Podcasts about Probability

Science has an incredibly impressive track record of uncovering nonintuitive ideas about the universe that turn out to be surprisingly accurate. It can be tempting to think of scientific discoveries as being carefully constructed atop a rock-solid foundation. In reality, scientific progress is tentative and fallible. Scientists propose models, assign them probabilities, and run tests to see whether they succeed or fail. In cosmologist Andrew Jaffe's new book, The Random Universe, he illustrates how models and probability help us make sense of the cosmos.Blog post with transcript: https://www.preposterousuniverse.com/podcast/2025/11/10/335-andrew-jaffe-on-models-probability-and-the-universe/Support Mindscape on Patreon.Andrew Jaffe received his Ph.D. in physics from the University of Chicago. He is currently a professor of astrophysics and cosmology and Director of the Imperial Centre for Inference and Cosmology at Imperial College, London. His research lies at the intersection of theoretical and observational cosmology, including the Planck Surveyor, Euclid, LISA, and Simons Observatory collaborations.Web siteImperial web pageGoogle Scholar publicationsAmazon author pageSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

In this episode, Ricardo discusses the role of luck and probability in project management. He explains that while luck can influence outcomes, it favors those who are prepared. Probability, he says, is not a prediction but a decision-making tool that helps manage uncertainty. Effective project managers turn randomness into results through preparation: identifying risks, creating contingency plans, defining triggers, and building buffers. Ricardo also warns against hindsight bias, which makes us underestimate luck after success. He recommends modeling uncertainty with scenarios, using simulations for high-risk decisions, protecting the critical path with buffers, and designing flexibility into projects. True management, he concludes, is not about eliminating luck but shaping how it affects outcomes—turning uncertainty into smarter choices and opportunities. Listen to the podcast to learn more!

Ahmad Fouad Alkhatib discusses the high probability of renewed conflict in Gaza, arguing that the ceasefire is fragile due to Hamas's malign intentions. He estimates Hamas's combat-effective forces are significantly lower than reported (3,000 to 5,000, versus 15,000 to 30,000), noting Hamas pays fighters $20 to $25 a day. He also challenges polls showing widespread Gazan support for Hamas, arguing such results are manipulated and defy logic given the catastrophe following October 7. Disarmament is crucial for any future political process. 1917

Ahmad Fouad Alkhatib discusses the high probability of renewed conflict in Gaza, arguing that the ceasefire is fragile due to Hamas's malign intentions. He estimates Hamas's combat-effective forces are significantly lower than reported (3,000 to 5,000, versus 15,000 to 30,000), noting Hamas pays fighters $20 to $25 a day. He also challenges polls showing widespread Gazan support for Hamas, arguing such results are manipulated and defy logic given the catastrophe following October 7. Disarmament is crucial for any future political process. 1898

RenMac discusses rising layoff signals and a Fed seemingly blind to softening labor data, Trump's tariff maneuvering and how SCOTUS and Congress may (or may not) push back, the disconnect between affordability concerns and political rhetoric, and what 52-week highs and lows are signaling about market breadth. They also explore why crypto's stalling, the shutdown's drag on economic visibility, and the myth of recession-proof secular bull markets.

Send us a textWELCOME TO THE NEWEST EPISODE OF THE DYNASTY DNA DEEP DIVE PODCAST ON THE DYNASTY DNA PODCASTING NETWORK!! This show features the Host of The Dynasty DNA Podcast TJ Blake, Dynasty DNA Team Member Bob Helfert (AKA Big Bob) and Dynasty DNA team member Noah Hutchinson (AKA SLIM)! In this episode the guys talk about mid season player improvement probability? We discuss things such as will the Cardinal QB change unlock Marvin Harrison Jr? We also talk about what does the Jakobi Meyers trade mean for Travis Hunter potentially? Lastly, is Rico Dowdle worth trading a 2026 1st for as a contender! It's a great episode so tune in with us, have a few laughs, and let's get you on your way to dynasty championship in 2025 it all begins because the 2025 season is here and upon us!Join The DNA Strand Crew on Discord Free to Join Just Click This Link!!https://discord.gg/rFAyWzn8Join the DNA Strand Crew on Twitterhttps://mobile.twitter.com/DynastyDNA_Subscribe to The Dynasty DNA YouTube Channel(9) Dynasty DNA Fantasy Football Podcast - YouTubeFollow The DNA Guys On TwitterTJ Blake https://twitter.com/TJBlakeDNABob Helfert Bob Helfert (@BigefatBob) / X

UK Property Market Weekly Update - Week 43, 2025 Myself and Alice Bullard, boss lady of Nested, look at the UK property market for the week ending Sunday 2nd October 2025. ✅ New Listings * 27.5k new properties came to market this week, down as expected from 29.3k last week. * 2025 weekly average: 35.6k. * Nine year week 43 average :29.1k * Year-to-date (YTD): 1.53m new listings, 1.5% higher than 2024 YTD (1.51m) and 9.1% above the 2017–19 average (1.40m) ✅ Price Reductions * 18.3k reductions this week, lower as expected, than last week's at 21.3k. * Increase in the number of homes on the market being reduced in September to 14.1% (these stats are always done a month in arrears). In August, it was 11.1% (everyone must have been on holiday!), whilst it was 14.1% in July and 14% in June. (October figures to follow next week) * 2025 average so far: 13.2%, versus the five-year long-term average of 10.74%. ✅ Sales Agreed * 23.5k homes sold subject to contract this week, down as expected from 24.2k last week. * Week 43 average (for last 9 years) :23.8k * 2025 weekly average : 26k. * YTD: 1.116m gross sales, which is 4.2% ahead of 2024 (1.071m) and 12.5% above the 2017–19 average (992k). ✅ Price Diff between Listings & Sales * Average Asking Price of listings last week £398k vs Average asking price of Sales Agreed (SSTC) - £358k - a 11.2% difference (long term 9 year average is 16% to 17%)… * The average listing price has dropped from £452k in Sept to £415k in October.. ie fewer expensive homes being listed ✅ Sell-Through Rate * 14.1% of homes on agents' books went SSTC in September. (October figures to follow in November) * Down from 14.5% in Aug, 15.4% in July, 15.3% in June, and 16.1% in May. * Pre-Covid average: 15.5%. ✅ Fall-Throughs * 5,278 fall-throughs last week (pipeline of 510k home Sold STC). * Weekly average for 2025: 6,181. * Fall-through rate: 24.2%, slightly down from 24.3% last week. * Long-term average: 24.2% (post-Truss chaos saw levels exceed 40%). ✅ Net Sales * 18.2k net sales this week, down (as expected) from 18.3k last week. * Nine-year Week 43 average: 17.9k. * Weekly average for 2025: 19.8k. * YTD: 850k, which is 3.6% ahead of 2024 (821k) and 9.5% above 2017–19 (776k). ✅ Probability of Selling (% that Exchange vs withdrawal) * Final September Stats : 53.1% of homes that left agents' books exchanged & completed in September. October ones to follow next week * August :55.8% / July: 50.9% / June: 51.3% / May: 51.7% / April: 53.2%. ✅ Stock Levels * 751k homes on the market at the start of October, 4% higher than October 2024. (723k) * 510k homes in sales pipeline on the 1st October, 2% higher than 12 months ago.

