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Kia ora,Welcome to Monday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news with claims of "substantial progress" and "a deal we struck" by the Americans in their Geneva talks with China, but no indications of anything from the Chinese. Bluster from the White House doesn't count for much these days.But first in the coming week, US attention will shift to Wednesday's CPI data for April although no real surprises are anticipated. There will be April data for retail sales too, PPI data, housing starts, and the next sentiment update from the University of Michigan at the end of the week.China will report new loan data, house price data, and updates for industrial production and retail sales. Japan will release its Q1-2025 GDP data, and both South Korea and Australia will release labour market data updates. Locally we will get travel, population, retail and productivity data, not to forget the Q1 ready mixed concrete data (!).In Japan, household spending rose +2.1% in March from a year ago and far better than the expected +0.2% gain. It was the strongest growth since December. Helping was that the previous retreats of spending on food basically stopped, while spending on furniture and on recreation rose a good levels.China's April CPI inflation dipped -0.1% from a year ago, holding the same easing for a second month and that was what was expected. It was the third consecutive month of consumer deflation. Within that result, food prices were up +0.3% but beef prices fell -4.9% from a year ago, lamb prices were down -3.8%. Milk prices fell -1.2%.Deflation was more pronounced for producer prices, down -2.7% from a year ago, the steepest retreat for any month in 2025.Staying in China, April exports came in very much better than the pullback that was expected. In fact their trade surplus was almost as strong as the unusual March trade surplus. Few were expecting this 'good' result. Here are the results by trading partner.New Zealand exported twice what we imported from them. For Australia it was almost the same but the Aussies have a higher dependency on China than we do. For the US, they are still taking more that 10% of all Chinese exports although that is down from nearly 13% usually. But Chinese buying of American goods is now under 6% of all Chinese imports, down from the usual 16%. The Americans may have initiated the tariff war, but the Chinese have reacted far faster.Meanwhile China said its Q1-2025 current account surplus hit a record high, more than treble what it was in the same quarter a year ago. US demand saw their merchandise trade surplus leap, while their services deficit narrowed slightly.Across the Pacific in the US, that foreigners are avoiding travel there has been confirmed by new data that shows an historic drop in inbound travel spending. It has only been a sharper drop in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and the early stages of the badly-handled response to Covid. The US as a travel destination is a significant reason they have run services surpluses. The travel boycott may build over fears it is unsafe, amid numerous reports of immigration officers detaining tourists or denying entry even for transit.Further the American spring real estate season is shaping up to be 'a dud'. High unsold inventories, high price expectations, and still-high mortgage rates are putting off buyers during this prime selling period.The US barbeque season is approaching and the cost of beef is rising and rising. Tariffs are raising prices and drought is thinning local cattle supply. That means the Americans are more dependent than ever on imported beef, especially ground beef. They are price takers so are paying both the premium for the supply shortfall, plus the full imported tariffs.Looking north, although the Canadian jobless rate rose a touch more than expected to 6.9% in April (and a 3 year high), and there was only a minor rise in overall payroll employment, there was in fact a strong rise in full-time jobs and an equally notable fall in part-time roles.The Canadian dollar fell on the jobless rise. The overall softness however probably means the Bank of Canada will cut its 2.75% policy rate again at their next meeting on June 5 (NZT).The UST 10yr yield is at 4.38%, unchanged from this time Saturday and up +16 bps for the week. The price of gold will start today at US$3323/oz, and down -US$15 from Saturday.Oil prices are holding today at just on US$61/bbl in the US and the international Brent price is still just under US$64/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is now at 59.1 USc, down -10 bps from Saturday at this time, down -30 bps from a week ago. Against the Aussie we are unchanged at 92.2 AUc. Against the euro we are still at 52½ euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today just under 67.6 and little-changed from Saturday, down -20 bps from this time last week.The bitcoin price starts today at US$104,041and up +0.9% from Saturday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest at just under +/- 1.7%.You can find links to the articles mentioned today in our show notes.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

The US economy contracts during President Trump's first three months in office. GDP fell by 0.3%... Mr Trump blames former President Biden. Meanwhile China blames US tariffs for falls in its manufacturing figures... but there are more positive numbers in Europe. Also, Andrew Peach hears from the UN Assistant Secretary General about Afghanistan's economy under Taliban rule. And we'll hear why a fall in demand for diamonds is very damaging for Botswana.You can contact us on WhatsApp or send us a voicenote: +44 330 678 3033.

The world imploded. Markets crashed. The media went nuts. Then Trump's ingenious strategy became clear, and stocks surged in historic fashion. Meanwhile China is getting crushed, while other countries are begging Trump for a deal. PLUS:3 big Supreme Court wins for TrumpMultiple countries want to accept Gazan refugeesOver 1 million illegals are on Medicare (thanks to Biden)DOJ suspends lawyer who said it was a "mistake" to deport the Maryland father and suspected MS-13 gang member

Jemma and Marina open with a nod to the five year Brexit anniversary, sharing details from all the wonderful celebratory street parties and endless Brexit benefits... Except they didn't, as they were and are none, as even GB News found out. There's some chat around Starmer's trip to the EU and what it means before moving swiftly on to another country that is stupid enough to wage tariff wars with its closest trading partners - hello Trump's US. The ladies discuss the caving of Trump on his threat to apply 25% tariffs to Canada and Mexico, while observing that actually all world leaders need to do is make Trump think he's had a victory, instead of actually letting him have one. Meanwhile China, the real adversary, gets a 10% tariff applied which prompts a tweet from Marina that attracted MAGA trolls telling her to 'cry harder'. We wrap up with some highlights include the revoking of a church license from everyone's least favourite priest and a delightful US election-themed pudding. Thank you for sharing and do tweet us @MarinaPurkiss @jemmaforte @TheTrawlPodcastPatreonhttps://patreon.com/TheTrawlPodcastYoutubehttps://www.youtube.com/@TheTrawlTwitterhttps://twitter.com/TheTrawlPodcastBlueSkyhttps://bsky.app/profile/thetrawl.bsky.socialCreated and Produced by Jemma Forte & Marina PurkissEdited by Max Carrey

