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The Conditional Release Program - Episode 185: Federal Election 2025 Post-SpecialHosts: Joel Hill & Jack the Insider (Peter Hoistead)Overall Theme: A deep dive into the results and implications of the 2025 Australian Federal Election, focusing on Labor's historic victory, the Coalition's catastrophic loss, and the performance of minor parties and independents.Key Segments & Talking Points:(Part 1 - Approximate Timestamps based on original transcript, subject to adjustment)[00:00:00 - 00:01:23] Introduction & Election OverviewJoel laments being banned from betting on the election, particularly Labor's strong odds.Jack notes Joel would have won significantly, especially on Labor at $2.60.Historic Labor Win: Anthony "Albo" Albanese leads Labor to a significant victory.Libs sent into an "existential crisis."Albo is the first PM to be re-elected since John Howard in 2004.Largest Labor victory on a two-party preferred basis since John Curtin in 1943 (votes still being counted).Crucial Stat: The Albanese government is the only first-term government to have a swing towards it in Australian political history.[00:01:23 - 00:03:38] Significance of the Swing to LaborPrevious first-term governments (Howard '98, Hawke '84, Fraser '77, Whitlam '74, Menzies) all had swings against them when seeking a second term.Albo's government achieved an approximate 4% swing towards it (votes still being counted).Discussion points: Where it went right for Labor, and wrong for the Coalition, Greens, and Teals.Far-right "Cookers" performed terribly. Pauline Hanson's One Nation (FONY) might see minor representation.[00:03:38 - 00:05:11] Patreon & Sponsor Shout-outsReminder to support the podcast on Patreon: www.patreon.com/theconditionalreleaseprogram (for as little as $5/month).CB Co. Beer: Praised for their IPA and new Hazy XPA. Competition to win $100,000. Use code CRP10 for 10% off at cbco.beer.[00:05:11 - 00:08:52] Polling Inaccuracies & Liberal OptimismReiteration of the ~4% swing to Labor.Comparison of final poll predictions vs. actual results:Freshwater: Labor 51.5% (was Liberal pollster, told Libs they were close).Newspoll: 52.5% (Labor used their private polling).Essential: 53.5%.YouGov: 52.2% - 52.9%.Polling companies significantly underestimated Labor's vote, especially those advising the Coalition.The misplaced optimism at Liberal Party HQ on election night.[00:08:52 - 00:16:00] Specific Seat Results & Labor GainsGilmore (NSW South Coast): Fiona Phillips (Labor) won 55-45 (3-4% swing to her), despite Andrew Constance (Liberal) being the favourite.Bennelong (Howard's old seat): Jeremy Laxail (Labor) won 59-41 against Scott Young (problematic Liberal candidate), a 10% swing to Labor.Parramatta: Andrew Charlton (Labor) won 62-38 (was 53.47 in 2022).Aston (Victoria): Labor won in a historic by-election previously, now a 4% swing to the Labor candidate, winning 53-47.Boothby (SA): Louise Miller-Frost (Labor) achieved an 8% swing, holding the seat 61-39.Tangney (WA): Sam Lim (Labor, ex-cop & dolphin trainer) secured a 3% swing, now 56-44. Large Bhutanese diaspora noted.Leichhardt (FNQ): Labor's Matt Smith won 57-43 after Warren Entsch (LNP) retired (10% swing).Hunter (NSW): Dan Repiccioli (Labor) re-elected with 44% primary vote (5% swing on primary). Fended off Nats and One Nation (Stuart Bonds' inflated vote claims by "One Australia" on X).[00:16:00 - 00:18:49] Diversifying Parliament & Women in PoliticsPraise for non-lawyer backgrounds in Parliament (e.g., Dan Repiccioli, Sam Lim).Critique of the typical lawyer/staffer/union pathway.Labor's success in diversifying candidate backgrounds and increasing female representation.Liberals struggling with female representation despite some efforts. Discussion of potential quotas in the Liberal party and the backlash it would cause.Margaret Thatcher quote: "If you want something said, ask a man. If you want something done, ask a woman."[00:18:49 - 00:27:26] The Teals: Mixed Results & ChallengesInitial appearance of a Teal "romp" on election night.Bradfield (NSW North Shore): Teal Nicolette Boele (Burle/Bola) behind Liberal Giselle Kaptarian by 178 votes (updated during recording).Goldstein (VIC): Tim Wilson (Liberal) leading Zoe Daniel (Teal) by 925 votes. Wilson is likely back. Joel comments on Wilson's IPA association vs. his "gay, wet, mediocre, progressive side." Jack notes Wilson often highlights his sexuality.Jim Chalmers' quip about Tim Wilson: "Popular for all those who haven't met him."Kooyong (VIC): Monique Ryan (Teal) leading by 1002 votes (97,000 counted, ~8,000 postals to go). Redistribution added parts of Toorak, making it harder for Ryan.Liberal candidate Amelia Hamer: "Trust fund renter" controversy, owns multiple properties, London bolthole.Corflute wars in Kooyong: Hamer campaign's excessive use of A-frames, obstructing walkways, went to Supreme Court over council limits. Jack doubts the impact of corflutes.[00:27:26 - 00:31:28] Why Did the Teals Go Backwards?Liberal party invested heavily in Kooyong and Goldstein.Voters potentially preferring a local member who is a Minister or part of the government.Redistribution impact in Kooyong (addition of Toorak).Zali Steggall's success in Warringah partly due to "fruitcake" Liberal opponents like Katherine Deves.