Podcasts about world economic outlook

Ondanks de handelsoorlog en oplopende geopolitieke spanningen schetst het Internationaal Monetair Fonds (IMF) een verrassend positief beeld van de wereldeconomie. Dat bleek deze week uit de publicatie van het World Economic Outlook. Toch is er volgens macro-econoom Edin Mujagic weinig reden voor optimisme. ‘Het goede nieuws stopt hier.’ Wat zegt het IMF precies? In het eerste hoofdstuk van de nieuwe economische outlook schetst het IMF zijn visie op de toestand van de wereldeconomie voor dit en volgend jaar. Op het eerste gezicht blijft de wereldeconomie opvallend veerkrachtig: de groei houdt beter stand dan eerder werd verwacht. Toch waarschuwt het IMF dat de fundamenten minder solide zijn dan ze lijken. Onder de motorkap spelen problemen, vooral rond de Amerikaanse importheffingen. De invoering daarvan verloopt traag en onvoorspelbaar: maatregelen worden uitgesteld, aangepast of anders uitgevoerd dan aangekondigd, wat wereldwijd voor onzekerheid zorgt. Welk effect gaat daar van uit? De buffers die bedrijven tot nu toe hebben gebruikt om prijsstijgingen op te vangen, raken langzaam uitgeput. Amerikaanse bedrijven hebben de hogere kosten door de heffingen niet of slechts gedeeltelijk doorberekend aan consumenten. Daardoor konden ze eerder dit jaar goede winstcijfers presenteren en hadden ze voldoende ruimte om voorraden aan te leggen. Die tijdelijke buffer begint nu echter te verdampen. Volgens het Internationaal Monetair Fonds wordt het voor bedrijven steeds moeilijker, vrijwel onmogelijk, om de stijgende kosten niet door te berekenen aan consumenten. De signalen van een verslechterende economie stapelen zich dan ook op. In de Verenigde Staten stijgt de werkloosheid langzaam maar gestaag. Fed-voorzitter Jerome Powell erkende gisteren openlijk dat de Amerikaanse arbeidsmarkt ‘gewoon niet lekker loopt’. Ook de inflatie baart zorgen: in plaats van verder af te koelen, trekt die juist weer aan. Voor 2026 verwacht het fonds dat de wereldeconomie met 3,1 procent zal groeien. Dat lijkt op het eerste gezicht een solide cijfer, maar alles onder de 3 procent voelt in de praktijk als een recessie. Bovendien ligt het groeitempo aanzienlijk lager dan vóór de coronapandemie, toen de wereldeconomie gemiddeld nog met 3,7 procent per jaar groeide. Kunnen we op basis hiervan dan meer renteverlagingen verwachten? Ja, de Federal Reserve heeft daar ook nadrukkelijk op gehint en het IMF baseert de ramingen ook op lagere rentes. Maar het IMF gaat er ook van uit dat de olieprijs volgend jaar blijft dalen. Dat is echter allerminst zeker: de olieprijs kan al door kleine schokken snel weer oplopen. Een andere, misschien nog optimistischere aanname is dat de handelsoorlog tussen de Verenigde Staten en andere landen niet verder escaleert, maar dat moeten we ook maar afwachten. Het IMF waarschuwt dat deze factoren - olieprijzen, handelsspanningen en juridische onzekerheid rond tarieven – steeds sterker kunnen doorwerken in de wereldeconomie. Dat kan zich onder meer vertalen in aanhoudend hoge inflatie, ondanks mogelijke renteverlagingen door de Fed.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news markets will be on edge this week after a sharp -2.7% retreat on Wall Street on Friday and the largest one-day drop since early April. Bonds twisted into defensive mode. Commodities fell, especially oil. Bitcoin retreated sharply. And the USD shifted into its traditional risk-averse mode but not by as much as you might have expected. Many traders seem to want to shift away from the traditional US-is-safe investment thinking. Not helping is that the US has started supporting the Argentine peso to prop up its Trump-friendly president.Although this coming week is the start of the US Q3 earnings season reports, the jolt at the end of last week might make these usually-important signals somewhat less relevant.Normally we would get US inflation data this coming week but it will undoubtedly not come. So we will have to rely on other US data, mainly from the Fed, but also trade sources.Developments in Japan's political transition will be important this coming week. And the IMF will release its World Economic Outlook update.China will release CPI and other September banking data this week. India will also released inflation data. For us, it will be the September REINZ results sometime this week. And Australia will release details about its September labour market.Over the weekend in Canada, they reported a surprisingly strong jobs report there for September with a gain of more than +60,000 jobs in the month, embellished because full-time job gains exceeded +106,000. This is far better than the overall +5000 gain expected. Of course, we didn't get an American jobs report for September because of the shutdown that affects their statistics system, but if the ADP Employment Report is any guide, Canada likely grew its workforce more than the US, which is a rare occurrence given that the US workforce is more than eight times larger than Canada's.On Saturday (NZT) in a bewildering social media post, Trump threatened to hike tariffs on Chinese exports - again - and cancel a meeting with Chinese President Xi in South Korea later this month. The broadside sent markets into the sharp retreat. He was reacting to the Chinese expanding its rare-earth export controls. He said "no way that China should be allowed to hold the world ‘captive'", blind to what he is trying to do with his own unilateral tariffs.Just when market optimists thought that the US and China had a chance of making up, Trump has exposed his weakness - his lack of self-awareness and childish inability to understand the double standards he seeks.Markets have reacted badly to the tiff, seeing it as a flare-up in trade wars that will hurt the global economy. Equities fell sharply, bond yields went into risk-aversion mode, and the USD became less competitive. Commodity prices fell.The US Federal Government September deficit result due out over the weekend has been delayed, another data victim of their shutdown. It might be a while - mass firings of federal workers has begun.In Japan, the elevation of "Iron Lady" Sanae Takaichi to lead the LDP seems to have stumbled at the first hurdle. The LDP's main coalition partner has refused to work with her. Japanese politics could be extending its revolving door government style.In Australia, business is in a hesitant spot too. Data out on Friday for August showed monthly business turnover fell -2.2% (seasonally adjusted) and this fall was the largest since April 2023 with drops across nine industries. Manufacturing was down -5.8%, tech was down -3.7%, and mining was down -1.9%.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.05% and unchanged from Saturday but down -9 bps for the week.The price of gold will start today at US$4016/oz, up +US$28 from Saturday and up +US$128 from a week ago. Silver is now just on US$50/oz, a weekly gain of +US$2.American oil prices are holding lower at just on US$59/bbl and a five month low, down -US$2 from a week ago, with the international Brent price now just under US$63.The Kiwi dollar is at just over 57.2 USc, unchanged from Saturday and down -110 bps from a week ago. Against the Aussie we are up +10 bps at 88.3 AUc. Against the euro we are little-changed at 49.3 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just over 61.8, unchanged from Saturday but down -80 bps for the week. Also, see this.The bitcoin price starts today at US$114,215 and down -3.0% from this time Saturday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been moderate at just under +/- 2.1%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Von Montag an treffen sich Ökonomen, Banker, Politiker und Notenbanker zur Herbsttagung des Internationalen Währungsfonds (IWF) und der Weltbank in Washington. Seit der Frühjahrstagung ist einiges passiert: „Es ist tatsächlich ziemlich genau ein halbes Jahr her, dass US -Präsident Donald Trump im Rosengarten stand und diese sogenannten reziproken Zölle verkündet hat“, sagt Martin Pirkl, währungspolitischer Korrespondent der Börsen-Zeitung. Sorgen, dass die Zölle die US-Wirtschaft in eine Rezession stürzen könnten, haben sich bislang nicht bewahrheitet. Eine Einordnung der aktuellen Lage bieten die drei Flagship-Reports, die der IWF im Laufe der Woche vorlegen wird. Dazu zählen der Fiscal Monitor, der sich die Staatsfinanzen weltweit anschaut, der Global Financial Stability Report und der World Economic Outlook. Erste Eckpunkte sind bereits bekannt: „Da konstatiert der IWF, dass die Weltwirtschaft in bemerkenswert resilientem Zustand ist“, berichtet Pirkl. Neben den klassischen Diskussionsthemen wie Zöllen und Staatsfinanzen wird sich der IWF auch mit dem Megathema künstlicher Intelligenz befassen. „Grundsätzlich begrüßt der IWF, dass immer mehr Unternehmen und auch Staaten das Potenzial von KI erkannt haben und einsetzen – und es eben als Chance primär sehen und nicht als Bedrohung, weil wir eben auch Produktivitätsprobleme haben in vielen Ländern“, sagt Pirkl. Wo die Einschätzungen noch auseinandergehen, erklärt er in der aktuellen Episode. Außerdem starten die großen US-Banken an der Wall Street in die Berichtssaison zum dritten Quartal, und in Frankfurt und Stockholm freuen sich die Börsen über Neuzugänge. Diese Themen und die Übersicht über die Termine der 42. Kalenderwoche gibt es diese Mal im Podcast.