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news that signs of economic under-achievement seem to be cropping up everywhere.First though, at the end of this week we have the long weekend holiday, for Labour Day. But first, the week ahead will feature October 'flash' PMIs from all over and the third week of Wall Street Q3 earnings results. In the US they will release September durable goods order data. Canada will chime in with a central bank rate decision (probably a -50 bps cut), and there will be confidence survey results from all over. Finally South Korea will release its Q3-2024 GDP growth rate, expected to be a bit north of +2%.Over the weekend there were no surprises in US housing start data for September, coming in just as expected and the general level it has been at for most of 2024.And Wall Street's Q3 earnings season reporting is building with 14% of S&P500 companies reporting so far, and the results are quite positive, reinforcing investor risk appetites.The US also reported its federal budget deficit for September over the weekend. It was a surplus of US$64 bln for the month. For the month, receipts jumped +13% from a year earlier, while outlays sank by -23%. But for the full fiscal year, it ended -US$1.8 tln in deficit (with interest costs exceeding US$1 tln for the first time). At that level the total deficit is equivalent to -6.3% of one year's economic activity in the country. This is up from -6.1% of GDP in 2023.Across the Pacific, China's new home prices in their 70 major cities fell -5.7% in September from a year ago, more than the -5.3% fall in the previous month. It was the 15th straight month of decrease and the steepest pace since May 2015. Second hand houses seem to have fallen by much more, by -10.7%. This sector won't be helping China's "wealth effect".Meanwhile China said its Q3-2024 GDP expanded by +4.6%, marginally better than the +4.5% expected but less than Beijing's 5% target. They also said industrial production improved by +5.4% and retail sales were up +3.2%, on the same basis. Their jobless rate fell slightly, to 5.1%.Later today, China is expected to cut its Loan Prime Rates by -20 bps, their tenth consecutive cut since the pandemic, and to a record low. The have never raised these rates since they introduced them on 2019 - only ever cuts.And China's support of equity markets has almost hit ¥2 tln. With the Beijing 'put' in play, it is now not possible to read anything into Chinese equity market signals, especially when they rise. That may only indicate the size of the manipulation.Japan said its inflation rate fell to 2.5% in September from 3.0% in August. This was its lowest level since April. (It was also 3.0% in September 2023.)The regular ECB survey of professional forecasters shows that expectations are low for the bloc over the next two years to 2026. They see inflation staying under control, economic expansion rising to only modest levels, and their jobless rate staying little-changed.And in Australia, suddenly their housing market seems quite fragile. This past weekend, they may have had only a 40% auction clearance rate in Sydney, a very sharp and fast fall from their 'usual' levels of about 70%.The UST 10yr yield is now at just on 4.08% and unchanged from yesterday.The price of gold will start today at US$2720/oz and up +US$3 from Saturday - and yet another new all-time high.Oil prices are -50 USc lower at just over US$69/bbl in the US while the international Brent price is now just on US$73/bbl. These levels are -US$6/bbl lower than a week ago.The Kiwi dollar starts today at 60.7 USc and little-changed from this time Saturday. Against the Aussie we are +10 bps firmer at 90.6 AUc. Against the euro we are unchanged to 55.9 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today still just under 69.2, unchanged from Saturday at this time and little-changed from a week ago.The bitcoin price starts today at US$68,582 and down -0.4% from this time Saturday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been low at under +/- 0.5%.You can find links to the articles mentioned today in our show notes.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Our last coal fired steel plant closed down today along with our last coal fired electricity plant. Meanwhile China is developing new coal mines and  using carbon fuels to fire their latest industrial revolution. We are mugs! Like performing seals we in the West have lapped up their electronic products. Everything you buy is made in China but after the brilliant pager attacks on Hamas by the Israelis should we be worried that a foreign power effectively make and control all our technology. Tech that controls everything from phones, to cars, all our communication systems and all our vital infrastructure. What if one day China decides to close all this down? Am I turning into a conspiracy nut? David Icke on speed. Listen and tell me what you think. Support me here buymeacoffee.com/Jongaunt

The economist Thomas Piketty – author of international bestseller Capital in the Twenty-First Century – joins Roger Hearing to discuss the upcoming French elections, as fears of a far right election win make markets nervous.We also take a look at the world's second largest economy, China. Its premier Li Qiang is on a visit to Australia to try to repair a fractured relationship that has caused major problems for trade. Meanwhile China seems poised to impose tariffs on EU pork - is this just retaliation for tariffs on Chinese electric cars?

A tool of Chinese influence? Shutdown vs sale? What does the US forcing Bytedance to sell an app signal of the decoupling between US and China and its economic implications? Meanwhile China is bucking the sell-or-ban approach with Tesla and Baidu - why? And at 100 is it time to retire the notion of mutual funds? Michelle Martin finds out with Arun Pai from the investment team at Monk's Hill Ventures. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Israel says Gazans have enough to eat. Few agree. Meanwhile - China steps into the crisis for the first time. Plus - a historic American football game and speculation spreads about James Bond.Your daily round-up of the biggest stories from across the world, as seen through the eyes of the Times of London. You can hear more of these stories on Times Radio, and read more at thetimes.co.uk. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

 Today's show looks at the important key economies of the world as a growing number begin to slip into recession: new data shows Japan's economy has been contracting the past six months. Germany has entered recession. So too has the UK. The Eurozone economy as a whole is stagnant. Global manufacturing has been contracting for some months among the G7 economies. Meanwhile China faces growing problems in its property (construction) sector and with emerging deflation in consumer goods prices as producer prices also continue to fall for the past 16 months.  Rasmus notes China home sales are now 1/6 of their peak at end of 2021 and then explains why deflation is even more serious than inflation. In the US, retail sales have turned negative, manufacturing is stagnant, and housing remains down 40% from its prior peak. At the same time both consumer and producer prices have started to rise once again. Can the US economy reach a ‘soft landing' when the rest of the world key economies are slowing or in recession? (Next Week: Ukraine War military and political analysis as we enter 3rd year of war Feb. 25, 2024. Why a larger Russian offensive is imminent)

U.S shares lift in response to solid earnings by Netflix. Meanwhile China eases monetary policy. Commodity prices were mixed despite a weaker greenback. And the AUD is back near US66 cents. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Australian share market has enjoyed its best day in 6 months off the back of an encouraging inflation slowdown in the U.S overnight. Meanwhile China is expected to extend some policies to support its ailing property market following further disappointing trade data today. Plus the team look into some star performers today including Alliance Aviation Group who surged off the back of a deal with Incitec Pivot.  The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

US markets closed lower on the day and the week on Friday after non-farm payrolls data indicated that the Fed might raise rates at their forthcoming July meeting. Inflation data coming on Thursday and Friday will complete the final piece of the rate-hike puzzle. Meanwhile China's disappointing CPI/PPI data this morning has heightened expectations of more monetary policy support being required. As the Q2 earnings season is set to kick-off, hear what our Head of Technical Analysis, Mensur Pocinci, has to say about the prospects for the US equity and bond markets.00:14 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)00:35 Markets wrap-up by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)06:09 Technical analysis update by Mensur Pocinci (Head of Technical Analysis)10:30 Closing remarks by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or your favourite podcast player.

New figures from the OECD say that global economic growth is expected to rise slightly. And that means, says the OECD, that as the coronavirus pandemic and energy crisis fade into the background, the time is ripe for countries to get their public finances into better shape. We look at how governments might react. Meanwhile China's total trade with Russia hit a new record high in May to levels not seen since the start of the war in Ukraine. Official data from Beijing showed trade between the two countries last month was worth $20.5 billion with Chinese imports from Russia worth $11.3 billion. We explore the factors influencing the spending behind the figures. And as the Turkish lira tumbles to a low against the dollar we look at what this means for people in Turkey and Erdoğan's new finance minister Mehmet Şimşek.

Bytedance, a parent company with TikTok, which operates in China, has recorded 79% increase in its profits to around $25 billion dollars last year. Meanwhile China's financial sector is reeling from a series of new corruption probes and a surge in surprise audits of venture funds. And also - why are people in India consuming more ice cream in Winter?

