Podcasts about incerto

«La democracia se convertiría en la estrategia para transferir recursos militares al estado. La democracia de masas se convirtió en la nueva soberanía. Todos los que alcanzaron la mayoría de edad en el siglo XX fueron inculcados en los deberes y obligaciones del ciudadano. Los imperativos morales residuales de la era industrial estimularán ataques neoluditas a las tecnologías de la información». El individuo soberano no es un libro, es una profecía. CitizenX es un proyecto de autodefensa. Me gustaría anunciar un proyecto personal: ⁠El proyecto K⁠. Diseña tu propia cartera Pablo González Vidal fue el invitado número 148 al podcast de Kapital. Me llamó la atención su tono tranquilo y pausado describiendo las trampas del sector bancario. Pensé que podríamos trabajar juntos así que le escribí y ahora lanzamos El Proyecto K, una formación online en diseño de carteras. Nuestro objetivo es que, contándote de forma práctica todo lo que necesitas saber, te construyas tú mismo una cartera de bajo coste y diversificada, ahorrándote la comisión de esos lobos disfrazados de cordero que son los family bankers. Una comisión de gestión del 2% sobre un capital de 50.000 representa una injustificable losa anual de 1.000 euros. Creemos que saldrás ganando si te cocinas la cartera tú mismo y te explicaremos en el taller cómo hacerlo. El aforo está completo para la primera edición pero si te estás interesado escríbeme por correo o Twitter que en febrero abriremos nuevas plazas. Patrocina Kapital. Toda la información en este link. Índice: 1:46 Un mercado de ciudadanías, no pasaportes. 13:03 El poder de los estados. 20:01 El muro de la vergüenza. 24:45 Principio de precaución. 30:14 La doble nacionalidad como una opción abierta. 36:51 No es dumping fiscal, es competencia perfecta. 43:02 La privatización de los países. 48:01 Refugios, no paraísos. 55:31 Las externalidades, positivas y negativas, del capital extranjero. 1:08:22 ¿Puedo vender mi nacionalidad? 1:12:29 La privacidad que solo ofrece el bitcoin. 1:26:01 La futura confiscación de activos en Europa. 1:33:34 Desde John McAfee hasta Pavel Durov. 1:43:16 La vida es demasiado difícil en Londres. 1:48:04 La responsabilidad individual de protegerte. Apuntes: The ultimate guide to citinzenship. Alex Recouso. El individuo soberano. William Rees-Mogg & James Dale Davison. The network state. Balaji Srinivasan. Incerto. Nassim Nicholas Taleb. La increíble historia de la Isla de las Rosas. Sydney Sibilia. Securitize citizenship! Naval Ravikant.

Oggi alle camere le comunicazione della Presidente del Consiglio in vista del Consiglio europeo, dando vita ad uno scontro acceso con le opposizioni. In seguito il Presidente della Repubblica Sergio Mattarella, durante il tradizionale scambio di auguri con le alte cariche delle Istituzioni si è soffermato su questo difficile periodo storico. Con noi Barbara Fiammeri, commentatrice politica del Sole 24 Ore. Siria, trovata una nuova fossa comune con resti di migliaia di corpi. Parliamo di questo e del futuro che si sta delineando nel Paese con Lorenzo Trombetta, senior analist per ANSA e LIMES sul Medio Oriente.Luca Lucci, nuovo arresto per il capo ultrà del Milan per traffico internazionale di stupefacenti. Ne parliamo con Pippo Russo, sociologo e giornalista sportivo.Coppa Italia, in campo Juventus-Cagliari. Tutti gli aggiornamenti dal nostro Dario Ricci.

Ep. 140Crisi in Corea del Sud: legge marziale, impeachment e un futuro incerto.Con Francesco Radicioni, corrisponde dall'Asia di Radio Radicale

O comentarista esportivo da SBS em Português no Brasil, Luciano Borges, convida o jornalista e comentarista da ESPN, Eugênio Leal, para uma análise da seleção brasileira em 2024, sob o comando do técnico Dorival Junior, e o que esperar dos jogadores e do treinador para 2025.

Menos de duas semanas após uma ofensiva relâmpago de um grupo rebelde tomar a cidade de Aleppo, o ditador Bashar al-Assad deixou a Síria às pressas e escondido. Desde 27 de novembro, rebeldes do Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) avançaram pelo território sírio até chegar, sem resistência, à capital Damasco. Assad está asilado em Moscou, país que apoiou seu regime até o último momento. De lá, ele teria ordenado que haja uma "transição pacífica de poder". Em Damasco, Abu Mohammed al-Golani, líder do grupo rebelde HTS, foi aclamado ao fazer o discurso da vitória, na Mesquita de Omíadas – um dos lugares mais sagrados do islamismo. Ele prometeu moderação, mas não deixou claro qual será a composição do novo governo. Neste episódio, Natuza Nery ouve o relato de Germando Assad, jornalista brasileiro especializado em Oriente Médio. Germano, que morou no país entre 2010 e 2011, relembra como era a vida na capital, a dura política de repressão de Bashar al-Assad e os dias em que ficou preso pelo regime. Participa também Guga Chacra comentarista da Globo, da GloboNews e da rádio CBN, e colunista do jornal O Globo, que explica a velocidade da ofensiva dos rebeldes na Síria e faz o perfil do líder al-Golani.

Seca gera escassez inédita em cinco grandes bacias hidrográficas do Brasil e Botafogo garante título do Brasileiro na última rodadaSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Il #milan in vista della #championsleague fa i conti con la tremenda classifica della #seriea: davanti vincono e la vetta è un miraggio...Diventa un supporter di questo podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/radio-rossonera--2355694/support.

Le dimissioni di Carlos Tavares da Stellantis e l'inizio degli scioperi contro la chiusura annunciata da Volkswagen di alcune fabbriche rappresentano bene lo stato del settore in Europa.Ne parliamo con Vittoria Ferraris, Sector lead Automotive EMEA di S&P Global Ratings e Luca Benecchi, inviato de Il Sole 24 ORE.