[00:31:28 - 00:40:37] The Greens: Significant LossesLost all lower house seats. Adam Bandt (leader) gone from Melbourne.Lost Brisbane (Max Chandler Mather) and Griffith back to Labor.Ryan (South Brisbane): Likely Labor win in a three-way contest.Greens will have no lower house representation.Key Reason: Housing policy standoff. Accused of holding up Labor's housing bill for over a year (affecting funding for domestic violence victims, homeless), pursuing "perfection" over compromise.[00:40:37 - 00:49:57] Deep Dive: Housing Policy ChallengesA major challenge for the Albanese government. Not an easy fix.Supply-side changes could devalue existing homes or slow growth, angering homeowners.Joel's view: Subsidized housing (rent-to-own, means-tested) wouldn't touch the high-end market.Negative gearing: Not a quick fix; removing it overnight unlikely to change much; issue is supply.Homeowner expectations of property value growth.Construction industry at full tilt; skills shortages.CFMEU's role in skilled migration for construction.Free TAFE importance for reskilling/upskilling.Linton Besser (Media Watch) criticism of Labor "building" houses when they reconditioned unlivable ones – Joel argues this still increases supply.[00:49:57 - 00:59:16] Deep Dive: Childcare Policy & Global Economic HeadwindsChildcare another area for government focus.Labor's childcare policy: Rebates for high earners (e.g., $325k combined income).High cost of childcare; need for better pay for childcare workers (Labor delivered a pay spike).Ownership of childcare centers (Peter Dutton reference) and profit-making. Call for more public childcare.Uncertain global economic times, Trump tariffs.Port of Los Angeles imports down by one-third.US Q1 economy shrank 0.3%; recession likely.Japan, China, South Korea meeting to discuss tariff responses; hold significant US debt. Japanese warning to US re: trade negotiations.[00:59:16 - 01:07:13] What Went Wrong for the Coalition? Answer: Everything.Gas Price Fixing Policy: Cobbled together, no consultation with industry (unlike Rudd's mining tax failure), potentially unconstitutional (taxing for benefit of some states over others).Work From Home Policy Disaster:Conceived by Jane Hume and Peter Dutton, no Shadow Cabinet consultation.Initial messaging: All Commonwealth public servants, then just Canberra.Jane Hume's media run: Claimed all WFH is 20% less productive, citing a study.Implied WFH employees are "bludgers," alienating a vast number of voters (including partners of tradies).Labor capitalized on this after door-knocking feedback. Policy eventually walked back.Defence Policy: Released in the last week, vague promise to spend 3% of GDP, no specifics on acquisitions. Andrew Hastie (Shadow Defence) reportedly wants out of the portfolio.Fuel Excise Policy: Halving fuel excise for a year. Took a week for Dutton to do a photo-op at a service station. Fuel prices had already dropped.Melbourne Airport Rail Link Funding: Announced at a winery.Vehicle Emissions Policy: Clarifications issued within 48 hours.Generally a shambolic campaign, studied for years to come.[01:07:13 - 01:08:55] The Nationals & Nuclear Policy FalloutNats trying to spin a better result than Libs, but didn't win Calare (Andrew Gee back as Indy).Nuclear Policy: Coalition embarrassed to discuss it. Nats insist on keeping it.Policy originated as a way for Libs to get Nats to support Net Zero by 2050.Massive costs and timelines: Hinkley Point C (UK) example – 65 billion pounds, years of delays. US Georgia plant similar.Legislative hurdles: Repealing Howard-era ban, state-level bans (even LNP QLD Premier Chris O'Fooley against it).State-funded, "socialist" approach due to lack of private investment.[01:08:55 - 01:15:49] Coalition Campaign Failures & SpokespeopleDebate on government vs. private industry running power.Lack of effective Coalition spokespeople: Susan Ley sidelined, Jane Hume promoted. Angus Taylor perceived as lazy.Angus Taylor's past water license scandal ("Australia's Watergate," Cayman Islands structure).[01:15:49 - 01:28:03] Demographics: A Tide Against the LiberalsWomen: Voted ~58-42 for Labor (two-party preferred), worse than under Morrison. Libs failed to address issues like climate, domestic violence.Language Other Than English at Home (LOTE): 60% backed Labor (Redbridge polling, Cos Samaras). Indian and Chinese diaspora significant, impacting Deakin and Menzies (Keith Wallahan, a moderate, lost Menzies).Gen Z & Millennials (18-45): Now outnumber Baby Boomers (60+), voted 60-40 Labor (TPP).Preferencing: Labor "gamed the system well"; Liberals' deal with One Nation backfired in messaging to urban areas.Strategy Failure: Liberals walked away from "heartland" Teal-lost seats, wrongly believing voters were wrong. Dutton's 2023 claim of Libs being "party of regional Australia" failed. No connection or network in targeted outer-suburban/regional seats.Female Pre-selection: Aspiration of 50% in 2019, achieved 34% in 2025. "Male, white, middle-class, mediocre."Sarah Henderson Example: Lost Corangamite in 2019, returned via Senate vacancy. Criticized as a "waste of space," arrogant for seeking re-entry.Both parties have taken safe seats for granted (factional gifts), but Labor learning. Example: Batman (now Cooper, Jed Carney) won back from Greens after better candidate selection.