel called watch. Watching videos remotely like that or odor or in a mobile way is very good but a lot of people like that stop to so-so for surveys or answer channel does very well on mobile. [23:43] People get to see me, get a bigger picture online on the desktop so it's the same thing with e-commerce some things can be transacted quickly on mobile and others are better on desktop so I can't give you numbers but I can tell you that. Many fat most consumers migrate back and forth and were there in all areas. [24:07] The swag IQ game is is it mobile. Is basically a mobile game and that allows me to play anywhere I couldn't play last night we had two games last night I played the first game and made it to the 8th question before I got tripped up. I think it was a nice I got ripped out that was the furthest I'd ever gotten and we had a second Flash game 45 minutes later and I. I want to make sure I didn't have a car accidents I had that running in the car on the way home but I did not play it to dangerous but I'm at least able to hear it and hear the question. Jason: [24:44] Yeah I almost want to suggest that you use the GPS to disable the the the trivia game win when the phone is moving it auto speeds. Scot & Chuck: [24:56] You just log off I do just log off so I can focus on the road in California that's an important thing. Jason: [25:03] Yeah for sure and are you finding like so I like a lot of. [25:07] That the activities you have are sort of endemically mobilelite what is you mentioned are you finding that that's primarily the. The platform that new customers are coming into on like the majority of the new customer acquisition on the mobile platform is that growing faster for you than the the desktop. Scot & Chuck: [25:28] Now that's a good question and you could steer what users you get if your sophisticated in your in your customer acquisition efforts you can buy for Kate, your mobile customer acquisition efforts and give them a mobile experience and your desktop, customer acquisition efforts and give them a desktop experience and the N acknowledge that there's going to be migration across the two, but the primary way that someone comes in it's probably a good predictor and the economics as you know are different from Mobile in four. stop so I can just tell you that we play in both and we mark it to both and we get organic from both. And I think it's important to keep track of. [26:16] And obviously the mobile metrics for this industry let alone my company have are getting better all the time the screen is definitely smaller. So so it's it sometimes harder to get the message for a partner so that's part of the. Constructive tension that is there between what the consumer wants and what the partner wants, because they might want for Real Estate so all of that is a constructive tension and we make sure we have great products and both. Jason: [26:54] Yeah and that gives like a common challenge that the guests are seeing is you know. [27:01] Increasing percentage of their other user bases are are becoming predominantly mobile. [27:07] Which generally good thing you know people certainly happy happy to see that but. [27:13] It it does feel like in most cases it's slightly harder to monetize that mobile traffic so for eCommerce sites like the conversion rate in the HOV from mobile devices tends to be lower than desktop and as you mentioned in that in the advertising platforms there's just less. [27:28] Less pixels that can be ads and so you know it's time for us to monetize I think Mary Meeker in her deck even highlights that like. [27:37] The the one kind of advertising that sort of wagging consumer. [27:43] Eyeballs is mobile that there's sort of a gap between you know how many consumers are moving to Mobile and how many advertisers are moving a mobile site after I got the challenge we all have two faces. More bar users becoming more mobile and it being slightly harder to monetize those mobile users. Scot & Chuck: [27:59] Yeah it might be harder to monetize but I'm just speaking as a general industry trend, and but the retention or the time spent, on mobile is probably more so if you go back to the metric from early days in the internet of pageviews so I know is somebody irrelevant now that would be Alien video but time spent. [28:23] Could be more on mobile so if you're making less. In your example of advertising per page view you're getting many more page views. [28:34] On mobile because the customer likes the likes operating that way right it's their favorite way so. So I think in total. [28:46] The companies can make more money on mobile just for more usage even though they're making less per, moment were / transactor / / screen. Or Percy p.m. from something that is on a smaller pixelization. Jason: [29:08] Yeah I know that's a that's a great point because you know I think the worldwide Trend there's already more mobile more minutes being. More digital minutes are on mobile devices than on desktop devices and of course that's only going to grow because you got that mobile screen with you. [29:25] 24 hours a day and all those other screens are with you can serve we left so I that I got I think that's a great point I want to change. [29:33] Slightly to the topic of personalization because it strikes me, you guys get a very detailed view of your users over time so you see a lot of their shopping behavior and what their individual purchases are but you also see a lot of these other consumer Behavior you know when they're when they're using your games when they're watching your videos when they're taking your surveys all those sorts of things, that seems like a super valuable source of consumer Insight do you use that too. Change to the customer experience at all I might like will the the offers that I see when I come to your site be personalized based on my past Behavior or is that something you're thinking about. Scot & Chuck: [30:13] Certainly we know what people like and don't like, and where they tend to spend more time and there are many ways where we use that information to give a better experience to the consumer but we've got a long way to go. We've got a long way to go and most of our customers. I like bouncing around and and engaging in different channels on our on our site so. So that makes it in the increasing challenge because should I be showing you more sites to shop on that I think you would like or. Have I noticed you fill out a survey 2 days a week and I want to show you we've got. Some surveys I might be right up your alley based on the consumer products you've you've answered before so there's a real estate play. As there always has been and how much should be personalized horses how much is standard or that day's daily promo. That's an inherent tension that I think is healthy within an organization you might have some partner who needs. Need something, blast it out to as many people as possible in a day and then the question is do you show that to someone in it and have it override personalization and many times it does so, I don't want you to think that the whole world is fully personalized yet there's a lot of data we could help. [31:47] Give it a better experience but it hasn't taken fully over where where everything gets down to that level, Brickell describes what you feel this ecosystem and it's kind of has elements of a Marketplace as well and we kind of started Market places with traditional Market, places like the eBay marketplace now we have coyotes hybrids with Amazon which is retailer with a third-party Marketplace and then even you can Skype I think of uber and Airbnb is a Marketplace when I talk to people, adult marketplaces one of the interesting challenges is it's almost like buying your building 2, two businesses simultaneously and getting that right on the supply side of the demand side can be tricky is that been a challenge for you guys how do you guys think you think about yourself as a Marketplace. Well certainly I've I've been in Marketplace environments before cuz bizrate Shopzilla was a Marketplace and. And we have elements of that heater to where we do need to make sure demand and Supply can be evenly met as much as possible but. I will tell you this I've enjoyed being in businesses that don't have warehouses. I got nothing against warehouses I work with lots of companies that have them but the marketplace business, helps me focus on what I think we're good with and what we're good with his matching up the right consumer with the right products to be shopping for or or seeing on our site. [33:28] And therefore I don't have to worry as much about the distribution or the logistics of a warehouse nothing against that it's just, to your point a Marketplace still is very different it's getting the right traffic to the right place to meet the right demand. [33:47] What's what's the most surprising thing you guys have experienced as you maybe a product you would have never thought would be popular or any any interesting consumer insights you can share. [34:00] Well there a lot of deals that come on that do really well we have charity deals at do well or you could sponsor a different. Different things there we saw a lot of razors. Write Dollar Shave has been a nice partner of hours and and we're happy to see that that's always a lively one I think the the one of the pleasant surprises has been. The Innovation to keep coming one thing I've learned is you can't be static in any business for long. You know we're in jog here businesses so they change so quickly so if someone on my team as a great idea. Will often let them try it. [34:49] So that's how we launched swag IQ 3 months ago someone wanted to do trivia game we have our own spin on it we have our hose to come in in the afternoon now we're getting in the theme. Games we had a baseball game a couple nights ago for the first day of the NBA playoffs NBA Finals we had an NBA Finals trivia game which was pretty interesting and and. We will just keep growing we will keep innovating we will keep coming up with new areas are consumers tell us what they want to see they posted on Facebook they tell us directly. [35:28] The employees here, tell me what they want we use an outside firm to to capture all of the employee ideas and we review the Mineral Company meetings each quarter and I'd say close to half of them we end up unimplemented. So and if we don't get enough. We wonder why everyone has been submitted one per quarter cuz there's always things that could be better and having that philosophy I think is very important and having the openness to just keep trying keep. Keep tinkering keep launching new things while scaling and sticking to your mission and making sure you're true to it. Jason: [36:09] Very cool. [36:11] You know Chuck one of the things we always want to make sure we take advantage of when we have someone that that has a deep digital experience like yourself is kind of get your view of where you think it's all going like, do you do you have a clear idea what you think the future of e-commerce is or what what you know some of the big big trends. [36:31] To think about now are for the next 3 to 5 years. Scot & Chuck: [36:35] I think it's hard I think it's hard to really 10 it because it changes so often like I never knew scooters were going to be so big and in the last month I've learned that. [36:46] Bird the chest when just raise the rent, had a billion dollar valuation its 13th month and and things like that that are just out on the sidewalks of Santa Monica had no idea that these businesses got so big, so they're going to be a lot of new things that come up that none of us have ever thought of and I would say. [37:13] I backed the question up a different way if you were 22 and getting out of college today I would recommend if you were my kid you make sure you get into something. Along this digital Revolution this is a time where. Brick-and-mortar has been laid but we have no idea how tall this building is going to be or how wide it's going to be or where it's going and you want to be there to be in this industry to live it breathe it. And have a great journey cuz it is one fun way to go and it wasn't always this way in Prior Generations the grew up in. Went to factories in and lived in the world wasn't changing as quickly as it is today. Jason: [38:00] Chuck that is terrific advice and that's going to be a great place to leave it for this week because once again we've used up all our a lot of time but if folks have questions for for chukar want to learn more about Swagbucks, will will make sure we include that the company information in the show notes and will continue dialogue about the show on her Facebook page so you're welcome to go there if you have questions and as always if you enjoyed this episode we sure would appreciate that, five star review on iTunes. Scot & Chuck: [38:29] Chuck thanks for joining us if people are are you a Twitter or LinkedIn her or is there a certain way if you have business. You put them out there I think it's probably the best way to find me. Do you want to do that Chuck Davis protege. P r o d e g really really appreciate you taking time out of your busy day to share your thoughts with us and hope you have a great day. [38:57] Thank you guys thank Scott and Jason. Jason: [38:59] Until next time happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP134 - News and Mary Meeker Internet Trends 2018

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 6, 2018 50:11


Episode 134 is a recap of Mary Meekers "Internet Trends 2018" report, and the weeks news. Industry News Walmart Shareholder Meeting Walmart Launches JetBlack Ulta, Sears, Macys, Target report quarterly earnings Apple WWDC Mary Meeker, State of the Internet 2018 Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 134 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Monday, June 4th 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason:  [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 134 being recorded on Monday June 4th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scot Wingo. Scot:  [0:39] Hey Jason um welcome back Jason Scott show listeners Jason's been kind of a busy kickoff to Summer here and we talk tonight this week we would cover some e-commerce news. [0:56] Last time we talked about news there was the hot take on Adobe in Magento before we dig into that though and even more important question give me your spoiler-free review of Star Wars a solo story. Jason:  [1:11] Yeah well you know I took my wife to to the movie for our 5th wedding anniversary cuz I'm a very romantic guy. And we really liked it I I feel like I owe the new Star Wars movies I've really enjoyed this or the new stories so and Rotel more than a rogue one more than. [1:34] I I may be in the main trilogy. Scot:  [1:37] Awesome what is 5th year anniversary I always say it's paper to my wife to so I can avoid it. Jason:  [1:43] But yeah I I pretend everything is paper or dessert or cubic zirconia which apparently is not one of the anniversaries either. Scot:  [1:50] 10 tens another good one. They're on their give her some aluminum foil. Jason:  [1:55] When I pretend I'm taking her to Disney World for the the Star Wars Hotel. Scot:  [2:00] Nice. Jason:  [2:01] I'm just kidding we have to go probably sooner than 10. Scot:  [2:03] 10 m e t i n. Jason:  [2:05] Tell Tim I got it yes I like sorry I thought we were already planning my tent and a. Scot:  [2:10] Paper paper in Tempe. Jason:  [2:11] The odds of her being able to put up with me for 5 more years aren't you no not that impressive. Scot:  [2:16] I don't know the how about and then. Jason:  [2:20] Her or you for that matter. Scot:  [2:22] Yeah it's been a long 3 years her the trip reports and you covered a really cool conference around grocery tote us about. [2:36] What all is going on with the exciting grocery folks. Jason:  [2:38] So Royal Bank of Canada has as this event every year focused on all that investors that are falling that that category so I got to go do a keynote on how did you disrupting. Digital is disrupting grocery so that was a fun talk and they they pretended to laugh at my jokes which I always appreciate. And there are a ton of CEOs there so I got to sit in a briefing with the CEO of Kellogg and he had some pretty. [3:12] Pithy of comments that I think at some Traction in my Twitter feed he was kind of joking about how how these um. [3:22] Startups are awesome and they all go to a hundred million dollars and then pray to God to be acquired by someone like dog craft. [3:32] And the MPD did we cover their conference last year did pretty cool recap on the evolution of the grocery so there's a. [3:42] You know obviously groceries a big piece of consumer spending and getting jujuy disrupted by digital right now so lot of people are trying to figure out what the what the sort of ramifications of all that will be in place marpat. Scot:  [3:56] Pulling in your talk to you the whole curbside versus delivery and and all that. Jason:  [4:02] So you know what I actually was a little higher level I was talking about some of the. The main ways in which consumers purchase decision patterns are changing over all and it changed and other categories and how those apply to grocery so. I didn't get the Deep dive into the tactics of grocery pickup versus home delivery for these guys that'll maybe next year stock but the. Did talk a lot about her. People need more information to make purchase decisions and social proof in absolute value and transparency are becoming a much bigger deal and you know what retailers are doing that well and what retailer still has some work to do there. [4:45] And you know this sort of big big trend of Brands and retailers colliding and all the all the the. Retail are starting to look more like brands of the you know snap up all these products and acquire meal kits and watch all these organic, and I mean organic is in in home in in house new products that they did they're launching and that you know how all the brands are trying to figure out how to go direct to consumer. Scot:  [5:10] Brickell so let's jump into the news first of all just travel outline tonight without would cover, sometimes we put kind of what we call other news is kind of tidbits at the end and it always gets bumped so we thought we'd kind of reverse that so you get the delicious Tibbets first and then we're going to talk about Apple's conference and then what are the big events that Jason I both being beta Geeks get excited about is Mary Meeker had her 2018 deck out so we're going to wrap up the show and go over the Meeker deck, so that, being said what would jump into Walmart they had a shareholder meeting that was just one of those things that they they hold and it's not quite as big as Warren Buffett, pretty somewhere where thousands and thousands people go in and hear Walmart's annual report did you see any interesting news out of that. Jason:  [6:01] Yeah the other number to thinks it is that annual event that Walmart ahold usually a week or two after their their earnings. I report and also usually right after a board meeting and I'm heading may not have as many shareholders come to the meeting as one that's for Berkshire Hathaway but the other thing that Walmart does is they bring, thousands of Associates from all of all their various businesses all over the world and so the the sports arena where they hold the event is. [6:34] Way more friendly they usually get some dick music acts and an interesting and see. And you know they often have launched projects or talked about you know there their focuses and initiatives. [6:53] For the year so it's a good if you're Walmart follower it's a good thing to attend it's kind of a pain in the neck because it. Basically puts the small town of Bentonville in in Arkansas at capacity so I give you don't plan well in advance. You're likely staying at a hotel like pretty far away like maybe down in the college or something and. Hard. You don't get in a restaurant and all those sorts of things so I would I was actually pleased to follow this year's shareholder meeting from afar rather than attend in person as well as I have done none number times in the past. Scot:  [7:31] Call seems like the big thing that blew up is this jet black tell us more about that. Jason:  [7:37] So the rumors of this is are coming out a couple weeks before the shareholders meeting but they officially announced this new service. At the shareholders meeting called jet black and one of our glory is Lieutenant Jennifer Fleiss came out to. [7:54] To introduce that folks might recognize Jennifer. She runs the the I keep going store 9 and its taurate. The incubation lab for Walmart but she also is one of the original founders of Rent the Runway so has a lot of. Interesting bespoke apparel expertise. And jet black is a new concierge service that Walmart is piloting at the moment just in Manhattan and just for people that live in particular types of dwelling. So you have to live in a condo or an apartment building with a doorman. So the date they can use the Fulfillment methods that they have in mind and essentially what they're doing is there they're providing a. Personal shopper for everyone that's in this program you pay a monthly fee. I think they're experimenting with a couple different price points on the monthly fee it might be like 50 or $100 a month at the moment. [9:00] And essentially you can call or even send a SMS message and say hey I need a new outfit to wear for this party or I need a birthday present for a 4 year old girl. Or I need a very specific thing, and your your personal shopper will track all your preferences and past purchases and you don't either get the specific thing you asked for or. Or make a smart recommendation based on what what information you give in a mini cases Bill do same-day delivery so they'll, like you you can simply send a text message and have something show up at your door man when you come home from work for your building in New York so it's a very. High-touch data-driven model they're saying that they have some AI chatbots as part of the system but there's also a lot of human interaction and intervention. And it's a it's a huge. [10:01] Push for Walmart to try to learn how to capture these more affluent customers. They're really the only part of the US market you know that Walmart hasn't captured yet so, in Walmart owns a big swath of of the u.s. send you know the one the one demographic the date that they don't do particularly well in is. These affluent Shoppers in in Walmart doesn't have a store in New York City for example and so, watching this this service is interesting and it's semi branded jet which is also interesting right like it's not clear whether the jet in jet black is for the Walmart check brand or they just. Chose to pick a descriptive version of black to name the the product so that's going to be a little interesting and it's, you know it's going to be interesting to see if socialites in New York will will you know subscribe to this this high-touch Services provided by Walmart who they you know, with what historically look down their nose at. Scot:  [11:04] Yeah yeah there's several startups in this area that have raced pretty considerable Capital one's called I think Alfred it's two women that have done it and it's cut. It's got kind of maybe half product half concierge services kind of a thing so you can have, yeah. Only can you say hey I've got it I need a gift for this party I'm going to but please deliver it to this address which may be some services along with the items that they could be interesting to see how that goes. Jason:  [11:35] Yeah for sure and. You know a lot of the folks in my industry are super eager to try it out and so we've all applied you know for the closed Beta And so you know we all had to go and claim that we're housewives in New York. Scot:  [11:51] Funny when they show up in Chicago. Jason:  [11:56] Exactly. Scot:  [11:58] Other interesting retail news so a lot of retailers they have a combat off calendar q1 so they're just announcing their queue on but it's not January February March it's more February March April, that they were hearing about now some of the Ulta in Sears were interesting I found because it's kind of Tale of Two Cities this kind of. Bifurcation that that we hear a lot about. [12:20] Sears was kind of one side of that story and they're cops were down 12% year-over-year same-store sales were down 12%. Going to close another 70 store so they're kind of doing this kind of a shaving knock stores as they going to spiral around conversely, Ulta who we talked about on the show it is Crush their earnings and there's their comps were up pretty concerned and they're opening 34 stores, search this really interesting kind of changing the guard going on in retail, Mall based vs. Melt Mall based categories like Beauty doing well little lemon did well at least your and we continue these Trends we talked about on the show a lot, I continue to go on and a lot of them at the bifurcation another area that's doing really well is a wholesale clubs and dollar stores so that kind of value-oriented side of the equation is doing well also. Jason:  [13:14] Yeah yeah it for sure and then. I think Macy's also had their earnings and also was favorable so they think they there. They're the revenues up 3.6% and cops were at 3.9% and check me on this, but I think this was the second consecutive quarter of favorable comps for them after a very long streak of negative comps. Scot:  [13:42] Yeah yeah on our good friend how is over there and so I think he can take credit for about this cuz it happened on his watch always always good you know to to land somewhere and then have things turn around right when you do it so we'll give how all the current flow. Jason:  [13:56] For sure and they they. Do you have a bunch of initiatives that have gone live that that in some ways feel like they they at least partially have house fingerprints on them you know since. [14:09] Shoptalk they've been really touting this this pilot of mobile scan a self scan check out that they've been rapidly expanding to a bunch of stores I find that super interesting because on one hand I feel like it. [14:24] Saw the very real problem that that Choppers have with Macy's in fact I think they it's the number one report a complaint at Macy's is that you can't find. [14:33] A cart to check you out after you made your purchases. And so this is a sort of self-service thing where you pick your clothes you scanned them with your mobile app if they have security tags on them you you show. The digital receipt at the door and someone takes those tags off and you you get out of the store much faster. Minute parently Macy's Shoppers are really responding well to that service and it makes a lot of sense the one thing that's interesting as we've seen a few other retailers. Pilot it and then sort of step back a little bit so you know Walmart had a pretty significant test of. Mobile scan self checkout and they did it in both Sam's Club and Walmart and then they they rolled it out at Sam's Club and it seems like they turned it off at Walmart so I you know I think there was. [15:18] A different learning there and maybe it's at a different shopping dynamic. [15:22] I bet you know also are like turning up the heat on some of their their e-commerce fulfillment things today they did launch a new drop-ship program so they're expanding their. [15:34] Their catalog by listing more vendor product that they don't even carry themselves and having the vendor ship that stuff Direct. A lot of times for a retailer that's a baby step towards a true market place so if if this program successful for then maybe we'll see. See Macy's launch of marketplace down down the road they also, launch there buying on ship to store and in for lizards that don't track this carefully, that's a slightly different flavor than buy online pickup in-store so buy online pickup in-store means. The goods are already on the Shelf in the store customer orders online and then they go get in there you know someone pulls the one off the shelf and save it for him and they get that one, in buy online ship to store the goods are still coming out of the e-commerce fulfillment center but instead of sending the goods to the consumers home which is expensive they should the goods to the consumers near store in the consumer I can come and pick it up for free, it's a big win for the retailer cuz the delivery cost for my to lower and that customers going to walk in the store and potentially discover other things and so this, the boss or buy online ship to store program is a new thing at Macy's if that also has been one of the major initiatives at Walmart, over the last couple years and Macy says that they're going to rapidly scale all this program so so interesting digital stuff happening at Macy's. Scot:  [16:57] This is why not I thought you'd find interesting so Target had mixed results so on the positive side their foot traffic was up, over 3.7% year-over-year which is really good in the world of offline retail you know where you're going to look in it at 2 and 3% comps then they said e-commerce grew 28%, which is interesting and then we just had it wasn't Walmart in kind of 30% which footnote when all these things come out and always reminds me of this discussion we had on the show where. Everyone's growing 30% than who is not growing 30% why is e-commerce only growing 15-day 18%. What to save that discussion again for another day and get some Gaston to help us understand that. [17:42] Anyway but that was the positive side but then while she was expecting a buck, 39 on you. And it came in at a buck 32 so it's a pretty big mess on the bottom line in the management team essentially said look e-commerce grew faster than we were expecting and it's expensive and crowded are margins so they really blamed, the bottom line Miss on the the nice kind of hit on the e-commerce growing at 28% number so it kind of. Whenever that happens I kind of think of Amazon has a lot of retailers in this really tough. Lose lose situation where you know you lose if you don't grow your eCommerce then if you do Gregory Commerce City but I was going to Crater and Amazon has kind of figured out how to do that way more efficiently than these folks that I've invested all there. Best looking into the store infrastructure but catching up on these things but Amazon's got a nice kind of you have 15-year lead so interesting kind of a reminder of that trap that I think Amazon has retailers in. Jason:  [18:45] Yeah and you know potentially this is just the new normal and Retail is obviously we're going to continue to see if shift in the sales mix to online sales and you know inherently from a retailer those those sales are less profitable so there's more pressure on margins than ever before, and you know, if you're if you're just expecting you know that they're eventually going to get back to that same margin level that they were at pre-digital that that might be unrealistic expectation. Scot:  [19:15] Yeah absolutely pivoting to the other recent event you know usually in the world of keep them this is, pretty exciting but it's kind of mediocre out here today so today Apple kicked off their what do I worldwide developers conference creatively called WWDC and, Prime most interesting thing it and there's there's new versions of all the operating systems coming out it really kind of it there's a theme for this when I think it was less positive fix bunch of stuff so so apples been inviting a lot. And it's crowded just got a lot of dangling threads and things that aren't kind of a hundred percent so looks like. This kind of generation for the next 6 months is going to be kind of you know some consistency so for example I always have trouble going between my phone and my iPad cuz the you is totally different cuz I have a 10 and it's different than the operating system on the iPad. [20:08] They're going to raid a lot more of the stuff on the Mac Etc by the most interesting part of the day I thought was Wall Street reacted very positively to Apple. [20:18] And you know we talked about on the show little bit there's kind of interesting race to see which of the the. The Horseman of the internet are going to be the first $20 company in a big boom it was made today is Apple went up 5 to 6% so where it stands as of today which is recording this is June 4th after the market closed. Apple is got a pretty considerable lead at 942 billion so really kind of 58 billion away which seem 58 million billion away from a trillion. Seems like a lot but when you kind of think about percentage is another kind of 6% move on Apple and you'll be there so that's going to be interesting to watch. Amazon if you've been keeping track Amazon used to be dead last now there in 800 and 8 billion in Amazon is also doing very well but not quite keeping Pace with apple and then Google has done quite well and they're sitting at about 8. Switching with Amazon back and forth depending on how the stocks do then Microsoft at 781 the real laggard who was in the race is really kind of falling off is Facebook at 560 billion. [21:25] So yeah it's pretty interesting I think. [21:28] Think will happen is it's hard to tell who's going at their first right now you would kind of call Apple getting their first but I think we're going to see a scenario where we have like. You know 3 or 4 trillion dollar companies so it's it's not going to be kind of the trillion-dollar company I think I think some of these companies that have built these massive platforms that are just soaking up. Dollars across all these categories are are going to be each of them will be joined our company's so it could be we'll keep people posted on that. [21:55] The three some things interesting obviously they're coming on there a lot of scrutiny and Regulatory concern and things for him going on there. Apple really sue a lot of shade at them in the WWE. DC so some of the features coming out although they don't specifically talk about Facebook there things for you know. [22:16] Making you look even more Anonymous than ever and specifically getting away around some of the ways Facebook tries to fingerprint you as a user that was interesting perhaps the most interesting is there any missing some features that allow you to, manage the amount of time you're using your devices and the time of day and things of that nature and then also a fair amount new features around that same topic around children so you can kind of say hey I'm going to let my kids have 30 minutes on their device, after school so they can call me and be in touch but then that's it I'm not going to let them. I'm going to lock them out of the device between you know that the school hours and then in the evenings as well so. [22:59] It's interesting to see if that any of that will will cause kind of the reduction in online time, your people are kind of addicted to these social media use cases primary Facebook's family up of apps so those were some of the interesting kind of high-level things I saw out of the conference, what did you say it was interesting. Jason:  [23:18] Yeah so I think you hit it right like it. I don't think they were huge Commerce Centric announcements at the show I think they Lowered Expectations for the show coming in by saying hey. Probably not going to launch a lot of major new stuff we're going to you know we have a significant focus on fixing a lot of the stuff we've already made. But they did announce an upgrade to their augmented reality stack so what they call a Arquette they they announce 2.0 which has Richard features. We talked several times about how. They are probably has a lot more application in VR does for for shopping in the in the near-term and. [24:01] Historically it's required a lot of horsepower in a lot of special software. To do decent AR on phones and now you know Apple and Google are both making it much more ubiquitous in much easier to code. SAR Kit 2.0 can be interesting one of the date Apple literally has a new app coming out with a arcade 2.0 called measure which is sort of a using your your camera as a. Surprisingly accurate ruler to be able to measure dimensions of rooms and things like that. And we talked a number X about out you know how these cameras get better at measuring things. That can apply to a whole bunch of Commerce use cases of fitment for clothes and visualisations and fitment for furniture and housewares and all these sorts of things. Become much more more possible as as these capabilities expand there were no Hardware announcements at the show but there's a lot of rumors that the next iPhone. Will have a triple camera on it and that third camera being a depth sensor and so. You know there already is a really sophisticated depth sensor on the front of the camera for measuring your face. Did they put a sophisticated temp sensor on the back of that next phone that could really open the doors to some interesting. Apparel fit man and Maid to Order apparel over the phone and all sorts of think so. So what Cantina watch that closely they did announce a potential very scary new feature for Safari so this is going back to the the Privacy stuff that you talked about that they're adding. [25:37] The ability to block third-party cookies in Safari and so you like. It is probably a good thing for users but it breaks an awful lot of the internet like almost all the news sites you can rely heavily on all these third-party cookies from all these contents indicator is an ad. I platforms and things and and if if all of these Publishers have to adapt to a world in which third-party cookies don't work. That's going to be a pretty big paradigm shift. Inform me then like the like this is a double DIN for apple apple gets to say we care about users privacy and we're eliminating you know evil advertisers ability to track US. [26:19] But when the the content sites that are. Time are we making money by selling ads around free content they give you when they lose the ability to monetize their content through these add platforms. It actually forces them onto Apple news and Google news as their only source of monetization for their their content so you know Apple announced the new version of their. Their news platform at the same time they're making it harder for these these news Publishers 2. To monetize their own content so so you know you can look at that as a coincidence or nefarious plan. [26:58] This is already in Safari but I just want to highlight for folks that you know recent updates of to Safari added the ability for Apple to finally support Progressive web apps. They been in the Google browser for a while and this. People not talking about this is enough this is a huge Paradigm change for how to do mobile you can do way better mobile e-commerce sites using the pwa. What are called Progressive web apps then you then you can using traditional mobile websites and certainly. Better play for most retailers than doing mobile apps and now that you can do one code base and have it work on most of the Google and Apple devices. Every retailer really should be redoing their mobile right now and interesting Lee not very many are and you know, my my hypothesis is that part of the problem is that all these retailers have mobile fatigue that they, you know in the last year they just want the responsive site and they felt like that meant they were done at mobile, and now no one wants to talk about redoing their mobile again to support all these new mobile standards like Progressive web apps and accelerated mobile pages and leveraging this these new payment Technologies like the payment request API, these are all best practices that make a huge difference in in Mobile, so it's going to be interesting. To see how that that all plays out did you see any other cool stuff at the at the Apple conference that's worth noting. Scot:  [28:31] The other at the keynote there was kind of two that had a little bit of a Commerce flavor and they were are within the augmented reality World which which we we talked a lot about on the show, side note we do have a deep dive into a rvr that, you should check out if any of this sounds interesting to you so one of things they did is they had a group of folks from Lego there and they had a table with, I just one of these little village kind of sets you know where they do kind of get you to buy one and then you can buy a multiple Village so they had this kind of apartment building set, I didn't they could look through their iPads and they could do some really cool stuff that could go inside of that apartment building set virtually and See Kai animated Lego. People living and doing things in there and then they kind of pull out other sets and look at how they would look next that set then there was a lot of animated. Play around there so the building could catch on fire and then someone could have the little Lego fire people come out in a Lego helicopter and does really interesting cuz you could, many people can have a shared 3D experience and then you know so you could imagine. [29:41] Husband wife in a designer having a shared 3D experience in a house. Planning where Furniture would go or the redesign of a kitchen and those kinds of things and then the other one that had e-commerce implications was Fender the Guitar Company, at least actually showed this is kind of interesting example where they went to the website and designed a guitar. And then they press the button and there's this new way of communicating these models that button than kind of. [30:11] Creator 3D model put it into the AR kit and you can kind of like then see a 3D version of the guitar that was designed then they Presta and that was kind of in just kind of a white space you can kind of spin it and see it, which is a terribly new for the world e-commerce and you could actually see it kind of like. Sitting I don't know why you want to do some guitar kind of sitting on its stand and and you can even kind of like you know Vision it in your environment so. These 3D models are starting to get kind of more transportable between experiences which is interesting and they announce the new new model. Sweet file format for this that seems like a relatively big deal and you know it may have e-commerce implications cuz I do hear from eCommerce folks you know. Everyone's out there creating these 3D models and there's a lot of duplication of effort so at some point. If you're a brand you made that may just be part of the digital package you give to somebody is an AR model that everyone can kind of consumed versus. Oh I have to. [31:12] At maybe house needs one in the Ikea needs another and I don't know the Wayfair app needs another or they're all creating on a duplicating work so soon. Scot a nursing implications out there for a our shopping for for what that's worth is probably many years out still. Jason:  [31:30] For sure but I think it exactly mirrors like the early days of e-commerce if you want any conversate you you hired your own photographer and took pictures of all the products you are selling because, the manufacturer wasn't used to giving you digital, versions of all their photos in overtime like we do all these pretty robust system is where you know manufacturers now syndicated a lot of digital content to e-commerce sites to help them merchandise products and I think you're exactly right you know that, the early a are examples that the retailer all recreated 3D models of the manufacturer's products which you know is expensive for the retailers in, oh by the way may or may not have been an accurate representation of the manufacturer's product until I think over time you'll see, that syndicating that 3D data just you know being another another attribute that a manufacturer has to provide to a retailer when they sell a product. Scot:  [32:25] Yeah and then last will note the the one thing that as I was reading a summary of all the changes coming. get me the most excited is I probably like you I am double authenticated on everything I do so probably 4 or 5 times a day I have to send myself a code and take that code and type it into a variety of, different devices they're coming out with a new feature in across the operating system family called security code autofill so if you generator code to your phone and you need to go type that in over on your desktop if you're in the Apple ecosystem and you have the messages and all wired up it'll say, when you going to tap in that code it'll say should I just use that code that came from this message you got about 5 seconds ago so that made me very excited I think that's going to. Save Me by 40 hours a year and typing coats and remembering all the seven digits over and over and over again. Jason:  [33:19] Yeah for sure I'm definitely looking forward to that to multi-factor authentication is super important and everyone should be using it and it's kind of a pain in the neck at the moment so, so reducing some of that friction is I'm all for it so we wanted to use the last bit of time on Today Show to talk about, part of the recode conference or code Commerce conference is it's called us it is a Big Show at in California every year put on by our friends at recode and Kara Swisher, and they get really Marquis keynote speakers every year and some of them have been very commercentre so I think 2 years ago Jeff Bezos was there and made some significant news, this year there were not a lot of. Connor speakers that are super excited about I think the big Keynotes were like the CEO of uber and CEO Spotify and Airbnb, I know Katrina Lake had a little presentation who's the founder of Stitch fix but to me the big presentation, did they have every year that always has some relevance to digital Commerce is one of the partners at the Kleiner Perkins on Mary Meeker does this annual, presentation called the state of the internet which is a super data-driven deep dive into the the major Global Trends in digital and so this year. [34:51] She did that presentation again and and what was the count was it like three hundred two hundred and something. Scot:  [34:57] 300 yeah right at 300. Jason:  [34:59] Yeah yeah almost 300 slides so for me that that's about how many sides I prepare for a 15 minute presentation. Scot:  [35:06] Yes Jason I have gone to those slides in want to kind of boil it down to 15 minutes that matters to you guys, it may be handy will put a link to the PDF in the show notes so that you kind of like the zip to the slide numbers that that we reference as we go through this is kind of the takeaways we got from the e-commerce section so it's a macro trends. Pretty much what I call, Steady As She Goes the some of the things from the macro Trends section the growth of the internet is slowing people are spending only 5.9 hours a day online that growth is kind of really slow down, a lot of the growth kind of interior there is in messaging and video she referenced which is this platform which is streaming gaming that it's really up into the right. Jason:  [35:55] Natasha Lyonne by Emma. [35:59] Don't I just spoke over you but exactly is owned by Amazon. Scot:  [36:03] Yes yes exactly. [36:04] And then kind of the new thing this year is because of the you know the amount of internet time and and the companies that we talked about just a Min ago there is increased government scrutiny of course which creates this kind of. Interesting Paradox that increasingly the the you know the displacement of the internet need more and more data from you to have these great personalized experiences. But you know, regulatory perspective are you really clear the date of your giving up how it's being used to his thing shared with so you know she kind of. Pretty easily predicted that's going to be an ongoing challenge for everybody Facebook's kind of squirrely kind of caught up in that right now but I don't see how anyone is really immune from it. When they're singing areas I thought was. [36:51] Investing in Tech in this kind of thing is at the highest ever over the 20 years they've been tracking it here in 2018 and that's both. That's that's kind of venture capital if you will set private company investing at the same time when you look at public companies they're spending more on R&D than ever has been spent a slide 40 is interesting and it does show. Amazon at the top there some people that really track this will know to that Amazon does put some of the acquisition of regional content in their R&D budget so. I may not be quite as big and scary but I think it's only like two billion of that is original content so it still keeps them at number one in the R&D spending public company R&D spending is up 18% year-over-year so when you had those two things together. If you thought the piece of Animation was going to slow down you're probably incorrect cuz if dollars are the the leading harbinger of innovation which I do think is true both public companies and private companies have, getting larger and larger investment than ever. Before I'm even at our scale percentage-wise it's a very large number so new slow down on Innovation even though the internet growth is slowing. [38:04] And then from there. Jason the e-commerce section really kind of kicks off on page 44 I thought you know last year there's a lot around ads in the ad ecosystem and I thought this year we got it. Well it's not worth shattering who got more kind of of the Meeker deck was on e-commerce so is that would cover each of our car highlights here Jason what were some of the takeaways for you in that section. Jason:  [38:28] Yeah yeah and I'd start out by saying like I really look forward to this presentation every year in in in every year in the past, there been in major insightful takeaways that were like major nutrients I hadn't really thought of that were super valuable to think of and so, looking for that again this year and I have to say this year felt a lot more interested to me was a lot more Hades trans we talked about in the past or accelerating these Trends we've been talking about for a long time or decelerating, I didn't have as many like aha moments as I have in the past and maybe that's just sort of the price you pay for this being the fifth or sixth time she's done this. But that being said I agree I think she did a deeper dive in Commerce she kind of talked about a lot of Commerce trends that would be old hats at to folks that listen to the show in terms of. You know 14% of 14% eCommerce growth in US 16% world. The cheese is some really low numbers but like I think she has about 8% of all. Retail sales being e-commerce now internet that's again the broadest definition of retail that includes I'd gas and things like that. But then the big things are interesting to me, she really focused on this this trend of personalization and everyone talks about personalization but she really excited as evidence for the fact that people are willing to trade. [40:01] Privacy for personalization even in this it is crazy privacy climate. She's highlighting services like Waze and Uber and snap. And even next door which is kind of interesting service where people are willing to give a lot of Geo located data in exchange for this personalized experience and so she showed the rapid growth of all these sort of. [40:27] Services that she defined is highly personalized services. I thought that was interesting in the e-commerce delivery section she she talked a lot about the limited growth of a UPS FedEx in the US Post Office and Anna as we talked about a bunch of times on this show. There's a huge gap in the the growth and knows those carriers ability to deliver packages and the 30% e-commerce growth that everyone is claiming they're having. So that you know that certainly is going to be a recurring theme we're going to hear about. And in the past she talked. She talks a lot about ads digital ads in general this time she talk kind of specifically about Commerce ads, and she's talking about how these ads that have a conference call to action or emerging is one of the most effective formats of digital ads so she talks about. Google Play is having three times the engagement is there another advertising platforms. She talked about you know the Facebook's continued traction and then cheat you know how I did that Amazon is emerged as a. A true huge advertising platform in that you interview they have a 4 billion dollar run rate they're growing 42% year-over-year. The you know I thought that was pretty interesting she talked a lot about the adoption of subscriptions Commerce and how the subscription services are growing so she with you. [41:59] Amazon Prime as a as a key Tampa subscription obviously but also. Netflix and Spotify and Dropbox and Stitch fix and Peloton and how these things are all going up into the right. 88 Ranch she talked about a number of times that she hit again this year is her version of the mobile gap which is sort of. And advertising look at the mobile Gap that essentially advertisers disproportionately spend on every other. Platform compared to his percentage of audience consumption. [42:32] Advertisers are still dramatically under spending on mobile advertising compared to audience consumption of mobile and so she thinks there's about a 7 billion dollar opportunity there and adds shifting to mobile being the. The platform. And then when she got out of the Commerce section the other the last thing also to highlight that there was really interesting to me we've talked about the bifurcation. Spending power a lot on the show and certainly Casey well and buys been on a couple times who's done a lot of thought leadership in that. [43:05] That's based she had some pretty detailed data that. You know despite the fact that there's a lot of economic indicators that are really growing household debt is it highest level ever, and she shows this really scary chart it says so I had 103 wear in 1968 the. Ratio of debt to income and the amount of personal savings that people had were both similar things right and. Debt to income ratio is a bad thing in personal savings is a good thing if you're talking about a family's Financial Health. And from 1968 till today those two Transit been going in opposite directions were saving less every year than we did the year before and our debt-to-income ratio is getting higher every year than the year before and so we're opening up this huge gap in. You know families being over leveraged and not having a lot of savings. And she highlights that part of the reason for that is healthcare insurance costs and housing costs are going way up and people are having to spend more of their budget on those things. Which subsequently means people are spending Less on food entertainment and apparel. And we talked a lot about people spending Less on apparel but it's kind of interesting she's highlighting data that you know people are spending Less on entertainment experiences and food. And you know compared to some of the hard Goods we said hey. Experiences in in food are doing better but she's highlighting that like in reality I like all of those the spending categories are challenged as people are having to spend more of their. [44:45] Their wallet to pay back their college loans in their health care and I guess the last part of the bifurcation was interesting to me as a she talked about, this decision Walmart made back in 1990 to get in the grocery and how they pretty quickly became the largest Grocer in the US, and that one of the big impacts of that is that grocery prices have gone down every year from 1990 to today and so today, food costs are are you permanently and substantially down from 1990 and that's that's a row did every Grocers ability to make margins and and you know we talked earlier on the show and we think digital, has the potential to do that to a lot a lot of other categories as well. Scot:  [45:31] Free cool so quickly some of the things I wanted to just point out to listeners from the deck that just kind of be aware of onside 50 she has kind of a look at some of the different, Tools around e-commerce and where the the current state of the art isn't it kind of has a framework for looking at the online store platform the payment platform fraud prevention prevention. [45:51] Purchase financing customer support Discovery process and then the delivery process so, weird order there I usually put kind of like Discovery at the top and Delivery at the bottom what not but but. The guy interesting to highlight those things have a fun chart on 63 where she shows kind of the evolution of finding products, where are you kind of have the old school to search box and then here we are today with voice search kind of Married With fulfillment, using Amazon is example and then using Google as an example, showing again that same kind of growth from simple organic search kind of. Google connect me to. Is that like 1997 car time frame all the way to the current shopping options actions where everything is really kind of integrated and you can buy right from the platform. [46:42] You know what. [46:45] The Firm she works where has really big China group and they always chime in on here and I always find there's this really good insights China's ahead of us as far as penetration and growth of e-commerce is well as mobile so. They're stuffing some insights there I think sometimes we ever read those here in the US so I think a lot of the rush to kind of copy the you know the messaging and the Commerce within messaging is. Is probably not going to take off cuz it's kind of pretty unique to that that environment that ecosystem in China. That being said there are some really interesting things there's a couple I wanted to point out, I'm number one is Alibaba is on a really big they talked about this there see you I was at the conference as well they've invested a lot in these stores called him a human they call it dope lusso which is online plus offline, which is kind of their version the kind of version of omni-channel if you will but it's much more of like. Shops in those kinds of things so it's kind of like a Next Generation retail so you can see their. What airlines I found interesting is some of the top apps in the US are these entertainment apps like HQ trivia most commonly abbreviated HQ, in China this really cool apps that have kind of married entertainment shopping and of course Ali Baba does this round singles day but there's more of that are kind of doing it, when I found really interesting to talk about your ended a lot of research on it this was a concept it's kind of invite. [48:12] The 2000 time frame a lot of companies try this e-commerce it didn't work in those called group buying where they would say hey I've got this widget and if you can get a hundred people to buy it I'll lower the price. The problem that is in those time frames we didn't have the platforms for telling a hundred of our friends very quickly but now has social media we do. [48:31] Chili's discount Next Generation platforms are tied into messaging and social media and whatnot and the Really geared towards and sending the consumer to share to get a discount. [48:40] The one on site 86 that she talked about is called pin duo duo and now I'd encourage listeners don't have time to go into it but I think that's really interesting concept and, could be used for a way to do liquidation and Sky really. To be like the next flash-sale kind of a model so I thought that was interesting, and yep. That kind of were some of the highlights I wanted to point out for folks and you know if that stuff is interesting to you let us know on her Facebook page and we can kind of dig into some of the area's deeper on one of the feature shows. Jason:  [49:14] Yeah yeah we do have to do a deep diver that makes sense on any of this specific areas it's, super dense deck and said there's you know a lot of potential things to take away, but that's probably a great place to leave it for this week because it's happen again we've used all of our a lot of time again there there is further conversation we love to hear from you on Facebook again if this was valuable episode for you we sure appreciate it if you jump over to iTunes and give us that 5-star review to that that feedback is what keeps us going. Scot:  [49:47] Thanks everyone for joining us and have a great week. Jason:  [49:50] Until next time happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP133 - Hot Take: Adobe acquires Magento

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later May 22, 2018 26:35


EP133 - Hot Take: Adobe acquires Magento  Adobe announced that they are acquiring Magento commerce for $1.68b.  It was disclosed as part of the deal that last year magento’s revenues were $150m, so that’s a 11X multiple which is pretty awesome.  Adobe’s largest deal in decade. Adobe announcement Magento Blog Mark Lavelle, CEO, and Peter Sheldon VP Strategy at Magento Commerce were on Episode 50 of the Jason & Scot Show. Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 133 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Monday, May 21st 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 133 being recorded on Monday May 21st 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your hoes Scott Wingo. Scot: [0:39] Hey Jason are welcome back Jason Scott show listeners this is one of those unusual times. You're actually recording back-to-back shows and Publishing them simultaneously that's because we had previously planned put out our. NPD idea show recap which you should be able to find right there in your favorite podcast listener, device select / technology, and then the universe was curveball there was a big announcement after the market today and that announcement was that a Doe B is acquiring which into Commerce for 1.6. Billion dollars that's billion with a B it was. Disclosed as part of the deal that last year magenta revenues were a hundred fifty million that's already some analysts notes that are saying they would expect that to be about 180 million this year that's 11% multiple witches. Pretty awesome for Magento and also adobe's largest deal in over a decade. So what we're going to do here is a pretty short show because it is very timely and, just got to get share some background on these two companies and their aspirations and some of the things that have happened to them before and then. Jason is our resident. [1:58] E-commerce platform Guru I'm going to send him some lightning around rapid fire questions to kind of get some analysis what that means for both Adobe Magento and then some other. [2:11] Books out there so we can kick it off with a brief history of Magento. [2:16] And I'll cover that and then Jason oil run you run us through adobe's e-commerce history. So would you do was born in 2007 it's an open source project which means you have this collaboration of people, they got together and there was a commercial company and Roy Rubin and you've cut his eyes at you. Jason: [2:38] Aren't you don't know a Metroid but I never met you oh so I'm going to assume that's you got a ride. Scot: [2:46] Listening you can write in and I would have better phonetic. We have six new they released this isn't what they were planning on doing was taking a. You know I previously open sourcing in making improvements but they did so much changes they came up with the whole new offering and so. That started as a community project and then they monetize it to an Enterprise offering that initially just had some support and then later on had, kind of different feature set than the community offering Bob Schwartz join in 2009 he is a guy that I think pretty much everyone in the world e-commerce is met several times he still out and about, a great guy has enterprise software background really ramped them up and. Jason: [3:27] Side note is a Jason and Scott show Wisner as well so shut out to Bob and Bob used to run e-commerce at Nordstrom. Scot: [3:34] Hey Bob Hope you had still had some more options in here somewhere I'm not sure if that's possible but hopefully did he so then they sold Magento to eBay for $180 which was a great eggs. Because we didn't raise a ton of capital of my recollection is maybe 20 to 30 million. [3:53] Pair to today's companies you know, 6 x 2 money raised so that was good eggs. Jason: [3:58] And by the way I think a bunch of that raise was from eBay. Scot: [4:03] Yeah yeah eBay wasn't investor through the PayPal site but they. A combined company at that point and it's part of that deal they got PayPal integrative Magento that was kind of what they were after there, oxa 2011 eBay acquired the whole entity and owned it until 2015 eBay had bought both GSI and Magento and then, put them out in 2015 along with the PayPal split so eBay sold the Magento asset to a private Equity Firm called permira. And that was for about 200 million so kind of sideways kind of a deal I don't know the specifics that I've heard mentioned took kind of went sideways while I was in the in the eBay ownership Cyril the key people left. [4:48] Then once it was free from eBay in 2017 the private Equity Firm raise an additional 250 million from a large Chinese investor called Hillhouse capital. And. We actually had the CEO of Mark Lavelle here on episode 50 of the Jason Scott show so that was exciting to have him on a side note we do have a 10% finders fee so when there's an exit, I at we and you put on the show we would like a 10% finders fee it's just a small thing of it is like that it's just a very small thank you to the podcast doomed. Look at you that exit it's hard to nail down exactly how big Magento is because unlike a sass platform you no one there. Publishing the source code out there they don't have many people are licensing dinner price version they don't really know how many people are using the Community Edition. There are companies that spider the web and they'll kind of show tell you there's this many websites that they don't know how big they are from a sales perspective so it is hard to know how many active users there are over gento. I've seen kind of numbers in the 300,000 range for both Community Enterprise I think Enterprises in the low thousands so like 1 to 3000. And that is a brief history of magenta. Jason: [6:09] Yep and I just one other side note on how hard it is to know what size they are like also because it's it can be at one time. License or or download a free version like you don't know where there's someone that that got your software is still using your software a year later and so there's actually a lot of sort of. Orphan sites out there that might still be turned on but aren't actively selling stuff that are running running Magento so it makes it even harder to know how many how many active sites you know with meaningful volume Iran on the planet. Scot: [6:41] Yeah a lot of times you'll see this announcement you know like he was Pottery Barn Pottery Barn. That's a huge win the you dig around you look around and they find it's like. The kids furniture couch category in Australia. So it's really tricky. These things can pretty seamlessly be integrated with each other and and you'll find a lot of times, I see Magento used by larger players as a cross-border trade kind of thing of increasingly that's going over to different platforms like Shopify because just the ease of use of spending those up is a lot lower than the on the SAS guys can spend up a new store pretty quickly compared to the open-source guns. Jason: [7:25] Yep for sure Magento for some smaller Brands it's their primary platform but for many bigger Brands it's a. A utility platform that use for particular use cases in and you know smaller markets would definitely be one of those, I was in a side note it's mainly an on-premise solution but there have been a couple efforts over the history of Magento to sell it is SAS so I think even during the eBay ear or maybe right after that you bet your other was this product Magento go, that was sort of intended to be a low in SAS solution that might have competed more directly it was low but now Shopify. But yeah it's you know it's it's a mix of of implementation patterns for for Magento and as we talked about with Mark. [8:15] The bulk of users are on this first generation platform that the Troy and you are put together magenta one when Mark was on the show they had just released a major, re architecture Magento this called Magento to but you know obviously. He a significant number of those the small clients did not immediately move over to to Magento 2 and so you know there's. When you're talking about the Magento installed base right you know one of the questions that you're you want to know is like what percentage of the users are even on the the current. [8:49] The newest iteration of the platform review off. Scot: [8:54] Yeah so then why would a Dobby care about this day how's the Titan with Photoshop. Jason: [9:00] Adobe has a very popular product that we are all from there with Call of the Adobe Creative Suite which is like a Photoshop and Premiere and the the audio editing software we use for this podcast called in addition, but they have another Suite of products that they call the Adobe experience cloud. And this is a sweet of sort of Enterprise products that are used to host a lot of commercial websites so the. To my way of thinking the disorder, Cornerstone of the experience cloud is Adobe AEM which is there big CMS I think it's the most popular most successful CMS in the world it hosts, tons of Big Brand websites like Mercedes-Benz and all these different. Brands that you don't have non transactional websites would use Adobe AEM it's hosted SAS solution for for those kinds of. [10:01] Use cases you actually can also buying on on Prime version of am still but then there's a bunch of other app. Pieces of the experience Cloud that are pure SASS and so the one that comes up the most often in the Commerce world is. A product they bought a number of years ago called omniture which is a web analytics platform that competes with like Google Analytics. That's been rebranded Adobe analytics over the years and it's a very popular e-commerce analytics sweet that used by a lot of commercial websites we've had Tamara on number of times, change some of the data from. From that platform and they have a bunch of other e-commerce tools that they bought ATM was originally from a company called a software. They bought an image technology called seeing seven that that a lot of website you use to resize images on the Fly four different sides. They now have a other marketing tools I got DMP campaign manager. [11:09] Sort of a next-generation ESP personalization engine they have a a b testing platform that used to be called the Adobe test and Target. Insa Dave Dave sort of in the same way that they put together all of their their creative software for end-users together. [11:27] They put this whole sweet of Enterprise packages together that are used by big companies to host websites and the one big glaring hole in that sweet is an increasing number of those, does companies that are relying on the Adobe experience stack to create their web experience. Want to sell stuff online and Adobe did not have an e-commerce platform so you know what Adobe historically has had is a. Integration framework to let you use the Adobe experience sweet alongside someone else's e-commerce platform like. [12:02] IBM Oracle sap or Magento elasta path and I think digital River or the big ones. So for a long time we suspected that adobe did want to own a platform. You know obviously I mention IBM has has their their big platform and they're trying to grow out a full marketing Suite to compete with the Adobe experience platform. Oracle you know bought a number of companies and is put together a marketing Suite that competes with Adobe in or colognes. Several e-commerce platforms but I think the the one we think of most for e-commerce is used to be called atg. [12:43] And then back in 2013 sap bot hybris. A lot of people were using hybris and Adobe together at that time and they were you know they were rumors that adobe was one of the. The bitters on hybris and lost out to sap in 2013 I'm not sure that deal size was disclosed but like all the estimates were over a billion dollars back then. Then we know in June of 2016 like the most successful. SAS base in a B2B Cloud out there salesforce.com bought demandware and I think that was 2.8 billion dollars. And I think it was fully disclosed that adobe was one of the bidders. Fordham and where and so we seen Adobe out there trying to acquire a Commerce platform and seems like today's the day they got it done. Scot: [13:37] Cool so that gives us the background let's do kind of a little lightning around here what's this mean for Adobe so they've got this content peas that got this experience Cloud why, yeah you know why does Adobe need an e-commerce platform. Jason: [13:54] Hot tub, again like most of the brands that are hosting websites on AEM and that are tracking analytics on Adobe Analytics. [14:05] Either already are selling Goods or want to sell goods and so historically adobe's had to partner with someone that provided an e-commerce platform and the functionality of that e-commerce platform competed with the functionality of the Adobe experience Cloud so. Adobe would want you to save the data and they experience the customer data in the experience cloud and I would want you to say the customer data. And in Webster Commerce and promotion engines and all these different things and so. [14:34] Now Adobe has the potential to have a seamless solution that allows all these brands that are hosting websites on AEM to sell Goods, and you know they can have a very homogeneous solution that shares data across all these these different pieces of the solution. Scot: [14:54] Got it, and then so most of the Magento customers are kind of SM he's so small medium size Enterprises it sounds like the Adobe customer service trying to make transactional you mention Mercedes-Benz that's obviously you know very large company. Probably I don't know how big this Adobe content management thing is but it's probably pretty expensive so it feels like adobe's going to want to take Magento upmarket does that is going to create a problem for existing users. Jason: [15:22] Potentially you registered it on paper this is not a perfect match up right it's a well-known popular e-commerce platform and a well-known popular experience platform so that you know that superficial level it makes sense, but the, right below that you're exactly right like the the bulk of the Magento customers are long tail smbs or you know mid-market at best and that the core Adobe customer is an Enterprise client you know there are you likely spent several million dollars on their implementation of the rest of the the, the Adobe experience Cloud Adobe is a pierce a solution, you know it the moment you know most of the magenta stuff is not sass add Adobe stack is mostly based on Java the Magento stack is based on on lamp or PHP so, like they're they're definitely going to be some, some challenges I got you know it's super early I haven't seen a Doe B come out with the message yet but hopefully in the in the next you know several days they should really put out a message to put the Magento customer base at ease, because if I was in Magento customer I might be nervous that adobe is going to move them up Market going to want to move it to a SAS illusion, and a lot of in a small businesses pick magenta because they could own it they could, you know customize it and have access to the code themselves and they could host it themselves and so you know I think, on the one hand I'm sure those customers are excited that there's some deeper pockets and you know potential for bigger Investments to kind of accelerate the Magento road map. [17:01] But you could also imagine that the Adobe is going to shift the Magento roadmap in a way that isn't particularly advantageous to a lot of those SM Beats. Scot: [17:11] Cool so another Domino has fallen or I like the musical chair metaphor so so now we've got to know the Discover the marriage here between Magento in Adobe one of the companies that's kind of always mentioned that doesn't have any Commerce platform now on the large software Cloud side, is Microsoft you can make a stretch and say. Google does Charlie have one you can even straight to say Amazon doesn't have one but but Amazon was in that business and kind of got out of it I think they pretty squirrely believe though. [17:44] The marketplace is coming to the Future there I guess eBay doesn't have one but they don't wanted and didn't really suggest it very well so it's a. Now that's that's one side of the equation then you have Shopify and Bigcommerce shopify's a public company with about a 20 billion market cap. That's a really big bite for someone to take there and then Bigcommerce is private but they've raised three or four hundred million so that's going to be probably a bigger lift than. Magento what what do you think is the next Domino toppling in this platform world. Jason: [18:18] Yep I don't know that there's going to be an immediate counter-reaction here so the. The other you know the Enterprise company that you mentioned that has a lot of the other elements of a quote-unquote marketing cloud like you can really think of. Sap IBM Oracle salesforce.com and now Adobe, really competing for the same core Enterprise customer right and in today I'll even need complete offering skin to compete with each other the the other company that competes with the awful lot of those Stacks is Microsoft, and so you know you on the one hand you'd say hey they would be a really interesting acquire now Microsoft at the moment doesn't have a CMS or a e-commerce sweet but they do have a very robust Erp system, Microsoft dynamics that includes a CRM that competes with. Salesforce.com they of course have the the web hosting Services through azure, so you on the one hand you could imagine Microsoft wanting to more directly compete with IBM Oracle sap and Salesforce in Adobe but on the other hand, Adobe actually I think is moving most of their SAS hosting services to azure, and they're actually several a cms's I know a sitecore and episerver that RT run on the Microsoft stack so there is a. A counter argument that that Microsoft is doing well by supporting. [19:52] Multiple players and that you know if they were to acquire a single CMS in a single Commerce platform. Did they would potentially alienate some other partner so you know I don't know whether the calculus is there for Microsoft. Show choir and I would say Microsoft in the distant past did on a Commerce platform and didn't do very well with it it's actually. It changed hands a number of times and is I think now part of the sitecore solution. So you know maybe they they eat are a little tainted from their their previous unsuccessful Commerce ownership that they don't make that play again. There are a bunch of smaller Converse platforms that don't have the kind of traction that Magento has from a customer base that are much more. [20:40] Are arguably more modern architecture there's folks like Commerce tools and Symphony Commerce mahzu there's a host of these other you know. Companies that probably hoped to be acquired but never you know don't have the customer base yet that the Magento does. I'm so will they continue to go out alone is it going to be harder for them in this world where you know that their competitors are owned by these big Deep Pockets. That's going to be interesting play and a dark horse to buy a Converse platform to me would be some of these social networks so could you imagine Facebook, buying a Commerce platform either to make available to their their customers or enable better at Commerce, functionality and their echo system could you imagine Pinterest. Or you know Instagram or SnapChat you know having more robust Commerce features to integrate into their platform would be another. [21:37] Potential play like that there's some problems with that but you know there will be guys that you might you might see sniffing the tires on some of these these e-commerce platforms. Scot: [21:47] Sniffing the tears I never heard that usually you sniff around or you kick tires at yes. Jason: [21:51] The tires or sniff around yes I don't know if I mentioned this or not but this is the second show we recorded in a way. In a row so I'm I'm mixing some metaphors sorry. [22:04] I'm not the brightest bulb in the in the knife drawer away. Scot: [22:06] Any last thoughts on the platform Wars as it were before we close up. Jason: [22:18] No I mean from my perspective I'm excited to wear a big Adobe partner I should say and I'm excited to see them making a bigger investment in Commerce oh that is exciting it again. Yeah I don't think Magento is a plug-and-play Panacea for Adobe and so it's going to be interesting. Adobe has done a really good job of integrating all their other Acquisitions but they they were not in a particular hurry to do it they took a long time, and slowly evolved all these Acquisitions into this this more homogeneous Cloud so you know where they going to do the same slope play with Magento, that would be good for the existing Magento users but it would take a long time for Doby to get value out of this acquisition or you know will they do something on a more accelerated Pace to build Magento into the kind of. Enterprise solution that fits the rest of the Adobe stacked like I'm going to be really, eager to follow that and I would argue that we're still having those same conversations around demandware and Salesforce in that like Salesforce with predominantly of B2B play, demandware you know Excel to be to see you and wasn't very good at B2B. You know they were not on the on the same stack and so you know along while we're watching Adobe in and Magento figure out their negation plan I think we're still closely watching. The the demandware which is now called Salesforce Commerce cloud and Salesforce integration play out and then I think we mention this. [23:53] This is maybe a couple weeks old news but the Salesforce actually bought another Commerce platform called Commerce cloudcraze, that is a pure B2B e-commerce platform that was actually built on top of the. The Salesforce tax so so so sources continuing to evolve there there, strategy in some really interesting ways as well so this. [24:16] We kind of been static in the Commerce platform Wars for a little while and this is you know where this this month we're seeing some pretty exciting disruption so I'm I'm eager to see how it all plays out. Scot: [24:27] Yeah who knows maybe sap and Oracle decide they could always use one more platform. Jason: [24:32] Yes I do like. [24:36] Clearly these platforms are all have a significant amount of volume through it and you know a lot of the Legacy sites are on them I think it's an open question whether these any of these Legacy platforms are the future of the business like there's, there's an argument that we're at the the most recent trend is I'll call it done platforming is actually moving off of these like shrink wrap full-featured e-commerce platforms. And moving to a lighter-weight set of apis and microservices you know you talked to a lot of cio's and that's the. The the kind of stacked that they're more interested in but we don't have a ton of great examples of big retailers like embracing that model just yet so it'll it'll be interesting to see if. Any of these big Legacy platforms kind of transform in that direction or whether they. They continue to win out against that there's newer architectures or whether some of these up-and-coming architectures can can kind of disrupt the market. [25:34] But that's a great place to retrieve the quick-hit cuz I know we wanted to get it a short quick read out for a listeners in as things evolve what will you know. Potentially do a deeper dive on some of these platforms down the road but if you have any questions about the platforms or would like to discuss this and more length. We certainly encourage you to jump on our Facebook page and the post a question and will, will get back to you as always if you found any value in this heartache we would love it if you jump over to iTunes and give us a a 5-star review. Scot: [26:07] Thanks for joining us everyone and remember if you're going to sniff the tires make sure the car is not running. Jason: [26:14] And while you're doing that have a happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

EP132 - NPD Idea 2018 Recap  NPD held it's semi-annual customer conference, Idea in Austin Texas on May 16th and 17th.  Jason and Scot both presented content at the show.  This weeks episode is a recap of the show. Target CEO Brian Cornell Keynote Google X, Captain of Moonshots, Astro Teller Keynote Author Michael Dart Keynote (Retail's Seismic Shift: How to Shift Faster, Respond Better, and Win Customer Loyalty) Scot Wingo "MarketPlace Madness" (PDF) NPD Retail Trends Don Unser, Group President at The NPD Group Steve Baker, Vice President, Industry Analysis at NPD Group Jason Goldberg "Last Mile In The Customer Experience" (PDF) Oren Shauble, Partner Guinn Partners Jamie Sohosky, Walmart VP Marketing, Customer Experience Jaron Waldman, Co-Founder, Curbside Generation Z Panel Connor Blackley Youth Logic Madison Bregman  Youth Logic Jonah Stillman - Genz Guru Alexandra Levit (moderator) Entertianment by Runaway June and The Doobie Brothers Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 132 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Monday, May 21st 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 132 being recorded on Monday May 21st 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your Coho Scot Wingo. Scot: [0:39] Jason and welcome back Jason Scott show listeners will Jason we're both back in our local areas here I think your local are you okay. Jason: [0:50] I am I am your correct. Scot: [0:52] I never know where you are these days we were both in Austin recently and we had a real fun trip down there it's rare were in the same city much less at the same conference and we both spoke on separate topics at the NPD idea conference. [1:08] Did you have fun. Jason: [1:09] I did it was a great conference I enjoyed the conference and of course it's always fun to get to spend some time with you in person I feel like we we talk all the time via VIA the microphone but it's it's fun to actually see you making funny faces when I say stuff. Scot: [1:24] Absolutely yeah it doesn't come over to the the podcast quite as much as in person. Jason: [1:29] No we might have to start doing this as a video Call Me Maybe. Scot: [1:32] Okay so tonight we thought we would there. [1:39] Wanted to share some of the insights from the show this is a pretty interesting show that we attend and let me kick it off by explaining who is NPD the provides data 2 / 20, and how this works is because I like Nielsen Nielsen I think does this for cpgs and NPD does it for non CP Jesus how I can I think about it. Large scale systems across. Over a thousand retailers that opted into this program that data is all swirled together anonymized and then also mixed in with over 12 million consumer. For surveys and output of that is really interesting data that they Brands license and retailers to understand things so for example. Let's say you sell. [2:31] I don't know what's a good idea if a GoPro style cameras or anything like that action cameras you can use in PD data to see how is your model doing versus the competition. How you know how much is the number one doing the number to cross different retailers things like that. Every year they every other year they get some of their top customers together and categories like apparel Automotive Beauty. Construct Tronics jewelry I sent you everything but cpg and they look at the trends that are shaping the industry. [3:06] And I've spoken of this a couple times and it was exciting to have you there this year the theme was Under Fire On Fire. And it's got a clever theme so what are trying to articulate there is. Retail is under Fire everyone's feeling that but then there are certain segments that are doing really well so there's certain segments that are on fire. [3:31] Unfortunately had a conflict and I was not able to get down there for the first part of day one but you were there and we're able to attend some really good session you told me about so let's start the recap there on the morning of day 1. Jason: [3:46] So there they kick things off with a bang, you mention a lot of great brands that end it also tends to be really seen your stakeholders from a lot of the brands and retailers which is kind of cool so it's pretty, impressive intimate Gathering into the first keynote was actually the CEO of Target Brian Cornell so that's a pretty good gift as we would say in the industry and I'm always. [4:13] Like obviously I always want to hear what brand has to say it's always it's always great when these guys coming events are willing to share, [4:21] The CEOs of major retail organizations are super polished and their they certainly don't come here with the intention of giving away any Trade Secrets and they never do so. You know you got a kind of moderate your expectations you're not likely going to get some. Revolutionary new announcement from from Brian at a show like this but you know I think it's interesting to hear his his take on on a lot of the things that targets going through in trying to do. And he spent a lot of his talk. [4:51] Really talking about the sort of changing role of the store and you know he was pretty damn that he's like hey you know these stories today have all these super important roles we. Yeah we have customers that come to the store to pick up orders that they placed online we have a lot of curbside pickup now we're using the stores as an inventory location to do same-day deliveries to customers home. We ship over half our e-commerce orders from the stores to the customer's home you know customers use. tattoo sort of exploring evaluate products and now many customers want to check to make sure the products are in stock before they come to the store you know all these different use cases of how the target guest wants to use the store. That are very different than the use cases the guest had. Even seven years ago when you know most of the newest Target stores were built and so you know he spent a lot of the time talking about the challenges and opportunities of. You know taking a test or if it was designed to solve one particular set of problems and leveraging it to solve. A lot of newer very different problems and so I found that interesting. And then he did Chef to talk a little bit about their their acquisition last year or this year rather for shipped and shipped is. A delivery service so they are so you can think of the Minnesota personal shoppers before the target acquisition they supported a number of retailers. [6:26] You could order products from their website they would go to a retail store pick up those products for you and deliver them to your home. And in so you know I think most of us talk about them is primarily being a same-day delivery option. And you know Brian to mention that I think that they have curbside pickup. And over a thousand stores now and then they're quickly moving to same day delivery in a thousand stores leveraging these the shift employees that they have. They've hired but he is real Focus was. Did the delivery is the least important part of the the shipped experience that these are the magic of a shift in the reason at Target was particularly interested in and then versus some of the other vendors that into space was. That ship that had this intimate personal shopper model where they. They did that try to maintain full-time employees and they would try to send the same employee to the same customer so that all I read them you know I always tried to match up the same shop or with a customer so that that Chopper will get to know the customer overtime. That communication tools built in the platforms or the Shopper has questions are asked to make substitutions. They can communicate in real-time and apparently a high percentage of the the shipt personal shoppers are moms and so Brian kind of talked about it being, a moms to moms service and that the the target gas really value this personal relationship that they were starting to develop with this. This formerly shipped person personal shopper that's now a core part of the new Target experience. Scot: [8:02] Wrinkled so then after that they followed up with another strong keynote this one was from Google. Jason: [8:10] Answer this is a dude I'm pretty sure this is not the name his mother gave him but he goes by Astro Teller, and I was familiar with that sir I haven't seen him speak before though and he was I thought he was awesome so she is responsible for the moonshot program at Google, and you may know more about this than I do but like in general I think of the moonshot program is the portfolio of, initiatives at Google that are all intended to develop new billion-dollar plus Revenue businesses so like the autonomous vehicles would be. The the big Marquee thing in the in the moonshot program. Scot: [8:51] Yeah they would they transition to alphabets I think they call it X and then the self-driving is spun out as, waymo there's a couple other things they've done but inside of their. [9:08] I think this drones the balloon internet's flying cars that you're so a lot of really wacky stuff in there so. Plenty of interesting things going on in that that group. Jason: [9:19] And will come back to Wacky but as you can imagine a guy named Astro is pretty good at talking wacky so, he he he was mainly talking about, Innovation and he started out by defining this thing that he called level 1 versus level 2 Innovation right and so level 1 Innovation that are like those things that could make your business 10% more successful and the level to Innovation are those things that could make you you know 10 x more successful. And so you know he's not the only guy talking about 10% versus 10x but his point was. [9:57] The first time you can't you hear any good 10x idea it's going to sound crazy, and so like by definition to be successful at these kind of 10x Innovations in any organization you have to be comfortable sounding crazy and you and you have to cultivate environment that safe enough that, the people are comfortable enough proposing things that sound crazy because he's like you know his is premises fundamentally. These things that are so disruptive to the business that they could you know Drive 10x growth for the business. [10:32] Like just are so disruptive that they that they don't sound rational or safe. Upon you know first consideration and so kind of funny line. He is a no-show hands in the audience imma give you a choice between two options and you raise your hands and tell me which one you would rather do. Would you rather do an initiative that has the potential to generate a billion dollars in new revenue for your company but only has a 10% chance of success. Or would you rather do something that will generate a million dollars but has a guaranteed success and. Not surprisingly that you know basically everyone in the audience raised her hand and said hey we would rather do the billion dollars with a 10% chance. Mathematicians on their listen to podcast with quickly note that like the. The weighted value of a 10 billion dollar opportunity with the 10% chance is still a hundred million dollar opportunity versus a $1000000 opportunity so. So statistically speaking that that's the. The better risk but then he asked the funny frog question how many of you fundamentally believe that your boss always supports the billion-dollar opportunity versus the million dollars guarantee. And way less hands went up and so he's like Alright so. [11:55] Here here here's my Innovation solution for you you don't need a new innovation strategy you need a new boss. And so he you know you kind of went into this this whole premise about how organizations are just. Young wired to avoid risk and that you know even though it's irrational you know most most organizations are are built to reward. In a biased towards the $1000000 in guaranteed Revenue versus the the 10% chance at a billion dollars shot and how companies that want to be successful you don't have to think differently. He even kind of went into even some of the things that you you should do to be a successful level to Innovation company. And you know one of the big points he had there was that you should always tackle the hardest part first. Any he talked about how that's kind of counterintuitive that a lot of people that you don't want to get a quick success under their belt so you know the tackle the part that seems. Easiest to do and you know you talked about how when you explain to someone rationally why they should do the hard part first. They say they kind of get it but it doesn't really change behavior and so he has come up with this kind of silly metaphor. To make it more apparent he's like if your boss assigned you to get a monkey teach it to recite Shakespeare standing on a pillar. [13:22] Should you start by teaching the monkey how to recite Shakespeare or should you start by building the pillar. [13:29] And his his point being like sure you could start by building the pillar and you get a early way in and you can say you are 50% through the problem because you solve one of the two problems. [13:39] You're never going to teach the monkey how to recite Shakespeare so building the pillar was a complete and utter waste of time whereas if you would have started with the problem of. Training the monkey to recite Shakespeare you would have quickly learned you cannot impact training monkey to recite Shakespeare. And therefore you know you would have moved on and then a company that rewards level to innovation. That that quick learning and failure you know what would have been rewarded versus versus penalized so that was kind of. [14:09] The premise of his talk he was a super engaging heads funny antidotes. My favorite part of his presentation was definitely the off-script moment he he walked through a bunch of. Future technologies that he feels like are going to create 10x opportunities for fur companies so he was talking about bioengineering he's talking about it and he wasn't so much selling any of these specific ideas but just talking about how. They trigger these kind of 10x ideas and you know some of the things that you might do with them sound sound crazy at first, and one of the points you if you wanted to make was about you know some changes to cybersecurity and so is a precursor he said he he asked everyone like, Teresa hand if they were you know primarily concerned about cyber-security today and, how much snow in in the room raised their hand and it was it was his reaction was hysterical he it was kind of a No-No moments, and he's like he's like oh my God forget all this stuff about innovation. I have bad news for you the bad guy is already in your network like you've already been breached. I didn't realize this wasn't already coming. And so this whole whole like absolutely correct narrative about how. You know sophisticated intrusion has gotten and how you know these kids that attend that the hacker conference is if I break into much more secure networks than retailer networks for fun and how like all these networks are almost certainly already breached in there already people inside your network. [15:44] And that if you don't have a business model to protect your customers data when you've already been breached you know you're probably in Trouble In fairness to the attendees, you know he went right after Brian Cornell from Target so you know a ton of target people were in the audience and if you work at Target and you you you been the victim of the very public breach that had a material impact on your business, you probably don't in a public room raise your hand and say hey I'm super concerned about cyber-security right so you know maybe maybe people just felt like it was inappropriate, to share that concern publicly and that's why they didn't respond or maybe they had question-answering fatigue by that point. But it was a funny diatribe that Astro went off on and and I certainly true like we all should act like like the bad guys already internet work. Scot: [16:35] Got it yet maybe it's cuz Brands a lot of brands of these conferences are pretty early on their direct consumer turning so maybe they may they're not even really thinking transaction websites maybe while they're not retailers in room should be pretty stuff. Jason: [16:51] Yeah and I will do it on another show that there been a lot more breaches and in retail in the last couple months in particular Avengers there a lot of retailers rely on it been breached and it's doing a black eye at a Best Buy in Sears in a bunch of others. Scot: [17:05] Yeah but what I find interesting is it's the ones I've seen usually are not through the Commerce side because the Commerce sides kind of got more thought around this usually is to the physical point of sale which is the entry. Jason: [17:18] Yet the physical plant cells have been a disaster and then some of these recent ones were where Aunt like ancillary things like the. The chat system that the retailer uses for customer service that you know you can also change an order via chat and so there's a Commerce function in there and your point is. It's not leveraging the same technology as the normal e-commerce site and doesn't you know apparently and in several cases didn't have the same level of security. Scot: [17:45] Cool and then who was up after Google. Jason: [17:49] So then the afternoon keynote and this is all on Wednesday so Wednesday was kind of a full day I think most of the attendees maybe showed up Tuesday night or early Wednesday morning. Tuesday afternoon keynote after lunch it was a gentleman Michael Dart who's at the a t Kearney and. He has written a book called retail seismic shift how to shift faster respond better and when customer loyalty and I want to see it came out. Late last year maybe like November or so so it's probably about 6 months old though. [18:28] And so he did it talk about consumers of the future and had a lot of good points in it I think we're going to try to get him on the show here in the upcoming episode. Scot: [18:38] Yes so maybe we should let's give just a little taste and then we'll. Jason: [18:43] So a couple of the things that jumped out of me and that's that's got subtle way of saying that we're going to slow an interesting thing I just never thought about is one of the trans he talks about his dematerialization which is this sort of shift. From atoms to pixels. And he had an interesting stat that in order to create a dollar of GDP in 1930 required about 4 kg of material. Like you had to make into something to sell to generated our GDP. That that same GDP in 1990 so 60 years later you can make with one kilogram so so the amount of of atoms I got cut down by 1/4. Only 25% of the atoms are required 60 years later you know fast forward today and you only need a hundred mg so one tenth of what you needed in 1990 in so there's that just. You know this this strong shift in the economy away from from Material Goods driving the the economy. [19:47] He you know then kind of went into the the bifurcation topic that we talked about a few times on the show so you know he had to stab that 65% of the. Of the population was in the middle class in the 1970s and today it's only about 40% of the population is in the. The middle class so you're getting you know Uber rich people and poor people and you know his his promises one of the ways that that plays out in. Retail is you have these on one end of the spectrum price base retailers are really focus on offering low price and that cohort a Retailer's he. Believe have grown 35% is there is there five year growth rate. [20:28] For the price face retailer 37% on the other end of the spectrum the luxury premium brands of actually grown even better at like 80%. And all the retailers in between that he would call the balance retailers that aren't like aggressively focused on price and aggressively focused on luxury experiences have only grown at 2% so it's sort of showing the. The growth and Retail is exactly mirror the bifurcation of the population of we've had Casey well and brought back from the Delight talking about that on the show as well. You know you had some interesting statistics on on malls we talked a lot about how the a malls are doing a lot better than the rest of the malls but he actually has some statistics that all malls are down 9% it's just. The a malls are traffic is down 9% over the last couple years from a better starting point so they've gone from like growing to flatware as the BNC malls have gone from Flat to losing 10% of their traffic in the last 2 years. Scot: [21:30] Yeah on the malls he also I'll put it out as a teaser from having the show he had the the. [21:38] Worst Mulligan prediction I've heard so he had the highest number of Mall closures that he's thinking are going to happen so I was a little surprised by that but that's interesting. Jason: [21:50] But it is true that like only about like 20% of the malls would be in this like a category so I think did he say their UE thought about a thousand miles we get taken out of the system is that when I'm remembering 13. Scot: [22:03] I think you said 1300 out of like 1500 I think there's only like 200 remaining. Jason: [22:08] So that's that does still mirror that kind of a versus B and C ratio. Sign out we'll talk about another show is the Planning Commission in Miami-Dade Florida just approved a new mall project which they're very few of those in the world, and this mall would actually be the largest mall in the US who would be bigger than the Mall of America in Minneapolis and so that. Can a bucking the the the mall again in friend is we could have a new bigger motor than we've ever seen before which would be an interesting evolution. And then the last thing I'll touch on from. Michael Jordan's presentation he was talking about this Matrix that he called the the con Matrix. Is developed by this one on barbercon who's the professor at Ward and she she would have booked a couple years ago called the shopping Revolution. And in her world like. You could draw this 2 by 2 Matrix that all retailers fit in on the left side of the Matrix are our retailers that are focused on product benefits and so I'm proud of benefits on one end of the spectrum you have. [23:16] People that focus on The Prestige of the brand and so she would use like. Louis Vuitton or Warby Parker Saks Fifth Avenue or Zara Nike is kind of brand. Branda Advocates there and she would use like Eataly or Sephora as experience face retailers as the other end of that that. That extreme in in the other side of the Matrix would be people that focus on customer experience and their the. The spectrum is from people that primarily focus on a low price so she's got like Costco Walmart TJ Maxx in Burlington and that. That quadrant and then frictionless. As the as the other end of that spectrum and she has Amazon is the primary example of a frictionless and so kind of a different Spectrum this would be way more apparent if I were able to drop for you on the podcast so maybe I'll try to put a picture in the. In the show notes but as as you'll hear a lot of retail pendants talked about like another 10 to be the Spectrum there tend to be areas. Any Spectrum where retailers can really Thrive and do well and then the the retailers that are really struggling and we talked about Molly get in and we talked about retailers that are seeing negative growth. It's almost always the case that there. [24:38] The ones that have fall in the middle of the spectrum's and haven't really made a committed effort to own. You know one of one of the the pillars and so this this was another one of these Matrix is where. Where that you know you kind of look at at her Marquis examples in each each of the quadrants and say yeah that makes perfect sense and then you'd say you know folks that kind of fall in the middle of this this to buy to our bar probably in trouble and. And you know at the moment that that's sort of what's playing at in the marketplace. [25:10] Yeah so then that was all really warm up so those were those were a sort of the three opening acts Target Google, Michael dark, because then we all went to a even bigger room where they had their biggest session of the show which is this whole session about marketplaces and sign up for our listeners Scott, is a second-year Scott's done this talk and it was super annoying for me because every time I would talk to the the women planning the show about my session that say Hey registrations great you're doing really well you're right the second most popular session, but you're way behind Scott. Scot: [25:51] Yep so that was fun I was I was coaching them to make sure that you knew that I was figured a little fun competition there would be. Jason: [26:03] Yes and I I was a little just cuz you did get to pick your topic and I sort of I I accepted a topic they put in the agenda. Scot: [26:11] But you knocked it out of the park will get to that in the second yes or no. Jason: [26:13] Thanks man so what did you talk about in marketplaces is that a thing. Scot: [26:17] It is yep so two years ago and I did my skin. [26:22] Standard Amazon talk which is essentially for long-time listeners if you go way back to episode 24 we did the Amazon Deep dive so that's kind of a lot of the same content, that I gave that talk and this time they wanted to kind of widened aperture and talk about marketplaces so just just a quick summary about what we talked about. And what will do is. I'll send you a pediatrician that we can put kind of a copy to it in the link to it in the show notes if people want to go to the presentation so. The Purge for Marketplace is really interesting because you know you and I've been at the salon time I've been at this Marketplace thing for 20 years. [27:02] And what I found is there's a huge desire for Content that. [27:07] Pretty basic for what a retailer or a seller with the Cabana Marketplace because what's happening is all these brands are starting to think about going Direct. And they're just learning all the basics that that you know. A retailer or a seller has already there I'm kind of version 8 these guys are on Virgin once so. But it is always fun to kind of go back and revisit these things because the world has changed so much just a simple thing and you and I had a fun to scream about the marketplace and how do you do to find it so for example selling a car on over. [27:42] Talk is that a Marketplace or not I would say by strict definition probably not because. Well my definition marketplaces you sell off of your website. There's transparency for the consumer who you're buying from and then the business model is a percentage kind of a business model not a traditional wholesale markup so once you have that wholesale markup in there it's just a drop ship relationship. [28:07] First party retailer not a Marketplace so so in this talk we we probably talked about yo. Taking a step back and talk about consumers what do they want yeah we've talked about that a lot on the show don't think they'll be any surprises there then what is a Marketplace. [28:23] So just answer that question the types of marketplaces so you have pure plays like eBay you have hybrids like Amazon you've got a new social ones you got at base now. Etc, and then we talked about the pros and cons of selling on Marketplace and then some takeaways for the Brand's so it was, when I'm in the middle of training I can never remember the questions I don't know if you recall any that were Salient for listeners but. There was way more questions we had time for and then we had to go to a break and then had a lot of good discussions around marketplaces. Jason: [29:00] Yeah and let the record show I think you like I certainly agree with your definition that like, Wayfair is a drop-ship program more so than a Marketplace but what you call and Marketplace. That I totally understand after you explained it but like I think myself in a lot of other people don't immediately think of his Marketplace are some of the the social selling models in like when Google sells products through pla Zoar, shoppable pins on Pinterest or some of those things and then once you draw the picture I totally get out it is a Marketplace but I think those are the the the the one that outliers that kind of surprise, are the sneaky marketplaces if you well. Scot: [29:40] Yeah and when you're selling on eBay and Amazon. Don Juan differentiator is day or The Merchant of record which do I think about is when the consumer gets their credit card it says Amazon not you know Jason's Mouse shop so. But then to July these new models they're using so his new payment systems like a striper Braintree and they're asking you to, the merchant to now be The Merchant of record so it's kind of an interesting hybrid in that way. But it still has a percent of sales model there still a fair amount transparency does Consumer they're dealing with a third party so I. I continue to put those in the marketplace bucket but you know a lot of people don't. Realize when you're using things like Wanelo or there's this many of these now there's, we are well over 200 Market places that we track it down visor and more everyday and there's all kinds of really interesting models there is super vertical ones like. Reverb for professional music. [30:42] Or there's some for you know that dinner Morpher city-dwellers that are in the apparel category and it's kind of like high-end apparel so you're a pair of sunglasses that. Probably you and I wouldn't buy for $600 but there's someone out there that that is into those kinds of things. Jason: [30:58] Yep and I think one of the marketplaces that you introduced a lot of the audience to for the first time probably was wish and I happened to notice they're running like national tv ads now. Scot: [31:10] Yeah yeah wishes really, yeah they don't disclose a lot but there's all these rumors that they have crossed over a billion dollars at um they're spending a lot of money on National branding so they've done, I need to be a sponsorship so drawn symbol logos their logos are on jerseys they're doing a pretty big ad campaign around their Marketplace. I think of them as a cross-border Marketplace some most product available on wish is being sold direct from China and they. If I'm in a lot of supply chain things and whatnot. [31:44] The result is you get super cheap product which really applies that value or any consumer we talked about and bifurcation. But the trade-off is cuz a lot of its kind of on the literal slow boat from China it does take awhile to get there so it's one of those kind of trade-offs that consumers seem to be willing to make, today, I'm the one thing I worry about witches Amazon is now I got kind of all the same stuff at the same price but then it's an FBA so now you get it 2 days so it can be interesting to see how wish does against that. Head-on competition. Jason: [32:16] Yeah yeah the the television that I noticed, it was like a dad that had bought like SmartWatches for three kids and they each got like 10 bucks and so the kids are you know it's it's he's low-cost like sort of surprise and Delight moments. But I did have a take away from their their big NBA sponsorship is if you if you are building a business and you decide to use it professional sports endorsements, make sure the players know what the heck you do because there's some really funny videos on YouTube of like reporters asking. LA Lakers what which isn't as they're wearing The Witcher logo on their uniform and they they have literally no idea. Scot: [32:54] And then after my session we went to a one that you were excited about which was the jinsy panel. Jason: [33:03] Yeah I probably made Scott go to this one and. You know this is kind of a common model at a lot of shows is you you bring actual Generation Z folks. To talk to the audience and like help help give them the more accurate you know representation of of this. This Persona that you don't lot of Market marketers are targeting and what what's a little different about the MPD version like very often. Literally like the show organizers will go to a high school and get like five regular high schoolers and have you know some moderator ask them questions about how they shop or what brands they like and whether they like going to malls or not. In this case these are almost I'll call them professional Generation Z spokespeople. There's a guy I got to meet a couple of times now Connor Blakely who. I don't I don't know how old he is but you know he's probably like 19 and he started a company called youth logic and they essentially cell, need this kind of advisory service to Brands and so is a brand you you higher. Connor and he sends some genze folks to your office to. Serta evaluate your offerings and and talk about you know how they're seen through the the jimsey wins so Connor was on the panel one one of his employees Madison bringman was on the panel and then. [34:34] Another gen Z expert that it start his own company called Jen's iguru a guy named Jonah Stillman and I think Jonah actually got Mark Cuban to invest in his company. So we have these kind of three genzie's they were interviewed by the moderator who is Alexandria Levitt. I wrote a book about about some some other customer to cohorts in the past. Lacerta interviewing and they're all the typical funny moments like they. You know it some point they talk about olds and you know referencing like parents that that don't get something and that you know they. They talked about super old people and they were talking about people that were like 35 and older which you know probably was every single person in the in the audience. There's a lot of of a interesting dialogue about. Authenticity and purpose so you know like there's this notion that like genze like brands with a purpose like. The Tom shoes you know buy one get one kind of program but how Jen's he's really good at smelling out these inauthentic purposes. And that you know a lot of Brands Make Mistakes by having these inauthentic purposes Connor use one example of a you know company that bought a Super Bowl ad. Do I got a message that they are that they have an environmentally friendly purpose and conures like. [36:06] Hey if you really have an environmentally friendly purpose you would have wasted five million dollars on a Superbowl and and his you know kind of thing was, what you have to understand is jenzie grew up digital they've been bombarded with all these messages after multitask much more than any previous generation and so is a result they're much better at curating information and he he going to bluntly put it, like we we have more attuned BS meters than previous cohorts, and so you know you just have to be really careful about being being inauthentic with him and so there's some interesting takeaways, you know I thought the panel did a good job but I personally I do Wonder, if this is the last cohort we ever have to talk about because I like I do have this kind of premise that all the behaviors they were describing, like I can find you 60 year old to behave exactly the same way and in the old world of like television advertising like one of the only things we can know about her audience was how old they were and so we could kind of Taylor are commercials to a particular age, but today I feel like we have much more granular tools to the market to individuals and so I just I just wonder if, is like the differences between Millennials and gen Z are are ever going to be as important as as you know once the the differences between Boomers and and gen-xers was. Scot: [37:33] Yeah I kind of came away from the panel with called. Cognitive dissonance where says there's like six examples where they would say one thing and then they would like say something that totally countered it and it was really hard. To get your head around so the one example is in the early part. UConn reslife Genji's love them all is great I got them all the time and then someone else then several times you can tell that they haven't been to the mall a very long time because you know the guy was trying to describe what. Abercrombie looks like now and he couldn't really kind of articulated cuz I don't think he's been in an Abercrombie in a long time and then some. Jason: [38:10] Fun of Abercrombie from like 4 years ago but you're right like they have chain. Scot: [38:13] And then someone said if you had $100 what would you do in one guys like buy stuff in fortnite and you know the girl was like I buy some Nike stuff but she's not going to go to the mall for that she'll go to. I assumed she'd order on. [38:27] She also said you know I just buy everything from Amazon and I know from my Gins ears that you don't got to college age kids they do not like to go to the mall and you really have to kind of like. Dragon alert. So there's some that was kind of one example there's like six or seven other ones were just kind of like you just counteracted what you just said like 6 minutes ago. I don't know it's hard to nail down if I can. There's no actual thing to do. Jason: [38:56] Yeah no end to me part of that is like, I'm sure you can find Jen's ears that do go to the mall like an N relative to other cohorts yeah there are there are more 16 year old kids at the mall then there are 60 year olds at the mall, but like it's going down across all cohorts and and you know the point is being today you can know which 10, gen Z years really do want to go to the mall and you can have a message for them and you can know which ones like by 95% of the purchases on Amazon and you can have a different message for them so, that's kind of my death of the personas as we move into a one-to-one world. Scot: [39:36] Yeah I did not one thing the folks at NPD do a great job at is the entertainment at their shows is top-notch so they shuttle us over to Austin sea life which is exciting I never been there before I and we saw, a country music band which was runaway June and then the Doobie Brothers and it was kind of a long day so I actually enjoyed the opening acts kind of more than the closing act but that was just going to be so that was good. Jason: [40:04] Yeah and I I know nothing about country music so I had never heard of them so that way it's got a fun and I think it's a trio of young women that sing harmonies and one of the women was the granddaughter of John Wayne. Scot: [40:18] Yeah that was kind of neat neat fun fact. [40:22] So then we that was day one and then Day 2 began with you drinking three venti latte and then we went to go see Don Unser he is the biggest titles VP of sales there in PD he's the head sales guy and in one of the guys that leads there vertical teams and he had a really good presentation of some of the insights they've gotten from their data. Jason: [40:49] And so. The a Scott was nice enough to have bought at least one of those lattes for me that morning said thank you very much I appreciated that I had to meet early for breakfast with my panel so that was super nice of you. So MPD because they have access to this really rich data set Don and in particular is super well known for doing these retail Trends Decks that leverage update a lot and so this was kind of a. A permeation of that like he had some key retail Trends from the date in there and then you also had some. Hypothesis about like how consumers were actually changing as a result of some of these Trends which that was maybe a new spin on it. So is you mentioned upfront MPD tracks these 20 core categories across a whole bunch of retailers. And so it was the first thing he shows is MPD money so I'd which is kind of. How big each of the categories that they track is and whether it's growing or shrinking in so this was. A March 2018 view looking at growth over the last 12 months and you had you know category like the biggest category with by far the most significant growth for them as video games. So that category was growing at 18.4%. And it's a decent-size market it's like a 36 billion dollar market as they is they Define it Prestige Beauty was growing at 9.4% small appliances were growing at 7% Auto Parts at 5%. [42:24] Toys at 5%. Consumer electronics at 4.7% a house where is it 3.8 and then you kind of dropped in all these categories that had. Pretty nominal gross box office supplies Footwear perishable grocery Dry Goods Health and Beauty AIDS. And then you got into the bottom categories that were laggards for them apparel was basically flat accessories which is like sunglasses and things like that was down 2%. And then the big loser which is probably no surprise to anyone as Video Entertainment. Which young for most of The 3 Tails used to be movies that they sold on these plastic circle is called DVDs. And that that was way down at like 12% so. All told if you total up all 20 categories and MPD follows their following about 1.8 trillion dollars in consumer spending. All retails probably about 3.8 trillion dollars so it's a good chunk of all consumer spending and on the aggregate all those categories grew at 1.8%. You know but it's interesting to know that you know they're these big opportunities and in things like video games and Beauty less opportunities and apparel and accessories. And if you're a subscriber to MPD. That the even more granular view which Don didn't get into is super important cuz you look at consumer electronics and you say oh my gosh it's growing at 4.7% that's good news but then you look you look at the Grand your data and you see that like. [43:54] You know flat screen TVs which is the bulk of of the market you know it's kind of flat to down and it's things like headphones and smart smart speakers that are responsible for all the growth in the Consumer Electronics category, that's really kind of the the magic value of NPD is having that that. Granular look at what's happening in subcategories what's growing what's ranking you know what's on Trend versus off of trend. The one of the things that Don broke out that was kind of a new-look that I haven't seen them talk about before is that this concept of. Distribution of of Shoppers based on the amount of their spend is online versus offline so they so. See if I can describe this in a way that this possible to follow there's a chunk of the u.s. population that spends less than 10% of their their makes less than 10% of their purchases online. [44:55] And that chunk is 43% of all consumers spend less than 10% online then there's a cohort that's been 10 to 25% online that junk is 18% of the population another 20%. [45:10] 20% spend 25 to 50% online another 13%. Percent spend 50 to 75% online and then they're 6% of the population that spends more than 75% of their budget online, and said you know they had this kind of interesting distribution and you say oh my gosh the overwhelming majority of consumers 43%. Still you know which is the biggest by far one of these cohorts still spend less than 10% of their daughters online. You know the easy take away there is there's a lot more online gross and you don't call back to Michael Dart from the day before like he made the point. Nobody knows what that. What the final equilibrium will be on online versus offline shopping like Michael postulated that it could be 50/50 eventually but what he says I do know is. That is a one way Road people are only moving from offline to online that there are not people moving from online back to us. Which only makes some sense so. [46:12] You take mpd's new idea of breaking down the distribution of spender of Shoppers by these different different spending patterns. And then he you didn't break it down by retailer and you get some really interesting insights right so. Less than 1% of Amazon Shoppers spend less than 10% of their budget online so that big 43%. [46:36] Amazon only has 1% of those guys like those guys are not Amazon Choppers yet which is like frankly great news for Amazon. And Walmart is exactly the opposite right like the biggest chunk of Walmart shoppers spend. Less than 10% of their of their budget online and a tiny sliver of the Walmart Shopper spend 75% online and so you kind of you know those are the two extremes. Amazon heavily biased towards predominately online Shoppers Walmart heavily biased towards very casual online Choppers. And then you know what was interesting as they showed Target Best Buy in Kohl's which had surprisingly even distribution across all of those different colored so it's kind of interesting Target Best Buy in Kohl's. [47:25] Do just about as well with the the guys that spend 75% of their budget on line is they do with it that the women that's been less than 10% online versus. Walmart and Amazon you know I tended to be heavily bifurcated and so I thought I thought that was sort of an interesting new. New dimension that I hadn't really thought about before. Scot: [47:46] Yeah it was really cool it kind of need to take away was you know once there's another one where. [47:55] The big guy is so close Target at such a loss share as people went towards online in Amazon. With exception of Best Buy so it showed in one takeaway was Best Buy seem so kind of figured out how to stop erosion so you're what are they doing to do that and then you know there's definitely this battle for that 43% of people that are. We think we'll come online and your Walmart play wants to keep them in the Walmart family in Amazon, wants to extract them over onto Prime and that's going to be a really interesting Battle Ground over the next five years was one of my takeaway isn't it was just, we heard Mark Laurie talk about it Amazon hasn't really talked about specifically but some of the moves they've made with going to monthly prime number you know. [48:38] Paying Prime fees with cats all that stuff has been kind of along the same lines so it's going to be interesting to watch that that battle come to play. Jason: [48:46] Yeah yeah for sure and you know it. [48:51] I mean I always enjoy Downs presentations cuz I just think the the date is super valuable and it's like you know we have all these urban legends about how things are doing. Let there be super useful data sets the MPD provides like there's another one I didn't cover but that they do frequently. Where they show the fastest-growing subcategories right and that's all you know much more important than the big categories are you find out there like a shoes my beat Footwear might be flat. [49:21] Performance running shoes is a huge growth opportunity right now. And you know they even particularly talked about how in the subcategories. You can really see trends go viral so I can example that use is like Office Products is not a particular growth industry right now but. Elmer's Glue like in that the adhesive category is booming. And the reason is booming for for you no parents that don't have have like sub 10 year old children at home is there's this huge trend on YouTube of kids making goo. And slime rather yeah. And you know they're all these different ways to make an all these interesting you know things kids are doing with slime in the primary ingredient for all this slime is Elmer's glue and before this trend. Office product companies mainly sold for Nas you know bottles of Elmer's glue that you'd use to glue paper together and now they're all selling 5-gallon bottles of this this this glue and you know selling a much higher quantities. Scot: [50:31] Yeah it sucks I won't get into it it's a problem so I'm fine just taking over our lives. Jason: [50:36] Yeah it's interesting to see those Trends in and be able to react to this trans another one is like the instapot is the is this you no booming small cooking appliance which has you know lifted the whole small appliances category at the MoMA. Scot: [50:52] So that was the highlight there and then there was some random guy talking about last mile did you go to them. Jason: [51:02] I did I did I was actually the moderator for that one. Scot: [51:05] Oh yeah yeah. Jason: [51:07] Yes it might have been hard for you to follow because they had to like shrink down the room a lot from the earlier Marketplace one you know not make it look empty with with just interested in something as trivial as. You know how you get the goods to the consumer. Scot: [51:24] Is more intimate setting than the marketplace. Jason: [51:27] Exactly. [51:28] But I thought we had a good day so so I had three subject matter experts on the panel we had Jamie sadlowski who's the VP of customer experience at Walmart VP of marketing. Owns the Indian customer experience for Walmart and this is you know Scott Walmart is doing you know a ton of new last-mile experiences. We had a Jarren Waldman who's the founder of curbside so there a vendor. Curbside pickup programs for a bunch of retailers including like Sephora Nordstrom CVS. And Jared has kind of cool past he had the it started a mobile geolocation company that ultimately got bought by Apple and so Jaron actually ran the the mobile geolocation team at Apple for like 4 years and. You know a big part of the value proposition of curbside is that there's some really smart technology for using your phone to geo-locate you and get your order ready you know as you pull into the parking lot. So he had had some good good povs about. What customer expectations were in in The Last Mile and then we had a gentleman named Warren schauble who's from. A consulting firm called Gwen industries that specialize in drum Technologies. And Gwen is his bosses name who was the former president of DJI so you know certainly credible. [53:04] Drones face but these guys are selling like industrial drones for a lot of B2B uses. And of course you know drones are fake only talked about in The Last Mile and and I was certain pleasantly surprised orang was was. Turtle refreshingly candid that like. Really the regulatory environment in the u.s. is is we we are miles away from drones being an important part of the The Last Mile solution in the us cuz we're. Where you know there's still some very significant regulatory barriers but he did mention that most of the other technical barriers that you know the ability to build these practical drones that can carry heavy payloads. And the software capabilities to do the traffic management and delivery like you know he felt like those problems. Used to be big big technical challenges and essentially are completely solved and so you know in his mind at this point. [54:01] That the one barrier to two drones being important part of of The Last Mile are regulatory but he doesn't think there's going to be a resolution of that anytime soon. We did get to talk a little bit about autonomous vehicles and and you know their role in the last month which was interesting. The big takeaway from Jaren and Jamie is kind of going back to this Persona thing that like. You know the old world where we have like buy online pickup in-store consumers versus home delivery consumers versus in-store consumers and what you know both curbside and Walmart it started independently learned is. [54:38] Every consumer is a user of all these different experiences and that it's it's just really based on context and that there's a. In a soccer mom that loves curbside pickup for her regular groceries but you know how to certain occasions when she wants home delivery and she really wants to shop in the store for her own Christmas dinner meal so. You know thinking about. All these experiences being important in different context for the Shopper as opposed to thinking about these experiences being the one and only delivery method that different consumers would use I thought was pretty interesting. Scot: [55:12] You just back up a little bit I think it'd be good for listeners you had a great. It kind of opening setup which was good and you talked about the existing carriers and how much package volume they can handle and how much they're growing versus e-commerce maybe maybe run to that. High level for folks. Jason: [55:32] Yeah yeah so we've talked about this at a high-level a couple times before on the show. The in general e-commerce is growing at you know call it 15%. And that the carriers are growing their capacity at about 8%. So you know we we we have a clear mismatch there. For this show I showed some more granular data that Kalin and put together and so you kind of paint a picture for for how eCommerce companies are using the different carriers and and you know don't you know, the primary carrier that Amazon uses for the last mile is the US Post Office. And that's because their fulfillment center so close to the consumer that Amazon's big problem is not. [56:22] Moving the goods across the country they they mostly do that in their own private Network now they're their big problem is the Last Mile and the US post office has the by far the most economical. Route based delivery solution for that last Mile and so you're saying like 44% from memory of of all of us. Amazon packages get delivered by the US post office then UPS of the big air air carrier for Amazon. FedEx does do some deliveries but it's only like 5% and then you know a growing chunk I think it's like between 13 and 15% of Amazon. Packages get delivered by Amazon Zone people in that that's obviously a growing percentage. So then you break down that like the US Post Office is growing at like, their capacity light 8% UPS and FedEx are growing actually even slower and you go man for for these big e-commerce sites like Amazon and Walmart that are growing like 35%. They're they're consuming much more capacity than the post office and and ups are growing and so you know you think about Amazon investing in their own delivery Network, that's not too bad just reduced costs or to threaten the viability of of the commercial carriers it's really cuz they, they simply enough to meet their own growth expectations need more capacity than they can buy on the open market. Scot: [57:53] Yeah I thought that was so so super insightful and really cheated up nice and I just kidding it was a really good paneling. Learned a ton. I wanted to ask her side guy a couple things that he mentioned they're doing a lot more food curbside delivery in when he starting about food now these places have a curbside vendor like curbside and they've got six or seven other kind of pickup and delivery places at one point, do like. [58:20] Does the supply chain that the soccer they're using consolidate because you don't need restaurants think it like the six iPad sitting there so let's try to get Jaron on the show and see what he has to say about that kind of thing. Jason: [58:31] Yeah yeah that'd be awesome we we we did not, talk about that specific question so that be great when I asked him he definitely did take usra sort of the fastest growing component and I do think. That like he's providing. Software that essentially the retailer buys and owns versus a lot of those delivery services are sort of outsourced Solutions and be well you're certainly right like there's a but you know a, a desk full of tools that these are restaurants in Key West hours are using at the moment. Scot: [59:04] Cool and then your panel wrapped up and then I had to shoot out and then did you get a chance to see the rest of the show. Jason: [59:13] I didn't say there was one other. Breakout session that I did not get to attend but like I should we should have said for each of these hours during your session in my session there were a couple topics that you could choose then obviously we we were both you know the. The most interesting one to choose. [59:34] There a couple couple sessions during the last one there was an interesting case study on Sony. Sort of rebounding from really losing a lot of their brand Prestige to focusing on making some really hard decisions to get out of some categories and reinvest in others. I heard I did not get to attend that but I heard it was interesting and then the final Keynote. Then unfortunately a work emergency called me away for was the A-Rod was in town and and. You know talked a little bit about his own entrepreneurial Journey which I imagine was was interest. Scot: [1:00:14] Yeah I wonder if Jayla was there. Jason: [1:00:17] I did not see her yet I feel like she would have drop me a line if she was in town but. I feel like it's a good thing that we didn't have a deep brief recap on a ride because it's already happened again we've used up a perfectly good hour of our listeners time. So if you have any questions we didn't get to or or if you're at the show yourself or had any any comments we would love to hear. Your questions on Facebook and we can keep the conversation going there as always if you enjoy this show you know it only takes about 10 seconds of your life to jump over to iTunes and give us that 5-star review. That that really helps us with visibility on the podcast and we we really do appreciate. Scot: [1:00:59] Yep thanks everyone for listening and thanks to the team it in PD for putting on a great conference and for having Jason and I are speakers we really enjoyed the show and appreciated the opportunity. Jason: [1:01:09] I absolutely in until next time happy commercing.

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The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP131 - Industry News, Walmart, FlipKart, Amazon

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later May 12, 2018 52:24


This episode catches up on the latest e-commerce news Walmart News Walmart Acquires 77% of India E-Commerce Site FlipKart AllswellHome.com launch Website Redesign New Delivery Partners Doordash, Postmates Amazon News Sears Tire Partnership Kohls traffic is up at Amazon Stores Chicos says presence on Amazon is driving more store traffic Other News Google IO Facebook F8 Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 131 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Thursday, May 10th 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason:  [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 131 being recorded on Thursday May 10th, 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scot Wingo. Scot:  [0:40] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason Scott show listeners. Jason our podcast schedule did not allow for it so we missed May 4th so I'm going to use this opportunity to hit rewind go in the time machine and wish you a late fee May 4th May the force be with you. Jason:  [0:59] Thanks. As I hope you know I was thinking of you on May 4th I was kind of sad that we didn't get a chance to talk and I was carefully following your social media feeds to see if you would like post any any pictures of you like, with memorabilia are in costume or something so what what what did you do for May 4th. Scot:  [1:18] Yeah I'm soaps first of all I don't know if you know or not but May 1st kind of controversy in the hardcore Star Wars community. I don't have a lot of passion on this but a lot of people feel like it's kind of like our Hallmark holiday in the Star Wars world because the movie came out on May 25th so everyone's like what the heck made for Seattle. Funny pun but we should really be celebrating May 25th so just some fun diversion Star Wars. Factor for cocktail parties so I celebrated. I buy first I do have about cosplayer so I was not a Princess Leah or anything this year but I do have some pretty awesome Crocs from our friends at Crocs have some Stormtroopers and some cheese, this year I decided, tour of the Stormtroopers which was exciting and then I have a new Han Solo movie jacket that I got that's pretty cool it's kind of retro 70s kind of kick, jacket exciting thing for me on May 4th was I had an inkling that tickets will go on sale for the Han Solo movie so I was able to jump on those work some Fandango Magic, and secure up, have good set of tickets for myself in a bunch of friends so going to go see that on the 24th at 7 p.m. you're welcome to fly in from Chicago and see what this would love to have you. Jason:  [2:41] If I can get a hall pass from my wife I'm totally doing it. Scot:  [2:45] What you can bring her and Beta key we got room for all you guys. Jason:  [2:48] That would be fun in honor of you I missed May 4th but on May 5th I took baby geek to Toys R Us cuz I was kind of worried. That he was never going to get to go to a Toys R Us and I I tried very hard to interest him in the the land speeder bed II it was not a sale. Scot:  [3:10] What is just couldn't did like it. Jason:  [3:14] So we spent like he's very into Vehicles so we spent about 4 hours in the little electric vehicle section of Toys R Us. And I got heat he drove everything from the like Frozen themed Beetle through the the yellow Lamborghini and he on his own volition pics. This GM Silverado two seater pickup truck. [3:45] Yeah which made my my in-laws from the Flint Michigan extremely extremely proud and so we we bought this. The Tesla of a toys right like it's an electric vehicle and. I am now officially the last member of this this long-standing Detroit family to build a GM vehicle. Scot:  [4:07] Cooley schedule pickup truck you can pull off shotgun on the back there real cowboys. Jason:  [4:13] Exactly there's no gun rack yet but let me just say it was a we live right across the street from a park so we drive it over to that Park and he's already picked up about the four ladies that he's taken for a ride back he was very smart took down the two seater. Scot:  [4:27] Nice Draco. Jason:  [4:28] Yeah that's a chip off the old block but that's way more advanced than they block the original block. Scot:  [4:34] 4 hours in a Toys R Us is a that's pretty that's a long time in a Toys R Us was it so tell me about you guys are there obviously liquidating it was it was a kind of the ones I've been it's been super depressing hip I was yours. Jason:  [4:47] Well that's right I find Toys R Us just depressed right before they went bankrupt they were somewhat depressing because it's like you have all these fun childhood memories and it just. Not that fun or inspirational of a, environment these days but this particular store I'd say is early in the liquidation so it it absolutely felt like. Like they had a full inventory of stuff in the store didn't feel like the the selection was thinning at all and you know the deals weren't super deep yet. So it was enough heat my son will never remember the trip it was fun for me to say I've took him and I do think he had a really good time. Scot:  [5:27] And you have pictures and they are in a pickup truck so it's good. Jason:  [5:30] Exactly a pickup truck that by the way why doesn't fit in my condo. Scot:  [5:35] So you had to pay for a parking spot. Jason:  [5:40] I am I am bartering with a neighbor to share one of their extra. Scot:  [5:44] She like the most expensive toys. Jason:  [5:48] Well and the U-Haul truck I had to rent to drive it home yeah. Scot:  [5:51] Cool well wouldn't be a Jason Scott show without some Amazon news but today. We are going to start with Walmart news because they have been ruling the headlines to Big transaction so first of all about 2 weeks ago go rumors started swirling that they were looking to divest of their, UK grocery brand which I think is asthma. Jason:  [6:17] Exactly right. Scot:  [6:19] And they ended up selling that for 10 billion to Sansbury so that's interesting cuz they bought that 528 years ago. And it hasn't really grown has been kind of growth anchor for them so you know that that has been a bit of a black eye I don't know what they paid for it I think. I think is pretty even said that they sold it for about what they paid for it but it it hasn't been a huge success so then on the heels of that they turned around and this week acquired. The majority share of Flipkart India has very strict rules around for an ownership so they. My understanding is they can't own a hundred percent of it yet there's some path 200%, but they bought 77% for 16 billion and I think you do the math on that at the Vets out to value of, 28 to 22 billion dollars total for for a Flipkart so you know they they kind of exited the UK and then went into India with the proceeds. It was an interesting discussion on CNBC so you know this is here we are it's been. Couple weeks since Amazon announced their first quarter which which recovered on the show was just amazing and if you remember my free cash flow discussion there just pumping. Billions of dollars if 16 billion dollars is about what they're spending into quarters just for growth an Amazon just just out of free cash flow so. And so interesting CNBC discussion cuz what happened is the Walmart stock did not react well to this transaction thin and it is hard to cuz it's kinda like we did this m&a didn't work out so we're selling it and the good news is we kind. [7:54] Came out relatively unscathed in the UK. By the way we're going to take this plus $16 more and we go buy something even smaller so they don't disclose the revenue of Flipkart of the GMD but. All indications would be that it's not as large as as as though or you know even close to $16 I would you know the last I've heard it's like. 2 to 5 billion and GMP and then if you can't put a 15% agreed on that you know this is a smaller. Sub billion-dollar business Revenue was probably so pretty interesting. The normal discussion ensues which is it's not fair Amazon gets to spend so much but Walmart doesn't so it's kind of interesting to see that, play out with this transaction where you see yeah I don't know how involved he was you may have some inside of that but this is a very much feels like Mark Lori kind of saying look we. We got to be aggressive in India we got to get out in front of Amazon and outflank them and and. You're not to do that and you take grocery. We need to be in India so it feels like. Doing the right things they're not getting credit which I'm sure must be frustrating inside a couple more quick things there, eBay was kind of a big winner in this because about 6 months ago they invested 500 million into Flipkart they folded. EBay. I n into it and then now that position is worth 1.5 billion so nice three-bagger or 3x of their money, and I think they got free to go and it's not clear if they're just going to spin it off for relaunch but but they'll come back in India as eBay. I n. [9:28] With a nice warchest from the transaction so so kudos to the corporate development team anyway hopefully there, at least enjoying some extra pizza or something like that Jason what did you think about this deal. Jason:  [9:40] Yeah well first. Just as a reminder to Wisner is the reason that this gets so much players is, you know any is a potentially huge Market second most populous country in the world you know and rapidly evolving, population with with an enhanced spending power and very little, Commerce penetration brutal e-commerce penetration in the country so tons of growth and so you know flipcart is the biggest player but Amazon has been, China indigenous way, build a business in India and Amazon is already the second biggest player in India and is actually growing faster I think then put card so, it's interesting you know Amazon try to do indigenous we compete in China, and that didn't go very well it's a lot. You know people are like you know they won't repeat that mistake in India and you know so there's a lot of rumors and Amazon was bidding against the Amazon, Amazon was betting against Walmart for Flipkart alot of us back you I don't know where you were on this cop but you know I assumed Walmart was going to get it, because in my mind Amazon was only, would have been interested in foot cart if it was a good value like that they had no interest in overpaying on some strategic basis for Flipkart whereas, and I feel like Walmart really you know does have an interest in. [11:13] Establishing some some Global credibility you know Walmart wasn't particularly successful in China struggle in the mature Market in the UK and flipped Asda and so kind of felt like, you know we seen Amazon reached for Acquisitions before like Jet and that or Walmart rather and it wasn't surprising to see him. Reach again this time and supporting me almost wonders if Amazon sword I intentionally tried to beat him up a little bit. Scot:  [11:39] Yeah there was some talk on CNBC that, Amazon bid 2 billion above the 16th but the founders chose the Walmart did and it wasn't really clear what was going on with that so I don't know if that was just rumor or actually officially reported and I couldn't find it in writing anywhere so, but I do think Amazon was either really interested in it or. It was kind of a win-win that were they made Walmart really pay up for it so it'll be interesting to see how it plays out. Jason:  [12:11] The one thing I did I do believe is that Walmart was a more attractive buyer because there's a less likelihood of, regulatory impediments because Amazon is the number two player if they were to acquire the number one player there there would have been some some. Further regulatory hurdles in in India I'm so maybe I was just a safer safer way for the four, stop thinking and Company to get the money back so be interesting while Amazon is there anyone else that Amazon would want to buy there or will they just you know continue to go to loan and try to do better than they did in China. Scot:  [12:51] There's always been kind of a third player Snapdeal and in that round I talked about or eBay and Dustin 500 million there was rumors they were going to merge they didn't and I really heard much about Snapdeal lately so that maybe something Amazon, could pick up. Probably relatively cheap now cuz they're kind of left at the party without a chair in the music is stopped so I don't know if they really want to Amazon you know their acquisition strategy is. Primarily. To get into something to don't have in their dardi have a Marketplace they have invested heavily and FBA for that Marketplace what are the rules in India is you can't operate one p as a foreign entity and I think Flipkart has enough for investors they can't be one piece so all these are pure what I would call a pure Market Place model me they don't have a retail component, Subway Flipkart and Amazon have been furiously building out the photo centers though to help their sour basis I don't think Snapdeal had the investment. Not to do that and they got left behind so it said they're kind of the distant third player there that you know I'm paper Amazon could pick him up to you no time to continue to be ahead but I think they'll just got there. Jason:  [14:00] Yeah I feel you in a lot of markets you would you potentially acquire Local Company because that would would get you license to operate more as a local company but I think India has a strict rules about, ownership percentages that mean like you know Snapdeal word indigenous Indian company in Amazon acquired them they would then no longer be considered indigenous. That the feminine side is interesting to cuz one of the challenges in India is not just lack of payment centers its lack of infrastructure overall its its roads and delivery services and it's a very fragmented Market inside. My my sense is that the Amazon efforts and the fbar. The 10th potentially super lucrative because literally like they're building a whole capability that you know it's not like if you don't. Use Amazon you would just use UPS to deliver this. Scot:  [14:54] Yeah. Jason:  [14:56] So that's interesting and then I guess it's the one you know if is Amazon really wanted to spend some money to jump-start their presents and India the other thing would be interesting as there is a big payments player there which is paytm. I have no idea if they are for sale I think that's you know big investment from SoftBank and $0.10 but that. [15:17] Payments tend to be a big driver of digital Commerce platforms and obviously in China like I would argue that $0.10 and all I pay are. [15:28] In a big drivers and so you can imagine that would be a strategic place to invest in India as well. Scot:  [15:34] Yeah that's one. Jason:  [15:35] So some other Walmart news. The we talked a lot about retail strategies in general towards what I called owned Brands so essentially. Treating brands that are exclusive to the retailer that you know usually are a lot more than private label its. An aspirational brand with its own positioning in marketing in Walmart launched a new one of those last month called all is well home which is kind of there. Home Goods brand its bedding and mattresses. And in and of itself that would have been interesting that gets added to the stable of Brands they bought like bonobos and ModCloth. The weather things that I found interesting about all is well home is that Walmart actually launched. I stand alone you are out so rather than selling all's well on Walmart.com or even selling it on jet.com you buy all is well from. All is well home. Com in so that is a sort of, further step in the own brand a play then we've seen before like you know cat and Jack from Target the super successful brand that it doesn't have its own URL Rocketfish is a super successful brand, Best Buy it doesn't have its own URL like even you know the world's most successful own brand Alexa, you know obviously I'm buying Amazon like it doesn't have its own URL so interesting. [17:08] You know to see if that's a trend that we see more of his these Brands launching with their own URLs and a particularly interesting to me inside baseball thing. Walmart has built super robust e-commerce platform that they going to spend billions of dollars developing overtime call Pangea and when they watch this all is well home.com all is well home is running on Shopify. [17:35] Yep so. Scot:  [17:36] Ya Allah be with your Shopify to lunch kind of a micro set one clarification on Alexa is he was on does on the yard all day just don't tell Alexis on it it it it like. You you you obviously know but like if if people haven't looked Alexa was this company Amazon acquired this goes back into the 90s and preacher like 9899 and you would web web users would webmasters wood, it's all set of tools from Alexa and it would help them rank various websites and you would see your rank so it's kind of shared. Metrics kind of thing not many people use it today because the the date is pretty. Yep sketchy and but Amazon only are on the brands they use that when they came up the product they I guess they looked on their sweet of trademarks of the owned and pick that one out to to have the Alexa brand come out. Jason:  [18:29] Yep and I think I use it as I could be to be site for Alexa right like isn't it more for like people that want to partner in the Echo System. Scot:  [18:36] What else Alexis still has this traffic kind of thing and they try to turn it into a marketing stack so it's kind of a PPC tool kind of a thing a lot of the companies that did so he's metrics. Headed that way like a lot of comparison shopping engines have gone that way like next time but there's a lot of them don't have a ton of tricks that I've never heard of anyone using the Alexa tools. Jason:  [18:58] Gotcha, and then in addition to this new all is well home website Walmart also launched a pretty substantial redesign of walmart.com, somewhat controversial like it's a very minimalist design that you know doesn't have a real loud Walmart branding to it so it's the spark is what they Walmart cause the, the start of Starbucks logo and you don't want you scroll down from the homepage you get a very minimalist search bar at the top of the the site with just the spark and the what the word Walmart doesn't show up anywhere. Scot:  [19:41] Just freaked me out cuz I was working on a presentation and I was going to know do a screenshot of a Walmart marketplace, and I was looking at us like how is even going to know this is Walmart they're going to have to recognize the spark because the word Walmart literally kind of once you leave the homepage it melts away and there's no the menu becomes hamburger menu, yeah they moved the mobile metaphor to the desktop and yeah it's kind of. Kind of wild and then you know as you scroll on shop you have this persistent search bar hamburger menu and Spark which takes you back to walmart.com they really have no corporate branding so. Come on or something so it's kind of saying. You know where we want to give you more space for search results then our corporate brand and then also you know there's not a lot of browse here so once you leave the homepage and get in to search results there's not. There's nothing like a lot of bread crumbs I found I got a little lost their it took me awhile to kind of like get familiar with what's going on so it's a bit dark but it's interesting I was doing our desktop I'm sure it's great on mobile I bet on mobile it's it's kind of. Feels really good on desktop it feels kind of strange it's going to take so long Easter. Jason:  [20:57] Yeah I think overall it's way more visual so images are much more prominent and bigger and you know for example like on the pdp's the the skew images, take up way more real estate than they used to and so I think that's part of drinking that bar down is to have more real estate for the images and then you know the thing that Mark Lori has really hit on in the new design is, that it's, substantially more personalized for each individual visitor but also for each SKU category so you go to Department landing pages and they, that there's a lot of Rich editorial content that's in very different on the dog food from home from apparel and all those sorts of things. So pretty big operation for Walmart the thing I've seen most people complain about is not the lack of branding grocery is super Promenade on it and there's a grocery button and it takes you a separate URL with a completely different design aesthetic, so I think they've that's been the big critique I have seen of the site but I, I believe the grocery refreshes and fight as well so I suspect they'll they'll match up eventually, and then some other news on Walmart Last Mile, they've added some new delivery partners and they're phasing out some of their old delivery partner so so, about a year ago Walmart you announced that they were doing a lot of them at home delivery for book groceries and general merchandise and they announced Lyft and Uber is. [22:32] As initial partners and it now looks like they're phasing both of those vendors out they, they have used several third-party deliveries other delivery services they added Postmates to it. And then an interesting one of me is they added doordash as a grocery delivery partner. And the reason that's interesting is part of this I've never seen doordash deliver anything but restaurants. Scot:  [23:00] Yeah I know I saw him at shoptalk they you know they were talking about their reason restaurants lovers they only do food so yeah. You have prepared meals being food like restaurant food so they the kind of I guess when Walmart come calls you yeah you take that phone call. Jason:  [23:18] My recollection was that the CEO for. Cheesecake Factory was highlighting why they were such a good partner because they only did food and I I suspected the CEO of doordash already knew that he was in the throes of appreciating that getting highlighted so much. [23:38] But it is interesting you know there are all these delivery services tons of people Outsourcing delivery right now like one of the interesting things it seems like. Walmart is picking players that are willing to provide the delivery service but don't insist on owning the the delivery interface so you know I sent you that would provide delivery is sort of API if you're well so that Walmart could own. The digital interface unit the big delivery service that Walmart has never partnered with his instacart and you in front of the speculation Why is the instacart. You know that so far has it seems like they've always insisted on being the the front end for all the orders that are fulfilled through instacart. Scot:  [24:21] Got it said they're really just using the 1099 workers of these hooks have you go to Walmart or in the app do you do your groceries and it's delivered by one of these guys pretty probably unbranded out imagine right because you're not using their apps. Jason:  [24:34] Yeah. Scot:  [24:36] Just yeah just like. Jason:  [24:37] Yeah it's a white label delivery service. And it is you know these are all pilots in different markets at the moment and there is a pretty substantial pie with it actually does use Walmart W-2 employees, and this was a system where they essentially like offering an additional gig to all of the existing. Walmart employees that you can also do deliveries and I think it was some controversy that you know, like when they first announced his people sort of misunderstood and thought Walmart wasn't wasn't going to be paying their employees for these deliveries. Scot:  [25:13] Got it. This reminds me I forgot to put this in the show notes but I was at a Target the other day, and it's one of the newer ones and I noticed they had code off a part of the parking lot and it says it's got this kind of interesting that's got two arrows and it says Line 1 line 2 and then it's all blocked off and it says coming soon pick up area, passing and then now since I've done that pretty much every Target I go to has that and I've been deprived 6 targets the field research also known as looking for Star Wars toys but anyway so I was wondering if you know anything what's going on there. Jason:  [25:53] Yeah so they've announced a pretty substantial expansion of there curbside pickup program again for Grocery and General Merchandise and is a reminder, maybe 18 months ago they started a curbside pickup pilot using a vendor called curbside and they they abruptly cancelled that pilot. And then fast forward about nine months later they bought a competitor curbside called shipped and so these, so they now own that capability and so these these, does drive-thru lanes are the new curbside experience that's being managed by shipped and that's a shipt, and shipped does both curbside pickup for for customers that want to swing by the store and pick him up at their convenience and they also do do home delivery ship from store, On Target Staffing. Scot:  [26:51] Okay so it's not just for shift couriers will shift couriers go there too. Jason:  [26:56] I do know I don't know if that's a good question. Scot:  [26:59] So shift is going to walk it from the store to that look herb not a Target play. Jason:  [27:05] Yeah well so that shipped are target employees but so. Scot:  [27:09] I guess you. Jason:  [27:10] Yeah so. And the pilot is an exclusively using employees that were formerly shipped they could be originally target employees it's using some software and infrastructure that ship bought so that ship tones so one of the big things. Curbside pickup sounds really easy but it there's actually more complication right like do you. Schedule a time when the customer have to promise to come pick him up or do you use geofencing on the customer's mobile phone if you was geofencing how do you you know avoid, taking their groceries out that are perishable out to the curb when the customer just drives by the store to go get gas before they come to the store and, you know if you're using geofencing in the customers mobile app how do you avoid like burning through their battery and having the customer, uninstall your app because it's there the biggest battery hog on the phone like they're there are all these edge cases in complications and so some of these vendors like curbside and shipped. A big part of their IP is mitigating a bunch of the Zedge cases than in the case of curbside they're actually. X Apple employees that where the the geolocation team at Apple that that launched curbside so that's that's. You know very much what they highlight is one of their core competencies. Scot:  [28:28] Walmart curbside you pull up and you call this number and I've, people people Rave about it but there it does fail a lot of times like sometimes you call that number and no one calls and you know, and sometimes you call it and they have no idea who you are so there's still a lot of kinks in and making the stuff work. Jason:  [28:48] Yeah all of these retards are struggling to make them perfect and I would even say like all of them are piloting multiple experiences so in some Walmarts there's that SMS experience there are some Walmarts that are sort of drive-thru, venues in Walmart even have some Pilots where it's, curbside off site so they have dedicated pickup locations similar to the. The like Amazon what is it called Amazon. Scot:  [29:20] Go pick up. Jason:  [29:22] Trash pickup I think is actually. [29:24] Yeah so what's a different permutations out there I don't think the world is a landed on one but it's it's an area where I think all these retailers feel like they can have a differentiated customer experience if they're the ones that, The Canal at and your point it's it's can definitely be hit and miss at the moment. Scot:  [29:43] Brickell well it wouldn't be a Jason Scott show without some Amazon news. Amazon news new your margin is there. What the Amazon news I wanted to throw out there. It was kind of a, quite week for Amazon there's only like four or five things when I'm usually there's 10 and we have to cut it back the one that's kind of near and dear to my heart is in the auto category, and if you're not a long-term listening to you may not realize this but I am a Serial entrepreneur my third company was Channel visor started that still exist, German there started that in 2001 and then left around middle of 2015 on a day-to-day basis but still involved at a board level and then started another company, call Spiffy man we are on demand Car Care who started with car washing and detailing Nevada Doyle change and a bunch of other things were in five markets so I'm, I'm not keenly watching The Car Care space to understand what's going on there in the subsection of tires there's been a lot of interesting things there, there's a lot of Pilots of on demand tire sales and installation but that's really hard to do in a mobile kind of setting because the equipment required install tires as non-trivial, I and the skews of all the tires we could probably do it a whole show on this Jason, you and I have both been involved in auto parts for a while but it is a is a very complex you set to say the least just for the tires not even counting all the rest of of what goes on with with auto parts around fitment what not but this week There's a really interesting. [31:27] Announcement partnership between Sears and Amazon this is not the first time these companies have kind of had interactions before, so Sears is actively selling Kenmore and Craftsman on Amazon and. That is allegedly going pretty well so the way this is going to work is it satire partnership so it'll be able to do is buy your tires on Amazon, and then install them at a Sears for a nominal fee so this is. This is one of the challenges of buying tires online they're a lot cheaper than if you went to your local tire store but you know. If you've ever done this you literally get a giant cardboard box full of. For very heavy tires sent to you and then you then it's up to you to kind of holidays around and take them to your local tire installer and say please install these tires I didn't buy from you so it's a, it's not a great customer experience to say the least and no mirror I'm not aware of any mere mortals that can install their own tires that that's a non-trivial problem to solve. So is this going to work is starting to pile it in 47. What the locations they're called Sears Auto Centers and they're going to start an 8 cities and, Adobe in 47 of the store is Nate said he's now serious has 400 locations in 21. 200 technicians out there so they do have a really big footprint around tire installation Auto Care and the way to work is this so, you go to Amazon your Prime user they don't supposed to say this but I'm imagining this will be a prime only feature you select your tires that you want to buy so it's so you get a nice lovely. [33:02] Mommy upset at michelins it's up to you the consumer to figure out that they fit on your vehicle or not, Anna. Then at checkout you will get an option just like an Amazon Locker or something like that where it'll say Jason you live in Chicago and we have a. Pilot with the Sears near your house there and would you like to have these shipped to your Sears Auto Center on 1 Wacker Lane and have them installed for you you choose that and then, you are given three possible appointment times that you choose and then it wouldn't when you show up at that Sears. Center at that time they want saw your tires for a nominal fee you don't have to buy the tires from them obviously. So that's that sounds good and what I have learned the hard way on the stuff is you know the, in Excel and I call it these things work really well in and go awesome but you know you mentioned the edge cases of curbside I can think of like 60 edge cases here the number one I am going to call is, getting the wrong tires the vehicle of this is going to be a pretty common thing. OEM screen very specific about tires so if you buy a Lexus they have very certain tires they want you to put on there there's a lot of decisions around if you need one tire should you buy all 4 how do they wear, rotating the tires the same time there's like a Plexi there that's just really hard to capture an e-commerce is that that's going to be a challenge and then the scheduling of this is going to be tricky but I've learned about. [34:39] These customers that want you know automated car care is. They really like convenience and there's not much convenient to me like I don't say to myself a while I really want to go. Hang out at the Sears Auto Center for an hour while I install my tires so so that that's kind of a, of the places that install tires. All of mine are are inside malls inside Sears inside of malls so you have to deal with mall traffic the mall parking and all that kind of stuff to get in there so, I'm going to be interesting to see how this place but you know it is good news for Sears at any Lifeline when you're drowning is helpful their stock was up something like 17% this is like, yeah they're at $3 they bounced at like 3:50 and never was super excited, that's like the most their socks prison in in years now but I'm a little skeptical about the user experience on this one and see how they're going to nail it especially with that once yours takes over the time this thing I'm just not really sure those windows are going to work and how engaged this this year's. Low-level employees are going to be on it. Jason:  [35:42] Yeah and you you could imagine there's all kind you know suddenly Sears is competing with Amazon for pricing on the tires that Steve Sears historically sold them all those sorts of things to write like. Scot:  [35:54] Yeah there's Channel conflict now it's serious maybe thinking is, okay at least I got the customer in here now we can try to sell them on breaks in an oil but I know thing I have found is when when you talk to people about. Car Care experiences the number one experience people hate especially females is the upsell experience also known as the Jiffy Lube experience they hate going in for a. $50 oil change and leaving Having spent $400 they come home and their husbands like. What the heck you know why I just spent $40 and they're like well I got new brakes why you know, balance didn't check the shimmy on every tire and I got a cabin filter, and I got the premium oil filter and so you know there's there's actually lawsuits around all the stuff around the the upselling of these kinds of things to make these Services profitable has resulted in a really bad customer experience so, and then you when I think about Casey and and the Deloitte model of the bifurcation you know we deal with this every day at Sophie, the that customer on the convenient side do I think is Amazon Prime user they like zero friction in their life because Amazon stream to have you, you press 2 buttons and stuff shows up your house 2 days later what could be more convenient so it's interesting to see how smoothly this goes because that customer is really really hard to please and sending them to a Sears Center where I think just give me some upsell and some challenges going to be interesting to see how that works. Jason:  [37:25] Yeah for sure I mean it's funny one of the I think probably the original Legacy player in the spaces Tire Rack and their model as they they essentially sell you that tired of it you Commerce and then they they put together their own. Network of independent dealers that they chip the tires to you and you go to that dealer in that dealer would install it for you, and there's some very happy customers but they they have a lot of unhappy customers if you read the ratings and reviews and when you talk to people like one of the biggest problems they have is. Tire Rack shops those tires to that independent Tire Dealer and a customer comes in between the time that the customers about the tires comes in and, the the deer sounds that that customers tires to someone else. Scot:  [38:11] You can see that happening at Sears to you know if they don't have him get it off yeah. Jason:  [38:14] Yeah that's what I mean do I like you think about the the advanced things I fit Manton all these other issues but like just simple like you know commingling of inventory and those kinds of things could all all be challenges that I have to get worked out. [38:29] Any other Amazon news outside of tires. Scot:  [38:34] I'm thirsty if we had mentioned on the show that Kohl's and Amazon are Partners give us an update on that. Jason:  [38:40] Yep so last year Kohl's announces pilot where you could bring Amazon purchases, to a cold store to return them and they sent you became a return center for Amazon that's now in 42 stores and if they're their quarterly earnings call they the CEO called that program a homerun and essentially said, did they had a discernible increase in traffic and all the stores that accepted Amazon returns and that that seems totally viable to me that's it. Felt like a win-win it's one of the rare partner with Amazon cases where as far as I can tell. Kohl's really isn't giving up any data to Amazon right so it's not like. [39:24] Amazon is getting to meet and steal at Kohl's customer as a result of this this is really Kohl's getting to meet an Amazon customer and gets an opportunity to surprise and Delight them and sell them something when they bring their Amazon returns in, in sounds like like it's working well for them so far much earlier but this, this month Chico's started selling their apparel on Amazon, and Shelley broader the CEO there you know is saying that that immediately after the product went live on Amazon there seeing an uptick in traffic to the stores and today they will do I feel like, by virtue of being on the Amazon platform they're getting an opportunity to introduce the Chico's bran to a bunch of prime customers for the first time which is then, driving more sales to the stores in Chico's let you buy an Amazon return in the chico store so they're getting some visits that way and in that that seems interesting I I guess I'm. More skeptical in the chico story than I am Nicole story. Scot:  [40:32] You don't the one I'm skeptical to azra saying that what occurred to me was the podcast we had with dorel juvenile wear, they had done a fair amount of AMS and mg and it drove store. No traffic for them they don't own stories but it drove like Downstream Costco Walmart Target kind of visits so I could see where I think it could make sense is if as part of this launch Chico's went and they not only buy it you know a bunch of headline Search terms for like Chico's but, yeah maybe now you starting to browse Amazon and you're seeing you know women's blouse and pants and skirt and now people, you just having listings wouldn't do this but if they had a fair amount of marketing budget I think that could drive people in the stores. Jason:  [41:18] Yep no I I could definitely see that I think in general Chico's has a lot of head winds and. [41:26] Yeah they're in malls there you know where someone older customer they're in their parallel space which it has a bunch of indigenous challenges until you know a lot of us as soon they were on Amazon because they were somewhat distressed in in, needed to find some some some new eyeballs so there's there's a school of thought that it wouldn't take that many net new customers walking in the Chico's to be favorable to Chico's. Scot:  [41:48] Oh my my middle schooler would say burn. Jason:  [41:51] Yeah yeah not don't mean it to be pretty good harsh but you know, they are one of the first players in this category that right so I'm certainly watching and trying to learn, we talked a little bit in the Walmart case about owned Brands Amazon of courses is dominating the own brand space, and they watched it but I think isn't another new one that we haven't talked about in the show yet they wants to wag which is there pet food brand. They may have had a few skews but they they want a whole line of dog foods and what's interesting to me is. How robust the content and selling on Amazon is around wag so you know you go to the the pet department on Amazon now and it's a. Personalized editorial Rich page it doesn't it doesn't feel like. Just another page in Amazon catalog it feels like a real landing page for pet owners and then the the department Pages for wag are are super robust and. As is usually the case. When Amazon makes pdp's for their owned Brands they really execute all the best practices so whenever we're talking to Brandon about you know what what kind of content they have to have in their pdp's. You know we always use the Amazon owned Brands as examples in these wax cubes are going to be another another good example like they're there very long Rich pages that have a lot more content to help you feel good about you know finding the right food for your dog then. [43:27] Yeah some of the national brands that have been selling on Amazon. Scot:  [43:30] Is MacGyver enjoying some wag dog food. Jason:  [43:33] So MacGyver is a super Elite one percenter that's probably eating better than I am so no. He get some fancy Boutique food from you know I'm a cow that was probably like massage by a Japanese Wagyu dude. He probably eats the best in her family and he also officially has the most expensive haircuts in her family so. Scot:  [44:01] Man if you guys are adopting a sign me up you get out of an electric vehicle. Jason:  [44:08] The three-year-old gets his own car and in parking spot and the the dog gets a groomer that comes to the house and gives him a you know full day spa treatment so yeah everyone in my family but me is pretty high on the hog so I you know. Scot:  [44:21] Songs going to pay for all this. Jason:  [44:25] Exactly that's what you asked you were you were posting some new job listings on Twitter the other day that you found interesting and I'm like I might need to do some of those two moonlight. Scot:  [44:36] Yeah I thought you would be a good applicant for one of those interesting there or is this was a recruiter on LinkedIn you saying hey I'm working with a large top-tier cpg brand that's looking for a head of Commerce and your Amazon experience is a is a would-be is a, very strong nice to have kind of thing so that was interesting like a year ago no one would have thought to make that part of a job requirement for e-commerce of the CPT and now it's it's kind of. Top top line. Jason:  [45:05] Yeah that night I think that's actually interesting and I probably would have replied but you also forwarded it to our friend David who I feel like his way more qualified and so I didn't want to apply and then get rejected. [45:18] So they were also two big Tech conferences this week that we generally follow for big news that's going to affect the Commerce Pace Facebook's big developer conference, and I think there's some controversy I'm still calling it a fate but I think you've heard some people call it fate. Scot:  [45:39] Yeah. Jason:  [45:41] So if you don't know what the official ruling is there but they had their conference two weeks ago and then this week was Google IO which is there big developer conference. Did you have any takeaways from the either of those. Scot:  [45:54] There's a lot of stuff to talk about outside of retail but I think probably the big news for this podcast is there was a lot of retail news you know so we've we've had you know. Google talking about. You know they're making some changes in Commerce so we've covered on the show with their new Express is Comic-Con Marketplace is how I think about it but they did tweet. Google Express and then Facebook had in the last. Fates or Fates they have increasingly down a lot around messenger and talking about transactions their favorite company talk about their is everlane where do they show the post transaction messaging happening in Facebook Messenger. I saw no e-commerce kind of related content from both these guys you maybe the big news for me at Facebook is a reorg they're tired of all the team and the guy that was, CEO of PayPal, who they moved Messenger to blockchain Technologies so it's kind of like he, felt like to me they threw this against the wall or let's go create a WeChat we bow type you know chat. Commerce teen and it feels like either. Either he is moving on cuz he's not interested or there said let's try watching now so yeah I may be reading too much into that but I thought it was pretty interesting there. Jason:  [47:19] Yeah and I think I was part of a bigger reorg I think a bunch of execs kind of moved around so it's. It's going to be interesting to see how that all plays out from Google I O I saw a few little things like in years past or much more substantial announcements that I felt were sort of court of Commerce. This year you know before the conference Google Consolidated several payment Technologies and so now it's just Google pay you know which consolidated, Google Wallet in Google pay and Android pay and that, that is a digital wallet that's been available on apps on the Google echo system for a while but they extended it to the web so you can now use if you are a Google pay user you can. Pee in a Chrome browser in a mobile web situation if the is the e-commerce site supports that. So there's a bunch of mobile web sites out there that you know would probably benefit from adding support for Google pay. [48:22] Apple did that earlier in the year and so you know there's a couple reasons to update your your mobile web experience. Google did announce some new versions of the Google home that have screens in them so you know in theory that could be Richard Commerce experiences you know I'm not. I'm not sure that the Alexa show where the screen has his been you know the the the fast runner in the Alexa family and so I I kind of suspect. Is it that the Google home screen will be even more niche. [48:58] Google have some does have some really interesting mobile technology so you know a big one that's getting a lot of traction is amp. Which is a technology for rendering lighter-weight faster rendering mobile pages and originally you know it had some really great user experiences but it came with a lot of baggage. Can I type A constrained by Google and Google's been spinning it off and making it much more open and adding a bunch of capabilities that are a lot more e-commerce friendly. And in their continuing to do that so you know some of the the complaints that people had about amp for an e-commerce site they've. There a dressing in announcements from Google IO so definitely of your eCommerce site. I would be thinking about implementing amp in my mobile experience in in the other big mobile technology that Google really was first to Market with his Progressive web apps which is this kind of notion. Being able to download binary code on demand that have a real app like experience without having to force the user to go through the App Store and download an app and another password and reinstalled the app and. And all of those sorts of things and said that they're continuing to evolve pwa. [50:19] But that standard is never really got a lot of traction because if it wasn't supported in the Apple echo system. And you know frankly the overwhelming majority of mobile Commerce happens on Apple devices so despite the fact that Google had this great support for pwa. It didn't make a lot of sense for eCommerce sites to implement pwa is because you were only addressing. The minority of the market that were you know Google shoppers. Apple in the most recent operating system you know finally implemented pwazon Safari so now. You know I expect we're going to start seeing that be a best practice as well so at all those Google Technologies together in a couple other things. And almost every conversate on the planet you know could probably do with a pretty substantial Mobile update right now because there are so many new beneficial Technologies. Scot:  [51:11] Good thing to do before holiday. Jason:  [51:14] Exactly in an if you're going to do that you should probably be starting right now. So feel free to call me at work and we'll take care of you. Scot that's going to be a good place to end it for this week because we we have used auto added a lot of time as we're trying to shorten his up and make him just slightly more concise but if we've left you wanting more or you have any burning questions. I would love to continue the conversation on our Facebook page so jump over there and then drop us a line and then I mean Scott hangs out there almost 24/7 so. And you always you always get a response there and of course if you enjoy this show the best way you can repay us for all the time we put into it is to jump on the iTunes and give us that 5-star review. Scot:  [52:02] Thanks for joining so. Jason:  [52:04] Until next time happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP130 - Comcast Ventures Daniel Gulati

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2018 53:42


EP130 - Comcast Ventures Daniel Gulati  We caught up with Daniel Gulati (@DanielGulati) at ShopTalk 2018. Daniel is a partner at Comcast Ventures a venture capital firm that focus on early stage consumer internet investing.  Comcast Ventures was an early investor in Away, MealPal, and recently invested in Zola (hear Zola founder Shan Lyn in episode 98). We spoke with Daniel about his background, his book, Passion and Purpose: Stories from the Best and Brightest Young Business Leaders, his portfolio companies, the direct to consumer market, competing with Amazon, and the future of retail. Episode 130 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Tuesday, March 20, 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. New beta feature, Google Transcription: Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this episode is being recorded on Tuesday March 20th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your Scott Wingo. Scot: [0:38] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason and Scott show listeners we are live here from the shop talk show in Sunny Las Vegas and excited to have on the show Daniel Galati [0:48] Daniel is a partner at Comcast Ventures and has Ed Stinson retail with BCG fab.com fashion Steak & More. His current portfolio companies include away mealpal Pancho shine and athletic welcome to the show Daniel. Daniel: [1:02] Hey guys great speaker. Jason: [1:05] So before we even get into it I know you you I had a little experience with Fab is my name bringing. Scot: [1:12] Bad. Daniel: [1:13] I had to do a double-take but I would say it was it was a roller coaster ride at 5 but that old good memories now so I think we're good. Jason: [1:23] That is the beauty of. Daniel: [1:24] Yeah that is video time. Jason: [1:26] Daniel one of the things we always like to do early in the show is get get a little flavor for sort of how you you came to this industry and. Scot: [1:35] What your tournament regulation was. Daniel: [1:37] Totally my matriculation well. Jason: [1:41] Paid extra for using big words I'm not quite the sesquipedalian. Scot: [1:46] I like it I just woke up. Daniel: [1:46] I just write that down so I guess I kind of made a winding road kind of photo ID Road into BC so started my career straight out of undergrad at a company called Boston Consulting Group B C J. Management consulting firm and really a BCG focused on actually read retail clients so like very large retailers. And you know at that time this car 2006-2007 a lot of those retailers were really thinking about just starting to think just starting to think about technology kind of customer facing. So I think historically they had to wait till. Kind of court and Court it is kind of his back office efficiency box that they had to check. And kind of with the growth of Amazon and and and some of the some of the other early e-commerce players Rita's or technology is a customer-facing vectors of strategic tools. Really starting to shift to the to the full front so a lot of my time there was cutting my teeth on filming digital strategy technology is big is Big retailers. [3:06] I figured out that I had a passion for technology for early stage of embryonic Technologies and wanted to kind of double down there. So you're off to a few the BCG few great use a BCG went to Business School. And started my first real company called fashion sacred Marketplace for independent fashion kind of vertical eyes that see. I was at a time where the fashion industry specifically was kind of opening up so. You know it's going to sound really Antiquated but this is 2009-2010 where you at Young blogger is coming to New York Fashion Week to the first time I don't like posting these like. Amazing photos of all the stuff that was going on. That's one of democratization of the industry of never really happened before I think fashion was always cuz it's closed. Closed-loop industry and so what you had was you had these new wave of consumer demand that was Unleashed in consumers were really. Trying to go beyond the traditional luxury brands. And an answer to the aperture so different types of fashion from different types of designers. Was increasing and we will try to hook into that so we we. Rent in your eyes Venture Capital group the team ran the business for a few years. [4:42] And a little company in New York called fab.com was just getting started in 2012. And at the time it was basically the fastest growing e-commerce company you're definitely here in the US. And and maybe even be on that and you're sad was really for those that don't know if that was really a. Highly curated design Centric e-commerce destination. Scot: [5:14] Dynastar was kind of a flash sale and then kind of built kind of more going to carry that stuff around. Daniel: [5:18] Did will actually start a bit actually. Scot: [5:20] Hook up yet. Daniel: [5:21] So was it what we had was kind of it was a hook-up site and then it became so to be a social media site. For the gay population that was Jason Bradford's stick and I had a big following and so have been pivoted to these comments destination. And so they did amazing numbers Haven today the number is kind of throw out there you know you're over a million dollars a month in the first 25 days and to the popping up from there. And I really built their business off of Home Goods actually like Home Goods in and. Home Furnishings in and fashion was always something that they almost needed to get into because of how big it was but just didn't have the right and DNA and and you know we're doing 20 other things that they around the core business. We ended up joining forces in January of 2012. And a whole team went over night I ran the fashion vertical essentially in fashion when did not hear from you know nothing to Fab's biggest vertical softwoods the palace Pacific rated men's and women's wear. Fab's biggest business. He was a bit of a sign of the times I think you'll group and some of the other companies had had popularized kind of online shopping fit for Apparel in a way that. [6:53] I'm didn't exist before end and also from imagine spective it was it was actually really attractive so. Had a great time there for let's roll let's pros and cons didn't want to get back into the early stage well. I'm sorry you're ended up joining Comcast Ventures entrepreneur-in-residence and I've been there since you know 2014. Scot: [7:20] Temples in New York right so they knew the Jew what did you move out to SFO. Daniel: [7:24] So I move to San Francisco in January of last year. So I spend a lot of time in this photo New York e-commerce saying which is like a pretty new singing group in 2007 and and. Scot: [7:39] It's all double click people a lot of it is. Daniel: [7:41] What a double quick people. Scot: [7:42] Double click Mafia that doesn't get talked about as much as I like the PayPal Mafia but there's an East Coast double-click Mafia that's behind most of the companies are. Daniel: [7:49] Totally light where R investors in a lot like really happy messaging in a company called Zoeller and Shannon was obviously a joke group and. Scot: [7:58] She's been on the show. Daniel: [7:59] Stream the show and and and and that. Sort of an issue Cadre that 2007 2008 cohort is kind of old gone in and done really great things in in your bed. To that it was pretty small community now it's a really big Community with all the d2c brands. The time they went that many that many folks in and he come over there and so you want to jump over the VC had the. So have those relationships and had the privilege of some pretty red boss daily deal fudge. It was not hard to kind of bear hug the the sector and come and get to know everyone and then and then you know as I start breastfeeding Comcast Ventures. Your San Francisco is West Coast is kind of too much too big to ignore and so I moved over here and and and try to call the New York from here as well. Scot: [8:57] Brickell. Jason: [8:58] Brief side note one of the founders of half.com Jason Goldberg and I share the same name and he's somewhat of a polarizing figure so I get. [9:08] I used to get like a ton of funny emails intended for him and so we would talk to him I do want all these and he's like only if they're really. Daniel: [9:17] I guess I'm not know my experience. You're reporting directly to him was I've not seen many people that kind of rally troops the way he can rally troops right like internally as well as accidentally with investors in touch I think it's no. It's not anyone who's ever met him into those environments I don't think would be shocked. So the amount of capital he's able to continually raise I think he's a great he's a great Storyteller and and a great salesperson in into the best. That's why I think there's a lot of things that Fab didn't do right I think Jason also has a lot of a lot of strength. Jason: [10:03] In fact he's just starting a new gig which is in the. [10:08] So he found that follow that and start getting that email the you also we talked a lot about Amazon being a friend of me they for sure for you because you have a book that's for sale on Amazon. Daniel: [10:21] I dare I do so passion and purpose. This is going back to 2011 when it was published. The book was really your kind of written at a time when. The economy was talking like this was post financial crisis you know recession was in the air and more importantly. So the ins the core institutions of business were being very much attacked right so I. Why do people pee in the cross the sun on the banking system I think that's a fair characterization. I think large companies are big corporations kind of the Fortune 100 with being. [11:12] Torn down in the in the media and dosage kind of General anti-business anti-capitalist kind of climate right. I really didn't drive with what we were seeing you know it business school and end with some of the folks. Scot: [11:27] The icons in under which was. Daniel: [11:28] But I come tonight which was folks that we using business and they're in their own start a company specifically to kind of be a force for good. And so the book was really a bad hey how did how can we eliminate the stories these kind of green shoes. Folks that are your whether it was in sustainability whether it was in cleantech whether it was in your more traditional kind of Industries trying to. Generate profits but not disregard their obligations to other stakeholders. And so sent you the book is about those people in those stories and trying to provide some inspiration to. The folks in an engender more trust in kind of market economies and and capitalist system is more generally. So I would say Amazon in that do not census is a friend because you know we pretty much know all about all that product for Amazon. Books fit on the Cowboys. Scot: [12:37] Brickell let's dig into to Comcast Center so, every VC that I know has kind of really good kind of a synopsis of what the firm's sweet spot is you guys are interesting cuz you have that Comcast word in there so I would love to hear and understand how that brings the weight of a large corporation to two potential startups, and then would love to hear kind of a Lil Bit about some portfolio highlights of the company's you've invested in while you're there. Daniel: [13:01] Absolutely so yes the way I think about it it's kind of VC Plus. Right so at Comcast Ventures we are first and foremost financially motivated. So it's a it's a completely separate your full of capital all of the partners around the table are. Compensated based on the performance about investing right which is I think. Fundamentally different from a lot of kind of quote-unquote strategic funds out there right so first and foremost was looking for. Great companies Great teams in promising sectors and yoga with the with the goal of generating Roi on this. [13:49] Plus part of it is really around a relation. Kind of special relationship with a soil P which is come to you. Comcast NBC you when you when you can I think about it between the Coca-Cola video Business Wireless bsmd side of the business. Your media side of the business the theme parks out of the visit you want to go on and on and on. It's kind of rare the startup company Weatherby you consume a company or Enterprise company that doesn't have something to gain from a relationship with compass and BECU. So where possible and kind of time these things right. Auntie on both sides we try to we try to broker relationships between between both sides and so really good example of that is showing aggression. So your NBC has your original programming. And and your TV can be really great customer acquisition tool and so y'all better pull for a company shine wear. We really tried to look for opportunities to integrate the shine message in the shine product in the shine story. Into core Embassy you don't listen to the NBC slight that's a really really it's one example of many of how. Scot: [15:21] Play a tool not every VC can bring to the table. Daniel: [15:26] Is one of these things when nothing is again you have to kind of time these things right nothing is promised and lots of stuff but it's something that I think I find at least it helps me differentiate in the Moc. Scot: [15:38] Yeah must be nice to because you could you let say your shoptalk you see this interesting marketing technology from assassin der you can go to you know imagine there's like a. Yo of Pride the best marketing people in the world you can go to and say Hey how do you feel about this cool new email thing or because you know cuz you guys are doing it at a scale that so you know top 20 kind of a scale and they may say wow that's pretty interesting or, oh I've been doing that for 8 years and after that. Must be nice on your side to go and be able to get some real verification from. From practitioners that are doing the stuff on a daily basis. Daniel: [16:12] It is that's all true I think the other point to make is. [16:18] You think about kind of I think I'll give you his financial returns almost proceed strategic value. I feel like there two ways you can look at it one is hey let me just take what Comcast NBC you can currently interested in. And go in investing of sectors by that's one lens and that's a lot of strategic funds corporate funds if the other lands like let me go out and find the best companies. And yeah I think we take that approach because we feel like those companies. Future I will actually be most beneficial to someone who come cost me see you right so that's one kind of premise which is kind of financial value per seeds. [17:03] Eventually eventually create strategic value not the other way around necessarily. I think secondly if you actually look at the data and I was going through this the other day it's kind of like the the hottest sectors of today. [17:19] Accurately predict the best returns of tomorrow I took you look at. [17:26] You're so old I threw that the different life cycles attack you know. Scot: [17:33] If it can be the case that. Daniel: [17:33] Can be the case that you're a hot sector today generates in a great great returns but in general we see that your prices got bit off you get a lot of me to competition to protect I'm sorry. What we really try to focus on his Less on. Sir sector-wide bats but he only the only stage and more and like the individual. Companies in the individual teams and we feel like they're building something kind of unique and interesting I think we we definitely take the point of view that. [18:06] Have to be you have to be contrarian rights to make money right. Scot: [18:12] Go to the you are just some of the normal DC kind of parameters is there a guy's is a certain stage we like series ABC seed and then is there a certain kind of investment amount that you're looking for, what's nice about strategic books is a lot of times I have a lot more flexibility than you know like certain BC will go to their limited partners and go get it. Pretty boxed in LW you know we are a you know, we're looking for series B and their company has to have 5 million in revenue and Scooby consumer internet and and really very specific are you guys where do you find that special. Daniel: [18:45] I would say historically we would have more specific and today we're very. When much more General ride sir historically and I think this is the driving Factor he was kind of around the table would just kind of mole latest stage in their orientation right so we used to. Your before I joined sent me focused on I didn't say post-series be investing. And probably more heavily on the Enterprise so I've been consumed inside. Your ad tax ass even infrastructure was kind of more of the focus I would say since then I've lost you in five or so years. Your appetite for early-stage investing has kind of dramatically increase the man we still we still do a lot of growth growth investing and was still. We got a grave to the Enterprise to be practiced by. Your what we saw was your mormal companies getting through locked up by deep-pocketed BC pretty early on in their in their life cycle. And you're the facts about it was just like we weren't getting a shot if we went already in those companies and so. Increasingly we you know I focus on Seton series I investing almost exclusively and my colleagues and so. You're when you still have put it all together we are a. [20:16] Relatively sector agnostic your and now stage agnostic I think there is some there is some markets that you going to where you kind of say. You know we want to let this play out a little bit and come in a little bit later and and right Bigga checks later. What weekend are we now it's too pretty big effort equipped off this year. And your we've been tracking the space for a number of years and for a variety of different reasons felt like now was a time so come in and. And we're focusing on early stage investing in in in that area and there's some other markets where. Call Madison's is one example of that where. We feel like we can be really competitive at the light stage as well as the early stage and we're happy to sometimes let things play out before kind of jumping in with an investment so it's highly. Secta dependent the teal point I think we've got the flexibility to too so to enter it at most points in the in the business cycle. Scot: [21:22] So give us some so I went through some of the portfolio companies maybe give us like a little kind of summary of some of the ones that would be most appropriate for like the shop talk kind of obvious. Daniel: [21:32] Yeah so just a couple that I've invested in your one of them is a company called a way which is a direct-to-consumer travel brand. So I invested in that company in July 2015 was was when the seed round but Don. And really the the thesis around the investment was you've gone. [21:57] You've got these pretty big incumbents in in Stamps not into me that don't actually generate a ton of. Excitement with consumers and yet at the same time your luggage is a 9 billion dollar category domestically in. Yeah it it's a it's a it's a huge Market opportunity the same time those play as one. Digital natives right and so. You know you could see the opportunity from pretty dramatic shift if someone came in you know applied the DDC model to that industry. And instead of Market themselves is so it is aspirational travel ranches what why is Don and I think. I think it's going a lot faster than than even to the. Investigative have would have predicted and I think that growth is being pretty astounding. They I think you've successfully created like one of the things that I would think about is what makes a great DC brand right like why does away succeed when others even in the category of failed. And I think the thing that makes a really good day to see if I think that away what is white has done really well is created This Woman's aspirational World for the consumer the kind of stepping right so it was never about. Nickel specifications of the suitcase it was never a. Even the suitcase it was about the story around this lighting of the travel the global traveler last all that these millennials. [23:38] I think really took too early. And the fact that matter is when you create that aspirational lifestyle that kind of gives you the license to sell a lot of things to the consumer right like starting with luggage but today they announced. Front pocket you know last week they announced your aluminum luggage a lot of other really interesting things in the pot. But you could have you could have only done that if you had first kind of laid that brand Foundation nothing that's where in the DDC will receive the bifurcation where you know. You would have glossy or away or Casper you guys done such a great job selling the lifestyle to the consumer. And I mean the ones that we see the less successful and just kind of pushing product and playing the same kind of LTD cat game is everyone else in and you got feels a lot more on Sanibel to us. Yeah I think of ways been a really exciting company for us and I think. To give you an example of as more of a Marketplace investment led the series a round in a company called mealpal. Which is a subscription service for meals that you pick up. Scot: [24:54] Meals that you take off. Daniel: [24:57] So that the. Scot: [24:59] This is made by individuals kind of so like I'm a cook I have some extra capacity I want to join the marketplace. Daniel: [25:05] Restaurant meals so existing existing restaurant in the thesis there was really. The market for a $15 cheeseburger delivered to you for an $8 delivery fees pretty tiny Market I think we got. Jason: [25:23] You're looking at that Mark. Daniel: [25:24] It's a it's a you know. The top 1% top of top of Market that you kind of solving for that and it's a pretty. It's a pretty crowded Market actually if you think about all the different plays at it there in that space it's a mealpal was really coming out of it What attracted me to point of view which is. Instead of charging for delivery we going to contact cost out of the chain I'm going to I'm going to give value to the to the consumer and so they're actually going for. You're essentially the most affordable restaurant lunch you can get right into the. The The Innovation there is such kind of the pricing model Innovation there is really to these restaurants in the thousands of restaurants on the on the platform there in 13 series you're going really quick way. The Innovation there was really supply-side innovation. There their deals with with the restaurants and kind of how they get the restaurants to the Albright profitably is being I think pretty unique. I did exactly the business actually has to Marshall a lot of really. Interesting elements right around data around to the operational aspects of the business around you know managing me. Whole Fleet of restaurants in are there a lot of things I have to kind of come together to have this. Lee seamless consumer experience and I think. [27:01] It's one of those it's one of those like complex coordination businesses where you know if you get a ride to Canby it can be really powerful and I think you know the end of the day the market for a $6 restaurant launches. Channel more times bigger than the market for a $19 cheeseburger delivered to you so that's why we got excited about that one. Scot: [27:22] Can you go to these restaurants now and I got his one Chinese on today they really have 10 devices lined up and they've gotten enough to Uber Eats tablet the GrubHub tablet there's usually like to local ones like, in North Carolina we have order up and something else and it some point you're like this is not sustainable. Daniel: [27:39] The last thing we wanted to do was just be another kind of delivery player right we wanted to really crave I for these restaurants. Jason: [27:47] What is interesting to me about that space though is that. [27:51] For a long time we had these are the traditional segmentations of these. Scot: [27:54] Segmentations of these bites. Jason: [27:56] Different ways that consumer saw their eating problem like groceries versus Ready-to-Eat versus USR versus fast casual in life. [28:04] The digital disruption of all of those businesses if it feels right at the moment like all bets are off and they all are potentially competing with each other for the consumer use cases. Daniel: [28:17] I think that's definitely true I think we in the food space generally speaking have. I think what stopped in the in in the food space. Is that you're trying to combine you know Logistics which is essentially a very low margin tough complex business with. Your food prep which is a food supply chains which is like a really low mileage and top business with delivery which is a really let you know like it. I think we're a lot of these players have really Fallen is is impetigo somebody's restaurant today. Maple is a pretty good example where they're just really really low margin complex businesses that done a lot of cash you know I think we could companies it's one where. Retention is is is Yokai the issue there any kind of what happens if you just kind of Chun through your early adopters in your Cactus and it goes off popping up and and kind of Hit the ceiling on. Basement running through your audience so I think we theoretically agree that you know that. Grocery stores selling full movies online in a way that it hasn't in the in the past but I think that will be the domain of the logic. Players so like I just walked into my local Whole Foods on the weekend like the whole front portion of the whole foods with the Amazon 2-hour delivery Prime Bridge. [29:54] And I think that like when you have that scale when you have that physical full praying you're you're really well position to. Century like execute on an omni-channel play right which is order online and they speaking store your kind of leveraging both your online and offline assets. I think for a company starting today. Scot: [30:19] That. Daniel: [30:21] It's kind of subscale I think we feel like the the the ones that are going to win have to have a pretty big balance sheets. Scot: [30:30] Yeah. Daniel: [30:32] I'm wearing dresses in a company in instacart which is a company that space where they have a really big balance sheet and they are doing really well but. Your takes it takes awhile to get there not every company and get the. Jason: [30:47] Yeah it was interesting I moderated a panel on the future of grocery at the show yesterday in one of the the That's My Pan was the founder of Chef. [30:56] And he is so there I mean okay company in his POV was very much. [31:02] The future of me on kids is on demand Not subscription because of the fatigue issues you mentioned and that it's most likely store pickup versus direct-to-consumer which feels like the sort of your bed mealpal as well. Daniel: [31:14] Yeah and I think again that's one where. [31:18] Tren can always favors the incumbents little bit more than the disruptors. And so yeah we never want to throw the baby out with the bathwater when when making Investments why we we try not to redline categories we try to really focus on the individual companies that will be the winners. But I think that one is at your pretty capital-intensive one. Jason: [31:45] Switching topics right away cuz you you mention to instacart and it suddenly dawned on me. [31:53] You you must have some relationship with Unilever because I know you're both investors in instacart and you have a really famous exhibit in our in our space that use Ulta Unilever. Daniel: [32:05] Yeah so your Dollar Shave Club was an investment that one of my partner is Rick Ross co-lead you know that. Business I mean from the get-go was pretty early stories about every business is a roller coaster and nothing goes up and to the right I think that's one where. We pretty much went up into the ride. Time you're right from the get-go right from the video all the way through the 2 to the exit I mean with a few exceptions but for the most part was a very very healthy business kind of early on and so stay that way. You know I think increasingly. For a lot of these big e-commerce Acquisitions you know whether it's in jet whether it's a Dollar Shave Club where there's a chewy. [32:54] It always becomes if you're obviously the fundamentals are important I think. [33:00] Critical to to Taconic stop the conversation. I think a lot of the times these companies and now thinking about how quickly e-commerce is happening and. The fact that if they don't move quickly they're kind of going to get left in the dust and so they're almost thinking about these Acquisitions as. Scot: [33:22] Extent of market cap. Daniel: [33:23] Percent of market cap when was like an insurance play and I think that's what's driving a lot of these kind of strategic multiples I think Dollar Shave Club could have definitely been Justified on fundamentals. But I think that was that was as much a fundamental kind of lead m&a story is it was a strategic Ma. Scot: [33:47] Yeah I think I read some stories and I don't know any of the numbers but I think they were putting some pressure on like Gillette and they're like starting to feel it at the cash register. So I was more than insurance policy is really on to something and eating our lunch. Daniel: [34:03] Totally. Totally and I think it was that was more of like a P&G story but I think the Unilever was a great opportunity to kind of get a shot at running the the male bathroom right so like it was a story around raises but I think. Other ancillary products. Scot: [34:21] Scot some interesting knock on effects there's an activist very active and P&G right now and his whole thesis as you should have bought Dollar Shave Club and you're not doing enough to go to racton, and it's really interesting to see these these really big brand get shaken up from the top down because they day or not interesting enough and direct consumer in France. Daniel: [34:41] Totally and I think you know this way cuz you have to give the Toys R Us and use your that's one where. [34:47] I just feel like that company is being really slow doing today you know it's it's they you're in this huge category. Scot: [34:55] Huge category. Daniel: [34:57] You've got the biggest physical footprint you know in the world in the category you've got almost ubiquitous awareness amongst consumer and and and Muldrow. And so why it's not. [35:13] I think I could have done a lot to Sriracha themselves into this new era and I kind of didn't see the result on the retail side what we see is almost. Application of like retail so I think it's fashionable to come out and say and Retail his dad these retail apocalypse whatever. I think what we're really seeing is there pockets of retail that actually make a lot of sense in that a growing really quickly like off price is really good example of. Actor value segment of retail is growing really fast. And I'll pry specifically are you okay to Ross you work at a TJ you look at a Nordstrom Rack you'll get a Saks OFF Fifth like all of the growth in in in the causes businesses are from the off-price channel. Increasingly Seymour Mo Supply made for channel made for a price you know I think on the other end of the spectrum you got a lot of growth in luxury I think it was as you see the premium ization of also different categories in. You know. The rich getting richer and I think the growth in the luxury segment kind of place to that I think where we see a lot of. Issues a kind of the middle ground right so where you know you know the value play to the consumer you know the luxury play. You kind of a middle play which I think is increasingly kind of nothing play because I think that's where. [36:45] A piece is that where e-commerce your kids you the hottest that's where I was on hit you really hard and I think that's where you saying a lot of these bankruptcies in and what not wear. There's no basis for differentiation in the consumers mind and you just never going to win on price and selection and so that's where they're all failing. Scot: [37:04] Yeah but if you're if you're neither value or convenient then you're toast like Toys R Us isn't like a convenient place to go and it said we not value Macy's allow these guys are closing stores are kind of stuck in that. The Death Valley in the middle there we had books from the light on and they have a really good report about this when they called the retail bifurcation and it got really good data around that that that's a definitely something that that all brands and retailer should have in mind I think. I'm going to think about who they're going after, you kind of brought it up so it was big into it and it wouldn't be a Jason Scott show we did talk a little bit about Amazon how much does that factor into your investment decisions you know what kind of, you know what used to be like when I started mine when I first companies I was like oh my gosh what do you know about Google and then it was you know, there's always some company that that's kind of top of mine with investors seems like Amazon's definitely least in the Public Market Chino they they open up pharmacy license in you have some little part of Florida in like all the, all the drug stores are down 30% is that when you guys go in is that like one of the main things you think about. Daniel: [38:02] For sure yeah I think it's really hot if you know if you have latest at our soul was Amazon is taking like 60% of every new e-commerce tall are coming on stream. And that piss and his actually. Going off of velocity is so I think he's got a tumble is a couple years ago that number was 50% now 60% and so they're actually increasing their share of new e-commerce dollars which is. Kind of scary at the same time like. [38:35] You're speaking to a Avicii friend of mine, talking about shop talk is always become like how to play defense against Amazon. [38:45] There's some retailers again that's that's probably the right you know it's probably a gender item number one. Scot: [38:51] But I don't think that. Daniel: [38:51] I don't think that it is a given that I'm as on will you know when across all categories all geographies or. Your consumer segments is that right I think there was a time where you could serve. Draw boundaries around what Amazon would do ride like they would never get into it supposedly never getting to Fresh That was supposed to be never be able to do high-end fashion like boundaries and now being kind of broken down as Amazon. And needs to be in the biggest markets and will be in the biggest markets at the same time you know I think you. As investors we really think about what are the stop with the consumer. What are the vectors on which consumers make their buying decisions. Price convenience selection experience all the way down to the list and I think you are seeing like I think the data C. The revolution is coming. Because you've got proprietary product not available on Amazon you got right brand stories and you've got your value for money. Scot: [39:57] And I think. Daniel: [40:00] I think you're you're seeing the success of these Brands I think. In a world where I'm is on his is actually you're gaining share I think you're both things can be true but I think you can have vibrant. Lifestyle brands that are worth your billions and billions of dollars and you can also have at the same time I was on kind of growing and you know I don't think those two things are mutually exclusive. You know I think that they're they're all the pockets right like I've been feeling a lot of time in. Sir cross-border near the international weather it is retail is based of the Seas or. Trying to play the geographical Arbitrage between for the east and west and kind of like what wishes done before are the categories and we've seen some great companies in the space that are really trying to. Reinvent the value equation for consumers like I think they did it say brands are really educated consumers that. Traditional Brands can be a riff off right and I think. You look at businesses like Hoshi look at businesses like wish either either going to be really really want me we shorty is a really really big business. In part because it is a value play but also because it's fun right it's fun to shop wish like we're investors in a company hold holler it. [41:27] That the vector those guys are competing on one of the back doors is a shopping experience. Scot: [41:32] And so. Daniel: [41:33] And so that's another thing that we're looking at here which is. I love this company shop shops which is kind of live streaming platform where influences can kind of come on in and talk about the products that they're excited about it and eventually have continued transact like. That's something shopping as entertainment feels like something that I'm is on. Ward get too early. And so you know. Yes roundabout way of answering question like yeah we definitely think about Amazon same time and we try to be full full. Where I'm is on would be weak. And make investments accordingly the other datapoint is like it when you talk about Fanatics or chewy or like these are all. Your horizontal multi-brand retailers right. Arguably competing head-to-head with Amazon so like some of the biggest outcomes that we say some of these companies alike actually. Directly competing with Amazon and so I don't think it's a given I don't fall in the camp that like your multi-brand retail was Dad and it's kind of Amazon forever and ever. I think that you know. [42:49] For those companies I think the main. Echo by which a computer customer service and so you really trying to get the customer to shop you for a particular category ride for cherry wood. [43:03] Yeah I think Pat's I think my pad I think Cherry Fest and I think if you can do that you can't really compete against against I was adding takes a lot of things really hard to do that increasingly difficult to do that like a job is to really try to find the. Exceptions. Jason: [43:19] We we hear that a lot though the shoppertainment component being a potential differentiator the sort of. [43:27] Discovery X-Type experiences nothing Amazon strengths but you put all those things together in the the big winner that we think at the moment is the most defensible against Amazon is branded live marijuana plants. [43:40] Just as I am. Scot: [43:41] I'm done with Dad. Daniel: [43:42] I'm going down I'm doubling down. Scot: [43:43] When I before I move on from the Amazon topic so the one tactical kind of thing that a lot of Brands struggle with and you're just too kind of pick you up you mentioned a way which is kind of a travel company. Should they sell on Amazon so you created this this brand if you're not an Amazon you're missing like 60% of e-commerce so. An unbiased on this one cuz you started companies helps people selling Amazon so but it is an interesting dilemma because you know. The argument against it would be all right now we're going to educate Amazon in this category were going to show him our best sellers will come out with private label but you're kind of like you know damned if you do damned if you don't so. Daniel: [44:22] Yeah I think where I coming come down on that is it really depends on the company I think if you are building. I think the risk with selling on Amazon for direct consumer that brand that's what we're talking about is. You get your scent to get commoditized weed in the Amazon environment I'd still like. What what happens is you of your number x on a list of products and your the consumer is essentially. Intent driven enough discovery-driven in and very very very price conscious right and so if you think about a brand that is trying to tell its story. Amazon the Amazon environment just doesn't give you much. Breath to give you much rope to tell your brand story right and they're going to a discussion earlier then give you any, way to create this world that consumes kind of step into going back to what makes a great Lifestyle brand. There are a ton of risks or d2c brands that are trying to tell this all encompassing story. Deciding to go on Amazon for the volume and find themselves speak commoditized I actually think about it last is like Amazon copy your and I have so much dead already without you being there that like. Went out investors in older than me if you look at all soon as such old is on Amazon like there are hundreds of CopyCat products already right. [45:53] Weather old veggies on there or not I think that that activities would have happens. So it's I think on the brand side it's it's kind of tough to two face. Commoditization. That's it I didn't Amazon I'm actually looking for companies that are leveraging Amazon of the platform right and so like I think that. [46:15] You know I think that there are really interesting things you can do with Amazon data outside in. I think they're really interesting things you can learn from trending products on Amazon. And I think some at the same time on the supply chain side things are getting a lot quicker than they've ever being right to life. I'd love to see more companies that are actually kind of. Playing to the strengths of Amazon and really trying to leverage Amazon and you talk about some of the biggest companies in the world like. A lot of a lot of becoming get started because you have some sort of distribution unlock. I need to think about gaming space single on Facebook right it is very obvious example where you know. You kind of unlock this proprietary distribution you can get this guy really quickly. Amazon could be. Now for for the right types of companies you know. Types of companies will be aspirational lifestyle Brands but I think there are other types of companies that are more kind of data-driven foston you know companies that you can see being I could built on Amazon and being very successful. Jason: [47:29] If you are you trying to see any like Amazon ad Tech deals yet that seems like I've been coming space. Daniel: [47:35] Definitely we pray like every off AC haven't really focus on that Tech recently. But yeah I think there's some really interesting I think I think Amazon itself is only starting to get into the potential of the their platform in that in that respect I think. Name something that we continue to look out for and we've seen a couple we haven't really. Well I'm really dog and I think to the extent that we will but suddenly interested in that in that space in those opportunities I also think that like. I think about bonobos is an example on on Facebook you on Facebook open that right rail like one of us was right there and I think they had benefited a lot from those early. Nordstrom sales perspective but just from an iguana spective like if you were on Facebook you were in their target market at that time like you sold but overhear you sore but other side and I think Amazon. Add ecosystem is out of similar kind of point in time out where it's not. I think in a couple of years it'll be very very expensive I don't think it's quite there yet so there's this kind of this window of time. Jason: [48:49] Not if it's going to be interesting to watch I think you know special. [48:53] It's becoming important platform for all the brands into your like months earlier contrarian point like I. [48:59] Probably wouldn't be very excited about adtec around Google or Facebook at the moment but but Amazon may be an interesting space and we had a couple of interesting guest on the show that I want a pivot the. Scot: [49:10] I want to put it though. Jason: [49:13] One for the last last set of questions before we have to break. [49:19] All these Trends due to the sort of the traditional notion of a store I know I am in particular you you. Scot: [49:26] Mentioned the way which I think. Jason: [49:30] A way which I think I have a couple stores. Daniel: [49:34] . yeah yeah so we spend we spend a lot of time thinking about then you store format right and I think. [49:43] That probably gives it away right which is like when not we don't think about it as. [49:48] This this nice wipe out of physical retail you think about it and he's probably a pretty consensus of you we think about it as the innovation of the stall format. And what does that actually mean right so you know you know why is example display the the easiest one to Think Through. Yeah you going to the store you got to walk to the back of the stores to find a suit, right like it is it's it's a it's a very intentionally design store. Around giving the consumer a inspiring the consumer to think about travel and. And really dig into that you're the next. Yeah that actually like it's funny like in the New York still have got a cafe with all these travel guidebooks a lot of people sit there and read these guide books and. Yeah it is the stores are intentionally designed to kind of make you think about traveling and have you think about traveling always give you this. Oasis like in your day to kind of have that space and and. Scot: [50:54] How do you buy into that buy my cell right now. Daniel: [50:54] How do you buy into that that last all right and then I serve at the end of that process your hair if you want to buy suitcase we have them to. That's a very different it's a nuanced but very important distinction. Between your something like that and you're the physical store as a repository of product. When you think about the physical stores are product repository that's kind of dying and I'll Ghibli. That death is kind of going to come about foxes in a lot of people think I think it's one of those things where you kind of declined 2% a year and then you cut a full off a cliff because the operational Leverage is is such the bad happens. [51:44] If you can and we think a lot of that stores as experiences and what does that mean for the individual brand and not trying to push you Prada. And I think some of them are tactical parameters that are typically smaller format stores typically less inventory in the store sometimes no inventory in the store. Typically an online offline sync right whether it be. The conversion happens online and pickup happens offline or is some data collection online and you know the inventory fulfillment happened I'll fly out of whatever the parameters are. Your we talked about small short-term leases only said about Tactical. I think. Scot: [52:35] We really it's. Daniel: [52:36] We really it's kind of rare the direct-to-consumer brand at scale that won't have their own stone at work I think that store network will look very different to the incumbent stone at work. Jason: [52:48] I suspect a you may well be right and Daniel that's going to be a great place to leave it for today because it's happen again we've used. About a lot of time so folks want to continue the conversation we didn't charge you to jump on her. [53:01] Page and leave us some questions if you enjoyed Today Show we would certainly appreciate you jumping on iTunes and giving us that 5-star review. Scot: [53:09] Daniel thanks for doing this today if people want to find you online what's the best way to find you. Daniel: [53:13] You can tweet at me I'm at Daniel Galati Daniel gulati on Twitter. Scot: [53:20] Awesome thanks Ryan coming. Jason: [53:22] Until next time happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP129 - Amazon Q1 2018 Earnings Hot Take

