Podcasts about seattle pi

Newspaper in Seattle, Washington

  • 31PODCASTS
  • 114EPISODES
  • 55mAVG DURATION
  • 1EPISODE EVERY OTHER WEEK
  • May 7, 2025LATEST
seattle pi

POPULARITY

20172018201920202021202220232024


Best podcasts about seattle pi

Latest podcast episodes about seattle pi

Top of Mind
Tackling the Affordability Crisis with Dr. Arpit Gupta

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2025 37:32


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Dr. Arpit Gupta of NYU's Stern School of Business. The two discuss Dr. Gupta's important research on housing affordability, and the causes and cures of our unaffordable housing market. They uncover insights about which local regulations are the most negative for affordable housing, surprising data about how property taxes impact families and the market, and how home equity will impact future economic downturns. About Arpit Gupta Arpit Gupta is a professor of finance at New York University's Stern School of Business. Professor Gupta's research interests focus on using large datasets to understand default dynamics real estate and household finance. He received his B.S. in math and econ at the University of Chicago and his Ph.D. in Finance and econ from Columbia Business School. Dr. Gupta has done really useful research on housing affordability. He's studied the impact of housing regulation and taxation on affordability. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  The ways in which regulation contributes to unaffordability in the housing market Which types of local regulations are the most negative for housing affordability Why low property taxes hurt young families One surprising reason that Texas real estate is more affordable than California What California does well and what it does poorly in the battle for affordability Why New York's AirBnB ban didn't help affordability How remote work has changed the housing market and what's next Related to this episode: Arpit Gupta | LinkedIn Arpit Gupta | X Arpit Gupta ⁠Mike Simonsen | LinkedIn⁠ ⁠Altos⁠ Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos A true data geek, Mike founded Altos in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: ⁠Altos on Twitter⁠ ⁠Mike on Twitter⁠ About Altos Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. ⁠Schedule a demo⁠ to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: ⁠How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business⁠. The Top of Mind podcast features top real estate industry insiders and experts to unpack the most important housing, real estate, mortgage data and trends that are shaping the housing market. Hosted by Altos founder Mike Simonsen and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Top of Mind
The Next Chapter: Data is your license to think bigger with HousingWire's Clayton Collins

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 9, 2025 46:13


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike gets time with HW Media CEO and HousingWire publisher Clayton Collins to talk about the latest HousingWire Data company announcements, and explores the most important trends, people, and ideas driving our industry in 2025. About Clayton Collins Clayton Collins is the Chief Executive Officer of HW Media, the leading media and information services company for housing and real estate professionals. As Publisher of HousingWire, he drives the company's mission to empower housing leaders with trusted journalism, proprietary data, and industry-leading events. Since acquiring HousingWire in 2016, Clayton has led HW Media's transformation into a multi-brand platform, expanding its reach through the acquisitions of RealTrends and Altos Research. Under his leadership, HW Media delivers critical market intelligence, data-driven insights, and high-impact events that inform and connect professionals across housing finance and real estate. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  What is HousingWire Data, and what does it mean for our clients The three big themes shaping the industry in 2025 Who's making the biggest moves in the industry—and why it matters How the mortgage and housing landscape has evolved over the past decade (and where it's heading next) Which topics get the most attention on HousingWire.com each day and why. Related to this episode: HousingWire Data Mike Simonsen | LinkedIn Altos Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos A true data geek, Mike founded Altos in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business. The Top of Mind podcast features top real estate industry insiders and experts to unpack the most important housing, real estate, mortgage data and trends that are shaping the housing market. Hosted by Altos founder Mike Simonsen and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio.

Top of Mind
Real Solutions to the Homeless Crisis with DignityMoves' Elizabeth Funk

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 2, 2025 52:29


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Elizabeth Funk, Founder & Chief Executive Officer of DignityMoves, to talk about real progress being made with the crisis of homelessness in America. Elizabeth shares DignityMove's innovative interim housing solutions, deep insights about the American system of housing and homelessness, and dramatic success stories from cities all over California that are reaching functional zero unsheltered homelessness. About Elizabeth Funk Elizabeth is the founder & chief executive officer of DignityMoves, a nonprofit developer that works with municipalities to bring people indoors quickly, safely, and at scale. Elizabeth is a pioneer of impact investing and microfinance. Her career blends Silicon Valley high-growth start-up entrepreneurship with innovative impact initiatives that align for-profit and nonprofit approaches to accelerate positive social impact outcomes. Elizabeth has been actively involved in homelessness in California for nearly two decades. She served on the board and chaired Glide Memorial's Community Housing initiative, on the board of LifeMoves, a leading homelessness services organization in Silicon Valley, and on the real estate advisory board of HomeRise, a permanent supportive housing developer in San Francisco. Elizabeth holds an undergraduate degree in International Relations and Economics from Stanford University and an MBA from Harvard Business School. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  What is “Functional Zero Unsheltered Homeless” and why does it matter? How costs, building standards, zoning laws contribute to homelessness and what we can do about it Why tackling homelessness in the first few weeks of displacement is critical What is interim housing, how it can solve the unsheltered crisis, and why it costs half as much as we're currently spending Why many local governments still object and resist to new approaches to tackling the crisis The new political leaders committed to fixing the problem Why the “Aha!” moment is upon us with homelessness Related to this episode: DignityMoves Elizabeth Funk | LinkedIn Mike Simonsen | LinkedIn Altos Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos A true data geek, Mike founded Altos in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business. The Top of Mind podcast features top real estate industry insiders and experts to unpack the most important housing, real estate, mortgage data and trends that are shaping the housing market. Hosted by Altos founder Mike Simonsen and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio.

Top of Mind
Mortgage Tech Insights with Adam Carmel

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 12, 2025 38:28


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Adam Carmel, CEO and founder of Polly, to talk about mortgage technology and the mortgage markets. About Adam Carmel Adam Carmel is the founder and CEO of Polly, a true mortgage technology trailblazer. Adam founded Polly in 2019 to build a vertically integrated mortgage platform. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  The remarkable story of why and how he started Polly His leadership strategies in these volatile markets How he leads a mortgage technology company and doesn't let mortgage rates into the decision process Why the cost of loans has risen from $2,000 to $12,000 and how Polly aims to bring it all the way back down The incredible opportunity for AI and how consumer and mortgage cost wins are already here with AI in the mortgage process What the Polly data says about the opportunity for lenders in 2025 Scenarios of what could happen to the mortgage market if we privatize Fannie and Freddie How to think about America's 30-year fixed rate mortgage market and how it might evolve Related to this episode: Polly Adam Carmel | LinkedIn Mike Simonsen | LinkedIn Altos Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business. The Top of Mind podcast features top real estate industry insiders and experts to unpack the most important housing, real estate, mortgage data and trends that are shaping the housing market. Hosted by Altos founder Mike Simonsen and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio.

Top of Mind
How the Brokerage Business is Changing

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 26, 2025 52:13


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Jason Waugh, president of Coldwell Banker Affiliates, to talk about how the real estate brokerage business is changing in 2025. Jason shares insights from CB's 100,000 agents, the latest findings from CB's Global Luxury Trends report, and how the agent-consumer relationship is changing after the dramatic real estate commissions settlements of 2024. About Jason Waugh Jason Waugh is president of Coldwell Banker Affiliates for Coldwell Banker Real Estate. where he runs the brand's marketing, franchise sales and operations teams for 100,000 real estate sales professionals in more than 2,700 offices across 39 countries. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  What it's like running an iconic real estate brand in 2025 The latest findings from CB's Global Luxury Trends report Notable demographic trends for luxury real estate buyers How agent/homebuyer relationships are changing after the commission lawsuits Which consumers continue to choose full-service/full-price real estate services Which markets are noticing commission compression Insights on today's unique commercial real estate trends Related to this episode: Coldwell Banker Affliates Jason Waugh | LinkedIn Mike Simonsen | LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business. The Top of Mind podcast features top real estate industry insiders and experts to unpack the most important housing, real estate, mortgage data and trends that are shaping the housing market. Hosted by Altos founder Mike Simonsen and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio.

Top of Mind
What's Happening with Home Renovations

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 12, 2025 41:17


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Julie Kheyfets, CEO of Block Renovation, to talk about what's happening with home renovations this year and beyond. About Julie Kheyfets Julie Kheyfets is the CEO of Block Renovation, the AI renovation platform empowering homeowners and contractors to build better together. Block's AI delivers instant cost, scope, and design guidance tailored to each homeowner, powered by proprietary data from thousands of projects. By accessing Block's vetted network of contractors, homeowners can discover the right professionals for their projects, rapidly receive easy-to-compare proposals, and hire with confidence, backed by Block's project protections. Before being appointed CEO, Julie served as Block's COO, steering Block's operations as the company evolved from a one-stop shop for renovations to an AI marketplace platform. Julie brings a strong track record of scaling AI to help consumers in complex industries. Before joining Block, she built and led the North America business for Tractable, the AI platform for accident and disaster recovery. During Julie's tenure, Tractable became the world's first computer vision unicorn for financial services. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  How to match consumers with contractors Why so much of the difficulty in remodeling are “problems of information” The surprising relationship between interest rates and remodeling Block's unique demand renovation demand data and what it's telling us about the market right now How changes to the immigration system will impact the remodeling industry Why productivity in construction has not improved in 50 years and why that is about to change Trends in AI that homeowners should pay attention to Why AI and information have the potential to dramatically improve the consumer relationship with the contractor The most important demographic trends and what they tell us about the home renovation market over the rest of the decade Which local markets are the leaders and laggards in renovation Related to this episode: Julie Kheyfets | LinkedIn Block Renovation Mike Simonsen | LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business. The Top of Mind podcast features top real estate industry insiders and experts to unpack the most important housing, real estate, mortgage data and trends that are shaping the housing market. Hosted by Altos founder Mike Simonsen and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio.

Deconstructing Disney

Episode SummaryIn this episode about Cars (2006), Erin and Rachel take a road trip to Radiator Springs, discussing Pixar history, environmentalism, and masculinity and masculinity along the way. Ka-chow! Episode BibliographyThe Amazing Double Life of Jorgen Klubien. (2013, October 15). FLIP. https://flipanimation.blogspot.com/2013/10/the-amazing-double-life-of-jorgen.htmlArnold, W. (2006, June 8). Cars is a joyous ride. Seattle PI. https://www.seattlepi.com/entertainment/movies/article/cars-is-a-joyous-ride-1205659.phpCars. (n.d.). Box Office Mojo. Retrieved January 17, 2025, from https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1195935233/Cars (2006) - Awards. (n.d.). IMDb. https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0317219/awards/Cars (2006) - Full Cast & Crew. (n.d.). IMDb. https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0317219/fullcreditsCars (film). (n.d.). Wikipedia. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cars_(film)Cars — Pixar Animation Studios. (2025). Pixar Animation Studios. https://www.pixar.com/carsCars Production Information. (n.d.). https://web.archive.org/web/20070308104817/http://adisney.go.com/disneypictures/cars/us/bios/CARSProdNotes.pdfCulbreth, S., & Huber, R. J. (2015). Cars and social interest. The Journal of Individual Psychology, 71(3), 327-336.Ebert, R. (2006, June 8). NASCAR + Pixar = Pixcars movie review (2006). Roger Ebert. https://www.rogerebert.com/reviews/cars-2006Gillam, K., & Wooden, S. R. (2008). Post-princess models of gender: The new man in Disney/Pixar. Journal of Popular Film and Television, 36(1), 2-8. doi: 10.3200/JPFT.36.1.2-8Hill, J. (2011, July 6). The Roads Not Taken With Pixar's Cars Films. HuffPost. https://www.huffpost.com/entry/disney-cars-films_b_890538Hott, L. R., & Lewis, T. (Directors). (1997). Divided Highways: The Interstates and the Transformation of American Life [Film]. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PLr-8QPbiAYJoe Ranft. (n.d.). Wikipedia. Retrieved January 18, 2025, from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joe_RanftJørgen Klubien. (n.d.). Pixar Cars Wiki. https://pixarcars.fandom.com/wiki/J%C3%B8rgen_KlubienKinzler, K. D., & DeJesus, J. M. (2013). Northern = smart and Souther = nice: The development of accent attitudes in the United States. The Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology, 66(6), 1146-1158. DOI: 10.1080/17470218.2012.731695Klubien, J. (2024). Story Development. Jorgen Klubien. https://jorgenklubien.com/portfolio/story%20developmentLasseter, J. (Director). (2006). Cars [Film]. Pixar Animation Studios.Lowry, B. (2006, June 4). Film Review: Cars. Variety. https://variety.com/2006/film/reviews/cars-3-1200515758/Malouf, M. (2017). Behind the closet door: Pixar and petro-literacy. In S. Wilson, A. Carlson, & I. Szeman (Eds.), Petrocultures: Oil, politics, culture (pp. 138-161). Ness, M. (2017, July 27). Driving Without Wonder: Pixar's Cars. Reactor. https://reactormag.com/driving-without-wonder-pixars-cars/Price, D. A. (2009). The Pixar Touch: The Making of a Company. Knopf Doubleday Publishing Group.Rahayu, N. (2019). The portrayal of gender and race in the Cars trilogy. Atavisme, 22,(1), 75-87. doi: 10.24257/atavisme.v22i1.532.75-87Reaves, J. (2006). Movie Review: 'Cars'. Metromix. https://web.archive.org/web/20060613101342/http://metromix.chicagotribune.com/movies/mmx-060609-movies-review-cars%2C0%2C997014.storyTenzek, K. E., & Nickels, B. M. (2019). End-of-life in Disney and Pixar films: An opportunity forengaging in difficult conversation. OMEGA-Journal of Death and Dying, 80(1), 49-68. doi: 10.1177/0030222817726258Travers, P. (2006, June 1). Cars. Rolling Stone. https://www.rollingstone.com/tv-movies/tv-movie-reviews/cars-119316/Wilonsky, R. (2006, May 30). Running on Fumes. The Village Voice. https://web.archive.org/web/20140107215214/http://www.villagevoice.com/2006-05-30/film/running-on-fumes/WonderLand. (2020, November 8). Pixar Cars 2006 Behind The Scenes. YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uF40QwDZtXo

Top of Mind
Zillow's Take on the 2025 Housing Market

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 29, 2025 61:26


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Dr. Orphe Divounguy, senior economist with Zillow's Economic Research team, to talk about what's on the horizon for the housing market this year. Orphe shares the latest findings from Zillow's 2025 forecasts, offers some surprising insights from Zillow's rental data, gives us a framework for understanding mortgage rates and affordability in the U.S., and much more. About Dr. Orphe Divounguy Orphe Divounguy is a senior economist with Zillow's Economic Research team where he analyzes economic data to try and identify emerging trends in the housing market. In the past, Orphe's work focused on quanÏtitative methods for evaluating the impact of economic policy. Orphe earned a doctorate in economics from England's University of Southampton. Orphe is also the founder of the Quantitative Research Group and the co-host of the Everyday Economics podcast. The team's research can be found at zillow.com/research and includes analyses about for-sale and rental market dynamics, fair housing, and other topics. Zillow also provides dozens of housing market datasets freely available for download at zillow.com/data. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  Details from Zillow's 2025 housing market forecasts: mortgage rates, home sales and home prices How American homeowner wealth helped stave off recession and what it means for the housing market in 2025 The most important macro economic trends to watch now and what they mean for real estate this year Surprising insights from Zillow's rental data on trends in apartments and single family rentals, and what to expect in the near future. Which local markets to watch in 2025 and why Smart thinking on the affordability crisis, how it's changing and how we might find our way out Resources mentioned in this episode: Zillow Housing Data Orphe Divounguy| LinkedIn Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business. The Top of Mind podcast features top real estate industry insiders and experts to unpack the most important housing, real estate, mortgage data and trends that are shaping the housing market. Hosted by Altos founder Mike Simonsen and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio.