[01:28:03 - 01:36:42] Fond Farewells: Election CasualtiesPeter Dutton: Lost his seat of Dickson (held 20+ years), got "smashed." Likely preferred losing seat to facing party room fallout. Gracious concession speech. Australia's strong electoral process praised (democracy sausage, volunteers, AEC, peaceful concession).Michael Sukkar (Deakin, VIC): "Unpleasant piece of work."Recount of February incident: Sukkar, at Dutton's prompting, used a point of order to cut off Attorney-General Mark Dreyfus (Jewish) during an emotional speech about anti-Semitism and his family's Holocaust connection (Shiloh story). Dreyfus called Sukkar "disgusting." Sukkar moved "that the member no longer be heard." Widely condemned.Gerard Rennick (QLD Senator): Anti-COVID vaccine, spread misinformation (diabetes, dementia links). Jack recounts being attacked by Rennick's "poison monkeys" on X after writing about it. Rennick gone, likely self-funded much of his campaign.(Part 2 - Timestamps restart from 00:00:00 but are a continuation, add ~1 hour 36 mins 50 secs to these for continuous flow)[01:36:50 - 01:44:07] The Fractured Hard Right ("Cookers") - Dismal PerformanceGenerally went nowhere electorally.UAP (United Australia Party) / Trumpeter Patriots (John Ruddock): 2.38% in NSW Senate (down from UAP's 3.2% in 2022). Less money spent than previous Clive Palmer campaigns.Libertarian Democrats (Lib Dems): 1.99% in NSW Senate. Controversial name didn't help. Alliance with H.A.R.T (formerly IMOP, Michael O'Neill) and Gerard Rennick's People First Party.Monica Smit's calls to "unite" contrasted with these groups already forming alliances without her.These three parties combined got less than 2% in NSW. Lib Dems
Listeners! It' election day and I cannot be bothered so it's AI shownotes this week. Enjoy! Hosts: Joel Hill & Dave (Cooker Watcher Supreme)(00:00:00) Introduction & WelcomeJoel welcomes listeners and introduces guest host Dave, replacing Jack the Insider.Shoutout: CB Co Beer for election night viewing. Mention of a competition involving a boat trip.Election Calls to Action:Vote 1 Fiona Patton in the Victorian Senate, preference 2 Purple Pingers.(00:01:48) Tinfoil Tales Follow-Up: The Next Pope?Discussion on cooker theories about the next Pope (King Charles?).Lindsey Graham's tweet suggesting Donald Trump for Pope.00:02:38 Dave reads the tweet.Trump's blue suit vs. Obama's tan suit controversy revisited.Brief thoughts on the late Pope's legacy and potential successor.(00:04:37) Dave's Cooker Report: Cessnock & CPACDave attended a meeting with Joel Jammal ("Eyebrows") in Cessnock (his 8th visit).Jammal debriefed the local unnamed "Freedom Group" (often linked to One Nation) on his CPAC trip.Local Candidates Present:Stuart Bonds (One Nation candidate for Hunter).Jennifer Stefanak (Trumpet of Patriots Newcastle) - Flat Earther, aliens are fallen angels, won NCAT case after dismissal from child services. Not allowed to speak despite attending.Mysterious Host: Christine Stevens, credited by Jammal as "brains behind the Wollongbae Road campaign" (a local road widening project used by cookers).Stevens now campaign manager for Stuart Bonds (referred to as "boss"). Possible links to broader far-right organising.Joel Jammal's Gifts: Rolled-up maps for Cessnock's 6 cooker councillors showing ALP vs. Voice 'No' vote intersections. Maps available for purchase from Jammal.Jammal's CPAC Trip: Won the trip via the "Shark Bites Pitching Contest" at CPAC Australia (Sky paywall).Winners expected to produce content upon return.Included a communication seminar with Steve Bannon.Stuart Bonds' Candidacy (Hunter):Odds discussed ($10 on Sportsbet).Labor's Dan Repacholi favoured ($1.15).Bonds' history: 21% primary in 2019, left One Nation, rejoined. Consistent far-right vote in the region.Bonds' desire to "start a conversation about coal mining" (already ongoing).Discussion on Labor's telehealth plan and cooker opposition.(00:24:07) Trumpism & Dutton's CampaignDiscussion on the "blueprint for Trump 28".Chris LaCivita (Trump advisor) reportedly helped Peter Dutton's campaign. Joel questions the effectiveness given global trends.Mainstream media's difficulty rallying behind Dutton.(00:25:52) Cooker Report Part 2: Gosford & MyPlaceDave attended the Lisa Bellamy independent campaign launch in Gosford.Follow-on from "Coasties Who Care" (MyPlace environmentalist council ticket).Shadowy Figure: Kate Mason (anti-renewable circuit, IPA/Advance events). Launched Bellamy's campaign.Campaign barely mentions climate change, focuses on opposing Aboriginal Land Council developments.Key Figures on Stage:Jake Cassar (musician, prepper).Lisa Bellamy (MyPlace coordinator, seen at Convoy with Kate Mason).Vicki Burke (MyPlace food/water security organiser, believes in aliens/other planets).Group suggests increased One Nation vote would benefit them. Bellamy received ~3000 votes previously.Kate Mason's Agenda: Reshaping the environment movement to focus on conspiracies (15-min cities, anti-meat).Shapeshifted from anti-vax (IMOP) -> Voice 'No' -> Anti-artificial food/Bellamy campaign.Significant Telegram following despite "gobbledygook" posts.Rally vs. Darkinjung Land Council/Woolworths Development: Focus remains on Land Council projects. Racist undertones ("love the land as much as we do").Links to Garingai (now potentially split/rebranded). NRL Welcome to Country discussed.Jake Cassar Deep Dive: Constant self-promotion, minimal concrete environmental vision beyond opposing the Land Council. Attacks Labor/Greens. Right-wing presence at events. Ballarat missing person search (found dog with SES). Yowie encounter at Woy Woy tip. Lack of accountability in Facebook environmental groups (anti-immigration/Aboriginal rhetoric).