In an effort to discourage Chinese military aggression, leaders from the U.S., U.K. and Australia announced a new defense pack that will provide nuclear submarines to Australia. Meanwhile China has ramped up its presence in Latin America, the Middle East and even Africa by providing countries with a new digital economy and infrastructure. Get the facts first on Morning Wire. Genucel: Save 70% off the Most Popular Package plus a FREE Beauty Box! Genucel.com/WIRE 

https://thepostmillennial.com/biden-tries-to-say-he-wanted-balloon-shot-down-earlier-but-dod-says-government-knew-long-before-it-became-public https://nypost.com/2021/09/29/milley-admits-he-would-tell-china-if-us-launched-an-attack/ https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/08/06/report-vice-president-joe-biden-met-ccp-linked-energy-executives-white-house-2014/ https://nypost.com/2022/01/27/chinese-elite-have-paid-some-31m-to-hunter-and-the-bidens/ https://nypost.com/2023/01/21/upenn-teacher-urged-hunter-bidens-kid-to-cash-in-on-name/ https://thehill.com/homenews/sunday-talk-shows/3844665-cotton-suggests-biden-administration-delayed-shooting-down-balloon-to-salvage-blinken-trip-to-china/ https://podbay.fm/p/inside-4-walls/e/1631793600 Follow me for more content on these platforms! Twitter- https://twitter.com/Insideforwalls GETTR-https://gettr.com/user/inside4walls Odysee-https://odysee.com/@Inside4WallsPodcast:b?r=8Q3Pisvk4mhP2MbroVhjHeFvQnAXXcLo Rumble-https://rumble.com/account/content?type=all Bit-Chute-https://www.bitchute.com/channel/RdNlJ0sz1DVY/ Locals.com-https://locals.com/member/Inside4Walls Instagram-https://www.instagram.com/inside4walls_podcast/?hl=en Truth Social-https://truthsocial.com/@Inside4Walls FaceBook- @Inside4Walls

https://thepostmillennial.com/biden-tries-to-say-he-wanted-balloon-shot-down-earlier-but-dod-says-government-knew-long-before-it-became-public https://nypost.com/2021/09/29/milley-admits-he-would-tell-china-if-us-launched-an-attack/ https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/08/06/report-vice-president-joe-biden-met-ccp-linked-energy-executives-white-house-2014/ https://nypost.com/2022/01/27/chinese-elite-have-paid-some-31m-to-hunter-and-the-bidens/ https://nypost.com/2023/01/21/upenn-teacher-urged-hunter-bidens-kid-to-cash-in-on-name/ https://thehill.com/homenews/sunday-talk-shows/3844665-cotton-suggests-biden-administration-delayed-shooting-down-balloon-to-salvage-blinken-trip-to-china/ https://podbay.fm/p/inside-4-walls/e/1631793600 Follow me for more content on these platforms! Twitter- https://twitter.com/Insideforwalls GETTR-https://gettr.com/user/inside4walls Odysee-https://odysee.com/@Inside4WallsPodcast:b?r=8Q3Pisvk4mhP2MbroVhjHeFvQnAXXcLo Rumble-https://rumble.com/account/content?type=all Bit-Chute-https://www.bitchute.com/channel/RdNlJ0sz1DVY/ Locals.com-https://locals.com/member/Inside4Walls Instagram-https://www.instagram.com/inside4walls_podcast/?hl=en Truth Social-https://truthsocial.com/@Inside4Walls FaceBook- @Inside4Walls

00:00 Identity politics gone bad 08:22 Tell me they are corrupt without telling me they're corrupt 12:53 Woke school policies punishes hard-working smart kids 17:52 Hunter's Baby Momma pulls a fast one on the Bidens! 21:41 Bibi is back, baby! 24:58 Meanwhile…China is now invading our borders! 27:24 Straight from every tyrant's playbook 29:08 Has Mark Meadows flipped on Trump? 36:01 Michelle hated Barrack for about 10 years JOIN OUR COMMUNITY FOR FREE! www.TheRealBCP.com Check out our other daily show, #BCPunfiltered: https://bit.ly/3LTWbaR OR YOU CAN WATCH IT HERE: https://bit.ly/3H0Kuwp Subscribe to our sister channel, The BCP REPORT: https://bit.ly/3BFyKhB PLEASE SUBSCRIBE TO OUR NEW SPANISH CHANNEL: https://youtu.be/fDDPWa_8qSE (EVEN IF YOU DON'T SPEAK SPANISH!) Social Media: Truth Social: @BCPtv Locals: @TheRealBCP GETTR: @Black_C_Patriot gab: @Black_Conservative

In the 20 months that Joe Biden has been President, his decisions and rhetoric have made the world ever more combustible. Events in Ukraine has reached a flash point. Still, the Biden Administration refuses to negotiate with Russia's Vladimir Putin. The chance of a wider war between NATO and Russia grows ever more likely, a war that would immediately draw in the United States under NATO's Article 5 requiring collective defense .  Worse, supposedly serious people - both in the Biden Administration and many top Republicans - are talking about a “limited nuclear war.' Do they really want to risk this outcome over a country that most Americans cannot even find on a map?  Meanwhile, China is about to elect President Xi Jinping to a third term, effectively anointing him as Emperor for Life. And Xi has his sights set on Taiwan, which like Putin with Ukraine, he believes must be absorbed into China. “The complete reunification of our country must be realized, and it can without a doubt be realized,” he declared this weekend. China will “never promise to renounce the use of force” on Taiwan. Neither Putin, nor Xi, are making idle threats. As my guest on this episode, KT McFarland explains: “Both the Chinese president, Xi Jinping, and the Russian president, Vladimir Putin, have the same sort of mindset problem. They think that they have been designated by fate to restore the greatness of their nations and that they personally want to achieve this during their time in office. And they're both in their seventies, so the clock is ticking.” KT McFarland shares her penetrating and savvy insights into these threats from Russian and China and has a plan of action for what to do about them. She has served as Deputy National Security Advisor under President Trump, in the Pentagon under President Reagan and is author of several books including “Revolution: Trump, Washington and “We the People.”” The main thing we need to do now is to keep the Ukraine conflict from escalating.  Putin has put a general in charge who led the bombing campaign in Syria whose nickname is “General Armageddon.” Ukraine's President Zelensky recklessly wants to join NATO now, has asked for the United States to deploy nuclear weapons and keeps upping his endless demands for billions of American dollars. Instead of refusing to negotiate with Russia, the United States needs to step in and bring Russian and Ukraine to the table to wrap this thing up.  “For the first time in my adult lifetime … and I've studied nuclear weapons and taught nuclear weapons at MIT in the '80s. I was in the Reagan administration. I even go back to the Nixon and Ford administrations, so I have a long 45, 50 year old career, and I have never been as nervous about the threat of escalation to the point where it runs out of everybody's control as I am right now,” worries KT.  Americans should be terrified that one of their politicians could push the wrong button and destroy the world. For a short, chock full with information and insight, briefing on both Russian and China today, listen in to this conversation with KT McFarland.

