Podcasts about Randomness

Brian and I chat about Black swans, Randomness, Risk management strategies and all the while... the Catholic Faith and how it dovetails with the thought of one of our favorite economic thinkers.

Have you ever wondered how much of your success is down to luck? What if the world is far less fair and predictable than we'd like to think? On this episode, I explore the complex and fascinating role of luck in our lives and decisions with Dr. Chengwei Liu, Associate Professor of Strategy and Behavioural Science at Imperial College London. Chengwei shares how his research challenges our assumptions about skill, effort, and fairness – and why the outcomes we see are often far more random than we'd like to believe. We discuss why many successful strategies and best practices are built on shaky ground, and how our tendency to downplay luck creates illusions of control and reinforces unfair systems. Chengwei explains how beliefs in fairness – like the ‘just world' hypothesis – shape everything from business cultures to political systems, and how luck and misperceptions of it can create cycles of privilege or disadvantage. Chengwei also shares practical insights on how to become a smart contrarian: someone who can harness the power of randomness and serendipity while avoiding the pitfalls of bias and overconfidence. From the dangers of blindly following the ‘successful' to the need to look inward and embrace uniqueness, it's a thought-provoking conversation that will change the way you think about risk, decision-making, and what it really means to get ahead. Guest BiographyDr. Chengwei Liu is an Associate Professor of Strategy and Behavioural Science at Imperial College London. He describes himself as someone fascinated by how luck, randomness, and human biases shape success and failure – both in business and in broader society. Chengwei's work challenges mainstream management thinking and explores how much of what we attribute to skill is actually the result of random factors. His book, Luck: A Key Idea for Business and Society, examines these dynamics and how we can learn to navigate them. Beyond his academic roles, Chengwei has also worked as a management consultant, drawing on his experience in both research and practice to uncover how to harness luck and uncertainty. AI-Generated Timestamped Summary[00:00:00] Introduction[00:02:00] Chengwei explains his research focus on randomness and variance in firm performance [00:04:00] The overlooked 50% of variance in outcomes: luck and randomness [00:06:00] Defining luck as what lies beyond our control and foresight [00:08:00] The conflict between fairness beliefs and the reality of luck [00:10:00] Luck's societal implications: why fairness perceptions differ across countries [00:11:00] Skill versus luck – how we confuse the two in our narratives [00:13:00] Why successful people over-attribute their success to skill [00:15:00] Managers vs entrepreneurs: how they differ in acknowledging luck [00:17:00] The challenges of researching an elusive concept like luck [00:18:00] Using mathematical models to understand Black Swan events [00:20:00] Why successful predictions of Black Swan events don't indicate forecasting skill [00:23:00] The problem with best practices from ‘successful' firms [00:26:00] Selection bias in business books and the danger of survivor bias [00:29:00] The ‘too good to be true' heuristic as a guide [00:31:00] Contrarian thinking as a survival strategy for uncertainty [00:33:00] The replication crisis and the problem with social science predictability [00:35:00] Human curiosity: the power of moderate surprises [00:37:00] The difference between luck and serendipity [00:39:00] How to encourage serendipity in our lives [00:41:00] Embracing uniqueness and avoiding conformity [00:44:00] Lessons for the age of AI and human creativity [00:46:00] The dangers of ignoring randomness: when biases become destructive [00:48:00] Exploiting others' biases for strategic advantage [00:50:00] Why ‘smart contrarian' thinking is more important than ever [00:53:00] Testing contrarian ideas like a scientist [00:56:00] The limits of trial and error: learning from mistakes [00:58:00] Chengwei's ongoing research: minority decision-making in venture capital [01:00:00] How passion and variance link to VC investment strategies [01:02:00] Wrapping up with reflections on luck, curiosity, and human creativity LinksDr. Chengwei Liu's book, Luck: A Key Idea for Business and Society: https://www.routledge.com/Luck-A-Key-Idea-for-Business-and-Society/Liu/p/book/9781138094260? Chengwei Liu's Imperial College faculty webpage: https://profiles.imperial.ac.uk/c.liu

Dr. Randy White reveals God's sovereign, purposeful control over time, showing how biblical history is patterned—not random—to inspire reverent awe and trust in His plan.

We are back for another fun filled week of technology and lots of fun and randomness. After a long hiatus, salvis has returned to Gracias with more tech news in the world of AI as well!

In this episode, the hosts discuss various themes including the dominance of certain players in major golf tournaments, their personal experiences with food and drink, and reflections on reading and personal growth. They delve into the intricacies of golf performance, the impact of course design on player success, and the characteristics that distinguish top players in the sport. In this conversation, the hosts delve into various aspects of golf, focusing on stress management, the importance of driving and iron play, the randomness involved in major championships, and the identification of the best players and teams. They discuss how mental state affects performance, the significance of distance and accuracy in driving, and the need for a balance between challenge and fairness in major tournaments. The conversation wraps up with predictions for upcoming NCAA championships and reflections on the current state of golf.Hope you all enjoy this conversation.Thanks for the support as always!Cheers, - The Tie GuysChapters:00:00 Welcome Back and Major Themes03:07 Food and Drink Adventures05:55 Reading and Personal Reflections08:50 Golf Insights and Performance12:01 Major Championship Analysis15:04 Golf Course Design and Player Performance17:59 Comparing Top Players and Their Skills20:48 Stress Management in Golf24:50 The Importance of Driving and Iron Play29:27 Randomness in Major Championships34:01 Identifying the Best Players and Teams38:57 Closing Thoughts and PredictionsWebsite: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.thetiepodcast.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Instagram:⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ https://www.instagram.com/thetiepodcast/?hl=en⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Twitter: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://mobile.twitter.com/thetiepodcast⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠GoodWalk Coffee:⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ https://goodwalkcoffee.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ CODE: thetie for 20% off BDraddy: bdraddy.com CODE: thetie25 for 25% offLivPur Hydration:livpur.comCODE: Sticks20Keywords:golf, majors, food, drink, personal reflections, golf performance, player analysis, golf course design, major championships, sports podcast, golf, stress management, major championships, driving, iron play, randomness, NCAA, best players, golf courses, competition

Happy Memorial Day weekend everyone! This week we have yet another random talk about not so random topics. We talk about the Knicks being in the playoffs (while we watched game 1 of the ECF - BEFORE the Knicks decided to have a meltdown) and how the Mets are in 2nd place now. We also let you all in on some of our plans coming up like The Starting Line concert on June 6th. As well as our lack of plans for this holiday weekend, although we now have plans for each day. Spend your Memorial Day giving this one a listen, and hopefully it is somewhere more comfortable than how Greg spent his night from when Alex locked him out of the house!