(00:40:33) Monica Smit's Private Prosecution of Dan AndrewsMonica plans a private criminal prosecution against Dan Andrews (and Jacinta Allan).Website Quote: "The wait is over righteous justice begins now" - Monica Smit.Topher Field involved as cheerleader/promoter.Basis: "New evidence" (Document 34 FOI email) allegedly showing curfew decision made before consulting CHO Brett Sutton. Implication: tyranny, not health advice.Joel suggests it was likely capitulation to police enforcement ease.Fundraising: Claimed $124,605 raised (via manually updated widget). Monica paid herself $1000/week stipend already.Monica's Justification ("Why me?"): Stood toe-to-toe and won, relentless energy, prison time (refused bail), won appeal, resisted database handover, won unlawful arrest case (appealing costs decision), claims past refund integrity, lives simply, no distractions (children/friends).Bender (@SpambotX) Twitter Thread: Brutal takedown of Monica as a "despicable con woman".Highlights Consumer Affairs conviction ($66k pocketed from unregistered fundraiser).Accuses Topher Field of seeking a cut.Details legal failures, self-orchestrated "martyrdom", $250k legal bill after rejecting settlement.Criticises "journalism" and book ("Cell 22").Predicts prosecution failure and abandonment once donations dry up.Bender's Legal Analysis (Round 2):Private prosecution (Crimes Act s 321) needs prima facie case, not conspiracy.Document 34 likely inadmissible hearsay.Misconduct charge needs proof of knowing, malicious law-breaking (R v Quach).Lockdowns upheld (Loielo v Giles), backed by Public Health Act & CHO advice.DPP can shut down frivolous cases (Public Prosecutions Act s 22).Previous treason case tossed out.Criticises fundraising transparency (Fundraising Act 1998), $52k/year salary.Highlights past legal issues (incitement charges dropped, health order conviction, Judge Tran's comments).Past Precedent: 2021 private prosecution for treason (Anthony Herman) recalled - chaotic online hearing.Monica's Timeline & Updates:Initial plan: Assemble legal team by April 24, first meeting April 30.Reality (May 1): No team announced. Video claims it will take "a few weeks" to pick lawyers.Met with a lawyer ($500/hr, 2 hours booked).Posted picture near a waterfall instead of legal updates ("reset and reload").Now targeting Jacinta Allan as well.Promises refund of remaining balance if no prospect of success.Discussion on cooker lawyers (Matouk, Buckley). Monica's motivation seen as attention/clout chasing.(01:17:54) Return to The Cali (Caledonian Hotel, Singleton)Dave attended Pauline Hanson & Stuart Bonds event ($20 lunch that never happened).Low turnout (~45 people in beer garden). Regulars, pensioners, Chris Sky filming, James Ashby present.Stuart Bonds Guardian article discussed (misogyny, anti-vax, "Little Hitlers"). Worn as badge of honour.Homeschooling attempt due to "woke trans agenda".Red Ensign described as "real flag".Unregistered campaign trailer incident.Pauline Hanson: Speech built to "greatest hits" (Aboriginal industry). Mumbles less the longer she speaks.Cali Update: Corruption Whistleblower book sold at bar (credit card accepted). Eureka beer on tap (FJB beer rebranded/gone?). Frenchies brewery connection? Pub seems to be returning to normal operations, but Red Ensign still flies. Food looks good, beer selection poor (Lion Nathan). No coal miners attended the event despite Bonds' background.(01:36:30) Candidates Forum: Patterson (Port Stephens)Dave attended forum; ABC filming due to anti-wind turbine mob presence.Low turnout of protesters (~5 loud individuals). Meryl Swanson (Labor incumbent) well-prepared.Marginal seat: Libs (Lawrence Ancliffe), aligned Independent, One Nation, Trumpet, Family First running against Swanson.History of intimidation (boat incident during Mayoral campaign).Betting odds discussed (Labor $1.66, Coalition $2.37). YouGov poll (Labor 51.8%).Irony: Libs proposed nuclear plant at Port Stephens in 2007.Bizarre Moments:Trumpet candidate Peter Arena: Wind turbines interfere with missile detection; mentioned fighting audience member over wife littering.(01:42:37) Billy Bay vs GAP Feud UpdateDr. William Bay told people not to vote for GAP (Great Australian Party) despite running for them.Rod Culleton's response.Billy Bay's letter to Culleton: Mock SovCit style ("Office of Vexatious Litigants and Spiritual Audits"), demands apology, foot kissing, $8 trillion. Full of threats (librarian grievance, livestream in lab coat, seizing karma balance). Written on GAP letterhead.Feud background (payment disputes) covered previously by Tinfoil Tales.(01:46:51) Amelia Hamer (Liberal, Kooyong) vs The PeopleRecap: Fake renter scandal (owns 2 properties + trust fund beneficiary).A-Frame sign spamming controversy vs Monique Ryan (Teal MP).Council imposed one-sign limit due to safety/obstruction complaints.Liberals took council to Supreme Court over implied freedom of political communication.Court upheld freedom but allowed council safety enforcement (opaque outcome).Likely outcome: confrontations over sign placement. James Patterson claiming victory. Joel predicts local backlash.(01:51:08) Election Odds & PredictionsSportsbet: Labor $1.05, Coalition $9.50.YouGov: Labor 53 / Coalition 47 (2PP). Projecting 84 seats for Labor (75 needed for majority).Dickson (Dutton's seat): YouGov 50.2% LNP / 49.8% ALP. Sportsbet has Dutton favourite ($1.28 vs $3.35).Joel laments betting ban but expresses optimism for Labor win, potential Dutton loss.(01:53:29) Wrap Up & OutroJoel thanks Dave for his "invaluable" and "brave" cooker reporting.Standard Patreon plugs etc. skipped.Sign off & enjoy the election.
