Podcasts about Stanislav Petrov

STANISLAV PETROV foi um coronel do Exército Vermelho que, em 26 de setembro de 1983, evitou uma potencial guerra nuclear ao se recusar a aceitar que mísseis estadunidenses tinham sido lançados contra a URSS, apesar da indicação dada pelo sistema de alerta computadorizado. Os alertas do computador soviético mais tarde se revelaram errados, e Petrov ficou conhecido como a pessoa que evitou a Terceira Guerra Mundial e a devastação de boa parte da Terra por armas nucleares. Por causa do sigilo militar e de1 diferenças políticas e internacionais, os atos de Petrov foram mantidos em segredo até 1998. Essa é a nossa história de hoje. Se você gostou deixe seu like, faça seu comentário, compartilhe essa biografia com outras pessoas. Vamos incentivar a cultura em nosso pais. Até a próxima história! (Tania Barros)Ajude Tânia a manter o Canal Ativo - PIX: 7296e2d1-e34e-4c2e-b4a0-9ac072720b88 - Seja Membro Youtube á partir de R$1,99 por mês - Projeto Catarse: https://www.catarse.me/loucosporbiografias - Contato: e-mail - taniabarros339@gmail.com

Programa 5x123, amb Mariona Escoda. La Uni

Several times during the Cold War, the World came dangerously close to a nuclear disaster. In 1961 and 1968, B52 Bombers carrying nuclear bombs met with accidents nearly leading to a nuclear catastrophe. In 1983, one Soviet Lt. Col. single handedly saved the world from WWIII when he categorized an alarm about 5 missiles being launched at the Soviet Union, a false alarm. NATO conducted a WWIII simulation in 1983, which the Soviets assumed, was cover for an actual nuclear strike from the West. 

Durant quelques minutes, le colonel Stanislav Petrov a tenu le sort du monde entre ses mains. La nuit du 25 septembre 1983, l'officier de garde soviétique doit réagir dans l'urgence, quand l'alerte au missile nucléaire retentit. Doit-il confirmer ou non l'alerte ? Alors que les ordinateurs lui indiquent le pire, il pense qu'il s'agit d'une fausse alerte et décide de ne pas confirmer l'attaque auprès du Kremlin. Il a peut-être évité cette nuit-là une apocalypse nucléaire. L'histoire de cette fausse alerte nucléaire, enfouie dans les tréfonds de la guerre froide, nous montre comment la crainte d'une guerre nucléaire a parfois poussé des grandes puissances au seuil de la guerre, mais sans jamais le franchir. Comment la dissuasion nucléaire a-t-elle évolué depuis la guerre froide ? Nos dispositifs technologiques et humains sont-ils efficaces ? On en parle avec Emmanuelle Maitre, experte française, chargée de recherche à la Fondation pour la recherche stratégique et Alain De Neve, analyste à l'Institut royal supérieur de défense, à Bruxelles. Réalisation : Jonathan Remy Coordination : Emilie MaliceMerci pour votre écouteL'Histoire Continue c'est également en direct tous les samedis de 9h à 10h sur www.rtbf.be/lapremiere Retrouvez l'ensemble des épisodes de l'Histoire Continue sur notre plateforme Auvio.behttps://auvio.rtbf.be/emission/l-histoire-continue-19690 Et si vous avez apprécié ce podcast, n'hésitez pas à nous donner des étoiles ou des commentaires, cela nous aide à le faire connaître plus largement. Intéressés par l'histoire ? Vous pourriez également aimer nos autres podcasts : Un jour dans l'Histoire : https://audmns.com/gXJWXoQL'heure H : https://audmns.com/YagLLiKEt sa version à écouter en famille : La Mini Heure H https://audmns.com/YagLLiKVous pourriez également apprécier ces podcasts de la RTBF: Un jour dans le sport : https://audmns.com/decnhFkAinsi que nos séries historiques :Chili, le Pays de mes Histoires : https://audmns.com/XHbnevhD-Day : https://audmns.com/JWRdPYIJoséphine Baker : https://audmns.com/wCfhoEwLa folle histoire de l'aviation : https://audmns.com/xAWjyWCLes Jeux Olympiques, l'étonnant miroir de notre Histoire : https://audmns.com/ZEIihzZMarguerite, la Voix d'une Résistante : https://audmns.com/zFDehnENapoléon, le crépuscule de l'Aigle : https://audmns.com/DcdnIUnSous le sable des Pyramides : https://audmns.com/rXfVppvN'oubliez pas de vous y abonner pour ne rien manquer.Et si vous avez apprécié ce podcast, n'hésitez pas à nous donner des étoiles ou des commentaires, cela nous aide à le faire connaître plus largement.

After a week of devastating fires in Los Angeles, we're revisiting John's conversation with Anna Jane Joyner and Quinn Emmett from Good Energy Stories on how to talk about climate change on screen. They discuss opportunities for writers to inspire change, raise awareness, and capture the environmental concerns of our time. We follow up on disability representation in Hollywood with the release of the Cost of Accommodations report from the Inevitable Foundation. In our bonus segment for premium members, we talk about asking people for money, whether it's to finance a movie or launch a campaign to save the planet. Links: The Original Episode 547 and its transcript Stanislav Petrov, The Man Who Saved the World Documentary How Much Does it Really Cost to Make Hollywood More Accommodating for Disabled Talent? by Abbey White for The Hollywood Reporter Inevitable Foundation Good Energy Stories Playbook David Robert Ted Talk on Climate Change Years of Living Dangerously Clip with Anna and her Dad Subscribe to Important, Not Important First Reformed Dana Fox and The Lost City Russian Doll Season 2 Redactle Game Anna Jane Joyner and Good Energy on Instagram Quinn Emmett on Instagram Get a Scriptnotes T-shirt! Check out the Inneresting Newsletter Gift a Scriptnotes Subscription or treat yourself to a premium subscription! Craig Mazin on Threads and Instagram John August on BlueSky, Threads, Instagram, and Mastodon Outro by Jade Carda (send us yours!) This episode was originally produced by Megana Rao. Scriptnotes is produced by Drew Marquardt and edited by Matthew Chilelli. Email us at ask@johnaugust.com You can download the episode here.

26 Eylül 1983, gece yarısı. Soğuk Savaş döneminin en gergin zamanları. İşte o gece dünyanın kaderini etkileyecek bir olay yaşanmıştı. Moskova yakınlarındaki bir askeri tesiste yankılanan kırmızı alarm sesleri, korkunç bir nükleer savaşın sinyallerini veriyordu. Protokol çok netti: “Üst komutaya haber ver. Karşı saldırıyı başlat.” Ancak monitörlerin başındaki Teğmen Stanislav Petrov içgüdülerini dinlemiş ve dünyayı uçurumun kenarından çekip almıştı. Hiçbir Şey Tesadüf Değil'in bu bölümünde onun hikayesini inceliyoruz. İnsanlığın kaderinin bazen tek bir kişinin, tek bir kararına bağlı olup olamayacağı üzerine tartışıyoruz.------- Podbee Sunar -------Yatırım stratejilerinizi bir üst seviyeye taşımanızı sağlayacak geliştirilmiş özellikler, kullanıcı dostu arayüz ve çok daha fazlası için Garanti BBVA Yatırım eTrader ile hemen tanışın. Ayrıntılı bilgi için https://www.garantibbvayatirim.com.tr/ sitesini ziyaret edebilirsiniz. "See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Den 26. september, 1983, kunne verden slik vi kjenner den stoppet opp. Sjansen for en atomkrig mellom USA og Sovjetunionen var 50/50, og alt stod og falt på én person - som satt alene i en bunker midt i ingenmannsland. Dette er historien om Stanislav Petrov. Skrevet, produsert og innlest av Christian Konglund. Musikk og lyd fra Soundly og Christian Konglund. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Maria snagged her first World Series of Poker Bracelet! She and Nate break down her strategy on the crucial hands that got her the win. Then, we turn our attention to the Nobel Peace Prize and the p(doom) of nuclear warfare. And, of course, we have our weekly “Should Democrats Be Panicking?” segment.  Further Reading: The Big Announcement More on Thomas Schelling  More on Stanislav Petrov aka the man who saved the world For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters: The Leap from Maria Konnikova Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Quarterly Performance Review, Autumn 1983Colonel Yuri Kuznetsov looked out the window anxiously. The endless gray landscape did little to soothe his nerves. He only had one employee review left to get through, but he'd saved the hardest one for last. He wasn't upset about having to dismiss Lieutenant Colonel Petrov—he couldn't wait to be rid of the little shit—but he couldn't shake the feeling that something was amiss. He took a swig from his flask. “Stanislav, you can come in now,” Yuri shouted as he opened the door and nearly smashed Stanislav Petrov in the face. “Have a seat,” he said.“Yes, sir. Thank you sir. Overjoyed to be here as always,” Stanislav said.“The purpose of this meeting is for us to discuss various concerns that have emerged about your performance over the past several months,” said Yuri. “Looking through your chart, what I'm seeing [...] ---Outline:(00:04) Quarterly Performance Review, Autumn 1983(07:27) Quarterly Performance Review, Winter 1983--- First published: September 26th, 2024 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/kj4jW9DxtKQBJbapn/stanislav-petrov-quarterly-performance-review --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

Maailmalla on mahdollisuus mullistua suuntaan tai toiseen vain yhden yksittäisen ihmisen nopealla päätöksellä tai viattoman tutkimuksen seurauksena. Ja joskus ymmärrämme vasta myöhemmin, että kuinka läheltä se oikeasti liippasi. Stanislav Petrov ja Vasili Arhipov olivat molemmat hyvin hankalan paikan edessä.

Hello and thank you for downloading another episode of The Flixters Podcast!   On this week's show we have the venerable Manny filling in for Duval who's out and about in Italy.  We discuss Nicolas Cage's Dream Scenario, a dreamy (in the literal sense) independent which sees him play a schlubby college professor who happens to turn up in your dreams. That's everyone in the world.  Scary right.  Even scarier, depending on how you look at it, is Under Paris. Billed as the next best thing since Jaws, this French shark tale, pits woman against shark in this outlandish action/thriller.  And finally, we discuss The Man Who Saved The World, a documentary about the remarkable story of Russian soldier, Stanislav Petrov, who is credited with averting nuclear war with the US in the early 80s.  On Anniversary Corner we look back at A Nightmare on Elm Street (1984). If that's not enough for you, we've even thrown in new trailers to watch and what you can catch on streaming.  Thank you for supporting us and we hope you enjoy the show!  00:00 Intro  02:47 Movie News 09:23 New on Streaming 19:52 New Trailers 31:36 Anniversary Corner 33:31 Dream Scenario review 38:21 Under Paris review 41:46 The Man Who Saved The World review 49:28 Outro

The UK has a new Prime Minister, and one of his first acts will have been to write letters to the captains of our nuclear missile submarines, telling them what to do in the event that the UK gets obliterated by a nuclear strike. But what else might happen after a full-scale nuclear war? Many scientists—most notably Carl Sagan—have theorised that nuclear war would block out the sun, destroy crops, and maybe lead to human extinction. But it turns out this is a very controversial theory. In this rather grim episode of The Studies Show, Tom and Stuart try and work out who's right, and if nuclear winter really would be the end of the world.Another thing the new Prime Minister should be doing is reading Works in Progress magazine, the sponsor of The Studies Show. If he does, he'll find a wealth of ideas that he and his government could use to spark progress and growth in the UK - and in particular, he should be reading the classic essay “The Housing Theory of Everything”. You can find that and much more at worksinprogress.co.Show notes* Putin warning the West that Russia is “ready” for nuclear war* Ned Donovan's article on the UK Prime Minister's “Letters of Last Resort”* The 2024 test where the UK's nuclear deterrent went “plop”* Annie Jacobsen's book Nuclear War: A Scenario* A podcast episode and a Reddit thread criticising the book* Wikipedia on the Moscow-Washington and Beijing-Washington phone lines* The terrifying stories of Stanislav Petrov and Vasily Arkhipov* Eric Schlosser's book Command and Control, about nuclear near-misses* The 11-ton “Mother Of All Bombs” (MOAB) vs. the 9-megaton B53 thermonuclear warhead* Neil Halloran's YouTube video on deaths during and after a nuclear explosion* His later video discussing how he overstated nuclear winter effects* The “Nuke Map”, where you can see how much of a given city would be in the blast radius of a variety of different warheads* The two original 1983 nuclear winter papers in Science: the slightly more circumspect one; the one that mentions human extinction* Long Effective Altruism forum post by Michael Hinge on the evidence for and against nuclear winter effects* Even more detailed post on the same subject by Vasco Grilo* Three papers from three different teams on a regional nuclear exchange between India and Pakistan:* The Rutgers team's original paper in 2014* The follow-up by the Los Alamos team in 2018 (response from Rutgers; response from Los Alamos)* The follow-up by the Lawrence Livermore team in 2020* Carl Sagan's prediction of severe climate effects from Iraq's burning of the Kuwaiti oil wells in 1990/1991* Discussion of why that didn't happen* The extremely sceptical Naval Gazing blog post on nuclear winter* Paper from nuclear winter theorists accusing the US of genocide in Japan* Toby Ord's book The Precipice, on existential riskCreditsThe Studies Show is produced by Julian Mayers at Yada Yada Productions. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.thestudiesshowpod.com/subscribe

After a hefty portion of news, including plans for Lloyd Center, the Portland Pickles' THC drink, the Herman the Sturgeon conspiracy, the deletion of MTV News's entire back catalog from the internet, a man with 175 children, and much, much, much more, we focus on a man called Stanislav Petrov, a Russian soldier who received warning that Americans had started a nuclear attack on Russia and had to make the ultimate decision - hope it was a fake warning, or start the nuclear annihilation of the entire planet and everyone on it. So how was your day at work?

Right now, militaries around the globe are investing heavily in the use of AI weapons and drones.  From Ukraine to Gaza, weapons systems with increasing levels of autonomy are being used to kill people and destroy infrastructure and the development of fully autonomous weapons shows little signs of slowing down. What does this mean for the future of warfare? What safeguards can we put up around these systems? And is this runaway trend toward autonomous warfare inevitable or will nations come together and choose a different path? In this episode, Tristan and Daniel sit down with Paul Scharre to try to answer some of these questions. Paul is a former Army Ranger, the author of two books on autonomous weapons and he helped the Department of Defense write a lot of its policy on the use of AI in weaponry. RECOMMENDED MEDIAFour Battlegrounds: Power in the Age of Artificial Intelligence: Paul's book on the future of AI in war, which came out in 2023.Army of None: Autonomous Weapons and the Future of War: Paul's 2018 book documenting and predicting the rise of autonomous and semi-autonomous weapons as part of modern warfare.The Perilous Coming Age of AI Warfare: How to Limit the Threat of Autonomous Warfare: Paul's article in Foreign Affairs based on his recent trip to the battlefield in Ukraine.The night the world almost almost ended: A BBC documentary about Stanislav Petrov's decision not to start nuclear war.AlphaDogfight Trials Final Event: The full simulated dogfight between an AI and human pilot. The AI pilot swept, 5-0.RECOMMENDED YUA EPISODESThe AI ‘Race': China vs. the US with Jeffrey Ding and Karen HaoCan We Govern AI? with Marietje SchaakeBig Food, Big Tech and Big AI with Michael MossThe Invisible Cyber-War with Nicole PerlrothYour Undivided Attention is produced by the Center for Humane Technology. Follow us on Twitter: @HumaneTech_

While I was in Texas, enjoying the honeymoon I knew I had to record stuff, because the show won't wait for me, but I did not want to do heartbreaking stuff. Thankfully, Alex had listened to my pre-wedding episode, and wanted to dig deeper about our hero, Stanislav Petrov. We used the rare occasion of a much smaller time zone difference than usual and made this for You - which Alex also posted on his feed too. Enjoy!Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/theeasternborder. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In this special conversational episode of History Impossible, we're joined again by friend of the show and friend of mine, Kristaps Andrejsons of The Eastern Border podcast (which will also host this conversation on its feed!), who was kind enough to grace the shores of the United States for a visit, specifically Texas. Specifically, we turned to his recent special wedding episode where he discussed the eponymous “man who saved the world,” Stanislav Petrov, who, according to erroneous headlines from publications like the Atlantic a number of years ago, saved the world by “doing absolutely nothing.” Kristaps is here to disabuse us all of such a ridiculous notion.In 1983, the Cold War was at its most tense since the early 1960s, particularly during the Cuban Missile Crisis. It was during this time that the monitoring station where Stanislav Petrov was station picked up signals indicating that a handful of nuclear missiles launched from the United States had been launched in the direction of the Soviet Union. While he could have responded without thinking, leading to missiles being launched back at the United States, Petrov opted to wait for visual confirmation of the incoming missiles, putting both he and potentially hundreds of thousands of Soviet citizens in jeopardy. His rationality paid off and it turned out that there had indeed been an error in the detection equipment. No missiles had been fired.Why was this so extraordinary? This is what Kristaps is here to tell us about for us to discuss, along with scatterings of news from Ukraine as well as the eternal debate over American involvement overseas, as well as the proliferation of nuclear weaponry. It's actually a fairly light episode, considering the subject matter, so enjoy!History Impossible has been made possible by the following generous supporters on Patreon, Substack, and PayPal. Please consider donating today to help keep me free and this show alive:David AdamcikRajan AthulBabeonbobbyMichael BeachBenjaminElias BorotaJohannes BreitsameterCharles CCliffydeuceCRdaddygorgonPaul DeCosterNeil DickensNathan DiehlBob DowningDramicasRob DuvalGavin EdwardsHowie FeltersnatchPierre GhazarianJayson GriesmeyerNathan GroteBenjamin HamiltonPeter HauckCarey HurstJoe6245Thomas JustesenMike KalninsBryn KaufmanLeah KodnerBenjamin LeeConstance LoucksMaddyMounty of MadnessJose MartinezMike MaylebenJudy McCoidJim MillerKyle MohneyKostas MorosRyan MortensonCameron NeedhamSkip PachecoDavid PageMolly PanJeff ParrentJean PetersSr. PowellBrian PritzlAnaR737PJ RaderGleb RadutskyAleksandr RakitinReptilycusPhillip RiceChris RoweJon Andre SaetherAlison SaloJake ScaliaEmily SchmidtJulian SchmidtAndrew SeeberJoshua SimpsonCameron SmithThomas SqueoBrian SteggemanPier-Luc St-PierreAthal Krishna SundarrajanJared Cole TempleChrisTXWard Van RoyRobert VSJonny WilkieRicky WortheyMichael WroblewskiF. YouGreg Zink

Part 2 of what we've learned and experienced in Texas. Don't worry, the episode with Alex about Stanislav Petrov is incoming, and so are horrible, depressing news about the war. Enjoy!Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/theeasternborder. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Nuclear weapons have been back in public conversation recently - partly due to rising tensions between Iran and Israel. Outside of the news, they have also been featured a lot in films and TV shows. (Think Oppenheimer and Fallout). But, what are nuclear weapons? And is it likely they'll be used again? Or, have we learnt from what happened in Hiroshima and Nagasaki?The BBC's security correspondent Gordon Corera explains. We also hear from a nuclear studies student in Islamabad, Pakistan, about why young people should care about them. Plus, Alex Rhodes from the team talks us through some nuclear close calls. This includes how the actions of one Stanislav Petrov could have saved us all. Instagram: @bbcwhatintheworld WhatsApp: +44 0330 12 33 22 6 Email: whatintheworld@bbc.co.uk Presenter: Hannah Gelbart Producers: Mora Morrison, Alex Rhodes and Maria Clara Montoya Editor: Verity Wilde

Do altruistic behaviors make you more attractive? Does pro-environmental behavior help in mate choice? Do you know the story of the hero Arland Williams Jr. aka 'The man in the water'? What about Stanislav Petrov, who avoided nuclear war? Check out this amazing conversation about mate choice, altruism and even tennis performance after marriage!

Greetings, Comrades! I'm gettinng married in a few hours. And on this special day, I wanted to give you a bit of a throwback, Soviet history episode...with a message that is relevant even today.Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/theeasternborder. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

En el marco del aniversario de Tiempos Imposibles les presentamos uno de los pilotos que grabamos antes del lanzamiento del podcast. Podrán ver el génesis de este proyecto y disfrutar una ucronía sobre Stanislav Petrov, el hombre que salvó al mundo ¿Qué hubiera pasado si sigue el protocolo? ¿Cómo sería el mundo tras una guerra atómica en los 80s? Platicamos sobre guerra fría, armas nucleares y más en este episodio que ve la luz después de un año guardado. Este es un podcast de ucronías: relatos de ficción basados en hechos históricos pero que no sucedieron. Todo lo que aquí se dice es una charla entre amigos y no entre historiadores. Sean curiosos, los invitamos a imaginar con nosotros y a no creer todo lo que les dicen, y menos lo que decimos aquí. Una coproducción de Secuencia Digital https://instagram.com/secuenciadigital https://www.secuenciadigital.com Y Tiempos Imposibles https://tiemposimposibles.com

(NOTAS Y ENLACES DEL CAPÍTULO AQUÍ: https://www.jaimerodriguezdesantiago.com/kaizen/193-modelos-mentales-21-estrategia-militares-ocultistas-mantas-que-no-tapan-y-un-ruso-que-salvo-el-mundo/)Agosto de 1916. Cientos de miles de soldados sufren las penurias de la guerra en los más de 800 km de trincheras que se han dispuesto a lo largo de Francia y Bélgica, desde las montañas hasta el mar. Las alambradas y las ametralladoras hacen imposible que nadie avance. La caballería, considerada hasta hacía poco, la fuerza militar más desequilibrante había acabado siendo completamente inútil. Sin embargo, a pocos cientos de kilómetros detrás de las trincheras, civiles y militares franceses y británicos se reunieron para ver la demostración de un invento increíble. Era una mañana calurosa, con el cielo despejado. En la distancia, empezaron a oír el ruido de un motor mecánico, el sonido de piezas metálicas girando y clavándose en el suelo, como si de enormes orugas se tratara y vieron acercarse lentamente una máquina de 28 toneladas de metal. Estaban frente al primer tanque de la historia.Aquellas primeras máquinas eran torpes y poco fiables, pero podrían haber sido perfectamente la solución a aquellas interminables trincheras. Durante la Primera Guerra Mundial, sin embargo, apenas llegaron a usarse. Unos pocos convencidos de su utilidad trataron de persuadir a la cúpula militar de la necesidad de cambiar por completo la estructura del ejército y aprovechar esa nueva tecnología. Un tipo extremadamente inteligente pero al parecer muy peculiar, amante entre otras cosas del ocultismo, el General J.F.C Fuller, llegó incluso a diseñar una estrategia completa con la que sorprender a los alemanes y destruir sus centros neurálgicos en unas pocas horas, con los tanques atravesando sus trincheras sin detenerse. Sin embargo, la guerra terminó antes de que ese plan se pusiera en marcha. Pasaron los años, Alemania se rehizo y acabó bajo el mando de Hitler. Y al estallar la guerra conquistó media Europa a una velocidad de vértigo, usando tanques, con una idea muy similar a la Fuller: la Blitzkrieg o guerra relámpago.Pero lo curioso no es eso. Lo curioso es que mientras crecían los rumores de que Alemania estaba reconstruyendo su ejército en secreto, ¿sabes a qué se dedicó el ejército británico durante todos esos años? Pues, para empezar, a prohibir los libros de Fuller. Sus ideas eran consideradas radicales y él, poco menos que insoportable. Que tratara a todo el mundo como si fuera imbécil, seguramente no ayudó.Lo otro que hizo el ejército fue volver a las buenas costumbres. Se dedicaron a pulir sus cascos, encerar sus botas y cuidar de sus caballos. Y cuando tuvieron que responder a la amenaza de la militarización nazi, multiplicaron por 10 el gasto en heno y otros alimentos para caballos. A los oficiales de caballería les dieron un segundo caballo. A los oficiales de tanques, les dieron otro caballo más. Maravilloso. ¿Te gusta kaizen? Apoya el podcast uniéndote a la Comunidad y accede a contenidos y ventajas exclusivas: https://www.jaimerodriguezdesantiago.com/comunidad-kaizen/

Juliet and Terence on: woe at the Willy Wonka Experience; Paul McCartney vs Lily Evans; memorabilia wars; love triangles in rock; farewell to Richard Lewis. {Stanislav Petrov}

Diventa un supporter di questo podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/il-posto-delle-parole--1487855/support.Paolo Legrenzi"Le cose non sono come sembrano"Perché la vita è meglio di come la immaginiamoSolferino Libriwww.solferinolibri.itIl colonnello Stanislav Petrov era responsabile del monitoraggio dei satelliti sovietici. Nel settembre 1983, in piena Guerra fredda, quando gli schermi segnalarono cinque missili USA diretti verso l'URSS, invece di dare l'allarme innescando un'escalation nucleare, immaginò che il segnale sullo schermo dipendesse da un'interferenza. Ciò che i satelliti avevano scambiato per missili erano raggi di sole riverberati dalle nubi: il cervello di Petrov aveva sventato un disastro nucleare.«Le cose non sono come sembrano, sono diverse, nascoste e, soprattutto, sono di più di quelle che si vedono a occhio nudo.» Come mostra brillantemente Paolo Legrenzi in questo libro, la vita mentale è più ricca di quanto non sembri al senso comune. E in questa ricchezza si celano molti meccanismi della mente che hanno dato una base scientifica al tema della vita meravigliosa, più volte sviluppato nella letteratura, nel cinema e nelle altre arti.La vita può, anzi deve, essere stupore e meraviglia. Le scienze cognitive possiedono gli strumenti sia per scoprire le origini e i fraintendimenti del senso comune sia per portare alla luce queste bellezze che spesso sono offuscate, banalizzate. Con la conseguenza che la crescente distanza tra come le cose stanno nel mondo e come noi le immaginiamo rischia di condurre a errori, insoddisfazioni, delusioni e inevitabili conflittualità.Questo libro, ricco di casi concreti ed esempi tratti dalla nostra vita quotidiana, è un vero e proprio inno agli aspetti stupefacenti della vita, ma anche il tentativo di segnalare le principali trappole create da funzionamenti della mente adattivi in mondi lontani, mondi diversi.Paolo Legrenzi è professore emerito di Psicologia presso l'Università Ca' Foscari di Venezia. Tra i suoi libri ricordiamo: 6 esercizi facili per allenare la mente (2015), La buona logica (2015), L'economia nella mente (2016), Oltre il tempo presente (2021) e Quando meno diventa più (2022).IL POSTO DELLE PAROLEascoltare fa pensarewww.ilpostodelleparole.it

Find me and the show on social media @DrWilmerLeon on X (Twitter), Instagram, and YouTube Facebook page is www.facebook.com/Drwilmerleonctd TRANSCRIPT: Announcer (00:06): Connecting the dots with Dr. Wilmer Leon, where the analysis of politics, culture, and history converge. Wilmer Leon (00:13): Welcome to the Connecting the Dots podcast with Dr. Wilmer Leon. I'm Wilmer Leon. So here's the point. We have a tendency to view current events as though they occur in a vacuum, failing to understand the broader historical context in which most events take place. During each episode of this show, my guest and I will have probing, provocative and in-depth discussions that connect the dots between current events and the broader historical context in which these events occur. This will enable you to better understand and analyze the events that impact the global village in which we live on today's episode. The issue before us is anti imperialism in the US today. What is it and what is it not? And for insight into this, my guest for the discussion is the chair of the coordinating committee for the Black Alliance for Peace, an editor and contributing columnist for the Black Agenda Report and the Green Party candidate for vice president of the United States in 2016. Ajamu Baraka, as always my brother. Welcome. Ajamu Baraka (01:21): Good to be here, Dr. Leon. Thank you. Wilmer Leon (01:24): So today's topic is based on a piece in Oroco Tribune entitled Anti Imperialism in the US Today, what it Is and Is not. It's written by Stanfield Smith and he opens his piece by quoting the late Cuban president, Fidel Castro, saying there is an enemy that can be called universal, an enemy whose attitude and whose actions threaten the whole world, bully the whole world. That universal enemy is Yankee imperialism. Ajamu your thoughts on Castro's assessment, especially in the context of the recent president Joe Biden and a bipartisan group of lawmakers urging the Republican controlled House of Representatives to take up this $95 billion military aid package for Ukraine, for Israel and Taiwan and other allies, especially understanding if the United States wasn't using Ukraine as a proxy, you wouldn't need that money. The United States is funding the genocide in Gaza and is also trying to use Taiwan as the tip of the spear against China. Ajamu Baraka. Ajamu Baraka (02:45): Well thank you so much for that question because it's a very important question and a very important conversation that we have to have. Fidel's position is in alignment with my position, the position I've been advocating or arguing for the last few years that one of the issues among left forces in the US primarily and also in Western Europe is that they seem not to understand the difference between a primary and the secondary contradiction. That is that they don't seem to recognize that for many of us in the colonized world, in the global south, in the northern states, but in those parts of the northern states where we are exploited and nationally oppressed, that for us the primary enemy, if you'll emanates primarily from the US and is Western European allies, we see the US and Western European allies as Fidel sees them as in fact representing an existential threat to the rest of collective humanity. (04:02) Therefore, that enemy becomes the primary objective of our political activity. Now, some western left leftists, they confused by that and so they will look at some of the issues or contradictions and some of the emergent socialists countries or countries with socialist aspirations, countries that are just trying to build some kind of progressive movement in their nations to have some breathing room for development but who find themselves as a consequence in the crosshairs of the US and US policies attempting to undermine their projects and these leftists will focus in on those internal issues, giving left coverage and rationalization for the targeting of those nations. We see that as fundamentally contradictory. We see that as in fact reactionary confusing what should be the primary objective, which is the defeat of Western imperialism with the internal issues in these various states as equal and they are primary and secondary contradictions are in fact that they are different. Wilmer Leon (05:28): You mentioned the United States and its Western European allies and what is even ironic now is many of those Western European allies are finding themselves being victimized by US imperialism. We're looking at over the last seven months to a year a dramatic decline in productivity in Germany as a result of the United States blowing up the Nord Stream pipeline. Now Europe is having to pay exorbitant amounts of money for natural gas. We find that impacting Britain, we find that impacting France. We find that all over Europe and and now for example, for those who may have listened to the interview with Russian president Putin and he's supposed to be the villain and Donald Trump mentions moving away from NATO and folks in the United States were screaming, how can Donald Trump talk about NATO like that in the United States attacked a NATO ally in act of war in blowing up Nord stream. So again, you mentioned the US and its allies and now American imperialism is even attacking its Western European allies. Ajamu Baraka (06:57): Exactly. I mean it's really amazing. I mean look, one of the objectives of the proxy war in Ukraine was in fact to ensure that there would be policies that would disarticulate the Russian economy from western Europe, specifically from the German economy. And the objective there was to weaken the German economy and also by extension various Western economies in order to make the further exploitation and in fact the intensification of the exploitation of the European market more favorable to US capital and the Europeans and the European ruling class fell right into that trap and to make sure that that plan was successful. As you indicated in your question, the US ensured that there would be no backsliding by blowing up Nord Stream two. They knew that once the German workers, once many European workers and even parts of the middle class woke up to the fact that they had got suckered into supporting this aggressive war in Ukraine and that they were being negatively impacted, that there'd be political pressure on these various states to reverse course and to reengage with the Russians. Whether us said, oh no, you're not going backwards. In fact we're going to make sure that by blowing up this pipeline and making sure that you remain now dependent on the importation of liquified natural gas coming from where from the us as Anthony said, the secretary of state of this is a marvelous opportunity. And so that was part of the objective of this war. It was a war to enhance the positionality of US capital in Europe. Wilmer Leon (09:08): In fact, going back to, I made reference to Vladimir Putin's interview with Tucker Carlson and Putin raised the question, he says, well, you blew up part of Nord stream because folks don't know there's Nord stream one and Nord stream two. He said, you blew up part of Nord stream, one of the pipes still works. Why don't you turn it up? He said, Europe can get natural gas from Russia through Ukraine. There are pipelines running through Ukraine that could carry natural gas to Europe. He says, turn it up. He says, there are pipelines that run from Russia through Poland. You can get natural gas through Poland. He says, why don't you turn those up? It all goes back to Western hegemony and imperialism. Ajamu Baraka (09:58): It goes back to the issue of the European ruling class that understanding that they have interest that are really counter those of the US and that irrational policy of allowing themselves to be suckered into this proxy war and not looking out for their own national interests is resulting in real political issues within their countries. Not only the issue of natural gas. You and I talked about on another one of your programs, this issue with using the Ukrainian war, the US capitol that's gone in and basically bought up some of the best land in Ukraine and are now exporting from Ukraine various agricultural products. They are using the war as a battery realm to avoid or to circumvent the requirements of the importation of agricultural products across Europe and imposing the products from Ukraine into various European markets as an act of solidarity. Well, the problem with that of course is it's undermining the positions of European farmers across Western Europe. (11:24) And so you find that farmers and places like France and other countries, I say, Hey, wait a minute, we are now losing money because of our markets now being flooded with wheat and other products coming in from Ukraine. What is this? We have to engage in production by very clear meticulous requirements, regulations, and now using this solidarity issue with the Ukrainian war, you are undermining our position. You're undermining our ability to make a living. And so that's causing real political issues in these various nations. So these policies being pursued by these European nations are really such that they are putting themselves in a position where they are creating issues for themselves politically that they're going to find it very difficult to reverse very soon, as a matter of fact in the next few months. Wilmer Leon (12:34): And in fact to that point talking about agriculture, there are farmers in Germany that have been protesting for weeks. They're dumping manure in the roads, they're doing a lot of activism, real on the ground, practical activism to show their resistance to the policies that you're mentioning. And also they're incredibly angry because a lot of the subsidies that the government was providing to them in order to offset the price differentials that they were experiencing as a result of flooding the market with Ukrainian products, those subsidies have been cut if not totally eliminated as the German government, as the French government, as other EU countries are sending more money to Ukraine, so many of them, many of these Western Europeans are experiencing a lot of the same issues there that many in the United States are suffering here. As our infrastructure is in decline as our schools are underfunded, as healthcare costs are going up and people are, as homelessness is on the rise, we can find 95 billion to send to Ukraine and to send to Israel and to send to Taiwan. All three of those fights are fights that would not be ongoing if the United States hadn't started them. But we can't seem to find the way to take care of Americans here in the United States. Ajamu Baraka (14:05): We can't find the way Dr. Leon because we can't have an honors and open and free national conversation because the same interests that are advancing themselves in Western Europe of the same interests that control the means of communication in the us. And so therefore a conversation with the people of the US around what really makes sense in terms of policy. Does it make sense to have 886 billion devoted toward defense? So-called defense or should we use some of those resources to in fact address issues of homelessness, invest in education, create the conditions where everybody can have access to healthcare pay for free education up to through the university level. US population is paying a price for supporting the policies that only are benefiting a small minority of the population, in fact about 1% of the population. So that kind of understanding that kind of discussion, it's not taking place, it's only taking place in spaces like this in alternative media spaces and as a consequence it makes it very difficult for us to turn the corner with advancing policies that make more sense, that address the real interest of the American people Wilmer Leon (15:49): And in this piece, anti imperialism in the US today, what it is and is not Stansfield Smith, he draws the distinction between progressives and anti-imperialist. He says that imperialism uses human rights and democracy issues in countries that it is targeting for regime change as a rationale for foreign interference and that many progressives swallow and even join in these disinformation campaigns to support these moves where in contrast, anti-imperialist, they focus on uncovering and bringing to light US disinformation and interference in national sovereignty. So can you elaborate a little bit on this issue? He talks about progressives versus anti-imperialist you use in many instances, use the term the left if you could because we hear these references, we hear these terms baned about all the time and many people mistakenly think that they're all the same, but in fact they're not. Ajamu Baraka (17:01): Well, they really aren't and I'm glad you raised that question. I think the way Stanfield is using that term and many others, when you talk about progressives, you're really talking about liberals and maybe social Democrats. That is those individuals who have politics and very similar to say for example Bernie Sanders who's a social democrat, who have a soft socialistic orientations Bernie Sanders, Cornell West, as opposed to elements of the left that are not only anti imperialists but of course politics that suggest that this global system of colonial capitalism has to be transcended and be replaced with a new kind of political economy, one that's organized around socialistic lines. And so that to me constitutes the left, the real left if you will. But even within that camp, if you'll, there's still some issues in terms of how one gets to socialism and that's where you have some of the confusion because even among the left, they will sometimes find themselves inadvertently often providing political cover to the US because they are in opposition to a particular nation's experiment, be it Nicaragua, Cuba or Venezuela, Peru or Bolivia, that if the politics aren't developing in ways in which these western leftists believe they should be developing, if they don't correspond to some kind of imagined model, then they will, they begin to criticize those experiments at the same time, did those experiments find themselves in the crossheads of US subversion? (19:08) That's backward. It's backward and it's contradictory. So that is the issue that Smith is alluding to in that very important article. Dr. Leon? Yes, there's another element to this, okay, (19:25) Even the way in which the bourgeoisie, meaning the bourgeoisie, meaning the ruling class has used and weaponized democracy and human rights in order to obscure real interest in undermining these various nations as a consequence of gods. They're not going to be able to use those weapons like they did in the past because they have now been exposed. It's quite clear to so many people around the world and even people within the US the hypocrisy of those positions. What happened to the responsibility to protect a component of humanitarian intervention in order to protect the human rights of certain collectives? It doesn't exist when it comes to the Palestinians. So they have undermined in their own short-term greed and their own short-term pursuits to undermine a very important and powerful weapon that used to use to be able to obscure their reactionary politics Wilmer Leon (20:39): To that. It is really amazing when you look at how long the been exposed to the genocide, how long that struggle has been ongoing and how quickly things turn post October 6th. One of the ways that I have described it is I tell people that Israel has bombed the world into reality that now that this horror, now that this genocide is playing itself out on your telephone screens, not to mention your computers and your home screens, the atrocities, the reality of these atrocities have just decimated the myths Ajamu Baraka (21:39): Exactly, and they're never going to be able to return back to the ideological status quo. They have exposed themselves, we are seen behind the curtain and we understand now the reality of the naked power that they are exercising to try to maintain their global control. We now see the nature of the settler colonial project in Israel, and by extension we are getting a better understanding of the settler colonial project in the territory called the United States of America. At the core of these projects is the reality of naked violence to establish those regimes and to maintain them. So that understanding of the nature of colonialism coupled with a deeper understanding of the nature of capitalism disconnected is radicalizing millions of people across the globe and millions of people within the US So the politics going forward are going to be fundamentally different, but it's going to be different but even more dangerous. (22:53) Dr. Leon, why without the ideological weapon that they were able to use to impose conformity and support for their policies, now they're going to be more and more dependent on the use of naked force. That's why you find the naked use of force in various local environments. That's why you see in Atlanta, for example, the use of RICO laws to criminalize the opposition to cop city. These are examples of the hysterical reaction from the rulers to this change in consciousness. That's why the O rule three is facing federal prosecution because of their to the policies in Ukraine. So the repressive apparatus and the repressive network of the state is being strengthened and being utilized against this growing consciousness that's being manifested within the United States of America. Wilmer Leon (24:06): And another place where I believe that we're going to see this manifest itself is in the Middle East itself. Hassan Nala, the head of Hezbollah in Lebanon recently gave a speech where he said, and I'll paraphrase, he said, basically for as horrific as all of this is, he said, this is really going beyond the Palestinians and that this is an issue for the entire region. And there have been a number of interpretations of that statement. What that says to me is he is not only speaking to the Palestinians that he and speaking to Anah in Yemen and others, he's letting the United States know he's letting the west know that you all are about to start a global conflict that he's saying everybody in the pool and because they see themselves as facing a common oppressor, they see themselves facing a common enemy and he's saying, you all are about to ignite a fuse, the likes of which you will not be able to exterminate or put out, and it's going to be all adults in the pool, and the result isn't going to be very positive, Ajamu Baraka (25:34): Dr. Leon, and what's going to really like that is if there is in fact a ground assault in Rafa, the Egyptians have already said that that can very easily result in the cancellation of Camp David, the Saudis have said that there's going to be dire circumstances. This is going to see what has happened is that these policies have forced these monarchs and all of these Arab and Muslim right-wing elements to have to respond to the pressure that they're feeling from their own populations. So horrific what is happening in Gaza, they can no longer collaborate under the table with the us. They are being now forced to take more forthright positions in opposition to what is happening in Palestine that you couple, what is happening on the Israeli Lebanon border was Hezbollah. You look at what is happening with the Hutu that have basically shut down shipping as it relates to ships going into and supporting Israel, and you see that these unwise policies are creating a situation that can very easily span out of control and even elements within the US believe that this has gone too far. (27:16) And that's why you find some fleeting commentary from genocide, Joe talking about that the Israelis have gone over the top because now they understand the real possibility of this igniting a regional conflict that they're not going to be able to control. If it does in fact lead to that, and they know that you have leadership in Israel, you have a lunatic that's in power. You have a right wing racist settler regime that is engaged in murder, not only supporting the murder in Gaza, but they are actively murdering Palestinians on the West Bank. Over 400 Palestinians have been murdered by settlers since October the seventh. So this is creating a situation that's untenable, and so there has to be a pullback. Yesterday the Moody credit agency downgraded Israeli stocks and downgraded the economy. So there is a real economic consequence now developing. So it's a very dangerous situation that the wiser elements of the international ruling class is saying, we've got to get a hold of this Wilmer Leon (28:47): And talk about how this hypocrisy of the United States has been exposed, is being exposed and the international reaction, what I mean by that is as we sit and look at the genocide that is taking place in Gaza and the United States is paying for it, the United States is arming it. And on one hand you hear Tony Blinken saying, I'm traversing the region, I'm talking to the leaders. I'm asking them to be very careful. Basically what he's saying is he's asking for a kinder, gentler genocide and Joe Biden is saying that we are concerned about the Palestinians and while in fact he's not telling Netanyahu, I'll just pull the plug on your money and we'll put a stop to this thing in about two or three days, days. What's your take your sense as you travel the world and speak to those around the world, how is that hypocrisy resonating around the world? Ajamu Baraka (29:54): The result of this is that the US has lost prestige, will never regained, that the world understands that the US and Europe is basically finished and that nations are deciding that they're going to put their eggs is a different basket, and that basket is called bricks. This emerging group of nations that now control something like 36% of global GDP as opposed to the G seven that's controlling about 30%, the shift has already taken place materially. Now the shift is taking place ideologically and politically. So it is a shift in momentum is a recognition that for all intents and purposes, the decline of the west is irreversible, but it's also a recognition of the danger that all of this poses for all of us because it becomes quite clear when you see the support that all of the western nations have given to the Israeli fascists that the west is prepared to blow up the world before they voluntarily surrender power. Wilmer Leon (31:19): Now wait a minute. Wait a minute. Elaborate on that because a lot of people will hear you say, blow up the world. Oh, that's hyperbole. Oh, he's just being over the top. Oh, that Aja mu Baraka. He's so dramatic. But no, that's real talk. Ajamu Baraka (31:36): Yeah, it really is because they're still flirty with the possibility of nuclear confrontation in Ukraine. There's still the possibility of some kind of wild and reckless attack by the Israelis on Iran and even the use of a nuclear weapon. There is the situation we haven't touched on yet, that is the unwise policies of the part of the US in providing support to and propping up and encouragement to the government on the island of Taiwan, the provocative moves being made in the South China Sea, the whole pivot toward Asia. There is always the possibility of these situations escalating to a nuclear confrontation. And it seems like that there are elements within the foreign policy community that believe that they in fact can not only escalate, but they can engage in a first strike and win. There are people openly talking like Dr. Strange love and talking about the possibility of winning a nuclear confrontation. (32:55) That's what makes it so incredibly dangerous because when you have missiles in western Europe, for example, in and Poland and Romania and other places that are theoretically defensive according to the us, but the Russians know that they can be recalculated if you'll or refitted in a matter of minutes and to become offensive, which means that you have the ability to strike from say, Poland to Moscow in six minutes. Now you have the Russians who are on a head trigger alert, they have to launch on warning because you can't allow your nuclear arsenal to be caught in the silos. So when you had situations in the past where there were computer glitches where one side thought that the other side had launched, launched, we had 30 minutes to correct it, we have documented situations where that in fact happened at least on two or three occasions. How do you do that when you are on a trigger hair launch or warning in six minutes? So it's very, very dangerous. So that's what we are referring to. This is not hyperbole. People talk about in five years I'm going to be doing so and so and so I'm like, are you sure you're going to be here in five years? Yeah, I'm being dramatic because I'm being for real. We can see the possibilities of these maniacs escalating a situation to the point of a nuclear confrontation because the amateurs, Dr. Leon, (34:36) The gap between the leadership in places like Russia and China and the US and in western Europe, it's never been bigger before. They don't know what they are doing and that's what makes us so incredibly dangerous for all of us. Wilmer Leon (34:54): You just mentioned the mistake being made, and that is not theoretical. I want to say it was 1983, a Russian, I don't even know what his title is, but he's in a silo in a Russian silo. His name is Stanislav Petrov, and he is a missile technician, I'll call him, sitting in a Russian silo looking at his screen and he sees a blip on his screen. And the protocol is when you see this blip, you push a button and when you push that button, silos open, missiles come up, we're ready to launch. But he thinks that there's something wrong with the blip on his screen. And thank God he did because by his taking just a couple of minutes to be rational and to think, what he found out was it wasn't an incoming missile. It was a mistake in a software program that miscalculated or misinterpreted something that was transpiring. (36:05) So that was 1983. Folks can look this up. Stanislav Petrov is his name, and if it hadn't been for him, we would've been in a nuclear conflict. What you just talked about in terms of missiles in Poland and Yugoslavia and other places, that's one of the big reasons why Russian president Putin is so hell bent on Ukraine not becoming a part of nato because he says, and he's right, if Ukraine becomes a part of nato, NATO will put missiles in Ukraine. You've now cut my response time from seven or eight minutes to three minutes, which means Stanislav petrov, God bless his soul, that doesn't work anymore. Launch on notice. And the other point is Putin has made this point a number of times saying, look, you guys got to understand something. I got missiles too. I got missiles like you got missiles. And in the west that gets spun as Vladimir Putin is threatening to use nuclear weapons. No, what he's telling you is if you think you can come in here and punch me in the face, understand I can punch back. I have what you have. And now what we're seeing from a technological perspective is what they got is a little better then what we're used to seeing. So this is not hyperbole, this is not fantasy. This is real talk. Ajamu Baraka (37:59): Yeah, no, they have demonstrated with supersonic weapons that they have Wilmer Leon (38:04): Hypersonic Ajamu Baraka (38:05): Hypersonic weapons. They have a technological advantage of us and not been able to catch up with yet. It's very dangerous Wilmer Leon (38:14): Minute. Wait a minute. To that point, when President Biden, I'm sorry to interrupt you, but I want people to understand this isn't theoretical high hyperbole. When Joe Biden sent the USS Gerald Ford into the Mediterranean Sea as a show of force to Hezbollah and to the Houthis, Vladimir Putin said, Joe, why are you doing this? You're not scaring anybody, you're not scar. He said, these people don't scare, and oh, by the way, we can sink your aircraft carrier from the Black Sea with our armed missiles, the Ken Jaw missiles, he said, and they're hypersonic. You won't even know they're coming until your aircraft carrier is sinking. That's real talk. Ajamu Baraka (39:19): And what's also kind of funny but tragic at the same time is that while they are engaged in provocative activity in the Endo Pacific region outside of Taiwan and in the Taiwan straits, the Pentagon has war games, a confrontation between the US and China, and I think we talked about it before, and they were lost every time, Wilmer Leon (39:48): 25 out of 25. Ajamu Baraka (39:50): So it's like, what are these people doing? What are you doing? The whole concept that was coming out of the project for a new American century in which they argued that the US had the capacity to fight two theater wars simultaneously that should have been put to rest when they lost both in Afghanistan and in Iraq, basically global solve nations. But now they are actually a few months ago you thought they were really going insane because they are fighting in Ukraine and they are fighting in Ukraine. Make a mistake about that is the Ukrainians are dying, but this is a Western and US ward, while at the same time they were needling the Chinese. So it's like what? You all are going to fight the Russians and the Chinese at the same time? It wasn't making and they Wilmer Leon (40:48): Are allies. Ajamu Baraka (40:51): Yeah, well, part of the conflict, Wilmer Leon (40:54): You got to throw North Korea in there too. Ajamu Baraka (40:56): Well, part of the conflict water of the element that we didn't talk about, when you talk about what's happening in Ukraine in terms of the secondary objectives of this proxy war, it was to weaken the Russians to the point where they would not be a very effective ally to the Chinese. The target was not just Russia, it was Germany as we talked about, and the Chinese. So they were creating a situation where they were going to win regardless of what happened in their own imagination. Wilmer Leon (41:27): There are some neocons that thought you could go at China directly. There were some neocons that believed that you could go at Russia directly, and then there were others who believed the way you get to China, you've got to go through Russia. Ajamu Baraka (41:42): Yes, exactly. All Wilmer Leon (41:44): Are wrong. All are wrong. Ajamu Baraka (41:47): They were proven wrong. I mean the Russian economy was supposed to be destroyed, be destroyed as a consequence of this conflict. And as Putin indicated in that interview that the Russian economy is stronger than there's ever been. Every time they have imposed series of sanctions against the Russians. Even Putin said this a couple of years ago, it allowed him to impose economic reforms that he couldn't have done without the sanctions. He made the oligarchy disengage from the European economy and reinvest and the Russian economy. So they have become more economically independent as a consequence of these sanctions. So it's always been counterproductive and you have some realists in the US foreign policy community that predicted that. But the realists have had to take a second, have had to stand back and allow these neocons who have been driving policy in both parties for the last 20 years basically or more. And the result is the US is weaker than it's ever been since the end of the second imperialist war that we call World War ii. Wilmer Leon (43:14): Another example, and I think a more practical example, and what I mean by practical is it doesn't involve the oligarchs. It involves the everyday Russian person. One of the things when President Biden told us that as a result of this Ukraine conflict that he was going to turn the ruble into rubble, and by imposing sanctions on the Russian economy, one of the things that they were projecting was or predicting was that the Russian citizens would run to the Russian banks and take their money out of the banks and put their money other places. And what Putin did was he raised the interest rates. One of the things that he did was he raised the interest rates that the banks would pay on deposits. So the Russian citizens found, oh, I'll make more money if I leave my money in the bank. And what a lot of people don't know about him, dude has a PhD in economics. Not only is he an attorney, he has a PhD in economics. So he has a little bit of understanding. He has a better understanding of econ than Joe Biden. Ajamu Baraka (44:41): I mean Joe Biden's a moron. I mean most of the US leadership are morons. One thing we can say about Barack Obama, though he was not in that same category. He was just a slickster. And same thing with Bill Clinton. But the quality of the leadership in the US state has been a mean, been dangerously. Frighteningly are incompetent. And that's the thing that scares me the most, that we are going to trip up into a situation that the US is not going to be able to reverse and all of us will suffer as a consequence. Look, when you hear no matter what your opinion may be a Putin or a President Xi when they speak and even the way they comport themselves, these are adults, these are statesmen. If you'll, and you compare that to these idiots in the US started with genocide jokes and these idiots who are making policy both in the Democrat and Republican parties, there's no gravitas, there's no worldly sophistication. They're just like country bumpkins. They are so incredibly unsophisticated and adolescent. That's the term that I use to describe US culture. It's an adolescent dangerous culture. And because it has so much power, that's what makes it so incredibly dangerous to all of us that people need. If you haven't seen this check out that interview, you can have your views about Putin and the cartoon characters that's been drawn up for you by your bosses, but you cannot conclude that this is not a states person with a sophisticated understanding of the world. Wilmer Leon (46:46): If you look at a couple of examples of what you're talking about, particularly as it relates to the Chinese, I'm not even going to get into Secretary Lavrov because that dude is oh, just brilliant. But Wang Ye, the foreign secretary of China early in the Biden administration, Tony Blinken was supposed to meet with the Chinese delegation in Anchorage, Alaska. And so they all convene in Anchorage and Blinken starts lecturing the Chinese and they look at him and they say, whatcha doing? You have no idea who you are talking to. We didn't come here to be lectured by you. We're China, we hold your debt. You don't hold out out. Ajamu Baraka (47:52): What was so incredible about that was this was the clumsy attempt on the part of the Biden administration to assert their white maleness. They're going show it was whiteness. We going to show we running the show with these Chinese. I mean it was incredible. And like you said, the Chinese Wilmer Leon (48:17): Said the sick men of criticize, Ajamu Baraka (48:19): You're not competent enough to criticize us, Wilmer Leon (48:21): Right? Our culture is thousands of years old. And then you've got the whole spy balloon. What a lot of people don't understand is Tony Blinken said, I'm going to China to meet with President Xi. He was not invited. He said, I'm going to China. And G said, no, but he said, I'm coming to China. So usually diplomats are welcomed in Beijing. President Xi said, okay, well if you're coming, I can't remember the name of the city, but there's another city where they send lesser caliber diplomats and folks that they really don't want to deal with. He said, I'm going to send you here. I'm not going to meet you in Beijing and I'm not even come see you there. And Blinken got embarrassed and that's when the balloon comes in the jet stream, the weather balloon comes in the jet stream as weather balloons will do. (49:30) And they used that calling it a spy balloon as the basis of, oh, you're sending a spy balloon, therefore I can't come see you. No, it was, Xi didn't want to totally embarrass Blinken by saying, I'm not going to let you in my country. What he said was, I'm going to send you off to the hinterlands and you can go on a tour if you want to. And Tony Blinken said, well, no, I ain't doing that. I mean, those are just examples and they don't get explained as such by Western media, but that's what really happened. Ajamu Baraka (50:10): Look, Dr. Leon, I was in China a couple of months ago. Wilmer Leon (50:14): There we Ajamu Baraka (50:14): Go. Wilmer Leon (50:16): Am I right? Ajamu Baraka (50:18): You are absolutely right. I'm going to tell you they can't can't be defeated. This what they are building there is absolutely incredible. I'm sitting on this bullet train going from Beijing to Shanghai, and I had a cup of water and I was doing something and I put it down and I realized, oh, the water's on the floor cause fly when you do Amtrak. You know how that on Amtrak, (50:52) They have this tick or take thing on the end of the car that tells you how fast the train's going. We sitting there going 325 miles an hour. It's like you're not even moving. You're going across the countryside is flat plains. And then you look up and then there's a city with skyscrapers, and I don't want to go into it too much, but what I saw in just those few days I was there was incredible. And so they're not keeping allowing people to understand what's happening in China. They have an urban development policy that when they create these cities and these communities, every social service in that community has to be within a 15 minute walk. The hospitals, the schools, the elder care, 15 minute walk is fully integrated everything that you need. So you compare this and what I saw in terms of infrastructure, it made the US look like, unfortunately, like a developing country and see the bourgeois there, they know this, but they're not telling the US population how far behind the US has fallen. Wilmer Leon (52:18): Well, and a perfect example of that is 5G technology. The Chinese approach, the United States, I'll say now, 15 years ago about working with the Chinese on developing 5G, and the United States said, no, we don't need to work with you on that. And so China went ahead and developed 5G. And with that we're talking about the internet of things and the ability of your refrigerator to talk to your cell phone to talk to your car, all of that kind of stuff. And so now when you turn on your phone, it says 5G, but the United States does not. All we really have is faster 4G. It's not truly the 5G technology that Huawei and other Chinese companies have developed. And they're now, they're on their way to six and seven G. We just don't get it. Ajamu Baraka (53:26): And the funny thing about it too, the US thought that they were going to undermine the Chinese by undermining the ability to have access to advanced Chips, chips. But they are rapidly developing their own capacity for that. And see, people don't understand as part of the struggle with Taiwan, also the home of one of the largest semiconductor chip factory in the world. Wilmer Leon (53:55): Psc, is that what? It's Ajamu Baraka (53:56): Something like that, yeah. Right. And that reincorporation of Taiwan into China would be a nonviolent and relatively seamless if it wasn't for the agitation on the part of the us. This notion that Chinese want to invade Taiwan militarily is all complete and utter nonsense. There is a political process there. There was developing in favor of the Chinese until the last few years when the US really began to ramp up is meddling within the Taiwanese political system. So that's part of the issue that basically the technological advances that the US has, and they still have some, that gap is being progressively narrowed down. Wilmer Leon (54:50): And as we move on to our final segment, there have been studies and reports put out by various elements within the government that if China were to invade Taiwan, and that's not on anybody's drawing board, I always challenge folks that want to have this conversation with me, show me one time where President Xi Jinping has said that they're planning to invade China. You can't find it because they're not going to do it. But the United States says if that were to happen, the United States would blow up the TSC, I think it's TSC chip manufacturing facilities so that they would not fall into the hands of China. And now China has designed its own chips, it's on its way. Necessity is the mother of invention, and China is on its way. I want to tie something else into coming back to the northern hemisphere, and that is this immigrant conversation. (56:01) All of this conversation about the Republicans in the house are trying to hold up this defense bill because they say there's not enough money for the immigration bill. But in all of this bipartisan discussion about immigration, nobody talks about the American foreign policy in the region as in Central America and South America that is basically forcing these people to leave their homes and come here. The analogy I use is if you're sitting in your basement watching a game and water starts coming down your stairway, you want to close the basement door instead of going upstairs and figuring out, oh, either your tub is overflowing or your sink, your kitchen sink is overflowing. They just want to close the, they don't want to turn off the spigot. And the way you turn off the spigot is by changing your policy. That is decimating the economies of Nicaragua decimating the economies of all of these other countries in central and South America. They never talk about the US foreign policy policy that creates the motivation or motivates these folks to want to come here. They just talk about building a wall to keep 'em in Mexico. Ajamu Baraka (57:31): No, they don't talk about that. And what's interesting too is that you remember at one point the Democrats pretended to be the party of progressive immigration policy, but who talks about that now? Now they are the party that has embraced the same kind of policies of Donald Trump border security expanding a wall. So there is consensus now among both wings of the ruling class represented by the Republicans and the Democrats on this issue of so-called border control. And they're never going to talk about the kinds of imperialist policies that are decimating the economies of Central America and parts of South America driving immigration. That's not part of their analytical framework. And so an understanding of these forces, again, has to come from sources like your show and other alternative sources that help people to understand the complexities of the world and sometimes how simple some things are. Like you destroy an economy and people have to find a way to survive, and they are a few hundred miles away from the most powerful and richest country on the planet. We need to go there. It's quite simple. So this is what has to be dealt with a better understanding on the part of people in the US to these issues and understand that you have more in common with understand. Understand that basically if we're able to put a break on these imperialist policies, these exploitative policies in Latin America, in South America and in the us, then we have the material basis for all of us to live a little better. So that's really where we need to be going. That's the level of understanding we have to arrive at. Wilmer Leon (59:47): And you talked about, I'll use these words, the misinformation and the disinformation in western media. I want to hit on one more thing, but before you go, if you can just give me two or three more minutes, and that's Haiti, and that could be three hours on its own, but this is from the Washington Post this week, rebel leader who ousted risid set sights on Haiti's current leader. The crisis here keep compounding armed. Gangs have forced more than 300,000 from their homes. The police are outgunned and overmatched. Half the people don't have enough to eat. This Caribbean nation of 11 million has no dramatic democratically elected officials. The National Assembly is empty, the presidency is vacant. That's left Arial Ri, the unelected and deeply reviled prime minister in charge appointed by president jovial Moise days before. Moise is still unsolved assassination in 2021 on re was due to leave office on Wednesday, but is so far successfully stymied a political transition. They're talking about GI Philippe coming back into Haiti. And this is written as though the United States has had absolutely no involvement in the decimation of Haiti. And so people read this from the Washington Post and they go, oh, these poor, ignorant, silly Haitians, they just can't seem to do anything for themselves. We must intervene and save them from theirselves. Doesn't talk about GI Philippe. And he was an American operative and how much time he spent in American prisons and how, by the way, does he get back into Haiti after none of that ajamu Baraka? Ajamu Baraka (01:01:37): You're absolutely right. And the situation in Haiti has become almost untenable. And that's how they wanted, he was reinserted into Haiti to intensify the chaos, to make the situation even more ripe for outside intervention. They don't trust him. He doesn't trust them. But there is a convergence of interest, short-term interest that is Wilmer Leon (01:02:05): Financial interest, Ajamu Baraka (01:02:07): Financial interest, political interest, right? Is it terrible situation in that country and one that we have to continue to monitor because the result of this situation is the possibility of more violence inside the country as the consequence of those issues. Wilmer Leon (01:02:23): And this is another example of the United States through what it created called the Global Fragilities Act. It is creating the fragility and then claiming we now have to use the US military to go in and resolve the chaos that we created in the first place. Ajamu Baraka (01:02:41): Exactly. That is the objective. That could be the end result if we don't stop it. Wilmer Leon (01:02:50): Brother Ajamu Baraka, I want to thank you so much for joining me today. Ajamu Baraka (01:02:54): My pleasure. Thank you so much Dr. Leon. Wilmer Leon (01:02:57): I want to thank you all for listening to the Connecting the Dots podcast with me, Dr. Wilmer Leon. Please stay tuned for new episodes every week. Also follow and subscribe. Leave a review, share the show, follow me on social media. You can find all the links below in the show description. I'm going to see you again next time. Until then, I'm Dr. Wilmer Leon. Have a great one. And remember that this is where the analysis of politics, culture, and history, converge talk without analysis is just chatter and we don't chatter on connecting the dots. Peace and blessings. I'm out

Petrov har tillskrivits bedriften av att ha räddat världen. I september 1983 arbetar Petrov i en luftförsvarscentral i Sovjetunionen. På hans pass går larmet från sovjetiska spionsatelliter, USA har avfyrat en kärnvapenrobot i riktning Sovjet. Till slut är det enligt de sovjetiska varningssystemen fem kärnvapenrobotar. Stick i stäv med stående order rapporterar Petrov inte vidare, utan inväntar ytterligare bekräftelse från höjdradarsystemet att robotar är på väg mot dem. Hans beslut att avvakta förhindrade sannolikt tredje världskriget med påföljande atomvinter. Men 1983 sopades hela incidenten under mattan och uppdagades först efter murens fall.

Nuclear war was avoided when Russian officer Stanislav Petrov rejected early warning system reports of incoming ballistic missiles as a false ...

1-Messico, nove anni fa la strage di Ayotzinapa. Le famiglie dei 43 studenti scomparsi nel nulla continuano a chiedono verità e giustizia. Una commissione d'inchiesta indipendente ha concluso che fu un "crimine di Stato" al quale hanno partecipato autorità a tutti i livelli, comprese le forze armate. ( Andrea Cegna) 2-Stati uniti. La prima volta di un presidente. Joe Biden in Michigan per partecipare ai picchetti dei lavoratori del settore auto. ( Roberto Festa) 3-Nagorno Karabakh. Decine di morti nell'esplosione di un deposito di carburante. Le vittime erano in fila per aver la benzina per scappare in Armenia. ( Sabato Angieri) 4-Stanislav Petrov, il tenente colonnello sovietico che 40 anni fa salvò il mondo. ( Martina Stefanoni) 5-SPAGNA. Ritorno sulla grande vittoria politica e culturale delle calciatrice campionesse del mondo. ( Giulio Maria Piantadosi)

It's September 26th. This day in 1983, a lieutenant colonel in the Soviet Air Defense Forces determined that an alert about an incoming nuclear attack was, in fact, a computer glitch, likely preventing a series of retaliations by the USSR and the USA. Jody, NIki, and Kellie discuss how Petrov made his decision, what could have gone wrong, and why the policy of “mutually assured destruction” invited such perilous scenarios. Sign up for our newsletter! We'll be sending out links to all the stuff we recommended later this week. Find out more at thisdaypod.com This Day In Esoteric Political History is a proud member of Radiotopia from PRX. Your support helps foster independent, artist-owned podcasts and award-winning stories. If you want to support the show directly, you can do so on our website: ThisDayPod.com Get in touch if you have any ideas for future topics, or just want to say hello. Our website is thisdaypod.com Follow us on social @thisdaypod Our team: Jacob Feldman, Researcher/Producer; Brittani Brown, Producer; Khawla Nakua, Transcripts; music by Teen Daze and Blue Dot Sessions; Audrey Mardavich is our Executive Producer at Radiotopia

Way back in the early years of the internet, Ben Thompson decided to start a website. Each week he filled that website with incredible tales of guts, glory, and everything in between as he told stories of Ninjas, Vikings, war heroes, scientists, explorers and even the occasional badass dog! Millions of views, hundreds of stories, multiple books and decades later, Ben's beloved website www.badassoftheweek.com finally has a podcast! And of course, it wouldn't be Badass of the Week, if it wasn't weekly.  Joining Ben Thompson on this audio adventure, to class the joint up a bit, is his co-host, former colleague, and long-time friend, Dr. Patricia Larash who brings degrees in the classics and philology from Harvard and UC Berkley respectively. Each week Ben and Pat trade fun over-the-top stories of badasses from history, mythology, fiction and wherever else they can be found. In season 1, they'll talk about Hercules and The Virginia Hercules, Voytek the Bear that fought for the Polish Army in WWII, woman pirates Ann Bonney and Mary Read, The Indian Warrior Queen Rani Lakshmi Bai who rode into battle with her child on her back, American war hero turned traitor Benedict Arnold, Roman Emperor Vespasian, and the very explosive Volcano Krakatoa, among so many other badasses. Now and then, they'll be joined by guests, celebrities and experts to chime in with insight, humor and even their own stories of badassery.  Download. Listen. Subscribe. Follow. Tell your friends. Listen Again. Rate. And all that good stuff! New episodes of Badass of the Week arrive every week which is a good thing because we have so many stories to tell. We hope you check it out! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode, co-hosts Calum and David continue their reflections on what they have both learned from their interactions with guests on this podcast over the last few months. Where have their ideas changed? And where are they still sticking to their guns?The previous episode started to look at two of what Calum calls the 4 Cs of superintelligence: Cease and Control. In this episode, under the headings of Catastrophe and Consent, the discussion widens to look at what might be the very bad outcomes and also the very good outcomes, from the emergence of AI superintelligence.Topics addressed in this episode include:*) A 'zombie' argument that corporations are superintelligences - and what that suggests about the possibility of human control over a superintelligence*) The existential threat of the entire human species being wiped out*) The vulnerabilities of our shared infrastructure*) An AGI may pursue goals even without it being conscious or having agency*) The risks of accidental and/or coincidental catastrophe*) A single technical fault caused the failure of automated passport checking throughout the UK*) The example of automated control of the Boeing 737 Max causing the deaths of everyone aboard two flights - in Indonesia and in Ethiopia*) The example from 1983 of Stanislav Petrov using his human judgement regarding an automated alert of apparently incoming nuclear missiles*) Reasons why an AGI might decide to eliminate humans*) The serious risk of a growing public panic - and potential mishandling of it by self-interested partisan political leaders*) Why "Consent" is a better name than "Celebration"*) Reasons why an AGI might consent to help humanity flourish, solving all our existential problems*) Two models for humans merging with an AI superintelligence - to seek "Control", and as a consequence of "Consent"*) Enhanced human intelligence could play a role in avoiding a surge of panic*) Reflections on "The Artilect War" by Hugo de Garis: cosmists vs. terrans*) Reasons for supporting "team human" (or "team posthuman") as opposed to an AGI that might replace us*) Reflections on "Diaspora" by Greg Egan: three overlapping branches of future humans*) Is collaboration a self-evident virtue?*) Will an AGI consider humans to be endlessly fascinating? Or regard our culture and history as shallow and uninspiring?*) The inscrutability of AGI motivation*) A reason to consider "Consent" as the most likely outcome*) A fifth 'C' word, as discussed by Max Tegmark*) A reason to keep working on a moonshot solution for "Control"*) Practical steps to reduce the risk of public panicMusic: Spike Protein, by Koi Discovery, available under CC0 1.0 Public Domain Declaration

"I really don't think these guys know what they're talking about.”  -Richard Feynman on the “Nuclear Winter”   "Stanislav Petrov, the man who saved the world from nuclear disaster, on this day in 1983, 39 years ago today, saw the word "LAUNCH" flash across the Soviet Union's attack early warning system. His screen stated with high reliability that a total of five American intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) had been launched and were headed toward the Soviet Union. Petrov had to make a decision: should he report an incoming American strike, or should he hold off, confident that what they were seeing was a false alarm?   If he reported it, Soviet nuclear doctrine called for a full nuclear retaliation. There would be no time to double-check the warning system or seek negotiations with the U.S. This occurred during the Reagan administration, which had taken a firmer stance against the Soviets compared to previous administrations. The Reagan administration was deploying Pershing I nuclear-armed missiles to West Germany and Great Britain, capable of striking the Soviet Union. Given these circumstances, Petrov had reasons to believe that Reagan's brinkmanship had escalated to an actual nuclear exchange."  -@historyinmemes   It's simple to seek substitutes for competence—such easy substitutes:  love, charm, kindness, charity.  But there is no substitute for competence.”  -Ayn Rand

In this episode, Badass of the week website creator Ben and professor of history Dr. Pat Larash discuss two badasses who were put in massively-stressful life-threatening situations and proved their badassitude by resolutely resolving to do... nothing. The RCSG Resolute, an antarctic icebreaker faced with seizure by the flagship destroyer of the Venezuelan Navy, and Lt. Col. Stanislav Petrov of the USSR's early-warning nuclear detection service each faced their own unique crises, and each was forced to remain steadfast even in the face of almost certain death.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: A BOTEC-Model for Comparing Impact Estimations in Community Building, published by Patrick Gruban on March 14, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum. We are grateful to Anneke Pogarell, Birte Spekker, Calum Calvert, Catherine Low, Joan Gass, Jona Glade, Jonathan Michel, Kyle Lucchese, Moritz Hanke and Sarah Pomeranz for conversations and feedback that significantly improved this post. Any errors, of fact or judgment, remain our entirely own. Summary When prioritising future programs in EA community building, we currently lack a quantitative way to express underlying assumptions. In this post, we look at different existing approaches and present our first version of a model. We intended it to make Back-of-the-envelope (BOTEC) estimations by looking at an intervention (community building or marketing activity) and thinking about how it might affect participants on their way to having a more impactful life. The model uses an estimation of the average potential of people in a group to have an impact on their lives as well as the likelihood of them achieving it. If you'd like only to have a look at the model, you can skip the first paragraphs and directly go to Our current model. Epistemic Status We spent about 40-60 hours thinking about this, came up with it from scratch as EA community builders and are uncertain of the claims. Motivation As new co-directors of EA Germany, we started working on our strategy last November, collecting the requests for programs from the community and looking at existing programs of other national EA groups. While we were able to include some early on as they seemed broadly useful, we were unsure about others. Comparing programs that differ in target group size and composition as well as the type of intervention meant that we would have to rely on and weigh a set of assumptions. To discuss these assumptions and ideally test some of them out, we were looking for a unified approach in the form of a model with a standardised set of parameters. Impact in Community Building The term community building in effective altruism can cover various activities like mass media communication, education courses, speaker events, multi-day retreats and 1-1 career guiding sessions. The way we understand it is more about the outcome than the process, covering not only activities that focus on a community of people. It could be any action that guides participants in their search for taking a significant action with a high expected impact and to continue their engagement in this search. The impact of the community builder depends on their part in the eventual impact of the community members. A community builder who wants to achieve high impact would thus prioritise interventions by the expected impact contribution per invested time or money. Charity Evaluators like GiveWell can indicate impact per dollars donated in the form of lives saved, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) reduced or similar numbers. If we guide someone to donate at all, donate more effectively and donate more, we can assume that part of the impact can be attributed to us. For people changing their careers to work on the world's most pressing problems, starting charities, doing research or spreading awareness, it's harder to assess the impact. We assume an uneven impact distribution per person, probably heavy-tailed. Some people have been responsible for saving millions, such as Norman Borlaug or might have averted a global catastrophe like Stanislav Petrov. Existing approaches Marketing Approach: Multi-Touch Attribution In our strategy, we write: Finding the people that could be interested in making a change to effective altruistic actions, guiding them through the process of learning and connecting while keeping them engaged up to the point where they take action and beyond is a multi-step ...

Presented by 3CHi. Beaver history, Castoreum, The Russian Rambo, Thomas Baker, Stanislav Petrov, SS Athenia, Lou Pai, Milunka Savic, and more! Betterhelp This episode is sponsored by Betterhelp. Go to https://barstool.link/BHTwisted for 10% off your first monthYou can find every episode of this show on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or YouTube. Prime Members can listen ad-free on Amazon Music. For more, visit barstool.link/twistedhistory

In 1986 Soviet Leader Mikhail Gorbachev said “Never perhaps, in the post-war decades has the situation in the world been explosive and hence more difficult and unfavourable as in the first half of the 1980s. “He was referring to a period of immense tension between the Soviet Union and NATO when in 1983 a NATO exercise called Able Archer was believed to have almost accidentally started World War 3. We delve into the Able Archer archives to talk about the most recent documents with  Francesca Akhtar, a researcher whose main research interests are US Cold War foreign policy, intelligence history and defence. Francesca has written a dissertation entitled  “The most dangerous Soviet-American confrontation since the Cuban Missile Crisis?” An analysis of the origins, nature, and impact of the Able Archer 83 incident.The battle to preserve Cold War history is ongoing and your support can provide me with the ammunition to continue to keep this podcast on the air. Via a simple monthly donation, you'll become part of our community and get a sought-after CWC coaster as a thank you and you'll bask in the warm glow of knowing you are helping to preserve Cold War history. Just go to https://coldwarconversations.com/donate/If a monthly contribution is not your cup of tea, We also welcome one-off donations via the same link.View the actual Able Archer intelligence briefing documents here as well as videos, and  extra information  https://coldwarconversations.com/episode269/ Find the ideal gift for the Cold War enthusiast in your life! Just go to https://coldwarconversations.com/store/Support the showSupport the project! https://coldwarconversations.com/donate/ Follow us on Twitter here https://twitter.com/ColdWarPodFacebook https://www.facebook.com/groups/coldwarpod/Instagram https://www.instagram.com/coldwarconversations/Youtube https://youtube.com/@ColdWarConversations

27 September 1983. Di puncak perang dingin, komputer Petrov menangkap sinyal serangan rudal nuklir dari Amerika Serikat ke Uni Soviet. Tapi ia justru melapor ke atasannya bahwa sinyal tersebut adalah alarm palsu. Mengapa? Mari simak kisah dua puluh menit paling menegangkan dan keputusan yang menyelamatkan dunia.

Un hombre que salvó al mundo haciendo nada, la controvertida película de Olivia Wilde, un curioso efecto en google fotos y una librería especializada en artes escénicas en Madrid.

39 years ago today, one man saved billions of lives. Listen to the story of Stanislav Petrov. Read the full story here: https://www.vox.com/2018/9/26/17905796/nuclear-war-1983-stanislav-petrov-soviet-union

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: LW Petrov Day 2022 (Monday, 9/26), published by Ruby on September 22, 2022 on LessWrong. Next Monday is Petrov Day (September 26), an annually observed Rationalist/EA holiday inspired by the actions of Stanislav Petrov: As a Lieutenant Colonel of the Soviet Army, Petrov manned the system built to detect whether the US government had fired nuclear weapons on Russia. On September 26th, 1983, the system reported five incoming missiles. Petrov's job was to report this as an attack to his superiors, who would launch a retaliative nuclear response. But instead, contrary to the evidence the systems were giving him, he called it in as a false alarm. It was subsequently determined that the false alarms were caused by a rare alignment of sunlight on high-altitude clouds and the satellites' Molniya orbits, an error later corrected by cross-referencing a geostationary satellite. In explaining the factors leading to his decision, Petrov cited his belief and training that any U.S. first strike would be massive, so five missiles seemed an illogical start. Petrov underwent intense questioning by his superiors about his actions. Initially, he was praised for his decision. Petrov himself stated he was initially praised by Votintsev and was promised a reward, but recalled that he was also reprimanded for improper filing of paperwork with the pretext that he had not described the incident in the military diary. He received no reward. According to Petrov, this was because the incident and other bugs found in the missile detection system embarrassed his superiors and the influential scientists who were responsible for it, so that if he had been officially rewarded, they would have had to be punished. He was reassigned to a less sensitive post, took early retirement (although he emphasized that he was not "forced out" of the army, as is sometimes claimed by Western sources), and suffered a nervous breakdown. For more information see 1983 Soviet nuclear false alarm incident Each year, people find ways to commemorate Petrov Day, e.g. with this ceremony written by Jim Babcock or Raemon's Modes of Petrov Day. On LessWrong, we find our own way to celebrate, generally involving a large red button that brings down the frontpage for the duration of Petrov Day. What does Petrov Day celebrate? There isn't a canonical precise answer accepted by everyone. There's a cluster of virtues and actions that people find worthy of remembering with different degrees of emphasis. These include: Not doing things that would cause immense destruction (or the end of the world) Avoiding the dangers of unrestrained escalation Not taking unilateralist action Resisting social pressures in order to do the right thing Making the right decision even in the face of uncertainty You might even say part of the Petrov Day tradition is debating which virtues Stanislav Petrov displayed and which ones we ought to celebrate. Personally, I like the underlying simple theme of "someone was in a high-stakes situation where they could have chosen a destructive path, and they didn't" and "things were close, but we survived". As far as the LessWrong celebration goes, each year I like the idea of exploring a different sub-element of surviving high-stakes scenarios and the virtues required to do so. This brings us to this year's plans... The 2022 Plan This is what I'm thinking: Every user with an existing LessWrong account (created before 2022-09-21) and non-negative karma is able to participate. We may manually exclude some known historical troublemakers. Your actions will be anonymous, including to the LessWrong team. This is a major change from last year. If you act counter to what other people think you should do, you'll only have to live with your own self-judgment and the mental simulation of others :P There is a virtue in preventing ...

What do Alchemy and Magic have to do with human decision-making?On this episode, I'm joined by two Behavioural Science gurus who have both been on the show before: Rory Sutherland and Paul Craven. Rory is the author of Alchemy: The Surprising Power of Ideas That Don't Make Sense. Paul Craven is a magician and member of the prestigious Magic Circle. So that's both bases covered! Rory is the Vice Chairman of Ogilvy, and Paul began his career in Finance with over 30 years working for Schroders, PIMCO and Goldman Sachs. Both are Behavioural Science thought leaders.Since the show is approaching its 200th episode — this is the 199th — I thought I ought to celebrate it. So I did what we always do when we celebrate special occasions and decided to replicate the winning formula I used last time. On that occasion, I was joined by Rory Sutherland and Gerald Ashley. Since then, I've also recorded a doubleheader with Gerald and his and Rory's good friend Paul Craven. Like Rory and Gerald, Paul has also done a solo appearance on the show. So for two episodes, I'm joined by Rory Sutherland and Paul Craven. 
In our discussion — and I'm just talking about this episode here — we talk about framing, ethics, Sludge, electric cars, the best joke at this year's Edinburgh festival — warning, it's an adult joke — the Pratfall Effect, or why making mistakes can make us seem more human, ho one man saved the world from a nuclear war, the Beatles, how we look at data and so much more. Links to all of those are below.Paul Craven - https://www.paulcraven.com/Rory Sutherland - https://www.linkedin.com/in/rorysutherland/?Rory's book Alchemy - https://www.penguin.co.uk/books/430379/alchemy-by-rory-sutherland/9780753556528Economist Nicholas Gruen - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nicholas_Gruen French magician Jean-Eugène Robert-Houdin - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jean-Eug%C3%A8ne_Robert-HoudinFormer guest Gerald Ashley referring to Paul as a conman - https://twitter.com/HumanRiskLtd/status/1395316840105234432?s=20&t=7v2vbVi0FoiyzozKY9sougMarks & Spencer's ‘Dine In For Two' Deal - https://www.marksandspencer.com/c/food-to-order/dine-inEdward De Bono - https://www.debono.com/Germany's 'two click to unsubscribe' law - https://www.thelocal.de/20220303/how-germany-is-making-is-easier-for-consumers-to-cancel-contracts/Sludge - https://www.forbes.com/sites/rogerdooley/2021/09/29/you-cant-nudge-if-youve-got-sludge/[Warning: the most controversial show note ever. Contains adult content. Spanish Comedian Ignacio Lopez on Dogging. Here's what the term means: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dogging_(sexual_slang)].
Here's the joke: https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=246981890669484AThe BBC series My Life As A Rolling Stone - https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episodes/m0018zwp/my-life-as-a-rolling-stoneThe Donald Trump video where he spends a lot of time choreographing a glass of water - https://www.indy100.com/celebrities/donald-trump-interview-table-waterThe movie ‘The Big Short' - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Big_Short_(film)Nick Leeson - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nick_LeesonRogue Trader, the movie about Leeson - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rogue_Trader_(film)Stanislav Petrov, the man who presented World War Three - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stanislav_Petrov
Gerd Gigerenzer - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gerd_GigerenzerGerd's book Risk Savvy - https://www.penguin.co.uk/books/181878/risk-savvy-by-gigerenzer-gerd/9780241954614
The Chinese Maths problem featuring 26 sheep and 10 goats - https://www.businessinsider.com/viral-chinese-math-question-2018-1? To hear previous episodes of the show featuring:Paul - https://www.humanriskpodcast.com/paul-craven-on-magic-money/Rory - https://www.humanriskpodcast.com/rory-sutherland-on-compliance/Rory & Gerald Ashley Part One - https://www.humanriskpodcast.com/rory-sutherland-gerald-ashley/Rory & Gerald Ashley Part Two - https://www.humanriskpodcast.com/gerald-ashley-rory-sutherland/Paul & Gerald Ashley Part One - https://www.humanriskpodcast.com/gerald-ashley-paul-craven/Paul & Gerald Ashley Part Two - https://www.humanriskpodcast.com/paul-craven-gerald-ashley/

In 1983, during a tense period of the Cold War, Soviet nuclear officials received a computer warning suggesting that the United States had fired five nuclear missiles towards Moscow. Fortunately, the officer on duty, Lieutenant Colonel Stanislav Petrov, realised the warning was a false alarm and advised his commanders against a retaliatory strike against America. Alex Last hears his story, as told in 2008 to the BBC's Jonathan Charles. Stanislav Petrov died in 2017. PHOTO: Stanislav Petrov pictured in 2004 (Getty Images)

I've done episodes before about people who have saved a large number of human lives. Mostly, these people have done so through inventions or innovations in fields like agriculture or medicine.  What about people who prevented an impending disaster? Like when Superman stops an asteroid from hitting the Earth.  Well, there was such a case, and thanks to the actions of a single man, millions of lives might have been saved. Learn more about Stanislav Petrov, the man who saved the world, on this episode of Everything Everywhere Daily. Subscribe to the podcast!  https://podfollow.com/everythingeverywhere/ Record your family's memories at https://StoryWorth.com/Everything -------------------------------- Executive Producer: Darcy Adams Associate Producers: Peter Bennett & Thor Thomsen   Become a supporter on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/everythingeverywhere Update your podcast app at newpodcastapps.com Discord Server: https://discord.gg/UkRUJFh Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/everythingeverywhere/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/everywheretrip Website: https://everything-everywhere.com/everything-everywhere-daily-podcast/ Everything Everywhere is an Airwave Media podcast." or "Everything Everywhere is part of the Airwave Media podcast network Please contact sales@advertisecast.com to advertise on Everything Everywhere. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: The Place Where We Survived, published by ThomasWoodside on April 13, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Edit: I've been informed this was probably an anti-bomber missile so have edited slightly. It's hard to find the place where we survived. Google Maps took me to an empty parking lot at a UPS distribution center, silent on that Sunday afternoon. It wasn't the right place. I peered at a satellite image on my phone, trying to find how to get there. Doubling back the way I came, I pulled off the road onto a potholed driveway. The driveway was lined with Budget rental trucks, but that business, too, was closed for the weekend. At the end of the driveway, I reached my destination. An abandoned tennis court. A baseball diamond, well kept. A playground, with a swing set and slides. And there it was. The missile silo. There were no signs, no commemoration, no signal as to the identity of the structure. The park was called “Nike Park,” but the children who come here would associate that name more with shoes than a Cold War missile program. The missiles, of course, are gone. In their place are stray baseballs. Only the shell of the silo remains: boarded up for good, but still standing. When we die, or a great calamity occurs, there is a time and a place when it happens. Of course, the time after which it became inevitable is less clear. But when something falls apart, or life is extinguished, or a missile hits its target, there is a time and a place. There is a monument, or a newspaper report, or a gravestone. If nobody is left to bear witness, there is a deafening silence. Even if we cannot find the place where we started to die, or became certain to die, we can find the place where we did. We can't find the place where we survived, because there are thousands of such places. We may point at people like Stanislav Petrov, but his case is simply a visible one. It matters little which of the many Nike sites I visited. Missiles might have come from any one of these silos at the end of the world as we know it. But they didn't. We survived. Today, the missile silo is simply part of the background. It has been built around. Many children who play on these swings do not understand what the silo is. Perhaps an older one asks: “what's that?” and hears a tale of the Cold War. In this generation, the parents barely remember the Cold War; in two more, it will simply be a lesson from the history books. The extraordinary has been replaced by the ordinary. The sting of a baseball on your hand. The rush of a game of tag. The creak of a swing. Survival is banal, because it is everywhere. If we survive this century, as I hope we will, there will be no single point of survival. There will be no single monument to victory against the many risks we faced. If people go looking for the place where we survived, they won't likely find it, because there will be many such places. Survival means that one day, the threats we face today will simply be background. Something that people remember, study, and occasionally commemorate, but mostly ignore. People ignore so that they do not have to be saddled by an old memory, so that they can experience the ordinary things that make life worth living. We fight now, so that they can ignore later. So that even if they cannot know where they survived, they can know what it means to be alive. That would be more than enough. Thanks for listening. To help us out with The Nonlinear Library or to learn more, please visit nonlinear.org.

Stanislav Petrov is an ordinary Russian citizen with an extraordinary past: he prevented World War III back in the 1980s. This documentary follows Stansliv's trip to the United States in 2005 where he got to meet Kevin Costner among other celebrities. Also there are feelings. You can find the Spy-Fi Guys at the following social media links: https://www.facebook.com/thespyfiguys/

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The year 1983 was one of the most dangerous in human history. While the Cuban crisis was exceptionally dangerous and both the United States and the Soviet Union had significant nuclear arsenals in 1962, a war in 1983 would have likely ended the human race.Brian Morra was Chief of Intelligence Analysis for US Forces Japan at Yakota airbase when on 1st September 1983 an unarmed Korean airliner was shot down by a Soviet fighter causing the deaths of 269 people. He describes the less well known subsequent incidents between Soviet and US military aircraft which almost resulted in a shooting war between the two superpowers.During this period the Soviet leadership believed the US was going to launch a nuclear attack on their country. Their paranoia was heightened by several incidents during 1983 which are dramatized in Brian's new novel  “The Able Archers”,  which is based on his experiences during that period.  UK listeners buy the Able Archers book hereUS listeners buy the Able Archers book hereRobert M. Gates, former CIA Director  and Secretary of Defence describes “The Able Archers” as “a powerful reminder of the value of human judgment—and the continuing peril posed by nuclear-armed powers.”I could really use your support to continue the podcast. A simple monthly donation will get you the sought after CWC coaster as a thank you and you'll bask in the warm glow of knowing you are helping to preserve Cold War history. Just go to https://coldwarconversations.com/donate/I am delighted to welcome Brian Morra to our Cold War conversation…There's further information on this episode in our show notes which can also be found as a link in your podcast app here. https://coldwarconversations.com/episode229If you can't wait for next week's episode do visit our Facebook discussion group where guests and listeners continue the Cold War Conversation. Just search Cold War Conversations on Facebook or click here https://www.facebook.com/groups/coldwarpod/Thank you very much for listening. It is really appreciated.Have a look at our store and find the ideal gift for the Cold War enthusiast in your life? Just go to https://coldwarconversations.com/store/Support the show (https://coldwarconversations.com/donate/)

Canale Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC-Idufifk1hamoBzkZngr1wProduzione, Editing e Sound Design - UncleMatt: https://www.instagram.com/unclemattprod/Volete far parte della community e discutere con tanti appassionati come voi? Venite sul nostro gruppo Facebook : https://www.facebook.com/groups/624562554783646/Se volete chiaccherare o giocare con noi, unitevi al server Discord : https://discord.gg/muGgVsXMBWIl nostro Instagram per essere sempre aggiornati sulle novità : https://www.instagram.com/bibliotecadialessandria/?hl=itGruppo Telegram : https://t.me/joinchat/Flt9O0AWYfCUVsqrTAzVcg

Arco vertelt het verhaal van de man die eigenhandig een nucleaire oorlog voorkwam, Nynke vertelt een tip van een luisteraar en Arco heeft een aanrader voor mensen die van de jaren 80 houden.Het programma dat Arco aan het einde noemt is Een programma over de jaren 80 van de VPRO.Deze aflevering is gesponsord door Squla. Speciaal voor de luisteraars van Alle Geschiedenis Ooit geeft Squla €10 korting bij een jaarlidmaatschap. Gebruik de code GESCHIEDENIS op de website: www.squla.nl Weet je zelf een goed verhaal uit de geschiedenis? Deel die vooral met ons op Vriend van de Show!Alle Geschiedenis Ooit is een podcast van Dag en Nacht Media

This episode features Fifty-Fifty,  book, music, and lyrics by Weston Gaylord.One evening in 1983, at the height of Cold War tension, a Soviet officer in a military bunker makes the most important decision of his life. Weeks later he is interrogated by his superiors, who seek to understand: did Stanislav Petrov betray his country? Or is it possible he saved the world? Fifty-Fifty is a fifteen-minute musical based on a declassified true story.