Invitation in Accidents & Randomness | Invitation to Leadership Part 5 | 1 Samuel 9:1-10:27 Pastor Lance Hahn Pastor Lance’s Notes

Ja! Ihr habt richtig gelesen: Mika hat ein zweites Kind bekommen - zumindest wenn diese Folge rauskommt! Habemus Bonk! Und da wir den Juni über in die Babypause gehen, bekommt ihr hier vorab noch eine Am Thema Vorbei Folge, die es in sich hat. Was hat sie in sich? So unglaublich viel Randomness, weil anscheinend nicht nur Mika hart an Pregnancy Brain leidet, sondern Paula solidarisch mitzieht! Es geht um Schwangerschaft, Babykram, aber auch die normalen Aussetzer, die todsicher so mit sich bringt! Wir hören uns im Juli wieder und bis dahin: BABY AN BOARD! Wo ihr uns noch findet: https://todsicher.podcaster.de/ https://www.instagram.com/todsicherpodcast https://www.facebook.com/todsicherpodcast https://twitter.com/todsicherpod https://ko-fi.com/todsicherpodcast

Timestamps:5:20 - Helping European companies set up shop in China11:43 - SICTIC's investment program for kids17:57 - Building AI models to predict fundraising success26:00 - How being a young investor changes your perspectiveThis episode was co-produced by SICTIC, the leading angel investor network in Switzerland.This episode was sponsored by Relai. Get started with Bitcoin by downloading the Relai app today, and profit from 10% less fees by entering code SWISSPRENEUR at checkout.(Disclaimer: Relai services are exclusively recommended for Swiss and Italian residents.)Resources Mentioned:Ep 135 with Thomas DübendorferFueled by Randomness, by Nassim Nicholas TalebAbout Felix Mao & Jianhe Mao:In this episode, we sit down with Mao and Felix, a dynamic father-son duo who share their incredible journey through entrepreneurship, venture investing, and the startup world. Mao, a seasoned entrepreneur with decades of experience, recounts his path from studying in Germany to building businesses across Europe and Asia. After starting his career in industrial engineering, he transitioned into consulting and later founded ventures in China, including an armored cash-transport business: one of the first of its kind. By 2010, he shifted focus to MedTech startups in Europe, turning around struggling companies like neoplas Med GmbH (pioneering plasma wound treatment) and Medmira Inc. (a rapid diagnostic testing innovator). His approach? Hands-on involvement, strategic risk-taking, and a sharp eye for undervalued potential.Felix, Mao's son, brings a fresh perspective as a next-gen investor immersed in Switzerland's startup ecosystem. Initially drawn to history and behavioral economics, he found corporate life uninspiring and instead dove into startups through SICTIC. There, he learned the importance of team dynamics over just product-market fit, emphasizing traits like adaptability, vision, and resilience in founders. He advocates for a more structured approach to evaluating entrepreneurs, blending academic insights with real-world due diligence. Both highlight how SICTIC's rigorous selection process sets Swiss startups apart, favoring steady, deep-tech innovations over the "go big or go home" mentality often seen in Asia.As Mao eyes retirement, he plans to deepen his involvement with SICTIC, mentoring the next wave of entrepreneurs. Felix, meanwhile, is just getting started, aiming to build a methodical venture investment strategy while learning from seasoned angels. Their key takeaway? Venture investing is a humbling, long-game journey that rewards patience, passion, and a willingness to take calculated risks. Tune in for their candid stories, hard-earned lessons, and why the startup world's energy keeps them hooked!The cover portrait was edited by ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠www.smartportrait.io⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠.

Sometimes the healing journey needs a switch up in your routine… So in this episode Eric and I trade the deep emotional reflections for a fun episode with random questions and lots of laughter… My YouTube, Social Media & ALL OTHER LINKS!

We have Khoeurn announcements and updates on new technology coming out and lots of randoms from our sides of the world. So another busy vision cast episode is ready to enjoy! Sorry meant to say lots of cool announcements and more Moore heading your way

Discover all of the podcasts in our network, search for specific episodes, get the Optimal Living Daily workbook, and learn more at: OLDPodcast.com. Episode 3139: Vitaliy Katsenelson argues that obsessively monitoring your portfolio can lead to emotional decision-making and worse investment outcomes. Instead, he urges investors to zoom out, think long term, and treat investing more like watching paint dry, boring, but ultimately rewarding. Read along with the original article(s) here: https://contrarianedge.com/want-to-be-a-better-investor-stop-staring-at-your-portfolio/ Quotes to ponder: "Most of the mistakes I've made as an investor happened when I got too close to the action." "Stocks are not pieces of paper that wiggle up and down on a computer screen. They are partial ownerships of businesses." "Watching your portfolio too closely is like watching paint dry, it makes time slow down and tempts you to act when you shouldn't." Episode references: Fooled by Randomness: https://www.amazon.com/Fooled-Randomness-Hidden-Chance-Markets/dp/0812975219 Meditations: https://www.amazon.com/Meditations-New-Translation-Marcus-Aurelius/dp/0812968255 The Intelligent Investor: https://www.amazon.com/Intelligent-Investor-Definitive-Value-Investing/dp/0060555661 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

IT'S TIME FOR THE WEEKLY WRAP-UP… AND TRUE CRIME!! BUCKLE IN! WEEKLY reminder: the newest addition to the podcast feed is the WEEKLY WRAP-UP with EMILY HANKS! Most of you know that we do a live show on YouTube every single Sunday (which soooo many of you tune in live for), but it's time to bring this to the main feed for those of you who miss the lives or aren't able to watch live at all! Each Sunday, we cover a week's worth of hot topics (usually different from the ones I cover on my own podcast). This week, we: wonder how Taylor Swift got dragged into Justin and Blake's MESS, get a Diddy jury selection and strategy UPDATE, look back at week three of Karen Read's new trial (and how it relates to Sandra Birchmore), look at ALL of the Back and Peacock TV 2025 announcements (and omissions), dive into the latest RHOA, and so much more RANDOMNESS ! DOWNLOAD AND LISTEN TODAY! Listen to “She's Speaking with Emily Hanks” podcast on Apple Podcasts! Listen to “She's Speaking with Emily Hanks” podcast on Spotify! Follow Emily on Instagram! Subscribe to Emily's YouTube channel, where we go live every single Sunday! *** HEY! Some of you have asked how you can show your appreciation for all the content provided by your mama's favorite Black geek. How about you buy me a beer/coffee? CLICK HERE TO SUPPORT! *** New episodes of “I Ken Not with Kendrick Tucker” are released weekly! DON'T FORGET TO SUBSCRIBE, RATE, AND REVIEW! I LOVE 5 STARS! EMAIL ME AT IKENNOTPODCAST@GMAIL.COM! FOLLOW ME ON INSTAGRAM! FOLLOW ME ON THREADS! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Discover all of the podcasts in our network, search for specific episodes, get the Optimal Living Daily workbook, and learn more at: OLDPodcast.com. Episode 3139: Vitaliy Katsenelson argues that obsessively monitoring your portfolio can lead to emotional decision-making and worse investment outcomes. Instead, he urges investors to zoom out, think long term, and treat investing more like watching paint dry, boring, but ultimately rewarding. Read along with the original article(s) here: https://contrarianedge.com/want-to-be-a-better-investor-stop-staring-at-your-portfolio/ Quotes to ponder: "Most of the mistakes I've made as an investor happened when I got too close to the action." "Stocks are not pieces of paper that wiggle up and down on a computer screen. They are partial ownerships of businesses." "Watching your portfolio too closely is like watching paint dry, it makes time slow down and tempts you to act when you shouldn't." Episode references: Fooled by Randomness: https://www.amazon.com/Fooled-Randomness-Hidden-Chance-Markets/dp/0812975219 Meditations: https://www.amazon.com/Meditations-New-Translation-Marcus-Aurelius/dp/0812968255 The Intelligent Investor: https://www.amazon.com/Intelligent-Investor-Definitive-Value-Investing/dp/0060555661 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Discover all of the podcasts in our network, search for specific episodes, get the Optimal Living Daily workbook, and learn more at: OLDPodcast.com. Episode 3139: Vitaliy Katsenelson argues that obsessively monitoring your portfolio can lead to emotional decision-making and worse investment outcomes. Instead, he urges investors to zoom out, think long term, and treat investing more like watching paint dry, boring, but ultimately rewarding. Read along with the original article(s) here: https://contrarianedge.com/want-to-be-a-better-investor-stop-staring-at-your-portfolio/ Quotes to ponder: "Most of the mistakes I've made as an investor happened when I got too close to the action." "Stocks are not pieces of paper that wiggle up and down on a computer screen. They are partial ownerships of businesses." "Watching your portfolio too closely is like watching paint dry, it makes time slow down and tempts you to act when you shouldn't." Episode references: Fooled by Randomness: https://www.amazon.com/Fooled-Randomness-Hidden-Chance-Markets/dp/0812975219 Meditations: https://www.amazon.com/Meditations-New-Translation-Marcus-Aurelius/dp/0812968255 The Intelligent Investor: https://www.amazon.com/Intelligent-Investor-Definitive-Value-Investing/dp/0060555661 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