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later May 1, 2018 49:06


EP129 - Amazon Q1 Earnings Hot Take This episode is a hot take of the Amazon Q1 2018 earnings Amazon Q1 Earnings Highlights $51b, which is a 43% y/y increase - 39% constant currency,  27% ex- Whole Foods NA was up 46% y/y which drove $1.1b in profits (26% ex WFM) Intl was up 21% constant currency and lost $622m  AWS had a material acceleration up 48% y/y constant currency and profits were $1.4b Amazon Prime fee increasing to $119 (20% increase) Marketplace  52% 3P by Unit sales 3P Growing at 60% (constant currency) JMP GMV analysis-> 1P - $31b / 3P - $69b = $101B GMV Wingo GMV estimate -> 1p - $37b/ 3p - $66b = $103b GMV   Amazon Ads - $2B quarter 132% y/y growth (72% y/y growth before accounting change vs. 60% last quarter) Increasing possible Amazon becomes first $1 trillion dollar company Bezos Annual Letter 100M Paid Prime Members (likely 60M in N.A vs. 124M Households) Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 129 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Monday, April 30th 2018. Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. http://jasonandscot.com New beta feature - Google Automated Transcription of the show: Transcript Jason:  [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 129 being recorded on Monday April 30th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scot Wingo. Scot:  [0:39] Jason and welcome back Jason and Scott show listeners. [0:45] Will Fox tonight we want to focus on some Amazon news because there's been a lot of really big amazon news that his hit the wire in the last week or so and we've been. Bisley publishing are shoptalk interviews and wanted to interrupt the flow of those coming out so you get something a little more timely here and so that you know how to, did Justice Amazon news and think about what it means for your business Jason wants to kick it off. Jason:  [1:12] Yeah so two big events that we're going to talk about tonight early last week, Jeff Bezos released his annual shareholder letter and as we talked about several times on the show this something that he publishes every year he publishes one for the current year and he republish is the first one he wrote which is. 97 if I'm remembering right is that. Scot:  [1:34] That is correct. Jason:  [1:35] Ding ding and highly recommend you read the 97 one if you haven't, what will you talk about that a little bit later but then later in the week Amazon did their earnings announcement and tons of interesting things from both events so that's what we want to talk about tonight. Scot:  [1:57] Yes we're going to jump into the earnings let's look at the high-level and then we can kind of dig in so one thing that's kind of interesting is there's a new accounting standard coming out I know you're excited about this Jason. Jason:  [2:10] Oh my god I've been like my family have been on pins and needles for months waiting for this. Scot:  [2:14] It's a sit-down folks it's a it's a big one buckle up and so the. I know this because I am involved to the public company but the there's a group called The General accounting standard thingy Gap, and they have come out with a new way of recognizing Revenue that's called accounting standard 606 and this is. I'm packing all kinds of businesses one example of how it's impacted Amazon is. Amazon used to take Prime subscriptions and waited heavily towards the fourth quarter because that's when I got a lot of sign ups in this standard says you can't do that you have to allocate it, equally amongst quarters you can't do weighted averaging and things like that so it causes a little chaos and in the world of looking at these kind of results because you said we have apples and oranges so tonight on the show we will. [3:06] Do our best kind of straighten that out whenever it comes up but it's interesting just for folks to be aware of cuz you'll start to see some really weird numbers coming out and if you see the 606 that's a clue that just the rules are changing under underneath it's not the company doing some kind of weird shenanigans. So that being said. Best way to come to give us a $30,000 summary of Amazon's first quarter is it was a blowout quarter so not only did Amazon exceed pretty much every Wall Street expectation and its own kind of guidance but I watch even more closely is, the growth rates and pretty much every growth rate we track here at Jason Scott show is accelerated, which is pretty impressive so they had a very strong fourth quarter so to accelerate year-over-year coming off of 4th quarter. It's just pretty impressive it just shows they've they've kept a lot of momentum I'm also you know we haven't had prime day it's just kind of a few one kind of a normal. A kind of boring quarter to be honest with you in the world of e-commerce usually it's a breather quarter but Amazon you know it doesn't take breathers they just soaked up a bunch of Cher. So [4:13] The Lucy so we're going to talk about the marketplace briefly at but then when things you want to spend a little bit of time on is the ad business ever going to jump into that and worked at the show then we have in the past. Jason wants you kick ass off with the overall results and then we'll will dig into the marketplace. Jason:  [4:33] Yeah first thing that caught my attention was shortly after their announcement I saw like a Jim Cramer segment and he called this quarter for Amazon like the greatest quarterback company ever did you. Scot:  [4:47] I did that saw that yeah. Jason:  [4:49] He may be slightly front of hyperbole but that seems like kind of a big deal. Scot:  [4:53] He is prone to hyperbole my favorite is when he famously wrote on his knuckles Duke 600. Got turns out he was right but yeah so which is Facebook Amazon Netflix Google so he watches these stocks all pretty close. Jason:  [5:12] For sure for sure answer the first time we want to talk about is the growth and before I make the big reveal let's remind listeners like what kind of growth numbers are impressive so, in most cases you hear folks talk about the typical annual growth rate for e-commerce is around 15%, inter put that in perspective. [5:37] Good a brick-and-mortar retail growth right now is maybe 4% averages like 1% so 15%. Is much faster growth. Then retail is a whole already which is kind of impressive but the 15% number actually has some controversy that comes with it so. Most of the folks that site these 15% numbers in. They vary slightly so do you know if depending on whether you're getting in an RF number or a comscore number or a drug number from the US Department of Commerce 15 could be 17 or 16 in a lot of that has to do with. Their definition of retail exactly what categories are are in or not in their number. [6:22] But most of those companies based their estimates on Raw data from the US Department of Commerce and the 10 all come in with North American grow that right around 15% and so when we look at a company crossword kind of comparing it to that 15% number, I will say that most of the companies we tracked are growing substantially faster than that 15% in it. [6:46] Kind of throws that 15% in doubt you know it's so for example Amazon alone is. Right around 50% of all e-commerce you know arguably a bigger percentage of the growth some of the other big retailers Walmart and Target. Best Buy you know if all of those huge companies are growing at north of 15% it's it's actually hard to figure out how you land at 15%. In there there are some Economist that you know fine fall in the Department of Commerce is methodology for tracking e-commerce a also. I'll just throw that out there for your consideration but that being said. Amazon q1 number was 51 billion in Revenue which is a 43% year-over-year increased so. What you dramatically above that 15% if you take out currency fluctuation that's 39% it at the constant currency if you take out the Whole Foods acquisition they grew at 27%. In that the thing I like to remind people is usually we talk about. The biggest players in the industry and then we talked about the fastest growers in the industry so usually you're talking about you know. Company X maybe it's Walmart you know what they say the hugest percentage of the, the retail market and then you're talking about Warby Parker is the fastest growing or so it's it's extremely rare and you know frankly scary. [8:22] When we talked about Amazon in in eCommerce and we talked about them has both the the dramatic market leader and. One of the very fastest Growers. [8:35] So one thing I always like to remind people like whenever you see these kind of numbers you always get someone in the room pointing out that hey that's great but like, you know it's easy to grow when you're not profitable in your you're sort of buying buying market share and you know so there's this common diatribe that that. Amazon is funded by eight of us and now maybe the ads and that the the core retail part of their business isn't profitable. And I would really encourage people to sort of update their they're thinking on that there's unit significant evidence that most parts of the the retail business and mature markets. Are profitable their operating income this year this quarter increased 92% to 1.9 billion in the first quarter so if you back in the math. The. The bulk of that that growth came from the business in AWS so it is fair to make the argument that, those are the the fastest growing businesses in contributing the most to the revenue but you know remember the Jeff Bezos, always talks about revenue and profitability not being the the the, key success criteria and the fact that free cash flow is really wet at Amazon's trying to optimize for free cash flow bassist the the retail businesses is like the majority contributor to their revenue. Scot:  [10:06] Yeah that's a good point. And the reason free cash flow is more miserable is because it's cash right and you pay stockholders back in cash not operating income operating income is an accounting. Space thing that, importing a lot different businesses but it's really hard and Amazon's business for it to matter because you have all these rules that spread Revenue out even though you got the cash and then they also spread out cappex to appreciate it so, I really kind of distorts what's going on so FCF is a better way to look at Amazon and how they're in the business so it's when you look at that free cash flow came in at 7.2 billion best down from 10.1 a year ago, but it's not down because when operating reason it's because. What you have is you have total free cash flow you subtract out Capital Investments and then you're left with kind of net free cash flow 7.2 this year q1 is down from the 10.1 last year. But if you take out the Investments they're making and quote-unquote your property and Equipment purchases and I'll talk about that in a second the gross. Freak Ashley was 18 billion and then they've invested. 10.9 billion and capex this quarter so we kind of say yourself you you made this point earlier you know if they're so big and they continue to grow how do they do that they are still investing at a just tremendous clicking other taking about. No more than half of that free cash flow and investing it back into growth and that's that's pretty crazy no not many businesses I'm not an expert on Walmart but I think they. [11:41] They're probably dusting I would imagine 10 to 15% into growth and hear Amazon's ingesting like 50% of free cash flow into into growth and you know where that and it's out what is that it's a lie. Buying rights for movies and things for the streaming that's a small part of it the two biggest chunks are going to be equipment for the cloud computing and fulfillment centers you know they they continue to build fulfillment centers that just on Norma's clip they're building out. Prime facility in CVG you know so just amazing amount of investment in infrastructure they're making to keep this business growing at the pace it's growing up. [12:20] A year ago that that same kind of investiture. What's 7.4 billion say ramp that investment up from 7.4 billion to 211 billion a year of a year so that. [12:32] Pretty sad when on capex that's why I went down your weird but it's because I think they're increasingly bullish that they can grow this business for the foreseeable future at least 2 x this rate of e-commerce which is which is. [12:42] Pretty crazy yes I'm point you do run out of. Performance tuners to build a I would imagine they continue to invest in the. Like the same day infrastructure with the planes and whatnot. Jason:  [12:56] Yeah and again all those Investments are out of long-term competitive Advantage it's a moat against everybody else. Scot:  [13:01] Yeah and at some point when they stop doing those Investments That free cash phone number in a right now if they weren't doing this investment would be 18 billion which would be. A lot of cash but if you keep going 30% you know that that number you know could conceivably get up into 30 40 50 billion dollars in free cash flow and that's why. That's how Wall Street salary this thing. Because if you look at kind of though you know the the single-digit billions that they're making an operating profit you're like wow why is this thing worth. Nearly a trillion dollars it's a free cash flow and that's what Wall Street you know it is watching and when you can see a packed free cash flow being like that it it's it makes sense to invest at the pace that while she does. Jason:  [13:45] Yeah and oh by the way they also drop 22.6 billion and 100 which is way more than any other company like way more than any tech company invest in R&D. Scot:  [13:56] Take us on into the sum of the Interior results. Jason:  [14:00] Yeah so is it a reminder like the break their revenue down into these three big lines of business that are you no material to there, their revenue so the first is North America so North America was up 46% year-over-year so that drove 1.1 billion and Prophets, without Whole Foods that's 26% year-over-year growth so pretty healthy in North America which is. Their most mature Market International was up 21% based on constant currency and they lost about 622 million on that. So you know a couple of things to know if they're that lost was actually. Much smaller than most of the analyst were forecasting for international a lot of the international markets. Are much newer in Amazon is investing to win those markets you know some of those markets India in particular is you no potentially. The biggest prize out there either India or China but India's largest perceived as like the the biggest potential consumer Market that that you know doesn't have a dominant player that already has it locked up. Like Amazon does North America or like Alibaba does China in so it it really is like the the biggest battle out there and you you wouldn't expect to be turning a profit in those kind of you know early. Investment markets at this point so the fact that that on their whole International portfolio they only lost 622 is actually. [15:35] A substantial piece of good news for Amazon. [15:39] And then the 3rd big chunk for them is AWS Amazon web services. That also had phenomenal growth That Grew at 48% based on your VR constant currency and prophets were like 1.4 billion. So you don't amazon-web-services once again 48% when you're already like the dominant market leader is super impressive. I think in the the shareholder letter Jeff Bezos talked a little bit about how. You know that Amazon really had this sort of 6-year Head Start before they had I think we called the like-minded. Competitors enter the market and so they they got this like 6 year old Vantage over everyone that they've really you know continue to keep their foot on the gas and just kind of you know take that early lead they were given and there. They're using that to keep building it and and you know so far they they haven't run out of growth opportunity there which is pretty scary and amazing. [16:47] So Saturday a business which we like to talk about a lot is there add business in it isn't yet big enough that it gets its own segment so the ads are kind of blended into those. Three buckets so there are at least they're in a 2/3 buckets in the North American International numbers. And what we'll talk a little bit more about them later but then the. The other shoes piece of news which I think it's most of the consumer a buzz this week, is that Amazon also announced a substantial increase in the price of a Prime Membership so they jacked up Prime 219 bucks a year, which is like a 20% increase for consumers. Scot:  [17:34] Yeah he had that goes into effect May 11th so if you're not a Prime member this is your chance to get it at a discount and it's it's it's interesting they're doing it now you got to presume Prime day will be sometime in early June so I think they're kind of ramping into Prime day I think they know they did have a lot of data that shows that's a big sign up time so there, third there some method to the madness on that date are you going to cancel your Prime Membership Jason. Jason:  [17:58] I am not potentially my wife and I which each one of them, for those not in the know One Prime Membership not only covers the whole household you can actually share it with five family members, and so someone silly that my spouse and I each have a Prime member but membership but you know those were these valuable assets that we both brought into the marriage and we're both love to let go of our, old old Prime memberships at work white and financially irresponsible. Scot:  [18:31] I look forward to hearing who's a subscribe and save as to be recreated. Jason:  [18:35] Yeah I as with most things I think it's pretty clear that my wife is going to win that. Scot:  [18:41] Cool let's see let's do a quick review of marketplaces so long time listener still remember that Amazon does not disclose the size of the marketplace from a GMP perspective but they do disclose one metric which is the mix between and it's a unit mix between 1 p.m. and 3 p.m. so that came in at a new high of 52% to 52% of the units sold on Amazon or third-party and. [19:07] We probably said this a thousand times so I'll just run through it very quickly so Amazon's revenue for the quarter is 51 billion and the third party is counted the other. 30 greatest between 10 and 15% I use 10% to make the math easy so really when you when you. When you back into it what you find is there's a huge hidden amount of sales happening at Amazon because they only can count 10% of those sales for the third party Marketplace so the ends up that about, 67 billion of that 50 billion is revenue from the third party Marketplace multiply that by 10, her actual number so this is. I used to be the only one that would pontificate on this so when I run it to my calculator I end up with the quarter at a hundred. The first party stuff has a lower aov because most of the digital. Apps books and those kinds of things are are in first party and they have a lower aov so it it kind of. Excuse the third party tends to be higher average order value so it's. Unit wise is 52% but volume-wise were looking at almost like 66% or 64%. Third party 40% first party so that people are kind of. [20:37] Picking a part of those clues in and then figuring out so they tell you. Seller Services Revenue in inside of their is FBA fees as well as third-party fees so if you make some educated guesses you can do something so one of the one of the Alice JMP, baseball schiano's pick this out there all around the same range they came in at 1 p.m. 31 billion third party at 70 billion so a total of 101 the right in the ballpark of where it where I've been guessing which is good so. The punchline of this is Amazon feels like a 200 billion dollar pastry Taylor but there really a 400 billion dollar pastry Taylor so just in this quarter. Yeah it feels like 50 billion which is the top line but there's another 50 or 60 billion have a hidden under the mass of the ice, which is this Marketplace in we always encourage people you and I are on a Jihad to tell all the retailers about this so that they don't underestimate the the impact of Amazon I just just reading an internet retailer. They're kind of doing that they missed it at this time and that all this is frustrating what other little nugget on the marketplace side Amazon is really pushing this new functionality called Amazon Global selling they were talking a lot about it at. [21:50] Shoptalk for example this is what allows small or businesses anywhere in the globe to search Lee use Amazon Fulfillment Network and load balance globally so you could be a seller in the UK. And have a practice doing well and if you allow Amazon they will load balance it. Across Europe into China and Japan that even in the United States so they had interesting stat that. The first time I saw where they said in 2017 Global sellers sales grew more than 50%. Exodus this kind of cohort of people doing Global selling their sales grew more than 50%, and now it represents more than 25% of third-party sales on Amazon so strong to be a pretty material part as this kind of cross-border trade functionality that Amazon has now. We know at Shell visor one of the red hot pass for this is China manufacturers over to the US and then to Europe in other markets. So so Amazon is kind of got rid of all the middle men in the import world so you have these factories directly shipping product into fpa's across the globe, and that product is getting sold on Amazon so it's kind of the wish model, put on steroids and that is a huge kind of growth area but it also frustrates a lot of the sellers on Amazon because you know they're up against I'm selling a brand in microscope, and there's a Chinese manufacturer signed exact same thing out of the same Factory without a brand for half price so that it does cause a lot of lot of angst out there in the world with this this program. Jason:  [23:25] Yeah and I think it's, Rite Aid the program works crazy well I get super hard to move goods from country to Country in Legally sell them and customs and Tara sent by, it used to be that that there was a huge competitive advantage to this like relatively small pool of people that have the expertise to navigate all those systems and Amazon really takes all the complexity out of that like kids in their dorm room can now do cross-border trade which, you know what uniform was not possible and so is as more people adopt this system like, the fact that it kind of raises all tides in it it it also makes you know counterfeit product and and all those things sort of more ubiquitous we available it is a growing concern. Scot:  [24:14] Yeah. I don't think that people underestimate it's just like just kind of Fino translation so because Amazon has this a sand catalog if they take a certain widget, and translate it you know it gets translated into for five languages the next person to come sell that widget doesn't have to do the translation for just kind of say, yeah yes that's the same Mason and they get the automatic translation that's been done they get to ride on that investment so, if you're doing your website or something like that you don't get that benefit you going to translate it over and over and over again for every SKU where's Amazon gets this really nice kind of I reuse out of their catalog which is another huge benefit of this program. Jason:  [24:52] Yeah you know one thing I've never asked you know Diddy translate like the reviews or the reviews country-by-country. Scot:  [24:59] Country by country. Jason:  [25:01] Okay so they still have to build up the start of social proof in each welcome Market. [25:06] Anything else we want to talk about in the marketplaces this week. Scot:  [25:12] Dallas jumping to ads. Jason:  [25:14] Yeah so you know they have this Revenue line they call other services which we think is mostly their ad business you know what else is in other services anything meaningful Scott. Scot:  [25:27] The do some of the do a branded credit card and they do some other, they do on-site advertising so that ever tizing were talking about is a mg and a mess that tends to be 95 to 90% of the Intensive purposes it's the advertising business which is the new helping sellers promote their products. Jason:  [25:49] Got it yep and said that whole pool guy grew a hundred 32% year-over-year to 2 billion dollars for the quarter so I think that is one of the this is one of those categories that was affected by the 606 Gap. Reporting is that true. Scot:  [26:05] Yeah if you if you met that out in group a paltry 72%. Jason:  [26:09] Well then I don't know why we're even wasting their talking about it. So like this is more than one of these classic models where you know Google and Facebook are the dominant digital advertising platforms that have the bulk of the revenue and, you know Amazon it at a much more base is there for able to grow much more quickly. But 72% is is still a red-hot growth and I think they worked that's up from 60% growth last quarter so I. The pace of growth is accelerating. [26:42] And you know as a reminder for somebody games on the one of the reasons ad revenue is super exciting is. It's highly profitable like you. Much more so than been selling physical Goods you know to the extent that it successful. It's an ear recurring Revenue stream and so it's almost like a more valuable dollar of Revenue than some of Amazon's other sources of. Of Revenue in the Amazon is really quickly and merging. As kind of the the third digital advertising platform and so you know you seen a lot of buzz in the trades about it. You know when people try to analyze that number they get to a couple different places like I think I've seen some estimates in the like 5 to 6 billion dollars a year. I seen some people estimating 8 or 9 billion dollars a year for 2018 I have a feeling some of that has to do with. Whether they're looking at the old accounting of the new accounting there is some seasonality that advertising for a for a lot of these products. [27:52] The I think there is an anise out there that kind of try to forecast this Revenue out to 2023 and they got 236 billion. So that put you in the order of magnitude of Google and Facebook although you know presumably those will both be a lot bigger by. By 2023 than they are today but today Facebook said about, like just under a 50 billion dollar run rate so like 48 billion dollars so they Amazon's really able to get there that's a meaningful third competitor and that's a pretty nice, like ancillary Revenue stream for Amazon on top of all the other well-established businesses that they have. Scot:  [28:29] Yeah and we will talk about this we've been pounding this drum for probably 2 years that you know a lot of folks think this will be the third leg so that retail being one actually, marketplaces I would call the second and then AWS the 3rd and then adds the 4th you have billion dollars and then you and I have talked about, a voice like Alexa being number 5 so so I think there's kind of five legs to the store which is just not fair that you only need three but anyway that's the life of the Amazon. Jason:  [28:56] It's a very stable stool. Scot:  [28:57] It is a very stable stool and you know I said I think. It's going to be really interesting so Facebook's had some stumbles here you know, Google has some headwinds in certain areas in fact Google had a really nice quarter and they're shocked and removed much and I think a lot of it is people are starting to think when does this you know, so if Amazon is growing this business at cause 72%, when is the start to eat into Facebook and Google and it's long been an industry metric that something like 25% of Google's revenue comes from product-based terms which makes sense cuz they're you know if you kind of think about the verticals at Google you have time for a retail vertical I finance vertical Auto those kinds of things, the feels like it would be a pretty big one Facebook also and I either Superior amount of product that's advertised on Facebook we had them on the show several times talk about all the great offering they have there so it's going to be really nice to see is this wraps up. Do yo at some point there's got to be some share that gets taken and, maybe maybe the lines cross faster than we think there are if maybe if Amazon on its path that 36 billion maybe Facebook doesn't keep growing it kind of the pace it is because there's going to be some loss of share somewhere in there, I am when we at Chalmers are we talked to Brands specifically they are moving big dollars to this in a lot of it comes from your Prime. More you got more data than I do on this but a lot of it's coming out of old school media but it's coming out of Google budget some things that because they're just feeling like this is actually more miserable than the Google stuff because if you're a brand is hard to go buy Google ads because you usually have to find a retailer to do it and it's really complicated you have to trust their data and it gets really. [30:44] Really murky but if your brand you get really good data back from Amazon on exactly what's going on so so to the Brand's it feels like one of those measurable things are doing, hi the last point we we had, Jamie from Darrell on and remember he was talking about how they can actually measure offline impact of Amazon advertising because so many people are starting their product searches Amazon they saw. Stop sales at like Walmart and Costco go up when they did a very kind of isolated programming Amazon so this is a pretty interesting area of Amazon and we're keeping a close eye on it and courage to run to, to watch this because and if you haven't experimented in your business this is where I be. Putting a lot of effort heading into holiday at 18 because I think it's going to be a really big opportunity. Jason:  [31:29] Yeah for sure to so one thing I don't you mention Jamie just a piece of side news Jimmy is actually left her out and he's now running e-commerce for Keurig which is a, interesting to report having a back on the show to talk about his experience there in the near future. [31:46] In your two interesting things about advertising the. At the moment the reason that you probably don't feel like Amazon's growth coming out of Google and Facebook is because it, it is like all digital advertising is growing very rapidly as it's coming out of the traditional sort of dead tree media right so so print in intellivision and if you think about, the the traditional base advertising, your most advertising comes from Brands not retailers and they start they do two kinds of advertising like they do advertising to build awareness for the brand so they'll buy a Super Bowl at the by ad in a magazine that just says you know Mercedes-Benz cars are great or you know Bounty towels are the quicker picker-upper or whatever whatever the case may be, and the success criteria for those ads are just how many people saw. [32:41] Or maybe they'll do some study to say how many people remember our brand as a result of seeing that at rights of the the the. The outcomes of those ads are that the ad reached a person and that maybe the person remembered it. And then brands do this other kind of advertising with a partner with a retailer and what they called trade advertising and most of that advertising is like. Ads in the paper for their products you know what we call store circulars. Or even a lot of the advertising in the store the the point-of-purchase advertising is funded by manufacturers. So when you think about digital the. A lot of the Google advertising is replacing that brand awareness advertising I'm in it has the same kind of success criteria like how big was the audience that's on my Google ad, one of the things that super you know interesting and appealing about the Amazon ads are that you your success criteria is, how much good you sold rights are you you do get much lower on the funnel as people start to lose confidence in these advertising Vehicles the safe place to be is the advertising Vehicles where you can actually measure a true Roi. And so Amazon actually has a big competitive advantage over Google and Facebook and being able to quantify the value of the ads which is super interesting. But the other interesting thing is Amazon can actually draw ad Revenue. [34:12] From both of those old school models right so Amazon can get ads from the CMO at Procter & Gamble that used to buy a Super Bowl ad, an Amazon can credibly make the argument that you'll get more eyeballs on our platform then you will on the Super Bowl, but they can also get ad revenue from those trade teams that were you know historically buying store circulars in it and advertising in store at Walmart and instead get them to advertise next to the products, an Amazon and so systemically those are two big advantages over the other big digital platforms it in the long run make Amazon a real scary competitor to Amazon Facebook and Google. Scot:  [34:51] Absolutely and there's a fair amount of add load on the site. But you know if there's an auction underneath there so there's a fair amount of room to run so Google for example has had you have near the same ad load the tweet that but you know call it around the same ad load and and they continue to grow the last 10 years so so just within the current system, but but Amazon hasn't even there kind of version 1 L on a lot of their tools and they haven't even really started with video so one of the smartest Acquisitions I think Amazon did a lot of people don't pay attention to his twitch so you see all these people now that are making, there's this guy ninja he makes like $500 a month streaming fortnite and other games, well that uses switch for that and you can imagine that's a pretty interesting audience for people to monetize so there's. This really interesting things that they can do and they're also doing the Thursday night NFL so you could even say. Musterbrand let's run in NFL ad and I can sell you exact exactly how much tide you sold this ad versus just eyeballs. Jason:  [35:54] For sure which is very powerful I think that NFL deal maybe one of the main reasons they're able to get away with a hundred twenty bucks. Scot:  [36:01] Yeah absolutely. Cool last little piece on the quarterly earnings everyone Wall Street is very much a what have you done for me lately things are like good job great quarter what's coming next work so it's Amazon's practice to provide for guidance and they released their Q2 guidance, and it's going to come in at a growth rate between 34 and 42% which is 38% of the midpoint this the succeeded what all Wall Street was thinking there so, I am kind of classic Wall Street parlance it was a beat so the current quarter. [36:35] Expectations and then they race was being raised which is kind of what you want and it was a it wasn't kind of a wallet and a huge jump up kind of thing, so correspondingly you saw the stock really take a nice move and then most analysts have raised their price targets up into the socks kind of in the 1500 right now most people have raised the stock up to the highest I saw this 20/20 which was actually a, a phone number where that is that's right when they get to $20 so Scott debit over at stifel raised it up to 2020 kind of saying, county is Chester this will be the first trying dollar stock, I'm to the point we we pretty regularly about once a quarter when we do these shows we talk about this race to a trillion dollars so when you. Public companies you have a market cap and that's essentially taking the number of shares outstanding of multiplying it by the share price niggachu a market cap, use Yahoo finance or something it's already calculated for either so last time we visited this Jason Amazon was kind of going back and forth. What's number 3 and 4 with Microsoft so today if we look at this the number for company is Microsoft at a 718 billion dollar market cap. [37:47] Number three is Google at 7:06 and Amazon is now number two so this move they've had up in the stock from about a thousand to 1500 over the last. 8 months. It's beautiful up to the number to market cap company is 760 billion which is only about in a 340 billion shy of a trillion and 10% away from the lead the lead right now Apple + 838 billion. Apple is announcing tomorrow Tuesday or Wednesday there's a lot of concern around Apple there, you know we talked about the the new speaker they have you were not a huge fan of that one and, that has been kind of dud the iPhone x hasn't been blowing off shelves and they have a China problem so there could be. Because you have this kind of combination of looks like Amazon how to blow out there's a lot of concerned about Apple watch can see how they come out. But but anyway long-term if we can't think about this leading up number 5. Is Facebook at 497 think I should drop pretty considerably since this whole Russian interference thing is going to come up and in Autumn so. The the number for listeners to keep in mind is when Amazon gets to 1700 they should be in the lead and then when they get to just around that 20/20 number, they should hit a trillion dollars so it weave, I've been calling that they would be the first to get to Troy and for a couple years and it seems like that was a long shot and it's increasingly looking like it's theirs to lose so we'll see. Jason:  [39:23] How much will you personally make it they do that. Scot:  [39:26] No, Jason:  [39:31] So we mentioned in the outset that Jeff also released his annual shareholder letter so you know there's a bunch of interesting facts in that way every year but this is one huge Marquee fact that caught everyone's attention and was at, some of the big reveal and that fact is the Jeff Bezos does not know how to do a handstand. Scot:  [39:56] They're so yeah so kind of a painful personal admission. Jason:  [40:01] Yep. So he told a little personal story that involve the fact that he's going to do a handstand and after he got through that he mention that oh by the way we have a hundred million paid Prime members. Scot:  [40:12] This is a surprise cuz they've been very private about this for since Inception so I think everyone was caught off guard when they're reading the letter to see that and it caused quite a frenzy. Jason:  [40:24] Yeah I feel friend the show Jason Del Rey like predicted back in in like 2015 that he thought this was going to be the big year that Amazon Finally Revealed their prime number and so he was was only off by 3 years which is. Better than some people but so that we were talking a little bit before the show that number. [40:45] It requires a little bit of context but it certainly was in the range of a lot of the estimates, the verse folks have been making right like I mean certain order magnitude would you you call that like soda in The Sweet Spot of those estimates. Scot:  [41:01] Yeah there's so the washer guys were kind of clustered right around this hundred million number and so couple, couple things so she act all these parts would but these guys a very closely so that person why they said over so that gives us some pretty big range you know something somewhere over, I got a hundred million and one up to Infinity so there's there's a big range there but I think we can assume, you know I doubt it would be more than 110 so I think I would guess it's between 100 and 110 I don't think they would. Jason:  [41:30] He would have said over a hundred ten million if it was over a hundred ten. Scot:  [41:33] Maybe but then they're very catty to so for all I know it could be like a hundred fifty so it's really hard to guess what you guys. But that being said so if you take that hundred million and it's paid so just remind folks do see a couple free entries into Prime and if she'll does off when used to be Amazon mom's now, if wrap that up in the family program Jason was talking about we can have multiple people on a Prime account and then so it's kind of more of a household thing and then number to used to have free for students, this is largely to get their textbook business which is quite lucrative, I'm in Amazon now doing it does that to give 6 months free for students that's a very long extended trial program and then four-year discounted until they graduate. So All those programs up now pretty much converted to two paid so the only free Prime out there are people that are either in their 30-day trial or their 6-month trial with their students so it's a largely survey people and they say their Prime I think, but she can be paid maybe plus or minus 10% but but pretty small. There is a global number so most Wall Street people had, weed when you take Amazon and you want to take their Global number and parse it I usually go 6040 so 60 us 40 International which is kind of how there, their GMP goes so some example that add number at 2 billion is probably 60% us 40% International now ads are probably less developed International so I made fudge that look at 7030 or 8020 but I do think for her prime, pretty mature and all the markets so I would say that hundred mine is going to be 60 us. Jason:  [43:07] Although there are a bunch of Prime benefits that are exclusive to North America still right like grocery a lot of the digital video content. Scot:  [43:18] Video ethics National now. Jason:  [43:21] Okay the the like the prime the grocery delivery from Whole Foods is certainly unique to the US. [43:34] Okay so I'll give it to you so 60. Scot:  [43:39] But in the UK you get same-day so it's kind of. Jason:  [43:43] Yeah but that's a tiny little island that's cheating. Scot:  [43:45] There's a pretty big part of your 2. Jason:  [43:51] Oh they're not part of your anymore he didn't get the memo. Scot:  [43:54] It hasn't happened yet we're working Liam. The the one outlier is there's this company called cirp in a few what it is like consumer information research protocol and they had Amazon it 99 in the US so I think they kind of are off a bit now. you guys find out to do surveys of really small numbers in the extrapolating so they like survey 10 people in 9/2 Prime and I like well certainly 90 million people in the US have, it's not that bad but I think that's the little bit off so. You know the way to think about this I always see this like 60-70 80% of us households have Prime if you take this number and we see it 60 million there's a hundred twenty six million households in the US so this puts a right at 50%, I'm so 50% of households in the US have Prime that that feels right to me and then I think if you know if you parse that and look at demographics. Yeah if for household this is the way the Census Bureau defines it for household incomes over a hundred and twenty K you're going to look at like 80 90% penetration then as you go lower it's going to get off. Yeah down at the sub 50k it's going to be 20 30% of us households so so at that all fuels and checks out to me. Jason:  [45:08] Yeah two things are interesting to me so you crank up Prime membership to a hundred twenty bucks a year you have a hundred million page users you, start the every year with 12 billion in Revenue before you sell I think. Which is a pretty nice asset versus every other retailer on the planet that starts in zero every year with one exception which is our friends at Costco. Scot:  [45:36] Give me. Jason:  [45:40] And so I always like to compare Prime Membership with Costco so Costco has 90 million paid members in Costco is almost exclusively and I think is exclusively North America so not so there still, significantly ahead of Amazon which is interesting and just a reminder on on Costco's model, what is an oversimplification but Costco almost drives to break even on all their sales and essentially make. There their annual profit be that that Costco membership fee that they earn every year. [46:26] Inside like pretty interesting you know Costco membership is less expensive than a Prime Membership but like it's Costco members tend to skew older than Amazon members at the moment so it's kind of interesting you, you would certainly think that if you're looking for with a cap is on Prime members it's certainly not the 60 million there at now it's at least the 90 million and since Amazon has a much broader demographic than Costco. In North America. You know you can imagine it's even north of that so you know maybe one day after Amazon passes that that trillion-dollar Mark you you know we could see them. I'm in that 90 or hundred million just in North America. Scot:  [47:07] Yeah I've seen analysts do a bunch of surveys on this and there's a pretty high enough it's almost like 85% overlap of Costco and Prime members is pretty high. Jason:  [47:18] Yeah for sure and then the other interesting thing to me about crime is there was also some news it was alluded to in the shareholder letter, but the Whole Foods is actually in the process of turning off all of their existing Affinity programs and it's a pretty clear that they're going to be replacing. The the Whole Foods Affinity programs with Prime in those Whole Food stores and that's going to be. What a real interesting set of new experiences and you know another lucrative reason that that people might. [47:58] Become Prime members or at the very least retain their Prime Membership. [48:05] And with that it is happening again we've used up all our a lot of time we tried to be a little more concise for this deep. But if you have questions or you feel like Scott or more likely I got something horribly wrong we love to hear your point of view on our Facebook page so jump on over there and leave us a comment and we'll try to respond as quickly as possible. You're always welcome to reach out to us on Twitter and if you found this show useful or valuable we would certainly appreciate it if you'd spend 30 seconds and jump over to iTunes and leave us that 5-star review. Scot:  [48:42] Thanks for this five stars everyone and thanks for joining us this week. Jason:  [48:46] Until next time happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP128 - TopHatter CEO Ashvin Kumar

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 18, 2018 45:15


EP128 - TopHatter CEO Ashvin Kumar We caught up with Ashvin Kumar at the ShopTalk 2018. Ashvin is the co-founder and CEO at Tophatter an innovative live action site for mobile shoppers.  With the engagement and psychology of a game and the economics of a marketplace, Tophatter generated over $300 million of GMV in 2017 (100% up on 2016) and sells 100,000+ items every single day.  We talked with Ashvin about his background, including his previous start-up Blippy.  The pros and cons of various auction format and how Tophatter appeals to it's entertainment seeking value oriented shoppers. Episode 128 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Tuesday, March 20, 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. New beta feature, Google Transcription: Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this episode is being recorded on Tuesday March 20th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scott Wingo. Scot: [0:37] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason Scott show listeners we are live live live from shoptalk and Las Vegas excited to have on the show. Ashvin is the top Hatter co-founder and CEO and tophatter is the world's most entertaining Marketplace they've raised over 35 million in venture capital and we're really excited to hear your story hear about tophatter and talk about, marketplaces machine learning in a variety of other topics welcome to the show action. Ashvin: [1:06] Thank you and thanks for having me Jason Scott have to be here. Jason: [1:10] We are thrilled to have you so one of the ways we almost always start out the show is get a little bit of the background of our. So can you tell us sort of how you started your career and found your way to this. Ashvin: [1:23] Sure so I'll let I'll start at the at the very very top so I was born and raised in in Silicon Valley. Local kid that that that never left the Bay Area basically there's there's not too many of us a lot of lot of folks descending on the Bay Area these days so I got to grow up in Palo Alto. Went to Palo Alto High School I was in I was in the valley and that the.com. Bubble and I remember I'm there is just remember there was a big there just weren't enough programmers and like the in hanging like the 99 2000 time and I remember getting your coffee. When your programmers you know how to write Java and I was like. Yes and I had no idea when got a book studied about the week before got in there and started learning job at up the I make great money that sell rather this is awesome and so that's where the bug started for me. Jason: [2:23] Will assume job I was like a required freshman class at Palo Alto High School now. Ashvin: [2:27] You know what's interesting at we we did do a little a little programming it at pellets high school so we had a little bit of that there but not a ton it wasn't quite as in Vogue as it is now. I know I think computer science is like Stanford's largest major by far and certainly the flavor of play for the decade. Yeah so after Polly Went to went to Stanford computer science Stanford actually while I was there I was interned at Amazon. That's where that's where my co-founder and I first spent a lot of time together he was an internet. At Microsoft and I was an intern at Amazon and so we decided to split the difference in. And find a place to live in between the two so we lived in the University District in Seattle. And every every night we come back and talk about the differences between Microsoft and Amazon which is awesome and I had a fantastic 2003. Does neutering there for a few months and it was it was already felt like a fairly big company with a lot of but still plenty of opportunity ahead of them and I remember. I want one thing I'm a Jeff Bezos would talk to the entire episode that has been. Like one of the treats was he come and talk to all the entrance and we talked about some some the company values and that there's two that I'm a really well as a frugality and Trust. And an enzyme I'm ever just wanted to hit like a soda need to go pay for stuff. Jason: [3:55] Obviously like I'm imagining you comparing notes with your roommate and like the cafeteria on the Microsoft campus was a little fancier than the free bananas at Apple at Amazon. Ashvin: [4:04] Do it what about that but what I found fascinating was that they were proud of that fact and so it just it just. You got me so it got me excited. Three different perspective than one person's proud of their reality and Microsoft obviously was touting there free food and free soda just two companies with very very different mindsets obviously. So after I graduated from Stanford where I worked at a small startup Enterprise social networking startup for for 3 years I would some of the so my friends from Stanford is the 3rd engineer. When I join we had about 7 people. I reread the series day we spend three years building the company in about. 3 years 23 years and my co-founder and my current co-founder and I decide to leave our job he went to. You went to a different start up use also 3rd engineer there so between us we had seen a couple we felt like we were the ground for a couple companies. Scot: [5:07] Is this the same guy that was also a Microsoft intern. Ashvin: [5:09] Single room the other after after college to and so after. Scot: [5:13] This is like Millennials like this. Ashvin: [5:16] Under that bastard us. Scot: [5:17] Best friends for life come on get with the lingo your conversation. Ashvin: [5:25] Do we have till we die. After after work it out of respect of guys to come back and jam on ideas together and eventually about two and a half years and we decided that we we want to. Tried on a run so we are we just started working hacking on various different projects and all all we knew is that we wanted to work together and that we wanted to build something fun. I interesting that people are going to like those sort of but that was a starting point but we didn't really know what that look like. And so we just are working on stuff we build stuff and we just put it in front of anybody that would it would see for feedback. We that weed weed send users to it and all sorts of ways that we can find a post on Facebook and post on Twitter viral things to try and get user to user experience. In the process of that was like right around $2,000 this is like the financial crisis. Scot: [6:18] Great time to start compass. Ashvin: [6:19] Yeah. Scot: [6:21] Just leave her jobs and start a company in early 2000s. Jason: [6:24] Frugality. Ashvin: [6:27] Actually move back in with my with my parents my co-founder you move back here. You also trying to save money on on rent so he moved in with his girlfriend at the time. Way too early to move in with a girlfriend and they're married now so everything worked out but. Be trying to be frugal a hack on stuff share with anybody that would see it in the process we met if you see it at CRV and they weren't like they were doing a lot of deals at the time of the crisis. So things are a little slow there and they had a spare office in at the their office is on Sandhill and so is he invited us to come work out of their office. Scot: [7:16] Sweet and nice. Ashvin: [7:18] CBS on basic being in Resident entrepreneur I don't like to say I don't like say unfriend resident because that's like a fancy title where you actually get paid we were at in Resident on foreigners. Jason: [7:27] That's like the difference between a country club and a club in the. Ashvin: [7:29] Exactly. I got a big chunk of our day was figuring out which coffee shops wife I wasn't going to cut out so having like condition Wi-Fi and free lunch actually was really helpful. Scot: [7:46] I spent a lot of time at the Starbucks in Palo Alto on I'm picturing you guys when I go in there it's like funny it's like all these startup books just kind of like you know you can see the founders and they're just like you know. Hey they have big red circles on it. Jason: [8:07] And now everyone has to be in the official Patagonia down vest. Ashvin: [8:11] But siding I stack that standard BC attire. Scot: [8:14] Yeah that's a b c. Ashvin: [8:15] Tina Turner wearing the Patagonia vest. Scot: [8:17] Depth of funny humorous t-shirts yes I write Piper. Ashvin: [8:22] So much of products in 2000 and in 2008. And when the benefits was being a b c Verma said we could we just walked down the hallway and showed us these. The folks there in got their feedback and eventually we found we we built something that they got really excited about that's why if we actually ended up raising money for it so it's probably called blippi, and it was a it was a social network for the type for the things that people are buying so the idea there was that we would. We would Connect into your your Amazon account your iTunes account and we basically passed we published your friends the stuff that you were buying so if you download something about the man so I'm kind of out your friends way of discovering what your friends are by. As I was going by first foray into Discovery shopping and we got really excited about that and and CRV got really excited about that and they wrote us a check to see if from the company and that's how we got started so they put. Scot: [9:25] Serbia's Charles River Ventures for those of you that aren't in that VCU Palo Alto. Ashvin: [9:30] So what we raise money for that and and actually we got a lot of traction initial traction a lot of hype around that product. And 6 months later we raise another round for that sweet we actually ended up raising $12 additional for that. Unfortunately six months after that after spending so this one year into the journey with blippi like we realize it but the product wasn't really going to work. So the retention numbers weren't there the engagement just wasn't there when we tried a bunch of things so by the end of that year we had a we had a lot of money in the bank but filled product. And so we have to figure out what we're going to do next and Mike O'Connor and I we just kind of went back to what we were doing before it was hacking on all sorts of different projects. Scot: [10:16] It's a blippi was a consumer, thing did you try pivoting till like retailers integrating with their platform to do a staring contest. Ashvin: [10:23] Yeah could question so there were a few different ways we could have hit it I think that at that time we we still felt really strongly that we wanted to be if your consumer experience and we didn't want to have a component where we were doing an Enterprise Integrations or working closely with. With folks without us having restaurant user base. Scot: [10:42] Did was of oxidation like to an affiliate program. I think so Jason shares of cool GadgetEase bought I buy it you guys have been coded in the affiliate link. Ashvin: [10:51] That would be one possible promise at scale and then we it was such a treasure Trove of information. Jason: [10:56] I can say there's probably a data play where you're quick. Ashvin: [10:59] It was it was. Is really fun products only only first build it and then other things that we buy every single day at the amount of like apps I download on the Play Store things that I just go on Amazon buy. Based on a recommendation from a friend or you know somebody recognizes me a book I'll just go buy it on the Kindle right now and have so I can have it there with one when I'm on the plane to like you're buying things all the time and are. Product would pull all that information in Niagara that information published in a structured way to other people could benefit from it. Scot: [11:34] Remember Facebook Beacon where they tried this and then a people to buy gifts for their wives or wife's. Ashvin: [11:42] Storage associate with it too but but all in all it was really fun product with a lot of information associate with it and there were a lot of different directions we could take it, the reason why we like there's a guy that had the fun engaging element that also had fantastic quantization potential. If you want use a product then so I can work and then that's where but we found we found it we can get people to initially engaged to the product but we couldn't get them to retain overtime. And so at the end of the year we've had some decisions to make when we decided to have basically Sunset the product and work on other things but we were really excited about probably really excited about the space of Discovery Commerce. I'm just at this the area that we stayed in and we started working on other ideas in an e-commerce so the next idea we tried we tried a bunch of things in between the next thing that we got a little bit of traction was we we we took the idea of Groupon and. Combined it with base e tried to build a Groupon like experience for Etsy sellers because he's at the sellers have fantastic. Merchandise they can make me a sandwich. But I have no distribution so we that will look spell the distribution list. For people that want to be introduced to new types of Pepsi products and so that actually was awesome we lost that in 2011. And I had really great traction for a few months but then a few months in we realize that this is actually hitting a ceiling that we just we can't. We can't attract enough Sellers and we can't get enough people on the distribution list to make this a scale at at a meeting for 8. [13:12] I've been so 6 months after that we realize I can't wait this business or the tapped out even though it had some initial traction and we work and we went back to the drawing board works on a bunch of other consumer. Consumer products all in all in Discovery shopping and then 2012 is when we launched tophatter. And I'm we launched tophatter I had to lift head like a consumer heads consumer attraction in a list that we had not seen before. And then we'd work to my way to work then we work on so many different projects up to this point that when we when we initially launch shop in and saw the numbers were like wow there is something special here, I wouldn't know exactly what about it is Piggly special but there's something really special here that we want to that we want to make sure that we capture in Foster. Scot: [13:53] And so as a as a function or in the consumer space What are the numbers you're looking at so you've talked about you. Retention stuff are you looking at KLTV are you looking at cohort analysis helplessness can't understand how someone building. Ashvin: [14:08] So these days as a as a business scales at those are all really important numbers for us or we look at court we look at when we say chords for provokes international. We look at when a person signs up in month 1 how do they perform in 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 so we look at how that how, how to progress over time. We also look at tactile TVs we look at all that stuff but it's mainly like numbers as rescaled up initially When You're Building Products it's it's a little bit more like trying to find love. Scot: [14:42] Just some Mau movement. Ashvin: [14:43] Yeah you look at you looking for you looking for something special in the product trying to capture trying to capture Magic In A Bottle. And I think if you don't have that initial magic in the model of then all that other stuff doesn't really all that other stuff doesn't really make sense. It's hard to optimize for that other stuff. And so I think the thing that was special. Tophatters at it did have magic in the bottle really early on and and then as we scaled up we use all of you know we look at CAC LTV we look. All that fancy Jazz figure out if we're doing work on the right things. Jason: [15:19] Tell her what's my little bit about tophatter and sore what the value prop is and what what makes you guys doing. Ashvin: [15:24] Yeah so tophatter is a I just got to shopping app I always encourage people to to take to go download the app to get the full experience because it's a it's a it's a very differentiate experience we sell things in an in an option where I'm at. So we're on live auctions 24/7 I think the average eBay auction takes 2 weeks to complete our average auction takes 90 seconds and get us some other price so it's real time is fast. How are average price points 10 to 15 bucks so it's in like an Impulse impulse purchase. I don't feel they can make a decision within 90 second see if they want something. And we sell across the a variety of categories from jewelry to electronics to accessories. Scot: [16:07] It seems like it's raining towards of value kind of consumer, like that wish kind of a Marketplace and you'll see some of that wants to have something cool for like under 20 bucks or something. Ashvin: [16:16] So are consumers also shop at Walmart and Kohl's and and QVC and HSN and yeah it's it's at the dollar store TJ Maxx when these are all these are all of her consumers so they say it's about you wanting to customer. Scot: [16:30] Never while they're there is he's really weird auction sites where you would like by kind of a currency to go to bed and you know I think they gave options are really bad name kind of there. Ashvin: [16:38] And we're constantly kind of fighting yeah so we're like we we had to fight that kind of band brand misperception. Lots of people see that we're not inside that's the first place that's what one of the first question that we get his ass a penny auction sites with a pay for my beds and doing a lot of them are can we make make really clear. Beds are free. Only pay if you win so it's just an old-fashioned auction but it's not it's not an option for. For the reasons of price discovery on most items that we sell their free commodity items it's an option because it's engaging and we find that again we think about how we build an engaging experience that's what we started. It's just fun everything starts at a dollar and so you pick the price they want to pay you know so you like something at a dollar there's no reason why you won't like it at 2 and then if you like it at 3 instead. Scot: [17:26] Is it a 1 winner wins got a thing or is it more of a Dutch auction so if Jason did six and I bid 7 we both kind of win or. Ashvin: [17:32] Right now it's one winner of the challenge too is that is that if there has to be losers in the auction for you to feel free to feel good when you actually win something. Scot: [17:44] That that hurts the you know the pack because she got to go acquiring up cat x x yeah and then it could hurt LTV cuz if I'm a loser lose so many times year. Ashvin: [17:54] Better interest in their data shows that the folks that compete for items are the ones that are there are more likely to come back so if you if you try and win something you win something with no competition less likely to come back and if you competed for anyone, cuz there's a little bit of social validation in the fact that somebody else wanted to sing. Scot: [18:11] I saw an article that said you're you guys had over 300 million in DMV in 2017 it was an idea the sky. Ashvin: [18:18] Jessica sent a scale so we're going to do so last year we did over 300 million in Top by in this year right now like we're focused on doing a billion dollars in 2019 this year will do at least a half a billion dollars. It's a no it's not it's not like an Amazon CEO business but it's not like a small business either so. Scot: [18:39] And your business model is typical take rate kind of a random. Ashvin: [18:43] It's a it's a Marketplace business model we take roughly 25% depending on the category. Scot: [18:49] So then I can figure out your revenues by multiplying GMB by 25% just making sure I understand. Jason: [18:59] That would assume that Scott can do math. Scot: [19:01] Yes and then are you guys a mix of first party and third-party entirely third party. Ashvin: [19:11] It's an entirely third-party give me like our sellers do we sell things ourselves. Scot: [19:13] Yeah yeah. Ashvin: [19:15] So we don't take any inventory your Marketplace we just connect buyers and sellers so we asked her sellers to give us all their inventory so we tell sellers. Give us a spreadsheet everything you got and then destroy those into how we use data. Do we have it we have a big pool of them in Torrey millions and millions of items that we can potentially share with their buyers and then from that we Whittle it down to a small set of a relatively small so excuse that we show fires when they open. Jason: [19:45] So how are you soliciting sellers. Ashvin: [19:50] Are sellers are Swedish settlers faced in the you asked me if sellers we also have a team in China to work with our sellers in China today, about 70% of our sales come from sellers that are based in China and leave it to you in there that helps find and work with our sellers. They're actually found is just. Just looking at the broader internet. And selling like as a as a third-party sell on the Internet it's just very challenging to find places to sell on the internet there just aren't enough places to sell. There's some when we go and talk to our sellers in China they're always looking to diversify where they're selling and nobody wants to just be on Amazon. I prefer for obvious reasons but if you look but you look down unless there's actually not a lot of options Beyond Amazon you got the Amazon you got eBay. You got a Bye Baby I wish the list rise up pretty quickly and so when we come in there and say that we have no we're going to have to I know ours this year and we've got reasonable volume every two years. Because a that good volume and be that they wanted they don't want to be wholly dependent on on their Amazon sales. Jason: [20:58] So when is Big trans here at shop talk has been Ai and machine learning. And you guys are like getting a significant amount of data now so that I imagine within an able the possibility of you ever drink some of those techniques. Ashvin: [21:15] Death till we have it we have a fantastic day it is at and we have a dataset that's that's different and bigger than a lot of e-commerce. Players are size because we've got people spinning history to so not only do we have people buying things we have people expressing interest at various different price points along the way. We have a really expect all data said they're only be getting this to leverage as we get better and better at at machine learning. But for us via the business is only improved as its scale. And I attribute that to obviously improvements in logistics and operations that you get his knee Converse business scaling but just as much to to being able to leverage or data in more intelligent. Jason: [22:01] When are you likely using that for merchandising as well I cute like so you mentioned like there's a big inventory of potential stuff to offer to your buyers. Ashvin: [22:11] Yeah so like internal in our in our company we have nobody we have Noah merchandisers so I think this is one of the one of the Hallmarks as I see it if I can modern. The modern retail company is it is one that's going to use data my data is the new merchandiser us for one of our internal mottos so. And we can we learned this the hard way we actually it a few years ago we we did hire some folks with more traditional retail backgrounds and we had a hard time internally reconciling. The air intuition was laughing right we just had a hard time reconciling that with with the day that we were seeing. And so it's trying to get these Two Worlds 2 that's it come together as challenging but I think just are we got nowhere we're engineer's by training and that sort of our DNA. And out we we like to call the numbers and and and only talk about you comes and retail merchandising is like the core piece of that where we do spend a lot of time. Jason: [23:09] So have you guys developed any of your own models are you using any of the commercial or Open Source Tax like what's the jewels that you're using. Ashvin: [23:17] We use while he's a lot of Open Source. We do use a lot of open source code to take glue iron machine together but we're not using any off-the-shelf solutions for Ray I so we we build their own data model as we've got Folks at experience machine learning. I bet spend time tuning the models and then also thinking about how do we like what what types of data would make this model even better, and how do we go capture that data so a lot of what we talked about internally is Howard data structure and how can we structure it better to make it more effective writing everything. A lot of people ask me about about data and about a I and I always tell them that it just starts with structured data you got to have a data set and you got to have a schema that's easy to work with. Jason: [24:04] We have lots of the sort of more old-world clients in the the starting points for a machine learning isn't even doing any machine. Ashvin: [24:12] That can you get the data. Jason: [24:13] Just about getting a. [24:14] Attributes for your data and another thing we talked a lot about because it's a coming problem is it a government so I can just making sure you have the the right rights to leverage that date on all the way she. Scot: [24:26] She mentioned can I join in on this so you mentioned you get this did data, do you actually didn't go and and go to like the manufacturer and say hey your price is too low if you know you're at $12 and if we did 899 you are model tells us we could sell twice the volume is that is that a example to use case. Ashvin: [24:45] Yes so we have got me so that is like an example of division we haven't actually gotten it we haven't actually done that just yet but yeah if the core piece of our technology is that we can look at it and I didn't estimate the price that were going to get for it so. We like to have a good sense of what we're going to sell something for before we even put it up for auction before I buy or even sees it. And so we can look at our in our million just using save this these are the things that are going to perform well, I'm can we go get them for for better prices or can we how do we make this how we make these price-points works and they're there two ways that we can figure out how to how to make advertise ask you to sell it at a higher. Price that we think we can get a better price for or how do we lower the cost on the supply side. Scot: [25:28] I'm convinced this is what drives a lot of Amazon private label you know the, the brands would tell you that they're just stealing their data and stuff but I think what happens is you know I think Amazon looks at like khaki pants and they see there's this conversion gap down at you know X dollars and then they will go and recruit Chinese sellers to fill that Gap and then. And we're like lahren you know some private label at that price point in there and I think they're looking more of conversion day that you kept getting data with sexy little bit. Ashvin: [25:54] What's interesting about Amazon so like we we get compared to when we talk to investors obviously Amazon's the Shelf in the room and they want to talk about how we are different from Amazon Amazon everything is Sartorius on Amazon. Amazon has his wealth of kind of search oriented conversion day that somebody types in khaki pants and they can see what percentage of the khaki pants search volume has been fulfilled. We don't have that meeting we just have people open up the app and it's almost like a news feed of products and so we have to clean and we have to clean and make inferences in in in different Amazon. Scot: [26:32] So just to change topics little bit so a lot of people contact me cuz I'm known in the marketplace world marketplace. That's great it's going to be harder than you think it is because unlike you know what say you were going to build like a Dollar Shave Club or something like that what's nice about that business is you you you control one side of the equation right you control the supply Dave's go to bring demand. You chose the what I would say is at least twice as hard if not for ex's heart of building Marketplace you have to not only do have to go build the buyer side if you could build the seller side so it's kind of like simultaneously building to businesses and you. There's probably some. Scot rule of the square of the number of sides to marketplaces you know that the exponent of the equation has that been your experience that is kind of getting to the school you're at. Arrow on one side of the boat too hard and they end up going in a circle to acquire all these fires the bars I have a terrible experience cuz there's not enough Supply logo acquire Ali suppliers they won't sell anything till at RIT because I didn't. Selling a product you have some scar tissue to share with us. Ashvin: [27:37] I absolutely I mean this is like this is what working on all the time so try not trying to climb the ladder on demand and Supply at the same at a similar rate. On the challenging and visit this is why it's really hard to grow a Marketplace faster than it is very hard to grow, American pit playset and I can exponential rate it takes time to grow marketplaces until we've been fortunate enough to, the mostly double the business year of the year and even as we try and double the business of feels like the wheels are about to fall off either on the supply side or on the demand side. And interrupt you to see some of the conversations that go on internally it's always will be one channel screaming about not enough buyers in another slack Channel screaming about like not enough to use for a certain type of visors just like, constantly it is it feels like a battle everyday and then when you take a step back and look at the business we actually like. We actually got some stuff done and we grew even though that every single day feels like it feels like a dog fight. Scot: [28:39] Is that the hardest thing about building tophatter or have you been surprised by the back end scale it's taken or the customer Discovery what's been the hardest problem in hindsight that the kind of surprise you. Ashvin: [28:56] I made a promise to be changed your every year right now one of my biggest challenges around is trying to understand or Supply better and if so can I go to the data model we see that are 21 a big challenge is this your process. Dish Network Network routing with this this year is that we are our customers tell us that they want to see more things in the marketplace. When we first launched in 2012 and keep my everything we do is real time so when you open up that app everything that you're seeing is is available right now in this moment is going to sell the 90 seconds or anybody in the world named in the world that opens up the apps in the sea. Scot: [29:29] Just have a QVC as kind of a model. Ashvin: [29:32] It's like QVC. And in a when we first launched in 2012 because we had such a small demand days we can offer that much to fly so if you open up the app in Primetime you know if you open up the app there might be like 5 things for sale. Because that's all that our demand could so bored and that year, going to see more than these five things available and then in 2013 or demand a screw and we can put our supply base also and they said the same thing we want to see little bit more so every year it's it's kind of the same thing this year if you'll stick. because we we see the we see the option to break into all these different categories of issue with this deal that we do have and so, a lot of what we spoke Asana is trying to understand what categories do art buyers want to see, how do we get them how we brought in our category how do we go deeper into categories that we do have to sell better and better things so it's it's, trying to trying to build that Insight while then why like I'll mark while I system is is evolving is it super challenging and we have a pretty big. You're pretty big team of of analyst that. Are there looking at data all the time trying to trying to understand how the system is functioning and build more insight into what we should do tomorrow. Scot: [30:47] We have a lot of entrepreneurial type sellers that sell on eBay and other platforms give us like the Quick 90-second Pitch like how do you pitch a seller to be on your platform. Ashvin: [30:57] Yeah we say jeezy I use give us all your montuori and will we we we we connected with our bye week we look at what are bars in Taiwan. I'm willing to stop everything is going to do on you can tell us also if you've got a floor for the the things that you want to be like that price that you expect to sell it at and we won't listen unless our production models are telling us that it's and it's all about that rice. Scot: [31:19] Set a three hundred million kind of run rate at a lower aov do you have like 30 million to buyers and sellers how many buyers like I kind of wanted to 30 minutes. Ashvin: [31:32] Papyrus like last year we had I mean an exact numbers but last year we had over 2 million buyers on the. Scot: [31:40] Are the churches buying for a minister. Ashvin: [31:42] Did buy a lot of stuff. Scot: [31:43] That's awesome yeah that's cool yeah. Ashvin: [31:45] Dad and Elvia to get to the point like a 10 lb of 10 bucks I got 10 to 15 hours every transaction size to make this business work they better be buying a lot of things, and remember the classic thing about e-commerce businesses, 1015 years ago is the first question to ask you what's your HIV and if you're able V is like in the ten to $20 range like. Scot: [32:07] Does the seller I would ask one thing that scares me is you know I give you all my inventory and I see all the stuff going on there for a dollar can I have a reserve or or do you guarantee if I want 10 bucks you'll deliver 10 bucks. Ashvin: [32:19] Yeah so today on today I currently back a lot of the risk is taken by the sellers but we just Asher sellers that we're not going to run unless we think you're going to get a. We are prediction models think that you're going to get a price above the price that you want but I want to go rolling. Scot: [32:35] Give you a desired price point. Ashvin: [32:36] Writes about wanting a rolling out this year is for us to take the risk and so were you know we got all the data we're confident are predictions into at some point in time we feel really comfortable taking the rest and so from. From from a perspective a seller can treat our platform just like they treat any other. Marketplace so just like you work with eBay just like you were Vans I just give it everything at the best price that you have and what will sell it and will give you the price for it. We also have the option to take apps out on it too so. Scot: [33:05] So if I'm if I've got a like a great price on this widget and we we, do this I know when a lot of sellers are working with like the Amazon and eBay deals team there's a certain kind of death what what kind of depth would you ask a seller to provide do you want like 10 of a widget a hundred a thousand and one. Ashvin: [33:22] So today we don't work with our Salvage closely for volume commitments that's another opportunity we can have so we we anticipate that as we start to take as we start to give sellers commitment and we're trying to get better prices from seller anticipated volume of famous will go. Along with it today we do today we get more volume to the sellers that are willing to take more risks. And they don't have to take that rest me like we're happy to take that risk and so it's a little bit of a kind of value proposition mismatched right now they were excited to address this year. Scot: [33:51] The last one is one of the knocks on some of these folks like an AliExpress or a wish is you in this thing and you you're all excited and then like it takes 6 months for the. How to get to do something you've got that feedback on in and have you work with your sellers on how fast you expect them to ship these things and get them to a consumer. Ashvin: [34:10] So we expect the sellers to ship right away doesn't necessarily mean they're going to get it right away the customers that we have. Longer for value and so we haven't seen the shipping times be a huge problem and I really think there's a Class A customer that wants to get their item right away but those are nicer of those aren't really our customers broadly speed. Our customers though want value one thing that we we sound is that our Logistics are going to improve what scale. And so as we scale up we found that are sellers are willing to open up warehouses closer to the man. And we're willing to give them more volume if they open up their warehouse closer to man into labor faster different ways to get the products to the customers faster and are using a Marketplace model are sellers are willing to, I'm investing that are averaged it just be clear are average time delivery times are in a couple weeks if it's coming from from China and if it's coming from the US with a bunch of our inventory comes from the u.s. to is Justina today. Jason: [35:13] And does the buyers see that delivery time before they did. Ashvin: [35:17] And it's an important component so if we tell our sellers that if you can ship faster you're going to do something more to man on your products. Jason: [35:25] Cuz I feel like that's an incremental fly in the wish model is like you're off and pretty far in the purchase funnel before you find out. Ashvin: [35:33] Yeah you know I think they experimented both ways so I think that take a fairly similar mindset. Some terms of trying to figure out where it where to break this news to the customer quote on quote, and obviously it's it's pretty bad experience if you break it too late in the funnel but I'm sure they're trying to learn to an experiment with where's the right place though. Frostburg to share it right up front so people so we set expectations right away. Jason: [35:58] So you mention in the beginning I always encourage people to download the app so I'm assuming that's just the sort of preferred iteration of the experiences the mobile app. Ashvin: [36:11] Yeah so most of our business is done I mean the real time experience and so we saw things we sell things that are only available for 90 seconds. And so we do have experience but most are web expenses primarily for our seller so all of our seller tools are on the web and that's how sellers access it and our our website works just the same way that are at this. Vast majority of our business is done on our apps on on our Android app Android or iOS. Jason: [36:40] So almost everybody that has a strong mobile experience I get the metrics are. [36:45] They're on the mobile app experience the challenge usually is maintaining that that high active user base on the mobile app it sounds like. [36:57] In your case it kind of matches pretty well to the demographic because he's. [37:02] People that are that are going to want to be frequent purchase orders are you seeing like significant turn like what are you doing and try to maintain. Ashvin: [37:11] Yeah I mean we got a liver specialist Discovery shopping experience together. We focus on engagement I think this is a big difference between us and Amazon we like to ourselves as the anti Amazon. And anyways Amazon focus on making things Amazon focus on the buying experience we focus on the shopping experience. Games on focus on efficiency they want to get you in the app and out of the act like my could you and find something quickly get it boom you're out where the opposite where did we help custom we help our. Jason: [37:41] I want to go lighter. Ashvin: [37:42] Yep we want we. Amazon helps you save time tophatter helps you spend time we want to go for us like we want our customers to be in the eyeball time we want them to be discovering great things even if they're not buying and I were constantly iterating on on that experience. The primary feedback from our customers that they end up turning out is the fact that we don't have the breakfast apply that they're looking for. And every year that challenge every year like we're able to offer more and more Supply obviously we want to have it overnight love love to have it happen tomorrow but it's it's it's just a process of building outdoor supply this. Jason: [38:16] It's interesting the VC's are comparing you to Amazon they may be should be comparing you to like Clash Royale or some. Ashvin: [38:21] Maybe there's a there's a game like experience to us. Scot: [38:27] Chef fortnite wear like everyone's on an island at the Battle for the deal. Ashvin: [38:30] There's a will there's a. Scot: [38:32] Fortnite Meats products. Ashvin: [38:33] People love the competition. Jason: [38:34] Gamification for sure. Scot: [38:36] A quick disclaimer Jason Scott show takes 10% of any ideas that utilize from the show that are lawyers make the same things. Jason: [38:42] Do you disclose like roughly like what the active monthly users are on the mobile app is it like just I'm just trying idea border magnitude vs. Traditional shopping site. Ashvin: [38:54] Yeah I don't want to get there like that monthly numbers. Scot: [38:58] Denis Entre Nos RMA you there. You and you you probably know like time of day. Ashvin: [39:07] They're absolutely is in and where it where are part of our business is making clever matching the right amount of Supply with the right amount of man so we have two man models that tell us. How much how many buyers we expect to be showing up, at this very moment and then what Supply we should be showing in this 90 second time frame so we have these models that tell us how much we should be listening to get that information so we have to know. We had an all the stator in terms of sharing though we sell over a hundred thousand items today and I just give you a sense. Scot: [39:42] Are you limited by the time of anything since 90 seconds there's only so many things you like so many slow. Ashvin: [39:50] One the middle the night there's less people on the side there's like less people on the app. Scot: [39:53] Like let's say there's 10 people on at anyone given second do they they all see the same thing going for 9 year to you now start just going to say there's some point where it starts to make sense to show some audience maybe a ring and another people at electronic item. Ashvin: [40:07] Right so ever so there's there's a everybody has a different sort experience so you can sort down and see you could do that access to everything. But it was me different place in this world so it's personalized to the person the information we have they said about the person based on what's available at this very moment. Scot: [40:25] So you can go broader category and get more personalized and leverage those 90 seconds it seems like. I going deeper would be good too because you know a lot of sellers I've talked to you the kind of have these fees opportunities to. They don't see no volume come in there from you which is like where these deal platforms gets these really crazy great prices. Ashvin: [40:46] We can sell things in volume to it just won't part of the Beauty from my buyer respective is that if you don't win right now you don't know when that's going to come up again. And people in by arbovirus and set reminders on certain items so even if they don't win it right now will send the notification the next time it comes up and sometimes the next time it comes up is in the next hour sometimes it. Scot: [41:05] Never lose our kind of you know to notify them cuz I've expressed interest yeah for the show it the first thing. Ashvin: [41:10] Exactly exactly so so we do we are able to sell things in volume but it isn't this really happen like in the same 90 seconds. Scot: [41:17] What what categories do you want to add the most. Ashvin: [41:20] Your work cited going to break into apparel for us like we find that. We think that the experience that we have or what we're trying to cater to a broad mass-market audience but our audience today is limited by the supply that we do sell so a few years ago we were only selling jewelry, and our audience is 90% women. I'm now we're selling a lot of electronics in her audience is closer to 6040 male female because there is something for guys to buy and sell. I'm excited like break into apparel and a bunch of other categories shoes. Scot: [41:56] Pro tip hair extensions so hair. Ashvin: [42:00] 10% for you guys. Scot: [42:01] Go to hair extensions of the number one seller on AliExpress and it's like crazy volumes there's something about the price point in quality of imported from China hair extensions Jason's more of an expert than I am. Ashvin: [42:13] I got high. Scot: [42:16] It's all about the weave I think you should definitely look at this hair extensions. Ashvin: [42:24] We saw a lot of drunks video. Scot: [42:24] So drones are second only to two hair extensions. Ashvin: [42:30] And I also tried to break in international markets so today were were 85% based in the US we think in many ways the business and be a lot more interesting outside the US. Jason: [42:45] Very interesting is a trance personalized at all I can like do you use what you know about the user to decide what gets merchandise on that home page. Ashvin: [42:54] Yeah we so so there's there's a set of items is available to everybody that's that is on the app at this given moment but we stored it based on the information that we have about you. I didn't know if it's you bid on a lot of electronics items you're probably see Electronics items do kind of times that are available you probably see sword at the top so we do our best to personalize it in that way. We make decisions about the demand that we're seeing today in the supply that we have available we're also. At Ross magnesia know what from that pool we should be listening to sell at this given moment in time. Jason: [43:31] Well this is been super fascinating as men we really appreciate you coming on and talking to us, but it does happen again we've used up all that a lot of time so blisters want to continue the conversation we encourage you to jump over to our Facebook page and if you enjoy Today Show please jump on the iTunes give us that 5-star review and then you can download, tophatter from there. Scot: [43:53] Yeah and obviously people should go in and try the platform do you do you publish stuff online where can people find you online if they're interested in learning more. Ashvin: [44:01] Yeah you can that you can find us on our Facebook page fault on Twitter. Where are we have a were active on medium so we're publishing content everywhere we're also we're also watching it national TV campaign also so we're about to roll out a pretty big TV ad campaigns of silver, TV channel near you too. Scot: [44:21] Congrats I'll be fun I look forward to. Jason: [44:23] Going to star in the first. Ashvin: [44:25] Yes absolutely. Scot: [44:27] Just can you give listeners a little preview of a little little sneak peek. Ashvin: [44:33] Yeah I think the world were appealing to the folks that want to have a fun experience shopping and so. Scot: [44:41] Awesome watching NBA jerseys. Ashvin: [44:43] Not yet. Scot: [44:44] Okay well we really appreciate you joining us I know you've been really busy here at the show out recruiting sellers for the platform so we really appreciate take your time. Ashvin: [44:53] Thank you Jason thanks God. Jason: [44:55] Until next time happy Commercing.

CommerceTomorrow
#002: How Do Retailers Improve Customer Experience?

CommerceTomorrow

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 10, 2018 37:16


For this episode of CommerceTomorrow, Dirk and Kelly have invited John Panella, Group Vice President at SapientRazorfish. As John has been in this position for almost 16 years now and knows hundreds of customer projects in the e-commerce space, he shares his views on the recent technological developments. He talks about how retailers currently seek to improve in-store experience by features like extended aisle or different sorts of clienteling apps. Other topics in this episode is the ability to be more nimble by changing the organization to vertical teams, and the strategy of decomposing the monolith and go for a headless architecture.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP126 - American Eagle former CDO Joe Megibow

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 9, 2018 37:18


EP126 - American Eagle former CDO Joe Megibow We caught up with Joe Megibow at the RetailNext party at ShopTalk this year. Joe is the former chief digital officer at American Eagle Outfitters, he's also served as President at Joyous.com and General Manager for Expedia.com.  We talked with Joe about his impression of ShopTalk this year, his early experiences in the e-commerce industry (including at TeaLeaf which was acquired by IBM), how American Eagle thinks about Omni-Channel. About RetailNext Conference: Retailers and brands at scale can apply for a complimentary pass for the CommerceNext conference - The Summit for Next Level Customer Acquisition - Jul 25/26 2018 NYC.  This show is a combination of strategic keynotes from the likes of (Amit Shah – CMO 1800flowers; Sid Jatia – VP, Global Commerce at Under Armour; Charlie Cole, Global Chief Ecommerce Officer and Chief Digital Officer, Samsonite/TUMI, etc.); and tactical ‘how-to’ speakers like Amy Africa (CEO, Eight by Eight) and Facebook expert Emily Hickey. Announcing the CommerceNext "Nexty's": A new peer-reviewed award program identifying and rewarding the best marketing performances among retail and eCommerce professionals. Awards include “Marketing Innovator of the Year” and “Highest ROI with the Least Resources”. Visit commercenext.com to nominate a fellow retailer for an award and to apply for your free conference pass. Episode 126 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Monday, March 19, 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. New beta feature, Google Transcription: Transcript Jason:  [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this episode is being recorded on Monday March 19th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your Scott Wingo. Scot:  [0:39] Hey Jason I'm walking back Jason Scott show listeners we are here live from the shop talk show in Las Vegas and are one of the hottest parties at shop. Scott Silverman in Allen Dick's Commerce next party this party is a who's who of the digital Commerce crowd. A couple of housekeeping things before we jump into a visit with one of our guest here who we plucked out of the party so. Little thank you for the folks at Commerce Max they wanted to let you know that retailers and brands that scale can apply for a complimentary pass for the Commerce next conference. That's going to be the summit for Next Level customer acquisition held July 25th and 26th in New York City. The shows a combination of strategic Keynotes from the lights of 1-800 Flowers and Under Armour and then also tactical information from Amy Africa and Facebook. Facebook expert Emily hickey there also starting something called the next these which is a peer-reviewed award program if you're interested in learning more about that go to Commerce next.com. Jason were excited to have on the show Joe megibow Joe has had a story 20 year history and Retail and e-commerce including on the retail side American Eagle Outfitters Expedia and hotels.com. Then he has been on the vendor side like you and I are today over a tea leaf IBM and is currently operations advisor with Advent International that's a private Equity Firm that has a portfolio of retailers including Lululemon welcome to the show Joe. Joe:  [2:04] Thank you I appreciate you plucking me out of the party. Jason:  [2:07] We were thrilled to get you. [2:10] Usually we start at the show by kind of getting a quick rundown on guest background and how you came into the e-commerce industry in your case this could be the start of a long answer. Joe:  [2:24] Okay I'll try not to make it too long. I've been in been in the internet or really webspace since since it began actually started as a. Engineer so I I find some of us in e-commerce based came up from war of the traditional retail merchandising route others came up the technical route II came up the technical route. And I was in the web early days good friend of mine and I worked in a Advanced Technology Group for a manufacturer actually in Upstate New York. And those days we we still coming to work every day with one question we asked each other. Have you found any new websites because we've been to all of them. And wished we literally had a noun or a little modems at the time hitting the early days of the web so I. Yeah I've been fighting the fight on trying to educate companies and organizations on what this thing is about and how to how to embrace it as something other than a sideshow novelty since since it began. [3:27] But I am. Ended up in management consulting for number years help launching e-commerce practice for one of the big Big 5 consulting firms ended up at interesting little start up a company called Tea Leaf technology. Tea Leaf back in the day was way ahead of its time but we we realized early on that just basic. Numerical tracking of what pages you had been on what was often called his web logs just wasn't enough for a truly understanding. The ladies are experience a customer experience and we had come up with some novel technology to allow you to see everything that was happening with the customer and it in retail it's not that different than say. Going into the store and Walking the Floor something any good retail executive does they go in and watch the customers and see what's going on and see what's working and what's not and speak with them. And there really wasn't an analog for that online so we we built some initial technology to do that. For me personally what was amazing about it is 4 years working with hundreds of a transactional companies. I got kind of a front row seat on seeing what really work. And what really didn't whether we're talk to human factors human psychology understanding why is it that. So many websites at the time just kind of shocked and head was just really hard to get things done friction issues getting in the way that's a lot of the stuff was built by engineer is not. By people who understand human so I did that for a lot of years ended up an Expedia for 6 years running a number of things ultimately running the expedia.com us business. [5:02] American Eagle Outfitters for 3 years running digital there really at their transition tree. Of being. A great brick-and-mortar store but understanding not only getting e-commerce right but truly leaning into an Amish handle experience should I happy to chat with you guys about and. Stood up for about a year did an interesting start up with a joyous a video based e-commerce retailer and what I loved about that was the focus was bringing the Humanity online just how do you control a. Help understand what makes a product great outside of the traditional just grid and content view of a products which we ended up. Selling the company hand doing advising and Consulting now. Jason:  [5:45] That's awesome nice concise recap of an amazingly Rich career. [5:54] TV this is super exciting to me cuz for the Wizards. I'm familiar it was a real game-changer like I sent you yet records sessions so that site team can watch Shopper behavior for. [6:09] Learning about conversion optimization and an opportunity to improve things and also for troubleshooting problems so before that like. [6:17] Your sales would be way down on a promotion day and you really had no way to know if you look at the metrics and see that nothing converted but you really have no I didn't see that like. [6:27] You are losing customers at this form or at the. Joe:  [6:30] Yeah we and it was interesting we, like I stumbled onto some insights just again trying to figure out why did conversion not hit the numbers we wanted like one of the early observations we had we ended up creating a kpi around this week all the PSR purchase success rate. And it turned out we were looking at this was in my in my travel days but it's it works in in retail as well. We knew what the fall off was on the traditional funnel I mean when you attack of conversion rate in the in the funnel. We knew that they were getting to the last step in the process but the Fallout you expect if someone's going all the way through the checkout process that you have a very high percentage of people who then complete the transaction and it was it was not it the high-percentage we thought. So why are people dropping out and with no one had figured out at the time and what we stumbled into by looking at this more complete view of the data is a ton of people were in fact trying to. We just weren't letting them and whether it would means that the transaction was failing. It was for a whole lot of reasons account failure where the credit card not being processed or incorrect information on doing the verification on the credit card and it needed you know somewhere between 1 and 5 + 1 + 4. 20 and 25% of the people may think about this you walked into a store you browse around you found something you want to buy. You've actually gone through the process you gone up to the POS you've gone through this and I'm online it's much more challenging. [8:00] My home address and my information my credit how you typed all this and you've actually clicked the button complete transaction the please take my money I want to do business with you. And the response was no you no soup for you tonight and it's it's it's crazy in the end the. Recovery rate on this was very low as well and you don't step 1 and in fixing things is acknowledging the problem and we were measuring the wrong thing we didn't even realize that was a failure to measure and. Yeah we've we turned out you never get to 100% purchase success rate some people always have credit to clients. But the ideas how do you actually look at that make sure anyone who should be complaining a transaction. Let him complete it and get that up to the high 9 days which took months of work to fix but no one again it's like turning a light on in a closet it's been dark with never even seen that. Scot:  [8:52] Then I'll wear your Expedia when they were part of interactive Corp or was this. Joe:  [8:56] This was shortly after I see spun out all the the travel properties which was a collection at the time of Expedia hotels.com Hotwire TripAdvisor, since I laughed the acquired orbits Travelocity and then the number of the other players. Scot:  [9:13] Some ways to travel world even then but even today was kind of a couple Generations ahead of us and e-commerce World about. Current traffic monetizing it always amazes me how they're they're totally friendly with each other and always routing traffic through each other in a much different world than we would it and e-commerce. You'll see Amazon cycle traffic over to Walmart or something like that. Joe:  [9:33] I know and I think that's actually how I ended up in retail is. One thing about travel for sure it's a great experiences and it's not about the transaction I mean it's ultimately about the trip and the places you're going and, I I think some of the players are realizing what I think travel is crossed over into retail lives that yet travel was. It from A disruption standpoint 10 years ahead of retail but was still deeply consumer-focused. What was interesting to me going from travel to retailer really from Marketplace two or more vertically two-player as a lot of the tricks that I expected would work didn't work at all in retail. And it was some some fascinating learning so you one example is the funnel. I'm in bed the oldest trick in the book if you want to like make them more quickly it started the bottom of the funnel and start working up and find the people who are the most qualified most committed and what's not working find that friction rooted and it's free money. And in a fashion apparel retailer American Eagle didn't work. I am going I mean he joined a new company and you pull out your playbook that always works and it doesn't work it's sort of this oh crap moment of what have I gotten myself into. And the internet turned out in a in a fashion business it's an upside-down funnel. The consideration where they fall out is at the top of the funnel it's discretionary spend I'm trying to decide. [11:04] I need a new pair of pants I need a new top what am I going to buy at you you hope you have loyal fashion brand followers. The reality is even your most loyal customers still don't exclusively shop with you so when you're in that consideration said you're at the top of the funnel. They're deciding hey what's new with trash was out there that's when the Fallout occurs by the time they're at the last step of check out. Big decided I'm giving you my money this is the the transaction I want it if it doesn't work it turns out though actually that is a different elasticity will try again or go to the store. The call the call center there's a much higher probability you'll get this a lot but then the flipside happens which is at the top of the funnel. If you are not getting a ride especially if your vertical integrated if you're the only place where can I buy the product that's where it really matters and we ended up switching everything around and then how do we make sure we're educating on the brain. I can give you the right information without relying and Associates in stores because that's where the Fallout was occurring fascinating difference. Scot:  [12:09] Search more detailed product pages more serendipitous Discovery stuck at the top tell people at self-educate. Joe:  [12:16] Yeah I hardly I am I looked the stores a lot for inspiration and it's kind of a digital guy I think it's easy to fall into hey we don't need stores or. But there's a lot about stores that work really really well and have for decades that I have yet to see online replicate. Scot:  [12:33] The bigger shopping cart. Joe:  [12:35] Other interesting Lee there I was fascinated when I joined that but a lot of the apparel companies use the notion bag and not shopping cart and I was frustrated by this. I actually sat down to prove that we were getting a wrong and then I discovered every apparel company use bag which. I think it's all just a bunch of silliness it doesn't really matter but but if you walk into a retail store. There are people there there are Associates their customers and you get a vibe from this within seconds you know if you walk into a restaurant or store if you're in the right place how hit me up if you're a straight-laced person and you walked in and saw a bunch of. Bikers wearing leather and whatever you feel like this is not my scene where you walk into a place that supposedly popular and it's empty. And you see this what are people shopping what are they buying what are the associates doing how are they engaging is it is it a heavy cell is an inclusive is an exclusive and you pick this up almost free. Online it's kind of like saying find me my flagship store. Perfect inventory position perfectly assorted perfect graphics and displays but you walk in at 2 a.m. on a Sunday when nobody's there you're on your own. And that's that's most shopping online and this is a huge gap and helping people discover and the Serendipity of shopping this is just not been figured out. Jason:  [14:02] Said you feel like you have you run into any tactics that you think partly address that cuz it's. Joe:  [14:07] For sure I think and it's all just little Windows into the human psychology to try to solve these things and then sometimes it can be a very subtle ways one of the biggest lips we got back of my travel days. Wait we called it a sense of urgency messaging but the idea was you're not allowed in part of the inside came from the number one call to the call center. Was a simple question that needed to be answered was just is this hotel room going to be okay just it's a big expense it's going to be a bad Hotel it's kind of ruins your vacation. And we we put these little pop ups on the screen which were just 10 people are viewing this hotel right now. 15 people have booked this hotel in the last 24 hours the last hour. Scot:  [14:50] One room left. Joe:  [14:51] One room left which is sense of urgency but one more popular people are here right now and it was just anything to give that same replication of that store experience. It's popular you walk into a store and there's a popular item on the ground or at the front door on display and there's only one left in your size and your smile what do you do. You grabbed it off the rack and you hold it you may not buy it but it is my option to choose I'm going to hang on to this thing until I decide I don't want it so how do you create that same sense. Requires being there and seeing other people around and knowing the scarcity of the item how do you create that same sense online send me that just one example of like a digital proxy for creating that that we've done. Jason:  [15:34] Yeah it is interesting I call that the sort of first Shopper problem cuz everyone that comes with e-commerce side feels like the first shopper. [15:42] It's ever been on that site like there's your point there's no footsteps of those previous customers. I started my career in brick-and-mortar retail and I was looking up to work with this legendary visual Merchant this guy named Joe was sheer and he used to. [15:59] Do the most amazing product displays all would like way higher conversion than any of his peers. [16:07] And the coolest thing he ever taught me is like you do this beautiful visual display and then the last thing you do before you open the store. Is you randomly take three scuse off that display. [16:19] Cuz no one wants to walk in and buy you know how to take that first SKU out the pyramid and feel like they're the first one to make this risky purchase they want to feel like. [16:28] Man that was just a customer here ahead of me and grabbed it. [16:33] There's this they're out of business now on Saturday but that jackthreads these type of my favorite features that used to. [16:40] Expose their there like high-level analytics on the product detail pages so I can you could literally see like five thousand people looked at these trousers and a thousand of them. Joe:  [16:53] I ate an educated just trying to replicate I eat you talk about product displays I think another interesting test we did that worked out rather well so we. Is there very tight control especially from the merchants in the product owners on how you display product online. Yummy you want this to be the best presentation of the product and lizards lay down or lifestyle shots are on body but how do you really bring this product life and make it be true to the Brandon to the product. The challenges it's in at 8 that off in 3 aspirational it's reaching people want to know how's it going to be. I need a store again you get that for free because other people are in the store wearing the product whether it's real humans were Associates or whether it's other customers you can get a sense of how the product. So am I in where you often have is your social feeds that you're getting photos posted Instagram information based marketing. Tag my brand include me in the conversation get it up there but this stuff is off and relegated to a blog or style board or somewhere off on the side where if you true to be that brand customer to look it's interesting. But it's very disjointed from the shopping experience so the idea was how could we make this part of the product experience twins on the product detail page not only do I see the grade. Produce Merchant LED photography but let me see the real user photographs as well. Which man tagging them flowing through so they came into the product detail page but it created tension inside of retailers because it now I'm giving up control on house. [18:25] It's not you and not everyone do consumer truly represents that idealistic brand standard and and how do you reconcile that but what was interesting is. It kind of credit just in these are my words become a book end. Approachability you've got the very perfect on point brand beautiful people who show the product and the aspirational luck you know I want to look more like that. But then you saw a real world people who showed you this was approachable achievable I can do that. If they can wear that I can wear that I'm going to look good and enjoy giving it that grounding and they're the real you know that this is real people wearing real product alongside having sort of what the division of what you want to look like. Turn up work really well and you know and then to change how we approach things and then the idea was truly let's get this real user. On as many product pages as we could and do that in an automated systematic way but again to me it's just it's just tapping into that human psychology of bringing the real world experience. Scot:  [19:29] You guys were very early on mobile to because your audience being Millennials was like really pushing that are any interesting insights that you learned kind of. Joe:  [19:38] We we did a many many many and I've been I've been passion about mobile so I Expedia we had the first Transit. [19:49] Psych on which we launched on the iPhone when it came out we had one of the first. [19:56] Best for Bravada years. [20:03] But I would have never guessed so we've got this at American Eagle we have an app it does pretty well it's it's our loyalty program. Scot:  [20:09] I need the address. Joe:  [20:11] Customers and Maya my head of mobile at the time who's been in the mobile space since since the old. Days he he's hammering me for let's put radio in a rap music. Scot:  [20:24] What am I cramping. Joe:  [20:26] Brand experience. Scot:  [20:28] Stores. Joe:  [20:29] We had a partner who could be relatively low. Classic basic. [20:36] Free. Scot:  [20:37] A lot of my life playlist. Joe:  [20:41] It just didn't seem that important to me. Finally thanks Jeremy he he just wore me down and he's like I got it I've actually already. Scot:  [20:49] Actually already done. Joe:  [20:52] Due diligence you just got to say yes and it's going to be. Any apps and we put in a nap and some amazing things happen. Scot:  [21:01] Customer. Joe:  [21:07] They hated it but for reasons that were more comical to me they love the music as well and they said and they turned out they were good customers of ours, and they using. Like I can never leave this. Jason:  [21:20] Score now yeah. Joe:  [21:23] Store and I'm like oh that's that's actually when you know that's just kind of hidden in a complaint but he was the interesting thing when we started getting into the. And we were very religious I'm looking. At the metrics and how all the opolis Performing the uninstall rate. Scot:  [21:39] So we would look at my coworker. Joe:  [21:40] So we would look at my cohorts of 7 days out how many people still have the app installed dropped in half we had twice. Scot:  [21:47] Install. Joe:  [21:50] The average session duration everything we were saying massive Improvement which also meant are rank improved and in. Because the number of downloads weren't changing and yeah there's always been sort of thoughts on hey is a. Scot:  [22:05] Engagement uninstall Ray. Joe:  [22:11] You're busy chat just it was a better app. Scot:  [22:13] And we were not only were born. Joe:  [22:20] Former warden in range and guess what rank is more download the engagement and there's a virtuous cycle there so yeah it's a stick. Scot:  [22:28] Traffic getting into tonight. Joe:  [22:31] Before and giving them what they need. Scot:  [22:34] We have some beginning marketers on the show talking about cohort analysis and I think that's an interesting topic and you probably have done enough of this year I have like your favorite view of that. So maybe it's a pretend you're talking to someone that you know is just getting an e-commerce. Somewhat technical on the marketing explain cowardin Alice's we can use the app. I know there's a lot of nice ones explain that and then maybe talk about some best practices using. Joe:  [22:58] Sure I may take it up a level I just say. Scot:  [23:01] How to say how do you say before eating. Joe:  [23:04] Analysis it means to have clean data to understand who my customer is and how can I start. [23:11] It's a fancy way of just looking at groups of people and comparing them typically overtime so you can. Scot:  [23:15] So you can understand it's something worth. Jason:  [23:19] You can charge more for a cohort then you can for a. Joe:  [23:23] But I ate nothing scares me more than making really good decisions on bad data and I think part of the challenge and I think this is getting harder not easier is how do you actually. [23:41] User Axe and I've got Bob or Susie out there and who is. Scot:  [23:44] Who is Bob Mackie what have they done so I can come over. Joe:  [23:51] In a world where. Scot:  [23:54] I got more people going. Joe:  [23:56] But still transacting a desktop may I mean think about this most people's mobile conversion of 1/2 to 1/4 of what their desktop site is and if I were. Scot:  [24:04] Basic now and oh by the way mobile sound 50% the majority of my business is going to be. Joe:  [24:13] A half or a quarter of my traditional business. Scot:  [24:17] My business. Joe:  [24:21] So there's a paradox here which is. Scot:  [24:23] I am I not getting my business completely call Omar. Joe:  [24:27] Where the basic metrics are true and really what it is. Scot:  [24:31] If people are coming your side 3 times. Joe:  [24:35] Purchase now they're going twice on mobile and once on desktop and oh by the way my desktop conversion you know which I attribute. Scot:  [24:42] So glad of that stalking her for not being able to. Joe:  [24:53] Because the way most of these. Scot:  [24:54] Looking. Joe:  [24:56] Where did I see you first and where the transaction occur and if you can't connect the dots and say hey I saw you on. Scot:  [25:00] Can't connect the dots and say hey I saw you on mobile but I don't know who you are. Joe:  [25:05] Find ways to tag remark you but then you. Scot:  [25:06] But then you transact. Joe:  [25:16] Stop channel it's digital to store it it's a challenge. [25:27] Good am I think it was an accident. Scot:  [25:30] How do I increase my customer identifier. Joe:  [25:37] Be getting them to log in or getting to engage with a promotion so long before you get into cohort guidance make sure. [25:47] How am I getting consistent measurement how am I attacking some of the consumer data problems which is a really big deal if you can get there and you know. Scot:  [25:55] Tricks that you can do. Joe:  [26:00] What you can do on testing thing. Scot:  [26:02] Two different audiences information variation sometimes. Joe:  [26:13] Can be great on hey if I give someone. Scot:  [26:15] How often do I see one. Joe:  [26:21] 2 Days Later 60 days later and tell her it's going to be in a very. [26:26] Way to look at that. Jason:  [26:29] Very cool and you you touch on another topic is very near and dear to my heart. [26:34] Talking about attribution omni-channel attribution American Eagle owns a lot of drone stores that website I presume was sort of the flagship store. [26:48] The front door too many of those physical sores often like did you guys Implement any kind of omni-channel attribution or headed you think about. Joe:  [26:56] We we did a lot around on the channel That the marketing attribution was trickier for us and it's some of it was just reframing the question I am like to say round numbers that we were doing. [27:12] Which means oh by the way 75%. Wasn't online and if I'm the CIA. Company and I'm looking at how I'm really thinking about what's really in a driving my. [27:27] It sure looks like stores no matter a lot more and on. Basis certainly that was mathematically true but I refrained the discussion we had cameras and all their stores and we could. Into the stores in at the mall level what if we looked at this differently and said look at this from a consumer engagement standpoint how many people said put into our stores everyday and how many people set foot in our digital. One thing is. What stores are not buying the product and then I tried to Apples. It's us us brand brand stores don't know no uniques it just no sanity. [28:10] Let's take not unique's just total visits and you don't find a way to do it. [28:15] And the interesting thing was it wasn't 75/25 now it actually flipped and it was more. Scot:  [28:20] 73rd Avenue. Joe:  [28:23] Depending on where and how we were looking at it with the majority of our daily. Scot:  [28:26] What actually is. Joe:  [28:34] Which means you can see. The people walking into the store where already online the majority. [28:45] Putting it in information on non offense. [28:53] And that actually was a profound shift Ross's beginning. Scot:  [28:55] Beginning of recognize. Joe:  [28:58] Point isn't still years away when we're 50% of transactions the Tipping Point already occurred this is the primary channel for us to reach and engage with the customer. Do you want to give it because if I would. And online fully was realized by the person coming to the store that also means that store isn't as important as we think it is. Scot:  [29:20] Crediting on sale. Joe:  [29:22] And it starts to get very very tricky in understanding how I'm going to really be. Scot:  [29:27] How am I really do that with you no more. Joe:  [29:30] Credit and entering. [29:34] So I ate it becomes a bit of a soft skill I think for now and connecting the dots that way where we could measure things in a single-use coupon codes and showing where the activation actually occurred or even if the inventory management I mean for us the biggest win on the channel. It was how we exposed inventory with things like buy online ship from store which. [29:57] But I'm in that was massive massive winter for. Jason:  [30:02] So like what were the big omni-channel experiences go to Wings for you you mentioned ship from the store. Joe:  [30:07] Is it shipping store for sure was a lot of it and if you think about it we we had a couple DC's. [30:15] Popular but it's always a limited Supply so the idea that hey we have an item that's no longer our current sets you can get. [30:26] Not right it's still a great product and still relatively recent but it's only available in extra extra large. [30:34] But the idea that we actually have a unit. Scot:  [30:36] Somewhere are awesome store. Joe:  [30:38] Of that item is pretty high and at the local store level which is just very very Atomic view of managing inventory whatever assortment they have. Scot:  [30:47] They're just. Joe:  [30:49] Down 10 off 25 off move it to the back and then ultimately if they can't get it they're going to liquidate it out of the store so the idea was just simple it was how do we. Scot:  [30:58] Can anybody any. Joe:  [31:01] Existing inventory roofing supply against existing demand and it turned out to be way bigger. When we began we didn't even know what we do this in all stores we only pick a couple hundred stores and by the time we were done it was fleet-wide every single store became it. And it was a win-win we were given. Scot:  [31:19] Give me the. Joe:  [31:21] Customer demand. [31:25] Our margins were actually dramatically better because we were able to move stuff much earlier in the in the in the mall. And by the way just even you can talk about with your. May I have a foundational belief that the notion of e-commerce as a p&l will be gone within 5 years ndia like to do this on a channel exercise we did with buy online ship from store so what if you look. [31:51] In order to make sure the stores were truly giving a pro. Disorders we gave the stores credit for the sale we won. [32:02] Really great job which they did on for the like that so they're going. Scot:  [32:06] What is 5 *. Joe:  [32:09] Clearance merchandise. Eroding because we're increasing the frequency of sales I had a clearance item that's operating cost for increasing split you. Shipping more out of stores in general which does the the shipping an operating cost of shipping out of stores is more expensive expensive than what we could do at the distribution center and I had to manage a whole new order management system and. [32:34] My product more guns are all getting worse. Scot:  [32:35] Chris sails. Joe:  [32:38] Credit in stores are looking good and you know how you can just took an e-commerce piano of you you'd say this isn't work. Company level me if you think what's the definition of omni-channel with all channels we were saying increase sales we were saying higher transactions were improving on margins the lowest liquidation rates and even. [33:03] And it just come Sunday if I'm standing in a store and they don't have. Scot:  [33:04] And they don't have to talk on my mobile phone. Joe:  [33:08] 70 Commerce a list or sell if I'm if I'm at the store if I'm on the. Scot:  [33:16] Very very boring day at work. Joe:  [33:19] And I think it's missing the point cuz the notion of trying to create a channel is Disney on. [33:28] They don't care they're just engaging with. Jason:  [33:30] American Eagle sale. Joe:  [33:33] I think it's the wrong question and I think brands are slowly coming to grips with a chop block here it's one of the most. Scot:  [33:37] Hookah Bowl think I'm hearing. Joe:  [33:42] I think brands are finally recognizing this isn't about a different Channel or different approach or different tea and that's how do we really start to take this consumer-centric View. Scot:  [33:52] Could you think stores last long enough to get to this point where they rationalize the piano at Toys R Us didn't make it in the players and a lot of these guys are filing for bankruptcy now. Joe:  [34:00] Yeah I I don't think stores are dead I'm very bullish on stores I just think stores are going to be different and they're no longer just about convenient places to store inventory. [34:12] I think the square footage will change I think the purpose of Discovery and and the serendipity. Scot:  [34:19] Experience. Joe:  [34:20] Brands will change but we're social beasts were looking for that human connection will look. And I think Associates do a great job in the same day and I'd say online is going to become less mechanistic and we're going to bring more humans then I am a big fan of things like chat. Scot:  [34:38] About ARB Rd to Goldfield storage Grove totally virtual reality. Joe:  [34:42] I am yeah you know I I I think there's going to be opportunities and their categories like furniture that I think I'm very interesting where where a RV are already starting to take hold it's very interesting companies are going. I need the idea fit and feel. [35:01] Content and it's going to be a lot harder in the immediate future to truly do an ARB our approach for that to me. Shannon and we keep running the math problems and to me a rvr as its a math solution. Scot:  [35:19] I'd much rather. Joe:  [35:20] Solution I'd much rather invest in most call centers have conversion rates of 30 40%. You're nowhere near that if I can get people to call and I can understand how to staff them. For service and get a ton of opportunity and sandwich at when as you get it in the Millennials in the youngers the younger customers they're very comfortable chat that's no different than a phone call to them and if I can engage to them. Scot:  [35:46] How to make silent. Joe:  [35:49] Commendations where use it works and if it's the same conversations you have in a store but it requires human beings to know that customer which means good CRM but date about. 10 in training in the associates you can do that digitally at scale it's just it's learning and it's it's it again it's blurry. Scot:  [36:09] Who am I. Jason:  [36:16] Joe that's great advice and it's going to be a great place to end it because it's happening again we've used up all at a lot. [36:24] I was super grateful for you taking time to sit down and chat with us and as always is westerns want to continue the conversation they're welcome to jump on it. [36:33] Page if you enjoyed this episode it's a great time to jump on iTunes and give us that 5-star review. Scot:  [36:40] Joe people want to follow you online do you have a Twitter or LinkedIn or. Joe:  [36:46] You can find me LinkedIn it both megibow and Twitter is megibow m e g i b o w. Scot:  [36:51] Cool thanks we appreciate you taking time out of the parking and you can go have a drink on us. Jason:  [36:57] Until next time happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP125 - Johnson and Johnson E-Com VP Sri Rajagopalan and Samir Bhavnani of 1010data

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 4, 2018 41:57


EP125 - Johnson & Johnson E-Com VP Sri Rajagopalan and Samir Bhavnani of 1010data  We caught up with Samir Bhavnani of 1010data (previous appeared on Amazon Private Label Deep Dive Episode 103) at ShopTalk this year and he brought Sri Rajagopalan, VP of E-Commerce at Johnson & Johnson with him.  We cover a variety of topics including brands going direct to consumer, brands working with Marketplaces, Amazon's entry into Healthcare, and Amazon Private Label OTC. Episode 125 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Tuesday, March 20, 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. New beta feature, Google Transcription: Transcript Jason:  [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this episode is being recorded on Tuesday March 20th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scot Wingo. Scot:  [0:37] We are live live live and beautiful Las Vegas here for the shop talk show. We're really excited to have to guest on the show too rare time we actually were able to Loop into people crazy enough to be on the show. Jason:  [0:52] Our listeners are getting twice their money. Scot:  [0:53] Yeah they are for you but double the bang-for-the-buck excited to have on the show Samir bhavnani and SRI Raja Goblin. Samir is area vice-president of Tintin wife asking what area he covers and. 1010 data and this is his second time on the show that he was super helpful in episode 103 where we did the Deep dive on Amazon private label and he was kind enough to share some really interesting day that they have on that. So looking forward to getting an update on that in any other interesting data topics he brings back welcome back sooner. You're the rear Elite status of a two-timer club so there is not a three times will what will see how it goes today. Jason:  [1:34] Petition to be the first three. Scot:  [1:37] And severe was kind enough to bring along some when he found downstairs heat, SRI who is the VP of e-commerce at this small kind of entrepreneurial brand shop called Johnson & Johnson Street has had a story career at Brand call J&J but Frito-Lay PepsiCo, it's great to have you on the show SRI. Sri:  [1:57] Thank you so much that's me man that's my middle name all Style no substance but thank you for knowing that you're doing your homework in it. Jason:  [2:04] It's a little known fact that 100% of Scots calories come from those three branches. Sri:  [2:10] If previous life out of said thank you for putting my paychecks in the mail so. Samir:  [2:17] Drove to have you on the show one of the ways we always start the show is. Jason:  [2:18] On the show one of the ways we always start the show is to tell the listeners a little bit about how you started your career and kind of walk us through your matriculation to your. Sri:  [2:30] And some believe it or not I'm living proof that anybody can work in digital in e-commerce and let me tell you why fairly straightforward so I came to this country 25 years ago to go to school at Virginia Tech. Dishwashing was my first job even even drove a truck for a living thank you very much hopefully this year will go to the SEC Championship. I'm talking football not basketball to be clear so once I graduated got recruited by a market research from Ira Nielsen competitor. Maybe someday 10 times competitor and then eventually. Jason:  [3:03] Daddy are they just don't know it yet. Sri:  [3:05] They just don't know it yet that's how the digital industry works most people don't know and so wild spending time at. One of the leaders at Pepsi came to me a VP of sales and said dude why are you working till I die you should be working for Pepsi and I said why not give it a shot so I spend many years at PepsiCo a decade and change. In all different functions divisions of Ben in it and sales sales leadership sales account leadership. Last job before getting into digital retail was actually a dollar drug convenience business. Owning the John business plan with the customers everything from the little guys like QuikTrip the gas station. Do Dollar General then one day while having one some displays at one of my customers when I was returning as a career leadership opportunity. I was offered why don't you start up Ecommerce for Frito-Lay and I thought it was a demotion what the heck is going on and that's 6 years ago. And 6 years later I haven't look back and I will probably say publicly never return to a full-time brick-and-mortar retail job ever no chance no one's going to get me there. So in the six years I've had the 49ers starting up he come for free oh what is things I realize is when you see you ask you. I was registering having doing the truck once about that when you see you ask you figure out a way we had 30 days we had to figure out a strategy lo and behold we started scripting it driving it. And I got to do that for you I get to do it all over again it down sitting down too and it's been 3 quick years I got 11 days left to complete three years magical three years that's my private life of an entrepreneur got a record label it solve all your records. [4:42] I'm also in real estate development in Texas and also another business that's my middle name. [4:50] Hang out with you guys a lot more. Scot:  [4:54] I'm a big fan of Indra nooyi. Sri:  [4:58] Many times here's a funny story for the listeners her daughter that actually learn dance from my wife a couple times. Scot:  [5:08] Yeah. One of my favorite podcast other than Jason Scott shows Freakonomics they just did a whole series of out and what does CEO and they're really highlighted her and she was just very well spoken about you know how how she thinks about being a CEO and ended up being a woman CEO and all that stuff is very she's very awesome. Leader. Sri:  [5:25] So let me give you a another story out there and enjoy please don't kill me or listeners don't kill me for giving this up humility. Indoor practice in humidity right so I think before I got promoted from a director to a senior director we had a rule back then she was a CFO CEO and we had to interview with her, so I know you would tell her she don't ask me about my background and I casually mentioned that that. My wife was running a classical Indian dance school so I mentioned, she starts asking me questions of course I had no clue and I don't knows the truth I have no clue but I made something up she said give me your wife's phone number like that here to here it is. Two weeks later my wife calls me and says hey do you know who was at our house today I'm like who. Should lay in there and we was at the house and I'm like why and she said hey she was sitting here sitting on the floor with a daughter watching her daughter actually dance because she wanted her to learn classical. In and that was in the afternoon on a weekday and I'm like Mom humility business leader. Mobile one of the most powerful 1400 leaders in the one of the most powerful women leaders in the world that's what life's about. Scot:  [6:29] Your your record label I assume does it have some to do with Indian music seems like that's. Sri:  [6:37] Although maybe I shouldn't say that because my we start a record label solve all your records because my daughter was an American Idol finalist years ago the name is Rhea Raj and she works or with DJs all over the world collab Integra going to Belgium. Next Wednesday to do a music video so she's got her own channel YouTube falling things of that nature so it's and she sings Poppin EDM. So she actually doesn't know the Indian language came a lot but although now with her Regional field Indian DJs of started to reach out. And I have a project on my hand a text message from my wife this morning then ask me for 4 lines in Hindi. Scot:  [7:17] Nice. Sri:  [7:18] Indian DJ. Scot:  [7:19] Deathrhyme. Sri:  [7:20] I hope I can figure that out although I did tell you all Style no substance rhyme is about style I can make this work. Scot:  [7:23] All Style no substance. Sri:  [7:28] Hey guys if I didn't think so mean for having me on the show it wouldn't be right so thank you for connecting me with Jason Scott. Samir:  [7:34] Got her all doing this. Scot:  [7:35] Yeah you could that take over my job the showrunner here so so I can so tough one. Samir:  [7:39] The bar is very very well. Scot:  [7:41] Show me a better job already cool so let's talk a little bit about J&J so you've been 3 years on the job when they started did they already have an e-commerce initiative or are you kind of got it from Ground Zero. Sri:  [7:55] So when I when they started looking for somebody to come and start this up change it stop ship that Amazon that was the only real business if it a lot of issues with quality things of that nature is the mutual decision to not have the relationship so we were. Really experimenting in DTC. Truly practicing on TVC Omni was too tiny to kinda really count so the goal was to start up all pieces of you come so that's Omni that's the walmart.com. Target.com truly put and then obviously Amazon. That and B2B b2c with lady. She out now pretty well you should check out neutrogena.com and rogaine.com through Commerce and action not just the website. We've managed to upgrade those platforms to demandware for the plug-in they don't pay me to endorse him but it actually works and it's pretty cool. Scot:  [8:46] That sells horse e-commerce Club. Sri:  [8:48] Thank you for being technically at. Samir:  [8:51] You don't know how I rock. Jason:  [8:52] It is that you now have the entire body of knowledge that Scott has of e-commerce platform. Sri:  [8:59] All substance lifestyle. So be ready to start it up while it's going to offend people if I take from scratch but the reality is that we had to do wait to put together a team really get going in all directions. We're fortunate business is gone consumers have responded retailers of partnered we found amazing vendors to partner of it and let me just put out an honest truth out there in the journey and e-com. You can't do it yourself you're going to have to partner with vendors and in this case unlike popular belief and Roi and all that stuff more is better. I'm literally here for 24 hours I flew in last night I flattened that I all I'm doing other than that shows me to vendor. Scot:  [9:39] Go to Silver folks that aren't familiar with J&J and even I have limited knowledge I know health and beauty is a big category for you guys and then. You guys and I think there's a huge drug division but that's more like a prescription there some over-the-counter what other are you guys in the pet category what other and snacks I don't know what all categories are in the. Sri:  [10:01] When you think of Jace J&J list three parts today and one is Pharma so that's your classic prescription medication you go to a CVS or Walgreens or Rite Aid any retailer deals in prescriptions in You by JJ products. Then you have the medical devices section so everything from. Instead of putting the heart to Diabetic Care which of course we announced for sale recently it's publicly announced and then there's the consumer sector I'm in the consumer sector. If you depend if you start dissecting the consumer sector think of it as three different pieces. Does the beauty care piece popular bands are clean and clear of course the big Neutrogena Aveeno is another one getting a lot of popularity especially good baby I'm second pieces to self care. Area which is I'm sure you've heard of allergy relief which is Zyrtec. Scot:  [10:50] Big fan. Sri:  [10:51] Pain medication Tylenol Band-Aid for wound care. Listerine for oral care and of course the legendary famous every mom wants to have it in her kind of in her bathroom for her child daughter or son whatever it might be Johnson's Baby. What forms the portfolio of Johnson & Johnson. Scot:  [11:10] No More Tears. Sri:  [11:11] No More Tears hey good morning. Samir:  [11:13] And pictures bottle. Scot:  [11:16] It's a strong band when they just like pops right in your head like that. Sri:  [11:18] If you come by and visit us sometime I'll walk you through the baby Hall of Fame but does the advertising which started 9 I think somewhere Midway through this last century No More Tears and we got a whole Hall of Fame picture story on it. Scot:  [11:30] The interrupted you Siri going to the 3 I got so excited about the baby stuff. Sri:  [11:36] Mega brands of course there are many other brands outside of the mega band as well. So the change that's really happened is all of these man's scale in store due to the consumer shipping habits. Many of them almost all of them about online now they're not just bought an Amazon although Amazon is a big piece of it consumers want a choice Mom want to charge battery shop. And I truly living in the where to buy in ready shop which is not just one retailer one place but we can order as well as Omni as well as Amazon well as deals. Jason:  [12:11] Obviously all those brands are sold Wholesale in store and online a few of those Brands you're now selling d2c online. Sri:  [12:23] Neutrogena. Of course under Neutrogena that many subcategories there's acne cleansers there's acne care that facial moisturizer therapy that body lotions and and body care. I'm so when you think of the brand it's all label Neutrogena but it's many multiple subcategories and then there's the I would say hair restoration Rogaine. We're doing do you see on that one as well but don't think. Jason:  [12:48] Why is everyone looking at me when they say Rogaine. Scot:  [12:50] Women women need their sponsorship on the show. Sri:  [12:53] Let me tell you guys something Rogaine actually works when people ask me that but the key to using and winning with Rogaine is using it before someone goes completely bald because the formula needs something to work on not just dead skin. Jason:  [13:06] Now they're even looking to Me Harder. The end of things interesting to me about your role as a lot of cpgs when they have e-commerce. [13:16] I'm always curious what they mean because sometimes what they mean is help our wholesale brand sell stuff on their e-commerce Ides better sometimes they mean like launch are direct-to-consumer in your exclusively want responsible for the direct to consumer. My perception is that you have sort of both sides of that is at. Sri:  [13:34] To touch everything and I think it's by Design so when we started this up three years we made a conscious Choice we'll touch everything because we had to influence and build an ecosystem. Ecosystem is not just the numbers and sales right it's the content piece of it so yes I do part of it it's the sem part of it you go back to yours and Israelis were not common household words. Now they are so different place and Diamond I'm sitting with experts over here Tree Experts so all of this makes sense I still sit inside in an hour. External parties Etc with these words don't make sense right Soviet attacks the entire ecosystem of my belief is over the course of time though the only way any cpg company will be truly successful. Content needs to be on that the Innovation cycle so when a product is born. A brand needs your own content from scratch so they get just like this focus on mailing packaging and store digital is just a piece of it the digital content and that way I see it was used in packaging how about that. Jason:  [14:33] I mean arguably like packaging was in original form of SEO. One more level sending question about J&J misses super. The sum of your Brand's you guys wholesale through Amazon is that correct so you have you sell some some Brands 1p and are you doing any 3-piece sales on Amazon. Sri:  [14:53] Yeah what a partner with the pharmapacks I think it's a known fact. We're not the only ones pharmapacks is a scale TP on Amazon I think even Amazon if you heard egg Broussard today. I'm actually suggesting that manufacturers should be on FBI platforms things of that nature my belief is an e-commerce strategies a little bit of everything just as Amazon is a piece of the strategy. Amazon call to the one. Nation trip we're very similar to brick-and-mortar retailers funny as it may be for you guys to believe. It's the relationship management is not very different right buying products in bulk. Putting truckloads of products in Amazon warehouses and then working with Amazon in the right promotional levers for the consumer right 3p I'm also looking into being an API Subs if it's appropriate because. Sometimes a given skew or a brand or a product. May not be a fit for the 1p business we might choose to launch in the different way different fashion things of that nature same thing. But my Amazon sometimes that may be the best platform then they're developing the criteria now but I believe. To win the space and be a leader in the space you got to touch everything it can't be a one-and-done story. Jason:  [16:02] For sure we talked a lot about that on the show that you need a portfolio that there's not a. [16:08] That's all any of these problems and I increasingly worsening brand sort of had that hybrid relationship with with Amazon in particular where there's a 1p and 3p component. Samir:  [16:19] It's also important right to not have all your eggs in the Amazon basket and having some kind of X Amazon outside of Amazon strategy something and I'm starting to see a lot more. Perfect segue so that we can have a good foundation on understanding of where J&J is on their digital. Jason:  [16:37] Journey. Samir:  [16:39] I want to go back to Samir who introduced 1010data last time you're on the show but just as a super quick Refresher. Ginormous panel of consumers you get to see all of their digital spending behavior and so you have this super rich source of data that you charge way too much money to J&J and us. You nailed it, so we just stopped we just looked at last year's gross of 2017 numbers compared to 2016 and we came and Tim and I came on. Last year we talked about Amazon private label was happening there that's certainly been one of the hottest topics I would save the last couple years. And what the data shows is that. Private label over alright friends like Kirkland and Amazon elements and we're up over 100% over the over the prior-year. Which is an astounding amount right and that has a very big impact on not only disruptive Brands but also on establish Perez. Scot:  [17:48] Yeah there's a backdrop where retail is growing three to 4% e-commerce 15 to 20 and then you have Amazon 30 so something going hundred percent is really you know if your 3 accessing Amazon that that's pretty darn. Samir:  [18:01] It's it's incredible we haven't seen growth so down to do to see you know just massive growth in the online Channel I think I sent you we were talking earlier and. We break things out into categories and subcategories right you can get as fine as you know like. Dry dog food versus wet dog food rats type of Branding Iron you can also me start looking at but if you look at Petcare was up 57% Billion Dollar industry industry and it's just continuing. Scot:  [18:30] Just private label Are All That Girl. Samir:  [18:31] All pet care all pet care I didn't I didn't break out or something. Sri:  [18:39] How about this the guy knows his number is. Samir:  [18:40] And then the other 50% categories food and beverage writes online grocery is is something that. 1010 is a reputation for short of being the innovators and tracking online grocery and then your category baby 48% growth last year so that's that's very impressive. And then running out personal cares 42% General Health is 26% in the Cosmetics was actually pretty slow at 15%. Scot:  [19:09] Awesome and then so this is kind of interesting so private label growing a hundred percent you're obviously you know in the world of Brands how how do you guys think about this private label thing does not worry you or your kind of like this is a little worrisome what what should we do about it. Sri:  [19:24] The honest answer to that is personally I don't worry at all then they'll give you I think that's two pieces of the story. Please number one is straightforward private label is existed for a few decades nothing you and you look at private labels role in the category it's very clear to me why retailers have. Private label and scale to a certain extent right I think the industry is panicking a lot kind of looking at Amazon private label and saying oh my gosh. It is going to do something to my brand equity in my question to Brand marketers is very straightforward one. You build equity over 20-30 years and if you're going to lose confidence over one announcement then are you sure you're doing the right things to build equity in the first place. I have the Supreme confidence that even Amazon private label is a brand at the end of the day they're going to depend on a brand new salad that's one piece of the story, I think bands with all these have equity in Amazon private label the wall Toby equity-based II pieces. Manufacturers are such over the course of the time haven't really spent a lot of time in a looking at should they be partnering with Radeon actually developing private label I don't mean just. A manufacturing a product in a factory and putting it on truck but only marketing elements off it actually cleaning that kitty for the brand. The Experience manufacturers having brand Equity wouldn't retailers want to partner with manufacturers in the marketing arm of it as well so I see it as. Play this is awesome why Panic it's an opportunity for every manufacturer to leverage the good ones on figure it out. Samir:  [20:53] I do I think it's interesting like I totally agree like. Jason:  [20:57] Gables been around a long time and I'm not sure that it's dramatically more threatening now than it ever was. [21:04] Threatening is the second thing you mentioned is that retailers are now shipping a focus from Pride. Samir:  [21:07] Retail Focus from private label owned brands in. Jason:  [21:11] Brands in me that's a more direct competitor with you in that wide example I was like to use cuz its most extreme is Alexa is not a private label Sony Bluetooth speaker it's the mar. Samir:  [21:19] Alexa is not a private label Sony Bluetooth speaker it's the market-leading best product in the category that's wrinkly. Jason:  [21:25] In the category that frankly kicks on. Samir:  [21:28] If that becomes the truancy Walmart watching grown. Jason:  [21:31] Quincy Walmart launching their own mattress brand in like they're investing in March. Samir:  [21:35] Marketing and landing pages and you know their own unique attributes. Jason:  [21:41] Trend continues. Samir:  [21:43] And Amazon says what are the gaps in baby care and where should we eat you know build our own brand that potentially is a new threat that. Jason:  [21:46] Where should we eat unit build our own brand that potentially is a new threat that puts the the traditional National brands in the retailers that at all more at odds in that used to be. Sri:  [21:58] It's actually an opportunity to fly. I'm at before we started the show we were discussing advertising over here right and how did you know this completely changed advertising and morphed retail over the course of time and the survivors and the ones are actually flashing of the Wonder don't confirm. In a basically marked and mended ways and said here's how I'm going to play it out I don't see this as any different if we walked in and said there's only one way to build brand equity. Good luck if we want to confirm good luck they'll be rules to confirm they'll be places to confirm. But they'll be places to seek the opportunity goat cheese blade Out Create unique new Partnerships do things if I ask you guys you go back 10 years in history. Weed for one to be sitting here at a suite in Las Vegas watching the mountains and actually recording a podcast about private label you guys would have left but here we are we're doing. Because you decided tomorrow and do it I see it as an exact same YouTube it's a huge opportunity the ones who are going to exploited or going to fly. Scot:  [23:00] Little bit so we talk a little bit about Amazon but it wouldn't be a Jason Scott show if we didn't go into a little bit more one thing that happened about 3 months ago is it was revealed that Amazon has filed to be a drugstore essentially in like 20 to 30 States, you know these days we'll never ever something Amazon happens like CVS and Walgreens Rite Aid in all the stocks crater 20% you know you guys are a really large Drug Company, what would you think about Amazon becoming effectively of Next Generation online drugstore. Sri:  [23:29] So if you thought about the actual. Industry of healthcare Healthcare is a lot more than just the medication element of it that Healthcare Providers involved because they made CP is that hospitals involved. The ecosystem of healthcare is very complex highly regulated in this country. It's not something that'll Morphin 3 days but neither CPT more than 3 days so I actually welcome. New players coming in trying to change Healthcare you got to take the winner is at the end of the day I'd all of us are doing things in our lives today to deliver a win for the ultimate person that you're all touch with the car. Jason:  [24:07] I thought you were talking about my wife. You okay. Sri:  [24:12] At home that's what you deliver. Samir:  [24:14] My main focus. Sri:  [24:17] Now I have an excuse to get to be there to listen to the show. Remember she's in record label entertainment Property Management so I got to get around that you can respect but now you give me a tease and thank you sir far to client so. Have back on Healthcare right back on Healthcare so I welcome the digitization of healthcare. Honest truth be told letting very few people realize that there's a lot of Health Care advertising already taking place to delete a lot of programmatic already taken place. Digitally as long as the ecosystem is delivering a win for the consumer I think I'll roll. All of our roles is to find a way to participate make it better for the consumer so I welcome all those opportunities. Samir:  [24:59] I totally agree asked me like one of the funnest part of the whole. Jason:  [25:00] I totally agree I talk to me like one of the funniest part of the whole industries that we can't just follow the Playbook that people in falling for the last 10 years so I am now. Samir:  [25:06] But I'm buying for the last 10 years so I imagine since Samir brought you here that you are. Jason:  [25:13] 1010 data. Sri:  [25:14] Yes so so mien and I are looking at creative ways on Parklane looking at not just Amazon's data but also looking at me Channel and we'll have we had a chat today standing outside the door waiting for you all about DTC. And looking at not just a POS data and sales and things of that nature without Denton could also getting in getting to share. And actually help manufacturers try and understand their role in the category if you listen to some me earlier you talked about 42% growth 58% growth. 48%. These are no ordinary numbers guys I mean the last time CPD in retail solve 42 + 48% it's been awhile. So somebody can have some real fun here if he chooses to and I have a strong suspicion he does if you don't. Scot:  [25:58] How to say it just come here the Jason Scott show takes 10% of every deal kind of consummated before after or during the podcast. Sri:  [26:07] How many minutes before so somebody's going to check in if its 8 minutes before I think he's going over here but 12 minutes I'd be worried if I was some here. Scot:  [26:15] We might live a very long cookies. Sri:  [26:18] It Last Forever. Jason:  [26:19] 30-day attribution window. Sri:  [26:21] Buy actually clean up my cookies every time it's automated now so. Jason:  [26:24] It's cute that you think we're still using cookies. Sri:  [26:29] Sometimes better than cpg I told you also have no substance you guys weren't listening. Sometimes it gets exposed but back on the partnership right I truly believe there's a place for a. Data vendor and I shouldn't say they don't like morphing into an lyrics inside things of that nature. Category growth basket level transaction I'm short and turned it over the course of time of play to all the strengths and actually bring that level of relevancy. 2D cpg industry. Scot:  [27:02] Sedated what was kind of rough on that for a minute so you know you're, you're kind of second generation on this what's your dashboard so you know you guys have Brazilian skews you're on all these Channel summer 153p you have like a dashboard that you look at this, how you're doing at how do you think about that. Sri:  [27:21] I look at it all and probably not not your best Benchmark because remember I'm also brick and mortar train. And so I'm no longer interested in the dashboard. Just give me data and says yes what sales was. And just what it was percent change your logo and here's a Cheddar's percent change you to go to in my eyes that's the old school way of measuring which still works in other places it doesn't work in this space in this space. Cher alone is not enough because you're measuring share of an unlimited shelf anyway so that changes and if you know the Amazon platform you know that. Number of products that show up changes on a minute-by-minute basis depending on who launched who got killed things of that nature. So for me it's all about the inciting LX base to me I'll rest when I can find out why she's buying it as in the consumer. What's transaction-level understanding what prompted to buy it what the behavioral drivers are. As well as a Jason categories opportunities what kind of promotional offer she's looking for what would drive her to want to make a purchase when they should come online just to learn is it an innovation she wants to learn about is good more than that for example in the baby category. A lot of these are Chick-fil-A's today Beauty care Lottery search requested a wound care does less. So getting to that level of detail I call it like drivers of the business truly getting to the causal factors yesterday's Marley was display was featured in store here it's like a complete swing it's called SEO Base Montana. I see him we talk about Royce on our way it's really decomposing and getting to that level that's the dashboard I look at. Scot:  [28:53] I can cook some more forward-looking versus the the the so so when you first started your career at Frito-Lay, imagine e-commerce looks like the sidebar kind of wacky hobby you experiment and now at at mini Brands I don't know about J&J but you know I'm a big CNBC nut and you know you see things like Dollar Shave Club being acquired, P&G has an activist in there that's like disrupting the board and he claims that they're not doing enough to be direct and that kind of thing so you probably went from being in a. Running this kind of cool little thing on the side that no one really. Focused on so now I'm ajan is pretty bright Spotlight on it does does the major role at a company like JJ get a fair amount of his ability up into the board level or is it still kind of a you know an interesting hobbies out how to. Where where is that in the spectrum of those things. Sri:  [29:38] What a great question right I can promise you e-commerce is on the radar of our CEO. Off of regional Chairman's off a cross-functional leadership I'm lucky that I work in a company that I get all their support to make this happen and I think you all know better than I do that it's not about Johnson & Johnson any large public company Wall Street analysts are asking about e-commerce. So we do have those conversations with investors and it's the right thing to do because it's a part of business that's growing and it's the future of retail in many ways. I want to see the only way to tell what shape the future it's a big place and I'm sure investors are very well aware that. And I'm fortunate that my leadership support me in this journey and we've been able to build a good business model that works for everybody. Scot:  [30:23] Another kind of questions are there the the cost to create a new brand is going to lay down so you're at chop talk you know we're talking like Jason had kind of are on the program we've seen, baywater and all these branches can I get born in this new digital age, and it used to cost you a millions millions of dollars to create a brand and companies like yours would go and do the $59 ad campaign and all that now that causes come down as a House of brands do you guys does that. Did you find yourself looking at those things going to maybe acquire them or does it give you now the flexibility entrepreneur or intrapreneurial and start Brands inside or. Where are both of you guys think about that. Sri:  [31:00] It's a bit of both to be honest. I'm better this reason why Dollar Shave Club was acquired it wasn't just a product it wasn't the dollar razor on it was capabilities then you start thinking about jet.com it's not very different right after I've spent a lot of time but jet.com, Executives folks over there I mean you're talking about some of the people who know e-commerce inside out. So I think talent and expertise is still growing in the industry. And cpg companies will have to lean on buying some of that talent and expertise and that's why some of these Acquisitions happen but the wonderful thing that's happened about Brandon koobatian is. If you go back to the brick-and-mortar world. To incubate a new brand you're going to have to trade something on the planogram and 5 out of 10 times it's a brand that isn't doing so well that you own. And what change in this world is you don't have to make that trade you can launch it you can do true test and learns that you can and I was listening to I believe it was again. From Amazon you can fail fast you can fail cheap. And you can make decisions in record time and you can fix things. Scot:  [32:03] Exploding kittens Lee. Sri:  [32:06] Since I didn't go by the way I didn't know what exploding can. Jason:  [32:09] No I was little I was a little afraid to find out. Sri:  [32:12] So was I so was I. Scot:  [32:12] You guys got your your family love it's really fun it's kinda like to know. Sri:  [32:18] I don't ever play that very often my twelve-year-old Laura and I. Samir:  [32:22] I'm really good at you know. Sri:  [32:25] Have you ever tried a double stack two concerts at the same time. Jason:  [32:29] My family are big card sheets so it's like you constantly have to watch text make sure that someone is not slipping other cards under the car they play it's very sad. Sri:  [32:37] I wonder if he'll what happens on the family table but I assume there's a little bit of element of that at every table. Scot:  [32:42] Yes brings out the competition in the family. Sweetheart, curveball for you. So we had to listen or question come in and it was really interesting where if I could summarize the listener kind of said all right. Everyone says Amazon's like 60% of e-commerce they're growing 30% Walmart's growing you know. Between 25 and 60% of another quarter eBay is growing 10%. Where would you add all that up you get to kind of like. 25 or 30% and then we always say we always rely on like, Square data the Forester data that says e-commerce is going 15 to 18%. I come to the conclusion that that they're probably wrong and when I talk to some people today the industry you know they. The what the devil's argument is they say that a lot of that data is keyed off of the US Census Data that comes out that they kind of they didn't take their data and correlate to that. And then there's a lot of people that believe that that Census Data just fundamentally wrong and effectively understating e-commerce you have a point of view on that order. Samir:  [33:45] Is it on the data I don't know I can't look at the data just sort of quote any sort of specific numbers but generally speaking in a few look at whoever is putting up numbers with her, score. Whoever any panel data has strengths and weaknesses it's a reality right that you deal with within the space me and my contention based on what we've seen is that stuff. That sounds low to me. The end. Scot:  [34:09] What do you think Ecommerce is growing like a range is. Samir:  [34:11] I mean I I still think it's it's got to be God be grown in the thirty 40% range Head Soccer. Every major category is moving online more and more the asps of the products that sell online are higher than the ESPYs that you see in the store. There's a sticky Factor there's Discovery Factor whether whether it's a DDC like looking at neutrogena.com or whether it's something classic like just going to Amazon. More and more of my purchases are happening there when I think you know probably have one of the stable is the same scenario. Scot:  [34:46] SRI does that freak you out you're kind of in a pie in a world where you're worried about 15% e-commerce growth and making sure your your efforts grow that faster faster and what if the bar really is 20 to 30%. Sri:  [34:57] Get to Wild swing by category I think the overall notion that e-commerce is going fast if any of us are debating. Statically Pharmacy so it doesn't scare me at all I think if you start looking at what. Samir:  [35:10] Looking at what a role is to the consumer we need to go at that. Sri:  [35:13] We need to go at that place so we can deliver value for the consumer and delivered Brands the daily. Samir:  [35:17] And I and keep Pace with their needs and demand so I don't get it at all I ask. Sri:  [35:19] In the hands keep face with their needs and demands so I don't feel it at all. I see all of this as a giant opportunity for a cpg companies to take leadership and do what's right for the time. Samir:  [35:31] Cilantro. Scot:  [35:32] What was the future of cpgs is it is it like half direct half wholesale no he's really kind of you know you haven't experienced any brand at Costco that's different than the Amazon that's different than the rogaine.com. If you would what's your and even outside of J&J if you know I don't want you to give us any secrets we could do that so I'd appreciate it. It would switch your vision for like 3 years were sitting here again gazing at the beautiful mountains with what we talkin about. Sri:  [35:58] In the last 3 years right in any comp the strategy for today doesn't apply 6 months from now and business planning that I kind of plan down and thought just yesterday I was kind of talking to. Star Chief customer officer in terms of what's the next evolution of e-commerce that we need to focus on right and we both can card. Samir:  [36:18] Any strategy. Sri:  [36:19] But you were kind of buildings got about a 6 month old. I'm and if I look at a few years down the line where is business going to be done I think I'd be fooling you and your listeners if I said. It's going to be only one way versus anything else it's going to be a mix of it all it's going to be vacant lot is not going away first of all make a big him or is here to stay it's going to have it. Samir:  [36:34] Vicki Lawrence is here to stay it's going to have a distinct gold. Sri:  [36:41] Fulfilling a distinct Mission depending on the category I see. Samir:  [36:45] Did you see me. Sri:  [36:46] I see your milk runs some of the girls that aren't being preserved even in the long run in a bacon. Those that have no touch feel. Samir:  [36:55] Probably going more online. Sri:  [36:56] Doing more online over the course of action they probably I think they will go online over the course of time and then when you think of distribution method. Companies are going to have to learn that we talked about the one p3p FBA you know being part of all these models when the retailer selling. Samir:  [37:10] Part of all these models when the retailers are here. They want you to be part of it experiment learn and I see the future. Sri:  [37:15] Learn and I see the future starting many things not just one. Samir:  [37:20] SRI it sounds like you've been in partner meetings most of your time here vendor meetings so I'm guessing you haven't had a chance to do I consume a lot of the content for or walk the show for trying my best. Sri:  [37:32] I actually spent trying my best not to do vendor meetings in restaurants and bars actually go to. The vendors to throw truly trying to understand who they are not meet with one person like classically a business development person truly but truly get into the meat of what product they have things of that nature my belief is on. Samir:  [37:50] My belief is on that timer. Sri:  [37:52] Belief is always been. Hunger and appetite and curiosity for the spaces the way we will be able to skip history in the space and its conferences like this that you find that a median that comes in. People holding the next thing you know there's an opportunity. Samir:  [38:10] Are there any key takeaways or themes that have kind of emerged in your mind from the show. Sri:  [38:17] So I think there's good news and bad news over there I think the bad news is. Samir:  [38:21] I think a lot of. Sri:  [38:22] The stuff that I saw is still econ 101 content. Samir:  [38:26] Blackboard. Sri:  [38:27] Basics of Commerce SEO sem the good news is I still think there's a ton of opportunity and all those faces so I've definitely. Samir:  [38:31] Good news is I still think there's a ton of opportunity in all of those faces so I'm definitely met with. Sri:  [38:40] The show where does geeking out and what the next set of data needs and insights needs are and where we need to go and things of that nature. This is the place where stuff like that happens so I've seen plenty of. Samir:  [38:52] Samir have you seen any other trends of the show that are not jump out of you everyone has been talking it just seems it's been such an Amazon centered focus and. I'm waiting I'm waiting to hear some of the outside of Amazon things. It really reminds me to Amazon today is like Walmart was in the 90s right everybody everybody scared of them they're putting the screws to all the vendors it's it's a difficult you know it's a difficult spot they're trying to they're trying to grab as much as they can. And. I'm very eager to see Innovation from companies outside of Amazon so freedom for example for the things you know if anyone saw the. Mark Laurie interview today you know some of the things at Walmart trying to do our. Pretty significant right in there they're placing their placing big bats to show that they're serious. About going toe-to-toe and they've got a lot of assets disposals lot of smart people as you were saying sure you know your hiring people some of these Acquisitions are just to get the get the development Allen. And so those are some of the things that I'm saying. I think that is a good wrap up and that's actually going to be a good place to rap because it's happen again we've used up all our a lot of time but if you want to continue the conversation we encourage you to meet us over, on our Facebook page and we love to chat more if you enjoy this show if you're sure appreciate if you jump on iTunes and give us that 5-star review. Scot:  [40:18] In Sri how can people find you online you were talking about blogging earlier. Sri:  [40:22] Evereve social platform mankind can conceive so the easiest way is LinkedIn I actually block a lot about e-commerce and Amazon. Samir:  [40:28] Got some great stuff. Scot:  [40:31] Company mostly publishing LinkedIn. Samir:  [40:34] So I have my own bed. Sri:  [40:35] So I have my own website but I'm not ready. Samir:  [40:38] But it won't turn on. Sri:  [40:39] Facebook Instagram Tweed the whole gamut and now I will make sure to go to Json NDSU. Scot:  [40:47] And we will put links to your LinkedIn and on our show notes to come out with podcast with folks want to go there you're going to make a lot of LinkedIn friends that will help your numbers there. Samir:  [40:56] Samir are you still at me on Tinder is that still that's what. Scot:  [41:03] Seriously you got you publish lot of great stuff to you prefer people go to. Samir:  [41:05] Yeah I link to LinkedIn LinkedIn is this is the easiest easiest one for me. [41:13] Kazakh feeling me. Scot:  [41:18] Goalie really appreciate guys taking time out of your busy schedule to be on the show. Sri:  [41:23] Hey thank you so much for having me in the first place always fun I think I might get my strong belief we're going to shape the industry together one can't do it alone so genuinely thank you thank you so much for connecting me. Samir:  [41:33] Thank you so much for connecting you Jason. Jason:  [41:36] I'll give that a amen and until next time happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Bob Kupbens is the VP of B2C and seller experience at eBay.  He's has previously been responsible for E-Commerce at Target, Delta Airlines, and Apple.  We covered a variety of topics including the latest innovations at eBay, as well as if and how brands should use Marketplaces and eBay. Episode 124 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Monday, March 12, 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. New beta feature, Google Transcription: Transcript Jason:  [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this episode is being recorded it on Tuesday March 20th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your toes Scott Wingo. Scot:  [0:39] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason Jason and Scott show listeners we are still recording live here from shop talk show and sunny Las Vegas, ahayah top of the Venetian where we have a beautiful view of the mountains and work cited have a really special guest on the show Bob cuppins he is the VP of b2c and seller experience at eBay welcome to Showbox. Bob:  [0:58] Hey thanks guys for having me really appreciate it. Jason:  [1:00] Yeah that's what a consonants in your title. Bob:  [1:02] Yeah I'm trying to abbreviate it down I'm working on a really cool acronym so I'll get back to you on that one. Jason:  [1:06] Awesome maybe Wesner could suggest something in a week. Bob:  [1:08] Yeah I think absolutely I'm definitely open to suggestions always feedback is welcome. Jason:  [1:12] Call Sababa one of the ways we always start the show and it's going to be putting your phone in your case is just get a quick recap of how you came into the industry and what the what years were the Korean turkey. Bob:  [1:24] Well I feel like I've been in the industry for ever I started at Target to have back in the day and I was a part of the other lots of different piece of the business on the film inside. I mean i t e n e Commerce and so-so had a great experience at Target and and love retail from the from the start at work at Delta Airlines for a long time running brand. And digital and and then I've been I was at Apple for two and a half years on the on the online retail side. Jason:  [1:47] And there would you like a pot of manufacture. Bob:  [1:49] You've heard of Apple yeah I know it's it's a small company based in now in Cupertino they but they built a little that little building you might have you might have seen it from the highway. Exactly and then and I've been at eBay for the last stuff for the last year-and-a-half so I feel like I'm at this industry from a lot of different perspectives you know from manufacturer from retailer enough from the marketplace which is obviously marketplaces a very exciting place to be right now. Jason:  [2:13] Absolutely and can you tell us a little bit about what being responsible for the BBC seller experience adeeb and Tails. Bob:  [2:19] Yeah I mean our job is to make sellers successful on the platform so it's as simple as that so across our large business sellers great brands that we have on the platform, to you and all of our cohort of small and medium businesses on corner of the Cross across the country who have been in a growing businesses and been very successful all the way to our consumer Sellers and how to wean able consumer Cellular's to make sure that they've got the tools they need, you know when your consumer seller you want to put some on there, on the side on eBay and you want to sell and so how do we make sure that all that happens so my team also looks after a policy so all of our returns and and shipping, and so we're doing everything we can to try to allow a Subway to be successful and provide the right to ultimately the right by her experience on a sign. Scot:  [2:59] When when I hear things in Channel visors going to go see some dr. Sellers it's his mind blowing you know you you see like I don't know if you've met the folks it like bhfo Express. [3:09] Play CDs selling on eBay how to do that you go visit these people and they've got the supply chain and the other like. Outpacing the targets the world until this mess is pretty amazing some of the books on eBay platform. Bob:  [3:19] For sure and I think they know we used to we see varying levels of sophistication obviously be a typo and then the Like You Know Jack Chinese guys are like the absolute to the top end of sophistication you don't on the other end we've got, small one person shops entrepreneurs like people who are like really really working hard to create an incredible business on eBay and we feel so great about the ability to empower, some of these small businesses and individuals and the jobs that work rating I don't know it seems like it's at the Peace of the mission of eBay is really help, small businesses be successful in and create a platform on which they can they can grow something and I think it adds to the specialness of of eBay in addition to us being at the end of the day a great retailer. Scot:  [3:57] Jackson listen to showing you be agitated by that point out he's mine odds only saw that has his own conference room. Bob:  [4:02] He is actually the only seller that has his own car. Scot:  [4:04] I was requesting meeting the Jackson remind others, tribute. Bob:  [4:07] We let it. We're really to dilapidated now we just put all this like a closet I'm skinny. Scot:  [4:11] Small HDMI cable. Bob:  [4:12] Exactly the server room. Scot:  [4:14] We're here at the shop talk so and you guys had some interesting you guys release some interesting functionality I've seen Devin talk a lot about machine learning and want to get into. And they are and how you guys are dropping these new technologies to the the massive eBay platform you know there was a really cool augmented reality and how you guys will eat us little bit about that. Bob:  [4:34] Well I mean we've done a lot of things lately one of the advantages of being eBay and having resources is that you can invest in some of these. Technologies like augmented reality and you were looking at virtual reality machine learning we apply them sometimes behind the scenes to our business you know when we try to optimize things and use machine learning and AI to do that another time to make it more fun center so we had launched a. Attack technology called image search which is native in our in our mobile apps and it's really cool that one check for you if you're interested remember there's a meme where you take a picture of yourself and you see which art you look like. You can also do the image search selfie so if you do a selfie of yourself an image search and see what eBay product you look the most like like that's an interesting one as well but more practically. If you see something that you want to buy whether it's a chair or jacket or whatever pair glasses like you can use image search and get really really reliable results in. Scot:  [5:24] My wife is up for shoes you'll see some shoes in a magazine that aren't attribute and she she really loves the eBay. Bob:  [5:29] Yeah I think that's okay. That's how you say that it really well cuz things that there's some things in the catalog they really will attribute in you know exactly what they are and you can type in the search box and get the answer other things you sent him to call him. And we know our buyers aren't experts in every category and so the image search value is I don't have to know what it is I can just. Take a picture of it and then I'll let you know when we use that extensively another another third-party Channels with find it on eBay and other pieces that, Batavia we want the little piece of augmented reality that we love which is what's up what shipping box should you choose and Willis item fit in the Box until you can use the camera to take a picture or scan and real 10 the. Marker 01 [6:03] Now the item that you're trying to send in that old Ben augmented reality put the Box around and allow you to choose the best box size so we know for ourselves that's one of the things we don't know we don't want to. We should be able to bear and you know for them like how you pick the right box I just one of those things that sometimes can get in a seller's way and we want to make sure that we take as much friction out of that is possible. Jason:  [6:21] Especially the carriers are charging as more and more for that error so it's because it's. Bob:  [6:25] Absolutely absolutely. Scot:  [6:26] Volume matters one of the big trends we talked a lot about on her show that you guys are kind of right in the middle of the the tornado on is Bran's going Direct. So you have to tough retail environment out there every Brands reevaluating their direct strategy we, you know if we talk a lot to Brands and their always thinking about their website and should they had transactions and then Amazon's you how do they relate with Amazon for the party third party in that kind of thing. I've been a big advocate of Branson on eBay for very long time and it's good side of your on-board kind of. Think about the experiences that don't experience which is which is smart what are some of the weather trends you guys are seeing as a platform with with the brands coming in and wanting to use eBay to go Direct. Bob:  [7:06] Yeah I mean I think for me to do with the starting places that buyers want to search for brands on eBay mean that's we have more searches for brand terms on eBay than anywhere else and so I think, yeah the dependent demand for people to see brands on the side is really really clear and so for Brands you know my we had a panel yesterday where we had Crocs, on the side which is one of our which is one of our big Sellers and they have a great Brand store on on eBay, yeah the message that we were trying to deliver there is like look at your brand and you know the marketplace strategy you should you should get one you know and it doesn't mean that you have to participate it means that you have to understand how marketplaces fit in your overall channel strategy and we found that brand to come on eBay. Tend to find new customers tend to find different customers and so it fits well within a branch channel strategy without a lot of really great, success stories around Brands coming coming direct or their authorized resellers being unable to to sell directly to be identified as either the brand or not authorized reseller on the site so we're doing actual out of work and will release here over the next next couple of quarters some things that, absolutely are going to cement this as Brands need to come on eBay so we've got a, bespoke brand experience so people will be able to direct traffic at a branded experience now we're not going to kick everybody else off the site who's selling that brand but we're going to basically allow the brand to step in front, of all the demands he knows he'll be certain person lying and when you tell a brand you know this is how much. Volume your brand is doing on eBay and don't you want a big piece of that I mean normally the answer to that is yes until I think it's Last of Us. [8:41] It's less of an if a brand is going to come one of marketplace anybody specifically and it's more and more when but we're trying to create the right conditions for those Brands to be successful so we're trying to create a great learning experience. We're trying to to allow Brands and authorized resellers to show up and be prominent in all of our experiences in search results, in a few item pages in the new product pages that we can come back to that one but we're creating these new product pages, as a part of the new search result experience and so whether you're on a product page review item research results. Authorized reseller in the brand themselves are going to show up in a really really prominent way so that gives the brand the opportunity like I said they're kind of step in front of all that demanded all that search volume at there and really get their fair share. Scot:  [9:23] Yeah and water brands you know they may have a little bit more names on eBay they get really frustrated by some of the third party seller especially out there one of my my big advice to them is b a t Berry Amazon is the best way to solve that is to be the brand on there and. Give the consumer on authentic experience will choose that every time over you know Bob's sneaker store. Bob:  [9:43] I think that's right and you know me we talked a lot about authentication and we have a programmer on a thumb acacian for handbags if you love I'm going to continue to expand that program what's more authentic than actually buying from the brand or buying from an authorized Channel you know and I think that that for me is the way to get. Truly descale on authentication is to have the brand selling directly authorized reseller selling directly you can describe the benefits. A buying from an authorized reseller of the brand right it's like manufacturer warranty. Better customer service you know truly out you know you know what you're getting right all those things in it and it makes the marketplace better we create stress in the marketplace reduces returns and and you know all the things that people worry about when they buy from Marketplace you buy from a brand there's no, Bates no doubts you know. Jason:  [10:25] We run in and out all the time that. [10:28] You know Brands want to sell direct but ironically there often the worst place to buy their own product cuz they're like the only ones that can fly with man up and that they have smaller storm and all these things and yet there's a huge amount of unfulfilled Demand by consumers. [10:42] Still want to buy from those Brands and when you dig under the covers it almost always comes down to this truss Gap. [10:48] And Trust being like one of the biggest impediments to purchases and so you know just having that authentic Trust of knowing that this is the actual brand provider. [10:58] Is it seems like it's been very successful. Bob:  [11:00] Yeah there's a lot of drivers that the trust got them and that's one of them for sure I think another thing that we're spending a lot of time on his is trying to drive retail standards, so when people shop on eBay we want to make sure that they it's pretty transparent what kind of shipping service they're going to get you nowhere pushing folks to provide, guaranteed delivery which is one of our big programs this year we're going to make that a bigger and more important to program as a part of the overall Marketplace, creating incentives around around 30 day returns and 30 day free returns, because we feel like that's something that is going to drive conversion and and and helping us so you can look across the Spectrum in and we're trying to address that Gap that you're describing on on many fronts you know and I think the brand piece of it is. Yeah it's really it is really important part of it and again we we should Brent brands have to get to that point where they feel confident in having Marketplace as part of the channel strategy. We have to create the conditions that allow Brands to be successful and so we're headed in that direction and and we'd love friends to come to come with us. Scot:  [11:56] My my playbook for pitching brands on eBay is probably just like Circa 2015 but but what we found at Elmo's. Bob:  [12:03] That was so long ago. Scot:  [12:03] It in the internet years. Bob:  [12:05] Absolutely. Scot:  [12:07] So we would always kind of lead with going on eBay with like an outlet or reefer because eBay consumers really love that value orientation and then you can kind of like use that is the center of the strategy and then then put the rest of your product. [12:19] When you're pitching a brand today is that what you lead with or are you guys going all-in like do the full enchilada put everything out there. Bob:  [12:26] I think it depends on the brand strategy at me we're going to be very consultative and talk about what they need and where they want to fit in we have brands have done number of. Different things you know it one example that I was going to talk about was Tyson you know it's a great brand on the site, if you see them they're featured in the number of our campaigns you know he go on the side and you see that top Banner, how you'll see Dyson in there quite a bit because they've been participating in a lot of our programs are Deal's programs you know there are other ways to drive traffic on the day started with a refurb side and they've done very very well with with dice and refer back roster deerberry product lines. Then I moved into. Big now moved into the full the full line of products there's going to be some exclusives you know so we're starting to see them grow in that direction and I think you know as they get more confident in their ability to address this customer. And then get data I mean that's the other thing that's important is we have a brand new site. Like we're not competing with no one p m 3 p right for us it's all 3p and so we're not going to jump in front of that we're not going to get between a brand in their customer Rena provide the data in the inside and allow that relationship with the customer to be very transparent for brands. But anyway if they learn more about that they get more more confident in this being a court channel for them you know and I think the weather is like it is one of my great friends on the site. They started by kind of all and you know I'm a taken advantage of again like the deal's programs but they're also selling globally they've got. In a business now in in in multiple of our eBay regions and so they've been very successful so I think it depends a little bit on. On the brand and their objectives and in and we would make that picture a little bit differently now we say haters different flavors. [13:56] And I and if you need if you're looking for an outlet channeling a crock started as ironically if they're there their tag on their seller ID on eBay is Crocs outlet. Right and then it started as an outlet but in fact now they got their product line and then, sorry. Guess you have single-handedly driven the crock business exactly but I think you know so so we can say you know Outlet can be in the end of season. I could be refurb or could be full line and we have ways to support your objectives you're very subjective on the on the platform or however you want to come at it. Scot:  [14:32] The thing I love about it such an easy decision to move if they if they aren't already doing some kind of Outlet or or refurb on their site moving that to eBay is a no-brainer because when it's on your site you're guaranteed some candles Asian it's hard to measure what that is. But I would argue almost like you're a hundred percent because most people are trading off if you move it to eBay your. You're not going to have near the Campbell Station cuz you know it's much different audience and then you know we we have a ton of data that shows to your point we've seen like 80 90 percent of people are new to the brand so not only are you. Getting rid of cancellation you're flipping over and you're turning it into a new customer and kind of experience but they're on your website to Priority a customer sometime. Bob:  [15:12] Yeah I mean let's not forget me 270 million active fires were a hundred 90 Marcus there's a lot of global vision invisibility for that inventory and, and then we got you don't want to take a search engines in the in the world you know until you put all that together forever for an existing brand it makes a ton of sense, emerging brand it also makes a ton of sense somebody who's trying to build their brand like what a great opportunity to create this bespoke, destination on eBay that allows people to to come and see your brand and highlight all the attributes of that brand I think we you know Denver, building some of those experiences summer like today and in very soon we'll have some more of those live. So the brand can feel really confident when you come to eBay and what you're seeing is a is the most positive expression of that brand, and and you know what I came from a brand you know from the Packer and I built my team built the team all store for Apple in China, and so we know what it means to represent the brand well and I feel very strongly that Brands need to have that on eBay that's not going to be quite the same. I think you know for sure we need to provide. Something that feels brand right and and then everybody has a slightly different definition but work in that direction and then we love again you know I said even feedback on the acronym certainly welcome but also. Feedback on feedback on on what we should do to to further enhance our are you know the. Landing Pad basically that we provided for Brann's on the platform is so I really welcome. Scot:  [16:30] Yep you ever see a day so so can you bring up Alibaba so they have taobao which is kind of like the P2P or the sea the sea and then they have tomorrow which is B2B b2c and then they have different search experiences on your your entry Gateway. So it's almost like if I if a consumer goes to Team all they want to Brand experience and they kind of sea front end only Brands and then they backfill with the consumer and then it flips over if there. You guys ever see a day went with eBay whatever to that or. Bob:  [16:55] Yeah I don't I don't I mean I don't and it's interesting I mean I'm not an extra I might be like Circa 2015 with with with T-Mobile and how about as well but but I think like part of the Magic in the joy of eBay seeing the spectrum of value, you know that's what I love about eBay that's why it's well honestly one of the reasons here you can put Brandon inventory and if somebody chooses and they believe in though in in buying from a brand that's great but if somebody wants the the the the used one you know, that somebody's that somebody you know used in love for a year and then they want to give it to you had a slight at a discount like great like that's there too and then if you want that thing that you couldn't find anywhere else like that's on eBay to answer for me that's, the Magic in the end in the joy of eBay and I would hate to think that we would start to bifurcate that experience you know I think we done something recently launched under $10. Piece of the site you know and so we we think there may be experiences or events are places where customers are looking for something very specific and we might be able to. Direct them to two events and similar to what we do for Holiday Inn similar to what we do for the deals program folks were like looking for specific value but I think in general I would be. I know I can speak for the virus. Sketch of my personal opinion is seeing b2c C2C you know. P2P auctions fixed-price like together if it's done in a way that gets a great buyer experience then it creates did Chris positive value I love to continue to see that together. Jason:  [18:15] Do you find do you have to have a very different conversation with I'll call them sort of traditional wholesale brands that maybe don't have a legacy of selling direct then you do with the sort of vertically-integrated brands that are used to selling their own products. Bob:  [18:29] I don't know I got some X I think folks are used to selling their own products sometimes they. Yeah they have more emphasis on the channel than they do on their own side I mean to your point like they're out there on their own site selling map. I got very limited in a quantity is because it's been you know that the allocation of that inventory is based on historical sale performance you know and so by definition you will end up with. Some me a very small percentage of your inventory in your own channel and a very significant part of the authorized Channel you know so we you know we would say to a lot of these Brands like maybe you don't sell the rack. Maybe this point of set your authorized resellers and they become the mechanism by which assign direct maybe there's an opportunity for bigger. You have a bigger and bigger volume in math in that model but again we work with each brand a little bit differently and try to help them achieve their objectives. Jason:  [19:09] Not so you say you could imagine a brand experience on eBay that isn't necessarily tied directly to a selling experience that support sellers of that brand. Bob:  [19:18] Toy yeah Anatolian we want the brand to contribute content we want the brand to contribute the catalog so we would get you know we get to the attributes right. But you know you'd come to a brand experience and what you'd see either you see the brand or you would see the brand content that supported than a series of model that showed authorized resellers of that of that product and again very specifically to finding what. Value proposition is for buying from those authorized through that authorized Channel now look I mean I'll be fully transparent like. Blow that below the fold and maybe even a little bit farther below the fold you'll still see other sellers of those products and that's what I was talking about, the joy in the end the end the likes of the Elegance of putting all that together but again we want to Brandon the authorized resellers to step in front of. Of all that demands and and have the opportunity to tell the story why is selling white white buying from the brand direct make sense. Jason:  [20:08] To the brand stuff sounds super exciting I'm also curious about what else is new at eBay and you you the one that's always a personal interest in me a little bit in the new product detail pages. Bob:  [20:21] Yeah yeah I mean look where we've talked about structured data for a very long time because of her on eBay how much longer than I have and start your day. Probably better. Jason:  [20:30] Circa 2015 still would cover at your ass. Bob:  [20:32] Yeah I think if we actually might be it might be reminded a couple years before that but I think the value of structured data in one of the reasons to do that is because of you Kelly attributes right you can create a very different buyer experience and so you know this year we said we're just going to get it right this year I'm going to start. Category a category of Novi, mail to us but like the level below that like really you know what product basely by-product and and make sure we got the catalog right. So we we we just announced in our latest seller update a series of of categories that are going to be basically right we're going to we're going to make sure that they're perfect. And as we launch those onto the site will start having now search results default into a grouped into into a group set of search results that allow you to click into a product page. And the value that product page is you can sort of see either in one screen both on desktop and mobile all of the different options. For that product and you know that all of the sellers that are selling that product are ours are compressed and captured in that one experience. And so we think for a lot of products in for a lot of buyers not having to Wade through in 02 pages and pages of listings and for us to give the ability to say like hey here's, here's our best pic. I hear the lowest price here's the manager the best used packing out here's the best auction and have it kind of all sitting in one experience where you can truly understand. The trade-off is a buyer that you want to make her on that product we think that's a really really great elevated experience and it doesn't work for everything you know for. Percent that's hard to attribute we may never we may never get there he know you can imagine compressing around attributes at some point but but like look that's like graduate-level I let start on the things that we can get the catalog perfect. [22:08] And and compress in a way that gets a great buyer experience. Then for you know just like since when the brand topic you know when you have those multiple top picks one of them if if we have a brand or authorized reseller he's going to be that brand an authorized reseller and and it's cool boy put down a lot of the prototyping in. The click on the brand authorized reseller product and you see content-rich content making a lot of hand gestures right now it does it doesn't come visit it's not a video podcast. Jason:  [22:35] But whenever your hand gesture hits the table I wasn't hers will know you did that. Bob:  [22:38] Excellent good while sod. That's for that for you everyone out there some sound editor named named Jason will edit that out. Jason:  [22:47] It went the intern do it. Bob:  [22:49] Yeah okay good anyway so when you when you click on that brands, best pic it'll show enhanced content it could be video can be the attributes of you know why it makes sense to buy from a brand when you click on, that one next would all that ad that rich contact goes away and you got basic content so you know what the product is and so you will really show even in that product page very different experience between bronze and, and and everyone else. Scot:  [23:13] I think so too a lot of small one of the fun things about being a TBM troops covered is you it's hard sometimes you're like the mayor and always. Admire what Devin s go to you to make you know you make one set of sellers happy another one agitated some of the product stuff in a lot of the small kind of old-school tells your actions you're making eBay Amazon. What's your standard answer to that objection. Bob:  [23:33] Yeah I mean for some categories you know people want a more specific buyers want a specific product base experience look for not preventing people from looking through the the, you know the feelings and I need the listings for those products that are there is one click away you got the entire set of historical search results but the other thing is like we know that people want great value, and for products that are easy to compare that are easily attributed they're going to be looking at all kinds of different places to buy you know to buy that product like if you think about her, I don't know a phone or a thermostat or you know if they can things that are that are easily comparable. You can have three tabs open and even look at once I going to look at some other side you can look at eBay and so we want to make sure that we've got the most competitive offering. Right there in front of the in front of the buyer and we think that drive conversion, so what I would say is you know sometimes yeah we are going to going to have the best one front-and-center we're creating a programmer on price guidance and so we're going to tell sellers what we think the best price is and what is going to take to be to be featured in that in that backpack. And and you know we really hope that that helps Drive. The competitiveness of the marketplace overall so that eBay is seen is that place that you can get grape value in the same way that you can another side so don't think we want to be you say Amazon I want to say Amazon, do you have what do we don't want to be too many Amazon we don't want to turn into that eBay has a unique differentiated value proposition it's about Spectrum value it's about great opportunities to see, the new product that used one you know that they auction version you know and I think virus appreciate that and value the difference between eBay and Amazon for the same time. [25:03] There are some folks were going to come to eBay and want to see a comparable competitive price for a very specific product and we want to create an experience that that facilitates both of those things. Scot:  [25:13] I talked about that for a long time but I never typed time-constrained. Bob:  [25:17] What's feedback. Scot:  [25:18] What I would say to the sellers is you know hey we're all raw in the marketplace to make buyers happy right in a buyer coming and seeing 80,000 things you know possible to buy on eBay when you have to pick them up. Bob:  [25:32] But you know what I think it's interesting you say that made some buyers do want that let me some buyers enjoy, the searching the treasure hunt you know so it's like hey I'm on I'm on page 14 of the search results and I found that thing from a seller who had that you know it's like it's awesome I like I love I love that about. Scot:  [25:47] That's be a balance. Bob:  [25:47] And so yeah so so but you know you're always one click away from that experience even in a product-based compressor twirled and and so I don't I don't think we want to take that away but we want to. Together and make it more efficient for those buyers who are interested in something very different. Scot:  [26:02] Another big theme in the world of e-commerce in addition to Brands going direct and whatnot is in a shipping is getting faster faster. What does the bar is always being raised there and you guys have had a long history of interesting programs for sellers you've had asthma caught Fast and Furious but as fast and free. Bob:  [26:18] I wish you were Fast and Furious. Scot:  [26:18] Yeah Vin Diesel would make a nickel for every package and then. Jason:  [26:26] If you deliver to me would be totally awesome. Bob:  [26:28] What happened that maybe you can have eliminate of those right so we got to ask 9 maybe as I could. Scot:  [26:32] And then you guys have you know you mentioned earlier tell us tell us, where is eBay on that and where you going. Bob:  [26:41] Yeah I mean guaranteed delivery is a key program process uses you say I like people want to know. When they're getting their saying Amazon has his program it's just giving me what it's called I'm just teasing but expectations are clearly being set by other programs related to to chipping and specifically fast shipping. I'm so fast and furious been a great program for us we see that address conversion. Will see you at that it you know to the trust of the question you know it enhances trust in the marketplace when you see that something's going to be delivered. I'm certain day and and you know that it's free shipping like that that really makes buyers feel confident in those Ben those purchases and so. We launched TGT it's been a successful program we wanted to be way more penetrated than it is. And I in so we're doing a lot of things this year to make sure that that EGD gets the traction that we know that it did it needs to have you know we're doing. Scot:  [27:28] The sellers often is an hour. Bob:  [27:30] So what you up to in yet we're removing some of the limitations that we had put on the on the program so for example we had. Required initially for EGD sellers to be using the eBay labels platform. We know that not everybody wants to use the eBay slate labels platform and while we think it's a great platform and have great rates and you know commercial insert commercial for eBay labels platform here we do know that that other sellers have no other operations and so relaxed that requirement for example. We've always relax the transaction volume requirement down to it like basically to the point where every business seller should be able to to qualify an opt-in to to guarantee delivery and then we feel like. We want to create the in-center of Mostly because we can get drive conversion. For sellers to opt into that anymore accelerated rate in so we're building our proven or Epi so that we can work through platforms like Channel advisor and and Shopify and just try to make the program easier to opt-in and not an easier to be a part of. Scot:  [28:25] Can people control at the school level in this user in there. Bob:  [28:28] Yeah they have I mean I have a fairly detailed rate table and that's part of been part of the challenge but we've got a Transit table that were that was built. That sellers can that's how it can upload and then give them pretty fine at control, Avaya because you know it like it's cute suits for bigger sellers like some skis are in different locations and and so you need to be able to understand for each individual item like where you know where they can get to and what pretty time. Jason:  [28:53] Down on the floor here chop talk one of the big themes is machine learning and Ai and in fact I feel like in order to have a booster you actually had to buy the letters Ai and attach them to whatever College you're offering. Bob:  [29:05] Yeah you're offering. [29:09] A machine designed a booth actually today. Jason:  [29:12] Ours would have been much better if we had a machine. [29:15] The one of the problems with machine Learning Center obviously be a huge component of future of all these experiences in it but one of the big challenges as you out of data to really Leverage. [29:29] And it occurred to me that you guys are in a unique position of of having like a shooting on the date are you guys thinking about ways to leverage that and like anything you'd. [29:39] You care to share in terms of the future of AI on the eBay platform. Bob:  [29:42] Yeah I mean look there a lot of things that we try to do behind the scenes machine learning AI sits behind a lot of the analytics work that we do you know you can do a lot with models, but models get better as you apply machine learning and AI to them right I mean it's like so there's a good like soundbite but when you think about, trying to track by her abuse and understand you know how we protect sellers in that way, we start looking at Trends around around claims or brought me. Like there's a lot of ways that behind the scenes were applying machine learning and AI to try to make our predictive models better, the one thing that stays visible to Sellers and it's not perfect yet or called but we do we do price guidance. And we talked a lot about hey I both on the CDC in the b2c business we think your item will sell better if it's priced in this range, and you know we're starting out a path is this is a complicated problem the machine learning they are going to help us get down that path faster so that our guidance will get more accurate and in better and be more connected with you really want to be able to say, especially to a consumer seller look at the price of here on average is going to be 6 days and nothing will tell in 6 days and we want to get more and more and more, accurate about those predictions and make that quality better and better. Jason:  [30:56] Bob. Is probably a good place to wrap it because it is happen again we've used up all at a lot of time if you want to continue the conversation we didn't charge you to jump on our, page if you predict enjoy this episode we love you to jump on one of Bob's old platforms and give us a 5-star review on iTunes. Scot:  [31:18] Bob if people are interested in learning more have a say in at the thousands of Brands listen to the show want to call you immediately and get song on eBay is there a what's your preferred way for them to reach. Bob:  [31:28] Honestly I've been super transparent my email my email is just Bob at ebay.com and I'm happy to take any any sort of questions or input at that at that email address or we've got ebay.com seller center. Until feel free to to dilate a seller center we've just updated a ton of the content there so I can find anything they want about selling on eBay or you know how how Brands can be successful and so yeah let me know. By far away let's say let's have a conversation. Scot:  [31:54] Cool thanks I appreciate you taking time out your busy schedule and I really look forward to seeing what else comes out of eBay this year. Bob:  [32:00] Awesome thank you guys so much. Jason:  [32:01] Until next time happy commercing.  