Bookwaves/Artwaves is produced and hosted by Richard Wolinsky. Links to assorted local theater & book venues   Chelsea Quinn Yarbro (1942-2025) Tanith Lee (1947-2015) This program honors two master practitioners of horror, fantasy and science fiction, Chelsea Quinn Yarbro and Tanith Lee, with two interviews back to back. In the first, in 1983, Tanith Lee is interviewed by Chelsea Quinn Yarbro. In the second, in 1979, Chelsea Quinn Yarbro is interviewed by Richard Wolinsky.  Chelsea Quinn Yarbro, who died on August 31, 2025 at the age of 82, was best known for her historical horror novels featuring the vampire the Count Saint.-Germain. Along the way, she wrote in several genres, including science fiction and westerns, and wrote over seventy novels, along with several short stories. Along with her writing, which includes a series of books about a channeler,  titled Messages from Michael, she was a cartographer, palm reader, and composer. In 2009, she received the Bram Stoker Lifetime Achievement Award from the Horror Writers Association. She also wrote novels under several pseudonyms. In this podcast, Chelsea Quinn Yarbro joins Richard A. Lupoff to speak with Tanith Lee. In the second interview, she talks about her vampire hero. Count Saint-Germain, and about writing historical horror fiction. It was recorded shortly after her second San Germain novel, The Palace, was published, which would put it in late 1978 or early 1979..   Tanith Lee, who died of breast cancer in 2015 at the age of 67, also wrote fantasy, science fiction and horror, and her work is considered to be similar and a forerunner of the work of Neil Gaiman. She received a lifetime achievement award from the World Horror Convention in 2013. Nominated for several awards for her novels and short stories, she won the 1980 British Fantasy Award for her novel, Death's Master. In this first undated tnterview from Probabilities, most likely recorded at BayCon in San Jose in November 1983, Tanith Lee is interviewed by Chelsea Quinn Yarbro and Richard A. Lupoff. This is the only interview conducted by Quinn Yarbro for Probabilities. Tanith Lee's novel set during the French Revolution was eventually retitled The Gods Are Thirsty, and was finally published in 1996. You've been listening to an interview with Tanith Lee, conducted by Chelsea Quinn Yarbro and Richard A. Lupoff for the Probabilities radio program on KPFA. It was digitized, remastered and edited on September 24. 2025. Review of “Stereophonic” at BroadwaySFCurran Theatre through November 23, 2025   Book Interview/Events and Theatre Links Note: Shows may unexpectedly close early or be postponed due to actors' positive COVID tests. Check the venue for closures, ticket refunds, and mask requirements before arrival. Dates are in-theater performances unless otherwise noted. Some venues operate Tuesday – Sunday; others for shorter periods each week. All times Pacific Time. Closing dates are sometimes extended. Book Stores Bay Area Book Festival  See website for highlights from the 110th Annual Bay Area Book Festival, May 31 – June 1, 2025. Book Passage.  Monthly Calendar. Mix of on-line and in-store events. Books Inc.  Mix of on-line and in-store events. The Booksmith.  Monthly Event Calendar. BookShop West Portal. Monthly Event Calendar. Center for Literary Arts, San Jose. See website for Book Club guests in upcoming months. Green Apple Books. Events calendar. Kepler's Books  On-line Refresh the Page program listings. Live Theater Companies Actors Ensemble of Berkeley.  See website for readings and events. Actor's Reading Collective (ARC).  Mary Jane by Amy Herzog, directed by Amy Kossow, November 6 – 30, Magic Theatre, Fort Mason. African American Art & Culture Complex. See website for calendar. American Conservatory Theatre  Stereophonic (in association with BroadwaySF, at the Curran), Oct 28 – Nov 23. Awesome Theatre Company. See website for information. Berkeley Playhouse. Annie. November 7- December 21. Once, February 20 – March 22.  Berkeley Rep. The Hills of California .by Jez Butterworth, Oct. 31 – Dec. 7, Roda Theatre. Mother of Exiles by Jessica Huang, World Premiere, Nov. 14 – Dec. 32, Peets Theatre. Berkeley Shakespeare Company The Tempest, Oct. 24 – Nov. 2,  Immersive theatre. Point Montara Lighthouse. Brava Theatre Center: See calendar for events listings. BroadwaySF: Stereophonic (in association with ACT), Oct 28 – Nov 23, Curran. See website for complete listings for the Orpheum, Golden Gate and Curran Theaters. Broadway San Jose:  Kinky Boots, Nov. 28-30. See website for other events. Center REP: The Woman in Black, U.S. Tour, November 5-23.. Central Stage. See website for upcoming productions, 5221 Central Avenue, Richmond Central Works Dada Teen Musical: The Play by Maury Zeff, Oct. 18 – Nov. 16, Cinnabar Theatre. Young Rep: Disney's The Little Mermaid, November 14-23, Studio Space, Petaluma Outlet Mall. Club Fugazi. Dear San Francisco ongoing. Check website for Music Mondays listings. Contra Costa Civic Theatre Ebenezer Scrooge, an adaptation of “A Christmas Carol” by Joel Roster, December 6 –  21. . See website for other events. Golden Thread  Pilgrimage by Humaira Ghilzal and Bridgette Dutta Portman, a co-production with Z Space, October 24 – November 8, Z Space's Steindler Stage. Hillbarn Theatre: Murder for Two, a musical comedy, October 9 – November 2, 2025. Lorraine Hansberry Theatre. See website for upcoming productions. Los Altos Stage Company. Freaky Friday, The Musical. October 24 – November 2. A Christmas Carol, November  28 – December 21.. Lower Bottom Playaz  August Wilson's King Hedley II, November 8 -30. BAM House, Oakland. Magic Theatre. Actors Reading Collective: Mary Jane by Amy Herzog, directed by Amy Kossow, November 6 – 30, See website for other events and productions. Marin Shakespeare Company: See website for events and productions. Marin Theatre: Sally and Tom by Suzan-Lori Parks. October 30 – November 23. The Lightning Thief, MSC Teen Company, November 7 -9. Mission Cultural Center for Latino Arts Upcoming Events Page. New Conservatory Theatre Center (NCTC)  Spanish Stew by Marga Gomez, October 17 – November 23. New Performance Traditions.  See website for upcoming schedule Oakland Theater Project. Cabaret, November 21 – December 14. Odd Salon: Upcoming events in San Francisco & New York, and streaming. Palace of Fine Arts Theater.  See website for event listings. Pear Theater. Ada & The Engine  by Lauren Gunderson, November 21 – December 7. See website for staged readings and other events. Playful People Productions. Newsies, November 8-16. Presidio Theatre. Peter Pan Panto, Nov. 29 – Dec. 28. See website for complete schedule of events and performances. Ray of Light: The Rocky Horror Show. October 9 – November 1, The Oasis. Ross Valley Players: See website for New Works Sunday night readings and other events. San Francisco Playhouse. Noises Off by Michael Frayn. September 25 – November 8. SFBATCO.  See website for upcoming streaming and in- theater shows. San Jose Stage Company: See website for events and upcoming season Shotgun Players.  Sunday in the Park with George, November 15 – December 30. South Bay Musical Theatre:  Let It Snow: A Broadway Holiday Celebration, December 20-21, Little Women, The Broadway Musical, January 24 – February 14, 2026. SPARC: See website for upcoming events. Stagebridge: See website for events and productions. Storytime every 4th Saturday. The Breath Project. Streaming archive. The Marsh: Calendar listings for Berkeley, San Francisco and Marshstream. Theatre Lunatico Frankenstein, October 11 – November 2. Theatre Rhino  The Break-Up written and performed by Tina D'Elia, November 6-23. Streaming: Essential Services Project, conceived and performed by John Fisher, all weekly performances now available on demand. TheatreWorks Silicon Valley. A Driving Beat by Jordan Ramirez Puckett, Oct 29 – Nov. 23, . Mountain View Center for the Performing Arts Second Stage.Georgiana & Kitty, Christmas at Pemberley by Lauren Gunderson and Margot Melcon, Dec. 3 – 28, Lucie Stern Theatre. Word for Word.  See website for upcoming productions. Misc. Listings: BAMPFA: On View calendar for Berkeley Art Museum and Pacific Film Archive. Berkeley Symphony: See website for listings. Chamber Music San Francisco: Calendar, 2025 Season. Dance Mission Theatre. On stage events calendar. Fort Mason Center. Events calendar. Oregon Shakespeare Festival: Calendar listings and upcoming shows. San Francisco Gay Men's Chorus. See schedule for upcoming SFGMC performances. San Francisco Opera. Calendar listings. San Francisco Symphony. Calendar listings. Filmed Live Musicals: Searchable database of all filmed live musicals, podcast, blog. If you'd like to add your bookstore or theater venue to this list, please write Richard@kpfa.org   The post November 6, 2025: Tanith Lee & Chelsea Quinn Yabro, Virtuosos of Horror and Fantasy appeared first on KPFA.

