Podcast appearances and mentions of bear markets

Perceived financial market movement tendency over time

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Best podcasts about bear markets

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Latest podcast episodes about bear markets

The Goldmine
When Will the Next Bear Market Hit?

The Goldmine

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 30, 2026 40:25


On episode 242 of Ask The Compound, Ben Carlson and Duncan Hill discuss: when the next bear market and recession could hit, why rising Treasury yields haven't rattled the stock market, and whether the AI boom could ultimately become the catalyst for the next major sell-off. Plus, insurance expert Jonathan Novy joins the show to explain when permanent life insurance actually makes sense, how to think about long-term care insurance versus self-insuring, and whether annuities can help cover future care costs. Ben and Duncan also break down why consumer sentiment remains so negative even as wages have largely kept pace with inflation, and whether taking advantage of 0% APR financing is actually a smart financial move.  This episode is sponsored by Fitnexa. For $10 off SomniPods 3, visit: http://go.fitnexa.com/qQ0AbS and use code ATC10. Compound Merch: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://idontshop.com/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Submit your Ask The Compound questions to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠askthecompoundshow@gmail.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠! Subscribe to The Compound Newsletter for all the latest Compound content, live event announcements, find out who the next TCAF guest is, get updates on the latest merch drops, and more! ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.thecompoundnews.com/subscribe⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

TalkingTrading
The Next Bear Market Won't Look Like the Last One – And Most Traders Aren't Ready

TalkingTrading

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 29, 2026 28:38


Bear markets are inevitable in the sharemarket - but the next one may look very different from the last. In this episode of Talking Trading, Louise Bedford explains why many investors prepare for the wrong type of crisis and how traders can stay calm, disciplined, and strategic when markets turn volatile.Louise explores how structural shifts - including higher interest rates, the rise of ETFs and passive investing, and faster information flow - are changing the way bear markets unfold in the Australian sharemarket.She also shares a powerful trading psychology lesson from a real trader whose fear of short-term losses was quietly costing him tens of thousands of dollars, despite having a solid trading strategy.If you trade the ASX or want to strengthen your risk management and trading discipline, this episode will help you approach market downturns with far more clarity and confidence.In this episode:• Why the next bear market may surprise investors• How ETFs and passive investing are changing market behaviour• Why traders sometimes take losses personally• How premature exits destroy trading expectancy• A powerful mindset shift that improves trading consistencyIf you enjoy Talking Trading, please leave a review and share this episode with another trader.-------------------------------------Be the turning point...Think about the traders you know — maybe a friend, a colleague, or even your partner. They're stuck, they're guessing, and they're losing. You can be the turning point. Share Talking Trading with them now. Sometimes, one conversation or one idea is all it takes to flip their entire trading future.Show them how to subscribe at talkingtrading.com.au today. Louise Bedford is a best-selling author of six sharemarket books, host of the Talking Trading podcast, and founder of TradingGame.com.au, one of Australia's leading trading education communities.For over 30 years she has helped traders master trading the Australian sharemarket, technical analysis, and trading psychology so they can build long-term financial independence.www.tradinggame.com.au www.talkingtrading.com.au.FacebookYouTube TwitterLinkedIn

DeFi Slate
Eric Conner: The 52 Month DeFi Bear Market Is Over (Full Thesis)

DeFi Slate

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 28, 2026 40:19


Eric Conner says something is happening in crypto he's never seen in 14 years of watching these markets: coins like Zcash and the perp exchanges are decoupling from Bitcoin entirely. The EIP-1559 co-author and OG Ethereum developer explains why he refuses to pick sides between Hyperliquid and Lighter, breaks down the meme-stock trading phenomenon eating into Robinhood's tokenized stocks, and reacts live to major new CFTC guidance that could unlock tokenized assets as collateral.Eric Conner is co-author of Ethereum's EIP-1559 and an OG Ethereum developer and investor who has been active in crypto since 2012.AI Supercycle is Rollup's series on the intersection of AI and crypto, powered by NEAR.00:00 Intro 02:09 Eric Fumbled Venice At Sub $1 04:10 Own Both Hype And Lighter And Chill 06:13 Eric Sold ETH To Buy Hyperliquid 08:14 Why Eric Stopped Being An ETH Maxi 10:33 Perps Are The Most Obvious Trade Out There 14:24 Tokenized Stocks Will Get Meme Coin'd 18:54 CFTC Staff Clears Tokenized Collateral Live 22:14 ETH Does Not Need A Thesis To Pump27:49 Robinhood Chain Already $500M Annualized 29:24 Wall Street Has Not Priced Robinhood Chain 35:31 Meme Stock Outpaces Its Own Market Cap 39:23 52 Month DeFi Bear Market Is OverGuest Socials:Eric Conner X: https://x.com/econoarPartners: If you run concentrated liquidity positions you know the grind. Price moves, you're out of range, you're rebalancing at, like, 3am. 1inch Aqua lets you take a different approach. You can stack multiple positions on the same token balance instead of babysitting a dozen pools, and your tokens never leave your wallet. Your liquidity stays awake, so you can catch up on your sleep. Check it out at https://1inch.com/aqua---Dinari - Over 230 1:1 backed tokenized stocks, ETFs & more with dividends. US-based SEC transfer agent. Available on 5+ chains & via API. https://dinari.com/---Space and Time is providing verifiable data infrastructure for onchain finance. A decentralized database, blockchain indexer, and ZK coprocessor in one, giving DeFi protocols,stablecoins, and tokenized assets accurate, provable data. ---Zama is an open source cryptography company that builds state-of-the-art Fully Homomorphic Encryption (FHE) solutions for blockchain.Learn more here: https://www.zama.org/---

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Ready For A Bear Market? Most Investors Aren't | Ted Oakley

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 24, 2026 62:47


TALK TO TED & HIS TEAM at Oxbow Advisors FOR FREE by filling out the short form at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com/oxbowHigh-net worth financial advisor Ted Oakley is concerned about how so many investors AND financial professionals are unprepared to deal with the next bear market when it arrives.We are very overdue for one. And yet, most investors act as if the current bull market is going to last forever, taking on far more risk in their portfolios than circumstances merit.For a deep discussion on today's market risk with an advisor who has successfully navigated more bear markets than most people alive, watch this video.#bearmarket #corporateearnings #marketcorrection _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.All the details on Thoughtful Money's relationship with the financial advisors it endorses, many of whom regularly appear on this program, can be found in the following documents. We highly recommend you review these documents as they cover the terms that will apply should you choose to work with one of these firms at any time after watching this video.Thoughtful Money Disclosure Document: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/disclosureThoughtful Money Agreement: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/agreementIMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Millionaire Mindcast
Nasdaq Record Highs, Bitcoin Breaks The Bear Market, & The Worst Investment Of 2026 | Money Moves

Millionaire Mindcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 23, 2026 61:52


The financial markets are navigating a wave of complex signals, from the Federal Reserve's unexpected decision to raise interest rates amidst cooling inflation to shifting geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Despite the volatility, equity markets remain resilient, and experts project significant upside as oil prices stabilize and international negotiations advance.Simultaneously, alternative assets are seizing the spotlight. Cryptocurrencies are breaking out of their bear market ranges with strong institutional inflows, while private credit funds offer compelling alternatives to traditional real estate investing, which is currently facing a 31-year low in mortgage demand.KEY TOPICS DISCUSSEDThe unanimous FOMC decision to hike rates despite core CPI dropping to 2.4%Geopolitical cooling in the Middle East and its downward pressure on crude oil pricesMarket projections anticipating 13.7% growth for the S&P 500 over the next 12 monthsThe upcoming summit between President Trump and Xi Jinping regarding rare earths and tariffsArtificial intelligence market dominance and AMD returning to a trillion-dollar valuationBitcoin's resurgence past $86,000 and the rising influence of international futures marketsThe severe affordability crisis stalling the single-family residential real estate marketThe rapid expansion of the private credit market to $2.9 trillion as an alternative investmentThe resurgence of the collector economy and real-world asset tokenizationKEY TAKEAWAYSThe Fed's latest rate hike contradicts typical policy responses to falling inflation, highlighting a hyper-focus on absolute price stability over market sentiment.A cooling of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly around the Strait of Hormuz, could serve as a massive tailwind for equity markets.Single-family real estate currently presents one of the most challenging investment landscapes due to peak home prices colliding with 7% mortgage rates.Private credit is rapidly absorbing capital from traditional real estate investors who are seeking steady yield without the friction of property management.Cryptocurrencies are seeing renewed institutional support and international inflows, signaling a potential long-term breakout from recent consolidation.CONNECT & TAKE ACTIONFor a free portfolio review and fee analysis, text X-RAY to 844-777-1434To learn more about passive income through the Imagos Income Fund, text INCOME to 844-777-1434Explore luxury living and investment opportunities at Skyline OC by visiting skylineocresidences.com

Talking Real Money
Ep. 1984: Before the Bear Arrives

Talking Real Money

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 23, 2026 34:42 Transcription Available


Winter comes for markets, too. Don and Tom ask the useful question before the next bear market arrives: will your portfolio—and your nerves—be ready? They revisit painful declines, concentrated bets, and why a plan matters most when selling feels irresistible. They explain how rebalancing, a sensible mix of stocks and bonds, and tax-loss harvesting can help investors respond with discipline. Your risk tolerance is only half the equation; there is no prize for taking more risk than your goals require. Listener questions cover the home-sale tax exclusion when moving into a retirement community, how Don writes AI-assisted podcast music, and whether AI trading tools change the odds of beating the market. 00:50 Bear markets ahead 02:54 What a bear market means 05:34 The worst bear markets in history 08:07 Rebalance and stay ready 14:38 Home-sale tax rules 17:42 Making podcast music 22:03 AI trading hypeQuestions? Comments? Click!

Pleb UnderGround
Bitcoin Tonight 041 - Bear Market Hello?

Pleb UnderGround

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 23, 2026 95:57


Ser Ulric, Coinicarus and HumbleWarrior are back with this weeks Bitcoin tonight, join us for an Awesome Chat!Topics for Bitcoin Tonight 041 - Sep 22✔️ Bear Market? Hello?https://x.com/alistairmilne/status/2100863015205634322https://x.com/bitcoinarchive/status/2100941648729460860?s=46https://x.com/therationalroot/status/2100943750994309149✔️ Time Traveling Kramer and George the Minerhttps://x.com/mandelduck/status/2100214010805194768https://x.com/mandelduck/status/2100926212612747630✔️ Communists Dont Like Freedom Moneyhttps://x.com/BenJustman/status/2100278114161160663✔️ I Said...Communists Dont Like Freedom Moneyhttps://x.com/Dennis_Porter_/status/2100373556622225762✔️ Pregnant Dying Woman Captured Bitcoinhttps://x.com/carlabitcoin/status/2100609767873950161✔️ How To Grow On Youtube: Stealhttps://x.com/InternetH0F/status/2100306224436986028✔️ How To Grow on Twitter: Buzz Wordshttps://x.com/hodlorado/status/2100574151455170801✔️ How To Create Tabloid Content: Delete Your Posts, Say Nothinghttps://x.com/paxaeterna/status/2100966410436354466?s=52&t=CKH2brGypO5fEYTgQ-EFhQ✔️ Meet Tilly Norwoodhttps://x.com/CollinRugg/status/2099647055300030880✔️ #PauseAI, The Next NPC Shadow Campaignhttps://x.com/pauseai/status/2099501130086511084?s=52&t=CKH2brGypO5fEYTgQ-EFhQ✔️ Nationalized AI Companies, Discuss Conspiracyhttps://x.com/financelancelot/status/2100686652024742243► Join Our telegram: https://t.me/theplebunderground#Bitcoin #crypto #cryptocurrency #dailybitcoinnews #memecoins The information provided by Pleb Underground ("we," "us," or "our") on Youtube.com (the "Site") our show is for general informational purposes only. All information on the show is provided in good faith, however we make no representation or warranty of any kind, express or implied, regarding the accuracy, adequacy, validity, reliability, availability, or completeness of any information on the Site. UNDER NO CIRCUMSTANCE SHALL WE HAVE ANY LIABILITY TO YOU FOR ANY LOSS OR DAMAGE OF ANY KIND INCURRED AS A RESULT OF THE USE OF THE SHOW OR RELIANCE ON ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED ON THE SHOW. YOUR USE OF THE SHOW AND YOUR RELIANCE ON ANY INFORMATION ON THE SHOW IS SOLELY AT YOUR OWN RISK.