Liz Cheney NUKED FROM ORBIT By Hageman In Near FORTY POINT BLOWOUT, Says She May Run For President -- China Deploys Troops To Russia For Joint Exercise, Taiwan & Ukraine Conflict Sparks Fear WW3 Is Here. China Joins Russia, India, Belarus, and other countries in a joint military exercise. Meanwhile China has been extending its blockade of Taiwan with military drills leading to a tit for tat of sabre rattling with the US, Taiwan, and China flexing its military muscles in a show of force. In Ukraine the crisis is expanding greatly with fears the war took a massive turn with military conflict in Crimea. Democrats and Republicans in a bipartisan delegation to Taiwan may have just driven the conflict even more. #china #taiwan #ukraine Become A Member And Protect Our Work at http://www.timcast.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

1) Oil dips below $100 per barrel and the Dollar and Euro reach parity. Concerns about energy costs in Europe, war in Ukraine, recession in Europe and Fed raising rates in the U.S. are the reasons. 1A) Federal Reserve on track to raise rates 75 basis points this month 2) Joe Biden's age is NOW the issue as Democrats look to alternatives 3) 46% of Republicans want someone other than Trump. We'll discuss alternatives. 4) 300 Virginia state employees quit rather than return to work in the office. GOOD! 5) "Foot in Mouth - Jill Biden "Hispanic community is as unique as a breakfast Taco". Staff apologizes 6) 60K soldiers could be removed from service for not taking the vaccination even while military recruiting is not achieving their goals. Drew provides analysis. 7) Some bay area cities are banning construction of new gas stations to fight climate change. Meanwhile China plows ahead. Meanwhile, Germany will not retire 11 Coal fired power plant. They will also RE-COMMISSION 17 coal and oil fired plants. So much for climate change when people may freeze. 8) Ukraine war shows no signs of letting up. What will it take to reach a resolution? Timing? 9) Biden to visit Palestinian hospital in East Jerusalem and pledge $100M in U.S. aid in a slap at Israel. 10) Immigration courts have a backlog of 1.8M cases. Deportations are drastically down under Biden as there are virtually no efforts made to enforce the law. Cases are dismissed or courts grant relief even after an order to remove. 70% chance of deportation under Trump, just 24% under Biden. It is a surrender to the invasion

Russian President Vladimir Putin sent a stark message to NATO nations today when the Russian Strategic Defense Forces test fired a powerful intercontinental ballistic missile known in Russia as Sarmat, and dubbed by the CIA as Satan. Meanwhile China tested a hypersonic missile too in another warning to the USA. Rick Wiles, Doc Burkhart. Airdate 4/20/22

The War is certainly not going as planned as Moscow scrambles to fix the War in Ukraine, stop crushing sanctions, and quell domestic threats. Meanwhile China housing market continues to collapse meaning the a painful economic crunch is imminent. --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/dogeandpepe/support

The War is certainly not going as planned as Moscow scrambles to fix the War in Ukraine, stop crushing sanctions, and quell domestic threats. Meanwhile China housing market continues to collapse meaning the a painful economic crunch is imminent. --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/dogeandpepe/support

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the International edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news the war in Ukraine continues in something of a stalemate process as the spring thaw bogs down the Russians. But they are bombing indiscriminately. Still, Western investors no longer seem to be preparing for an international meltdown. Equity markets are recovering. Bond yields are back focusing on the US Fed, oil prices are much lower today, and the main economic fallout seems to just be on Russia. Anyway that's what markets seem to be signaling despite the changed economic conditions.In the US, American mortgage applications rose, and by more than expected, last week. And mortgage interest rates slipped back at the same time. But these lower rates are not expected to continue for long, so borrowers piled in on the opportunity.The number of job openings in the US in January slipped marginally from a revised record high level in December. Still, the result was above market expectations as worker shortages persist.The US WASDE March report indicated that the global market for wheat may not be as tough as first thought. Rising volumes from Australia and India are helping offset the Ukraine uncertainties. The same report sees lower US dairy production, so prices are expected to rise on continued demand strengthToday's US Treasury 10year bond auction was well supported, and the 1.84% median yield was little changed from the same event a month ago. Further, the Fed only participated at a very low level this time, a significant pullback.Japanese machine tool orders slipped in February from January, although to be fair they are still running very much higher than a year ago.In South Korea, their presidential election remains too close to call, but the throwback opposition candidate does have a narrow lead as the vote count nears the end.China's inflation rate is staying low, running at only +0.9% in February. This was as expected. Meanwhile China's producer prices rose +8.8% in February from a year ago, slightly higher than expected but lower than January.China might be an economic loser on the sharp runups in commodity prices. It isn't unique to China of course, but their high dependence on exports made at fixed costs will put their factory sector under a special squeeze.Ratings agency Fitch says Russia is about to default on its debt obligations. It has downgraded Russian Government bonds to ‘C'. Russia's pre-invasion consumer price inflation rate rose to +9.2% pa in February. That will be looked back on as 'low' in coming months. In February it took about 80 rubles to buy one US dollar. Now it takes 120 rubles, an effective devaluation of a third.Although capacity is still constrained, air cargo traffic volumes are recovering and back to pre-pandemic levels. They were up +3.2% in January from the same month a year ago with Asia/Pacific international trade by air up +5.5%.Australian consumer sentiment is falling on a growing set of factors that compound each other, including the pandemic, floods, and war. Housing gets an honourable mention too.Higher interest rates not only affect consumers, they add to government spending as well, and that effect is magnified when budget deficits are growing. In Australia, their $15 bln interest cost on public debt is expected to grow to $18 bln this year, and to over AU$30 bln as their deficits swell. Fast-rising interest rates off a low base supercharges the interest cost, especially when deficits are large as they are in Australia.The flooding disaster in NSW and Queensland has prompted market experts to predict home insurance premiums will rise at a much faster pace. +10% rises are on their way, as a start as insurers increase their natural disaster provisioning. From the current flooding event, they are dealing with more than 100,000 claims already, and more are sure to pour in. And New Zealand won't be immune because the came insurers operate here and their climate risk aversion is now front-and-center.The UST 10yr yield opens today at 1.92% and up another +5 bps from this time yesterday. It is back to pre-invasion levels. The price of gold started today at US$2001 and down -US$43/oz from this time yesterday.And oil prices are very sharply lower today and down by -US$6/bbl. In the US they are now just under US$114/bbl. The international price is just under US$118/bbl.The Kiwi dollar will open today a little firmer at just over 68.5 USc. Against the Australian dollar we are at 93.5 AUc which is slightly lower. Against the euro we -½c lower at 61.8 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just on 73.4 and little net change from this time yesterday.The bitcoin price is up a lot today, up +11.1% from this time yesterday to US$42,277. US regulators have signaled it will continue with its light-handed overview of the crypto sector. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been extreme at +/- 5.6%.You can find links to the articles mentioned today in our show notes.And get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston and we'll do this again tomorrow.