Clinical psychologist and author Dr. Diana Hill joins Gabby to explore how to channel your energy with intention and align your strengths for greater clarity and purpose. While discussing her new book Wise Effort, she explains to Gabby and the audience that each of us has a “genius” that we haven't yet tapped into. Drawing on mindfulness and behavioral science, Diana shares how to move from striving to wise effort by knowing when to push, when to pause, and how to focus your time on what truly matters. Together they discuss self compassion, discipline and how to cultivate balance while pursuing meaningful goals. Dr. Diana Hill Instagram https://www.instagram.com/drdianahill/ Dr. Diana Hill Facebook https://www.facebook.com/drdianahill/ Dr. Diana Hill Linkedin https://www.linkedin.com/in/drdianahill/  Dr. Diana Hill Website https://drdianahill.com/ Thank You to Our Sponsors Timeline - My friends at Timeline are offering 20% off, just for my listeners. Head to timeline.com/gabby to get started. Ritual - Get 25% off your first month at ritual.com/GABBY Get 10% off TUSHY with the code GABBY10 at https://hellotushy.com/GABBY10 For more on Gabby Instagram @GabbyReece: https://www.instagram.com/gabbyreece/ TikTok @GabbyReeceOfficial https://www.tiktok.com/@gabbyreeceofficial The Gabby Reece Show Podcast on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@GabbyReece  The Gabby Reece Show podcast is produced by Rainbow Creative (https://www.rainbowcreative.co/)  Chapters 00:00 Introduction and Today's Message 00:26 Guest Introduction: Diana Hill 00:48 Sponsor Message: Timeline Longevity Gummies 02:57 Diana Hill's New Book: Wise Effort 05:46 Diana's Personal Journey and Struggles 06:34 The Myth of Persephone and Personal Genius 08:05 Understanding and Managing Personal Traits 12:08 The Role of Supportive Relationships 14:08 Finding Balance and Self-Acceptance 34:47 Curiosity and Its Importance 37:44 Navigating Grief with Curiosity 39:06 The Rise of Openness in Psychology 40:42 The Tushy Bidet Experience 42:48 Understanding Wise Effort 50:51 Compassion vs. Empathy 58:32 Possibility vs. Probability 01:04:11 Final Thoughts and Reflections Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

I believe the difference between living within limits and unlocking your true potential comes down to one thing: mindset. In this video, I explore the intersection of probability and possibility, showing how your perspective can shift what feels impossible into achievable results. You'll discover practical strategies to overcome fear, build confidence, and create positive habits that support personal growth and success.From real-life stories of resilience to proven mindset coaching strategies, I'll share how you can reprogram limiting beliefs and start living with purpose and intention. Too often, we live inside probabilities, statistics that keep us safe, but the real breakthroughs come when we embrace possibilities. If you're ready for personal transformation, confidence building, and a mindset reset, this episode will help you step into your full potential.Whether you're focused on career growth, self-discipline, or simply becoming your best self, these lessons will help you unlock the resilience and clarity needed to succeed. Remember, probabilities may keep you comfortable, but possibilities are where growth and fulfillment live. Watch until the end for mindset strategies you can apply today to elevate your personal and professional life.Key Takeaways ✅ Possibility begins where probability ends ✅ Most people stay stuck in limits that don't exist ✅ A bold mindset opens doors to healing, growth, and success ✅ Personal stories can ignite massive inner change ✅ Resilience is a choice, not a trait ✅ Growth means rejecting the status quo ✅ Believing in yourself is the foundation of possibility ✅ Your life can exceed logic when you shift your mindset

We talk about Xmen 97   Probability simulator etc: https://owens.dev/   Our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/jsaclix Have you heard of http://ClixNexus.com? Clixnexus.com Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/clixnexus Dishin' Up Clix Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/DishinUpClix Dial H: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCRFVQVhJX6evub-SvQyLtMg Dice Station Zebra: https://www.youtube.com/@DiceStationZebra Check out some Roll20 tutorials here: Happy Little Heroclix - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wPJBi-PNiW4 Emily - http://withemily.ca/roll20-for-heroclix-tutorial-set-up-play-tips/

Clive Barker in conversation with Richard Wolinsky, Richard A. Lupoff and Lawrence Davidson, recorded at Dark Carnival Bookstore in Berkeley October 21, 1988 while promoting the film “Hellbound: Hellraiser II.” Digitized, remastered and lightly edited October 25-26, 2025 and not heard for over thirty-five years. Clive Barker burst on the horror scene in 1985 with his collection of short stories, Books of Blood. He cemented his reputation in the years that followed with horror and fantasy novels, and with the films Hellraiser and Candyman and their sequels. His career stopped dead in its tracks in 2012 after a visit to his dentist's office resulted in a coma. While he recovered and is still alive, no new books have seen the light of day since a novella, Chiliad, a Meditation was published in a limited edition in 2014. The Probabilities crew, Richard A. Lupoff, Lawrence Davidson and Richard Wolinsky interviewed Clive three times. The first interview, conducted in the KPFA studios in September 1987 was digitized and uploaded to Radio Wolinsky in October 2022. This, the second interview, was recorded on October 21, 1988 in front of a small audience at Dark Carnival Bookstore in Berkeley. Clive was in town to promote his film Hellbound: Hellraiser II, and the interview, which feels more like a modern day podcast, focuses on his troubles avoiding an X rating for his film, along with discussing his most recent book, Cabal, which featured a novella of the same name plus a handful of short stories. No complete version of this interview has ever aired. The third interview with Clive Barker, from 1992, has yet to be digitized. 1987 interview with Clive Barker NOTES: Clive Barker's film Hellbound: Hellraiser II was followed by Hellraiser III: Hell on Earth, several video games and eventually a remake in 2022, in which he is listed as producer. Several of his other stories were later adapted. His book The Art was eventually published as the two volume Books of the Art, The Great and Secret Show, often considered his finest work, and Everville. The film Nightbreed came out in 1989 and flopped, so no sequels were made. While no books have been published since 2014, he was interviewed in 2024 saying that he was working on several projects that are still forthcoming. IMDb says that a Nightbreed television series is in the works. The post The Probabilities Archive: Clive Barker, Master of Horror and Fantasy, “Hellbound: Hellraiser II,” 1988 appeared first on KPFA.

Kyle Austin Young is an award-winning strategy consultant for high achievers, entrepreneurs, and leaders in a wide range of fields joins Enterprise Radio. Listen … Read more The post Probability Hack to Better Your Odds of Start-Up Success with Kyle Austin Young appeared first on Top Entrepreneurs Podcast | Enterprise Podcast Network.

