Yet Another Value Podcast

In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker speaks with Darren McLean of Muddy Waters about investing in the mining sector. Darren shares how informational edges and a deep understanding of data can yield outsized returns in a space often overlooked by generalists. They discuss the inefficiencies in mining markets, the value of unconventional data analysis, and why mining offers compelling alpha for those willing to do the work. Darren also explores the evolution of mining capital, the brain drain in the industry, and the outsized rewards of discovering and developing world-class assets. Tune in to uncover the realities of resource investing and how expertise can change the game. _________________________________________[00:00:00] Andrew introduces podcast and Darren McLean[00:03:15] Why Darren sees alpha in mining[00:04:50] Examples of unconventional data collection[00:07:46] Darren discovers major inefficiency firsthand[00:10:23] Lack of diligence in asset qualification[00:15:51] The post-China supercycle mining collapse[00:20:57] Why mining offers inevitable investment returns[00:24:03] The Bre-X scandal and manipulation[00:27:42] Why supermajors avoid early-stage projects[00:31:26] When site visits are essential[00:38:47] Brain drain and generational void in mining[00:39:18] Can generalists invest in mining successfully?[00:43:17] Montage Gold: A re-rate case study[00:46:17] Value of strong reputations and strategic entry[00:51:13] Darren's track record and strategy success[00:53:36] Why mining gives clear investment feedbackLinks:Yet Another Value Blog: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker speaks with Nic Bustamante, founder of FinTool, an AI-powered platform designed for equity analysts and investors. They probe how AI is transforming investment workflows, from memo creation to screening and qualitative analysis. Nic shares examples of institutional adoption, discusses nuanced challenges like bias in management conversations, and forecasts how AI could evolve investor roles. Whether you're deeply entrenched in AI or just starting out, this episode provides grounded insights into its growing role in finance.______________________________________________________________________  [00:00:00] Andrew introduces podcast and guest[00:01:50] Nic explains AI task delegation[00:04:10] Home Depot memo AI example[00:06:59] Uploading memos to train AI[00:08:13] Pattern matching with past investments[00:10:39] Small sample size challenges[00:13:10] Buffett's approach vs. LLM potential[00:16:08] Investing skill shifts with AI[00:18:00] Qualitative work amplified by AI[00:21:19] Gumshoe research vs. AI insights[00:23:21] Amplifying analyst strengths with AI[00:25:59] AI freeing up research time[00:27:37] Future of autonomous investment agents[00:30:10] Training AI with personal track record[00:31:59] Data diversity needed for edge[00:33:38] Qualitative investing with AI portfolios[00:36:02] AI advantages in news trading[00:37:36] Losing insight through automation[00:39:21] Hybrid strategy using AI summaries[00:41:40] Identifying non-standard compensation[00:42:53] Spotting off-cycle stock grants[00:45:36] Edge cases needing human oversight[00:47:48] Tesla and extreme market narratives[00:49:22] Fragility of company valuations[00:51:16] Reliability of company filings[00:53:31] Expanding Fintool's data sources[00:54:11] When and why to upload documents[00:56:25] Private data and unique uploads[00:58:14] Bias risk from selective inputs[00:59:38] Recording calls for richer context[01:00:23] Generating insightful questions with AI[01:01:35] Framing management conversations for AI[01:02:49] Extracting insight through competitor focus[01:03:46] Using peers to understand companies[01:04:43] Keeping pace with fast AI evolution[01:07:02] AI as necessary but not sufficient Links:Yet Another ValueBlog: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com See our legaldisclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimerFinTool:https://fintool.com/

In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker is joined by Doug Garber, founder of the Pitch the PM podcast, to dissect Mammoth Energy (TUSK). They explore TUSK's mammoth (pun intended) cash holdings relative to its market cap, past challenges including fracking and Puerto Rico operations, and the implications of recent asset sales. Doug shares insights into TUSK's business segments, corporate governance under Wexford, and potential capital allocation strategies. They also discuss the strategic outlook with the upcoming CEO transition.______________________________________________________________________[00:00:00] Podcast introduction and episode setup[00:02:06] Doug Garber joins the discussion[00:02:51] Overview of Mammoth Energy's business[00:05:14] Settlement cash inflow explained[00:06:59] Market mispricing and cash outlook[00:10:00] Investor skepticism around Puerto Rico[00:14:07] Corporate governance and Wexford's role[00:18:02] Discussion on capital allocation strategy[00:24:32] Business transition from energy to industrial[00:30:24] Aircraft purchase controversy analyzed[00:34:16] Interim CEO and leadership transition[00:36:51] Expectations for new CEO direction[00:42:06] Valuation from appraised asset values[00:45:35] Wexford's investment performance evaluated[00:46:00] Downside protection and risk assessment[00:50:21] Final thoughts and wrap-upLinks:Yet Another Value Blog - https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker shares a keynote Q&A from the Showcase Vegas event with returning guest Artem Fokin of Caro-Kann Capital. Artem breaks down his concept of “superpowers” in investing—an individual's unique edge based on comparative advantage—and how it shapes portfolio decisions. The discussion extends into sell discipline, including identifying when a thesis is broken and handling emotional pitfalls during drawdowns. Artem also touches on evaluating management teams, international microcap investing, and the psychological toll of investing for a living. The conversation is a practical dive into staying grounded and focused amid the volatility of markets.______________________________________________________________________[0:00:00] Intro & sponsor message.[0:02:45] Andrew introduces Artem.[0:03:45] Defining investment 'superpower'.[0:05:08] Artem's investing superpower explained.[0:06:30] Identifying others' superpowers.[0:08:15] Matching skills to stock selection.[0:09:30] Using expert calls effectively.[0:10:55] Selling stocks on thesis change.[0:13:46] Holding through macro noise.[0:15:12] Assessing management capability.[0:17:30] Micro vs. large cap dynamics.[0:19:30] International vs. US investing.[0:23:10] Mental resilience in investing.[0:26:00] Avoiding emotional decision-making.[0:30:00] Balancing fund and personal finance.[0:33:00] Final thoughts and close.Links:Yet Another Value Blog - https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker interviews the first-year Columbia MBA team who unanimously won the 18th Annual Pershing Square Challenge with their investment thesis on Carlisle Companies (CSL). The team—Tuan, Dimitry, and Erik—shares their detailed research into the commercial roofing giant, exploring its competitive moats, sticky customer relationships, management alignment, valuation framework, and opportunities for expansion. They discuss their firsthand trade show research, unique insight into labor dynamics, and responses to key concerns like cyclicality and pricing power. The conversation also covers the company's history, recent transformation, and what could keep an investor up at night.You can find the team's CSL pitch deck here: https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/mn4ib4897o8gfpgdzs03c/CSL-US-Carlisle-Pershing-Square-Challenge-Presentation_YAVB_Abridged.pdf?rlkey=ck47pu6samrrnctwlfyr536hc&e=1&st=nj9zt415&dl=0______________________________________________________________________[00:00:00] Intro to podcast and guests[00:02:44] Guest introductions and backgrounds[00:05:35] Overview of Carlisle Companies[00:08:32] Pitch background and idea process[00:13:03] Unique research: trade show visits[00:19:28] Carlisle's competitive advantages[00:24:58] Sticky customer and contractor base[00:30:00] Valuation and IRR framework[00:35:14] Management's strategy and alignment[00:42:07] Target 2030 growth breakdown[00:46:20] QXO, Beacon, and distribution impact[00:52:22] Risks and margin sustainability[00:54:28] Potential new entrants: Berkshire risk[00:56:33] Labor shortages and benefits[01:00:17] Leverage and capital allocation debate[01:02:56] Final reflections and thank yousLinks:Yet Another Value Blog - https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

In this May 2025 edition of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker shares a range of thoughts in his monthly solo ramble. He opens with macro commentary on market resilience post-"Liberation Day" and ongoing CEO uncertainty. He transitions to the role of AI in investing, using analogies from sports to explore how AI may alter investor success profiles. Andrew dives into how management teams' sales skills can mislead investors and shares his growing skepticism from biotech engagements. The episode closes with reflections on how personal preferences influence investing decisions and a detailed breakdown of how sunk costs and overhead can erode biotech value.______________________________________________________________________[0:00:00] Podcast intro and episode preview.[0:02:02] Corporate governance discussion overview.[0:03:22] Host introduction and podcast growth.[0:04:16] Topics: market, AI, management, products.[0:05:09] Market reaction since Liberation Day.[0:07:26] CEO uncertainty and delayed investments.[0:11:44] Complacency, speculative vs. cyclical sectors.[0:12:22] AI as knowledge enhancer for investors.[0:14:01] AI and sports analogies for change.[0:18:46] AI impacting future investor skillsets.[0:22:05] Management interviews and AI impact.[0:25:24] Trusting vs. over-trusting management teams.[0:31:44] Selling skills of management vs. investors[0:34:09] Viral products and parsing endorsements.[0:38:32] Disliking a product but buying stock.[0:42:20] Balancing personal preferences with investing.[0:44:00] Management and sunk costs in biotech.[0:53:44] Overhead expenses distort trial economics.[0:57:27] Wrap-up: biotech, books, and future episodes.Links:Yet Another Value Blog - https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker welcomes back Cliff Sosin of CAS Investment Partners for his second appearance. Known for his concentrated, long-term investing approach, Cliff discusses the unique characteristics of Carvana's lending model, the intricacies of subprime finance, and why he believes Carvana's comeback story deserves a closer look. The conversation explores Cliff's investment philosophy, alternative data use, and risk management, while diving deep into market misconceptions around subprime lending, inventory valuation, and self-driving cars. Tune in for a data-rich breakdown of one of the market's most discussed turnarounds.Links:YAVP with Aaron Chan on CVNA: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/recurve-capitals-aaron-chan-on-theCAS Investment Partners - ⁠https://www.casinvestmentpartners.com/⁠Yet Another Value Blog - ⁠https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com⁠ See our legal disclaimer here: ⁠https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer⁠_______________________________________________________[00:00] Intro to the podcast and guest, Cliff Sosin[01:38] Cliff on his podcast return[00:02:11] Cliff reflects on past public exposure[00:05:26] Cliff's focus in subprime and securitizations[00:12:17] Carvana's lending model and performance vs peers[00:24:29] Alt data, trading signals, and Carvana[00:30:58] Evolution of Carvana's operational resilience[00:34:03] What keeps Cliff up at night about Carvana [00:38:11] Risks from used car market decline[00:40:08] Potential disruption from low-cost EVs[00:47:00] Threat of autonomous vehicles[01:01:50] Stanford, Google, and Carvana[01:10:10] Tail Risks[01:13:00] Getting better with expert networks[01:18:00] My trite Cliff saying[01:19:00] What is Cliff researching now

In this episode of the Yet Another Value Podcast FinTwit Book Club, Andrew Walker is joined by Byrne Hobart of The Diff to discuss Clashing Over Commerce, a sweeping political and economic history of U.S. trade policy. Against the backdrop of current debates on tariffs, they explore how deeply tariffs shaped American politics, the surprising economic nuance found in 19th-century policy, and the recurring tensions between protectionism and free trade. From supply chain shifts to presidential power dynamics, they unpack what history might tell us about today's trade decisions—and what it doesn't.______________________________________________________________________Chapters[00:00:00] Introduction to the episode and the featured book, Clashing Over Commerce[00:03:33] Byrne Hobart on why reading the book made him feel better about modern tariffs[00:07:08] The role of modern supply chains in shaping today's trade complexity[00:10:52] Reflections on historical perspectives: agrarian vs. industrial interests[00:14:41] How lobbying and special interests shaped tariff legislation[00:19:30] The political economy of tariffs from the Civil War to the Gilded Age[00:25:22] Evolution of U.S. revenue sources and tariff enforcement mechanisms[00:30:48] Historical voting patterns and their echoes in recent trade policy[00:35:19] Shift of tariff authority from Congress to the executive branch[00:40:51] Modern-day political identity vs. regional trade interests[00:45:37] How tariffs function as economic handouts or job guarantees[00:50:44] Presidential comparisons and the rhetorical lineage of tariff advocacy[00:55:28] Historical trade-offs in trade deals: from Britain to banana imports[01:00:16] The legacy of statehood as a political tool for tariff influence[01:03:33] Critiques of the book: length, editing, and lack of a strong conclusion[01:08:49] Final thoughts on the enduring impact of tariffs on U.S. political systemsLinks:Alphasense activism webinar: https://go.alpha-sense.com/wb-imp-genai-fs-yavp-inside-boardroom/?utm_source=pt_YAVP&utm_medium=sponsored&utm_campaign=WB_DG_04-21-25_IMP-GENAI_FS_Yavp-Inside-BoardroomThe Diff Newsletter - https://www.thediff.co/ Yet Another Value Blog - https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker shares a webinar conversation with Thomas Li, CEO and co-founder of Daloopa, diving into how AI is transforming the workflows of fundamental investors. They explore real-world applications across hedge funds and investment banks, highlighting both the promise and current limitations of large language models in financial analysis. From note synthesis to risk modeling and center book evaluations, Thomas outlines the practical realities of AI implementation, discusses adoption across firm sizes, and explains how contextual data—not just algorithm quality—is becoming the differentiator. Whether you're a solo analyst or part of a multi-manager platform, this episode offers a grounded perspective on where AI in finance is heading.____________________________________________________________[00:00:00] Andrew introduces the episode as a repost of a webinar with Daloopa on AI and investing.[00:01:58] Thomas Li outlines AI's strength in generating language vs. processing structured financial data.[00:06:43] Discussion on practical AI use cases like cross-referencing notes with earnings calls.[00:10:12] Andrew asks how to structure analyst notes for better AI input and efficiency.[00:12:38] Comparing large pod shops and long-only firms in terms of AI adoption and internal tools.[00:17:34] Why foundational models are commoditized and context is key to AI application value.[00:22:18] The crowding factor as a risk vector and how pod shops hedge against it.[00:29:01] Generating alpha today: human edge through timing, perception, and behavioral insight.[00:35:07] Long-term value of internal data and modeling analyst performance over time.[00:41:49] How AI might evolve: foundational models vs. application layer as the value driver.[00:46:22] Adoption outlook—AI use is growing, but nuanced finance problems slow full automation.[00:52:14] Importance of internal champions (agency) to drive meaningful AI integration.[00:57:30] Center books at pod shops use AI to backtest and analyze analyst effectiveness.[01:02:40] Closing thoughts on AI's trajectory and data as the real moat for firms.Links:Daloopa: https://daloopa.com/yavp See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

In this month's episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker goes solo with his April Ramble, recorded just before a whirlwind travel schedule kicks off. He opens with an update on KROS, a position he's long, discussing the company's surprising move to evaluate strategic alternatives and what it reveals about investor skepticism in the busted biotech space. Andrew continues with a candidcritique of the biotech sector's structural inefficiencies, urging investors to push harder on corporate governance rather than avoid the "activist" label. From there, he explores how stock-based compensation can become more damaging when share prices fall and reflects on the mental and strategic discipline needed in volatile markets. He closes with thoughts on AI's evolving role in investment research and the importance of continuously improving one's toolkit. ___________________________________________________________ [00:00:00] Marketvolatility and initial thoughts on KROS[00:02:11] KROSstrategic alternatives announcement and investor response[00:03:25] Marketskepticism despite positive news at KROS[00:04:38]Encouraging shareholder engagement during the KROS review period[00:05:09]Ongoing biotech investments and calls for rationalization[00:06:25]Hesitancy from institutional investors to go activist[00:08:02]Challenges in pursuing activism and protecting future deal access[00:08:54] Thebroken incentives in biotech's current market environment[00:10:22]Thoughts on stock-based compensation and company dilution[00:12:48] Howdeclining stock prices magnify dilution effects[00:14:06]April's turbulent market dynamics and investor behavior[00:15:13]Importance of maintaining process and staying focused[00:16:39]Evaluating portfolio risk/reward in volatile markets[00:17:23]Spotting opportunities through environmental changes like tariffs[00:20:06] Theimportance of staying in research mode during swings[00:21:17]Shifting focus to long-term projects when markets are too noisy[00:22:49]Leveraging AI for research efficiency and insights[00:24:41] Finalthoughts on adopting AI and its growing importance in investing[00:25:53]Preview of Andrew's upcoming vacation and travel plans[00:26:27]Closing remarks and looking ahead to next month  Links:See our legaldisclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker returns for a solo discussion on Keros Therapeutics (KROS), a biotech firm navigating a dramatic fall from grace. Once buoyed by hopes for its leading drug Cybo (KER-012), KROS is now reeling from halted trials and a steep drop in share price. Andrew lays out the case for why this company, despite setbacks, may still hold considerable value. He explores KROS's licensing deal with Takeda, their significant cash reserves, and questions surrounding its future direction. Calling on shareholder alignment and corporate governance, Andrew challenges listeners to consider whether KROS is veering into zombie biotech territory—or poised for a smart pivot.Stat+ article on zombie biotechs and Sutro: https://www.statnews.com/2025/03/19/sutro-bio-biotech-luvelta/Chapters:[00:00:00] Sponsor and Intro[00:03:00] Recap of Sage Pharmaceuticals as a case study in shareholder value.[00:04:48] Introduction to KROS and its recent setbacks, including Cybo's trial halt.[00:05:05] Defining the “zombie biotech” phenomenon and why it matters.[00:08:21] Misaligned incentives between management and shareholders in troubled biotechs.[00:10:04] Why KROS's partnership with Takeda could be its most valuable asset.[00:13:14] Review of KROS's three main drugs: Cybo, 065, and 050 (licensed to Takeda).[00:14:55] Risk-adjusted value potential of KROS's royalties from Takeda deal.[00:17:01] Mixed data from 065 and skepticism from analysts.[00:18:09] Potential but doubtful value remaining in Cybo post-trial shutdown.[00:18:40] KROS's massive cash balance vs. market cap and implications for shareholder returns.[00:20:05] Breakdown of 2023 overhead and burn rate concerns.[00:21:53] Call for drastic cost cuts and corporate reevaluation.[00:23:36] Analysis of board alignment and concern over lack of urgency.[00:25:44] Why KROS no longer needs a science-heavy board.[00:28:44] Shareholder engagement as a tool to prevent value destruction.[00:31:33] Encouragement for listeners to contact the board and advocate for value-maximizing outcomes.Links:See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker welcomes back Marc Chalfin of Windward Capital to discuss Turtle Beach. Known for its gaming headsets and peripherals, Turtle Beach is at the center of a compelling capital allocation story. Marc outlines why the company's recent PDP acquisition, aggressive buyback strategy, and positioning ahead of the Nintendo Switch refresh and GTA VI release create a rare opportunity. He also breaks down the company's corporate turnaround, supply chain adjustments, and potential paths to a strategic or private equity exit. If you're following gaming or capital discipline stories, this one's for you.______________________________________________________________________[00:01:29] Marc Chalfin shares an update on Groupon and transitions to Turtle Beach[00:02:23] Introduction to Turtle Beach's business model and market share in gaming peripherals[00:03:58] Market size, product dominance, and recent analyst coverage[00:05:46] Chalfin discusses the history of Turtle Beach, Donerail's involvement, and management changes[00:10:01] Operational struggles from supply chain issues and lack of gaming software[00:11:30] Strategic acquisition of PDP and importance of Nintendo licensing[00:13:03] Financial upside: EBITDA expansion potential, buybacks, and capital structure[00:16:38] Addressing the commoditization concern in gaming hardware[00:18:02] Peer comparisons with Logitech and Corsair[00:20:20] Philosophy on capital allocation and shrinking the share count[00:23:09] Tariff headwinds and Turtle Beach's supply chain response[00:25:28] Catalysts: Nintendo Switch refresh and GTA VI as revenue drivers[00:27:34] Chalfin explains the buyback slowdown and loan covenants[00:29:53] Long-term guidance and thoughts on sustainable revenue growth[00:31:21] Endgame scenario: strategic sale or private equity exit[00:36:28] Risks: liquidity and execution on buybacks[00:40:11] Timing of potential buybacks and views on tender offer strategy[00:43:27] Closing thoughts on alignment with management and capital return strategyLinks:Windward Capital: https://www.windwardmg.com/See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker welcomes back Adam Patinkin of David Capital for his third appearance—this time for a much-requested update on British homebuilder and regeneration specialist Vistry (RY). Adam originally laid out a bold thesis in early 2024 that Vistry's transition to a pure-play partnerships business could mirror the NVR success story. But after a string of profit warnings and a collapsing share price, listeners wanted answers. Adam walks through what went wrong, why the company's current valuation doesn't match its fundamentals, and why David Capital doubled its position. The discussion probes management credibility, capital allocation, and how UK government policy is now aligning with Vistry's strategy.______________________________________________________________________[00:00:00] Intro and sponsor message for upcoming AI & finance webinar [00:00:40] Andrew welcomes Adam Patinkin for a follow-up discussion on Vistry [00:01:29] Context and disclaimer before discussing UK-listed stock Vistry [00:02:18] Adam gives a quick overview and update on Vistry's journey in 2024 [00:02:58] Explanation of David Capital doubling their position in Vistry [00:03:59] The original investment thesis in Vistry: value plus catalyst approach [00:04:51] Breakdown of Vistry's two segments: partnerships vs. housebuilding [00:06:58] Thesis: Transition to a pure-play partnerships business [00:08:34] Discussion on profit warnings and their impact on investor sentiment [00:10:13] Details of Vistry's missteps and housebuilding write-downs [00:12:29] Analysis of the market's reaction to one-time losses [00:15:29] Third warning due to delayed land sales and management's response [00:16:34] Clarification of misunderstandings around ongoing losses [00:17:57] Adam frames the four-part thesis and which parts still hold [00:19:09] Reaffirmation of medium-term targets for partnerships [00:20:54] Discussion on pace of housebuilding exit and management's actions [00:23:34] Ongoing share buybacks and potential for expansion [00:24:37] Breakdown of customer segments in the partnerships business [00:26:19] UK government's budget and policy impact on affordable housing [00:31:14] Overview of supportive labor government housing initiatives [00:35:05] Cash flow expectations from capital employed reduction [00:36:29] Valuation commentary and mispricing opportunities [00:37:54] Assessment of credibility and investment upside [00:41:51] Discussion on net debt figures and transparency [00:43:40] Capital structure comparisons with other builders [00:46:21] Considerations around lower buybacks vs. future flexibility [00:49:10] Why Vistry still represents compelling value despite concerns [00:52:08] Differentiating Vistry from UK housebuilder peers [00:55:05] Clarification of the NAV not falling due to deferred land sales [00:57:21] Framing margin of safety by cash flows rather than asset base [00:59:54] Summary of company positioning, tailwinds, and outlook Links:Daloopa Webinar: daloopa.com/yavwebinarDavid Capital: https://davidpartners.com/See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker welcomes back Mordechai, head of Focus Capital Advisers, for his third appearance. They unpack what Mordechai calls the greatest acquisition of all time—Valeura Energy's buyout of Gulf of Thailand oil assets. The two deals, acquired at rock-bottom prices, now generate more than their cost in monthly free cash flow. Mordechai explains theasset's unusual geology, the long-tail economics of its reserves, and why the market still doesn't get it. They also cover decommissioning liabilities, NAV versus market cap, and how management might pull off more high-conviction deals in the future.______________________________________________________________________[00:01:14]Introduction to Mordechai and his advisory work[00:03:18]Overview of Valeura Energy and its asset transformation[00:04:38]Initial acquisition of the Wassana oil field from bankruptcy[00:07:06]Financials and economics of the Wassana deal[00:08:37]Comparison of Thailand offshore to domestic offshore assets[00:12:15] Uniquereserve dynamics in the Gulf of Thailand[00:17:08] Secondacquisition: Mubadala's Gulf assets and deal terms[00:20:00] Whythe Mubadala acquisition defies logic[00:24:14]Background on how Valeura got such a favorable deal[00:27:02] Whydeals done during peak 2022 oil prices still look brilliant[00:30:50] Whythe market hasn't fully caught on to Valeura's upside[00:33:49]Variance between reported reserves and economic field life[00:39:13] Datashowing reserve replacement outpaces depletion[00:42:56]Concession expiration and risks around renewal[00:46:56] NAVanalysis and investor skepticism[00:50:26]Updates on decommissioning costs and projections[00:51:50]Operational improvements and field efficiencies[00:53:04]Organic growth through field development and platform expansion[00:57:32]Upcoming catalysts and appraisal-based expansion opportunities Links:Focus CapitalAdvisors: https://focuscapitaladvisers.com/homeSee our legaldisclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

In this episode of the Yet Another Value Podcast Monthly Book Club, host Andrew Walker is joined by Byrne Hobart, author of The Diff newsletter, to discuss Diary of a Very Bad Year: Confessions of an Anonymous Hedge Fund Manager. The conversation explores the book's candid insights from a hedge fund manager navigating the 2008 financial crisis. Andrew and Byrne dig into the accuracy of predictions made in real time, the psychology of uncertainty, and the relevance of past financial mistakes to today's AI boom and private credit landscape. This is a thoughtful discussion on expertise, misallocation, and financial memory—both personal and systemic.This month's book on amazon: https://amzn.to/4hUNk8sChapters:[0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: AlphaSense[2:00] Overview of Diary of a Very Bad Year: Confessions of an Anonymous Hedge Fund Manager[12:00] Bubbles through a misallocation of resources lens[22:35] History rhymes / Predictions in the book[35:45] Tariffs today versus housing in 2005[45:00] Misallocation of resources if AI is a bubble[56:00] Druckenmiller's Argentinean betToday's sponsor: AlphaSense; Try it free today at alpha-sense.com/YAVPThis episode is brought to you by AlphaSense—the market intelligence platform I rely on for faster, deeper insight.If you've used platforms like Tegus, you'll feel right at home—but AlphaSense takes it further. With over 150,000 expert call transcripts and 450 million+ premium documents, it's become my go-to resource for both qualitative and competitive research.And now, with Generative AI tools like Gen Search and Gen Grid, AlphaSense makes it easier than ever to accelerate your workflow. Gen Search lets you ask natural-language questions—like “What's driving margin pressure in semis?”—and instantly surfaces answers pulled from expert calls, earnings transcripts, filings, and more.Gen Grid takes it a step further—automating repeatable workflows by applying multiple prompts across dozens of documents at once. It delivers clean, table-format answers like sales trends, macro commentary, or pricing signals—all with clickable citations so you can trace insights directly to the source.Whether you're digging into a company, comparing peers, or parsing 10-Ks at scale, AlphaSense gives you a speed and depth advantage. Try it free today at alpha-sense.com/YAVP and experience the future of research.See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

Adam Patinkin, CFA, Managing Partner at David Capital Partners, LLC, joins the podcast to discuss his thesis on Lifecore Biomedical, Inc. (NASDAQ: LFCR), a fully integrated contract development and manufacturing organization (“CDMO”). For more information about David Capital Partners, please visit: https://davidpartners.com/Chapters:[0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Fintool[2:23] Who is David Capital and why $LFCR is interesting to Adam[6:16] $LFCR history[12:55] What is a CDMO (Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization) and how ingrained into the regulatory approval process they are; why these businesses are attractive[21:47] What is Adam seeing with $LFCR that the market is missing[24:00] $LFCR business[30:16] Why this management team will change the trajectory of the company[38:10] Capacity / concern about the speed to fill capacity[46:45] Trump regulatory tailwinds / RFK headwind[53:03] What has kept this company from achieving greatness / risk vs. reward with $LFCR[1:02:33] Management team incentives[1:04:41] Conversation about the math (valuation)[1:10:08] Final thoughtsToday's sponsor: FintoolFintool is ChatGPT for SEC Filings and earnings calls. Are you still doing keyword searches and going to the individual filing and using control F? That's the old way of doing things before AI. With Fintool, you can ask any question and it's going to automatically generate the best answer. So they may pull from a portion of an earnings call, or a 10k, whatever it may be and then answer your question. The best part- every portion of the answer is cited with the source document.Now- if you've tried to do any of this in ChatGPT you may know that the answers are often wrong or hallucinations. The way Fintool is able to outperform ChatGPT is their focus on the SEC filings. If you're an analyst or a portfolio manager at a hedge fund, check them out at https://fintool.com?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=yavb&utm_content=podcast280See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

Chris Waller, Founder and CIO at Plural Investing, joins the podcast for the third time to discuss his thesis on Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (NYSE American: SEG), whose focus is to deliver unparalleled experiences through a combination of restaurant, entertainment, sports, retail and hospitality offerings integrated into one-of-a-kind real estate that redefine entertainment and hospitality.For more information about Plural Invest, please visit: https://www.pluralinvesting.com/Plural Investing/Hidden Gems write up on $SEG: https://www.hiddengemsinvesting.com/p/special-report-seaport-entertainmentChapters:[0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Fintool[2:22] What is Seaport Entertainment and why it's interesting to Chris[7:40] What is Chris seeing with $SEG that makes Seaport a risk adjusted alpha opportunity[9:20] Cash burn / is the district really that valuable, good[17:41] What attracted Andrew to $SEG - how the opportunity came about (spin off from Howard Hughes)[22:36] Ackman involvement[27:25] Overview of Pier 17 and the new lease they've got there / Meow Wolf concept[36:37] Tin Building and the vision for it / kitchen consolidation / competitive analysis[48:50] Overview of 250 Water and Vegas assets (air rights, Triple A team)[59:33] Overview of "The Historic District"[1:02:38] How the $SEG thesis doesn't play out / new management team[1:06:06] Final thoughtsToday's sponsor: FintoolFintool is ChatGPT for SEC Filings and earnings calls. Are you still doing keyword searches and going to the individual filing and using control F? That's the old way of doing things before AI. With Fintool, you can ask any question and it's going to automatically generate the best answer. So they may pull from a portion of an earnings call, or a 10k, whatever it may be and then answer your question. The best part- every portion of the answer is cited with the source document.Now- if you've tried to do any of this in ChatGPT you may know that the answers are often wrong or hallucinations. The way Fintool is able to outperform ChatGPT is their focus on the SEC filings. If you're an analyst or a portfolio manager at a hedge fund, check them out at https://fintool.com?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=yavb&utm_content=podcast280See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

Welcome to the March 2025 edition of Andrew's Random Ramblings on the Yet Another Value Podcast. Once a month, Andrew will share thoughts on a few topics - this episode includes: the market sell off, relationships with management teams - pros and cons, activism and corporate governance, and where to liveChapters:[0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Daloopa[2:30] The market sell off[15:45] Developing relationships with management teams[22:02] Corporate governance and activism[25:26] Where to live[28:58] Planet MicroCap Showcase: VEGAS 2025 in partnership with MicroCapClubToday's sponsor: DaloopaPost-earnings reports are more than just a data dump—they're a goldmine of opportunities waiting to be unlocked. And with Daloopa, you can turn those opportunities into actionable insights.Daloopa's dynamic scenario-building tools integrate updated earnings data, letting you model multiple strategic outcomes, like what happens if a company revises guidance upward. And with automated sensitivity analysis, you can quickly understand the impact of key variables like cost pressures, currency fluctuations, or interest rate changes.This means you'll deliver more actionable insights for your clients, helping them navigate risks and seize opportunities faster. Ready to enrich your post-earnings narratives? Visit http://daloopa.com/YAV today to get started.

Jordan McNamee, Founder and CIO of Optimist Fund, joins the podcast to share his thesis on ThredUp Inc. (Nasdaq: TDUP, LTSE: TDUP), one of the largest online resale platforms for apparel, shoes, and accessories.For more information about Optimist Fund, please visit: https://www.optimistfund.com/Chapters:[0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Daloopa[1:39] What is ThredUp $TDUP and why they are interesting to Jordan[13:45] Why is this going to be a good business in the long-term[18:16] Why are customers choosing $TDUP over eBay or other competitors / why is this enough of an opportunity (from an investment perspective) / comparison to DoorDash[30:50] Growth potential that Jordan sees[35:15] Rhymes of other marketplaces; what's different with $TDUP[41:18] What would break the $TDUP thesis for Jordan[47:17] Insider ownership[53:46] Final thoughts / current stock priceToday's sponsor: DaloopaPost-earnings reports are more than just a data dump—they're a goldmine of opportunities waiting to be unlocked. And with Daloopa, you can turn those opportunities into actionable insights.Daloopa's dynamic scenario-building tools integrate updated earnings data, letting you model multiple strategic outcomes, like what happens if a company revises guidance upward. And with automated sensitivity analysis, you can quickly understand the impact of key variables like cost pressures, currency fluctuations, or interest rate changes.This means you'll deliver more actionable insights for your clients, helping them navigate risks and seize opportunities faster. Ready to enrich your post-earnings narratives? Visit http://daloopa.com/YAV today to get started.

Simon Kold, Author of "On the Hunt for Great Companies" and Founder & Portfolio Manager at Kold Investments, joins the podcast to discuss what makes a great company based on his research and writing of his new book, "On the Hunt for Great Companies."You can buy your copy of Simon's new book, "On the Hunt for Great Companies" here: https://www.amazon.com/Hunt-Great-Companies-Evaluating-Durability/dp/1394285744Chapters:[0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Fintool[2:30] Why Simon decided to write the book[4:30] Authenticity of communication as an indicator of management passion / deviations from the norm[12:53] Maximizing shareholder value (pretenders vs. reality) / Founder CEOs / Project IRRs vs. buybacks[23:09] Value capture / over-earning vs. over-extraction[33:47] Industries with staying power / longer-term predictability (example of Alcohol industry) / building competitive advantages ($COST example)[44:42] Premise / value add of the book + final thoughtsToday's sponsor: FintoolFintool is ChatGPT for SEC Filings and earnings calls. Are you still doing keyword searches and going to the individual filing and using control F? That's the old way of doing things before AI. With Fintool, you can ask any question and it's going to automatically generate the best answer. So they may pull from a portion of an earnings call, or a 10k, whatever it may be and then answer your question. The best part- every portion of the answer is cited with the source document.Now- if you've tried to do any of this in ChatGPT you may know that the answers are often wrong or hallucinations. The way Fintool is able to outperform ChatGPT is their focus on the SEC filings. If you're an analyst or a portfolio manager at a hedge fund, check them out at https://fintool.com?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=yavb&utm_content=podcast280See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

Alex Morris, Author of "Buffett and Munger Unscripted" and Owner & Analyst at TSOH Investment Research, joins the podcast to discuss the 2024 Berkshire Annual Letter.You can buy your copy of Alex's new book, "Buffett and Munger Unscripted" here: hhttps://amzn.to/4asUWNiChapters:[0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Fintool[2:40] Alex's initial thoughts on Berkshire's 2024 annual letter[4:23] Was there anything different for Alex reading the letter this year (having worked on the Buffett book and spending a lot more time studying him and Berkshire)[6:52] Buffett's macro take on 2024[9:59] Would it shock Alex if this is Buffett's last letter and/or he retires at the annual meeting[14:10] Capital allocation - changing strategy on the horizon[21:17] Discussion on $OXY[24:43] Buffett addressing his mistakes[31:08] Japanese investments[37:22] Results in the insurance business[39:27] Thoughts on Class A / Class B structureToday's sponsor: FintoolFintool is ChatGPT for SEC Filings and earnings calls. Are you still doing keyword searches and going to the individual filing and using control F? That's the old way of doing things before AI. With Fintool, you can ask any question and it's going to automatically generate the best answer. So they may pull from a portion of an earnings call, or a 10k, whatever it may be and then answer your question. The best part- every portion of the answer is cited with the source document.Now- if you've tried to do any of this in ChatGPT you may know that the answers are often wrong or hallucinations. The way Fintool is able to outperform ChatGPT is their focus on the SEC filings.If you're an analyst or a portfolio manager at a hedge fund, check them out at https://fintool.com?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=yavb&utm_content=podcast280See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

Welcome to the latest edition of Yet Another Value Podcast's Book Club. Once a month, Andrew and co-host, Byrne Hobart, will discuss their thoughts on the book, "Advanced Portfolio Management: A Quant's Guide for Fundamental Investors" by Giuseppe A. Paleologo.See Byrne's writing at: https://www.thediff.co/"Advanced Portfolio Management: A Quant's Guide for Fundamental Investors" on Amazon: https://www.amazon.com/Advanced-Portfolio-Management-Fundamental-Investors/dp/1119789796Chapters:[0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Fintool[2:24] First thoughts and overall impressions of "Advanced Portfolio Management"[5:54] Which pieces do you use to implement into your investing process that Byrne picked up from this book / how they implement "stop-losses"[19:00] It's not enough to have great ideas / "it only takes one" vs. concentrated portfolio / making good calls over time[29:17] Is there anything to buying things that are classified wrong in order to generate alpha?[32:54] How much are these factor and pod-shop models gameable[40:23] How much does Byrne think matching uncorrelated data is going to be taken over by AI vs. fundamental investors going forward[48:25] Beating the bots / final thoughtsToday's sponsor: FintoolFintool is ChatGPT for SEC Filings and earnings calls. Are you still doing keyword searches and going to the individual filing and using control F? That's the old way of doing things before AI. With Fintool, you can ask any question and it's going to automatically generate the best answer. So they may pull from a portion of an earnings call, or a 10k, whatever it may be and then answer your question. The best part- every portion of the answer is cited with the source document.Now- if you've tried to do any of this in ChatGPT you may know that the answers are often wrong or hallucinations. The way Fintool is able to outperform ChatGPT is their focus on the SEC filings. If you're an analyst or a portfolio manager at a hedge fund, check them out at https://fintool.com?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=yavb&utm_content=podcast280See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

Welcome to the February 2025 edition of Andrew's Random Ramblings on the Yet Another Value Podcast. Once a month, Andrew will share thoughts on a few topics - this episode includes: Libra and Argentina, some things you've learned that changed your mind recently, lucky or unlucky stocks and doing hands-on research and personal experience.Chapters:[0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Alphasense[2:45] Libra and Argentina[7:38] Changing your mind[16:32] Lucky or unlucky stocks[18:46] Hands-on research and personal experienceToday's sponsor: AlphasenseIf you're unfamiliar with AlphaSense, it's a market intelligence platform with the world's premier library of proprietary expert insight. For years now, I've used Tegus for their expert call transcript library, and with AlphaSense's acquisition, the depth and breadth of market research content available has expanded significantly.Why I chose AlphaSense?Unparalleled expert insights—access 150,000+ proprietary expert transcripts, growing by 6,000 per month, covering 24,000+ public and private companies.Comprehensive market intelligence—search 450M+ documents, including company filings, analyst research, expert interviews, and more, all connected for deeper analysis.AI-powered research at scale—complete qualitative research 5-10x faster with advanced generative AI, delivering instant, high-confidence insights.Start your free trial now at: https://www.alpha-sense.com/yavp/

Sahm Adrangi, Chief Investment Officer at Kerrisdale Capital, joins the podcast to share his thesis on ACM Research, Inc. (NASDAQ: ACMR), develops, manufactures and sells semiconductor process equipment spanning cleaning, electroplating, stress-free polishing, vertical furnace processes, track, PECVD, and wafer- and panel-level packaging tools, enabling advanced and semi-critical semiconductor device manufacturing.Kerrisdale Capital's $ACMR write-up: https://www.kerrisdalecap.com/investments/acm-research-acmr/For more information about Kerrisdale Capital, please visit: https://www.kerrisdalecap.com/Chapters:[0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Alphasense[3:28] What is ACM Research and why are they so interesting to Sahm[7:27] Chinese competitors[10:24] What is Sahm seeing with $ACMR that the market is missing[12:54] Discounts[15:34] $ACMR business vs. politics/regulatory risks[22:48] China risk / listing in Asian market / US-listed company with operations in China, CEO being US citizen[29:54] Is there a lack of urgency from management? (Capital Allocation strategy)[33:54] $ACMR valuation[37:33] Technical sophistication of the cleaning tools[41:19] How exposed to slow down in AI spending and business growth prospects[48:10] $ACMR final thoughts[50:39] What could go wrong / what could break $ACMR thesis for SahmToday's sponsor: AlphasenseIf you're unfamiliar with AlphaSense, it's a market intelligence platform with the world's premier library of proprietary expert insight. For years now, I've used Tegus for their expert call transcript library, and with AlphaSense's acquisition, the depth and breadth of market research content available has expanded significantly.Why I chose AlphaSense?Unparalleled expert insights—access 150,000+ proprietary expert transcripts, growing by 6,000 per month, covering 24,000+ public and private companies.Comprehensive market intelligence—search 450M+ documents, including company filings, analyst research, expert interviews, and more, all connected for deeper analysis.AI-powered research at scale—complete qualitative research 5-10x faster with advanced generative AI, delivering instant, high-confidence insights.Start your free trial now at: https://www.alpha-sense.com/yavp/

In today's episode of the Yet Another Value Podcast, Host, Andrew Walker, shares his thesis and presentation on Sage Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ: SAGE), a biopharmaceutical company committed to pioneering solutions to deliver life-changing brain health medicines, so every person can thrive.For more information and to subscribe to the Yet Another Value Substack, please visit: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/Disclosure: long SAGEChapters:[0:00] Episode sponsor: Alphasense[3:21] Introduction - passive vs. active investing[7:32] Overview of $SAGE and why its interesting to Andrew: passive owners in the company, shareholder engagement[13:40] Biogen offer (rejected by Sage) - what happened[17:34] Expert call with OBGYN (thank you, Alphasense!)[21:38] Board needs to weigh opportunity cost of cash burn and options[25:49] Shareholder engagement and IRWD cautionary tale / SAGE board and management compensation[30:54] Biogen / Sage merger - why it makes sense and final thoughtsToday's sponsor: AlphasenseIf you're unfamiliar with AlphaSense, it's a market intelligence platform with the world's premier library of proprietary expert insight. For years now, I've used Tegus for their expert call transcript library, and with AlphaSense's acquisition, the depth and breadth of market research content available has expanded significantly.Why I chose AlphaSense? Unparalleled expert insights—access 150,000+ proprietary expert transcripts, growing by 6,000 per month, covering 24,000+ public and private companies. Comprehensive market intelligence—search 450M+ documents, including company filings, analyst research, expert interviews, and more, all connected for deeper analysis.AI-powered research at scale—complete qualitative research 5-10x faster with advanced generative AI, delivering instant, high-confidence insights. Start your free trial now at: https://www.alpha-sense.com/yavp/

Shaul Rosten, Equity Analyst, Global Value at Redwheel, joins the podcast to share his thesis on Ayvens ($AYV.PA), a provider of full-service leasing, flexible subscription services, fleet management and multi-mobility solutions to large international corporates, SMEs, professionals and private individuals.For more information about Redwheel, please visit: https://www.redwheel.com/uk/en/institutional/Chapters:[0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Daloopa[1:39] What is Ayvens and why are they so interesting to Shaul[3:04] What is Shaul seeing with Ayvens that the market is missing[5:46] How do they compete against capital Finco's / understanding the business, how they make money[14:58] Red flags: what's going on with the "big merger" they did (LeasePlan)[23:12] Electric vehicles[28:02] Right to grow right now[32:54] SocGen's 52% ownership[38:29] Regulatory risks[42:20] What could go wrong / what could break Ayvens thesis for Shaul[46:14] Final thoughts: revisiting question - what does Shaul think the market is missing here, how'd they do during the GFC[49:19] Financing businessToday's sponsor: DaloopaEarnings season is hectic—there's no way around it. But what if you could take back the time you spend on manual model updates? With Daloopa, you can.Daloopa automates your audit and update process, instantly pulling accurate, fundamental data from filings and reports directly into your models. That means no more wasting hours on repetitive tasks. Instead, you can focus on analyzing trends, refining strategies, and staying ahead of the competition.Stop letting manual work slow you down. Set up a free account today by visiting daloopa.com/YAV and see how Daloopa can transform your workflow.

Marc Chalfin, CIO, Founder & Portfolio Manager, and Jay Upadhyay, Senior Research Analyst, at Windward Management LP, join the podcast to share their thesis on Groupon (NASDAQ: GRPN).For more information about Windward Management LP, please visit:https://www.windwardmg.com/Chapters:[0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Daloopa[1:16] What is Groupon $GRPN and why is it so interesting right now to Marc and Jay[3:24] $GRPN overhaul, why now is interesting and Windward's thesis[11:49] $GRPN set up[18:26] What is Marc and Jay seeing with $GRPN that the market is missing[24:33] Inventory and Technology[31:48] SumUp / BaseRate[37:37] Final thoughts: web traffic, understanding the tailwindsToday's sponsor: DaloopaEarnings season is hectic—there's no way around it. But what if you could take back the time you spend on manual model updates? With Daloopa, you can.Daloopa automates your audit and update process, instantly pulling accurate, fundamental data from filings and reports directly into your models. That means no more wasting hours on repetitive tasks. Instead, you can focus on analyzing trends, refining strategies, and staying ahead of the competition.Stop letting manual work slow you down. Set up a free account today by visitingdaloopa.com/YAV and see how Daloopa can transform your workflow.

Jeremie Eliahou Ontiveros, Technology Analyst at SemiAnalysis, joins the podcast to share his thoughts on the supply/demand dynamics of AI and data centers. For more information about SemiAnalysis, please visit:https://semianalysis.com/Chapters:[0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Daloopa[1:22] Supply and demand dynamics of AI; perspective on data centers[9:03] Thoughts on DeepSeek; Jeremie's worry on the whole AI trade in general; AI training[13:58] Is there a rush to generate more data right now?[17:24] Jeremie's thoughts on NVIDIA[26:32] What breaks the up cycle for AI / is subscription ultimately the way to monetize AI[32:17] Interesting power plays (picks and shovels to support AI); bitcoin miners as potential AI plays[40:58] Bitcoin miner/AI play that Jeremie is interested in; deep dive on AIRian[50:27] Management activities from bitcoin miners; why are some of these companies not seeing the AI opportunity[57:26] Final thoughts on AI, bitcoin mining, power, data centers; why this all domestic activity focusedToday's sponsor: DaloopaEarnings season is hectic—there's no way around it. But what if you could take back the time you spend on manual model updates? With Daloopa, you can.Daloopa automates your audit and update process, instantly pulling accurate, fundamental data from filings and reports directly into your models. That means no more wasting hours on repetitive tasks. Instead, you can focus on analyzing trends, refining strategies, and staying ahead of the competition.Stop letting manual work slow you down. Set up a free account today by visitingdaloopa.com/YAV and see how Daloopa can transform your workflow.

Shomik Ghosh, Partner at Boldstart Ventures, joins the podcast for the second time to discuss his thesis on Kelly Partners (ASX: KPG / OTCQX: KPGHF), a specialist chartered accounting network established in 2006 to provide a better service to private clients, private businesses & their owners, and families.For more information about Shomik Ghosh and Boldstart Ventures, please visit:https://boldstart.vc/Chapters:[0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Daloopa[2:20] Who is Kelly Partners and why they are so interesting to Shomik[5:31] What is Shomik seeing that the market is missing with Kelly Partners[9:09] $KPG's secret sauce for rolling up accounting firms / incentive risks / back office secret sauce that $KPG can do that PE firm can't[23:36] International expansion / is there enough growth runway of acquisitions[30:27] Why not relist in US from Australia?[37:10] Expanding into other areas outside accounting / AI tail risk[46:49] Management[52:13] Why are they so focused on McDonald's[55:22] Final thoughts[57:26] What does Shomik think would be the cause for the thesis breaking with Kelly Partners / how does Shomik look at fair value here[1:02:24] Quick thoughts on Match GroupToday's sponsor: DaloopaEarnings season is hectic—there's no way around it. But what if you could take back the time you spend on manual model updates? With Daloopa, you can.Daloopa automates your audit and update process, instantly pulling accurate, fundamental data from filings and reports directly into your models. That means no more wasting hours on repetitive tasks. Instead, you can focus on analyzing trends, refining strategies, and staying ahead of the competition.Stop letting manual work slow you down. Set up a free account today by visitingdaloopa.com/YAV and see how Daloopa can transform your workflow.

Aaron Chan, Founder and Managing Partner at Recurve Capital LLC, joins the podcast to discuss his thesis on Carvana Co. (NYSE: CVNA), the leading e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars. For more information about Aaron Chan and Recurve Capital, please visit: https://recurvecap.com/ Carvana - Recurve's Response to Hindenburg's Short Attack (article): https://recurvecap.com/insights/carvana-recurves-response-to-hindenburgs-short-attack Chapters: [0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Daloopa [1:20] What is Carvana and why are they so interesting to Aaron [5:00] What is Aaron seeing with $CVNA thesis that that the market is missing; differentiated view on CVNA [9:39] Why the volatility and addressing that fear; factors for the wild swings [16:49] Competitive analysis - why is no one copying the $CVNA model [22:44] How much of an advantage is the national level of $CVNA's exposure [26:47] Brand building / advertising [30:30] $CVNA economics [37:09] Why are so many short sellers attracted to $CVNA [52:18] What Aaron thinks would be the reason $CVNA thesis doesn't work 3-5 years from now; downside risks to thesis [57:05] Can $CVNA profitably serve rural places and discussion on valuation [1:03:50] Why isn't every used car dealer dead and final thoughts Today's sponsor: Daloopa Earnings season is hectic—there's no way around it. But what if you could take back the time you spend on manual model updates? With Daloopa, you can. Daloopa automates your audit and update process, instantly pulling accurate, fundamental data from filings and reports directly into your models. That means no more wasting hours on repetitive tasks. Instead, you can focus on analyzing trends, refining strategies, and staying ahead of the competition. Stop letting manual work slow you down. Set up a free account today by visiting daloopa.com/YAV and see how Daloopa can transform your workflow.

Yaron Naymark, Founder of 1 Main Capital, is back for the fifth time on the podcast to provide an update on his thesis for International Workplace Group plc (LSE: IWG), and how he overcomes the general investor skepticism associated with the company. For more information about Yaron Naymark and 1 Main Capital, please visit: https://www.1maincapital.com/ Yaron's original YAVP appearance talking $IWG.L: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QmVjVOoG6Sc Yaron's last YAVP appearance talking $IWG.L (June 2024): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FkZng2PSdxM Chapters: [0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Daloopa [1:31] Overview of $IWG.L and why it's interesting to Yaron [10:36] Valuation [13:42] Franchisees happiness levels with IWG / IWG's "secret sauce"; competitive advantage [21:44] Funding is an obstacle? / RevPAR [33:00] Overcoming general investor skepticism [44:36] Recent transactions in the IWG (shared space) industry, and what that means for IWG valuation / why doesn't Regis own WeWork right now [53:15] Valuation [57:02] What the most likely reason Yaron thinks the thesis doesn't play out / final thoughts Today's sponsor: Daloopa Earnings season is hectic—there's no way around it. But what if you could take back the time you spend on manual model updates? With Daloopa, you can. Daloopa automates your audit and update process, instantly pulling accurate, fundamental data from filings and reports directly into your models. That means no more wasting hours on repetitive tasks. Instead, you can focus on analyzing trends, refining strategies, and staying ahead of the competition. Stop letting manual work slow you down. Set up a free account today by visiting daloopa.com/YAV and see how Daloopa can transform your workflow.

Rory Wallace, Chief Investment Officer at Outerbridge Capital, joins the podcast to discuss his thesis on Allot Ltd. (NASDAQ: ALLT), a leading global provider of innovative network intelligence and security solutions for service providers and enterprises worldwide. For more information about Rory Wallace and Outbridge Capital, please visit: https://www.outerbridgecapital.com/ Chapters: [0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Fintool [2:06] What is Allot $ALLT and why is it so interesting to Rory [7:22] What is Rory seeing with $ALLT thesis that that the market is missing [12:11] Fundamental question RE: vendors and vendor stickiness with Verizon partnership [20:51] Why are customers signing up for Verizon security service vs. something else [27:34] What drove $ALLT run in stock price in last couple months [30:44] What is different this time with the $ALLT pitch vs. past write-ups on VIC [34:55] Management [39:10] Is there a chance that AT&T would use the same CCAS provider as Verizon (Allot) [43:36] Shareholder mindset of the company [46:07] $ALLT valuation [48:22] Competitive landscape Today's sponsor: Fintool Fintool is ChatGPT for SEC Filings and earnings calls. Are you still doing keyword searches and going to the individual filing and using control F? That's the old way of doing things before AI. With Fintool, you can ask any question and it's going to automatically generate the best answer. So they may pull from a portion of an earnings call, or a 10k, whatever it may be and then answer your question. The best part- every portion of the answer is cited with the source document. Now- if you've tried to do any of this in ChatGPT you may know that the answers are often wrong or hallucinations. The way Fintool is able to outperform ChatGPT is their focus on the SEC filings. If you're an analyst or a portfolio manager at a hedge fund, check them out at https://fintool.com?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=yavb&utm_content=podcast280

Alex Morris, Author of "Buffett and Munger Unscripted" and Owner & Analyst at TSOH Investment Research, joins the podcast to discuss his first book, "Buffett and Munger Unscripted." You can buy your copy of Alex's new book, "Buffett and Munger Unscripted" here: https://amzn.to/4asUWNi Chapters: [0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Fintool [3:03] Why Alex decided to write "Buffett and Munger Unscripted" [7:53] When did the repetition build up (speaking to organization of the book) [10:23] Incentives and ethical guardrails [21:10] Biggest differences about Buffett over the last 20-30 years [29:53] Nike [39:14] Is there an industry that Berkshire hasn't really invested in after all of Alex's research [41:56] Wal-Mart and Costco [45:27] Predictability and cyclical businesses [49:11] Alex's view of Buffett's thoughts on the market these days [51:55] Parallels between Berkshire to Markel [55:42] Banks [1:04:22] Andrew's thoughts on Academy Sports + Outdoors, and the space in general Today's sponsor: Fintool Fintool is ChatGPT for SEC Filings and earnings calls. Are you still doing keyword searches and going to the individual filing and using control F? That's the old way of doing things before AI. With Fintool, you can ask any question and it's going to automatically generate the best answer. So they may pull from a portion of an earnings call, or a 10k, whatever it may be and then answer your question. The best part- every portion of the answer is cited with the source document. Now- if you've tried to do any of this in ChatGPT you may know that the answers are often wrong or hallucinations. The way Fintool is able to outperform ChatGPT is their focus on the SEC filings. If you're an analyst or a portfolio manager at a hedge fund, check them out at https://fintool.com?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=yavb&utm_content=podcast280

In this bonus episode, Andrew and Byrne Hobart from The Diff discuss the 2008 book More Than a Numbers Game See Byrne's writing at: https://www.thediff.co/ More Than a Numbers Game on amazon: https://amzn.to/4ajREfe See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

In today's episode of the Yet Another Value Podcast, Host, Andrew Walker, shares his thesis and presentation on the YAVB 2025 Idea of the Year: Full House Resorts $FLL, owns, leases, develops and operates gaming facilities throughout the country. For more information and to subscribe to the Yet Another Value Substack, please visit: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/ Disclosure: long FLL Chapters: [0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Daloopa [1:35] Introduction to the Idea of the Year of 2025 [3:07] Quick overview of YAVB Idea of the Year: Full House Resorts $FLL and how to win at regional gaming case study [18:11] Why $FLL interesting/unique opportunity to Andrew [23:38] Why did $FLL invest in Chamonix [25:52] $FLL portfolio casino: American Place [28:22] Upside / what are we playing for [30:39] Why does the $FLL opportunity exist [36:06] The new markets already ramping: American Place and Chamonix [40:53] Risks: Chamonix Ramp, American Place Lawsuit [50:50] Unlocking Value in $FLL: sale leasebacks [56:47] Unlocking Value in $FLL: M&A [1:01:11] Synergies (if a strategic were to buy $FLL) [1:02:57] Final thoughts Today's sponsor: Daloopa Hey there, fundamental analysts - Are you tired of the endless grind of updating financial models, scrubbing documents, and hard coding? Let's talk about something that could transform your workflow—Daloopa. Daloopa delivers perfect historicals for thousands of public companies. That means every KPI, operating data, financial metric, adjustment, and guidance—all at your fingertips. And here's the best part: Daloopa updates your models in near real-time, which is especially important during earnings season, tailored to your modeling format and style. Imagine never having to update your models again. With Daloopa, you can reclaim your time and focus on what really matters—analysis and research. Want to learn more? Create a FREE account at Daloopa.com/YAV

Welcome to the December 2024 edition of Andrew's Random Ramblings on the Yet Another Value Podcast. Once a month, Andrew will share thoughts on a few topics - this episode includes: Yet Another Value Empire, reflecting on investing focus for 2025, Parallels between Athletics and Investing and Incentives. Chapters: [0:00] Introduction to Andrew's Random Ramblings + Episode sponsor: Fintool [2:34] Yet Another Value empire and reflecting on investing focus for 2025 [11:32] Parallels between athletics and investing [18:16] Incentives Today's sponsor: Fintool Fintool is ChatGPT for SEC Filings and earnings calls. Are you still doing keyword searches and going to the individual filing and using control F? That's the old way of doing things before AI. With Fintool, you can ask any question and it's going to automatically generate the best answer. So they may pull from a portion of an earnings call, or a 10k, whatever it may be and then answer your question. The best part- every portion of the answer is cited with the source document. Now- if you've tried to do any of this in ChatGPT you may know that the answers are often wrong or hallucinations. The way Fintool is able to outperform ChatGPT is their focus on the SEC filings. If you're an analyst or a portfolio manager at a hedge fund, check them out at https://fintool.com?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=yavb&utm_content=podcast280

Asif Suria, Author of "The Event-Driven Edge in Investing: Six Special Situation Strategies to Outperform the Market" and Founder and CEO at Inside Arbitrage, joins the podcast for the second time to discuss his thesis on Pebblebrook Hotel Trust $PEB, as well as his thoughts on insider activity post-election. You can buy your copy of Asif's new book, "The Event-Driven Edge in Investing: Six Special Situation Strategies to Outperform the Market" here: https://www.amazon.com/Event-Driven-Edge-Investing-Strategies-Outperform-ebook/dp/B0CN3PF1SW?_encoding=UTF8&dib_tag=se&dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.1zuikMLb5MN1aQVWodj1ww.Nui4P_rilsWES5p1FNmoTnd5v0myqxSeQautyazGgno&qid=1715709920&sr=8-1&linkCode=sl1&tag=andrew613880e-20&linkId=376c305fd243b22988ebba35edf5ecee&language=en_US&ref_=as_li_ss_tl Chapters: [0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Fintool [2:13] What is Pebblebrook Hotel Trust and why are they interesting to Asif [6:18] Insider purchases at Pebblebrook Hotel Trust [9:44] What Asif is seeing with Pebblebrook Hotel Trust that the market is missing [13:56] $PEB portfolio [18:56] Management claim on 11-14% ROI growth investment / NAV numbers from their November 2024 investor presentation [23:20] Competitive landscape - why $PEB over other hotel companies / Share buybacks [28:07] What keeps Asif up at night about his $PEB thesis and investment [29:50] Management incentives [36:12] AirBnB risk? [37:59] Special Situations in general: What have insiders been looking at post-election / sectors Asif is seeing a lot of insider buying currently and elevated insider selling [44:28] Spin-offs Today's sponsor: Fintool Fintool is ChatGPT for SEC Filings and earnings calls. Are you still doing keyword searches and going to the individual filing and using control F? That's the old way of doing things before AI. With Fintool, you can ask any question and it's going to automatically generate the best answer. So they may pull from a portion of an earnings call, or a 10k, whatever it may be and then answer your question. The best part- every portion of the answer is cited with the source document. Now- if you've tried to do any of this in ChatGPT you may know that the answers are often wrong or hallucinations. The way Fintool is able to outperform ChatGPT is their focus on the SEC filings. If you're an analyst or a portfolio manager at a hedge fund, check them out at https://fintool.com?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=yavb&utm_content=podcast280

Jake Barfield, Founder & Portfolio Manager at Asheville Capital Management, joins the podcast to share his thesis on InPost Group, Europe's leading e-commerce logistics enabler. Jake Barfield's write-up on InPost: https://jakebarfield.substack.com/p/inpost-inpst-investment-thesis Chapters: [0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Fintool [2:23] What is InPost and why are they interesting to Jake [4:24] What Jake is seeing with InPost that the market is missing [5:46] Push back on Jake's thesis + European parcel delivery differences to US [14:48] Relationship with Allegro [20:27] Why aren't landlords sticking it to InPost [23:55] Competitive analysis [34:32] Market penetration; Polish market and how they are trying to gain market share in UK and France [45:06] Valuation [55:26] Call options and gamification of customer experience [1:00:56] Advent involvement; how does Jake think about empire building risk [1:05:45] What would have to happen for InPost thesis to not work and final thoughts Today's sponsor: Fintool Fintool is ChatGPT for SEC Filings and earnings calls. Are you still doing keyword searches and going to the individual filing and using control F? That's the old way of doing things before AI. With Fintool, you can ask any question and it's going to automatically generate the best answer. So they may pull from a portion of an earnings call, or a 10k, whatever it may be and then answer your question. The best part- every portion of the answer is cited with the source document. Now- if you've tried to do any of this in ChatGPT you may know that the answers are often wrong or hallucinations. The way Fintool is able to outperform ChatGPT is their focus on the SEC filings. If you're an analyst or a portfolio manager at a hedge fund, **check them out at https://fintool.com/**.

Eric Speron, Managing Director of Equities, PM of First Foundation Total Return (FBBYX) at First Foundation, Inc., joins the podcast to share his thesis on Lagardere SA (MMB.PA), an international group with operations in more than 40 countries worldwide. The Group focuses on three divisions: Lagardère Publishing (Books, E-Books, Partworks, Stationery, Board Games and Mobile Games), Lagardère Travel Retail (Travel Essentials, Duty Free & Fashion and Dining) and Lagardère News (Le Journal du Dimanche, JDNews and the Elle brand licence). The Group's operating assets also include Lagardère Live Entertainment and Lagardère Paris Racing. Eric Speron's Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/eric-speron-cfa-09925a3/ Chapters: [0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Daloopa [2:31] What is Lagardere SA (MMB.PA) and why is it so interesting to Eric [6:12] What is Eric seeing with Lagardere SA (MMB.PA) that the market is missing [8:54] Vivendi's spin off of ownership stake in Lagardere in December [13:21] Publishing business and growth catalysts [28:25] Travel retail business and the opportunity here [36:28] What does the sum of the parts look like; valuation question [41:07] How does Eric think the spin off will play out [47:44] Final thoughts Today's sponsor: Daloopa Hey there, fundamental analysts - Are you tired of the endless grind of updating financial models, scrubbing documents, and hard coding? Let's talk about something that could transform your workflow—Daloopa. Daloopa delivers perfect historicals for thousands of public companies. That means every KPI, operating data, financial metric, adjustment, and guidance—all at your fingertips. And here's the best part: Daloopa updates your models in near real-time, which is especially important during earnings season, tailored to your modeling format and style. Imagine never having to update your models again. With Daloopa, you can reclaim your time and focus on what really matters—analysis and research. Want to learn more? Create a FREE account at Daloopa.com/YAV

Welcome to the November 2024 edition of Andrew's Random Ramblings on the Yet Another Value Podcast. Once a month, Andrew will share thoughts on a few topics - this episode includes: Quick thoughts on the election, polymarket, what investors do to stay on top of their game, Investing blind spots: financial engineering and existential risks. Chapters: [0:00] Introduction to Andrew's Random Ramblings + Episode sponsor: Daloopa [1:57] Quick thoughts on the election, market reactions [6:35] Polymarket [9:48] What do top investors do that mirrors NBA players that spend millions on their body management to stay at the top of their games [13:20] Investing blind spots: financial engineering, existential risks Today's sponsor: Daloopa Hey there, fundamental analysts - Are you tired of the endless grind of updating financial models, scrubbing documents, and hard coding? Let's talk about something that could transform your workflow—Daloopa. Daloopa delivers perfect historicals for thousands of public companies. That means every KPI, operating data, financial metric, adjustment, and guidance—all at your fingertips. And here's the best part: Daloopa updates your models in near real-time, which is especially important during earnings season, tailored to your modeling format and style. Imagine never having to update your models again. With Daloopa, you can reclaim your time and focus on what really matters—analysis and research. Want to learn more? Create a FREE account at Daloopa.com/YAV

Chadd Garcia, Portfolio Manager and Senior Research Analyst at Schwartz Investment Counsel Inc. - Ave Maria Focused Fund, joins the podcast for his third appearance to share his thesis on SECURE Energy Services Inc. (TSX: SES), a leading waste management and energy infrastructure company. Chapters: [0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Daloopa [1:48] What is Secure Energy Services $SES.TO and why is it interesting to Chadd [4:56] What is Chadd seeing with $SES.TO that the market is missing [6:46] $SES.TO's recent run-up, catalysts, acquisitions [15:53] Risk that Western Canada is drilling a lot less oil in the future [19:15] Capital allocation / changing the corporate name [24:58] Continue aggressive buy-backs or focus on tuck-in acquisitions [29:30] Customer insourcing potential [31:40] Waste processing facilities, waste businesses; why haven't people picked up on this aspect of the story thus far [36:00] Bought a lot of assets in distress; what has happened that drives those assets in distress that's not a risk here? [37:46] Separation of businesses argument [40:55] Scenarios for why $SES.TO thesis doesn't work out / final thoughts Today's sponsor: Daloopa Hey there, fundamental analysts - Are you tired of the endless grind of updating financial models, scrubbing documents, and hard coding? Let's talk about something that could transform your workflow—Daloopa. Daloopa delivers perfect historicals for thousands of public companies. That means every KPI, operating data, financial metric, adjustment, and guidance—all at your fingertips. And here's the best part: Daloopa updates your models in near real-time, which is especially important during earnings season, tailored to your modeling format and style. Imagine never having to update your models again. With Daloopa, you can reclaim your time and focus on what really matters—analysis and research. Want to learn more? Create a FREE account at Daloopa.com/YAV

Todd Wenning, CFA, President and CIO at KNA Capital Management, joins the podcast to discuss his thesis on Ecolab Inc. (NYSE: ECL), a global sustainability leader offering water, hygiene and infection prevention solutions and services. For more information about KNA Capital Management, please visit: https://www.kna-capital.com/ To subscribe to Todd's newsletter, Flyover Stocks, on Substack, please visit: https://www.flyoverstocks.com/ You can Follow Todd Wenning on Twitter/X @ToddWenning: https://x.com/ToddWenning Chapters: [0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Daloopa [1:24] What is Ecolab $ECL and why is it interesting to Todd [3:38] What is Todd seeing that the market is missing with $ECL [6:30] $ECL achilles heel and how they are addressing that / understanding the upside [12:33] $ECL business and major drivers for growth [20:11] Water vertical / why Ecolab's products and services are critical to data centers, hospitals [26:29] Does it make sense for $ECL to have all these businesses under one roof? [29:22] Cintas comparison: market penetration / has $ECL ever lost a QSR? [36:18] Insider ownership and incentives / Bill Gates investment, starting to sell through Cascade [45:47] Debate on AI and automation with Ecolab [51:37] Difference between Ecolab and Cintas or Costco [57:16] What would cause $ECL to regress to the mean [1:00:57] $ECL Final thoughts Today's sponsor: Daloopa Hey there, fundamental analysts - Are you tired of the endless grind of updating financial models, scrubbing documents, and hard coding? Let's talk about something that could transform your workflow—Daloopa. Daloopa delivers perfect historicals for thousands of public companies. That means every KPI, operating data, financial metric, adjustment, and guidance—all at your fingertips. And here's the best part: Daloopa updates your models in near real-time, which is especially important during earnings season, tailored to your modeling format and style. Imagine never having to update your models again. With Daloopa, you can reclaim your time and focus on what really matters—analysis and research. Want to learn more? Create a FREE account at Daloopa.com/YAV

Welcome to the October 2024 edition of Andrew's Random Ramblings on the Yet Another Value Podcast. Once a month, Andrew will share thoughts on a few topics - this episode includes: being in the room with good investors, geopolitical risks, oil & energy shortages and follow up to September 2024 ramblings on probabilities. Chapters: [0:00] Introduction to Andrew's Random Ramblings + Episode sponsor: Tegus [2:29] Being in the room with good investors [6:35] Geopolitical risks [11:16] Oil/energy shortage [15:06] Follow up to September 2024 ramblings on probabilities Episode sponsor: Tegus If you've been reading my newsletters, you know how often I rely on Tegus for my research. It's truly revolutionized how I get up to speed on new industries and companies. Tegus has the largest transcript library in the world, with over 75% of private market transcripts. Whether you're curious about AI, biotech, or any niche market, Tegus has the insights you need. What sets Tegus apart is its all-in-one platform. It's packed with expert call transcripts, management checks, panel calls, and in-depth financial data. No more jumping between different services or piecing together fragmented data. With Tegus, everything is right at your fingertips.The best part? The insights you get are from the very people shaping the industries you're interested in. You'll find perspectives from insiders and executives that you simply can't get anywhere else. To see Tegus in action and understand why it's my go-to resource, visit Tegus.com/value – that's T-E-G-U-S dot com slash value. Trust me, once you try Tegus, you'll never look back.

Chris Waller, Founder and CIO at Plural Investing, joins the podcast for the second time to discuss his thesis on The Watches of Switzerland Group (WOSG.LN), an international retailer of world leading luxury watch brands with a growing complement of luxury jewelry brands. For more information about Plural Invest, please visit: https://www.pluralinvesting.com/ Plural Investing write up on $WOSG: https://www.pluralinvesting.com/research Chapters: [0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Tegus [2:26] What is The Watches of Switzerland Group and why is it so interesting? [5:52] What is Chris seeing that the market is missing about $WOSG opportunity? [8:25] Why is current valuation compelling? Retailer valuations [12:05] Rolex relationship [19:54] Margin and Rolex business model / other examples of symbiotic supplier-retailer relations where the retailer makes so much of the profit [28:29] Multi-brand stores, Rolex dictates where their brand is located in the store [31:57] Final thoughts on Rolex relationship [35:06] Why doesn't Rolex sell online [38:08] Concerns about Rolex brands because of greater production / does Rolex resonate with new generations, brand lasticity [43:28] How is Rolex advertised these days [45:28] How does Chris think about the growth algorithm for the company / bridging the gap between $WOSG opening new stores and most Rolex watches bought at mom-and-pops that are shutting down [50:14] Why shouldn't this be owned by PE [54:00] Capital allocation [57:15] Any additional risks / misconception about Chinese tourism with Rolex Episode sponsor: Tegus If you've been reading my newsletters, you know how often I rely on Tegus for my research. It's truly revolutionized how I get up to speed on new industries and companies. Tegus has the largest transcript library in the world, with over 75% of private market transcripts. Whether you're curious about AI, biotech, or any niche market, Tegus has the insights you need. What sets Tegus apart is its all-in-one platform. It's packed with expert call transcripts, management checks, panel calls, and in-depth financial data. No more jumping between different services or piecing together fragmented data. With Tegus, everything is right at your fingertips. The best part? The insights you get are from the very people shaping the industries you're interested in. You'll find perspectives from insiders and executives that you simply can't get anywhere else. To see Tegus in action and understand why it's my go-to resource, visit Tegus.com/value – that's T-E-G-U-S dot com slash value. Trust me, once you try Tegus, you'll never look back.

Kyle Mowery, Managing Partner and Portfolio Manager at GrizzlyRock Capital, joins the podcast for the third time to discuss his thesis on Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: DRVN), an automotive services company in North America, providing a range of consumer and commercial automotive needs, including paint, collision, glass, vehicle repair, oil change, maintenance and car wash To see the full DRVN deck, see: https://www.grizzlyrockcapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/GrizzlyRock-Driven-Brands-Write-Up-October-2024.pdf Chapters: [0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Tegus [2:05] What is Driven Brands Holdings and why is it so interesting? [3:38] What is Kyle seeing that the market is missing with $DRVN [7:20] $DRVN trading history and what caused this dislocation that gives the perceived opportunity here [11:59] What protects $DRVN from oversupply (oil change services) problem? [16:37] Why is the brand and scale beneficial to Driven/Take 5? [18:35] $DRVN valuation / why do they not report Take 5 numbers separately? [24:59] How does Kyle view Roark's ownership of the company [28:23] Capital allocation [34:01] EV Risk [38:03] Glass and Collision segments [46:45] Path for Car Wash [51:44] $DRVN bear case [56:50] Final thoughts Episode sponsor: Tegus If you've been reading my newsletters, you know how often I rely on Tegus for my research. It's truly revolutionized how I get up to speed on new industries and companies. Tegus has the largest transcript library in the world, with over 75% of private market transcripts. Whether you're curious about AI, biotech, or any niche market, Tegus has the insights you need. What sets Tegus apart is its all-in-one platform. It's packed with expert call transcripts, management checks, panel calls, and in-depth financial data. No more jumping between different services or piecing together fragmented data. With Tegus, everything is right at your fingertips. The best part? The insights you get are from the very people shaping the industries you're interested in. You'll find perspectives from insiders and executives that you simply can't get anywhere else. To see Tegus in action and understand why it's my go-to resource, visit Tegus.com/value – that's T-E-G-U-S dot com slash value. Trust me, once you try Tegus, you'll never look back.

Matt Warder, @mfwarder on Twitter/X, is back on the podcast to discuss all things Coal, including: overall thoughts on coal at this point September 2024, vision for coal with AI, met coal, upcoming election, Peabody $BTU 13D, $CEIX $ARCH merger and more! You can Follow Matt Warder on Twitter/X @mfwarder: https://twitter.com/mfwarder Matt Warder's first appearance on YAVP: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DF0uGS4swLM Chapters: [0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Tegus [2:31] Where we are in the overall coal market [4:38] Coal for AI overview [12:18] Overall supply/demand for Metallurgical "met" coal [17:35] How does the election affect coal market [21:31] Vision for Coal and AI, how does coal morph into an AI play [30:26] AI arms race and building AI data centers, timeline to building this AI / Coal power play and how should folks think about new coal plants in America [35:21] Final thoughts on AI and Coal [38:31] Peabody $BTU 13D [46:40] Peabody and Consol Energy / Arch Resource merger conference calls; why are management communicating this way [49:16] Insider ownership in Coal stocks [55:37] Other levers that could be pulled to unlock value in PRB [59:38] How to think about met coal stocks right now and their performance [1:03:21] $BTU corporate action ideas [1:05:45] Comments on $CEIX $ARCH merger Episode sponsor: Tegus If you've been reading my newsletters, you know how often I rely on Tegus for my research. It's truly revolutionized how I get up to speed on new industries and companies. Tegus has the largest transcript library in the world, with over 75% of private market transcripts. Whether you're curious about AI, biotech, or any niche market, Tegus has the insights you need. What sets Tegus apart is its all-in-one platform. It's packed with expert call transcripts, management checks, panel calls, and in-depth financial data. No more jumping between different services or piecing together fragmented data. With Tegus, everything is right at your fingertips. The best part? The insights you get are from the very people shaping the industries you're interested in. You'll find perspectives from insiders and executives that you simply can't get anywhere else. To see Tegus in action and understand why it's my go-to resource, visit Tegus.com/value – that's T-E-G-U-S dot com slash value. Trust me, once you try Tegus, you'll never look back.

Welcome to the September 2024 edition of Andrew's Random Ramblings on the Yet Another Value Podcast. Once a month, Andrew will share thoughts on a few topics - this episode includes: heavy selection bias, probabilities and waiting and how people value them, and returns on fame. Chapters: [0:00] Introduction to Andrew's Random Ramblings + Episode sponsor: Daloopa [1:36] What are the returns for folks focused on one company, one sector [7:25] Probabilities and terminal 0's [12:57] Returns on fame Today's sponsor: Daloopa Hey there, fundamental analysts - Are you tired of the endless grind of updating financial models, scrubbing documents, and hard coding? Let's talk about something that could transform your workflow—Daloopa. Daloopa delivers perfect historicals for thousands of public companies. That means every KPI, operating data, financial metric, adjustment, and guidance—all at your fingertips. And here's the best part: Daloopa updates your models in near real-time, which is especially important during earnings season, tailored to your modeling format and style. Imagine never having to update your models again. With Daloopa, you can reclaim your time and focus on what really matters—analysis and research. Want to learn more? Create a FREE account at Daloopa.com/YAV

Michael D. Cohen, CEO & Director of Research at MDC Financial Research, LLC, joins the podcast to provide his post-game report on $ACI / $KR case. For more information about MDC Financial Research, please visit: https://mdcfinancial.com/ Chapters: [0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Tegus [2:20] Overview: his post-game report on $ACI / $KR case + Michael's comments on the judge [6:25] Now that the trial is over, how the case went overall in Michael's opinion [15:14] What were the reactions from those also in the courtroom with Michael [20:36] Joe the Grocer testimony [25:50] Due process arguments / price checking [31:21] Experts, who was most believable [40:01] What Michael saw and hear regarding CNS as a buyer / confidentiality (close courtroom to the gallery) [45:11] Closing arguments / anything else jumped out to Michael from the trial [49:44] Possible outcomes for the case / incentives for why each side wants their side to win [57:05] Michael's guess on the odds of a preliminary injunction coming down here / is it more fun to listen to a well-reasoned case from both sides or more a Kangaroo-court style case [1:00:54] Hot docs / final thoughts Episode sponsor: Tegus If you've been reading my newsletters, you know how often I rely on Tegus for my research. It's truly revolutionized how I get up to speed on new industries and companies. Tegus has the largest transcript library in the world, with over 75% of private market transcripts. Whether you're curious about AI, biotech, or any niche market, Tegus has the insights you need. What sets Tegus apart is its all-in-one platform. It's packed with expert call transcripts, management checks, panel calls, and in-depth financial data. No more jumping between different services or piecing together fragmented data. With Tegus, everything is right at your fingertips. The best part? The insights you get are from the very people shaping the industries you're interested in. You'll find perspectives from insiders and executives that you simply can't get anywhere else. To see Tegus in action and understand why it's my go-to resource, visit Tegus.com/value – that's T-E-G-U-S dot com slash value. Trust me, once you try Tegus, you'll never look back.

Mitchell Scott, Founder and Portfolio Manager at Choice Equities Capital Management, joined the podcast for the second time to provide an update on his Crocs, Inc. (NASDAQ: CROX) thesis and Mitchell's thoughts on Magnite $MGNI. For more information about Choice Equities Capital Management, please visit: https://choice-equities.com/ First appearance on $CROX: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hzYLXDJZIaE Podcast on $MGNI with Dan Day: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=we2o8Jw7Hno Ryan O'Connor's piece on $MGNI: https://www.crossroadscap.io/documents/trust-busting-update Chapters: [0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Daloopa [1:36] Update on $CROX thesis [4:22] How has Mitchell's views on whether $CROX is a fad changed (or not) [7:26] Crocs' partnerships driving the brand [10:05] Macro consumer, consumer weakness, anything of concern for $CROX / margins [15:05] HeyDude acquisition [21:00] What does Mitchell see that makes $CROX an alpha opportunity [22:46] $CROX capital allocation moving forward / final thoughts on $CROX [26:56] What is Magnite and why are value-oriented event investors on the small-cap side talking about to this company? [30:45] What does Mitchell see that makes $MGNI an alpha opportunity [35:06] $MGNI's Netflix and Disney deals [38:17] Big customer wins squeeze take rates down for $MGNI? [44:39] Why isn't $MGNI growing faster? [47:53] Key to unlocking personalized ads on CTV streaming, is $MGNI key to this? [52:19] $MGNI bear case / insider selling [54:21] Google DOJ anti-trust case and how it affects $MGNI Today's sponsor: Daloopa Hey there, fundamental analysts - Are you tired of the endless grind of updating financial models, scrubbing documents, and hard coding? Let's talk about something that could transform your workflow—Daloopa. Daloopa delivers perfect historicals for thousands of public companies. That means every KPI, operating data, financial metric, adjustment, and guidance—all at your fingertips. And here's the best part: Daloopa updates your models in near real-time, which is especially important during earnings season, tailored to your modeling format and style. Imagine never having to update your models again. With Daloopa, you can reclaim your time and focus on what really matters—analysis and research. Want to learn more? Create a FREE account at Daloopa.com/YAV

Conor Maguire, Founder and Editor of the Value Situations Newsletter, joins the podcast for his third appearance to share his thesis on Dowlais Group Plc (DWL), a portfolio of market leading, high-technology engineering businesses that advance the world's transition to sustainable vehicles. For more information about Conor Maguire and Value Situations Substack: https://valuesits.substack.com/ DWL write up on Value Situations Newsletter: https://valuesits.substack.com/p/dowlais-spinning-wheels Chapters: [0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Tegus [2:15] What is Dowlais Group Plc (DWL) and why are they interesting to Conor [9:18] What is Conor seeing about Dowlais that the market is missing [16:42] Dowlais recent history [21:45] Trends in the auto industry [27:43] Bidding war time from 2018 [32:29] Margin expansion [38:03] Management and incentive structure [49:08] Capital allocation scenarios [53:25] Who's the buyer of Powdermet [58:50] Cyclicality of Powdermet business? [1:02:16] Final thoughts on Dowlais / one more question about goodwill on the balance sheet Episode sponsor: Tegus If you've been reading my newsletters, you know how often I rely on Tegus for my research. It's truly revolutionized how I get up to speed on new industries and companies. Tegus has the largest transcript library in the world, with over 75% of private market transcripts. Whether you're curious about AI, biotech, or any niche market, Tegus has the insights you need. What sets Tegus apart is its all-in-one platform. It's packed with expert call transcripts, management checks, panel calls, and in-depth financial data. No more jumping between different services or piecing together fragmented data. With Tegus, everything is right at your fingertips. The best part? The insights you get are from the very people shaping the industries you're interested in. You'll find perspectives from insiders and executives that you simply can't get anywhere else. To see Tegus in action and understand why it's my go-to resource, visit Tegus.com/value – that's T-E-G-U-S dot com slash value. Trust me, once you try Tegus, you'll never look back.

Ross Levin, Director of Research at Arbiter Partners, joins the podcast for the second time to discuss betting on French compounding legend, Vincent Bolloré: Bolloré SE and Compagnie de l'Odet. For more information about Arbiter Partners, please visit: ⁠https://arbiterpartners.net/ Chapters: [0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Tegus [2:36] What are Bolloré SE and Compagnie de l'Odet and why are they interesting to Ross [12:18] Asset value / share count [16:46] Why (in Ross' opinion) is this an alpha opportunity and why now [23:03] Betting on compounding legend, Vincent Bolloré [27:40] Risk of getting "Icahn'd" [32:20] Share re-purchases / capital allocation [39:31] French regulatory risk [41:41] What's the path for l'Odet [45:42] Vivendi [50:38] Anything else that investors should be looking out for here? Follow on re: capital allocation scenarios [54:57] Ross' quick thoughts on CCIs and France overall Episode sponsor: Tegus If you've been reading my newsletters, you know how often I rely on Tegus for my research. It's truly revolutionized how I get up to speed on new industries and companies. Tegus has the largest transcript library in the world, with over 75% of private market transcripts. Whether you're curious about AI, biotech, or any niche market, Tegus has the insights you need. What sets Tegus apart is its all-in-one platform. It's packed with expert call transcripts, management checks, panel calls, and in-depth financial data. No more jumping between different services or piecing together fragmented data. With Tegus, everything is right at your fingertips. The best part? The insights you get are from the very people shaping the industries you're interested in. You'll find perspectives from insiders and executives that you simply can't get anywhere else. To see Tegus in action and understand why it's my go-to resource, visit Tegus.com/value – that's T-E-G-U-S dot com slash value. Trust me, once you try Tegus, you'll never look back.