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What's up everyone, today we have the pleasure of sitting down with Alex Halliday, Founder and CEO at AirOps.(00:00) - Intro (01:19) - In This Episode (01:54) - Sponsor: Attribution App (02:57) - Sponsor: GrowthLoop (04:19) - How AirOps Pivoted to AI Content Engineering (08:23) - The Real Definition of Content Engineering and Why It's Not About Publishing More (13:14) - What a Content Engineer Does That a Senior Content Marketer Does Not (27:31) - What It Actually Takes to Get AI Content Past a Human Editor (30:52) - Sponsor: Knak (32:00) - Sponsor: MoEngage (43:21) - Why Review Becomes the Bottleneck After You Automate Content Production (47:13) - Why Enterprise CMS Integration Is Harder Than the Content Quality Problem (51:07) - Why the Agent Runtime Is the Next Competitive Battleground for Content Teams (55:02) - What the Case Against Content Engineering Gets Wrong About the Role (58:08) - What a Content Engineering Team Looks Like in 3 Years (01:03:45) - How Alex Decides What Deserves His Energy Summary: Alex built AirOps to help teams access company data, then a conversation with Sam Altman and a cramped middle seat on a flight to Atlanta changed everything. In this episode, he breaks down what content engineering actually means — not just generating more AI content, but building the systems infrastructure to maintain quality, freshness, and brand accuracy across everything a company has ever put online. He makes the counterintuitive case that great content engineering puts more humans into the content process, and explains why 98% of AirOps's pilots convert to annual customers while most AI content pilots fail. If you think AI content is just a faster way to publish more, this episode will change how you think about it.About Alex HallidayAlex Halliday is the Founder and CEO of AirOps, where he leads the development of AI content engineering systems that help brands build visibility in AI search. Before founding AirOps in 2022, he served as Head of Product at MasterClass, where he was the company's first product hire and helped scale revenue 10x. As a Venture Partner at SparkLabs Global Accelerator, Alex has made early investments in OpenAI, Anthropic, Groq, and Discord.How AirOps Pivoted to AI Content EngineeringIn early 2022, the LLM moment hadn't happened yet. Not publicly. GPT-3 existed but was barely on anyone's radar in marketing. Most "AI for marketing" conversations were still about sentiment analysis tools and basic chatbots. The prevailing assumption was that software had rules, rules had limits, and those limits were the floor you designed around.Alex Halliday had an unusual vantage point. As a venture partner at SparkLabs Global Accelerator with early investments in OpenAI and Anthropic, he was closer to what was actually happening than almost anyone in his world. He still wasn't ready for what came next.It started with a conversation. He was in San Francisco with Sam Altman, something he made a habit of — whenever they crossed paths, Alex asked the same question: what's sparking your imagination these days? On this particular occasion, Altman's answer was different. The AI stuff was getting really good, he said. When Alex pushed for specifics, Altman told him they were getting close to AI that could read all your emails and tell you what to do for the week. It sounded completely insane.Alex filed it away. Then, a few weeks later, he was on a flight to Atlanta, sandwiched in the middle seat between 2 large men with nowhere to go and nothing else to do. He finally opened an OpenAI account and started building.That experience in a cramped middle seat sent AirOps in a new direction. The company had been founded to help non-technical employees access company data — a broad, useful product with no obvious north star. Knowing the paradigm was shifting and knowing what your company should actually do about it are different problems. Alex had to translate that conviction into a focus, which meant making a hard call. When a space is growing as fast as LLM applications were in 2022 and 2023, trying to be everything to everyone is a trap.The answer came from the data, not from a whiteboard. When the team looked at their heat map of usage, 1 cluster burned hotter than anything else: technical CMOs, leaders of 50 to 100 person marketing orgs, working nights and weekends inside AirOps building ambitious content systems. High-taste users with strong opinions and no patience for tools that couldn't meet their standard. The market was doing what markets do when they find something they want — it was insisting.By mid-2023, AirOps had committed fully. The customer was the high-taste marketing professional who wanted to build content systems at scale, not just generate more content. Every decision since has been built around that person. The most important pivots rarely happen in planning sessions. They happen when you actually use the thing, look at the data honestly, and trust what the market is telling you over the story you had planned to tell.Key takeaway: Look at your usage data and find the cluster of users who are working hardest and complaining most specifically — they are telling you who your product is actually for. Make time to try the tools reshaping your industry with your own hands. Alex's pivot started in a cramped middle seat he couldn't escape. Any open hour will do.The Real Definition of Content Engineering and Why It's Not About Publishing MoreMarketing teams have been chasing the wrong metric since LLMs went mainstream. The race defaulted to volume: how many posts, how fast, how much can you automate. That framing made sense in an era where more content meant more crawlable pages, more keywords, more surface area for Google to index. The era has changed.AI agents now sit between buyers and brands. When someone asks ChatGPT or Perplexity a question about your product category, an agent synthesizes content from across the web — your owned pages, third-party publications, Reddit threads, review platforms — and returns a single answer. That agent is not counting pages. It's evaluating quality, depth, freshness, and what Alex describes as information gain: the degree to which any given piece of content adds something new to what the model already knows.That's a meaningfully different standard. A 2022 blog post with outdated product language, stale statistics, and broken links doesn't rank lower in AI search — it's absent from it entirely. Webflow, 1 of AirOps's customers, saw what investing in content refresh workflows does to those outcomes: 42% more traffic and AI-attributed conversions performing 6x better than standard organic. That's a maintenance story, not a content production story.There's also a conflation doing a lot of damage in this conversation. Content written with AI assistance gets lumped together with content generated by AI with no original grounding or context. The studies that say "AI content performs poorly" tend to define AI content as the second category, and the conflation goes unexamined in most LinkedIn commentary. The distinction matters enormously. Content that draws on real interviews, proprietary data, internal expertise, and company-specific context performs differently from content that's a model recombining what already exists on the internet.The brands performing well in AI search right now are treating their content library as a living system with real quality standards — a garden that requires ongoing maintenance rather than a publishing archive. They're building workflows to keep content fresh, surface internal knowledge that's been sitting in Google Drive unused, and maintain what...
Last winter, Groq cofounder and CEO Jonathan Ross walked into a meeting with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang with a pitch for the companies' tech to work together. He now describes the synergy with a logistics analogy: stop building AI data centers as if every workload wants the same hardware. Training is bulk hauling; inference is last-mile delivery. GPUs can do both, but using the 18-wheeler even when you just need a van can be a lot slower. So: Nvidia's general-purpose GPUs are the big trucks. Groq's specialized chips—LPUs, or language processing units, designed to run models fast—are the smaller vans. “If you were building out a logistics network for the entire United States, and I told you your two options were all 18-wheelers or just delivery vans, which one would you pick?” Ross said. “The best answer is both.” Ross wasn't just pitching a worldview. He wanted Nvidia's permission to buy around 100,000 Blackwell chips, likely worth billions. Huang grilled him on the technical details, and then the meeting ended. When Huang called back three days later, Ross expected a discussion about his GPU purchase order. Instead, the Nvidia CEO cut to the chase. “We should probably move really fast,” Ross recalled him saying. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Chip fab capacity is maxed out — and TSMC is the biggest winner. But new risks are emerging fast.In this episode, Nick and Kasey break down TSMC's Q2 2026 earnings guidance: $39–40 billion in quarterly revenue, 30% year-over-year growth, and gross margins approaching 67.5%. Then they dig into what could actually slow TSMC down.Topics covered:— Helium and LNG shortages driven by the Strait of Hormuz closure— Taiwan's energy security and how long government-secured supply lasts— The Intel-Tesla chip "refactoring" announcement decoded— Could Elon Musk's consortium acquire Intel Foundry after the SpaceX IPO?— Samsung Foundry, Nvidia's Groq acquisition, and supply chain diversificationTSMC has navigated supply chain disruptions before. But with AI chip demand exploding and new competitors circling, the pressure is unlike anything the industry has seen.For the full earnings breakdown and supply chain chart, visit chipstockinvestor.com and check out the Semi Insider subscription.Chip Stock Investor covers semiconductors, AI infrastructure, and the companies powering the next wave of technology.For informational and entertainment purposes only — not individual investment advice. All investing involves risk and you may lose principal. Forecasts are not guaranteed. Nick and Kasey own shares of TSM.
Focus sur les modèles IA de la semaine : vidéo et générateurs de mondes. Simulation de cerveau de mouche, communication animale et un GPS pour guêpes. Discussions sur véhicules autonomes, annonces toujours fracassantes d'Elon Musk, et la controverse Cursor. Me soutenir sur Patreon Me retrouver sur YouTube On discute ensemble sur Discord Modèles IA de la semaine Stereo World, 3D Dream Booth, Mobile GS, mosaicMem et pas un DVD de Lost. Mouchetrix : Neo se réveille avec 6 pattes. Parler le baleine ? Ça ne manque pas de sel. Des condensateurs à la taille de guêpe. Cursor fait des cachoteries Kiminables. Meta va enfin peut être s'améliorer. Uber et Rivian font se faire un bout de route ensemble. Teradollars La blague Terafab. Ou alors je suis Terabajoie ? Pour devenir riche, il suffit d'un sèche cheveux. GTC : Rubin et pourquoi NVIDIA a croqué Groq. Des datacenters dans l'espace avec des escortes ? Face à face : détection de visage à haute vitesse chez NVIDIA. La crise de la RAM durera jusqu'en 2030 2040 2050… Firefox lance un mode porno un VPN. Participants Une émission préparée par Guillaume Poggiaspalla Présenté par Guillaume Vendé
The Twenty Minute VC: Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
AGENDA: 05:00 — Anthropic vs. OpenAI: Who Is Actually Winning the Enterprise War? 07:55 — "Air of Desperation": Is OpenAI Losing Its Invincibility? 18:00 — SpaceX at $2 Trillion: Elon's Insane Plan to Build Data Centers in Space 29:00 — Jeff Bezos' $100 Billion Fund: The End of "Doing It the Hard Way" 34:00 — The $20 Billion "Acqui-hire": The Groq Deal Broken Down 40:40 — Figma's Death Spiral? Why the Markets Are Terrified of AI Disruption 56:00 — The Broken VC Math: Why You Need $1BN To Do Series A 01:04:00 — Win or Die: The Terrifying Reality of the Unicorn "Dead Zone"
Welcome to Exponential View, the show where I explore how exponential technologies such as AI are reshaping our future. I've been studying AI and exponential technologies at the frontier for over ten years. Each week, I share some of my analysis or speak with an expert guest to make light of a particular topic. To keep up with the Exponential transition, subscribe to this channel or to my newsletter: https://www.exponentialview.co/ ---- Last week Jensen Huang shared the numbers from NVIDIA's order book: AI compute demand has grown a millionfold in two years. Much GTC coverage focused on chips, robots, data centers in space, but I think Jensen revealed something far more important in his keynote: “the inference inflection has arrived,” and this is about to transform how all companies should manage their budgets. The inference era is already the operating assumption of the world's most valuable company. In this week's podcast, I cover: (1:20) NVIDIA's $1 trillion order book (1:56) OpenClaw: our era's web browser (7:54) Training vs Inference: how AI is changing (12:50) Pre-fill vs. decode: the technical split (18:06) The Harness: why OpenClaw changes everything (18:59) The engine is useless without a car (22:21) From 100M to 870M tokens per day (24:29) Meet my agent R Mini Arnold's team (26:16) AI focus group simulations at $10–50 a run (29:36) Jensen's self-interest (and why he's still right) (33:07) AI governance: token budgets don't belong with IT (35:07) From training economy to inference economy Read my essay "Magnitudes of Intelligence" on Substack: https://www.exponentialview.co/p/the-hundred-million-token-day Access the solar supercyle model here: https://www.exponentialview.co/p/solar-supercycle ---- Where to find me: Exponential View newsletter: https://www.exponentialview.co/ Website: https://www.azeemazhar.com/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/azeem/ Twitter/X: https://x.com/azeem Production by EPIIPLUS1. Production and research: Baba Films, Chantal Smith, Marija Gavrilov. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
The episode surveys an accelerating AI landscape where new hardware like Cerebras and Groq enables near real?time model responses, making voice and agent interactions feel instantly conversational. The conversation covers the rise of code models (Codex, Claude Code), practical tips for using multiple models to check each other, the tug-of-war between frontier labs and big incumbents (OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, Meta, xAI), and how talent, salaries, and state-level data?center politics are shaping the field. They also touch on a striking story about a dog treated with an experimental mRNA therapeutic assembled with help from multiple AI tools, hands-on demos of rapid content generation and deepfake video, and a challenge to listeners to build weird things with these new tools. Picks: Brian Brushwood: Project Hail Mary. Andrew Mayne: Sentimental Value.
The episode surveys an accelerating AI landscape where new hardware like Cerebras and Groq enables near real?time model responses, making voice and agent interactions feel instantly conversational. The conversation covers the rise of code models (Codex, Claude Code), practical tips for using multiple models to check each other, the tug-of-war between frontier labs and big incumbents (OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, Meta, xAI), and how talent, salaries, and state-level data?center politics are shaping the field. They also touch on a striking story about a dog treated with an experimental mRNA therapeutic assembled with help from multiple AI tools, hands-on demos of rapid content generation and deepfake video, and a challenge to listeners to build weird things with these new tools. Picks: Brian Brushwood: Project Hail Mary. Andrew Mayne: Sentimental Value.
