Podcasts about Black swan

Send a textSirens fade, but the lessons shouldn't. On this episode, we sit down with Helen Hynson Vettori—former paramedic, federal emergency planner, and now the mind behind the Black Swan thriller series—to explore how real-world crises become page-turning stories that sharpen leadership and preparedness. From street-side triage to cross-agency strategy, Helen shows why decisive action at the edge must pair with deep collaboration at the center if you want a response that actually works.We trace the arc from 9/11 urgency to the drift that follows when memories dim and budgets tighten. Helen opens up about the early months of COVID, the confusion that took root, and how she used fiction to forecast outcomes and make hard truths easier to face. Her writing moves the action forward while sneaking in the operational details that matter: clear communication channels, roles that don't overlap, and the humility to adjust when Murphy's Law shows up. Then we shift ground—literally—to the New Madrid Seismic Zone in Missouri and the research behind Black Swan Shock, where centuries-old eyewitness reports meet modern vulnerabilities in the St. Louis region.Find Helen's novels on Amazon here or on her website: https://www.helenhynsonvettori.com/We'd love to hear from you. Email the show at Tom@leadinginacrisis.com.

We're back with the latest issue of the DBG Times! Here's what we're commemorating this time! ROCKSTAR DEATHDAYS We remember Sid Vicious, Tim Kelly, Big John Harte, Ty Longley, Mark Lanegan, and Bon Scott. 2026 ALBUM ANNIVERSARIES Ten years ago, Anthrax released For All Kings. Fifteen years ago, Orchid debuted with Capricorn. Thirty years ago brought Bruce Dickinson's Skunkworks, Enuff Z'Nuff's Peach Fuzz, and Deep Purple's Purpendicular. Thirty-five years ago saw Queen's Innuendo, Saigon Kick's debut, and Great White's Hooked. Forty years ago, Ozzy Osbourne released The Ultimate Sin and King Diamond launched his solo career with Fatal Portrait. Forty-five years ago included Judas Priest's Point of Entry, Rush's Moving Pictures, Riot's Fire Down Under, and Iron Maiden's Killers. Fifty and fifty-five years ago featured Lynyrd Skynyrd's Gimme Back My Bullets, along with Cactus and Uriah Heep releases. NEW MUSIC New albums this month arrive from Tailgunner, Wicked Smile, Lily Löwe, The Hellacopters, Black Swan, Temple Balls, Michael Monroe, Joel Hoekstra's 13, and Rob Zombie. We cover all that and more with this edition of the DBG Times! Decibel Geek is a proud member of the Pantheon Podcasts family. Contact Us! Rate, Review, and Subscribe in iTunes Join the Facebook Fan Page Follow on Twitter Follow on Instagram E-mail Us Subscribe to our Youtube channel! Support Us! Buy a T-Shirt! Donate to the show! Stream Us! Stitcher Radio Spreaker TuneIn Become a VIP Subscriber! Click HERE for more info! Comment Below Direct Download  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

We're back with the latest issue of the DBG Times! Here's what we're commemorating this time! ROCKSTAR DEATHDAYS We remember Sid Vicious, Tim Kelly, Big John Harte, Ty Longley, Mark Lanegan, and Bon Scott. 2026 ALBUM ANNIVERSARIES Ten years ago, Anthrax released For All Kings. Fifteen years ago, Orchid debuted with Capricorn. Thirty years ago brought Bruce Dickinson's Skunkworks, Enuff Z'Nuff's Peach Fuzz, and Deep Purple's Purpendicular. Thirty-five years ago saw Queen's Innuendo, Saigon Kick's debut, and Great White's Hooked. Forty years ago, Ozzy Osbourne released The Ultimate Sin and King Diamond launched his solo career with Fatal Portrait. Forty-five years ago included Judas Priest's Point of Entry, Rush's Moving Pictures, Riot's Fire Down Under, and Iron Maiden's Killers. Fifty and fifty-five years ago featured Lynyrd Skynyrd's Gimme Back My Bullets, along with Cactus and Uriah Heep releases. NEW MUSIC New albums this month arrive from Tailgunner, Wicked Smile, Lily Löwe, The Hellacopters, Black Swan, Temple Balls, Michael Monroe, Joel Hoekstra's 13, and Rob Zombie. We cover all that and more with this edition of the DBG Times! Decibel Geek is a proud member of the Pantheon Podcasts family. Contact Us! Rate, Review, and Subscribe in iTunes Join the Facebook Fan Page Follow on Twitter Follow on Instagram E-mail Us Subscribe to our Youtube channel! Support Us! Buy a T-Shirt! Donate to the show! Stream Us! Stitcher Radio Spreaker TuneIn Become a VIP Subscriber! Click HERE for more info! Comment Below Direct Download  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode of Freight Expectations, FreightWaves founder and CEO Craig Fuller and “The Armchair Attorney” Matthew Leffler dive into a historic day for the American supply chain. Following the Supreme Court's landmark ruling to overturn the use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEPA) for revenue generation, the duo analyzes the immediate legal and economic fallout for the trucking and shipping industries.From the potential for a massive West Coast import surge to the tactical shift toward Section 122 tariffs, Craig and Matt break down how this ruling creates a new “Black Swan” catalyst for freight demand. They also tackle the rising tide of ICE enforcement at truck stops, the legal complexities of abandoned cargo, and why the industry is finally embracing new, authentic voices over traditional associations. Follow the Freight Expectations Podcast Other FreightWaves Shows Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

DJ Maffers 17-02-26 Show Sponsored By The Black Swan Public House Rugby, On www.bootboyradio.co.uk Please Play, Like, Comment, Follow, Download & Share.

This week on RadioBypass, we crank it up with a powerhouse lineup of NEW Rock and Roll music that DESERVES to be heard! Episode 410 delivers fresh fire from Corrosion Of Conformity, Generation Radio, The Rift, Sister Sin, Sun Don't Shine, Seven Year Witch, and Joel Hoekstra — proving once again that real Rock and Roll is alive, loud, and kicking.We celebrate guitar legend Doug Aldrich with two killer tracks — one from his second solo album and another from his Bad Moon Rising days. Happy Birthday, Doug!The birthday shout-outs continue as we recognize Dennis DeYoung with a track from his lastl album, and Paul Carson of Paralandra — and you KNOW we're turning that one up!We also spin a track from the debut album by Black Swan, who are set to unleash a brand-new record on February 27 — consider this your warm-up.Plus — we spotlight two bands we'll be interviewing this week: Defiant and Bad Marriage. Get ready… because the conversations are coming, and the Rock is already rolling.It's loud.It's proud.It's Rock and Roll music that DESERVES to be heard.Turn it up and press play on Episode 410 of RadioBypass!Songlist:Bad Moon Rising - Dangerous GameDoug Aldrich - Mind PunkDefiant - Ignite The SkyCorrosion Of Conformity - Gimme Some MooreBad Marriage - Second Hand SmokeGeneration Radio - Montana SkyThe Rift - LightningDennis DeYoung - The Last Guitar HeroSister Sin - Suicide HillSun Don't Shine - Power To LiveSeven Year Witch - Radio StaticJoel Hoekstra - LifelineBlack Swan - Shake The WorldParalandra - The Only One

U.S rock/metal outfit Story Of The Year exploded onto the scene with their groundbreaking debut Page Avenue, one of the first albums of its kind to sell over a million copies.The breakout single “Until the Day I Die” quickly became both an enduring anthem and a mission statement for the band. What began as four friends working in a St. Louis pizza joint evolved into a movement, connecting deeply with fans through every era. From Page Avenue (2003) to In the Wake of Determination (2005), The Black Swan (2008), The Constant (2010), Wolves (2017), and Tear Me to Pieces (2023) the band, comprised of Dan Marsala, Ryan Phillips, Josh Wills, and Adam Russell, has delivered a signature blend of melodic aggression, raw vulnerability, and anthems built to scream along to in the dark.And, fans will be pleased to confirm, Story Of The Year are back bigger and better with A.R.S.O.N., marking the next evolution of the band's signature sound and raw, personal lyricism - elements that have earned the band a dedicated global following. An acronym for “All Rage, Still Only Numb,” the album channels their trademark energy into a powerful exploration of anxiety, emotional turmoil and inner darkness. With a dynamic blend of modern post-hardcore, polished production, and nods to their emo roots, A.R.S.O.N. delivers a compelling, storied sonic journey through the fight of Story Of The Year to make it through this life.HEAVY recently caught up with vocalist/drummer Dan Marsala to find out more, running through our review of the album track by track and listening to his thoughts on our thoughts...Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/heavy-music-interviews--2687660/support.

DJ Maffers 14-02-26. Show Sponsored By The Black Swan Public House Rugby,  On www.bootboyradio.co.uk Please Play, Like, Comment, Follow, Download & Share.