On this episode of ID the Future from our archive, Dr. Paul Nelson talks with Dr. Wolf-Ekkehard Lönnig, retired geneticist at the Max Planck Institute for Plant Breeding Research in Germany, about randomness in natural selection and why randomness is such a controversial topic. Source

Parker Lewis is a leading voice in the Bitcoin community, known for his insightful analysis and advocacy for Bitcoin as a transformative financial solution. As the author of "Gradually, Then Suddenly," he educates audiences on Bitcoin's potential to address the flaws in our current monetary system and its role as a global reserve currency.› Follow Parker: https://x.com/parkeralewis⁠› Parker's book: Gradually, Then Suddenly: https://academy.saifedean.com/product/gradually-then-suddenly-hardcoverPARTNERS

In this heartfelt and thought-provoking episode, Sarah and Miriam unpack the illusion of control and how it shapes our daily lives. From the unpredictability of existence to the historical journey of women's rights, they explore the tension between structure and spontaneity — and how learning to let go can be a radical act of self-compassion.Topics we touch on:

Richard Shotton delves deep into the world of behavioural science, exploring how human psychology profoundly influences marketing strategies. Richard shares his journey from being a media planner to discovering the power of behavioural science through Malcolm Gladwell's The Tipping Point.Richard recounts the pivotal moment when he was working on an NHS brief to encourage blood donations. Reading The Tipping Point by Malcolm Gladwell inspired him to apply behavioural science theories to real-world problems, leading to a successful campaign that dramatically increased blood donations.He explains how applying the findings of 1960s behavioural studies to modern marketing challenges opened up a whole new world for him, shaping his career focus. Richard provides a compelling case study of Avis's famous "We Try Harder" campaign, demonstrating how admitting a flaw can make a brand more appealing. He links this to the pratfall effect, where admitting a minor flaw can make people perceive you as more genuine and trustworthy.Richard talks about the limitations of traditional marketing research methods like surveys and focus groups. He stresses the importance of experimentation and real-world testing to get more accurate insights into consumer behaviour. He introduces the concept of "Mandic Testing," a method of applying A/B testing to surveys to get more accurate insights. This helps in isolating the variables that truly influence consumer behaviour.This episode is packed with actionable insights and real-world examples, making it a must-watch for marketers looking to understand the science behind consumer behaviour. PreOrder Hacking The Human Mind Here https://www.amazon.co.uk/Hacking-Human-Mind-behavioral-science/dp/1804091324Check out Richard's other books and consultancy here https://www.richardshotton.com/02:56 Early Career and Frustrations03:23 The Blood Donation Brief04:54 Discovering Behavioural Science05:53 The Role of Randomness in Career Paths08:37 Generational Differences and Social Proof11:42 The Power of Admitting Flaws15:54 The Importance of Distinctiveness in Advertising23:27 Challenges in Marketing Research29:04 Testing Social Proof in Marketing29:28 Applying AB Testing to Surveys30:07 Case Study: Car Pricing Perception32:40 The Rule of 100 in Discounts36:24 The Impact of Discounting on Perceived Quality39:55 Reframing Low-Cost Brands41:06 The Power of Language in Marketing45:36 Anchoring and Price Relativity51:44 Fairness in Pricing Strategies Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Newborns; league and team running; Window over Terre Haute; Headlight Flash Protests; Randomness

I have been loving this current trend going on around TikTok and other podcasts- so today I will be REPORTing on my life and things I've been liking and doing lately. Codes from this episode:Lola: MARKIEBeehive Meals: EVERLYJO

This episode is a replay from The Existential Stoic library. Enjoy! We cannot predict or plan for everything. Random, chance events can throw us off, cause stress, and make our lives difficult. In this episode, Danny and Randy discuss tips for how to embrace randomness.  Subscribe to ESP's YouTube Channel! Thanks for listening!  Do you have a question you want answered in a future episode? If so, send your question to: existentialstoic@protonmail.com  Danny, Randy, and their good friend, Russell, created a new podcast, CodeNoobs, for anyone interested in tech and learning how to code. Listen to CodeNoobs now online, CodeNoobs-podcast, or wherever you get your podcasts.

Tony and Johnsy go over some interesting factoids that may or may not blow their minds... Come hang while we uncover weird facts you might be shocked to find out they are true....

For the first time in a minute, we came into this episode without any topics prepared. Ironically those always end up being some of our favorites! After Sipe recaps his race, we cast the “In The Middle Podcast” film and then use three words to describe our cohosts.Check out the time stamps below for our show topics and skip ahead if you desire! As always, thank you to all of our ITMers for the love and support!The best way to support the show (or purchase ad space) is on our ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Patreon⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠!Thank you to our patrons: Hannah Haggard, Eric Rourke, Joe Roth and Hunter KeeThank you to our sponsor: McNary Chiropractic in Russell, KSCheck out our ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Merch Store⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ for all of your ITM gear and novelties!Use our ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Linktree⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ to find us on ALL the sites and socials.Timestamps:0:00 - Intro, Shoutouts, and McNary Chiropractic Dad Joke of the Week6:30 - Sipe's Half Marathon29:25 - “ITM: The Movie” Actors47:42 - CoHost Adjectives1:08:59 - Outro

FSF PopCast Happy Hour! - LIVE Join us LIVE tonight at 7pm EST as we discuss some things happening in our pop culture world, take your comments and questions, and enjoy a beverage of choice! We plan on talking about Andor Season 2 Avengers Doomsday Trek Talks 4 Randomness of randomnicity Click the button! Join the madness! For more information on Trek Talks 4 - Website - www.trektalks.net YouTube - www.youtube.com/@TrekTalksTelethon For more on our show partners - Bones Coffee - http://www.bonescoffee.com/FSFPOPCAST and use code FSFPOPCAST Idea Farm - www.ideafarm.store - use discount code FSF15 Level Up Sabers https://bit.ly/FSFLevelUpSabers Win free loot - sign up here - www.fsfpopcast.com/contact Tim Beisiegels articles - https://couchsoup.com/author/byeseagull For more on our Show - Join our Patreon https://patreon.com/fsfpopcast Join our Discord! https://discord.gg/cpry4fCDTq Visit our website - https://www.fsfpopcast.com FSF PopCast on BlueSky, Instagram, Threads, and Facebook - @fsfpopcast This podcast is powered by Pinecast.