What if the only thing standing between where you are and where you could be is leadership? In today's bold and honest episode, Kevin and Alan break down the real difference between what's possible and what's probable, explaining why most people never bridge that gap. They challenge the myth that everyone's “doing their best” while revealing how effort, principle, and accountability shape real success. This isn't feel-good talk; it's a wake-up call to rise higher and lead yourself first. Stop guessing what you're capable of. Press play and find out.Episode Reference:Business Growth University - High Performers vs. Wannabes: The Mindset That Separates the Top 1% with Lauren Johnson (EP18) -  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UBUmR2RkpO8Learn more about:

Episode Description: When Charlene mysteriously vanishes “to Oz,” Max and Molly follow her back to 1876 Melbourne, Australia—just in time for a famous horse raise known as The Melbourne Cup. There, they meet 11-year-old jockey Peter St. Albans and his horse Briseis. As they calculate odds, distances, and speed, the trio learns a timeless lesson about choices, consequences, and doing what's right. Math Concepts: Understanding odds and probability (24 to 1 betting odds mean a $1 bet wins $24); Probability of winning; Unit conversions and measurement: Proportional reasoning and rate; Basic multiplication and addition.History/Geography Concepts:  The Melbourne Cup (Australia's major horse-racing event, first held in 1861); Historic jockey Peter St. Albans (Michael Bowden), the youngest to win the Melbourne Cup.

If we treat the universe as being filled with some kind of elastic solid, can we get any closer to understanding the nature of light and gravity as the product of physical processes, or is there still some deeper principle that needs to be uncovered before we can develop a unified theory of the universe? We dig into mass, light, electricity, and magnetism in context of the elastic Ether with Dr. Chantal Roth.PATREON https://www.patreon.com/c/demystifysciPARADIGM DRIFThttps://demystifysci.com/paradigm-drift-showHOMEBREW MUSIC - Check out our new album!Hard Copies (Vinyl): FREE SHIPPING https://demystifysci-shop.fourthwall.com/products/vinyl-lp-secretary-of-nature-everything-is-so-good-hereStreaming:https://secretaryofnature.bandcamp.com/album/everything-is-so-good-here00:00:00 Introduction to the Podcast & Elastic Ether00:03:15 Mass as Stored Elastic Energy00:10:03 Solitons in a Vibratory Universe00:12:52 Light & Electromagnetism as Elastic Deformations00:19:01 Mechanical Mapping of EM Theory00:19:56 Overview of Charge00:21:57 Charge as Atomic Interactions00:24:45 Battery Function & Charge Transfer00:27:41 Conceptual Models of Charge00:33:20 Spin-1/2 and Charge00:38:21 Atoms & Wave Behavior00:40:38 Atomic Structure via Vibrations00:44:46 Electrons & Quantum Transitions00:47:30 “Golden Rule” & Resonance00:51:00 Probability & Nature of Light Emission00:57:14 Space Expansion: Implications for Light & Matter01:00:16 Space Expansion & Doppler Effect01:03:03 Understanding Electromagnetic Waves01:06:01 Challenges in Physics Conversations01:09:20 Computational Thinking in Physics#electromagnetism , #quantumreality , #mechanicalmodels , #unifiedtheory , #spin , #maxwellequations , #theoreticalphysics , #cosmicexpansion , #atomicstructure , #newphysics MERCH: Rock some DemystifySci gear : https://demystifysci-shop.fourthwall.com/AMAZON: Do your shopping through this link: https://amzn.to/3YyoT98DONATE: https://bit.ly/3wkPqaDSUBSTACK: https://substack.com/@UCqV4_7i9h1_V7hY48eZZSLw@demystifysci RSS: https://anchor.fm/s/2be66934/podcast/rssMAILING LIST: https://bit.ly/3v3kz2S SOCIAL: - Discord: https://discord.gg/MJzKT8CQub- Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/groups/DemystifySci- Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/DemystifySci/- Twitter: https://twitter.com/DemystifySciMUSIC: -Shilo Delay: https://g.co/kgs/oty671

The UK economy presented a nuanced picture last week, with signs of stability tempered by persistent structural challenges. Inflation held steady at 3.8% year-on-year, below forecasts, fuelling speculation of a Bank of England (“BoE”) rate cut in December, with futures now pricing a 75% probability. However BoE officials remained cautious as Governor Andrew Bailey highlighted Brexit's drag on growth, while Monetary Policy Committee member Megan Greene resisted quarterly cuts. Economic data were mixed, with the Purchasing Managers' Index rising to a two-month high (51.1) and retail sales surprising positively, while borrowing hit a five-year peak and construction activity reached an 11-year low. Consumer sentiment improved slightly, but UK public inflation expectations over the next 12 months climbed to 4.2%, underscoring the BoE's delicate balancing act...Stocks featured:London Stock Exchange Group, Rentolkil Initial and FresnilloTo find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management's own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 226344) and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

When someone asks you about the average rate of return for indexed universal life insurance, you'll discover that average is actually a meaningless number. You need to understand the probability of hitting specific rates of return to make accurate projections about what might happen with your IUL policy. In this episode, we analyze 40 years of S&P 500 data using rolling periods from 1930 through 2024 to determine real probability outcomes for IUL policies. You'll learn how different cap rates, floor rates, participation rates, and spreads affect your expected returns. We examine scenarios ranging from 10.5% to 11.5% cap rates with various floor options to show you the trade-offs between guaranteed minimums and upside potential. You'll discover that removing floors in favor of higher caps generally produces better results, with probabilities showing an 86% chance of 7% net returns under certain conditions. We also explore newer IUL structures using participation rates and spreads rather than caps, revealing that 70% participation rates can deliver a 96% probability of 9% returns over 40 years. The analysis includes net rate of return calculations that account for fees, not just index credits. You'll understand why IUL serves as an enhanced fixed savings strategy rather than true market exposure. We compare these results to actual S&P 500 performance and explain how IUL can function as a de-risking component in your portfolio. _____________________ Ready to explore how IUL might fit into your financial strategy? Contact us to discuss your specific situation and learn more about indexed universal life insurance options.

Seattle is about to elect a 43-year-old mayoral candidate whose biggest qualifications are taking thousands from her parents to survive and busking with a guitar at Pike Place Market. Katie Wilson - a Democratic Socialist who's never held a job for more than a year or run a business - is leading in the polls to manage a $9 billion city budget. What could go wrong?We break down how this political train wreck mirrors the same pattern destroying cities nationwide: progressive activists with zero real-world experience pushing out businesses with their "tax the rich" fantasies while creating government-run grocery stores and alternatives to police. Meanwhile, Amazon fled Seattle for Bellevue, and kids can't afford housing because of layers of bureaucratic nonsense.Is this Seattle's "find out" moment after decades of voting for feel-good policies that drive up costs and crime? Will Gen Z voters learn what happens when you elect someone who can't even manage her own finances to run a major city? The popcorn is ready - this socialist experiment is about to deliver reality's harshest lesson yet.

Takeaways @josuevizcay We're 101 wins 50 losses 67% at minus 105 juice betting $1,000 a game. That's $45,000 profit. If we prove our performance 10 to 20%, we're talking 70%. We're getting close to 80%, which is the highest level of probability. The highest level of probability you can do in anything is 80%. Any sports betting podcast that says, hey, there's a stone cold lead pipe lock, that's bullshit. We're getting close to that, and that is where we want to be now in the million dollar contest. Understanding betting performance metrics is crucial for success. Realistic expectations in betting can lead to better decision-making. Probabilities in sports betting are often misunderstood by the public.

Dr. Emily Adlam is a philosopher of quantum physics who has just finished a book about the strangest feature of fundamental physics - the perennial confusion over what it means to make a measurement. We all know that quantum physics tells us that there's this strange thing, called wavefunction collapse, which transitions a system from being in a quantum state into being in a classical state. But what does it mean to make a measurement? And what does it mean to turn a system from a quantum one into a classical one? It turns out that no one really knows, and we spend this conversation trying to figure out how that could be possible, after more than a century of theorizing about the foundations of reality. PATREON https://www.patreon.com/c/demystifysciPARADIGM DRIFThttps://demystifysci.com/paradigm-drift-showHOMEBREW MUSIC - Check out our new album!Hard Copies (Vinyl): FREE SHIPPING https://demystifysci-shop.fourthwall.com/products/vinyl-lp-secretary-of-nature-everything-is-so-good-hereStreaming:https://secretaryofnature.bandcamp.com/album/everything-is-so-good-here00:00 Go! 00:04:30 Understanding the Measurement Problem 00:08:00 The Nature of Quantum Formalisms 00:11:30 Critiques of Many-Worlds Interpretation 00:17:00 The Many-Worlds Perspective and Its Popularity 00:20:41 Discussion on the Many Worlds Interpretation of Quantum Mechanics 00:21:39 Criticism of the Many Worlds Interpretation 00:23:41 Observer Dependent Interpretations in Quantum Mechanics 00:28:14 Implications of Quantum Interpretations 00:31:45 Primitive Ontology Interpretations 00:36:07 Challenges of Quantum Field Theory 00:41:27 Discussion on Quantum Measurement 00:44:12 Transactional Interpretation of Quantum Mechanics 00:48:58 Observational Limits in Quantum Physics 00:56:09 Challenges of Understanding Quantum Reality 01:02:20 Philosophical Implications of Quantum Mechanics 01:03:16 Discussion on Causality and Probability 01:09:05 Probabilistic Features of Nature 01:12:54 Mathematical vs. Visual Intuition in Quantum Mechanics 01:17:49 Relationship Between Quantum Phenomena and Macroscopic Effects 01:19:20 Proposed Revision to Quantum Epistemology 01:25:03 Exploration of Quantum Concepts 01:27:34 The Nature of Reality in Quantum Mechanics 01:30:12 Experimental vs. Theoretical Physics 01:34:22 Challenges in Testing Quantum Mechanics 01:36:19 Evolution of Epistemology in Quantum Physics 01:40:42 Implications for Broader Inquiry 01:44:37 Fundamental Questions on Mass and Gravity 01:47:03 The Interface of Relativity and Quantum Mechanics 01:48:27 Emergence and Relational Descriptions in Physics 01:49:55 Theoretical Physics Versus Experimental Collaboration 01:50:52 Resilience in Quantum Physics Understanding#quantumphysics, #philosophy, #metaphysics, #quantummechanics, #causality, #epistemology, #relativity, #cosmos, #consciousness, #paradigmshift , #rationality, #intellectual #philosophypodcast , #longformpodcastMERCH: Rock some DemystifySci gear : https://demystifysci-shop.fourthwall.com/AMAZON: Do your shopping through this link: https://amzn.to/3YyoT98DONATE: https://bit.ly/3wkPqaDSUBSTACK: https://substack.com/@UCqV4_7i9h1_V7hY48eZZSLw@demystifysci RSS: https://anchor.fm/s/2be66934/podcast/rssMAILING LIST: https://bit.ly/3v3kz2S SOCIAL: - Discord: https://discord.gg/MJzKT8CQub- Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/groups/DemystifySci- Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/DemystifySci/- Twitter: https://twitter.com/DemystifySciMUSIC: -Shilo Delay: https://g.co/kgs/oty671

Jon Taylor is an interdisciplinary scientist dedicated to the subject of anomalous phenomena related to cognition.He was born in Wakefield, England, and graduated from the University of Cambridge with an MA in Natural Sciences. He began his career in research and marketing within the field of scientific instruments. He then switched to consumer marketing and moved to Spain in 1976 to become International Marketing Director for wine producer Williams & Humbert Ltd., Jerez de la Frontera.Later, he joined the oil industry, and after engagement on contracts in Britain, Italy and Spain, he was transferred to the Middle East, where he served as Materials & Purchasing Manager for the National Drilling Company, Abu Dhabi.Taylor has always been intrigued by psychic phenomena, and when he returned to Spain in 1993, he started a full-time investigation of the physical and biological principles underlying precognition and intuition. His research continued for more than 25 years, during which he published in peer-reviewed academic journals and lectured to specialist audiences, as well as to the general public, in Britain and Europe.Taylor presented his theory of ESP in a lecture at the 56th Annual Convention of the Parapsychological Association (PA), held in Rome, Italy, in August 2013, and he described the theory in a paper titled “The Nature of Precognition” published in the Journal of Parapsychology, March 2014.He then applied his theory to explain intuition, and presented his research at the PA Convention in Paris, July 2019. He was also invited to participate in a workshop organized by the Institut Métapsychique International, in which 30 scientists from all over the world examined the theoretical aspects of psychic phenomena. The workshop was in celebration of the Centenary of the IMI. Taylor is a professional member of the PA, and member of several other organizations including the American Association for the Advancement of Science  and the Society for Scientific Exploration.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-x-zone-radio-tv-show--1078348/support.Please note that all XZBN radio and/or television shows are Copyright © REL-MAR McConnell Meda Company, Niagara, Ontario, Canada – www.rel-mar.com. For more Episodes of this show and all shows produced, broadcasted and syndicated from REL-MAR McConell Media Company and The 'X' Zone Broadcast Network and the 'X' Zone TV Channell, visit www.xzbn.net. For programming, distribution, and syndication inquiries, email programming@xzbn.net.We are proud to announce the we have launched TWATNews.com, launched in August 2025.TWATNews.com is an independent online news platform dedicated to uncovering the truth about Donald Trump and his ongoing influence in politics, business, and society. Unlike mainstream outlets that often sanitize, soften, or ignore stories that challenge Trump and his allies, TWATNews digs deeper to deliver hard-hitting articles, investigative features, and sharp commentary that mainstream media won't touch.These are stories and articles that you will not read anywhere else.Our mission is simple: to expose corruption, lies, and authoritarian tendencies while giving voice to the perspectives and evidence that are often marginalized or buried by corporate-controlled media

0:00 - Adam Schefter joined us this morning and rattled off some numbers that demonstrate just how improbably Denver's win over the Giants was yesterday.19:18 - Yesterday's Broncos win was a Rorschach Test. You can look at that game and have whatever takeaway you want, and you're right. Did you love the game? Did you hate the game? Did you feel all the emotions? No matter what you thought, you're right. 34:00 - For every game, ESPN has their "win probability" chart that changes throughout the game and shows the, you guessed it, probability that either team will win. The chart was INSANE during the 4th quarter of the Broncos game yesterday. It jumped around all over the place, and the odds were never in Denver's favor...until they won. 

This episode, University of Edinburgh PhD candidate Mia Belle Frothingham chats with Dr Christopher Cowie, philosopher and associate professor at the University of Durham. We talk about Chris's interesting work in the intersection between philosophy and astrobiology, what's behind some claims of alien spacecraft in recent news, and how astrobiologists should adopt a different framework for the search for life.

UK Property Market Weekly Update - Week 40, 2025 Welcome to the 40th UK Property Market Stats Show of 2025, your weekly YouTube ‘TV programme' on the UK housing market. This week, I'm joined by Iain White, ex Romans boss and Estate Agency Coach & Thought leader, as we unpack the key headlines from Week 40 (ending Sunday 12th October 2025). ▶️ Watch on YouTube: 
https://youtu.be/pdI9zsr-fq4

In this episode, Geoff discusses the importance of understanding probabilities when calling coyotes and how it affects many aspects from land access, setups, time on stand, volume & sound selections. Hornady: https://bit.ly/Hornady-Eastmans Kryptek: https://bit.ly/Kryptek-Eastmans Lucky Duck Predator Calls: https://bit.ly/LuckyDuck-Eastmans onX hunt: https://bit.ly/onXHunt-Eastmans SigSauer: https://bit.ly/SIGSAUER-Eastmans Silencer Central: https://bit.ly/SilencerCentral-Eastmans

Back to basics baby. We're doing a couple introductory episodes on Popper's philosophy of science, following Chapter 10 of Conjectures and Refutations. We start with Popper's theory of content: what makes a good scientific theory? Can we judge some theories as better than others before we even run any empirical tests? Should we be looking for theories with high probability? Ben and Vaden also return to their roots in another way, and get into a nice little fight about how content relates to Bayesianism. We discuss Vaden's skin care routine If you find your friend's lost watch and proceed to lose it, are you responsible for the watch? Empirical vs logical content Whether and how content can be measured and compared How content relates to probability Quotes My aim in this lecture is to stress the significance of one particular aspect of science—its need to grow, or, if you like, its need to progress. I do not have in mind here the practical or social significance of this need. What I wish to discuss is rather its intellectual significance. I assert that continued growth is essential to the rational and empirical character of scientific knowledge; that if science ceases to grow it must lose that character. It is the way of its growth which makes science rational and empirical; the way, that is, in which scientists discriminate between available theories and choose the better one or (in the absence of a satisfactory theory) the way they give reasons for rejecting all the available theories, thereby suggesting some of the conditions with which a satisfactory theory should comply. You will have noticed from this formulation that it is not the accumulation of observations which I have in mind when I speak of the growth of scientific knowledge, but the repeated overthrow of scien- tific theories and their replacement by better or more satisfactory ones. This, incidentally, is a procedure which might be found worthy of attention even by those who see the most important aspect of the growth of scientific knowledge in new experiments and in new observations. - C&R p. 291 Thus it is my first thesis that we can know of a theory, even before it has been tested, that if it passes certain tests it will be better than some other theory. My first thesis implies that we have a criterion of relative potential satisfactoriness, or of potential progressiveness, which can be applied to a theory even before we know whether or not it will turn out, by the passing of some crucial tests, to be satisfactory in fact. This criterion of relative potential satisfactoriness (which I formu- lated some time ago,2 and which, incidentally, allows us to grade the- ories according to their degree of relative potential satisfactoriness) is extremely simple and intuitive. It characterizes as preferable the theory which tells us more; that is to say, the theory which contains the greater amount of empirical information or content; which is logically stronger; which has the greater explanatory and predictive power; and which can therefore be more severely tested by comparing predicted facts with observations. In short, we prefer an interesting, daring, and highly informative theory to a trivial one. - C&R p.294 Let a be the statement ‘It will rain on Friday'; b the statement ‘It willbe fine on Saturday'; and ab the statement ‘It will rain on Friday and itwill be fine on Saturday': it is then obvious that the informative contentof this last statement, the conjunction ab, will exceed that of its com-ponent a and also that of its component b. And it will also be obviousthat the probability of ab (or, what is the same, the probability that abwill be true) will be smaller than that of either of its components. Writing Ct(a) for ‘the content of the statement a', and Ct(ab) for ‘thecontent of the conjunction a and b', we have (1) Ct(a) = Ct(b). This contrasts with the corresponding law of the calculus of probability, (2) p(a) >= p(ab)

Discover all of the podcasts in our network, search for specific episodes, get the Optimal Living Daily workbook, and learn more at: OLDPodcast.com. Episode 3318: Darrow Kirkpatrick unpacks the real distinction in retirement income strategies, not between risk and safety, but between who manages the risk, you or an insurance company. He argues for a flexible, hybrid approach that evolves over time, matching both your temperament and life circumstances, rather than locking into an all-or-nothing decision early on. Read along with the original article(s) here: https://www.caniretireyet.com/are-you-feeling-lucky-the-two-schools-of-retirement-income/ Quotes to ponder: “‘Probability-based' and ‘safety-first' label the extremes in retirement planning.” “The real distinction is whether (market and longevity) risk is transferred or retained, and if retained how those risks are managed or avoided.” “Once you buy an annuity, you own that decision for life.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This show, we preview the Eastern Conference and give our win predictions. We will do an in-depth Pacers Preview next week. Go Pacers!Links1. Vegas O/U2. Patreon

Discover all of the podcasts in our network, search for specific episodes, get the Optimal Living Daily workbook, and learn more at: OLDPodcast.com. Episode 3318: Darrow Kirkpatrick unpacks the real distinction in retirement income strategies, not between risk and safety, but between who manages the risk, you or an insurance company. He argues for a flexible, hybrid approach that evolves over time, matching both your temperament and life circumstances, rather than locking into an all-or-nothing decision early on. Read along with the original article(s) here: https://www.caniretireyet.com/are-you-feeling-lucky-the-two-schools-of-retirement-income/ Quotes to ponder: “‘Probability-based' and ‘safety-first' label the extremes in retirement planning.” “The real distinction is whether (market and longevity) risk is transferred or retained, and if retained how those risks are managed or avoided.” “Once you buy an annuity, you own that decision for life.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Discover all of the podcasts in our network, search for specific episodes, get the Optimal Living Daily workbook, and learn more at: OLDPodcast.com. Episode 3318: Darrow Kirkpatrick unpacks the real distinction in retirement income strategies, not between risk and safety, but between who manages the risk, you or an insurance company. He argues for a flexible, hybrid approach that evolves over time, matching both your temperament and life circumstances, rather than locking into an all-or-nothing decision early on. Read along with the original article(s) here: https://www.caniretireyet.com/are-you-feeling-lucky-the-two-schools-of-retirement-income/ Quotes to ponder: “‘Probability-based' and ‘safety-first' label the extremes in retirement planning.” “The real distinction is whether (market and longevity) risk is transferred or retained, and if retained how those risks are managed or avoided.” “Once you buy an annuity, you own that decision for life.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Cognitive scientist and author Donald Hoffman returns to share discoveries reshaping how we understand perception, consciousness, and reality itself. Drawing from evolutionary game theory and quantum physics, he reveals why we don't see the world as it truly is—and what that means for science, spirituality, and awareness. Hoffman bridges rigorous mathematics with timeless wisdom, showing how awakening to truth means seeing through the interface of perception to what lies beyond.15% off Bon Charge order (Code KNOWTHYSELF):https://boncharge.com/knowthyselfUp to 43% off MUDWTR order + free frother:https://mudwtr.com/knowthyselfTo get your free shilajit today:https://fractalforest.co/knowthyselfAndrés Book Recs: https://www.knowthyselfpodcast.com/book-list___________00:00 Intro03:45 The Probability of Seeing the Truth10:20 Fitness vs. Truth in Evolutionary Theory17:30 The Limits of Our Perception24:15 How Language Shapes Reality31:10 States of Consciousness and Altered Perception38:50 The Virtual Headset of Space and Time42:04 Ad: Bon Charge46:35 Physics Agrees: Spacetime Is Doomed54:25 The Mystery of the Observer1:02:10 No Theory of Everything1:10:40 Consciousness vs. Physicalism1:19:15 Neural Correlates and the Illusion of Causation1:27:45 The Case for Consciousness as Fundamental1:29:38 Ads: MUDWTR, Fractal Forest1:36:20 From Science to Spirituality1:45:10 Introducing Markov Chains1:53:30 The Birth of Trace Logic2:04:20 Time Dilation and the Mathematics of Perception2:18:10 Beyond the Headset: Infinite Consciousness2:36:30 Science, Mystery, and Humility2:54:40 Conclusion___________Episode Resources: https://x.com/donalddhoffmanhttps://www.amazon.com/The-Case-Against-Reality/dp/0141983418/https://www.instagram.com/andreduqum/https://www.instagram.com/knowthyself/https://www.youtube.com/@knowthyselfpodcasthttps://www.knowthyselfpodcast.com

It's not hard to get birders talking about some of the big questions in our hobby. And this time we go back in the archives of Birding magazine to collect some historic hot takes for another edition of Take It or Leave It, the discussion panel for the most opinionated birders. This time we welcome Tim Healy and Martha Harbison to talk about Trumpeter Swan introductions, the proper plural of binoculars, and whether the internet was a good thing for birders.  Also, don't forget to bid on some great original bird art from our Bird of the Year program.  Subscribe to the podcast at Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts and please leave a rating or a review if you are so inclined! We appreciate it!  

In this Nerd Trek Podcast episode, we dive into Star Trek: Deep Space Nine “Statistical Probabilities,” where Dr. Bashir works with genetically enhanced misfits whose radical predictions could change the Federation's strategy against the Dominion. Join us as we debate morality, strategy, and whether numbers can really determine destiny.

In this Nerd Trek Podcast episode, we dive into Star Trek: Deep Space Nine “Statistical Probabilities,” where Dr. Bashir works with genetically enhanced misfits whose radical predictions could change the Federation's strategy against the Dominion. Join us as we debate morality, strategy, and whether numbers can really determine destiny.

Uc Encarnacion v. Bondi, No. 22-1601 (9th Cir. Sept. 30, 2025)fugitive disentitlement doctrine; adverse credibility; demeanor not reliable; omissions; experts to use in Mexico CAT claims; OIL abandoning issue in vague footnote; Mexican mental health facilities; particularized risk of torture not overly burdensome  Maurice v. Bondi, No. 21-1395 (1st Cir. Oct. 2, 2025)adjustment of status; uncorroborated police reports; failure to follow BIA precedent; uncorroborated police reports to deny discretionary relief; Arreguin; unique stop time rule arguments; Rosa; fundamental fairness Amos v. Att'y Gen. U.S., No. 22-2095 (3d Cir. Oct. 1, 2025)due process; right to interpreter; credibility; particularly serious crime — no step two without meeting the step one elements analysis, and conspiracy; N-A-M-; exhaustion; error to deny CAT claim based on speculation; failure to identify attackers not fatal; CAT corroboration requirements; flight to Canada and return as applicant for admission; stand alone § 212(h) waiver United States v. Campbell, No. 23-6186 (10th Cir. Sept. 30, 2025)Oklahoma armed robbery; Borden; realistic probability test satisfied by the text; looking to similar out-of-state statutes and decisions; recklessness Rangel-Fuentes v. Bondi, No. 23-9511 (10th Cir. Sept. 29, 2025)no deference; Loper Bright; qualifying relative; non-LPR cancellation of removal; age out; 4,000 cap; BIA notice of appeal requirements; nexusSponsors and friends of the podcast!Kurzban Kurzban Tetzeli and Pratt P.A.Immigration, serious injury, and business lawyers serving clients in Florida, California, and all over the world for over 40 years.  Eimmigration "Simplifies immigration casework. Legal professionals use it to advance cases faster, delight clients, and grow their practices."Homepage!Demo Link!eimmigration and Visalaw! Stafi"Remote staffing solutions for businesses of all sizes"Promo Code: STAFI2025Click me! Gonzales & Gonzales Immigration BondsP: (833) 409-9200immigrationbond.com   Want to become a patron?Click here to check out our Patreon Page! CONTACT INFORMATIONEmail: kgregg@kktplaw.comFacebook: @immigrationreviewInstagram: @immigrationreviewTwitter: @immreview About your hostCase notesRecent criminal-immigration article (p.18)Featured in San Diego Voyager DISCLAIMER & CREDITSSee Eps. 1-200Support the show

The curse has plagued their family for hundreds of years. A spectral hound that preys only on those of the Baskerville name. Is Sherlock Holmes up against his most clever foe yet, or maybe...the devil himself?Sir Arthur Conan Doyle wrote 60 detective stories featuring Sherlock Holmes. The man who has turned into one of the most globally loved (and replicated) characters ever created. Dive into the world of Holmes with what is the most Halloween-season-worthy mystery he was asked to solve.Sign up for 'BTMC: Protagonist Edition', where you get EXTENDED VERSIONS of the episodes to take you even deeper into the story with more scenes, more lessons, and more of everything that makes the show what it is, as well as access to all of the Character Analysis episodes. Sign up link below: ---------------------------Get BTMC: PROTAGONIST EDITION: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://becomingmain.supercast.com/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠--GET THE FREE NEWSLETTER: "THE SCHOOL OF PROTAGONISM"Substack: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://substack.com/@schoolofprotagonism⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠FOLLOW BTMC FOR MORE GREAT CONTENT: Instagram: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://instagram.com/becomingmain⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠X: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://twitter.com/becomingmain⁠⁠⁠⁠

I discuss the parameters of the partial shutdown and what has occurred is not an accident and a great and planned opportunity.  I also bring up the probability of the Q operation; The inability to tell the truth about the fake school phone threats; and I read the dumbest grant request that I've ever heard of in my life.    Book Websites: https://www.moneytreepublishing.com/shop PROMO CODE: “AEFM” for 10% OFF https://armreg.co.uk PROMO CODE: "americaneducationfm" for 15% off all books and products. (I receive no kickbacks). Q posts book: https://drive.proton.me/urls/JJ78RV1QP8#yCO0wENuJQPH

UK Property Market Weekly Update - Week 38, 2025 Welcome to the 38th UK Property Market Stats Show of 2025, your weekly YouTube ‘TV programme' on the UK housing market. This week, I'm joined by Ben Madden, a leading Estate Agent in West London, as we unpack the key headlines from Week 38 (ending Sunday 28th September 2025). ▶️ Watch on YouTube: 
https://youtu.be/2K5jp2gBZ_Y

Angus Fletcher has a PhD in literature from Yale and teaches English at Ohio State. He's passionate about Shakespeare. He probably owns a tweed jacket. In other words, he's the last person you'd expect to receive the Army's fourth-highest civilian honor. But when he's not parsing King Lear or dissecting Hamlet, Angus is pioneering research into narrative cognition — our ability to think in stories — and how it can make us smarter. When the Army put his theories to the test, his methods reshaped how soldiers learn to think clearly under pressure and act decisively in volatile environments. Now, he has distilled this work into a new book called Primal Intelligence. Malcolm Gladwell says it's confirmation that Angus "has never had an uninteresting thought." We think you'll agree. — — — (04:21) What is Primal Intelligence? (8:24) Computers Think in Probabilities. Humans Think in Possibilities. (11:08) The Art of Intuition: Spotting Exceptions to Rules (29:59) Why Storytelling is the Essence of Human Intelligence (34:13) How to Plan (35:38) The Role of Emotion in Decision Making (45:27) How to Use Common Sense to ‘Tune Your Anxiety' (49:34) What Great Innovators Have in Common (51:25) The Best Way to Become a Better Communicator (54:22) Don't Freak Out About A.I. Do Freak Out the State of Your Intelligence. — — — Want to connect?

An absorbing conversation featuring Colin Camerer (CASBS fellow, 1997-98), among the world's most accomplished scholars in both behavioral economics and neuroeconomics, with economist Stephanie Wang (2024-25). Camerer discusses his groundbreaking work on the neuroeconomics of self-control and habit formation; offers insights on generating ideas for, building, then scaling behavioral models; and explains why neuroscience remains a wide-open field awaiting the contributions of so-far mostly reluctant economists and other social scientists.COLIN CAMERER: Caltech faculty page | Camerer research group | on Google Scholar | Wikipedia page | bio at the Decision Lab | bio at MacArthur Foundation | STEPHANIE WANG: Pitt faculty page | Personal website | on Google Scholar | CASBS bio |Works discussed or mentioned in this episode:C. Camerer, Behavioral Game Theory: Experiments in Strategic Interaction. Princeton University Press, 2003.C. Camerer, "Can Asset Markets Be Manipulated? A Field Experiment with Racetrack Betting," Journal of Political Economy, 1998.C. Camerer, et al., "The Golden Age of Social Science," Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2021.C. Camerer, et al., "A Neural Autopilot Theory of Habit: Evidence from Consumer Purchases and Social Media Use," Journal of the Experimental Analysis of Behavior, 2024.S. Wang, C. Camerer, et al., "Looming Large or Seeming Small? Attitudes Toward Losses in a Representative Sample," Review of Economic Studies, 2025.F. Ramsey, "Truth and Probability" (1926), published in F. Ramsey, The Foundations of Mathematics and Other Logical Essays (1931)U. Malmendier, S. Nagel, "Depression Babies: Do Macroeconomic Experiences Affect Risk Taking?" Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2011.M. Cobb, The Idea of the Brain: The Past and Future of Neuroscience, Basic Books, 2020.M. Gaetani, "CASBS in the History of Behavioral Economics," CASBS website, 2018.Also of interest:S. Wang, et al., eds., "Mindful Economics: A Special Issue in Honor of Colin Camerer," Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, forthcoming.  Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences (CASBS) at Stanford UniversityExplore CASBS: website|Bluesky|X|YouTube|LinkedIn|podcast|latest newsletter|signup|outreach​Human CenteredProducer: Mike Gaetani | Audio engineer & co-producer: Joe Monzel |

Jennifer Lee Chan joins Sportsphone KNBR with Carlos Ramirez to discuss how Brock Purdy is recovering from injury and his probability to play against the Jaguars.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Get early access to Alex's next live-cohort courses!Today's clip is from episode 141 of the podcast, with Sam Witty.Alex and Sam discuss the ChiRho project, delving into the intricacies of causal inference, particularly focusing on Do-Calculus, regression discontinuity designs, and Bayesian structural causal inference. They explain ChiRho's design philosophy, emphasizing its modular and extensible nature, and highlights the importance of efficient estimation in causal inference, making complex statistical methods accessible to users without extensive expertise.Get the full discussion here.Intro to Bayes Course (first 2 lessons free)Advanced Regression Course (first 2 lessons free)Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work!Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swag ;)TranscriptThis is an automatic transcript and may therefore contain errors. Please get in touch if you're willing to correct them.

Steiny & Guru figure out how the Warriors and Jonathan Kuminga can make amends before transitioning to the 49ers, where there is a clear decision to make at the QB position... Don't tell Kyle Shanahan that!

Willard and Dibs react to hearing not just Mac Jones going to the podium today but also Brock Purdy...who is starting?

Brian Burke, Sports Data Scientist at ESPN, joins Cade Massey, Eric Bradlow, and Shane Jensen to share insights on building advanced football power ranking systems, the role of Bayesian models in balancing priors and new data, and how analytics informs game-day decisions like fourth-down calls and playoff predictions. Cade, Eric, and Shane also analyze standout performances and key narratives from NFL Week One, preview pivotal college football games, examine the growing dominance of Carlos Alcaraz over Jannik Sinner in men's tennis, and highlight major offensive trends across Major League Baseball. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Brian Burke, Sports Data Scientist at ESPN, joins Cade Massey, Eric Bradlow, and Shane Jensen to share insights on building advanced football power ranking systems, the role of Bayesian models in balancing priors and new data, and how analytics informs game-day decisions like fourth-down calls and playoff predictions. Cade, Eric, and Shane also analyze standout performances and key narratives from NFL Week One, preview pivotal college football games, examine the growing dominance of Carlos Alcaraz over Jannik Sinner in men's tennis, and highlight major offensive trends across Major League Baseball. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The FF Dynasty, Season 9, Episode 75: Casey, @Chev90, + Joseph @KoalatyStats are back for part 2 - The Projection Model's least favorite Fantasy Football targets for 2025 -- Kenneth Walker III Chase Brown Cam Skattebo Travis Hunter CeeDee Lamb DK Metcalf -- ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Fantasy Football Survivor⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ (NEW GAME!) Free ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Patreon⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ + ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Discord⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ 5 Star Contest ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠here⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠! ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠YouTube⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Twitter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Insta⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TikTok⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ --

Jesse Michels is a YouTuber and show host, exploring subjects like UFOs, consciousness, and reality. For nearly a century, UFOs have captured our imagination as one of humanity's greatest mysteries. Are they secret technology, alien visitors, or something else entirely? Who is behind them, what has been concealed, and what has been revealed about them? After decades of unanswered questions, are we any closer to uncovering the truth about these unknown objects in the sky? Expect to learn why learning about UFOs is maladaptive to some people, how we know if UFOs are real or just a psy-op, if there are underground hidden bases with aliens scattered across the US, the connection with UFO sightings and nuclear sites, if UFOs might be just man made crafts or if there are other unknown technologies at play, if there is any evidence for antigravity currently and where it might come from, and much more… Sponsors: See me on tour in America: ⁠https://chriswilliamson.live⁠ See discounts for all the products I use and recommend: https://chriswillx.com/deals Get a Free Sample Pack of LMNT's most popular Flavours with your first purchase at https://drinklmnt.com/modernwisdom Get 5 Free Travel Packs, Free Liquid Vitamin D, and more from AG1 at https://ag1.info/modernwisdom Get $100 off the best bloodwork analysis in America at https://functionhealth.com/modernwisdom Get the best bloodwork analysis in America at https://functionhealth.com/modernwisdom Timestamps: (0:00) Why is an Interest in UFOs Maladaptive? (1:36) What Does a Modern UFO Investigator Look Like? (12:03) Why is There So Little Evidence of UFOs? (20:24) How Do We Know UFOs Aren't a PSYOP? (27:47) Are UFOs a Global Phenomenon? (29:28) The Threat of Nuclear Sites (35:57) Why are Non-Human Intelligences on Earth? (38:56) Nuclear Site Interference by UFOs (46:56) Are the Department of Energy Involved? (55:58) How Far Can Civilians Go With UFO Research? (01:00:19) What Physics are Behind UFOs? (01:10:36) Where are We Currently in Physics? (01:16:25) Why Was Townsend Brown's Experiment Never Replicated? (01:23:01) Why are Renegade Scientists So Highly Criticised? (01:37:02) Where Elon Musk is Going Wrong with Space Exploration (01:43:15) Are We Heading Towards an AI Takeover? (01:48:40) Assessing the Probabilities of Non-Human Intelligence (01:53:23) Consciousness in Quantum Physics (02:09:37) Find Out More About Jesse Extra Stuff: Get my free reading list of 100 books to read before you die: https://chriswillx.com/books Try my productivity energy drink Neutonic: https://neutonic.com/modernwisdom Check out Jesse's YouTube Channel here: https://www.youtube.com/@jessemichels Episodes You Might Enjoy: #577 - David Goggins - This Is How To Master Your Life: https://tinyurl.com/43hv6y59 #712 - Dr Jordan Peterson - How To Destroy Your Negative Beliefs: https://tinyurl.com/2rtz7avf #700 - Dr Andrew Huberman - The Secret Tools To Hack Your Brain: https://tinyurl.com/3ccn5vkp - Get In Touch: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/chriswillx Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/chriswillx YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/modernwisdompodcast Email: https://chriswillx.com/contact - Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices