Podcasts about Black swan

Euer Wunsch ist unser Befehl (oder so)! Hier kommt das Remaster unserer allerersten Folge: Graham Young, der Teacup Poisoner! Und weil wir jetzt so viel krasser sind, werden das zwei Teile! Graham Young war einer der krassesten Serienmörder der britischen Kriminalgeschichte. Nicht, weil er extrem brutal war, sondern weil er sich Gift zum Mordinstrument gemacht hat. Außerdem: WIR HABEN MERCH! https://www.getshirts.de/index.php?page=shop&id=todsicher Wo ihr uns noch findet: https://todsicher.podcaster.de/ https://www.instagram.com/todsicherpodcast https://www.facebook.com/todsicherpodcast https://twitter.com/todsicherpod https://ko-fi.com/todsicherpodcast https://www.twitch.tv/paulaowl Quellen: Crime Library Holden, Anthony: St. Albans Poisoner. Life and Crimes of Graham Young. Black Swan, 1995. Young, Winifred: Obsessive Poisoner. The Strange Story of Graham Young. Robert Hale Ltd., 1973. https://murderpedia.org/male.Y/y/young-graham.htm https://www.biography.com/crime/graham-young https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/cbm.132 https://api.parliament.uk/historic-hansard/commons/1972/jun/29/graham-young Musik von https://audiohub.de

Wandering Works for Us PodcastDate: 1 August 2026Title: York & Corbridge, UK: Ghosts, Vikings, and the Wall That Ended Our England LegSummary of EpisodeYork earns the title of favorite city on the trip: walkable, atmospheric, and layered with Viking, medieval, and LGBTQ+ history. We cover the Shambles and its Harry Potter branding, the Jorvik Viking Centre's ride-through experience (built on the actual Coppergate dig), a haunted pub crawl at the Black Swan, a walk on the city walls at sunset, and the Holy Trinity Church plaque marking Anne Lister and Ann Walker's 1834 union. We're honest about regretting skipping York Minster. From there, we head to Corbridge for one final England stop — reuniting with an old friend, visiting Corbridge Roman Town, and touring Hadrian's Wall — before the coastal drive north to Edinburgh closes out the England chapter of the trip.Key Topics[03:25] The Shambles and its Harry Potter-themed shops[06:10]  The butterbeer verdict (get it for the show, not the taste)[11:00]   Holy Trinity Church, Goodramgate — Anne Lister and Ann Walker[13:00]  The Black Swan and York's haunted-pub reputation[13:30]  Walking York's city walls at sunset[15:00]  Where we ate in York (Côte York, The Fat Badger, Kalpakavadi)[16:35]  Jorvik Viking Centre: the Coppergate dig and the immersive ride experience[23:50] York Minster — the one we regret skipping[26:00] Corbridge and the Golden Lion Inn[26:30] Corbridge Roman Town and its museum[27:40] Reconnecting with an old friend for a personal tour of Hadrian's Wall[29:00]  The coastal drive north to EdinburghImportant Links To follow all of our antics and adventures, please visit our social media pages and our website at wwforus.com! You can send us a message at any of these places, and feel free to email us at wandering@wwforus.comLike what we are doing? Buy us a gin and tonic and help us keep going!InstagramFacebookTiktokYouTubeLooking for a tour guide in Portugal? I have a whole list!Blog post for this episode: Things to Do in York: Vikings, City Walls, and a Butter Beer we wouldn't order again.RESOURCES & LINKSLooking to plan your next trip to Portugal? We can help! Check out our guides and Itineraries at wwforus.comFree Lisbon ItineraryPacking ListEssentials for every tripRenting a car in PortugalLooking for a tour guide in Portugal? I have a whole list!**Wandering Works for Us contains affiliate links and is part of Viator, Get Your Guide, Booking.com, TripAdvisor, Expedia, Awin,  and Amazon Services Associates Program LLC. If you make a purchase using one of the links, I may make a small commission at no extra cost to you.Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/wandering-works-for-us/donations

Eva Benefield (Ghost Girl: Surviving the Black Swan Murder) is a writer, entrepreneur, and founder of Ghost Cowboy. Eva joins Armchair Expert to discuss growing up in the Charleston Lowcountry, finding her mother dead at 14, and losing her father in the notorious Black Swan case. Eva and Dax talk about reclaiming her story through darkly funny TikToks, building an apparel company one drawing at a time, and writing a memoir while still living through its aftermath. Eva explains why humor can be a survival mechanism, how creation became her answer to destruction, and why she couldn't depend on a verdict to give her closure.Check Allstate first for a quote that could save you hundreds: https://www.allstate.com/See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

¿Se puede sostener un amor a escondidas durante 15 años frente a la culpa familiar y los prejuicios? Hoy leemos un relato crudo sobre el despertar, la traición y la búsqueda de libertad.Hoy en LesConfesiones:• El desinterés del chico de la iglesia y la intriga por su nueva compañera.• El ensayo de baile donde un simple roce en la cintura lo cambia todo.• Tardes de películas y el primer beso lento y definitivo viendo *Black Swan*.• Ensayos a escondidas, besos en el baño de un boliche y la primera vez con John Mayer de fondo.• El mensaje descubierto por la madre: la expulsión de casa y el fin del apoyo económico.• 3 años de separación, intentos fallidos de volver con hombres y la aceptación de la identidad.• El reencuentro en el 2020 y los viajes a Argentina para reconstruir lo roto.• La realidad de amar en el clóset y el sueño de vivir con orgullo tras 15 años de silencio.✨ Nuestras Redes ✨ Tribu de WhatsApp ✨ Hazte miembra ✨ PROYECTO MILØ