The International Monetary Fund has raised its global growth forecast for 2025, with China getting the strongest boost among major economies. The IMF now projects China's economy to grow by 4.8 percent this year, up from its four percent forecast in April's World Economic Outlook. Why is the IMF upgrading China's economic forecast? To what extent is the rebound in China's growth tied to fundamentals, versus external factors like the tariff truce with the U.S.? What sectors of China's economy are likely fueling this upward revision?

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news the IMF says global growth is projected at 3.0% for 2025 and 3.1% in 2026, an upward revision from the April 2025 World Economic Outlook. This reflects front-loading ahead of tariffs, lower effective tariff rates, better financial conditions, and fiscal expansion in some major jurisdictions.But first, the overnight GDT Pulse dairy prices came in without the signaled drop in WMP prices by the derivatives market. In fact it rose +1% from the prior event. The SMP price however fell -1%. So in fact little net movement.And the Stockholm US-China tariff negotiations are to be extended, essentially ignoring the US imposed August 1 deadline. And the US-EU 'deal' wasn't 'done' as the Whitehouse claimed. More 'horse-trading' is being scheduled.The growth steam is slowly leaking from the Redbook retail index, up +4.9% last week from this time last year. Most of this will be goods inflation.US exports rose +3.4% in June from a year ago whereas US imports were up +0.3% on the same basis. That reduced their merchandise trade deficit to -US$87 bln and back to about where it was at the start of 2024. Without the +11% rise in aircraft exports there would have been little improvement.The number of job openings in the US fell by -275,000 from May to 7.4 mln in June, below market expectations of 7.55 mln. Their quit rate fell to a six month low. Expectations for the July non-farm payrolls are pretty modest at +110,000, taking them back to early 2025 levels.The latest Conference Board survey of consumer sentiment, for July, was little changed. But almost 19% of those surveyed indicated that jobs were hard to get in July, up from 14.5% in January. This group thought inflation was running at 5.8% currently, and is likely to go higher.There was a very well supported US Treasury bond auction overnight, for their seven year Note. But investors still wanted higher yields with the median coming in at 4.06%, up from 3.96% at the prior equivalent event a month ago.But expect rising pressure from the demand side. The US Treasury said during the July - September 2025 quarter, they expect to borrow US$1.007 tln in privately-held net marketable debt, assuming an end-of-September cash balance of US$850 bln - which may be optimistic. This new borrowing estimate is +US$453 bln higher than they announced in April so it is rising faster than even they expected, primarily due to the lower beginning-of-quarter cash balance and projected lower net cash flows.In Europe, the latest ECB survey of inflation expectations has them well contained, coming in at 2.6% for the year ahead, the lowest in four months. Policymakers there are not battling high inflation expectations.Later today, Australia will release its Q2 CPI inflation rate, expected to be 2.2% and down from the 2.4% in Q1-2025.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.33%, down -9 bps from yesterday.The price of gold will start today at US$3,327/oz, up +US$18 from yesterday.American oil prices have risen +US$2.50 at just under US$69/bbl with the international Brent price is now at just over US$72/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is now at 59.6 USc and down -10 bps from yesterday. Against the Aussie we are down -20 bps at 91.4 AUc. Against the euro we are up +10 bps at 51.6 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just on 67.5, down another -10 bps from yesterday.The bitcoin price starts today at US$117,725 and essentially unchanged (+US$61) from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has remained low at just on +/-0.8%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Dans ce nouveau Podcast, nous revenons sur les perspectives économiques à court-moyen terme dans les grandes économies avancées, en analysant les impacts des tensions commerciales, les marges de manœuvre disponibles et les dynamiques économiques attendues.#croissance #inflation #politiquemonétaire #us #zoneeuro#ukConseil de lecture :Équipe Économies Avancées | EcoPerspectives — Économies Avancées | 2ème trimestre 2025 – Etudes Economiques – BNP ParibasCrédit son :Extrait de l'intervention de Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas , chef économiste du FMI, à la conférence de presse du World Economic Outlook du FMI, avril 2025.# Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, April 2025 - YouTubeExtrait de l'intervention de Jérome Powell, à la conférence de presse du 7 mai 2025 au FOMC.# FOMC Press Conference May 7, 2025Extrait de l'intervention de Christine Lagarde, présidente de la BCE, lors des annonces des dernières décisions de la politique monétaire de la BCE, le 17 avril 2025.# President Lagarde presents the latest monetary policy decisions – 17 April 2025Hébergé par Ausha. Visitez ausha.co/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

The IMF's highly anticipated World Economic Outlook for April is out. It spells 'cautious optimism' for US growth, taking into account the effect of tariffs. Watch Economist Radhika Pandey and Correspondent Akanksha Mishra discuss in ThePrint Macrosutra.