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the International edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news US payrolls rose much more than expected, reinforcing market expectations the Fed will raise rates at its next meeting.But first, we start today with something we don't usually track. Indonesia's GDP data showed that the economy returned to its pre-pandemic size in Q4-2021, expanding +5.0% from the same quarter a year earlier, as the recovery regained momentum after the setback from the Delta wave in Q3 (+3.5%).In China, according to the private Caixin services PMI, business activity is now barely expanding with momentum slowing to a five-month low. Lockdowns affected them but new orders slowed as well. Their employment measure is in fact now contracting in the service sector. This report is is very similar to the official services sector PMI.Meanwhile China has signed a 30 year deal for Russian gas. It is a lever Russia is holding over the EU, just at a time the Chinese are trying to woo some EU countries, like Poland. China might end up a stabilising influence on Moscow's Ukrainian ambitions - or they could accentuate the pressures.In the EU, their retail sales data for December was a significant disappointment, falling from November and rising a very weak +2.0% from December 2020 when a +5.1% gain was expected. And given rising inflation, that meant that retail volumes are falling now.German industrial production slipped unexpectedly in December - and it was a chunky move lower.The OECD reported that overall inflation rose to +6.6% in the 12 months to December 2021, compared with +5.9% in November, and just +1.2% in December 2020, reaching its highest rate since July 1991. If you missed it on Saturday, the big news was the US non-farm payrolls report was unexpectedly positive. The headline gain reported was +467,000 and far above the +150,000 gains which was widely expected, and nowhere near the -400,000 loss that some pessimists had feared.Better, there were some significant revisions to job gains in November and December which mean employers added +700,000 more jobs than these non-farm payrolls reports had previously indicated. That is pretty significant.The January 2022 employed workforce now total 147.5 mln, up +6.5 mln from January 2021. But it is down -2.5 mln from pre-pandemic January 2020 so they still have a long way to go to fully recover the pandemic effects. The US participation rate is an improving sign however. The other positive out of this data is that average hourly earnings increased by +5.7% over the past year. It was the largest monthly increase in the last year, and although inflation is high, it shows that wages are largely keeping up. Canada also released its jobs report for January and that was not positive at all. They lost -200,000 jobs on a seasonally adjusted basis (much more on an actual basis) and this was worse than the -118,000 analyst estimates. Their participation rate fell. Their jobless rate rose, and wage gains came in far less than current inflation. They will be grumpy with this result, especially after their neighbour's positive surprises.In Australia, they bounced back with a strong expansion in their services sector in December and January and putting behind it the lockdown contractions in the prior four months.The Reserve Bank of Australia has updated and upgraded its economic forecasts for the country in its Monetary Policy Statement released on Friday. But although they now say their economy will grow by +4¼% this year, growth will slow to +2% in 2023. However, both are upgrades from their October forecasts.The UST 10yr yield opens today at 1.93% and up another +1 bp and another two year high. The price of gold starts today at US$1818/oz and up +US$12 from where we left it on Saturday.However oil prices are lower from Saturday by a bit more than -US$1 at just over US$90/bbl in the US, while the international Brent price is now just over US$92/bbl.The Kiwi dollar will open today little-changed at 66.2 USc. Against the Australian dollar we are firmish at our lower level of 93.1 AUc. Against the euro we are a lot lower at 57.9 euro cents. That means our TWI-5 starts today just on 70.6 and about where we were this time last week.The bitcoin price is up another +8% since this time Saturday and now at US$43,674. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been high at +/- 3.2%.You can find links to the articles mentioned today in our show notes.And get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston and we'll do this again tomorrow.

US Says Russia Planning FALSE FLAG The Justify Ukrainian Invasion, Meanwhile China Build MORE NUKES. But this news comes amid a stunning defeat for Biden on vaccine mandates and a failing approval rating leaving many wondering if this is just a distraction. Democrats have not been fairing well and this news is oddly timed, just after bad news and on a friday? Meanwhile conservatives are slamming democrats for rejecting ted Cruz's bill to sanction nord Stream 2 and Chinese denies the expansion of its nuclear arsenal #Democrats #Ukraine #China Become A Member And Protect Our Work at http://www.timcast.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

A version of this essay was published by Chintan at https://chintan.indiafoundation.in/articles/poor-optics-retreat-from-the-quad-and-proliferation-make-aukus-a-bad-pact/The AUKUS strategic alliance among Australia, the US and the UK was an unexpected bombshell. Among the unpleasantly surprised were India and Japan, partners of the US and Australia in the Quad quasi-alliance. France (and the rest of the European Union) were also upset. (France also had a reasonable commercial peeve: its diesel-submarine order worth $40 billion with Australia was cancelled without notice).AUKUS has been spun by American and especially British commentators as a wonderful new initiative to contain China, this time with some military might. Meanwhile China continues to rampage in the South China Sea and the East China Sea, and threatens to capture the continental shelves of nations like Indonesia and Vietnam via ‘research’ ships.However, there are serious concerns, especially from the point of view of India, which obviously has its own military issues relating to China, based on the latter’s nibbling away at the Indo-Tibetan Himalayan border, leading of course to June clashes in Galwan. Reports about a huge build up of infrastructure and war materiel in Tibet, incursions deep into Indian territory, and the setting up of villages inside Bhutan point to a ‘salami slicing’ approach.In the context of the looming Chinese threat to the prevailing international order, it is only natural that the US should take steps to preserve its primacy. Thus the Quad, which was first mooted by Prime Minister Abe of Japan: a coalition of democracies in the Indo-Pacific, with a common interest in containing a rampaging China, and the muscle to enforce their will. They will never say “contain China”, but that’s the intent.Former US President Obama allegedly made a “pivot to Asia”, but it was on his watch that China captured the South China Sea, suffering no consequences therefrom. Former US President Trump at least made noises about decoupling from China and attempted to bring in a consensus about lakshmana rekhas around China.In this context, three things current US President Biden has done appear to be counter-productive: one, the humiliating exit from Afghanistan; two, the AUKUS announcement, and three, the acceptance of Chinese hostage-taking tactics in the case of the CFO of Huawei.All three instances created doubts about American credibility, dependability, and will/ability to stand up for its partners. In the aftermath of the withdrawal from Kabul and the announcement about AUKUS, China has redoubled its intimidation of Taiwan; it will likely do the same to Japan re the Senkakus; and generally do the same all over Asia.It is true that the US needed to exit Afghanistan, but surely not like this. The headlong retreat implied that America’s friendship is hostage to expediency, and can be withdrawn any moment based on domestic compulsions. Henry Kissinger’s quip that “it is dangerous to be America's enemy, but fatal to be its friend” leaps to mind.Similarly, maybe the US needed to bring Australia under its wing, but surely not like this. By sneaking the AUKUS announcement in a few days before the Quad summit, Biden deemed the Quad a lame duck. All the flowery language in the Quad declaration couldn’t conceal the fact that it had been downgraded. That the two non-white members of the Quad, India and Japan, were kept in the dark about AUKUS suggests certain agendas. Besides, AUKUS does not seem to have troubled the Chinese very much: that, in and of itself, is ominous. The Chinese, as part of their ‘wolf-warrior’ diplomacy, habitually fly into a rage at the slightest of provocations: this is an intimidation tactic. But the official Chinese reaction to the AUKUS announcement was muted. Here’s what they said: “extremely irresponsible” and “seriously undermines regional peace and intensifies the arms race.” Even the excitable Global Times only said, “Washington is losing its mind by trying to rally its allies against China”, “The US intends to turn the Quad and AUKUS into ‘sinister gangs’ containing China,” and “[we] warn solemnly Japan, India and Australia not to follow the US too far in confronting China. Once they step on the red line of China’s core interests, China will not care about their relations with the US, and China will not hesitate to punish them.” That is very restrained by Chinese standards: the only conclusion we can draw is that they agree with Napoleon’s epigram: “Never interrupt the enemy when he’s making a mistake“. They think AUKUS is a win for them. The Chinese are probably right. Despite the spin doctoring, this marks a historic retreat by America. The Biden team are laboring under an atavistic Atlanticist illusion of a white Anglophone alliance to dominate the world. Those days are long gone. The UK in particular is on a downward spiral after Brexit, and may soon be shorn of Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland.If the US wanted to proliferate nuclear submarine propulsion technology to Australia, they could have done so. Why choose an intermediary like the UK that doesn’t add value? I am reminded of the classic scene from Catch-22, where Yossarian wonders why the comatose patient needs to be an intermediary between the drip feed bag and the waste removal bag. Why not just connect the two?, he asks.That also brings up the nuclear question. Why is the US proliferating nuclear technology to Australia, a non-nuclear power and a fierce NPT (Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty) adherent which refused to sell uranium to India citing the NPT? Maybe I am missing something, but doesn’t this US act eviscerate the NPT? If India were to transfer nuclear tech to Taiwan, would everybody be so quiet? Of course not: there are serious double standards in play. Besides, Australia is pretty far away from China, and in any case the first submarines under the AUKUS deal will not (according to plan) appear till the 2040s. Too little, too late. The spurned parties, France, Japan and India, should perhaps form a triad. France has nuclear propulsion technology; surely it can do a technology transfer to India (forget the NPT); and France has a lot of interests in the Indo-Pacific, far more than the UK. On the whole, AUKUS seems like a very bad deal, despite the PR storm that shows it in a good light.1030 words, 4 Oct 2021 This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit rajeevsrinivasan.substack.com