US and the World It is a critical time of the year in grain markets. In many years mid to late July is a time where the market has already decided where this crop is going. 2026 might be a different year. Widespread hot and droughty weather in Western Europe as well as the threat of the same in North America is sending nervousness throughout the grain complex. On top of this we have all the same geopolitical problems in Ukraine and Russia as well as Iran adding to the uncertainty. This is the backdrop as we head into August. On July 10th the USDA released their latest WASDE report. The July USDA WASDE report estimated corn production to come in at 16 billion bushels up from 15.995 billion bushels in June. This was based on a yield which remained at 183 bushels per acre with planted acreage at 95.3 million acres. This remains the second largest corn crop on record if it comes to fruition. New crop ending stocks were lowered 125 million bushels down to 2.02 billion bushels. Corn usage in the United States was increased 50 million bushels from June putting it at 16.255 billion bushels. USDA is predicting the largest soybean crop In U.S. history. The estimate is 4.475 billion bushels with the trendline yield estimate of 53 bushels per acre planted on 85.4 million acres. US new crop ending stocks are set to come in at 310 million bushels with old crop stocks coming in at 330 million bushels. USDA left Brazil’s production unchanged at 180 MMT and Argentina at 50 MMT. Total US wheat production is set at 1.536 billion bushels which is down slightly from last month and the smallest wheat crop on record. On July 24th corn, soybeans and wheat were higher than the last Market Trends report. September 2026 corn futures were at $4.64 a bushel. Dec 2026 corn was at $4.87 bu. The November 2026 soybean futures was at $12.53 bu. The Sept 2026 wheat futures closed at $6.78 a bushel. The Minneapolis Sept 2026 wheat futures closed at $7.14 a bushel with the September 2027 contract closing at $7.46 a bushel. The nearby oil futures as of July 24th, 2026, closed at $89.31/barrel much higher vs the nearby futures recorded in the last Market Trends report of $68.78/barrel. The average price for US ethanol in the US was $2.19/gallon, higher vs the $2.17/gallon recorded in the last Market Trends Report. The Canadian dollar noon rate on July 24th, 2026, was .7096 US, marginally higher vs the .7042 US reported here in the last Market Trends report. The Bank of Canada’s lending rate remained at 2.25%. Ontario In Ontario generally speaking crops are doing excellent. However, as always there are regional variations with extreme drought in some areas of the deep southwest and south-central Ontario. Eastern Ontario has had much better moisture conditions than they did a year ago. As of the 24th of July, rainfall is needed in many areas of the southwest as corn is roping up and soybeans in some cases are wilting. However, there is still a long way of the growing season to go, and rains would cure much of this. As it is, with normal rainfall Ontario should be looking at good crops this fall. Wheat harvest continues across the province with good to excellent yields and quite good quality. Very dry conditions in the deepest part of southwestern Ontario made for a good harvest. However, other areas were not as lucky, and it was more challenging to get wheat dried down in the field. However, it continues in eastern and north central Ontario. So far there are very few quality issues. Basis levels for grains have stayed relatively steady since the last Market Trends report. This is partly due to the relative parity in the value of the Canadian dollar versus what it was three weeks ago at .7042 US. As always, a low Canadian dollar is the stimulus for the Ontario grain cash market. Corn basis levels have been a little stronger and as we go into August that may continue. Old crop corn basis levels are $1.65 to $2.38 over the September 2026 corn futures on July 24th across the province. New crop corn basis levels were $1.65 to $1.94 over Dec 2026 futures. The old crop basis levels for soybeans range from $4.34 to $4.70 over the November 2026 futures. New crop soybeans range from $3.89 to $4.15 over the November 2026 futures. Ontario SRW wheat prices are in flux during harvest by as of July 24th are approximately $8.25. For July 2027 new crop the bid is in the $8.91/bu. range. On July 24th the US replacement price for corn was $7.16/bushel. You can access all these Ontario grain prices in the marketing section at https://gfo.ca/daily-commodity-report/ The Bottom Line Things are all coming together to move markets higher. We have a confluence of issues that are unusual to come together at one time. What we have is the hot and dry heat dome and drought into Western Europe with the possibility of that also manifesting itself in North America. At the same time, we have the Iran US war which is pressuring the oil market which in turn is dragging grains up with it. All of this happening at the same time is unusual for this time of year. Keep in mind where we are seasonally with grain markets. The last week in July is usually one when grain markets put in a top and drop into the fall time. That happens about 85% of the time but this year might be different. We might be into a contra seasonal where the crop is getting smaller, as do ending stocks and the price usually goes higher into the fall. The timing this year seems critical. So, what does this mean? You can make the argument that we have time here to decide which type of market we are in and if you believe prices are going up because forces are coming together to do that, market your grain appropriately and hedge both the downside and upside. That means different things to different farmers and that’s OK, just recognize this current grain environment is incredibly volatile based on the grain fundamentals and our geopolitical concerns. As always, this time of year, weather is such a big concern. Keep in mind, the super El Nino is still out there and affecting crop development worldwide. In a El Nino year Brazil is supposed to be dry. Between Brazil and Argentina, they produced twice as many soybeans as the United States and if El Nino manifests itself in a big way, there could be some real price fireworks. Commodity Specific Comments Corn The drought in Europe has had an effect on the corn market. The Europeans produce about 2.3 billion bushels of corn and import about 800 million every year. This means that they will probably be importing more corn this year which has obvious implications for Ontario corn exports. Keep in mind that these drought concerns whether they be in Europe or the United States are pushing up the price of corn, but it also is reacting to the price of oil. The ongoing tension in Iran and the Strait of Hormuz will continue to have an effect on the price of corn. The September 2026 corn contract is currently priced at 22.5 cents lower than the December 2026 contract a bearish indication of old crop corn demand. Seasonally, we know that corn prices tend to peak in early June and bottom out in early October. The December 2026 corn futures contract is at the 19th percentile of the past five-year price distribution range. Soybeans Soybeans are at contract highs as of July 24th. Of course, this is good news with anybody marketing soybeans but keep in mind these contracts can run very fast with high daily limits. Post those standing market orders optimistically, as they could be hit very quickly. Soybean prices have also been supported by Chinese buying. Yes, they have finally come into the market, and it has been timely for price as US beans are very competitive against South American soybeans. There is a September meeting between President Trump and President Xi, and this may result in even more buying. The August 2026 soybean contract is currently priced 7.75 cents above the September contract considered bullish for old crop soybean demand. Seasonally, soybean prices tend to peak in early July and bottom out in early October. The November 2026 soybean contract is currently at the 37th percentile of the past five-year price distribution range. Wheat The spectre of drought and heat in Europe has had an effect on the wheat market. Keep in mind that all countries in Europe makes it the largest wheat exporter in the world. Combine this with the problems of compromised grain movement in the sea of Azov amid the ongoing war and you have lots of uncertainty. Combine this with the ongoing super El Nino and there could be production problems in other places such as Australia. In Ontario the wheat crop has been relatively good news with good yields and quality. Quality is always a problem with wheat but for whatever reason this year including the good management of Ontario wheat producers that is not much of a concern. What has been good has been a cash price rally in wheat at harvest time which has pushed prices up over $2.00 a bushel higher than a year ago. The Bottom Line (cont.) The Canadian dollar continues to flutter around the $0.71 level US which is helping Ontario grain prices. It is always a constant with regard to cash prices and can act as a buffer but in a grain environment where futures are rising significantly it can also act as a supercharger to cash prices. This is the environment that we are in now. If grain futures prices get spooked by heat domes and geopolitical concerns further, it will have an accelerating effect on Ontario cash grain values. The Canadian dollar is a thinly traded currency, but it has recently been affected by the aggressive nature of the American administration. President Trump has announced 50% tariffs on an assortment of Canadian goods going into the United States starting possibly on August the 19th. Canadians were gobsmacked by this move and so was the government. Serious trade negotiations are about to commence. Regardless of why it happened this is the type of geopolitical concern that really affects the value of the Canadian dollar. Farmers need to be concerned and watchful over the next several weeks to see where the Canadian dollar goes. With all of this going on it is important to not be crossways with the trend, and the trend is up for prices. However, in this environment volatility is usually running wild. That yet may happen especially depending on a heat dome moving in as well as geopolitical concerns in Iran and Ukraine and Russia. This is all happening without a Black Swan event, but yet again a Black Swan can always happen and with that, we always have to be ready. Keep in mind that August is always the month that determines soybean yield historically. Also keep in mind, that soybeans are the great liars but at the end of the day always tell the truth. So, they will need rain, just like we need in stretches across southern Ontario. The challenge for Ontario farmers is to hone their marketing plans in this growing bullish grain environment. Have those standing market orders ready and if they hit, set some more even more optimistically. At the same time risk management never grows old. Hedging our risks is always a good thing. At the end of the day, there will be many marketing opportunities. Daily market intelligence will remain key. The post Market Trends Report – July & August 2026 appeared first on Grain Farmers of Ontario.

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DJ Maffers 21-07-26. Show Sponsored By The Black Swan Public House, Rugby. On www.bootboyradio.co.uk Please Play, Like, Comment, Follow, Download & Share.

Dr. Jeffrey Edwards, founder and chief risk strategist of FFERM Technologies, joins host KJ to challenge the financial industry's decades-old reliance on likelihood and impact heat maps for risk management. He traces that methodology back to a 1984 Department of Defense weapons framework that was never designed for financial services, and explains why it leaves institutions blind to risk contagion, compounding, and black swan events. The episode makes a compelling case that the next major financial collapse is not unpredictable. It is just being measured with the wrong ruler. Key Takeaways: 4:58 — Where did the financial industry's risk management framework actually come from? 14:28 — What happens when two separate risk events collide at the same time? 15:32 – When should an institution stop relying on the heat map as its primary risk tool? 23:19 — How does FFERM Technologies transform a risk score into something actually useful? Quote of the Show (13:09):"Math can guide you down the wrong path if you're asking and looking at it the wrong way." – Dr. Jeffrey Edwards Join our Anti-PR newsletter where we’re keeping a watchful and clever eye on PR trends, PR fails, and interesting news in tech so you don't have to. You're welcome. Want PR that actually matters? Get 30 minutes of expert advice in a fast-paced, zero-nonsense session from Karla Jo Helms, a veteran Crisis PR and Anti-PR Strategist who knows how to tell your story in the best possible light and get the exposure you need to disrupt your industry. Click here to book your call: https://info.jotopr.com/free-anti-pr-eval Ways to connect with Dr. Jeffrey Edwards:LinkedIn: http://www.linkedin.com/in/drjeffreyedwardsCompany Website: https://www.ffermtech.com/site How to get more Disruption/Interruption: Amazon Music - https://music.amazon.com/podcasts/eccda84d-4d5b-4c52-ba54-7fd8af3cbe87/disruption-interruption Apple Podcast - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/disruption-interruption/id1581985755 Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/6yGSwcSp8J354awJkCmJlD YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=disruption+%2F+interuuptionSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

On this week's A24 Vibe Discussion, the A24 Rocks crew goes back to the 2010 Darren Aronofsky film Black Swan. Natalie Portman won an Academy Award for her role as Nina in this psychological-horror movie about a ballerina who wins the prima ballerina role in the Tchaikovsky ballet Swan Lake. Nina is groomed and taken advantage of by her teacher Thomas (portrayed by Vincent Cassel), while she has hallucinations and anxieties, especially about a new ballerina named Lily (portrayed by Mila Kunis) who transferred from a different company. How has Black Swan aged 16 years later, and where does this land amongst the body horror films these film reviewers have reviewed? Caution: movie spoilers.Buy us a coffee- https://buymeacoffee.com/a24otr.Intro- 0:00 to 1:29.Film Discussion- 1:29 to 1:00:14.Film Ratings/Outro- 1:00:14 to End.

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DJ Maffers 14-07-26. Show Sponsored By The Black Swan Public House, Rugby. On www.bootboyradio.co.uk Please Play, Like, Comment, Follow, Download & Share.

DJ Maffers 11-07-26. Show Sponsored By The Black Swan Public House Rugby.  On www.bootboyradio.co.uk Please Play, Like, Comment, Follow, Download & Share.