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Luke Rauch is the Sr. Director of Insights at Walgeens.  We caught up with Luke at the PathtoPurchase Summit, where he gave a key-note about how to success in the Age of Amazon..  We covered a variety of topics including: Unique assortments and customer expereince Loyalty Programs Omni-Channel Future of E-Commerce Don’t forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 123 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Monday, March 12, 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. New beta feature, Google Transcription: Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this episode is being recorded on Monday March 12th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek. Scot: [0:37] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason Scott show listeners we are Live From the Past purchase Summit here so apologies are going to a lot more background noise and listen to it used to because we were literally in the spacious exhibit hall where they're setting up and talking and everything. [0:52] So think of it as super high-energy. [0:54] We're really excited we we're here to pre-conference all about Amazon and different strategies there and one of the Keynotes was Luke broke he is the senior director of it us insights for Walgreens Andrew excited to have him on the show. Luke: [1:09] Thanks for having me. Scot: [1:10] Absolutely what would like to kind of using to this list start with kind of career paths and where how do you end up in this exciting world of insights. Luke: [1:20] Yeah so after. A brief Tour of Duty out in the west coast where I surfed and did some other things fun in my life I went to business school and post business school got serious and joined Consulting, I work for Deloitte Consulting in their strategy practice for about four and a half years where I focused on everything that I would consider Revenue accretion, so I always tell people if you ask me to help you fix your supply chain I'm not the right guy but if you need, growth I was the person that you could come and talk to did that again for about four and a half years and for a Litany of reasons both personal professional decide to make the jump over into, Harvey industry side where I joined Walgreens. I'm at Walgreens I am currently responsible for pricing for all eight thousand plus of our stores as well as format inside so all of the work that we do it around different you two formats does the insights work related to that, and then more broadly R-value insights value strategy. Scot: [2:18] Brickell enjoy your talk you mentioned you had a brief stint at Amazon tell us more about that. Luke: [2:23] Yeah when I was in getting my MBA at Michigan I did my internship at Amazon so I spent a summer working and the Fulfillment side. Helping them to build models to better predict utilization within their distribution centers as well as to look at product throughput and be able to make, active analytics to pick what was going to flow in and out the fastest and ensure that we were moving that as close as we could to the Fulfillment centers. Scot: [2:51] Sounds like a pretty meaty 3-month engagement. Luke: [2:54] Yeah it was it was it was a fun project and you get to see how Amazon operated from the inside which some of the things I learned back then for example how they run meetings I've taken with me in my career center. Scot: [3:06] 6 pages of typed Pros no PowerPoint one pizza. Jason: [3:11] Going over very well at the Y. The no power point rule. Luke: [3:14] No no I didn't there many days where I wish that there was a no power point rule the funny thing though about about Amazon has a lot of folks still use PowerPoint to create Graphics in one night and then pasted them into their Word document. [3:29] PowerPoint still exist just it's a secondary tool there than a primary. Scot: [3:33] Awesome. Jason: [3:36] Yep so talk to you just gave today I really enjoyed it by the way but you kind of started things off with those. Three big strategic pillars you can test me my my listening comprehension you talk a lot about assortment. The value of oil tea program and overall omni-channel strategies where can you tell us a little bit about like what we would have taken away from those three if they had a chance to. [4:03] Jonas today. Luke: [4:04] Yeah I mean from a Walgreens perspective we we are very focused on our missions to be at the the world's most loved Health and Beauty retailer so we're spending a lot of time energy enough for ensuring that we've got. The right products in the right stores at the right prices for our customers a good example that I talked a lot about as a point of differentiation is, the brands that we own so people forget we're part of the Walgreens boots Alliance and it's part of that where is cpg in addition to being a retailer, and we saw a lot of high-end beauty products number 7 I'm sure you've seen before we don't only sell it at Walgreens Victory sell at Target and other retailers as well so how do we take advantage of. Product differentiation that we have in those areas to place up our stores the right stores to give a differentiated stuff to our customers. Again in this market place particular where convenience is continuing to feel pressure and comedians is certainly an area that we still pray play really well we're looking for other ways to differentiate with our customers and drive growth with the customers that we want to grow with. Jason: [5:07] And that was for taking you and dear to my heart because I talk a lot like when was common strategies brands have against Amazon is what I called the owned. Product strategy and I always try to differentiate that from what people call private label cuz to me in private label was. Exact same formulation is the national brand new marketing customer stumble across the the Walgreens brand of Ibuprofen when they come looking for the Advil. But it feels like more and more all retailers are like designing differentiated products with their own formulation their own value prop for consumers. Marketing the heck out of them and in your case even using alternative channels of distribution in addition to your own stores. Luke: [5:53] Yeah that's right and I think you mentioned ibuprofen for us one of the concert is Cushing's is you as a pharmacy, think we have unique position in those areas even on the on the pharmacy side and an OTC medicine to have differentiation from a known brand so we're continuing to look at that, and number 7 and soap and glory and some of the beauty stuff that we've done our what I would say are the starting points for that domestically, I will continue to be a focus and I agree with you a lot of other retailers are using the same thing is trying to compete with Amazon Walmart directly on price for the same product, is a bit of an uphill battle but if you can create differentiated offerings that speak specifically to the customers that you want to engage with it could be a more viable path to growth. Scot: [6:38] Did. [6:39] The title of your talk here is start with your reason for being kind of existential kind of a thing and Walgreens your you're here today. The gist of your talk was really helping people think through in today's world is just so overwhelming when you've got Walmart and Amazon all these things happening you can't beat them. [7:00] Either this companies at their own game so you had some pretty good advice there maybe could summarize that for us and I'm sure every listeners struggles of that so kind of How to Think Through the strategy. I thought it was a good good piece. Luke: [7:12] It's almost basic. [7:14] Alex got business school blocking and tackling but making sure that everything you do is grounded in your corporate strategy your customer strategy your brand strategy and that, as you're making conscious decisions to invest in value in certain areas to invest in research and development other areas you're doing it with an ion overall is a company who you are and who you want to be, Austin what I see is retailers trying to compete on every single Dimension pick the dimensions with which you are differentiated. And plus up on those as long as they're lying to who you want to be and what you want to stand for and we know customers. Well the way they engage with retailers continues to evolve and continues to be truly omni-channel they do build relationships with retailers and how do you build those relationships in a unique way that only you can do. Rather than just trying to build the exact same relationship that Walmart has a Walmart has a very distinctive relationship with their customers and they stand for a very certain. Why they stand for Value customers know they got a great price that's the pillar, that's the product with a relationship is predicated upon that everybody can build that relationship off price and value so what are the dimensions that you can build a differentiated relationship with customers on. Scot: [8:32] Yet it seems like more and more of the people that are winning against the Walmart and Amazon service is one of them cuz it's hard to Value stop cuz scale. [8:41] Great Value so just looking recently it's not fun because Amazon is a biologic things like diapers.com had a better service and kind of kicked off the subscription thing. Zappa's had better service returns one that's kind of work more current is chewy where you know. They really get to know people's pets and would write handwritten notes and give her a call or if you had any interaction with them you know they knew you had a cat that was 8 years old kind of a thing. You're not going to get that from a company like Amazon. [9:09] Car guys are talking about you know they want more and more machines interacting with humans and less people any other examples for both you guys you can think of books using those competitive lovers. Luke: [9:20] That tree one is such an interesting example of a building a deep relationship with your customer I saw as you an article the other day where someone had ordered food for a pet that passed away, and not only did they refund the person's cost with who but then then donated the food on behalf of the deceased animals, I think that there are ways that you can build a deep relationship like that even in store so if you think about when someone walks into a Walgreens store. The beauty advisors that we have in certain areas of the store can really be helpful in understanding the unique needs that you have that it's hard to understand if you can't look touch and feel and try the product. And if you look at where some of the growth has been in Beauty for example it's those High touch. You can come in and have a makeover down and try and touch and feel that the product for yourself I think that that will continue to be a focal point for a lot of retailers Best Buy I mentioned in my presentation is another one that is completely differentiated on service so, don't sell you the product at a competitive price and in most cases there they're priced to Amazon on the big-ticket items and then they'll make their money on the setup. And make their money on the service and I'll bring someone into your house that makes it really easy for you to install that TV and have it look great that's an area that only. Best Buy can uniquely deliver on today. Jason: [10:43] Yeah and I I mean I think there's some examples you think of like Stitch fix and it's really about customer intimacy and knowing their customers better than anyone else another. Amazon Amazon acquisition it smell like 8 years ago was you know they bought this flash daily deals. I say boots and you know today we think of flash as kind of a little bit of a joke because you know most of them have been successful woot is still a successful profitable ongoing thing that Amazon's been running for 8 years and what. [11:16] What is the difference between woot and a lot of the now-defunct by cells is. The really figured out who's their core audience was and developed the right voice and curation for that audience and and likes or Discord. A personal relationship with a particular Target segment and so I think that. [11:37] That notion of getting to know the customer being the competitive differentiators being closer to the customer and being able to serve that you need customer. That feels like all these other times we talked about really roll up to that. Luke: [11:50] Removing friction in pain points for customers I hate to use the old examples of uber and Tesla but you think about the pain points that were within those Industries, it might not be building an intimate relationship in those cases but streamlining the process and streamline in the communications and taking the haggling out, there are number of ways that folds continue to to differentiate and I think that builds a relationship with a customer if within that area Uber's a great example making the transaction easier, build a relationship with a customer it doesn't have to be a deep personalized letter to the customer if there's other ways that you can reduce friction and build a relationship. Scot: [12:31] And in your talk you gave folk kind of a little bit of a roadmap for developing a strategy I don't know if you call it that but it was for D's in there if I maybe talk to you a little bit of that. Luke: [12:41] He goes back to what I was saying earlier I think the first thing is just making sure you understand who you are and what you want to stand for and kind of defining the the. Objectives that you have is a company from a customer and brand perspective and it's making sure that you develop the capabilities that you need to support those, that you think about as you want to go into the market and deploy that you've got the right operational configurations that you've got, the right tools and Technologies to be able to support its it's really mean it it sounds so General and generic I think what often happens as we get. [13:15] 20 years into running a business 5 years into running a business and we can we forget about the bass. [13:21] If you have permission to play in a certain area and you have a unique proposition within that certain area. Then your investment should disproportionately funnel towards that area rather than having to worry about competing with Amazon at Walmart on price for example on every single thing that you sell. Jason: [13:38] When the topics that came up in your your talk today was omni-channel and you mentioned you have 8000 stores in the portfolio. You want to talk a little bit about like where you see the stores being a true competitive advantage or differentiator. Luke: [13:54] If we we have some great Partnerships right now for example with FedEx where for folks that live in urban environments as an example where package theft is a real issue being able to have your package sent to the, 38 the local Walgreens and pick it up on your way home from work quick in and out you go to the photo desk and grab it and you're out I think our location. There's there's nobody that is closer to the customer from a physical location standpoint and Walgreens we are we are at 5, minute walk or 10 minute drive from just about everyone in the United States and certainly as we could cheetah move forward on the Rite-Aid acquisition that will that gaple close close even more so how do we continue to take advantage of of that. But give them a reason to come into the store with the products that we sell so you will will continue to look for Partnerships FedEx as an example will continue to look for other ways to get, products to customers faster and more efficiently but will also look for ways to give them a reason to come into the store and reason for differentiation I think. You know I talked about this on my on my chat earlier today but. Convenience has been redefined Sabine close to everybody in and of itself is not enough anymore. I'll meet you around 5 to 7 years ago that wasn't the case but now you've got Amazon Prime now delivering under 2 hours. To enter north of 80 million people in the country that makes it really hard to compete solely on convenience. Frost that goes back to how do you differentiate which was a big part of the the Ford easy you mentioned what are you differentiated on and then what are the products and services that you can build out that will cause somebody to make that extra trip to your store. Jason: [15:37] Yeah and I feel like that. [15:41] A lot of people talk about the surprise quality and convenience trade off and it is interesting to me how the definition of all three of those is dramatically changing in the in the minds of the consumer. There I still feel like a retailer that when I'm convenient convenience just can't mean. [15:58] Exclusively fast delivery anymore and that that brings me to the next topic I want to ask you about which is a little bit of grocery right like grocery one of the big convenience plays is. Start a list management and saving your time shopping for all those those things is sort of redefining what convenience means. I don't think of Walgreens as a pure grocery retailer but I do have a. Like a core part of your assortment that overlaps or are you guys thinking about. [16:29] Sort of Auto replenishment than and you know how is consumers start to embrace digital grocery that might affect the customer experience at Walgreens. Luke: [16:37] Yes and we do we do have Auto replenishment not on the grocery side but it certainly it's something that that were looking into. [16:45] I see in and I should have Charter earlier today that show growth trajectories kind of across Health Beauty and, and food and the reason everybody's going after food is it hasn't been as explosive on the growth but it's just exploding so it'll be something that will get you to look at again you asked a question earlier of, are seen around our strategic advantage in our Geographic proximity so we're always looking at are there ways to leverage that Geographic proximity, in two categories that we already in existence and plus up or into a Json category so Groceries on the road map it's something that we're looking at there's nothing. Concrete that's going to Market in the next month but it's something they could choose to be on the road map that were looking at. Scot: [17:27] Another CB kind of woven to your your conversation was around loyalty. [17:31] And it's a listeners know that Jason has the most stars of all in the Starbucks loyalty program I hate project 8000 Stars. [17:42] That's when we're all familiar with because you going to collect your stars and get your double star days in that kind of thing what are you. [17:48] Where some does the spectrums of loyalty that you think about it and is a Fool's errand or should people be investing in loyalty programs. Luke: [17:54] I think loyalty as a tool to better know your customer is going to continue to be an area that folks need to invest heavily in I mentioned earlier today if you were around. Five seven years ago people find a kind of creepy when they get personalized recommendations personalized emails when their Facebook feed would pop up with an item that they just purchased a month ago now I think by March customers like that and expect. And the only way that you're going to learn that deep knowledge about your customers is to incentivize them to share their information with you and to be able to. In a way that lets you build that personalized relationship so that you'll continue to see loyalty as a. As a as a vehicle that folks will double down on and you're going to see more and more. [18:41] Retailers using loyalty to personalize value some are doing it today but I would say, and there's a lot of Runway there and even depersonalize assortment so there's a ton of Runway I think still for loyalty and lots of different ways that, folks are going at the rewards and incentives side your Walgreens we use points some used dollars back others use stars as you mentioned there's a number of ways to get at that I think you do need to figure out how, your loyalty program is going back to the point where they're unique. From other loyalty programs and gives people an incentive to sign up and participate as an example I think value will continue to be based, more on loyalty and personalization unless I'm Mass which makes loyalty programs critical in Port. Jason: [19:28] Yeah I might just curious about loyalty cuz it to me it feels like there's this big Paradox like the. The folks that have loyalty programs and do really well like it's a huge competitive advantage and it goes directly to that goal of customer intimacy that we talked about earlier. [19:46] Starbucks is very successful I think you might have the the like highest participation oil to Prague. Luke: [19:51] By numbers. Jason: [19:52] Yeah and all of retail so you're certainly winning their. But then there is also like all of these sort of negative stories that like consumers have loyalty fatigue and they won't carry all these these cards with him and that uniform. [20:08] The average wealthy program isn't very effective and so I'm curious. [20:12] Did you guys win a bunch of other people not win and loyalty because you you did execute better or added more value or was there something about just your core brand promise that made you more attracted to oil to use. How do we decide who wins in dozen in loyalty. Luke: [20:29] The first thing is I think we're moving away from an environment where you need to have a card to be in a loyalty program, so I agree with you that there was fatigue around having to carry around a card we now know based on your credit card based on a number of other ways you transact Who You Are, we don't necessarily need you and I think in the future retailers are going to necessarily need you to type in a number. To get your loyalty information you see some really interesting loyalty programs like spring and others who will just do it all on the basis of your credit card, there is no number, you link it to your credit card and when you use that credit card you accrue loyalty points will be big wins for loyalty in that the other thing I didn't think of loyalty. In a in a box which is its a number the unique number assigned to you that you accrue points for I would contend many ways Amazon Prime is a loyalty program. It is. Probably not by Common definition of a loyalty program what people think of because you aren't accruing points but there are other benefits perks and things that you accrue, as part of that program so part of it to will be, how do you differentiate on service with your loyalty and it might not be the future floating might not be dollars back and might be serviced I might be speed of delivery and might be a number of other things but it will still be there and I think we will. [21:53] Pretty quickly get away from an environment where you need to remember your number and remember your login we know who people are based on cookies we know people are based on the credit cards with which they transact. Will get a lot more frictionless. Jason: [22:06] Yeah I know I'd I totally agree and in fact it's Amazon absolutely I think is excellent welting. We sometimes lose track of like what oil to even means like it doesn't mean you earn points that means you're more loyal and have a higher customer lifetime value one of my favorite loyalty features in Amazon is. The dynamic card notification so you you put an item in in the car for five bucks you were willing to pay $5 you put it in the car to $5 the price drops before you check out an Amazon messages that price change to you and gives you. [22:40] The the savings right in that they did that like especially knowing they're losing money on that transaction that was pure gross margin they're giving up. In exchange for earning more trust in Oakley having more lifetime value in so I feel like those kinds of experiences that maybe aren't even link to point it all are are part of the new definition of loyalty. Luke: [23:00] Definitely an in and it doesn't mean you have to give the richest reward all the time or have the lowest price all the time you just have to be there in those moments that matter for the customer and make an impression on the customer to drive engineering a gender loyalty. Jason: [23:15] I just like having all those Starbucks Stars I usually forget to even redeem them for drinks. Luke: [23:19] I went to decaf coffee a year ago so I used to be big on the Starbucks program but unfortunately now I don't get as much bang for the buck buying decaf. Jason: [23:27] Literally and figuratively. The future of e-commerce it's always interesting to me, you know you've been on the Consulting side of fence we got to work with a wide variety of different clients now you're in your actual practitioner and you have to take responsibility for the results which gives me a little bit of a rash to think about, the weird do you think all this is going I give you if you were to put your Consulting hat back on are there are there like. Particular changes that are coming down the pipe that you think everyone would be thinking about. Luke: [24:04] That's a great question from my vantage point we're already were already pretty far down the path of where at where at I think things are going you will see. I believe continued blur lines between brick and mortar and digital and I think you're going to see. And you're seeing some of this already an example would be more personalization where based off geolocation you walk into a store, you can offer that's unique to you for that very specific moment in time you'll continue to see folks try to play on how do I use location and behavior. To drive digital engagements that will be a way that I think will will continue to see plus. But your mobile isn't going anywhere. Online isn't going anywhere I think brick and mortar will still play its role but the lines between them will continue to blur. Jason: [25:00] I want to touch on the mobile for a second cuz that's another one where. The stats are overwhelmed by whelming Lee favorable to mobile app so I can use mobile apps there's much higher spending much better mobile conversion all these good things happen, [25:16] It's really hard to get users to use your Mobile app to the overwhelming majority of retailers that have a mobile app like. [25:24] Doesn't get downloaded or it only gets used once and so it feels like another one of these paradoxes if you can get it it's really powerful but for a lot of people it's not a good. Good play in once again you guys are on the side of like having a lot of of loyal app users. [25:41] Do you like do you think that's going to continue to be a. [25:45] I think we're the biggest retailers are going to have that apps and no one else is going to failed you see me like blending of the web and app experiences. Luke: [25:52] I think some folks will back away from apps and just invest in pure mobile the only way that you're going to, driving option of an app is it is if you have a differentiated offer within the application so for us we've got skin refill by scan with an AR app, so for all of our Pharmacy customers you pull up an app you scan your prescription couple clicks ready to go pick it up at the store that's unique to the app that would be hard for us to duplicate. On even a mobile website if you don't have things like that I think you will see more more folks say. I'm not going to invest in having an app people are coming to invest that in my mobile web infrastructure. Which is where really the purchase finals going to flow through so I do think you'll see traditional brick-and-mortar retailers who don't have a point of differentiation within their app. It's your daddy and vest and apps and funnel all of that investment towards mobile just not from an application basis. Scot: [26:47] One follow-up on future of e-commerce so you sit. [26:51] I'm in. Doing pricing you guys have 8000 stores and on how many skus that's a big Matrix of things to price Jason talks a lot about Ai and machine learning do you think some point. [27:01] Machine will do your job effectively or or do you think that there's just a lot of hype around that and and you still need that human touch. Luke: [27:08] You and you always need everything is a bit bit of Art and Science but I do believe. We have tools and most if not all retailer have tools that I would say border on artificial intelligence already machine based learning tools that help help help us companies make better decisions. Yes I think you'll continue to see a scaling down of the number of people required to your question to ask a cute pricing for example but you always need. The art to Lairon on top of the science tonight from a value perspective I don't foresee a scenario where where we fully replace, the human element with artificial intelligence, where I do think you'll see artificial intelligence play a bigger role is things like hyper localization where we may say for a set of items across our stores we're going to let the machines manager. Because we know that we can drive a lot of efficiency out of pricing that a differential way across the stores and doing that on her own will cost way too much labor to do it so you I think you'll see people plus up on. I'm a I in in examples like that like how you hyper localized but it a macro level you still need the human touch and you still need the years of insights and Merchandising to be able to. The broader strategy and make the bigger pricing and value decision. Jason: [28:31] We're running up on time one last question I wanted to squeeze in there going back to Omni channel for second dimension part of your scope was customer insights and data I've always had this perception that. [28:44] Traditional brick-and-mortar grew up without a lot of data like there's point-of-sale data sales data. Very little data about customer behavior in the store and then digital shopping grew up with highly instrumented granular data about those consumer Behavior so you know the digital marketers agonizing over things like conversion rate. Most brick-and-mortar retailers you talk to him about their store conversion rate and they they they would look at you with. A blank expression we're now in at Euro when it is totally possible to collect all kinds of really insightful data about consumer behavior in the store. Are you starting to see the business users take advantage of that and behave differently or we are most Broken Window guys still stuck in the soda old pair. Luke: [29:29] Yes I think people are starting to behave differently and take advantage of that and because we now can trace a customer all the way through their Journey from when they, look at Walgreens on their mobile to an actually walk into the store and they ultimately make a purchase I think it's impossible and foolish to not look at that data, to make better decisions and as you figure out you know how you want to cost you your assortment I even set your stores being largest and the consumer Behavior, the drives those decisions I would say all retailers all big successful retailers are using, data now in-store the same way that data was used and has been used from The Last Five Years online. And a lot of that is getting the technologies that we now have to understand customer Behavior through things like credit cards. Things like website cookies Etc being able to trace that through you don't have to back your questions early on low T have. Have someone entering and punching their code to know what they're doing and how they're shopping there other ways to get at that. And that will I think allow people to use that information to make better decisions and businesses are doing that. Jason: [30:31] Well that's encouraging for the future and that's going to be a great place to leave it because it's happening again we've used up all our a lot of time. But Lucas super grateful to you for taking the time to sit down with us today and share in the POV if folks have questions or want to continue the conversation or. Welcome to jump on our Facebook page and will continue it there as always if you enjoy the show we sure appreciate you jumping on iTunes and giving us that 5-star review. Scot: [30:58] Thanks. Luke: [30:59] Thanks I appreciate it. Jason: [31:00] Until next time happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP122 - ShopTalk 2018 Recap Part 2

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 24, 2018 81:29


ShopTalk is an annual trade show held in Las Vegas focused on retail and e-commerce innovation.  In it's third year, it has become the fastest growing can't miss event in our industry.  This year 8,400 industry professionals attended the event (up from 5,400 last year).  The 2018 version took place March 18-21, 2018 at the Venetian in Las Vegas. There is so much content at the show, that we've divided our recap into two parts.  You can get part 1 here, in Part 2 we cover: Grocery Track - Catering to new consumer - Narayan Iyengar, Senior VP of Digital at Albertsons Glossier Keynote - Emily Weiss, CEO+Founder Amazon Keynote - Eric Broussard - VP of International Marketplaces and Retail Coach Keynote - Joshua Schulman Walmart Keynote - Mark Lore and Andy Dunn Houzz Keynote - Alon Cohen president and co-founder Google Keynote - Daniel Alegere, President, Retail and Shopping Code Commerce - Erik Nordstrom  (President of Nordstrom) and  Don Kingsborough (CEO One market) Code Commerce - Doordash - Tony Xu, CEO Code Commerce - Jennifer Hyman, CEO, Rent the Runway eBay Keynote - AI eBay Keynote Jan Pedersen, Chief Scientist and Scott Cutler, SVP, Americas Ascena Keynote - Ascena Keynote - David Jaffe, Chairman & CEO Boxed Keynote - Chieh Huang, CEO We've been honored to be included on a few lists of top e-commerce podcasts this week. DisruptorDaily Top 10 Retail Industry Podcasts BoldCommerce 16 Best E-commerce Podcasts of 2018 Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 122 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Thursday, March 22, 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this episode is being recorded on Thursday March 22nd 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scot Wingo. Scot: [0:38] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason Scott show listeners episode wanted to take a rare pause on the show and Pat ourselves on the back. Jason: [0:52] Let's do it my arm is breaking as I'm doing it. Scot: [0:54] Awesome, T-Rex help Pizza patting himself on the back of fun fun dinosaur fact so we have received a couple accolades on the show much to our surprise so first of all there is a site called disruptor daily and they rank podcast and different, Industries and they put the Jason Scott show on their top 10 retail industry podcast so that was exciting. And then another company called bold Commerce they put out 16 of the top e-commerce podcast books are pretty intense cuz you can tell they actually listen to all the different podcast out there, we can even put forth on that one so our goal next year is to move up the list or real happy to be placed in the top quartile there and they took three of their favorite episodes. And one of them was episode 74 with our good friend Melissa Burdick so thanks to Melissa for helping us make the list next up was. Episode 89 which was our hot take on the Whole Foods Amazon acquisition and last but not least Andrea. Like episode 83 so it's good that we before we even saw this we had have them both back on the show for a second appearance so it's good that we since those were quite popular that we've had those books back on. Jason: [2:13] Yeah you know there's a little inside baseball on the Jason Scott show there's a lot of. Jogging for the first guest to get a third appearance on the show I know it's very competitive and I'm a little worried that some violence could come into play. Scot: [2:30] The knives are out for sure really kind of trying to figure out what's going to happen there so this this is a good. Jason: [2:38] Sorry one of the important side note about the Bold Commerce list number 10 on that list was our friend Eric you didn't at ecommercefuel who's been doing a great podcast for a very long time and what was cool about that is their favorite episode of of of Andrews was an interview with me, so basically I'm the most powerful person on the list. Scot: [2:59] Absolutely I don't think anyone would disagree that. We'd like to thank our listeners for a we could not be receiving these accolades if it weren't for you guys. We always talk about it in the show so I'll put in a plug here, it definitely helps us to continue to get listeners and receive factly it's like this if you subscribe to the show so whatever your favorite podcast listening technology is be at the iTunes iOS podcast app or whatever, please make sure you subscribe that helps us with our podcast SEO rankings and definitely tell your friends. [3:37] Poop so jumping right in here and episode 122 this is so we we continued. We concluded Shock Talk yesterday and while it's still fresh in our minds we wanted update everyone on the highlights from the show so the second part of a two-part series, back and we back in episode 121 we covered the first half is kind of halftime report of what happened at shoptalk so that covered the Sunday and Monday of the four days and then here in episode 122 we're going to cover the back half for the second half of shop talk and really dive into what happened Tuesday and Wednesday. Jason why don't you kick it off with some of the first things that you attended Tuesday morning. Jason: [4:18] So I have to start with some hearsay news we were recording a podcast so I didn't get a chance to attend this, but there was a the grocery track was going on Tuesday morning and at least to me a piece of news broke in the grocery track of the VP of digital at Albertson's announced that, Albertsons would be launching a third-party Marketplace in the grocery space on their site later this year so they were they were soliciting, applications from sellers interested in being on the marketplace. Scot: [4:53] Sprinkle and dumb, I read the news report and it said something like is almost a dig at Amazon Whole Foods at there's something about those guys are some brands are leaving and Albertsons was building this Marketplace almost as a home for this works is that is that kind of. Jason: [5:11] At least partially in again I wasn't at the session so I'm kind of putting some pieces together you know as we've covered on the show little bit like there. There has been some blowback in the Whole Foods acquisition. And it's not clear whether this was driven by Amazon or this was a change that, Whole Foods was in the process of making sort of in parallel with the Amazon acquisition Whole Foods used to have a very sort of local orientation with their suppliers and so individual. [5:42] Stores could buy from suppliers suppliers could have autonomy to do their own merchandise in the store and they're welcome to come into the store and set up their own displays and do sampling and things like that. And coincidental with the Amazon acquisition. Whole Foods has moved to a much more National management of vendors are some of the small vendors have gotten kicked out some of the vendors have less control over their own stuff in the stores and as you can imagine some of the vendor community. Is a little disgruntled with that so I think weather. Weather that's you know actual discontent or whether you know that's just a mild annoyance it it certainly makes sense that a competitor like Albertsons would try to make some hey there and I think they. They mention that's one of the reasons that they that they wanted to offer a a. Marketplace alternative to Amazon in the groceries based I would also say in some ways Albertsons has been one of the more digitally aggressive. Traditional Grocers so that you know that they brought out a lot of the. Expected program GNC like expect to see like curbside pickup but you know they also made the. The hugest acquisition in the traditional grocery space they they even spent over a billion dollars on plated to have their own did you admit native meal kit service since I know you know this is. You. There's a lot of questions in my mind about how a market place for fresh would work but the. [7:15] You know I I will certainly be watching it and will cover it on the show. Scot: [7:19] Grateful I'm just excited to have more marketplaces out there this is going to be a theme of today show Ms is Mo marketplaces so, that's exciting and it'll be interesting to see you know they're what their vision of a grocery market place looks like sometimes we find retailers use the language Marketplace but really what they mean is just kind of Dropship so you know they, they use EDI and curated kind of a thing and kind of old-school mechanisms to expand their selection versus when I think of marketplace it's usually much more you know of an Amazon Marketplace, model or even an eBay where you know any brand could go to Albertsons and say Hey I want to join this Marketplace I've got this cool hip new that are no energy drink or something and want to make it available to your audience so, well I'll be eagerly watching to see what you learn about what it looks like. Jason: [8:08] Yeah yeah and I assume your strength is much deeper than mine in this bed. I suspect you agree it's not uncommon for a retailer to underestimate the complexities of running a Marketplace. Scot: [8:22] Yes absolutely. Jason: [8:23] Yep so then we wrapped up the podcast we were recording and we made it to the first keynote in the morning which was Emily Weiss who's the CEO and founder of glass CA. Garcia is a cool digitally native brand in the beauty space that has been experiencing rapid growth and gets a lot of Buzz and Emily you know strictly talked about is one of the sword. Next Generation female leaders of successful company so it was interesting to hear from her. And she talked a lot about sort of what she called the new definition of a brand. And you know this is a theme that continued with some of the other speakers and that. I've been continuing to have with some folks on Twitter you know right up to Showtime today. But there's that you know this notion of of another company no longer being in charge in the consumer being in charge and so you know Emily describe glassy a as a brand that was really designed. Around listening to the customer instead of talking to the customer until she talked a lot about how traditional. Brands when they when they you know want to be more customer-centric there their real goal is to make the customer feel like they're heard and you know she was making the point that. Making customers feel like their hood is heard is a far cry from actually hearing customers. [9:55] Answer sheet you know she thinks a lot of their you know what their goals are disingenuous and then it's much harder to build a company that's really responsive to things are hearing from customers. And that the way this manifest itself is she's like you know the days when a customer turns to an expert be that a spokesperson or brand. For product Discovery are sort of over in her mind and she thinks that you know today, with the Advent of digital in 1 to 100 and all this transparency that consumers are much more likely to turn to the their peers for product Discovery than they are to, decentralized experts and and her proofpoint for that is the 80% of all of her customers came to Glass EA based on a peer recommendation and so, that was interesting to me because it's a it's a thing that that comes up in a couple of the other presentations on on Wednesday about the role of, a brand and how important brand is in the role of of sort of spokespersons and celebrity endorsers in those sorts of things so so more to come on that. Scot: [11:01] Close confused for most of this one because where I come from we call it glossier and I was like where is the glossier person and never could find them. Jason: [11:12] Yep when you work for a French company you learn to make everything sound a little more pompous. Scot: [11:21] Then I after the glossier keynote we had Amazon and this exciting as they had to Amazon Keynotes at the show which is pretty unusual usually pretty. Turtle wish they didn't like to come to these events and really say much but at if your member in the first half we talked about the Amazon go execs they're talking about that and then here we had Eric Broussard. He is a VP of international, International marketplaces and Retail at Amazon. [11:49] And it's really interesting because you know what what Amazon has done is built over a hundred 75 Global fulfillment centers but they were very country-specific so you could load balance. [12:04] Products made in the USA Fountain Centers let's say you. You were a third party and you're using a PA and you were selling widgets and you would send those widgets in the Amazon list they saw a thousand Amazon what kind of load balance those across is fulfillment centers based on where anticipates the the local points of demand. That's really cool. [12:25] But Amazon historically hasn't had a way for you to really leverage that week we've had several customers really but their heads up against this where they wanted to expand to the UK for example and leverage app, Amazon Local UK people were like well you have to have an entity and you have to have a bank account and you have to have a tax document and you have to have insurance document and you know you have to, do you all these different things so. So really this is a program it was on spin working on for a while and you know I don't know if formally announce it here but they are, they're kind of getting a lot of details so so so see what they can do now is your product can be seamlessly sold globally across the all the hundred seventy-five phone is Interstate that's a great use cases so. [13:13] You could be a u.s. seller and then sound of Europe you can you know as you know they're really big in Indiana they have like 40 performance centers in India that's a huge Battleground for them Japan China are there now in Australia. There's rumor still be in Brazil at some point so you could really use Amazon for your Global infrastructure and. Interesting about this that gives Amazon a huge Edge is Amazon's also invested a ton of money into their catalog and you know so Dave. Unlike a Marketplace like eBay which is more freeform not and where everyone that sells an Xbox or something kind of. Describes it in their own unique way on Amazon they have this kind of golden description of. Every Xbox and whatnot and what's nice about that is it allows them to then as they going to other countries translate that that skew or that a sand once. And then now you as a seller if you match up against that and it's the same products as in like less you say France in the US you get kind of translation for free. I just kind of the punchline they're so so that's a really nice benefit of the Amazon Marketplace solution say really talked about. Kind of a six-step process where they made it, insanely easy to sell globally system as you send your inventory so whatever your country you're in and also this is all cross-country so you could be an idiot seller as well as a UK cell or whatever so whatever you said your inventory into FBA they receive it in storage. [14:44] And then it becomes Prime enabled and then Amazon you can tell Amazon what countries you want to listen to and then they will put the product into this country's and they will load balance across country so number three. The customer orders the product number for Amazon pick packs and ships they handled the front end customer service so if someone has a question about the product, eye of your delivery or anything like that they have their entire force of local folks even handle the reverse Logistics through back to the system so, pretty amazing and a lot of people questioned Amazon's got money. Don't doubt for this performance centers of the powerful things you can do when you do have that ass that you know they have to look at all the other. Companies out there no one has as many assets like this as Amazon so so you can eBay when they're doing cross-border trade. They're using and I think someone like a Pitney Bowes or something to kind of do the freight forwarding which is great and I'm sure that's a very capable thing. But it's not hundred 75 fulfillment centers it's kind of a reshipping, model versus a get it native and sell the ones he too, A2Z efficiently out on stage two examples of this one was exploding kittens if you don't know exploding kittens it's a fun card game that and. [16:06] Kittens do not get hurt in this game is Callicoon oh except the draw for is an exploding kitten that's kind of the short version of it and then. [16:14] They talked about how Amazon enabled them to essentially Go Global with you cut a five-person company that was really focused on creating a card game with witches. Pretty amazing and then they booking did that we just got very untrue real story with Phillips and Phillips talked about how they launch the product and India using the Amazon Global selling offering so what's the one thing that's interesting is. All the big guys were very much in by big eisenmann Google Facebook Amazon eBay all their talks were really geared towards. How do you say wanted Brands to kind of get on their platforms which is pretty interesting cuz you know 3 years ago it was all about Sellers and that kind of thing now. Everyone really excited about more emerging Brands and old-school Brands and how to get them on to these platforms so those are my takeaways from them. Jason: [17:05] Yeah and once I don't own that one there's a show in Las Vegas earlier in March called Prosper which is, show really targeted at Amazon sellers I did not attend but one of the news items out of that was they formally did announce this program in North America and so they like apparently it's at least formally been, announced that anyone can opt-in if you have FBA inventory in the US that they'll now will fill it in Mexico or Canada if you choose. Scot: [17:39] Sprinkle. Jason: [17:40] So it seems like it it's a real thing and I I really like I was super interested in that because it just seems. Where you like we are to be successful. This is all one in 2D versus you know the sort of complicated orchestration and multiple partners like handing off the Box between. Freight forwarders & Custom agents and all those sorts of things. Scot: [18:05] When you do that you lose things like trackability in a little details like that. Jason: [18:10] Exactly and the way the package arrives at the customer may not be the customer experience you want. [18:17] So then the next keynote was the president of coaches Joshua Schulman. And very different than the Amazon presentation is a brand presentation and coached of her listeners is going through a little bit of a change you know the parent company used to be coach when they were a single brand. In the last I think year or two years they've acquired a couple companies so they acquired. Alegria shoe manufacturer Stuart Weitzman and then last year they acquired Kate Spade and so they become sort of a house of luxury Brands and they renamed. The parent company tapestry so Josh was the president of Coach which is you know the biggest of three brands owned by tapestry. And Joshua talked a little bit about this this Big Brand Evolution that coaches just kind of completing. They over a number of years had really kind of moved from, luxury to mid-market so they they had gotten very promotional they were selling throw out of department stores that were very Promotional and a lot of people felt like the equity in the brand have greatly eroded. And so for the last you know I guess I would say 2 years coaches been making this over to effort to. Take themselves out of the discount supply chain as Joshua says is it that you know we are focused on reducing our promotional impressions. And that's it. He's probably a smart thing to do it it's both been reflected in coaches results which which have been much much more favorable this last year. [19:55] But also as we've talked a lot about this show that you know Casey well and Bob would say the retail bifurcation, but there's a lot of Market customers and you can do real well catering in them and there's a lot of Deep Discount customers and you can do really well catering to them but where you really don't want to be is the uncomfortable middle in between those two extremes, and that's kind of where coach at Swift and so they've kind of done a successful job of moving themselves back up market so so Joshua was talking a little bit about that. He did such a dress department stores which I found interesting I'm not I'm not sure that they mentioned it but Joshua is new to Kochi he became the president of coach last year and he was formerly the president of. Bergdorf Goodman which is one of the you know the the. [20:44] Kind of historic famous luxury department store so obviously you know he has a strong affinity for department stores and he shared his POV that you know department stores aren't going away there an important part of the ecosystem. And then he kind of talked about the future of the coach brand. And you know a big part of coaches future he believes is personalization so coaches rolled out a lot of capability to customize handbags on an individual basis so now from their website you can. Personalize a lot of your products and their coach owns a bunch of different stores they're starting to deploy that. Personalization capability in the stores as well so you know instead of getting the same bag as everyone else you can get a bag that's completely unique just for you. Which I do agree that I think is an important part of the evolution of all these Brands and then his last point in. North America which is coach's Home Market that you know where Promontory thought of is a handbag manufacturer and so they're they're investing a lot in. Redefining themselves as a Lifestyle brand and in that sort of a jargon for, where we're going to sell apparel and other items in addition to Handbags and he talked about markets like China where, they've been a Lifestyle brand from the beginning because they had this much broader assortment when they first went into that market and how differently the Chinese customer thinks about Coach then the the North American customer and so that that was sort of his pitch for the evolution of the brand. Scot: [22:16] Recap my favorite part of that one was Courtney Reagan I'm a big CNBC junkie and she didn't really do it here but on TV I've seen her, when you I think what happens is Sony's Executives meet these reporters and they just kind of assumed they're just general business reporters and don't know the industry Courtney has like an MBA in economics and Retail and she's been at this for for a long time and I've seen her just eviscerate Executives before I guess are good she had, Lundgren tied up in knots one time. When you just talk about the Amazon competition so I was kind of really waiting there for her to catch him in the Trap in and I think she went pretty easy on him because the cameras weren't rolling I do think you know why. What are these guys seem like they're in denial about stories it's like they won't admit that. Yeah it's a challenge or something like I got a really weird vibe from him that everything's hunky-dory Pollyanna you know stores are great brands are great and you know. I can talk doses PR or if he was like really believed it also if that was kind of you know a little concerning. Jason: [23:20] Yeah and I think there is a theme you know all of these guys came on and they're they're defending their legacy ass that's right so he's talking a lot about how important the store experience is and in addition to, you know the Wholesale stores that coach yells through coach owns a bunch of their own store so they certainly have a expensive asset there that they want the world to believe is valuable and I would argue, is valuable and it's going to come into play on some of the other teammates were going to talk about later when you know when, the CEOs have to spend a lot of their time justifying why their legacy assets are so valuable like you know it's it's it's fair to question you know if they really were that valuable they probably wouldn't have to spend a lot of their time saying they were valuable. Scot: [24:02] Yap exactly. Jason: [24:03] And by the way I randomly I happen to be sitting for that keynote next to Warren Thomas who's the other retail reporter at CNBC so that was so we were we were watching Courtney together was kind of fun. [24:17] So then the next keynote was a very good get for shoptalk it was Mark Lori that the digital president at Walmart and Andy done the, the founder of bonobos which is now a brand owned by Walmart. Scot: [24:35] Yeah this was a last-minute addition which I thought was interesting it almost kind of felt like maybe they came because they had something to say so I think we were all you really waiting on this one. Jason: [24:46] Yeah. That that probably is true and I would argue that in a way that made it so it be less interest in keynote than it might have otherwise been for me because as we've covered on this show Walmart had a very visible Miss on there, their Ecommerce growth last quarter in their their stock took a pretty significant hit as a result of that and so you know that was the 1st? Was was to, kind of talked about in justify, the the in a fact that they had something like 20 or 25% growth versus the 40% growth that folks were expecting and you know I'm really interested in and hearing him talk about that like it it did take up the bulk of, this particular a keynote and you know I would have been interested to hear a little bit more about about some other aspects but I will say, Mark's answer which seems like it's now that the corporate line there is essentially that Walmart planned, to have slower growth and Q4 and that it was sort of a retooling quarter for them you know after that had had several quarters of, a very fast growth and he kind of pointed out that look we don't give quarterly guidance we gave annual guidance and we hit our annual guidance so we don't understand why everyone was so surprised. [26:12] And I like I I think it's fair to say we're all a little cynical of that that story. Scot: [26:17] Yeah I don't know if it's because of the podcast or what not but I think. Between the two of us if I had 40 people come up and offer that they thought that was totally BS that you know the drill line was that you know nobody in retail plans for the 4th quarter to be a reach 1/4. Jason: [26:33] I think I think the the summary they're like well I think for an update they hit their annual guidance and that's all great if your plan is to have a soft fourth-quarter it's a bad plan. [26:46] So other than that there were some interesting tidbits from that presentation you know Marc reported that they're up to seventy-five million skews for sale which is you know from a couple years ago that they were in the you know couple million skews so that's. Astronomic growth I would assume the bulk of that is Marketplace and there's you know a slight bit of controversy, here in the there is a former Walmart exact it's actually suing Walmart and one of his main claims is that Walmart store to artificially inflates this number bye. By saying how many skus are in the database and not necessarily actively for sale but I think I think directionally. Walmart has added an awful lot of skews and is within an order of magnitude of of Amazon which is pretty impressive. [27:36] Is what I think Amazon's about 400 million skew something in that range. [27:42] So then he did talk about you saying we talked about a lot on the podcast which is Walmart's grocery Grocery progress then I'll have 1200 stores that do grocery pick-up and so what that means is 1200 cities where customers can order groceries. Online and I drive by the store and pick it up and you know except for those 1,200 stores you can't order fresh groceries from Walmart so. That this is this weird thing and I think the analyst had until he picked up on you. When you're talking about store sales you talk a lot about same-store sales cuz you compare apples to apples when you talk online you talk you know General growth. But now you really have this third category which is sort of. Online grocery growth which is a hybrid you can only deliver if you have a store and able to do so so there are 1,200 stores and they they expect open another thousand storms this year. You know you're my mind that has been the primary driver of their they're huge e-commerce growth and so I think they need to open a thousand or 1200 more stores this year to comp well against. Against the last year or they're going to they're going to laugh all those those grocery stores they opened last year and then and that would dramatically swell their comps. He also mentioned that they are now in 100 metros with same day delivery this is this Blended solution where I think they're using to live they're using Uber and they're letting their own employees do deliveries. So that that is interesting we we will hear about that from Target as well and then Andy talked a lot about the did you need a vertical brand which is a term he coined and and how that fits into the Walmart strategy. [29:23] I think it's Mark Lori that always uses this metaphor a bit but they talk about the the. The analogy of Walmart to Netflix and they say you know I got you. Netflix is a super successful model you can go watch a bunch of other people's movies on Netflix but increasingly, the big draw to Netflix are these first-party content that Netflix created exclusively like house of cards or Orange is the New Black and so to Andy and Mark these, did you need a vertical Brands like bonobos ModCloth are. The sort of unique videos in the in the Netflix model I don't know what they meant to but they did make an announcement that I had not. She heard before which is that all of those did you need a Brands will eventually find their way onto the jet sales platform which many of them are not right now so that would be ModCloth for example would be sold through Jets and, Martinez said the high level strategy is look where we're redefining the jet brand we're going to use jet as, the brand to win affluent Urban Millennials and you know which sort of perfectly complements the markets that the Walmart brand is really good at winning. Scot: [30:44] Couple funny things in their answer to the question of the bonobos being on chat was, your Delray Jason had gone out and search and I found like this pictures of monkeys since he couldn't find my notes they kind of lost Jason he was like so going to be a media company I don't think he understood the, metaphor of unique, original content that they were trying to make their butt but it is it's early as you know it's definitely I think it's a very valid strategy it's kind of like Prime exclusives that Amazon is doing the challenge with Walmart is, you know they've got like 8 things going on that that are pretty intense and each of their own and their e-commerce. Peace is not at a scale that Amazon is so sweet hard for them to execute well in all of this. [31:39] The warmers. Jason: [31:44] I think that was the main main adjust of the Andy and Mark show other than. Scot: [31:49] Are you crushing on Andy Dalton. Jason: [31:50] Andy Andy had some really cool slippers on that apparently where the celebrity got married in. Scot: [31:56] Took a picture, I guess my picture that was circling this fine then up next was house in the house Houzz, and houses really cool story so I actually know one of the founders his name is Alana and he was from 2001 to 2010 he ran a bunch of engineering groups at eBay and his wife's name is I'll probably put you this but, Adi tatarko. [32:26] And they are from Israel and they moved to Silicon Valley and by house probably for a bazillion dollars and they were they were working on refurbishing the house I think about. 8 years ago now and you know what they found was there was no. Great Ecommerce experience for Furnishing your house so house is borns they built house is a way it's kind of a it started out as really a place where. Counting is a super vertical Pinterest so. If you did a project where you refurbish your kitchen for example and you wanted and a designer wanted to maybe kind of get involved it was coming designer Marketplace so you could get ideas from other people could have done it and then also designers and an end designers like, because it was a way for them to acquire customers and that's how they were kind of monetizing it. Then what happened is there so many do-it-yourselfers that would say hey I really like how Jason and his wife did their kitchen. I want to and I can see this faucet in there that I really like and this countertop but I want to know exactly what it is and how to go buy it. So there's this disconnect between the, products you would see in these kitchens in other rooms are being refurbished and ability to buy them so they created a product Marketplace on there in full disclosure we've been a partner of there is that channel visor for a very long time, I used to be more of a paid less than kind of moved to a pure market place we can buy them all and house and they've been a great partner verse so it was cool to hear the story I've never heard the story from kind of that. [34:00] That start to where they are now and here they are today they fit 10 million items on the marketplace they've got over 20,000 Sellers and 40 million monthly active users so you know it's pretty pretty neat that they kind of just. Really solve the problem and we're able to build a couple different ways of monetizing that on there he was interviewed by Alfred Lynn who was one of the. Jason: [34:28] Yeah that's a good question yeah I think he was there at the beginning I do not know if he's officially a founder or not. Scot: [34:34] Yep but he left free shortly after the Amazon acquisition and Joint Sequoia which is one of the. List of blue chips are in the Bay Area so a lot of his questions I wasn't sure the retailers were rocking on cuz he's talking about MARC station strategies, yeah he's like going kind of deep into the VC language they're so it's kind of interesting and then, the last thing I thought was interesting was they did talk about you know, they are so this is really big right now in the home category, where you know you can not eat you can use augmented reality to look at a room and being a piece of furniture or a faucet or something like that or maybe in the cabinet you can kind of get a feel for how that's been looking so they have a million skus that are when I call a are enabled and, this was one that will make sure that we caught that, it improves your conversion 11 x when when people are using they are to look at an item, so in my calculus I kind of said well that was conversion rate something like two to three percent so what is that like 33%. [35:39] What your kiss makes sense cuz people going to be pretty far down the funnel if you're going to be like okay I'm going to go home, I'm going to fire up the say our thing and I'm going to drop that widget that piece of furniture whatever it is into my room to see if it's it's so it's so I guess it does kind of like a really big bump to me. [35:57] Does that jive with you. Jason: [35:58] It does and I think YG for the reason you mentioned like I don't think if you just took any random Shopper on that site and force them to to use an AR experience that they would suddenly convert. 11 x better so I don't think they expect you know why these friends probably is better is, I don't think it it's this the magic Silver Bullet to cause everyone to buy. I think you have to already have a much higher buying intense. To be interested in trying they are Peter so you have to already be more attached to the item and you're investing more time and in kind of setting it up on your phone and walking to the environment where you want to use it and so it's it's, it's one step below are on the funnel and in so I think it is a great tactic, they are also that your web urging a something we talked about in the show Google and and, Apple have both rolled out AR kits for their operating system that make it way easier to do this kind of stuff well and so. Pals wizard of the pilot user of those two stacks the what people is usually underestimate when they implement this feature, is you need a source of really good data to have the 3D models of all these items into the fact that they have a million items out of there, their inventory of, you know that they have good 3D models for is is to me pretty impressive and that that now is officially the big barrier for any other retailer that wants to add this feature is just how do you get the good 3D data and I I think in the long run. [37:32] The brands are all you know in the same way that they have to provide a long and short description for a retailer when they want to sell something you know what the brands are going to have to start providing 3D files for for these things as well. Scot: [37:45] Yeah that seems like a very large number to me because you and I know most manufactures is a struggle to get a you know a human readable short description you know so they'll be like. Wooden chair so I kind of was locking the logic I was like wow that's a million is like 10% that's why I would have guessed. Jason: [38:07] Generally these first-generation experiences it's more the retailer created the data themselves. Scot: [38:14] Yeah so they must be like you, getting the products in and scan I know people will shoot videos and practice way there's these houses that get quantity one of these things to do that so I was thinking maybe they picked they have the benefit of knowing the top 10% items get them into a studio and then you can run a scan on them that was did you wrote did you walk to the same process. Jason: [38:34] Yeah and they didn't talk about how they do it that's and I would have love for them to Deep dive into that but that's exactly what I would assume and it does create this interesting thing so, and house where is really weird category cuz a lot of furniture is. It's not really branded Furniture it's like private label furniture that a bunch of different retailers all sell the same thing and call it something wildly different so there is some office case in their butt. [39:03] If you think about it house now has that in owns that 3D data the manufacturer doesn't so when. [39:13] Amazon or Crate & Barrel or some other seller wants to sell that same item you know they they, they're going to eat at to spend the same money has spent or the manufacturers are going to have to go spend the money to do a 3D scan the file or, go back to the designer and get the 3D CAD files from the designer in so it does it does create this new work stream this is how, a lot of new attributes in e-commerce this is how they start the first time someone a retailer wants to use in the retailer has to invent them and once it becomes a best practice it gets put back on the manufacturer and eventually the manufacturer gets couldn't provide that mean the same as it is true a digital images. Scot: [39:52] It also made me wonder you know the wafer ones talked about a lot that made me wonder how many models they have and if they're doing something somewhere. Jason: [39:59] Yeah and if you think about it in this category is even more ugly like a, the hardware the 3D scan these big items is more convoluted than then you know like simple tabletop items and so much of the stuff is drop shipped like if these were shoes that sat in a filming Center you can imagine sitting up shop and seeing a bunch of shoes in the Fulfillment center but a lot of these things. You know you like it in the case of Wayfair they never pass through a Wayfair facility where Wayfair could scan them. Scot: [40:27] F R Anderson cool so after house we had a Google up and the Google one was probably if I was going to pick one that was my highlight of this would have been it and even then I think it was, how what Google announced the show was largely misunderstood so I wanna spend some time on that because I think it's, pretty important so what are the interesting things that's going on is the the guy that used to run retailer Google his name was John a furnace and he was he left to join Pinterest and saw him several times the show he was there with pry like 50 Pinterest people which I thought was interesting because, you know I'm easily sink shoptalk in Pinterest so I just got this vibe that there's something going on there. And I don't know what it is but but he's also like his official title there is SVP of ads okay so that makes sense and commerce it Pinterest so pictures has had when I would call some. Pretty you know man e-commerce things that got rich pins they did a little Marketplace I kind of went about it in a weird way that was not very. Customer friendly was easy to implement but not a great customer experience so I almost kind of like was wondering you know. Why is Pinterest have so many people here why they hire Al Fitness e-commerce have answers but I just thought was interesting to see that so anyway, Daniel is a great addition to the retail team so it's official title is president of retail and shopping at Google I talk to a lot of googlers and they were all really excited because this kind of the folks that are in the Google shopping side and they've been working on retail for a long time. [41:59] I feel like retail is really elevating at Google and. The person they talk about Daniel has been a senior leader Google for quite a while I think his prior title. [42:13] I was stressing yeah he was like Global and strategic Partnerships so you know he he was quite a senior person and, he's also well known a Google you know these companies like a Google or an Amazon aren't really known for their ability to partner with other people wear as you know I think he has led the charge in certain categories were partnering is going to be essential for the wedding so I was really eager to hear what he had to talk about he went through you know. [42:40] I don't think whatever Google people get up there they have to kind of go through the rigmarole of, we have seven properties that were billing users were Google where mazing here's the big trends we see the meat and potatoes of his talk to me was the announcement of I called this Universal shopping cart and I'm not a fan of that I've had these two spirit things at Google, send it. Google Assistant which we know and love on the show they've had Google Express. What started out as a kind of delivery service in a couple of areas and just think of it as kind of one hour type. Product and then they've had product listing ads and so through a the pieles are a. A shopping enabled kind of a not enabled e-commerce ad unit if you will so far. 20 products that has a price and that kind of stuff so they put them all under this umbrella now and they've actually. The cool thing for me is I sent you they built on Marketplace on the park posting ads and that they taking a couple shots at this last time I was called by on Google and. It was just so micro so it was like 5 merchants on Android only Angie had to have Google pay and it had to be enabled it had to have this that in you but time you slice all that stuff you're looking at like you know. 500000 users which which is nothing but in the world of Google with all these billion dollar properties it's like why are you so where she going after these like you know, like slice of a size of a slice of a slice but unfortunately are not doing a great job of describing it I think about it is you can now take any SKU and have it available in a lot of different flavors so so first of all. [44:26] If it's like what I would call an e-commerce Q me you're going to ship it either from a fulfillment center or a store so kind of like a two-day plus kind of a thing you can make that viable in a Google search result. Is that product is near the user and available for delivery same day that's another option Source, these rings of availability. And then also you can make that SKU available to Google assistant so example that they have used a lot is as you know target has a private label cpg brand called up and up. [44:55] So they show this this detergent that has been enabled with this new ad unit that's called shopping action, abled then there's three use cases so you can say OK Google, buy up and up laundry detergent and it will it will know then. Based on where you are if you can get it kind of same day or in an e-commerce kind of a Note 2 day type experience so you it will ask you and if it's available in both It'll ask you which one you want. The baby shopping shipping fees and stuff there and then if you're in the Google Express experience you'll see that product because it is available at a local store and then if you're in a sponsored. Pla you will see it there as well so there. You know we are at Channel advisor we are in early partner on this and it I can say they said on stage, Target and Ultra Ultra are seeing 20% left from that, police unit and I can say there's there's several other people in there and and this is causing really good lift for folks in this is something I think it's been a long time coming, there's certainly some attribution things in there but but I think happens if the desktop metaphor doesn't work on mobile the whole go search for detergent go in to target.com forget your credentials. Get a password reset login put it in your Target card. Then order Denver enter your credit card that's such a drag because up further in the stack the phone already knows who you are and you already have your credit card in the Play Store so why not just use those credentials so so this is another attempt I think at kind of. [46:38] Elevating that transaction higher in this. So I'm excited about it and they went to Great pains not to call the Marketplace but my mind it's Marketplace. [46:48] So so I took this to mean Google is getting a lot more serious about Marketplace and how do they surface this product and make it. Yo and partner with retailers to two. I think the big win here is going to be closing the mobile Gap and what did Al furnace did is he came from the Travel Group. At Google where they did this to an Indus was controversial because some people thought they were kind of going around to Travel Systems and stuff but you can actually buy a hotel room right on, Google mobile and dramatically increase conversion rates versus kind of like that again that desktop metaphor of OK Google says there's a hotel over here, now let me go to that hotel site and then iterate through you can actually go by that room on Google Now I'm so so I think they seen some really interesting things on travel and they want to bring it here they did a 100 of it over the last 2 years that didn't get a lot of success and then this time it's feels like they're taking a much bigger at that swing. Jason: [47:46] For sure like I do think they're taking a bigger swing it's going to be interesting to see how it plays out. Huge difference between travel and most of the sort of product Commerce you know, in travel you're mainly trying to sell a room or a flight and if you can bundle other travel Services into that sell it's great but like the overwhelming majority of the time it's a win the book a room, a lot of individual items that you sell an e-commerce are only profitable if you get the customer to buy more than one thing and so you know that the level of difficulty for Google is is much higher in the Commerce base than the travel space in my mind because, it can't just be. Click to buy button in search results because that that frankly is going to drive everyone a single item purchase is a oviso go down and you know the artiste rest. Profitability in the in the whole ekosistem would get even more stress so it's going to it's going to be interesting to see how all that plays out to. I I get so one funny thing the economic model is different than most other Google ads units in in you know most cases your you're paying for that. That exposure in the ad world and you know Google is charging much more like a Marketplace hear your your you know paying at a crate on the on the stuff that Google help you sell or you know in the. The ad business they call this a rev-share model and when the word got out that they were watching this format. All the traditional SEO guys piano. [49:17] Because they misinterpreted this as Google will now share the profits with you and elevate your listings in organic search so they. They said it was a you know several days of panic on Twitter where it where that was sort of going around I guess one other interesting outcome of this is. It also creates the scenario where you may not have paid to have a pla show up. But Google me decide to place your POA extra times that you didn't pay for and take the rev-share from it and so that that's it in aspect of this program as well as the Google can Canal run Google funded pla. Scot: [49:57] Yeah it's going to be really interesting to see and I know we're going to type for time but let's talk about some of the implications in a future show. Jason: [50:06] For sure we had to run from that Keynote. To another event that that they is sort of an event within an event Jason Del Rey from recode they they host a. A dinner or in the evening at shoptalk they call code Commerce and so you know he he typically gets like about three interesting speakers, you know at at this sort of show within a show and so we. We hooked it from the keynote to join Jason's event and there's some interesting speakers there as well so the 1st guys up there. Was Eric Nordstrom who's one of the three. Nordstrom Brothers running Nordstrom's right now and who does not do a lot of public event so that that is kind of a cool get and he was on stage with. This gentleman Don Kingsborough who's from a company called one market and I'll get into that in just a second so having Eric there. [51:14] Would be cool under any circumstances but news and come out bad day that the board of directors of Nordstrom had sort of turned down the Nordstrom families offer to buy. The company back and take it private and so the the you know according to the reports the deal is dead now. And so you know that was obviously a piece of news that Jason went right at Eric about. And which Eric had very little interest in discussing and probably let you know wasn't at Liberty to discuss it created some sort of. A humorous for us awkward for Eric moments at the beginning of that interview. Scot: [51:54] God knowing you Delray didn't what up it kept coming up he kept on them. Jason: [51:59] Exactly and I kind of a funny line he's like you know I'd like to say I appreciate the question but I really don't. That's what I heard of humorist in so he's he was on stage with this guy Don Kingsborough and Don is the CEO of a company called One Market. And there are there a spin-off out of a incubation lab that's owned by Westfield malls in so I don't think. [52:26] Westfield may still hold an interest in one market but they're separate entity now I think they probably figured out that nobody would want to. Participate with one market if they were exclusively owned by this one mall and one market is kind of an interesting venture. You know personally I'm a little skeptical on it but the the gist of it is that hey, Amazon has walked up a big chunk of the market and then this huge unfair Advantage Amazon has all this data about the consumer, they see way more of the consumers purchase behavior and more the browsing Behavior than anyone else and they're really putting all the traditional retailers at a disadvantage because no one retailer. With the you know possible exception of of Walmart really has the the. Date of his ability to know the customer as well as Amazon does and so what Market is an effort to say let's create a data Coop where all the retailers share everything they know about a consumer, and then we'll make. That data available to any of the retailers in the coop to improve their experience and they have to make that data available in a, a very limited way like they can't share. Personally identifiable information from one retailer to another and they they can't you know give one retailer another retailers customers but essentially if. If you're a customer and you've done a bunch of shopping at coach and so coach knows you really well and then you walk into Michael Kors. [54:02] And you know Michael Kors says Hey I just met this guy Scot wingo and he's in the coop database the the, One Market would be able to share some of the the enhanced data they know about Scott Wingo that they learned from Scott shopping with coach, and so so at at it. I don't know if I explained that very well but at the highest level this is sort of a customer data Co-op to compete with, Amazon. Scot: [54:30] Yeah I have to say I've never met non-don before but he seemed like a really story guy it did like it has a really great since it like PayPal and places so so no doubt he can build with it he says Google but I honestly didn't understand if it about it. I did I guess I didn't get to use case it's like I don't really care if I go to Southpoint mall and then I go to Crabtree mall and didn't know about me like, I just don't understand, but I couldn't really get my head around you space and maybe that's cuz I'm a very transactional Mall person am I going to the Apple store to get my airpods that's it I'm not I'm not like a browser baby but I don't know I kind of missed the use case. Jason: [55:06] So you you are so you are hitting on one of the potential liabilities of this model is none of these retailers are pretty good at using the data they do already have about all of us when we shop and so it's it's hard to say that their biggest problem is they don't know enough about us, but it is fair to say you know the date that they are worried that they know less about us than Amazon does so I can I get that a big problem with this model is is, anytime you explain anything like this model to a consumer they're going to immediately panic and get creeped out and it it just sounds like big brother, and so it's. We'll have to see if it's focused on the Legacy mall guys in a Dina retailers and of course they have a bunch of other headwinds that are unrelated to any of this so, I don't know I'll be honest though I did get the impression, the Don has a personal relationship with Eric and that the deal struck and by the way Nordstrom is one of the retards participating in one market so I suspect the deal struck was, Eric will come onto code Commerce and talk with Jason Delray if he gets to bring down with him and gone gets to make a pitch for one market. Scot: [56:14] Yeah and they didn't talk about it but I kind of got the vibe Nordstrom Ava invested in that that entity. Jason: [56:21] Yeah that well so it's a it's a co-op I think all the retailers that participate are basically investors why do you own a piece of it so it's so absolutely. [56:30] Until Eric had a vested interest in Dawn doing well and you know let me just say like I don't think Jason had a lot of super interesting questions for Don I think he was a lot more focused on what did you get out of there. Scot: [56:43] Absolutely. Jason: [56:45] So I am not sure it was a lot of interesting Nordstrom revelations in in this interview other than. You know the plan at Nordstrom's to do what they've always been doing you know it's the fact that we didn't buy the company back doesn't change anything was kind of Eric's message. I thought it was kind of a just a funny random story Eric telling the story about his dad Bruce Nordstrom that was in a former president of Nordstrom's and how whenever someone would call Nordstrom department store. How Bruce would be really upset and say we're not a department store where specialty store and you know for the. [57:23] You know if I was listening Nordstrom started out as a shoe retailer and they they still like have a lot of that DNA and. Eric said if not you know I would be like whatever Dad where we're big store with a escalator so call it what you want and it just was a funny moment for me thinking of this I store a retail family like having these arguments around the Thanksgiving table about whether there a department store or not. Scot: [57:47] Yeah I'd never met at Nordstrom's that was kind of cool. Jason: [57:51] The other thing that came up a little bit which is interesting I don't think Eric Shirley new information but Nordstrom has the store in Los Angeles called Nordstrom local, and this is a small a small store by Nordstrom's standards I think it still pretty big I think it's like that twenty thousand square foot store which a full Nordstrom might be why. 50000 square feet. [58:14] And there is no inventory for sale in the store so it's kind of like a bona bus guide shop like it's either you know there's personalized customer experiences and shopping concierge and lots of mannequins that you can look at, but then you you order the product in Nordstrom ships at your house and the talking point that Jason was focused on was. I've heard a lot about the store in the fact that it's. It's not profitable and isn't likely to be profitable in the in the near future and so this feels like. Kind of a project or an investment for Nordstrom and you know aren't you worried about not being able to make those kind of Investments going forward since you you know you were unsuccessful in in going private. And I think Eric's point was no we we paid for this without going private then we we do lots of things like this all the time so this is sort of business as usual for us is, and we do some things we expect to be profitable right away and we do some things that we expect to learn from and hope to make a profit in the longer Horizon. Scot: [59:18] Call the sex would really quick so I was excited at shoptalk surely but also could Commerce there was a little bit more, kind of of the different models out there this one I would put kind of squarely in the on-demand economy bucket which is I'm obviously pretty fascinated with, funny company in this is in the food delivery category where there is a battle royale going on so they had the CEO doordash in his name is Tony shoe, oh that's spelled XU and then he was on stage with one of the leaders at the Cheesecake Factory which is a very popular restaurant and they had just announced that they are doing a delivery food delivery for cheesecake through doordash. And I didn't realize it until I saw eBay partnership, from 2009 to 2011 so that was cool to see someone from the world of e-commerce kind of spread his wings and becoming an option or. The one of the. Big news items us and Kara Swisher did the interview here and she couldn't seem to get her head around the fact they just raised over $509 so they're there well beyond the Unicorn. Status which is Sue sought-after in the Bay Area which means you have a valuation over billion I would Hazard a guess or pry a deck of corn which is a 10 billion dollar valuation so there's so there's aislers GrubHub which is actually, public there's the big one that's really gaining popularity is ubereats and then there's many many more of these there. [1:00:48] Pretend food did this is like prepared food delivery companies and if you widen the radius little bit to include ingredient make yourself kinds of things than the category it's even even. Even got more crowded and so she's kind of hammering on like you know why would you waste so much money and that kind of thing. This is I commiserate with the size opportunity and he's right you know this is a multibillion-dollar opportunity if they can get 5% of all restaurants business to be, true you're just in the industry and they capture 30% of that that ends up being a, a really really big number so any talked about I think you said there in 30 markets and they're going to get into 80 so there there's a geographic component of this, yeah when funny question was she asking what are you scared most of these at the telephone and she was like. [1:01:41] What you mean and you know it's just like that's the customer experience they're up against is they kind of have to be better than just calling the restaurant on the phone to do take out with witch and and then you obviously have to go get it but I thought that was kind of interesting. [1:01:55] And then you and I is kind of funny you and I had kind of had this discussion around you know with these with this business isn't good for the restaurants in bad and, there's an argument that the sex it hurts marching, because you're already paying for that kitchen staff and everything and then if they're making meals for this pickup you don't get a lot of that up sell that you get in the restaurant is your same argument that they made with the Google marketplace, when you went to people go to restaurant have a meal there's alcohol involved there's maybe a dessert that you didn't plan to have appetizers and that kind of thing, Raz I think, I would guess the ticket when you're doing takeout or delivery is much less and you obviously don't get alcohol sales which is where there's a lot of margin but they got to ask a question about that and the cheesecake guy I explained that you don't know it's really. Incremental business so they already have the fixed cost of the kitchen and they viewed it as incremental and they therefore you know yes the margin is lower. Then an end in a dine in guest. But it's incremental margin so you going to help the prophet leave the restaurant so I thought that was an interesting argument you a lot of people that I talk to after. Forecast skeptical about that so and then he did talk about at the Cheesecake Factory. Like 2 years ago they had 8% take out and now it's kind of risen to 12%. [1:03:18] Didn't ever say if this was exclusive because one of these guys do is they will actually kind of order as if their customer and then said their drivers so they don't have to have a you know a relationship with the restaurant so I know GrubHub does that for example so. Part of that 12% is not only doordash but probably all the other delivery guys too and then lasalette said that they said that. 25% of doordash volume is from chains and then. I thought they said the rest was for Independence but I think you took a note and tweeted 5% so. Jason: [1:03:51] No no no. That's a typo in your notes you are exactly right 75%. Scot: [1:03:54] He has a deep restaurant background I think. I think he said his parents are restaurant for sure. Jason: [1:04:06] Is Mom still run the restaurant. Scot: [1:04:07] Yeah but then somewhere in there someone said I think he said his grandparents also had a restaurant I I couldn't tell it maybe his mom is taking over the enrichment videos. You can't came back to his roots and, I'm really understood the restaurant business deeply and then final comment when asked you know there's always competitors out there when asked how they're going to win I thought his answer was pretty clever he said you know we're really just focused on this we're not doing self-driving cars were not doing. [1:04:33] You know building a whole delivery Network that separate were really focus on how do we deliver an amazing dining experience and you know how do we in the he said it was very Amazon way of thinking it out we measure every second. Between when the order comes in and it gets delivered and how do we get the food there hot fresh so I left that you know thinking, here's a guy that's really kind of gets it he understands the customer and he's going to Worcester 500 million so so I felt like he had a pretty good shot at winning and I was excited to see where they take it. Jason: [1:05:04] That I would also argue that he already has a considerably better customer experience than a lot of his competitor so I'd like some of that that focus and Care like is already very evident in in their customer experience. Scot: [1:05:20] Yeah one one example of that was even worrying about you when they deliver the cheesecake from the Cheesecake Factory making sure the slice looks perfect and it hasn't like flipped on its side or getting off stuck around in the container, that's those kind of details that I spent a lot of my day on this site I really appreciated that level of detail that they think about. Jason: [1:05:38] Yeah for sure and I think that I would just you know mention that listeners this is an area to pay attention to the whole food consumption industry is going through major disruption right now and it's really unclear. What the future looks like but you know when the friction to get food restaurant food delivered home is way lower suddenly those restaurants are competing with. What used to be grocery trips when you buy ingredients and make your own dinner and th

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The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP121 - Shoptalk 2018 Recap Part 1

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 22, 2018 73:28


EP121 - Shoptalk 2018 Recap Part 1 ShopTalk is an annual trade show held in Las Vegas focused on retail and e-commerce innovation.  In it's third year, it has become the fastest growing can't miss event in our industry.  This year 8,400 industry professionals attended the event (up from 5,400 last year).  The 2018 version took place March 18-21, 2018 at the Venetian in Las Vegas. There is so much content at the show, that we've divided our recap into two parts.  In Part 1 we cover: Macy's Keynote Target Keynote Amazon Go Keynote Future of Grocery - Moderated by Jason Goldberg Zia Wigner Keynote (Global Chief Content Officer for ShopTalk) Ulta Keynote Nike Keynote Ocado Keynote Pinterest Keynote Fresh Direct Keynote Facebook Keynot Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 121 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Monday, March 19th 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this episode is being recorded on Monday March 19th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scot Wingo. Scot: [0:38] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason Scott show listeners Jason and rare time when we're together and this is actually the second week in a row so pretty exciting where live live live here from the Venetian in Las Vegas. Jason: [0:53] I know I feel like I have won the lottery getting to hang out with you this much. Scot: [0:56] I know you're you're a very lucky man that's all I can say. Show listeners we are we recording this at the end of the day on Monday consumed 2 out of 4 days of content so I can call this the shoptalk halftime show. And the show this year is really dense and we thought it be important to give you guys, real-time update of what we're learning about the show some of the more interesting ass, so that we can kind of have at least have two updates with me actually put a third depending on what kind of content comes out in the next couple days so. Just a quick overview of the show this year it looks like the attendance is about double I think we decided Jason is that right, so I think they're saying somewhere north of 8400 attendees definitely feels like it the show outgrew the Aria and is now at the Venetian, I'm in I guess it used to be called The Sands conference in your butt and now they caught this fancy Palazzo or whatever it is Conference Center. And another thing that's really interesting this year is they've added a couple of new tracks there's there's a grocery talk track which I know is near and dear to your heart so there's this kind of acknowledgement that groceries undergoing digital change really kind of in a bike. Not only that but actually on the show floor and then there's a whole track around Ai and machine learning which is been one of our favorite topics. The the big me coming from the vendor world the show floor is absolutely huge this year last year there was like these little mini meeting room kind of things and this year they went full show room and they've done it I don't know the square footage of that but it is as big as. [2:32] Shoptalk it's as big as shop.org it's his maybe half the size of a retailer I would say. But for a shows for sure you're having an exhibit floor it's pretty impressive I would say that. You know they've done a really good job with that another thing I really like is it under that they've done is a lot of the food and then to get to the general Keynotes you have to walk through the exhibit floor, I and the vendors are well aware of that and they are lined up and ready for ready for action that's who hugs so that's that's interesting and any other kind of, the macro things you want to talk about that you notice this year before we go into the details. Jason: [3:12] I mean just said the one interesting thing the way they were arranged the the exhibit floor is in these sort of subject-matter Pavilion so there's like. AI Pavilion that you know is largely companies focused on a and a grocery Pavilion so if. If you're looking for a particular type of vendor they've sort of Consolidated those all together which I like I think it makes it easier to find relevant stuff. And then. If you're a retailer you could come to the show for free if you agreed to take a certain number of meetings with vendors so the program that other shows have done that I've never seen it done on the scale they've done here so they. Paid for a bunch of retailers to fly here in the end their hotel rooms they arranged a bunch of meetings with vendors and as big as the trade show floor is there's a whole huge back half of the trade show floor, they just all these meeting tables that are like speed dating between exhibitors and vendors and it's it's a little bit like Tinder, the vendor had to say they wanted to meet with this particular retailer in the retailer had to say they want to meet with this particular vendor. Scot: [4:23] Double opt-in. Jason: [4:25] Exactly. Scot: [4:26] Swipe left swipe right. Jason: [4:27] Yeah and so the the BD people for my company we did several those meetings and felt like they were all all valuable in in favorable so. It's approximately. Scot: [4:38] Does that come with the exhibit space or is it kind of separate. Jason: [4:40] Yeah there's a bunch of bundles you could buy that were like this amount of space in this mini meetings. Scot: [4:45] Is there a popular in Europe I know are European Folks at Channel visor participate in these meetings and always felt weird from the US perspective that you were kind of like. Paying for the vendor to meet with you but I. They've always worked worked out pretty well for your PIN folks it's interesting to see them kind of bring that over date they did just do their European show shoptalk I wonder if that's something a best practice they brought over as part of that. Jason: [5:09] Actually it does appear so they did a Europe shoptalk last year and it and they cancel that show so I didn't get to go I assume it wasn't. Quite as well adopted as the u.s. won and now they're calling this the global show and they're trying to get all their European attendees to come here. But you're you're absolutely right like they could have definitely lifted some of those best practices and I frankly I came here a little skeptical about the meetings because. There there were some logistic hiccups weeding up to it like if a vendor opted-in and we opted in but it didn't fit in one of the time slots they had available. I think we bought more meetings than we got so they had to give us some credits back and and not to sound too vain but where. Better known brand than a lot of vendors on that floor so if they struggled give us the meetings we bought you could imagine some smaller lesser-known vendors. Scot: [6:03] But it seems like the space was constrained not the demand. Jason: [6:07] Exactly yeah and then like once we got here it sounds like it went real well so agree with you like this feels like one of the few shows in our space that's vibrant and growing. Scot: [6:19] Yeah yeah and that's what sticking to some of the content highlights I got in late Sunday night super late and then you were here all day so why don't you could get off and tell us some of the highlights from Sunday. Jason: [6:30] So I am in back taking residency here in Las Vegas I'm here for 16 days. In the hotel room that you and I are sitting in right now so that's a new experience for me and Sunday night had some good key notes that I was looking forward to hearing the first one was Jeff can that who's the CEO of Macy's. And so he was talking about some of their progress they had their first. Favorable quarter and I want to say like 11 consecutive quarters and and so you know he was very optimistic that that they're there. Turn around program that they called the North Star is starting to work since we talked about a couple of the the upcoming initiatives they have a program they're calling growth 50 which is essentially. They selected these 50 Macy's store. The Dare going to. Put all of their best practices and capex investments into in 2018 in the idea is to see which of those things work best and deploy them into all there the rest of the Macy's Fleet in 2019. So it'll be interesting to figure out what those 50 stores are and keep an eye on them. Scot: [7:40] What does 50 stores are and keep an eye on them and it goes Herald Square. Jason: [7:45] Seems to be somewhat shocking of that was not one of them. Scot: [7:48] Does that mean like the giving up on the other 50 is at Macy's shutting stores. Jason: [7:54] Closed a bunch of stores but they're still in business will check me on this but I don't want to say that it's going to be like 2000 store so that it's still a lot of stores and what you don't do is just. Do a bunch of expensive things and I'll mm hope they work so so picking 50 stores as Pilots kind of makes sense. Scot: [8:11] , complex offline av-test. Jason: [8:14] Yeah as we caught a match Panel test actually but that's sort of the original Navy test. So that's interesting they announced that they are deploying mobile scan & go check out to all their stores by the end of 2018 so what that means is. You've installed at Macy's mobile app you you scan the items you want to buy. For it on the mobile app and you walk out without ever having to get in the checkout line if there's loss prevention tags on the apparel which there is on a lot of the apparel. You have to walk by a security desk show on a digital barcode on your on your phone and they'll remove your tags but that potentially eliminate. What date Macy says is the number one complaint about Macy's which is hard to find a cashier or too long a wait in line. So they were they were pretty bullish on that. Scot: [9:13] Surfin you're doing that or that's just like part of their point of sale and stuff. Jason: [9:16] They did not disclose that they were partnering with the vendor to do it it seems like something they built or not ganic Lee you are you are absolutely right there are third-party vendors that you can hire to facilitate that for you but. I somewhat suspect that Macy's is not using a third-party to implement it another one that was interesting to me and I haven't seen the meteor really pick up on this year. But he talked about their desire to clean up their promotional calendar and. Scot: [9:43] Sounds familiar. Jason: [9:44] That's retail code for we want to get away from all of the crazy promotions were doing and he specifically said we want to eliminate the need for a Shoppers to do quote on quote Macy's math. To figure out how to get the best deal. Scot: [10:01] This is longtime listeners will know this is kinda killed JCPenney right. Jason: [10:04] Even more more funny it it absolutely kills Ron Johnson's 10-year JCPenney they were highly promotional he tried to dramatically clean up their promotional calendar and. Just didn't work. A time a lot of us criticize Ron Johnson because we were pointing out that retailers like Macy's had tried this in the past and it didn't work for them so it's even more ironic. That Macy's that has frankly past experience trying to move away from from promotional pricing models is going back to it and we we talked on listener question shows about the fact that. Everyday low prices seems like the future pricing and because of transparency these promotions aren't as appealing as they once were. But it's really hard to shift once you have a customer base that used to promotional pricing. Scot: [10:53] Now so Terry Lundgren so he is transition. His big thing was to add that discount store inside of Macy's but I didn't hear you saying about that is that stole, is that the kind of makes sense if your have this discount like Dollar Store jammed inside of Macy's or TJ Maxx is probably more appropriate analogy then I think it does make sense to then you could have at least kind of a, a way of balancing out the promotional things is that still tragedy but or or is that off the table. Jason: [11:21] I I think that still is a strategy Macy still does have these off-price stores that I think the most Perfect Analogy is that are you notice or to Nordstrom Rack equivalent but they were mentioned it all in the keno. So either you like they didn't double down on it or say they're moving away from it you can interpret moving waste and promotional calendar that you know they're there. Trying to Jack the margins up in the main line Macy's stores but you're exactly right like they could be to differentiate it from the discount concept Moore, so we'll have to see how that plays out the next keynote was Target so this is Brian Cornell is the CEO of Target there another retailer that you could kind of say is in the midst of. Turnaround strategy and he spent he did a couple interesting things about his was a little more. West tactical in the Macy's keno and he talked a lot about. The their migration to digital and how they've embraced digital and he he talked about this he didn't called The innovator's Dilemma. That's essentially what it is he's like you know there's this natural inclination when you have all these stores in the stores are profitable in these new shopping behaviors come in to say you like why would I ever invest things that discourage. Customers from going to the store that that's just your natural instinct. And he claimed that like Target had overcome that instinct and was now short of embracing. [12:55] Digital and they were largely converting the stores in to fulfillment hubs and that they they ship something like 70% of all their eCommerce orders from the store. Brought on stage with in the CEO of shipped which is a logistics company they just bought. You said that they bought them specifically because they wanted to be the first national retailer to offer same-day delivery in all markets. Scot: [13:19] And then just last week they announced they're growing that out and more stores. Jason: [13:24] So I think their intention is to get eventually get it in all stores that are also experimenting with curbside pickup which we've talked a lot about here. So a lot of interesting things there and then he pivoted to another topic that I think is going to be very common this year which is there they're doubling down and reinvestment in owned brands. And this used to be the thing we call private label the the purple an hour when they talk about own brand they're talking about Brands they created offense. That in some cases they even sell it other other channels of distribution I'm so potentially sell on Amazon. And target has been very successful own brand they're also talking about brand exclusives so we'll sell stuff from National Brands but. Excuse that are only available in our store and will sell limited edition stuff so the stuff you know that there's a constrained Supply Target some what famous for that with promotions they've done for people with Lilly Pulitzer in others. So that is one of their big plays that's most retailers big play against Amazon has to sell stuff that Amazon can't sell. So that was kind of his big talking points. Scot: [14:42] So I know they room essentials is there like furniture brand and then what is a jack and. Kids one cat jacket are there any examples where they sold those other places. Jason: [14:59] So I haven't as Machine Target sell their own brands in other places. Scot: [15:04] Costco has. Jason: [15:06] Costco very famous he does there's more Kirkland on on sold on Amazon than on Costco.com I think. Scot: [15:12] Yeah but there are other. Jason: [15:15] I'm trying to remember if Target invested in or owns method but method is sold elsewhere so there's. Scot: [15:20] I swear Dakota velvet with that a designer Michael Graves Sr. Do one of our interns to research them. Jason: [15:28] Yeah yeah yeah let me know how that works out for you so that was an interesting keynote and then. Sort of the perfect transition the third keynote on Sunday night was to VPS from Amazon that are responsible for the Amazon go store so this is Gianna Parini. Responsible for who started the. The business leader for Amazon go and then dilip Kumar who's responsible for all the technology used in the Amazon go store and is also responsible for the Amazon bookstore. So the very first thing they did which was just I thought hysterical after both. Target and Macy's had mentioned kind of Scan & Go. Amazon of course came on and threw shade at what a pain in the neck skin and go is and how we really built the store just because customers don't want to have to scan each item as their. As their shopping. Scot: [16:29] Is that a learning from the book store cuz that's how the bookstore model works. Jason: [16:33] Yeah well I don't know specifically I mean. Scot: [16:35] Typically the kind of throwing shade at the bookstore. Jason: [16:38] Yeah and I would argue the bookstore is in many ways the worst version because you like literally can't find out the price without. Scot: [16:44] Face can't even find a price there's more scanning you would even get it at Macy's. Jason: [16:48] I told you it was not a very hostile interview so let me just say that question was not asked. Either of them but it was a little bit funny this was the keynote I was most looking forward to Amazon Prime now was at the show last year and I felt like. They shared a lot of new information about the prime now program that they least I wasn't previously aware of. It was less through this time so I didn't do was not a lot of like major new disclosures normally trying to figure out his. How to get a roll go out to more stores are you getting to put it in Whole Foods your new announcements like that at this it is Keynote. They did talk about what some of the best sellers in the store was and apparently there's this chicken sandwich that's been there Perpetual number one seller but it is a lot of food stuff so that Amazon makes their own meal kits in that store in the doors are top sellers. Fresh fruit is a top seller there's an odd thing about Amazon and fresh fruit. This store is in the corporate headquarters in this corporate headquarters Amazon has way less employee amenities than almost any other big company. So the rare amenity that that Amazon liked out a lot is. Did they give free bananas to all the employees and apparently this has killed the market for bananas in downtown Seattle. The smoothie shops used to charge to put bananas in the Smoothie now they let you bring your own smoothie your own bananas in to put in a smoothie because everyone in downtown Seattle gets free bananas from Amazon. Scot: [18:22] Does the banana thing so when Prime took on Arrested Development there was a big. What is running jokes I'm not a huge Arrested Development person but there's a banana stand thing in there and I think they started it as kind of like to celebrate that it's kind of kept going is that is that true or did I make that up in my head. What decimal burx Amazonian Institute election. Jason: [18:43] Or just is this odd fruit thing with Amazon so then I found it funny that like this. The store which is largely the employee cafeteria is really what the Amazon go store is the number one seller is fruit so it made me wonder if they're going to stop by the bananas. They can monetize the bananas in the ghost. Scot: [19:00] How we don't sell a lot of bananas in the guest room. Jason: [19:03] No I imagine that it's fresh fruit other than bananas but there were a couple other interesting things so delete was talking about like. The ghost are we talked about a lot it's based on. Very Advanced machine learning around computer vision so this is mostly done with cameras and the interviewer asked why they chose cameras there all these examples in Europe in elsewhere of people trying to do similar concept with RFID tags. And they they felt like aspirationally a store model where they have to constantly apply tags and sensors to all the Shelf some product. Wasn't very interesting to them they felt like that the much more scalable long-term solution was to invent this computer vision model. Scot: [19:49] Now I know you're very passionate about RFID tags how do you feel about that. Jason: [19:52] I think he's right I think RFID tags are item level RFID tags for products in a store. Is a pain in the neck and unless we get to this thing called Source tagging where all the manufacturers put the RFID tag on in the factory it's it's never going to take off. Scot: [20:09] Can you do RF IDs for like a fruit and stuff. Jason: [20:13] Potentially yes so at the moment. Scot: [20:15] Yeah at the moment. Jason: [20:19] Yeah it there's a man. Scot: [20:21] RFID on my app. Jason: [20:22] So there's a sticker on every one of your apples now and that sticker could essentially be an RFID tag. That sounds like a Farfetch'd example like there's an argument in the future of food that you're going to want to know a lot more about that Apple before you buy it like how many, days ago was picked and all these other things and so like you you could imagine them wanting a tag each individual apple for a variety of reasons. All that aside it was just interesting to hear them talk about how they debated tags versus cameras and went with the cameras. Scot: [20:55] Another nice thing with with cameras is once you get on digital then more law should kick in where RFID tags rising to this manual. Process that is not going to change the scale and will always be subject to let you have a robot that can put the tags on her which. Jason: [21:12] What kind of software vs. Hardware really like an unlike General lease offers I have a lot more profitable because as as you scale at the the normal cost is very well. Scot: [21:22] Yeah then you have the the nurse's other acceleration I don't know so Moore's logic we all understand that you don't processing power gets doubled every two years but then, you know I wonder if there's some correlated to that with machine learning like the system get smarter every X things that sees Pride another there's some pretty interesting thing there that also is. Jason: [21:43] Yeah I mean there's a couple examples of that like the the. Accuracy of computer vision which is this specific subset of artificial intelligence this towards using has been improving faster than more as wise as a noun yeah. Scot: [21:56] You think it would yeah and then I hit some kind of like. Jason: [22:00] Resume wait I had some flat toe because it's unlike chips which could always get faster at some point your computer Visions perfect. Scot: [22:09] How do they tell like a chicken sandwich in a tuna sandwich but do they have to put different containers on it to help her. Jason: [22:16] So that was a good question that wasn't asked but there was a similar one that was kind of interesting so because there no sensors on on the items the camera has to recognize every skew in the reporter said like. Do you struggle the tell sugar-free Red Bull from regular red bull. And he's like yes we do it right like that those are the the the really difficult edge cases and I thought about that before they like different flavors or or subtle differences your chicken versus tuna sandwich being up in exacerbated version of that. Would be really hard and then he pointed out of part of the problem I haven't considered before. Not only do we need to tell sugar-free Red Bull from regular red bull the moment when we need to tell them is the exact moment when you picked it up and probably block the word sugar-free with your thumb. And so those sort of obfuscate abused that they get is obstructed views they get in the product is also a pretty tricky problem. Scot: [23:12] No Amazon in kind of the play but they've done with frustration free packaging you can almost see them going back to the manufacturing kind of having you know, air visionfriendly packaging where you make this one purple in this one yellow or something other than a small kind of text word for sugar. Jason: [23:29] And you've hit on one of the reasons like this works for ghost or the potential and other things everyone keeps calling at the ghost or a more accurate turn might be Go restaurant because they're actually is a big kitchen in the majority where they sell is food that is prepared. In that store and search your point they can solve their own problem by using square boxes for the chicken and round boxes for the tuna or whatever whatever they want to do. A minority of the skews in the store are National Brands so for their own Brands they can make the packaging distinctive enough. It does have that problem where has much harder to do a whole food store or something like that. Scot: [24:11] Wonder if they could even do have seen some examples this in retail, I want to take an overlay some kind of a machine readable but not human-readable thing on the packaging to write so the chicken in the tuna come in the same package but the machine can see maybe the UV level or something you know that something that very clearly you know, 2 blinking circles versus a red boxer and things in. Jason: [24:35] They can build cameras that seen in the infrared Spectrum or something like that yeah absolutely not discussed but interesting things to think about. Scot: [24:41] Did they talk about when they first launched we did a deep dive on that the. They had a room right there in the store where people were kind of like both checking the AI and then also you know I'm sure they are kicks out and says does not compute and there's some air right there in a human has to go, like figure it out. Do they talk about that at all but the air raid and. Jason: [25:04] Omelette no only very indirectly so they did not talk about how well the machine learning the Machine Vision is working or the Air Raids they were asked how many employees work in the store for any Dodge that question 2. She talked about. Three big classes of employees that they're like you seen how you been to the store you seen how many people are in the kitchen you seeing how many people on the floor helping and you've seen how many orange shirts there are. An orange shirt is if you been to the store is code for these employees that are working in the back room looking at the video displays and training the AI in so the implication was there still. An army of orange shirts watching a lot of people shopping and refining though I'll grow them. Scot: [25:54] It's a nurse and they don't use Mechanical Turk for that because I'm a janaz be real time so after like you. Jason: [26:00] Videos welcome to the store I bet you that video isn't like it was in real time going I mean it's a lot of cameras so even even Amazon would like love the 8 of us bills for doing that. [26:12] So that was interesting I would have like to hear some. Scot: [26:14] I'd like to hear some way you should have been the interviewer on that one but Amazon negotiates these things very carefully so I imagine there's a reason so that things didn't go to where we would like to see. Jason: [26:27] And then the only other thing that kind of came up with a bit that was interesting to me. Scot: [26:29] I put a bet that was interesting to me as they did talk about. Jason: [26:32] They did talk about the fact that. You have to have an app to be in the store cuz you you have to have the go app to register you so to walk through like a Subway turnstile to get in in one of the. The peripheral benefits of that is did they allow Shopper feedback to be given real time in the. And so unlike almost any other store went to Shoppers in the middle of the shopping experience and something doesn't go how the Shopper wants they can in real time. Give feedback and that feel it feedback is tagged with a contact that Choppers in so that shows she said that that's been a surprisingly valuable. Data stream for them to improve their operations in the store which. Scot: [27:19] You are using beacons they know where you are too or that the machine that visual stuff are knows where you are better than any bacon they don't. Jason: [27:25] Visually light and again it's a tiny store so I you're in front of one of three gondolas so like so it's like probably tagged with with that kind of contact information. Scot: [27:35] Now Jason Delray overtree code that you Commerce reporter he is kind of heard rumors are dug up some some data that indicates there's a plan to open for 5 more the stores and then did they talk about Whole Foods at all. Jason: [27:49] Only in that context that they said they have no intention of deploying this Whole Foods right now and said two ways to introduce. Usually win on Amazon and play emphatically says they have no intention of doing something you should sort of assumed they're going to do it right like because they have no intention of offering a shipping service they have. There's a lot of history of them denying something right up until the moment they do it in this case I think there's a lot of logistical reasons that Amazon go dozen. Legacy Whole Foods Fleet of stores particularly well so I sort of do believe them. Scot: [28:27] Let's talk about this I think it's interesting so why why doesn't it work in a Whole Foods is it just the cost or what. Jason: [28:32] So in this very smart 2000 square foot store there's more than 50 cameras to make sure that they have complete coverage on the store and. What they need to do is from the time you walk through that Subway turnstile they have to maintain line of sight on you at all times and have to maintain line of sight on every skew in that store. I'm so there can't be any blind spots where no camera can see you in there camping spots where every camera in the store loses track of you momentarily because then even when they saw you again. They don't know that you're the same person that had the app when you walked in the store right so this store was designed from the ground up. The perfect lines of sight it's a very boring square store with no displays in the middle of the store in a traditional store you have this thing. And those Donna was in the aisle obstruct your ability to see certain angles you have lots of displays that. You know for fruit and things that like tree blind spots in the store you have vendor provided displays that aren't even provided by Whole Foods that block lines of sight in the store. The amount of cameras you would need to eliminate every blind spot in a 25000 square foot Whole Foods is. Almost mind-boggling and then you still have another problem you can't let a customer go into an elevator where they wouldn't be on a camera you can't let a customer to go to a bathroom there's a whole host of things that you know just taking off. [30:06] The Whole Food stores that are D exist and retrofitting them with this technology doesn't feel very likely to meet could they build new Whole Food stores. They're intended to be more compatible with this yes could they use this technology in The Limited ways in that whole food could they use this technology to make you not have to get your wallet out when you pay and just charge your Amazon account. Scot: [30:29] Or the most popular part of a Whole Foods is the prepared section in a lot people just go and have lunch at Whole Foods so you could see I'm kind of like yeah. Jason: [30:36] Panda Express portion you can have an Amazon go store inside of the the Whole Foods or for sure. Scot: [30:43] I bet that's kind of what he's hitting at because he said he also said something like stay tuned yeah we have no plans to put in Whole Foods but stay tuned with a lot of people took to mean either there an open more stores are there was some plan to do something at Whole Foods it's kind of like different than the question. Jason: [30:57] And to me the most valuable thing that you can do with this computer vision that they could very easily do it at Whole Foods is just putting the camera at forget tracking the customer. Just putting the camera to see the shelf and to accurately track the inventory on the Shelf is hugely valuable. For the store stores are have very poor inventory and they spend a lot of money to maintain that poor inventory and leveraging the computer vision system to have more actor and inventory. That alone could be super valuable to Whole Foods. Scot: [31:32] That's the really bad part of the delivery so I'm a big instacart I've tried I use them all over it regularly now because because it's a maintained DC, so you're having cameras that then watch them and Tori and see the last apples been picked by in-store customer so that me the delivery customer. Or that apple and then get a stock-out you know that you're some really big wins on all side of the equation there I think you're right that's it. Jason: [31:58] Absolutely and I think that's going to come up again and some of the other Keynotes we're going to talk about as well. Scot: [32:03] Cool so that any other highlights from Sunday you don't hit any crazy off the hook parties where you were dancing on the table. Jason: [32:09] None that I'm contractually allowed to talk about. Scot: [32:12] Or that you recall that takes us to Monday and then I got in late late late Sunday night so I was able to hit some stuff Monday, the way it works this morning is you had two tracks in the way they're running these tracks as there's five parallel tracks as a, 20/20 build these events and always frustrate people that that event planners do this but they do it for a reason it's designed so that you'll bring, five people you in for friends from your company so and then they there they're very somatic this year I don't remember being as the Mac last year so they're there was a grocery track for example. I was, I attended the first track it was really interesting it was about Brands as in the grocery track that could have been anywhere and there was a VC there that invest in kind of nascent brands. Consumer Brands 7-Eleven was there and and then another investor of his rule was entirely clear to me but he's really all about subscription kind of products. I think there is when we hit on the show a lot where, you notes create a brand used to be like a PNG level event where you would have to go spend $92 to kind of say here's this idea for a swifter and it can be this or going to watch on TV with a 50 million dollar campaign to do the Super Bowl ad now, the world is swimming in Brands and in fact this panel was there so many Brands out there that, everyone's really struggling to kind of like figure it out one of the more interesting things I thought you would like is you know the interviewer has 7-Eleven is all this digitally need a vertical band saw it bother you that she said no it's great because. [33:50] Those companies you know once they get to certain scale we know they, control like it's when I have to test it in our store and then we can help them because most times if they're doing well digitally against the cpg they're selling cases and large volumes, they can help them a lot with itches and how to how do you single serve package these things and they talked about some they give a case that they wouldn't say the name of the brand, kind of the vibe it was. They are buyer how he said that one that they had a lot of insights Wednesday packaged it at 7-Eleven it did really well because the, the consumer they picked up a whole nother set of consumer because, there's folks that wanted to try it and they also wanted it served cold for their commute back home were or what not so it's really interesting kind of things there of they actually view the digitally native thing very positively because it actually kind of, you know already jumped the hurdle didn't have to build the brand in their stores pre-built and it made it easy for them to cherry-pick it down into the storm, then track two came along and that was your tracking for today I had a meeting and had to miss it but tell us about what you talked about. Jason: [34:56] So you made an excuse not to not to support. Scot: [34:58] Well I figured we would talk on the podcast I don't want to spoil it. Jason: [35:02] Got it okay fair enough so I did one of the the panels in the grocery track in this was called sort of. The future of grocery our grocery Reinventing itself until I had three panelists the first was. Kind bars and so that was a Jared who's the VP of e-commerce there and and this is a very. Interesting traditional case for me that's a traditional. Cpg brand that that mix products and very successfully sells them through wholesale so kind bars are you not very successful there in every Starbucks store and a Whole Foods and Amazon, and they hired Jared and experience e-commerce gaido launch their direct-to-consumer offering. And we talked a lot of brands that are interested in doing that in the big question is always why would a consumer want to buy from you cuz generally. You have the worst with just sticks in you're the worst price for your product and so it's interesting to hear kinds of you about that. The a big component is. Assortment so they're offering exclusive flavors and skews that the wholesale Channel. Doesn't want to carry or is out of our limited editions their heavily relying on a subscription program that a lot of the wholesale Channel doesn't offer and they feel like they have. Unique brand promise and there's a subset of the kind consumers that buy into the be kinder to each other. [36:41] Serta brand ethos in want to buy from the brand even though they're not going to have as good of a Justice or prices Amazon. Scot: [36:50] Yep I think kind is one of these, classic examples of a new newer brand that's really kind of leveraging that assortment packaging everywhere you go it's different from a consumer sometimes it's like frustrating because you want to go to Costco and my wife likes a certain one and then, either can't find it at one of the wholesale clubs are bundled with like some really crappy flavor you're not going to eat so there is very clever on the brand side but but I do think sometimes, be a little too clever on some of that stuff that makes it really hard from a consumer to get what you want. Jason: [37:20] And I feel like there's a bunch of brands that think they have that position with a consumer and they really don't kind I think probably does sit in the next episode. Scot: [37:30] Did they say how much as directed like do they give you any indication is that like 5-10 15% of their business. Jason: [37:35] They didn't but I I suspected the last than that right now it's it's it's it sounds like meaningful Revenue but it's still pretty nascent compared to their wholesale Revenue. So I would imagine it's it's south of 1% of their other two other total sales at the moment. The next company with Chef which that spelled Chef apostrophe D and they are. And some meal kids are at sort of an interesting part of the grocery echo system at the moment. A lot of people that think it's a fat and then it's not really going to be a thing or a lot of people think it's the future shopping whenever you say meal kids Denny when they immediately think of blue apron and Blue Apron famously. Has like apparently no business plan to ever be profitable. Scot: [38:27] But earlier go sits when their top sellers right now so I'm in there Snoop the Timbers like these things. Jason: [38:32] And shut his actual interesting that they do offer their own meal kits but what they mostly are. Form from young cats so they're actually the private label provider for a lot of grocery stores that are now offering their own meal kits and they have a lot of Big Brand Partnerships to offer Brandon meal kit so I, Campbell's is a major investor in Chef for example. Inside there you know there are so so that was interesting he had a lot of. Understanding and familiarity with that market. He talked a lot about the pros and cons of home delivery of meal Kids versus grocery store pick up a meal kits and the two takeaways I I had from his his. That were kind of new to me. She's very anti subscription in meal kits and he thinks that you know he's a fundamental flaw with most of these meal kits and most notably Blue Apron is you cantilever a meal and then reorder which is exactly opposite of how most of us. What are the spines in particular things we like and we repeat those over and over again. And he also believes that we all need a lot more personalization than the mule. Currently allow and so a big part of their platform is an infrastructure that allows highly personalized male cats and he eventually envisions. The distance can be highly personalized even. In the store on demand so you can get the the spaghetti with a lot of garlic or a little garlic and a lot of onions are all those all those sorts of. Scot: [40:09] And deserve their delivery remix. Jason: [40:15] They do have a a chef branded meal kit that they delivered recta home but mostly what they. Scot: [40:21] On demand not subscriptions. Jason: [40:25] Mostly what they do is facilitate a regional grocery store offering their own meal kit or someone else selling a meal kit through grocery store so it sounds like more of their stuff is in store pickup meal kids then home delivery. Scot: [40:39] And my regional it kind of makes it seem like they haven't cracked into the top five or six big guys is not like a Kroger or Harris. Jason: [40:45] So I think there is. I think it is pot like he was not completely transparent about who is Partners were so it's possible that he is white labeling for a big one and that part of their agreement is that they that they don't disclose that. , number of the big ones at this point now own their own meal. Scot: [41:03] So Safeway bought I can't remember who. Jason: [41:06] Albertsons bought placed plated plated thank you. Which is one of the biggest wins in history of Shark Tank by the way fun story there but so some of these guys out on their own Walmart owns their own. For just bought one car for the second largest retailer in the world they just bought one this week so. The market for the really big guys is probably smaller it wouldn't surprise me if they secretly have one but he certainly din-din disclose. Scot: [41:35] I feel like musical chairs and some you don't want me the guy off without a chair and then the meal world have their own meal than his distribution mechanism is like maybe some A&P. Jason: [41:48] Exactly so that was interesting and then the third panelist is this company I was also not familiar with call Daily Harvest and Daily Harvest I decided that milk it sounded too easy so they decided to do something. Scot: [42:03] Getting harder. Jason: [42:05] We're going to do direct-to-consumer home delivery of frozen foods. And so there's a strong. Scot: [42:14] Prison meals are like blueberries so I can make a smoothie. Jason: [42:18] Yeah so smoothie kits I think is the thing the best-known. Scot: [42:21] I think it's the thing the best known for so all the. Jason: [42:23] Show all the frozen fruit you need to make a smoothie but also like not not so much like complete frozen meals but like frozen fruit and produce that you might. I'm using a meal they seem very focused on. A lot of the altruistic we need to solve a lot of the problems in the food chain or we're all going to die of starvation kind of thing they talked about what you'd foodways there is in the world and how Frozen is a great solution to a lot of food ways. Throw away a lot of fruit just because it doesn't look perfect and nobody wants to put it in their fruit bin in the grocery store so what's what the industry calls ugly fruits and apparently when you freeze it and no longer matters that that fruit didn't love. Beautiful so. The bruised Apple tastes exactly like the regular Apple a lot of famous restaurants now try to primarily use ugli fruit. They're trying to turn around this trend of throwing away all this fruit that has cosmetic damage and so is interesting that they're they're trying to leverage ugly fruit as a big part of the next there's also this. Scot: [43:32] Ugly frozen fruit. Jason: [43:36] And another one was this concept that I never heard of called transitional organic. Say you're a traditional farm and you transition to becoming an organic farm you have to adopt a bunch of organic processes but then you can't sell your food as organic until you've been following the those processes for a number of years. Writer so there's a bunch of farmers that are in Linda where they're paying all the expenses of. Producing things in organic way but because they're only two years into their through your program that they're not allowed to call their product Organa. And so so she's buying a lot of this transitional organic. Products so that that was somewhat interesting and then because it's frozen and they've invested a lot in the technology to pack the Frozen stuff in dry ice and ship it through common carriers like FedEx and UPS. They're able to deliver nutritious food to a lot of places in the country that don't have convenient access to grocery store so we have a lot of these. Areas we call Food deserts that they're able to cater to so so that was somewhat interesting but they had to. Scot: [44:50] Ugly frozen food to food desert that's the fish. Jason: [44:56] They were able to raise money on it so. There's a investor for everything. But it was interesting thinking about all these complicated with Justice of the cold chain and. Yeah so hats off. Talk to her and if you think about it if each of these things are popular they just wrapped up portion of the traditional grocery business right so you know she pointed out the the. The Frozen I always the Wiest appealing part of a grocery store and that it discourages interaction with the product and I'll and all of these sorts of problems, and by the way you buy this Frozen stuff and then you throw it in the trunk of your car and it's not frozen by the time you get it home so. So if she's successful in direct-to-consumer with Frozen that potentially takes to rose out of the grocery store the meal kits potentially, take a lot of the individual ingredient shopping that happens today so so some interesting things thinking about how groceries Reinventing itself. Scot: [45:58] Absolutely cool so after that after Jason second track there, then we went into the Keynotes so kicking off the show kind of the the opening keynote if you will, which kind of strange I think they realize that a lot of people come in Monday or Sunday zo winter who puts together all the content for shoptalk kicked it off, I thought I was a pretty good good kind of Esprit shortest like 5 minutes but the summary was you nowhere in The New Normal which is kind of you know, in in 15 and 16 and 17 we had all this disruption going on and when you're in the middle of it you figure it's going to be. You'll go back to the old normal but they have that never happens and then she called The New Normal and abnormal is essentially where, I know you're not really reacting to disruptive innovation it's just you've adopted it and said this is going to be happening going forward so she really kind of had two pieces to it for predictions, where we going to go and Retail and you can tell this that shapes the content obviously, the number one back in technology will create new efficiencies in expectations number to Shoppers will come to expect experiences that are Cutting Edge today I kind of took that to mean yeah once Amazon sets the bar at, today one day just walk out than the customers tend to expect that I called a zero friction it's pretty interesting, human thing I'm Number 3 start up some traditional businesses or more line where I think we're seeing that you know we just talked about several is very very big trending in our industry be a grocery retail where you have kind of the you know the. [47:29] Analog dinosaur acquiring the digital DNA and smashing it together to create a new kind of, no I was using her language a new normal kind of combination. And then a wide range of new consumer product to hit the mainstream in this is kind of what was in the first panel where the cost to build a new consumer product is effectively gone down to zero and now you're going to see this huge swath of new products, your micro products micro kind of tribes that they appeal to and then she said those predictions field 7 trends, I never won the rise of Miss France number to the growth of experiential retail, we had a show in the can where will have some really interesting kind of examples of that and then the next keynote talk a lot about that, store associate will not go away but change what they do there so I can becoming an orange shirt or between prep and so check out and in the go example cashier list check out as a big thing automation to the warehouse, more transparent Supply chains in this goes to there's a lot of concern around food safety in that kind of thing, a lot of people talk about blockchain there I think there's a couple talks around that coming up in an explosion of AI machine learning. So after after yeah we went right into office of the CEO of Ulta was there and I don't know if it even some of these. These Keynotes they seem really interesting but then like there's kind of. People 20 minutes so you can't get into much detail and then the format seems to be show a video about the company. [48:59] Talk about some high-level stuff most people are dino and then talk a little bit about, diversity and maybe the company's culture seems to be the kind of formula you lived up to that expectation couple points that they hit on, and we talked about on the show this kind of your beauty is an area that's doing really well and, then why you know she said they're 90% off Mall property so they were smart to be off ma that three different shaders the real estate location which is off Mall product mix and services, and then talk about the benefit of the Loyalty program they have 28. Million members in that program and it represents 90% of their sales, and the other day it's pretty integrated between online and offline so it's omni-channel loyalty program and then the other day she talked about the consumer changing this is interesting you know she talked about, gender fluidity and now that actually helps them so now you have more and more people wearing makeup regardless of their gender and it used to be all these social things around you then wouldn't wear makeup you and I wear makeup because, podcast but now the so you know it's okay. Jason: [50:08] We're actually thinking about launching our own line of podcast. Scot: [50:10] The Chase, spoiler alert, forward facing cameras at selfies has really helped all these Beauty companies cuz now people take more pictures of themselves and they want to look good for those she didn't mention that those with a freebie that will throw in there. The you know. Today's consumer wants a personalized convenient experience I'm certainly living that with my new company where convenience is everything for folks and then personalized as well. Nothing I thought was interesting to see where she broke the script a little bit she went out on a limb and really said that they know is in her she paid homage and she's talking about we couldn't do this without our Partnerships with Google Google Express Facebook and then Spruce labs, I end up that was interesting that you went to Old diversity thing which was good you know that they have. Have a board that has over 50% women which is great and then officers in the company are over 60% so makes a ton of sense you know you know kind of, older middle-aged white dude song makeup doesn't make a ton of sense and I think this is a great example of both aligning with your customer and then also having really good diverse kind of input in the company to make it better, then how the Nike net was up so would you take from that one. Jason: [51:33] So that this was Adam Sussman who's the chief digital officer at Nike I think he's really tripping you in that really don't think Nikki's had a cheap digital out. Scot: [51:41] He said he was the first. Jason: [51:43] And so the heater is it Nike. When they spend a lot of time talking about was their membership program so they they have a thing they called Nike Plus Membership. And they probably have over a hundred million current members they want that to be 500 million in the next five years those members Ben Forex what non-member spend. And there's a number of specific experiences they have in the membership program that have even more dramatic conversion results so is interesting. I would have said that the general Trend in in Welty was that. The effectiveness of loyalty programs is kind of a roading in here we had to back-to-back key notes that were saying how successful their their membership programs are so I found that interesting. He also talked about their conversational Commerce initiative which is launching so this is called. Hertz on demand and you can use the Nike apps to have a text chat with a Nike brand expert that will give you advice and so you know. You mentioned that you get your running shoe advice from attend time Marathon winner. Probably doesn't want to be giving me advice about running shoes but but that's interesting in a bunch of the the conversational Commerce vendors that. At at the show were thrilled to hear him him supporting that experience personally I think the jury still out on. [53:17] Particular chat base conversational Commerce I'm not sure if Facebook's gotten all that the traction that they were they were hoping to get but but it's still early so we'll see. And then they did talk a lot like his corporate videos. Nikes done some really interesting product launches so that you know Justin Timberlake debuted a new Air Jordan Super Bowl. And they made that available for purchase through their sneaker app like the second he walked off stage and it's sold out instantly a month later the next version of that screw came out and they launched it on Snapchat with a. I really enjoy Innovative kind of want Commerce experience and you know he didn't explicitly call this out but one interesting point. Used to be that they would watch all these products through their wholesale partners and people like Footlocker would sell these and kids with a line up in the mall. And now he's talking about all these Innovative direct-to-consumer experiences that are owned by Nike. And the drink late relationship Nike has with his hundred million users in their Affinity program so to me Nikes really the poster child for someone that's transitioning from. Predominantly wholesale to the majority of their sales but but predominantly direct-to-consumer from experience stand for. Scot: [54:35] Yep sidebar I don't know if you fall or not but the average several Wall Street reports that to the shoe guys are really having a first company of tough, 2018 I don't know if if it's because they're losing a lot of these launches or what's going on but you're trying to see kind of the cause sneaker fatigue with with. That model seems like it would never run out but it looks like. The average Sneakerhead has X number of shoes that really interested in watches yet Brands like Nike moving that away from retail that could be sneakers have been kind of sustaining through them the retail apocalypse mall again so bit interesting to see if maybe the steps over. Jason: [55:09] Yeah yeah I think of the inside tip. The thing that sneakers need to save them now is much wider angle front facing cameras on that smartphone because the moment you can't see your feet in the selfie. Scot: [55:21] Yeah. Jason: [55:25] So the next keynote I think I was the only one that said in on so I think everyone left after Nike but I was really interested in this next keynote this is Tim Stein or who's the founder and CEO of a company that. To her listeners that probably heard of called a Cato Cato is a uk-based. To Consumer grocery store so you order online they have fulfillment centers they they deliver the groceries to your home. And there are quite successful they sell the equivalent of 2 billion dollars a year in groceries direct-to-consumer. Is we talk about an issue and UK 6% of all grocery sales are are digital where is here were less than 1% to. So I was super interested there that the digital pure-play grocery retailer in one of the most successful markets in the world. Scot: [56:16] Scot to be part of the UK but aren't there like I know our folks in UK almost they have like six people they can choose from that and some of her like Marks & Spencer. Jason: [56:26] Grocery stores all out for some Marks & Spencer Tesco as though which is Walmart in the UK car for they they all offer. Scot: [56:34] Is the only Pure Play. Jason: [56:35] Yeah but these this is the Pure Play and these guys are bigger digitally than any of those those other companies so it would be a little bit like what a Peapod sold more groceries then Kroger. Scot: [56:50] Amazon has a big mouth for Walmart. Jason: [56:53] And I don't know what their ownership structure is it if they're in play or not those are interesting questions but he talked a lot about. The benefits of. Being a pure being built from the ground-up to deliver groceries versus being a retailer trying to transition to groceries so, I have talked a lot on the show about how I think curbside pickup is the ultimate winner in this space and largely because it's something that traditional grocery stores can do and so we have this concept in the industry called store pic, and that's what the traditional grocery stores have decided to do is will will pay our employee to pick all the groceries instead of the customer picking it. And then we'll make it convenient for the customer to get those that store picked order and so he like very self-serving lie but with some credibility. Talking about how he doesn't think store pick can work in the long run and how these. From the ground up for filament centers for home delivery are better and he alleges that they've tried curbside pickup. Scot: [57:59] Pick up for their system in the customer always gives. Jason: [58:00] For their system in the customer always gives is always choosing home delivery over herbicide pickup Which flies in the face of my advice by the way. Scot: [58:07] So it's the. Customer experience not the economics of let me take this item put it onto a shelf in a convenient way for a shopper and then at Pea Picker to pick it in an inefficient way. It's not the economic so you saying it's when you give customers a choice they will choose delivery. Jason: [58:25] Exactly at the same price which is a big caveat in this and so so one thing. Is he talks about is he he showed the math and he took all the things that have to happen when you place an order with Tesco and they store pick that order and you do a curbside. Tesco delivers at your house and it a typical order by his math take 75 min. Scot: [58:51] And then. Jason: [58:52] And then he does that same order in his automated grocery fulfillment center that uses Robata. And he picks that same order in 15 min. So hit his fundamental premise is where 5x cheaper in these purpose-built things so store pick you know is really cost disadvantaged. Scot: [59:18] And if it's what the consumer wants regardless. Jason: [59:24] And I I buy that the. Purpose-built fulfillment centers are way more cost-effective than store picking in there other problems with store picking then we'll talk about in that in the next Keynote. I totally buy that where I'm I'm not as confident as him is the curbside pickup versus the the delivery and that you could I believe in that his customers want delivery in the US. We find lots of people aren't home to receive that grocery delivery and one thing he. Very much points out as he says we are at Price parity with all the traditional grocery stores so we scrape all Tesco's prices and our price to deliver it to your house is the same as Tesco's price for you to drive there and pick it yourself. And so no one in the u.s. does that everyone in the US that's trying digital grocery have all kinds of premiums and added cost. Scot: [1:00:21] Service is the dreaded Services yes. Jason: [1:00:24] And it's it's worse than just service fees it service fees and they charge more for the same skus when they pick them for you. So so a big difference between the two markets right now so his presentation was super interesting. Then the afternoon Keynotes there were three more so the first one was was Ben Silverman who's the CEO of Pinterest. And I'm just going to be blunt. That was the most boring keynote to me of the show so far and large he did a great presentation about how important visual Discovery is. Which I agree with him it is there was no unique inside the weight like a very self-serving for you know the business that the Pinterest happens to be in. Scot: [1:01:14] The governor there Rich pins and they also had a lot of marketplace initiative none of that no retail kind of tie on them. Jason: [1:01:17] Talk about any like it was it was purely like people aren't going to discover new products via text they need visual Discovery and where we build a business provisional Discovery and it was literally that abstract. Scot: [1:01:32] Go back on the K2 or however you say it one of the intern just came in they are a public companies are independent and they're listed on the footsie the London Stock Exchange and they're part of the foot C250 and have a market cap of about 3.6 billion. Jason: [1:01:48] So that's a perfect segue to the next keynote is. In some ways the u.s. equivalent which is much more company is Fresh Direct so this is Jason acreman of who's the CEO and founder of Fresh Direct. Resurrect is direct-to-consumer digital grocery exclusively in the Manhattan area. Scot: [1:02:16] I was going to confuse with hello fresh with their meal delivery company. Jason: [1:02:20] FreshDirect is like Aikido a built from the ground-up to deliver groceries to your home. The most thought of is a grocery delivery company which annoys Jason to know in because he thinks of them first and foremost as a food company so so the big thing that happens is. He buy stuff from the farm and gets it to your refrigerator in half the time that Whole Foods does so. Pressure it's going to last much longer they do these promotions like a lobster day when you order Lobster to be delivered to your house in Manhattan. It's been pulled out of the water in Maine less than 12 hours ago so that so the supply chain is super cool. Like Ikeda although I don't think it's quite as automated like they built this. Purpose-built fulfillment center so they're avoiding store pics and Jason jumped on the same bandwagon about why store picking isn't going to work right and. Hey price structure is problem number one. Problem number to none of the stores have accurate inventory something we aren't we aren't we talked about earlier and so they just can't fulfill your order properly like they're missing stuff and they make mistake eggs. Phone number 3 store pic doesn't scale and so his point is is store pick ever got really popular the customers in the store would be. Derogatorily affected as they're competing with all those employee Pickers in the store so then the customers will get irritated that they're losing out on the. [1:04:01] To the to the Picker and staying in line behind too many pictures in the cashier and. Scot: [1:04:06] This happened the other day I went to Harris Teeter Saturday night and there was more employees picking and instacart people picking, then us and daddy's giant things that you have these relatively kind of pallet size cards that you haven't seen him and it is it is cumbersome, I can tell our grocery store is also throttling so they have you know, when I go like a Friday to get started delivery it's already sold out so I think they're really limiting the number of deliveries which is another bad customer experience you're stuck between you know who's going to have the worst customer experience in-store person or the outer person and that's a, that's a tough tough decision to make for the customer. Jason: [1:04:46] For sure so that was all super interesting so this is two guys that were lobbying heavily in favor of dedicated delivery centers versus the the store picking model again there just are so many grocery stores that have all this investment like it's hard. They're going to be the best they can with the model they have but then he had another Insight which I totally haven't thought about it all that's super interesting. FreshDirect is launching a sub brand service call. And foodkick is 1 hour delivery normally FreshDirect is next day delivery. And so what are you wanting out is he said only about 40% of food purchases are planned purchases. So I'm going to do my grocery shop I'm going to shop from the list and it's fine that all those groceries get delivered tomorrow cuz I'm putting it in the fridge

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The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP120 - Negotiating with Amazon with Andrea Leigh

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 21, 2018 35:38


EP120 - Negotiating with Amazon with Andrea Leigh Andrea Leigh is the Vice President of Client Services at Ideoclick, Inc., an Amazon managed services agency.  Andrea enjoyed a 10 year career at Amazon where she served in a number of Buying and Category Leadership roles.  We caught up with Andrea at the PathtoPurchase Summit, where she gave a key-note on selling on Amazon.  We covered a variety of topics including: Andrea's new role at Ideoclick. Amazon's presence in grocery and relationship with WholeFoods vendors The language of Amazon metrics Best practices in negotaiting with Amazon Brands selling on Amazon Don’t forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 120 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Monday, March 12, 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. New beta feature, Google Transcription: Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 120 being recorded on Monday March 12th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here cuz Scot Wingo. Scot: [0:39] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason Scott show listeners this is continuous are segments here Live From the Path to purchase Summit where we have some beautiful background music from Grouplove one of my favorite bands. Jason: [0:52] Great now I have to pay a royalty. Scot: [0:53] Is there a Panda sounds like. And anyway so we're really excited to have back on the show one of our most popular guest Andrea life Welcome Back. Andrea: [1:07] Thanks for having me glad to be here. Scot: [1:09] It is a quick reminder to fix your ex Amazonian and you are an expert on negotiating with Amazon cuz you were on the other side of the table I'm so this is why it's always such a Hot Topic you know what all the secrets car cards are the Amazon has. Andrea: [1:23] Exactly or at least some of them. Jason: [1:26] Does that mean they don't like you. Andrea: [1:27] Well I mean I like to think that we help clients find a win-win I mean that's the goal right it's defined areas where the brands can Excel and Amazon can continue growing the business. Scot: [1:39] It's been about a year since you're on the show so give us an update on what's new with you career-wise. Andrea: [1:43] Wow it was that long ago it feels like it was yesterday well. Scot: [1:47] Yeah these podcast it's like dog your stress me. Andrea: [1:51] So I think when we last met I was working with Melissa and Lambert Eric and Andre Kaylee Consulting. Working with brands on their Amazon strategy in September actually joined up with my husband that I do click and I'm the vice president of Client Services there. And I do click is a managed services provider so we offer software data analytics reporting Consulting and advisory Services item data management marketing AMS management. And I have been there for about 6 months now and we work with clients across all categories but tend to be a little more focused in the cpg space so Grocery and health and personal care. Scot: [2:31] How's it work with your husband. Andrea: [2:32] It's so much fun we went to grad school together and have sort of had been in the same space for a long time so it's actually like one of the best things about. Scot: [2:40] Does he ever do that joke raise like talk about sleeping with his coworker it's classical today's world is great. Andrea: [2:43] You know he does he really enjoys finding inappropriate jokes and he hasn't thought of. Scot: [2:50] I need to I've got like yeah okay. Jason: [2:52] Why I'm presuming the regular Wisner so now he has. Scot: [2:54] Yeah actually it just that one of our interns just ran up and told me that you were last on the show May 11th last year so it has been about a year. Andrea: [3:01] Wow well thanks for having me. Jason: [3:05] Thanks for being here. You mentioned cpgm grocery in a feels like groceries one of those areas where there's been a lot of progress in the last year and the groceries are thinking a lot more digitally. [3:19] Obviously the Whole Foods announcement amongst others have you seen the grocery space what's going on in grocery. Andrea: [3:25] I think the biggest thing we're seeing is that you know where a few years ago Amazon in particular and the lot of e-commerce players were really just trying to grab customers and growth and sell a lot of grocery products. The focus is really shifted to more about being profitable profitable and sustainable growth which means that for a lot of our clients in a lot of Brands out there. Selling on Amazon has become really difficult because there are a lot of product categories that just aren't super sustainable online you know given delivery economics. So we're starting to see a lot of Science and and then seeing folks in the space really starts in Sebastian capabilities Direction, to Consumer on their own using 3pl focusing on. And so I mean I just seen kind of the most I think the pace of innovation is really set up the last couple of years. As Amazon in other e-commerce players start to push some of those profit concerns back on the brands. Jason: [4:24] Yeah I think I've seen all that as well and I keep beating this drum that everyone seems to think I'm wrong on so I'm going to. Andrea: [4:33] Try me out. Jason: [4:35] Amazon can't be hugely successful in grocery but because of the delivery economics I actually think that the dominant model for digital grocery is actually grocery pickup. Andrea: [4:46] Totally totally agree with you you know I think is going to be is huge. And for a lot of these brands that I think God on the Amazon bandwagon early you know I hope they haven't abandoned some of their wine Amanda live in Bandon but I hope they haven't deprioritized some of their initiatives, with brick-and-mortar because the brick-and-mortar space is heating up around click-and-collect and grocery pick-up and so you know I think that I totally agree with you I do think that sustainable model for e-commerce is something that looks more like Amazon's Pantry model, where you try to get the average ring up. And you're able to spread those delivery and shipping economics across the larger number of items and send it kind of the slowest ship method, not only does it help with the delivery economics but it helps with forecasting when you have more time to be sort of more of a just-in-time inventory model. Jason: [5:38] Yeah yeah and speaking of pantry did you see the news that they've decided we change that model of this month so. Country used to be a paper drink thing so. 599 per box and then you you put as much stuff as you can in the box so they're doing away with the 599 ft and it's now in new service you have to subscribe to for five bucks a month and then you can use Pantry as much as. Andrea: [6:03] That makes sense. Jason: [6:04] Yeah into the theory is as as opposed to having that big friction of taking $6 out of your wallet every time you want to use it that it just gets tacked onto your your Prime membership and you stop thinking about. [6:18] Casper drinking you're more likely to use it more often. Andrea: [6:21] Yeah I mean I think that makes sense Amazon has had like wild success with all of the subscription models you know for fresh and for. Obviously Prime and you know there if they have all these Prime add-ons now across their portfolio so it does really increase the stickiness I think we've all seen the metrics around Prime and how much stickier, those customers are, but I think that's really interesting and I do believe that in the next couple of years we're going to see a really big shift at Amazon from you know the traditional amazon.com grocery category over to Pantry more push to Whole Foods more precious to pick up. To help really help the profitability it's a sizable enough category at Amazon now that it's extraordinarily painful for them. You know to be to be unprofitable on. Jason: [7:06] I wanted to make changes this month is Dave there they're not doing a bunch of pilot cities where they're delivering literally from the Whole Foods until there's even was a funny article about like the instacart guys getting like. Moved out of their office into the hallway to make room for the Amazon employee setting up setting up shop to do delivery they haven't announced it yet but I think it's it's inevitable. The dab. Logistics infrastructure get used for pick up as well and then ultimately a bunch of Whole Foods end up being pick up Depot Amazon Fresh pick up locations. Andrea: [7:39] Yeah I spent a number of years working in the grocery category at Amazon and also working on Amazon Fresh and delivery economics for fresh food are really really challenging. You know density of supercritical you know being able to hit multiple orders in an hour. It's a really it's an extraordinary Lee challenging business and so I think you know it makes sense to focus on a limited sort of version of that I maybe there's an opportunity for Amazon to get scale and then as they are able to grow that they can kind of. Encourage customers to do more pick up. Scot: [8:14] We surprised by the Whole Foods acquisition. Andrea: [8:16] I was actually you know a lot of people ask me about. About it and if I'd heard any Rumblings and no like it was completely silent and and I was really surprised although it makes sense right I mean. That's if you in order to really be I remember Jeff or maybe it was. Jeff Bezos Demetrius Jeff will he saying something in the earlier days about if we really want to be like a true, you know everything store we absolutely have to have strong penetration in grocery and in fashion does R22 normous Industries groceries like the biggest industry so. They've really got to figure out how to get that right and I think they were I mean frankly based on sort of the. At the public sees like all of the projects that are launched in our successful in a scale but there's so many Pilots that happened in Seattle that, where is interesting to everyone and if you look at all the fits and starts of this thing over the years it doesn't surprise me that they went and purchased someone who is doing really well. Scot: [9:17] Then you think so I can sleep at the store footprint one of the things I was surprised how quickly they worked on was getting the private label that was called whole 365 getting that into the other platforms very quickly that seems like almost. Day one that that got you know I saw it in my Prime now and it was featured and then obviously they done a lot in the stores with the lockers and selling Echoes everything. Andrea: [9:38] I mean I'm sure that was one of the I think that was one of the probably if you were list out like 5 or 10 main reasons Amazon bought them access to their private label is a huge one, you know they really dislike private label its assortment they can't usually have on their site, they can use sometimes get it through resellers near we were able to get some of the Costco stuff through resellers on the third-party platform bed. Scot: [9:59] Amazon is the largest seller of Kirkland. Andrea: [10:02] Now there. Scot: [10:05] Costco doesn't sell it. [10:08] It's a little bar but they they jump over it seems like as they integrate Whole Foods lb you know it seems Amazon's very efficient. Right now there's finally a different buyers and things do you think they'll consolidate that what are you hear anything about that. Andrea: [10:23] You know I think it'll be interesting to see what they do with the went looking back at some prior Acquisitions like diapers and Zappos they were really slow to integrate some of those teams, you know what I think I think they're probably a lot of reasons for that I expect this will happen quicker mainly because it's a category they have got to get, you know they've got to get more profitable on. So focusing on those classes and getting transparency there quickly is going to be important I just said something this morning about how. They've reached out to some Brands and I've invited them to some kind of like Summit or meeting next week. Whole Foods has to talk about I think it was to address some of the concerns that have been popping up in the vendor Community probably specifically around cost. But the article is also speculating that. Amazon was going to try to do away with traditional grocery Brokers which I think is a really that's really interesting and potentially like try to recoup some of those that funding for themselves. Desert of cutting out the middle intermediary. Scot: [11:25] Give me the NADA grocery what's the for dummies on grocery brokers. Andrea: [11:29] So it's a lot of Brands work with traditional brick-and-mortar through what are called Brokers so third parties in negotiating, negotiating for Shell space the brands are often like really involved in that process but the broker actually. Stop managers that relationship and for Amazon they work within. You know worked with more grocers in the earlier more brokers in the earlier days but have had really tried to kind of do away with a lot of that, I mean in some ways you could look at it as an aunt pretty Antiquated model like brands are pretty sufficient self-sufficient in their ability to negotiate now and you know and negotiate for shelf space and figure out how to navigate, a brick-and-mortar store it's not like a novelty anymore they know how to get into Costco so. I think that's a model that's kind of ripe for disruption anyway it'll be interesting to see if this encourages it more quickly across the other brick-and-mortar channel. Jason: [12:25] What one. [12:28] I've been trying to figure out we have this overlaps but like so if your craft you know how to sell to grocery stores and you have all those infrastructures and you you probably are already aren't using a broker or you're not getting on a value for the broke his heart. Carried a lot of much smaller nascent Brands often at the local level right and so you can imagine your Amy's Bakery. When you make baked goods in your kitchen and you're selling on through just the Austin Whole Foods a broker could be helpful in an opening that relationship because you don't know the kind of perms you should be doing all those hearts. Andrea: [13:02] Bright. Jason: [13:04] So part of me goes oh that's where they're taking the broker out but I actually think Amazon has already taken a lot of that local buying Authority away from the Whole Food store. Andrea: [13:13] Yeah I mean I think it's a model of those sort of deteriorating anyway and then I mean there's so there's Brokers which sort of like managed the deal but then there's also Distributors which actually procurar the product and then resell it. And that's another Avenue that a lot of those smaller Brands used to kind of get into some of the channels where they couldn't it was in make sense for them. Feels team setup for all of those different channels and so working through like a distributor broker. But you know it's more cost but and it's more profit that can be had by Amazon so I can see why they would want to get rid of that third party. Scot: [13:48] Go to this is Switching gears out of grocery this is the time of year when vendors get their their kind of notice from Amazon that it's time to negotiate which seems like it's probably a. Not exciting notice to get so imagine you get you get a lot of calls on this kind of time and you're giving a talk here today on this and you talk about it on the last show. What to do in in the world of negotiating with Amazon. Andrea: [14:13] Yeah I don't know if it's really new but growing is the concept will obviously always more automation every year there's more automation more and more of our clients even some of the larger ones now or getting through these automated email ask. So more busherts Automation and then the other more recent it all in his hands always had for some categories sort of. Professional negotiating teams and that's that. Arm of Amazon is growing so we have more more clients who are being asked to negotiate with like essentially it's a third party with an Amazon so not the retail buyer. They've traditionally worked with but instead like a professional negotiator which I think is interesting for Brands and some ways they lose. Scot: [14:56] Is it William Shatner. Andrea: [15:00] I think it's really interesting for Brands because in some ways it's a complete disadvantage for them cuz they're dealing with someone who like. Highly skilled highly skilled negotiator but in other ways it's to their advantage because they possess a lot more category knowledge than The Negotiator does and so. Thanks figuring out how to work with that team as that team grows and starts interacting with more Brands is going to be critical. Jason: [15:28] It's I don't know this is a fair amount or not but I in my mind I imagine it's a little like the. The car dealership model where essentially the they they make you negotiate with the individual sales person who very intentionally doesn't have any Authority artonomy inside there intentionally. [15:46] Aggregating you disarm mediating you from the decision maker who's the the the dealership manager in in the same way. [15:56] Professional negotiators are just intermediating the brand from the the merch. Andrea: [16:00] I would imagine that the unprofessional negotiators at least what I know of them from our clients have a very very narrow window of what they can actually approve. And you know agree to and then everything after that Pastor go is probably escalated like is far as we know the category leader is still the ultimate decision-maker so it's important to make sure like your social your large man you got access to that person, but smaller brands that we work with are typically doing a hundred percent of the negotiation over email. Scot: [16:31] How does this go so your Brand X on the go she ate or I start off and I say Brand X you've been a great partner of the Amazons we love you you're awesome we need you to come down 20% does that sound like how it starts just. Andrea: [16:43] Yeah you'll get an algorithm to the brands are given algorithmically Drive-In email that is looking at basically a day to file and saying in order for us to. Be profit positive on frayed for example we need extra sent and Afraid allowance and sometimes the figures I don't make sense to our clients of gotten messages like asking for you know 15 and 20% rate allowances which is not tenable obviously. So it's it it's an algorithmic Lee Drive in email me look like it's coming from your buyer it's probably not. Probably coming from a machine or up and it's in there some machine learning in it so if you're if you send back some responses we kind of had tested and learned on this with some of our clients you know some some responses generated, some responses back in some responses get kicked out into an exception and then typically at that point especially if you're small brand your Kik to an offshore team. But all that will conclude the negotiation. Scot: [17:35] What's the best way to like mess with a I would have your like that's too we would like to offer a bigger discount or can you just like start cussing at it. Andrea: [17:43] So we have found that for some of the critical negotiation components like Freight and marketing accruals continuing to just say no over and over again may result in the brand. Amazon not ordering from the brand anymore so we've seen a couple instances of that happening where the brand took a pretty from line there were like no and then the person wrote back you know it's the auto thing it's like. That is not an acceptable. Like term for us and then no and then that's not expensive and then there was a threat so read the email carefully if there's a threat in there that Amazon will stop ordering it's important to dress like an CERN. The address be asked but you certainly don't have to give Amazon everything they're asking. You don't have to agree to like that exact term you can agree to something more than what you're doing and typically make it through the process. Scot: [18:29] Does it start like real macro like we want 12% and then is it a good strategy to kind of start to just try to get it to be more like at least category askew or down the street level cuz it seems like on the other side you have all these different. Andrea: [18:40] Yeah and we'll talk about this today see you but I think the two things that I would really keep in mind when negotiating with Amazon are. First of all focus on win-win so you want to see if you have to give Amazon more money you want to figure out how to do it in a way that grows the business not in a way that just helps their bottom line so an example of that might be, you know coming forward with investment in a program. If crosstalk is great for you cuz it saves you money should be in if you were for some in centers it might make sense to invest in that program with Amazon because it also helps their economic so it's like a win-win or. Bringing forward a plan for an increase in marketing spending specifically Roi driven marketing like I am a story. You know helps you grow your business also helps Amazon's bottom line by giving more for things like marketing accruals or giving Amazon money for you know merchandising placements on the site that are sort of ended us. Isn't always necessarily a win-win so making sure to choose those battles really carefully and she's those spot. And then I think the other thing I would keep in mind is you know you don't you don't have to give them everything that they're asking for and if they're asking for increases in terms like free or damaged allowances ask for the supporting data that shows why the costume. Right you might not get it but at least it shows that you're your auditing and you're and you and you may be able to drive as a stalemate through that. By saying oh you want an increase in the damage Lance tell me what about my products or what specific products are showing higher damage so I can actually go fix the problem. [20:16] Instead of just giving you a higher approval for that. Scot: [20:19] Is this one Amazon will ask for different packaging or you know just like frustration-free or or or like do a bundle of 2 or any. Andrea: [20:29] This is something that is very frustrating to me in earlier years Amazon would certainly do that and as as when I started in 05 as a senior buyer that was certainly a part of the annual negotiation you would say, these items are profitable let's talk about how we can make a more profitable can we get this to a cheap Pack and change the packet me we would it would be more of a. A coaching exercise but now it's just so much easier for Amazon to ask the brands for money and especially when the negotiation is either automated or handled by a third party there's no vested interest in. And no knowledge really like expertise to help a brandy that so we have more and more clients that we work with it we're doing that with. Playing that role that the buyer used to play in helping them figure some of that out. Scot: [21:12] Doesn't Amazon use so you should be you have your Warehouse pricing and I was over here kind of separate and then I know. This may not be part of negotiation but no Amazon's now looking at that kind of thing while you're selling it on in Costco at you're the equivalent of this many dollars per ounce we want you can either bring that to you over here. Or the turn ski we have we would like to see it at the same dollars per ounce is that is that these negotiations or that's more of just price parody. Andrea: [21:38] Yeah I mean if you're that kind of comes up in like a crap situation or Amazon stream free can't realize any profit where they say William Walmart selling it for this price how are they that look that's below our cost so how are they doing that and I would advise Brands whatever you do do not share, your cost that you have with other retailers with Amazon I mean that's like a big that's a big No-No because you can't ever roll that back right. Amazon's aware of your cost structure to other brands it also makes it so that you can't throw to move the beans around when you need to it's just a level of transparency you don't ever want to go. Jason: [22:13] And I think I mean Scott might be willing to there's like a specific version of the dynamic pricing the brands are really afraid of you know you sell a can of Campbell's soup on on Amazon it's a 12 oz cans to the price per ounce is whatever. Andrea: [22:26] Yes right so. Jason: [22:27] Salad case pack to Costco. Andrea: [22:30] Amazon is getting so much smarter about that I mean it used to be when we watch I went through many Revolutions of Brands divots doesn't like spending a lot of R&D on designing different pack sizes I think the K-Cup Industries a great example of this, where they you know sold at this packsize to Costco in this tax ID Amazon this one to Target and they will never know that it's like all the wrong the same different prices. They will price match each other but Amazon figured that out real quick and started matching perk up and then they started matching per diaper per White. Per ounce a lot of categories have the / something rolled out by now and if they don't have it. You know they will so trying to circumvent price-matching through different pack sizes may buy us some time. But it isn't a long-term solution. Jason: [23:19] You mentioned a couple of terms when we were just talking about the certain negotiating strategies like Freight allowance for example it feels like there's a hole. Different vernacular at Amazon and I know they they said these are. Metrics and they really Drive everything to those metrics can you kind of educated so like what are the high-level Brands need to learn about to work. Andrea: [23:44] Well I think he's kind of two questions like what are the terms you're going to negotiate about and then what are the kpi is to manage your business but the terms are and actually don't I mean I don't know if these are really different from other retailers that don't have knowledge about, you know about brick-and-mortar as much but you know they're typically looking at some kind of marketing. Come up is a high-level term that refers to any money you give Amazon so often Play Straight payments accruals whatever it is all Co-op. I'm better at least that's how Amazon Defiance Co-op it's typically a marketing accrual. Or some kind of basic rule for base allowance there's a damaged allowance and Afraid allowance if Amazon is paying the freight sometimes the client for the vendors paying the freight. Scot: [24:26] These are all expressed as some so if I'm spending. Andrea: [24:29] They're all rappers. Scot: [24:30] Amazon to buy a million and I'm going to do co-op dollars at 10% is 300000 in addition to that and these are all that's kind of how they're all measured. Andrea: [24:38] All percentage of cost of goods sold all off invoice and then there are definitely get subscribe and save allowance depending on the category you're in there may be a mark. There could be like volume incentive rebate. There might be like straight payments you agreed to you throughout the year you might be paying for your talking about your SVS of your strategic vendor services. Representative during this time of year that's like a headcount you can buy at Amazon that just works on your brand. So all of these things going to come together to be the annual terms negotiations and son is when the automated tasks include everything that you're actually doing with Amazon so it's important to use a Tracker like Bill. So that you got it all up you. Scot: [25:25] You have a free one that I've heard you. Andrea: [25:26] I do yeah it's on my website yeah it's on my website Andre Kaylee consulting.com will be adding it to be I do click sites soon too but it just allows you to swear to fill in. Your sales and the last year's turns this year's terms and then it auto calculates all the actual dollars spent printed look at the actual dollars, it's one thing to know that you're giving Amazon a point more this year and it's another thing to actually understand based on your gross right how many more dollars are actually giving Amazon anyway. Because a lot of brands are going really quickly on Amazon and they're doubling their spend with Amazon without actually even changing their coop. Jason: [26:03] And then you mentioned so those are some of the terms you mention like their specific API. Andrea: [26:07] Yeah so some of the key so it's important to speak Amazon when working with them especially if you're sort of pushed one of these automated channels. Jason: [26:15] Side note I was thinking the way to work around that way I haven't tried this myself so you're on your own but is only negotiate in a language that their natural language processor doesn't understand something like Klingon or Jeff Bezos it probably doesn't. [26:30] So I might be Swahili. Andrea: [26:32] About you know if I can get if I can get a willing client with a sense of humor that might be somebody that might be something to try. But there are a set of Casey eyes that are important for understanding and running your business on Amazon if you can get a good command of them and understand them and have some benchmarking available to you, you can run a really successful business on Amazon without ever interacting with a human but it's important to know the kti's sales sales growth obviously, it's really important to look at a lot of clients who work with even big ones tend to look almost exclusively at, orders Amazon places from the brand you really need to be looking at point-of-sale data that is the true indicator of Simeon, that helps you understand how effective your marketing and promotional activities are so that POS state is really critical so shift cogs. Gross gross and units gross revenue again really surprised how a lot of clients will only look at Revenue which you lose a lot of the transactional nature of the Metra. Understanding like how customers are transaction with your units looking at the in stock and inventory rates I think. Time and time again we work with clients where they're like why is my business not growing very fast Amazon you luck in the products are good and they are, getting pretty good search ranking but they're only the brand is only feeling like half of the purchase orders like they're not willing to come and see you, you have to have product in order to sell it so keeping track of some of those metrics getting your handle on your own metrics around this is important Amazon reports on a metric in Vendor Central called Fast Track in stock. [28:02] Its sales waited and glance product may be going to eat there but it's Lance he waited you should just really know of all your items available how many. Haven't been trying have any doubt it's a much simpler metric it gives you a much bigger picture and more complete picture. Scot: [28:17] So the sales rate is it is it does some indexing to get tire sales rank items and how fast are field. Andrea: [28:22] You get a bigger good guy if you're in stock on the top seller and you don't get a bad guy at all if you're out of stuff done something that is like a really low seller. Scot: [28:30] When does so when they come in sizes brands are frustrated Amazon's not buying their buying less and less of their swetman when does that come up in this negotiation or it sounds like it really doesn't sounds like the buyers know if I was going to buy these are the terms. Andrea: [28:45] If you're in a position where you're negotiating with a machine you've got to find another way to sell this product on Amazon through third-party so so it'll be really hard for you to get like. Automated system or the team in Indiana to like respond to a request like that but if you are in a position where you got a live person you certainly should bring that into the negotiation. Why aren't you buying all my products I'll give you this Co-op if you commit sore during my whole assortment and you know a lot of times you can talk to them about how. That is certainly may not be performing very well because it hasn't been in stock it performs very well at other retailers like giving all of that data and information and can help Amazon make decision. Scot: [29:23] But not your custody with other retailers. Andrea: [29:25] But I think everyone knows that but that is important to mention I was surprised when I was a buyer how many Brands would be transparent about that. Scot: [29:34] I've never been offender son learning a ton. Jason: [29:38] You're lucky man last time you went to show we talked a little bit and you wouldn't do it earlier they have this. Unhappy status can't realize a profit. [29:51] AKA crap which great great back back story and all that about how that all came into being. Scot mention vendors that are frustrated that they won't carry the whole line my perception is almost always that at the beginning of the relationship and tell me if I have this wrong. They actually do carry the whole line and then products get crapped out and they start curating what they carry it is that largely true or or is it the case that they might only. Andrea: [30:21] So yeah usually am is it is depends generally speaking Amazon Lori thinks that customers look at so customers don't look at it they probably won't order it. But if you if you just cover your whole assortment isn't available on Amazon there could be a myriad of reasons why that is it could go back to like item setup issues maybe Amazon tried to order from you and you didn't fill it. You know maybe it's just not getting enough product gland to use. Or maybe it's crap and we seen a lot of movement and interesting developments in Amazon's crap program over the last year. The biggest one being that now they're showing the crap out products that are just little margin not negative margin used to be the zero was the floor. Now if they're not hitting some Morgan emergent targets are requirements for the category they're essentially not ordering those products from. Client there from the brands anymore or crapping the products out. And I think that's a new development another new development is Amazon's kind of shifted the conversation from profitability to Pure product margin their PPM. And I think the reason they're doing that is when they start crapping out products and communicating what products does our it allows clients and Brands and their parties to reconstruct Amazon's cost structure. And so focusing on here product margin which is just the different at Pier product margin which is the difference between the cost of the product Celeste any marketing accruals or any Co-op. And the retail selling price really helps them focus on products where they're having to do a lot of price matching and where they want the brand to take some ownership over that issue. [31:55] Which might mean you know going to your other Retail Partners and saying stop selling at these price I mean that's what they want you to do right by you to go back to Walmart and say stop selling online at this price. Which actually some of our clients who died and it has her mixed results with that which is been interesting. Scot: [32:12] Meaning Walmart said no and then there are stuck between a rock and a hard place. Andrea: [32:16] The biggest thing for noticing is that why maricon in Walmart stores have different prices and it's lower online cuz they're trying to drive Amazon low and then get them to Walmart online. Walmart.com in brick and mortar from what we learn from our clients are like completely separate entities so if you go back to the econ team and you say and in typical answering very little business on an walmart.com so we had a few clients go back to Walmart and say. Don't sell it at this price anymore or I will stop shipping it to you and Walmart income. Raise the price so it actually has been effective for a few client that hasn't been effective for everyone but for a few of the players that we've worked with they had sex. Scot: [32:56] I think they're trying to normalize that have one buyer for both but. Andrea: [33:00] Right now there's still a gap you take advantage of it. Jason: [33:02] Yeah and I would imagine there's some flexibility about what you sell to them for online if it when it comes down to having to go to Walmart and raise the price in store I suspect that's not going to go well. Andrea: [33:15] Oh absolutely and I don't I mean clients wouldn't really it wouldn't be in their best interest to do that they're doing so much volume there, but only time it's a different story we've also heard he, walmart.com will take whatever product I can get. I'm there less selective about it and so potentially you know suggesting different products versus what you're selling on Amazon might be a good strategy. Jason: [33:35] Going back to that kind of picking the line that Amazon curious though why. I guess the model and I had is that you're selling apparel right then you go calling Macy's and you bring a bunch of mannequins and you show me all the dresses and some Merchant at Macy's goes. That one's pretty that one's pretty I don't like that one right and it's their subjective expertise around the category. [33:57] My son says there's no Merchant in Amazon is going to subjectively try to pick winners and losers. Andrea: [34:03] I think there's some exceptions to that the biggest ones being the pantry program where they are choosing products you can just put anything in pantry it goes through an approval process now, the people making those decisions might not know might not be as educated as maybe like a a Walmart in-store brick-and-mortar buyer, but they are making assortment decisions and so Brands record making some recommendations there can really help move that process along the other space were seeing that is in fashion, I think Amazon started trying to carry all the assortment and quickly realized I mean first we have a couple, fashion clients that sell Alberta 10,000 skews and you certainly can't carry all that ass for me have to build Smooth Sailing Center so they did they have invested internally in. What they're calling more tastemakers to actually choose assortment and and make those types of decisions. Scot: [34:53] Well I know we're running up against a lunch here so why don't we go ahead and wrap so that you can have some lunch before you have to talk. Jason: [35:01] Yeah so if people do have further questions or welcome to jump on her Facebook page and will continue the conversation if yeah if you enjoy the show we'd love to see you jump on the iTunes and give us that 5-star review but thanks very much for making time for us and the listeners today. Andrea: [35:16] Yeah thanks for having me guys. Jason: [35:18] Until next time happy commencing!

Design Untangled | A UX & design podcast in plain English
DU012 – Content Strategy – Emma Hoddinot Interview

Design Untangled | A UX & design podcast in plain English

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 18, 2018 33:39


We’ve talked about content first, now it’s time to talk about content strategy. Carla once again channels her inner Jeremy Paxman to talk to Emma Hoddinot who is Associate Content Strategy Director at SapientRazorfish.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP119 - Amazon expert Melissa Burdick

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 17, 2018 47:28


EP119 - Amazon expert Melissa Burdick http://jasonandscot.com Melissa Burdick is the president of Pacvue, and a former Amazonian who was involved in Amazon’s entry into the CPG space.  She’s one of the most popular guests on the show, so with all the changes Amazon has been going through it’s a great time to have her back. We caught up with Melissa at the PathtoPurchase Summit, where she gave a key-note on selling on Amazon.  We covered a variety of topics including: Melissa’s new company Pacvue and their Amazon advertising automation tools Brands strategy on Amazon Amazon private label Advertising on amazon Amazon SSPA – Self Service Performance Advertising Brick and mortar retail Don’t forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 119 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Monday, March 12, 2018. Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. New beta feature, Google Transcription: Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 119 being recorded on Monday March 12th 2018 I’m your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I’m here with your hoes Scott Wingo. Scot: [0:39] Jason welcome back Jason Scott show listeners. We are live The Sounds different to you we’re live from the bustling show floor here at the path to purchase Summit in big beautiful Schaumburg Chicago which is pretty close to downtown Chicago. Jason: [0:55] It is it is thanks everyone that coming for coming to my hometown I appreciate it. Scot: [0:59] Yeah yeah so this is one of the rare times not only our Jason I love but our guest is life as well. This show has three days packed full of mostly cpg content around how to how consumers buy things Jason tell you the history of the show he’s he’s kind of. But what we’re doing today is an Amazon day were talking about Amazon so we are going to bring to you some of the top speakers from that program. And we’re excited to welcome back to the show Melissa Burdick welcome back muscle she is one of the Keynotes here today what are you speaking about at Today Show. Melissa: [1:35] We are doing Amazon Insider tips with that Danny Silverman from clovis and I have a long history with Danny actually. I was his buyer to Amazon launching Johnson & Johnson and he was leading e-commerce at J&J so fast forward I don’t know how many years later 10 12 years later and here we are. Scot: [1:55] You’re still on speaking terms that’s pretty impressive usually usually Amazon buyers in the other side aren’t really on speaking terms. So okay back then back when you were there. Jason: [2:05] Cool so this is your second time on the show a lot has changed since the first time you were on the show do you what’s been going on. Melissa: [2:19] So a new year new company. We have a kind of rebranded to a company named pack you and have added significant add technology expertise to accompany a kind of. Changing with the time so we still do the same thing strategic Consulting and advisory services and advertising marketing strategy for Amazon, but with Amazon opening up some of their apis still in beta for for some but we have access to them. It was really necessary to bring in some significant adtech expertise to be able to build what we consider the best in class at platform for Amazon so I have a new partner is actually the CEO of our company called Joey Tang. And he was one of the original members of Microsoft ad Center being a. And then he went on to find a founder of a company called add Sage which is largest FTM in China. And has brought over a lot of those supper Engineers really understand dad text and so with my Amazon expertise that we have really built the Great a platform. Jason: [3:23] Very cool inside this is a tool that would be used by brands or by agencies. Melissa: [3:28] Sweet we use it for ourselves we also license it for agencies and Brands we have several using it right now so yeah it’s gray. Jason: [3:36] Predominantly around placing both AMS an EMG Style. Melissa: [3:41] Well the goal the goal will be ultimately Angie when the apis are more readily available, right now there aren’t many apis available within Angie so ultimately we want to get all of marketing in one place for Brands make it easy right now it’s really building out the Automation and programmatic bidding for paid search, and making it more e-commerce sized then other so what I mean by that is. We want to do things like when your competitor runs out of stock being able to bid on their Brandon keywords and being able to get more of their share. We also went to integrate real-time sales into a platform so that when there’s times of Greater conversions we can been more when there’s times of less conversions we can fit less. So we went to integrate kind of e-commerce into our platform and that’s what that’s what we’ve done. Jason: [4:35] Interesting in it so some of the those triggers that you just mentioned are things unlikely to come from the Amazon apis that almost sounds like you would tie the kind of insight that you mentioned clavis earlier that. You get from a service like that with the ability to take action on it very cool. Melissa: [4:51] Yeah and we’re so crossing our fingers that Amazon will ultimately launch my pee is in those areas but they haven’t yet. Scot: [5:00] Hope so let’s start high-level what are some of the trends you’ve seen since last being on the show that you want to share with listeners. Melissa: [5:08] I think a lot of the trends are so last year there and there’s a big difference between kind of the traditional big manufacturers and then these Niche smaller brands are coming Alliant online and I work with all of them, that’s really interesting to to work with all these everyone has their own different challenges but I would say for the traditional manufacturers. The biggest differences last year it was about building the business case to think that e-commerce is becoming big and they need to Big build big games and so I think that that box has been checked and people are now starting to invest, building teams I probably get a recruiter call each week. Asking me if I want to be VP of you know some brand or if I know someone that wants to be in a leading e-commerce other brands I think that there’s really this heightened. Focus on e-commerce this year, where is last year it was kind of like building that business case Tuesday we went to start really focusing on it and then this year it’s about execution finding the right partners and starting to implement. E-commerce and making it kind of blowing it out so I think that these shows keep getting bigger people keep learning they keep hiring more people into this area so I see this big kind of Titans. Focus on it. Scot: [6:28] What’s up. What’s causing that the kind of that when I call Mulligan or have companies just kind of work through when when brands are trying to figure this out there’s this internal battle between like the sales department and. The offline guys and online who gets credit and all that before you kind of want to have a VPS kind of works to that is just a life cycle what was causing it. Melissa: [6:50] I think there’s a lot of data points I think one is here people are tired of seeing those graphs where e-commerce is growing at such a high rate and you know store sales are declining. I think it’s just a lot of these business cases that people put together around they see their competitor starting to invest at Procter & Gamble so they point out some of the other big guys that are starting to do these things they’re starting to see that, then losing market share in e-commerce to other Niche players because they’re not investing in it. So I think that there’s just this combination and culmination of all these data points that have finally gotten people’s attention. And I think that regardless everybody agrees that they need an e-commerce strategy weather there. On Amazon or not they think that they need to have a strategy anyway because they’re on their whether they want to be or not. Jason: [7:44] Yeah and to me it feels like. It’s almost a double whammy like all these companies are waking up to an important it is to do well on Amazon and The Exorcist on the changing so much. That it’s it’s not even easy to necessarily for someone new to this pace to even know what to do or like find the Playbook that worked last year is unlikely to be very relevant this year. Melissa: [8:11] Exactly it’s when I when I worked at Amazon and even now the pendulum swings it’s like this year to the strategy and then the pendulum will go the opposite direction and if you’re not already kind of understanding the ecosystem and what works. And the kind of basic principles it’s really hard to keep up with that kind of environment. Jason: [8:31] For sure so when you get a new client that’s sort of knew where to that promise I was trying to invest in their presents on Amazon like are there some fundamentals you recommend they start with like is there what’s the high-level advice that you give people to start thinking about. Melissa: [8:45] Absolutely and that’s actually part of our presentation today there’s really some fundamentals that are critical to be able to start with. And it’s it’s these basic retail e-commerce principles of having the right assortment. Which is actually harder than you think it is especially in the Amazon because they have so many different platforms. Fresh pineapple Pantry Pantry just change their business model Core Business and for each of the different platforms they have different economic models in different assortments that kind of work. And so what happens is off by manufacturers Just they put their offline assortment online and they kind of square round Peg square hole does assortments and so that’s one of the biggest challenges, being in stock is also a bigger challenge than you think and it’s what drives people to create hybrid accounts with third-party Merchant backup offers. Does having the right assortment being in stock. At continent is here I’m working on a big digital strategy project with a large manufacturer and it is so much harder. Then what you can possibly think it would be with all the legal approval so you have to get. You know it’s always this battle between SEO optimizing titles and content and what is actually approved and it’s things that are to us maybe. Seem like it’s an easier not very risky thing to get approved but to a legal team it’s pretty hard so. Those are at those are really the critical building the fundamentals and having those things in place and having the technology like a pem you know just integrating all of that stuff. [10:24] Is is difficult and that’s where actually everybody’s really focusing a lot of time and tension on right now. Jason: [10:29] Yeah and it is interesting if if you were to start a brand new brand today and you knew. Your presence on Amazon the super important they’re all these sort of best practices you would build in your culture so I like when you named your skews. You be thinking about Amazon friendly SEO in your skin names. Most of these companies were not born yesterday in that name is probably getting made by an in an Erp system by some supply chain person whose main concern is how it how it gets to Walmart. And so like bridging that Gap from those those are the names and all that content getting created you no way Downstream for some other purpose and sort of morphing it into something that works in these digital platform seems like one of the big. Expensive challenges at the moment especially when the brand has a lot of skews. Melissa: [11:21] Yeah actually one of the examples we have is with that she’s at the Cracker and yeah you know how to spell it. Scot: [11:29] Cheez. Melissa: [11:31] Yes but the misspelled version of that the misspelled version of that actually ranks higher in search then the correct spelling, the people misspelled it more than they spell it and so that’s an example of all the misspelled Miss spellings of the word needs to go into the hidden Search keywords in the back-end data. I have a word of a of a detail page of an item. And that’s just like a small little thing but it’s you know it’s just these things that are so on a shelf that you don’t even think about it. Scot: [12:00] Yeah the Google group is probably already figured all that out but they’re not going to be talking to the Amazon group so they Amazon groups got to go bigger all out again. Melissa: [12:04] Exactly. Scot: [12:07] Sharing the common Channel kind of things. Jason: [12:10] But when they when they figured out a second time that means they pay a bunch of people in the Echo System a whole second time to help them so we’re okay. Scot: [12:16] True I guess you. Melissa: [12:19] Actually funny because when I work with a lot of Brands sometimes they’re getting the same information from like three different partners same thing since your point that that is happening. Scot: [12:30] One of the so one of the naysayer things about a brand selling on Amazon is what you put your brand on Amazon they’re just going to mind your data and they’ll come out the private label that just effectively competes with you. What you say so there’s a lot of data out there that shows private label is really hot on Amazon they’re creating tons of new screws all the time there in almost every category what do you say to that. That argument then we can kind of peeled onion on private label even further if you want. Melissa: [12:56] I think it’s true and one of the things I did I mean private label is kind of a challenge everywhere but on Amazon it’s it’s a hyper challenge because there’s so much e-commerce happening there and then. On top of that Amazon has some unfair treatment of private-label in terms of they have special content that the private label brands have access to them. Access to special widgets that other brands don’t have access to and then like you said they have access to data. Scot: [13:23] The break between Amazon Choice I’ve noticed it. Melissa: [13:26] And they’re very yes exactly that too I had a client where they had a product. Amazon came in and basically kind of pretty much a very similar products same colors in the fashion space and half the SPF. The price and so you know all the sudden their demand when was cut in half basically and I think it just pushes manufacturers to, keep an eye on their quality in their price and their reviews and their star ratings as much as they can. And then you know talk to Amazon about not being so aggressive on their detail pages, which is what they actually talk to them about because it’s hard for brand to say we’re going to pay Amazon a bunch of coop and money, Burnett Drive traffic to our pages and then they’re going to see a cheaper you know version of our product on her page and so that is. Big Challenge to Brands and so. Scot: [14:25] So should bran just avoid Amazon because that like what’s what’s your advice to brands that are not selling on Amazon and they’re worried about private label. Melissa: [14:32] I think that. I mean I’m a little bit biased because of what I do but I think that Brands need to be on Amazon because that’s where the traffic in the eyeballs are but they need to focus on building the reviews and their star rating and having good pricing and having good products. That you know maybe Amazon copies but if they’re better and they can still be there that’s what they have to do. Scot: [14:57] And it’s way it’s kind of existential argument right so if if your brand and you don’t believe your brand that’s enough value to stand out against private label then why are you even a brand is kind. That’s why I can never get my head around in that argument but I understand their concern. Does does Amazon just kind of sit there in mind how does Amazon come up with private label ideas is it. I’ve always thought of it from a they’re so focused on the customer that they’re trying to identify these gaps and selection and price points and it ends up colliding with a lot of things. Melissa: [15:30] I didn’t so I obviously don’t know but my guess is one of the things that we specially in the grocery and CBD space that’s so constrained with margins and profitability. My guess is that they look at these categories were they have a really tough time making money with the manufacturers and go private label so that they can make the margins that they want to make so I think that’s one of the the big opportunities for them. And they just they definitely have a prioritize list that they’re kind of working through based on a bunch of different criteria of demand the category size, the data that they have collected and then where the profitability lies. Scot: [16:08] Being a native satellite I think one time you told me that there’s like a really hot group with an Amazon is that still kind of a hot group to you working for the private label area or videos when Elsa. Melissa: [16:19] You know I think I know I think that that group has definitely grown but I think that there is also other hot groups like Alexa like the shiny new penny is definitely a kind of the AI and Alexa and Amazon go groups. Seems like that that’s you know there’s always kind of this Rush maybe private label has continued to grow but these other groups going to be a little bit more popular. Jason: [16:41] The M Amazon alumni group seems a little more popular than it used to be a lot of lot of like pretty high-profile defection. Melissa: [16:49] Yeah yeah it has been I don’t know maybe this stock price today hit a high and people cashed out and ready to to move to a new place I don’t know. Jason: [16:56] I was assuming it was some big trunk show of options that finally vested or something is what I was guessing but going back to the the brand conundrum for a minute it’s it’s interesting I want to unpack a couple things like. I almost desperately try to avoid calling it private label with clients because private label has a particular connotation that. Brands are aware of and that they’re not overly concerned about like the private label mono was. Retail is going to make a carbon copy of a branded product and not marketed so the marketing is you walked up to the store to buy the brand and product in you. Stumble over the private label copy and some percentage of the audience will opt to pay less for that private label product right. That was always erosive to some. Some portion of the Brand’s Revenue but what Amazon is doing and frankly what all other big retailers are doing now is not private label it is not let’s make a carbon copy of the national brand and just. Put it on the product detail page next to the the national brand its let’s create a product. Has its own value proposition in a mini cases has competitive advantages versus the national brand and then let’s Market the hell out of it and make people want. Answer to me it’s it’s an owned brand strategy it’s a strategy that were retailers are making brands that are explicitly trying to out brand the brand so. [18:27] Hey I am at score I’d say the brand should be more worried than they potentially are but then the flip side of this is. It’s not just Amazon its Walmart its Target its Costco. And it’s Amazon and they’re all creating these Brands if you’re in a world where the only way you can survive is if no one else can peace with you. [18:49] Then you’re just at the end of your life like that model doesn’t work anymore there used to be this explicit deal with Brands and retailers the brands. Created the product and they traded interest at the top of the photo in the Retailer’s found the traffic and traded interest at the bottom of the funnel and they had this at the alliance. That Alliance is now gone and so I would say two brands. You need to be everywhere where the traffic is in the traffic is certainly on Amazon but you need to have as a strategy to win in an environment when they’re all these great competitors trying to knock you off. Melissa: [19:20] Yeah and they’re so what you’re saying I mean I totally agree they’re they’re really building their brand they’re using all their marketing vehicles to do it. And so I like to study their private label so I am a student of you know Harley doing their content what are the marketing vehicles are doing how are they. It’s a route how are they boxing their products had the you know I did a whole workshop on how Amazon does private label and actually bought all the products and show people how their packaging it is it’s the perfect way for people to learn understand the best way to do it. Scot: [19:48] I love the battery packaging it’s like having spent you know 8 hours stabbing myself trying to open up the the Duracell and Energizer they’re just opening up a nice cardboard box and just right there is this pretty hen. Melissa: [20:00] And batteries is actually isn’t the Private Label Amazon Amazon Basics like 70% market share or so. Scot: [20:07] According to 1010data it’s really out selling all the all the Branded products and I think we are going to show it is also baby wipes if I remember like some batteries. Jason: [20:16] Yeah but you’re at right there that the market leader Amazon elements batteries are the market leader right by over 10% market share over Duracell. Melissa: [20:26] One of you notice too and some of the widgets I was talking about they attach their amazonbasics to a lot of these other devices within consumer electronics it’s you know it an attachment that you can add to that again kind of one of those. I’m very Replacements potentially but that’s you know it it’s interesting. Jason: [20:45] It’s a podcast so I know I wasn’t as can’t see it but every time someone says unfair to Department of Justice attorneys like pop up right behind her and they’re like. Furiously scribbling notes it’s crazy I don’t know what that is I’ll leave it. Scot: [20:58] Did she say Monopoly. Jason: [20:59] Yeah I have no idea what’s going on there but that sounds interesting that we have a showing that the one thing I have noticed a lot of these brands that historically have been holdouts and maybe even public kind of public about their lack of presence on Amazon it feels like. Like there’s any news over the last year that a lot of them are starting to have a presence in that like one that comes to mind for me is Nike any. Is this just an edible that we’re going to start seeing all these guys on there anything interesting about the strategies your scene from those kinds of brands. Melissa: [21:29] Yeah I mean I think I think it goes back to the same everybody whether they’re on Amazon or not they need to have an Amazon strategy, I think Nike you know they got a lot of news and attention and then other people are who are not on Amazon yet or kind of seeing them as the first one I think other ones will fall soon thereafter. But it’s one of the nicest thing was really about them controlling their brand on Amazon and having a partnership because they were tired having such a lack of control. And so I think that we’ll see more of that happening where they come in and and try to control their brand more. And I think what Nikes doing is really interesting to outside of the Amazon where they were using more experiences with Instagram and in other mediums to bring more of the experiential part. Jason: [22:18] I snap I think was the big block that they want us to new shoe with a cool snap. Melissa: [22:23] If they had the whole Super Bowl with Justin Timberlake write that was Nike word then you could buy that product. So I think I think Aunt people want to use Amazon for scale you know and and maybe come at some of the some of the basics but then having some experience is like that to really drive the brand to. Scot: [22:40] Yep there’s a lot of tacos Nike selling on Amazon really just control the third-party Marketplace at some point Amazon’s got to look at the numbers and see if what they lost from third-party is not as big as what thank you selling I don’t imagine. Melissa: [22:53] 08 why I guarantee you it would be way more if they didn’t have that relationship. Scot: [22:58] Yeah yeah so you’re a bit of an advertising Guru on Amazon what are some of the trends there we maybe give folks that there are new to it high-level overview of the offerings and then what you’re saying people take advantage of. Melissa: [23:13] Yeah so Amazon has basically a paid search offering which is cuter based cost-per-click you can bid on keywords similar to Google AdWords. And then they have a CPM display advertising Network across Kindle mobile desktop and Amazon advertising platform. Scot: [23:31] Amazon advertising platform is for like off Amazon so some of those damn zyalix or something that will follow them kind of retargeting within starting at the Amazon ecosystem. Melissa: [23:40] Yes and just be a little bit more complicated actually you can leverage it ASAP Amazon advertising platform you’re basically leveraging Amazon’s audience. And targeting and you can actually Target them off Amazon or on Amazon to Andy on Amazon is maybe less or inventory but you it’s a cheaper way to get onto desktop. Scot: [24:01] Got it and then so then one thing it’s always been confusing is what’s available to first-party and what’s available to third-party any news on them. Melissa: [24:11] Yeah so you traditionally 1p and 3p have had very different offerings but they’re really starting to come together. Much more and have much more parody so they’re still a slight lack of parody within paid search there’s one one ad type with in paid search that they don’t have access to which is that, practice play I’d which is right underneath the buy box on a detail page so I still don’t have access to that they recently opened up headline search ads to third party. Scot: [24:41] That’s that’s that long vertical strip that kind of takes over the top yet. Melissa: [24:46] And then display advertising has always been available to third parties, it’s just that a little bit more expensive and maybe they they haven’t wanted to to spend money on it but it’s definitely a bigger focus with an Amazon now is reaching third parties with Angie. Scot: [25:03] You told me there’s a new acronym floating around what’s that new one. Melissa: [25:06] Overpaid search it’s so. Paid search is called a mess for when he Amazon marketing services and then it’s been called sponsored products or 3p but now there’s actually a sponsor products I have Lancer Chad’s it’s super confusing. So now they’re referencing it as sspa which is cell service performance advertising. Scot: [25:26] So sspa is the new name for EMS or just like for a sponsor. Melissa: [25:29] The new name for search. Scot: [25:32] For search and it was in there you have the banner thingy in the thing under the box and the sponsored listings sponsored Prada. Melissa: [25:40] The products and product display ads all of it. Scot: [25:42] And it’s agnostic to one p3p. Melissa: [25:47] The term sspa is agnostic that yep they like to call it search and display just to be super simple. Scot: [25:54] Got it. And the SS supplies more cell service so I guess a lot of brands are there more using agencies do you think that. That’s negative three agencies cuz now the brands can come and go to the cell service or are they always just do it self service and you think they’ll need help. Melissa: [26:13] Question so Amazon in general is a platform is more more self-service they want paid search and they really launch pit search to be a completely self service. Capability and they. I think Amazon’s pretty agnostic as to whether an agency runs it or whether a brand runs it although they’ve always had this feeling like they want to cut out their parties because they had that money that they’re paying a third party they they don’t they feel like that’s wasted money. Scot: [26:42] Your margin is mapperton. Melissa: [26:43] Exactly. So you know if you cut out that third party in a brand could just run at themselves and they can have some more money and paid search that’s that’s probably an Amazon mine better but the reality is at Brann’s is that you need that person with the expertise to be able to run it. If you lack the expertise you should Outsource it. Scot: [27:02] Yeah this is Ernesto Google kind of famously was anti brand for very long time and Tide Agency for a long time and then it kind of swimming around and realize I had to embrace it you think Amazon will go to that or just like not part of their culture to embrace the partnering kind of them all. Melissa: [27:16] I think Amazon wants to embrace partnering but they don’t know how they’re to me they’re kind of in between Google and apple and where Google super open and apple super close, and then Amazon somewhere in the middle where they’re date they they are really trying to figure out agency Partnerships Ashley have a whole team dedicated to this Outreach. And they’re what they’re trying to build is, Automation and scalability with agency Partnerships so they want to create a portal where they can’t you can come and get all the content information you need and never talk to human potentially more they can do that the more they can scale. But that’s I think that’s kind of the vision but it hasn’t hasn’t happened quite yet. Jason: [27:58] It seems like they want to accomplish that in every aspect of their business. Melissa: [28:00] Yeah automation is the way to scale. Jason: [28:04] Yep yep. Changing topics just lately there’s been a lot of brick-and-mortar news lately and mostly negative potential super tragically for me it looks like Toys R Us might not even emerge from there. [28:20] Their bankruptcy I bet that went after all then I’ll be crushed if I don’t even ever learn to the song. Melissa: [28:26] Do you go to Toys R Us with him. Jason: [28:27] So I haven’t yet I’m eager to my wife is slightly less eager but I feel like that was the first song I learned as a kid so it seems like you should I’m not super nostalgic about all this retail stuff. But that would leave a huge hole in the toy industrial be interesting but I’m somewhat curious. Like as as someone that like predominately plays on the digital side and then obviously like you know so much expense in Amazon what your POV is on the. On the retail side of this just inevitable as as consumer Behavior shift to digital or what it what do you how do you think about retail Armageddon. Melissa: [29:03] I think I think the interesting about Toys R Us in the one that I was really sad about was Claire’s, I’m where I got my ears pierced and my daughter got my I told my daughter his at 8 that Claire’s is probably declaring bankruptcy and her first question to me was where all the girls going to get their ears pierced she was very concerned about this. Think that you know when they are still there right about Toys R Us that that I think one of the executive said was that kids are changing their not playing with toys anymore. And maybe it’s true that there’s so much more digital content consumed with. Unboxing videos on YouTube but I feel like these retailers need to bring more that experience their stores to drive more the traffic there and that it’s just about the same products you know what the price for it. Scot: [29:48] The same time as new brand is just really taking off like Melissa & Doug which kind of implies there’s demand for toys are just like not being found them out missing them they went through more like the booty toy stores because. Toys R Us toys and then they prove there is a market for. Melissa: [30:05] And I know Melissa & Doug thought of Amazon his big strategy for them to. So you know I think if you’re just selling toys and there’s nothing else you know that store trip is less convenient I need to provide a reason for people to keep coming back to the store. Scot: [30:24] Absolutely yes, surprising that they missed the event an opportunity again so why can’t you have birthday parties at Toys R Us in all kinds of different things just kind of like the Mist experiential side of. Jason: [30:36] Interesting late and I seen how well played. But like one of the Retailer’s he’s talking about like beating up their toys to try to fill in that Gap as you mention events is Party City. [30:45] I’m so that that would potentially be a new audience for them I’m not sure it’s like completely synergistic but but funny that you had mentioned events. Scot: [30:55] Back over to Amazon what are some of the other things you see them experimenting with these days that are interesting that book should learn about. Melissa: [31:04] One of things I think it’s interesting and on the last show I think you guys ask me a question like what you did Amazon get into and I said I think they should offer Healthcare to Prime customers and if you remember that. Scot: [31:15] Yes very prescient on your. Melissa: [31:18] And then now they want this whole Health Care initiative they also have this ability to create a private label drugs I think to like medicine over the counter drugs yeah. Scot: [31:28] And if registered as a pharmacy in like 20 something States. Jason: [31:33] Equipment. Scot: [31:33] Yeah and equipment. Melissa: [31:35] I think that with all their experimentation with a I like they have such an opportunity the healthcare industry had is so not transparent you know when you go into surgery have no idea how much you’re spending. I think the Amazon has such such such a big opportunity in this industry to really disrupt it. And make it better for consumers so I’m really excited about what they’re doing there I think the Amazon Go technology is really cool have you guys been to the ghost or I know you have right. Jason: [31:59] I haven’t been to it since it’s legal. Melissa: [32:01] Okay. Jason: [32:02] It’s it feels I could take some of the fun out of it when there’s like no danger of you being arrested. Melissa: [32:07] Yeah I think that I think that go Technologies really cool actually. And I say they’re opening a new Amazon building in South Lake Union and I think that PCC is going in there which is kind of interesting that another go is not going in to another Whole Foods or something like that is not going to another building. Jason: [32:26] For those that are not seattleites PCC is local co-op grocery. Melissa: [32:34] Yes maybe they’ll adopt maybe the License To Go technology. Jason: [32:38] Potential yeah that that brings up a good question there’s someone of a Honda bait amongst go followers weather. Joe is a another technology platform that Amazon does license to third parties on Amazon web services or shipping with Amazon all those sorts of things or weather. It is potentially something that Amazon would keep proprietary do you have a like what you would you expect to see them license go. Melissa: [33:06] I think so I think that they would license it cuz I think that people going to build their own technology anyway so you know then they can control people they can get the data. Jason: [33:17] And it seems like it follows a pattern of so many of the other technologies that they’ve done interpointe. There there’s I can find 10 companies that have similar technology that maybe further or last so long but it’s not unique to Amazon and so. Like why wouldn’t you it’s not like no retard will be able to do it if you don’t license it so it’s not a huge moat but there is. There is an interesting school of thought that most of the things that Amazon license have this sort of acceleration affect other parts of their business that’s the last likely. This was obvious go. So I was just it was going to be interested in it will be interesting to watch how that plays out but the big question the most important question everyone seems to ask about Amazon which I. Being totally sarcastic cuz I think it’s way over played hq2 any thoughts about where. Where the the first non Seattle headquarters is and as a Seattle and are you even allowed to talk about that or is it too depressing to talk about. Melissa: [34:18] I think it would be really great for Seattle because of traffic is insane and out of control so I think most people want a separate hook orders to like lessen the traffic burden. My wishful thinking I don’t know where but my wishful thinking with the Austin because I’m a Texan and I would move their back there in a heartbeat if it where Austin Whole Foods is there. Jeff Bezos is from Texas from Houston although I heard he bought a big huge house near Washington DC so. I think Austin’s in the running I’m I’m rooting for them what about you where do you think it’s going to be. Jason: [34:52] So I think DC I think there’s a there are these cognitive biases that we all have and one of them is we all think whatever we’re from or whatever we live is the best place in the world to live. Until the Austin thing is totally fair and. And I think would be a good fit in a variety of ways but like Scott Galloway who like to talk about it a lot like he keeps predicting New York and I joke that like only people that live in New York think New York is the. Best place in the world to live I just think all the all the other factors. That there need to be closer to 4 lobbying and the very big risk that some of these some some version of. Amazon Google Apple likely get some antitrust challenges and like need really strong government relations in the next few years I just think you had all that together and it’s like. Washington’s most likely and if for no other reason there’s three cities in the mix there so I triple my chances of being right. Scot: [35:53] I saw an interesting Wall Street report this morning from an analyst and they had a firm that has a machine learning AI kind of thing and they sucked in all this data. And it’s been out Boston and when they kind of dug into y. It was looking at all that Amazon job openings and they have so many machine learning AI job openings which is kind of like I don’t know if they I scooted this way which makes me like freak a little bit but. Jason: [36:17] AI has AI biases. Scot: [36:18] Yeah and then what it had done is it had looked at kind of the you know the it had some demographic that she evidently Boston is very high most likely I would imagine because of a mighty in a talent in machine learning, so that does come interesting. Unbiased review of it I thought it was was. Melissa: [36:36] So is that your pic what’s your pic. Scot: [36:38] I go Austin First DC 2nd and Austin get some clothes to Whole Foods witches they made a really big bet on and it is. Melissa: [36:46] And also is very similar to the Seattle culture just way way hotter. Scot: [36:50] Yeah the negative in Austin is at the flights in and out of really bad I don’t know what build a direct for you guys but I bet today there isn’t a Seattle Direct. [37:01] List of places you have to go in to DFW and then hop over. Jason: [37:07] I will point out getting Austin is a bit of a challenge but getting a Bentonville is a huge challenge to and that doesn’t seem to have just waited the big companies in Bentonville so. Scot: [37:15] Yes little different recruiting perspective I don’t think you would pick them Bill if you had done what you needed machine learning calendar. Jason: [37:22] I’m not I wasn’t for most I wasn’t from running Bentonville although that would be the most. Scot: [37:27] There’s a reason. Com is not there. Jason: [37:30] Surprise Bentonville. Scot: [37:31] That would be fine. Jason: [37:34] We buy Tyson chicken and we’re taking over. Scot: [37:36] One thing you didn’t mention in one of Jason’s favorite thing is voice Commerce or conversational Commerce are you think it’s too early for Brands we think about that or or should they be thinking about building an Alexa skill or how that impacts our world at all. Melissa: [37:51] I think the biggest thing that they can be thinking about is improving their relevance and start drinking so that when people ask boys. What they should buy that they’re at the top of the list but in terms of building. Skill specific to a brand I think it’s so early because nobody’s downloading that still there asking Alexa for music. And some of those things I talk to someone at the Alexa team who is working on. New technology building you things and what they said was really interesting which was they wanted make Alexa so important like. When you if you walked into his house and you took his kids cell phone away the kid was like murder you before you left the door and he wants to create experiences like that that are so important so things like. You know any gratian’s into your car or you know like really important experiences and your day and so I think Brands he was thinking about like how can they. Jason: [38:57] Set a recap he wants to elicit childhood murder. Tendencies more so than South. Scot: [39:03] Get weird friends is all we need is more addictive devices we’re already seeing a backlash on that. Jason: [39:08] That’s because that’s one of the big problems in the world is there’s not enough devices to attack children. [39:15] Another thing that came up in the conversation I want to do it back to you real quick is you admitted to a change in the Prime Pantry program and I was wondering if you could say a little bit more about that and and like what if anybody giving two Brands to take advantage of the nuisance. Melissa: [39:29] So that yeah this just came out and I think it was now instead of so there was a fee per box that was shipped use it was like. 599 or something we build your box and it’s 599 to ship it to you and now I think they’ve come out with is it $5 a month subscription program and then is it I think it’s all you can you just you just subscribe to it. And it shows that it just shows that they’re constantly playing with this business model to try to make it work and I think it’s really interesting because. Prime Pantry has been this place where when you can’t make your assortment work on the core platform in a bigger size you can typically. You know sell your products in smaller size quantities on the Prime Pantry platform because it’s more of an Market Basket building exercise and there’s no better margins associated with it so. A lot of Brands actually that are not fit for the core platform can actually sell more they’re serving Prime Pantry. But Prime Pantry is always had this problem of adoption and trying to get more people to buy their so I think that this is one of those. Opportunities to drive more traffic to Prime Pantry and to make those Economics work better. So I think that it’s it’s good thing for a lot of these companies who are putting this offline assortments online and trying to get more sales of that so. Jason: [40:58] I think you’re exactly right I think it’s like ultimately Prime Pantry is more a solution for vendors than it is for consumers. Melissa: [41:06] Exactly. Jason: [41:07] Obviously to be a good solution that has to get consumer to adopt it and the $6 per drink charge was a big burden like you had. Super interested in building a box before you’re going to take that $6 out of your wallet it’s kind of like. When you pay by the hour for internet people that use the internet a lot and when they switch to. All you can use model of course it became much more addictive and so by switching to a and all you can get model on Prime Pantry maybe look at more option and it’ll be even better solution for the vendors. Scot: [41:40] One last question in this is a big story of Amazon’s culture and we talked about that on the last show so I. I found the leadership principles I’ve got a copy of that that’s really good reading I really enjoy that one thing I still can’t understand is so Amazon has like six hundred thousand employees and I deal with a lot of big companies in Channel visor. They just go so slow like there’s groups like your head and injuring group they want to go fast and then legal gets in bar called rhri rpr. How does Amazon go so fast and avoid that that that problem were like damn his own legal team comes in and grinds at 12 like. Melissa: [42:16] They don’t have a legal team I’m just kidding. Scot: [42:18] I almost wonder like you know one example is the prime now lady has been she spoken at shop talking. You know where they opened one and then they got green light and they open like 20 in like 6 months or something like that you could never do that in any other company because there would be the team of lawyers that would come up with all the reasons that would be a terrible thing to do how does Amazon. Melissa: [42:41] You know I’m. Scot: [42:42] Does each team just like its own little Independent Business and they don’t have to go through Amazon corporate legal or is like corporate legal is just so bought into the day one thing that they just let you do there they’ve got the risk scale slid way over tomorrow to start a pecan place. Melissa: [42:56] Well I think one thing is so the legal question is that mean they definitely do have layers and they definitely have to approve everything but the other thing that Amazon does is they launched things at 70% like they never wait for it to be fully baked. I’m in which is you know kind problematic for a lot of us working on these tools because they have literally bugs in them that you know are true bugs that don’t work. But one of the things is there speed-to-market that they’re able to accomplish through really escalated processes and so they they do have a legal team that does have to approve things but I think that they just. Jetway faster and don’t have as many you know their risk profile maybe a little bit higher I do I don’t know. But I mean I definitely we have there’s a lot of legal. You know approvals and place but the other thing I think that enables them to go so fast is that they never wait until things are completely baked they don’t have to have this long. In a business case to to have it they’re able to just move very quickly and it’s actually the number one thing that my friends have left Amazon and now are working at. Other companies especially manufacturers they complain about is this speed. Is so much slower it’s like they feel like they’re Turtles compared to the speed at which they’re used to being able to why do people are just getting a lot of autonomy. And I’m Stephanie Landry who’s the you know she’s amazing. Really has that by fraction is that big principle one of those principles were talking about. Scot: [44:31] Again I come to the car crosslife companies that are bigger and have despised fraction but then like some parts at work just like Yang some. BJ’s legal almost makes me think like the legal team must have some SLA with the rest of the company that they have to respond quickly like it’s nothing illegal says no it’s just like they don’t respond and it’s like 6 months ago. Melissa: [44:50] I think there any they’re pretty responsive and I think the other thing too is that they try to lessen the dependencies and bottlenecks from other team, which is why you kind of got the toll pass for when peeing 3p going different directions because they were built on toy different platforms they didn’t have to wait for each other other now that’s coming back around but that’s why. That that happened. Jason: [45:12] To me it it it feels like part of this I call Amazon a very object-oriented cultural I called all these individual little parts are tried to. Be maintained is autonomously as possible and they just Define the inputs and outputs to each little team and they don’t have these big staff meetings that we was invited to and ever. Just feels obligated to kind of Pile in iFunny I’m curious. I have the opposite problem I hire all these X amazonians and I’m always super excited because I feel like I’m going to get all these employees that are reading these well-thought-out 6, grease on everything we want to do and apparently they throw away Microsoft Word as soon as they leave Amazon and they send me a bunch of really crappy PowerPoint that they haven’t used in the last five years of their career so I’m super curious, if you guys are mainly a PowerPoint culture now that you’re not an Amazon. Melissa: [46:02] Sadly I think that because I’m so quiet like I work with so many clients that PowerPoint just happens to be the format that works really well. And also actually at work a lot with most of our bed software development is in China and so it worked out with the WeChat. That’s the first thing I had to download and get used to it as we chat but so word is is maybe a little bit less in my culture these days. Jason: [46:29] Cool well that’s going to be a great place to be there because it’s happening again we’ve used all of our a lot of time in the special path of purchase Summit edition of, Jason and Scott show so if you have any questions about the stuff we discussed or any other questions for Melissa feel free to jump on her Facebook page and will continue the dialogue there, and as always if you enjoy this episode this is a great reason to jump on the iTunes and finally give us that five star rating that you’ve been withholding its driving Scott crazy and I I’m really starting to worry for the mental health, and told that I will see you in the next Shell. Scot: [47:05] Yep yep definitely does ratings and thanks for being on the show mall so we appreciate it. Jason: [47:09] Until next time happy commercing!