It's Wednesday, April 23rd, A.D. 2025. This is The Worldview in 5 Minutes heard on 125 radio stations and at www.TheWorldview.com.  I'm Adam McManus. (Adam@TheWorldview.com) By Jonathan Clark Nigerian Muslims have killed 20,000 Christians since 2015 Nigerian Muslims have killed over 20,000 Christians since 2015, according to a report by the International Society for Civil Liberties and Rule of Law. The report accuses various jihadist groups of targeting Christian communities in the southeast part of the African nation. The group also blames local government leaders for doing nothing about the violence. The report called on the United States to reinstate Nigeria on its list of Countries of Particular Concern and to classify Fulani Muslim jihadist herdsmen as an Entity of Particular Concern.  Nigeria is ranked seventh on the Open Doors' World Watch List of nations where it is most difficult to be a Christian.     Psalm 144:4-5 asks, “Have all the workers of iniquity no knowledge, who eat up My people as they eat bread, and do not call on the LORD? They are in great fear, for God is with the generation of the righteous.” Worldwide economic outlook looks more dim The International Monetary Fund released its latest World Economic Outlook yesterday. The report projects the world economy will grow 2.8% this year, down from a previous forecast of 3.3%.  Large economies like the U.S. and China are expected to weaken. U.S. economic growth is forecast to be 1.8% this year, down from a previous expectation of 2.7%.  The declining economic outlook comes during the uncertainty of what U.S. tariffs will look like.  Supreme Court likely to support parental opt-out right The U.S. Supreme Court heard arguments in a religious freedom case yesterday. Public schools in Montgomery County, Maryland don't let children opt out of classes that include sexually perverted lifestyles in storybooks. Parents are challenging this. They come from various backgrounds including Muslim, Christian, Roman Catholic, and Ukrainian Orthodox.  The conservative majority on the Supreme Court appeared likely to support parents in the case during the hearings yesterday.  Eric Baxtor, Senior Counsel at the Becket Fund for Religious Liberty, commented on the case, reports The Hill. BAXTOR: “Around 300 parents in Montgomery County, [Maryland] are just looking for the right to opt their children out of instruction that is highly controversial, tells kids that doctors guessed at their sex when they were born, and that they can choose for themselves who they are. “The board allowed opt-outs for an entire year and then overnight kind of withdrew them with no explanation. We're simply asking for that opt-out right to be returned.” Ephesians 6:4 says, “And you, fathers, do not provoke your children to wrath, but bring them up in the training and admonition of the Lord.” Maryland's physician-assisted suicide bills killed Speaking of Maryland, the state did not enact physician-assisted suicide bills during its most recent legislative session. This is the eighth time such deadly legislation has been introduced and the eighth time it has failed. Americans United for Life celebrated the defeat of the bills, crediting “numerous grassroots testimonies and thousands of letters speaking out.” Sadly, physician-assisted suicide is legal in 10 states and the District of Columbia. Secretary of State Rubio cuts staff by 15% U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced plans to overhaul the State Department yesterday. The changes will cut staff in the U.S. by 15% and close or consolidate over 100 bureaus around the world. It's part of President Donald Trump's “America First” foreign policy. In a press statement, Rubio said, “The sprawling bureaucracy created a system more beholden to radical political ideology than advancing America's core national interests. That is why today I am announcing a comprehensive reorganization plan that will bring the Department into the 21st Century.” Tammy Bruce, a State Department spokeswoman, added this in a press conference yesterday. BRUCE: “This is a whole of government, every department looking at how they can make their department more efficient, less burdensome, less bureaucratic. This is the State Department's version of that.” Alabama schools to display Ten Commandments, ban drag shows Lawmakers in Alabama passed several conservative bills last Thursday. One bill would require public schools to display the Ten Commandments. Republican State Rep. Phillip Rigsby, the sponsor of the bill, shared his mindset. RIGSBY: “In no way is this establishing a religion in the schools.  I think it gives us a good, at a minimum, moral compass.” Another bill would ban schools from promoting sexually perverted lifestyles through instruction or homosexual pride flags. And a third bill would prohibit schools and libraries from hosting drag performances.  Appearing on WDHN, Republican State Rep. Mack Butler explained why he believes children should be protected from drag shows in schools and libraries. BUTLER: “I'm a dad, you know, and if you look at all these sponsors of the bill, same thing: just dads trying to protect children. I'm just trying to take a stand for our children. Let them have their innocence. Just protect them.” The measures have passed in the state's House of Representatives and are awaiting approval by the Alabama State Senate.  Louisville Univ. pays $1.6 million to fired Christian psychiatrist And finally, University of Louisville officials agreed to a nearly $1.6 million settlement in a free speech case recently. Dr. Allan Josephson worked for the university's Division of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry and Psychology. The Christian psychiatrist spoke out against transgender drugs and surgeries. In response, the university demoted him, harassed him, and fired him. Travis Barham with Alliance Defending Freedom commented on the recent court victory for Josephson. He said, “After several years, free speech and common sense have scored a major victory on college campuses.” Close And that's The Worldview on this Wednesday, April 23rd, in the year of our Lord 2025. Subscribe for free by Amazon Music or by iTunes or email to our unique Christian newscast at www.TheWorldview.com. Or get the Generations app through Google Play or The App Store. I'm Adam McManus (Adam@TheWorldview.com). Seize the day for Jesus Christ.

Sean Whelan, Washington Correspondent, discusses the reaction to the IMF's latest World Economic Outlook that warned a US trade war was pushing the global economy into a "significant slowdown"

España se salva de los recortes del FMI y, sobre ello, habla Marc Vidal en su 'Salida de Emergencia'Al comienzo de su sección, ha explicado que "en un panorama económico global en retroceso, España disfruta de un enigmático crecimiento. El Fondo Monetario Internacional ha elevado las previsiones para la economía española un 0,2% más. Esta singularidad se sustenta parcialmente en la reconstrucción de del desastre que vivió Valencia, un factor transitorio que inyecta capital, pero que no es un fortalecimiento estructural".Lo curioso es que, cuenta, "el informe del FMI omite el carácter temporal de esta circunstancia. Es más, el informe resulta sospechoso cuando, restándole un punto a EEUU, considera que a España no le va a afectar lo más mínimo nuestra exposición al comercio global, a la incertidumbre y la crisis europea". El FMI basa sus estimaciones de crecimiento que "los datos oficiales que los gobiernos envían regularmente al World Economic Outlook y a la ...

Higher inflation and lower growth. That's the outlook from the IMF's sobering World Economic Outlook for 2025. The report forecasts half a percentage point lower global growth for 2025, compared to January estimates, before Donald Trump returned to the White House. This is the clearest indication to date of the damage his tariff gambit is having on the global economy. In response to reports of the U.S. using tariff relief to coerce countries into distancing themselves from China, the Ministry of Commerce has warned that China will take resolute countermeasures against countries that choose to do so. How to reverse the damage to the global economy before it's too late? Who should make the first move to de-escalate the tariff standoff between the world's two largest economies?

Nicolien van Vroonhoven is officieel de nieuwe fractievoorzitter van NSC. Ze kreeg vanochtend de voorzittershamer van haar fractie. Dat gebeurde uiteraard vanwege het vertrek van partijleider Pieter Omtzigt. Wij spreken haar. Ander nieuws uit The Daily Move: De internationale handelsoorlog drukt flink op de wereldwijde economische groei. Dit voorspelt het Internationaal Monetair Fonds in z'n World Economic Outlook. Volgens voorzitter Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas staan we aan het begin van grote economische veranderingen. Russische hackers zijn vorig jaar voor het eerst bij een publieke voorziening in Nederland binnengekomen. Dat staat in het jaarverslag van de MIVD. Meer dan 170 onderwijsinstellingen hebben een open brief ondertekend waarin ze zich tegen de regering van Trump keren. Ze veroordelen de 'ongekende overheidsbemoeienis en politieke inmenging', waar sprake van zou zijn. Holland Casino moet 'verregaande maatregelen' nemen, anders is de toekomst van de gokgigant onzeker. Dat stellen accountants op basis van het jaarverslag. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

A economia portuguesa deverá crescer 2% este ano e 1,7% no próximo, segundo as últimas projeções do FMISee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Wielkanoc się kończy, ale świat nie wraca do równowagi. W Rzymie żegnamy papieża Franciszka – duchowego lidera, który nie bał się krytykować globalnego kapitalizmu. W Waszyngtonie ekonomiści z całego świata analizują gospodarcze napięcia i publikują najnowszy raport World Economic Outlook – w cieniu zapowiedzianych przez Donalda Trumpa ceł wobec Unii Europejskiej. A na Wall Street Tesla szykuje się na publikację wyników, które mogą zadecydować o przyszłości Elona Muska na czele imperium.

