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In this episode of ITR Live, Chris Hagenow and John Hendrickson take a deep dive into the proposed federal “Big, Beautiful Bill” —a sweeping tax and budget to extend the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). They explore what's included, how it could impact Iowa taxpayers, and why federal spending policy is just as important to state-level fiscal decisions as what happens in Des Moines.The episode starts with local stories, including Axios Des Moines' report on housing incentives and Des Moines' call for suburban areas to contribute more to metro affordable housing projects. Chris and John push back on the idea of taxpayer-subsidized development, highlighting how government incentives—whether for low-income housing or luxury projects—distort the free market and fuel property tax frustrations.From there, they shift to the heart of the episode: Trump-era tax cuts are set to expire, and Congress is working on a major package to extend and expand many of those provisions. The bill includes an expanded child tax credit, increases to the standard deduction, and proposed tax exemptions for tips and overtime pay. Chris and John warn that while these carveouts may be politically appealing, they erode the tax base and complicate Iowa's flat tax system due to the state's rolling conformity with federal tax law.They also dissect the politics of the SALT cap debate, a key sticking point among lawmakers from high-tax states, and outline how raising the cap to $40,000 could disproportionately benefit wealthier taxpayers in states like New York and California—undermining the incentive for state-level tax reform.In closing, the hosts emphasize the broader lesson: neither tax relief nor economic growth is sustainable without spending restraint. With the federal government projected to spend nearly $89 trillion over the next 10 years, and only modest cuts proposed, Chris and John preview future ITR Foundation efforts to spotlight the dangers of unchecked national debt—and why every taxpayer, including Iowans, should care.
Behind every piece of major legislation, there's a story of strategy, sacrifice, and high stakes. In this episode of American Potential, host David From is joined by Andy Koenig—former White House advisor and one of the key architects behind the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). From inside the halls of the West Wing to late-night meetings on Capitol Hill, Andy offers a behind-the-scenes look at how the landmark tax reform came together—and why it matters more than ever today. Far from being just a “corporate tax cut,” the TCJA helped over 25 million small businesses and countless working families keep more of their hard-earned money. Andy breaks down how the law simplified the code, sparked job growth, and put power back in the hands of entrepreneurs—not bureaucrats. But with key provisions set to expire soon, Americans now face the threat of a massive tax hike at the worst possible time. Andy also shares a lighter moment from the White House: President Trump wanted to name the bill “Cut Cut Cut”—a reminder that clear messaging matters. With inflation surging and government spending out of control, Andy and David make the case for why now is the time to make these tax cuts permanent—and why letting them lapse would be a crushing blow to American potential. Whether you're a taxpayer, small business owner, or policy nerd, this episode is a must-listen for understanding the stakes behind one of the most consequential economic reforms in a generation.
What happens when a family business is nearly shut down over a simple paperwork error? In this eye-opening episode of American Potential, host David From sits down with Chase Sharp, a third-generation business owner from Baton Rouge, Louisiana, who shares how the federal government nearly wiped out his company—not because of fraud or abuse, but because of a minor administrative mistake. Chase walks us through how the Biden administration's “zero tolerance” gun policy triggered an aggressive ATF response that led to a year-and-a-half court battle, $30,000 in legal fees, and untold hours diverted from actually serving customers. He explains how this level of federal overreach isn't just bureaucratic—it's personal, and it's threatening the future of Main Street businesses across America. But it's not all bad news. Chase also reflects on the positive impact of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), which helped his family-owned pawn shop expand to five locations, give raises to employees, and serve more customers during a period of historic economic growth. Now, with TCJA set to expire, he warns what's at stake for business owners and working families if Congress doesn't act. From navigating audits and red tape to surviving targeted regulation and building a legacy with his family, Chase's story is a powerful reminder of why economic freedom matters—and how it's under threat. If you care about protecting small businesses, keeping the American Dream alive, and making government work for the people—not against them—this is an episode you won't want to miss.
When it comes to your financial future, a few bad assumptions can lead to costly mistakes. In this episode, Craig and Jennifer break down some of the most common (and dangerous) misconceptions people have about retirement planning. We'll discuss why a Roth IRA is an account—not an investment, the truth about delaying Social Security benefits, and why assuming your pension lump sum is always the best option might not work for you. We'll also talk about the implications of tax brackets and how tax laws could shift dramatically if the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) expires. With more than 30 years working with clients, we can help you make more informed financial decisions and avoid bad assumptions with your retirement plan. Here's some of what we discuss in this episode:
American Institute of CPAs - Personal Financial Planning (PFP)
In this episode of the AICPA Personal Financial Planning Podcast, host Cary Sinnett speaks with expert CPA estate planner Bob Keebler about the latest legislative efforts to repeal the estate tax. They discuss the implications for financial planners, strategies to consider, and how advisors can proactively help clients navigate potential changes. Key Takeaways: Estate Tax Repeal on the Horizon Bills have been introduced in Congress to repeal the estate tax while retaining the gift tax and repealing the generation-skipping transfer (GST) tax. The likelihood of repeal is uncertain, and any repeal may be temporary depending on future political shifts. Potential Scenarios for Estate Tax Reform Three possible outcomes: extension of the current Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), total repeal, or a sunset of the current exemption levels. A sunset would likely be the least favorable for high-net-worth individuals, while total repeal could create new planning challenges. Implications for Estate Planning Strategies Portability rules could be affected, potentially eliminating the ability for a surviving spouse to use a deceased spouse's unused exemption. Trust structures, such as bypass and GST-exempt trusts, may need to be reviewed and adjusted before any legislative changes take effect. Planning Ahead: A Limited Window for Action Advisors should consider creating GST-exempt trusts in 2025 before any repeal is enacted to preserve tax benefits. Reviewing and updating existing estate planning documents is critical to avoid unintended consequences if the tax law changes. Access resources and events related to this podcast: Note: If you're using a podcast app that does not hyperlink to the resources, visit Libsyn (PFP) to access show notes with direct links. Understanding Estate Tax Sunset | Navigating Tax Changes for Expiring TCJA Provisions Estate planning for the TCJA sunset of the double exclusion amount Planning for tax changes and tax reform This episode is brought to you by the AICPA's Personal Financial Planning Section, the premier provider of information, tools, advocacy, and guidance for professionals who specialize in providing tax, estate, retirement, risk management and investment planning advice. Also, by the CPA/PFS credential program, which allows CPAs to demonstrate competence and confidence in providing these services to their clients. Visit us online to join our community, gain access to valuable member-only benefits or learn about our PFP certificate program. Subscribe to the PFP Podcast channel at Libsyn to find all the latest episodes or search “AICPA Personal Financial Planning” on your favorite podcast app.
This Day in Legal History: National Referendum on ApartheidOn March 17, 1992, South Africa took a decisive step toward dismantling apartheid through a historic national referendum. White South African voters were asked whether they supported the government's efforts to end apartheid and negotiate a new, democratic constitution. An overwhelming 68.7% voted in favor, signaling broad support for ending over four decades of racial segregation. This referendum provided then-President F.W. de Klerk with the political mandate to continue negotiations with the African National Congress (ANC) and other groups. The result was a major victory for the anti-apartheid movement, which had long fought against the country's system of institutionalized racial oppression.The referendum was limited to white voters, who had historically benefited from apartheid, making their approval a crucial moment in South African history. It paved the way for the country's first multiracial elections in 1994, in which Nelson Mandela was elected president. With this, South Africa officially transitioned from an apartheid state to a democracy, enshrining equal rights for all citizens. The vote also marked the beginning of legal reforms that led to the adoption of a new constitution in 1996. While the end of apartheid did not immediately erase economic and social inequalities, the referendum remains a defining moment in the country's legal and political history. It demonstrated that legal systems, even when designed to uphold injustice, can be reformed through democratic means.A federal judge ruled that the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) must reinstate probationary employees it had recently terminated. As a result, the agency is bringing back those workers, along with most term employees, and providing them with back pay. However, term employees with more than two years of service were not reinstated. The CFPB had initially fired 70 enforcement attorneys and up to 100 other employees after acting Director Russell Vought took over in February. The judge's decision is part of a broader legal battle over federal workforce reductions, with similar rulings affecting multiple agencies. Despite this setback, the Trump administration remains committed to deep staffing cuts across federal agencies, with reduction plans already submitted to the Office of Personnel Management. The firings had faced opposition from the National Treasury Employees Union, which reached an agreement with the CFPB to pause additional terminations while another court considers an injunction. The reinstatement process has been messy, with workers unsure of their status and vendor contracts disrupted. However, legally mandated CFPB functions, such as consumer response, are being prioritized for restoration.CFPB Brings Back Probationary Employees After Judge's RulingTrump has escalated his attacks on major law firms, this time targeting Paul Weiss, a firm known for representing top financial institutions and engaging in high-profile pro bono work. His executive order directs federal agencies to cut ties with companies that are Paul Weiss clients and suspend the firm's lawyers' security clearances. The move follows similar actions against Perkins Coie and Covington & Burling. Paul Weiss has deep ties to Wall Street, with clients including JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, and Apollo Global Management. Some of these corporate leaders have criticized Trump's tariff policies, potentially influencing his decision to go after the firm.Trump's order highlights Paul Weiss's past work, including its involvement in a lawsuit against the Proud Boys and Oath Keepers over the January 6 Capitol riot. The firm has a long history of civil rights advocacy, from Brown v. Board of Education to LGBTQ+ and voting rights cases. Critics argue Trump's actions are politically motivated, targeting firms with Democratic connections while ignoring their bipartisan donor base. A federal judge previously blocked a similar order against Perkins Coie, and Paul Weiss is expected to mount a strong legal challenge. However, even if the order is overturned, the chilling effect is real—firms risk losing business from clients wary of crossing Trump. Some industry experts believe this could push law firms to unite against political interference, but whether collective action emerges remains uncertain.Trump Fights Paul Weiss as Wall Street Seeks President's EarTrump targets law firm Paul Weiss in order restricting government access | ReutersThe Trump administration deported hundreds of Venezuelan migrants despite a federal judge's order blocking the move. The deportations targeted alleged members of the Tren de Aragua gang, whom the administration labeled as “terrorists.” The White House dismissed the court's authority, arguing that a single judge could not override the president's powers on immigration and national security. Judge James Boasberg had ruled that Trump's use of the Alien Enemies Act to justify the deportations was unlawful, as the law applies only to conflicts “commensurate to war.” Despite this, flights carrying the migrants landed in El Salvador, where President Nayib Bukele publicly mocked the judge's ruling and confirmed the men were being imprisoned.Legal experts, including the ACLU, argue the administration is in open defiance of the court and may have violated constitutional checks and balances. The White House claimed that some migrants had already been deported before the judge's order, but it remains unclear if others were removed afterward. Critics see this as an unprecedented challenge to judicial authority, while Trump defended the deportations, calling the migrants "bad people" and insisting the situation amounted to war. The legal battle over these actions is expected to continue, with calls for the U.S. government to reverse any unlawful removals.Trump administration deports Venezuelans despite court order, says judge has no authorityThe White House is taking an unprecedented role in overseeing the sale of TikTok's U.S. operations, with Vice President JD Vance leading the process. Instead of a traditional investment bank managing the auction, Vance's legal team is directly engaging with bidders and advising on their offers. President Trump has emphasized his control over the sale, claiming multiple groups are interested, while also suggesting the U.S. government could take a 50% stake in TikTok's American assets.The sale process is highly unusual, lacking a defined valuation or clear asset structure, and ByteDance, TikTok's Chinese parent company, has shown minimal engagement. Potential buyers, including investors like Frank McCourt and Kevin O'Leary, face an April 5 deadline to reach a deal. However, Beijing's involvement and the possibility that ByteDance could simply shut down TikTok in the U.S. add further uncertainty.While the U.S. government has previously intervened in corporate deals for national security or economic stability reasons, experts question whether TikTok meets such criteria. Trump, who initially sought to ban TikTok, has since acknowledged its role in helping him gain young voters. The app's sale price remains uncertain, largely depending on whether its valuable recommendation algorithm is included. With intense competition among bidders and political interests shaping the process, the outcome remains unpredictable.The White House's unusual role as dealmaker in TikTok sale | ReutersIn a piece I wrote for Forbes this weekend, I lay out what I reckon is the Trump administration's plan to dismantle Social Security and Medicare. The Trump administration's proposal to eliminate taxes for individuals earning under $150,000 sounds appealing at first but carries severe consequences. Social Security and Medicare rely heavily on payroll taxes, which most workers in this income range pay more than income taxes. If these taxes are removed, the programs will be starved of funding, leading to either massive deficit spending, extreme benefit cuts, or a shift to regressive taxes like sales taxes. The proposal, combined with extending the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), would disproportionately benefit the wealthy while leaving the middle class to shoulder the remaining tax burden. The TCJA already made corporate tax cuts permanent while setting individual cuts to expire by 2025, favoring the rich. If this new plan moves forward, those earning just above $150,000 could become the last major tax-paying bracket, while state and local taxes would likely rise to compensate. The ultra-wealthy, who benefited the most from previous tax cuts, are unlikely to pick up the slack. Rather than a tax break for workers, the proposal appears to be a backdoor attempt to dismantle entitlement programs. If no one is paying in, no one gets benefits out—a reality Trump's allies don't want to admit.Trump Administration's No Taxes Under $150k Proposal Is A Disaster This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.minimumcomp.com/subscribe
Big tax changes could be coming soon! On February 25, the House passed a budget resolution setting a $4.5 trillion cap for a new tax bill that could replace the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) before it expires at the end of 2025. But what will the new law look like, and how will it impact your financial plan? In this episode, Tyler Emrick, CFA®, CFP®, breaks down the key debates in Congress, what changes might be coming, and how you can prepare now to optimize your tax strategy. Here's some of what we discuss in this episode:
Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found Click On Picture To See Larger Picture The [CB] has started the narrative that the tax cuts are going to the wealthy and his policies will bring the country into a recession. The country is already in a recession. Trump has now added more tariffs to the mix. Canada and Mexico will fold and give in to his demands. Tariffs will create jobs over the long run. The economic transition has begun. The [DS] is feeling the pain, they were put on display during Trumps congressional speech. The people saw how the Ds hate our country and how they were protecting their money laundering operation. The pain they are feeling will increase as their crimes are released to the public. In the end the D party will cease to exist once it's all exposed. (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:13499335648425062,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-7164-1323"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="//cdn2.customads.co/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); Economy Trump's lies on tax cuts are another gut punch to America's working-class You know the old expression, numbers don't lie? Well, they do when the numbers come out of President Trump's mouth. Trump's numbers don't add up. If he were getting a math grade for his speech to the joint session of Congress, he'd fail miserably. Trump is worse than a student who hasn't done his homework. He's a president who routinely lies to mislead the public, justify his wrongdoing and distract us from the real harm he's doing to Americans and the lasting damage he's doing to America. Trump made a lot of promises about a new “golden age” for America. But in reality, he and congressional Republicans are getting ready to sell out Americans and our future so he can deliver massive tax cuts to billionaires like Elon Musk. Source: thehill.com Yes, the $4.5 trillion in tax cuts you're referring to is largely tied to the continuation of the Trump tax cuts, specifically those enacted under the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). Many of the TCJA's provisions, particularly the individual income tax cuts, are set to expire at the end of 2025. Extending these expiring provisions is a significant part of what's being discussed in current budget proposals. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) and other analyses estimate that permanently extending the TCJA's individual, estate, and certain business tax provisions would cost around $4.6 trillion over a 10-year period (2025–2034), including debt service costs. This figure aligns closely with the $4.5 trillion often cited in recent Republican budget resolutions, such as the House Budget Committee's plan released in February 2025. That proposal explicitly allocates $4.5 trillion to the Ways and Means Committee to "lock in tax cuts," which is widely understood to mean extending the TCJA provisions that would otherwise expire. The TCJA lowered rates across all brackets. For example, the 15% bracket dropped to 12%, and the 25% bracket became 22%. If it expires, rates revert to pre-2017 levels (10%, 15%, 25%, 28%, 33%, 35%, 39.6%). A single filer earning $50,000 in 2025, for instance, would see their marginal rate jump from 22% to 25%, increasing their tax bill by a few hundred dollars annually. Standard Deduction: The TCJA nearly doubled it—$13,850 for singles and $27,700 for married couples in 2023 (adjusted yearly for inflation). Post-expiration, it drops back to around $6,350 and $12,700 (pre-2017 levels, plus inflation). This means more income gets taxed, especially for those who don't itemize, which is most working people. A couple taking the $27,700 deduction now could owe taxes on an extra $15,000 or so, adding roughly $3,000 to their bill at a 22% rate. Child Tax Credit: The TCJA bumped it to $2,000 per kid (with $1,