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP118 - Commerce Industry News

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 28, 2018 47:55


This episode catches up on the latest e-commerce news: Upcoming Industry Events Etail west 2/26 – 3/1 Palm Desert Path to Purchase Summit – March 12-14 – Chicago* IBM Think 3/19-22 Las Vegas ShopTalk 3/18-21 Las Vegas* Adobe 3/25-3/29 Las Vegas NPD Idea 5/15-17 Austin* SAP Sapphire June 5-7, Orlando IRCE, June 5-8 Chicago Shop.org, Sept 12-14, Las Vegas* * Denotes shows Scot and Jason will be attending and broadcasting from. Register for the Jason's Webinar on AI in Commerce, Thursday March 1st. Register to join Jason & Scot at the Path to Purchase Summit in Chicago March 12-14 Amazon News Amazon acquires Ring for $1.1B Funny article about clues to the selected city for Amazon HQ2 Amazon Go to expand to 6 more stores Listener Question:  What happens to Fresh when Amazon delivers from Whole Foods? Walmart News Walmart reports slower than anticipated e-commerce growth Gartner blog on Walmart Pricing Walmart new apparel brands Walmart unveils Allswell home brand of mattresses, bedding Specialty Home redesign Walmart in-store mobile app redesign Other News Target CEO Squak-box interview Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 118 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Tuesday, February 17th 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing.   Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 118 being recorded on Tuesday February 27th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scott Wingo. Scot: [0:40] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason and Scott show listeners Jason you have a big webinar coming up this week that I think listeners would love to hear about the also it's live video so listeners will actually get to see you, that's exciting. Jason: [0:55] I know I know I feel like I do have a face for podcast so that you know is not necessarily a good thing but I'm a little disheveled right now I sort of torn apart my office to set up a little, video set up because I'm doing the webinar on artificial intelligence in Commerce, with episerver and I'm doing it on Thursday morning, and the reason we're mentioning it on the show is because the last big webinar that they did I had this author I really like and I am embarrassed to say I don't exactly know how to pronounce his name but I think it's near y'all and he wrote this great book called hooked which is a lot about, how people form habits and and he's a super interesting cognitive psychologist but he did the last webinar and I'm desperate to. Get a better attendance than him so I think I just passed him in pre-registration and you know hopefully I'll bring it home on Thursday morning for the Jason and Scott show. Scot: [1:57] Awesome we're counting on you also it's it's starting to be season here of trade shows and we have I think 3 or 4 we're going to be there together which is pretty exciting going on right now and neither of us were able to attend Izzy tail West so bummer on that one. Jason: [2:12] Yeah but shout out to everyone enjoying the good weather in Palm Springs. Scot: [2:15] Yeah yeah can't can't blame me for one down so once we're going to get together March 12th to 14th in your hometown Chicago we're going to get the path to purchase Summit, and it will be at shop talk in Las Vegas and then in PD ID in Austin March 18th to 21st, and it be the idea is May 15th to 17th so it's going. Jason: [2:37] Exactly and I'm I'm speaking at shoptaw Canton PD but I'm particularly looking forward to Pat the purchase cuz I'm just going to be in the audience heckling you. Scot: [2:45] Yeah yeah I look forward to your heckling it'll be funny usually want to do that no one realizes who you are and it's Robert so it's always good. Jason: [2:53] Even when they know who I am it's generally super awkward. Scot: [2:55] Psych episode of the office but looks stretched out and more painful. So since we're hitting the traits of circuit and we do that we do have a lot of guests lined up we're going to the Sobe we missed last week due to me I was on a little bit of a holiday so this week we're going to catch up on news and then, it'll be a little bit of a news coverage drought so we need to kind of knock this one out and of course when it comes to news it wouldn't be a Jason Scott shows without. Amazon news new your margin is there opportunity. [3:38] Big news today it's been kind of timely that what you were going to do the podcast today which is good we appreciate Amazon working this out for us then else one of their biggest Acquisitions ever they are spending a billion dollars to acquire ring. Rings cool as in October I think Rings kind of classic case study there for other option verse so the CEO the founder went on Shark Tank and was rejected by all the sharks I thought it was, terrible idea admittedly the name wasn't that good was called doorbot. They just kind of her like you know we can't see how or why anyone would use this thing so just goes to show you that sometimes when all these experts and your is reject you that you need to just kind of hang in there then they caught the eye of Richard Branson and he invested some like $38 I guess he really, saw used for the product Amazon was an investor to the Alexa fun and they raised a considerable amount of VC. [4:32] Rivers word that they were out raising Capital at kind of what's called a unicorn valuation or north of a billion dollars and Amazon has picked him up for a billion bucks. What do you think about the new station. Jason: [4:44] Yeah they I really appreciative of Amazon getting all the news in before our go on their deadline I think that's always very considerate of Jeff, number one listener thanks again, and I think it's it it seems like a checks a lot of boxes for Amazon I think Amazon his has had a major push into devices and smart home obviously they have you know this huge put on hold with the, the Alexa but you know they, they bought that camera company not long ago I mean I feel like just as a consumer product space they've been particularly interested in that space and then you add to that that this that ring could be an integral part of, giving Amazon delivery people and Home Service people access to the home like it you know it suddenly is synergistic with their supply chain and reverse Logistics Ambitions and so it seems like. It's pretty it's a pretty clever investment and you know a lot of us were talking about after the big Whole Foods acquisition, then maybe we wouldn't see another big retailer acquisition but that you know didn't necessarily mean that Amazon wasn't going to continue to be aggressive so to me this is. [5:55] Another great example of them. Trying to be in a build or own a consumer brand that has even competitive differentiation in the marketplace. Scot: [6:06] Yeah that really cons pros got let down if you can't think about the other, folks really active in the space you have apple who's really playing catch-up they just kind of came out with their smart speaker and as we discussed on the show it's, not not really clear that's going to be a big hit and it really doesn't do much more than be a speaker and then you have Google and. Google is just kind of frantically also playing catch-up they acquired Nest which gave them the thermostat and they put Dropcam into that cycle of a camera and then they have the Google Home Smart speaker. You pointed out to me that those things actually don't really work well together which is kind of funny you know it's cuz they're all it in the Google House of devices. And then you know they there was talk of Nest coming out with a ring competitor, so no now Amazon has bought the number one doorbell device Irene was working on a cool security camera which I tried the private label ish kind of Amazon home. Cameron is not very good so I'm hoping that the the new ring camera will displace that or or at least have a better offering in that category so it's going to be pretty. [7:14] I agree with you at the cut checks a bunch of boxes for Amazon so you know I get into the. Alexa ecosystem will be great it kind of helps with home automation security which is this huge area that no one's really conquered yet, then you have the delivery you know and and then another area I watch her the clothes that Amazon seems to be encroaching and more and more is home services so imagine some kind of an Amazon either. Either, Marketplace from services with like a cleaning service or Amazon actually does it themselves through employees. You know you could have all this time together and in one seamless experience so you could have it kind of. The Holy Grail experience would be you you order your groceries through you know that your Alexa wish list they are delivered to youth from at Whole Foods. And then you your do all this while you're at work and then you've authorized ring to allow access to your house to certain folks and maybe there's some. [8:11] Maybe they hold up a QR code or some kind of authorization there with the ring device that doesn't even require you to answer your phone and see who it is and they place the items in your house so it really kind of. Thinking through this user experience in connecting the dots and in a really interesting way that is so far ahead of everyone else is getting a little scary to be honest with you. Jason: [8:30] Yeah and you know when when you said I didn't immediately think of but the, you know I think it's another big Synergy for Amazon you know most of these cameras are inside your house right so inside your front door or in your new Nursery or whatever the case is that the primary ring camera is, on your porch and you know of course there's there's this huge problem in e-commerce of porch piracy where where you know bad people are are coming to people's houses and stealing their packages and that that happens frequently enough that it's a it's a major, problem for some consumers that are frayed to buy stuff and have it delivered to their home so it literally is a limiting factor for Amazon and so having a, an army of these devices that you don't have the potential did dissuade porch Pirates you know is even another synergistic thing with Amazon. Scot: [9:20] Yeah you could even do some cool stuff with a I wear a ring on her I don't have one they're telling the there's some neighborhood alert feature and so you can almost see you know if there is a. Porch pirate out there you know a I could, detected and then turn on all the ring cameras within a 3-mile radius and and you sit all the video to the police kind of a little scary there on the Privacy side but you know when you do think about these use cases is pretty interesting Amazon has all the pieces to do something like that, actually relatively easily right so think about all the AI and the face mapping and everything inside of the ghost tour, you're so they could easily apply those out rhythms to detecting hey this package was picked up by someone that's not the owner. [10:01] So it's really interesting to think about all these Lego blocks that they're putting together and all the internet use cases to have. Jason: [10:07] Absolutely. Scot: [10:09] Another kind of kind of more on the Whimsical side hq2 search 220 cities, I'm in is really funny that they kind of went into an in da mood where you know they kind of had this huge hoopla about what's going on in and now all these folks hurt the states there negotiating with her under NDA sermons trying to read the tea leaves and. You know I think some of the funnier ones that you noticed conspiracy theories I guess I would call them that are out there. [10:37] There's one that says that Amazon gave a clue that they're going to Austin and if you remember that Super Bowl spot that you and I both kind of thought really won the Super Bowl you know. It kicks off with the lady asking Alexa what the weather is in Austin so a lot of people have kind of tied into that as a clue and then there's a couple other kind of you know Easter eggs in there that there, Canyon to sellers country music that plays in the in the thing this little bit of a stretch but evidently. Austin is has an affinity with peacocks and at the end Anthony Hopkins is sitting there feeding that peacock so I don't people have kind of used the Super Bowl ad is kind of saying is Amazon sending us a subtle clue. Jason: [11:18] Yeah most of those a lot of people are from Austin for the record but yeah. Scot: [11:26] And then another one I saw it was funny is a lot of people were kind of saying oh they're going to. Los Angeles and what would happen is actually a local reporter here they're able to file an information act kind of thing and they got. At least a cover letter for for how the proposal was sent from of a city in North Carolina and it called it project golden. [11:50] And so then a lot of people said they said there's more evidence was found other other reporters kind of took this q and they were able to file these freedom information act. Request get some information mostly cover letters ricewood was redacted. Okay it's called project golden that's like. The Golden State which is Los Angeles or yeah so then everyone but what happened is the person that's just kind of. Gathering Together The Proposal so their last name is golden, who played around this hq2 so even though it's in super quiet mode and in a way it's actually causing more more kind of strange things going on. Jason: [12:34] Again it's it's evilly brilliant PR and you know they they got all these municipalities to you know, drop their drawers and in demonstrate exactly you know how deep their willing to do in terms of Economic Development incentives to get Amazon there and you know whoever Amazon picks for the hq2 they know how much money is on the table from these other cities and you can imagine they're going to use all that in negotiation when there, opening fulfillment centers are other pieces of infrastructure in those cities do you have a front runner in your mind. Scot: [13:07] For the longest time I thought Austin. [13:11] Is it it for me it has a lot of the the elements are looking for so so I can think of this is Amazon's retail business from a people perspective is really well-built out, so I think hq2 is going to be maybe 5 or 10% what you and I would think of is the retail business and the rest is going to be. AWS mom so that's where you let things growing like 60% year-over-year, maybe you put some add business there but but still it's kind of different footprint than the retail business so and and in the proposal and talk about it being largely engineering, so I think it's going to be kind of these y'all hiring cloud-based engineer types so that really made me think Austin because you have three or four engineering schools right there, I'm cost of living infrastructure all those things get checked and it's close to Whole Foods which you know I think if I'd spent 14 billion dollars being near that would be. Pretty nice wind is well within the one thing that is suede me is Scott Galloway has been meeting up making a pretty. Compelling case for the DC area so three of the 20 are in the DC area Bezos just bought like. Largest residence in the DC area and it goes on the DL and then it leaks somehow. Jason: [14:24] How many owns the Washington Post to. Scot: [14:26] News Washington Post is like a toy project and you know they're if you do think about the only thing I see that could cause any kind of existential crisis for Amazon is the government. And I do think you're having the influence, being there getting some of those key virginia-maryland folks in your pocket is pretty interesting so so. I kind of see it as a race between those two Austin if it's a kind of really leaning towards talent and they don't really worry about the government thing I think Austin wins and if they're at the government thing is kind of looming large with them that I think the DC area makes a lot of sense. Jason: [15:01] Yeah no I am I tend to lead towards the DC area as well like you if you sort of think of them. In many ways like Amazon is the next Generation Walmart you know Walmart said really invest in there a lobbying in there and their government relations and, you know like the guy running the government relations program for Walmart is like Dan Bartlett who's the, with the press secretary for George Bush and you know there was a bunch of political news a couple weeks ago I had the number three person at the Department of Justice resigned and she resigned to take a VP job at Walmart so I Walmart building these, this table is like really credible, Washington folks and if that's important to Walmart like you know odds are it it already is or should be important to Amazon and sew in, the proximity make some sense when they are just from the odds perspective you got you got three sites so that seems logical the one thing that. [15:56] Makes me a little dubious of Professor Galloway's. [16:02] Evaluation is he also throws in New York is the front-runner and is why Jake is because everyone wants to live in New York and I kind of called him out on Twitter he he. Took the high road and then respond that only people that live in New York want to live in New York that's a little it's a little bit of a reality bubble that New Yorkers have. Scot: [16:20] Yeah yeah and you know Newark is on there that's like an no way they. Jason: [16:25] Hey that seems like a non-starter to me. Scot: [16:27] Yeah yeah you just can't get text out and some of the things that I have and then you saw some interesting news around the go store. Jason: [16:35] Yeah I think Jason Del Rey broke this on recode but it appears that they're getting ready to scale that out and open six more of those. Stores in Time Turner member but I think they they even identified or speculated some of the the potential for sites was. Austin one of them if I'm remembering right. Scot: [16:59] Yeah I think that carved out another couple already in the Seattle area at which makes sense that's what they did at the bookstore stay I think they open to in Seattle and then they went like San Diego Chicago New York kind of thing. Jason: [17:10] Yeah if you're really going to Market and try to you know Drive traffic to it it it it's much my door to open multiple sites in the same city because then you can buy. Geographic marketing Vehicles like newspaper ads and radio ads in television ads you know opening one store each in a bunch of different cities is much more expensive for traffic generation. Scot: [17:29] Coon and since this is kind of a clever Segway into the grocery last week in our reader question or listener question segment we did run out of time for one of the ones that came in to Twitter and it was from long-term listener Michelle Grant, and she asked do you think Amazon will close fresh and Charlie what do you think about the moose and so I think what she's referencing there is so Amazon did do a little bit of a layoff a couple hundred folks and I think it was the fresh team you know cuz now Amazon essentially has there's a lot of irons in the fire when it comes to a grocery store they have Prime now, they have even like the what is it Warehouse or the the big box thing they have fresh which was the, jewelry that have go and and the Nets Go curbside thing so it had it in and of course at Whole Foods and now they're doing, same day delivery they're on their own how do you reconcile all those things. Jason: [18:28] So I do think fresh as a standalone fulfillment center, model probably does go waste of you if you think about it like. Amazon Fulfillment centers that they generally ship products from them or do One Day deliveries with their Flex drivers from, they've got these Prime now for filament centers which have a much smaller SKU assortment but you know really optimized for that one and two hour delivery, in the fresh cities they have a separate fulfillment center that has a lot more cold storage and accommodations for perishable in the drivers, deliver out of the limited assortment of the fresh profillment Center which was different than the prime now fulfillment center which is different than a, fulfillment center and now they're announcing that they're going to start delivering inventory straight from Whole Food stores and so what I think is going to happen is that that fresh. Fulfillment center as a standalone entity goes away most of the volume for delivering perishables in groceries is going to come from the, the Whole Foods store the Whole Food store. She has a much larger assortment then then fresh did, and I do think Amazon's continuing to build out there, fulfillment center capabilities for cold and Frozen so you know we wouldn't be surprised if they have cold capabilities, in Prime now fulfillment centers and they continue to fulfill some some. [19:59] Cold items from Prime now but I would imagine that those are mainly items that are synergistic with other, other types of products that people buy from Prime now so maybe you need some like, cables in an emergency router for your office and you can also buy you know a case of soda or water you know it wouldn't surprise me if they had those kind of skews in Prime now that you know if you're going to order bananas and milk, that's more likely going to get fulfilled from a Whole Foods rather than a standalone fresh Depot. Scot: [20:30] On the show you guys talk about curbside wins delivery. Is kind of tougher and probably doesn't win sounds like you just going to reconcile that all down two more like delivery dude do you think Amazon does continue with that curbside I think it's called Amazon go pick up or something. Jason: [20:50] Amazon Fresh curbside is it fresh pick up Amazon Fresh pick up, yeah so there are these two first pick up locations in Seattle I continue to strongly believe, that the majority of digital grocery shopping is going to be pick up right so you're going to order your digital groceries from Walmart or Kroger. Or Amazon and you are going to drive to that store. A surrogate location for that store at a convenient time and have someone to load your groceries in your trunk and that's. The economics of that are just infinitely more favorable than the economics of delivering a fresh and we can get in the all the reasons why we just explore delivering perishables are much uglier than the economics for delivering. [21:41] White goods in general merchandise there are niches we're home delivery of fresh make sense and you know rich people in New York and Chicago and California you know where are certainly going to take advantage of that and you know I think. All of Amazon's offerings at the moment with the exception of those two locations are home delivery in so you know I was kind of answering the Fulfillment question through that lens but I also think I'll be utterly shocked if. After Amazon turns does Whole Foods into home delivery venues they don't also offer a curbside pickup option. For pickup at Whole Foods and what's going to be super interesting to me when they do that is, what and if the pricing difference is between having his groceries delivered and picking them up at the store because at the moment the deliveries free as long as you you know trigger certain thresholds. And you know but the the cost for delivery are much higher than the curbside pickup cost so it seems like. You know there's there's going to be a strong argument for there being some price savings if you're willing to pick him up. Scot: [22:50] Prequel show thanks for the question sorry we couldn't get it to it last episode of a glad we were able to pick it up kind of rolled up inside of this Amazon Go News, I'm just wondering I don't think I wanted to pick your brain on the big news kind of over the last week or so was Walmart really miss their e-commerce growth goals for Q4, I am so I think they came in at a paltry 23% which is kind of fun, because that's not too shabby but you know why she was expecting 50% which is a Dunham Park orders and then it there analyst day which we talked about on the show, they're kind of being in their chest and saying hey in 2018 we're going to get this thing cranked up to 60% of the result of that. Stock have been on quite an upswing since the jet acquisition and a lot of this good e-commerce news and it had a single worst day in history, I'm from up with a percentage in a point bases so that did not go over well with the street then, are there is a flurry of Articles you know is Lori on his way out what's going on what what's your take on what happened there. Jason: [23:58] Yeah so I mean just a brief moment of silence for all that that value that was lost when they announced that they're e-commerce crew at 23% when they're, Industries only growing at 16% and oh by the way, traffic in our stores was up in our stores grew by 3.2% which our store volume is way higher than the, the unlined volume and way more profitable so they actually like reported really good financial news with this this one miss about what, you know economically is kind of a relevant portion of their business and they they got cream for it but of course. You and I are listeners know that that that you know in the long run that that winning e-commerce is is Paramount and so I do think it's fair that investors are. I really nervous about that that Miss. So that being said it's interesting cuz you know Walmart had these three phenomenal quarters where they went 63% growth 60% gross 50% growth, and you know when they are doing those two were a bunch of Acquisitions and everyone's like oh the Acquisitions really paid off. And Walmart really pushed back on that and said no no no the bulk of this growth is organic. You know the boat Boca this girl isn't jet or bonobos or ModCloth are you almost out of those those things and so now year later when they kind of lapped those acquisitions. And the girl that is way down you know people are speculating it's because the the Acquisitions are now. [25:30] You. They've been in there for a year and said the cops are against. Against the business Windows Acquisitions and so that hurt them you know Walmart came out and said that they had some Logistics misses and you know that that holiday really had a different mix and that caused them. Tamisium shipments of missing opportunities but what I haven't seen talked about a lot which to me is really the hidden story of both Walmarts growth and Walmart's Miss. Is the last topic we just talked about which is grocery so what what listeners need to remember. Walmart is first and foremost a grocery store I think between 50 and 60% of the revenue is grocery. And you know a year ago they started rapidly rolling out buy online pickup turn side grocery. Two individual Walmart stores and so about a year ago they announced they had their thousand. Grocery pickup store and you know my contention is a huge part of that e-commerce growth is they went from zero groceries to you know some grocery store sales in a thousand stores. And so now they've lap those thousand stores those those thousand stores are in the comps. Answer now the growth you know doesn't look as spectacular unless you open. Another thousand stores which Walmart actually announced they were going to do, and conspicuously absent in this in these latest announcements was any indication of whether they they hit their goal or didn't hit their goal or they were behind and I really think some of the young to be interested to hear some of the. [27:03] The stock analyst you know you know if if they asked us questions and if they got good answers cuz to me. [27:11] We really need to be thinking about these these e-commerce grocery stores a little bit different than pure e-commerce when when Amazon as a product of their e-commerce catalog it's available in all 50 states simultaneously. The grocery is a store by store basis so you almost need a same-store sales number for e-commerce to really see the true growth. In an Eakin e-commerce Grocery and so I like that that maybe evolution of the retail financial reporting that we we start to see. [27:45] One other thing that caught my eye related to that mess is there was funny to me probably not funny to Walmart. A Blog on gardeners website from a guy Bob head to who's one of the good retail Analyst at Gardner and he was talking about how he seen some substantial price fluctuations at Walmart. In a centrally he tells the story about how I-44 research she tried to get his family to buy all there. Their stuff online from Walmart they were they are Walmart shoppers apparently but he tried to get his wife to use walmart.com and she diligently tried and they actually failed because. [28:23] Walmart online pricing was so much higher than their in-store pricing and so you know Bob speculation is. That you know part up part of this mess is that they have this disparity pricing strategy between e-commerce and in-store, and you know that he seen the shift more recently took two closer to Universal pricing and he thinks that might be something at Walmart suggesting. In response to some of their they're softer e-commerce growth. In that that is potentially interesting there is this you know huge urine everyday low price retail or it's it's part of your. [29:04] All brand proposition knew you'd expect to see the lowest price everywhere and if prices are higher online like you know. [29:11] You can understand why that would alienate the core Walmart Shopper and so that that to me is a interesting part of the story that we haven't heard a lot of Anna's talk about is. Is the pricing part because we have separately seen Walmart make some announcements. That you know I kind of funny announcements to hear a retailer make which is. They're shifting focus of their online inventory to be more profitable and they're actually asking cpgs to make. More expensive bundles and more expensive products for them so they can get the AO Vivo online up to get profitability up and the sort of. You know implication and all of this is, hey we're getting tonight's e-commerce growth e-commerce is going to be meaningful for Walmart but one thing that sucks about it is the economics and you know now Walmart's you know trying to shift to be more more profitable online and so you know when you talk about this growth. You know is it is it profitable growth in his part of the the softness and Walmart's growth because they have shifted. They are trying to shift the next to be more profitable online. You know what I don't know but those are going to be the interesting things to follow. Scot: [30:18] Any other Walmart new phone cover. Jason: [30:24] The couple other interesting things they they they have announced some new brands. So they watch a bunch of new apparel Brands and I think they officially I think we're might have already been out but I think they officially announced them today as well I'm so again props to them for getting on our data Toro schedule but cities are Brands like time and true, Tara and Sky nation and I think I'm one call George, and you know for those that are intimately familiar with Walmart's apparel they've they've had private label apparel for a long time like that you know. [30:58] It doesn't have a particular good reputation for style or quality and yet I think it's a pretty big seller into these new these new brands are. Like we were singing The Marketplace the seems like there's a much bigger effort for them to be real brands that are distinct and not simply private label. And so I think like the shift is yours going to see retailers talk about not their private label but they're owned Brands and so I think Walmart would say the only boats and ModCloth are owned Brands and now time in Fruit owned Branford. For Walmart so it's going to be interesting to see if they're able to kind of move up market and get a better reputation in a peril. You know apparel and everyday will prices haven't historically. You know I've been two things you think I'd together so so I think that's working against them a little bit but they also announced a private label for mattresses that seems like it's directly competing with a Casper's of the world in that that brand is called them. All is well I believe. [32:00] And I think some of the new brands are interesting they also announced a couple of redesign so earlier this month they they did a pretty substantial redesign to their mobile app. And what they did is they put a much more robust what I call in store mode they I think they call it the store system. And so this is the notion that if you have the Walmart app and you run it in your house you get one experience but if you happen to be standing in a Walmart store and you open the Walmart app. You get a very different experience that's tailored to the kinds of things you like to do if you're in the store so when you do a search it. What does the search against that stores local inventory they have maps in the app now for all the stores and they help you find products they connect you with the local customer service and the local service offerings like Walmart pay, and MoneyGrams and all those sorts of things in the in the store and said they're they're making the the in-store experience on the mobile app much more robust which is interesting and then. [32:55] They the automatically redesign the home section and they made it you know much richer and content and you know they have some some new shopping utilities like. Shop for furniture by style for example and things that you know who's more likely Walmart was a pretty straight catalog site so adding this kind of, editorial element to their site was interesting and then they have teased that in the coming months we should expect to see a pretty substantial redesign of the whole walmart.com so I'm, I'm always super interested to follow big retailers when they do design refreshes and and see what some of the new thinking might be there. Scot: [33:32] Yeah when I saw the all's well so an ounce of the witches the mattress and maybe think they probably went and tried to acquire Casper purple there's like six of these things now I can't keep them all straight Lisa, are there several others, and they probably didn't like the prices and then you know that it does seem like they're dime a dozen now so I think they're all coming out of a similar kind of a design studio and tractor in China somewhere and they just kind of said let's just do this ourselves I'm almost in surprise that Amazon hasn't done one hour or maybe Amazon hasn't really realized it. Jason: [34:05] No it wouldn't shock me if we see that in the near future. Scot: [34:08] Quick one. Since we just talked about Casper I did notice they opened a store in New York City which is continue that Trend we talked a lot about on the show with these. Digital native Brands getting a certain scale and then having to open stores are I guess they're more showroom me so the mattress you could understand that we're. You're the only so many people they're going to. Trust in store trial and then home trial in the return policy and it is I've enjoyed seeing them in Target stores and I know you care so much about them and, it is nice to have at least get to see one feel it I lay down on it and see what it's like before you take that did to me it's more the time risk of you know. That's another thing I have to ship it back and all that so that was interesting. Jason: [34:52] Yeah absolutely Anna and as we talked about on the show number times I, brick and mortar stores are a great marketing vehicle for online sales and unlike a lot of other marketing Vehicles which are pure expense you know the store can often pay for itself or be profitable and drive a bunch of traffic. E-commerce business so you know, opening showrooms particularly in high traffic areas like New York City you can make make a lot of sense for bran. Scot: [35:17] Couple quick hits so over on the pier Place side eBay has been pretty quiet on that position front and also in keeping with their timing today they announce who won the first positions in a while another Marketplace and it's pretty interesting so, eBay has a long history of not doing well in Japan they they had their own Japanese offering, end of the exit of Japan in 2000 they also didn't do well in China they really struggled with with Asia and general General, partnership with Yahoo auctions so if you look at the the Japanese Marketplace market today. [35:54] Dominated by rakatan Yahoo auctions in an Amazon does really well in Japan as well and so they actually just acquired a startup called the starts called juices. And the name of the marketplace I don't know how to say it so I'll spell it is qoo. And then one zero I would she so I think you would be cute n. JP that's pretty interesting and I saw a rumor that they paid $700 for that, so you have to kind of thinking a why would you pick 2018 after you've been out of the market for 18 years. And my my reading the tea leaves on this is a really good job on kind of, cross-border trade and enabling people around the world to order from. Order from sellers across the world and then doing some interesting things with reshipping and, Google translate and just make the entire eBay catalog as much of it as possible available in areas where the extra don't have a presence so so I imagine when I read this stairs, there is demand for for you know. Probably cross-border trade product and this gives them a platform to kind of put that on where is before their Pi just doing this kind of localized and I kind of caught up it's kind of a, that's kind of a country page where you'll you'll go to eBay. JP but. The listings are all coming for the US and Europe in and they've been Google translated in that kind of thing so this will I think. [37:21] Their interest must be that they're seeing something in the date of the newest in Russia for example some of the largest countries for them where they do this and Brazil in other countries. [37:30] Another couple quick ones back to omni-channel Macy's was in the news this week because they had an awesome 4th quarter, and I hope you're sitting down Jason but they're same-store sales grew 1.4% year-over-year, so that was a no cause for celebration I think there was a Wall Street expectation that they actually have negative same-store sales for the last three years they have been contracting so it is good to see them having increased it just kind of interesting you know that. [37:57] Walmart gets the snot beating out of them for her for 23% growth and e-commerce Macy's I didn't see what they split it out but you know they grew 1.4% and it's kind of like you know, the through the woods and everything is great. So you know that that is still growing shorter there are smaller than overall retail which I believe was in the high 3% for for offline so that was interesting, what other kind of couple things. take out of that announcement they now say they have a third of their skus are with a call Exclusive which to me means more like private label or if they have work with a brand it's only available at Macy's and that seems to be doing well which is at one of the things you and I buy stale retailers to to focus on. And then they required a beauty product called bluemercury at Sephora. And I'm not an expert on this and it's evidently to doing really really well and you know it is exclusive to them and I think they're starting to really kind of. Push that pretty hard the last one I saw that was pretty interesting kind of in the financial news there's been a lot of rumors are Nordstrom's going private and looks like. Now there's there's all these rumors that that deal is getting done the stock reacted to it so and I noticed that, Jason is added them to code Commerce which will be his little kind of Sideshow that he does array shop talk he added one of the Nordstrom store that so it'll be interesting you know you can imagine. [39:25] Is there something going on that's all Jason's going to ask about so you can imagine hopefully maybe a deal will be done by late March or that you know that they're kind of have some timing setup that they can talk about it then or something maybe read too much into that but I thought that was interesting. Jason: [39:37] Yeah I know for sure because they normally don't do a ton of publicity so far I think it's Eric Nordstrom that's going to the recode dinner it'll be interesting to hear what he has to say and I I'm sure you're right that you would certainly get some questions about the, they going private I would do just just one site week Macy's so bluemercury the Cosmetics company their brand that Macy's bought in it and it's killing it luxury cosmetics in general are doing really well it's one of the fast-growing categories and so I told to and Sephora these, two Standalone Cosmetics retailers are are growing really fast like you're doing much better than then retail in general. For all of our our cosmetic Savvy wesner's I'll point out that Sephora is a retailer that carries a bunch of Brands including some private label so, they're probably not the most direct competitor with bluemercury but you know you can think of like a Revlon or L'Oreal or or those those kind of Brands is competing with blue Mercury but evidently the analyst. I have talked about bluemercury being one of the the crown jewels and one of the great assets assets that Macy's is hat. [40:46] So do you feel more more cosmetic aware now Scott. [40:54] What notes are they both carry a bunch of national Brands they both have their own stuff but the the the real Innovation here is why. Before Sephora. If you are interested in shopping for Cosmetics you probably went to a department store when you are a young girl and you became a certain age your mom probably took you to a department store to get your first cosmetics and, all the Cosmetics were shop and Shop so you had the first and foremost pick a brand with your feet so you walked to the Mac counter or you you walked to the, repair counter or whatever whatever Cosmetics you had an affinity for and you shocked by brand, and so support I had this sort of game-changing notion that like hey people don't want to stop by. Brand necessarily they want to shop I use case so I had to put all the foundations here from all the brands and let's put on the moisturizers over here from all the brands and that, that concept played really well with consumers in and Trigger 2 for on this rapid growth in Ulta is a more recent competitor that is kind of followed in in support his footsteps, and done a really good job of adding Professional Services to the store in a salon and things like that so that's now you really have the whole Cosmetics history. Scot: [42:09] Collective I was thinking we should do a deep that the boom you just did it right in the middle of news awesome the Deep dive delicious nugget inside of some e-commerce news. Jason: [42:18] Exact just wanted to establish my Qualls as knowing more about Cosmetics than any dude should know. Scot: [42:25] You die definitely bouncy. Jason: [42:27] I appreciate it so going back to omni-channel there was also a few interesting news nip it's about Target so one that caught my eye because it validated smart-aleck opinion I had, you know a couple months ago Target acquired this company called shipped and shipped as a. A third-party delivery service that would deliver purchases from a variety of stores to a consumer's home and there. [42:55] Yeah you pay an annual fee of like $99 and then you get free home delivery you know. Over some purchase threshold like 35 bucks or something so Target bought them and at the time I was like Hey that may be a good acquisition that may get Target some good capability for home delivery that they want but. They're likely to have overpaid because. Shipped was this two-sided marketplace where you know they tried to acquire customers that were customers of ship to not Target and they pay $100 to ship to be a member, and the reason that they would get a bunch of customers is that the utility those customers get as they get free home delivery from the bunch of retailers to ship Ted 2, appeal to a bunch of retailers and they had to appeal to a bunch of consumers and when one retailer buys them suddenly it's much less appealing. For for ship to work with all these other retailers in that you know it has this negative Cascade effect on the whole two-sided Marketplace model, and at the time of the announcement that I've no no no we're going to contain around another standing in entity and we're going to continue to. To try to support all those retailers so you know interesting side-note 60 days later shift is no longer delivering goods from Walmart so. [44:12] You may have paid your $99 under the belief that you could get free home delivery from Sam's Club and ship just pulled that that rug out from Target has pulled that rag out from under the ship's customers. You know which in my mind means shipped is at the end of the day going to end up being a convenience delivery tool for Target purchases which. [44:30] Maybe super useful but it's it's a different model than the original ship model so I found that you know interesting or self validating made me feel good about myself. And then there was kind of an interesting interview that we saw with Brian Cornell the CEO of Target I think he was on Squawk Box and you know who's making the point about. [44:52] The value of Target stores and how you know they're very successfully shipping from stores and they're making major investment and remodeling stores and how how important stores are Little Mix, all stuff that I wholeheartedly agree with that I'm glad to see Target doing and if it's I think that the Marquee quote out of this whole thing you know the kind of got the headline was. Brian Cornell says e-commerce is in everything most us Dale Sale still happen in stores. And I have to be honest I don't love quotes like that because in my mind you know half of all Target sales are digitally influenced. And you know dis deciding that a sale is a store sale or an online sale at this point is kind of silly that 70% of all their online orders they ship from the stores and now they have this ship thing to deliver from. From the stores like you know I don't think Brian should be talking about his e-commerce sales versus Is Us sales and the my sort of. Smart aleck metaphor is it's like the old retail Guy saying the only profitable part of our stores the POS because that's where all the sales are driven in the shells don't drive any sale so they're less valuable we should not invest in the shelves. Obviously like it doesn't matter where the sale is consummated like the whole customer experience is super important. Scot: [46:07] Feel like there's a joke in there but I didn't get it some kind of old school retail joke. Jason: [46:14] Yeah I'll put the laugh track in so people will think that everyone else got it even if you didn't. But we are up on time. Because I know we're trying to make the news episodes a bit shorter as a is an amenity to our listeners, I do a reminder when I get in to see some of you in Chicago at the path to purchase Summit Monday March 12th, Scot is going to be part of the Great track on Marketplace in Amazon selling and I I'm going to be. In the audience learning from that one and we'll be podcasting some live shots from there so. Hope to see some of you then as always love to continue the the conversation on Facebook so if you if you have any questions or comments about this episode or 100 out some of the many things. And I got wrong feel free to jump on face. And we'll keep the conversation going and as always if you loved the show we would greatly appreciate that five star review on iTune so this would be a great week. Finally jumped on the website go finder show all you have to do is type e-commerce in the iTunes where the first one they don't show up. Click on that 5-star review and we will be forever indebted to you. Scot: [47:23] Thanks for joining us everyone and also when you're on iTunes hit the Subscribe button to lock people just download each episode which is fine but his subscribe it also helps us on the rankings and we appreciate that. Jason: [47:34] Absolutely so until next time happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

EP117 - Listener Questions Amazon launches"Ship with Amazon" Listener Questions Q1: Amit Agarwal- Thanks for the amazing podcast. What is the future trend in pricing ? EDLP or coupon based pricing? Most new retailers will adopts EDLP, promotions aren't as effective in the age of transparency, but it's very hard for existing promotional retailer to switch.  Eventually we'll get to more dynamic, personalzied pricing.  Every Nanosecond Low Pricing #ENLP! Q2: Kiri Masters - What are the coolest or smartest things that brands and retailers are doing with voice commerce? And, what is within reach for smaller brands who don't have a $200k+ budget to drop on developing skills, etc. Where are we on the maturity curve? Transactions are limited to recurring and replenishment purchases, so Pizza places and Starbucks have the early lead.  Brands like Patron and Tide have made good use of voice skills for top of funnel marketing.  Small brands should think about voice for on-site search, and voice SEO on search engines.  It's VERY early in the maturity curve. Q3: Patrick Paroline - Hi guys I love the podcast listen to it every week. When the numbers say that e-commerce revenue is up 17% does that include Amazon? If so what would be the e-commerce industry revenue increase if you took out Amazon? I believe you guys said that Walmart.com growing and 60% and Amazon at 30%. Would this mean if you removed these two companies then e-commerce as a whole is contracting Good question!  If you take the top 3 retailers out, e-commerce growth is very modest:   2017 GMV 2018 GMV 2018 Share YoY Growth Amazon $177 $230 49% 30% eBay $35 $37 8% 5% Walmart $15 $24 5% 60% Other $173 $177 38% 2% Total $400 $468   17% Most e-commerce data is based on or correlated to the US Commerce Dept data, which is somewhat suspect.  Jason and I both believe the total market is probably a bigger, which means "Other" is probably bigger, and growing faster than 2% but still much slower than Amazon/Walmart. Q4: Ari Nahmani - Mobile payments in 2018 - can we hear more about Android Pay / Google Payments API, Apple Pay, W3C Payment Request API, etc? Do we have any data that shows that when implemented properly, these things truly reduce the 'mobile gap'? Apple Pay and GooglePay have loyal but small user bases.  Paypal and Pay With Amazon have proven that digital wallets do improve conversion.  W3C Payment Request is great, easy to implement and likely to improve conversion, most sites should have it on their roadmap to implement. Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 117 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Thursday February 15, 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. New beta feature - Google Automated Transcription of the show Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show at this is episode 117 being recorded on Thursday February 15th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scott Wingo. Scot: [0:40] PJ's women walking back Justin Scott show listeners, will Jason's covellite Newsweek to our couple things want to cover before we jump into listener news we warmed up the old Facebook page which, is my responsibility and I have to have a met a couple that I have not been very active posting to our listeners there so one of my New Year's resolutions I know it's so late for those here. Late February is to try to be more active on there and then gauge hook so we are going to be able to handle on some pretty great listener questions so we got today. I before you jump into that you have a new gadget on here about. Jason: [1:19] I did I'm a very romantic guy so for Valentine's Day I got my wife a apple home pod. Scot: [1:25] Wow nice that will last longer than a dozen roses. Jason: [1:30] Yeah it will although I don't think it was a big hit I think she appreciated the gesture and my super artistic wrapping you can you can't even imagine how impressive that was. But the homepod itself I wasn't personally very excited about like I had read a bunch of mediocre reviews as we talked a lot about on the show I have a house full of Alexa devices. Extra Alexa devices at the moment. [2:01] Into the really wasn't anything I was looking forward to in a homepod but my wife is heavily steeped in the Apple Echo System she had mentioned it a few times. And she is very heavy Apple music user so I figured okay well you know what I mean it's present for her she's been talking about so we'll we'll go ahead and get one and I'll surprise her. And I'm sorry to report that all of the mediocre reviews we sort of experience first-hand right I guess. [2:33] Like I don't think Siri is as useful as as Alexa in general and the version of Siri on the the. Homepod is kind of a dumb down version of Siri so it was kind of annoying it seems to understand us a less than. [2:49] Then the Alexa does I will say the audio Fidelity is great like the audio it's definitely a higher-quality speaker than any of my Alexa devices which are all Amazon first-party ones I don't have any of the. [3:00] The third party speakers sounds great but the voice interface sucks and it's it's just not compelling to have this. [3:09] Extra Gadget in your house just to play One music service. [3:16] And so I think even my wife whose Apple fangirl and kind of disposed to like their stuff I don't think she likes it enough to keep. Scot: [3:25] Man do you have the so I've read a lot of people that compare it to the Sonos Sofia what their name is for the one with Alexa. Jason: [3:32] I think it's the soonest one that has Alexa in it and I played with it. I haven't had it in my house and I think those are mixed bag so I could this has really good audio quality in general I actually have a bunch of Sonos speakers. [3:49] And people are saying that it's comprable audio Fidelity to the homepod if anything it's maybe, a hair lower-quality there's some pretty sophisticated auto-tuning in the Apple speaker that I'm not sure the Sonos matches but that sentence is a hundred bucks of alas, you know it's it's debatable whether it has worse audio Fidelity and it supports Alexa and there soon going to add Google Assistant to it as well so way better value way more utility the only reason I even bought one. [4:23] Is it actually Amazon slightly neuters all the third party speakers so, the only music service that the third party speakers. Port is Amazon music which is mostly what we use in my family on the Alexa devices but if you're a Spotify or Pandora user and you know there's a very good. Spotify experience on the on the indigenous Alexis I think I think that might be what you use if I remember right. [4:52] Spotify got yep good sapientrazorfish clients so we certainly like Spotify. [4:59] But they're the the. [5:04] Amazon doesn't currently make that available on the 3rd party speakers that have Alexa in it which isn't like clearly an intentional way to disadvantage the speakers. Scot: [5:14] Directions to Sonos I have also a Sonos system and it's pretty agnostic you know so I can like being Spotify to it XM radio I think it'll do Apple music. Jason: [5:26] I think it will and. Scot: [5:29] Just weird that that one is going to be like almost a step back for them. Jason: [5:33] Well so whistler's check me on this but I think the actual case the Sonos one speaker is a Sonos speaker and so it actually runs the Sonos firmware and you can use the Sonos app so so you can run Spotify. Using the Sonos app on your Sonos one speaker what you can't do is use Alexa voice commands to play, Sonos to play Spotify music on that Sonos one. Scot: [5:58] Look up a lot about the speaker Market here and then I've seen reports that the homepod is leaving white rings on Aaron's furniture did did it also damage your furniture. Jason: [6:11] So it is not where we have it on Formica desk so it may be a little safer but so it's not on like a nice piece of wood furniture but I have seen the same report it is, the speakers both slightly smaller than I expected it to be I mean it's it's it's about the same height as my Alexa's and it's a little fatter and I expected it to be. [6:33] Maybe taller but it's it's super heavy for its eyes like it's very it's very dancing it's because it has this big subwoofer in the bottom then I guess it's just now putting so much low. Low energy that it's moving around a little bit and it has like this white rubberized. Donut on the bottom of it and apparently when that thing moves around it it's leaving a mark. Scot: [6:59] So you're just about the same size as the old the original XO kind of the cylinder or more like the little one that has like a felt kind of filter. Jason: [7:07] Yeah I know so it's the same height, patches I'm staring at them side-by-side it's it's like a touch shorter than an original of Alexa cylinder it's much it's much better than Alexa in fact it's it's. [7:25] Diameter is probably like at least twice twice the diameter of the Alexa. Scot: [7:31] Well. Jason: [7:32] And it does have a weird it it it's also covered in fabric but what's it weird it freaked me out the first time I picked it up it almost feels like you can Dent it it almost feels like it squishes in a little bit. [7:44] And then it seems like it it restores it's ya. Scot: [7:48] Yeah that makes you were either going to punch her thumb through the thing you don't want to do that. Cool thanks for that Gadget experience report it wouldn't be a Jason Scott show without some. Amazon news new your margin. [8:15] Okay this one dropped it was bad timing for us from a podcast perspective cuz we recorded our show last Thursday, Idol episode 116 and then sure enough Friday morning so big amazon news dropped and this is Amazon you know. It's not clear if it was, leader what happened but yeah they've been working with some third-party sellers for this full-on delivery service that's called ship with Amazon so it's going to Pilot in La it looks like and articles I read said. It's going to roll out in 240 cities pretty quickly and the reason that makes sense is prime now is in 40 cities and Prime now built this super like. 299 car delivery Network called Flex So reading those tea leaves you know what I'm thinking is happening here is. [9:05] Amazon started Flex to work with their 40 Prime now the foeman centers which are a different footprint than their normal. Fulfillment centers then they started doing some deliveries out of traditional fulfillment centers with their own network of flex drivers and also. Actually Amazon employees and whatnot and then now it looks like they will offer to third-party sellers the ability to ship with Amazon where if you were a third party and La let's say you were. I'll pick on my friend Jackson who's I-84 city has a big Warehouse in LA and someone in La bought one of those products they could get that product in 2 hours and an Amazon driver would come to his Warehouse. Pick this up and take it to the customer and so that would Leverage The flexnetwork so. [9:52] That's pretty nursing and you know I we've been talking a lot on the show it was my 2017 prediction that I react for this year that Amazon will get more into dolak Direct Delivery and here you see yeah it's it's not. [10:06] That hard to jump from that part of the Venn diagram to hey you. Retail RX Nordstrom's here's your fulfillment centers we can help you deliver as well and then you can even adjust that product into the. Burgeoning Amazon Fulfillment system network with airplanes and everything and effectively have a full-on FedEx UPS competitor. Jason: [10:31] Yeah and I think that's something that that you in particular but we've we've discussed on the show a number of times that that that seems like a likely play for Amazon to make. Scot: [10:44] Yeah it is there since internet retailer and I'll put in there this cuz I know you how I feel about surveys but they did a survey of I think it was 200 retailers and when I looked at, the size of sellers you know, you know and it but then like a good a third of them were more larger retailers and I are 500 types awesome like 70% said they would, it was either strongly try or are we. [11:10] Only 30% said they wouldn't use an Amazon shipping service in the 70% said half of that 70% said it would have to be a bit cheaper than current offerings and I think it's very very interesting. [11:22] This holiday, probably not because usually impacted but next year's come you're very interesting because I know you said when you draw the lines of the amount of shipping needed out there and what's available Amazon will it consumed most of it and you know seems like Amazon's read those tea leaves and is finding a release valve with this new ship with Amazon program. Jason: [11:44] Exactly and you know a couple of things kind of come to mind, the day before and a podcast we we had talked about some of their seller fulfilled FBA programs and including a new program where they were putting their own software and customers warehouses in, clearly like those two pieces of news are at least partially related you can imagine if a bunch of. Shippers are running Amazon software to manage their shipment and you know that that, Doppler could take that shipping method and and you don't have sort of a biased towards Amazon shipping service. Scot: [12:27] Yeah yeah it's good if it's going to be interesting to see how this plays out and then you know a lot of people will say, well you know this route is unprofitable that routes and profitable I was kind of stuff but you don't have me watch Amazon kind of decompose other markets pretty quickly they were the prophet is so don't go and you know it there. Their profit is your profit is their opportunity right so they're going to go and they're going to find the routes that are most profitable for third-party shippers and they're going to pull those in the house cuz it'll by Logic if it's. Probable for for the shipper it will be. Amazon will have the best savings by cutting that Loop out so so so we really interesting to see what happens when they start doing this you know you can only look at it from a low Amazon just overdid 1.1% of volume because that .1% of volume could be like, 8% of margin of the deal that people have one with Amazon supposed to be really interesting to watch the positioning here. Jason: [13:26] Exactly I think like they think they don't have to completely match, UPS and FedEx is Network to disrupt them right if they just take some of those most profitable deliveries and bring those in-house you know that that can create enough of an inflection point that causes some new unique paying for UPS and FedEx and I think, I don't think Amazon wakes up in the morning and goes how can we ruin UPS is life and I think they're more thinking about how they can make their own lives better you know this, saw some of their their Peak demand problems that solves like controlling one of their fastest growing expensive lines which is shipping and in the long run you could imagine then building all kinds of. Reverse Logistics services that UPS and FedEx just might not be that interested in but that are. Really important customer experiences for e-commerce right like so easier returns. You know you you hypothesized that hey there's a bunch of warehouses that are all all the Feeling by Amazon and they all have Amazon software in there like Amazon could have literally trade a new Marketplace. For warehouse capacity and sort of flex store Amazon Goods in other people's warehouses that are running their software you know you in a two-sided Marketplace exactly. Like they do for for 3rd party selling so so lots of interesting new things that could evolve from here that make the super interesting. [14:55] A couple of things like that that I had to point out, I do feel like you have been talking about this for an awfully long time I know calling Sebastian was one of the first analyst to talk about this but I did have to chuckle a little bit like I feel like the entire all of Twitter broke their arms congratulating themselves. Predicting this. [15:14] And I'm not sure like that you know it you had to be the cleverest person in the world to predict this 3 months ago that Amazon would eventually try to monetize this like you have given that that's the model they've. They followed with so many other things so I did I do think it's funny I may be made a joke that like the only person on the planet that didn't fully predict this is the CEO of of ups that kind of had a. Last year that we don't believe that there is for Amazon strategy is to do it themselves and the reason we believe that is is we have this huge infrastructure we're investing in technology we have a great Mutual relationship with Amazon. Like you don't obviously that was a bad day at UPS when when Amazon when SWA week. And coincidentally enough this is the month when our friends at FedEx and UPS do their annual rate increases and so this year if you're a shipper. You're the base UPS and FedEx rate went up by 4.9% so that's a huge. [16:17] Operating expense for most e-commerce business is to absorb mini which are struggling to be profitable already. Now they're their operating costs are 5% more and oh by the way most of the shipping went up even higher because. FedEx and UPS are really design for business-to-business shipping so they're highly optimized for taking package it Parcels 2. Businesses their least efficient at deliver at residential deliveries and so a number of years ago they introduced a surcharge. For residential deliveries to kind of compensate them for the for the the greater expensive this home deliveries and those surcharges went up its kind of, on a sliding scale so it's there's not an exact number but the surcharges went up like 8%. [17:05] So very meaningful increases from FedEx and UPS and it's cool you know they're there. Maxed out on capacity they're not growing as fast as demand is growing and so they're trying to you know maximize the value of the capacity they have by charging more. Scot: [17:21] Yeah yeah and a couple other interesting facts so FedEx says no one customers more than 3% of their volume so that you know a lot of people read that and say that's kind of where Amazon is Amazon definitely sends, you know the most between faxing UPS to UPS and UPS says Amazon's about 10% of their volume so it's not cataclysmic for any of these guys. [17:45] To go to go to lose some of the Amazon business what would I think everyone underestimates though is Amazon just kind of you know. [17:53] Picking these very profitable businesses and offering them even if it doesn't involve Amazon it all eventually and then that's going to be your just like cloud computing you can you can host Netflix host you know on 8th and it's like. [18:06] Competitor using their Cloud infrastructure which is the old world off on the world doesn't make any sense at all, but enough for Netflix economically are so attractive they're willing to do that and you don't so what if I don't know, I don't Walmart would never do it but what if Macy's start Cent shipping ring what Apple started doing deliveries using Amazon Network you know that starts to get. [18:29] Pretty interesting and mind-bending of what some implications are. Jason: [18:33] The apps absolutely I will look like, minor props like UPS and FedEx are well-run companies like there's they're smart to be making the most they can on the capacity they have and props to them for not having a huge customer concentration problem is that in most B2B business as you you have a much bigger concentration problem then your largest customer being 3% of your business. Scot: [18:57] Yeah cool so that was the big news let's make sure we will make sure we cover these listener questions so let's jump into him. [19:10] Questions questionnaire questionnaire questionnaire questions Jason we got for really meaty questions, and it was good news for me three of them were really in your alley and one is mine so let's ask you the first question so this is from admit Agarwal and he says thanks amazing podcast so clearly am it has impeccable taste, and and is awesome to begin with and he wants to know what's the future Trend in pricing everyday low pricing or coupon base. Pricing?? So maybe. You know I know your ninja live on this but maybe give us a 101 on What is edlp what's it mean online and then where do you think kind of retail pricing goes in and eCommerce pricing. Jason: [20:00] Yeah, so so edlp is an acronym for everyday low prices in the retail Echo System the retailer that then most. Support cdlp unit it literally is sort of kind of their their core value proposition is Walmart so in in general they they very aggressively try to get, prices on all their goods as low as possible and in general the pricing does not fluctuate a lot based on sales and promotions. Scot: [20:30] The idea is the consumer doesn't have to worry that they're getting low price they just kind of know and and all automatically roll it back if if target has toothpaste at a buck you know you can count on Walmart to do a quick roll back and I'll be at like $0.99 so. Jason: [20:45] NN light they don't make as big a deal about it being their cultural diversity different reason Costco is a great example of edlp like they, Costco literally has hard rules for the merchant about, the maximum margin they can take on a product so when the price to them goes down they they are literally mandated to pass that price on to the, the customer and so you know and you don't answer I walk through Costco looking for sales you your condition that everything in prayer and Costco is a. Consistent like you know good deal based on volume and and all these things and in so. Those are the kind of retailers that are on the edlp side of the spectrum for a long time JCPenney was the poster child for promotional pricing and they still are very promotional but what made in the poster child is. When the former retail Guru from Apple Ron Johnson went to JCPenney he tried to change them from their highly promotional pricing strategy. To essentially edlp and said that that really raise the profile of how promotional. [21:53] JCPenney had been before but you know I would argue Macy is very is very promotional. And you know frankly most of retailers is pretty promotional said that the outliers are there. They're the largest retailers in in North America are the edlp retailers these new hyper aggressive grocery stores like Aldi and Lidl are also a deal. [22:20] So what's the future. I think the future is edlp like a if you just do a survey of the most successful retailers. They're edlp another and this is straining the definition of edlp slightly but another hyper successful retailer that edlp is Apple. [22:40] Like not not very promotional like the low price isn't particularly low. [22:46] You know it's very rare that they have deals and when they have deals they're not very deep. Very very consistent pricing and you've never seen a sale sign has never popped up anywhere in an Apple Store. So you work at all this successful retailers they're all edlp you look at a lot of the struggling retailers there more promotional. [23:08] You know I'm not sure that's that's a complete causation vs. correlation the reason I say that you DLP is the future pricing is. Because of digital disruption right like thanks to all the research we now do online and you know are huge access to information and the fact. [23:28] That you know there are no more secrets in the world anymore we've shifted from this world of what I call Price office gation where you essentially. Only saw the prices the retailer wanted you to see and when they did this kind of like fake is was pricing where they show you a low price high price Market out and show you a low price. You have no way to know that that high price wasn't really the price that was offered yesterday. Until you would believe the retailer today you read some app or some blog or you get some some. Email newsletter, and you you know exactly what retailers are playing what games with pricing until you we now have work this emerging world of perfect transparency. And in the world a perfect transparency promotions just aren't as effective. As they they used to be a lot of the the promotions rely on the psychological tricks that don't work as well when the customer is fully armed with all the information and who has a better deal. And how much more or less you're paying than the best deal in all these sorts of things so I sort of feel in general that transparency is. Forcing the world to edlp the most successful retailers are edlp and then I have to throw a huge caveat out there as. Both Macy's in the distant past in JCPenney more recently have proven to us. It's next to impossible to transition from being a promotional retailer to and edlp retailer. [24:58] So when customers are accustomed to those promotions they punish you when you try to make that transition and no return that I'm aware of his been willing to stick with. That transition long enough to make it work, so they all have tried taking an early hit and kind of reverted to the original pricing model in the same things are the plays out every holiday season when retailers, rely on promotions to sell more over the holidays and to comp against last year when they were also promotional in so we like most retailers that like. Have a history of promotions become addicted to those promotions and so far it's proven to be a almost unkinkable addiction so, don't expect to see a bunch of retards Sayo Goldberg said edlp beats promotional pricing so we're going to switch, I think you're going to have to wait for those business models to those retailers though to sort of expire or turn out and you'll see the majority of new retailers emerging and it's really all the Disney DeBrands adopting. Much more edlp pricing strategies and then the one big caveat on all of this is the new replacement for promotions in this edlp world because, personalized Dynamic pricing right so we're just starting to see this but in lieu of a one-size-fits-all 30% off on these deals. [26:29] Are all the custom offers you're going to get when you abandon something in your car that's based on, your unique shopping behavior in your past purchases and all the evil data that the marketers have collected about you and so you know I think Amazon's a perfect example of a highly dynamic edlp, pricer. Scot: [26:52] Yeah yeah the it's interesting because someone asked me Walmart, Cyprus NASA you know how do you think about Amazon in a DLP DLP world and I think of it as like every nanosecond low pricing right so full disclosure one of our futures at Channel advisor is every pricing engine and worship to these things and this is a very popular functionality for sellers cuz once you get to scale, you literally cannot keep up with the marketplace it's effectively a stock market for products on Amazon every, every sin is constantly repricing and sometimes it's up sometimes it's down. So this is why you know the Amazon bookstore doesn't have prices because they may find the, book that you're looking at 5 minutes ago lowered his price somewhere and they want to lower that price in a physical world you you can't change prices that quickly because the infrastructure just not really quite there yet so. [27:49] What is that do so. [27:52] Select Plus use Walmart to pick on them so they're they're edlp but then online they're going to be competing with Amazon so do you have these periods of time where your online prices are are very kind of more dynamic in your storage cuz of the, the nature of the the store being slow to be able to change prices. Jason: [28:09] Exactly that is the common practice right now is that very few really Progressive retailers have adopted what I call Universal pricing which means. They are for the same price to you regardless of Channel. Because they're edlp in the stores and they are there more to your point that you know there more Dynamic then daily online and then in the case of. [28:38] Walmart specifically like you can even think about the you know as as they sort of Jetta fi the value propositions at Walmart right, where you know jet will give you a custom discount based on your purchase as you're buying a bunch of stuff from this particular fulfillment center, so I'm going to make other purchases from that fulfillment center cheaper, or you're buying products from this particular vendor on the make other purchases from that vendor cheaper or you know that you opt out of some of the optional cost. And those sorts of things a big version of Walmart adopting that strategy more more globally is when you order something online from Walmart. And you're willing to have that item shipped to the store instead of to your home. Walmart has a very efficient delivery vehicle for delivering items to store and so. You're some of that savings that they're getting by not having to use UPS there now passing on to the customer and so the the ramifications of that. Greater Dynamic pricing online and then the definite ramifications of the personalized pricing online that your Point University retards have tried to do. Personal product pricing in in store. Has resulted in there being some unfortunate price fragmentation where you know there are now. Multiple prices at at Walmart right and I I feel like that's a imperfect compromise that Walmart has to deal with because. [30:07] Technically part of edlp should be it's the same low price everywhere. But because they're trying to offer this Dynamic pricing in this personalized offer system the pricing is different and. [30:20] Frankly getting more complicated not less because if you order online groceries and you're going to do curbside pickup. [30:28] Should you pay the same price for someone to walk around that store and pick all those items for you as someone that bought them in the store and did the work them self like you could you could you don't argue. That there should be a different price for curbside pickup in a different price for delivery and in general we've learned from the psychology of consumers that they don't like paying fees so they'd rather those cost be. Built into the the product prices but then that means wait a minute there's an online price at Walmart on a grocery pick-up price at Walmart and an in-store price at Walmart and you know that it flies in the face of the, original Sam Walton edlp premise so it's a it's a tricky clean world at the moment in the long run, I think stores figure out how to get more dynamic in the store and then we get back to more Universal pricing in the same offer everywhere and, you know that my colleagues are laughing at their wissen to this right now because I'm famous for every year pretty thing that this is going to be the year when we start to see much greater adoption of electronic price tags in electronic bag tags. Because retailers need to get more dynamic in the store and daily repricing is no longer Dynamic enough in these electronic back tags are the way to do that and every year I predicted in it it never seems to happen. Scot: [31:50] 101 interesting outcropping of this that I find really fascinating and if we run into this a lot of Channel visor is. All this this topics that we talked about create and efficiencies in the system and when you have in efficiencies they can get to be pretty wide you have. Product like all product arbitrageurs so for you it was classic example is. The arbitraging between offline and online so someone will become an expert at something like a lot of these guys are involved in the sneaker world so that they'll have a really good idea of what you know. Every line of Nikes and Adidas and whatnot are worth more than they know that like Footlocker and the the stores they do their markdowns on Thursdays. [32:34] So the lineup at the campout look at there and they will literally load up car loads of these things. Take him to Warehouse sell them on eBay and Amazon for like 30% milk. I brought that because you know the store is inefficiently running this algorithm and there's these people that that are taking advantage of their their you know. [32:54] Whatever I would argue it's inefficient because they're they're arbitraging and getting the value from that in efficiencies. And then you know it gets even more crazy because there's people that will look at the inefficiency between Market places like eBay Amazon and Walmart and no actually take still discover a product on, what's a eBay bid selling for 30% more on Amazon that it does for eBay for whatever reason maybe eBay search engines kind of wonky or something there's a variety of reasons these things happen, that should take that product list on Amazon never touch it and then someone buys on Amazon and they'll go then go buy it on eBay and then ship it. To the Amazon consumer so it's like a zero inventory Arbitrage that you can do and then they are. [33:43] Adult for this kind of thing so most people build custom soccer for that but I've run into folks they're doing hundreds of millions of dollars in gmv, and you know what you take fees out and stuff it's not usually look at it but they can maybe make five to 10 points if they pick their arbitrageurs right so these are these are $109 businesses usually without any employees that are run by robots that sit there and and do Wall Street level arbitration on products between stores Market places and things like that it's pretty, pretty wild funny when you think about it. Jason: [34:16] That's I think that the crazy high-volume version of that below volume version I think it is pretty common it's a common side hustle for college kids, to do the online or offline to online Arbitrage there now I like three or four mobile apps that you can literally install on your phone, go scanning go skin skus that are on sale in these retail stores or even better go to stores that are having bankruptcy liquidation sales and apple tell you in real-time what products are profitable, to buy from that store and go list on the marketplaces in the App Store, darn polished and sophisticated they factor in like all the FBA handling and return rates and everything is pretty sweater. Scot: [35:02] Scream isn't, well we could go on for pricing for the whole show but we have more questions this will probably be a short ones that's hope so but will first of all thanks for that awesome question that was great hopefully we kind of dug into the the Rita we're looking for question number to this one's also for you Jason what are the coolest or smartest things that brand retailers are doing with voice Commerce, and what's Within Reach for smaller Brands who don't have a hundreds of thousands of dollar budget to drop on developing skills and in that kind of thing and where are we on the maturity curve so it's kind of three questions in there so so I guess question number one is what are some cool skills you've seen that the show what brands are doing with the, The Voice Commerce guys. Jason: [35:43] I'm not that I want to answer your question but I want to take one step back and sort of highlight like a lot of times when people talk about, voice Commerce they're talking about actually doing transactions you know so like you know Alexa order batteries type. Type of experiences and that certainly is one element of voice Commerce like I would point out there's a lot of other parts of voice Commerce there are. Marketing tools and so a lot of the skills in the Alexa echo system that are skills that are published by a brand are actually more marketing tools. [36:19] Primarily trying to drive more interactions with the brands and more brand awareness and more brand Affinity than they are sell a specific product like you know immediately and so, when you say What brands are doing the really smart things I actually think, voice voice transactions are relatively nascent so it's pretty small like in general we think there's probably 30 million of these devices and in North America right now so it's you know addressable Market compared to the, 190 million households online is smaller you know 8. [36:57] Small majority so maybe more than 50% of those those devices, have ever been used for a voice transaction and that certainly isn't the most common way that those households do transaction so the total number of transactions on voice there's no good data out there but, but our guesstimate sorry that it's pretty low and so I'm not sure I point to any brand other than Amazon and say hey good job, selling a bunch of stuff directly from your voice interface so that the, the ways that voicing most interesting are from one of these marketing things and so, there are clever things Patron has a great skill for helping people explore in the stuff discover new cocktails that all conveniently enough. Can be made with Patron tequila, but it's a relatively sticky skill that has like a high, active user rate that helps Patron build a brand once once that skill you know gets into the Zeitgeist of those homes it's hard for another brand to come in, you know with an alternative Bartender app right and like to me one of the Marquee examples of this is the tide stain app which is kind of clever, you know you if you spill some pomegranate seeds on your table cloth and now you've got this pomegranate stain and what's the best way to get that stain out is it. Vinegar as a club soda how should you pretreat away what should you do so this app gives you advice on how to to treat all the different stains. [38:34] That you might come across and it's branded by tide and remind you to use, tide products to help laundry all this thing so I think some of those kind of brand Affinity apps are the smartest apps then you know there are a few categories were voice, transactions are more common so I think the the Pizza Hut app is a good example of a highly recurring, consistent, transaction that people tend to do obviously in my personal Echo System the the Starbucks voice ordering app would be most useful, because I travel so much I go to so many different Starbucks that it's actually not super useful in my household but, for many people I'm sure that the the Alexa app to trigger a Starbucks mobile order in and pay is is, a relatively high volume app so I think those are awesome good ideas I would also remind users that, there's a significant amount of voice search going on so Microsoft has 20% of all Bing searches are boys I don't know what the Google percentages is probably not as high because it's not built in the Everett. Every Google device but every laptop is running Google but. It also is probably as a meaningful number and then more more e-commerce sites are building voice as an interface into their own website so if you're, a brand that has Shoppers shopping on your own e-commerce site and they're heavily mobile users it off and is easier to say a search query then to type it on a mobile phone. [40:09] And so you know we're starting to see some meaningful adoption. From voice search on your site and so when you say like hey I'm a smaller brand I can't afford the investment the patron or Procter & Gamble made in there. They're Alexa skills. And I would highlight is that she not that expensive to build a skill it's pretty expensive to market the scale which both patronen and Procter & Gamble do quite a bit of. Some of the the lower-cost ways to implement Voice or it's it's pretty inexpensive to have a third-party partner add voice search to your existing, e-commerce search platform and it's super low cost to start doing some voice SEO to start optimizing your keywords for the things people say, into being instead of the way the things people type so I think it's still super early days I think voice is. A more useful tool for marketing than it is for actual transactions I think in the long run we're going to see boys shoes for a lot of transactions but it's going to be a specific type of transaction which are those. Replenishment Auto fulfillment type orders I think you can use voice a lot to add and delete things from. Your regular shopping list so you're going to say Alexa cancel this week's groceries because I'm going to Mom's house for Thanksgiving. You're going to see a lot of those kind of things but I don't think you're going to order brand name dresses in specific sizes with particular Prince from, you know your favorite dress designer via voice cuz I just think saying all those attributes and knowing the. [41:44] The unique brand terms for each each designer is is super unlikely. Scot: [41:52] I saw this reminds me of a funny cartoon I saw the other day where someone says to the Alexa Alexa order me a Kleenex and it says ordering Amazon basic tissues and their said they spell out Kleenex and Alexa again says tissues and then they're like, Amazon Kleenex and it's like I don't understand what you're saying. Jason: [42:11] I think that that ironically that could drive pups to be the second best selling facial tissue online because. [42:20] Little problem with the synonyms at the moment but yeah it's and it's it's going to be for that replenishment stuff there's going to be huge fights to be the default brand and lots of interesting stuff but that's probably a whole separate show on voice Commerce that we should do sometime. I want to get to our third question which is from Patrick per line. And Patrick says hi guys I love the podcast to listen to it every week thanks very much Patrick I do too when the numbers say that he Commerce revenues up 17% does that include Amazon. [42:54] If so what would be the e-commerce industry Revenue increase if you took out Amazon I believe you guys said that walmart.com is growing it at 60% and Amazon at 30%. Would this mean that if you remove those two companies then e-commerce is a whole is contracted. Scot: [43:11] Oh yeah thanks. Jason: [43:12] Can I have that has math in it so I'm proposing you answer that one. Scot: [43:15] Yeah thanks Patrick for the question that it is a very good question and this is one that I've spent a fair amount pondering so let me let me talk to you. Talk you through some of it I'm go this pretty quickly will will put some stuff in the show notes if I lose you anywhere so first of all. You know what what's interesting is there's a lot of sources for the data so that's one of the big variabilities in this whole thing so you have the four sources I track and I'm sure there's more but the the four main ones are comscore US Census Bureau, Forster and emarketer. What are things you always notice is the comscore US Census in Forester tendo line with each other they'll be in the ballpark so silver example they'll say. 2017 e-commerce the United States was around anywhere between 380 and 420 billion but any marketable say 800. And to emarketer is very inclusive of everything so I think they actually put cars in their tickets grocery. [44:16] You know Events maybe even hotels or something so so you know when you're looking at these data sources it's important to understand what's in there and what's not, I tend to like the comscore the Census Bureau in the forest one because they they do not throw the kitchen sink in there and it makes kind of thinking about this a lot easier, so what I did is I took the Census Bureau data and I'm and if you look at 2016 they say us e-commerce was 359 billion and if you look at 2017 415 but I'm such a difference of 56 billion and to your point, you're 16% growth so so. [44:55] That's it that's an important number so 56 billion increase your rear in the United States was 16% growth now let's look at Amazon. Amazon's 2016 Revenue was 135 billion. And in 2017 was 177 billion that's the global number so you have to Amazon's pretty much right down the middle of domestic and non-domestic, and she have to give it a chops and it half and we do that you get the US is 68 billion in 2016 and 2017 88 million that's a difference of 20 billion or 30% growth which you correctly called, and so you'll get that number that 20 billion and we had our 56 billion for overall Commerce then that means Amazon drove 36% of that growth. [45:41] Then if you took if you took Amazon out then the remaining piece crew 10%. So that's interesting number. [45:51] But this is the common thing that I think happened to allies numbers longtime listeners will know that Amazon's revenues are essentially, Banner reported cuz the third-party Marketplace and so we at the Jason Scott should like to look at the DMV so it's kind of Handy is I took the. Total Amazon numbers and I cut them in half to get to the US will you can effectively just kind of double them again to get ballpark GMB it's little bit more than that but this will this will make you feel a little bit better because it under reports Amazon app, I believe so when we do that we're back to kind of you know. Amazon's gmv in the u.s. for 2016 being a hundred and thirty six billion then 2017 was 177 billion for difference of 41 billion okay so I think that's the real number that we look at for Amazon and again. E-commerce grew 56 billion Amazon Groove 41 billion now you have all you're left with is 15 billion coming from other places or 4%. So so you're kind of left you know what that tells us is that and learn if he Amazon grew 30% then the rest of world group had to grow 4%. [47:03] Just kind of fact check that when you look at eBay they just reported their 2017 numbers they grew kind of around 4 to 5% in the US so kind of lines up right, do we have Walmart at in there I think they're growing at 60% and then they want to go to 40% Jason you can fact check me on that one. Jason: [47:21] Yeah I think it's like last week orders were like 60 62 and then 50. Scot: [47:26] Yes now what I think is going on is Walmart's actually pretty tiny in the world were talking about that you know of eCommerce so you have something like three or four percent of Walmart sales are online which is there for near Blaine dollar. Global retailer so there's really not moving the needle quite fast is fastest of the other things were talking about so it's what's going on here. The way I like to think about it is let's build a pie chart and and this pie chart is a $400 pie chart that's the 2017, yo i e Commerce so of that Amazon's 177 billion or 44% of the pie growing 30% eBay is 35 billion that's their us GMD. X autos and that's 9% the pie growing 4%, Walmart is 15 billion ish growing or 3% the pie growing 60% actually put the pool table will put in the show notes and where you left with isn't other bucket, that is about 173 billion which is a pretty big slice of Titans looking like 40% of the pie but it's only growing if you do the calculus. It can it has to be flat to effectively 2% because of the growth that has been soaked, now what are things that doesn't jive with that is you have Target growing pretty fast while the omni-channel guys are going fast even some of the e-commerce platforms the report like Shopify. They're growing their igmp like 20 or 30%, now they don't report a sings Versailles so that that's a little tricky so they're they're actually kind of getting new customers in there and it's not apples to oranges but you know what's interesting is when I talk to all these data providers and I say. [49:04] Two things are going on here the the you know there's someone is really losing a lot of Cher and I do think you have that going on so a lot of these stores you know we had more stores close last year than ever before. And the dirty secret of closing stores is when you close doors and let's say you're you're serious you know when they've closed. . 1000 stores decorative had one Fury Commerce business and the same is true for all these other folks that have clothes stores and whatnot so that's where a lot of the loss is coming from but it still doesn't a hundred percent at up, I'm so there's there is a group of folks a lot of them work for the state of companies and what would they believe is happening is the US Commerce data. Under reports vastly the size of e-commerce and the growth of it and then what happens is. Comscore and Forrester correlate to that data so there's this Theory out there at and I'm not the guy to solve this is a kind of. Delete it because it doesn't add up for me when I when I use the numbers I just got to watch you through it just doesn't add up so someone would have to be losing like you know that tree down like 60% year-over-year e-commerce businesses aren't big enough to really. With a needle on what we're talking about here so so that's that's kind of. [50:16] The most prevailing Theory amongst people and it's not really talk about much just kind of funny it's like this dirty behind the scenes secret of e-commerce there when talks about that shows and things but they don't really write about it and, it would they believe is the US Department of Commerce data Vasily under represents the size and growth of the e-commerce market so, there you go. That is an interesting Theory I have no way of proving or disproving it but it it's kind of I end up Landing there because I can't make the math work. Jason: [50:46] Yep and I I-10 the split that baby so I would say I do agree and strongly suspect the US Census Data under report e-commerce and like, you know just a couple datapoint Spitzer to be aware of the methodology that you have senses uses is pretty underwhelming and just they just weren't designed to track e-commerce into essentially they're sending surveys to a bunch of businesses, and asking them what their, the revenue was and those businesses decide whether they respond to the survey in the same businesses don't respond every time and then the US Census uses a bunch of Black Box math that they don't disclose, to convert you know the percentage of respondents into. AAA National number and oh by the way the US Census doesn't even report e-commerce they report what they called non store sales which was originally, catalog sales which are still in this number, but essentially it's it's what they call everything that's not in a store and nobody gives the people responding to the survey any official definition so you know if Target is shipping 70% of their e-commerce orders from the store, they may report all of those sales and their their store sales versus non store sales there's there's all kinds of room for, messiness in the methodology and I will tell you that some reasonably credible Economist have looked at the US Census Data over time, and flat-out found some glaring inconsistencies and they've written to the US Census asking for clarification and not got very satisfactory answers back and so these guys would say. [52:27] That there's just too much Black Box math it's impossible to reverse engineer in the US Census there's some funny stuff going on, and so it's it's easy for me to believe and by the way we should have them on the show one one time to defend themselves but, it's easy for me to believe their numbers are perfect and SharePoint everyone wants to index to US Census Data so a lot of the other day two sources are based on US Census Data so I tend to believe e-commerce is growing, is a little bigger Pi then then what a lot of these data sources say and I also believe that directionally your pie chart is still right, that that Amazon has a Lion's Share of that that growth and so you know you factor out the the three or four biggest players in the e-commerce Market, and the rest of e-commerce is not growing particularly fast and I have this recurring conversation with all these specialty retailers they're talking about their online and they're you know saying how how dare you know, trailing the industry average and how concerned they are for their jobs and I'm pointing out that they're actually dramatically outperforming their peers. [53:35] One last question that we may not have time for a detailed answer but I think we can probably give the high-level answer and then maybe we'll revisit it. Scot: [53:44] This one is very much in your wheelhouse and I feel like this is going to take you an hour to answer so let's see how this goes. Jason: [53:52] A challenge I like it. Scot: [53:53] Okay so this is from Ari and he says mobile payments in 2018 can I'd like to hear more about Android pay. Google payments day. I guess Apple pay w3c payment request API and etcetera do you have any data that shows that when implemented properly these things truly reduce the mobile Gap. Jason: [54:13] And so it is the short answer. We'll do it deeper dive in upcoming show on mobile payments in general there's no, great public data to show the conversion rate from, true mobile wallets like Android and Google pay him now merge so we'll just call Google pay and Apple pay, they're the number of people that use it as a small percentage of total transactions it does appear that that that highly loyal user base do have a much higher mobile conversion rate but there's an argument correlation or causation, you know one of the rare users that using Apple pay online because you had the strong Affinity with apple and you're buying a lot of stuff from Apple probably and so is it you know, is it higher conversion rate because you're using Apple pay or are using Apple pay because you're super loyal frequent purchaser, that was Apple right so it's at the moment those are lower friction experiences there's some evidence that they have better conversion rate but it's all an adult and it's not a huge piece of the whole payment pie. The there is absolutely some reasonably credible data out there that conversion rate is better with PayPal than without PayPal that's the most ubiquitous. Digital wallet in North America and you know it's a lower friction checkout experience and so I think we have lots of evidence that every time we take the fields and steps out of checking out, convergence better when those customers are already in the PayPal ecosystem and that's offered as a payment option conversion goes up. [55:51] That makes sense to me and we we see it in the date of a lot of her private clients so that makes me think all these mobile wallets have a future or they can get enough users, and then the one thing you listed that I'm most optimistic about of all of this is there's one thing that's not an actual payment while it's a payment technology and you rightly called it out as the w3c payment request API, this is an open standard that they the HTML consorcia and essentially published that says, let's have some better functionality in the browser to safely enter payment information on behalf of customers when they shop and let's let's tokenizing letting you know not store it as. As some sort of insecure text on the on the PC and some way but let's make it really easy to fill out this form fields for payment. And they've gotten really good adoption on that API it's now rolled out to all the browsers and so we're starting to see a lot more retailers adopted and. Two good things happen when a retailer uses this API for their checkout experience, in particularly there mobile checkout experience number one that checkout experience becomes more consistent and follows a standard convention from site to site so if all Sites use the exact same check out flow and gooey, users get better at checking out and they're more comfortable with it and so it it actually reduces friction it increases what we call for dents, and and you see better conversion rate and. [57:24] That because this this a p i can store all the information that gets entered in that field & Auto in Iraq for you it essentially dramatically reduces the time needed to check out and so once you've used it once, it becomes much faster and easier to check out on any e-commerce site anyone in the web that leverages. This API so it's it's one of the things I highly recommend the clients and said easy implementation and everyone should be implementing that that payment request API and their, in their checkout experience in particular their mobile checkout experience so. I'll leave it at that for now but like the at the high-level there's not a great public data source. To show the mobile wallets work but, you can take my word for it that I've seen it in my individual clients that in general at it does have a measurable effect and for sure if you're interested in improving your mobile conversion rate you absolutely out of look at that WC3 payment request API and implement. [58:27] And with that it is happen again we perfectly wasted an hour of our listeners time, so now that Scott has redoubled his efforts on Facebook we highly encourage you to keep the dialogue going on Facebook again all these questions came from Facebook which was awesome so. If we said some stuff is wildly wrong which I suspect Scott did and I didn't be great great to discuss that on Facebook we'll see you over on that page. You can obviously find a spoof on Twitter were pretty active there and as always if you enjoy the show or learned anything or it's helped help you, you're triggering anyway the way you can repairs for all that hard work as you can jump on the iTunes give us a 5-star review, it's really one of the the primary drivers of SEO and I'll help other people discover our podcast and it makes us feel good about ourselves so. With that I will leave it until next time. Scot: [59:26] Thanks everyone for joining us. Jason: [59:28] And until next time happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP116 - Industry News, Geek Week

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 9, 2018 61:21


EP116 - Industry News, Geek Week   SuperBowl News Ad Coverage Amazon won the Superbowl Nike Launched a new sneaker direct to consumer.  Nike’s SNKRS site for new releases (who’s name I couldn’t remember during the recording, sorry Kevin). Amazon News SpaceX successfully launched it’s first Falcon heavy rocket, and recovered two of the boosters.  The photos and video of the Tesla in space were amazing.  And there appears to be a thawing of relations between Jeff Bezos and Elan Musk. Prime Now delivery from Whole Foods stores Expansion of FBA On-Site Amazon expands it’s airport plans from 900 acres, to 1100 acres The Spheres launched at HQ1 Private label continues to get traction especially premium denim “Hale and Denim Crush” Amazon Go store opened to the public Amazon is the largest spender on R&D, much larger than any other retailer Walmart News Walmart acquired Spatialand out of Store 8 for VR Capability JD.com Coming to US Walmart – Rakuten partnership ads digital books to Walmart.com Drug News Helena Foulkes becomes new CEO of HBC (from CVS) replacing Jerry Storch Deliv launched DelivRX home delivery pharmacy service Upcoming Events Etail west 2/26 – 3/1 Palm Desert Path to Purchase Summit – March 12-14 – Chicago IBM Think 3/19-22 Las Vegas ShopTalk 3/18-21 Las Vegas Adobe 3/25-3/29 Las Vegas NPD Idea 5/15-17 Austin SAP Sapphire June 5-7, Orlando Don’t forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 116 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Thursday, February 8th 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason “Retailgeek” Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing.  

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP114 - Great Retail Bifurcation, Kasey Lobaugh of Deloitte

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 26, 2018 55:34


EP114 - Great Retail Bifurcation, Kasey Lobaugh of Deloitte http://jasonandscot.com Kasey Lobaugh is a Principal and Chief Retail Innovation Officer at Deloitte Consulting LLP, he first appeared on episode 68.  You can follow him on twitter at @klobaugh.  Kasey and his team publish some of the most useful research in the industry including The New Digital Divide which helps quantify the effect of digital on in-store purchases, and the Deloitte Retail Volatility Index which measures disruption in the retail industry.  Kasey sat down for an interview live from the NRF Big Show, to discuss some new research he'll be publishing in March at ShopTalk.  Kasey is giving our listeners an exclusive first preview. Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 114 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Monday, January 15th, 2018. New beta feature – Google Automated Transcription of the show Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this episode is being recorded on Monday January 15th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your Tahoe Scott Wingo. Scot: [0:38] Good morning Jason and welcome back Jason Scott. [0:42] Well Jason one of our most popular shows of 2017 much to our surprise was when we had our mutual friend Casey lobaugh on from Deloitte to share what they're singing retail Casey is Chief retail Innovation officer and a principal. For the retail practice at Deloitte Casey welcome back to the show. Kasey: [1:00] Thanks I'm I'm happy to be back. Scot: [1:02] Don't worry we're excited to have you on we're all here live together so that's exciting too we rarely get to see our guest so I just want to say your hair looks amazing today good you're having a really good hair day. Kasey: [1:12] I was up all morning. Scot: [1:13] Yeah okay good good spot a product in there. Jason: [1:17] Having the best hair amongst the three of us is not is a very well bar. [1:21] Welcome to the super rarefied air of the multi time guests honored to have you last time on the show you give us your. [1:30] Your full background but like obviously the the shows expanding exponentially so there's a lot of listeners that may not have heard your first episode so can you remind us just a little bit about how you came to your role at delay. Kasey: [1:41] Sure thing and worse all thank you guys for having me back thrilled to be here long time listener how about that. Set my background I've been with the lawyer a long time in the fact is I think about the number of years it's a bit scary I've been I'm approaching 22 years with the lawyer in our retail practice. Jason: [1:58] And you were the first teenage party. Kasey: [1:59] That's right that's right I do. Scot: [2:00] Doogie Howser ability. Kasey: [2:02] Early on you know early on with with the letter i really focused on e-commerce so we're talkin your 99 2000 2001 time frame you're helping retailers, Enrique's launch e-commerce figure out what it meant to to operate. The other operations in place and then we went through a period of time where we were helping retailer scale and it was really all about maturing business processes you had a new technologies that they gave more sophistication around e-commerce. After that I did a bit of a pivot and started working on this thing that it's time we were calling multi-channel, omni-channel helping retailers figure out how the channels work together and did a lot of work around on the channel strategy and then more recently I spent a lot of time on the future of retail like where is it going next how should we think about it, what are the implications how do we create in a winning strategies against a very fast evolving retail environment. Scot: [2:57] Cool awesome let's start with, taxable? Sitting here it's January 15th the dust is still setting settling on holiday 17 what what do you think about what are some of the insights that you drew from holiday 17 come in early look of of what you got song. Kasey: [3:11] Great question you know so an interesting enough we do we do a report for our clients we don't publish it, Alba we do share with her with our clients about what we saw us we just put the wraps on that last night at the highest level I'd say it was a good holiday obviously we believe it's the best holiday you and many many years now. For retailers on upper upper around 5% 4.95% so clearly a good holiday and then, no surprise e-commerce in a put up about 50% of the holiday growth but that also means that there's some gross that's coming from brick-and-mortar when you look at it and pure. Dollar amounts it's about a 60/40 split 60% of the gross you know coming from an e-commerce standpoint 40% of the growth dollars coming from brick and mortar and maybe that's a surprise because we sort of look at it. Brick and mortars growing up 1.71 .9% somewhere through there but when you do the math it's actually a big amount of dollars. Scot: [4:09] Yeah that was the 1% against 85 to 90% so so the number that squirts out speaker. Kasey: [4:14] We lose track of the number of dollars that come along and that's one of the things we try and highlight the second thing I'd point out is so you know meaning of are the retailers in the marketplace I I like to stay there. They're celebrating but in many cases that you sort of have to look at that someone skeptically the markets at 5% so if you're up. 2% if you're up 1% that means you may have had positive results but you're losing market share relative to the market so we sort of always have to think about these things. Yeah from a relative standpoint so if you are as strong as the market. But if you're stronger than the market great if you're not as strong as the market that actually shows that you still have weakness relative to you know what's going on with the consumer and so I wouldn't take too many Victory laps too soon and that's part of what are our findings or reveal here. Jason: [5:02] Obviously we're doing this show from the internet Big Show in New York City I know you guys haven't had a chance to get to the show yet any like expectations going in what it what do you think the big topics are going to be this year at the shop. Kasey: [5:17] Yeah so that that's a good questions I think about the show one of the things I've heard a grown, and I even tweeted about this earlier in the week was I'm always anxious to see what the new buzzword is the vendor seem like they're in this this arms race to figure out who's going to coin the. The next bus word whether it's. Cognitive Commerce I saw you know seamless we know from years past multi-channel on Beach and I threw out those buzzwords lot around personalization a lot around blockchain and so there's a lot of vendors who really trying to coin the buzzwords, the interesting part is Buick historically the buzz words have never been the answer. The right there if you think about it did you go back to we've done the study where you go okay back let's go back 5 7 years wear on me Channel. Was Devo's new safe who were the ones that retailers that were winning around on me Channel and when you look at it you go they were winning because they had capability. At the end of the day they're actually we're not the winners, and so you still have to tear that apart and look at it and and be skeptical and I encourage everybody be skeptical of the buzz words and Sarah challenge whether or not those are are are really winning strategy so that's why I go to the floor I'm really looking at, what are the new Buzz words and what's being said by the industry and how should we think about it. Scot: [6:34] So I guess you're not all in on cryptocurrencies not going to do at KCI Co. Kasey: [6:39] I don't know though if we just added Bitcoin to the show here you're at your Stockwood Skyrock. Scot: [6:46] Yeah we we are going to do a Jason Scott Coyne so just to let you know later in the year we'll talk about that. Jason: [6:52] I don't want to disclose too much too early. [6:55] But I actually what I was at CES last week and like turn-up Kota to like literally launched us a cyber currency and got got some ridiculous kissing their evaluation. Kasey: [7:08] That's awesome by the way I believe in the power of blockchain and I think it's going to be revolutionary but that's different than the hype around cryptocurrencies this currently going on. Scot: [7:18] But then the show doesn't want to talk about future stuff but, what are the reasons you're here on the show is you guys have a new report coming out in March and I think it debuted at shop talk so we'll be excited to watch that and we're really excited cuz you have offered to give our listeners an exclusive early look at the report here on the Jason Scott show. The report is called the Great retail bifurcation this is a topic near and dear to my heart my full-time gig right now is on demand Car Wash what's 50. And I talked about this all the time because people say and I talked to some folks and they say why would someone pay for a service like this why don't they just go to a $3 Car Wash so I, bring up the bifurcation so you guys have been a great resource in there, old report and I'm excited to see this new report coming out so let's dig in the report let's start out with you know you guys have, come up you can write about a lot of different topics why the bifurcation and what's the Genesis of the report. Kasey: [8:15] So one of the things we try and do as we try and look at what's going on in the industry what's conventional wisdom. And you know honestly one of the things I always try and do it take on conventional wisdom about, what's going on and if you look historically you know we had done a big report that we called the digital divide that looked at how mobile devices were being used, and we thought the industry wasn't thinking about it correctly, because they were thinking the industry largely at the time was thinking about Mobile in in into the degree it was generating transactions and we said, we actually think we have to look at it differently and let's look at how it's influencing in store sales if you work all that reports, that was sort of conventional wisdom first that we took on and then subsequently we wrote a report called the retail volatility index when you know a lot of retailers at the time were you thinking about, and instill today about you know the big online retailer and to the degree that they're affecting, retail and so we took that on this a while there's something else going on here and if you guys are call it was really the fragmentation of share that was happening that was happening at nearly the same Pace as we were seeing consolidation. And so from that you know we started scratching her head about it. The conventional wisdom today and we hear words like digital transfer retailers need to do a digital transformation or. Yeah that the idea that there's this retail apocalypse going on right now. Scot: [9:47] Call Ed Mulligan. Kasey: [9:48] You have Molly getting nervous you know that somehow the industry is being young traumatically just dropped in and by the way that's usually put in the context of people shopping online and not shopping in stores anymore we also heard that is a narrative that, so it's the millennial the Millennials ruining but he got to see the list of all the things the Millennials are ruining right. Scot: [10:07] If they're killing everything. Kasey: [10:08] Everything including retail. Scot: [10:10] Fabric softener. Kasey: [10:10] So we decided this or that start big and clearly what are those. Scot: [10:16] But not avocado toast their they're putting all their money and avocado toast. Kasey: [10:20] The new things that the tide. Scot: [10:22] Tide Pods yeah they're it while they're eating those. Kasey: [10:24] They're eating that's right. So so we started to take on this conventional wisdom so we said so let's figure out is any of this true and which parts are true and which parts might not be true. So that was that was really impetus this her to take on the research at the time we didn't know what we were looking for we just knew this was the conventional wisdom and we wanted to start tearing it apart. So we started looking at by the way this this research has been going on for about 16 months now so we started looking at the economy first now. At the time we were started as we started to dig into the economy we started the recognized actually strong, now you know even if you clearly a lot of people to recognize today the strengthen the economy go back 16 months and all the signs were there that the economy was strong you know the unemployment rate is at near historic low, you know already, and that the home price indexes have Rick of the index has rebounded and it's actually now got your the highest home prices we've ever had so record-breaking home prices consumer sentiments gone through the rough we know that and the median income. You know for the for the consumer has now exceeded where it was in 2007 so by all. Citations you going to go wait a minute we have we have a strong economy so how can we be having the retail apocalypse if if the economy stats. Scot: [11:44] The good news is unlike the Great Recession of 08 it's not on the back of it so people actually saving during this kind of unit boom cycle so so it feels like it's Cena doesn't mean it won't go down but it's definitely better set up then we had kind of liking o 6:07. Kasey: [11:59] That's right I mean really if you think about that in the last year this idea about the retail apocalypse is really taking on a ton of momentum at the same time the economy and you know the consumer. You know it's strong right now only that but then you look see. Markets gone through the roof right so we've got more you know more value on the balance sheet of our consumer and then even when you go over and you look at. Retail industry the retail industry is actually showing strength and it's been showing strength for some time. You know one of the things we've looked at is the correlation between GDP and retail sales and there's always been a strong correlation and in fact if you look back over the last 18 months retail has been outperforming the GP, it you know at a pretty significant clip right so in 2017 we saw three and a half percent retail sales growth. And at the same time we saw GDP about 1.7%. If you look at the projections for this year gtp's supposed to be strong last couple of quarters has been 3% or so and and of course the holiday we've seen good results there as well. In our own survey we did a bit of a survey around the great retail bifurcation and ask people hey did you spend more in the last 12 months and what we found was 44% of people we surveyed said I spent more 41% said I spent about the same so, is 80% spent the same or more okay that all lines up as well even when we look at. Retail by categories we find strength now it may not be in all of the categories you know from time to time the categories are different but we saw that we've seen Home Improvement. [13:37] 5.2% of beauty cosmetics and fragrance at 5% Home Furnishings 3.3 apparel seem softness, about 1% by the way we've done a deep dive into apparel and one of the interesting thing was we found there is is a real deflationary pressure around prices that we've seen units of apparel growing faster, but then with a deflationary pressure on prices and we'll get a little bit into. Scot: [14:03] You think that's private label cousin on her. Kasey: [14:04] It yeah so as we think about the great retail bifurcations you hear me as we tear this apart one of the things we see you know has to do with with the consumer and their. Available dollars to spend so if you did a couple that idea with our previous your report the talked about fragmentation of Cher let's Bears entry we've seen. Competitive forces really driving deflationary pressure so you're off price you know fast fashion and a lot of these pressures for the build-up and they're causing for deflationary pressure. [14:39] So you know what's that paint I just painted the picture that says. The economy's strong right relatively speaking and retails actually doing well write 3.5% who can complain about that so then that you know cause you to think further about okay. Well then what's going on what what what are we missing especially if you look at the headlines and headlines across the board you know from. From the Press repeat this really you know they have painted this really bad picture about retail that means to me that. There's something missing so what we did is we said well let's let's keep digging deeper. And there's a there's a quote I was love Sarah finding the right quotes to think about situations and Albert Einstein said you don't have to know everything you just have to know where to look. Okay so we took that we thought about that and in retail what where do you look like you look at the consumer right but consumer tells us. You know what's really going on so he said okay let's take all of that and let's dig deeper you know into the consumer so can we don't know what we're looking for. So we looked at generational differences we looked at Regional differences with hypothesis hypotheses around Urban vs rural, gender we really started trying to rip this apart and we did our own survey to support this we looked at publicly available data through all these dimensions and. One of the things that started to reveal to us was when we looked at it through the consumers economic lens right. [16:13] That's where we started to see differences I'm going to talk to a little bit later about the idea about millennials, the reality is we did not see dramatic changes generationally right we didn't see dramatic difference is urban versus rural cuz I had some hypotheses around that it was really when we looked at it through this consumer economics lens. That we you know we're able to start to see some things so what we did we took. We took the consumer and sort of broke them out into three cohorts and we use. That the government's classification around this around low-income middle-income in high-income starting to try and figure out how they behaving different how are they shopping different you know are they. Your do they have the available money where they pressured right now those are the kinds of questions we looked at so the low income consumer you know has income below 50,000. The middle-income 50 to a hundred thousand high-income is a hundred thousand or more and you know sweetheart to look at that interesting part it's like a 40 40. 20% split so 40% of population low 40% mental 20% high and of course if you look at something simple like home ownership clearly you see that's cute with 49% of low-income only homes + 83 + percent, High income owning homes as we ever is reporting that we looked at income while how they performing from an income standpoint we looked at. Non-discretionary expenses right cuz we no income minus non-discretionary leaves discretionary or disposable and really that's the amount that. [17:46] Really drives retail so we thought let's rip that Apartments understand net worth difference is xcetera and here's where we saw. [17:55] A profound. Difference here's where this was the aha moment this is when we dug into this this is for us what what the find that the research report when we started to see how drastic the difference is worth and for me personally I would tell you you know Apollo retail. I listen to that Jason Scott show I do everything I possibly can to understand what's going on and for me this would really wasn't haha MoMA. So I know when we probably all know we've heard about the bifurcation of income between the income and low income we probably heard that for a long time but the degree to which it has happened you know in the last 10 years for me was shocking. The degree to which event is happening last 10 years. And so when we start to look at that the fascinating part about this like if you look from 2007 to 2015. What we find is that over 100% of all income gains went to the top 20%. Over 100% that means the other 80% of the population. Didn't do so well you know -2 flat fast for 80% of the population right so think about that in some ways I called this the last decade. And for meeting of our consumers by the way it was I talk to my own colleagues I talk to the executives across retail like to remind everybody where where we fit where you fit as an individual within that because you have to keep in mind. [19:23] You know you know that that you're you're doing favorably in this income it are in this environment if you're an executive if you're you know technology vendors many of the listeners of your shows and unlikely the owner of a car wash. [19:39] That's right the owner of a spiffy car wash. Jason: [19:42] Regular listeners that the show will know that Scott travels with his own gold Throne that he's actually sitting on right now is he's doing the. Scot: [19:49] Yes and I wear my unlike snoke I wear my gold robe. Kasey: [19:52] I'd say over over 20% of all income gains went the sky apparently right. [19:57] Show me where this this was really profound I would say in 2016 continue to be in some income games and some of those games actually were spread out more than they've been in the past to where at least at this point. In a SS 2007 low income has actually gone positive slightly but they're you know that you see some some gain here. The problem is income isn't the only component here that matters right so I've heard this like why the stock market stock markets up right well the problem is is that. The top 20% own 93% of the stocks so any depreciation in stock. Is all almost flowing to the same top 20% who have gotten the income games, and by the way I don't have the facts behind this but it was my own personal belief that when we talk about digital disruption we talk about technology technology is fueling. This is bifurcation of the income where you know if you think about the available jobs today read some of the other day that said there are now more. Open positions that are going unfilled than ever in the history of our economy. And you think okay why is that will unemployment rate slow while there's a lot of people though that. Positions that have gone off of the unemployment rosters there no longer speaking and it's I believe it's a mismatch between the available jobs which you know are more technology-oriented and available skill sets. Scot: [21:28] Olympics Girl Scout on the 80/20 so so that's a population so if there's 300 million people in the US 80% are in that haven't kept up in 20% or a head. Does the wallet split preview it seems like the wallet because the 20% or so affluent it seems like they would almost be like. [21:45] 90% the wallet 5% or 10 on the wallet sideways backflip. Kasey: [21:49] That you're absolutely right right right so there's a small percentage of population that's really can controlling it a big part of that that you cannot expend. So the interesting part though is you dig deeper as I dig deeper this only gets more pronounced because all we've talked about so far as we talked a little bit about balance sheet, stocks we talking about income when we then look at non-discretionary spending this gets more pronounced in that non-discretionary expenses of skyrocketing. And as they've skyrocketed the effect of the lowest income has been the most traumatic I mean think about Healthcare is during that same time. 2007-2016 up 66%. Education up 41% food housing Transportation 1810 + 3. Do you put all that together and you put that against a flat to decreasing income and what that does is it puts pressure on to disposable income or discretionary spending. In fact when we look at when we look at that proportional impact it really becomes pronounced it that the non-discretionary expenditures for the lowest income of a 22%. So again zero to negative and an 22% increase in non-discretionary spending. Scot: [23:04] The only relief is gas prices are down from that time frame. Kasey: [23:08] That's right that's right so there's some there's some there's some. Scot: [23:09] It's not offsetting what the increases. Jason: [23:11] Hello it is funny I mean we're talking about how these macroeconomic things affect consumers gas prices to me is always one that I think of is a little bit of a red herring. [23:24] Close attention to it and follow it super closely but it's it's not a big chunk of that. [23:30] Non discretionary budget for for the average household so it's it almost seems like people sort of overweight at like we're at their Healthcare is taking 30% of your not discretionary money in gas is taking 2%. [23:45] Doesn't matter the gas is cheaper. Kasey: [23:47] Right right you have to sort of look at it in aggregate that's what we tried to do is look at 9 discretionary and aggregate knowing that there's no shifts occurring and what was it was fascinating as I talk to her about deflationary prices. And apparel and slice of a Factory CD player Sherry prices in certain areas we see inflationary prices, I haven't been able to tear this apart to figure out know what tribes that deflationary pressures what drives inflationary pressures. I have my own hypothesis again this is not a proven fact yet at least that I've been able to prove out but I believe that those areas where technology has been able to make more inroads and more impact, drives the deflationary pressures those areas where it's slower to adopt. Alesso so freezing by talks about Healthcare you know being an industry that I personally believe is still tons of opportunity and technology is not made as many in Road maybe it has an inner in other areas. [24:48] So okay well let's dig deeper okay this gracious let's talk about the scratch the discretionary share of wallet then, what's the consumer left with the fascinating part here is low income has had a negative 16%. Change in discretionary wallet in fact they've gone negative. I ain't 2015 their discretionary well it went went negative a dramatic change from 2007. And if you go up the only the only cohort that had any increase in discretionary is the high income. 4% increase in a 4% may not seem like a dramatic increase but when you put it against the the amount of dollars that are you know coming in. Scot: [25:34] $100,000 plus you. Kasey: [25:35] It's a significant amount of additional money so when I start to think about that in fact you what we show is going to low-income. Now has a net change in discretionary income of nearly $3,000 negative. While the the highest income is up around $32,000 net change in their discretionary income so we got one consumer that has money. Money to spend in one consumer who is more pressure than ever around. Therefore you got to think about price sensitivity of the bottom 80% versus available dollars of the of the top 20%. Scot: [26:17] You talk about low medium high at the very beginning now your time got two buckets what happened to the medium guys. Kasey: [26:23] Why I start a group those together I'm sorry so I start a group together when I talk about the 80 right who are doing not as well. Scot: [26:31] Exact more like the low then. Kasey: [26:33] That's right so I started just divide it like the top 20% doing well the other 80% is pressure. [26:41] Okay so then I started thinking further about this idea about what retailers are really competing for discretionary income there two competing for disposable but we also know over the last 10 years something else has changed and that's, new categories of disposable and specifically we look just at 1 devices devices and data plans so if you went back to 2007 you know who was spending money on devices and data plans, due 2016 of spinning at Force what we now know is all income. Cohorts are spending on devices and data plans and if you looked at digital spin. As a percentage of income digital meaning on the device for the low-income category except 3.6% just in the last year. And high incomes only at .71% as a as a percentage of their dollars going towards this category okay so what was to say that. For that low and middle-income categories that used to spend on certain retail you know items and spin. There their discretionary disposable is squeezed and another portion of that is going to new categories or spend that maybe they weren't too in 2007 just shows more and more pressure building up and for us we sort of you that is, increasing the price sensitivity that those categories have right so that for us was sort of really interesting about. Tearing apart the consumer because at the macro level the economy is doing well let's not doing well for everybody okay at the at the macro-level you think retails doing well. [28:20] Let's dig deeper and figure out what what's going on so what we started to do is to say okay well if that's occurring how might that be manifesting itself on the retail industry itself. And you know there's another quote that I like to quote often is follow the customers they change. We change and that was from the Tesco former CEO we talked about like evolving the value proposition of the retailer in accordance with what the customer actually wants crazy philosophy right. Jason: [28:48] That seems super and Kim. Kasey: [28:49] That's right it does so how can we look at retailers in the context of what I just discovered here. And so we took retailers you guys know me I was like to think about Frameworks to measure performance of the industry in the aggregate we put together a framework to look at the value proposition. Every Taylor's simple-framework on one end of the spectrum we looked at price. On the other end of the spectrum let's think about it in terms of Premium premium products or services. So if you're a top price retailer you're getting plotted in a to the left if you're a Premier Service or product exclusive product your plotted farther to the right now. How about called is a subjective plotting right because we're just sort of making an assessment of where. Retailers are relative to each other but we thought it was a helpful and by the way there's a ton of debate. Kind of debate myself my colleagues working through fighting and there was a lot of really in arguments about these relative placement. A single dimension on a value proposition probably isn't fair it's more complex than that. We use the framework to look at the foreman so as we planted everybody out we came up with three categories right if you're on the far left let's call that price based retailers if you're on the far right. Lascala's Premier retailers and in the middle that's calling balanced right so if there's a retailer that doesn't necessarily offer exclusive. Really exclusive products or extremely exclusive experiences but they're not cheapest either they a nice mix of Prada. [30:24] And promotion in a Serta falls in the middle so those are sort of the three categories so we said okay we got three categories now let's look at the performance of those categories. And this again was another huge aha moment for us is when you look at the five-year Revenue growth of of those retailers for a price-based you actually find they've been incredibly well. Insight over a five-year. The growth is north of 30%. If you're up earlier base retailer we also find their growth has been incredibly good in fact we find that north of 60% that we see. His last drink there now the problem is and I gave you you may have noticed that I overlooked in that it is those Balance retailers over the same five-year. We're seeing about 2%. Growth of those okay so it's really, bifurcation of where the strength is in the industry and again if you were late that back to a consumer one consumer who is incredibly price-sensitive because of a constrained discretionary spending and another consumer actually has. More money to make more decisions the questions are they buying more stuff. Where they buy more premier stuff are they buying more Premiere plus Services you know oriented by the way you'll hear a lot you know in the industry by all people want experiences not stuffing, yeah I challenge you to look through the same lens is that all consumers want experiences not stuff, I think there's a lot of consumers who are just trying to get by you know with with squeeze dollars. To figure out how to buy the stuff I need just to get by there is a consumer though who has more than enough money to spend on more experiential things than maybe they think they might. Scot: [32:01] An inconvenience is a huge factor form to that's what the whole car wash things about like yeah they're they're so busy because to make over that under K you can't just you know you're working 60 80 hour weeks the convenience factor for those premium retailers is a big. Big part of it as well white why they're choosing that retailer. Kasey: [32:19] I think that absolutely makes sense is that there's an element here that says at some point you're willing to change it trade dollars for time. Hey has to do it while I have extra dollars I don't have extra time right I'm willing to do that so anyway as you dig deeper by the way if you look just in the last year that same exact framework what we find is in last year except if your price based your up north of 6%. If your Premier based your up 8% or so and if your balanced if you're the balance retail your negative so weak that that cohort for us is negative 2% or so. So by the way I would call out that not everybody in the cohort. [32:58] Forms like the cohort rights and every cohort there's an Amelie's where there's a price-based that's negative and there's a premier that's negative in there someone balance is doing a little bit better than others so that that's absolutely there. In aggregate but we find a strength and weakness and that's really what we were trying to identify. Scot: [33:14] Yeah I need this is what hurts the mall base retailer because I'm all is neither you don't go to the mall saying. Oh my God I'm going to save so much money right you go to the dollar store the club and does usually Arnot Mall. Y'all so don't go to the mall saying oh my gosh this can be so convenient because you know if the park over here it's busy hike over here and so some malls I think kind of end up being in that Wasteland in the middle right now. Kasey: [33:36] Yeah I met many of the companies that are warm all based absolutely fall they're not although but many of them apps. Scot: [33:42] But the Apple Stores obviously bucking that Trend but. Kasey: [33:44] By the way one of the things I did point out his this is a lens to look at the industry there are other lenses that also have a credibility you know the idea about are you off mall are you off you know re Mall based might be another lens to look at this. Jason: [33:58] I would also just point out. [33:59] All of these definitions shift overtime which is funny because there was a gyro in which you would have Define the mall as convenient. [34:08] Like we put all the stores together in one place and surrounding them with a bunch of parking that was much more convenient than having to drive 15 miles to the store and today that same structure feels like. [34:20] The inconvenient shopping experience because what are our expectations have just. Kasey: [34:26] That's right that's right. I'm right by the way we looked at this then performance along a lot of Dimensions we looked at return on assets return on Equity we looked at PE ratio we're looking at everything we can look at that they would help us understand, performance of these cohorts in an across-the-board on every one of those Dimensions you'll see the exact same. You know if you looked at yet when you look at the graph in the report visually looks the same with strength on in the off price strength in the Premier and weakness you know in those that are in the middle. [34:59] Even if you looked at here's there there's my other favorite conventional wisdom store closings. This is closing stores the whole industry were closing stores closing brick and mortar stores that are being closed there's actually if you if you need it out there's more stores opening than there are closing. Further if you then look at it via the same categories that I put forth you see the exact same thing occur you know price face retailers they're opening up stores in fact they're opening up stores like crazy. Premier bass retailers also opening up stores and it's that the balance retailers were the vast majority of the store closing you know is occurring. Scot: [35:35] So there's like 7000 closures last year I think is like the number that a lot of people put out there so you're you're saying that there was more than enough more than 7,000 openings around the the value side and the other side took character. Kasey: [35:50] What we did we went out and we studied at 10 Case press releases we tried to collect the everywhere we could and we use theirs there's varying reports that include and don't include some. Certain companies but we were able to get everything we could see and what are what what are study found is that there were more opening in the work clothes. [36:09] We also looked at net promoter scores, long the same three dimensions and we find the exact same thing where you know consumers are 22% more likely to recommend price-based retailers than they are these balance based retailers their hundred 10% more likely to recommend Premier retailers than their balance. Retail so we find the exact same thing that really has to do with what's the consumer want. This is the simple idea about how is the consumer changing how are the pressures on the consumer changing and then how are you as a retailer you know evolving and meeting those those changing to man. By the way the interesting part here is if you look at digital through this lens right what we find is the vast majority of price-based retailers are physical with very little, digital presence very little digital offering of course it once you get to the premier side you find digital matters a lot more as it pertains to Premiere but I was like to look at this through that lens of life. Yahweh. If you looked at ticket take a price-based retailer who's had signs of success over last 10 years and you look at them in and tell them they need to do a digital transformation or, or go back 10 years time and tell them the way of the world is e-commerce, they would have missed if they done either one of those things that she was opportunity they've had in the last 10 years the amount of value that they've generated, you know my entire career has been about digital in retail and I certainly believe that the future of retail is predicated on digit. [37:40] However I don't think being digital is the only strategy I don't think being digital is a sufficient strategy right. Jason: [37:49] It's not much of a differentiated. Kasey: [37:50] How much are the temperature like retailers need to have digital and Technology fundamentally sort of ingrained in what they do but how that manifests itself and how they create value propositions around that needs to be that's the Strategic question. So anyway that that's sort of the Highlight you know you think about this great retail bifurcation says look on one side we've got income that's really changing their for the consumers changing and therefore, if we look at retailers in success or weakness it actually corresponds and I'm fairly well with what's happening at the consumer at the wallet love. Scot: [38:24] So if I made from value and Premier I kind of know what I need to do I'm in good shape but I'm balanced what do I do. Kasey: [38:32] Actually. I'm not sure that anybody knows what they need to do I think that's the that's the hardest question because the world is evolving and Retail environment consumers evolving so quickly. That how you think about that consumer and how you think about creating value propositions one of the things we believe is it is increasingly granular. You know Aunt in the value proposition actually is also increasingly modular so instead of having the big you know. Monolithic value proposition that you're going to offer up to the consumer what we see is. Fragmentation fragmentation not only of the market but fragmentation about how I approach the market if somebody call this personalization. Right beside you that I talk to you different than I talk to you the next Consumer what we actually take that idea further. And this idea that says no not just how I talk to you that's a marketing thing but how I approach you how I serve you my value proposition 1 assortment I bring to you we got to take all those things and safe. That has to come become increasingly granular granular and modular how I take that out the market that's what's happening to the competitive base and frankly that's happened that's what's happening to the consumer as well. Scot: [39:44] So so some of the. So like Nordstrom and tax and I don't talk about the Retailer's but when I look at Nordstrom's and Saks the kind of have two phases of the consumers they have the the luxury side and then. You know then they also have the price side so that you know that Nordstrom Rack and Off Saks so that's it seems to be an example, like what you're talking about. Kasey: [40:03] Yeah what was that without a doubt that's an example and in fact if you if you if You Pull A Part the vast majority of big strategic moves that any retailers have made recently they really do line up with this idea about some cases there. They're different brands some cases their Acquisitions of brands that you'd go while that doesn't make sense with. You with your customer base and if you looked at it through the Senate lens you got all that makes absolute sense less that's a choir a brand that actually lets me approach you know and and capitalize on a different customer in my customer base. Scot: [40:37] Well there's tons of talk about Millennials word where do they fall into this mix. Kasey: [40:41] Yeah you know that's that's a great question cuz I was another thing we took head on this conventional wisdom that says this is all the money all the Millennials destroying all of this. And what we found was. Well I'm some ways that's true but the reality is it's more intricate than that so at the highest level when you average all Millennials together we actually find in our study we find. They behave differently they behave in many ways that you might expect a shop online more often they go to the store last off, you know those things but here's what really is fastening when we when we separated the Millennials by the same income cohorts here's where the big aha was as it pertains to millennials. It's only the high in Cumberland you that actually really skews the entire collection towards the behaviors that you would expect. The low-income Millennial actually behaves very much in line with the low-income consumer so we looked at propensity the shop online and what we found is a low-income Millennial shops online roughly the same way a low-income person does. Meeting Tom middle-income Millennial does the same way also looked at whether or not they shop at discount stores and we found the same thing very much in line with the high in Cumberland Hill though. Is is skewed dramatically towards behaviors and therefore they as a subset, of the Millennials actually skew the entire collection of Millennials that way so when you pull it apart and then it becomes really obvious now the issue that you have is when you look at the high income Millennial you find out that's about 6%. [42:13] The population or so it's a small portion of the population that really behaves differently one of the things we counseling and caution is to sort of think that the millennial is a group. Now is that consumer we actually have to play the part we also looked at an interesting question is fragmentation of spin when you do shopping stores how many Shores at stores do you shop at when you do stop and shop online how many. How many different places to shop online and what we found was high-income across-the-board skews hired a fragment or spend across more retailers. The millennial online shopper skews. Almost off the charts in terms of the number of different retailers that they're willing to shop shop with online that's very interesting insight. Scot: [42:58] The shop at a lot of very few. Jason: [43:01] The highway promiscuous in the. Kasey: [43:03] That's right that's right that's right. Jason: [43:04] Does a user than play this but just to save it stated explicitly like so all Court cohorts. [43:10] Gain wealth as they get older right so the older the color is the more wealthy 10 aggregate but one of the things that's been unique about Millennials is they've gained wealth much more slowly. [43:22] Then previous cohort So when you say hey there's a a high-income group in a low-income group. [43:28] That hiding from group is actually much smaller as a percentage of their total population then was true for Gen xers. Kasey: [43:36] Yeah that that's a great point cuz we all like to imagine when we said around as retail experts that we are and we imagine you know a millennial and how they shot, you know what there their they're probably wearing yoga pants they've got 3 smartphones they probably avocado toast I think you mentioned that, you know we got the idea of a millennial that the problem is that idea is a very small portion of the millennial one in five Millennials live in poverty. 2/3 of Millennials didn't go to college don't have a degree and the older Millennials 26 and 34 are the cohort with the highest rate. Of uninsured medical incidents are the incidents that most frequent lead people into poverty so there's many people who are millennials today who are not doing so well they really fall into categories that we don't often think about when we talk about money. Jason: [44:25] Yeah it's fascinating and I run into some retail all the time is just. [44:29] Our industry was born based on these kind of urban legends in the you know this kind of word of mouth like oh this is who our customer is this is what their economic situation is in in you know you're you're bringing us another example of. When you really look at the data the urban legend off and doesn't hold up but I used always chuckle. [44:50] Personas are big thing for retailers he's going to need to return to have this Persona who their customer is and I have this premise that on average every retailers Persona is 10 years younger than their average. [45:03] Because I want imagine that they have this like young hip Shopper and yet that that usually isn't who shopping in their stores. Kasey: [45:10] Something about this cuz I just I just shared data that most of it is you're looking in the rear right we're looking for looking back think about you know here we are interesting about the, the buzzwords I'm in route back to this idea of the buzz words that were the big buzz words here at dinner after last 10 years. In what I just showed was that there was something going on in the marketplace that none of the buzz words were. Where anywhere clear to close to write were talking omni-channel retails the future in Mobile link. Important in that they weren't good and that if you did them right they wouldn't be productive but there's a whole collection of retailers that that went a Direction. Around the cut off price you know that was incredibly lucrative over the last 10 years that none of the buzz words. [46:00] That opportunity and when was thinking about business with him. RetailMeNot retail strategy we got to keep in mind that this is about finding opportunity. Finding where those pockets are of of demand or pressure or needs that we we can figure out how to capitalize on those in and serve those and provide to those right, and if we look into the future we have to figure out, where are those evolving opportunities where they coming from next and how do we think about those too often and Retail we think about capability we think of mobile. The capability when we don't think about is is this idea of need right and the changing competitive environment and how our competitors are thinking about unlocking those opportunities so you know I got passion about this idea about. You know Zig when everybody else zags write the passion about this idea about thinking in more granular ways about where there's opportunity and being skeptical. I'm a bender let me be clear I'm a vendor but be skeptical of us off of us vendors who who you know show up with the buzz words and show up with these simple ideas that are conventional wisdom about what success looks like. Jason: [47:12] With the very rare exception of Jason and Casey be very skeptical of the vendors. Kasey: [47:16] That's right you want to be skeptical of Scott. Jason: [47:20] Scot used to be a vendor now he just helps make our life better by having our. Scot: [47:25] Agnostic vendor so what channel does being somewhere so choose your own strategy. Kasey: [47:30] You guys now that that's those are the highlights of the great retail bifurcation in the report you will be launching in. The March will be sharing with few of our clients between now and then but in March we're going to be in a launching it and you will see it will make sure we push it out to the market. Scot: [47:46] Did you guys projected Ford like as it's only going to get worse or so like some of the tax cuts and we're seeing some people raise minimum wages for retail employees was trying to see some movement at that lower level I don't know if it's me and you don't fit. WD projector for door. Kasey: [48:01] There's no projection on it but we certainly have had, plenty of conversations of course this is it gets wrapped up it gets wrapped up very quickly and threw a political positions and thinking and and how you believe these things that are happening now policy changes made manifest themselves. You know I would share my own personal view point would be that. In a meeting of the changes that have occurred recently including the continued growth in the stock market skews towards one end of the Continuum you look at the tax cuts and you have to decide whether or not you believe. The trick is trickle-down effect will. You know ultimately find its way to the lower lower ends of the income Spectrum I'll refrain from providing will have to have more conversations over a beer about whether or not we believe one way or another. Scot: [48:51] We don't get into Kenzie in economics here at the end of the show. Kasey: [48:53] That's right it is it's a great question about whether or not you know the things that are occurring from a policy standpoint or only going to accelerate this or whether or not they're going to solve this. Scot: [49:02] Cool Whip between now and when the reports out what should should listeners they're interested in this topic where would you point them like maybe your Twitter feed or. Kasey: [49:11] Yeah so it will certainly in the Twitter feed will continue to offer more things out but I thought I would share this look we're sharing with our clients you know that the initial findings I'd be happy to share you knowing conversation with anybody in a prior to our official, no more States and reach out to me via email or Twitter LinkedIn any of those ways I'll be happy to know begin sharing some of this there's nothing super secret here, let me thrilled to share this with anybody that thinks this would be helpful. Scot: [49:40] Awesome and then what's your Twitter handle. Kasey: [49:42] Caleb. Scot: [49:43] Caliber. Jason: [49:44] And we'll put that in the show notes so you just have to click the link. Scot: [49:47] Go to last topic so you spend a lot of time thinking about the future you you're heavily involved The Singularity University and and you know we always have this fun topics around Ray Kurzweil and stuff what anything would we think about the next 10 years what does it hold for. Kasey: [50:01] And I always like to say you know if you think that you've seen disruption you know you ain't seen nothing yet. Cuz the reality is if you don't we study this in the retail volatility index when you when you really think about okay is the industry being disrupted today I think pretty much people would say yes being disrupted but if you say. Artificial intelligence isn't disrupting and I can't come up with an example this is all this is Ben and blockchain isn't disrupting and driverless cars aren't disrupting and you know advances and in human health. So the vast majority of the the Technologies even that will see over it at interrupt. Disrupting today the destruction that were talking about today is really after 20 years of first and maybe second year second generation internet Technologies. Web IP protocol mobile devices you know so and we start celebrating him. Of those and you know I look at it and go boy this next Generation that are just now coming online, are going to make that pale in comparison but I finally I comes back to the exponential curve of advancing Technologies in the impact of those Technologies where we're now starting to feel the acceleration of that. And I think things like I think things like blockchain and its ability to. Open up the marketplace are really going to have a profound effect once once we figure out what and how do you use blockchain to open up Trading. [51:34] Inventory providers and customers and you know there are retailers today that play The Ledger. In between suppliers and customers today what happens when you don't need a company. The place at Rolex that do I think I'm pretty bullish on that it'll take awhile for that to you know evolve and unlock the advances in artificial intelligence there's a great presentation of singularity, on the advancements in what what like why now why are we talking about it now when you see that presentation about well here's how far it's coming The Last 5 Years it's mind-blowing, about how far it's gotten so I'm confident that in the next five to seven years that will have a profound effect though you know I guess I tell people you ain't seen nothing yet that's my view. Jason: [52:21] It's funny one of the things I've learned from from Singularity is the human brain just isn't wired to sort of. [52:29] Project these exponential changes and so we have this tendency to think linearly and you go home and there's been a bunch of change we're probably. [52:36] Most of the way through that change when in reality I wholeheartedly agree that like the overwhelming majority of disruption were likely to see his still. [52:45] Still in front of us which is great news for the three of us at this table because there's going to be a great role for our businesses and more importantly the Jason and Scott Show podcast. Kasey: [52:54] The interesting part I'll add one more common is that it's not usually the technology itself the technology gets all the attention it's the changing. Competitive Dynamics it's the changing barriers-to-entry it's the changing idea about what it means to compete. That we lose sight upright weight we want to think about our competitive model as it stands and will attack on whatever technology is and in largely will be the same but the disruption comes from the changing. Competitive environment that's what changes not just that a you know my competitor now has a mobile app I need a mobile app to know. That's not it it's like I talked to her earlier about deflationary pressures on prices and apparel it's those sort of changes that come from the technology that we miss when we don't double click and triple click into what are the implications. Scot: [53:43] And the consumer changing more rapidly than we can react to him to your point about the the quote they have. Kasey: [53:48] One of the things we're saying this is back to buzzword right this are buzzword we're saying this isn't the retail apocalypse it's more like the retail Renaissance, brightest idea that there's a spirit of change that's occurring we sort of put it into the to the Renaissance. Where technology became important in science became important and the question is whether or not you can evolve. You know during the Renaissance. And that's really what we're at because the industry isn't week the industry has strength there are winners and losers it's happening at a faster Pace than ever but it's not the apocalypse. You know and it in its demise it's actually in its you know when someone gets in at a day here as we as we figure out how do we compete in a new environment. Jason: [54:34] Well that is great news and that is a great place to leave it today because it is happen again, we've used up all our a lot of time so we certainly appreciate your time Casey is a reminder if you enjoyed the Today Show we certainly appreciate a 5-star review on iTunes if you like to continue the conversation you're welcome to. [54:52] Click on over to our Facebook page and leave us a comma. Scot: [54:56] Yep and a kind of a fun thing is you get to play you are in a rock band so you have in your your your night gig are night gig is podcasting in yours is playing a bass guitar so there's a big a jam session at the Retailer's get together at the soap look forward to seeing you rock out tonight. Kasey: [55:12] And I look forward to it. Jason: [55:13] Until next time happy commercing.

Supply Chain Radio
SapientRazorfish's Jon Reily on AI, convergence, and the science behind Amazon's prosperous private labels

Supply Chain Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 19, 2018 23:54


Business models collide! As retailers turn to private labels and manufacturers go direct-to-consumer, both industries are repositioning their supply chains to serve an increasingly influential customer base. An industry veteran who founded two e-commerce companies and helped Amazon build its billion-dollar Kindle brand, Jon Reily knows a thing or two about creating compelling consumer experiences. Live from the NRF 2018 podcast studio at Retail's Big Show in New York, Jon joins Matt Gunn and Guy Courtin to talk about brand convergence, the latest digital technology, and how he's working to help clients evolve as a vice president of commerce at SapientRazorfish.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

EP113 - NRF Preview http://jasonandscot.com Episode 113 is preview of the NRF Big Show 2018. Recap of CES 2018 Preview of NRF Big Show 2018 Retail News Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Episode 113 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Sunday, January 15th, 2018. New beta feature - Google Automated Transcription of the show Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 113 being recorded on Sunday January 14th 2018 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your host Scot Wingo. Scot: [0:39] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason Scott show listeners Jason this is one of those are very rare times over the course of the Year where we are actually not only in the same town but in the same room at the same time. Jason: [0:53] I know it's awesome we make eye contact while we're talking this is very weird for me. Scot: [0:58] Yeah it's very weird I'm usually just staring deeply into the the computer. Jason: [1:02] I'm staring deeply into a photo of you I have over my computer. Scot: [1:05] Are there candles. Jason: [1:07] We don't need to get in any more specific. Scot: [1:08] Call Sue. Jason: [1:12] Why are we here Together Scott. Scot: [1:13] We are here at Big Beautiful New York City for NRS Big Show. It's that time of year again where were you here making the Trek down to the Javits Center no snow on the ground this year I think that's the thing the last three in RFC I've been trudging through snow but this one's pretty dry. Jason: [1:30] There's no snow yet but the mean in RF weather tradition is the blizzard that comes in during the show and makes it impossible to go home after the show and if I'm if I'm remembering correctly there is it forecast for snow during the show so we'll have to see. Scot: [1:45] We may be doing a lot of podcast from the the podcast you here in New York. Jason: [1:49] Exactly are our misery could be our listeners benefit. Scot: [1:53] And what's up we definitely want to do a little preview of some of the things that were already hearing about it in RF but you are fresh out of Vegas where you were at CES I want to hear all about your CS6 transfer. Exciting things I saw the Tweet about but I'm sure there's more color you can share. Jason: [2:10] Yeah so there's an annual tradition for me is you know you celebrate New Years and then you'll get on a plane and fly to Las Vegas with, 180000 of your closest friends to see the latest, new Innovations in electronics and then you go straight from there to New York for the blizzard and the big interrupt retail shop and I go to CES, almost every year I think this is my 32nd 2-year CES largely to see, new trends that might affect our our clients on our Industries. Scot: [2:48] Now that he's become Dex and CS remember and you probably go if we're talking 32 years they used to be separate shows then it kind of merged and now you can hardly see a computer anywhere at at CVS. Jason: [3:01] Yeah so they were competing shows context was in November CES is in January they both briefly also tried to have second shows in Chicago at another time of year was that that wasn't very successful, condex went out of business some of those exhibitors then moved over to CES and over history at various times they've been industries that. UCS is an important part of their business and then moved on so I can the video games used to all exhibit at CES they outgrew it and launch their own show which is he three computers are not a, super robust part of the Consumer Electronics ecosystem at the moment they're pretty flat. Although there is a big push people are feeling like the Esports and the high-end gaming is. Starting to drive a meaningful niche of these high-performance laptop sales. Scot: [3:53] One category that is CS now is Auto City Autos used to be kind of at their show which is called a Syma and then another part of SEMA Ace. Jason: [4:03] Cosima is the auto parts show that's in Las Vegas there there's a course of the Detroit Auto Show is going on right now in Detroit which is where all the. Karma you typically see car manufacturers in Detroit launching their new Mustangs and those are two things and you'd get the like. Tire guys in the the oil filter guys and all that at SEMA and for many years one of the big pieces of the consumer electronic show was the aftermarket. Car audio industry which is of course almost completely dead. Scot: [4:34] Yeah and then we had GPS is for a while they were big now actually Autumn acres are there in a pretty big way right. Jason: [4:40] Exactly so they have taken over the hall that used to have the car stereo equipment in it and they're largely showing car tech in so you know they're they're typically not launching their new vehicles. It in Las Vegas they're typically showing the new in-dash platform their new automation things the new wireless Services they're offering and what's what's a little funny is you you go to all the car boots and you. You might say you'll see some cars but you see a lot more like. Check components from the cars and then you go to all the other Halls where you see the the major ingredient tech companies like Bosch and Intel and Qualcomm that make alot of the parts in the car. And they are of course have fancy complete cars and they're both so you go to the tech show to see the cars in the car show to see the tech. Scot: [5:31] So what's new in cars is it is there still a big battle for the Smart Car platform already moved on to self driving cuz I know Intel's bigger than that what were some of the big things and Auto. Jason: [5:41] Dazzled by far the big Trend in the the car boots this year is Automation and particular the self-driving Vehicles they have this system. This ranking system from. Animated level 1 through 5 so I go level 1 car has tools that help you drive better like a flashing light that tells you that the car in front of you stops and two can kind of assist you and certain things. Like like a break for you when there's a car in front of you three can let you have your hands off the wheel for tonight you have your eyes off the wheel in five doesn't have a wheel, inside there a lot of now level 3 cars being shown at the at the show and a lot of the, the tech Innovation was around like these these autonomous vehicles and then to a lesser extent. Electric vehicles in new charging Technologies and things like that Qualcomm has a thing called Halo which is wireless charging for your car so you have a plate in your garage and you. You just parked the car over the plate and it charges it overnight free. Scot: [6:51] This may seem Irrelevant for retail but I saw on CNBC Ford, you announced they're very excited about driverless cars but they really kind of they don't believe that they'll be kind of a fleet kind of a thing like an Uber there really more into package delivery so I think that it's going to last mile. Absolution. That was kind of interesting that the others there's a major auto manufacturer that really thinks it's going to be really more for delivery and he specifically talked about new from stores to do consumers. Actually competing with FedEx Amazon ups and all those kind of folks. Jason: [7:26] Yeah yeah I mean there's another time we can talk about from that the show is Robotics and so it's kind of a combination of Robotics and automation there's a lot of interesting potential, new helping that last mile but the Ford booth at CES is kind of interesting they really focused on. Their vision for what a city looks like in a world in which most of the vehicles are autonomous and so one of the big questions that they they were trying to answer in their Booth is. How do pedestrians interact with autonomous vehicles right like to, often when you're crossing a busy street and there's a crosswalk you may go out of your way to make eye contact with a driver before you just make a leap of faith in Jump front of the vehicle so what do passengers expect to do. When an autonomous car is coming up to a crosswalk or those kinds of things, in one of the things that they did to study this is they really did this big research study on future cities but they actually invented a costume that looks like a car seat. And so they say they dress the guy up to make him look like the empty seat of the car and sat him down in the car so it was a fake autonomous vehicle. I'm just thinking that that's a funny job to go home and tell your parents you just got is your portraying a car seat. Scot: [8:41] Or when you have time to go to Starbucks I must look really weird it's like here comes a Walkin car seat. Jason: [8:45] Exactly so they videotaped all these consumer reactions and they have this notion around like we'll probably have to have some Universal standards for like a lighting system in the car that you know as pedestrians know that they're being seen or those kinds of things. Scot: [8:59] When ironic when is the new there's a Netflix series that started in the BBC and then got picked up but it's called Black Mirror and in this they just released season 4 I don't know if you watch it or not I think you're behind on everything. Jason: [9:12] I am kind of on most of the stuff you give me Groupon so that's that's next on my list. Scot: [9:17] No spoilers but one of the episodes it has this kind of plot device where there is a driverless vehicle that delivers pizzas and it kind of. Knock some of this guy and it's not really part of the whole thing but the looking shape of it was really interesting like you just wanted to know a lot of time thinking about how this look and then I saw that CS. Pizza Hut or. Jason: [9:37] Toyota and Pizza Hut add a had a partnership for an autonomous pizza deliver. Scot: [9:40] And it was just like it was exactly like the thing on dark mirror so I was really really very strange and then I saw an article about it and there was no coordination or anything it was just. Jason: [9:51] I wonder who inspired who think they're cleaning independent invention and then. Scot: [9:57] It's kind of has to be because well if the show had known about pizza thing it could have been but the shows literally been out for like that came out December. Like 30th or something so there's no way they could have designed a prototype that fast but it's kind of really Tales from the future kind of a thing to happen there. Okay so that's Autos then as I was sitting watching remotely and not fighting for calves with a hundred and eighty thousand other people I saw, a lot of Twitter traffic in stories were around the the home automation and then also kind of the battle of the smart speakers and intelligent thing so so last year report from cs1, this year it looks like Google is really stepping it up don't give us an update on what you saw there. Jason: [10:41] Jump to that last year we didn't necessarily expect partsmart, speakers to be a big part of CES but you went to the show and Amazon with embedded in like over 400 devices at the show and you know I seem to be ubiquitous in Amazon didn't have a, their own presents at the show yet they were getting on the bus, a big part of why I say yes existed to generate PR to drive future sales and so most people declare the Amazon the winter that show they didn't take a booth and yet they had this great, present so this year we are all curious to see if they would. Double down on that or if any of their competitors would make up any ground and it really clearly has emerged a two-horse race with Amazon and Google so this was probably the death knell for Cortana Cortana was the first born, on the PC is part of the Windows operating system and even all the Windows laptop manufacturers are now shipping laptops that are Alexa enabled, not Cortana enabled. Scot: [11:40] No it's a Samsung when I can't remember its name. Jason: [11:42] Bixby in Samsung is definitely has an interesting strategy overall theme of the show is. The traditional product you expect to see the show we're not very improved from last year it was a very irritable year and what the exhibitors were more focused on was. The platform of how all these products work together rather than their individual features so. LG and Samsung and I'll have Smart refrigerator smart washer smart kitchen is all these different tools and instead of showing you how much better the refrigerator is this year than last year there were more focused on how much better to the house works when all these, devices talk together so that. Scot: [12:21] That's a lot of mocked-up houses in this kind of thing. Jason: [12:24] Yeah I like vignettes and in these use cases like a you just bake lasagna in your Smart Oven your dishwasher knows you just. Bake the pan and so it's setting the dishwasher to the the pan scrubbing mode rather than the echo mode because it's got to get the the big done she's off the pan. Scot: [12:43] Does anyone have a nest camera for looking in my refrigerator so when I'm at work and I can't remember if I have milk or not. Jason: [12:48] Yeah it that's one of the most popular features in a smart refrigerators are these these webcam. Scot: [12:53] The ones on the outside where I can see inside isn't it I need like seeing. Jason: [12:56] Inside so that when you're at work you can at the store you can see if you need eggs or milk or those kinds of things. Scot: [13:02] The fair when I saw her was at sokoler came out with a pretty much any any kind of Plumbing fixture in your house can now be Alexa enabled so. They had the suitcase for the guys holding a baby with both hands. And he says Alexa turn on the sink and then he like takes a hand and he liked holds bottle and put it under and it's kind of like why can't you just take his hand in like turn on the sink and then they have a toilet did you did you get to check out the toy. Jason: [13:27] I did I did not actually test the toilet but I did observe the the Alexa enabled toilet and yeah that was in bed and everything it's not clear. That you want or would benefit from voice embedded in all these products and the what was interesting about the whole voice battle. This year was you know the Google had a much bigger presence than last year they both took a very big boost themselves which will come back to you in a second Amazon actually stepped out the size of their boots so they actually had. Immodest Alexa Echo System booth. Last year they had the treasure truck so they should have had the treasure truck and these examples of all the third-party products that work on the Alexa Echo System Google built this big Booth with they want some new hardware at the show so they have. Through Partners they're making what I would call Echo work type product to a Google home product with the screen. In a very familiar form factor that people that. I have that the echo look and today he wants to Booth to demonstrate all those things unfortunately that the booth is super extravagant and was designed for big parts of it to be outdoors. And for the first time in a hundred 15 days it rained in Las Vegas and so literally the the Google Booth was rained out on the first day which I imagine is a multimillion-dollar mistake. Scot: [14:48] I saw I had a slide did you get a chance to sit down the side. Jason: [14:51] It it did I did not get a chance to sit down inside their Booth was so crowded that they literally had like wait time management for all the various things so you are. It's 15 minutes to go to the roof and go down the slide and I just didn't have the time. Scot: [15:08] Yeah I did back on the color thing I heard that the deluxe integration with the toilet was kind of crappy. Jason: [15:15] I'll add the drum roll and post no no I won't listen. It's ok Google like did everything presents they were embedded in in more products but what they really did as they spent a fortune on Advertising so, so Google bought all the outdoor ads they had as on a ton of the taxis they wrap the Las Vegas Metro in in Google sign in. Scot: [15:38] Stairs I was under the stairs. Jason: [15:40] Yeah they I don't specifically remember some. Scot: [15:42] Escalators are like an escalator. Jason: [15:43] Yeah so they they spent a lot of money on outdoor advertising which is ironic I guess given that they're primarily an advertising platform. Scot: [15:50] Should ask him how they measured the ethics. Jason: [15:52] Yeah I don't think there is one. They definitely got more mindshare as a result of spending all that money and it certainly shows that there Devin Ernest interest in winning the space it feels like. They're still pretty far behind from an integration standpoint there certainly far behind from a skills perspective as well as we've talked about. But it's really emerging as a two-horse race and lots of retailers have a vested interest in Amazon not owning. The the home automation voice space and so you know there's a lot of people that that you know I'm rooting for Google because they're the. Potential foil to Amazon. Scot: [16:34] The Google Talk anything about the business model and how ads are in a work and they're just kind of like charging in and we'll figure it out later. Jason: [16:42] Yeah they really didn't like obviously wasn't they didn't talk a lot about it but there was a big announcement to me last quarter when both Target and Walmart and some other retailers started sharing first-party data with Google so that. If you if you're in the Google echo system in your shop at Walmart and you say order more peanut butter Google has access to your peanut butter purchase history from Walmart's to fulfill their. The the most likely peanut butter better you'd want right in that was historically abused competitive Advantage for Amazon is there artificial intelligence system had all this historical data on consumer purchases and since Google doesn't sell anything. They're pretty disadvantaged in. Scot: [17:21] Just Walmart and Target both share their data with Google and you say or did you just say order more peanut butter will Google know a Jason buys the most. Jeff from Walmart and allergic from Walmart like what use that to discern between retailers. Jason: [17:37] Yeah although it's it's the last that it's deciding like you opt-in so in the Google home Echo System you say I want my fulfillment partner to be Walmart and then that. That Ops you into Walmart sharing your data with Google. And then you're likely to get Jeff if you primarily order Jeff there that is an advertising opportunity so when you're a freaking purchaser of Jeff. They're likely going to sell you the Jeff you frequently purchased but if you say order peanut butter and your not a frequent purchaser of Jeff they need to. Suggest something to you and they typically pick one brand historically that's been this Amazon Choice program on the Amazon platform so they Amazon Choice products, usually ends up being the recommended product in in the Alexa Echo System but we're seeing some strong indications that Amazon is actually selling. The that. First recommended spot for new purchasers to a lot of Brands and so that it's sort of ironic like we've always talked about Google is primarily in a driven business, doesn't have a way to monetize voice Amazon obviously makes money selling stuff and so if voice makes you buy more stuff Amazon food, monetize much better than Google and then irony of ironies it appears that. Amazon is ahead of Google in terms of figuring out good advertising models for voice or at least acceptable ones. Scot: [19:03] Yeah okay a couple more serious than what was the worst or the wackiest thing you saw. Jason: [19:09] Yeah every year there's some goofy products there's that you know the. Bluetooth for car something like that something that jumped out of me is completely wacky there's a ton of new smart Health Tech and particularly a ton of sleep Tech in some of that seems. Somewhat silly right so, aromatherapy and video systems you know help you get 4 hours of sleep in a 20-minute power nap for example so there's a lot of that and then one product we thought there was kind of interesting I think you could both be the wackiest product or the biggest commercial hit. Is this the 3D printing for presumably young girls finger nails so you can. Scot: [19:50] Does chocolate last year too in my room. Jason: [19:52] There their they're definitely in some 3D chocolate printer. Scot: [19:55] I thought you're going to say chocolate. Jason: [19:56] For a while yeah but to me that would not be silly at all. Scot: [19:58] You need to light a printer. Jason: [20:05] Well it's. Scot: [20:07] Did you see that Samsung wall around what there's a lot of Buzz around the Samsung. Jason: [20:10] Yeah so every year there's a big competition around what's the newest most amazing television that could be invented and a lot of these two televisions are ones that never get commercial adoption there there. You know concept televisions that they they build very similar to a concept car. And so they keep getting bigger and bigger or thinner and thinner LG at a television that you would like an 88 inch 8K television that you would literally roll up. Scot: [20:38] I saw that it comes in like a little tube and it kind of rolls up so it could be a very small footprint. Jason: [20:42] Exactly and there is this actual practical problem that a lot of people struggle to self install TVs on the wall so there's a lot of TVs that are damaged shortly after their bought when they fall off the wall and these these you know. LG TVs that are now like 6mm thin like they're literally mounted to the wall with tape so that that is kind of cool and interesting the Samsung. Wall TV is just impressive for its high resolution and enormousness they didn't give us a spec for exactly how many inches it is but it's well over 200 in I'm so that was just a. A very cool piece of glass. There you know there are a couple of the new car manufacturers can't afford to go to Detroit Auto Show that they watched new cars from. Companies that don't have a history in the outer space tender launch at CES and so there's this new electric autonomous vehicle called the Bryant which is science. Which you know it may or may not ever see the light of day but the concept car looked very cool and it had a what they call a pillar to pillar. Digital screen so the the entire Dash it a 4-foot wide Ash is all one big big Monitor and if I own this vehicle I would spend most of my time just sitting in the garage gaming because it's so it would be the best green I own. Scot: [22:00] Okay let's what let's bring it back to retail what was the the most interesting Commerce stuff for our kind of give us a tour of who who was talking Commerce. Jason: [22:14] Yeah so it really isn't a retail show I'm a bunch of retail people go to the show because all the manufacturers are building displays to introduce their products to. Two people at the show very similar to have a retail would merchandise the products in the store so out of the merchandising team for retailers go to look and see how LG and Samsung and Sony are presenting their new products, addition of the show Ali Baba had a big boost that a booth last year, they went even bigger this year but what's interesting it really didn't focus on e-commerce or their Marketplace at all it really focused on. Actual Alibaba branded products that Ali Baba's inventing so they have a smart speaker for example and it was really promoting a lot of there. Services many of which will feel very Amazon alike. To westerners so they have a equivalent to AWS into a big part of the booth was committed to their services they have a meeting chat. Telepresence so I can go to meeting or Zoom or a blue jean depending on what region of the country you're in and those. You know they're there demonstrating those things in the booth they did have a baba has an interest that used to own ant Financial which is all the payment stuff. I'm so they had. Ali pay and pay with a smile so that this voice recognition that pay face recognition that pays when you smile that lockers Dropbox Whoppers that you unlock with your face and things like that. Scot: [23:47] I saw you were in a cabin you can actually pay with Ally pay in your. Jason: [23:49] Most of the Las Vegas cabs take Ali pay and you correctly guessed wise cuz there's a huge amount of Chinese tourism in Las Vegas. I lied to you and said I paid with all you pay like you have to have a Chinese bank account to get a wepay account so it turns out to be non-trivial to get one I tried. Scot: [24:05] I figured figured if you don't have Apple pay there's no you have. Jason: [24:08] I do have Apple pay and if anyone doesn't believe me you like send some cash to Jason Goldberg on Apple pay right now and see if it goes through. The battle is the Chinese search engine that's sort of the Chinese equivalent of Google and they had a big boost they had never been there before they also are getting in there. The Consumer Electronics space with some smart speakers and some some other products they have their own device operating system that they're pushing. I'm there was a retail Tech Pavilion at CES but it was. Yeah I think that retail Tech vendors were all getting ready for this weekend in a rest of the the vendors at CES were you know probably not the Marquee. Vendors there's a kind of typical digital signage vendors that we see everywhere like perched that was in the retail Tech Pavilion. And then in the emerging technology section there are a lot of vendors using computer vision for retail applications so a bunch of these Tech guys that don't know retail really well. Are envisioning that every retailer is going to want to face recognition to track every customer and recognize every customer when they go in so that's a super comment. Use case that these Israeli security companies set up set up boosted to pichai unless convinced that retailers want that. But then what what makes perfect sense that there's a lot of is. Companies with expertise in computer vision using that computer vision to create a Amazon go experience for self checkout or for inventory management so they were a bunch of. Companies talking about that one in particular that got some good Buzz is called a ipoly and they they were demonstrating some. [25:47] Some pretty sophisticated use cases of just using cameras of there being Shoppers to the kid very clearly differentiate which product of Chopper and picked up off a shelf. Scot: [25:56] So they were like sad mock-ups of stores with ever showing this technology. Jason: [26:01] Yeah they would claim that we have a complete amazongo equivalent solution and really like. They have sophisticated computer vision technology that identify what the Shoppers doing but you know there's a bunch of other pieces that are required for go I. [26:20] That I'm not sure of the startup companies have invested in solving for a retailer. Scot: [26:26] So while ago it may even last year there's that there's a really big company in China xiaomi that they were going to launch phones here and I think they've got a whole family of gadgets now that seems to disappear were they there. Jason: [26:39] I didn't see them now this CS is not a huge phone show because in February is a huge is the worldwide phone show in Barcelona the Mobile World Congress, you're right there are some Chinese manufacturers that tried to penetrate the US market and maybe the interesting one and I, I never know how to pronounce their name properly is a Chinese company so I'm not going to try on the podcast, is there a big Chinese consumer electronics manufacturer that makes a lot of Premium smartphones in China and they were making a big splash that they were going to, enter the US market and they actually cut a deal with AT&T to sell their phones, in all the AT&T stores until right before CES that was the big announcement and they had a huge booth at CES well. The US government claims that there you know owned by the Chinese government and that their technology isn't secure, and that apparently they the government rattle their saber enough to AT&T backed out on this. The steel in Ogden not to sell this Chinese Hardware. You know if you if you go super nefarious that the Chinese government could somehow have access to these these camera phones and speakers and all these. A consumer stands in the US. Scot: [27:59] Alright last CS topic anything exciting on the in the world of drones and then they are VR. Jason: [28:06] So there is a ton of drones I would say it was a slow year and evolution DJI really dominates the consumer drone space they wants one last year around Siesta became super popular the mavic pro, they've since launched a smaller one in so what you mostly sides he has his everyone else knocking off the. The mavic pro this year so there was a lot of that what was new at CES this year was it was definitely the first year when the robots were very ubiquitous there robots in. All the big boots and then he really range the Spectrum from some that are like practical and have achieved some consumer 6s like like tomorrow vacuum cleaner. Rumah type stuff to some very absurd robot so there are a lot of LG was showing shopping robots that. Drive to shopping cart to follow you around the store so you don't have to push the cart there a bunch of robots that drag your suitcase through the airport for you so you don't have to do that it was like a $35,000 robot that folds your clothes when they come out of the. Scot: [29:06] Oh I saw that was exciting. Jason: [29:08] So maybe that is an application in a retailer folding clothes at the Gap or something like that but I'm not sure a lot of consumers are just like folding up to. Scot: [29:17] To draw a crowd to come see the the folding robot I saw a CS but a Boeing a released a prototype type of a drone that can carry 500 lb. I'm it was interesting it's not a military application I think they've taken the military stuff in Skillet down but the article suitably talked about it being an interesting way you could like load balance between fulfillment centers with that kind of weight load that's kind of interesting you know. Here's a corner of stuff I don't need in Ohio have the Drone carry it to I don't know how far this thing can go but to to another fulfillment center. Jason: [29:49] They're definitely scaling up the Drone technology so they were at least two passenger drones are three passenger jet drones at the at the show so these are like autonomous vehicles that take, passengers in that notion is that that could be a sky taxi in some cases there's an all electric one that Intel is partnering in we were kind of joking about. Yeah probably not perfect timing to have. Autonomous drone with no pilot in it that carries passenger that's being powered by this Intel chip the now is vulnerable to the Meltdown, I'm back I'm not sure I'd want to be directly under that that that drone but they definitely had some big capacities I think even the Bell the big helicopter manufacturer was there with. With some ground so definitely possible and then a lot of the robots are good at moving that stuff around in the last mile to so Hyundai had a bunch of industrial robots obviously the Kiva is. A robot that than Amazon now owns and you joked about the military uses but I will say just superficially a bunch of these drones did look like they. We're just disarmed right before. Scot: [30:56] Yeah it kind of freaks me out the speaking of Black Mirror episode recommend for listeners. All the episodes are independent so you can just like skip around watch the one called heavy metal that when they gave me some good night nurses pretty, okay that's a cool thanks for that CS review that's awesome let's do it quick in RF preview so, I think the thing we're really excited about it is there's a Apple event that we got invited to and that's me tomorrow and. It's we don't know anything about it we just know your typical Apple format limitation has we have something that says we have something in store for you there's a picture of a bag, so seems like apple is doing something around retail technology what you have any speculation what's going on. Jason: [31:43] Yeah I don't have any real insight I am in the dark as much as you it it definitely seems like apple is poised to launch some retail product or service. They never have a booth at CES they want to see us this year but they have a big meeting space it's heavily apple-branded at interrupt this year which I found interesting and so you can buy in that with, ass getting invited to this secret event that they they wouldn't tell us the nature of. I might like the most likely thing is that they're watching some new thing in the payments ecosystem so maybe like the next version of Apple pay or a POS or a you know everything the Apple OS 4. You know commercial retail tack like you know tablet enable meant that kind of stuff. Scot: [32:31] A lot of retailers use the tablet as a retailing thing so maybe it's just more around that or maybe it's just a set of back that's practices doesn't feel like they would do an event and a meeting room for just like hey here's how people are using our technology seems like there must be more. Jason: [32:44] No eyes I think they're going to want something that's apple-branded that that is targeted at the retail industry so I could be super fun we don't don't that many surprises from Apple these days. Scot: [32:54] I know it's over here and if it's if it's Earth shattering we will put out a quick podcast just to kind of lay down our thoughts after we see whatever the amazing thing is I just hope Tim Cook there I've been dying for attempt. I need a good Tim Cook an emoji selfie and be good to do unicorn or I don't know. Jason: [33:15] You said one of the products I bought at CES this year is a 360 camera and so I feel like. Scot: [33:22] 360 song. Jason: [33:23] 360 selfie. Scot: [33:24] Nice. Nothing that we're excited about is we have Casey from Deloitte on the show so we will be putting out. I left some new research that we're going to be talking to Casey for the first time here on the show we have our digital council meeting so that's good. I saw they have a speaker I did not read the details did you. Jason: [33:47] Yeah I think it is a friend of yours we from Alibaba. Scot: [33:51] Oh yeah I do remember now awesome so we'll get to hear all about singles day so that'll be good and how much better it is then Cyber Monday let's see anything else around interested we want to talk about. Jason: [34:04] So there are a number of, interesting private events that are great networking opportunities and you know hopefully we'll we'll get some people inebriated and get them to inappropriately share with us on the podcast for those of you that don't know Scott and I super well, we are not the guys that get invited to all the private, parties in our in our youth so this is this this weird once-in-a-lifetime opportunity where we get the invites to the the cool parties. Scot: [34:33] Yeah yeah the Geeks shall inherit the earth. Well we have so that's it on shows let's bang out a little bit of Commerce retail news from this last week so it wouldn't be a Jason Scott showed without. [34:58] Not a ton of Amazon news this week despite the lightest Amazon news for a while. And I'm ending this cuz the company is in a quiet. So I will your public company there's this kind of. Of time where you know how your results were and you can't really say much about them and, I'm excited cuz they did announce when they are going to release. The fourth quarter earnings and that will be on February 1st so we will do a special version of the show where we will cover those will cover will put it down the night of the first and then we'll hopefully get it out on the 2nd if her audio team can, jump on that we've been talking a while about all the rumors around Amazon going into the drug business drug stores, I am now there's a loud drum beat about beauty so I don't know exactly what is King it run off of that but, you know it's pretty clear in the retail World Alton's for doing really well so I think Amazon is kind of turning their guns that way so it'll be interesting to see how that's going. And when I've been dying to ask you about Jason is Kohl's there is this kind of news item that Kohl's is really wanting to work closely with grocers that didn't make a lot of sense to me cuz I'm thinking all right, blue jeans and broccoli what's what's the connection film. Jason: [36:15] That one of you eat a lot of broccoli you can buy small are better-looking bridging. Scot: [36:19] Duncan's are in celery when you tell her you you actually. Jason: [36:22] Net positive or negative calorie intake I guess I think that's not true and. Scot: [36:29] Dang it. Jason: [36:31] Yeah sorry to be the one to. Scot: [36:32] All that celery. Jason: [36:33] Exactly so I think what's Happening Here. Is no retailers have a particular footprint and they buy all the real estate around that footprint so you know what Kohl's store I don't know the exact size but I think they're probably like 60 or 70 thousand square foot store. The something in that range and you don't that's based on a certain merchandising assortment in that's in that store, so overtime categories that you were storkland carry become less successful and you move out of categories or you add new categories and there are times when retailers find that they have more square footage than they can. Profitably manage and so a common play particularly when you're not performing as well as you'd like is how can I downsize by handing some of the the rent responsibility to us too. Subway Surf right so, that the example as you like uses Best Buy like you know they used to sell CDs and video games and music and then of the store that's that's all digital delivered but they can't just shrink their leases in their store, I'm so that they rent space to a lot of their manufacturers Samsung Microsoft. I'm we'll all have shopping shops and so I think Kohl's is in a situation where they had excess base for what they think is their Optimum inventory and so you go looking and say. Who can I profitably Reese this pace to and ideally it should be someone that's going to bring extra traffic to my store that might buy stuff. So in the old days that was always the coffee shop you went looking into to add a Starbucks. [38:09] Because of Cole's real estate proximity there in strip malls that could be convenient places to grocery shop and so it sounds like they've just come up with this notion that. Man is if there is someone only wants to expand in our footprint Subway some of our space people shopping grocery much more frequent so it could be a great traffic driver to the stores and they could benefit from that so well. To see if that idea plays out and if they're able to get some some folks to take them up on that but I think that's what's going on. Scot: [38:40] Yeah and that was Ron Johnson's vision of retail right it would be this kind of we had Omar Asad the analyst on and I forget what he called it but it's kind of like you know a bizarre. Jason: [38:51] Yeah we often called a retail bizarre and it's actually the common, merchandising way in a lot of places in the world sew-in in the USA department store owns all the space and they decide what brands are in it and they they merchandise the brands in Europe most of the department stores are. Simply landlords that rent individual shelves in the store to individual brands. Scot: [39:13] Boots. Jason: [39:16] Just another other news that there's a e-commerce your player that focuses on the club. Experiences in those large format box that we've had on the show. The there are rumors that they are a potential acquisition Target and I think a Consortium of grocery stores was mentioned as a potential buyer like Kroger. Scot: [39:39] Yeah the number that stuck out to me was 500 million so fingers crossed for a friend's at box on that one. Jason: [39:44] And that is that that's close to their last round right so that would mean the the early folks will do really well and the the last investors probably won't do so well that if that ends up being the number and it happens. Scot: [39:57] Sometimes it works tops for that cuz the last investors get these really nice preference tax. Jason: [40:03] Gotcha cool see you that's why I have you here to make sure that my. My Angel Investing is fruitful one near and dear to my heart Circuit City is relaunching. So folks some of you young ones on the shelf that is that was a specialty retailer that that kind of grew up and competed with Best Buy they went bankrupt, a number of years ago I want to say formally like 2008, the the brand changed hands in bankruptcy court a few times so they're actually was this company in Florida TigerDirect that bought the the brand and they launched relaunch the Circuit City website for a few years. Scot: [40:49] And at CompUSA. Jason: [40:50] Yeah they wait about CompUSA they. If I'm remembering there's some drama there too I think they're there was some like weird finances and the owner and some. There could be some some interesting backstory their bets of the brand changed hands again and you know frankly when I heard that someone bought the the brand out of bankruptcy unlike someone else's like. Trying to Leverage The Nostalgia and they're going to watch another. Another you know reskinned website and it's actually more than that like that they have a new ownership that there intending to open retail stores. And so this would both be a website and some number of new stores it's it's interesting cuz I'm not sure you would look at the Consumer Electronics base and say what we really need in consumer electronics is. Is more stores and another brand to buy that place but you know we'll have to see what their unique value proposition is they bring to the table. Scot: [41:47] That one you talked about called. Yeah yeah, some Vision like a cool like a smaller footprint showroom thing cuz I use gadgets you want to touch him and feel him and you know her shoes for four people to care about shoes. Best Buy refills at 4 meal at times I'll go look at stuff and then order it on to another retailer. Jason: [42:14] And I I would say you like one of the weather problems with all the trees retail consolidation there used to be this phone to see you could be a geek, and walk into the store and you discover something new every single time you walked in that store that you didn't know exist that you wanted and one of the things that all the digital transparency is created and like all the consolidation of the stores is created you know really, you working on Apple Store and you never see something. You didn't know was available before you walked in the store and you know how I feel like that's going to happen to be the case it at even Best Buy now is well and so it would be interesting to see if there. You know that they're going to provide that sort of fun jolt of discovery. Scot: [42:53] Yeah kind of on the opposite side of the spectrum my wife was shocked she showed me this the other day, she likes this designer named Ella moss and they have some kind of annual sale and she went to the website to check out the annual sale, and announced they're closing their website and it said say goodbye to lmr.com but say hello to us in our stores and they just pointing people to Nordstrom in a variety of other stores where their items are found so I thought that was. Certainly opposite trend of what we've seen out there but they must have. Musta Had A Good Reason baby was too expensive to run the website maybe maybe they get pressure from their Channel partners that kind of said we don't like you offering this track. I don't know what it is just have a really interesting use kids haven't seen. Happen. Jason: [43:38] It's bugging the trend I suspect there is some serious distressed underlines for that but I applaud them putting Silver Lining trying to put it out there favorably. Scot: [43:51] Last topic one hit on we're about 14 days into January so we have about half of the Retailer's the brick and mortar guys, I report monthly same for sale so we're getting up kind of a, early read on holiday and then once we have that Amazon report in early February and then kind of by mid February we should have a pretty good read on how how they came in but did you notice any of the or some interesting holiday things you saw that have come out so far. Jason: [44:18] That's what's interesting like obviously overall it was a very good holiday like probably the best one since, 2010 2011 the most most, retailers like you know either announced that they performed at that sort of average growth or even outperform the industry and there are a few outliers that we saw. Be significantly down and so you know it's about a rising tide raises all boats when you're the boat that sinking in that Rising tide, that's a particularly you know owner assign so we seventies Sears did not benefit from the, renewed spending they were down significantly I think like 16% and I think it announced another round of store closures I mentioned on the I did mention but in the store predictions bet, certainly feels like a year of major retailer. Go away and I think Sears would be unfortunately a good candidate for that. Scot: [45:15] Yeah when it's surprise out of folks this is kind of one of those bury the lede so Walmart had a positive news that they are, because of the the tax act that was passed the raising the minimum wage for employees to $11 an hour I think it was and several other people did this there was only one that's on retail the same time that kind of tucked in they are the closing $0.60 stores, I'm really bummed because the Sam's near my office where we actually got our office enough snacks and stuff is going to close so that's going to be inconvenient and then. I saw a Wall Street analyst kind of did this analysis and the 60 Sam's stores that are closing they are some number of miles from a Costco store so ones are keeping open don't seem to have much competition but the ones, they're closing you know the list the target clickbait title of this was like Costco's crushing Sam's so they went to an analysis so I thought that was. Pretty interesting that you know Walmart's not used to losing so if they are losing to Costco that that's pretty fascinating. Jason: [46:21] Yeah for sure and it I mean. I think Sam's Club stores can do very well but but Costco is almost a unicorn in their retail performance I mean Walmart the largest retailer in the US they have like over 4,000 stores in the US, Costco to the second largest retailer in the US they have like 200 stores. Did that yesterday they really have that model down like and I'm not sure that the average Costco I mean it has ever underperform the average Sam's Club store which doesn't mean Sam's doesn't do well but. But your point like they're probably not doing well in the the head-to-head battles. Scot: [46:59] I don't know enough about the cause for maybe we can have a an analyst on. Kind of Enlighten us on that cuz I wonder how cuz there's BJ's as well right. I think I've seen the same for sales for BJ's are doing pretty well so. I believe in this report said Sam's same-store sales are doing well but it must be kind of A Tale of Two Cities the ones that could be with Costco or doing poorly in the ones that aren't are doing well for them to close these it would close them if they're doing awesome. Jason: [47:23] Yeah but I do think it's part of this way speaker thing we're over stored in the u.s. populations are moving so you open the store. And you know it to cater to a Suburban population and then those folks move in the suburbs back to the city centers and where your store should be should be different so it's it, clothing stores is not on is often a sign of a healthy retailer and I think Walmart's the perfect example like, diprimas clicking on all cylinders checking all the boxes and so it's you know it's it's unpleasant for those employees but it's probably a good time for investors to see someone having a good financial performance and still. Being willing Nicole that hurt and kind of move away from some of the most profitable pieces of the Enterprise, I think another one that. We it was interesting that she was Target in one of the stats we saw their this is been progressively bigger stat. We seen every year but Target is not saying it's 70% of all their online orders are being the film in some way from the store so we talked about this for a long time it's when the best ways are brick-and-mortar retailers can compete with Amazon is, you should from that store you get to ship USPS and get it there in one day for much cheaper rate than you pay UPS or FedEx from. Scot: [48:39] Yeah I think target actually exceeded expectations and raised so that's good at the stocks been doing well. I'm in that same vein we mentioned earlier around that grocery store topic but Kohl's they came out with 7% same-store sales for holiday and is reminder to listeners we had Kevin Manziel on the show year ago now is it wasn't so it must be. Jason: [48:59] What was the shop talk. Scot: [49:00] Shop talk so about 8 months ago and he was talking about their strategy and it looks like it played out pretty well and he's announced his resigning and handing over the reins to a new CEO and. She will start I think in July August time frame so always good to have a really nice hand over there when things are going well. Jason: [49:19] Absolutely I think another one that sort of was not rising in a, in a rising tide is unfortunately Macy so I think they were down in the like two and a half percent and they've announced another big round of store closures so I think they're closing like another hundred stores. Scot: [49:38] In the last one I saw it is Lululemon they were up 13% this interesting cuz everyone is is gunning for these guys to everyone has come out with their own athleisure line, babe copied everything Lululemon's doing and they cannot seem to slow these guys down there they're so. The brand has an affinity with folks especially Millennial females they have that experience with yoga classes in the store and none of the other athletes are guys are really able to keep up with them, and I think this is I'm not an expert on Nike and Under Armour but they're both under pressure, things that Turtle Dave Dave kind of gone all in on some of this athleisure stuff specifically around yoga thinking they could take okasa market share from Lululemon but Lululemon's hanging in there. Interesting example of a david-and-goliath where where David is winning. Jason: [50:30] Exactly and in some ways maybe starting to look more like glass. Yeah so it's going to be an interesting one to watch people have been kind of predicting the end of this athleisure trend for a long time. Never seems to come so it'll be interesting to see whether. Whether you know it is a cycle that gets broken and and is athleisure Trend ever doesn't it'll be super interesting and see if Lululemon can leverage all that. Great customer intimacy they have to pick up on the next train or whether they're there at least you're only, it's got one of my New Year's resolution was to do a little shorter shows and so it is happen again we've used up all our a lot of time we certainly are grateful for her listeners taking the time to listen to the show, if you enjoyed it we really appreciate a 5-star review on iTunes I mention that we're going to be visiting Apple this weekend they could they could be very angry with us so we need to get lots of review so they, saying they're good racist and if you want to have any conversation about any of the topics on today shows we'd love to hear from you on Facebook. Scot: [51:35] Yep thanks I wanted to join us. Jason: [51:37] Until next time happy commercing.