Top of Mind
Decoding the 2025 Housing Market with Bill McBride

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 15, 2025 61:13


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Bill McBride from Calculated Risk to talk about what to expect in the housing market in 2025 and beyond. About Bill McBride Bill McBride is a housing market expert and the author of the popular economics blog and newsletter “Calculated Risk”, which Nobel laureate economists have cited as a “go-to website for housing matters.” Bill may be best known for accurately predicting the housing bubble in 2005, and the bottom in housing prices in early 2012. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  Why the US housing market faces “seven years of purgatory” Why inventory is more important than sales numbers for understanding the housing market The market stat that Bill is watching this year and what it tells us to expect Why mortgage rates will be stuck above 6% for a while What's on the horizon for recessions, inflation, and employment in 2025 and what it all means for the real estate market How to measure home prices and what to expect for 2025 Why investors are less impactful in 2025 than they were a few years ago How to spot a brewing financial crisis The longer-term impact of changing demographics How to view the affordability crisis and what's likely to happen A look at the 2030 housing market Resources mentioned in this episode: text Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business. The Top of Mind podcast features top real estate industry insiders and experts to unpack the most important housing, real estate, mortgage data and trends that are shaping the housing market. Hosted by Altos founder Mike Simonsen and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio.

Murder With My Husband
250. The Stoplight Killer - The Murder of Yancy Noll

Murder With My Husband

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 6, 2025 47:33


In this episode, Payton and Garrett explore the unsettling case of Yancy Noll, a man tragically gunned down at a stoplight. Was it a spontaneous act of road rage or a calculated, cold-blooded murder? NEW MERCH LINK: https://mwmhshop.com Twitch: https://www.twitch.tv/themwmh Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/murderwithmyhusband/ Discount Codes: https://mailchi.mp/c6f48670aeac/oh-no-media-discount-codes Watch on Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@murderwithmyhusband Listen on Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/into-the-dark/id1662304327 Listen on spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/36SDVKB2MEWpFGVs9kRgQ7?si=f5224c9fd99542a7 Case Sources: CapitolHillSeattle.com- https://www.capitolhillseattle.com/2015/01/yancy-noll-killer-sentenced-to-29-years-in-prison/ CBSNews.com - https://www.cbsnews.com/news/yancy-noll-murder-road-rage-turned-deadly-or-thrill-kill/ SeattlePI.com - https://www.seattlepi.com/seattlenews/article/Shooter-in-random-Seattle-murder-gets-29-years-5990912.php KIRO7.com - https://www.kiro7.com/news/murder-suspect-i-shot-victim-self-defense/82074516/ CaseText.com -  https://casetext.com/case/in-re-pers-restraint-of-bowman-1 Courts.WA.gov - https://www.courts.wa.gov/opinions/pdf/730690.pdf ParamountExpress.com - https://www.paramountpressexpress.com/cbs-news-and-stations/shows/48-hours/releases/?view=45999-the-murder-of-a-seattle-wine-steward-driving-home-put-the-city-on-edge-was-it-road-rage-or-was-the-gunman-a-self-taught-killer-intent-on-finding-the-p SPDBlotter.com - https://spdblotter.seattle.gov/2012/09/10/i-killed-yancy-noll-who-am-i/ Fox13Seattle.com - https://www.fox13seattle.com/news/man-found-guilty-of-2012-murder-juror-says-no-evidence-of-road-rage LATimes.com - https://www.latimes.com/nation/la-xpm-2012-sep-24-la-na-nn-seattle-road-rage-20120924-story.html ThePourFool.com - https://thepourfool.com/2021/08/09/the-murder-of-yancy-noll-a-sense-of-senselessness-nine-years-on/ MyNorthwest.com - https://mynorthwest.com/16786/prosecutor-says-defendant-was-on-a-murder-quest-in-yancy-noll-killing/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

United States of Murder
Christmas Special: The Anderson Family Carnation Massacre and Sameena Imam

United States of Murder

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 23, 2024 55:54


Welcome to our Yuletide Special! Buckle up and join us on this dark and twisted sleigh ride through crimes and Christmastime. You may now join us on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Patreon⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ or ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠buy us a ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Cocktail⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Be sure to subscribe on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Apple⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and leave a review, or, email us at unitedstatesofmurder@gmail.com Follow us on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Facebook⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Instagram⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, and⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Twitter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠!⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Sources: Seattle Times, Washington State Court Records, Seattle PI, Spree Killer - The True Story of Michele Anderson, Banquet of Consequences, Find a Grave, Vice, Cooper Brothers Found Guilty, David Cooper Police Interview, BBC Music by ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Pixabay⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/unitedstatesofmurder/support

Top of Mind
“The Great Stay” Economy with Guy Berger

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 18, 2024 54:22


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Guy Berger, Director of Economic Research at the Burning Glass Institute, to talk about “The Great Stay”: how the lack of mobility in an otherwise strong labor market is impacting the housing market About Guy Berger Guy Berger is a macroeconomist with expertise in US labor markets, and currently serves as the Director of Economic Research at the Burning Glass Institute. He was previously the Principal Economist at LinkedIn, and has also worked as an economist at Bank of America and the Royal Bank of Scotland. His work includes the creation of novel economic indicators, the development of models linking the macroeconomy to business performance, and the design of economic reports. His commentary has been featured frequently in the media, including the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, CNBC, Bloomberg, Yahoo! Finance and Axios. Guy holds a doctorate in economics from Yale University. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  What is “The Great Stay” economy with the labor market and housing? Why stagnation in jobs means fewer home sales and why fewer home sales means fewer job openings How companies are hoarding labor like Americans are hoarding real estate When will this Great Stay era end? How the labor market will change with reduced immigration and which sectors will be hit the hardest Will the Fed pivot in 2025 to growing employment or will we still be fighting inflation? The most important demographic trends to consider in the next few years Outlook for the future of jobs in America with big trends like AI and remote work Resources mentioned in this episode: The Burning Glass Institute Guy Berger | LinkedIn Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business. The Top of Mind podcast features top real estate industry insiders and experts to unpack the most important housing, real estate, mortgage data and trends that are shaping the housing market. Hosted by Altos founder Mike Simonsen and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio.

Top of Mind
The Latest on the Distressed Housing Market with Daren Blomquist

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 4, 2024 60:54


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Daren Blomquist from Auction.com to talk about the state of the distressed housing market.  About Daren Blomquist Daren Blomquist is vice president of market economics at Auction.com. In this role, Blomquist analyzes and forecasts complex macro and microeconomic data trends within the marketplace and industry to provide value to both buyers and sellers using the Auction.com platform. Daren's reports and analysis have been cited by thousands of media outlets — including all the major news networks and leading publications such as The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times and USA TODAY. Daren has been quoted in hundreds of publications and has appeared on many national network broadcasts, including CBS, ABC, CNN, CNBC, FOX Business and Bloomberg. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  What their investor activity tells us about housing demand right now What their leading indicators say about home sales in 2025 The surprising trends with distressed borrowers in 2024 Which states have distressed and foreclosure levels approaching 2019 (it's not what you'd think) Which states have 80% fewer foreclosures now than in 2019 The notable new demand trends for distressed property buyers in 2024 The #1 reason their clients aren't buying homes The leading indicators in their data and what it tells us about 2025 The new phenomenon of “Foreclosure Spin Cycle” and what it means for American homeowners Daren's bearish forecast for home prices in 2025 and 2026 Resources mentioned in this episode: Daren Blomquist | LinkedIn Auction.com Mike Simonsen | LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

the weekly
week of nov 25: Alex Halverson - Seattle Times

the weekly

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 24, 2024 33:53


Top Stories:1. FTC might come after MicrosoftSeattle Times article (Alex's article)2. Elysian closes Georgetown locationPSBJ article3. SLUT stays, for nowPSBJ article4. Capital gains tax staysSeattle Times article (WA tax - Alex's article)Seattle Times article (Seattle tax)5. Sears is closingSeattle Times article About co-host Alex Halverson - Business Reporter, Seattle TimesPrior to his role as a Business Reporter at Seattle Times he was a Tech Reporter at the Puget Sound Business Journal and a Senior Producer at Seattle PI. Alex has also been featured on KUOW's Week in Review.About host Rachel Horgan:Rachel is an independent event producer, emcee and entrepreneur. She worked for the Business Journal for 5 years as their Director of Events interviewing business leaders on stage before launching the weekly podcast. She earned her communication degree from the University of San Diego. Contact:Email: info@theweeklyseattle.comInstagram: @theweeklyseattleWebsite: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠www.theweeklyseattle.com

Top of Mind
The Housing Market Outlook for 2025 with HousingWire's Logan Mohtashami

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 13, 2024 56:46


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Logan Mohtashami, lead analyst at HousingWire, to talk about his predictions for 2025. Logan looks at inventory challenges, offers his take on what to expect with mortgage rates, and gives his forecast for prices, home sales, and more. He also shares which signals we should be watching for shifts in the market in the coming year. About Logan Mohtashami Logan Mohtashami is a renowned expert in the mortgage and housing ecosystem, recognized for his insightful analysis and commentary on the U.S. economy and real estate market. Mohtashami is a lead analyst for HousingWire and is a regular contributor on the HousingWire Daily podcast. With a background spanning over two decades in the mortgage industry, Mohtashami — nicknamed “The Chart Guy” — has the remarkable ability to decipher complex economic data and translate it into understandable, actionable insights. This knowledge has made Mohtashami a sought-after commentator and his expertise has been featured extensively in news outlets, including CNBC, where he is a frequent guest. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  How the housing market at the end of 2024 has fundamentally changed Where his forecasts for 2024 missed and where he got it right Logan's forecasts for mortgage rates, home sales, inventory, and home prices in 2025 Which macroeconomic factors are the most important to watch for housing in 2025 What to watch for with the Fed in the coming year Who is at risk and who has strength in today's housing economy One insightful factor buoying home buyers today What's on the horizon for real estate in the second half of the decade Resources mentioned in this episode: Logan Mohtashami | HousingWire Mike Simonsen | LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
2025 Housing Market Trends with First American's Mark Fleming

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 30, 2024 60:12


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Mark Fleming, chief economist at First American Financial Corporation, to talk about the major market dynamics that will shape the real estate market in 2025. About Mark Fleming Mark Fleming serves as the chief economist for First American Financial Corporation, a premier provider of title, settlement and risk solutions for real estate transactions and the leader in the digital transformation of its industry. In his role, he leads an economics team responsible for analysis, commentary and forecasting trends in the real estate and mortgage markets. Fleming's research expertise primarily includes real estate and urban economics, applied econometrics, and mortgage risk. As a trusted and influential voice with 20 years of experience in the mortgage and property information business, Fleming is frequently quoted by national news outlets and industry trade publications, such as The Wall Street Journal, New York Times, and Housing Wire, and he is a regular guest on a high-profile broadcast news channels, including CBS, CNBC, Fox Business News and NPR. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  Are we at the end of “the long cold winter” in the housing market Are we poised for a rebound in 2025? Why home sales fell but not home prices in the post-pandemic era His expectation for where mortgage rates will settle How he measures affordability, and what it teaches us about the US right now The most and least affordable markets in the country, and how that's changing Whether first time homebuyers in 2025 will finally catch a break How to estimate home price appreciation Why the biggest trends in the housing market are not poised to change in 2025 What the election means for housing (and what it doesn't) Surprising stats about how much we (don't) build homes anymore Resources mentioned in this episode: Mark Fleming | LinkedIn First American Mike Simonsen | LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
Housing Demographics with John Burns' Eric Finnigan

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2024 69:00


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Eric Finnigan, Vice President of Demographics Research at John Burns, to talk about the biggest themes and trends in American housing demographics today. About Eric Finnigan Eric Finnigan leads demographics research at John Burns Research and Consulting, where he helps clients plan around demographic shifts that impact real estate and the housing market. Eric has covered the housing market as a researcher since 2007, and before joining John Burns, he held research roles at Clarion Partners in New York and a boutique advisory firm in Berkeley, California. Finally, Eric is an elder millennial and, along with many of his peers, hit some adult milestones a little later than his parents, including getting married in his late 30s and recently buying his first home at 40. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  The biggest themes in American demographics right now What the demographic trends tell us about the next 20 years of housing demand The most important demographic data to track, and what's happening with it now What's going to happen with all the new apartment construction The net impact of immigration on housing costs Why dramatically limited immigration or mass deportation would be catastrophic to housing market and cause greater unaffordability Some shocking new trends in intra-country migration How many homes we really need to build over the next 10 years The #1 thing that we can do to improve housing construction and alleviate our shortage What the US will look like in 2033 and why that matters Resources mentioned in this episode: Eric Finnigan | JBREC Eric Finnigan | LinkedIn Eric Finnigan | Twitter John Burns Research and Consulting Mike Simonsen | LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
Deep Dive on Rentals with Zumper's Anthemos Georgiades