La tredicesima giornata di Serie A va in archivio con due sfide salvezza andate in scena di lunedì. Colpo del Lecce che sbanca Venezia per 1-0 grazie a una rete di Dorgu.

Mille giorni di guerra in Ucraina. Un conflitto che negli ultimi giorni sembra aver subito una accelerazione; se da un lato i russi continuano a premere facendo registrare nel mese di ottobre il maggior avanzamento da marzo 2022, sul versante politico Kiev deve fare i conti con l'elezione di Donald Trump ed il rischio che il supporto degli Usa venga a mancare, o comunque ad affievolirsi.Iscriviti e segui "Notizie dall'Ucraina": YouTube: https://bit.ly/3FqWppn Spreaker: https://bit.ly/42g2ONG Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/3JE1OMi Spotify: https://spoti.fi/40bpm0v Amazon Music: https://amzn.to/40HVQ37 Audible: https://bit.ly/4370ARc     I podcast Adnkronos: Eurofocus: https://www.adnkronos.com/speciali/eurofocus_europa/  Fa notizia da 60 anni: https://www.adnkronos.com/speciali/adnkronos60_podcast/  Aggiungi contatto: https://www.adnkronos.com/speciali/aggiungi_contatto/  Notizie dall'Ucraina: https://www.adnkronos.com/speciali/notizie_ucraina/  Israele sotto attacco: https://www.adnkronos.com/speciali/israele_sotto_attacco/  Le Storie, La Storia: https://www.adnkronos.com/speciali/le_storie_la_storia/  Sanremo Express: https://www.adnkronos.com/speciali/sanremo_podcast_2024   Resta in contatto con noi: https://www.adnkronos.com/  https://x.com/Adnkronos  https://www.facebook.com/AgenziaAdnKronos  https://www.instagram.com/adnkronos_/   Ph: AFP  Musiche su licenza Machiavelli Music.  AdKey:zP-94qNWQqj3XM 

O Ryujinx, o outro emulador grande de Switch fora do Yuzu derrubado no começo do ano, foi agora o alvo da Nintendo. As circunstâncias são diferentes, assim como o motivo do encerramento, mas seja como for, o projeto do Ryujinx exatamente como era não existe mais. O episódio também tem mais conversas sobre o estado da Ubisoft diante de detalhes do adiamento de Assasin's Creed Shadows e vendas de Star Wars Outlaws.Participantes:Guilherme JacobsHeitor De PaolaAssuntos abordados:00:00 - Ghost of Minas, Citizencon e Folia a Dois17:00 - A Nintendo foi atrás do Ryujinx30:00 - Mais detalhes do adiamento de Assassin's Creed Shadows e o estado da Ubisoft47:00 - Rápidas e curtasVenha fazer parte do Discord do Overloadr! Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

O Ryujinx, o outro emulador grande de Switch fora do Yuzu derrubado no começo do ano, foi agora o alvo da Nintendo. As circunstâncias são diferentes, assim como o motivo do encerramento, mas seja como for, o projeto do Ryujinx exatamente como era não existe mais. O episódio também tem mais conversas sobre o estado da Ubisoft diante de detalhes do adiamento de Assasin's Creed Shadows e vendas de Star Wars Outlaws.Participantes:Guilherme JacobsHeitor De PaolaAssuntos abordados:00:00 - Ghost of Minas, Citizencon e Folia a Dois17:00 - A Nintendo foi atrás do Ryujinx30:00 - Mais detalhes do adiamento de Assassin's Creed Shadows e o estado da Ubisoft47:00 - Rápidas e curtasVenha fazer parte do Discord do Overloadr! Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Levantamento do instituto Paraná Pesquisas divulgado nesta nesta terça-feira, 1º de outubro, indica oscilação positiva de intenções de voto para Pablo Marçal (PRTB). O influenciador também apareceu com viés de alta nas últimas pesquisas publicadas por Datafolha, Quaest, AtlasIntel e Real Time Big Data.Meio-dia em Brasília traz as principais informações da manhã e os debates que vão agitar o dia na capital federal e do mundo.  Apoie o jornalismo Vigilante: 10% de desconto para audiência do Meio-Dia em Brasília   https://bit.ly/meiodiaoa  Acompanhe O Antagonista no canal do WhatsApp.  Boletins diários, conteúdos exclusivos em vídeo e muito mais.   https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029Va2S...   Ouça O Antagonista | Crusoé quando quiser nos principais aplicativos de podcast.  Leia mais em www.oantagonista.com.br | www.crusoe.com.br 

O ano de 2025 para o setor cafeeiro ainda é rodeado de incertezas. Ainda que exista a previsão de chuvas para outubro, os impactos da seca nos últimos meses ainda assustam. O economista Haroldo Bonfá, da Pharos Consultoria, chama a atenção para as exportações. Em setembro serão mais de 4 milhões de sacas embarcadas e a tendência é que o mês seguinte siga a mesma média. Contudo, se as perdas nas lavouras forem expressivas, fica a seguinte dúvida: o Brasil conseguirá atender a demanda de café exigida?