Our U.S. Public Policy and Currency analysts, Ariana Salvatore and Andrew Watrous, discuss why the dollar fell at the beginning of the first Trump administration and whether it could happen again this year. ----- Transcript ----Ariana Salvatore: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Ariana Salvatore, Morgan Stanley's U.S. Public Policy Strategist.Andrew Watrous: And I'm Andrew Watrous, G10 FX Strategist here at Morgan Stanley.Ariana Salvatore: Today, we'll focus on the U.S. dollar and how it might fare in global markets during the first year of the new Trump administration.It's Tuesday, March 4th at 10am in New York.So, Andrew, a few weeks ago, James Lord came on to talk about the foreign exchange volatility. Since then, tariffs and trade policy have been in the news. Last night at midnight, 25 percent tariffs on Mexico and Canada went into effect, in addition to 10 percent on China. So, let's set the scene for today's conversation. Is the dollar still dominant in global currency markets?Andrew Watrous: Yes, it is. The U.S. dollar is used in about $7 trillion worth of daily FX transactions. And the dollar's share of all currency transactions has been pretty stable over the last few decades. And something like 80 percent of all trade finance is invoiced in dollars, and that share has been pretty stable too.A big part of that dollar dominance is because of the depth and safety of the Treasury security market.Ariana Salvatore: That makes sense. And the dollar fell in 2017, the first year of the Trump administration. Why did that happen?Andrew Watrous: Yeah, so 2017 gets a lot of client attention because the Fed was hiking, there was a lot of uncertainty about would happen in NAFTA, and the U.S. passed a fiscally expansionary budget bill that year.So, people have asked us, ‘Why the U.S. dollar went down despite all those factors?' And I think there are three reasons. One is that even though the possibility that the U.S. could leave NAFTA was all over the headlines that year, U.S. tariffs didn't actually go up. Another factor is that global growth turned out to be really strong in 2017, and that was helped in part by fiscal policy in China and Europe. And finally, there were some political risks in Europe that didn't end up materializing.So, investors took a sigh of relief about the possibility that I think had been priced in a bit that the Eurozone might break up. And then a lot of those factors went into reverse in 2018 and the U.S. dollar went up.Ariana Salvatore: So, applying that framework with those factors to today, is it possible that we see a repeat of 2017 in terms of the U.S. dollar decline?Andrew Watrous: Yeah, I think it's likely that the U.S. dollar continues to go lower for some of the same reasons as we saw in 2017. So, I think that compared to 2017, there's a lot more U.S. dollar positive risk premium around trade policy. So, the bar is higher for the U.S. dollar to go up just from trade headlines alone.And just like in 2017, European policy developments could be a tailwind to the euro. We've been highlighting the potential for German fiscal expansion as European defense policy comes into focus. And unlike in 2017, when the Fed was raising rates, now the Fed is probably going to cut more this year. So that's a headwind to the dollar that didn't exist back in 2017.So, on trade, Ariana. What developments do you expect? Do you think that Trump's new policies will make 2025 different in any way from 2017?Ariana Salvatore: So, taking a step back and looking at this from a very high level, a few things are different in spite of the fact that we're actually talking about a lot of similar policies. Tariffs and tax policy were a big focus in 2017 to 2019, and to be sure, this time around, they are too, but in a slightly different way.So, for example, on tax cuts, we're not talking about bringing rates lower on the individual and corporate side. We're talking about extending current policy. And on tariffs and trade policy, this round I would characterize as much broader, right? So, Trump has scoped in a broader range of trading partners into the discussion like Mexico and Canada; and is talking about a starting point that level-wise is much higher than what we saw in the whole 2018 2019 trade friction period.The highest rate back then we ever saw was 25 percent, and that was on the final batch of Chinese goods, that list four. Whereas this time, we're talking about 25 percent as a starting point for Mexico and Canada.I think sequencing is also a really important distinction. In 2017, we saw the tax cuts through the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) come first, followed by trade tensions in 2018 to 2019. This time around, it's really the inverse. Republicans just passed their budget resolution in the House. That lays the groundwork for the tax cut extensions.But in the meantime, Trump has been talking about tariff implementation since before he was even elected. And we've already had a number of really key trade related catalysts in the just six weeks or so that he's been in office.Andrew Watrous: So, you mentioned expectations for fiscal policy. What are recent developments there, and what do you think will happen with U.S. fiscal?Ariana Salvatore: I mentioned the budget resolution in the house that was passed last week. And you can really think of that as the starting point for the reconciliation process to kick off. And consequently, the extension of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.To be clear, we think that House Republicans will be able to align behind extending most of the expiring Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, but that's still in the books until the end of 2025. So, we see many months needed to kind of build this consensus among cohorts of the Republican caucus in Congress, and we already know there's some key sticking points in the discussion.What happens with the SALT [State and Local Tax] cap? What sort of clawbacks occur with the Inflation Reduction Act? All these are disagreements that right now are going to need time to work their way through Congress. So not a lot of alignment just yet. We think it's going to take most of the year to get there.But ultimately, we do see an extension of most of the TCJA, which is like I said, current law until the end of 2025.But Andrew from what I understand when it comes to fiscal policy, there are really two stages in terms of the market impact that we saw in the last administration. Can you walk us through those?Andrew Watrous: Yeah, so one lesson from 2016 to 2018 is that there were really two stages of when fiscal developments boosted the dollar. The first was right after the U.S. election in 2016, and the second was much later after the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act passed. So right after the 2016 election, within a couple of weeks, the dollar index rallied from 98 up to 103, and 10-year Treasury yields rose as well.And then things sort of moved sideways in between these two stages. Ten-year Treasury yield just moved sideways. Fiscal wasn't as supportive to the U.S. dollar. And as we know, the dollar went down. And then we had the second stage more than a year later. So, the TCJA was passed in December 2017. And then the dollar rallied after that along with the rise in Treasury yield.So, we think that now, what we've seen is actually very similar to what happened in 2017, where the dollar and yields moved a lot after the 2024 election; but now the budget reconciliation process probably won't be a tailwind to the dollar until after a tax cuts extension passes Congress. And as you mentioned, that's not going to be for many, many months. So, in the interim, we think there's a lot of room for the dollar to go down.Ariana Salvatore: And just to level set our expectations there to your point, it is probably going to be later this year. House Republicans have to align on a number of key sticking points. So, we have passage somewhere on the third or fourth quarter of 2025.But when we think about the fiscal picture, aside from the deficit and the macro impacts, a really key component is going to be what these tax changes mean for the equity market. The extension of certain tax policies will matter more for certain sectors versus others. For example, we know that extending some of the corporate provisions, aside from the lower rate, will have an impact across domestically oriented industries like industrials, healthcare, and telecom.But Andrew, to bring it back to this discussion, I want to think a little bit more about how we can loop in our expectations for the equity market and map that to certain dollar outcomes. How do you think that this as a barometer has changed, if at all, from Trump's first term?Andrew Watrous: Yeah, currency strategists like me love talking about yield differentials. But from 2016 to 2018, the U.S. dollar did not trade in line with yield differentials. Instead, in the initial years of President Trump's first term, equities were a much better barometer than interest rates for where the U.S. dollar would go.After President Trump was elected in 2016, U.S. stocks really outperformed stocks in the rest of the world, and the U.S. dollar went up. Then in 2017, stocks outside the U.S. caught up to the move in U.S. stocks, and the U.S. dollar fell. Then in 2018, all that went into reverse, and U.S. stocks started outperforming again, and the U.S. dollar went up.So, what we've been seeing in stocks today really echoes 2017, not 2018. Stocks outside the U.S. have caught up to the post election rise in U.S. stocks. And so, just like it did in 2017, we think that the U.S. dollar will decline to catch up to that move in relative stock indices.Ariana Salvatore: Finally, Andrew, we already discussed the U.S. dollar negative drivers from 2017. But what happened to these drivers the following year in 2018? And is that any indication for what might happen in 2026?Andrew Watrous: So 2018, as you mentioned, does offer a blueprint for how the U.S. dollar could go up. So, for example, if trade tensions evolve in a direction where our economists would have to significantly downwardly revise their global growth forecasts, then the U.S. dollar could start to look more attractive as a safe haven. And in 2018, there was a big rise in long-end Treasury yields. That's not what we're calling for; but if that were to happen, then the U.S. dollar could catch a bid.Ariana Salvatore: Andrew, thanks for taking the time to talk.Andrew Watrous: Great speaking with you, Ariana.Ariana Salvatore: And thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share the podcast with a friend or colleague today.
Doug McHoney (PwC's International Tax Services Global Leader) is joined by Pat Brown, an International Tax Partner and Co-Leader of PwC's Washington National Tax Services practice. Together, they unpack the state of US corporate tax policy in 2025, analyzing how regulatory, legislative, and geopolitical forces could shape the next era of taxation. Doug and Pat dissect the final regulations issued in the closing days of the Biden administration, including the controversial disregarded payment loss (DPL) regulations, finalized and proposed digital content and cloud sourcing rules, and updates on corporate basis-shifting transactions. With a new administration in power, they explore whether these rules will stand, be modified, or be repealed entirely—and what this means for business certainty and planning. The conversation then pivots to legislative challenges, as the expiration of key provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) creates a ticking time bomb for tax policy. Finally, they tackle the international tax front, where the US f administration responds to the OECD's Pillar Two and potential digital services tax (DST) retaliation under new proposals like Section 899.
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Feb 24, 2025 – Jim Puplava and tax expert Dan Pilla discuss the potential extension of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), emphasizing its benefits for the middle class, like lower tax rates and the Qualified Business Income Deduction. They warn that its 2026...
Global Head of Fixed Income and Public Policy Research Michael Zezas and Head of Global Evaluation, Accounting and Tax Todd Castagno discuss the market and economic implications of proposed tax extensions and tax cuts.----- Listener Survey -----Complete a short listener survey at http://www.morganstanley.com/podcast-survey and help us make the podcast even more valuable for you. For every survey completed, Morgan Stanley will donate $25 to the Feeding America® organization to support their important work.© 2025 Morgan Stanley. All Rights Reserved. CRC#4174856 02/2025----- Transcript -----Before we get into today's episode, the team behind Thoughts on the Market wants your thoughts, and your input. Fill out our listener survey and help us make this podcast even more valuable for you. The link is in the show notes, and you'll hear it at the end of the episode. Plus, help us help the Feeding America organization. For every survey completed, Morgan Stanley will donate $25 toward their important work.Thanks for your time and support. On to the show.Michael Zezas: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michael Zezas, Morgan Stanley's Global Head of Fixed Income Research and Public Policy Strategy.Todd Castagno: And I'm Todd Castagno, Head of Global Evaluation, Accounting and Tax.Michael Zezas: Today, we'll focus on taxes under the new Trump administration.It's Monday, February 10th, at 10am in New York.Recently, at the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum in Davos, President Trump stated his administration will pass the largest tax cut in American history, including substantial tax cuts for workers and families. He was short on the details, but tax policies were a significant focus of his election campaign.Todd, can you give us a better sense of the tax cuts that Trump's been vocal about so far?Todd Castagno: Well, there's tax cuts and tax extensions. So, I think that's an important place to set the baseline. The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), under his first administration, starts to expire in 2025. And so, what we view is, the most likelihood is, an extension of those policies going forward. However, there's some new ideas, some new contours as well. So, for instance, a lower corporate rate that gets you in the 15 per cent ballpark can be through domestic tax credits, new incentives.I think there's other items on the individual side of the code that could be explored as well. But we also have to kind of step back and creating new policy is very challenging. So again, that baseline is an extension of kind of the tax world we live in today.So, Michael, looking at the broader macro picture and from conversations with our economist, how would these tax cuts impact GDP and macro in general?Michael Zezas: Well, if you're talking about extension of current policy, which is most of our expectation about what happens with taxes at the end of the year, the way our economists have been looking at this is to say that there's no net new impulse for households or companies to behave differently.That might be true on a sector-by-sector basis, but in the aggregate for the economy, there's no reason to look at this policy and think that it is going to provide a definitive uplift to the growth forecast that they have for 2026. Now, there may be some other provisions that could add in there that are incremental that we'd have to consider.But still, they would probably take time to play out or their measurable impact would be very hard to define. Things like raising the cap on the state and local tax deduction, that tends to impact higher income households who already aren't constrained from a spending perspective. And things like a domestic manufacturing tax credit for companies, that could take several years to play out before it actually manifests into spending.Todd Castagno: And you're kind of seeing that with the prior administration's tax law, the Inflation Reduction Act. A lot of this takes years in order to actually play through the economy. So that's something that investors should consider.Michael Zezas: Yeah, these things certainly take time; and you know back in 2018 it had been a long ambition, particularly of Republican lawmakers, to reduce the corporate tax rate. They succeeded in doing that, getting it down to 21 per cent in Trump's first term. Now, Trump's talked about getting corporate tax rates lower again here. If he's able to do that, how do you think he would do that? And would that affect how you're thinking about investment and hiring?Todd Castagno: So, there's the corporate rate itself, and it's at 21 per cent currently. There is a view to change that rate, lower it. However, there's other ways you can reduce that effective tax burden through what we've just discussed. So enhanced corporate deductions, timing differences, companies can benefit from a tax system that ultimately gets them a lower effective rate, even if the corporate rate doesn't move much.Michael Zezas: And so, what sorts of companies and what sorts of sectors of the market would benefit the most from that type of reduction in the corporate tax burden?Todd Castagno: So, if you think they're mosaic of all these items, it's going to accrue to domestic companies. That might sound kind of obvious, but if you look at our economy, we have large multinationals and we have domestic companies and we have small businesses. The policies that are being articulated, I think, mostly orient towards domestic companies, industrials, for instance, R&D incentives, again powering our AI plants, energy, et cetera.Michael Zezas: Got it. And is there any read through on if a company does better under this policy – if they're big relative to being small?Todd Castagno: There are a lot of small business elements as well. So, I mentioned that timing difference, being able to deduct a piece of machinery day one versus over seven years. So, there's a lot of benefits that are not in the rate itself that can accrue through smaller businesses.Michael Zezas: YAnd what about for individual taxpayers, particularly the middle class? What particular tax cuts are on the table there?Todd Castagno: So, first and foremost is the child tax care credit. So, it's current policy, but after COVID, it was enhanced. A higher dollar amount, different mechanism for receiving funds. And so, there is bipartisan support and President Trump as well, bringing back a version of an enhanced credit. Now, the policy is a little bit tricky, but I would say there's very good odds that that comes back. You know, you mentioned the state and local tax deduction, right? The politics are also tricky, but there could be a rate of change where that reverts back to pre-TCJA.But one of the things, Michael, is all these policies are very expensive. So, I'm just curious, in your mind, how do we balance the price tag versus the outcome?Michael Zezas: Well, I think the main constraint here to consider is that Republicans have a very slim majority in the House of Representatives and the Senate, and they're unlikely to get Democratic representatives crossing the aisle to vote with them on a tax package this large. So, they'll really need complete consensus on whatever tax items they extend and the deficit impact that it causes this is the type of thing that ultimately will constrain the package to be smaller than perhaps some of the president's stated ambitions.So, for example, items like making the interest payments on auto loans tax deductible, we think there might not be sufficient support for that and the budget costs that it would create. So ultimately, we think you get back to a package that's mostly about extending current cuts, adding in a couple more items like that domestic manufacturing tax credit, which is also very closely tied to Republicans larger trade ambition. And you might also see Republicans do some things to reduce the price tag, like, for example, only extend the tax cuts for a few years, as opposed to five or 10 years.Todd Castagno: Right.Michael Zezas: Todd, thanks for taking the time to talk.Todd Castagno: Great speaking with you, Mike.Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the podcast, help us make it even more valuable for you. Share your feedback on the show at morganstanley.com/podcast-survey or head to the episode notes for survey link.The proceeding content is informational only and based on information available when created. It is not an offer or a solicitation nor is it tax or legal advice. It does not consider your financial circumstances and objectives and may not be suitable for you.
In this episode of American Potential, host David From sits down with Tim Hennessy, former sales manager at a local TV station, to discuss how the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) transformed the small business landscape. Tim shares firsthand accounts of how local businesses used the tax relief to expand, experiment with new marketing strategies, and invest in their employees. He also reflects on his own journey as a small business owner, navigating economic ups and downs, and explains why tax and regulatory policies play a critical role in shaping opportunities for entrepreneurs. With a new administration focused on pro-business policies, Tim expresses renewed optimism for small business growth and economic expansion. Tune in to hear real-world stories of resilience, innovation, and the impact of sound economic policy on everyday business owners.