FSF PopCast Happy Hour! - LIVE Join us LIVE tonight at 7pm EST as we discuss some things happening in our pop culture world, take your comments and questions, and enjoy a beverage of choice! We plan on talking about Andor Season 2 Avengers Doomsday Trek Talks 4 Randomness of randomnicity Click the button! Join the madness! For more information on Trek Talks 4 - Website - www.trektalks.net YouTube - www.youtube.com/@TrekTalksTelethon For more on our show partners - Bones Coffee - http://www.bonescoffee.com/FSFPOPCAST and use code FSFPOPCAST Idea Farm - www.ideafarm.store - use discount code FSF15 Level Up Sabers https://bit.ly/FSFLevelUpSabers Win free loot - sign up here - www.fsfpopcast.com/contact Tim Beisiegels articles - https://couchsoup.com/author/byeseagull For more on our Show - Join our Patreon https://patreon.com/fsfpopcast Join our Discord! https://discord.gg/cpry4fCDTq Visit our website - https://www.fsfpopcast.com FSF PopCast on BlueSky, Instagram, Threads, and Facebook - @fsfpopcast This podcast is powered by Pinecast.

Quick updates from behind the scenes at Dungeons & Randomness—project news, scheduling notes, and what's coming up next. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

A continued discussion of the NATO debacle. It is time for America to completely reassess alliances and partnership around the world starting with NATO and then working its way down the list of useless and toxic relationships and promises to commit American blood and treasure to flashpoints planet-wide. The sheer insanity of EU/SSR behavior and the total inadequacy of NATO as a military organization across the entire martial spectrum. NATO insisted after the wall 1989-91 fell that the NATO blob would NOT expand eastward. It did. America should take a non-interventionist pause and get its internal house in order before standing astride the world again and lighting fires that never go away and continuously make things worse. Stop the madness. References: Winning The Salvo Competition: Rebalancing America's Air And Missile Defenses The Russian Reconnaissance Fire Complex Comes of Age Nyet Means Nyet (William Burns 2008) Pat Buchanan Where Does NATO Enlargement End? DoS Cable: NATO ENLARGEMENT: RUSSIAN ASSERTIONS REGARDING THE TWO-PLUS-FOUR AGREEMENT ON GERMAN UNIFICATION Navy Matters Get the US Out of NATO Books: Edward Bernays Propaganda Sevim Dagdelen NATO: A Reckoning with the Atlantic Alliance Matt Kennard The Racket: A Rogue Reporter vs The American Empire Daniel Ellsberg The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner Scott Horton Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine Nassim Taleb Incerto: Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes, Antifragile, Skin in the Game Mark Gunzinger & Bryan Clark Winning the Salvo Competition: Rebalancing America's Air and Missile Defense Christian Brose The Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare My Substack Email at cgpodcast@pm.me

How might we act in the face of temperamental but powerful figures of government?How do we navigate an unpredictable world in which good and bad are seldom evident?Do we just eat and drink and be happy? Or maybe we allow wisdom to make our face shine.

3-16-25 AM "The Uncertainties of Life"Scripture Reading: Romans 8:18-30, Ecclesiastes 9:11, 12I. Uncertain Outcomes A. Regardless of Effort B. Over a LifetimeII. Uncertain Troubles A. In the Randomness of Events B. In the Moment of DeathIII. Uncertain Providences A. In a Fallen World B. From an Earthly PerspectiveRev. Greg Lubbers

We keep people up-to-date with what is going on in our lives and also it's gonna be all fun and randomness will be back to all performances in Angela returns the week of April 1.

Don't be fooled by market hype! Chris Markowski dives into Nassim Taleb's Fooled by Randomness, exposing how luck masquerades as skill in investing. Learn to avoid hindsight bias, embrace skepticism, and build a portfolio with a margin of safety. www.watchdogonwallstreet.com

www.patreon.com/skodanabraedurStyrktaraðilar þáttarins eru: Myntkaup, Saltverk, Stjörnugrís, World Class, Silkisvefn og Takk takk (15% afsláttur á takktakk.is með kóðanum SB15).Heiðar Guðjónsson fjárfestir og hagfræðingur snýr aftur í þáttinn til þess að greina stöðu heimsins í mars 2025. Fyrsta mál á dagskrá var að búa til rými til þess að leyfa hlustendanum að finna sinn innri hægri-mann og hleypa sjálfum sér út úr skápnum. Síðan förum við af stað í unaðslegt hljóðferðalag um heima og geima: USA, Kína, Indland, gervigreind, Bitcoin, bóklestur, austurrísk hagfræði, kapítalismi & kommúnismi, mikilvægi skýrleika og fyrirtækjarekstur.Bækurnar sem Heiðar mælir með eru: Bræðurnir Karamazov, Biblían, The Hard Thing About Hard Things, Fooled by Randomness.

In this 14th solo episode, I kick things off with the SNL 50th Anniversary Special. They rolled out classic skits that "didn't age well," according to them. But let's be real—those were the best ones. Back when Saturday Night Live was actually funny. Before wokeness turned every sketch into an unfunny lecture on race.I also dive into the latest O.J. Simpson documentary on Netflix. My wife and I watched it the other night, and it brought back memories of that infamous trial. From the prosecution's missteps to the role of Mike Gilbert, I break down why the case became such a turning point in race relations—and how it shaped the justice system we see today.Beyond that, I get into a masterclass on negotiations, Black Swans, trendsetters, real estate, the AI tools I've been using most lately, and so much more.

