POPULARITY
Today on the show, guest anchor Bianna Golodryga is joined by Yaroslav Trofimov, the Wall Street Journal's chief foreign affairs correspondent, to discuss President Trump's call with President Putin, and the potential for peace talks that exclude Ukraine. Then, Bianna speaks with Alexander Gabuev, director of the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, about how this is playing out in Moscow. Next, former Palestinian negotiator and senior fellow at the Washington Institute Ghaith al-Omari joins the show to discuss Trump's plan to “take over” Gaza, and how Egypt and Jordan are responding. After that, Quinta Jurecic, senior fellow at Brookings, speaks with Bianna about whether the Trump administration will comply with the various court orders blocking some of their more controversial actions, and whether the US is in the midst of a constitutional crisis. Finally, The Atlantic's CEO Nicholas Thompson joins to discuss Elon Musk's unprecedented influence on the Trump administration and threats to freedom of the press in the United States. GUESTS: Yaroslav Trofimov (@yarotrof); Alexander Gabuev (@AlexGabuev); Ghaith al-Omari; Quinta Jurecic; Nicholas Thompson (@nxthompson) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
The Future of Power - Der Geopolitik-Podcast von Agora Strategy
In the Agora Strategy Group geopolitics podcast “The Future of Power”, Dr. Timo Blenk (CEO) invites decision-makers from diplomacy, business, politics and the military to discuss current geopolitical developments on a monthly basis. The goal of this project is to provide information about the influences of these developments and to create a sound basis for decision-making. In this 26th episode Dr. Timo Blenk speaks with Alexander Gabuev, director of the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, about the war in Ukraine, Sino-Russian cooperation and a possible Western answer. The most important topics of the month: Crystal ball: Ukraine war and beyond Power dynamics in the Kremlin: The bear remains in control The Sino-Russian partnership: a geopolitical shift in the making Icy winds in the Arctic: players, interests and cooperation Existent but hard to quantify: Russian interference in Western democracies House announcements All further episodes of the podcast Agora Strategy on the web Agora Strategy on LinkedIn Current projects & events of the Agora Strategy team Agora Institute Executive Membership Agora Risk Report 2025 Dean's Comment: Dr. Peter Ammon zu Trumps Comeback New publication by Dr. Elli Pohlkamp - Südkorea & Japan
Gideon hosts an end-of-year discussion with Alexander Gabuev of the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, Jeremy Shapiro of the European Council on Foreign Relations, and Karin von Hippel of the Royal United Services Institute. They discuss what we can expect from the incoming Trump presidency, the prospects for peace in the Middle East and Ukraine, and China's strengthening ties with Russia. Clip: Fox 13 NewsFree links to read more on this topic:FT Person of the Year: Donald TrumpPutin says Trump's Ukraine proposals merit attentionXi Jinping prioritises consumers over chips as concerns over growth mountAI admin tools pose a threat to national securitySubscribe to The Rachman Review wherever you get your podcasts - please listen, rate and subscribe.Presented by Gideon Rachman. Produced by Fiona Symon. Sound design is by Breen Turner.Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The BRICS+ summit was held in the Russian city of Kazan this past October. The original BRICS comprised four countries: Brazil, Russia, India, and China. The first meeting that they held was in 2009. South Africa joined in 2011. BRICS has now grown to include Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, and the United Arab Emirates. The recent summit also invited 13 countries to the group as partner states. Countries that have expressed interest in joining BRICS include Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand (which is a U.S. treaty ally), and Turkey (which is a member of NATO).As countries in the Global South flock to form an increasingly significant geopolitical bloc in which China has assumed a leading role, it is important to understand how BRICS+ fits into China's foreign policy strategy and the role that the BRICS mechanism is likely to play going forward. To discuss these issues, host Bonnie Glaser is joined by Alexander Gabuev, director of the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center which is based in Berlin. His research focuses on Chinese and Russian foreign policy. Timestamps[00:00] Start[01:37] Behind the Creation of BRICS[04:08] BRICS+ in China's Foreign Policy Objectives[06:20] Domination of China in BRICS+[09:13] Russian and Chinese Interest in BRICS+[14:16] China and the Expansion of BRICS[18:07] Noteworthiness of the Kazan Declaration[21:10] Possibility of a BRICS Currency[28:11] BRICS+ and U.S. Policy Under Donald Trump[30:26] Responding to BRICS+ and a Multipolar World
Russia has revealed it will boost its defence spending by a quarter to $145 billion in 2025. But is Putin's war economy sustainable? What does all this mean for life in the country? And how could it impact the war?The BBC's Steve Rosenberg joins us from a Moscow supermarket, Russian citizen ‘Gleb' explains why there are dozens of types of cola in shops, and Bloomberg's Stephanie Baker joins Carnegie's Alexander Gabuev to discuss whether Russians are feeling the pinch.Today's episode is presented by Victoria Derbyshire and Vitaly Shevchenko. The producers were Arsenii Sokolov, Cordelia Hemming and Ivana Davidovic. The technical producer was Ben Andrews. The series producer is Tim Walklate. The senior news editor is Sarah Wadeson. Email Ukrainecast@bbc.co.uk with your questions and comments. You can also send us a message or voice note via WhatsApp, Signal or Telegram to +44 330 1239480You can join the Ukrainecast discussion on Newscast's Discord server here: tinyurl.com/ukrainecastdiscord
Ukraine's incursion into the Kursk region of Russia represented another sign that Vladimir Putin's invasion is not going to plan. But numerous setbacks, and the sanctions regime imposed by the west, have so far failed to loosen the Russian leader's grip on power. Gideon discusses why Russians are still backing Putin with Alexander Gabuev of the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center. Clip: Deutsche WelleFollow Gideon on X @gideonrachmanFree links to read more on this topic:Vladimir Putin visits Mongolia despite international arrest warrantUS accuses China of directly supporting Russia's ‘war machine'The Kremlin princelings cementing Putin's ruleUkraine's battle against Russia in maps: latest updatesSubscribe to The Rachman Review wherever you get your podcasts - please listen, rate and subscribe.Presented by Gideon Rachman. Produced by Fiona Symon. Sound design is by Breen Turner.Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
A top Russian analyst told DW that 2023 has been a "surprisingly good year" for Russian President Vladimir Putin and his war on Ukraine. The level of Western support for Ukraine will determine the course of 2024, Alexander Gabuev told Conflict Zone's Tim Sebastian.
A top Russian analyst told DW that 2023 has been a "surprisingly good year" for Russian President Vladimir Putin and his war on Ukraine. The level of Western support for Ukraine will determine the course of 2024, Alexander Gabuev told Conflict Zone's Tim Sebastian.
Alexander Gabuev is the Director of the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, based in Berlin.In this episode, he talks about having to leave Moscow and how he now gauges what's happening in Russia from abroad. He explains how Russia is out of options and increasingly seems to become a vassal state of China, and he talks about how alienation between China and Russia on one side, and the West on the other, is here to stay – and what that means.Alexander will speak at the STATE OF ASIA conference in Zurich on November 22, 2023. Find information on how to get tickets on our website.STATE OF ASIA brings you engaging conversations with leading minds on the issues that shape Asia and affect us all.Stay up-to-date on all events and activities at Asia Society Switzerland: subscribe to the newsletter and support our work by becoming a member.-STATE OF ASIA is a podcast from Asia Society Switzerland. Season 5, episode 2 - Published: October 3, 2023Host: Serena Jung,Program and Communications Director, Asia Society SwitzerlandEditor and Producer: Remko Tanis, Programs and Editorial Manager, Asia Society Switzerland
Ukraine today appeared to send another message to Moscow with a second drone attack targeting the same office building housing Russian government offices. Meanwhile, Russia's deadly attacks on Ukraine's civilians continue, including on Zelensky's hometown Kryvyi Rih. As the war grinds on, Vladimir Putin is digging in, introducing a new law which raises the maximum conscription age from 27 to 30, so large numbers of Russian men will now be available for combat. Russia analyst Alexander Gabuev points to this as evidence that “Putin is looking for a bigger war, not an off-ramp, in Ukraine.” He joins the show, alongside former State Department advisor Karin von Hippel. Also on today's show: Patrick Gaspard, Former US Ambassador to South Africa / CEO, Center for American Progress; Kamissa Camara, Former Minister of Foreign Affairs in Mali / Senior Advisor for Africa, US Institute of Peace; Lena Andrews, Author, “Valiant Women: The Extraordinary American Servicewomen Who Helped Win World War II” To learn more about how CNN protects listener privacy, visit cnn.com/privacy
After more than one year of conflict, the Russia-Ukraine War continues to drag on. Last week, China's envoy, Li Hui, traveled throughout European capitals to discuss the potential for a “political settlement” of the Ukraine crisis. Meanwhile, Kiev has launched a counteroffensive in five areas along the front in Donetsk. In the background, China-Russia diplomatic, economic, and military relations remain robust. How is the Ukraine war impacting China-Russia relations? Are there limits to the China-Russia partnership? Will relations between Moscow and Beijing grow more or less asymmetrical in the years to come?This China in the World podcast was recorded as a live Twitter Spaces discussion featuring Alexander Gabuev, Amy Chew, and Paul Haenle on the state of the Ukraine War and China-Russia relations.
This week, a top Chinese envoy is traveling across Europe, making stops in Ukraine and Russia. Beijing says that the purpose of the trip is to discuss a “political settlement” to the war. But this diplomatic push raises bigger questions not just about China's attempt to position itself as a peacemaker but also about the growing closeness of Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping. Bonny Lin is a fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. She previously served in the Pentagon, including as country director for China. Alexander Gabuev is the director of the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, based in Berlin, where he moved after leaving Moscow at the start of the war. We discuss the relationship between Putin and Xi, how China has responded to the war in Ukraine, and whether China might provide Russia with lethal aid. You can find transcripts and more episodes of The Foreign Affairs Interview at https://www.foreignaffairs.com/podcasts/foreign-affairs-interview.
Why did Xi Jinping choose to visit Moscow at a time when Russia has been ostracized by the global community for its invasion of Ukraine? Did both sides get what they wanted from the visit? Has Russia resigned itself to being the junior partner in this burgeoning relationship? What is China's agenda in putting forward a peace plan for Ukraine? Podcast host Alexander Gabuev is joined by Yanmei Xie, a geopolitics analyst at Gavekal Research, and Vita Spivak, an analyst at Control Risks and non-resident senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
There's been a lot of speculation in the news recently over whether or not China will come to Russia's aid in the fight in Ukraine. Although many Western outlets are panicking about the likelihood, is it as straightforward as China jumping into the fray? The answer may lie in the recent history of the relationship of the two powers.Sources"China and Russia: Economic Unequals", Jonathan E. Hillman, 2020"China's Relations with Russia", Alexei D. Voskressenski (in China and the World, David Shambaugh eds.), 2020"FRIENDS WITH BENEFITS?: Russian-Chinese Relations After the Ukraine Crisis", Alexander Gabuev, 2016"The "Rise" of China in the Eyes of Russia: A Source of Threats or New Opportunities?", Anastasia Solomentseva, 2014"Russia: New Eastern Perspectives", Vladimir Putin, 2000"Will China rescue Russia", Sinobabble Substack Axis of authoritarians: Implications of China-Russia Cooperation, Richard J. Ellings and Robert Sutter, 2018 "China and Russia: united in opposition", Roderick Kefferpütz (text) and Vincent Brussee (data), 2022"Moscow's Failed Pivot to China", Thomas S. Eder and Mikko Huotari, 2016Chapters00:00: Intro02:07: Deng Xiaoping Era03:49: Jiang Zemin Era09:50: Hu Jintao Era17:43: Xi Jinping Era23:35: The Future of China-Russia Relations27:30: OutroSupport the showSign up for Buzzsprout to launch your podcasting journey: https://www.buzzsprout.com/?referrer_id=162442Subscribe to the Sinobabble Newsletter: https://sinobabble.substack.com/Support Sinobabble on Buy me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/Sinobabblepod
It's been one year now since Vladimir Putin launched his assault on Ukraine, and China has sought to maintain the same difficult, awkward straddle across a difficult year. Did Beijing's efforts to project the impression that it had distanced itself from Russia in the wake of the Party Congress mean anything? And how should the U.S. manage its expectations of what China can or will do? Evan Feigenbaum, vice president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, joins us again as he did a year ago. We're also joined by his colleague Alexander (Sasha) Gabuev, who is a senior fellow at Carnegie, who headed the Carnegie Moscow Center until recently.4:37 – Are Beijing's actions surprising?7:34 – The nature of China-Russia relations15:45 – How has Beijing concretely supported Russia?22:07 – Did Beijing know Putin was going to invade?29:48 – European perspectives on the No Limits partnership37:02 – Beijing's assessment of Russia's military performance39:07 – What Beijing has learned from Russia's invasion46:47 – What carrots can the United States offer China?A complete transcript of this podcast is available at TheChinaProject.com.Recommendations:Sasha: Writing From Ukraine: Fiction, Poetry and Essays since 1965 by Mark AndryczykEvan: The Road Less Traveled: The Secret Battle to End the Great War,1916-1917 by Philip ZelikowKaiser: Jessica Chen Weiss on The Ezra Klein Show and The Problem With Jon Stewart; "Avoiding Catastrophe Will Be the True Test of Fractious U.S.-China Relations," an op-ed in the Financial Times by Jude BlanchetteSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Wie und wann könnte der Krieg in der Ukraine enden? Ist das überhaupt mit einem Kremlchef Wladimir Putin möglich? Und wie fest sitzt dieser im Sattel? Um diese Fragen geht es in der vierten Folge des Handelsblatt-Podcast-Spezials „Ein Jahr Krieg in der Ukraine“. Oleksij Makejew, der ukrainische Botschafter in Deutschland, nennt als Voraussetzungen für eine Friedenslösung „das Ende von imperialistischem Denken und ein demokratisches Russland“. Dies sei aber weder in der russischen Führung noch in der Bevölkerung zu erkennen. In der Rede Putins am Dienstag dieser Woche sei erneut klar geworden, dass er zu Verhandlungen überhaupt nicht bereit sei und der Ukraine weiter das Existenzrecht abspreche. Chinas Vermittlungsbemühungen kommentiert Makejew mit klaren Worten: „Wir brauchen keine Mediatoren, wir brauchen Verbündete.“ Alexander Gabuev, Senior Fellow bei der Carnegie-Stiftung für Internationalen Frieden, sieht aktuell keine Gefahr für Putin. Er geht aufgrund von Umfragen davon aus, dass rund ein Fünftel der russischen Bevölkerung den Krieg in der Ukraine unterstützt. Etwa ein weiteres Fünftel sei dagegen. Viele davon wollten das Land verlassen. Etwa 60 Prozent der Bevölkerung interessiere die Kriegsfrage nicht. Diese „riesige Welle an Passivität“ legitimiere Putins Vorgehen. Mit harten Strafen für einzelne Protestierende schüre die Regierung bewusst Angst innerhalb der Bevölkerung. *** Exklusives Angebot für Handelsblatt Today-Hörer: Testen Sie Handelsblatt Premium 4 Wochen für 1 € und bleiben Sie immer informiert, was die Finanzmärkte bewegt. Mehr Informationen: www.handelsblatt.com/mehrfinanzen Wenn Sie Anmerkungen, Fragen, Kritik oder Lob zu dieser Folge haben, schreiben Sie uns gern per E-Mail: today@handelsblattgroup.com Ab sofort sind wir bei WhatsApp, Signal und Telegram über folgende Nummer erreichbar: 01523 – 80 99 427 Helfen Sie uns, unsere Podcasts weiter zu verbessern. Ihre Meinung ist uns wichtig: www.handelsblatt.com/zufriedenheit
Podcast host Alexander Gabuev and Sergei Vakulenko, a new non-resident senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment, discuss the energy dimension of the ongoing battle between Russia and the West. How successful was Russia's plan to wreak economic havoc in Europe by choking gas supplies? Can Europe breathe a sigh of relief, or will Russian energy blackmail still a be threat next winter? How effective have Western energy sanctions been in cutting off the cash flow for the Kremlin's war machine? And what impact has the war in Ukraine had on the green agenda, both in Russia and beyond? Read Vakulenko's piece on how Russian oil companies defied sanctions and paid less tax here: https://carnegieendowment.org/politika/89052
Nearly twelve months ago, Russia launched a large-scale land invasion into Ukraine, upending the post-Cold War landscape in Europe. While the United States and NATO quickly coalesced around the defense of Ukraine, many countries in Asia and the developing world have carefully balanced their relations between Russia, Ukraine, and the West. China, for its part, has straddled several competing objectives–calling for an end to hostilities in Ukraine, yet maintaining a close strategic partnership with Russia.Amid the war in Ukraine, trade between Beijing and Moscow is on the rise. Chinese and Russian diplomats maintain frequent contact. Bilateral military exercises continue unabated. Still, little evidence suggests that China is evading Western sanctions, and Chinese diplomats continue to express rhetorical support for territorial integrity in Ukraine. How is the Ukraine war impacting China-Russia relations? Are there limits to the China-Russia partnership? Will relations between Moscow and Beijing grow more or less asymmetric in the years to come?Paul spoke with Alexander Gabuev, senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Li Mingjiang, associate professor and provost's chair in international relations at S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS), and Hoang Thi Ha, senior fellow and co-coordinator of the Regional Strategic and Political Studies Programme at ISEAS – Yusof Ishak Institute. This panel is the third of the Carnegie Global Dialogue Series 2022–2023 and is also available for online streaming. https://carnegieendowment.org/2023/02/15/china-russia-relations-one-year-into-ukraine-war-event-8029
It's been a year since Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin announced the “no-limits” friendship between China and Russia, but is it one between equals? In the second episode of a two-part series, The Economist's Beijing bureau chief, David Rennie, and our senior China correspondent, Alice Su, explore the rocky past of Sino-Soviet relations with historian Joseph Torigian, and hear from locals in Heilongjiang, a border province, about whether the war in Ukraine has changed their view of Russia. Plus, Alexander Gabuev, of the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Centre, and The Economist's Arkady Ostrovsky, discuss the power dynamic between Mr Xi and Mr Putin, and what Mr Xi stands to gain from the conflict. Sign up to our weekly newsletter here and for full access to print, digital and audio editions, as well as exclusive live events, subscribe to The Economist at economist.com/drumoffer. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Podcast host Alexander Gabuev discusses what the next few months may have in store together with Dara Massicot, senior policy researcher at the RAND Corporation, and Mark Galeotti, CEO of Mayak Intelligence. As the first anniversary of Russia's invasion of Ukraine approaches, Ukraine is set to receive Western battle tanks, while Russia is believed to be planning a new offensive. What military developments can we expect to see in the next few months? What impact will the Western tanks have on Ukraine's capabilities, and why has the West only agreed to supply them now? What do the changes in the military leadership mean for Russia's campaign? And who is really dictating Russia's aims and tactics in this war?
As we relaunch our Russia-focused podcast under the Carnegie Politika brand, FT correspondent Polina Ivanova and economist-in-exile Sergei Guriev join podcast host Alexander Gabuev to discuss how access to both data and sources has changed since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, and whether people inside the Russian government itself also have a poorer understanding of the broader picture as a result of the same changes.
Chinese economic and political issues. Internal growth problems and external manifestations. How did China achieve such a remarkable growth in the last 50 years? Is there a new authoritarian regime rising to power? These and many more questions discussed in a new interview by Yulia Latynina with Alexander Gabuev (Latynina.tv) #latyninatv #gabuev - English translation #PrivateerStation- Original interview in Russian - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EA1LnxCPWWU- Chinese medieval literature mentioned in the interview: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Water_MarginAlexander Gabuev, Senior Fellow of Carnegie Endowment for International Peace: https://carnegieendowment.org/experts/1017Alexander Gabuev is a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. His research is focused on Russia's policy toward East and Southeast Asia, political and ideological trends in China, and China's relations with its neighbors.Yulia Latynina is a Russian writer and journalist. She is a columnist for Novaya Gazeta and the most popular host at the Echo of Moscow radio station for years (both media prohibited in Russia since 04/2022). Yulia Latynina has written more than twenty books, including fantasy and crime fiction. She left Russia after a series of attacks on her person (her life was repeatedly threatened, her home was attacked with some caustic gas, injuring 8 people and her vehicle was set on fire)Official channel: http://latynina.tv/Julia's FB: https://www.facebook.com/yulia.latyninaTwitter: https://twitter.com/YLatyninaTelegram: https://t.me/Ylatynina подписывайтесьInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/latynina.tv/ #Latynina #LatyninaTV #YuliaLatynina #латынина #латынинатв #China #xinhua #Xi Jinping
Ukrainian cities have faced an onslaught of missiles from Russia this week in retaliation for the attack on the Kerch bridge that links Russia with occupied Crimea. Russia has threatened to go further and to use tactical nuclear weapons rather than face the defeat of its forces in Ukraine. But would it? Alexander Gabuev, a senior fellow for the Carnegie Endowment think-tank, tells Gideon he thinks Putin's threat is deadly serious.Clips: BBCMore on this topic:Putin suggests Nord Stream gas exports to Europe could be restoredNato allies struggle to secure air defence systems for UkraineRussia's invasion of Ukraine in maps — latest updatesSubscribe to The Rachman Review wherever you get your podcasts - please listen, rate and subscribe.Presented by Gideon Rachman. Produced by Fiona Symon. Sound design is by Breen TurnerRead a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Alexander Gabuev, senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, tells Gideon why he believes Russia is destined to become a giant Iran of Eurasia. It will remain a significant military power, but one that is increasingly under the sway of China, the main destination for its energy exports.Clips: DW; Global NewsMore on this topic:Iran plans to provide drones to Russia for Ukraine war, says USPutin warns of ‘catastrophic' energy crisis if west boosts sanctionsChina's image loses its shine in EuropeSubscribe to The Rachman Review wherever you get your podcasts - please listen, rate and subscribe.Presented by Gideon Rachman. Produced by Fiona Symon. Sound design is by Breen TurnerRead a transcript of this episode on FT.com See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
Henry Wang, Founder and President of Center for China and Globalization, speaks about the historical and current conditions that shaped the Russia-China partnership and proposes a multilateral path toward peace in Ukraine. The event is moderated by Alexander Gabuev. This event was recorded on July 8, 2022 as part of the Monterey Summer Symposium on Russia.
Alexander Gabuev, Senior Fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, discusses the foundations of the Russia-China relationship and its evolution against the background of the conflict in Ukraine. This event was recorded via Zoom on July 8, 2022 as part of the Monterey Summer Symposium on Russia.
Alexander Gabuev joins Bruegel's Giuseppe Porcaro and Alicia García-Herrero to discuss China's ambiguous stance towards Russia's invasion of Ukraine, how this impact China's relationship with other countries and if Russia is becoming more dependent on China. This episode is part of the ZhōngHuá Mundus series of The Sound of Economics. ZhōngHuá Mundus is a newsletter by Bruegel, bringing you monthly analysis of China in the world, as seen from Europe. Sign up now to receive it in your mailbox!
How is Putin’s brutal invasion of Ukraine redrawing the geopolitical landscape? In this episode, we examine China’s interests in the conflict and explore the limits of their ‘no limits’ agreement with Russia. To ask whether the geopolitical balance is shifting in favour of an ‘axis of autocracies’, Louisa and Graeme are joined by Alexander Gabuev, senior fellow and Russian chair in the Asia-Pacific Programme at the Carnegie Moscow Centre and Maria Repnikova, assistant professor in global communication at Georgia State University.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
A “massive great white shark” known as Scot has been seen off the Florida Gulf Coast. In The Daily Article for March 29, 2022, Dr. Jim Denison uses this as a metaphor for the horrific invasion of Ukraine and considers three articles that seek to answer: How will the war in Ukraine end? Dr. Denison looks at the works of David Remnick in “What Is Putin Thinking,” Andrew Sullivan in “The Strange Rebirth of Imperial Russia,” and Jonathan Tepperman in an interview with Alexander Gabuev. Author: Dr. Jim Denison Narrator: Blake Atwood Subscribe: http://www.denisonforum.org/subscribe
Väst står enat i sitt fördömande av Putins krig i Ukraina. Men runt om i världen är bilden en annan. Flera inflytelserika länder vill inte riskera sina goda relationer med Ryssland. Medverkande: Jan Eliasson, tidigare ordförande för FN:s generalförsamling, Jude Blanchette, Kinakännare vid tankesmedjan Center for Strategic & International Studies, Tong Zhao, tankesmedjan Carnegie i Peking, Alexander Gabuev, tankesmedjan Carnegie i Moskva, Arun Mohan företagare Delhi, Shyam Saran, tankesmedjan Center for Policy Research i New Delhi, Jitendra Nath Misra professor vid Jindal School of International Affairs, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, docent vid Chulalongkorn University i Bangkok, Kantathi Suphamongkhon, Thailands tidigare utrikesminister, William Gumede, docent vid University of the Witwatersrand i Johannesburg.Programledare: Robin Olin robin.olin@sr.seReportrar: Björn Djurberg, Naila Saleem, Arnab Dutta, Peder Gustafsson, Yasmin Coles Tekniker: Lisa AbrahamssonProducent: David Rasmusson david.rasmusson@sr.se
In this week's PONARS Eurasia Podcast, Maria Lipman speaks with Russian China experts Vita Spivak and Alexander Gabuev about the February meeting between Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping, and what it may tell us about where the Russian-Chinese relationship is headed.
In 2008, President George Bush was the star guest at Beijing's opening ceremony. Fourteen years later, under a cloud of diplomatic boycotts led by the US, the guest of honour spot was filled instead by President Putin. Under a confluence of factors over the last decade, China and Russia are closer now than they have been since the Cold War. On this episode of Chinese Whispers, Cindy Yu talks to Alexander Gabuev, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Moscow Center, about how this situation came about. If the beginning of the end of the Cold War can be traced back to the Sino-Soviet split – allowing a bipolar world to be split into three when China began rapprochement with Nixon's America – then what does today's alliance mean at this moment in geopolitics? For Alex, there were three reasons why China and Russia have got closer. China's hunger for oil and gas makes Russia a much-needed new trading partner (and vice versa). The two were able to fudge territorial disputes along the 3000 mile border they share (Alex points out that Russia has only been able to amass troops on the Ukrainian border because their military presence on the Sino-Russian border is the lightest it has been for a century). They share similar political cultures - strongman-ship supported by powerful and corrupt oligarchs and a nationalistic society - and similar national leaders (‘for the first time after the dissolution of the Soviet Union, we have two leaders that are age mates and soul mates'). ‘The secret sauce' that binds the collaboration together, according to Alex, is the US's increasing confrontation with both. What we see from Washington today is a reverse Kissinger - where the two authoritarian countries are being pushed closer together by an increasingly hawkish America. Take Nord Stream 2 - any weaning off of the German market from Russian gas will simply make the Chinese market even more important for Moscow. But it's not clear that the West has many alternatives. Getting closer to China is not necessarily a good thing for Russia, either. For one, the relationship is unbalanced. In a reversal of Cold War dynamics, the size of China's high value economy today means that Chinese business matters more to Moscow than Russian to Beijing. ‘Ten, fifteen years down the road,' Alex says, ‘China will have more leverage'. Could a more powerful China try to bully its weaker ally in commercial and security spheres? Possibly, but the die may already have been cast: ‘unfortunately, the sources of grievances and conflict between Russia and the US run so deep [that] the Russian leadership is so emotionally invested that there is no easy way out.' On this episode Cindy and Alex also discuss the malleability of national memory (Russian aggression during the 19th century often flies under the radar of Chinese nationalists), in what ways China's relations with the US are still better than with Russia and exactly how China could react to any transgression on the Ukrainian border. Tune in.
As the 2022 winter Olympics kicked off last Friday in Beijing, a high-profile meeting took place on the sidelines between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese leader Xi Jinping. Following their meeting, Putin and Xi released a joint statement emphasizing their shared grievances with respect to the U.S.-led world order, condemning NATO enlargement as well as alleged attempts by outside forces to interfere in their internal affairs. Despite this show of solidarity, however, tensions remain in the relationship between Moscow and Beijing. Alexander Gabuev and David Shullman join Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Jim Townsend to help us make sense of this development. Alexander Gabuev is a senior fellow and the Chair of the Russia in the Asia-Pacific Program at the Carnegie Moscow Center. His research is focused on Russia's policy toward East and Southeast Asia, political and ideological trends in China, and China's relations with its neighbors. David Shullman is Senior Director of the Global China Hub at the Atlantic Council, where he leads the council's work on China. David's research focuses on China's foreign policy and grand strategy, U.S.-China relations, China-Russia relations, and the implications of China's rise for global order and the future of democracy.
In 2008, President George Bush was the star guest at Beijing's opening ceremony. Fourteen years later, under a cloud of diplomatic boycotts led by the US, the guest of honour spot was filled instead by President Putin. Under a confluence of factors over the last decade, China and Russia are closer now than they have been since the Cold War. On this episode of Chinese Whispers, I talk to Alexander Gabuev, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Moscow Center, about how this situation came about. If the beginning of the end of the Cold War can be traced back to the Sino-Soviet split – allowing a bipolar world to be split into three when China began rapprochement with Nixon's America – then what does today's alliance mean at this moment in geopolitics? For Alex, there were three reasons why China and Russia have got closer. China's hunger for oil and gas makes Russia a much-needed new trading partner (and vice versa). The two were able to fudge territorial disputes along the 3000 mile border they share (Alex points out to me that Russia has only been able to amass troops on the Ukrainian border because their military presence on the Sino-Russian border is the lightest it has been for a century). They share similar political cultures - strongman-ship supported by powerful and corrupt oligarchs and a nationalistic society - and similar national leaders (‘for the first time after the dissolution of the Soviet Union, we have two leaders that are age mates and soul mates'). ‘The secret sauce' that binds the collaboration together, according to Alex, is the US's increasing confrontation with both. What we see from Washington today is a reverse Kissinger - where the two authoritarian countries are being pushed closer together by an increasingly hawkish America. Take Nord Stream 2 - any weaning off of the German market from Russian gas will simply make the Chinese market even more important for Moscow. But it's not clear that the West has many alternatives. Getting closer to China is not necessarily a good thing for Russia, either. For one, the relationship is unbalanced. In a reversal of Cold War dynamics, the size of China's high value economy today means that Chinese business matters more to Moscow than Russian to Beijing. ‘Ten, fifteen years down the road,' Alex says, ‘China will have more leverage'. Could a more powerful China try to bully its weaker ally in commercial and security spheres? Possibly, but the die may already have been cast: ‘unfortunately, the sources of grievances and conflict between Russia and the US run so deep [that] the Russian leadership is so emotionally invested that there is no easy way out.' On this episode we also discuss the malleability of national memory (Russian aggression during the 19th century often flies under the radar of Chinese nationalists), in what ways China's relations with the US are still better than with Russia and exactly how China could react to any transgression on the Ukrainian border. Tune in.
This podcast episode focuses on the recent upheaval in Kazakhstan and what to expect moving forward. What and who was behind the recent unrest in Kazakhstan? What was the role of Russia? What will become of former president Nursultan Nazarbayev's family, and what are the implications for other former Soviet countries? Podcast host Alexander Gabuev is joined by Assel Tutumlu, an assistant professor at the Near East University, and Temur Umarov, a fellow at Carnegie Moscow Center.
This podcast episode focuses on the recent upheaval in Kazakhstan and what to expect moving forward. What and who was behind the recent unrest in Kazakhstan? What was the role of Russia? What will become of former president Nursultan Nazarbayev's family, and what are the implications for other former Soviet countries? Podcast host Alexander Gabuev is joined by Assel Tutumlu, an assistant professor at the Near East University, and Temur Umarov, a fellow at Carnegie Moscow Center.
In recent months, China and Russia have upgraded their strategic partnership, conducted joint naval drills in the Sea of Japan, and deepened collaboration on nuclear and space technology. Beijing and Moscow have also taken steps to test the credibility of U.S. alliances in the Indo-Pacific and trans-Atlantic regions. But as China-Russia ties have grown increasingly robust, Washington has become more and more concerned, labeling an “increasingly assertive China” and a “destabilizing Russia” as its chief foreign policy challenges and engaging both countries in dialogue and diplomacy. However, this narrative of China-Russia partnership has its limits—widening trade and economic disparities and intensifying competition for influence in Central Asia produce substantial points of tension between the two nations. How will China and Russia navigate the complex, often conflicting, dynamics in their relationship? And how might their interactions impact the United States' regional and global strategy? During a live recording of the China in the World podcast, Paul Haenle spoke with Guan Guihai, Associate Professor and Executive Vice President of the Institute of International and Strategic Studies at Peking University, Jennifer B. Murtazashvili, the Founding Director of the Center for Governance and Markets and Associate Professor at the School of Public and International Affairs at the University of Pittsburgh, and Alexander Gabuev, Senior Fellow and the Chair of the Russia in the Asia-Pacific Program at the Carnegie Moscow Center. This panel is the second of the Carnegie Global Dialogue Series 2021-2022 and is also available to be watched online.
What are the roots and drivers of the digital sovereignty narrative in Russian politics? Is there any Russian alternative to foreign 5G technology? How successful is Moscow's import substitution policy in telecom hardware and software? Is the specter of sanctions against 5G equipment and other civilian telecom software a real threat, or a myth spread by scaremongers? Podcast host Alexander Gabuev is joined by Janis Kluge, a senior associate with the SWP research facility in Berlin, and Alena Epifanova, a research fellow at DGAP—also in Berlin—to discuss the ideas of digital sovereignty and a sovereign internet, and the challenges to those concepts.
What are the roots and drivers of the digital sovereignty narrative in Russian politics? Is there any Russian alternative to foreign 5G technology? How successful is Moscow's import substitution policy in telecom hardware and software? Is the specter of sanctions against 5G equipment and other civilian telecom software a real threat, or a myth spread by scaremongers? Podcast host Alexander Gabuev is joined by Janis Kluge, a senior associate with the SWP research facility in Berlin, and Alena Epifanova, a research fellow at DGAP—also in Berlin—to discuss the ideas of digital sovereignty and a sovereign internet, and the challenges to those concepts.
What are the driving forces and goals behind China's nuclear build-up? Should the ongoing U.S.-Russian arms control talks take into account Chinese progress? And does China's refusal to take part in those talks render them meaningless? Podcast host Alexander Gabuev is joined by Tong Zhao, a senior fellow in Carnegie's Nuclear Policy Program, and Elena Chernenko, a special correspondent at Kommersant to discuss China's plans for its nuclear arsenal.
What are the driving forces and goals behind China's nuclear build-up? Should the ongoing U.S.-Russian arms control talks take into account Chinese progress? And does China's refusal to take part in those talks render them meaningless? Podcast host Alexander Gabuev is joined by Tong Zhao, a senior fellow in Carnegie's Nuclear Policy Program, and Elena Chernenko, a special correspondent at Kommersant to discuss China's plans for its nuclear arsenal.
Is the German regulator's suspension of the certification process for Nord Stream 2 technical, or political? Why isn't Gazprom cashing in while prices are so high, by sending additional gas to Europe? How does the Russian gas giant plan to deal with the global green energy transition? Podcast host Alexander Gabuev is joined by Katja Yafimava, a senior research fellow at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, and Sergei Kapitonov, a gas analyst at the energy center of the Skolkovo School of Management, to discuss the European gas crisis and Russia's role in it.
Is the German regulator's suspension of the certification process for Nord Stream 2 technical, or political? Why isn't Gazprom cashing in while prices are so high, by sending additional gas to Europe? How does the Russian gas giant plan to deal with the global green energy transition? Podcast host Alexander Gabuev is joined by Katja Yafimava, a senior research fellow at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, and Sergei Kapitonov, a gas analyst at the energy center of the Skolkovo School of Management, to discuss the European gas crisis and Russia's role in it.
The pandemic has failed to bring geopolitical rivals together, but has it created new divisions, or merely amplified existing disagreements? And have any lessons been learned for dealing with other global challenges, like climate change? Podcast host Alexander Gabuev is joined by Kadri Liik, a senior policy fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations, and Dmitri Trenin, director of the Carnegie Moscow Center, to examine how the COVID-19 pandemic became a new frontline in Russia's competition with the West.
The pandemic has failed to bring geopolitical rivals together, but has it created new divisions, or merely amplified existing disagreements? And have any lessons been learned for dealing with other global challenges, like climate change? Podcast host Alexander Gabuev is joined by Kadri Liik, a senior policy fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations, and Dmitri Trenin, director of the Carnegie Moscow Center, to examine how the COVID-19 pandemic became a new frontline in Russia's competition with the West.
Podcast host Alexander Gabuev is joined by Elizaveta Fokht, a reporter with the BBC Russian Service, and Andrew Roth, Moscow correspondent for The Guardian, to discuss the outcome of the recent elections for the State Duma. Will the entrance of new parties into the Duma make life difficult for the Kremlin? Why have we seen no real protest movement this time around, despite considerable evidence of electoral fraud? Were there any new voting trends in terms of demographics? And will the pressure on civil society be dialed down now that the elections are over?
Podcast host Alexander Gabuev is joined by Elizaveta Fokht, a reporter with the BBC Russian Service, and Andrew Roth, Moscow correspondent for The Guardian, to discuss the outcome of the recent elections for the State Duma. Will the entrance of new parties into the Duma make life difficult for the Kremlin? Why have we seen no real protest movement this time around, despite considerable evidence of electoral fraud? Were there any new voting trends in terms of demographics? And will the pressure on civil society be dialed down now that the elections are over?
Ties between Moscow and Beijing continue their upward trajectory, with their bilateral cooperation expanding across a broad range of areas. In the wake of the withdrawal of US and NATO forces from Afghanistan, Russia and China are coordinating their policies. This past June, NATO expressed concern about Chinese-Russian military cooperation and their joint exercises in the Euro-Atlantic area. While the United States and virtually all its allies are criticizing numerous Chinese policies, Russian President Vladimir Putin told Xi Jinping in a phone call a few weeks ago that he supports China's legitimate actions to safeguard its interests on issues related to Taiwan, Hong Kong, Xinjiang and the South China Sea, and said he opposes any external interference in China's domestic affairs. Bonnie Glaser talks with Alexander Gabuev about Sino-Russian relations and the reactions of and the implications for the United States and Europe. Alexander Gabuev is a senior fellow and the chair of the Russia in the Asia-Pacific Program at the Carnegie Moscow Center. His research is focused on Russia's policy toward East and Southeast Asia, political and ideological trends in China, and China's relations with its neighbors—especially those in Central Asia.
Nargis Kassenova, a senior fellow at the Davis Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies' program on Central Asia, and Temur Umarov, a research consultant at Carnegie Moscow Center, join podcast host Alexander Gabuev to discuss how Central Asian governments have reacted to the Taliban takeover of Afghanistan, what their priorities are, and whether any of them might be prepared to facilitate U.S. military operations in the region from their own territory.
Nargis Kassenova, a senior fellow at the Davis Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies' program on Central Asia, and Temur Umarov, a research consultant at Carnegie Moscow Center, join podcast host Alexander Gabuev to discuss how Central Asian governments have reacted to the Taliban takeover of Afghanistan, what their priorities are, and whether any of them might be prepared to facilitate U.S. military operations in the region from their own territory.
How does the latest version of Russia's National Security Strategy differ from the last one, released in 2015? Does the inclusion in it of environmental issues mean that this is finally a priority for Russia? Why does the strategy fail to address the growing rivalry between China and the United States? Podcast host Alexander Gabuev is joined by Dmitri Trenin, director of the Carnegie Moscow Center, and Anastasia Likhacheva, director of HSE's Center for Comprehensive European and International Studies.
How does the latest version of Russia's National Security Strategy differ from the last one, released in 2015? Does the inclusion in it of environmental issues mean that this is finally a priority for Russia? Why does the strategy fail to address the growing rivalry between China and the United States? Podcast host Alexander Gabuev is joined by Dmitri Trenin, director of the Carnegie Moscow Center, and Anastasia Likhacheva, director of HSE's Center for Comprehensive European and International Studies.
In this episode, hosted by Dr Neil Melvin, Director RUSI International Security Studies, Alexander Gabuev, Senior Fellow and Chair, Russia in the Asia-Pacific Programme at the Carnegie Moscow Center, and Dr Artyom Lukin, Associate Professor at Russia's Far Eastern Federal University, discuss how Russia's foreign and security policies in Asia are being affected by the Indo-Pacific regional concept and the Quad security grouping.
As China increases its power and moves westwards, Russia is looking more to the East. The Soviet Union and newly communist China were, at a time, very close. In recent years and especially since the 2014 annexation of Crimea, the countries have intensified their relationship. The Sino-Russia relationship is more than a partnership, but less than an alliance as both countries share an ideology based on the notion of sovereignty. Your host: Nico Luchsinger, Co-Executive Director, Asia Society SwitzerlandSpeaker: Alexander Gabuev, Senior Fellow and Chair of the Russia in the Asia-Pacific Program, the Carnegie Moscow CenterProduction: Denise Staubli, Program Manager, Asia Society SwitzerlandShow notes:Asia Society Switzerland Webcast with Alexander Gabuev Sino-Russian Relations: A Threat for the West?, April, 2020 Latest analysis by Alexander GabuevCGTN article Timeline: Highlights of China-Russia ties in the past 70 years by Zhou Jingnan
What are the main risks from the current state of competition between Moscow and Washington? Is there a pragmatic agenda on which both sides are interested in cooperating? What tools can be used to safely manage this great-power competition? Carnegie Moscow Center director Dmitri Trenin and Thomas Graham, a distinguished fellow at the U.S. Council on Foreign Relations, join podcast host Alexander Gabuev to discuss how relations could be reimagined. Trenin and Graham's joint commentary on the same topic can be found here:https://carnegie.ru/commentary/83432
What are the main risks from the current state of competition between Moscow and Washington? Is there a pragmatic agenda on which both sides are interested in cooperating? What tools can be used to safely manage this great-power competition? Carnegie Moscow Center director Dmitri Trenin and Thomas Graham, a distinguished fellow at the U.S. Council on Foreign Relations, join podcast host Alexander Gabuev to discuss how relations could be reimagined. Trenin and Graham's joint commentary on the same topic can be found here:https://carnegie.ru/commentary/83432
Airdate January 31, 2021: Fareed gives his take on the dangers of vaccine nationalism and what it could mean for world's recovery from Covid-19. Then, for the second weekend in a row Russians heeded the rallying cry of Kremlin critic Alexey Navalny. Demonstrations against Putin were planned in over 120 cities across the country. Will Russia's government continue its harsh response to the protests? And, how will this change U.S.-Russia relations? Julia Ioffe and Alexander Gabuev join Fareed to discuss. Then, in an exclusive, one-on-one interview, Biden's climate envoy, John Kerry tells Fareed about the administration's ambitious plan to curb the climate crisis. GUESTS: Alexander Gabuev, Julia Ioffe, John Kerry To learn more about how CNN protects listener privacy, visit cnn.com/privacy
AIES Director Velina Tchakarova discussed with Alexander Gabuev the relations between Russia and China following the Covid-19 crisis outbreak.
Twenty-six years after it brokered the end of the First Karabakh War in 1994, Russia has once again managed to carve out a leading diplomatic and military role in the resolution of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan. President Vladimir Putin was instrumental in getting Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev to agree to a ceasefire to end the 44-day war and to accept the deployment of Russian peacekeepers in the region. The presence of nearly 2,000 Russian peacekeepers not only stabilizes the situation in Nagorno-Karabakh but also reinforces the Kremlin's influence in the South Caucasus despite Turkey's attempts to muscle its way into the region. (Photo courtesy of the Carnegie Moscow Center) Radio Canada International spoke about Russia's geopolitical gambit in the South Caucasus with Alexander Gabuev. He is a Senior Fellow and Chair at the Russia in the Asia‑Pacific Program of the Carnegie Moscow Center. Duration: 29 minutes 17 seconds https://www.rcinet.ca/en/wp-content/uploads/sites/3/2020/11/NK_PODCAST_EP3_ED1_9641624_2020-11-24T17-50-10.723.mp3
Most new U.S. administrations are greeted with hopes for a new era in U.S.-Russian relations, but does anyone in Russia expect anything positive to come of a Biden presidency? Will a more predictable White House mean fewer or more sanctions against Russia? Elena Chernenko, a special correspondent for Kommersant, and Andrew Weiss, vice president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment, join podcast host Alexander Gabuev to discuss what the next U.S. administration will mean for Russia.
Most new U.S. administrations are greeted with hopes for a new era in U.S.-Russian relations, but does anyone in Russia expect anything positive to come of a Biden presidency? Will a more predictable White House mean fewer or more sanctions against Russia? Elena Chernenko, a special correspondent for Kommersant, and Andrew Weiss, vice president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment, join podcast host Alexander Gabuev to discuss what the next U.S. administration will mean for Russia.
In late September, the frozen conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan over the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh rapidly heated up. The six weeks of full-scale war that followed left thousands dead and tens of thousands more displaced. Unlike previous rounds of fighting that resulted in little exchange of territory, however, Azerbaijan’s well-armed and well-prepared military was able to make substantial gains on the battlefield, with significant support from neighboring Turkey. Just as Azerbaijani forces looked poised to advance deep into Nagorno-Karabakh, Russia brokered a deal between the two sides to bring the fighting to an end last week, under terms that Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan called “unbelievably painful.” The agreement requires Armenia to relinquish much of the territory it controlled in and around Nagorno-Karabakh, and for Moscow to dispatch 2,000 peacekeepers to the region. According to Alexander Gabuev, a senior fellow and the chair of the Russia in the Asia-Pacific Program at the Carnegie Moscow Center, the deal is a win for the Kremlin, which has successfully reasserted its influence in the South Caucasus, independent of Western powers. But will the peace hold? Gabuev joins WPR’s Elliot Waldman on the Trend Lines podcast this week to discuss the aftermath of the recent fighting and the outlook for Nagorno-Karabakh. Relevant Articles on WPR: Can Russia Steer the Endgame in Nagorno-Karabakh to Its Advantage? How Russia’s Putin Is Viewing the Crises in His Backyard Why the Long Conflict Over Nagorno-Karabakh Could Heat Up Again Despite High-Level Diplomacy, Old Obstacles Still Block Peace in Nagorno-Karabakh Trend Lines is produced and edited by Peter Dörrie, a freelance journalist and analyst focusing on security and resource politics in Africa. You can follow him on Twitter at @peterdoerrie. To send feedback or questions, email us at podcast@worldpoliticsreview.com.
The result of the upcoming U.S. presidential election will directly impact how the United States, China, and Russia approach issues on the Korean Peninsula. How would a second Trump or first Biden administration deal with North Korea? How do policymakers in Beijing and Moscow evaluate their relations with Pyongyang? During a live recording of the China in the World podcast, Paul Haenle spoke with Carnegie experts Alexander Gabuev and Tong Zhao about the outlook for denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula and the role of the United States, China, and Russia.
If diplomacy fails to end the unfolding humanitarian catastrophe in Nagorno-Karabakh, what's next for the troubled region? Turkey escalated the conflict; now can it be the one to deescalate it? And will Turkey's intervention affect Russian-Turkish cooperation in other parts of the world? Podcast host Alexander Gabuev discusses these questions and more with Tom de Waal, a senior fellow with Carnegie Europe and expert on the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, and Sinan Ülgen, a visiting scholar at Carnegie Europe.
If diplomacy fails to end the unfolding humanitarian catastrophe in Nagorno-Karabakh, what’s next for the troubled region? Turkey escalated the conflict; now can it be the one to deescalate it? And will Turkey’s intervention affect Russian-Turkish cooperation in other parts of the world? Podcast host Alexander Gabuev discusses these questions and more with Tom de Waal, a senior fellow with Carnegie Europe and expert on the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, and Sinan Ülgen, a visiting scholar at Carnegie Europe.
Podcast host Alexander Gabuev is joined by Yevgeny Preigerman, founder and director of the Minsk Dialogue Council on International Relations; Nataliya Vasilyeva, Moscow correspondent for The Telegraph; and Oksana Antonenko, director of the Global Political Risk team at the UK-based Control Risk consultancy and a member of the EU-Russia Expert Network on Foreign Policy (EUREN). They discuss the violent crackdown on protests in Belarus and its consequences, Lukashenko's long-term prospects, whether the opposition can possibly win, the role of Russia and the West in the ongoing protests, and more.
Podcast host Alexander Gabuev is joined by Yevgeny Preigerman, founder and director of the Minsk Dialogue Council on International Relations; Nataliya Vasilyeva, Moscow correspondent for The Telegraph; and Oksana Antonenko, director of the Global Political Risk team at the UK-based Control Risk consultancy and a member of the EU-Russia Expert Network on Foreign Policy (EUREN). They discuss the violent crackdown on protests in Belarus and its consequences, Lukashenko’s long-term prospects, whether the opposition can possibly win, the role of Russia and the West in the ongoing protests, and more.
Save Meduza!https://support.meduza.io/enFor the past two years, several major state news organizations in Russia have been working with China's biggest media conglomerate to trade publicity about each nation's greatest achievements. Beijing's efforts have fallen mostly flat in Russia, however, thanks to shortages of trained personnel and shortcomings in China's grasp of the Russian mediasphere. Moscow, meanwhile, has struggled as the propaganda pact's junior partner. To learn more about how the Russian and Chinese state media work together, why this cooperation has stumbled, and how geopolitics plays into this relationship, “The Naked Pravda” turned to three experts, as well as Meduza's own investigative editor: (1:23) Meduza investigative editor Alexey Kovalev explains how he first learned about media cooperation between state broadcasters in Russia and China. (5:07) Maria Repnikova, an expert in Chinese media politics and an assistant professor in Global Communication at Georgia State University, warns against using too negative a frame to analyze Chinese foreign broadcasting. (11:48) Alexander Gabuev, who chairs the Carnegie Moscow Center's “Russia in the Asia-Pacific Program,” describes major differences between the Russian and Chinese media markets. (22:23) Professor of International Relations Sergey Radchenko discusses Moscow's cautious approach to the expansion of Chinese influence, like the Belt and Road Initiative. “The Naked Pravda” comes out on Fridays (or sometimes Saturdays). Catch every new episode by subscribing at Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Google Podcasts, or other platforms. If you have a question or comment about the show, please write to Kevin Rothrock at kevin@meduza.io with the subject line: “The Naked Pravda.”
The coronavirus pandemic has only intensified the rivalry between the United States and China, hastening the advent of a new era of bipolarity. How can Russia maintain equilibrium and avoid being drawn into the U.S.-China confrontation as a junior partner of China? Will the collapse of oil prices and subsequent loss of revenue force Russia to rein in its ambitious foreign policy of recent years? Are there renewed hopes for progress in the Donbas peace talks? And will the Kremlin finally be forced to turn its focus to domestic affairs? Carnegie Moscow Center director Dmitri Trenin and Elena Chernenko, a special correspondent at the Kommersant publishing house, join podcast host Alexander Gabuev to discuss these issues and more.
The coronavirus pandemic has only intensified the rivalry between the United States and China, hastening the advent of a new era of bipolarity. How can Russia maintain equilibrium and avoid being drawn into the U.S.-China confrontation as a junior partner of China? Will the collapse of oil prices and subsequent loss of revenue force Russia to rein in its ambitious foreign policy of recent years? Are there renewed hopes for progress in the Donbas peace talks? And will the Kremlin finally be forced to turn its focus to domestic affairs? Carnegie Moscow Center director Dmitri Trenin and Elena Chernenko, a special correspondent at the Kommersant publishing house, join podcast host Alexander Gabuev to discuss these issues and more.
Mike Kofman and Alexander Gabuev join Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Jim Townsend to explain the Russia-China defense relationship on the latest episode of Brussels Sprouts. Kofman is the Director of the Russia Studies Program at CNA and a Fellow at the Kennan Institute in the Woodrow Wilson International Center. Gabuev is aSenior Fellow and the Chair of the Russia in the Asia-Pacific Program at the Carnegie Moscow Center, CEIP.