In this week's episode of Retire in Texas, Darryl Lyons, CEO and Co-Founder of PAX Financial Group, breaks down his top ten convictions for 2025, exploring trends and insights shaping the financial landscape in the year ahead. From housing market optimism to artificial intelligence entering the mainstream, Darryl offers thoughtful perspectives to help you navigate opportunities and challenges in the coming year. Key highlights of the episode include: ● Why millennials and Gen Z may finally catch a break in the housing market as regulatory incentives and builder optimism reshape the landscape. ● Preparing for a potential 10% market pullback, driven by an unexpected and significant event. ● Insights on how diversification may lead to opportunities beyond the "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks. ● How the expiration of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) could impact estate taxes, deductions, and planning strategies. ● How significant advancements in artificial intelligence will begin to reshape productivity and innovation across industries, with companies leveraging AI to achieve unprecedented efficiencies and create new opportunities for growth. For additional insights and to learn how PAX Financial Group can guide your financial journey, visit www.PAXFinancialGroup.com. If you enjoyed this episode, share it with someone who could benefit! Resources: Housing Market Predictions For 2025: When Will Home Prices Drop? – Forbes Advisor Trump wants to fix the housing affordability crisis: Can he? | Fox Business About - The Hotel Guide Moore's Law Texas' Main Voucher Bill This Chart Shows How Often Stock Market Corrections Occur | Money Travel 2025: The Forecast on Pricing is Mixed - The New York Times
The Paychex Business Series Podcast with Gene Marks - Coronavirus
Taxes are changing — what does that mean for your business? On this week's episode of Paychex THRIVE, Gene Marks chats with Stephen Dombroski, Senior Compliance Manager at Paychex, to break down the critical tax changes coming as the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act approaches its expiration. From bonus depreciation to the Section 199A deduction (and everything in between), Stephen shares what these changes might mean for your business, your employees, and even your personal finances. Whether you're planning capital investments, thinking about R&D credits, or just trying to stay ahead of tax changes, this episode is packed with expert advice to help you prepare. Topics include: 00:00 – Episode preview and welcome 01:03 – Discussion on Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) 02:20 – Provisions of TCJA 04:42 – Impact of fluctuating TCJA depreciation policies 06:35 – Potential bipartisan tax deal and its outcomes 08:29 – Individual income tax changes 10:36 – Future tax changes and employer considerations 12:37 – Employee Retention Credit discussion 14:18 – Implications of possible changes to estates taxes and the Work Opportunity Tax Credit 15:34 – Advice on preparing for tax changes 17:39 – Wrap up and thank you 14 ways to save on small business taxes in 2025: https://bit.ly/3CoMNgy Regulatory changes every business should know and prepare for this year: https://bit.ly/4gfFWE6 DISCLAIMER: The information presented in this podcast, and that is further provided by the presenter, should not be considered legal or accounting advice, and should not substitute for legal, accounting, or other professional advice in which the facts and circumstances may warrant. We encourage you to consult legal counsel as it pertains to your own unique situation(s) and/or with any specific legal questions you may have.
While on the campaign trail, President-elect Trump didn't just promise to extend the tax cuts he passed with the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) in 2017, he promised additional tax breaks for Americans. Ranging from the removal of taxes on tips and overtime for workers to reductions in corporate rates for businesses, tax legislation in the next administration will have wide-reaching effects. Our tax policy team breaks down these proposals and discusses their likelihood of inclusion in reconciliation legislation.
As tax cuts from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) face expiration, Americans for Prosperity (AFP) is launching the "Protect Prosperity" campaign to ensure economic freedom for all Americans. In this episode, new host David From speaks with Ken Strang, Managing Director for AFP, about the critical importance of extending these tax reforms. Learn how the TCJA impacted small businesses, created jobs, and saved American families up to $1,500 annually. Hear inspiring stories of entrepreneurs who thrived thanks to these policies and discover how AFP's grassroots efforts, from door-knocking to innovative local events, are mobilizing citizens to fight for economic opportunity. This episode also highlights the consequences of Bidenomics, rising costs, and the urgent need for pro-growth tax reform to help families and businesses rebuild their American Dream. Whether you're a concerned taxpayer or small business owner, find out how you can get involved and make your voice heard. Visit ProtectProsperity.com to join the fight for a brighter economic future.
This Day in Legal History: Pendleton Civil Service Reform ActOn January 16, 1883, the U.S. Congress enacted the Pendleton Civil Service Reform Act, a landmark piece of legislation that fundamentally transformed federal employment practices. The act was a response to widespread corruption and inefficiency in the government, fueled by the patronage or "spoils" system, which awarded jobs based on political loyalty rather than competence. Signed into law by President Chester A. Arthur, the Pendleton Act marked a critical shift toward merit-based hiring and promotion within the federal workforce.The law initially applied to only about 10% of federal jobs, requiring competitive examinations to determine qualifications. However, it granted the president authority to expand the classified service, allowing successive administrations to broaden its scope. The act also established the Civil Service Commission, the first federal agency tasked with overseeing adherence to these new standards of fairness and efficiency.This reform was catalyzed by public outcry following the assassination of President James A. Garfield in 1881 by a disgruntled office seeker. The tragedy underscored the dangers of a system rife with favoritism and incompetence, galvanizing bipartisan support for change. Over time, the principles of the Pendleton Act have become cornerstones of American civil service, contributing to the professionalization and stability of the federal government.By curbing patronage and introducing accountability, the act helped restore public trust in government operations. It also served as a model for state and local reforms and influenced broader discussions about the role of expertise in public administration. Today, the Pendleton Act is recognized as a foundational moment in the evolution of modern governance in the United States, laying the groundwork for a more impartial and effective civil service system.Victims of recent Los Angeles wildfires are leveraging California's unique legal doctrine of "inverse condemnation" to seek damages from Southern California Edison (SCE), even if the utility was not negligent. This doctrine, traditionally used against government entities for property damage, has been extended to utilities, making them liable for property damage caused during public service operations, regardless of fault. SCE is facing numerous lawsuits over the Eaton Fire, which destroyed thousands of structures and caused at least 24 deaths. Plaintiffs claim the fire originated near SCE's high-voltage transmission towers, although the company reports no operational anomalies on its lines before or during the fire.California law does not require plaintiffs to prove negligence for property damage claims under inverse condemnation. However, proving negligence could enable claims for personal injuries and wrongful death. The lawsuits cite substantial economic losses and damages exceeding insurance coverage. To mitigate financial impacts, a $21 billion state wildfire insurance fund is available, capping SCE's exposure at $3.9 billion.These cases, expected to take years to resolve, highlight the escalating legal and financial consequences for utilities in wildfire-prone areas.California utility faces billions in claims for fire damage even if it did nothing wrong | ReutersPam Bondi, nominated by Donald Trump for U.S. attorney general, assured the Senate Judiciary Committee that she would not politicize the Justice Department, but refused to rule out investigating Trump critics. Bondi, who previously served as Florida's attorney general and defended Trump during his 2019 impeachment trial, emphasized her focus on issues like violent crime and human trafficking while acknowledging she would evaluate investigations and potential pardons on a case-by-case basis.Democratic lawmakers expressed concerns about her independence, referencing Trump's pledge to target his adversaries and the dismissal of two past attorneys general who defied him. Bondi criticized Special Counsel Jack Smith's investigations into Trump as partisan but claimed she would maintain fairness. Republicans praised Bondi, urging her to restore the Justice Department's reputation and combat crime and border issues. Democrats questioned her involvement in promoting Trump's election fraud claims and her support for FBI director nominee Kash Patel, who has been linked to controversial conspiracy theories. Bondi acknowledged Biden's 2020 victory but suggested irregularities in Pennsylvania. The committee continues vetting other controversial cabinet nominees ahead of Trump's upcoming inauguration.Trump nominee Pam Bondi vows independence, but won't rule out probes of Trump critics | ReutersIn my column for Bloomberg this week I focus on the strategic risks of advocating for retirement account tax reforms during the anticipated extension of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) provisions under a new Trump administration. Extending these provisions, a top priority, will cost an estimated $4.6 trillion over the next decade, creating a politically and fiscally sensitive environment where other tax code changes could face heightened scrutiny. The 403(b) retirement accounts, designed for public employees and nonprofit workers, are particularly vulnerable because of their association with significant tax expenditures, which totaled over $300 billion in 2022 and are projected to exceed $2 trillion by 2026. Advocates for reform in areas like expanding 403(b) investment options should avoid pushing these changes now, as drawing attention to retirement accounts could lead to cuts framed as cost-saving measures. History shows that retirement savings provisions are not immune to political pressure, with past examples including the TCJA's elimination of Roth IRA recharacterizations and narrowly avoided cuts to 401(k) benefits. In this high-stakes fiscal landscape, strategic patience is essential. Advocates are advised to focus on preserving existing provisions rather than risking unintended consequences by pursuing reform during an unfavorable political moment.Retirement Account Reformists Should Wait to Push Tax Code Changes This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.minimumcomp.com/subscribe
With slim majorities in the House and Senate, Republicans hope to narrow the fiscal deficit and extend many of the tax cuts from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). A handful of fiscal hawks and the Senate's legislative rules could limit the GOP's ability to accomplish renewal of the TCJA's biggest provisions. President-elect Trump also campaigned extensively on raising tariffs to increase revenues and protect domestic industry. In this episode, we talk with Alan Cole, Senior Economist with the Tax Foundation's Center for Federal Tax Policy, about the Senate's budget reconciliation process, the most important aspects of the TCJA up for renewal this year, and the revenue impacts of tariffs.
Join American Potential host David From as he dives into a critical topic with Patrick Fleer, a tax policy fellow at Americans for Prosperity: the far-reaching impacts of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) and its looming expiration in 2025. Passed in 2017, the TCJA delivered tax relief for individuals and businesses, incentivized investment, and simplified the tax code. But what happens if it expires without reauthorization? Patrick explains how tax policy affects everyday decisions, from saving for the future to investing in tools for tradespeople, and why a productive economy benefits all Americans. They discuss the broader economic impact of delayed consumption, the importance of a simplified tax code, and how targeted reforms like the TCJA can foster economic freedom and opportunity. Discover the real-world effects of tax policies on wages, businesses, and families. Learn why Congress must act to renew the TCJA and explore ways to take it even further, creating a tax system that empowers everyone. With economic freedom at stake, staying informed and engaged is more important than ever. Tune in to learn how good tax policies can unleash potential, support everyday Americans, and drive prosperity for all.
New year, new season, and new policy priorities for NAR's advocacy team. Shannon and Patrick delve into the complicated world of tax reform and how Congress and the administration plan to tackle the expiring Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). From Opportunity Zone incentives, to the SALT deduction, to protecting 1031 like-kind exchange, they discuss what's on the table this year and what's most important for REALTORS(R) and the fight for affordability, availability, and accessibility.
Original Release Date November 18, 2024: On the first part of a two-part roundtable, our panel discusses why the US is likely to see a slowdown and where investors can look for growth.----- Transcript -----Andrew Sheets: 2024 was a year of transition for economies and global markets. Central banks began easing interest rates, U.S. elections signaled significant policy change, and Generative AI made a quantum leap in adoption and development.Thank you for listening throughout 2024, as we navigated the issues and events that shaped financial markets, and society. We hope you'll join us next year as we continue to bring you the most up to date information on the financial world. This week, please enjoy some encores of episodes over the last few months and we'll be back with all new episodes in January. From all of us on Thoughts on the Market, Happy Holidays, and a very Happy New Year. Vishy Tirupattur: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Vishy Tirupattur, Morgan Stanley's Chief Fixed Income Strategist. Today in the podcast, we are hosting a special roundtable discussion on what's ahead for the global economy and markets in 2025.I'm joined by my colleagues: Seth Carpenter, Global Chief Economist; Mike Wilson, Chief US Equity Strategist and the firm's Chief Investment Officer; and Andrew Sheets, Global Head of [Corporate] Credit Research.It's Monday, November 18th, at 10am in New York.Gentlemen. Thank you all for taking the time to talk. We have a lot to cover, and so I'm going to go right into it.Seth, I want to start with the global economy. As you look ahead to 2025, how do you see the global economy evolving in terms of growth, inflation and monetary policy?Seth Carpenter: I have to say – it's always difficult to do forecasts. But I think right now the uncertainty is even greater than usual. It's pretty tricky. I think if you do it at a global level, we're not actually looking for all that much of a change, you know, around 3-ish percent growth; but the composition is surely going to change some.So, let's hit the big economies around the world. For the US, we are looking for a bit of a slowdown. Now, some of that was unsustainable growth this year and last year. There's a bit of waning residual impetus from fiscal policy that's going to come off in growth rate terms. Monetary policy is still restrictive, and there's some lag effects there; so even though the Fed is cutting rates, there's still going to be a little bit of a slowdown coming next year from that.But I think the really big question, and you alluded to this in your question, is what about other policy changes here? For fiscal policy, we think that's really an issue for 2026. That's when the Tax Cut and Jobs Act (TCJA) tax cuts expire, and so we think there's going to be a fix for that; but that's going to take most of 2025 to address legislatively. And so, the fiscal impetus really is a question for 2026.But immigration, tariffs; those matter a lot. And here the question really is, do things get front loaded? Is it everything all at once right at the beginning? Is it phased in over time a bit like it was over 2018? I think our baseline assumption is that there will be tariffs; there will be an increase in tariffs, especially on China. But they will get phased in over the course of 2025. And so, as a result, the first thing you see is some increase in inflation and it will build over time as the tariffs build. The slowdown from growth, though, gets backloaded to the end of 2025 and then really spills over into to 2026.Now, Europe is still in a situation where they've got some sluggish growth. We think things stabilize. We get, you know, 1 percent growth or so. So not a further deterioration there; but not a huge increase that would make you super excited. The ECB should probably keep cutting interest rates. And we actually think there's a really good chance that inflation in the euro area goes below their target. And so, as a result, what do we see? Well, the ECB cutting down below their best guess of neutral. They think 2 percent nominal is neutral and they go below that.China is another big curveball here for the forecast because they've been in this debt deflation spiral for a while. We don't think the pivot in fiscal policy is anywhere near sufficient to ward things off. And so, we could actually see a further slowing down of growth in China in 2025 as the policy makers do this reactive kind of policy response. And so, it's going to take a while there, and we think there's a downside risk there.On the upside. I mean, we're still bullish on Japan. We're still very bullish on India and its growth; and across other parts of EM, there's some bright spots. So, it's a real mixed bag. I don't think there's a single trend across the globe that's going to drive the overall growth narrative.Vishy Tirupattur: Thank you, Seth. Mike, I'd like to go to you next. 2024 has turned out to be a strong year for equity markets globally, particularly for US and Japanese equities. While we did see modest earnings growth, equity returns were mostly about multiple expansion. How do you expect 2025 to turn out for the global equity markets? What are the key challenges and opportunities ahead for the equity markets that you see?Mike Wilson: Yeah, this year was interesting because we had what I would say was very modest earnings growth in the US in particular; relative to the performance. It was really all multiple expansion, and that's probably not going to repeat this year. We're looking for better earnings growth given our soft landing outcome from an economic standpoint and rates coming down. But we don't think multiples will expand any further. In fact, we think they'll come down by about 5 percent. But that still gets us a decent return in the base case of sort of high single digits.You know, Japan is the second market we like relative to the rest of the world because of the corporate governance story. So there, too, we're looking for high single digit earnings growth and high single digits or 10 percent return in total. And Europe is when we're sort of down taking a bit because of tariff risk and also pressure from China, where they have a lot of export business.You know, the challenges I think going forward is that growth continues to be below trend in many regions. The second challenge is that, you know, high quality assets are expensive everywhere. It's not just the US. It's sort of everywhere in the world. So, you get what you pay for. You know, the S&P is extremely expensive, but that's because the ROE is higher, and growth is higher.So, you know, in other words, these are not well-kept secrets. And so just valuation is a real challenge. And then, of course, the consensus views are generally fairly narrow around the soft landing and that's very priced as well. So, the risks are that the consensus view doesn't play out. And that's why we have two bull and two bear cases in the US – just like we did in the mid-year outlook; and in fact, what happened is one of our bull cases is what played out in the second half of this year.So, the real opportunity from our standpoint, I think this is a global call as well – which is that we continue to be pretty big rotations around the macro-outlook, which remains uncertain, given the policy changes we're seeing in the US potentially, and also the geopolitical risks that still is out there.And then the other big opportunity has been stock picking. Dispersion is extremely high. Clients are really being rewarded for taking single stock exposures. And I think that continues into next year. So, we're going to do what we did this year is we're going to try to rotate around from a style and size perspective, depending on the macro-outlook.Vishy Tirupattur: Thank you, Mike. Andrew, we are ending 2024 in a reasonably good setup for credit markets, with spreads at or near multi-decade tights for many markets. How do you expect the global credit markets to play out in 2025? What are the best places to be within the credit spectrum and across different regions?Andrew Sheets: I think that's the best way to frame it – to start a little bit about where we are and then talk about where we might be going. I think it's safe to say that this has been an absolutely phenomenal backdrop for corporate credit. Corporate credit likes moderation. And I think you've seen an unusual amount of moderation at both the macro and the micro level.You've seen kind of moderate growth, moderating inflation, moderating policy rates across DM. And then at the micro level, even though markets have been very strong, corporate aggressiveness has not been. M&A has been well below trend. Corporate balance sheets have been pretty stable.So, what I think is notable is you've had an economic backdrop that credit has really liked, as you correctly note. We've pushed spreads near 20-year tights based on that backdrop. But it's a backdrop that credit markets liked, but US voters did not like, and they voted for different policy.And so, when we look ahead – the range of outcomes, I think across both the macro and the micro, is expanding. And I think the policy uncertainty that markets now face is increasing both scenarios to the upside where things are hotter and you see more animal spirits; and risk to the downside, where potentially more aggressive tariffs or action on immigration creates more kind of stagflationary types of risk.So one element that we're facing is we feel like we're leaving behind a really good environment for corporate credit and we're entering something that's more uncertain. But then balancing that is that you're not going to transition immediately.You still have a lot of momentum in the US and European economy. I look at the forecasts from Seth's team, the global economic numbers, or at least kind of the DM economic numbers into the first half of next year – still look fine. We still have the Fed cutting. We still have the ECB cutting. We still have inflation moderating.So, part of our thinking for this year is it could be a little bit of a story of two halves that we titled our section, “On Borrowed Time.” That the credit is still likely to hold in well and perform better in the first half of the year. Yields are still good; the Fed is still cutting; the backdrop hasn't changed that much. And then it's the second half of the year where some of our economic numbers start to show more divergence, where the Fed is no longer cutting rates, where all in yield levels are lower on our interest rate forecasts, which could temper demand. That looks somewhat trickier.In terms of how we think about what we like within credit, we do think the levered loan market continues to be attractive. That's part of credit where spreads are not particularly tight versus history. That's one area where we still see risk premium. I think this is also an environment where regionally we see Asia underperforming. It's a market that's both very expensive from a spread perspective but also faces potentially kind of outsized economic and tariff uncertainty. And we think that the US might outperform in context to at least initially investors feeling like the US is at less relative risk from tariffs and policy uncertainty than some other markets.So, Vishy, I'll pause there and pass it back to you.Vishy Tirupattur: Thanks, Mike, Seth, and Andrew.Thank you all for listening. We are going to take a pause here and we'll be back tomorrow with our year ahead round table continued, where we'll share our forecast for government bonds, currencies and housing.As a reminder, if you enjoy the show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.