Outline00:00 - Intro02:25 - Bachelier and the Théorie de la Spéculation03:05 - Stochastic processes, Brownian motion, and the heat equation09:45 - Poincaré's verdict, obscurity, and rediscovery13:50 - Robert C. Merton: from hot rods to MIT19:25 - Dynamic programming and Itô calculus24:35 - Merton's portfolio problem as stochastic optimal control31:10 - Options, dynamic hedging, and the Black–Scholes–Merton equation39:50 - LTCM: the dream team46:30 - August 1998: the crash49:00 - Fat tails and the ten-sigma defense51:40 - The ghosts of 2008 and echoes in the AI boom54:00 - Robustness embraced at last: Hansen and Sargent57:45 - OutroLinksBachelier's thesis, "Théorie de la Spéculation" (1900): https://www.numdam.org/item/10.24033/asens.476.pdfCourtault et al., "Louis Bachelier on the Centenary of Théorie de la Spéculation": https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9965.00098Merton's Nobel autobiography: https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/economic-sciences/1997/merton/biographical/Merton's MIT "Infinite History" interview: https://infinite.mit.edu/video/robert-c-merton-phd-%E2%80%9970/Mandelbrot, "The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices": https://doi.org/10.1086/294632Merton, "Optimum Consumption and Portfolio Rules in a Continuous-Time Model": https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(71)90038-XMoehle & Boyd, "A Certainty Equivalent Merton Problem": https://doi.org/10.1109/LCSYS.2021.3111534Brigo & Mercurio, "Interest Rate Models: Theory and Practice": https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-34604-3Armstrong, Brigo & Hanzon, "Optimal Projection Filters with Information Geometry": https://doi.org/10.1007/s41884-023-00108-xHu & Zhou, "Constrained Stochastic LQ Control with Random Coefficients, and Application to Portfolio Selection": https://doi.org/10.1137/S0363012904441969Black & Scholes, "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities": https://doi.org/10.1086/260062Merton, "Theory of Rational Option Pricing": https://doi.org/10.2307/3003143Merton, "Option Pricing When Underlying Stock Returns Are Discontinuous": https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(76)90022-2Scholes' Nobel lecture: https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/economic-sciences/1997/scholes/lecture/Merton's Nobel lecture: https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/economic-sciences/1997/merton/lecture/Markowitz, "Portfolio Selection": https://doi.org/10.2307/2975974Michael Lewis, "Liar's Poker": https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liar%27s_PokerEdwards, "Hedge Funds and the Collapse of Long-Term Capital Management": https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.13.2.189Lowenstein, "When Genius Failed": https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/When_Genius_FailedTaleb, "Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails": https://arxiv.org/abs/2001.10488Taleb & West, "Working with Convex Responses: Antifragility from Finance to Oncology": https://doi.org/10.3390/e25020343Taleb, "The Black Swan": https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Black_Swan:_The_Impact_of_the_Highly_ImprobableTaleb, "Fooled by Randomness": https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fooled_by_RandomnessMan Group, "The AI Bubble: Hidden Risks and Opportunities": https://www.man.com/insights/the-ai-bubbleSen. Warren's remarks at the Vanderbilt Policy Accelerator: https://www.banking.senate.gov/newsroom/minority/warren-remarks-at-vanderbilt-policy-accelerator-event-highlighting-economic-and-financial-risks-of-potential-ai-crashMeng & Chen, "Artificial Intelligence and Systemic Risk": https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.03272Doyle, "Guaranteed Margins for LQG Regulators": https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.1978.1101791Safonov & Athans, "Gain and Phase Margin for Multiloop LQG Regulators": https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.1977.1101470Hansen & Sargent, "Robust Control and Model Uncertainty": https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.91.2.60Hansen & Sargent, "Wanting Robustness in Macroeconomics": http://www.tomsargent.com/research/wanting.pdfSupport the showPodcast infoPodcast website: https://www.incontrolpodcast.com/Apple Podcasts: https://tinyurl.com/5n84j85jSpotify: https://tinyurl.com/4rwztj3cRSS: https://tinyurl.com/yc2fcv4yYoutube: https://tinyurl.com/bdbvhsj6Facebook: https://tinyurl.com/3z24yr43Twitter: https://twitter.com/IncontrolPInstagram: https://tinyurl.com/35cu4kr4Acknowledgments and sponsorsThis episode was supported by the National Centre of Competence in Research on «Dependable, ubiquitous automation» and the IFAC Activity fund. The podcast benefits from the help of an incredibly talented and passionate team. Special thanks to L. Seward, E. Cahard, F. Banis, F. Dörfler, J. Lygeros, ETH studio and mirrorlake . Music was composed by A New Element.

DJ Maffers 07-07-26. Show Sponsored By The Black Swan Public House Rugby. On www.bootboyradio.co.uk Please Play, Like, Comment, Follow, Download & Share.

DJ Maffers 04-07-26. Show Sponsored By The Black Swan Public House Rugby. On www.bootboyradio.co.uk Please Play, Like, Comment, Follow, Download & Share.

The Lotto Texas April 2023 $95 million lottery jackpot theft reveals more questions. The connection between White Swan Data, Black Swan Data, J. Streicher, 18 Saville Row, London and others is discussed in light of a recently produced May 2023 email obtained from the Texas Lottery Commission.

Gabriel Custodiet speaks with one of the godfather's of prepping: James Wesley, Rawles. They discuss the derivatives timebomb and the gold market, Mr Rawles' recent debanking, the latest anti-gun laws, concealed carry permit strategies, the ethics of self-defense, and private purchases. GUEST → https://survivalblog.com  (Rawles website) → https://survivalblog.com/derivatives/  (Derivatives Timebomb) → https://www.survivalrealty.com/survival-retreats-relocation-book  (Survival Retreats & Relocation) → https://www.amazon.com/Patriots-Novel-Survival-Coming-Collapse/dp/156975599X  (My recommended book from Rawles)   WATCHMAN'S TORCH PREMIUM NEWSLETTER → https://watchmanstorch.com    ESCAPE THE TECHNOCRACY PRIVACY TUTORIALS → https://escapethetechnocracy.com/  (including consulting) → https://watchmanprivacy.com  (Gabriel's personal site) → https://twitter.com/watchmanprivacy  SUPPORT INDEPENDENT GONZO TECHNO-ADVENTURE JOURNALISM → No sponsors. No ads. Just truth. → https://watchmanprivacy.com/donate.html  TIMELINE 00:00 – Introduction 1:40 – Signs of financial collapse 3:55 – Derivatives are a ticking timebomb 6:30 – Gold price 8:25 – Gambling; aka the stock market 12:45 – James Wesley, Rawles was debanked 17:35 – How does one vet a county in the US? 23:00 – Conservatives grouping together presents a target? 25:10 – What power does an American sheriff have? 27:40 – Australians and Canada 31:20 – Latest anti-gun laws 34:10 – Night vision equipment 36:55 – Concealed carry permit strategies  39:50 – "Turn the other cheek" 41:30 – The Black Swan 44:25 – Private purchases 49:10 – Fostering healthy hobbies 52:40 – Final thoughts Music by Karl Casey @ White Bat Audio

Black Swan

The global conversation on climate risk is heavily skewed toward decarbonization and net zero. While mitigating future climate damage is critical, that focus often overshadows an equally urgent challenge: surviving the climate reality we already live in.Moustafa Naiem, founder and CEO of Resiliocs Intelligence, helps institutional asset owners move beyond risk scores to understand what their climate exposures will actually cost — and which adaptation investments will reduce them most.Drawing on a Ph.D. in resilience prediction, digital twin research at Cambridge, and consulting at KPMG, Moustafa explains why existing tools fall short. He points to a striking imbalance: roughly five dollars are spent on climate mitigation for every one on adaptation — a gap with consequences ranging from insurers exiting markets to displaced residents.The conversation covers Resiliocs' "spatial twin" approach — delivering the predictive power of digital twins without expensive sensor networks, using satellite data and climate modeling instead. Moustafa also reframes Black Swan events as cascading system-wide failures, not simply high-intensity storms — a distinction the company's models are built to capture.Resources:Resiliocs Intelligence: https://resiliocs.com/The Institutes: https://web.theinstitutes.org/Predict & Prevent website: https://www.predictandprevent.org/Sign up for our weekly Predict & Prevent newsletter: https://www.predictandprevent.org/newsletter/

Episode 4158 │ June 25, 2026 Belfast burned. The media called it chaos. It wasn't. The same riot cycle ran in 2024 and 2025. Three times is not chaos — three times is a pattern. WHAT THIS EPISODE COVERS  Scott Kesterson opens with the Belfast riots of June 2026 — 27 families displaced, 62 fire calls in five hours, a two-month-old carried out of a burning building — and immediately applies two analytical frameworks to strip the media narrative away from the event: the Gray Rhino, Michelle Wucker's concept of the highly probable, high-impact event that is visible for years and ignored anyway, versus the Black Swan, Nassim Taleb's genuine outlier that produces disorganized, improvised, contradictory response. Belfast fails every Black Swan test — the script was identical in 2024 and 2025, the official response read from the same page, and every element of the event was visible in plain sight for a decade — which makes it a Gray Rhino wearing black feathers, manufactured to look like chaos because the media needs you afraid and reactive. The episode then applies the same framework to COVID-19 — the plexiglass barriers, the globally standardized floor stickers, the overnight convergence of identical media language across competitive markets — arguing that a true Black Swan produces disorganized response, and what the world witnessed in March 2020 was organized pre-positioning, closing with Vincit's core thesis: he conquers who endures, not who panics, and seeing the pattern clearly is the only ground worth standing on. KEY QUESTIONS ADDRESSED  What is the difference between a Black Swan and a Gray Rhino — and why does Belfast fail every test for a genuine Black Swan while passing every test for a manufactured one? What do the plexiglass barriers, floor stickers, and overnight media convergence of March 2020 prove about whether COVID was an unknowable catastrophe or a pre-positioned organized response? Why does Black Swan thinking paralyze people and keep them reactive — and what happens when you sit still long enough to see the strings instead of responding to the puppet? ABOUT BARDSFM BardsFM is a daily independent podcast covering faith, liberty, history, and information warfare. Hosted by Scott Kesterson — combat veteran, documentary filmmaker, and rancher. Over 4,100 episodes and 50 million lifetime downloads. New episodes every weekday. bards.fm This episode was researched and produced under the Sentinel Framework v3 — the analytical methodology built by Scott Kesterson — with AI-assisted research synthesis at a 70/30 human/AI authorship ratio, fully disclosed. All analysis, conclusions, and editorial judgments are those of Scott Kesterson. AFFILIATE LINKS Bards Nation Health Store: www.bardsnationhealth.com MYPillow promo code: BARDS >> Go to https://www.mypillow.com/bards and use the promo code BARDS or... Call 1-800-975-2939.  EMPShield protect your vehicles and home. Promo code BARDS: Click here Treadlite Broadforks...best garden tool EVER. Promo code BARDS26: TreadliteBroadforks.com EnviroKlenz Air Purification, promo code BARDS to save 10%: www.enviroklenz.com Morning Intro Music Provided by Brian Kahanek: www.briankahanek.com Founders Bible 20% discount code: BARDS >>> TheFoundersBible.com Windblown Media 20% Discount with promo code BARDS: windblownmedia.com White Oak Pastures Grassfed Meats, Get $20 off any order $150 or more. Promo Code BARDS: www.whiteoakpastures.com/BARDS Mission Darkness Faraday Bags and RF Shielding. Promo code BARDS: Click here DONATIONS: If you wish to support this podcast directly you can donate here... DONATE: Click here MAILING ADDRESS: Xpedition Cafe, LLC Attn. Scott Kesterson 591 E Central Ave, #740