Learn from history's Greatest Minds — and find Timeless ideas you can apply to business and life. Every episode we explore a Lindy book: We strive to become polymaths like our investing and business icons, pulling the Big Ideas from a wide range of disciplines. For the curious-minded seeking Worldly Wisdom. Join 3,000+ others by subscribing @ rationalvc.com to get free access to essays and exclusive content. For the video version of this episode click here. A rare episode where we invited guests to join us, in this case due to the book being a unique format and also wrapping up our entire 5-episode Incerto Series. We discussed the application of the Incerto teachings in the real world, with two of the biggest Incerto practitioners we know. Timestamps: (00:00) Intro (08:57) Our Favourite Aphorisms (16:04) Special Guests Join & Their Intros (17:59) Dangers of Monthly Salary (24:25) Golden Handcuffs, Legacy vs. Lifestyle (28:00) Our DNA as Hunter-Gatherers (31:50) Learn Sales Before Technical Skills (36:00) Practice Before Theory (37:04) Conventional Education (43:00) Convexity, Agency, & Mediocristan (57:21) More Aphorisms (1:00:19) Ergodicity, Rationality & Survival (1:08:32) Venture Capital & Startups (1:23:53) Asymmetry of Information, & Honour (1:29:20) Bureaucracy (1:34:05) Fat Tony (1:43:11) Small Bets (2:09:51) Via Negativa & Making Money Online (2:18:19) Gathering Vs. Elicitation Mindset (2:21:52) Incerto Practice in the Real World (2:31:06) Closing Thoughts — Our website (all essays and podcasts): rationalvc.com Our investment fund: rational.fund Cyrus' Twitter: x.com/CyrusYari Iman's Twitter: x.com/iman_olya — Guests: Daniel Vassallo's Twitter: x.com/dvassallo  Seb Lees' Twitter: x.com/sebs_tweets  Daniel's company: smallbets.com Seb's Podcast & Community: fattonys.net — Disclaimer: The materials provided are solely for informational or entertainment purposes and do not constitute investment or legal advice. All opinions expressed by hosts and guests are solely their own opinions and do not reflect the opinion of their employer(s). #Timeless #wisdom #knowledge #books #polymaths

Host Riccardo Cosentino explores untapped knowledge in project management, drawing from his Oxford insights. This episode of Navigating Major Programmes delves into integrating social sciences and complex adaptive systems, addressing how minor changes can lead to significant impacts due to project complexity. Join Riccardo as he navigates through the complexities of project management, offering innovative solutions to embrace and manage these challenges effectively in a new mini series: The Science of Complexity. Could your approach to project management be outdated?"I am convinced that, although we have achieved many incredible things already as project leaders and managers, there's something missing, something that's already out there in the world's knowledge that we're not using well enough." – Riccardo Cosentino Steps for improving the management and understanding of complex, large-scale infrastructure projects:Step one: Social sciences and complex adaptive systems.Step two: Systems thinking.Step three: A Betagon chart.Step four: Finding a success criterion.Step five: Network graphs.Step six: Higher level network graphs.Step seven: Digital twins.Step eight: The Incerto.Step nine: Digital twins.Step ten: Composable systems.Step eleven: Semantics and Ontologies Mentioned Links:  The Fifth Discipline: The Art & Practice of The Learning Organization (Recommended Reading)Amazon.caAmazon.comHow Understanding Systems Thinking Changed My Career (Riccardo's LinkedIn Article)Organizing for Work (Recommended Reading) Amazon.caAmazon.comNassim Nicholas Taleb's Published Works (Recommended Incerto Reading)Amazon.caAmazon.comDigital Construction Ontologies   If you enjoyed this episode, make sure and give us a five star rating and leave us a review on iTunes, Podcast Addict, Podchaser or Castbox. The conversation doesn't stop here—connect and converse with our LinkedIn community: Follow Navigating Major Programmes on LinkedInFollow Riccardo Cosentino on LinkedInRead Riccardo's latest at wwww.riccardocosentino.com Music: "A New Tomorrow" by Chordial Music. Licensed through PremiumBeat.DISCLAIMER: The opinions, beliefs, and viewpoints expressed by the hosts and guests on this podcast do not necessarily represent or reflect the official policy, opinions, beliefs, and viewpoints of Disenyo.co LLC and its employees.

Nuno Gouveia considera que a Convenção Democrata foi feita para consagrar Kamala Harris. Os maiores obstáculos da candidata, sublinha o especialista em Relações Internacionais, estão ainda por vir.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

rational vc Key Takeaways Check out the Rational VC websiteRead the full notes @ podcastnotes.orgLearn from history's Greatest Minds — and find Timeless ideas you can apply to business and life. Every episode we explore a Lindy book: We strive to become polymaths like our investing and business icons, pulling the Big Ideas from a wide range of disciplines to help us become better investors and operators. For the curious-minded seeking Worldly Wisdom. Join 3,000+ others by subscribing @ rationalvc.com to get free access to essays and exclusive content. For the video version of this episode click here. Timestamps: (00:00) Intro (08:16) Core Concepts (12:10) Important Prologue One (29:10) Important Prologue Two (45:04) Prologue Three (49:42) A First Look at Agency (1:05:00) Ethics Problems in Scaling (1:09:00) The Minority Rule (1:29:40) Employment & FU Money, Freedom (1:47:26) Status, Manners & Competence (1:49:55) On Taking Risks (1:55:35) The Intellectual Yet Idiot (2:04:17) The Lindy Effect Recap (2:09:10) Deeper Into Agency (2:11:58) The Illusion of Business Plans (2:15:00) Charlie Munger, Show Rather Than Be (2:17:15) Financial Minimalism, Mimesis (2:24:22) Virtues & Advice for Young People (2:26:37) The Interventionistas (2:28:36) Religion, Belief, & SITG (2:31:10) Most Important, Book 8: Risk & Rationality (2:51:05) Epilogue — Our website (all essays and podcasts): rationalvc.com Our investment fund: rational.fund Cyrus' Twitter: x.com/CyrusYari Iman's Twitter: x.com/iman_olya — Referenced Material: Cyrus on "Financial Minimalism", Viral Essay: https://www.rationalvc.com/articles/minimalism Also listen to the prior three podcast episodes - each covered the other books of Taleb's Incerto Series. — Disclaimer: The materials provided are solely for informational or entertainment purposes and do not constitute investment or legal advice. All opinions expressed by hosts and guests are solely their own opinions and do not reflect the opinion of their employer(s). #Timeless #wisdom #knowledge #books #polymaths

rational vc Key Takeaways Check out the Rational VC websiteRead the full notes @ podcastnotes.orgLearn from history's Greatest Minds — and find Timeless ideas you can apply to business and life. Every episode we explore a Lindy book: We strive to become polymaths like our investing and business icons, pulling the Big Ideas from a wide range of disciplines to help us become better investors and operators. For the curious-minded seeking Worldly Wisdom. Join 3,000+ others by subscribing @ rationalvc.com to get free access to essays and exclusive content. For the video version of this episode click here. Timestamps: (00:00) Intro (08:16) Core Concepts (12:10) Important Prologue One (29:10) Important Prologue Two (45:04) Prologue Three (49:42) A First Look at Agency (1:05:00) Ethics Problems in Scaling (1:09:00) The Minority Rule (1:29:40) Employment & FU Money, Freedom (1:47:26) Status, Manners & Competence (1:49:55) On Taking Risks (1:55:35) The Intellectual Yet Idiot (2:04:17) The Lindy Effect Recap (2:09:10) Deeper Into Agency (2:11:58) The Illusion of Business Plans (2:15:00) Charlie Munger, Show Rather Than Be (2:17:15) Financial Minimalism, Mimesis (2:24:22) Virtues & Advice for Young People (2:26:37) The Interventionistas (2:28:36) Religion, Belief, & SITG (2:31:10) Most Important, Book 8: Risk & Rationality (2:51:05) Epilogue — Our website (all essays and podcasts): rationalvc.com Our investment fund: rational.fund Cyrus' Twitter: x.com/CyrusYari Iman's Twitter: x.com/iman_olya — Referenced Material: Cyrus on "Financial Minimalism", Viral Essay: https://www.rationalvc.com/articles/minimalism Also listen to the prior three podcast episodes - each covered the other books of Taleb's Incerto Series. — Disclaimer: The materials provided are solely for informational or entertainment purposes and do not constitute investment or legal advice. All opinions expressed by hosts and guests are solely their own opinions and do not reflect the opinion of their employer(s). #Timeless #wisdom #knowledge #books #polymaths

O 1° turno das eleições parlamentares colocou a extrema-direita em primeiro lugar, muito perto de formar maioria e conseguir controlar o legislativo francês. Agora, o centro (ligado ao presidente Emmanuel Macron) e a esquerda costuram um acordo para tentar barrar o avanço do partido comandado por Marine Le Pen. O resultado dessa eleição antecipada tem gosto de mais uma derrota para o presidente francês - que fez uma manobra arriscada ao convocar a população para a votação depois do avanço da extrema-direita em outra eleição, a para o Parlamento Europeu. Para entender o resultado das urnas e o futuro político francês, Natuza Nery conversa com o cientista político Thomás Zicman de Barros. Pesquisador na Universidade do Minho, em Portugal, e da Sciences Po, em Paris, Thomás explica o que pode acontecer com o governo Macron caso o novo premiê do país seja da extrema-direita. Ele analisa ainda o tamanho da vitória do partido de Marine Le Pen no primeiro turno e detalha as dificuldades do centro e da esquerda para reverter o resultado das urnas.

Crescono i dubbi sulla tenuta di Joe Biden dopo il primo confronto televisivo con Donald Trump. Incerto e confuso in alcuni momenti del dibattito, è però sembrato più concreto del rivale su alcune tematiche, come l'immigrazione e la sanità. Ne parliamo con Dino Amenduni, esperto di comunicazione politica, e con Mario Del Pero, docente di Storia internazionale a SciencesPo.

Este boletim traz um resumo das principais notícias do dia na análise de Samuel Possebon, editor chefe da TELETIME.TELETIME é a publicação de referência para quem acompanha o mercado de telecomunicações, tecnologia e Internet no Brasil. Uma publicação independente dedicada ao debate aprofundado e criterioso das questões econômicas, regulatórias, tecnológicas, operacionais e estratégicas das empresas do setor. Se você ainda não acompanha a newsletter TELETIME, inscreva-se aqui (shorturl.at/juzF1) e fique ligado no dia a dia do mercado de telecom. É simples e é gratuito.Você ainda pode acompanhar TELETIME nas redes sociais:Twitter: https://twitter.com/TeletimeNewsLinkedin: shorturl.at/jGKRVInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/teletimenews/Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Teletime/ Google News: shorturl.at/kJU35Ou entre em nosso canal no Telegram: https://t.me/teletimenews Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Questo vasto pacchetto di misure ha l'obiettivo di sostenere la transizione energetica e di azzerare le emissioni nette di gas serra dell'Unione europea entro il 2050, rilanciando allo stesso tempo la crescita economica. Le autorità statunitensi apriranno un'indagine sulla Microsoft, la Nvidia e la OpenAI per stabilire se hanno avuto comportamenti che violano le regole sulla concorrenza nel settore dell'intelligenza artificiale.CONGabriele Crescente, editor di ambiente di Internazionale Piefrancesco Romano, caporedattore di InternazionaleGreen deal: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F2Z7rio5sowIntelligenza Artificiale: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2024-06-06/microsoft-nvidia-to-face-us-antitrust-probes-videoLibro: Oscar e io, di Maria ParrSe ascolti questo podcast e ti piace, abbonati a Internazionale. È un modo concreto per sostenerci e per aiutarci a garantire ogni giorno un'informazione di qualità. Vai su internazionale.it/podcastScrivi a podcast@internazionale.it o manda un vocale a +39 3347063050Consulenza editoriale di Chiara Nielsen.Produzione di Claudio Balboni e Vincenzo De Simone.Musiche di Tommaso Colliva e Raffaele Scogna.Direzione creativa di Jonathan Zenti.

A perturbadora declaração de Donald Trump em tempo global.

O Café com Videogames é gravado às segundas, 9h30 da manhã, lá na twitch.tv/nautiluslink Participantes: Host: Lucas Zavadil | @lucaseduardrz Convidado: hernique | @hernique777 Apoie o projeto e permita que ele continue: apoia.se/nautilus Encontre-nos também nas redes sociais: Discord: bit.ly/DiscordNautilus Twitter: twitter.com/nautiluslink Instagram: instagram.com/nautiluslink

rational vc Key Takeaways  People often underestimate the role of chance in their achievementsMild success can be explainable by skill, but wild success is attributable to variance In the long run, the “lucky” regress to the mean Understand Power Laws when investing; the wins of a few investments make up for the losses on many investments, and then some Survivorship Bias: the tendency to focus on successful individuals without considering those who failed due to random factors The probability of the loss must be judged in connection with the magnitude of the outcome; it is not the likelihood of an event that matters, but the magnitude of the outcome in connection with the likelihood of the event that does  Maximizing the probability of winning does not maximize the expected value from the game The confidence in which you make your decision is more important than the expected value that comes from that decision A mistake is not something to be determined after the fact, but in the light of the information until that point Read the full notes @ podcastnotes.orgEvery podcast episode we explore a Lindy book, and find ideas you can use in business and life. Join 3,000+ curious minds and avid readers @ rationalvc.com to get free access to essays and exclusive content. For the video version of episode click here.   Timestamps: (00:00) Intro / chit-chat (20:11) Randomness & Luck (24:46) Monte Carlo Simulation (31:09) Ergodicity (31:39) Hindsight Bias (38:00) Survivorship Bias (39:50) Asymmetric Bets / John & Nero (49:53) Skewness & Asymmetry (57:19) Pascal's Wager (1:00:53) Induction & Chaos Theory (1:03:22) Chapter 11 (1:08:45) System-1 vs System-2 Thinking (1:10:03) Satisficing (1:20:08) Normative vs Positive Thinking (1:25:52) Signal vs Noise (1:28:20) Heuristics (1:33:45) Final Part of Book (Part 3's Importance) (1:44:41) Favourite Quotes / Our Lives (2:06:11) Final Thoughts - Our website (all essays and podcasts): rationalvc.com  Our investment fund: rational.fund  Cyrus' Twitter: x.com/CyrusYari  Iman's Twitter: x.com/iman_olya -   Disclaimer: The materials provided are solely for informational or entertainment purposes and do not constitute investment or legal advice. All opinions expressed by hosts and guests are solely their own opinions and do not reflect the opinion of their employer(s). #Lindy #knowledge #books

rational vc Key Takeaways  People often underestimate the role of chance in their achievementsMild success can be explainable by skill, but wild success is attributable to variance In the long run, the “lucky” regress to the mean Understand Power Laws when investing; the wins of a few investments make up for the losses on many investments, and then some Survivorship Bias: the tendency to focus on successful individuals without considering those who failed due to random factors The probability of the loss must be judged in connection with the magnitude of the outcome; it is not the likelihood of an event that matters, but the magnitude of the outcome in connection with the likelihood of the event that does  Maximizing the probability of winning does not maximize the expected value from the game The confidence in which you make your decision is more important than the expected value that comes from that decision A mistake is not something to be determined after the fact, but in the light of the information until that point Read the full notes @ podcastnotes.orgEvery podcast episode we explore a Lindy book, and find ideas you can use in business and life. Join 3,000+ curious minds and avid readers @ rationalvc.com to get free access to essays and exclusive content. For the video version of episode click here.   Timestamps: (00:00) Intro / chit-chat (20:11) Randomness & Luck (24:46) Monte Carlo Simulation (31:09) Ergodicity (31:39) Hindsight Bias (38:00) Survivorship Bias (39:50) Asymmetric Bets / John & Nero (49:53) Skewness & Asymmetry (57:19) Pascal's Wager (1:00:53) Induction & Chaos Theory (1:03:22) Chapter 11 (1:08:45) System-1 vs System-2 Thinking (1:10:03) Satisficing (1:20:08) Normative vs Positive Thinking (1:25:52) Signal vs Noise (1:28:20) Heuristics (1:33:45) Final Part of Book (Part 3's Importance) (1:44:41) Favourite Quotes / Our Lives (2:06:11) Final Thoughts - Our website (all essays and podcasts): rationalvc.com  Our investment fund: rational.fund  Cyrus' Twitter: x.com/CyrusYari  Iman's Twitter: x.com/iman_olya -   Disclaimer: The materials provided are solely for informational or entertainment purposes and do not constitute investment or legal advice. All opinions expressed by hosts and guests are solely their own opinions and do not reflect the opinion of their employer(s). #Lindy #knowledge #books

Por que o Botafogo foi dominado em casa e perdeu na estreia da Libertadores, para o Junior Barranquilla? Fábio Matias errou na escalação? Leu mal as mexidas? Qual a responsabilidade individual dos jogadores na atuação apática, diante de quase 40 mil torcedores? A caminhada no torneio está comprometida? Como Artur Jorge pode mudar esse panorama? DÁ O PLAY!

In this today's episode, Patrick Donley (@JPatrickDonley) sits down with our very own Shawn O'Malley and Matthew Gutierrez who are the main drivers of our financial newsletter, We Study Markets. You'll learn what it's been like creating and writing for We Study Markets, who their biggest influences have been, how they structure their own portfolios, what an average day is like for a newsletter writer, and what future plans they have to offer more value to our readers. Shawn O'Malley is the Chief Editor for WSM and has been working on the newsletter since the very first edition in July of 2022. He graduated magna cum laude from Elon University where he studied finance and entrepreneurship. He's an integral part of the TIP team and has grown the newsletter to over 30,000 readers. Matthew Gutierrez is a writer and editor that has reported for The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, and The Washington Post. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in journalism and finance. He has also been critical to the success of the newsletter and has read widely and broadly as he hones the craft of writing.  IN THIS EPISODE, YOU'LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 03:09 - How both Shawn and Matthew got interested in the financial markets. 05:52 - What their first career steps out of college were. 08:32 - What books made the biggest impact on them. 12:09 - How Nassim Taleb's anti-fragile portfolio is structed. 16:10 - Which investors they admire the most and try to emulate. 18:56 - Why it's important to stick with an investment strategy during the downturns. 27:30 - What money moves they would encourage beginning investors to make. 29:02 - How Shawn and Matthew invest their own money. 35:23 - What is via negativa and how can you apply it. 44:10 - What it has been like to work at The Investor's Podcast Network. 50:46 - What it has been like building and growing a newsletter. 51:35 - What a day is like as a newsletter writer. 53:18 - How the newsletter has changed over time. 63:20 - What is We Study Markets Pro and how it can help you. *Disclaimer: Slight timestamp discrepancies may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Kyle and the other community members. Recommended book: Incerto by Nicholas Nassim Taleb. Recommended book: The Psychology of Money by Morgan Housel. Recommended book: Same as Ever by Morgan Housel. Recommended book: The Joys of Compouding by Gautum Baid. Recommended book: The Snowball by Alice Schroeder. Recommended book: Wherever You Go, There You Are by Jon Kabat-Zinn. Check out: MI306: Almanacks and Anthologies w/ Eric Jorgensen | YouTube video. Recommended book: The Almanak of Naval Ravikant by Eric Jorgensen. Recommended book: The Little Book That Beats the Market by Joel Greenblatt. Recommended book: The Warren Buffett Way by Robert Hagstrom. Check out the books mentioned in the podcast here. Enjoy ad-free episodes when you subscribe to our Premium Feed. NEW TO THE SHOW? Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Check out our Millennial Investing Starter Packs. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try Kyle's favorite tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: DeleteMe NerdWallet Meyka Fundrise TurboTax Public NetSuite Connect with Patrick: Twitter   Connect with Shawn: Website  |  Twitter   Connect with Matthew: Website  | Email Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm

Per il fondatore di WikiLeaks Julian Assange il rischio di estradizione negli Stati Uniti è rimandato. L'Alta Corte britannica ha chiesto una serie di rassicurazioni affinché l'incolumità del giornalista australiano possa essere garantita nel caso in cui fosse trasferito negli Stati Uniti.

No podcast ‘Notícia No Seu Tempo', confira em áudio as principais notícias da edição impressa do jornal ‘O Estado de S.Paulo' desta segunda-feira (11/03/2024): Depois de recuar em 2023, os investimentos devem voltar a crescer neste ano no País. Segundo projeção do Fundo Monetário Internacional (FMI), a taxa de investimento deve chegar a 17,6% do Produto Interno Bruto (PIB), ante os 16,5% registrados no ano passado. Na avaliação de economistas ouvidos pelo Estadão, a queda dos juros e a redução das incertezas com os rumos da política econômica favorecem a melhoria do cenário. Isso não deve ser suficiente, porém, para reverter o quadro de fragilidade estrutural do Brasil na área, que dificulta um crescimento mais robusto da economia nos próximos anos. Na média, a taxa de investimento nos países emergentes supera os 30% ao ano.  E mais: Política: Ministério da Saúde contrata empresa acusada de garimpo ilegal na Amazônia Internacional: Centro-direita vence, mas não obtém maioria para liderar em Portugal Economia: Preço em condomínios no entorno de SP tem valorização de 40% Metrópole: Recorde de casos de dengue coloca moradores da Vila Jaguara em alerta  Caderno 2: Zac Efron surpreende no drama ‘Garra de Ferro'See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Le case automobilistiche fanno investimenti record ma gli ordini scontano il divario prezzi

Il direttore Simone Cristao analizza la sconfitta del Milan con passaggio del turno di Europa League dopo Rennes Milan 3-2Diventa un supporter di questo podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/radio-rossonera--2355694/support

O congresso argentino vetou vários artigos do Projeto de Lei de Bases -- na prática esvaziando o seu conteúdo liberalizador --, levando o presidente Javier Milei a retirar o projeto da Câmara. O governo, de certa forma, volta à estaca zero. Quais as perspectivas agora? O que pode ser feito para reconstruir a economia argentina?

Neste episódio de O X do Controle News, Guilherme Dias e PH Lutti Lippe trazem as principais notícias do mundo dos games da semana. Em pauta: vazamentos indicam futuro incerto para o Xbox como empresa de consoles, o sucessor do Switch terá retrocompatibilidade, Disney faz investimento bilionário para Epic criar mundo de entretenimento licenciado e o Call of Duty de 2025 está sem rumo. Contato: contato@xdocontrole.com Siga o @xdocontrole nas outras redes: https://linkme.bio/xdocontrole Timestamps: (00:00:00) Abertura (00:03:33) Morre o Xbox? (00:30:47) Direct do Switch 2 chegando (00:35:05) Disney investe bilhões na Epic (00:40:53) CoD 2025 não tem líder (00:47:02) Notícias rapidinhas (00:50:59) Comentário: "Como gostar do Kojima?" (00:54:12) Comentário: "Jornagames BR é bunda mole" (00:59:33) Comentário: "Vocês jogam retrogames?" (01:05:23) Comentário: "Apaixonado por portáteis" (01:11:34) Aposta Idiota da Semana™ (01:16:32) Encerramento

Hoje nós vamos bater um papo sobre como 2023 foi um ano decepcionante para os smartphones. Sem inovações reais e com aquela sensação de mais do mesmo, os aparelhos parecem ter atingido o limite da criatividade. Será que em 2024 a indústria vai se mexer e trazer algo realmente inovador para o mercado de celulares? Para responder a essas e outras perguntas, eu recebo hoje aqui no Teletransporta o Adriano Ponte, apresentador e especialista em tecnologia aqui do Canaltech. Este é o um formato novo aqui no feed do Porta 101. O TeletransPorta é apresentado por Gustavo Minari e focados em inovação. É o programa que vai levar você para o futuro, mas com um olhar do presente. Entre em contato por: podcast@canaltech.com.br Conheça o Podcast Canaltech. Deixe também uma avaliação no seu dispositivo que isso ajuda bastante. Este programa é um produto do Canaltech, com produção, roteiro e apresentação por Gustavo Minari, edição por Yuri Souza e revisão de Wallace Moté. Capa por Rafael Damini. Trilha de Guilherme Zomer.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Faltam 2 meses para as eleições gerais antecipadas, no próximo dia 10 de março, em Portugal, e poucas vezes a esta distância do voto terá havido tanta incerteza sobre o resultado das eleições e sobre a maioria possível para formar o próximo governo de Portugal.

durée : 00:59:27 - John Zorn - par : Alex Dutilh - Après “Incerto” et “Multiplicities, A Repository of Non-Existent Objects II”, inspiré par les écrits de Gilles Deleuze, John Zorn publie simultanément deux nouveaux albums du même quartet, désormais nommé Incerto. L'un inspiré par Shakespeare, l'autre par la peintre surréaliste Remedios Varo.

Secondo il professore di finanza Max Tani, il 2024 sarà ancora un anno dominato dall'incertezza.

Nesta edição do Podcast Futebol no Mundo, os comentaristas fazem prévia de Brasil x Argentina e dos demais jogos das eliminatórias sul-americanas para a Copa, o que está definido na Euro e mais!

In this episode I had a thought provoking and humorous conversation with Roshan Cariappa, VP of Marketing for Vymo. We discussed the book “Skin in the Game” and the Incerto series of books by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Roshan is a host for “The Startup Operator” podcast. Check out our conversation to hear valuable insights from Roshan on:  How to deal with uncertainty Take risks to amplify rewards Make your message grandmother proof Have soul in the game  Look for the genius within and more.. "Skin in the Game" by Nassim Nicholas Taleb explores the importance of personal accountability and risk-taking in decision-making. Taleb argues that individuals, especially leaders, should have a tangible stake in the outcomes of their choices to ensure responsible and informed decision-making. He critiques systems where decision-makers do not bear the consequences of their actions, emphasizing the need for a connection between decision-makers and the risks involved. Taleb's book delves into the concept of "skin in the game" as a fundamental principle for a robust and resilient society, urging for a more accountable and ethical approach to decision-making in various fields.

Alexandre Garcia comenta o primeiro turno da eleição presidencial argentina e a ação das milícias no Rio, em represália à morte do sobrinho de um chefão miliciano.

In this episode of the HAYVN Hubcast, Nancy Sheed is joined by guest Laura Incerto, the visionary founder of Women for Women.  Women for Women is not your typical networking group. Since it started in 2009, this extraordinary community has seen many meaningful connections and encouraged lasting friendships among women. Together, Nancy and Laura discuss the incredible journey Women for Women has seen in the past 14 years and explore the importance of community and connections.  “One thing women don't need in their lives is more pressure.” - Laura Incerto  Here are three takeaways from this episode:  Open and relaxed gatherings encourage more natural connections  People have a desire to create genuine connections and friendships  Flexibility and adapting to changes allow groups to stay strong  “Age has nothing to do with living your life every day to the fullest.” - Laura Incerto  Laura shares the stories of the group's founding, its remarkable evolution, the inclusivity among its members, and the importance of establishing an environment where women can connect organically and without pressure.  This group is proof that connections can be made among people with extremely different backgrounds and experiences. Their open and inclusive nature has contributed to its growth, and they continue to attract new members every month.  Join Nancy and Laura in this captivating episode as they celebrate the power of authentic connections and the inspiring legacy of Women for Women.  Connect with Laura Incerto:   Facebook  Email  Connect with Nancy:  Website  Facebook  Instagram  LinkedIn  Twitter 

Dopo il timore di essere costretto a lasciare il Paese a fine agosto, il veronese Andrea Tindiani ha ottenuto un Bridging Visa E: tre mesi al massimo in cui potrà rimanere in Australia, nella speranza di un intervento del ministro dell'immigrazione.

O assunto do momento no mundo dos videogames é Starfield e a gente começa essa edição com um apanhado de coisas relacionadas ao jogo. Temos também o burburinho de que alguns desenvolvedores viram o próximo Switch durante a Gamescom, notícias de que a E3 continua perdida e mais.Participantes:Heitor De PaolaAssuntos abordados:03:00 - Um apanhado sobre Starfield22:00 - A E3 continua perdida28:00 - Google testará disponibilizar jogos pelo Youtube33:00 - Rápidas e curtas Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Brought to you by AG1 all-in-one nutritional supplement, Helix Sleep premium mattresses, and LinkedIn Jobs recruitment platform with 900M+ users. Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) spent 21 years as a risk-taker (quantitative trader) before becoming a researcher in philosophical, mathematical, and (mostly) practical problems with probability.Taleb is the author of a multivolume essay, the Incerto (The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, The Bed of Procrustes, and Skin in the Game), covering broad facets of uncertainty. His work has been published into 49 languages.In addition to his trader life, Taleb has also written, as a backup of the Incerto, more than 70 technical and scholarly papers in mathematical statistics, genetics, quantitative finance, statistical physics, medicine, philosophy, ethics, economics, and international affairs around the notion of risk and probability (grouped in the Technical Incerto).Taleb is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at NYU's Tandon School of Engineering (retired). His current focus is on the properties of systems that can handle disorder ("antifragile").*Scott Patterson (@pattersonscott) is an investigative reporter for The Wall Street Journal, currently based in Washington DC, working on climate and energy policy. His new book is Chaos Kings: How Wall Street Traders Make Billions in the New Age of Crisis, a profile of the rise of “black-swan traders,” such as Nassim Taleb and Mark Spitznagel, as well as a survey of the many perils the world faces today—and how we might fix them.Scott has covered everything from Berkshire Hathaway to stock exchanges to high-speed traders to the financial regulators. His first book, The Quants, describes the rise of mathematical finance and delves into its role in the 2008 financial blowup. Dark Pools, his second book, tells how computer traders took control of the U.S. stock market, starting from the birth of computer trading in the 1980s to the explosion of high-frequency trading in the late 2000s.*This episode is brought to you by LinkedIn Jobs. Whether you are looking to hire now for a critical role or thinking about needs that you may have in the future, LinkedIn Jobs can help. LinkedIn screens candidates for the hard and soft skills you're looking for and puts your job in front of candidates looking for job opportunities that match what you have to offer.Using LinkedIn's active community of more than 900 million professionals worldwide, LinkedIn Jobs can help you find and hire the right person faster. When your business is ready to make that next hire, find the right person with LinkedIn Jobs. And now, you can post a job for free. Just visit LinkedIn.com/Tim.*This episode is also brought to you by AG1! I get asked all the time, “If you could use only one supplement, what would it be?” My answer is usually AG1, my all-in-one nutritional insurance. I recommended it in The 4-Hour Body in 2010 and did not get paid to do so. I do my best with nutrient-dense meals, of course, but AG1 further covers my bases with vitamins, minerals, and whole-food-sourced micronutrients that support gut health and the immune system. Right now, you'll get a 1-year supply of Vitamin D free with your first subscription purchase—a vital nutrient for a strong immune system and strong bones. Visit DrinkAG1.com/Tim to claim this special offer today and receive your 1-year supply of Vitamin D (and 5 free AG1 travel packs) with your first subscription purchase! That's up to a one-year supply of Vitamin D as added value when you try their delicious and comprehensive daily, foundational nutrition supplement that supports whole-body health.*This episode is also brought to you by Helix Sleep! Helix was selected as the best overall mattress of 2022 by GQ magazine, Wired, and Apartment Therapy. With Helix, there's a specific mattress to meet each and every body's unique comfort needs. Just take their quiz—only two minutes to complete—that matches your body type and sleep preferences to the perfect mattress for you. They have a 10-year warranty, and you get to try it out for a hundred nights, risk-free. They'll even pick it up from you if you don't love it. And now, Helix is offering 25% off all mattress orders plus two free pillows at HelixSleep.com/Tim. The 25% off offer is valid until September 10th.*For show notes and past guests on The Tim Ferriss Show, please visit tim.blog/podcast.For deals from sponsors of The Tim Ferriss Show, please visit tim.blog/podcast-sponsorsSign up for Tim's email newsletter (5-Bullet Friday) at tim.blog/friday.For transcripts of episodes, go to tim.blog/transcripts.Discover Tim's books: tim.blog/books.Follow Tim:Twitter: twitter.com/tferriss Instagram: instagram.com/timferrissYouTube: youtube.com/timferrissFacebook: facebook.com/timferriss LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/timferrissPast guests on The Tim Ferriss Show include Jerry Seinfeld, Hugh Jackman, Dr. Jane Goodall, LeBron James, Kevin Hart, Doris Kearns Goodwin, Jamie Foxx, Matthew McConaughey, Esther Perel, Elizabeth Gilbert, Terry Crews, Sia, Yuval Noah Harari, Malcolm Gladwell, Madeleine Albright, Cheryl Strayed, Jim Collins, Mary Karr, Maria Popova, Sam Harris, Michael Phelps, Bob Iger, Edward Norton, Arnold Schwarzenegger, Neil Strauss, Ken Burns, Maria Sharapova, Marc Andreessen, Neil Gaiman, Neil de Grasse Tyson, Jocko Willink, Daniel Ek, Kelly Slater, Dr. Peter Attia, Seth Godin, Howard Marks, Dr. Brené Brown, Eric Schmidt, Michael Lewis, Joe Gebbia, Michael Pollan, Dr. Jordan Peterson, Vince Vaughn, Brian Koppelman, Ramit Sethi, Dax Shepard, Tony Robbins, Jim Dethmer, Dan Harris, Ray Dalio, Naval Ravikant, Vitalik Buterin, Elizabeth Lesser, Amanda Palmer, Katie Haun, Sir Richard Branson, Chuck Palahniuk, Arianna Huffington, Reid Hoffman, Bill Burr, Whitney Cummings, Rick Rubin, Dr. Vivek Murthy, Darren Aronofsky, Margaret Atwood, Mark Zuckerberg, Peter Thiel, Dr. Gabor Maté, Anne Lamott, Sarah Silverman, Dr. Andrew Huberman, and many more.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Una ricerca di un biologo italiano mostra come le formiche, quando si uniscono per formare dei ponti per raggiungere posti nuovi, sono in grado di valutare le conseguenze del loro "investimento" proprio come gli umani.

In this episode, Bernard Reisz and Tyler discuss the importance of resourcefulness, surrounding yourself with the right people, and seeking professional advice for making informed real estate investment decisions. They also talk about strategic tax planning and optimization in real estate, including examples of 1031 exchanges and cost segregation studies.    ✅KEY POINTS ✅     ✅ Understand the true value of tax savings and how it elevates your life.  ✅ The immense power of strategic tax strategy and optimization in real estate.  ✅ Overlooked tax tools and recognizing there is no one perfect solution for everyone.  ✅ The importance of people, connections, and finding hidden opportunities within investment.  ✅ Recognizing your value and using it in a meaningful way.    LINKS TO BOOKMARK  Keep up with the Elevate Podcast: https://elevatepod.com/  Interested in investing with Tyler? Visit https://www.cfcapllc.com/  Ready to boost your web presence? Visit www.sharpwilkinson.com/    FIND BERNARD  Twitter https://twitter.com/BernardReisz   Facebook https://www.facebook.com/ReSureFinancial   LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/bernard-reisz-cpa/   ReSure https://www.resurefinancial.com/     NAMES & BOOKS  Nassim Taleb, “Incerto,” https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/series/INO/incerto   Leonard Mlodinow, “The Drunkard's Walk,” https://www.amazon.com/Drunkards-Walk-Randomness-Rules-Lives/dp/0307275175    

Donald Trump è stato formalmente accusato di incitamento all'attacco al Campidoglio mettendo così un dubbio il suo futuro politico, mentre si avvicina la corsa alle presidenziali del 2024. Nonostante le implicazioni giudiziarie, il sostegno dei suoi sostenitori rimane saldo, ma l'andamento economico e gli sviluppi futuri potrebbero influenzare l'esito della competizione politica.