4 - Liberal fingerprints all over feeble ‘CCP' scare in Kooyong by Australian Citizens Party
A legal battle is emerging in a wealthy Melbourne suburb over election banners. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Teal MP Monique Ryan launches desperate cash grab as Kooyong race tightens, millions of Aussies vent over election texts. Plus, Labor knew about Russia’s Indonesian air base request in March.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
随着5月3日联邦大选日益临近,维州Kooyong选区的竞争愈发激烈。在这一多元、教育程度高、经济压力显著的选区,候选人的政策取向、对华人社群的回应与对重大议题的立场,均引发广泛关注。自由党候选人哈默与现任独立议员瑞安接受SBS采访,围绕民生成本、住房开发、澳中关系等议题展开了激烈交锋。点击 ▶ 收听完整采访。
The threat teal independents pose in this election - to the dominance of the two-party system, to the stability of our parliament and to the Liberal Party’s base - is very real. Today, we focus on two of these seats: Bradfield in Sydney and Kooyong in Melbourne where the teals and the Libs are neck and neck. City reporter for The Age Rachael Dexter and NSW political editor Alexandra Smith join Jacqueline Maley to discuss.Subscribe to The Age & SMH: https://subscribe.smh.com.au/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The threat teal independents pose in this election - to the dominance of the two-party system, to the stability of our parliament and to the Liberal Party’s base - is very real. Today, we focus on two of these seats: Bradfield in Sydney and Kooyong in Melbourne where the teals and the Libs are neck and neck. City reporter for The Age Rachael Dexter and NSW political editor Alexandra Smith join Jacqueline Maley to discuss.Subscribe to The Age & SMH: https://subscribe.smh.com.au/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The election campaign is suspended following the Pope’s death, and a pub owner on the billboard battle that’s blown up in Kooyong. Plus, Tony Abbott on what's going on with Russians and Indonesia.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Peta reveals push polling happening in the seat of Kooyong, GPs raise concerns with Labor’s Medicare plan. Plus, Greg Sheridan on the war of wars over Russia.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
This week, political editor Phillip Coorey, deputy editor, news, Jessica Gardner, economics editor John Kehoe, and senior writer Myriam Robin take apart Labor and the Coalition’s housing policies, discuss why tax reform is so hard and unpack the battle for Kooyong.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
On this week program, Chris talks to Anna Johnston with a follow up interview about Collins Street protected bike lanes in nipaluna Hobart, the recent public meeting, intense debates over moderate changes to public space, using active transport to move around cities and community mobilisation to create awareness, ongoing dialogue to improve our cities, decrease pollution, congestion and more.Local news includes Yarra Council meeting on 8 April with Elizabeth and Coppin Street on the agenda to be possibly removed or narrowed or simply left alone until state government plans for the area are finalised, read more at Yarra for Safe Streets, Elizabeth Street protected bike lanes: a history and watch the socials. Local news includes No to Nuclear Solidarity Bike Ride to Brighton and Kooyong on 26 April and two surveys where your feedback is welcome: Towards Sustainable Mobility Practice through Community Engagement and Climate Risk Appraisal Shared E-scooters in AustraliaProgram musicKing Stingray, Camp DogBonobo, Flashlight
Tamzyn and Macca are joined live on air by Dr Monique Ryan MP. Member for Kooyong, Federal Election and Budget Update. The post Saturday, 29th March, 2025, Dr Monique Ryan MP. Member for Kooyong, Federal Election and Budget Update appeared first on Saturday Magazine.
Today's show is the first of two exploring fracking, one of the more controversial elements of the government's ‘gas-led' future roadmap. We hear from climate scientist and policy expert Dr Bill Hare, on why fracking poses a serious risk to our climate, and from Dr Monique Ryan, independent Member of Parliament for Kooyong and outspoken opponent of fracking. This episode was produced in collaboration with the Australian Youth Climate Coalition's From Us, For Us project, and the interviews were conducted by participant Ivy Sheng. As a high school student, Ivy speaks speaks from a challenging and underrepresented position: that of a young person inheriting a world in crisis.Image credit: Ivy, Miles and Jazmin (From Us, For Us). Earth Matters #1494 was produced by Mia Audrey on the lands of Wurundjeri Woi-wurrung in Narrm (Melbourne).
Independent MP for Kooyong, Dr Monique Ryan, has called for an early federal election while speaking with Heidi Murphy on 3AW Mornings.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
AEC REDISTRIBUTION, ANDREW GILES, MONIQUE RYAN & ISRAEL vs. GAZA COMMANDING THE NARRATIVE EPISODE 22 The political junkies, Steven Tripp, Sam Buono and Richard Storch are back to discuss the big issues in Australia and the World right now. Firstly, Sam and Richard break down the draft redistribution of Federal electorates in Western Australia and Victoria. The two discuss the implications on individual Members of Parliament, coupled with how it will impact the upcoming Federal election. They also discuss the potential boundary changes in the New South Wales redistribution that is set to happen in a week's time. The conversation then leads to Kooyong and the incumbent, Monique Ryan. Steven brings up a Crikey article that argues how Ms. Ryan is targeting the younger voting demographic. Steven further baits Richard with another Crikey article that claims that Andrew Giles is the best Immigration Minister in years. Richard does not hold back in the ineptitude of Mr. Giles and the panel proposes what Prime Minister Albanese might do to stop the damage caused by Giles. Steven and Richard then get into a fiery debate on the current conflict in the Middle East between Israel and Gaza, as Steven pulls up some statistics of casualties from the fighting. Finally, the panel discuss the ongoing re-branding of the Libertarian Party and the similarities between the Party's new logo and a famous Australian sultana company. To sign Jessica Davis' e-petition to ‘Review the Current Vaccine Mandates' in Victoria, visit: https://www.parliament.vic.gov.au/get-involved/petitions/review-the-current-vaccine-mandates-imposed-on-workers SHOW YOUR SUPPORT for Commanding the Narrative at ‘Buy Me A Coffee' – your support is much appreciated! https://www.buymeacoffee.com/commandingthenarrative TO GET YOUR ‘Commanding the Narrative' merchandise, head to: https://xcandidates.tshirts.net.au Hosted by: • Steven Tripp https://www.facebook.com/RealStevenTripp https://twitter.com/RealStevenTripp https://spectator.com.au/author/steven-tripp Follow us on: Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4GIXhHBogM1McL5EPGP3DT Rumble: https://rumble.com/user/ExCandidates Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/XCandidates Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theXCandidates Twitter: https://twitter.com/theXCandidates YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@XCandidates Gab: https://gab.com/XCandidates Gettr: https://gettr.com/user/XCandidates Truth Social: https://truthsocial.com/@ExCandidates Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-ex-candidates/id1631685864 Please share and spread the word! #AusPol #nswpol #interview #podcast #politics #commentary #narrative #minorparties #libertarian #onenation #uap #liberal #nationals #labor #greens #steventripp #australia #richardstorch #sambuono #albo #anthonyalbanese #greens #teals #moniqueryan #andrewgiles #immigration #israel #gaza #palestine #redistribution
In this episode of New Politics, we explore the reasons behind the significant stir within the conservative mainstream media sparked by rumours of former Liberal Party MP Josh Frydenberg's potential return to federal politics. Once a key figure as the Treasurer and the representative for Kooyong, Frydenberg's speculated comeback ignited considerable enthusiasm at News Corporation, almost as though Robert Menzies himself was making the return. However, Josh Frydenberg is no Robert Menzies: his actual influence and the community's reception starkly contrast with the portrayals on Sky News, which, fortunately, do not represent the views of the electorate.We examine Frydenberg's decision not to re-enter the political fray despite persistent media encouragement, particularly from outlets such as the ABC and Sky News. There are reasons why Frydenberg lost his seat to independent Monique Ryan in the 2022 election: he is not as effective as the media would have us believe.This episode also highlights broader challenges facing the Liberal Party, marked by internal conflicts and leadership challenges in preparation for the post-Peter Dutton era. The upheavals within the Victoria branch of the Liberal Party, infiltrated by religious zealots, highlights its struggle to re-establish itself, especially in upcoming contests such as the one in Kooyong against Monique Ryan, who appears well-established in the seat.Also, we cast a spotlight on the significant, yet often overshadowed, role of speechwriters in political communication and debate the controversy around the hefty remuneration—$300,000!—for the speechwriter of Minister Bill Shorten. We debate the value of such investments in the context of political efficacy and public perception.We critique the Labor government's approach to environmental policy, particularly the newly introduced Nature Positive Bill, questioning its effectiveness and alignment with prior promises and the expectations of progressive constituents. “Nature positive”—is this just spin and political marketing, or is there something substantial behind it?And is it enough for the Labor government to be slightly better than the Coalition, which was in office from 2013 to 2022 and was arguably one of the worst governments in Australian history? No, it is not: they need to perform much better and be held accountable when they fail to deliver on the key issues they promised from the opposition.