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Pleb UnderGround
Every Bitcoin Bear Market End Signal Just Fired

Pleb UnderGround

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 22, 2026 44:44


✔️ Things indeed got very interesting.✔️ BTC is breaking weekly market structure!✔️ A major source of selling pressure has shifted toward buying.✔️ Bitfinex whales are indeed telling us the future once again.✔️ 2026 BTC bear market is over✔️ It's Moon Time! ✔️ The bull flag target is 97k, give or take.✔️ See you in 2 years, folks.✔️ Bitcoin has surged +31% since cramer sold ✔️ The 2023 bottom superimposed over the 2026 bottom✔️ BTC will break its ATH and get rid of wave gravity✔️ Bitcoin is still in fire sale territory.✔️ Us Treasury Buyback Size Expanded Amid Tight Liquidity✔️ Clarity ACT post mortem ✔️ ECB launched wholesale digital euro✔️ BLIP2BLAKE: Emperor Luke has released a UASF that freezes miner rewards✔️ EntropyLabs Gets a New home with microcontrollers ✔️ Sources:► https://x.com/cryptojellenl/status/2102053826480013338► https://x.com/cryptojellenl/status/2101956845992648772► https://x.com/david_eng_mba/status/2102050685240140181► https://x.com/edwardmorra_btc/status/2102025763813749024► https://x.com/mithcoons/status/2102040766314914011► https://x.com/ghostawyeebob/status/2101975072424460631► https://x.com/naija_bitcoin/status/2101966222833172553► https://x.com/brettmacro/status/2101995428891721799► https://x.com/bulltheoryio/status/2101841750503395390► https://x.com/bitcoin_clown/status/2101733802787652059► https://x.com/gertvanlagen/status/2101386026740486449► https://x.com/zynxbtc/status/2101674574341349506► https://en.bloomingbit.io/feed/news/120755► https://x.com/NateGeraci/status/2101695379947364623► https://x.com/andre_dragosch/status/2101913160210850095► https://x.com/zndtoshi/status/2101918174480417065► https://x.com/zndtoshi/status/2102057925170925878► https://x.com/fartface2000/status/2101724382473101780► https://github.com/Jdelg718/entropylab-esp32p4► https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GRVTG8SJ► DONATE TO HELP KEONNE AND BILL https://www.change.org/p/stand-up-for-freedom-pardon-the-innocent-coders-jailed-for-building-privacy-tools► Join Our telegram: https://t.me/theplebunderground#Bitcoin #crypto #cryptocurrency #dailybitcoinnews #memecoinsThe information provided by Pleb Underground ("we," "us," or "our") on Youtube.com (the "Site") our show is for general informational purposes only. All information on the show is provided in good faith, however we make no representation or warranty of any kind, express or implied, regarding the accuracy, adequacy, validity, reliability, availability, or completeness of any information on the Site. UNDER NO CIRCUMSTANCE SHALL WE HAVE ANY LIABILITY TO YOU FOR ANY LOSS OR DAMAGE OF ANY KIND INCURRED AS A RESULT OF THE USE OF THE SHOW OR RELIANCE ON ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED ON THE SHOW. YOUR USE OF THE SHOW AND YOUR RELIANCE ON ANY INFORMATION ON THE SHOW IS SOLELY AT YOUR OWN RISK.

MorningBull
TOUT VA TRÈS BIEN. 6 actions sur 10 sont en BEAR MARKET | Morningbull

MorningBull

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 22, 2026 18:06 Transcription Available


Le Nasdaq bat un RECORD parce qu'un type a dit « peut-être » Décembre 1999 : la statistique qui vient de réapparaître hier soir Le titre principal joue la contradiction frontale — « tout va très bien » contre « bear market » dans la même ligne. C'est le format qui retient le pouce, parce que le cerveau doit résoudre la contradiction avant de scroller. Les deux variantes sont là au cas où : la première mise sur l'absurde, la deuxième sur la peur. Ne jamais tester les trois en même temps. Hier soir, le Nasdaq a battu un record historique. Pas à cause des bénéfices, pas à cause de la Fed. Il n'y a pas d'accord entre Washington et Téhéran. Il n'y a pas de début d'accord. Il n'y a même pas de rendez-vous fixé. Il y a juste Donald Trump qui a laissé entendre qu'il pourrait peut-être éventuellement adresser la parole au président iranien s'ils se croisent à l'ONU cette semaine. Et sur cette base, le marché s'est payé un plus haut de tous les temps — 48 heures après que le même monsieur ait expliqué à la télévision que ses deux options étaient de « rayer l'Iran de la carte » ou de laisser son économie « pourrir ». Dans cet épisode, 3 chiffres que personne ne regarde ce matin : → 59,2%. C'est la part des sociétés du S&P 500 qui sont à plus de 20% sous leur plus haut historique. Presque 6 actions sur 10 sont techniquement en marché baissier. Dans un indice qui est à 0,4% de son record absolu. → Décembre 1999. C'est la dernière fois que l'indice a gagné plus de 1% pour venir se coller à son plus haut d'un an ALORS QU'il y avait plus de nouveaux plus-bas que de nouveaux plus-hauts à l'intérieur. On connaît la suite. → Multiplié par 14. Acheminer du brut de Ras Tanura jusqu'en Chine coûtait 4,5 millions de dollars le voyage. Aujourd'hui, c'est près de 63 millions. Soit plus de 30 dollars de transport par baril, contre 2 avant la guerre. On parle aussi de l'Arabie saoudite qui n'a plus une seule route de contournement, des Houthis qui contrôlent désormais les 2 goulots pétroliers de la planète pendant que Washington refuse de défendre Riyad mais lui vend 24,3 milliards de F-35, de Meta qui prend 11,4% sur un agent, d'AMD qui franchit les 1'000 milliards, et de 1'300 milliards de dollars de dépenses IA prévues l'an prochain par des gens qui admettent eux-mêmes qu'ils ne savent pas si ça rapportera quoi que ce soit. Et à la fin, il y a le téléphone rouge. Celui qu'on installe pour un risque qu'on vient officiellement de qualifier de canular.

The Wolf Of All Streets
Bitcoin BREAKS $85K As The Bear Market Case COLLAPSES

The Wolf Of All Streets

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 21, 2026 60:28


Bitcoin surges to $85K as a massive short squeeze wipes out nearly $648M in bearish bets, while falling oil prices push Treasury yields back below 5%. We also discuss the CFTC moving ahead with crypto rules despite the stalled Clarity Act and what the latest regulatory changes could mean for the broader market. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Bitboy Crypto Podcast
Bitcoin & Altcoins Explode Higher (Bear Market Over?)

The Bitboy Crypto Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 21, 2026 60:42


Join - https://www.skool.com/discovercrypto/... Bitcoin and altcoins are exploding higher as the crypto market heats up—could the bear market finally be over? Today we cover the latest crypto news, Bitcoin price action, and the altcoins making major moves as crypto sentiment shifts. ​​If you have ever made money watching this channel, we need your help! Join the community to help us create the best Crypto education platform on the planet.

TD Ameritrade Network
October's Bear Market Killer History Meets a Tech Comeback

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 21, 2026 8:01


Ryan Detrick sees a surprise September rally pushing the S&P 500 (SPX) toward new highs after weeks of consolidation, with the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) nearing all-time highs and large cap tech staging a real comeback. He argues the Fed isn't as hawkish as the market fears, taking the under on rate hikes, and expects October and November to be historically strong in a midterm year. Detrick remains overweight equities and technology, while diversifying with Bitcoin, gold, and managed futures in an inflationary growth environment where bonds won't do as well.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Entrepreneurs on Fire
Building an NFT Business in a Bear Market with Anthony Mongiello: An EOFire Classic from 2022

Entrepreneurs on Fire

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 19, 2026 31:12


From the archive: This episode was originally recorded and published in 2022. Our interviews on Entrepreneurs On Fire are meant to be evergreen, and we do our best to confirm that all offers and URL's in these archive episodes are still relevant. Anthony Mongiello is a business leader with a passion for team culture and leadership development. He is the Co-founder of Bulls & Apes Project. Top 3 Value Bombs 1. Running a Web3 business means knowing which feedback to take and which to ignore. 2. It's not just digital connection, it's also about real-world meetings and handshakes. 3. Stay highly engaged with your community to bring ideas to life. Learn more about Bulls and Apes Project - Bulls and Apes Project Sponsors HighLevel - The ultimate all-in-one platform for entrepreneurs, marketers, coaches, and agencies. Learn more at HighLevelFire.com. Fitnexa - If better sleep is a priority for you, Fitnexa helps you create the environment and routine to make it happen. Visit Fitnexa.com and use code EOFIRE10 to save 10 dollars on SomniPods 3 today. Expat Money - Looking for more options for where you could live, invest, and protect what you've built, without being completely tied to any one country, government, or system? Expat Money has created a free report to help you get started. Go to ExpatMoney.com/fire today.

No Payne No Gain Financial Podcast
Is Your Portfolio Prepared for a Bear Market?

No Payne No Gain Financial Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 18, 2026 23:46


Markets are falling, the Federal Reserve is raising interest rates, the 10-year Treasury is near 5%, and inflation remains stubborn. Is this another short-term correction—or the beginning of a bear market? In this episode, we explain how investors can prepare without abandoning their long-term strategy. They discuss the strength of corporate earnings, why bear markets can create powerful opportunities, and how higher yields are changing the outlook for bonds and cash. In this episode: • The difference between a correction and a bear market • How rising rates affect stocks and bonds • Why economic growth and earnings remain resilient • The risks of owning bond funds in a volatile market • How a bond ladder can reduce interest-rate risk • Why your best long-term investments may begin during bear markets • Whether AI spending can continue supporting the economy

Moose on The Loose
The bear market is coming

Moose on The Loose

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 15, 2026 10:21


The  Moose on The Loose helps Canadians to invest with more conviction so they can enjoy their retirement. Today, I talk about 4 factors that could lead us to a bear market: Stock market valuation AI hype and discruption The bond market (higher yield) Commercial war (Tariffs) Create your dividend for life webinar: https://www.dividendstocksrock.com/dividend-income It's all about Dividend growth investing! Subscribe to the best free dividend investing newsletter: https://thedividendguyblog.com/newsletter Get the 20 income products guide for retirees: https://retirementloop.ca/income/

Pleb UnderGround
Bitcoin Is Ending A Historic Bear Market.

Pleb UnderGround

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 15, 2026 49:02


✔️ Big Bitcoin breakout loading.✔️ Sellers are pissing in the wind. ✔️ You are underexposed & simply not ready...✔️ We're looking at $378k in early 2029.✔️ The Overbought / Oversold Oscillator has just turned blue. ✔️ BTC is closing in on the end of its historic bear market.✔️ BTC is surviving one of the least favorable liquidity environments.✔️ Bitcoin making 8 month highs against gold on a risk-off day ✔️ One of the best BTC charts you've never seen✔️ Satsuma Technology (SATS) just announced it sold all of its 669 BTC✔️ KULR Technology exits reserve strategy✔️ CLARITY ACT Vote! ✔️ 8 U.S. banking groups urging Senate to tighten Clarity Act's stablecoin reward restrictions✔️ President Trump agrees to CLARITY Act ethics restrictions✔️ New CLARITY act text dropped 9/13.✔️ House Financial Services Committee to mark up Strategic Bitcoin Reserve bill on Wednesday✔️ Canada's banking regulator OSFI confirmed tokenized deposits legally no different from bank deposits✔️ Malicious user likely gained access to Swiss Bitcoin Pay's internal systems✔️ REVOLUT hack update ✔️ BLAKE2BLIP✔️ Introducing HashFly...the first organic neuron bitcoin miner based on the fly brain.✔️ The Hitchhiker's Guide to Online Anonymity✔️ Sources:► https://x.com/crypto_birb/status/2099472012196409429► https://x.com/superbitcoinbro/status/2099344313520111946► https://x.com/killaxbt/status/2099176733828084003► https://x.com/frankafetter/status/2098845418197024827► https://x.com/gordongekko/status/2099294306003759438► https://x.com/roman_trading/status/2099506461898407953► https://x.com/david_eng_mba/status/2099530698310996309► https://x.com/btcjvs/status/2099564586550571210► https://x.com/durdenbtc/status/2099513028588789902► https://x.com/btctreasuries/status/2099492399655592376► https://x.com/bitcoinarchive/status/2099493330568556711► https://x.com/coindesk/status/2099429197034766830► https://x.com/coindesk/status/2099558854950318402► https://x.com/coindesk/status/2099785503868375470► https://x.com/intangiblecoins/status/2099455398541476327► https://cryptobriefing.com/house-committee-strategic-bitcoin-reserve-bill/► https://www.osfi-bsif.gc.ca/en/news/statement-tokenized-other-digitally-represented-deposits► https://x.com/swissbitcoinpay/status/2099473448162488618► https://x.com/intcyberdigest/status/2099576835939946735► https://x.com/t3chfalcon/status/2099584270058537044► https://x.com/twhitnub101/status/2099519427234390295► https://x.com/88_sats/status/2099699578740097114► https://x.com/futurebit/status/2099241052997570816► https://x.com/JStefanop1/status/2098817904426852658► https://dream-xenon-aurora-mint.grok.me/► https://x.com/cr1337/status/2099116989012975834► DONATE TO HELP KEONNE AND BILL https://www.change.org/p/stand-up-for-freedom-pardon-the-innocent-coders-jailed-for-building-privacy-tools► Join Our telegram: https://t.me/theplebunderground#Bitcoin #crypto #cryptocurrency #dailybitcoinnews #memecoinsThe information provided by Pleb Underground ("we," "us," or "our") on Youtube.com (the "Site") our show is for general informational purposes only. All information on the show is provided in good faith, however we make no representation or warranty of any kind, express or implied, regarding the accuracy, adequacy, validity, reliability, availability, or completeness of any information on the Site. UNDER NO CIRCUMSTANCE SHALL WE HAVE ANY LIABILITY TO YOU FOR ANY LOSS OR DAMAGE OF ANY KIND INCURRED AS A RESULT OF THE USE OF THE SHOW OR RELIANCE ON ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED ON THE SHOW. YOUR USE OF THE SHOW AND YOUR RELIANCE ON ANY INFORMATION ON THE SHOW IS SOLELY AT YOUR OWN RISK.