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 28, 2024 57:07


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Anthemos Georgiades from online rental marketplace Zumper to talk about the biggest trends in the rental market today. About Anthemos Georgiades Anthemos Georgiades is the Co-Founder & CEO of Zumper. At Zumper, Anth leads the company in its mission to make renting a home as easy as booking a hotel. Since 2012, Anth has grown Zumper into one of the largest online rental marketplaces with tens of millions of annual users, and has raised $180 million in venture capital for the company. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  The biggest trends in rentals in the country today What “normal” looks like in the rental market after the pandemic craziness Where rents are falling, where they're rising, and why How renters' perceptions of the economy impact their behavior, and how these perceptions are changing Whether the market will get easier or harder for landlords in the coming year How purchase and interest rate affordability challenges are felt in the rental market How the demographics of renters have changed over the last decade, and what's coming next How AI is already changing how we find and rent homes, and where we need to be careful The big policy changes happening in housing across the country, and where should we focus our efforts Resources mentioned in this episode: Anthemos Georgiades | Twitter Anthemos Georgiades | LinkedIn Zumper Mike Simonsen | LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
Tackling America's Housing Crisis with Mercatus Center's Salim Furth

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2024 62:54


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Salim Furth from the Mercatus Center at George Mason University to explore America's housing affordability and supply crisis and the optimistic changes that are under way. About Salim Furth Salim Furth is a Senior Research Fellow and Director of the Urbanity project at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University. His research focuses on housing production and land use regulation. He frequently advises local governments and testifies before state and federal legislatures. He earned his Ph.D. in economics from the University of Rochester. Furth previously worked at the Heritage Foundation, at Amherst College, and as a contractor to HUD. His research has been published in Housing Policy Debate, Critical Housing Analysis, and the IZA Journal of Labor Policy. He serves as an advisor to the board of Texans for Reasonable Solutions and a Better Cities Project Fellow.served as lead independent trustee and eventually board chairman overseeing a multibillion-dollar ETF trust until its sale in early 2024. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  Why an esoteric domain like housing policy and zoning is suddenly in the spotlight in the US What the “Housing Theory of Everything” is and why it's important Why the housing shortage isn't confined to the United States and which countries are tackling it Why NIMBYism is a universal human (or at least Anglophile) value The shocking extent of our under-construction Which simple zoning and regulation changes are making impact around the country Which cities and states are doing the best work in housing Whether increased immigration helps or hurts housing affordability Which tax law changes are most effective What will happen if the population declines The optimistic and pessimistic scenarios for residential real estate, affordability and supply in the longer term future Conclusions and insights from his recent “Laying Foundations” paper about the 50 most recent legislative efforts around the country Resources mentioned in this episode: Salim Furth | LinkedIn Salim Furth | X Mercatus Center Salim Furth | Mercatus Center Mike Simonsen | LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
Forecasting Home Prices with Pulsenomics' Terry Loebs

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 10, 2024 58:24


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Terry Loebs from Pulsenomics for a deep dive into forecasting home prices and the housing market. Terry has been at the forefront of measuring and projecting home prices for decades. About Terry Loebs Terry Loebs possesses more than 35 years of experience in the capital markets and in developing innovative data-driven products and services. He started his career on Wall Street evaluating and trading mortgage whole loans and servicing rights portfolios while earning his MBA at The New York University Stern School of Business. After joining the Case Shiller Weiss, Inc. (CSW) in 1996, Terry led the commercial development of the Case-Shiller Indexes®, the subsequent effort to establish their reputation as a premier home price performance benchmark, and the launch of the first AVM for both consumers and lenders. After the 2002 acquisition of CSW by Fiserv, Terry managed the property data analytics team at the merged organization for three years before reuniting with Robert Shiller at MacroMarkets LLC. In 2011, Terry founded Pulsenomics®, an independent research and index product development firm that leverages expertise in data analytics, opinion research, financial markets, and economics to deliver unique insight and market intelligence to institutional clients, partners, and the public at large. Since 2010, Terry has managed an expert survey panel comprised of over 150 leading economists, investment strategists, portfolio managers, and real estate market analysts to produce the quarterly Home Price Expectations Survey™, which is currently sponsored by Fannie Mae.  For nearly a decade, Terry also served as lead independent trustee and eventually board chairman overseeing a multibillion-dollar ETF trust until its sale in early 2024. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  Can people really forecast the housing market? Or home prices? Can we better understand how housing wealth impacts the broader economy? Why legacy macroeconomic confidence indicators don't include housing and why that matters What the Fannie Mae Home Price Expectations Survey tells us about the housing market for 2024 and beyond The surprising way that forecasters' views for housing in 2024 are different than they have been for the last 15 years Why home prices have “downward stickiness” How forecasting long-term home prices is different from forecasting the next year and what to look for long term The one housing market indicator that 84% of expert panelists agree on Which risks are not yet priced into the housing market expectations The big macro economic trends that are potentially the most impactful for the housing market in the coming years. Resources mentioned in this episode: Terry Loebs | LinkedIn Pulsenomics Mike Simonsen | LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
Real Talk on Rates with Mortgage News Daily's Matt Graham

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 26, 2024 54:15


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Matt Graham from MBS Live and Mortgage News Daily. A former loan originator, Matt is one of the foremost technology innovators and market commentators in the mortgage industry. Matt talks about what to expect with mortgage rates for the rest of the year and into 2025, and offers keen insights into a variety of other economic indicators. About Matt Graham A former originator, Matt fell into the rabbit hole of following the bond market in order to better understand mortgage rate movement. While the systems available at the time were useful, they barely scratched the surface. They also ran the risk of teaching originators to focus on things that didn't really matter. So Matt set out to build something that solved both problems. In the 20 years that followed, Matt has proven to be the industry's foremost innovator in market data services designed specifically for mortgage originators. MBS Live continues to be the most trusted, most accurate, and most timely source of streaming bond prices, data and dialogue. Matt is routinely featured in the media as a mortgage rate expert and is responsible for helping several major media outlets modernize their mortgage rate reporting. He currently lives in the Pacific Northwest where he enjoys skiing, fishing, hunting, coaching youth sports, playing in the old guy league, and most of all, spending time with his family. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  Why everyone was fooled about rates for 2024 What to look for with mortgage rates for the rest of the year and into 2025 What to look for in the inflation data for the next few months Which other macroeconomic measures we should be watching How the Fed communicates, and how markets react to the Fed The latest dynamics of mortgage pricing, fees and points Why the last two years has been “tougher than the Great Financial Crisis” for mortgage lenders Why the 8% interest rate in September 2023 was probably “defensive panic” and unlikely to repeat How the post-Covid stimulus money is still reverberating in the economy and the markets today Whether there's a threshold rate for where consumers start to buy homes His view of the imperative to “spread the wealth” of real estate in the US to more people, including those who are long term renters Resources mentioned in this episode: Matt Graham | LinkedIn MBS Live Mortgage News Daily Mike Simonsen | LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
Building a Rental Business with Michael Zuber from One Rental at a Time

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 12, 2024 53:14


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Michael Zuber from One Rental at a Time to talk about how he built a thriving rental business and the big market trends for people who are building now. About Michael Zuber Michael Zuber is Author of One Rental at a Time, a story of working full time and building a real estate portfolio that eventually replaced two six-figure incomes. Having successfully made the leap from W2 to Financial Freedom 5+ years ago he now spends his time helping others see what is possible with a little focus and daily discipline. Resources mentioned in this episode: One Rental at a Time Michael Zuber | LinkedIn Michael Zuber | Instagram Mike Simonsen | LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
Getting Smart on ADUs with Samara's Mike McNamara

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later May 22, 2024 66:25


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Mike McNamara, co-founder and CEO of Samara, to talk about all things ADUs. ADUs, or accessory dwelling units, are small, self-contained residential units located on the same lot as an existing single-family home. You might know them as “granny flats” or “in-laws” or even “casitas.” And given the housing affordability crisis in our country, ADUs are starting to really gain traction as a potential solution for this. Mike gives us a primer on ADUs and why they hold so much promise for solving many of America's housing challenges. About Mike McNamara Mike McNamara is the co-founder and CEO of Samara, a company that aims to improve the way we live, starting by holistically reimagining the home. Samara aspires to a brighter future through beautifully-designed products that balance comfort, sustainability, and simplicity.  In 2020, McNamara was tapped by Joe Gebbia to lead an innovation team inside Airbnb. In 2022, the innovation team was moved out of Airbnb and reborn as Samara.  Prior to Airbnb, McNamara spent 13 years as the CEO of Flex, a Fortune 500 company in the electronics manufacturing industry. Alongside the executive team, he grew the company to over 200,000 employees in 30 countries and generated over $25B in revenue. McNamara served as a Board member of MEMC (energy), Delphi (automotive), Flex (manufacturing and technology) and Slack (enterprise software). He currently serves on two public boards - Carrier and Workday. He also serves as an advisor to New Legacy which operates multiple investment funds. McNamara received a bachelor's degree from the University of Cincinnati and a master's degree in business administration from Santa Clara University. Resources mentioned in this episode: Mike McNamara | LinkedIn Samara raises $41 million to bring high quality ADUs to every backyard in California and beyond Samara Mike Simonsen | LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
Growing an Iconic Real Estate Brand with Ginger Wilcox, Better Homes & Gardens Real Estate

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later May 8, 2024 27:15


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, recorded live at HousingWire's The Gathering conference, Mike Simonsen sits down with Ginger Wilcox, President of Better Homes & Gardens Real Estate, to talk about her plans to grow the iconic international brokerage in a challenging market. Ginger shares insights into how they're preparing their agents for what the future holds, why their size and scale helps them weather storms in the market, and the recommendations they're giving home buyers to help them navigate and succeed. She also weighs in on AI and how technology is changing the consumer experience in real estate. About Ginger Wilcox Ginger Wilcox is the President of Better Homes and Gardens® Real Estate and is responsible for the strategic growth and operations for the BHGRE global network of more than 12,000 affiliated brokers and independent sales associates and approximately 420 offices across the United States, Canada, Jamaica, the Bahamas, Australia, and Turkey.  Ginger has held prominent leadership roles spanning real estate technology, brokerage, and transaction services. She has a proven track record of developing and growing unique brands in the industry, having served as Head of Industry Marketing and Relations for Trulia, an online real estate marketplace, where she focused on go-to-market strategies, marketing innovation and digital engagement.  Before stepping into her current role, Ginger served as CEO of RealSure, the joint venture between Anywhere and Home Partners of America that developed innovative solutions to reduce friction in residential real estate transactions. Before RealSure, Ginger was Chief Experience Officer at Homepoint, a leading mortgage lender that, under Ginger's strategic direction and brand building efforts, grew into the third largest wholesale mortgage lender and the tenth largest non-bank mortgage lender in the United States with over 400,000 customers. Resources mentioned in this episode: Ginger Wilcox on LinkedIn Better Homes & Gardens Real Estate Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
The Lock-In Effect of Rising Mortgage Rates with FHFA's Jonah Coste

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 10, 2024 62:26


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Jonah Coste from the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) to talk about the impact of the mortgage rate “lock-in” effect: where homeowners with low mortgage rates are unwilling to sell and purchase another home at much higher rates. Jonah shares the findings from FHFA's recent study on this phenomenon - including the fact that for every percentage point that mortgage rates exceed the origination interest rate, the probability of sale is decreased by 18.1% - and details how this impacts home prices, affordability, and mobility. He also gives his take on whether the lock-in effect has already peaked, and how quickly it may recede from here. About Jonah Coste Jonah Coste conducts research on housing and mortgage markets at the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) and is especially interested in topics related to household decision-making and housing supply. He also has experience working on consumer finance topics at the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. He received his Ph.D. in Economics from George Washington University and his B.S. in Computational Finance from Carnegie Mellon University. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  What the mortgage rate lock-in effect is, how it's measured, and why it's important Key findings from the FHFA report, including how the lock-in effect decreases home sales and leads to higher prices The impact of the lock-in effect on mobility, choice, and affordability How California's Prop 13 and other lock-in mechanisms prevent home sales How low rates created $3 trillion of net benefit to homeowners, and why we only get that benefit if we stay in our homes Whether the lock-in effect has already peaked, and how quickly it recedes from here Reasons why 2024 and 2025 may see expanding sales rates despite this lock-in effect Some reasons to be optimistic about affordability in the coming years Resources mentioned in this episode: Connect with Jonah on LinkedIn Federal Housing Finance Agency Working Paper 24-03: The Lock-In Effect of Rising Mortgage Rates Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
Data-Driven Housing Policy with AEI's Ed Pinto

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 13, 2024 75:58


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Ed Pinto, senior fellow and co-director of the AEI Housing Center at the American Enterprise Institute (AEI), for a fascinating look at how housing policy shapes the market and the world we live in. Tapping into his decades of experience in the housing and mortgage markets, Ed shares lessons from the 2008 bubble we can apply to today, uses data to examine the relative merits of different housing policies over the years, and gives his take on how to tackle affordability and homelessness. He also talks about why he's optimistic about the housing market in the years to come. About Ed Pinto Edward J. Pinto is a senior fellow and co-director of the AEI Housing Center at the American Enterprise Institute (AEI). A focus of his work continues to be the role of federal housing policy in the 2008 mortgage and financial crisis and how federal housing policy continues to create unwelcome distortions in the housing markets. More recently his research has focused on using light touch density to increase the supply of naturally affordable and inclusionary housing. Before joining AEI, Mr. Pinto was an executive vice president and chief credit officer for Fannie Mae until the late 1980s. Today, he is frequently interviewed on radio and television and often testifies before Congress. His writings have been published in trade publications and the popular press, including in the American Banker, The Hill, RealClearPolitics, and The Wall Street Journal. In addition, as the director of the AEI Housing Center, he oversees the monthly publication of the AEI Housing Market Indicators, which has replaced AEI's monthly Housing Risk Watch and AEI's FHA Watch.  Mr. Pinto has a JD from Indiana University Maurer School of Law and a BA from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  What data is best to use for understanding housing in the U.S. The biggest lessons of the 2008 bubble and what they tell us about today The real impacts of over a decade of low-interest rates Whether there's a correction in home prices on the horizon How Federal government policy from 100 years ago seeded the affordability crisis of today Why affordability is so difficult for the government to solve When the government should stimulate housing demand, and when they shouldn't What today's mortgage environment tells us about the risks of mortgage defaults Why the McMansion boom is the result of poor city planning What cities should know about fixing homelessness What he's optimistic about in American housing in the next decade Resources mentioned in this episode: Connect with Ed on LinkedIn American Enterprise Institute Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
Economic Trendspotting with Bloomberg's Conor Sen