This week, Joe gives you the real story behind Bill Shorten's $600k speechwriter, the government's decision to open Australian Defence Force ranks to non-citizens, Andrew Giles's drones blunder, and Josh Frydenberg's 'comeback' that never was. LINKS Read Daily Telegraph Joe's column here Follow @joe_hildebrand on Instagram Follow Nova Podcasts @novapodcastsofficial. Got a question for Joe? You can email us at therealstory@novapodcasts.com.auSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Hugh Riminton, National Affairs Editor at 10 News First joined Dom Knight for Nightlife News Breakdown
When rumours began swirling over the weekend that former federal treasurer Josh Frydenberg might be poised to return to politics, fiery commentary broke out on both sides of the political spectrum. Did Frydenberg - or those loyal to him - want to muscle out of contention a young, Oxford-educated woman who had already won pre-selection to contest the Victorian seat of Kooyong, in the next election? As one woman put it, “Women are not collateral damage for Josh Frydenberg's regrets”. Today, columnist Jacqueline Maley on Frydenberg's spot in the sunshine after a two year-retreat from public life. And whether this latest political powerplay has benefited, or harmed, the former treasurer and the Liberal party.Subscribe to The Age & SMH: https://subscribe.smh.com.au/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
When rumours began swirling over the weekend that former federal treasurer Josh Frydenberg might be poised to return to politics, fiery commentary broke out on both sides of the political spectrum. Did Frydenberg - or those loyal to him - want to muscle out of contention a young, Oxford-educated woman who had already won pre-selection to contest the Victorian seat of Kooyong, in the next election? As one woman put it, “Women are not collateral damage for Josh Frydenberg's regrets”. Today, columnist Jacqueline Maley on Frydenberg's spot in the sunshine after a two year-retreat from public life. And whether this latest political powerplay has benefited, or harmed, the former treasurer and the Liberal party.Subscribe to The Age & SMH: https://subscribe.smh.com.au/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Emily Barrett, Managing Editor of The Saturday Paper, joined Dom Knight for Nightlife News Breakdown.
Up this week is Simon Holmes à Court, the Australian investor and philanthropist with a passion for using data to change the world. In 2022, the federal elections in Australia delivered an upset, as around a third of the electorate turned their back on the established parties and voted in seven new independent MPs taking the total to 10. Simon was responsible for a crowdfunding initiative - Climate 200 - that supported 23 candidates in all, pledging to act on climate, political integrity and gender discrimination. He remains very involved in the challenge of pivoting Australia from a fossil fuel based economy to a clean energy superpower. Simon is an energy analyst, clean-tech investor, climate philanthropist, and director of the Smart Energy Council and the Australian Environmental Grantmakers Network. He was co-founder of the Australian Wind Alliance and inaugural chair of the Melbourne Energy Institute's Advisory Board. He is a respected commentator on the economic, political and engineering aspects of Australia's energy transition. Links: Simon's 2022 book The Big Teal: https://publishing.monash.edu/product/the-big-teal/ Simon's ABC interview on the success of Climate 200 in the wake of the 2022 elections: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t3Mhz6b7cg4 Simon's 2021 talk - Independents and Climate - The Hope to End the Lost Decade: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RN_-1eLbLL8 Simon's 2018 op-ed which triggered his expulsion from Kooyong 200: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/apr/09/why-liddell-is-likely-to-close-in-2022-and-why-you-shouldnt-careThe Superpower Institute, working for Australian leadership in the transition: https://www.superpowerinstitute.com.au/
The Reading Writing Hotline recently turned 30 and to celebrate Sam is joined by the manager of the Hotline, Vanessa Iles. Vanessa tells us all about the work the Hotline has been doing over the past 30 years, and the ways in which they have helped members of the blind and low vision community to access the literacy and numeracy resources they need. Then later in the show, Sam speaks to artistic director of the Melbourne Writers' Festival, Michaela McGuire. Michaela tells us all about the upcoming festival taking place between 6 and 12 May, including a double header taking place at Vision Australia in Kooyong on the evening of Friday May 10.Support this Vision Australia Radio program: https://www.visionaustralia.org/donate?src=radio&type=0&_ga=2.182040610.46191917.1644183916-1718358749.1627963141See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Sharri has rolling coverage of the Baltimore bridge collapse after being struck by a cargo ship. Plus, Amelia Hamer joins the show after winning the Liberal preselection for Kooyong for the next federal election. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Kylie Matthews and her husband Adrian own “Kooyong”, just off the highway between Forbes and West Wyalong. Kylie manages their cattle and chicken meat operation and keeps the wheels turning while Adrian works full-time away from the farm. In this episode, Kylie explains how they built up their farming operation to incorporate cattle and chickens, and how their massive 3-kilometre vegetation corridor project has impacted the farm. She also opens up about their new agritourism venture: The Silo House, which has been both challenging but also rewarding. Connect: Central West LLS website Central West LLS on Facebook Central West LLS on Twitter Central West LLS on YouTube The views contained in this podcast series are not necessarily endorsed by Central West Local Land Services. Listeners are advised to contact their local office to discuss their individual situation. This show is produced in collaboration with Wavelength Creative. Visit wavelengthcreative.com for more information.