Markets remain near record highs, but the technical backdrop is becoming more complex. Strong money flows continue to support asset prices, while a more hawkish Federal Reserve threatens to tighten financial conditions and limit upside potential. Lance Roberts looks at how liquidity, institutional flows, market momentum, and investor sentiment are interacting with Fed policy. We also explore whether technical support levels can withstand higher interest rates, what history suggests when liquidity and monetary policy diverge, and what investors should watch next as markets navigate this critical crossroads. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:12 - FIFA Fever & Setting Up for July 5:32 - Portfolio Rebalancing & Buyback Blackout 11:34 - Alan Greenspan death at 100 16:42 - Markets Trading on Plumbing More than Fundamentals 21:06 - Market Inflows - Where's the money coming fron? 26:45 - Micron Quarterly Preview - Where's the risk? 30:25 - Market Breadth Concerns 32:58 - Where Does the Money Go? 34:51 - Market Mechanics Remain Strong 39:00 - When Everyone Agrees...(Bob Farrell Rule #9) 40:27 - Three Things to Watch 43:12 - The Risks are Real Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jon Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/UYxvj5axVTQ ------- Watch our previous show, "Black Swans, SpaceX, & Retirement Reality" https://youtube.com/live/Rq8NxfiiG2I ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Market Pennant: Breakout or Breakdown?" here: https://youtu.be/tYu7hYTjg_g ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Technical Backdrop: When Flows Meet a Hawkish Fed: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-technical-backdrop-when-flows-meet-a-hawkish-fed/ "Kevin Warsh And The End Of The Fed's “Forward Guidance” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/kevin-warsh-and-the-end-of-the-feds-forward-guidance/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #PortfolioManagement #Investing #Semiconductors #FederalReserve #AlanGreenspanDeath #KevinWarsh #MarketAnalysis

Markets remain near record highs, but the technical backdrop is becoming more complex. Strong money flows continue to support asset prices, while a more hawkish Federal Reserve threatens to tighten financial conditions and limit upside potential. Lance Roberts looks at how liquidity, institutional flows, market momentum, and investor sentiment are interacting with Fed policy. We also explore whether technical support levels can withstand higher interest rates, what history suggests when liquidity and monetary policy diverge, and what investors should watch next as markets navigate this critical crossroads. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:12 - FIFA Fever & Setting Up for July 5:32 - Portfolio Rebalancing & Buyback Blackout 11:34 - Alan Greenspan death at 100 16:42 - Markets Trading on Plumbing More than Fundamentals 21:06 - Market Inflows - Where's the money coming fron? 26:45 - Micron Quarterly Preview - Where's the risk? 30:25 - Market Breadth Concerns 32:58 - Where Does the Money Go? 34:51 - Market Mechanics Remain Strong 39:00 - When Everyone Agrees...(Bob Farrell Rule #9) 40:27 - Three Things to Watch 43:12 - The Risks are Real Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jon Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/UYxvj5axVTQ ------- Watch our previous show, "Black Swans, SpaceX, & Retirement Reality" https://youtube.com/live/Rq8NxfiiG2I ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Market Pennant: Breakout or Breakdown?" here: https://youtu.be/tYu7hYTjg_g ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Technical Backdrop: When Flows Meet a Hawkish Fed: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-technical-backdrop-when-flows-meet-a-hawkish-fed/ "Kevin Warsh And The End Of The Fed's "Forward Guidance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/kevin-warsh-and-the-end-of-the-feds-forward-guidance/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #PortfolioManagement #Investing #Semiconductors #FederalReserve #AlanGreenspanDeath #KevinWarsh #MarketAnalysis

Send us Fan MailWhen a chemical incident triggers the evacuation of tens of thousands of residents, communications stops being a “nice to have” and becomes operational. We're back with Greg Barta, Public Information Officer for the Orange County Fire Authority, to dig into the nuts and bolts of crisis communication that most people never see: where to stage a press conference, how to set the tone, and the subtle skill of knowing when it's time to end Q&A before it turns into a loop of repeats and rumors.We also get candid about staffing and endurance. Greg walks through how his incident management team scaled PIO coverage with a 24/7 posture, including clear assignments for on-camera interviews, a dedicated media phone line, and a rover role to absorb surges. If you've ever wondered how agencies keep messaging consistent across multiple shifts and multiple partner agencies, this is a practical look at building a battle rhythm that holds up after the chaotic first 24 to 48 hours.Then we zoom out to coordination: the interplay between the PIO shop and the liaison officer when elected officials are intensely engaged, and why a dedicated elected officials briefing can protect the core response while keeping leaders informed. On the public side, we talk community hotlines run through the Emergency Operations Center, the flood of social media comments and X direct messages, and what happens when “helpful suggestions” start clogging the system.If crisis management, emergency communications, media relations, and incident command are part of your world, you'll leave with tactics you can apply immediately. Subscribe, share this with a colleague, and leave a review so more crisis leaders can find the show.#ocfa #gknaerospace #crisiscomms #crisiscommunications #PIO #gardengrove #emergencymanagement #orangecountySupport the showWe'd love to hear from you.  Email the show at Tom@leadinginacrisis.com.

Richard Rosso & Jon Penn connect some of the biggest investing stories with the realities of retirement planning. From Elon Musk, SpaceX, and Social Security to Black Swan events and retirement planning, today's discussion explores how investors get drawn into powerful stories, confirmation bias, and headline-driven decisions. We examine why SpaceX is a unique market outlier, the importance of price discovery, and how unexpected events can have a greater impact on portfolios than most investors anticipate. We also cover retirement spending, liquidity, insurance, Warren Buffett's gifting strategy, AI's impact on inflation, and why every retirement plan should prepare for both opportunity and risk. Plus, a preview of our upcoming "Aging in Place Guide" and a teaser for Candid Coffee. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Elon Musk's Trillion Dollars & Fixing Social Security 5:35 - Space-X Mania: Stocks are Stories 7:05 - Black Swans & Outliers 8:32 - Perspective: Financial Planners are the Party Poopers 12:02 - Confirmation Bias & Algorithms 14:53 - Outliers & Wings of the Black Swan 16:52 - Everyone's Retirement is Different 19:03 - Space-X is an Outlier - No Price Discovery 21:16 - The Retirement Smirk 24:24 - Finding Financial Bandwidth in Retirement 26:00 - PREVIEW: "The Aging in Place Guide" 26:31 - Aggressive Spending in Retirement 28:42 - How Warren Buffett Gifted & Conditional Gifting 29:46 - Dr. Phil Reels & Self-imposed Black Swans 31:49 - Having a little Sexy in your portfolio is okay 34:45 - Dealing with Headline Porn 36:02 - Is AI Inflationary or Dis-inflationary? 37:29 - Liquidity is he Greatest Asset You Can Have 38:43 - Black Swans today & Planning for the Worst 46:53 - Candid Coffee Teaser: Being Properly Insured 50:50 - Creating Black Swans 52:46 - Listening to Bulls AND Bears Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jon Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/Rq8NxfiiG2I ------- Watch our previous show, "Kevin Warsh's First Day at the Fed" https://youtube.com/live/USe3OhTf1FM ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Beyond Protection: What Life Insurance Can Really Do," Saturday, June 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/WauFUig8HFtb --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #BlackSwanEvents #SpaceX #FinancialPlanning #Investing

Richard Rosso & Jon Penn connect some of the biggest investing stories with the realities of retirement planning. From Elon Musk, SpaceX, and Social Security to Black Swan events and retirement planning, today's discussion explores how investors get drawn into powerful stories, confirmation bias, and headline-driven decisions. We examine why SpaceX is a unique market outlier, the importance of price discovery, and how unexpected events can have a greater impact on portfolios than most investors anticipate. We also cover retirement spending, liquidity, insurance, Warren Buffett's gifting strategy, AI's impact on inflation, and why every retirement plan should prepare for both opportunity and risk. Plus, a preview of our upcoming "Aging in Place Guide" and a teaser for Candid Coffee. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Elon Musk's Trillion Dollars & Fixing Social Security 5:35 - Space-X Mania: Stocks are Stories 7:05 - Black Swans & Outliers 8:32 - Perspective: Financial Planners are the Party Poopers 12:02 - Confirmation Bias & Algorithms 14:53 - Outliers & Wings of the Black Swan 16:52 - Everyone's Retirement is Different 19:03 - Space-X is an Outlier - No Price Discovery 21:16 - The Retirement Smirk 24:24 - Finding Financial Bandwidth in Retirement 26:00 - PREVIEW: "The Aging in Place Guide" 26:31 - Aggressive Spending in Retirement 28:42 - How Warren Buffett Gifted & Conditional Gifting 29:46 - Dr. Phil Reels & Self-imposed Black Swans 31:49 - Having a little Sexy in your portfolio is okay 34:45 - Dealing with Headline Porn 36:02 - Is AI Inflationary or Dis-inflationary? 37:29 - Liquidity is he Greatest Asset You Can Have 38:43 - Black Swans today & Planning for the Worst 46:53 - Candid Coffee Teaser: Being Properly Insured 50:50 - Creating Black Swans 52:46 - Listening to Bulls AND Bears Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jon Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/Rq8NxfiiG2I ------- Watch our previous show, "Kevin Warsh's First Day at the Fed" https://youtube.com/live/USe3OhTf1FM ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Beyond Protection: What Life Insurance Can Really Do," Saturday, June 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/WauFUig8HFtb --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #BlackSwanEvents #SpaceX #FinancialPlanning #Investing

A 54 year old retired Navy intelligence officer meets a 24 year old ballerina at a political fundraiser. Then thirteen days later, they got married.What follows is a story filled with allegations of abuse, claims of poisoning, a failed ballet company, years of bitter custody litigation, psychological evaluations, restraining orders, and a marriage that seemed to be unraveling from the very beginning.Then, while preparing for a move to Maryland in September 2020, the couple found themselves alone inside a Florida home., and minutes later, one of them was shot dead.The survior claimed it was self defense, but the questions of what was true, and what was false was left for the courts to try and decide. Our other podcast: "FEARFUL" - https://open.spotify.com/show/56ajNkLiPoIat1V2KI9n5c?si=OyM38rdsSSyyzKAFUJpSywMERCH:https://www.redbubble.com/people/wickedandgrim/shop?asc=uPatreon: https://www.patreon.com/wickedandgrim?fan_landing=trueYoutube: https://www.youtube.com/@wickedlifeFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/wickedandgrim/ Instagram:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/wickedandgrim/?hl=enTwitter: https://twitter.com/wickedandgrimWebsite: https://www.wickedandgrim.com/

DJ Maffers 13-06-26. Show Sponsored By The Black Swan Public House, Rugby.  On www.bootboyradio.co.uk Please Play, Like, Comment, Follow, Download & Share.

SCARY MOVIE 5 WAS BETTER THAN EXPECTED?! Scary Movie 5 Reaction — First Time Watching! Support us on Patreon: Scary Movie 5 Reaction (Full Length Watch Along):   / thereelrejects   Limited Time Offer – You Need Fiber. Yes you! Boost your fiber with Huel today using my exclusive offer of 15% OFF online with my code REJECTS at https://www.huel.com/REJECTS. New Customers Only. Thank you to Huel for partnering and supporting our show! Greg Alba and Jackie Bonsignore continue watching the Scary Movie franchise in order with Scary Movie 5 for the first time, the 2013 parody sequel that swaps in Ashley Tisdale, brings back Charlie Sheen for one wild opening scene, and spoofs everything from Paranormal Activity and Mama to Black Swan, Inception, Evil Dead, and Rise of the Planet of the Apes. With Scary Movie 6 now in theaters and bringing back the Wayans family, Anna Faris, Regina Hall, and more, this Scary Movie 5 full movie reaction is the perfect final stop before comparing Scary Movie 5 vs Scary Movie 6 in 2026. In this Greg Alba and Jackie Bonsignore Scary Movie reaction and Scary Movie 5 review, they break down the Charlie Sheen scene, Ashley Tisdale's Scary Movie debut, Simon Rex, Snoop Dogg, the creepy Mama parody, Paranormal Activity camera gags, Black Swan ballet spoof, Inception jokes, Evil Dead cabin chaos, Caesar and the ape lab scenes, and some of the strangest, funniest moments in the whole franchise. Even though Scary Movie 5 has a rough reputation, Greg Alba and Jackie Bonsignore end up laughing more than expected while debating whether this overlooked sequel deserves more credit before the Scary Movie 6 Wayans family return. Follow Greg Alba:  Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thegregalba/ Twitter:  https://x.com/thegregalba Follow Jackie Bonsignore: https://www.instagram.com/jackiebonsignore/ Intense Suspense by Audionautix is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/... Support The Channel By Getting Some REEL REJECTS Apparel! https://www.rejectnationshop.com/ Follow Us On Socials:  Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/reelrejects/  Tik-Tok: https://www.tiktok.com/@reelrejects?lang=en Twitter: https://x.com/reelrejects Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/TheReelRejects/ Music Used In Ad:  Hat the Jazz by Twin Musicom is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Happy Alley by Kevin MacLeod is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/... POWERED BY @GFUEL Visit https://gfuel.ly/3wD5Ygo and use code REJECTNATION for 20% off select tubs!! Head Editor: https://www.instagram.com/praperhq/?hl=en Co-Editor: Greg Alba Co-Editor: John Humphrey Music In Video: Airport Lounge - Disco Ultralounge by Kevin MacLeod is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Ask Us A QUESTION On CAMEO: https://www.cameo.com/thereelrejects Follow TheReelRejects On FACEBOOK, TWITTER, & INSTAGRAM:  FB:  https://www.facebook.com/TheReelRejects/ INSTAGRAM:  https://www.instagram.com/reelrejects/ TWITTER:  https://twitter.com/thereelrejects Follow GREG ON INSTAGRAM & TWITTER: INSTAGRAM:  https://www.instagram.com/thegregalba/ TWITTER:  https://twitter.com/thegregalba Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