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The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

EP112 - Annual Predictions for 2018   2017 Recap – Predictions made on episode 64 Jason Retailers truly embrace Omni-channel  (Attribution/Inventory/promotion/pricing – YES A/I – Bots for Customer Service but probably not for transactions, lots of buzz on big data AI but no game changing new experience – No Personalization – to eliminate friction, not drive new demand.  Data integration not some new product or touchpoint –No Laggard categories will discover digital (Grocery, Luxury, QSR) – Yes Microservices – 50% of new platform implementations will be cloud, and Micro-service based solutions will start to emerge – Partial Jason 2017 Score 2.5/5 Scot The IPO market is going to be open, but the e-commerce companies will get crowded out by the big tech unicorns like Uber, Snap, pinterest, airbnb, spotify and the like – Partial Amazon will start to chip away at the Fedex and UPS’s of the world with a service like this in the US.  – No Machine learning is the new ‘network effect’ – everyone has caught onto the power and competitive moats available from ML and that’s going to be a big theme.  Every vendor you work with from carts to images to upsells to recommendations to search engine results to whatever is going to HAVE to have a ML capability to stay current and keep YOU competitive. – Yes We’re going to see e-commerce growth accelerate pretty materially in 2017.  We’ve been in this 15% band and I think we will see there was a move up in 2H16 to high teens and we could see 20’s in 2017 – Yes eBay – it’s a do or die year for ebay, they could potential partner with Alibaba. – No Scot 2017 Score 2.5/5 2018 Predictions Scot Mallageddon 2.0 – We saw 7000 stores close in 2017, I think this accelerates in 2018 as the 30-40% of weak malls fail and we end up with 9000 closures. Amazon will NOT buy another offline retailer, triples down on private label. I’m going to re-up on my Amazon logistics prediction, I think I was just a bit too early on that one, but I’ll make it bolder, that Amazon will squarely get in the last mile business in 2018 and compete with FedEx and UPS.Amazon’s ad group will get so large that they have to break out details about it and everyone will be shocked at how large it has gotten so quickly Walmart will make a big M+A – top candidates would be Instacart, postmates and eBay. Somebody acquires magento, or they go public. Bonus – Amazon comes out with alexa powered wireless earbuds – because I want them. Jason Grocery gets disrupted by digital (led by curbside pickup).  Digital grocery doubles in US, at least one delivery firm peters out. Drug gets disrupted by digital. AI Gap – biggest trend of 2018 Voice – Huge but not for commerce. Payments – Retail digital wallets die (except Starbucks/Walmart/Amazon).  Bitcoin tanks. Bonus – Amazon launches a wearable. Don’t forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 112 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Wednesday, January 3rd, 2018. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. New beta feature – Google Automated Transcription of the show Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 112 being recorded on Wednesday January 3rd 2018 I’m your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I’m here with your Tahoe Scott Wingo. Scot: [0:40] Happy New Year Jason and happy New Year to Jason and Scott show listeners Welcome to our first show recorded in 2018. Jason: [0:50] It’s very cool I’m excited to start the new year I feel like it’s going to be another action packed one in our in our jonra. Scot: [0:59] Yeah that’s the fun thing about retail I feel like we could do a daily podcast weekly is even hard to catch all the news that’s going on. Jason: [1:07] That is true but then I feel like there’s a lot of fans begging that me not to do any more than I already do but that was might just be me and not. Scot: [1:17] Cool. What’s up long-time listeners will know that it is a regular feature of our show that the first episode of January is our annual prediction show so this is our third shot at this Jason. So pretty exciting so let’s take it off by looking at last year’s predictions and seeing how we did Jason was start with you. Jason: [1:45] This is the part of the show I hate. Scot: [1:47] So if listeners are really really want to learn more about these things you can go back to episode 64 that was the last year’s preview show and I and you can listen to that and see how we did and 16 compared to 17 in here the 17 predictions you don’t have to do that there were going to summarize them for you here but if you really are curious about anything we bring up and want more color, you can go back to episode 64. Okay Jason last year you and the way we did this as we had 5 predictions and a bonus so effectively 6 predictions so let’s go through them last year your. Top prediction was that retailers will truly Embrace omni-channel and you talked about attribution inventory promotions and pricing. How do you feel that prediction did through 2017. Jason: [2:33] Yep. So I generally feel good about that prediction I’m calling that went to win there a bunch of things that happened last year that were, probably hard for people to observe, but but most retailers did get more sophisticated about their omni-channel attribution models we saw a ton of retailers move to Universal inventory we saw a lot more Universal pricing and then some of the the highly visible things we saw were like Target made two major Acquisitions in shipped and, Grand Junction to improve their omni-channel Wal-Mart rolled out of town of omni-channel initiatives with the pickup towers and express returns and discounted ship-to-store, Kroger and Costco both rolled out curbside pickup so I think across-the-board I’m giving that one true. Scot: [3:26] Yeah but when I go to Best Buy they still can’t look up my rewards number and if I do an online order they have no idea what happened to the cash register traffic crazy but I’ll still give you this one. Jason: [3:37] I think there are still a lot lots of gaps but I would argue in your specific example that’s Alessa not embracing on me channel cuz I would argue, Best Buy does embrace quite a bit about me channel it’s a date I’ll retailer still have a ton of data silos regardless of Channel and sew-in your point like, rewards just aren’t willing a greater to the store and that’s a shame. Scot: [3:59] 4 meter Omni channel is breaking out of this data silos. Jason: [4:03] I only want to live in your happy world I do. Scot: [4:06] Cool alright so so far that’s one win and 0 losses. Jason: [4:12] Feel free to stop here if we want. Scot: [4:14] And that’s it well unfortunately we’ve wasted another 5 minutes of your time. But seriously your second prediction was calling for Bots for customer service but not transactions lots of buzz on big data and AI but no game-changing new experiences. Jason: [4:35] Yep so even though I kind of Madhuri to the prediction by saying more buzzed than game-changing experiences I’m still giving myself a false on this one because I think it was, even more hype and the last tangible stuff then I was predicting so I think you don’t right out of the gate, there’s a new chat services and there was a lot of hype about new customer service, offerings on those chat services but they were universally stupid and none of them got embraced by customers and you know after that initial hype I just don’t think we saw a lot of a lot of traction so I’m giving the whole the whole box thing in 2017 did not happen. Scot: [5:19] Even Facebook seems to not be talking about it as much and didn’t one of their big Partners kind of shut down the bar that was it 800-Flowers or everlane or one of those like one of the launch Partners kind of said yeah we’re not doing this anymore. Jason: [5:33] Yeah I think that was everlane 800-Flowers is famous or notorious for being one of the first adopters of everything and so it’s almost. It’s not predictive of something being successful the fact that 800-Flowers is one Embraces it cuz they they like to be the first mover. Scot: [5:51] Shut it off though. Jason: [5:53] Yeah no absolute. Scot: [5:54] Tahlequah this is like it’s either hard to maintain or actually bad customer experience or something I don’t know. Third is one of your favorite topics personalization, so you said to eliminate friction but not really Drive new to me and data integration not some new product or touch point I don’t know what any of that means so maybe recap what you were thinking there. Jason: [6:17] Yeah so I hate talking about personalization because it’s a amorphous sort of thing, and so what would I said what would I try to say in the prediction was that I think we’re going to see a lot of better personalization but that doesn’t equal like some magic new widget on the web website that just automatically more personalized than the old widget, what I was really expecting to see is retailers merge a lot of their Silo data to provide, more seamless experiences and eliminate friction across the board and you unfortunately already alluded to a perfect example of that not happening, that you you went into Best Buy and they couldn’t couldn’t figure out your year membership Rewards. Status with Best Buy and that’s because all those their systems are siloed at Best Buy, and so in my mind. My prediction was that a lot of those eyelids would get eliminated in 2017 and while I could point to a couple of retailers that had made some progress in eliminating those silos, I still think there’s a ton of silos and I think we all at Shoppers put up with a lot of ridiculous friction that we don’t even realize, because of how at retailers of organize their their systems in their data and I I just don’t think we made near as much, progresses I optimistically hope for 2017 so I’m I’m giving myself a fail on this one as well. Scot: [7:48] Wright’s that’s one win to faience your 4th prediction this was a good one ladder categories will discover digital and you mentioned to grocery luxury and Quick Serve restaurants. Jason: [8:01] Yep and I feel like this was going to get me back to even I I gave this prediction a true, for those of you that follow the grocery category you may have heard of the Amazon made an acquisition in the space in the whole food so that was certainly. A grocery retailer discovering digital we also saw a huge investment from Kroger and Walmart and grocery, that US are as a Quick Serve restaurants and they all Embrace digital in a big way in 2017 so both McDonald’s and Taco Bell rolled out, Order ahead of course the the Weider a farm before last year and in this was Starbucks but most of the traditional to SRS, Nina played significant catch up in 2017 and then also a lot of the luxury Brands got more serious about digital for a long time then they over it we said that, digital was eroding to their their brands and that they they wanted the experience to be in the dressing room and not online and you know all of those old luxury houses that used to say that launched, direct-to-consumer e-commerce sites in 2017 some of them even started started, toe dipping on some of the the marketplaces and and so again you know I think across-the-board grocery Luxury Inn Key West are where three categories that made big strides forward in digital in 2017 so I call that trip. Scot: [9:30] I agree that even better than the order had at McDonald’s have you had one of the touchscreen kind of order things those are pretty cool. Jason: [9:37] Yep absolutely. Scot: [9:39] Less errors on your order. Jason: [9:41] To management that you and I are a couple dialogues on, I know twittering about some of the bad G Management in traditional retail seems like you got a lot of bad physical retail experience is rightly and those those kiosks are all part of the wait time management system at at McDonald’s which is very clever. Scot: [10:00] Alright so let’s see we are at 2 and 2 now and so your V addiction, was extremely retailgeek e microservices 50% of new platform implementations will be cloud and microservice based Solutions will start to emerge. Jason: [10:18] Yep and so for those of you that that aren’t Super retailgeek E like this is the notion that most people that run the e-commerce site, own the software and run it on a server that they own like either on their their services are in a Datacenter that they rent in so this this prediction was really that like half of all the new platforms, would instead be in the cloud so you know Amazon web services or Google Cloud platform or Microsoft azure, and that most of them instead of being this big monolithic piece of software would be these newer platforms that are kind of a collection of little api’s or little services, that you got most think of his Legos that you snap together to create your experiences and. [11:05] I think these are both super important Trends if you talk to the CIO at any retailer like they’re their the trends that they’re falling and it’s what they hope to add a brace in the future. But in 2017 at all amounted to more talk than action so. We we actually didn’t see a lot of rhe platforming in 2017 impact in many ways I’d say it was one of the slowest years in The Last 5 Years in RI platforming. So it’s hard to call this trend a complete win when there just weren’t that many new platforms. It is true that of the new platforms the overwhelming majority were on the cloud so I kind of get myself credit for that. Never retailers like Nordstrom that was on this podcast last year and they talked about migrating everything from an on-premise solution to a cloud-based solution. We we’ve had a billy May on that on the show who now run is the CEO at Sur La Table and they’re in the process of moving to a cloud-based solution but, they just weren’t a ton of replat for Mains and the micro service-based architectures while everyone loves talking about. They had fewer wins in 2017 than I anticipated so I kind of gave myself a half credit on this one Cloud yes microservices know. Scot: [12:26] Yeah I think I learned from last year to be less for Bose in my my predictions gives you more chances to be, so then your bonus was around payments to another one your favorite topics and you said kind of on the topic of digital wallets that something other than PayPal Amazon will achieve 10% of us e-commerce transactions excluding Amazon such as Chase Walmart Apple pay, Apple sound Safari or the w3c web payment standards could gain traction so give us an update on how you did on that one. Jason: [13:06] Yeah so that one would be a mixed one that’s another example of not writing very smart predictions, it turns out I don’t have a way to measure whether or not specifically say that we did I will say like that Walmart pay actually got more traction and Buzz than I certainly was expecting, but of course nowhere near 10% of all non Amazon transactions, and in the one that that I haven’t seen any data about consumer adoption on, but has gotten a lot of adoption with e-commerce platform supporting it is is the thing I reference there the w3c, web payment standard and so this is a a super quick recap for listeners this is he, a new standard for typing your credit card into a web browser it’s an open standard that’s embraced by the 8th the the standards community that publish HTML, it’s now been implemented by Google so it’s in all the Chrome browsers, it is in the Microsoft browser it’s it’s not an apple browser yet, but it makes it dramatically easier to store your credit card on your local machine and safely. Automatically enter it in in websites when you make payments and so. [14:39] Again like all the Shopify site supported all the demandware site supported a lot of the big e-commerce sites have added support for it, so on the one hand. More than 10% of the top 500 websites probably support it but we don’t know yet whether whether consumers are leveraging it or not so. It was a bonus so maybe the score doesn’t matter but it definitely felt like a poorly worded prediction and you don’t mix results. Scot: [15:08] Yeah I don’t know I wonder if do you think that stripe in Braintree have gotten over 10% cuz they’re doing the majority of Mobile payment. Jason: [15:17] They are but I am not sure I consider stripe or Braintree a wallet, so as a payment processor like they’re they’re like stripe in particular is killing it on the long tail, Braintree is a little more focused on the mid-market or Enterprise, companies that let you know there’s some Visa owns a company called cybersource which does great on the on the Enterprise side they all have big market share but they what they don’t let you do is store your credit card once, and then leverage it across multiple sites that you shop and so they don’t like, remove a ton of friction from the e-commerce experience because they let you reuse your payment information over and over again. Scot: [16:02] When when a side I know you know this but Apple pay rolled out their cash peace and they have been pushing it super hard I can’t, you know I buy phone alerts me every 5 seconds I need to set up Apple pay now and I’ve actually it’s kind of sad story I’ve given up on Apple pay because I’ve had to set it up so many times between my watch and Os installation like I finally give up on the the the juice wasn’t worth the squeeze on that one but it’s interesting that now that I’m out of it that it really suddenly aggressively wants me to set it up so they must Apple kind of is woken up, Bond Apple pay stub. Jason: [16:37] Yeah that like my my like brief editorial on that like that they have a very good experience, under certain circumstances, and they’re they’re doing a good job of expanding those circumstances so this year they want to the ability to to use Apple pay in a browser which was a huge deal and it in late in the year they watch ability to do peer to peer payments with Apple pay in that potentially huge deal, but the problem the fundamental problem with the Apple pay is, you know at best and only works for the subset of the world that are that are in the Apple echo system, and some of these painted things require even a much narrower subset like only on the latest Hardware that has a particular chip in it or only on the very latest version of the operating system in the latest version of the Safari browser, and so it just, it it’s not apples goal to be a world dominant ubiquitous payment system right I get it really is just a utility for for Apple users. And I think that that limits its its broad appeal. Scot: [17:43] So I just kind of keeping score there I think you got a solid 2 to 3 out of your 6 predictions so it will give you a kind of 50%. Jason: [17:51] Yeah that was basically my performance in college so I’m okay with it. Scot: [17:55] I think it’s a baseball baseball you be here. Jason: [17:58] Yeah that would be much better hitter than I was a student hi Scott you I think of is much more cerebral than me so let’s see how you did. [18:09] I like setting the table. You’re super smart and you’re always like really really prescient about your prediction so, I’m sure you nailed it I think your first prediction was about the IPO markets and that there was going to be a lot more, action in the IPO Market in 2017 but the e-commerce companies might get crowded out of the space as of these big Uber snap Pinterest Airbnb spotify’s in the like all do their IPOs side note did I hear a rumor that Spotify, maybe Miss 2017 and just just filed this year. Scot: [18:44] I know why why could they not do it earlier but I don’t know where is an Uber would have filed if they didn’t have to go to there. Poop show that they’re Lawton right now that with the name cian all snap made it out and. Actually did pretty poorly and effectively close the idea window for the big guys and then they all have their own issues so I mentioned Uber kind of imploded on some things there I don’t airbnb’s is prior. Great candidate for next year Pinterest I don’t know. Were there on the revenue they change their Chief Revenue people a lot which makes me nervous. And then as you mentioned spotify’s filed the. You’re kind of the thing I got wrong here is Stitch fix made it out we talked about a lot of the show and I’m super happy for them, another one that was frequently mentioned as a possible IPO can it was chewy and they got Acquired and then Casper is always been kind of out there as as Dollar Shave Club Dollar Shave Club good acquired to also I’m so. You know I think the IPOs to watch for next year and e-commerce world are going to be. Casper and then some watches his big guys and how they perform so. It’s worded the wording on the sun makes it hard to know so the window did open so I get credit for that but I was kind of wrong on the mix of companies that got out so I gave my car myself half credit on that. Jason: [20:07] That seems fair so your second prediction I was when we talked about a lot on the show, Amazon will start to chip away at FedEx and UPS, are logistic services in the US and you convoluted we made it a 2018 prediction you said hey and 2818 Amazon could even expand into peer-to-peer in River suggest X. Scot: [20:32] Yeah they I’m going to get myself a fail on this one when we talk about new predictions I want to talk about it again but when things. The trend that we talked about on the show but I think it’s good to summarize it here the amount of consumers that want. Things over to them is outpacing the investment that FedEx and UPS are making and also USPS so there something has to give and it some point. Amazon being the largest I’d I’m fully. Going to committed that they’re going to build their own capability was flexing what would happen in 2017 is flex was started influxes an Uber light delivery system eating 1099 drivers they have an app. Amazon signals to them and then they come and make deliveries they started this for Prime now and increasingly through 2017 we saw Amazon using Flex the driver system for just normal deliveries as well. And even in the holiday ever heard a lot of reports of a mixture so flex and then actually fulfillment center employees doing deliveries and all kinds of things so I think. I think some of this happened behind the scenes but it wasn’t kind of to the degree I was thinking in this year so it’s something’s going to give so we’ll see. Thought I’ll get myself a fail this year. Jason: [21:48] Tough grader but I like it, your third prediction was about machine learning and you you said that was going to be the new network effect that everyone’s trying to recognize the power and competitive mode that are available for machine learning and it’s going to be a dick theme, every vendor you work with some Cars 2 images recommendations engines you know search engines are all going to have to have machine one and capability. Test a current then and keep keep their customers competitive. Scot: [22:18] Yeah again I should have been less wordy on that one but. I’m going to say when you when you look at kind of the cloud vendors out there so I’ll I’ll say Amazon for sure is all in on machine learning. As part of their Cloud conference which is called AWS reinvent. It was all machine learning all the time pretty much most of the new Innovations they talked about over there is multiple tracks but the biggest track was machine learning Google this year at their annual conference the kind of said we went from. You know search first it’s a mobile first to machine learning first and they they’re putting. You all their resources into Ai and machine learning and then if we if we can look at the the. E-commerce endures you can’t throw a stick it in these trade shows without hitting a machine learning or AI vendors to everyone that I run into every vendor is now fully is probably even. Little bit bubbly you know so it seems hard that all this can live up to the hype at this point. But you know what I look at the platform guys you certainly know more about this than I do but but Salesforce is done a lot of really interesting things we had Rob on the show. I kind of talked about this a little bit so they have Einstein is there a machine learning platform and weeding Dad into the platform previously known as demand where is pretty interesting and I think very indicative of what we’re going to be here I’m as as goes even deeper. So I’m giving myself a yes on this one. Jason: [23:48] .. I think that’s fair I think you nailed it that the the vendors were all embracing it and I and I think there’s a rain everyone did embrace it exactly you said the big vendors I think we’re all in with like, a huge amount of effort and then I think the long tail vendors, certainly added machine learning to their marketing and nothing else so I certainly think you nailed it there I’m not sure if there was, ubiquitous progress in terms of the actual retailers and customers embracing all those vendors Solutions in in 2017 Infiniti that’s what you predicted. Scot: [24:22] Yeah at least separate data silos you talk about to be a problem you know so if you don’t have the single view of the customer machine learning can’t really get it. How’s it going because it’s going to see little pieces what’s happening there so so that this can be an impediment to so he’s Advanced Technologies with the traditional omni-channel multi-data Silo retailer. Jason: [24:42] Yep so then you’re 4th prediction, was what I think we’re all rooting for we’re going to see e-commerce growth accelerate material in 2017 and so you were saying hey it’s been at 15% the last couple years, will see you move up in the second half of 2016 in the high teens and we we could even see the 20% sin 2017. Scot: [25:08] Yeah what I learned about this one was I should have thought something that I would know by the time the next show world around so we the jury is out on this one cuz we just don’t know how the year ended up. Receive data out of MasterCard comscore a couple those folks that are pointing to iTunes and I’m seeing 1819 % the one Dana Point I want to see is Amazon. I think it’s pretty sure that Amazon is going to come in north of 20% but I think there’s a shot and released just talking about. The strength of prime and your 5 billion Prime things and I don’t know. Nursing Amazon kind of leaning into it like there right now so it makes me feel like. [25:53] Maybe their Q4 came in more towards 30% and that would make me feel a lot better that that Savannah’s on comes in kind of north of 25 then I think the whole holiday for everyone came in. 20% something myself yes based on the data available and kind of the body language coming out of Amazon right now. Jason: [26:10] I think that’s fair, incident in your V prediction was about eBay in you you basically said it was a big infection year for eBay assorted do or die and then they could even potentially do a partnership with someone like Alibaba. Scot: [26:29] Yeah yeah that didn’t happen so I guess it wasn’t a do-or-die you’re so you know on the negative side they lost how Lawton who it was so great leader there. Friend of both of ours is over at Macy’s now so it’s a win for Macy’s but you don’t know company is one person so you may is doing a lot of great things are getting more structured data from sellers their category tent is. Things to do while they are improving their relationships with sellers they’re improving buyer. Programs that are implementing a prime like program so they’re doing a lot of good stuff it just seems like when you when you look at this kind of Battle of Titans that goes on there and you’ve got. You know the the Google’s the Amazons the Walmart this guy’s just have so many resources compared to eBay now eBay’s kind of. Small in that world it just feels like they have more leverage is part of something else but I called it wrong so I’m going to get myself a big fat zero on that. Jason: [27:26] Fair enough and then your bonus prediction was awesomely bold Amazon will release another phone. Scot: [27:34] Yeah this is Phil I kind of thought it would be interesting to have internet to have Alexa to swing back and visit the phone and make it a kind of an Alexa oriented phone didn’t do it so I was wrong. Jason: [27:48] I like the prediction nevertheless and if I’m doing my math right that put you also at, about two and a half out of 5 so we sort of sort of both finish the same I don’t want to say tide because it wasn’t a contest. Scot: [28:04] Yeah but together we had a hundred percent that’s why piece of people listen to the show. Jason: [28:11] But enough about the past let’s talk about what’s going to happen in 2018. Scot: [28:18] Yep so so I had some predictions to walk us through here so first of all I am reading a lot of articles that say. Retail is on the upswing and everything’s great. You have that happens every Q4 and I think it’s going to be short-lived I think we’re going to see Mama getting to oh this year last year we saw 7,000 stores close. And I think you sent me more than that they close this year so I’m saying you know, I still think there’s 30 to 40% malls out there that are very weak and failing and I’m going to say the store closure goes up and I just kind of picked a number because I learn to be more specific I sent from last year’s predictions, I meant to say we have 9,000 or higher closures by the end of 2018 so it will be an even worse year than 2017. I get a lot of tweets from these kinds of predictions. I want stores be open but I just think it’s the reality that things are going a little bit worse in the the physical. Store World especially malls before they get better I do think this is not an official prediction but I think you know 2018 oh probably be the low point then we’ll we’ll come back out of it. Jason: [29:30] Yeah I’m going to pile on your prediction in just say that, both are true like retail could do better in 2018 we have so many stores in us that 9000 Source could close and retail sales could still go up, so so that the two aren’t necessarily completely related but for sure seems like there’s still a bunch of vulnerable malls and vulnerable department stores in it, frankly it wouldn’t surprise me if this is the year we see Sears close its doors. Scot: [30:00] The second one in this was kind of. I was going to make this anyway but today in the press a friend of ours Gene Munster was out saying hey I think Amazon is going to buy Target and and he had kind of some interesting reasons behind that. Scott Galloway is been kind of pounding his chest that they’re going to buy either Macy’s or Nordstrom’s or something like that I’m going to go out and say I think Amazon’s plate is full with Whole Foods they did that very specifically for grocery, and they’re not going to buy another on. Online retailer of size I think they’ll still open their own book stores will Pisces some more of that as grocery go kind of things and that kind of thing but I just don’t see them buying another brick and mortar retailer, Chicago long with that I think that they had huge success with private label and they’re going to Triple down on that so kind of a double Amazon prediction there. Jason: [30:56] Nice I like it I like you being contrarian. Scot: [31:01] Write number three for me is I’m going to go back to my Amazon Logistics prediction because I think this is inevitable because of the you know what he charged this out the lines have to cross at some point at some point the number of packages, to be delivered even by Amazon alone exceed the capacity to be delivered out there Amazon I’m sure he’s aware of that and you know if I’m down my I’m kind of. [31:24] Planning for that eventuality so so again I think that in 2018 that. You know that they are going to essentially do a lot more with Last Mile and effectively compete with FedEx and UPS certainly for their own packages and maybe for others. [31:41] Number for TSO on this one we haven’t talked about Walmart in the prediction so I wanted to throw something in there for them I think I think Mark Lori is not done and I think they’ve done a lot there and I think she is just. Starting to get swinging and you know I think the Walmart Wall Street likes this kind of really aggressive posture that they’ve adopted and I think that gives them a lot of flexibility so as I think will win what’s next on is. Play I think they do a big m&a and you know part of me you would know better than that. Groceries in wrestling I don’t think they buy another grocery store though so I can’t think what would it look like like Trader Joe’s or something. Yeah so. You know now that Target is bought shipped I could see Walmart taken out instacart or Postmates and then eBay is still kind of out there and I think. Would be very powerful as a Marketplace partner for Walmart so I kind of put them in that bucket as well. Jason: [32:51] Cool cool. Scot: [32:52] Then any comments on them. Jason: [32:56] No I mean I feel like they’ve been rewarded for all the Acquisitions that they made in the last 18 months are there probably in Bolton so I would certainly be surprised, Ted not see some acquisition activity in in. 2018 your your prediction seem to be around capability and infrastructure which could totally be a lot of their Acquisitions that’s far have been. Actual Brands and so it’ll, it just that out that’ll be interesting to see how that you know where where the focus is in 2018 and I suspect it could be opportunistic as much as strategic in terms of who’s available at the right price. Scot: [33:36] Yeah it kind of ties back to last year’s Casper thing. You know that’s a nice scaled-up brand that once it starts down diepio path you have kind of this one time shot to go buy them I think that’s probably why she got taken out I think they were kind of, Abdul pathan when you start filing for an IPO and having m&a talks so that could not throw that one in there to Casper could be a candidate. My V prediction here is and I’m kind of getting into your world a little bit just cuz I wanted to see your reaction or anything. Platform guy but you know the one platform that seems kind of out there alone is Magento so they were part of eBay they spun out that private Equity that means the Tock the clock is ticking, it’s a great platform I think that they kind of do this tool path that they start down the going public and then they probably get acquired, I’m not sure who acquires them seems like maybe a lot of the. Cloud guide a lot of big guys have their Cloud solution nailed at this point. Maybe Oracle maybe sap maybe IBM. And so now you have more insight into the to the possible choir is it still learn to be less specific I’m not going to be specific on a choir so I think so kind of gets added into a larger Cloud offering. Jason: [35:01] Interesting yeah so it’s it was a weird year in platforms as far as I’m concerned like for a long time, you got a lot of retailers that had no platform and said you know every year a bunch of retailers were buying a platform to start selling direct to sell digital am so you had to want a platform sales every year or you had a bunch of retailers it invested early and we’re in some outdated platform and so there you know every every like 3 to 5 years retailers were rhe platforming as the technology got dramatically better, and so you ended up with these three huge Enterprises sap IBM in Oracle. That were you know making a fortune on all these reply for meetings you had demandware now I’m by Salesforce to the big cloud one. For long-time Magento dominated the long tail and then you know more recently Shopify sort of a cloud SAS version of. Avalon tail has his emerged in course there’s a lot of other platforms but was weird that 2017 is. No the Enterprise ones did particularly well I feel like the pace of RI platforming dramatically slowed down. You’re hard-pressed to find someone that doesn’t already have a platform so there’s less new customers entering the market so it’s more replat forming and it feels like people. Sort of the come to the realization that you don’t dramatically get better customer experiences just by replat for me and so it seems like a lot more people just invested in. New tools are new plugins or new customer experiences for their existing platforms rather than reply for me. [36:35] And I feel like that was an economic challenge for all these big companies that were used to. A lot of expense every platforming happening every year and then you add insult to injury. They’re able to charge a lot more or are certainly recognize a lot more revenue for selling a big expensive on Primm. Perpetual software license then they are for selling s a service and so I think, all the big guys had this double whammy of the economic model shifted that wasn’t favorable in terms of a gaap reporting in the customer slow down and so that you might find in a way that puts those, does kind of Legacy guys that might have snapped at Magento for their customer base in the less of a acquisition posture so, I would personally be a little surprised if one of those big 3 Snapchat Magento Magento still is an interesting asset and that they have tons of users, in some ways there are more modern platform and something a lot of the other ones we talked about because they have kind of free architected more recently. [37:39] There, there may be a step closer to cloud and some of these other guys but they’re not pure Cloud their step closer to microservices but they’re not pure microservices so, there I don’t know if they’re there an interesting I said they’ve got a bunch of users there maybe a half-step more modern and then so you know could could someone want to accelerate their own plan by by acquiring what Magento has, you you could totally see it but it definitely isn’t a slam dunk. Scot: [38:11] And then assess my main 5 and then my bonus at this is really because I want it to be true, and I know Jeff Bezos listen to the show so I have airpods which I really like but the Siri on them really stinks so what I want is Amazon to come out with Alexa powered wireless earbuds kind of an airpod competitor but with Alexa because I just want to sit there and have a conversation with Alexa what while I have little white things in my ears or whatever color the potty black or something so so my prediction is that Amazon will come out with that in 2018 and I have my fingers and toes crossed. Jason: [38:51] I like it the other way that can happen is Amazon and apple could just merge I don’t think either could acquire each other. So so they could just merge and then they could put they could replace Siri with Alexa and then the airpods what’s your point of great Hardware could just have Alexa in the world would be a happy place. Scot: [39:10] My prediction is more likely than yours but I encourage you to make your prediction in your section. Jason: [39:16] No no no no I’m leaving that one firmly in your section alright, well let’s run down my 5 so we we talk a little bit about grocery it was a prediction that they would wake up to digital last year I think this is the year that they totally get disrupted by digital and I think the thing that’s going to, mainly drive that is curbside pickup, so I actually think the digital grocery revenue is going to double in 2018 / 2017 we’re going to see a bunch of retards, roll out a lot more capability to take digital orders for grocery. And I think some of these delivery services could be the odd man out a lot of people have invested in building is delivery services like instacart. And I actually think if if we see huge momentum for curbside pickup that we could see you know at least one of those delivery services get too stressed and have to do some kind of. Disadvantaged transaction and that that that could include instacart as far as I’m concerned. [40:22] So that’s my first prediction is a lot more of us will be shopping for groceries digitally in 2018. Scot: [40:30] You think curbside not not full on delivery. Jason: [40:33] Yeah I mean I think there’s some rich rich neighborhoods that are highly dense that the delivery will make a lot of sense. And you know that might disproportionately be people that listen to the show but I think for the average American it’s going to be picking up your groceries on your way home from soccer practice. I think that’s a. Winning experience it’s 1% of sales in the US at 6% of sales in the UK it’s like 12% of sales in South Korea. I think the early Pilots of all been so successful in the US that we’re just going to see sea rabbit adoption which by the way is going to mean that the retailers like Kroger and Walmart are going to report. Much higher than industry average e-commerce sales in 28 growth in 2018 because they’re there the guys that are going to most benefit from. From this grocery disruption I think an Amazon’s case it means we’re going to see Amazon roll out some kind of national capability for curbside pickup whether that means leveraging Whole Foods are building more of the. Amazonfresh pickup locations or acquiring some other other business. Opportunistic Lee that’s you know distressed in that the Amazon can get a really good deal on to give them more of these pick up Depot location. Scot: [41:55] Cool what’s number two. Jason: [41:56] Number 2 is a after grocery gets disrupted Pharmacy / prescription drugs are going to get disrupted by digital in in 2018. So we we’ve seen some some early moves from Amazon that they might be getting into medical equipment. And it wouldn’t surprise me of Amazon is the big drug disrupter in 2018 I know you predicted that they wouldn’t do a retail acquisition in 2018. Well I kind of agree that they’re probably not strategically looking to acquire another big retailer I think I prefer Amazon has a lot of cash in there totally opportunistic so if the right deal fell into their laps I think they would do it. And I actually think digital could so distressed the drug business that the drug retailers become. A very economical acquisition or we can see some of the drug guys move out of the retail business and into the the insurance business more and then just want to spin off the retail and sell it cheap. Here’s the thing to know about drug 60% of all their sales are traffic that came in to fill a prescription so if consumers start for filling their prescriptions VIA mail at home. Or ordering stuff online and having it delivered to home then those retail stores don’t work if there’s not enough traffic in there to dry them. They’re they’re not price competitive they tend to sell stuff at full pop retail and there’s too many of them so you add all that up and it would not take a huge amount of digital success to totally disrupt the drug business. [43:37] And then you got the fact that the scariest business retailer in the world Amazon is is looking pretty carefully at the space. And I think one way or another it’s a safe bet that drug gets heavily disrupted in 28. Scot: [43:48] Go to could help me with my 9000 stores I need. Jason: [43:51] Yeah absolutely and I I mean I also think just the changes in the insurance. Industries in the US in the government Healthcare and all those other things are are potentially favorable consumers are learning that you have to shop for prices on your prescription meds just like you do. You know any any other consumer expense and I think that that’s going to further open the door for that stuff so I hopefully it does help you out. [44:16] So my third prediction is that the. What I’m calling the the machine winning Gap is going to be the biggest trend for 2018 so you already said in a pretty last year that all the vendors would Embrace machine learning in a big way I think that totally happened. I mentioned I didn’t think a lot of retailers that necessarily. Fully Embrace machine learning and in 2017 I think they’re only a few examples. In 2018 I think we’re going to see some retailers dramatically Embrace machine learning. And we’re going to see a bunch of other retailers not embrace it does not have the resources or just you know be superficial and you know pay lip service or buy some. Some small product that leverages it and so I think we’re going to see a big gap I think we’re going to see some retailers that are really good at machine learning and have. Have them built it into their culture and a breaking down all those data silos and they’re just looking for every opportunity to train a logarithm is with all this customer data and use it to. Deliver way better customer experiences and we’re going to see a bunch of other retailers that either don’t do anything or a very superficial and I think we’re going to see a big gap and customer experiences between those two camps. I think you know obviously the the folks in Embrace machine learning we are going to be well positioned for the future in the sweater or doctors are going to get left behind. [45:39] I don’t know how will measure that exactly so number for, is voice I get asked that voice all the time that speak about natural language processing in boys Commerce I’m actually think 2018 is going to be a huge year for voice, I go to CES this weekend I’m expecting we’re going to see you way more, voice interfaces than ever before and I do think there’s going to be a lot more adoption of them in 2018 then there has been so far which I think 2017 was a big year but I actually don’t think. A very big use case for all of these voice interfaces is going to be Commerce so my my prediction is, voice continues to be a big deal for for interfaces for home automation for stuff like that but that it’s not going to be a big. Use case for ordering products and the one exception to that is going to be the sort of Auto replenishment and using. Using voice to add things to your auto replenishment list and kind of pause your list and modified and do those kind of think so I think with the exception of that one category where your. You’re adjusting your consumable orders I think voices overhyped for Commerce is that a Debbie Downer for you. Scot: [46:59] You’re such a voice guy I’m so processing it I’m in shock. Jason: [47:03] I do like the sound of my own voice that is true. [47:07] My fist it wouldn’t be a Jason and Scott prediction show if I didn’t talk about payments. [47:17] So there’s a big Trend towards every retailer launching their own digital wallets Target is launching a digital while at right now in my big prediction is none of these retail brand of digital wallets are going to work. I think there’s only room in the world the North American market for three digital wallets I think that’s going to be Starbucks Walmart Amazon so I don’t think other retailers are are going down the right path by, by trying to implement that, and I would heavily advised folks to 2 or I wouldn’t advise anyone now that I think about it but I think big point is going to take this year so I know there’s been a lot of Buzz and hide about Bitcoin, super optimistic about blockchain and cyber cyber currencies in general but I just I don’t think Bitcoins going to be. The viable currency to to emerge out of all this. Scot: [48:09] The okay so does that include blockchain and other coins or are just pick one. Jason: [48:17] So I don’t think we’re going to see a legal currency. That the Cyber currency in 2018 I think we’re going to see blockchain becoming a super important technology for, storing value for for Franklin sharing a lot of data and doing interesting things and a lot of Industry so I I certainly think blockchain is a super important and valuable, technology but I don’t think we’re going to see you, a branded currency emerge as a meaningful competitor to $2 and in 2018, and I think the coin is going to be considerably less valuable on December 31st then it was December 31st of this year. Scot: [49:00] It’s too bad you didn’t make that prediction last year. Jason: [49:03] Yep. Scot: [49:04] That’s a good on Jack tonight we had many listeners ask for a deep dive on crypto and blockchain, that is on our list for 2018 so we plan on doing a deep dive on that just so I do think and do some Sherby agree I think it’s important for folks in retail and e-commerce to have a pretty, be a basic understanding of this technology and especially the blockchain cuz I think it’s going to be one of those things that there is reality there and it survives the hype and is pretty interesting, track. Jason: [49:38] Totally I’m looking forward to that jump, and then I did also do a bonus and I arguably we have the same bonus prediction so I tried not to overlap with you on any of the, irregular predictions but I’m I feel like I’m comfortable space on the bonus I wisely decided to make my version slightly broader than yours so I have a better chance of being right, I think we see Amazon watch some kind of wearable in 2018 and so the earbuds is a, total good guess but some other kind of wearable speaker like I think some way to take the the, Alexa technology with you is is something that Amazon’s going to figure out how to offer in 2018. Scot: [50:28] Cool I hope you’re right and I hope it’s your butts. Jason: [50:31] Yeah we should have to see that is the beauty TuneIn the episode 211. [50:40] Scot that is all the time we allotted for tonight show or trying to get the shows a little shorter in 2018 so I predict were only moderately successful. But I super appreciate everyone listening we will put all these predictions in the show notes so that they’re there memorialized and you can make fun of acid their dramatically wrong at the end of 2018. If you have any thoughts about any of these predictions well for you to jump on Facebook and share your thoughts and if you enjoy their our show and enjoy this episode we certainly appreciate that five star review. On iTunes. Scot: [51:18] Thanks everyone for joining us have a great 2018. Jason: [51:22] And until next time happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

EP111- End of year news. Holiday Recap E-Commerce up approx 18%, total retail up 4.8% UPS Woes Amazon News Amazon Holiday Recap Amazon wins 50% of holiday sales !?!? WPP, Publcis, Omnicom  spend $800M on Amazon ads Other News Home Depot may buy XPO (large item logistics firm) Stitchfix first quarter post-IPO Michelle Gass takes over helm at Kolhs. (Episode 77 of the podcast featured outgoing CEO Kevin Mansell) Don’t forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 111 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Friday, December 29th 2017.  Last show of 2017, happy new year everyone!  Tune in next week for our much anticipated annual predictions episode. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing New beta feature – Google Automated Transcription of the show Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 111 being recorded on Friday December 29th 2017 I’m your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I’m here with your hoes Scot Wingo. Scot: [0:39] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason Scott shirtless after a long Jason Scott holiday decided to have you back. [0:52] Yeah yeah we had to kind of this perfect storm where you had a bunch of travel ahead travel that offset from your travel and it has been 30 days since we laid down a Jason Scott show. [1:06] Yes the first of all the most important question have you seen Star Wars yet. Jason: [1:09] I have I have made good use of our time off and I feel I got caught up on all the media that you’ve been frustrated that you haven’t been able to talk to me about so I got to see the Star Wars probably a week after you but. Totally enjoyed it and I’ll see what I can do any spoilers but I feel like I was I was pleased and enjoyed it. Scot: [1:32] Yep yeah I loved it there there’s a pretty good second a fan of that hates it though so it’s been I know Chris. Over at he was previously at Puma now at Izod is very upset about Star Wars we have to get him on the shoulder after more people have seen it took to hear his thoughts on it. Jason: [1:50] Yeah although we might have to reserve that for the e-commerce Star Wars fan spin off podcast. Scot: [1:56] Yeah yeah. Jason: [1:58] Slightly more nutrients. Scot: [2:01] But for hours. Jason: [2:03] But I feel like this is useful information only to you and not to any of our listeners that I have done some hard work in this month I’ve totally caught up on mr. robot and I was like over a season behind you on that. And I feel like I’m almost completely caught up on all the The Avengers Netflix series so I’m I’m excited. Chat in the in our pre-show prep sometime. Scot: [2:28] The content is really coming out rapidly though so have you seen you got to watch Discovery so Star Trek Discovery is good and then the new Will Smith movie on Netflix is really good I think you’d like it. Jason: [2:38] Not so I am cut up on Discovery and I agree I’ve been telling joining it other than the irritation of having to subscribe to. [2:47] The yet another service for one show that’s the CBS Show Network. [2:54] So I’m also watching the good fight just because we used to watch The Good Wife and we weren’t interested in striving just to watch the spin-off series but since we bought it for Star Wars we’ve been watching that as well. Yeah lots of lots of good content and it is sort of merging with the Commerce world as many of our our friends than that, space it become the major content Publishers in the New World. Scot: [3:17] Yeah I guess pretty wild. So weed since it’s been a month since we had a show we have a lot to cover and let’s jump into it so first we’re going to do some trip reports and then we’ll cover some news, and the Scooby the last show 2017 so, in next week’s episode what should be the first show of 2018 we that would be our annual prediction show where will review those predictions we made was it Jason episode 64 I think. [3:45] Summer back then we made some bold predictions and we’re going to ask ourselves on those and then lay down our 2018 bold predictions for what’s going to happen in all things Commerce, so that why don’t you could have told me you tell me about some of the nursing retail you saw as you were traveling around in December. Jason: [4:04] Yeah so I did do a bunch of trips in December I think ironically you may have gone to visit more new stores then I had but I did. Mention and I hope a lot of people see it now I would I got to visit one of the very first Amazon pop ups in Whole Foods so there’s now a bunch of Whole Food stores that have these dedicated Amazon pop ups and they. Have all the the Amazon branded gadgets and a few third-party Gadgets in the store so my local Whole Foods has one. Nothing super surprising their inventory is really good though so like they had the the security cameras when they first came out I was able to get some of the. The echo buttons for my Ferrari Alexis here at the house so we can play Jeopardy and do that sort of stuff. And you course heard heard my device in the background responding to to our podcast cuz I forgot to hit mute. [5:08] What interesting thing about the Amazon pop-up store it was interesting to me the point-of-sale that they’re running in the pop-up store is clover which is a super popular. Small-business POS system I find it humorous because. If you go into an actual Amazon bookstore it’s kind of painted check out because they make you use the Amazon app and they don’t accept cash. And so somewhat ironic that these Amazon owned pop-ups inside of Whole Foods which is owned by Amazon. Take credit cards through the clover but won’t let you pay with your Amazon account. [5:44] So very very different retail philosophy than the Apple the Amazon book stores where they don’t show prices and. Make use the Amazon app and all that sort of stuff but I have a feeling that has more to do with a expedience than any particular strategy. Scot: [6:01] Yeah I’m sure someone in the bowels of Amazon is working on it PLS for a Kindle what kind of a tablet I’m sure that’s in the works. Jason: [6:09] Yeah absolutely. I also got to visit the Google pop-up store so this is an annual pop-up they do in New York it was in. Tribeca last year and I think it’s in the Flatiron District which is just a little further north. [6:25] This year and I would say was a little disappointing last year it was a net new retail concept that used it to give live demos of all the new Amazon Google Hardware. And you know last year the home had just launched that is your first can see that the pixel it just launched they were showing the first VR headset since there’s a lot of like. New hardware and it was kind of a cool experience in retail environment in this year. Everything’s very incremental like it’s it’s basically the same retail environment as last year but with the newer Hardware in it and. You know Google doesn’t have a lot of net new hardware this year it’s mostly. Evolutions of the hardware they showed last year so you know Google home is better than a couple permeations now that the pixel 2 which is course better to have more apps on the Google VR but like there really wasn’t any. [7:16] Marquee thing to see your experience in the the store this year that you would have done last year so I guess. [7:26] If you looked at it on its own it was probably a good showroom by the way you can’t buy anything that’s inside of their showroom but if you compared it to last year it was it was pretty darn incremental. And then I did last month have a trip to Amsterdam. There’s not a ton of super interesting retail that would be relevant to this audience. But one of the Novelties they have a very large Apple Store it was one of the European Flagship stores. It’s now about 5 years old but it still has the distinction of being the the world’s largest Genius bar so it has this huge Genius Bar and the only reason I bring it up is its. It’s kind of shocking to walk in the store to huge two-story store in addition to the Super One Genius Bar. They have tons of project tables for various services that they provide and it’s it’s really a stark contrast to the fact that like. [8:26] 75% of the of the floor space of this Apple Store is really dedicated to Services verses. [8:34] Selling Apple retail products and I do feel this is a large evolution of the Apple stores that you know they have. They’ve done produced that their party products that they carry you know they’re there more focus on Apple products than ever before but that the real role of the store has shifted from. Introducing Apple products and selling Apple product to providing service for Apple products. Scot: [9:01] Yara are local Apple Store upgraded to that new kind of what are they call it Town Hall. [9:07] Jars the growth and yeah I was surprised the number of skews they carry went way down on the third-party side like the whole speaker display went away in a bunch of that stuff and it is very much more of a service kind of an orientation which is which is very interesting. Jason: [9:21] Yeah and of course is Apple’s bottom or third-party unit products and made them first party products it makes it less appealing for them to carry the competitors. Products of that that’s the only part of it but it it you know there is it gyro when you would have gone, anytime you went by the Apple Store you pop in because you be likely to see something new if it wasn’t a new Apple product it would be some new accessories and you know now like, you know if you’re very techy it’s not very likely you’re going to walk into an Apple store and and you know. Have the excitement of discovering something new thing you haven’t heard of. Scot: [9:55] Yeah, cool so I was in New York for a personal trip and we went up to see the tree in a couple shows and whatnot and hit a lot of retail and as we were kind of wandering around the city I had a list of things to check off for SUP was the Amazon store down by Empire State Building I had not been in that one yet so I wanted to see that and were the first people I see there is Jason Del Rey one of our friends the Jason Scott shows that was kind of a, funny coincidence in the city of what is an 8 to 10 million people I run into Jason at the Amazon store. Jason: [10:27] No way was he working there is that his night job or was he. Scot: [10:30] No he was actually he in a fellow colleague had actually done at or behind that store is the prime now hub for I guess South Manhattan and they have done a tour of that as kind of precedent and your this was. December 19th or 20th now that’s. Yeah yeah somewhere in there so it’s going to peak season I guess they did got a tour during peak season is of President and he was exiting through the store just kind of have a look and ran into. Jason: [11:00] Yeah and I knew that wasn’t his side hustle I just want to make fun of them. Scot: [11:06] And then. The it’s been about 18 months since I’ve been an Amazon store and I felt like the adenta lot of cool new stuff about having to act better integrated and the checkout was you could chuck check out anywhere which is kind of neat you didn’t have to go to check out a lot of cool things they’ve done there. Jason: [11:22] Yep and is there a coffee shop in that one that’s a little bit on the smaller side right ok Google. Scot: [11:26] It has a coffee shop yeah yeah I couldn’t tell we didn’t have time to stop by I could tell if they actually operate or if it’s a third-party it wasn’t Brandon Starbucks or any other brand or anything so it’s kind of Nursing. Jason: [11:39] And that is, that’s on 34th Street in New York which is one of the more stories retail streets in the world that’s the largest Macy’s and a ton of retail flagships open up on that store so it’s pretty important retail real estate. Scot: [11:56] Yeah that’s what yeah we literally walk from there to Macy’s in like dinner a box or something wasn’t bad at all. That was cool and it’s good to see Jason and then I stopped a lot of brand stores know we talk a lot on the the show about digitally native vertical Brands opening the store so I wanted to see some of them went to everlane which was in her everything’s kind of, unisex Basics and the store was jam-packed that was does interesting he can actually buy stuff out of that stores there’s a lot going on there. My favorite when I stumbled on it hadn’t planned to go is I read a lot about these sneakers called All Birds and, there’s always described his slippers plus sneakers equals all birds and look at this really kind of wool soft kind of thing in the upper and then have a soft Rubber Sole. I answered went there try those on those really fast and because that place was humming I mean it was like. 6 people deep try on shoes or when was walking out with boxes so you could tell there was a lot of energy around that store. The most crowded one is a Skate brand called Supreme I’ve never had all these articles about this place where people wait overnight and. Part of the whole thing is they only let like 15 people in this world of time cuz it’s really small so so went there sure enough there was a line literally around a New York City Block and it’s kind of funny the line breaks because. Passes of all these other stores they get angry when that line go so you see the light you know she’s breaks in the line so. People that don’t know how the line works all these International people trying to get in line they’ll just kind of hop in the line. [13:26] They have all these bouncers to the line and they’re very Surly in this part of the whole experience for there, like you know this is not the end of the line go over here that’s in the line of their kind of mean to you so it’s funny to watch that. Repeating the Supreme store and it’s literally like 60 skews in there and people were buying as much as they can get their hands on it also read that it’s. Demand-supply so tightly most people that shop in there take all that stuff and sell it on eBay and Amazon so it’s really kind of a become a. [13:54] People just got to camp out and get the stuff and sell it online to firstfield with looks so that was interesting. [14:01] Yep then if you’re in the retail world you getting your gift run by story so I went by there they were quite busy and then there’s a couple new down in SoHo Adidas and Nike have some cool new stuff so I got to experience that. All very good and then the one that was kind of thing is a e American Eagle I guess it is they have the say eStudio where is this whole concept that’s in Union Square. Say it’s a denim shop in a laundromat and it’s kind of funny the laundromat was really more of a prop like no one was there using it, looks like there are six machines that it almost never been choose there like these giant dustrial stainless steel machines this is I read several articles this is going to be kind of, how to get Millennials back into the store with this this. [14:47] Going to come get your laundry they’re going to shop while they do it the Millennials I was with can I give it a thumbs down they didn’t like that store the other things that you would have appreciated is every. Every pair of denim had a tablet there they were too high and iPads. But they were just sitting there plant looping a video there is no kind of integration with reviews and it’s got to start having been to the Amazon store where they pull everything from online into the store and then this one which is just like this. Kind of looping video and spend all this money on these tablets for they were interactive at all I thought was kind of a big mess for those guys so good to experience a lot of retail on my truck which was fun. Jason: [15:23] Yeah it’s perfect that you were you got a chance to do that I was you went pretty fast. Is the everlane store did you see anything digital in that store because unlike a lot of those other brands everlane really is the one that like, started off as a digital Brandon and added retail and of course online they’re really well known for having Rich product information on there, on their website and are super transparent like they showed up building materials for all the the products you know the real pricing for everything today have any of that in the store. Scot: [15:56] Not that I saw it felt like. [15:59] It felt like a small Gap you know kind of the same kind of just Basics or like yours a sweater in four colors here is pants and five colors on a table there weren’t any I didn’t see any digital displays or any of that kind of stuff in the store. Jason: [16:13] Yeah that was my impression from earlier as well so it it’s interesting and disappointing a little bit that even when it’s an important part of your brand online that that. A lot of these guys that are opening it just a few stores aren’t figuring out how to carry that through to their physical presence as well. Scot: [16:30] Yeah yeah, you need to walk over to the Amazon store and see how it’s done. Jason: [16:35] Exactly although Apple Amazon probably has some room to improve there too so hopefully next year will be talking about some of them cooler retailers that that are getting it right maybe that that should be a prediction for next year. Scot: [16:49] Yep yep you can always aren’t you so that’s the truth before it’s let’s start it, mac review of news how do you. How do you feel the the holiday it’s too early to call it but we we should have a pretty good read here since we’re doing this after Christmas how do you think holiday went for 2017. Jason: [17:09] Yeah I am pleasantly surprised I’ll even go so far as to say that my slightly pessimistic Outlook going into holiday. It has not proven to be the case so you know there were lots of Rosy predictions going in the holiday ever are almost every year by the way. And I had mentioned on the earlier show that often times when you have a better than average year in sales it’s because you got. Super Promotional and you know very marginal rosian so you. You see all these great articles in December about have a good holiday sales were and then you’d see all these badass quarterly reports in January from all these companies that talked about how they didn’t make any money. And so that still could happen but the. Early indications are that we had pretty rough but better than usual growth in e-commerce we definitely had better than usual growth in brick-and-mortar Commerce and that it wasn’t. A hyper promotional holiday where where you know we just got there by by dramatically cutting costs and starting some crazy. Arms race so so that all looks pretty encourage. Scot: [18:22] Yeah yeah I’m seeing the same things I’m really interested in hearing how Amazon did so I’m on pins and needles until their fourth quarter of you because. If if e-commerce accelerated kind of the 18 maybe 20% level and I think we could see a. Amazon 30% Q4 which day did Jeremy slow down in the 4th quarter state. Because it’s just such a big order for them it’s it’s hard comp to do well on so if they did High twenties R30 that that just means he just soaked up an amazing amount of of share so I’m curious to see what they were. Jason: [18:58] And that I mean we’ve already seen some predictions I think there’s a Barron’s article that that. Said they like 50% of all holiday sale sales work was Amazon so that that would certainly boutwell of that proves to be true. You know what one of the data sources we follow pretty close to use the MasterCard data and they’re they’re calling it a 18% growth in December for e-commerce and 4.8% for retail which is. A big jump that would be the biggest growth since 2011 for a brick-and-mortar retail so that super exciting and then one cautionary Tale. Maybe with a slight astrix there’s a couple firms that track. UPS and FedEx on time shipping and it does appear that we ran into some capacity problems particularly with UPS. So they’re reporting that UPS had a 89% on-time shipping over cyber 5 that’s obviously like. You know one of the the biggest Peaks. UPS is of course trying to be ready for that Peak but you know 89% on time is is pretty low that’s that’s what is lower than historic. And then even in the first week in December they were 91% on time and that you know computers pretty unfavorably was like last year where they were at 97%. On time for that same week FedEx which is used a lot less in the overall scheme of things for e-commerce is it like 99% on time. [20:33] But these numbers are accurate which UPS dispute you might imagine the. [20:42] It is a signal you know that that’s totally in line with this trend we’ve been talking about about these carriers just aren’t growing as fast as e-commerce and so we were perpetually having a bigger capacity problem every year. For these Peaks and so you know UPS grew about. 8% capacity this year but we just said that the e-commerce might have been around 18 or 20% and that the result is that they’re having to put all kinds of extra strength and construction zone retailers about, what does ship Win 4 for retailers in it you know you could predict project this trend out a couple years and it certainly seems that whatever retailer Zone, their own last-mile capacity. There’s only one are going to have a pretty big advantage over over the the rest of the industry as, you know the industry continues to grow faster than then the UPS can can fulfill. Scot: [21:43] Yeah yeah the good news though is we didn’t have a debacle like was a 2015 and a 2015 is that one year we’re like 3 million packages gutensohn the system and it couldn’t keep up so. Jason: [21:55] And a lot of it just miss Christmas shipment which is the course the worst. Scot: [21:58] Yeah yes a lot of stress on the system but it did kind of held up it looks like you know what kind of mentioned Amazon in there but let’s make it official it wouldn’t be a Jason Scott show without talking about. [22:27] So first let’s talk about Amazon does it come in manual pressure release the week after Christmas and I will put a link to it in the show notes but. This is about me massive it’s like. Literally 120 bullets of of highlights I pulled out a couple that I thought listeners would find interesting the most specific one is they actually said 4 million people. Child Prime during the holidays which decimal specific number they’ve ever used about Prime, and it’s a big number so you know most people kind of Peg Prime at maybe 60 million, but if you have 4 million people just come in trial for the holiday that’s pretty amazing. [23:13] You know if if if half of those stick that’s like a 5% bump right there and just Prime books they said the top selling item was the Echo. And then. Add Amazon Alexa has been the top. Download in the IOS app store which I’m sure Apple loves to see which is kind of nursing they also said tens of millions of Alexa enabled devices were sold. [23:35] So I guess is range of 10 to 99 million devices what do you use to lower that range 10 in a lot of people have talked about. These things aren’t that saturated there’s not many people using these devices you know that’s that’s it with 300 million consumers 10 million is. Pretty much cereal I think that’s probably Global number too so interesting to see they’re pushing a lot of Alexa enabled devices out there. There’s some tidbits around the marketplace they said a billion items were sold over the holiday season didn’t know Define the holiday season I’m going to guess they probably call it November one forward and I think they’re talking about. [24:14] Thanksgiving for it at cuz they take a coffee run promotions earlier, three-way abdulian items were sold in the Dover the Cyber 5 which is Thanksgiving the Cyber Monday they said third-party sold 140 million items on the Fulfillment side they highlighted the 10 performance centers had a million item days, that’s a lot of items shipping out of the film It Center in this is kind of an interesting kind of flexing of their data science muscles I thought, I thought you would appreciate they said these Coast has more holiday spirit than the West Coast because Alexa was asked play holiday music 2 and 1/2 times as frequently on the East Coast vs West Coast, I really weird tidbit for them to pull out and it just kind of showed you know how these trends that are able to see through all the devices and machine learning capability that they have. Jason: [25:03] Yeah it’s it’s almost scary to think about like some of the insights they can get in human behavior was from all of that data. Scot: [25:11] Yeah they said like the most requested recipe was chocolate chip cookies the most requested song was Jingle Bells today I got a couple interesting things there. When Amazon article I wanted to ask you about it said that these ad agencies and image of wpp Omnicom and pupusas. Did they are spending 800 million in 2018 for ads on Amazon which is a 40 to 50% increase year-over-year I thought that was. Interesting that the ad agencies are really waking up to Amazon as a an advertising video but then also I’m curious like we’re who’s losing the, you know the the 400 million or whatever that Delta is in there is a coming from TVs coming from Google what what do you think about that. Jason: [26:04] Yeah it is super interesting that I mean Amazon is a great advertising platform for a variety of reasons and so I think we’re going to. Continue to see them get more relevant at the moment you know what these are, wildly rough estimates of third parties so I can’t get into talking exactly about what what pupusas suspend is with Amazon for example. Directionally what I think you’re seeing at the moment is a ton of spending, from brands on Amazon but it’s pending it’s coming out of the Brand’s trade budgets versus their marketing budget so when you you think about a. A Big Brand a cpg like Procter & Gamble or an apparel brand or whatever like they’re likely is a CMO that has a marketing budget to build brand Affinity in his his KP eyes are things like unassisted brand recall. He’s the one buying the Super Bowl ads and those guys I don’t think are spending a big trance are not shifting a lot of spin to Amazon yet. But in addition to those guys there’s the sales person that owns. All the sales that happened with Walmart or Target or Costco and those guys that have a budget, to buy ads or promotional opportunities with those retailers to help sell products for that particular retail so traditionally. [27:35] That could be coupons that they they co-published with that retailer order could be in-store advertising it could be an incap to make the product more visible order or these kinds of things and so now. Amazon has become a major retailer for all these Brands and so it has an account team just like all these other brands, and it has a trade budget just like all those other brands but instead of buying in store point-of-purchase displays or coupons, they’re they’re spending that those dollars with a am at G and and you know most often AMS, on Amazon platform and so if anything that those dollars are really shifting, from other retailers that are getting smaller as Amazon’s getting bigger and the trade budget goes along with the sales, on Amazon so you know that those dollars are probably coming out of Target more than they are coming out of network television advertising at this point. Scot: [28:36] Yeah I haven’t seen a circular in a long time but I’ve stopped getting the paper long time ago too so I imagine there’s there’s not a lot of opportunities to spend money on the circulars in those kinds of things. Jason: [28:46] OSHA disappointingly most retailers still have those programs and you absolutely can spend money on them and you know there’s a lot of sacred cows there so shifting dollars off of those things, probably harder than it logically should be but but it’s certainly starting to happen and once those dogs get shifted to Amazon they become. Way more measurable and. Frankly most cases more effective in so you know once once that Ship Happens that becomes a great case study and I suspect a lot of seeing those are looking at those things. You know I won’t be surprised if we see the the Big Marketing budget start to follow some of those trade budgets onto Amazon. [29:28] Another Super interesting thing to me in this last month that we didn’t get a chance to talk about. Is there have been a number of interesting signs about Amazon entering the. The prescription drug market so that they actually got Pharmacy licenses in about 13 states. And there are various kinds of Pharmacy licenses and this is not a license to dispense medications it’s a license to. Dispense medical equipment so that could be the stuff you use for getting oxygen in your home or Walkers are all this this various medical equipment that Amazon that has a license to sell in like 12 or 13 states. But when those licenses were disclosed you know that it became news Amazon’s looking at the the pharmacy business and you know whether it was coincidental or not. We we saw CVS make a big announcement about a potential merger acquisition with Aetna, that would sort of be emphasized CVS’s retail business, of course Walgreens in the middle of a merger we’re seeing the big Pharmacy companies kind of, try to diversify themselves and not be as as focused on retail at the same time that we’re seeing a number of interesting indications that Amazon might be getting into the the pharmacy business. Scot: [30:58] Yeah yeah the CVS setting the stuff was quite popular on CNBC is a way to kind of have an Integrated Health platform and should be interesting to see you. [31:10] What stops Amazon from doing the same thing you know they could open up their own health insurance armor something there’s there’s no business I don’t think he was on would get into so to be a nurse in the seat. Jason: [31:20] Yeah I normally. Scot: [31:21] How that how it plays out. Jason: [31:22] When when you know Amazon gets in any new business like their quickly are people that run up and go well here’s why that business is different than other ones Amazon’s been successful and here’s why Amazon won’t be able to be successful here right like in in general, all those barriers proved to not be very big barriers in Pharmacy one of those big barriers is that, you know you really have to have a partnership in agreement with the insurance companies, to enable the the folks that are insured by those companies to get their prescription meds from you and since that the traditional pharmacies of locked up a lot of those deals, you know people have speculated it would be hard for Amazon to answer without a a insurance partnership. And what’s what’s interesting is there’s a huge chunk of people that are now buying, their prescription meds out of pocket and not using Insurance either because they’re underinsured or don’t have insurance or because they’re they’re finding that you can in many cases, get better rates on the prescriptions than the negotiated race that the insurance company has locked them into in so you know one one piece of speculation is the Amazon could really be focusing on, Pharmacy products for people that are paying out-of-pocket versus, you know being a big part of the the insurance industry and of course it’s not outside the realm of possibility Amazon could buy a big insurance company pretty easily in the same way they bought Whole Foods. Scot: [32:54] Yeah yeah absolutely another kind of kind of. [32:59] It’s going a little bit outside of Amazon but are our friends at recode. Jason had a interesting scoop where, hi he had heard this kind of the cowboy rumors that Home Depot was looking at acquiring there are Logistics partner which is XPO XPO Logistics is. A company that focuses on The Last Mile logistics for heavy items so if you’ve ever gotten something delivered from a Home Depot like Appliance or a set of cabinets or, I furniture and that kind of thing XTO is well known for that and you know what what he was reporting is that. Amazon’s looked at the company and if amp it as part of their Furniture efforts to Amazon’s doing a pretty big push into Furniture I’m sure Wayfair use XPO also but that I haven’t seen anything specific to that, but if you have a pretty good lock on this kind of heavy stuff being delivered so you know what. What’s interesting is Amazon sniff somewhere and other retailers really wake up and are starting to make pretty big news this would be like a 9 billion dollar acquisition so this isn’t just kind of a small, defensive plays on these things that are happening here based on what Amazon’s doing so it’ll be interesting to keep an eye on that one to see what happens. Jason: [34:10] Yeah but you can you can easy to imagine you know you’re in one of these businesses that predominately deliver big heavy stuff like Home Depot or Furniture Company in Hugo hey what would happen to us if Amazon bought our fulfillment. Scot: [34:23] Yeah yeah seems like the best antidote for that is to start building up that kind of capability like like Amazon is doing so interested to see if, retailers do that and what it would cost him, Cheryl or she will be on board with that when I could dine ask you about that was announced during our break there was Target acquired shipt s h i p t there’s all these companies name, Chris plays on the word ship this is D grocery delivery company I think they’re out of Alabama are some somewhere unusual they’re not a Bay Area delivery company, Target acquired before between 500 and 600 million depending on how they’re not works and stuff so kind of furthering this kind of grocery delivery battle with what do you think about that. Jason: [35:05] Yeah it was so for clarification this is not the company that Kmart uses to ship your pants right so that’s an old e-commerce. [35:17] For those of you that used to watch that the Kmart original e-commerce ads that were pretty funny will put a link to those in the show but yeah that was a big acquisition and and actually, Target 2nd and condition this year in the Fulfillment Channel. [35:35] And it’s interesting to for folks that aren’t familiar with shipped you can kind of think of them as like an instacart they they have a big network of. 1099 employees. That they send to the store to pick up goods and deliver them same day to Consumers and so they they do some fresh grocery deliveries and they do a lot of General Merchant deliveries. I need the have been doing some work for Target but they also do Kroger and Costco I think and so if you’re Target. You’re buying this company that that a bunch of your competitors are using right now for same-day delivery and that’s a little bit dicey like target has said in the short run we’re not going to change them at all we’re going to. Continue to use them and. It’s a little tricky you you pay shipping $99 membership fee to be able to get deliveries from them and then you get deliveries from any of the retailers in their Network, and obviously the more retailers they have in their Network the more valuable they are in the more likely they are to be able to get people to pay. These $99 membership fees so if Target was investing in shipped hoping shipped would just grow as a separate entity. It’s a scary investment because if your Costco. You might not want to use shift anymore now that they’re owned by one of your competitors Target right and so. [37:08] Potentially the company becomes West valuable when one of their customers buys it you know especially when they’re banking on this networking effective. Of having more retailers in getting more customers. The the other side of this would be to say hey Target just needs more capacity for doing same day delivery themselves and they’re buying ship for that that capability in there eventually going to, ship them away from the separate business model towards just being a resource for Target. And you know that would make a lot more sense but then they probably overpaid for it right because they probably paid a valuation based on. On this growth projection that ship has it as a separate entity so it’s a little bit of a catch-22 how how Target will use them. But it certainly makes sense that that retailers need to be thinking and investing in, their own last-mile capabilities like particular you’re going to be in the fresh category you want to think about how you’re going to do home fulfillment on Fresh which is point to point. So I think there’s some interesting things I’m glad to see Target making investments in here like this is potentially a risky investment. Given that that you know Target’s claiming that they’re going to let them run as a standalone company in there there you know now potentially tainted as a standalone company given the throne by Target. Scot: [38:37] Yes they have to think the value is if we roll out same delivery to ask Target stores we generate y sales and it’s worth $500 to get why sales so I sales must be like in the billions of dollars which makes sense to me. Jason: [38:51] Yeah and Target you know which is doing well at e-commerce over 50% of all Targets e-commerce is fulfill from spores in so this is really, Expediting that that’s for fulfillment and since target has a store close to someone that many consumers, same day can be you know potentially cheaper than shipping and in many cases so you know it it is leveraging Target strength which is this this big network of stores that are close to Consumer so big picture I like it you know I hard to say whether they pay the right price for it or not. Scot: [39:29] We’ll save it for the prediction show but I’m curious if you think this causes Postmates an instacart to kind of if those pens fall as well from this acquisition so we’ll save it for next year. [39:42] I want to report on is Stitch fix we talked about when they’re S1 was filed we spent a fair amount of time going through that and explain that model will since that show they went public and, that is kind of a lukewarm reception so when you go public you put this range out there. There ain’t nothing was 16 to $18 the price a little bit below that range at 15 which is an indicator that you know if people were concerned a bad the. Have a negative backdrop blue apron had missed a quarterly number as. Stitch fix was out on the road which is terrible timing these things happen so so they could do it you know that. Google subscription models even though once food and wants apparel and we know on the show that’s vastly different problems to solve it but I think investors kind of said. This is this is a challenging segment let’s punish but let’s let’s. Not punishment put on more risk around the stitches thing get 15 but then was really interesting is, there’s I want to go public there’s a about a six-month of three to six-month window before you announce your earnings, so they didn’t have any news or anything. People as they got familiar with the model I don’t know exactly what happened but it got up as high as 28-29 then they announced their quarter in December 19th and, you know there there’s kind of Tale of Two Cities there I think they did really well on the quarterly results compared. [41:13] Going forward they did talk about there should be some pressure on margins and having to spend a fair amount on sales and marketing to acquire customers some folks reacted negatively and then it came back from them so I would say it’s been a successful IPO there, last I looked there in a market cap of about two and a half billion which is, pretty good and you know so I think there are there out there doing really well and you know I think this investment is going to be with people watch to see can they really turn that into active. Subscriber system. Jason: [41:44] Yeah and it’s not automatically a bit I know the higher price you get in that IPO you know the more money that is for the company in the short run but in the long run, it’s not necessarily a horrible thing that you you have some room post-ipo for that kind of bump right in that bike, certainly you know create some advantages in terms of equity for employees and and all that sort of thing right. Scot: [42:12] Yeah yeah there’s. [42:15] Target also depends on who’s selling IPO so do you have primary source and secondary shares so if your investors are selling in diepio and they get a low price that’s going too bad because they are looking for a high return, what is the company selling shares you know there is an argument to be made kind of Goldilocks it be somewhat conservative other people tell you no. Did Equity you’re selling you should maximize the value of that and do what you can so I think it’s a. Nothing and I was just one mile marker on this very long road and it’s really kind of start of a New Journey so so I think it’s good that they’ve done well and and people are following them and there’s been some turning there still there. Base of shareholders but it seems to have gotten sticky and people that are believing it or are there now know there are a lot of naysayers that kind of talk about it. [43:07] They don’t believe that it’s kind of an algorithm company and it is it is hard when they also say they have something like 3,000 stylus them company with 3000 stylish set up so people are still trying to figure that out. Jason: [43:22] Yeah and that you know they truly are an interesting company that they’re certainly claiming a lot of interesting successes or an artificial intelligence and you know both, gopher merchandising for for you know deciding what goes in that that fix that box and, you know how sticky those products are two customers how many they keep but also they’re starting to use that artificial intelligence to Define new products and and sticks Stitch fix his kind of shifted from, predominantly being a reseller of other people’s apparel tub to producing their own products based on this artificial intelligence data now that they have. This big critical mass I think it’s we’ve talked about on the show before the chief data scientist there is that Chief data scientist from Netflix so, pretty credible team on the artificial intelligence stuff and in many ways these guys are the poster child for artificial intelligence research retail so if. It’s cool that they’re public in there. You know disclosing more information and we’re getting a c under the under the covers a little bit more so certainly someone to to follow closely. For that also interesting that you know it’s a female run company and I say that because the the next piece of news we have is about another new weed female run company which is Colts. Scot: [44:41] Yes yes a Kohl’s promoted their Chief digital officer to CEO so we actually had Kevin on the show Kevin Manziel and, this is this is really not official yet I mean they’ve announced it but it doesn’t happen until I think May of next year but there’s been a lot of Articles kind of talking about how she’s going to save the company. Jason: [45:01] Yeah I’m always excited about this because Michelle is the latest in a sort of class of the. Digital Executives becoming the chief executive of the company and you know that we’re really just starting to see the first wave of those so am I mean like one of the very first ones. Was Art Peck who’s now who is the VP of e-commerce at Gap and is not running Gap. Billy Mays been on the show Huey Ren e-commerce for Abercrombie & Fitch she’s now the CEO at surlatable. How often is is a guy we know well in the industry that ran digital it at Home Depot and then became a senior executive at eBay and he’s not the president at Macy’s. And so you know Michelle is is the latest in in this class and I’ll be really interesting to see what she does at Kohl’s which is. Particularly interesting Lee position so it’ll be another in some ways there like the department stores that are. Really struggling right now and are looking for some reinvention and in some ways they have some. Unique advantages around pricing and treasure hunting and you know things that have traditionally been hard to do digitally so it’s certainly going to be interesting to follow. Scot: [46:20] Did you see that article about so Walmart has this incubator called store number 8 and they’re working on some pretty cool stuff I figured you’d be work to speed on it than I am. Jason: [46:29] Yeah they they’ve name this incubator store 8 which is a based off of a Walmart store 8 which was the Prototype store and they are. Like both have a bunch of internal projects and are investing another projects. The they’ve announced a couple projects recently one that that is potentially a competitor to the Amazon go which. Will probably be talking soon as I have done a deep dive in the past will probably be talking about again the future because I I strongly suspect pretty soon that Amazon go stores going to open to the public. [47:05] Walmart store 8 his has announced a bunch a bunch of initiatives around VR so this one Katie Flanagan who runs that the incubator for Walmart. And she’s very bullish on the future of VR Commerce and so they they recently had a big guy with the Huffington Post and they should a bunch of. Of tech startups that are doing. You know there is interesting things with VR increasing when you with Walmart brand so they showed I got a mod clown cloth be our concept in. A bona bus VR concept and I have to say there’s a ton of interesting stuff coming out of the incubator I have great respect for the. The team at Walmart but I am not personally as a bullish on VR Commerce in the next couple years as it feels like they are I think it’s. You know it’s an interesting technology but like in many ways it’s it’s it’s to sort of awkward and intrusive. To really be a convenient shopping experience and you know most cases you know the shopping experiences that are winning are the ones that are lower friction than anything before. And you know throwing on all this awkward VR equipment to go shopping. Doesn’t feel super super exciting to me like if anything I’m I’m more optimistic on the sort of a our experiences than the VR experiences. [48:34] Why does minor people than me at Walmart so it’ll be interesting to see how that all plays out. [48:39] But you know predicting the future is exactly what we’re going to do on our next show so assertively TuneIn. 2 2 episode 1 12 or we’ll recap the Bold predictions we made from last year, Anna Scott and I will both share what we think are some of the surprising things that are going to happen in 2018. And with that I’m happy to report that it’s happening again we’ve used all our a lot of time. So we certainly appreciate all of our listeners sticking with us if you enjoy the show we’d love to get that 5 star review on iTunes weed encourage you to leave feedback on our Facebook page and continue the dialogue. Scot: [49:20] Thanks everyone for joining us and have a Happy New Year. Jason: [49:23] Until next time happy commercing!

Let’s Talk
Boah, die verstehen mich!

Let’s Talk

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 21, 2017 31:01


Heute zu Gast, Thomas Junk, Creative Director „Experience Design“ bei SapientRazorfish und Präsidiumsmitglied im Art Director’s Club Deutschland. Wir haben uns unterhalten über Duschen im Wohnzimmer, die „User Experience“ bei Präsentationen, Momente, in denen man sagt: „Boah, die verstehen mich!“, warum Nike kein Schuhverkäufer ist, wie man als UX Designer eine Präsentation optimieren würde, Jägerlatein und wie der Hase läuft, warum man sein Gehirn nicht an der Garderobe abgeben sollte, und darüber, wieviel Menschlichkeit ein Unternehmen wie Spotify braucht, damit die Hörer schöne Songs hören statt bloß nach schönen Songs zu suchen.

The Movidiam Podcast
The Weekly Summary W/C 6th November

The Movidiam Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 9, 2017 16:00


In this week's Movidiam podcast summary, George talks to Candace Queen of SapientRazorfish and Ari Weiss of DDB about the future of creative advertising and the importance of creative communication in the workplace.

ddb sapientrazorfish ari weiss
The Movidiam Podcast
The Weekly Summary W/C 6th November

The Movidiam Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 9, 2017 16:00


In this week's Movidiam podcast summary, George talks to Candace Queen of SapientRazorfish and Ari Weiss of DDB about the future of creative advertising and the importance of creative communication in the workplace.

ddb sapientrazorfish ari weiss
The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP0105 - Stitch Fix IPO Hot Take

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 24, 2017 74:24


EP0105 - Stitch Fix IPO Hot Take This episode is a hot take of the Stitch Fix IPO Filing: How IPO's Work / Jobs Act $1B Exits in E-Commerce Zappos - $850m 2009 Quidsi/diapers - $545m -2010 Kiva - $775b 2012 Trunk Club - $350m 2014 Jet.com - $4b  8/16 Dollar Shave club - $1b 7/16 Chewy.com - $3b 4/17 Zulily - went public with $2.7b Stitch Fix Background Offering History Financing History Stitch Fix financial performance Stitch Fix Customer Value / Churn Personalization and Machine Learning Company size and roles Conclusion Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 105 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Sunday, October 22nd 2017. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. New beta feature - Google Automated Transcription of the show: Transcript Jason:  [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 105 being recorded on Sunday October 22nd 2017 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scot Wingo. Scot:  [0:40] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason Scott show Sanders, we started working on a little new show this week and as we got into it real realize that the big news that is dominating the retail and e-commerce world is one event. stitch fixes S14 their IPO so as we got into it. And started working on this week we realized that the stitch fix IPO is really a platform that we can use to talk about some of our favorite topics here on Jason Scott show, it's a little bit of everything Jason it's got, Ikea's venture capital and exit e-commerce subscription Commerce which we talked about one of your favorite topics personalization machine learning and AI. There's an Amazon undertone where you know this is one of the few companies that's made it out hopefully knock on wood and then Amazon dominated world how are they doing that, and for all our e-commerce retail us there's this really interesting KP eyes are key performance indicators here like the cost to acquire customers at lifetime value turn, and one of our other favorite topics is private label and digital native vertical Branch so stitch fix IPO covers everything. Jason:  [1:52] It's like our last hundred and four episodes all rolled into one it's amazing. Scot:  [1:56] Yes clearly Katrina over there with says must be a big lesson her because she's kind of wrapped it all into one company which we appreciate. [2:06] To a lot of the distance, interesting stories so we were at code Commerce now we reported this on the podcast for those either that follow this so in March there was shot talk and Jason Delray the Commerce and had the founder of stitch fix Katrina up there and, she kind of baited her and said that his sources are saying that there are over 500 million in Revenue side I think a lot of people in the street didn't really believe there are that large, and then she said I can't talk about it but we aren't a billion dollars yet so that was really interesting cuz she. Not only was a denial about 500 it actually kind of put a bracket on it that simply said. I'm not going to deny 500 I'm going to say we're less than a billion so then it gave us kind of the sliding scale of somewhere between 500 million and 2 billion is kind of where they were so speculation was running rampant with that and then they hired a. CFO of the Hennessey low change and y La here we go boom the you know they're actually. 977 Million Dollar business this year which is. Pretty darn impressive there you're just as runs August to August I believe which is why they can talk about 2017 it's not over yet. So you know I think it's really interesting that here is this. Pretty big company like I'm in the billion-dollar Revenue Club here and then another thing that's interesting as it's pretty Capital efficient so it's profitable which is good and then also they raise between 40 and $59 in venture capital in a lot of these other billion dollar companies have raised hundreds of millions of dollars of capital so. [3:41] Really interesting case study they also talked about at the code conference that, you know they're there watching and other categories so they've launched men in that business in six months is where it took three and a half years for women and they watch plus and it's already doing it more in its first month, students first year so we had a lot of nice kind of little data points from that conference and then, you know the the s-1 launching has been pretty exciting to read through that but Jason I've read through it with a fine-tooth comb and are. Job in this hot take / deep dive is to pick up that you see parts for you guys and walk you through it. Jason:  [4:22] For sure and we're super lucky as a regular listeners will know Scott is the financial markets Guru amongst the two of us, partly because I'm completely inapt and partly because of you you actually took your own company successfully public and presumably learned a few things along the way so I'm hoping you can get things started by giving us all a primer in the IPO process, and I'm going to start you off with a question and I may have misread this but I had had to pick up a couple places that they may have filed. Earlier in the year confidentially and then there's all this talk this month about this them doing the s-1 filing was that a red herring is this in a new filing or are we just seeing what they filed back in. In July or August. Scot:  [5:13] Yeah the. [5:16] So what happened is the way IPOs worked before 2012 was you filed your S1 and everyone could see it and the super annoying because. That's ones go through usually like 10 or 20 drafts so you submit it and then the SEC is the government body that regulates these things will come back to you and I'll say, Jason what did you mean by that sending you don't answer and then I'll be like okay it while you need to tell potential investors that so there's this like back and forth also. You may not you may not know it's really the kind of a. Nonlinear risk point where you decide to file this one because you've really hung yourself out there and maybe have a bad court maybe you're talking to the SEC for 6 months it usually takes and yeah the back corner in there or, markets turn South so to help companies go public in 2012 they passed the jobs act which. Which does Stanford jobs but it actually stands for Jumpstart our business startups and what that allows you to do is date they separate the the filing so. As a startup and they're certain definitions around this you can choose to have a confidential filing so. We did ours we were totally confidential but I think stitch fix action now it's just that they had filed confidentially was just a signal. The car says it was their choice you can you can do that or not there's probably some reason they decided to do it. [6:44] So in July they announced that they had filed confidentially so would that allowed them to do is to work with their Bankers work with SEC get a quarter kind of under their belts and, then you expand I also let you see how other IPOs so in that time frame they were able to see how Blue Apron did for example or United Snapchat had gone public by then but they, I could see kind of how it worked so that that kind of. It's really nice because it gives you the ability if you want to you can actually kind of yank the filing and not go public financing of the kind of put themselves out there but it does help with this whole process so that's what that was all about. [7:27] So So yes it so we went public at Channel visor in 2013 did this whole process we did the confidential filing work with SEC and, actually use the same Bankers in the same banking team that song stitches could just, sent them a note and they said yep we're working on stitch excite I know exactly the kind of hell what's going to happen there it's going public is a very very exciting kind of a thing that sucks with lots of stress kind of power concert. Pretty interesting times and excited for for this company to get out we we haven't had a lot of IPOs in the market and in quite a while. [8:03] So [8:05] You know this is just one of the most-watched IPOs in a long time because we really haven't had a lot of e-commerce IPOs and then I posed that we've had kind of a dud larger digital world, how can I put two out there Snapchat they went public at a $30 price point in its now 15 and a blue apron when, public at 10 and is now five those are not really successful IPOs so so it should have come. Bad Dana Point out there then we have this company that I'm surprised everyone with the scale that it's at and there's this kind of. Waiting group of e-commerce and digital companies that are not be watching this and really closely and if this IPO can go off not only price well but staying well for for a year or two I think it means good things for this does not cohort of companies that are. Are probably ready to go so in there are the ones that that I kind of think about our you have wish which is the marketplace with largely Chinese Goods box Pinterest house Flipkart stripe. Fanatics instacart Warby Parker in Casper and Kendra Scott Kendra Scott's like more old school but I thought I'd throw it in there because it's kind of interesting. Most of these are unicorns which means they have received a billion-dollar private company valuation and you know any kind of thinks through the scale that they have to be at to do that. [9:27] Your bus is companies can have Revenue that are are very much north of a hundred million if not kind of closing in on 500 million in a billion dollars so they're definitely in that kind of class of companies that have the scale the growth brand to be able to go public. Also it's it's interesting cuz we don't have a lot of data on public e-commerce, that's because a lot of the ones that get ready to go public get snapped up by Amazon that's actually you know not out of the question that maybe Citrix doesn't actually make it public there's there still this is kind of the. [9:58] The about halfway point of that six-month process imagine before the end of the year though price and go out. [10:04] But a lot of times he's S1 stimulate buyers to come out kind of say this is my one time I have to buy this before it becomes public. [10:13] Can I take a new bladder so so why keep an eye on that. The the public companies that are out there there's only three so you have CafePress and Overstock and those are kind of. Micro Capstar kind of sub billion dollars the most successful public e-commerce company so around is Wayfair it has a six billion dollar market cap that's about two times its revenues I think. If you were going to hold my feet to the fire on stitch fix at a billion dollar Revenue. Growing 30% I think it probably is what's a 325 x multiple so I think we're going to see a a market cap. You know it does three to five billion range so much better multiple because it is much more subscription kind of recurring Revenue than you Seattle airfare which kind of has to sell. Everything each time so she Furniture you know I don't think you know in your life when you need furniture and then then you can out of the furniture business for a while. [11:13] Yeah yeah they're definitely you know just a different model but yet a lot lot better gross margins and net margins. And another thing I look at when I see these s ones from IPS perspective is what is the banking Syndicate the the blues to Blue Chip Banks are Goldman Sachs and Morgan, and what you do is when you look at the page and it actually put a digital copy of it even in the PDF or on the s-1 over with sec. There's different positions they mean different things the lead Banker gets this position is a larger font. There's all this kind of History around this that we can't going to but it's pretty interesting and. The. You guys look at the left first and the largest upper left is called lead left is Goldman Sachs and this example so Goldman Sachs is the The Bluest of Blue Chips. Yeah you know Jim Cramer calls them golden sacks slacks and another good company is they rarely do things with with Morgan Stanley those two kind of go head-to-head it's kind of like. [12:13] Oh I don't know Canton gun LG your two sports teams that are bitter rival State they look they usually don't do well together. [12:23] There you go there you and then. So you don't have Morgan Stanley on this week if you have JP Morgan which is very good bank and then you have Barclays RBC Stiefel Piper Jeffrey and William Blair and what will you do here is your thinking short and long-term sign, simultaneously, to the bank's you pick you want a great firm that's going to help you sell your IPO so they have relationships with the buyers of IPOs which are institutional buyers which tend to be hedge funds and mutual funds and. All these banks have that and they will do a great job selling this company. But then the secondary consideration is longer-term what you're trying to do is get a great internet analyst that are are great analyst this is called a cell site analyst dick in. Advanced buy-side analyst that your company is awesome and in public about it and you're in the show we talked a lot about you know these analyst we've had several on the show talking about the things that they report on and. Goldman Sachs you have all these guys have really good analyst and, many of them may be familiar with socks on the show so it will be interesting to see so he's Terry is the big guy e-commerce guy over Goldman Sachs I imagine that's who will cover it and, all down the line there there's some really good unless she wants to go public there's this waiting. And you have the analyst cover it and and it's good as a company to have. People that really understand your business out there banging the drum so that that's kind of what you do when you do the banking process last couple little points on the public market. Thinks there's ticker symbol is going to be S fix and they're going to raise $100 this is really just a placeholder what you do is you put out this initial draft and then you start to get reaction from. [14:04] From buyers are early reaction and then, as you see how the markets going you raise more and then you come up with your pricing and that kind of thing they're using their guitars to public market so you go on the New York Stock Exchange that's what we did at Chow visor they have chosen to go with the NASDAQ it's kind of a, six to one half dozen the other I do like the another aspect of an IPO it's a raising money kind of a thing and then it's a pyramid. And I do like the pr aspect of the New York Stock Exchange you get on CNBC get to ring the bell you're right there New York NASDAQ you just go and press a button at the NASDAQ Market Center in Times Square if so that's exciting in in grandiose, New York Stock Exchange. 22 is what we're going to run to hear is called the prospectus and that's the s-1 which is to the technical number given to these documents by the SEC. And it's only one. People read these aren't familiar with them they get really bogged down at the top the first 50 pages of an s-1 are really cya it's a bunch of lawyer stuff to keep people from suing so. Pass that stuff and don't get wrinkled up and it feels like this kind of effort lawyers called a parade of Horrors it's like literally a list of all the things, the wrong it is a really weird way to collect unit tell people about your company but it's just kind of the way it's done so. You know it's like everything that could possibly go wrong with your company and then you're like an end here's here's why we're so excited, it's really strange strange way to do it but it's done to reduce risk of litigation so skip to that and go right to the management discussion and usually there's a letter from the CEO so. [15:39] Yeah we'll put a link to this over on the SEC in the show notes or or like to download the PDF and use your fine function and go right to management discussion. Jason:  [15:50] Awesome tip let the record show channel advisor got to wake or ticker symbol then then the stitch fix it. Scot:  [15:59] Xperia S fix SF 49959, another thing that is good about this is we haven't had a lot of Billy dollar exits and e-commerce so if if my math right you again this could be hopefully north of Two And in that 325 range depending on how it prices. [16:25] There hasn't been a lot of VC investment in the e-commerce industry because we haven't had a lot of exits ovc dollars chase the exits, and exits are commonly referred to as liquidity events at the two most popular are acquisition or m&a and an IPO so just, quick history here. If some of the bigger one so we had in 2009 we had Zappos at i850 million Quincy diapers.com it 545 million that's Mark Laurie 1.0, and then we had Keva at 775 I don't know if I can count that as e-commerce but but I know this guy saw us let's talk about it 2012 Trunk Club which is very relevant to this one was acquired by Nordstrom for 350 million in 2014, that's not in the billion-dollar kind of close to Club but I thought I'd include it because of the proximity to stitch fix, and then. Mark Lori 2.0 soljet to Walmart for 4 billion on August 16th that guy had like a five five billion and just suck the last 4 years. It's pretty good. Shave club was acquired by Unilever for a billion and then Chewy was recently acquired by PetSmart for 3 billion, Zulily was an interesting one that kind of got the the double whammy so they went public I had about a three billion dollar valuation and then work wired that IPO didn't do well over time that's fatigue with our customer base, hot and then it was acquired by QVC for 2 and 1/2 2.4 billion in August of 2015. Seems like a lot when I say it like that but but since 2009 we've really had like 9 kind of exits 6 or so that are over that billion dollars. [18:03] And three of them were in the last 18 months this is an industry we really need a lot more of these kind of exits to keep venture capitalist investing so this is really important for industry I think we all are all need to be great for this to do really well and in kind of. Bring people back to the e-commerce fold-in Amazon his cast of pretty dark shadow when you talk to people that I know that are trying to raise money, you know they say it's Amazon question that really stops am at you every BC wants to know how is your five or ten million dollar company to go to survive in an Amazon world than now if this does well people and say well so I'm sure we can. That's some of the implications at a macro level. Jason why don't you would kind of gone a pretty long way without actually saying what's just fixed us why don't you bring people to speed on that. Jason:  [18:53] Yeah for sure so stitch fix is. You can think of is an apparel retailer they were founded in 2011 and they had what. I believe it was a novel concept back in 2011. They would sure ate a box of items for a customer and initially this was targeted just at women and so you would do a subscription and you can in that subscription you would get a box. Of 5 items of apparel and accessories and you could. [19:25] Cheap all some or none of the items in that box so essentially you paid $20 up front. Which was that sort of a styling fee the first time you use the service you fill out a survey so that the The Stylist can get your preferences they stitch fix picks five items they think you'll like and want to keep, they send them to you if you like him you pay for him if you keep all five you get a 25% discount if you just want to keep some of them you pay for him and send back what you don't want, if you like none of them you can send the whole box back and you're just out the $20 styling fee and I should mention the styling fee is waived if you keep any of the items. [20:04] I'm so back in 2011 this is the founder of Katrina Lake like literally. Getting customers to pay her for a box she would go shopping at Nordstroms by things know what the return policy was at Nordstrom's. Send them to the customer and the customer and keep them she would return them to the the retailers that she bought them from so she's. She's managing all these sort of return she's almost like a personal concierge, for the Shoppers and she turn this into a very significant Automated Business so over time that that business model is sort of evolved. Initially it was subscription-only and you could kind of pic. The frequency of the subscription you can get a box every month every other month every six months you know I'm a different set of periods. They they. [20:54] Shifted to a model where you can still can have that subscription but you can also just order a fix on demand so you since you don't have the pressure of a box showing up when you don't need one and whenever you feel like you just need to refresh your wardrobe. I want something new to you you can go online hit the fix button then and I'll send you a new box. Originally they were all selling other people's products, and they they started to develop their own Brands what they they call it exclusive Brands and so now portion of the, the products in the Box are coming from stitch fix which will talk more about it later they also added men's much more recently in Ascot mentioned the men's products scaled-up much more rapidly they've also offered plus size boxes, and I think the newest offering is maternity boxes and so all of this from a CEO Katrina Lake who's now. 34 years old which is pretty impressive. You know we're talking about the rare of 1 billion dollar e-commerce exits in the the relatively small number of of e-commerce companies that successfully doing lipo when you talk about those companies that are led by a woman CEO. It's it's like even extremely more rare which is I think exciting and and pretty awesome so you. If you were to read her letter in the s-1 she kind of highlights. [22:26] The Three core principles of the business right the first one is that they're always customer-centric that they're always focusing first on the needs of their customer. Number two, personalization is the future we'll be talking a lot about that and number three they think they have this unique combinations of humans and data and they have made some very substantial investments in AI which will be talking about and they think that unique combination of humans and data are better together than either. Human stylist or artificial intelligence is by itself so that. In a nutshell is the business order effects get these byproducts keep what you want. Send back what you don't and I would argue that it spawned a large industry of similar competitors. In the same category as in an other categories like Children's Apparel for example before we go too much further, do you want to dive into how they they were funded by once they got beontra Tina's original Nordstrom's credit card. Scot:  [23:32] Yeah yeah and she used to work at Poly where I don't know if you ever met her back when she was there at the podium for founder is an ex eBay guy that I've met several times and so she was she was kind of early on in this this whole industry to start with c. Pretty pretty neat that sheep spun out of that and it's. Effectively lap them I think at this point so I share your enthusiasm for female Founders and see is I think it's great the only other guy was kind of what he said that the only one I could think of. Was Meg Whitman at eBay I can't think of another you know kind of a the CEO female CEO kind of in our industry. [24:10] Yeah the IPO level so they are capital efficient and you. The sky saying they only raise 45 million you know it is interesting because 45 million is no no that's not chump change but you know it takes a lot of capital to build a business like this and I think. How many billion dollar businesses have soaked up your I said it before but 100 200 300 million to build a good almost take. 500 million pop service is very impressive and so the funding history. In 2011 Lightspeed Ventures did a seed round. [24:52] 2013 two headed around from Baseline and then very quickly on top of that and and, so I was in February 13th and then in October 13th at a 12-9 Darby with Benchmark and then Benchmark is the company is one of the Blue Chip VC's in the Bay Area, girly a bill girly is on their board from their heat that that's one of the firms that did eBay and Yahoo in the early days, I also an outspoken Uber investor and then they did a series C. In the sea 24 in 14th 6, teen ceduna 14 and then dated a top off kind of in 2017 of 12 million and, I just called a mezzanine round so ABC and mezzanine for those who that haven't raised Venture Capital with the way it works is in an IPO the same way you. You issue new shares so each time that kind of value the company at a pretty money you added this Capital you get a post money and then you get diluted I mention this because I saw a lot of conversations on Twitter when you look at the ownership. You end up with Baseline at 28% Benchmark 25% light speed at 11% and then Katrina Lake the founder at 16%, there's obviously a case there that says that's not fair Katrina should own 80% of this as a founder of you, we are doing is kind of making this bet on your is Venture Capital you get you get more than just Capital but just kind of keep it to that conversation you're making this. [26:27] To you when I take this 45 million and give up you know 85% of the company there should be a bigger outcome then if I didn't do that and. You're clearly these kind of cases you take her 16% you multiply it by that that 3 billion you get like 450 million kind of evaluation of her ownership, I probably the right choice but you don't you never know the other side of the outcome you know maybe if she'd bootstrapped this and waited 5 more years it would actually she could own 80% of it and have just a bigot as an outcome in fast-moving markets where you have, companies like Amazon swimming around its speed that is definitely something that that takes is probably a good choice to raise capital for. And then sink that covers. Big pieces so we don't want to get too bogged down in the financial stuff but Jason do you want to hit some of their revenue highlights. Jason:  [27:23] Yeah so they've had an ice hockey stick which is I think one of the things that that has caught a lot of folks attention 2014, they they reported 73 million dollars in Revenue, 2015 the ramped up to three hundred forty-two million dollars in Revenue 2016 they they doubled at 2 730 million dollars in revenue and in their fiscal year 2017 which is over as you mentioned they were just under a billion dollars at 7977 million dollars which. Parenthetically has to has to kill them that they didn't quite get over that. That be so so it's been a pretty good ramp up and, several of those years were profitable it looks like they they ramped up some expenses in 2017 and maybe weren't as profitable. Scot:  [28:17] Yeah and then the growth rates to just look at the growth rate between 14 and 15 like almost 400% growth so crazy but that was exciting time to be there and then from 15 to 1613 per cent growth death definitely Torrid but not as crazy as 400%, and then between 16 and 1734 per cent and in this is where you know what I'm imagining happened is that kind of said. Yeah should we go raise a $59 in turn around or should we just slow the growth rate get profitable and prove the model. This is interesting decision because what most pundits would tell you is while she loves growth so if they could have. I have gone public at 100% growth rate that probably would have been a different outcome than 34% but you know I think in hindsight it may actually. [29:09] Better that they're growing a little bit slower and more profitable because with the. I mentioned it the the Snapchat problems and questions around their ability to get profitable and then Blue Apron kind of hitting the skids. I think this is this ends up being a nice balance between growth and profitability of so so it will have to kind of see how it prices and then you know. What I'm engine is if they. Delray's over north of $100 that gives you a quite a bit of jet fuel to get that that engine going back up so I bet very quickly they'll try to get back to triple-digit growth building unnoticed looking at some of the numbers they don't. [29:47] The NEP now they don't specifically breakout sales and marketing or art effectively, marketing but I do kind of wrap it up into a number that has gnats GM and that is actually growing a good bit faster than Revenue so, between in 2016 840 per cent versus Revenue at 1:13 and then in 2017 and grew 55% versus 34% in. What you will you see inside a subscription models is in the early days you know it's you can you find your early adopters and it's pretty inexpensive too. Get to them but then as you grow your having spend more and more and more on the acquisition of of customers are the metric commonly known as cat that cost to acquire customer. Did you see any other metrics around that Jason. Jason:  [30:35] Yeah it was like I was the one of the really interesting things is are they. Capturing repeat customers and what's the lifetime value of those those customers, so they they did share a couple of things to give us some insight into that they they reported what they called this repeat rate which is. The percentage of customers from the previous year that purchase in the subsequent year and so they're sitting in in. [31:05] 2016 that was 83% and in 2017 that was 86% which sound pretty good, they also did this kind of convoluted cohort analysis that I'm going to rely on you to try to decode if anyone is cuz I I frankly didn't follow it it didn't seem quite as an. [31:28] As straightforward as I might have expected on one hand but on the flip side I guess I was pleasantly surprised that they tried to get some disability to that at all. Scot:  [31:39] Yeah and what you're trying to do coordinate a Caesar are very confusing because, we're trying to do think of it like a graduating class so teach your graduating class let's say you had a bunch of seniors that graduated in 2017 from high school, and then you followed him through college and the rest your life and you kind of saw what happened to those people that's a cohort analysis secret you lock in time this group of customers acquired from a certain. And you see what happens to them. So The first thing to do in the cohort analysis is they they look at a 2014 cohort and they show the value from that Court was 639. [32:19] And then the value of its dollar so than the value of a 2015 cohort with 718 so I think it is a fault this 14 people. [32:28] From 14 15 16 17 and they said those guys generated 639 / user / that life. [32:36] And they followed him and they said that. That actually went up pretty nicely you know about I will see what is that 10% in so that's good that shows inside of that cohort what you have is a lot of factors you have to learn so it's people that say. I tried this I'm no longer going to use it. It's more complicated in these models that do you have the on-demand like when does someone turn maybe they're on an annual plan you have to wait a whole year to see if they've turned maybe they're there every two years they want to get a fix or no. If someone moves from a monthly to accordingly that's not really churn so you. It gets really hard to measure turn so inside of that 10% increase you have some customers they're leaving but then you also have some customers that are buying more. So what their kind of saying here is the customers that end up buying more. Hope you're over Road by about 10% economically. The factors of turnt that's what's the story they're trying to tell I'd it's interesting I bet you know we don't have privy to this but I bet if we looked at the initial as when they filed this wasn't here and this is a reaction to Blue Nile to Napoli now but Blue Apron. Yeah I just felt like my at yeah it felt very much like a oh crap we have to really kind of figure out explain to people what's going on here. Then if you take that data point then they kind of looks and looks like the 16 cohort came down a bit and then they start looking at some of the first half's and what you see there and they had a little blurb in their hair that said. [34:07] The call in first half of a year so it's kinda like the six months. [34:13] Piece of the second six months they show you some of that and it's really fun and loaded so what happens is people by a fair amount in the first six months and then it kind of declines there, Ina, they talk about it as an opportunity it's also kind of weakness but it's not fair to do for them to get better with the data science this mirrors personal my wife. That was a stitch fix user had it for about four or five months and you have by the end of their had had. [34:41] Acquired enough clothes in it was kind of burned out by the processor forgetting to return it and getting fees and all this kind of stuff so hopefully something a little bit of yellow flag something they need to work on when I do my mask. [34:54] They give you just enough kind of figure this out so this is the first half of 2016 is 3:35 but then the total was like an essay. 5061 FM 506 so that when you do the math in the second half is 154 if so. [35:10] Literally dropped by half over at the pier to be here so let's see what that be 2/3 would be in the front half and then a third on the back half so interesting kind of. Trend air it's not clear how much that Stern and I got two people saying I don't want to box it all or how much is you filled up their wardrobe in their closet they're good to go. Jason:  [35:31] Yep and I I guess I should have mentioned another potential way to think about this is we did not mention the growth interactive customer base but, the back in 2014 when they did 73 million and sales they had 261,000 active customers with their defining as. Someone that bought a box in the latter the received the box in the last 12 months and if you look at their growth of active customers. [35:56] At the end of 2017 they are like almost 2.2 million active customers so the the growth has been. Year-over-year it is always the same order of magnitude as their revenue growth but it it has been slower. Then the revenue growth so that the the fact that they're the revenue is growing faster than active customers. [36:21] The week like on the surface looks like a good thing because it that that implies that they're they're driving greater Revenue per customer as as they get a a bigger and more mature customer base. Scot:  [36:31] Yeah yeah yeah I agree in, I have a feeling that as they do their Roadshow so wanting to keep an eye out for if if this is topics interesting for you, when you do your road show you actually have to record it and it's part of the SEC rules that anyone can watch the road show so it's on Retail Road show if you go to Retail Road show.com you will find that, don't be a window of time in any sings expire pretty quickly so but Jason I will treat when it's up in what you have there probably is Katrina and probably the CF oh and maybe someone else maybe the cool actually walking you through the Roadshow and I. Bats that they have to peel out a little bit more information cuz I think investors are going to be very keenly tied into this and trying to understand really what I think. I think that's the one piece missing hearing and people don't want to know that so it's me an option to see if they have to disclose that. Jason:  [37:28] When are there fun tidbits when you were talking about this this sales and marketing spend they did mention in the ass one that they actually hired miller-brown to do this aided awareness study so essentially in like May of are in December 2016, they went out and interviewed a bunch of women that were in their target market which are women are making over $50,000 a year that live in us and said, are you familiar with stitch fix and 28% of the women that they surveyed said yes in, in December of 2016 so then in May of 2017 after they sort of double that adds fan that aided awareness went up to 41%. [38:11] Like I would take it away Ernest with a pretty large grain of salt. Cuz you're you're asking someone if they remember if they're from they were something in a lot of people will just frankly lie because they don't want to say, they're not friendly with something but if it's true that that 41% of their target market are now from there with them. Like that implies that the the next big tranche of growth is probably harder to achieve than the. The last one was cuz it's it's a heck of a lot easier to go from 20% to 41% then it is to go from 41% to 75%. Scot:  [38:50] Absolutely yeah yeah and then I Delray had an interesting article about talking about how you know it's really kind of a non Coastal audience I don't know, is data that really supported that but I think when you get too many people you have to kind of be spreading out to the Midwest and what not so interesting. Jason:  [39:06] Yeah and I think part of it is just that their price points are like these are not like, super premium price points and you know in general these are not Designer level Apparel in so it's, you know it's it's meant for sort of a more modest consumers and I think there was even I can't remember was in the interview or something that Katrina said recently but she talked about that they at one point had a pretty bad. Inventory glitch where they weigh over bought and the, the root cause of over buying the wrong inventory was it they were buying sort of on-trend stylish stuff and their customers were we're responding that they didn't keep any of the items because they were inappropriate to wear at the PTA meeting for example or that you know, the the the sort of everyday occasions that their customers were we're hoping to use the products for it so I think that that helped Define the. The Target in the use case for Katrina. Scot:  [40:08] Yeah that and that's a really good kind of transition to the AI machine learning in the personalization it's this is kind of a it's really interesting weed from that perspective I've never, you seen anything quite like it so and I know you spend some time on it so it should take us to that. Jason:  [40:23] Yeah yeah it so it's it's almost hard to talk about machine learning and personalization separately Katrina and her in her letter talked about those. Tubing Big premises personalization is super important and then machine learning plus humans you know being the secret sauce, and the reason it's hard to talk about separately is because largely what you're doing with machine learning is. [40:47] More personalizing the the offer in case the actual products to each customer. [40:55] So I do want to start by talking a little bit about this how they use AI overall, so you fill out a 60 question survey and then they want to pick the five items that you are most likely to keep and they said they don't have a standard starter box so it's not like they're sending the same box to everyone. Everyone's box is going to be different based on current trends. Seasons what they have in inventory right now and the the answers to the 60 Questions that they know about you and so one way to do that is have a stylus that. Read your 60 questions and then have him or her go pick the five items in another way to do it is to to use some sort of algorithm to pick those items in so initially, the the model at stitch fix was let's establish a computer algorithm to pick those items and then lets it let the stylist. [41:54] Override it so we know what will pull up a list of candidate items for The Stylist and maybe you know that has eight items in it and you let the stylus pick the final five or maybe that the algorithm shows the first. 5 in the stylus can say yay or nay but interesting Lee. Early on they hire this guy Eric Olsen to be their Chief algorithm officer and build this Audrey them to figure out what you you send in that first box based on the answers to your survey and. Eric is an interesting guy because he was literally the VP of data science at Netflix which we all use as one of the best examples of. AI driven businesses I think he was also a data scientist a Yahoo to a super credible guy that's been working at stitch fix on the this interesting answer to this question. How do I pick the five right things to send to this first customer so that sticky so that she buy some of them so that you're she's profitable but also said that she keeps using the service, cuz it does first five items are wrong your your odds of getting another chance or dramatically lower. So then they're also going to use a I once you. [43:06] Pick some of those first items and don't pick some of those first items they're going to use that data to refine the items they send you in subsequent boxes and that's where they start getting this really valuable contextual data that's both implicit and explicit like they, implicitly know you return something and they can make inferences about why you returned it but there's also an option for customers to tell. The Stylist why they didn't like something until they get this explicit information the him was too long it didn't fit me well. All all of these sorts of things and so very early on situation was a believer in leveraging deep learning. As the merchant instead of heading human sort of dictate what styles customers would get exposed to which Tamiya super interesting. But then in more recent times it actually taking it to the next level so we mentioned. That they started watching their own products and I'm not sure we said this but if it sounds like about 20% of all their sales are from what they call Exclusive Brands which are predominantly. Brands that they created and they're actually using AI to design the products they offer and so what they'll do is they'll say hey. We have a big segment of customers that don't like a neckline lower than. 8 cm and the majority of product we buy from third parties have this 10cm neckline and so we're going to design your own product and it's going to have a 7cm neckline and said they're actually using their they broke each. [44:45] Each piece of apparel into 60 different attributes and they're using a guy to define the attributes that their customers would want that might not exist in that Marketplace in so they're using that too to dictate what what new products. [44:59] The build which is super cool they had not that I have seen disclose any. Hard data about how successful that AI is or how successful that AI versus a human is but another in RF event there the interest x on it in San Diego this year and one of the speakers was this woman Megan Rose, and Megan is the founder of a a smaller company that in some ways is stitch fix for jewelry it's called Rockbox and. Very similar to stitch fix you get a box of five pieces of jewelry to keep what you want you buy it. You return what you don't want the others extra model where you can kind of rent The Jewelry by just keeping it for as long as you want until you want a new piece, but they also are leveraging aai's their stylist and what I found interesting is Megan shared some of the statistics that when they transitioned, from Human curators to machine learning the purchase rate on the first box increase by 300% so that that computer was. 3 times more likely to pick items that that customer would keep they were able to improve their inventory efficiency by 85% when they went to the the AI BAE Systems and they they still cheap stylist but they have the. The way I am. [46:20] Inform the stylist exactly like stitch fix is doing and that enabled them to reduce their stylist cost by 30% so. stitch fix is getting anything like those results that's super substantial. [46:34] Improvement via this machine learning and what's terrifying about it and cool at the same time is. [46:42] If you had a great stylist a great person picking all these products, and she kept doing it and should get better over time and the first time she reads a survey she gets it you know I'm kind of right but by the, thousand times she's read a survey she's much better at it right like this the person wouldn't learn over time and her hit rate would keep getting better but then when you hire the next person. [47:04] They would start at zero just like the first person did right and the magic thing about this that this machine learning algorithm is. [47:13] It has learned from all two point, two million customers of stitch fix and it keeps getting better and better and so it it's scales much better and we worms much faster than a human can come in so you don't potentially the more customers in the more time in service all these things get in the better of the algorithms get, the the the profitability metrics on this business potentially keep going up. Much faster because the conversion rate just gets better over time whereas a lot of other things we do tend to regress to this mean and you kind of keep the same. Same conversion rate over time so it's going to be super interesting to see you know if the actual performance of the company kind of bear out. Does hypothesis is but for sure a hypotheses I always say that wrong for sure. Ate a significant angle of stitch fix is. Personalizing the offer based on this machine learning I think they said they have over 75 data scientist on staff now. We used to joke because every time Katrina would speaking an event the number of data scientist she claimed, had that double then it it almost didn't sound credible but now that we see the the. Numbers behind the business it it turns out that we probably should have been joking cuz it seems like they're all sort of credible number isn't in line with the the revenue growth that they've they've been experiencing. Scot:  [48:44] Yeah one of those things I thought was interesting as they also have a section in there that talks about. Their usage of data science and the obvious one is you went through all this The Styling algorithm, and then they also talked about nustyle development and then what you covered another one is so they have something like how many was it was 3,400 Stylistics. [49:08] Yeah there's a human stylist so, actually have the kannada matchmaking algorithm and so this data science will actually kind of say you know maybe, maybe some The Stylist our new moms and I'll map you up with other new moms so I don't know what day they're looking at but that that's kind of cool and then these 3400 Silas, many of them are part-time so I don't know how the interface works I've seen Amazon. Do this with customer care, you do the thing where you can kind of check-in check-out and and then there's an online your face where you can kind of do whatever style posting things they do did they talk about an application in the s-1 about, I thought that was interesting kind of a matchmaking is how to use data science that use a lot of demand forecasting so you know. Understanding. [49:56] This is is interesting because they send all these products out right so the return rate is pretty important and it's not entirely clear to me what happens to all the stuff. The comes back out of it goes in other people's boxes or what happens but there's some demand forecasting that has to happen there, and then there's merchandising optimization which is. Understanding how to order what size color and style kind of information and even talked about they use a lot of data science in the filming centers in a used one example they have five fulfillment centers so there's a matching of, which people go to which data which fulfillment center and then also they optimize inside the Fulfillment center using the data science for pick path optimization so I thought it was interesting that they've, this YouTube Don't this engine and they're using it in like I bought this at like 7 or 8 different, parts of the business so there's really good scale from those 75 data scientist. Jason:  [50:53] Yep and we should mention I think they filed a number of patents as a result of all this right like they have something like eight eight pending patent application. Scot:  [51:01] Yeah I also thought it's interesting day they love data science but they also talk about there's a human kind of check elements I guess you know. I guess maybe something has arrived at these things sometimes like it want everyone thinks they need purple socks or something that don't have humans to catch them. Jason:  [51:19] Yeah I interpret that is twofold like that there is sort of the final check but I also think that they have decided that customers respond better. To a human interaction so I think, the reason that that one of those core principles is AI plus humans is you know there's a lot of businesses where they would just try to get the AI really right and have a very impersonal experience, and you know just have to let the customer know the computer is selecting these items for you I think the stitch fix model is. That they would like you to build a relationship with that stylist and rely on that stylist as a person, and if you're going to fight or stitch fix I think they want you to feel like you're firing your friend Susan who's your stylist not just fire firing some. [52:06] Some computer that's that using math to pick out that's for you and so I think the human element both has a practical element but I also think it has a strong marketing branding element for them as well. Scot:  [52:19] Yet they get this really interesting case study and then we can move on from machine learning they said one example or Delila embroidery neckline knit top is purchased 52% of the time, and then what's interesting is are algorithms, I can determine How likely a client is up to 80% to purchase the item if we include it in that's in her specific fix them so they can kind of show the power of the you know if you just blast it out to everyone you get 52% but if you can like use the machine learning. Machine engine you get like a order of magnitude higher conversion rate which is pretty neat to your point on the, what they're saying about the machine learning stuff is it used to be in that venture capitalist would look for your eyes looking for a company that has a bit of an unfair advantage and that unfair Advantage used to be Network effects, you like marketplaces are the kings of this like eBay or buyers Springs more sellers is this network effect LinkedIn the more people social. [53:19] That works out this too but now it's interesting is those that data on 2 million clients and think about all the. The transactional data there's there's probably I don't know zillions of Dana Point's there. Any company even an Amazon that has to compute these guys that they're going to have to climb that mountain so it makes it really really hard for a startup to catch up, you pretty quickly dwindle down the number of Cups companies that, eat here too but maybe three or four you can have maybe a Macy's and end their advantage would be they have more customers so they can get to that two million pretty quickly so. Pretty interesting application of machine learning and I think this will be the first machine learning IPO that I've I'm aware of so that'll be another kind of neat thing and that it's also in our space of e-commerce. Jason:  [54:06] Until I mean two things I would just highlight there that. [54:11] I think they're trying to generate you know a version of a virtuous cycle here or an Amazon flywheel that they. [54:19] Significantly invested in their own machine learning Tech and so that they have that capability that we just covered but they also have a business model that just gets them more. Valuable data right so if you think about it and most apparel manufacturers are totally disintermediated from the customer so they get. No data from their actual customers and even if you're a retailer or even if you're a vertically integrated retailer your the Gap and you make all this stuff and you sell it through your stores once it leaves your store for the most part it's gone and you don't you have a return rate you wanted to be as low as possible, but you really you know this this try-before-you-buy send them five things get back what they don't love. Get you a much more valuable data source so the fact that they both. Have this more valuable data and then they have proprietary technology to act on that that data is a potential flywheel for them. [55:19] Oh, I still think it's interesting and somewhat controversial the amount of investment they made in the the. [55:29] The core machine learning technology right like so I could imagine when they they say. Started this in 2011 and I assume that machine learning came in a couple years after that 2013 you could look at it the state of what was out in the market and say if I'm going to be good at this have to build it myself and if I wanted to be a core competency I need to. To build it myself and for sure you need your own experts but. [55:52] The last five years have seen such a huge Improvement and evolution of the off-the-shelf tools that it almost certainly has to be the case that. These guys have spent a bunch of money building their own machine learning tools that are frankly probably inferior to the the version of tensorflow the Google gives you for free today and so it. It is they may have been a little early in the curve having expertise about their data and about the the. Applying machine learning models to their data and having a unique data set seems like a huge competitive Advantage I imagine some smart people could debate about how valuable their their investment in their own. [56:40] Machine learning technology was versus leveraging some of the the amazing technology that's coming on the market now but but I'm not sure whatever know the real answer there. Scot:  [56:49] Yeah, tell if a competitor can get there with a lot less and catch up then it was worth it get a couple of anything else on machinery. [57:04] A couple other, miscellaneous little tidbits they talk a lot about being a good brand partner in this one so they they talk about they have over 700 brand partners and some of those brand selected to provide some exclusives in in the stitch fix this and then as Jason mentioned they do have their own private label and they call that exclusive brands, I am Jason Howard debating my reed was 20% of fish stitch fix his exclusive Brands were were privately, 20% of everything was their own private label but you kind of red it is 20% could be kind of including those non stitch fix brand Partners exclusive thanks. Jason:  [57:44] Yeah they did mention that that some third-party Brands give them exclusive products and so like I'm quite aware that 20% of stuff that stitch fix design or a combination of stuff that's only sold by stitch fix. Scot:  [57:56] Yeah and this reminds me of our Amazon private label discussion where where. Part of Amazon's private label strategy is there their data science is saying look we need a widget like this and no one's doing it you know we need batteries that come. 24 to a box and not in a packaging that you can open and quantity 8 so interesting to see that. Another little tidbit is so they talked about Outsourcing the manufacturing of that private label called exclusive brands, but in 2017 they actually acquired a pretty large thing as 20,000 square-foot facility that's actually an apparel making. The equipment and & Company in Pennsylvania somewhere so it it felt like they were going to go all the way over to clean the grading and start actually making their own things and United States which is pretty interesting. Jason:  [58:45] Yeah although I do think in the s-1 they they made it very clear that the right you should not expect them like to actually fabricate in the US that they wanted some capability in the US for experimenting purposes but the like. [58:59] You should not invest in them based on the premise that they were going to become a US manufacturer. Scot:  [59:04] Yeah and then people wise they have. Pretty impressive 5800 people total 86% identify as female so that it is, pretty amazing what you put 55% of the management team to have 5 helmet centers / 1.5 million-square-foot 1,500 employees in the Fulfillment centers, 3400 Silas 200 client experience Associates million customers that's like what does that 1 / 100 no a thousand. Yeah so that's good ratio there did you dream team is actually pretty small I was surprised 95 Engineers so that's. [59:44] Pretty lean mean for kind of scale they're at and Sadie I guess the 75 data scientist get it closer to effectively. 150 which is closer to what I would think it would be so that's how the people break out largest chunk is the stylist and then the Fulfillment center employees followed by. You know the client experience Associates and then a relatively small Engineering in data science team. Jason:  [1:00:09] Yep and this was not surprising I suspect to you or I but I still talk to a lot of people that aspired to be a billion dollar e-commerce business and they still imagine that they're doing that out of a single fulfillment center. Scot:  [1:00:24] Yeah no. Jason:  [1:00:26] And I at yeah I mean yeah. Not very possible and I'm like this is a perfect example of what you know again at their they're not at a billion dollars yet and there and they they have a customer-facing business where humans interacting with every customer and yet still the largest portion of their, their workforces you know that are close to the the second largest piece of those Workforce it as all those fulfillment employees. Scot:  [1:00:51] Yeah I wanted more information on, fulfillment centers just because again I imagine that that almost every box comes back with something so imagine the it's the reverse supply chain that I'll Eat You Alive on the stuff so. Jason:  [1:01:09] Reverse Logistics are much more, challenging than I mean things are very hard to reverse Logistics are in order of magnitude harder in your right like that's cooked into this model is there's always going to be a high level of reverse Logistics so that that would be an interesting area to have some unique competitive advantages and if they do they they haven't pitched them very hard. Scot:  [1:01:30] Yeah and the day of science didn't necessarily cover that and you know, Gillett Wisconsin to it so what cities send out of too many customers let's say every month they send out a million boxes will probably less a900. Thousand come back with at least one item coming back so I'm have all of them but you know that's hard someone needs to go through there and figure out all that out you kind of know but you have to match it up happens to it. I don't, do the brands allow them to kind of like put it back, or do you have to liquidate it and then does each of these fulfillment centers have an outbound peace and an inbound if they put it back on a shelf that's like a whole it's really super inefficient to like open a bunch of boxes and put all that stuff on shelves that doesn't seem logical that I have a lot of kind of questions around that I bet. probably the Harry part of this thing. Jason:  [1:02:21] And there is like so I think this is more rumor than real problems but so all of these industries are plagued with a little bit of the like. [1:02:30] Oh wait a minute is this close stuff that already got returned from some other retailer right and that. The fuel gets playing there several of these services and I think including stitchfix have at some point shipped products that arrived at a customer's location with another retailers price tag on it. [1:02:50] Right and that you know puts all kinds of questions in the in the mind of the consumer and you start wondering like waiter is this a TJ Max kind of play where they're getting the. The leftover stuff from some some retard where they couldn't sell and then their there they're selling it at at you know predominantly with price which is part of the reason I have such good margins. The. And and the explanation that that stitch fix gave and I think you know this is blown over several years ago now was no no no no we're not getting anything. Back from a retailer that were selling a customer but sometimes we buy something from a brand and we've had a brand make a mistake and send this inventory that was pre labeled. With another retailers labels on it before and so that you know then then created that whole set of conversation. Scot:  [1:03:38] Do you feel like the brands would let them return the stuff. Jason:  [1:03:41] I think you could I thought I do think Brands would let them take returns and resell it I doubt any brands are getting them stock balancing you know you like. [1:03:53] There's very little stock balancing in a pair of these days where you can actually just return stuff that doesn't sell you know they're there often can be some sort of negotiated terms where that the inventory doesn't turn gets. [1:04:06] Gets tossed reduced overtime and you get some price concessions and things that way but yet no I think. [1:04:15] That that stitch fix probably feels like a pretty traditional retailer in, having a match their supply to demand as well as they can and then having how to start a smart strategy for liquidating the inventory that they're not able to sell. So I thought you know I think the date they pay some of the same Challenges ever no spaces there I did there's one other. [1:04:41] I think that the s-1 reminded us up but we but we could have known before this stitch fix is running on an Amazon web services. Scot:  [1:04:49] Yeah yeah it sucks so does Netflix and always makes me wonder like do they sleep at night we're going to Amazon can you. [1:04:57] I don't think Amazon would ever do this but there's the potential for someone to Cana, take a little peek in there and see what's going on under the hood so that that would it's like one of those very very tricky situations there's not really a great Alternatives that I have found two but you know you're kind of your funding and your competitor and your competitor has potential access to your your secret sauce. Jason:  [1:05:20] Yeah and even if they had no access even if they're completely aboveboard and they would never look at the data you are you're still funding your competitor. Scot:  [1:05:30] Absolent yep so that's Amazon wins no matter what. Jason:  [1:05:36] I would prefer the record I would say like I mean AWS is a great service there's lots of reasons to use it it does to me feel like Microsoft with Azure in Google with Google Cloud platform like have some pretty competitive offerings these days. Scot:  [1:05:50] Yeah yeah once you kind of get married in the one who sings it's a little bit of a roach motel it's hard hard to check out. [1:05:56] Degree architecture at some level that you have to do so Jason was kind of. Land plane here with what do you think so we've gone through a lot of highlights and some impressive scale on Revenue growth slowed in a little bit, can't look like it's going up a little bit I'll TV hard to call with the cohort analysis looks like it's a little challenged on the back half of the first year, what's your conclusion Justice IPO mean that the subscription Commerce is the future or or or what do we look like your. Jason:  [1:06:26] Yeah well said to me that's a that's a funny question the. [1:06:32] Yeah we should have we should have mentioned earlier when you talked about it to some of these previous companies there there have. [1:06:38] In the past been these tranches where there was some trendy fatty thing in a bunch of companies had an exit based on that fad right and said the most most obvious recent one would be flash sales you know everyone got up. Advanced evaluation and a bunch of flash flash sale companies had. Had favorable exits in the beginning and less favorable exits at the end and you know today it's pretty clear that there's not a very exciting market for Standalone flash sales that you don't potentially that. A tactic that a retailer would have but it certainly isn't of itself a business model and so when I look at these guys if. [1:07:17] If you're evaluating them on the basis of subscription being the winning model. I think subscription is more likely to be a trend like flash sales I think it's a super valuable tactic. That retailers are smart to use but I don't think that the winning formula in e-commerce is just to go all in on subscriptions and part of the reason I think that is. Most of the companies we think of as subscription model businesses have. Why do they had to abandon their subscription model in order to be successful right and so you know stitch fix. Is a very Soft Cell on the subscription model like they started out subs

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The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP104 - Cornerstone Brands SVP Digital, Bryon Colby

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 19, 2017 60:09


An interview with Bryon Colby (@bcolby6), SVP of Digital Commerce at Cornerstone Brands. Cornerstone Brands is a billion-dollar omni-channel retailer comprised of multiple leading home and apparel brands including Frontgate, Ballard Designs, Garnet Hill, Chasing Fireflies, Grandin Road, Improvements, and TravelSmith. Cornerstone is a business unit of HSN, Inc. We spoke with Bryon about his background, where digital commerce sits in the Cornerstone organization structure, how Cornerstone benefits from it's catalog heritage, the challenges and opportunities of customized products, and the future of personalization. Bryon mentioned a custom product configurator for furniture on Ballard Designs, which can be found here. Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 104 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Wednesday, October 11th 2017. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. New beta feature - Google Automated Transcription of the show: Transcript Jason:  [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 104 being recorded on Wednesday October 11th 2017 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scott Wingo. Scot & Bryon:  [0:40] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason Scott show listeners, in this week's episode where excited Futura guess that we have literally been trying to get on the show for over a year due to scheduling conflicts between the three of us that has been hard to do but today the stars have finally aligned and we are very excited to Welcome to the Jason Scott show, Bryon Colby SVP of digital Commerce at Cornerstone brands welcome brand. [1:09] Where are you located in the world today in the home base of Cincinnati Ohio. Like being over usually on the road like you guys but I see your point stars align. Jason:  [1:23] And just to be clear Brian it hasn't taken a year because you've been doing a lot of other shows right you've been saving yourself for us. Scot & Bryon:  [1:29] Whatever makes you feel good then go for a Jason. Cook and I'm excited to see if I understand you have a Tesla now so we are in the Tesla owners the electric vehicle club together at this point. Loving it you know can't say enough good things about it I actually thought that was going to be at your giveaway 400 shall I was hoping to get a guest on that one but it was like Tesla's free to your listeners, yeah we we tried that and we ended up with some stickers that Jason printed on his LaserJet they're so close but we were quite able to get it to that level. Jason:  [2:09] It is a premium LaserJet though. Scot & Bryon:  [2:11] Is premium gas to color so it's pretty exciting. Jason:  [2:18] I feel like you guys have have a lot in common you both had the fancy cars and you both spell your first names unconventionally. Scot & Bryon:  [2:26] Yes it's one of those things that makes you very Google Bowl which is a double edged sword. [2:32] I love you find that bread. So far 3 other people that spell it my you know my way you know one guy at the local. Movie theater that selling a popcorn was amazed to see his name tags felt the same way and he's the one there actually is a Facebook group for you know Brian's that's valid Bryon and this guy was it when it started. I don't know. If you ever need. You ever meet anyone else, I have met a couple other people there's a lot of Scott wings with two T's so there's that and then there's the hero of a popular novel, it is at his got Scotland 20 sets and wrestling. Yeah I run into like two or three every five years or so so so kind of price solar distribution I did I don't know if we have a Facebook group or not I might have to explore the Cradle. We left a check there about 5 of us on itself but that was a couple years ago is that Super Active like you guys just guy talk about. I'll leave it at that. Jason:  [3:48] And I think there's one other important piece of business we have to get out of the way before we we jump into Cornerstone big movie trailer came out this week. Scot & Bryon:  [3:59] Yeah yep the know some some people are keeping themselves spoiler-free so I have nothing to talk about it but I, where I draw the line is I try not to read rumor sites or anything like that but I do watch the trailers and this trailer was awesome. I'm very excited for the Last Jedi, tickets are purchased 7 p.m. showing December 14th through the Wingo Clan is locked and loaded for Last Jedi. Jason:  [4:23] That's awesome. Scot & Bryon:  [4:24] Scotty tractor your dress up you and your family for it. We don't we usually say that for Halloween and we're usually a bunch of Star Wars characters for Halloween but we're not cause players just never not not my scene but I'm more of a collector toys that canister. Jason:  [4:44] It's been interesting that there was some controversy coming up to the trailer about whether the director was excited or not about it but I feel like all the reviews of the trailer I've read even from people that are not like huge Star Wars fans are like it's one of the best. Made trailers of all times. Scot & Bryon:  [5:02] Yeah it's a misunderstanding so it's Ryan Johnson and he he was just kind of tweeting that if you want to stay spoiler-free don't watch the trailer and then a lot of people misread that to say, the trailer is not good or something so I don't know so then later he was like all caps watch the trailer people it's great I'm excited up moving. Jason:  [5:20] Heck yeah that was an odd thing to have had thought he said so that I'm glad you were able to clarify Force awesome, well with that Brian let's jump into the topic of the day we want to talk a little bit about about your business and what you're doing now but before we get to that it's always nice to hear about how you got there and what you're you're sort of digital background is. Scot & Bryon:  [5:46] Sure you know just thinking through it's been amazing and I've been involved so I guess any Commerce incident of 1996, where are you know it's part of the great team that we actually helped build some of the initial pay for Content sites football number Publishers including USA Today times-mirror the Usos, Associated Press this is where they had don't you know the publisher that don't websites had no idea how to monetize it and we're looking to monetize some of their archives they're all content people coming in search for so we had that. Company was called in Fanatics had you know had a technology Riri, purpose from our consumer consumer product that was out there in the marketplace and turned around handle the customer service the billing, you know all this is way back when in about 1996-1997 for these customers, since then you know what has really held the number of different you know a hats in the space but all focused on transactions including are running a digital marketing Consulting Group. I'm heading out by you know you asked operations of an SMS Commerce startup which was fascinating just about, it's Wednesday in the year about 2000-2001 so just slightly ahead of its time being able to buy things via SMS was also a managing director at fry and another you know, kind of Legacy in e-commerce space. [7:17] Fantastic also group of e-commerce if we're all veterans right now that we had our own not digital eCommerce platform and we helped run some of the online businesses and Technology, multiple retailers across some. Different categories including Ann Taylor a good diver craft PC Richards and many others so you know after that for a while and actually said okay looking to jump over, to the. Pure retail side so you know the strong desire to actually own the project from start to finish so when I joined Marc Ecko. I was an apparel company and then of Last Stand and currently as he said at Cornerstone brands. Jason:  [8:08] Awesome and the fried that always brings a smile to my heart that I think there's still a few fry sites living in the world then it's obviously been defunct for quite a while. Scot & Bryon:  [8:21] Yep yeah they got you know purchase by Microcenter and of course mikroskop purchase so there still are some out there and it is that's all you go to you know shop.org you got any other conferences, it's one of those amazing get-togethers cuz you see people that you know of work with way you know way back when I just are now you know leaves and heads at all, under the different colors are other e-commerce companies out there. Jason:  [8:47] Yeah so let's talk about Cornerstone Cornerstone might not be a familiar name to some listeners because it's a, it's a house of Brands and then it has a familiar parents so can you tell us a little bit about about a Cornerstone and who you are. Scot & Bryon:  [9:04] Sure Cornerstone wasn't even familiar to me when I joined the head corner, Cornerstone brands it's a billion-dollar plus retailer it's comprised of a portfolio of different aspirational home and apparel brands that include Frankie Ballard Designs, Garnet Hill Grandin Road and improvements in overtime with awesome different companies with divested different companies we have a strong catalog heritage, that's our background but now we're at a point where over 70% of our overall demands is transacted via digital channels with an opening up some new retail store. So you know where as a whole it's again most people won't know Cornerstone but the brands very well-thought-of Rhymes doing very well. Well parent company is hsni which of course the other Division if they own besides Cornerstone is HSN which is more 2 Legacy broadcast. You know broadcast Commerce company that has course has also evolved into a strong digital Anthony. Jason:  [10:16] Very cool and one of the things that I was interested me about Cornerstone is the. [10:23] Sort of portfolio is is interesting Lee diverse not so much in terms of. The offering a consumers although that's the first two but act like I think some of the Brand's don't have stores do I have it right into their pure digital some of the brands, have stores, some of the brand sell products that aren't super convenient to ship until I I sort of think about the whole portfolio and I go man there's a lot of unique. Different business cases for each of the brands is do I have that right or is it all pretty much the same thing. Scot & Bryon:  [10:59] No you're totally right on The Mark with it and it's to the point where it's at extended differentiation extends to the products or the the product photography. How to get out of quality or of the paper that the catalogs are printed on. People are usually amazing like oh yeah you know I never even knew that Ballard Designs in front they were quote related, what part of the same as the wall you know part of the model is and we really we do have a hybrid model here so I we share a digital platform, fat and other back and operation such as call center and supply chain areas where we would really get operational leverage but then. The majority of all the customer-facing aspects such as creative product pricing merchandising. That's all at the Brand level and the strategies for those are really formed at the Brand level so we may have some may say stores are the best, way for us to connect with our customers others may go with a different private label credit card and all of that ensures that you know, really strong Believers and keeping a unique DNA of each brand so while we are for a portfolio, we want to gain leverage everywhere we really focus on not wanting to lose what makes each brand special and their connection to the customer cuz what we normally hear when people come in and saying hey you know what we could save x amount. I may be consolidating, you know all the photos shot so you know all the models of the photo shots into one area and it's really ghetto people resisted overtime and you know it's actually been the right call is what we're learning. [12:36] So I can practice walk us to how your piece works so let's see you have a front gate Ballard at cetera, you guys can operate as an agency that supports what they're doing or do you do help them with strategy and they have their own groups so so let's just use something kind of practical that that everyone doesn't e-commerce like like, I see my Google AdWords do you have a group that kind of like centralized does that say for the various brands or do they do it themselves and you guys, I had an evil strategy for the. [13:08] It's really the latter each brand does have right now just for this specific example and it changes of course what you're talking about but for something like sem each brand has their own marketing department. Then their own people on the ground in a managing their ass Leon campaign. Where are the cross brand leverage and where my team myself and my team's role will come into play is one in Short helping to ensure, at all the brands are using the best technology. More info or let's say I see I'm dead management as well as you know making sure we're leveraging our relationships with our third-party Partners so okay this interests you know again where Billion Dollar Plus, company, I'm as a whole but if it was each individual they're going out there as a snow still larger but smaller entities so a lot of that is managed from a central location. As well as helmets Europe what you mentioned helping a form what maybe some of our strategy should be in the space, like okay you know it's part of letting you know the shifter increase mobile spend helping to highlight the importance of that and digging into the data so a lot of that is a partnership, other aspects of you know my team's role here that are shared services where R you know request. LeBron saying hey this is a project we need to do for our business. On the other hand it could come from a side you know my team and I resent the corporate level to say hey this may be a good strategy for the entity as a whole. [14:45] Around where things are really pushed off down at the partnership model where the give and take on both sides. My specific role is again heading up the digital Commerce at the corporate level so it impacts you know what the overall digital strategy should be, as well as a day-to-day operations and management, digital platform and technology that is shared among the brands as well as you know what the team here driving learnings and leverage across the portfolio but if it's touching that and you deserve like I said before. Back in from the brand side so you know an overtime this model has evolved and you know we've looked at all the different, ways you can actually do this that there you know some organizations that say you know everything should be centralized some saves everything should be at the brands. We again it's a hybrid model is how we trying to tend to operate some things we didn't my team will get more involved in other times it's where the brands about it. Jason:  [15:48] Interesting you had mentioned that a lot of the the brand on the cornerstone portfolio had started as catalog doors and I wanted to touch on that for a minute cuz I think that's super interesting. Personalized was handled Walmart earnings report this week and Mark Lori mentioned something that I hadn't thought about before but he's like. Hey we've all been shipping products to Consumers homes for a hundred plus years that's not really the the new thing in that the e-commerce bring for the party. What e-commerce really changing the party is the the front end merchandising a product that essentially you know the whole delivery thing, it's something I've been doing for a long time and that you know cataloguers in particular have been doing and the new thing we've all had to learn how to do is use digital to merchandise products in so it like. Is that true at Cornerstone that you inherited. Good Supply chains and and facilities for shipping and that sort of thing because of your catalog Heritage or weather like a lot of. [16:54] Sort of traditional methods that had to be had to be dramatically changed to accommodate your e-commerce growth. Scot & Bryon:  [17:02] Wiz. Cataloguers one of the inmates things I think would see know when I took on the role that I quickly saw was an advantage was that the wreck Market in skill set. Cuz it's a very different business in terms of prospecting customers and reaching out the customers and it maybe from Hyder having bread, and mortar stores or whether you're just starting a secure play without that direct marketing background so, you know a lot of our operations with always been selling direct the customers and ship into them there from the supply chain from a customer call center, that's always been in place I mean right now we have a small retail store for friends and that you know I'm like a lot of other companies, that was kind of a you know later stage move that we move that we went forward with so you know and have some of this goes back to. You know what you at you know your man crush Andy Dunn marriage a sin in terms of you know you're quoted him a number of times that a lot of these think eCommerce pure plays and I'm a big fan of eventually hit a wall. Because of stacking up with you in the fact of customer acquisition at the right price. Just so you know you you actually start to say okay we have to get other channels to go after customers but it starts are going to retail in the everyone now it's time to go in the catalogs and the thing is kind of hard work really well, you know you need that direct marketing skill set but the good part is once you actually have it. [18:34] Working friends and now I'm really excited because I feel that a lot of digital channels are starting to catch up I mean you look at what Facebook is now offering what Google's offering me know and I've got in a little trouble, in the news recently just buy, how well you're able to Target in or if you're from Russia that you can actually buy specific keywords now on it and do respect of look-alike mod, look like modeling but now with you know you could have specially take what we've been doing for catalogs for a while and go out there and do it digitally. And the other part with catalogs is that fascinates me is you think okay on the filming of, you know you guys also we go at that we check our mailbox every day but there really isn't too much in it now and catalogs get a lot of the attention so. You know digital you. People have also asked well as digital going to kill catalogs and all that but the goal is actually to do a martyr sentence. Like okay Mel books a lot smarter and integrated with digital and that's what was doing so that's why all the back you know when you say a lot of the back office activities, you know we of course need to Reno and want to improve on it in terms of speed of delivery in terms of customer interactions but that's been there since day one. Jason:  [19:58] For sure so first of all tell me that wouldn't be a great selling book is the kgb's guide to Facebook marketing. [20:07] She like we should write that right now the. [20:12] Like so is it true like that you you have catalogs it like that are continuing to be good performers and that you've you've sort of evolved them to to fit better in the digital world that they're still a significant acquisition channel for you. Scot & Bryon:  [20:25] Yes they are you know that Nicole is always you whenever you you know if your mailing a lot of catalogs it's a. Numbers game where are you know a high percentage of them are not going to generate sales the ones that hit well generate you know you know I do a lot of sales so it's over time figuring out more and more. How to reduce the number of mountains that you do or else reduce unproductive maling. The Golan is to take some of those Savings reinvested in digital and with digital actually you know have different contact points for the customer. That is you know right now baby they real catalogs work well they do or the challenge of course is that they tend to be expensive. They tend to be some things that are out of your control you know what would a long-term you have cost of paper you have postage and all that, it's you know why won't you know what the start while I was saying you over 70% of our transactions happen digitally you know Catalina. Catalog for major marketing channel for us. Jason:  [21:29] It and it's interesting because you see it going both ways there there you know famous traditional cataloguers that has kind of gotten out of the catalog so you know I'm I obviously think it like a Sears or. Victoria's Secret and I think even come in your face Crate & Barrel me over Tire their catalog at one point but then at the same time you see a lot of. Companies including digital native Brands adopting. Catalogs as a marketing channel and so it you almost have wonder if some of those Legacy cataloguers missed the boat by turning them off when you know maybe there was just a way to to evolve them. [22:08] I'd be. Scot & Bryon:  [22:09] And we started when you started keeping track of it where you know where the 90-day. Exactly you had some major companies such as Victoria's Secret they were out of catalog. Other companies saying we reinvent you know we're investing in and doing more so there really you don't normally you say okay there's a herd mentality one way this is where it's you know the really isn't, people argue no finding their own past but Summer Valley more summer mailing a lot less. Jason:  [22:35] And Scott do I have it right isn't Amazon even doing some catalogs and some categories. Scot & Bryon:  [22:42] Yeah yeah I've seen them experiment usually do a holiday catalog now which is kind of highlighting some offerings that are good gifts. Jason:  [22:49] Yep in Bryan I be curious the so when you talk about. [22:55] Digitally infusing the catalogs I think of sort of two things. Obviously in a digital let us know our audience a lot better and Target are audio so I better so I can imagine using digital to you no have a higher hit rate and get more of those printed catalogs in the hands of the right people and fewer. In the hands of the wrong people but I also would be curious about sort of Prince. Two digital interactions like either their features you built into the print catalogs now to make it. Easier for someone to to make the jump from the printed page to the the product detail page or or is that not important. Scot & Bryon:  [23:36] But it's definitely important I mean we've you know over the past couple years we've tried out a lot of things you know we've done some basic you know, when I call you now. Barcodes what not you know when you have the codes in there that okay those were going to be the next stop where you can actually just Decor scan it and have the reader and instantly go to the website. We've also had different experiments in this some of these were great learning where you could pick your phone hold it over the catalog and actually the product reviews with Sprint. You can see the product reviews or if we had a couch in Ocala lots of limited space so let's save your show the couch and two colors you can hold your phone up to that page and it instantly scan and the other couches you could get, so it's done that you know and we'll try some other experiments. [24:29] I really think we've reached a point where you don't need the coach people saying okay you have this physical catalog then here's what you need to do to get online or here's what you need to do if your phone people are at a point where they're doing it anyway. So in terms of actively trying to dry them online with kind of said hey you know what we're not trying to drive consumer behavior when I ride in that way. [24:54] Michael O'Brien listener the show in any kind of heard us, talk a lot about the Amazon impact out there and, what is the best way to defend yourself from that is to make your own products you haven't heard it yet but the episode before this one was a deep dive on private label which is a strategy that that everyone's really employing a lot of people feel like even Amazon Whole Foods acquisition was driven by a desire to have a deeper private label offering and grocery so you guys are in an interesting position if I understand it correctly I think, bus your brands of Lee the manufacturer and the brand the seller of the brand it is is that correct. [25:35] That's correct but the majority of what we sell all proprietary Goods. No we do still at the big differentiate or I personally believe this in that you know it. It gives us now more permission to generate brand Authority and connect with our customers so it also allows us to do a lot more with either you know product customization because it's all under our control, so it's something you know that we've been firm Believers in and I personally believe it that you know the worst thing you could do is become commoditized. So I'm doing our proprietary product and then I'm looking forward to listening to your next you know that the cell before this when it comes out but is, one of the ways that okay if you're looking to compete against Amazon or any of you know any of the other you know larger big boys out there think it's key, so these brands have been around since the catalog era has if you guys done explicit things with digital to kind of, accelerate that Loop because some of the newer generations of Brands like a Casper of bonobos Indochina you're one of the nice things about being born digital is you get that real kind of customer feedback very quickly because there's more of a, put it out quick and get feedback Rose I can imagine the catalog world you know what let's say 15 years ago it would be more of a you know, some of the product to do testing put it in the catalog and then probably takes 12 to 18 months to get any feedback is that something that you guys have felt in your brands that that your. [27:10] You're able to close at Loop faster and innovate faster I mean that it's a great that you know part of the challenge always are catalogs is the lead time. Involved, actually got things in there so one of the things of course is scaling back okay the knock knock the number about the types of promotions you put in catalogs cuz you talk about being responsive to, the market needs and business needs a little tough you're putting an offer in a book that you know may go out okay 3 months from now that's going to be off. Doesn't mean it's not done so that's one thing where you can you know we're gaining more flexibility on mine as well as in the product reviews and then you know that. From Prague reviews from product feedback from customers even though I may be in the book we're taking that and wearing you know where it integrating work or messaging on the side about the Prada. So you know we still have again at Heritage we're okay it's still going out there ahead of time but we already know part of it is gaining learning from what some of the digital natives are doing and you know it's family. [28:15] Yeah, see it flipping where, and I bet now you could probably you know let's see you have a catalog coming out next spring you're probably planning that one you do a bunch of digital quick things to test that out now and then you know maybe take the winners and put them in the catalog that is that is that kind of inverted with with the evolution of e-commerce. It's definitely something that we're exploring and yes it is I mean that's where it's great we're okay you could still. You could still have the print medium that has that lead time but you're able to accept feedback before it goes in there and it's involved in some of the older models, that had a catalogs get put together and you know what needs to be in them it's really I mean. That and I really trick it's the shift you know for merchandising as handsome as a whole. I know that's come up you know I'm different episode and you know the kind of merchant you know the merchandising Prince roll that that's a ball, now become much more data-driven and you know you use much more real-time feedback and all that are aspects that we. Jason:  [29:22] Interesting and you had mentioned that some of the products that you guys make our our customizer personalized for the individual consumer do I have that right. Scot & Bryon:  [29:32] Yeah yeah we've been we've been doing it for a number of years and we you know of the past couple years has really been expanding it you know, because the point earlier about okay if you're going to differentiate one how to differentiate it from Amazon but I know also how to fit the needs of the consumers, in the consumers really enjoy you know have a lot of trust in Our Brands and in and enjoy them but they also like, feeling that heavy I have the ability to make it my own Stafford's ample at Ballard Designs which has, very strong ties to the I'm designer Community with built-in house configurator and this configurator and you know you reviews, be able to build it where you can have a chair and maybe put the seat collar now you feel that you know you could configure on some, found my chairs at the 12 different configurations now heads this color. Alexis color of the you know the chair front and back the welts the seat skirt the chick I'm kick plate you can have all of that customized to it so one of the things we learned as hell you know. [30:41] People are fat enough fascinated by using a stool or actually able to also expand the use of it in our store so that every Ballard store in their Design Services Center the configurator gets a lot of play You & Me now this is cat time, really taking it to the nth degree cuz of course knowing one thing by the way you learned at least I learned from this as I can make some really ugly chairs so not everything, you know how to volunteer to have me come in and do it and waited the three of us have a competition one of these days and it tool who can make the worst looking one but you know we also take a step back and we do a lot even just the basics of product monogramming. Across all of our all of our Brands we ask you know we do it all in-house there are really strong. Personalization Center within our DC and we also been expanded to it they stores that within some of the Ballard stores. Now you could also in-store monogramming. You could buy a tote there and then go and instantly get it monogrammed with what you want and we were able to turn around like with the recent Star of course hurricane, you know the first I hate you stand we went in and within 24 hours I mean two teams here that a fantastic job, wrabel to create customized totes saying okay this is you know it towed for Texas program purchase the toad x amount goes to, helping a local areas that were in pack, and you know what that was from a combination of having that monogram and personalization capabilities as well as a team that's always thinking okay how can we pick up products to the next level. Jason:  [32:17] That's very cool that we talked several times on the show about that that person was a ship being one of the good ways to to combat Amazon in particular you know it's probably not a perfect note forever but but certainly like. You know that. Customizing the product before you ship it to a customer negates a lot of the advantages that Amazon has with the the huge number of fulfillment centers that don't have personalization capabilities. Scot & Bryon:  [32:45] Yep and it's also I mean customers you know you still want to get it there as quickly as possible. Johnny Maddox fan of a custom shower at least this week maybe I'll change in another 2 weeks they're not expecting it to be delivered in 2 hours. Jason:  [33:00] Yep. Scot & Bryon:  [33:01] Because they recognize what goes into it and they're all so you know there's different price flexibility you have with that. So you know I know and I'm sure it's going to shift over time I was joking before that there will be no hiding expectations. Dodge customization is Major strategy for us. Jason:  [33:19] Cut in migraines customer expectations rarely ever get lower they do it's not for a good reason. The the other great thing about precise product though is you probably don't accept returns on that right there turn right it's probably zero. Scot & Bryon:  [33:35] Exactly I mean they're always circumstances but no matter what your name is for mothers out there almost customized products the return rate drops tremendously on it whether you allow it or not. Jason:  [33:48] Sure I totally get that and I mean. But I do feel like people sometimes underestimate what a big part of the economic equation returns are in most e-commerce businesses so even when you just. Dramatically curtail returns that that is a huge economic impact on you know if and when a company can get your profitable in e-commerce oh I certainly like that. That Trend overall I wanted this sort of flip. The personalization question for a second though with most people we talked about personalization we're not so much talking about, personalizing the actual product we're talking about personalizing the user experience of shopping for the products and we talked a little bit about that in the discussion, but where where do you guys sit in the whole spectrum of personalization are you doing some interesting things is it soda on your road map. [34:45] You think it's worth it. Scot & Bryon:  [34:46] Yeah actually doing doing personalization for a while and you know we, we've been doing it in and what always fascinates me about is that if a company is doing it really correctly a lot of times, individual doesn't you know why they don't realize it it just hard to tell personalization unless you know what I do in my spare time if you have enough five different browsers open keep on hitting different categories On fight to doing different things and see if the sites about, what your behaviors are but we you know it, different brands of the brands we have you know on the website you go to the home so you can go to the homepage and after a couple visits it actually, call Paige Cadet personalized that we break it up into dista sites broken up into different if you know whether you called Widgets or different components, where Venice is you know some of this is basic wear if you're coming from you know a Colder Weather climate, we're going to show you different products but then that also could extend into what content you see at the ideally if you doing this right where we're also shooting, if you want to extend that until k then the kind of messages and personalization of people get on the back end if they're calling in to the call center. Or if they are also you know what day I'm outbound marketing materials that they got. So we've been doing a lot of that you know the way I usually say it is we've gone a lot better. [36:18] Personalizing the individual The Experience excuse me at that point in time for that individual in one channel, where we see the evolution of that is okay then recognizing them on their mobile phone and doing the same as I said when I called to the call center they should have that same experience. Part of it is you know that challenge with personalization enough spoken to a lot of others about it is actually. One prioritizing what you want to do but then also had a scallop. You know it does require more creative resources they have to make an investment in it and it and you know it. [36:58] It's rare you do personalization in something that you know your metrics just jump off in your the man jumps up it's a lot of singles and doubles. So you need to do a lot of them and they're you know and just hit a lot of the users to send you know in jail personalized ways and air companies out there, you know do a great job Zulily does a strong job with it where are you know, babe I forgot the exact number about how many you know personalized home pages of personalized emails get created every day and I do feel that again it is also the interact with the end-user customers going to start it's going to become table Stakes. Companies are going to expect that personalization it's just that I think it kind of got over height. You know really hasn't lived up to its potential yet but you know well of course we haven't spoken about it you know AI machine learning I think that's going to lead to really be the next. One of the next Generations of what e-commerce is and I'll be around personalization. Jason:  [37:57] Yeah it certainly I mean a basic premise is that that machine learning is the way you can you can you can scale personalization particularly when you even get into a I doing content creation. Scot & Bryon:  [38:12] It's at if that's true point. Jason:  [38:14] It it's interesting like the. [38:17] Because personalization is such a big word like they're such a broad spectrum right like you could say hey we did a personalization on our site. And in that could mean you set up a data Lake and collected way more information about all your customers than you ever had before and produced you know thousands of a torn to pieces of content in are giving everyone a bespoke experience or I can also say. You know you added the words welcome Brian to the homepage right like. [38:43] And so it's it's it's hard when people talk about having done a project at you and what was the ROI like there's not. [38:49] It's not a binary thing like I didn't have ratings and reviews and now I do or you know I didn't have 360-degree Prada quotations and now I do, and you can you know it turn it on and measure the effectiveness. Personalization is it in my mind is a spectrum minute it's therefore much harder to measure the the ROI of personalization overall although. You can sometimes do it for individual tactics. Scot & Bryon:  [39:16] Right exactly knows individual tactics and normally do singles and doubles and you know I've written a number of round tables with all the retailers on personalization, you know it always fascinated me because you'll read whether it's our star Gardner you know any of the you know anyone that's doing their annual summations you know. Top areas that people wanted want to develop in the future next year we're going to spend money and personalization is usually up there but then when you get them, with the retailers you know on the ground sit around the table and you ask a question okay on a scale of 1 to 10 where is your company, you know on that where you view where on the road map of personalization I've never had anyone say higher than A3. Jason:  [40:03] Yeah. Scot & Bryon:  [40:04] And I'm sure you see that all the time when you're with clients that one it's a definition but there's just a lot of dish in there but it hasn't really taken flight yet. Jason:  [40:16] Yeah and I guess I would also even say that there are people that have like achieved a meaningful amount of personalization and it increasingly. Personalization just for personalization sake doesn't automatically win right and so the fact that you communicated uniquely with me. In and of itself isn't compelling it's if the communication with me made the communication more relevant to me. Then it's compelling right and sometimes the most relevant communication is exactly the same for a million consumers and when it is. [40:53] That that's perfectly fine but the the fact that like. [40:59] You said that a million different emails if it does it's something that's different in those emails doesn't make them. Resonate better with the audience is kind of a wasted effort and with you know sometimes we see people doing personalization as sort of a checkbox exercise where there you know. They're hell-bent on doing some personalization so they do something and you know they they can claim that it's more personalized but they haven't necessarily you know solve the problem for their customer. Scot & Bryon:  [41:27] I know tire and part of it is then tearing at personalization in an ongoing way and that's why you know the person could sue the email goes to the landing page and it could be personalized to them but then when they're throughout the rest of this site may not be. And that's where the whole experience you know it's not Barren you know maybe I'm older optimistic on it I think it we are going to get there. [41:50] Again that's going to be in next week for. Jason:  [41:52] Yep I'll tell you one that drives me nuts and I'll pick on a company that's probably generally well-known for personalization that are, our friends at Adobe right so so that you know they do personalized retargeting advertising like like a lot of B2B companies and and you know so there I'm sure there's a marketing person there that would say hey we have a really effective personalized advertising campaign. [42:13] And. So I get personalized ads on YouTube from Adobe and on the one hand that's pretty impressive but on the other hand most of those add show up when my two-year-old son is watching a.m. Like some kind of cartoon video on YouTube and. You go hey you know what they yes they personalized that that has something unique for me in it but they completely missed the contacts like why are they buying an ad trying to sell me Adobe marketing cloud in the middle of content design for 2 year olds. Scot & Bryon:  [42:46] And that's by that's good trivia it's tough. Jason:  [42:50] Yeah yeah I'm bi I'm not making fun of it because that was it you know any easy easy solved but I just I feel like that the state we're in right now is it still early days and getting all this stuff right. I do want to go back I'm neglected one question we are talking about the personalization of products and you mention the the the configurator that use a ballad for the chairs, did you have to build something unique that you guys use or were you able to buy some sort of off-the-shelf. Configuration package and then adapt it to your your products. Scot & Bryon:  [43:23] We we we looked at a number or item number of either off-the-shelf products are working with a third-party to build it and I've done some of this again earlier Mike we can figure Raiders and one of learning, back then was the toughest part about building a configurator is an ongoing support. As products change read so you know your systems change how you actually keep keep it running so based on that when we looked you know for the Ballard Designs one we decided to actually build it ourselves. Cuz you wanted specific ties and sir are back in systems who wanted a specific URI for it and for ongoing maintenance. That was to know something for you third parties for but that was a team here to felt. [44:11] Cool one of the I saw one of your exact speak at a conference and they're talking about, kind of you know omni-channel in and store experiences and the digital native, Brands as you mentioned her are kind of catching on to this and the latest kind of catchphrases o + O which is online and offline and I feel like you guys have had stores for a while but if I call you're doing a lot more of these pop-up experiences, tallest Tuscan of the little bit of history of of the stores monster Brands and then some of the things that you're experimenting with around other, online offline interactions. Some reason retail footprint a small one though for a number of years that actually no predated my company but the majority of them. In all honesty we're not good and the customer experiences that some of them were, outlet stores which are fine but they were they look like outlet stores with you no products dumped all over the place and again they didn't really capture the essence of the brands and it wasn't any one person's doing it's just wives. You know a part of the business that most people did not pay attention to so a couple years ago though, when from doing surveys and talking to a customer's we start to experiment and Ballard Designs is one of the first this it wasn't a pop up but with a new design you know a new store concept. Focused on Design Services and you know one of the stories that. [45:43] You know which is accurate that the present in the Ballard Designs frequently tells is that when we would go and you know we met with a lot of that people that design stores and they're well all I called Design Services that should be in the back corner of the store. You know what I go through out of the line of sight and you know the people at Ballard this is and this is why again that. You know the individual bran were the people that helped design the store cuz they are closest to the customer and they understood that it wasn't necessarily a corporate initiative to know that Design Services of watching porn. African what makes us different so they put that in the middle of the store and you know since then, and what we also want to look at his okay when we open the store what happens to the business overall and we're seeing in the surrounding you know msas are digital business also takes a little less. Pics of Bomb Pop, so you know Ballard that's open some stores in Roosevelt Field mall New York King of Prussia Mall Tysons Corner and we brought on you know some additional I people inside to actually run the retail business operations and, Hickenbottom doing a great job now. pain in front gate also by the way which it worth now testing it was Frankie just open the store and in Plano Texas brand new design concept cuz, Macatawa green our point of view of a beer at the Rack business and cataloger to grow you know Furniture businesses at the, now that I've grown Frankie Ballard improvements grandinroad without allowing people or giving people the opportunity to feel and touch it. [47:18] And we Sunday our experiments and all that where it really isn't the same it's good of being there in the store that this seemed like the next and it was the next logical step. Garnet Hill what you were referring to his they did a great mobile Boutique. Today is kind of retrofitted a container and drove it around in South Street Seaport New York as well as about the Exeter New Hampshire and opened up the container and it was a mini on a store, it would help educate people to what the brand wise you know we, so when the container that we had over $5,000 to it we have local celebrity chefs we have book signings so we can Max an experiment doesn't mean we necessarily going to do it again but we also tried different you know Frontgate had different pop-up stores, it's a lot of issues learning. And we learn that customers definitely in a one it's amazing when you're at the store openings that people that have you know only bought from but they are mine. We actually are in the store it is just a log fast that open and you know you invite some of the top customers in your people discovering the store and just speaking to them about what the brand means to Diamond Phoenix physical location. Jason:  [48:31] They call it the show when you said you were traveling a lot is that because you're driving that that container around. Scot & Bryon:  [48:37] Exactly. That's fine that's my side stand. Jason:  [48:43] Other duties as a. Scot & Bryon:  [48:44] My responsibilities exactly so. Jason:  [48:50] Impressive impressive. Scot & Bryon:  [48:51] Kids dead call at your side hustle that's your side Hustle and I know who to clean a call of course. If I need it cleaned so that we're all set. Jason:  [49:01] That's a great time to mention not only if you need it cleaned but if you need it so oil changed mobile one. Scot & Bryon:  [49:08] Yeah yeah yeah we we announced a partnership with Exxon today so pretty excited about that. Jason:  [49:16] Scot doesn't feel like I follow him but I totally do. Scot & Bryon:  [49:20] Thin line between stock and follow their Jason. Jason:  [49:24] Yeah yeah but luckily he has a several State buffer to keep him keep him safe. [49:29] Bryon like I know in your role you get pitched a lot from a bunch of different vendors and you got all these different brands that want to, try different things and different business users in each of those things and then like you know Scott and I are at a lot of the industry events hearing about the new things. Help us help us create a little bit like are there any sort of new Trans or up-and-coming practices or technologies that. That you're particularly interested in or excited about. Scot & Bryon:  [50:01] I've been seeing a lot more where. [50:07] Companies that can and you know their name and some the specific ones that have traditionally come to the table and said, hey you know we could help you with email on drip campaigns are trigger campaigns or that even we could help you or personalization that becoming a lot more data-driven. Which excites me and now you know using data and you know new, that would say in different ways but really trying to maximize in and they're also Focus now on how they're going to tie into your photo ecosystem which goes fast and that's been the biggest challenge you know that if we had one company that did personalization, an email and one company that made them personalization on the site and they're not talking to each other. It's a fragmented experience but there's a lot more of that overall I mean for the overall where I seen the future and where companies are doing a lot more if that's why I said it before. You know I'm one hand I hate it because you know you said we go to all these different industry advance and now you know you it's rare I guess, Eddie pitched it doesn't mention some kind of machine learning where but I do think it's going to go over that high curves sometime soon but how we intelligently going to recognize, and I promoted and personalized experiences whether it's emotions Smyrna tractions inventory pricing, a lot of companies that are doing that now and it's still in its beginning stages but in that way I space. [51:38] Very interested in and you know just looking around that okay you know. For Cornerstone in for Our Brands what is the right way to do that immediately I don't think we're at a point yet where I would recommend going to go all in on that. That you know would want to definitely test it first then that's what I also love it at the portfolio model here is that you know what we are normal, standard operating procedure is doing a new initiative or finding a new company like you were mentioning earlier its try it on one brand prove it out, and then actually roll it out to others. So I mean that other aspects are augmented reality we really haven't spoken a lot about but you know I mentioned it earlier that's not the same as being in the physical store but you know we launched and try with ad, I've got about a year ago now and the technology finally has reached a point where are you know beyond just Apple adopted it, states where you don't need markers anymore I mean you got to make this as easy as possible and just holding up the phone and it working is great so. That's the one area I guess. The last one if you know I got a whole other our discussion on and this is what I mean we don't have that sell for I'm not even going to pretend to myself that I do it's just. [53:00] I look at it like okay. Five years are even ten years out it's so much and you've spoken about the somewhat about what you mean you know that there's going to be disintermediation in that things are going to be come between our brand message and the customer. We're going to lose some control of that contact and we're going to lose it to you know voice space services such as you know how to sign in Alexa Google Facebook. Yeah you at all so I no mention on an earlier podcast about you know what Scott Galloway talking about the four. They're going to control it it's going to have a fundamental impact on Brad's and. [53:39] Companies that are I think they're going to start to ignore you know partners and vendors as they start to learn to how to solve an address those that was going to be really interested in. Jason:  [53:49] Yeah that that certainly is a a big disruption I'd be slightly curious so so we've done a rvr deep dive and I. At a high level. Like I think we feel like we are super interesting in the entertainment industry in the gaming industry but it's certainly overhyped for e-commerce. That you know a r has some really interesting in Store applications and in-home application but almost. Every vendor in the air VR space for Commerce, the demo use case that their nana laying is your products right like it's it's the sort of Home Products and Decor products in in you know products that are customized and require some visualization. Like does it feel like even in your space it's sounding like you're saying it's maybe even still a little earlier and we're just starting to get to the point where it might truly be viable. [54:44] Is that. Scot & Bryon:  [54:45] Oh I think that I think the technology and I mean. [54:48] Technology is Rihanna's is there in 2 years ago where I was at you no talking at companies that would provide a our services and I like always easy to use the customer just go to the website and imprint. Page. [55:05] Pay back page for the wall and the phone of that page and then I'll be able to see it and I'm like you talked about friction. Jason:  [55:14] We've eliminated the Scotch tape from the process now. Scot & Bryon:  [55:17] So exactly from now and that's what it was yet to see steps and size you know and when, we went out with you know partner with a company and launched it and it was just really signed out it was really fascinating to me because we would test it out with users and we're going to our stores and show it to them and what really frustrated people as they kept on, wanted to take their fingers you know when do the pinch move on the product cuz they're like hey I'm trying to get it to fit in the space and it won't fit so I want to grow it and shrink it, the doll notion you can sure you know it's size on purpose to see if they can fit in so you know you were trying manipulated which just didn't work but. [55:59] You know it gets a we found them you know what others are fine and I think you got a lot of you know customer interaction with it but you know and I do we did actually see them more customers to know what he'll conversion rate. You know there's a lot more testing to be done because okay I didn't know those customers were going to convert anyway cuz they were highly engaged so I think that. It's definitely there and you see all the way you know every really every home goods company now is coming out with it that. You know what even I mean house did it you know what I think it's great cuz that is multi again multi products in it I I think that and you know what I agree that VR is going to be you know it. Love Stocker Thrift we have here and everything it's all great but free Commerce application still a heart to you. The ones that I've actually experimented it that would be are a little wild on the road but they are is going to be here I think sooner than people think. Jason:  [56:56] Yeah and one thing that has changed since the Deep dive is both Apple and Google have released these very robust. [57:06] Trap eyes in their operating system in so it's a good news bad news thing it actually makes it a lot easier to develop. AR applications in there much cooler cuz the programmer doesn't have to do all the. The heavy lifting they just have to Define their products and stuff like that so I feel like that's what it's going to be a huge enabler for AR the downside is from the time that Apple and Google like released. Stuff in their newest technology it still takes a long time before it's in every consumers hands right so you know. Apple gets most people to upgrade the operating system but it only works on the the phones that are one year older or newer and Google like nobody ever upgrade the operating system and said they're not getting. The Google AR kit until they replace their phone so it if you like we still might be an upgrade cycle or two away from from those. Does kids being Broadway to play but when they are it's going to be much easier and cheaper for developers to add those those kinds of features and I feel like that could really be a. Enabler a lot of this technology for for at least 4 retail applications. Scot & Bryon:  [58:14] Yeah I feel the same way me before it was honestly was a novelty. Oh cool you could do it but it was more people could use it it's going to start to grow with your point when the and I just. Okay with the adoption rate of the newer you know phones that it's going to be there but it's just easier to use the friction is much more minimum wage now. Jason:  [58:36] Yep and I think we know from almost all experiences that when she get that freaking out it makes a big difference in an adoption so, so hopefully we'll see some interesting stuff there in the future but Brian that is going to be a great place to leave it because it's happening again we've wasted a perfectly good hour of our listeners time, so I really want to thank you for joining us you know it's it's been a long time coming but. Totally worthwhile and we wish you all the best with Cornerstone and look forward to following your success I want to remind listeners that they're always welcome to continue the dialogue on our Facebook page and O'Brien hangs out there all the time so if you have any questions we can cajole him into participating as well, and of course if you love the show we desperately need that 5 star review on iTunes if you hated the show don't don't feel the need to write an interview at all. Scot & Bryon:  [59:29] Crack guys thanks so much again I really really really enjoyed it. [59:34] Thanks Brian we really appreciate your patience on scheduling this so what kind of used grit and gutter done and really appreciate you taking time out of your busy day to share your digital experience with our listeners. Jason:  [59:48] Until next time happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP103 - Amazon Private Label Deep Dive