Plan early! The Tax Cut and Jobs Act (TCJA) significantly increased the estate tax exemption and there is uncertainty around whether it will be extended or modified. It's recommended to plan early and not wait until the last minute to ensure all necessary legal and valuation work can be completed in time. Greg Saunders and Lisa Cribben explore the complexities of estate planning and valuation, emphasizing the importance of early and continuous planning. They discuss various strategies to manage and reduce estate taxes, the critical role of valuation appraisers, and the potential impact of upcoming changes in tax laws. Guest: Lisa Cribben, CPA/ABV, Partner, Hawkins Ash CPA Host: Gregory Saunders, CPA/ABV, Sr. Manager, Keiter CPAs Please share your thoughts about the episode - click here to leave us a review Want to get involved with future FVS conferences, committees, task forces, or the standing ovation program? Send a message to infoFVS@aicpa-cima.com RESOURCES FOR FURTHER EXPLORATION If you're using a podcast app that does not hyperlink to the resources, please visit https://fvssection.libsyn.com/fvs to access the show notes with direct links. 2024 AICPA & CIMA Forensic & Valuation Services Conference - for purchasesession: Estate Planning with The Anticipated Change in 2025also available full conference package Exclusive content – Free for FVS Section members: Click here to join this active community of your FVS peers. You will get 16 credits of complimentary CPE and access to rich technical content FVS Toolkit for Estate and Gift Business Valuations for Estate and Gift Tax Purposes Practice Aid Estate and gift case law listing From the archives: FVS Valuation Podcast episodes Valuations for Gift and Estate Taxes: Review and Best Practices Valuation Court - Key Takeaways from Recent Cases Valuation of Prince's Estate LEARN MORE ABOUT THE FOLLOWING AICPA CREDENTIALS: Accredited in Business Valuation (ABV®) – Visit the home page and check out the ABV infographic Certified in the Valuation of Financial Instruments (CVFI®) – Visit the home page and check out the CVFI infographic Certified in Financial Forensics (CFF®) - Visit the home page and check out the CFF infographic This is a podcast from AICPA & CIMA, together as the Association of International Certified Professional Accountants. To enjoy more conversations from our global community of accounting and finance professionals, explore our network of free shows here. Your feedback and comments are welcomed at podcast@aicpa-cima.com
Note: This podcast episode was recorded Nov. 20, 2024, and since then, the U.S. House of Representatives races have been called, giving the Republicans 220 congressional members and the Democrats 215. This balance could change depending on potential special elections if some members of the House are appointed to positions within President-Elect Trump's administration. In this episode of the AICPA's Tax Section Odyssey podcast, Kasey Pittman, CPA, MST, Director of Tax Policy — Baker Tilly US LLP, discusses potential upcoming tax legislation for 2025, focusing on the complexities and challenges of extending the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) and other tax provisions. What you'll learn from this episode: The potential complexities and challenges of extending provisions of the TCJA and other tax legislation. The implications of a unified government and the reconciliation process for passing tax legislation. The financial constraints posed by the national debt and the importance of managing the deficit. The influence of individual policymakers and the importance of state and local tax (SALT) deductions. Potential revenue raisers like tariffs and ending the employee retention credit early, and their impact on the overall tax legislation. AICPA resources Planning for tax changes — CPAs need to not only brace for tax law changes such as the TCJA and expiring provisions but also be proactive in planning for them. Tax advocacy — Advocacy is a core element of our purpose and value proposition. It is a strong mechanism for promoting trust and confidence in the CPA and CGMA credentials around the world. Transcript April Walker: Hello, everyone, and welcome back to the AICPA's Tax Section Odyssey podcast, where we offer thought leadership on all things tax facing the profession. I'm April Walker, a lead manager from the tax section, and I'm here today with Kasey Pittman. Kasey is the director of Tax Policy with Baker Tilly's National Tax Office. Welcome, Kasey. Kasey Pittman: Thank you for having me. April Walker: I thought we'd spend a few minutes today setting expectations for tax legislation for 2025. First, a little bit of a spoiler, tax legislation is likely, right, but what it will actually entail is probably a lot more complicated than just a straight status quo extension of TCJA. Kasey, let's set the stage a little bit and talk about what we know about the makeup of the government and what that will mean for upcoming legislation. Kasey Pittman: I think going into the election, the vast majority of people assumed we were going to wind up in some divided government. We knew it was very likely that Republicans would capture the Senate. The math there was not very good for Democrats, just in terms of how many seats were up, and one of the Democratic-turned-independent retiring senators from a deep red state was almost a certainty to flip. I think the general thinking was that either Democrats would capture the White House or the House, and neither of those things came to fruition. We are sitting here in the 2024 election was a Republican sweep. We've done a lot of worrying about things that we can let go of, and I think probably we'll touch on that a little bit later in the podcast. But the margins aren't very big. Trump captured the White House actually by a good margin in terms of both electoral votes and total votes in the country. It looks like Senate Republicans will have the majority with a 53-47 split between Republicans and Democrats. The house is currently unknown. We know that the House has captured 218, and that's what you need for the majority. There's 435 seats. 218 is literally a one seat majority. There are five races outstanding, and probably threeish, maybe four of those are likely to go Republican. We're just waiting on final vote counts. In the House, we're looking at a few vote margin, in the Senate, we're looking at a few vote margin, and that can make legislating really difficult. One of the themes we touch on here as we go through is reconciliation. When you have a unified government, and a unified government is one where one party has both chambers in Congress, and the White House, which is what we're going into in 2025, there's this process that you can use for certain types of legislation, fiscal legislation called reconciliation. What reconciliation does is it allows you to overcome the filibuster in the Senate. You actually only need a simple majority, like 51 votes in the Senate to pass a bill, but anybody can hold up a bill with a filibuster, and you need 60 votes to end debate and force the vote on the floor. But this type of legislation doesn't require that, so we can move forward with a simple majority. However, there are a lot of limitations to the reconciliation process. Everything in a reconciliation bill has to be financial. It needs to deal with spending or revenues and it can't be incidentally related to those. That has to be its primary purpose. Tax provisions are perfect for this. It cannot increase the deficit outside of the budget window. The budget window is typically 10 years. Then inside that budget window, you can only increase or decrease the deficit by the amount in the reconciliation instructions. Reconciliation instructions are set again, by a simple majority on a budget resolution in the House and in the Senate. That number can be hard to define. We also can't touch Social Security, by the way, which is why you never see Social Security in a reconciliation bill. However, that number is really difficult to come to an agreement on sometimes, and I predict that we're going to face some issues just in getting to that budget reconciliation number before we even start to put together the bill. April Walker: That's a great summary, and we used reconciliation before to actually pass TCJA and some other legislation in the past few years, but it's still not how I grew up learning how law was passed. It's a little bit interesting and that's a great summary. Kasey, I led with saying, we don't think it's going to be a straight extension of TCJA and some of the other proposals that have been thrown out throughout campaigns. Talk through a little bit about specific provisions, what they're scoring out at, why they may or may not be included in this legislation. Again, I don't think we have to say this. This is all just speculation on our part. We will have to see what we will see once it turns to 2025. Kasey Pittman: Some of it is really speculative. We're guessing, they are educated guesses based on history and based on what influential policymakers are telling us. For many months, Republicans have really optimistically been planning for reconciliation, hoping to capture both chambers, hoping that Trump would be in the White House. They've been planning. Honestly, there's been a ton of organization inside the House Ways and Means Committee around it. What I said just a minute ago was that I think we're going to have trouble getting to that number, and here's why. If we want a blanket 10-year extension of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, all these taxpayer-favorable provisions, they're mostly taxpayer-favorable and we'll get into that in a second too. It's going to cost $4.6 trillion. Just for benchmarking for everybody, our national debt, which is the sum accumulation of all the deficits we've ever run right now is $35 trillion. That's really impactful because each year, honestly, I believe since Clinton, we've run at a deficit and some of the Clinton years too. But each year, since I was in middle school, we've run at a deficit, which means we're spending more money than we're bringing in, and part of the reason we're spending more money than we're bringing in is because we have to pay interest on all this debt. It's really come to a head over the last couple of years for two reasons. One, our debt skyrocketed. Recently, TCJA added to it. COVID certainly didn't help it at all. Then additionally, because we've had such high inflation, the Fed has increased interest rates and that's the rate that we pay to service the debt. In FY 24, which ended at the end of September. This year, we paid over a trillion dollars just to service our debt, not paying down our debt, just paying the interest on our debt. That's more than we spent on defense spending for the entire year. It becomes a liability if our debt is too large. Particularly, we like to compare it to our GDP. This year we ran a $1.8 trillion deficit. Over a trillion of that we could say is attributable to interest costs. Anyway, here we are. We've got $4.6 trillion to extend the TCJA. Then we've got a whole host of other campaign proposals that Trump made on the trail. No SALT, and we'll get to SALT in a second. No SALT, no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, no tax on Social Security benefits. There's family caregivers credit for home caregivers. There's just a number of things, and some of them are hard to score because there's not a lot of details around the policy yet. They're more on the idea than the actual detailed policy phase at this point but those are a lot and estimates are 8-10 trillion with the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act plus all of the other campaign promises, and that is just wild as compared to our current national debt and the fiscal responsibility that I think a lot of policymakers and Americans really are focused on. Do I think that Senate Republicans and House Republicans are going to come together and say, let's write a $10 trillion bill that's not paid for at all, that increases the deficit? No, I don't. We still have deficit hawks in the Republican Party, we have people who are really concerned about it and for good reason. That's going to be a struggle. I want to say SALT is really important here. Republicans are fairly united in the general extension of Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. There's a lot of campaigning this cycle on it. It's been a priority where we're fairly unified. However, that's not where it ends. We're looking again at these small margins in the House and the small margins in the Senate. When we have that, we have individual policymakers who have a lot of influence. We saw that in 2021- 2022, when Democrats had a big bill and they said, Hey, this is our wish list, and Joe Manchin and Kristen Sinema, who are Democrats, turned independents in the Senate, said, Oh gosh, no, thank you, that's way too big. Here's what we can do. We'll do the Inflation Reduction Act, which was a fraction and a little bit of a different direction on some than the original Democratic priorities. That's what we passed, because again, these two policymakers were able to exert a ton of influence. Then we saw it in 2023, when I think it was a total of eight house members ousted their speaker, which was the historic moment for Republicans in the House, what we see is a lot of power when we have those small vote margins. In the House, there's a really strong caucus for repeal of the state and local income tax, a limitation of $10,000. It's bipartisan. But there are a number of Republicans on there, particularly from high tax states, from traditionally blue states, New York, California, Connecticut, New Jersey. There's dozens of them, really, and they've won re election to the House and they've campaigned on this, and this is going to be a priority for them. I think it's really impractical to think we're going to see a tax bill that doesn't have SALT attached to it because this is a pretty strong caucus. Again, the margins are small, and to fully repeal SALT for 10 years is another $1.2 trillion. Now I'm at $6 trillion April, and that's before the overtime and before the Social Security, which is already system in peril in terms of being able to fund it. It's not quite that simple, and we do have deficit hawks. When we saw Tax Cuts and Jobs Act originally come through in 2017, we used the reconciliation process, Republicans did, and then Democrats used it in 2022 to pass the Inflation Reduction Act. There were many Republicans who wanted much more than TCJA cost. TCJA eventually they came to an agreement, and they said, We can do $1.5 trillion. 1.5 trillion is what we can sign on for. We can get everybody on board for that. That's what the budget instruction said. You can write a bill that increases the deficit by 1.5 trillion dollar over 10 years and so they did that. But it's not quite that simple. People say, $1.5 trillion, it wasn't 1.5 trillion dollar in tax cuts. It was $5.5 trillion in tax cuts with four trillion dollar in revenue raisers, some of them were pretty simple. I replaced these itemized deductions with the standard deductions, they kinda offset, but there were some provisions in there that were just revenue raisers and one of them is 163(j), the business interest limitation. Then additionally, we couldn't see them all through the entire budget window and still hit that mark. When I originally described it literally in 2017, 2018, when I was talking about it, I would say. Hey, look, we've got all these dials, and at the top, we've got this big number, and this is what we've added up to. We want to turn this dial up, but that costs too much money, and that puts us over, so maybe we dial it down on the number of years or maybe we add this revenue raiser. We're trying to back into this $1.5 trillion number, and that's part of the reason we saw some of these changes that transitioned under TCJA. We're seeing right now the bonus depreciation number come down. We've seen a change in how we calculate ATI for that business interest limitation, and we've changed how we deduct research and experimental expenditures. Honestly, they just couldn't make it all the way through that budget window at that number. Just a quick note on those things that have already changed, we saw a bipartisan bill sail through the House, sail through 83% vote margin, 357-70, I want to say on January 31 this year, and it died in the Senate. Senate Finance Committee Leader Ranking member, Mike Crapo, said, No, thank you. [He was] really confident that he was going to have a majority in the Senate in 2025 and he does, and he now also is able to have a Republican House to work with. One of the questions I get a lot is, do I think that we're going to see that bill be taken up in the lame duck session? My answer is no, I do not. I don't see what the incentive is for Republicans to make the concessions in there with Democrats around the refundability of child tax credit because they've got different methodologies on that. I don't see an incentive for them when they know they're going to run the table next year. April Walker: One thing I know you and I have talked about before, there's in evaluating “pay fors” and revenue raisers, there's the ERC provisions that are in that legislation that you're talking about in the past. I guess that's still potentially on the table ending ERC in January, that's potentially out there. What about tariffs? Tariffs have been suggested as a revenue raiser. How does that work with reconciliation? Kasey Pittman: There are a couple of revenue raisers that have been widely talked about, and I think there's a lot of bipartisan agreement around ending the employee retention credit early, and that's scored, if they use it from the old bill, that's scored around $77 billion. But you have to think that's drop in the bucket when we're talking about $6 trillion, $8 trillion, $10 trillion dollars. But it helps - every bit helps, obviously right? And then there's another one that's clawing back a lot of the IRA provisions, some of those clean energy provisions and semi recently, I think last weekend, President Elect Trump said,"Hey, I'm going to take away this $7,500 EV credit. We're not doing that anymore once I'm president." That's one item, but there are a lot of energy provisions outside of just that. That's the one that I think most individuals know about, but there are a lot of energy provisions outside of that. How they dismantle that is going to be really interesting to me, because there are some proponents who just say kill it all. This is not where our priorities are. There are others and there was a letter, I want to say to Speaker Johnson in the summer, that came from a number of House Republicans, a dozen or so that said, Hey, these are really beneficial in my district. I really hope that we and the language we've heard a lot of here is take a scalpel and not a sledgehammer. That's the talking point, scalpel and not a sledgehammer, to clawing back some of these provisions. I do expect some exploration of clawing back those provisions, and then tariffs. President Trump has talked a lot about tariffs and we've heard a number of things between 10 and 20% across the board tariff rate for anything coming into the country, about 60% on China. I believe we've heard 100% on cars coming from Mexico. What we don't know is and I've gotten a ton of questions on this, honestly. What we don't know is how serious he is about those. Is it an idea? Is it something that he intends to use as a bargaining chip in trade negotiations? Is it something that's going to be applied potentially in a more specific niche, these particular areas? That's what we saw in his first presidency was that it was particular items coming in. We saw it on aluminum, we saw it on steel. Or is it going to really be, does he intend to do it across the board? The thing is that presidents do not have completely unfettered power here, but they have the ability to enact certain tariffs without the consent of Congress. That being said, unless they find a way to write that into the reconciliation bill, they can't use the money they believe they'll generate from the tariffs as an offset to try to get back into that number. Because again, TCJA, $5.5 trillion in cuts, $4 trillion in revenue, if we want to include that in revenue, it's going to have to be present in the bill in some fashion. What I have been reading and researching a little bit, does it have to be explicit or does it have prescriptive or does it have to authorize him to move in that area? I'm still doing a little research there. But anyway, it would have to be in the bill in order to be included in the revenue scoring. April Walker: Lots of items to think about as we're rapidly going towards the end of the year and our listeners are [a lot of] tax partitioners talking to clients. I think another top question I'm sure you've been getting is, what are we thinking about timing? When is this going to happen? When is legislation going to happen? Because we really think it's going to happen, they're not going to let TCJA expire at the end at 12/31/25. But what are we thinking? Kasey Pittman: Speaker Johnson has been very bullish on this and saying he would like a bill coming out of the house, not necessarily enacted, but out of the house in the first 100 days of Trump's presidency. Just if we're going from inauguration day of January 20th, that date would be April 30th. That is a really ambitious goal. There's a number, it's ambitious in ideal scenarios. There's a ton of other priorities as well, including government funding, which as of this moment, is not done, and we don't know if it'll be a continuing resolution or if they'll fund the government through the end of the year. But there are a lot of priorities for this Congress, and one of them is the confirmation of all of President Trump's picks for various administration positions, which is going to complicate this. Because right now, the House Republicans have the generally accepted number is 218 seats. There are five seats outstanding. They could wind up with a total of 223. That's probably more like 221, 222, maybe 220, but probably 221, 222 (See note above for the final results). There are three people from the House that President Trump has nominated. They're leaving their seats, assuming they get this job, Matt Gaetz has already left his seat, and that's going to complicate matters. It's not an easy swap. Speaker Johnson will be working with a very tight majority, like a very razor thin majority in the House until all of that is sorted out, and you've got new policymakers in seat. That's going to complicate things as well, and it's going to be difficult to get to that number. Again, I think that there are a lot of different, even within the Republican Party, even though they believe in the TCJA. They believe it was stimulating. They think that they should extend it. Deficit funding for a large number is going to be really difficult. First, we're going to have to come to that number, and that is going to be a negotiation in and of itself. It's not going to be $10 trillion. It's not going to be, hey, we get everything we want for 10 years. In addition, then they have to figure out how to work with that number. Let's