In this special, live recording of The Important Part, SoFi's Head of Investment Strategy Liz Thomas asks the question many investors are thinking about: when – if ever – will the markets cool off? She sits down with two of the top critical thinkers in the world of finance: Tom Lee, Co-founder and Head of Research at Fundstrat, and Michael Lewis, the New York Times bestselling author of Moneyball, The Big Short, The Blind Side, and Going Infinite. Together, they work through the most pressing questions facing investors in 2026. Discover why retail investors are outperforming hedge funds, whether gold has peaked, and if Bitcoin's 40% dip signals a crypto winter. Lee explains why the recent AI-driven software tumble could actually reflect corporate productivity gains, while Lewis shares his contrarian gold bet and why he's “long fear.” They tackle the independence of the Federal Reserve under nominee Kevin Warsh, the risks of AI job displacement, and whether the federal government could nationalize failing AI companies. Plus: crypto's Black Swan events and what flash-frozen food teaches us about technological disruption. For more, read Liz's column every Thursday at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠On The Money⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ by SoFi⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, and follow Liz on Twitter ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@LizThomasStrat⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Additional resources: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠On The Money⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠: Sign up for SoFi's newsletter for intel, insights, and inspo to help you get your money right. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Investing 101 Center⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠: At SoFi, we believe investing is for everyone — which is why we've created a hub with info for beginners and experts alike. Start exploring to get investment education, advice, resources, and more. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Wealth Investing Guide⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠: Information you need to know to make your money work harder for you. This podcast should be used for informational purposes only and not deemed as a recommendation. Our Automated investing is via SoFi Wealth LLC, and is a registered investment advisor. Our Active investing is via SoFi securities LLC, member FINRA/SIPC. For additional disclosures related to the SoFi Invest® platforms, please visit www.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ SoFi.com/Legal⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. ©2026 Social Finance, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

La théorie du cygne noir, formulée par Nassim Nicholas Taleb en 2007 dans son livre The Black Swan, cherche à expliquer pourquoi les événements les plus marquants de l'histoire sont souvent ceux que personne n'a vus venir.L'expression vient d'une vieille croyance européenne : pendant des siècles, on pensait que tous les cygnes étaient blancs, car on n'en avait jamais observé d'autres. En 1697, des explorateurs découvrent des cygnes noirs en Australie. Une seule observation suffit alors à invalider une certitude considérée comme universelle. Taleb utilise cette métaphore pour parler d'événements rares, imprévisibles, mais aux conséquences immenses.Selon lui, un cygne noir répond à trois critères :1. Il est hautement improbable au regard des connaissances disponibles.2. Il a un impact massif sur le monde.3. Après coup, on construit une explication rationnelle qui donne l'illusion qu'il était prévisible.Des exemples souvent cités : les attentats du 11 septembre 2001, la crise financière de 2008, ou encore l'essor fulgurant d'Internet. Avant qu'ils ne surviennent, peu d'experts les anticipaient réellement. Après coup, en revanche, les analyses abondent pour montrer qu'« on aurait pu le voir venir ».Le cœur de la théorie critique notre obsession des prévisions statistiques classiques. Nous avons tendance à modéliser le monde comme s'il fonctionnait selon des courbes régulières, proches de la moyenne. Or, dans certains domaines — finance, géopolitique, innovation — ce sont les événements extrêmes qui façonnent l'histoire. Taleb parle de « monde de l'Extrêmistan », par opposition au « Médiocristan », où les variations sont limitées (comme la taille humaine).Son message est moins de prédire les cygnes noirs que d'apprendre à vivre avec l'incertitude. Plutôt que de faire confiance aveuglément aux modèles, il propose de bâtir des systèmes robustes — voire « antifragiles » — capables de résister aux chocs imprévus.La théorie a profondément marqué la finance, la gestion des risques et même la réflexion politique. Elle rappelle une chose essentielle : notre ignorance est plus grande que nous ne le pensons, et l'histoire est souvent écrite par des événements que personne n'attendait.En somme, le cygne noir n'est pas seulement une métaphore. C'est une invitation à l'humilité face à l'imprévisible. Hébergé par Acast. Visitez acast.com/privacy pour plus d'informations.

US and the World Winter is still with us but if you look really hard you might see signs of spring. It is the time of year which can be quiet on farms across the greater North American corn belt. However, as the days go by their surely will be more warmth coming over the land with visions of planters heading out into the field. At the same time in South America, harvest and planting are in full swing. That is creating all kinds of variables for market action. Then there is the USDA which chimed in with their latest WASDE report on February the 10th. As reports go the February report is often quiet because it’s sandwiched between the bigger January reports and the later Prospective Planting report in late March. This USDA report did not veer from that script. In the report US corn ending stocks were reduced 100 million bushels but they’re still the largest in seven years. Also too, world stocks outside of the US and China are still tight and there were no changes to South American corn estimates. Corn exports were increased by 100 million bushels up to 3.3 billion bushels which is a record for corn exports. Corn exports are sitting at 2.127 billion bushels. On the soybean side of the ledger US balance sheet remain unchanged from January. There was an increase in production in Brazil which had been widely expected. Brazil soybean production is now expected to be 180 MMTs which is up to 2 MMTs from last month. Simply put, it was a quiet report for soybeans. US soybean ending stocks remained at 350 million bushels. World wheat ending stocks or increased 5 million bushels from last month currently sitting at 931 million bushels. On February 13th corn, soybeans and wheat futures were higher than the last Market Trends report. March 2026 corn futures was at $4.31 a bushel. Dec 2026 corn was at $4.64 bu. The March 2026 soybean futures was at $11.33 bu. The November 2026 soybean futures were at $11.13. The March 2026 wheat futures closed at $5.48 a bushel. The Minneapolis March 2026 wheat futures closed at $5.71 a bushel with the September 2026 contract closing at $6.14 a bushel. The nearby oil futures as of February 13th closed at $62.89/barrel higher vs the nearby futures recorded in the last Market Trends report of $59.44/barrel. The average price for US ethanol in the US was $2.03/gallon, up vs the $1.97/gallon recorded in the last Market Trends Report. The Canadian dollar noon rate on February 13th, 2026, was .7345 US, up vs the .7188 US reported here in the last Market Trends report. The Bank of Canada’s lending rate remained at 2.25%. Ontario In Ontario it has been an icy cold winter leading up to February the 14th. Parts of Ontario in the snow belt north and West of London as well as toward Barrie have an inundated with snow most of the winter and relief would be welcome. Hopefully this created an environment where winter wheat could survive underneath all the snow. Producers will be looking for some respite as we go into March to facilitate grain movement and production plans for 2026. In the meantime, Agricorp released final figures on last year's crop putting Ontario corn at 191 bushels per acre and soybeans at 46 bushels per acre. Ontario basis levels have hardly changed for grains over the last 30 days since the last Market Trends report. In fact, there’s been a slight improvement in some parts of Ontario with eastern Ontario showing historical advantage on the corn basis. Very surely some of this is because of the terrible yields that were experienced in parts of eastern Ontario last year. As we move ahead it’s pretty clear in this part of Ontario and into Quebec that they will need corn to satisfy their needs. The Canadian dollar remains a significant stimulus to cash grain prices. This has happened even though the Canadian dollar did gain almost $0.02 over the last 30 days. Part of the issue has to do with the American dollar sinking and inversely the Canadian dollar gaining within that paradigm. This will likely continue because the American dollar is seeing pressure it is not seen before partly resulting from some of the political moves being made in the United States. For instance, the American President recently commented that he thought it was a good thing that the US dollar was going down. Foreign exchange markets are more complicated than that but their trade algorithms feed on those comments too. As we move ahead Ontario grain producers should be focused on the value of the Canadian dollar as always but also keep abreast of what’s happening with the US dollar. The two are highly inversely interrelated. Old crop corn basis levels are $1.35 to $2.15 over the March 2026 corn futures on Feb 13th across the province. New crop corn basis levels were $1.15 to $1.47 over Dec 2026 futures. The old crop basis levels for soybeans range from $3.10 to $3.69 over the March 2026 futures. New crop soybeans range from $2.90 to $3.06 over the November 2026 futures. Ontario SRW wheat prices are approximately $7.02. For July 2026 new crop the bid is in the $6.72 bu. range. On February 13th the US replacement price for corn was $6.28/bushel. You can access all these Ontario grain prices in the marketing section at https://gfo.ca/marketing/daily-commodity-report/ The Bottom Line We are at somewhat of a standstill in grain prices. Or is this the start of something new even to the point of kidding ourselves for a bit thinking it might be the start of a bull market. All three grains have shown a little bit of resilience in the last 10 days meaning something might be up. That might be China coming in and buying US corn and even more soybeans and it may not be. However, corn prices have recovered from the downdraft from the January USDA report and soybeans have moved much higher. Geopolitics is always a factor when it comes to grain prices and China is usually part of that equation. In fact, you might say it’s always old news. Last year they didn’t buy American soybeans until there was some type of dialogue with the American President. This year there seems to be more optimism by the Americans that the Chinese might come around. Part of that is based on their better relationship and the specter that President Trump will be visiting China in April. In many ways this is key. You've got to believe in the run up to that meeting there will be social media posts from the President about selling more soybeans and corn to China. Our trading algorithms feed on that phenomena. The only way to capture market opportunities from this is to have standing market orders ready. A weather market it continues to be if you consider South American production. The Mato Grosso Institute of Agricultural Economics recently reported that the Safrinha corn planting had reached 46% by mid-February. This is a touch behind where it usually is. At the same time keep in mind that on the Chinese Dalian corn futures exchange prices have been rising since last October. Corn is not quite like wheat; it is grown mostly in the United States but even still producers should keep an eye on market information about the Safrinha crop. Traders in China are looking at that too. As we move into March there will certainly be a shift for some producers from old crop to new crop. Keep in mind that every day of the year is an opportunity to buy and sell grain. 2025 did not offer a very long period of profitable grain pricing opportunities. Who knew we would see some of our largest price increases during harvest time? As we move ahead the March Prospective Planting report looms as a major market mover. However, in the relatively bearish environment which we find ourselves in a big change in acres might not be significant to market action until we actually see what gets planted in late June and July. Commodity Specific Comments Corn As we all know demand for US corn continues to be record setting. This is a very good thing considering that we had 17.02 billion bushels last year. Add a certain point there will be a small tussle for acres between corn and soybeans. Will corn acres be about 95 million this year compared to 99 last year? If they are that is reduction of 4 million acres of corn a fairly major move in the market environment we are in now. We will see if that happens and of course there will be estimates released in late February on the number of acres, but the big prediction will be coming at end of March USDA Prospective Plantings report. Any variation on the script like China buying US corn because there’s has quality concerns will certainly weigh on prices. Simply put, there is so much risk for price as we look ahead toward blowing off the dust on those corn planters. The March 2026 corn contract is currently priced at 10.5 cents lower than the May 2026 contract a neutral to bearish indication of old crop corn demand. Seasonally, we know that corn prices tend to peak in early June and bottom out in early October. The March 2026 corn futures contract is at the 11th percentile of the past five-year price distribution range. Soybeans There is a lot going on in soybeans, possibly increased China buying, a resilient soybean oil market not only with exports abroad but also increased domestic consumption within the United States and possible quality issues in Brazil. For instance, all of these factors are relevant, but the earlier harvested soybeans in the northern part of Mato Grosso have been affected by very rainy weather. Needless to say, with the USDA predicting 180 MMTs of soybeans being produced in Brazil surely it is a minor factor. Brazil continues to be the titan of soybean production and harvest is continuing there at this time. Keep in mind that Brazil has had 19 straight season of production expansion and 75% of their exports go to China. Also keep in mind that Chinese demand growth for soybeans has been in concert with this production increase in Brazil. There is really no sign of this changing other than the fact you have to ask yourself the question can both China and Brazil continue to boost capacity on demand in production respectively. The March 2026 soybean contract is currently priced 15.25 cents below the May contract considered bearish for soybean demand. Seasonally, soybean prices tend to peak in early July and bottom out in early October. The January 2026 soybean contract is currently at the 22nd percentile of the past five-year price distribution range. Wheat There are strong wheat crops almost everywhere. As always, these crops are ready to fill supply gaps. There is also rain in the American southwest plains which will help the wheat crop. That’s a partial list of bearish factors with wheat so why is the price been going up recently? Some might argue the law of averages but there’s been some movement up in wheat based on the other commodities. However, it is a bearish environment. Funds have been short wheat since 2022. Breaking out of that might have to be led by soybeans or corn prices catching fire in the next few weeks. In Ontario old crop wheat prices shot up above $7.00 in the last few weeks helping some producers who were tempted to store wheat from last summer. This reflected the increases in futures prices as well as the Canadian dollar still being relatively low in the $0.73 US range. With snow still inundating most of the Ontario wheat crop it is always difficult to know how and when to contract new crop wheat. Is it alive or is it not? As the snow recedes, we should get a better answer. The Bottom Line (cont.) The Canadian dollar has gained about two cents since the last Market Trends report. It is always hard to tell why but the American dollar has been dropping significantly starting about a month ago but has recently been rising getting within three points of its value on the US dollar index where it was in January. Usually, a 2 cent rise in the Canadian dollar means that basis values go down for Ontario producers. It is not as acute this time around but will likely be next time. Still, the Canadian dollar at $0.73 US will always be good for Ontario cash grain prices. As now it stands Ontario farmers need to continue to watch the markets and keep an eye on South America. There is still time for something to change in the big crop that’s coming off there. Also keep in mind that we will have another March WASDE report coming up as well as the big Prospective Plantings report at the end of the month. Then there are the Black Swans, those market events that happen which nobody sees coming. You tell me when they will happen. The challenge for Ontario producers is to balance all of these market factors. It is difficult, but the profession we chose means risk is almost part of our lifeblood. Managing that risk is a continuing experiment for all of us. Markets will continue to be fluid but so will be our ability to price our grain. Each trading session is an opportunity for us. Daily market intelligence will be key. There will be many grain marketing opportunities ahead. The post Market Trends Report – February & March 2026 appeared first on Grain Farmers of Ontario.

Legendary Irish rock vocalist Robin McAuley returns for his third appearance on the show to discuss the latest album from his supergroup Black Swan. Paralyzed drops February 27 from Frontiers Music and is a high-energy, melodic rock tour de force from this all-star group of musicians that also includes guitarist Reb Beach (Winger, Whitesnake), bassist Jeff Pilson (Dokken, Foreigner), and drummer Matt Starr (Mr. Big, Ace Frehley). In addition to making Paralyzed, Robin spoke about touring in support of his 2025 solo album, Soulbound, making videos for the new Black Swan album, his love of macabre subject matter, his vision for Stan Decker's amazing cover art, and more. Please hit the like button and/or leave a rating/review wherever you consume this podcast. You can read my Michael's Record Collection newsletter for free by signing up at michaelsrecordcollection.substack.com. Follow MRC on Twitter (@MikesRecords), like it on Facebook, and follow on Instagram, and Bluesky. Have questions or comments or want to suggest a topic? Hit me up at michaelsrecordcollection@gmail.com. I'd love to have your support for this independent podcast. You can become a patron of this show by becoming a Michael's Record Collection Patreon subscriber starting at only $2 per month at the MRC Patreon page. Supporter benefits escalate at each level, providing more value the more you support the show. For example, you will know about interviews in advance and at some levels you can submit questions for the artists, come on the show to co-host, enter prize drawings, and more. 

26.02.15 "The Black Swan" by Rev. Seth Ethan Carey by First Congregational Church of Glen Ellyn

You finally find out where the pillow goes ~ You Can Bring Your Dog (28 May 2007 - Rome, ITA) / Black Swan (25 January 2003 - München, GER)

Postcolonialism Now: Literature, Reading, Decolonising (Orient BlackSwan, 2024) by Sourit Bhattacharya introduces a new method of decolonial reading and criticism. It critically examines the history and ongoing influence of colonialism and imperialism in postcolonial cultures and texts. The volume seeks to address the crucial question of how to read postcolonial literatures closely and comparatively, particularly through the lenses of decolonisation and anticolonialism. Through rubrics such as migration, ecology, trauma, minorities and futurity, Postcolonialism Now engages with close readings of films, graphic novels, fiction, theatre and poetry from across the globe. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/new-books-network

Postcolonialism Now: Literature, Reading, Decolonising (Orient BlackSwan, 2024) by Sourit Bhattacharya introduces a new method of decolonial reading and criticism. It critically examines the history and ongoing influence of colonialism and imperialism in postcolonial cultures and texts. The volume seeks to address the crucial question of how to read postcolonial literatures closely and comparatively, particularly through the lenses of decolonisation and anticolonialism. Through rubrics such as migration, ecology, trauma, minorities and futurity, Postcolonialism Now engages with close readings of films, graphic novels, fiction, theatre and poetry from across the globe. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/literary-studies

Postcolonialism Now: Literature, Reading, Decolonising (Orient BlackSwan, 2024) by Sourit Bhattacharya introduces a new method of decolonial reading and criticism. It critically examines the history and ongoing influence of colonialism and imperialism in postcolonial cultures and texts. The volume seeks to address the crucial question of how to read postcolonial literatures closely and comparatively, particularly through the lenses of decolonisation and anticolonialism. Through rubrics such as migration, ecology, trauma, minorities and futurity, Postcolonialism Now engages with close readings of films, graphic novels, fiction, theatre and poetry from across the globe. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/film

Postcolonialism Now: Literature, Reading, Decolonising (Orient BlackSwan, 2024) by Sourit Bhattacharya introduces a new method of decolonial reading and criticism. It critically examines the history and ongoing influence of colonialism and imperialism in postcolonial cultures and texts. The volume seeks to address the crucial question of how to read postcolonial literatures closely and comparatively, particularly through the lenses of decolonisation and anticolonialism. Through rubrics such as migration, ecology, trauma, minorities and futurity, Postcolonialism Now engages with close readings of films, graphic novels, fiction, theatre and poetry from across the globe. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/critical-theory

Postcolonialism Now: Literature, Reading, Decolonising (Orient BlackSwan, 2024) by Sourit Bhattacharya introduces a new method of decolonial reading and criticism. It critically examines the history and ongoing influence of colonialism and imperialism in postcolonial cultures and texts. The volume seeks to address the crucial question of how to read postcolonial literatures closely and comparatively, particularly through the lenses of decolonisation and anticolonialism. Through rubrics such as migration, ecology, trauma, minorities and futurity, Postcolonialism Now engages with close readings of films, graphic novels, fiction, theatre and poetry from across the globe. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/performing-arts

Postcolonialism Now: Literature, Reading, Decolonising (Orient BlackSwan, 2024) by Sourit Bhattacharya introduces a new method of decolonial reading and criticism. It critically examines the history and ongoing influence of colonialism and imperialism in postcolonial cultures and texts. The volume seeks to address the crucial question of how to read postcolonial literatures closely and comparatively, particularly through the lenses of decolonisation and anticolonialism. Through rubrics such as migration, ecology, trauma, minorities and futurity, Postcolonialism Now engages with close readings of films, graphic novels, fiction, theatre and poetry from across the globe. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/sociology

What if the next financial shock isn’t a market crash—but your own personal debt? On this episode, Steve Anzuoni breaks down rising credit card interest rates, the national debt debate, and why managing your personal finances matters more than predicting the next “black swan.” He dives into market uncertainty, political gridlock, luxury habits of the ultra‑rich, and how everyday consumers can create consistency, stability, and smarter retirement income strategies. From debt control to guaranteed income planning, this episode delivers real‑world insight wrapped in candid, entertaining conversation. SCHEDULE A MEETING OR PHONE CONSULTATION TODAY! Get a Copy of Steve's Book - Tee Up Your Retirement! Social Media: Facebook I LinkedIn I Instagram I YouTube See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Linktree: ⁠https://linktr.ee/Analytic⁠Join The Normandy For Additional Bonus Audio And Visual Content For All Things Nme+! Join Here: ⁠https://ow.ly/msoH50WCu0K⁠Analytic Dreamz reacts to Honkai Star Rail Version 4.0 Trailer: "No Aha at Full Moon" on Notorious Mass Effect. Dive into the painted paradise scroll where a vacant divine throne awaits godhood seekers donning masks for the masses. Amid cosmic fires, the absent god leaves "One Minute of Godhood" for Elation followers. Unpack new characters Yao Guang and Sparxie, alongside Sparkle, Black Swan reruns, and Penacony ties. Analytic Dreamz breaks down storyline twists, voice acting highlights like Ari Thrash as Yao Guang and Lizzie Freeman as Sparxie, plus gameplay reveals for the February 13 launch. Essential Honkai Star Rail 4.0 reaction, gacha tips, lore analysis, and build strategies for Trailblazers. Join analytic dreamz for passionate insights on HSR updates, events, and rewards. Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/analytic-dreamz-notorious-mass-effect/donationsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Since its formal inception more than a decade ago, the LUF Team has championed professional reading as a cornerstone of leader development. LUF believes that a close study of history's most accomplished, mission-oriented leaders reveals a common thread: a deep engagement with literature and disciplined professional reading. In 2022, LUF launched its inaugural book club. Since then, LUF's online book clubs have served as a conduit for meaningful discourse, reflection, and critical thought across the profession. This episode is Part 2 of Senior Mentor Jim Roussell's exploration of Nassim Nicholas Taleb's The Black Swan, recorded during one of these book club discussions. Part 1 originally aired on August 21, 2024. In this continuation, Jim offers valuable insight into the leadership traits and organizational practices that enable mission-oriented leaders and units to adapt, endure, and succeed amid unpredictable and improbable events.

DJ Maffers 31-01-26.Show Sponsored By The Black Swan Public House Rugby, On www.bootboyradio.co.uk Please Play, Like, Comment, Follow, Download & Share.

An interview with Robin McAuley, lead singer of Black Swan, about their February, 2026, album "Paralyzed." He talks about where the band is at on its 3rd album, putting the songs together, the chemistry of the band, making music videos for the band, the cover artwork, and more.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Do you spend a lot of time worrying about financial catastrophe? Are you worried that no matter how hard you try, world events could bankrupt you? If that's the case, you are concerned with black swan events. This episode attempts to describe why black swan events will likely not thwart you. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this Episode, Will is joined Merzain to do the initial build for a Mighty Avengers roster that Will will willfully play at Adepticon.  The guys start by talking about the affiliated characters and TTCs before diving into the deep end with who to splash.  Luckily Josh talks Will off the Black Swan ledge, for now.  Let us know what your Mighty Avengers looks like or what you're playing in your games!  Last chance for the #giveaway!  Enjoy! Baron of Dice - HouseParty for 5% off! Patreon and Merch and more! Krydrufi Hobby Station Thing USE CODE: KRYDRUFI-HPP Connect with us on Facebook @housepartyprotocol HPP on Youtube Discord - HPP_Will Email us - housepartyprotocolpod@gmail.com BattleKiwi - PARTYKIWI The Gamer's Guild

Here's a movie review that is only here because I like the actress a lot and always been curious.  A movie that is very odd, but also super interesting.  This movie also shows why you shouldn't be a ballerina. Come hear us deep dive into Black Swan and discuss what this movie is all about.  is this movie a remake of Perfect Blue?  Does this movie make sense?  Whats even real?  we answer all those questions in todays episode.  Starring Mike Albertin, Kenneth Sanity, Joe Butler, and Phoebe Stanton.  A Gamer Looks at 40 - https://agamerlooksat40.com/ Carrying My Cross - https://podcasts.apple.com/pl/podcast/carrying-my-cross-a-faith-journey-podcast/id1865524685 Phoebe's Twitch - https://www.twitch.tv/theletsplayprincess Phoebe's Podcast - https://nerdsabroadcast.podbean.com/ Zac's Podcast - https://linktr.ee/absolutelythebest Helena - https://linktr.ee/helhathfury Patreon - https://www.patreon.com/GamesMyMomFound Follow us on Facebook. Instagram - gamesmymomfound_ YouTube  - https://youtube.com/c/GamesMyMomFoundPodcast Discord - https://discord.gg/ V for Vendetta (Film 126) - GMMF https://gamesmymomfoundpodcast.podbean.com/e/v-for-vendetta-film-126-gmmf Star Wars Revenge of The Sith (Film 59) - GMMF https://gamesmymomfoundpodcast.podbean.com/e/star-wars-revenge-of-the-sith-film-59-gmmf Star Wars: Attack of The Clones (Film 53) - GMMF https://gamesmymomfoundpodcast.podbean.com/e/star-wars-attack-of-the-clones-film-53-gmmf Star Wars The Phantom Menance (Film 49) - GMMF https://gamesmymomfoundpodcast.podbean.com/e/star-wars-the-phantom-menance-film-49-gmmf Thor The Dark World (MCU Film 8) - GMMF https://gamesmymomfoundpodcast.podbean.com/e/thor-the-dark-world-mcu-film-gmmf Thor (MCU Film 4) - GMMF https://gamesmymomfoundpodcast.podbean.com/e/thor-mcu-film-gmmf

Most people think a “hot” M&A market means: inflated prices, reckless buyers, and deals that will eventually fall apart. That's not what we're seeing in aerospace and defense right now. What we're watching instead is something far more unusual and powerful. Every major segment of the industry is firing at once. Defense, commercial aviation, business jets, and space are all growing simultaneously.  The companies coming to market aren't missing forecasts; they're beating them. Buyers aren't walking away when things get hard. They're leaning in, working through issues that used to kill deals, because they know something fundamental has changed. This is not a fragile bubble. It's a structural shift. Capacity is the new currency. The players who survived COVID are full, booked, and unable to meet demand. Strategic buyers are no longer just chasing IP; they're buying throughput, people, certifications, and physical capabilities.  At the same time, private equity has specialized at a level we've never seen before, building aerospace-only platforms that can compete head-to-head with strategics. The middle market, once an “hourglass” with little depth, is filling in fast. And when you zoom out, the macro picture makes it even more obvious. Public aerospace and defense companies are trading at premiums to the broader market. Commercial launches into orbit are compounding at extraordinary rates. Aircraft production is rising sharply, engine backlogs stretch for years, and defense spending remains structurally elevated.  And across all of it, the barriers to entry have created enormous moats that protect the entire ecosystem. In this episode, I sit down again with Bill Alderman and Ryan Kirby from Alderman & Co to unpack what's really happening inside the middle-market aerospace and defense deal environment, and why, for the first time in decades, every major segment is moving in the same direction.   You'll also learn; Why “high prices” don't mean a fragile market, and what actually signals stability How capacity has replaced IP as the most valuable acquisition driver Why deals that once died in diligence are now getting done What's changed in private equity's role in aerospace and defense How the middle market is reshaping the industry's “hourglass” structure The data behind the explosive growth in space launches and aircraft production Why public market multiples confirm (not contradict) the M&A environment How pure-play spin-offs and carve-outs may redefine the next wave of consolidation The hidden risk facing the defense industrial base: labor, not demand Why the biggest threat to the market isn't visible yet, and what “Black Swan” really means for M&A   About the Guests William H. Alderman (Bill) is the Founding Partner of Alderman & Company. Bill is an M&A specialist in the middle market of the aerospace and defense industry with over $2 billion in mergers and acquisition-related transactions to his name. Before founding Alderman & Company in 2001, Bill worked for 15 years on Wall Street and in the Aerospace & Defense Industry, principally on M&A transactions in the middle market. His employers included BT Securities, Fieldstone, and General Electric. Bill is a Securities Principal registered with the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (“FINRA”) and has four securities industry licenses (Series 7, 24, 63, and 65). Bill is a commercial pilot and owns and operates a Cirrus SR22. URL Link: https://www.aldermanco.com/ LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/williamalderman/   Ryan Kirby has penultimate authority and responsibility for the overall management of Alderman & Company, including all client engagements and the management of firm personnel. Before becoming a partner of the firm, Ryan rose through the ranks from Associate to Vice President and has extensive hands-on experience in all aspects of the sale process, valuations, and fairness opinions. Ryan has specialized in the Aerospace, Defense, and Space industries stemming from his education and previous work experience. Ryan completed his BS in Business Administration, concentrating in Accounting and Finance at Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University. He went on to complete his MBA at Embry-Riddle, concentrating in Finance, graduating summa cum laude and with a 4.0 GPA. Previously, Ryan completed a project funded by NASA, which built a finance and business case for the mitigation of space debris in lower earth orbit. Additionally, his work has included analyzing the development of the urban air mobility industry and the funding that accelerated its growth, and the use case of sustainable aviation fuel in business aviation. Ryan has previous work experience in Financial Planning and Analysis. Ryan joined the Alderman & Company team as an intern during his graduate years at Embry-Riddle. Upon graduation, he joined the firm as an Associate and was promoted to Vice President in 2022.  Email: rk@aldermanco.com Phone: 368-664-864 LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryan-kirby-880875174    About Your Host Craig Picken is an Executive Recruiter, writer, speaker, and ICF Trained Executive Coach. He is focused on recruiting senior-level leadership, sales, and operations executives in the aviation and aerospace industry. His clients include premier OEMs, aircraft operators, leasing/financial organizations, and Maintenance/Repair/Overhaul (MRO) providers, and since 2008, he has personally concluded more than 400 executive-level searches in a variety of disciplines. Craig is the ONLY industry executive recruiter who has professionally flown airplanes, sold airplanes, and successfully run a P&L in the aviation industry. His professional career started with a passion for airplanes. After eight years' experience as a decorated Naval Flight Officer – with more than 100 combat missions, 2,000 hours of flight time, and 325 aircraft carrier landings – Craig sought challenges in business aviation, where he spent more than 7 years in sales with both Gulfstream Aircraft and Bombardier Business Aircraft. Craig is also a sought-after industry speaker who has presented at Corporate Jet Investor, International Aviation Women's Association, and SOCAL Aviation Association.  

To kick off Black History Month 2026 (which, contrary to the current US administration, is still a thing, and not just on Countermelody, either!), I present to you another Zwischenfach singer, the (mezzo-)soprano Inez Matthews. She was born in Ossining, NY on 23 August 1917 and died in the Bronx on 28 March 2004. She is probably most famous for singing the role of Serena on the legendary 1951 (nearly) complete recording of Porgy and Bess (as well as lending her voice to the 1959 Otto Preminger film) which was conducted by Lehman Engel and starred icons Lawrence Winters and Camilla Williams. She also created the role of Irina in Kurt Weill's Lost in the Stars (opposite Todd Duncan, who created the role of Porgy in 1935). She also sang in the 1952 revival of Virgil Thomson and Gertrude Stein's Four Saints in Three Acts, alongside her brother Edward, who created the role of Saint Ignatius in the work's 1934 premiere. In spite of these impressive credentials, Inez Matthews today is not nearly as well-remembered as, say, either Winters or Williams. In addition to these accomplishments, Matthews also recorded in 1954 Schubert's two major song cycles Schöne Müllerin and Winterreise as well as the posthumous Schwanengesang collection. That as early the mid-1950s Inez Matthews was the first Black artist (and only the second woman after Lotte Lehmann) to record those Schubert cycles, is extroardinary; that her performances are so exceptionally good, lends these recordings more than mere historical value. However, until the song cycles were recently reissued by Parnassus Records as part of their “Black Swans” series, these remained virtually inaccessible to listeners. Today's episode includes selections from almost all the above-mentioned recordings, as well as an exceptional 1953 recording of spirituals accompanied by Jonathan Brice, brother of the esteemed contralto Carol Brice. And let us also tip our hats to Herr Schubert, who just celebrated his 229th birthday! Countermelody is the podcast devoted to the glory and the power of the human voice raised in song. Singer and vocal aficionado Daniel Gundlach explores great singers of the past and present focusing in particular on those who are less well-remembered today than they should be. Daniel's lifetime in music as a professional countertenor, pianist, vocal coach, voice teacher, and author yields an exciting array of anecdotes, impressions, and “inside stories.” At Countermelody's core is the celebration of great singers of all stripes, their instruments, and the connection they make to the words they sing. By clicking on the following link (https://linktr.ee/CountermelodyPodcast) you can find the dedicated Countermelody website which contains additional content including artist photos and episode setlists. The link will also take you to Countermelody's Patreon page, where you can pledge your monthly or yearly support at whatever level you can afford.

February 27th melodic hard rock supergroup Black Swan will release their third album "Paralyzed" via Frontiers Music and vocalist Robin McAuley returns to talk about the new effort as well as his upcoming gigs with Michael Schenker.

Summary  In part two, Todd shares the essential ideas he believes every advisor and client should understand: the difference between savings and investments, why life insurance belongs in the "certainty asset" category, how cash protects against both gray and black swan events, and why net worth isn't the real target—cash flow and distribution are. The trio explores asset sequence, liquidity, and why small strategic changes over time outperform "swinging for the fences." If you want to advise more effectively, make smarter financial decisions, or reshape how you think about money and risk, this episode is the place to start.   Episode Highlights 00:00:14 - Conversation with Todd Langford. 00:02:00 - Investment vs. Savings. 00:04:54 - Certainty in Financial Strategies. 00:06:46 - Black Swan and Grey Swan Events. 00:10:39 - Importance of Distribution Phase. 00:13:32 - Growth at the Edge of the Coin. 00:15:31 - Casino Success vs. Financial Reality. 00:11:00 - Savings vs. Rate of Return.   Episode Resources sagewealthstrategy.com About Todd And The Financial Software Guest Name Todd LangfordGuest Emailtlangford@truthconcepts.com Additional guest  David Zapata davidzapata@factumfinancial.com   Keywords Wade Borth podcast   financial clarity   financial life   Todd Langford   industry insights   learner's mentality   whole life insurance   investment vs. savings   certainty vs. uncertainty   real estate market   stock market   asset integration   financial strategy   distribution phase   net worth vs. cashflow   financial advisors   black swan events   gray swan events   financial risk management   liquidity   rate of return   financial planning   Robert Kiyosaki   financial decisions   financial growth   strategic plan   financial journey  

In this episode of Market Matters, Lauren Goodwin and Michael LoGalbo explore four black swan scenarios from the 2026 Swan Lake report, including disruptions to U.S. public economic data, a potential U.S. state split, political upheaval in Eastern Europe, and a rethink of Asia's “dollar recycling”. 

Fresh rock. Heavy legends. Zero compromise.Episode 407 of RadioBypass delivers new rock and metal music from Pocono Posse, Glorious Bankrobbers, John Corabi, OG8, Def Leppard, Crashdïet, Who On Earth, Megadeth, Black Label Society, Rob Zombie, Stahlecker, and Jared James Nichols — spanning hard rock, metal, modern rock, and straight-up riff-driven power.Plus, we dig into Rock and Roll music that DESERVES to be heard with standout tracks from Manic Eden, Black Swan, and Ronnie Montrose, celebrating the artists who shaped the sound and still hit just as hard today.If you're looking for new rock music, classic hard rock, and metal without filters, this is your place.RadioBypass — Rock and Roll that DESERVES to be heard.Songlist:Manic Eden - Can You Feel ItPocono Posse - Gator SwampBlack Swan - Generation MindGlorious Bankrobbers - IntruderJohn Corabi - When I Was YoungOG8 - WomanDef Leppard - RejoiceCrashdiet - SatizfactionWho On Earth - DawgzMegadeth - Let There Be ShredBlack Label Society - Name In BloodRob Zombie - I'm A Rock N RollerStahlecker - Blood Runs ColdJared James Nichols - PretendRonnie Montrose - Sidewinder

This week, the 2 Guys 5 Movies podcast continues the journey through the horror of the 2010s. Frank's 2010 list includes the psychological thriller/horror The Silent House/La Casa Muda, We Are What We Are, Darren Aronofsky's Black Swan, Matt Reeves's Let Me In, and James Wan's Insidious.  Finally, if you have your own ideas for the podcast, you can also email us with list suggestions at 2guys5movies@gmail.com, and thank you all for listening and your support.

Robin McAuley Talks Paralyzed, the New Black Swan Album, on RadioBypassRobin McAuley joins RadioBypass for an in-depth conversation about Paralyzed, the upcoming third album from Black Swan, set for release on February 27, 2026. Known for his unmistakable voice and commitment to powerful, melodic rock, Robin offers insight into how the new record came together and why it represents an important chapter for the band.During our discussion, we explore the songwriting and recording process behind Paralyzed, where some of the album's lyrics originated, and how the band approached making a record that feels authentic, focused, and emotionally connected. Rather than chasing trends, the emphasis was on strong songs, honest performances, and music that rewards repeat listening.Robin also shares what he hopes fans will take away from Paralyzed — not just individual tracks, but the overall experience and meaning behind the music. The conversation then turns to the future, including the possibility of Black Swan performing live and Robin's plans for solo live shows later this year.To close out the interview, we play the title track from Paralyzed, giving listeners a first taste of the power and passion behind the new Black Swan album.RadioBypass — Rock and Roll that DESERVES to be heard.

DJ Maffers 24-01-26.Show Sponsored By The Black Swan Public House Rugby, On www.bootboyradio.co.uk Please Play, Like, Comment, Follow, Download & Share.

In this pair of talks, Fr. Anthony examines why discernment so often fails in the Church—not because of bad faith or lack of intelligence, but because discernment is a matter of formation before it is a matter of decision. Drawing on insights from intelligence analysis, psychology, and Orthodox anthropology, he shows how authority, moral seriousness, and modern systems of manipulation quietly exploit predictable habits of perception, producing confidence without clarity. True discernment, he argues, is neither technical nor private, but ecclesial: formed through humility, ascetic practice, and participation in the Church's communal rhythms, where judgment matures over time through accountability, repentance, and shared life in Christ. --- Talk One: Why Discernment Fails Expertise, Authority, Manipulation, and the Formation of Perception Fr. Anthony Perkins Introduction Brothers, I want to begin today not with Scripture or a Father of the Church, but with a warning—from someone who spent his life studying failure in complex systems. Nassim Nicholas Taleb, in The Black Swan, writes this: "You cannot ignore self-delusion. The problem with experts is that they do not know what they do not know. Lack of knowledge and delusion about the quality of your knowledge come together—the same process that makes you know less also makes you satisfied with your knowledge." (pause) Taleb is talking about intelligence analysts, economists, and technical experts—people who are trained, credentialed, experienced, and entrusted with judgment under uncertainty. But if, just for a moment, you change one word in your mind—from expert to priest—the danger becomes uncomfortably familiar. We wear cassocks instead of suits, but the temptation is the same. Not arrogance. Not bad intentions. But unintentional self-delusion born of taking our calling to serve well seriously. A Necessary Pastoral Safeguard Before we go any further, I want to be very clear—because this matters. Taleb is not accusing experts of pride. He is not describing a moral failure. He is describing what happens to the human mind under complexity. And clergy live permanently in complex systems: human souls suffering families conflicted parishes incomplete information real consequences The danger is not that we don't care. The danger is that experience can quietly convince us that we are seeing clearly—especially when we are not. A Lesson from Intelligence Work When I worked in military intelligence, there was a saying—half joking, half deadly serious: The most dangerous person in the world is an intelligence analyst in a suit. At first, that sounds like gallows humor. But it isn't. The danger wasn't that analysts were malicious. The danger was that analysts don't just possess information—they interpret reality for others. And here's where psychology matters. Robert Cialdini has shown that one of the strongest and most reliable human biases is deference to authority. People are far more likely to accept judgments when they come from someone who looks like an authority—someone in a suit, a lab coat, or standing behind an official desk. Jonathan Haidt adds something crucial: people formed in conservative moral cultures—cultures that value order, continuity, and tradition—are especially inclined to defer to legitimate authority. That's not a flaw. It's one of the strengths of such cultures. It's one of the strengths of our Orthodox culture. But it carries a cost. Because when authority speaks, critical perception often relaxes. And when authority speaks with confidence, coherence, and moral seriousness, people don't just listen. They trust.  And they trust in a way that they, like us - the ones who guide them - feel connected with the truth and the Source of all truth. But in our fallenness our sense of certainty may be driven by something other than a noetic connection with the deeper ontological of truth.  Scripture about the devil appearing as angel of light (2 Cor 11:14-15) and wolves going around in sheep's clothing (Mat 7:15) are not just designed to keep us from trusting everyone who offers to speak a good work; a spiritual meaning is that our own thoughts can be deceptive, appearing as angelic and meek but lacking true virtue. All of this, combined with the seriousness of our calling, should reinforce our commitment to pastor humbly and patiently, erring on the side of gentleness … and trusting in the iterative process of repentance to bring discernment and healing to those we serve. From Suit to Cassock In intelligence work, the suit mattered. In science, it's the lab coat. In the Church, it's the cassock. When a priest speaks—especially confidently, decisively, and with moral gravity—people don't just hear an opinion. They receive guidance. And that means any blind spot—any overconfidence, any unexamined habit of thought—does not remain private. It spreads. Why This Is Dangerous (and Why It Is Not an Accusation) This is where Taleb's insight comes sharply back into focus. The most dangerous situation is not ignorance. It is: incomplete knowledge combined with confidence amplified by authority received by people disposed to trust Taleb is not accusing experts of arrogance. Cialdini is not accusing people of gullibility. Haidt is not accusing conservative cultures of naïveté. They are describing how human beings actually function. And clergy live precisely at the intersection of all three forces: complexity authority moral trust Which means discernment failures in the Church are rarely loud or obvious. They are usually calm, confident, sincere—and despite this, still wrong.  And unfortunately, still dangerous. We are susceptible to the same temptations as everyone else.  In order to serve well, we  need to cultivate a combination of humility and confidence:  confidence because we are called and trained to do this work; humility because we are not experts in everything, are still incompletely formed, and the problems in our communities and in this world are incredibly complex. Another Lesson from Intelligence: this time, counterintelligence The challenge of being right all the time is not just that we can't know everything, but that there are powers of the earth and what I call the marketers of the air that are trying to manipulate us.  And, alas, not matter how serious or smart or well-educated we are, we are still vulnerable to their wiles. During the Cold War, American intelligence analysts and operatives were taught to keep everything they could about themselves private.  This was because we knew that the spy agencies of the Soviet Union were actively collecting information – what we called dossiers - on everyone they could so that they could develop and exploit opportunities to use us. The Soviets didn't need to convert us. They didn't need to convince us. They needed: our habits our reactions our trusted assumptions our unguarded patterns Their dossiers were less about facts than they were about about leverage.  And it worked.  My first assignment in the Army was as an interrogator.  It was a similar deal there.  The work of getting information out of someone gets a lot easier when you have information about them, about their histories, about their fears, about their motivations. And here's the unavoidable turn. Today, advertisers, platforms, and political actors possess dossiers that would have made Cold War intelligence officers and interrogators weep with envy. They know: what angers us what comforts us what affirms us when we are tired when we are lonely what makes us feel righteous And clergy are NOT exempt from their data collection or their use of that data. In fact, we may be especially vulnerable, because we are tempted to mistake moral seriousness for immunity. And advertisers, platforms, and political actors with all their algorithms do not do this alone.  The fallen powers of the air have been studying us and our weakness even longer than Facebook.  More committed men than us – here I think of St. Silouon when he was young – have fallen victim to their machinations.  And now they have more allies and useful idiots working with them than ever. Porn addiction and religious polarization – even within Orthodoxy – show that these allies (BIG DATA and the DEMONS) are having their desired effect. Discernment Is Not Being Bypassed—It Is Being Used Here is the hard truth. Most modern manipulation does not bypass discernment. It uses malformed discernment. It works because: our instincts are trained elsewhere our attention is fragmented our emotional reactions are predictable our confidence exceeds our perception This is not a technology problem. It is not a political problem. It is a formation problem. Psychological Bias Is Not a Moral Failure At this point, I could list all the biases that set us up for failure: confirmation bias availability bias motivated reasoning affect heuristics But that would miss the deeper point. Biases are not bugs. They are features of an untrained mind. And the Church has never believed that the mind heals itself through information alone. Which brings us to the Orthodox diagnosis. Discernment Is Formational, Not Technical In the Orthodox tradition, discernment is not a technique for making decisions. It is the fruit of a formed person. And that formation involves the whole human being and all three parts of the human mind: the gut, the brain, and the heart. The Gut / The Passions This is the fastest part of the mind.  In our default state, it is the real decision-maker. It reacts. It protects. It simplifies. It is trained by repetition, not arguments. If this part of the mind is shaped by: urgency outrage novelty exhaustion Then discernment will always feel obvious—and often be wrong. Orthopraxis trains our gut through the repetition of godly habits: fasting silence patience submission to the deeper rhythms The Brain/Intellect This is where narratives are built. Where reasons are assembled. Where Scripture and Fathers are cited. In our default state, it justifies the decisions and instincts of the gut. It is vulnerable not to ignorance, but to selectivity. This is where proof-texting lives. This is where outliers become weapons. This is where cleverness masquerades as wisdom. And here St. Paul gives us a crucial criterion: "All things are lawful," but not all things are helpful. "All things are lawful," but not all things build up." (1 Cor 10:23) The danger is not that clergy cannot justify what they do. We have big brains and have learned a lot of words. Wecan justify almost anything. The danger is mistaking justifiability for discernment. Orthopraxis here looks like: immersion rather than scanning repetition rather than novelty mastering the middle of the bell curve of tradition rather than its extremes making the perfect words of our worship, prayer books, and Bibles the main texts that we rely on to know what is beautiful, good, and true The Heart / The Nous The nous cannot be controlled. It cannot be optimized. It cannot be forced. It is healed, opened, and attenuated only by grace. In our default setting, our connection with God through the nous is narrow or closed, and we are prone to mistaking the movements of our passions – often called our conscience – for revelation and divine inspiration. Orthopraxis here is simple, but takes time to gain traction: the quieting of the gut and of the brain immersion in worship immersion in prayer time spent in silent awe of God The Quiet Conclusion of Talk One So here is the point I want to leave you with now: Discernment is not something we do when the need to make a decision appears. It is a facility we are developing long before the decision arrives. Taleb helps us see the danger. Intelligence work helps us see the mechanics. Orthodox praxis shows us the cure. But none of this happens alone. Which brings us to the second talk— because discernment is not merely personal. It is ecclesial.   Talk Two: Discernment Is Ecclesial Communion, Authority, and the Social Formation of Perception Introduction Brothers, Earlier, I spoke about why discernment fails. Not because priests are careless. Not because we lack sincerity. Not because we haven't read enough. But because discernment is formational, and formation always happens somewhere—whether we are paying attention or not. Now I want to take the next step. If discernment is not merely a personal skill, then the question becomes unavoidable: Where does discernment actually happen? And the Church's answer has always been the same. Not in isolation. Not in private certainty. But in communion. The Myth of the Independent Discerner Earlier we spoke about discernment as formation—about how perception is trained long before decisions appear. Now I want to push that insight one step further. Because even if a person is well-formed, the Church has never believed that discernment belongs to individual insight alone. And here it is helpful—perhaps unexpectedly—to look at how knowledge actually works in the modern world. A Brief Detour: How We Actually Know Things Some people imagine the scientific method as the triumph of the lone genius. But that is not how science works. Individual scientists propose hypotheses. They run experiments. They notice patterns. But no discovery becomes knowledge until it is: tested by others challenged by peers replicated over time corrected when necessary When science works, it only does so when individual insight is embedded within a community of accountability. Without that community, science collapses into speculation, ideology, or manipulation.  We have seen that very thing happen right before our eyes.  I still hope that the system can be reformed.  But it can't without individual and systematic repentance.  I hope that happens. The Ecclesial Parallel Even at its best, the scientific community is a pale shadow of The Church and its system of both individual and communal discernment. Individual Christians—clergy included—receive insights, intuitions, and perceptions. But those perceptions only become discernment when they are tested: liturgically pastorally communally over time This is why discernment in the Church is never merely private, even when it feels personal. We know this about the Ecumenical Councils, but it needs to be built into the way we live our lives and govern our parishes. Why the Independent Discerner Is a Myth Isolation does not produce wisdom. It produces clarity without the possibility of correction. And clarity without correction feels an awful lot like discernment—especially to the one experiencing it. And surrounding ourselves with people who always agree with us is not better than isolation.  We saw how that affected science when came to the climate and COVID; we can't be so proud as to think we aren't susceptible to the same sort of self-rightous group-think. Authority Does Not Cancel Accountability Earlier we spoke about authority and trust. That deference is part of the deeper harmony. But it creates an asymmetry: the more people trust us, the less likely they are to correct us. All of us need to develop relationships with people who both think differently than we do and whom we can trust to correct us in love and in a way that we can hear.  Ideally this council of advisors includes our wives, confessors, and a cohort of brother priests. Discernment Does Not Reside in a Brain Discernment does not primarily reside in an individual mind. It resides in a body. The Church does not possess discernment as a technique. The Church is the place where discernment occurs. Clergy as Hosts of Discernment When it comes to leadership, clergy are not just decision-makers and teachers. We are witnesses, hosts, and facilitators of discernment. We shape environments. We normalize rhythms. We form what should be said—and what should not. Who are we to have such control?  No one.  We do it in the Name of the one who deserves such power, this must be done humbly and sacrificially – and by sacrificially, I don't just mean the sacrifice of our time but of our ego and sometimes even the sacrifice of our justifiable preferences and opinions.  To paraphrase St. Paul once again, all things may be justifiable, but not all things are useful.  And in another place he makes the same point, saying; "though I speak in the tongues of men and angels, but have not love" it's all just just noise.  And the world doesn't need more noise: it needs signal.  I believe that the fact that we are not smart enough or consistent enough to get everything right all the time is a feature, not a bug.  The people we serve need to see us make mistakes; not so they can see that we are only human (that's pretty obvious), but so that we can truly witness to them what discernment and repentance look like. We shouldn't make a lot of mistakes, and we should certainly avoid making the same one twice, but a zero-defect culture is a cult, not a community.  And cults are neither healthy nor sustainable. The Liturgical Ecology of Discernment Discernment is not trained by intensity. It is trained by ecology.  By immersion into the communal rhythms of orthopraxis. By: developing a relationship with a spiritual father repetition over novelty calendar over urgency fasting over reaction worship over commentary stability over constant motion accepting and sharing the spirit and not just the letter of the guidance given to us by our bishops The Quiet Conclusion of Talk Two The Church does not promise us freedom from error. She promises us a way of life in which error can be healed. Discernment is not a tool for avoiding mistakes. It is a way of learning how to dwell truthfully with God and one another. And that dwelling—like Eden, like the Temple, like the Church itself—is always shared.  

Episode 210: The Black Swan MurderAshley Byers met Douglas Benefield at an event and just 13 days later, the couple married. Doug was in his 50s, a widower, raising a teenage daughter on his own while Ashley was a ballerina and model. Their marriage deteriorated prior to the birth of the couple's daughter, and they spent years on and off again. In September 2020, Ashley ran to a neighbors home in a panic asking them to call 911. She had shot Doug. She claims she killed him in self defense, critics argue it was cold blooded murder. Tune in to this episode to learn more!Email us at: abouttime4tc@gmail.comFollow us on IG: @about.time.for.true.crime.pod LinktreeDon't forget to rate, follow, download, and tell a friend!Sources: SERIALLY 48 Hours Parts 1 & 21https://www.stephensfuneralhome.org/obituaries/Renee-Cousar-Benefield?obId=680906234567

Carrie Wittmer (The Ringer, Vulture) returns for Darren Aronofsky's psychological thriller with Black Swan! Together we chat about how timely the movie felt in 2010, Natalie Portman's dark personal life and career, hang nail trauma, the movies legacy and the Aronofsky's cultural standing

Ayurvedic practitioner and author Heather Grzych explores why so many people feel stuck asking "What's my purpose in life?" – and why thinking harder rarely brings clarity. Drawing on embodied wisdom, Ayurveda, and cultural storytelling, Heather explains how purpose isn't a mental decision but a bodily signal that emerges when we stop forcing answers. Using contrasting film characters like Billy Elliot and Black Swan, she shows how listening to physical cues like energy, ease, and aliveness leads to meaningful direction, while ignoring the body leads to burnout and confusion. This episode is for anyone questioning their career, identity, or life direction and wondering why what once made sense no longer feels right. Heather Grzych, ADLC is an American author and expert in Ayurvedic medicine who was formerly the president of the National Ayurvedic Medical Association and the head of product development for a multi-billion-dollar health insurance company. Heather's first book, The Ayurvedic Guide to Fertility, has sold thousands of copies worldwide, and her writing has been featured in Sports Illustrated, Yoga Journal, and the Sunday Independent. Her podcast, Wisdom of the Body, holds an average rating of 5 stars on Apple Podcasts and is in the top 2.5% of podcasts globally.  Connect with Heather: Learn more at www.heathergrzych.com   Instagram.com/heathergrzych Facebook.com/grzychheather   Read the first six pages of The Ayurvedic Guide to Fertility for FREE: https://www.heathergrzych.com   Connect with Heather to balance your health with Ayurveda: https://www.heathergrzych.com/book-online

Helen Hynson Vettori (https://www.helenhynsonvettori.com/) is a former EMT/paramedic and retired senior medical intelligence analyst at the Department of Homeland Security. We have her on the show to share her insights and the two sci-fi thriller novels she wrote based on her experiences. Helen channeled her real-world emergency response and pandemic-planning experience into her sci-fi disaster thriller series, beginning with Black Swan Impact and followed by Black Swan Shock. A “Black Swan” event is a term used to describe a catastrophic incident that no one could have foreseen or imagined because of its unprecedented impact. Helen didn't imagine crisis from the outside, rather she spent years preparing for biological threats, including pandemics, and then watched COVID unfold in real time. That insider perspective and her frustration with confusing messaging and federal missteps became the fuel for fiction that feels uncomfortably plausible. Dr. Joe Holley from Paragon Medical Education Group joined the podcast as well as our disaster emergency management expert Becky DePodwin and our disaster weather expert Dan DePodwin. The episode is co-hosted by Sam Bradley and Jamie Davis. Scroll down for Podcast Discussion Summary Thank you as always to Paragon Medical Education Group for their long-term support of the Disaster Podcast. Dr. Joe Holley and the team at Paragon continue to provide excellent and customized disaster response training to jurisdictions around the U.S. and internationally as well. Podcast Discussion Summary Winter Storm Impact and Preparations The meeting focused on a major winter storm expected to impact large parts of the United States, with Dan providing detailed forecasts of snow, ice, and travel disruptions across multiple regions. The group discussed the storm’s potential effects on various cities, including Oklahoma City, Atlanta, and the Northeast, emphasizing the danger of ice accumulation and power outages. They also advised listeners to consider rescheduling flights and prepare for travel disruptions, particularly in the affected areas. The conversation ended with an introduction to their guest, Helen Hinson Vittori, a former EMT and intelligence analyst at the Department of Homeland Security, who will discuss her experiences during the pandemic. Emergency Response Expert’s Pandemic Novel Helen shared her extensive background in emergency response, including her work as a paramedic, her role in biothreat planning at DHS, and her experience creating pandemic response plans. She retired in 2018 but became concerned about the government’s response to COVID-19 in 2020, which led her to write a sci-fi political thriller novel called “Black Swan Impact” that explores a catastrophic pathogen event in the year 2113. The novel served as a cathartic way for her to process the chaotic response to the pandemic she had witnessed firsthand. Emergency Preparedness Through Personal Writing Helen shared her experience as an emergency manager and author, discussing how writing provided her with both peace and a mission to educate others about emergency preparedness. She emphasized that individual preparedness is crucial for both personal and community-level disasters, and highlighted a book club question in her second book, “Black Swan Shock,” that encourages readers to assess their own emergency preparedness. Federal Pandemic Planning and Leadership Helen shared her experience working on federal pandemic plans and witnessing their partial abandonment during the actual crisis, expressing disappointment in leadership’s failure to communicate effectively and adhere to established protocols. The discussion explored how better preparation and public education could improve future responses to pandemics and other disasters, with Helen emphasizing the importance of all-hazard planning that starts at the individual level. The group agreed to have Helen return for another podcast episode, and several connections were made between participants for future discussions. Wrap up and updates The team went through contact information and Joe shared that Paragon is working on a new cadaveric-based simulator for pericardial tamponade training. The team encouraged listeners to stay safe and check out Helen’s books. The group discussed the role of specialized training, with Jamie highlighting the sponsorship of the Disaster Podcast by Paragon Medical Education Group. Catch the full episode using the player above or on your favorite podcast platform, and don't forget to subscribe to the Disaster Podcast for weekly insights from leaders in disaster response and research!