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 12, 2017 79:39


EP103 - Amazon Private Label Deep Dive This episode is a deep dive into Amazon's Private Label activities: Framework for Amazon Private Label Brands Amazon's History in Private Label Amazonscape Advice for Brands and Retailers Update on Amazon Private Label Marketshare from 1010data Mary Meeker State of the Internet (slide 75 is the one discussed) Special thanks to Samir Bhavnani and Tim Wilson from 1010data. for providing their data and insight for this episode. Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 103 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Wednesday October 4, 2017. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. New beta feature - Google Automated Transcription of the show: Transcript Jason:  [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 103 being recorded on Wednesday October 4th I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg as usual I'm here with your co-host Scott Wingo. Scot & Guests:  [0:38] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason and Scott show listeners. [0:55] Today we're going to continue our very popular deep dive series, and jump into something that has really caught on in the last 6 months there's been a lot of excitement around this so it was sparked by Mary Meeker really kind of putting a bright Spotlight on this, and that is the topic of Amazon private label, Jason I know you have thought a lot about Amazon private label and I think the the real meat and potatoes is know what what I'm hearing from brances there's a couple of questions there, really grappling with and we're going to answer this questions and give listeners some new data that, this the first time you'll hear this data thanks to a gas it's going to be on the show but before we jump into that I know you spent a lot of time thinking about this help give our listeners kind of framework for for how to think about these private label offerings are so many now it can be kind of confusing so as to how do you kind of sort them in and organize them. Jason:  [1:52] Yeah Scott well I don't think there is one perfect framework at the moment so I'm using a number of different dimensions to sort of think about these and slicing and dicing in different ways and so there's there's sort of for big. Big Dimensions II think about their 5 depending how you count the the first one is, Prime exclusive versus non-exclusive product so there's a subset of these brands at Amazon's offering that you have to be a Prime member to get sew-in apparel that something like button-down or good threads in in cpg that something like Mama Bear or wickedly prime or happy belly, and so you know here. Obviously there they're partly training use these private labels as an extra inducement to sign up for Prime and. And more and adding more value the prime memberships the II framework is is. What we call Amazon branded versus non-branded right in so of this ecosystem of. [3:00] You know now over 50 50 different brands that Amazon has has invented a handful of those five of those. You can look at them and immediately know it's an Amazon product because they they would either have Amazon in the name are there so closely associated with Amazon. And heavily advertised by Amazon that is very Queer as an Amazon product so that's. [3:21] Amazonbasics that's Echo that's fire that's Amazon elements in Amazon essentials. I'm but the overwhelming majority of these Brands and Amazon's creating. [3:33] It seems that they're they're going to reason with extensive links to not make it obvious that it's an Amazon brand and have it feel potentially like. [3:41] A standalone National brand in sew-in Apparel in particular they've created a bunch of these brands. And this is things like Scout and Ro James and Erin Waterton Road those those sorts of of brands. [3:58] So the 3rd framework will uses is to think about them in the different categories and this is the the normal product taxonomy like in a lot of these products fit any Electronics category their increasingly are products in cpg. There's there's definitely products targeted specifically a baby. There's a bunch of apparel and now there's some health and fitness and Home and Garden. And in each of those categories you're you're seeing some of the Amazon branded product and sum of the unbranded product. [4:31] You pointed out a couple to me that that we're new to me. You know like there may be even sub-brand so in fashion you're not answering to see like outdoor a fashion like Denali as a specific sub brand in the in the fashion category. In the last category framework that we use is what I called basic versus luxury and said there are a lot of these products where their biggest value proposition is. That they're at and appealing price point for a good quality product the matches the product you're used to using. In tow light apparel is the easiest way to think about this these are the that you know, the standard uniform button down shirts that we wear in their in their case would rename button down these are like the basic t-shirts and all all these sorts of things and as you talked about on a couple Brands like. Amazon sort of gives you three tiers of quality you can get a. An unfamiliar you know typically like offshore products from China at a super low price point. You can get a amazonbasics product at a low price point, or you can get a luxury branded version of a product at a higher price point in so a lot of the Amazon products are playing in this sort of basic category but increasingly we're seeing Amazon, to get products that are moving up market and have their own value propositions that are driving their own demand and they're not just a. [6:10] Value proposition you know for the same feature set that you can get from a national brand some case they're there differentiated quality and certainly like Amazon Echo would be the. The prime example of a of a luxury product that's sort of the the category leader with its own unique feature so. You know you can come use any of those Frameworks to slice and dice all of these different brands and as as time permits what you know we probably need to create some sort of the infographic to put in the show note to make that more clear. Scot & Guests:  [6:43] Yes funny you mention that way you actually have to if we happen to have one so just a little history that makes that framework I think that's super helpful. The background on Amazon private label, probably the first one that I can find documentation of is when Amazon watch Kendall that was the first time they came out with a product and its really funny because prior to Kendall, Amazon was notoriously famous for not running TV ads day back in like, 03 they ran a series of TV ads called the sweater women wear these guys singing this people singing Christmas carols by a fire. Stop doing that when someone ask Jeff Bezos why he said we want to take every marketing dollar and put it into, free shipping and lowering prices so so then kind of for literally 5 years they didn't really run any TV until they came out the candle they started to do TV and more. [7:39] Typical brand advertising it was interesting in 09 I was so I blocked I've been to this Amazon gig before it was his hip and. Jason:  [7:52] Weighted hip now. Scot & Guests:  [7:53] I guess I guess so well there's podcast now so there you go before Matt and I found this product called pins on and I couldn't. You don't figure out what's going on and it was supposed to go today on Amazon so they're kind of pushing it as likewise Amazon pushing the spins on thing so then I kind of went into the bowels of the trademark Registry and figured out it was owned by Amazon, oh my God this is a new private label so I just worked out a quick blog and then it actually got picked up by lot of press and then I, I kind of using that same method I found there was a list of six Brands three of them were actually just calling to reserve so they were trademarked but had never been utilized the other three were Strathmore in Denali, so I kind of stumbled on and then over the years I've watched this pretty closely so so for me and there's actually a lot of Articles coming out now about this or people using that same system in so there was one in court so they're like you know Amazon has, 800 private labels waiting in the wings and so that's a little tricky because, to me you don't I don't think we talked about it as a private label unless it is on the site and live and there's more than one product for sale another kind of checkbox for me is does it have kind of a logo, since that point just kind of notes, over the years they've done more of this and what we hear from Amazon insiders is this private label group kind of outside of, Kindle an echo is one of the hottest groups inside of Amazon so they're hiring massively they have plans to ramp up private label in pretty much every care. [9:30] Category so so here's the private labels we know today and I'm going to start with a, The Matrix taxonomy so so Jason you introduce some slow start, the ones are good too so we'll go through Prime exclusive first and then not prime exclusive or are generally available and then category so it would start with the things that are prime exclusive and, that the most they have in the prime exclusive bucket is fashion so they have Amazon essentials, blessings likes men's shorts at highly recommend those things of that nature. Kind of Basics but down you mentioned, Ella Moon good threads James and Erin is 22 of them have Row in the name Lark and Ro and Scout and Ro. May which is Mae and I think that's lingerie only the UK north 11 and Paris Sunday. There's a new one that's out called the fix and I believe that is prime exclusive, then the other bucket of prime exclusive private labels are in cpg there you have Amazon elements and I was getting elements and essential elements is fashion, she did it already Essentials is fashion elements to cpg happy belly Presto Mama Bear and wickedly Prime, then in the broader categories so these are just generally private label that are not prime exclusive amazonbasics which is the popular accessories to start as Electronics accessories and we've seen, you know things like a bocce ball sets and their stickers Amazon Basics is exploded past that the simplest kind of things. [11:07] Denali what you mentioned two dice funny so a lot of time still you can tell they test these things so $2 in strathwood of the ones I've been following the longest stressful it's been pretty true to doing kind of outdoor furniture kind of stuff, it only started this tools so it's kind of a Black & Decker competitor and tool sets and it's kind of pivoted you mentioned it to function and kind of outdoor. Pinzon has been there that's a home, Home Goods kind of sheets and those kinds of things Pike Street actually had one they retired that was a coffee brand it had Pike in the name as well I'm glad he's our have a nod to Seattle and they're so like Molly the mountain you see in Seattle Pike Street obviously, and then the journey available not prime exclusive fashion private labels are Franklin and Freeman Franklin Taylor. Iris Lilly that's a weird cuz everyone else has and and up down just two words together Iris Lily and that's exclusive to London and Society New York. And those are kind of it will put a graphic in the show notes that's part of this Amazon scape I did where I tried to kind of organized these things and capture the ones that are actually the kind of meat, criteria of you can prove its Amazon, through the trademark Registry there's actually something more than one SKU for sale and there tends to be a logo associated with it so it seems like at that kind of. Raises the bar on on what we included here but I think it's the right way to do it. So it would be great if Amazon told us exactly what their sales all these things are but. [12:38] Amazon satorius Lee secretive and they disclosed nothing about this there are two data sources out there though that we watch Pretty closely, and you're the instruction I've talked there's all kinds of different ways these companies collect data and, so one of them is one click retail and I believe it one click retail does is they have some ability with Amazon either directly or through their brand Partners to get into the, that the data that's available to vendors and the aggregate that anonymize it and then look at some insights from it, so according to them just recently here and the first week of October they have said that they believe Amazon private label has has done 300 million so far this year so if you feel kind of through the first nine months of the year in e-commerce and you've done, 300 million then it's probably safe to almost double that so because of holidays and call it 500 to $609. [13:34] They don't Unfortunately they don't tell us which of private-label is in or not in that but there are they do kind of didn't break down the top categories and in this category as they don't include. Kindle an echo so I'm kind of assuming that that 300 million number is does not include Kindle an echo so that's the the ones I rattled off but not kind of the devices that Amazon makes and manufactures. So and then later in the show we're at little teaser here to make it worth your while to stay around we are going to have the second date of Ender on the show as a guest for the Steep dive to help us kind of really, drill into this in and see if they can shed some more light on it. Jason:  [14:14] Yeah and I know Scott it's been a labor of love for you to keep the, the infographic perfectly updated of course a lot of listeners will will know that Amazon very famous we added a new private label in the last month which is the Whole Foods private label so that's whole 365 from Whole Foods is now being. Seemingly someone successfully sold on Amazon as a new Amazon private label. And I think there was a recent retail dive article that essentially said they they sold 16 million of the 365 in the first month and you know it sent you a reply chain problems and sold out of a lot of their guts. Scot & Guests:  [15:00] Yeah I think there's some data I'm not a grocery expert like yourself but isn't there data that that that actually for Whole Foods it's a pretty material part of their sales I think I've seen anywhere between 20 and 30%. Jason:  [15:15] Yeah yeah and I'm not exactly certain what the breakdown of Whole Foods is the. [15:22] Like at the top end of a grocery stores there's there's folks like all the annelida land and Trader Joe's that are like 60 to 90% private label, when you work at a traditional grocery store like a Kroger or Walmart you know they're there somewhere in the twenties and so you know I think Whole Foods is a little higher than a traditional store but but not in the in the Aldi's base yet. Scot & Guests:  [15:47] Okay cool before we got our guests on I think the questions that come up the most I just want to kind of, pink I'm off you just to get the conversation going here so a lot of this gets started because of that, battery data that's out there that shows that Amazon essentially came out with a private label battery this is like you know, typical household batteries like double a triple a CD in that kind of thing and it quickly became the number one seller, so it's a really kind of Sheriff from Duracell and Energizer in those kind of guys so if your brand out there, and your help as we talk on the show brands are in a different variety of of their current Amazon strategies summer taking a deep I want to do everything so we had for example dorel juvenile while there, they are doing everything they can on Amazon so that's kind of that I'm going to jump jump into the deep end of the pool and then we have folks dipping their toe and then we have folks there just kind of sitting out on the sidelines when it comes to private label what's your advice you offer to France. Wooden Amazon. Jason:  [16:52] Yeah well so busy brands of the super broad term. You know I'm I'm answering in terms of the kind of categories were talking about on the show tonight so food and cpg and health and. Mostly the basic sides of a parallel so you know if if you're talking about Gucci is a brand my answer might be a little different. But but in general brands have two problems have the problem they know about in the problem they don't know about with Amazon right like the probably know about is. Amazon is a super-powerful fast-growing platform it's now gotten in their space and making products that compete with him right so so Amazon being a private label competitor or a. Or you know I often talk to them about being at 8. [17:44] Brandy manufacturer competitor as opposed to a private label because many of these these products that have a much higher value prop than just a private label. [17:53] You have to address that the problem that a lot of Brands aren't aware of him and certainly should be aware of is. [18:00] People just shop different digitally in digitally has fundamentally changed how people shut up and huge. [18:07] Proportion of of North American consumers. Are using digital to help them make purchase decisions and so you know Amazon scary both because they're good at Selling Stuff digitally and they're making their own stuff to sell and in so in general when I talk to her and I say hey. [18:25] First thing you need to learn how to do is be great at selling digitally and you should use Amazon as an example right and so you know in almost any category you can pull up the. The Amazon label version of their pdp's and compared against you know who you think of is a market-leading national brand. And you'll just see how much richer and better executed in much better content is on the Amazon PDP so those are really. Templates for how to sell digitally. And if you're Brandon most of these categories were talking about I do believe you need to be on the Amazon platform that's where telling the consumers are that's where bunch of the money is. You know depending on how many Prime members you believe Amazon has does in the most locked in consumers in the marketplace and you're only going to reach him. If you're on the Amazon platform so even though animal Amazon's a friend of me in general. I think you need to be on that platform and I think you need to be using that platform to build your chops around digital merchandising and digital selling. And so I think that certainly a key you know part of consumer shopping different digitally. You know you need to be thinking differently about how you differentiate your products in in the store it was about the point of purchase. Packaging in the displays in your promotion strategy International television campaigns. In the digital world it's a lot more about trust transparency social proof there's a lot of new currencies that you need to start developing and there are things. [19:57] That you have competitive advantages on because you're this well-known will use National brand so it should be easier for you to collect ratings and reviews and develop social proof then it is for a net new brand launched by a. A retailer that no one shot from before so I certainly think there's opportunities to improve your your digital merchandise saying that leverage your your core strengths in. In doing all this I think it's super important that you have a direct-to-consumer. [20:29] Portion of your business so if you already selling direct-to-consumer you ought to be using that channel as your learning lab you ought to be doing constant s and evolution and different. Content in in. Different presentations to really nail how people want to shop for your product digitally if you're not in direct to consumer. It's time that you start doing some direct-to-consumer pilots and I'm not saying that because you're going to sell a huge amount of direct to consumer product and make a fortune in most cases your not but you need. When you sent through those wholesalers in those retailers you're basically disintermediated from your consumer and in this new digital world, you need a direct relationship with this consumers to understand how they're shopping for your product and what is resonating with them and what's not so you need a direct-to-consumer channel if for no other reason than to be, a learning lab as you figure out the best practices for for all of these things and then lastly I'd say hey while you're losing sleep about your customer shopping digitally and buying the Amazon version of everything, don't forget about the other thing you should be losing sleep on you know which is this is coming wave of Auto replenishment and just fundamental changes to the way people buy stuff and there's tons of stuff that consumers Buy. [21:44] Explicitly today when they run out of toilet paper do they run out of dish soap that they're very likely to get implicitly tomorrow either because there's a sensor in there their toilet paper roll or a camera in there kitchen or, microprocessor in their in their dishwasher and you really need to be thinking about, how you're going to preserve your current market share and hopefully grow it in a world of Auto replenishment when a lot more of those decisions become. Implicit instead of explicit so that's a lot to chew on. Scot & Guests:  [22:17] Yeah and maybe taking it up even another level I found there's like this a rational thing, Amazon causes so much fear it causes a rational illogical, thinking in a weird way I'm so serious what I mean so a lot of times people say I'm not selling a brand will stay within the framework you outlined of we were talking about here on Amazon because of the, Yep they're just going to take my data and create a private label but then I'll say maybe it's a cpg company I'll say well you're in Target Walmart, grocery stores and Costco and your products right next to a private label it why why does it bother you so much on Amazon when you've lived in a private label land for a while but what's your, do you run into that in like what's your how do you why are they why are there not able to rationalize heads. Jason:  [23:08] Yeah I do and again it's a devil they know versus the devil they don't I totally agree with you that it's irrational and and when you call him on it you know they have trouble articulating why it is different. [23:22] The other one that that comes up a lot that's in that that same boat is like. You know I always ask clients when they say hey I don't want to sell on Amazon cuz I don't want to get them my data if. [23:33] If you're in the diaper business and you're saying you don't want to sell an Amazon because you don't want Amazon to get your diaper do you believe that Amazon's not getting a very queer to look at the overall diaper Market without you like. You have to be a really large part of. [23:48] Of the market to feel like you're somehow keeping Amazon from Market visibility by staying off the platform like in most cases that. You know you're you're doing yourself more harm than you are Amazon there they're going to figure out all of those consumer categories whether you're there or not and so you know if, you probably need to be there again if your consumer Products Company. Amazon has 240 million consumers in the US there are 240 million households in the US. So that's a pretty big Market to be overlooking that's like saying a bank robber and I don't want to rob banks because I don't like them. [24:30] It's where the money is right now and so for most brands you need to be there you do need to understand that you are potentially enabling a competitor and you need to do it in a smart way, but I think most people that are staying away do so you know partly for irrational reasons. Scot & Guests:  [24:48] Yeah and the other one is I've given these talks about this stuff and then after someone always comes up and they say we're actually, it's either the horses out of the barn door it's like about to leave the barn in those say don't tell anyone but Amazon's approaches to be the private label manufacturer for axe or we're actually the guys that makes a battery and how do you feel about that in, I don't know how to answer that I can kind of see both arguments I'm curious I'll reveal kind of how I think about it but I want to hear how you think about it first. Jason:  [25:18] Tricky make me answer first. Yeah so that's one where I generally and again there's exceptions and every Market but in general I would say no don't do that in the reason I would say that it is, because manufacturing private label products for other retailers is increasingly becoming a race to the bottom, you are just going to be a commodity manufacturer and your Expediting Amazon's ability to build their own customer base and test the value props, for themselves and the best you can ever hope for is to be in a bidding war against everyone else in the world that can manufacture that product once Amazon's won all the customers and so in general. Well well there is short-term gain and you know you can protect some of your manufacturing capacity to cut other about wise be at risk by by partnering to be the private label manufacturer that's not a way to win long-term I mean you really need to think about the shift that's happening, every retailer is turning into a brand every brand is turning into a retailer, and in that world if you are making products for someone else that owns the relationship with the customer, you are never going to be in a position to control your own destiny you're always going to be you know in a super price competitive situation and it's it's just, not something that I generally recommend for both most brands. Scot & Guests:  [26:46] So the counter argument that I've heard from Branson in this is it's interesting is well we're going to we're going to. Go ahead and make that because, we want to it's a hedge little bit we want to see how successful they are and we want to learn from what they do and this is the only way we'll see sales of that item is if we're actually making it so, there's there's something Buddy there that's kind of part of that short-term wind that I think you're talking about but then I do think that they. Then they always say you know like. [27:21] Amazon won't be able to visit outside of batteries but like lingerie I've had someone say well you know where the number. Two lingerie manufacturer Amazon can't do this. They can't possibly do it and I'm kind of taking over 15 to 20 years I've heard that Amazon can ever do this thing alive, yeah it is turned out not to be the case every single time so, that does make me a little concerned when they kind of had the bravado that there are going people that can make this thing this widget. Jason:  [27:52] In general in this isn't universally true but like in Moses Brands you end up with two big brands that I bought a market share of number 1 and number 2 and in most markets there's an unknown number 3 that is really the private label manufacturer in in in some markets that. That number one very often has hasn't made a decision that they're not going to manufacture private label for anyone and so you certainly see like PNG you know publicly say that they don't manufacture for folks, the most often that number three ends up being the private label manufacturer and they do so be the reason that they're there. Doing it instead of the number two is because they're just willing to do it for less money, do you know if it ends up being a commodity manufacturing service that you're providing and this notion that you had some technical proprietary manage and that you know anyone else isn't going to be able to make what you make or or Amazon in particular isn't a meal of the deal with the complications in your category like, every one of these categories has great complications and there are Technical differentiators and there are IP differentiators. But what you say to all those barriers are lower barriers than they've ever been before and they're only going to get lower over time so that you know relying on that to be your mote um is pretty risky. Scot & Guests:  [29:17] Yeah and um just help blisters kind of put a little bit of math on this so if I am one of those Commodities manufactures what is that like a 5% margin business certain kind of single-digit. Jason:  [29:29] Depends on the category but in most cases yeah you're thrilled to make 5%. Scot & Guests:  [29:34] And then if I am a if I'm a brand and I'm selling through retail then that's 15 to 20% kind of a margin type business. Jason:  [29:44] Most typically exactly. Scot & Guests:  [29:46] Identify my grandson direct now I'm taking all that margin that get you all that that Mark up that retail enjoys which is usually somewhere between 30 and 50% I'm adding it to my 15 and, that's kind of like now I'm Into You know if this 60 - 2. [30:03] Maybe 50 to 65% margin on this is what I kind of think about that model this is why Amazon is doing it right I mean they can they can they can get a lot more margin that can pass, two thirds a third of it on the consumer have a lower price keep 2/3 and no action on a per-unit basis be ahead of the game versus being a retailer so that that's why, private label exist in an Amazon. The first one to discover this they just have the data to kind of go about it very quickly. Jason:  [30:32] Exactly. Scot & Guests:  [30:33] And then the last question before we get to our guests so we also have a lot of retailers to listen to the podcast what book should they do if they're not doing private labels that something the Explorer should they take the opposite, all in and kind of take a page out of the P&G Playbook and say we're not going to do private label will have just Brands only here at our retail shop. Jason:  [30:55] I'm looking forward to seeing that retailer that would be fun to watch but in general yeah, I think it's going to be increasingly difficult to make a living selling other people's stuff and when we will get successful retailers across the board there are already selling a ton of Their Own. you know we talked a lot about Walmart being the biggest retailer in the world like the second biggest retailer in United States is Costco Costco has less than 10% of the number of stores Walmart has any other the second largest retailer, in the usn there's a variety of reasons behind that. One of them is that the majority of what they sell is is private label product that Kirkland product in a few other brands represent the majority of of stuff that they sell in they they executed, very well they have that really interesting methodology of partnering with national Brands to launch new products and deciding if and when they'll they'll launch a house version of. Of those products in and they they've mastered that process along before Amazon got into the space when you look at the most terrifying grocery retailers that are entering the us right now and scaring the bejesus out of the traditional. Grocery retailers there their businesses that are predicated on on selling Almost 100% private label products, me know you got the one that us consumers will be most familiar with already is Trader Joe's in that space you look at traditional wholesalers like in in categories like Office Products or or consumer electronics and Best Buy has a stated strategy to have over 50% of their stuff be. [32:42] Be brands that they own it just very clear to to be a successful retailer moving forward, you mostly are going to have to sell your own stuff that you know. All the Amazons going to continue to be an aggregator of everything it seems likely that Walmart's going to continue to be a meaningful player and aggregators of everything but outside of those two players. There's not a lot more room for. Wholesale aggregators of products in so your long-term play your long-term viability is probably at least partially predicated on your ability to build brand that consumers want, and it will cause them to select you versus someone else and then I would. I would reiterate that that same Auto replenishment conversation I talked about with the brands if you're a retailer and you know. A bunch of the products that drive trips to your store or. Those things in the middle of the store that are going to become you know Auto replenishment products you need to think about how you're going to survive in a world in which, no one comes to your store to buy toilet paper or dish soap anymore, you need to think about a water world in which you know when people are shopping predominately opolis it's much harder to sell impulse purchases and so there's a whole set of, new business problems you need to be thinking about as a retailer in in particular in this Grocery and food category and cpg we're seeing the tsunami of curbside pickup buy online pickup in-store digital order ahead however you want to look at it there is overwhelming evidence that that's going to be a rapidly adopted model in North America and you know that fundamental. [34:20] Lead changes a bunch of the value props and so have your retailer you need to be thinking about how you win in a world in which curbside pickup is a meaningful part of your, your business. Scot & Guests:  [34:31] Jason one of the big bang moments and Amazon private label happened back in May when Mary Meeker had a slide about Amazon private label in her annual internet update, that's why I'd showed some sharks that had Amazon baby wipes and Battery offerings and that they had become top sellers so this is behind Brands like. Duracell Energizer in Panasonic where they were they were out selling you know kind of the name brands not the battery story and I know now that it came out in May with the Meeker presentation I've seen it, either tens or hundreds of times out there and I really think of it as the shot heard round the world for Amazon Private Label Amazon have been doing private label for a long time, but that that one kind of data point or especially around the batteries has come up in a probably with me, 30 40 50 times with brands that they were just really shocked by all that and you know if you look at that slide and look at the, bottom attribution you'll see that that data is attributed to 1010data, and to join us in our conversation about Amazon private label works cited to have Sameer bhavnani and Tim Wilson from 1010data and they're going to help us peel the onion on this welcome to the show guys. [35:41] Well thank you hey guys thanks for having us very excited to be talking about Robby Thompson shot heard around the world. Jason:  [35:51] Exactly but that that is a big-time right I would I would imagine if you're in the date of publishing business and Mary Meeker quote you that's that's about as good as you can get. Scot & Guests:  [36:03] That's basically summoning the mountain right there this is good as you can get it's also a very moment because you realize very quickly, who actually knows Mary Meeker is excited for you and who like my mother has looks at you like what are you talking about but. For me it's inside it was very exciting. Jason:  [36:24] That that's a tough one to explain to Mom I totally get it in for those of you that haven't seen her presentations they're usually like one or two slides and maybe like one data point in it so if you're that one data point it's huge because you're the only thing she's talking about. [36:40] Plus or minus about 300 slides in a 30 minute presentation. [36:46] But she makes it work. So before we jump into all that though there's always like to get a sense for how you guys came to our awesome industry can you give us kind of the lowdown about your your careers and how you ended up at 10:10. Scot & Guests:  [37:02] Sure guess so this is Sameer I'll stop. If you don't mind and the bulk of my career was spent at a research house called MPD. [37:12] And after spending I'd say almost almost 10 years that's as an industry analyst over at MPD I move more into the business side. And then a couple of years later my friend Tim who's with me today call me often told me he was starting a company. Who is focus was going to be on tracking what consumers are buying online and he wanted to know if I wanted to join him and I said yes and I'm going to let him see the history from their my history is I started. Investigating what people do online little over a decade ago at compete who is required by TNS and then kantar. Today I believe it's known as millward brown digital and I was so frustrated with the fact that a lot of our our studies. While they were great it was always just a little short with understanding the lower funnel and exactly you know what it is that people were buying so myself along with Aaron Mendez. Started the company in Quantico focused on what people buy online and we did this back in 2013 thought maybe we're a little behind the curve turns out we're a little ahead of the Curve. And during my first call was with Sam and so we we broke one Co-op and then eventually joined the 1010data family. Help round out their assets around the consumer purchase activity so today we have extreme email receipts. Credit card data debit card data. [38:44] We use all those behavioral Deus Ex to get a clear picture really but you're able to paint a pretty good Mosaic of what's going on. Both online and in-store and in that consumer purchase data is really the Crux of what were me Sam and the rest of the team are working on commercializing and bring it to the market. [39:04] And if you're unfamiliar. Internet were headquartered out of New York City and essentially what we are is an out-of-the-box inside right so we we help companies manage data. And we also help companies understand where consumers are spending their money. Jason:  [39:29] Awesome and you alluded to it a little bit but in terms of how you get your Insight I tend to think of you as sort of a large panel that then augments that panel with third-party data, so [39:45] So that the panel is sort of the quick stream in the email receipts and then your your augmenting it with some some third-party data is that why that right or can you explain to us. How you get your your data. Scot & Guests:  [39:57] Yes. Yeah absolutely so we have we have multiple inputs you know really one of the things that I've learned from doing a while is that there's there's no such thing as a perfect date is that they all have holes. They all have diocese etcetera so it's really about the more different the more information you can collect the more confident you can really be with what's happening so. We have we are actively scouring the internet or third-party data listening to analyst calls for any you know publicly traded companies we have, and we use all of the information that's available to us as part of our data methodologies for the projection of our estimates. However you know we do have our limitations in end you know we use our panel. [40:49] The way every other handle this company does I wouldn't say that we augment it necessary with with other third-party did a research but I would say that you know third-party inputs are an influence or an ingredient and the date of methodology. Does that make sense. [41:07] Here's a great here's a great way to kind of think about it so there's been a huge shift, in the measurement in the measurement world in the measurement of consumer behavior and that shit is essentially has been traditionally if you have a panel, what that means is consumers are opting into some kind of panel and they're going to get coins in exchange for answering survey questions of some nature, and that has been Houser the research base is really kind of measured consumer sentiment for decades and decades and there's one kind of fatal flaw in that. Methodology through well and that's very simply is that people forget so if you ask me where I had dinner with my wife Last Friday Night. There's a good chance I might not remember the exact name of the restaurant right McDonald's, and so what what has happened now is that the industry has shifted and because of. Sort of the move two words digital we're now able to measure actual behavioral data right we're actually able to actually measure what people are actually doing. Not not what people are telling us they think they're doing or what they want to be doing. Jason:  [42:25] Sure and into II like to attend to call that like sort of. Observed Behavior instead of stated Behavior so like you're not asking people where they shopped you're you're getting access to email boxes and you're actually seeing order confirmations for example. [42:42] Things like that. Scot & Guests:  [42:42] Correct correct. Jason:  [42:45] And in general like we're going to talk a little bit tonight particular about. Your insights on behaviour on Amazon and I tend to think of their being sort of, two approaches to getting insight into how people shopping Amazon they're sort of starting in the consumer and working backwards which it you know you're going to see all the consumers behavior on all their sites and, and because a lot of consumer shop on Amazon you're going to see a lot of their behavior on Amazon and I, I think of you guys in that space and then there's another set of entities that try to, scrape all the Amazon pages and data that's on the Amazon pages and sort of reverse engineer. Consumer behavior from the Amazon site itself is is that a affair taxonomy to be thinking about her. [43:36] You guys do both. Scot & Guests:  [43:36] I think you said that you said that pretty much perfect yeah we do the former we can certainly our focus on the former. Jason:  [43:42] Awesome well I think that gives us a pretty clear basis to to dig into the reason we're all here tonight which is talk about Amazon private label. Scot & Guests:  [43:53] Yeah it in Atlanta one quick follow-up are your guys customers retailers Brands both any any kind of. You know sizes at like 5 kind of companies or is it run the Spectrum in any kind of guidance to help our listeners can understand who your customers are. The bulk of our customer sponsor into a few buckets one is on, when I would say is well sort of well-known Merchants Tire retailers II is consumer brands. And the third would be financial institutions that since the makeup most most of our Revenue. [44:40] Got it so retailers are kind of using it for market share and Allison and selection analysis or assortment is that is that these case retailers. [44:50] Yeah so the primary use case for Merch are retailers would be around assortment right people are buying they they want to know what they should be out there shortly. [45:03] And then Brands is probably a market share game so you know how am I doing against my competitors on Amazon overall do you guys do, is this purely online data or is there an offline component kind of like I know the NPD guys have an offline piece as well. [45:20] There's their stuff there's booking online as well as an offline component. Certainly the the weaning that we have is this more towards sort of a digital art e-commerce piece of things and what brands, surprising how little Brands know about the size of markets and the growth of markets are categories within e-commerce so what we've been doing over the last couple years really has been. Give me brands of blueprint blocking and tackling how big is my category how fast is it growing. Which retailers are winning in which categories and Amaya tanning a fair share of that total pie, that's a really good Segway into Amazon private label which is essentially a brand let's start it kind of the what I called that shot heard round the world take us through the wiping battery data and that data you know if it was in, makers deck in May for all I know it could be a year old and I don't think it had the Lincoln time on it so if you have any new data on there that would love to hear kind of an update as well. [46:28] Shirt so just I'm going to take a shower real quick staff a try just to talk about just to talk about private label cuz you know some people really get it and some people really don't get it right answer private label has been. A real affordable price point high quality products for decades and decades Right grocery store chains have been doing it for you know. And, what's been happening lately is Amazon Amazon first four actually into private label began with its reading device right with the Kindle in consumer electronics, and from there Amazon expanded into, they had like for example the Fire tablet they did a streaming TV stick and then they did the Amazon Echo right which is a revolutionary type of device that everybody's playing catch up, and then the success that they started having in electronics LED them to start looking at more traditional. Let's let's call it household essentials type of products where you know they look at where is Walmart on the wicked Side Great Value brand. I'm so Amazon came out with two lines one one was once called amazonbasics and the other is called Amazon elements and those. Those Brands essentially well what I would say. [47:59] First start to cause fear with with some of the brand partners that Amazon had had and basically. If you look at something as essential as a battery it's been dominated by basically three branch right you know Energizer or Duracell Panasonic. And what Amazon is able to do is there a little look at you know years and years. Batteries or something that every single household has to buy on a very frequent and regular Cadence and they came out with their battery brand and there were three able to do that actually advertise that sell it for a little bit cheaper than the brand name. Are offering and categories like. Baby wipes or batteries and I think consumers tend to think that they have for the relative same quality yeah they do and mean. [48:56] One of the things that's interesting when you start thinking about the Amazon private label approach right they have they have ruled out in many different brands since then. Amazonbasics brand is. The largest by far right by our data they're on track to do about 500 million this year in us alone all online sales for amazonbasics and amazonbasics brand launched quite a long time ago. Right now I think of sometime around 2009 and. [49:27] Today with amazonbasics brand is really lot of the electronic or household Basic Essentials where you don't give me. care too much about what it is he put in for example Amazon essentials as well the closer or what they did with the diapers cetera. Any amazonbasics category they have really mastered exactly what it is the customer wants you can look at the date of one of the things that's interesting to me. [49:59] When I look at. Example that the battery category would be you just look at the number of skus that are carried and when you look at it the traditional battery players that are out there they carry literally hundreds of skews. On Amazon whether that's through the marketplace which may or may not be under control depending on how there but the strategy is. Amazon Basics battery count I think they have something in the neighborhood of 20 skews right and they're getting the great majority of their sales from just a couple of them so they really been able to. Mega sniper based approach. YouTube watching these products and they're starting to gain more more confidence you can see that as a start to roll out not just with household essentials but going into, Health going into apparel and no surprise that they see me rolling out private label and what appears to be all the biggest categories on mine the only category. Really huge online and growing quickly but they have not entered yet. Would be path right which is interesting because the 90s. If I'm a pet food manufacturer frankly if I'm any consumer product manufacturer start to wonder if if they're not competing with me right now what are they. You know I would not be surprised at all if it was some type of pet food that was rolled out here just because of the size of the category to go straight there. [51:28] Cool and then on batteries in the chart I saw showed something like Amazon basic battery is like 30% share and the Duracell was 20% and Panasonic was was like 12% etcetera, that date is still holding and, another kind of corollary so so I agree Amazon uses data too kind of come out with a better offering and a price point and packaging and stuff but then, you know the other thing do you guys have any point of view on the search experience in it how they're kind of service in their products versus competing ones. [52:04] Batteries is a good Battleground to talk about I guess yes 01 1 comment right. When we put out the dead a few months ago was I think I was 30% or so they've grown it so close to 40% so they're certainly trending upwards. In terms of an Amazon batteries selling compared to Duracell Panasonic and Energizer in and the rest you see the client everywhere. At some point though right there right at some point people are going to buy the brand name rice like my wife will. She buys she buys Tide laundry detergent or she won't buy a generic brand or any other brands always got to be tied and so in many ways. A portion of that business is always going to exist. And Amazon will sort of like 10 Mustang right will take a sniper based approach to figure out what the what categories are growing and how can I do something that's different and cheaper at the same quality. [53:03] I didn't do you so batteries or I Amazon's at 40% how about wipes I think you had them, they were number 3 in the last time I saw the data and their Huggies and Pampers were ahead in the Amazon was that kind of a 15 16% of day if they displaced either of those guys at this point. [53:19] They're still growing, but they're at they have it they haven't they haven't displaced the market leader. [53:34] Yeah until you've had your filter 615 there's guys at work then right now I can't even can't remember their names I don't have 3 so I can I can keep it all straight are there any other category. Are there any other categories like batteries were you look at it and Amazon his kind of created an a leading position with without a lot of people knowing about it that that jump out at you. [54:00] So those are those are by far the biggest ones and. You know if you take if you look outside of Industry we talked about Electronics in the beginning. Amazon is completely basically owning the home speaker space right now with the with the ECHO line of products whether it's the weather it's the portable Bluetooth speaker the dock or the. The show or the actual traditional Echo and if you look at tablet space right which is one apple Amazon's gone in there with a a lower price, good enough auction and not lower price by. 10 or 20% but lower price for like 60 70 80 per-cent and so they've really offended consumer electronics sales through the point which is fascinating that companies like Best Buy. Bed Bath & Beyond Target cetera are starting to starting to have been selling Amazon branded consumer technology products. Jason:  [55:02] Yeah which is super interesting when you think about it that that those competitors are then willing to carry cell that you know are viewable trojan horse for all of Amazon's other products. Scot & Guests:  [55:13] Best Buy and they buy an echo and then that person takes their house and what do they do with it themselves Amazon batteries. Yeah and that's it you know that's what made it so it gets me so excited. I'm getting into the home there is the Walmart Google partnership and the Google at home. I'm very excited to see what the shopping experience is like for all of us 5 years now because I don't know exactly what's going to be today. Voice searches is a new Pioneer at and I expect up the Google Walmart partnership to be. Very formidable. [55:59] People people we talk a lot about Amazon and for good reason. You know they spend more on R&D spend something in the neighborhood of ten billion dollars a year. Justin research which it's amazing what you can learn how to. [56:15] Yes they're massive yes they're huge let's also remember we know from the public earnings there roughly 95 billion in sales here in the US. Which is. One third of the size of Walmart $20. Will Amazon and Walmart growing you know High single digits. So it some point those lines will really start to converge but I do think it's important to get super excited and for good reason with all the Innovative approaches of Amazon brings it still good to remember there. A third of Walmart in Walmart has within the last year I think we would all agree started to take online very seriously and invest heavily in the channel. Won't we'll see if those Investments pay dividends but it seems like 2016 is one Walmart kind of said alright these guys are for real let's do something about it. Jason:  [57:22] Yep yep I want to unpack briefly the. [57:30] The size of it Walmart vs. Amazon as is somewhat debatable depending on the lens you look through so so for sure when you look at the earnings you guys had it exactly right but I think most people would would actually talk when they're comparing him with think about. How much goods Walmart selling versus how much good the Amazon selling and then you'd be looking at Amazon. Gross merchandise value versus their their revenue and I know Scott was probably biting his tongue cuz he's a guru in all this but, if you if you actually take Amazon's gmv and compare it to Walmart's gmv and you take grocery out of Walmart's DMV. Because until very recently. [58:11] Amazon didn't have much grocery Amazon's probably bigger than Walmart right now in non-grocery gmv but. [58:23] Be that as it may it's it's for sure for sure super interesting and that good. Scot & Guests:  [58:30] I think the key point right is that. Whomp Walmart's Walmart's one of their retailers that's not that's not resting on its Laurels and then actually trying to go on the offense to better compete for the long-term with Amazon on like a handful of other retailers. Jason:  [58:47] For sure I think there's tons of evidence there and we recently talked about a lot on this show it's this year that was the they were calling at the Godzilla versus King Kong battle. Most of the rest of the world just trying not to be a destroyed build in that in that fight. So it's going to it's going to be fun to watch but before we got into that you were shifted a little bit to the echo versus for example of the Amazon batteries, into me the actor was interesting because in my mind that's. [59:25] The echo has jumped this really scary Paradigm that that it doesn't seem like a lot of other Amazon products have yet. [59:33] It may have started out Life as a private label home speaker but it's not private label anymore it's the aspirational brand and it has a unique selling proposition and features and functions that the. [59:46] The rest of the market is struggling to to match and I certainly think of your product manager at Sony you're not talking about the echo as the. [59:55] As the private label version of your product your. [59:58] Trying to figure out how you get a piece of that the Amazon Alexa market share for child you guys agree with that like that seems like the difference between batteries wear. [1:00:08] Hey there just trying to let you know they're not trying to create the world's most desirable battery although I'm sure you know in some circles they've they've done that they're just trying to fulfill a bunch of demand. [1:00:18] With a a battery that's it at the right place at the right price with the right delivery vehicle whereas the the speaker is really created this aspirational brand that people seek out and give preference to. Scot & Guests:  [1:00:32] Yes I'm going to I'm going to make you feel real good I think you're spot on there and if you think about companies like Google and Sonos there now in other now essentially licensing the echo technology to put into their own products. [1:00:45] Writing so what happened like when I go into the spaces it was it was highly disruptive and one of the things the brands. Didn't know because Amazon doesn't divulge right bulbs for example Echo sails they won't they won't tell you how many Echoes they sold in a given year. Is it really didn't, know what it hit him until they got hit with a tsunami. And they sought writing this on Masters with a flattening of the crimes in a space that up until the echo had launched had been growing like gangbusters for themselves. Jason:  [1:01:22] Yeah answer that I guess that's the perfect question we love to know if you have any insight I eat everyone's always speculating about how big the the echo businesses have you guys tried to size that. Scot & Guests:  [1:01:34] Yeah echo echo through the first half of the year was about sinkholes about 150 million dollars and. If you look out right and this is just just kind of red conjecture and sort of a rough gas based on kind of market knowledge, estimated going to end up end up being in the 350 to 400 range by the end of the year calendar 2017. Jason:  [1:02:00] Interesting. Imagine part of it comes down to what you even count is that going to cuz it's your point if they're not licensing technology to Sonos and I was at CES last year and it was in you know hundreds of products like you. [1:02:15] Like that the overall revenue from that that that property for Amazon could even be much larger than there their own direct sales. Scot & Guests:  [1:02:23] Yeah it's whatever 25-year career it's one of the most Innovative called inventions that have ever seen. Jason:  [1:02:35] Yeah so here's the magic question. Scot & Guests:  [1:02:39] The revenue. And they shouldn't. Jason:  [1:02:56] Yep so. Any other products in the Amazon Echo System particularly the Amazon private label products for threatening to to sort of you know a game that same status are you like. Are you seeing any early indications from from anything else or there any product you you are keeping an eye on because they're there early fast Runners what's the. Scot & Guests:  [1:03:21] Within a coordinate. Jason:  [1:03:22] No with other Amazon products to achieve the kind of breakout success the echo hats. Scot & Guests:  [1:03:28] One of the other things the moving away from technology that Amazon is about to disrupt. Is basically help health and wellness and so Amazon. I seen a few things like protein powder or any kind of supplements. There's there's a lot of question in terms of consumer healthy consumer safety and consider most important consumer transparency right like what's actually in here where does this product. And if anyone listening has not seen the page for the Amazon tumeric product. You've got to go check it out it's besides the fact that it's gorgeous you look at this and they're taking something like tumeric right and they're basically saying here's here's where it comes from. Hear the benefits from it and it's one of the most transparent product detail pages that I've ever seen in my entire life. [1:04:28] And that's just sort of like their first foray into that right and that's that's something that's you know it's not as boring as you know if they have battery or pot and pan right if it's something that you're actually actually ingesting putting your body. Jason:  [1:04:42] Yeah for sure and it makes perfect sense that you'd say that to a category that Amazon's focusing on cuz if anyone has seen a picture of Jeff Bezos lately will see that he's getting totally jacked. Scot & Guests:  [1:04:54] And you're absolutely right I don't know if it's the tumeric or the CrossFit. Jason:  [1:04:59] Yeah so any like any early data on any of those health and wellness products I got it was it was vitamin E the first. [1:05:08] The first supplement in that family or you know and is that like catching any meaningful market share away from the the big player. Scot & Guests:  [1:05:16] Yeah I think so I think it was we haven't published anything yet just cuz they're sort of. Just starting I think I think we still need it I think we still need several more months of data, affordable to do that but I can I could almost be a picture conversation we're having with our marketing seems like first half of next year we got to call the state on how Amazon Student Health and Wellness. [1:05:38] Yeah it is a good day also started off very slow roll out right like the last time they enter. That's an answer something I was broke this personal was when they lost their first version of the Amazon elements diaper. Right back in 2014 15 so they're being cautious in what other category think about an additional help which is booming and they're being very cautious with their approach to be a little more aggressive and not quite as shy. But their approach into fashion where they watched several different brands and in fact they're at their fastest growing private label brand is actually. Clothing line name Scout and Roe which is up nearly 6X this year. [1:06:22] So big they are going after all the high-growth categories online and in some categories like apparel they're being extremely aggressive, watching a lot of lines. Depending on the type of apparel line you're talking about its they're giving a different names of people can feel like they're connected to it in a little bit of a different way. And in areas like health and wellness where it is. You know something that I'm ingesting it's certainly very much more personal than something is a piece of clothing they're being very slow and deliberate with their approach which is the same way that they approached. So I have no doubt that, even the tsunami you see with an elk and wellness sector online Amazon elements will be there soon and I'm also curious to see what happens. Right I mean that the Gap CEO. Nike just another one to be watching. Yeah that quick follow up on health and wellness what what is the brand they're using their is it a Amazon element sir. Amazon elements you mentioned Prime exclusives do you guys to your data can can you get an idea of how many folks are Amazon Prime. [1:07:48] Yeah we we have an indication I don't have it don't have all of that data to the sort of sitting in front of me we've done analysis in the past on. You know on Amazon Prime members what's happening now is an Amazon Prime is being coming a pretty a fairly significant portion of of the marketplace because. The offerings make it an absolute legitimate no-brainer for. Anyhow you don't need any kind of like middle-income in a bob sort of families if you're not a prime number I kind of don't know what you're thinking. Actually woke. I love it's the contact I'm a huge fan of man in the High Castle. One of the ways that we all know we read many articles about how important my membership is to the Amazon strategy. I was very surprised and we had to go back and double-check was very surprised to see that. Almost half of Whole Food Shoppers and not Prime members and. I thought I was like who would be that way and then I realized in my family I have to Avid two siblings. Tapping into half and Whole Foods Basin members which is only. Because we can see that if you're a Prime member and you shop at Whole Foods you spend over $300 more per year at Whole Foods. [1:09:25] The non Prime members non-prime. Non Prime members shop at Whole Foods spend $1,000 a year at Whole Foods and cry members stands close to $1,400. That's why they call it whole paycheck. [1:09:47] Old paycheck I went to Whole Foods soon after the right right after the acquisition and things like that, yeah they still have a lot of room to go on that. Cool and then you said on the on the, fashion apparel side Scout and row is up 6X how about another one that I thought was interesting was button to down and then they also have, goodthreads a couple others any other of those apparel items really breaking out or is really mostly discount. [1:10:30] You know it's it's it's really a scoundrel there's also a lark and Ro but you know we see that argument. [1:10:37] About 90% 85 90% Cowan Road beating up 6X there's no one else really more than doubling. [1:10:46] Franklin and Franklin. [1:10:56] Any ship can you give us a number like Amazon's private-label apparel items are doing 100 million or were they included in that like 500 million dollar number you said of the top of the show. [1:11:08] They're included in that 500 million dollar number at 500 million number isn't just Basics it's kind of the whole family of Amazon private labels but doesn't include Echo Out imagine or Does it include. [1:11:21] It doesn't kudaka right another way to say it may be more sensationally would be Amazon yeah does that include Kindle. [1:11:37] Yes I got it that's cool Jason Aldean. Jason:

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The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP101 - Indochino CEO, Drew Green

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 22, 2017 33:18


EP101 - Indochino CEO, Drew Green   An interview with Drew Green (@Drew_Green), CEO and of Indochino.  Indochino is one of the largest made to measure menswear brands globally with active customers in 50 countries. We spoke with Drew about his previous e-commerce startup Shop.CA as well as Indochino's business model, Amazon strategy, and the future of the indsutry. Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 101 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Thursday, September 14th 2017. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. New beta feature - Google Automated Transcription of the show: Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 101 being recorded on Thursday September 14th 2017 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your Tahoes Scott Wingo. Scot & Drew: [0:40] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason Scott show listeners this week's episode we have a really special treat for you, in a world where everyone's really scrambling to survive against Amazon we wanted to highlight a brand that is really thriving please welcome to the Jason Scott show Drew green CEO of indochino who is joining us live from Vancouver, thanks guys I appreciate you having have an assignment scratch. Jason: [1:09] It's entirely our pleasure let's get the really controversial questions out of the way early did Scott pronounce your name right. Scot & Drew: [1:16] Hey daddy daddy didn't say where to me but that's that's okay cuz I don't use the at the end of Green. Jason: [1:23] Awesome and you don't want the things we always like to start out with is get an idea of how you. [1:32] Came to your current role on so before we talk about your control can you tell us a little bit about your background and in what way does the origin story for indochino. Scot & Drew: [1:43] Yeah well I don't know what I do both because both her are bit different so you don't myself I've been in you know e-commerce. Retail for almost 20 years first company we we built up was really the time of time of my life I was told to double click in the late 90s and from there. I have this amazing journey by double-clicking New York I love being out of retail. And as you know double quick was was acquired a couple times by private equity in the Google and then went to have the privilege of. Going to a company by the name of shop.com and helping build that into a top 10 multi-category retail destination in the US and the UK and that eventually became part of. Market America which I think is that isn't IR 500. Iri R50 excuse me online Merchant sound of my own company and I really enjoyed that Journey House shop.ca here in Canada. Multi Merchant market place that has since been Amalgamated with. Several Brands under an umbrella company called emerge Commerce of which I'm sure. And you don't back in 2015 it feels like. Feels like quite a few years ago but but really only a few years ago I really got the opportunity to come into indochino. And help transform the way men dress and it's been you has been an incredible few years you know the business has tripled in size. [3:18] Are we done so probably attracted some world-class Partners investors and of course. You every success starts with a team would God just a fantastic team at the company. Your top to bottom so it's it's been a great experience indochino was founded in 2007. So you know we've been around for for just over 10 years. And have become you know the last few years have become really the market leader globally answer to what does that mean while it means that from a made-to-measure custom apparel standpoint I don't believe there's any other company in the world. I cells and produces as much as we do and so that's had somewhere very proud of but you know we treat with a lot of care and a lot of humility because you know we want to continue to build the Great business not only for the team here but. Obviously first shareholders. Jason: [4:13] Terrific some before we jump into indochino actually have a shop.ca question. [4:19] So I use them or I should say you all the time as an example of one of the the first e-commerce sites to turn their entire customer base into affiliates. [4:33] Am I being truthful there I feel like that. Scot & Drew: [4:36] Yeah that sucks yeah that's actually shop.com and and so you know that was post-acquisition that that occurred. And you know that is the that is sort of the bread-and-butter or models at that market America's built their business on and and you know they felt that that was the best application for. Shop.com I mean shop.com originated as a Marketplace not unlike. Amazon Marketplace but it was bifurcated we had both you know card transactions as well as affiliate transaction. Orly cost as it would be known but yeah Market America turned it into a almost a pure purely and consumer affiliate site after they acquired. Jason: [5:19] Don't you very cool and did you have you applied any of the the best practices from that in your current gig do you guys do like customer referrals and all that sort of stuff. Scot & Drew: [5:30] Absolutely I mean I think you know that the interesting thing about that is I think it's excessive. Going to take you out online only but it really any retail business is based on. Your consumer advocacy or or fandom as we can talk about sometimes it into Chino you're the more that you can have fans of the the product of the brand of the experience. In particular for us that in the channel the experience. Yeah really the more the more not only are you going to grow about the more efficiently you're going to grow you know when you have customers that are telling. Your friends and fam. [6:07] They had a wonderful experience and the noset friends and family coming and make breakfast it just creates a really efficient gross and so yes certainly I would say that refer-a-friend weather. Whether through paid or unpaid is probably a second biggest Channel at its cheetah and so certainly we feel like we have a ton of fans. You're talking about the Brandon and appreciate an experience we deliver, cool the server folks that may not have had the opportunity to to use the site Maybe, can I give my dog a quick picture of of indochino you you said kind of measured so does that mean someone comes to me and measure so and I know you guys have it you didn't take so long to hear what that is. [6:51] Yeah so if you think about you know bespoke or made-to-measure custom apparel. You know it's an industry that's been around for hundreds and hundreds of years you know man have gone and gotten measured and. You have been able to to create their own garment what we wanted to do was you know create a platform essentially to allow it to be mass-market to allow anybody to measure themselves. Girls online only first pick their Fabrics pick their customisations their personalization such as a monogram. You know I'm on the Garment and and really create a one-of-a-kind garment and so you know we were the first globally to ever sell made-to-measure online. [7:36] Really proud of that but we realized in 2015 and really what what I've been driving the most. [7:43] After years is you knows our success is based on an omni-channel experience and really giving customers the choice of. Did I buy online which I calls or the self-serve mode or getting a full serve experience and whatever that 70 show rooms across North America. [8:02] Yeah that's a good Segway cuz I kind of mentally put you guys in the bucket with but no bows and Stitch fix and kind of what what Andy done calls digitally native vertical Brands and then just like those guys you guys, open up the showrooms where they're kind of a smaller Outlet the no kind of a traditional retail experience and kind of different unique buying experience, so tell us a little bit more I think that's all been in your 10 year or did the company have some started. Yeah I mean we we we've essentially opened every one of our showrooms or relocated them you know 2015 to 2017. We really felt like to be. You know that the Undisputed leader and made to measure but also to compete with ready-to-wear that we needed to provide customers with an omni-channel experience and you know what it's really allowed us to do is to open an app. You know the made-to-measure experience to customers that just might not be comfortable. Making their first purchase online as it relates to a you know for the $500 purchase offer a garment and. Yes really become actually are number one acquisition Channel think about online only business is really scaling that business from a media perspective. And you know you are a retail environment not only benefits customer but it really benefits are model and creates you don't media efficiency from. [9:33] I'm back from a girl's perspective you know we'll have averaged just over 50% growth year-over-year lost. You're so 2015-2017 and we're seeing a declining across for acquisition and cost for crossbow order. From a media perspective in that you know almost entirely to do with with our our commitment to retail and channel. [9:57] I'm having not add up to you being a showroom may be described it as it's like I'm imagining 2000 square feet some some examples that kind of thing but then I've seen pictures of Foosball Tables kind of curious where that. Yeah you know every showroom that we have it as I mentioned we got 70 you going to us were in Boston we got to in New York to in the Philadelphia area. Now one in Washington one in Chicago San Francisco and Beverly Hills every showrooms a bit. Different and unique but they all have a very open Design Concepts and they all allow for you no appointment no I won't what we have isn't as appointment base model where the customer would come in. They would be masked with what we call a style guide for that hour and that's the guy that I said would help them create their at their garment they would walk them through and get the measured. They would have the customer you to pick out fabric since we got almost 300 fabrics for suits in almost 300 rabbits for shirts. So they would pick their fabric that they're stitching and pick other customisations and personalization said you know at the end really allows them to. You know create this one-of-a-kind garment that that nobody's going to be there not going to go to a party or dinner or an event and see somebody wearing the exact same everyone is is entirely unique a customer. Jason: [11:26] That's awesome. [11:29] Question about the sort of omni-channel experience so it makes perfect sense that their children's could be your top acquisition Channel you go in there you you get fitted you get that first suit and have a great experience, but I'm presuming that now you have their measurements on file and now that that customer has a lot more confidence in your brand, are you able to turn those kind of full service customers from their first experience into more cell service customers for subsequent orders is that. Scot & Drew: [12:00] Yeah that that that's exactly what happened so course you got some customers that just you don't prefer either the retail environment or our showroom environment but. You know the reason that we're investing in retail in such a big way is that the majority of our retail first customers actually come back on their second third and fourth purchase and buy online and so it Christmas really sort of official relationship with a customer. We get it right the first time. Bathroom showroom perspective but because we've gotten it right there the other entirely comfortable coming back and buy it online you know we don't have a subscription model but if you looked at. Yes they do that the repurchase rate in our business here is almost like we do you know customers are very loyal to the experience very loyal to the brand. And frankly you know what we found especially these last couple years is you're made to measure and custom apparel is becoming mainstream. And so you know a young man or or you know someone at that house that experience was made to measure is saying you know what. I no longer want to buy a suit their shirt and Blazer pair pants off the rock I want to I want to create my own, because it's not easy and it's a crime. Jason: [13:12] Cool yeah you know one thing I filled it to ask about is can you talk just a little bit about what the like sort of into end time line is for it for a customer that buys a product like you know. Scot & Drew: [13:24] Yeah absolutely so that you know what you're doing if you're doing me buying processor. You know what we are at from an internal perspective because the conversion final you know it does take some time so it's not a an instantaneous purchase your you're choosing all your selections on the Garmin. But once you've done that and you know the Garmin essentially arrives and. Right now under three weeks we've we publish for is the expectation but we've really improved that through your different Partnerships and optimization supply chain. And so if you think from start to finish your you're basically creating your own garment your own one-of-a-kind garment and receiving it and under in under 3 weeks. Jason: [14:10] Wow very cool. [14:13] In my my senses like sort of old-school made-to-measure garments when you go to a local tailor or certainly like you have some of the the International Suit house is like the. Like one of the big pain points traditionally with me to order is that there's a super long lead time. Scot & Drew: [14:33] Yeah yeah I need a Nazi that you're absolutely right I mean some. You're on some environments your weight 5 6 7 weeks for your for your garment and we've really. You got to really compete against made ready-to-wear to really be an alternative to off the rocks. You know we feel like we've got to get that that turnaround time you don't continue to optimize I continue to approve it and we don't have a timeline for it we don't have. Your specific launch date but our goal is to get at under a week. And you know once you get it under a week because think about your own experiences buying a suit even if you buy off the rock you're still going to have to get it alteration so. You know when we are at under a week in terms of production and and final delivery. You know we're entirely competitive with ready-to-wear and and just that much more appealing to two all types of consumers. Jason: [15:31] Yep that brings up another day question that so. One of the Banes of the apparel industry in general in e-commerce is the return rate is higher than we'd all like and I am curious if, the me to order it helps resolve that problem because you've got a chance to meet the customer and you you know that you have less fitment issues or you know. Part of me feels like even with a bespoke tailor and a made-to-order suit like they're often is more than one round of of adjustments if you will if I'm if I'm saying that right how do you handle that that's what it's about. Scot & Drew: [16:08] I mean neither of us are really question cuz if you know what I think back to you know the first time I took a look at this business and and the things that really jumped out to me was the fact that. You don't return rates were so low you know they were two three sometimes 4% depending on the time of the year and as you guys know and e-commerce in apparel Footwear. That's that's incredibly low number now we've actually been able to get a returns to well under 1%. I'd have been there for over a year now and again that's that's an incredible number now we do have. Alterations by a small percentage of the Guard. You know sometimes if it's not made to the customer's exact specifications will do it what we call a remake but again that's the the minority of of of the garments that we create. It's all Rino return rate as one of the most incredible things about this business because if you compare you know two other apparel or paralyze a category. You're most of the Power Rhonda you know in the twenties or even 30% from a return perspective. Jason: [17:19] Yeah I think I think most people would give us some significant body parts in exchange for getting down to a 2 - 4%. Scot & Drew: [17:25] Well I absolutely because it because it's the biggest impact online only. Apparel retailer it's it's it's very difficult and I from a model perspective it's very different. Difficult run p&l perspective then so you know where we're pretty proud of the fact that you don't return rates are so low. Jason: [17:48] And then when I scratch. [17:51] On on the general business I noticed on the website you also have weddings in your in your taxonomy and we recently had the Zola on the show so we we've done some talking about how lucrative the the overall wedding industry could be what, how are you guys playing in the wedding space. Scot & Drew: [18:11] Yeah me back that really goes to the customers that we serve an alien are number one and for the core demographic would be Millennials 65% of our transactions online. Or are serving you know that Millennial mail it's a little bit lower and in our showrooms closer to 50%. But really what we committed to a couple years ago and it's become our fastest-growing demographic is the is the wedding Market. And so you must send you message foosball tables earlier and call you know one of the things that we've done with each other room is set up a groom's lounge and that's really just serve that market. And to really become you have a place that that young man or any age men can get can get themselves in there and their groups party you know fitted for their wedding and so I would I would say that wedding is probably our fastest-growing segment. And certainly something that we're going to continue to focus on, it wouldn't be a Jason and Scott show if we didn't talk about Amazon a little bit so Jason I do a joint talk or we talk about you know, the obviously how big amazon is how much they're soaking up the growth out there but one of the big rabbits we give people on protecting yourself is to wrap a service around a product and seems like you guys, done that dude you have any fear of Amazon doing that or do you feel like this is a quadrant e-commerce are probably not going to get to, yeah I was watching you can never live live in fear you you got to. [19:46] You got to continue to innovate and continue to ideate you know whatever business you're running I think. I just have a tremendous amount of respect for Amazon and and within the apparel categories are obviously very very committed to it and doing some amazing things. You'll for us one of those things that we really. You're committed to not just to not this to differentiate ourselves from Amazon but really I would say the entire apparel category is really not. Not put forth that we're selling a product we've really focused on selling or even just providing an experience and so more and more. For our customers what we Aspire and what we try to inspire is the fact that we do provide an experience and it's it's a totally different experience than. You're going into a store going online and buying an item in that instance you really just buying a product right and and for us it's entirely different. It or whether it's you know the interactions that they have with our saw guys and how what they're trained or the you know the online experience of pretty on Garmin we've really focused on selling an experience versus a product. Call you guys have obviously caught the eye of you season an environment when it's really hard for me, she kind of companies to get funding I noticed madronas in there that's that's a really kind of real consumer Blue Chip how much, Capital if you guys raised yeah we're really we're really fortunate to have you no work last set of investors we got. [21:22] Madrona and Scott Jacobson at Madrona as my partner there. Yeah I'm deeply involved with the success of the company at Portside equity which was formerly Highland consumer is also very very involved. And our success and has been you know a big force and driving it we also out of strategic investors so we have no Diane group that's based in in China and one of the largest. And best suit manufacturers in the world owns a part of the company. We got a media company here in Canada that that took ownership in the company and will continue it to round out and look for what possible. And you lots of that say you don't really good position to be in, the best time to raise money is when you don't need it in my experience, to quick one so you kind of peaked my curiosity with the millennial kind of, concentration at any interesting observations as someone that's been in the industry for a while about in your all these kind of it's kind of funny meme that says joke around office money orders are killing this any other but they're they're obviously, not killing YouTube suits so any observations you can share about what you see in there. [22:42] Well I think there's a few different things I think number one you know it's a it's a the demographic that really takes a lot of pride in. And being their own brand and your for us I think that's why we resonates so well with Millennials you know they're able to create. You know one of a kind in the Chino which in a lot of ways becomes a representation of who they are and and their own brand and so. You know I think that that we are just the experience the product that we provide really fits into that. They're also they become and we see it in our. In our lifetime value studies and repurchase rate studies extremely loyal you know if they if they enjoy something if they like something. You know they're going to be loyal and they're going to tell their friends and so. But it is important to get it right I think that's true and in any demographic. Jason: [23:43] When it when the things it's interesting to me in the short of a custom product space which I I sort of put you in. [23:52] You know all customers but in particular Millennials in and Western CSN genze as well like the. [24:00] There seems to be a strong preference for more individualistic process products and in sort of you know Wes following the pack but. They also want people to know that it's individualistic so I I'm almost wondering like are you know that I think there's certain features in your product that, sort of reveal it's a made-to-order product as opposed to it you know looking like a ready-to-wear product like to do you find customers like. Intentionally select those pictures so that they're sort of broadcasting a little bit that they that they wearing a maid. Scot & Drew: [24:34] Yeah I mean that's not what I mean about being able to create their own brand right there not. You know they're when they're creating an indochino garment they're creating something that's truly one of a kind. And they're able to you don't put a monogram very very easily you know what that the jockey on the shirt or on other parts of the Garmin. You know they're able to pick their own lining from dozens of different choices are able to pick a fabric. And maybe mix. Fabrics you know applecross the suit and so you're really there's dozens of difference. Customisations in personalizations and if you know you kind of look at all the permutations that could be great just literally tens of millions of different types of suits. I could be created I think that's really feeling you don't know if you guys remember but I always hated you know in high school going to a party and. Bought a sweater at you know whatever retailer and then find out that there's three other guys about party with the same sweater or same jacket out of you and so yeah that doesn't happen within the Chino grated your own again one of a kind. Jason: [25:44] I totally get your point but I don't think Scott or I got invited to parties in high school very much. Scot & Drew: [25:50] I've I've seen Scott of the few parties I don't know then I don't know. Jason: [25:55] I am teasing you like to see your urine. That's one of the Leading Edge category in terms of made-to-order I do do you see that extending two more generally the other consumer products like the fact that that's a continuing Trend or do you think it will stick with you no particular vertical. Scot & Drew: [26:14] Are you know what's another great question that I do think that. A big part of the future retail is going to be more customize and personalize product and the more of that you know retailers or companies or any tractors can get away from. Commoditized product I think more success than the house and so I really do feel like at the highest level custom but I'll say is custom. Your product is is is really the future of retail in a lot of different verticals but certainly in a Peril for sure. Jason: [26:50] Yep and obviously that's that certainly helps you build a competitive moat. Scot & Drew: [26:55] You know what does I mean you'll think about competitive Moses you got to be you know aware of of what you need to do to to protect and grow the business and you know we constantly look for. What are call additional Motes if you will but you know where we're at work we're humbled by the response that we're getting from consumers right now. And we're very excited about what you know what the decades ahead are going to bring some. Jason: [27:25] Another area is our future looking that I'm always interested in and I talked a lot about fit man we talked about, in the ready-to-wear space the return rates are huge and typically the number one reason for returns are are fitment issues you obviously saw that for the subset of your customers that go to a show and they think they can get. Measured by a tailor but to enable more people to be self-service and reach more people I I imagine you're always interested in your how to best get measurements at home I know there's at least one company in the space that tries to use, the mobile phone camera for fitment and I I think you know I suspect that strongly a gimmick but I do know there's a lot of phones coming out with sort of, 3D scanning capability in that, you know I've always speculated that potentially is really useful for fitting in are you guys looking at all it does sound kind of Technologies. Scot & Drew: [28:20] Yeah we are I mean we're always looking at new ways to create and craft a perfectly fitted garment I think. You know if it's an extremely complex business right in terms of creating you no one to one product on app for Consumer bases and. Well those take that Technologies are full and you know seem to be enough to come in and out I I do think the back-end operations of how you create. You know I shouldn't Wonder one product her customer is is the most important the last thing you want to do. Is introduced the technology that you're going to end up with you know return rates that are closer to you know traditional apparel on so there's going to be a lot of Technology development around. You know how you get measurements or how we get measurements but you know how I kind of like what we're doing right now in terms of the technology that we used to. We got the garments right on a one-to-one basis. Jason: [29:21] Gotcha another Trend like in this are the Jason spaces that I've been a little interested in last quarter Adidas did this interesting pilot wear their weaving sweaters. On demand in a store and then I think it's Ministry of Supply in Boston literally have a. [29:40] A blaze or weaving machine in the store and I'm going to say Loosely they make a Blazer while you wait I think it's like a three or four hour process. [29:51] So obviously not not super convenient or scalable right at the moment but like is that a potential. [29:57] Opportunity for you or competitor for you in the future iqc the technology ever getting good enough that a lot of the stuff gets made in in real time in stores or ship same day to customers are those kinds of things. Scot & Drew: [30:09] Yeah I mean I think anything's possible as we you know as we go through the years and decades ahead of deep deep thought of being able to create. You know garment like we create but do it same day or in the store or have it delivered the same day I mean that's an incredibly. You know bold dream or delivery but you are hot for my from a super spective I do believe that were one of the fastest in terms of how we produce. Supply chain all the way through the consumer demand and like I mentioned earlier you no more costly off to my second tweaking. Because once you get it down to under a weeks you've got something very very unique and highly competitive. You know what is essentially about a 7 billion dollar Market North America on South. Yeah I've seen I'll call them campaigns or product launches that you mentioned but I think we're a little ways from being able to scale that I'm a space South. Jason: [31:12] For sure for sure it does certainly seem like that kind of you know early tip of the spear examples on which are always interesting but probably not economically viable for the last question. Anything else that has you excited or interesting about the the future of Commerce in general or or your space in particular and India. [31:31] Trans you are seeing on the horizon. Scot & Drew: [31:35] You know what man like I said as a technology e-commerce guy I'm just. I really really big fan and really interested on how retails of all day you know it's that's what's got me most excited and interested on how. Online-only Brands transition into either or not the channel environment or how do they leverage retail to drive their business I think there's going to be. Thriller credible Innovations and developments over the coming years and we hope to be part of that we think we are actually you have big part of it and Four Mile from a later shift perspective in and leaving the weather. Jason: [32:15] Terrific I think that's actually going to be a great place to, to wrap up because it is happen again we've used up all our a lot of time so Drew I really want to thank you for joining us in the sharing the indochino experience with the RR listeners and I'll remind listeners as always, you're welcome to continue the dialogue on our Facebook page if you like today show we would certainly appreciate a 5-star review on iTunes if you hated today. Scot & Drew: [32:44] Absolutely do not review cuz it was probably my fault if you hate it you guys are great I appreciate your time today. Thanks truly look forward to hearing more about the success of indochino. Jason: [32:59] Until next time happy conversing.  

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP100 - Get to Know Our Listeners

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 17, 2017 76:58


EP100 - Get to Know Our Listeners To celebrate our 100th episode, we decided to put the focus on the most important element, the listeners.  So we invited three of our most active listeners to be on the show. Radz Mpofu @RadzMpofu Kevin Harmon @imadness Facebook  Ted Fifelski  @ted_gives Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 100 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Thursday, September 7th 2017. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing.   New beta feature - Google Automated Transcription of the show: Transcript Jason:  [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 100 being recorded on Thursday September 7th 2017 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scot Wingo. Scot & Guests:  [0:40] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason and Scott show listeners Jason how are you doing. Jason:  [0:47] I am doing awesome it's super exciting to be at episode 100. Scot & Guests:  [0:52] It really isn't before we jump into it too deep I wanted to announce that we will be podcasting again at the shop. Org digital Summit, this year the Summit is being held in Sunny Los Angeles on September 25th to 27th. Jason Scott show listeners receive a 10% discount when they register using the code js-10 that's js-10 and we will put a link to the registration in the show notes where you can enter that code, we hope to see everyone there Jason as we mentioned that we've had a pretty big milestone here with 100 episodes. Jason:  [1:31] I know I know I have to be honest when we started this 100 episodes we're not on my radar screen I had to read a podcast primer and it mentioned that like. If you get past episode 7 you've sort of survived the mortality rate so I think my big goal was, was 7 and I've since then read that the average podcast on iTunes only ever gets 24 episodes. Scot & Guests:  [1:56] Yeah yeah and we officially have more episodes in listeners now just kidding we actually we actually. Jason:  [2:01] Yeah that's that's because I have a small family if I had a bigger family we'd have more listeners. Scot & Guests:  [2:05] That's actually it's kind of fun to break down some numbers so we started this I don't know about you but I really didn't have any expectations I just thought we would do it for, the fun aspect of it and looking back it's kind of, ballon my expectations I would share admittedly low so we've had over 200,000 downloads since we started the show, the record months had over 18,000 that was over the summer in June cuz we had so much Amazon news going on, the most popular episode is the June 17th hot take we did which is episode 89 where we talked about the Amazon and Whole Foods acquisition and then as reminder for every one we actually started this whole Adventure on November 13th 2015 with episode 1, do you have a quiz for you Jason how many how many episodes have we recorded. Jason:  [2:57] This will be our 101 including the one I screwed up and we didn't get to publish. Scot & Guests:  [3:04] Boomkin answer inside info but yeah 100 episode soon so pretty exciting. Jason:  [3:09] I share your Your Enthusiasm seems like we should be doing something special for the hundred show. Scot & Guests:  [3:17] Yeah yeah and couple months ago we were pretty good at math so we kind of saw this coming on the calendar and we started thinking about what we should do to celebrate a hundred episodes. Jason:  [3:28] Yep and obviously one of the first things that come up is is with many listeners know, chupitos is constantly hounding us to be on the show and so for while we're thinking hey that's a perfect opportunity to finally Jeff on the show but then you know we thought about it and the reality is this show is for the listeners it's not really about the fancy guest so we turned him down. Scot & Guests:  [3:51] Yeah you know we, Basils cuz of stuff to talk about both at listeners who who would care so what we did is we decided to really kind of turn the microphone around, so we we went to Twitter and and looked at the social engagement that we get and we really active Community here for the show that we really enjoy and, what causes a lot of back and forth and it went challenges us and recommends things and ask questions so we we thought what we would do is have a listener appreciation event in celebration of episode 100, so we somewhat randomly picked three listeners from different geographies all over the world if you will these folks work at all kinds of different size companies and have different kinds of rolls and we invite them tonight to be on the show, to hear about their e-commerce experience and where they think e-commerce is going and just kind of turn it over to the listeners for, for a bit and give everyone a little bit of break from hearing from us for the last hundred episodes. Jason:  [4:50] Yeah yeah I'm super excited about this idea and you know frankly pleasantly shocked that it when we invited accepted our invitation so Scott who's the first guest. Scot & Guests:  [5:02] Well Jason let's kick it off excited to have our first guest here for the listener appreciation show we know him best by his Twitter handle which is RADS radz and that's at radz mpofu on Twitter, what's up rats not much just wrapping up the day here how about you. We're super excited we hit 100 episodes Jason didn't think we'd make it past 5 and I had the long money on going the long haul in the sinks the red 100 we're pretty excited. Yeah I have to say that I would have to agree with you because when I first remember seeing the Jason and Scott Show come out I was just like oh my gosh I have needed this for so long that was like I'm starting my retail career. Yeah I told you guys 100 I don't know why Jason would say that, check two boxes for us here for the first time you're you're the first kind of super listener we've had on the show and then also you're the first International correspondent so you're you're not in the United States of America. Nope I'm in the Toronto or the six as Drake would say okay and is it snowing there. No not yet but it is raining a lot okay interesting summer where it's just been. I bet Seattle and BC weather where this raining a lot. Jason:  [6:26] And in the long run does that mean it's good or bad for the ice wine this year. Scot & Guests:  [6:31] No idea. Jason:  [6:34] Those are mine I mainly focus on the food of every venue so for me Toronto is ice wine and poutine even though I know pooting is really Montreal but you can get it in in Toronto. Scot & Guests:  [6:47] Yeah that's true but you forgot you got to check out Uncle tetsu's cheesecake as well as smoke smoke signals barbecue those are two really good spots those in the true true true Toronto Staples. Jason:  [7:01] Nice I am adding those to the list that the show has already paid off for me. So Reds you mentioned that you you were start listen to show you were starting a retail career you want to tell us a little bit more about what that was and what you're doing now. Scot & Guests:  [7:20] Yeah for sure so even though like rewind a little bit vacuum before that I actually started my. E-commerce sales career in at a company called Ashley Bridget, so I was there when we were still like in a basement making maybe if you know a few hundred thousand dollars and a scale to over a million so that. Being part of that company like they double grabbing use like every year since after that but that experience I think really. Help me get to become a part of tulip which is where I started started my retail. Retail career that don't know a tulip was founded by the founder of well. CA. Oh yeah yeah yeah he was involved in doing that as well so yeah I started my career at tulip that was in. March 2015 and I think a few months after that you guys started the Jason and Scott show and then where is your career taking you now. So now shifted to a company called pagerduty and a lot of people especially in the it the it and devops were all day they definitely know about picture to be it's almost like a household name. We were actually mentioned on Silicon Valley recently some I think it was Guilfoyle he told the Nash that he was on pager to the until we got back at the house he was leaving to go somewhere. But yeah basically Patriot Duty Autumn eats the incident resolution process from end-to-end so a lot of that stuff is being done manually right now so you know I have like an Excel spreadsheet. [9:01] I'm the psychos down you call somebody on it for there's too many modern tools to. Really get the key incidents that you need to resolve resolved so page Diddy animates all of that. Google every e-commerce site wants to be up 24/7 so I think you know you say you're out of the retail business but I think you just kind of dawn to a broader addressable market and I'm sure our vehicle it's probably interesting to your folks. Oh yeah I know definitely we actually just it's funny that you mention that we just started. Retail all of my coworkers are all pinion me for people's contacts so yeah definitely I am still very much plugged into the retail game only doing it through all my coworker. Get in touch with me get in touch with retail Executives Through Me podcast you can recommend they want to learn more. It's how I've already been said I've been telling them don't worry I would cover. Jason:  [9:56] We we have a vested interest in pagerduty tracking the retail Market because you know it's it's going to be sad to go to the industry shows like shop.org and not see you. Scot & Guests:  [10:07] Exactly I think you needed to tell our CEO and her had some marketing that Jennifer Tejada if you ever end up listen to this please we should go to shop talk next year. Jason:  [10:16] Exactly. Scot & Guests:  [10:17] Shop.org. Jason:  [10:20] That both good shows both good shows. Scot & Guests:  [10:22] Oh yeah both really good shows. Jason:  [10:24] The actually have a photo of you and it I think act technically it's from neither I think it was probably from NRF and you you had your then employers Logo shaved into the side of your head. Scot & Guests:  [10:36] Oh yeah okay okay I thought you were going to go in a different direction with that there's another photo of someone who's on stage didn't Maeve look like me I don't know maybe but that was. That was that was in January and I think Dominique actually mentioned that from bonobos on on the previous show I think I got to shut up because of that. Although we never saw you put Jason and Scott show logo in your in your head. Jason:  [11:09] That's going to take a more talented Barber than the to it. Scot & Guests:  [11:13] I fixed I was always thinking maybe just a j plus s but I don't do it at all. Jason:  [11:21] Yeah I know you need portraits of two portly dudes. Scot & Guests:  [11:24] Two rats two quick ones Have you listened to every episode. I wish I could say that I have but. The last one that I listen to since I've been ramping up at pagerduty was are the one with the Accel partners and then one that was either just before that or just after that was with. The CEO of the CEO of Kohl's and ModCloth I remember listening to those when so I think I'm about 20 episodes behind at this point. Cool you'll have to just drive to Florida and you could pick them all up. Yeah exactly exactly or I'll do it on my next plane trip to San Francisco. [12:10] What were what were a couple of your favorite shows so I think my favorite show obviously I can't, I can't not do it but Danza episode on bonobos that was my favorite one but also the ones with Rob Schmaltz from Talbots as well as Faisal masud, I'm from Staples, those were like really those are I think those are probably with my top three favorite ones all the a lot of the retail executive. Interviews were like I'm on my favorite ones those ones you know I got to learn so much about you know what's going on in retail and all the changes that if you know what happened this year and I'm sure that will continue so I think those are all my favorite ones. Jason:  [12:56] Very cool that being said any as one of our super listeners were we're always looking to make the show better anything you feel like we could be doing better or any tips for things we should think about trying. Scot & Guests:  [13:10] So I thought about this and. I think what you guys have done is really cool you know you have the Deep Dives as well as. The the retail executive interviews so I'd love to see maybe a little bit of a panel you know between and I'll maybe not people that are like opposing and Views but would love to find out. Maybe get like the behind-the-scenes story from what happened at Sears maybe not like. Anything like bad that happened but like to know where did. They live like missile I'm so like maybe a previous executive from there and then you know maybe get somebody from. Walmart or one of the opening or tomorrow off and coming retail brands. Could have done better or there now fallen by the wayside in the ones that are doing really well and see if they can. Meet in the middle and what can be done. [14:13] Where do you where do you see the future of retail and e-commerce. I think right now it's still very much in a state of upheaval. Get out like I'm actually keeping tabs of all the retailers that either went belly-up or like we're struggling really. Really tough out there was like it's the year started off with like BCBG and then the Limited, then actually remember seeing HMV Yonge and Dundas Square here in Toronto that's kind of like the Union Square Toronto onto the San Francisco people out there so I remember seeing that one shut down as well and then all American Apparel. I think all of these a lot of these retail Brands I'm hoping it doesn't continue but it looks like it well I think there's still going to be a lot more. A lot more unfortunate seems like that I put on top of that too kind of. You know balance that I would say that there might even be more consolidation that's going to happen at a lot of people are saying that it might not happen but from. What we've seen from Walmart this year with the acquisition of Moosejaw and the novo's band also more recently with some of the shoe retailers I think. Michael Kors just acquired Jimmy Choo and then on top of that Vince Camuto was acquired by although or vice versa so yeah I think there's definite going to be a lot more retailers that are. Going under if they don't figure out how to go digital and no kind of modernize their with their in-store experience and then on top of that. Jason:  [15:50] That's very cool I don't want to get one question in that we've actually ask every guest but Scott keeps making me edit the answer out so so hopefully for the 100th episode I'll finally get to get it in there. Would you say that you like Jason a little better than Scott or way better than Scott. Scot & Guests:  [16:10] I would say that the two of you I hold you both very near and dear my heart and there's no way I could pick them from the two of you. Jason:  [16:17] So you lied you're willing to be honest about everything else and then you I on that one alright. Scot & Guests:  [16:22] Good answer he's he's texting me right now saying that I'm his favorite. You weren't supposed to say that I have a kind of sales question which is you're there in Canada in Toronto and your imagine. You have territories that are boom across the continent is it hard to be in the sales rep in candidates Ellington us or doesn't feel different at all than if you were in New York or something. No I don't think it's that big it's that different at all I think it actually might even play to your advantage we're kind of seen as the we had this running joke on my previous company and to love that, everybody always sauce in the in the states as the friendly Canadians we are always just really do a comedy versus you know kind of like that. I don't want to generalize but you know the ones that play hard ball in New York or something like that so I definitely plays to word Vantage I would say that it's probably tougher to sell, in Canada versus outside of Canada Canadians sometimes don't like buying from Canadians I will say that much. Jason:  [17:29] Interesting I feel like we do have the perception that that Canadians are super friendly I mean it it's like I'm sorry a sort of a catch phrase for Canadians. Scot & Guests:  [17:39] Yeah I know right I actually had was made fun of in an Uber I took Uber pool for one of the first times, on a recent business trip and the gentleman the back just what he found out that it was from Canada he was just like, or you going to say I'm sorry a lot and even put on the Canadian accents it's definitely known across America. Jason:  [18:03] I totally get it this may offend you but I am frequently mistaken as a Canadian that people feel like I have a Canadian accent. [18:13] Which I have never lived in Canada but. Scot & Guests:  [18:17] Can you say a boat. Jason:  [18:18] I definitely can go a boat but that's because you know did a lot of work in Minneapolis which is little known fact but it's actually north of Canada is a lot of Minneapolis. Scot & Guests:  [18:28] Yeah yeah I've heard that. Jason:  [18:30] Culturally I used to make that joke and then I married a woman from Detroit and I warned that Detroit actually is. Scot & Guests:  [18:37] Canada. Jason:  [18:39] You you drive south to go to Windsor to drink when you're 18 that's the whole that's all gig when you grow up in Detroit apparently. Scot & Guests:  [18:46] Yeah yeah I've heard a lot of people say that and even on the opposite end, back in I'd say what the seventies and eighties a lot of people would drive down from Toronto and Windsor to the states to go check out Hip Hop shows because there was nothing in Canada. Jason:  [19:03] Wow certainly not true anymore Toronto is like that got a lot of great Hip Hop. Scot & Guests:  [19:08] Yeah yeah Drake in the weekend and all those guys. Jason:  [19:14] Very cool what was red we greatly appreciate your. Royal falling and the suggestions you sent all along and we look forward to getting you back in the industry and getting you all caught up on the show so thanks very much for being part of the episode 100. Scot & Guests:  [19:33] Yeah thanks a lot for having me guys and hopefully I'll sing me up a lot more retail shows I'm going to use this as leverage internally at pagerduty. Awesome thanks for as we really appreciate it. Okay Jason are next listener on listener and 100 is Kevin Harmon I've known Kevin 415 of the longest term. Ebayers I've met I think if we met at one of the early eBay live shows and he has been a huge fan of the show welcome to the show Kevin. Text Jason how are you guys. Jason:  [20:14] We are terrific 100 episode what could be better. Scot & Guests:  [20:19] Boom that's right yeah so yeah we really appreciate you taking time out of your busy schedule to join us so I'll let Jason Kick It Off. Jason:  [20:29] Yeah so Kevin Scott mention you been a long time eBay so do you want to give us the the background about how you got into the account Biz and what you're doing today. Scot & Guests:  [20:40] Sure I've been an e-commerce for a long time I think 2001 is when we started and for about 10 years I stayed in the media side we sold DVDs and CDs and video games and books. On eBay and Amazon other places did that for a long time and for some weird reason books and CDs and DVDs of again stop selling so well so. We moved on to another couple things are doing then and then now what we do is I have another company that sells clothing and books now. Jason:  [21:16] Very cool and predominately as a Marketplace seller. Scot & Guests:  [21:20] Yes 100% so we're sort of you know eBay phds Amazon phds we know a lot about both and we do the best we can. Jason:  [21:31] Nice and are you mostly focus on North America so those are the two two big platforms for you. [21:38] Gotcha and we do often talk about the Walmart marketplace as well if you looked at that at all or. Scot & Guests:  [21:46] Yeah we are looking into that Walmart in and Jed as well so we think that that might be a pretty viable saying coming down the road here. Cool so I know you listen to a lot of episodes you can listen to every episode I listen to. Show me episodes of the Jason I'm going to call you out on this I think you said that welcome to the Jason's not show about 6 times now. I didn't even catch that. Jason:  [22:24] That's a special service to the fans that I give to that the loyalist. Scot & Guests:  [22:28] Yep. Jason:  [22:31] That's all I mean to Beyonce it's a it's a Freudian slip my other podcast is called the Jason and snot show. Scot & Guests:  [22:38] Oh that's so strange it's for its for ents. Jason:  [22:40] Deaf deaf. Scot & Guests:  [22:42] What are several times I know it's hard to pick but what are a couple of your favorite shows. I think my favorite one was the one with Melissa Burdick from the Mars agency just because you know my Amazon experience and that she seemed, super knowledgeable about Amazon and it was a really good conversation you guys had with her I really enjoyed the the whole thing about you know crap which is hilarious. It was good crap joke the most I have to have like 6 I can't listen that fast normally get pumped up. Yes you super knowledgeable. Jason:  [23:25] And since we're talking about her I should give her a plug she's actually no longer with the Mars agency Melissa and another of our guests. Have started their own business which is now called the laying verdict which is of an Amazon consultancy so that's Andrea way right Scott am I remembering correctly. Scot & Guests:  [23:47] Yeah I think they should call it like Mel B and Andrea or something help her but I didn't ask me I was debating with Scott. Just trying to find an end and acronym for a crap for that. Amazon Canada and I can't for the great ones got didn't like it but I might tell you guys anyway which is it's it's not crap its poop which is probably only offline profit. Jason:  [24:13] Okay I'll. Scot & Guests:  [24:15] PG-13 know you're gone now. Jason:  [24:22] Well you know. One of the things we're always trying to do is improve the show and so as a one of our best listeners that is heard the majority of our shows any feedback you have anything we should be doing different or the drugs you nuts. Scot & Guests:  [24:40] Know the address to the Scott unbridled enthusiasm for Amazon domination. Minutes I wish I was more Counterpoint to that every once in awhile it's. It's cool to watch a hurricane make landfall not sure unless you want to people on the land as falling on butt. I think it'd be great to have like a I don't know what chat room or I'll take take live Twitter questions except her a little more often just just just involve your audience. Jason:  [25:13] Yeah I know that's great feedback we definitely are looking for ways it's actually one of the the deficiencies of the podcast format is you know. We don't have a way for example to email all of our listeners and get questions or those sorts of things do you have to use a parallel to like Facebook or Twitter and you know it. A very loyal but small subset of our podcast listeners are following us on those other platform so. Love to find more ways to engage more customers and get more feedback but that is only a great suggestion I do feel the need to slightly defend us though. Totally hear you on the Amazon world domination and I would love to be the the Counterpoint more loudly. But I continue to be shocked I work with all these. Our big Fortune 100 retailers and it's still more often than not that I walk into a retailer that dramatically underestimates Amazon as the competition and so like. They absolutely have flaws in their absolutely ways to thrive in in the market against them in all those sorts of things but it still turns out that like more of the people in our industry then I would expect. Underestimate them rather than overestimate them so so you know maybe we err on the side of hitting that a little hard but I, I often feel like I have to be in evangelist for a half serious at threat they are so much so that one of my biggest clients that they think they have a funny nickname for me they call me Paul Revere. Scot & Guests:  [26:48] Know he was right I mean the that is actually very amazing. When you see me look at what I've done I mean they're an amazing amazing company that has effort on their own set of rules they know that. I start unique in the world and yeah they're gone disrupt everything sooner or later probably sooner. That's a good transition you you've been common the marketplace Biz 4. Pussy 2001 you 15 20 years what are some of the big trends that you've seen in and where do you where do you think the marketplace part of the world goes. I think the marketplace continues but it seems to me like it's a lot easier to start a business than it used to be for sure you know 15 years ago when we started that was quite an effort. And now with all the tools available now it's a lot easier to get into a business but I also think that there's a lot of consolidation going on so I think it's harder to grow a business and you know grow into a large business in particular. I think because these large sights Amazon Facebook. Google the beginning on more and more of the entire end and process and so the more pieces they don't have that the lesson Advantage you have. I even if you saw on those platforms it can still sometimes be a disadvantage so. I think e-commerce continues and grows like crazy I don't I have concern for the really small business owners though going forward. Yeah and it's Russian cuz I have that same concern and you know you and I have known. [28:20] Know more people that have gotten out of the business owner still in it and then put then what kind of countercyclical e happens there, is baffalo like some of these small business platforms like Magento Bigcommerce and Shopify there exploding so there's these it seems like there's these Merchants out there that have, yeah that are doing well like Shopify just hit I think the 500,000 small store owner, what's a kind of Wonder like who are those people and you know that that seems to be where things have shifted the marketplaces if that so competitive that the a lot of folks have gone to just creating there a little, but then I don't quite understand how there, going to differentiate themselves and get their name out there wifey that's exactly right so 15 years ago the easiest way to start with on eBay. So every small company in the world start on eBay and then they sorta grew or didn't grow a coordinate the eBay's growth are Amazon's girls and now the Shopify and the other. Consolidated sites we can do a lot of different things on one place now everything is Shifting to calm and that's a that's a big change I don't know. I can't I can't judges level success over anything else yet I being too soon but it's definitely a big change in the marketplace in the last 2 or 3 years. Jason:  [29:42] Yeah it's it is fascinating I mean, play I would argue the eat of your really successful Amazon Seller that like or or any plat Marketplace seller like that that shouldn't be your only platform that you should you should have a presence on a platform you own into the. The extent that you do earn your own traffic and aren't you know and earn your own customers. Like you don't want to be actively driving them to the marketplace you you do want to be driving them to that that platform you own so I totally get why. The the shopify's of the world would be successful alongside the the big marketplaces but is you guys are both aware like. You know painfully difficult and expensive to grow a meaningful audience on that on that digital property that you own versus. Nina taking advantage of the the incredible traffic that that Amazon in particular has belt. Scot & Guests:  [30:40] Is there a true and you know I've always go to Amazon and eBay Caesars. As a market expenses an advertising expense and you're paying those fees they bring you the customers. And so you know on your own. It's you're on your own until you bring customers to you it's a much different situation and much more difficult situation but if you can if you can achieve it I think you have a lot better chance of surviving long-term. Jason:  [31:05] Yeah for sure we will use the I used to have this kind of derogatory term for people that. Brands that tried to use Facebook as their only digital platform in Fitchburg Facebook's a wonderful tool. But I used to call them digital sharecroppers because they're you know you're you're planting your crop shirt you're putting all your equity in this land that you don't own and you know in the early days. Facebook change the terms and conditions of how you could use that land. Very frequently in that you know was a huge disruption to to all those Brands and you know it does feel like. The marketplaces today are are very similar to that like there's huge opportunities there but you are a digital sharecropper like you know if the day that Marketplace decides that they've hit some critical mass and don't need you anymore. You know that your your your business is definitely in Jeopardy so it's. Scary to have all those eggs in that in that one basket is good to own some land of your own. Scot & Guests:  [32:04] Yep and that's been a major change the last couple years as well so so back in the day. EBay wooden Scott can attest to this I think even said one time that it seems like people just kind of flavors over there sometimes wear any 6 months. They can make it a complete change the marketplace that really disrupted louder seller base. Can I get used to that and then or later something else will come along and just kept going like that what you could never really establish eBay presents Amazon. Another hand they watch the products the truck didn't change at all the solid for a long long time. Until the last time say couple years and now Amazon surround to the point with her information. A new Rose new changes that you know can hurt some sellers I can help other sellers but but it's almost like Amazon let you grow your business bigger before they decided I didn't need you and I don't know witches. What the worst scenario is there you know you can get shaken off by eBay or you can get kind of gets trampled on by Amazon at some point. Either either have those risks which again why I'm sure every consultant tells people to sell in multiple marketplaces and make sure the doc is a priority. Jason:  [33:13] Yep. So keeping the fan show light let's turn to a much more important topic I heard a rumor that you rival Scott as a Star Wars fan. Scot & Guests:  [33:29] Boy that depends on what metric you're talking about but I'm a huge Star Wars fan absolutely. I have a big question what's your favorite movie. Thesaurus really starting to warm to that one. Tricky question is what's the best one of the three new ones that's the tough one. Yes another one another tricky 1ru if you could only watch one more movie this year, would you do Blade Runner or pussy we've got is there another Marvel and coming up and then then you have Last Jedi. Is it Last Jedi Bar None or would you consider some the others. Man that's a tough one I mean it's definitely Last Jedi but I am really looking forward to Blade Runner. I think Ridley Scott if you got the right guy I've got the right directors you got the right characters again. I'm really really hopeful that they could do something spectacular with that. Jason:  [34:48] So the question I always like to ask and this may be the the wrong audience for this but so I have A2 year old son what order should I be showing him the movies. Scot & Guests:  [35:00] Machete Star Wars movies I would say 4 5 6 7 8. Jason:  [35:08] Okay I get 456 first a lot but that that's. The skip the prequels is a good one there is like there's some fan edits of the prequels that are much better like I wonder could we replace the could we make one of those the official Canon instead of the the George Lucas versions. Scot & Guests:  [35:28] What you can probably edit those three movies together to make one pretty good movie I mean that's definitely cool things happened but how to pick one that's hard to even recommend them. Jason:  [35:40] I think none of the fan edits that I've seen that are you know some of these have had millions of hits on on YouTube none of them have Jar Jar Binks in the middle. Scot & Guests:  [35:48] But that's alright uh I think the woman Darth Maul I'm sure you guys have seen that at your fan is amazing really good really good fanfiction there. Jason:  [36:00] And I apologize for digressing but like perhaps my the funniest Star Wars thing I ever saw on television as you guys remember when Stephen Colbert did the. The contest for the the lightsaber green screen fight. Scot & Guests:  [36:17] Yeah that's good I did I was good. Jason:  [36:22] So super super quickly for listeners they may not be as big a Geeks as as Scott and Kevin the. Tons of people on the internet where do I. Making your own videos of lightsaber fights and so Stephen Colbert decided hey he would do this funny contest he would pretend to be fighting with a lightsaber in front of a green screen and make the video available this fans. And he would have a contest with prizes for the free the three fans that made the best scene using his. His greensaver is green screen lightsaber fight and so they they show the the two finalists on on this Colbert show and the first one is this you know woman Lisa from. From the you know I like Minneapolis or whatever and she's she's got this great video that she made featuring Stephen Colbert fighting the video and then. The the other finalist is George from. Marin County California and as as they're talking like it becomes obvious that it's George Lucas. Scot & Guests:  [37:31] Yes it was hysterical. Jason:  [37:32] And he's he's like in his own thing and they've like you know they've like. Cut new scenes for the movie this thing but the best question was you know Stephen is asking them both like do you own all the movies and George George's like I own all of them except the first one there's some dispute about the first. [37:53] Which I thought was a funny line. Scot & Guests:  [37:55] Yeah that that in like that the SNL auditions for Star Wars 7 was great too that's so cool. Star Wars is the entire ecosystem around it is also awesome. Jason:  [38:08] Would you say that something that Star Wars has in common with a Jason and Scott show that it's a sort of that kind of cultural phenomenon. Scot & Guests:  [38:15] Yeah I think you guys just need to add a conference right you need to have a Jason Scott convention and. Bring a bunch of your gas there and everything else in a certain place and I don't know is there I know Scott's wearing a red jumpsuit right now probably I don't know what you're wearing Jason but you know some sort of attire for the show we could all wear it would be cool. Yeah we get wicked mix in a Star Wars convention at the same time how awesome would that be. Jason:  [38:39] I'm thinking it's going to be at your that that at Scott's new residents which is that that the new hotel. Scot & Guests:  [38:46] Absolutely I can't wait for that. Jason:  [38:51] So I do before we get out I just want to wrap up like we had a good conversation about where the future of marketplaces are going I'd be curious if you had a maybe. SAE more General POV about you know how what what retail looks like in the future like does this digital. Disruption like you don't continue to play out how it's playing out now to see any big changes coming that the other listeners be thinking about. Scot & Guests:  [39:20] Personally I think that we're honestly really only beginning to see the beginnings of the acceleration. Honestly I don't know that's not good news for people but I think these large companies that are getting much larger much faster are described in. On a scale that that we've never seen before and will probably accelerate so I worry about things for example like even Brands themselves you know I worry. I worry that when you get when when is going to come in like Amazon starts doing a ton of private-label stuff I just a time and way more than we even even know about. And then answer to something with that like a voice product like Alexa. The combinations to it is really deadly and when you fit when he think about how deadly it is it's a little scary you know if you ask Alexa to buy something Alexis probably not suggest you it's on Amazon brand suggestions. And when you can when you take those you know brand spend billions of dollars on. On marketing and their packaging and they're looking their feel and when you remove all of that I'm invoice removes all of that so. I get this weird thing that Amazon is attempting to. Accelerates the death of Brands but but taking a lot of that margin that Brands used to enjoy and sort of shipping over to itself. So I definitely that Trend coming and maybe accelerating Scott yeah it's it's their stuff only you know when you ask. Her can't say it cuz she's right here. [40:52] For Alexa when you ask her for her batteries you know that's going to be an Amazon basic battery I think there's definitely rust there I think, brands are not really putting all that together I don't think you know Jason's earlier point they take Amazon seriously it off and then I don't think they get the voice thing and how it really, is a different way to shop where all the packaging and all that looking field doesn't really matter. [41:24] The decisions you have to make tonight bet exciting if you want to space not have toothpaste. I think Amazon is realize that and I think they're going to do their best to sell you Amazon toothpaste instead of your own and by the way they'll give it to an in an hour right so. Amazon has been spending all this time building this gigantic ecosystem in the background and I think you're just now beginning to see if that's it. Yeah yeah and then you know the Counterpoint, to that which I feel is ironic but I'll I'll do this is that you know when we first started Channel advisor it when was kind of like you had to be able to answer the Google question you know, how is Google now you have to answer the Amazon question so these things tend to go and 10:15 year cycle so, we'll see you know I think they'll be there's some company we probably don't know the name of yet you have some some dudes in the garage somewhere and there will be another competitor to Amazon that, the tides so it probably won't be as game over it feels like when you're in the in the heart of it but it is a little scary. [42:30] Yeah I mean if you think about brand searches right so they used to be all Google now it's it's got to be pretty split between Google Amazon and eBay. And in Facebook I should say Facebook in particular so even that even the even way to find products is draft dramatically changing. [42:49] Absolutely well we really appreciate you sharing your thoughts Kevin and and of course being such a long-term listener we really appreciate it and you give us a lot of great feedback, we will try to integrate your feedback here tonight and do more kind of live questions and those kinds of things and we hope you listen to the next hundred episodes. I love the show I love it and thanks for let me find next we be on. Jason:  [43:14] Thanks so much for being on. Scot & Guests:  [43:16] Discontinuing with episode 100 listener preciation we are excited to welcome on to the show Ted for felski Ted is on Twitter as Ted, TD underscored gives gives and he's always one of the first people to start a conversation after we put a show out there so not only is he an avid listener but he's also very, timely on on his downloads mustn'ts, Ted lives in Austin Texas and is part of the e-commerce startup Community there he is the father of 3 boys and co-founder of simplytapp welcome to the show 10. Hey guys will thanks for having me I always enjoy your show so I'm glad to be here on your podcast as well. Jason:  [43:58] We are thrilled to have you Ted Scott mentioned that you're currently the co-founder simply tap and we're going to get to that in just a minute, do you know when we have guests on the show we always like to get a little bit of the color about their career matriculation and how they got where they are so can you. Can you give us the Reader's Digest of a of how you got here. Scot & Guests:  [44:20] Yeah definitely so my career kind of started. You're out of college with a degree in finance going straight into International Business Development for the World Trade Center so I did that for about a year-and-a-half and then found my way. Down to Texas on a Consulting gig which. Ultimately led me to my actual degree in finance over the boutique firm here in Austin Texas called Arthur Financial Services. Doing technology evaluation for the energy and oil and gas Industries. And so I always knew I wanted to start my own company and you know. God willing and gave me a opportunity when my co-founder of simplytapp move down here from Knoxville in about 6 years ago and so we. Yeah we kind of met. Online it away before tender was big or before meet up with big I just threw some some blogs and we hit it off and he had a great idea I had a great idea we mashed them together and started a company in off at once. Cool what would really appreciate you listening to the show when when did you hear about the show and when did when did we kind of pick you up as a listener. Well I've been I think I've listened to every episode for the last say. Maybe April 2016 so coming up on a year and a half or so and. [45:50] What I was looking for when I found your your show was some smart guys with some opinions around the. E-commerce and commerce space so when I found yours not only did I find it interesting but I also enjoyed listening to. Take the given take you both hat and so obviously you guys spend a lot of time covering the world of Amazon because it's such a big part of the current ecosystem right now. At least how it affects everyone both from an employment standpoint to an idea standpoint to it infrastructure standpoint and so. I thought that was something that I had necessarily heard the level of detail and so that's really gravitated me towards Georgia podcasting. You would come out with with good episodes one after another and so I can listen to them. At normal speed where is most of them they you know you stood him up a little bit you get to about 1.7 maybe 2 x. And you get some faster but I've set through a regular speed with you guys since the beginning so and then obviously I started following guys on Twitter. And your website reached out to try to. Find out as much about you guys as possible to make sure the stuff I'm hearing your podcast is legitimate and I think it is, devious plan is working with pulled you into the the evil web that we have one. [47:32] And it your your diction to. Starbucks though Jason is a little bit over-the-top I hear that mentioned every so often and I just wonder how much Starbucks this guy drink if he takes it with him on trips and mouth isn't it everywhere already sell. Jason:  [47:46] Yeah it's it's a little bit of a problem I actually had a moment this morning I huge line at the Starbucks so I thought I'd be really Advanced user and do Mobile Pay to skip the line. So I do Mobile Pay and I'm sitting there waiting and I never comes and never comes and then I go to the phone and realize I sent the mobile pain to a different store. Scot & Guests:  [48:05] Oh yeah I actually saw your Tweet there but they were nice enough I thought that was a real. Jason:  [48:09] Oh my God they were rock stars they when they realize what I did they made my drink for me anyway didn't charge me in save my day. Scot & Guests:  [48:17] Bullets I think the price they probably was in your show so they're like. India favorite guess that we've had on the show that that's kind of come to mine favorite guests. You know you guys have had so many good ones over the years while since I posted over the year and a half. Not really you know everyone seems to be pretty good and I'm not a big names guy so. I really don't remember anyone that jumps jumps out that's like why I'm glad you guys had that on there because I was to a couple of them and I always match him up so. So no sorry. Jason:  [49:00] Know where they're all so good that you can't pick up it's like picking when your favorite. Scot & Guests:  [49:04] It's a Neverfull a while honey I can pick that but I'm kidding. You know what one of the episodes I really enjoyed was when you guys decided to put a token name on the new checkout process or shopping experience from Amazon. Seems like every time that they come out with a new way to deliver a product or service. You know you guys come up with another acronym for it that is really hard to explain or or remember or say it but you guys use it as if it's a thing so. Jason:  [49:36] #j Scot & Guests:  [49:37] Appreciate that yes that's the one. Yeah... Was I think here in Texas I think of JJ Watt which is the football. Little bit bigger deal than Jay water itself or maybe someday lumpy you know he'll retire Hill go into the announcer booth and JWoww still be around. Jason:  [50:00] I feel like it's always going to be safer to say to Jeff Bezos the Jay Watts not a big deal than it's ever going to be to say to JJ Watt that he's not a big deal. Scot & Guests:  [50:08] Well you know I mean there for people who follow just Beason Amazon me he has been bulking up there has been a lot of memes lately with him you know looking like Arnold Schwarzenegger so I mean. Jason:  [50:20] Know know know he looks totally fit but he still looks like maybe JJ's right arm. Scot & Guests:  [50:24] Yeah fair enough fair enough so it's working obviously as you guys cover Amazon. An undercut of all the to do and how they affect the rest of the industry is obviously here in Austin Texas Whole Foods has been a staple of one of the corporation's at kind of the Hallmark for what it means to be Austin right it's this. Upstart started neon 25 30 years ago from hey I just want to produce and Supply Wholesome foods that are well. You can't find in general Grocers and so obviously with the news of them acquiring them I was really excited because my office is about a block-and-a-half from their headquarters and I go there quite frequently for lunch so I know the prices of everything another people. Know when the announcement was made that Amazon was essentially going to a choir Whole Foods. I walked in there and the place was some pins and needles but to be fair you know the day that the acquisition actually went through. And I'm sailing back I was expecting maybe a sign or you know everything to be saying free on it because it's. Our delivery for something you know I didn't see any of that but the people. We're in good spirits and so I thought that was at least initially a good sign. The communication between Amazon and Whole Foods is going to be. [51:58] Good enough or you know smooth enough to wear. What makes Whole Foods Whole Foods and experience hopefully won't get washed away by technology day one it's going to maybe gradually going to go in that direction so nice. Turn off people are scared at least here in Austin for the for that acquisition Bill actually go through. Jason:  [52:24] No I think that is true and I only have to say. The day one experience was remarkable I think we've all been super impressed with how much they got done in terms of integration on that on you. That that first day of the. Under Amazon control this Monday. Scot & Guests:  [52:44] I don't know what you guys experience but headquarters never moves you know they put a new payment systems they put in terminal they put in new ideas that app never works like, this'll last post ever touch so it's weird because it is headquarters it should be you know of a flagship you think they would get that one right, straight away but there was nothing integrated in nothing to headquarters was just nothing at all, so except for some commentary about why why the employees couldn't use Alexa for something so. Jason:  [53:19] That's funny it that's a common thing so that the headquarters Store the store that's closest to the headquarters for almost all retailers like. Always has this unique character and like one of the things is it's almost always run by a totally cynical manager who's not impressed by anything right because. Can you think about it every vendor that ever called on Whole Foods has gone to that store and they explore that store and they probably like stopped and talked to the manager about how important they were to Whole Foods and all that sort of stuff. And you know of course all the Senior Management from the company shop there and all those things in like if you were going to be Star Struck by by the executives coming into your store. You wouldn't do very well in that that. Headquarter store so that the surviving manager there 10 tends to usually be a guy that walks to the beat of his own drummer. Scot & Guests:  [54:12] Yeah I think that's definitely true you know I've met quite a few of their their Executives being so close and you calling on them from time to time whether it be something that I would working on that I want to show them we're just in general curiosity they, they've all been pretty open even though they do get solicited constantly but even pretty open I've been able to. Have some pretty good conversations and coffee and what not have lunch with them so I haven't in a while obviously they've had other things on their mind. But they've been really great Bunch for as large as I've become so I'm excited to see what happens to them not to make this an episode about. About Amazon and Whole Foods but. I think it's going to be exciting and I think there's going to be some Growing Pains But ultimately it's going to really Drive. The industry as a whole towards better things from a consumer perspective. Jason:  [55:11] No I totally agree I do want to change topics to we mention you're the co-founder of Simply tap and tell us a little bit more about that. Scot & Guests:  [55:21] Absolutely so simply tap is a cloud-based payments company the idea was born from. My desire to want to do something in a meaningful industry. I'm being in finance specifically in the energy world I thought it was just phenomenal how you can take this material and it just runs everything right and I still looking at the world around me I said you know what there's there's something very similar to, two oil and gas and that is currency that's a meal money basically its Financial systems and so. With a degree in finance I said well that's pretty perfect than I do about three years of research and finally went Doug came down. On to Austin he had been working on us a specific. Not to get too confident but a specific architecture software architecture for doing cryptographic based payments. And today that that system is the one we've created and it's used on over 500 million devices worldwide mainly Android it's called host card emulation or agency in so when we came together. I saw that and I said this is this is what you've made hear your idea here is in phenomenal so I you know put my business development had onto my marketing hat. You know we started the company and since then you know we've had a large Bank clients and small Bank clients around the world. [56:53] But ultimately you know over the last year we've said well there's a whole lot of Green Space here in the United States and so we are going to create a new. A new mobile payment in a new shopping experience called game g a n e and so that's really what we as a company have been working on this past year and so we're looking forward to to launching yet. Star over the next month or so and see where it goes. Know it's it's been fun ride we were venture-backed we have great gravy C's and fries and Ventures and Lightspeed Ventures and blue sky from Canada. It's been fun and it's exciting and I know Scott you have gone down this path in your previous life and honestly now with spiffy and you've been around the block. But it's this is my first time accepting someone else's money and then requiring to return that back to them. 100 fold if you will so it's something that I'm very. Thankful of had the chance to experience and grow team build a product in Market that Prada. It's all been is open very exciting and it's all been very kind of. Nice to do it here in a place like Austin or there so many resources to to learn and to grow and to kind of pull from. That's awesome congrats on the funding the we just had I don't know if you heard it or not but we had Shane from Zola on and I believe Lightspeed was an investor in those guys they're they're very active in the e-commerce space as I'm sure you know. [58:32] We were a core Payments Technology and and the patents we have around it RR. Are very very strong however has a small company it becomes. Delicate to put the least and how you how you handle yourself. So unlike many of the things a light speed run Commerce invests in which is more on on platforms that are to enable Commerce or speed up Commerce or grow Commerce from. Cat facilitating position this one was was more of a linchpin to make Mobile payment actually happen. I'm so it's a very technical technology that we use now Visa NASCAR DMX and everyone around the world leverages. But yeah Lightspeed is a is a wonderful Venture Capital firm how to see the not Basin Austin we are fortunate for them to seek us out at the time. That doesn't usually happen but we were in a space that they really liked I want individual there and. Notice women introduce themselves if we want to give you a bunch of money we said I don't know if we can trust you you know and the dance began you know over 6 months and then finally they convince us that they work or not, we're going to steal everything from us and you Story Goes On so. Jason:  [1:00:09] That that's a great story and just just to make sure I have it right so simply tap. Which is almost a B2B play that would have license technology to other folks that would use it for for mobile cloud-based payments and then game which is Gano is a. Consumer-facing app that you guys have lunch that fits art of the echo system that leverages that technology do I do I have that right. Scot & Guests:  [1:00:35] Yeah you got that right so it's it's Gane . But that's that's fine I mean you got softener so it's just me going to be listening as my own. Jason:  [1:00:49] Now Jeff Bezos isn't going to find your app. Scot & Guests:  [1:00:51] All good I don't need him find anything that you can worry. Jason:  [1:00:55] And when you guys say host card emulation. I'm taking a wild guess but so you're using NFC chip in the Android to sort of spoof the NFC antenna that would be in a nfc-enabled piece of plastic is that. [1:01:12] Kind of true or no am I totally wrong. Scot & Guests:  [1:01:15] Know your you're quite right with a couple technical differences so an NFC radio is simply just a radio it can it can pass just been any protocol NFC. Is a particular protocol that everyone leverages. Or I should say what people know as of NFC and so what we essentially do is we take that cryptographic element which is typically considered a secure element. And we host that in a remote server so at the time you want to make a payment what we've done is we've we've incremented the cryptographic element a number of times. And then sent those essentially loaded transactions ready to be used down to the device for storage, a time of payment over NFC or really any means we deliver that, that cryptographic element that send merged with the transaction itself so it can then be validated on the back and buy a large processor. Stop a process that would process that particular issued product so it works with just about any. Every it's a universal standard now. But yeah it's it's on Android devices it was on Windows devices and blackberry but obviously those aren't around anymore so it's now Android. Jason:  [1:02:44] So one burning question so obviously the newer Apple devices have an NFC radio in them but likes. Heretofore they haven't opened up that radio 2. What are useful things we'd like to do it almost sounds like they're starting to an I thought I had read that they were going to start opening that up in some some Limited Format are you up to speed on that at all is there any any hope in the future of. I'm getting NFC functionality out of the the Apple. Scot & Guests:  [1:03:13] Well I'd like to preface this common by no one knows what Apple do until Apple does it but we do know Apple quite well. And what I would I'd like to say is it was great to see them it help the entire ecosystem when they chose to adopt. NFC technology as for payment. There's great advantages to opening it up and leveraging a architecture that we've you know. What created the industry called height post-credit Malaysian it would offer all the things that you might like to do with that particular type of radio or frequency. Making the experience that you have with the device in the world around you much more interactive and much more powerful potentially now they have recently opened up what they would say the readability for their NFC chip. Which allows you to Simply hit a tag and RFID tag. And then if there's a URL based there it will then pull the oral up just like you were to go to a website or provide you with information. Based off the products so one of the examples of this is RFID lock tags on very expensive bottles of wine typically this is seen in China or areas where. You can simply refill a bottle with bad wine charge the good one prices and so what this. Opening up in the way of Apple allows them to do is now you can just a simply walk up to the the bottle of wine in the store. [1:04:52] Wherever they'll go is to stop hearing about a product and it will then either provide you information about that particular part. Or it can potentially allow your mobile device to download a coupon or a code. Or take you to a website where you can learn more about that particular product where it came from maybe it could be pulled directly into a health app where, hey if scans it says no this is no good for you because it has XYZ and we know you're allergic to XYZ so it's a great step forward. It's going to be used pacifically for marketing and it's not necessarily. Fully opening their NFC stack as as people in the industry. Cool all this fancy payments talk is over my head but, makes me ask how you feel about Bitcoin and cryptocurrency cuz I'm assume you have a lot of time thinking about that when we were giving to last session say. Bitcoin was all the rage on in Silicon Valley and you couldn't get through one meeting without them asking what your Bitcoin play. And I'd scratch my head and say look you know if the government doesn't take it as this is my general stance if the government doesn't take. You can't pay your taxes with it and the government can't regulate it then it will never exist here in the United States as a main form currency not to mention that. [1:06:22] There are very large incumbents like visa and MasterCard on the banking system as a whole that will not allow a cryptocurrency as a de-facto currency to exist because they already have the compute power they already have the infrastructure. So for Bitcoin as a currency to become mainstream and many of my friends with hate me for this because their Bitcoin. I'll put that way it just won't be supporting the ecosystem and the incumbents can simply squash it through regulation what screw do just. Bearing it throughout marketing dollars so. You have the currency know what chain is more interesting there's other Alternatives but you look at and you have to compare the Computing cost of walk chain with the existing cost of computing a cryptographic keys. It's kind of you know it's not Cheaper by any means the decentralized. Essential system is not cheaper here just spreading off the cost across the notes. And if those nodes one day decide that it's too expensive for them will guess what your your network of nodes gets you no crappier. Because now you're losing computer power so I know it's going to be a big fight it's better suited for countries with currencies that are have wild. Deflation or inflation. [1:07:53] So I won't most likely won't hear work here in the United States for ever until these except sit as their defacto. Jason:  [1:08:02] It's interesting in general with wood agreed with you and share your skepticism but the one thing I didn't see coming that seems like it's helping to make it slightly more mainstream is ransomware. Scot & Guests:  [1:08:13] Very fair very fair you know the problem is you can as an organ well I see the problem is and you're right ransomware offers this. This way but you know. Anna silly want to go and find and hold Bitcoin and no one does right so if it if it's not an everyday occurrence and the payment systems as they stand today no this very very well. If you can get someone to change their habits and Amazon in anyone else will notice to then you really have no chance write a one-off purchase from a retailer I'll let Kohl's. Even if they give you a deep discount and you never go back, you didn't win anything you just discounted your products and services and you're not you're not making any moment towards them adopting your brand or knowing your brand any better you just trick them or force them to. Of the economics of it to experience what you want to experience. It's going to be a long fight ransomware will always exist being in people with cryptocurrencies at hopefully. You know I obviously it's not a good use case come mainstream use case your fraud and theft and blackmail but it is a use case and you know it maybe if it keeps growing and. Everyone's like hell yeah I need to have a little jingle of Bitcoin in my pocket. Cuz I know I'm vulnerable and someone's going to hack me and all my pictures are going to be frozen or stolen or my business whatever. [1:09:49] That does a use case. Jason:  [1:09:51] If you had some of the pictures on your phone that Scott has on his you'd want to carry a little bit coin. Scot & Guests:  [1:09:56] I think it wouldn't I think you just leaving locked forever that what you couldn't get back to him because yeah. When one quick, final question you're at you're there and Austin. Quite a hotbed of metal e-commerce but but high-tech can, investing in things like that do you is there a kind of a community of e-commerce people do you get the shipping guys down there like shipstation you've got that coremetrics bazaarvoice, Bret Hart and his kind of crew or down there how does that work in and did you pick Austin or you just kind of ended up there. Well so I didn't pick Austin I was actually living in Chicago before I moved down to Austin and it was College buddy before you got married at 4 months I had some time so I took that Consulting gig here in Texas and I can live anywhere. So he was an awesome I said sure sounds like a good place. But as far as the I mean I'm here there's a ton of opportunity and it's a great great Community but as far as the Commerce Committee goes you know what. It's definitely here. Because the size of Austin is so much smaller more accessible than say so can Valley or New York. It's easy to get in touch with and have conversations with but I can't really say that there is a. [1:11:28] Yeah I don't go out and play poker with with five other you know individuals who are all in the payments or e-commerce space even though it's there's so much of it here it doesn't happen as much as you would think. I've often thought about starting a you know I'm morning Club of some form around e-commerce but what I found is. [1:11:52] There's there's anecdotal stuff that everyone runs into when you're selling things online when your building logistics for whatever product you're selling and everyone has a little bit of different take which is nice but the end of the day Commerce is Commerce, and you know the tools that emerge as as best. Best use case tools or advantageous tools they all seem to be in your hands all the same time. Time for whatever reason the sales guys are getting those tools you know how to the businesses. Have have a good Rolodex to call on in so you know I think that the individuals here in Austin are are quite. You're in tune with the heartbeat of e-commerce and since th

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The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP099 - Tulip Retail CEO Ali Asaria and News

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 8, 2017 74:48


EP099 - Tulip Retail CEO Ali Asaria and News Amazon News Wholefoods - Amazon Day 1 buzz Amazon getting deeper into programmatic ads Amazon building a FC on top of what was once the largest mall in the US, in Randall, OH Amazon is #1 app with millennials via Comscore Other news CPG's face the threat of digital disruption Warren Buffet - Retailers and Brands in an epic battle Walmart partners with Google home (See Scot on the Today Show talking about it here) Digital Retail Newsmaker Our Digital Retail Newsmaker segment, features an interview with Ali Asaria (@aliasaria), CEO and Founder of Tulip Retail. Tulip Retail is a mobile application provider focused on empowering workers in retail stores.  They recently raised $40M in venture capitol, lead by Kleiner Perkins.   Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 99 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Thursday, August 31th 2017. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. A weekly podcast with the latest e-commerce news and events. New beta feature - Google Automated Transcription of the show: Transcript Jason:  [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show, this is episode 99 being recorded on Thursday August 31st 2017 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scott Wingull. Scot:  [0:41] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason Scott show listeners Jason you know what I got 99 problems and are podcasting ain't one. Jason:  [0:49] I'm sorry to hear about your other problems but I'm super excited we're about to have the Y2K of our podcast. Scot:  [0:56] I know you'll have to see what happens when we go triple digits this whole thing could fall apart on us. Jason:  [1:00] My naming conventions for our audio files way up with iTunes like everything's going to break. Scot:  [1:07] Don't tell me that I'm actually legit right now. Jason:  [1:10] I didn't mean to make you nervous I've actually I programmed everything at three three digit so until we get to 1000 we're good. Scot:  [1:16] I'd Optical you have been on the road as per usual and I think you were most recently up in Boston tell us what's going on in that part of the world. Jason:  [1:27] Yeah yeah I've been traveling light I'll be on the road I think almost every day this month, and I was in Boston this morning and yesterday which is a great retail City I was meeting with a couple of clients and some of my colleagues but one store in particular I had been meaning to get to that I finally got to, is the ministry of Supply Flagship in Boston and is in a retailer and what's pretty cool is. They have a make on demand. Wool Blazer machine in the store so you you can figure an order your Blazer. And they literally knit it in the store on demand. [2:12] So it's kind of you know which is definitely a potential potential future Evolution for a lot of retail is kind of you know. The Maid to Order personalized products at Masco and and pushing manufacturing out to the edge and all these things and you know. [2:30] In the distant future we might have a lot of this manufacturing capability in our homes but for many years before we have that. It'll make sense to be putting it into retail store so it's just think it's kind of interesting concept to watch. I saw them sell a couple sweaters while I was there and definitely not a perfect experience at the moment I think it takes about 3 hours to knock out one of these sweater so you're you're ordering it you're leaving the store to do some more shopping and then coming back later that day to picking up. Scot:  [2:58] Because you don't just stand there and robots kind of so it on to you Westworld style or that's not how it works. Jason:  [3:04] That would be awesome that will be a future version no it's a pretty big machine that looks like a fancy 3D printer it's pretty funny fun to watch. And what's interesting you'd almost expected the like that it would be a little gimmicky in that the product want to be that good but it's actually it's a stylish wool Blazer and it's like a. [3:25] The the Yarns are like high-tech wool it's like an athletic performance wool so it's like it's intended to breathe and Wiccan and you know it's it's meant to be convenient travel garment that. That look stylish but but doesn't make you too hot and sweaty. Scot:  [3:45] Call how do they get your body measurements with a Kinect kind of a thing. Jason:  [3:49] So they are not doing like a 3D scanner for the body measurements they the measure you the old-fashioned way with a. A tape system but one of the disappointments is they are not custom making the sizes yet so they do they measure you but they measure you to figure out which of the standard sizes they'll make you. So you can custom pick the colors. And some options and things like that but you can't for damn pole say I want 2 more inches in the in the Chester's or shorter sleeves or something like that which. Seems like a obvious thing you'd want and expect in a made-to-order garment. Scot:  [4:26] Is there some complexity around like making it kind of fit right and back on stuff. Jason:  [4:32] I think it's it's early like I think this is intended to be a permanent machine there some other versions Adidas is done one of these with sweaters and it was sort of a pop-up shop in Berlin for a couple months this is intended to be a permanent fixture in the store. But I think you know we're seeing generation one of the experience and I think they've said that there. They're you know going to see what customer adoption is like and and eventually expand to make door sizes. Scot:  [4:56] Thankful well thanks for the trip report and, one thing I want to talk about is it's tomorrow is force Friday and for this is like a Star Wars Insider thing but before they do the movies the first wave of merchandise comes out that's called Force Friday, so I'm actually making a huge sacrifice I am forgoing Midnight Madness for Force Friday to be on the podcast here tonight far listener so that's how much I care about her listeners Jason I'm willing to give up a little bit Star Wars action. Jason:  [5:30] I am super grateful I hope you don't miss anything super valuable by not being a right at midnight but I've actually I feel like there's been a lot of things pulling on your, testing your dedication to the podcast is that I don't know of our listeners are aware of this but we we actually had to delay the recording of last week's podcast because you are a celebrity appearing on The Today Show. Scot:  [5:53] I wouldn't say I was a celebrity it was just kind of one of those things aligned much like an eclipse and I was I was able to be on the Today Show it was kind of fun so got to talk about, it's funny I'm sure you've done these things where you talk for 30 minutes about something and they use like a 10-second snippet but I talked a lot about it we'll talk about it later in the show, the tie between Walmart and Google so they were looking for experts couldn't find anyone I guess you were traveling and they ended up finding me so and I was the one guy that answered his phone I like 9:30 at night. Jason:  [6:27] Is funny they actually called me first and they had me send a picture and then they got the picture and said you know what you have a face for podcast we're going with Wingo. Scot:  [6:36] Applebaum was funny the only wall we had at Channel visor that had the logo where the camera can fit in Halogen orange wall and it made me look like a Oompa Loompa so that was exciting. Jason:  [6:48] I'm glad you noticed that because I did but I felt that it want to bring it up unless you. Scot:  [6:52] Everything's I have like spray on tan but that that's not the case. Jason:  [6:57] Yeah I have to be honest I feel like that was shoddy work on the cameraman like I feel like they could have fixed that. Scot:  [7:02] Well you know they don't have the professional crew like we do here at the Jason Scott show. Jason:  [7:07] Exactly the audio engineer on the Jason Scott show would never let you sound Orange. Scot:  [7:12] A couple other quick things for get into it the, as a recording this we found out today that September 12th is the big day when Apple's going to announce something which we all know is going to be the iPhone 8 so that's going to be exciting and I'm sure they'll be some e-commerce implications we have a couple of things tonight we'll talk about, and then I'm going to cook Commerce on September 13th to 14 really just as a spectator to come look and see what they're doing I'm super excited they're doing a tour of a prime now facility so I look forward to reporting back to letters on what I see there, if any lister's are at that event and want to connect shoot me a note on Twitter or LinkedIn or where. Jason:  [7:53] And it's adorable that you think you're going to go there without me because I of course will be the one sitting next to you. Scot:  [7:59] Bloom I wasn't sure if you're going make it that's exciting. Jason:  [8:01] I am I am having to take a red-eye from a client obligation on the west coast so I might be a little sleepy but hopefully they're there will be a Starbucks in Manhattan that I'll be able to find. Scot:  [8:11] I'll be waiting there with a Trenta for you so that you're ready to get refueled and and hit the ground running. Jason:  [8:18] I totally appreciate it a side note on the world's best planned obsolescence like I thought you no one's expecting they're going to announce and iPhone 7S which might be available. Very soon after the announcement and the iPhone 8 that's going to be probably a pretty constrain product and might not be available for a month or two. After the announcement maybe that's the sort of common speculation and there's also a lot of speculation that they're going to launch a new Apple watch at the event and so they, Apalachee solve the problem for me you know what I was going to be sad cuz I'm going to want the aid and that means I'm going to have to delay gratification and wait to get it, but on the day they announced the announcement announce the announcement yeah I got off the plane and my Apple watch exploded. [9:03] The screen not an actual exothermic explosion but the screen flew off. So now I have a legitimate reason to buy the Apple watch so that'll that'll acute fulfill my my short-term gratification and then then the iPhone 8 will be my longer-term when I guess. Scot:  [9:21] Dump yard so Elon Musk doesn't call them explosions their violent release of atoms so that's what you're watching. Jason:  [9:29] Yes not as violent as some of his Rockets thankfully. Scot:  [9:34] Well Jason this time of year between summer and kind of the Fall is the crazy time in the world of digital retail cuz everyone's pushing out all the things they've been working at out for the since last holiday, and getting ready for this holiday season and true to Fashion it's been a crazy busy news week so let's jump into it and then, one thing for listeners to stay for years we have a new segment today it's called digital retail newsmakers and, that will follow a short update on the news and first thing we want to cover tonight is Amazon news. [10:25] Yes so the first thing that we have to cover here is we are kind of deep into this Whole Foods Amazon, integration so the sequence was Thursday last week was I believe the 23rd or 24th, Amazon sent out a press release saying we have received, that the transaction is going to close on Monday and here's some of the things were going to do, and that release itself really set the not only the internet on fire but also the stocks of the grocery companies so I saw that several of the main grocery companies were down 8%. And I thought it was funny because when they, that in the precious there was three or four bullets and it was almost a bullet for bullets list of the things you and I predicted on our Whole Foods Deep dive that we did right after the announcement. The quick take so pat on the back to us because I think we got most of the stuff right. Jason:  [11:29] Yeah yeah I feel pretty good and then one thing we, we did talk a little bit about on the show but the other thing a ton of people were predicting that there would be a lot of them Regulatory impediments and that that would slow down and that the government was going to look at it. Really closely and I think both of you and I discussed on the show and then did a bunch of Prince interviews where we we said that that was silly on that that this was going to. Not have any antitrust issues whatsoever and sure enough it it it got very fast approval. Scot:  [11:57] Yeah yeah and then so the day one activities were pretty impressive were you able to pop into Whole Foods on day one. Jason:  [12:04] I was and yet impressive is definitely the word the the speed at which they got so much done is truly impressive and scary to a lot of the folks that have to make a living competing against them. Scot:  [12:19] Yeah the so. The biggest one is price cut so they picked some of the most popular items and did some pretty substantial price cuts and and then kind of said more to come, this is nursing you know you're starting to see this kind of, you know you hear of this whole fake news and how the news media covers things in the political side of things but seeing e-commerce where. Yeah I saw some people report as much as 40% off and you know what day it done is just really kind of found two things that had been discounted and then didn't average that was one way of looking at it, and then the most conservative article I read said that it was only like 1% and what this person did as they took like. Every SKU in the store and. Including like that you know the 50 to 100 top sellers and then they just kind of looked at the math that way and that one's kind of the dinner some cuz it was clearly designed to get the worst results and it basically said well you know the prices have achieved more than 1% we checked. 10000 items and so I thought that was funny that it's clearly they they either had absolutely no idea how Commerce works or they were just trying to. Prove a point that it wasn't that big of a discount. Jason:  [13:33] Yeah I mean it it does go like there's an age-old problem with. Like tracking prices and you know everyone has a different basket of goods and and you know every basket is going to have a. A different outcome in so you know the most interesting studies are the ones that like pick a consistent basket of goods over a long period of time and then you can see. Ctrends. [13:57] But you know I just have to say like the fact that they got prices changed at all in my mind was super impressive and their brilliant about milking those price changes for for a huge amount of PR but just in general. They got a bunch of Amazon signage up in the stores they got a display in every store that was merchandised with a bunch of Echoes that were for sale. And you know they they they change prices on you know a hundred items that are you know likely price sensitive items that that people are paying attention to in generated a bunch of media that prices are lower in Whole Foods which is. Going to drive a bunch of extra traffic to Whole Foods weather. [14:40] Does customers particular baskets are lower or not so you look at all that that they got done on the first day that they took control of the store and you go you know man in a traditional grocery store that list of activities would take nine months to deploy. Scot:  [14:54] Yep and it goes even deeper so when the arrow kind of points from Whole Foods to Amazon so the things I saw they had you know a really good selection of Whole Food private label and that's called, whole 6330 another word for 365 and so that was on Prime now it was promoted categorized and you know the pricing seem to be pretty aggressive I didn't check exactly to the store but it seemed to match the, a couple things I saw on Main Amazon you had some things so that that was also an impressive that they got that done so quickly. Jason:  [15:33] Yep absolutely there they are just operating at a different speed than everyone else in and that you know should should really be a wake-up call if if you're you're planning to compete with them. Scot:  [15:46] Yeah nothing in the announcement that I thought we had talked about that a lot of people poo-pooed but is definitely happening like it's two things so number one they're kind of it's not a day one thing cuz there's an integration. Amazon Prime will become the whole food customer reward program and then, I know folks that have gone in and chatted and heard from cashiers that there will be an overall Prime discount to your entire basket. One cashier said 10% I have no idea how they're going to verify your Prime imagine maybe a mobile app or something but that's going to be interesting to watch roll out. And another one that you know is interesting in and unite talk about this kind of being able to, I think a lot of people are really obsessed with this are they going to just ship is going to become a shipping station and this kind of thing and actually the reverse was announced where Amazon's going to put Lockers in there so if you're going to Whole Foods you have some Amazon returns you bring them with you, I just told her to lock her and now you saved yourself a trip to the UPS store or whatever it is you need to drop those off. Jason:  [16:49] Yeah yeah bunch of the crazy things on day one and I'm sure we've only seen the first wave of the interesting integration so it's it's going to definitely be a fun one to watch. Scot:  [17:00] And then continue on the Amazon news11 tidbit I saw we've talked about this on the show or fair amount where you know I think the Amazon ad. Kind of opportunity is way bigger than people realize and there's a lot going on there so there's an article in digiday where they talked about. Not Amazon has really kind of opened up in within the Amazon Marketing Group AMG and AMS a lot of AP eyes that allow for more programmatic bidding so as you know being in the ad to yourself you know the. Biggest advertisers have these pretty complex things they want to do they want Total Control they want to be able to programmatically do things the first generation of the Amazon API would basically say or or Amazon's. Add technology basically said Mr Advertiser that's great but here's our little system this toy built you're going to have to use it yourself that really kind of delayed adoption so now when it comes to things like the bility to you spin up. Retargeting campaigns display ad campaigns and then search programmatic search kind of things they have a piece out there now that they are pretty actively. Getting into the hands of advertisers which eyemagine is part of a Q4 push to to really kind of dramatically grow that business so so that's pretty interesting and I still think that's probably the most underappreciated kind of. What could be another multibillion-dollar pillar for Amazon is is the the Amazon ad technology. Jason:  [18:32] For sure. Another interesting Amazon announcement partly because of the irony is that they announce their, a new fulfillment center that they are opening and the location is quite interesting because, they are taking over a 900,000 square foot mall and Randall Ohio so this is one of the very first. Indoor Regional malls close back in 2005 and you know there's a lots of Taco in the mall again and World about you know what. Scot:  [19:19] You think they really turn it into a cell phone I kind of envisioned I'm having a bold as it don't you think. Jason:  [19:25] Yeah the location yeah I think the I think Amazon's fulfillment centers are highly optimized I don't I don't imagine they would reuse the space. Scot:  [19:34] Yeah it's called it like a huge fulfillment center I think it's going to 800,000 square feet which Amazon's building of it like 1.5 21.9 now it's actually a small fulfillment center for Amazon. Jason:  [19:46] Yeah but I mean to put that inside that's a very typical sized you know Regional mall and so your point like a regional mall is a small Amazon fulfillment center. Scot:  [19:59] Yeah and then I think it's a nursing cuz I'll probably a lot of jobs inside of there too so I don't know what do you say so. Jason:  [20:05] I think they Dance 2000 people on day one. Scot:  [20:09] What is to do the math of the conversion rate for every dollar you lose in retail and how many employees does that and then what's it look like over at Amazon I think that would be a fun exercise will do a deep dive on it. Jason:  [20:21] Awesome are there is a lot of good dialogue around that Trends in in retail hiring and what happens with unit e-commerce Jobs go up as as brick mortar Jobs go down on all this or something so that be a great thing to deep diver. Scot:  [20:35] Another quick hit on amazon.com Square put out a pretty interesting chart I will put it in the show notes and what they did is they did one of their comps Corey studies with Millennials and they found that shocker Amazon is the number one app with millennials, and they asked interesting series of questions like you know what app would it be most hard to live without an Amazon came out on top of that, I and another interesting fact wait on that as you had Amazon it number one and then you had some Social Media stuff, Google was in there but it's kind of me okay third the size of of. Of Amazon it's just another maze data points that kind of shows that as people. A Amazon has become the de-facto kind of product search that the people look for and then be, as people look for products they are not really going to Google anymore they're going to Amazon. Jason:  [21:29] Yep and you know it that isn't surprising I've just done a bunch of consumer research on behalf of of some clients and you know one of the huge takeaways is is Amazon is just simply becoming a loved brand and. You know they're there an important part of the consumer's life they're not just a place to get stuff so it makes perfect sense that their app would be the. The sticky one of the top of the Heat. [21:57] I think there's also a lot of interesting not Amazon news this week. One of my favorites is there was an article in the Wall Street Journal this week talking about citing Warren Buffett and talking about. Retail and Brands being on a collision course. [22:18] And this was that super exciting for me because I have been that that is slide one in my my retail Trends presentation for the last 6 months so when. Warren Buffett agrees with me that's one of the rare occasions when I feel like I'm probably on to something. Scot:  [22:34] Call did Warren call you for advice on this. Jason:  [22:37] She did not but essentially like the the the spin here is. Retailers and brands have always been Frenemies that retailers have been trying to create their own private label brands. Forever but you don't allow the more recent Trends are the the stigma around private labels is going away and customers are much more happily adopting them and. As a result. National brands are losing their equities are losing their Equity you know stores are all getting Consolidated so the retailers have more power and from Warren's position who owns a lot of cpgs. You know you know what I think he's saying that the retail and brands are on a collision course and the retailers are winning. [23:26] Which which I certainly think is is possible in one sense I think the industry interesting thing we talk a lot like. These products retailers are making are no longer private labels like they're their National Brands the. Kirkland is the best sounding you know sells more on Amazon than they do on on Costco right like that's that's a brand it's not a a private label for Costco and you know that the Amazon Echo. Is it certainly not a private label product like it's it's the market-leading you know best ecosystem product in a space. So I certainly think that the trend is true I think it's beyond. Just private labels but one of the interesting subtext under this is the this article kind of echoed a lot of Articles have been in the news this this week. [24:21] The one one of my competitors in the space wpp announced servisoft Revenue quarter and you know people are making a lot of. Conversation around hey is advertising or digital advertising. Dying or weighing it looks like he's big big Ad Agency holding companies are starting to see soft soft sales so you know a lot of. People that care about me or asking you know if my curse in Jeopardy and I do think. That that we're seeing those kind those digital ads really start to wane like that. What I call interrupted rim and advertising like interrupting when someone wants to see in order to you know force-feed them this advertisement just. Is a decreasingly. Effective tactic and it's the the analog versions are less effective in the digital versions are less effective and I think you know our friend Scott Galloway like he calls advertising is increasingly becoming. Attacks that poor people pay any talks about all the. The the rapidly adopted ways that more affluent people are paying to avoid ads and you you get your your media from Netflix without ads and. You pay for ad blockers and he pay for subscriptions to you newspaper to get it without ads and said I feel like this traditional. Interrupter of an advertising is sort of dying and you know so agencies like mine or having to reinvent themselves to serve customers in ways other than advertising and and of course the. [25:53] The particular company I work for it doesn't really do that kind of advertising so so it doesn't particular dust. But the big article that came out that really triggered all this was about a week ago and it was marked picture who's the chief customer officer at P&G. And he announced that they had really concluded the digital advertising wasn't working and they were they were going to cut at least a hundred million dollars of their digital ad spend because it wasn't effect. [26:19] And that's interesting because I do think there's a strong Trend towards. [26:26] Eliminating some of this this interrupt driven advertising but I don't think that's the whole story of Procter & Gamble. Patrick gamble has some some some serious activist investors that are kind of in their shorts right now and you know there's a lot of pressure on them to cut costs and it really looks to me like. They just did a brain-dead analysis and some of their marketing activities and are trying to justify the fact that they're having to significantly curtailed their spending so you know their there they're doing like. [26:56] Kind of brain-dead last-click attribution on a on a whole bunch of marketing spend and just saying hey hey you know we don't anticipate sales are going to significantly go down when we. We stopped spending this this hundred million dollars but it you know it it really kind of. Doesn't feel like they they've done a very detailed analysis on how you know how, you have and how that media is or could be influencing sales in their wholesale partners and and you know they're there, they just seem really rudimentary on the metrics Mark Mark is like one of the most powerful guys in advertising and he spends all his time talking about, a metric called visibility like whether or not you can just see an ad, and wow it's super important that that that metric be right it seems like someone about 32 levels below Mark should be focused on that and someone at marks level should be a lot more focused on, how can I marketing tactics drive more profit for human and you know it just seems like, like tractor is kind of lost lost sight of that kind of view on on their digital marketing spend. Scot:  [28:01] Sold articles are nursing say think so Buffett and then also one of Sam Walton's descendants of sold quite a bit of Walmart stock, and it's just confusing cuz the Articles kind of time together but like you can tell the, the two events that happened separately in Warren Buffett's not really saying the reason I'm selling Walmart stock is because of this battle of between Brands and retailers but but it's interesting to because he's he's kind of. With his wallet he's buying Brad's and Son retailers but then he's kind of saying that he thinks retailers are winning that battle what's your. [28:38] Which kind of your view on that. Jason:  [28:39] Yeah I don't I agree he he I'm a less sophisticated investor than you but part of me feels like he has a very disciplined investment strategy, that you know is based on value investing and so you know in a market where the cpgs are losing power to the retailers are the retailers stocks becoming, yeah less likely to meet his value criteria and does he feel like if he can pick the the subset of winners among the cpgs that those are potentially better. Better value investment censored you know better fit his in his particular investment profile. [29:20] I don't know if that's true or not I was that's internally speculation on my part. Scot:  [29:24] Yeah it's it's a little confusing the way they time together but they're not really meant to be together. Jason:  [29:31] Yeah for sure it's going to be an interesting space to keep watching, I think we talked on the show it's going to be increasingly hard to make a living selling other people's stuff and so what you just are going to see is you know, retailers are going to start looking a lot more like Brands and Brands you don't going to have that retail distribution so they're going to have to start selling direct to Consumers and so they're going to start looking more like retailer so I definitely wouldn't we say collision course I think the two businesses are going to know start looking a lot more the same than different is as we progressed. Scot:  [30:02] I'm just glad that we have a little break from the mall again merkel's it's getting kind of a little old. Jason:  [30:08] Yeah and I don't think we have much of the data points but like, a bunch of surprisingly good earnings quarter this year so they're a bunch of companies kind of surprised us with some beats even if they're there future outlooks weren't particular promising. Scot:  [30:25] Yeah I think that's why actually had quite a strong quarter and surprise whilst reading. Jason:  [30:29] Yeah and and again though like had caution that that wasn't the new normal and then there's talk one way down to spite the fact they had a big beat. Scot:  [30:37] I mentioned it to the top of the show with the Today Show kind of live there but the other big news in e-commerce was Walmart in Google really kind of. Deeply partnering to effectively take on Amazon and yeah I think I think it's early to call this one but what's really interesting in this story to me is the whole, you know enemy of my enemy is my friend so you know here's two companies that have never really had, an alliance I'm aware of other than I'm sure Walmart's large Google Advertiser in that kind of thing really kind of aligning and saying, hey you know we need to create a counter to this this Amazon kind of meth it's growing and and figure out what we can do there it's interesting too cuz Google has always play this kind of you know, we're neutral we just in traffic to all the different retailers we don't have a favorite retailer but it's starting to sound like Walmart is one of their favorite retailers. Jason:  [31:35] Yeah and I mean you know you think of that like it's it's increasing in the case that Amazon's big competitors are are these platform Echo Systems more so than. Then other retailers and so you know that that puts them much more odds with Google and Facebook than it does Walmart so it's interesting you note. Google and Facebook have some monetization problems versus Amazon's model in so you don't Google Plus Walmart feels like a more valuable. Competitor to the to the Amazon Echo System and I think you called it but like one of the most interesting parts of that announcement is not that hey you can order Walmart excuse. Through Google home, it certainly is interesting and by the way Walmart's up till like 67 million skus now so there you know it's a pretty pretty deep assortment, but the most interesting thing is Walmart is sharing first-party data with Google and so what would that lets Google do is. You know have much better inside and what you purchased in the past and be much more predictive so that your your voice experience can be much more impressive in its going to accurately guess. What size Campbell Soup you buy or what size Ruffles potato chips you buy and so they they get that SKU right cuz you know voice. Ordering becomes a disaster when they don't have good data about you and have to guess which of the hundred variance you might you might be interested in buying. Scot:  [33:03] Yep another quick one that I saw is so so. [33:10] Google shoppings at ad unit is called Product listing ads and saw that they are running a new pill a ad unit usually the way this works is you go to Google you search for, you know I don't know. Screwdriver or power drill or whatever and that's you see a bunch of those products from multiple retailers we saw unit that effectively was kind of a retailer take over so you would search for, I think the one we found with some office supplies at the Go staplers and they had, The Container Store where you could just kind of say as a user you would only see Container Store Staples in the ad unit and then there would be the same number of kind of, products with in there so that was kind of nursing not in a Google test tons of things all the time that we're always looking for new ones so I thought that was kind of interesting single retailer ad unit, that we hadn't seen before I will put a link to that in the show notes as folks are interested in learning more. Jason:  [34:03] Yeah that's toy interesting another one we saw was that the target. It seems to have moved off of AWS and that that's interesting for a couple reasons listeners World member about a month ago, Walmart launched too aggressive initiative we're not only did they say will not use AWS but we're encouraging any vendors that that's support us to not use AWS and now you see, Target moving off of AWS like the the obvious impetus for all of this is. These retailers don't need to be paying money to a competitor that that competitor can then use to develop new products and offerings, they make them you know more competitive with Amazon and so so you know this is always been, kind of the case but I think it's it's becoming much more apparent that retailers are recognizing it's foolish for them to use any Amazon Services even if their services than aren't competitive because they're all of course. Supporting and funding. Efforts that are competitive so if your Microsoft Azure or Google Cloud platform like, you know this is probably great news for you you got you know a lot of retailers are, are modernizing their it infrastructure and moving to the cloud and increasingly it's clear that the one category in the world that's not going to adopt AWS as the dominant Cloud platform is going to be the retail one. Scot:  [35:34] Cool and I know we're up against time we want to make sure we have room for a newsmaker but you know long time Lester's will know we are very enthralled with augmented reality and virtual reality and there's a bunch of news there. So I put it on my Star Wars hat one of the ones that was exciting is as part of the retail launch day of of this Force Friday they have added an AR functionality to the Star Wars app. I know the way this works is you go to your retailer and there will be a display there and you hold up the AR app to a QR code like thing and then there's a Star Wars character that appears in virtual reality or augmented reality that you can see. Did you can take pictures of them and collect them so one of the clever things they've done is there's something like. 20 characters 15 to 20 characters so as Star Wars people you kind of try to collect these things and let's say you're going to Walmart on tomorrow on Force Friday, well they're going to rotate characters to characters you see over the next four or five days will be different so they're kind of using this this virtual kind of technology to draw people, back to the stores versus just having him come in one time so I thought that was kind of interesting marriage of of the Two Worlds that we like there. Jason:  [36:48] Yeah I am not surprised at all that you are the earliest adopter and I'm excited to give it a try myself another interesting AR. [37:00] Milestone is this week both Google and apple release their variance of AR kits, which are essentially their api's for developing AR & VR but mainly AR experiences in their mobile phones and this is a huge deal, Google this had some AR technology called Tango, but it was really restrictive it only worked on very specific Hardware configurations and now Google is released this AR kit which works, on the majority of Google Hardware out there so it already works out over 100 million devices apple is released a kid that's works on basically all the. The Apple devices that can run the current operating systems in this is really likely to usher in. A huge crop of new you know highly functional AR apps in the. In the app stores like you look at a successful Arab like Pokemon go in the developers had to develop it on themselves and now you're getting. Napi from from the hardware manufacturer that that is much more robust and higher performance and. And takes the burden off the programmer to do all that so we've talked a lot on the show about. How AR apps are going to be important part of retail and you know that the availability of these api's is is definitely going to be a catalyst for seeing one of those so I'm excited to see what comes. Scot:  [38:24] Yeah I'm kind of seen some indications that there's e-commerce is a category that they're really interested in and, I think Ikea is a lunch partner and you know it'll be interesting to see, I'm imagining so apples really excited about this we couldn't event coming up in a couple weeks you know what if we had a retailer on stage I don't think that's ever happened where we had a retailer on stage kind of talking about new technology, let me nursing to watch and see what the retail implications are. Jason:  [38:55] For sure and I akea is the perfect lunch partner cuz they're one of the retards that went to the work to program their own custom AR app. I'm the day already had so it will eyemagine it was super easy for them to sort of adopt and expand it to use the new new kits. Scot:  [39:11] Yep in the last little tidbit so company when we did our deep dive on a rvr that we talked a lot about is magically. And I belong away depend for their headset was released today or are at work it's off to the patent pipeline so that's definitely an interesting read if you're into this whole world, there's there's, the air BR world is please pretty split on this a lot of people think this company is really kind of you know never going to ship something and that it's really vaporware and other people feel like maybe they're getting pretty close now this patents up. Jason:  [39:44] Yeah yeah for sure I'm eager to find out more let you know they've had some patents on the kind of underlying technology before this Pacific patent is actually about. The wearable glasses version and at least you know the Pak patent makes it feel seem like. They expect to be able to build a pretty lightweight convenient device. That that might be consumer-friendly and and that's interesting cuz a lot of people have feared that the technology you know like the prototypes of the moment the smallest one is a pretty heavy backpack. [40:17] So the fact that they think they can build it into assetto eyeglasses is is very encouraging and so with that we should. Turn to our next topic is Scott mentioned earlier tonight we are trying a new segment that we're calling digital retail newsmakers so what we're going to do is pick interesting companies in the e-commerce ecosystem, it has an interesting recent news and talk to the folks involved to get the inside scope, so Scott who is this week's digital retail news maker. Scot:  [40:57] Will Jason on August 22nd which was last Tuesday Kleiner Perkins which is one of the bluest of Blue Chip Venture Capital firms out there announced a 40 million dollar investment in Toronto based. Tulip. And here's the kicker all these headlines about Molly getting all the buzz around e-commerce Amazon Etc while read about store closures, tulip is not an e-commerce company but it really focuses on providing a mobile application platform to store associates that are in. Source so we are really excited to have alyas area live from Toronto he is the CEO of tulip retail with us here tonight. [41:36] Thank you so much for having. [41:38] Sure sure before we jump into it I wanted to bring up kind of a beef I have with you I was a very early Blackberry user, and from because I was on the BlackBerry from definitely like 2000 2007-2008 super pretty heavy user I think I've got all the way from the little kind of. Pager kind of form to the bigger ones and my favorite app was brick breaker breaker which I learned that you had some kind of a involvement in tell us the backstory on that. Yes it is quite a backstory but it's funny cuz like for a lot of my career I always always get introduced as the guy who created Brick Breaker and now it's funny cuz it's times past, what does time passes lesson bus people remember that game and sometimes. Recapture to be like the excitement that was created from that that one out that I created that was on that one more time so I'm like a hundred and fifty million mobile. [42:34] Yeah they were calculated the hours consumed done on your brick breaker. Oh man there's actually so many articles written about how much wasted time has been like that has been lost like from even likes to senior people like that I think the former president Obama used to be a big player I feel sort of guilty about it but not too. Jason:  [42:50] You are single-handedly responsible for lowering our GDP. Scot:  [42:54] Even ready to be at least I could you imagine the numbers on that. Jason:  [43:09] So obviously we have hinted at part of your background but Allie for listeners that don't know you why don't you give us the the recap of what your background is and how you came to tulip. Scot:  [43:22] Yeah so I mean my background is I mean I studied Computer Engineering at University called Waterloo here in Canada and I was really focus on Hardware that time and I got this new job at this. It's relatively new company called blackberry and started working there and wherever and eventually work there full time. But quickly I mean after I graduated University I I felt like I had to start something so I started this company I mean about 10 10 11 years ago. Caldwell. Yay and it was literally just me in a closet. I'm trying to build an e-commerce site from scratch I rode by wrote the code myself and I was packing the boxes myself and then we'll does he agree to what is now like one of the largest e-commerce companies in Canada, in that process it for the beanie Mike rewrite I literally like when I started well that's yeah I didn't know anything. About retail about merchandising about Warehouse Logistics and vendor management Ida learn all that from scratch as an engineer. And then that kind of led me to do what I'm doing now is building software for retailers having dinner retailer for a big part of my career. [44:20] What tell us more about well. CA what did what did you sell there. Better inside your Pharmacy and eventually groups of being what's I would describe it maybe it's like diapers.com for Canada so it sells everything from baby to Health and Beauty it's kind of largest largest company in Canada in that category online. Get it sounds like it's still operational so is that something you sold or or what how did you know what was the end result that. It was kind of interesting so I was the CEO up to about 4 years ago and at that time. Rebuilt how much software there that I actually went to the board and I said hey look there's a ton of value here I want to step down as a CEO of this retailer so that I can build a software company out of all this, great engineering that we have here and the potential for it and so to actually started with me you know promoting, who is Dennis to out who is now the CEO of so that I can step down and pull out a lot of the IP and that's that's how we begin, tulip with me kind of saying there's actually made me more value in this softer than there isn't any in the rest of the pictures. Jason:  [45:28] Very cool, and I guess I don't know if irony is the right words got always correct me with when I use bad diction but the wheel that CA is if as I understand it is is premature play, e-commerce site and then it seems like the biggest play for tulip is is is clearly an omni-channel pitch. Scot:  [45:52] Yes it's got me this is kind of the irony of my career but I think maybe a lot of lessons make sense right is that it's so much of my life was focused on trying to. Compete with physical retailers by building an online, retailer in love and in that process I was competing with all these retailers that I eventually build relationships with and so I would I would know all the folks at companies like Toys R Us that we now work with and some of the other folks and. What I started to realize was that what the thing that I think a lot of us know but it have any figured out how to really capitalize on which is. 90% of retail still happens inside these places called physical stores and there's so much opportunity there but it feels like 90% of the Innovation is all happening on that on the comp side only on the outside. My career is now about kind of trying to take all of that Innovation that I learned that I originally deployed Annie, try to replace that inside storage. [46:46] Cool so so 4 years ago you started tulip in when did you know you wanted to kind of go the store router was it kind of you edited there in somewhere. Yeah we started right away saying that stores matter and there's a massive opportunity there but I don't think we knew exactly what we were going to do there. The journey from me really sad was with me sitting with a bunch of big retailers that I built relationships with over the years and saying like help me understand what are your biggest challenges. And what I started to learn like just by sitting on the floor inside the stores and talking to heads of stores was that. It's really hard to innovate inside physical retail because they're stuck with these old green screen like you don't point-of-sale terminals that were built in the 1980s and the culture of stores and so difference and there's like one of our retailers has 40,000 employees there, all we know part-time and high turnover and so you're in this world where they're so much. The man from customers to innovate on their retail experience but when you're a retailer front operate these like very complex businesses it's really hard to adapt with the software in the technology that we have right now and so I was just like hey this is all opportunity this is a, big tough scary but big opportunity and so that's kind of what we went on. [47:57] Got it so so soon I'm an e-commerce guy and I don't know much about stores which would be a good assumptions give me kind of the elevator pitch for for tulip. Diane and why stores need to use this. 90% of retail is happening inside physical stores but I think the part that we forget is when we say. What's happening in physical stores it's happening with real human beings going up to other real human beings called store associates and buying through them and so you have this large job it's actually the largest job in North America I didn't know that, retail store associates of job which is never had tools before so we've all experienced customers. Frustration of going into a big retail chain and try to talk to a store associate that looks like they just were hired the day before and they can't answer basic questions that. You was a consumer can answer on your own phone right I can I can sometimes look up inventory an answer more complex you know product questions on my own phone and I would expect a store so she filled answer answer the opportunity to realize. Give this massive massive job category that's never had gray tools before. What happens if we actually gave them the tools to be able to answer customers questions and pull up inventory from other channels and help people transact across you, and in-store regardless of where that product is. Well if we could do those things. Maybe there's a potential lift and in the sales that we can do inside stores and that was the theory when we started we had no idea like at the massive opportunity and in the lift that we could create once we once we did and that's kind of where all the success companies come from. Jason:  [49:32] Perfect that you know we we used to make the joke like for a longtime store associates weren't even you know a common rule in a retail store was it store associates couldn't even use their own phone in the store. Scot:  [49:44] I work with these folks right so now I sit on the floor sorry but I mean I'm sitting on the floor with these door so I started to see the other side of it. Open very young people who know how to use technology cuz now everybody knows how to use a phone but they're so frustrated because they can't get access to basic information sometimes the only computer they have is the point-of-sale terminal so if there's people checking out. There is nowhere for them to, research information sometimes they're using their own retailers like mobile app because that's all they have and so I feel for these folks now and I didn't even though maybe in my previous career I used to kind of make fun of them because I see now what it's like being on the floor inside a story you want to help customers we don't have tools rent. Jason:  [50:24] Oh yeah it's it's believe me it's it's a difficult job and we you know and like originally doing all these rules, we are nobody wanted the sales associates to have more technology cuz frankly everyone was afraid they'd be playing brick breaker on it all day long and not talking to customers so I guess there's some irony there, but the the you don't when customers started walking in with their own phones and having all this information in the sales people are completely unequipped we used to talk. About you know the sales associates were essentially bringing a knife to a bazooka fight like it was. Totally asymmetrical so makes perfect sense to start equipping those the sales folks. You you can help me as an advocate a little bit because it is you may know from listening to show Scott doesn't really get the value of retail store so you know Scott. Scot as a drum in his office called retail Mulligan and and he just constantly beats it. [51:22] And you don't Infernus him like there are in fact a lot of stores closing and there are in fact, actor water stores facing some headwinds but I just beat you know curious what what's your general like so you know your future is tied to the future of the store's what what what do you think's going to happen to physical retail. Scot:  [51:41] I think you can see I'm a little biased because I bet my career in my entire company on that idea that stores matter right but I think like from our perspective right like you're seeing is right we see a lot of the retailers we work with right now, as tulip enters into the retailer to start our work with them. The head of stores has been mandated to close 10% of the stores but increase sales by 15% in those in the remaining store and so what's I think what's happening I think we're all seeing as that, even if the shift towards like you know you, goes from 10% to 15%. There's still a massive number of transactions that were going to continue to happen inside the stores in a space where there's like three trillion dollars retail transactions in North America and so you have a massive massive category on the other hand. You know 5% shift online means lots of jobs lost and so. The world in which tulip lives is we're working with me Taylor's that are saying yes stores will have to close and we have to correct for them the right number stores for the remaining ones. Bad experience that we drive for those customers we need we really need to up our game and it can't just be by. Lowering prices or in a fighting on trying to not have Amazon have access to the channel it's got to be about creating a differentiable experience inside stores at customers. Actually want to come to and that's kind of the world in which tulip plants ring. Jason:  [53:02] It makes perfect sense I'll just eat like the customer behavior is fundamentally changed as a result of. These digital tools that they've now become accustomed to and you know one of the big examples we always use his ratings and reviews to become super important for customers and making decisions, but none of those digital tools are available in the overwhelming majority of stores writing so you know a super common problem for a retailer is what is the in-store digital experience that, brings all those digital amenities to the The Shopper that they become accustomed to from their online shopping, and most of the answers to that question are inconvenient like they're they're super expensive and very hard to maintain and you know, digital signage and digital fact tags and you know there's there's a lot of baggage attached to doing everything on the customer's mobile phone and having him be kind of heads down in your store and by the way it's super hard to get the customer to download your mobile app anyway so they're all these these headaches and, it it it seems like providing the the sales associate which is the one variable in the store you can control. With access to these digital tools to use on behalf of the customer or with the customer seems like one of the the best solutions to that problem. Scot:  [54:17] Right I think you see that right when people talk about the, the end of stores you look at something like the Apple store right be like apples in this position where they don't have to open physical stores but they continue to open them and they're doing phenomenally well right and so I think we see this world in which like another we work with examples right bonobo started online. Did really well and then started opening physical stress you see all these like these folks were doing well online still opening stores but the stores feel very different, in terms of experiences it's different, how you drive a perfect experience for a customer, device they can share that with a customer cuz they know that to the customer that matters but in addition to that they'll also pull up pricing from other retailers write a big part, the selling process for some of our some of the rituals we work with his saying. Are you afraid that this product is cheaper on Amazon let's go to Amazon together and look at that price because they know that the customers thinking in the back of their heads. Jason:  [55:15] Well so of all the sort of features that can exist on that tulip tablet you know I'm imagining things like inventory information product information you know customer, Behavior information although sorts of things I get is there one one experience that you feel like. Is the overwhelming leader I would just be curious I once they sings Get deployed like what's the the most go to feature for for the majority of sales associates. Scot:  [55:42] Yeah there's there's basically two big experiences that we drive that usually Drive the most left right. The first one is on the channel selling so that's the ability for the store associate to say, whether or not the product you're looking for is in the store in front of us right now I can sell you any product from online and in the store in one basket and so that's that's key for that for a lot of the details who can't carry all of their inventory at one location. Does the second big thing that we do which is really interesting cross we learned a lot about her last years was is what's called clienteling and basically. Try and retailer on a lot of their business but like a significant percentage of the business for a lot of the best high-end luxury retailers happens through these one-on-one interactions that they have with customers and so a lot of a tulip does in that case. Is we help retailers write personal email text or says it's my personal emails during SMS messages to their best customers saying. Hey this just came in I thought it would look right with that thing that you bought before I put these these three items together and putting them on hold for you at a building that really one on one relationship that you can only get with that with a great tool plus a great store. [56:46] Awesome and so you mentioned but no bus which I guess now you get to count Walmart as a customer it's always nice to upgrade took like 5 minutes to switch that logo. What are some of other retailers that are utilizing your technology. Able to talk about in class which is a big pig to play fetch 800 locations across America, one of our best customers Saks Fifth Avenue and that whole network of retailers that are associated with them in miles from specialty retailers like, Toys R Us to the bonobos to Chanel it's been it's been very interesting to see how different ringtones work. [57:31] Cool and then says I fell off and we're always love to hear the story to the extent you can tell it of fundraising you know it's pretty clear that you convince the the nice Folks at Kleiner, 10 fasting what you're doing so that they're they're Believers is this the first round of funding you've done and, you know what what's the point of you of some of the feces out there that are raised that are looking that you're talking to are they do you run into some of that are like. Stores what are those or are they all pretty open-minded to that that kind of pitch these days. Yeah I think that's like one of the tough kind of side effects to the rise of Amazon are all the challenges we talk about one more time trying to compete with Amazon that I think not everyone knows about it is that it is next to impossible to raise money right now. For a business that is in the econ category right well. See experience that a lot just because VC's are very well aware of how difficult it is to compete at scale when once you have to go head-to-head against Amazon. I'm in that same kind of, light when we started to if I started to talk to me season but when I wanted to do next and I just was told basically by everyone that I was crazy why are you going after this category that's. It's going to be massively shrinking and no by the way retailers are the worst customers and so hard to work with but we just felt like it was just too big of an opportunity and I think. A lot of the things that scare people but the category for me kind of indicated that there was actually something there that people have figured out cool. Jason:  [58:59] So you're one of the things that I'm curious about all the you mention for example the the customer follow-up use case and just maybe I would generic be caught like the clienteling use case. [59:13] Imagine there's a yes or two pads for all those sorts of things build that native functionality into to it and so then you know it's it's in your ekosistem in and all that sort of thing versus interfacing with all the other, tool that does big retailers you just mentioned. Likely already have in their ecosystem is like does to try to be a complete solution with everything integrated in one big killed base or are you having the interface with a lot of other retail systems and how's that working out. Scot:  [59:46] So I think that's probably the biggest challenge for building tulip is that we're working in a space where you cannot you can't go to a retailer. The size of the returns that we typically work with and say, hey please throw it all of the tens of millions of dollars you can vested in all of your big ecosystem and all of that you know that the side effects of what what those things are connected to because we want to swap it out for this other cool app which we just built and so if you look at two of it where anywhere, rather large company now, about half of the company literally just does Enterprise Integration since the typical project bras with a big retailer will take some time six months maybe more. Just integrate with 15/16 back-end systems everything from sap to IBM and all of the mixture stuff that they have so a lot of tulips kind of, way of working greenhouses to say hey we're going to work alongside all of the systems that you bought already and we're going to have meant them and replace parts of parts of them when you don't have the right system but we can't come in and say please swap everything out at least to start with. Jason:  [1:00:46] Sure sure what one other question I'm curious about the, kind of retailers that are sort of best suited like I'm of the opinion that no retailer is purely self-service or purely sales assistant that like almost every retailer. Spectrum of those too but there some some classes of retailer that are much heavier sales assisted. And obviously some of your early customers like I would put in that category but then you know there's huge swaths of retail that are mostly cell service and you mentioned your biggest appointment was Toys R Us I would think of them as a, mostly self-service environment so I'm I'm tears in my wrong that that you're a better fit in a sales assisted environment or what's what's the strategy there. Scot:  [1:01:33] So when we first started we said let's focus on retailers where sales associates really matter where, retail just saying the store experience and we want to act like it Ramon in Destiny's people that's the category we thought we do the best in we started getting contacted by grocery retailers, 7-Eleven type retailers in quick-service and all the sudden we started to realize that I think what we're going to see is that. I think personally that every single job in the cattle work like sales associates in Cashiers all of those jobs will have a mobile device in their hands as part of their job for some of the. Less service-oriented one those mobile devices will be focused on you inventory counting and more of the kind of back in tasks and more of the service books ones will be more about. The summit tools kind of very famous for out front and center you know sending emails to customers and helping with the I like product information but in the end I'm of the belief that. Every category retail is going to have to arm its associates with a mobile devices as part of their job that's just so the reality of the Next Generation Enterprise. [1:02:33] On until we started with a lot of these high-end folks but now we're we're going to be deploying with a lot of the three times that you would traditionally think of his being sales associate Focus. [1:02:42] Regal one so do you help stores with kannada omni-channel implementation so do you get involved with buy online pickup in-store and ship from store in that kind of stuff. Absolutely I think like. You know one of my my big beliefs in this in this industry is that we all kind of maybe did it to service to the industry by over focusing on the word omni-channel because. Two lot of the consumers and and practically from an experience this perspective I'm just held it really mean anything until you do something with it right and so it's more of a philosophy than it is an an an experience and so tulip ends up being kind of good thing you do after you realize how many shells important, super a lot of okay we want to build a cell across channels that's an omni-channel selling experience but to do that I need to actually give it tool to. Perform the sound and so tulip is basically everything we do is if I don't Channel but it's kind of its kind of maybe the post on me channel thing that you do. What day in matching would be hard and we struggle with us at chill advisory even on the digital side and, the store side just kind of blows my mind this maybe while you have half your company is on the integration, peace but you know that the buy online pickup in-store in the ship from store has really high failure rate and no one really publishes one but my guess is somewhere between 5 and 10% based on personal experience. And I can imagine you're only as good as the systems you're integ

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The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP098 - Zola CEO/Co-Founder Shan-Lyn Ma

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 30, 2017 57:31


EP098 - Zola CEO/Co-Founder Shan-Lyn Ma An interview with Shan Lyn Ma (@shanlynm), CEO and Co-Founder of Zola. Zola is re-inventing the Wedding Registry for the modern couple. In this episode we discuss Shan Lyn's previous experience including Yahoo and Gilt Group.  As well as Zola's business model and potential growth opportunities. Shan mentioned a recent article written by Zola investor, Alex Taussig (@ataussig) of Lightspeed: Finding product/channel fit at Zola. Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 98 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Tuesday, August 22nd 2017. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. New beta feature - Google Automated Transcription of the show: Transcript Jason:  [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 98 being recorded on Tuesday August 22nd 2017 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scot Wingo. Scot:  [0:40] Hey Jason welcome back Jason Scott show listeners Jason the day after the eclipse did you get to see the clips at all. Jason:  [0:47] No tragically I was on the airplane and I was sitting next to a pilot that was Dead Heading and I asked him if there was any chance we were going to see the eclipse and he told me that they would have to bank upwards about 45 degrees which seemed unlikely. Scot:  [1:02] Yeah but opted out of that the clips here in review of it and it was a lot of fun pretty exciting to have midday Darkness. Jason:  [1:14] Where you at I'm imagining you're one of the special people that had ordered a glasses well in advance and so you had them. Scot:  [1:21] That is correct yes and I were them and I didn't wear them more than 3 minutes I followed all the rules and as a result I have good Vision still so I'm excited to report that everybody. Jason:  [1:31] I am I'm very happy to hear that I was a failure in my family I ordered them a month in advance and they arrive so early that I lost them before the eclipse came. Scot:  [1:39] Epic fail. Well you know summer is winding down here at the Jason is got show and we're heading into the fall so we are going to ram back up the interviews of e-commerce movers and shakers and tonight we have a special treat for listeners, please join me in welcoming shan-lyn ma she is the CEO and co-founder of Zola welcome sham. Thank you very happy to be talking to you both. Jason:  [2:08] We are happy to be talked to. Sham what is a regular listener the show your pray for me or this but we always like to get things started off by. Having our guests tell us a little bit about their background and how they came into their current roles and in in your case you have a very story e-commerce Paso can you share your background with her listeners. Scot and Shan:  [2:33] Shaw so I was mentioning to you earlier that I am a fan of this podcast particular because I am also an e-commerce nerd and, that has come from what can you Nokomis at particular over the last 9 years in New York, and. I moved to New York from Silicon Valley to take a job at what was at that time a very small startup that had just launched cold Gill group, that was 2008 join Guild as the first product person and it had just launched and so. Joint when it was about 30 people about 7 million in Revenue a time and. Was tasked with redoing what does gilt.com look like both, from the front-facing user experience as well as what we want it to be out over the the longer term of the next they wanted to use as the business. To add new categories like, Harmon's kids and what would eventually be added on would be things like, Gilt City and experiences and travel and Bowl. Ended up staying at guiltful for years which was a fantastic full use of very intense learning during that time I got to be the product lead on a lot of the new business lunches go to launch the mobile. [4:07] And and then go to pitch in launch my own business unit within guilt which was a gourmet food and wine, business that we called guilt taste and so then at that point really in, my 32nd transitioned out of a product management role into more of a GM Mini CEO within a bigger startup kind of role. Salina great deal there about all the functions outside of just product development. At the end of four years guilt had grown from. [4:43] Initial 30 people to be over thousand employees and at that time was probably around six hundred million in revenue and so really got a great sense of. What's. What would really write to see that Revenue growth so quickly and then what was some of the challenges that that business faced as it tried to. Move towards profitability and an obviously following the company closely after that got to see a bit of perhaps you know what. Mites that company what might we have done differently that. Might have could have avoided some of the decline that it had in more recent years and so often I. Wanted to do this. Up Jenny all over again and move to become Chief product officer of another New York consumer. Text Atif cold Chloe & Isabel which is social selling and Jewellery. Company start up and after being in that role for a relatively short amount of time realize that you while I had been putting off what I always wanted to do which was stopped something. [6:02] Based on your kind of idea or number of ideas that I had I thought I could not delay any longer and. [6:12] Decided to stop Zola with micro fountas and that you was 2013. Which also happened to be the end of all my friends got married at around the same time and I was, buying a lot of wedding presents for them from the different wedding registry sites online and was thinking you know. I am surprised that these. E-commerce experiences which is why the wedding registry really is I'm surprised that they're no better than than what I was saying online and was starting to talk to Nobu microfindr about. Frustrations that I had as a gift give up shopping from their Registries and we started to think about how would we do it differently if we would have create a wedding registry from scratch and that was. When we came up with Zola and and toes all was born and that was four years ago. Jason:  [7:08] Very cool I feel like that is a common story is that you no germ of a great startup idea being born out of need the only sad thing is if you would have recognized the need of your early are you could have sold it to all your friends. Scot and Shan:  [7:20] Exactly yes I am I'm often, sad that now the precise time that I love to go to weddings is actually the time that I am no longer invited to living since most of my friends get married have already been married, but every time I meet someone that is not married I secretly hoping they will at some point get engaged and invite me to their wedding which is user research essentially. Jason:  [7:48] Night yeah that's in fact I assume the gift you give are write-offs. Scot and Shan:  [7:54] I wish that is not the case however you're in combination with that when I should say is that I, my my the quality of gifts that I give to people now is so much better now that I know the data around what makes a good wedding gift what is the average price point of a wedding gift this is all, information I wish I had before 2013. Jason:  [8:21] And I should throw in usual disclaimer I have no Financial background and I'm not qualified to give tax advice to anyone listening. [8:30] The. You know you mentioned your experience guilt from kind of 30 employees through through a thousand and I think most listeners are probably familiar with the story of guilt but one thing that I feel like gets lost is, that that gill really built a. A fabulous e-commerce team and that Talent has spread throughout the industry are in an are in a lot of interesting position so you remember the pretty cool Alumni network in the e-commerce space. Scot and Shan:  [9:00] But I think that is one of the most exciting things that I've seen change in at least the New York, technology ecosystem since I moved to New York in 2008, when I moved here in 2008 I was new to the city and so I was looking for other product people like myself to come talk about ideas and best practices in the city and. It was hard for me to find other people in that same role I found a few but, you can compare that to today if you are trying to do that same activity there is, hundreds and thousands of people that could probably find that so many meetups that are all stalking new startups and from the people that you meet that so it's it is. It's changed since I've got started but. Also when we look at the companies that have come out of Gil group alumni at last count there were around 20. Startups that was founded by people that had previously worked a guilt and and said that alone even in the short few years that, that's been possible to do is a pretty big impact, Graco the PayPal guys call themselves The PayPal Mafia I don't know if they call themselves that but have you guys call yourselves like in. Gilts Gilder you have a clever name for that is prettier. Jason:  [10:37] My money is on the guilty. Scot and Shan:  [10:39] Guilty. We could we could just turn the show into Gill tons guilty as charged hello alright so Zola is, in the wedding space 04 listeners that aren't familiar that tell us a little bit about the wedding space and and what's exciting. To you about that space Zola is. The fastest growing wedding registry around and we started as a wedding registry because we really wanted to solve this one particular. Pain point that I described of couples getting married wanting to create a wedding registry that, met the needs that they have today and so couples getting married today all the millennial generation and the the way that then needs a different, particular relates to wedding registry is threefold so one is they want to register for products and experiences and cash all in the one registry they want. Registry that is truly personal that they can personalize that reflects who they are at the couple and what they love and similar to the way that they post lies their Facebook page old Instagram and the third, they want complete control over their registry as it relates to how it shows up at. [12:10] When that gets a ship to them and they want to control on their mobile devices as well as on their laptops and desktops and so those three things and would not really, available at all outside. Zola so that was the starting point for Zola and we lunch with that idea and in the few years that we've been around we've seen it grow extremely quickly. This past quarter we actually launched of a first new product that. Speaks outside of the wedding registry which is the product code Zola weddings and what that is is a suite of wedding planning tools that helps couples plan their wedding. [12:58] On top of their wedding registry so specifically it's a free wedding website guest list manager and checklist and. Overall what my trying to do here is really helped a couple plan their wedding for the day they get engaged through the fs your marriage through all the different. Tivities and toss that you have to do as you're planning your dream day. Coin and I'll take a shot I don't know much about how it works but I'm guessing your business model is effectively, I'm kind of like an affiliate commission model on the back end where are you you're as as couples kind of say I want to register for this and purchases are made you have a revenue-share kind of model is that how it works or is it more of an ad model. X Actually neither of those so the the best way to think about Zola is that we are a hybrid of a Marketplace and an e-commerce business so where am a place in the sense that we have. [14:01] We work directly with over 500 Brands today and of the 50,000 products so if you look at the Zola store you can register for any of those products and we we partner directly with brands. Zola in the same way that we pottanat directly with friends when we were in guilt. The difference and why we have a Marketplace hybrid is that we are not taking inventory so we are in Dropship. Business model and. The big shift that has happened in the home industry which is the industry that registry operates within is. Home Brands really started to transition to enable Dropship capabilities in the last 5 years or so so. If we try to do Zola much earlier it would have been hard for us to do as a business and hard for us to have. Best Dropship capability with the number brands that we would need to have within the registry, and we probably wouldn't have done it if we had to buy all the inventory because with a registry you need a lot of skews and very shallow depth answer that that's the the komaki pre-flight component, an e-commerce site in the sense that Zola is the merchant we are the retailer we have, and developed a relationship with our customers which are a couple's we provide all the customer support and everything is captured through the Zola experience insight and so in that sense we. [15:40] We look and feel like an e-commerce experience. Jason:  [15:45] Very cool and one of the things that maybe I just want understand a little bit better like so when I think of a traditional. [15:51] E-commerce wedding registry it's a single retailer experience so. [15:57] Like in general I have to decide upfront oh I'm going to register at Crate & Barrel in so I go to Crate and Barrel and I I go through there there specific. [16:06] Registry experience in there I'm only going to be able to register for products that they sell and certainly not experiences or cash. Products that they know self. So you are what I would call a sort of a multi retailer registration through you I can register for a potentially much wider range of products I have that right correct. Scot and Shan:  [16:31] Yes and, and we have all the brands that you might expect to find it any other department store so top registry Brands include things like lecreuset all clad KitchenAid and those are all. Brands that we have and partner with on Zola and wee wee retail them like any other department store retailer does. Jason:  [16:56] Yep and so do your partner's 10 Dobby the product manufacturers as opposed to other retailers is that. Scot and Shan:  [17:03] Yes that's right. Jason:  [17:05] Got it. [17:09] So do any of those those brand like so obviously some of those brand cell direct so you mention like la Creuset or All-Clad like they would have their own e-commerce site. Do any of the manufacturers try to do their own wedding registry or is that just not not common at all. Scot and Shan:  [17:28] We don't really see that and I think the reason is because it from the use of perspective, the use of the couple does not want to create, ideally more than one register you don't want to set up a registry on Lake say and then registry on Old Clyde and then it registry on KitchenAid because all of a sudden you're sending your gas to light potentially hundreds are different sites so, you want to do it once and he want everything in the one place it's convenient it's more straightforward for the couple and for the gas which is what the couple also has equally about. Jason:  [18:09] That makes total sense but then I saw recently that you had announced a partnership with Bat Country. That's fascinating cuz you know that you wouldn't think of his the backcountry assortment as the. The traditional merchandise for wedding registry but I suspect you're going to tell me, that it's an in high demand in in the new Target demographic but they I think of as a as more of retail out of other people's products so it does that work differently than your than the manufacturers or or. Scot and Shan:  [18:44] Yeah so wait. The way that we decide how we want to add products apartments or retailers to Zola is based on what we think the couple's pull into the registries. Does m. Couples can set up their Registries and add products that we already have within the Zola stole but they can also on top of that. Add any products from any site online anywhere on the internet into the Zola registry as well and. Similar to the way Pinterest has the pin it button we have the add to Zola button which just pools in that particular product into. A couple's registry and so that for us as being the best insight into one of the products and Brands and retailers that customers, once that we don't currently have on solar because they're pulling it in as a from day one we really had that day too driven approach to merchandising where we, use this. [19:52] Pull data essentially to inform a merchandising roadmap and the reason we added back country. Is because we saw a lot of couple. Registering for outdoor equipment and a wide range of outdoor camping gear. That we didn't have on Zoll at all until we thought sociable. If we would Apollo with that country it would allow us to add a lot of different. Products to the Zola cement very quickly but also that's a brand that we know couples already love it's a retailer that I couples already love and so. [20:35] Makes sense for them to if we will add it to Zola so that's one another example of a similar partnership we did with a retailer is Michael C Fina which is a New York. Tabletop retailer that has. It has a very storied history in New York's upper east side and they had a lot of high-end luxury brand, tabletop, that we didn't have on Zola and we did see that was some months for that and so we added that to the side and certainly that has gone very well and full couples that are looking for that really fine China from top brands. Jason:  [21:19] Very cool and prisoners every time I dine at Scott's house he always has a fabulous table set with Michael C Fina so that that would probably where he would register. Scot and Shan:  [21:30] It's not a great dinner without a great table top iOS actually have Star Wars plates and glasses. Does that is that fancy. [21:42] Well getting some Michael thinking that is the place where many children of presidents have registered for their wedding so it's not surprising that you would also have some of that fine china. Cozy get started in 2013 give us a little idea of traction like gum, have you raised BCE and and how much and any idea about maybe how many weddings have gone to the platform Registries or anything like that you can share would love to get us fuel for the scale that you're dealing with now, Shaw soap since we launched we raised over 40 million in VC funding from. [22:25] Great Venture Capital firms such as Lightspeed Venture partners and Thrive capital and canvas pensions and full Runner to name a few. At most recently I lost round was the series C round where we raised 25 million, into fall last you until be announced at that time we have had over 300,000 couples register with Zola and. Quia multiplying each year. Yeah it's great having race venture capital I have a lot of respect for folk stuff done that it's it's not easy so congratulations on. Thank you and I agree this is not easy. And then so, you know I know Target Macy's and lot as other guys really promote their registry pretty heavily do they view you guys is a threat or are they happy to partner as long as kind of some of the sales go through their retail platform sword or do you go direct Brands pretty much most the time. Right now the vast majority of our business is directly through the Brand's and. What we hear from our brand Partners is that. Zola is one of the few channels that is growing for them which is reflective of our overall. [24:00] Very fast growth is a company and we are also deleting M text audible leading startup. In the Online Registry space so. [24:14] I think for the audience that is Young professional tech-savvy and working busy does not have a lot of time to. Think about all the different places they can register but they want a wide range of things on their registry in Zelda has become the go-to place and I think there are the time we will. Want to see a good reason to partner with more and more. Retail is like the ones you mentioned and it will be determined by the day that away collecting based on what couples and pulling into their registry. Jason:  [24:55] Got it in one thing I do think of most of the traditional like single retail Registries is. [25:02] A big and ponent I assume the overwhelming majority for most of the Retailer's is is actually in store and you know. [25:10] I'm assuming you're exclusively digital like is there an omni-channel Ellen into the offering at this point or is it all via e-commerce. Scot and Shan:  [25:19] One of the really interesting things about, the wedding registry is that unlike the rest of the e-commerce world so I think if we look at e-commerce, total industry online shopping in general it's about between anywhere from 10 to 20% of total purchases online in registry, 80% of registry purchases are online and. When you think about it logically makes sense because if you are a guest you'll going to a wedding. What would you prefer to do if you're buying a gift for your friend do you prefer to go into the store. Awesome to pull up the registry buy it in the store and then leave the store and that's it or would you prefer to do it in a few clicks online so the purchase thing is already online the thing that is. Sometimes off line is when couples want to set up their registry and they want to see some products in person so. [26:22] Full. Use case and Zola has, what we call the Zola townhouse which is essentially a showroom or a concept or an experiment that we have set up in New York where couples can come in person see and touch and feel product that they may want to register fall. However we do find that the vast majority of our couples. At the end of the day end up just registering fully online and don't feel the need to come in to see something person it is something we're experimenting with. Jason:  [26:54] Got it and is there any um. I'm almost wondering if there's an omni-channel component component in terms of the gift delivery right like so you mentioned dropships all these manufacturers are probably shipping the goods and in separate boxes of the couple of or some. Long period of time is going to get boxes. [27:13] Presumably in most cases they're not going to be wrapped or you know what you like so majun one of the areas or opportunities. [27:22] For some future experiences to is to figure out the you know how do you recreate that experience of there being a Pyle of beautiful gifts at the wedding or maybe people just don't want that. Scot and Shan:  [27:33] No couples do not want that that is that is a. I miss that that a couple's want that at their wedding so the actually win a Wii with first thinking about is even a good idea for us to start we interviewed many many couples about. What the wedding planning experience was like what the registry experience was like and what really surprised us was the number one complaint that we heard was, couples who have been through the registry process and had gotten married with saying when it comes to registry the worst part of it was. As people were buying gifts from their various departments or Registries gifts would just start turning up at the house and they had no idea what was coming who sent it what's in the box, if boxes were arriving for them on honeymoon or when they were at work and it was suddenly all the taking, that lives the stress of having to track all these gifts that they didn't even realize what coming when they were coming and. After hearing story after Story of this complaint we thought this is something that is easily solved using technology. The couple should have control over when gifts arrived at home so the thing that we built into Zola from the start and that's. Is is really the idea that couples can control shipping of their own gifts so we don't send anything to the couple. [29:10] Until they say they're actually ready to receive it and. [29:15] That the big difference is that actually couples most couples don't want to receive any gifts until after they've come back from there, honeymoon they've often waiting until they moving into the new home that they move into, between 3 to 6 months after the wedding and then they're ready to look at what will be given and what do we actually want to now receive. So because of this feature which is controlled shipping feature and we have, very low return rate we have virtually no returns because couples are able to determine if they really want something before it shipped to them and for that reason I'm couples tell difference you Zola because. Eliminates this stress of getting gifts when you're not ready to receive them. Jason:  [30:01] That that makes perfect sense and frankly I don't want them to receive my gift until they've proven that they can at least survive the honeymoon. Scot and Shan:  [30:09] Well I've heard all kinds of horror stories of people who and your vote, I have registered elsewhere and they said they can secretly took back the gifts because they wanted something else but then that. And whatever registry that when using. Refunded the person that gave them the gift and then the person was I why did I get a refund for this gift I gave you did it you like it wants to do and then the couple istick embarrassingly like tell the. Fox we could you give that back to me so it's there's a lot of old Christmas around that that we are really try and we have we have avoided. Jason:  [30:49] Yeah and I am sure there that retailer appreciated being used as a gift card. [30:54] The you mentioned earlier that the the the first expansion product could bend the wedding planning product which them that makes. [31:04] Great sense I'm curious like so your first expansion is kind of a vertical expansion into the wedding event. [31:13] And I imagine that the wedding space is a huge opportunity in and of itself is. [31:20] Is that likely the continued to ejector e of Zola would you keep adding like looking for more wallet share of the wedding or like are there other significant gifting occasions that you could see expanding into like what's the. [31:33] What what. Scot and Shan:  [31:35] Yeah yeah so this to a big expansions that, that makes sense for us one is right now in the wedding registry space, even within the us alone that's a 19 billion dollar a year industry so that is a big Market in itself with the lunch and soul the wedding what where, dipping a toe into is the lodge weddings Market which is an additional 70 billion within the US and so that's an area of expansion for us that's very interesting and very deeply. Tied to each other so because we now off of tools in. Wedding planning checklist guest last wedding website and registry overtime it does make sense for us to add more and more based on what the couples are asking us to build for them. Which we already had many requests. [32:35] The next big step is then once you come back from your wedding couples are often moving into the new home they often need more things to set up the Newlywed life together and we already have. Today on the 50,000 products for the home. So you can imagine because we have a great sense for what will a couple's love in terms of the Brand's the price points that stop references similar to what Stitch fix is done and done in fashion we have. Awesome Arkham level of intelligence we can utilize for home and because we already have all the skews we can think about how do we. Move into being the place a couples turn to as they setting up then you home. [33:24] Awesome if you had do you guys have some machine learning folks there that are starting to kind of look at those this correlations. I think that's another if I told you I'd have to kill you kind of question however I will say that engineering is on biggest team and soda. Yes good as an engineer we we appreciate that job job security. So just to switch gears a little bit when you when you talked about how you guys are different you talked about you know your your couples and how they want that mobile experience what are some of the things you guys have done that the differentiate your mobile experience is it, is it an app or is it mobile web and in what are some of the things that you do leverage any of the phone's capabilities and interesting ones. Yeah so this two things that I think you might find interesting so one is we have at this shop the room. Feature within Al iPad app which I personally love the most out of all the different features because it gives you an immersive beautiful editorial type of room. Homescape and you can then click on the hot spots and Shop different products that you see now or add to your wedding registry from there so it's not. Augmented reality in the way that the people think about it today because it's just it's a room that we have shot so it's not your own home yeah. [35:00] But it is giving it is serving the the user need of inspiration and discovery of new products that is. That is also shoppable so that is one thing that we've done that's really interesting that's experiment through our iPad up. The. The other cool features that is one of talk about that we have in Isola iPhone app it's the registry iPhone app and the feature we have there is cold. Glenda which is essentially a Tinder for Home Products so it lets you can swipe through one by one. Selection of products that we have in the Zola stall and if you swipe right you add it to your Zola registry and if you swipe left it dismisses it and you go to the next one, so what's interesting about this is that it is the most popular feature on any of the Zola apps it is. It is very highly used a couples love it and it's it's a very frequent activity that we see people using blender to. Discover new products and add them to the registry which is interesting to me because it's certainly not as. Immersive and emotional and beautiful as the previously tried just described but it is one that people while they described as fun and entertainment and so. [36:30] We've learned a lot through that. I wonder if they're sitting there doing it together or if she she goes and swipe rights on 8 things and he kind of like going to swipe left on these 30 off swipe right on these two other ones, if it's like a dinner you can almost like that there be in there at you know me there's like a button or hit there and talks to, potential newlywed therapy. We do here a lot of brides saying that they are essentially the the manager of the registry so they approve oldest final decisions. Jason:  [37:11] So when you said they wanted complete control you meant complete control for the bra. Scot and Shan:  [37:15] No no that's not what I meant. Jason:  [37:23] I say no more so one of the things is going to be fun as you get to you get this like fascinating insight into how these young couples think like any. Particular products that surprise you the people register for or any sort of funny funny trends that we we might not expect about how people are registering. Scot and Shan:  [37:45] Yeah so the biggest surprise for me was I am. I did a lot of using interviews before launch and I was always asking what. What do you do with a bride-to-be want to register full and I hope lot of fried say I don't need them. Traditional registry items I want. Cool new experiences to do together and I want cool unknown Brands and products so we did have a lot of those and we didn't have as many of the classic, make registry items when we first launched Sola and what we very quickly soul. Which was through this at Isola button that people will pulling into the Registries a lot of the classic registry items that people said they didn't necessarily want so very quickly we can see everyone actually does want. The blender and the toaster and the iron and the vacuum. [38:46] They also want all the things I said they want which one's the experiences and the cool Boutique items and so the takeaway. The point which is kind of obvious in retrospect but not obvious at the time was that they want it all and I wanted to really reflect what that passionate about as a couple soap. Some couple the very passionate about. [39:13] Food and an eating and cooking and drinking wine together and said that you can really see come through on the registry of the couples, very passionate about, Outdoors hiking skiing biking together and said they have all those items on their registry but what is consistent is that, everyone sees the registry is an opportunity to upgrade a lot of the items in the home that they might not necessarily been able to afford themselves so it's what everyone. Does have some sort of blend a toaster or iron this is the chance that they can get the one that. We'll lock them for another 10 years where they might have had that toasted that they bought when they were straight out of college 10 years ago. Apps about his big surprise. Jason:  [40:05] I'm sad to report that next year's toasters are all going to have WiFi so the ones they thought we're going to ask them forever I'm going to be good enough anymore. Scot and Shan:  [40:13] Well I don't know if there was a going to still be the the top sellers because that the top sellers in registry have been the same top salads and many many years so I don't know his buying did the newest gadgets vote, we see some of those on so well but it's not the vast majority of items. Jason:  [40:33] Sure in the actual answer to your question is who's buying the newest gadgets is Scott and I. Scot and Shan:  [40:38] Your Jason ready has the Alexa toaster. Jason:  [40:42] Yeah and Scott has an R2 D2 toaster so that does charity or philanthropy coming to play at Ridge in registry and all. Scot and Shan:  [40:52] Yeah so a couples can certainly set up a charity fund all up Prado at a fun that day then designate. To a charity of their choice and so we really leave it up to the couple to. Share and determine what charity is most meaningful to them and then they can add that to the Zola registry so that is a component. And 1. And we see coming up it's very it's as you might accept a very personal charity or cause. Jason and Shan:  [41:29] Yeah yeah I have to say my own wedding experience was an epic fail. Not hopefully not that the wedding I got married fairly late in life and so my my fiance and I were both lucky enough to like. [41:47] Frankly you like own the aspirational version of most items in so I really didn't want to register I really didn't want to get gifts and felt like it was going to unnecessary until I. Try to get that message out and all the guests were just angry at me. Scot and Shan:  [42:04] Yes you know we hear this actually pretty often in that it is. [42:13] It is often ends up being dead guess who buy you a gift if they want to buy you a gift and so the best thing you can do for yourself is to give guidance and it makes everyone's lives easier. Jason:  [42:26] Yeah if I had it to do over again I would have taken that or if I had met you earlier I would have definitely. [42:32] It taken that advice another topic that's interesting so you know one of the challenges and opportunities you have to acquire your own couples. [42:43] So you know what what like what are the marketing tools that you're using to get customers are couples into the ecosystem. Scot and Shan:  [42:51] So this was one of the things that we learn from guilt and one of the reasons why we really would run to the idea of a wedding registry was this idea that guilt. Cute benefited from a lot of what a mouth and, and referrals because everyone was really excited to share Gill because it was beautiful because they felt like they were letting difference in on a secret date. Dynamic that we liked with Zola was that it has that in built virality or referral, within the concept of a wedding registry because when a couple gets married on average they invite about 150 guests to their wedding so that's the average in the US which means that you have. 150 people who are attending of which most of them will feel, in some way they want to check out your wedding registry and probably buy you a gift and so those, essentially eyeballs that I've been looking at Zola and if Zola is a betta will beautiful more compelling wedding registry they will then when I tell their friends. O use it themselves when they get married so having that in built. [44:19] Referral mechanism into the idea of a wedding registry has been the biggest driver, evolve growth and so when it comes to acquisition we know that if we have a better wedding registry experience than anyone else we will. Be able to grow with a company that's a bad has proven out now but so that's that's what's really driven. Su tomorrow volcanic growth on top of that we are like many e-commerce companies always experimenting with all the online marketing channels so we experiment. In Facebook Pinterest Instagram and those channels Russell interesting because they do have, ways for engaged couples to flag themselves as engage the moment that you get engaged so we are able to Target and, and and it really experiment with different campaigns to understand what what is most compelling for people to want to register with us. What was Sabbath experiment with more recently is some out of a brand marketing so things that unless. Easily trackable at we recently launched the subway advertising campaign in New York. That we sent me advertising Bridal magazines and to oldies things. [45:52] Interesting for us in in that Derek the the challenge for us is how do we get the most insight into the impact. Friendly's marketing dollars. Which is a different kind of challenge to to building the best wedding registry product but we are up to the top. Jason:  [46:12] Yeah it is interesting cuz you look at sort of the the history of the pure-play startups and certainly guilting a prime example but almost everyone bonobos Warby Parker jet whoever you pick it whatever scale, there seems to be in every industry a finite amount of. [46:35] Customers that you can very cost-effectively earn through all these digital tools so I can be a bit social or influencer marketing or digital advertising or search are all these things in in in every industry, there come this inflection point where incremental customers. [46:52] Start to get dramatically more expensive in and sew in in Moe's Industries that's where you see them start to. Get more omni-channel to open Warby Parker stores or bonobos guideshops or you know or if it's not opening stores it's it's Outdoor advertising and things like that is. I think of your industry is a little bit different like you don't just want to reach out of eyeballs like there's only. A small finite period in the life of each each eyeball where it's useful for you to reach them so it almost seems like you you got to find some more. [47:27] Targeted vehicles. Scot and Shan:  [47:29] Yes that's exactly right and that's that's why we found the online channels. As it relates to allocating on mocking budget have always being strong performance for us because we can talk that group of people at that point in time very well online and. And so it continues to, be the most compelling place to invest where we do have budget but the bigger investment and by fall we are spending more time and energy investment on building out, the product experience because we see that drive growth so much more effectively for us. [48:18] Cool. You talked about how in the early days you did a lot of interviews what what kind of user-testing do you guys do now do you do formal, watching people use the system or are you instrument it so you kind of know what they're doing they always get that question from are there on turnovers that kind of get a little lost once they get to a bit of scale it's kind of hard to get that. Feedback. Yeah so we we do we try to do as much as possible when it comes to use a testing so we do. We do what you said which is watching people as they use the website talking out loud talking about what they seeing thinking, these are people that are unfamiliar with Sola we also do face-to-face interviews which are more exploratory which tend to be, tell me about what you think what you're thinking as you stopped to plan your wedding open-ended exploration all that's a lot. Around new product development what we do that and then we do very regular, online surveys to both people that have recently started a Zola registry as well as people that have gone through the entire Journey gone on honeymoon come back and then, close to the end of their life cycle and so we want to survey them on that pole experience answer for each of these different. Types of groups we're asking and looking for different things and. [49:53] Constantly trying to understand what are the things that are causing them to. Restless and promoters of the people and let's not never lose sight of that lets only lived double down on those things. And on the flip side one of they saying that is making them hesitate about Zola. Or making them I'm confused and how can we take those things out for future uses. [50:22] Cool any any day do you can share on desktop vs mobile. What's interesting for us is that it's not as much of a drastic shift to mobile as you seen on the e-commerce businesses and this is because. Setting up a wedding registry is a more considered process than buying a. [50:49] 10 old you're buying a shirt online so for a sexually the we still see. A good amount they probably the majority of people creating their Registries on Zola through desktop however we do see a lot of, management updating of Registries browsing new products adding new products to mobile apps so the initial, experiences desktop and then the follow-on experience through the rest of the life cycle is mobile so for us it's important to be continually and innovating on both, because I user is using both the true omni-channel experience going on there people going in and out of each each one, two two quick wrap-up questions first of all other than obviously everyone should check out Zola and both the the app and, the iPhone app that iPad app and then also the website but do you publish anything online that people could look at it or you popular on the Twitter or LinkedIn or in those kind of things. You can follow. Zola which is this at Zola on any of the social channels and one interesting, article that is Canmore on this topic actually that one of our investors just published on Monday which people name, your audience he might be interested in checking out is so invested Alex taussig at Lightspeed Venture Partners wrote a medium blog post on the concept of. [52:26] Product Channel fit which is the next thing any. Company Pinnacle e-commerce companies need to tackle once they've tackled product-market fit so that post. Is critically interesting and it kampala's how. Zola thinking about product Channel fit and talks a bit to just one prong of. Yo what up marketing more acquisition team might look at to drive growth. Sprinkle we will put that in the show notes and then last question got stepping outside of the wedding industry in and putting on your e-commerce biru hat you've been in the industry for a long time, where do you see things going in the next 3 to 5 years what what get you super excited, Innovations in e-commerce that I'm excited about and so one is, I think very clearly everyone seeing the direct-to-consumer, Trent answer the continues to be new brands in new categories that are emerging that I find very exciting both in the way they're thinking about product about selling and marketing, the second big category is. [53:45] Innovations in what I described as curated marketplaces or Target Market places that are serving a particular audience or need some examples of this might be. [54:01] Caviar in food space oil and, net-a-porter which is not quite a market place but it is a house of Brands Zola falls into this category of companies include your Rent the Runway which is a different take on on this, Stitch fix danco or Unbound and then the third big category of innovation which I find very exciting and e-commerce is. All the Innovation that's happening in the supply chain so technology that is. [54:38] Supporting e-commerce companies all supporting retail Brands to. To buy create a better user experience on the front end but also create. Address of business operation end-to-end from the moment you think about sourcing your product right through to provide customer support through to reporting analytics Adams shipping. So those three things I think I completely changing your even though. Amazon is the thing that everyone wants to talk about there is this really true Innovation happening across the board outside of just how much on. Jason:  [55:23] Very cool in one bonus question that that we ask every guest if you were going to have to dress in a costume to appear on your company photo what what would you dress up as. Scot and Shan:  [55:38] Well I'm a huge Game of Thrones fan and we do take Halloween very seriously so my favorite Halloween costume retire. Secretly don't tell Mom one twice is Daenerys from Game of Thrones because I have a dog which I like to dress up as a dragon so that would probably be the one that I would have to pick. Very cool and then you yelled Rick Harrison the dog it's not spoiler. Jason:  [56:11] I know I was just reminding everyone. Scot:  [56:12] I haven't yet but I might try that this year. Jason:  [56:17] I think that'd be cool I have a little dog MacGyver and he doesn't much better Chewbacca than he does a dragon. [56:26] Well Shan it has happened again we have used all of our lot of time but we definitely want to thank you for joining us sweet we certainly wish Zilla all the best and look forward to following your success I want to remind listeners that you're welcome to continue the dialogue on Facebook, if you have any questions or comments about Today Show, feel free to come over Facebook page and leave us a note we try to be very responsive and of course as always if you really enjoyed this episode jump on the iTunes and give us that 5-star review, that's that's how we pay the bills at the Jason is gosh I was 5 Star reviews. Scot:  [57:04] Thanks Shan have a great evening. Jason:  [57:11] Until next time happy you commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

EP097 - Industry News Congratulations to friend of the show Billy May, on his new appointment as CEO of Sur La Table.  Billy was a guest on episode 23. Amazon News Amazon Instant Pickup, allows pickup 2 minutes after ordering popular items, on 5 college campus's. Amazon stock briefly went down after President Trump attacked them on Twitter. Amazon Treasure Truck expanding to 5 new cities (Chicago, Dallas, Los Angeles, Houston, Atlanta). Amazon Private Exclusive Labels taking off according to 1010Data. Amazon is rumored to be entering the ticket sales business Rumor of Amazon "Anytime" messaging App Amazon was mentioned in 15% of the S&P500 earning calls this quarter Other News US Dept of Commerce reported that e-commerce grew 16.3% in Q2  - half of that was from amazon.  Fastest growth since early 2012 - 12.1% of total sales. TJX sales up 6% Gap earnings slightly up; they announce new BOPIS test. Dicks Sporting Goods, CEO, Ed Stack: "There's a lot of people right now ... in retail and in this industry in panic mode," Stack added. "They seem to be in panic mode with how they're pricing, and we think it's going to continue to be promotional, and at times irrational, going forward." Stack said he noticed heavier promotions and price cuts particularly on athletic apparel, electronics, and hunting, fishing and camping gear beginning around Father's Day this year. "And it continued to be very promotional — not only from retailers but also from some of the brands on a direct-to-consumer basis." Walmart Online grew 60% y/y Target acquired that same day delivery company Grand Junction Alibaba 56% y/y growth vs 49% projected- Adj EBITDA margins of 50%.  Jack Ma talks about New Retail concept (such as Hema Grocery store) Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 97 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Saturday August 19, 2017. Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. http://jasonandscot.com New beta feature - Google Automated Transcription of the show Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 97 being recorded on Saturday August 19th 2017 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scott Wingo. Scot: [0:40] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason and Scott show listeners we took a little break Jason was on vacation so I took podcast vacation. And what we found is over the summer it's harder to put gas so we we took some breaks from guest So today we're going to talking about news but before we jump into the news Jason what's new with you. Jason: [1:00] I am super excited cuz one of my good friends launched his business in a new sitting this this month I wait that you. Scot: [1:09] Yeah yeah we. Yep so the still involved the channel visor exec chairman but spending the bulk of my time at new company called spiffy which is on demand Car Wash and we launched in Dallas. Early August so we're excited about that and we've already added something like Fifty office parks in Dallas so the Dallas folks the people of Dallas really love having their car cleaned apparently. Jason: [1:35] I'm happy to hear that hopefully some of our dallas-based fans will get a chance to try it out and they can leave us some feedback on Facebook about whether you're going to go to for two on your entrepreneurship or not. Scot: [1:46] Yeah yeah I would love to hear how they enjoy the service. Jason: [1:51] Awesome other than that I'm a Jeanette's taking up a bunch of times have been a good summer. Scot: [1:56] It has been yeah yeah kind of deep into back-to-school catch all the kids back to school so that was have two in college and one in middle school so lot of lot of variety going on at the back to school this year. Jason: [2:11] I have heard a rumor that there's this increasing trend of parents fulfilling all their backed of consumer purchase needs with this newfangled e-commerce thing did you try any of that. Scot: [2:23] We did a lot of e-commerce around the back to school time yes absolutely. Jason: [2:27] I'm happy to hear it that's important dress rehearsal for all of us for for the big holiday season but did you try any of the like back-to-school specific Services by chance. Scot: [2:39] Did not in one of the things that kind of feels at colleges their mailrooms aren't open until like a week dip in there a week so you can't just kind like ship all this stuff there and pick it up I'm fortunately ship it to your house and then take it with you. Jason: [2:53] That is fascinating I would have thought that problem is addressed and I think we're going to have some news tonight that's Loosely related to that. Scot: [3:01] Absolutely. Jason: [3:02] Cool I'll leave that as a spoiler to keep people waiting until after the banter is over and we get into the news. Scot: [3:09] It's a tease if you tell it's a spoiler if you if you don't then it's a tease teaser. Jason: [3:14] That's a fair point thank you very much for correcting me. Scot: [3:17] How's your vacay. Jason: [3:18] It was great we my family is all from the Midwest from the Detroit area my in-laws so, the lady rent a beach house somewhere on the on the shores of Lake Michigan every summer so so we took the family up there, got to hang out with all my nieces and nephews which was a lot of fun and is a fun week in Chicago because it's the air show so the Blue Angels are in town and they they fly directly over my condo so I got the, here here and see some frightening Lee close together jets flying around. Scot: [3:55] And isn't that Michigan Beach week that week you don't have Starbucks and have you recovered from them. Jason: [4:01] You're going to have to give me more detail I I'm not aware there is a week when I don't have Starbucks. Scot: [4:06] I thought that's weak where you don't have access to start. Jason: [4:09] So there have been occasions where we were so remote that I was not able to have Starbucks and so I actually travel with my own Starbucks syrup, accoutrements and then an espresso machine tool my own shots but this summer we've tended to move around venues and so this summer wasn't remote enough so I was able to go to. A Starbucks in bedded in a Meyer that was only a few miles from our rental place so I got to spend some time and Meyer which is great Midwest Hypermarket the compete successfully with Walmart and then, I got my full fix of Starbucks. Scot: [4:50] Good I was worried about. Jason: [4:52] I appreciate the concern and thanks for yeah that's funny that you remember that. Scot: [4:57] What do you want to do is send a shout-out to one of the friends of the show Billy may he was at Abercrombie he was on Jason can you have one of the interns look up the episode that Billy was on one of our most popular episodes, and he has just recently been announced that he is the CEO of Sur La Table so congrats to Billy. I don't know the specifics of it but Jason I'm pretty sure being on the show can give him credit for that clear move so. Yeah I think once you're on the Jason Scott show your your career is on a meteoric. [5:33] Rocketship kind of a think Peter Cobb is now on the board of. Discount shoe warehouse so lot of Greg pulsifer is over at General Mills now so one of our Our Guest of moving up in the world Kevin or tell went to Nike. [5:50] Just do it. Jason: [5:51] I do I feel like there's a basically unbroken string of your career catching fire once once you get on the Jason and Scott show and of course the loyal listeners remember that Billy was on episode 23 he was one of our earliest, yes and wow this is statistically not true I've always promised Billy that I would say it was our most listened to episode. Scot: [6:13] Cool well let's jump into the e-commerce and Retail news with some Amazon news. Jason: [6:35] Yes a couple new interesting things on the Amazon blotter this this week or the last couple weeks that I think is per ticket interesting is that Amazon has announced a new. A delivery method that they're calling instant pick up and so the notion here is that you can pick up items 2 minutes after you place an e-commerce order for them. [7:02] And so when you first hear that you go wait a minute that's that's the Majestics of that are mind-boggling how would they ever do that. And what it really is it the moment is there's a handful of pickup locations that Amazon has and I think they might exclusively be on college campuses at the moment so you reference some of the mailroom problems on college campuses. E-commerce has been a huge disruption to college campus mailrooms and one of the remedies has been the Amazon his open their own pick up Depot in the number of college campuses which is this pretty fancy operation. And so reading between the lines of the instant pick up announcement. They're using those college campus pick up Depots and they're going to pre inventory in assortment of the most popular ordered items. Presumably over time those will be the items that are most needed with with no weed time and you know they'll have sort of a walker type thing and once you place an order to go have someone that pulls that out of inventory and puts it in the locker for you. Instantly so when you need a new. Lightning headphone for your iPhone or a new battery or something like that you'll be able to get it right away and I almost think of it as sort of a big version of the. The sort of Commerce vending machines that you see at some big businesses in airports that have like the you know the the most popular Best Buy items. Scot: [8:31] Yeah there's some food places that are kind of working this way now where you know there's a kitchen and they put the food into, the Walker system didn't you go to a noodle shop that if I remember that right. Jason: [8:41] And I'm not going to remember the name off the top my head but it's like a healthy Asian themed, Bowl restaurant that's a lot of like stir-fried stuff in the Bay Area and it's a completely, no human interaction you order on basically iPads and then your your food is delivered the food in a locker and you open that locker and you get the food shockingly quick and it's delicious and healthy and. They don't have to pay a person to talk to you other than when I was there it was early and they had a few concierge's out there that were trying to teach you how to use the iPads of you put them figure it out. Scot: [9:22] Yeah Regal when when quick when I saw Amazon stock was down like 5% one day and you $1,000 that's that's. Fifty bucks says a holy cow it's going on so couldn't find any couldn't find anything in that I looked and, president Trump tweeted that you know I'm pretty negative Amazon tweeten I think what happens is he gets pretty cheesed off by the depressed, and Jeff Bezos owns the Washington Post in creates this kind of feedback cycle so his tweet was Amazon is doing great damage to tax-paying retailers, town cities and states throughout the US are being hurt many jobs being lost so you know wall Street's reaction to that is wow that increases the. [10:06] Chances of some kind of a. Monopoly kind of thing so not clear what's going to happen there's obviously a lot of weird things that happen to Twitter world and politics and what not but that was interesting that meal for no reason, that the stock was down pretty material amount and then it was ended up being kind of a tweet from from the White House. Jason: [10:25] Yeah I mean like regardless of how you feel that any of that there's at least one slight irony there a lot of people that deserve that that Amazon can basically drop, a press release and Wipeout you know a huge piece of the, the market cap of of any competitor and so it's at least somewhat humorous to think that there's at least a person that can drop the tweet and put a little dent in. In Amazon's networth listeners probably know this but the. Jeff Bezos does on the Washington Post Amazon doesn't write like that, fake only gets mentioned in the in the Trump versus Bezos disputes, but it's also pretty factually untrue that Amazon doesn't pay taxes like we we assume when Trump is talking about that he's talking about collecting sales tax which. Again technically Merchants don't pay sales tax they collect sales tax that consumers pay. But as hopefully most listeners know by now Amazon collect sales tax, in the majority of markets that they're in so they cut deals with a bunch of states, you know their various timelines for Windows will kick in those will kick in but but many of them have already kicked in in the big States and so Amazon's collecting an awful lot of sales tax and I haven't seen a lot of this yet, but I would expect this year like based on some of this negative press, I would expect to start seeing some PR from Amazon I'll bet you they're one of the largest sales tax collectors. [12:00] In the country right so you know. If even the us we were just talking about this you know there's lots of estimates on the gmv if if they're selling 120 hundred fifty billion dollars worth of stuff and if they're collecting sales tax on 75% of that. That's going to put them in the top 20 sales tax collectors in the US. Scot: [12:25] Yeah what you could be talking about is corporate tax so you don't have his own doesn't have profits and then they have these very huge no else not operating losses from. From the past so you compare on them to a Macy's or something they also have a much lower tax rate from a corporate tax respective. Hard to know exactly which taxes being talked about. [12:51] Yes true. Jason: [12:57] And this is what I missed from a little while ago but the end of them, July Amazon announced the expansion of a program we talked about on the show few times the treasure truck so this is a truck that tends to stock one item it's based in Seattle and every day of your if you subscribe to this SMS list, they they send you an SMS saying hey the treasure at truck has, adeel 60 bucks for a Nintendo Classic this this today only and you can accept the deal on your phone and the truck will come to a location near you and you pick up the. The item so it's kind of them buy online pickup at truck. Experience so I don't know exactly how you pronounce that acronym bow pit Maybe. [13:46] And that was in Seattle only I had seen them specific to a couple special events like the, Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas and now it looks like they're expanding into six other cities in one of the cities of Chicago, so I I have a signed up on the list and hopefully sometime this month I'll start getting getting a deal texts. Scot: [14:09] Hope there is some there's two kind of. Dust up surround Amazon private label a editor at Quartz magazine was digging through some of the trademark filings out there and found in about 20 kind of unannounced private labels. And. As you know I do that Amazon escapes so I went through all these and some of them I would say about half of them we're right in other half you know what happens is Amazon May file these trademarks but then never do anything with him a big corporations have. [14:39] If someone has an idea I'm sure that is far off an email the trade markets created and they may or may not use it. So some of the ones that were mentioned in there weren't really valid in that they're not actually being used for for that or and then if you go to Amazon it's a big you see the things being sold when you dig into it they're actually different brands not the ones. Believe me that was interesting and then more recently this week the. The data company 1010data came out with some pretty interesting data around the private labels and some the ones that I know our listeners have been really interested in or some of the apparel items so. The first time I've seen data on Lark and Ro button-down some of the newer ones Amazon Elements which is more cpg and. For example. The first half of 2017 this estimates and this is I think one of these companies that looks at the cash register receipts than in emails that people give them access to through some and. What they're saying is some of these. Like I lost pic on button down to about a million dollars in the first half of the Year seems low to me I just kind of surprised that low. But then saw the growth rates of these are pretty tremendous in. If some of the categories like batteries Amazon is really starting to get to be over half of of the sales of batteries online and things like that so, continuing to watch private label something that that you know we can courage Brands and retailers to really think about how that fits in with her strategy. Jason: [16:12] Yeah and it it it does seem to keep, expanding two things that kind of jumped in my mind when I saw that news number one there is this, kind of gray area about what is an Amazon private label so I think one example there was a article that went around talking about, how Amazon and launched a private label wine and then, Amazon dog doesn't own their own own Vineyards and they don't have their own wine label maker that's making this wine so they're obviously. Paying someone to produce this wine and wines getting sold on in some of their label and Amazon kind of denied it was one of their brands and that it's it's actually like a. You know a seller that created a new brand that they were selling on the 3p Marketplace on Amazon. [17:05] And so are the ones I as a one-piece seller to Amazon and so there it kind of is this interesting thing you know if Amazon encourages the manufacturer to make a product to fill a gap versus Amazon commissioning a manufacturer. There you know there's kind of this this gray area that's it's hard for a Observer that just sees that. That's some new new brand popped up on Amazon that that they're not familiar with is it a true. Amazon owns brand or is it a Amazon and courage brand I guess is the the distinction there. One of the things I was like to. Joke with client about is I'm trying to get people to stop saying private label particularly in context Amazon right like a private label had this original connotation that was. There's a national brand. And then there was a private label in the private label was intended to be on the Shelf in the store next to the National brand and have a large e the same value propositional brand. Without all the marketing at a lower cost and so you know the consumer had to decide am I getting. Bear branded aspirin or am I going to get a generic aspirin for a little less money. Many of the Amazon products are designed to have unique value propositions and so they're trying to not build private labels although some probably are fit the classic definition of private labels like amazonbasics. [18:36] Let me know these brands are intended to be a stand-alone brands that have their own value propositions, and you know have they have their own to me and then be, the national Brands not exclusively on price but based on features and and other aspects of the product and the the most glaring example is of course their most successful, in house brand which is Echo right or, and so I'm sure of your product manager at Sony that's responsible for Bluetooth speakers you don't think of echo is a private label you think of it is a national brand that's frankly kicking their butt. Scot: [19:16] Yeah yeah it is tricky maybe we'll do a deep dive on this and come up with a new framework for people to think about it. Jason: [19:23] Oh no I have to think of some new thoughts and Edition ones I just shared. Scot: [19:27] Yeah yeah you can do it just had vacation your brain is fresh. Jason: [19:32] Thanks for the vote of confidence. Scot: [19:34] One quick one Amazon should have closed the Whole Foods deal by now but the regulatory kind of review of it is still underway so they've extended that and, to my knowledge was pretty open-ended didn't kind of say a week or two weeks so that deal still has not closed. And then there was another rumor while you're on vacation that Amazon's getting into event tickets that they see that as a, an opportunity where the customer experience isn't very great and that they want to kind of get in there and compete with the ticket masters live Nations the world which I, as a guy that buys a fair number of tickets I would love to see more competition in that space. Jason: [20:14] Yeah and I thought I read a rumor that they maybe even tried to acquire or partner with Ticketmaster and when that didn't work out that they now seem to be moving in the direction of building their own service. Scot: [20:27] I didn't stuff. Jason: [20:28] Not what I that time time will tell it certainly would not surprise me it certainly seems like it it fits the Amazon Mo and you know they want to be the everything store. Scot: [20:41] Yes and we just got to the end of earning season and there's some some new kind of July comps that that came out as well and I thought it was interesting I sorry for that, there's a company that goes through all the different transcripts and looks for different indexes them all and they reported for the S&P 500. Over 15% of the conference calls with Wallstreet mentioned Amazon in some way that's high-water Mark in it it's interesting when you kind of go through the day actually will put in the show notes we don't have time to do it but they go through, if some of the highlights and you have the real estate companies all talking about it grocery cpg. All the brands that are out there and of course retailers and then specialty stores like Auto Parts and things that nature in, it's kind of interesting here that your point earlier that. I would have to have an Amazon story all the sudden in it used to be just kind of a retail thing but now they're very just like the last 3 years there, they're pretty spread so wide that a very large swath of that the public companies have to have kind of an answer to the Amazon question. Jason: [21:48] Yeah I wonder if UPS and FedEx were on that list of companies dimensioned of. Scot: [21:52] They have in the past I absolutely have heard that yet so I don't know if they were on the list or not. Jason: [21:59] Side note everytime our intern ask for a raise I remind him that his job could be to read all the S&P 500 earnings transcripts and count how many times Amazon was mentioned. [22:14] So believe it or not there is some. Digital Shopper marketing news outside of the world of Amazon in one of those is at the US Department of Commerce published their Q2 data. Which is a very useful data set that we we always like to follow and I think they came out and said 16.3% growth for e-commerce. [22:42] In Q2 this year. Scot: [22:44] Yeah yeah yeah tribute half of that to Amazon which is good so so when I kind of, back to the math as we talked on the show here for long time a lot of lot of folks didn't take into account the 3p part of Amazon but now it looks like the Department of Commerce is actually Factory that in so, yeah that's that's pretty good to see them kind of catch up to that. They come to a lot of the shows the guys the team that does this I think that she doesn't the podcast so shut up to them if they're listening I don't know if you've ever talked to them but they. Really nice group of folks and they are the come to all the shows and try to kind of tune the data based on what they're hearing and I have give them that feedback a lot so I don't know if it had any impact on them including that there but it's good to see. Jason: [23:30] Yeah yeah I'd be fascinated to hear how they sort of estimate 3p or what they're using is there 3p estimate to factor in there, we should definitely have them on the show I have met a few of them as well I will throw one Counterpoint out there there there are a fair number of detractors that don't, feel that the the methodology that they use for e-commerce is entirely accurate right and I think it would be impossible for it to be, perfect I find it to be a super valuable data set and one of the things that, in general is really valuable about it is they've been using this consistent methodology for a long time so you can kind of look at how things are trending in and shifting overtime, but that their definition of e-commerce and what's in and out of that let you know has a few things that you know you. You probably wouldn't agree make make perfect sense of you were inventing the categories from scratch. Scot: [24:27] Yeah and I've got a lot of arguments about this lately if not arguments with interesting discussions with people and you know so what what I also here and I don't know, I haven't had time to take into this but you know the other kind of doubles argument about this data set is it's a business survey it's a small number of businesses, the bulk of the businesses are kind of B2B kind of company so they're selling you no widgets and fasteners and cogs and gears and stuff. So So then my argument is while the come squirting is very highly correlated so it seems like it checks out their argument is no it goes other way comes grow actually use it as an input the Department of Commerce data so that their date is lined with it so, I don't know what to believe Mabel get someone on the show and do a little panel where we can kind of get someone to talk about the veracity of this data. Jason: [25:19] That that would be great so we can get some of the the panel guys like comscore 1010data and the US Department of Commerce so we could have a shootout. Scot: [25:26] Yeah Jason and Scott show data wrestling match. Jason: [25:31] I love it. Scot: [25:33] The sum of the cops are out and one of the big Winners is TJMaxx they, the cops are up 6% that's for July and so that's pretty interesting we will talk about this on the show where there's this kind of, password if you are a value oriented retailer you doing really well right now so, the dollar store bears are doing well all the TJ Max's Ross stores companies like that if your convenience oriented which tends to fall over towards the e-commerce side Amazon it's up to you doing well, and the folks that are kind of stuck in the middle of your not value or convenience right now you're going to pretty bad spot so the Macy's. The sports folks all those guys are really having tough comps right now. Jason: [26:19] Yeah and said that makes it all the more interesting like one of the categories you talk about is having a pretty tough time is apparel. And GAP announce their earnings and they actually eat doubt some slightly improve numbers this quarter so I want to say that their profits were up 1% this quarter, versus being down to the previous quarter so like that's certainly not letting the the world on fire but. The you know you certainly always like to be more profitable than you you were the previous quarter and in a category that's that's you know super distressed. That's an interesting data point I was I was joking around with one of the Forrester analyst on Twitter today. I would not take that news you know they're up against a really soft comp. And I would argue you know that a lot of the Peril in history and in gap is a perfectly good example of it. Have a lot of institutional headwinds I'm not sure I would take that that. [27:24] The nice up to get this quarter in and use that as a reason to invest in the in the category but never the less good news for the gap. And an interesting subtext in there they announced they were piloting a new customer experience for them which is buy online pickup in-store. [27:41] And for many listeners this show they might say wait a minute Gap wasn't offering buy online pickup in-store that seems like table sakes for an omni-channel retailer. Gap has been one of the largest proponents and one of the earliest adopters of Reserve online pickup in-store so they're normal experience was. We won't charge you till you get to the store I'm so you you'll reserve it will pull the product. I have it ready for you and you know when the mean reasons you'd want to do Reserve online instead of buy online is because you like that customer to come to the Gap Store discover a few other things that they didn't know they needed an add them to the transaction. And that's easier to do when you have a reserve online. It also is kind of a lower threshold to get the customer to reserve cuz they don't have to put any money down up front and so they've been one of the big proponents of reserved online and what's not said and. The earnings call that I'd be really interested in is. Are they throwing the towel in on Resort online are they if they decided that the pros and cons of of bopis versus reserver. I can tell you enough that they're now shifting to what is the much more common industry practice. I don't know but I'll I'll certainly be digging to see if we if we can learn any more about what that shifts about. Scot: [28:57] Yeah I don't have any data but my bed is when you survey customers like reserve reserve and pickup is like a. Like to wait in line which is not convenient so people want convenience and if you're if you're going to put your priority of go pick up more stuff we're not going to get convenient so you'll buy more stuff that that Jesus customers often today's world. Jason: [29:17] Yeah know I tend to agree and you know there's there's. Execution problems with both but you know I think one of the challenges in a store like Gap is executing on these thing so you know when you reserve online do you walk in the store and, and this product really have been pulled for you and it's the right products and they had in stock what they said they had in stock there there's a lot of things to go wrong and in some ways when it's reserved online there's a little less economic pressure on the, on the store to execute and so that can then a road customer confidence in the service. Scot: [29:54] Yeah Absol. When did I fall it really closely those pretty resting is so so we had the failure of Sports Authority and Dick's Sporting Goods, down pre substantially after their Crow the results and the CEO is needs Ed stack he had pretty interesting quote here I'll read a couple exits. This was in when he got into the Q&A with Wall Street there are they missed on the I think they kind of came in line on the top line but then their bottom line the profits weren't really there and gross margin seem to be under pressure and, the CEO kind of win a little bit or rant kind of a no therapy session he said there's there's a lot of people right now in retail and the sports industry that are in panic mode. In panic mode he said they they're freaked out about how their pricing how we're pricing. It's going to be it's going to continue to be Promotional and at times irrational going forward. Well you can imagine Wallstreet didn't like that word irrational so that that was not well-received and you know what I think I saw some notes that said it's going to be a structural change. These guys where they're going to have to you know there. The energy price matching with Amazon they're going to have to just kind of take much lower gross margins they had going forward so really big pressure there and then another little piece that listens would be interested in. Is he kind of finished up and said it's going to. It's continues to be very promotional not only from retailers but also from some of the brands on a direct consumer basis so. [31:26] She had this kind of like this crunch scenario where retailers are stuck in the middle you've got online guys like Amazon and. They are much more efficient and they can have a different model that that has lower gross margins lower prices passes amount of consumers and then you have Brands go Direct on the other side. You specifically asked about Amazon having Nike selling on there. He said you know I don't think you've seen anything we're watching it very closely we've talked tonight Nike a lot about it so pretty interesting going to. Another in a crunch there with with retailers. Jason: [32:00] Yeah and I wouldn't expect to see a lot of a, concerning behavior on Nikes part yet but what can definitely happen is you know all the all these other players win this when the retailer closes, if you were Under Armour Adidas or Puma, you are the forecast for the year and you built you you manufacture product based on that forecast and part of that forecast was that there be a bunch of Sports Authorities that would each have to buy a certain amount of inventory to put on their shelves, and so when they stop buying at inventory because they're out of business or there's been retail consolidation or whatever, and the market gets flooded with cheap product because some Liquidator buys the existing inventory that those things happen, you as the manufacturer are suddenly not going to make your numbers and so that likely is going to trigger a bunch of other you know bad behaviors that ultimately result in mr. Stax observation right like you could either, try to sell that stuff to direct a consumer and you could get more promotional to do it, you could get more promotional in incentives you offer your you're surviving wholesale Partners to get them to sell through more stuff there's you know like there is, second and third tier effects on all of this stuff that that create a negative spiral of momentum in the category. Scot: [33:21] Yeah two other quick ones in this kind of same bucket Foot Locker was asked about Amazon on their conference call and the CEO kind of pounded his chest that we don't worry about them we have you know the latest and greatest and sneakers come Dawson Amazon doesn't get them, as long history of people that have said that they're not worried about him son and or Amazon can't compete that they're either out of business are going out of business so. We should start a Jason Scott pool where you know people that foolishly. Poke the bear the Amazon bear end up paying for it down the line and another one I did read article wear under armour, to your point earlier they had some lines that were at a retailer they liquidated some of them to Kohl's and ended up really kind of craving this. Bad cycle between I forget who the other retailer was Maven Dick's Sporting Goods the created some bad blood and and ended up that you know that. The other retailer didn't want that product line anymore in the not all just going to have to go to Kohl's and more of a discount kind of a format so it's a lot a lot of. Gnashing of teeth out there and in the Sporting Goods got over. Jason: [34:26] Yep and then I haven't fought a closely but I I think we're waiting to hear for regulatory approval on Cabela's Bass Pro Shop so that's another. Like potential significant disruption in that space of those two guys merch. [34:48] So another retailer earnings that came out this month it's to me super interesting is the largest retailer in the world Walmart, they had another, slightly profitable quarter in the stores so I want to say they were up one or 2% or someplace between one and 2% so that if memory serves that's like the 12th consecutive quarter of. Brick-and-mortar growth for them and just to put that in perspective, not very many retailers have had a dunwell 12 quarters in a row so there's an obvious inference to make that Walmart is. [35:31] Benefiting from a lot of the hardships that other retailers are are experiencing and that there. Well well position weather the storm with a little bit more Elbow Room than then. A lot of other retailers but the super interesting thing is that they're online growth was up. 60% for the quarter from from this quarter last year and to put that in perspective. Last quarter they were up 62% so that's now two consecutive quarters with astronomical growth. Obviously it's much easier to grow a small number then a big number so you know it's almost not worth comparing that to Amazon even though it is much faster growth than Amazon but I'll remind everyone. These guys are the second largest e-commerce site in the u.s. they're going to sell unipres north of 15 billion dollars this year, and so you know if you think about the e-commerce Industries growing in about 15 to 18% depending on which numbers you use, that Amazon is growing at like 25% and Walmart is growing it like 60% most of e-commerce isn't growing that fast, if the two biggest players out there our way outperforming the rest of the market like usually in a mature Market you see exactly the opposite you see everyone else growing faster than the the guys at the top of the echo system so, all super interesting and then I guess one other spin on that like. [37:06] Walmart has acquired a bunch of companies that have meaningful e-commerce Revenue so obviously I mean jets in these year-over-year numbers but Moose Jaw ModCloth bonobos, would all be new and so what the Senate could look at this and say oh will there. Their e-commerce growth is way up because they through acquisition but they're claiming they claimed last quarter and I think they claimed again this quarter that more than 50% of their growth is organic. Scot: [37:40] Yeah yeah saw a Goldman Sachs report where they actually kind of backed into it and their estimate was 30% organic growth 30% from Acquisitions so they they kind of put it right at that 50% so I don't. Jason: [37:53] Yeah so even if so that still has them growing faster than Amazon. One interesting contacts for this this is the the growth in the mark Glory when he took over for Neil and, there is sort of the big shift in philosophy at Walmart like they Walmart really used to focus, walmart.com used to focus on stuff you couldn't get in the store so I'll they, they had a you know a couple million skews there they're mostly trying to sell the stuff that people wouldn't traditionally buy from the store so barbecue swingset things things that were inconvenient to buy from a store. And the mark Lori era at Walmart is really about selling daily Essentials online and so that's a pretty big shift in philosophy you seen the skew can't go way up at Walmart and these these first two quarters tell me, did that strategies really working and the reason I point that out is that's a really interesting shift and philosophies you know tis. E-commerce best suited to to, fill in the gaps that are hard to do and brick-and-mortar stores and sort of rounded out or should your e-commerce offering really mirror your in-store offering and cater to the the same customer base and it seems like at least an Walmart's case, they're they're doing Best Buy by shifting to try to meet the same kind of needs online that they've traditionally men in store. Scot: [39:20] Yes a Star Wars toy collector I get to go to lots of Walmarts and one thing I've definitely notice in the last 6 months is a lot. One more integration with online in the store so you know just little things like they have these poles out front that keep, cars from driving into the Walmart I think now they have these kind of sleeves on them that talk about online, online pickup buy online pickup would be in the very back of the store and it was never staffed now it's moved back to the front of the store couple of my Walmarts are really pushing the, dedicate a lot of lanes for for grocery pick-up and, you know I saw I haven't used that but I saw this one person get it in like for Walmart employees came out and we're like, just yeah team loading the car with groceries it was pretty guitars like a priority that they had a lot of lot of Associates really working on it so it's definitely at the store level there doing a lot too. Jason: [40:13] Yep yep and that particular Zaza that pick up curbside experience and they they continue to greatly expand that so I know in California they added a ton of stores with curbside pickup. [40:29] Which only works well for groceries in this or two things. [40:34] And then when you talk about Walmart it's hard to not talk about Target and a couple interesting things have happened at Target lately they they've done a few interesting Partnerships we I think in the past I've talked about their Harry's partnership. I can't remember did we talk about the Casper partnership on the show yet we did. [40:54] Yeah and so you know they've been doing these these Partnerships with some of these digitally native brands. In this month they acquired Grand Junction which is a same-day delivery service. Which is interesting so they're there now offering same-day delivery for for a number a subset of their products. Yeah they used to have this partnership with curbside and they they abruptly canceled that partnership and then they've turned out and acquired a same-day delivery so that's. That's it interesting thing to think about it Target is it certainly seems like Target doesn't feel like. Curbside pickup is the the best solution for them and and same-day home delivery is going to be a good solution. And I forget what they caught but they also launched a new service with just kind of their version of Prime Pantry that sort of a a bulk replenishment service this month as well. Scot: [41:51] Yes starts with an R I can't remember the name either. Jason: [41:53] I'll go get our intern on it while we while we go on. Scot: [41:57] What are the last companies to report Q2 every year is Alibaba and it's because, they are a Chinese company that has is held by us entity in Hong Kong it's it's kind of a complicated way that you have to do things if you're Chinese company so they came out this week and, blew away expectations across the board so the stocks hitting new highs and there's a lot of really interesting things on that conference call. One of the things that was interesting is their growth is really reacceleration Alibaba so while she was expecting 49% growth night that was kind of stretching it came in at 56%. And they their adjusted ebitda margins are north of 50% so. [42:43] Yo if you if you look at kind of the pure Marketplace model there's there's almost no. Cost in there so so there's causes whatever it cost to push bits around on a computer and an over the wire and and then there's some sales and marketing and some R&D and that's about it so 50%. Emergency pretty pretty crazy there cloud computing platform that competes they to be us is doing really well and it was a big contributor to that. They also cited taobao which is their P2P Cana Marketplace they've changed the u.s. and Jason I thought you would find this interesting they did. Big personalization project at Alibaba that rolled out and they said that that's driving a lot of growth where there they're learning more and more about their customers that are dropped by buying from the marketplace and. What to recommend to them and get them to buy across the whole family of services and products. [43:34] Nothing that that's really nursing with Ali Baba is just like Amazon they are doing a lot more in physical retail they've been buying some physical retail opening stores. In a couple interesting things the CEO said he said imagine the store we can pick up items from the shelf and in the same time. Be there stuff that's not in the store of the you can scan with your phone and then you just tell the store you know look just have everything delivered to my house and it just goes there because you have stuff to do after you go shop. [44:02] Another example that used is a see you go to the grocery store and get something for dinner but then. You didn't know you wanted for the rest of the week so you just want to order a meal online so what they're seeing from the Chinese consumer in and sounds a lot like the US consumer is. [44:20] They're looking for a spot Navy convenience in speed and total flexibility that the favors the customer versus the retailer that's what they're really building towards they call that new retail. And here's the quote on that with new retail satisfying ever-increasing consumer expectations is no longer an incremental game it's disrupt. And in the same sense that we were going to have to. We have to disrupt e-commerce first and embrace the physical world in and kind of just tear down all the barriers between them so is very flexible is kind of like Beyond even kind of the normal things we think about in omni-channel. You seem us experiences between the on and offline world is what I Bob is trying to build in. [45:00] What's interesting is as they go into the more physical store if they're kind of merging the marketplace in there so just like we talked about on the show it's that concession type model is really kind of happening in the physical retail World Air in China. You haven't seen that the US but it is going to be interesting to watch that and see if that time makes its way over here. Jason: [45:19] Yeah for sure the the the new retail Mall of the Alibaba talks about it's not entirely hypothetical either they've actually opened a handful of these, Next Generation grocery stores they call Hema and said there is actually some video tours of them available online I'll try to put a. A link in the show notes but what's interesting is when you design a store from scratch for some of those experiences versus you know most of the stores were familiar with in u.s. was a traditional store. That they retrofitted a buy online pickup in-store or a Home Delivery Service or something to, it's pretty interesting to see how the store looks different when it's designed from scratch to do that so, one of the the utilities that I found interesting is they they literally have this conveyor belt in the. The store with these hooks that like pick up bags of groceries and lift on out of the store like into a Depot area for home delivery, and so the ends are Shoppers run around they they use you know mobile phone, get the list of items that they're going to ship home for a customer and then they like. You know super efficiently just just hang these bags on a hook scan a barcode and that bag gets shuttled off somewhere to. For a home delivery so couple interesting things like that they they heavily rely on barcodes in the store for product information so you can. Need to scan a QR code to get you know the product information about all the products in the store China doesn't have the same. [46:55] Labeling laws that we do in the US so there's even more need to learn about products for for Discerning Shoppers and in China so just some kind of interesting evolution of the store and for your first point. They're making so much money that they have significant resources to invest in figuring out the future of retail. And like almost everyone else they've kind of figured out that the long-term future of retail isn't exclusively online so they're they're putting some. Some real resources and figuring out what the. [47:27] Physical store of the future looks like in a digitally disrupted World them so you know I for one on and thrilled to see them trying to do that. [47:39] And I think that that is all the news we had for listeners this this. Week so as a special treat we have not wasted a perfectly good hours of our spare time, but we certainly would encourage listeners to give us feedback so as always we have a Facebook page if you have any questions or topics you'd like to talk about her, hope she like to hear from or just suggestions of what we're doing well or what we can improve we greatly appreciate it and of course of you love the show, shoot over to iTunes and give us that 5-star review that's super important and we greatly appreciate it. Scot: [48:17] Thanks everyone and. Jason: [48:19] Until next week happy commercing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP0096 - Listener Questions Part 2, and News

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 5, 2017 56:54


EP0096 - Listener Questions Part 2, and News Amazon News Amazon now showing pics of delivered packages in app AU fulfilment center Amazon hiring day (50k new jobs) Lots of new FCs coming Sears to sell Kenmore on Amazon and build Alexa into products New Amazon Hub Lockers Forcing Free Returns on 3p Sellers New Amazon  handbag private label launched - The Fix (Prime exclusive) Stripe processing some Amazon orders Listener Questions Michelle Grant via Twitter: Do you think Nike is one of the few brands that have the leverage to get Amazon to remove 3P inventory? Steve White: Hey guys, when I talk to brands they have this sense that they are going to be 'pushed out' or off the platform as Amazon develops products in their respective categories- my sense is that Amazon has never acted like a bully in that regard, just adds additional competition- thoughts? Parker Block: Who is right, @retailgeek ? Are disruptive forces going to drive retail consolidation (per @debweinswig) or fragmentation (per @klobaugh)?   Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 96 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Thursday August 3, 2017. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing.  New beta feature - Google Automated Transcription of the show Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scot show this is episode 96 being recorded on Thursday August 3rd 2017 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scot Wingo. Scot: [0:39] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason Scott show listeners Jason you're you're at home the rear of the sign this is the first week this year you've been home so that's pretty exciting. Jason: [0:50] I am for those of you that are listening this would be a good time to up your investment in Chicago area Starbucks if it's possible the individual investor in the Starbucks branch. Scot: [1:01] Cool flowey, you wanted to start off at the top of the show and congratulate one of our friends of the show Peter Cobb he was our first guest and he's founder of ebags and he has just announced today that he is joining the board of DSW so congrats to Peter. Jason: [1:19] Yeah that's super exciting I had a nun confirm report that his primary qualification for that job was that he was the inaugural guest on the Jason and snot ship Jason and Scott show. Scot: [1:31] Oh yeah yeah I think it's definitely Resume Builder will have to see who the second guess was and see if they rise to Fame and Fortune as well as well. Jason: [1:39] Exactly. [1:41] Scot I feel like we didn't get to talk about it and I may have happened 2 weeks ago but they revealed all the information about the new Tesla and if I'm remembering right you have an option to buy one. Scot: [1:55] Yeah yeah I'm excited the actually the day they announced it I put into pre-orders so I was going to, use one and give away or if I couldn't find some of that wanted I was going to sell the second one and, it's exciting because they did just kind of update the website and show when they're going to be delivered. And I find it hard to believe so I'm taking this with a grain of salt but it shows that both of mine would be one is to give you a 3-month window and one is October, November December in the other one is November December January of, 1718 so I doubt that I will actually be that early but it's kind of fun to think like it could be possible. Jason: [2:38] Wow are you going to have time to expand your garage in time. Scot: [2:42] I don't know we will see. Jason: [2:47] That you talk about first world problems that is definitely a first world. [2:52] I don't know if I ever told you this but that turned out to be my inadvertent brush with greatness do did you follow that there was this light controversy someone asked you on musk if he was going to get the very first one, and he tweeted something about how know we have a strict policy that whoever fate pays. The full fare gets the first one and so that belongs to one of our investors who subsequently gave me the rights for my birthday did you. Did you see that story at all. Scot: [3:21] I did not know I missed it. Jason: [3:23] Yes it was like a internet thing for a day and a lot of people were questioning the veracity of that policy, and so it became a little controversy on stuff but what was funny about that is, the investors name is Ira iron price and that that sound really familiar to me, it turned out he was an intern for a VC firm that was when the investors and when the reefers companies I was a principal for and so I get to work with, I rather like the week he graduated from Stanford Business School and now he's giving Tesla's to Elon Musk. Scot: [3:58] Nice you should call him up and get on the list. Jason: [4:01] Yeah I don't feel like I would want to want to impose. Scot: [4:04] Yeah. Jason: [4:06] But I will share the story on the podcast for partial credit. Scot: [4:10] Cool actually I think it counts yet that is definitely a Forrest Gump kind of moment there. [4:15] Two on let's jump into it on this week show we're going to cover some news from the week and last week we had so many listener questions we were swimming and listener questions we're going to. Kind of swing back around at the. Back half of the show and pick up some of that we were not able to get to so we apologize to those listeners that were waited on listening it with bated breath last episode, we will do everything we can to get to the mall of this week so let's kick it off it would be a Jason Scott show without some Amazon news so here we go. [4:50] Amazon news your margin is their opportunity. Jason: [5:06] Yeah so the first thing is I had several colleagues send me pictures this week from there Amazon app where in the the order tracking, Amazon was uploading photos of the Amazon box being left at the customer's doorstep. Scot: [5:25] Yes the. You tag me in one of those tweets and I logged into my account one morning and had like 60 notifications that's like what the heck the only time that ever happens to me as if Marc Andreessen his stop tweeting but when he was he retweeted a couple things and I would wake up and have like. 500 followers so it felt like that is very exciting for me. [5:46] It's coming in a few I was kind of thinking through the logic there and so. Obviously one of the standard carriers is not going to do that so. So USPS so it's Amazon the bulk of crime goes through ups and then they leverage USPS in the needle little bit of FedEx so none of those three cares would do it. But they do have this Care Network called Flex that not many people know about this started when they launched Prime now it's an Uber Rush type service so uses 1099 drivers and a very similar Uber like system but for packages instead of people. And they developed this for Prime now so all the prime now products are delivered that way. And then what we're starting to see is more and more packages out of the Fulfillment centers they're running some algorithm that essentially kind of. Uses that same driver not work and I believe if people are close enough for the you can ommix work out that it's. Cost-effective compared to the other options, then they will get Flex drivers actually go to fulfillment center and deliver a package so it looked a lot like my guess was that that's what those package pictures were is the flex drivers like an Uber driver they have a very. [7:05] I'm very specific Amazon after the download to be a flex driver in there they can scan packages and take pictures so seems like that's the logical place where that would be happening. Jason: [7:15] Yeah and I think partial confirmation that you're right at the first person to send me that picture was a co-worker of mine Jeremy lockhorn, and he has a one of the Ring doorbells so after you you positive that theory that it probably wasn't a UPS driver Jeremy pulled the video from his ring doorbell and, sure enough it was a woman in a tank top that look like. Dropping off that that the box of the door. Sheer in Chicago because we're lucky enough to be really close to some fulfillment centers we get a lot of, same day delivery using those Flex drivers from the actual fulfillment center in Indiana and so it's my my building I have 12 Neighbors, it's in our condo building is pretty funny we get two waves of Amazon packages a day like our UPS guy comes at about 1 in the lobby fills up with Amazon packages, and then the Fulfillment center delivers All the Same Day deliveries at about 9 p.m. and are in our lobby refills up with Amazon boxes every night. Scot: [8:23] Wow you're just like Amazon sooner there. Jason: [8:26] Yeah there's a lot of good trend-spotting by just walking it with my neighbors order I will say I'm someone impressed by my neighbor's they they have some pretty eclectic e-commerce shopping witch. Which always makes me happy but I think people Basque. Scot: [8:42] You're a child the look in the box feature to see what they throwing. Jason: [8:45] I have it as you probably know it only works with your own order. Scot: [8:48] Yeah I know I try to. Jason: [8:49] Which means I can never say anything because it's my boxes are always from my wife so they should have a family family plan for that somehow. [9:00] Everyone on the plane Prime account you should be able to see or something but I think presumably the reason they're taking those pictures is to reduce fraud and you know false claims the packages when delivered that seems like that. [9:16] The primary reason. Scot: [9:18] Yes there are some of the on demand economy companies make it part of their user experience to kind of show the delivery one of the one of the New Generation Flower companies called Urban style mistake they actually film a little video of the product being delivered and they send it to the sender as kind of a nice little wait to see. [9:38] It's not as kind of boring as a package sitting on a porch. Jason: [9:41] Yeah it makes it makes the most sense in the world and you think about it it's it's kind of sad that the big flower companies can't do that cuz you would really like you never know what the product look like looks like that you purchased. Scot: [9:53] Yeah absolutely, a couple other kind of quick hit lightning round items on Amazon news these are all kind of in the area of filament so. [10:04] Amazon has long been rumored to be opening in Australia there was kind of definitive news that they have located a warehouse so that's interesting so their first fulfillment center in Australia has been located they've done a lot of PR around hiring for the holidays and they they did a job fair this week where they had, 50000 folks they were hiring and, moose articles I saw actually wear negative because there's so many people at these events the lines literally went on for, most people reporting waiting in the lines for eight nine hours it was interesting the financial press was kind of surprised because, if you look at the data that comes out from the government it looks like we're at effectively you know neutral employment where, almost everyone has it we have very low unemployment right now but then when you go to these events that they're hiring you know kind of. 10 $15 an hour kind of folks there are also a lot of people out there looking for working and they really would like to work on Amazon fulfillment center so that was really interesting in Amazon got a lot of, there's ton of press around it. A lot of it was negative not not really against Amazon just a line seem to be very long I'm the last one is we recovered Amazons. Q2 earnings last podcast but. [11:19] After we recorded some news came out that the CFO essentially said one of the reasons there was a lot of expenses kind of in the four projections was that 80% of the format centers are going to open this year will be in the, back half essentially and Amazon doesn't really open fulfillment centers in November December so back-half essentially means, July August September October so when I do the math on that it's kind of crazy it makes it seem like they're going to open. Teen 220 performance centers and it kind of comes out on the high side of that so that's give me something I'll be keeping a really close eye on it is kind of the reading the tea leaves there made me feel like there are a lot of a felmet centers coming in the next 3 or 4 months. Jason: [12:06] Yeah and that's feels like that's now going to just be an annual cycle for Amazon so it's it's funny of your investor you should almost like you know grow to expect Q3 to be a low profit quarter as they they have these huge expenses for opening these things. [12:22] Another interesting news bit do we didn't get to cover earlier is Sears announcement that they would now be selling Kenmore appliances on Amazon and that. It was interesting for a couple of reasons but in recent months we've talked about. [12:39] Honest to add previously said they would never sell on Amazon sewing on Amazon we talked about Nike that said Amazon wasn't right for the brand you know he's at least dabbling with some excuse on Amazon you know now we see Kenmore which is one of the you know. Few remaining valuable properties that Sears owns. [12:56] Moving to Amazon in every time one of those things happened like it had a derogatory fact on the rest of the industry and sure enough the other Appliance retailer stock went down. When Amazon announced that they were selling Kenmore so you know I think we're seeing this new trend that. Then Amazon can you know at least temporarily like materially affect the valuation of all their competitors just by issuing a press release which is. Pretty interesting in one other thing it was interesting about this Kim ordeal that I didn't see as much coverage on but Kenmore also announced that they would be integrating the Alexa in a bunch of their appliances. And so that's a you know another controversial one you know a lot of retailers aren't aren't big on Alexa being the default, artificial agent in all these kitchen appliances because it obviously is giving Amazon this huge leg up and you know now for Kenmore to do it as is, pretty big blow. Scot: [13:58] Yes I think it's you know that a lot of discussions about looks with colleagues and I kind of take it to this pretty extreme wear. I think Sears could actually do better if they would shut down a lot enough all but maybe I don't know 50 stores or something and sell the real estate and then become a house of brands that sell other places online not only Amazon but. Definitely Amazon good examples I think a really big mistake they made is they sold Craftsman for something like, 900 million dollars to I think a private Equity Firm note to Black & Decker and you know I think if they'd sold Craftsman on Amazon that would have been. That line is got to be I don't know what its revenue is but it's kind of be a. Billion dollar ear line is still quite popular out there with with tool folks so so it's interesting I don't know if this signals a change of that kind of thinking or if it's a last-ditch effort before they sell it or I don't know but it just to me it feels like. If you could have kept Craftsman. [14:59] Cheap Kenmore of the good couple other brands sell the stores and use the proceeds to go buy more brands in and I'm kind of a family of Brands there that may be a better future for Sears and kind of like what looks like this slow death that they've been barked on. Jason: [15:14] Yeah I know I certainly think you're right I suspect that some of the valuable Brands they've had to sell it been painful and I think they probably had to sell them because the stores are such a money sink that they just needed the cash and you know I think, you know financial hardship makes you make some some short-sighted decisions and and Craftsman might be a perfect example of that. Scot: [15:36] Another quick Logistics one Amazon announced a whole new product called the Hub. And this is a physical Locker it's a lot like Amazon lockers and even looks kind of like it but what's different is it's meant to go into residential location so at least case they talk a lot about is an apartment building, or like your building where you are Jason sounds like maybe have a doorman so the packages are secure but pretend you didn't have a dormant then, you would put this Hub there and you'll receive packages and, the returns in there that kind of thing just like an Amazon Locker the difference is it now has a new brand called the Hub and if you go to the hub. Amazon.com you'll see a picture one of these and other really interesting difference is it can be used by Third parties so a FedEx delivery person could come in and they enter a code, there's a sequence that they they can enter on the screen and say. I have a delivery for Jason Goldberg and it would open the door and then it would know okay Jason lives in apartment. Etsy and it would somebody would message you and I think you can set up, as a resident you can log into there some software you can log into and and set some preferences of how you want to be communicated with so you would get a text message that would say. Jason you got a package from FedEx tracking number X in the hub and then you would go get it and, and you can even put packages in there and summon UPS let's say for a pickup kind of thing so it's pretty resting and. [17:08] You know a lot of companies are working on these things and it just Amazon already is is kind of dislike their 5th generation attempted this it was interesting to see them taken more open approach which is kind of the closed public area Amazon Locker. Jason: [17:21] Yeah and I mean it feels really smart you you go to like the grocery stores that you know do the home delivery through a bunch of these services and what you now see is, a bunch of Amazon lockers for grocery delivery next to a bunch of instacart lockers for grocery delivery next to potentially some third service, and it's taking up a ton of real estate in it it just doesn't seem feasible and so you know you use scale that to these home buildings and it's not likely that FedEx ups and Amazon are all going to get, get the locker space, in the lobby City's building so it's it's pretty smart of Amazon to say hey wolf will do the landgrave pool get the space because we'll let you use it for everything. [18:03] And I do also you know obviously one of the things this is a dressing as just as as. You know we're being disrupted by e-commerce and so many of us are getting so many packages at home one of the real problems that's coming up is package theft and we're saying all kinds of. Interesting and Goofy Contraptions being invented to sort of mitigate that but these Walkers are obviously. [18:26] One of the best tool so so I suspect they'll get some success with that the next news item I saw. [18:36] Got some seller Amazon sellers and a little bit of a kerfuffle Amazon sent out a letter changing their their returns policy for three-piece sellers. All just read a little bit of the announcement dear seller Amazon is simplifying the returns process on items fulfilled by sellers. Starting October 2nd 2017. Returns of items that you fulfill and that fall within Amazon return policy will automatically be authorized customers will be able to print a prepaid return shipping label via the online return center instantly. [19:12] There's another paragraph where they announce another future which is we're also introducing returnless refunds a feature of the tire you requested by sellers. If you choose to do so you will now be able to set rules and automatically issue a refund without requiring an item to be shipped back to you. So as a request this because in many cases it allows you to save on both return shipping and processing costs so the gist of this. Is your three-piece seller on Amazon you're not using FBA. Customer wants to return a product used to go through a process and the seller would have to authorize that return and now they're just saying hey we're forcing all sellers to take returns no questions asked. [19:57] And there's a lot of small sellers then on the forums and on the the Amazon forums. I really outraged about this because you know you know they feel like they're getting getting cheated by by these nefarious buyers that buy stuff and then. Indiscriminately return it and I think it was even some confusion some sellers thought they'd be forced to use this this returnless refund. And that clearly isn't the case that's really designed for products where you know it's more expensive to ship the product back than it is to just throw it away or something like that and so you know they're giving that as an option to sellers but. I don't think this is news for anyone in FBA I don't think it's news for any of the big sellers but you know I do think it's. An interesting play I understand the sellers being upset by it but as a customer I think it makes a lot of sense when Amazon is doing. It's really confusing and complicated when the terms of service are different for every product you buy. Based on who sold it to you right so I buy 3 things they may have come from three Cellars. On Amazon I typically don't even notice that and so then if I want to return all three it's very odd that two of them are returned with no question to ask and one of them the return is denied so this seems like a. A step to force more consistency in a more customer-centric. Approach on Amazon and you know certainly at at some cost to Amazon sellers which I understand they they probably don't appreciate. Scot: [21:29] Yeah yeah a lot of small sellers view returns is kind like this. Battle Ground and they the Dig and dig their heels and have these stocking fees and all this kind of stuff they try to turn into a profit Center and I think the larger sellers of kind of said look please. Those days of Internet are over that's comic 1995 thinking let's returns are here to stay just got to make it in your modeling and that's not going to be the profit Center in whatever the cost is. Put it in your business model and go forward you can't just, can have that kind of thing and I agree with you it it's level sets to user experience that makes it a lot cleaner than than kind of the password to Congo reach every sellers return thing and go to the different rma's and all that stuff. Another Amazon news item is I think one day in the future will look back on 2017 and it'll be the year of Amazon private label because seems like a new private label is launching every week right now so this is your for long time you had a couple out there anchored with amazonbasics and, couple others pins on and and Stratford and things of that nature and then this year there's been like literally a new one is discovered, every month so this month so you know. Private label is called the fix and it's Prime exclusive so all these private labels are either Prime exclusive or not this one is a prime exclusive private label and its Footwear and Handbags so. [23:02] It's got kind of a very floral bright kind of a look to it so it'll be interesting to see how that does. Jason: [23:11] Yeah you know I think there's some possibility that Amazon you know has been the Nemesis of Peter Cub forever and so what a coincidence the day Peter goes to work for shoe company Amazon start selling shoes. [23:29] But yeah I do think it's going to be interesting obviously you know every industry looks at Amazon and then go oh man they're doing great and all these other Industries but, but our category is much more more complicated and you know I suspect a bunch of people at, a Vera Bradley in Michael Kors and you know all the other brands or you know waking up this morning and either. Being being concerned or or not but but they certainly probably should be based on the success of some of the other Amazon brands that they've been able to build. [23:58] And I just always like to remind everyone like we get in the habit of calling these private labels because they're their brands that are offered by the retailer but. You know my joke is Alexa probably doesn't feel like a private label to the the product managers for Bluetooth speakers at Sony. [24:17] Seems like they're full fledge brand. Scot: [24:20] Yeah and unlike kind of what I talk to other brands they kind of say well we've competed with private label for very long time which is true but it's. Different because you know these are frequently tagged. With Amazon Choice they're designed in such a way to be very diffi like mature Brands so it's not like Old Roy dog food where it's like clearly the the Walmart brand or something like that so there's a couple that are there's like wickedly Prime and amazonbasics obviously, but you know when they when they do these apparel ones they slip them in there and, you know it is as a consumer that's not familiar with every brand it is hard to tell so if you do a search for dress shirt or black dress and you will see I'm guarantee they'll be a strip of Brands up there and two of those are private label so it's kind of a I like to do this I go into a, like you I present a lot I'll go into a presentation and and pull that page up and say what's the private label and I would say almost understand the time people cannot a hundred percent gas at the, there's one that dough gas in it other one don't they will mess up so I think it's people should take these very seriously. Jason: [25:35] For sure and think about it like what the next likely plays are with all these brains right like Amazon guns going to use. All their data on selling Handbags and Footwear across all products, to identify the attributes that customers most want they're going to use the search results in the the non converting products and figure out where the gaps are in the market and so there, they're going to be able to use this huge amount of data that they have, dictate what you know how their product lines evolve which is a potentially big competitive Advantage now they're going to install cameras in a bunch of people's dressing rooms and take pictures of their outfits so now they're going to be able to help. Help no much more so than any other manufacturer, the exact fashion sense of all their customers and what products they tend to wear and how frequently they tend to use them so that's going to give him another big advantage over over the traditional Brands and then you know course they're going to roll all these products into, the Amazon wardrobe offering and you know send free trials to customers to let them keep them if they want them like they're just building so many pieces of. Ecosystem here and if your you know your attritional handbag manufacturer or footwear manufacturer that just makes products and tries to sell on you know. You know I think you really need to think about it like you're not just competing against another skew your complete competing against a whole new echo system that that. You know in the medium-term is likely to change how people shop for these products so that's going to be interesting to watch. [27:06] The next news item I had I'll be honest I'm not sure what to make of and you you had a particular interesting Theory, stripe made a press release in stripe as a, very popular payment Gateway particularly with smaller Sellers and marketplaces in they made an announcement that they were now. Providing an undisclosed conducting transactions for an undisclosed percent of Amazon sales. So Amazon is now using stripe for some of their payment processing. Scot: [27:46] Yeah this was a tricky one cuz it was reported everywhere and it was hard to chase down the. The source and its in a Bloomberg article will put it in the show notes and seems like the author saw Amazon's logo on their site and that was almost kind of the. The Germ of the whole article who's winning pieces you know how they became a unicorn not stuff which is great but then you know it is weird because so stripe is. Primarily used for mobile payments and I just got to imagine that core Amazon which one you think about amp. Mobile is the the Amazon app I find it hard to believe they would use stripe but the. Interesting thing about Amazon culturally, is every team is independent and so the cost of that is you don't get a lot of reuse of sometimes nowaday forestry used to the the cloud platform called AWS which is kind of how they saw some of that but I have seen teams at Amazon just kind of like me, their own kind of choices for things and dude. Copies of things like for example in Prime now launched it had a whole different set of product images and taxonomy and things than Corey Amazon and, traditional companies would say well why would you do that that's silly but Amazon favor speed over over efficiency so. So my guess my first guess was while there's a team in the Amazon that wanted to move quickly if for some reason they didn't really want to use Amazon payments per se so they probably just use stripe then I was kind of thinking what. [29:24] That be two ideas I had were, so the treasure truck is really starting to scale up an. You can imagine that that's going to be one of those scenarios where you're going to need to be out there, you're in the field with a point-of-sale system Amazon doesn't have anything quite like that and you're going to want to be. [29:44] Having an individual process payments kind of a sales rep kind of thing so that kind of struck me as potential area and then another one is maybe like some of the Amazon book stores or something like that maybe. Oster using has striping bedded and then you know the AWS team is kind of its own Rogue thing that I was thinking maybe they certainly are processing a lot of credit cards there maybe Stripes used on the B2B side there and some context, yeah or maybe there's some other Amazon app haven't really thought of this launch in the last year that that used to stripe to as as as payment processed I just went to really hard to believe that core Amazon is using stripe unless you know this is some precursor to an acquisition or. Did Solving some. [30:28] You know it could be maybe an international kind of think so sometimes you know you're going to Sonny's markets and the it would be too expensive to add support for payment Type X and maybe stripe party has it, those are kind of the things or maybe they wanted Amazon pay or Apple pay added to something and you know, Apple present keen on letting Amazon into that so they stripe give him coming arms-length way to have that those are kind of my thoughts on this I don't think it's kind of what, you know the kind of implied in that article. Jason: [31:05] Yeah I think any of those are possible like I greet with you unless it's a precursor to an acquisition it makes no sense then Amazon would just start using stripe as kind of a. 1/32 primer for people about payments like. If your small pair a small seller and you want to start taking credit cards you're likely going to pay a 2.9% fee for credit cards and that's the, the base price that striped charges to accept a credit card the more volume you get the better price you can negotiate. And so if you're a huge retailer. Only 10% of your sales are online so you're selling if you're Walmart you're selling 300 400 million dollars billion dollars. In stores you're selling 14 billion dollars online. You want to aggravate all of that sales together to get the absolute lowest credit card fee possible and that size you're actually going to install your own network and have a direct relationship with a bank. Either a little smaller than them you're going to use one of these Enterprise providers like cybersource or Chase payment. Amer maybe Braintree you know that these are all really common with the big Enterprise sellers. And where stripe is really fit is for smaller Sellers and newer sellers because what with stripe uniquely did is stripe said hey we're not going to try to offer features that appeal to the CFO making the decision. What service they're going to use we're going to offer features that appeal to the developer deciding what service to integrate. And said they they have much better api's and documentation and implementation guides and you know if you're a small startup and you want to add Payment Processing. [32:43] Million times easier to implement stripe then something one of the other payment providers I mentioned so they kind of grew viral RI some of those small companies have become quite large. But that's really historically been there Niche the big Enterprise company retailers haven't been using them in the biggest retailers for sure wouldn't use them because they would just agregate up all there. There their transactions so it makes very little sense for Amazon to take a small percentage of their revenue, pull it out of their deal with a bank send it to stripe where they would almost certainly have to pay higher interchange fees it just it just doesn't. Doesn't make sense unless there's something else going on like you you theorized. Scot: [33:23] Yeah and you just jog something for me one of stripes, biggest benefits therapy eyes is not only are they good at charging cards but they're good at disbursements that ends up being something you need if you're going to be a Marketplace so Airbnb is large customer of theirs and so imagine you rented your apartment out to you would want to collect from the renter and then you would want to receive payment and that disbursement part is is kind of tricky because, you as the person receiving the dispersement you may want it to an ACH on a credit card or who knows PayPal or something so then that makes me think, the newest Marketplace in Amazon is Amazon Home Services where, they are doing a lot of these you know installations of those kinds of things were there collecting frown when in and dispersing on the back end so that that's like another option I can think of is, strike could be the disbursement platform for that. Jason: [34:18] Yeah yeah that totally possible so that that is going to be interesting to watch. Scot: [34:22] Cool and non Amazon news just a couple of quick ones, Stitch fix has been widely reported to be close to following an IPO and then they actually have apparently file to confidential IPO. In the way this works is there is a jobs Acton before the jobs act you would minimally familiar with this process you would, you have to file your S one and then you would essentially put everything you're doing out there in the public so as you go back and forth with the SEC your documents are out there for everyone to see, and you maybe the market goes to a rough. And you want to pull the IPO you've already kind of revealed all of your deepest darkest secrets so what the jobs I did is it allowed for companies with a under billion dollars of Revenue to file confidentially so you get a period of time where you can file you know you have to tell anyone you have seems like they have chosen to tell people they filed but it gives you this kind of air cover where you can work with a cc, you can, you can even cut an update the documents over a quarter to and essentially get ready for my PO and then do the timing. Whatever works best for you can see how the market rolls out in it leaves alleviates kind of a lot of the risk and stress of the IPO process so a lot of. Series out there of why they're doing it now and I do think if it kind of the math they were reported to be at like a 800 million dollar run rate, I bet they were getting pretty close to the billion-dollar run-rate and you lose the ability to do this so you also see this kind of decision Point kind of at that billion-dollar run rate of your gosh we need if we're going to do this confidentially we can have to do it now. [36:05] So I think, I think that's to be really interesting to watch when they do take the covers off that US1 will report on it because a lot of people are very curious about what's going on under the hood there. Jason: [36:16] Yeah I hadn't even thought about that but then she'll risk that they go over the threshold that's that's super interesting the other. A news tidbit I had was an announcement from Walmart and JD in China and for those that don't know JD is the largest. Direct seller e-commerce site in China so you know we always talk about Alibaba which is Team all and tell about those are both marketplaces so jd.com is the largest kind of traditional. Reseller of other people's stuff online and they have announced a pretty interesting partnership with Walmart to, host a shopping Festival which here in the US would call a sale holiday on August 8th next year so that's that's going to be an interesting. New play from Walmart in JD and China to try to create their own shopping holiday to compete with alibaba's single day on November 11th. Scot: [37:16] Yeah freak will be interesting to see if they're going to call it like all each day or double 8 answer seems kind of can't call it singles day. Jason: [37:25] No but I suspect we're going to have a podcast to cover it next year. Scot: [37:30] Absolutely. Jason: [37:32] So was you mentioned upfront we did we did listen or questions last week which were great and very popular but we didn't get time to answer all the listeners question so it is once again time for. Scot: [37:53] Questionnaire questionnaire question love the echo did you you must have done that one at the Grand Canyon. Jason: [38:04] Exactly I give that sound effect was a little shorter we would have had time to get all the questions in last week. Scot: [38:09] I never know if it's ever going to totally stop, our first question this week comes from a longtime friend of the show Michelle Grant she's at euromonitor in this one was from Twitter and her question do you think Nike is one of the few brands that have the leverage to get Amazon to remove 3p inventory, and that's what they're calling Marketplace skating so what you think Jason. Jason: [38:37] Yes I do think they're one of the few but I think it's a combination of things right like I think I think you have to be a big desirable brand and I think in in Nikes case the levers they had is that they, we're not selling on the brand and they're one of the the most requested products on Amazon and Amazon you know didn't carry except through. Through a three-piece hours and so I. Like I do think that was interesting that they had the leverage to to clean up the the the marketplace by by draining Sales & Products Direct, I wouldn't surprise me if we see a couple more of those deals but I certainly don't think they're going to be commonplace I certainly think in general. Amazon's not going to be willing to do that and you know frankly as they knock down a couple of these top. Top brands they want they're just going to bless less future brands are going to have less leverage to cut the same deal that Nike cut. Scot: [39:33] Yeah I agree I think there's literally 5 to 10 brands that could get this kind of treatment things going really interesting is how will this relationship work so yeah you can paint a scenario where. Nike went into this genuinely wanting to sell more product and clean up the marketplace or you could say we'll maybe this was kind of a little bit of had faith in there like okay Amazon will sell some of our in Nike has a good better best will sell some of our good in a little bit of better but none of our best, and you're going to clean up the marketplace and then you know the other part were not privy to as what is the pricing relationship so. [40:13] Amazon hates it when they can't change the price of a product they will they will live up to map pricing. But if you see it cheaper somewhere else they really like the flexibility to lower price so you can see this relationship being a little twisted if. Couple scenarios so so let's say Nike has somehow negotiated Amazon can't do that that's going to drive Amazon crazy not being able to the price so that's one scenario where this relationship sours another scenario is where. You know. [40:44] Amazon goes and changes the prices like maybe Nike came in thinking we've got our pricing under control that's not a big deal fine change prices if you find it lower and it was on so good at that that that's a good may surprise it in my experience and I deal with their very surprised that, Amazon so aggressive with pricing and then be when they call him on it Amazon can provide like a detailed report that says here's why we lowered the price it was you had it at, in Iowa there was the store that had it in with a it was even cheaper per se but it came with a gift card and that's why we not to ten bucks off across the country so I think that could cause some friction and then, Amazon is forgoing some a lot of Revenue and a lot of margin and maybe a year into this it turns out that, 3p was more practical than Nike I I don't know what the outcome of that would be but I got imagine Amazon has some data there so it's kind of interesting to see how this relationships going to play out over time at I think I see more scenarios where it kind of sours and then they cut split up then. Baby come back together later or so we'll we'll see how it goes. Jason: [41:54] No I think you're exactly right and the 3p Marketplace is such an important part of Amazon success it just it seems like. Yeah that's to be a really compelling reason for them to do something that that negatively affects that. So the next question we got is from Steve White and, Steve is a co-worker of mine on the the Commerce team it sapientrazorfish so no Steve very well and he he sent the question hey guys when I talked to Brands they have a sense that they are going to be pushed out of the, platform is Amazon develops products in their respective categories and then he goes on to say my senses then Amazon has never acted like a bully in that regard just adds additional competition, thoughts so Scott is are they going to kick off all the shoe companies now that they have private label shoes. Scot: [42:45] No no I think you know they Amazon love a couple things today love fast free shipping they love Amazon Prime and the kind of loyalty it builds and Trust the things they love on top of that or selection and volume so there's this classic Amazon flywheel, Scot funny up and talk about this for 10 years now I run chose to flywheel, in and at the heart of the flywheel is selection and value and that's that's where, you know they don't really push Brands off so so I think, what I'm saying is this really interesting kind of hat trick where you'll have a name brand out there so let's say. I don't have Bob I was buying something that has buying some shorts so Columbia shorts are out there and they were like $80 maybe $60 for last year's kind of thing that was the name brand, men's shorts and then there was an Amazon Brandon there and then there was a Chinese brand so so I think they they like giving consumers that option to say hey here's here's a wide price range of things you decide, and they're all prime eligible and you decide what you like do you want, us to have a cop put our brand on something and call it the Amazon choice and the private label do you want to take a little bit more risk on quality and whatnot with a Chinese kind unbranded Cellar or do you want to buy from the name brand name brand that has you know it's more expensive and you're going to get you. Better fabrics and better this a together with that one so so I think I think. [44:21] That brand shouldn't worry about that now would they should worry about those the slice of the pie because even though they're still on there we weave there's stairs. Lots of case studies that we see everyday of these traditional Brands they don't really pay attention to their Amazon business, and I'm not real brand comes in and soaks up like 80% of the Amazon Market overnight and that's hard to fight against even if your name brand because just the way they Amazon machine works with SEO and sales rank in the ad system in FBA and all that it can be very hard for a traditional brand, did they have to make some really fast. Big decisions that big brands are not good at making to catch up to that sir so I think the risk is actually that they lose a slice the pie, and that's the entire Amazon Pie which is the very big pie. Jason: [45:10] Yeah once again I totally agree I think the. There's very few things are going to do to get kicked off the Amazon platform I mean you know violating terms and conditions. You know fake products stuff like that or, selling stuff that Amazon can't make a profit on you know if you know you can fall into that category and get kicked off the project the platform but, it certainly is unlikely they're going to kick you off the platform to preference their own Brands to your point. Like it can be harder to win the buy box when Amazon has products but I don't even think that they. Manually putting their finger on the scales in most cases. For those private Brands I think they just know how to score better in rank better in there and answer the result they're going to win the buy box more. And you know when those search results more. And therefore it is you say get get a bigger piece of the pie I would say the one place work like this still isn't getting kicked off but we're probably feels like it's getting kicked off it is. You know something like the echo is getting like so heavily promoted around holidays like Prime day and and Christmas and you know it could be. Pretty hard to elevate visibility for your competitive product you know if you're competing against one of those. Does core Amazon products but I don't think we're going to see that for all the private labels on Amazon. Scot: [46:44] Yeah and here is our last question this is from Parker block this one requires a little bit of setup so there were two articles recently out there another friend of the show who has been a guest Casey Low by he had an article out talking about kind of the fragmentation of retail so lots of Little Stores sign things and Brands going to react so, Lots in this big kind of. [47:08] Tons of choices for consumers at the same time a popular writer Deb weinzweig she used to be an analyst at Citi now she writes for Fung retail. Sheeran article that said know there's all these disruptive forces going on in retail and we're going to see massive. [47:28] Consolidation so essentially you're going to go from you know I don't know how many retailers but if you look at kind of Mulligan and you start tracking the number and they've been very good at. That tracking the number of store closures and then projected store closures and all that it's pretty easy to convince yourself there's going to be. Walmart Target and apparel company and, or two or three in a couple luxury ones some dollar stores some clubs and then that's kind of it so a lot of the retail is going to go away and we've seen enough more bankruptcies this year than we've had ever so, so that's a long set up so the question is and I'll let you tackle this one Jason, are disruptive forces going to drive retail consolidation which is Deb's argument. Or are we going to have fragmentation which is Casey does seem to be mutually exclusive outcomes so I'll I'll turn it over to you Jason to hear your thoughts. Jason: [48:22] That's very very clever I was actually hoping to hear your answer and then I was going to tell you whether you were right or not, but well they seem to be mutually exclusive I actually think they're not and so I think the answer is both but I'll I'll. Be a little more definitive than what I mean by that the. [48:42] I feel like we're going to definitely see a consolidation of people that are segregating other people's stuff and selling it. So traditional retailers that buy stuff from third parties mark it up and sell it I just think that's going to. Increasingly be a hard business to be in in differentiate yourself in and we're likely to only see a handful of those product aggregators, and you know obviously at this point though the one that that certainly seems to be winning as in North America is our friends in Amazon but at the same time. [49:15] That we're seeing a lot of product manufacturers have lower barriers to entry to sell direct to Consumer than ever before I mean 50 years ago if you invented a product the only way you could get it to Consumers was to get it on the Shelf at retail, and today it's it's much easier to sell that stuff to wrecked a consumer and increasingly. You you would want to go from a margin standpoint and from a customer intimacy standpoint and from a data standpoint, and you have to because that's, tell me what you can control your price and differentiate yourself and you know not not just be you know and see if 100 million products on Amazon and so I think what we're going to actually see is. [50:01] A fragmentation and sellers in the form of product manufacturers that are selling their products direct and we're going to see a consolidation of sellers in the form of aggregators that sell other people stuff. [50:16] So so Casey Deborah you're both right. Scot: [50:20] You unpacked the mutually exclusive arguing very well the aldila controversial and disagree with you to some extent so I'm going to go consolidation and. I put a star by that so let me come back to that in a second but let let me dress fragmentation night do you think it is interesting we talk a lot on the show about the digitally native vertical Brands but what's interesting if you kind of look at it. They haven't scaled as big as you would think they would right so so the splits pick on bonobos they've been on the show great brand love them love Andy's riding and all that stuff, but they sold the Walmart you know they didn't create kind of a 5 billion dollar brand and. I don't never disclose sales but I think they sold for 300 so if we give them kind of a 1x sales or maybe that was to set put some between 150 and 300 million. You would think with the vast audience online that they would have been able to just keep selling in Skilling online that I haven't opened stores but they ultimately had to open stores to get consumer awareness so. So I think there will be Brands willing to sell direct but it's going to be hard because it's very it's a weird customer experience to not have them aggregated in some way, and that's what traditional retailers have provided now back to my consolidation I think we're going to have consolidation but I pull astrix by it because I think the consolidator is going to be different than what we think they are, tell me the traditional folks like an Amazon a Walmart kind of department store kind of thing but I think what will happen is. [51:52] As these Brands want to get consumers to consolidation points will be where your attention is and. China is a really good example of this where you know you have WeChat has become itself it started out as an app. App for chatting it is become this portal or Channel now that people shot through so the app has become kind of the. What's the web essentially so it has the tire web inside of an app and that's. A form of consolidation so if it kind of project that Ford in the US I think what you'll have is you'll have some traditional retail points of consolidation but I think actually what will be bigger is going to be, it was some the platform consolidation so I think you actually will have a fair amount of sales going through Facebook it's hard you know and I. Put Facebook I put in stew and all that stuff inside of there and then also when you look at people where people are spending their time things like Snapchat Google and then maybe even at the device later maybe an apple or. [52:53] Yeah it's kind of nother kind of consolidation point so. That's how these brands are going to have to be able to get in front of consumers because they just can't do it through traditional channels and. [53:07] Part of my thinking on all this is that we go to a much higher percent of sales that are online and that's kind of what's happened in China as well to drive that behavior so so I think consolidation but not just retail consolidation but. No attention consolidation which may be a retail thing like Amazon but it could also be Facebook Twitter and yes those guys have tried all this but I think it comes back around in some form and that's the, platform for discovery that I am you're if you're not playing on those your you won't be found on the internet. Jason: [53:41] That's very interesting. I will totally buy that it can spend the fact that most of the platforms have had very little success today I I certainly agree that is going to be easier and easier to push the, the transaction out to the point of Discovery so if if they're in a new points of Discovery they could ask absolutely be consolidation points, so that that's a great call at Scott I'm going to Sweet Lee clarify my answer when I said, brand selling director going to you know therefore be a bunch of pregnant at Sellers I suspect the overwhelming majority of those Brands still will sail with the aggregator so I don't mean no exclusively sell Direct, but I think they'll they'll certainly you know do their best to earn as much of the direct businesses they can and you know particularly if you look at it through Scots timeline. The other thing that's going to happen is a lot of the buyers for this stuff are going to be computer chips are all agreed them's that are doing Auto replenishment in your home and. You know that the Samsung dishwasher is not going to care whether it buys your tide from Amazon or direct from Procter & Gamble and so you know I think that's going to. Create greater opportunity for for those direct Cellars in a bunch of those categories. To have a meaningful Direct business so would that said I have a follow-up question for you is a Marketplace. [55:02] Consolidation or fragmentation right so on Amazon where I've got you know a huge number of sellers but a single cart is that actually. Fragmentation of sellers or consolidation of carts. Scot: [55:16] I think it's consolidation because and I think their traditional way of thinking about. Consolidation is front doors so that's kind of the approach I'm taking his like you're going to how many please it offline metaphor how many physical front doors do you end up going through. That number will drop off line in offline I think now it's your counting the fragmentation is the number of buying entities or if sellers of record behind the front door. [55:48] I think that's kind of a nuanced kind of view of it but I see where you're going with it but yeah I think it's the front door is kind of how I am I'm answering the question. Jason: [55:58] Cool Scott we we meet at we got all the way through or listen or questions, and that is perfect because it is happen again we've wasted a perfectly good hour of our listeners time so we certainly would encourage listeners to continue the dialogue on our Facebook page if you love this episode we greatly appreciate a 5-star review on iTunes and feel free to use Twitter or Facebook to, send this new questions and we'll agregate a bunch of them and do another listener question show in the future. Scot: [56:31] Yeah thanks everyone for all the questions we really appreciate it. Jason: [56:34] So until next time happy commercing.  

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP095 - Listener Questions and Amazon Earnings

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 30, 2017 64:50


EP095- Listener Questions and Amazon Earnings http://jasonandscot.com Amazon Q2 2017 Earnings Summary (PDF from Amazon) Amazon reported a beat on revenue but a miss on earnings Revenue came in at $37.96 billion, beating street estimates of $37.18 billion. EPS was only 40 cents per share, missing street estimates of $1.42 per share. Listener Questions Kiri Masters: I'd love to hear Jason and Scot talk about their global e-commerce outlook. Amazon in particular seems keen to expand aggressively in international markets. Does the growth opportunities match the regulatory / operational complexity for brands? Interested to get your take. Josh Tarasoff: Hi Jason and Scot--What is your take on Amazon's strategy behind buying products at full retail price from marketplace sellers? Here is an article: http://www.cnbc.com/.../amazon-new-fba-program-buys.... Thank you. I love the show. Anup Gosavi Hey guys... love your show. Would love to see your take on when/ if brands will be active on messaging platforms like Messenger, Kik. etc. Is it actually a better channel than email? Is there a signal in all that noise? Opportunities/ risks etc. Thanks! Lauren Quaile Tonkin: I'd love your thoughts on autoreplenishment. Why have other retailers not adopted this tactic broadly (beyond Amazon and Target)? Do autoreplenishment models differ globally? What non-intuitive products/categories do you think can benefit from an autoreplenishment strategy? Thank you! Keep up the great work. Ben Kates: off-price retail offline and online Gareth Hanes (in uk): Hi Jason & Scott, enjoying your podcasts from "the other side of the pond" in the UK. I would be interested in your take on the recent (in the UK anyway) growth of products sold on Amazon by Chinese 3P merchants (presumably manufacturers) using FBA. I have noticed transformational changes in some product groups where new SKUs and brands have gained strong traction very quickly (propelled forward by a combination of agressive pricing, AMS & FBA). There's been a lot of talk on your podcasts about Amazon "own label", but this "manufacturer to consumer" model would appear to be a much more of a imminent threat to incumbent domestic brand owners. Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 95 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Thursday July 27, 2017. Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. New beta feature - Google Automated Transcription of the show Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 95 being recorded on Thursday July 27th. 2017 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scott Wingo. Scot: [0:40] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason and Scott show listeners Jason imma. I haven't been traveling a lot lately but I think you have been zipping around for you you've kind of been hanging around the coast update listeners on your many travels. Jason: [0:56] Yeah I have been bicoastal this week's. I spent most of the week in my ancestral hometown of San Diego California, I was there for interact Tech which is a great smaller event that the internet puts on every year so that's some. Originally designed for CTO that sort of expanded to include the CMO Council and the digital Council so we had a. A fun couple days of a networking and content there and I got to lead to Workshop which was fun. It was for me probably not for any of the attendees and then flew to New York today to do a workshop with a card tomorrow. Scot: [1:37] Awesome yet so just racking up the miles going to join the eight million Mile Club Pearson. Jason: [1:43] I'm happy to report I hope to never achieve 8 million miles but I do have quite a few and I did get to visit I got to check off another Amazon bookstore on my West cuz there's one in University Town Center in San Diego. Scot: [1:58] Cool so give us a quick update on that and then what was the buzz it in RF take anything that listener should know about. Jason: [2:05] Usher so the the Amazon bookstore like. [2:09] Is not very interesting it was the second one they opened and it's a smaller footprint so it's basically. [2:18] Today in equivalents at our offerings to the. [2:21] The Seattle won that bet in West base so you not if you've been to another Amazon bookstore you don't need to go out of your way to see this one is that mentioned before the. The one in my hometown in Chicago appears to be, the most advanced with the with the coffee shop and a broader assortment of products than any of the other which is sort of interesting. Scot: [2:42] Did you try to return a random Amazon product like you're like you're freaking leader. Jason: [2:47] Because I was traveling for 8 days in a two-day overnight bag I did not have room to bring any test returns with me. [2:56] Yeah that's my shoes and I'm sticking to it but the check was good there was a lot of interesting speakers. [3:06] I definitely would say the theme of the show was preparing for the future and particularly overcoming risk aversion and not being afraid to fail and failing faster with sort of the. A recurring theme throughout the day. Scot: [3:23] So, gelatin and how do some of these 5200 or organizations crank up the the speed. Jason: [3:30] Exactly and I you don't I I think sometimes explicitly stated and sometimes kind of just implied, but you know I'll just leave the boogeyman for most of these these folks as Amazon and and they're particularly good at moving fast and innovating despite the fact that there. A large twenty-year-old company in so you know I feel like the the realization is hit a lot of folks that they have to find ways to be more. More agile and more forward-leaning than than the the innovator's dilemma with typically dictate. Scot: [4:03] And then what was your talk on. Jason: [4:05] So I actually did a workshop on that theme so I am. Presented sort of seven trends that I felt were sort of exponential growth Trends in the industry that would likely affect all of the. The attendees businesses and then I gave them some brainstorming tools that we use to be more forward-looking and sort of divorce ourselves from some of the, the Legacy thinking so I introduced them to a structure that was designed by a guy named Eddie to Bono called six hat thinking and so we went through a six hat thinking brainstorming exercise where we fired everyone from their current companies and had them all work for a new grocery retailer trying to invent a new customer experience in the US, to compete with Amazon Whole Foods. Scot: [4:52] Cool we should do a deep dive on the so don't say too much let's leave listeners just kind of guessing my my big question is did you really wear 6 haven't set a time. Jason: [5:01] Note that when we talk on the thing what you want is you only get to wear one handed a time that's that's the beauty of the the system. Scot: [5:11] So we won't tell listeners why it's called six hats so leave that is as I'm sure they're on the edge of their seat right now. Jason: [5:18] Cliffhanger. Scot: [5:19] What we have a jam-packed show tonight so let's jump into it so the two big topics number one is earlier today Amazon release their earnings for the second quarter and hot take on that and then we have listened or questions it's been quite a while since we did listen to questions we put the call out, and I'm excited report we we have a lot of listen to questions I'm not sure we're going to be able to get to them so let's kick it off with Amazon news which is our hot take on earnings. [6:04] Yeah so today. [6:07] Amazon came out with their Q2 earnings they're usually one of the later companies to report in our world so we already heard from eBay already heard from Google and Facebook and Twitter just kind of summarize those guys eBay was Steady As She Goes. Google did did relatively well the stock was off a little bit. They paid clicks were up but they face somatization challenges that that people kind of scratching her head about a lot of people worried maybe they're just getting a lot of klicks from YouTube that aren't monetizing very well-off out loud concerns over mobile and then, let's see Facebook crushed earnings on every measurable kind of thing they hit some new all-time highs Twitter's results for kind of man you know they're really struggling to add new users so that's kind of the setup is kind of you know. Mixed bad coming into Amazon so let's go through that so. The Top Line got to looking at Revenue that I came in at 38 billion and that topped Wall Street expectations pretty handily and represents 26% year-over-year growth and just remind listeners e-commerce is growing at 15%, and here you have Amazon just kind of pretty easily doubling that. [7:19] Nothing that I was have to remind myself with this quarter is it does not include Prime Dave so Prime day will actually fall into the Q3 results so. So this is this is pretty nice that represents a bit of an acceleration kind of from last quarter so you know Amazon would what amazes me is. [7:38] They seem to defy the rule of large numbers and what kind of talk what about Wyatt a minute that you have to be 38 billion and still posting these kinds of growth numbers is is. Pretty impressive. As you peel the onion on the revenue side North America Revenue was the cause of the reacceleration in that grew 27%. [7:59] There were some concerns about the cloud computing which is AWS because Microsoft had reported a strong quarter there a dubious has been lowering their prices as they kind of compete out in the world with with kind of the commodity storage and things, and AWS topped expectations so people are excited about that International had some currency headwinds but when you take those out it also had a nice showing. Things I watch closely are some of the non-gaap measures so third-party seller Services which is its own Revenue line item now. Groove 40%. [8:33] I should say little footnote for those of you that have followed my Amazon analysis for a while that used to break out media egm and other and they stop doing that unfortunately so. I can no longer kind of see how that egm pieces doing that's always going to want things I really enjoyed I do think this third-party seller service metric now is probably a proxy for that because most third-party sellers are in a GM. So that grew 40% so again you know almost three times the pace of e-commerce which is pretty amazing, third-party as a percentage of units hit a new high water mark of 51% that's the highest that's ever been so the third party Marketplace I know we have a lot of listeners that are either brands that do hybrid or are there are third-party sellers, retailers very healthy growth there. [9:22] The another new segment that Amazon introduced this year in the first quarter that we're now starting to see some Trends on is called retail subscription services, and that's essentially revenue from Prime and Dad grew 53% which the Wall Street notes will come out tomorrow I think we're going to see. People against before Prime day which I think had you know they said record signups I think we're going to see people touch up their number of prime subscribers based on this I think I think. [9:49] Egg while she may have underestimated how many prime subscribers kind of added in the quarter so so that'll be interesting to watch and will report on that, another area I look at is paid unit growth so this is just took kind of a, measure of volume that was up 27% year-over-year and that's its highest level since Q3 of 16 so it's really interesting reacceleration at Amazon going on and that's you know I think if you kind of. [10:16] You think about how Wall Street thinks about that was all super positive the one thing that kind of freak Wall Street out a little bit and this happens. Every cycle with Amazon is they start to show some profit and they reinvest and then a certain set of investors freak out about that. So that's on the bottom line on the expense side so while she was looking for just over billion dollar in in gap profit, and it actually came out to be 600 million so kind of half of what folks are looking for earnings per share that translates into earnings per share of $0.40 while she was expecting like a buck 40 so you'll see this headline to know that. Amazon misses bottom line by you know 77% that kind of thing that's certainly true. But you know when you when you beat revenue and Miss on earnings usually kind of implies some level investment inside of their and. [11:10] We'll see that we'll talk about that in a second and then the thing we. You know yo big public is very much of what have you done for me lately kind of thing it's really, maybe 20% about the quarterly reporting 80% about the next quarter what they're talking about so at Amazon updated their guidance for Q3 and the projected revenues between 39 and about 42 billion which implies, a bracket of 20 to 28% year-over-year growth 24% at the midpoint Amazon has a pretty good history at kind of beating that just like they did this quarter or coming in right at the top of that guy that's so that. That was as kind of that exceeded wall Street's kind of previous thinking about Q3 but where they did not exceed are they contact. Missed where while she was thinking is when they projected the bottom line into next quarter Wall Street was thinking about 950 million and Amazon said no it's me arrange of - 400 million - 300. [12:09] So this is going to raise those questions you and I hear a lot about in Amazon's not profitable it's not fair we just have to kind of wait for them to wash it to wake up. [12:19] And you again. Stock after hours was down 30 or $40 which feels like a lot but you have to remember Amazon is an $1,000 stock Club so that's only a couple points. And I think what we'll see tomorrow it'll be interesting you know it's hard to guess how lost react but I think we'll actually see. [12:40] The set of investors that care about growth and market-share what kind of overcome the industrious that are focused on profitability. [12:48] Last point on profitability Amazon really does not optimized for any of those things I just talked about they optimized for Revenue growth in market share and then. Cash flow and what happens is always accounting rules kind of. Bend that as you report this thing's so just kind of give you some numbers for the quarter Amazon had 17.8 billion dollars of operating cash flow and then 8.2 billion of that goes property equipment in R&D, so that's kind of what's Happening Here is the way I think about it is. [13:22] Amazon where to stop investing for the future and so let's just come. Play that off they wouldn't be making these kinds of Investments and you would have seen no a big chunk of the 17 billion flow to the bottom line. What they're doing is they're investing in R&D they're building fulfillment centers in her building data centers does does your kind of the three biggest legs of investment so for example another four billion went to pay for Lisa's so that's fulfillment centers and then invested another four billion in, new releases in equipment so so you know. [13:58] The losses that you see the way I would argue it and I think a retailer should think about this Wall Street it's kind of Ena. Don't think Howard I think these losses actually are not from the current business is kind of his F you know they're they're making. [14:14] Good investment for an Indies levels you think about the levels I just talked about that's the level of their investing in so so pretty crazy levels investment. Jason: [14:23] Yeah absolutely and you know I tend to think of it pretty simply if they if their profits were going down because their cost of goods were going up or some, some operating expense that was directly related to their sales this quarter were dramatically going up like shipping went way up as a percentage of sales or something like that like then. That would be indicative of a problem in their business model but when they're their profit isn't High because they're investing in, things that are likely to have a much higher future value like capacity or subscribers. [14:59] Like that that's that that's a whole different equation in my mind. Scot: [15:04] Yeah absolutely into that point I didn't talk about it but gross margins were real. About that been relatively the same for the last year or so you know the cost of goods are pretty are very stable and then, this is kind of like in the weed so I'll just kind of leave it as something if listeners are interested Amazon does report kind of segments in then that gives you a little bit better view of how profitable is each business unit if you strip some of this investment out they call it, CSI which I think stands for I know it's segment operating income I forget what the C is for, but they kind of report on retail AWS and that customer segment operating income I think it is that's a really interesting metric if you if you're if you want to get super geeky on this stuff and you have to really dig into their SEC documents their q and in her case can I get that, but it is a Consolidated segment operating income at the kiddos said look for CSI and I think. [16:05] I always find that is a really interesting few that strips out a lot of the things like you know RS use and non-cash pieces and a lot of the accounting stuff that kind of gives you a hard makes it hard to see what's going on inside of their. Jason: [16:19] Yeah I'm I still run into it all the time that you know I hear from some particular from retailers but you know others that oh man Amazon has good at growing Revenue but they but they're not profitable and of course. That just factually untrue and. It was even on Truth escort or even though it was a somewhat down quarter versus Wall Street expectations and then the one of here even more commonly is. [16:44] Only AWS is profitable so were you to take out AWS they they wouldn't be a viable business. Scot: [16:50] Yeah and the CSO actually proves that wrong so it does show AWS is profitable but it also talks about, not combines retail and 3p and it I believe it does a, domestic non-domestic in both of those domestics profitable Internationals losing a little bit on but you can see it's on a path to get there and it's kind of been chewing away at it over time so yeah you know that that's those are just kind of factually wrong Sue. Yeah I guess and NF. Amazon secretly loves it when people think that because they did you know that is not true and they they love misinformation kind of things like that that people are not watching the right. Part of them the ball here to to keep up with it when one thing is happened and we called it here on the Jason Scott show, as the stock has kind of held over $1,000 is kind of in the, thousand $10,020 range so things have happened out there and with Berkshire Hathaway and Microsoft stock and whatnot and the end result is by at least I've read into sources now CNBC in Fortune Bezos is the most rich person in the world at 90 billion dollars so so congrats Jeff whenever you're a big listener so, big pat on the back for that and yeah we know congratulations. Jason: [18:10] Pour yourself a drink with that top shelf a beverage of your choice. Scot: [18:14] Boom get a Diet Coke go crazy. Jason: [18:16] Exactly other I do things gotta actually read that that he hit that Peak based on the stock having a nice little uptick before the earnings were now it's because the, that anticipation was that it was going to be a good quarter, and then I think after the announcement that the stock actually corrected a little bit and I think you might have slipped back under Bill Gates for the time being. Scot: [18:38] Yes it gets it like 10:20 to 10:25 somewhere in there so I'm sure he probably doesn't care what's another. Jason: [18:46] I think if you really cared you would have skipped a year of space exploration and you'd be there. Scot: [18:53] Cool so that's our hot take on Amazon's earnings for Q2 and and if the way I would summarize it is. I think it was really strong and they are just pouring more money into Investments and they're very profitable lots of free cash flow that they are just spending as rapidly as they can into. Things that I think are pretty. Conservative that are going to pay off for them another fulfillment center Prime now launching in Australia launching in Singapore all these things are our kind of no-brainers. [19:28] Soup that is Amazon news and now it is time for. [19:43] Question question question. [19:50] Who's the first wanted to thank all our listeners to most of these come from our Facebook page so as reminder if you just go to Facebook and the search for Jason and Scott show you will be taking there, or if you go to Jason and Scott. we have links to Facebook page there and it's Scott with 1T so our first question Jason comes from Curie Masters so it's also say a blanket statement of I apologize if I say Jason right I say your name wrong, security says I'd love to hear Jason Scott talk about their Global e-commerce out, Amazon in particular seems Keen to expand aggressively in international markets does the growth opportunities matched regulatory operational complexity for Brands interested on your take. Jason: [20:34] Yeah so that that's a great question carry like at a high-level like you know I think certainly we're all bullish about. International e-commerce growth so just kind of. The level set this is a milestone year in 2017 globally e-commerce will surpass 10% of all retail sales across the globe so, we can I hit that inflection point worldwide and Global e-commerce growth is about 23% so even Scott mentioned earlier, we're in one of the more developed markets here in North America and its about 15% so so the worldwide growth prospects are certainly higher. [21:12] But your your question sort of implies the real trick to all of this is you know in those markets where there is considerable growth. [21:23] Is it cost-effective to see that growth either because of the. The individual complexities of those markets it because of language and Logistics in in those sorts of things and in particularly is the growth opportunity constrained. [21:37] That because of rigor Tori issues right and so you know that's the. The sort of equation you have to apply but certainly I think the the conventional wisdom is you know that the super exciting market for most. [21:51] Folks at the moment is India and you know to kind of put that in perspective. In North America about 75% of all the consumers that have access to the internet or online Shoppers in fact I think it's like 76% in Asia. [22:09] It's closer to 2:50 or 60% of of all users. That have internet access are shopping online but where it gets interesting is in North America the overwhelming majority of all users have internet access in Asia only about half of all users have internet access so when you look at. [22:31] The percentage of the total population that are shopping online you don't in in North America where about 65% in Asia were at 25%, so India in particular is even a little lower than that and has a huge population so you have a huge population you have an emerging middle class. And you have very low penetration at the moment so those are certainly. You know all the the favorable characteristics that have caused a lot of big International companies to come in and make big bets in it in India which is why it's. Kind of the the global e-commerce Battleground right now and as you've directly pointed out there some, challenging Logistics and Regulatory environment that make it difficult for for businesses Amazon in particular to sort of. Completely replicate their their North American model in India so so that's that's the barrier. Scot: [23:27] Yeah and um. So I'll specifically can't talk to Amazon a little bit I'm not an expert on regulatory issues but you know so Amazon is growth strategy has been, is it interesting so they start in the US and then they did Europe and then they, the only time Amazon has not kind of. [23:50] Really focused and become number one is China and if anything in China I think they're like number four or five which is pretty interesting and I think they've learned a lot from that experience I think they they realize that. [24:05] They have to really adaptive local market and build a team and maybe acquire a company and, just kind of be more Nimble than they had been since the China was a real big learning and and ever since then you know they have when they going on Market they go guns blazing and, to Jason's Point India seems to be that's really interesting Battle Ground right now between all the big. Global e-commerce companies so so Amazon got a bit of a late start because there is some some regulatory things they had to cross over and India and they. They can only open the third party Marketplace are they Amazon still does not retail so there's some kind of protectionist law that you can't afford company can't be a retailer and India so so you had. [24:50] Flipkart and Snapdeal as kind of the incumbents local companies and then Amazon dinner and they started taking sure then what's happened is Alibaba and eBay of each continent. Southside Bank in so he's really big players have kind of bolstered those anti Amazon companies so Amazon is is, pretty publicly said they can spend billions of dollars in India there's something like I tracked us pretty close 15 to 20 fulfillment centers they're building Justin India so there. Derp derp pretty much betting that the Playbook of getting product close to Consumers can be really important India because it is a very large country. No what is a six billion people in the Diaz Harrison. Jason: [25:34] Yeah I think that sounds about right no maybe like 3 billion. Scot: [25:39] Maybe China sex so. So you have a very populous country spread out lots of cities lots of different ways not a really great career system or delivery system, like a FedEx UPS USPS so I think Amazon is really investing in that so it's been interesting to kind of watch in and they know they've been way more aggressive there than they, did when we went to China I think day and when I read the tea leaves I think they kind of regret not being more aggressive in China and Android building that out better and they got kind of beat by JD with a 1p model and Alibaba other 3p model. [26:12] What kind of stick to Asia pack there they that's been where they've been investing for last 3 years they haven't been, expanding much but now we're starting to hear they're definitely opening Singapore and then Australia and so it's interesting to see them kind of pick up those countries, then just a reminder they did a choir a the top Marketplace in the Middle East called souq souq. Jason: [26:42] Yep exactly. Scot: [26:44] And that's a pretty big market place I think it was like 2 to 5 billion and GMP which is pretty sizable and, that's going to pick up you know Saudi Arabia Qatar Kuwait some of the Middle East countries there and it's a lot like mercadolibre we've had on the show or it's kind of a family of little local marketplaces it's not kind of. Homogeneous Marketplace it's kind of every country has its own rules and regulations and language and currency and careers so they kind of like have built that in each country in the Middle East and then they. Did you have some glue that kind of combines it together so some cross-border trade kind of things payment platform that I think is is kind of somewhere across there and that kind of a thing so so for that gives you a flavor for Amazon is and then the last one I'll talk about is, kind of something America so, so Amazon so South America for long time was one of the fastest growing e-commerce markets yes you would have China so Jason was talking about, Jason did you say Global at 23 or 25. Jason: [27:53] 25 Scot: [27:54] Cuz I didn't you used to see Brazil kind of this 35-40 and China kind of like maybe it 2830 Brazil has come down pretty considerably because just politically rest in the country also have right next door is Venezuela is kind of Hit the skids, do the some currency devaluation things going on there so loud political and currency things in the South American countries have caused the Slowdown I believe in we had mercadolibre, on the show they were talking about kind of 25 28% growth that they were seeing so that used to be like the fastest grower and I think China has kind of supplanted that that kind of what your data shows Jason. Jason: [28:36] Yeah and I I would say like so. Latam is kind of right in between Asia and North America in terms of digital Shopper penetration so there is a lot of Headroom there but is you you rightly pointed out it, it's actually a lot more fragmented so while you can kind of you know list ones q and and reach all in India. You know you you are what you really need to do is West as you know a separate skew and in each country in Latin America are the Middle East which make the the logistics a lot more challenging. Scot: [29:08] Yeah and I've never had the pleasure of meeting Carrie but I see from her LinkedIn that she she always Brands sell on Amazon and other places and you know when when I talked to brands in the US about this. [29:22] It's interesting so. [29:24] Two years ago plus they were they were obsessed with China and like what's our China strategy and I've seen the last 18 months that has cooled down and it's very much. What's my direct consumer strategy what's my Amazon us strategy, so I think I think that people have pulled back a lot on this kind of global international thing because they are feeling the heat in their home market and there's this is us Brands I'm talking about, so You know for those brands that aren't concerned about that you know where where we see a typical road map is let's see it to us brand they starting to us the natural place to go is the UK because you don't typically have a language in Madera, it's a very kind of us feeling kind of a country obviously and then you'll see some expansion into Europe usually Germany and France being kind of the next biggest e-commerce markets. [30:15] We have a lot of customers a challenge to do really well in Australia Australia is kind of an easy box to take off its English-speaking and is very friendly to Imports and, there is a lot of infrastructure out there for supporting these countries so there's a lot of lot of the marketplace provider so eBay has a really excellent program around this so does Amazon, around global Shipping say allow you to they'll take care of lot of this operational kind of complexity you talk about where you can have a crawl walk run metaphor so, eBay brand program for example you start out like let's say you're a US company and you want to start selling into eBay Germany, you can just kind of set a flag that says I want my part to show up on eBay Germany they'll actually translate it for you using a Google translate consumers there can see it the order it and then you'll get an order that just shipped to the US and does it reshipping, that's that's nice because you can kind of test the waters without having to make huge Investments Santa Crawl part then is what we say to folks is as you see that volume take up it's not the best customer experience so really kind of go to that next level of customer experience you need to start kind of shipping pallets over to, the destination country and selling in more of a localized way that's the walk and then run is when you, you know you actually kind of maybe create a store footprint or a fulfillment footprint actually put bodies over there answering questions of that kind of thing and that's the run so we sit up that model work really well for both small and medium-sized retailers as well as Brands and. [31:46] I think we'll see more and more of those kind of solutions that come out to really help everyone kind of, peel this cross-border trade peace and understand how you selling these International markets. Jason: [31:57] And I'll just head one one points and Scott and I both won't geography China has about like 1.35 billion people in India has about 1.3 billion so there, they're the two most populous countries in together they're almost three billion which is. Scot: [32:13] Yeah there's like eight billion people on the planet. Jason: [32:15] Exactly. [32:18] But so yes I think that that that's a great answer to carries question the next question came from Josh tarasoff and Josh wanted to know what our take is on Amazon strategy, behind buying products at full retail price for Marketplace Sellers and he gave us a link to CNBC article talking about this this new deal. Scot: [32:43] Yeah and this is kind of a little bit of a head-scratcher and as I've talked to a lot of sellers are concerned about this because, the way it was announced was just kind of like Amazon didn't exactly say why this kind of said hey you know you have some product and FBA and you may see. Amazon.com is the buyer which kind of people like what what's that mean so what I think's Happening Here is. Yo again these global Shipping program let me kind of explain how eBay does this so a seller on eBay. [33:18] If you don't opt out of it they will actually. Up to your default opted into that global Shipping program I was talking about I think that's what Amazon is doing because what they want to do is when they pick a new country but this is true for any country but when they ruined Australia. They want to show as broad assortment as possible and people and I'll show you love Western Goods so this this program will allow Amazon to say to people in Australia. Look we have you know 30 million products that that are available to come into your country, versus if they did do that then maybe it's a million or two million that they would kind of host, so they would still have a million to 2 million local and then like another 28 million that are kind of cross-border trade that could be shipped from the US, that gives that gives them this kind of I would call the backfill strategy so it gives them this perception of lots of selection. Using cross-border trade as a back film then let's do it lead you do is so imagine people start buying from. The cotton country in the outer country product they can very quickly learn from that and say oh. [34:23] These widgets are very popular in Australia let's kind of source them local or let's get pallets instead of each is from the u.s. FBA let's work with Our Brands and sellers to kind of say hey. Hey mister customer your widgets are really popular in Australia that was kind of wrap this up so that's what I believe is going on it's easy to kind of make it seem more nefarious and Jason turn over to you for that Park. Jason: [34:52] Yeah though I have to say I have a slightly dishonor different understanding of what's happening so be interesting maybe there's a little both happening but I've talked to a few 3-piece Sellers and it was less than automatic. To the program that you had to opt out of and more it was an offer to opt into a one-time transaction. [35:14] And so like what these sellers were told as hey you have an inventory that you're selling 3p in North America. We want to buy that inventory from you one time so that those listings will go away in North America cuz you'll no longer have the product to sell and we're going to take ownership of that inventory and sell it in another country and so it was basically an offer. [35:38] From Amazon to the seller to buy their inventory so that Amazon could resell it and they were offering to buy at at at. [35:46] Full ask price from the seller and how I interpreted that is. That they were looking to buy inventory to fill in brands or products that they were missing in some of the new markets that they're entering like Australia for example. [36:04] Interview if you think back to the early days of toys and Amazon you remember they originally had a deal with Toys R Us Toys R Us to the famous we pulled out of the deal. Right before holiday would you have to Amazon in a bad spot and Amazon actually sent a bunch of employees to go in the retail stores. Buy toys at full pop and put them on the market place so that the customers would be able to buy toys from Amazon and that really kicked off Amazon's. [36:32] Foray into the toy space in so I look at this this 3p thing and I said hey Amazons. Doing the same thing in new markets today only they now have a convenience they didn't have back then they don't have to walk in the stores and buy products, have a bunch of sellers in their own Echo systems that are they have products in their warehouses so they just go to those guys and say hey do you want to sell me your inventory if you do great I'll buy it. [36:56] I'll sell them in another Market you know in the long run I'm certainly going to look to get them more efficient supply chain but but as a way to get started I will do that. There's nothing wrong or nefarious about doing that but what what does happen is there a few brands that three-piece Cellars. Are selling on the marketplace the do not want Amazon to be able to sell them in and most famously, these days that would be Birkenstock and so Birkenstock had a number of, of authorized resellers that were selling their products on Amazon is 3p and they got letters from Amazon saying he will buy your inventory and resell it. And the Birkenstock CEO reacted very badly to that he sent out a very dire letter saying you know any retailer that sells even one pair of shoes to Amazon to allow them to resell will never sell Birkenstock again and he, he called it Amazon's attempted modern-day piracy and and you know there's a pretty pretty lengthy article about it in Washington Post, which is I guess somewhat ironic since it's paper owned by Jeff Bezos and will put a link to that in the show notes. Scot: [38:10] So our next question comes from a nuke goes off in a noob says hey guys I love your show so Anup obviously has, impeccable taste and yeah where was he says we would love to see your take on when if Brands will be active on messaging platforms like Facebook messenger Kik Etc is it a better Channel than email is there any kind of signal in the noise where do the opportunities risk thanks. Jason: [38:39] Great question on oops so it it depends a little bit on the parameters of what you're asking so when you know you mentioned, Brands being active which is different than brand selling stuff on these platforms and you predominately named platforms that are. They're pretty prevalent in North America although kick kick has a more Global footprint. [39:06] The answer varies widely depending on your geography so obviously we talk a lot about we chat, in China being you don't Super Active platform for brands, there are millions of sponsored accounts on on WeChat kakow chat and other parts of Asia like Korea is very popular and a ton of brands or have are active on that here in North America although messenger has a billion users you know we only see about 30,000 Brands active on it right now which like compared to Lee isn't a lot, and that's really because the the platforms that are most prevalent in North America like, messenger Snapchat Instagram historically haven't had the best tools for Brands so the advertising tools have been kind of poor and those are rapidly improving which. Makes me think we'll see Brands using those platforms more as an advertising vehicle and then the Commerce tools are still very poor and what we what we just painfully lack in North America is a. Universally adopted digital wallet that enables you no friction full free transaction on all these platforms so when you look at what the big difference between WeChat is and Facebook Messenger, it's really, that we chat has 10 since digital wallet built into it and it makes it really easy to do a transaction right in the platform and we don't we don't have that on Facebook Messenger today. [40:35] And so I do I guess you know roll all that up we are starting to see brands use those platforms more, more degree brands that are very Visual and that are using like Snapchat and Instagram as a discovery platform, all the platforms are rolling out better advertising tools they're rolling up better self-service tools and their ruling out visual search tools like the Pinterest new lands feature for example and those all lend themselves to do. The platform's Becoming better product Discovery platforms so I do think we're going to see progress but I don't think we're going to see anything like, the adoption of WeChat in China unless and until we get a universally-accepted digital wallet. [41:21] So I would just add one more thing, these could all be good tools for your mix but at the moment none of them are going to give you an Roi anything close to email which is you know still a great bang for the buck. Scot: [41:32] Yeah I totally agree and we talked about it a lot and our annual predictions and you know I think. Everyone every us company wants that China mild work here in an in it just hasn't kind of. Taking it I don't know if it's even if we had a lot I'm just not sure consumer behaviour the same so it's going to be really interesting to watch that play out I wouldn't count it out yet because you know you have some really serious multi-billion-dollar companies kind of playing this it is interesting, kind of a dark horse in this is Amazon so they we mentioned this in summer Amazon news last episode so they've got theirs a lot of rumors that they have a messaging platform in the works. I have to believe that would enough. If I think of what would Amazon do to make their messaging platform different I think buying stuff would be the one thing that other thing I would think would be kind of unified Echo, and text chat kind of you know, kind of hook up maybe pretty resting so let's kind of see what they come out with and then also as a reminder they came out with I want to call it. Sprint's but Sparks I guess is there a kind of. Pinterest e instagrami product oriented kind of think so so Amazon is the first e-commerce company to take a shot of this so that could be a different take but I do think there's a lot of headwinds there. Nothing I would draw your attention to that's an interesting case study is, the the retailer everlane came out and they were kind of the poster child for this and they've been lockstep with Facebook the integrated everything they did the transaction notifications they did the wallet they've done all that stuff and then in March of this year they actually announced they were just going to end a life that so I think you know. [43:15] I think that we went to a hype cycle there and we're definitely in the trough of disillusionment kind of phase I don't know if we going to make it out of that truck or not. Jason: [43:24] Yeah it's going to be interesting to watch I tend to be bullish but I think you it could be really risky to overestimate the timing so, you know what remains to be seen like how quickly it's adopted, and I guess I would add just one of the point I have seen some interesting new pilots including one by I think Adidas with a really trying to. [43:48] Use SMS as that that sort of transactional platform, and add the ability to do auto reorders and things like that using SMS witches sort of interesting cuz that can be well or friction than some of these other platforms. [44:05] So let's go to the next question which is from Lauren Tonkin and Lauren right side love your thoughts on auto replenishment, why have other retailers not adopted this tactic probably Beyond Amazon at Target. Do auto replenishment models differ globally what non-intuitive product categories do you think him venefit from the NADA replenishment strategy thank you keep up the great work Jason the sky. Scot: [44:33] Fix another person with a great taste I have to say Jason let me let me kind of. Paying this off of you so we make sure to talk about the same thing so when I think about Auto replenishment it is. There's kind of nuance here so Amazon free sample has subscribe and Save which is a hard I want to subscribe to this Auto replenishment to me means the platform saying to you, hey Jason you ordered toothpaste 30 days ago is this a good time do you want to go ahead and order more is that kind of how you think about it or do you want them all together. Jason: [45:06] No I think about exactly how you do I think there's two tears and implied in Laurens question is when she says Auto replenishment I think she's actually, initially talking about subscriptions because she references Amazon and Target and you know Target does support subscriptions but not through Auto replenishment, and and your point like you know I think the Step Beyond subscriptions is this entirely implicit process where the stuff just shows up. Scot: [45:34] Yeah and it's too kind of background things to answer this question in number 1 full disclosure I'm on the board of a company here in Research Triangle Park called Windows Circle and their whole thing is applying data science machine learning to transactional data retailers to cut a fine replenishable products so it's actually know a fair amount of this and then I would also Point folks to, the excellent Deep dive Jason let us onto machine learning this is a great way the other, to leverage machine learning so this is obvious right so. Dog food any replenishable kind of a consumable product is going to have a certain period of time and it's done. Other ones are harder to tell so it's harder to tell the duration like even dog food you know I you know I may have a dog that only eats one cup versus Jason's dog eats two cups we all know MacGyver loves to stuff it and. And then also another good example is maybe batteries because maybe person a has six kids and they just. Turn two batteries like crazy person be being doesn't burn two batteries that much of This Is War Machine learning is, nursing because it can look at that transactional data at a very personalized level and say you know this. This customer is seems to be replenishing on this product on this level let's automate that for them. Or maybe even surfacing it up to that that top to your of subscribe and save I do think it is very interesting. [47:04] I think Why are retailers not really kind of attacking it I think when retailers list the things they're going to move the needle for them, they are stuck at night number one into which typically and Jason you're more of an expert on this but whenever I talk to retailers they're obsessed with 3 platforming, so they spent a lot of time I just like choosing the platforms Andrey platforming and kind of doing that kind of stuff. And then there are spending a ton of time around omni-channel Integrations and these kinds of things and then you know like. Replenishment subscribe and save is like number four and five personalization maybe this number three so so my view is it just kind of like it's hard for your average top. 200 retailer to get to this to spend time on it so I'm curious to hear your thoughts Jason. Jason: [47:51] Yeah I do think one of the challenges is just the band with challenge that you know and he's big roadmaps if if it doesn't pencil out as that you know. First or second most valuable initiative it just hard to get bandwidth to get to it, but I do think there are some nuances I think the majority of subscription programs at the moment are pretty brain dead and tendon not work very well, so you know you think about a lot of these subscription services. Like a blue apron or Dollar Shave Club and after awhile you get behind you didn't cook all the food the Blue Apron sent you or you have an excess supply of razors and you get subscription fatigue and you turn it off and so we're left in North America with this irony there all these subscription-based businesses, Stitch fix Trunk Club. It started out as a recurring subscription in and they all have had to shift their model to not be automatic subscription because customers. In general just don't like receiving the product when they don't need them and so just sending stuff on a fixed schedule hasn't worked very well you know I do think. [49:00] An exception to that rule is the Prime Pantry and I think boxed is probably an exception to that rule in that regard but what we really. Like close to and just haven't seen enough good examples yet is the artificial intelligence based, replenishment witches I think more what's Scott's talking about an interested in and you know they're there certainly are some good examples of that we're doing a lot of work with Sephora which has a huge data set and, you can imagine you know everyone's use case for a Cosmetics as wildly different, and so it's not a matter of just figuring out that people need mascara on a monthly basis it's a matter of figuring out you know the individual usage patterns for for a particular consumer. And and predictively shipping for that consumers use case and so I do think that's going to be successful we're going to see more of that and then I would also say. Did to me the big the big picture here is instrumented Auto replenishment in you know and said this. Amazon has a little bit of this and what they called their Dash replenishment program but your you know your Canon. Inkjet printer that automatically orders ink when it knows it's running low or The Brita water filter that orders a new filter cartridge when it knows you should change the cartridge. Those are the today examples but you don't have to go too far in the future before I can virtually assure you that the, your toilet paper holder is going to count how many squares of toilet paper to use and know when you need more toilet paper in your house and you know you can imagine that Amazon Go technology that they're using in the store to see what products you put in the cart you can imagine that same technology being in your kitchen to know when you're running low on milk and you know so I think. [50:39] In the not-too-distant future the internet of things will be the trigger for a lot of these Auto replenishment orders in and when that happens we're projecting that about 40% of the skew used in the center of a grocery store, you know the people go shopping for the day and drive trips and causes serendipitous Discovery and all these other things are going to go away because about 40% of those goods you're just going to have magically show up at your house when you need them. Scot: [51:06] Yeah and there's kind of a news item here just recently Walmart filed a patent that would it was kind of like dash button but the products would order things themselves so there's there's a lot Innovation going around that area to be interesting to see that. Play out and see you know. Is consumers adopt that or not it's kind of like creepy when the milk kind of self their nose is empty and orders it for you I'm not really sure if if how folks are reactive. Next question is from Ben Cates and been really wanted to just kind of talk about our point of view of off-price retail both online and offline. Jason: [51:45] Yeah and that it's a tricky topic right now cuz it's, in North America off-price retailers in one of the few bright spots in brick-and-mortar retail so you look at the dollar stores you look at TJ Maxx and and there you know really one of the. The few growth areas in brick-and-mortar retail. You know obviously consumers are getting more price-sensitive and and that's become a super popular format in the challenge has been how to manifest that off price format, online Frank and you have sort of two problems when you get to these really you know inexpensive low-cost items like the things in a dollar store. The shipping becomes really challenging for e-commerce so that that's a you know the Majestics cost become a big impediment in Amazon parlance you know most of those items are crap items items you can't realize a profit and e-commerce on in the even bigger problem is, a big part of the shopping experience in these off-price stores is the treasure hunt it's that you don't know what you're going to find when you walk into the TJ Maxx and your you know hopefully going to find something that there's only one that's a great deal and it's really. Cost inefficient to, create a product detail page for that SKU you only have one of them and it sells super quickly and in many cases it just makes more sense to put that coat in a store then it does to. Put it online and so I would say the moment that the best off-price retailers are really struggling to figure out what the Digital model is I mean you know that. [53:17] TJ Max is in the Nordstrom Rack I'll have e-commerce sites but the. Assortment of product they sell in their e-commerce site is very different than the assortment they sell in the stores and the percentage of their sales that are online are much lower than a traditional apparel retailer for example. Scot: [53:36] Yeah I think I don't have a ton dad there there's a there's a chart maybe we can put it in the show notes that this kind of shows this disparity that that you have been kind of talks about here where, if you look at it just kind of physical retail the only things that are growing from a same-store sales are the dollar stores and the the warehouse clubs and, it's ironic because those actually don't translate to unlined very well no one is figure it out we've had boxed on the show I kind of put brandless in this bucket. Amazon Pantry figured out how do you bring that that Wholesale Club kind of an experience, bolt products and end up getting the unit volume unit cost down and butt by having you buy, large assortment some things no one's figured out how to bring that online and at the same time the guys that are really struggling offline are the the non off-price retail so if you're not a value-oriented or kind of a convenience oriented play right now that seems to be there studies that show this will have time to go into it but there's this kind of, bifurcation in the US by our Market where a pretty big segment loves value and they'll go to the TJ Maxx and they'll sort through every. Apparel item in there looking for a great deal so they have at Skyway I think about it as they're willing to spend a fair amount of time to save save money and they like that hunt and other side is convenience wanted so so I think's happening is the guys that are really struggling offline you know the ones we've reported on the Sports Authorities to Macy's the Sears guys closing stores. [55:06] Then really have value and they also don't have convenience so they kind of in this no man land where consumer behaviour changed and and I think the off-price guys have been very fortunate that they they are squarely in that value bucket. Jason: [55:21] Yeah I think that's absolutely right and I think there's there's one outlier there which we won't get into on the show but the affordable luxury is is one other bright spot and that's, mostly cosmetics in the form of Sephora and Ulta in North America but those guys are killing it, so if you need to make an investment right now that might be a place to walk. The moving on Gareth Haynes from the UK from across the pond sent us a great question enjoying your podcast from the other side of the pond I would be interested in your take on the recent in the UK anyway growth the product sold on Amazon, buy Chinese 3p Merchants which are presumably the manufacturers, using FBA and Garrett says I've noticed transformational changes and some product groups where new skus and brands of being strong traction very quickly, is propelled forward by a combination of aggressive pricing and supported by AMS NFPA. Scot: [56:19] Yeah this is this is very much in my wheelhouse and, this is huge said this is a massive Trend Amazon it's in Orson cuz you think Alibaba would solve this cuz all these guys are all about as customers but all he bothers so focused on, new Chinese manufacturer selling to Chinese consumer they've kind of dropped the ball on this they do have a platform caught AliExpress but it really hasn't gotten Traction in our Market or Europe it's very popular in in a couple other areas where e-commerce is underrepresented like Russia and what not, so when Amazon is done is. Yeah I would say two to three years ago they realize there's demand people like this product direct from China manufacturers what they don't like is the stuff takes you know when it gets shipped from the Chinese manufacturer. Honeycomb Core slow boat from China it literally is a slow boat from China it takes kind of four weeks to get here if you've ever bought anything from the marketplace wish you've experienced this. That's a fun Marketplace and have been all kinds it's the closest thing to a dollar store if you will kind of that his kind of nail dad and you know it's a great company they're growing but the. The downside is you order these things for three to five six bucks and they take 6 weeks to get here cuz they're coming from mainland China so so. In a world war addicted to Prime that feels like it takes a thousand years so it would Amazon cleverly did as they saw demand for the stuff on the platform. But it was being shipped directly so they have built a whole entire infrastructure call Dragon Boat that essentially uses Predictive Analytics and looks at these folk song on the platform that are shipping Direct. [57:53] And says to them look at instead of doing this direct we think your volume would increase this much if you did pallets and they'll actually then work with them too. Pallets on containers onto an Amazon boat they're cut off all the middle men they see six of middlemen in this exchange so all draft right from Amazon Amazon has part of Amazon China is all. Set up for this to get them into the u.s. in FBI and then now they're Prime eligible. [58:18] And the same is true for the UK this is been extremely disruptive especially for non-branded kind of things so. Yo electronic accessories was the first category now we're seeing it in apparel so you're the same Factory that's making the Vera Wang. Wedding dress is now selling a wedding dress for $200 versus the. The 20K kind of thing so yeah it's been hugely disruptive and what's interesting is you start to see this trend now where. Let's see what can I pick on I was buying some shorts other day and I bought a Columbia pair of shorts for like $80 so that was the name brand, and then amazonbasics had a pair of shorts so then Amazon has worked probably with a China Factory too kind of say here's what we want it to look like in the quality and is not half price so is $40 and then I could actually buy a comprable products direct from a, and you find these guys using AMS to your point using a Chinese manufacturing never heard of and, yeah that one was $20 so what you start to see is this differentiated price we're branded is attacks Amazon Prime as half of X and, Chinese seller is 80 to 90% of X and I think what Amazon is saying is let's give consumers the trade-off and if they whatever they choose they choose and they they understand the trade-offs there and we'll make it very transparent. And so is very interesting and it's extremely disruptive. Jason: [59:49] And I would totally agree and I do think that three-tier, model is going to become more common I mean you even think about like you know Gillette razor blades cost $7 each Dollar Shave gun, Club disrupted the market by you know selling blades at a dollar each and now the Chinese manufacturer the dollar was using as is selling directed $0.20 each and disrupting Dollar Shave Club. And I think that is common. I will give Scott Galloway credit which I hate doing that he has a funny quote about how you know people that have way over estimated 3D printers we already have the world's greatest 3D printer it's called China Anne and I think these marketplaces are really just a sort of facilitating, us using China as sort of a 3D printer that can you know really quickly manufacture these products and get them in the market. Can I guess I would say the one cautionary tale is there have been two huge hits, in in North America that were direct from Chinese Factory products with no brains right and said I was to holidays ago we had all the hoverboards the the stabilized skateboard stuff and you know those were all like designed by Chinese factories and sent over here and they were you know, all also direct from Factory and right now we're in the middle of this silly affair with all the fidget Spinners and most of those are our direct from Chinese factories and in both cases their electronic products were the battery and we're having some scary. [1:01:20] Consumer malfunctions and so I do think there is there's a potential risk, that that these these products are going to get a bad rap for safety concerns and therefore it's going to scare consumers away and so you know, I think we have to make sure we steer clear of that you know for this trend to continue. Scot: [1:01:42] Yeah and the time and puts it in Gareth question. quickly is what's a brand to do so so you're a brand or a retailer you're in category X and suddenly there's a Chinese seller and I think this is really this is the world going forward and to your at the top of the show you talked about how are you more agile I think the answer is. Brands and retailers have to partner to be much more agile there's some things you can do around you know what's interesting is a lot of these things are coming out of the same Factory so they'll do a run for the brand and then we'll do it run stuff, and so if I'm a brand I think I would go back to my Factory in negotiate that they're not allowed to do that in some way you know there's certain constraints that that you can put on there especially with your Electro property, there's some stuff you can do there but it is a day there's so many use factories that you know just shutting down the one there's one next door, so I think its Innovation so you know. And if that's what your brand has to kind of stand for just just kind of these lifestyle Brands and things, those days are are are going to be hard to stay on top of if you're not doing something Innovative around the fabric the technology, all these kinds of things to differentiate your product as a brand and that that treadmill a lot of Brands I talk to you kind of say we've had private label in grocery whatever for years and it doesn't matter I think this is way different than Ethan they face before and it's a new world and. The only solution is in a bit. Jason: [1:03:10] That absolutely and I think it comes down to being close to your consumer if your brand that they can really stay close to your consumer know them you can innovate products that. Particular meet their needs or fit their life and it best that the Chinese factories are going to be fast followers and so I think in the New World, those. Does he know great Innovations you come up with their going to have a shorter lifespan because you know you are you are going to have the Chinese competitors coming in and and challenging your price point so you need to be ready to move on to the next product little faster than we used to do. [1:03:46] And with that I'm sorry to report that it is happen again we've wasted a perfectly good hour of our listeners time, and I'm even sad and report we didn't get to all the listener questions so we're definitely going to have to do another one, so if you have any thoughts about the questions we covered on this show we'd certainly encourage you to hop on Facebook, let your thoughts be known and if you have some other questions we'd love you to leave those on Facebook as well and will get them in the next episode and they've you did enjoy the day show we would certainly appreciate a 5-star review on iTunes. Scot: [1:04:20] Yeah thanks for when we really appreciate the questions and hopefully even enjoyed the hot take on Amazon's quarterly earnings and listener questions. Jason: [1:04:31] Until next time happy commercing.

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The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

EP094 - News http://jasonandscot.com Amazon News Will regulators look at Amazon Whole Foods Acquisition? Scott Galloway says yes, Jason & Scot say no. Real reason Nike began selling on Amazon Amazon launches Spark visual discovery platform Jeff Wilke, Amazon CEO Worldwide Consumer gave rare public comments at Fortune Brainstorm Tech Conference Amazon Meal Kits Rumor of Amazon "Anytime" messaging App Amazon launches home installation service Amazon launches New Brand Pages Alibaba Launches new physical Hema Supermarket concept in China Other Brandless raises $50M to launch new CPG "Brand" ApplePay & SamsungPay on PayPal Everlane to open permanent physical store in San Francisco Newstore raises $50m  for new E-Commerce Platform Walmart opens 2.2m ft sq Fullfillment center in Florida Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 94 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Wednesday July 19, 2017. Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. A weekly podcast with the latest e-commerce news and events. Episode 94 is a recap of the weeks news. New beta feature - Google Automated Transcription of the show Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 94 being recorded on Wednesday July 19th 2017 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scot Wingo. Scot: [0:39] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason and Scott show listeners Jason I'm sitting here in 99 degree sunny North Carolina whereabouts in the world are you. Jason: [0:50] I am in a relatively cool 94° New York City. Scot: [0:55] Nice nothing like the odors of New York in Late July with 94 degree weather it's a nice city for them. Jason: [1:05] Jack me I find that it really brings out the New York bouquet in the in the air. Scot: [1:10] The city's usually pretty dead cuz her once in the Hamptons only have this cursed. Jason: [1:14] Exactly Scott I feel like this has been a super exciting week for you I have been living vicariously through you through some exciting news going on this week. Scot: [1:25] Yeah for the fellow nerd / Geeks or whatever you like to call yourselves out there this is it's a big kind of two week 10 day. So you had last weekend e23 which is Star Wars going to insiders conference and they had a lot of good start that's a Disney conference, in Star Wars is owned by Disney so they had a lot of interesting news there also around Marvel if you're into the superhero side of things and then coming up soon if not. Eminent is a Comic Con I've never been to it as a San Diego and and kind of quite a trip from you never try to go like. Four times it never works out so I kind of gave up but they'll be a lot of things now it's there and, so there was the sizzle reel for Last Jedi which is exciting that's the movie coming out this December, and then I think I'm most excited about is their doing Star Wars land which is going to be called the edge of the Galaxy and they're going to do a Resort in Orlando resort so. Destiny exciting you'll you'll kind of go check in and be assigned kind of a you know. Personna if you will and I'm sure people will cause play I'm not a big cosplayer but I think. You and I haven't discussed it but I think we should talk about having the Jason and Scott show there at lunch in. [2:38] 2019 lizards that excited we can do a Big Lick meet up there or and we'll have kind of a rebel versus if kind of thing on the podcast and it'll be great at least five of us will really enjoy that podcast. Jason: [2:50] I'm totally in I'm putting it in my calendar right now. Scot: [2:54] Yeah well we have been doing a lot of deep Dives interviews lately and we thought it would be a good time to get back to just news there's a lot going on in the world of e-commerce even though it's summer and you would expect, e-commerce to be slow there's a ton of news and of course it wouldn't be a Jason Scott show without Amazon so let's start with some Amazon news. Amazon news your margin is their opportunity. Jason: [3:28] Yes Scott we've obviously did a whole show on the announcement that Amazon was acquiring Whole Foods, but there's been some foul on conversation their number people that are speculating including Scott Galloway did a video this week or last week speculating that, did the potentially the the acquisition won't be allowed to go through and that the government will try to break it up. Scot: [3:59] Yeah you know I think that's an interesting perspective but you know I think. Amazon really smart and the the two Tech Titans of kind of tripped over this or IBM and Microsoft and, what ends up getting you with these Monopoly things first of all what ends up getting with the government is being Monopoly and. You know the definition of monopoly from the government's perspective is you just have this obscenely large market share and they argue that this is bad for consumers or businesses because they don't have toys prices go up in those kinds of things, and I think I think Amazon has kind of just because they're scale and what they do they've been oculate themselves from the Sprewell so freeze ample. You know a grocery let's say there there is no argument that says this will give Amazon a monopoly and grocery because you have yo. Walmart so far ahead and then Kroger and there's literally and I think we talked about this make some number six or seven in the Market at. Kind of like 8 or 9% when you add up Whole Foods plus Amazon so it's so it's hard to make a case there and then, it's also hard to make a case of this is going to hurt consumers because we all know prices are going to go down so I think Amazon by picking these huge addressable Market areas that they're in and getting a small piece of them then also relentlessly driving prices down. I think they're pretty inoculated from kind of a government. Kind of rule even even when you look at e-commerce you know you could say Well they're like 30% and 25% of e-commerce 30 to 33% if you count DMV. [5:40] That's Monopoly but then the pricing thing doesn't really come in there and I think what Amazon would argue is, well you know you can't really look at e-commerce because it's all Commerce and you know when you look at all Commerce then Amazon has 4% of all Commerce so certainly doesn't feel like a monopoly, from a market share perspective and also it doesn't have a pricing thing so I would actually disagree on based on what we know today that Amazon will get split up because I think they're they're pretty safe from those two, kind of pretty simple test that the government uses to look for monopolies. Jason: [6:15] Yeah I totally agree I think based on sort of the conventional wisdom it would be highly unlikely because the first thing that happens is they have to define the market and then the market. The relevant Market here is likely going to be grocery so it's not going to be, online or offline and it's not going to be all of retail is it's going to be Grocery and Whole Foods has less than 1% market share and Grocery and Amazon has no market share and groceries so you know from that standpoint. It's going to be real hard to make a monopoly argument and your point in the US, antitrust like there has to be tangible damage to Consumers would usually as lack of choice surprise and nobody's going to be able to make the argument that. Amazon buy Whole Foods is going to drive prices up if we were talking about your up or something it might be a different case cuz they're they can make all these arguments that that. The merger could impede Innovation which is bad for the consumers in the long run but but the US definition is much more narrow so I just I don't think it applies at all I think the only chance that, did you know we might see some saber-rattling cuz I do think there's some politicians that are going to you don't want to want to make some hay by talking about it but if the end of the day, it would require like a new antitrust theory in and dramatically new PAW enforcement policies to really see them take action against this this acquisition. Scot: [7:45] You're the one thing Scott did bring up that I I do think Center esting is. Yeah will Amazon be a trillion dollar company not to give you a more interesting is what is the first trillion-dollar company going to be and I think the three candidates are, Amazon Apple and Google and so just kind of like size that up for listeners to so the way you think about this is every stock has a market cap which essentially the number of outstanding shares times its current price. And right now apple is ahead with 787 billion dollar market cap, their stocks it about 151 so did get to a trillion they need to go up with CT. 50% so that would put their stock at like 2:25. And then number two right now you have Google also known as alphabet now and they are at 670 billion and their their stock is kind of somewhere to Amazon's right now it's at about $1,000 so they effectively have to get up towards $2,000 in their stock. Assuming there's no splits between now and that that mythical point when they hit a trillion. Amazon's actually the laggard so you know in amongst these three so fruit number one is Apple at 787 number to is Google at 678 and then number 3 and quite a distant number three is Amazon at about 5. 500 billion dollars so half of the way to a trillion dollar market cap so they're stuck what have to go to mm so you know. A lot of people would lead Apple we'll get there because we got this kind of iPhone supercycle happening with the often leaked not not verified iPhone 8. [9:22] I'm starting to see some negativity around that because a lot of the components as these Wall Street guys dig into the supply chain, looks like it's going to be hard to get the components so a lot of people are saying a is going to be very expensive phone and it be it's going to push to next year, the supply so you know maybe this iPhone 8 Super Cycle doesn't happen or it's delayed but anyway it it's going to be you know I think a lot of things have to go. Amazon's way to beat Apple there who knows Google you know what let's see how they do they got a lot of. Great things are doing you know some of these things in Google lab probably need to hit for them to kind of get to that trillion dollars cuz it feels like search is kind of running out of gas a little bit. Jason: [10:03] Yeah I mean that's. The one thing at Amazon has going for them versus the other two is they have much smaller market share in a lot of their businesses so there's a lot more Headroom than it feels like. There there is for apple and Google's mature businesses to your point is. If Google hits a homerun with a ton of his vehicles or something like that that that could certainly be the thing to do at 2. Scot: [10:27] Yeah that's like so we'll be watching it really close here at the Jason's gotcha. Jason: [10:33] Other Amazon news this actually happened a couple weeks ago when we were doing other shows, but I've heard some more recent conversation about it is well and that was Nikes decision to start selling on the Amazon platform. And, that was kind of a deal because Nike had been sort of a vocal opponent of selling through Amazon and so it was it was really seen in the marketplace as he some of the last brand holdouts Nike and honest company which had both kind of over it we said they wouldn't. They didn't think Amazon was right for the brand are now both. Selling in in in case of Nike that announcement had a head of favorable impact on Nike stock at had a negative impact on all the other Sporting Good stocks like Dick's Sporting Goods. And so you know people were kind of saying like hey this is another another Amazon Milestone is they're getting all these hold out Brands to sell in the plant form. But the more recent conversation has been like it doesn't appear that Nikes necessarily. Embracing the platform and putting their whole product line on it and sort of like using it as a primary point of distribution. You know when you work at like what Nike had on the platform for Prime day versus a lot of their competitors you know it was only a smattering of product and a lot of people have taken a theory that. That Nike is in her the business relationship with Amazon so that Nike will have more leverage and get more support from Amazon and protecting their brand and you know in for saying. [12:15] You know fake products on the platform and the, really it's it's more of that level of a relationship then then it is you know Nike selling all their goods direct through Amazon. Scot: [12:27] Yeah and um I wouldn't have certainly there's some counterfeit stuff in Amazon sexy pretty good it even before the way shapath pulled Leasing. Anything that seems counterfeit, but a lot of it is really more around third party and controlling the third party and so-so as sweet we had an inkling this was coming because a lot of third parties that sell Nike items, I were alerted that you have come July they would no longer be able to sell on the platform so so now I keep definitely leverage their power to control the third-party Marketplace as a question for Amazon is is the you know are they driving enough sales and selection to Nike to replace and even be. Automatically ahead of that was was that deal a good deal for Amazon so it'll be interesting to watch that because Amazon has no qualms of kind of, terminating deals if they're not making sense for consumers so this could be interesting to see how that plays out in there is nothing argument that Nike actually flexed its muscles and, will Amazon one of them badly enough on the site that they they did this kind of very rare brand gating where they now Gates this brand from third parties and I can probably count on one hand the number of brands of succeeded in doing that. Jason: [13:39] Yeah yeah it's going to be fascinating to see how that that all plays out and regardless it does get Nike on the platform and once they get a taste you know it remains to be seen what they'll do like you know they can easily expand the assortment overtime. [13:55] Another interesting piece of news that made me think of you is Amazon the launched a new platform this week which is called Amazon Spark. [14:06] And this is the latest in a series of new new tools and Amazon has offered that are really about helping consumers with Discover it. So you know you think of Amazon is being great destination when you know what you want and you use the search engine you go right to your PDP and you buy the products. But what spark is really about is browsing visual content and having shoppable photos so the photos can have hot spots in the hot spots are linked to. Amazon Asians and you you can sort of a reveal and add to cart button and put stuff in your car. [14:43] Straight from these these photos so this gives a tool to influencers and Affiliates to start. Publishing their own pinterest-style visual content on the Amazon platform and Shoppers can curate that content based on their personal interests and when they you know. See a picture of a toddler playing with some blocks that you think would be fun for your child you can. You can click on the blocks and Adam to your cart so in interesting new shopping model for. For Amazon and it made me think of you because a couple weeks ago you publish this very cool Amazon scape sort of listening all of the. The different tools in the Amazon Echo System and is willing to put together the outline for Tonight Show I couldn't help but thinking that you're your three-week-old Amazon scape is is wildly out of date already. Scot: [15:35] Yeah yeah that thing is a blessing and a curse like some of these kind of projects I seem to bite off at theirs. [15:44] Is it good like 6 things I need to add on to their already which is just pretty amazing considering it is 3 weeks and then we don't we don't really talk about a lot of the cloud-based stuff on the show but there's already been several Cloud things I need to add on there. And it's this kind of is a good kind of. [16:02] Switch off Segway into Jeff Wilkie I think that's how you say his name Wilke I've always heard people d'amazon climb lucky I guess you could argue that the es Island and its will, he's pre senior guy at Amazon and I have never seen him speak and he was actually Fortune had one of these kind of frou-frou Aspen the things called the brainstorm Tech Conference, you and I are too busy to accept our invitations to Keynote so maybe next year will be there but Jeff Wilkie was he was over the only had a lot of free time and popped on over there he runs the he's effectively he's got like a CEO title which is really unusual a lot of people behind the scenes say that he is the likely success successor, to Jeff Bezos holder that's all all this person, NADA it has not been designated that anyway I've never seen this guy talk and he was really excellent in so we'll put a show note up there's like a 30 minute video from a talk he gave, allies Amazon guys at comedy shows they don't like talk about Amazon in a meeting way and, but what I like to do is pick up Tim bits of culture in and you're the one question having build some businesses is. How do you do so much and obviously they have like 300,000 people and you can do a lot but you know I've been in. Visit large companies like that and it just get so wrapped up and caught up and PowerPoint gnosis and meetings and in that kind of thing. And this interview is really good cuz he spends a fair amount of time talking about that and it's funny he says you know his is the short answer is they create separable single-threaded teams so. [17:39] It's almost like a developed it approach they've taken with cloud computing is like their cultural approach so it's almost like every team and. Amazon is its own little service and gets to focus on that service and if it needs to work externally that's fine it'll it'll kind of create a little mechanism for doing that but then. That team spends 99% of time. Focusing on it an interview and had no idea what he meant by that and so so he went out and bought a couple examples and he kind of said you know what will do is will we in the early days of Alexa we hard one person and all they did was think about Alexis and we didn't. We didn't tie them up with anything it didn't have to. Time with the rest of the system or anything like that we talk to people that like Microsoft and Sony's other companies that's what starts to really hamstring them is the funny story like the early Xbox almost died because they wanted to have Internet Explorer, the main window on it like the IAT wanted it to have that so they actually. Creepy little teams in Amazon create leaders they go build teams and nothing gets in their way and, this is pretty amazing at the scale Amazon is that you know there's not a legal team at Brand team when you get in these larger companies I'm sure you interact with them daily. The it becomes a culture of know and somehow Amazon has created this kind of, primordial soup that still continues that allows many ideas to flourish and die and and and, yeah it seems like they're going to with that culture they'll be innovating and out innovating a lot of companies for a long time so if you're interested in that topic will put it in the show notes there's a 30 minute video that's very much worth your time. Jason: [19:16] Yeah I mean to me the interesting thing you know talking about, software development is sort of a metaphor for organizational design he even talked about the way the teams interacting with each other being sort of like an API where you. Add Define inputs and outputs and that's all you worried about and you you know other than that you know weeders in one business weren't getting involved or getting in the in the shorts of, leaders of the other businesses which which you know as you were saying it made a lot of sense. Scot: [19:47] Yeah I've been an Amazon meetings where an Amazon is a very buttoned-up company. [19:53] But because they're so singularly focused you'll go and so like the one Pea in the 3p teams don't really know each other how their systems work. And it's kind of funny like we'll have to explain to that will be like well. [20:07] Did you guys know you have the Seller Central thing over here and it's got this that in like really who runs that in your like. [20:15] Your trip is just kind of really interesting, yeah it does create a little misalignment in some ways but I think what they've done is they done the calculus and said it you know focus and moving quick is better than alignment in some. Some ways maybe lime it's not the right word but like a little bit of duplication of effort happens so I think it went having built again I'll route to a large organization, you start to really worry Nashua duplicating effort here and you make sure these teams are talking and sharing stuff and it doesn't it seems like Amazon to just turn all that out it's just like go as fast as you need to you know. [20:50] Go fast and break stuff and it's easier said than done in a company the size so that does really interesting that talk so highly recommended. Jason: [20:58] For sure and in that that model probably explains. How they're able to maintain this incredible pace of innovation and you know. [21:09] Part of that Innovation is all these new product offerings that are launching that we're having to talk about on the show and it's it has the unintended consequence of the podcast sometimes feeling like an Amazon podcast because I missed this week and. Yeah sure know if they want antenna products we already talked about Spark, you know another big one this week is meal kits right and so they they've launched their own meal kits which you know. Cuz very negative reaction on the part of a blue apron and some of the traditional competitors there but they they just seem like they're able to. Innovate and get these these products in new categories and new services. Out incredibly quickly in and obviously part of the reason they do that is because they're. You know they're out there all independent and running in parallel as opposed to having dependencies on each other. Scot: [22:02] Yeah meal kits was interesting because it was almost kind of like. Accidental news because so a company in the UK saw that one of the Amazon entities created a trademark for from yokuts and I think the trademark is some it's like a more of a slogan and it says something like. We prepare it you cook it and that's kind of what then they pulled that thread and they found that they're working on meal kits what's funny because I had a friend. What I heard is it was going to be for fresh only so I had a friend look into this and Bill kids have actually been sold on fresh for like 90 days and it started with a couple and their Amazon meal kits and now they actually have about 20 meal kits and, you know what's cool about these is there's a good better best so the Amazon brand is a lot like amazonbasics it's a basic meal, it's usually a beef or chicken and pork in a vegetarian option and it's $19. [23:01] Didn't have third parties selling on there so there's another one and it's called Tyson and something, and it's more like $25 and it's all chicken because it's Tyson and you tell Dave come up with the recipes and everything and the food quality goes up a little bit and then there's a fancier one that's called Martha and something, and that one is like 35 and it's got you know skirt steak and, fancy sauces and all this kind of stuff so it's really interesting that you know of very. I would argue there are Dion Generation 4 where is a lot of these delivery subscription kits you know they're not a. Great customer experience in many ways you and I have talked about how we will try to unmanned lot of people terminate and you know the problem is you don't control when the food comes used on this Relentless treadmill of food, and if there's a meal you don't like you kind of feel obligated to you don't get to pick the meal and so Amazon by just kind of having these meal kits that. Seeing you know there's good better best soda number one there's three price points and number two, I get to pick it and when I want it and it just seems like a more natural way of doing this this kind of prepared meal Thing versus having it kind of like come on this kind of Relentless schedule where you fall behind and start to feel guilty you're not cooking all your meals. Jason: [24:15] Yeah I know I agree I think the order on demand component is that is a big win like you know I've been doing a lot of consumer research for some clients and. [24:25] Meal planning and healthy eating and Fresh Foods are all very high on the decision tree for consumers but at the same time they're super, times of compressed in they have very limited bandwidth and so meal gets really fit that Niche that they, they let families feel like they're making fresh healthy food and they say the family time into your point you know when you can order them onto me and you can. Pick the taste that you want you know on the date you want and not have the sort of Relentless pressure of a mandatory subscription coming to your house. [25:01] Another interesting thing about the mule kicks is that it seems like they're showing some real food Innovation so one of the things I read was, that they would be offering ground beef hamburger patties made from single cows and so you know. One of the health challenges with ground beef is you need to get, meat from a bunch of different animals in them any one of those animals have any diseases that in your potentially at risk and so that that forces everyone to make sure that the ground beef is is, cook sufficiently to, to all those viruses and so you don't get the super juicy flavorful meat so by offering single cow ground beef they they offer product that's safer to cook at a lower temperature and I liked it just never considered that before and you think about the the challenging Logistics of. [25:54] You know. Making that product in a meat processing plant and you know it seems like Amazon signing up for some pretty significant Innovation their versus just sort of Outsourcing these foods from the traditional suppliers. Scot: [26:09] Yeah and done just servants clear this is available to Amazon Prime fresh subscribers which is that full-on grocery deliver delivery subscription. But I think we've seen this program where they test things there but random up they get them too. You know 30 40 50 skews then would be very easy for them to move this across platforms the next platform I would expect to see it in would be. Prime now and then obviously like the the pickup in the go in Seattle but that's that's kind of a small footprint and then it. [26:41] My Prime now I would put it in a 40-45 markets that would be interesting and then, that point they could figure out how to make it part of just kind of the normal Amazon kind of infrastructure so this can be really interesting to watch them with these meal kits and we'll keep reporting what we see there another kind of tidbit for you, my friend is in the beta for the Amazon Prime pick up and he's tried it two or three times and. Every time he tries it he picks a he like literally lives 20 miles away from the pickup Center he's seats at 15 minute window and it's ready in 5 minutes he said it's like the best thing that they have ever tried for grocery it's just like. Dothan availability window seems high now that could be a part of the pilot program maybe they're not just putting a lot of people to their but the it is so far really under-promise and over-deliver it as far as the timing and. [27:34] He said the quality of the food is very good date they actually kind of prefer it to Fresh in some ways cuz it's kind of gives a little bit more control over when they get things and. So I thought that was interesting. Jason: [27:47] Yeah absolutely everywhere we've seen at testing of of buy online pickup in-store for grocery like you you see huge adoption so, that doesn't surprise me a funny antidote I saw a professional chef in Seattle rotor review of Amazon go where she she orders and ingredients and, similar experience she had she had great service there but she gave the the. Actual food products that she got sort of a mediocre results like somewhere apparently like very high-quality ingredients and some of them were pretty disappointing including like this this Marquis piece of fish that she bought, my guess was pretty disappointing and what was funny about it is she wrote this is a review that got published in the New Yorker and so it's this like, you know well written 2000 word. Weird review and she published a link to the New Yorker article on Twitter and cc'd Amazon help their customer service spot in the automated response from the the bot to this link with this long article was, you know where we're sorry you experienced a problem can you please give us a little more detail about what went wrong. Scot: [28:55] Bots going to ride and that's actually a good segue into there's a new this one's kind of in the rumor category so this is on, I'm not known if it's going to happen or not unverified I guess I should say but a lot of people got in surveys asking about an Amazon messaging app that appears to be called according to the survey anytime, this is kind of like one of those things we scratch on your like why would Amazon do messaging you know clearly all these messaging apps are out there and way ahead. But I do think Amazon has couple things going for them so, the popularity of Alexis so it'd be interesting to have a voice component to messaging you know so so right now none of these messaging systems really connect well into voice so that's kind of interesting with the new Amazon. Ecko show I believe I had a chance to play with yours yet. Jason: [29:47] I have them. Scot: [29:49] Yeah it's a little bit of a social network kind of a thing going with it so so I think they're kind of getting you know they may be seeing some early data there that says hey this is common air sting, maybe there's a chance we can build a little bit of a social network here so so if you on your phone if you give it access it slips in your contacts and now, you can call other people that have those devices so so it's almost that and then I think the third thing and probably most important they could bring to bear as if some of this cognitive an AI so we talked to Andrea frigg's ample and you know she talked about how you can chat with an Amazon vendor bought and, it will negotiate on Amazon's behalf you seen it with the help but so I think there's they've got this really kind of interesting a platform that's probably second to none that. Could be interesting to leverage in. Jason: [30:44] Anschutz got we just had a little audio glitch can you hear me. Scot: [30:51] Area. Jason: [30:52] Okay so it was my fault I open another tab I just can't do that like cuz. [31:00] I was trying to look up another product but let me just quit. [31:07] 550 parts to so you were it was the sentence when you're talking about you just started the the Andrea AI. Scot: [31:20] Tell me to say the third like start there. Jason: [31:24] Yeah that would be best. Scot: [31:30] The third piece Amazon brings to Bear is this kind of AI engine now we don't know all of their building in there you can see some hints of it through AWS, and if you remember we had to Andrea on the show and she was talking about this hands off the wheel initiative where. You know dude you're as a vendor you're singing or negotiating with to chat system and its actual robot on the other side and most owners only realize it's a robot so apparently have some really amazing internal AI technology maybe you've seen it on that help. You mentioned so it'll be you know interesting that's kind of one of the ways they could commercialize this, yeah and then you think how can Amazon use the messaging well imagine you could ask Amazon about any product. You know you could send messages between Alexis and all the devices so I don't I don't know it interesting to see if this one becomes real and what they're using it for. Jason: [32:18] Yeah I am a mixed feelings at you know always interesting to see, Innovative new products and it's way better than the current state of messaging apps like that that could be a peeling I sort of have a little bit of messenger for two you get the moment I feel like I have you know a. [32:36] Community of people that communicate via SMS or via. Apple iMessage or video Google voice chat and you know so part of me is worried about. Fragmenting this messaging even further with another app not feeling super appealing, I have to say that I have found the the drop-in feature on the Alexa more useful than I expected to so in my house it's it's actually getting used as a pretty useful intercom right like so you know my wife will be putting our son to bed and it'll be 10 to read a story and she you know she can just with her voice while she's holding our son you know drop in and the room I man and tell me that we're we're ready for story time and that kind of stuff super interest has been, will useful in our house unless fired up to be able to drop into family members house and use that versus all the other. Other messaging tools we have so so we'll have to see how that all plays out. Scot: [33:36] Yeah another angle and I forgot to mention this is there's a lot of rumors that slack is out there for sale and and it's a business productivity chat out really for lack of a better word so maybe what we're hearing is really going to be less concerned more kind of business productivity, and that would actually slide in well with kind of these private e apps that they've been putting out like chime and whatnot so we'll be there some see if what direction they go here. Jason: [34:00] Absolutely and let me just say. Slack message fragmentation is the bane of my existence cuz I'm a member of about 50 slack teams and it's it's pretty hard to monitor them all at once so hopefully Amazon does acquire them and fixes that, another service that came out was there home installation service in so a lot of people have kind of taken the colonist Amazon's version of Geek Squad, and I'm not sure this is completely confirmed but there were number of job listings that were sort of the precursor to the service, the made it seem like these were going to be W-2 employees than Amazon was actually hiring that would do home installation of things like, consumer electronics in so you know we haven't had the test yet but on Prime day I had my mother buy a new printer for her house that she needed and as she purchased that with home installation from Amazon sawall, I hope we in a future podcast Bill to talk about how well that goes. Scot: [35:01] Yeah maybe we can have your mom in it on as a guest how awesome would that be. Jason: [35:04] It would be totally awesome the downside would be that you know that would we lose our number one listener that week. Scot: [35:11] Yeah you're right she would price to listen to I think we should do it. Jason: [35:15] Gotcha well I will mention it to her when I when I get the the printer install recap, but it is interesting to me that they're adding services and you know in the old days if that like. [35:28] They were really trying to build a business that didn't require human interaction and you know there's all this talk about like if we have if you ever need to talk to a human that we did our job wrong and you know more recently. [35:40] A ton of the services are depending on humans and you know you're seeing Amazon hire a lot more people and in Creed jobs and you know I felt like you know despite the fact that this home insulation was a brand new service, was heavily promoted on Prime day and, you know it was it was it both had prominent space on the on the pdp's and and it was being offered it's an aggressive promotional prices as well. Scot: [36:03] Yeah and they have this is on my Amazon skate but they also have a home Marketplace called Amazon home services and. It doesn't have such there's kind of to entry points to where it's popular is in checkout upsell so if you're buying a big screen TV or. Printer and you want to buy insulation to get a pretty good attached right there where we're not seeing a lot of volume is when people kind of go through the top of the funnel and kind of say, oh I need to go to Amazon to get my house cleaned and it's just think I think people don't think that way and they try to boil the ocean there's like literally everything you could do in one place and it's, it's a little bit of water down by experience but you know I'm obviously you kind of deep into this on-demand Services world and I think Amazon you know. I'm interested in it for all the reasons Amazon is I suspect it's it's a very big huge dress will Market if you look at GDP. It's 80% Pro Services 20% products so, you know it's four times as big and Theory as products and the terrible customer experience you know think about when was the last time you had a great service at your home, yeah you have no power in the thing you get these delivery Windows the guy never shows up if he does he knocks and runs is just like a really terrible experience so so I think there's there's a really big adjustable Market there that it's probably pretty interesting to Amazon and what kind of see how serious they get about it. Jason: [37:35] Yeah that's going to be another Super interesting one now watch in in the last, new service I noticed is from the back of a service for brands for for number of yours Amazon has offered branded landing pages but they were pretty rudimentary answer the last month they they did a major refresh to the brand pages. And these new pages are pretty cool they're they're based on a much more modern framework they're based on a react framework but what school is. You can now have multiple pages of URLs for your for your brand page so you know if you're a brand that has multiple categories of products you can have your own navigation with links to a, to a category page within your brand page which is a pretty common need and something that they didn't support before some multi page. Brand landing pages is really powerful they've added the ability to support rich media which is huge. For a long time we've actually advised clients to put a lot of brand content. Yeah in What's called the A-Plus section of their pdp's and that's because you know maybe someone's just shopping for your brand but typically an Amazon. Eat when they search for you the brand that the results going to take him to a PDP and so the PDP had this sort of be the. The main page for each individual skew or a sin but it also had the kind of act as an ambassador for that category of product and so so you saw a lot of folks commonly put. [39:08] Rich media in their pdp's that was really meant to be at the category of brand level and so now they've they've enabled you to put all that content where it really belongs on its own. On brand Pages Nat super powerful and then you know equally helpful, they've added a real CMS in Vendor Central that let you can manage these Pages pretty easily you know even for a business use or not necessarily, a technical are creative user so this is pretty new future, that is if you are brand selling on Amazon you know you should have on your roadmap to be implementing these Pages as quickly as possible because if the moment it's definitely a competitive Advantage for the folks of adopted at and, I always like to appoint people to like the the happy belly brand page you know which is Amazon's own product to see what you know some of the best practices are. Scot: [39:59] Yeah and you know what's interesting is a lot of these e-commerce platforms especially that's in bees have pivoted because there's not a lot of small retailers that are doing this that well out there in the world so most of them riveted towards France and I saw this is a little bit of a shot across the bow of some of those guys essentially saying. You know. We have a lot of Leverage with Brands and this could actually be a pretty nice e-commerce site for Brands overtime Amazon had been in the web. Web store business that got out of that and I'm not saying they're going back into it but when I looked at this I kind of thought you know a brand what else do I need you know it's almost. [40:40] It feels very modern and kind of next-generation so the nurse and see what else they do with us. Jason: [40:46] Yeah and it definitely like just the the trend of adding better tools for Sailors is very welcome so hopefully they they do a lot more. Scot: [40:56] Yeah and while I was just just now poking around I noticed they've moved up to the homepage the treasure truck so, so the treasure truck I don't know the Genesis of this to you but it's kind of legendary in Seattle so every day there's this truck to drive around and it has like it all seems like something we would do but I don't think it's associated with his guys, but everyday there's like a great deal so people in Seattle that you get a text and it will say the treasure truck is by the museum and it has you know a backpack for half off or something like that and you rush down there and get it it's like. Supposed to be really fun and I was meaning to mention earlier because they. They put the meal kits on the treasure truck which is they put a lot of beta stuff on there so that was interesting but now I've noticed today they pushed a video out with kind of funny pirate and now they have on home page where the truck is going to be traveling around the country, let's go interesting new thing and good news it's already on the Amazon scape so I was I was that was when I knew about. Jason: [41:54] Nice I've actually run into the treasure truck at some events so they they send it for example to Las Vegas for CES and I actually asked the driver if if he considered it sort of on Wheels and he was actually a little offended. Scot: [42:10] Another couple of tidbits of news so. After the the frothy, Prime day there's some interesting analyst out on the Wall Street with some reports so first of all credit Swiss came out and they have a new analyst there and he picked up his coverage of Amazon what I thought was a refreshing is most guys if you and I've talked about this on the show a lot but, a lot of folks still don't understand that Amazon has effectively to businesses there's the retail business which we call one p. In that line of business everything they sell counts as Revenue so if they sell $100 widget a hundred dollars of Revenue. Pretty simple same as retail the one that trips are one up is the third party part which is the marketplace so if they sell $100 widget Amazon can only recognize the revenue from that widget which is their commission or their take rate. Across Amazon at on average is about 10%. C'est Cela widget $400 in Amazon gets recognized $10 of Revenue because of gaap accounting rules I always have argued for a long time and I was kind of like. The only guy out there saying this now most people have kind of come over the can't really think of Amazon that way because one Walmart will say that that. That hundred-dollar which it was a pair of Nike shoes and. And dicks lost out on $100 not $10 so when you actually unpack all that and we used to have to do this through a pretty arcane mechanism now Amazon gives you a lot of Clues to get there. [43:42] Ineffectively the punchline is you think of Amazon is about 130 billion dollar retailer with actually about 250 billion so credit Swiss was out and they had you know it was pretty nursing date that she kind of has a 2017 estimate of. 230, 38 billion it kind of see him getting pretty close to five hundred billion over the next couple years which is which is pretty amazing that would be kind of Walmart territory so I thought that was a good report, and then some of these things are surveys so you know you and I are not huge fans of surveys, but RBC had when I only put some of the more Salient things here it was kind of interesting so some of the RBC is Mark mahaney he's kind of a very kind of legendary. Analyst on Walmart I mean sorry on Amazon. And some history questions are interesting so you know you hear from a lot of people will no one wants. Same day or next hour delivery in a new survey yes I would like 60% of people said well of course I would love this and I would use it on a on a regular basis. You're some more they talked about some category questions so. Only 7% of those surveyed in this is a survey of quantity about 2,000 people and only 7% said they had tried grocery but 13% said they wanted to buy more grocery so yeah I'm kind of. Signals of a large intent of an interest there on the top categories that were purchased on Amazon according to the survey were apparel Electronics. [45:16] Home furnishings and of those are surprises but the fourth one I thought you'd be interested in a cpg so 31% of the folks had bought a cpg item on Amazon I don't think Dave. Dundas multiple years but I bet if we if they had cpg would be down there with grocery last year so something and if something's going on and people are buying more CPT at Amazon which I think, Dutch well for the grocery business. [45:43] 12% said they use same-day delivery so that's up from 2015 with 6% so doubling. And then yep Prime is best. And then this is pretty fascinating so they asked Which online retail site has the Lost prices Amazon 64% the next closest was Walmart in eBay at 11%, which has the best selection Amazon at 82%. EBay at 6% Walmart at 4% which is the most convenient Amazon 76% Walmart 8, eBay five so these charts are funny their bar charts and they're so tall dad is kind of change the perspective to even pull some of the retailers, into the chart so so if you think about if those this kind of classic Bezos thing that he said and is is 97 letter, we think people won't get tired of low prices great selection and convenience / free shipping and turns out I think he was right. And that's kind of the recipe for for how well they've been doing so will put a link to that up in the show notes for those that are kind of like going to get super geeky on this stuff but might take away was cpg is on the rise and Amazon, Prime is huge, in Amazon hisses pulled away so far from comping competitors they don't even really show up on the radar anymore which which you know they could be disheartening if I was out there competing with Amazon. Jason: [47:13] For sure but speaking of competitors they're not necessarily pulling away from. I did see a couple interesting pieces of non Amazon news and one of them is from our friends at Alibaba which which is certainly is holding their own obviously in different markets against Amazon. But I find it kind of funny you know you'd only Bob I invented this this holiday singles day and you no one could argue that the. That Prime day was coming knock off on on Singles day well I stumbled across a cool video which I'll post a link to, of a physical grocery store that was designed and open by Alibaba called Hema supermarket and so this is a fairly digital High service, grocery store in China I'm going to both had some kind of e-commerce Innovations there's a quick and collect and they're you know a ton of Shoppers are picking orders and they have like a good infrastructure for helping those, does that Shoppers pick their orders from the Shelf have a barcode on every skew and you can scan them with Alibaba app you can you know. Quickly check out using Ally pay and things like that and then they had some of the the usual cultural differences of of Asian supermarkets versus Western supermarkets, for example most of the seafood is alive and you actually. Pick your own crawfish or your own Lobster like you know out of a bin with tongs and you can actually hand it to a chef who will then prepare your your freshly selected Seafood for you too. [48:54] To consume right in the store so some interesting things there and it you know just occurred to me you know what what a coincidence that they would. You know be getting in grocery and you know with some Amazon Girish feeling. Teachers you don't feel like these these two Giants are heavily sort of borrowing or competing with each other at the moment. Scot: [49:16] Yeah I think we should do a Jason Scott show roadkill have to work with our sponsors to see if we can get a week at that shirt at store. Jason: [49:23] How much are either of us are in adventure enough eater to be like we might have to bring someone with us. Scot: [49:32] Another kind of interesting startup that launched that got a fair amount of fanfare I think it's cuz they raised capital is called brand lesson I was so curious about this so now I had to go in and order some stuff so it actually came today and first of all it's kind of. [49:48] It's super ironic because you get this very vanilla brown box and all it has is on like 80 lb a 80 Point font is brandless trademark, alright your brand is brandless and they care about their brand but then everything to talk about his being unbranded yet they're branded with the. Brandless it's kind of hard to everyone at work was like really confused by the whole thing and it at. I gave up trying to explain explain it but he's got to do is it's kind of like taking that private label unbranded new. Peanut butter or something and privatizing it and so their whole brand promises you don't play quote unquote the brand tax. And then everything is $3 so we'll see I ordered some K-Cups and have not tried those yet but you know the dollar. The the cost per K-Cup is about half of a branded one or a little bit less so that's pretty good deal if it ends up being good, some of the things that that people in the office were like this ad good snacks so they had. Quinoa crisp which were essentially healthy Cheetos so those were popular and then they had a wide selection of candies that we're brand was so they had you know the equivalent had gummy worms and gummy bears and this kind of thing, everyone felt like the quality of those was really good so Buena. It's interesting I'll keep you posted some of the other stuff we try but it was kind of a fun kind of again making it was. Yeah good enough that I gave it a shot and it works really well came quickly products seem to be pretty good. Jason: [51:23] The interesting they're getting a little buzz cuz they they're sort of the mash-up of all the popular Trends right now right so that you know they have, hundreds of products that are essentially a cpg company with like food and cleaning products and and you know all the other things you would think of a of a, a craft in a PNG you know kind of Assortment but they're also heavy on the on the organic. Quality transparent sourcing and so you know you know there's a lot of ingredients that aren't allowed in the products and they have have this like high quality Organics story. And then they're your point a good value so you know $3 for a premium product that the based on the name you would assume doesn't. Invest a bunch of money in advertising right like they're brainless and so it seems super interesting. I have to say I think there's a huge flaw in their current business model and so not to say you know that they won't pivot and discover a successful model but the problem I have is. You see them and you instantly think private label and so your go private labels been successful these guys should be successful but the. The shoes difference between brandless and private label is you don't have to do marketing for private label products right because you, you put the bleach on the Shelf in the supermarket right next to the Clorox bleach and and people walk to that shelf with buying intent and they see the private label is is cheaper than. The national brand and so some people will you know make that trade off. [52:54] Brandless isn't in on a shelf next to a another product right like there's there's no one walking by the only place to buy brandless is on Brandon and Brandon has no organic traffic, so guess what brandless is going to have to do in order to get people to discover them and come to their site and buy their stuff. [53:16] They're going have to spend a fortune on Advertising right and and said that the closest model we have are the guys that jet that we're spending you know originally $100 a consumer for acquisition costs and, you know maybe got it down to 50 bucks of consumer and so the irony here is you know they're calling themselves Brandis and trying to position themselves as a product that doesn't have to sync a bunch of money in advertising, but they're probably going to have to spend a fortune on Advertising to get people to go to their site and I would argue that even have a worse problem. You know they can't advertise $3 peanut butter and get someone to come to the site that just wants peanut butter because the other thing you know whether three Dar products, you have to buy 26 of them to get free shipping and is Jeff Bezos already proved nobody wants to buy anything without free shipping and so you have to find a consumer that's all in and willing to order. 26 products to get the free shipping and so that the ads you have to run the Google pieles you know probably can't even be at the product level they have to be at this like. [54:14] You know cpg level and I I just think that's that's going to be a really challenging story for them to. Digitally acquire consumers that want to buy that many products from them so I'm I'm sure we'll see them pivot on their shipping model they have a club at the moment with you, pay money to just reduce the shipping cost which I'm not confident in and you know. [54:35] Eventually like they'll either have to decide to distribute through places that are Eddie had buying intent like Amazon or traditional retailers or they're going have to spend an awful lot of money to get people to their site. Scot: [54:47] Yeah it's cuz the the two boxes came within days of each other but it reminded me of boxed so very much kind of similar box size model and and do you know fill the box to get it shipped to you, then. Jason: [55:02] Yep other little pieces of news this one's kind of interesting to me but in separate announcements over the last two weeks. Both Apple pay and Samsung pay have announced that they will allow you to use PayPal as a method of payment on there. Their digital wallets and, to me that's a pretty big piece of news for two reasons number one there are kinds of tender you can have them PayPal that you couldn't have an Apple pay for example so you can have your checking account you know when do electronic fund transfers linked to PayPal you can't do that in Apple pay but now you can link your checking account to PayPal put PayPal in your Apple pay digital wallet and now you can use those super you know seamless, Apple pay experience to pull money straight out of your checking account no credit card required and so that. That seems pretty interesting it seems like a big win for PayPal that both of these these digital wallets you know which are. In some ways competitive with PayPal have both decided to support PayPal and you know my my very superficial read is. If Apple pay and Samsung pay we're getting a ton of traction onboarding their own customers, they probably wouldn't want to accept Paypal in the fact that they are accepting PayPal is probably a nod to the fact that that, an awful lot more consumers of stored their payment information with PayPal then then either Apple or Samsung are getting organically and so they're they're having to go to where the payment cards are. Scot: [56:33] Yeah very interesting so I guess it's signals weakness right. Jason: [56:37] Potentially yeah that's really the way I read it. Scot: [56:40] Yeah it's kind of frustrating time of this thing so I was early adopter on Apple pay and then between like. [56:47] Updating my phones in my watches I have to read it like delete all my credit cards every time and every atom I have given up and you think I would be like the perfect person for this but literally that cycle of going in and out with my credit card so many times this may be just be like easier to use the stupid. [57:03] Monkey tip line. Jason: [57:04] I I would totally argue with you except that like none of my cards are in my Apple watch right now for that very reason. Scot: [57:10] Retailgeek call Jeff. Jason: [57:13] I'll fix it right after the show. Scot: [57:17] Cool one thing I saw that was interesting is we talked a lot about digital native vertical Brands we've had ModCloth on the show but no Bose also known as Walmart and, everland is one of the popular DMV bees and the big Trend with these guys is opening up pop-up stores or physical stores so everlane announce their opening a store, and I believe it's going to be there going to open up a store in the San Francisco Mission and then I can have some pop ups at their headquarters and then also in New York City. Jason: [57:50] Very cool I'll be looking forward to seeing what they do in the permanent store you know they had a lot of innovation on their website and you know do a lot of interesting things so hopefully they'll they'll have a fresh take on retail as well. Scot: [58:04] I think you should get up at like 6 a.m. tomorrow and go check it out. Jason: [58:08] Unfortunately I think the first that that for stores only going to be in the Mission District and I don't think they've even announce the date yet so that maybe a later show. Scot: [58:17] I think there's a pop-up in New York you can. Jason: [58:19] There is a pop-up but I have been to that. [58:23] And for the record I will be up at 6 a.m. tomorrow anyway so for my client that's expecting to see me I'll be there. Another one that I saw. [58:35] Is a new e-commerce platform so this is very cleverly named platform is called new store. And it's it's from a well-known character in the e-commerce platform space a guy and I'm not sure I'm pronouncing his last name right but I I call him Steve Shambhala. [58:54] And Steve is well known for having found at a company called intershop which is a. [59:01] A well-established e-commerce platform originated from Germany the kind of Frank Leah grew up with hybris hybris got sold for a large amount of money to to sap. An inner shop really didn't get as much traction but what what internship was most well known for is. It was the platform that GSI commerce was based on and so you could you can buy the platform yourself from inner shop or you could rent in adoration of GSI from. Of inner shop from from GSI so so Steven is back with a new e-commerce platform and it has in it a bunch of the things you would expect to see in. A brand new made from scratch, Commerce platform from somebody that knows the market well and so it's it's heavily mobile-centric it leverages a lot of the latest technology in Mobile so it leverages mobile accelerated pages from Google most exciting for me it natively supports Progressive web apps which is really exciting capability for for enhancing the mobile experience and having fast loading Rich pages, and you know it does have, sort of the full stack which is you know one of the common Trends we're seeing a new e-commerce platforms it's not just a storefront it has the the order management system it has some omni-channel feature so I can support you know an inventory model in your store and. [1:00:32] On your website and buy online pickup in-store and all those sorts of things so I know he raised the money I think it was like 50 million dollars was a series B and it'll be interesting to see if they get some Traction in the e-commerce platform space. Scot: [1:00:48] Yeah yeah I know Steven well and he has plenty of capital to go retire so it's interesting to see him going to stay in the space and continue to innovate after after kind of. Starting in the early days and then. Founder of demandware and now it kind of working on I think he calls it like Commerce 3.0 so so kudos to him from the unreal stamp point for for having the gustow to stay in there for so long. Jason: [1:01:10] It's it's an addictive cat. Scot: [1:01:11] Last it really is it's a lot of fun last one I saw was, and this one is kind of funny because we stop talking about Amazon opening fulfillment centers on the show cuz they open like to a month right now but Walmart actually had has announced the opening of a pretty massive e-commerce for phone at Center it harder to keep track of them cuz Walmart doesn't announce them like. Amazon does now but I'm pretty sure this is the 7th one so they're they're kind of in the high single digits in, I'm ninety-nine percent sure I'm right on that if it not number 7 but this one is truly pretty large so it's Amazon's largest fulfillment centers gift 1.2 million square feet, does puppy is 2.2 million square feet that spans two buildings it's in Florida it's got 1,500 jobs one of the low blurbs always read these things I'm kind of a. Logistics nerd is they said this next generation. Pickup module system so not exactly sure what that is I mean I know it pickup is but I don't know what the module system is sounds like some proprietary way of doing things it if effectively has 33 miles of shelves so I was thinking wow that's that's a lot of if you had to, if you unfortunately ended up on one end of that and you had to walk to the other end to get the widget that would be bad so hopefully their systems more optimized than that. Jason: [1:02:30] Yeah I think it's actually automated I think part of that pickup module system is that the that you know what's the automated shelving systems where you know the sort of shells are stored in 3D in it, it pulled the Shelf to the Picker instead of the Picker having a go to the Shelf. Scot: [1:02:47] So the Shelf could have to travel 33 months. Jason: [1:02:49] Yeah well probably only in a in a really bad sort would it have to go that far but yeah. Scot: [1:02:55] I want to see these 33 miles that's maybe it's like if you stack them they would go to the moon or something I don't know it didn't it didn't make sense to me so I thought I would. [1:03:07] Maybe I'm sure of the listener out there we have Folks at Walmart they can explain it to us. Jason: [1:03:11] That's the one thing I know for sure is if I ever need to hide the Ark of the Covenant I know where I'm going. Scot: [1:03:17] Yep we're going to put it in Florida in the Walmart fulfillment center. Jason: [1:03:21] Awesome, and Scott that's probably going to be a great place to wrap it up because it's happened again we've wasted a perfectly good hour of our listeners time as always we would encourage you to continue the dialogue on Facebook interview particularly like today show we would greatly appreciate a review on iTunes. Scot: [1:03:40] Thanks everyone and also we are looking to do another listener question show so I use that Facebook page to shoot us your questions or you can send them to retailgeek or Scot Scot just want Wingo Wingo on Twitter and we hope to get your questions so we can have a show just of listener questions. Jason: [1:03:58] That's going to be awesome and if any of our listeners are listening to this on the day it's published and you happen to be going to Comic Con in San Diego or in RF Tech in San Diego I will be there so, feel free to drop me a line on Twitter and it'd be great to meet up so until next time happy commercing.