From today — that’s Thursday the 20th of February — most Chinese citizens will be temporarily blocked from entering Russia as part of Moscow’s latest moves to contain the spread of coronavirus. The ban covers all Chinese citizens traveling to Russia on employment, tourist and student visas. On the line to discuss Russia’s latest moves to stop the coronavirus spread is Alexander Gabuev chair of the Asia-Pacific program at Carnegie Moscow Centre. And later. Vladimir Putin fired his long-time advisor Vladislav Surkov this week — the Kremlin’s so-called “grey cardinal” who was, until a few weeks ago, Russia’s chief negotiator over the conflict in Eastern Ukraine. On the phone to explain a bit about the man behind the reputation and explore whether Surkov leaving the Kremlin will mean anything for Russia-Ukrainian relations, Mark Galeotti of Honorary Professor at UCL’s School of Slavonic and East European Studies and author of ‘We Need to Talk about Putin’. From Russia With News is hosted by Jake Cordell and produced by Pjotr Sauer. The episode was recorded and edited at CM Records Studio in central Moscow.
Air date January 19 2020: Russia's government resigned making room for reforms that could let Putin rule forever. What changes should we expect to see in Russia? Fareed talks Kremlinology with Anne Applebaum and Alexander Gabuev. Then, Iran's Supreme Leader delivered an anti-American screed in a rare appearance at Tehran's Friday prayers. What's next in the tit-for-tat between the U.S. and Iran? Fareed asks the experts. And as Down Under is devastated, former Prime Minister of Australia Kevin Rudd talks to Fareed about the role conservative politics and media in his country may have played. GUESTS: Ariane Tabatabai, Karim Sadjadpour, Anne Applebaum, Alexander Gabuev, Kevin Rudd
In December, Gazprom launched its 8,000-km Power of Siberia gas pipeline to China. Sergei Kapitonov, an energy analyst at the Skolkovo School of Management, talks to Carnegie Moscow Center's Alexander Gabuev about the timing of the launch and the prospects and risks of delivering Russian gas to a single buyer.
Discussion of U.S.-China-Russia relations often focuses on how American policy is driving Moscow and Beijing closer together. This analysis, however, ignores important factors limiting cooperation between China and Russia and preventing the two countries from forming an alliance. Paul Haenle sat down with Carnegie scholars Dmitri Trenin, Eugene Rumer, and Alexander Gabuev to discuss constraints on the China-Russia relationship and their implications for U.S. policy. Trenin, Rumer, and Gabuev agreed that there are clear limits to further China-Russia cooperation. Trenin characterized the relationship as an “entente” driven by a high degree of mutual strategic understanding on common core interests. Gabuev argued that China’s rapid pace of growth relative to Russia’s has led to insecurities in the Kremlin despite their growing economic, military, and technological ties. Russia does not want the relationship to become too asymmetrical and fears becoming overly reliant on Beijing for economic and technological support. Rumer argued neither side is looking for an alliance, as both Moscow and Beijing want to maintain positive relations, but at an arm’s-length. Haenle highlighted that Russia and China hold divergent views of the international system, leading to fundamental disagreements over whether to reform or undermine the global order. He argued that China is increasingly frustrated by Russian attempts to further its geopolitical aspirations by exploiting global instability.
Tens of thousands of demonstrators have taken to the streets to protest the ban on opposition candidates in the upcoming Moscow city council elections. More than two thousand people have been arrested since the protests started, and opposition leaders, including Alexei Navalny, have been detained. What do these protestors want? And what might they mean for Putin's political future? Jen talks to Carnegie Moscow Center expert Alexander Gabuev about what's motivating the demonstrators, and why the government has cracked down so forcefully.
This episode examines recent developments in Sino-Russian relations and the effects on the United States. Our guest, Mr. Alexander Gabuev, explains the impetus behind the growing geostrategic and military collaborations between China and Russia. He discusses how mutual economic interests and close relations between Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin have strengthened and diversified the partnership between the two countries. Mr. Gabuev also evaluates critical areas of political and economic friction in the relationship, including the protection of technology and intellectual property, management of influence in Central Asia, and China’s Belt and Road Initiative. Mr. Alexander Gabuev is a senior fellow and the chair of the Russia in the Asia-Pacific Program at the Carnegie Moscow Center. He is a Munich Young Leader of the Munich International Security Conference as well as a member of the Council on Foreign and Defense Policy (Russia). His research is focused on Russia’s policy toward East and Southeast Asia, political and ideological trends in China, and China’s relations with its neighbors, especially those in Central Asia.
This episode examines recent developments in Sino-Russian relations and the effects on the United States. Our guest, Mr. Alexander Gabuev, explains the impetus behind the growing geostrategic and military collaborations between China and Russia. He discusses how mutual economic interests and close relations between Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin have strengthened and diversified the partnership between the two countries. Mr. Gabuev also evaluates critical areas of political and economic friction in the relationship, including the protection of technology and intellectual property, management of influence in Central Asia, and China’s Belt and Road Initiative. Mr. Alexander Gabuev is a senior fellow and the chair of the Russia in the Asia-Pacific Program at the Carnegie Moscow Center. He is a Munich Young Leader of the Munich International Security Conference as well as a member of the Council on Foreign and Defense Policy (Russia). His research is focused on Russia’s policy toward East and Southeast Asia, political and ideological trends in China, and China’s relations with its neighbors, especially those in Central Asia.
This week on From Russia With News, Telegraph c orrespondent Alec Luhn has the backstory on Nastya Rybka, the escort who claimed to have proof of Russian election meddling. And we speak to Alexander Gabuev, an expert on Russia's relations with Asia, about why Moscow and Tokyo still can’t resolve a decades-old territorial dispute.
As the United States adopts an increasingly confrontational international posture, the ties between Russia and China are deepening. Should the West be concerned? Jen talks to Carnegie Moscow expert Alexander Gabuev about what's bringing them together, and the consequences for the United States. Go Deeper: Read Sasha's piece on how U.S. policies are pushing Russia and China closer together.
As U.S. relations with China and Russia deteriorate under the Trump administration, bilateral relations between Moscow and Beijing grow stronger. In this podcast, Paul Haenle spoke with Dmitri Trenin and Alexander Gabuev, director of and senior fellow at the Carnegie Moscow Center, respectively, about dynamics between the three countries and whether U.S. policy is driving China and Russia closer together.
The Helsinki meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin concluded with a tumultuous press conference filled with jaw-dropping statements on both sides. Carnegie experts Andrew Weiss and Alexander Gabuev joined Jen Psaki to dissect the summit and what it means for US-Russia relations going forward. Andrew S. Weiss is the James Family Chair and vice president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, where he oversees research in Washington and Moscow on Russia and Eurasia. Prior to joining Carnegie, he was director of the RAND Corporation's Center for Russia and Eurasia and executive director of the RAND Business Leaders Forum. (More on Weiss -https://carnegieendowment.org/experts/824) Alexander Gabuev is a senior fellow and the chair of the Russia in the Asia-Pacific Program at the Carnegie Moscow Center. His research is focused on Russia's policy toward East and Southeast Asia, political and ideological trends in China, and China's relations with its neighbors—especially those in Central Asia. (More on Gabuev - https://carnegie.ru/experts/1017)
Vladimir Putin was elected to his fourth term as president of Russia on March 18, 2018. His continued leadership has important implications for the international community, including China. On this episode of the China in the World Podcast, Paul Haenle sat down with Alexander Gabuev, senior fellow and the chair of the Russia in the Asia-Pacific Program at the Carnegie Moscow Center, to discuss the state of Russia-China relations, including issues like the Belt and Road Initiative and North Korea.
The Trump administration has spurred a debate in the United States on how to best manage the complex bilateral relationship with Russia. Paul Haenle sat down with Carnegie scholars Andrew Weiss, Paul Stronski, and Alexander Gabuev on the sidelines of the Carnegie Global Dialogue to discuss the implications of changes in the Trump administration's Russia and China policies for China-Russia relations.
Carnegie Moscow's Alexander Gabuev talks with Paul Haenle about Putin's pivot to China.