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 28, 2024 49:15


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Bloomberg's Conor Sen to talk about the big economic trends shaping the housing market. Conor shares his views on what to expect with interest rates, pinpoints key areas for strength in the economy, and looks at demographic shifts that will impact the housing market in the coming years. He also offers his take on how the election could affect the economy and what to watch for. About Conor Sen Conor Sen is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist who writes about financial markets, the economy, housing, cities, and demographics. He's also the founder of Peachtree Creek Investments and has more than a decade of experience in portfolio management and risk management. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  What to expect for interest rates this year and why The key areas for strength in the economy and what that means for 2024 What a shifting labor market means for real estate Recession risks and how to anticipate it Whether the “Vibecession” is over and we're now in “Vibespansion” Why there is still room for supply chain improvements to help the economy How shifting millennial demographics will impact housing over the next 5 years When Boomers will finally sell their homes Why higher migration is a big theme right now, and what that means for housing and the economy Why home builders can finally “play offense” for the first time since 2005 Election year impacts we should watch for Resources mentioned in this episode: Connect with Conor on LinkedIn Bloomberg Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
Deep Dive on the Short-Term Rental Market with AirDNA's Jamie Lane

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 14, 2024 63:23


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Jamie Lane, Chief Economist at AirDNA, for a deep dive into the fascinating dynamics of the short-term rental (STR) market. Jamie shares how real-time STR data can help us forecast economic and housing market conditions, talks about how short-term rentals impact the hotel and travel industries, and gives us insights into how to understand the so-called “Airbnb Bust.” He also discusses which markets no longer work well for STRs, and the challenges and opportunities of STRs as an investor asset class. About Jamie Lane Jamie Lane is the Chief Economist and SVP of Research at AirDNA, the go-to source for short-term rental data and insights. With 10+ years of experience as an economist in the hospitality industry, Jamie's research leadership has helped the whole STR industry understand the drivers of success. Jamie is a leading voice of authority on the health and outlook for the STR industry: on top of co-hosting AirDNA's own podcast, the STR Data Lab, he is a regular contributor to international media outlets such as Wall Street Journal, New York Times and Bloomberg, providing exclusive analysis and forecasts of the industry to global audiences. His contributions to the STR space and dedication to promoting data-driven decision-making to the forefront of the industry were recognized in 2023 with the Innovator/Disruptor award at the highly regarded Shortyz Awards. At the forefront of AirDNA's research, Jamie continuously provides accurate data insights to guide hosts through each decision point in their journey. Before joining AirDNA, Jamie spent 10 years at CBRE, leading research, forecasting, and data intelligence teams to support client analysis. Jamie holds a Bachelor of Science in Economics from the University of Georgia and a Master of Science in Business Economics from Georgia State University. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  What the real-time STR data tells us about the economy for 2024 Which AirDNA stats are leading indicators for the future of the housing market How to understand the so-called “Airbnb Bust” How STRs impact traditional hotels' occupancy rates and prices What hotel data tells us about the future of STRs How STRs grow the travel industry Which signals for 2024 are bullish for STRs, and which are bearish Risks to the STR industry Which markets no longer work well for STRs The challenges and opportunities of STR as an investor asset class Good policy and bad policy for STRs and ADUs Resources mentioned in this episode: Connect with Jamie on LinkedIn AirDNA Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
CoreLogic's Selma Hepp's Forecast for the 2024 Housing Market

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 24, 2024 52:22


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Selma Hepp, Chief Economist at CoreLogic, to get her take on what's happening in the housing economy. Selma shares CoreLogic's forecast for 2024 home prices and mortgage rates, talks about the biggest surprises from 2023, and offers insights into how they hit the mark on their 2023 forecast when everyone else was expecting prices to fall. She also discusses CoreLogic's new Climate Risk Analysis platform and the growing impact of insurance costs in risky states. About Selma Hepp Selma Hepp is the Chief Economist for CoreLogic, America's largest provider of advanced property and ownership information, analytics and data-enabled services. Selma leads the economics team, which is responsible for analyzing, interpreting and forecasting housing and economic trends in real estate, mortgage and insurance. Prior to joining CoreLogic in 2020, Selma was Chief Economist and Vice President of Business Intelligence for Pacific Union International, later acquired by Compass, where she oversaw the vital economic and technology intelligence to drive the expanding brokerage's success. Selma also held the role of Chief Economist for Trulia; Senior Economist for the California Association of Realtors; and Economist and Manager for Public Policy and Homeownership research for the National Association of Realtors, as well as a special research assistant at the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development. Selma frequently appears on local and national radio and television programs and has been widely quoted in The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times and many industry trade publications such as National Mortgage News and HousingWire. Selma received the HousingWire Women of Influence Award in 2022. Selma graduated from the State University of New York, Buffalo with an M.A. in Economics and holds a Ph.D. from the University of Maryland. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  CoreLogic's 2024 home price & mortgage rate forecast Why their 2023 forecast for slight home price appreciation was so unusual at the time, and yet it turned out to be precisely correct Other big housing market surprises from 2023 Her biggest takeaways for 2024, including how much the mortgage market will rebound this year and why The surprising strength in refis in 2024 Her take on the most important trends in housing policy for 2024 What she's worried about macro-economically and with housing in particular over the near future Why Phoenix and Las Vegas outperformed Austin last year - even when all were big boom markets during the pandemic Key findings from CoreLogic's Quarterly investor report CoreLogic's new Climate Risk Analysis platform and the growing impact of insurance costs in risky states. Resources mentioned in this episode: Connect with Selma on LinkedIn CoreLogic Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
Lessons from a Top 1% Agent with LabCoat's Tristan Ahumada

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 10, 2024 56:24


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Tristan Ahumada from LabCoat Agents to talk about how agents should be using social media and other marketing tools to build their business in 2024. Tristan shares what he learned as a leader on Facebook's real estate market advisory board, offers tips on how to use Altos reports with clients, and discusses his high-impact, values-based social media strategy. He also gives his take on what the next 10 years will look like for real estate agents and the business. About Tristan Ahumada Tristan Ahumada became Rookie of the Year at Century 21 at age twenty-four, his first year in the real estate business. He is now in the top 1% of all real estate agents in the U.S. Tristan also created LabCoat Agents in 2014 as a Facebook group and has grown the popular social media page to over 137,000 members. He is the CEO and founder of A Brilliant Tribe, an online community builder and social media strategy company. Tristan strives to help people throughout the world as a Fortune 500 consultant, leadership and growth coach, and a People editor for Success Magazine. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  How Tristan built the largest Realtor social media group - LabCoat Agents with 137,000 members - and Realtor newsletter with 500,000 subscribers What he learned as a leader on Facebook's real estate market advisory board How he uses Altos reports with clients, including fun social media ideas His values-based social media strategy, and how other agents can adopt it Why the algorithm “favors the extreme,” and what that means for his approach His Like, Comment, Message process for social media growth Why Google is still better for paid ads than social media How he leverages AI in his work with clients and his team What the next 10 years will look like for real estate agents and the business Resources mentioned in this episode: Connect with Tristan on LinkedIn LabCoat Agents Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Going West: True Crime
Camp Keller Murders // 371

Going West: True Crime

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 9, 2024 46:27 Very Popular


In April of 2012, a mom and her daughter were murdered in their home by someone they thought they could trust. A self-proclaimed survivalist, the killer documented their plans and ideas for the end of the world, and the end of these women's lives. This is the story of Lynnette Keller, and her daughter, Kaylene Keller, also known as the Camp Keller Murders. BONUS EPISODES Apple Subscriptions: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/going-west-true-crime/id1448151398 Patreon: patreon.com/goingwestpodcast CASE SOURCES 1. Find A Grave: https://www.findagrave.com/memorial/89253267/lynnette-louise-keller 2. ABC: https://abcnews.go.com/US/washington-state-family-killer-peter-kellers-chilling-video/story?id=16773977 3. Find A Grave: https://www.findagrave.com/memorial/89252919/kaylene-nichole-keller 4. Lynnette and Kaylene's Obituary: https://obits.oregonlive.com/us/obituaries/oregon/name/lynnettee-keller-obituary?id=25580861 5. Living Snoqualmie: https://prod.livingsnoqualmie.com/police-release-peter-keller-case-findings-family-honors-lost-daughter-with-scholorship/ 6. CNN: https://www.cnn.com/2012/07/13/justice/washington-suspect-video-diary/index.html 7. CNN: https://www.cnn.com/2012/04/28/justice/washington-bunker-suspect/index.html 8. Seattle Times: https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/north-bend-murder-suspect-found-dead-in-bunker/ 9. Seattle Times: https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/peter-keller-killer-of-wife-daughter-said-i-can-always-shoot-myself/ 10. Snoqualmie Valley Record: https://www.valleyrecord.com/news/new-promise-from-lives-cut-short-scholarship-honors-murder-victims-lynnettee-and-kaylene-keller-photo-gallery/ 11. Reddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/TrueCrimeDiscussion/comments/183j37q/the_disturbing_case_of_a_family_annihilator_who/ 12. CBS: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/authorities-bunker-of-wash-fugitive-surrounded/ 13. Seattle Pi: https://www.seattlepi.com/seattlenews/article/camp-keller-man-who-killed-family-tried-to-3702751.php 14. Albany Democrat-Herald: https://www.newspapers.com/image/565915008/?terms=%22peter%20keller%22&match=1 15. King 5: https://www.king5.com/article/news/peter-keller-now-suspect-in-murders-of-his-wife-daughter/281-330835107 16. Living Snoqualmie: https://prod.livingsnoqualmie.com/police-still-waiting-out-murder-suspect-surrounding-fortified-bunker-near-rattlesnake-ridge/#google_vignette 17. Psych Central: https://psychcentral.com/news/2013/08/14/characteristics-of-4-types-of-family-murderers#2 18. Lynn's Scrapbooking Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AM4vzrI_NgI 19. SF Gate: https://www.sfgate.com/crime/article/peter-keller-found-dead-at-bunker-as-standoff-ends-3518536.php 20. Peter's Video Diaries: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aodgtiB7ShE 21. Explore With Us: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-vorUEpbHNU Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Top of Mind
HousingWire's Logan Mohtashami on the Housing Market Outlook for 2024

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 27, 2023 53:50


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Logan Mohtashami, lead analyst at HousingWire, to talk about his housing market predictions for 2024. Logan looks at inventory challenges, offers his take on what to expect with mortgage rates, and gives his forecast for prices, home sales, and more. He also shares which signals we should be watching for shifts in the market in the coming year. About Logan Mohtashami Logan Mohtashami is a renowned expert in the mortgage and housing ecosystem, recognized for his insightful analysis and commentary on the U.S. economy and real estate market. Mohtashami is a lead analyst for HousingWire and is a regular contributor on the HousingWire Daily podcast. With a background spanning over two decades in the mortgage industry, Mohtashami — nicknamed “The Chart Guy” — has the remarkable ability to decipher complex economic data and translate it into understandable, actionable insights. This knowledge has made Mohtashami a sought-after commentator and his expertise has been featured extensively in news outlets, including CNBC, where he is a frequent guest. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  How to think about interest rates and likely Fed moves in 2024 His predictions for home prices, home sales, and inventory in 2024 What we can we expect from home sellers in 2024 Whether inventory can ever get back to the old normal levels again How Millennials are impacting the housing market, and what to expect as they age His favorite forward-looking indicators for the real estate market What signals to watch to see a recession coming What he got wrong looking at 2023, and how that shifted his thinking about 2024 Resources mentioned in this episode: Connect with Logan on LinkedIn Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
Fastmarkets' Dustin Jalbert on What Lumber Can Tell Us About 2024

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 13, 2023 62:07 Very Popular


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Dustin Jalbert, who leads Fastmarkets RISI's Wood Products team, to find out what the lumber market can tell us about housing, now and for 2024. Dustin shares why construction may be past its recession and is set to expand in 2024, why lumber prices may increase with demand but won't jump big again, and how to think about demographic demands for housing in the next decade. About Dustin Jalbert Dustin leads the lumber analysis on Fastmarkets RISI's Wood Products team, where he is responsible for the monthly Lumber Commentary and the North American Lumber Forecasts, along with special client studies and consulting engagements. As a business economist, Dustin has spent nearly a decade covering the global forest products industry. Prior to joining Fastmarkets RISI's wood products team, Dustin provided support with forecasts and analyses related to the global packaging and pulp markets, including single- and multi-client studies. He holds a bachelor's degree in economics and political science from the University of Maine, and master's in international finance and economics from Brandeis University. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  Why the lumber market matters for residential real estate What the lumber market tells us about housing now and for 2024 Why construction may be past its recession and is set to expand in 2024 Why lumber prices in 2024 may increase with demand but won't jump big again The reason why we probably can't build our way out of the inventory crisis How to think about demographic needs for housing for the next decade The surprising thing that's still in shortage, that is preventing homes from completing construction What to know about sustainability in the lumber industry Resources mentioned in this episode: Connect with Dustin on LinkedIn Fastmarkets Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
The Lowdown on the Lawsuits with HousingWire's James Kleimann

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 22, 2023 52:14


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with James Kleimann, Managing Editor of HousingWire, to talk about the landmark Sitzer Burnett case and its potential impact on the housing market. James was in the courtroom during the trial and is one of the foremost experts on what's happening now, and what's to come. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  Overview of the Sitzer Burnett case and the verdict How these lawsuits are bigger than the tobacco industry cases Why the DOJ is now involved and what that means for the future of real estate What happens to buyers' agents Which states are next and how much more money is being targeted How this judgment could push control in the industry to institutional investors over individuals How this judgment could push power to tech companies over brokers and MLSs How soon big changes may hit the industry What happens next? Are there implications for 2024? Resources mentioned in this episode: Connect with James on LinkedIn Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
Reimagining New Home Construction with Veev's Amit Haller

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 25, 2023 51:04


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Amit Haller, CEO and Co-Founder of Veev Group, to talk about how Veev has entirely re-imagined the centuries-old new home construction process. Amit shares how he's applied approaches from the semiconductor industry to address many of the challenges of traditional home building, and discusses Veev's bold ambitions for its technology to dramatically reduce costs, accelerate delivery, improve quality, and reduce waste. He also looks more broadly at the dynamics shaping the industry, and what to expect in the future. About Amit Haller Amit Haller is the CEO and Co-Founder of Veev Group, Inc. Amit has over 20 years experience in the high-tech communications industry, including leading positions in public companies, and over a decade of extensive real estate development, asset management and construction experience. He brings a global perspective and an eye for successful investment opportunities, as well as deep knowledge in engineering, entrepreneurship and business. Amit has led Veev since 2008 with a high‐tech business lens, reimagining the way the home experience is designed, built and serviced. Today, Amit is dedicated to utilizing Veev's proprietary technology and a vertically integrated approach to build better homes, faster. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  What homebuilders can learn from semiconductor companies Why California wildfires inspired this company to build homes in California Why the time is right for productized home building How to achieve a 30-day turnaround for building a new home - Why he wants homeowners to “hug the walls” The challenges facing builder trade labor, and why it makes sense to streamline How Veev reduces landfill waste by orders of magnitude and dramatically reduces carbon emissions What features homes of the future will need to have in order to be energy positive Resources mentioned in this episode: Connect with Amit on LinkedIn Veev Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
Fortune's Lance Lambert on Economic Trends & the Housing Market

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 11, 2023 65:41


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Fortune editorial director Lance Lambert to talk about his insights and perspectives on the housing market. We discuss why housing played an outsized role in pandemic inflation, and what makes the post-pandemic housing market unique; his view on whether we're in a housing bubble now, and what to watch for; and insights into what's happening with home builders. We also look at which dynamics are driving growth or slowdown in local markets like Cincinnati and Austin, and what to expect in the future. About Lance Lambert Lance Lambert is the editorial director of Fortune Education. He also writes the weekly Fortune Analytics newsletter and reports on topics ranging from the future of work to the housing market. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  Why housing played an outsized role in pandemic inflation, and what makes the post-pandemic housing market unique How his house-flipper parents fared during the great recession and how that shapes his housing market analysis now The advantage that home builders have in this cycle that's different from previous cycles, and what analysis of home builder financials teaches us about the market His personal remote work journey from Manhattan to Cincinnati in 2020, and why he bought new construction His view on whether we're in a housing bubble now, and what to watch for Why housing may have helped stave off a recession, and his view on how the market would react to a recession His strategy for staying open-minded and clear on the changing trends in the market The housing market crisis that keeps him up at night Local market insights: why Austin is the outlier coldest market in the country this year; why he's bearish on Florida home price growth, but bullish on the Midwest; and why it wasn't a surprise that Cincinnati didn't have the correction that slowed much of the country last year Resources mentioned in this episode: Connect with Lance on LinkedIn Fortune Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
NAR's Jessica Lautz Takes the Pulse of the Real Estate Industry

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 27, 2023 50:53


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Jessica Lautz, Deputy Chief Economist and Vice President of Research at the National Association of REALTORS®, to talk about the big trends shaping the real estate industry. Jessica shares why NAR expects home prices to edge up over the next year, talks about her model for forecasting mortgage rates (and whether we should expect 8% mortgage rates in the future), and surfaces some surprising trends about millennial homebuyers. She also offers insights from NAR's study on Adaptive Reuse: how to turn empty office buildings into housing. About Jessica Lautz Dr. Jessica Lautz is Deputy Chief Economist and Vice President of Research at the National Association of REALTORS®. The core of her research focuses on analyzing trends for both NAR members and housing consumers. Through the management of surveys, focus groups, and data analysis, she presents new and innovative ways to showcase results. She effectively utilizes Research data to educate and impact policymakers on the state of the housing market and discusses research findings in major media outlets and international presentations.  In 2021, Jessica was named one of Housing Wire's Women of Influence, a list representing 100 of the most influential women in leadership in the housing industry. In 2022 and 2023, Jessica was named a RISMedia Newsmaker in the Influencer and the Crusader categories, respectively. She also volunteers at Nottingham Trent University as an industry fellow mentoring real estate graduate students.  Jessica received her Doctorate of Real Estate from Nottingham Trent University in the United Kingdom. She also holds a Master's in Public Policy from American University and undergraduate degrees in Political Science and Law and Justice from Central Washington University. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  Why NAR expects home prices to edge up over the next year Which stats demonstrate demand has been greater than supply Her model for forecasting mortgage rates Whether we should expect 8% mortgage rates in the future Why NAR uses surveys and focus groups in addition to tracking properties to gain insights into the market, and what they're learning now Surprising trends about millennial homebuyers What the current household formation rate means for housing in the near future Which stats she looks at that housing analysts don't normally track Insights from NAR's study on Adaptive Reuse: how to turn empty office buildings into housing The dangers of the TikTok housing analysts and why everyone keeps expecting a crash in home prices NAR's view on affordability and the future of housing affordability in the US, and her take on what housing looks like over the next decade Resources mentioned in this episode: Connect with Jessica on LinkedIn National Association of Realtors Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
Leigh Brown's View From the Front Lines of Real Estate

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 23, 2023 63:53


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with storied real estate trainer and broker Leigh Brown to talk about the state of today's real estate industry. Leigh discusses how to take advantage of volatility to gain market share, gives her take on why people should stop worrying about the number of realtors, and shares what people should know about Wall Street investors and the impact on local housing markets and the American dream. She also offers some surprising insights into how consumers are navigating 7% mortgage rates (and why she thinks mortgage rates could go even higher from here). About Leigh Brown Leigh Brown uses her decades of real estate experience to help everyone from early career to highly seasoned agents build (and rebuild!) their professional presence and confidence by assisting them to define and communicate their value proposition expertly. Her goal is for each real estate agent who is a REALTOR® member to become an impactful presence in their community in the process. She knows today's agents and brokers face unprecedented pressure to stand out in a competitive market; she also knows that the security to build and maintain solid client relationships starts with one step: Just Say Hi. Through a systemized process to identify and define your value, Leigh gives agents and brokers the confidence and tools to reach greater heights in their chosen career.   A best-selling author of three influential business books, Leigh excitedly shares her expertise with anyone looking to ignite their passions and create the outcomes they want. Leigh's mission is helping others. She has the grit and passion for motivating everyone around her to strive for more.   She's also an Altos superuser with more than a decade of experience using Altos reports in her business. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  What you need to know now about realtors and the growth of the real estate industry, and how to take advantage of volatility to gain market share Why people should stop worrying about the number of realtors How the market looks now that we're past the end of the white-hot frenzy Surprising insights about how consumers are navigating 7% mortgage rates Why she thinks mortgage rates could go even higher from here What people should know about Wall Street investors and the impact on local housing markets and the American dream How she uses Altos market reports, what she's learned from the data, and her secret technique for sharing market data with all kinds of people Resources mentioned in this episode: Connect with Leigh on LinkedIn Leigh Brown Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
Mynd's Doug Brien on Investing, Renting and the Future of the American Dream

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 2, 2023 51:48


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Doug Brien, CEO and co-founder of Mynd, to talk about innovation and opportunities in real estate investing. Doug discusses why current cash flow trends bode well for next year, shares the most important stat for investors to pay attention to right now, and explains why he thinks the American Dream of home ownership is not dying, but evolving. Doug also shares insights and stories about real estate investing, entrepreneurship, and life from his new book, “The Big Long.” About Doug Brien Doug Brien is the CEO and co-founder of Mynd, the company on a mission to make real estate investing more accessible by leveraging technology to unlock remote investing at scale. Powered by a proprietary all-in-one platform, Mynd streamlines the entire investment journey. Ranging from first-time individual investors to seasoned institutional investors, Mynd empowers more Americans to build wealth through the single-family rental sector.   A former Super Bowl-winning NFL placekicker, Brien got his start in real estate following the collapse of the housing market in early 2009, when he and Colin Wiel founded Waypoint Homes and began buying single-family homes to renovate and rent out. Together, they scaled up their company in an industry that had been the domain of smaller players, building a $3 billion portfolio with over 17,000 single-family rental homes.   In 2016, the duo went on to launch Mynd, leveraging their SFR expertise and technology to empower a new generation of real estate investors. Today, Mynd manages over 17,600 units in 26 markets across the country and expects to manage 20,000 homes by the end of 2023.   Doug Brien holds a B.A. from the University of California at Berkeley and an MBA from Tulane University. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  Why even with the market slowdown and higher interest rates, some investors are still gaining profitability Why current cash flow trends bode well for next year The most important stat for investors to pay attention to right now Why Americans are investing in the Smile Belt How the iPhone helped fuel the creation of the single-family rental industry Why he's bullish on appreciation and on rent growth What the post-zero-interest-rate era looks like for real estate investors The math on why real estate investors prevent home price crash catastrophe Why we have a shortage of single-family rental homes (just like we have a shortage of homes to purchase), and what that means for homebuilders Resources mentioned in this episode: Connect with Doug on LinkedIn Mynd Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
Getting Smart on New Home Construction with NAHB's Robert Dietz

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 19, 2023 42:46


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Robert Dietz, Chief Economist and Senior Vice President for Economics and Housing Policy for the National Association of Home Builders, to talk about the state of new home construction across the country. Robert shares NAHB's forecast for mortgage rates, does the math on how many homes we need to build each year, and looks at which cities are doing new home construction well. He also discusses some optimistic trends for home construction and affordability. About Robert Dietz Dr. Robert Dietz is Chief Economist and Senior Vice President for Economics and Housing Policy for the National Association of Home Builders, where his responsibilities include housing market analysis, economic forecasting and industry surveys, and housing policy research. He has published academic research on the benefits of homeownership, federal tax policy, and other housing issues, and has testified before Congress on real estate policy issues.   He is often cited on housing and economic issues in the Wall Street Journal, CNBC, and other media sources. Prior to joining NAHB in 2005, Robert worked as an economist for the Congressional Joint Committee on Taxation, where he was the committee's real estate expert. He is a native of Dayton, Ohio and earned a Ph.D. in Economics from the Ohio State University. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  What NAHB forecasts for mortgage rates, what he expects from the Fed and what that means for the economy and mortgage rates How to do the math on how many new homes we need to build each year Why new home builders are much more critical to housing in the US now than they've ever been When new home construction volume will get back to “normal” levels - How big national builders are different from small local builders in terms of impact for housing Which cities are doing new construction well/smart Why we're underbuilding entry-level homes and why that looks to get worse Which exciting technologies are emerging for home building One way the Biden administration could instantly make home building more affordable Why he sees optimistic trends for home construction and affordability from policymakers around the country Resources mentioned in this episode: Connect with Robert on LinkedIn National Association of Home Builders Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
Divvy Homes' Adena Hefets on Rent-To-Own Innovations

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 5, 2023 61:18


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Adena Hefets, co-founder and CEO of Divvy Homes, to talk about why the rent-to-own model is gaining momentum in today's housing market. She discusses the challenges many people are facing in getting a mortgage, looks at the dynamics behind the affordability crisis, and shares her thoughts on which segments of the housing market are best poised to hold value and appreciate. She also gives her perspective on which types of proptech startups are poised for success, and which ones will have trouble making it. About Adena Hefets Adena is the co-founder & CEO of Divvy Homes, a proptech company on a mission to make homeownership accessible to everyone. In 2017, Adena set out to solve a problem she saw in the market: fewer people can afford to purchase a home today than two decades ago. To solve this, she came up with a new way to finance a home purchase through a rent-to-own model that allows renters to gradually build up ownership in their future homes - all while living in it.   Prior to founding Divvy, Adena joined Square in 2013 and was responsible for building out Square Capital, a merchant cash advance platform with billions in loans outstanding. Prior to Square, she was part of the large-cap buyout team at TPG, a private equity firm, where she helped purchase companies in the real estate sector. She started her career as an investment banker at Merrill Lynch.   Adena holds a Bachelors of Science, Policy Analysis and Management from Cornell University and a Masters of Business Administration, Stanford Graduate School of Business. She was named 40 Under 40 by Fortune and is backed by Andreessen Horowitz, Tiger Capital, and Caffeinated Capital. She currently lives in Oakland, California. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  How the rent-to-own model works, why it's attractive, and which demographic groups are embracing this approach Which type of proptech startups are poised for success, and which ones will have trouble making it Why the biggest crisis we're facing in real estate is affordability, and what we can do about it Why big investor money is still on the sidelines, and what that means for the housing market Which segments of the housing market are best poised to hold value and appreciate Where we should see the impact of AI innovations on the real estate industry (and where we won't) Resources mentioned in this episode: Connect with Adena on LinkedIn Divvy Homes Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
Corcoran's Stephanie Anton on What's Next for Luxury Real Estate

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 21, 2023 49:38


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Stephanie Anton, President of Corcoran Affiliates, to talk about the market for luxury homes around the world. Stephanie shares advice for how agents and firms can grow during times of market contraction, offers fresh perspectives on real estate branding and design, and looks at some of the strategies agents are using to win in this challenging market. She also provides insights into the market for high-end homes, including migration and growth patterns, and discusses what comes next in this economy. About Stephanie Anton Stephanie Anton is the President, Corcoran Affiliates where she oversees the growth and operations of The Corcoran Group's global expansion through its fast-growing affiliate network. Anton, who joined Corcoran in July 2020 as Senior Vice President of Affiliate Marketing and Growth, was most recently the SVP of Corcoran Affiliates and served as the Managing Director of Global Service across five of the six Anywhere Real Estate (formerly Realogy) brands.   As President of the Corcoran Affiliate Network, Anton is responsible for leading Corcoran's franchise business. With deep experience across franchise marketing and operations, Anton is laser-focused on helping Corcoran grow its global network while helping the brand's respective affiliates grow in their local markets. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  How to grow in times of market contraction Why full-service real estate is thriving Fresh perspectives on branding and design in real estate marketing How technology is helping realtors have more impact How to run a high-end luxury brand and make it “not stuffy” Three surprising markets where high-end real estate is winning - What the latest migration data tells us about the growth of the market and brokerages Which agents are winning now, and what we can learn from them How the consumer marketing concept of the “expandable consumable” applies to real estate Resources mentioned in this episode: Connect with Stephanie on LinkedIn Corcoran Group Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
Houston Vintage Homes' Tyron McDaniel on Building Affordable Housing

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 7, 2023 58:50


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Tyron McDaniel, CEO of Houston Vintage Homes, to talk about his vision for affordable and attainable housing. Tyron shares why he runs his companies for “impact over income”, discusses his approach to building that creates pride for his tenants and long-term value for communities, and outlines the techniques he uses to build affordable housing successfully. He also offers a look at which markets are most exciting for his work, and which tech trends are the most encouraging for the future of affordable housing. About Tyron McDaniel Tyron began his real estate career working in a mortgage broker's office as a secretary back in 2000, with the ultimate goal of one day becoming a home builder and developer of affordable housing. After becoming a Mortgage Broker, then a Real Estate Agent, Tyron began to purchase rental properties before venturing into the Buy, Fix & Flip space. This ultimately led to him becoming a homebuilder in 2005, setting the foundation for Houston Vintage Homes and its sister companies, which are focused on the design and development of affordable housing in inner-city communities around the country. With a keen eye for design and historical context, Tyron now works with multiple cities, and coaches and mentors investors, home builders and developers from around the country in creating affordable housing solutions to meet the ever-growing need for more affordable housing. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  Tyron's vision for affordable and attainable housing Why he runs his companies for “impact over income” How affordable housing helps not only the existing residents but attracts desirable growth for a community The difference between gentrification and displacement How compassionate capitalism creates long-term value Why he looks to build pride in the home for tenants in his properties Techniques he uses for creating affordable housing when so few others can do so Which markets are most exciting for his work in affordable housing Which economic factors are hindering the ability to create affordable housing Which technology trends are the most encouraging for the future of affordable housing   Resources mentioned in this episode: Connect with Tyron on LinkedIn Houston Vintage Homes Tyron on Twitter Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
1000watt's Brian Boero on Thriving in a Difficult Real Estate Market

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later May 31, 2023 48:08


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Brian Boero, co-founder of real estate branding and strategy firm 1000watt, to talk about how agents and brokers can thrive in a difficult market. Brian gives us an inside look at what the top real estate brands are saying to consumers now, offers advice for messaging in a down market, and shares insights into what 1000watt's consumer surveys can tell us about market needs. He also discusses why consumers gravitate towards a “signal of clarity” in challenging times, and how real estate professionals can best provide that signal. About Brian Boero Brian has been in real estate media, marketing and technology since 1997. Before co-founding 1000watt, a branding and strategy agency focused on the housing market, Brian was President of Inman, and he was also CEO of VREO, where he created e-signature and document management software for tablet PCs. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  Why a difficult market is your best opportunity to grow, gain share, and differentiate What some of the great real estate brands are saying to consumers now Why in a difficult market, consumers gravitate towards a “signal of clarity” (and why market data is that clarity!) What 1000watt's consumer surveys tell us about what real estate consumers need from their agents/brokers Which advertising messages work better in a down market, including real estate marketing cliches to avoid The biggest change coming for realtors in the next few years A surprising signal that realtors are gaining trust How great brands differentiate themselves in real estate Resources mentioned in this episode: Connect with Brian on LinkedIn 1000watt Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos Research The Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research. Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels. Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.