Soccer Comic Rant #558 Marcus Rashford’s Brilliant Performances: Key Highlights for Villa! Will Carabao Cup cost Liverpool the Premier League Title? Randomness of Manchester United’s recruitment strategy. The Fall and Rise of David Moyes: A football journey. Everton thriving against the odds. Higher than United in the Table! Man U vs Everton: The injury impact Explained. Why former Man United players are thriving elsewhere. Why is this young talent stuck on Southampton’s bench? Why Liverpool’s VAR drama Left fans Furious! Liverpool vs Everton: The Derby that shook the pub. Did Ange make the right adjustments in the second half. Chelsea needs an experienced striker? Why Jackson needs support? Chelsea fans unite for protest. Avoid the lowest points total in Premier League history. Experiencing Anfield: Could Diego Jota’s Dive Cost Liverpool the title? Man United’s rollercoaster: A game of missed opportunities. Fantasy League Showdown: Who’s winning this week? Why Southampton should hire Sean Dyche? Why Chelsea can’t stop leaking goals. Ian Edwardshttps://www.instagram.com/ianedwardsc..https://twitter.com/IanEdwardsComichttp://ianedwardscomedian.com/ Neil Chakravartyhttps://twitter.com/SawyersLawyerhttps://www.instagram.com/sawyerslawyer/ Martin Harrishttps://instagram.com/martin_harrisla?igshid=YmMyMTA2M2Y= Alex Avilahttps://www.instagram.com/alexps.comedy?igsh=NTc4MTIwNjQ2YQ== Merch LinkOnTheVolleyapparel.com https://onthevolleyapparel.com/collections/soccer-comic-rant Lee Hudsonhttps://www.instagram.com/leehudsonco...https://twitter.com/leehudsoncomedy Chris Tranihttps://www.instagram.com/christrani?igsh=MzRlODBiNWFlZA== Aaron Brungardthttps://twitter.com/hilAARONoushttps://www.instagram.com/aaronbrunga

Hey there, hero!Most of the decisions that are made in the professional world revolve around money, and they are never on schedule.(Thanks to EM Forster for this episode's thought starter.)Much of what happens is random, unpredictable and not based in the arts, but rather in the commerce.And you need to be OK with that.I hope that money isn't looked at as a bad thing, either from the funding of projects so you can get work, or from you getting paid to do those things.Are you OK with money? How's your relationship with the commerce aspect (rather than the art aspect) of acting, VO or writing? Let me know in the comments below.REQUEST: Please join this video's conversation and see the full episode on VOHeroes, where the comments are moderated and civil, at https://voheroes.com/the-competition-and-randomness-of-art-and-money/#Acting #Voice #VoiceOver #Performance #Productivity #Tips #Art #Commerce #Science #Mindset #Success #Process #Options #BestPractices #MarketingWant to be a better VO talent, actor or author? Here's how I can help you......become a VO talent (or a more successful one): https://voheroes.com/start ...become an audiobook narrator on ACX (if you're an actor or VO talent): https://acxmasterclass.com/ ...narrate your own book (if you're an author): https://narrateyourownbook.com/ ...have the most effective pop filter (especially for VO talent): https://mikesock.com/ ...be off-book faster for on-camera auditions and work (memorize your lines): https://rehearsal.pro/...master beautiful audiobook and podcast audio in one drag and drop move on your Mac: https://audiocupcake.com/ The VOHeroes Podcast is heroically built with: BuddyBoss | LearnDash | DreamHost | SamCart | TextExpander | BuzzSprout

Get more notes at https://podcastnotes.org This member's only content is a compilation of several podcasts that will teach you about the importance of mental models and how they can help you improve your decision-making process.Get the FULL COLLECTIONKey Takeaways:* Mental Model: Direction Over Speed* If you're pointed in the wrong direction, it doesn't matter how fast you're traveling* Mental Model: Availability Bias* Design your environment to the best of your availability to limit your temptation to perform unwise actions* Mental Model: Hanlon's Razor* Don't attribute to malice what can be attributed to stupidity. Don't assume someone did something because they're a bad person, assume they did it out of stupidity.* Mental Model: George Mack's Razor* When presented with two options, choose the one that brings a greater amount of luck.* Mental Model: Zeitheimer's* Every generation tends to assume their problems are the absolute worst – we forget about the daily struggles of our ancestors* Our generation is complaining about social media addiction – people less than a hundred years ago were dying on battlefields during world wars* Mental Model: Signal vs. Noise* This mental model is all about how to distinguish the high-intensity/useful information (the stuff that actually matters) from the noise* If a book has been around for 100 years, you can assume it'll be around for 100 additional years (this is also known as the Lindy Effect)Defining Mental Models* A mental model is ways of taking principles from different disciplines and applying them to make better decisions* Helpful mental models:* Be careful of actions that would multiple your life by 0* Don't take any risk that might make your life go to zero* E.g: It's great if you exercise and don't smoke, but if you drive drunk you could go to jail or end up deadMental Model: The Map is Not the Territory* Check out Shane's blog post on the topic* A few examples:* A balance sheet is the map of a business, but it doesn't fully represent the company* An employee satisfaction survey (a map) is only a glimpse of the entire terrain (everything going on within the company)* “If you become exclusive to one map, you're less likely to identify when the terrain changes” – Shane Parrish* “There's always an imperfect relationship between reality and the models we use to represent and understand them, but it's necessary in order to simplify things because we can't deal with the world in all of its complexity” – Shane Parrish* Like online dating* The “map” (someone's profile) doesn't match the overall person – they'll often be completely different* The size of your email list is a map, but it doesn't tell you about the territory* It doesn't tell you about the open rates, the engagements, or whether people care if they receive the emails* Business targets/projections are another example* For one, they're often pulled out of thin air* The growth target doesn't, in fact, indicate what's possible* “If you could 10x something, why would you be happy with 5x, and if 5x'ing something is, in fact, impossible, why would you be disappointed with 4x?” – SamMental Model: The Unforced Error* This mental model comes from Super Thinking: The Big Book of Mental Models by Gabriel Weinberg* The concept: do all you can to prepare to avoid bad outcomes* Ex: Dress well to avoid making a bad first impression* Ex: Don't text while driving to avoid getting in a car crash* “An unforced error is the most basic way you can be wrong. Independent of all other circumstances, you done f**ked up.” – ChrisMental Model: Anti-fragility* This one originates from Nassim Taleb, author of Antifragile, and a few other classics – The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, and Skin in the Game* The main idea – Become someone who thrives and improves from disorder* Think of a glass cup: if you drop it on the floor (disorder), it breaks (AKA it's fragile)* How can you do this? – There are quite a few ways:* Have multiple sources of income – this way, if you lose your job (disorder), you'll be fine* Exercise and build strength – if you stumble and lose your balance, you're more likely not to hurt yourself* Look for business opportunities where no matter what happens, you'll experience an upsideMental Model: Finding Good in the Bad* This one originates from Josh Waitzkin in his first appearance on The Tim Ferriss Show* It's very easy to get bummed out when it rains and let it affect your mood* Josh realized parents instill this in their kids by encouraging them to stay inside when it's raining rather going out to actually enjoy the “bad” weather* So, he flipped it. Josh taught his son to look at rain and think: “Oh, look at how beautiful it is! Let's go outside and enjoy it!”* George adds – “When everything's going bad, I say ‘good.' When everything's going good, I say ‘bad.'”* When times are good, it's quite easy to take your foot off the gas* When times are bad, it's an opportunity to thriveMental Model: Surround Yourself With People You Admire* “I definitely find the biggest influence in my output and the way I think is who I'm around” – George Mack* Think of two versions of yourself:* In one world, you spend most of your time around a positive and motivational person (like David Goggins)* In another world, you spend most of your time around a sloth (the type of person who always has negative blinders on)* After a year, imagine these two people meet – they'll be completely different!* High agency people actively seek out those they admire and want to emulate* Chris thinks David Perell largely fits this bill – “He's always the dumbest person in the room in one of multiple domains and he keeps changing the domain””Mental Model: Directional Arrows of Progress* This one comes from Josh Wolfe (as discussed in these Podcast Notes). Here's how Josh explains it:* “The half-life of technology intimacy” is a trend related to how we interact with our computers:* 50 years ago, you had a giant computer the size of multiple refrigerators sitting in the corner of a room* The way you would interact would be to flip it's switches, and pull plugs etc.* 25 years ago – we first got personal computers* How did we interact with them? – Mainly through a keyboard and a computer mouse* 12.5 years ago – the dominant form of computers became laptops* Now it's physically on your lap, so the computer has gotten closer to you* 6.5 years ago – the iPhone* It's the last thing we touch at night, as well as the first thing we touch in the morning* You “swipe” it and “tap” it* The only physical barrier with the human body is a thin film of fabric in your pants* 3.5 years ago – the smartwatchGet the FULL COLLECTION Thank you for subscribing. Leave a comment or share this episode.

Send us a textEver wondered if those unexpected meetings and unplanned encounters in your life are truly random, or if they hold a deeper significance? Join me on this episode of the World Cafe Live show as we sip on our favorite brew and unravel the mysteries of life's randomness. I'll share a personal story from my book, "A Cocktail of Words," about a serendipitous string of encounters on campus that blossomed into a lifelong friendship. It's a tale that blurs the lines between fate and coincidence, making us question whether these moments are gentle nudges from the universe urging us towards something greater.As I read an excerpt from my book, we'll explore the idea that perhaps life's randomness is simply a human construct—a way to explain the inexplicable. Through storytelling and introspection, I'll challenge you to reflect on the significance of paths crossing in your own life. These encounters might be more than just flukes; they could be pivotal moments that hold profound meaning. So grab your coffee, get comfortable, and let's journey together through the fascinating concept of chance and destiny.Support the showYou can support this show via the link below;https://www.buzzsprout.com/1718587/supporters/new

*** Apologies for delay in linking podcast, was on travel.*** The US Air Force is at a turning point in 21st century warfare and in danger of whistling past the graveyard if they fail to take notice and action on the emerging Revolutions in Military Affairs (RMA). The era of manned combat aircraft is coming to a close. The era of manned bombers with gravity bombs is over. The era of fixed site nuclear missiles is in great peril. The era of hyper-velocity missiles whether high parabola of IRBM/ICBM or Fractional Orbital Bombardment System (FOBS) glide vehicles. If the pilot mafia doesn't do something about what is coming, the result will be cataclysmic. The Pentagon will not to the right thing, regretfully. References: A Concise History of the U.S. Air Force Jeffrey J. Smith Tomorrow's Air Force: Tracing the Past, Shaping the Future David Hambling Swarm Troopers: How Small Drones Will Conquer the World Garrett Graff Raven Rock: The Story of the U.S. Government's Secret Plan to Save Itself--While the Rest of Us Die Paul Ozorak Underground Structures of the Cold War: The World Below Daniel Ellsberg The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner Nassim Taleb Incerto: Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes, Antifragile, Skin in the Game Mark Gunzinger & Bryan Clark Winning the Salvo Competition: Rebalancing America's Air and Missile Defense Christian Brose The Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare My Substack Email at cgpodcast@pm.me

Paw paw (Asimina triloba) is a charismatic and special species. It is the most northerly growing member of a mostly tropical family. It also has considerable influence on its herbaceous neighbors. Join me and PhD student Anna Wassel as we explore the random world of pawpaw and understory herb community assembly. This episode was produced in part by Shad, Maddie, Owen, Linda, Alana, Sigma, Max, Richard, Maia, Rens, David, Robert, Thomas, Valerie, Joan, Mohsin Kazmi Photography, Cathy, Simon, Nick, Paul, Charis, EJ, Laura, Sung, NOK, Stephen, Heidi, Kristin, Luke, Sea, Shannon, Thomas, Will, Jamie, Waverly, Brent, Tanner, Rick, Kazys, Dorothy, Katherine, Emily, Theo, Nichole, Paul, Karen, Randi, Caelan, Tom, Don, Susan, Corbin, Keena, Robin, Peter, Whitney, Kenned, Margaret, Daniel, Karen, David, Earl, Jocelyn, Gary, Krysta, Elizabeth, Southern California Carnivorous Plant Enthusiasts, Pattypollinators, Peter, Judson, Ella, Alex, Dan, Pamela, Peter, Andrea, Nathan, Karyn, Michelle, Jillian, Chellie, Linda, Laura, Miz Holly, Christie, Carlos, Paleo Fern, Levi, Sylvia, Lanny, Ben, Lily, Craig, Sarah, Lor, Monika, Brandon, Jeremy, Suzanne, Kristina, Christine, Silas, Michael, Aristia, Felicidad, Lauren, Danielle, Allie, Jeffrey, Amanda, Tommy, Marcel, C Leigh, Karma, Shelby, Christopher, Alvin, Arek, Chellie, Dani, Paul, Dani, Tara, Elly, Colleen, Natalie, Nathan, Ario, Laura, Cari, Margaret, Mary, Connor, Nathan, Jan, Jerome, Brian, Azomonas, Ellie, University Greens, Joseph, Melody, Patricia, Matthew, Garrett, John, Ashley, Cathrine, Melvin, OrangeJulian, Porter, Jules, Griff, Joan, Megan, Marabeth, Les, Ali, Southside Plants, Keiko, Robert, Bryce, Wilma, Amanda, Helen, Mikey, Michelle, German, Joerg, Cathy, Tate, Steve, Kae, Carole, Mr. Keith Santner, Lynn, Aaron, Sara, Kenned, Brett, Jocelyn, Ethan, Sheryl, Runaway Goldfish, Ryan, Chris, Alana, Rachel, Joanna, Lori, Paul, Griff, Matthew, Bobby, Vaibhav, Steven, Joseph, Brandon, Liam, Hall, Jared, Brandon, Christina, Carly, Kazys, Stephen, Katherine, Manny, doeg, Daniel, Tim, Philip, Tim, Lisa, Brodie, Bendix, Irene, holly, Sara, and Margie.

00:00 Potential chemistry issues with the Nuggets.12:20 Jeff Legwold hops on to talk Broncos and NFL.31:30 Andy and Berto randomness.

Highlights from this week's conversation include:Insider Segment: SVB's Role in the Innovation Economy (1:14)Challenges for Emerging Managers (4:31)Global Innovation and Connectivity (6:15)SVB's Offerings Beyond Financing (8:41)Treasury Services and Liquidity Solutions (10:59)Ertan Can's Background and Journey into VC (13:45)The Birth of Multiple Capital (17:41)Pan-European Portfolio Strategy (20:38)Investment Jurisdictions and Structures (24:06)Opportunities for US Investors (28:27)Exit Markets and Valuation Benefits (30:01)The Rise of European Startups (33:08)Identifying Outliers in the Ecosystem (35:10)Focus on Small and Seed-Stage Funds (38:31)Adapting to Market Changes (42:26)Advantages of Solo GPs (45:24)Future of the European Market (50:27)The Randomness of Venture Success (54:25)Final Thoughts and Takeaways (1:01:09)Multiple Capital is Europe's first tech-focused fund of micro funds, founded in 2018 by Ertan Can. The firm invests in emerging and solo fund managers across Europe and the U.S., focusing on overlooked opportunities in niche geographies and verticals. With a portfolio spanning over 1,000 companies, Multiple Capital aims to democratize access to early-stage tech investments and foster innovation. Learn more: https://www.multiple.capital/Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), a division of First Citizens Bank, is the bank of the world's most innovative companies and investors. SVB provides commercial and private banking to individuals and companies in the technology, life science and healthcare, private equity, venture capital and premium wine industries. SVB operates in centers of innovation throughout the United States, serving the unique needs of its dynamic clients with deep sector expertise, insights and connections. SVB's parent company, First Citizens BancShares, Inc. (NASDAQ: FCNCA), is a top 20 U.S. financial institution with more than $200 billion in assets. First Citizens Bank, Member FDIC. Learn more at svb.com. Swimming with Allocators is a podcast that dives into the intriguing world of Venture Capital from an LP (Limited Partner) perspective. Hosts Alexa Binns and Earnest Sweat are seasoned professionals who have donned various hats in the VC ecosystem. Each episode, we explore where the future opportunities lie in the VC landscape with insights from top LPs on their investment strategies and industry experts shedding light on emerging trends and technologies. The information provided on this podcast does not, and is not intended to, constitute legal advice; instead, all information, content, and materials available on this podcast are for general informational purposes only.

Randomness plays an important role in the evolution of life (as my evil twin will tell you). But random doesn't mean arbitrary. Biological organisms are physical objects, after all, and subject to the same laws of physics as non-biological matter is. Those laws place constraints on how organisms can fulfill their basic functions of metabolism, reproduction, motility, and so on. Easy to say, but how can we turn this into quantitative understanding of actual organisms? Today I talk with physical biologist Chris Kempes about how physics can help us understand the size of organisms, their metabolisms, and features of major transitions in evolution.Support Mindscape on Patreon.Blog post with transcript: https://www.preposterousuniverse.com/podcast/2025/01/20/302-chris-kempes-on-the-biophysics-of-evolution/Chris Kempes received his Ph.D. in physical biology from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. He is currently Professor and a member of the Science Steering Committee at the Santa Fe Institute. His research involves the origin of life and the constraints placed by physics on biological function and evolution.Web siteSanta Fe Institute web pageGoogle Scholar publicationsOrigins of Life online courseSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

I'm hearing sob stories from leaders and individuals everywhere who are waking up to the cold, hard truth that they are staring down the barrel of a thin or empty pipeline. If you are in this situation and don't have enough pipe to cover your number—either for this month or the first quarter—then you need to take action now to close that gap because  getting behind your number at the beginning of the year means loads of stress and chasing your tail - for the rest of the quarter or the entire year if you get too far behind.   Your Empty Pipeline Started Last Month Stepping back for a moment, the reason your pipeline is empty today can usually be traced back to your sales activity in November or December. Some teams get tunnel vision in the fourth quarter. They focus on closing deals and finishing the year strong but fail to balance that with prospecting activity for the future. Other folks just get distracted by the holidays and let the final weeks of the year slip by without prospecting to fill the pipe with enough new opportunities to cover January. In other cases, the pipeline opportunities that you were counting on this month—the ones that pushed decisions until after the holidays - have suddenly gone silent and are ghosting you. You're finding out the hard way that it is very, very difficult to reignite these deals once you've allowed this much time to pass. I'm not going to sugarcoat this because the truth is the truth. No matter what got you to this point, you need to get to work right now to turn this around. So the question is, how do you do this?   Block Time for Prospecting One of the biggest pitfalls I see is that when pipelines are empty, salespeople get overwhelmed and paralyzed. They don't know where to begin, so they waste time worrying and “getting organized.” They "plan to plan to plan" to prospect but don't get any actual prospecting done. There's an old saying that goes, “When you're in a hole, stop digging.” Likewise, the first rule of an empty pipeline is: When have one, start prospecting. That's it. There's no magic to it. It's a blinding flash of common sense. Therefore step one is to block one to two hours at the start of your day specifically for prospecting. Close your email and company chat, put devices on do not disturb, and place a singular focus on picking up the phone and calling potential customers. Put these morning blocks on your calendar as an immovable meeting. No excuses, no last-minute changes. Keep this time sacred for outbound prospecting. Why first thing in the morning? Because that's when you're fresh, your prospects are fresh and neither of you have gotten buried in your day yet. And the truth is, if you put off prospecting until the afternoon, your willpower is often depleted and you are more likely not to do it.   Fast vs Slow Prospecting Next you need to focus on the right kind of prospecting. This isn't the time for a slow, meandering approach in which you cultivate long-term opportunities on LinkedIn and through networking. While building the future through slow prospecting activities is important, right now you need to move fast. You need to target, engage, interrupt and convert prospects that can move into your pipeline as viable opportunities, right now. By “interrupt,” I mean dialing the phone, knocking on doors, sending personalized emails, text messages, video messages and direct messages —whatever it takes to get attention and engage in conversations with high potential, high probability prospects.   5 Sources for Targeted Prospecting Lists When I say target, I mean not random. Randomness is the enemy of effectiveness. At this moment in time, spray and pray will not turn your pipeline around. You need a rifle rather than a shotgun approach. The key is building a targeted list because the better your list you, the better your prospecting outcomes. There are five sources for building a targeted prospecting list,

Is all life predestined, or is existence blown about by the whims of entropy? If we restarted the universe with the same world generating seed a la Minecraft, would it all play out the same??? These are ginormous questions that we do not get into in this episode! Instead, we're examining slightly more manageable examples of randomness in nature, in computing, and even in ourselves. SciShow Tangents is on YouTube! Go to www.youtube.com/scishowtangents to check out this episode with the added bonus of seeing our faces! Head to www.patreon.com/SciShowTangents to find out how you can help support SciShow Tangents, and see all the cool perks you'll get in return, like bonus episodes and a monthly newsletter! A big thank you to Patreon subscriber Garth Riley for helping to make the show possible!And go to https://store.dftba.com/collections/scishow-tangents to buy some great Tangents merch!Follow us on Twitter @SciShowTangents, where we'll tweet out topics for upcoming episodes and you can ask the science couch questions! While you're at it, check out the Tangents crew on Twitter: Ceri: @ceriley Sam: @im_sam_schultz Hank: @hankgreen[The Scientific Definition]The Lost Boarding Pass Problemhttps://www.varsity.co.uk/science/23162The Secretary Problemhttps://www2.math.upenn.edu/~ted/210F10/References/Secretary.pdfhttps://slate.com/technology/2014/12/the-secretary-problem-use-this-algorithm-to-determine-exactly-how-many-people-you-should-assess-before-making-a-new-hire-or-choosing-a-life-partner.htmlThe Sleeping Beauty Problemhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cW27QJYNXtUhttps://www.scientificamerican.com/article/why-the-sleeping-beauty-problem-is-keeping-mathematicians-awake/[Trivia Question]Sum of numbers on a D120 vertex where 10 faces meethttps://www.wired.com/2016/05/mathematical-challenge-of-designing-the-worlds-most-complex-120-sided-dice/[Fact Off]Fastest computer worm in history was the random-scanning worm called Slammer (aka the Sapphire Worm) https://cseweb.ucsd.edu/~savage/papers/IEEESP03.pdfhttps://www.science.org/content/article/fastest-worm-everhttps://ieeexplore.ieee.org/abstract/document/1523881Effectiveness of randomly promoting employees in a business instead of promoting by merit[Ask the Science Couch]Humans are (maybe) bad at intuitively understanding or predicting randomnesshttps://cocosci.princeton.edu/tom/papers/hard.pdfhttps://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5215234/https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5933241/https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0010027717302895https://zhaolab.psych.ubc.ca/pdfs/Zhao_2014_JEPHPP.pdfPatreon bonus: pseudorandom number generators and randomization seedshttps://www.random.org/randomness/https://csrc.nist.gov/glossary/term/pseudorandom_number_generatorhttps://www.acsac.org/2003/papers/79.pdfhttps://www.fourmilab.ch/hotbits/[Butt One More Thing]Dung beetles that attach themselves to butts to find poop non-randomlyhttps://www.sfzoo.org/dung-beetle/https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/19169550/

What's in and what's out for 2025?! Clancy and Gabie share their lists covering everything from beauty to food to fashion to absolute randomness!

Hello! :D Please don't be upset that this video is a bit too relaxed and lacks preparation, I made it on the spot :) I am working on new videos right now and I hope you'll like them when they come out. I GOT NEW MICS thanks to your donations, which I appreciate so much!!! You are all waaaay too generous and I always do my best to donate back to charities and other artists or invest into new equipment with your help. Mics are by Rode NT5 so I called this video Rodes to Randomness. HA! :))) In this video I just talk to you about things and play with Cocunut bag, Crinkly bag with the comb, brush, my gratitude journal and my phone case. AND my camera's battery died on me, which I found out the next day, but I kept the video the way it was, I hope you'll be ok with the chill atmosphere of this video. LOVE YOU! ♥ Thank you for your wonderful messages and comments!!! :D #ASMR #GentleWhispering #relax 1/10/15

In 2022, President Biden signed the Inflation Reduction Act, ushering in, by some estimates, nearly half a trillion dollars of investment in green energy and manufacturing. But what will happen to this huge investment as Donald Trump enters office?Jigar Shah is one of the best people to answer this question. As the director of the Loan Programs Office at the Department of Energy, he has spent his career finding new ways to finance green infrastructure. And he's more optimistic than you might expect about the road ahead.In this conversation, guest host Robinson Meyer, a contributing writer for New York Times Opinion and the founding executive editor of Heatmap News, asks Shah for a progress check on decarbonization. They discuss what has changed about the economics and financing of clean energy; what has worked well in the green energy transition, as well as the trade-offs it has entailed; and what may or may not change as Trump enters office.Book Recommendations:Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Nicholas TalebWhat If We Get It Right? by Ayana Elizabeth JohnsonRomney by McKay CoppinsThoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at ezrakleinshow@nytimes.com.You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs.This episode of “The Ezra Klein Show” was produced by Rollin Hu [Who]. Fact-checking by Michelle Harris, with Mary Marge Locker and Kate Sinclair. Mixing by Isaac Jones, with Efim Shapiro and Aman Sahota. Our supervising editor is Claire Gordon. The show's production team also includes Elias Isquith, Kristin Lin and Jack McCordick. Original music by Pat McCusker. Audience strategy by Kristina Samulewski and Shannon Busta. The executive producer of New York Times Opinion Audio is Annie-Rose Strasser. Unlock full access to New York Times podcasts and explore everything from politics to pop culture. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.

Over the past two months the team at Sales Gravy has been working hard on our business plan for next year. Like so many other companies, we build an annual business plan because we need to know where we're going and how to get there.  We're not leaving our fate to chance. Our business plan is compass that helps us navigate and stay on track to reach our goals.   Randomness is the Enemy of Effectiveness But what about you? Have you ever stopped to think that you need the exact same thing for your upcoming sales year? Without a plan, it's easy to drift and fall into randomness—just waking up every day and hoping something good happens.  But here's the deal: Randomness is the enemy of effectiveness.  If you don't set a clear direction, you'll never hit the target you're aiming for. You'll be like a boat without a rudder—drifting and, eventually, ending up someplace you never intended to go.  Yogi Berra said it best: “If you don't know where you're going, you'll end up someplace else.”  Trust me, “someplace else” isn't where you want to be at the end of next year. Adopt a CEO Mindset The difference between average salespeople and top performers often comes down to one key mindset: top performers don't act like employees; they think like entrepreneurs. The moment you start treating your territory as if it's your own business, your mindset changes. You stop feeling like a cog in the wheel and start seeing yourself as the driver, not the passenger. Your company shoulders the big financial risks—providing you with the product, the brand, the support. But you own your market, solve the problems, and build relationships that turn into revenue. You own your time and results. That's the entrepreneurial mindset.  Creating Your Personal Buisness Plan Starts With A Vision To create your personal business plan, you start your vision.  Where do you want to be a year from now?  What do you want to accomplish in your territory or area of responsibility? What income do you want you earn? What awards do you want to win?  What does winning look like?  Define it. Get crystal clear. Then think about your values.  What do you stand for?  What kind of impact do you want to make? What kind of relationships do you want to build?  How will you show up for your clients, team members, and company every single day? Once you've nailed this down, put your strategy in place.  Break your territory into logical quadrants so that you know where you'll be investing time each day.  Identify the industry verticals that have the highest potential. Pinpoint your ideal customers.  Segment your prospects and customers into High Potential, Medium Potential, and Low Potential.  Create a list of your top ten dream accounts, 25-50 conquest accounts, and 100-500 high potential and medium potential targeted accounts. This will help you attack your territory with a targeted vs random approach.  Identify your key competitors and do an analysis of each of their strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats. Then do the same for yourself. Define your daily battle rhythm, disciplines, and activities that drive pipeline growth.  Get intentional about your priorities and how you manage your calendar. After all, time is your greatest asset and as the CEO of you, your time is money.  Once you have clarity on your vision and strategy, get granular. A vision without action is just a fantasy.  Break Your Personal Business Plan Into Small Steps to Success Break your plan down into achievable goals. I'm a fan of activity-based metrics because you can control them. This is about setting standards that become non-negotiable habits. The key is to choose metrics that move the needle on revenue and are fully within your contro You can't always control who picks up the phone or who says yes, but you can control how many doors you knock on, how many calls you make,