Kooyong Classic Tournament Director Peter Johnston joined Dwayne to talk about this year's tournament, the players taking the court at Kooyong, how the preparation of players has changed, the evolution of Novak Djokovic, and more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Over the years, countless efforts have been made to release Julian Assange. As of now, he's still likely to be extradited to the United States to face charges that amount to over 100 years in jail. The latest attempt to free him has united an unlikely band of politicians: members of the Greens, Labor, the Coalition and Independents recently travelled to the US to call for Assange's release. Today, Independent member for Kooyong and member of the delegation to Washington, DC, Monique Ryan, on whether Australia's pleas to free Julian Assange are being heard in the US. Socials: Stay in touch with us on Twitter and Instagram Guest: Independent member for Kooyong, Monique Ryan.
The “Yes” campaign set out to accomplish a rare feat in Australian politics: to win a majority of Australians and a majority of states. That is, to win a referendum. It began as a difficult task and has only become more gruelling as bipartisanship was lost and the polls turned. But this is a grassroots campaign, with tens of thousands of volunteers attempting to reach Australians with face-to-face conversations in time to win a majority on polling day. So how was the campaign built? And can it really overcome the huge challenge in time for Saturday's vote? Socials: Stay in touch with us on Twitter and Instagram Guest: Spokesperson for Australians for Indigenous Constitutional Recognition, Thomas Mayo; Independent MP for Kooyong, Monique Ryan; Uluru Dialogue co-chair, Professor Megan Davis
Remember to always make responsible gambling decisions.Dane is away for something different so we bought you this half from Kooyong our normal home and half from Skype. You, are so very welcome. We are aware the sound quality isn't its best, but its our best, in the given circumstances.Enjoy our usual shit talk followed by listener questions and Round 13 Maths ScienceFollow and support us elsewherePodcast : @swannyandfriendsDane: @danes84Samantha @samantharichesRalphy: racetrackralphy.com.auSupport us in the Merch store: Shop here :)Gambling hotline: 1800 858 858Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/hump-day-with-swanny-and-friends. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
As housing affordability bites hard and the rent crisis continues, many landlords are as frustrated as their tenants with the long-term realities of the property market: Could it work better and what would it take to move the dial? In this episode we discuss the case for wholistic tax reform, Dr Monique Ryan's mortgage, how the Teals are working on a new tax blueprint, super changes and whether the $3m cap will be the last 'adjustment'? Dr Monique Ryan, the 'teal' member for Kooyong, Melbourne is Wealth Editor James Kirby's guest on this week's show. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Back in May, our producer Elle Marsh was given unprecedented access to Dr Monique Ryan and her campaign, as they attempted to unseat one of Australia's top politicians. At the time, we had no idea whether the so-called teal candidates would be successful in their campaigns against Liberal party members, often in safe seats. Kooyong, the seat that Dr Ryan was running for, had been held by the Liberal party for almost its entire existence and was occupied by the Treasurer of Australia, Josh Frydenberg. As we made this episode, the tide began to turn and eventually Dr Ryan swept to victory. Today, we revisit the moment the climate began to shift.
The Australian National University Dictionary Centre has just announced its word of the year is “teal”. Senior researcher Mark Gwynn described it as an “easy choice”. “The colour came to represent a movement of independent and strong female voices taking on the establishment.” Monique Ryan, the member for the Melbourne seat of Kooyong, is the giant slayer of the movement, having defeated former treasurer Josh Frydenberg. “It's fascinating that the now the word ‘teals' is now a noun that everyone recognises,” she says. “That was not the case a year ago.
For independent MP Monique Ryan, unseating federal treasurer Josh Frydenberg at the May election was an incredible feeling. “It was the most fun night of my life,” Ryan says of becoming the member for Kooyong, a blue ribbon Victorian seat that had always been Liberal. “There's no doubt about it.”And yet in the wash up - assessing the three month election campaign and the three months since her win - she's also come to see politics as a “very brutal blood sport”, filled with emotional and interpersonal challenges she simply didn't see coming. As she heads to Canberra, she freely admits she's on a very steep learning curve.Ryan discusses her former life as a paediatrician, the election campaign and her hopes for the next three years with Good Weekend senior writer Melissa Fyfe, who penned today's magazine cover story about Ryan.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
On election night, the Melbourne seat of Kooyong could be one of the most fiercely contested in the country. The Treasurer of Australia, Josh Frydenberg, is facing what he's described as the fight of his political life. His opponent was virtually unknown to most Australians a few months ago, but now polls show she has a chance at victory. So who is the woman taking on the Treasurer? Today, 7am producer Elle Marsh takes us inside the campaign of Doctor Monique Ryan. Guest: Producer for 7am , Elle Marsh. Stay in touch with us on Twitter and Instagram
Kamuoyu yoklamalarına göre Maliye Bakanı Josh Fridenberg, Melbourne'da Kooyong seçim bölgesinde koltuğunu bağımsız aday Monique Ryan'a kaybedecek.
The holy trinity on the Money Café this week. Alan Kohler and James Thomson, Chanticleer columnist at the Australian Financial Review, discuss how attuned an indebted nation is to interest rate rises, whether inflation is temporary or sustained, what it means for paying off a mortgage or paying into super, how much of a buffer counts and, ooof, what it all means for rents. Also, as the outcome of the $20 bet on the seat of Kooyong approaches: do the independents have a puppetmaster and what a hung parliament could mean for the ASX. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
New polling from YouGov, has suggested the Treasurer would lose his Kooyong seat if the election were held now. These results come from a new type of polling, claiming to use a statistical technique new to Australia - so how accurate can it be?
A nationwide YouGov MRP poll points to a majority Labor government after next week's election. Treasurer Josh Frydenberg, who faces losing his blue ribbon seat of Kooyong, says he's still confident the so called Quiet Australians will re-elect the Coalition, but the result will be close
There is a battle on in the Victorian seat of Kooyong, where Josh Frydenberg says he is in the ‘fight of his life' against independent Monique Ryan. Chief political correspondent Sarah Martin joins Jane Lee to discuss why Australia's treasurer is in danger of losing his formerly safe Liberal seat
As well as her interviews with politicians and experts, Politics with Michelle Grattan includes “Word from The Hill”, where she discusses the news with members of The Conversation politics team. In this podcast Michelle and politics + society editor Amanda Dunn canvass the Reserve Bank's increase in interest rates, and which side wins or loses from it, as cost of living is centre stage in the election battle. They also discuss Anthony Albanese's launch, and the implications for the Liberals if Josh Frydenberg were to lose in Kooyong.
Victoria is typically tough terrain for the federal Coalition, and it's also home to the Coalition's 2nd most marginal seat, Chisholm. In this election, there are also a couple of interesting races featuring high-profile independent candidates, so we'll take you through the state of play in Australia's 2nd most populous state. Got a question about the election, politics, parties, or processes? Shoot it through to hello@thesquiz.com.au.Explore previous topics and episodes here. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
The Morrison Government is defending its handling of the economy as economists tip a interest rate rise next week. In the meantime, the Government's top economic minister Josh Frydenberg is fighting an Independent insurgency in his own seat of Kooyong.
This is where things get a bit fun! And, actually, this episode explains WHY i decided to do this election series. So. The policy and ideas gridlock is real. And there's a reason for it. But there's also a solution and policy think tank The Grattan Institute has mapped it out with research. It's to vote in a number of climate-focused MPs who do not belong to either of the major parties. As it happens, there are about 30 running across Australia this election, and if three of them (give or take) get voted in May 21, then they will hold the balance of power. And thusly Australia has the best chance of moving forward on those 5 Pillars of Care I keep banging on about: climate policy; a federal corruption body; women's equality; an indigenous voice to parliament; and addressing the growing divide between the haves and have nots. It might sound wonky and complex, but the Institute's Danielle and I break the whole thing down into simple - and super hopeful - terms.That Gridlock report we talk about? It's here https://grattan.edu.au/institutional-change-needed-to-reignite-policy-reform/You can learn about the independents, and see if there's one running in your electorate, here https://www.climate200.com.auI mention a few “teal indies” I follow on Instagram:Dr Monique Ryan for Kooyong https://www.instagram.com/mon4kooyong/Allegra Spender running in Wentworth https://www.instagram.com/allegra.spender/Zoe Daniel for Goldstein https://www.instagram.com/zoedaniel/Kylea Tink for North Sydney https://www.instagram.com/kyleatink/Hannabeth Luke in Page https://www.instagram.com/hanabethluke/Kate Chaney for Curtin in WA https://www.instagram.com/chaneyforcurtin/David Pocock in Canberra (senate) https://www.instagram.com/davidpocock/ See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
My guest this week is Dr Monique Ryan.She's the independent candidate for the seat of Kooyong in the upcoming federal election in Australia.Dr Ryan is one of many people running as independents in the upcoming election, and I hope this conversation perhaps ignites a little passion in you to explore who in your area really represents how you feel about the world.Coming from an incredibly esteemed medical career already, Dr Monique Ryan has been working as Head of the multidisciplinary Royal Children'sHospital Neuromuscular Clinic and Research Unit in Melbourne, where her team of clinicians and researchers have been dedicated to improving the diagnosis and management of children affected by muscular dystrophies, myopathies and neuropathies.moniqueryan.com.au See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
Hard Hats and Hi Viz reviews the state of play as we begin, the polling, the electoral pendulum, the betting markets. We have some internal polling from the climate independents challenging in blue ribbon Liberal seats showing Frydenberg in trouble in Kooyong and in a bolt out of the blue, Mackellar, there may be a boilover in the bluest of the blue Liberal seats.
The tax offset for low and middle income earners (LMITO) will not be extended beyond this financial year, so does this amount to a tax increase for these people? Treasurer Josh Frydenberg tells the podcast the offset was a “temporary measure” that was extended as fiscal stimulus, due to the pressures on the budget from COVID. It's being removed “now that the economy is normalising”. With unemployment set to fall below 4%, Frydenberg also says “what we think is going to happen is upward pressure on wages”. Annual wage growth is at 2.3% but Frydenberg says there's a “broader indicator of earnings across the economy [Average Earnings in the National Accounts (AENA)] which has been higher than where the wage price index is. It's expected to get to 5% this year, which is above where inflation is at. That's a broader earnings indicator, which takes into account bonuses, promotions, people moving jobs and the like.” The treasurer, who holds the Victorian seat of Kooyong, is one of the Liberal members being targeted by “teal” independent candidates running on issues such as climate and the need for a federal integrity commission. Frydenberg – who is more popular than Scott Morrison in the “leafy” seats – will be used to campaign where these candidates are strong. “I will give as much support as I can to my colleagues who face those opponents.”
The federal government's controversial promise to build four commuter carparks in Treasurer Josh Frydenberg's leafy Melbourne electorate of Kooyong has stalled. His office announced the projects - worth a combined $65 million won't proceed after "significant local feedback". Guest: Monique Ryan, Voices of Kooyong candidate
This is the podcast companion to our latest Honest Government Ad | Hung ParliamentYou can also view this podcast on our YouTube channel - which we recommend as it includes our video conversation.