A version of this essay has been published by Open Magazine at https://openthemagazine.com/world/india-will-collapse-without-digital-sovereignty-and-pax-indica-lessons-from-hormuzBy now it is clear that the Iran War (or West Asia War) has been a disaster to all concerned, including the principals as well as assorted passersby. The massive amounts spent by the US (at last count $25 billion) are at least articulated; the bill for the enormous infrastructural and human suffering inflicted on Gulf states, in the theater of war, must be greater, by definition.The collateral damages suffered by the rest of the world from the cessation of trade through the Straits of Hormuz will presumably run into the trillions of dollars. As one of the worst affected, India, which imports 90% of its hydrocarbons from the Gulf, not to mention other essential items such as urea (for fertilizer), sulfuric acid, helium, etc., is on track to take a massive hit. As an article in The Economic Times said, “India must brace for broad-based economic shock”.Indian exports of up to $50 billion are also affected, especially agricultural products including perishable foodstuffs, but also gems and jewellery, electronics, textiles and garments. Some of this can be diverted via Oman and the UAE's Fujairah port, but much of it passes through the Straits of Hormuz and is potentially blocked and/or stranded at sea.The Hormuz closure is a body blow to India's economy. What can and will India do about it? The Indian State has a habit of rising to the challenge only when there is a crisis, while vegetating otherwise. The 1991 economic crisis is a case in point; the sanctions following “The Buddha is smiling”, and the denial of cryogenic rocket engines and supercomputers are other examples where the nation rallied. So were covid vaccines. Necessity, they say, is the mother of invention.Turning a threat into an opportunityIf I were to be an optimist, I could say that the current crisis is actually an opportunity. In fact, a major opportunity. My reading of the Iran War is that it is President Trump's strategic tit-for-tat against China for denying him rare earths and cutting off soybean purchases. In return Trump decided to deny China access to oil by closing access to Venezuela and Iran. Whether this will work, or whether the G2 condominium (read ‘surrender') will prevail, is unclear.But that is, in a sense, background noise that needs to be managed. India needs to focus on its own issues, of which I see several as critical, and the solution in general is to become Atmanirbhar, self-reliant, and from that, to create an Anti-Fragile nation:* National security/defense* Food security* Energy security* Digital security/narrative control* Trade securityThe first three do not need an explanation: they are obvious. Internal and external security are pre-requisites for any successful society. If India's hard-won food security can be threatened by external threats, then there needs to be some deep introspection. Energy security means diversification, both of hydrocarbon sources, and of types of energy, including renewables, nuclear, biomass, coal-based, and so on.Malign narratives and digital sovereigntyNarrative control is something that the Indian State has failed at so far; it is laughably easy to create hate speech against Indians and India (as has been demonstrated freely by any number of players, starting from the MAGA crowd, to Audrey Truschke to a”Cockroach Janata Party” and some nitwit Norwegian journalist in just the last fortnight) and there are no consequences to the culprits. It's enough to make me pine for Lee Kuan Yew's aggressive legal battles against the media.It's one thing if it were only a problem with foreigners, but with the massive spread of social media, and in particular generativeAI, it is becoming a serious domestic issue. Since India is an avid consumer of social media, and because generativeAI is trained on things like Wikipedia, X, Whatsapp and Google content, biased and motivated material becomes ensconced as The Truth. I have written about narrative warfare and manufacturing consent.This used to be a one-way tsunami of (mis)-information by legacy media, but now there is also the opposite: the wholesale and free vacuuming-up of Indian data (whatever happened to “data is the new oil”?). The “Great Firewall of China” both kept out foreign BIg Tech applications and prevented their plundering Chinese data: is that the way to go?Manufactured narratives are intended for regime change: all the color revolutions today are hatched with massive bot-farms funded by some combination of Deep State, CCP, ISI, Qatar etc. (for example the alleged Gen-Z uprisings that rocked Nepal, drove Sheikh Hasina out of Bangladesh). Thus muzzling malign narratives, and ensuring data security, are imperative.Even Singapore is not immune: it had to block anti-India narratives that likely originated from Chinese sources.A particularly striking example of narrative warfare is the virtual hate speech inducted into Wikipedia by deeply prejudiced anonymous editors. Ashley Rindsberg, who exposed the mighty New York Times' biases in his book The Gray Lady Winked, provides many examples of this.Of note to Indians and Hindus is his recent substack titled “Wikipedia's India War” where he identifies just four editors as having created most of the content condemning the Hindu American Foundation (HAF) in ‘Wikivoice', i.e. the allegedly neutral perspective of Wikipedia. They are, on the contrary, shown to be highly one-sided.As Rindsberg mentions, Wikipedia being central to generativeAI, the damage is baked into the world-view of all AI applications. Truly Orwellian. Says Rindsberg: “four… anonymous accounts can have an enormous impact on what millions of people believe to be the truth.” “Over four years (2021-2025), editors systematically erased HAF's identity as an American civil rights group, transforming its Wikipedia page into a heavily curated dossier of accusations.”Trade, and how the Spice Route was far superior to the Silk RoadFinally, something that is becoming increasingly important: ensuring freedom of trade. This is more than just freedom of navigation, although I find it instructive that Emperor Rajendra Chola sent a huge fleet 1,001 years ago simply to open up the Straits of Malacca. India can make an active attempt to regain primacy in Indian Ocean trade, the whole Pax indica idea.Here is another example of the power of narrative: we have been led to believe that the Silk Road to China was some major highway of commerce between ancient Rome and ancient China, but it was a term coined only in 1877 by the German Ferdinand von Richthofen. There was no highway. A large caravan might take six months, and with 500 camels traversing treacherous deserts and braving bandits, it might carry a maximum of 100 tons. That is puny.In comparison, on the Spice Route, a single stitched ship from Muziris could carry 400 tons of ivory, pepper, silk, tigers and elephants; and the historian Strabo around 1 CE talks about fleets of 250 ships going from Alexandria to India on a six-week monsoon-powered journey. That is 100,000 tons of merchandise. No wonder Pliny the Elder complained that Rome's treasuries were being emptied of gold by India.Simple question: where are hoards of ancient Roman coins found in Asia? Answer: not along the Silk Road. The hoards are in Kerala, Tamil Nadu and Sri Lanka.Today, it is possible for India to aspire to port-led development of trade, especially with the major ports at Trivandrum (Vizhinjam), Maharashtra (Vadhavan), and Great Nicobar (Galathea Bay). The underlying ‘software' of India's millennia-old trade competency was a ‘multi-protocol switch' as I pointed out, and today's India Stack can replicate that. Then there is the need for a blue-water navy: muscle to provide security on the Hormuz to Malacca sea-lanes.So there is a vision. How can India get there? This is where policy matters, as I discussed with policy expert Anuj Gupta. Policy, especially industrial policy, has had a bad reputation in certain circles because it was deemed to violate the virginal purity of classical capitalism. However, in a recent U-turn, even the World Bank admitted that industrial policy may not be all that bad, after all: the success of Japan, the Asian Tigers, and China can't be ignored.That leads to the question of why policy in India has produced mediocre outcomes, what is different now, and where the best use of policy might be.Industrial Policy: What went wrong in the past?There are many problems here. To begin with, the Soviet model, which Nehruvians swore by, was, in hindsight, a dead end. Second, there is the problem of governance: post-Independence bureaucrats have awkwardly borne the legacy of imperial hauteur and the needs of a developing society. Third, until recently, the bare necessities (food, electricity, road access) were not available to many citizens, and GDP growth was not their priority.There is also the culture of jugaad: of clever ways in which you overcome constraints through frugal improvisation and seat-of-the-pants making-do. This is fine for one-off things (e.g. converting a tractor trailer into a makeshift transport vehicle because your truck broke down), but it does not make for efficient and replicable industrial products. As The Economic Times said recently, it is time to junk jugaad. Quality has to become ingrained in people's minds.The issue of governance is significant: the bureaucracy and the judiciary have both under-performed, politicians, as everywhere, have been venal. It is said that China's growth can be attributed to the fact that its babus are engineers, and therefore with engineering ruthlessness move in straight lines. The US' babus are lawyers, and India's are humanities graduates. Well, engineers are not very good at second-order effects (eg. China's lurch from one-child policy to demographic collapse), but a little bit of ruthlessness is probably good.What is going reasonably well?There are a few modest success stories: for example, in electronics manufacturing or assembly. The PLIs (and DLIs) have produced the desired effort, with clusters of excellence where global suppliers have also set up shop (as they did earlier for the automobile industry in, say, Sriperumpudur). The fact that a lot of iPhones in the US are now imported from India is laudable, even though it may be derided as “screwdriver jobs”. That's where one starts the move up the value chain.The current semiconductor policy is a big hope, especially after the landmark agreement by the Dutch firm ASML with Tata Electronics in Dholera, Gujarat. Given that ASML has a near-monopoly position in Deep Ultraviolet Lithography (DUV) this is a major boost to India's chip ambitions. My recent conversation with AMD CTO Suraj Rengarajan went into India's chances to realize its ambitions.A recent announcement from Trivandrum-based fabless startup NetraSemi (a recipient of DLI) of the commercial availability of its edge AI chips is a landmark.Next is the newly announced plan for energy security revolving around both coal gasification and intensive offshore exploration. These fall squarely into the Atmanirbhar category: India simply cannot afford to have its energy held hostage by distant nations. It also needs distinctly Indian innovation.The Samudra Manthan initiative is also showing some promise. At least one out of three deep-water wells in the Andaman Sea (SriVijaya Puram-3) are reported to be showing the availability of natural gas, although it will take 5-10 years for this to be commercially available.What should the future look like for India's Industrial Policies?This of course is the hard question. Here is my personal perspective, and I accept that reasonable people may disagree. I think three areas need to be focused on, and will pay large dividends.* Drones and swarming software* Social media and AI stack* Maritime Trade and Blue-Water NavyI admit that these are not the only worthwhile industrial policies. Another is for copper, which would reverse the catastrophic effects of the closure of the Sterlite plant in Thoothukkudi, as the metal is an increasingly important component in electronics, data centers, etc., and far from being self-sufficient earlier, India now imports 50% of its needs. Another area of interest in quantum computing.There are also failures from which the right lessons need to be learned. The policy for EV batteries has apparently failed: according to Swarajya magazine, India has not been able to escape from near-total dependence on imported Chinese batteries.Drone swarmsI wrote recently that drones may well herald a step-change in warfare. For the moment, though, they are searching for their niche in offensive/defensive warfare. Drone hardware is already a well-trodden path with Chinese and other nations dominating it, although with IdeaForge, Paras, Garuda, IoTechworld Avigation etc., India is also making progress there. And India is indeed buying the hardware, $2 billion-worth, according to the Economic Times.But I believe the real game is in drone swarms. AI-based control software (similar to HiveMind) that would allow an entire swarm to act autonomously, just like a murmuration of starlings, would be the gold standard to aim for. Such a self-managing swarm would be virtually impossible to defend against, and I think India should put in place a PLI to support it, leveraging software capability in the country.Of course, drones are not just for military purposes, but also for commercial uses including things like logistics and agricultural use, such as precision delivery of fertilizer and pesticide to crops (as Garuda demonstrates). An Indian initiative that supports both drone hardware, and especially drone software, would be a potential winner.Digital Sovereignty: Social media and AI stackThere is a raging battle over which part of the AI stack India needs to invest in. As an old Unix hand, I believe the foundational model is not where the differentiation is. In analogy with Linux (the open-source Unix variant that was popularized by Linus Torvalds and an army of volunteers), there is little value in re-writing the operating system, but one can differentiate by building on top of it, or by judiciously choosing certain modules of it.Besides, the cost of building an entirely new foundational model would be astronomical and would consume the entire budget of IndiaAI Mission.Thus, my personal opinion is that the foundational model (especially when, it is believed, there are more or less open-source models available for free, e.g. Llama, DeepSeek) is not where India should expend its precious R&D resources, but on the layers of the stack above it. It is the data that matters, as Larry Ellison apparently suggests too.But there is the interesting counter-example of Sarvam AI which is producing its own sovereign model: multi-lingual and presumably otherwise tuned to Indian needs. The question is whether this can survive when hundreds of billions worth of capital investment are going to the US Big Tech companies and their Chinese rivals. The sad history of Koo, a Twitter rival, comes to mind. So does Arattai, a Whatsapp rival, whose popularity has waned. .A well-thought-through industrial policy on generativeAI is therefore essential. The status quo ante is unsustainable; given the fact that Sarvam has also found it difficult to raise funds in the US, it is worth pondering whether a China-style massive subsidy is the answer. And where should it go, into foundational models or into the layers of the stack above it? The answer is “both”, but with priority to the latter.Here is where I would prioritize investments, in order:* Vertical applications in specific domains: e.g. defense, healthcare, agriculture, governance (particularly in the judiciary and in ease of doing business in the bureaucracy)* Fine-tuning and customization: for the needs of the Indian context, e.g. multi-linguality under Bhashini* Compute infrastructure: GPUs, sovereign and protected indian datasets* Sovereign Small-Language Models such as Sarvam AIAs mentioned above, at the moment India's data is being sucked up for free by US Big Tech. In addition, there is the real danger that Indic Knowledge Systems will be mined and digested, as has happened to yoga, pranayama, etc., which have been given Western analogs and nomenclature, as in Pilates, ‘coherent breathing' etc.These two problems are connected, and both need to be tackled in parallel. Social media is being weaponized against India, and this is magnified by the legacy media in a positive feedback loop. Three examples: one was the rage against Adani based on the dubious research of Hindenburg, which then went under; the second is Bloomberg's reckless accusation about gold reserves being sold by the RBI, which they were forced to retract, but social media and Wikipedia will remember it; the third is the meteoric (media) rise of the Cockroach Janata Party.Trade using major ports, Digital Public Infrastructure and a blue water navyUsing trade for competitive advantage is an age-old tactic. The trade tiffs between the US and China are examples of this: we are witnessing war by other means. Many nations are getting into this act, and India does have some advantages, partly based on geography. Maritime trade is likely to continue to be the key, which makes naval chokepoints the big story, but not the only story to watch out for.The major aspects of maritime trade include infrastructure, the digital “multi-protocol switch”, and security. On the one hand, India is developing not only major container ports, and the road/rail links to get to them, and the industrial goods to ship out through them, but also a serious shipbuilding industry, which was one of India's historical strengths. Then it used to be stitched wooden ships (teak beams lashed together with coconut rope). Now it's modern steel ships.There are the big, efficient new ports, which can now turn ships around with Singapore-like efficiency; the proposed third aircraft carrier group which will make it possible to patrol the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal at the time; the Air-Independent Propulsion diesel submarines and nuclear submarines that can monitor (and if necessary, deny) narrow straits; the sale of supersonic Brahmos cruise missiles to the Philippines, Vietnam and Indonesia (and Cyprus) that create ship-denial zones: all this is muscle.And the final piece, the ‘software' for trade, the “multi-protocol switch”. This last is complicated. Its value is underestimated by many. But this is what enables friction-less transactions between various unrelated parties. The India Stack and the Digital Public Infrastructure can be utilized to provide such a facility. But it is complex enough to need significant study as to what is possible, and how to roll it out.Second-order effectsIn closing, it is worth considering some of what the (unintended) consequences of these proposals may be. Let us note that the G2 has no interest in allowing India to grow and make it a G3. They will do everything in their power to kneecap India, by all means possible.There is also a certain derision for India in some circles. Here is a generic western opinion on why China got rich, and India didn't. Well, the author doesn't consider the second-order effects of the wholesale destruction of Chinese civilization: that is a tradeoff Indians may not prefer for themselves. We all know how China's well-intentioned One Child Policy turned into demographic collapse within a few years. Besides, as The Economist asks, “China is innovative. Its economy is a mess. Which will win out?”This is why I think planning for these second-order effects is important. We tend to ignore them because they seem counterintuitive or unlikely, but Nassim Taleb has sensitized us to how low-probability Black Swan events can have grave consequences.As an example, attempting digital sovereignty may have unwelcome side-effects: Big Tech have the first-mover advantage and network effects and there are increasing returns to scale. They will surely make it hard for a new player to break in. Besides, the large investments in data centers and GCCs that they are making in India would make it very difficult for them to be ejected with a “Great Indian Firewall”.Even taxing their capture of Indian data will be complicated; not to mention that they have demonstrated that they can happily violate copyright laws with no consequence; therefore they will find ways to chew up and spit out Indian Knowledge Systems, and essentially re-colonize India. Digital colonialism is not a threat, it is a reality today, and it is a consequence of the relatively open Indian system.In addition, there is a malign group, the “barbarians within” as Arnold Toynbee once put it, who are ready to sacrifice Indian sovereignty for a pittance.Given all this, it will be very difficult to put in place serious measures to gain digital independence; and the narrative-peddling is likely to gain further momentum: just consider the caste allegations that have haunted BAPS in the US (despite the cases being dismissed by the US DoJ), the Cisco Systems case where, again, the case was dismissed, but the narrative continues, and the persistent efforts in various US states to turn caste into a weapon to bludgeon Indians.Another sensitive issue is that of the multi-protocol switch for trade. While from an Indian point of view, it eases trade and harks back to a Golden Age of Indic maritime commerce, but that will be viewed elsewhere very differently, for instance by the US as an attempt to de-dollarize. The US has jealousy guarded – with very good reasons that we will not go into here – the dollar's reserve currency status.We have also seen what happened to those who attempt to hurt the dollar's primacy: in 1985, the Plaza Accord devalued the dollar, and that was a body blow to Japan's economy, which has not recovered its mojo to this day. Later, Iraq's Saddam Hussein and Libya's Muammar Gaddafi both had ideas about replacing the petro-dollar with, respectively, the Euro and a new pan-African gold-backed currency. We know what happened to them.If the India Stack multi-protocol switch is perceived as an alternative to the US dollar, there may be grave consequences. Therefore, it should be conceived and deployed only as an adjunct to it and to the almighty SWIFT settlement system.ConclusionIndia is at a crossroads now. Even though the Hormuz closure is a serious problem, if it plays its cards right, adversity can be turned into opportunity across a variety of perspectives. The key is Atmanirbhar, self-reliance. If India can now implement a crash program of industrial policy, and at the same time overcome an ingrained Third-World tendency to cut corners, it can finally break free of the years of underperformance, what I called the Nehruvian Penalty in 2004.It is possible, but there are caveats: unforeseen consequences. Hic sunt dracones. Here be dragons. Be afraid. Be very afraid.3700 words, 7 June 2026This is episode 192 of the Shadow Warrior podcast. Here is a companion AI-generated slideshow. (Note that the borders of India are not necessarily depicted correctly here, because it is generated by an AI, notebookLM.google.com) This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit rajeevsrinivasan.substack.com/subscribe