Top of Mind
Housingwire's Logan Mohtashami - Straight Talk on the Housing Market

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later May 24, 2023 65:21


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Logan Mohtashami, lead analyst at Housingwire, to talk about the big economic trends impacting the housing market. Logan does a deep dive on inventory challenges, offers his take on what to expect with mortgage rates, and shares what buyers and sellers are thinking right now. He also gives his predictions for where the market is headed in the coming months. About Logan Mohtashami Logan Mohtashami is a housing data analyst, financial writer, and blogger covering the U.S. economy specializing in the housing market. He is also a Lead Analyst for HousingWire. Logan has been an invited speaker to many conferences and is a frequent guest on CNBC. Logan has been called a social media star by National Mortgage News and “the chart guy.” His astute analysis of economic data and years of direct lending experience allows him to present a unique, informed, and unbiased perspective on the financial markets. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  What we learned from the 2022 collapse in housing demand, and why home prices didn't collapse Why the millennial demographic cycle still drives everything in housing The one factor that's more important than mortgage rates when calculating housing demand The range to expect for mortgage rates over the next year Why home prices look like they'll climb again in 2024 When inventory will finally rise, and which new economic variables might add to inventory Why he rejects the mortgage-rate-lock-in hypothesis Long-term trends buyers and sellers should be thinking about Predictions for where the market is headed Resources mentioned in this episode: Logan Mohtashami on LinkedIn Logan on Twitter HousingWire HousingWire Daily Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter

Hacks & Wonks
Week in Review: May 19, 2023 - with EJ Juárez

Hacks & Wonks

Play Episode Listen Later May 19, 2023 43:29


On this week-in-review, Crystal is joined by the former Director of Progressive Majority who has now transitioned into public service but remains involved in numerous political efforts across Washington, EJ Juárez. They discuss today being the final day for this year's candidates to declare their candidacy for elected office, the legislature's decision to make personal possession of drugs a gross misdemeanor, Crosscut laying off women reporters in a pivot to podcast and video, Marc Dones' resignation as CEO of the King County Regional Homelessness Authority, and Seattle reclaiming the title of America's fastest growing city.  As always, a full text transcript of the show is available below and at officialhacksandwonks.com. Find the host, Crystal Fincher, on Twitter at @finchfrii and find today's co-host, EJ Juárez at @EliseoJJuarez.   Resources Becka Johnson Poppe, Candidate for King County Council District 4 from Hacks & Wonks   King County Council races begin to take shape by David Gutman from The Seattle Times    Washington to Paper Over Drug War with Some Treatment Money by Ashley Nerbovig from The Stranger    OPINION | In Special Session, Lawmakers Are Hiding Behind a False Moral Imperative to Justify the War on Drugs by Jude Ahmed for South Seattle Emerald   Slog AM: Crosscut Lays Off Five Newsroom Staff, LA Pride Pulls Out of Dodgers Pride Event, Bouncy Castle King Accused of Arson by Nathalie Graham from The Stranger   Regional Homelessness Authority CEO resigns by Greg Kim from The Seattle Times    Why Did Marc Dones Resign? by Hannah Krieg from The Stranger   Seattle is once again the fastest-growing big city, census data shows by Gene Balk from The Seattle Times   Transcript [00:00:00] Crystal Fincher: Welcome to Hacks & Wonks. I'm Crystal Fincher, and I'm a political consultant and your host. On this show, we talk with policy wonks and political hacks to gather insight into local politics and policy in Washington state through the lens of those doing the work with behind-the-scenes perspectives on what's happening, why it's happening, and what you can do about it. Be sure to subscribe to the podcast to get the full versions of our Friday almost-live show and our Tuesday topical show delivered to your podcast feed. If you like us, the most helpful thing you can do is leave a review wherever you listen. Full transcripts and resources referenced in the show are always available at officialhacksandwonks.com and in our episode notes. If you missed our Tuesday midweek - our Tuesday topical show - I chat with Becka Johnson Poppe about her campaign for King County Council District 4 - why she decided to run, the skillset she brings from overseeing half of King County's $16 billion budget, and her thoughts on addressing human services sector wages, issues plaguing the King County Jail, housing and homelessness, drug possession and substance use disorder, climate change and air quality, and budget transparency and efficiency. However, today we're continuing our Friday almost-live shows where we review the news of the week with a co-host. Welcome back to the program, friend of the show and today's co-host: the former Director of Progressive Majority who's now transitioned into public service and remains involved in numerous political efforts across Washington, EJ Juárez. [00:01:34] EJ Juárez: Hi, Crystal - thanks for having me back. [00:01:36] Crystal Fincher: Hey - always excited to have you and your perspective on the show. Today is Friday, May 19th. For people who are involved in or adjacent to politics, this is known as the last day of filing week - the week where candidates officially declare their candidacy to run for a position on the ballot. We have hundreds and hundreds of positions up for election in Washington State. Here in King County, there are some interesting races shaping up. We will see - the deadline is 4 p.m. today - what the official candidate field looks like. We're nearing the end. There's usually a flurry of late additions just before the end of the last day of filing. I guess - what are your thoughts as we head into this final day? [00:02:24] EJ Juárez: My thoughts are - I love Friday of filing week. It is my favorite day of filing week because you get to go hang out at Elections and watch the folks at 3:50 p.m. that are standing around watching which races don't have anybody filed, so they can get a free pass or where they're gonna jump in. But I think some of the most exciting races out there right now - King County Council is starting to fill up with some late additions to the pack, especially in some races that looked fairly settled where we had clear challengers and clear insurgent candidates - and now we've got a different mix happening. And I would not be surprised if many organizations who were planning to do early endorsements are putting a pause on those plans because of new faces that are getting in - and just the pure number of folks that are running for some of these open seats, whether that is King County, City of Seattle, or some of the suburbs. [00:03:12] Crystal Fincher: Yeah, absolutely. This week, we did see a new dimension in one King County Council race - I believe it's District 4 - to replace Councilmember Kohl-Welles. And already in the race were Sarah Reyneveld and Rebecca Johnson Poppe. This week, we had Jorge Barón join the race, formerly of Northwest Immigrant Rights Project - that's where I'm certainly familiar with him from. And this is gonna be a really interesting race and I don't know how it's gonna wind up. [00:03:40] EJ Juárez: Yeah, I think of all the King County Council races this year, this is the one that excites me the most - because there are three really great candidates who are bringing such different perspectives and have such different, I think, experiences that they would supplement the Council with. Certainly with Becka - newcomer, bringing a really deep set of experiences from her own personal and professional life. But then Sarah, who I don't think it is a surprise to anybody - who has been fairly widely known to be running for this for quite a while now, and now the opportunity is here. And then Jorge, which was a complete surprise and I think now within the last week has caught a lot of people off guard and really thrown a wrench into - certainly, Sarah and Becka's campaign plans, I'm sure. His decades of advocacy and his quite frankly historic leadership at Northwest Immigrant Rights Project would bring some really interesting perspectives to council as well as that race - representing a part of Seattle that has not always led on some of those issues. And Sarah being an Assistant Attorney General - I am so excited to see what issues bubble to the top and how this plays out. How about you? [00:04:46] Crystal Fincher: Yeah, I'm interested - I'm certainly interested - three people who have formidable resumes behind them in different ways, but certainly all who have, I think, valuable perspectives to be shared. I think a lot of people are going to be wondering - hey, they clearly know what they're doing, they're professional, but what does that mean in terms of votes and how they're going to represent me and fight for the issues that are important to me? To not just be a vote, but to be a leading advocate for the issues that are important to me. How can I trust that? And I think how well each of those candidates addresses that is going to make a difference in how people view them and see them. Because we do have a lot of people who make a lot of promises, get elected, and then the way they vote doesn't quite turn out how people assumed based on their value statements. So it's gonna be really interesting to examine and see - those are not necessarily critiques of anyone in this race at all - just one of those overall things that will be interesting to follow. [00:05:49] EJ Juárez: It'll also be expensive. I cannot even imagine right now how much money will be spent in this primary, especially given the deep networks of all three of these candidates - I would expect this to be a very expensive seat. [00:06:03] Crystal Fincher: Yeah, that is probably a lock on that one - maybe a historically expensive King County Council District race. We will see. I'm also just curious to see - certainly in the City of Seattle, a number of the larger cities - candidates usually start early. Late filing week doesn't usually - we don't usually get significant surprises today, or people who enter the race and you're like - Okay, they are in a prime position to win this thing. But for most of the suburbs and other cities that are not the handful of large cities, that's not the case. And the Friday of filing week brings just a flurry of activity. Names that pop up - some people are familiar with, some people aren't. But these city council races across the state, school district races - which are definitely extremely important to pay attention to. Don't know that we'll have any Municipal or Superior Court Judge races here in King County, but there certainly are elsewhere in the state. So some of those races that - once again - don't necessarily get top billing in the news, that people are clamoring over and paying attention to. But that are vitally important to just the daily lives of people - where we see sometimes in coverage of national politics and Congress, the debates that they're having in other states, the legislation that they're passing that are obliterating people's civil rights - particularly trans people at this point in time. But the eradication of teaching anything basically, but white-approved material, and not teaching any kind of LGBTQ queer history, any kind of ethnic history - to the people who are here and who've made contributions to our country and our communities. And this is happening here locally. We have people trying to ban books here locally, people talking about taking away funds from public education to go to vouchers and private education and dismantling parts of the system. These are really important races that don't get a lot of attention, but I hope wherever you are listening from - you pay attention to in your community, because they make a big difference and your vote just counts so much more in those elections because so many people don't vote. A few people can make a really big difference. So we will keep our eyes on who files today. Also this week, there was a one-day special session on the 16th to address legislation - known as Blake legislation - coming out of our State Supreme Court's Blake decision a couple of years back, which invalidated - basically struck down personal possession laws for substances, illegal substances - drugs, basically. This didn't have anything to do with dealing, distribution, paraphernalia - but for simple possession, it said that the existing law was invalid, which made the Legislature act. And at the time - this was either two or three years ago, pandemic time is weird for me - they intervened, made possession a regular misdemeanor. And at the time, the justification for that was - hey, we know that decriminalization is the right thing to do. We don't think we have adequate supports in place yet. So let's double down on providing resources to localities and counties to make sure that they have treatment services, diversion services established so that we aren't doing nothing, that we are doing something to address the problem. And we'll put a sunset in this bill for 2023 so that we can revisit this, hopefully things have progressed as we've intended, and we can then proceed with decriminalization. So they did that - I believe in 2021. And this year comes around - maybe - it was probably 2020. This year comes around - sunset's happening, they have to deal with this legislation. And during the regular session, they were not able to come to an agreement. There was certainly a significant faction of people who followed evidence and data and said - This should be treated like a public health problem. The War on Drugs has failed - we need to move in a different direction in order to finally address this and improve this problem. Others were in favor of a misdemeanor. Others wanted a gross misdemeanor - which, for people who don't know, gross misdemeanors can actually carry jail time and fines that exceed that of the lowest level felony penalty. As people talk about this, felonies certainly are a different class of crime, and stay on your record differently, and happens differently in background searches. But one of the things we do know is that jail is very destabilizing. And taking someone out of their community, away from their job, away from their family for that amount of time has - as any criminologist will tell you - proven to be more destabilizing than helpful, which is why locking people up for jail is frowned upon by most people who actually study this. It's viewed as counterproductive, making the problem worse and not better. And if we look at the War on Drugs over the past 40 years - I did the DARE program when I was in elementary school - we've only gone backwards in that time after spending billions, if not trillions, of dollars in that time on this War on Drugs. So when we had this decision, it was really viewed this time coming up - hey, they stated their intention when they first passed this legislation, now it's time to continue to work and do the job. Now - real talk - we did have a pandemic that slowed down some of this implementation, so it's not a shocking surprise that all of the infrastructure wasn't there. But it seemed like it was a time to double down on actually getting that done instead of just walking backwards and moving towards a gross misdemeanor. How did you feel about this? [00:11:44] EJ Juárez: I had a lot of thoughts. And first and foremost, I think the thought that comes to my mind the most is that - and you brought it up a couple of times - we are collectively still in a pandemic. And during that pandemic, many people's access and proximity to services to help them either in recovery or manage their life sober went away. And at the same time as many of those services and support systems - whether that was a person, or a formal group, or medical assistance - was taken away from people, they became isolated. And the expansion and explosion of addiction and dependency issues is here in our communities. And for as much as I love a good sunset in public policy - just like I love the ability to evaluate if our policies are going well - in this case, this is one of the ones that I think is well-timed to really say - Does this meet where we are as a community and a state right now? How are we gonna make this last and make good policy? And I think unfortunately, what we saw in this one-day special session from the Legislature was not necessarily the most bold solution and was not a solution that was - I think really, in my opinion - based on helping the most amount of people become the person that they wish to be, but instead was a failure of leadership to count votes within their own caucus. And I think - as much as I think the Speaker is an incredibly historic figure and I think having her leadership has definitely changed the nature of our House - we watched this fail to pass in the regular session, having to come back, and watch Democrats fight other Democrats on a bill that should not have been that contentious. [00:13:30] Crystal Fincher: And that's such an important point - and especially that this is really about Democrats. Democrats control both the House and the Senate - and the Governor's office - by healthy margins. And sometimes we hear that - Well, Republicans won't let us do that. That wasn't actually the case here. And I'm very curious to hear more information about the negotiation that took place - because there are a couple things that were odd to me. One, the motivation for acting - for why it was so important to step in for the state, for our Legislature to step in and make a law - was that there is a fear that patchwork legislation on-the-ground in cities would create a wild variance between laws in different cities and counties. So - hey, it could be a felony in one place and completely legal in another place, and that could be problematic in people not knowing what the deal is within a particular jurisdiction. In reality, what actually happened was that there seemed to be a coalescing of opinion on the Republican side - because we saw a number of Republican mayors, county council people step up in the last month or so of session, when it became clear that it was definitely a possibility that Blake legislation may not pass, certainly not during the session. And they said - You know what? If the Legislature doesn't act, we will step in. But what they said they would step in with did not exceed a gross misdemeanor anywhere. In fact, there were some Republicans, including Republican Reagan Dunn on the King County Council, who were proposing misdemeanor. And so I'm wondering who Democrats were actually negotiating with here. It doesn't seem like it was Republicans - because in that situation, Democrats seemingly would have been where the base was at. And the State Democratic Party passed a resolution saying that they favored decriminalization, and as an absolute last-ditch effort in a negotiation - a misdemeanor. Certainly nothing as far as a gross misdemeanor. So as they were negotiating, if that's the Republican starting position - is gross misdemeanor - where were Democrats at? And how did we only wind up at the exact place where Republicans - some MAGA Republicans - were at, right? We have not heard anyone talk about felonizing this. So what was this negotiation? It doesn't seem like we were negotiating with Republicans. And so if this was just where Democrats were at - this seems like this would be the result if this is just where Democrats were at. [00:16:03] EJ Juárez: Yeah, and I think it's just an important point to really explore - when Democrats are negotiating with Democrats, you have to look at two different places. One, who's recruiting the people that are at the negotiating table, right? And two, the folks that are at the negotiating table - what is their personal ambition? And I think we have a number of people this year that are watching openings coming up for Attorney General or other positions - where taking a vote that would have aligned with the Party that they support and identify as would have, anecdotally, hurt them in their own opinion. The polls do not support that opinion. The population does not support that opinion. And unfortunately we let, I think, individual elected officials' own personal ambition probably influence these negotiations, right? I wasn't in that room. But it is not unreasonable to assume that when you recruit more moderate candidates than the actual party that they identify with and the planks in that party's platform, that they are going to be pulling from the left towards the center - which allows the right much more room to hold on to that gross misdemeanor line that they have in the sand here. It was particularly telling with the quotes that came - I think that were published in The Seattle Times right after this kind of failure to get across the finish line before sine die happened - that this was a Democratic problem and this was an own goal on Democrats. I'm glad that they did get something done. But again, if it doesn't match the Party, I'm really curious what accountability looks like, especially for those legislators in King County where they do not have either their local LD or their county parties in alignment with perhaps the vote that they took. [00:17:47] Crystal Fincher: Yeah, that's going to be very interesting to see. We have heard some legislators try and justify this by saying - Well, we got some additional money in for some services. And wow, when you look at the actual money that was there and added - one, I would argue that that money was always going to be part of the package. Two, it's so minute in comparison to anything else. If you were negotiating with that, it seems like there would be something more substantial that happened than the money that actually ended up being tacked on at the end. And I don't know that that justifies a wholesale criminalization statewide with no sunset. This is now just the policy moving forward that is, as you say, not in alignment with local parties and is not in alignment with evidence. And we're saying we have limited resources. And this costs money - criminalizing something, arresting people, jailing people, prosecuting people costs so much money. And so the limited resources that we do have are once again being spent in a direction that we know can't fix this, while we're starving the resources and somehow trying to justify throwing some coins in the other direction, saying - Well, this is gonna be part of improving it. It's just really difficult to see how this is really going to improve things. [00:19:16] EJ Juárez: And I know we need to move on, but my last point on this is really - this is where the lack of a real robust advocacy organization in our state that does this work - that brings in the stories and brings in the experiences at a scale that can hold legislators accountable - their absence is profound in these moments, right? Our ecosystem of advocacy organizations that influence policy has some pretty deep holes when it comes to some of these issue areas, and this is one of them. And I don't mean to discount the groups that are doing great work in this space, but those that are doing hard, (c)(4)-dollar, political expenditures that can engage in political activities is fairly thin. And I can't help but believe that if we had a more robust set of advocacy organizations that were playing in the political side, we would have better policy and we would actually get to the problem of the systems. Because we can't buy our way out of these problems with just more funding for services - we need to change systems, and that starts with how robust our advocacy systems are and how good our candidates are once they get into office. [00:20:23] Crystal Fincher: Absolutely. Also in the news this week is a local layoff - a local media layoff. Crosscut - Cascade Public Media, which is Crosscut's parent company, announced that it intends to lay off five newsroom employees - all women, by the way, two of them happen to be women of color, some with seniority over other people there. They're laying them off effective July 1st - in a pivot to video and podcast. This is just reminiscent of the mid-2010s and the really perilous, tragic pivot to video - that wound up being based on gerrymandered metrics - that led to a real decimation of many newsrooms across the country. And we're seeing this - some newsrooms have cited AI, there's recent - MTV News is closing, BuzzFeed News is shuttering. So many local media outlets are struggling and making do with so many fewer staff than they used to have. But this is really curious from Cascade Public Media. They're not saying they don't have the money to continue employment. They're just saying we're shifting directions - we're moving to podcast and video. We're gonna lay these people off and we're gonna replace them with additional video and podcast producers. Joseph O'Sullivan - to his credit - who is a white male reporter there called out online - Hey, curious to see why I'm safe from these layoffs here - I don't have seniority, but I definitely noticed that everyone laid off was a woman, two of whom were women of color - that just doesn't seem like it makes that much sense. Certainly not a good look. How did you see this? [00:22:09] EJ Juárez: I, and maybe this is the most inappropriate way to articulate this, but every time I have seen or heard a media company say they are pivoting to video and podcasting, I think that is really the death rattle, right? That didn't work for VICE, who just had a historic bankruptcy just this past week. It's not working for BuzzFeed, which is shuttering its newsroom. It didn't work for so many other companies. This is how I think big corporations - and in this case, public media - preserves its assets while it's winding down its obligations. The true cost is - we are in Washington state, I think, at a real critical juncture around how many local reporters we have left covering city halls, school board meetings, library trustee meetings. And all the sites that have suddenly become the most contentious sites of culture wars - we now lack the journalistic infrastructure to actually tell us why those places are becoming so politicized and why they are becoming the place where these fights are happening. It is incredibly disappointing that Crosscut - to me - has made this pivot because podcasting and video doesn't give you investigation. Podcasting and video doesn't give you the ability to do the long-term relationship building behind the scenes where you're developing sources and you are cultivating broad swaths of information from different people. What it does is it gives you the ability to be on somebody's TikTok as they're scrolling in their bed at night. But I would say the issues that we're facing are much more deep than 30 seconds can provide any one person. And the dearth of long-form reporting is what is going to kill this republic. The fact that we don't have the ability to go deep on why water treatment systems are so difficult to fund and renovate and keep operational - because they're unseen and unsexy, right? So it's incredibly sad to me. And I think it is even more telling that - as Crosscut probably increased their donor rolls on the backs of their highly promoted people of color coverage, are now laying off those very same reporters that brought in new donors. And I don't think that's lost on anybody. I think that this is what happens. You bring in folks to do the racial work, to do the work in communities that traditional media has not been able to do - and then they're first out the door after they've made their profit for the bosses. [00:24:36] Crystal Fincher: And we've seen this replay in so many different layoff scenarios exactly as you just laid out - whether it's mass media, whether it's news - it's just frustrating. Certainly a lot being talked about in - is AI part of this? We've heard in other layoffs cited that - well, AI can do so much more than it used to do, and we can rely on that for some of this. Or - hey, not lost on us, right? We're talking on a podcast - talking about how a pivot to podcast is not the thing to do, but it's not. That's - it's a different thing. And sure, supplement reporting and coverage with that, but to just replace it - like you said, this is what happens before they die. And it's also not lost on people that this is seeming - this is not the first action that people have felt in this direction. When they cut off their community editorial, guest editorial program - which did a really, really good job - was something that picked up a lot of support and steam, actually talking about on-the-ground solutions to many of the issues that plague us. One of the reasons I do this podcast is because I'm - I get so frustrated with the lack of conversation about actual solutions about what works - Should we address this or not? Not how do we address this? What are the options on the table? And there are usually a lot of options on the table that even people who consider themselves aligned politically can disagree on, different things need to be tested and tried out - there's so much to talk about in terms of how we solve things. And that series was really informative in that reason. And it was rumored - because of some board leadership or new leadership that came aboard, they felt like that was catering too much to progressive forces where it's - this is Seattle, that this is serving. It is reflective of the community that it is serving. But certainly if you are not living in Seattle, or if you do not interact with many people from Seattle, you may think that it is more appropriate to do that. Wasn't lost on people that - in the Crosscut Ideas Festival, people were platformed with severely anti-trans views, advocating for punitive criminal legal system policies and procedures, the othering of so many people, criminalization of homelessness and poverty. And Michael Cohen was there. Just things that made a lot of people scratch their heads and say - one, what in the world anywhere, but especially in Seattle, what is happening? What's even going on? So it just seems like the people who are making decisions just have a different alignment. And even though they said this decision was partly in place to pursue a younger audience - seemed like they were doing that - and they're getting rid of the people who were successful at doing that. [00:27:31] EJ Juárez: I think you hit the nail on the head of - this idea of pursuing a younger audience is not always pivot to video. It is reductive to assume that young people cannot consume anything more than 30 seconds. And it also does them a disservice when this is an incredibly politicized set of young people and set of generations that are hungry to understand their world in really complex and nuanced ways, and Crosscut has missed that boat. For me, what I think of a lot when I think of Crosscut now - and especially after the last Ideas Festival, which to me was less about ideas and more about provocative speakers to bolster their brand - was really this idea that you touched on around Crosscut had a moment in which it was super relevant. And that moment of relevancy was incredibly dense, but it was on the upswing and it was with those editorials. It was with the expansion of their reporting. What Crosscut did not do is capture its own growth and capture that moment, and instead pivoted towards a very traditional understanding of how that business needed to be run. They benefited greatly by the Seattle PI shutting down its very last legs of local content. And frankly, at the same time, as The Stranger really losing a lot of its best reporters and watching their own newsroom shrink and the quality is what it is now. But I think there's definitely a market change in both the Seattle and Puget Sound landscape, and Crosscut is such a cautionary tale of watching a group of people not capture their moment. [00:29:03] Crystal Fincher: Cautionary tale indeed. There was a point in time where - everyone I knew was tuning in to Crosscut, checking out Crosscut and what was there - the coverage was just so relevant locally. You really nailed it. And it's a shame that they moved in a different direction and it's certainly is not what it was, and moving further away - by the day, evidently. The union that represents those employees does say that they do plan on fighting this, that it doesn't seem like this transpired fairly. And so we'll definitely be paying attention to how this unfolds over the next weeks and months. Also this week, we got news that Marc Dones from the King County Regional Homeless Authority is stepping down and resigning from his position. How do you see his tenure and, I guess, the establishment - 'cause he basically built the thing from the ground up - of the King County Regional Homelessness Authority? [00:29:58] EJ Juárez: I think this one is so complex. I think there are many reasons why we're in this place and this surprise resignation - that maybe wasn't so much of a surprise. I feel like - for the past year, the only thing we've heard about the Regional Homelessness Authority in the news has been terrible. It has been punch after punch after punch where the nuts and bolts of that organization have left the folks on the ground doing the hardest work waiting to be paid, waiting to get the funds that they're promised. We've also seen, I think in some ways, a somewhat confrontational approach from that organization with the very regional structure that it's supposed to uphold. One of the things I think with this is I think Marc - I do not know Marc - and my interactions with that organization are as a spectator and somebody who depends on them to do the great work that they've set out to do. The vision that that organization set forth is incredible. And unfortunately, I think that in order for any organization to develop on an incredible vision, you have to build a great team. And unfortunately, that's an organization that did not build a regional team in order to execute on that vision. So you can be bold and visionary, but if you don't have the chops and you don't have the ability to bring a team with you - ideas are a dime a dozen, but true organizers and folks that can bring folks with them - I think that is what that organization desperately needs in its next leader. [00:31:25] Crystal Fincher: Yeah, for me, it feels like this was a challenging task from the outset. And I don't know that there was even the alignment between the regional parties involved that would have supported anything, but what had been happening in a status-quo-type of path moving forward. People who know me have probably had this conversation with me, but - even the formation of this regional homelessness authority felt like - we heard, certainly Ed Murray when he was the mayor, talk about the need for regional solutions. Several people talk about the need for a regional solution. To me, it always felt like that was an excuse and a way to escape accountability for local action, for action in their purview and in their jurisdiction. Certainly there was a lot more that a - Mayor Ed Murray, Mayor Jenny Durkan could have and should have done to address this - that they just didn't. They didn't agree with, they didn't execute on. And here we have now Mayor Harrell. And it just seemed like the vision that Marc Dones laid forth and the vision that you heard from local leaders like Mayor Harrell or some housing providers were never in alignment. And it seemed like there were silos there. It seems like there was some feeling that they needed to protect what they were doing, and maybe the Regional Homeless Authority was gonna take away some of their power or their resources. And a reaction to that was what it seemed like was happening in a few different places. Certainly Marc Dones talked about doing things in a different way. People didn't always agree with that way. Is that on him, or is that just on a lack of alignment? Certainly they hired him, so it seems they would have hired someone who was closer to what they - the direction that they wanted to go - but it's challenging. And it took - it's hard to build an organization. And what he got dumped on him was a ton of money and said - okay, build it and go. It took longer than anticipated to build it. It does seem like they were achieving some good results, especially recently. But as you said, there were other stories always peppered in there. And for every step forward, it felt like there was a story or something about a challenge that they were facing. And even the issue of - this latest major issue where somehow, because of someone's lack of oversight - and I'm still not sure exactly who that is - this organization wound up overspending its budget by quite a lot, which could leave people evicted, basically, without any place to live through no fault of their own in this situation - was really, was a challenge. And it seemed like that was a result of a lack of alignment, and people operating in silos and not wanting to share or collaborate on what they were doing. And so I certainly hope that this next person who is stepping in can manage those relationships better, or at least level set better. And hopefully these partners will give them the tools that they need and the collaboration that they need to succeed. But we will see how this continues to play out. Also, we got news - and I guess we will wrap up on this today - Seattle's, once again, the fastest growing city in the country. This is particularly amusing to many people in Seattle because of a long-term kind of insistence in trying to spin a narrative from some very conservative forces - in a documentary a while back that was pretty hyperbolic and exaggerated that "Seattle is Dying." And it's alternating between a city that's controlled by anarchists, that's being burnt down by Antifa, and being overrun by drugged-up zombies and homeless people who they characterize as all criminals and out there due to some moral failing or their own fault, right? And that just does not - it was just false. It is not the reality on the ground for most people. Most people are not fearing for their safety as they're walking throughout Seattle. They're just carrying on about their lives. And sure, there are challenges. And sure, there are people outside who shouldn't be - although the problem with that is the people outside, not people needing to see the people who are outside. And so it just is curious and interesting. And I'm wondering what you think, or why you think Seattle continues to be one of the fastest - or now the fastest - growing city in the country once again. [00:36:06] EJ Juárez: Seattle's awesome. I think that's - I love Seattle, and I think Seattle has a problem with people saying that they love Seattle. And there is a real culture in the Puget Sound of the other cities' political leaders scoring cheap political points by dunking on Seattle, right? And at some point, the chorus of those other politicians doing that work becomes something. And that has unfortunately permeated into the City, where I wish more people were open about how much they love this place - because that's why people are moving here. That's why people want to be here. And I think especially as we look at this return-to-the-office moment that we're in, Seattle is gonna come back. And I think that the work that the Downtown Seattle Association and the Mayor's office are doing to reimagine what's possible in our downtown, given that we have so many opportunities unlike other major cities - I'm super excited about it. I also think that we might be on the first wave of climate migration. I think that it would be foolish for us not to at least consider - those who have the means and opportunities now to relocate to a place where they are less exposed to natural disasters comparatively from where they might be from, where heat swings - barring last week - are less frequent. So I think that we're well poised for a comeback and I think that this is the first maybe harbinger of that, where we've got folks coming back and we're growing again. [00:37:44] Crystal Fincher: Yeah, absolutely. And I think that's a very valid point, especially talking about - now is the time with people - when people of means are making changes based on this. And I've had conversations with people about this, and people are absolutely looking at - What is the weather likely to be? Is there likely to be flooding? Is there likely to be extreme heat waves? On top of that - of the challenges brought by climate change - the challenge is brought by our failure to manage our infrastructure appropriately. Some folks in Texas - not only is it a problem with heat waves or extreme cold, but also their power being completely unreliable when that happens. Or elsewhere in the country - or water being completely unsafe to drink and unpredictable in that way. Different ways that also a failure to manage infrastructure is exacerbating our struggles with climate change and leaving people more vulnerable to that. I also think that we are - we're, comparatively, a very educated place, a very engaged place. It's a beautiful place to live. It's not - this is one of the easier places for businesses to attract employees to come. And really that's what was behind our incredible population growth in the first place. This is a place, this is a good place to do business. We heard so many times from - whether it's the Association of Washington Cities or the Chamber or Washington Roundtable - these raises in minimum wages or this tax that the city council wants to put on businesses, it's gonna make the sky fall. Everybody's gonna leave. Everyone's gonna move out. And now they're - as the "Seattle is Dying" crowd will be - bad things are taking over Seattle. No one wants to be here. And that is just laughably false and continues to be proven laughably false. Definitely don't wanna give the impression that there are not significant challenges - there are lots of significant challenges everywhere. And the set that we have is, unfortunately across the country, a better set than many people are dealing with in other places. We should do better. We should still be doing better. But comparatively a lot of places are doing worse. Not to mention just attacks on civil rights, and people being able to be people and live their own lives in different places. And we are a place that is welcoming to people - as you talked about before. So I definitely understand why Seattle is at the top of this list and continues to return to the top of the list. I hope we do things to make it even more welcoming and inviting and support the population that is moving here, like making appropriate decisions on housing and renter protections and rent controls and preventing displacement from the continued population growth. [00:40:40] EJ Juárez: I think a key difference, too, as we look at some of those places that are less hospitable to business - Washington was rated number one best place to open and run a business multiple times here in the last few years, including last year. But I look at places like Florida, where also massive migration to that state and also very large high profile exodus by companies out of that state - because it is so hostile given the conditions for its employees to live safe, prosperous lives within their communities. So to places like that and people that are talking about how great Florida and Texas and all these other places are, I say - Hey, Disney just canceled a billion dollar expansion in Orlando for their employees because they did not believe their employees were safe in how hostile that government was towards them. Hey, come on up to Washington. We like Mickey Mouse, let's do it. [00:41:39] Crystal Fincher: Yeah, we won't just exact a vendetta against a company because they didn't agree with what the governor said. So it'll be, it's certainly an interesting exercise to go over all the things that do make Seattle a pretty cool place to be - took me longer than many people to warm up to Seattle, but I have arrived, I'm here. [00:42:06] EJ Juárez: Just wait two years, it changes every two years. You'll like one of them. [00:42:09] Crystal Fincher: Oh goodness - with that, we thank you for listening to Hacks & Wonks on this Friday, May 19th, 2023. The producer of Hacks & Wonks is Shannon Cheng. Our insightful co-host today is the former Director of Progressive Majority, who's now in public service and remains involved in numerous political efforts - and you all hear how insightful and intelligent he is when he's on - EJ Juárez. Thank you for joining us. [00:42:36] EJ Juárez: Thank you. [00:42:37] Crystal Fincher: You can find EJ on Twitter @EliseoJJuarez. You can follow Hacks & Wonks on Twitter @HacksWonks. You can find me on Twitter @finchfrii, it's two I's at the end. You can catch Hacks & Wonks wherever you get your podcasts - just type "Hacks and Wonks" into the search bar. Be sure to subscribe to get the full versions of our Friday almost-live shows and our Tuesday topical show delivered to your podcast feed. If you like us, leave a review wherever you listen. You can also get the full transcript of this episode and links to the resources referenced in the show at officialhacksandwonks.com and in the episode notes. Thanks for tuning in - talk to you next time.