The episode surveys an accelerating AI landscape where new hardware like Cerebras and Groq enables near real?time model responses, making voice and agent interactions feel instantly conversational. The conversation covers the rise of code models (Codex, Claude Code), practical tips for using multiple models to check each other, the tug-of-war between frontier labs and big […]
E-commerce Reporter Ann Gehan talks with TITV Host Akash Pasricha about OpenAI's sudden retreat from e-commerce integrations to focus on its core product. We also talk with Porch Capital's David Levy about why Nvidia and AWS are pivoting to SRAM to solve the AI memory crunch and KeyBanc Capital Markets' Jackson Ader about why software employees are demanding more stock-based compensation despite market volatility. Finally, we get into Anduril's massive new manufacturing blitz in Ohio with Deputy Bureau Chief of Finance Cory Weinberg.Articles discussed on this episode: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openais-shopping-u-turn-complicate-enterprise-playbookhttps://www.theinformation.com/articles/inside-andurils-big-gamble-ohio-weapons-factorySubscribe: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@theinformation The Information: https://www.theinformation.com/subscribe_hSign up for the AI Agenda newsletter: https://www.theinformation.com/features/ai-agendaTITV airs weekdays on YouTube, X and LinkedIn at 10AM PT / 1PM ET. Or check us out wherever you get your podcasts.Follow us:X: https://x.com/theinformationIG: https://www.instagram.com/theinformation/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@titv.theinformationLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/theinformation/
AI is becoming a scale and control business. On Episode 297 of The Six Five Pod, Patrick Moorhead and Daniel Newman examine the companies building the infrastructure, forming the alliances, and making the moves that will define who wins and who gets squeezed out. Control is shifting across compute, models, infrastructure, and enterprise distribution as NVIDIA, Microsoft, OpenAI, Meta, and others push to control the next phase of the AI market. The handpicked topics for this week are: NVIDIA's Full-Stack Push Gets Bigger: Following the GTC conference in San Jose, Pat and Dan break down how NVIDIA continues expanding beyond GPUs with Vera CPU, Dynamo, and a broader agentic AI stack designed to unify training, inference, orchestration, and enterprise-grade security. Microsoft, OpenAI, and Amazon Enter a New Phase of Tension: With Microsoft reportedly weighing legal action over OpenAI's growing AWS relationship, the discussion turns to exclusivity, multi-cloud strategy, and what happens when one of AI's most important alliances starts to crack. China, Compute, and the Geopolitics of AI Access: The hosts examine NVIDIA's reported H200 restart for China and what it says about export controls, policy pressure, and the global fight over advanced AI compute. Meta's $27B Infrastructure Agreement Signals the Real Race: Meta's latest infrastructure deal reinforces a central point of this episode, demand for AI capacity is still outrunning supply, and hyperscalers are moving aggressively to lock in long-term compute. OpenAI's Enterprise Push Raises Bigger Business Model Questions: As OpenAI leans harder into enterprise and eyes an eventual IPO, Pat and Dan unpack what this pivot says about monetization pressure, competitive positioning, and the need to prove a durable AI business model. The GPU Smuggling Story Shows How Valuable AI Hardware Has Become: A major smuggling case involving NVIDIA hardware spotlights the black market for AI chips and the growing intersection of compute, national security, and enforcement. The Flip: Did NVIDIA Just Change the Inference Market Again? This week's debate centers on whether NVIDIA's $20bn Groq Technology deal kills the standalone inference chip market, or whether it actually validates the market by proving just how strategically important specialized inference has become. The Fed, Micron, and Accenture Reflect a More Complicated Market: In Bulls and Bears, the hosts cover the Fed's latest decision, Micron's AI-driven momentum, and why Accenture's results still ran into skepticism despite strong execution. Meta's Workforce Cuts and AI Spend Reflect the New Corporate Tradeoff: The episode closes on the growing tension between rising AI investment and labor efficiency, as companies look for ways to fund massive infrastructure and token budgets while restructuring headcount. For a deeper dive into each topic, please click on the provided links. Subscribe to our YouTube Channel so you never miss an episode. The Decode NVIDIA GTC 2026: Vera Rubin Platform, Groq LPU Integration & $1T Demand Vision https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/16/nvidia-gtc-2026-ceo-jensen-huang-keynote-blackwell-vera-rubin.html https://investor.nvidia.com/news/press-release-details/2026/NVIDIA-Vera-Rubin-Opens-Agentic-AI-Frontier/default.aspx https://x.com/PatrickMoorhead/status/2033662536227393952 https://x.com/danielnewmanUV/status/2033649511592284352 The Groq 3 LPU: NVIDIA's $20B Bet on Inference Economics https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/13/a-closer-look-at-nvidias-20-billion-bet-on-tech-for-a-new-ai-chip.html https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/semiconductors/nvidias-20-billion-groq-deal-produces-its-first-chip https://www.servethehome.com/decoding-the-future-of-inference-at-nvidia-groq-lpus-join-vera-rubin-platform-for-low-latency-inference/ https://developer.nvidia.com/blog/inside-nvidia-groq-3-lpx-the-low-latency-inference-accelerator-for-the-nvidia-vera-rubin-platform/ https://www.jonpeddie.com/news/nvidias-groq-tie-in/ Microsoft Threatens to Sue OpenAI Over $50B Amazon AWS Frontier Deal https://www.reuters.com/technology/microsoft-weighs-legal-action-over-50-billion-amazon-openai-cloud-deal-ft-2026-03-18/ NVIDIA Restarting H200 Chip Production for China https://www.axios.com/2026/03/17/nvidia-huang-china-h200 https://x.com/danielnewmanUV/status/1999974968143257945 Meta & Nebius Sign $27B AI Infrastructure Agreement — Largest AI Compute Deal https://nebius.com/newsroom/nebius-signs-new-ai-infrastructure-agreement-with-meta https://x.com/danielnewmanUV/status/2033531056784347240 https://x.com/PatrickMoorhead/status/2033543939526193491 OpenAI Enterprise Pivot + Q4 2026 IPO Target https://www.reuters.com/business/openai-lays-groundwork-juggernaut-ipo-up-1-trillion-valuation-2025-10-29/ https://www.forbes.com/sites/josipamajic/2026/03/19/openais-pivot-to-enterprise-is-likely-a-race-against-anthropic-and-the-ipo-clock/ Supermicro's Legal Troubles https://fortune.com/2026/03/19/supermicro-arrested-founder-smuggling-gpu-china/ https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy41ly2d9wko The Flip: Did NVIDIA Just Kill the Inference Chip Startup Market with the Groq Acquisition? FOR: NVIDIA Killed It — The Inference Startup Market Is Over https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/13/a-closer-look-at-nvidias-20-billion-bet-on-tech-for-a-new-ai-chip.html https://www.jonpeddie.com/news/nvidias-groq-tie-in/ AGAINST: Startups Survive — Hyperscalers Won't Deepen NVIDIA Dependency https://www.reuters.com/business/retail-consumer/cerebras-systems-amazon-strike-deal-offer-cerebras-ai-chips-amazons-cloud-2026-03-13/ https://www.tomshardware.com/pc-components/gpus/nvidia-removes-rubin-cpx-accelerators-from-its-roadmap-groq-3-lpus-take-center-stage-as-cpx-is-removed Bulls & Bears Market Reactions to Economic News https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-today-dow-sinks-750-points-sp-500-nasdaq-slide-after-fed-decision-as-powell-touts-inflation-worries-200050703.html https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/live/march-fed-meeting-2026-live-updates-and-commentary https://www.investopedia.com/stock-market-today-dow-jones-s-and-p-500-03182026-11928689 $MU Micron Technology — Revenue Almost Triples, Tops Estimates https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/18/micron-mu-q2-earnings-report-2026.html https://x.com/PatrickMoorhead/status/2034390648519024820 https://x.com/danielnewmanUV/status/2034378642613235921 $ACN Accenture — Q2 FY2026 Earnings Beat, Stock Drops ~5% on Guidance https://www.investing.com/news/earnings/accenture-falls-despite-q2-beat-as-earnings-guidance-disappoints-4570221 https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2886706/accenture-earnings-beat-estimates-in-q2-revenues-increase-yy https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-accenture-q2-2026-beats-forecasts-but-stock-dips-93CH-4570789 https://x.com/PatrickMoorhead/status/2033348794348142595
SUMMARY: We dig into the NVIDIA GTC keynote and highlight three things - accelerated computing for everything, the complexity of the new inference stack, and NVIDIA's “open” software stack including NemoClaw.SHOW: 1012SHOW TRANSCRIPT: The Reasoning Show #1012 TranscriptSHOW VIDEO: https://youtu.be/aXOr91q76yMSHOW SPONSORS:VENTION - Ready for expert developers who actually deliver?Visit ventionteams.comSHOW NOTES:NVIDIA GTC 2026 (Keynote)NVIDIA NemoClaw - OpenClaw + OpenShell + NVIDIA Agent ToolkitNVIDIA adds Groq LPU to their rack systemsNVIDIA to invest $26B in Open Weight ModelsInterview with Jensen about Accelerated Computing (Stratechery)Topic 1 - Jensen's trying to paint the bigger picture of accelerated computing everywhere (robotics, autonomous driving, gen-ai, physical ai - but also just everyday enterprise apps). Everything is about keeping the stock price up, and margins high. The stock price provides the warchest to fight off all foes. Topic 2 - The inference architecture is a complex mix of GPUs, CPUs, ASICs/LPUs, high-speed networking and seems very different from the training architecture. How big is the burden on data center providers? What are the inference alternatives emerging? Topic 3 - Jensen talked a lot about OpenClaw and eventually about NVIDIA's NemoClaw. How does his interest in Agentic AI tie into his interest in building NVIDIA's own frontier modelFEEDBACK?Email: show @ reasoning dot showBluesky: @reasoningshow.bsky.socialTwitter/X: @ReasoningShowInstagram: @reasoningshowTikTok: @reasoningshow
On today's show Andrew and Bill begin with the news that President Trump has postponed his visit to Beijing amid the war in Iran, including why a delay made sense for both sides, a “Board of Trade” proposal amid signs of stability in Paris, and the uncertainty that pervades on both sides as the war in Iran continues. From there: Reactions to a DNI assessment on China's reunification intentions, news on U.S. weapons sales to Taiwan, the unknowns for China as Gulf unrest persists, and questions surrounding PLA readiness in 2026. At the end: Reactions to reports that several military scientists have had their profiles scrubbed from public websites, while Jensen Huang tells the world that Nvidia has received purchase orders for the H200 but Groq will not be shipping inference chips.
Ben and Andrew begin with the news that OpenAI is shifting away from “side quests” and allocating resources to the enterprise space, including Dropbox history to explain OpenAI's present, lessons in the enterprise space generally (and what you learn in business school), and OpenAI taking cues from 1980s Microsoft. From there: Talking through Ben's article on Monday, including the implications of agents and questions about integration as durable differentiation for Anthropic and OpenAI. At the end: Nvidia's new messaging on inference chips and Groq integration, and a word about winters (and whiners) in Wisconsin.
Nebius' Chief Revenue Officer Marc Boroditsky joins TITV to discuss its $4B debt raise after its Nvidia & Meta deals, Nvidia's new Groq chip and its 2026 strategy. Next, The Information's Jyoti Mann talks about a rogue Meta AI agent triggering a major security alert. We also talk with Offline Ventures' Brit Morin about AI agent workflows and security, Financial Analysis Columnist Columnist Anita Ramaswamy about why Canva was smart to delay its IPO, and we get into the $5 billion Qualtrics debt drama & AI with Ross Gerber of Gerber Kawasaki Wealth & Investment.Articles discussed on this episode: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/canva-smart-hold-ipohttps://www.theinformation.com/articles/inside-meta-rogue-ai-agent-triggers-security-alertSubscribe: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@theinformation The Information: https://www.theinformation.com/subscribe_hSign up for the AI Agenda newsletter: https://www.theinformation.com/features/ai-agendaTITV airs weekdays on YouTube, X and LinkedIn at 10AM PT / 1PM ET. Or check us out wherever you get your podcasts.Follow us:X: https://x.com/theinformationIG: https://www.instagram.com/theinformation/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@titv.theinformationLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/theinformation/
Nvidia's GTC 2026 is finishing up and there is a lot of focus on AI inference. Remember that licensing deal with Groq? By pairing Groq 3 LPX compute with Vera Rubin systems, Nvidia is targeting a 10x revenue jump—moving from $30 billion with Blackwell to a staggering $300 billion opportunity in Ai inference. Jensen Huang's "five-layer cake" strategy now dominates the entire data center stack, from power delivery to AI models, aiming for $1 trillion in total revenue through 2027.This new heterogeneous architecture blends GPUs for high throughput with LPUs for ultra-low latency, creating near-instant AI interactions. But is Nvidia right-priced right now?Join us on Discord with Semiconductor Insider, sign up on our website: www.chipstockinvestor.com/membershipCheck out these other Nvidia videos:https://youtu.be/50UfALpisPghttps://youtu.be/_6w9EbjaSIIhttps://youtu.be/_uvIkPwDu5Ahttps://youtu.be/p5w0aPzDi3ISupercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-formIf you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!⏳ Chapters00:00 – Nvidia GTC 2026: The Groq Licensing Deal 01:00 – The "Five-Layer Cake" of AI Data Centers 01:55 – From Chip Designer to Supply Chain Giant 02:50 – Road to $1 Trillion: 2025–2027 Revenue Outlook 04:20 – Groq 3 LPX & Vera Rubin: The New Rack Solution 05:45 – GPU vs. LPU: Solving the Latency Problem 06:30 – Heterogeneous Architecture: Throughput & Interactivity 07:45 – The 10x Revenue Jump (Blackwell to Rubin) 08:20 – Stock Valuation: Is Nvidia Still a Buy? *********************************************************Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal. #Nvidia #GTC2026 #AIInference #VeraRubin #Groq #JensenHuang #StockMarket #Semiconductors #TechNews #DataCenterNick and Kasey own shares of Nvidia
This episode of Pearls On, Gloves Off is powered by Workday. Learn more at workday.com. In this episode, Mary sits down with Claire Hart, Chief Operating Officer, Chief Legal Officer, and Board Member at Groq, to talk about what legal leaders should expect in the AI era - from their law firms, their teams, and themselves. With senior leadership roles at Google, Blizzard, and Genies, Claire brings a sharp perspective from the intersection of law, business, and technology. The conversation starts with the LinkedIn comment that got people talking: Claire said she would be horrified to learn that some of the law firms she works with are not using AI. From there, she and Mary unpack why adoption is still so uneven, how the billable hour distorts incentives, what young lawyers need to stay relevant, and why judgment, curiosity, and team design matter more than ever as legal moves into an AI-driven future. In this episode: Claire's AI hot take: Why clients should be alarmed if their outside counsel aren't using AI The adoption problem: How risk concerns and the billable hour are slowing real change Efficiency vs. incentives: Why the tech clients want conflicts with how firms make money What young lawyers need now: Judgment, communication, and adaptability over pure technical skill The blurring of roles: How lawyers, legal ops, and contract managers are starting to overlap What law firms still miss: Why understanding how businesses actually operate is now a competitive edge Join Mary's Substack Community Follow Mary on LinkedIn Rate and review on Apple Podcasts
Futurum Group's Nick Patience and Hydra Host's Aaron Ginn talk with TITV Host Akash Pasricha about Nvidia's $1 trillion revenue projection and the new Groq-based chip system. We also talk with Reporter Sri Muppidi about OpenAI's new AWS deal for government contracts and Editor Ken Brown about Mastercard's $1.8 billion acquisition of BVNK. Lastly, we get into Asana's AI agent strategy and the "SaaS apocalypse" with CEO Dan Rogers.Articles discussed on this episode: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-clinches-aws-deal-bid-win-government-contractshttps://www.theinformation.com/newsletters/ai-agenda/nvidia-needed-groqhttps://www.theinformation.com/briefings/mastercard-buy-stablecoin-startup-bvnk-1-8-billionSubscribe: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@theinformation The Information: https://www.theinformation.com/subscribe_hSign up for the AI Agenda newsletter: https://www.theinformation.com/features/ai-agendaTITV airs weekdays on YouTube, X and LinkedIn at 10AM PT / 1PM ET. Or check us out wherever you get your podcasts.Follow us:X: https://x.com/theinformationIG: https://www.instagram.com/theinformation/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@titv.theinformationLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/theinformation/
En el Radar Empresarial de hoy revisamos la más reciente proyección de Nvidia, que ha provocado un fuerte movimiento en los mercados. Su consejero delegado, Jensen Huang, afirmó que la compañía prevé alcanzar ingresos de un billón de dólares antes de 2027 gracias a la comercialización de chips. El mensaje fue presentado durante la conferencia GTC de la empresa, donde reiteró su optimismo sobre el crecimiento del sector tecnológico. Estas declaraciones impulsaron a otras acciones tecnológicas, que junto con el descenso del precio del petróleo permitieron que los principales índices cerraran la jornada del lunes en terreno positivo. La estimación coincide con previsiones anteriores, en las que la empresa ya anticipaba ingresos de quinientos mil millones de dólares para finales de este año, calmando dudas sobre una posible burbuja en la inteligencia artificial. Para respaldar sus previsiones, Huang destacó que la demanda de capacidad de cómputo se ha multiplicado exponencial en los últimos dos años y continúa creciendo rápidamente. Durante el evento también se anunciaron alianzas estratégicas con diversos fabricantes, como la startup Groq, cuyos sistemas integrarán procesadores de la firma, y Samsung, encargada de producir nuevos chips. Asimismo, se presentaron innovaciones como la familia Blackwell Ultra y el modelo Groot N1. Además, la compañía profundizó en colaboraciones con empresas como General Motors para el desarrollo de vehículos autónomos y reveló detalles de su nueva arquitectura Vera Rubin, que promete mayor velocidad y ancho de banda. También anunció acuerdos con IBM y Adobe para expandir el uso de la inteligencia artificial en distintos sectores, así como una futura asociación con Uber para desplegar flotas autónomas hacia 2028. De igual forma, la presentación subrayó la importancia de consolidar un ecosistema tecnológico amplio que permita a empresas de todos los tamaños adoptar soluciones avanzadas, reforzando la posición de Nvidia como actor clave en la transformación digital global y en la evolución de la economía basada en datos.