“If in 10 years, all American troops stationed in Europe for national defense purposes have not been returned to the United States, then this whole project [NATO] will have failed.” -General of the Army Dwight Eisenhower, February, 1951   The Greenland debacle is bringing the NATO relationship into better focus on just how bad the EU/SSR has become. America should take a non-interventionist pause and get its internal house in order before standing astride the world again and lighting fires that never go away and continuously make things worse. The US a deep history in Greenland: 1867: Andrew Johnson: explored buying Greenland & Iceland (right after Alaska). WWII: FDR: U.S. took over Greenland's defense while Denmark was occupied. 1946: Truman: offered $100M in gold to buy it. Cold War: Eisenhower → Kennedy: nonstop negotiations for bases, radar, missiles. Post–Cold War: Clinton/Bush/Obama: expanded Arctic security & missile defense. 2019: Trump said publicly what presidents discussed privately for 150+ years. The U.S. didn't “suddenly” want Greenland. It's been defending it, negotiating it, and embedding there since the 1800s. Greenland = Arctic power, shipping lanes, missiles, minerals, and bases. Trump didn't invent it. He said the quiet part out loud. There is a realpolitik logic to the concerns. Stop the madness. First part here: Ep 009 “Fixing Fight Club: Just Say No to NATO: Part One” Second part here: Ep 016 “Fixing Fight Club: Just Say No to NATO: Part Two” References: Defense of Greenland: Agreement Between the United States and the Kingdom of Denmark, April 27, 1951 Winning The Salvo Competition: Rebalancing America's Air And Missile Defenses The Russian Reconnaissance Fire Complex Comes of Age Nyet Means Nyet (William Burns 2008) Pat Buchanan Where Does NATO Enlargement End? DoS Cable: NATO ENLARGEMENT: RUSSIAN ASSERTIONS REGARDING THE TWO-PLUS-FOUR AGREEMENT ON GERMAN UNIFICATION Books: Edward Bernays Propaganda Sevim Dagdelen NATO: A Reckoning with the Atlantic Alliance Matt Kennard The Racket: A Rogue Reporter vs The American Empire Daniel Ellsberg The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner Scott Horton Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine Nassim Taleb Incerto: Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes, Antifragile, Skin in the Game Mark Gunzinger & Bryan Clark Winning the Salvo Competition: Rebalancing America's Air and Missile Defense Christian Brose The Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare Email at cgpodcast@pm.me

Send Kevin a Text MessageIn this episode of Don't Kill the Messenger, host Kevin Goetz welcomes Gail Berman, one of Hollywood's most versatile executives. From producing Joseph and the Amazing Technicolor Dreamcoat on Broadway at 22 to becoming the first woman to lead both a major TV network (Fox Entertainment) and a film studio (Paramount Pictures), she has consistently rewritten what creative leadership looks like in Hollywood.From Brooklyn to Broadway: The Joseph Origin Story (04:03): At just 22 years old, Gail and her partner, Susan Rose, produced Joseph and the Amazing Technicolor Dreamcoat. They brought the show to Broadway, earning seven Tony nominations.The Red Dress and the Palisades Fires (15:52): Gail's Tony Awards dress remains in storage due to insurance settlements following the recent Palisades fires that damaged her home.Starting Over in Television (19:30): Gail shares how she received a message on her answering machine about a new venture at HBO. Despite knowing nothing about television, she took the job at the comedy channel that would become Comedy Central.The Buffy Breakthrough at Sandollar (23:56): After reading the Buffy the Vampire Slayer film script, Gail saw it as a perfect TV show. While serving as President of Sandollar, she partnered with Sandy Gallin and Dolly Parton to develop and executive produce the show—launching a cultural phenomenon.The Austin Butler Screen Test for Elvis (28:26): When Baz Luhrmann showed four screen tests, Austin Butler's was last. The film would earn Gail an Academy Award nomination for Best Picture.From Regency Television to Running Fox (33:49): After producing Malcolm in the Middle, Roswell, and The Bernie Mac Show at Regency Television, Gail received a call from Peter Chernin asking her to run Fox Entertainment.The Paramount Years (40:28): Hired to run Paramount Pictures, MTV Films, and Nickelodeon Films, Gail faced some resistance. She secured the Star Trek film rights back from CBS with just 18 months to put it into production, hiring J.J. Abrams and Damon Lindelof to work fast.Black Swan: The Musical (50:43): After leaving Paramount, Gail launched The Jackal Group. She's now producing the musical adaptation of Black Swan with Darren Aronofsky, Kevin McCollum, and Scott Franklin.Gail Berman's story shows how versatility and the willingness to start over can create a remarkable career. From Broadway to broadcast television to film, she's proven that embracing new challenges leads to extraordinary places.Host: Kevin GoetzGuests: Gail BermanProducer: Kari CampanoWriters: Kevin Goetz, Darlene Hayman, and Kari CampanoAudio Engineer: Gary Forbes (DG Entertainment)For more information about Gail Berman:Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gail_BermanIMDB: https://www.imdb.com/name/nm0075762/LinkedIn: For more information about Kevin Goetz:- Website: www.KevinGoetz360.com- Audienceology Book: https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/Audience-ology/Kevin-Goetz/9781982186678- How to Score in Hollywood: https://www.amazon.com/How-Score-Hollywood-Secrets-Business/dp/198218986X/- Facebook, X, Instagram, TikTok, YouTube, Substack: @KevinGoetz360- LinkedIn @Kevin Goetz- Screen Engine/ASI Website: www.ScreenEngineASI.com

The Greenland debacle is bringing the NATO relationship into better focus on just how bad the EU/SSR has become. America should take a non-interventionist pause and get its internal house in order before standing astride the world again and lighting fires that never go away and continuously make things worse. Stop the madness. Recent episodes on NATO. First part here: Ep 009 “Fixing Fight Club: Just Say No to NATO: Part One” Second part here: Ep 016 “Fixing Fight Club: Just Say No to NATO: Part Two” References: Defense of Greenland: Agreement Between the United States and the Kingdom of Denmark, April 27, 1951 Winning The Salvo Competition: Rebalancing America's Air And Missile Defenses The Russian Reconnaissance Fire Complex Comes of Age Nyet Means Nyet (William Burns 2008) Pat Buchanan Where Does NATO Enlargement End? DoS Cable: NATO ENLARGEMENT: RUSSIAN ASSERTIONS REGARDING THE TWO-PLUS-FOUR AGREEMENT ON GERMAN UNIFICATION Books: Edward Bernays Propaganda Sevim Dagdelen NATO: A Reckoning with the Atlantic Alliance Matt Kennard The Racket: A Rogue Reporter vs The American Empire Daniel Ellsberg The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner Scott Horton Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine Nassim Taleb Incerto: Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes, Antifragile, Skin in the Game Mark Gunzinger & Bryan Clark Winning the Salvo Competition: Rebalancing America's Air and Missile Defense Christian Brose The Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare My Substack Email at cgpodcast@pm.me

As mentioned many times on this program, stocks entered the year trading at or near record-high valuation extremes.When stocks look richly valued like this, short-sellers take notice.Is it time to start shorting the market?To ifind out, today we have the good fortune of welcoming back to the program one of the best known short-sellers in the business, Carson Block, founder of Muddy Waters Research.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#shorting #marketcorrection #blackswan _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Whitney Elkins-Hutten of PassiveInvesting.com interviews Nick Stageberg of Black Swan Real Estate, a dynamic real estate private equity firm, as they dive deep into the fascinating world of distressed multifamily acquisition. Stageberg unpacks the complex purchase of Rainbow Plaza Apartments, a 105-unit "Franken building" in Anoka, Minnesota. He reveals the strategy his firm used to navigate buying this distressed asset from a nonprofit, including the shocking detail of doubling the Net Operating Income (NOI) on the day of closing. The discussion goes tactical as they detail the highly unusual, but highly favorable, financing stack: assuming a low-rate Freddie Mac loan alongside a "Soft Pay Loan" from Mercy Housing with optional debt service. Discover how Black Swan structures their deals with the Secure Freedom Fund to deliver a secure 10% fixed rate of return to investors, proving that a mission-driven approach to affordable housing can be a powerful engine for profit.

Today we are talking to an internal medicine doc with a great story. She started her medical school journey later in life when she and her husband decided to do whatever it took to help her fulfill her dream of becoming a doctor. Her husband quit his job to stay home and care for their 4 children and she went to medical school. Today we are celebrating her paying off $300,000 of student loans. She has worked hard to pay down debt alongside saving and buying a nice home for her family. Her tips for success are to ground yourself, have a plan and do not let your emotions make your decisions for you. Today's sponsor, Black Swan Real Estate, offers accredited investors access to private multifamily real estate investments with an investor-first model. Unlike most firms, Black Swan collects no GP-level fees and takes no profit until investors receive a full return of capital. Their physician-led team brings a hands-on approach to managing their $375M portfolio, ensuring every asset is optimized for cash flow, appreciation, and tax advantages. With a track record of meeting and exceeding return targets, Black Swan Real Estate provides stability and growth for long-term wealth building. Discover more at https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/blackswan The White Coat Investor has been helping doctors, dentists, and other high-income professionals with their money since 2011. Our free personal finance resource covers an array of topics including how to use your retirement accounts, getting a doctor mortgage loan, how to manage your student loans, buying physician disability and malpractice insurance, asset allocation & asset location, how to invest in real estate, and so much more. We will help you learn how to manage your finances like a pro so you can stop worrying about money and start living your best life. If you're a high-income professional and ready to get a "fair shake" on Wall Street, The White Coat Investor is for you! Have you achieved a Milestone? You can be on the Milestones to Millionaire Podcast too! Apply here: https://whitecoatinvestor.com/milestones  Find 1000's of written articles on the blog: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com  Our YouTube channel if you prefer watching videos to learn: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/youtube  Student Loan Advice for all your student loan needs: https://studentloanadvice.com  Join the community on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/thewhitecoatinvestor  Join the community on Twitter: https://twitter.com/WCInvestor  Join the community on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thewhitecoatinvestor  Join the community on Reddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/whitecoatinvestor  Learn faster with our Online Courses: https://whitecoatinvestor.teachable.com  Sign up for our Newsletter here: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/free-monthly-newsletter  00:00 MtoM Podcast #256 02:16 Internist Pays Off $300,000 of Student Loans in 7 Years 18:07 Advice For Others 21:18 High Deductible Health Plans vs PPO