Em 2022, segundo o Fundo Monetário Internacional (FMI), a economia ucraniana caiu 28,8%, a maior descida desde 1991, (o ano em que o país se tornou independente). Já do lado da Rússia, nesse mesmo ano, o Produto Interno Bruto (PIB) encolheu 1,2%See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news the world seems to be bracing for the uncertainties of the incoming US Administration, but it is starting from a generally resilient position (although that doesn't seem to include New Zealand).But first, the week ahead will be dominated locally by our Q4 CPI release. Markets expect a 2.1% year-on-year rate, only marginally less than the Q3 rate of 2.2%. We will also get another full dairy auction on Wednesday too. The REINZ will release its December data sometime, maybe Tuesday. And we can expect other banks to react to ASB's home loan rate reductions.Elsewhere, there will be more PMI releases, GDP releases for South Korea and Taiwan, and rate decisions from Norway, Turkey, Malaysia, and the big one from Japan at the end of the week. Data out of Australia will be minor this coming week. But all the while, important earnings reports will flow on Wall StreetOver the weekend, China said new home prices in 70 cities dropped by an average -5.3% in December from a year ago, slowing from a -5.7% decline in the previous month. This was the softest fall since August but is the 18th consecutive month of decreases. "Second hand home" prices fell faster, and there were no cities where prices rose. The string of decreases come despite efforts from Beijing to reduce the impacts of a prolonged property weakness, efforts such as lowering mortgage rates and cutting home buying costs.China released data that showed electricity production was only up +0.6% from a year ago in December. For the whole of 2024 the rise was +4.6%. The year ended weakly with neither November nor December rising more than +1%. This is a telling indicator of real activity. (This is the metric then-to-be Premier Li Keqiang famously referred to after dismissing their GDP results.)But they said industrial production was up +6.2% in December. Retail sales were up +3.7%. And through all this they claimed Q4-2024 GDP rose +5.4% and its fastest pace of the year. Frankly, that is hard to see based on the components that make it up. Apparently it is based on export growth, but as good as that is, it is hard to see that behind the claimed growth. But the links here, plus this one, and they should be enough to inspect their data and for you to make your own judgement.Singapore's exports surged +9% in December from the same month a year ago, after a +3.4% gain in November. This exceeded the +7.4% rise in November and is the fastest pace in export growth since August. A key driver is a sharp rebound in non-electronic product sales.Globally, the January update of the IMF's World Economic Outlook estimated global growth to be +3.3% in 2025, a slight increase from the 3.2% forecast in October. The rise was driven by the US which offset downgrades in other major economies. Growth for 2026 is also expected at 3.3%, unchanged from the previous projection.They say the US faces upside risks that could bolster growth in the near term, but other nations remain exposed to downside risks amid heightened policy uncertainty. The US economy is now forecast to grow by 2.7% in 2025 (vs 2.2% in October), and China's GDP growth was revised slightly higher to 4.6% (vs 4.5%).Conversely, the Euro Area's growth projection was downgraded to 1% (vs 1.2%), while Japan's growth forecast remains steady at 1.1%. Projections for India's GDP growth were maintained at 6.5%. Australia is expected to grow +2.1% in 2025 and +2.2% in 2026. New Zealand doesn't get a mention in these forecasts.Underscoring the US growth upgrade, American housing starts surged by almost +16% from the previous month to an annualised rate of 1.5 mln units in December, the most since March 2021 and well above the expected 1.32 mln level.And industrial production in the US was up an outsized +0.9% in December and well above the +0.3% expected rise to the strongest increase since February. It was helped by the end of strikes, and a jump in the production of aircraft.But there is a bump in the road about to start: the latest US debt limit deal is about to expire very soon. The new US Administration will have to grapple with that in its early days. Trump wants no debt limits to constrain his tax cuts and spending plans, but his hardline conservative supporters won't agree to more deficits. This will be interesting.Trump has already had an effect on the US Federal Reserve, getting them to withdraw from the 144 member NGFS. of which the RBNZ.And separately, we should probably note that the aluminium price is at a two month high, and heading toward a two year high.The UST 10yr yield is now at just on 4.62%, and up +2 bps from this time Saturday.The price of gold will start today at US$2702/oz and down -US$14 from Saturday.Oil prices are down -50 USc at just under US$78/bbl in the US while the international Brent price is now just under US$81.The Kiwi dollar starts today just under 55.9 USc and down -10 bps from this time Saturday. Against the Aussie we unchanged at 90.1 AUc. Against the euro we are down -10 bps at 54.4 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today just on 66.8 and down -10 bps from yesterday, but up +20 bps from a week ago.The bitcoin price starts today at US$104,704 and down -0.3% from this time Saturday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest at +/- 1.1%.You can find links to the articles mentioned today in our show notes.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Ysland, 'n leier in die aanvaarding van die vierdaagse werkweek, het indrukwekkende ekonomiese groei in 2023 aangeteken wat die meeste ryk Europese lande verbygesteek het, volgens die IMF se jongste World Economic Outlook-verslag. Geïnspireer deur Ysland se sukses, het Namibië die tweede Afrika-land geword en een van slegs 'n paar wêreldwyd om die vierdaagse werksweek te toets. Die program van ses maande, wat in April 2024 bekendgestel is, was daarop gemik om maniere te ondersoek om produktiwiteit te verbeter. Die inisiatief is gelei deur 4 Day Week Global in vennootskap met sy landsvennoot, Jonas Ileka, wat Pulse HR Network Namibia verteenwoordig. Kosmos 94.1 Nuus het met Ileka gesels, wat 'n opdatering gee.

Lupta pe tânărul electorat derutat între stânga și dreapta. Ce oferă partidele progresiste și ce șanse au spre Parlament (Panorama) - Cifrele din spatele alegerilor pentru desemnarea noului președinte al României: peste 22 de milioane de buletine tipărite și o sută de mii de ștampile (Libertatea) - Cum încheie statele din regiune anul: România – reducere drastică a prognozei de creștere. Avem deficitul de cont curent al unei țări aflate în război – doar Ucraina stă puțin mai rău (CursDeGuvernare) Victoria Maiei Sandu aduce Moldova mai aproape de Europa, mai aproape de România (SpotMedia)După o campanie tensionată, în care interferențele Kremlinului au fost mai vizibile ca niciodată, Maia Sandu a reușit să câștige un nou mandat de președintă a Moldovei și să valideze referendumul constituțional pentru aderarea la Uniunea Europeană.Primul mandat al Maiei Sandu s-a desfășurat într-un context dificil, cu trupe rusești în Transnistria și un război în Ucraina, dar a reușit să obțină sprijinul liderilor europeni.Rusia a exercitat presiuni uriașe asupra alegerilor din Moldova, inclusiv prin încercări de manipulare a votului. Maia Sandu a denunțat aceste acțiuni și a pledat pentru suveranitatea Moldovei.Maia Sandu a fost o susținătoare a Ucrainei, afirmând că securitatea regională este interdependentă și că Moldova trebuie să rămână unită cu Ucraina în fața agresiunii ruse.Problema regiunii separatiste Transnistria rămâne una dintre provocările majore pentru Sandu, care caută soluții diplomatice pentru rezolvarea conflictului, în ciuda influenței Rusiei asupra acestei regiuni.SpotMedia reamintește că Maia Sandu, născută pe 24 mai 1972 în Risipeni, Republica Moldova, este președinta țării din decembrie 2020, fiind o figură importantă pe scena politică europeană. Este cunoscută pentru poziția sa pro-europeană și pentru eforturile de a reforma structurile guvernamentale și de a combate corupția. Cu o educație economică solidă, inclusiv un masterat la Harvard, și o carieră profesională la Banca Mondială, Sandu a intrat în politică în 2012, în calitate de Ministru al Educației, unde s-a remarcat printr-o serie de reforme.Una dintre prioritățile ei principale a fost alinierea Republicii Moldova la standardele europene și apropierea de Uniunea Europeană.  Lupta pe tânărul electorat derutat între stânga și dreapta. Ce oferă partidele progresiste și ce șanse au spre Parlament (Panorama)Înainte de cel mai important set de alegeri, cele parlamentare, temele progresiste rămân profund controversate în România, iar majoritatea politicienilor le evită, pentru că se tem de asocierea cu stânga și de stigmatul comunismului. Deși PSD e teoretic principala formațiune de stânga și ar fi fost natural să promoveze o agendă progresistă, partidul are o imagine negativă, o ideologie neclară și o orientare social-conservatoare. Tinerii români, deși majoritar conservatori pe axa stânga-dreapta, susțin măsuri tradițional de stânga, precum egalizarea veniturilor și intervenția statului în economie. Totuși, există un clivaj între valorile lor progresiste și orientarea lor politică, iar mulți tineri încep să fie atrași și de ideile conservatoare sau de extremă dreapta.Singurele partide care își asumă deschis poziția progresistă sunt REPER și SENS. REPER promovează legalizarea parteneriatului civil pentru cupluri de același sex, măsuri de protecție socială și politici ecologice, iar SENS este deschis tinerilor, minorităților și promovează digitalizarea și ecologizarea.Integral pe pagina Panorama. Cifrele din spatele alegerilor pentru desemnarea noului președinte al României: peste 22 de milioane de buletine tipărite și o sută de mii de ștampile (Libertatea)Finalul lunii noiembrie și începutul lunii decembrie îi așteaptă pe români la vot. Pe 24 noiembrie și 8 decembrie vom vota pentru alegerea noului președinte al României, iar pe 1 decembrie ieșim la urne pentru stabilirea noii componențe a Parlamentului. Autoritățile din țară se pregătesc intens pentru aceste alegeri, fiind implicați cei din Ministerul Afacerilor Interne, Ministerul Afacerilor Externe, dar și cei de la Serviciul de Telecomunicații Speciale.Peste 22 de milioane de buletine tipărite și o sută de mii de ștampile. 6.721 de persoane vor alege președintele folosind votul prin corespondență. Mai mult în Libertatea. Cum încheie statele din regiune anul: România – reducere drastică a prognozei de creștere. Avem deficitul de cont curent al unei țări aflate în război – doar Ucraina stă puțin mai rău (CursDeGuvernare)Fondul Monetar Internațional (FMI) vede un avans de doar 1,9% din PIB pentru economia României în 2024, o prognoză semnificativ mai pesimistă decât cea din primăvară, când experții internaționali anticipau o creștere economică de 2,8% din PIB, reiese din raportul World Economic Outlook, publicat marți.România ar urma astfel să înregistreze al doilea cel mai slab rezultat din regiune, după Ungaria, pentru care FMI vede o creștere de doar 1,5% din PIB. (Conform metodologiei FMI, Cehia este considerată o economie avansată).Polonia, în schimb, ar urma să înregistreze un avans de 3% din PIB în 2024, respectiv 3,5% din PIB în 2025. Pentru România, creșterea din 2025 a fost revizuită la 3,3% din PIB (în scădere față de prognoza din primăvară, de 3,6% din PIB).Continuarea pe pagina CursDeGuvernare.

Send us a textEn nuestro nuevo episodio, platicamos sobre cómo se compara la economía de Estados Unidos en 2024 con el resto del mundo, a unos cuantos dias de las elecciones presidenciales.Vamos a platicarte sobre un reporte, conocido como World Economic Outlook, más reciente del Fondo monetario Internacional, que habla sobre el panorama económico global y dónde se encuentra Estados Unidos dentro de este tablero.El reporte completo del FMI lo puedes encontrar AQUÍ.Antes de comenzar, te platicamos sobre un análisis de Brooking Institute sobre el panorama migratorio y el impacto económico bajo cada uno de los candidatos presidenciales. Puedes encontrar el reporte completo AQUÍ.Support the showEstamos en todas las plataformas de podcasts y en www.tacofinanciero.com. En redes sociales estamos en Instagram, Facebook, y Twitter, y los martes nos encuentras en Television en Canal 13 Chiapas, haciendo click AQUI.

Today we have an in-depth look at the IMF's latest World Economic Outlook report, before returning home to dissect the bumper jobs numbers and latest consumer confidence numbers. In brief, it was an optimistic outlook from the IMF, begging the question, is central bank credibility back? With that said, champagne flutes should remain in the fridge, as there are still a litany of risks to the global economy identified, and suggestions put forward for both governments and bureaucrats - but how likely are they to happen? And then we revisit Mark's February prediction of our first rate cut in light of huge jobs numbers, and increasing consumer sentiment. Read more from Mark on the AICD website: https://www.aicd.com.au/news-media/economic-weekly.html Send feedback to: podcasts@aicd.com.au  

It's Wednesday, October 23rd, A.D. 2024. This is The Worldview in 5 Minutes heard on 125 radio stations and at www.TheWorldview.com.  I'm Adam McManus. (Adam@TheWorldview.com) By Jonathan Clark Somalian Christian attacked for leading prayer meetings Morning Star News reports that a Christian in Somalia, Africa suffered an attack earlier this month at the hands of his relatives for leading prayer meetings.  Mohammad Abdul converted to Christianity from Islam in March. He now leads multiple groups in Bible study and prayer. This angered his Muslim relatives who have violently attacked him and his family multiple times. Despite the pushback, Abdul said, “You can beat me up more if you want, but I can tell you that [Jesus] has saved me. Whether I die or not, I live to serve Him.” Please pray for our persecuted brothers and sisters in Christ in Somalia, ranked second on the Open Doors' World Watch List of nations where it is most difficult to be a Christian.  In John 16:33, Jesus said, “These things I have spoken to you, that in Me you may have peace. In the world you will have tribulation; but be of good cheer, I have overcome the world.” 2 million Evangelical South Koreans to pray This coming Sunday, two million evangelical Christians across many denominations in South Korea plan to join in prayer for their nation. Rev. Hyun-bo Son is the pastor of Segero Church in Busan, South Korea and is part of organizing the event. Rev. Son told Christian Daily International that the country is legally headed toward supporting sexually perverted lifestyles. He said, “The problem that Christians have with the issue is that if such laws are passed, then the Christian ecosystem will fail. It will become very difficult to live according to Biblical values.” Global inflation expected to drop to 3.5% by 2025 The International Monetary Fund released its latest World Economic Outlook yesterday. It expects global inflation to fall to 3.5% by the end of next year. The report expects the global economy to grow 3.2% this year and next year with the U.S. driving much of the growth. Meanwhile, China's economy may experience slower growth this year and next year. Elon Musk giving away a million dollars a day until election Over the weekend, Elon Musk  announced his America Political Action Committee will be giving away $1 million every day until the November 5 election. Registered voters in swing states are eligible for the prize and must sign a petition in support of the First and Second Amendments to the U.S. Constitution. The swing states are Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. On October 19th, John from Harrisburg, Pennsylvania won a million dollars. JOHN: “My name is John, and I came here to see Elon Musk and support Trump to be the next president. And, you know, when he called me, the first thing that happened, you know, I screamed, and it was a million dollars, and I was pumping my arms in the air, and I went up and actually meeting Elon. “I kind of forgot about the money for a little bit, since he's such an influential figure for guys my age who are working hard every day. It's really important to get out and vote.” Then, on October 20th, Kristine in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania won a million dollars for signing the free speech, pro-Second Amendment petition. KRISTINE: “My name is Kristine Fishel. I signed the petition. I took the time to vote early, and I think everyone should, too. The petition is fabulous because free speech, the right to bear arms -- these are things that we all have to remember as Americans how important they are and not to take them for granted. So, I think it's a way to actually bring people back to that and signing the petition. “Sitting in my seat when [Elon Musk] came on stage was so exciting. Hearing my name called was the surprise of a lifetime. It was so exciting, like, I don't win things, and a million dollars is crazy. So, I was super excited, and I still am.” Kamala: Musk “better behave himself or he will lose his privileges!” Speaking of businessman and free speech advocate Elon Musk, Kamala Harris is enraged about his participation in the election. Former Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr, who has now endorsed Trump, said this. KENNEDY: “Kamala Harris says that [Elon] Musk better behave himself, or he will, quote lose his…” HARRIS: “lose his privileges and it should be taken down. They are directly speaking to millions and millions of people without any level of, of, of, of oversight or regulation, and that has to stop.” KENNEDY: “And if Kamala Harris is elected, the powers behind her will quash that right.” New film exposes evil of Planned Parenthood founder Margaret Sanger The White Rose Resistance is releasing a new documentary on the life of Margaret Sanger, the founder of the abortion giant Planned Parenthood. The White Rose Resistance is the fastest growing pro-life organization in the U.S. The documentary, entitled “The 1916 Project,” is streaming for free on X until November 13 Seth Gruber, author of The 1916 Project: The Lyin', the Witch, and the War We're In, narrates the film. GRUBER: “We're going to expose and discover who the real Margaret Sanger was and how her attack and assault against the family in America explains our current culture of death and upside down world that we're living in today.” 80% of Protestants: Pastor has a duty to address current issues Lifeway Research reports 80% of Protestant churchgoers believe a pastor must address current issues to do their job. Sixty percent of Protestant churchgoers say their pastor addresses current issues in a sermon most weeks. Scott McConnell, the Executive Director of Lifeway Research, said, “As American culture increasingly includes fewer overtly Christian elements and more non-Christian ideas, churchgoers are hungry to know what the Bible says about life's issues.” 2 Timothy 2:15-16 says, “All Scripture is given by inspiration of God, and is profitable for doctrine, for reproof, for correction, for instruction in righteousness, that the man of God may be complete, thoroughly equipped for every good work.” Former homosexuals march in Chicago And finally, hundreds of Christians celebrated their freedom from sexually perverted lifestyles on Saturday at Chicago's Lincoln Park. The event was led by the Freedom March whose repentant participants call themselves the Rainbow Revival.  M.J. Nixon helped lead the first Freedom March in Washington, D.C. NIXON: “We are a collection of the most wild, radical, former LGBT individuals, alongside the body of Christ, coming together in this hour to lift up the name of Jesus. He draws all men to Himself.  We've come together today to worship, to testify, and we are going to march today.” She added, “The Lord has called Rainbow Revival to go into the heart of cities and testify in the public square that entrapped, ensnared people can be freed from false identities – glorifying Jesus and making a fool of the enemy.” Romans 6:22 says, “But now having been set free from sin, and having become slaves of God, you have your fruit to holiness, and the end, everlasting life.” Close And that's The Worldview on this Wednesday, October 23rd, in the year of our Lord 2024. Subscribe by Amazon Music or by iTunes of email to our unique Christian newscast at www.TheWorldview.com. Or get the Generations app through Google Play or The App Store. I'm Adam McManus (Adam@TheWorldview.com). Seize the day for Jesus Christ.

Hesse, Sebastian www.deutschlandfunk.de, Das war der Tag

国際通貨基金のロゴマーク【ワシントン時事】国際通貨基金は１６日発表した最新の世界経済見通しで、２０２４年の世界全体の成長率を３．２％と、前回４月時点の予測を維持した。 The International Monetary Fund kept its 2024 global economic growth forecast unchanged in a quarterly update of its World Economic Outlook report on Tuesday, while downgrading Japan's growth outlook.

The World Economic Outlook is more than projected growth rates. The research behind those projections tells the story of how 190 countries, slowly but steadily, found their way through the fog of the past few years to emerge a testament to the resilience of the global economy. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas is IMF Chief Economist and brings together the multitude of analytics, data and insight that provide the signposts. In this podcast, Gourinchas says while the fears of a global recession have not materialized, the path ahead is not without obstacles. Transcript: https://bit.ly/4b5O6x6  Read the full report at IMF.org

This week on the SB Talks Podcast CEO Vincent O'Neill is joined by CIO Nick Ryder as they discuss the latest economic developments shaping global markets. Vin and Nick examine the recent pullback in equity markets and the outlook for equities going forward. March's CPI numbers are in, and they have exceeded market expectations, prompting speculation about the trajectory of inflation and monetary policy. The pair discuss the IMF's upgraded World Economic Outlook, highlighting growth projections and regional disparities, focussing on US and European economies. Lastly, they analyse China's Q1 GDP data, examining the role of government investment versus consumer sentiment in driving economic performance.   Music provided by: Autumn Trumpet Background Corporate by LesFM | https://lesfm.net/ Music promoted by https://www.chosic.com/free-music/all/ Creative Commons CC BY 3.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

It's not just Britain that has a growth problem. Today's release of the IMF's April 2024 World Economic Outlook report argues that the global economy is following the lacklustre trend. Within this bleak picture, how does the UK look compared to its counterparts? Also on the podcast, MPs are set to vote this evening on the government's generational smoking ban. Is Rishi Sunak a 'finger wagging control freak' as Liz Truss claims? How many could rebel?  James Heale speaks Katy Balls and Kate Andrews.  Produced by Patrick Gibbons and Oscar Edmondson. 

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva kicks off the 2024 IMF-World Bank Spring Meetings from the Atlantic Council in Washington, DC, with her customary curtain raiser speech. Go to IMF.org to follow the Spring Meetings and find all the IMF flagship reports, including the World Economic Outlook, the Global Financial Stability Report, and the Fiscal Monitor. Webcast and transcript: https://bit.ly/4aRkmDg

This year's World Economic Outlook report from the IMF features an intriguing piece of research that shows how rising policy rates bit harder in some countries than other because of differences in how existing mortgages are calculated, new mortgages are granted, and house prices. Rui Mano from the IMF's Research Department tells Tim Phillips about how the housing channels of monetary policy help to squeeze out inflation, the variable impacts of rate hikes, and the risk of overtightening when householders can fix their mortgage repayments.

The International Monetary Fund expects inflation to decline and growth to remain steady in 2024 thanks to resilience in the US and increased fiscal support in China. We hear more about the institution's latest update on its World Economic Outlook. Farmers across Europe have taken to the streets in the last year for different reasons, with the latest protests happening in France. But could there be a common factor in the unrest that is spreading across the European farming industry? We find out. And a two-year stalemate in the government of Northern Ireland has come to an end. It had been caused by a disagreement over Brexit rules. We look at the consequences this will have on the economy.

In today's episode, we're going to unpack the latest update from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which sheds light on the current state of the global economy in 2023. The IMF's World Economic Outlook, released just a few days ago, paints a picture of sluggish growth, persistent challenges, and the consequences of significant policy shifts. Today, we'll dissect the key findings and delve into what this means for the broader global economic landscape. Global GDP Growth: A Sluggish Trajectory The IMF's latest report brings sobering news. The global economy is in for a bumpy ride in 2023 and 2024, with a downward revision in growth forecasts. Global GDP is now projected to grow by a modest 3.0 percent this year, down from the 3.5 percent growth we witnessed in 2022. Looking ahead, the IMF anticipates a marginal decrease to 2.9 percent in 2024, a slight adjustment from its April 2023 forecast of 3.0 percent. The report emphasizes a crucial point: economic activity has yet to regain its pre-pandemic vigor, especially in emerging markets and developing economies. What's more, we're seeing widening disparities among different regions. Various factors are identified as culprits, holding back the recovery. These include the lasting impacts of the pandemic, the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, and the increasing fragmentation of the global economic landscape. But it's not just long-term challenges; cyclical issues also weigh in, such as the effects of monetary policy tightening to combat inflation, the withdrawal of fiscal support in the face of mounting debt, and the impact of extreme weather events. Persistent Challenges from 2022 While many hoped to leave behind the challenges of 2022, we find that numerous problems from that year persist, creating a climate of ongoing uncertainty and subdued growth prospects. Issues such as elevated global debt, the Ukraine crisis, and heightened geopolitical tensions are still very much with us in 2023. The report also underscores that inflation is projected to remain elevated in advanced economies until at least 2025. Additionally, there's the matter of China, a nation that played a pivotal role in bolstering global growth earlier this year by reopening its economy. However, we now see a property crisis in China, which poses an additional downside risk. If not effectively managed, this crisis could potentially have far-reaching consequences for the global economy. Balanced Risks and Policy Moves Despite these formidable challenges, the IMF report suggests that the risks to the global economic outlook are somewhat more balanced compared to six months ago. In the past, we were deeply concerned about the U.S. and Swiss banking crises and the looming specter of a catastrophic U.S. debt default. But the landscape has evolved since then, with policymakers taking measures to address these pressing issues. As we consider the broader economic landscape, it's crucial to take note of the Federal Reserve's determination to gradually raise interest rates. This decision remains in place even in light of recent predictions by JP Morgan Chase, which forecast a potential global recession by the end of this year. We'll be exploring the implications of this monetary policy and its potential impact on the economy. Income Inequality and Relative Deprivation Lastly, we'll delve into the pressing issue of income inequality, measured by the Gini coefficient. Income disparities continue to widen, with the wealthy getting richer and the less fortunate becoming even poorer. This is particularly noticeable in the most economically vulnerable areas, leading to an alarming increase in crime and violence. This rise in income inequality and its social ramifications bolster the theory of Relative Deprivation, an idea we've discussed in detail in "Neoliberal Globalization Reconsidered, Neo-Capitalism and the Death of Nation." We Explore on This episode of the Podcast. Support us here: Https://anchor.fm/theneoliberal/support. --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/theneoliberal/message Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/theneoliberal/support

The IMF's October 2023 World Economic Outlook paints a bleak picture for the global economy, but India remains a bright spot, with growth revised upwards. Yet, a prolonged Israel-Hamas war could play spoilsport. Economist Radhika Pandey and Deputy Editor TCA Sharad Raghavan discuss in #Macrosutra

The IMF has released its latest World Economic Outlook. The fund left its global growth forecast for this year unchanged at 3%.（00:43） China has published a white paper on the achievements of the Belt and Road Initiative over the past ten years. What has been achieved through BRI? (18:45)

Speaking during a meeting in Marrakech, the International Monetary Fund's managing director said the war between Israel and Hamas was a "new cloud" that was "darkening" the global economic outlook. Kristalina Georgieva said her organisation was monitoring the situation "very closely", although it was too soon to say what specific economic impact the conflict may have. It comes after the IMF released its World Economic Outlook earlier this week, already showing weak global growth.