The Twenty Minute VC: Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
Gokul Rajaram is one of the greatest operators turned investors of the last 2 decades. He is trusted as the go to advisor for the greatest founders in the world. Today he serves as a Board Director at three public companies: Coinbase, Pinterest and The Trade Desk. Prior to Marathon (his firm), Gokul served on the executive team at DoorDash and Block. Before Block, he served as Product Director of Ads at Facebook. Earlier in his career, Gokul served as a Product Management Director for Google AdSense. Gokul is also a prolific angel investor, having invested in 700+ companies, including Airtable, Figma, Groq, Runway, Supabase, and Vercel. AGENDA: 03:53 — Investing Lessons from Google, Doordash and Facebook 05:32 — Why Mark Zuckerberg is the Greatest Distribution Genius Alive 07:23 — Why Every Company Today Needs to be Multi-Product 09:16 — Negative Gross Margins: Are the Best Companies Actually Built on "Shit" Economics? 10:50 — The SaaS Apocalypse: Is the Entire Sector Going to Zero? 12:15 — The 8 Moats of Enduring Software Companies: How to Analyse Companies 14:50 — Why Brand is No Longer a Strong Moat (And What Replaced It) 16:13 — Salesforce vs. Atlassian: Which Systems of Record are Dying? 18:13 — Outcome-Based Pricing: Is This the Total Death of Seat Pricing? 20:16 — The Bolt-On AI Trap: Why Rebuilding Your Entire UX is Non-Negotiable 23:44 — Are the Outcome Sizes of Vertical SaaS Large Enough for VC Today? 28:16 — The Zombie Cohort: What Happens to Private Companies with High Valuations? 32:44 — Is "King Making" Complete Bullshit? 34:21 — Durability Over Margins: What Really Matters in a 100x Growth World 35:36 — The Non-Consumption Miracle: Why Granola and Gamma are Crushing It 38:50 — The PayPal Rule: Can You Raise Prices 5 Times in 3 Years? 42:47 — My Biggest Miss: How I Misread the Shopify Billion-Dollar Mark 45:18 — The Courage to Bet: Why Instacart is the Best VC Deal Ever 46:33 — Seed vs. Growth Pricing: When Does Price Actually Destroy Returns? 50:53 — Does "Proprietary Founder Access" Even Exist? 54:33 — Double Down or Diversify? The Truth About Fund Reserves 59:44 — The Vanta Anti-Portfolio: A Mistake I'll Never Forget 01:01:21 — When to Sell: The "Sell a Third, Hold a Third, Trade a Third" Rule 01:04:12 — Why Remote Early-Stage Companies are Dying 01:07:33 — Why Mid-Level Partners are Fleeing Mega Funds 01:09:47 — The Best CEO Superpowers: Larry, Mark, Jack, and Tony 01:12:33 — The Next 10 Years: Why Dropouts are "AI Maxing" the World
Welcome to this audio special on Nvidia GTC 2026, the company's most anticipated event of the year. As the tech world gathers in San Jose, we tune in to CEO Jensen Huang's keynote to hear about the next frontier of AI. This year, the conversation shifts from model training to AI inferencing efficiency. We discuss Nvidia's strategic integration of Groq's "Language Processing Unit" (LPU) technology, which claims to run large language models up to 10 times more efficiently than traditional GPUs. Our episode also explores rumors of a dedicated inference chip and Nvidia's long-awaited laptop CPU, signaling a bold expansion beyond its GPU roots. With Nvidia's data center revenue reaching $193.5 billion, we analyze how these new platforms aim to solidify the company's dominance. Listen in as we break down the product launches and dealmaking strategies defining the future of computing. 歡迎收聽 Nvidia GTC 2026 年度盛事特別報導。本集節目將帶您深入瞭解聖荷西現場,解析執行長黃仁勳揭曉的 AI 全新藍圖。隨著產業重心從模型訓練轉向推理應用,我們將探討 Nvidia 如何整合 Groq 的語言處理單元(LPU)技術,追求比傳統 GPU 高出 10 倍的運算效率。 此外,本集將關注備受期待的 Nvidia 筆記型電腦 CPU 以及專用推理晶片的傳聞,這標誌著該公司正積極從 GPU 研發跨足更多元硬體領域。面對資料中心業務高達 1,935 億美元的營收規模,我們將分析 Nvidia 如何透過近期密集的併購策略,持續鞏固其全球運算霸主的地位。請隨我們一同聽取這場定義未來科技走向的關鍵解析。 Powered by Firstory Hosting
В этом выпуске мы вместе с Даулетом Жангузиным - инженером из Кремниевой долины с 15-летним опытом (NVIDIA, Groq, Cohere, Lyft, Google, Microsoft) - говорим о карьере в BigTech и о том, что происходит под капотом современного AI. Обсуждаем практичную сторону работы с большими моделями: как выжимать максимум из Nvidia GPU, чем полезен Claude в реальных задачах, и какие курсы/ресурсы действительно помогают расти инженеру, как пишут код в 2026 лучшие программисты Кремниевой Долине. Эпизод будет интересен тем, кто строит карьеру в разработке/ML, хочет понять трек BigTech (Microsoft → Google → Lyft), интересуется LLM-инфраструктурой и оптимизацией вычислений, а также ищет советы по обучению и прохождению технических собеседований в ведущие tech-компании. Арман Сулейменов: https://www.instagram.com/armansu/ Даулет Жангузин: https://www.instagram.com/daulet/ Продюсер и режиссёр: Данияр Ахметжанов: https://www.instagram.com/good.years/ Наш Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/nfactorialpodcast/ Получите одну из самых востребованных профессий в мире - ИИ-разработчик - вместе с nFactorial School - https://www.nfactorial.school/courses_new/llm-engineer
AI Reporter Stephanie Palazzolo talks with TITV Host Akash Pasricha about Anthropic's lawsuit against the Pentagon over its supply chain risk designation and how OpenAI's new GPT 5.4 model is landing with developers. We also talk with Anita Ramaswamy about OpenAI's sky‑high IPO valuation, how it compares to Anthropic, Nvidia and Palantir, and why some public investors may sit out the offering. Then we speak with Anissa Gardizy about Oracle and OpenAI's Texas data center twist, Nvidia's $150 million move to take over the site, the upcoming Groq–Nvidia chip reveal at GTC, and Anthropic's aggressive bet on Google TPUs and Fluidstack.Articles discussed on this episode: https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/anthropic-sues-defense-department-designation-supply-chain-riskhttps://www.theinformation.com/newsletters/ai-agenda/ai-agenda-anthropic-strong-legal-case-trumps-dodhttps://www.theinformation.com/articles/openais-ipo-hopes-face-skeptical-investor-communityhttps://www.theinformation.com/newsletters/ai-infrastructure/real-reason-openai-walked-away-oracle-stargate-expansion-abileneSubscribe: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@theinformation The Information: https://www.theinformation.com/subscribe_hSign up for the AI Agenda newsletter: https://www.theinformation.com/features/ai-agendaTITV airs weekdays on YouTube, X and LinkedIn at 10AM PT / 1PM ET. Or check us out wherever you get your podcasts.Follow us:X: https://x.com/theinformationIG: https://www.instagram.com/theinformation/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@titv.theinformationLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/theinformation/
Who dares to make predictions in the current landscape? We do! Our Predictions are back. Will our track-record continue on a high or will we be fundamentally wrong? Listen in to our Predictions for 2026 Navigation: Intro What will 2026 be all about? AI, AI and … more AI The big Hardware movements Of Start-ups and VCs Regulatory & Geopolitical Headwinds… and the Wars Fintech, Crypto and Frontier Tech Conclusion Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Bertrand Schmitt Introduction Welcome to Tech Deciphered Episode 74. That would be an episode about some predictions about 2026. What will be 2026 all about? I guess this year is probably starting with a bang. We saw the acquisition of xAI by SpaceX. We saw an acquisition from Grok by NVIDIA. What’s your take about what would be the big themes in 2026? I guess it would be for sure about AI and space. Nuno Goncalves Pedro What will 2026 be all about? Yeah. I predict a year that will be a little bit more of a year of reckoning in some way. There will be a lot of things that I think we’ll start seeing through. The fact that we are in the midst of an amazing transformational era for technology, the use of AI, but at the same time, obviously, a ridiculous bubble that is going alongside it as we’ve discussed in previous episodes. I think that we’ll start seeing some early reckonings of that, companies that might start failing, floundering, maybe a couple of frauds along the way, etc. I’ll tell you what I will not make many predictions about today, which is geopolitics. Geopolitics, I will not make predictions at all. Who the hell knows what’s going to happen to the world this year in 2026? I don’t dare making any predictions on that. Back to things where I would make predictions. I think on AI, we’ll have a little bit of reckoning. We’ll talk about it a little bit more in detail during this episode. Interesting elements around the hardware and physical space. Physical space, we just dedicated a full episode to it. We won’t go into a lot of details on that, but definitely on the hardware side, we’ll talk a little bit more about it. The VC landscape is going through an incredible transformation. We’ll talk about it today as well and some of our predictions for this year. What will happen to the asset class? It seems to be transforming itself dramatically. Obviously, that has a very direct impact on startups, so we’ll talk about that as well. And then to close a little bit the chapter on this, we will address some regulatory and geopolitical, let’s call it, headwinds without making maybe too many complex predictions. We shall see. Maybe by that time of the episode, we will be making some predictions. You guys should stay and listen to us, and maybe we will actually make some predictions about the geopolitical transformations that we will see this year in the world. Then last but not the least, we’ll talk about fintech, crypto, frontier tech, and a couple of other areas before concluding the episode. A classic predictions’ episode. We normally have a pretty good track record on some of these, but right now, the world is going a bit interesting, not to say insane. Bertrand Schmitt Yes, and going back to some news, Groq technically was not acquired, but, practically, it’s as if it got acquired. I’m talking about Groq, G-R-O-Q. The AI semiconductor company focused on inference AI, and it was late December. It was a way to end the year. This year, we started again with an acquisition of xAI by its sister company, SpaceX. I guess that’s where we are starting. AI, AI and … more AI We are going to start on AI. That’s definitely the big stuff. Everything these days, I guess, is about AI or has to have some connection with AI, or it doesn’t matter. I think every company in the world has seen that. You have to have the absolute minimum on AI strategy. You better execute on this strategy and show results, I would say. For the companies that were not AI native, you truly have to have a way to transform yourself. I guess at some point, the stretch might be too much, and it’s not really reasonable. Then you maybe better stay on what you are doing, especially if you’re in tech, you better be moving faster to AI. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Just to highlight, and I think throughout the episode, you’ll see that there’re obviously a lot of implications that would manifest themselves into capital markets. I mean, we’ll specifically talk about VCs and startups later on. But the fact that everything needs to be AI, the fact that there’s so much innovation happening right now, in my opinion, and this is maybe the first pre-topic to AI, is we’ll see a tremendous increase in M&A activity this year across the board. I mean, we’ve seen already some big acquihires we mentioned in some of our previous episodes, but we’ll see a lot more activity on M&A this year. Normally, that’s a precursor to the opening of capital markets. I predict also that there will be a reopening of the IPO market that never really reopened last year, to be honest. M&A, a lot more, reopening of the IPO market. Normally, it happens in the second or third quarter of the year. That’s what my M&A friends tell me. First quarter of year, everyone’s figuring out stuff. Then last quarter of the year, things should be more or less closed. Maybe the third quarter is the big quarter. We shall see. But definitely, as a precursor to our conversation today, I think we’ll see a lot of M&A, and we’ll see reopening of the IPO mark. Bertrand Schmitt I guess last year was not as big as you could expect on M&A given the tariff situation announced in April and May. I mean, it became quite tough to do IPO in such market conditions. Definitely, we can hope for something dramatically different in 2026. I guess talking about public markets and IPO, I guess the big one everyone is waiting for is SpaceX. SpaceX getting even more interesting with its xAI acquisition. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Do you think that because of the acquisition, it’s more likely that it will happen this year, or because of the acquisition, it’s less likely that it will happen this year? Bertrand Schmitt That’s a good question. My guess is the acquisition of xAI is all about xAI needing more financing and cheaper financing. This acquisition is a pathway to that. SpaceX being a much bigger company, a company that is also making much more revenues. I could bet that there is higher probability that, actually, SpaceX will go public in order to finance itself. At the same time, will it have enough time to prepare itself for the IPO given this acquisition just happened? Can they do that in 6 months? I mean, if anyone can do it, I guess it’s Elon Musk. It’s a strategy to present an even more attractive company with an even more interesting story, a story of vertical integration from AI to space. I guess the story as it’s presented itself right now, it’s one about having your AI data centers in space. Because in space, you have much better solar energy production with solar panels. You have a perfect cooling situation because you are in space. Thanks to Starlink, you have the mean to communicate between the satellites and with Earth itself. I think if someone can pull up a story like AI data center in space, I guess Elon Musk can. There is, of course, a lot of questions about is it practical? Is it economical? Yes. I certainly agree. I’m not clear on the mass, and can you make it work? Again, I mean, Elon Musk single-handedly, with SpaceX, managed to transform the space market on its head. I mean, they are the biggest satellite launching company in the world. They have the most satellites in the world. I mean, I’m not sure I would bet against him, and I guess I would probably believe that he could pull up something. Time frames, different story. The 2-3 years data center in space for AI as cheap as on Earth, I have more trouble with that one. I mean, it’s a usual suspect with Elon Musk. You promise something unachievable in a few years, but, ultimately, you still manage to reach it in 5 or 10. Again, I would not bet against the strategy. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Yeah. I’ve talked to a couple of space experts, people that have launched rockets, and have worked JPL, NASA, and a couple of other places, etc. For what it’s worth, their feedback is, “No way in hell, and we’re decades away.” We’ll see. I mean, to your point, Elon has pulled very dramatic stuff. Not as fast as he normally says he’s going to pull it, but within a time span that we all see it. Difficult to bet against him. In terms of actually the prediction, maybe to respond to the prediction as well, will SpaceX IPO? I’m going to make a prediction that has a very high likelihood of missing the mark, but I think Tesla’s going to buy and merge them both into it. It’s going to become a public company through Tesla. That’s my hypothesis. Bertrand Schmitt No. That’s supposed to be it. That’s how you solve that. Nuno Goncalves Pedro And Elon controls the whole universe. X, xAI, Tesla, SpaceX, all under one umbrella beautifully run. And SolarCity is well in there, of course, so wonderful. Bertrand Schmitt That’s possible. Certainly, you are not the only one thinking Tesla will acquire or merge with SpaceX. To remind everyone, Tesla is around 1.3, 1.5 trillion market cap. Depending on the day, SpaceX seems to be valued at similar range, 1.2, 1.3 trillion. It looks like it’s the most valued private company at this stage. These are companies of similar size, so that’s one piece of the puzzle. When you think about the combined company, we could be talking about a 3 trillion entity. Playing right here with the biggest companies in the marketplace today. Nuno Goncalves Pedro With a couple of tweets from Elon, it will rapidly get to 4 to 5 trillion. Bertrand Schmitt That’s so tricky. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Yes. On AI and back to AI, one thing I think that we’re about to see is this will probably be the year of agentic AI. Obviously, we predict a lot of growth on that side of the fence, in particular on the enterprise B2B side. We see a lot of opportunities coming through. From our perspective, at least at Chamaeleon, we generally believe that there’s going to be a lot of movements on agentic AI. It’s also going to be probably the year of the first big fails of agentic AI that will be newsworthy. There will be some elements about that loop and how it gets closed that will happen. I think we might see some scandals already. We’re already seeing the social network of bots talking to bots. We will see other scandals going on this year even in the consumer space and in the bot to bot space, which we now can talk about or in the AI agent to AI agent space. My prediction is we will see some move forwards. There’ll be some dramatic funding rounds along the way. We’ll see a couple of really cool things out of the gates coming out that are really impressive, but we’ll also see the first big misses of the technology stack. I don’t think we’ll go fully mainstream yet this year, so it’s probably maybe something more for 2027 along the way. That would be my prediction again. I think enterprise will lead the way. We’ll definitely see a lot of stuff on consumer as well that is cool. Then we’ll all have our own personal assistance in our hands, basically, literally in our phones. Bertrand Schmitt Going back to agentic AI, we also started the year with some pretty dramatic move. I mean, the launch of Clawdbot, renamed OpenClaw. I mean, this stuff took fire in like a week or 2. It was coded by just one person who actually didn’t even code the product but used AI to build the product, 100% used AI, proposing some new ways also to leverage AI to do coding. He has a pretty unique approach. It’s not vibe coding. I would say it’s a better way to do that. Then the surprising evolution with the launch of a social network for AI agents, Moltbook. I mean, this stuff, probably there is some fake in it. But at the same time, I think it’s quite impressive because it’s the first time we see truly 100,000 plus agents communicating directly to each other. Yeah. I mean, that’s the first time we see surfacing the possibility of some sort of hive mind on the Internet. It’s pretty surprising. Right now, all of this is a hack done in a few days. By end of year, by 2 years, 3 years, we might discover that, actually, the best approach to AI might not be the AI assistant like we are doing today, but a combination of hundreds of thousands of AI working closely together. We might be witnessing the first sign of new intelligence in a way. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Things like this social network might either be Skynet, the beginning of Skynet. They might be the beginning of Her, or they might just be a fad and nothing really happens. It’s just interesting to see what these agents are doing. Bertrand Schmitt Totally. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Obviously, there are real and clear and present dangers of some of the integrations of AI we’re seeing in the market. Interesting enough, and I’ll ask you for your prediction a bit, Bertrand. I think we’ll probably see the first big mishap of AI being used in some infrastructural decision in the age of AI. I mean, we’ve seen AI issues in the past and software issues in the past. We talked in previous episodes about that as well. Mishaps of software that have led to people dying. But I think probably the first big mishap will happen this year as well. Very public mishap of the use of AI and serve its interactions with infrastructure or something that’s very platform related, etc, that will have big impact that everyone will notice. That’s my prediction for the year as well. We’ll have the first big oops moment, as I would call it, for AI in this new age of full on AI. Bertrand Schmitt I would say first some perspective. I think today, people are not using AI directly for life and death decision, at least not that I’m aware. We’re not going to let AI fly a plane, for instance, tomorrow so you can be, reassured. At the same time, given there is such a race to AI, there definitely might be some mistakes. We were talking about the social network for AI agents, Moltbook. Apparently, all the keys used to secure the AI were shared by mistake because it was not properly locked down. We can see that indirectly, mistakes will be made for sure. Two, it’s highly probable that some people will trust AI too much to do some stuff, and this stuff might not work and might have some grave consequence. Hopefully, there is not so much of this. Hopefully, it’s mostly AI used for the good. But you’re right. I mean, at some point, the more we use the technology, the more there would be issue. I mean, it’s highly probable. Nuno Goncalves Pedro That will lead me to another prediction, which is, and we’ll talk about more of it later, but it probably will lead to the first significant movement in terms of regulatory environment certainly in the US at some point if it happens in the US in particular, where there will be some movement that will be like, “Hey, you guys can’t do this anymore.” Because this will probably emerge from mismanaged interfaces. From systems having access to stuff that they shouldn’t have access to in the first place. Talking a little bit more about what’s happening in AI. You’ve already mentioned some of the issues that relate actually to security and cybersecurity. We keep talking about AI. We keep talking about all these infrastructure pieces and platforms that are being built. I think we’ll have a lot more incidents like the one you just mentioned where things will be shared that shouldn’t have been shared, where people will break systems and get into it, etc. Let’s see where that takes us, which is a little bit ironic because, obviously, with AI, the promise is that cybersecurity becomes more robust as well because there’re agents working on our behalf on the cybersecurity side. There’s also agents working on the other side. Bertrand Schmitt It’s a constant race. It’s the attackers, defenders. Each time you have new technology, you have a new race to who is going to attack or defend the best. Each new wave of technology, it’s an opportunity to challenge the status quo. Nuno Goncalves Pedro The attackers have been winning, and I feel they’ll continue winning in 2026. I think it’s going to still be a year of attack. We’ll see more and more breaches, more and more stuff that will happen. Bertrand Schmitt I don’t know if they will win. I mean, it’s normal that they win once in a while. For sure, some infrastructure is not updated as it should. Some stuff are not managed as it should, so there will always be breaches. I don’t know if things are dramatically going to change because, again, everyone who cares who is going to update his infrastructure with AI for defense. There is no question that you have no choice. We will see. That I don’t know. For sure, AI will be used to attack directly with AI. Maybe you’re able to do bigger, larger scale attack. Or thanks to AI, you are simply able to create new type of attacks more easily. AI can be used behind the scene as a way to prepare and organise new type of attacks, even if it’s not used directly live in the battle. Nuno Goncalves Pedro One topic that we’ll come back to later is the geopolitics of everything, but maybe more broadly. On the geopolitics of AI, it’s very clear that we have an arms race going on. Obviously, the US on the one hand, China on the other hand is the two extremes, putting tremendous amount of capital into data centers just at the base of that infrastructure. Chipset development, chipset access, a huge theme in terms of the export restrictions, etc, that are being forced by the US. I think it will continue. From a European standpoint, obviously, they’re stuck between a rock and a hard place, to be very honest. Let’s see what happens on that side of the fence. My view of the world is that certainly from a US and China perspective, we’re going to see a lot more movements in 2026, like big movements. The Chinese movements we always see in delay. It takes us a couple of months, sometimes even more than that to understand exactly what’s going on. I think we’re going to see some huge moves this year in terms of the States, the United States of America, and China really pouring capital into the creation of the next big winners around AI. I think the US is obviously more visible. We see a lot of these companies. We’ve just discussed xAI and its acquisition by SpaceX or merger. I don’t know what they’re calling it exactly. Effectively, on the China side, the movements I think are already very big. As I said, it will take a while to figure out exactly what those moves are. One thing that I propose is that at some point, China will have very little dependency on chipsets from the US. I’m not sure it’s going to happen this year, but I think the writing is on the wall. Irrespective of any other geopolitical issues that is coming to the fore at this moment in time. That’s one of the key areas or in arenas of fight. Bertrand Schmitt It makes sense. If you are China, you will look at what happened. You would think that you cannot just depend on the largest of one country. It makes rational sense, the same way it makes rational sense for the US to limit exports to China because there is value to delay some peer pressure that could use these technologies for good but also for bad. If you were an ally of the US, that would be one thing. But when you are not an ally of the US, that certainly should be a different perspective. Maybe one last point concerning agents, I think there will be a lot that will revolve around coding. We can see OpenAI with Codex. We can see Cloud with code. There was, of course, [inaudible 00:18:28] that was trying to be big on agentic coding. I think agentic coding was one of the big transformation in 2025 and is going to get bigger in 2026. I think for a lot of people who do coding, there was a radical transformation in terms of what you can achieve, what you can do, how much you can trust AI to help you code. I start to think we might see this year, the replacement of not just one AI replace one coder, but one AI replace a full team because of the new ability to manage that at scale. Coding might be a common activity where you are going to think about outcomes, think about objective, think about how you organise, but not really coding by itself anymore. A big change, like you used to code, directly your hand on the stuff, but step by step, everyone is going to become a manager of agent. I think in one year, we saw enough transformation to think that in the coming year, the transformation can be even more dramatic. Nuno Goncalves Pedro The big Hardware movements Now switching gears to hardware. Obviously, a lot of movements in 2025 and over the last few years. One piece of thesis that we’ve had long-standing at Chamaeleon is that we will see the emergence of AI devices. Some of them have been tremendous failures as we discussed in the past. I predict that we’ll have a couple of really interesting full stack AI devices in the market this year. Why does that matter? Because, as many of you know, obviously, there’s compute that can happen in data centers and cloud infrastructure all over the world, but also there’s compute that can happen at the edges. The more you can move to the edges and the more you can create devices that actually allow you to have user experiences that are very distinctive at the edge, the more powerful some of these devices might become. I predict Apple will not be the first to launch anything on this. I predict probably OpenAI, after the acquisition of IO, will maybe not launch something this year, but will announce something this year. I’ll step back on that prediction. They’ll announce something this year, but maybe not launch. But we’ll start seeing some devices that have some interesting value in the market, probably devices that are AI devices, but they are very focused on very specific user flows, and so very much adequate to specific activities. I won’t make a prediction on that, but I think areas that would make sense for that to happen would be obviously around fitness, health, et cetera, et cetera, where we already have the ascendancy of products like Oura Ring and others out there. Definitely, that’s one area that might have quite a lot of developments. I think AI-first devices, devices that are very focused on compute at the edges, providing user flows that are AI-enabled to end users, we’ll see a lot more of that and a lot more activity this year. Again, I don’t think Apple will be necessarily ahead of the game. Again, maybe OpenAI will give us something to at least think about and look forward to. Bertrand Schmitt First, I’m not sure it will be that transformational because if it’s not in your phone, in your pocket, there is only so much you can do with it, and there is only so much computing power you will have. I’m doubtful it would be really impactful this year. Nuno Goncalves Pedro I feel we’ve been discussing this shift of paradigm in input and output. For me, some of these devices could lead to that shift. Because, again, a mobile phone is not a great long-term paradigm for the usage that we have because it’s really constrained by the screen. The screen is really what takes most of the battery life away. If we didn’t have that screen, what could we do? If we have the block that is as big as a mobile phone, and it didn’t have a screen, it was just compute, that’s a mini computer, a microcomputer. Bertrand Schmitt That’s a fair point, but I don’t see that transformation this year. That’s really more my point. I can see that you can have AI-enabled smart glasses, and it’s clear there is a race to AI-enabled smart glasses. My point is more to go beyond the gadget, it would take quite a while. It would need to have cameras. It would need to analyse what you see. It would need to hear what you hear. Again, it might come, but then at some point, it would be okay, what do you do with it? We have the example of the movie Her. That’s showing Her what it could be. There are definitely possibilities. It’s clear that if you take the big VR headset like the Apple Vision Pro, there is a failure from that perspective in the sense that I think it’s a great, amazing device. The big problem is that it’s doing way more that makes sense. I think there will be a clearer separation between your smart AR glasses that has to be light, that has to be always unconnected, and that’s primarily there to help you make sense of the world around you. The true VR headset that doesn’t really require much in terms of AI, and it’s just there to immerse you in a different world. For this, we know, unfortunately, in some ways, that there is not a lot of demand for it. Maybe there is little demand because you are too hidden in your own world. The technology is not working well enough yet. There are a lot of reasons. But I think Apple trying to do both at the same time, AR and VR, with the Vision Pro, was a pretty grave structural mistake. I think we would see a clearer line of separation between the two. There is bigger market opportunity for AR glasses. That, I certainly agree. There is opportunity to connect that to a computing device. As you talk about, your glasses are your screen, your phone becomes something in your pocket connected to your glasses. Nuno Goncalves Pedro For me, Apple has their way of doing things. From the perspective of what you said, they normally really plan their devices. Even if it’s a big shift in terms of a new area, like they tried with the Vision Pro, and we criticised them for launching it as a device that should have been more of a dev device that they really launched as a full-on device, but that’s their playbook, classically. I think Apple needs to change how they put products out and how they experiment with those products, et cetera. I think they have enough money to be doing everything all the time and figuring it out. If they don’t want to put it out, then they need to do a lot more hell of testing internally with their silos, but they should be playing across all these arenas, VR, AR, everything. They just should put devices out that are either ready for prime time, or they should call it something else. They should call it like this is a dev device or whatever it is. Bertrand Schmitt I agree with you. My complaint is more that it was marketed as a consumer device when it was not. It was a true developer device. Two, they tried to mix the two at once, and it made no sense. No one is going to walk in their home or in the street with their Vision Pro on their head. You have to be deranged, quite frankly, to have use cases like this. I think that for me is a crazy mistake from a company like Apple that prides itself in pure UI, pure user interface, very well-designed device for one specific use case, not mixing the two use cases. We still don’t have Macs with a touchscreen, you know? We still don’t have an iPad with a good OS that makes use of this great hardware. For some strange reason, they decided to mix everything in the Vision Pro with a device that weighs a ton on your head and is so uncomfortable. That’s why, for me, I’m like, “Guys, what is wrong? Why did you let this team run crazy?” I hope at some point, Apple will go back to the drawing board. My understanding is that that’s what they are doing. They are going to have two devices, one smart glasses, an evolution of the Vision Pro, just focus on VR. They might actually abandon the concept of the pure VR-oriented headset. Because, from a market size perspective, it might not be big enough for Apple, quite frankly. Nuno Goncalves Pedro I read on all of the above, and people at this point was like, “Why are then players like Samsung and others not doing it. LG, et cetera?” Because those players historically have not invented new categories. They’re amazing at catching up once the category is invented, and then they scale the hell out of it, and that’s what these companies have been exceptional at. I wouldn’t see a dramatic innovation, I think, in terms of devices coming from any of the big ones on that side of the fence. Not to disrespect them in any way, but I think that’s not been their playbook ever. Again, if the origination doesn’t come from a start-up or from an Apple, I don’t see those guys going after it. My bet is that we’ll see some start-up activity and, again, hopefully, some announcement from IO now within the OpenAI world. Bertrand Schmitt I would slightly disagree with you. I see where you are coming from. But take the Samsung Galaxy Note, that sudden much bigger headphone that no one was doing that was launched by Samsung, at some point, it forced Apple to launch an iPhone Max. Let’s look at the Z Fold that Samsung launched 7 years ago, copied by everyone. Now Samsung launching a trifold. Apple has still not launched their foldable phone. I think there is a mix, actually, of sometimes- Nuno Goncalves Pedro For me, that’s not a proper new category. It’s still a mobile phone. It just happens to have a screen that folds in half. Bertrand Schmitt The iPhone was still a mobile phone, you could argue. Nuno Goncalves Pedro No. I think the iPhone was… I could actually agree with you on that point. Maybe Apple is not as innovative in that case. I think what Steve Jobs was exceptionally good at in terms of his ability as this master product manager was to be an exceptional curator of user flows and user experiences, and creating incredible experiences from devices based on that. That was his secret sauce. Could you say, “Wasn’t all of this stuff already around?” It was. You just put it all together very neatly and very nicely. But if you’re talking about significant shifts in how a category is done, the iPhone was a significant shift in how the category was done. The Fold is still an interesting device. I actually have a Fold right now in front of me. The 7 that you highly recommended to me that we both got, the Z Fold 7. I think they do amazing devices. I don’t think they normally are the most innovative players. Then, when they come to innovation, it comes from technology edges. Obviously, they have Samsung Display, there’s a bunch of other things. They had the ability to do foldable screens in-house themselves. Bertrand Schmitt I don’t disagree with you. I think there is an interesting situation where some companies have some strengths, another one has some strengths. My worry with Apple is that this was not demonstrated with the Vision Pro. The Vision Pro was a hot pot of technologies barely integrated together, with use cases absolutely not well-defined and certainly not something that makes sense for most of us. There is a question of has Apple lost it? While Samsung actually keeps doing their own stuff, that, yes, might be more minor improvements, but at least they are doing it. Because it looks like Apple is missing the train on even the minor improvements. By the way, you might not be aware, but Samsung launched its Vision Pro competitor. Interestingly enough, it might be a better product in some ways, being much lighter and much more comfortable. Nuno Goncalves Pedro We should play around with that and report back to our listeners. Of Start-ups and VCs Moving to venture capital and the startup ecosystem and what’s happening there, I think it is very much a bifurcated environment, and it’s bifurcated for both VCs and for startups. If you’re a startup in the AI space, and you have the hottest team since sliced bread, and you can create FOMO at the speed of light, you can raise ridiculous rounds. Five hundred million at the $3 billion, or $4 billion, or $5 billion valuation, and you still haven’t really even started. First round, you can raise 500 million. That’s back to the whole discussion on Bubble and where are we, et cetera. Some of these companies might actually become huge, some of them might not. But definitely, we are seeing really the haves and have-nots on the startup ecosystem with incredible teams raising a lot of money very, very early on or mid-stage if they’ve already existed for a while, and then the rest not being able to raise. We see a lot of non-necessarily AI sectors, some of the areas of SaaS that don’t necessarily have AI in it, or fintech, or the consumer space that are really, really struggling. If you don’t have an AI story for your startup right now, it’s extremely difficult to raise money unless your numbers are just the best numbers ever. That’s, I think, the first part of the element of bifurcation that we’re seeing today. The second element of bifurcation that we’re seeing today in terms of fundraising is for VCs themselves, and really propelled by the large VC firms raising more and more capital in recent orbits, announcing 15 billion across funds raised. Lightspeed, I think, had made an announcement a couple of weeks ago as well. They’ve raised a bunch of money as well. The big guys are all raising a lot of money. At some point in time, the question some of you might ask is, “These VCs are redeploying more and more money if they have a couple of billion for a VC fund. How does that look like? Is that still VC?” My perspective, I’ve shared before in some of our previous episodes, is that that’s no longer venture capital. At that point in time, we’re talking about something else. Private equity hedge funds, if you want to call them, maybe funds that are really driven by growth investment or late-stage investment. If you have a couple of billion under management, you’re not going to make your returns by writing a $3 million check in a series seed and leading that round. That has implications for everyone in the ecosystem. It has implications for smaller funds that obviously have a lot more difficulty in raising capital. It’s difficult to differentiate. Last but not least, also for startups that really continue searching for that capital that is out there. Andreessen Horowitz, for example, runs Speedrun, which is a great program for companies around consumer in particular. Initially, it was a lot for gaming. But at some point in time, Andreessen Horowitz could decide that they don’t want to invest more in you. They just put money from Speedrun, which is obviously a very small check compared to the very large checks they could write mid to late stage and that will have an effect on you as a startup. What happens at that point in time if Andreessen Horowitz is not backing you up in later stages? More than that, what happens if I can’t get these big funds interested in me? Are the small funds still valuable to me? Punchline, my view is yes. Obviously, we’re a smaller fund, so there’s parochial interest in what I’m saying. Small funds can still create a ton of value for you, also in terms of credibility, ability to accompany you in those first stages of investment, and the ability to bring other larger investors later down the road as well. There’s definitely a big movement happening in terms of the fundraising for VC funds, which we shouldn’t neglect, which is the big guys are raising a lot more capital and are therefore emptying the market to smaller funds that are having more and more difficult raising at this point in time. We had discussed that there would be a need for concentration in the industry, that micro funds would need to concentrate, and we didn’t have the space for so many micro funds as we had around. But the way it’s happening is extremely dramatic at this moment in time. I think it will continue through 2026. Bertrand Schmitt Remember a few years ago, with the rise of AI, there was more and more of the question about, “What’s the point of SaaS at this stage?” Because SaaS was around for 15 years. Basically, how do you come up with something new that was not already tested, validated by the market? How do you bring something new? We say this was reinforced to the power of 10. If your product is not clearly built from the ground up for a new use case enabled by AI, anyone could then might have built your product 5, 10 years ago, and therefore, why now has no clear answer, and it’s a big problem. I’m still surprised myself to still see some entrepreneurs where you talk to them about AI because you don’t see them in the deck, and they explain to you, “It’s not yet there,” and you’re like, “What’s wrong with you guys?” Fine. Do whatever you want. Do a small business and whatever, but don’t think you can come up pitch and raise without an AI story. The second category is people who come with an AI story, but you can feel very quickly, I guess you saw that many times, Nuno, where just a story layered on top with little credibility. It’s not better. It’s not enough to just have a story. Your business needs to be radically built differently or radically proposing some brand-new use cases that were impossible to solve 5 years ago. Nuno Goncalves Pedro To stack up on that, absolutely in agreement. If you’re just adding to the story, and it’s an afterthought, and you’re just trying to make the story somehow gel, once you go into one or two layers of due diligence, your investors will very quickly realise that you’re not really AI-first or dramatically AI-enabled or whatever. It’s just you’re sort of stacking something on top of another thesis. It needs to make sense from the product onwards. It’s not just, let’s just put it together with chewing gum, and magically, people will give you money. It was true also if we remember the good old crypto blockchain days, where everyone’s investing in crypto. A lot of stories that didn’t make much sense. In that sense, it’s not very different. I would go one step further. I think in the world of the VC winter that we’re a little bit in, where it’s more and more difficult if you’re a smaller fund to raise your fund at this moment in time, there’s a lot of sources of distinctiveness still talked about, like proprietary networks, access to deal flow, fast track record, all that stuff that really, really matters. But our bet continues at Chamaeleon continues being that you need to be AI-first as a VC fund yourself. You need to have core advantages in using not only readily-available AI tools or third-party available AI tools, data sources, technology stacks, but actually building your own stack over time, which is what we did with Mantis at Chamaeleon. Again, just to reinforce that, I think we’re at the beginning of that stage. We, Chamaeleon, are ahead of the game, but we think that the rest of the market will have to move towards that as well. Still, to be honest, very surprising to me to see that many significant large players are doing very little still around some of these spaces. They have data scientists. They’re running some tools. They’re running some analysis and all that stuff, but it’s still, again, back to the point I was making for startups, all glued up with chewing gum. It doesn’t all come together nicely, which it does need to from a platform standpoint. Bertrand Schmitt It’s quite surprising. I agree with you that some VC funds might think that they can do business as usual in that brand-new world. It’s difficult to believe. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Maybe moving a little bit toward the capital formation piece. We already discussed the M&A space really accelerating. We’ve also discussed the IPO market and some predictions on that. Secondaries, there’s obviously a lot of liquidity coming from secondaries from mid to late stage. I think it will continue throughout the rest of 2026. A lot of activity in buying, selling in secondaries as some asset managers are becoming more distressed, as some very high net worth individuals and family offices are becoming more distressed as well, at the same time, where there’s a lot of opportunities to potentially arbitrage around some investments. I believe a lot of money will be made and lost this year by decisions made this year, just to be very, very clear in terms of equity, purchases, et cetera. Exciting year ahead of us. Definitely a very, very interesting market ahead of us. Secondaries, M&A, growth, and late-stage investing, also, early-stage investing will continue just for those that were wondering. Last but not least, the public markets, the IPO market as well. Bertrand Schmitt One of the big questions for the IPO market would be, will SpaceX go public? Would it be good for the startup ecosystem? Because suddenly that they go public, it would be to raise money. If they raise money, will there be any money left for anybody else? That would be an interesting test of the market. For sure, it would be proof that market are risk on financing a new IPO like this one. Or as you said, maybe there is no IPO, and it’s a merger with Tesla. Time will tell. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Regulatory & Geopolitical Headwinds… and the Wars Moving maybe to our topic of regulation and geopolitical headwinds, as we’re seeing … definitely not tailwinds. The Google antitrust verdict and, obviously, the remedies are expected to come forward now, and a lot of people are saying, “There are some risks of structural separation.” What do you think? Is it cool, but nothing will happen in the end dramatically? Alphabet or Google? I’m not sure, actually. It’s Google LLC. I think that’s the case. It’s The United States versus Google LLC. Bertrand Schmitt I’m not sure. Personally, I’m not a big fan. I think there needs to be a better way to manage some anticompetitive behavior. I’m not a big fan. There was this temptation to do that for Microsoft 25 years ago. Look at what happened. No one needed to buy Microsoft to leave space for others. I see the same with Google, and I guess they are happy to not be the number 1 in AI today, but to have an open AI in front of them. Even if they are doing a great job, by the way, to move forward and go faster and faster. Personally, quite impressed now with some of what they have released. Gemini 3 is doing great from my perspective. I’m not a big fan of this. I think to be clear, it’s important that bigger companies don’t behave anticompetitively, but at the same time, we need to find the right approach where it’s not about breaking these companies, and it’s also not about forbidding them to do acquisitions. Because then you end up with what NVIDIA just did with a $20 billion acquihire IP licensing type of acquisition, because they didn’t want to have the uncertainties. They didn’t want to wait 1–2 years in order to acquire the people and the technology, so they organised it in a different way. But I don’t like that. I think they should be able to acquire companies without facing so much uncertainty. To be clear, it’s not new. Uncertainty when you are Google, NVIDIA, or others, it happens. It has happened for a decade plus, 2 decades. I think there needs to be, for sure, some safety valves. At the same time, we want an efficient capital market. An efficient capital market need companies that can acquire other companies. If you don’t do that efficiently, it will be worse for the entrepreneurs, it will be worse for the investors, it will be worse for everybody. I think we have not reached a good equilibrium from my perspective. We need more efficient acquisition process. And at the same time, we need to also enforce faster anticompetitive behavior. Because what you talk about concerning Google, this is a case that was what? That is 10 years old. You see what I mean? This is way too long. If you’re a startup, you are dead by then. It’s like the story of Netscape facing Microsoft. They were dead long after the fact. I think we need a different approach. I’m not sure the best answer. I’m not sure we’ll get a better approach. There are probably too many vested interest. My hope is that it will get better with this current administration because, certainly, the past administration was very anti acquisition and efficient markets. Nuno Goncalves Pedro We’ve talked about the European Union AI Act a bunch of times, so I don’t want to spend too many cycles on that. The only effect that I would say is we are seeing in very slow motion the splitting of the Internet. I once had Tim Berners-Lee, by the way, shouting at me that we were going to break the Internet when we were applying for the .mobi top-level domain. I was part of that consortium that eventually did get the .mobi top-level domain, and I had him shouting at us. But, apparently, this is going to split the Internet, Tim. So in case you’re listening. Because it will create all these different rules. If your data is relating to consumers there, then it’s treated in a different way, and The US is… Well, obviously, we have the case of California with its own rules and laws. I don’t know. I feel we’re having a moment of siloing that goes beyond economic and geopolitical siloing. It will also apply to the digital world, and we’ll start having different landscapes around it. We’ll see how this affects global expansion of services, for example, around AI, particularly for consumer, but I don’t foresee anything dramatically positive. Recently, we had the whole deal around TikTok finally having a solution for their US problem where there’s now a US conglomerate magically that owns it. The conglomerate doesn’t magically own it, they just straight up own it for the US. But it was driven by many of these concerns around data ownership. Where’s the data? Where is it based? I think a lot of other concerns that have to do with the geopolitics of China, obviously, being the basis of ByteDance, the owner of TikTok, that still is a significant owner, by the way, in TikTok in US. Then also the interest in the economics of making money out of something as powerful as TikTok, to be honest, in The US. Just to be clear, I don’t think this was all about the best interests of consumers. It was also about money. Just follow the money. Bertrand Schmitt There are for sure, some powerful interest at play. But let’s be clear. I think one is data, as you rightfully said, but the other one is algorithm. It’s not as if China is authorising any competitor on its territory. They have blocked access to most of the Internet platforms from the US, either finding new rules or just trade blocking them. So I don’t think it’s fair competition. You don’t want some of that data in China about the US or European consumer. Three, it’s about the algorithm. If suddenly, you are a foreign power, and you can as we know in China, you better follow what’s required of you from the Chinese Communist Party. You cannot take a chance with influencing other stuff like elections in other countries. It’s fair from the US perspective. One could even argue it’s fair from a Chinese perspective to want that. I think the only one in the middle who doesn’t really know what they want is Europe because on one side, they want to benefit from American platforms, on the other end, they want to have some controls. On the other end, they don’t create the environment for startups to flourish. So in that weird situation where they have to accept some control by the big US providers and either provider of underlying infrastructure or provider of consumer business facing services. Then they try to regulate them. But I think they are misunderstanding the power relationship, and I think some of this regulation would get some blowback, at least by the current administration. Just, I believe, this morning, there was some news around X being under a criminal investigation in France. This is not going to end well for the French startup and VC ecosystem. This is not going to end well for France and Europe when you depend so much from your American friends. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Regulation will be weaponised. Regulation constraints around exports, all of this will be weaponised geopolitically, and the bigger guys will normally win. I think that’s normally what we’ve seen. Just on TikTok just to… And you guys, if you’re listening to us, just see if you see a pattern here, but obviously, 19.9% still owned by ByteDance of the TikTok entity in the US. It was initially said that 80% of the TikTok entity is owned by non-Chinese investors. Initially, people were saying US investors, and then they changed it to non-Chinese because MGX, I think, has 15% of it. MGX is based in the UAE, connected obviously to Mubadala, the Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund. Silver Lake is in there, I think, with 15% as well. Oracle as well with 15%. Those three are the big bucket owners together, 45%. Silver Lake having collaborated with MGX before, and I’m sure a lot of connectivity there. Then you still see a pattern in this in terms of shareholders. If you don’t, then just Google it. Dell Family Office, Vastmir Strategic Investments, which is owned by billionaire Jeff Yass, Alpha Wave Partners, obviously involved with a bunch of things like SpaceX and Klarna, Virgoli, Revolution, which is Steve Case’s, a former founder of AOL, is also in there. Meritway, which is managed by partners, I think, of Dragonair. Vinova from General Atlantic, an affiliate of General Atlantic. Also, NJJ Capital, which I believe is Xavier Nil, the French billionaire that founded Iliad. Mostly American, I think, if the math is correct. 80% non-Chinese, which was what mattered, I think, in many cases. But do see if you saw a pattern in most of those investors. I won’t say anything more than that. Maybe moving to other topics, maybe just to finalise on regulation and geopolitics. In geopolitics, we should talk about wars if we predict anything. Not that we are nasty and one want to be negative, but what the hell is going on? Will we have ending to the wars we already have ongoing or not? But before that, the struggles on the App Stores, I think, will continue both for Apple and for Google Play Store. The writing’s on the wall, the EU keeps pushing it dramatically and Apple keeps just doing stuff. I’m on the board of an App Store company. Apple just creates all these things that basically make you not really… It doesn’t work. You can’t provision then an App Store on Apple devices. On iPhones, et cetera. We’ll see how that will continue going, but I feel the writing’s on the wall. Both Apple and Google will have to open up a bit more of their platforms. I’m not sure it will have a huge impact in the medium to long term, but definitely we need to see more openness in access to apps as given by the two big platform owners, Apple and Google, out there. Bertrand Schmitt Let’s be clear. Google is way more open than Apple. We both have Android devices. You can install alternative app stores. It’s a different ballgame by very far. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Google does other nasty stuff. It’s public. You can check which board I’m a part of. You can see what that company has done towards Google over time. But to your point, yes. It is true that Google has been more open than Apple, but Google has done their own things. Just to be very clear, so I’ll just leave that caveat bracketed there for people to think about it and maybe read a little bit about it as well. Bertrand Schmitt I can say that, me, from my perspective, that path of total control that Apple has been going through on all their devices, that includes macOS, pushed me to, over the past 2, 3 years, to completely live and abandon the Apple ecosystem. I just couldn’t accept that level of control, that golden handcuff approach of the Apple ecosystem, each their own obviously, they are golden, their handcuffs, but they are still handcuffs. Personally, that pushed me way more to Linux, Android, Windows, back to Windows after all these years. I just couldn’t stand it anymore. I want to pick my devices. I want to pick what I install on them, and I don’t want to be controlled like this by just one entity for all my tech devices. For me, at some point, it was just not acceptable anymore. It’s still very warm, very golden handcuffs, but for me, they were just handcuffs at this stage. Yes, what they are doing with the App Store is very typical of that mindset. I think it’s quite sad because I think it started with good intention in some ways. “We need a new computing paradigm, we need to make things smoother and safer,” but it has really become a way to control your clients. For me, it has reached a point where it’s just way too much. Nuno Goncalves Pedro There’s obviously the great power comes great responsibility that uncle Ben told Spider-Man or Peter Parker. But there’s also with great power comes shitload of money, and control. So it’s like, “Yeah. Should we open the server? Do we want to delay opening it up?” “Yeah.” Anyway, it is what it is. Maybe let’s end on the more difficult note of the episode, which is going to be around wars. What’s our prediction? Will we have an end to the Gaza situation with Israel? Will we have an end to Ukraine and, obviously, Russia? What will happen in Iran? Those are the three big, big conflicts right now. Then, obviously, if we want to add just bonus points, what’s going to happen to Greenland, and what’s going to happen to Taiwan, and what’s going to happen to Venezuela? Let’s throw the whole basket in there. We’ve never had like… Let’s talk about all these territories and all these countries. At some point in time, I’m saying this in a light manner, but it’s obviously more tragic than it should be light, and people are dying, and there’s a lot of implications of all of that that is happening right now. Do you have any predictions, Bertrand, for this year? Bertrand Schmitt No. It’s tough to predict on an individual basis. I think on a more bigger picture basis is on one side, obviously, the rise of China on one side. You have also the rise of other countries like India, while very indirectly connected to some of these conflicts are still part of the game, buying oil from Russia, for instance. At the same time, I think overall, the US is more clear about with the sheriff in town. I think it’s good because in some ways, you cannot pay for the goods, you cannot have such a massive advantage versus nearly every other country on earth and just not be clear about who is the boss in some ways. As a result, what are the rules of the game and how it should be played? The US is not alone, obviously, you have China, you have Russia, you have India, you have Europe. You have different other countries. But at some point, it’s not good when countries are not rational and are not clear. I think I prefer the current situation where things are more clear and where you have to assume responsibilities about what you are doing. It’s time to be rational again about how the world behave. Yes, the concept of power and balance of power. I think there has been that dream, maybe mostly coming from Europe, about the end of history. I think that’s simply not the case. It’s not the end of history. It’s still about the balance of power. It has always been about the balance of power. If you are dumb enough to think it was not about that anymore, I just have a bridge to nowhere to sell you. I don’t have specific prediction, but I think it’s clear there is a new sheriff in town. There is a new doctrine about the Western Hemisphere that has been in some ways resurrected on the [inaudible 00:51:35] train, and I think we’ll see more of it. I think at this point, the biggest question is for the Europeans. What do they want to do? Because right now, their position of being a dwarf militarily while being a pretty big giant economically, I don’t think it works. Nuno Goncalves Pedro I agreed on everything that you said. I do have predictions. I’ll stick a flag on the ground just with my predictions. Bertrand Schmitt Good luck. Nuno Goncalves Pedro They are mostly positive. I do think we’ll see an end or, for the most, end to the two big conflicts, the one in Gaza and the one in Ukraine. I think Ukraine will end up in readjustment of territory and splitting between Russia and the Ukraine, but the end of hostilities, I think that we will see an end to the conflict in Gaza also with a readjustment on what that will mean for the Palestinian territories and the Palestinians in general. That I’m not sure, but I feel that there will be an end to those two big conflicts. Iran, I have no clue. I will not put a stick on the ground that I have no clue. There are so many things that could go wrong there. I’ve been reading some really interesting thoughts about even some aggressive thoughts that this might be the time to really change regimes in Iran and for the US to have a bit more of an aggressive stance. I really don’t have a perspective. Obviously, there’s a lot at stake there. Then, if we talk about the other parts, Greenland, I will not opine too much on. Maybe we’re done for now. Maybe there’ll be some other concessions to the US that weren’t already there in the ’50s. Taiwan, I won’t bet either. I’m sad to say I think it might happen at some point in time, but I’m not sure when and what would drive it. Last but not the least, Venezuela is my only really negative prediction. I feel it will continue to be a significant dictatorship as it was before managed enough by other people with the difference now that it has a tax to be paid to the US in the form of oil of some sort, etcetera, and maybe gas, maybe other things as well that it didn’t have before. That’s probably my most negative prediction for the coming year on the geopolitical side. Bertrand Schmitt Without going into detail, I would mostly agree with what you shared. At least that makes sense. But as we know, it’s not always what makes sense, but what might happen. I can tell you 100% I would not have guessed this operation against Maduro. This was so well done, well executed, and shocking at the same time that it’s… I think it shows that it’s hard to guess some of this stuff because there are certainly some new ways to wage limited war, for instance. So it’s certainly interesting, and we certainly need to get used to pretty bombastic statements. But for Venezuela, I don’t think it can be worse than what it was before. I’m probably more optimistic that gradually it can get better. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Just to put perspective on why we’re not making predictions on some of these elements, I think this is a funny story, but I was in Madeira. Actually, first time I was in Madeira, although I’m originally from Portugal. I’ve never been to the islands. Obviously, as you guys know, or some of you might know, there’s a lot of connection between Madeira and Venezuela. There’s a lot of immigration from Madeira Islands to Venezuela. One of my Uber or Bolt drivers there in Madeira was Venezuelan. Was born in Venezuela, but Portuguese descent, et cetera. He was telling me this was still last year. Late last year. Because I told him I lived in US, et cetera, and he was like, “Oh, hopefully, Trump will get Maduro out of there.” In my mind, I was like, “Dude.” No disrespect to the gentleman, but it’s like, “Okay. Mike, your perspective on geopolitics is maybe a little bit exaggerated.” And a couple of days later, we know what happened. When geopolitical decisions are better predicted by some probably very astute Uber drivers, you’re like, “Maybe I shouldn’t make a bet. I have no clue what’s going to happen, no clue what’s going to happen in Greenland, et cetera.” Anyway, a couple of predictions on that element. Bertrand Schmitt That’s why it’s so right. You have to be careful with the prediction, but it doesn’t remove the fact that I think nations and companies that have to play a global game have to understand in some ways what is the game, what are the powers in place, what could happen potentially, but also be realistic. Not be about wish and dreams, but more about, what’s the power relationship? Who has the money? Who has the means? Who has the capacity to do this or that? Because if you start that way, at least the scope of what’s possible, what’s reasonable is more and more clear more quickly. Some stuff like happened with Maduro, I would never have predicted, but for sure, if there’s one country that can do this sort of stuff, it’s the US. I’m not sure anyone has a technology and the means in terms of support infrastructure to do something like this. It’s tough to predict what will happen a year from now for any specific country, but I think that even trying to get a better understanding about the forces in play and their capacity and understanding and accepting that at some point, it’s all about real politic and relationship of power, the more your eyes would be wide open about what’s possible versus simple, wishful thinking. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Fintech, Crypto and Frontier Tech Moving maybe to our last section around fintech, crypto, and frontier tech. For me, just two very quick predictions, views of the world. I think on the frontier tech side, I won’t make a prediction. I will just tell you all to go and listen to our episodes, the one on infrastructure, which is immediately prior to this one, and the episodes that we’ve had around a couple of other topics including AI, what’s the future of your children, because I think they illustrate a lot of the points that we’re seeing and manifesting themselves over the next year and over the next 2 or 3 years as well beyond that. I feel those tomes are complete in and out of themselves, so you can just go and listen to them. Then my second comment is on crypto. I feel crypto has become of the essence, particularly under the current administration in the US, very favored. Obviously, we are now in a world where crypto is just part of the economic system, and I think we’ll see more and more of that emerging, and in some ways, crypto is becoming mainstream. Question is what blockchains will be the blockchains of the future? Obviously, there’s a bunch of bets put out there. We, ourselves, as Chamaeleon, have one investment in one of the significant bets in the space. But besides that, who’s going to win or not, we feel that we’re past the crypto winter. It’s now mainstream days, and we’ll see a lot more activity in there. Bertrand Schmitt I must say with crypto, I’m a bit confused. As you say, we are past the crypto winter. There is much less uncertainty in regul
We chart how AI leapt from chat to code, why product is now the leverage point, and how startups can market to algorithms without losing trust. David Yakobovitch shares hard-won views on moats, data, defense tech, and the immigrant energy powering American dynamism.• leaders and market share across Google, OpenAI, Anthropic• vibe coding benefits, code quality risks, review loops• prompt libraries, agent swarms, PRD automation• weekly shipping pace and the SaaS squeeze• marketing to algorithms, buyer agents, bot traffic control• pilot to production gap, rise of forward-deployed engineers• moats beyond models via domain, workflow, and proprietary data• China's progress, open source, and on-device AI bets• defense tech, swarms, and physical AI opportunities• endurance mindset, yoga discipline, and founder stamina• personal workflows across Gemini, Claude, and OpenAI• investing across seed and growth with outcome focusThe model wars aren't theoretical anymore—they're shaping how software gets built, shipped, and sold. We sit down with David Yakobovitch, GP at Data Power Capital and former global product lead at Google, to map where AI is actually working in 2026: vibe coding that shrinks teams, agent swarms that harden quality, and product-led moats that outlast model churn. David pulls back the curtain on how Claude, OpenAI, and Google now compete neck and neck on code and content, why prompt engineering as a job vanished while prompts became more valuable, and how forward-deployed engineers bridge the stubborn pilot-to-production gap that has haunted data projects for a decade.We explore go-to-market in a world where buyer agents screen your pitch before a human blinks. That means structuring materials for machines, tuning sites for humans and crawlers, and building demos that agents can evaluate safely. We also go into what happens as models commoditize: the moat shifts to domain depth, proprietary offline data, secure connectors, and measurable workflow outcomes. From small language models running on CPUs in air‑gapped containers to Apple's on-device bet, the edge is back—especially for Europe's sovereignty demands and public sector buyers.Then we widen the lens. Defense and “physical AI” blend hardware and autonomy: swarms, hypersonics, and resilient edge compute that must perform in the real world. David shares why he's backing both the silicon and the software, and how American dynamism—powered by immigrants and impatient builders—remains a durable advantage. Along the way, we trade notes on multi-model workflows, open source momentum, China's narrowed gap, and the endurance mindset that carries teams through the disappointment dip after the first shiny demo.David Yakoboitch: https://www.linkedin.com/in/davidyakobovitch/David Yakobovitch is a General Partner and Managing Director of DataPower Capital, a New York City-based venture capital firm investing across Applied AI, Inference Infrastructure, and DeepTech. With a portfolio of over 36 companies, David is an investor in the most defining frontier technology firms of our era, including OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI, Neuralink, DataBricks, Groq, Cruesoe, Anduril and SpaceX. David is a leading voice as the host of HumAIn, a podcast focused on Applied and Responsible AI. Previously, David served as a Global Product Lead aWebsite: https://www.position2.com/podcast/Rajiv Parikh: https://www.linkedin.com/in/rajivparikh/Sandeep Parikh: https://www.instagram.com/sandeepparikh/Email us with any feedback for the show: sparkofages.podcast@position2.com
SpaceX. OpenAI. Anthropic. The companies everyone wants to own but can't buy on the share market. In this episode, we unpack how private equity works, why the biggest companies are staying private for longer, and how the Pengana Private Equity Trust (ASX:PE1) gives ASX investors exposure to SpaceX and 500+ other private companies.In this episode:0:00 SpaceX, IPO rumours & why private markets matter2:10 The economics of space6:01 Why companies are staying private longer10:51 Private equity 101: how it works14:03 Has private equity outperformed?18:59 Why PE1 is structured as a listed investment trust21:35 PE1 performance, buybacks & distributions24:41 Beyond SpaceX: AI exposure, GROQ & compoundersStocks & ETFs mentioned: Pengana Private Equity Trust (ASX:PE1), SpaceX (private), OpenAI (private), Anthropic (private), xAI (private), NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA), Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), T-Mobile (NASDAQ:TMUS), Spice World (private), GROQ (private)None of Pengana Private Equity Trust (“PE1”), Pengana Investment Management Limited (ABN 69 063 081 612, AFSL 219 462) (“Responsible Entity”), Grosvenor Capital Management, L.P., nor any of their related entities guarantees the repayment of capital or any particular rate of return from PE1. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance, the value of investments can go up and down. This document has been prepared by the Responsible Entity and does not take into account a reader's investment objectives, particular needs or financial situation. It is general information only and should not be considered investment advice and should not be relied on as an investment recommendation.Pengana Investment Management Limited (Pengana) (ABN 69 063 081 612, AFSL 219 462) is the issuer of units in the Pengana Private Equity Trust (ARSN 630 923 643) (the Trust). Before acting on any information contained within this report a person should consider the appropriateness of the information, having regard to their objectives, financial situation and needs. An investment in the Trust is subject to investment risk including a possible delay in repayment and loss of income and principal invested.———Want to get involved in the podcast? Record a voice note or send us a message.And come and join the conversation in the Equity Mates Facebook Discussion Group.———Want more Equity Mates? Across books, podcasts, video and email, however you want to learn about investing – [we've got you covered.Keep up with the news moving markets with our daily newsletter and podcast (Apple | Spotify)We're particularly excited to share our latest show: Basis PointsListen to the podcast (Apple | [Spotify)Watch on YouTubeRead the monthly email———Looking for some of our favourite research tools?Download our free Basics of ETF handbookOr our free 4-step stock checklistFind company information on TIKRResearch reports from Good ResearchTrack your portfolio with Sharesight———In the spirit of reconciliation, Equity Mates Media and the hosts of Equity Mates Investing acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of country throughout Australia and their connections to land, sea and community. We pay our respects to their elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people today. ———Equity Mates Investing is a product of Equity Mates Media.This podcast is intended for education and entertainment purposes. Any advice is general advice only, and has not taken into account your personal financial circumstances, needs or objectives. Before acting on general advice, you should consider if it is relevant to your needs and read the relevant Product Disclosure Statement. And if you are unsure, please speak to a financial professional. Equity Mates Media operates under Australian Financial Services Licence 540697. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Recorded 10/29/25Vincent's Slava Rubin and Sacra's Jan-Erik Asplund discussed Databricks, Groq, Anduril, Anthropic, and Canva, five of the hottest pre-IPO companies in the asset class - and how investors can get access to them.Presented by the Fundrise Innovation Fund.https://fundrise.com/Vincent
The Information's Editors Martin Peers and Nick Wingfield discuss Elon Musk's push for orbital data centers and the reality of humanoid robots. We also explore how AI benchmarks can remain fair and unbiased, talking with Arena CEO Anastasios Angelopoulos about the future of AI model ranking. Plus, our AI & Finance Reporter Miles Kruppa discusses Groq's $7.6 billion payout to shareholders and Blue Owl Capital's massive data center financier role. Articles discussed on this episode: https://www.theinformation.com/newsletters/dealmaker/groq-shareholders-get-7-6-billion-payouthttps://www.theinformation.com/articles/blue-owl-eyes-new-deals-pushes-deeper-ai-boomSubscribe: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@theinformation The Information: https://www.theinformation.com/subscribe_hSign up for the AI Agenda newsletter: https://www.theinformation.com/features/ai-agendaTITV airs weekdays on YouTube, X and LinkedIn at 10AM PT / 1PM ET. Or check us out wherever you get your podcasts.Follow us:X: https://x.com/theinformationIG: https://www.instagram.com/theinformation/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@titv.theinformationLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/theinformation/
Your host, Sebastian Hassinger, talks with Alumni Ventures managing partner Chris Sklarin about how one of the most active US venture firms is building a quantum portfolio while “democratizing” access to VC as an asset class for individual investors. They dig into Alumni Ventures' co‑investor model, how the firm thinks about quantum hardware, software, and sensing, and why quantum should be viewed as a long‑term platform with near‑term pockets of commercial value. Chris also explains how accredited investors can start seeing quantum deal flow through Alumni Ventures' syndicate.Chris' background and Alumni Ventures in a nutshellChris is an MIT‑trained engineer who spent years in software startups before moving into venture more than 20 years ago.Alumni Ventures is a roughly decade‑old firm focused on “democratizing venture capital” for individual investors, with over 11,000 LPs, more than 1.5 billion dollars raised, and about 1,300 active portfolio companies.The firm has been repeatedly recognized as a highly active VC by CB Insights, PitchBook, Stanford GSB, and Time magazine.How Alumni Ventures structures access for individualsMost investors come in as individuals into LLC‑structured funds rather than traditional GP/LP funds.Alumni Ventures always co‑invests alongside a lead VC, using the lead's conviction, sector expertise, and diligence as a key signal.The platform also offers a syndicate where accredited investors can opt in to see and back individual deals, including those tagged for quantum.Quantum in the Alumni Ventures portfolioAlumni Ventures has 5–6 quantum‑related investments spanning hardware, software, and applications, including Rigetti, Atom Computing, Q‑CTRL, Classiq, and quantum‑error‑mitigation startup Qedma/Cadmus.Rigetti was one of the firm's earliest quantum investments; the team followed on across multiple rounds and was able to return capital to investors after Rigetti's SPAC and a strong period in the public markets.Chris also highlights interest in Cycle Dre (a new company from Rigetti's former CTO) and application‑layer companies like InQ and quantum sensing players.Barbell funding and the “3–5 year” viewChris responds to the now‑familiar “barbell” funding picture in quantum— a few heavily funded players and a long tail of small companies—by emphasizing near‑term revenue over pure science experiments.He sees quantum entering an era where companies must show real products, customers, and revenue, not just qubit counts.Over the next 3–5 years, he expects meaningful commercial traction first in areas like quantum sensing, navigation, and point solutions in chemistry and materials, with full‑blown fault‑tolerant systems further out.Hybrid compute and NVIDIA's signal to the marketChris points to Jensen Huang's GTC 2025 keynote slide on NVIDIA's hybrid quantum–GPU ecosystem, where Alumni Ventures portfolio companies such as Atom Computing, Classiq, and Rigetti appeared.He notes that NVIDIA will not put “science projects” on that slide—those partnerships reflect a view that quantum processors will sit tightly coupled next to GPUs to handle specific workloads.He also mentions a large commercial deal between NVIDIA and Groq (a classical AI chip company in his portfolio) as another sign of a more heterogeneous compute future that quantum will plug into.Where near‑term quantum revenue shows upChris expects early commercial wins in sensing, GPS‑denied navigation, and other narrow but valuable applications before broad “quantum advantage” in general‑purpose computing.Software and middleware players can generate revenue sooner by making today's hardware more stable, more efficient, or easier to program, and by integrating into classical and AI workflows.He stresses that investors love clear revenue paths that fit into the 10‑year life of a typical venture fund.University spin‑outs, clustering, and deal flowAlumni Ventures certainly sees clustering around strong quantum schools like MIT, Harvard, and Yale, but Chris emphasizes that the “alumni angle” is secondary to the quality of the venture deal.Mature tech‑transfer offices and standard Delaware C‑corps mean spinning out quantum IP from universities is now a well‑trodden path.Chris leans heavily on network effects—Alumni Ventures' 800,000‑person network and 1,300‑company CEO base—as a key channel for discovering the most interesting quantum startups.Managing risk in a 100‑hardware‑company worldWith dozens of hardware approaches now in play, Chris uses Alumni Ventures' co‑investor model and lead‑investor diligence as a filter rather than picking purely on physics bets.He looks for teams with credible near‑term commercial pathways and for mechanisms like sensing or middleware that can create value even if fault‑tolerant systems arrive later than hoped.He compares quantum to past enabling waves like nanotech, where the biggest impact often shows up as incremental improvements rather than a single “big bang” moment.Democratizing access to quantum ventureAlumni Ventures allows accredited investors to join its free syndicate, self‑attest accreditation, and then see deal materials—watermarked and under NDA—for individual investments, including quantum.Chris encourages people to think in terms of diversified funds (20–30 deals per fund year) rather than only picking single names in what is a power‑law asset class.He frames quantum as a long‑duration infrastructure play with near‑term pockets of usefulness, where venture can help investors participate in the upside without getting ahead of reality.
Andrew Mayne explains how chips like Groq and Cerebras are giving us faster training and inferencing, and how that can help save us time and power and increase productivity.Featuring Tom Merritt and Andrew Mayne. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Andrew and Ben return from the holidays to discuss Ben's Article AI and the Human Condition, and various responses to the preponderance of pessimistic forecasts for what AI will mean for the future, including thoughts on employment, sex, and the problem with trying to regulate human nature. Then: An email about OpenAI spawns discussion of cultural assumptions, market incentives vs. social incentives, and tech as an amoral force. At the end: Unpacking the logic of Nvidia's deal with Groq, a regulator's own-goal, questions on streaming TV vs. music, sperm racing, and advice for a listener debating whether to embrace suburban living.
This week, we discuss AI's impact on Stack Overflow, Docker's Hardened Images, and Nvidia buying Groq. Plus, thoughts on playing your own game and having fun. Watch the YouTube Live Recording of Episode (https://www.youtube.com/live/LQSxLbjvz3c?si=ao8f3hwxlCrmH1vX) 554 (https://www.youtube.com/live/LQSxLbjvz3c?si=ao8f3hwxlCrmH1vX) Please complete the Software Defined Talk Listener Survey! (https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSfl7eHWQJwu2tBLa-FjZqHG2nr6p_Z3zQI3Pp1EyNWQ8Fu-SA/viewform?usp=header) Runner-up Titles It's all brisket after that. Exploring Fun Should I go build a snow man? Pets Innersourcing Two books Michael Lewis should write. Article IV is foundational. Freedom is options. Rundown Stack Overflow is dead. (https://x.com/rohanpaul_ai/status/2008007012920209674?s=20) Hardened Images for Everyone (https://www.docker.com/blog/docker-hardened-images-for-every-developer/) Tanzu's Bitnami stuff does this too (https://blogs.vmware.com/tanzu/what-good-software-supply-chain-security-looks-like-for-highly-regulated-industries/). OpenAI OpenAI's New Fundraising Round Could Value Startup at as Much as $830 Billion (https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/openais-new-fundraising-round-could-value-startup-at-a[…]4238&segment_id=212500&user_id=c5a514ba8b7d9a954711959a6031a3fa) OpenAI Reportedly Planning to Make ChatGPT "Prioritize" Advertisers in Conversation (https://futurism.com/artificial-intelligence/openai-chatgpt-sponsored-ads) OpenAI bets big on audio as Silicon Valley declares war on screens (https://techcrunch.com/2026/01/01/openai-bets-big-on-audio-as-silicon-valley-declares-war-on-screens/) Sam Altman says: He has zero percent interest in remaining OpenAI CEO, once (https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/technology/tech-news/sam-altman-says-he-has-zero-percent-interest-remaining-openai-ceo-once-/articleshow/126350602.cms) Nvidia buying AI chip startup Groq's assets for about $20 billion in its largest deal on record (https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/24/nvidia-buying-ai-chip-startup-groq-for-about-20-billion-biggest-deal.html) Relevant to your Interests Broadcom IT uses Tanzu Platform to host MCP Servers (https://news.broadcom.com/app-dev/broadcom-tanzu-platform-agentic-business-transformation). A Brief History Of The Spreadsheet (https://hackaday.com/2025/12/15/a-brief-history-of-the-spreadsheet/) Databricks is raising over $4 billion in Series L funding at a $134 billion (https://x.com/exec_sum/status/2000971604449485132?s=20) Amazon's big AGI reorg decoded by Corey Quinn (https://www.theregister.com/2025/12/17/jassy_taps_peter_desantis_to_run_agi/) “They burned millions but got nothing.” (https://automaton-media.com/en/news/japanese-game-font-services-aggressive-price-hike-could-be-result-of-parent-companys-alleged-ai-failu/) X sues to protect Twitter brand Musk has been trying to kill (https://www.theregister.com/2025/12/17/x_twitter_brand_lawsuit/) Mozilla's new CEO says AI is coming to Firefox, but will remain a choice | TechCrunch (https://techcrunch.com/2025/12/17/mozillas-new-ceo-says-ai-is-coming-to-firefox-but-will-remain-a-choice/) Why Oracle keeps sparking AI-bubble fears (https://www.axios.com/2025/12/18/ai-oracle-stock-blue-owl) What's next for Threads (https://sources.news/p/whats-next-for-threads) Salesforce Executives Say Trust in Large Language Models Has Declined (https://www.theinformation.com/articles/salesforce-executives-say-trust-generative-ai-declined?rc=giqjaz) Akamai Technologies Announces Acquisition of Function-as-a-Service Company Fermyon (https://www.akamai.com/newsroom/press-release/akamai-announces-acquisition-of-function-as-a-service-company-fermyon) Google Rolling Out Gmail Address Change Feature: Here Is How It Works (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/google-rolling-gmail-address-change-033112607.html) The Enshittifinancial Crisis (https://www.wheresyoured.at/the-enshittifinancial-crisis/) MongoBleed: Critical MongoDB Vulnerability CVE-2025-14847 | Wiz Blog (https://www.wiz.io/blog/mongobleed-cve-2025-14847-exploited-in-the-wild-mongodb) Softbank to buy data center firm DigitalBridge for $4 billion in AI push (https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2025/12/29/digitalbridge-shares-jump-on-report-softbank-in-talks-to-acquire-firm.html) The best tech announced at CES 2026 so far (https://www.theverge.com/tech/854159/ces-2026-best-tech-gadgets-smartphones-appliances-robots-tvs-ai-smart-home) Who's who at X, the deepfake porn site formerly known as Twitter (https://www.ft.com/content/ad94db4c-95a0-4c65-bd8d-3b43e1251091?accessToken=zwAGR7kzep9gkdOtlNtMlaBMZdO9jTtD4SUQkQ.MEYCIQCdZajuC9uga-d9b5Z1t0HI2BIcnkVoq98loextLRpCTgIhAPL3rW72aTHBNL_lS7s1ONpM2vBgNlBNHDBeGbHkPkZj&sharetype=gift&token=a7473827-0799-4064-9008-bf22b3c99711) Manus Joins Meta for Next Era of Innovation (https://manus.im/blog/manus-joins-meta-for-next-era-of-innovation) The WELL: State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky (https://people.well.com/conf/inkwell.vue/topics/561/State-of-the-World-2026-with-Bru-page01.html) Virtual machines still run the world (https://cote.io/2026/01/07/virtual-machines-still-run-the.html) Databases in 2025: A Year in Review (https://www.cs.cmu.edu/~pavlo/blog/2026/01/2025-databases-retrospective.html) Chat Platform Discord Files Confidentially for IPO (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-06/chat-platform-discord-is-said-to-file-confidentially-for-ipo?embedded-checkout=true) The DRAM shortage explained: AI, rising prices, and what's next (https://www.techradar.com/pro/why-is-ram-so-expensive-right-now-its-more-complicated-than-you-think) Nonsense Palantir CEO buys monastery in Old Snowmass for $120 million (https://www.denverpost.com/2025/12/17/palantir-alex-karp-snowmass-monastery/amp/) H-E-B gives free groceries to all customers after registers glitch today in Burleson, Texas. (https://www.reddit.com/r/interestingasfuck/s/ZEcblg7atP) Conferences cfgmgmtcamp 2026 (https://cfgmgmtcamp.org/ghent2026/), February 2nd to 4th, Ghent, BE. Coté speaking - anyone interested in being a SDI guest? DevOpsDayLA at SCALE23x (https://www.socallinuxexpo.org/scale/23x), March 6th, Pasadena, CA Use code: DEVOP for 50% off. Devnexus 2026 (https://devnexus.com), March 4th to 6th, Atlanta, GA. Coté has a discount code, but he's not sure if he can give it out. He's asking! Send him a DM in the meantime. KubeCon EU, March 23rd to 26th, 2026 - Coté will be there on a media pass. Whole bunch of VMUGs, mostly in the US. The CFPs are open (https://app.sessionboard.com/submit/vmug-call-for-content-2026/ae1c7013-8b85-427c-9c21-7d35f8701bbe?utm_campaign=5766542-VMUG%20Voice&utm_medium=email&_hsenc=p2ANqtz-_YREN7dr6p3KSQPYkFSN5K85A-pIVYZ03ZhKZOV0O3t3h0XHdDHethhx5O8gBFguyT5mZ3n3q-ZnPKvjllFXYfWV3thg&_hsmi=393690000&utm_content=393685389&utm_source=hs_email), go speak at them! Coté speaking in Amsterdam. Amsterdam (March 17-19, 2026), Minneapolis (April 7-9, 2026), Toronto (May 12-14, 2026), Dallas (June 9-11, 2026), Orlando (October 20-22, 2026) SDT News & Community Join our Slack community (https://softwaredefinedtalk.slack.com/join/shared_invite/zt-1hn55iv5d-UTfN7mVX1D9D5ExRt3ZJYQ#/shared-invite/email) Email the show: questions@softwaredefinedtalk.com (mailto:questions@softwaredefinedtalk.com) Free stickers: Email your address to stickers@softwaredefinedtalk.com (mailto:stickers@softwaredefinedtalk.com) Follow us on social media: Twitter (https://twitter.com/softwaredeftalk), Threads (https://www.threads.net/@softwaredefinedtalk), Mastodon (https://hachyderm.io/@softwaredefinedtalk), LinkedIn (https://www.linkedin.com/company/software-defined-talk/), BlueSky (https://bsky.app/profile/softwaredefinedtalk.com) Watch us on: Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/sdtpodcast), YouTube (https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCi3OJPV6h9tp-hbsGBLGsDQ/featured), Instagram (https://www.instagram.com/softwaredefinedtalk/), TikTok (https://www.tiktok.com/@softwaredefinedtalk) Book offer: Use code SDT for $20 off "Digital WTF" by Coté (https://leanpub.com/digitalwtf/c/sdt) Sponsor the show (https://www.softwaredefinedtalk.com/ads): ads@softwaredefinedtalk.com (mailto:ads@softwaredefinedtalk.com) Recommendations Brandon: Why Data Doesn't Always Win, with a Philosopher of Art (https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-points-you-shouldnt-score-a-new-years-resolution/id1685093486?i=1000743950053) (Apple Podcasts) Why Data Doesn't Always Win, with a Philosopher of Art (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7AdbePyGS2M&list=RD7AdbePyGS2M&start_radio=1) (YouTube) Coté: “Databases in 2025: A Year in Review.” (https://www.cs.cmu.edu/~pavlo/blog/2026/01/2025-databases-retrospective.html) Photo Credits Header (https://unsplash.com/photos/red-and-black-love-neon-light-signage-igJrA98cf4A)
The Twenty Minute VC: Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
AGENDA: 04:30 Groq Acquired by NVIDIA for $20BN: The Breakdown 17:13 Meta's $2BN Acquisition of Manus: Did They Sell Too Early 36:04 OpenAI's Stock-Based Compensation Strategy 47:42 Will AI Replace Venture Capitalists 56:13 Navan Trading at 4x ARR: Who is Good Enough to Go Public? 01:09:46 The Rise of Invisible Unemployment 01:14:21 The Future of Work and Education in an AI-Driven World
In this episode of The Brainstorm, we discuss the latest developments in AI and technology, including NVIDIA's strategic moves with Groq and Meta's acquisition of Manus AI. We explore the implications of these acquisitions on the AI landscape, the potential for orchestration layers in AI models, and the competitive dynamics among major tech companies. The conversation also touches on the future of user interfaces and the evolving role of voice and text in consumer interactions.If you know ARK, then you probably know about our long-term research projections, like estimating where we will be 5-10 years from now! But just because we are long-term investors, doesn't mean we don't have strong views and opinions on breaking news. In fact, we discuss and debate this every day. So now we're sharing some of these internal discussions with you in our new video series, “The Brainstorm”, a co-production from ARK and Wolf.financial, and sponsored by Public. Tune in every week as we react to the latest in innovation. Here and there we'll be joined by special guests, but ultimately this is our chance to join the conversation and share ARK's quick takes on what's going on in tech today.Key Points From This Episode:NVIDIA's strategic investment in Groq highlights its focus on enhancing AI chip capabilities without full acquisition, aiming to secure a competitive edge.Meta's acquisition of Manus AI emphasizes the importance of orchestration layers in delivering agentic AI experiences, integrating multiple models for diverse applications.The discussion explores the evolving AI landscape, questioning whether foundational models or their applications (wrappers) hold more value for end-users.The hosts debate the future of user interfaces, predicting a shift towards voice interactions and the potential for new hardware innovations.The episode concludes with a look at the competitive dynamics in the tech industry, particularly the role of initial public offerings (IPOs) and acquisitions in shaping market leadership.To learn more about WOLF: https://wolf.financialTo learn more about Public: https://public.com/
This Week In Startups is made possible by:Crusoe Cloud - https://crusoe.ai/buildUber - http://uber.com/twistEvery.io - http://every.io/Today's show: Jason and Alex are BACK on TWiST for 2026! This holiday season was anything but calm, with deca-corn acquisitions, massive Polymarket bets, and major new startups breaking from stealth!Jason talks the recent Nvidia-Groq $20B acquisition, a major exit for Chamath as the lead investor back in 2017! Jason delves into how the VC fund math shapes out for pre-seed VC funds vs. Series A VC funds.Jason and Alex delve into drama swirling META's AI team. Yann LeCun, META's former Chief AI Scientist, announced that he would be leaving META to become Executive Chairman at AMI Labs. LeCun left the META team in the new year, calling the new Chief AI Scientist, Alexandr Wang, inexperienced. LeCun now looks to move AI beyond the era of LLM at AMI Labs.PLUS Jason and Alex talk about the new social media app Tangle, from Biz Stone, co-founder of Twitter, and Evan Sharp, co-founder of Pinterest. Their Startup, West Co, launched tangle, which seeks to become an “intentional living” app. The two look to improve how humans interact with modern tech. Jason points out that very few news products have worked, but is eager to see how two industry veterans build in the space. Timestamps:(00:00) Why Restaurants are OVER — Peptides and other self medications(06:41) Nvidia Acqui-Hires Groq for $20 BILLION(9:48) Crusoe Cloud: Crusoe is the AI factory company. Reliable infrastructure and expert support. Visit https://crusoe.ai/build to reserve your capacity for the latest GPUs today.(11:00) The VC fund math between seed vs. Series A funds(15:00) META buys TWiST 500 Company, Manus! Why it matters.(20:20) Uber AI Solutions: Your trusted partner to get AI to work in the real world. Book a demo with them TODAY at http://uber.com/twist(21:24) Why Yann LeCun left META, and what could be behind it(25:27) Producer Claude on the Gondola Crash in Zurich(29:13) Jason's Request for Augmented human intelligence(30:11) Every.io - For all of your incorporation, banking, payroll, benefits, accounting, taxes or other back-office administration needs, visit http://every.io/(32:04) How one Trader made $436.8k on one bet on polymarket!(36:05) Jason's Predictions for 2026 IPOs(40:01) Is news broken? How Tangle is tackling it.(45:53) How much should startup incur in legal expenses? Should founders try to use AI to avoid costs?(50:59) Why Google should let NotebookLM cook, make it a standalone brand! *Subscribe to the TWiST500 newsletter: https://ticker.thisweekinstartups.com/Check out the TWIST500: https://twist500.comSubscribe to This Week in Startups on Apple: https://rb.gy/v19fcp*Follow Lon:X: https://x.com/lons*Follow Alex:X: https://x.com/alexLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/alexwilhelm/*Follow Jason:X: https://twitter.com/JasonLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jasoncalacanis/*Thank you to our partners:(9:48) Crusoe Cloud: Crusoe is the AI factory company. Reliable infrastructure and expert support. Visit https://crusoe.ai/build to reserve your capacity for the latest GPUs today.(20:20) Uber AI Solutions: Your trusted partner to get AI to work in the real world. Book a demo with them TODAY at http://uber.com/twist(30:11) Every.io - For all of your incorporation, banking, payroll, benefits, accounting, taxes or other back-office administration needs, visit http://every.io/
Aaron Delp (@aarondelp), Brian Gracely (@bgracely) and Brandon Whichard (@bwhichard, @SoftwareDefTalk) discuss the top stories in Cloud and AI from December 2025.SHOW: 990SHOW TRANSCRIPT: The Cloudcast #990 TranscriptSHOW VIDEO: https://youtube.com/@TheCloudcastNET NEW TO CLOUD? CHECK OUT OUR OTHER PODCAST: "CLOUDCAST BASICS"SHOW NOTES:Link to December 2025 News and ArticlesFEEDBACK?Email: show at the cloudcast dot netBluesky: @cloudcastpod.bsky.socialTwitter/X: @cloudcastpodInstagram: @cloudcastpodTikTok: @cloudcastpod
The AI Breakdown: Daily Artificial Intelligence News and Discussions
Two blockbuster deals over the holidays quietly marked the real start of the AI agent era, revealing where competition is actually heading in 2026. This episode breaks down why Meta's acquisition of Manus signals a shift toward agents as distribution, not features, and why Nvidia's $20B Groq deal is really about owning the future of inference as workloads fragment and latency becomes decisive. Together, these moves show how the battle is moving from models and benchmarks to agents, infrastructure, and the interfaces people refuse to leave. In the headlines: xAI's massive compute expansion, OpenAI's renewed push on voice and devices, SoftBank's infrastructure spree, Brookfield's AI cloud ambitions, and Claude Code reaching the point of writing all of its own code. Brought to you by:KPMG – Discover how AI is transforming possibility into reality. Tune into the new KPMG 'You Can with AI' podcast and unlock insights that will inform smarter decisions inside your enterprise. Listen now and start shaping your future with every episode. https://www.kpmg.us/AIpodcastsBlitzy.com - Go to https://blitzy.com/ to build enterprise software in days, not months Robots & Pencils - Cloud-native AI solutions that power results https://robotsandpencils.com/The Agent Readiness Audit from Superintelligent - Go to https://besuper.ai/ to request your company's agent readiness score.The AI Daily Brief helps you understand the most important news and discussions in AI. Subscribe to the podcast version of The AI Daily Brief wherever you listen: https://pod.link/1680633614Interested in sponsoring the show? sponsors@aidailybrief.ai
Ranjan Roy from Margins is back for our weekly discussion of the latest tech news. This week, we do our 2026 predictions in an abbreviated holiday-time episode. Here's what we cover: 1) Meta buys Manus 2) Is the Manus deal an enterprise play? 3) What Meta could do with consumer AI agents 4) Why consumer AI agents are a good advertising strategy for Meta 5) Instagram head Adam Mosseri addresses AI slop 6) Meta Ray-Bans don't work in the cold 7) NVIDIA pretty much buys Groq 8) Elon Musk's Grok goes full pervert 9) Who's responsible? 10) What explains the rise of sports betting and prediction markets -- is it a lack of a stable financial future that would otherwise be worth investing in? --- Enjoying Big Technology Podcast? Please rate us five stars ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ in your podcast app of choice. Want a discount for Big Technology on Substack + Discord? Here's 25% off for the first year: https://www.bigtechnology.com/subscribe?coupon=0843016b Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
(0:00) Bestie intros! Nick Shirley joins the show to discuss his recent investigation on potential daycare fraud in Minnesota (3:32) Nick's background, how he got into investigative reporting and YouTube, independence, finding this story (16:36) Why this fraud story is resonating, why the national press initially avoided it (30:08) Future plans, California, possible Al-Shabaab connection, how high up does Minnesota's fraud go? (49:15) What the scale of fraud means for America, Minnesota's future, potential patronage scheme (1:09:06) CA's wealth tax: normalizing the seizure of private property (1:33:56) Chamath breaks down the $20B Groq-Nvidia deal Follow Nick Shirley: https://x.com/nickshirleyy Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/nickshirleyy/status/2004642794862961123 https://www.startribune.com/prosecutors-charge-5-people-in-a-minnesota-housing-fraud-scheme/601548944 https://www.nytimes.com/2025/11/29/us/fraud-minnesota-somali.html https://www.fox9.com/news/fraud-minnesota-detailing-nearly-1-billion-schemes https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/2005410646603473256 https://x.com/kevinkileyca/status/2006053056660541840 https://x.com/chamath/status/2006087862492582084 https://x.com/C_3C_3/status/2005722313795440956 https://x.com/OliLondonTV/status/2005988021946999166 https://x.com/tomhennessey69/status/2005556784228909441 https://x.com/WallStreetApes/status/2005849513676923358 https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/2005179409465299219 https://dcyf.mn.gov/programs-directory/child-care-assistance-program https://x.com/susancrabtree/status/2006079778873565541 https://x.com/chamath/status/2005386348169953607 https://x.com/aaronburnett/status/2003874734661161064 https://newsletter.amuseonx.com/p/the-somali-patronage-system-has-taken https://x.com/realdailywire/status/2006122428196442388 https://x.com/rightanglenews/status/2006375449404866720 https://www.auditor.ca.gov/reports/2025-601/
Looking at a weird GDP data point. Calling BS on Russia/Ukraine peace talks. Gold and Silver – WOW! Closing out the year – a good one too! PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter Warm-Up - CTP Cup - All systems go! 9 participants! - Lots to be excited about and anxious too - Looking at a weird GDP data point - Calling BS on Russia/Ukraine peace talks Markets - Gold and Silver - WOW! - Closing out the year - a good one too! - Buyers are still hot to buy any dip - "Diet" pills coming Bitters Making Progress - Chocolate -Dark Cherry -Infusions - https://highdesertbotanicals.com NYE Celebration - Cities across America ring in the new year by dropping unexpected objects: - Amelia Island, FL drops a giant shrimp. - Nashville drops a 400lb musical note with 28,140 LEDs. - Boise, ID, drops a glowing potato. - Key West, FL, drops an eight-foot ruby-red heel—complete with a drag queen inside! - In Spain, revelers gulp down 12 grapes—one for each midnight chime—to bring luck for each month - Denmark - Danes toss old dishes at friends' doors—large piles of broken crockery at dawn are seen as tokens of good luck. What a year! - So many themes in 12 months - AI, Tariffs, War and Trade War, Fat drugs, Deglobalization - Data centers, semiconductors, and supporting infrastructure like power and cooling systems. - Approx: DJIA +13.5%, SP500 +17%, NASDA +21%, BTCUSD -7.6%, Gold +64%, SLV +145%, $DXY -9.5%, EEM +30% - 2026 - Opportunities and Auld Lang Xiety (Tech still looks frothy in certain names) Top New Year's Resolutions - Exercise More - Eat Healthier - Save More Money/Get Out of Debt - Be Happy/Improve Mental Health - Lose Weight - Spend More Time with Family & Friends - Learn a New Skill/Hobby - Get Organized Active Management (Funds) - Same report annually - A small group of tech super stocks accounted for an outsize share of returns in 2025, extending a pattern in place for the better part of a decade. - Around $1 trillion was pulled from active equity mutual funds over the year, marking an 11th year of net outflows, while passive equity exchange-traded funds got more than $600 billion. - The concentration of gains in a few stocks made it harder for active managers to do well, with 73% of equity mutual funds trailing their benchmarks this year, the fourth most in data going back to 2007. - BUT, there are some areas that it makes sense for active management ---- Equity vs Fixed income and reasoning --- Efficient markets, boots on the ground Fat Pill - The FDA has approved the first-ever GLP-1 pill from Wegovy maker Novo Nordisk. - Novo Nordisk said the starting dose of 1.5 milligrams will be available in early January in pharmacies and via select telehealth providers with savings offers for $149 per month. - The approval gives Novo Nordisk a head start over chief rival Eli Lilly, which is racing to launch its own obesity pill. - Packaged food makers and fast-food restaurants may be forced to overhaul more of their products next year as newly approved, appetite-suppressing GLP-1 pills become available in January PowerBall - A ticket sold in Arkansas scored a $1.8 billion Powerball jackpot after Wednesday night's draw — one of the richest lottery prizes in U.S. history, landing just in time for Christmas. - The payout soared after last Monday's drawing produced no winners, with last-minute ticket sales pushing the jackpot to $1.817 billion. That makes it the second-largest U.S. lottery prize ever and the biggest Powerball of 2025, the lottery website said on Thursday. - The winning numbers — 4, 25, 31, 52, 59 and the Powerball 19 - Odds: one in 292.2 million. Silver - Amazing year! - Sunday night futures - >$83 then turned hard lower| - Down 7% on Monday - Range $83 - $71 (15%) for the day - Some rumors about a bank collapse due to wrong way position on Silver - forced liquidation and covering.... ----- Hard to believe that a bank was short that much silver - but..... SoKo Breach - South Korean online retail giant Coupang said it will offer 1.69 trillion South Korean won ($1.17 billion) in compensation to 34 million users affected by a massive data breach disclosed last month. - That is about 4% of Coupang's annual revenue - but a big chunk of their profit - $34 per user NVDA Deal - Nvidia has yet to issue a public announcement or disclosure regarding its $20 billion Groq deal that CNBC was first to cover on Wednesday. - Groq described the deal as a “non-exclusive licensing agreement,” a tool that's been used by tech giants of late in part to avoid regulatory scrutiny. - Analyst: “Antitrust would seem to be the primary risk here, though structuring the deal as a non-exclusive license may keep the fiction of competition alive,” Bernstein's Stacy Rasgon wrote in a report. - Groq will remain an independent company (?) GDP Consumption - Something is a bit off.... - With the marketplace costs increasing, this may be more than a one-off expenditure Q3 GDP Surge Russia/Ukraine - Less that an hour after the White House claimed great movement toward peace - Russian President Putin told President Trump that Russia will revise its negotiating position, raising questions over prospects for peace deal - Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov says Ukraine tried to attack Russian President Putin's residence - Does anyone even listen to the crap coming out of the White House anymore? - Did you hear Lutnick trying to explain the 600% reduction in costs for pharmaceuticals? Math wizards! - - For 2026, my wish is that they continue to work on the job at hand and just shut up Just for fun - Who is biggest drinker of spirits? - While there's no single official "heaviest drinker," legendary wrestler Andre the Giant is widely cited as having unmatched capacity, famously downing 119 beers in one sitting (or even up to 156 in other accounts) Oil - Crude oil futures down about 9.5% YTD - Much of the drop due to pick up in production (supply/demand) - Still a floor with as Russia, Nigeria, Venezuela etc - What will it take to move up? Best Auto Stock for 2025? - GM! Better than ford, Tesla and others (up 55%) - best year from coming out of bankruptcy in 2009 - Ford up 35% - Mary Barra, CEO selling into the strength - $73 M sold this year (Position down 73% from what she held last year) - - - Barra has contended for years that stock undervalued. With all of these say what does that say now? --- Would she ever say shares are overvalued? More fun stats - A peer?reviewed 2025 study estimates AI data centers (including indirect usage from electricity generation) consumed 312–765 billion liters of water annually. That's more than all bottled water consumed worldwide each year - Direct (on-site) water is used for cooling servers via systems like cooling towers or liquid loops. Indirect (off-site) water stems from electricity generation—particularly from thermal and nuclear plants, which require significant cooling resources - ??? Estimates suggest a single standard AI prompt (about 100 words) is linked to around 1.5 liters of water—accounting for the entire chain of consumption. (This is total usage from cooling powr consumption, electricity generation) - Global AI workloads consumed 50–60 terawatt-hours (TWh) in 2025—roughly the annual electricity use of a medium-sized country like Switzerland. - By 2030, AI-related electricity demand could reach 300–500 TWh annually, according to energy analysts—comparable to the entire electricity consumption of countries like France. Over to Iran - President Trump tells reporters that if Iran is building up its nuclear program, the U.S. will have to "knock them down" again --- Wait - I thought we destroyed all of their nuke aspirations??? - - - AND - Iran's currency hit a record low, triggering wave of protests, according to Bloomberg Fed News - Top Fed Chair Candidate Odds Narrow Again, With Hassett at 43% and Warsh at 35% - President Trump still angry at Powell 0threating to sue for incompetence Odd - Tesla Inc. published a series of sales estimates indicating the outlook for its vehicle deliveries may be lower than many investors were expecting. - The carmaker posted estimates showing analysts on average expect the company to deliver 422,850 cars in the fourth quarter, down 15% from a year earlier. - Tesla is on course for its second consecutive drop in annual vehicle sales, with the company compiling an average estimate for 1.6 million deliveries, down more than 8% from a year earlier. - These are estimates published by analysts - Tesla put on its own site - WHY? End of Year Stat - The U.S. national debt is climbing at a rapid pace and has shown no signs of slowing down despite the growing criticism of massive levels of government spending. - The national debt, which measures what the U.S. owes its creditors, rose to $38,386,384,190,622.68 as of Dec. 30, according to the latest numbers published by the Treasury Department. - That is an increase of about $5.8 billion daily - ~$18 per person in the US per day increase ($7,300) - or about the monthly price of leasing a small Mercedes - Each person in US owes approx $128,000 Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? THE CLOSEST TO THE PIN 2025 Winners will be getting great stuff like the new "OFFICIAL" DHUnplugged Shirt! CTP CUP 2025 Participants: Jim Beaver Mike Kazmierczak Joe Metzger Ken Degel David Martin Dean Wormell Neil Larion Mary Lou Schwarzer Eric Harvey (2024 Winner) FED AND CRYPTO LIMERICKS See this week's stock picks HERE Follow John C. 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Aaron and Brian make some bold predictions for the 2026 Cloud and AI markets, as well as reviewing the biggest issues going into 2026. SHOW: 989SHOW TRANSCRIPT: The Cloudcast #989 TranscriptSHOW VIDEO: https://youtube.com/@TheCloudcastNET CLOUD NEWS OF THE WEEK: http://bit.ly/cloudcast-cnotwCHECK OUT OUR NEW PODCAST: "CLOUDCAST BASICS"SHOW NOTES:CLOUD & AI NEWS OF THE MONTH - NOV 2025 (show)CLOUD & AI NEWS OF THE MONTH - OCT 2025 (show)CLOUD & AI NEWS OF THE MONTH - SEPT 2025 (show)CLOUD & AI NEWS OF THE MONTH - AUG 2025 (show)CLOUD & AI NEWS OF THE MONTH - JUL 2025 (show)CLOUD & AI NEWS OF THE MONTH - JUN 2025 (show)CLOUD & AI NEWS OF THE MONTH - MAY 2025 (show)CLOUD & AI NEWS OF THE MONTH - APR 2025 (show)CLOUD & AI NEWS OF THE MONTH - MAR 2025 (show)2026 CLOUD + AI PREDICTIONS (AND BIG ISSUES TO REVIEW)OpenAI Revenues and Focus AreasNVIDIA customer profitabilityCompanies moving to GOOG TPUsEnterprise success beyond CoPilot/GeminiEnterprise data+model trainabilityEnterprise price hikesBroadcom, AMD, Groq - alternative HW optionsData Center buildoutsDoes AI spending shiftWhat is Agentic AI?Long term spending + short term refocusesPREDICTIONS:At least one big AI IPO in 2026, and it won't go well. (Aaron says Anthropic)People will question whether Sam Altman is the right person to lead OpenAIAI will be a central issue in the 2026 US elections, either about job losses or electricity pricesOne major LPU/TPU/dedicated inference chip will break through in 2026Azure will be the Number One Cloud… (Aaron has to keep it going)We will start to see a shift in the Enterprise from big models in the sky (1+trillion parameters) to dedicated, purpose-built models of 500M or less in size for efficiency and securityGemini will dominate the consumer/prosumer space, OpenAI will go through the trough of disillusionmentThe industry will shift to a base/instruct and a reasoning split of modelsAWS and Azure will double down on being a solutions provider instead of a primitive supplier for AI and infrastructureFEEDBACK?Email: show at the cloudcast dot netTwitter/X: @cloudcastpodBlueSky: @cloudcastpod.bsky.socialInstagram: @cloudcastpodTikTok: @cloudcastpod
Timestamps: 0:00 James and the Giant Tum 0:13 Maingear's "Bring Your Own RAM" program 1:29 Samsung deals with tech leaks 2:49 Nvidia acqui-hires Groq (not Grok) 4:42 QUICK BITS INTRO 4:53 Asus denies memory fab rumors 5:33 Google allows Gmail address changes 6:24 Old small nuclear reactors for data centers 7:13 iPhones better support earbuds in EU 7:59 Rainbow 6 Siege hack NEWS SOURCES: https://lmg.gg/0eayc Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nvidia kindaquires Groq I'll tell you what we think the strategy is here. A shot across my bow that CES is next week. Accountants shut down remote testing because of AI. And for all the recent bullishness, an honest look at the immediate limitations of today's robotics. Nvidia Reaches Technology Licensing Deal With Startup Groq (Bloomberg) Why Nvidia Struck a $20 Billion Megadeal with Groq (The Information) Samsung brings Google Photos to the biggest screen in your home (AndroidPolice) Accounting body scraps remote exams to combat cheating (Financial Times) Even the Companies Making Humanoid Robots Think They're Overhyped (WSJ) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
A $20 billion AI deal while you were away?
Sara Eisen, and David Faber began the hour with a look at the precious metals rally - and why it's tied to the debasement trade - before discussing the broader market outlook with Trivariate's Adam Parker. Plus: is it time to go from hardware to software? Hear one veteran tech investor's take on why 2026 will see "mindblowing" advancements in the latter sector - and what it means for stocks... and former DOJ antitrust watchdog Jonathan Kanter's opinion on whether Nvidia's GROQ deal is a new way for companies to avoid scrutiny from regulators. Also in focus: a high stakes meeting today between the President and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu - the team discussed the latest and what's at stake with former Council on Foreign Relations head Richard Haass. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Ben provides an update on Ukraine peace talks and Nvidia's latest acquisition. Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure
Plus: China sanctions U.S. defense companies and executives including Northrop Grumman, Boeing and Palmer Luckey over Taiwan arms sale. And Google will let users change their Gmail address. Julie Chang hosts. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Brian Sullivan, Morgan Brennan and Dominic Chu discussed fresh record highs for the S&P 500, sparking investor hopes for a "Santa Claus rally." Gold, silver and platinum also hit new all-time highs. David Faber outlined details of the story he broke shortly after the close of trading on Christmas Eve: Nvidia agreed to acquire assets from chip design startup Groq for $20 billion. Elon Musk's Tesla and SpaceX in the spotlight -- a former Tesla board member shares his 2026 expectations for both companies. Also in focus: The stocks that have more than doubled and tripled returns this year, defense sector strength, the outlook for Lululemon and Nike shares after a rough 2025, Strategy goes defensive on bitcoin, tech's Christmas winners.Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.