LISTEN and SUBSCRIBE on:Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/watchdog-on-wall-street-with-chris-markowski/id570687608 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2PtgPvJvqc2gkpGIkNMR5i WATCH and SUBSCRIBE on:https://www.youtube.com/@WatchdogOnWallstreet/featured  Chris uses Nassim Taleb's famous “Turkey Problem” to explain one of the biggest mistakes investors make: believing the future will always look like the past. From a shocking World Cup upset to the collapse of once-untouchable companies like Enron and GE, he shows how unexpected "Black Swan" events can destroy even the most confident predictions. The lesson? No matter how certain an investment appears, concentration risk can be devastating. Diversification isn't about predicting the future—it's about surviving the surprises nobody sees coming.

  Thank you for tuning in to Episode 322 of the Down Cellar Studio Podcast. Full show notes with photos can be found on my website. This week's segments included:   Off the Needles, Hook or Bobbins On the Needles, Hook or Bobbins From the Armchair KAL News Events On a Happy Note Quote of the Week   Off the Needles, Hook or Bobbins   Miles' Dump Truck Pattern: Dump Truck by by AnvisionCrochet (crochet pattern for sale on Ravelry & Etsy) Yarn: Big Twist Value Solids Hook: C (2.75 mm) Ravelry Project Page   Merry Christmas Kevin Pattern: OMG Heel Socks by Megan Williams ($5 knitting pattern available on Ravelry) Needles: US 1.5 (2.5 mm) Yarn: Legacy Fiber Artz, Steel Toes in the Merry Christmas, Kevin colorway Ravelry Project Page   Midnight Orchid Socks Pattern: OMG Heel Socks by Megan Williams ($5 knitting pattern available on Ravelry) Needles: US 1.5 (2.5 mm) Yarn: Patons Kroy Stripes in the Midnight Orchid colorway Ravelry Project Page   On the Needles, Hook or Bobbins   Goldwing Sweater Pattern: Goldwing by Jennifer Steingass ($8 knitting pattern available on Ravelry) Needles: US 6 (4.0mm) for body and US 5 (3.75 mm) for rolled neck Yarn: Valley Superwash DK in Sand (MC) and handspun from Wound Up Fiber Arts for CC (Ravelry page for handspun details) Ravelry Project Page Progress: I'm working on the colorwork yoke   Pollen Party Socks Yarn: Hypnotic Yarn Plush Sock in the Pollen Party colorway + 20g mini (I think it's Legacy Fiber Artz mini) Pattern: OMG Heel Socks by Megan Williams ($5 knitting pattern available on Ravelry) Needles: US 1.5 (2.5 mm) Ravelry Project Page Progress: I'm well into the foot of the second sock.   Mine! Socks Yarn:  Woolens & Nosh SW Targhee Fingering (90 SW Targhee, 10% Nylon)  in the colorway- Mine! aka A Gull Takes Off with Bluberry Pattern: OMG Heel Socks by Megan Williams ($5 knitting pattern available on Ravelry) Needles: US 1.5 (2.5 mm) Ravelry Project Page About the Colorway: Nemo Reference- thin white stripes with wider colorful stripes in between Orange, aqua, yellow, navy, light gray. May 2025 Club Colorway. Navy mini Almost to heel of sock 1   From the Armchair   Books Beautyland by Marie-Helene Bertino. Amazon Affiliate Link. (You may enjoy this- Beautyland Review) Almost Life by Kiran Millwood Hargrave. Amazon Affiliate Link. Strangers: A Memoir of Marriage by Belle Burden. Amazon Affiliate Link. Check out this link to a Guardian article about the book. John of John by Douglas Stewart. Amazon Affiliate Link.   Musical: Black Swan at American Repertory Theater   Note: Some links are listed as Amazon Affiliate Links. If you click those, please know that I am an Amazon Associate and I earn money from qualifying purchases.   KAL News Splash Pad Party '26 Details Event runs 5/22-7/31 Splash Pad Party Registration is open as of 5/1 View Stats and/or Verify Registration here. Check out our Sponsor List Splash Pad '26 Official Rules Enter your FOs using the Summer Celebration Form. Then come over to this Ravelry Thread to share pics and let us ooh and ahh with you! Submit something incorrectly? Need help? Fill out this Support Form & we'll be in touch. Find official SPP'26 images you can use on social media in this Google folder.   Splash Pad RAVELRY Links Start Here Thread Pro Shop Exclusive Items Thread Coupon Codes Thread Questions Thread   A few fun highlights from the June Poolside Chat Broken Jack socks knit up by Ravelry user KBamr- Check out the Ravelry Project Page here. PAKnitWit shared a handy video for the Tubular Cast On using scrap yarn in this Ravelry Post. SammichStitches is working on a Persian Tiles Blanket and got all of the pieces done- ready to seam up and wow is it beautiful. Check out this Ravelry Post. Lmecoll shared a test knit sock for Chit Chat Knits- check it out in this Ravelry Post. They're called the Summer Sizzle Socks.   Events July 31-August 1: Flock Fiber Festival in Seattle, WA August 8- FIber Revival in Newbury, MA September 12 & 13: Boston Fiber Festival in Boston, MA (full or half day passes, or 2 day passes) September 19 & 20: Adirondack Wool & Arts Festival in Greenwich, NY October 17 & 18: NY State Sheep & Wool Festival in Rhinebeck, NY November 7: Fiber Festival of New England in Springfield, MA   On a Happy Note Seeing Riley off to Prom and attending her high school graduation! Visiting with Vikki, in from Las Vegas. Miles' second birthday party. Aila's voice recital and then a girls shopping trip to follow with Megg, Kris, Riley and Aila. An absolutely splendid birthday! Seeing all the kids in their recitals this weekend. My brother did the father/daughter dance with Riley in her last recital. I blubbered through most of it. We then danced the night away at our twin friends' 50th birthday party. Brunch before Black Swan with Megg and Rose. $18 bottomless brunch (food- not alcohol) at The Painted Burro in Harvard Square is so delicious! Great conversions.   Quote of the Week   "Heroes didn't leap tall buildings or stop bullets with an outstretched hand; they didn't wear boots and capes. They bled, and they bruised, and their superpowers were as simple as listening, or loving. Heroes were ordinary people who knew that even if their own lives were impossibly knotted, they could untangle someone else's. And maybe that one act could lead someone to rescue you right back."   ― Jodi Picoult, Second Glance   ------   Thank you for tuning in!   Contact Information: Check out the Down Cellar Studio Patreon! Ravelry: BostonJen & Down Cellar Studio Podcast Ravelry Group Instagram: BostonJen1 YouTube: Down Cellar Studio Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/downcellarstudio Sign up for my email newsletter to get the latest on everything happening in the Down Cellar Studio Check out my Down Cellar Studio YouTube Channel Knit Picks Affiliate Link Bookshop Affiliate Link Yarnable Subscription Box Affiliate Link FearLESS Living Fund to benefit the Blind Center of Nevada Music -"Soft Orange Glow" by Josh Woodward. Free download: http://joshwoodward.com/ Note: Some links are listed as Amazon Affiliate Links. If you click those, please know that I am an Amazon Associate and I earn money from qualifying purchases.  

DJ Maffers 09-06-26. Show Sponsored By The Black Swan Public House Rugby,  On www.bootboyradio.co.uk Please Play, Like, Comment, Follow, Download & Share.

                                                    BLACK SHIRT MIXTAPE                                                       **Episode 123**                                                                                                                                                                Join host Jesse Karassik aka @heyyyyy_jesse as he takes you on a 2 hour sonic journey playing mixtape inspired tracks in a variety of genres- all for your listening (dis)pleasure!   Tracklisting: 1. Season 2 Weight Loss...Harry Styles 2. hate that i made you love me...Ariana Grande 3. Dad is a Bird...Abbreviations 4. Ledge Stone Point...Judge Roy Scream 5. Miramar (The Beautiful Rain)...Judge Roy Scream 6. Cool Buzz...Violet Grohl 7. Dracula (JENNIE & Boys Noize Remix)...Tame Impala 8. Severed...The Decemberists 9. Trying Times...James Blake 10. Punching The Flowers...Death Cab for Cutie 11. Head Over Heels (Talamanca System Tribal Persuasion Remix)...Tears for Fears 12. Black Swan...Thom Yorke 13. Shipwreck...Modeselektor & Thom Yorke 14. Pulk/Pull (True Love Waits Version)...Radiohead 15. Cuttooth...Radiohead 16. Worrywort...Radiohead 17. Fog...Radiohead 18. Like Spinning Plates...Radiohead 19. X-Tasy...The High Violets 20. Pure...Lightning Seeds 21. I Played The Fool...Micheal Stipe & Andrew Watt  

DJ Maffers 06-06-26. Show Sponsored By The Black Swan Public House Rugby. On www.bootboyradio.co.uk Please Play, Like, Comment, Follow, Download & Share.

In Darren Aronofsky's 2010 psychological thriller “Black Swan,” a production of the classical ballet “Swan Lake” becomes an unexpected locus of horror. Now, the story is being reimagined by the American Repertory Theater in another surprising package: a musical.

DJ Maffers 30-05-26. Show Sponsored By The Black Swan Public House Rugby.   On www.bootboyradio.co.uk Please Play, Like, Comment, Follow, Download & Share.

Could crypto be facing its next black swan event? Today, we break down the biggest risks threatening Bitcoin, altcoins, and the broader crypto market, along with the latest crypto news investors need to watch closely. Discover what could trigger major volatility and how it may impact Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and the top altcoin opportunities moving forward.

DJ Maffers, 26-05-26. Show Sponsored By The Black Swan Public House Rugby,  On www.bootboyradio.co.uk Please Play, Like, Comment, Follow, Download & Share.

DJ Maffers 23-05-26. Show Sponsored By The Black Swan Public House, Rugby. On www.bootboyradio.co.uk Please Play, Like, Comment, Follow, Download & Share.

In August 2016, 24-year-old Ashley Byers and 54-year-old Doug Benefield got married just 13 days after meeting. To a hopeless romantic, a whirlwind romance can seem like a dream. From a more practical standpoint, marrying someone you barely know can be perceived as impulsive and reckless. People close to the couple wondered - how well can you know someone in such a short span of time? In this case, it's not clear whether Doug and Ashley's rushed nuptials had anything to do with the relationship's tragic end. And to this day, there remains much debate over the reasons why one of them would end up dead.  Follow Jami on Instagram & TikTok @JamiOnAir and join the Serial Streamers true crime TV club! Subscribe to Jami's YouTube channel: ⁠https://www.youtube.com/@jamionair⁠ Dirty Money Moves: Women in White Collar Crime - Listen on Apple Podcasts: ⁠https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dirty-money-moves-women-in-white-collar-crime/id1619521092⁠. Research and writing by: Alison Schwartz. Want to advertise on this show? We've partnered with Cloud10 Media to handle our advertising requests. If you're interested in advertising on MURDERISH, please send an email to Sahiba Krieger ⁠sahiba@cloud10.fm⁠ and copy ⁠jami@murderish.com⁠.  Visit ⁠Murderish.com⁠ to learn more about the podcast and Creator/Host, Jami, and to view a list of sources for this episode.  Listening to this podcast doesn't make you a murderer, it just means you're murder..ish. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

DJ Maffers 19-05-26. Show Sponsored By The Black Swan Public House, Rugby.  On www.bootboyradio.co.uk. Please Play, Like, Comment, Follow, Download & Share.

Episode 422 of RadioBypass delivers another killer lineup of Rock and Roll that DESERVES to be heard featuring brand new music from Deep Purple, Bad Marriage, Gundriver, Elegant Weapons, Richie Kotzen, Tesla, Dazr, Night Ranger, Jayler, Black Swan, and Acacia Avenue.We're also celebrating the upcoming special one-off May 30th Chicago area performance from The Dead Daisies featuring the legendary Glenn Hughes on vocals and bass. The show will include a set of Dead Daisies music along with a set of Deep Purple classics, so we're cranking up tracks from both Deep Purple and The Dead Daisies featuring Glenn Hughes.Turn it up loud and discover your next favorite rock and roll band on RadioBypass.Playlist:The Dead Daisies - Holy Ground (Shake The Memory)Deep Purple - BurnDeep Purple - Arrogant BoyBad Marriage - VictimsGundriver - One Man ArmyElegant Weapons - Come Back To MeRichie Kotzen - Catch A StarTesla - Spread Your WingsDazr - Down We GoNight Ranger - Don't Tell Me You Love Me (2026)Jayler - Need Your LoveBlack Swan - Carry OnAcacia Avenue - Stand Up And Shout

DJ Maffers 16-05-26. Show Sponsored By The Black Swan Public House Rugby,  On www.bootboyradio.co.uk Please Play, Like, Comment, Follow, Download & Share.

What do the 2000 dot-com crash, the 2008 Great Financial Crisis, and the 2022 interest rate shock have in common? They wiped many multifamily operators out. Dwight Dunton survived all three. As founder and CEO of Bonaventure, Dwight and his team are responsible for $2.8 billion in assets under management (AUM). But Dwight didn't start a fund, raise capital, and figure it out as he went. He learned to grow and protect his own money first. At just 25 years old, while his peers chased flashy internet stocks, Dwight acquired a 378-unit apartment community. He was stepping into a struggling asset that demanded sizable improvements and millions in repairs, but this experience provided a crash course in operations, value-add investing, and asset management. Dwight says to become an old, rich investor, you've got to 1. get old and 2. not get wiped out along the way. So, he focuses on “asymmetric” investing opportunities that have capped downside but plenty of upside for good operators. Then, he further de-risks these assets by insourcing the things most operators would outsource.   In today's conversation, we discuss all of this—the power of vertical integration, protecting assets and capital through downturns, and why long-term, buy-and-hold investing remains the surest path to generational wealth. Insights from today's episode: - How Dwight protects his assets and capital with “anti-wipeout” investing - The keys to building a business that can survive any “Black Swan” event - Acquiring and managing a 378-unit apartment community at 25 years old - How to dramatically improve revenue with vertical integration - Why supply constraint, not job growth, is the surprising main driver of multifamily success — Connect with Dwight on LinkedIn   Bonaventure   Internet Subway   Vest Residential Recommended Resources: - Accredited Investors, you're invited to Join the Cash Flow Investor Club to learn how you can partner with Kevin Bupp on current and upcoming opportunities to create passive cash flow and build wealth. Join the Club! - If you're a high-net-worth investor with capital to deploy in the next 12 months and you want to build passive income and wealth with a trusted partner, go to InvestWithKB.com for opportunities to invest in real estate projects alongside Kevin and his team.  - Looking for the ultimate guide to passive investing? Grab a copy of my latest book, The Cash Flow Investor at KevinBupp.com.  Tap into a wealth of free information on Commercial Real Estate Investing by listening to past podcast episodes at KevinBupp.com/Podcast. 00:00 Intro 00:45 Buying 370+ Units at 25 07:09 Surviving (& Winning) in 2008 11:17 Don't Get Wiped Out! 18:12 Buy-and-Hold (Forever!) 23:20 Vertical Integration 101 32:40 What's Next for Dwight? 37:27 Connect with Dwight!

DJ Maffers 12-05-26. Show Sponsored By The Black Swan Public House, Rugby, Warwickshire. On www.bootboyradio.co.uk Please Play, Like, Comment, Follow, Download & Share.

Jem delves into the art of Ballet and the film Black Swan.Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/condensed-histories. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Pop culture has been full of Jekylls and Hydes: Bruce Banner and The Hulk, Norman Bates and Mother, Walter White and Heisenberg, The Nutty Professor and Buddy Love. They all echo the archetype that Robert Lous Stevenson established 140 years ago in The Strange Case of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde. I explore at how these variations reflect different ideas about duality, depending on how “bad” the Hydes are and what the Jekylls choose to do about their alter egos. Lewis University professor Jamil Mustafa draws parallels between the original 1886 novel and modern stories like Twin Peaks, Fight Club, and Black Swan. Plus, I talk with Yannie ten Broeke, who teaches psychology at Touro University, about why the Jekyll and Hyde archetype reflects how little we understand our own minds. This episode is sponsored by There Is No Antimemetics Division, the national bestselling science-fiction horror novel by qntm. Get your copy now wherever books and audiobooks are sold. To support the show, you can donate on Patreon where you get access to the ad-free version and our companion show Between Imaginary Worlds. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

What's the cost of being perfect? Of losing yourself in the name of performance? Why do we applaud women's pain? The film Black Swan sets the stage for a conversation around the line between art and life, toxic mother-daughter relationships, mental health, symbolism, doppelgangers, ageism, orgasms, and the dangers of perfectionism. We discuss in this classic episode.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.