Excess Returns
Jim Paulsen on the Weakening Economy, Tech Bear Market Risk and the Bull Market Built on Fear

Excess Returns

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 14, 2026 61:44


Jim Paulsen joins Jack Forehand and Matt Zeigler on the latest Jim Paulsen Show to explore why booming AI earnings may be masking a weakening U.S. economy, and what that means for stocks, bonds, and Federal Reserve policy. Using 27 charts, he examines stalled job creation, rising oil prices, growing reliance on debt to finance AI investment, and why he expects a sharper correction in technology than in the broader S&P 500.⁠Subscribe to the Jim Paulsen Show on Spotify⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Subscribe to the Jim Paulsen Show on Apple PodcastsTopics covered:Why strong S&P 500 earnings hide a widening divide between technology, energy, and the remaining seven sectors.Why low unemployment claims may offer false comfort when job creation has stalled.Jim's job market misery index and what it suggests about the case for Fed easing.How business investment and employment have broken their historical relationship.Why weak real disposable income, low savings, and higher oil prices threaten consumer spending.How fading economic momentum could push Treasury yields lower despite renewed inflation fears.Why a shrinking wall of worry could remove an important source of support for stocks.What growth stock leadership, household purchasing power, and ISM services data reveal about market risk.How debt-funded AI spending and widening credit spreads change the risks facing technology companies.Why extreme stock outperformance versus bonds could matter for portfolio allocation.The difference between rising profits per worker and sustainable economic productivity.Why Jim expects a tech bear market but a more moderate correction in the broader S&P 500.Timestamps:00:00 Why oil, rates, and tight policy worry Jim05:43 The three-way split hiding beneath strong earnings09:58 Why low jobless claims may be misleading16:18 When business investment stops creating jobs20:48 Can consumer spending outrun real income?26:01 How the wall of worry has supported stocks31:44 Investor complacency and a shift toward growth fears36:58 The disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street41:35 AI debt financing, credit spreads, and the case for bonds47:25 Investment per worker and the yield curve's earnings warning51:52 Profit productivity versus real economic productivity58:08 Why Jim expects a tech bear market and a broader correctionLearn more about the Excess Returns podcast network:https://excessreturns.coNo information discussed in this podcast should be construed as investment advice. Securities discussed may be held by the hosts and guests, their firms or their clients.

TD Ameritrade Network
ORCL Undervalued? Jacob Shonenshine Makes Bull Case in Stock's Bear Market

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 14, 2026 7:47


Oracle (ORCL) is a buy at current levels, says Jacob Shonenshine of Barron's. He believes the company is poised to become a higher quality, high growth stock as it builds out its AI infrastructure. Jacob points to the stock's forward P/E ratio of 16-times as another signal of quality. As to why Oracle isn't being bought by investors, Jacob points to other issues keeping shares in a trough outside of its debt load and credit rating.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Money Life with Chuck Jaffe
MacroTides' Welsh: This market will keep running, but a bear market is coming

Money Life with Chuck Jaffe

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 9, 2026 58:12


Macro strategist Jim Welsh, publisher of the Macro Tides and Weekly Technical Review newsletter, says that the advance-decline line has been making new highs for months, which is a signal that "the odds of experiencing a significant decline is unlikely," so while he thinks there are storm clouds on the horizon that could cause a 7-10 percent market decline around mid-term elections, he thinks a secular bear market is still well off into the future. After the short-term correction, Welsh sees the market returning to higher highs, based on what he sees in the advance-decline line. Still, Welsh makes it clear that there is a long-term secular bear market ahead, but it won't arrive until investors "have a really good reason to sell;" that could still be a ways off, until something truly problematic shows up in the data.  In the Market Call, Jay Hatfield, chief executive officer at Infrastructure Capital Advisors, talks about the importance of getting the macro right before digging into the micro on stocks. In analyzing the macro, Hatfield says conditions should be supportive for continued growth, though he worries about a "totally irrational" rate hike from the Federal Reserve — but also is concerned about the impact that a rate cut could have — could make the market and economy struggle. Plus, after Tuesday's conversation about annuities with Stan Haithcock — better known as "Stan the Annuity Man" — Chuck answers a listener's question about whether he has an annuity for his own long-term finances

MorningBull
Bitcoin & action Strategy, fin de bear market validé ? | Top Ganne

MorningBull

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 7, 2026 38:53 Transcription Available


Le cours du bitcoin a fortement rebondi au mois d'août, peut-on affirmer que le point bas cyclique a été marqué le 1er juillet dernier à 57750 dollars US et que Bitcoin était donc bien une opportunité d'achat asymétrique comme Vincent Ganne l'avait défendu au Swissquote Trading Day à Lausanne le 17 juin dernier ?

Palisade Radio
Mario Innecco: Imminent Financial Repression, Decade-Long Bear-Market for Bonds & Gold

Palisade Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 31, 2026 53:07


Stijn Schmitz welcomes back Mario Innecco to the show. Mario is a Financial and Macro Economic Analyst, and Host of the ‘Manneco64 YouTube Channel’. Mario Innecco presents a compelling case that we are in the early stages of a secular bull market for commodities, driven by decades of underinvestment and a historic reversal in the bond market. He argues that the 40-year bull market in bonds, which began in 1981, is definitively over, and this shift will fundamentally reallocate capital toward hard assets like gold, silver, and other commodities. The core problem, he explains, is an unprecedented global debt bubble. Western nations, particularly the United States, are trapped in a debt-based fiat currency system where ever-increasing debt requires more debt issuance to service, creating a vicious cycle now exacerbated by rising interest rates. This situation, he believes, will force governments into financial repression, eroding purchasing power and driving investors toward gold and silver as timeless stores of value that cannot be printed. The discussion highlights Japan as a critical “canary in the coal mine,” with its carry trade and the potential repatriation of capital posing a systemic risk to interconnected global financial markets. Innecco suggests that the ultimate solution to this monetary instability will be a return to gold as a settlement asset, a move already being pioneered by China and the BRICS nations. He views the pure fiat currency era since 1971 as a historical aberration that is nearing its end. For investors, he sees significant upside not only in physical gold and silver but particularly in undervalued mining stocks, which offer substantial leverage. While gold and silver are expected to lead, he also notes strong potential in other commodities like copper, tungsten, and oil, all supported by supply constraints and the global trend toward resource sovereignty. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:01:42 – Commodities Secular Bull Market 00:05:08 – Reversal of Financial Trends 00:09:04 – Gold and Silver Drivers 00:12:07 – Debt Based System Issues 00:16:05 – Inflationary Spiral Risks 00:19:28 – Japan Yen Carry Trade 00:26:25 – Gold as Government Solution 00:28:45 – China Gold Settlement Push 00:36:05 – Gold Remains Underowned 00:39:34 – Upside Scenario for Silver 00:42:30 – Miners and Portfolio Allocation 00:46:04 – Bonds and Real Returns 00:48:27 – Broader Commodities Outlook 00:50:58 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: X: https://x.com/maneco1964 YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/maneco64 Mario Innecco is a seasoned financial markets and macroeconomics analyst with over 25 years of experience in the industry. He began his career in private banking in Geneva, Switzerland, before spending two decades in the City of London, specializing in exchange-traded derivatives, government bonds, interest rates, and broader economic trends. During this time, he advised major financial institutions and corporate clients on market strategies and risk management. A dedicated proponent of the Austrian School of Economics, Mario founded the maneco64 YouTube channel in November 2015, which serves as a platform for alternative economics and contrarian views. Through his videos, blog articles, and social media, he educates a worldwide audience on the intricacies of the fiat monetary system, financial markets, and the enduring value of precious metals like gold and silver.

CRYPTO 101
Crypto Rundown: The Bear Market is OVER?!

CRYPTO 101

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 28, 2026 31:12 Transcription Available


In this Crypto Rundown, Tevo and Brian break down whether the Bitcoin bear market is officially over, pointing to VanEck's 12 quantitative signals, improving price action, and a major shift in market narratives. They discuss how visible leverage on regulated rails, Michael Saylor selling near the bottom, improving Bitcoin quantum-security research, ETF inflows, and Wall Street price-target upgrades all suggest that the market may be entering a new phase.Check out ShipStation and use my code crypto for a great deal: https://www.shipstation.comCheck out Omaha Steaks and use my code BEEF for a great deal: https://www.omahasteaks.comCheck out Scribe and use my code scribe.how/CRYPTO101 for a great deal: https://scribe.comCheck out Quince: https://quince.com/CRYPTO101Check out Shopify: https://shopify.com/crypto101Get my #1 altcoin pick for this month.Get immediate access to my entire crypto portfolio for just $1.00 today! Get your FREE copy of "Crypto Revolution" and start making big profits from buying, selling,Get immediate access to my entire crypto portfolio.. just $1.00 today! Go here to get access: https://www.crypto101insider.com/cryptnation-directm6pypcy1?utm_source=Internal&utm_medium=YouTube&utm_content=Podcast&utm_term=20250916Get your FREE copy of "Crypto Revolution: Your Guide To The Future of Money". In this book, I reveal how to make (and keep) a fortune during this crypto bull run! http://www.cryptorevolution.com/free?utm_source=Internal&utm_medium=YouTube&utm_content=Podcast&utm_term=20250916Chapters00:00 Intro01:15 - Brian says the fall bull market may be forming02:45 - VanEck's 12 signals point to a Bitcoin bottom03:30 - Visible leverage makes this cycle different05:35 - Quantum-safe Bitcoin transactions hit mainnet08:00 - Fear flips to greed as crypto momentum returns09:40 - Solana and Zcash lead weekly winners11:00 - Bitcoin posts biggest dollar gain week ever12:30 - Bernstein raises Bitcoin price targets15:40 - Charles Schwab adds Solana, AVAX, and Chainlink17:00 - Saylor vs Tom Lee treasury meme war22:20 - Ethereum exchange supply hits new lows24:00 - Hawkish Fed comments from Jackson HoleSubscribe to YouTube for Exclusive Content:https://www.youtube.com/@crypto101podcast?sub_confirmation=1Follow us on social media for leading-edge crypto updates and trade alerts:https://twitter.com/Crypto101Podhttps://instagram.com/crypto_101*This is NOT financial, tax, or legal advice*Boardwalk Flock LLC. All Rights Reserved  ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬Fog by DIZARO https://soundcloud.com/dizarofrCreative Commons — Attribution-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported — CC BY-ND 3.0 Free Download / Stream: http://bit.ly/Fog-DIZAROMusic promoted by Audio Library https://youtu.be/lAfbjt_rmE8▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬Our Sponsors:* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/CRYPTO101 for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out Scribe and use my code scribe.how/CRYPTO101 for a great deal: https://scribe.com* Check out ShipStation and use my code crypto for a great deal: https://www.shipstation.com* Check out ShipStation: https://www.shipstation.com* Check out Shopify and use my code shopify.com/crypto101 for a great deal: https://www.shopify.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Swan Signal - A Bitcoin Podcast
Bitcoin Rips! The Shallowest Bitcoin Bear Market in History?

Swan Signal - A Bitcoin Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 21, 2026 25:08


Bitcoin gained roughly $12,000 on the week, and the hosts read the second leg through $72,000 as evidence of real buying rather than short liquidations alone Bitcoin reclaimed its 200-day moving average and pushed roughly 20% above its 200-week, after six weeks of trading along that longer average in the mid to low sixties Isaiah cites the market adage that nothing good happens below the 200-day, and notes that breaking back above it with strength is what makes the move notable James Check's realized profit and loss work frames bear markets in three phases, price pain, time pain, and bears in pain, with this week marking the third Brady and Isaiah revisit a thesis they have argued on the show for over a year, that ETFs and corporate treasury demand would put a floor under this cycle The drawdown reached roughly 50% from the $126,000 high, against 75% to 83% in the three previous bear markets, which the hosts attribute partly to a more restrained bull market and partly to declining volatility as Bitcoin monetizes The US Treasury bought about $4 billion of long-dated bonds to pull yields down, the effect lasted about 24 hours, and Treasury Secretary Bessent signaled larger and more frequent purchases ahead Isaiah compares the operation to Operation Twist and calls it quantitative easing by another name, monetizing debt without using the term, with no political will to curtail spending The hosts discuss capital potentially rotating back to Bitcoin from AI, where frontier labs are spending heavily without profitability while open source models close the gap The conversation closes on what debasement costs beyond prices, first-time buyers reaching their forties, delayed family formation, and the disappearance of building for generations rather than quarters ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

The Bitboy Crypto Podcast
Bitcoin Bear Market OVER? (3 Major Signals)

The Bitboy Crypto Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 21, 2026 14:15


Stop Holding & Hoping! Follow our trades and take profits with us! www.skool.com/discovercrypto/about ​​If you have ever made money watching this channel, we need your help! Join the community to help us create the best Crypto education platform on the planet!  Blofin - https://partner.blofin.com/d/DiscoverCrypto Toobit - https:// www.toobit.com/en-us/activity/win-the-world

Futures Edge Podcast with Jim Iuorio and Bob Iaccino
Gold Is Going to $7,800, And the Fiscal Math Explains Why | Luke Gromen

Futures Edge Podcast with Jim Iuorio and Bob Iaccino

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 20, 2026 51:10


Luke Gromen joins Jim Iuorio and Bobby Iaccino on Futures Edge to break down why mounting U.S. fiscal pressure could create a powerful long-term setup for gold, including why he believes $7,800 gold within the next five years is entirely plausible.They examine pressure in the Treasury market, Japan and the yen carry trade, fiscal dominance, negative real rates, and why stocks can continue rising in dollar terms while losing value against gold. The conversation also turns to AI. Luke explains why the “easy” AI trade may be over, how rapidly improving Chinese AI models could challenge the economics behind massive U.S. AI investment, and why extreme valuations leave little room for disappointment.Plus, they discuss oil, China's growing leverage in global energy markets, the Iran conflict, EV adoption, and whether AI-driven job displacement could eventually force policymakers toward universal basic income.Timestamps00:06 Luke Gromen Returns to Futures Edge01:13 Japan, the Yen & U.S. Treasury Risk02:16 Why the U.S. Fiscal Math Is Breaking05:32 “The Debasement Trade Is Back”06:09 The Dollar & Yen Carry Trade Problem09:01 Could Gold Reach $7,800?10:32 Luke Gromen's Case for Higher Gold12:25 Who Still Wants 30-Year Treasuries?14:09 Stocks in Dollars vs. Stocks in Gold15:37 Should Investors Keep Buying Gold?16:51 What Was Holding Gold Back?18:47 What Could Go Wrong With the AI Boom?20:13 China's Threat to U.S. AI Economics23:47 Chinese AI vs. Western AI27:37 America and China's Different AI Strategies30:44 Is the Easy AI Trade Over?33:12 Are Stocks Already in a Bear Market vs. Gold?34:33 Will AI Make Universal Basic Income Necessary?39:56 Where Oil Prices Go From Here41:37 Oil, Treasury Yields & China43:04 China's Growing Control Over the Oil Market47:38 Why Oil May Top Out Near $9450:47 The Gold-to-Oil Ratio & Petrodollar Stress51:20 Where to Follow Luke Gromen Newsletter https://the-unfiltered-investor.beehiiv.com/Follow Luke Gromenhttps://x.com/LukeGromen?lang=enStay Connected With Us https://x.com/bob_iaccino https://x.com/jimiuorio https://www.linkedin.com/in/bob-iaccino/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/james-iuorio/

Web3 Academy: Exploring Utility In NFTs, DAOs, Crypto & The Metaverse
Bitcoin Just Pumped… But Is the Bear Market Really Over?

Web3 Academy: Exploring Utility In NFTs, DAOs, Crypto & The Metaverse

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 19, 2026 37:55


In this episode of Milk Road Crypto, John Gillen sits down with Rob from Digital Asset News to break down the latest Bitcoin rally, whether BTC has already found its cycle bottom, and why Rob believes there could still be more pain ahead before the next major crypto bull market. Rob explains why Bitcoin's 200-week moving average has historically been an important accumulation zone, how he adjusts his Bitcoin DCA strategy as prices fall, and why the four-year Bitcoin cycle still plays a major role in his investment strategy. He also discusses what a potential BTC bottom could look like, including a scenario where Bitcoin falls significantly lower before recovering.~~~~~

Wealth, Actually
250 Years of American Compounding with Meb Faber

Wealth, Actually

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 18, 2026 32:00


Fire the Whole Investment Team: Meb Faber on 250 Years of American Compounding and Why CalPERS Can’t Beat a 60/40 allocation https://youtu.be/9lBYkG4J2sY A dollar invested in the U.S. stock market in 1800 is worth roughly $200 million today, and Meb Faber says the giant pension funds paid to beat that kind of compounding usually can’t. In this episode of Wealth Actually, Frazer Rice talks with Meb Faber, co-founder and CIO of Cambria Investment Management and host of The Meb Faber Show, about his new coffee-table book Investing in America: The Rise of a 250-Year Bull Market, the shareholder yield thesis behind Cambria’s ETF lineup, and his long-running public campaign arguing that CalPERS and other giant institutional pools routinely fail to beat a simple, low-cost buy-and-hold portfolio. https://open.spotify.com/episode/4WmnPm3GN8jwQtJuCVV9XG?si=nLLcz8y8RSuydORA5_ZHGQ Key Takeaways America is, in Faber’s words, the greatest compounding machine in history. He puts a dollar invested in U.S. stocks in 1800 at roughly $200 million today — a number he uses to reframe how clients should think about staying invested through wars, depressions, and pandemics. The book’s origin story starts with meme stocks. Faber says COVID pulled a new generation of retail investors into the market through gamified trading apps, and he wanted to hand them a historically grounded alternative to day-trading and zero-day options. Diversification is older than the country itself. Faber traces the concept back to 15th- and 16th-century joint-stock voyages — the Mayflower and the Virginia Company among them — where spreading capital across many risky expeditions let “merchant adventurers” survive when any single ship was lost. Shareholder yield, not dividend yield, is Cambria’s core factor. Since the S&P 500’s dividend yield now sits near an all-time low of 1.04%, Faber argues the real signal is cash dividends plus net buybacks — net of the dilution from stock-based compensation that quietly erodes shareholders’ ownership every year. Faber’s CalPERS critique boils down to one line: “the returns are not bad, they’re just not good.” He’s built an entire body of work, including Cambria’s ENDW endowment-style ETF, arguing that giant pools with virtually unlimited access to managers still can’t consistently beat a disciplined global 60/40. Complexity is often the enemy, not the edge. Faber contrasts investing with almost every other field of expertise: hiring the best doctor or coach nearly always helps, but hiring the most sophisticated (and expensive) money manager frequently doesn’t. Illiquidity has a way of showing up at the worst possible time. Faber points to endowments getting caught upside down in 2008–2009 and to more recent leveraged blowups as the same lesson repeating: over-lever a portfolio and you’re out of chips at the poker table. The real accountability gap is career incentives, not investment theory. Faber contrasts Yale, which gets a pass for strong long-term results, with Harvard’s endowment, which he says has underperformed for two decades without anyone losing their job over it — a dynamic he says maps directly onto UHNW family governance. Timestamps [00:00] Cold open — CalPERS CIOs vs. UK prime ministers [00:29] Show open and disclaimer [00:54] Welcome: Meb Faber, Cambria, and the new book [02:07] The $76 price tag and the 1776 joke [03:13] Genesis of Investing in America: COVID, meme stocks, and joint-stock voyages [06:33] The most surprising find: Ben Franklin’s “Mind Your Business” motto [09:09] Argentina vs. the U.S. — what actually drove American exceptionalism [12:47] Cambria today: the shareholder yield thesis [17:46] Why politicians target buybacks instead of stock-based comp [20:54] The CalPERS critique begins [21:34] The Ivy Portfolio, the ENDW endowment ETF, and year-one results [25:45] The Nevada pension comparison and the liquidity-complexity pushback [26:56] Institutional blowups, Harvard’s endowment dysfunction, and misaligned incentives [29:36] The “anti-Switzerland of asset management” bit [31:16] Close: where to find Meb, Cambria, and the book Pull Quotes “No, no, no, no, Frazer — it is $76, in honor of 1776.” — Meb Faber “A dollar would be worth roughly $200 million today… despite wars and depressions and pandemics and everything else terrible that’s happened in the history of the world, this relentless compounding is such a fun story.” — Meb Faber “There are dividend funds in the U.S. today… whose actual dividend yield is lower than their management fee. A negative net dividend yield — an astonishing statistic in 2026.” — Meb Faber “Who’s had more turnover in the past 10 years — CalPERS CIOs or UK prime ministers? Both totally dysfunctional. I think CalPERS has a slight edge, but it’s close.” — Meb Faber “I’m the anti-Switzerland of asset management.” — Meb Faber About the Guest Meb Faber is co-founder, CEO, and Chief Investment Officer of Cambria Investment Management, an independent, privately owned advisory firm built around quantitative asset management and alternative investment strategies (BusinessWire). He hosts The Meb Faber Show, one of the most widely followed investing podcasts, and is the author of eight books, including The Ivy Portfolio, Global Asset Allocation, Global Value, Shareholder Yield, and now Investing in America: The Rise of a 250-Year Bull Market — his first coffee-table book, released to coincide with the U.S. semiquincentennial (Curzio Research). Proceeds from the book go to charities that fund investment accounts for Americans born in the country. A ninth book, The Awesome Portfolio, is slated for release on September 8, 2026 (Meb Faber on X). Contact Meb Faber & Cambria Cambria Investment Management: cambriainvestments.com Cambria Funds: cambriafunds.com Meb’s blog, podcast & research: mebfaber.com The Meb Faber Show: themebfabershow.com Twitter/X: @MebFaber Book — Investing in America: available on Amazon, Barnes & Noble, and signed via Pages bookstore in Manhattan Beach, CA (Acquirer’s Multiple) Cambria Funds Mentioned Shareholder Yield suite (SYLD, FYLD, EYLD, plus small-cap and large-cap variants) — cash dividends plus net buybacks plus net debt reduction, divided by market cap (MarketWatch) GVAL — Global Value ETF screening the cheapest quartile of roughly 45 country markets by long-term valuation (Cambria — GVAL) TAIL / FAIL — U.S. and global ex-U.S. tail-risk ETFs pairing short-term Treasuries with a rolling ladder of out-of-the-money S&P 500 puts (Cambria — TAIL) Trinity Portfolio (TRTY) — roughly half buy-and-hold, half trend-following across a basket of other Cambria funds (Cambria — Trinity Portfolio) ENDW — Cambria’s endowment-style ETF, discussed on the show as roughly $150–180 million at launch and referenced later in conversation as having grown toward roughly $5 billion in assets with more than 100,000 investors (MebFaber.com) The CalPERS Critique — Further Reading 9 Institutions Can’t Beat a Basic Buy-and-Hold Allocation — MebFaber.com How California’s $450B Pension Fund Misses the Basics of Investing — YouTube Should a Robot Be Managing CalPERS’ Portfolio? — MebFaber.com, 2015 Index Funds vs. Ivy League — MarketWatch/Barron’s Streetwise CalPERS: America’s Misled and Misleading Pension Leader — Retired Public Employees Association CalPERS Section II Performance Tables (2026) — CalPERS.ca.gov Reducing the Noise of AI Investing – FrazerRice.com Frequently Asked Questions How much would a dollar invested in the U.S. stock market in 1800 be worth today?Meb Faber says roughly $200 million, using the figure to illustrate how relentless compounding has powered through wars, depressions, and pandemics over the country’s history. It’s an illustrative, back-of-envelope estimate rather than a precise index calculation, since standardized stock indexes didn’t exist in 1800. Why is Meb Faber’s new book priced at $76?It’s a nod to 1776 and the country’s founding, timed to the U.S. semiquincentennial. All proceeds go to charities that fund investment accounts for Americans born in the country. What is shareholder yield, and how is it different from dividend yield?Shareholder yield is cash dividends plus net stock buybacks (net of new share issuance, particularly from stock-based compensation), divided by market cap. Faber argues it captures real capital return to shareholders better than dividend yield alone, especially now that the S&P 500’s dividend yield sits near an all-time low of about 1.04% and share buybacks have outpaced dividends every year since the late 1990s. What is Meb Faber’s argument against CalPERS and other large pension funds?Faber’s recurring claim is “the returns are not bad, they’re just not good” — that giant institutional pools with access to virtually any manager on the planet still fail to consistently beat a simple, low-cost, diversified buy-and-hold portfolio, once fees and complexity are accounted for. Cambria launched an endowment-style ETF (ENDW) partly to make this a live, ongoing comparison rather than a hypothetical one. What is Cambria’s endowment-style ETF and how does it compare to institutions like CalPERS?ENDW replicates a Yale/Swensen-style endowment allocation — global stocks, global bonds, and real assets like gold, TIPS, and REITs — in a low-cost ETF with an all-in expense under 25 basis points. Faber uses it as a running, real-time benchmark against actual endowment and pension performance reported each fiscal year. Why does Meb Faber say complexity is often the enemy in investing?Unlike most fields, where more resources and the best available experts reliably produce better outcomes, Faber argues that in investing, more complexity and more access to exotic managers frequently doesn’t translate into better returns net of fees — and often just adds cost and illiquidity risk. What lesson does Meb Faber draw from institutional blowups and the 2008–2009 crisis?Endowments that mark their portfolios only once a year got caught badly offsides in 2008–2009, with illiquid positions falling even further than public markets. Faber sees the same pattern recur whenever a fund over-levers and gets forced out of the game — a basic failure of position sizing and situational awareness that keeps repeating at the highest levels of finance. Full Transcript [00:00] Cold Open (produced VO): I said, who’s had more turnover in the past 10 years — CalPERS CIOs or UK Prime Ministers? Both totally dysfunctional. And I think CalPERS has a slight edge, but it’s close. Meb Faber suggested that CalPERS should fire its entire investment team, and that complexity has become a major headwind to their ability to generate returns. Find out more on this episode of Wealth Actually. We’re also going to talk about Meb’s new book, which argues that America is one of the greatest compounding machines in the history of capitalism. [00:29] Show Open (produced VO): Welcome back to the Wealth Actually podcast — the show that features experts, entrepreneurs, and commentators who give you the right knowledge, planning, and guidance so you can preserve your assets and enjoy your wealth. Learn more and subscribe today at WealthActually.com. This podcast is for educational and entertainment purposes. It is not investment, legal, or tax advice. It does not represent the opinions of the employers of the host or guest. [00:54] Frazer Rice: Welcome back. Meb Faber is on the show. He founded Cambria Investment Management, which is a $4 billion ETF group. He also has The Meb Faber Show and does a lot of different writing. He’s famous for being on Twitter and taking on CalPERS. But most importantly, he has a new book out talking about America as a great compounding machine. It’s a lot of fun to have him on. Welcome aboard, Meb. [01:16] Meb Faber: My man, great to be here. Frazer Rice: Oh, thank you for being on. I thank you beforehand for including a piece of my writing in one of your old compendiums on best investment writing. I’ve never forgotten that, so thank you again. Meb Faber: Well, good job making the cut. Frazer Rice: Yeah, right, exactly. I passed the audition. Seen you a few times on The Idea Farm here and there over the years. Meb Faber: Yep. As I tell people with my girlfriend, I met expectations in my recent review, so we’re onto the next year. Look, key to life, Frazer — investors, we’re in a bull market, everyone expects 15% returns forever. Key to investing in life: just low expectations. That’s it. Set your expectations low, and you’ll be pleasantly surprised every day. Don’t lose principal over time — that’ll get you pretty far in life. [02:07] Frazer Rice: So anyway, you’ve got a new book out too, which I thought was pretty cool. I love the fact that you priced it at $17.76 and really focused on the— Meb Faber: No, no, no, no, Frazer — it is $76, in honor of 1776. Now to be clear, we don’t make any money on this book. We’re donating all the proceeds to the Invest America charities that fund accounts for Americans born in this country — a wonderful charity, big supporters of it. Frazer Rice: But yes, in honor of the country’s founding. This is why we have you all to make sure I get that stuff right. But the concept of America as the best compounding machine ever — I think that’s really interesting. First of all, what prompted you to get involved with putting this book together? You’ve written before — seems like you’ve been busy with other stuff, of course — but then you came back and decided this was a good topic to take on. What was the genesis of the book? [03:13] Meb Faber: Yeah, so this is my eighth book, and the first coffee-table book we’ve ever done. People were saying, “What the hell, $76? Are you guys crazy?” Look — this is a beautiful 200-page book. There’s probably 70 pictures, charts, tables. And the concept is in the subtitle: Investing in America: The Rise of a 250-Year Bull Market. And the origin story goes back to COVID. Nobody had anything to do — sports stopped, you couldn’t go to the beach. So people were sitting around, and Americans — look, they’re gamblers, they’re risk-takers, we know that. And I said, we can’t do anything about that. So this entire generation of young people turned their attention to the stock market, and we got meme stocks. Today that’s evolved into prediction markets and zero-day options and all sorts of other nonsense. We wanted to grab those young people and say, “No, you don’t understand — the real story is better than any of this. You don’t have to day-trade. You don’t have to bet against the casino and lose.” So we said, let’s do this history since the founding of our republic — what it would have looked like if you could invest from 1800. And the compounding math is so fantastical it seems wrong. A dollar invested in 1800 — and yes, I know there were no indexes back then, chill out, people — but just to be instructive, a dollar would be worth roughly $200 million today. The point is you get on this train despite wars and depressions and pandemics and everything else terrible that’s happened in the history of the world — despite all that, this relentless compounding is such a fun story. On top of that — the founding of our country, and a lot of people don’t know this: when you learn the history of America in elementary school, you learn about the immigration, particularly from Europe, people escaping religious persecution, seeking a better life through freedom — the Mayflower, all that. All true. But what they leave out is that most of these explorations and voyages were funded by companies. Back then they called them joint-stock companies; today we call them companies, LPs, C-corporations — corps, right, partnerships. Because the reality, going back to the 15th century, is that if you’re sending a ship to the New World to find gold, that ship could sink, or there were pirates — you’d lose all your money. So this brilliant invention we call diversification today has been around for hundreds and hundreds of years. These companies said, it’s risky to invest in one voyage, but you can own part of a company that invests in 10 or 20 or 30 of these, and maybe one of them will hit. That sounds like venture capital. They used to call these people “adventurers” or merchant adventurers. Hudson’s Bay, the Mayflower voyage, the Virginia Company — many of them failed, many didn’t make money, but some made spectacular profits. It’s a fun origin story that hasn’t really been told about these early entrepreneurs and risk-takers, who honestly still permeate our culture to this day. [06:33] Frazer Rice: In putting the book together, what was the most surprising chart you found that you ended up including? [06:41] Meb Faber: There’s a lot of fun historical statistics in the book. One of my favorite parts of writing it was buying — I don’t know, 50 or 100 financial history books I’d never heard of, books on financial crises globally from various markets. We just had an author on the podcast talking about the global financial crisis of 1873, and on and on — you learn so much. One I love telling people, especially young people — my son or his friends — is: look at a dollar bill or a quarter, and I ask, what’s the motto on there? Well, that used to not be the motto. Ben Franklin, back in the day, the motto on the Fugio cent used to say “Mind Your Business” — which I thought was amazing. And it’s not “mind your business, kid” in the nosy sense — it’s more like, mind your (own) business. It had a sundial on it, too: time is short, mind your business. I thought, let’s go back to that — such a great motto. A bunch of little fun stories, but to me one of the big takeaways of the book is: as a public stock investor, the news is always negative. You turn on CNBC, Bloomberg, pull up your phone, social media — negative, negative, negative, negative. It’s hard to sustain conviction. Look, we haven’t been through a big bear market in 17 years, but when you’re down 30%, 40%, 50%, and you’re reading “Lehman’s going under” and all these crazy headlines — the book lets you zoom out. Each chapter zooms into a decade and then zooms back out and says, okay, 1930s, Great Depression, you lost 80% in stocks — but guess what, here’s your return over the next 50 years. Even over a 20-year period, large-cap stocks become less volatile than bonds, which is an amazing takeaway. Being able to zoom out and say, “I’m a long-term investor, why am I even concerning myself with day-to-day negativity” — that shift in mindset is really important, because when you zoom out, you can barely even see 1987 on a long-term chart of the stock market. I think it’s a useful thing to send to clients, particularly at year-end if you’re a financial advisor. We’ve got big discounts if you buy 50 books online — send it to clients and say, hey, stop going crazy, this too shall pass. [09:09] Frazer Rice: One thing I always have in my mind — I don’t remember if this is exactly true, but Argentina and the US were on roughly equal economic footing back around 1900. When you were putting this together, did you see anything in the US’s political climate or structure — the things that gave it tailwinds to go from 1900 through to now with this rocket-ship growth — versus a country like Argentina, similarly situated, that just muddled along economically? Was there anything in particular that you saw that codified American exceptionalism? [09:51] Meb Faber: Yeah, you’ve got to remember, the US was an emerging market too, for a long period. We didn’t always hold the crown as the largest economy or the largest stock market in the world. The US is two-thirds of world market cap today — astonishing. But if you and I were sipping tea back in 1800 or 1900 and betting on what country would dominate the next century, you’d have gotten a whole host of different answers. That’s part of the fun of this book — you realize, when things got started in Amsterdam in the 1600s, they held the crown, but not forever. It shifted to London, then eventually to New York. And in our own lifetimes, the US wasn’t always the largest stock market — Japan was, in the 1980s. It’s a useful construct: look how much things change. Not even just on a country level — sectors too. Go back 100 years and you’re like, wait, where are the tech stocks? It was railroads. Go back another 100 years and it’s, wait, where are the railroads? There weren’t any — it was banks and insurance. The constant is always change and creative destruction. The big takeaway is you have to be an owner. This ownership mentality is particularly pervasive in the US. Talk to people in Sweden, Europe, Asia, Latin America — they own far fewer stocks than Americans do. Ask what they invest in, and it’s cash in the bank, real estate, maybe. There’s something in the water here. Same thing with entrepreneurship — talk to Americans about failure, and there’s no shame in it here. It’s almost celebrated; we cheer for it. The only thing we like seeing more than someone fail is their eventual rise after failure — the phoenix. There’s a lot of big takeaways in that. It feels like the last 17 years, the US is just going to dominate forever. We wrote a paper called The Bear Market and Diversification a few years back about how special this period has been for US stocks, crushing everything else — but it’s not totally without precedent. In the last hundred years it’s happened three other times where 10-year rolling stock returns hit 15%: the 1920s (the Roaring Twenties), the Nifty Fifty period in the mid-20th century, and my favorite bull market, the late 1990s. And now again today — COVID, meme stocks, the AI boom, whatever you want to call it. Eventually the good times don’t last forever; you probably shouldn’t expect 15% returns to the moon. But pat yourself on the back and celebrate it — it’s been a very special run. [12:47] Frazer Rice: Day-job-wise, at Cambria you’ve got a whole host of different investment theses that you build vehicles around. One that’s gotten my attention, and that I really like the idea of, is the shareholder yield concept — especially the global shareholder yield concept, for the reasons you just described, coming off a very long cycle of US exceptionalism in the stock market. I like the idea of cash flow as an indicator of good investment performance, and diversifying both within and outside the US. With an asterisk here that this is not investment advice, everyone — take us through what you’re thinking on that front, and what else you’re up to at Cambria that’s interesting in the investment ecosystem right now. [13:35] Meb Faber: Sure. It’s kind of crazy, Frazer, but we hit our 20-year anniversary this year, which feels like just yesterday when I started the company. Some of the shareholder yield funds — we now have three with over a 10-year track record, and our oldest, SYLD, is a pesky teenager now. What do you expect out of teenagers? More volatility — hopefully up volatility, not down. We wrote a book on this topic 10, 15 years ago, and a new second edition is out — it’s free online as an ebook, listeners, you can get it from the blog. The subtitle of the book is Shareholder Yield: A Better Approach to Dividend Investing — a pretty bold claim, given there are hundreds of dividend-type funds out there: dividend income, dividend growth, equity income, on and on. Our thesis was that there’s something the entire marketplace hadn’t noticed or appreciated: the rise of share buybacks. Starting in the late ’90s, share buybacks have outpaced dividend distributions in the United States every year. In fact, the US dividend yield on the S&P 500 is at an all-time low of 1.04% — it may cross below 1% for the first time ever, which is astonishing. Our thesis was that a shareholder yield approach — simply cash dividends plus net stock buybacks — outperforms, historically, any dividend strategy you can construct. The “net” matters because it accounts for share issuance, particularly stock-based compensation to the C-suite, which is everywhere in the US — my home state of California’s tech companies love to “make it rain” with stock-based comp. The problem is the average US stock is a diluter: your ownership share goes down every year because they keep issuing more shares. We’ve since demonstrated this in real time across SYLD, FYLD, EYLD (the emerging-market version), and now small-cap and large-cap variants — they’ve done exceptionally well. These funds effectively target a Buffett-like, value-and-quality approach: the average stock coming into the portfolios has roughly a double-digit shareholder yield. Let that sink in — there are dividend funds in the US today, ETFs and mutual funds, that claim to be high-yield or dividend-income funds whose actual dividend yield is lower than their management fee. A negative net dividend yield — an astonishing statistic in 2026. In the US, that shareholder yield is mostly driven by buybacks. In foreign developed and emerging markets, it’s closer to 50-50 — those markets still have more of a culture of cash dividends, so you’ll see yields there closer to 5-6%. But that’s changing, and changing fast. We did a blog post recently calling the UK the “buyback capital of the world” — the UK, China, Japan, and a bunch of other countries have hockey-sticked higher on this. It’s spreading globally, this idea of corporate responsibility: “my stock’s at half of book value, maybe we should consider buybacks.” There’s so much mythology around stock buybacks — we could do a whole podcast on it — and we try to tackle it in the book. Hopefully it’s like a red pill: once you take it, it’s hard to look at investing the same way again, because it feels like you were missing a major piece of the puzzle. [17:46] Frazer Rice: How infuriating is it when the Warrens of the world take aim at buybacks? It feels like an economically illiterate, and certainly politically driven, approach to legislating. To put the clamps on a genuinely useful capital allocation tool — I just don’t understand it. You must look at that and want to shake people and say, you’re missing the point, and you’re not even really targeting the abuses that exist. [18:20] Meb Faber: Well, I try not to be too dismissive of our lovely politicians — the joke I always make is, don’t look down on them, they weren’t taught finance and investing in school either. We don’t teach money and investing in school, and that’s sort of my white whale — I think we should be teaching it as early as elementary school, just basic classes on money. The good news is, roughly a quarter to a third of high schools are now requiring at least one class on the topic. What they’re actually targeting, I think somewhat thoughtfully underneath it, is executive compensation and stock issuance — which is the crazy part, because buybacks are the flip side of that. If a company is consistently loading up its CEO with options and diluting shareholders, and using buybacks to mop that dilution up — that’s what they’re really targeting, but it’s not the buyback itself. It’s the stock-based comp. Buybacks are the exhaust; that happens down the road. The cool part about our methodology is we’re only targeting companies trading at something like 80 cents on the dollar. Buffett is my favorite example here — Berkshire has never paid a dividend, and you might think that’s crazy, but he understands this better than anyone. He’s been writing about buybacks since the 1980s. There’s a great quote from an old Berkshire annual report where he says there’s no better use of cash than buying back your own shares when they’re trading below intrinsic value. Berkshire has bought back a ton of stock over the past several years — smart — they say they’ll buy back at 1.2 times book or below and run a valuation screen. There’s a great, somewhat surprising, takeaway in the book: there’s a myth that CEOs are megalomaniacs who just buy back stock whenever they think it’s expensive or cheap, but if you model it out historically, companies doing big buybacks (say, to retire 5% of market cap) tend to trade at a valuation discount to the market, and companies doing share issuance tend to trade at a valuation premium. There’s a real valuation arbitrage going on — CEOs aren’t dummies. That’s part of what you’re capturing with a shareholder yield approach, as long as it’s consistently recycled. And remember, a buyback is optional — there has to be someone willing to sell into it, so there are always two sides. [20:54] Frazer Rice: Let’s talk about one of my favorite parts of your persona, honestly — your fun critique of CalPERS and what large institutions do (and don’t do well) in managing money, and the inefficiencies that creep in with these big pools of capital as implementation and asset allocation get very complicated and very expensive. Walk me through your thinking when you first noticed the CalPERS phenomenon, and a bit of the history there. [21:34] Meb Faber: My very first book was called The Ivy Portfolio, and we looked at how top endowments manage their assets — Yale, the late David Swensen. One of the strange things about our world in asset management — almost unique among industries — is the assumption that more resources, more money, more access automatically equals better results. That’s true in almost every other endeavor: get the best doctor, you’re probably better off than with your local doctor; best trainer, best nutritionist, best coach, on and on. Not necessarily true in investing. The longer I’ve been in this business, the more I see complexity as often an enemy. So we love to pick on CalPERS — we’ve written a dozen articles: should CalPERS be run by a robot, should they just fire everyone and buy ETFs? We’ve run the simulations, and in many cases these giant institutions — with $500 billion, hundreds of employees, access to literally any fund on the planet — should be able to beat everyone, but they can’t. A very basic buy-and-hold portfolio can mimic what a lot of these top institutions actually deliver. Eventually I got tired of just talking about it. I’ve applied for the CalPERS CIO job at least half a dozen times — they have an opening every other year, listeners, it’s the most dysfunctional organization. I joked on Twitter the other day: who’s had more turnover in the past 10 years, CalPERS CIOs or UK prime ministers? Both totally dysfunctional — I think CalPERS has a slight edge, but it’s close. I said I’d do the job for free — I’d fire almost everyone and get rid of all the illiquid, high-fee investments. But there’s this entire ecosystem of people incentivized to keep the engine running: private equity consultants and the rest of the “two-and-20” crowd. So eventually we said, let’s make this a real, live contest. We launched an endowment-style ETF, ENDW — roughly $150-180 million in it now — and said every June 30th, once we’re through a fiscal year, we’re going to compare results head-to-head. This ETF has no management fee to speak of, all-in under 25 basis points. Can you beat a low-cost ETF like that? Let’s find out. Sure enough, year one — CalPERS has already reported, and they didn’t do badly, but it was basically like a 60/40 portfolio; you’d have been just as well off doing 60/40 and moving on. Our endowment-style allocation actually replicates the average endowment quite well — a nice global mix of global stocks, global bonds, and global real assets (gold, TIPS, REITs, and so on — that real-assets sleeve is one a lot of people leave out). To get closer to a Swensen-level result, you need a couple more ingredients, in my view: you can approximate something like private equity with small-cap value, and approximate the broader endowment risk profile with a bit of leverage, plus tilts to value, global exposure, and trend-following. We’ll see how year one shakes out once all the endowments report — UNC might actually beat us because they had a huge stake in SpaceX, so congrats to Chapel Hill. But I think year one goes to me, sorry to say, CalPERS. I’m going to be a giant irritant on this for years to come. The cool thing is you now have a genuinely investable benchmark. Every endowment investment committee suddenly has to ask, with real fiduciary teeth: can we beat this low-cost ETF? And if we can’t, what are we even doing — why are we studying all these crazy illiquid partnerships instead of just buying a basket of ETFs and calling it a day? That’s going to be an awkward conversation in a lot of boardrooms. [25:45] Frazer Rice: Two comments on that. First — isn’t there someone in the state of Nevada doing something similar, basically running one of the state pension pools with a team of about three people? [25:51] Meb Faber: Yes — we had him on the podcast. I told him, look, you’re putting your money where your mouth is on this. I won’t do his story justice here, I’ll tell you about it off-air — but it’s a great example that this doesn’t have to be as hard as people make it out to be. Frazer Rice: The second thing is — anytime I’ve talked to people in the industry about this, they come back and say, “yes, we technically have an infinite investing horizon, but we have very rigid liquidity needs, so we need to be complex, because our liquidity needs can shift at any moment.” Meanwhile, on one hand I’m thinking, that complexity doesn’t actually help you with liquidity, as far as I can tell — and on the other, it feels like a bit of a convenient excuse. Do you have a response to that? [26:56] Meb Faber: Oh boy, I’ve got a bunch. The endowments famously got caught upside-down in 2008-2009. They only mark their portfolios once a year, June 30th — I wish we could all do that; maybe we should just tell clients, you’re only allowed to look once a year. They were probably down roughly half in ’08-’09, and the illiquid positions were probably down even more. A lot of them got badly offsides, and I don’t think many of them have fully learned the lesson — if you look at the amount of private allocations still sitting in a lot of these portfolios today, it’s a massive amount. I hope they’ve learned the lesson. We’ll see. But it’s a story as old as time — we just saw a version of it recently with a fund blowup, a basic, one-oh-one level failure of situational awareness and position sizing: you over-lever a portfolio, you get taken out of the game, you lose all your money, and then you’re out of chips at the poker table. You watch these mistakes happen at the upper echelons of finance and wonder how it’s still happening — and the core problem is that the career incentives of the people running the money don’t necessarily match the actual investment problem. Yale gets a pass. When Swensen’s successors hit a rough patch, how long do they get a pass? Because Harvard has been a total mess for the last 20 years — there are entire books written about the Harvard endowment, which used to be the Yale before Yale. The Harvard Crimson ran article after article saying, you’re overpaying people, what’s going on here — and the fund would underperform and nobody would actually lose their job over it. That’s the real problem, and I have some sympathy for how hard it is to fix. You deal with a version of this on the personal client side too, with multigenerational wealth — it’s almost an unsolvable structural problem for a Harvard, an endowment, or a CalPERS, because — take Harvard — you’ve got current students, alumni, future students, professors, the people who work at the endowment itself, all with completely different incentives and interests. It creates a genuinely absurd situation where, in no realistic scenario, should the resulting portfolio look like what they actually end up with. It’s an outright disaster, structurally. [29:36] Frazer Rice: It reminds me of a car designed by committee — you end up with this stitched-together Frankenstein’s monster of a product that was never going to work or sell, and it ends up sinking the company. Meb Faber: Yeah, yeah — a Rube Goldberg machine is not what you need. But there’s a reason our endowment ETF, out of the roughly 20 funds we’ve launched, has gotten the least attention — even though it’s now about $5 billion in assets with over a hundred thousand investors. It’s received the least publicity of any ETF we’ve ever done, because it doesn’t benefit anyone in that whole existing ecosystem — it’s actually a genuine threat to it. I was at an institutional conference up in Santa Barbara, at a wine happy hour, talking to three women who run three of the most famous pension and endowment pools of real money in the country. We’d just launched an endowment-style ETF, and they just stared back at me with these icy daggers. I said, oh, sorry — I’m not really a competitor to you, you should easily be able to beat me, I’m just the table stakes. But I think they realized that’s probably not true — they’re going to have a very hard time beating me, which doesn’t exactly make me anyone’s friend. I’m the anti-Switzerland of asset management. [31:16] Frazer Rice: Meb, how do people find the firm, find the book, find you? [31:24] Meb Faber: With a name like Meb, it’s easy. Cambria Funds is the day job, with the ETFs. Meb Faber is the old blog, podcast, and Twitter presence — you can find that just about anywhere. And if you find yourself in Los Angeles, Manhattan Beach, come say hi. We’d love to hear from you if you pick up a copy of the book, Investing in America — let us know what you think. Frazer Rice: Really cool stuff. Thanks, Meb, for being on. This was a blast — let’s do it again. Meb Faber: Let’s do it. [31:50] Close (produced VO): This podcast is for educational and entertainment purposes. It is neither investment, legal, nor tax advice. It does not represent the opinions of the employers of the host or guests. https://www.amazon.com/Wealth-Actually-Intelligent-Decision-Making-1-ebook/dp/B07FPQJJQT/

Scouting Australia Podcast
Dominating in a Bear Market, 5% Deposit Scheme + How to Nail a Property Sale

Scouting Australia Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 16, 2026 23:53


In this week's rapid fire Q&A episode, Sammy Gordon and Jimmy Ibrahim tackling listener questions focused on current trends in the Australian property market. The conversation covers navigating Bear Markets, the difference in APS' strategy to other BAs in the market, timing the market to buy or sell and political impacts on investment. Blending practical advice, market insights, and a relaxed, conversational style, this episode will give you real-time guidance for making confident property investment decisions. DOWNLOAD: Discover the research behind Australia's emerging rental superboom. Drawing on the insights our team uses every day to identify high-performing markets, this report reveals the key trends shaping the country's rental landscape and highlights 12 regions we're watching closely in 2026. Download your complimentary copy today: ⁠https://australianpropertyscout.com.au/whitepaper/⁠ School of Property is the ultimate education destination to master property investment, with a curriculum meticulously designed and crafted with both beginners and experts in mind. Whether you are a complete novice, or you're ready to take things to the next level in your portfolio, this is the program for you! To find out more, head to ⁠⁠⁠⁠www.schoolofproperty.com.au⁠⁠⁠⁠  If you loved this episode please send it on to someone who would take some value, and please give us a 5 star review if you haven't yet and are loving the poddy! If you want your question answered on our podcast DM us on our socials or email us at ⁠⁠⁠⁠apsteam@australianpropertyscout.com.au⁠⁠⁠⁠ Send us your questions to:Instagram: @australianpropertyscout Want to book a call with us: Website: ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://australianpropertyscout.com.au⁠⁠⁠⁠ Any information, comments, opinions or content that we provide in this podcast is our general observations and information only and it is not to be taken as, or in any way, considered to be financial advice, accounting advice, superannuation advice or legal advice. We strongly recommend all and any listener and participant to obtain their own independent financial advice, accounting advice, superannuation advice and legal advice before acting in any way in relation to any investment at all including any investment in property such as what we might be discussing in this podcast. No warranty, guarantee or representation is to be taken and you cannot reproduce it in any way. Every persons financial or investment situation is different and you must consider your own circumstances before undertaking any investment and be sure to obtain independent advice. Australian Property Scout Pty Ltd | License Number: 10094798 | ABN: 64 638 266 369

The Signal
QE Lite, Rising Yields & Bitcoin's Final Bear Market Test

The Signal

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2026 41:59


Bitcoin may be entering the final stretch of the bear market, but macro risks are starting to build. Mike and Ryan break down the Treasury's new “QE Lite” play, why 30-year yields are breaking to 20-year highs, and how intervention in the yen could ripple across global markets. They also cover gold's latest surge, Bitcoin's key cycle levels, and whether one final risk-off move could send BTC toward deep value territory before the next expansion.----

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
8-11-26 What Really Drives Markets

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 11, 2026 46:03


What really drives bull and bear markets? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn examine why corporate earnings remain one of the most important forces behind market performance. Rising profits can support bull markets, while significant earnings declines have historically accompanied the most severe bear markets. We also examine calls for “sound money” and a return to the gold standard. While concerns over debt, deficits, inflation, and dollar debasement are legitimate, a gold-backed dollar could have significant consequences for credit, economic growth, and investors. The key is separating economic concerns from the fundamental forces actually driving markets. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - CPI Preview & Economic Numbers 4:51 - Markets Break Out to All-new Highs 10:15 - Birthday's & Beach Trips 12:13 - Emails to Lance - Back to Gold? 15:28 - Why We Invest 17:46 - Short-run Price Uncertainty 20:26 - The US as Reserve Currency of the World 21:30 - Real GDP vs Debt 24:38 - The Gold Standard Trap 25:53 - Gold's Role in Your Portfolio 29:26 - Earnings & Valuations - What to Pay Attention To? 31:57 - Markets are Constantly Pricing-in Earnings Expectations 33:17 - Earnings & Multiplier Performance History 34:56 - How We Rebalanced - Black Rock vs Goldman 36:16 - When Earnings Fall (chart) 39:05 - Credit Spread - The Differential Between Yields 43:02 - AI Credit Spreads are a Small Part of Market Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Market Highs Come With a Warning" https://youtu.be/3RiOabBiud4 -------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/c9cOlFVLGoU ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Wage Growth As A Leading Inflation Indicator" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/wage-growth-as-a-leading-inflation-indicator/ "Sound Money: Be Careful What You Wish For" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sound-money-be-careful-what-you-wish-for/ "Earnings Drive Both Bull & Bear Markets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/earnings-drive-both-bull-bear-markets/ "Leveraged ETFs: Math Often Trumps Hype" -------- Watch our previous show, "Internet Scams You Need to Know - The Ari Schwartz Interview https://youtube.com/live/Azt1_vs16bA?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Medicare Planning: Everything You Need to Know Before You Enroll," Thursday, August 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/Qjx33M2tS4i4 --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #MarketRisk #Volatility #Earnings #Gold #MarketOutlook

Forward Guidance
The Portfolio Built To Survive Every Crash | Jared Dillian

Forward Guidance

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 5, 2026 32:02


Markets are relearning that durable wealth comes from disciplined risk management, not chasing momentum or relying on central bank intervention. This week, we're joined by Jared Dillian, editor of The Daily Dirtnap and author of The Awesome Portfolio, to discuss why markets may be entering a new regime where risk management matters more than maximizing returns. We explore Warsh's Fed strategy, the case for a steeper yield curve, why the AI trade may be masking economic weakness, how sentiment shifts after crowded trades unwind, and why gold and diversified portfolios could be poised for a comeback. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 01:01 The Awesome Portfolio 04:42 Why Investors Misunderstand Risk 11:15 Warsh's Intentional Policy Shift 14:17 The Yield Curve Meets Weak Data 17:32 Markets To Do The Heavy Lifting 20:00 Treasury Enters The Currency Fight 22:58 The Bear Market's Starting Gun 27:57 Defensive Stocks, Oil And Gold FOLLOW JARED › X/Twitter – https://x.com/dailydirtnap › Pre-Order The Awesome Portfolio –https://a.co/d/01yslEpJ FOLLOW THE SHOW › Forward Guidance – https://x.com/ForwardGuidance › Felix – https://x.com/fejau_inc › Telegram – https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx › Blockworks – https://x.com/Blockworks EVENTS › Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2026 Asia October 7th & Digital Asset 2026 London November 10-11th https://blockworks.com/events DISCLAIMER Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Any views expressed are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

Tapping Into Crypto
Are We 70% Through the Bear Market? Rekt Capital, Fed Rate Hikes & Swyftx Trends

Tapping Into Crypto

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 29, 2026 33:02


A fresh wave of bottom calls, meme coin frenzies, and institutional data suggests digital asset markets might be much closer to a turnaround than many think. Beneath the surface of a quiet winter, on-chain activity is heating up as retail interest returns and long-term investors position themselves for the next cycle. In this episode, Ted and Pav dissect recent bullish takes from prominent crypto analysts on X, weighing Zach Pandor's interest rate outlook against PlanB's Stock-to-Flow model and Rekt Capital's bear market structure. They dive into Swyftx's latest report, highlighting why self-managed super funds (SMSFs) are aggressively buying the dip and how AI adoption is set to supercharge freelance stablecoin payments Finally, they cover the Robinhood and Coinbase DeFi wallet launches and wrap up with what a potential Fed interest rate decision means for crypto heading into August.  You'll hear:  00:00 Ted and Pav catch up on local weather, family updates, and the recent wave of bottom calls flooding social media. 02:16 Exploring how new meme coin activity on Robinhood Chain and Coinbase's new DeFi wallet feature are bringing traders back to life.  07:05 Looking at institutional real-world asset updates and how clearinghouses are moving trillions of dollars onto the blockchain. 07:40 Why the upcoming August deadline could act as either a massive catalyst or another short-term headwind.  09:24 Breaking down bottom-call perspectives from Zach Pandor (Grayscale), PlanB (Stock-to-Flow), and Rekt Capital. 20:21 Why 99% of Hyperliquid's free cash going into token buybacks sets a new utility standard for future protocols. 23:10 Examining how Australian SMSFs are accelerating long-term buys and how AI agents are driving freelance stablecoin payments. 31:34 What the market vs. bank disconnect on interest rates means for crypto's next major move.  … and much more! Check out the Swyftx End of Quarter Industry Report Q2 2026 here Want to see what we're looking at every episode? Watch the YouTube version of the podcast here. Ready to start? Get $10 of FREE Bitcoin on Swyftx when you sign up and verify:  https://trade.swyftx.com.au/register/?promoRef=tappingintocrypto10btc  To get the latest updates, hit subscribe and follow us over on the gram @tappingintocrypto or X @tappingintocrypto If you can't wait to learn more, check out these blogs from our friends over at Swyftx. This podcast provides general market commentary and is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is NOT financial advice. We are NOT licensed financial advisors. Investing in cryptocurrency carries risk. You should always conduct your own research and seek independent financial advice before making any investment decisions. Please read Swyftx's Terms and Conditions and Risk Disclosure statement before investing.

The UKBitcoinMaster Podcast Series

#bitcoin (27-07-2026)It is all cyclical and happens every bear market. Hodl Spot BTC and you'll be fine!MY VIEWS ARE MY OWN AND I MAKE NO PREDICTIONS OR GIVE ANY FINANCIAL ADVICE, SO DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING ANYTHING... & ONLY INVEST WHAT YOU COULD AFFORD TO LOSE!Subscribe to my ‘UK Bitcoiner' Backup Channel:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3p4A_VqohTmbm44z4lgokgSubscribe to my Rumble Channel:https://rumble.com/user/UKBitcoinMaster1Get 5,000 sats when you subscribe to Orange Pill App:https://signup.theorangepillapp.com/opa/UKBitcoinMasterUK Bitcoin Master Social Media Links:https://linktr.ee/ukbitcoinmasterNostr Public key:npub13kgncg54ccmnmvtljvergdvrd7m06zm32j2ayg542kaqayejrv7qg9wp2sUKBitcoinMaster video library:http://www.UKBitcoinMaster.comUKBitcoinMaster Interviews: http://www.BitcoinInterviews.comGlasgow Conference Link:https://www.bthechange.netSHOW SPONSOR:By The Book Accountancy:Website: www.bythebookaccountancy.co.ukWebsite: www.cryptotaxhelp.co.ukThursdays Live Show: https://youtu.be/vlImb1gAt_E

Coin Stories
News Block: Is This Bear Market Almost Over? "Big Bitcoin" Unites to Defend Network, Strategy Makes Its First STRC Buyback

Coin Stories

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 27, 2026 7:43


In this week's episode of the Coin Stories News Block powered exclusively by Ledn, we cover these major headlines related to Bitcoin, macroeconomics, and global finance: What the wave of Bitcoin company closures and bankruptcies tells us about where we are in the bear market 84% of Bitcoin is now held by long-term holders — the highest level ever recorded AI agents just paid each other in Bitcoin over Lightning for the first time BlackRock, Fidelity, and seven other institutions pledge $15M to protect Bitcoin from quantum threats — and critics are calling it "Big Bitcoin" Strategy repurchases $25M in STRC at $86.52 and boosts its cash reserve to $3.75 billion ---- The News Block is powered exclusively by Ledn – the global leader in Bitcoin-backed loans, issuing over $11 billion in loans since 2018, and they were the first to offer proof of reserves. With Ledn, you get custody loans, no credit checks, no monthly payments, and more. My followers get .25% off their first loan. Learn more at www.ledn.io/natalie  ---- Order Natalie's new book "Bitcoin is For Everyone," a simple introduction to Bitcoin and what's broken in our current financial system: https://amzn.to/3WzFzfU If you'd like to buy using Bitcoin, just head to https://shop.talkingbitcoin.com and pay in sats! ---- Read every story in the News Block with visuals and charts! Join our mailing list and subscribe to our free Bitcoin newsletter: https://thenewsblock.substack.com  —- References mentioned in the episode: BitMEX Ends Operations After 11 Years BitMart to Wind Down Its Exchange Satsuma Shareholders Approve Bitcoin Treasury Liquidation Smarter Web Company Sells Bitcoin to Repay Debt Poolin Files for Bankruptcy Poolin Files Chapter 11 and Sets $52 Million Floor Bid Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company Scraps Original SPAC Terms Jack Mallers Steps Down as Twenty One Capital CEO MARA Sells $1.5 Billion of Bitcoin Amid AI Shift Bitdeer Empties Its Bitcoin Treasury as Miners Pivot to AI Natalie Brunell Interviews MARA CEO Fred Thiel 84% of Bitcoin Is Held by Long-Term Holders Bitcoin Conviction Is at an All-Time High Lightning Labs Launches Wavelength Jensen Huang Explains Why Open AI Models Matter Mark Zuckerberg on Open Source and Preventing Centralization Elon Musk Says X's Code Will Be Open Source and Audited Jack Dorsey Announces Buzz Michael Levin Demonstrates Buzz and Wavelength Working Together Satoshi Nakamoto on the Root Problem With Conventional Currency Mike Schmidt Explains the Bitcoin Security Consortium Brian Armstrong on Preparing Bitcoin for Quantum Computing Official Bitcoin Security Consortium Announcement BlackRock, Coinbase and Strategy Join $15 Million Security Consortium Nine Firms Launch the Bitcoin Security Consortium Galaxy Launches the Bitcoin Quantum Readiness Initiative Strategy Overhauls Its Bitcoin Capital-Markets Metrics Strategy Announces Its New Bitcoin Capital-Markets Metrics ----  

The Edge Podcast
How Morpho Built Through This Bear Market, And Just Launched New Fixed Rate Markets for DeFi

The Edge Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 24, 2026 44:46


Paul Frambot is the CoFounder and CEO of Morpho.In this episode, we discuss how Morpho has built through one of crypto's hardest bear markets, thriving off major integrations with CEXs and fintechs like Coinbase and Robinhood, plus partnerships with TradFi players like Apollo.We get a first look at Morpho Midnight, screensharing their biggest product launch yet, introducing a new primitive for DeFi fixed rate lending and borrowing. We cover what Midnight means for leveraged positions and loopers, and why fixed rates are a non-negotiable condition for serious institutional capital entering DeFi.------

The Capitalist Investor with Mark Tepper
Retiring Into a Bear Market: Managing Sequence Risk

The Capitalist Investor with Mark Tepper

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2026 18:37 Transcription Available


Retiring into a bear market can put even a well-funded retirement plan under immediate pressure. The danger is not only the decline itself, but having to fund spending from depressed investments—and making emotional decisions that lock in losses.Derek Gabrielsen, CRPC® — Senior Wealth Advisor, and Tony Zabiegala, CRPC® — Senior Wealth Advisor, examine three retirement scenarios and the choices that changed the outcome. They discuss maintaining a reserve for portfolio-funded living expenses, using cash and short-term bonds before selling equities, adjusting discretionary spending, considering part-time income, rebalancing, evaluating Roth conversions during a downturn, and using annuity income when appropriate.This episode provides a practical framework for stress testing a retirement plan before the next bear market arrives. It offers educational perspective on withdrawal strategy, liquidity, taxes, portfolio structure, and the behavioral decisions investors face during difficult markets.Learn more at Wealthalyze.com

TD Ameritrade Network
Bitcoin's Bear Market Ending? Bull Case in Clarity Act & Fed

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2026 8:03


Sam Callahan explains how inflation, Federal Reserve policy, and rising government spending could shape Bitcoin's future and why he believes the crypto market may be nearing the end of its bear cycle. He also shares why he thinks Bitcoin performs best during times of economic uncertainty and discusses what the Clarity Act could mean for the future of cryptocurrency regulation.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

NGI's Hub & Flow
Heat Wave Bear Market? Inside the US Natural Gas Summer Paradox

NGI's Hub & Flow

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2026 17:06


For much of mid-2026, sweltering summer heat waves and soaring electricity demand across the United States failed to ignite a sustained rally in natural gas pricing, with Henry Hub futures continuing to face downward pressure. While conventional wisdom points to hot weather driving up prompt month contracts, expanding renewable generation and stubborn associated gas production from oil-heavy basins have steadily altered summer supply-demand balances. As total US storage inventories hover comfortably above historical averages ahead of peak hurricane season, the market faces a delicate balancing act: Can growing LNG feedgas demand and future data center load offset an influx of gassier supply, or could infrastructure limits cap upside potential heading into winter? In this episode of Hub & Flow, NGI's Christopher Lenton sits down with Senior Editor Andrew Baker to break down the summer trends, structural bottlenecks and regional price disconnects redefining the US natural gas landscape. The conversation explores why record heat isn't translating to higher Henry Hub prices, how rapid wind and solar growth are reshaping traditional EIA storage injections, and why associated gas from high oil prices is acting as a soft cap on upside momentum. Baker also shares key insights into mid-summer LNG feedgas volatility, the reality of artificial intelligence-driven data center demand versus power grid constraints, and the key regional basis spreads to watch from Waha and the Northeast to the Desert Southwest.

Money Metals' Weekly Market Wrap on iTunes
Bondage: How a Bond Bear Market Could Hamstring the Fed and Alter the Investment Landscape

Money Metals' Weekly Market Wrap on iTunes

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 22, 2026 44:24


Many analysts believe we are in the early stages of a secular bear market in bonds. In this episode of the Midweek Memo podcast, host Mike Maharrey talks about the possible ramifications of this bond bear market, arguing that it could not only fundamentally alter the investment landscape, but it could also hamstring the Fed's efforts to fight price inflation.  This scenario could cause a significant shakeup in the world economy and financial system.  It's also extremely bullish for precious metals. 

Cryptoast - Bitcoin et Cryptomonnaies
Bitcoin : à quoi s'attendre pour le deuxième semestre ? Vincent Ganne nous livre son analyse et ses plans

Cryptoast - Bitcoin et Cryptomonnaies

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2026 73:39


Vincent Ganne livre ses prédictions pour l'horizon 2026-2027. De l'impact du Clarity Act sur les altcoins aux opportunités sur le secteur de l'IA, découvrez pourquoi les prochains mois pourraient marquer un tournant décisif pour le Bitcoin et le marché crypto.

Onramp Media
Why Bitcoin's Bear Market Is Ending

Onramp Media

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2026 60:03


The Last Trade: Jackson, Michael, and Brian make the case that Bitcoin is carving out a structural bottom as old-coin distribution collapses and the worst of ETF and treasury-company selling exhausts itself. They break down Japan reclassifying crypto as a financial product and slashing its effective tax rate from 55% toward 20%. They dig into why the Clarity Act, not the administration, is the real green light for Wall Street. They close on Morgan Stanley's $4 to $8 trillion AI capex wave and the launch of Onramp's Back to the Basics campaign.---

Mere Mortals
Bitcoin Bros & Bear Market Blues | What's The Point In Owning Crypto?

Mere Mortals

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 7, 2026 80:59 Transcription Available


Are we buying Bitcoin to compensate for our fragile masculinities?In Episode #524 of 'Meanderings', Juan and I discuss: are young men drawn to Bitcoin and crypto because of masculinity, how easy it is for commentators to analyse online language to cherry-pick the loudest voices and build a sweeping narrative from that, our personal journey with Bitcoin and why we still find it compelling today, whether Bitcoin's future is as a widely used currency and what actually gives something value. Stan Link: https://stan.store/meremortalsTimeline:(00:00:00) Intro(00:02:07) Bitcoin Bros and the masculinity angle(00:06:54) Where the book gets Bitcoin right and wrong(00:15:35) From NFT jokes to why they would buy Bitcoin today(00:23:22) Their personal Bitcoin journeys and travel lessons(00:30:04) Is Bitcoin mainly a financial asset or something more(00:40:16) Will Bitcoin usage shrink as tech and payments evolve(00:47:51) Bear market mood, volatility and long term adoption(01:05:12) Australian digital dollars, VC trends and market scepticism(01:17:01) Could energy or compute become the next currency?(01:19:49) Next week: celebrations, milestones and obligation Connect with Mere Mortals:Website: https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/Discord: https://discord.gg/K99e8fysBnTwitter/X: https://twitter.com/meremortalspodsInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/meremortalspodcasts/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@meremortalspodcastsValue 4 Value Support:V4V: https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/supportPaypal: https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/meremortalspodcast

CFO at Home
253. Investing: Breaking the 1% Fee Habit, Risk, and Staying the Course

CFO at Home

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 6, 2026 32:00


On this episode of CFO at Home, Vince speaks with Andy Parrillo of Parrillo Investors about the importance of investors understanding the fees that financial advisors charge to manage their money, and the true all-in cost of investing in mutual funds and ETFs. Andy shares a bit on the history of these fees, and advocates for investors to have their advisors provide performance reports showing their returns after fees, against the performance of the appropriate benchmark. Andy also discusses how investment portfolios can have too little risk as well as too much, investing behavioral pitfalls, market timing, fear-driven decisions, and staying the course through downturns. For more resources, including Andy·s book Beat the Wealth Management Hustle, visit parrilloinvestors.com Key Topics: 01:10 Why Fees Matter 02:57 Legacy Fee Model 04:58 Index vs Advisor Value 05:44 Fee Calculator Demo 10:35 Compounding Fee Drag 13:16 Basics of Staying Invested 15:03 Measuring Risk Tolerance 17:44 Behavioral Finance and Fear 19:22 Bear Markets and Staying Course 23:11 Advisor Value and Advantage 24:23 Diversification and Global Shift 27:12 DIY Strategy and Buffett 28:52 Market Timing Myth 30:02 Closing Thoughts on Knowledge Key Links: https://parrilloinvestors.com/ Beat the Wealth Management Hustle Contact the Host - vince@thecfoathome.com Want to be a guest on CFO at Home? Send Vince a message on PodMatch, here:https://www.podmatch.com/hostdetailpreview/1628643039567x840793309030672500  

The Disciplined Investor
TDI Podcast: Schiff's Debt Reckoning (#980)

The Disciplined Investor

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 5, 2026 59:43


Jobs report out a day early and a little soft. New revelation  about data-center capacity smack tech shares. June ends on an upbeat note – July is very interesting so far. Our guest, Peter Schiff of Echelon Wealth Partners . NEW! DOWNLOAD THE AI GENERATED SHOW NOTES (Guest Segment) Peter Schiff began his investment career as a financial consultant with Shearson Lehman Brothers in 1987. A financial professional for over twenty years, he joined Euro Pacific Capital, Inc. (EPC) in 1996 and has served as its President since January 2000. Peter Schiff is a widely recognized economic and financial analyst and has appeared frequently on Fox News, Fox Business, CNBC, CNN, and other financial and political news outlets. Peter is a highly recommended broker by many leading financial newsletters and investment advisory services and achieved national notoriety in 2008 as being one of the few economists to have accurately forecast the financial crisis well in advance. Between 2004 and 2006 he had made numerous high-profile statements predicting the bursting of the real estate bubble, significant declines in national real estate prices, the collapse of the mortgage market and the banking sector, the bankruptcy and bailout of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Peter has authored several best-selling books including Crash Proof, Crash Proof 2.0, How and Economy Grows and Why it Crashes, The Little Book of Bull Moves in Bear Markets, and The Real Crash. He also served as an economic advisor to the 2008 Ron Paul presidential campaign. Check Out EuroPacific Asset Management Follow @andrewhorowitz Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy – HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (GLD), (SLV), (BTCUSD), (GOOG), (MU), (INTC), (META), (ORCL)

Room to Run
What Actually Pops Bubbles: SpaceX, Bear Markets, and The Mag7 Dip

Room to Run

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 28, 2026 10:41


In this episode, Robert challenges the popular belief that high-profile IPOs signal the end of a bull market, arguing that history shows they are often a sign of strong liquidity rather than an imminent market top. He breaks down the conditions that have historically ended major bull markets, explains why he believes today's environment differs from past bubbles, and shares his current outlook on valuations, Federal Reserve policy, and investor sentiment. The episode also covers his approach to navigating the recent market pullback, why technical trends matter more than "cheap" valuations, and how he is managing profits and positioning while waiting for the next high-conviction opportunities.

Trappin Tuesday's
NAVIGATING WITHOUT PANIC | Wallstreet Trapper (Episode 199) SpaceX IPO, BEAR MARKET, TRUMP

Trappin Tuesday's

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 26, 2026 202:14


Navigating without Panic is a Superpower. In the market, the people who lose the most are usually the ones who let fear make their decisions. They see volatility and forget the plan. Life works the same way. Every challenge doesn't require a reaction, some require trust. GOD never promised there wouldn't be storms, but He did promise you wouldn't have to face them alone. Panic clouds judgment, but faith creates clarity. When you know who you are, what you stand for, and where GOD is leading You, you stop making emotional decisions in temporary situations. Because the goal isn't to avoid turbulence, it's to navigate through it without losing yourself.NAVIGATING WITHOUT PANIC | Wallstreet Trapper (Episode 199) SpaceX IPO, BEAR MARKET, TRUMP⚖

Money Matters with Jack Mallers
Oil, The Fed, Strategy, And The Bear Market

Money Matters with Jack Mallers

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 23, 2026 114:38


Streaming live Mondays at 6pm ET on The Jack Mallers Show YouTube channel.

The Pomp Podcast
Will The Bitcoin Bear Market Ever End? | Anthony Pompliano

The Pomp Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 22, 2026 14:09


Anthony Pompliano breaks down the bitcoin bear market — what's driving it, how long it could last, and why the data suggests we may be closer to the end than most people think. He pulls in takes from Michael Saylor, Jordi Visser, and Grant Cardone on capital rotation into AI, bitcoin sentiment, miner signals, and what history says about where we go from here.===================Arch Public is an agentic trading platform that automates the buying and selling of your preferred crypto strategies. Sign up today at https://www.archpublic.com and start your automated trading strategy for free. No catch. No hidden fees. Just smarter trading.===================0:00 - Intro0:23 - Micheal Saylor on why capital is chasing AI 2:47 - Jordi Visser on bitcoin's bear market & momentum5:14 - How long do bitcoin bear markets last historically?6:21 - Miner data & what it says about the cycle bottom8:27 - Grant Cardone on buying bitcoin right now10:16 - When does the bitcoin bear market end?12:17 - Peter Schiff admits bitcoin isn't going to zero13:04 - Final outlook & what investors should do now

The Bad Crypto Podcast
Claude Fable is AWESOME - Bad Crypto #810

The Bad Crypto Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2026 40:11


The Worst It'll Ever Be: AI Apps in 20 Minutes, SpaceX's $1.8T IPO & Saylor's Head Fake — Bad Crypto Podcast #810 It's a bear market, so the bad boys of crypto are doing what builders do: SHIPPING. Bitcoin sits at $61,873, the altcoins are in the crapper, and Joel has officially divorced his bags. Travis explains why the 4-year cycle is alive and well — mapping this pullback exactly to previous cycles, with a projected bottom around mid-October. Then it goes full mad-scientist. Travis builds a viral-worthy "Culture Shock" site of World Cup visitors reviewing America in 20 minutes flat with Claude's new Fable model, then ships Viddl — a desktop app that downloads video from YouTube, X, TikTok, Instagram or LinkedIn with FFmpeg baked in. Joel premieres his AI-generated origin story film (1978, a food court paycheck, and a TRS-80 in a Radio Shack window) and announces his Acumen daily puzzle games are headed to the App Store. Plus: SpaceX IPOs as $SPCX at a $1.8 TRILLION valuation with ~$250B in demand, OpenAI and Anthropic file to go public, Michael Saylor's 32-BTC head fake, a trader who built his own exchange from a 42-page prompt, and the AI video tool stack the guys actually use (Kling, PAI, Higgsfield, Seedance & more). "The technology that we're using now to build stuff is the worst that it's going to be." — Joel ⏱ CHAPTERS0:00 Cold open & liftoff1:04 Episode 810 kicks off — semi-retired no more3:48 Bitcoin's 4-year cycle is mapping exactly4:45 Saylor's head fake: sells 32 BTC, buys 1,500 more6:40 Market check: BTC $61,873 & Joel divorces his altcoins7:49 The AI trading edge: OKX & the 42-page prompt exchange10:24 SpaceX IPO ($SPCX): $250B demand, $1.8T valuation11:27 Trillion-dollar AI: Anthropic & OpenAI file to go public15:48 Culture Shock: World Cup visitors review America19:09 Viddl: download any video, built in a morning23:06 Joel's AI origin story: 1978 & a TRS-8026:30 The AI video stack: Kling, PAI, Higgsfield, Seedance28:08 Acumen: 9 daily puzzle games headed to the App Store31:56 Travis's Pixar-style get-well video for his brother35:03 "The worst it's ever going to be" — why the opportunity is NOW37:18 The fine print

Long Reads Live
When Bitcoin's Bear Market Might End

Long Reads Live

Play Episode Listen Later May 29, 2026 13:16


David maps the current Bitcoin bear market against every prior one — where we are, how much longer it could run, and where the bottom could land. FOLLOW THE SHOW › David — https://x.com/dcanellis › The Breakdown — https://x.com/TheBreakdownBW › The Breakdown Newsletter — https://blockworks.com/newsletter/the-breakdown Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to the Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ DISCLAIMER As always, remember this podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely their opinions, not financial advice.