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The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP093 - Amazon Prime Day Hot Take

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 13, 2017 60:51


EP093 - Amazon Prime Day Hot Take Amazon Prime Day was July 11, 2017.  In this episode we give our hot take on this Amazon created sales holiday. Goals for Prime Day History of the Holiday Results for 2017 Prime Day Jason & Scot's conclusions from this years event Interview with Jamie Dooley Head of e-commerce at Dorel Juvenile Group to discuss their Prime Day experience Amazon Prime Day Recap press release Amazon Deep Dive EP24 Podcast Full interview wth Dorel Juvenille Group, Jamie Dooley - EP86 Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. A weekly podcast with the latest e-commerce news and events.  http://jasonandscot.com  Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 93 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Wednesday, July 12, 2017. New beta feature - Google Automated Transcription of the show: Transcript Jason:  [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 93 being recorded on Wednesday July 12th 2017 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scot Wingo. Scot & Jamie:  [0:39] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason and Scott show listeners, well yesterday was the third annual Amazon Prime day and it's Day show we want to go over the highlights with a Jason and Scott exclusive Prime Day hot take. [1:09] Well Jason did you take advantage of Amazon Prime. Jason:  [1:12] I did not as voluminously as I might have thought I would but I found a few things to buy. Scot & Jamie:  [1:18] I think the problem with you and I as we're probably at at Peak Echo so it was, it's actually frustrating day when you're at pekic Echo and you paid no I think I paid north of like 18190 for my couple of my Echoes and to see it there at at a. Much lower prices it's almost got a negative effect in a weird way. Jason:  [1:41] I have that happen in a couple of ways like certainly with Amazon first party for like but they're also some some other products I purchase from Amazon recently that then went on on Prime Day deals that they gave me a little bit of buyer's remorse in, night my family frequently likes to remind me that I have a very short gap between desire and fulfillment so it's. You know I'm not good I'm not going to waiting for those deals. Scot & Jamie:  [2:08] Yeah next you need to create a prime day blackout for pretty much all of the spring so no shopping past me. Jason:  [2:16] Yeah yeah that that would be the smart thing to do I'm not committing to it. Scot & Jamie:  [2:21] So it's funny I probably like you I spending a lot of time for the day looking at the deals and, really funny one I don't know why it made me think of you but I did and it was this lunch box and it kind of started working its way up as a hot deal pretty quickly and I don't know how many they sold these things but it must have been, thousands of them but it's a it's a lunch box and the gag is it's this kind of white medical looking box and it's got an EMT tag on it and it says human organ for Trans, so you know imagine you see your colleague in the lunchroom and they're brought walk in today open this up and start eating stuff out of its kind of like. Zombie apocalypse lunch box that was a really strange when you know some of the strange ones that you see over the years are like The Yodeling pickle and those kinds of things with this was a new I had not seen this before I am and it was kind, at the same company makes fake take out boxes that for you to put your lunch in so that he's kind of like you know, strange-sounding stores in you they they look like Chinese take out and you put your lunch in there any doubt of it just kind of like throw people off that what you're doing. Jason:  [3:28] I got it that seems like a lot of thinking type stuff. Scot & Jamie:  [3:31] Yeah yeah it was kind of funny it's from a third-party seller where these guys I will have to have one of our interns look it up and get back to you. [3:43] But I thought it was pretty funny one to bring out for folks. Jason:  [3:47] Good luck with that with the interns I can't get those guys to do anything. [3:53] Scot before we jump into this year's Prime day maybe it's worth a setting the table a little bit and talking about the the history and context answer the first thing I was like to remind folks of, is the Amazon is not the originator and does not own the market on inventing their own sales holidays there's a, a great great tradition there but specifically in an e-commerce you know Cyber Monday which is been the biggest shopping online shopping day of the year in the u.s. for many years was really an invented Holiday by one of our former podcast guests and the original shop.org team. Scot & Jamie:  [4:37] Yeah yeah you know the what to pull up the episode but Scott sober in the, does that story goes they saw the trend in the kind named it so you know the back before we all had Broadband Sans fight 3G 4G 5G kind of connections you would go to work and you would use that nice juicy Broadband connections that's why that Monday took off and they decided to name it, that was the first created holiday and then another one we talked about a lot is singles day. Jason:  [5:07] Yeah absolutely in that and you know that the global people and or the Alibaba people that created singles day. [5:17] Would quickly point out that that the. It's it's become much bigger than Prime day or Cyber Monday are at the moment and so there's a lot of momentum there by the way the the Scott Silverman episode was episode 66 of any listeners want to go back in, and catch that up, so we have that Cyber Monday then we had Ollie Bob launching singles day where they took sort of a niche holiday and turned it into a huge shopping day and it's now you know by far the largest single online shopping day of the year globally in the end of course 2 years ago. Amazon 2015 Amazon launched the first Amazon Prime day. Scot & Jamie:  [5:59] Yeah and pretty quickly it has become their single largest day and that's a good segue thanks for a little history on that and before we dive into, a little bit more details on Prime day I think it's important to take a little bit of a step back and say why does Amazon do this I think the common. The surface level is to sell more stuff you know if you can take a month like July and make it into a put a peek day in there that that actually helps right and maybe pull forward some holiday things, and it also helps with Q3 you know Q3 is kind of slow or time. And summer is kind of, little bit boring any Commerce there's a lot of extra capacity in the system but but I think you know as we go to the episode, I think that you have to peel the onion on this to really understand, the first child refer listeners to the Amazon deep dive which was very early in our podcast and career which was episode 24 shame on you if you have not made it through that episode, but for those of you that the didn't which I know is very small part of our audience what are the keys to Amazon success is the prime program. Jeff Bezos has a fun crew out there that you're a lot he kind of says we want to put so much value into Prime that you would be effectively irresponsible not to join. And right before Prime day there's this, This research company called consumer intelligence research and they they they tend to have the highest approximation of prime users and it came out at 85 million Prime users. [7:34] I think that's their Us number most other people are in kind of the 65 to 70 million range and, the other thing that is common about prime is it when someone's on Prime, they spend at least twice some surveys show twice as much and some show three times as much I believe is more towards the three times, as much so I believe the prime numbers a little bit lower than that you 5 million but I think the actual usage and the multipliers higher if that makes sense so, so I believe there's five reasons that Amazon created Prime day number one is to create a generate more sales or what we would call and Industry gmv gross merchandise value I like that term because it encapsulate Stu 1p in 3p, transactional volume a little bit clearer and that's too deep for this episode but again hours for you to that deep dive, the number to is prime adoption so again people spend more money on their own Prime and if they can get people to, try Prime data shows that, dead again this is from survey data so take it with a grain of salt this is not Amazon releasing this but as people there's nothing surveys out there I think you get a pretty clear picture that once someone enters a Prime trial 73% become paid numbers, flip side of that is 27% of people probably just join Prime for the 30 day, trial. And then turn out but 73% stick which is when you look at online trial rates is actually pretty high usually they're kind of been to tend to 15% stick on Amazon 73%. [9:09] Then if people stay a year then the retention rate goes up to to greater than 90% so if they is kinda like the roach motel once you check in to prime your chances of checking out are pretty slim and Amazon's got a lot of devious things. Genius depending on which side you look at it for forgetting you deeper into Prime and accessing one of the many kind of spokes on the Hub, the third reason for this is an Amazon has an increasing we talked about this a lot on the show portfolio devices so getting more devices out to you and in your house, creates more stickiness in all those devices are tied to Prime Lenny's flywheels overlap each other the 4th when is prime day, drives engagement of the Prime offering and adds value so so it's kind of foreign five together so by driving engagement of saying okay I'm using and maybe you're enjoying today shutting will try video, Prime music try Prime Pantry Prime here's some exclusive deals Prime now try, Echo deals that are for Prime members only try some of our private labels that are prime exclusives, the more they can get you to activate inside of the Prime family and offerings and ecosystem the more kind of stuck you are in the web and, you're the fifth one is that that making sure that you're reminded every year that there is a big benefit in this annual sale is one of those many benefits that exist, Nordstrom's is kind of famous for their loyalty program they have their annual sale and giving people today's exclusives or something like that to go shop. [10:43] Sets on the surface it feels like it's a reason to sell stuff but in reality I think the real reason and benefit of prime day is to drive Prime sign ups and add to the value prop in the seals are really just the icing on the cake. Jason:  [10:58] Yeah I would totally agree like of those five benefits the the sales while like certainly valuable and important as probably the least important of those five reasons so they. They recognize all those opportunities they launched the first Prime Day in 2015, and serve remind people how that went you know it was generally viewed as pretty smart and favorable that they had created their own holiday so I think they got like a good vibe and there was some Buzz coming out of, that first year but it was not what I would call a home run right like so there was a lot of the narratives from 2015 where. The man the deal sold out super quick and so a lot of people weren't able to take advantage of the deals and and we're somewhat upset, there were some actual you know customer-facing technical problems and so this hashtag emerged on Twitter Prime day fail and folks were complaining because. The card didn't work and they weren't able to take advantage of the lightning deal and then the deal expired and they missed out and they were upset there were some. [12:06] Vin deals in in the prime day so they were there some kind of. Products with they were underwhelming that you know not very many people are interested in and or the deals weren't very good it was a little confusing to even find the deals. And you're going back to one of your subjects. You don't half of Amazon essentially is is that that 3p Marketplace and those guys really weren't included in the first Prime day it was almost exclusively for Amazon products and for 1p products in so that you know both was bad for customers cuz so many of the things that customers buy from Amazon or 3p, no certainly bad for all the 3p Sellers and then you know wow Amazon paid lip service to it being sort of a global holiday and being in all of the Amazon markets, from the volume standpoint you know it really only was meaningful in the u.s. in the UK. [13:01] So in spite of all those challenges like you know I think the big win for that first year is you know that they were able to say that they added hundreds of thousands of prime users in that one day so regardless of those challenges, that alone would have made 2015 a success. Scot & Jamie:  [13:18] Yeah yeah it was it was definitely rough riding and on the 3-piece side I think they were so secretive about it, that didn't tell anyone about it literally until about 24 hours before they just had told us you know maybe like 3 days before that there was going to be something happening in to get the servers ready, so that was kind of funny and you know. [13:38] It's only two years ago which is which is crazy but Amazon had some candles that line was getting kind of old and tired, they're the tablet's they had where did really didn't find kind of the niche that they have found now that's kind of like you know this value kind of tablet they were there still kind of, premium tablets and they just come off the failure of the fire phone you and I are the only two people that think in the globe the have them, and so there was a lot of that that device stuff that they could sell in 15 so then 16 came along and you know what how I would characterize that is typical Amazon fashion they learned a lot from 15 and in 16 they are they. They righted the ship in and fix a lot of the wrongs the deals were more aggressive they they now had Echo to kind of go out there and push. Call you and I bought a couple that multipacks tobacco so I think we bought some three packs of. Some of those kinds of things so if you are kind of, early adopter it helps you kind of get echo in your whole house which was nice. The spread the deals to the day so instead of having them all at launch and then it won't come through them they they were much more well distributed they open the valve a little bit for 3p and, then when the dust settled they announced that it was as big as Cyber Monday so they had actually created a day that was kind of into that top 5 kind of a day, two or three day for them dad and more countries so they expanded it they were in, nine countries and 15 Inderal and 10 in 16 but I would say they they got more serious about it and we're countries and in 2015 it was probably United say 80% attention was US 20 UK and then like. [15:18] Almost nothing in other countries and then 16 they realize they could create more of a global push so there's a lot of push special an Indian and then. Again with the dust settled at Amazon announced that the sales were up over 300% from the previous year so 16 it feels like this really got a lot of traction. One thing to highlight is the top 10 deals from last year so I think that's kind of interesting as we can look at what, sold this year something to this quickly so the number one was this air vent cell phone holder, number two was an Amazon gift card so it's like a $50 card with $5 off which is effectively 10% off anything you want to buy from Amazon some in the ear headphones noise-canceling from pose a USB thumb drive that worked on both USB C and normal us, Echo was number 5 fire TV stick was number 6 fire 7 tablet was number 7 pressure cooker was number 8 and, one of those 5-port Chargers was an Amazon Basics 1, number nine and then one of those power Banks or or a movie like charger but it wasn't the movie was the 10th largest so. So that was really the the kinda the Highlight there from 2016 feels like they had addressed a lot of the technical issues and in really kind of, started to get their sea legs on the Steal. Jason:  [16:38] Yep and then when it came time to talk about prime this year Amazon made some, some pretty significant changes to the program so one of the biggest ones is it's no longer Prime day it's Prime dazed. Because they've extant extended the deals to 30 hours so it actually started the evening of the 10th and ran all the way through the 11th. [17:04] So you got six more hours they really sort of. Try to prime the pump and get more people using their Alexa to do shopping and so they actually started offering deals. Alexa users that were willing to use voice two hours earlier so that started at 4 p.m. eastern time and that was a clever way to to get people to start doing a voice Commerce the. [17:30] They greatly expanded the the number of deals that greatly expanded the the opportunities for three peas to have deals globally they added China India Mexico. They. For the first time they now had so many deals that they had to offer some some filtering so that you could filter deals by category and a little bit by price point so they started giving you some some basic tools to. Turn call through all the deals and find the ones that you're interested in they had a lot of exclusive deals to the Alexa platform. And they even had some International deals where you could do some cross-border shipping for some things in some markets. Scot & Jamie:  [18:18] Yeah and then so that was kind of lead up and then when the deals went live again we're talking about this year, I always think it's interesting to kind of see what they highlight on the homepage is kind of like those that is really kind of priority deals that they're launching and I think it helps you read the tea leaves on what's their priority for that Prime day, so there was the you're obviously echos a really big push so the. Was 34.99 versus 4999 so that's like a, that's a really low entry point to get into the family at like now at 3499 did is some interesting bundles with the. I saw him bundling it with the whole Sony speaker, that little Sony speaker only added like $15 so that was interesting, the main line Echo was 89.99 or his 179 sets half off which is very aggressive and I think I think. I think it 179 they're probably making a little bit of margin on the hardware I think it 90 they're losing money so they must see you know some some, data from putting these devices out there there must the razor razor blade thing must be working for them or I don't think they would be selling a, prices you and I both know did it was funny that they had a really good deal on Oculus where is effectively $100 off of via an Amazon gift card, another really big seen this year was home automation so they were really pushing folks like yourself and I that have already kind of, flushed out the The Echoes in the house should really try to do more home automation I took advantage of some of those but so some of the things like the higher-end Philips hue light bulbs kits were rather. [19:49] Attractive price some of the plug automations I don't do the locks but I saw those were pretty aggressively priced so you can tell that that was a really big scene was was getting people to activate home automation in connection with the echo, another one that's really interesting I saw was some of these ancillary parts of the Prime mucosa. [20:09] So they have Prime now which is same-day free 2-hour delivery and paid 1 hour delivery that's in about 45 markets now most of the stuff on Prime now was 25 to 35% off, plus they had this $10 off coupon that if you hadn't used the service before you could use on your first two orders, there's a program called Amazon restaurants which competes with Uber Eats. Push mates in all those kind of food delivery companies and in cities I don't have that where I am but where you are in Chicago they were pushing, people pretty hard on that Music Unlimited, Prime Pantry so those programs we've talked about on the show had pretty substantial discounts Prime Pantry with 35% off your first use, and then a lot of the private labels that was talked about on the show everything from apparel to amazonbasics and whatnot those were very aggressively priced up to 50% off. So heading into the day internet retailer magazine projected that for 2017 that they would have their first billion-dollar Prime day. And they were kind of saying it would be about a 20% increase. [21:20] Zach that's kind of lead up to the day and when it first launched and here we are the day after and now have some early kind of hot take results that we can walk you through, Jason you want to take a stab at some of those. Jason:  [21:31] Yeah so you know. Amazon has issued some press releases of their own most of the stuff that they give us is sort of a relative number so how things did this year versus last year and then you know there's some third parties that do their own estimates based on surveys and things like that, so one of the the Amazon. [21:53] Claims was that they sold 7 times as many Echo devices this year as they did last year so and I would have argued they sold the awful lot of echo devices last year so selling 7X. Is pretty impressive I think they mentioned that 50 of the top 100 sellers on the platform ran. Ran promotions and I think you know some of the Animas have said that this probably ended up being about a billion dollar day for them instead of put that in perspective. A normal Q3 day for Amazon's about 444 million dollars in Revenue so it's a little more than than twice a normal day as a result of of this pig sale. Scot & Jamie:  [22:39] Yeah I know that equates to when you start doing the math it's like you know between one and 2% so this you know I think people, you hear about these things that are like wow this is going to increase Amazon's overall sales 30% or something and certainly for the day it does but in the the overall vast sea of GMB that is Amazon actually. Doesn't move the needle that much but if they can add 10 20 30 million Prime users into a subscription into a trial period and and like I said at the top of the show 75% stick. That's huge when because those guys were are now in the ecosystem now they have to come like moving to the next up witches get them you get them loving 2-day Prime shipping and then get them using something else and then Delp Delp stay around forever, what are the interesting themes you and I have talked about a lot of the last year is Bran's really waking up to the Amazon opportunity and one of the guys we had on this show on episode 73 or the Wall Street analyst Omar Asad, he had a note out today and in his take away was. Did there was just this crazy level of participation from softline Brands this is topical because we had a lot of news here lately where we've had Nike coming onto the platform and and whatnot. So so you kind of rated the different brands and and how they did and. Let me kind of pursue this in the Brand's he saw take, Shakira advantage of prime day would I would imagine this is kind of a. [24:12] We're going have a guest on later that will kind of walk us through how they think about it but you have kind of the foundation is you know you have to have product Prime eligible that's important which means they need to be fbar you can use self Rafael Prime and then. That's that's the platform then you need to offer deals into the different deal platforms Amazon has been kind of another dial you can turn as a brand of selling 1p, and even 3p most of these that is we'll talk about her one piece Amazon gives you quite a bit big of the big ad platform so they have AMG which is display ads and Ms which is search ads. So the highest levels participation in the softlines category coined Omar were awarded to Calvin Klein Hanes Carter's Lee and Wrangler VF Corp Levi's Puma. I feel like this is a who's who's list of who's gone the show fossil guess and Skechers the ones that kind of underperformed or really didn't, dissipate are let me see if I can get this right Gap American Eagle Lululemon Vans and and Nike I need to make sense I think. You a lot of those guys kind of proceed themselves beat up, so some of them are on the platform very aggressively it all a lot of them view themselves to be kind of a premier or luxury brand a lot of her new the platform like a Nike so Nike just started selling no literally. Days ago right it's been kind of formalized I don't know if they're late actively selling very much so I think next year will be a year for that so it's interesting his takeaway was this is kind of the year for four Prime day that Brands really woke up and participated in the end of material weigh. Jason:  [25:53] Yeah and I then I kind of think you know there's Brands they were very clearly playing defense. [25:58] And you know they're on their and they're they're they're doing some participation but they're being really careful not to sort of poison. There other channels and in markets with promotions and then they were brands are playing offense and we're saying like Hey we're going to take advantage of this day when we have huge incremental traffic with my intent and try to sell as much stuff as possible. [26:21] So the like looking at the official Amazon announcements they said Revenue was up 60% year-over-year. Which is obviously very good it's not as good as last year which was sort of in the area of 300% up but obviously. You know now they have a bigger base they said 3p was up more like he wasn't very helpful statistic, they said that they were a record number of new Prime members tens of millions in a 50% more customers this year than last year, more folks joined Prime yesterday than any other day in history and the number one product sold was the Amazon Echo. Scot & Jamie:  [27:08] Yeah and another one they highlighted a lot is they've gotten they worked with the manufacturer and I can't remember who it is but they made this TV maybe it's the element I believe it is and it's 55 inches and it's Alexa enabled, and I haven't seen one but I talked to a lady there and it is pretty wild you you can say the whole experience is through, everything you can do on a remote you can do to the Lexus so they've built this skill and you just going to say Alexa you know go to Channel 5 or Alexa find, you know the two men then whatever your favorite show is fine Star Trek next Generation or whatever and it will it will do all that stuff, so that's a relatively new product that was announced earlier this year and they promoted it very heavy another big element of. Prime Day this year is Nate they ran a lot of TV deals which I took his kind of putting a bit of a bull's-eye on on Best Buy and this TV day, they hiked it a lot going into they had a lot of them in his to be aggressive and actually sold out in 2 or 3 hours which means at to get this deal really over performed what they are expecting. They did put out a list of best sellers by country I want kind of take it went to that for once I wanted to just chat about quickly, pretty much an every country there was a private label offering so if Riggs ample in Mexico the number one seller was an Amazon basic, Cable in Japan happy but happy belly pure bottled water was a top seller that's a private label brand that they have for cpg there's. [28:40] What other Canada the double a batteries the Amazon basic double a batteries were a top seller so what what's interesting is, private label seem to do very well this year I saw him pushing it very hard and in the u.s. deals also is a bunch of accessories so whenever someone buys that TV I'm sure then you get on Amazon basic HDMI cable, I'm so that was interesting to see a lot of private label push they didn't put any other stats out on that the other stat that was interesting is they said, stop base which means you're using the Amazon app on on your smartphone those orders doubled so if the whole day, orders grew 60% and does effectively doubled between hundred percent they really over indexed which means desktop Ryland group. [29:23] Percentage when you're 30% Amazon does a lot of things where you can always see the deals and track them you know that the app experience is truly better than the desktop experience they said they sold 3.5 million toys again, it's a nursing number but I have does a lot of reference. [29:41] Another one that's kind of interesting is this this voice Commerce so they're so aggressive with the Alexa deals and pushing those early, I looked at them they're pretty good too had a 3D printer on there that was normally $600 for like 250 or something like that and, that's some really interesting deals on there they had Greenies that were more than half off there's a PR firm kind of pushing stats that say, before Prime day 19% people had purchased using voice in a 33% additional intend to if we kind of when the dust settles on Prime day I think we're going to see. You know 30 to 50% of folks, either having use that for Prime day or will it with their new Echoes they will be ordering something online so so that's pretty interesting Callen came out the survey also right before Prime day that said, they believe 13% of us households have echoes, and you know if if it's since we have this Echo. As the top seller and eyemagine the normal Echo was up there these TVs it's going to nursing you know I think, by the end of this year with holiday and Prime day maybe we start to see 20% of households, that's pretty interesting because you know Amazon is on their lap of this thing and and the rest of competition is really kind of stuck on the starting blocks. Jason:  [31:01] Yeah absolutely that that's one where it felt like they came in the prime day with a commanding lead and then for that to be the the biggest seller and 7 times more than last year, they're absolutely lapping the field in terms of a penetration there so if they can turn your point they probably did make a bunch of money on any of those devices so the magic question is going to be vacant. They can turn that into customer value over time. Scot & Jamie:  [31:26] Yes sir so let's wrap up this segment with kind of what what were your your big takeaways from Prime Day this year. Jason:  [31:34] Yeah what's it looking at the day in aggregate I definitely feel it was a big win for the 3p sellers there we saw a lot more 3p sellers participating, there as a result doing a lot more deals in a lot of the Amazon advertising Vehicles which can be very effective. In addition to making some nice revenue for Amazon where vailable the three-piece hours for the first time so so definitely. A win on the 3-piece side of the fence. On the one piece out of the fence why we don't have real data I strongly suspect that by far the biggest win we're first-party Amazon products and so that's. You know certainly that the echo family that we've talked about but also the Kindles and all the new private label stuff. [32:24] That they're starting to push and that really leaves me too. To my biggest takeaway from this whole thing which is to me the big winner and Prime day is the Amazon Echo System way more so than sales like almost everything we've discussed up till now. Was Amazon using prime day as a tool. To get people more addicted to the rest of Amazon so using more of their services discovering more of their services. And you know getting more value for that Prime membership and just making Amazon more sticky and increasing the customer lifetime value of all those Prime members and you know wow. I think that's in stark contrast to singles day. Which is really just a day to buy stuff like we really haven't seen Ali Baba turn singles day into this powerful flywheel for Ollie Baba. For the rest of the year like you know maybe they that use singles day a little bit to get new international brands on the platform but it really is. [33:28] Kind of a one-day Wonder for Alibaba and to me the Amazon approach is almost the exact opposite it's way less about you know Dublin sales that one day and way more about. [33:40] Making Amazon much stickier and making it in a much more difficult for consumers to choose to buy stuff. [33:47] Elsewhere after they get addicted to all the stuff that they were encouraged to try for the first time on on Friday so in that way I think. [33:55] Prime days a home run for Amazon in this year only sort of the extended that when I will say you know they're still things that aren't perfect as a result of having way more deals. [34:07] You need to give users way better way to filter those deals and find the deals that are relevant to them and you know while they added some super rudimentary tools in the mobile app. [34:17] I would I would say they were very deficient and so I like to say that they had a signal-to-noise problem this year that it was probably harder than ever before for consumers to find the deals. [34:28] That would have gotten them excited and so I suspect that something will see Amazon work on and in years to come I mean you and I used to joke about. [34:37] You know there being no search in the in the Echo skills go to store and in that same way like you know there's actually is no search. [34:44] For for Prime Day deals for example you know I'm curious I think it depended a lot on category but in a lot of these categories. [34:54] I'm not sure that the prime Day deals are necessarily the best deals of the year. [34:59] So it's a promotional day but but not necessarily A deeply promotional day for everything you know I do chuckle. [35:08] The reason Amazon doesn't give you any hard numbers for for any of these things are obviously they don't want to but they don't have to because this whole day is not financially material to them right in so you know what ones are reminder. Yeah they do no more than double sales from 450 billion to 2 a billion but that's still not a meaningful. [35:31] Bump in the in the overall Amazon Echo System so while they brag about the day a lot it's really not about that that. [35:40] Financial stuff and then I guess my last. [35:43] Big takeaway is that by far the biggest winner of all is the the echo echo system or the echo platform. [35:53] Is a quickly lead to hit mute on on my device in the room. Scot & Jamie:  [36:00] 8 devices in your house just woke up. Jason:  [36:02] Exact side note for people that haven't listened to all the previous episode shame on you but my sister-in-law is actually named Alexis so all the devices in my house have to answer to Echo not to Alexa. But I do think. There there is a a holy war going on to win that that end home intelligent agent every other retailer in in the world has huge reasons to root for anyone but Amazon winning it. And you know we we in our CES recap this year we talked about all the products at CES that had Amazon built into him you know they certainly have the Lions. Market share and then they're the only one that have a huge promotional event like this so it just it feels like. Despite the fact that you know a lot of people have a lot of reasons for to not see Amazon win in this category it's getting hard to imagine anyone anyone really catching them at this point. Scot & Jamie:  [37:01] Yeah I think voice Converses the big wind and. Not only is it just the device lead that they have but Google is stuck in this weird place where, yeah because they don't control a consumer experience for ordering anything with with exception of Google Express, you know it's this really it's hard to build that so if you say to Google Voice you know order me an air filter for my house they've got some Partnerships with eBay and that kind of thing and but you know, what are they going to do like shop that order out to Home Depot and Lowe's are you going to have to go and set a preference for everything you want to do it. [37:39] Is that becomes an important part of this this home assistant, it's kind of game over for Amazon and then you know let's say Google does go solved that how are they going to monetize it their whole business is Mata, monetized off ads and you know a lot of the Google things the music and all has all these ads in it and it's like a really terrible user experience compared to that, now more more people are coming out with these assistance to Apple's it hasn't hit the market yet but they're already announced one Samsung has one coming out in Alibaba analyst 1, forgiveness cost at T Mall in the name so you everyone's working hard to catch up but I think Amazon has this inherent kind of. [38:18] Advantage not only with the device penetration but with the use case of ordering stuff now you know you could argue home automation is a lot more level playing around, but again if they can get to 20% kind of out there and US households and it's clear from the deals that are running they want you to do more home automation they're already kind of got a commanding lead and and again if that kind of starts to become your standard and you start to use that, ecosystem are locked into it it's going to be heavy sliding for these other guys trying to compete, voice Commerce is kind of really interesting one to watch this year I mentioned the brand thing earlier, and I'll refute one of your points a little bit you kind of talked about it not being in material sales day and I agree but it is financially material because of the Prime Subs so if they get 20 million Prime subscribers the average Prime users. Spends about $1,200 to make math easy let's say they spend $1,000 a year, well on the day it's not a significant impact that's a 20 billion dollar add to the Top Line and that's like it oh that's like Walmart's entire online business. Doing the math right so so there is a long-term Financial impact by those Prime subscribers and then, the more they can keep them and you let say the number is 85 million if they don't want to turn in those folks so if they can get you to use another spoke on that benefit and lock you in even longer again it's kind, but huge win and it keeps you from going to other retailers. Jason:  [39:46] For sure and and I guess I meant to sort of lump the Prime Membership into that. Thing one of the powerful drivers in that ecosystem versus talking about the revenue. [39:57] I would make just one other point that you so reminded me of on the how commanding this this voice, sweet is and how problematic it is. [40:08] You know. More more products are going to be built with voice in them and if all the manufacturers have to build Alexa and because that's the strong consumer preference think would that means to every other retailer like you can go buy a bunch of Samsung refrigerators in Best Buy right now, and those refrigerators I'll have Alexa in them and so guess who's shopping list, when you are you're using with that product you bought from Best Buy is enabling you to shop at Amazon right and you know it's not exactly Apples to Apples but Walmart selling a bunch of Samsung phones that have the Amazon app in bedded in it and so you know you can tell how commanding this Echo System advantages when your competitors are forced to sell products that are, that are sort of gateways to your echo system. Scot & Jamie:  [40:54] Yeah yeah one other aspect of it we talked about it a little bit on the show but I want to kind of bring it up again, as I mentioned the report on Brands and one of the levers brands have to pull is, the advertising so so I'm pretty convinced I'm hearing more and more when I talk to brands that they are spending more and more ad dollars on Amazon and there's two platforms and so folks are interested in. We had, we had Melissa Burdick and Andrea on and they talk a lot about these platforms we don't have time to go into it today, but I'm convinced this is going to be not the next billion-dollar business for Amazon but it could be 30 or 40 could be the next. [41:38] Cloud computing for Amazon because bran just can't get enough of these ad dollars into efficacy is super high we see a lot of people moving money out of, Facebooking Google into Amazon's add platforms and this day another win for this day was getting all these Brands to activate and get into those things you know, I ate when the if we could speak inside the Amazon curtain I think maybe the biggest Chunk on margin probably came from Those ads would be interesting and then, the huge long-term win is now they got a Brands kind of activated on those platforms AMG and Anna's I think that is is a huge huge. 10 20 30 billion dollar opportunity forum. Jason:  [42:21] Yeah I totally agree. Scot & Jamie:  [42:23] Well that's our view of what we saw for Amazon Prime day but we wanted to bring in a live first-party and third-party seller to understand what they saw from the frontlines of this exciting e-commerce holiday. Jason join me in welcoming back to the Jason Scott show Jamie Dooley. As a refresher for everyone Jamie is the head of e-commerce a dorel juvenile group we did a full episode with Jamie and one of his colleagues and that is episode 86 so, hi if you want to learn more about what they're up to as regards Amazon listen to that episode and tonight we're really here to get a fresh hot take about, Amazon Prime Day Jamie welcome back to the show xcaret. Jason:  [43:09] Hey Jamie thanks very much for doing this we totally appreciate it so obviously the the biggest and most important question how were your Prime Day sales. Scot & Jamie:  [43:20] They were very strong so it to remind everyone wear a hybrid so we we sell both. [43:27] Directly to Amazon as 1T and we're a Marketplace seller or three-piece all as well. [43:33] The data for Marketplace sales comes their way real time so we know that we had. Fantastic day on over the third over the course of 30 hours. As a Marketplace our sales were up 600% year-over-year and it was the second biggest day we've ever had on the market place II only Cyber Monday last. [43:56] So it was it was certainly a very very good day for us on the market side on the one piece side that the data takes usually at least two days to get to work. And we're recording it's now only day after Prime day so we're still waiting for the final sales data to come but as far as we've we've seen we had a record-setting day. On Prime day again for even the one piece eyewear. Almost 100% of our lighting deals fold-out many of them in the first 30 minutes and then where is subscriber to one quick retail and they were able to give us. Intraday reads as well as a final estimation of what our sales were no looks like we beat all of our forecast. Jason:  [44:41] Well congratulations. Scot & Jamie:  [44:45] Yes 600% is amazing because Amazon announced they were up 60% so you over indexed by a factor of 10 which is which is pretty awesome set that leads me to ask you mention Lightning Deals, and you know this is. Did you guys participate in 15 where are was second last year so then been doing it for 3 years was last year when you really get serious about it or we actually was 15 kind of when you started. [45:11] I'd say we we really got serious about it last year. But this year we we we took it to another level as well. [45:26] So what what were some of the things that work well for you I know a lot of of both 1p and 3p people that are using what I would call different platform so different deal that they, they got a different deal for mats that I hadn't been in before also more people are in other parts that you go system like maybe Alexa deals Prime now, Pantry that there's kind of a wide range of things what were some of the platforms you guys utilize this year to get such a great result. [45:56] Sure sure to remind everybody we're baby Products company so we sell strollers and car seats and Hardline items that really aren't. They don't play very well into a pantry or even to Echo there they require a lot of a lot of kind of stuff a lot of. Merchandising online and there is there's a lot of there's a lot of consideration that's required but what we we use the combination of of a mass and. We had a number of Lightning Deals as well as what it called Chianti's or or Prime member promotions that were on the. On the Friday deal page when when the customer. Navigated there and then we had aggressive pricing on on our everyday items as well I'd say on the one piece side we had a very good combination of. Traditional TNT's and Lightning Deals as well in in combination with. Advertising that we we we bought through Amazon as well as using social media and other external traffic drivers to drive even more traffic back to those promotions on Amazon. Jason:  [47:08] This great Jimmy a couple of follow-ups was that would you say it was a pretty similar promotional strategy to your 2016 so like when you look at that 600% comp is that mostly because. Prime day was more successful for three peas or. [47:26] Or because you know you also got got more sophisticated in your in your marketing. Scot & Jamie:  [47:33] I think we on the marketplace side if I had to say what what drove the 600% year-over-year growth. Definitely one part was we have more items overpriced and obviously that that's that's really the name of the game on Prime day so that that certainly helped. We did you ever tizing much more aggressively this year and. On the marketplace side there were a lot more opportunities for 3-piece hours to to take part and Prime day so for one example to work really well for us with headline, search ads were available to Mark play for this year they weren't last year it's actually I think it's still in beta right now we were fortunate to be part of the beta program. We we watch that drive to some good sales growth. And I think we that come in combination with just many more items aggressively priced and and Prime dad's I think that that was the key to success of the marketplace. Jason:  [48:34] Got it and that that seems consistent with the general Trend that we've heard and talked about for this year that. Prime prime day was just much more accessible the two three piece sales so the fact that you're you were able to get many more products badge than you had a bigger palette of marketing tactics available to you that that all makes perfect sense that you'd blow it up with with 3p, that might imply that while I'm sure your 1p will be way up this year it may not be proportionately up as high as three peas that is that a affair guess. Scot & Jamie:  [49:08] I think so yeah we are we have obviously had a much bigger base of sales to the cop from last year's Prime day. [49:17] So yeah we're not going to say I would expect us not to see 600% your growth if we do then I expect to be a CEO somewhere next year. Even if we even if we see no 104 just under 100% urea go that's going to be a huge win for us. Jason:  [49:35] The promise if you do 600% 1p growth this year your current CEO is going to take credit. Scot & Jamie:  [49:43] That's good. Jason:  [49:46] Totally fair a related question in your category or or specifically do you like how aggressive do you have to get on promotions are we I mean are we talking like. 20% 10% 30% like is it is there a is it similar to other promotions you do through the year do you have to get more aggressive what's the general. Promotional philosophy. Scot & Jamie:  [50:09] It's it's. It's not great it's it depends depends on the category and then it depends on the level of competition so in general what I saw in a lot of categories was, it only took 20 20 to 30% discounts to do some significant damage one of our biggest competitors. Most of their deals were running at about 20 to 25% off and I know they did I'm pretty sure they did extremely well most of our promotions hovered around the the 20 to 30% range and we sold out of our inventory for, lighting deals in in sickness and in a very quick amount of time. My takes away from this Prime day and it builds on last year as well as that you don't need to. To be at 70% off I need a robot aggressive deals out there that call them loss leaders or attention getters. We found we had some of those too but in general we focus on profitability too and we didn't feel like we needed to. [51:16] Start a race to the bottom in our categories and I feel like. In general what we saw across our categories and other categories was the same you didn't see every deal required to be 60% or more. Jason:  [51:30] That definitely mirrors with what I sort of informally saw it felt like people were a little conservative with deals in their core products and maybe a little more aggressive with with some of the the West core products if you will. Scot & Jamie:  [51:46] I think we saw that and some of the day that one quick retail gave us too so we know that Amazon sales were up 60% but there was a 114%. Lifting promo count according to down so you thought many more deals but I did was there they weren't quite as aggressive and then I've seen reports. I'm all over the media where they're saying conversion rate was actually down for Prime day so I'm curious to see if that's at validated but that would all imply that. Progressive deals potentially across the board but not deeper so. What will then you and I are were chatting about is one of the interesting things is on on some of the non lightning deal deals you know they utilize that feature we had to add it to cart to see the price, why do you think that is what's going on there so I know that I've talked about this. I felt like that was sort of like burying the we we had and we had an item that was priced $50 off and the customer really had a, went and searched to see that they were getting a 30% discount on one of our top items and that was really consistent with with, with a lot more deals at work and keys throughout the deal. [53:11] My opinion is that it allowed them to prevent Walmart and other competitors from price matching them as easily. I know that said you know what this Amazon ever going to come out and say that they're only really too big categories of a promotions that you can have to get onto the prime. Hyundai page deals of the day does he the Lightning Deals are pmt's and Amazon official word to us. Can keys are designed to allow you to be on that page with slightly less aggressive discounts so that would be widened Art discount, pricing is a set-up but I do think it helps avoid price-matching and we saw that in our category there was just a lot less price matching from Amazon's top competitors, on our deal because they were they were pmt's and they were harder to describe. Jason:  [54:07] But I guess one of the ironies there and tell me if it's different in your category but you know they sort of hurt the customer experience a little bit by bearing a lot of the deals in the, the carts to avoid letting our competitors price match but it kind of felt like most of their competitors unlike last year sort of sat out this year so it almost seemed like, like they had no intention of sort of aggressively. Trying to ride on the prime Day coattails this year at least I didn't see big indications of that did you. Scot & Jamie:  [54:41] No I didn't either so I I was actually that was one of my surprising observations would this last year. Competitors like Walmart even, they took a shot anyway I didn't see that I saw most of most of Amazon's direct competitors almost in feet, day in the week to Diamond maybe they'll plan something for later in July but any Amazon on that day and they only. Jason:  [55:09] Yeah I think eBay obviously did some like pretty serious National advertising that was sort of counter Prime programming and let you know they did a special deal with the Google home but the, you're right that the sort of traditional omni-channel retailers Walmart Target like really didn't see any indication that they were trying to make any head of the day. Scot & Jamie:  [55:31] Amazon credited manufactured this Holiday Inn is they've done a great job with us. Jason:  [55:38] Absolutely any promotions you saw from others that really surprised you. Scot & Jamie:  [55:44] Well I think one of the ones that I was surprised didn't happen as it was it was also not just Prime day with national blueberry. Muffin day and there were no blueberry muffin promotion so that was that was my biggest surprise I couldn't find any promotions to get me a cheaper blueberry muffin delivered. But I think the some of the ones that I thought we were actually our kind of our we talked about the last. Discounted just kind of product but it seems like in our category somewhere I competitors took some really big shots with with some deep discounts. One of our biggest competitor to deal with a day which they have some fairly aggressive discontent what was interesting was that they had some new merchandising that we've never seen before. With the car completely custom land and gauges on mobile and desktop that they were very interesting so it looks like they spent on a significant amount of money to make that happen and it'll be interesting to see whether. What are the sales actually paid off for those. Jason:  [56:47] Interesting I definitely agree with you I think there's a huge mess on the blueberry muffins I myself actually missed Prime day because I was spending all day at the Muffin Shop. Scot & Jamie:  [56:59] The morning was completely shot. How many muffins in the morning your teeth were blue all day. [57:10] Cool Jamie really appreciate you coming on and you know we record this show late at night cuz we both have, allegedly have day job so I appreciate you taking time one last question so based on what you know and I know it's early what, what did Vice would you give to both Brands 1 p.m. 3 payout there for next year. [57:34] The things I say were one plan it out as early as you possibly can. Some of the some of the issues we saw this year had to do with just operations and Terriers not being able to pick our ship and saw. [57:48] To deliver them to Amazon DC's or two-and-a-half 3 weeks out from Prime day so. In retrospect next year I'd advise our is get your product into Amazon DC's as early as you can. [58:04] And I think just in general planning in advance probably needs to start in Q4 or earlier for the next prime day is depending on the items that you want to promote. I'm already in existence today I already have sales history today already have product reviews if they don't you need to build all that up before Amazon even going to consider them for a major deal and then even want you to get those approved. [58:31] They're going to need it before casted in depending on whether you're Lee X or. Your 90 days or 120 days or six months to have them into fakturert and shipped here you're talking about potentially you're 9 months in advance that you need to start thinking about your promotional strategy for. Prime day so far in advance based on your company's Lee X is number 1 number 2 is is expected the things are going to go wrong. [58:59] We did a lot of contingency planning with what we. [59:03] Is it going to go on call of a dead and we had a whole team of of of of e-commerce professionals from is to Ops 2 merchandising and sales all. [59:14] Call pretty much working off and on The Whole30 hours and you'll eat we did have a lot of things go wrong on our end and it on Amazon so I think having a good contingency plan is is it real. [59:28] Yeah I think. [59:30] Third is just making sure that you know your competition and and having a good understanding of what's going to go on with pricing I think a lot of the deals we've heard. Other sellers just they lose they lose out on the light and gillikins cancelled a few days prior to. Prime day that's a very common thing and we were fortunate not to have that happen so the more that you can understand your your channel strategy and they make sure that the pricing that you have set up for for Prime day is going to hold out for the day that's. Jason:  [1:00:06] Wow what Jamie that is terrific advice, and that is going to be a great place for us to land because it has happened again Wii U, used up all our allotted time so certainly like to remind listeners that if you enjoyed this episode we love to continue the dialogue on our Facebook page and if you really enjoy the episode we'd sure appreciate a review on iTunes. [1:00:31] So until next time happy commercing!

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP092 - Artificial Intelligence Deep Dive

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 12, 2017 71:44


EP092 - Artificial Intelligence Deep Dive   "We're in the middle of an obvious disruption right now: machine learning and artificial intelligence. It is a renaissance, it is a golden age. We are solving problems that were in the realm of science fiction for the last several decades." - Jeff Bezos This episode is a deep dive into all the use-cases for Artificial Intelligence and machine learning in retail. Insight Generation Analytics - Google Automated Insights Multi-Variable Regression Testing (Correlation)  Targeting - Best Audience / Next Best $ Social Listening / Sentiment Campaign Attribution / ROI Business Acceleration Inventory Management/Forecasting Merchandise Compliance Checkout - such as Amazon Go Product Design - such as Stichfix Tagging/Unstructured Data Fraud Price/Promotion Optimization Logistic Optimization Drone Delivery Customer Engagement Natural Language Assistants Virtual Agents Guided Selling Visual Search Search Recommendations  Fitment/Return Avoidance Personalization Loyalty/Retention AI Vendors Discussed General: IBM Bluemix Watson  Google Cloud Platform  Microsoft Azure Amazon AWS  -  including DSSTNE (pronounced “destiny”), the Amazon recommendation engine Retail Specific Vendors: Twiggle - Search Sentient.ai - Visual Search/ Personalization/ Recommendations Clarifai.com - Visual Search / Video Simbe Robotics - “tally” Robot / Shelf Audit / Inventory Focal Systems - Computer Vision / Inventory Luminoso -  Analytics Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 92 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Monday July 10, 2017. New beta feature - Google Automated Transcription of the show: http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 92 being recorded on Monday July 10th 2017 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scot Wingo. Scot: [0:40] Hey Jason happy Prime day Eve. Jason: [0:44] Happy Prime day Eve to you Scott. Scot: [0:47] You were recording here on July 10th Prime deals have launched the Alexa deals exclusives came out days ago I think I don't like 5 days ago and then now here at 9 to watch somebody else it's pretty exciting. Jason: [1:00] Yeah if you made a bunch of purchases yet. Scot: [1:03] Hi man I'm kind of just kind of keeping you in Iowa. One of the things I suffer from that I think I have is already have a fair number of Amazon devices so does seem to be the most discounted items and unfortunately already have a pretty full dance card there. Jason: [1:19] Yep I'm in the same boat it feels like there's a lot of deals but it's slightly tricky to identify the deals that would be personally interesting to you like as as is a problem with Amazon in many other areas Discovery is not their strength. Scot: [1:34] Yeah did see some pretty nursing with Deco and sipping pretty dramatically off younis I've seen some 30 40 50 per cent off so it's pretty pretty good. Jason: [1:43] Yeah if you haven't invested in the hardware this is definitely the right time to buy the hardware and other way to extend till I Kindles and stuff too so the lot of interesting things you can do with Kindle tablets, you can Jailbreak come and put other operating systems and stuff on them so I know a lot of people that use prime day as an opportunity to stock up on Hardware. Scot: [2:02] This is our first show in July we took a little bit of a vacation there how was your fourth of July. Jason: [2:09] It was great my mom was in town got to spend some time with her grandson and so we had a good time everyone in my family enjoys the 4th of July except MacGyver who definitely does not enjoy the 4th of July or a dog. Scot: [2:22] I got to get my ThunderShirt. Jason: [2:23] We've escalated from the Thundershirt to Pharmaceuticals. Scot: [2:28] Quaaludes. Jason: [2:33] Yeah I don't think he's getting quite as strong enough jokes to appreciate it but at least it's helping him take the edge off. Scot: [2:38] And then I guess you're stuck around Chicago then. Jason: [2:43] We did. [2:46] Dumb like mine anything else one of the nice things about Chicago being so flat is all the windows in my home face West and so from any room in our house you can actually see like for commercial firework shows in parallel. [3:01] Yeah I see you have to go nowhere to enjoy the fireworks. Scot: [3:06] Courtney retail trips to 247 in the gun down to see the Amazon bookstore there in Chicago. Jason: [3:13] Been to the Amazon bookstore a few times and I think we've talked about my visit there I have not been to any. Super exciting new retail I was in the Bay Area since our last show and I've talked about the beta store before in Seattle that the original beta store was in Palo Alto so I got a chance to visit that and it was. [3:37] In a frankly pretty similar to the the Seattle one and I did finally get to visit a. Up in San Francisco I'm a little shame that's been been so so long but I finally got to visit a next generation Apple Store. Scot: [3:51] What was that all about. Jason: [3:53] Well it's been pretty widely covered in the Press like these are the stores that have like the expert Grove and they have a lot of the organic elements and have a big video wall these are like the the Angela Earnhardt. Next generation Apple stores in you know I think they are improvements. I don't know that they make a big deal of difference in Amazon's business model like seems like they have the same voluminous number of people and employees as. The traditional Apple Store so I'll be curious if they ever came out and said like but the it's a much more expensive store to build I'd be curious if they feel like they like their. Never better return. Scot: [4:39] Got it cool sounds like you had a good time where you able to see any good movies. Jason: [4:45] I am no I did not were woefully behind on movie so Wonder Woman's at the top of the list of ones I haven't seen I feel like being a parent of a toddler is very detrimental to my movie-watching. Scot: [4:58] Absolute you're way behind on your movie-going. Jason: [5:01] I am I am I'm jealous of you and your ear like premieres like you can take your kids to the premier's. Scot: [5:09] Yep you have already seen Spider-Man Despicable Me 3 caught up. Jason: [5:14] Is a lot of talk about how the Spider-Mans are are much worse than the last generation is that your take. Scot: [5:22] I like I like this one in the Tobey Maguire I didn't like the one in the middle so I guess I'm counter Spidey. Jason: [5:30] Got you yeah so there's some there's some like critical videos that have gained traction on the internet that compare the Tobey Maguire ones to these current ones and they there they come down pretty hard on the current ones. [5:47] Yep. Scot: [5:49] Cool solicitors we've been doing a lot of interviews lately and it's time to mix it up and we're going bring back one of our most popular segments. [6:13] Deep dive this week we're going to do a deep dive into all things artificial intelligence and how it may impact Commerce. [6:23] This year's annual letter to shareholders Jeff Bezos talked a lot about Ai and machine learning so here's a little segment from that. These pictures are not that hard to spot they get talked and written about a lot but they can be a strangely hard for large organisations to embrace we're in the middle of an obvious one right now machine learning in artificial intelligence. It's a Renaissance a golden age Bezos said we're solving problems with machine learning in AI that were in the realm of Science Fiction for the last several decades. So I also remember when Bezos kind of dropped in one of those interviews earlier in the year that they had a thousand people working on machine learning so. Jason this one is squarely in your real house so I'm going to kind of take back burner here in simply interview you for for the audience so once you kick it off and give us your definition. Of a i and she running a lot of people using these all over the place so it's want to hear your your kind of foundational of you of of how we should think about these things. Jason: [7:18] I do think the definitions are all over the place in that that creates a lot of confusion there sort of the, a technical Definition of artificial intelligence which is not what anyone in our industry means when they talk about artificial intelligence cuz they like. Real artificial intelligences was called artificial general intelligence or a GI that's the whole notion of a, computer being able to do all the tasks that a human can and being like you know technology being indistinguishable from a human being and so, nothing that we're talking about is anything approaching that and there's certainly like that technology is not in the near Horizon for us that's. You know at least 10 plus years out and their lot of people that. Smarter people to me that argue about if and when it'll ever happen and if it did you know you could have any get to that. That Singularity that Ray Kurzweil likes to talk about. [8:14] So most of the time in our industry one they're talking about with the Ruby talking about is applied AI or what the scientist sometimes call Nero AI or weak Ai and what they mean by that is. The Machine's ability to do one specific thing as well as a human being can. And so you know a classic example of of Nero AI is Siri. Being able to do a very specific set of tasks like a human can in this. Highlights the real problem with the definition of a eye is unless you also Define the set of tasks you're talking about. [8:55] You can't really understand what someone means when they're when they're talking about applied AR right so if. [9:03] I said like in the 1970s that hey we just invented a computer program that can play chess right like the. Back then the the the Nero task was the ability to follow the rules of chest it wasn't necessarily good at chess and couldn't beat a good chess player but just being able to play chess was a very classic definition of AI in the 1970s. Today for for any of us to really think of Chess as AI you have to be talking about a chess program that can beat a Grandmaster. Right and so the the task that you're talking about change dramatically from just playing chess to playing Chessa to Grandmaster level. And so it it's kind of interesting the AI is always shifting when when you know recommendation engines for e-commerce first came out, that was state-of-the-art AI you know when folks like Netflix and Amazon first launched those features, that that was the The Pinnacle of AI you know today you know you've got a dozen vendors you can pick to plug into your website to do basic product recommendations and most of us don't think of those as. A a current example of a I-44 example so, the definitions are constantly shifting and then we have this problem of their these three terms that get used kind of interchangeably in our industry there's, artificial intelligence which is what we've been saying so far there's a related discipline called machine learning that gets used interchangeably with artificial intelligence a lot and then there is this third term. [10:35] Cognitive Computing and the there are specific definitions of each of those but when you know in the in the world of, e-commerce and vendors they're all using this using them and using them interchangeably I'm in so it makes it really hard to, know what folks are are even talking about. Scot: [10:55] So that's helpful I think the thing that the listeners price struggle with is how much is reality and how much is hype so for example when we were at shoptalk if just a couple months ago really, every vendor there for so there's this explosion of new vendors so if we had a fair number of vendors are in history and now there's no. Really a doubling or tripling and it seems like every one of the vendors is a redo of an existing vendor but with a machine like machine learning a I kind of an angle so now there's on site search. Adword bidding machines product recommendations upsell engines email optimizations that. [11:36] Brazilians of these kinds of things if I'm a retailer. Should part of my 2017 strategy be to just go and figure out all the vendors I have today and find a machine learning version of them and if that's not the answer then where. Where can someone have the biggest impact for for listeners that are out there with us technology. Jason: [11:55] That's a great question Scot we should do a podcast about that. Scot: [11:59] We're right in the middle of the chest. Jason: [12:00] Oh geez alright well I'm going to start while I come up with an answer but, in in all seriousness your hypothetical is I would send it as exactly what you shouldn't do you know there's no reason to just go look for versions of all your turn to experiences, never provided by a vendor that's bolted one of the AI words onto their service because that, that word doesn't make that service any better or worse than it was before and totally agree with you you know vendors are both in these things on right or left like we. You know there's some folks that I be in that take it really seriously but it's fun to poke fun at them, they have this technology or they would call cognitive Computing technology that they branded Watson and some days it feels like they've just added Watson to the front of every product that IBM sells. [12:51] And so you know the is that a better version than the last version because it has the word Watson in front of it but well. Not necessarily should you pay more money for it because it has the word Watson in front of it like I certainly not. I was looking at the vendor list from irce there's 22 vendors that have bolted a Ion 2. You know their existing product and I'm getting these like calls everyday from vendors saying hey I know you weren't interested on probably before but we pivoted and we're now in a I you know so and so and we would love some of your time to talk about how we should take. Take our product to all your clients and. You know you sort of implied in the question that's a bad strategy nothing's going to be better by just buying an AI version of it. Going back to our friend and number one listened or Jeff Bezos. She talked about machine learning as a sort of a horizontal layer right like so it's not a in point it's a it's a technology that enables, new kinds of experiences and he has this pretty simple definite definition that I like to use he says, like over the past decades computers have broadly automated tasks the programmers could describe with clear rules and Ayala grissom's in what modern machine learning does, is allow us to do the same for tasks where describing the rules is much harder right so, playing chess is a relatively defined set of rules and you could write a computer program that follow those rules but what machine learning let you do is. [14:30] Make a program that can play chess really well even though the programmer themselves might not be able to write a set of best practices for actually playing chess, and so what what we're really looking for our specific use cases in Commerce, that are made possible or made dramatically better by adding this horizontal layer by adding this ability to, to do fuzzy stuff that was hard to write rules for in the past, and so what I would say rather than looking for labels like you ought to be thinking about specific use cases, that are made much better or an able for the first time by underlying Technologies and decide whether any of those use cases are particular helpful for you. Scot: [15:20] So that's helpful what what are some. Where some examples of where retailers can use this technology in and maybe give folks a little bit of framework for helping him think about this so that they can kind of formulate a plan and figure out how to start sampling some of these things. Jason: [15:36] So so what's do exactly that was jump into some specifics and I I like to, kind of divide the experiences into three buckets the first bucket I called the insides generation bucket and that's all of the sort of, analytics data processing type things you can do and I'll go into some examples in just a second the second buzz bucket is what I've called business acceleration it's, saving time or money or reducing complexity from from various business processes. In the third bucket is customer engagement it's it's new customer experiences that you couldn't do before the customers appreciate and make you a better Merchant ER or a better solution for those customers. So let's they're talking about some of the the specific Commerce use cases that might fit in each one of those buck. [16:32] So the first one I like to talk about in the insights bucket is. Basic web analytics so we've had web analytics for a long time and you know they don't come with key and reports and dashboards and you can make your own custom reports but all of the traditional Analytics. Require you knowing the smart question to ask and then the the analytics engine being able to show you go find the answer to that question you asked. [17:03] And so you again you could you could put into find rules for what was in that dashboard and what wasn't. What machine learning let you do two analytics is find insights that you weren't smart enough to ask the question for. And so this is already being built into a lot of the traditional analytics product so there is now a beta feature in Google Analytics. Call Google automated insights and essentially instead of you having to define a segment and ask a smart question like. How do mobile users convert versus desktop users or how do first-time visitors convert versus repeat visitors or things like that. [17:43] Google will use machine learning to evaluate all your data, and suggest segments that that are particularly interesting or highlight some unique opportunities for you so it's. The the analytics engine becoming smart enough to ask the smart questions that we aren't smart enough to ask. [18:06] For the first time and that's an example to me if something is pretty exciting in the machine learning space that makes Commerce operators much better. [18:17] So another one that you and I were talking about earlier is this notion of discovering correlations outside of web analytics right so there's there's a lot of. Behavior is in Commerce that that have have. [18:35] Correlations or there's urban legends that that supposably things correlate that might affect how you run your business so I sort of the the, the famous example in e-commerce is weather and you know that type of product you should offer when it's raining versus Sonny and of course all retailers complain about whatever the weather is in playing that that was the reason that their sales were off. And so it's interesting to know what the correlation the real correlation between weather and sales are the famous not obvious correlation that turns out to be Urban myth is, the beer sales correlate very closely to diaper sales. And you go will guys would have those two have in common and it's it's in theory it was that the the dad got sent to the store to get get a new box of diapers and he also of course grabbed a six pack of beer. [19:27] And you mentioned you were using some interesting correlation tools at spiffy. Scot: [19:34] Yes yes sir. My latest company does On Demand Car Wash and detailing and you note small companies still getting off the ground essentially and. So one of our folks was playing around with the Amazon machine learning and the, play the story really is that some of the stuff feels like you have to be a multibillion-dollar company to play with it but we found the Amazon stuff is really approachable we'll put on Lincoln the show notes to took on this model that we used in essentially what you do is you can upload a. Transactional database withing about a really long spreadsheet. Spreadsheet with bunch of transactional data on every row you can put in there what you know about that transaction so obvious things like they OV the skew that kind of stuff in our world of car washing we know the vehicle. We know the location the zip code and some those kinds of things so you know what it's spit out with those really interesting and we also know the weather so. We were just doing this to really kind of. [20:32] Play around with the weather part of it but it was interesting as it said your inversely correlated to the weather which is the first inside it offered which was too obvious when we were looking for so when it's raining no one wants their car washed, but then the next thing it did and it said your model customer drives an American SUV probably Yukon and. [20:51] These are the top three zip codes that are correlated to your sales in Sunny warm weather wow those are things we had never even really. Kind of thought that you could figure out but it it is what it does you can come look at that data. And sniff out these correlations that that human just can't process so in all that is done to a pretty simple you I or you can upload a spreadsheet so, why the stuff feels like it's pretty science-fiction E when you hear about it but that was an example that I wanted to share with listeners where we were able to get some pretty interesting insights just by by using a web-based interface Steven API this with Amazon web. Web stuff. Jason: [21:31] Very cold and so that's that's an actual business user versus a data scientist in that case. Scot: [21:38] Absolutely. Jason: [21:38] Awesome yeah so those are those are great examples other common ones that we run into an in Commerce or around like targeting and best audiences so you know again, we have a lot of data about all the people that have bought from you in the past who you know what are the look-alikes that you should be, see you know buying from Facebook or other ad sources that are potentially most valuable to you you know in other all the marketing activities, that you could be doing for your business which one is going to give you the the best return for the next dollar of marketing spend you have so you know we're seeing these, these machine learning based analytics tools, get really good at defining Target audiences and helping figure out next best dollar sort of related to that are, the ability to do attribution and Roy models so you know, traditionally in in e-commerce we all use this model called the last click attribution which is whatever the last thing that guy did before they bought something, that's the activity that got 100% of the credit for the sale. That's kind of the default model in most of the analytics tools still and too many people use it and it's completely wrong headed. You know that sort of like saying like what's the most valuable thing in my store will it's the cash register cuz everyone uses the cash register read before they buy something. [23:09] The so there are all these other attribution models that give partial credit fractional credit to all the different marketing activities that led up to a purchase in the problem has always been. Will which model you know is most accurate for my business and you had to pick them out all, and you really didn't know if you would pick the right model or not so now with machine learning, the program kind of analyze your data and picks the best attribution model for you and so you know for the first time to your point business users. Using kind of web-based analytics tools can start getting these really sophisticated Roi calculations and customer lifetime value calculations. Without having to be a data scientist that could smartly pick the right attribution model. And then I guess the other area of inside generation that's getting a lot of traction right now. Is this whole notion of sentiment analysis or or more specifically for Commerce will call it social listening right and so that's this. This notion that man you have this fire hose of data of people talking about you on Twitter and Facebook and we chat and. [24:19] You know should I what should I be doing to enhance my reputation are people talking favorably about me or they speaking negatively about me which tweet should I flag for for customer service follow up. In the old world where you just had to have an army of people read all these things to make decisions on all of it it from most companies. The volume with such that it just didn't scale and didn't make sense but now with machine learning you can actually, process the entire fire hose or social media and do a pretty good job of categorizing all of the the dialogue about your brand or product or business into actionable buckets that tell you, you know. Weather weather audiences are looking at you favorably or negatively with it they like your new products are don't like your new products and more specifically what what specific, comments and social media you should be taking action on a responding to to try to improve your your reputation and customer service. [25:22] Assume you're doing all that at spiffy Scot. Scot: [25:25] We're just playing around with some correlations at this point. Jason: [25:28] Nice I wasn't. Scot: [25:30] I think some of the cinnamon stuff some of the Wall Street guys are like reading the Twitter firehose to try to get cinnamints on stocks and things it's I'm not sure that use case but it is pretty nursing. Jason: [25:39] Yeah well I didn't you know once or the interesting one is the. [25:44] Retailers are starting to report less and less data to the analyst which I know irritates the analyst to no end and so they're looking for all sorts of new tools too sore to get a read, like what weather Retailer's quarterly financial performance will be in any of those are these machine learning tools in some cases it's. Taking pictures of parking lots in malls with drones and using those two to evaluate like whether traffic is up or down in the mall and all sorts of interesting things like that. Scot: [26:17] Grateful so that's Insight generation than the second bucket you talked about was business acceleration what are some examples that you seen there. Jason: [26:24] Yeah what's up the classic one that's that's probably the highest Roi today that you see use the most by slightly more sophisticated operators is, the whole machine learning for inventory management in forecasting so you know kind of taking the the, buying a responsibility like out of the hands of the merchant Prince and and you know having them just guess how many of a garment you should make. Or how many you send to each store and instead using the data to sort of accurately tell you, what your inventory level should be in an even more accurately forecast your sales. [27:08] So there's a whole host of retail and e-commerce tools that are focused on using machine learning for inventory management and forecasting. One that I like that is not quite here yet there's some great demos and a number of retailers are testing at Target I know his testing it. Is what we call merchandising compliance. So if you think about a brick-and-mortar store a lot of the displays in that store are paid for by a brand so, Procter & Gamble might buy an end cap for tide and so the tide is supposed to not just be on the Shelf but beyond the end of the shelf and it supposed to get some special signage and Procter & Gamble probably paid a lot of money. For that in Cap Toe to Walmart or Target or whomever and so in the old days when you when you pay that money, you would then hire a bunch of college students or soccer moms, to go visit every store and take a picture of it and send these report cards back to Procter & Gamble to say whether every individual Target store, complied with that merchandising program or not because you're paying a lot of money for it and what you find is in a significant number of stores, they didn't put they didn't execute the in cap are they didn't put the signage out there used to be a stab that like half of the custom, printed signage that gets sent to the stores the merchandising the temporary point-of-purchase displays never got put out on the shelf and so all the brands had to spend a fortune sending these armies of people out up to the stores. [28:46] To measure compliance and what we're seeing now is, you can have a Roomba like some kind of robot that roams the the floors of the store with cameras and takes pictures and uses computer vision to match those those pictures against us, the planet that the planograms that the intended store layouts and you can report on, you know which stores did or didn't comply with those displays and you can take corrective action more quickly and you can save all that money of the Brand's having to spend people out to the stores to measure it. And then you can even use those pictures to tell you when, for example all of the particular SQ of tide is out of stock and not on the Shelf cuz it might be in the in the back room and not on the shelf and obviously in that out of stock situation, you're not selling any tide so so using computer vision for merchandise and compliance, you know is it's still early days but there's a ton of money and friction to be saved by doing that. And one of the expenses will talk about next Amazon go, is it a that's sort of one of the underlined capabilities of Amazon go then Amazon go extends that that. Capability by also letting you check out right so the Amazon go store that we've talked about, uses cameras to take pictures of the shells and know what products are on the Shelf but it's also using cameras to follow the Shoppers and know what Shoppers are holding which products so that it can charge them for those products when they walk out of the store. [30:22] So I would characterize Amazon go as a you know a potential future use case of artificial intelligence for retail. Scot: [30:32] Regal and then what am I favorite examples is the Stitch fix goddess they talk a lot about private label and one of the reasons they came up with private label was they would they would send all these products people. Would buy them but they would say I liked. The strap on this the design of that in the near able to synthesize all that feedback and essentially the machine morning would say you need to produce this garment. Bob for this audience of people tussle bit more about that. Jason: [31:03] Yeah I think that's that's a great use case is serve using machine learning for product selection and product design right soap, going back to the kind of old Merchant Prince model you know the Mickey drexler's of the world would decide what what you note, the design of the shirt is that was in gap or J.Crew and you know, it was as much art as it was science and you don't very often you know they would make good good selections and then sell a lot and then make a lot of money but occasionally they would design something the market didn't want and they. Have a ton of it in stock and lose a fortune so what folks like Stitch Fates are doing a saying hey let's not have Merchants what use the data to tell us what products to, to offer to our customers and eventually not just what products to buy and offered our customers but she's the data to decide what, products to design for our customers and offered them and sew and Stitch fits particular case they have like 60 attributes for every garment so, things you wouldn't think of but like how many inches is the top button from the collar of what's the ratio of the waist to the chest in the in the size 6 what you know what what kind of cuffs does it have what kind of treats does it have their defining each garment at a much more granular level of attributes, and then they're using machine learnings to say what are the combination of those attributes in a woman's blouse that sell the best to which of our customers. [32:35] And so you know originally that use that to the side, Which Wich prod third-party products to carry but more and more of their scent they're using those attributes to Define what products they should manufacture themselves and offer to their customers so it's really replacing the merchant, with with the data and then so instead of having a buyer or Merchant you you have a analyst. Scot: [32:59] Yeah and then the is a good time to kind of Jack the. The thing that gets pretty nursing your out this is when you think about business models you know one of the favorite business models the last 10 years is Network effects so the classic example is on Marketplace like an eBay where. I order more modern would be maybe an Uber where you have supply and demand and more Supply brings more to me into this flywheel effect happens. [33:22] So more drivers brings more writers writers brings more drivers or more sellers bring more buyers Etc. [33:30] I think I think when you start to think alot about this machine learning and II and you use that Stitch fix example that the reason to be able to do that is because they have all this great product data. [33:39] So [33:40] Data becomes almost the Next Generation Network effect so it's almost like this date and network effect where the more data a company can get about consumer behaviour preferences and those kinds of things they're going to have this Edge that no one else has and. [33:55] Yeah I know they're kind of called action I. Usually talk about with retailers are especially Brands is this what you need that connection with the customer because imagine your brand is not signed Direct. All that data is out of your hands right now and you're there will be a day when you will be at a severe strategic disadvantage for developing products I think. Trace how you feel about this if you don't have that direct connection to Consumers and you know also not only as the data. Important baby start flexing your muscles around these things are really understanding how to apply so he's techniques to that data. Jason: [34:28] Absolutely and in so I think you're exactly right with most of the current state-of-the-art machine learning models the big competitive Advantage is, having the data set to train the model and so the more customer interactions you have the more data you have the better model you'll be and the better you're able you be able to serve more customers into your point, you the better your flywheel will be right. An end so that's that's true for a lot of these these different cases and specifically with the manufacturer versus retailer it's. Once this data becomes key you start thinking about whoever owns that relationship with a customer has, access to a way more valuable asset so like one of the examples I always like to use as the tire industry and you think about the the tire manufacturers of the world, for the most part they have no idea what kind of vehicle in what ZIP codes, there their tires getting installed on and they don't know how the tire the the customers use those tires and have no idea for example how long those tires, last on specific vehicles in specific geographies, I'm in so they know they know very few Out reviews about their Tire once it leaves the factory but a good retail that installs those tires on the car can start collecting all these extra attributes, how many miles are on the car what kind of car is it that how frequently do they change their brake pads what ZIP code do they does the car live in and all the sorts of things and that retailer can start using those attributes of that data. [36:03] To start doing things like much more accurately predicting which Tire will work best for which customer on which vehicle in which geography, and said they're all sorts of interesting things that come into play there and so if you are that that, product manufacturer tire manufacturer whatever like one of your big strategic challenges right now is to figure out how, to start developing that relationship direct with a customer so you can be capturing that data. [36:36] In the business acceleration and I want to talk about that a little bit more and some of the customer engagement things but there are a couple other business acceleration ones that we should probably just touch on one that's getting used a lot right now is. The idea of tagging or evaluating text, so tons of brands have a lot of texts about their products that they someone typed into a super old database that they used to print the packaging that goes in the store, but the Torah conversation about attributes earlier that wasn't structured data like someone wasn't smart enough to say, we should have a field for whether all these snacks are Kosher or not and we should have the field to say whether all these next are gluten-free or not right like kosher and gluten-free might have just appeared in a, text description somewhere in so there tons of product manufacturers that have, piles of this unstructured data that isn't very useful for machine learning it isn't very useful for search and filtering and all these use cases that are super common in e-commerce and so what you know you either have to, pay a bunch of copywriters to read all your unstructured text and cut and paste it into fields, or you can start using these machine learning models to automatically tag your data and turn unstructured data into valuable attributes. And one of those common when is pictures right so you imagine that you're in a product category that's heavily uploaded to Pinterest or Instagram. [38:10] You don't know very much about those pictures which which you of yours is in that picture is it being portrayed with a man or woman, is it being for traded a beach or a ski chalet and all these different things that would be interesting to help you decide when to use that image the. Machine learning can tag all of those images and make them much more valuable in in all of your Commerce experiences. [38:37] So we're trying to see that a lot a common one that's being used right now is almost all of the latest fraud engines. Are using machine learning so this is a classic example where. You know fraud used to be a set of static rules so you would write rules if people try to shop our side in the US from Nigeria we won't let them shop and if they. Try to ship the product to a hotel we won't let them by that. And with machine learning we can be much smarter about what attributes. Trigger a secondary screen for fraud and what that does is it gives you weigh less false positives. So you're able to sell a lot more Goods to a lot more people and not offend them by by treating them like their prospective criminal when they've done nothing wrong, and said that the fraud models are both getting much better at catching fraud but equally important they're getting far fewer false positives as a result of using, this machine learning instead of a set of hard-and-fast rules one of the business accelerations that that Amazon has particularly made famous. Is the whole field of price optimization. And so you know I obviously you don't we talk a lot on the show about Amazon changing 2.5 million prices a day and they're there. Their approach is much more sophisticated than just being the lowest price on everything right like they're there a strategic low price provider and you know more and more of that, it's not possible to to just write a set of rules about what your pricing for every product out of be in so you're starting to see retailers. [40:14] Turn over the keys to their pricing models to these sophisticated machine learning systems that optimize price and optimize promotions and offers for individual customers and unity earlier Network effect point, those models are most powerful when you're you know at the high end of the volume and you have a ton of transactions and a ton of skews to apply those models against. Scot: [40:41] Yan is a reminder we had a guest Andrea who was on and relay and she was talking about how. A lot of times even a vendor's negotiating with a robot on the other side and Y episode there's not only are they optimizing the price the consumer sees but there no that's feeding into some engine that then kind of coming back to the vendor and saying you need to price the product at this. Jason: [41:00] Absolutely and so you know I think Amazon is kind of the gold standard in in Commerce for that and see you're seeing a lot of other like when you, to your point when you had to have a thousand data scientist to write your own pricing on rhythm, you know that that was a huge advantage to the people the top of the echo system like Amazon but. Today you know it is easier to buy an off-the-shelf model, that you just have to have enough data to feed so there's there's vendors out there like Boomerang which are every bit as sophisticated as Amazon's pricing engine but you know it's available too much smaller operators. You know as long as there they have enough data to put into the model and so that super interesting. At the moment the big challenge you have is how do brick-and-mortar retailers do that sort of real-time price optimization like it's pretty easy to change the price. [41:57] You know from second to second on Amazon it's much harder when there's a paper price tag next to that product. And it's on the Shelf in the store so that's that's an interesting organic when we're going to continue to see play out. Another one that I am azaan is particularly great at is this whole notion of logistics optimization. So once you're bigger than a single Warehouse you start getting you know all these issues about what's the optimum Mount of inventory have in each warehouse and where should you put all that product where is going to be most efficient to get to the most of your customers. And if you're wrong about that that whole supply chain planning you can cuss yourself a fortune moving products around or shipping products inefficiently to customers. And so using machine learning to optimize how many excused and which fuse go into each Warehouse. Is super important in you know when your Amazon and you have what do they have now Scot 112 fulfillment center something like that. Scot: [42:59] Yep thereabouts. Jason: [43:01] Yeah that that becomes a. A critical challenge an Amazon spray the only one that has the problem at that scale and they're also probably the only ones that have the solution at that scale. And then I guess the last business acceleration one that you know I don't think we're going to see immediately but gets talked about a lot is. Like obviously all the technology to get that drone to your house to deliver the goods. Is a great example of of something you can only do with artificial intelligence so if we ever see drone delivery be economical for certain customers like that you know that that will be exclusively enabled by. Buy artificial intelligence and machine learning and I would remind listeners whenever I say drone people always imagine these super expensive flying things, we are also starting to see a lot of wheelbase drones and so there's an interesting Pilots going on in in San Francisco and then, Maryland right now with with the drones that are sort of autonomous vehicles that drive on sidewalks and deliver things like pizza and stuff. [44:10] So I'm excited about renting a house in one of those markets and get a drone pizza delivery. Scot: [44:16] Call Sears a lot in the business acceleration in the country cap that sounds more like. [44:23] Cost savings um I guess there's some that impacts the customer experience but the next bucket is where you probably would customers are going to feel it the most which is what you're calling customer engagement. Jason: [44:34] Exactly and this is the stuff that that tends to be the most sexy it's the most visible to customers and, you know there a lot of things in this category that have their own buzz and then their own own spot in the hype cycle at the moment so one that we talked about a lot or natural language assistance and so that's, you know Siri Cortana Echo, Google home all of those sorts of things and you know if you if you think about them they're actually an amalgamation of multiple a Technologies right like so there's this this notion of being able to convert speech, into data and so their natural language processing and then there's the notion of being able to to. Act on those the sentences, and give proper responses and so that's the notion of virtual assistants right and so you you have a lot of these things that are like you speak to like Siri, you have a lot of virtual agents that you type to a chat box on Facebook and things like that. And you know there's an explosion between those two categories of The Voice assistance and the virtual assistants in in e-commerce at the moment. [45:53] If you tried any of the the virtual agents Jets Scot you think any of them are ready for primetime. Scot: [45:59] Now the ones I've tried pretty cheesy and there if you stay with them they're pretty unsatisfying they can't answer most your questions until they kick over to a human 20 minutes better. [46:14] I'm not believing this are quite there yet. Jason: [46:16] No and so it is funny because what what we're seeing is, customers definitely want customer service via chat and Via messenger and so it's, a mistake to say oh my gosh the chatbots are kind of not ready for Primetime and so it just hire more phone reps and do everything via phone cuz we're seeing strong indications that customers are less. Tolerant to sit on a hold line and do something asynchronous like like a talk to someone on the phone, but it's same time you're right like the virtual agents really aren't cutting it yet at the moment and so where The Sweet Spot is are our live humans at the other end of those, does chat and SMS strings and I guess the best virtual agents I've seen our kind of maybe just one layer deep and they they. [47:06] The answer some of the the highest velocity questions and they sort of act as a filter to make those those live agents more efficient by not having them have to answer the same question over and over again. Scot: [47:18] Yeah and they're smart enough to know when to get out of the way that kind of say hey did you are you looking to track a package oh I'm sorry let me write you to a human. Jason: [47:27] Exactly right and well that. Scot: [47:28] Once again a doing there like you know big kind of walk you through of of Sky knowledge-based relentlessly. Jason: [47:35] The best ones are seamless right and and unfortunately like too many of them you know keep fighting to try to keep you in the virtual realm and you know it some point you you stop asking an honest questions and you're just trying to figure out how to. How to bypass it. So another sort of adjacent thing that we're starting to see more of in customer engagement is this whole notion of Discovery and guided selling and so one of the, the ones that got the most bus here is, North Face uses the Watson implementation to have sort of a guided selling tool for jackets 800-Flowers has a guided selling experience for for gift giving, and, you know I'm a little bit you know I have similar feelings to the guy that selling tools at the moment that you you had to the virtual agents I think the idea of them is very interesting and I I certainly agree. We need to get way better at Discovery and helping people find new products but a lot of the guided selling tools I've seen at the moment just feel to linear and scripted and I'm not sure. The there there yet recommending products a heck of a lot better than then you don't sort of us structured set of rules used to last year. [48:58] So that the next one in customer engagement is one and I may have even have to go back this may have been one of my predictions so I'm going to type it again in the hopes that it helps my my annual prediction come true. One of the cool Technologies in artificial intelligence is computer vision and being able to. To process images and more more often process video to get insights out of out of that image data. And so one of the the most common use cases for that is tagging images that we talked about him business acceleration but the other way more sexy one is visual search. So that's Amazon Firefly being able to take a picture of a product. And then order it or you know even cooler use case is. Via an app like camfind being able to take a picture of the woman at the table next to you with the cool handbag and find that handbag for sale or those shoes and that's kind of the whole notion of this see it by it kind of experience. Scot: [50:02] Yeah isn't a lot of people say Pinterest is one of the better ones out there do you know what they're using under the hood for that is it is it some machine learning kind of. Jason: [50:12] Exactly and they rolled it out that, Pinterest to Lynn's they ruled that out relatively recent like so it's probably only about three months old at this point if memory serves, and that's a great example it's not products Pacific yet so it's, it helps you find similar images to the image or looking at there are some more sort of Commerce e ones I mentioned camfind is one company will talk about a couple other visual search companies at the end of the podcast that the, that the whole field of visual search I would just tell people is getting phenomenally better and so for years we talked about natural language getting. Twice as good every year and last year the natural language interfaces essentially surpassed human comprehension so the, the computers can now more accurately understand spoken words than an average human being and that's you not forgetting the fact that the computers can also understand. People in a bunch of other languages in the same sort of evolution is happening in visual search there's a an academic contest for visual search engines that the several of the universities including Stanford put on every year and the winning visual search engine, is twice as good every year as the year before and so the quality of visual search is doubling every year, so if you look at some of the best use cases right now they're already pretty impressive and you go oh man this is already useful today and if you think about the fact that they're getting twice as good every year. [51:42] You know we're very close to visual search being a super powerful tool and that's going to eliminate a lot of the friction we see in stores where people try to get you to, use NFC tags or scan QR codes or do things like that like imagine a future when you just hold your phone up to the Isle in a store, in the phone sees every product on that aisle and it visually recognizes all of them and maybe it even reads the price tag off the shelf for each one of them and it can you know instantly highlight for you, what's a good deals are in that store and what you'd be better off buying from an e-commerce site at home. Scot: [52:18] In an one thing that's interesting about this is part of the Renaissance on the visual side is it's tied to video games so you know as as people's demands for video games of higher the. The game processors that they're these high-end floating-point machines I've got more sophisticated than ends up that's a great platform for vision in. [52:42] Incognitive I think but I hear it more used for the vision stuff. So it's interesting is now is part of like AWS Amazon's leasing out you can actually lease out gpus Witcher game processing units, I end up as the cost of those is come down it's it's made this video stuff get even smarter so there's a hardware part of this that's pretty neat so this stuff is. You're not only is the machine getting smarter because the amount of data is going up but there's also Moore's law on the back end helping it as well. Jason: [53:10] Absolutely and the kind of math that all of these machine learning models use is the kind of math that that I think technically their Graphics processing units not game processing but, yeah but their primary you were right they were invented for games for sure in our friends at Nvidia like being a prime example the, that that the kind of math that those chips are good at is the kind of math the machine learning uses and so that is one of the gating factors for machine learning getting better is having access to big, server Farms of these gpus and and to your point all the big vendors of of cloud computing you know that's the new Battleground is, you know not not CPUs and cores but the gpus. And what's that that's really enable to Renaissance in machine learning that these academics can now rent. Like these these amazing supercomputers for short periods of time to run their experiments and refine their models. Another one that that's super common in this is like a classic example of. Making an existing technology better as opposed to enabling a new capability like visual searches enabling a new capability but obviously a core function of every e-commerce engine is it search function and, the, that search has gone incrementally better every year but it's a largely gotten better because we put better data into the search so we put more attributes into the surge the. [54:41] The underlying technology for deciding which product is most relevant to which user hasn't changed a heck of a lot in the last five or 10 years and machine learning is now like the first big incremental Improvement to, to search in a long time and the way to think about this is the results, of search that are most relevant to you based on all your past purchases and behavior are probably different than the search results that are most relevant to me, and so using machine learning they can say hey what's every search result I've given to every customer, and which ones are the search results had successful purchase experiences in the ends and which ones didn't, and what did the customers look like that had those successful purchase results and now you know we can personalize search much more to each use or, based on everything we know about them and make search much more effective and relevant that it's ever been before. [55:42] But that's a classic one we've always had search engines now every search vendor saying their search engine is machine learning based, and that really you know you can't just look at that label and say oh that's the new search engine to get like what you really need to do is test the search engine and make sure it's going to work, better for your audience and with your your product catalog in that that goes double for this next category, recommendation engines so you know we can take recommendation engines for granted at this point like there's so many out there and and you know for a while there's been kind of parody of these, these recommendation engines but but you know it don't lose sight of how powerful these things are, you know a few years ago we saw some data that 75% of all the views on Netflix were driven by product recommendations and this is pretty old now but back in 2013 there was a leak, that 35% of all the revenue from Amazon came from the those product recommendation tiles and I believe the, the plug recommendation tiles and Amazon emails were even higher converting than the ones on the product detail pages and so recommendations are super important and of course using machine learning, you it should be no surprise for listeners at this point you can make recommendations much more personalized and effective for each customer, then sort of static rule-based recommendation engines that are that are kind of the norm that are out there now. [57:16] So that I'm going to go a little faster cuz I know we're going to come up on time here pretty quick, Annette's category that super interesting in the apparel business returns or are crushing cost, and most of the returns are result of fitment issues so something wasn't the size you expected or didn't fit the way you wanted and Source turn to see machine learning get used, 4 to solve fitment problem so in the old world Zappos tighter going to buy two sizes of shoes that guaranteed one was coming back in that was super expensive so now what you want to do is use data about all the attributes, to accurately recommend the size and maybe even remind a customer that they bought another size before and it fit better in the order they bought this size before and had to return it, tell people get the right size the first time, and avoid buying stuff you're also seeing this get tied in with visual search where you're actually using the camera to help measure the size of the customer and then match that to fitment data tell them by the right stuff so watts of stuff, in machine learning happening around fitment and return avoidance, the whole General filled the personalization this is really hard to shop for right now cuz every vendor is hyping all kinds of new new artificial intelligence and machine learning, capabilities and it's really hard to separate the hype from the reality with all those products but it certainly is true that machine learning, generates more personalized experiences and so there's tons and tons of new vendors out there in that space you know folks they're still in loyalty programs and retention programs are those can be dramatically improved by Machine learning so we're starting to see the first generation of machine learning based loyalty programs. [59:01] And that's kind of the the main use cases that we talked about right now and in customer engagement. Scot: [59:08] Got it okay so does summarize what got three buckets Insight generation and that's kind of. [59:16] I think of that is like next Generation analytics so so analytics that not just Splats data but comes up with insights, business acceleration and that was things that that help you save money improve your forecasting pricing in even practice on, in the customer engagement which are the more forward front-office things are going to improve the user experience learn more about your customers and give him a better experience, people are interested in this soap so first of all. Maybe lay out a lil road map so so a listener is a omni-channel retailer Dave. Get out there like a lot going on in their world right now where does this fall into part ization and where are some places they can nibble and then where do you recommend they go for more information. Jason: [1:00:04] Yeah so in terms of what your focus should be like you know my high-level advised is ignore the labels don't go look for an AI product but instead look at the list that we just gave you and will put it in the show notes and say, which of those things do we feel like we're most efficient at and we're leaving the most money on the table like art, are you know we not making good decisions about who our audiences are and how we should Target our advertising or we not making good decisions about our pricing or we're paying too much for fraud, or are we in or not doing a good enough job of helping customers discover the right products and add more cards to the more more skews to their cards, and you know our returns to high-dose or two things and so focus on your biggest pain points, and then say alright you know what Solutions out there are using machine learning Technologies to best address that pain point so that would be my sort of, high-level advice and then in terms of specific vendors if you're going to build your own solution, they're they're sort of a 4 horse race for the underlying Technologies for all of these machine learning capabilities and as you sort of alluded to in your experience at spiffy they, none of these vendors require you to be data scientist anymore so they all are like pretty easy tools you probably still have to be a programmer cuz these are mostly api's that you rent, but it's really a 4 horse race it's four of the big vendors, all have these big stacks of AI capabilities that you can rent by the drink in there the really inexpensive in you. [1:01:41] Add them to your own product so if you're going to hire your own programmer to develop any of these experiences that the first one is IBM with their Watson technology and will put links to all four of these, these Platforms in the show notes one that people don't necessarily think of but is hugely competitive in the spaces Google and they they have the division called Google Cloud, platform services and they they have a bunch of api's for machine learning, they actually invented one of the underlying machine learning models called tensorflow and they've open-sourced it so they they have a lot of great tensorflow Solutions on a gcp but you'll also find other vendors now offering tensorflow because it's become so popular, Microsoft has a complete set of cognitive api's under the there as your services and then as you mentioned, Amazon has a complete set of AI capabilities that are part of AWS and. You know they're all kind of analogous like you'll find basically the same set of api's from all of them you'll find a, a computer vision Library you'll find a sentiment Library you'll find a natural language processing Library a text to speech Library you'll find all these these Legos of machine learning capabilities that you snap together yourself one that's kind of fun that I will highlight specifically for Amazon, is one of their Legos is called the destiny and it's spelled, goofy it's dsstne and that's the actual product recommendation engine from the Amazon. [1:03:14] Website that they added to AWS last year so you you can actually use, the very system that Amazon juzang and we mention this network effect, it's a huge advantage to be able to get a recommendation engine that's trained by Amazon already cuz you're benefiting from their network of fat. So that that's pretty interesting and then I would highlight that there's some more Niche vendors, there are vendors that as opposed to giving you a low-level API have sort of crafted complete machine language capabilities. Specific for Commerce vendors and so again I'll put them in the show notes but six that come up a lot there's a company called Wiggle, it has one of these machine language based search engines that we talked about in the customer experience portion, there's a company called sentient AI, that has really powerful visual search capability they also have some pretty interesting personalization recommendation engines, there's a company called clarify that that has visual search including video which is super interesting if you're someone that, produces a lot of content on YouTube, the we mentioned the robots that take pictures of the shelves so that's a company called simbi Robotics and they have the, tally robot that dumb Target is testing there's another company at a Stanford called focal systems that have the. [1:04:45] Computer vision library for doing inventory and then luminoso is one of the companies that has a specific machine language based analytics platform for Commerce and so, there's there's many many more vendors out there but those are sort of six interesting ones to look at to get you started. Scot: [1:05:03] Yes it's it seems like. And I don't mean to hang up on this but when when I was in e-commerce person just got thinking about our listeners here and I used to buy a solution know you would look at kind of feature benefit. Kind of analysis and cost and all that kind of stuff it seems like machine learning in some of these things add this like other dimension that's only important which is data so says you look at these Solutions. Yeah it's really important to understand. Is this going to operate just on my data is is my data going to be enough to really get a big get big enough bang for the buck cuz I think we're going to see his new models where you're sharing data with other people on a platform. But then you also need to be pretty cognizant about that because this is really important and watch will property you have and once it gets into these Platforms in his learned. Even when you leave and take your data the learning stay so it's really interesting kind of a way to think about things you kind of. As a user of vendor you want a lot of access to data but then you almost don't want your date at a time be. [1:06:07] In there in the system to use example let's say your. I don't know sorry blaktroniks train the system on on whatever recommendation Electronics now you switch vendors will that. Now competitor switch is there did you start using that now they've they've got a solution to spend trained on your data. Also you know it's pretty interesting that you mentioned Amazon example where it comes kind of pre learned if you will I don't know if that's the right. Verbage pre-trained maybe better in any advice on how people should think about that element of these Solutions. Jason: [1:06:43] Will know I think you have hit the nail on the head it's the wild west time Electro property and so your, you're exactly right li

PROJECTS A Sixteen:Nine Podcast
Allied Reit - Mirmir's Well

PROJECTS A Sixteen:Nine Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 22, 2017 30:55


  Every year Toronto hosts "Scotiabank Nuit Blanche" an overnight art event that takes place across the entire city. In 2015 SapientNitro (now SapientRazorfish) had just moved into their new offices and worked with their landlord, Allied Reit, to come up with something interesting for the lobby of the building. The idea they came up with was 'Mimir's Well', a very old story about the Norse God Oldin, who sacrificed his eye to drink from Mirmir's Well and gain the wisdom and memory of the nine worlds. Using Kinect technology, Unity 3D animation and parametric speakers guests stepping up to one of the nine sides of the exhibition were met with screens showing their own reflections, which soon morphed them into an animal of Norse lore.As visitors experimented with their newly adopted forms, sound enveloped them while their surroundings transformed into one of the nine Norse worlds. I spoke with Graham Ameron, who is Associate Creative Director at SapientRazorfish, about the technology and thinking behind this 12 hour installation. Subscribe to this podcast: iTunes * Google Play * RSS 

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP088 - PwC Partners Steven Barr and Byron Carlock

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2017 52:19


EP088 - PwC Partners Steven Barr and Byron Carlock Steve Barr (@Steven_J_Barr) is a partner in the Consumer Markets practice at PwC, and sits on the NRF Board of Trustees.  Byron Carlock is a partner who leads the Real Estate practice at PwC.  We sat down with Steve and Byron to talk about the current state of the US retail market and what the future may look like. In this interview, we discuss, Mallageddon, Omnichannel, Grocery, Mobile, and of course Amazon. PwC Consumer Markets Homepage PwC Real Estate Homepage Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 88 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Thursday, June 15, 2017. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of ChannelAdvisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing.   New beta feature - Google Automated Transcription of the show: Transcript Jason:  [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this episode is being recorded on Thursday June 15th 2017 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your Cohoes Scot Wingo. Scot, Steve, And Byron:  [0:39] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason is got show listeners, Jason tonight we have two guests on the show that are going to help us better understand some of the retail and real estate dynamics that we've been talking about here in 2017 first we have Steve bar Steve is an over 20 year veteran of pricewaterhousecoopers which I'll call PWC from here on out, where he is focused on the consumer Market Steve is a frequent for contributor on topics around retail Brands and cpg he's also on the Board of Trustees for an RF, we also have Byron Carlock and he is the national partner and real estate practice leader with PWC and Works close to the Steve to understand physical retail Trends and how they impact commercial real estate industry he's been at PWC since 2012 welcome Steve and Byron. [1:28] Thank you John long long time listener first-time caller. Jason:  [1:34] We are excited to have you guys on the show and we always like to get things started by giving a listeners a little bit of a perspective about your backgrounds and how you came into your rolls so maybe Steve we can start with you you want to tell us how you got here. Scot, Steve, And Byron:  [1:49] Yeah it's good it's really great to be with you so I leave the consumer markets practice at pricewaterhousecoopers which includes our retail practice are consumer packaged Goods practice. And our travel and tours and practice. The practice includes our advisory Consulting business and our traditional audit and tax practice I've spent my entire career focused primarily in the retail and consumer space and like I said I'm glad to be with you tonight. Jason:  [2:18] Traffic in Byron. Scot, Steve, And Byron:  [2:20] Sure and I'm on Byron Carlock I leave the national real estate practice I came to the firm from industry five years ago. And spent the first half of my career with the Trammell Crow family a prominent real estate family based in Texas with many companies in the various. Real estate categories of office retail multifamily. Hospitality industrial and then I ran three routes for a sponsor before coming to the farm. I also lead the practice across our lines of Services of. Assurance tax and advisory my jobs almost as fun as Steve's but I'm more the dirt guy and so I'm watching our industry go through an interesting metamorphosis especially in the retail category. [3:10] Awesome well as the the dirt guy Byron let me kick it off to you and you know so 2017 is you've been an issue for a while and I've got a majun this is kind of, what is the most brutal years you seen us as relates to Store retail you seen over 5000 stores announced that are closing this year we've had folks on the podcast that say we can get to 10000, and you're in that Plies Mall closures in the 20 to 30% range over the next two years, watch County help us frame it giving your long exposure to the market and in the physical retail side how, what are you seeing out there is it the worst year you ever seen in and any other pontifications would love to hear. [3:51] Sure I'm going to put it in more of an evolutionary disruption time frame because I think it's very interesting to sit back and realize. The 90% of retail sales still happen in brick-and-mortar. And so although e-commerce is the fastest-growing phenomena in retail it's still only 10%. Of the total spend and so what happens in brick and mortar is very important. And certainly worth watching and you're right the store closures are going to be big we can get 7700 somewhere around in there so you're right between 5 and 10000 and the square footage vacated you know in the tens of millions of square feet. But what's interesting for the real estate. [4:36] For the Realtek perspective is on that which is vacated it's an offer it's an opportunity for landlords to rehab and reposition. Answer there's National articles you know this week in the Wall Street Journal talking about. The mall might not have any retailers in it and some of the different uses that that real estate is finding as landlords reposition the real estate. So I'm coming at it from a bit more bullish perspective from the brick-and-mortar perspective in that I think we'll see New Uses even though those vacancies will. [5:16] Eradicate certain retail Concepts week we refer to sometimes as the mediocre in the middle. [5:24] Got it 60 what's your take on kind of where we are from a 30000 foot kind of you. It's interesting one of the things Byron and I chat about frequently is the question of whether were over stored or under demolished in life what I, yeah and what I mean by that is there are some great properties and some great locations. I really just don't have the right retail for for today's consumer. Transformation there is no question and you guys wouldn't have any back on the show if we didn't acknowledge that. There is some significant headwinds for certain retailers but we have a number of our clients and I'll lean with Byron toward some level of optimism because the number of our clients. Or investing in some very unique properties focusing on. Experience and press partnering in ways that might be non-traditional from a historical standpoint but really connect with with today's consumer. Jason:  [6:34] Yes what's really interesting you know I feel like I am definitely on your guy side of the fence as a pro brick-and-mortar guy Scott is really the, the digital doom-and-gloom guy on the cough but I think even he concedes that the brick-and-mortar is going to continue to be a really important part of the mix I will say however that, I do start getting nervous cuz you mentioned that average, 10% of sales are online in a lot of segments that are important like particularly in the malls. [7:06] That that percentage is more like 15 or 20% and 15 or 20% feels like an inflection point when it can really disrupt a category. [7:16] Yeah do you think we're going to see some some actual category disruption or do you think it's just going to be the the weakest players in each of those categories that that we see go away. Scot, Steve, And Byron:  [7:27] Steve began alluding to it's all about the experience so it's that category. Can create an experience in a reason for someone to be on the showroom in the store and experiencing the product and learning about it then that disruption can be stalled if not why why take the time out of your busy schedule to get. And so the consumer needs a reason to be welcomed into the store and feel as though it's a worthwhile experience. [7:54] Yeah and I guess I would have to serve two thoughts the first would be you know in addition to the numbers you shared we're actually seeing. Many of our clients have their. Or their their direct businesses grow. 20 to 30% in the end in fact as you both know well. Some have even grown in the in the 40 50% range and something that said we called the last two holidays. And you know those have come true so we're seeing there's no question we're seeing the massive shift. The other point I would make and having listened to your show for quite some time I know when I open up the topic of omni-channel. I think there's a lot of people that talk about on the channel and I don't think many retailers are are are doing that well. But I do feel as if the retailers are on a continuous journey of improvement. And some of the retailers are starting to do it well but I continue to be very disappointed with. With many of the store base retailers often my family gets tired of shopping with me because often what I do is I walk into the store. You know what I'm doing, my work thinks and I walk as if I'm just any consumer and trying to feel is it what's what's that experience for me if I've done things like buy online pickup in-store and I continue. [9:30] Be amazed at how many stores make it very inconvenient for, the consumer to really have that buy online pickup in-store experience difficult to find a parking spot, if I have an impulse purchase or a different need there isn't a separate checkout Lanes sometimes it's very hard to find the the, the pickup spot within the store and so we really do need to see the Retailer's transform at the store level, and counterbalance, the convenience that comes with online shopping but like I said I think some are starting to do it well and others, if they don't do it you know I think they're going to add to that list of of dead banners bankruptcies and store closures. Jason:  [10:22] Yeah it it is shocking how much bad omni-channel there still is out there I know I have the luxury of living a few blocks from an Amazon bookstore and so I'm a horrible person, but my soda pass time when I have too much free time on my hands is just to try to go return Amazon purchases at the bookstore. Scot, Steve, And Byron:  [10:42] Yeah and what's your experience. Jason:  [10:44] That they don't accept returns from Amazon it's me just being mean but are there any retailers you think of that you would point to as a sort of shining beacons of really taking advantage of the wrecking water footprint and doing omni-channel well. Scot, Steve, And Byron:  [10:59] Yeah I can think of several I don't know if we're allowed to mention particular client names. Excuse me particular company names but yes there are some they're doing extremely well that make sure you feel like you are welcomed into the store almost as a treasured guests because they know your time starved they know you want special service. Play make you feel like your visit was worthwhile. [11:22] No I mean I don't know I mean for example and I'll give you a couple cuz I think sometimes we can think we can speak in terms of examples but you know what Gucci is doing at the upper end this year. Is a game-changer and when you go in the store and you see something you like you better get it because if you don't get it it may not be there tomorrow. Limited production runs with the special embroidery while statements that become interesting accessories to any outfit. [11:52] It's really a fun experience at the designer level. [11:56] Even all the way down to HomeGoods in a perch who you go in and get to see demonstrations in the cooking kitchen or in the luxury bathroom. And you think wow I want to live like that. And so when you see those experiences that make the product come alive it makes your store visitation worthwhile. [12:19] Now if it's a roll of toilet paper. Are bath soap or laundry detergent the commodity stuff is going to be sold on price and convenient. [12:32] An empire in what would I would add to that is you know so often when we talked about how many Channel I think there's a focus of it being. The online transaction store but also we see some retailers doing an extraordinary job of if I'm in store and they don't have the style or size that I'm looking for, several of the leading retailers are able to access their inventory real-time often with a handheld device. Somewhere you know exactly where I'm shopping and in many cases you know make a commitment to me. How to get that old to The Shopper overnight or if you're in a large urban area in many cases on same day and. Bonobos is an example of that is extraordinary I often go into markets. And two tours in a recent Market visit. Explain that I was shopping or just doing the tour and what was staying at a hotel and didn't want to carry bags and they made a commitment to me that. By the time I was back at my hotel room in Times Square that they would have a package waiting for me so I think it's important to think of, omni-channel you know going going both ways but some some are doing it well. But that also means then that some aren't doing it well and what's especially challenging as same-store sales Decline and there's significant deferred maintenance from Information Systems. [14:14] And investment in store associates in others it almost becomes self-fulfilling for those retailers that just don't have the resources to get it done and that's why I think this is going to be a balance of. The winners are going to continue to win and as Byron a said you'll being stuck in the middle or I would say you know being a struggling retailer. Really something transformational is going to happen or we are going to continue to see a decline but I I do believe those clear winners are there there's no question that they're very bullish on, specific real estate in specific markets at very strategic specifically. Jason:  [14:56] Yeah I would definitely agree Steve I think is you alluded to a lot of the. [15:01] The most successful omni-channel experiences with Chompers really require excellent. [15:09] In-store inventory accuracy in so if we see a lot of retailers investing right now in New processes and Technologies and systems to get that that inventory much more accurate so they can use it in a lot more customer experiences. [15:24] Another Trend that I think is interesting an omni-channel I'm curious if either of you have any thoughts. We now seen a couple retailers kind of announced that they're redesigning stores around these omni-channel flows so target has a new store model I don't think they've open one yet but that literally has sort of a. [15:44] A separate entrance for the fast visit you no pickup Goods type stuff. [15:50] And that entrance is literally you know more convenient and separate from the the the full brows customer and I know. [15:59] Starbucks already has a prototype store in their corporate headquarters that's a pure Order ahead pick up in in Branch experience where you literally can't order in in the store. [16:11] Do you see those kinds of trans catching some some wind. Scot, Steve, And Byron:  [16:15] And I do know they're working at work harder at making it easier to return. [16:31] Yeah and end, it's actually great example and the reference I made a little little more subtly earlier was it was actually you know to the Target Model by the way I would say is, I'm in a worse thing several of the mass Merchants so you know Walmart and Target really begin to execute. Very well in the store I think those companies would would say there's always an opportunity for continuous Improvement but I think they're realizing, the Strategic imperative, to improve that experience and I'm quite optimistic that the leading retailers are are going to be able to pull it off in fact I think you know I think we're going to start to see, even greater separation but I would expect those retailers, and a few others to to separate themselves and and and do it quite well what will what will be interesting. Will be you know at what page can they do that because. This isn't just about you know onesies and twosies there they're going to have any of these retailers no specific brand they're going to have to transform these stores. Very rapidly. Happened to listen to your most recent podcast and I think that you know the conversation around the period of time that some have forecasted that it might take to transform. You know the Sears locations as as they close United quite an extended time arises I don't think there's enough time to do it at that pace and. [18:05] And he's going to have to make decisions that we're going to have to accelerate this and transform the in-store experience immediately. To continue to stay relevant to smash especially with Amazon. And look while I'm intrigued by how Amazon is is disrupting our world. I'm continuing to be curious at what point will Amazon be disruptive and end. Folk music may think you know I'm a bit crazy because we've seen them as the the disruptor. [18:43] Will the time come when Alibaba and you know enter the US market or will the time come when some transformational player we've seen it in retail and sometimes it's a very long life cycle. [18:55] I really can't stress enough the need for retailers. To accelerate that pace of change and even for the disruptors to continue to disrupt themselves, so thanks for bringing up the the a word it wouldn't be a Jason and Scott show that kind of talk a little bit about Amazon let's take the angle Steve will start with you and then I want you to chime in so, it sounds like your recommendation retailers this to innovate and stay in front and Amazon could be disrupted the what about Brands I know you guys talked to a lot of brands with what do you say to Brands when they're, you know when they're saying hey what what should we do about Amazon and we see people that have a spectrum of their evil adult partner up at all all the way to Univera deep Partnerships with. Curious how you advise folks on them yeah it's Steve I'll go first and Byron if you want to jump in. The age-old question here is that that question of Channel conflict right and not only. For for their own branded stores but in many cases for their Retail Partners from a wholesale perspective and. I'm not sure there's anyone right answer depending on the category I get much of my Amazon information from you two gentlemen. But we know well that as they've entered certain private label categories. [20:26] Steve quickly gas is Amazon a quickly gained a significant market share in a number of categories and I think the the most recent Mary Meeker internet Trends presentation which was fascinating. Was one at one of the latest examples where they talked about Amazon share with batteries and I think the other category she mentioned it was. In the in the baby category so Brands I don't think there's anyone right answer but I think I can tell you this. Our clients are struggling with what to do and how to do it like they're all coming up with. Individual Solutions some are arguing that just like a regular wholesale partner and others are looking to. Come up with unique School offerings and product that not only for Amazon but for there are other wholesale partners and then for their own branded stores. And I think we're going to continue to see folks have that dilemma and as we know there are a number of luxury players or some. Unique players whether it be lvmh or Birkenstock or others that have made choices of not partnering with Amazon or. Disengaging from pretzel prior partnership with Amazon so an interesting Trends to watch but I don't think there is a single answer that it applies to any category Byron I welcome your thoughts. No I think the biggest. The big disruptor to watch there's Walmart I think their acquisition of jet.com and their rationalization of that business into their retail model is the game changer as a southerner you know going to Walmart as a spiritual experience. [22:08] And to make that experience convenient. For those that want to do it over the Internet only broadens their ability to compete head-to-head with Amazon and so I think that's worth watching and when they make returns exchanges and pick up the. Everything like that convenient in the store think about all the distribution Outlets that they've already got on the ground in your neighborhood. [22:34] That make that experience all the easier because I think that's the one who watches the disrupter for the big a in, one thing I've been mean nasty from a commercial real estate perspective here in our region the warehouse kind of segment is really heated up as as e-commerce has grown it is is that a national thing is they're kind of a Spider-Man in balance for that warehouse type space that, it's important for that that amazon-like experience. [23:00] Yes I need for three years running in our emerging Trends publication industrial has been the leading product category and it's obviously, driven by the demand because of because of the importance of fulfillment in the new economy and so industrial is a darling I don't see it changing and the use of that industrial space is already changing to adapt to. The environment related to returns and so you see some industrial parks adding retail elements so, returns of e-commerce merchandiser actually sold out the back of the warehouse. And so it's interesting to see whether or not industrial buildings become. You know many outlet malls in the future as of adjunct service to the customer that is. Using the goods that are moving through those warehouses yeah we have a, but the ability to access for the Planes Trains and trucks during the holiday season has become, very challenging for for you know many of the retailers in MN online providers so it's it's not only a competition for the industrial space but a competition for, all of the components of that supply chain including the last mile. That's right that's very important to note I mean so you got your large you know million-square-foot distribution centers that can be remotely located. [24:37] But you cannot deny the need for smaller spaces close in for last mile delivery and so the competition for four walls that are compatible for that last mile delivery is heating up but it's also using space that might otherwise be underused. And so you're seeing vacant Office Buildings. Turn into last-mile fulfillment centers for pickups and deliveries you're seeing self storage units. I'll be available for you no nighttime delivery. Of the goods from the remote distribution facility and then distributed out by The Last Mile deliver first thing in the morning. And so the use of four walls can be fungible and I think that's one of the things we're learning about this disruption is space can be used for multiple things and it doesn't always fall into the traditional categories that we thought it did. [25:31] Cool and then Steve one last Amazon kind of nuance see if you've talked about how they're going to impact retail and brands, how about the cpg your grocery category you know they've they've got the ghost or we just kind of walk out with things they've got the pickup store that had fresh for a while that's in several cities they've got Prime now Pantry there's almost like eight platforms they're experimenting around so that it seems like they're pretty serious do you think they're going to, going to start to make some inroads there or do you feel like groceries too tough for Amazon. [26:03] I think they're going to make significant inroads in it and it's interesting I'll give you something that I'm watching that may not be obvious to to everybody but you know in in in my day, I'm 52 years old all of the large cpg companies in my life professional Life Time opens, I'm office is and had a mandate to be located in Bentonville and there's no question that continue to be true given, the tremendous strength and capabilities of Walmart which I continue to believe is is is going to do continue to perform well but what we're seeing is the same consumer packaged Goods companies now. Placing folks in Seattle and so Seattle. Seattle the new Bentonville from a cpg standpoint for the additional Bentonville cuz it's not it's not an origin and so that's my signal to say. Cpg companies know it's imperative. Set the alarm with with Amazon and the other thing that we're seeing is our consumer packaged Goods companies are taking a hard look at containers and scuse sizes, wait so that they're optimized for. The Amazon delivery model in really far for everybody's delivery model but there's no question Amazon is is going there I saw a. [27:36] Presentation very recently not not vouching for the numbers but the forecast there was that by, 2023 that Amazon would be the equivalent of 2000 grocery stores, in in in the US which if you compare that to you know that's the comprable size to something like I believe a great example would be like a Kroger so there's no question. That's there going to be a significant player it's also interesting though a little bit off of Amazon but, many listeners may know when you you know well Lidl is is has said they're coming into the u.s. and they're going to open 100 stores in the near-term primarily in the east coast and in a very targeted area, there's going to be continued transformation in the grocery retail space. Far beyond just the the Amazon facts I think they'll be a little effective and some others. Jason:  [28:39] Yeah it's I think the grocery space in fresh in particular is going to be super interesting to watch because that feels like a space that no one has really wrapped up yet like you know Amazon has. [28:51] His head the pilots with fresh for a long time but you know isn't. [28:54] In that many markets yet we just seen Walmart put a lot of weight behind digital fresh Kroger but your point like. [29:04] All the I think it said there's they're going to spend four billion dollars incrementally in in the u.s. to grow their grocery business and I think those Weedle stores I think the first grand openings are today. [29:16] Down in the east coast so that seems like a. [29:20] An area where we can see a lot of new store openings and I guess what I'm curious I've heard some people say that. [29:28] Grocery is already more like the the density per capita of grocery is even more over stored than retailing General in the US so does that mean. [29:39] A ton of traditional grocery is going to close to make way for these guys you think that they're going to evolve you think we're the markets going to be able to tolerate. [29:48] All these German Grocers coming in and in serving customers in new ways. Scot, Steve, And Byron:  [29:54] Yeah I think my answer would be I think it's going to get to, the in-store experience that in-store experience can be different depending on who the consumer is it could be on the value end. Or it will be on the premium experience and thinking of, the Wegmans of the world are the ages of the world and the Publix where you know when you're in the store is it it is it can often be you know an extraordinary pleasing experience so, look who it is no question their razor-thin margins in grocery retail and it takes, almost Perfection which which several of the leading players on do do quite well but that tells you though there's. There has to be some disruption to come there, Ellen with the growth of online whether it be Amazon or jet.com or now is the German grocer isn't and you know some of the existing players you're not done growing whether you know whether it be. Trader Joe's of the world or some of the regional and National Brands ghetto Kroger and others continue. To transform their stores and do exceptionally well. Jason:  [31:10] Yep I think for listeners it's going to be interesting you know traditionally the way we do retail is like the super premium in-store experiences, what for super premium products you know so Byron mention the Gucci example earlier right in the super you know value products tended to come with pretty. [31:29] A value oriented experiences of wheedle is going to be an interesting blend because they're a super low price points which means, the store experience is No Frills you bag your own groceries you have to pay a deposit for the shopping cart cuz they want to make sure you return the shopping cart so they don't have to pay a guy to go get it, but then they're going to have very high quality organic. [31:52] Produce in there and so it it if that's an interesting interesting trade-off to say hey get the high-quality products in the No-Frills environment so I'm going to be watching. Scot, Steve, And Byron:  [32:02] I think about yeah but think about what you just said in that which I think Mary's with what Steve was saying earlier their systems mirror their delivery. And so their price point is complemented by what they do versus what the consumer does in order to get that price and I'm going to guess that their systems and become extremely sophisticated on sku management. To know what's going to sell when and so they very cleverly marry a systems and process and experience. [32:34] To the consumers expectation because the consumer pretty much knows what that bargain is when they walk in the store. Jason:  [32:41] No and I think you're exactly right Brian Byron there. [32:44] Probably the most quantitative retailer out there in terms of measuring the efficiency of everything. [32:54] Tut in and building the systems and processes to be highly optimized for the experience and value proposition they think customers want so I mean the only question is going to be whether American consumers, want with what with their offering because they're very good at delivering what they offer. Scot, Steve, And Byron:  [33:11] Sure it's with an contrast that with the grocery store as a spiritual or Community experience where you go do everything from your wine shopping to your Fresh Foods to that evenings Gourmet takeaway to flowers to a massage. I think I think what what we're seeing is. Experience offerings that fit the taste and budget of the buyer in different location. Jason:  [33:36] That makes perfect sense. Scot, Steve, And Byron:  [33:38] Steven know it's early yet but your your holiday forecast is widely read and can you give our listeners a little taste of what you're thinking about for holiday this year here here we are in June so I'm asking you about holiday well here we are in June and I will tell you we actually are about, to Launch. Are our first Global holiday survey so you're you're not asking too early here's what I can tell you about holiday in advance I it was interesting two years ago. For our press release when we lost our holiday survey which usually comes out in early October two years ago we we had a message that said, you know an overall same-store sales increase and I know it just simply was a measure, did not matter and it fell flat and I was very surprised that it fell flat so last year. We should have walked away from that but I'm going to go back to it this year because it's simply doesn't matter I'm, I am insanely bored with the holiday forecast to come out and and, you know it comes out from a wide range of constituencies it safe overall holiday sales are going to be up 3 or 4% because that's that's what they say every year when you deal go down earlier, and you take what happened last holiday wear overalls you know online was up 27% but like I said earlier we saw some key players Pro. In the 40 and 50% so I think the there there we should come up with new measures that matter and one of them will be another continued growth. [35:17] Of online which I continue to believe will grow somewhere overall near 20% but even that is is a measure that, blind to the fact that a few folks will continue to grow at a 40 to 50% clip with, with their online offering the other thing is I think we're we continue to be in a mode where consumers are going to spend a portion of their holiday budget especially Millennials on, themselves and on experience friends and family I'm going to a show, or a concert or the like so when we think about holiday I don't think it's right anymore just to look at retail sales but we really need to look at experience and then I think we're going to, pull into our holiday Outlook the growth of post travel airplane travel and Automobiles and so holiday now is, far, a far bigger picture than just retail sales but no question we'll see significant online gross I'm a little bit concerned here in June and we'll see we'll see how right I am that retailers are seeing, there I left and desirable results for year-to-date and that they're going to be, very tight in there ordering for holiday ends over the years my clients you know you never know what the weather's going to be like and you never know what, geopolitical or other events may occur but if we end up having a strong holiday but they were extremely conservative on their ordering they actually may miss on opportunities that the flip side of that is when we seen bad weather and other things. [37:00] When there's too much than they go Promotional and they go promotional early. It really wipes wipes out their holiday self retailers have it have a dilemma because of they look in their crystal ball you know is the glass half-full or half-empty. And we'll see but I do feel good about digital and online continuing to lead the way. [37:25] And I will save some of that contextual I just returned this week from the real estate Round Table in DC which is the Gathering of. 250 of the nation's real-estate CEOs and we had one presentation by a former fed governor and he said the bridge between where we are and holiday is it relates to that ending level is going to be confident. And so when we digest what it's going to take to inspire additional confidence we have to really analyze everything in the. Geopolitical jobs and and mood of the buyer to determine how bullish they will be come November December. Jason:  [38:04] Yeah you know what I think there's going to be another one of these interesting ones to watch I think traditionally that's always been true and the consumer spending has index very closely to consumer confidence but it it seems like we're seeing a lot more standard deviation in that that correlation the last couple of years, and I'll be on some other things I'm really nervous about for this holiday season Steve I think you're exactly right, nervous retailers are going to go in with tight inventory but I think one of the other impacts is. [38:35] If 7700 stores truly close before holiday this year that means our friends at Gordon brothers are going to liquidate 7700 stores worth of inventory and, you know that that's going to have an impact on on prices and consumer demand as we as we hit holiday. Scot, Steve, And Byron:  [39:00] Is you know not only the Gordon Brothers on the liquidation but for some of the, banners and brands that are continuing but perhaps having to go to the off-price channel to sort of the, today action Ross stores we may see some some really really tremendous deals from a consumer perspective in in the value Channel. Jason:  [39:25] And I'm sorry Byron you were going to say something as well. Scot, Steve, And Byron:  [39:28] Everyone loves a bargain I'll give her just reminds me of of Stanley Tangers quote years ago and good times people still want to bargain and bad times they need a bargain. And So It Goes liquidations May draw people out to spend in a way that inspires additional confidence so if that is going to be one worth watching because I think there will be a lot of closings and liquidations that. Put some Bargains in the market to get people out to experience those. Jason:  [39:54] Yep and I think there was one quarter Larry on that that quote though everyone loves a bargain except for the manufacturers. [40:03] So I didn't want to change topics another topic we have on the show a lot is mobile and. [40:13] In particular you know if. [40:15] If e-commerce is a you know small sliver of total retail sales but it's the fastest growing then you know mobile is a small sliver of digital sales but you know the fastest-growing and you know we've been talking loud about brick and mortar stores. [40:30] What are the things that's really interesting to me about mobile and brick-and-mortar is we've got all these consumers they may be our only spending 10% of their stuff online but. [40:39] 50% of their purchases are being influenced by digital so they're getting used to having all this digital information when they make purchases in the the obvious way to give him that digital information when they make purchases in brick-and-mortar stores is on mobile phone so I guess I'm curious, Evite. [40:56] You guys are seeing anything interesting happening in Mobile and you know if there any experiences that you've that you've seen or that you're optimistic about in terms of Mobile use in stores. Scot, Steve, And Byron:  [41:08] It's Steve and there's there's no question that the phrase we often uses is a mobile matters and, Siena resting to Think Through the story I told her earlier in the podcast around how the stores need to transform to keep up with. Digital the same thing is true with respect to mobile and what I mean by that is it's only, a year or two ago and it's unfortunately true for a few retailers today where if I'm in store and I want to use my mobile device. I really get, small version of their website and it's not a mobile design website but the leading retailers have now taken it to one click capabilities, and so those folks that are transforming the mobile experience I had my own personal experience where I will I won't name the retailer but I was at an outdoor retailer and the particular, shoe was on sale I wanted to have that shoe they didn't have it in stock the sale ended that day, they didn't have the in-store capabilities to take care of me so I wanted to buy a my mobile and I was typing on this small keyboard and it was incredibly painful I was able to complete the transaction but there was nothing user-friendly about it, that same retailer is now transformed their mobile site and with one click and using. [42:38] In one of and Apple pay Samsung pay type options truly I think in, two or three very quick clicks, I'm able now to complete the same transaction if all retailers can get to that stage we're going to see explosive growth in Mobile, especially as Millennials and gen Z years continue to take up a larger portion of of the demographic of of the act of shoppers. [43:08] Byron any thoughts on mobile I know I just think alongside that comes the ability to fulfill the order as promised and then make the returns easy if it doesn't work. I think a lot of folks are still working on their systems not only in the handheld convenience that Steve was just referring to but on fulfillment and returns as well. [43:29] Call Ann on the film inside, there's some data out there that indicates UPS and FedEx or not able to keep up with with the demand is that something easier view of thought about and kind of corollary to that is is I've kind of been a long time believer that the Amazons eventually going to, directly compete with those guys would love to hear your thoughts on that too. [43:50] I think it's overwhelming I had to do a return last week and it was a rather large item and I had to get the house and I asked for the time band which is usually 2 hours and it was eight hours and I inquired with the customer service. Representative why is the band eight hours and she started laughing mr. we've got a lot of stuff to pick up today. And we just don't know when we're going to be in your neighborhood and I thought that was you know it was honest but it was also I think indicative of what you were saying. [44:22] Yeah and I don't have any specific use not a specific area of expertise for me but I you know I do believe extraordinary companies find ways to transform themselves in. And I certainly believe all of the companies in the category especially the leading players. They're going to come well prepared for in the context of holiday but overall they're actively transforming their businesses and. Absolutely no question. I think we're in for front floor for quite a battle, quitbit it back to mobile Steve the last year you know we saw for, so two years ago we saw Africa Millennial kind of oriented folks traffic going over 50% last year we saw transactions get there for the millennial kind of audience and, other folks are kind of the past half traffic and getting towards 50% transactions sounds like you follow Alibaba I think there are like north of 80% transactional volume coming from mobile do you think this is another holiday where we kind of Step function up, midnighter is the US going to look different I do think we like to think we stepped up and, I'll put a Shameless plug in for our holiday survey how about we. [45:55] Think about getting back to you in October when we went when we haven't released but it's an area of specific Focus for our upcoming, holiday survey which which I said it being launched and why like I do expect that Trend will be exactly as as you said we'll look forward to sharing our holiday Outlook late September early October. Jason:  [46:19] We will certainly take you up on that. Scot, Steve, And Byron:  [46:22] Similarly will be releasing emerging Trends in real estate for 2018 and it will have a significant dedication to what's happening in retail that maybe we should maybe we should do a rematch of this in October. Jason:  [46:36] That would be terrific let's do this until we get to October where is we're coming up to the end of the show, if you had a you know 30 seconds in the elevator with the CEO of your favorite retailer what's the number one piece of a go to advice you have for retailers this year. Scot, Steve, And Byron:  [46:56] Mine would be make the visit special yeah and NN mine would be. [47:06] Focus on the consumer which clearly many of them are doing but in the end if you're taking care of the consumer I think the rest of it will find a way to take care of itself. Jason:  [47:20] Yep and then flipping it around what about to the the CEOs of the brands. Scot, Steve, And Byron:  [47:29] Yeah and I'll I'll take this one first plan I would say innovate and personalize. And I think if if they're able to if you think of the leading brand whether it be on the electronic side in the Footwear & Apparel side there's no question the leading brands that are. Constantly innovating and focusing on personalization are the clear winners. [47:59] I have to agree 100% with that comment so let's take it out further so we were kind of looking six months for, what's kind of you guys have been in the industry for a while so let's project out to 3 or 5 years what is retail look like you know do we have are we all sitting in our dark basements with VR goggles on like but Jason's doing or are we know what does that experience like are drones to like dropping things we have to catch him, I would love to hear your thoughts Byron let's start with you. [48:31] I think there's some of that that's all I was I was at a luncheon in Dallas couple of weeks ago where Ross Perot Jr shared with us that he has agreed with Uber, to be a pilot for their new Uber Elevate drone system which will be people people delivery and package delivery in and they'll be parking there drones in. In in Dallas and so he feels a little bit like The Jetsons but I think it's a promise just like driverless cars are upon us, and they'll change the way we live the way we do our errands the way we receive our Goods I don't think it'll be overnight but I think it's gradual and will be here before we know it and the groundwork is already being laid for that. [49:16] Yeah and what and what I might add I would show you I just did a market tour to New York and visited the World Trade Center and made a trip up to Columbus Circle so that included, the Apple Store. It at the World Trade Center the Amazon store Columbus Circle and I live in San Francisco and in the Embarcadero Center offices. They've opened a new Sephora store and there was one thing in common from all three of those examples stores were completely full. And the reason the stores were completely false is because they have extraordinary offerings they have exceptional Associates. Innovative products so I believe in three to five years the retailers that continue to do those things are going to continue to have those full stores that we saw and we're going to continue to see them being extremely relevant. Jason:  [50:16] Well guys that is a perfect place to leave off I, couldn't agree more and it is happen again we've wasted a perfectly good hour of our listeners time, don't forget listeners you're always welcome to continue the dialogue on her Facebook page and if you like today show feel free to leave us a review on iTunes Steve Byron very grateful for you taking the time to share your insights with us in the listeners. Scot, Steve, And Byron:  [50:43] Thank you very much for having us it was a pleasure to join you and I look forward to listening to your next podcast, awesome and just briefly how can people find out more about your your thoughts so you know we talked about the holiday preview that you guys do so would love to if you direct folks there, and any other writing that you guys do that you think would be interesting if you if you have a place people can find that where do they look for you online. [51:12] Www.twc.com. Yeah you can do that and then I occasionally contribute to Forbes probably not as often as I should but I do and I find and I do try to release retail trends, on Twitter and you can find me on my name and then like Byron said that Peter bc.com and we have landing pages both for our real estate practice and also for, our consumer Market practice which includes the retail practice and we'd love to hear from you directly or, folks want to follow us in any one of those medium we'd be thrilled to the follow along with you Ausable position it's. Jason:  [51:57] We sure will until next time happy commercing.

The Movidiam Podcast
Sapient Razorfish: Daniel Bonner - The Power in your Pocket

The Movidiam Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 13, 2017 20:28


Daniel Bonner, Chief Creative Officer of SapientRazorfish joins our Movidiam Podcast. SapientRazorfish is an agency known for being global leaders in digital marketing. Daniel discusses data, creativity, and advertising. Exploring topics such as how companies can gain a competitive edge through technology, AI and the automation of creativity, along with the symbiotic relationship between humans and technology.

The Movidiam Podcast
Sapient Razorfish: Daniel Bonner - The Power in your Pocket

The Movidiam Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 13, 2017 20:28


Daniel Bonner, Chief Creative Officer of SapientRazorfish joins our Movidiam Podcast. SapientRazorfish is an agency known for being global leaders in digital marketing. Daniel discusses data, creativity, and advertising. Exploring topics such as how companies can gain a competitive edge through technology, AI and the automation of creativity, along with the symbiotic relationship between humans and technology.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP082 - Amazon Earnings, Walmart and Other News

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 30, 2017 56:27


EP082 - Amazon Earnings, Walmart and Other News Amazon News Amazon earnings call was a clean "beat and raise" exceeding analyst estimates for revenue and earned income.  That drove the stock up 4% (approx 960), putting Amazon in striking distance of the $1000 price (which would also make Jeff Bezos the most wealthy man in the world. Jeff Bezos comments were primarily focused on progress in India. Jeff Bezos 2016 Shareholder letter is another can't miss (and don't forget to reread the 1997 letter posted at the end if you haven't seen it before) Amazon has been profitable for 8 consecutive quarter 3P Marketplace is over 50% of Amazon sales, putting total GMV for the Quarter around $60B AWS continues to grow (47% this quarter) but rate of growth has continued to slow as they get larger Prime estimates are now as high as 80M members Amazon launched the new Echo Look device Walmart News Walmart has a new startup incubator "store 8" and Rent the Runway Founder Jenny Fleiss is the first project with a new personalized shopping concept Walmart is offer new "Jet Style" discounts when you buy online and ship to store (vs. ship to home) Walmart acquired Shoes.com url for $9M Rumors that Walmart is in talks to acquire Bonobos  Petsmart buys Chewy.com for $3.35M (largest e-commerce acquisition ever) Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 82 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Thursday April 6, 2017. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. New beta feature - Amazon Automated Transcription of the show: Transcript Jason: [0:25] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 82 being recorded on Thursday April 6th 2017 I'm your host Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg and as usual I'm here Scot Wingo. Scot: [0:40] Hey Jason and hey Jason Scott show listeners Jason think it's been about 2 weeks since we set down to record a podcast and you've been. I've been to Orlando and you've been to Paris New York in Las Vegas Indian nursing the retail visits you can report on or trade shows. Jason: [0:59] Treasures of first I'd like to highlight I got to see both Eiffel towers and both empire state buildings so I feel like that I should get some sort of special badge on Swarm if nothing else for that. Scot: [1:11] Appointment by Venice in between there. Jason: [1:14] I avoided Menace in this particular Las Vegas trip I was over the end of the strip at Mandalay Bay. [1:21] So that that was this weekend that was for oracles modern user experience conference so I got a chance to, to do a keynote for their Commerce track there and that was fun I got to see a lot of colleagues and talk to some customers and see some of the new. New Direction that the Oracle Commerce Tech is going in which is interesting. [1:45] I think the week before that I was in Paris with and clients and we did some store visits. Maybe not the kind of stores that most of the e-commerce folks are interested in we went to a bunch of unique specialty stores in Paris and so. Drive for example El Royale which is like the the world's most famous Taxidermy store and got to check out some of the unique merchandising and unique Merchant. Dice it was available we didn't mention shopping in the Paris Flea Market which is kind of a. When the longer running flea markets are out there and some school stuff so that was fun but maybe not super e-commerce related. [2:29] And then I did not see any new stores in New York although I feel like they're a few under construction that I'm I'm here to check out when they open. [2:40] Abbott used cobbler in Orlando for something much more fun. Scot: [2:46] Yeah this was a spring break and, regular listeners will know I'm a big Star Wars fan so I drugged one of my children to a Star Wars celebration which is the 40th Year big anniversary did lucasfilm put on down in Orlando, it's good to be with $70,000 Starburst answer there's a lot of Star Wars and going on I got my fill for the year. Jason: [3:08] Nice and what percentage of the time when you say you were in costume. Scot: [3:11] I am not a cosplayer but no fair large percent of people are so it's always fun to see all the different costumes things people get pretty into it as you can imagine. Jason: [3:22] Oh yeah I'll bet it's annoying at the airport when everyone tries to go through security in the Stormtrooper outfits. Scot: [3:28] The bestest one year they had they always do like a stormtrooper March and they had that someone was doing like a marathon and they cross each other it was really funny watching the runners like run by a big blind of Stormtroopers. Jason: [3:44] Nice and the the daughter that went with you was she the winter or the loser in the Family Pool. Scot: [3:50] Other she's young enough to believe she was the winner so it was it was good. Jason: [3:54] I just wish she was the winner too but I think what we've been talking about all these trips as an Amazon been reporting earnings today. Scot: [4:04] Yeah just came out tonight so this is hot off the presses so. One pro tip for everyone to is 2 Pro tips every year a must-read for any retailer or person even. Remotely near industry is the Jeff Bezos shareholder letter I don't want to spoil that at all but I will put a link to it in the show notes to go look at that, the one of my favorite thing is to read as you go back to the 97 letter right one Amazon with public which they're celebrating 20 years of going public this year. [4:38] I include this in every years letter so chances are you probably seen this before but it's another thing to go read and it's pretty amazing cuz in that letter. Basically says we believe these three things aren't going to change control of low prices. Fast free shipping in selection and that's were going to focus on for the future it's pretty amazing though. [5:05] Italy nail all that 20 years later that that's a reading it it's almost as if it could be written today so I definitely meant that and then and this year shareholder letter. Luther departure some advice for auctioneers and things that I found really just really. Awesome so that's one pro tip partagas two and then the third would be when Amazon does there police they. I was clueless quote and I was looking to that because that I think you a pretty clear signal what's really important to them. Also there they have highlights there's 90 bullets these days cuz he does something effectively at least two Presley's a day at the space but that. What is always interesting and I'll just give you a little bit of it. R&D team is moving fast and delivering for customers and sellers the teams increase Prime selection by 70 / 75% since launching the program 9 months ago, increase lung capacity resellers by 26% already just this year announced 18 original TV series in India and last week introduced a Fire TV stick. I'm such a Jeff Bezos quote and then he finishes by saying Amazon. It's still day one for e-commerce today and I assure you they will keep investing in technology infrastructure, set that's so you know that. It's reassuring to me that they chose to really focus on India in the Presley's given all the exciting things that going on so that was interesting. Jason: [6:34] Yeah and I India's a hot e-commerce Topic at the moment, I think in the last night you know traditionally there been those kind to indigenous player Snapdeal and flip card and then of course the Amazon has been trying enter the market and even others have had some presents. [6:54] That's I think and last month eBay which she had previously invested in Snapdeal. Sold eBay. I am to Flipkart and made a big investment in Flipkart and I think the Google and maybe Alibaba had already invested in Flipkart so it, it's really starting to feel like, all the Indian players that aren't Amazon or trying to consolidate in the Flipkart and I think there's even rumors that foot card and snap the all-night emerge at some point in the idea being to create a super competitor to try to, fight Amazon for the Indian market so that that really seems like the the epicenter of the e-commerce Battleground in the world right now. Scot: [7:36] So the flip cart razor earlier in April was a 1.4 billion which is not chump change and then, Amazon up to two billion dollars in India and I think he knows we're looking for fullment Center build-out. You're probably already there so this feels like a. Teenage commitment that this is a super important region to them that they want I want to win and to get enough tools reactionary to that. That raise that just came out kind of given the timing and things that it's was hard to tell but they're really big on India which was is coming interesting thing from this earning release. Jason: [8:12] Yep in a super high level that's. White second most populous country in the world next to China they may be a little further along in education of the citizens and better internet access than China in so it's a huge e-commerce market and of course Amazon. Like basically this point already lost China so it's the largest market in the world it's that sort of open to competition. Scot: [8:38] Yeah I agree and I think Dave Dave yeah there's a lot of lessons to be learned from China of not going aggressive enough there and really kind of. Getting in front of the the local competitor so that they seem to be all in on India so if we if we kind of pill the. Onion on the quarter it it when you wake up measured against Wall Street expectations it's what you would call a beat and Rays quarter so exceeded expectations on the top and bottom line and then leave. Forecast for 2 2 came out slightly ahead of Wall Street consensus so that's kind of where that raise and be kind of nerve being raised. Language comes from that 35.7 billion and revenue for the quarter after hours the stock is a. Pretty substantially if so about 5% which ramazan it is a very large cap stocks and that moved it from the effective Lee like. 910 bucks to 954 n last time on the show we talked about. Jeff Bezos became number two richest person after a big move in this. If it gets around $1,000 by my napkin math that would put him over the top which is which is interesting it just, another interesting data point is it looks like it if these numbers hold, it looks like Amazon will have a market cap of about 450 billion and Google will be at 610 so there is this interesting talk about. Facebook salsa in the conversation will one of these tech companies get to other be the first trillion dollar market cap stock so that's kind of where we are positioning Google's a fair amount ahead by 50% ahead. [10:17] Abdul also announced of a pretty strong quarter what do you dig in. [10:24] Every component of Amazon beat Wall Street expectations to the retail business which is their traditional. Retail business which includes the marketplace this new line on them they just recently broke out called retail subs and we will dig into that Amazon web services which is cloud computing and then the other category Now isn't just the ad. Business it did very well at all so it was kind of a little bit. Yep not exceed expectations was International growth a lot of that was due to pre substantial currency. Teachers going on and we take those out and look at a constant currency International itself did pretty well. So with us International through 24% in his Baseline and I was like to remind listeners e-commerce is growing at 15%. To hear you have the largest e-commerce player growing it out easily. Not quite double at this point but you can certainly faster than the Baseline those they're taking sure I had a pretty tremendous clip so it's 9% higher and. [11:24] Equate 20 x the 35 billion no that's like 4 billion that just got sucked out of the other pockets of anyone selling online just in one quarter is one way to think of. So Sienna when is I used to like to look. And I stress treats people that Amazon doesn't get really clear category data but they. Always gave media an egm in EDM is electronics Jerome or should I stop doing that this year they provided a bunch of new disclosures annually and then, going forward it looks like they've stopped with media and AGM set to a bit of a bummer before Shelly I know enough to back into that so I was like to do that because it actually makes the number speaker, Amazon grew 24% looks like media grew at 7% media's books music video video games any digital books those kinds of things an egm is. Inside your obvious Electronics but any general merchandise so Sporting Goods cpg all that stuff has lumped into that category and it grew 26% so getting. Broccoli close to that 30% doubling of e-commerce unit growth was 24%. [12:35] And what reason is the stock is up is why she was expecting a book 13 earnings per share and it came in at a buck 48 so literally 33%. Beats by my math coupler components I like to look at Marketplace this is obviously a big thing I follow the number the. [12:53] Amazon reports is the percent of units that come from third-party and then tipped a little bit it always been taking up literally. Prime last 20 quarters I think and then I'll ask you for a last quarter it went from 50 to 49% units from third-party. Wizard we never seen it take down this quarter stick back up to 50% so that was good to see imagine going forward that will see it take up, car seems to be how it's going inside my bed is too you'll see 51 and then we get up kind of 253 ocean and q42, just the first part of business really get on fire during that timeframe. [13:35] We think we talk show if you tore Amazon deep dive there's this this kind of Amazons. Total sales revenue of 35.7 billion actually mask quite a bit of what's going on in there and what you have to do is take out the Amazon web services and ads and you're left with 24 billion thank you to the first party business, you would think well okay if 50% is units then it will be another 24 for third-party. Actually it's a little bit more because average order value of third-party is substantially higher than first party and. So when you kind of look at gmv versus units by Maya Matthew get about 36 billion for third-party when you had those up Amazon. About twice as big as it seems to be 60 billion for this quarter so you know that that's kind of clothes going on a 250 billion dollar run rate for DMV across 1p and 2p with witches pretty interesting if they, give him a solid Q4 you may start to that I don't think they could crush 304 the year but you will Q4 would be the first hundred billion dollar quarter I think they could do that this year pretty easily unless things really slow down. Jason: [14:51] And but you definitely think of their annual DMV is bigger than than the 60 times for right cuz the Q4 would be so much bigger. Scot: [14:57] Absolute other kind of 260 is coming out pencil and if you just kind of assumed the same mix as last year. Jason: [15:11] Which is a pretty big retailer. Scot: [15:13] Yes that's a very large retailer that's a global number I always get asked that AWS cloud computing grew 47%, I was she was actually expecting a lot bigger so down there's a lot of pricing battles going on here between Google Microsoft and Amazon so that was good and margins held up nicely and that was one of the big treaters to. Earnings beat people expecting the cloud computing margins to be under pressure the biggest surprise in the quarter is. Amazon in their annual report started to break out the revenue from Prime, no some other stuff in there so it's a bit of a noisy number but essentially you can kind of make some assumptions and get close to a nun Amazon prime number so the big surprise they call that retail subscription. And I did that run you jumped 52% year over year, now what's interesting is about a year ago is when they introduce the ability to buy Prime on a monthly basis and then a little bit later they broke out the video so you can just do a video subscription, So currently with this report. Just yesterday consumer intelligence which is the surveying company and you and I are a little skeptical on surveys I think this is directionally interesting they estimated there's no 80 million Prime users and that that number, is up to ex from 2 years ago which would imply 2015 was 40 million and a lot of washing hands when they pick the. Pick through this retail subscription or they get to about the same numbers and it's about 60% us 40% International so that would imply about 45 million homes in the US which is. [16:52] Pretty darn impressive other things that this report highlighted was that they sales that they. Amazon gets from a non Prime user is about $700 a year and Prime user spend about twice that it 14 or 1300 year also interesting Lee the survey picked up that now about 25% of users. I use that new monthly program which is 1099 and I think most of those we knew because if you were in the annual you probably wouldn't downgrade to the monthly useful to Auto renew setting Prime by the fire is. Prime has surged by. Coming out this monthly program generating at least half of that 55% growth I imagine his come from you folks that are joining the program and gets washed you excited is there was some concern that. The way the Census Bureau breaks up. Household incomes you're the stop here that's over a hundred and twenty K and it would have felt like that was it like 80 or 90% saturation so I think what gets people excited is this 1099 monthly plans seems to, pulling people down kind of more towards that Walmart consumer which I think is more of a 67 TK kind of household income so that was pretty interesting. Jason: [18:04] Yeah it's it's fascinating the. I think I was another report earlier in the month that was kind of interesting that was looking at the habits of Prime members and I think there been this assumption, the Prime members were super loyal in the ones you got locked into that $99 that you wanted to get as much value from it as you could so you. Aggregated all your shopping on on Amazon and what this study showed was. They know that Prime customers are more voracious e-commerce Shoppers overall and that well they have a much bigger spin on on Amazon the nun Prime members. They still use multiple other retailers and spend more money over all men so I don't know if that's how accurate that is again like. You know somebody surveys are not very big numbers of consumers that they're making big inferences from. But if that's true that's pretty interesting cuz I feel like a lot of people have felt like the prime is a true walking program. [19:09] You'll just have to take my word for it or read the show notes yeah the. So Scott like one of the things whenever we talk about Amazon picture go to a retailer they like you see their eyes roll in the back of their head and they go yeah yeah yeah but you know Amazon doesn't have to be profitable so it's not fair for us to compete with them because we do. Scot: [19:31] Yeah. [19:34] You and I both work hard to dispel this one so so just kind of put it to bed that's truly faults to Amazon's been profitable, as an entity for the last quarter so that's two years and that you would for Amazon is a preconcerted number, kick some ass kind of conservative accounting treatment that you look at and actually at Amazon if if you start 3D space your letters we don't have time to go into it that's right and what they really look at is free cash flow generated by the business. So another thing that they break apart is this is kind of unique it's their own measure. [20:12] Tom is call CSI and its operating income for a business you could essentially so. So it's call Consolidated segment operating income and she's actually where they say it looked the retail business did this and the non-retail visited that so it's wait for them to come out with a little. Give you some idea of what component is your profit so. You're a lot of folks say well okay yeah sure their probable but it must be Amazon web services this doing it all eight eight of us is quite probable. But the North America retail businesses profitable to it. The generated 1.84 billion in cash this quarter just can't put a number on it now the one thing you can't peel apart from there as the marketplace so you could argue with the marketplaces hearing all that profit I would probably actually, but I don't think it's. [21:04] You can't unfollow the marketplace in retail at this point just say well what's the 1p business making but you know that already we get it its profit the retail part of Amazon's business is Prague. [21:17] Cloud computing possible and you get free cash flow. On a trailing 12-month basis which is what they like to look at they generated 10 billion dollars in free cash flow so so I think these numbers are at a scale that. It's hard Reef you that Amazon's prov1 and doing quite well on the bottom line. Jason: [21:37] Yeah which is crazy of one of the things on the earnings that is that they're there shipping cost went up by a billion dollars so they spent 4.7 billion Justin shipping and to think like. There their profitable and potentially getting more profitable with that come investment is amazing. Scot: [21:56] Yeah and then um. Returning service internet number and with that number you saw is like just the cause it doesn't have the offsetting revenue from Prime that goes against. Set an and fees from sellers actually knocked down by about how this is the actual true net cost. Jason: [22:17] Interesting okay the other thing I heard a lot of a sort of squawking about it. How well a wso doing versus its competitors so obviously it is the 800-pound gorilla in cloud and certainly. Oracle and Google and Microsoft have an IBM of really. Shirt of targeted they're much smaller but at the moment they're growing faster than AWS is because there's so much smaller and I I know. Earlier in the month the Oracle team was like kind of taking some shots at 8 of us and talking about how much it was. It was its growth was slowing down. And I wire you know they thought that they had a better cheaper solution than Amazon and then that I noticed the Amazon sort of took the bait and refuted a lot of that in the. This weekend I think I saw the president of AWS coming out with some quotes talking about how. The the old Oracle model of walking you in the mediocre Services doesn't work anymore and that you talking about enough. An unhappy a lot of Oracle customers probably where that they were locked into this database for all this sort of time. So I always have a good trash talk but it is interesting it does feel like. [23:42] Not only is Amazon winning at 8 of us but they're starting to add more Enterprise type software and kind of higher higher level software to the stack that feels like it's. It's more writing oracles kitchen so let you know they have a very credible database offering news that could help you avoid you having to pay Oracle for a database for example. Scot: [24:01] Yeah one of the things that makes a whole apples and oranges is I know Microsoft. They switched everyone in office over to that Office 365 and they count that is cloud Revenue so it's kind of a little apples oranges where Amazon's cloud is really. The pieces of. Buy at the Lego blocks of cloud in other people putting applications in the bucket so either way so just put a number on it came in 6 billion I'm 16 billion, in a world of software that is a big business and as we mentioned his growing in north of 40% which is not too shabby and it has. [24:45] Amazing margins which is nice. Jason: [24:48] Yeah it's a it's a certainly impressive to have these two huge huge growth engines in one company makes you wonder what which which one of those the investors are investing in. Scot: [25:04] People ask me if I think they'll split it out in and I really don't because eight of us is the operating system Amazon runs on and a lot of. Cool new features they're coming out with have been. Computer Bates internally through it for for Amazon's retail business and they would have come up with those ideas if there were two separate companies so I actually am concerned on that part I think they love having other because, the surgery would not having separate. Other big Amazon used iPad I'd ask you about is the echo look so I want to just grab that for folks that may have missed announced it and I'm curious to hear your thoughts on them. Jason: [25:45] Yeah yeah today announced a new piece of Hardware today which is called the echo book and then start the next Generation Echo it's it's $200 that has all the features of the traditional Echo but it also has a camera in it, inside the the use case that they're touting is that you would put this in your closet or in your bedroom or wherever you get dressed and in addition all the traditional Echo features, you can instructed to take a picture or a video of you and so what this would let you do as I get dressed in the morning try on an outfit. I have Echo take a picture of you and then you can leverage this other service that Amazon launched about a month ago that I think we briefly talked about on the show called style check which is. Where you upload a picture to Amazon and a human stylus that works for Amazon looks it. That picture and give you advice about like give you sent pictures of two outfits will tell you which outfit they think looks better though give you fashion advice like human curated fashion advice and so you know now it seems like, they're making it much easier to use this style check by by putting this camera in your in your closet or in your bedroom. I personally think this is a super interesting Trojan Horse so. [27:07] The more information you have about consumers fashion habits and what they actually use versus Buy, the better recommendations you can make for a close in the better close you can actually design for those customers you know fashion is such a trend based business and so many apparel companies have lived or died by missing trends. If you're a fashion company which Amazon aspires to be and you have a camera in the closet of potentially millions of consumers. [27:39] You're guaranteed to be the the most on Trend you're guaranteed to spot the changes and behaviors and more exciting. You're not getting the stated behaviour you're not getting these like. Like a sort of artificial new trends that that the designers make when they when they go to Fashion Week every year, you're you're seeing the actual clothes that consumers where and that's a big deal because a lot of consumers buy clothes put in their closet and never where I'm so knowing what the real preferences are. A potentially give you a huge leg up in selling and designing fashion and frankly it also potentially has some really utility for consumers to help steer them two words. The gaps in their wardrobe or the things that they gravitate to and you know maybe I buy a lot of colorful shirts that I never wear them in and so you know Amazon could potentially. Remind me of the shirts that I'm more likely to really wear for example so it's it's potentially very interesting and it potentially is a super valuable new data source for Amazon if they get a lot of people that use this. Scot: [28:44] Yes reaction to it is really fascinating because every dude I know. Doesn't get it off then like I thought it was April Fool joke this is crazy why would a man uses every woman. Pirate in women I chatted with about it they're like that's pretty out that work what kind of recommendations would they make you know that's handy I don't have a full length mirror. The factor could do a video of you turning around and see that outfit kind of a let you know the 360 view of Elf it kind of reminds me, when I watch the little promotional video reminds me the magic mirrors you talk a lot about you know where you know they're more touch screens and things with the gym I do the magic mirror is to. [29:29] You see how an outfit looks and then say Oh I drive another top and then your interactive leave by that actually even better in some ways cuz you get the stylus component and the Machine. Jason: [29:40] Absolutely in the magic mirror like that's a really expensive technology and you put it in this dressing room in in a fashion apparel store and it's. It's a real challenge because. You know of a hundred people that walk in that store only 25 of them are going to walk in the dressing room and only five of those are going to actually use the magic mirror so you bought this really expensive piece of Capital Equipment that only touches a small percentage of the consumers in your store whereas, this Amazon solution is 200 bucks in it potentially touches that customer 365 times a year so. Like I think it's it's a similar use case but dramatically more valuable than the in-store stuff that you see people experimenting with. It's funny you mention that the gender divide like you know certainly when you see this you think about things like Stitch fix which is largely focused on women and and you know, that they've always doubted that they have this Advantage from seeing all these women's preferences and their reaction to the outfits that the stylist curate in that they use that data to design their new clothes, well like this is sort of that model on steroids so you know you could have Amazon collecting much more data, I was a much better bigger data science team leveraging that day though so that's super interesting. An agenda divider was funny I think I had a debate on Twitter with our mutual friend David and he was taking the under on this he's not super excited but you heard it here first I've already you know. [31:15] Put in my request to be. To be able to buy one and you know if I do buy one will see if a year from now if if I'm more fashionable than David cuz right now I feel like he has a pretty commanding lead over me. Scot: [31:28] Is going to race to the bottom there I don't know. Jason: [31:31] Yeah it's it's important if it's a reasonable goal post. Scot: [31:36] When I when I first saw just the device and before I saw the video I thought wow that could be really dope. [31:44] I thought it'd be more like a Dropcam competitor are they called the nest camera now because, are the nest cameras nice and I used one but then the thing it's a consoling you learning it I like, some ocean looking like a tree wiggle and is totally useless to the image recognition and the Machine morning on its not very good so when I saw it I thought it came with a voice interface and the motion-capture to be really amazing so I actually have multiple uses for the thing because having it is kind of a monitoring camera, it's also like an actual to me. Jason: [32:18] Yeah and another use case we've heard a lot of talk and chatter about is a. Speaker phone or video conferencing phone so you know this this Hardware you could certainly do either those purposes so you can imagine. You get that same Hardware can be used for a bunch of different uses use cases and they could just add new skills and add new features, to Hardware all the time as as they already do when the echo one thing it was interesting to me about the hardware. And they say has the same feature set as the echo, you know our listeners will remember there's at least there's there's more than two but there to sort of ac-powered Echoes there's the Echo and the echo dot in the big difference between those two is the, the high-fidelity speaker in the Echo and I think the echo was a hundred and eighty bucks when it first launched as that. Am I am I remembering right now. Scot: [33:12] It's still one of the other goes 199 and bumped. Jason: [33:15] Solange the 200 is done a 180 so this device if it has the same audio in it that the echo has in it then they squeeze the camera in there are basically the same price. So I'll be curious if they. If they did any concert options to the audio to help before the camera or or how that all that all worked out what is of Interest. Scot: [33:39] Did you see they did a over the air update for Taps and now you don't have to, press the button for to work so they will somehow saw the battery problem that originally, originally the use case was you'd hold down this button and you had to do that because it was battery operated and because it's listening to the lot of battery that that's kind of what that would do this, weaker so they run out an update to that to be a basic enhance that device so that that's no longer necessary about that was pretty nursing at its Eli news about that. Jason: [34:13] No I didn't hear a lot about it and what was passing it means there's a. That is played out in the phone world right and in so they're there are on it it does take a lot of battery to listen all the time and so for example that the Apple iPhone you can activate Siri without pushing a button that only when you're plugged into AC. [34:34] So like when you're in your doc at night for example there are some Android phones that listen all the time and take up very little battery but the way they do that is they actually have a dedicated ship that's a. In a single purpose chip is designed to be very little power and listen for that activation work and so you go I thought makes perfect sense that they could build a new that I can. [34:59] Can listen all the time because I had a new chip in it but the fact that they were able to add that feature just in software is pretty interesting. [35:08] Exactly and then the other thing and that you know haven't talked about how long they been working on this or any of those things but the one thing that done on me. Almost every apparel manufacturer I've ever worked with we've talked about closet closet analytics and we talked about the benefits of putting a camera in the closet and understanding more about half consumers are using the product in you talk to him about. Like having those devices for focus groups and test markets and panels and things are making it, a widely available consumer product and I probably didn't talking about that idea with a pro manufacturers for 3 or 4 years and it's, it's frankly probably on a lot of the pro manufacturers road maps but I'm guessing that the Amazon decided this was a good idea. In a much shorter cycle and while everyone else just talked about it and kind of put it on the back burner, these guys very quickly just did it and they're putting it out in the market and you know maybe it'll be successful and it'll be a big story we're talking about any year maybe it won't be so it'll be the next fire phone and David will be right and now they'll quickly learn from it and. Did it before they wasted too much money. A sport that's kind of the theme of Jeff Bezos shareholder letter but I do think the fact that they just put something out like this when so many other people have thought about it and talked about and not taking action is, one of the you need to find any characteristics of Amazon to me. Scot: [36:33] No use case I wanted to ask you out cuz I don't know a lot about it is fitment because it seems like if you've got a camera there you should be able to do some body measurements and say to someone, you know since imagine this thing's been watching you try on 10 outfits and then now you say hey order me a small t-shirt that says, hey you know just so you're aware I check the measurements and I don't think this is going to fit you don't you think that they could get smart enough to do measurements. Jason: [36:59] Absolutely interpointe like that apparel returns are very high and returns are super expensive returns are super expensive even for Amazon so anything you can do to, reduce returns by getting that are fitment is is hugely valuable there a couple of vendors out there the try to do fitment with a 2d camera and you know that they can do it but I expect that it's. Pretty and perfect there's really interesting fitment you can do with a 3D cameras and, from and we don't know yet what's really in this this new Echo device but it sounds like it's halfway between a 2D and 3D camera so what it sounds like is it only has a single in single camera but then it has a separate infrared. Rangefinder so that it can measure the distance you are from the camera and that that allows it to get more accurate sizing information about you. [37:58] I'm so potentially it it it absolutely could have a use case in fitment. Scot: [38:02] Yes winterson to see what direction to take this thing. Jason: [38:05] Yep again you know that was a super interesting product. You know I don't think much of people are using it as a high-volume e-commerce ordering machine and so you don't have anything you don't look at that and say hey is, are these kind of cancer my tracks going to be a third a third big business for Amazon in the long run but when they start moving those those things from your kitchen, to your closet that they may have found some real use cases where where this kind of artificial intelligence can really even potentially Drive. Actual e-commerce revenue for Amazon then I think a couple other little news things in the Amazon world. I was actually just sit in a bee last this week in Las Vegas and Amazon had a huge booth at NAB. And the enemy is the National Association of broadcasters so big video production show all the news guys and it reminded me that Amazon had bought this video Processing Company called Elemental in Portland Oregon. I'm inside the booth at NAB is a Elemental AWS and they essentially have him put this this Elemental service on AWS and I sell at the broadcasters to to storm process all their video. And so to me that was just another interesting example of kind of you know Amazon AWS moving from Pure infrastructure to applications or services. [39:39] They also released the The Lex api's this month which are like all the underlying speech and natural language processing. Libraries from the echo or from Alexa you can now use in an Amazon in your own applications. [40:00] And that directly has been competing with like IBM bluemix with the Watson api's and M2 new api's that Google has as well so that was super fascinating. I think we saw this new subscription service from Amazon probably confused most of us subscribe with Amazon it's the. [40:24] Did you read about that at all. Scot: [40:25] Yeah I was I thought it was going to be famous on has subscribe and save wear for loosely, symbols you can buy A110 or need shower you could subscribe and get it coming on a regular basis parties of wanted to be involved in that for a long time so, you say I'm I don't know I'm a, biscuits I want a third-party way of doing that that's not available so I thought that's what it would be but it ended up being really more of an app store kind of things so the bility to manage subscription apps to come like Dropbox or Evernote things that nature so it was underwhelming It's All Digital subscriptions not physical and they're opening up. Jason: [41:09] Accident that's that's potentially a competitor to PayPal I'm in part of. The pay with Amazon Echo System because it turns out one of The Unsung used cases of PayPal is that in our new digital lives we all have these, these digital subscriptions and recurring costs and you know there's a fair amount of what we call breakage in their search subscriptions we subscribe to something forget you subscribe to it and they just keep charging your credit card. On end when consumers to discover that that's super annoying and that you know that they want to save money and be able to manage what they're paying for so what a lot of people do as they use PayPal for all those, does recurring costs so they can go to One dashboard and PayPal and see all the services that they permission for recurring charges, which is something PayPal let you do credit cards don't let you do and then from PayPal you can turn on or off those various subscriptions and so that this this new service from Amazon feels like, a direct competitor with with that PayPal service it feels like it's sort of a centralized portal, for managing all your returning digital subscriptions will hate that's why you have me man. [42:26] I think it was also a new Amazon patent which is pretty interesting and particularly in light of The Deco style we're talking about earlier, are the echo look we're talking about earlier rather they have a new patent on for on demand apparel Manufacturing and. You know that's a technology that the apparel manufacturers are all super interested in Adidas has some pop-up stores where they make your sweater in the store there's a, a store in Boston called Supply Depot that make the light high-performance will Blazers on the man in the store with ease. Today on demand weaving machines and now you know it looks like Amazon is investing some IP in being a leader in that space as well so it just seems like. Another Vector where Amazon is very clearly investing in fashion before the private labels in the Echo look in the photo studios that they've been building and and Union hours to see some interesting patterns in the space as well. Scot: [43:30] The song Come Along the seam I saw that there's rumors that they're going to be coming out with an office competitor so, hosted, young sweet, thing I don't have any idea if that's real or not but sorry about that thinking that was pretty nice it would sit on top of AWS, it's interesting in that. Could you maybe I could so down that. Microsoft cloud growth in your Google's invested really heavily in their their G Suites so maybe it's a meter guy shoot a shot at the by there and then the last piece of Amazon news that is interesting is. Channel measures had an office in Australia for a really long time very active e-commerce Market there there's really no competitor to eBay so you Bay pops up in in Australia they do really well there, and I just rumors that Amazon is going to be there for 3 years, and it looks like it's official there was a newspaper interview with an Amazon head of Australia and he said yeah we're going to become, coming out in the summer so that's exciting for the people down under that they're looking to get involved in the Amazon ecosystem imagine they'll be a third-party offering and that kind of thing so competitive waves going to hit their pretty hard. Jason: [44:45] Yeah it happens that may be a great opportunity for the channel advisor to host a Jason and Scott show in Australia. Scot: [44:54] Yet you say that I've been there and that flight is really really really long so I'm not any love to fly but that wouldn't break you I don't know if it's like a 24-hour flight it's it's brutal. Jason: [45:05] At those lights are the only reason I ever get to the bottom of my inbox. Scot: [45:09] Yeah it's different in boxing her flight and then if you've watched every movie you haven't seen in the last 3 years and then you walked up and down the aisle 80 times and you're looking you're still got another 10 hours. Jason: [45:20] Yeah usually causes Strife with my wife as well because it's all and never to be forced to watch some movies that we had intended to watch together. Scot: [45:29] Yes. Jason: [45:39] So some other exciting news and e-commerce outside of the Amazon Echo System there was an enormous acquisition this month than I think in fact is the largest acquisition ever in the e-commerce space. Scot: [45:54] You can have in the theme of jet Walmart and where. [45:58] Where the incumbents are saying hey we got to acquire something was really going to get dramatic change in the pet category PetSmart acquired chewy.com, that's not shoebacca it's more a chewy for 3.35 billion dollars making it the largest e-commerce acquisition today, interesting there is a lot of these e-commerce Acquisitions of gone for kind of 1 x Revenue so the rumors are that she was closing in on a billion-dollar and rate it so this would put it in over three, Exxon Road him so this is a really good outcome for the industry to have, AOA really quality exit equality buyer and hopefully denigration will work in and this could I'm not familiar with the know what's going on with the pet guys as far as their e-commerce things but it is friends easily zombie Channel guys have been struggling so for this whole your help, the accelerator e-commerce efforts as well. Jason: [46:57] Yeah and you know that we've talked on the show before about this this theoretical Tipping Point in every category where when you get to about, 20% of category sales being on e-commerce that it becomes hugely disruptive to the the Legacy businesses and I haven't seen recent data on the pet category but I have a suspicion that might be one of those categories that the, you know has recently crossed over that 20% threshold in so that, you know that may have made it more of an imperative for one of the big brick-and-mortar players touch to invest in a solid e-commerce offering you know even fact. That that category is really getting disrupted by e-commerce. Scot: [47:40] How about them so we talked a lot about Walmart on the last show they have gone on a kind of acquisition spree any other Walmart news you want you've noticed. Jason: [47:51] Yeah so I think the Acquisitions have continued or at least potentially are continuing the they purchased at URL they purchase shoes.com, and I don't as I sit here I don't remember what the price was I think it was a couple million bucks was it three million bucks so that. [48:10] I will put it in the show notes I apologize for, for not having on the top of my head but that was a pure URL that they purchased and you know one of the first Acquisitions they made in Marco where is here it was this shoe company shoe by and so they they bought shoes.com and they redirect it all the traffic to shoot by, so you know that that was the only true acquisition we've seen, other than we did read on recode a rumor that they are looking at both of us as well and so that that would be a super interesting acquisition of that proves to be true. Scot: [48:48] Yeah be a great brand kind of have an exclusive on and so a lot of interesting things there we have the side benefit of housing Nordstrom doesn't Nordstrom carry bonobos. Jason: [48:59] They do I think it could be one of those good news-bad news things for Nordstrom I believe Nordstrom is a significant investor in bonobos. [49:07] So if the valuation was good you know nor some can make some cash out that acquisition on the one hand and potentially lose the product line on the other hand but not necessarily right like. I don't know what Walmart with Julie about going to go see if they would let Nordstrom keep keep selling it or not yeah. Into speaking Walmart or a couple other interesting things going on at Walmart. Walmart launched this new innovation incubator that they call story which was kind of the original test or for Walmart that Sam Walton ran, what store number 8 in San in San Bruno they're open this new lab and they've called it story. And the big news was that they got a Jenny Flies who was the founder of Rent the Runway to be the 1st. New startup in the incubator and it sounds like she's developing some New Concept around personalized shopping and doing it for Walmart. Scot: [50:10] And then that's what it is it's a Super C. Jason: [50:14] Only the very kind of something focused on personalized shopping in announced a ton of detail about exactly how the incubator will work so is, is it an incubator that Walmart is investing in and they own a piece of the startups and the startups aren't. Exclusive Walmart so it was Walmart just investing in this and, James lunch and company that might not sell through Walmart or is it Building Technology exclusively for Walmart unite I don't think we got we have that level of detail but I will say. It's just kind of an interesting diversion at the moment you see Walmart investing in new innovation capabilities and doing things like, like the store and you know frankly getting a big-name entrepreneur like Jenny involved I'm is all pretty credible and at the same time, you know we're reading about a lot of other retailers and most notably Target like walking away from a lot of their Innovation investments in a day, they have these Concepts stores that they cancelled they had this project goldfish that we were super excited to figure out what that was and that you know they cancelled that and let the. The The Innovation fellow that the that was involved in that project leave and then I think this week we read that, OKC car all who was their Chief Innovation officer is leaving, so you know on the one hand you have had some retailers that are struggling and look like they're really you're tailing their Investments and Innovation and on the other hand it seems like Walmart's really Double Down. Scot: [51:42] Other interesting Walmart stories was just had Mark Lori written all over it that if you for select items if you. Order them online and have them delivered to the store for pickup you actually say if you know somewhere between 5 and $20 so that makes a ton of sense as it's cheaper for them they save on the shipping cost so they should pass that on to the consumer that was one of the Hallmarks of the jet system sale, that'll be interesting doing that's a little weird about it is if the. Is the imagery you're buying online is also in the store then you don't get a disc if it's already in the store that you don't get a discount so that they just feel weird. Is consumer to kind of be like well why are you just coming the stuff that's not in the store at United just to see how it plays out. We'll see how that goes. Jason: [52:31] Yeah I am in very mixed emotions about that offering which I'll get to in a minute but I was also just sort of interested in the industry reaction to this announcement so it was sort of very binary I saw a bunch of Articles from people that are like man this is super smart and Walmart celebrity you know they're there advantages to try to compete with Amazon and and Mark Glory super smart and this is a good aggressive move and then I saw a bunch of other articles that are like, you know this this is rearranging chairs on the deck of the Titanic and you know this is a silly thing that isn't going to move the needle, and you don't why it why are they doing things like this when they need to reinvent the customer experience to compete with Amazon did you, do you like you come down on one side of that other. Scot: [53:19] I can come back to the user experience in just kind of you know how do you explain to people that you're going to save money on this thing cuz it's not in the store but this one it's in the store you're not going to see me on I'm really curious to see how they figure it out. [53:34] Is it from consumer protective it's not too. Jason: [53:36] That's exactly my problem right like you're balancing two things customers want to save money for sure and you want to, it if there are efficiencies in encouraging the customer to one Behavior versus another you you certainly want to encourage them to the more efficient behavior and pass the savings onto that customer right like so I certainly agree with that sentiment and I think that's the, the underlying principle behind jet and I agree with the sentiment on jet as well but the, the user experience that gets manifested as a result of this is. Complicated and I think another big Trend in adoption is consumers are looking for simpler lower friction interfaces, and you know a bunch of the most successful products on the market right now we're out our successful. Largely just because they were a better simpler interface for a service that consumers were already used to so it like I would argue that, you know Hoover's Prime right now he probably the taxi was it's a better user experience for the same same sort of service in lower friction and Shear point. When in every product you put in your shopping cart has a different value prop and a different in a preferred delivery mechanism based on the cost to Walmart and whether or not it happens to be on the Shelf in which, which up for filming Center in happens to be in an all those sorts of things like I think exposing all that complication to The Shopper is potentially problematic and I would argue it was problematic on jet as well and so. [55:09] You know the magic question is. Is there a way to to greatly simplify that not expose all that complication and supply chain ugliness to The Shopper but still like in Courage The Shopper to do what's in the best interest and save money. [55:28] And so I guess time time will tell on that one I think that they had exactly I sent them it but I think there's enough potential to improve the user experience to do it. [55:42] Good deal and Scott with that it is happen again we've we've wasted a perfectly good hour of our listeners time, so I want to thank everyone for tuning in it's been great to catch up with you after a couple weeks and I'll remind everyone to. Subscribe and write a review on iTunes. Scot: [56:04] Yep that's one person that's all the news we have this week. Jason: [56:07] Until next time happy commercing.  

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP079 - Modcloth CEO, Matt Kaness

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 15, 2017 55:01


EP079 - Modcloth CEO, Matt Kaness Matt Kaness is the CEO of Modcloth a digitally native vertically integrated apparel brand, that was recently acquired by Walmart.  Our conversation covers Matt's background, the Modcloth business, their brick and mortar FitShop concept, the future of commerce, and the Walmart acquisition. Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 79 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded live from Shoptalk in Las Vegas on Tuesday March 21st. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing.

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News
EP075 - Tumi & DealNews live from ShopTalk

The Jason & Scot Show - E-Commerce And Retail News

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 23, 2017 53:43


Charlie Cole (@CharlieCole) is Global Chief Ecommerce Officer at Tumi, and Dan de Grandpre (@dan_degrandpre) is CEO of Dealnews.  We caught up with both of them at a networking event hosted by Scot Silverman at ShopTalk. Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 75 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded live from Shoptalk in Las Vegas on Monday March 20th. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, SVP Commerce & Content at SapientRazorfish, and Scot Wingo, Founder and Executive Chairman of Channel Advisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing.

Feisworld Podcast
Ep 100. Freddie Laker: How does a creative, serial entrepreneur turn confidence into results?

Feisworld Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 18, 2017 60:39


Show notes, tools and resources: www.feisworld.com/blog/freddie-laker Today, I'm joined by Freddie Laker who is a British-American entrepreneur and the founder of the tech startup Guide, and most recently Chameleon Collective and Code Orange. Prior to launching these companies, he launched the Internet service provider Laker.net and the digital agency iChameleon Group. He worked at SapientNitro (now known as SapientRazorfish) where we met in 2009, as the company's Vice President of Global Marketing Strategy He is also the son of Sir Freddie Laker, the founder of British airline Laker Airways. In this episode, you will hear firsthand, never-heard-before stories from Freddie Laker Jr., a serial entrepreneur who's daring in trying new things (especially related to computers and new forms of technologies). His origin stories growing up as a British-American, living in both countries. One important lesson he had to learn from his father, Sir Freddie Laker, when he was a teenager. The success and struggle of running multiple startups and what Freddie would have done the same or differently retrospectively. --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/feisworld/message Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/feisworld/support