Top of Mind
BiggerPockets' Dave Meyer on What's Working for Real Estate Investors in 2023

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 26, 2023 52:45


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Dave Meyer, VP of Data & Analytics at BiggerPockets, to talk about what's working for real estate investors right now. Dave discusses why flipping still works even as the market slows, why he thinks prices on bigger multifamily buildings have more room to drop, and what new investors should be thinking about. He also talks about which local markets look the healthiest in 2023. About Dave Meyer Dave Meyer is the VP of Data & Analytics at BiggerPockets, host of "On the Market" Podcast and long time real estate investor. BiggerPockets is the leading media network and community of 2.5 million members in the real estate investing space. The platform provides invaluable education, effective tools and a robust community for real estate investors worldwide. BiggerPockets podcasts are built to empower individuals through real estate investing, financial literacy, entrepreneurship, and more, with over 150 million all-time downloads and the #1 podcast in Real Estate. BiggerPockets podcast business includes “The Real Estate Show,” “BiggerPockets Money,” “On the Market,” “The Real Estate Rookie” and “InvestHER” shows. The company launched Wealth Magazine, a successful YouTube channel and has quickly become a powerhouse book publisher with over 2 million books sold and titles that range from “Investing in Real Estate with No (and Low) Money Down” and “Buy, Rehab, Rent, Refinance, Repeat.” Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  What's working for real estate investors right now What is “House Hacking” and why is it so important Why flipping still works even as the market slows How to view current cap rates and what that means for investors in 2023 Which investors are winning in this market Whether there's an “AirBnBust” coming What happens to new investors in a recession Why the big surge in multifamily construction is a blip — not a trend Which local markets look the healthiest Resources mentioned in this episode: Dave Meyer on LinkedIn BiggerPockets BiggerPockets on Twitter Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter

Top of Mind
Roofstock's Gary Beasley on the Top Trends in Real Estate Investing

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 19, 2023 55:59


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Gary Beasley, CEO and co-founder of Roofstock, to talk about today's biggest trends and opportunities in real estate investing. Gary shares his experience leading two fast-growing real estate technology companies through IPOs, offers a deep-dive into what's happening with institutional real estate investors right now, and talks about what to expect with mortgage rates, inflation and recession for the coming year. He also tells us why he continues to be bullish on housing for the foreseeable future. About Gary Beasley Gary is the driving force behind Roofstock's goal to power the future of real estate investing. Gary brings a valuable perspective on using technology to disrupt incumbents through his deep industry expertise leading various real estate, hospitality, and tech companies. Gary has a proven track record of starting and launching successful companies, having led two companies through IPOs: ZipRealty as CFO and Starwood Waypoint Residential Trust (now a part of Invitation Homes, the largest single-family rental home REIT in the United States) as co-CEO. In addition, Gary was instrumental in acquiring and integrating more than $800 million of resort properties for KSL Resorts and also served as CEO of Joie De Vivre Hospitality, then the second-largest boutique hotel management company in the United States. Gary was named a 2019 Top 50 Fintech CEO by Financial Technology Report and HousingWire's 2018 HW Vanguard. He earned his BA in Economics from Northwestern and holds an MBA from Stanford, where he regularly participates as a guest speaker. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  Gary Beasley on LinkedIn Roofstock Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter

Top of Mind
Redfin's Unique Insights Into the Housing Market

Top of Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 29, 2023 59:42


In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Taylor Marr, deputy chief economist at Redfin, to talk about the big trends shaping today's housing market. Taylor shares some unique (and surprising) insights from Redfin data, talks about where he sees mortgage rates and home prices going this year, and busts some common myths about housing affordability. He also tells us why uncertainty is the biggest risk this year rather than recession or inflation. Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets. About Taylor Marr Taylor Marr is the deputy chief economist on the research team at Redfin. He is passionate about housing and urban policy and an advocate for increased mobility and affordability. He laid the framework for Redfin's migration data and reports and diligently tracks the housing market and economy. Before Redfin, Taylor built financial market index funds for Vanguard at the University of Chicago. Taylor went to graduate school for international economics in Berlin, where he focused on behavioral causes of the global housing bubble and subsequent policy responses. Taylor's research has been featured in the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and The Economist. He was also recently the President of the Seattle Economics Council and collaborates frequently with the Fed, HUD, and the Census Bureau. Here's a glimpse of what you'll learn:  The biggest housing market trends coming out of the pandemic Which unique insights we can get from Redfin user and agent data Where he sees mortgage rates this year and the threshold for consumers to buy What's happening with affordability, and what the media gets wrong about it How to look at price reductions as a predictive tool Where Redfin sees home prices going in 2023 Why uncertainty is the biggest risk this year rather than recession or inflation Resources mentioned in this episode: Taylor Marr on LinkedIn Redfin Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: https://twitter.com/altosresearch https://twitter.com/mikesimonsen

Let's Go To Court!
238: The Tulia Drug Bust & Online Dating

Let's Go To Court!

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 7, 2022 136:33


In the late 90s, the little town of Tulia, Texas, was up to its ass in drugs. At least, that's what the local sheriff thought. So he hired a guy named Tom Coleman to work as an undercover narcotics agent. What Tom discovered was truly unbelievable. As it turned out, the little town of approximately 5,000 people was home to *at least* 46 drug dealers. On top of that, the drug dealers in this economically depressed community dealt oodles of powder cocaine! Oh, and guess what?? Even though Tulia had a pretty small Black community, almost every single drug dealer that Tom encountered was Black! What are the odds??? Thanks to Tom's undercover work, authorities arrested 46 people on drug charges. But Tom hadn't worn a wire during these drug buys. Nothing was videoed or photographed. He hadn't even worked alongside another undercover agent. Hell, he hadn't even written his notes on a notepad. He'd written every pertinent detail about those drug deals on his leg.  Then Brandi tells us about the murder of Ingrid Lyne. Indrid was a newly divorced, busy mom. She shared three daughters with her ex-husband, Phillip, and she worked as a nurse at Seattle's Swedish Medical Center. She'd just recently begun online dating. Through an app, she met John Charlton. John seemed like a nice enough guy, so Ingrid went out with him a few times. But on the morning after Ingrid went to a Seattle Mariners game with John, her friends and family couldn't get a hold of her.  And now for a note about our process. For each episode, Kristin reads a bunch of articles, then spits them back out in her very limited vocabulary. Brandi copies and pastes from the best sources on the web. And sometimes Wikipedia. (No shade, Wikipedia. We love you.) We owe a huge debt of gratitude to the real experts who covered these cases. In this episode, Kristin pulled from: “Tulia drug bust of 1999,” by Alex Hunt for the Texas State Historical Association “The color of justice,” by Nate Blakeslee for the Texas Observer “Tulia Texas: Scenes from the drug war,” documentary  “Racist arrests in Tulia, Texas,” ACLU.org “Tulia 46: Impacts 20 years later,” by Mari Salazar for Everything Lubbock.com “Prosecutor in Tulia case says he'll show Coleman lied,” Associated Press, Jan 12 2005 “Former Tulia drug agent guilty of one perjury count,” Associated Press, Jan 15 2005 “Tulia saga still a wound unhealed for some,” Associated Press, July 22, 2009 Crime stories episode, “Miscarriage of justice in Tulia Texas,”  “Tulia,Texas” ABC News 20/20 video on YouTube 60 Minutes clips on YouTube In this episode, Brandi pulled from: “Ingrid Lyne” chillingcrimes.com “The Murder of Ingrid Lyne” by Kylie, It's Crime O Clock Somewhere “Date With The Devil” episode Sex and Murder “Man Who Found Dismembered Remains of Wash. Mom in Trash Can Recounts Horrific Discovery” by Harriet Sokmensuer, People “Man pleads guilty to killing, dismembering Renton mother of 3” by Steve Miletich, The Seattle Times “Grisly details revealed in murder of Renton mom; suspect claimed he was too drunk to remember, prosecutors say” by Brandi Kruse, Janet Kim, Hana Kim, and Steve Kiggins, Fox13 News “'When he walks, Ingrid won't': Man sentenced for dismembering Renton nurse” by Lynsi Burton, SeattlePI.com YOU'RE STILL READING? My, my, my, you skeezy scunch! You must be hungry for more! We'd offer you some sausage brunch, but that gets messy. So how about you head over to our Patreon instead? (patreon.com/lgtcpodcast). At the $5 level, you'll get 40+ full length bonus episodes, plus access to our 90's style chat room!