Podcasts about Theorem

In mathematics, a statement that has been proved

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Best podcasts about Theorem

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Latest podcast episodes about Theorem

LessWrong Curated Podcast
“A Straightforward Explanation of the Good Regulator Theorem” by Alfred Harwood

LessWrong Curated Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 17, 2025 29:24


Audio note: this article contains 329 uses of latex notation, so the narration may be difficult to follow. There's a link to the original text in the episode description. This post was written during the agent foundations fellowship with Alex Altair funded by the LTFF. Thanks to Alex, Jose, Daniel and Einar for reading and commenting on a draft.The Good Regulator Theorem, as published by Conant and Ashby in their 1970 paper (cited over 1700 times!) claims to show that 'every good regulator of a system must be a model of that system', though it is a subject of debate as to whether this is actually what the paper shows. It is a fairly simple mathematical result which is worth knowing about for people who care about agent foundations and selection theorems. You might have heard about the Good Regulator Theorem in the context of John [...] ---Outline:(03:03) The Setup(07:30) What makes a regulator good?(10:36) The Theorem Statement(11:24) Concavity of Entropy(15:42) The Main Lemma(19:54) The Theorem(22:38) Example(26:59) Conclusion--- First published: November 18th, 2024 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/JQefBJDHG6Wgffw6T/a-straightforward-explanation-of-the-good-regulator-theorem --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO. ---Images from the article:Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.

Bob Murphy Show
Ep. 413 The Primacy of Choice in Economics, Theology, Physics, and Even Math

Bob Murphy Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 2, 2025 62:44


Bob explains the fundamental role that subjective choice plays in various fields, suggesting there is something quite extraordinary about it.Mentioned in the Episode and Other Links of Interest:Bob's book Choice. A recent Human Action podcast episode with Jonathan Newman, discussing Bob's introductory textbook and why action is so important in economic science.BMS ep. 304, the first installment of the Bible commentary, which includes Bob's movie theater analogy for reconciling free will and determinism.BMS ep. 257 laying out Hans Hoppe's case that Mises' action axiom solved the mind-body problem.A good YT video explaining the weird results of the 2-slit experiment.A good YT on Bell's Theorem. Sabin Hossenfelder on Hoofdt and superdeterminism.InFi ep. 22 featuring Michael Fraser, who consults with business leaders that they should view AI as a cauldron, not a crystal ball.Background info on the Axiom of Choice from set theory.Help support the Bob Murphy Show.

Bob Murphy Show
Ep. 409 TL Hulsey on Texas Secession and a New Approach to Government

Bob Murphy Show

Play Episode Listen Later May 21, 2025 79:51


Terry Hulsey joins Bob for a fascinating discussion of history and political science, with an end to providing a framework for Texas secession that can endure.Mentioned in the Episode and Other Links of Interest:The YouTube version of this interview.The Mises Bookstore entry for TL Hulsey's book.BMS on Arrow's Theorem. BMS on Daniel Miller on the Texas Nationalist Movement.Randy Barnett's critique of Nozick in the Journal of Libertarian Studies.The link for Monetary-Metals.com.Help support the Bob Murphy Show.

The Effortless Podcast
Debdeep Jena on What It Really Takes to Build a Quantum Computer - Episode 14: The Effortless Podcast

The Effortless Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 15, 2025 144:21


In this episode of The Effortless Podcast, host Amit Prakash sits down with Professor Debdeep Jena, a leading expert in semiconductors, superconductors, and quantum devices at Cornell University. They explore the fascinating world of quantum computing, from its early 20th-century origins to its transformative potential in modern technology.Professor Jena delves into key concepts of quantum physics and quantum computing, shedding light on quantum systems, qubits, and the challenges and promises of quantum hardware. With decades of experience in semiconductor research, he explains how quantum computing could revolutionize industries, from computational speed to energy efficiency.In this conversation, they discuss:The birth of quantum mechanics and its evolution into quantum computingThe role of qubits and superposition in quantum devicesHow quantum computing is tackling complex problems beyond classical computingCurrent advancements in quantum hardware and the roadblocks still aheadProfessor Jena's perspective on the future of quantum technology and its potential impact on industries like AI, communications, and beyondThis episode is a must-watch for anyone curious about the future of quantum technology and its applications in modern science and industry. Professor Jena provides unique insights into how quantum systems are poised to transform computing, energy efficiency, and even artificial intelligence. Whether you're a tech enthusiast, a student of physics, or a professional exploring the frontier of quantum technology, this conversation is packed with invaluable knowledge.Key Topics & Timestamps:00:00 – Introduction to Quantum Mechanics, Entanglement, and the Role of Information in Physics05:00 – Classical Computation vs. Quantum Computation: Understanding the Basics of Classical and Quantum Bits12:00 – The Role of Information Erasure and Its Link to Energy Loss in Classical Computing18:00 – Superposition and Entanglement: The Basis of Quantum Computation25:00 – Bell's Theorem and the EPR Paradox: Understanding Quantum Nonlocality32:00 – Quantum Measurement and the Challenge of Formulating the Right Questions in Quantum Computation40:00 – Shor's Algorithm and the Promise of Quantum Speedup for Prime Factorization45:00 – Practical Quantum Computing: Grover's Algorithm and the Search Problem52:00 – The Need for Quantum Error Correction and the Problem of Decoherence in Quantum Systems58:00 – Superconducting Qubits: The Technology Behind Quantum Hardware1:05:00 – The Challenges of Packing More Qubits: Coherence Time and Integration of Quantum Systems1:12:00 – Temperature and Cooling Requirements for Superconducting Qubits1:20:00 – Advances in Quantum Error Correction and Strategies for Scaling Quantum Devices1:28:00 – Future Directions for Quantum Computing: Materials Science, Algorithms, and Hardware Innovations1:35:00 – Schrödinger's Cat: Exploring Quantum Superposition in a Philosophical Context1:45:00 – The Double-Slit Experiment: Quantum Interference and the Nature of Quantum Systems1:50:00 – The Future of Quantum Computing: Overcoming Challenges and Expanding Practical Applications2:00:00 – Concluding Thoughts on the Impact of Quantum Mechanics on Modern Technology and the Future of ComputingHosts:Amit Prakash: Co-founder and CTO at ThoughtSpot, former engineer at Google and Microsoft, and expert in distributed systems and machine learning.Guest:Professor Debdeep Jena: David E. Burr Professor of Engineering at Cornell University, expert in semiconductors, superconductors, and quantum devices.Follow the Hosts and Guest:Amit Prakash: LinkedIn | XDebdeep Jena: LinkedInHave questions or thoughts on AI? Drop us a mail at effortlesspodcasthq@gmail.comDon't forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more insightful conversations on the future of technology and innovation!

Theories of Everything with Curt Jaimungal
Demystifying Gödel's Theorem: What It Actually Says

Theories of Everything with Curt Jaimungal

Play Episode Listen Later May 5, 2025 25:00


Gödel's incompleteness theorem is one of the most misunderstood ideas in science and philosophy. This video cuts through the hype, correcting major misconceptions from pop-science icons and revealing what Gödel actually proved and what he didn't. If you think his theorem limits human knowledge, think again. The people referenced are Neil deGrasse Tyson, Veritasium, Michio Kaku, and Deepak Chopra. Correction: Veritasium says "everything" not "anything." My foolish verbal flub is corrected in the captions, and the argumentation remains the same. As a listener of TOE you can get a special 20% off discount to The Economist and all it has to offer! Visit https://www.economist.com/toe Join My New Substack (Personal Writings): https://curtjaimungal.substack.com Listen on Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/SpotifyTOE Become a YouTube Member (Early Access Videos): https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCdWIQh9DGG6uhJk8eyIFl1w/join Links Mentioned: •⁠ ⁠Scott Aaronson | How Much Math Is Knowable?: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VplMHWSZf5c •⁠ ⁠The Consistency of the Axiom of Choice and of the Generalized Continuum-Hypothesis (paper): https://www.pnas.org/doi/pdf/10.1073/pnas.24.12.556 •⁠ ⁠The Gettier Problem: https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/knowledge-analysis/#GettProb •⁠ ⁠Jennifer Nagel on TOE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWZVMZ9Tm7Q •⁠ ⁠Gödel's First Incompleteness Theorem: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/On_Formally_Undecidable_Propositions_of_Principia_Mathematica_and_Related_Systems •⁠ ⁠Roger Penrose on TOE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sGm505TFMbU •⁠ ⁠Curt talks with Penrose for IAI: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VQM0OtxvZ-Y •⁠ ⁠Bertrand Russell's Comments: https://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Page:Russell,_Whitehead_-_Principia_Mathematica,_vol._I,_1910.djvu/84 •⁠ ⁠Gregory Chaitin on TOE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zMPnrNL3zsE •⁠ ⁠Chaitin on the ‘Rise and Fall of Academia': https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PoEuav8G6sY •⁠ ⁠Curt and Neil Tyson Debate Physics: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ye9OkJih3-U •⁠ ⁠Gödel's Completeness Theorem: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/G%C3%B6del%27s_completeness_theorem •⁠ ⁠Latham Boyle on TOE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nyLeeEFKk04 •⁠ ⁠Gabriele Carcassi on TOE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pIQ7CaQX8EI •⁠ ⁠Gabriele Carcassi's YouTube Channel (Live): https://www.youtube.com/@AssumptionsofPhysicsResearch •⁠ ⁠Robinson Arithmetic: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robinson_arithmetic •⁠ ⁠Algorithmic Information Theory (book): https://www.amazon.com/dp/0521616042 •⁠ ⁠The Paris-Harrington Theorem: https://mathworld.wolfram.com/Paris-HarringtonTheorem.html •⁠ ⁠Curt's Substack: The Mathematics of Self: https://curtjaimungal.substack.com/p/the-mathematics-of-self-why-you-can •⁠ ⁠The Church-Turing Thesis: https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/church-turing/ •⁠ ⁠Curt's Substack: The Most Profound Theorem in Logic You Haven't Heard Of: https://curtjaimungal.substack.com/p/infinity-its-many-models-and-lowenheim Support TOE on Patreon: https://patreon.com/curtjaimungal Twitter: https://twitter.com/TOEwithCurt Discord Invite: https://discord.com/invite/kBcnfNVwqs #science Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Theories of Everything with Curt Jaimungal
Debunking the “All Possible Paths” Myth: What Feynman Really Showed

Theories of Everything with Curt Jaimungal

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 17, 2025 15:09


Join My New Substack (Personal Writings): https://curtjaimungal.substack.com Links Mentioned: - Original Substack article: https://curtjaimungal.substack.com/p/particles-dont-take-all-possible - Interpretations of Quantum Mechanics (article): https://curtjaimungal.substack.com/p/the-interpretations-of-quantum-mechanics?utm_source=publication-search - Jacob Barandes on TOE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wrUvtqr4wOs - Tim Maudlin on TOE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fU1bs5o3nss - Sean Carroll on TOE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9AoRxtYZrZo - Eva Miranda on TOE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6XyMepn-AZo - Mithuna's channel: https://www.youtube.com/@LookingGlassUniverse - Mithuna Yoganathan on TOE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r2ct0zv_M-I - Defining light (article): https://curtjaimungal.substack.com/p/well-technically - What is energy, actually? (article): https://curtjaimungal.substack.com/p/what-is-energy-actually - TOE's String Theory Iceberg: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X4PdPnQuwjY - Paper on Bell's Theorem: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2501.17521 - Veritasium's YouTube : https://www.youtube.com/@veritasium Listen on Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/SpotifyTOE Become a YouTube Member (Early Access Videos): https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCdWIQh9DGG6uhJk8eyIFl1w/join Support TOE on Patreon: https://patreon.com/curtjaimungal Twitter: https://twitter.com/TOEwithCurt Discord Invite: https://discord.com/invite/kBcnfNVwqs #science Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Iowa Type Theory Commute
Introduction to the Finite Developments Theorem

Iowa Type Theory Commute

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 27, 2025 15:54


The finite developments theorem in pure lambda calculus says that if you select as set of redexes in a lambda term and reduce only those and their residuals (redexes that can be traced back as existing in the original set), then this process will always terminate.  In this episode, I discuss the theorem and why I got interested in it.

Raw Data By P3
Miller's Theorem: A Principle for Getting Off the Fence

Raw Data By P3

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 25, 2025 16:01


Ever find yourself overthinking a problem until you've thought yourself right into a corner? Yeah, we've been there too. But what if there was a way to cut through the noise and just know when something is a good idea? Enter Miller's Theorem, a simple but sneaky-effective thought experiment that's been kicking around in our conversations for years. It's the kind of thing that sounds like nonsense at first until it doesn't. In this episode, we unpack how a casual visit to a bougie home décor store in Seattle turned into an existential crisis over tariffs, pricing psychology, and whether customers actually care if their overpriced alpaca throw just got 25% more expensive. But it's not just about economics. It's about how we make decisions, avoid self-inflicted complexity, and maybe stop outsmarting ourselves into bad choices. Also on the table: the contrapositive, the dangers of taking political soundbites at face value, and why abolishing the IRS is an idea so catastrophically bad it might actually make the Great Depression look like a mild inconvenience. It's a wild ride through logic, business, and just enough existential dread to keep things interesting. Listen now, then hope over to LinkedIn and tell us what you think! Got a topic you would like to have Rob and Justin cover? Join our Raw Data by P3 Adaptive Steering Committee and let us know!   Also in this episode: Pokerbots, Adware, and Burning Man, w/ Brad Miller & Kai Hankinson

Deep Space Podcast - hosted by Marcelo Tavares
week490 Deep Space Podcast

Deep Space Podcast - hosted by Marcelo Tavares

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 21, 2025 120:00


E ae!Welcome to Deep Space Podcast - 15 years! Many thanks for listening. One more 2 hours episode featuring 2nd hour exclusive guestmix by DJ Zim (1Pulsion), from France!You can check all information about Zim and 1Pulsion at:https://linktr.ee/1pulsion.49 We're live streaming every Sunday from 11am Brazil (9am USA / 3pm CET / 4pm South Africa) for THEOREM hosted by Zim. Thanks for having me, bro!I hope see to you guys popping on the chat:https://deepspacepodcast.com/broadcast Purchase any subscriptions from 1 dollar to premiere this and all the future episodes plus download the full 2 hours mix by ZIM among many other perks! Check all the infos at:https://deepspacepodcast.com/subscribe Enjoy the week490! Playlist:Artist – Track Name – [Label] 1st hour mixed by Marcelo Tavares1) Ben Sun - Living Things - [Razor-N-Tape]2) Rodrigo Soria - Stretching - [Sophisticate]3) Will Long - One In the Future - [Long Trax Productions]4) The Rurals - Brown Leaves (Talking Mix) - [Peng]5) Rian van Bergen - Blue Trees6) John de La Noise - Tributo Al Maestro - [Skylax]7) Darryl Baalki - Heavenly Sweetness (Jazz Version) - [Phonolab]8) Dr. Sud Feat. Nils Haack - Steel City - [Deeppa]9) Black Eyes - Bohemian Waters - [Housewax]10) Emile Londonien - The Vibe Is - [Omezis]11) Jay Sound - Sin Of Our Skin12) Jared Wilson - Idea Of A Deep State13) Echologist - Sea Bear - [Singular] 2nd hour exclusive guestmix by DJ Zim (1Pulsion, France)1) Birke TM - The White Tree - [Neighbour]2) AtJazz - Stay A Little While (Méchant Dub) - [Lazy Days]3) Img_02 - Uptown Rhythm - [bio]4) Frank Maris - Planet Ki - [Crossfade Sounds]5) Aleqs Notal - Call Out - [Sistrum]6) Dub Taylor - Reflection 1 - [Eintakt]7) Helen Sharpe – Got 2 Have Your Love (Sweet Soul Mix) - [Strobe]8) Jonny Miller feat. JD73 - Apollo - [Atjazz Record Company]9) Lazzich - Re Member Us - [Fragment]10) OVEOUS - Do Fo Miii - [Hyper Soul]11) Poem For The Lost Souls (Kuniyuki Version) - [Smallville]12) Neurotron - A New Dawn - [Third Wave Black]

Theories of Everything with Curt Jaimungal
"There is No Quantum Multiverse" | Jacob Barandes

Theories of Everything with Curt Jaimungal

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 18, 2025 174:41


In this episode, Curt Jaimungal speaks with Jacob Barandes, a theoretical physicist from Harvard, about the complexities of quantum mechanics. They explore wave-particle duality, Jacob's reformulation of quantum theory through indivisible stochastic processes, and the historical perspectives of figures like Schrödinger and Einstein. As a listener of TOE you can get a special 20% off discount to The Economist and all it has to offer! Visit https://www.economist.com/toe Join My New Substack (Personal Writings): https://curtjaimungal.substack.com Listen on Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/SpotifyTOE Become a YouTube Member (Early Access Videos): https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCdWIQh9DGG6uhJk8eyIFl1w/join Links Mentioned: •⁠ ⁠Watch Part 1 of this conversation here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YaS1usLeXQM •⁠ ⁠Jacob's talks covering many of his points in this conversation: https://www.youtube.com/@JacobBarandesPhilOfPhysics •⁠ ⁠Jacob's first appearance on TOE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7oWip00iXbo •⁠ ⁠New Prospects for a Causally Local Formulation of Quantum Theory (Jacob's paper): https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.16935 •⁠ ⁠The Stochastic-Quantum Correspondence (Jacob's paper): https://arxiv.org/abs/2302.10778 •⁠ ⁠Schrodinger's wave function paper (1926): https://github.com/yousbot/Quantum-Papers/blob/master/1926%20-%20E.%20Schrodinger%2C%20An%20Undulatory%20Theory%20of%20the%20Mechanics%20of%20Atoms%20and%20Molecules.pdf •⁠ ⁠The Born-Einstein Letters (book): https://www.amazon.com/Born-Einstein-Letters-1916-1955-Friendship-Uncertain/dp/1403944962/ •⁠ ⁠Probability Relations Between Separated Systems (paper) : https://www.informationphilosopher.com/solutions/scientists/schrodinger/Schrodinger-1936.pdf •⁠ ⁠John Bell on Bertlemann's socks (paper): https://cds.cern.ch/record/142461/files/198009299.pdf •⁠ ⁠John Bell on the Einstein Podolsky Rosen paradox (paper): https://journals.aps.org/ppf/pdf/10.1103/PhysicsPhysiqueFizika.1.195 •⁠ ⁠Can Quantum-Mechanical Description of Physical Reality Be Considered Complete'? (paper): https://journals.aps.org/pr/pdf/10.1103/PhysRev.47.777 •⁠ ⁠Causation as Folk Science (paper): https://sites.pitt.edu/~jdnorton/papers/003004.pdf Timestamps: 00:00 Introduction to Quantum Mechanics 06:01 Wave-Particle Duality Explained 08:44 Distinctions Between Waves 10:36 Quantum Field Theory Insights 15:10 Research Directions in Quantum Physics 24:27 Challenges in Quantum Field Theory 31:38 Quantum Mechanics vs. General Relativity 35:47 Fluctuations in Spacetime 45:09 Probabilistic General Relativity 54:00 Bell's Theorem and Non-Locality 1:20:48 The Nature of Causation in Physics 1:23:52 Causation in Modern Science 1:30:26 Reichenbachian Factorization Debates 1:31:44 Bell's Theorem Evolution 1:35:45 Indivisible Stochastic Approach 1:38:17 Understanding Entanglement 1:42:28 Information and Black Holes 1:45:44 Phase Information Loss 1:49:03 Heisenberg and Copenhagen Interpretation 1:52:29 The Nature of Electrons 1:53:09 Exploring Open Research Questions 1:59:09 Probabilities in Statistical Mechanics 2:11:30 Problems with Many Worlds Interpretation 2:27:42 Challenges of Probability in Many Worlds 2:35:14 The Case for a New Interpretation 2:43:11 Building a Collaborative Reputation Support TOE on Patreon: https://patreon.com/curtjaimungal Twitter: https://twitter.com/TOEwithCurt Discord Invite: https://discord.com/invite/kBcnfNVwqs #science #quantummechanics #quantumphysics #physics Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Hírstart Robot Podcast - Tech hírek
A Huawei bemutatta újdonságait Budapesten: hazánkba is megérkezett az orvostechnikai eszközként regisztrált vérnyomásmérésre képes okosóra

Hírstart Robot Podcast - Tech hírek

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 2, 2025 5:12


A Huawei bemutatta újdonságait Budapesten: hazánkba is megérkezett az orvostechnikai eszközként regisztrált vérnyomásmérésre képes okosóra Digital Hungary     2025-02-02 08:31:00     Mobiltech Vérnyomás Huawei Okosóra Innovatív eszközök széles skáláját mutatta be a Huawei Budapesten, köztük a Huawei Watch D2 okosórát, amely a világ első csuklón hordható, orvostechnikai eszközként regisztrált, 24 órás ambuláns vérnyomás-monitorozásra (ABPM) képes okoseszköze. Az eseményen bemutatott termékek között szerepelt továbbá a hajlítható kijelzőjű, Huawei Mate X6 okostele Itt a megoldás, ha minden film úgy néz ki az új tévéden, mint egy brazil szappanopera Rakéta     2025-02-02 07:21:07     Infotech Luxus Brazília Karácsony után sokan szembesülnek vele, hogy a vadiúj, méregdrága tévé ugyan valóban kiemelkedő képminőséget nyújt, ugyanakkor a filmek mégis valahogy furán néznek ki rajta. Bár az úgynevezett "szappanopera hatás" egyáltalán nem új jelenség, sokan nem tudják, hogyan is kéne megoldani ezt a problémát. A mesterséges intelligencia a pénzügyekben is megváltoztatja a játékszabályokat Igényesférfi.hu     2025-02-02 06:34:36     Infotech Mesterséges intelligencia Egyre nagyobb teret nyer a pénzügyi területen a mesterséges intelligencia – a vállalatok több, mint hetven százaléka használja valamilyen szinten pénzügyi folyamatai során. Forradalmian új fájdalomcsillapítót engedélyeztek Amerikában Telex     2025-02-02 09:28:22     Tudomány USA Fájdalomcsillapító 25 éve ez az első nem ópiátalapú szer a piacon. Új hatásmechanizmussal dolgozik a hatóanyag, óriási lépés lehet ez az ópiátválság kezelésében. A rossz hír, hogy jóval drágább az ópiátoknál. Mi történik, amikor már nem tudunk nagyobb MI-adatközpontokat építeni? ITBusiness     2025-02-02 06:06:08     Infotech Energia A generatív MI-modellek nemcsak népszerűségükben robbantak be az elmúlt két évben, hanem méretük is ugrásszerűen nőtt, egyre nagyobb számítási kapacitást igényelve. Mivel a gépi tanulás területén még nem történt radikális áttörés, és az energiaellátás egyre szűkösebbé válik, az MI fejlődésének folytatása egy teljesen új típusú szuperszámítógépen mú Tiltás, vizsgálat és aggodalom kíséri a DeepSeek hódítóútját ICT Global     2025-02-02 06:03:32     Infotech USA Mesterséges intelligencia Luxus DeepSeek Tavaly a világot szinte egycsapásra meghódították a méregdrága, többségükben amerikai fejlesztésű MI-modellek. A fejlesztési költségeit tekintve fapados DeepSeek pedig még ennél is intenzívebben robbant be a köztudatba a múlt héten. Magyar kutatók megtalálták a magyarság fogyásának ellenszerét Mínuszos     2025-02-02 13:33:19     Tudomány A laterális szeptum kisspeptint termelő idegsejtjei eddig kevéssé voltak ismertek, pedig kulcsszerepet játszanak a szaporodás agyi szabályozásában. A Kísérleti Orvostudományi Kutatóintézet (KOKI) kutatói felfedezték a kisspeptin idegsejtek szerepét a szaporodás agyi szabályozásában. Tényleg igaz: minden a fejben dől el!  Az agy hipotalamusz nevű te Képes-e egy Ai-társ csökkenteni a magányt? Player     2025-02-02 11:15:25     Infotech Párkapcsolat Járvány A mesterségesintelligencia-társak akár gyógyírt is jelenthetnek a magányossági járványunkra… vagy az emberiség végső bukását – mondja Eugenia Kuyda, a Replika megalkotója. Üstökös messze délen Csillagászat     2025-02-02 08:48:52     Tudomány Chile Itthonról, Magyarországról alig-alig láttuk a C/2024 G3 (ATLAS)-üstököst, aki sikerrel járt, jelentős trófeát könyvelhetett el. Mint annyi esetben, most is a déli félteke észlelői számára mutatta meg magát igazán a csóvás égi vándor. Szenzációs felvétel a Las Campanas Obszervatóriumból! Fűrész Gábor, Las Campanas Obszervatórium, Chile Négy hónapon Ez minden idők egyik legrondább fejhallgatója! TechWorld     2025-02-02 10:33:08     Infotech Az Enhance Theorem Headset olyan mintha világító fánkok lennének az ember fején. Állítólag direkt MMO játékokhoz optimalizálták ezt az ízléstelen fejhallgatót. A fejhallgatók között akad néhány egészen döbbenetesen csúnya, ízléstelen darab. De még közülük is kilóg lefelé az Enchance nevű cég Theorem nevű terméke. A hangszóróház félig átlátszó, tejü Nem emberi lénytől érkezett a segítség az űrállomáson: az asztronauták nem hittek a szemüknek Life     2025-02-02 11:00:00     Életmód Kína Világűr Űrállomás Gőzerővel folynak a kísérletek a kínai űrállomáson, az asztronauták pedig nem mindennapi segítséget kaptak. Hogy mi volt az? Cikkünkből kiderül! Hatályba léptek az EU AI Act tiltó rendelkezései Fintech     2025-02-02 14:05:00     Modern Gazdaság Európai Unió Mesterséges intelligencia 2025. február 2-án az Európai Unió Mesterséges Intelligencia Törvényének (EU AI Act) első kulcsfontosságú rendelkezései lépnek életbe, amelyek tiltják az „elfogadhatatlan kockázatot” jelentő MI-rendszerek használatát és forgalmazását az EU-ban. Tiltott tevékenységek és szankciók A mai naptól (2025. február 2.) kezdve tilos az EU-ban olyan MI-rendsz Kínában már mesterséges intelligenciával működő robotorvosokat tesztelnek Infostart     2025-02-02 08:00:00     Külföld Oktatás Kína egyetem Mesterséges intelligencia Robot Startup Mesterséges intelligenciával működő kórházi rendszer tesztelését kezdte meg a külföldön is elismert Csinghua Egyetem startup cége. Kína azt tervezi, hogy kiterjeszti a mesterséges intelligencia használatát az egészségügyi ágazatban. A további adásainkat keresd a podcast.hirstart.hu oldalunkon.

Hírstart Robot Podcast
A Huawei bemutatta újdonságait Budapesten: hazánkba is megérkezett az orvostechnikai eszközként regisztrált vérnyomásmérésre képes okosóra

Hírstart Robot Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 2, 2025 5:12


A Huawei bemutatta újdonságait Budapesten: hazánkba is megérkezett az orvostechnikai eszközként regisztrált vérnyomásmérésre képes okosóra Digital Hungary     2025-02-02 08:31:00     Mobiltech Vérnyomás Huawei Okosóra Innovatív eszközök széles skáláját mutatta be a Huawei Budapesten, köztük a Huawei Watch D2 okosórát, amely a világ első csuklón hordható, orvostechnikai eszközként regisztrált, 24 órás ambuláns vérnyomás-monitorozásra (ABPM) képes okoseszköze. Az eseményen bemutatott termékek között szerepelt továbbá a hajlítható kijelzőjű, Huawei Mate X6 okostele Itt a megoldás, ha minden film úgy néz ki az új tévéden, mint egy brazil szappanopera Rakéta     2025-02-02 07:21:07     Infotech Luxus Brazília Karácsony után sokan szembesülnek vele, hogy a vadiúj, méregdrága tévé ugyan valóban kiemelkedő képminőséget nyújt, ugyanakkor a filmek mégis valahogy furán néznek ki rajta. Bár az úgynevezett "szappanopera hatás" egyáltalán nem új jelenség, sokan nem tudják, hogyan is kéne megoldani ezt a problémát. A mesterséges intelligencia a pénzügyekben is megváltoztatja a játékszabályokat Igényesférfi.hu     2025-02-02 06:34:36     Infotech Mesterséges intelligencia Egyre nagyobb teret nyer a pénzügyi területen a mesterséges intelligencia – a vállalatok több, mint hetven százaléka használja valamilyen szinten pénzügyi folyamatai során. Forradalmian új fájdalomcsillapítót engedélyeztek Amerikában Telex     2025-02-02 09:28:22     Tudomány USA Fájdalomcsillapító 25 éve ez az első nem ópiátalapú szer a piacon. Új hatásmechanizmussal dolgozik a hatóanyag, óriási lépés lehet ez az ópiátválság kezelésében. A rossz hír, hogy jóval drágább az ópiátoknál. Mi történik, amikor már nem tudunk nagyobb MI-adatközpontokat építeni? ITBusiness     2025-02-02 06:06:08     Infotech Energia A generatív MI-modellek nemcsak népszerűségükben robbantak be az elmúlt két évben, hanem méretük is ugrásszerűen nőtt, egyre nagyobb számítási kapacitást igényelve. Mivel a gépi tanulás területén még nem történt radikális áttörés, és az energiaellátás egyre szűkösebbé válik, az MI fejlődésének folytatása egy teljesen új típusú szuperszámítógépen mú Tiltás, vizsgálat és aggodalom kíséri a DeepSeek hódítóútját ICT Global     2025-02-02 06:03:32     Infotech USA Mesterséges intelligencia Luxus DeepSeek Tavaly a világot szinte egycsapásra meghódították a méregdrága, többségükben amerikai fejlesztésű MI-modellek. A fejlesztési költségeit tekintve fapados DeepSeek pedig még ennél is intenzívebben robbant be a köztudatba a múlt héten. Magyar kutatók megtalálták a magyarság fogyásának ellenszerét Mínuszos     2025-02-02 13:33:19     Tudomány A laterális szeptum kisspeptint termelő idegsejtjei eddig kevéssé voltak ismertek, pedig kulcsszerepet játszanak a szaporodás agyi szabályozásában. A Kísérleti Orvostudományi Kutatóintézet (KOKI) kutatói felfedezték a kisspeptin idegsejtek szerepét a szaporodás agyi szabályozásában. Tényleg igaz: minden a fejben dől el!  Az agy hipotalamusz nevű te Képes-e egy Ai-társ csökkenteni a magányt? Player     2025-02-02 11:15:25     Infotech Párkapcsolat Járvány A mesterségesintelligencia-társak akár gyógyírt is jelenthetnek a magányossági járványunkra… vagy az emberiség végső bukását – mondja Eugenia Kuyda, a Replika megalkotója. Üstökös messze délen Csillagászat     2025-02-02 08:48:52     Tudomány Chile Itthonról, Magyarországról alig-alig láttuk a C/2024 G3 (ATLAS)-üstököst, aki sikerrel járt, jelentős trófeát könyvelhetett el. Mint annyi esetben, most is a déli félteke észlelői számára mutatta meg magát igazán a csóvás égi vándor. Szenzációs felvétel a Las Campanas Obszervatóriumból! Fűrész Gábor, Las Campanas Obszervatórium, Chile Négy hónapon Ez minden idők egyik legrondább fejhallgatója! TechWorld     2025-02-02 10:33:08     Infotech Az Enhance Theorem Headset olyan mintha világító fánkok lennének az ember fején. Állítólag direkt MMO játékokhoz optimalizálták ezt az ízléstelen fejhallgatót. A fejhallgatók között akad néhány egészen döbbenetesen csúnya, ízléstelen darab. De még közülük is kilóg lefelé az Enchance nevű cég Theorem nevű terméke. A hangszóróház félig átlátszó, tejü Nem emberi lénytől érkezett a segítség az űrállomáson: az asztronauták nem hittek a szemüknek Life     2025-02-02 11:00:00     Életmód Kína Világűr Űrállomás Gőzerővel folynak a kísérletek a kínai űrállomáson, az asztronauták pedig nem mindennapi segítséget kaptak. Hogy mi volt az? Cikkünkből kiderül! Hatályba léptek az EU AI Act tiltó rendelkezései Fintech     2025-02-02 14:05:00     Modern Gazdaság Európai Unió Mesterséges intelligencia 2025. február 2-án az Európai Unió Mesterséges Intelligencia Törvényének (EU AI Act) első kulcsfontosságú rendelkezései lépnek életbe, amelyek tiltják az „elfogadhatatlan kockázatot” jelentő MI-rendszerek használatát és forgalmazását az EU-ban. Tiltott tevékenységek és szankciók A mai naptól (2025. február 2.) kezdve tilos az EU-ban olyan MI-rendsz Kínában már mesterséges intelligenciával működő robotorvosokat tesztelnek Infostart     2025-02-02 08:00:00     Külföld Oktatás Kína egyetem Mesterséges intelligencia Robot Startup Mesterséges intelligenciával működő kórházi rendszer tesztelését kezdte meg a külföldön is elismert Csinghua Egyetem startup cége. Kína azt tervezi, hogy kiterjeszti a mesterséges intelligencia használatát az egészségügyi ágazatban. A további adásainkat keresd a podcast.hirstart.hu oldalunkon.

Economics Explained
Does Free Trade Benefit Everyone? A Deep Dive into the Stolper-Samuelson Theorem - EP272

Economics Explained

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 1, 2025 49:28


Is free trade always good for workers? Gene Tunny explores the Stolper-Samuelson theorem, which shows how trade can lower wages for some while benefiting others. He discusses key economic insights from Wolfgang Stolper and Paul Samuelson, real-world historical examples, and the implications for today's global trade debates. If you have any questions, comments, or suggestions for Gene, please email him at contact@economicsexplored.com.Timestamps for EP272Introduction (0:00)Explanation of Comparative Advantage and Free Trade (1:50)Background on Wolfgang Stolper and Paul Samuelson (5:50)The Heckscher-Ohlin Model and Indirect Factor Arbitrage (16:37)Stolper-Samuelson Theorem and Its Implications (26:35)Empirical Evidence and Historical Applications (31:53)Conclusion and Future Directions (32:19)TakeawaysFree Trade Creates Winners and Losers – The Stolper-Samuelson theorem predicts that free trade benefits the owners of a country's relatively abundant factors (e.g., capitalists in capital-rich countries) but can harm the owners of relatively scarce factors (e.g., workers in industrialised economies).Economic Theory Still Favors Free Trade Overall – While trade can hurt specific groups, economists argue that overall national income rises, making it possible (though not always politically feasible) to compensate the losers.Historical Evidence Supports the Underlying Theory – Examples from 19th-century trade patterns show factor price convergence, with land rents rising in the U.S. while falling in Britain due to increased trade.Trade Policy Shapes Political Alliances – Farmers in land-rich nations like Australia and the USA often supported free trade, while industrial workers in capital-rich nations tended to favor protectionism.Links relevant to the conversationThe previous episode with Ian Fletcher:https://economicsexplored.com/2025/01/21/industrial-policy-vs-free-trade-w-ian-fletcher-coalition-for-a-prosperous-america-ep271/Stolper and Samuelson's 1941 paper “Protection and Real Wages”:https://academic.oup.com/restud/article-abstract/9/1/58/1588589William Bernstein's book “A Splendid Exchange: How Trade Shaped the World”:https://www.amazon.com.au/Splendid-Exchange-Trade-Shaped-World/dp/0802144160Roger Backhouse's book “Founder of Modern Economics: Paul A. Samuelson: Volume 1: Becoming Samuelson, 1915-1948”:https://www.amazon.com.au/Founder-Modern-Economics-Samuelson-1915-1948/dp/0190664096Edward Leamer's paper on the Hecksher-Ohlin model in theory and practice:https://ies.princeton.edu/pdf/S77.pdfLumo Coffee promotion10% of Lumo Coffee's Seriously Healthy Organic Coffee.Website: https://www.lumocoffee.com/10EXPLOREDPromo code: 10EXPLORED Full transcripts are available a few days after the episode is first published at www.economicsexplored.com.

The Daily Scoop Podcast
How DOD is using modern tech to manage its workforce

The Daily Scoop Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 28, 2025 20:16


The Department of Defense houses one of — if not the biggest — workforces in the world. It is a Fortune 1 company, if you think about it that way. And managing a workforce that large and complex doesn't come easy. However, the department believes that modern technology can play a role in making workforce management more effective. To discuss that, Wyatt Kash recently spoke with Mark Gorak, principal Director for resources & analysis in the office of the DOD CIO, about the digital tools and resource the department is leaning on to modernize it workforce management and the challenges such a large enterprise faces in managing its workforce. The Trump administration has made its pick for federal CIO, FedScoop has learned. Two sources familiar with the matter confirmed that Greg Barbaccia has been hired for the federal CIO role within the Office of Management and Budget. He replaces Clare Martorana, who served in the role for nearly the entirety of the Biden administration. In the short time the role has been vacant since Martorana stepped down Jan. 20, Deputy Federal CIO Drew Myklegard has filled it in an acting capacity. Barbaccia comes to the role with a background of mostly private-sector experience, though he started his career in the U.S. Army, according to a public bio. He then went on to build a resume as a technology leader at Palantir, where he spent a decade in roles including head of intelligence and investigations; blockchain company Elementus; and San Francisco-based credit underwriting technology company Theorem, where he was most recently CISO before taking the federal CIO role. OpenAI has announced a new more tailored version of ChatGPT called ChatGPT Gov, a service that the company said is meant to accelerate government use of the tool for non-public sensitive data. In an announcement Tuesday, the company said that ChatGPT Gov, which can run in the Microsoft Azure commercial cloud or Azure Government cloud, will give federal agencies increased ability to use OpenAI frontier models. The product is also supposed to make it easier for agencies to follow certain cybersecurity and compliance requirements, while exploring potential applications of the technology, the announcement said. Through ChatGPT Gov, federal agencies can use GPT-4o, along with a series of other OpenAI tools, and build custom search and chat systems developed by agencies. The Daily Scoop Podcast is available every Monday-Friday afternoon. If you want to hear more of the latest from Washington, subscribe to The Daily Scoop Podcast  on Apple Podcasts, Soundcloud, Spotify and YouTube.

Joy Tactics
The Theorem of Texture [teaser]

Joy Tactics

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 23, 2025 2:08


https://www.patreon.com/joytactics

German Podcast
News in Slow German - #444 - German Grammar, News and Expressions

German Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 9, 2025 8:48


Wir beginnen unser Programm mit einem Rückblick auf einige aktuelle Ereignisse. Als Erstes sprechen wir über den Rücktritt des kanadischen Premierministers Justin Trudeau nach neun Jahren im Amt. Danach diskutieren wir über das Umweltvermächtnis des am 29. Dezember verstorbenen ehemaligen US-Präsidenten Jimmy Carter. Im wissenschaftlichen Segment des Programms sprechen wir heute über eine Studie, die das häufig diskutierte „Infinite-Monkey-Theorem“ analysiert. Laut diesem Theorem soll eine unendliche Anzahl von Affen in der Lage sein, das Gesamtwerk von William Shakespeare im Laufe der Zeit auf Papier zu reproduzieren. Und zum Abschluss des ersten Teils unseres Programms werfen wir einen Blick auf die Reisetrends für 2025, die darauf hindeuten, dass Touristen in diesem Jahr längere Reisen planen. Der zweite Teil des Programms ist der deutschen Sprache und Kultur gewidmet. Der Grammatikteil ist voller Beispiele zum heutigen Thema – Compound Nouns: Part 2. Und wie immer wird es in diesem Dialog kein trockenes Gerede über Grammatik geben. Das Gleiche gilt auch für unseren Dialog über Redewendungen, der den Gebrauch der heutigen Redewendung – Dienst ist Dienst und Schnaps ist Schnaps – veranschaulicht. Trudeau tritt zurück: Ist es das Aus für liberale Werte? Die Welt würdigt Jimmy Carters Umweltvermächtnis Kann eine unendliche Anzahl von Affen das Gesamtwerk von William Shakespeare tippen? Reisetrends 2025: Touristen planen längere Reisen So langsam wie möglich Dienst ist Dienst und Schnaps ist Schnaps

News in Slow German
News in Slow German - #444 - German Grammar, News and Expressions

News in Slow German

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 9, 2025 8:48


Wir beginnen unser Programm mit einem Rückblick auf einige aktuelle Ereignisse. Als Erstes sprechen wir über den Rücktritt des kanadischen Premierministers Justin Trudeau nach neun Jahren im Amt. Danach diskutieren wir über das Umweltvermächtnis des am 29. Dezember verstorbenen ehemaligen US-Präsidenten Jimmy Carter. Im wissenschaftlichen Segment des Programms sprechen wir heute über eine Studie, die das häufig diskutierte „Infinite-Monkey-Theorem“ analysiert. Laut diesem Theorem soll eine unendliche Anzahl von Affen in der Lage sein, das Gesamtwerk von William Shakespeare im Laufe der Zeit auf Papier zu reproduzieren. Und zum Abschluss des ersten Teils unseres Programms werfen wir einen Blick auf die Reisetrends für 2025, die darauf hindeuten, dass Touristen in diesem Jahr längere Reisen planen. Der zweite Teil des Programms ist der deutschen Sprache und Kultur gewidmet. Der Grammatikteil ist voller Beispiele zum heutigen Thema – Compound Nouns: Part 2. Und wie immer wird es in diesem Dialog kein trockenes Gerede über Grammatik geben. Das Gleiche gilt auch für unseren Dialog über Redewendungen, der den Gebrauch der heutigen Redewendung – Dienst ist Dienst und Schnaps ist Schnaps – veranschaulicht. Trudeau tritt zurück: Ist es das Aus für liberale Werte? Die Welt würdigt Jimmy Carters Umweltvermächtnis Kann eine unendliche Anzahl von Affen das Gesamtwerk von William Shakespeare tippen? Reisetrends 2025: Touristen planen längere Reisen So langsam wie möglich Dienst ist Dienst und Schnaps ist Schnaps

Holmberg's Morning Sickness
11-25-24 - Playdio DAY ONE - Bands 14-17 - SOUL THEOREM - IMORT IMO - FOOTER - JUPITER CYCLOPS

Holmberg's Morning Sickness

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 25, 2024 38:13


Holmberg's Morning Sickness - Playdio 2024 DAY ONE - The Annual Local Music "showcase" - Bands 14-17 - Monday November 25, 2024 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Holmberg's Morning Sickness - Arizona
11-25-24 - Playdio DAY ONE - Bands 14-17 - SOUL THEOREM - IMORT IMO - FOOTER - JUPITER CYCLOPS

Holmberg's Morning Sickness - Arizona

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 25, 2024 38:13


Holmberg's Morning Sickness - Playdio 2024 DAY ONE - The Annual Local Music "showcase" - Bands 14-17 - Monday November 25, 2024 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Slate Star Codex Podcast
Secrets Of The Median Voter Theorem

Slate Star Codex Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 12, 2024 16:17


The Median Voter Theorem says that, given some reasonable assumptions, the candidate closest to the beliefs of the median voter will win. So if candidates are rational, they'll all end up at the same place on a one-dimensional political spectrum: the exact center. Here's a simple argument for why this should be true: suppose the Democrats wisely choose a centrist platform, but the Republicans foolishly veer far-right: https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/secrets-of-the-median-voter-theorem 

Reasonable Faith Podcast
Question of the Week #912: New Work on the BGV Theorem

Reasonable Faith Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 8, 2024 13:36


https://www.reasonablefaith.org/writings/question-answer/new-work-on-the-bgv-theorem

Increments
#76 (Bonus) - Is P(doom) meaningful? Debating epistemology (w/ Liron Shapira)

Increments

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 8, 2024 170:58


Liron Shapira, host of [Doom Debates], invited us on to discuss Popperian versus Bayesian epistemology and whether we're worried about AI doom. As one might expect knowing us, we only got about halfway through the first subject, so get yourselves ready (presumably with many drinks) for part II in a few weeks! The era of Ben and Vaden's rowdy youtube debates has begun. Vaden is jubilant, Ben is uncomfortable, and the world has never been more annoyed by Popperians. Follow Liron on twitter (@liron) and check out the Doom Debates youtube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@DoomDebates) and podcast (https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/doom-debates/id1751366208). We discuss Whether we're concerned about AI doom Bayesian reasoning versus Popperian reasoning Whether it makes sense to put numbers on all your beliefs Solomonoff induction Objective vs subjective Bayesianism Prediction markets and superforecasting References Vaden's blog post on Cox's Theorem and Yudkowsky's claims of "Laws of Rationality": https://vmasrani.github.io/blog/2021/thecredenceassumption/ Disproof of probabilistic induction (including Solomonov Induction): https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.00749 EA Post Vaden Mentioned regarding predictions being uncalibrated more than 1yr out: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/hqkyaHLQhzuREcXSX/data-on-forecasting-accuracy-across-different-time-horizons#Calibrations Article by Gavin Leech and Misha Yagudin on the reliability of forecasters: https://ifp.org/can-policymakers-trust-forecasters/ Superforecaster p(doom) is ~1%: https://80000hours.org/2024/09/why-experts-and-forecasters-disagree-about-ai-risk/#:~:text=Domain%20experts%20in%20AI%20estimated,by%202100%20(around%2090%25). The existential risk persuasion tournament https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/the-extinction-tournament Some more info in Ben's article on superforecasting: https://benchugg.com/writing/superforecasting/ Slides on Content vs Probability: https://vmasrani.github.io/assets/pdf/popper_good.pdf Socials Follow us on Twitter at @IncrementsPod, @BennyChugg, @VadenMasrani, @liron Come join our discord server! DM us on twitter or send us an email to get a supersecret link Trust in the reverend Bayes and get exclusive bonus content by becoming a patreon subscriber here (https://www.patreon.com/Increments). Or give us one-time cash donations to help cover our lack of cash donations here (https://ko-fi.com/increments). Click dem like buttons on youtube (https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC_4wZzQyoW4s4ZuE4FY9DQQ) What's your credence that the second debate is as fun as the first? Tell us at incrementspodcast@gmail.com Special Guest: Liron Shapira.

Type Theory Forall
#44 Theorem Prover Foundations, Lean4Lean, Metamath - Mario Carneiro

Type Theory Forall

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 6, 2024 133:31


Mario Carneiro is the creator of Mathlib, Lean4Lean and Metamath0. He is currently doing his Postdoc at Chalmers University working on CakeML. In this episode we talk about foundations of theorem provers, type systems properties, semantics and interoperabilities. Links Lean4Lean github Metamath Metamath0 Lean Foundations Discussion Large Elimination / Singleton Elimination

unSILOed with Greg LaBlanc
467. Understanding Human Behavior in Economics with Vernon L. Smith

unSILOed with Greg LaBlanc

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 30, 2024 55:29


Much of the field of economics derives its theories from a subset of Adam Smith's philosophy found in the Wealth of Nations. But are economists overlooking other parts of Adam Smith's teachings that could explain more about human behavior and economics?  Nobel-prize winning economist Vernon L. Smith is an emeritus professor of economics and law at Chapman University. His books like Rationality in Economics: Constructivist and Ecological Forms and Humanomics: Moral Sentiments and the Wealth of Nations for the Twenty-First Century explore how human behavior shapes economics.Vernon and Greg discuss the role Adam Smith's Theory of Moral Sentiments plays in understanding behavioral economics, Vernon's early supply and demand experiments, and how his work shaped the field of experimental economics. *unSILOed Podcast is produced by University FM.*Show Links:Recommended Resources:Adam Smith StoicismAlfred MarshallEdward ChamberlinMilton FriedmanKevin A McCabeCharles HoltBetsy HoffmanGuest Profile:Faculty Profile at Chapman UniversityNobel Prize Winner BioHis Work:Economics of Markets: Neoclassical Theory, Experiments, and Theory of Classical Price DiscoveryRationality in Economics: Constructivist and Ecological FormsHumanomics: Moral Sentiments and the Wealth of Nations for the Twenty-First Century A Life of Experimental Economics, Volume I: Forty Years of DiscoveryA Life of Experimental Economics, Volume II: The Next Fifty YearsEpisode Quotes:Do humans learn economics through experience, not theory?39:09: People don't get the economics right by thinking about it. They get it right by actually participating in markets and getting a feel for what's going on. And I argue that humans are very good, once they do that. Sure, they can be fooled. And they do a lot of crazy things in a new market before they've acquired experience, but they adapt very well. And so, that equilibrium concepts are relevant. But the behavior is very much experience-oriented. And so, they get there through experiential learning. You see more than just abstract analysis and thinking about it.Perspective is at the foundation of the theorem of moral sentiments12:29: [The relationship] Perspective is at the foundation of the Theory of Moral Sentiments. That's what he's [Adam Smith] talking about—sentiments. An important part of it is fellow feeling.Gratitude influences sacrifice and motivates cooperation48:16: Gratitude creates indebtedness. And so people may have self-interested motivations, but they also have this motivation to get along with others. And so this proposition predicts, in the trust game, that people are sacrificing; they're taking less reward in order to do what they believe is right, to treat this person.Why is Vernon championing Adam Smith's principles in the modern way of thinking about economics?56:45: So that's why I'm a champion of trying to get that pattern of thinking and Adam Smith's principles into the modern way of thinking in economics. Economics and psychology, and in economics, because the Theorem of Sentiments was a contribution to social psychology that just never took hold. It was another hundred years, you see, before psychology started to do anything. And it was the beginning of the 20th century before psychology became very prominent. And then it was individual psychology, not social psychology. I think Adam Smith would find that strange.

Western Promises
158 Fistula

Western Promises

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 27, 2024 95:37


okay now im serious, subscribe to our patreon: patreon.com/westernpromises.com oh boy we are so back. teratomas, fistulas, kris angel uterus freak, current events, ahmeds big day, Mohamed's Theorem, metal gear solid V, standing on business. this week all three boys are in it to win it and we can see that checkered flag. kept ya waiting huh? also i am on a work field trip and Paris is dealing with a mysterious water situation so we are both on airpods. honestly its is pretty good. Please tell your brothers and sisters about our show.

Saturday Morning with Jack Tame
Francesca Rudkin: Thelma and Marguerite's Theorem

Saturday Morning with Jack Tame

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 20, 2024 7:18


Thelma   Thelma Post is a 93-year-old grandmother who loses $10,000 to a con artist on the phone. With help from a friend and his motorized scooter, she soon embarks on a treacherous journey across Los Angeles to reclaim what was taken from her.  Marguerite's Theorem   When a brilliant mathematics student at France's top university presents her thesis, a mistake shakes the certainty of her planned-out life. She decides to quit everything and start over.  LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Grey Sector: A Babylon 5 Podcast
A Suitably Small Sandwich [Babylon 5, Shadow Dancing]

Grey Sector: A Babylon 5 Podcast

Play Episode Play 39 sec Highlight Listen Later Sep 7, 2024 69:23


This week we review the season three episode Shadow Dancing.Joe gives us fun vampire facts, Mike almost deploys Bayes' Theorem, and Sarah reads from the Babylon 5 Visitor's Guide that she just made up.Spoiler-free discussion: 0:00:00 - 1:04:01Spoiler Zone: 1:04:01 - 1:07:30Next Episode and other Shenanigans: 1:07:30Music from this episode:"Surf Punk Rock" By absentrealities is licensed under CC-BY 3.0"Please Define The Error" By Delta Centauri is licensed under CC-BY 3.0"The Haunted McMansion" By Megabit Melodies is licensed under CC-BY 3.0

Engines of Our Ingenuity
The Engines of Our Ingenuity 3109: Aumann’s Theorem

Engines of Our Ingenuity

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2024 3:51


Episode: 3109 Mathematics says that we should never disagree, but we still do.  Today, let's talk about what I know that you know.

artchatter with Gaynor Leverett-Jaques & Karen George

Who decides what's good and what's not worth looking at - who are the gatekeepers? Why does some work sell for tens of thousands, and others hold no value to the curators, historians and galleries?  Why do artists of one genre openly dismiss another?  What triggers you?  This week Gaynor and Karen were triggered by opinions stated as facts. Do join the conversation as we'd love to know what you think - also what triggers you?!  This week's links and mentions: Photo Credit:  Icons8 Team on Unsplash Black Swan Frome Open Exhibition Hauser & Wirth Bruton, Somerset Rae Melody Art  Holburne Art Museum  About the podcast Gaynor Leverett-Jaques and Karen George are both full time artists, living and working in South West of the UK, sharing experiences and the ups and downs of living the painting life. You can find more about them on their websites or by following them on instagram where they share their work and practice on a regular basis.  Karen George Art https://www.karengeorgeart.co.uk/ @karengeorgeart on instagram Gaynor Leverett-Jaques https://www.gaynorljart.com/ @gaynorljart on instagram Thanks always to our wonderful sound editor, Ben Leverett-Jaques, who also wrote and performs the opening song 'Strangler Fig' Ben's IMBD page: https://www.imdb.com/name/nm7425880/  Ben's Music - Low Cinnabar: https://low-cinnabar.bandcamp.com/album/four-songs-from-the-tree

Spencer & Vogue
BONUS: Raygun & Pythagoras' Theorem

Spencer & Vogue

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 22, 2024 23:46


On today's Bonus ep: Old love letters ruin a 77 year old marriage, the iconic Raygun, more animals in the news headlines, a little quiz, and do you stop life plans for love?Check out Spenny's World Record challenge here! http://www.makesomenoise.com/spencer-matthews-challenge Remember, if you want to get involved you can:Email us at Spencerandvoguepod@gmail.com OR find us on socials @voguewilliams @spencermatthews and the new @spencer_and_vogueListen and subscribe to Spencer and Vogue on Global Player or wherever you get your podcasts.Please review Global's Privacy Policy: https://global.com/legal/privacy-policy/

Hacker News Recap
August 15th, 2024 | CEOs are running companies from afar even as workers return to office

Hacker News Recap

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 16, 2024 13:09


This is a recap of the top 10 posts on Hacker News on August 15th, 2024.This podcast was generated by wondercraft.ai(00:38): Kim Dotcom's extradition to the U.S. given green light by New ZealandOriginal post: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41254989&utm_source=wondercraft_ai(01:48): Galois TheoryOriginal post: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41255456&utm_source=wondercraft_ai(03:05): Nomad, communicate off-grid mesh, forward secrecy and extreme privacyOriginal post: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41253922&utm_source=wondercraft_ai(04:18): CEOs are running companies from afar even as workers return to officeOriginal post: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41261986&utm_source=wondercraft_ai(05:28): CockroachDB license changeOriginal post: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41256222&utm_source=wondercraft_ai(06:37): Google is a monopoly – the fix isn't obviousOriginal post: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41254976&utm_source=wondercraft_ai(07:50): Exact Polygonal Filtering: Using Green's Theorem and Clipping for Anti-AliasingOriginal post: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41253461&utm_source=wondercraft_ai(09:11): Markdown is meant to be shown (2021)Original post: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41254936&utm_source=wondercraft_ai(10:17): WriteFreely: An open source platform for building a writing space on the webOriginal post: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41253870&utm_source=wondercraft_ai(11:20): It's the land, stupid: How the homebuilder cartel drives high housing pricesOriginal post: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41259229&utm_source=wondercraft_aiThis is a third-party project, independent from HN and YC. Text and audio generated using AI, by wondercraft.ai. Create your own studio quality podcast with text as the only input in seconds at app.wondercraft.ai. Issues or feedback? We'd love to hear from you: team@wondercraft.ai

The Chris Stigall Show
The Limbaugh Theorem Revisited

The Chris Stigall Show

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2024 74:19


Stigall thinks its important to evaluate where things stand. You're being fed an awful lot of Harris-Walz propaganda meant to dispirit and dissuade Trump enthusiasm. Today, Stigall challenges the reality of that enthusiasm - at least the justification for it, if not the sincerity of it in the first place. The great Rush Limbaugh once coined "the Limbaugh Theorem" to explain what Stigall believes we're living again just as we did with Obama. Meanwhile, JD Vance hits the Sunday show circuit and slices and dices every "journalist" he faces and you'll love hearing it. Suffice it to say - we're in an extraordinary era of showbusiness, gaslighting, and insincerity that makes honest people furious. Stigall understands how you feel. Let's talk about it. And don't forget Trump meets with Elon Musk on X tonight. We'll discuss tomorrow. -For more info visit the official website: https://chrisstigall.comInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/chrisstigallshow/Twitter: https://twitter.com/ChrisStigallFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/chris.stigall/Listen on Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/StigallPodListen on Apple Podcasts: https://bit.ly/StigallShowSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Father Hawk Cold Approach Podcast
#26: “Pre 5 theorem” - The Cold Approach Game Doesn't Start Until Post 3-5 Approaches

Father Hawk Cold Approach Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 7, 2024 21:14


Link to Telegram Group - https://t.me/FatherHawkColdApproach If you're looking for cold approach/dating coaching get in touch: fatherhawkcoldapproach@gmail.com Available for in-person and online cold approach coaching. #daygame #rizz #coldapproach

LEMIWorks! Podcast
Classic Call – Character, Competence, & Capacity

LEMIWorks! Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 6, 2024 68:57


In this Classic Call episode, Tiffany Earl and Aneladee Milne, founders of LEMI, guide listeners through an engaging lesson on the Capacity Triangle. The episode also includes elaboration on overcoming personal and educational roadblocks and the importance of the teacher-student-parent relationship in effective mentoring. Please be sure to like & share! And if you'd like to learn more about Leadership Education and LEMI, we have a free online course on our membership site LEMI-U.com. 00:00 Introduction to the Episode 00:20 Drawing the Famous Triangle 01:53 Understanding the Pythagorean Theorem 02:41 Applying the Theorem with Examples 07:22 Character, Competence, and Capacity 10:11 Exploring Competence 13:05 The Importance of Capacity 27:44 The Hero Cycle 34:37 Overcoming Emotional Traps 36:07 Logical vs. Emotional Thinking 36:59 Identifying and Naming Traps 37:49 The Final Test and Push Forward 39:16 Recognizing Roadblocks 44:52 Common Walls and Roadblocks 45:57 Paths to Overcoming Walls 51:17 The Role of Faith and Mentorship 51:55 Practical Examples and Personal Stories 59:23 The Character and Competence Triangle 01:05:58 Engaging Parents in Education 01:08:26 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

Why This Universe?
28 - How Noether's Theorem Changed Physics (Rerun)

Why This Universe?

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 5, 2024 24:12


Learn how Noether's profound mathematical theorem relating symmetries to conservation laws is deeply woven into the physics of the universe. Enjoy this rerun of an earlier episode as we take our summer break. For ad free episodes and other exclusives, join us for just $3 a month on Patreon: https://patreon.com/whythisuniverse Our merch is available here: https://www.shalmawegsman.com/why-this-universe

The Nonlinear Library
LW - A Simple Toy Coherence Theorem by johnswentworth

The Nonlinear Library

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 2, 2024 11:59


Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: A Simple Toy Coherence Theorem, published by johnswentworth on August 2, 2024 on LessWrong. This post presents a simple toy coherence theorem, and then uses it to address various common confusions about coherence arguments. Setting Deterministic MDP. That means at each time t there's a state S[t][1], the agent/policy takes an action A[t] (which can depend on both time t and current state S[t]), and then the next state S[t+1] is fully determined by S[t] and A[t]. The current state and current action are sufficient to tell us the next state. We will think about values over the state at some final time T. Note that often in MDPs there is an incremental reward each timestep in addition to a final reward at the end; in our setting there is zero incremental reward at each timestep. One key point about this setting: if the value over final state is uniform, i.e. same value for all final states, then the MDP is trivial. In that case, all policies are optimal, it does not matter at all what the final state is or what any state along the way is, everything is equally valuable. Theorem There exist policies which cannot be optimal for any values over final state except for the trivial case of uniform values. Furthermore, such policies are exactly those which display inconsistent revealed preferences transitively between all final states. Proof As a specific example: consider an MDP in which every state is reachable at every timestep, and a policy which always stays in the same state over time. From each state S every other state is reachable, yet the policy chooses S, so in order for the policy to be optimal S must be a highest-value final state. Since each state must be a highest-value state, the policy cannot be optimal for any values over final state except for the trivial case of uniform values. That establishes the existence part of the theorem, and you can probably get the whole idea by thinking about how to generalize that example. The rest of the proof extends the idea of that example to inconsistent revealed preferences in general. Bulk of Proof (click to expand) Assume the policy is optimal for some particular values over final state. We can then start from those values over final state and compute the best value achievable starting from each state at each earlier time. That's just dynamic programming: V[S,t]=max S' reachable in next timestep from S V[S',t+1] where V[S,T] are the values over final states. A policy is optimal for final values V[S,T] if-and-only-if at each timestep t1 it chooses a next state with highest reachable V[S,t]. Now, suppose that at timestep t there are two different states either of which can reach either state A or state B in the next timestep. From one of those states the policy chooses A; from the other the policy chooses B. This is an inconsistent revealed preference between A and B at time t: sometimes the policy has a revealed preference for A over B, sometimes for B over A. In order for a policy with an inconsistent revealed preference between A and B at time t to be optimal, the values must satisfy V[A,t]=V[B,t] Why? Well, a policy is optimal for final values V[S,T] if-and-only if at each timestep t1 it chooses a next state with highest reachable V[S,t]. So, if an optimal policy sometimes chooses A over B at timestep t when both are reachable, then we must have V[A,t]V[B,t]. And if an optimal policy sometimes chooses B over A at timestep t when both are reachable, then we must have V[A,t]V[B,t]. If both of those occur, i.e. the policy has an inconsistent revealed preference between A and B at time t, then V[A,t]=V[B,t]. Now, we can propagate that equality to a revealed preference on final states. We know that the final state which the policy in fact reaches starting from A at time t must have the highest reachable value, and that value...

The Nonlinear Library
AF - A Simple Toy Coherence Theorem by johnswentworth

The Nonlinear Library

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 2, 2024 11:59


Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: A Simple Toy Coherence Theorem, published by johnswentworth on August 2, 2024 on The AI Alignment Forum. This post presents a simple toy coherence theorem, and then uses it to address various common confusions about coherence arguments. Setting Deterministic MDP. That means at each time t there's a state S[t][1], the agent/policy takes an action A[t] (which can depend on both time t and current state S[t]), and then the next state S[t+1] is fully determined by S[t] and A[t]. The current state and current action are sufficient to tell us the next state. We will think about values over the state at some final time T. Note that often in MDPs there is an incremental reward each timestep in addition to a final reward at the end; in our setting there is zero incremental reward at each timestep. One key point about this setting: if the value over final state is uniform, i.e. same value for all final states, then the MDP is trivial. In that case, all policies are optimal, it does not matter at all what the final state is or what any state along the way is, everything is equally valuable. Theorem There exist policies which cannot be optimal for any values over final state except for the trivial case of uniform values. Furthermore, such policies are exactly those which display inconsistent revealed preferences transitively between all final states. Proof As a specific example: consider an MDP in which every state is reachable at every timestep, and a policy which always stays in the same state over time. From each state S every other state is reachable, yet the policy chooses S, so in order for the policy to be optimal S must be a highest-value final state. Since each state must be a highest-value state, the policy cannot be optimal for any values over final state except for the trivial case of uniform values. That establishes the existence part of the theorem, and you can probably get the whole idea by thinking about how to generalize that example. The rest of the proof extends the idea of that example to inconsistent revealed preferences in general. Bulk of Proof (click to expand) Assume the policy is optimal for some particular values over final state. We can then start from those values over final state and compute the best value achievable starting from each state at each earlier time. That's just dynamic programming: V[S,t]=max S' reachable in next timestep from S V[S',t+1] where V[S,T] are the values over final states. A policy is optimal for final values V[S,T] if-and-only-if at each timestep t1 it chooses a next state with highest reachable V[S,t]. Now, suppose that at timestep t there are two different states either of which can reach either state A or state B in the next timestep. From one of those states the policy chooses A; from the other the policy chooses B. This is an inconsistent revealed preference between A and B at time t: sometimes the policy has a revealed preference for A over B, sometimes for B over A. In order for a policy with an inconsistent revealed preference between A and B at time t to be optimal, the values must satisfy V[A,t]=V[B,t] Why? Well, a policy is optimal for final values V[S,T] if-and-only if at each timestep t1 it chooses a next state with highest reachable V[S,t]. So, if an optimal policy sometimes chooses A over B at timestep t when both are reachable, then we must have V[A,t]V[B,t]. And if an optimal policy sometimes chooses B over A at timestep t when both are reachable, then we must have V[A,t]V[B,t]. If both of those occur, i.e. the policy has an inconsistent revealed preference between A and B at time t, then V[A,t]=V[B,t]. Now, we can propagate that equality to a revealed preference on final states. We know that the final state which the policy in fact reaches starting from A at time t must have the highest reachable value, a...

The Next Big Idea
PROBABILITY: How a 250-Year-Old Theorem Still Explains the World

The Next Big Idea

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2024 52:44


Back in the 1700s, in a spa town outside of London, Thomas Bayes, a Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician, invented a formula that lets you figure out how likely something is to happen based on what you already know. It changed the world. Today, pollsters use it to forecast election results and bookies to predict Super Bowl scores. For neuroscientists, it explains how our brains work; for computer scientists, it's the principle behind artificial intelligence. In this episode, we explore the modern-day applications of this game-changing theorem with the help of Tom Chivers, author of the new book "Everything Is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World."

The Nonlinear Library
LW - Understanding Gödel's completeness theorem by jessicata

The Nonlinear Library

Play Episode Listen Later May 28, 2024 23:23


Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Understanding Gödel's completeness theorem, published by jessicata on May 28, 2024 on LessWrong. In this post I prove a variant of Gödel's completeness theorem. My intention has been to really understand the theorem, so that I am not simply shuffling symbols around, but am actually understanding why it is true. I hope it is helpful for at least some other people. For sources, I have myself relied mainly on Srivastava's presentation. I have relied a lot on intuitions about sequent calculus; while I present a sequent calculus in this post, this is not a complete introduction to sequent calculus. I recommend Logitext as an online proof tool for gaining more intuition about sequent proofs. I am familiar with sequent calculus mainly through type theory. First-order theories and models A first-order theory consists of: A countable set of functions, which each have an arity, a non-negative integer. A countable set of predicates, which also have non-negative integer arities. A countable set of axioms, which are sentences in the theory. Assume a countably infinite set of variables. A term consists of either a variable, or a function applied to a number of terms equal to its arity. An atomic sentence is a predicate applied to a number of terms equal to its arity. A sentence may be one of: an atomic sentence. a negated sentence, P. a conjunction of sentences, PQ. a universal, x,P, where x is a variable. Define disjunctions (PQ:=(PQ)), implications (PQ:=(PQ)), and existentials (x,P:=x,P) from these other terms in the usual manner. A first-order theory has a countable set of axioms, each of which are sentences. So far this is fairly standard; see Peano arithmetic for an example of a first-order theory. I am omitting equality from first-order theories, as in general equality can be replaced with an equality predicate and axioms. A term or sentence is said to be closed if it has no free variables (that is, variables which are not quantified over). A closed term or sentence can be interpreted without reference to variable assignments, similar to a variable-free expression in a programming language. Let a constant be a function of arity zero. I will make the non-standard assumption that first-order theories have a countably infinite set of constants which do not appear in any axiom. This will help in defining inference rules and proving completeness. Generally it is not a problem to add a countably infinite set of constants to a first-order theory; it does not strengthen the theory (except in that it aids in proving universals, as defined below). Before defining inference rules, I will define models. A model of a theory consists of a set (the domain of discourse), interpretations of the functions (as mapping finite lists of values in the domain to other values), and interpretations of predicates (as mapping finite lists of values in the domain to Booleans), which satisfies the axioms. Closed terms have straightforward interpretations in a model, as evaluating the expression (as if in a programming language). Closed sentences have straightforward truth values, e.g. the formula P is true in a model when P is false in the model. Judgments and sequent rules A judgment is of the form ΓΔ, where Γ and Δ are (possibly infinite) countable sets of closed sentences. The judgment is true in a model if at least one of Γ is false or at least one of Δ is true. As notation, if Γ is a set of sentences and P is a sentence, then Γ,P denotes Γ{P}. The inference rules are expressed as sequents. A sequent has one judgment on the bottom, and a finite set of judgments on top. Intuitively, it states that if all the judgments on top are provable, the rule yields a proof of the judgment on the bottom. Along the way, I will show that each rule is sound: if every judgment on the top is true in all models, then t...

The Nonlinear Library
LW - Book review: Everything Is Predictable by PeterMcCluskey

The Nonlinear Library

Play Episode Listen Later May 27, 2024 4:03


Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Book review: Everything Is Predictable, published by PeterMcCluskey on May 27, 2024 on LessWrong. Book review: Everything Is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World, by Tom Chivers. Many have attempted to persuade the world to embrace a Bayesian worldview, but none have succeeded in reaching a broad audience. E.T. Jaynes' book has been a leading example, but its appeal is limited to those who find calculus enjoyable, making it unsuitable for a wider readership. Other attempts to engage a broader audience often focus on a narrower understanding, such as Bayes' Theorem, rather than the complete worldview. Claude's most fitting recommendation was Rationality: From AI to Zombies, but at 1,813 pages, it's too long and unstructured for me to comfortably recommend to most readers. (GPT-4o's suggestions were less helpful, focusing only on resources for practical problem-solving). Aubrey Clayton's book, Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science, only came to my attention because Chivers mentioned it, offering mixed reviews that hint at why it remained unnoticed. Chivers has done his best to mitigate this gap. While his book won't reach as many readers as I'd hoped, I'm comfortable recommending it as the standard introduction to the Bayesian worldview for most readers. Basics Chivers guides readers through the fundamentals of Bayes' Theorem, offering little that's extraordinary in this regard. A fair portion of the book is dedicated to explaining why probability should be understood as a function of our ignorance, contrasting with the frequentist approach that attempts to treat probability as if it existed independently of our minds. The book has many explanations of how frequentists are wrong, yet concedes that the leading frequentists are not stupid. Frequentism's problems often stem from a misguided effort to achieve more objectivity in science than seems possible. The only exception to this mostly fair depiction of frequentists is a section titled "Are Frequentists Racist?". Chivers repeats Clayton's diatribe affirming this, treating the diatribe more seriously than it deserves, before dismissing it. (Frequentists were racist when racism was popular. I haven't seen any clear evidence of whether Bayesians behaved differently). The Replication Crisis Chivers explains frequentism's role in the replication crisis. A fundamental drawback of p-values is that they indicate the likelihood of the data given a hypothesis, which differs from the more important question of how likely the hypothesis is given the data. Here, Chivers (and many frequentists) overlook a point raised by Deborah Mayo: p-values can help determine if an experiment had a sufficiently large sample size. Deciding whether to conduct a larger experiment can be as ew: Everything Is Predictablecrucial as drawing the best inference from existing data. The perversity of common p-value usage is exemplified by Lindley's paradox: a p-value below 0.05 can sometimes provide Bayesian evidence against the tested hypothesis. A p-value of 0.04 indicates that the data are unlikely given the null hypothesis, but we can construct scenarios where the data are even less likely under the hypothesis you wish to support. A key factor in the replication crisis is the reward system for scientists and journals, which favors publishing surprising results. The emphasis on p-values allows journals to accept more surprising results compared to a Bayesian approach, creating a clear disincentive for individual scientists or journals to adopt Bayesian methods before others do. Minds Approximate Bayes The book concludes by describing how human minds employ heuristics that closely approximate the Bayesian approach. This includes a well-written summary of how predictive processing works, demonstrating ...

Space Nuts
#416: Cosmic Conundrums & Astral Assemblies: Tackling the Universe's Toughest Questions

Space Nuts

Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2024 30:51


Prepare for a cosmic deep dive into the enigmatic world of black holes and stellar mysteries on this Q&A episode of Space Nuts. Andrew Dunkley and Professor Fred Watson answer burning questions from the Space Nuts community, starting with a head-scratcher about black holes and magnetic fields. Can these gravitational giants possess magnetic fields, and if so, how do they influence the spectacular jets seen emanating from quasars? The duo untangles the complex relationship between rotation, charge, and magnetism.Next, Pete from sunny Sheffield queries the stellar classification mnemonic "Oh, Be A Fine Girl, Kiss Me" and its implications. How do the proportions of these star types stack up in the Milky Way, and do these ratios hold true across other galaxies? The conversation illuminates the cosmic census of star types, from the rare, scorching O stars to the ubiquitous, cooler M dwarfs.Listeners also get a personal touch as Michael from Kent inquires about Fred's most standout project over his illustrious career. Fred shares insights into his contributions to groundbreaking surveys and reminisces about the influential projects that have shaped our understanding of the universe.Rounding off the episode, Rusty from Donnybrook seeks to understand why fogbows are white rather than exhibiting the vibrant hues of a typical rainbow. The answer lies in the intricate interplay of light refraction, dispersion, and the often-overlooked diffraction in tiny water droplets.From the nature of magnetic fields in the abyss of black holes to the distribution of stars across the cosmos, this episode of Space Nuts is a treasure trove of astronomical knowledge. Tune in as Andrew and Fred navigate the celestial curiosities that keep us gazing skyward with wonder.00:00:00 Professor Fred Watson answers your questions on this edition of Space Nuts00:02:31 Robert from the Netherlands says black holes do not have a magnetic field00:09:15 Three questions from Pete Ellinger on different types of stars00:15:08 Metallicity, the amount of iron in a star, varies across galaxies00:16:59 If there was a project that you could have worked on past or present, what00:25:21 The hippie telescope was a big leap forward from the existing telescope00:25:47 Final question, Fred, comes from Rusty in Donnybrook about fog bowsSupport Space Nuts and join us on this journey through the stars by visiting https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/space-nuts--2631155/support.Your contributions help us continue our mission to answer the universe's most perplexing questions.Clear skies and boundless curiosity await on Space Nuts, where we make the cosmos your backyard.

Breaking Math Podcast
95: Baye's Theorem Explains It All: An Interview with Tom Chivers

Breaking Math Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2024 49:18


SummaryTom Chivers discusses his book 'Everything is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World' and the applications of Bayesian statistics in various fields. He explains how Bayesian reasoning can be used to make predictions and evaluate the likelihood of hypotheses. Chivers also touches on the intersection of AI and ethics, particularly in relation to AI-generated art. The conversation explores the history of Bayes' theorem and its role in science, law, and medicine. Overall, the discussion highlights the power and implications of Bayesian statistics in understanding and navigating the world. The conversation explores the role of AI in prediction and the importance of Bayesian thinking. It discusses the progress of AI in image classification and the challenges it still faces, such as accurately depicting fine details like hands. The conversation also delves into the topic of predictions going wrong, particularly in the context of conspiracy theories. It highlights the Bayesian nature of human beliefs and the influence of prior probabilities on updating beliefs with new evidence. The conversation concludes with a discussion on the relevance of Bayesian statistics in various fields and the need for beliefs to have probabilities and predictions attached to them. Takeaways Bayesian statistics can be used to make predictions and evaluate the likelihood of hypotheses. Bayes' theorem has applications in various fields, including science, law, and medicine. The intersection of AI and ethics raises complex questions about AI-generated art and the predictability of human behavior. Understanding Bayesian reasoning can enhance decision-making and critical thinking skills. AI has made significant progress in image classification, but still faces challenges in accurately depicting fine details. Predictions can go wrong due to the influence of prior beliefs and the interpretation of new evidence. Beliefs should have probabilities and predictions attached to them, allowing for updates with new information. Bayesian thinking is crucial in various fields, including AI, pharmaceuticals, and decision-making. The importance of defining predictions and probabilities when engaging in debates and discussions.

Breaking Math Podcast
93. The 10,000 Year Problem (feat. David Gibson of Ray Kitty Creation Workship)

Breaking Math Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 23, 2024 34:44


Summary: The episode discusses the 10,000 year dilemma, which is a thought experiment on how to deal with nuclear waste in the future. Today's episode is hosted by guest host David Gibson, who is the founder of the Ray Kitty Creation Workshop. (Find out more about the Ray Kitty Creation Workshop by clicking here). Gabriel and Autumn are out this week, but will be returning in short order with 3 separate interviews with authors of some fantastic popular science and math books including: The Gravity of Math: How Geometry Rules the Universe by Dr. Shing-Tung Yau and Steve Nadis. This book is all about the history of our understanding of gravity from the theories of Isaac Newton to Albert Einstein and beyond, including gravitational waves, black holes, as well as some of the current uncertainties regarding a precise definition of mass. On sale now! EVERYTHING IS PREDICTABLE: How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World by Tom Chivers. Published by Simon and Schuster. This book explains the importance of Baye's Theorem in helping us to understand why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives, a phenomenon we saw during the Covid-19 pandemic; How a failure to account for Bayes' Theorem has put innocent people in jail; How military strategists using the theorem can predict where an enemy will strike next, and how Baye's Theorem is helping us to understang machine learning processes - a critical skillset to have in the 21st century. Available 05/07/2024 A CITY ON MARS: Can we settle space, should we settle space, and have we really thought this through? by authors Dr. Kelly and Zach Weinersmith. Zach Weinersmith is the artist and creator of the famous cartoon strip Saturday Morning Breaking Cereal! We've got a lot of great episodes coming up! Stay tuned.

Non Human Biologics: An X-Files Podcast

What do you do when you have to discuss a boring episode? Straight to da dick jokes.Support the show by subscribing to us on Patreon. Patrons get exclusive podcasts, an early release feed, and access to our community Discord server. Our theme "File After File" was produced by bansheebeat, and sung by Heather Milette. Lyrics by Chris, Jeremy, Autumn, and Judi. A video for the song can be seen here, and was created by Jeremy with a ton of help from Judi, Autumn, and Chris. Podcast artwork from Rideth_Mochi, whose portfolio is beautiful. They can also be followed on Twitter. Incidental music in the podcast by the great Jake Lionheart, who you should hire to score your next DND podcast, or any podcast really.

Bitcoin Audible (previously the cryptoconomy)
Read_813 - Mises's Regression Theorem, Bitcoin, and Subjective Value

Bitcoin Audible (previously the cryptoconomy)

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 15, 2024 59:02


"On the face of it, Bitcoin's existence seems to violate Mises's theorem, unless a preceding non-monetary use can be demonstrated. That is, Bitcoin would have to be first valued for its direct utility before it could hold indirect exchange value. So have the criteria been met, or does Bitcoin violate the theorem?" - Emile Phaneuf You've inevitably come across the argument that Bitcoin violates Mises's Regression Theorem if you've been in bitcoin long enough, but is this really true? And with the obvious and undeniable emergence of Bitcoin, what can this tell us about Mises's observation, and how it applies with the dynamics of the digital age?" Check out the original article at: Mises's Regression Theorem, Bitcoin, and Subjective Value Theory | AIER (Link: https://tinyurl.com/49udz4pp) Guest Links Emile Phaneuf III | AIER (Link: https://tinyurl.com/2ysdwxd4) Host Links Guy on Nostr (Link: http://tinyurl.com/2xc96ney) Guy on X (Link: https://twitter.com/theguyswann) Guy on Instagram (Link: https://www.instagram.com/theguyswann/) Guy on TikTok (Link: https://www.tiktok.com/@theguyswann) Guy on YouTube (Link: https://www.youtube.com/@theguyswann) ⁠Bitcoin Audible on X⁠ (Link: https://twitter.com/BitcoinAudible) Check out our awesome sponsors! Get 10% off the COLDCARD with code BITCOINAUDIBLE ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠(Link: bitcoinaudible.com/coldcard⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠) Swan: The best way to buy, learn, and earn #Bitcoin (Link: https://swanbitcoin.com) “All rational action is in the first place individual action. Only the individual thinks. Only the individual reasons. Only the individual acts.” ~ Ludwig von Mises --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/bitcoinaudible/message

Miss Me?
TriggerNometry

Miss Me?

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 28, 2024 41:35


Lily Allen and Miquita Oliver ask if schools should teach us about pensions and mortgages. Lily tells us about her eye-opening trip to the theatre to see 'Black Boys'. Are Dua Lipa and Callum Turner the new Posh & Becks? And does anyone remember how Pythagoras' Theorem works??'Miss Me?' is a Persephonica production for BBC Sounds.

Forbidden Knowledge News
FKN Classics 2022: The Anunnaki Theorem - Humanity's Origin & The Divine | Esoteric Eddie

Forbidden Knowledge News

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 21, 2024 61:15


Make a Donation to Forbidden Knowledge News http://supportfkn.comhttps://www.paypal.me/forbiddenknowledgeneIf you (or a loved one) are struggling with chronic/complex health issues, book a FREE intro call with functional practitioner Christian Yordanov to see how he can help you restore your health. Mention FKN in the "where did you hear about us field" and you'll receive free extra consultation sessions if you decide to work with him: https://christianyordanov.com/health-consulting/Watch The Forbidden Documentary: Occult Louisiana now on Tubi!https://bit.ly/42RsfWCDownload the film https://www.buymeacoffee.com/forbiddendoc/e/179799pRent or purchase from our OTT site!https://fknproductions.vhx.tv/checkout/the-forbidden-documentary-series/purchaseThe Forbidden Documentary: Occult Louisiana Official Trailerhttps://youtu.be/mau8CbuyoQ8?si=4LuMN7XACnGRnAllJoin us at Expanding Reality Excursions: Befriending Bigfoot Eventhttps://expandingrealitypodcast.com/events/?fbclid=IwAR3617vKySHVs6FfoeFeKEfRecau6-nUeo-NzWuJSoNw8-C6PavkkNtZPXwFKN Link Treehttps://linktr.ee/ForbiddenKnowledgeNewsForbidden Knowledge Network https://forbiddenknowledge.news/Sign up on Rokfin!https://rokfin.com/fknplusPodcastshttps://www.spreaker.com/show/forbiddenAvailable on all platforms Support FKN on Spreaker https://spreaker.page.link/KoPgfbEq8kcsR5oj9FKN ON Rumblehttps://rumble.com/c/FKNC60 PurplePowerhttps://go.shopc60.com/FORBIDDEN10/or use coupon code knowledge10Get Cory Hughes Book!https://www.buymeacoffee.com/jfkbookhttps://www.amazon.com/Warning-History-Cory-Hughes/dp/B0CL14VQY6/ref=mp_s_a_1_1?crid=72HEFZQA7TAP&keywords=a+warning+from+history+cory+hughes&qid=1698861279&sprefix=a+warning+fro%2Caps%2C121&sr=8-1https://coryhughes.org/Johnny Larson's artworkhttps://www.patreon.com/JohnnyLarsonYouTube https://youtube.com/@fknclipsBecome Self-Sufficient With A Food Forest!!https://foodforestabundance.com/get-started/?ref=CHRISTOPHERMATHUse coupon code: FORBIDDEN for discountsThe FKN Store!https://www.fknstore.net/Our Facebook pageshttps://www.facebook.com/forbiddenknowledgenewsconspiracy/https://www.facebook.com/FKNNetwork/Instagram @forbiddenknowledgenews1@forbiddenknowledgenetworkXhttps://x.com/ForbiddenKnow10?t=uO5AqEtDuHdF9fXYtCUtfw&s=09Email meforbiddenknowledgenews@gmail.comsome music thanks to:https://www.bensound.com/Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/forbidden-knowledge-news--3589233/support.

Breaking Math Podcast
90. LEAN Theorem Provers used to model Physics and Chemistry

Breaking Math Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 16, 2024 46:51


Breaking Math WebsiteBreaking Math Email:  BreakingMathPodcast@gmail.comEmail us for copies of the transcript! Resources on the LEAN theorem prover and programming language can be found at the bottom of the show notes (scroll to the bottom). SummaryThis episode is inspired by a correspondence the Breaking Math Podcast had with the editors of Digital Discovery, a journal by the Royal Society of Chemistry.  In this episode the hosts review a paper about how the Lean Interactive Theorem Prover, which is usually used as a tool in creating mathemtics proofs, can be used to create rigorous and robust models in physics and chemistry.  The paper is titled Formalizing chemical physics using the Lean Theorem prover and can be found in Digital Discovery, a journal with the Royal Society of Chemistry.  Also -  we have a brand new member of the Brekaing Math Team!  This episode is the debut episode for Autumn, CEO of Cosmo Labs, occasional co-host / host of the Breaking Math Podcast, and overall contributor who has been working behind the scenes on the podcast on branding and content for the last several months. Welcome Autumn!  Autumn and Gabe discuss how the paper explores the use of interactive theorem provers to ensure the accuracy of scientific theories and make them machine-readable. The episode discusses the limitations and potential of interactive theorem provers and highlights the themes of precision and formal verification in scientific knowledge.  This episode also provide resources (listed below) for listeners intersted in learning more about working with the LEAN interactive theorem prover.  TakeawaysInteractive theorem provers can revolutionize the way scientific theories are formulated and verified, ensuring mathematical certainty and minimizing errors.Interactive theorem provers require a high level of mathematical knowledge and may not be accessible to all scientists and engineers.Formal verification using interactive theorem provers can eliminate human error and hidden assumptions, leading to more confident and reliable scientific findings.Interactive theorem provers promote clear communication and collaboration across disciplines by forcing explicit definitions and minimizing ambiguities in scientific language. Lean Theorem Provers enable scientists to construct modular and reusable proofs, accelerating the pace of knowledge acquisition.Formal verification presents challenges in terms of transforming informal proofs into a formal language and bridging the reality gap.Integration of theorem provers and machine learning has the potential to enhance creativity, verification, and usefulness of machine learning models.The limitations and variables in formal verification require rigorous validation against experimental data to ensure real-world accuracy.Lean Theorem Provers have the potential to provide unwavering trust, accelerate innovation, and increase accessibility in scientific research.AI as a scientific partner can automate the formalization of informal theories and suggest new conjectures, revolutionizing scientific exploration.The impact of Lean Theorem Provers on humanity includes a shift in scientific validity, rapid scientific breakthroughs, and democratization of science.Continuous expansion of mathematical libraries in Lean Theorem Provers contributes to the codification of human knowledge.Resources are available for learning Lean Theorem Proving, including textbooks, articles, videos, and summer programs.Resrouces / Links:  Email Professor Tyler Josephson about summer REU undergraduate opportunities at the University of Maryland Baltimore (or online!) at tjo@umbc.edu.  See below Professor Tyler Josephson's links on learnnig more about LEANThe Natural Number Game:  Start in a world without math, unlock tactics and collect theorems until you can beat a 'boss' level and prove that 2+2=4, and go further.  Free LEAN Texbook and CourseProfessor Josephson's most-recommended resource for beginners learning Lean - a free online course and textbook from Prof. Heather Macbeth at Fordham University. Quanta Magazine articles on LeanProf. Kevin Buzzard of Imperial College London's lecture on LEAN interactive theorem prover and the future of mathematics. Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/breaking-math-podcast--5545277/support.

Establish The Run
Levitan's Solo Pod: Best Ball Porno, Big DFS Announcement, and Death Bed Theorem (Episode 620)

Establish The Run

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2023 22:28


The NFL's regular season starts this Thursday. Adam Levitan is back with another solo pod to talk Week 1, a certain explicit video that has been circulating the best ball world, an important announcement, and more. In this episode, we discuss: Best Ball Brunch Week 1 ETR's projections Listener questions Much more Links mentioned in the episode: Levitan: How to Win DraftKings' Milly Maker in 2023 Silva's Top 150 ETR's NFL In-Season Player Props Package Timestamps: (0:25) - The NFL season approaches(8:18) - ETR's projections(10:03) - Listener Questions WE CAN HELP: Tired of attention-seeking hot takes? Get the highest-quality analysis in fantasy football in your inbox, FREE. Join our email list today and we'll send you a FREE PDF copy of our 10 Late-Round RB Targets for 2023: https://bit.ly/establishtherun SPORTSBOOK OFFERS: We've partnered with several major sportsbook outlets to help supply you with the best offers in the industry and ensure you're maximizing your bankroll from the start: https://establishtherun.com/offers/ Want ETR on your team this season?  Our 2023 DRAFT KIT has you covered with: Silva's Top 150 and Tiers for Drafting Continuously Updated Rankings for Every Format Sleepers and Busts Best Ball, Dynasty, and Season-Long Props (Draft Kit Pro) And tons more! All in one place. Subscribe now at https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/ $100 BONUS: Looking to play Best Ball on Underdog? If you don't have an Underdog account yet, use promo code “ETR” for a first deposit match up to $100. SIGN-UP LINK: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run DFS OPTIMIZER: We have launched a new tools company called THE SOLVER.​​ THE SOLVER will not have any content - just the software we think fantasy players need to win.​ ​Check it out: https://thesolver.com/?ref=etr FOLLOW US: Check out our social media channels for FREE fantasy football & DFS videos, analysis, and more: https://linktr.ee/establishtherun

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
241 | Tim Maudlin on Locality, Hidden Variables, and Quantum Foundations

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 26, 2023 93:55 Very Popular


Last year's Nobel Prize for experimental tests of Bell's Theorem was the first Nobel in the foundations of quantum mechanics since Max Born in 1954. Quantum foundations is enjoying a bit of a resurgence, inspired in part by improving quantum technology but also by a realization that understanding quantum mechanics might help with other problems in physics (and be important in its own right). Tim Maudlin is a leading philosopher of physics and also a skeptic of the Everett interpretation. We discuss the logic behind hidden-variable approaches such as Bohmian mechanics, and also the broader question of the importance of the foundations of physics.Support Mindscape on Patreon.Blog post with transcript: https://www.preposterousuniverse.com/podcast/2023/06/26/241-tim-maudlin-on-locality-hidden-variables-and-quantum-foundations/Tim Maudlin received his Ph.D. in philosophy from the University of Pittsburgh. He is currently a professor of philosophy at New York University. He is a member of the Academie Internationale de Philosophie des Sciences and the Foundational Questions Institute (FQXi). He has been a Guggenheim Fellow. He is the founder and director of the John Bell Institute for the Foundations of Physics in Croatia.Web siteNYU web pageGoogle Scholar publicationsPhilPeople profileAmazon author pageWikipediaContribute to the John Bell Institute!See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.