say $2 trillion, I'm just going to throw that out there, $2 trillion, $3 trillion, whatever they've decided on. You can increase the deficit over the budget window by $2 trillion dollars, $3 trillion dollars. I've got 10 years. In my budget window, what am I going to do with it? I could try to find a ton of revenue raisers, and I think it's honestly going to be a mix of these things. I could try to find a ton of revenue raisers. I could try to reduce government spending. I could not put everything in place for 10 years. We could see a bill that comes out for four years. Even though the budget window could be larger, they could say, hey, they're all going to expire after four years because that's how we can get most of our priorities in, and then we're going to kick this can down the road. When they crafted TCJA, it was very intentional. The portion that they made permanent was the corporate rate, there's a much longer planning runway for large corporations and businesses than there are for individuals, typically.That was smart. In addition, the things that are expiring are the things that are popular with voters, lower rates, increased child tax credit. It puts political pressure on the extension of these items. They could do that again because the items we're talking about are by and large, popular with voters. Nobody's looking, nobody raises their hand and says, I'd really love you to increase my tax rate. Personally, thank you so much. I'd like my bill to go up every year. Now, many taxpayers are okay with it and they believe in the methodology of a graduated system, but nobody's personally asking for an income tax increase that I've seen anyway in my practice. They're popular, they could kick it down the road and put pressure on the 2028 election, if they only do it for four years. I'd be interested to see what happens. They could also only enact them partially or phase them out or make other changes. There's a lot to figure out. There are a lot of dueling priorities and there's a lot of money at stake. April Walker: Lots to think about as we move into 2025, but I so appreciate your sitting down with us today, Kasey, and thinking through the scenarios. Very helpful for me. In closing, as we wrap up this podcast, I like to take a little bit of a left turn and think about, hey, we're together, we're taking a journey together towards a better profession in doing that, I like to get a glimpse of my guest other journeys outside of the world of tax. Kasey, tell me about a trip you have planned or a bucket list item you've got on the agenda. Kasey Pittman: Actually, we took our kids out of the country for the first time this summer, and we had a little bit of a larger trip planned and it got delayed because of a couple of years, mostly because of COVID, honestly. It was wonderful. We went to Germany and Austria and London, and we were hoping to add France on there too, but we couldn't because it was the Olympics and it was bananas getting into France. It was absolutely bananas. We are hoping to go, not next summer, but maybe the following summer go back and bring the kids to France. I enjoy traveling a lot, but I think it's so cool to see it through their eyes, too. I think it's really neat because the world. April Walker: I love to do that, too. Traveling is definitely I didn't do it a ton as a kid, and so I try to do it and get my daughter on the road as much as possible. Kasey Pittman: But in the short term, April, I'm going to come down your way. Let's see. I want to say it's the first Sunday of December to watch because on Monday, it is the Women's NCAA soccer championship, which will be very exciting. It'll be our third year and it's in Cary. Unfortunately, the next three years, I think, after that are in California, and we're not going to make that trip. It's probably our last year. April Walker: Yes, you're always welcome to come down to a lovely North Carolina. Hopefully the weather will cooperate. Kasey Pittman: Fingers crossed. April Walker: Thanks again so much, Kasey. Again, this is April Walker from the AICPA Tax Section. This community is your go to source for technical guidance and resources design, especially for CPA tax practitioners like you in mind. This is a podcast from AICPA and CIMA together as the Association of International Certified Professional Accountants. You can find us wherever you listen to your podcast and we encourage you to follow us so you don't miss an episode. If you already follow us, thank you so much. Please feel free to share with a like minded friend. You can also find us at aicpa-cima.com/tax and find our other episodes and get access to any resources we mentioned during this episode. Thank you so much for listening and wishing everyone a happy upcoming holiday season. Keep your finger on the pulse of the dynamic and evolving tax landscape with insights from tax thought leaders in the AICPA Tax Section. 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Welcome to another thought-provoking episode of the Building Your Money Machine Show. Today, we're diving into some of the most crucial changes that might impact your taxes and Social Security, especially if we see a return of a Trump administration in 2024. This episode is here to help you understand what's on the horizon and how it could shape your financial future—without getting political!You might feel overwhelmed by the idea of rising taxes and expiring benefits, not to mention what the future holds for Social Security. Trust me, you're not alone. These are massive issues that could significantly impact your income, retirement, and overall financial security. But don't worry—I've got your back.We'll delve into two critical areas: the expiring provisions of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) of 2017 and the potential changes to Social Security. We'll break down what could happen to your taxes if these provisions expire, how they might affect different income groups, and what you can do to prepare. We'll also explore the complexities surrounding Social Security benefits, including taxation and potential reforms.IN TODAY'S EPISODE, I DISCUSS:The potential expiration of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) and its impactHow rising taxes could change the tax landscape for low, middle, and high-income earnersAn in-depth look at what changes to Social Security could mean for your retirementStrategies to prepare for potential increases in taxes and changes to Social SecurityRECOMMENDED EPISODES FOR YOUIf you liked this episode, click here to enjoy these and more:https://melabraham.com/show/Ten Tiny Habits That Build Real Wealth (REALISTIC)Why A Million Dollars Doesn't Make You RichThe F.U.N.D. Method For Building & Managing Your Emergency FundWhy Smart People Are Not Always RichWhy The F.I.R.E Movement Is A Pipe-dreamRECOMMENDED VIDEOS FOR YOU If you liked this video, you'll love these ones:Ten Tiny Habits That Build Real Wealth (REALISTIC): https://youtu.be/U2xunyOe-tg Why A Million Dollars Doesn't Make You Rich: https://youtu.be/S1Wn2n5jIo0 The F.U.N.D. Method For Building & Managing Your Emergency Fund: https://youtu.be/oWFGkpLySag Why Smart People Are Not Always Rich: https://youtu.be/KknyOr-IU8A ORDER MY NEW USA TODAY BESTSELLING BOOK:Building Your Money Machine: How to Get Your Money to Work Harder For You Than You Did For It! The key to building the life you desire and deserve is to build your Money Machine—a powerful system designed to generate income that's no longer tied to your work or efforts. This step-by-step guide goes beyond the general idea of personal finance and wealth creation and reveals the holistic approach to transforming your relationship with money to allow you to enjoy financial freedom and peace of mind.Part money philosophy, part money mindset, part strategy, and part tactical action, these powerful frameworks will show you how to build your money machine.When you do you'll also get over $1100 in wealth resources & bonuses for FREE! TAKE THE FINANCIAL FREEDOM QUIZ:Take this free quiz to see where you are on the path to financial freedom and what your next steps are to move you to a new financial destiny at http://www.YourFinancialFreedomQuiz.com
We all knew that 2025 would be a watershed year for tax policy, with the expiration of several key provisions of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) alone guaranteed a busy tax policy year. Now the 2024 elections are over, resulting in the election of President-elect Trump and a Republican Congress. On this episode of tax break, host Rob Kovacev is joined by Miller & Chevalier Tax Policy Co-Lead Jorge Castro to answer some pressing questions: Do the election results provide taxpayers with more certainty or less? What is likely to happen to TCJA? What are the other big changes that may happen to the tax code? ********* Thank you to Jorge Castro for joining us: https://www.millerchevalier.com/professional/jorge-e-castro Questions? Contact us at podcasts@milchev.com. tax break is not intended and cannot be relied on as legal advice; the content only reflects the thoughts and opinions of its hosts. tax break is a podcast about tax law, brought to you by Miller & Chevalier and hosted by Loren Ponds and Rob Kovacev. We'll provide you with perspective on select tax issues that will go deeper than what the tax press covers, but not so deep that you'll have to pull out your regulations or read treatises to follow along. The aim of tax break is to focus only on the tax law issues that we find interesting. Subscribe to tax break wherever you get your podcasts.
The Paychex Business Series Podcast with Gene Marks - Coronavirus
As the new Director of Compliance at Paychex, Kelee Delaney oversees a team of experts who monitor the laws and regulations at the federal, state, and local level to provide support to teams within the organization, as well as its nearly 740,000 clients. With the elections over, Kelee talks with host Gene Marks on Paychex THRIVE, a Business Podcast, about changes that might be coming in 2025 with a new administration regarding potential compliance requirements for taxes, retirement, paid family leave, the overtime rule and other wage and hour issues, and artificial intelligence. Watch or listen to the podcast. Topics Include: 00:00:00: Episode Preview 00:01:20: Introduction of guest Kelee Delaney 00:03:07: Overview of Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) 00:06:44: Potential legislative changes and impact on tax strategy 00:10:01: Overview of SECURE 2.0 and retirement incentives 00:12:07: Saver's Credit and Saver's Match details 00:14:11: Impact of SECURE 2.0 on employers and employees 00:15:35: State-level retirement plan mandates 00:16:42: Mandatory paid time off regulations 00:18:57: Overview of overtime rules and recent changes 00:24:42: Impact of Supreme Court ruling on agency regulations 00:27:25: Developing AI policies for business 00:29:56: EEOC's role in addressing AI bias 00:34:00: Wrap-up and thank you DISCLAIMER: The information presented in this podcast, and that is further provided by the presenter, should not be considered legal or accounting advice, and should not substitute for legal, accounting, or other professional advice in which the facts and circumstances may warrant. We encourage you to consult legal counsel as it pertains to your own unique situation(s) and/or with any specific legal questions you may have.
Join America's Roundtable (https://americasrt.com/) radio co-hosts Natasha Srdoc and Joel Anand Samy with U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn, member of the Finance Committee; the Commerce, Science & Transportation Committee; the Veterans' Affairs Committee; and the Judiciary Committee. America's Roundtable discussion with Senator Marsha Blackburn covers the following key topics: The urgency to address tax reform in America. Will Congress make permanent the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) set to expire in Dec. 2025? If there is a delay, how will the expiration of the TCJA impact America's middle class, entrepreneurs and small business leaders across the nation? Senator Blackburn shares how she and Vivek Ramaswamy have been working over the past few months in tandem with Elon Musk on advancing government reforms. The business leaders have been tasked by President-elect Donald Trump to "slash excess regulations, cut wasteful expenditures” and restructure federal agencies through the newly established Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). Sen. Blackburn just unveiled her “DOGE Acts” to cut spending and freeze federal hiring, as well as salaries. As America faces an illegal immigration crisis, Senator Marsha Blackburn's leadership is vital. Senator Blackburn's introduced the CLEAR Act — Clear Law Enforcement for criminal Alien Removal Act of 2024. Find out about the details on how it will enhance Federal, State and local assistance level to enforce immigration laws, to amend the Immigration and Nationality Act, to authorize appropriations to carry out the State Criminal Alien Assistance Program, and for other purposes. Listen to Senator Blackburn response regarding International Criminal Court's decision to issue a warrant to arrest Israel leaders including the Jewish state's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former Defense Minister Yoav Gallant. You can listen to US Senator Blackburn's conversation with Vivek Ramaswamy on her podcast - UNMUTED (https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/department-of-government-efficiency-doge-with/id1736996395?i=1000678201961) - and watch the video via You Tube (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b3Mou5Nl4C0). Further reading: The Hill | Blackburn unveils ‘DOGE Acts' to cut spending, freeze federal hiring and salaries (https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/5025294-blackburn-doge-acts-spending-cuts/) Fox News | Border security Blackburn moves to allow local law enforcement to capture, help deport illegal immigrants (https://www.foxnews.com/politics/blackburn-moves-allow-local-law-enforcement-capture-deport-illegal-immigrants) Marsha Blackburn Introduces Bill Empowering Local Law Enforcement To Help Federal Government Deport Criminal Illegal Immigrants (https://www.clarksvilleonline.com/2024/03/07/marsha-blackburn-introduces-bill-empowering-local-law-enforcement-to-help-federal-government-deport-criminal-illegal-immigrants/) americasrt.com (https://americasrt.com/) https://ileaderssummit.org/ | https://jerusalemleaderssummit.com/ America's Roundtable on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/americas-roundtable/id1518878472 Twitter: @MarshaBlackburn @ileaderssummit @NatashaSrdoc @JoelAnandUSA @supertalk America's Roundtable is co-hosted by Natasha Srdoc and Joel Anand Samy, co-founders of International Leaders Summit and the Jerusalem Leaders Summit. America's Roundtable (https://americasrt.com/) radio program - a strategic initiative of International Leaders Summit, focuses on America's economy, healthcare reform, rule of law, security and trade, and its strategic partnership with rule of law nations around the world. The radio program features high-ranking US administration officials, cabinet members, members of Congress, state government officials, distinguished diplomats, business and media leaders and influential thinkers from around the world. Tune into America's Roundtable Radio program from Washington, DC via live streaming on Saturday mornings via 65 radio stations at 7:30 A.M. (ET) on Lanser Broadcasting Corporation covering the Michigan and the Midwest market, and at 7:30 A.M. (CT) on SuperTalk Mississippi — SuperTalk.FM reaching listeners in every county within the State of Mississippi, and neighboring states in the South including Alabama, Arkansas, Louisiana and Tennessee. Listen to America's Roundtable on digital platforms including Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Amazon, Google and other key online platforms. Listen live, Saturdays at 7:30 A.M. (CT) on SuperTalk | https://www.supertalk.fm
Christopher Burns, Estate attorney and partner with Henson Efron returned to the show in this episode to talk about a couple of current matters pertaining to business owners. First, the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) will sunset on Dec 31, 2025. Since we're post election, the concern over the sunsetting of this law will likely be eliminated, since President Elect Trump is expected to extend it. That said, it's still important to pay attention to the thresholds in place for taxing your estate. There are state and federal rates that apply, even when your estate is smaller. Awareness and preparation are essential. The current federal exemption per person is nearly $14MM. Had Harris/Walz been elected, that amount was proposed to drop to $3.5MM, with a rate of 65% vs 40%, wiping out a great deal of estate proceeds for heirs across the country. Christopher said it's important that owners know what they own, the value of it (including their business) and use their planning to communicate their wishes and get their entire financial and legal house in order. Having an advisor like Christopher on your team would certainly help you sleep better at night. Christopher is a promoter of professional collaboration among his clients' other advisors and works to bring them together to foster a team approach, so the owner can have the best, most comprehensive advice. You can learn more about what you need to know and do by accessing a variety of tools on the Henson Efron website: https://hensonefron.com/search-articles-and-insights/Learn more about Christopher here: https://hensonefron.com/attorneys/christopher-j-burns/Listen to the episode here.Connect with Julie Keyes, Keyestrategies LLCFounder, Consultant, Author, Pod-caster and Instructor
In this joint episode with the JofA podcast, host Neil Amato discusses with Melanie Lauridsen, Vice President of Tax Policy & Advocacy for the AICPA, what tax practitioners can expect regarding tax legislation. The conversation covers key tax topics following the 2024 election, including the future of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), beneficial ownership information (BOI) reporting, and disaster relief efforts. Melanie provides insights into the challenges and opportunities facing tax professionals in 2025, emphasizing the importance of staying informed. What you'll learn from this episode: The latest updates on disaster relief for BOI reporting. Melanie's insights about the potential future of the TCJA provisions. How IRS funding might be impacted by the new administration AICPA resources Planning for tax changes – CPAs need to not only brace for tax law changes such as the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) and expiring provisions but also be proactive in planning for them. Tax Advocacy – Advocacy is a core element of our purpose and value proposition. It is a strong mechanism for promoting trust and confidence in the CPA and CGMA credentials around the world. Transcript April Walker: Welcome back to the AICPA's Tax Section Odyssey podcast, where we offer thought leadership on all things tax facing the profession. I'm April Walker, lead manager from the Tax section, and today we have a joint episode with the JOA, providing information on several important tax topics, such as BOI, disaster relief, and also upcoming potential tax legislation. Let's hear more. Neil Amato: Welcome to the Journal of Accountancy podcast. This is Neil Amato with the JofA. This episode is a special collaboration between the JofA and the Tax Section Odyssey podcast. It's Nov. 19 as we're recording, two weeks since the 2024 election. With the election over, we have results. We also have questions about the future of several tax topics. Here to provide some analysis and clarity on those topics is Melanie Lauridsen, vice president–Tax Policy & Advocacy for the AICPA. Melanie, welcome back to the podcast. Melanie Lauridsen: Thank you for having me back, Neil. Amato: We talk pretty regularly, pretty much a quarterly basis. It's safe to say that even if we keep this discussion fairly narrow in scope, there is plenty to discuss, so we'll get right to it. I'm going to tease for the listeners that there will be discussion of the future of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. But first, I'd like to ask about BOI reporting, beneficial ownership information reporting, as that's been in the news lately as well. What's the latest from your lens, the advocacy lens, on the topic of FinCEN's disaster relief for BOI? Lauridsen: Good topic, Neil. Disaster relief is something, regardless of what it is, whether it's tax or BOI, it is critical that people are able to get it as quickly as possible in the largest scope possible. With BOI, we are grateful that FinCEN did offer disaster relief for victims of various hurricanes, most notably Hurricane Milton and Hurricane Helene, which created quite a bit of damage to the areas they hit. But, unfortunately, the scope of the relief, particularly for those victims of Hurricane Helene, is not as broad and as encompassing as we would have liked it to have been. They did offer a filing relief for those victims. However, they didn't extend it to entities that had been created prior to 2024 and therefore had a Jan. 1, 2025, deadline. We know that [for] some of the entities, it took everything away. It destroyed everything, and those entities have years to rebuild, and they really could use an extension. With that in mind, we are actually working with various state CPA societies, and we are also working with FinCEN in order to broaden the scope that was issued, in particular for victims of Hurricane Helene. Of course, we are working with people on the Hill because there are a lot of questions around the Corporate Transparency Act and BOI reporting to begin with, much more so also with disaster relief that they would like to see some expansion of the scope, too. Amato: Yeah, and on that topic of the reports that are in versus the reports that are expected, it's still a pretty small number. I know people like to do things at the last minute, but it's something like 6.5 million of 32 million, so still a long way to go. Lauridsen: There is an awareness issue there, and FinCEN is highly aware that there is an awareness issue because, like you said, 6.5 million filings of 32.6 [million], there's a little bit of a disconnect, especially when we're in November. So we're talking there's a month and a half to file to meet those other — what is it? — 20-plus million filings that we have to go in 1½ months? I don't think they're going to be able to meet those numbers, so, yes. But a couple of things to note about that 6.5 million. Of those 6.5 million, the majority of those filings are for entities that were created in 2024 and had that 90-day deadline, and also for the 30-day corrected and updates that are needed, and that's the 30-day deadline needed. A lot of the existing entities, those that were created prior to 2024, still need to file. Now, FinCEN realizes that their numbers are not where they want them to be, and they are now focusing on awareness and not so much on enforcement. But they are, like I said, making pushes for awareness, and they were even on our AICPA Town Hall, so you can look at the archive there because we did host Phil Lam for that. But also, the other day, I was watching national television, and I saw one of their commercials. I just about fell out of my seat. I didn't think the messaging was as clear as it could have been, but they are trying to make efforts there. Amato: Was this the coffee shop ad that you saw? Lauridsen: Yes, it is. Amato: We wrote about that earlier this year, that the outreach had begun. But still, I guess, a ways to go on that topic. Let's look ahead to one item that was popular at the tax conference. It's popular in the news headlines, and I know it's something you're paying attention to: the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. It's a very open-ended question, but I'll ask it anyway: What's the future of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act? Lauridsen: Well, Neil, we would all love to know exactly what the future is. But, the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, it's interesting because a lot of people said prior to the election, we always knew that tax was going to be on the agenda. People were saying that, it all depended on if it was Democrat or Republican that ended up taking the presidency. Ultimately, the same topics are at stake. TCJA was always something that was going to be debated and discussed, regardless of who ended up being in office and who will be in office. The difference is we definitely know that President-elect Trump would like to see TCJA provisions become permanent. Now, the reality is all those provisions cost money, and there are real dollars associated with it. Even though we are going to be seeing in 2025 the trifecta effect, where the Republicans have swept across the board, it doesn't mean that everybody is in line with the same provisions, and therefore it doesn't mean we know exactly what will be coming. A lot of what is to come becomes an argument of how much things cost and how much things don't cost and what can be included and what can be agreed on. The debate is still very much alive as to what will happen with TCJA. I think, this is my pure speculation, I think we're going to see a hybrid of all the things that are there and not necessarily everything becoming permanent. But who's to say? Things could absolutely change. Amato: Do you want to talk about any of the particulars within that, for example, the SALT cap, estate tax policies, the future of the corporate tax rate? Lauridsen: All of those pieces are very interesting. The SALT cap, let's start with that one. The SALT cap, we have heard that they would like to eliminate the SALT cap. On a personal level, sure. I would love to see that go away. I know quite a few people feel that way about it. But the reality is that it costs money. Right now, the SALT cap at the $10,000 cap is a revenue raiser, and it helps pay for other aspects of it. If they were to eliminate it, that will cost a lot more money than what is anticipated. If we were to see a change, again, this is pure speculation on my part, obviously, we have to wait and see how things play out and what indicators we see. Right now, we haven't seen any specific indicators, but I wouldn't be surprised if the SALT cap ends up being raised slightly, not completely eliminated because, again, it costs money to eliminate it. Amato: OK, state tax policies next. Lauridsen: You said estate? Amato: Estate. Sorry, estate, not state, as opposed to state and local tax. Now, estate tax. Lauridsen: With estate tax policy, there's definitely a desire and a will to see the cap also eliminated because with TCJA, after TCJA, it will cut in half of what we're seeing. Who knows what we'll see in that play. Again, it costs money to be able to have no limit for estate tax planning purposes. I do think like the SALT cap we're going to see something come out in the middle. Maybe it'll maintain, maybe it might increase, but completely unlimited — I don't see that happening, either. Amato: Then finally, the corporate tax rate as it relates to the TCJA. Lauridsen: The corporate tax rate, that is definitely something that has been discussed. We have heard during the campaigns from President-elect Trump that he would like to lower the corporate tax rates, but please keep in mind that the current corporate tax rates in TCJA, again, they cost money. What is paying for those corporate tax rates are those small business provisions that we would like to see come back. For example, Sec. 174, the R&E expenditures. We would like to see that 100% bonus depreciation. We would like to see that come back, but those are some of those provisions that pay for that lower corporate tax rate. Of course, there's the [Sec.] 163(j) interest expense deduction and Sec. 199A, the qualified business income. Again, all those pieces come into play into that corporate tax rate because, technically, those are the pay-fors for that corporate tax rate, so it's a handoff. Amato: Good description of the pay-for aspect of it. Anytime there's a change in administration, I guess the IRS funding topic comes up. The IRS has said many times that the funding it received under the Inflation Reduction Act was helping it provide better service. Now, I guess that funding is going to be up for debate. What do you see as the future there? Lauridsen: Well, that is definitely something. The funding for the IRS, specifically, the Inflation Reduction Act, the IRA as we call it, is something that we are definitely going to keeping an eye on because, if you take a look at the Inflation Reduction Act, the majority of the money, $80 billion — that was allocated towards enforcement. Now there was a piece that was allocated to IRS services, and it is that piece, that portion where we've seen the increased answering of the telephone, the hiring of people at the IRS to be able to provide services with that. Now, we know that that particular funding for IRS services from the Inflation Reduction Act is set to run out by 2026. If the money runs out, what do you think will happen? We'll see decreased IRS services. The way we're looking at it is we do know there is interest in clawing back the Inflation Reduction Act funding and, specifically, for the enforcement piece of it. Our position is, well, let's not take it away from the IRS. Let's rebalance it and shift it over to services. One thing to note, though, is enforcement is a critical function of the IRS. Not everything under enforcement is audits, liens, and levies — all these things that people don't want to see happening. There are pieces of enforcement like Chief Counsel's Office that is covered under enforcement, and Chief Counsel are the ones who provide the regulations and those guides, the guidelines to people in order to be compliant with their taxes. It is a critical function of the IRS. Now, do they need as much as they got? I would venture to say and would like to see some of that money going from enforcement to IRS services and not necessarily clawed back. Amato: That's great. Now, I said we're two weeks since the election. We're also about one week since the AICPA & CIMA National Tax Conference. I know you were there. I know you were busy yourself, but maybe, as you interact with members, as you interact with people in Washington, if you could then look ahead to 2025, what do you see as challenges that are tax-related and also opportunities for the new year? Lauridsen: Some of the challenges that our people have, and we've actually done some informal surveys, too, and the results are the same and we're seeing this trend. There's a lot of growing concern with new legislation coming and, in particular, retroactive legislation or midyear legislation, which makes it particularly hard for members to be able to keep up with it. Retroactivity doesn't help because then you have to amend returns if you already started down that process. Of course, with both last-minute legislation and retroactive legislation, you have to keep on top of the tax changes. Now, you should do that on every given year, but when they do it retroactively or midyear, it makes it particularly hard when you're in the middle of filing season. That is one of the biggest challenges that our members are concerned about. Also, with new legislation, that means we are waiting on guidance from the IRS. The IRS [process] can be very time-consuming in looking at the rules to able to provide guidance. Again, people just want to be compliant. People aren't trying to get out of it. They just want to be compliant, and they need some guidance. That's another concern that we see there. Of course, other challenges that we're seeing associated with Sec. 199A — we would love to see the extension of that to continue, but ideally, we would also like to see the expansion of Sec. 199A. Again, that costs money, and where is that money going to come by in order to be able to achieve something along those lines within it. But, there are opportunities, Neil. Some of those opportunities there's mobile workforce, opportunities there's an appetite for that hopefully that we can see move forward, and that would be something that would make a lot of people's lives a lot easier. That essentially is saying to put a safe harbor that if you work less than 30 days in a state, then you don't file at that state level. It would have to be over 30 days to be able to move forward with that. The expanded use of 529 accounts to be able to pay for studying to sit for the CPA Exam or to be able to get your financial planning certification associated with that. There are pieces of opportunities. Another piece of opportunity that we would like to see — maybe we'll see a change with the Form 1099-K, with the threshold. Remember that was at $600, and there's been a debate where it could be, so maybe we'll see an increase in that threshold filing. Of course, disaster relief. We would love to be able to see some of the bigger positions that we've had associated with disaster relief to make a real difference for victims of disasters. Amato: Good points all. Thank you very much, Melanie. I'll give you the opportunity to give a closing thought if you have one. Lauridsen: My closing thoughts are, I think 2025 is a huge tax year. I think we just need to buckle down and get ready for that roller coaster that's going to be coming, and it's always important to keep up to date and follow through, but in this year, changes are happening. They're happening quickly. I think podcasts like this, webcasts, things like the AICPA Town Hall, they become even more critical for people to keep up to date. Amato: Great. We will keep having you on. We'll see you again in 2025, and thank you for being on the show today. Lauridsen: Thank you, Neil. Keep your finger on the pulse of the dynamic and evolving tax landscape with insights from tax thought leaders in the AICPA Tax Section. The Tax Section Odyssey podcast includes a digest of tax developments, trending issues and practice management tips that you need to be aware of to elevate your professional development and your firm practices. This resource is part of the robust tax resource library available from the AICPA Tax Section. The Tax Section is your go-to home base for staying up to date on the latest tax developments and providing the edge you need for upskilling your professional development. If you're not already a member, consider joining this prestigious community of your tax peers. 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Melanie Lauridsen, vice president–Tax Policy & Advocacy for the AICPA, reflected on how election results might inform future tax legislation and why any change in administration and tax policy can make it more difficult for practitioners seeking clarity. Lauridsen also discussed advocacy related to beneficial ownership information (BOI) reporting and what might change related to IRS funding, the corporate tax rate, and more in this episode of the Journal of Accountancy podcast. What you'll learn from this episode: · An update on AICPA advocacy related to BOI reporting relief. · Why Lauridsen expects any changes to the expiring provisions of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) to be “hybrid” — as opposed to all TCJA provisions becoming permanent. · Discussion about the future of the deduction limit for state and local taxes, aka the SALT cap. · The fate of IRS funding from the Inflation Reduction Act — and why a “rebalance” might be possible. · Lauridsen's summation that 2025 “is a huge tax year.”
On the first part of a two-part roundtable, our panel discusses why the US is likely to see a slowdown and where investors can look for growth.----- Transcript -----Vishy Tirupattur: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Vishy Tirupattur, Morgan Stanley's Chief Fixed Income Strategist. Today in the podcast, we are hosting a special roundtable discussion on what's ahead for the global economy and markets in 2025.I'm joined by my colleagues: Seth Carpenter, Global Chief Economist; Mike Wilson, Chief US Equity Strategist and the firm's Chief Investment Officer; and Andrew Sheets, Global Head of [Corporate] Credit Research.It's Monday, November 18th, at 10am in New York.Gentlemen. Thank you all for taking the time to talk. We have a lot to cover, and so I'm going to go right into it.Seth, I want to start with the global economy. As you look ahead to 2025, how do you see the global economy evolving in terms of growth, inflation and monetary policy?Seth Carpenter: I have to say – it's always difficult to do forecasts. But I think right now the uncertainty is even greater than usual. It's pretty tricky. I think if you do it at a global level, we're not actually looking for all that much of a change, you know, around 3-ish percent growth; but the composition is surely going to change some.So, let's hit the big economies around the world. For the US, we are looking for a bit of a slowdown. Now, some of that was unsustainable growth this year and last year. There's a bit of waning residual impetus from fiscal policy that's going to come off in growth rate terms. Monetary policy is still restrictive, and there's some lag effects there; so even though the Fed is cutting rates, there's still going to be a little bit of a slowdown coming next year from that.But I think the really big question, and you alluded to this in your question, is what about other policy changes here? For fiscal policy, we think that's really an issue for 2026. That's when the Tax Cut and Jobs Act (TCJA) tax cuts expire, and so we think there's going to be a fix for that; but that's going to take most of 2025 to address legislatively. And so, the fiscal impetus really is a question for 2026.But immigration, tariffs; those matter a lot. And here the question really is, do things get front loaded? Is it everything all at once right at the beginning? Is it phased in over time a bit like it was over 2018? I think our baseline assumption is that there will be tariffs; there will be an increase in tariffs, especially on China. But they will get phased in over the course of 2025. And so, as a result, the first thing you see is some increase in inflation and it will build over time as the tariffs build. The slowdown from growth, though, gets backloaded to the end of 2025 and then really spills over into to 2026.Now, Europe is still in a situation where they've got some sluggish growth. We think things stabilize. We get, you know, 1 percent growth or so. So not a further deterioration there; but not a huge increase that would make you super excited. The ECB should probably keep cutting interest rates. And we actually think there's a really good chance that inflation in the euro area goes below their target. And so, as a result, what do we see? Well, the ECB cutting down below their best guess of neutral. They think 2 percent nominal is neutral and they go below that.China is another big curveball here for the forecast because they've been in this debt deflation spiral for a while. We don't think the pivot in fiscal policy is anywhere near sufficient to ward things off. And so, we could actually see a further slowing down of growth in China in 2025 as the policy makers do this reactive kind of policy response. And so, it's going to take a while there, and we think there's a downside risk there.On the upside. I mean, we're still bullish on Japan. We're still very bullish on India and its growth; and across other parts of EM, there's some bright spots. So, it's a real mixed bag. I don't think there's a single trend across the globe that's going to drive the overall growth narrative.Vishy Tirupattur: Thank you, Seth. Mike, I'd like to go to you next. 2024 has turned out to be a strong year for equity markets globally, particularly for US and Japanese equities. While we did see modest earnings growth, equity returns were mostly about multiple expansion. How do you expect 2025 to turn out for the global equity markets? What are the key challenges and opportunities ahead for the equity markets that you see?Mike Wilson: Yeah, this year was interesting because we had what I would say was very modest earnings growth in the US in particular; relative to the performance. It was really all multiple expansion, and that's probably not going to repeat this year. We're looking for better earnings growth given our soft landing outcome from an economic standpoint and rates coming down. But we don't think multiples will expand any further. In fact, we think they'll come down by about 5 percent. But that still gets us a decent return in the base case of sort of high single digits.You know, Japan is the second market we like relative to the rest of the world because of the corporate governance story. So there, too, we're looking for high single digit earnings growth and high single digits or 10 percent return in total. And Europe is when we're sort of down taking a bit because of tariff risk and also pressure from China, where they have a lot of export business.You know, the challenges I think going forward is that growth continues to be below trend in many regions. The second challenge is that, you know, high quality assets are expensive everywhere. It's not just the US. It's sort of everywhere in the world. So, you get what you pay for. You know, the S&P is extremely expensive, but that's because the ROE is higher, and growth is higher.So, you know, in other words, these are not well-kept secrets. And so just valuation is a real challenge. And then, of course, the consensus views are generally fairly narrow around the soft landing and that's very priced as well. So, the risks are that the consensus view doesn't play out. And that's why we have two bull and two bear cases in the US – just like we did in the mid-year outlook; and in fact, what happened is one of our bull cases is what played out in the second half of this year.So, the real opportunity from our standpoint, I think this is a global call as well – which is that we continue to be pretty big rotations around the macro-outlook, which remains uncertain, given the policy changes we're seeing in the US potentially, and also the geopolitical risks that still is out there.And then the other big opportunity has been stock picking. Dispersion is extremely high. Clients are really being rewarded for taking single stock exposures. And I think that continues into next year. So, we're going to do what we did this year is we're going to try to rotate around from a style and size perspective, depending on the macro-outlook. Vishy Tirupattur: Thank you, Mike. Andrew, we are ending 2024 in a reasonably good setup for credit markets, with spreads at or near multi-decade tights for many markets. How do you expect the global credit markets to play out in 2025? What are the best places to be within the credit spectrum and across different regions?Andrew Sheets: I think that's the best way to frame it – to start a little bit about where we are and then talk about where we might be going. I think it's safe to say that this has been an absolutely phenomenal backdrop for corporate credit. Corporate credit likes moderation. And I think you've seen an unusual amount of moderation at both the macro and the micro level.You've seen kind of moderate growth, moderating inflation, moderating policy rates across DM. And then at the micro level, even though markets have been very strong, corporate aggressiveness has not been. M&A has been well below trend. Corporate balance sheets have been pretty stable.So, what I think is notable is you've had an economic backdrop that credit has really liked, as you correctly note. We've pushed spreads near 20-year tights based on that backdrop. But it's a backdrop that credit markets liked, but US voters did not like, and they voted for different policy.And so, when we look ahead – the range of outcomes, I think across both the macro and the micro, is expanding. And I think the policy uncertainty that markets now face is increasing both scenarios to the upside where things are hotter and you see more animal spirits; and risk to the downside, where potentially more aggressive tariffs or action on immigration creates more kind of stagflationary types of risk.So one element that we're facing is we feel like we're leaving behind a really good environment for corporate credit and we're entering something that's more uncertain. But then balancing that is that you're not going to transition immediately.You still have a lot of momentum in the US and European economy. I look at the forecasts from Seth's team, the global economic numbers, or at least kind of the DM economic numbers into the first half of next year – still look fine. We still have the Fed cutting. We still have the ECB cutting. We still have inflation moderating.So, part of our thinking for this year is it could be a little bit of a story of two halves that we titled our section, “On Borrowed Time.” That the credit is still likely to hold in well and perform better in the first half of the year. Yields are still good; the Fed is still cutting; the backdrop hasn't changed that much. And then it's the second half of the year where some of our economic numbers start to show more divergence, where the Fed is no longer cutting rates, where all in yield levels are lower on our interest rate forecasts, which could temper demand. That looks somewhat trickier.In terms of how we think about what we like within credit, we do think the levered loan market continues to be attractive. That's part of credit where spreads are not particularly tight versus history. That's one area where we still see risk premium. I think this is also an environment where regionally we see Asia underperforming. It's a market that's both very expensive from a spread perspective but also faces potentially kind of outsized economic and tariff uncertainty. And we think that the US might outperform in context to at least initially investors feeling like the US is at less relative risk from tariffs and policy uncertainty than some other markets.So, Vishy, I'll pause there and pass it back to you.Vishy Tirupattur: Thanks, Mike, Seth, and Andrew.Thank you all for listening. We are going to take a pause here and we'll be back tomorrow with our year ahead round table continued, where we'll share our forecast for government bonds, currencies and housing.As a reminder, if you enjoy the show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.
If you've been following the podcast, you've likely heard us talk about Roth conversions many times. At SHP, we use Roth conversions as a tool on a daily basis. But it occurred to us, a lot of our listeners might not fully understand what it means or might not be aware of the pros and cons to completing a Roth conversion. So we decided to dedicate a full episode on this very topic today. In this episode, Matthew Peck is once again joined by Nick Nelson, VP of Advisory Solutions at SHP Financial. Together, they'll cover all the basics and the ins and outs of why Roth conversions are such an important tool that we use in our financial planning process. Matt and Nick dive deep into the mechanics of a Roth conversion, who benefits the most from them, and when the best time for a retiree or pre-retiree should consider a Roth conversion to minimize taxes in retirement. In this podcast interview, you'll learn: What money gets converted when moving into a Roth IRA. Key factors to consider before doing a Roth conversion. How a Roth conversion potentially creates additional flexibility down the road. The best time to consider a Roth conversion. When the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) will expire and what that means for investors. Want the Full Show Notes? To get access to the full show notes, including audio, transcripts, and links to all the resources mentioned, visit SHPfinancial.com/podcast Connect With Us on Social Facebook LinkedIn YouTube
This Day in Legal History: FDR Wins Fourth TermOn November 7, 1944, Franklin D. Roosevelt won an unprecedented fourth term as President of the United States, solidifying his role as a defining leader during one of the nation's most challenging periods. First elected in 1932, Roosevelt took office at the height of the Great Depression and implemented the New Deal to revive the struggling economy. By the time of his fourth election, the U.S. was fully engaged in World War II, and Roosevelt's leadership was seen as essential to the Allied victory effort.Roosevelt's extended presidency was unprecedented, breaking the tradition set by George Washington, who had voluntarily stepped down after two terms. This decision was widely respected and had shaped a long-standing convention against extended presidential terms. However, in the face of ongoing economic and wartime crises, the American public continued to support Roosevelt, viewing his experience and policies as critical to both domestic stability and success in the war.Following Roosevelt's death in 1945, concerns about the concentration of executive power led to a renewed call for term limits. In 1947, Congress passed the 22nd Amendment, which formally restricted presidents to two terms. The amendment was ratified in 1951, ensuring that no future president could serve more than two elected terms, thus establishing a constitutional limit that balanced continuity with the democratic value of regular leadership change. Roosevelt's historic fourth term not only marked a unique era in American leadership but also reshaped the structure of presidential power in the United States.With a new Trump administration expected in January, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) is likely to roll back numerous Biden-era regulations. Trump is expected to remove current CFPB Director Rohit Chopra, leading to a reduction in the agency's focus on ambitious rulemaking. Instead, the CFPB will likely concentrate on traditional oversight and enforcement, targeting only major infractions. Most regulations established under Chopra, such as credit card late fee caps and demographic data collection for small business loans, face potential repeal or weakening, especially as many are already tied up in legal challenges. The CFPB and trade groups may agree to pause these litigations while the agency revisits the contested rules.One regulation with bipartisan support that may endure is the recent open banking rule, which allows consumers to securely share financial data with fintech firms and other banks. Although it faces legal challenges, this rule could survive due to broader Republican interest in data privacy and open banking. Under Trump's leadership, the CFPB is also unlikely to continue issuing informal guidance and circulars affecting sectors like "buy now, pay later" services without formal rulemaking.Trump Team Set to Roll Back Chopra's Credit Card, Banking RulesA second Trump administration may significantly reshape U.S. water regulations, particularly targeting Biden-era protections. Expected changes include repealing or revising key EPA rules under the Clean Water Act and rolling back protections for wetlands, PFAS substances, and state oversight over water pollution. Legal experts predict that Trump's team could rely on the Heritage Foundation's Project 2025, which suggests undoing the Waters of the U.S. (WOTUS) rule, limiting state veto power under Section 401, and revisiting PFAS regulations. The Biden administration's updated WOTUS rule, developed in response to a 2023 Supreme Court ruling, is already under legal challenge and may be replaced with Trump's previous rule, potentially narrowing federal jurisdiction over wetlands.Additionally, Biden's Lead and Copper Rule Improvements (LCRI), mandating lead pipe removal by 2027, could be at risk. The administration is also likely to limit federal involvement in water regulation, possibly expanding state control over Section 404 permitting, which governs dredge-and-fill activities in waters. While some states support stricter PFAS standards due to health risks, budget constraints could hinder state-led water protection initiatives if federal support declines. However, rolling back PFAS drinking water standards, finalized this year, could be complex due to the regulatory and public health controversies involved.Biden Clean Water Rules Vulnerable in New Trump AdministrationRudy Giuliani is set to appear in a Manhattan court following accusations that he ignored a court order to surrender property, including his luxury Manhattan apartment, to two Georgia election workers, Ruby Freeman and her daughter Wandrea “Shaye” Moss. A U.S. judge had mandated that Giuliani turn over assets by Oct. 29 to partially satisfy a $148 million judgment awarded to the pair after a jury found he defamed them by falsely accusing them of election interference in 2020. Despite Giuliani's claims of cooperation, Freeman and Moss's lawyer argued he has delayed the process, noting that Giuliani's apartment has been largely emptied. Judge Lewis Liman denied Giuliani's request to participate in a Florida radio broadcast instead of attending court and has scheduled an in-person hearing to assess compliance with the property handover.The court action follows Giuliani's Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing, which a judge dismissed after determining Giuliani withheld financial information, leaving him vulnerable to creditors. Giuliani, who has been disbarred in New York and faces criminal charges for his role in efforts to overturn the 2020 election, plans to attend the hearing, with his lawyer asserting that Freeman and Moss, not Giuliani, are responsible for delays in the asset transfer process.Giuliani to appear in court as election workers demand his property | ReutersIn my column for Bloomberg this week, I argue that the U.S. urgently needs to reform its R&D tax policies to better support innovation. Historically, Section 174 of the tax code allowed businesses to immediately deduct research and development expenses, offering a cash flow benefit that encouraged reinvestment in further R&D. However, the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) changed this by mandating that companies amortize these expenses over five years starting in 2022. This shift has significantly reduced the immediate value of R&D tax benefits, leading to a substantial drop in R&D investment.The change has also raised effective tax rates for companies focused on innovation, particularly in critical sectors like technology and pharmaceuticals, thus weakening the U.S. competitive edge. Meanwhile, other nations, such as the UK and China, have implemented more generous R&D incentives, putting the U.S. at a disadvantage globally.To address this, I propose restoring immediate expensing under Section 174 and introducing a "patent box" system, which would apply a reduced tax rate to profits derived from intellectual property. This approach could both increase R&D investment and encourage domestic commercialization of innovations. By combining immediate expensing with sector-specific patent box incentives, we could reinvigorate U.S. innovation and enhance our competitiveness on the world stage.R&D Tax Expensing Is Broken, But Changing Some Rules Can Fix It This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.minimumcomp.com/subscribe
The AICPA & CIMA National Tax Conference will take place on November 11 and 12 in Washington, DC. Join Brandon Lagarde, Tax Partner at EisnerAmper, and April Walker, Lead Manager on AICPA & CIMA's Tax Practice & Ethics team, to learn more about what to expect from the upcoming conference. Conference sessions will feature topics such as: The impact of election results on tax legislation: Investigate the potential legislative outlook based on the recent election results and how it might affect tax policies. Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) expiring provisions: Provisions of the TCJA are scheduled to sunset at the end of 2025; learn more about how to prepare and explore planning opportunities. Practical tax strategies: Sessions at the conference will cover various tax tactics, including gifting and income tax planning strategies, for clients who are not currently subject to estate tax. Ethical dilemmas in tax practice: A session will discuss common ethical dilemmas faced by tax practitioners and provide insights on how to handle them. The future of tax practice: Investigate the importance of transforming tax practices with year-round advisory services and how to implement these changes in a tax firm. AICPA resources AICPA & CIMA National Tax Conference — For tax practitioners, there's no better place to get immersed in current events than the AICPA & CIMA National Tax Conference; in-person and virtual options are available. Reimagining your tax practice — Join us for free upcoming live roundtable sessions to tackle today's top practice management issues with insights and tips from pioneers in the tax community. TCJA expiring provisions — This detailed, downloadable resource offers an in-depth look at the expiring provisions under the TCJA and other recent legislation. It categorizes changes across individual tax, estate and gift tax and business tax provisions, organized by year of expiration. Transcript Neil Amato: Welcome back to the Journal of Accountancy podcast. This is Neil Amato with the JofA. I'm excited to be joined for today's episode by two top flight tax experts in this special collaboration episode with the Tax Section Odyssey podcast with our guests, we're discussing the AICPA & CIMA National Tax Conference which begins November 11th in Washington. Those guests, April Walker, lead manager with the tax practice and ethics team and host of the aforementioned Tax Section Odyssey. Also Brandon Lagarde, tax partner at EisnerAmper and Chair of the Tax Conference Planning Committee. We have a lot to get to. We're excited to have you on. First, a quick welcome, April and Brandon, thanks for being repeat guests on the JofA podcasts. April Walker: Thanks so much for having me Neil. I'm excited to be here. Brandon Lagarde: It's very exciting to be here Neil. Thank you for having me. Neil Amato: Yeah, we're glad to have you both on as I said, the Tax Conference is November 11th, less than a week after election day. Brandon for you first, tell me what you're looking forward to about this event which is at the Omni Shoreham Hotel in Washington? Brandon Lagarde: Yeah. I'm looking forward to just go into DC. It's going to be a week after the election, hoping that we know who the president will be and what the makeup of Congress will be at that time. Again, it's going to be a great atmosphere, a great opportunity to go to the nation's capital, to hear from some of the best tax minds out there. Neil Amato: April, I know you're a repeat attendee at that conference. You're also running sessions, recording podcasts, taking part in panels. What do you look forward to from the event? April Walker: It's always a busy conference for me and I love being in DC and it's very exciting for me to be there, like Brandon said right after the election. Speaking of that, really what I'm looking forward to most is hearing more about what the potential legislation outlook could look like based on those results, based on those election results. I think we'll hear more about we've talked a lot about the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, the TCJA, that it potential expiration, what that means. We'll really be able to dig into that at the conference. I'm excited about that. Neil Amato: It's almost like we planned this. My next thing was going to be the TCJA. Some of the provisions of that Act, the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, are scheduled to sunset at the end of 2025. Clearly, there is a lot of uncertainty about the provisions right now as we record and the first part of October. But I imagine that topic is going to be a popular one at the conference. Brandon, What do you think? Brandon Lagarde: Yes, absolutely and that's why, again, being there at the heart of it all after the election and getting to hear from presenters and speakers about just what the future holds for tax professionals, end of 2024 is going to be really important for us. 2025 is going to be incredibly important for tax practitioners to understand and remind ourselves of here are all these provisions that we've been dealing with for the last seven years that are going to expire. What's going to happen? Where are we going to be? A lot of planning opportunities, lot of reason to get in front of clients to learn about what we have in the horizon. Again, that's why this conference, particularly just the time of the year. It is in the election cycle, and heading into 2025, 2026. It's probably the most important conference that's ever taken place. This is just a really important time for us to get together and to really try to figure out what's going to happen. Of course, we're not going to know exactly at that time, but at least start to have a better understanding, a clear picture of what we can expect and what should we be talking to clients heading into 2025? What are some things that need to be doing? Because you can't just turn on the switch in November of 2025 and start to really think about this. Right now is really the time to get ahead of it and remind ourselves what provisions are expiring? What do we need to start thinking about planning opportunities to get ahead of it? That's what's at stake at this time. April Walker: I love Brandon that you're setting the bar really high. The most important conference of all time. Here we go. Neil Amato: Yeah, that's great and because it's the most important conference of all time, we will include a link to the conference registration page with the agenda information and all of that in the show notes for this episode. One of the items on that agenda is being led by Marty Finn. He's a previous guest on the podcast. He has a session on tax and financial planning. When estate taxes don't matter. Now not to steal Marty's thunder. But can you give me a little preview of the highlights of that session? Brandon Lagarde: Certainly. We will spend a lot of time at this conference again, learning about the estate tax world and the sunset provisions and trying to navigate that. But the reality is a lot of our clients are not subject to estate tax. A lot of our clients are not having to worry about the sun setting provisions. We thought it was important to have sessions that not just focused on the top 1% of our clients, but to the 99% or to the large majority of our client base. Things like gifting strategies, what we need to be talking to clients about, who aren't necessarily dealing with the estate tax. Income tax planning strategies around that. Really just as practitioners, what do we need to be talking to clients about? We're not super focused on just estate tax and the ultra wealthy or the wealthy. That's one thing that we really try to work hard as committee in this conference is to find sessions that have a very practical application. That we can take away tips and tricks and things to our client base and back to our hometown and not just focused on the very academic discussion that a lot of tax practitioners like to have. That they can relate to. Try to have sessions that are very practical in nature and the Marty session is definitely one of those. He's going to do a great job giving some really good tips and tricks to people to bring home. Neil Amato: I liked the practical part you mentioned, and that leads me into another session that I want to ask you about. This is one that April is taking part in with Dan Moore and Mark Gallegos.The title of the session is Tax Practice makeover, transforming with year-round advisory services. Tell me some more about that session. April Walker: Yeah. I'm really excited about that session. A lot of what I do here at the AICPA is try to help practitioners think about the future, the future of Tax Practice, the future of what a firm could look like. So we had this idea to do like a makeover of a practice. We're going to talk about some of the different aspects of a practice that you could make over- billing, client focus. One of those is about adding advisory services. We'll talk more about that. So come and join us and learn how you could do a makeover of your practice. Neil Amato: That's great. Now another session with an intriguing title, this is you, Brandon and you April, test your tax ethics IQ. Now one that sounds like one that people have to do some homework on or some pre-reading, maybe I don't know, but tell us about that session. What's a flavor of it that you can tell attendees about now? Brandon Lagarde: We're going to try have fun with this session. Play some games that have come up with like a quiz atmosphere. I think April going to try bring a buzzer for people to buzz in and answer our questions. But really focus on ethical dilemmas. We're faced with ethical dilemmas daily, with clients who are either trying to push the boundaries a little bit or just get into some situations where they find themselves in a bad place. We're constantly being asked to address the situation with our client base. Whether you need amended return for XYZ reason. Can you take on a client because of what's going on? Do you need a fire a client? Because they may be trying to push the envelope a little bit. Really, there's a lot of ethical dilemmas that we face as practitioners. This is really a time for us to again, have some fun with it. To the extent that ethics is fun. We're going to try to test the audience and see what they think. It's always amazing if you ask a room of people what they think about certain tax ethic issue or are really just a tax topic. In a room of 100 people, there are probably 100 different opinions on what should be done. I think it can be fun. We're going to try have fun with it. Again, I really trying to also provide some education so if you find yourself in these situations, here's some things to consider. But again, April and I, we hope to have fun with that. April Walker: Just come visit us. There is no pre-work. To answer your question, Neil, there is no pre-work to the session. We'll take a lighthearted take on a potentially tough, dry subject. Neil Amato: Great, and this quiz is not graded. You still get the CPE as long as you're showing up, right? April Walker: Absolutely. Neil Amato: Well, good. One of the themes that I'm hearing is providing advice on the topic of expanding services beyond just, "Hey, we're going to do taxes for someone." But if someone said to you, maybe after a session, "Hey, I really liked what you said there. But gosh, I'm a smaller firm," or "It's only me. I don't know where to start." What do you tell them? April Walker: What I would do, if they came up to me and I hope they do. You can come up to me at our booth. You can come up to Brandon and I if you see us. We will likely be posted up in the bar at the Omni. Come see us anytime. But what I would tell you, we talk to small firms all the time. One thing I recommend them is come to a session that I do that's on the computer. It's not live at the conference, but it's called Reimagining your tax practice. I'm really more about re-imagining and having makeovers and that sort of thing it seems like. But in those sessions we really talk about the nitty-gritty. Sometimes it's hard to think about this big process of going from X to Y. We like to talk in those sessions about practical ways. I like to focus on the practical. How to actually get where you're going, or how to change things in your practice or how to change how you're operating. That's probably what I would say if you came up to see me wherever you might find me. Neil Amato: This has been great. We've mentioned session by Marty Finn. We've mentioned some sessions you are taking part in. Of course, we've mentioned that key acronym these days, TCJA. Brandon, in closing. Anything you'd like to add as we wrap up this Tax Conference preview episode. Brandon Lagarde: Yeah. Certainly. A couple of other terms you'll hear out there. AI, which we have a session. Transforming your tax practice. One thing we like to emphasize about all of our conferences, but certainly this one is, there'll be lots of sessions with lots of smart people talk speaking at these sessions with great content. A lot of times your challenge is which sessions do I go to. Because it's such a great hour, hour-and-a-half of content. You'd have to choose. At the moment, you do have to pick a session. But you have access to recordings of all the sessions after. I often go back and watch sessions that I wasn't able to attend because of that great content. It's just a wealth of information. Again, you get a little parting gift when you leave. Not only do you meet up, making new friends, meet people at the conference, talk about challenges you're facing with your colleagues and also hear some of the best speakers in DC and have a great time there. But you also get to have access to all the recordings after and watch the sessions after that you missed, and that is invaluable to have access to that content. Neil Amato: April, how about you? Anything to add in closing? April Walker: I think one thing that's really important about this conference being in DC, and we haven't mentioned yet, is the ability to have IRS speakers that come and speak to us. We're going to have the taxpayer advocate, Erin Collins. We'll have other IRS speakers scattered throughout the conference.That's another opportunity to really hear where they are on certain things and be able to ask them questions. Neil Amato: Yeah. That's great. It's a good reminder that there is that access to IRS officials every year at this conference. Really thank both of you for your time. Again, look forward to the conference November 11th, Brandon, April. Thanks for being on the JofA podcast. Keep your finger on the pulse of the dynamic and evolving tax landscape with insights from tax thought leaders in the AICPA Tax Section. The Tax Section Odyssey podcast includes a digest of tax developments, trending issues and practice management tips that you need to be aware of to elevate your professional development and your firm practices. This resource is part of the robust tax resource library available from the AICPA Tax Section. The Tax Section is your go-to home base for staying up to date on the latest tax developments and providing the edge you need for upskilling your professional development. If you're not already a member, consider joining this prestigious community of your tax peers. You'll get free CPE, access to rich technical content such as our Annual Tax Compliance Kit, a weekly member newsletter and a digital subscription to The Tax Adviser.
Tax Planning, Enforcement, and International Taxation Source: Session 3: Tax Planning, Enforcement, and International Taxation Main Themes: Strategic Tax Planning: Utilizing legal provisions to minimize tax liability and maximize after-tax income. This encompasses: Retirement Account Optimization: Leveraging Traditional and Roth IRAs, 401(k)s, 403(b)s, and self-employed plans to defer income and maximize contributions. Tax-Efficient Investing: Investing in vehicles like municipal bonds, tax-deferred accounts, and managing capital gains to reduce tax burdens. Estate Planning: Utilizing gifting strategies and trusts to minimize estate taxes and ensure smooth wealth transfer. Understanding Tax Audits and Enforcement: Knowing the IRS audit process, taxpayer rights, penalties for non-compliance, and the appeals process. Navigating International Taxation: Addressing the complexities of U.S. taxation of worldwide income, double taxation treaties, transfer pricing, and reporting requirements for foreign assets. Keeping Abreast of Recent Tax Law Developments: Staying informed about changes brought by the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, Inflation Reduction Act, and initiatives targeting the digital economy. Key Ideas and Facts: Tax Planning: "Tax planning is not about evading tax obligations but rather taking advantage of legitimate opportunities provided by the tax code." Retirement accounts offer tax advantages like deductibility of contributions, tax-deferred growth, and potential tax-free withdrawals (Roth IRA). Employer matching in 401(k) plans is "essentially free money." Tax-efficient investments minimize the impact of taxes on returns. Long-term capital gains are taxed at preferential rates compared to short-term gains. Estate planning tools like gifting and trusts help minimize estate tax liability. Tax Audits and Enforcement: The IRS uses various methods to select returns for audit, including random selection, computer screening, and document matching. Red flags that can increase the likelihood of an audit include large charitable contributions, unusually high deductions, and discrepancies between reported income and third-party information. Taxpayers have the right to representation and appeal during an audit. Penalties for non-compliance can be severe, ranging from late filing/payment penalties to accuracy-related penalties and even criminal prosecution for fraud. International Taxation: U.S. citizens and residents are taxed on their worldwide income. The Foreign Earned Income Exclusion (FEIE) and Foreign Tax Credit (FTC) alleviate double taxation for individuals working abroad. Tax treaties prevent double taxation and clarify taxing rights between countries. Transfer pricing rules ensure fair income allocation among related entities in different countries. U.S. taxpayers with foreign financial assets exceeding certain thresholds must file FBAR and comply with FATCA reporting requirements. Recent Developments: The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) lowered the corporate tax rate, increased the standard deduction, and introduced the Qualified Business Income (QBI) Deduction. The Inflation Reduction Act provided tax credits for electric vehicles, energy-efficient home improvements, and imposed a corporate minimum tax. International efforts are underway to address digital economy taxation and implement a global minimum tax. Case Studies: Maria's case: Illustrates the importance of utilizing the FEIE, FTC, and FBAR filing for U.S. citizens living and working abroad. John's case: Demonstrates the value of proper documentation, understanding taxpayer rights, and the potential benefits of the appeals process during an audit. Conclusion: Staying informed about tax law changes, planning strategically, and ensuring compliance are crucial for managing tax obligations effectively. A comprehensive understanding of tax planning, enforcement, and international taxation empowers taxpayers to optimize their financial well-being while minimizing risks. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/law-school/support
What could happen to our taxes if the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) expires in 2025? This week, we explore a Wall Street Journal article analyzing the TCJA's potential expiration and its varied impacts across the U.S. from coast to coast. These tax cuts, enacted under President Trump, included reductions across multiple income brackets, increased standard deductions, and expanded child tax credits. However, when they're set to expire, the shift could mean substantial tax hikes for many households. The discussion centers on the unique impact of these changes in different regions, showing how factors like income levels and state taxes could influence the extent of the increase. Outline of This Episode [0:20] What happens if the 2017 tax cuts expire? [3:00] Impact of the TCJA's expiration on different regions [4:47] Where tax increases will be highest [5:45] Bay Area faces double pressure [6:05] Retirees in Collier County, Florida, brace for tax changes [7:50] Rural areas face modest tax impacts [12:21] Listener Question: Social Security & retirement timing Resources & People Mentioned The Retirement Podcast Network Where Taxes Would Rise the Most if Trump's Tax Cuts Expire Retirement Starts Today Tax Tool: retirementstartstoday.com/tax Connect with Benjamin Brandt Become a Client: www.retirementstartstoday.com/start Get the Retire-Ready Toolkit: http://retirementstartstodayradio.com/ Follow Ben on Twitter: https://twitter.com/retiremeasap Join the newsletter: https://retirementstartstodayradio.com/newsletter Dive deeper into retirement planning with Ben at www.RetirementIncome.University Subscribe to Retirement Starts Today on Apple Podcasts, Stitcher, TuneIn, Podbean, Player FM, iHeart, or Spotify
The swamp rats and media sellouts were wrong AGAIN. In this episode, I explain the behind-the-scenes story from this week's presidential debate, the real electoral repercussions and why they want to gaslight you. What Is the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA)? How Undecided Voters Reacted to the Harris-Trump Debate Lockheed Martin Develops System to Identify and Counter Online "Disinformation," Prototyped by DARPA Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
This week on Facing the Future we focused on the economy and previewed the 2025 tax debate when key provisions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) are scheduled to expire at the end of the year. We also discussed some new tax proposals that have been floated on the campaign trail. Our guest was Douglas Holtz-Eakin, President of the American Action Forum and former Director of the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). Concord Coalition chief economist Steve Robinson joined the conversation.
In this episode, Matt Robison and Mike Morton consider the potential expiration of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) in 2025 and what it could mean for your finances. They focus on three key areas: the possible reduction of the lifetime gifting exemption from $13 million to $6 million; the likely increase in tax rates due to a decrease in the standard deduction, making it a good time to consider Roth conversions; and the expiration of the 20% Qualified Business Income (QBI) deduction for small business owners. With these changes on the horizon, now is the time to plan for the future.Are you ready to create your ideal lifestyle? Let's Connect.Learn more about Mike and my services at https://www.mortonfinancialadvice.com and connect at https://www.linkedin.com/in/mwsmorton/
Learn why the expiration of the Federal Tax Cuts and Jobs Act could mean significant tax increases for families and businesses in the Mountain States. Hear from Sam Cardwell of the Mountain States Policy Center as he explains the stakes. Read more at https://tinyurl.com/kcfb95uf. #TaxCuts #TCJA #TaxBurden #CorporateTax #ChildTaxCredit #MountainStatesPolicyCenter #SamCardwell #Vancouver #WashingtonState #LocalNews
Send us a Text Message.This episode is a primer in preparing for the possible sunsetting of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) on December 31, 2025. Having a tax planning roadmap aligned with possible changes is important as taxes are the biggest expense in most budgets. Having two tax years to plan for changes can save you significant money long termReference of Possible Changeshttps://www.pnc.com/insights/wealth-management/markets-economy/2026-tax-law-changes-prepare-for-TCJA-provisions-to-sunset.htmlIntroducing The Money Toolkit NewsletterA weekly newsletter that delivers actionable information on how to enhance your investing journeySubscribe herehttps://toms-newsletter-5f3b9c.beehiiv.com/subscribeContact The Savings CaptainX @SavingsCaptainInstagram @thesavingscaptainEmail thesavingscaptain@gmail.com
Hosted By: Joe Bert CFP® & Aaron Bert CFP® Joe Bert CFP® and Aaron Bert CFP® take your calls and provide expert answers to your questions on NEWS 96.5 FM. Submit your questions to: 1-844-220-0965 Joe@FinancialGroup.com • Aaron@FinancialGroup.com The post What to know about (and how to plan for) the impending expiration of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). appeared first on On The Money Podcast.
In this episode of Let's Get Surety®, we are joined by construction financial accounting expert Todd Feuerman and construction tax expert Travis Klein, both of Ellin & Tucker. We explore the potential impact of the impending sunset of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) on the economy, particularly the construction segment. These construction CPAs discuss the wider implications, such as the effect on sureties and construction lenders and on contractors undertaking succession and estate planning. They provide their expert insight into the opportunities and challenges arising from the upcoming changes. Tune in and learn how best to navigate the sunset of the TCJA. With special guests: Todd A. Feuerman, CPA, MBA, CCA, Director and Chair of Construction Services Group, Ellin & Tucker and Travis T. Klein, CPA, MBA, Director, Tax, Ellin & Tucker Hosted by: Kat Shamapande, Director, Professional Development, NASBP Sponsored By EMC Bond!
In our latest podcast, one of Evergreen Gavekal's seasoned CFP® & CEPA professionals, Kaeli Kaainoa, sits down with our newest hire, Melissa Hilty, an attorney with an LLM in Taxation and over 15 years of experience with the IRS. They discuss her extensive tax expertise, the invaluable lessons learned from her career, and how she will support our clients with her deep knowledge of tax strategy. The conversation highlights risk management by sharing reasons why some ultra-high-net-worth families may get audited. The discussion then dives into effective tax planning strategies, such as implementing Spousal Lifetime Access Trusts (SLATs) in anticipation of the sunset of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). This episode is a must-listen for anyone looking to optimize their tax strategies and avoid costly mistakes. As always, thanks for listening! This podcast was recorded July 22, 2024.
This newsletter provides an overview of the current individual income tax, estate tax, and gift tax environment and outlines some of the major provisions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) that are set to expire.
Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found Click On Picture To See Larger PictureThe same government that lied to the people about covid are now misleading the people on the fake climate agenda. ESG investing is imploding. The unemployment number are manipulated and now the predictions is for one rate cut. The [DS] want immunity removed from Trump, they know this will open the criminal syndicate to prosecutions, they are willing to risk this. But will they move forward with it? The trials are exposing the [DS] on how they colluded with the Biden admin/DOJ to get Trump, it is all falling apart. This is why they have a new indictment from AZ, this will backfire it opens AZ up for discovery and since Finchem and Lake have the evidence this will go down in flames. Bill Barr endorses Trump, B2 bomber no longer stealth. (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:13499335648425062,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-7164-1323"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="//cdn2.customads.co/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); Economy https://twitter.com/WillHild/status/1783531496386580879 https://twitter.com/SteveLovesAmmo/status/1783096190197727658 Microsoft is cutting 1,900 jobs. Expedia is cutting 1,500 jobs in 2024. Cisco is cutting 4,000 jobs in 2024. Apple cut 600 jobs. Regal Cinemas is closing 429 locations. Kroger is closing 413 stores. Foot Locker is closing 400 stores by 2026. Macy's is closing 150 stores by 2026. Walmart has closed 6 stores in 2024. While the US Senate has passed nearly $100 billion to send to other countries that most can't even point on a map. Oh, and in that bill they've laid the groundwork to ban (Free Speech) TikTok in the United States. Don't speak bad about the government either or they will use FISA to spy on you like they did over 200,000 times in 2023 alone. We are beyond taxation without representation, America. https://twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1783491515932713454 https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1783481843314016593 Index soared from 2.0% to a staggering 3.7%. This crushed estimates of 3.4% and further suggests that inflation is on the rise. We have a weakening economy with rising inflation. The worst possible outcome for the Fed. https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1783482546782625944 Biden Signals Tax Hike If Re-Elected As Americans Struggle From His Inflation Crisis President Joe Biden signaled that if he wins re-election this fall that Americans should expect to see an increase in their taxes, which comes as many are struggling from the high inflation rates that have defined Biden's presidency. A report from the Tax Foundation last month explained that Congress has less than two years to prevent “the vast majority” of Americans from getting hit with tax hikes. The law that Biden wants to let expire is the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) of 2017, a law that simplified taxes and reduced taxes “across the income spectrum,” the report said. “The TCJA reduced average tax rates for taxpayers at all income levels because it lowered marginal tax rates, widened tax brackets, doubled the child tax credit and zeroed out personal and dependent exemptions, nearly doubled the standard deduction, and limited several itemized deductions and the alternative minimum tax, among other changes,” the report added. “Average rates declined across all income groups and have remained below their 2017 levels since.” Biden's willingness to let the law expire flies in the face of his previous pledge to not raise taxes on those who earn less than $400,000 per year. “Biden just endorsed a $2 trillion tax hike on earners under $400k (breaking his no-new-taxes pledge for such earners), and and endorsed cutting the child credit down to $1,000,
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