The IMF maintains that the global economy is likely to grow at 3% this year and foresees a ‘soft landing' for the U.S amid this climate. Business Day TV spoke to Jee-A Van Der Linde, Senior Economist at Oxford Economics Africa for his assessment of what this scenario means for Africa.

International cooperation is weakening. The bridges that connect countries are corroding as trade and investment barriers are rising, and Africa stands to suffer the biggest economic losses from severe fragmentation. IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva kicked off the 2023 Annual Meetings in Marrakech with her customary curtain raiser speech from Cote d'Ivoire. It's the first time since 1973 that the Annual Meetings are held in Africa and Georgieva says it's an opportunity to pave the way to the next 50 years. Transcript: https://bit.ly/3LRsJoC Go to IMF.org to follow the Annual Meetings and find all the IMF flagship reports, including the World Economic Outlook, the Global Financial Stability Report, and the Fiscal Monitor.

Como es costumbre, a final de julio, el FMI publicó su actualización del World Economic Outlook, que sorprendió al mercado al presentar una perspectiva más optimista de lo esperado anteriormente, aunque aún mantuvo un tono de cautela. Revisemos los puntos principales del informe, los cambios en las proyecciones de crecimiento, y nuestro análisis del reporte.

As is customary, at the end of July, the IMF published its update to the World Economic Outlook, which surprisingly portrayed a rosier outlook than previously expected, but still retained a tone of caution. Let us revise the main points of the report, the changes to its growth forecast, and our take on the report.

The IMF's July update to its World Economic Outlook incorporates the latest data on the world economy. What does this show about the Indian economy and the world? Economist Radhika Pandey and The Print Deputy Editor TCA Sharad Raghavan discuss in #Macrosutra Read Radhika Pandey's column here : https://theprint.in/macrosutra/an-optimistic-imf-has-upped-its-projection-for-global-growth-but-dont-celebrate-just-yet/1688826/

A look at the World Economic Outlook. Enjoy this rebroadcast of a previous episode. As always, if you enjoyed the show, follow us and subscribe to the show: you can find us on iTunes or on any app that carries podcasts as well as on YouTube. Please remember to subscribe and give us a nice review. That way you'll always be among the first to get the latest GSMC Financial News Podcasts. We would like to thank our Sponsor: GSMC Podcast Network Advertise with US: http://www.gsmcpodcast.com/advertise-with-us.html Website: http://www.gsmcpodcast.com/financial-news-podcast.html ITunes Feed : https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/gsmc-Financial News-podcast/id1113817268 GSMC YouTube Channel: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/gsmc-financial-news-podcast/id1490736596?uo=4 Twitter: https://twitter.com/GSMC_Finance Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Golden-State-Media-Concepts-Financial-News-Podcast-108444047347952/ Disclaimer: The views expressed on the GSMC Financial News Podcast are for entertainment purposes only. Reproduction, copying, or redistribution of The GSMC Financial News Podcast without the express written consent of Golden State Media Concepts LLC is prohibited.

Enjoy this rebroadcast of a previous episode. If you enjoyed this episode, follow us and subscribe to the show: you can find us on iTunes or on any app that carries podcasts as well as on YouTube. Please remember to subscribe and give us a nice review. That way you will always be among the first to get the latest GSMC Business News Podcasts. We would like to thank our Sponsor: GSMC Podcast Network Advertise with US: https://gsmcpodcast.com/advertise-with-us Website: https://gsmcpodcast.com/gsmc-business-news-podcas Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/gsmc-business-news- podcast/id1490730401?uo=4 GSMC YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nnNnGMp0Jaw&list=PLF8Qial15ufpPnxs1xqANLSJVL0LPcf kj"list=PLF8Qial15ufpPnxs1xqANLSJVL0LPcfkj Twitter: https://twitter.com/gsmc_business Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Golden-State-Media-Concepts-Business-News-Podcast- 109621243895968/ Disclaimer: The views expressed on the GSMC Business News Podcast are for entertainment purposes only. Reproduction, copying, or redistribution of The GSMC Business News Podcast without the express written consent of Golden State Media Concepts LLC is prohibited.

L'Italia sta crescendo più di tutte le altre economie avanzate. Infatti, l'Istat ieri ha registrato un vero e proprio balzo in avanti, dopo che la nostra economia aveva già accumulato un progresso del 10,9% nel biennio 2021-2022. In questo primo trimestre del 2023 l'Italia precede tutte le principali economie europee avanzate: Spagna +0,5% (sempre rispetto al quarto trimestre del 2022), Francia +0,2%, Gran Bretagna +0,1%, Germania -0,3%. Non solo. Fa meglio anche di Giappone +0,4% e Stati Uniti +0,3%.Se prendiamo come riferimento il quarto trimestre 2019, precedente lo scoppio del Covid-19, il Pil italiano è oggi del 2,5% sopra i livelli precrisi. Oggi in un suo editoriale sul Sole 24 Ore il professor Fortis ricorda che l 11 ottobre scorso il Fondo monetario internazionale diffondeva il suo World Economic Outlook nel quale si prevedeva che nel 2023 due sole grandi economie del mondo, a parte la belligerante Russia, sarebbero finite in recessione: la Germania -0,3% e l Italia -0,2%. Ancora una volta le previsioni, quando si tratta di Italia, sono state completamente sbagliate. Ne parliamo con Marco Fortis, docente di Economia industriale e Commercio estero presso la Facoltà di Scienze politiche dell'Università Cattolica di Milano, è anche direttore e vicepresidente della Fondazione Edison.Manager in Italia, crescono anche in tempo di crisiIl prossimo 13 giugno si terrà a Roma la Centesima assemblea di Manageritalia, la Federazione nazionale dirigenti, che associa oltre 41.000 manager. Tra gli aspetti più interessanti che verranno discussi anche l'elemento positivo che i profili manageriale crescono anche in tempi di crisi: Dirigenti privati secondo ultimi dati disponibili INPS sono cresciuti nel 2021 del 5,4%: +13,5% le donne +3,6% gli uomini. Rispetto ai settori: +9% il terziario, +1% quelli dell industria. Nel 2022 i dati sui dirigenti del terziario confermano crescita con +8,3% in totale; +12,2% delle donne. Ne parliamo con Mario Mantovani, presidente Manageritalia.Brennero. Salvini contro l'Ausitra. Anche Berlino chiede una risoluzione"Il Consiglio prenda atto della insostenibilità economica e ambientale della situazione al Brennero e invitiamo la Commissione a intervenire come custode dei Trattati per ripristinare il diritto alla piena libertà di circolazione per tutti i cittadini europei". Così il vicepremier Matteo Salvini al Consiglio Trasporti in corso in Lussemburgo. "O la libera circolazione di uomini e merci vale per tutti oppure i Trattati per qualcuno valgono un po' di meno", ha sottolineato Salvini, aggiungendo che "il corridoio del Brennero non appartiene solo all'Austria, all'Italia o alla Germania ma è essenziale per l'intera Europa". Berlino, tramite il ministro dei trasporti tedesco Volker Wissing ha risposto: "La situazione al Brennero è drammatica, abbiamo code di 50 chilometri in Baviera e, senza una soluzione, saranno ancora più lunghe nelle aree confinanti. Dobbiamo evitarlo. E' necessario trovare una soluzione comune per assicurare la fruibilità di questo collegamento tra il Nord e il Sud" dell'Europa. Ne parliamo con Paolo Uggè, Presidente di FAI-Conftrasporto.Pnrr, il governo sposta il controllo della Corte dei Conti ex postIntorno alle 16 è iniziato a Palazzo Chigi l'incontro tra governo e Corte dei Conti, dopo che l'esecutivo ha presentato alla Camera un emendamento al decreto P.a. che esclude il Pnrr dal controllo concomitante della Corte e ha prorogato di un anno lo scudo per il danno erariale. "Relativamente al Pnrr la disciplina sul controllo della Corte dei Conti sui progetti del piano è regolato dall'art.7 del decreto legge 77 del 2021 approvato dal governo Draghi che affida alla magistratura contabile il controllo dei fondi del Pnrr nella modalità del controllo successivo sulla gestione e non nel controllo concomitante". Lo ha detto il ministro Raffaele Fitto al question time in Senato ribandendo che il Governo non vuole limitare "le competenze e il ruolo della corte dei Conti",ma anzi "vuole attuare una politica di coordinamento con l'amministrazione contabile" nel quadro di quanto previsto dal decreto 77 per il Pnrr. A tal proposito il presidente della Corte dei Conti Guido Carlino rispondendo stamattina in commissione Affari Costituzionali ha dichiarato che "Non si può parlare di bavaglio" alla Corte da parte del Governo. "Abbiamo potuto intervenire con delle relazioni". E che "Il controllo concomitante in corso di gestione ha un valore propulsivo" e "tende ad accelerare i tempi dell'azione" amministrativa. Approfondiamo il tema con Gianni Trovati, del Sole 24 Ore.

Alarming compression of interest rate swap spreads indicate more systemic issues in global balance sheet capacities and collateral, too. Also, the IMF reported on its World Economic Outlook where it very plainly reveals just how worried authorities have become. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisIMF WEO April 2023https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2023/April/English/text.ashxFT: IMF warns of ‘hard landing' for global economy if inflation persistshttps://www.ft.com/content/29f19a32-9440-4685-8fef-e3f3fdfc2969The Global Economy Is Caught In the Trap of Central Bank Rogueshttps://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2015/10/16/the_global_economy_is_caught_in_the_trap_of_central_bank_rogues_101852.htmlTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPhttps://www.eurodollar.universityhttps://www.marketsinsiderpro.comhttps://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7THE EPISODESYouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisLVurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MReason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiHSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39XjrPodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURESJeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving investment advice or recommendations on behalf of AFA. The Promoter is being compensated by a fee arrangement: The Promoter will receive compensation on a quarterly basis, based on the increase in account openings that can be reasonably attributed to the Promoter's activity. The Promoter will not be receiving a portion of any advisory fees. The Promoter has an incentive to recommend the Adviser because the Promoter is being compensated. The opinions expressed on this site and in these videos are those solely of Jeffrey Snider and Eurodollar University and do not represent those of AFA.

The Chinese province makes the decision to allow couples to have as many children as they want as the country faces a decline in population. We find out the impact this will have on families and the economy. Boeing has produced its last 747 jumbo jet in the United States. The 'Queen of the Skies' first appeared in nineteen-seventy. We look back at the history of the emblematic aircraft. The International Monetary Fund has updated its World Economic Outlook for 2023. We explore the figures and what they tell us about the global economy. Rahul Tandon is joined throughout the programme by two guests in opposite sides of the world: Maggie McGrath, editor of Forbes Women in New York, and James Mayger, China economic editor for Bloomberg in Beijing. (Picture: A medical worker gets a newborn baby's commemorative footprint at a hospital in China. Picture credit: EPA)

En octubre 2022 se publicó el World Economic Outlook para 2023 del Fondo Monetario Internacional, en donde se pronostica un entorno global complicado: Inflación elevada, guerra en Ucrania, y de manera sorpresiva, una baja importante en la inflación. En este episodio te comparto los principales puntos del Reporte para que estés bien informado y tomes muy buenas decisiones de inversión. Gracias por seguir mi podcast en SPOTIFY y Apple Podcast.#economia #economia2023 #recesion #finanzas

Tuesday, October 11, 2022 Subscribe: Get the Daily Update in your inbox for free 1/ The International Monetary Fund warned that the world economy was headed for “stormy waters” and “the worst is yet to come.” The IMF's World Economic Outlook report forecasts that global growth will slow to 2.7% in 2023, compared with projected... Visit WTF Just Happened Today? for more news and headlines, brought to you by Matt Kiser. The WTFJHT Podcast is narrated and produced by Joe Amditis.

With the International Monetary Fund set to unveil its twice-yearly World Economic Outlook tomorrow, we're joined by former IMF Chief Economist Kenneth Rogoff to find out what we can expect to hear. Shares in US semiconductor firms fell on Monday after Joe Biden announced restrictions on exports of microchips and chip manufacturing equipment to China. Chris Miller, author of Chip War: The Fight for the World's Most Critical Technology, explains how we got to this point. With the US mid-term elections less than four weeks away, we begin a week-long look at what is often termed “dark money” in U.S. political campaigns. And the BBC's Formula 1 reporter Jennie Gow explains why Red Bull have been given a red flag by the sport's governing body over alleged excess spending. (Picture: Global stock markets. Credit: Getty Images)

เมื่อ “เศรษฐกิจโลก” ใกล้ตัวกว่าที่คิด เมื่อสถานการณ์โลกเริ่มฟื้นตัว เราหลายคนคาดหวังว่าเศรษฐกิจต้องดีตาม แต่ความจริงที่เกิดขึ้นเหมือนจะไม่ได้เป็นเช่นนั้น ทั้งเรื่องของน้ำมันขึ้น ของแพง เงินเฟ้อ ดอกเบี้ยสูง ได้สร้างความกังวลให้กับเหล่าคนทำงานตั้งแต่ต้นปี แต่รู้ไหมว่าปัญหาทั้งหมดทั้วมวลนี้ ล้วนเกิดจากเศรษฐกิจและเหตุการณ์ที่เกิดขึ้นในโลก ไม่ว่าจะเป็นสงคราม หรือนโยบายของแต่ละประเทศก็ตาม ทำให้ “ชีวิตของคนทำงาน” อย่างเราทุกคน ผูกติดกับ “เศรษฐกิจโลก” ไม่ว่าจะทางตรงหรืออ้อมก็ตาม ใน LIVE นี้ของพอดแคสต์ Mission To The Moon ซีรีส์พิเศษ “Economic Problems Solving” จะพาทุกคนไปเจาะลึกภาพรวมเศรษฐกิจโลกปัจจุบันกับ “รวิศ หาญอุตสาหะ” ที่จะมาแชร์มุมมองว่ามีประเด็นอะไรที่น่าเป็นห่วงและควรติดตามอยู่บ้าง

The International Monetary Fund has downgraded the global economy with its latest World Economic Outlook. This is no surprise to those who have been following the monetary system's warnings since 2021. Right on cue, the United States reported economic contraction in Q4 2021. ----EP. 228 REFERENCES----One More For Euro$ #5: The Mainstream Downgrade Parade: https://bit.ly/381wjf4Alhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWlinRealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7-------THE EPISODES-------YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisLVurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MReason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiHSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39XjrPodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlV---------THE TEAM---------Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments. Master of ceremonies, Emil Kalinowski. Illustrations by David Parkins. Audio and video editor, Terence. Episode intro/outro music is "Melodic Space" by VELDA.------FIND THE TEAM-------Jeff: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPJeff: https://alhambrapartners.com/author/jsnider/Emil: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiEmil: https://www.EuroDollarEnterprises.comDavid: https://DavidParkins.com/Terence: https://www.VisualFocusMedia.comVELDA: https://www.epidemicsound.com/artists/velda/"Melodic Space": https://www.epidemicsound.com/track/Wkrg98WtJS/

From the BBC World Service: The International Monetary Fund is set to release a pessimistic economic outlook. Argentina’s government plans on imposing higher levies on businesses it perceives to have profited from the war in Ukraine. International aid agencies worry that the focus on the war in Ukraine is drawing international attention and donor money away from equally needy people in other parts of the world, like Yemen and Afghanistan.

From the BBC World Service: The International Monetary Fund is set to release a pessimistic economic outlook. Argentina’s government plans on imposing higher levies on businesses it perceives to have profited from the war in Ukraine. International aid agencies worry that the focus on the war in Ukraine is drawing international attention and donor money away from equally needy people in other parts of the world, like Yemen and Afghanistan.