Last week the US, UK and Australia announced a new defence pact, dubbed AUKUS, which would see Australia equipped with nuclear-powered submarines. The deal comes at the cost of a USD30 billion agreement between Australia and France, which has blindsided the French government and created a diplomatic furor. Meanwhile China has also criticized the "Cold War mentality" of the AUKUS members, warning of a potential arms race. We discuss the implications of the agreement with Susannah Patton, Research Fellow at the University of Sydney. Image credit: Shutterstock.com

It has been reported that Beijing wants to break up Alibaba's payments subsidiary Alipay. Isabel Hilton, founder of China Dialogue, explains why the government is concerned about the growth of financial services companies and how they may be stoking up so called shadow banking. The oil industry in Louisiana is still recovering from the damage caused by Hurricane Ida and many fuel refineries are still out of action. Meanwhile China is considering releasing some of its national strategic oil reserves to help refiners and chemical companies cope with the surging price of crude. The BBC's Russell Padmore analyses these developments in conversation with energy analyst Ellen R Wald, the president of Transversal Consulting. Theatres in New York's famous Broadway are reopening this week. We hear how the entertainment industry supports the regional economy.

The Taliban's takeover is a boon for China's propaganda machine: America is tired, its policies disastrous, its values a distraction. Meanwhile China has its own interests in the country. New research may explain rising covid-19 cases among the vaccinated: jabs' effectiveness wanes with time, and “breakthrough” infections appear more contagious. And the case for working, a bit, while on holiday.For full access to print, digital and audio editions of The Economist, subscribe here www.economist.com/intelligenceoffer See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

The Taliban's takeover is a boon for China's propaganda machine: America is tired, its policies disastrous, its values a distraction. Meanwhile China has its own interests in the country. New research may explain rising covid-19 cases among the vaccinated: jabs' effectiveness wanes with time, and “breakthrough” infections appear more contagious. And the case for working, a bit, while on holiday.For full access to print, digital and audio editions of The Economist, subscribe here www.economist.com/intelligenceoffer See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Austin runs solo today and going into detailed discussion why it is so important to train, stay healthy and stay prepared. Details on the new DHS advisory stating that anti authority violent extremist are the top threat priority along with anyone not agreeing with Covid restrictions. While HR 4980 bill has been introduced which directs DHS to ensure ever person who gets on a plane in the US must have the experimental injection. Was Afghanistan a planned failure? Are we seeing once again , Free machine guns for terrorist but more 2nd amendment violations from the ATF for Americans? US military pushing back hard against mandated shots and Multiple attorneys file lawsuit against Hawaii for attempting to mandate injection. Meanwhile China shuts down major port because ONE person tested positive. More supply line shortages coming? Plus much more…

Fear, Panic and Distraction is the name of the game for government and main stream media. Steering around this can tricky for all of us at times but we need to dig around and find what they are distracting us from. Waking the Future Telegram Public Group: https://t.me/joinchat/uNi-dMIwsZlmMGEx   Waking the Future Telegram Channel (Updates): https://t.me/wakingthefuture   SubscribeStar: https://www.subscribestar.com/waking-the-future   Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/WakingtheFuture?fan_landing=true   Contact us: wakingthefuture@protonmail.com   Flote: https://flote.app/user/WakingtheFuture   Odysee: https://odysee.com/@wakingthefuture:0   Brand New Tube: https://brandnewtube.com/@WakingtheFuture   Bitchute: https://www.bitchute.com/channel/qL8XNwXppAZW/   Rumble: https://rumble.com/register/WakingTheFuture1/   Brighteon: https://www.brighteon.com/channels/wakingthefuture1   Podbean Audio Only: https://wakingthefuture.podbean.com/   Article Links: https://www.theorganicprepper.com/why-did-china-buy-an-airstrip-in-texas/   https://news4sanantonio.com/news/trouble-shooters/legislature-passes-bill-to-prevent-chinese-billionaire-from-building-wind-farm   https://merics.org/en/report/evolving-made-china-2025   https://www.medtechdive.com/news/fda-grants-curative-request-revokes-covid-19-test-eua/603449/   https://www.fda.gov/medical-devices/safety-communications/risk-false-results-curative-sars-cov-2-test-covid-19-fda-safety-communication   Thumbnail Link: https://www.google.com/url?sa=i&url=https%3A%2F%2Fsuccessstory.com%2Fpeople%2Fsun-guangxin&psig=AOvVaw3CyfD5ixy9LpdwJCw8SGPM&ust=1627378186933000&source=images&cd=vfe&ved=0CAsQjRxqFwoTCMC9w7C2gPICFQAAAAAdAAAAABAP  

China Caught Building Over 100 Nuclear Missile Silos As Threats Of War Escalate, Taiwan At Risk. Chinese state media is warning the US against defending Taiwan. A Pentagon insider writing in an op-ed for Chinese state media warns Democrat President joe Biden not to go to war with china as the US will lose. Chinese propaganda has been warning that they will seek nuclear weapons to prove to the US they will not back down. Meanwhile China and India are seen massing troops on their borders #China #Democrats #Biden Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Biden Gets HUMILIATED By Putin, Video Catches Biden With Flash Cards As He Struggles In Meeting. Democrats are blind to the failures of Joe Biden and is worsening cognitive decline. While Biden meets with Putin Russia is engaging in a massive war game forcing the US to scramble the air force. Meanwhile China launches 28 warplanes to invade Taiwan's airspace. This is a humiliation of Biden and the US. Putin is mocking the US policy toward protesters and Biden himself. #Democrats #Putin #Biden Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

It’s like #JimCrow laws all over again as Republican legislatures seek to enact voter suppression initiatives against Black and Brown people. Meanwhile China has amassed the 2nd largest Navy Fleet in the world. Do with that as you will --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/harrietcammock/message Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/harrietcammock/support

Meanwhile China is being blamed for our fraudulent election/selection. You can support my work at the links below. We are totally listener supported and we appreciate each and every one of you! Thank you and God bless! Express VPN Link: https://www.xvbelink.com/?offer=3monthsfree&a_fid=jstorm1 *Get 3 months Free* Select the 12 month package and get 3 months free! Bitcoin Wallet: 3M2rBQMPjS2UihwQLuzCeMTveoUSSmH87h PayPal: https://paypal.me/johnnystorm Patreon: https://patreon.com/dontspeak NEW! Cash app now available for donations! Our cash tag is $jstorm212 For checks and money orders please email us at dntspk5@gmail.com and we will send you the address. Support us through the BRAVE web browser here: https://brave.com/don308 Free book on Spiritual Warfare below! https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/780462 https://twitter.com/DontSpe54156130 Show Email dntspk5@gmail.com Back up Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCuJ9KhNAvQ49eHU7HDP6j6Q/videos Website: https://dontspeaknews.com --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/dontspeak/support

China's top policy makers have been meeting to decide on their economic and foreign policy agenda for the coming year. In this episode, CBBC policy analyst Torsten Weller talks us through the main points that have become clear to date. China is set to be one of the very few major economies to experience positive growth this year. But there are plenty of challenges ahead, as the government renews its efforts to place more reliance on Chinese consumers to drive the economy. Meanwhile China has much to do in the realm of foreign affairs, particularly as a new US president comes into office. For more on these topics and other information on the UK business relationship with China, please visit our website at www.cbbc.org.

Against media silence, China has been thwarting calls for independence by silencing Hong Kong protestors with an arbitrary and abstract new law. Meanwhile China has shown war-hawkish aggression towards their neighbors in Asia. We discuss this, and more.

While the coronavirus has shut down movies, concerts and live theater, it has absolutely decimated the comic book industry. Pop culture journalist Geoff Boucher joins us to look at the future for comic book stores and comic book movies. Spoiler alert – one of these is in dire straits. Currently, Boucher is co-authoring a book […] The post Showbiz Sandbox 498: Comic Book Industry Fights For Survival, Meanwhile China and US Simply Fight appeared first on Showbiz Sandbox.

Kia ora,and welcome to Monday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the International edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead news of more strong gains in the relative value of the New Zealand currency as our trade gains with China multiply.China's exports in November shrank for the fourth consecutive month when valued in US dollars but actually rose when valued in yuan, a turnaround they will be satisfied with. But growth in imports was more stronger - in both USD and yuan terms - and may be a sign that Beijing's stimulus steps are starting to work.And China foreign currency reserves were essentially unchanged in November, holding at about US$3.1 bln and a level they have been at for all of 2019. The trade war is showing no signs of eating into these reserves.And iron ore prices are starting to rise again, even if imports are down sharply. Prices are up more than +12% in the past month. Meanwhile China's imports of copper and oil are at or approaching record levels.The same Chinese data showed that New Zealand exported about twice as much to China in November than we imported from them. The politically sensitive trade with the US shows their exports to the US fell -8.4% while their imports from the US fell almost -20% leaving their large surplus with the US little-changed.In Hong Kong, there was a massive street rally in support of democracy. It is clear the Beijing-imposed administration does not have the support of the people of Hong Kong. This protest was peaceful. [Advert]Exchange-Traded Funds are a relatively easy and inexpensive way to diversify a portfolio without having to have the expertise required to pick individual shares. Hatch has more than 500 ETFs on hand, so investors looking to invest in their values and interests close to their hearts are spoiled for choice. Visit www.hatch.as/investing to learn more about how you can easily diversify your portfolio. In the US, consumer credit rose +4.8% in October, and more than expected, to a record US$4.165 tln or 19.3% of GDP. That is up from 19.2% a year ago. The October rise was the biggest increase in three months and was driven by a jump in use of credit cards. The rises for car loans and student loans were more modest.American consumer sentiment also rose, underpinned by good employment numbers.The US non-farm payrolls survey data for November came firmer than expected. +266,000 new jobs were added and there were minor positive adjustments to both prior month's data. The end of the GM strike seems to have had a cascading impact. However their low participation rate was unchanged at 63.2%, so while the rise will be welcomed, it isn't a sign more people are being drawn back into their labour market. After adjusting for the GM strike, manufacturing employment was flat, it was down for 'mining' (read: the oil patch), unchanged in retail, and up strongly in healthcare. Professional job numbers also rose.US hourly earnings are up +3.1% over the past twelve months.All this data supports the US Fed in its stance that their monetary policy settings are about right and markets now don't expect any change when they next meet to review those settings on Thursday, NZT.Meanwhile, trucking companies ordered -39% fewer big-rig trucks in November compared with the same month a year ago, and that was also -21% lower than for October, a weak start for what is typically the busiest season for new-equipment orders. This comes as US freight volumes fell -5.9% in October compared with the same month a year ago, while freight rates were down -2.5% on the same basis.You can see what is driving these declines in the latest wholesale trade data, which is -1.4% lower in October than a year ago.And the Bank of International Settlements has said (page 12) that a combination of a reluctance of four big American banks to lend their cash reserves when some large hedge funds needed secured funding explains the gyrations in the New York repo market that caused the Federal Reserve to have to step up with emergency liquidity.In Canada, the situation is definitely not as positive for payrolls. They recorded a drop in payrolls of -79,000 jobs in November and a rise in their jobless rate to 5.9%. But over the past year, jobs in Canada have grown by an impressive +293,000 and most of that is for full-time employment. Their participation rate is much better that their neighbours however at 65.6% and that clouds comparisons, especially of the jobless rate.In Australia, there is more evidence of a steep contraction in their construction industry and it is now at its lowest level since 2013. The contraction dived a worrying -3.9 points in November from October alone - that is a big move.The UST 10yr yield is at 1.84% and a similar level to this time last week. Gold is now at US$1,460/oz and down -US$4 for the week.US oil prices are up further to just under US$59.50/bbl and that is a rise in a week of +US$4. The Brent benchmark is now just under US$64.50/bbl. Pushing them to this 3 month high has been an OPEC move to curtail supplies further.The Kiwi dollar is on a tear, now up at 65.7 USC and +1½c higher than this time last week and at its highest since the end of July four months ago. In the past month it is up a remarkable +3.7%. On the cross rates we are firmer too, up at 96 AUc and another +1c gain in a week. In fact since the start of November we have gained more than +3c against the Aussie dollar. Against the euro we are up at 59.4 euro cents and that is also more than a +1c gain in a week. That puts the TWI-5 at just on 70.8.You can find links to the articles mentioned today in our show notes.Get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz and subscribe to receive this podcast in your favourite podcast app - we're on Apple Podcasts, Google Podcasts, Spotify or subscribe on our website.Tell your friends and leave us a review - we welcome feedback from listeners.

The war against Brexit lurched further toward lawlessness this week as Britain’s Supreme Court declared a parliamentary procedure unconstitutional, setting itself up as the highest authority in the land, even above the Queen. And in America, Democrats in the House of Representatives decided they don’t want to wait for the next election; they launched a formal impeachment inquiry to try to oust President Donald Trump now. European leaders announced they believe Iran was responsible for the attack on Saudi oil infrastructure, and they want to renegotiate the Iran nuclear deal, in line with President Trump. Meanwhile China announced multibillion-dollar investment into Iranian oil that could complicate efforts to isolate Iran economically. We also talk about pressure from the Muslim Brotherhood mounting against Egypt’s president, Russia and China defense cooperation, and Karl Theodor zu Guttenberg moving back to Germany. Links [0:42] Lawlessness in Britain (10 minutes) “Did Britain Just Have a Revolution?” “America, Britain and Israel: Seeing the Hope in Dysfunction” [11:28] Lawlessness in America (12 minutes) “America, Britain and Israel: Seeing the Hope in Dysfunction” Trumpet Daily Radio Show [23:28] Adversaries of Iran (6 minutes) TRENDS: “Why the Trumpet Watches Iran and Europe Heading for a Clash of Civilizations” [28:52] Allies of Iran (11 minutes) “China-Iran Oil Deal Undermines the Dollar” “Comrade to All, Opponent to None?” [38:44] Muslim Brotherhood Back in Egypt (4 minutes) “Why the Trumpet Watches Iran Allying With Egypt” [42:55] More Russia-China Defense Cooperation (4 minutes) “Why the Trumpet Watches Russia Allying With China” [46:43] Germany’s Leadership Void (4 minutes) “KT zu Guttenberg Returns to Germany” A Strong German Leader Is Imminent [50:57] ‘Indoctrinated’ Child Activists (3 minutes) “America’s Children’s Crusade”

There is trouble brewing in the Matrix. The nations are getting restless. Trade wars and economic wars abound. Economic woes on both a national and global scale accelerate but are denied by the leaders. The Trump wars continue, and the masses are entertained but no one goes to jail. "Next week" for sure they have been saying for 2.5 years. Hillary makes plans for a presidential run. Comey gets off free. On and on it goes as Babylon's lawlessness is on full display for the world to see. Meanwhile China prepares to take Hong Kong and then Taiwan. Israel prepares to "go it alone" and make their "Israeli mistake" of the bots. Dorian goes to hurricane status, and humanity appears oblivious to the approach of Messiah. Sudden destruction cometh and no one pays attention to what Jesus commanded if we want to escape the Matrix. Thanks for listening and if you feel led to: Become a NIGHT SHADOWS Member for just $9.95 per month: http://nightshadows.valueaddon.com/us... MAKE A ONE TIME DONATION: CLICK below, then CLICK on GREEN BUTTON: https://thelightgateblogger.com/index... Stewart Best P.O. Box 55 Downsville, WI 54735 Larry Taylor P.O. Box 317 Talihina, OK. 74571-0317 The best way to stay in touch with us is to be on the email list: http://eepurl.com/bs1HBv

In the US today, we see how even one person willing to oppose the popular consensus can dictate our nation’s response to climate change. Meanwhile China has leapt into the vacuum created by our retreat. In her provocative new book, Will China Save the Planet?, BARBARA FINAMORE, Senior Attorney and Asia Senior Strategic Director, Natural Resources Defense Council, explores China’s big picture, long-term strategy to seize the leadership of the global response and reap the technological, economic, and political benefits.

Your hosts: Levon, Lynn, Marie-Claude (at the river's edge) and Marc (video of show at bottom) ListenEN_The_Link-20190517-WEE15 Climate change and the kelp forests of the Arctic A kelp forest off the coast of Baffin Island in Nunavut, in the Canadian Arctic (Frithjof Kupper) It seems that climate change is having an effect under the Arctic seas. Kelp has always been present but with warming water and with less ice cover, the plants can spread further north into areas where they haven't been and grow faster and taller.  While the kelp seems to cope with the icy water without problem, the warming water, and especially increased sunlight are helping the move northward. The effects on the Arctic marine ecosystem due to increased kelp forests are uncertain Levon spoke with Karen Filbee-Dexter, a researcher in marine biology at Laval University in Quebec City China-Canada diplomatic and trade dispute: A plan towards Chinese domination Containers are offloaded from a ship docked at the Port of Oakland on Monday in Oakland, Calif. China retaliated to U.S. President Donald Trump's 25 per cent tariffs on billions in Chinese goods with its own tariffs on U.S. products.and vowed to "fight to the finish". Meanwhile China continues to exert trade and diplomatic pressure on Canada. Both issues are a small part of a much bigger Chinese policy according to a Chinese expert (Justin Sullivan/Getty Images) Canada acted on a U.S. extradition request and detained a top Chinese executive of the Huawei electronics giant during a flight stopover in Canada. The U.S. wants to try Meng Wanzhou on fraud charges. China has been exerting both diplomatic and trade pressure on Canada to release the woman, with the latest tactic being to formally charge two Canadians it has in detention with being a threat to the Chinese security. Meanwhile, the trade dispute between China and the U.S. also heated up this week with U.S. tariff increases on Chinese products. Marc spoke with political science professor Charles Burton, who was formerly a Canadian diplomat in China. He says Canada's polite objections won't sway China, and the trade issue is part of a larger Chinese goal to become the world superpower. Melanoma: people in northern climates should beware as well A broad-brimmed hat, sunglasses, sunscreen and staying out of the sun between 11 a.m. and 3 p.m. go a long way toward preventing skin cancers, say dermatologists. (iStock) Though Canadians live in a northern region, that's no reason not to be concerned about exposure to the sun's ultraviolet rays. It's recommended to stay out of the sun when it's the strongest between 11:00 AM and 3 PM (15:00H). If caught early, melanoma can be treated, so preventing it, monitoring for it and then bringing it to your doctor’s attention as soon as you notice a change is so important because with those three things we can easily decrease the burden that we have from melanoma. Lynn spoke with Dr. Julia Carroll, a dermatologist on the board of the Canadian Dermatology Association. Watch The Link May 17 2019! Images of the week window.jQuery || document.write('

These days things are more out of control than they were before the banking crash. More derivatives are in the market, more risky trading is being done and no one is paying attention. Meanwhile China has built a housing prison for themselves by over-speculating on housing, resulting in “ghost-cities”. This week we talk to Chris Martensen about China, the coming crash and water, yes… water. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices