Podcasts about Black swan

Ayurvedic practitioner and author Heather Grzych explores why so many people feel stuck asking "What's my purpose in life?" – and why thinking harder rarely brings clarity. Drawing on embodied wisdom, Ayurveda, and cultural storytelling, Heather explains how purpose isn't a mental decision but a bodily signal that emerges when we stop forcing answers. Using contrasting film characters like Billy Elliot and Black Swan, she shows how listening to physical cues like energy, ease, and aliveness leads to meaningful direction, while ignoring the body leads to burnout and confusion. This episode is for anyone questioning their career, identity, or life direction and wondering why what once made sense no longer feels right. Heather Grzych, ADLC is an American author and expert in Ayurvedic medicine who was formerly the president of the National Ayurvedic Medical Association and the head of product development for a multi-billion-dollar health insurance company. Heather's first book, The Ayurvedic Guide to Fertility, has sold thousands of copies worldwide, and her writing has been featured in Sports Illustrated, Yoga Journal, and the Sunday Independent. Her podcast, Wisdom of the Body, holds an average rating of 5 stars on Apple Podcasts and is in the top 2.5% of podcasts globally.  Connect with Heather: Learn more at www.heathergrzych.com   Instagram.com/heathergrzych Facebook.com/grzychheather   Read the first six pages of The Ayurvedic Guide to Fertility for FREE: https://www.heathergrzych.com   Connect with Heather to balance your health with Ayurveda: https://www.heathergrzych.com/book-online

Helen Hynson Vettori (https://www.helenhynsonvettori.com/) is a former EMT/paramedic and retired senior medical intelligence analyst at the Department of Homeland Security. We have her on the show to share her insights and the two sci-fi thriller novels she wrote based on her experiences. Helen channeled her real-world emergency response and pandemic-planning experience into her sci-fi disaster thriller series, beginning with Black Swan Impact and followed by Black Swan Shock. A “Black Swan” event is a term used to describe a catastrophic incident that no one could have foreseen or imagined because of its unprecedented impact. Helen didn't imagine crisis from the outside, rather she spent years preparing for biological threats, including pandemics, and then watched COVID unfold in real time. That insider perspective and her frustration with confusing messaging and federal missteps became the fuel for fiction that feels uncomfortably plausible. Dr. Joe Holley from Paragon Medical Education Group joined the podcast as well as our disaster emergency management expert Becky DePodwin and our disaster weather expert Dan DePodwin. The episode is co-hosted by Sam Bradley and Jamie Davis. Scroll down for Podcast Discussion Summary Thank you as always to Paragon Medical Education Group for their long-term support of the Disaster Podcast. Dr. Joe Holley and the team at Paragon continue to provide excellent and customized disaster response training to jurisdictions around the U.S. and internationally as well. Podcast Discussion Summary Winter Storm Impact and Preparations The meeting focused on a major winter storm expected to impact large parts of the United States, with Dan providing detailed forecasts of snow, ice, and travel disruptions across multiple regions. The group discussed the storm’s potential effects on various cities, including Oklahoma City, Atlanta, and the Northeast, emphasizing the danger of ice accumulation and power outages. They also advised listeners to consider rescheduling flights and prepare for travel disruptions, particularly in the affected areas. The conversation ended with an introduction to their guest, Helen Hinson Vittori, a former EMT and intelligence analyst at the Department of Homeland Security, who will discuss her experiences during the pandemic. Emergency Response Expert’s Pandemic Novel Helen shared her extensive background in emergency response, including her work as a paramedic, her role in biothreat planning at DHS, and her experience creating pandemic response plans. She retired in 2018 but became concerned about the government’s response to COVID-19 in 2020, which led her to write a sci-fi political thriller novel called “Black Swan Impact” that explores a catastrophic pathogen event in the year 2113. The novel served as a cathartic way for her to process the chaotic response to the pandemic she had witnessed firsthand. Emergency Preparedness Through Personal Writing Helen shared her experience as an emergency manager and author, discussing how writing provided her with both peace and a mission to educate others about emergency preparedness. She emphasized that individual preparedness is crucial for both personal and community-level disasters, and highlighted a book club question in her second book, “Black Swan Shock,” that encourages readers to assess their own emergency preparedness. Federal Pandemic Planning and Leadership Helen shared her experience working on federal pandemic plans and witnessing their partial abandonment during the actual crisis, expressing disappointment in leadership’s failure to communicate effectively and adhere to established protocols. The discussion explored how better preparation and public education could improve future responses to pandemics and other disasters, with Helen emphasizing the importance of all-hazard planning that starts at the individual level. The group agreed to have Helen return for another podcast episode, and several connections were made between participants for future discussions. Wrap up and updates The team went through contact information and Joe shared that Paragon is working on a new cadaveric-based simulator for pericardial tamponade training. The team encouraged listeners to stay safe and check out Helen’s books. The group discussed the role of specialized training, with Jamie highlighting the sponsorship of the Disaster Podcast by Paragon Medical Education Group. Catch the full episode using the player above or on your favorite podcast platform, and don't forget to subscribe to the Disaster Podcast for weekly insights from leaders in disaster response and research!

DJ Maffers 17-01-26. Show Sponsored By The Black Swan Public House Rugby,  On www.bootboyradio.co.uk Please Play, Like, Comment, Follow, Download & Share

“If in 10 years, all American troops stationed in Europe for national defense purposes have not been returned to the United States, then this whole project [NATO] will have failed.” -General of the Army Dwight Eisenhower, February, 1951   The Greenland debacle is bringing the NATO relationship into better focus on just how bad the EU/SSR has become. America should take a non-interventionist pause and get its internal house in order before standing astride the world again and lighting fires that never go away and continuously make things worse. The US a deep history in Greenland: 1867: Andrew Johnson: explored buying Greenland & Iceland (right after Alaska). WWII: FDR: U.S. took over Greenland's defense while Denmark was occupied. 1946: Truman: offered $100M in gold to buy it. Cold War: Eisenhower → Kennedy: nonstop negotiations for bases, radar, missiles. Post–Cold War: Clinton/Bush/Obama: expanded Arctic security & missile defense. 2019: Trump said publicly what presidents discussed privately for 150+ years. The U.S. didn't “suddenly” want Greenland. It's been defending it, negotiating it, and embedding there since the 1800s. Greenland = Arctic power, shipping lanes, missiles, minerals, and bases. Trump didn't invent it. He said the quiet part out loud. There is a realpolitik logic to the concerns. Stop the madness. First part here: Ep 009 “Fixing Fight Club: Just Say No to NATO: Part One” Second part here: Ep 016 “Fixing Fight Club: Just Say No to NATO: Part Two” References: Defense of Greenland: Agreement Between the United States and the Kingdom of Denmark, April 27, 1951 Winning The Salvo Competition: Rebalancing America's Air And Missile Defenses The Russian Reconnaissance Fire Complex Comes of Age Nyet Means Nyet (William Burns 2008) Pat Buchanan Where Does NATO Enlargement End? DoS Cable: NATO ENLARGEMENT: RUSSIAN ASSERTIONS REGARDING THE TWO-PLUS-FOUR AGREEMENT ON GERMAN UNIFICATION Books: Edward Bernays Propaganda Sevim Dagdelen NATO: A Reckoning with the Atlantic Alliance Matt Kennard The Racket: A Rogue Reporter vs The American Empire Daniel Ellsberg The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner Scott Horton Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine Nassim Taleb Incerto: Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes, Antifragile, Skin in the Game Mark Gunzinger & Bryan Clark Winning the Salvo Competition: Rebalancing America's Air and Missile Defense Christian Brose The Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare Email at cgpodcast@pm.me

Are there claims of a massive, buried anomaly in Greenland's ice — possibly a UFO or ancient structure — with the U.S. Space Force guarding the secrets. Why pour massive resources into drilling and monitoring an icy nowhere? Insiders hint at "corridors not built by modern humans," impossible materials, vanishing evidence, and classified shutdowns when teams get too close.Is this tied to melting glaciers revealing what's been hidden for millennia? Or a cover-up bigger than we imagined? We break it all down — the visuals, the narration, the implications — and discuss if disclosure is closer than ever.Buckle up — the truth might be buried deeper than the ice.#UFO #GreenlandUFO #SpaceForceSecrets #AncientAliens #Podcast

Send Kevin a Text MessageIn this episode of Don't Kill the Messenger, host Kevin Goetz welcomes Gail Berman, one of Hollywood's most versatile executives. From producing Joseph and the Amazing Technicolor Dreamcoat on Broadway at 22 to becoming the first woman to lead both a major TV network (Fox Entertainment) and a film studio (Paramount Pictures), she has consistently rewritten what creative leadership looks like in Hollywood.From Brooklyn to Broadway: The Joseph Origin Story (04:03): At just 22 years old, Gail and her partner, Susan Rose, produced Joseph and the Amazing Technicolor Dreamcoat. They brought the show to Broadway, earning seven Tony nominations.The Red Dress and the Palisades Fires (15:52): Gail's Tony Awards dress remains in storage due to insurance settlements following the recent Palisades fires that damaged her home.Starting Over in Television (19:30): Gail shares how she received a message on her answering machine about a new venture at HBO. Despite knowing nothing about television, she took the job at the comedy channel that would become Comedy Central.The Buffy Breakthrough at Sandollar (23:56): After reading the Buffy the Vampire Slayer film script, Gail saw it as a perfect TV show. While serving as President of Sandollar, she partnered with Sandy Gallin and Dolly Parton to develop and executive produce the show—launching a cultural phenomenon.The Austin Butler Screen Test for Elvis (28:26): When Baz Luhrmann showed four screen tests, Austin Butler's was last. The film would earn Gail an Academy Award nomination for Best Picture.From Regency Television to Running Fox (33:49): After producing Malcolm in the Middle, Roswell, and The Bernie Mac Show at Regency Television, Gail received a call from Peter Chernin asking her to run Fox Entertainment.The Paramount Years (40:28): Hired to run Paramount Pictures, MTV Films, and Nickelodeon Films, Gail faced some resistance. She secured the Star Trek film rights back from CBS with just 18 months to put it into production, hiring J.J. Abrams and Damon Lindelof to work fast.Black Swan: The Musical (50:43): After leaving Paramount, Gail launched The Jackal Group. She's now producing the musical adaptation of Black Swan with Darren Aronofsky, Kevin McCollum, and Scott Franklin.Gail Berman's story shows how versatility and the willingness to start over can create a remarkable career. From Broadway to broadcast television to film, she's proven that embracing new challenges leads to extraordinary places.Host: Kevin GoetzGuests: Gail BermanProducer: Kari CampanoWriters: Kevin Goetz, Darlene Hayman, and Kari CampanoAudio Engineer: Gary Forbes (DG Entertainment)For more information about Gail Berman:Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gail_BermanIMDB: https://www.imdb.com/name/nm0075762/LinkedIn: For more information about Kevin Goetz:- Website: www.KevinGoetz360.com- Audienceology Book: https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/Audience-ology/Kevin-Goetz/9781982186678- How to Score in Hollywood: https://www.amazon.com/How-Score-Hollywood-Secrets-Business/dp/198218986X/- Facebook, X, Instagram, TikTok, YouTube, Substack: @KevinGoetz360- LinkedIn @Kevin Goetz- Screen Engine/ASI Website: www.ScreenEngineASI.com

The Greenland debacle is bringing the NATO relationship into better focus on just how bad the EU/SSR has become. America should take a non-interventionist pause and get its internal house in order before standing astride the world again and lighting fires that never go away and continuously make things worse. Stop the madness. Recent episodes on NATO. First part here: Ep 009 “Fixing Fight Club: Just Say No to NATO: Part One” Second part here: Ep 016 “Fixing Fight Club: Just Say No to NATO: Part Two” References: Defense of Greenland: Agreement Between the United States and the Kingdom of Denmark, April 27, 1951 Winning The Salvo Competition: Rebalancing America's Air And Missile Defenses The Russian Reconnaissance Fire Complex Comes of Age Nyet Means Nyet (William Burns 2008) Pat Buchanan Where Does NATO Enlargement End? DoS Cable: NATO ENLARGEMENT: RUSSIAN ASSERTIONS REGARDING THE TWO-PLUS-FOUR AGREEMENT ON GERMAN UNIFICATION Books: Edward Bernays Propaganda Sevim Dagdelen NATO: A Reckoning with the Atlantic Alliance Matt Kennard The Racket: A Rogue Reporter vs The American Empire Daniel Ellsberg The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner Scott Horton Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine Nassim Taleb Incerto: Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes, Antifragile, Skin in the Game Mark Gunzinger & Bryan Clark Winning the Salvo Competition: Rebalancing America's Air and Missile Defense Christian Brose The Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare My Substack Email at cgpodcast@pm.me

As mentioned many times on this program, stocks entered the year trading at or near record-high valuation extremes.When stocks look richly valued like this, short-sellers take notice.Is it time to start shorting the market?To ifind out, today we have the good fortune of welcoming back to the program one of the best known short-sellers in the business, Carson Block, founder of Muddy Waters Research.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#shorting #marketcorrection #blackswan _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

In den letzten Tagen habe ich aus der Community einige Rückmeldungen zu unterschiedlichen Analystenkommentaren bekommen. Darin wird damit gerechnet, dass uns im Jahr 2026 ein „schwarzer Schwan“ begegnen könnte – in Form einer heftigen Rezession. Und die Begründung dafür ist grundsätzlich real: Die Faktoren, die dabei als Grundlage genannt werden, sind keine Theorie, sondern passieren tatsächlich genau jetzt, in diesem Moment. Meine Einordnung dazu gibt es in dieser Folge – legen wir los.
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Synopsis: This movie is everything Showgirls wishes it could be - Nina Sayers is your average prima ballerina, equipped with an overbearing mom, an emotionally & sexually abusive choreographer, and many many enemies all vying for the same role. Swan Lake is a classic and star maker for any girl lucky enough to score - and Nina will stop at nothing, even to the point of self destruction. Or does she?nIG: https://www.instagram.com/porshalauriYT: https://www.youtube.com/PorshaLauri/IG: https://www.instagram.com/officialjerryjoseph87IG: https://www.instagram.com/londonbloke.Tiktok: thecinemasitdoIw

Whitney Elkins-Hutten of PassiveInvesting.com interviews Nick Stageberg of Black Swan Real Estate, a dynamic real estate private equity firm, as they dive deep into the fascinating world of distressed multifamily acquisition. Stageberg unpacks the complex purchase of Rainbow Plaza Apartments, a 105-unit "Franken building" in Anoka, Minnesota. He reveals the strategy his firm used to navigate buying this distressed asset from a nonprofit, including the shocking detail of doubling the Net Operating Income (NOI) on the day of closing. The discussion goes tactical as they detail the highly unusual, but highly favorable, financing stack: assuming a low-rate Freddie Mac loan alongside a "Soft Pay Loan" from Mercy Housing with optional debt service. Discover how Black Swan structures their deals with the Secure Freedom Fund to deliver a secure 10% fixed rate of return to investors, proving that a mission-driven approach to affordable housing can be a powerful engine for profit.

This week on RadioBypass, it's another full-throttle hour of Rock and Roll that DESERVES to be heard.We're spinning brand-new rock from The Dead Daisies, Black Swan, The Georgia Thunderbolts, Avalon Stone, Tailgunner, Altar Of The Witch, Joel Hoekstra and Glenn Hughes.We also celebrate Jimmy Page's birthday (January 9) with music from two of his legendary bands — Led Zeppelin and The Firm. Plus, we honor Michael Schenker on his birthday with a standout Schenker track, drop in some classic Pat Travers, and take time to remember Jeff Beck on the anniversary of his passing with music from one of the greatest guitarists of all time.New rock. Legendary artists. Guitar heroes.This is RadioBypass — Rock and Roll music that DESERVES to be heard.Songlist:The Dead Daisies - Going DownJeff Beck - Rock My PlimsoulJeff Beck - Trouble ManBlack Swan - ParalyzedMSG - Gimme Your LoveThe Georgia Thunderbolts - OverlordThe Firm - RadioactiveLed Zeppelin - Hots On For NowhereAvalon Stone - MirageTailgunner - EulogyAltar Of The Witch - Shadow QueenJoel Hoekstra - You Can GivePat Travers - Take Me To The PilotGlenn Hughes - The Lost Parade

Book a call: https://remnantfinance.com/calendar ! Email us at info@remnantfinance.com !Visit https://remnantfinance.com for more informationFOLLOW REMNANT FINANCEYoutube: @RemnantFinance (https://www.youtube.com/@RemnantFinance )Facebook: @remnantfinance (https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=61560694316588 )Twitter: @remnantfinance (https://x.com/remnantfinance )TikTok: @RemnantFinanceDon't forget to hit LIKE and SUBSCRIBEThis episode dives into the macroeconomic chaos of 2025. Hans breaks down the yen carry trade, quantitative easing, and why the 10-year Treasury isn't budging despite Fed rate cuts. Brian connects it back to what matters: how you position your family's finances when nobody knows what's coming next.The tension is real. On one hand, the debasement trade says go long equities—they're going to keep printing money and asset prices will rise. On the other hand, forward P/E ratios are at 23x, historically correlated with flat or negative real returns over the next decade. And then there's AI—a real time Black Swan breaking every economic model we thought we understood.Chapters:00:00 – Opening segment01:25 – 2025 macro overview: building resilience against all outcomes05:05 – Fed rate divergence: Japan raising while the US cuts06:55 – The yen carry trade explained10:30 – Quantitative easing: how the Fed creates money through primary dealers13:45 – The Cantillon effect and why Wall Street benefits first15:15 – Congress is the root cause, not the Fed17:05 – Why Austrian economists were partially wrong about 2008 QE19:30 – Will this round of QE hit faster?21:45 – The bond market is calling the Fed's bluff25:45 – The case for growth assets in an inflationary environment28:00 – Forward P/E at 23x: what the metric means34:05 – How forward P/E correlates with 10-year returns40:30 – Why you need both growth and guaranteed savings42:00 – The dual paths of wealth: protection and growth45:15 – The house fire story50:10 – AI as the wildcard disrupting all economic models53:05 – The slow-motion Black Swan we're living through56:45 – The 1994 email clip: we're there again with AI59:00 – Closing segmentKey Takeaways:Two Narratives, One Strategy: The inflation/debasement trade says buy growth assets. Elevated P/E ratios say expect flat returns. Both are valid—which is why you need exposure to both growth and guarantees.The Fed Isn't the Root Problem: Congress can't stop spending. The Fed enables it by monetizing debt through quantitative easing. Until spending stops, money printing won't stop.The Bond Market Doesn't Believe the Fed: Rate cuts should lower mortgage rates. They haven't. The 10-year Treasury is rising because bond buyers are pricing in continued inflation and fiscal recklessness.Forward P/E Matters: At 23x, historical data shows a strong correlation with flat inflation-adjusted returns over the next decade. That's not a prediction—it's a data point worth considering.AI Changes Everything (Maybe): What took 30 years of internet development now happens in 12 months with AI. It could accelerate productivity beyond anything we've measured—or it could be a bubble. Nobody knows. Plan accordingly.Book a call: https://remnantfinance.com/calendar ! The Fed just cut rates. Japan just raised theirs to a 30-year high. The bond market is calling the Fed's bluff. And Congress keeps maxing out credit cards while writing their own spending limit increases. What does this mean for your money—and how do you plan when the signals are screaming opposite things?The Dual Paths of Wealth: You're always walking two roads—protection and growth. Whole life insurance designed for IBC lets you do both simultaneously: guaranteed savings you can leverage into growth assets without abandoning either path.

DJ Maffers 03-01-26. Show Sponsored By The Black Swan Public House Rugby,  On www.bootboyradio.co.uk  Please Play, Like, Comment, Follow, Download & Share.

Today we are talking to an internal medicine doc with a great story. She started her medical school journey later in life when she and her husband decided to do whatever it took to help her fulfill her dream of becoming a doctor. Her husband quit his job to stay home and care for their 4 children and she went to medical school. Today we are celebrating her paying off $300,000 of student loans. She has worked hard to pay down debt alongside saving and buying a nice home for her family. Her tips for success are to ground yourself, have a plan and do not let your emotions make your decisions for you. Today's sponsor, Black Swan Real Estate, offers accredited investors access to private multifamily real estate investments with an investor-first model. Unlike most firms, Black Swan collects no GP-level fees and takes no profit until investors receive a full return of capital. Their physician-led team brings a hands-on approach to managing their $375M portfolio, ensuring every asset is optimized for cash flow, appreciation, and tax advantages. With a track record of meeting and exceeding return targets, Black Swan Real Estate provides stability and growth for long-term wealth building. Discover more at https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/blackswan The White Coat Investor has been helping doctors, dentists, and other high-income professionals with their money since 2011. Our free personal finance resource covers an array of topics including how to use your retirement accounts, getting a doctor mortgage loan, how to manage your student loans, buying physician disability and malpractice insurance, asset allocation & asset location, how to invest in real estate, and so much more. We will help you learn how to manage your finances like a pro so you can stop worrying about money and start living your best life. If you're a high-income professional and ready to get a "fair shake" on Wall Street, The White Coat Investor is for you! Have you achieved a Milestone? You can be on the Milestones to Millionaire Podcast too! Apply here: https://whitecoatinvestor.com/milestones  Find 1000's of written articles on the blog: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com  Our YouTube channel if you prefer watching videos to learn: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/youtube  Student Loan Advice for all your student loan needs: https://studentloanadvice.com  Join the community on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/thewhitecoatinvestor  Join the community on Twitter: https://twitter.com/WCInvestor  Join the community on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thewhitecoatinvestor  Join the community on Reddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/whitecoatinvestor  Learn faster with our Online Courses: https://whitecoatinvestor.teachable.com  Sign up for our Newsletter here: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/free-monthly-newsletter  00:00 MtoM Podcast #256 02:16 Internist Pays Off $300,000 of Student Loans in 7 Years 18:07 Advice For Others 21:18 High Deductible Health Plans vs PPO

This week, we catch up with Kol after he (reminder) killed Davina last week! Luckily, she is a witch in New Orleans, so she should be easy enough to bring back. Well, she would be … but she's made enemies of the ancestors and Freya needs ancestor magic to kill Lucien, who cements himself as a major threat by locating Rebekah's body. Lucien has his Black Swan moment, wishy-washy-ness catches up to Van, and Kara finally gets revenge on Davina using what seems to be a Beats Pill speaker. Lastly, Marcel is offered a very tempting advantage by an angry Vincent. Remember to rate, review, and share, brothers!Follow us on Instagram and TikTok @doppelgangerspodcast!

Doomberg reveals what province Trump and his raw power doctrine may be eyeing in Canada, and it's not Alberta — and why the EU is spiraling toward disaster. Victor Adair warns the U.S. midterms could be the real Black Swan, with Trump’s momentum fading. Mike calls out the most ridiculous political statement of the year. And a shocking twist as the pro-Palestinian movement gets exposed in Iran. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Roads Black Swan Events in 2026

DJ Maffers 27-12-25. Show Sponsored By The Black Swan Public House Rugby,  On www.bootboyradio.co.uk Please Play, Like, Comment, Follow, Download & Share,

The Santa era may have ended for the Ziegler's, some lessons from the Reiner murders, more MAGA Housewives, the Epstein myth, a citizen journal in Minnesota, Tiger at 50, will AI reach AGI and "that which does not kill us makes us stronger.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-death-of-journalism--5691723/support.

这期「狗熊有话说 BearTalk」，我想和你聊一聊一个有点严肃、但和每个人都相关的问题：在一个像「黑天鹅养殖场」一样充满不确定性的时代，只靠一份全职工作，还安全吗？我们会一起拆解，当 AI 迅速提升生产力、公司纷纷谈「降本增效」时，普通人如何提前为自己准备好一条安全出口。在这一期节目中，你听到的声音来自 AI，但内容全部由我亲自撰写。这篇文字最初发布在我的 Newsletter《Bear 学习派》中，可以在 https://bear.academy 网站订阅查看。 节目里，我会先聊聊自己为什么决定离开传统职场，为什么说「迟早有一天，你的性价比会不如算法和机器」，以及黑天鹅事件如何从偶尔发生，变成几乎每个行业、每一代人都必须面对的日常背景。我们会一起盘点：当行业骤变、身份标签突然变成负担、或者公司做出你无法控制的决策时，哪些风险其实早就写在环境里。接着，我会提出一个非常具体的建议：哪怕你现在有一份看起来很稳定的工作，也尽量拿出 20% 的时间和精力，投资自己——包括新技能、个人项目、副业尝试，以及最容易被忽视的那一块：健康和心态。同时，我也会分享几个我最近在做的尝试：如何从每月 150 美金的小副业走向百万挑战的独立开发者故事，怎么用简单原则做好产品动效，以及如何用 AI 工具几秒钟生成网站和设计系统，为自己的项目搭出更快的验证路径。如果你想看这一期的文字版、节目中提到的文章和视频链接，以及延伸阅读整理，可以订阅我的 Newsletter「Bear Academy」，在里面找到这一期的完整内容和资源汇总。**本期提到的资源：**- Florin Pop 的独立黑客故事：从每月 150 美金到公开挑战一百万美金的访谈与实践（链接见本期 Newsletter 文字版）- 文章《How I Approach Motion in Product Design》：用几个简单原则教你把产品动效做得既舒服又有用（链接见本期 Newsletter 文字版）- Relume + Figma + Framer / Webflow 的工作流视频：几秒生成网站结构与设计系统的实战演示（链接见本期 Newsletter 文字版）Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/beartalk/donationsAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

In this conversation, Chris Larsen, founder of Next Level Income, shares his extensive experience in real estate investment, particularly in the multifamily and senior housing sectors. He discusses the challenges posed by black swan events, such as COVID-19, and how they have impacted the real estate market. Chris emphasizes the importance of being prepared for unforeseen circumstances and the need for diversification and reserves. He also highlights current opportunities in the multifamily market, the various financing strategies available, and the future trends in housing investment.   Professional Real Estate Investors - How we can help you: Investor Fuel Mastermind:  Learn more about the Investor Fuel Mastermind, including 100% deal financing, massive discounts from vendors and sponsors you're already using, our world class community of over 150 members, and SO much more here: http://www.investorfuel.com/apply   Investor Machine Marketing Partnership:  Are you looking for consistent, high quality lead generation? Investor Machine is America's #1 lead generation service professional investors. Investor Machine provides true 'white glove' support to help you build the perfect marketing plan, then we'll execute it for you…talking and working together on an ongoing basis to help you hit YOUR goals! Learn more here: http://www.investormachine.com   Coaching with Mike Hambright:  Interested in 1 on 1 coaching with Mike Hambright? Mike coaches entrepreneurs looking to level up, build coaching or service based businesses (Mike runs multiple 7 and 8 figure a year businesses), building a coaching program and more. Learn more here: https://investorfuel.com/coachingwithmike   Attend a Vacation/Mastermind Retreat with Mike Hambright: Interested in joining a "mini-mastermind" with Mike and his private clients on an upcoming "Retreat", either at locations like Cabo San Lucas, Napa, Park City ski trip, Yellowstone, or even at Mike's East Texas "Big H Ranch"? Learn more here: http://www.investorfuel.com/retreat   Property Insurance: Join the largest and most investor friendly property insurance provider in 2 minutes. Free to join, and insure all your flips and rentals within minutes! There is NO easier insurance provider on the planet (turn insurance on or off in 1 minute without talking to anyone!), and there's no 15-30% agent mark up through this platform!  Register here: https://myinvestorinsurance.com/   New Real Estate Investors - How we can work together: Investor Fuel Club (Coaching and Deal Partner Community): Looking to kickstart your real estate investing career? Join our one of a kind Coaching Community, Investor Fuel Club, where you'll get trained by some of the best real estate investors in America, and partner with them on deals! You don't need $ for deals…we'll partner with you and hold your hand along the way! Learn More here: http://www.investorfuel.com/club   —--------------------

What does the future hold for the Middle East — and the world — in 2026? In this special episode of Conflicted, Thomas instructs Aimen to peer into his crystal ball and offer his forecasts for the year to come. In this episode, Aimen and Thomas discuss: How professional geopolitical analysts make forecasts The impossibility of foreseeing Black Swan events Why an end to the war in Ukraine could reshape Middle Eastern geopolitics The likelihood of a U.S. war against the Houthis in Yemen Renewed hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon The strategic importance of the Gulf states Iran's nuclear programme, proxy network, and the risk of renewed confrontation Add your predictions to your 2026 Forecast Card here: https://forms.gle/sMCbRFmFTBdcfEDd8  Join the Conflicted Community here: https://conflicted.supportingcast.fm/  Find us on Twitter: https://twitter.com/MHconflicted And Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MHconflicted And Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/conflictedpod Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Conflicted is a Message Heard production. Executive Producers: Jake Warren & Max Warren. Produced by Thomas Small and edited by Lizzy Andrews. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

I spoke with culture writer Soraya Roberts about the hyper-literate, captivating Queen of Gen X cool Winona Ryder. We spoke about Winona's incredible run from the late 80s to the late 90s, her tricky transition into more adult roles, the meta quality of her current work, and more. Show Notes:Soraya's WebsiteSoraya's BlueskySoraya's article on WinonaDefectorWinona in the Criterion ClosetMojo Nixon video Dr. Katz Professional Therapist – Episode with Winona RyderTavi Gavinson interviewing Winona RyderLucas (1986)Beetlejuice (1988)Heathers (1989)Mermaids (1990)Greer Garson Random Harvest (1942)Timothy LearySquare Dance (1987)Jason Robards Jane Alexander1969 (1988)Reality Bites (1994)Edward Scissorhands (1990)Welcome Home, Roxy Carmichael (1990)Holden CaulfieldBram Stoker's Dracula (1992)The Age of Innocence (1993)The Crucible (1996)Little Women (2019)The Iceman (2012)Alien: Resurrection (1997)Girl, Interrupted (1999)Susanna KaysenAmerican Pie (1999)Autumn in New York (2000)Night on Earth (1991)A Scanner Darkly (2006)Black Swan (2010)Gen XMy So-Called LifeJaneane GarofaloThe Winona BookGreat Balls of Fire! (1989)Cher – The Shoop Shoop SongMr. RobotFollow Somebody's Watching here:⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Twitter: @somebodyspod⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Instagram: @somebodyswatchingpod⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Email: somebodywatchingpod@gmail.com

Show NotesEmergency management often explains breakdowns through the lens of surprise, yet many of the hazards shaping our communities were visible long before impact. Todd and Dan unpack the difference between Black Swan events, which are genuinely rare and difficult to predict, and Gray Rhinos, which are highly probable, high-impact threats that are acknowledged but repeatedly deferred. The discussion explores how normalcy bias, political incentives, and institutional design can lead to the normalization of known risks and why mislabeling Gray Rhinos as Black Swans undermines resilience and professional credibility.Topics covered include:* How Black Swan events are defined and why they are often misunderstood* The concept of Gray Rhinos and how visible risks become politically inconvenient* Why emergency management defaults to the language of surprise* Normalcy bias and the danger of mistaking familiarity for safety* The gap between identifying risk and acting on it* Why mitigation and capacity building remain undervalued* How governance incentives shape preparedness outcomesKey TakeawayMost disasters are not shocking because they were unpredictable; they are devastating because they were postponed. Emergency management succeeds not by reacting well to surprise, but by refusing to ignore what is already charging straight at us. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Send us a textTwo conspiracy-obsessed middle-aged men kidnap the high-powered producer of a minor podcast, convinced that he is an alien intent on destroying planet Earth. On Episode 698 of Trick or Treat Radio we continue our annual December Double Feature Cram Jam tradition! We kick it off with the films from two of our favorite directors; Bugonia from Yorgos Lanthimos, and Caught Stealing from Darren Aronofsky! We also battle our old nemesis Tek Issues, react to trailers for the films Man Finds Tape and Supergirl, and find out what the most horrifying sight in a gym is. So grab your tin foil hat, don't forget to bring along your cat, and strap on for the world's most dangerous podcast!Stuff we talk about: Big Media Mergers, Netflix, WB, Gremlins, Mortal Kombat, The Conjuring, It, Final Destination, corporate takeovers, Michigan J Frog, Nightmare City, OBS vs. XSplit, Malignant, Nikki Sixx, Idle Hands, Pieces, Man Finds Tape, Found Footage, Supergirl, James Gunn, Blondie, Craig Gillespie, Fright Night, I Tonya, Green Room, Anton Yelchin, Lars and the Real Girl, Roman Chairs, Cum Town, working out, swinging and dinging in the gym, Stavros Halkias, Emma Stone, Full Throttle Cooking with Craig, Save the Green Planet, Jesse Plemons, Yorgos Lanthimos, VistaVision, One-Eyed Jacks, Aidan Delbis, Stanley Kubrick, Carol Kane, conspiracy theories, The Fountain, The Wrestler, Requiem for a Dream, Black Swan, Mother!, Regina King, Things to do in Denver When You're Dead, Quentin Tarantino, Matt Smith, Zoe Kravitz, Clerks, Austin Butler, Charlie Huston, Good Boy, Shelby Oaks, Emma Stone to the Bone, Massachusetts, Bee Gees, laying pipe and swinging dongs, Schneider-Man, and The Cum Town Rub.Support us on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/trickortreatradioJoin our Discord Community: discord.trickortreatradio.comSend Email/Voicemail: mailto:podcast@trickortreatradio.comVisit our website: http://trickortreatradio.comStart your own podcast: https://www.buzzsprout.com/?referrer_id=386Use our Amazon link: http://amzn.to/2CTdZzKFB Group: http://www.facebook.com/groups/trickortreatradioTwitter: http://twitter.com/TrickTreatRadioFacebook: http://facebook.com/TrickOrTreatRadioYouTube: http://youtube.com/TrickOrTreatRadioInstagram: http://instagram.com/TrickorTreatRadioSupport the show

The US Air Force is at a turning point in 21st century warfare and in danger of whistling past the graveyard if they fail to take notice and action on the emerging Revolutions in Military Affairs (RMA). The era of manned combat aircraft is coming to a close. The era of manned bombers with gravity bombs is over. The era of fixed site nuclear missiles is in great peril. The era of hyper-velocity missiles whether high parabola of IRBM/ICBM or Fractional Orbital Bombardment System (FOBS) glide vehicles. If the pilot mafia doesn't do something about what is coming, the result will be cataclysmic. The Pentagon will not do the right thing, regretfully. References: A Concise History of the U.S. Air Force Jeffrey J. Smith Tomorrow's Air Force: Tracing the Past, Shaping the Future Seth J. Frantzman Drone Wars: Pioneers, Killing Machines, Artificial Intelligence, and the Battle for the Future Paul Scharre Army of None: Autonomous Weapons and the Future of War David Hambling Swarm Troopers: How Small Drones Will Conquer the World Garrett Graff Raven Rock: The Story of the U.S. Government's Secret Plan to Save Itself--While the Rest of Us Die Paul Ozorak Underground Structures of the Cold War: The World Below Daniel Ellsberg The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner Nassim Taleb Incerto: Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes, Antifragile, Skin in the Game Mark Gunzinger & Bryan Clark Winning the Salvo Competition: Rebalancing America's Air and Missile Defense Christian Brose The Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare Email at cgpodcast@pm.me

The holiday season always makes me think of ballet and how it is both a horrifying and beautiful dance. In this episode, I explore Black Swan (2010) and its portrayal of perfectionism. Mental Health is Horrifying is hosted by Candis Green, Registered Psychotherapist and owner of Many Moons Therapy...............................................................Show Notes:Winter Solstice Enchanted EveJoin me on December 18 for a cozy online evening of ritual, tarot, and collective dreaming for the winter solstice. Set aside some time at this magical moment in the wheel of the year, as we travel into the psyche with tarot, dream journeying, and intention setting for the coming winter months. Want to work together? I offer 1:1 psychotherapy both virtually (Ontario) and in-person (Toronto), along with tarot, horror, and dreamwork services (anywhere my bat signal reaches), both individually and through my group program, the Final Girls Club. Podcast artwork by Chloe Hurst at Contempo Mint

Legendary filmmaker Darren Aronofsky and cinematographer Matthew Libatique, ASC, LPS, join us to reflect on their three decades of creative partnership: from “Pi,” “Requiem for a Dream,” “Black Swan,” and “The Whale,” to their newest collaboration, “Caught Stealing.” In this wide-ranging conversation, they discuss the evolution of their visual language, how technology continues to reshape the craft, and the inspirations behind the kinetic, East-Village-in-the-'90s aesthetic of “Caught Stealing.” And as the industry stands on the brink of profound transformation, Aronofsky shares why he believes the future is full of opportunities for new kinds of innovative storytelling. “I think how we make films is about to change more than any other time in history. And there's many ways that can go, many possibilities. So I think for storytellers, it's really exciting because there's a lot of discovery ahead of us. There's the potential for lots of very specific, individual types of films. But I think there's an absolute need for storytellers to be inventive and to be looking forward.” —Darren Aronofsky, Director and Producer, “Caught Stealing” Be sure to check out “Caught Stealing,” now streaming on Netflix, in Dolby Vision® and Dolby Atmos®. Please subscribe to Dolby Creator Talks wherever you get your podcasts. You can also check out the video for this episode on YouTube. Learn more about Sundance Collab here. Learn more about the Dolby Creator Lab and check out Dolby.com. Connect with Dolby on Instagram, Twitter, Facebook, or LinkedIn.

There's milk everywhere: more milk in the U.S., Europe and New Zealand than a year ago, soft Class IV, and Class III futures that could slip into the $13s once you plug in today's spot cheese and whey. With a long milk wave crashing over the dairy industry, will farmers start culling cows and leaving stalls empty? Inside the episode, the team churns through: Why strong balance sheets, paid-down debt and high cow values could delay a production pullback How lower feed costs shift the breakeven – but can't fully offset falling milk checks Why Western and cheese-focused regions like the Pacific Northwest, California and Idaho may struggle first How WPC 80, WPI and clear whey proteins have become the lone bulls – and why capacity constraints limit the industry's response Why there are limits to what customers can pay for whey, and where substitution is already happening It's a barn full of bears on butter, cheese and fluid milk, but the protein complex is still flexing. The question is how long that can last? Tune in to The Milk Check episode 88: One bull in a barn full of bears to hear how our traders are navigating a market that's bearish on volume but still bullish on protein. Got questions? We'd love to hear them. Submit below, and we might answer it on the show. Ask The Milk Check Ted Jacoby III: Welcome, everybody, to The Milk Check. It is December 5th. We’re gonna talk about markets today. And rather than boring you and having the same conversation we had three weeks ago, everything is still bearish. There’s milk everywhere. There’s milk all over the U.S. There’s milk all over Europe. There’s milk all over New Zealand. There’s a whole bunch more milk this year than last year. Things are long. It’s very likely things are gonna get longer before they get shorter. Today we have some of our usual suspects. My brother Gus has joined us today. We’ve got Josh White, we’ve got Joe Maixner, we’ve got Diego Carvallo. And, of course, myself. Looking forward to a great conversation. So, rather than discussing how bearish we can be on these markets, my question, and I’m gonna start by throwing this question at my brother, Gus, is Gus, how long do you think it’s gonna take for dairy farmers to start culling cows and for this milk [00:01:00] production to slow down? Gus Jacoby: I feel like milk price and farm economics are completely contingent on that and how bad those farm economics get with respect to the milk price. Class III is still relatively high. Obviously, Class IV is pretty poor right now. The way I see it, dairymen, at this moment in time, still have fairly strong balance sheets. So, the recent low prices haven’t affected ’em all that much. So, I don’t expect their behavior with respect to culling and whatnot to change. But I think in five, six months from now, assuming that the milk price is at or lower, and quite frankly, I think Class III probably does need to get a bit lower, you’ll start to see some of that behavior change. If I had to guess, either as early as early summer, but as late as maybe mid-fall, if farm economics don’t change, we’ll start to see dairymen begin to leave stalls open. I mean, they’re gonna cull a cow, collect that beef revenue that they can grab, and not necessarily buy the expensive heifer. Ted Jacoby III: You’re thinking it’s gonna take about six months for dairy farmers [00:02:00] to get to the point where they feel like they need to increase the amount of cows they’re selling in order to meet their cashflow needs? Gus Jacoby: That’s my best guess. And again, that can be either expedited or slowed down depending on where the milk price goes. Ted Jacoby III: Corn prices have really come down this year. Do you think the lower feed prices have lowered where that break even point is, or how low we need to go in milk price in order to really send those signals in a strong way? Gus Jacoby: Certainly, feed prices being lower are gonna be helpful to the farm economic model. This becomes a milk price discussion. If the cheese price continues to have that downward pressure and gets low enough, those feed prices won’t be low enough. It’s always related to their inputs. And certainly, cheap feed helps their cause to extend growth in the milk production model. Ted Jacoby III: Right now, on December 5th, the Class III prices for the first quarter are right around, let’s call it $15.50, but if you use today’s cheese price on the spot market at the CME in today’s whey price, you’re probably looking at something closer to $14, 14 and a quarter. [00:03:00] Is that low enough or do we need to go lower? Gus Jacoby: It’s low enough. But not low to expedite anything. Maybe that takes us into the late summer, and remember, it depends on where we’re talking here in the country. Milk production costs are different depending on where you exist in the country. And also payouts are a lot different in a lot of places, depending on where you exist in the country. So, some regions might struggle sooner than later. Ted Jacoby III: Which regions do you think are gonna struggle first? Gus Jacoby: The West, Pacific Northwest, I think California, areas like Idaho that are strongly cheese based. If you’re paying on a Class III price and it stabilizes, which I don’t anticipate here, then perhaps some of those regions might hold on longer. My guess is predicated on the forecast of Class III going a bit lower. Ted Jacoby III: I guess I’d have to agree with that ’cause I don’t think $14 a hundredweight is enough. Because we’re still in front of Christmas, and I think the market’s probably gonna get worse before it gets better. My hunch is we’re gonna see $13 milk this year. We’re gonna see it in Class IV, and we may be already [00:04:00] seeing it in Class IV as soon as December. I think we’re gonna see a 13 handle in Class III, probably most of the first quarter. Gus Jacoby: If you’ve got a Class III at 13, and Class IV holds as low as it is, which I would expect certainly in the first half of the year, and then you have your standard freight and other deducts in those milk checks, dairymen are now getting to an area that is very adverse. Ted Jacoby III: Even though we’re talking about really low prices, I think there’s a lot of dairy farmers out there that are in a pretty healthy place. Gus Jacoby: I would agree. Ted Jacoby III: They’re healthy in two ways. One, I think that many of them have been able to take the last two years and really pay down their debt. And so, they’re in a really good spot financially, just on the balance sheet alone. But the second thing is those cows, they’re worth twice what they were worth three years ago. And so, not only have they paid down their debt, but if they need to borrow more, they’ve got more collateral to borrow against because those cows are usually the collateral for the banks when the banks lend dairy farmers money. It’s [00:05:00] usually the cows and the land. My hunch is that this may go on longer than we expect because of how healthy dairy farmers are financially today. Not saying they’ll be healthy in four or five months, but they’re healthy today. And because of how much bankers are probably willing to lend them based on those balance sheets. Gus Jacoby: I agree that the balance sheets are strong at the moment, even after a couple tough months. But I would also add, that that can change fairly quickly if the milk price gets low enough. And it’s certainly a ratio of farm economics over a certain period of time and milk price. If it gets low enough and makes those farm economics adverse enough, it can expedite the issue, which is a plausible scenario right now. Ted Jacoby III: Mm-hmm. I would agree with that. I think the hardest thing, especially when you have a falling market like we do right now, is to try and figure out exactly where the bottom is. About a month ago, the bottom was about a $1.40. Well, guess what? Cheese price is already below a $1.40 Now, we’re hearing it’s gonna be [00:06:00] somewhere in the $1.20s. What I’m scared is we’re gonna get to the $1.20s, and somebody’s gonna start talking about maybe we need to go into the teens. I don’t know if we’re gonna go that low, but we’re definitely in that scenario right now, where you have a market that’s falling and nobody has a really good feel for where that bottom is. Gus Jacoby: I agree. Cheese and butter right now, their outlook over the next six to eight months does not look good. Ted Jacoby III: Yeah. You mentioned butter. Joe, I’ll ask you: we’re below a $1.50 in butter. Butter feels like maybe it’s caught a temporary floor. Is this a temporary floor or could we stabilize here for the next six months? Joe Maixner: I think we’ve hit a temporary floor, but I don’t think it’s the lowest we’ll see over the next 90 days. I think that cream seems to be in balance, even after Thanksgiving, and I think it’s kept a nice spot in the market where people are willing to buy, those that hadn’t already put contracts on for next year are seeing the 2026 numbers and they’re looking at that against their budgets and blocking volume up for next year. A [00:07:00] lot of first half volume’s already been booked. We’re just seeing more activity. We’ve hit that level of support. Ted Jacoby III: Joe, you mentioned cream. Gus, I’m gonna go back to you. We had some really ugly cream multiples the first half of last year. Have we increased churn capacity, and do we expect those multiples to be just as bad this year or have we increased churn capacity enough so that maybe they won’t quite get so bad? Gus Jacoby: We have increased churn capacity, certainly. I don’t know if it’s enough. Some dairymen around the country are feeding their rations a bit different and getting a little bit less butterfat out of the milk. I don’t think that’s enough, yet, to make too much change. I will anticipate having some very low multiples through the holidays and the spring flush. Ted Jacoby III: Okay. Diego, I’m gonna switch gears and come to you. We just talked about U.S. milk production. Gus thinks it’ll take about six months to turn. I hate to be really pessimistic, but my gut, and I just can’t shake this gut, is it’s gonna take longer than usual this time around. And we may see it go well past nine months before we see a real turn. [00:08:00] We may see the number get better simply because we’re measuring against strength, but that doesn’t mean we actually see a change in trend. What about Europe and some of the other milking regions in the world, is it gonna take that long us to see some changes in milk production in those regions? Diego Carvallo: If you just go to the fundamentals and you analyze that the European farmer usually has a smaller scale, and that means that their costs tend to be a little bit on the higher end. They do not have access to capital as there is in the U.S. There’s more restrictions when it comes to environmental, and overall I would say they have more headwinds than the U.S. So, if you add to all of those headwinds, the price headwind, the reaction on milk production to lower prices should be faster than in the U.S. The same applies to South America. But we’ve talked a lot about Chinese production, we know that in that country, there are way more things to take into account. Ted Jacoby III: [00:09:00] So, we’ve been talking a lot about the supply side today. We’re just overwhelming supply on the butter side; we’re overwhelming demand to a lesser extent, but still on the cheese side. Josh, protein still tends to be the shining star. But are we getting to a point where we’re starting to get some pushback on protein prices? And is that going to continue to be the lone bull in an overall bearish dairy market, or do we need to be concerned there too? Josh White: I don’t think we’re getting pushback at the prices quite yet. Does that mean I think that these prices are palatable over the long term? I’m unsure. But what we are seeing right now is lack of availability and no quick ability by the European market or the U.S. market to scale production to meet the demand, which means that ultimately, the demand for WPC 80 and WPI and then some of the more value-added proteins, particularly in the whey complex, like the clear WPIs, the acidified products and others, the demand is outpacing our ability to supply it. What that’s [00:10:00] doing is forcing utilization segments or customers that can’t compete in terms of price for that available supply to look to alternatives. We’re starting to see more and more of that. As a commodity trader, we expect that to happen quicker than it does. So, already in early 2025, we were looking towards MPCs, casein-related products and others to pick up some of that demand because they’re much lower value. And I don’t think that the average customer in the market that’s using whey proteins fully recognize the functional differences between whey proteins and milk proteins. And they certainly don’t realize that milk protein concentrate has whey protein in it. Generally speaking, the average consumer doesn’t know the difference in these products. That’s not a fault of theirs. Particularly going into CPG applications and further processing, this is an ingredient. An ingredient that has a lot of label recognition and popularity right now for all the reasons we’ve talked about in prior podcasts: GLP-1 driven demand, [00:11:00] health and wellness movements globally, a lot of other reasons. Is that an early indication that enough time has now passed that the relative value of whey protein above the competing, but still quite valuable proteins in the dairy complex, are gonna result in substitution both substitution within the dairy category to whey protein to milk protein concentrates to micellar casein to WPC 70, also known as WPPC, whey protein phospholipid concentrate (WPPC) ProCream. There’s a lot of different names for these products. That’s likely to happen. But it also, unfortunately, might result in a lot of categories pushing to non-dairy proteins. There’s a lot of information out there, things put on by ADPI and others talking about the protein power of dairy and how digestible it is. How high quality it is for your conversion rate, why it’s such a popular thing. But if you can’t get supply, you’re forced to look to alternatives. And so, we’re starting to see some of that [00:12:00] happen. So, a couple things that I’ve heard anecdotally in the market over the past few weeks in particular, but it’s been happening over the last few months are: get us samples of milk protein concentrate. One of our customers is suspending a certain SKU on the shelf because they can’t get the supply. This price simply won’t work for our application. So, we won’t buy this product at above this price. So, we are triggering some thresholds. And triggering thresholds is gonna have some type of balancing result in the industry. Whether that’s enough to support the milk protein side of the equation, I don’t know. We have a limit to the ability to respond to this demand. You have to order equipment, you have to get the bank lending, you’ve gotta get the design. It takes a long time to increase capacity. That’s all gonna come into play and impact this market and the balance of this market in 2026. Now, if you’re asking me, is my gut that we hold these high prices or even higher prices without some reversal in the price [00:13:00] action for whey proteins in 2026? I’m not ready to say that it’s just here or higher in 26, but is it here or higher in the first quarter? Absolutely. Is it here higher in the second quarter, probably. Is it here or higher after that? I become a little bit skeptical. And to be clear, that’s not because the demand isn’t there right now. The demand feels like it’s there. I just don’t know how the market balances it out without pushing the price just too high in the short term for the market to digest it and pass it through. I also think that when you’re talking about the dairymen and you’re talking about the cheese makers, there is two different classes here. There is the class of those that make whey proteins and the class of those that do not. That has a material impact on profitability throughout the supply chain. Additionally, we’ve got a lot of milk in the U.S. We’ve got a lot of milk in the world right now, and the milk in the Northern hemisphere altogether is only gonna increase from here through the first half of [00:14:00] the year. That milk is gonna need to be processed. The incremental milk production will result in incremental whey protein availability, which means that those whey solids from cheese processors they have to find a market. If you can’t make the valuable product of WPC 80 and WPI, you have to explore the other alternatives, which are simply not experiencing the robust demand of those two categories. Sweet whey powder, whey protein concentrate 34% (WPC 34) and some of these other products, they have a limit to what people are willing to pay. History tells us, at least for sweet whey powder, we’re testing those limits. Ted Jacoby III: For sweet whey powder, we are, the question is, is this happening for whey protein? And that’s a harder one to answer. Josh White: Absolutely. Ted Jacoby III: I did some back of the envelope math. As a country, we produce 8% to 9% more milk in May on a daily basis than we do in November. If half of that milk goes into cheese, we’ll produce 8% more cheese and 8% perhaps more whey protein. The solids change, too. So, maybe it’s not a full [00:15:00] 8%, but is 8% enough to tip the scale on whey protein demand? And I don’t know, given the demand complex for whey, I think for cheese it’s gonna feel very burdensome. I think for butter, it would probably feel pretty burdensome. The butter market we’re kind of used to it because of the way the demand curve looks, but I just don’t know when it comes to whey, if that’s enough to put some pressure on this market and bring those prices down. Josh White: Well, it depends on what you’re talking about because you could argue that the WPC and WPI facilities are bringing in outside whey solids. Mm-hmm. Mm-hmm. As their own milk and their own whey generation increases seasonally, that’s gonna push whey solids back to somebody else. So, all 8% in your hypothesis there, I doubt contributes to an 8% increase in whey protein production. Because the available capacity isn’t there? Josh White: Correct. Now, is there production efficiencies that are still gonna be gained? Are there those out there that are expanding a bit [00:16:00] that we’re unaware of? Are there orders for new equipment in the system that might be closer to realization than we think? All possible. And we can’t ignore Europe. I don’t feel like I can adequately represent what the expansion model looks like in Europe right now for whey proteins. What I can say is that at least for the U.S. and Europe, our internal demand is currently absorbing a greater percentage of our production than ever before, and that’s leaving the rest of the world that was buying product from those two markets, having to search for that protein elsewhere. Ted Jacoby III: Mm-hmm. Josh White: And, this is being a bit over generic, but the rest of the world likely will be more willing to substitute than the U.S. or the European consumer to other products. Ted Jacoby III: I would agree with that. Everybody in our office is just leaning really bearish, just about everybody we talk to seems to be leaning really bearish. Josh White: Outside of Black Swan events: major trade disruptions, major production impacts that we can’t predict. If you’ve [00:17:00] been in the dairy industry long enough, you know to never bet against the dairymen and their ability to make milk. But it’s gotta be on the radar that the competitive dollars for those animals I don’t think has ever been as lucrative as it is right now. And those animals that they’re currently milking are older then typically they want them to be. So, if we shift this cycle quickly enough and violently enough, and that’s price, at what moment do we get surprised at what that residual response is? How many pent up animals find their way to slaughter? How quickly that could happen. And I think generally speaking, most of us would bet that the calf inside the dairy cow right now is worth enough to wait. And so, we’ve gotta get through the first half of the Northern Hemisphere season before we see much of an animal response. Ted Jacoby III: I think that’s a fair comment. Dairy farmers, especially the big financially astute ones, there’s a math equation. It’s like, this is my revenue [00:18:00] from milk. This is my maybe revenue from biofuels or wherever else. They have revenue streams from a cow that’s giving milk every day. This is the cost to maintain that cow. The variable cost feed, for example, being the big one. Well, when you’re getting $20, a hundredweight from your milk versus $13, a hundredweight for your milk. That equation has changed quite a bit, whereas the exit price, what you’re gonna get if you sell the cow hasn’t changed at all, which means your math equation, the exit possibility has definitely gone up. It’s more profitable to sell this cow than it used to be. Josh White: History tells us that the exits of the older dairymen and the smaller dairies doesn’t really change based on economic conditions, it’s relatively stable. Maybe there’s some risk that we have some pent up exits and some risk that it’s never been a better time to retire. Mm-hmm. And you get some smaller dairies that decide to exit. That doesn’t move the needle. Ted Jacoby III: I would suspect. You’re right. We’ll see. Josh White: One [00:19:00] quick remark that’s important is the outlook on demand. It seems like the market is very, very bearish because supply is outpacing demand globally and it’s in every major milk shed. But demand by import regions has been pretty good. Mm-hmm. They’ve been buying year over year, more dairy products. At the same time, I don’t believe there’s any region in the world that’s currently sitting on cumbersome overall dairy stocks, whether that’s from the import regions or the production regions. Everyone seems to be quite aware that you gotta stay in front of this. I don’t know how to interpret that. On one hand, you could say that based on some of the economic outlooks, globally, we shouldn’t be expecting things to get better. We should be expecting them to get at best the same or possibly even worse. On the other side of that equation is import dairy consumption and demand is growing and continues to grow, so it might be a painful period, but the long-term [00:20:00] outlook remains pretty good, and we just overreacted to some of the demand signals that we have. Credit to the dairymen in the world, being able to respond to signals that we needed more fat, not even a year ago. That whey protein demand’s good. I mean, the market has responded, but overall we’re not talking about an oversupply situation because demand’s bad. If you go granularly, like U.S. cheese consumption, doesn’t look real great right now. The outlook for overall economic health, I’m not an expert in that area, but I’m not seeing a lot of people talking about a rosy 12 to 24 months there. So, yeah, I think generally speaking, it’s easy to be bearish, but maybe that’s one thing to pay attention. Ted Jacoby III: You mentioned demand. I happened to be involved in a conversation yesterday with an equities trader and his comment about stock valuations, equities, valuations, which was really a demand comment, was, I’m just waiting to see what Christmas sales do. I think there’s a lot of people out there right now that are trying to get a feel for what’s [00:21:00] the long-term demand or the 2026 demand perspective, and I think a lot of them are gonna judge what it really is based on how this holiday season plays out. All right guys. Hey, thanks for a great conversation. I apologize to all the dairy farmers out there that I couldn’t give you any better news, but hang in there that good news will come eventually. That’s right.

Schon vor einigen Jahren wollten wir Darren Aronofskys BLACK SWAN im Podcast besprechen und intern ist es fast schon legendär wie häufig wir die Besprechung immer und immer wieder verschoben haben. Aber nun ist es soweit. Teresa geht gemeinsam mit André und Chris in die Analyse des preisträchtigen Psychothrillers. Weiter geht es dann Mitte Januar mit neuen Folgen eures Lieblingshorrorfilmpodcasts!

In the future near-peer and peer fight, salvo competition will be the preeminent means by which one country will kinetically overwhelm the other in a fight. I discuss the way the West is in an existential hazard of being woefully under-prepared to meet the threat if Western forces go toe to toe with regional hegemons in the East or West. The US is NOT prepared for the war of leakers in which the inadequate missile defense systems and strategy now deployed will be overwhelmed if it enters a war of choice with China or Russia. It isn't simply the peer competitors but the smaller players like North Korea and Yemen are demonstrating that the US and its allies can't cash the checks they boast about. Once again, the US should stand down, reassess, re-calibrate and stop thinking defense is a four letter word. References: Winning The Salvo Competition: Rebalancing America's Air And Missile Defenses The Russian Reconnaissance Fire Complex Comes of Age Space Based Interceptor Sizing Methodology Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists Books: Garrett Graff Raven Rock: The Story of the U.S. Government's Secret Plan to Save Itself--While the Rest of Us Die Paul Ozorak Underground Structures of the Cold War: The World Below Daniel Ellsberg The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner Nassim Taleb Incerto: Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes, Antifragile, Skin in the Game Mark Gunzinger & Bryan Clark Winning the Salvo Competition: Rebalancing America's Air and Missile Defense Christian Brose The Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare My Substack Email at cgpodcast@pm.me

“I just want to be perfect.” Join Ian & Megs for our 308th episode as we step into the mirror-lined, razor-edged, emotionally fraught world of Darren Aronofsky's Black Swan (2010). Lace up your shoes, crack your knuckles, and prepare to descend into obsession, duality, and tutu-level trauma. This week we discuss: Natalie Portman's extraordinary, Oscar-winning transformation — fragile ingénue, ruthless perfectionist, and fractured psyche in one. Mila Kunis as the effortless chaos to Nina's claustrophobic control — real threat or manifested paranoia? Aronofsky's visual language: reflections, doubles, textures, and body horror. How does he trap the audience inside Nina's deteriorating mind? The film's depiction of artistic pressure and perfectionism — when does ambition turn pathological? What other film could we not stop referencing whilst watching this film Megs questions the ballet accuracy (and the wildly inaccurate bits) — including the culture, the training, and the psychological toll Ian asks if the film does a good enough job educating the audience about ballet to make the film accessible We talk about how Black Swan functions as a companion piece to The Wrestler — obsession as both craft and self-destruction. The boundaries between reality and hallucination — when does the film stop being literal? Or was it metaphor all along? We examine the film's treatment of sexuality, identity, and agency through the lens of duality: White Swan vs. Black Swan, innocence vs. corruption, submission vs. liberation. The final performance — triumphant, tragic, transcendent? We unpack the film's unforgettable ending. And finally, whether Black Swan is the Best Film Ever — or simply one of the most hypnotic psychological thrillers of the 21st century. Become a Patron of this podcast and support the BFE at https://www.patreon.com/BFE. We are extremely thankful to our following Patrons for their most generous support: Juleen from It Goes Down In The PM Hermes Auslander James DeGuzman Synthia Shai Bergerfroind Ariannah Who Loves BFE The Most Andy Dickson Chris Pedersen Duane Smith (Duane Smith!) Randal Silva Nate The Great Rev Bruce Cheezy (with a fish on a bike) Richard Ryan Kuketz Dirk Diggler Stew from the Stew World Order podcast NorfolkDomus John Humphrey's Right Foot Timmy Tim Tim Aashrey Paul Komoroski Buy some BFE merch at https://my-store-b4e4d4.creator-spring.com/. Massive thanks to Lex Van Den Berghe for the use of Mistake by Luckydog. Catch more from Lex's new band, The Maids of Honor, at https://soundcloud.com/themaidsofhonor Also, massive thanks to Moonlight Social for our age game theme song. You can catch more from them at https://www.moonlightsocialmusic.com/

That Solo Life, Episode 324: Celebrating and Leveraging Your Milestone Moments Episode Summary This special bonus episode of "That Solo Life" features a rebroadcast from the Smart Talk Series, where host Melissa Vela-Williamson interviews our very own Karen Swim. Dive into a powerful conversation about the importance of celebrating personal and professional milestones. Karen shares insights from her unique career journey, which started in healthcare and sales before she found her calling in public relations. The discussion explores how to reframe challenges, like the COVID-19 pandemic, as "Black Swan" events that can open doors to fresh starts and significant growth. Listeners will learn actionable strategies for building a solution-oriented mindset, the importance of self-promotion, and why every solo practitioner needs to recognize their own value. This episode is packed with real talk and practical advice for navigating your career with confidence and optimism. Episode Highlights (02:35) A Winding Path: Karen discusses her unconventional journey into the world of public relations. (07:43) The Power of Positivity: Learn why being solution-oriented and optimistic is crucial for business success. (08:29) Tuning Out Toxicity: Actionable tips for consciously curating the content you consume and protecting your mindset. (13:34) A Milestone Moment: How the COVID-19 pandemic became a catalyst for career transformation and new perspectives. (16:30) Embracing Black Swan Events: Turning unexpected challenges into opportunities for growth and reinvention. (21:46) Community for Indies: A look inside Solo PR Pro, the professional membership community for independent PR professionals. (37:47) Know Your Worth: The common tendency to underestimate abilities and the critical need for self-promotion. (39:05) Raise Your Rates: A direct encouragement for solo pros to charge what they are worth. (42:11) A Healthy Mindset: The importance of maintaining your mental, physical, and spiritual well-being to thrive as a professional. Related Episodes & Additional Information In this episode, Karen Swim was a guest on the Smart Talk series podcast, hosted by Melissa Vela-Williamson, M.A., APR, Fellow PRSA, CDP. To learn more about Melissa's work and discover other communication topics, visit mvw360.com. Check out the resources and community for independent PR professionals at soloprpro.com. Find Melissa Vela-Williamson's books on Amazon. Host & Show Info That Solo Life is a podcast created for public relations, communication, and marketing professionals who work as independent and small practitioners. Hosted by Karen Swim, APR, founder of Words For Hire and President of Solo PR, and Michelle Kane, Principal of Voice Matters, the show delivers expert insights, encouragement, and advice for solo PR pros navigating today's dynamic professional landscape. Did this episode resonate with you? Don't keep it to yourself! Share it with a fellow PR pro who needs to hear it. Subscribe to "That Solo Life" on your favorite podcast platform and leave us a review—it helps other professionals discover the show.

How to make smarter decisions that improve your life by understanding your mind and it's hidden psychology. We are all storytelling creatures, desperate to fit the world into a narrative that makes sense to us. Thus, we build echo chambers not because we are stupid, but because we are afraid. The Confirmation Bias is a shield against the discomfort of being wrong. The Availability Bias shapes our worldview based on the loudest stories, not the most important facts. This episode reviews 7 cognitive biases the explore the friction between what is comfortable and what is true. Learning helps us build tools for the art of long-term thinking in a short-term world. Audit your inputs: Step outside your algorithmic feed to find the friction of opposing views. Reframe the risk: Turn "Black Swan" surprises into "White Swan" predictions by analyzing the unsexy data. Choose commitment: Overcome the paralysis of infinite choice by making a "good enough" decision and sticking to it. Go make a ruckus by choosing to think clearly today. SPONSORS

In a special midweek episode of the Minor Issues podcast, Mark Thornton appears on Palisades Gold Radio with Stijn Schmitz. Mark argues that gold's surge isn't a fad: it's a market verdict on runaway deficits, central-bank credibility, and fiat money itself. He also explains why manipulated rates breed booms, busts, and inequality, while sound money and decentralization restore real signals.The original episode ("Dr. Mark Thornton: Early Innings for Gold, Silver Manipulation, Black Swans & Failing Markets") is available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c2FUnca1q3cBe sure to follow Minor Issues at https://Mises.org/MinorIssues

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Dr. Mark Thornton to the show. Dr. Mark Thornton is Economist and Senior Fellow at the Mises Institute. The discussion centers on the current state of precious metals, monetary policy, and economic systems, with a particular focus on gold and silver’s role in the global financial landscape. Thornton argues that gold is fundamentally money, and governments have only recently forced their way into replacing commodity money with fiat currency. He suggests that the current precious metals market is still in its early stages, with central bank buying and distrust in the US dollar driving significant interest. The gold and silver markets are experiencing growing pains, with increasing investor attention and potential for further price appreciation. The conversation delves into the fundamental differences between Austrian and Keynesian economics. Thornton criticizes Keynesian economics as a state-controlled ideology that promotes government spending and manipulates interest rates, whereas Austrian economics advocates for market-driven monetary systems and private property rights. He highlights how central bank policies create economic bubbles and exacerbate wealth inequality by favoring asset-rich individuals. Thornton sees potential for a significant monetary transformation, potentially triggered by the current precious metals bull market. He believes the collision between Western and Eastern financial markets, coupled with the rise of cryptocurrencies, could lead to a fundamental restructuring of monetary systems. The possibility of a return to a gold standard or a gold-backed settlement currency is discussed as a potential future scenario. The economist also warns about potential economic bubbles in artificial intelligence and private equity, arguing that the Federal Reserve’s monetary policies have created unsustainable conditions across various sectors. He believes that while central banks have been able to temporarily extend economic cycles, their power is not infinite, and a significant market correction is inevitable. Thornton concludes by emphasizing the importance of understanding Austrian economic principles and encourages listeners to explore the works of economists like Friedrich Hayek to gain deeper insights into monetary systems and economic dynamics. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:01:19 – Gold as Money 00:04:21 – Central Bank Distrust 00:05:52 – Bull Run Early Stages 00:09:35 – Historical Parallels 1980s 00:14:15 – Return to Gold Standard 00:18:16 – Bond Markets Unraveling 00:24:07 – Austrian vs Keynesian Economics 00:31:19 – Flexible Inflation Targeting 00:33:53 – Silver Monetary Role 00:45:46 – AI Private Equity Bubbles 00:51:11 – Future Recession Outlook 00:55:41 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: Website: https://mises.org X: https://x.com/DrMarkThornton E-Mail: mailto:mthornton@mises.org YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=mark+thornton+minor+issues Book-Hayek: https://mises.org/library/book/hayek-21st-century-essays-political-economy Dr. Mark Thornton is a Senior Fellow at the Mises Institute and formerly held the Peterson-Luddy Chair in Austrian Economics. He hosts the podcasts Minor Issues and Unanimity and is Book Review Editor of the Quarterly Journal of Austrian Economics. His books include The Economics of Prohibition, Tariffs, Blockades, and Inflation, The Bastiat Collection, and The Skyscraper Curse. He has served on multiple editorial boards, taught economics at several universities, and worked as Assistant Superintendent of Banking and adviser to Alabama Governor Fob James. He holds degrees from St. Bonaventure University and Auburn University and has debated the “War on Drugs” at the Oxford Union. Dr. Thornton has been featured in major outlets such as The Economist, Forbes, New York Times, Wall Street Journal, and USA Today, along with numerous international and regional newspapers. His commentary appears regularly on the Mises Institute's platforms and on programs such as Boom-Bust, the Tom Woods Show, and the Scott Horton Show.

We take a break from reality to play our favorite nighttime driving songs, even with our endless cynicism, we're nonplussed as the left and right keep changing sides, Alex fanboys on MTG, US Ukraine peace plan proves Putin probably possesses two-POTUS pleasure pics, new information has come to light, man, and finally, Epstein, AI, or Aliens:  What's your favorite Black Swan? Drop us a comment below.

Nov 21, 2025 – AI is rapidly transforming the U.S. economy and energy grid. Jim Puplava and Mark Mills discuss the surge in AI data centers, rising energy demand, skilled trade shortages, and how America can lead the global AI race amid major...

Effective 20 June 2025, I did a major improved revision on the sound quality for all my WarNotes episodes retroactively thanks to the technology at Podsworth. It is time for America to completely reassess alliances and partnership around the world starting with NATO and then working its way down the list of useless and toxic relationships and promises to commit American blood and treasure to flashpoints planet-wide. NATO insisted after the wall 1989-91 fell that the NATO blob would NOT expand eastward. America should take a non-interventionist pause and get its internal house in order before standing astride the world again and lighting fires that never go away and continuously make things worse. Stop the madness. References: Winning The Salvo Competition: Rebalancing America's Air And Missile Defenses The Russian Reconnaissance Fire Complex Comes of Age Nyet Means Nyet (William Burns 2008) Pat Buchanan Where Does NATO Enlargement End? DoS Cable: NATO ENLARGEMENT: RUSSIAN ASSERTIONS REGARDING THE TWO-PLUS-FOUR AGREEMENT ON GERMAN UNIFICATION Navy Matters Get the US Out of NATO Books: Sevim Dagdelen NATO: A Reckoning with the Atlantic Alliance Matt Kennard The Racket: A Rogue Reporter vs The American Empire Daniel Ellsberg The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner Scott Horton Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine Nassim Taleb Incerto: Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes, Antifragile, Skin in the Game Mark Gunzinger & Bryan Clark Winning the Salvo Competition: Rebalancing America's Air and Missile Defense Christian Brose The Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare My Substack Email at cgpodcast@pm.me

Effective 20 June 2025, I did a major improved revision on the sound quality for all my WarNotes episodes retroactively thanks to the technology at Podsworth. It is time for America to completely reassess alliances and partnership around the world starting with NATO and then working its way down the list of useless and toxic relationships and promises to commit American blood and treasure to flashpoints planet-wide. NATO insisted after the wall 1989-91 fell that the NATO blob would NOT expand eastward. It did. America should take a non-interventionist pause and get its internal house in order before standing astride the world again and lighting fires that never go away and continuously make things worse. Stop the madness. First part here: Ep 009 "Fixing Fight Club: Just Say No to NATO: Part One" References: Winning The Salvo Competition: Rebalancing America's Air And Missile Defenses The Russian Reconnaissance Fire Complex Comes of Age Nyet Means Nyet (William Burns 2008) Ted Galen Carpenter NATO's Phony (and Dangerous) Nonbelligerent Status Regarding the Ukraine War Ted Snider US Foreign Policy Was Never About Promoting Democracy Pat Buchanan Where Does NATO Enlargement End? DoS Cable: NATO ENLARGEMENT: RUSSIAN ASSERTIONS REGARDING THE TWO-PLUS-FOUR AGREEMENT ON GERMAN UNIFICATION Navy Matters Get the US Out of NATO Books: Sevim Dagdelen NATO: A Reckoning with the Atlantic Alliance Matt Kennard The Racket: A Rogue Reporter vs The American Empire Daniel Ellsberg The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner Scott Horton Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine Nassim Taleb Incerto: Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes, Antifragile, Skin in the Game Mark Gunzinger & Bryan Clark Winning the Salvo Competition: Rebalancing America's Air and Missile Defense Christian Brose The Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare Email at cgpodcast@pm.me

Bar Talk (our recommendations):Jessica is reading A Boy and His Dog at the End of the World by C.A. Fletchere; drinking a Blind Tiger's Bees Knees.Damien is reading The Haar by David Sodergren; drinking a Larceny bourbon whiskey.Ryan is watching "Adolescence" (Netflix); drinking and Old Forester 86.If you liked this week's story, watch Black Swan (2010; dir. Darren Aronofsky)Up next: "An Evicted Spirit" by Marguerite MeringtonSpecial thank you to Dr Blake Brandes for our Whiskey and the Weird music! Like, rate, and follow! Check us out @whiskeyandtheweird on Instagram, Threads & Facebook, and at whiskeyandtheweird.com

In this episode, Eric and Michelle explore the mystery of 3I/ATLAS, the newly discovered interstellar object that's only recently entered our awareness. This cosmic traveler invites us to expand our perspective on what lies beyond and within.  Tune in to the conversation as friends of the show, Vic, Nadia and Maura (and Ozzie Bear!) gather in the studio as we reflect on what discoveries like 3I/ATLAS reveal about our place in the universe.

After contributing to The Pod and the Pendulum's 300th episode on the 25 best horror films of the 21st century, we decided to run through our individual lists for listeners.How did we each approach the task? (hint: thank god for Letterboxd) Which film(s) appear on both lists? And what movies will top our individual lists?! Don't scroll if you don't wanna know!Joe's Top 25 Horror Films of the Century (Ranked)The Invitation (2015)Knife + Heart (2018)Hereditary (2018)Train To Busan (2016)Relic (2020)Saint Maud (2019)The Descent (2005)The Perfection (2018)Inside/A L'Interieur (2007)Raw (2016)Better Watch Out (2016)Under The Skin (2013)Black Swan (2010)Let The Right One In (2007)Stoker (2013)Femme (2023)Annihilation (2018)Blink Twice (2024)The Skin I Live In (2011)The Strangers (2008)The Invisible Man (2020)Hostel Part 2 (2007)Ginger Snaps (2000)The Substance (2024)Midnight (2022)----------Trace's Top 25 Horror Films of the Century (Ranked)The Substance (2024)The Descent (2005)The Den (2013) - Listen to our guest spot on TGIFHereditary (2018)The Invitation (2015)Martyrs (2008)The Perfection (2018)The Texas Chainsaw Massacre (2003)It Follows (2014)The Outwaters (2022)Drag Me To Hell (2009)Grindhouse (2007)Trick 'r Treat (2007)Insidious (2011)The Witch (2018)The Cabin In The Woods (2011)Bug (2006)The Mist (2007)Evil Dead (2013)Green Room (2008)[Rec]² (2009)Doctor Sleep (2019)Don't Breathe (2016)Detention (2011)Zombeavers (2014) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

This week, Jason is joined by author, entrepreneur, professor, and most notably former member of the FBI, known as the mast negotiator, Chris Voss! Chris earned that title throughout his time serving as the lead crisis negotiator for the New York City division of the FBI, and then as FBI's Chief International Hostage and Kidnapping negotiator. In 2008, after spending 24 years and working 150 international hostage cases for the FBI, Chris founded the Black Swan group which serves as a consulting and training agency for both businesses and individuals on negotiating skills. He has also published several NYT bestselling books. The former FBI hostage negotiator pulls back the curtain on the art and science of high-stakes communication. Chris breaks down his thoughts on President Trump's negotiation tactics, explains what an “accusation audit” is and why it's so effective, and shares how he reacts when others use his own techniques against him. He dives into knowing when to walk away, why every interaction should end on a high note, and what to do when you're being ghosted. Chris also brings his negotiation expertise into everyday life—offering strategies for navigating dating, marriage, and divorce, the power of telling the truth, and why curiosity can be a superpower when dealing with tight-lipped people. He reveals how a kidnapping hostage negotiation unfolds, the cost of a bad deal, why trusting your gut matters, and his best tips for negotiating your salary. Chris reveals all this and so much more in another episode you can't afford to miss! Host: Jason Tartick Co-Host: David Arduin Audio: John Gurney Guest:  Stay connected with the Trading Secrets Podcast!  Instagram: @tradingsecretspodcast  Youtube: Trading Secrets Facebook: Join the Group  All Access: Free 30-Day Trial  Trading Secrets Steals & Deals! Square: If you're starting a business, or running one that deserves better tools, Square helps you sell, manage, and grow without slowing down. Right now, you can get up to $200 off Square hardware at square.com/go/tradingsecrets  Momentous: Momentous Creapure ® Creatine is backed by leading performance experts like Dr Andrew Huberman and Dr Stacy Sims. Sourced exclusively in Germany, Creapure sets the gold standard for creatine, delivering the purest form, creatine monohydrate, that's rigorously washed and never cut with fillers. Go to livemomentous.com, and use promo code TRADINGSECRETS for up to 35% off your first subscription order Boll & Branch: Boll & Branch makes upgrading your bed easier than ever with curated Bundles for a sanctuary of comfort. For a limited time get 20% off Bed Bundles, plus free shipping and returns, at BollAndBranch.com/tradingsecrets.

Episode 1810 - brought to you by our incredible sponsors: True Classic- TrueClassic.com/HARDFACTOR to try them out for yourself. Hydrow- Go to Hydrow.com and use code HARDFACTOR to save up to $450 off your Hydrow Pro Rower! DaftKings- Download the DraftKings Casino app, sign up with code HARDFACTOR, and spin your favorite slots! The Crown is Yours - Gambling problem? Call one eight hundred GAMBLER Lucy- Let's level up your nicotine routine with Lucy.  Go to ⁠⁠Lucy.co/HARDFACTOR⁠⁠ and use promo code (HARDFACTOR) to get 20% off your first order. Must be of age-verified. Better Help - Our listeners get 10% off their first month of online therapy at BetterHelp dot com slash HARDFACTOR Timestamps: 00:00:00 Timestamps 00:01:30 Join our Discord to get in on Pat's new WEEKLY NFL PARLAY system that is sure to hit this year patreon.com/hardfactor 00:06:55 ICE & The National Guard are invading Chicago, and things are getting nuts 00:19:55 Trump and the Canadian Prime Minister are looking awfully chummy these days 00:24:00 Marineland animal park in Ontario is threatening to murder its THIRTY Beluga Whales if the Government doesn't step in to help save them 00:31:30 Black Swan gets evicted from an English pond after becoming too aggressive with the native White Swans 00:39:20 The Pope has blessed a giant block of ice to help the Earth's environment 00:41:15 KY Man puts up spooky Halloween decorations, but they were actually just threats towards local officials  Thank you for listening!! If you're still reading, join our community at patreon.com/hardfactor to get access to bonus podcasts, discord chat, and much more... but Most importantly: HAGFD!! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices