Podcasts about contrarianism

Welcome back to Snafu w/ Robin Zander.  In this episode, I'm joined by Brian Elliott, former Slack executive and co-founder of Future Forum. We discuss the common mistakes leaders make about AI and why trust and transparency are more crucial than ever. Brian shares lessons from building high-performing teams, what makes good leadership, and how to foster real collaboration. He also reflects on raising values-driven kids, the breakdown of institutional trust, and why purpose matters. We touch on the early research behind Future Forum and what he'd do differently today. Brian will also be joining us live at Responsive Conference 2025, and I'm excited to continue the conversation there. If you haven't gotten your tickets yet, get them here. What Do Most People Get Wrong About AI? (1:53) “Senior leaders sit on polar ends of the spectrum on this stuff. Very, very infrequently, sit in the middle, which is kind of where I find myself too often.”  Robin notes Brian will be co-leading an active session on AI at Responsive Conference with longtime collaborator Helen Kupp. He tees up the conversation by saying Brian holds “a lot of controversial opinions” on AI, not that it's insignificant, but that there's a lot of “idealization.” Brian says most senior leaders fall into one of two camps: Camp A: “Oh my God, this changes everything.” These are the fear-mongers shouting: “If you don't adopt now, your career is over.” Camp B: “This will blow over.” They treat AI as just another productivity fad, like others before it. Brian positions himself somewhere in the middle but is frustrated by both ends of the spectrum. He points out that the loudest voices (Mark Benioff, Andy Jassy, Zuckerberg, Sam Altman) are “arms merchants” – they're pushing AI tools because they've invested billions. These tools are massively expensive to build and run, and unless they displace labor, it's unclear how they generate ROI. believe in AI's potential and  aggressively push adoption inside their companies. So, naturally, these execs have to: But “nothing ever changes that fast,” and both the hype and the dismissal are off-base. Why Playing with AI Matters More Than Training (3:29) AI is materially different from past tech, but what's missing is attention to how adoption happens. “The organizational craft of driving adoption is not about handing out tools. It's all emotional.” Adoption depends on whether people respond with fear or aspiration, not whether they have the software. Frontline managers are key: it's their job to create the time and space for teams to experiment with AI. Brian credits Helen Kupp for being great at facilitating this kind of low-stakes experimentation. Suggests teams should “play with AI tools” in a way totally unrelated to their actual job. Example: take a look at your fridge, list the ingredients you have, and have AI suggest a recipe. “Well, that's a sucky recipe, but it could do that, right?” The point isn't utility,  it's comfort and conversation: What's OK to use AI for? Is it acceptable to draft your self-assessment for performance reviews with AI? Should you tell your boss or hide it? The Purpose of Doing the Thing (5:30) Robin brings up Ezra Klein's podcast in The New York Times, where Ezra asks: “What's the purpose of writing an essay in college?” AI can now do better research than a student, faster and maybe more accurately. But Robin argues that the act of writing is what matters, not just the output. Says: “I'm much better at writing that letter than ChatGPT can ever be, because only Robin Zander can write that letter.” Example: Robin and his partner are in contract on a house and wrote a letter to the seller – the usual “sob story” to win favor. All the writing he's done over the past two years prepared him to write that one letter better. “The utility of doing the thing is not the thing itself – it's what it trains.” Learning How to Learn (6:35) Robin's fascinated by “skills that train skills” – a lifelong theme in both work and athletics. He brings up Josh Waitzkin (from Searching for Bobby Fischer), who went from chess prodigy to big wave surfer to foil board rider. Josh trained his surfing skills by riding a OneWheel through NYC, practicing balance in a different context. Robin is drawn to that kind of transfer learning and “meta-learning” – especially since it's so hard to measure or study. He asks: What might AI be training in us that isn't the thing itself? We don't yet know the cognitive effects of using generative AI daily, but we should be asking. Cognitive Risk vs. Capability Boost (8:00) Brian brings up early research suggesting AI could make us “dumber.” Outsourcing thinking to AI reduces sharpness over time. But also: the “10,000 repetitions” idea still holds weight – doing the thing builds skill. There's a tension between “performance mode” (getting the thing done) and “growth mode” (learning). He relates it to writing: Says he's a decent writer, not a great one, but wants to keep getting better. Has a “quad project” with an editor who helps refine tone and clarity but doesn't do the writing. The setup: he provides 80% drafts, guidelines, tone notes, and past writing samples. The AI/editor cleans things up, but Brian still reviews: “I want that colloquialism back in.” “I want that specific example back in.” “That's clunky, I don't want to keep it.” Writing is iterative, and tools can help, but shouldn't replace his voice. On Em Dashes & Detecting Human Writing (9:30) Robin shares a trick: he used em dashes long before ChatGPT and does them with a space on either side. He says that ChatGPT's em dashes are double-length and don't have spaces. If you want to prove ChatGPT didn't write something, “just add the space.” Brian agrees and jokes that his editors often remove the spaces, but he puts them back in. Reiterates that professional human editors like the ones he works with at Charter and Sloan are still better than AI. Closing the Gap Takes More Than Practice (10:31) Robin references The Gap by Ira Glass, a 2014 video that explores the disconnect between a creator's vision and their current ability to execute on that vision. He highlights Glass's core advice: the only way to close that gap is through consistent repetition – what Glass calls “the reps.” Brian agrees, noting that putting in the reps is exactly what creators must do, even when their output doesn't yet meet their standards. Brian also brings up his recent conversation with Nick Petrie, whose work focuses not only on what causes burnout but also on what actually resolves it. He notes research showing that people stuck in repetitive performance mode – like doctors doing the same task for decades – eventually see a decline in performance. Brian recommends mixing in growth opportunities alongside mastery work. “exploit” mode (doing what you're already good at) and  “explore” mode (trying something new that pushes you) He says doing things that stretch your boundaries builds muscle that strengthens your core skills and breaks stagnation. He emphasizes the value of alternating between  He adds that this applies just as much to personal growth, especially when people begin to question their deeper purpose and ask hard questions like, “Is this all there is to my life or career? Brian observes that stepping back for self-reflection is often necessary, either by choice or because burnout forces a hard stop. He suggests that sustainable performance requires not just consistency but also intentional space for growth, purpose, and honest self-evaluation. Why Taste And Soft Skills Now Matter More Than Ever (12:30) On AI, Brian argues that most people get it wrong. “I do think it's augmentation.” The tools are evolving rapidly, and so are the ways we use them. They view it as a way to speed up work, especially for engineers, but that's missing the bigger picture. Brian stresses that EQ is becoming more important than IQ. Companies still need people with developer mindsets – hypothesis-driven, structured thinkers. But now, communication, empathy, and adaptability are no longer optional; they are critical. “Human communication skills just went from ‘they kind of suck at it but it's okay' to ‘that's not acceptable.'” As AI takes over more specialist tasks, the value of generalists is rising. People who can generate ideas, anticipate consequences, and rally others around a vision will be most valuable. “Tools can handle the specialized knowledge – but only humans can connect it to purpose.” Brian warns that traditional job descriptions and org charts are becoming obsolete. Instead of looking for ways to rush employees into doing more work, “rethink the roles. What can a small group do when aligned around a common purpose?” The future lies in small, aligned teams with shared goals. Vision Is Not a Strategy (15:56) Robin reflects on durable human traits through Steve Jobs' bio by Isaac Walterson. Jobs succeeded not just with tech, but with taste, persuasion, charisma, and vision. “He was less technologist, more storyteller.” They discuss Sam Altman, the subject of Empire of AI. Whether or not the book is fully accurate, Robin argues that Altman's defining trait is deal-making. Robin shares his experience using ChatGPT in real estate. It changed how he researched topics like redwood root systems on foundational structure and mosquito mitigation. Despite the tech, both agree that human connection is more important than ever. “We need humans now more than ever.” Brian references data from Kelly Monahan showing AI power users are highly productive but deeply burned out. 40% more productive than their peers. 88% are completely burnt out. Many don't believe their company's AI strategy, even while using the tools daily. There's a growing disconnect between executive AI hype and on-the-ground experience. But internal tests by top engineers showed only 10% improvement, mostly in simple tasks. “You've got to get into the tools yourself to be fluent on this.” One CTO believed AI would produce 30% efficiency gains. Brian urges leaders to personally engage with the tools before making sweeping decisions. He warns against blindly accepting optimistic vendor promises or trends. Leaders pushing AI without firsthand experience risk overburdening their teams. “You're bringing the Kool-Aid and then you're shoving it down your team's throat.” This results in burnout, not productivity. “You're cranking up the demands. You're cranking up the burnout, too.” “That's not going to lead to what you want either.” If You Want Control, Just Say That (20:47) Robin raises the topic of returning to the office, which has been a long-standing area of interest for him. “I interviewed Joel Gascoyne on stage in 2016… the largest fully distributed company in the world at the time.” He's tracked distributed work since Responsive 2016. Also mentions Shelby Wolpa (ex-Envision), who scaled thousands remotely. Robin notes the shift post-COVID: companies are mandating returns without adjusting for today's realities.” Example: “Intel just did a mandatory 4 days a week return to office… and now people live hours away.” He acknowledges the benefits of in-person collaboration, especially in creative or physical industries. “There is an undeniable utility.”, especially as they met in Robin's Cafe to talk about Responsive, despite a commute, because it was worth it. But he challenges blanket return-to-office mandates, especially when the rationale is unclear. According to Brian, any company uses RTO as a veiled soft layoff tactic. Cites Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy openly stating RTO is meant to encourage attrition. He says policies without clarity are ineffective. “If you quit, I don't have to pay you severance.” Robin notes that the Responsive Manifesto isn't about providing answers but outlining tensions to balance. Before enforcing an RTO policy, leaders should ask: “What problem are we trying to solve – and do we have evidence of it?” Before You Mandate, Check the Data (24:50) Performance data should guide decisions, not executive assumptions. For instance, junior salespeople may benefit from in-person mentorship, but… That may only apply to certain teams, and doesn't justify full mandates. “I've seen situations where productivity has fallen – well-defined productivity.” The decision-making process should be decentralized and nuanced. Different teams have different needs — orgs must avoid one-size-fits-all policies, especially in large, distributed orgs. “Should your CEO be making that decision? Or should your head of sales?” Brian offers a two-part test for leaders to assess their RTO logic: Are you trying to attract and retain the best talent? Are your teams co-located or distributed? If the answer to #1 is yes: People will be less engaged, not more. High performers will quietly leave or disengage while staying. Forcing long commutes will hurt retention and morale. If the answer to #2 is “distributed”: Brian then tells a story about a JPMorgan IT manager who asks Jamie Dimon for flexibility. “It's freaking stupid… it actually made it harder to do their core work.” Instead, teams need to define shared norms and operating agreements. “Teams have to have norms to be effective.” RTO makes even less sense. His team spanned time zones and offices, forcing them into daily hurt collaboration. He argues most RTO mandates are driven by fear and a desire for control. More important than office days are questions like: What hours are we available for meetings? What tools do we use and why? How do we make decisions? Who owns which roles and responsibilities? The Bottom Line: The policy must match the structure. If teams are remote by design, dragging them into an office is counterproductive. How to Be a Leader in Chaotic Times (28:34) “We're living in a more chaotic time than any in my lifetime.” Robin asks how leaders should guide their organizations through uncertainty. He reflects on his early work years during the 2008 crash and the unpredictability he's seen since. Observes current instability like the UCSF and NIH funding and hiring freezes disrupting universities, rising political violence, and murders of public officials from the McKnight Foundation, and more may persist for years without relief. “I was bussing tables for two weeks, quit, became a personal trainer… my old client jumped out a window because he lost his fortune as a banker.” Brian says what's needed now is: Resilience – a mindset of positive realism: acknowledging the issues, while focusing on agency and possibility, and supporting one another. Trust – not just psychological safety, but deep belief in leadership clarity and honesty. His definition of resilience includes: “What options do we have?” “What can we do as a team?” “What's the opportunity in this?” What Builds Trust (and What Breaks It) (31:00) Brian recalls laying off more people than he hired during the dot-com bust – and what helped his team endure: “Here's what we need to do. If you're all in, we'll get through this together.” He believes trust is built when: Leaders communicate clearly and early. They acknowledge difficulty, without sugarcoating. They create clarity about what matters most right now. They involve their team in solutions. He critiques companies that delay communication until they're in PR cleanup mode: Like Target's CEO, who responded to backlash months too late – and with vague platitudes. “Of course, he got backlash,” Brian says. “He wasn't present.” According to him, “Trust isn't just psychological safety. It's also honesty.” Trust Makes Work Faster, Better, and More Fun (34:10) “When trust is there, the work is more fun, and the results are better.” Robin offers a Zander Media story: Longtime collaborator Jonathan Kofahl lives in Austin. Despite being remote, they prep for shoots with 3-minute calls instead of hour-long meetings. The relationship is fast, fluid, and joyful, and the end product reflects that. He explains the ripple effects of trust: Faster workflows Higher-quality output More fun and less burnout Better client experience Fewer miscommunications or dropped balls He also likens it to acrobatics: “If trust isn't there, you land on your head.” Seldom Wrong, Never in Doubt (35:45) “Seldom wrong, never in doubt – that bit me in the butt.” Brian reflects on a toxic early-career mantra: As a young consultant, he was taught to project confidence at all times. It was said that “if you show doubt, you lose credibility,” especially with older clients. Why that backfired: It made him arrogant. It discouraged honest questions or collaborative problem-solving. It modeled bad leadership for others. Brian critiques the startup world's hero culture: Tech glorifies mavericks and contrarians, people who bet against the grain and win. But we rarely see the 95% who bet big and failed, and the survivors become models, often with toxic effects. The real danger: Leaders try to imitate success without understanding the context. Contrarianism becomes a virtue in itself – even when it's wrong. Now, he models something else: “I can point to the mountain, but I don't know the exact path.” Leaders should admit they don't have all the answers. Inviting the team to figure it out together builds alignment and ownership. That's how you lead through uncertainty, by trusting your team to co-create. Slack, Remote Work, and the Birth of Future Forum (37:40) Brian recalls the early days of Future Forum: Slack was deeply office-centric pre-pandemic. He worked 5 days a week in SF, and even interns were expected to show up regularly. Slack's leadership, especially CTO Cal Henderson, was hesitant to go remote, not because they were anti-remote, but because they didn't know how. But when COVID hit, Slack, like everyone else, had to figure out remote work in real time. Brian had long-standing relationships with Slack's internal research team: He pitched Stewart Butterfield (Slack's CEO) on the idea of a think tank, where he was then joined by Helen Kupp and Sheela Subramanian, who became his co-founders in the venture. Thus, Future Forum was born. Christina Janzer, Lucas Puente, and others. Their research was excellent, but mostly internal-facing, used for product and marketing. Brian, self-described as a “data geek,” saw an opportunity: Remote Work Increased Belonging, But Not for Everyone (40:56) In mid-2020, Future Forum launched its first major study. Expected finding: employee belonging would drop due to isolation. Reality: it did, but not equally across all demographics. For Black office workers, a sense of belonging actually increased. Future Forum brought in Dr. Brian Lowery, a Black professor at Stanford, to help interpret the results. Lowery explained: “I'm a Black professor at Stanford. Whatever you think of it as a liberal school, if I have to walk on that campus five days a week and be on and not be Black five days a week, 9 to 5 – it's taxing. It's exhausting. If I can dial in and out of that situation, it's a release.” A Philosophy Disguised as a Playbook (42:00) Brian, Helen, and Sheela co-authored a book that distilled lessons from: Slack's research Hundreds of executive conversations Real-world trials during the remote work shift One editor even commented on how the book is “more like a philosophy book disguised as a playbook.” The key principles are: “Start with what matters to us as an organization. Then ask: What's safe to try?” Policies don't work. Principles do. Norms > mandates. Team-level agreements matter more than companywide rules. Focus on outcomes, not activity.  Train your managers. Clarity, trust, and support start there. Safe-to-try experiments. Iterate fast and test what works for your team. Co-create team norms. Define how decisions get made, what tools get used, and when people are available. What's great with the book is that no matter where you are, this same set of rules still applies.  When Leadership Means Letting Go (43:54) “My job was to model the kind of presence I wanted my team to show.” Robin recalls a defining moment at Robin's Café: Employees were chatting behind the counter while a banana peel sat on the floor, surrounded by dirty dishes. It was a lawsuit waiting to happen. His first impulse was to berate them, a habit from his small business upbringing. But in that moment, he reframed his role. “I'm here to inspire, model, and demonstrate the behavior I want to see.” He realized: Hovering behind the counter = surveillance, not leadership. True leadership = empowering your team to care, even when you're not around. You train your manager to create a culture, not compliance. Brian and Robin agree: Rules only go so far. Teams thrive when they believe in the ‘why' behind the work. Robin draws a link between strong workplace culture and… The global rise of authoritarianism The erosion of trust in institutions If trust makes Zander Media better, and helps VC-backed companies scale — “Why do our political systems seem to be rewarding the exact opposite?” Populism, Charisma & Bullshit (45:20) According to Robin, “We're in a world where trust is in very short supply.” Brian reflects on why authoritarianism is thriving globally: The media is fragmented. Everyone's in different pocket universes. People now get news from YouTube or TikTok, not trusted institutions. Truth is no longer shared, and without shared truth, trust collapses. “Walter Cronkite doesn't exist anymore.” He references Andor, where the character, Mon Mothma, says: People no longer trust journalism, government, universities, science, or even business. Edelman's Trust Barometer dipped for business leaders for the first time in 25 years. CEOs who once declared strong values are now going silent, which damages trust even more. “The death of truth is really the problem that's at work here.” Robin points out: Trump and Elon, both charismatic, populist figures, continue to gain power despite low trust. Why? Because their clarity and simplicity still outperform thoughtful leadership. He also calls Trump a “marketing genius.” Brian's frustration: Case in point: Trump-era officials who spread conspiracy theories now can't walk them back. Populists manufacture distrust, then struggle to govern once in power. He shares a recent example: Result: Their base turned on them. Right-wing pundits (Pam Bondi, Dan Bongino) fanned Jeffrey Epstein conspiracies. But in power, they had to admit: “There's no client list publicly.” Brian then suggests that trust should be rebuilt locally. He points to leaders like Zohran Mamdani (NY): “I may not agree with all his positions, but he can articulate a populist vision that isn't exploitative.” Where Are the Leaders? (51:19) Brian expresses frustration at the silence from people in power: “I'm disappointed, highly disappointed, in the number of leaders in positions of power and authority who could lend their voice to something as basic as: science is real.” He calls for a return to shared facts: “Let's just start with: vaccines do not cause autism. Let's start there.” He draws a line between public health and trust: We've had over a century of scientific evidence backing vaccines But misinformation is eroding communal health Brian clarifies: this isn't about wedge issues like guns or Roe v. Wade The problem is that scientists lack public authority, but CEOs don't CEOs of major institutions could shift the narrative, especially those with massive employee bases. And yet, most say nothing: “They know it's going to bite them… and still, no one's saying it.” He warns: ignoring this will hurt businesses, frontline workers, and society at large. 89 Seconds from Midnight (52:45) Robin brings up the Doomsday Clock: Historically, it was 2–4 minutes to midnight “We are 89 seconds to midnight.” (as of January 2025) This was issued by the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, a symbol of how close humanity is to destroying itself. Despite that, he remains hopeful: “I might be the most energetic person in any room – and yet, I'm a prepper.” Robin shared that: And in a real emergency? You might not make it. He grew up in the wilderness, where ambulances don't arrive, and CPR is a ritual of death. He frequently visits Vieques, an island off Puerto Rico with no hospital, where a car crash likely means you won't survive. As there is a saying there that goes, ‘No Hay Hospital', meaning ‘there is no hospital'. If something serious happens, you're likely a few hours' drive or even a flight away from medical care. That shapes his worldview: “We've forgotten how precious life is in privileged countries.” Despite his joy and optimism, Robin is also: Deeply aware of fragility – of systems, bodies, institutions. Committed to preparation, not paranoia. Focused on teaching resilience, care, and responsibility. How to Raise Men with Heart and Backbone (55:00) Robin asks: “How do you counsel your boys to show up as protectors and earners, especially in a capitalist world, while also taking care of people, especially when we're facing the potential end of humanity in our lifetimes?” Brian responds: His sons are now 25 and 23, and he's incredibly proud of who they're becoming. Credits both parenting and luck but he also acknowledges many friends who've had harder parenting experiences. His sons are: Sharp and thoughtful In healthy relationships Focused on values over achievements Educational path: “They think deeply about what are now called ‘social justice' issues in a very real way.” Example: In 4th grade, their class did a homelessness simulation – replicating the fragmented, frustrating process of accessing services. Preschool at the Jewish Community Center Elementary at a Quaker school in San Francisco He jokes that they needed a Buddhist high school to complete the loop Not religious, but values-based, non-dogmatic education had a real impact That hands-on empathy helped them see systemic problems early on, especially in San Francisco, where it's worse. What Is Actually Enough? (56:54) “We were terrified our kids would take their comfort for granted.” Brian's kids: Lived modestly, but comfortably in San Francisco. Took vacations, had more than he and his wife did growing up. Worried their sons would chase status over substance. But what he taught them instead: Family matters. Friendships matter. Being dependable matters. Not just being good, but being someone others can count on. He also cautioned against: “We too often push kids toward something unattainable, and we act surprised when they burn out in the pursuit of that.” The “gold ring” mentality is like chasing elite schools, careers, and accolades. In sports and academics, he and his wife aimed for balance, not obsession. Brian on Parenting, Purpose, and Perspective (59:15) Brian sees promise in his kids' generation: But also more: Purpose-driven Skeptical of false promises Less obsessed with traditional success markers Yes, they're more stressed and overamped on social media. Gen Z has been labeled just like every generation before: “I'm Gen X. They literally made a movie about us called Slackers.” He believes the best thing we can do is: Model what matters Spend time reflecting: What really does matter? Help the next generation define enough for themselves, earlier than we did. The Real Measure of Success (1:00:07) Brian references Clay Christensen, famed author of The Innovator's Dilemma and How Will You Measure Your Life? Clay's insight: “Success isn't what you thought it was.” Early reunions are full of bravado – titles, accomplishments, money. Later reunions reveal divorce, estrangement, and regret. The longer you go, the more you see: Brian's takeaway: Even for Elon, it might be about Mars. But for most of us, it's not about how many projects we shipped. It's about: Family Friends Presence Meaning “If you can realize that earlier, you give yourself the chance to adjust – and find your way back.” Where to Find Brian (01:02:05) LinkedIn WorkForward.com Newsletter: The Work Forward on Substack “Some weeks it's lame, some weeks it's great. But there's a lot of community and feedback.” And of course, join us at Responsive Conference this September 17-18, 2025. Books Mentioned How Will You Measure Your Life? by Clayton Christensen The Innovator's Dilemma by Clayton Christensen Responsive Manifesto Empire of AI by Karen Hao Podcasts Mentioned The Gap by Ira Glass The Ezra Klein Show Movies Mentioned Andor Slackers Organizations Mentioned: Bulletin of Atomic Scientists McKnight Foundation National Institutes of Health (NIH) Responsive.org University of California, San Francisco

Contrarianism vs. Courage: How True Christian Bravery Reflects Jesus In this episode of Cogitations, Tony Brewer discusses the differences between being a contrarian and having true courage as a Christian. Drawing from personal experiences and scriptural references, Tony emphasizes that real bravery isn't defined by opposing popular culture but by embodying Christ-like qualities such as humility, consistency, and love. He criticizes the tendency of some Christians to conflate loudness with righteousness and challenges listeners to rethink their approach to courage in the context of faith. The episode also covers technical updates about streaming on different platforms like Rumble and Facebook.00:00 Introduction and Podcast Overview00:40 Switching to Rumble01:17 Contrarian vs. Courageous03:01 True Courage Reflects Christ04:46 The Contrarian Trap07:30 Encouragement and Rebuke10:31 Discernment in Social Media20:32 Abortion and NAMBLA Discussion22:46 Libs of TikTok Controversy24:50 Free Speech Absolutism Debate27:25 Platform vs. Publisher Obligations31:28 Personal Experience with Social Media Restrictions33:31 Encouraging Rumble Subscriptions 39:21 Leadership and Communication Styles41:54 Final Thoughts and Future Plans

In this episode, Byrne Hobart joined Matjaž Leonardis in Austin for an Interintellect salon — a platform for 21st-century intellectual discourse—to discuss his new book Boom: Bubbles at the End of Stagnation, exploring how technological advancements, market paradoxes, and historical and modern financial bubbles — from the Manhattan Project to cryptocurrencies — reveal the complex dynamics between innovation, ideology, ambition, and hyper-financialization in a nonpolitical, high-quality conversation among leading and emerging thinkers. Interintellect is a creator platform for intellectual seekers to host salons for the 21st century.  Join the conversation at https://interintellect.com. Attend or host salons. Connect with our community of intellectual seekers. For a limited time, members go to all salons for free! --- Highlights from the Episode: Two Types of Bubbles: Extrapolation bubbles predict transformative future changes unlike the past, while mean reversion bubbles project an intensified continuation of past trends. Financial Markets and Risk-Taking: Financial markets can both encourage and inhibit innovation. Talent Allocation: The sectors where talented individuals choose to work—shifting historically from government to the private sector to finance—profoundly shape the direction and nature of society's major innovations and projects. Different Investment Approaches: George Soros - Identifies momentum and rides bubbles up, then exits when sentiment changes. Bubbles and Progress: Many transformative bubbles involve building multiple things in parallel that wouldn't make sense individually. -- SPONSORS: NetSuite More than 41,000 businesses have already upgraded to NetSuite by Oracle, the #1 cloud financial system bringing accounting, financial management, inventory, HR, into ONE proven platform. Download the CFO's Guide to AI and Machine learning: https://netsuite.com/102 --- LINKS: Byrne's writing: https://thediff.co --- X / TWITTER: https://twitter.com/ByrneHobart (Byrne) https://twitter.com/TurpentineMedia (Turpentine)

In this episode, Tim engages in a deep conversation with Keegan Tatum, a content creator focused on the psychology of politics. They explore the emotional underpinnings of political beliefs, the differences between conservative and progressive ideologies, and the impact of social media on political discourse. The discussion also touches on the nature versus nurture debate in shaping political views and the challenges of convincing others with facts in an emotionally charged environment. Keegan on Instagram | @keegantatum Keegan on YouTube | @TheOneKeeganTatum Highlights 02:50 Exploring Political Psychology with Keegan Tatum 19:41 Nature vs. Nurture in Political Beliefs 28:50 The Challenge of Convincing Others: Facts vs. Emotions 37:41 The Crisis of Faith in Evangelicalism 44:47 The Contrarianism of the Left 50:51 The Morality of the Left 01:04:20 The Power of Social Contact in Reducing Bigotry 01:11:54 The Challenge of Changing Political Views 01:23:48 The Intersection of Religion and Authoritarianism 01:29:02 Countering Christian Nationalism _______________________________ If you'd like to support our work, you can DONATE here! Follow Us On Instagram @thenewevangelicals  Subscribe On YouTube @thenewevangelicals The New Evangelicals exists to support those who are tired of how evangelical church has been done before and want to see an authentic faith lived out with Jesus at the center. This show is produced by Josh Gilbert Media | Joshgilbertmedia.com We are committed to building a caring community that emulates the ways of Jesus by reclaiming the evangelical tradition and embracing values that build a better way forward. If you've been marginalized by your faith, you are welcome here. We've built an empathetic and inclusive space that encourages authentic conversations, connections and faith. Whether you consider yourself a Christian, an exvangelical, someone who's questioning your faith, or someone who's left the faith entirely, you are welcome here! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Send us a textIn this episode of The Acid Capitalist, Hugh Hendry dives into the volatile world of FinTech, analyzing Wise and its market positioning compared to giants like PayPal. He shares insights from an encounter with a young, die-hard value investor, dissecting the risks of stock-picking in a sector riddled with landmines.Are FinTech disruptors truly innovative, or are they just banks in disguise riding the interest rate wave? Hugh breaks down the hidden risks of cash transfer companies, the role of interest income, and why pricing wars could push margins to zero. With PayPal's stock crumbling and Wise at an all-time high, is this the next big breakout or a ticking time bomb?Join Hugh as he takes a contrarian look at the forces shaping FinTechs, from the battle for profitability to the long-term sustainability. ⬇️ Subscribe on Patreon or Substack for full episodes ⬇️https://www.patreon.com/HughHendryhttps://hughhendry.substack.comhttps://www.instagram.com/hughhendryofficialhttps://blancbleustbarts.comhttps://www.instagram.com/blancbleuofficial⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Leave a five star review and comment on Apple Podcasts!

Andrew Reich is a producer and screenwriter and now documentarian of Born Innocent: The Redd Kross Story. On this episode we talk about New Jersey Influence: WFMU and Adrenalin O.D., Contrarianism in Music/Crossing Genres, Becoming a Comedy Writer for the tv show Friends and its path to becoming a documentarian for Redd Kross, Fair Use and Collecting Footage, The McDonald Brother Interviews, Ruthlessly Cutting, The Year of Redd Kross, plus much red, redd, cross, kross, rake, reich more!Information on Born Innocent: The Redd Kross StoryExtended interview with Andrew Reich and Ronnie BarnettRedd Kross Website

On this episode of the Paul Stone Sports Podcast, Paul wants you to really think about your early assessments as we head into week four of college football.You, just like Paul, have probably formed some opinions on the relative strength of many of the teams thus far. Some teams have absolutely raised their starting power rating substantially, while others have decreased by the same amount.Reacting to this initial performance as a sports bettor makes sense. But, as Paul will explain, be cautious about over-reacting for a variety of reasons.Lastly, Paul has identified a few teams where week four is an ideal time to buy low and/or sell high.Take a listen to find out those complimentary selections, and then sign up for Paul's College Football Full Season (prorated) Package Here to receive all of Paul's selections for the remainder of the season.PaulStoneSports.org

01:00 Tucker Promotes Holocaust Revisionism, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o3E5ZSUVmKg 02:00 Tucker promotes Hitler apologist, https://outsidethebeltway.com/tucker-carlson-promotes-hitler-apologist/ 19:00 John Podhoretz vs Tucker Carlson, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zmA4Q_z7rsc 29:40 John Podhoretz apologizes for launching Tucker's career at the Weekly Standard 32:00 Tabletmag: I Was Raped Because I Am Jewish, https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/news/articles/rape-jews-antisemitism 34:30 Kip joins to talk about the sexual dating market 43:00 Elliott Blatt's charisma 53:00 Opioid epidemic, https://www.shadac.org/opioid-epidemic-united-states 1:11:00 Ben Smith on Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, and the alternative media, https://www.semafor.com/newsletter/09/01/2024/six-ideas-for-fall 1:16:20 After Hostages Executed, Left Blames Bibi | Caroline Glick In-Focus, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6jhMUcSjEVI

That was the week that was: Hurricane Beryl, celebrity deaths, Trump assassination attempt, & Lance's Vacation. PPI show inflation trending downward, setting up for a Fed rate cut: July or September? Investor sentiment remains positive as markets continue to grind higher; investor eschew put-options, which are very cheap now...just like this time, last year. Bears are like a ‘broken clock,' they are right twice a day.” While that may seem true during a rising bull market, the reality is that both “bulls” and “bears” are owned by the “broken clock syndrome.” The statement exposes the ignorance or bias of those making such a claim. If you invert the logic, such things become more evident. “If ‘bears' are right twice a day, then ‘bulls' must be wrong twice a day.” In the investing game, the timing of being “wrong” is critical to your long-term goals. Want to maximize your cash by timing market moves? Lance Roberts shares key insights on portfolio management tactics in this video. Strategies for buying shares at better prices; Understanding the importance of portfolio management; The challenge of knowing when to exit the market; Difficulties in identifying the right time to buy the dip; Realistic expectations for market timing. SEG-1: Markets Continue to Grind Higher SEG-2: The Broken Clock Syndrome SEG-3: How to Be an Eagle in the Market SEG-4: Markets' Anticipated Response to Trump Shooting Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WYe_X26mids&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-broken-clock-fallacy-the-art-of-contrarianism/ "Put Options – Nobody Wants Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Back on a Buy Signal" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wQYxWAxGEKI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "WHy Berkshire Hathaway's 100-Year Strategy Won't Work for You" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xpgRKuHEiBs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HurricaneBeryl #DonaldTrump #MarketTiming #InvestingStrategies #PortfolioManagement #BuyingTheDip #StockMarket #InvestmentTiming #CashManagement #MarketMoves #StrategicInvesting #FinancialTips #InvestmentDecisions #StockPortfolio #FinancialMarkets #MaximizingCash #Buying shares #BetterPrice #Market#Entry #MarketExit #InvestmentAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

That was the week that was: Hurricane Beryl, celebrity deaths, Trump assassination attempt, & Lance's Vacation. PPI show inflation trending downward, setting up for a Fed rate cut: July or September? Investor sentiment remains positive as markets continue to grind higher; investor eschew put-options, which are very cheap now...just like this time, last year. Bears are like a ‘broken clock,' they are right twice a day.” While that may seem true during a rising bull market, the reality is that both “bulls” and “bears” are owned by the “broken clock syndrome.” The statement exposes the ignorance or bias of those making such a claim. If you invert the logic, such things become more evident. “If ‘bears' are right twice a day, then ‘bulls' must be wrong twice a day.” In the investing game, the timing of being “wrong” is critical to your long-term goals. Want to maximize your cash by timing market moves? Lance Roberts shares key insights on portfolio management tactics in this video. Strategies for buying shares at better prices; Understanding the importance of portfolio management; The challenge of knowing when to exit the market; Difficulties in identifying the right time to buy the dip; Realistic expectations for market timing. SEG-1: Markets Continue to Grind Higher SEG-2: The Broken Clock Syndrome SEG-3: How to Be an Eagle in the Market SEG-4: Markets' Anticipated Response to Trump Shooting Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WYe_X26mids&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-broken-clock-fallacy-the-art-of-contrarianism/ "Put Options – Nobody Wants Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Back on a Buy Signal" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wQYxWAxGEKI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "WHy Berkshire Hathaway's 100-Year Strategy Won't Work for You" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xpgRKuHEiBs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HurricaneBeryl #DonaldTrump #MarketTiming #InvestingStrategies #PortfolioManagement #BuyingTheDip #StockMarket #InvestmentTiming #CashManagement #MarketMoves #StrategicInvesting #FinancialTips #InvestmentDecisions #StockPortfolio #FinancialMarkets #MaximizingCash #Buying shares #BetterPrice #Market#Entry #MarketExit #InvestmentAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

John tells us the secret to happiness and gives his daughter (and himself) a birthday gift.  Meanwhile, Jonnie takes a bucket list trip with his 84-year old father in law and comes up with a new way to get people to look at positive news stories.  Plus, a conversation about the laziness of contrarianism and why we will be remembered for what we built, not what we've torn down.  Today's episode is NOT sponsored by Paper Straws: “Saving the earth by instantly biodegrading in the cup.”   FOLLOW Jonnie W.: https://jonniew.com FOLLOW John Driver: https://johndriver.com Listen now on any platform at http://talkaboutthatpodcast.com  WATCH/SUBSCRIBE on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCwjExy_jWIdNvGd28XgF2Dg Discover more Christian podcasts at lifeaudio.com and inquire about advertising opportunities at lifeaudio.com/contact-us.

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Losing Faith In Contrarianism, published by omnizoid on April 26, 2024 on LessWrong. Crosspost from my blog. If you spend a lot of time in the blogosphere, you'll find a great deal of people expressing contrarian views. If you hang out in the circles that I do, you'll probably have heard of Yudkowsky say that dieting doesn't really work, Guzey say that sleep is overrated, Hanson argue that medicine doesn't improve health, various people argue for the lab leak, others argue for hereditarianism, Caplan argue that mental illness is mostly just aberrant preferences and education doesn't work, and various other people expressing contrarian views. Often, very smart people - like Robin Hanson - will write long posts defending these views, other people will have criticisms, and it will all be such a tangled mess that you don't really know what to think about them. For a while, I took a lot of these contrarian views pretty seriously. If I'd had to bet 6-months ago, I'd have bet on the lab leak, at maybe 2 to 1 odds. I'd have had significant credence in Hanson's view that healthcare doesn't improve health until pretty recently, when Scott released his post explaining why it is wrong. Over time, though, I've become much less sympathetic to these contrarian views. It's become increasingly obvious that the things that make them catch on are unrelated to their truth. People like being provocative and tearing down sacred cows - as a result, when a smart articulate person comes along defending some contrarian view - perhaps one claiming that something we think is valuable is really worthless - the view spreads like wildfire, even if it's pretty implausible. Sam Atis has an article titled The Case Against Public Intellectuals. He starts it by noting a surprising fact: lots of his friends think education has no benefits. This isn't because they've done a thorough investigation of the literature - it's because they've read Bryan Caplan's book arguing for that thesis. Atis notes that there's a literature review finding that education has significant benefits, yet it's written by boring academics, so no one has read it. Everyone wants to read the contrarians who criticize education - no one wants to read the boring lit reviews that say what we believed about education all along is right. Sam is right, yet I think he understates the problem. There are various topics where arguing for one side of them is inherently interesting, yet arguing for the other side is boring. There are a lot of people who read Austian economics blogs, yet no one reads (or writes) anti-Austrian economics blogs. That's because there are a lot of fans of Austrians economics - people who are willing to read blogs on the subject - but almost no one who is really invested in Austrian economics being wrong. So as a result, in general, the structural incentives of the blogosphere favor being a contrarian. Thus, you should expect the sense of the debate you get, unless you peruse the academic literature in depth surrounding some topic, to be wildly skewed towards contrarian views. And I think this is exactly what we observe. I've seen the contrarians be wrong over and over again - and this is what really made me lose faith in them. Whenever I looked more into a topic, whenever I got to the bottom of the full debate, it always seemed like the contrarian case fell apart. It's easy for contrarians to portray their opponents as the kind of milquetoast bureaucrats who aren't very smart and follow the consensus just because it is the consensus. If Bryan Caplan has a disagreement with a random administrator, I trust that Bryan Caplan's probably right, because he's smarter and cares more about ideas. But what I've come to realize is that the mainstream view that's supported by most of the academics tends to be supported by some r...

Link to original articleWelcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Losing Faith In Contrarianism, published by omnizoid on April 26, 2024 on LessWrong. Crosspost from my blog. If you spend a lot of time in the blogosphere, you'll find a great deal of people expressing contrarian views. If you hang out in the circles that I do, you'll probably have heard of Yudkowsky say that dieting doesn't really work, Guzey say that sleep is overrated, Hanson argue that medicine doesn't improve health, various people argue for the lab leak, others argue for hereditarianism, Caplan argue that mental illness is mostly just aberrant preferences and education doesn't work, and various other people expressing contrarian views. Often, very smart people - like Robin Hanson - will write long posts defending these views, other people will have criticisms, and it will all be such a tangled mess that you don't really know what to think about them. For a while, I took a lot of these contrarian views pretty seriously. If I'd had to bet 6-months ago, I'd have bet on the lab leak, at maybe 2 to 1 odds. I'd have had significant credence in Hanson's view that healthcare doesn't improve health until pretty recently, when Scott released his post explaining why it is wrong. Over time, though, I've become much less sympathetic to these contrarian views. It's become increasingly obvious that the things that make them catch on are unrelated to their truth. People like being provocative and tearing down sacred cows - as a result, when a smart articulate person comes along defending some contrarian view - perhaps one claiming that something we think is valuable is really worthless - the view spreads like wildfire, even if it's pretty implausible. Sam Atis has an article titled The Case Against Public Intellectuals. He starts it by noting a surprising fact: lots of his friends think education has no benefits. This isn't because they've done a thorough investigation of the literature - it's because they've read Bryan Caplan's book arguing for that thesis. Atis notes that there's a literature review finding that education has significant benefits, yet it's written by boring academics, so no one has read it. Everyone wants to read the contrarians who criticize education - no one wants to read the boring lit reviews that say what we believed about education all along is right. Sam is right, yet I think he understates the problem. There are various topics where arguing for one side of them is inherently interesting, yet arguing for the other side is boring. There are a lot of people who read Austian economics blogs, yet no one reads (or writes) anti-Austrian economics blogs. That's because there are a lot of fans of Austrians economics - people who are willing to read blogs on the subject - but almost no one who is really invested in Austrian economics being wrong. So as a result, in general, the structural incentives of the blogosphere favor being a contrarian. Thus, you should expect the sense of the debate you get, unless you peruse the academic literature in depth surrounding some topic, to be wildly skewed towards contrarian views. And I think this is exactly what we observe. I've seen the contrarians be wrong over and over again - and this is what really made me lose faith in them. Whenever I looked more into a topic, whenever I got to the bottom of the full debate, it always seemed like the contrarian case fell apart. It's easy for contrarians to portray their opponents as the kind of milquetoast bureaucrats who aren't very smart and follow the consensus just because it is the consensus. If Bryan Caplan has a disagreement with a random administrator, I trust that Bryan Caplan's probably right, because he's smarter and cares more about ideas. But what I've come to realize is that the mainstream view that's supported by most of the academics tends to be supported by some r...

**SEASON FINALE** Can we please discuss the themes of moving beyond reactive contrarianism and embracing reflective spiritual growth? It's not enough to just blindly “go against” the masses. Authentic power lies in your ability to understand nuanced perspectives. 

"Unhinged" Hosts: Darren Weeks, Vicky Davis Website for the show: https://governamerica.com Vicky's websites: https://thetechnocratictyranny.com COMPLETE SHOW NOTES AND CREDITS AT: https://governamerica.com/radio/radio-archives/22557-govern-america-march-9-2024-unhinged Listen LIVE every Saturday at 11AM Eastern time at http://radio.governamerica.com Text GOVERN to 80123 to be notified of live transmissions that may occur outside of our regularly-scheduled Saturday broadcasts. These transmissions will occur when/if circumstances warrant. Analysis of Biden's political tirade. Animal ID slipped into Omnibus. Shrinking beef cattle supply is by design. Democrats' plan "B" if Trump is elected. Biden admits illegal alien invaders don't belong here. House Committee examines the weaponization of the financial industry against the American people, and more.

In Episode 241, Martin proves to himself that he may not be as contrarian as he thinks while he picks *his* favorite albums from artists whose catalogues he knows well. Alice in Chains – “Rain When I Die” Stranglers – “The Raven” Rolling Stones – “Lies” Ozzy Osbourne – “You're No Different” Dio – “Night People” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In Episode 241, Martin proves to himself that he may not be as contrarian as he thinks while he picks *his* favorite albums from artists whose catalogues he knows well. Alice in Chains – “Rain When I Die” Stranglers – “The Raven” Rolling Stones – “Lies” Ozzy Osbourne – “You're No Different” Dio – “Night People” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Contrarianism is in the very DNA of Judaism, but something has hampered the power of Jewish contrarians in recent decades, and it is plaguing the Jewish People.

Episode 11 of Crypto Market Wizards, a new interview series focused on crypto traders in the trenches of the liquid markets. Today we have Qiao Wang talking about his journey in crypto and how he's embraced the left curve. He shares major lessons learned from his experience midcurving the crypto markets, and why everything is a memecoin in crypto. Crypto Market Wizards is an ad-free and sponsor-free podcast. Guest's Twitter: https://twitter.com/QwQiao Premium Discord: https://whop.com/humble-farmer-army Free Newsletter: https://hfaresearch.substack.com/ HFAResearch Twitter: https://twitter.com/HFAresearch Taiki's Twitter: https://twitter.com/TaikiMaeda2 Free Telegram: https://t.me/+3LgpNxIgJ4IzY2Fh PODCASTS: Crypto Market Wizards: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL6bwqqJO_txgGQySGK5-HSuTPp0LjeGqA Steady Lads: https://www.youtube.com/@0xSteadyLads Taiki is the founder of HFAResearch, a DeFi-focused research company founded in 2021 with a mission to create high-quality, digestible content that helps separate signal from noise for DeFi enthusiasts. We were frustrated with the lack of authentic educational content on Crypto YouTube/Twitter and took matters into our own hands. Timestamps: 0:00 Introduction 1:44 The Trap of Midcurving the 2nd Cycle 4:58 Why Everything in Crypto is a Memecoin 8:01 Identifying Token Cults & Religions 17:57 Evaluating Ecosystems & Developer Stats 25:03 How to Not Midcurve 28:03 How to Fix the ETH Narrative 32:15 Probability of the ETH ETF 36:37 How to Succeed in Crypto 43:29 Memecoins as a Sector 45:34 Common Mistakes People Make 47:00 Contrarianism & RWA Thesis 51:08 Advice to Younger Self

For the holiday stretch, we're publishing a few of our favorite episodes from this year. Today, we're airing Erik's solo interview with Sam Harris over on his Upstream podcast. This discussion covers Sam's concerns about populism, polarization, and inequality. We also discuss why Sam is hated by the left and the right. Moment of Zen will return with a new episode this weekend. This episode originally aired on May 29th, 2023 Subscribe to Upstream for more longform interviews: https://link.chtbl.com/Upstream Upstream on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@UpstreamwithErikTorenberg – SPONSORS: SHOPIFY | NETSUITE SHOPIFY: https://shopify.com/momentofzen for a $1/month trial period Shopify is the global commerce platform that helps you sell at every stage of your business. Shopify powers 10% of all e-commerce in the US. And Shopify's the global force behind Allbirds, Rothy's, and Brooklinen, and 1,000,000s of other entrepreneurs across 175 countries. From their all-in-one e-commerce platform, to their in-person POS system – wherever and whatever you're selling, Shopify's got you covered. With free Shopify Magic, sell more with less effort by whipping up captivating content that converts – from blog posts to product descriptions using AI. Sign up for $1/month trial period: https://shopify.com/momentofzen NETSUITE: http://netsuite.com/zen NetSuite has 25 years of providing financial software for all your business needs. More than 36,000 businesses have already upgraded to NetSuite by Oracle, gaining visibility and control over their financials, inventory, HR, eCommerce, and more. If you're looking for an ERP platform head to NetSuite: http://netsuite.com/zen and download your own customized KPI checklist. – Sign up for our newsletter to receive the full shownotes: https://momentofzen.substack.com/ – X / TWITTER: @eriktorenberg (Erik) @moz_podcast (Moment of Zen) @TurpentineMedia – TIMESTAMPS: (00:00) Intro (05:07) Discussion on Misinformation and Social Media (07:34) Sam Harris's Decision to Leave Twitter (14:43) SPONSORS: SHOPIFY | NETSUITE (19:30) Exploring the Conflict Between Left and Right (22:27) Debate on Equality, Disparities, and Discrimination (28:54) Continuation of the Discussion on Equality and Discrimination (46:57) The Rise of Contrarianism and its Impact on Politics (47:25) The Influence of Media on Public Perception and Trust (51:55) The Dangers of Conspiracy Theories and Misinformation (52:37) The Shift in Political Affiliations and Ideologies (53:23) The Importance of Trustworthy Institutions and Expertise (55:19) The Impact of Online Politics and Misinformation (01:00:28) The Influence of Wealth and Power on Society (01:06:03) The Dangers of Polarization (01:11:30) The Ethical Implications of Wealth and Success (01:16:07) The Challenges of Global Governance and Decentralization (01:25:19) The Role of Capitalism and the Need for Reform (01:28:28) Sober Thinking

Kathy Gyngell, the co-foundress and editor of The Conservative Woman: Defending Freedom website, joins Dr Gavin Ashenden for the 62nd episode of Merely Catholic, the podcast series for The Catholic Herald. They discuss feminism, motherhood and the revolution in childcare, the growth of the state, the relationship between economic liberalism and social conservativism, rolling Islamist hate marches and the new phenomenon of two-tier policing, as well as intolerance, cancel culture and censorship, fake news, the “invidious” and stratospheric rise of the new ideologies and the sacking of Suella Braverman.

A pair of SEC QBs are having their dirty laundry aired out on social media + Contrarianism vs flat-out hating

In part 2 of 2 in the "How investing concepts trickle over to trading" series, VP and Robb talk about our heavy contrarian bias, where it comes from, and why it keeps getting in the way of your trading.  Chances are, most of you fall into this category.   #TradingPsychology   Maverick Links   Click Here To Learn More about Maverick Forex Trading:  URL: https://maverickfx.com/application-3-a/?utm_source=vpyt   Click Here To Learn More about Maverick Currencies: URL: https://maverickcurrencies.com/application-3-a/?utm_source=VPPodPsych   Click Here To Learn More about Maverick Trading's Stock/Options Division: URL: https://mavericktrading.com/application-3-a/?utm_source=VPPodPsych   Maverick Trading YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@mavericktrading   Robb's Flat Earth Trading Society https://www.youtube.com/@FlatEarthTradingSociety       No Nonsense Forex Links   VP's Trading Psychology Book https://nononsenseforex.com/forex-psychology-book/   Recommended Crypto Trading Platform (Bonus and Contest Eligibility) - https://nononsenseforex.com/cryptocurrencies/best-crypto-trading-platform/   Blueberry Markets Blog (Top FX Broker) - https://nononsenseforex.com/uncategorized/blueberry-markets-review-my-top-broker-for-2019/   Markets.com Blog (Other top FX Broker)- https://nononsenseforex.com/uncategorized/markets-com-review/   US Residents Go Here (Top US FX Broker)- https://nononsenseforex.com/uncategorized/ig-us-review/   Follow VP on Twitter https://twitter.com/This_Is_VP4X   The hosts of this podcast are not licensed financial advisors, and nothing heard on this podcast should be taken as financial advice.  Do your own research and understand all financial decisions and the results therein are yours and yours alone.  The host is not responsible for the actions of their sponsors and/or affiliates.  Conversely, views expressed on this podcast are that of the host only and may not reflect the views of any companies mentioned. Trading anything involves risk.  Losses can exceed deposits.  

Creon Levit is an R&D director at Planet Labs, where he mines satellite imagery data to find answers to myriad questions about the changing landscape, climate, and behaviors of humanity here on Earth. Our conversation explores our society's, and perhaps humanity's, persistent struggle to update our knowledge base and construct newer, more functional narratives about the world. Creon's blogging: https://creon.substack.com/ 00:00:00 Go! 00:00:17 Who is Creon Levit 00:12:35 Patreon Ask 00:13:46 Questions that Drive You 00:17:33 Is there really dissent in what is good? 00:23:32 Do psychedelics destabilize society? 00:33:45 Learning to ask the right questions 00:38:52 Contrarianism as an inherent orientation 00:41:26 Some people are destined to be contrarians 00:52:58 Lack of free ecosystems 01:00:11 Is siloing really so bad? 01:06:48 Quantum Physics 01:11:06 Does the future influence the present? 01:24:48 A different approach to quantum mechanics 01:27:27 Smooth arc between regenerative agriculture death cults 01:38:16 Taking back degraded land 01:49:45 Money exchanging hands at the beaver pond 02:03:39 Orientation to the Good 02:10:26 Opinion Jubilee 02:21:39 Closing thoughts 02:28:41 Chinese spy balloons Support the scientific revolution by joining our Patreon: https://bit.ly/3lcAasB Tell us what you think in the comments or on our Discord: https://discord.gg/MJzKT8CQub#climatechange #civilization #planet Check our short-films channel, @DemystifySci: https://www.youtube.com/c/DemystifyingScience AND our material science investigations of atomics, @MaterialAtomics https://www.youtube.com/@MaterialAtomics Join our mailing list https://bit.ly/3v3kz2S PODCAST INFO: Anastasia completed her PhD studying bioelectricity at Columbia University. When not talking to brilliant people or making movies, she spends her time painting, reading, and guiding backcountry excursions. Shilo also did his PhD at Columbia studying the elastic properties of molecular water. When he's not in the film studio, he's exploring sound in music. They are both freelance professors at various universities. - Blog: http://DemystifySci.com/blog - RSS: https://anchor.fm/s/2be66934/podcast/rss - Donate: https://bit.ly/3wkPqaD - Swag: https://bit.ly/2PXdC2y SOCIAL: - Discord: https://discord.gg/MJzKT8CQub - Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/groups/DemystifySci - Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/DemystifySci/ - Twitter: https://twitter.com/DemystifySci MUSIC: -Shilo Delay: https://g.co/kgs/oty671

Today we had the pleasure of having a deep dive discussion with the one and only Rick Rule. We covered heaps of ground including fundamentals in natural resource investing, the nuclear renaissance, lithium's rise from obscurity, surging resource nationalism, picking reliable management teams, unloved sectors, and a heap more. To check out Rick's upcoming Natural Resources Symposium click here All Money of Mine episodes are for informational purposes only and may contain forward-looking statements that may not eventuate. The co-hosts are not financial advisers and any views expressed are their opinion only. Please do your own research before making any investment decision or alternatively seek advice from a registered financial professional. Join our exclusive Facebook Group for the Money Miners and request access to the Hooteroo chat group. Subscribe to our weekly newsletter HOOTEROO HERALD Follow Money of Mine on YouTubeFollow Money of Mine on TwitterFollow Money of Mine on LinkedInFollow Money of Mine on Instagram Chapters:(0:00) Video Preview(0:54) Introduction to Rick Rule(4:23) Contrarianism in Resources Investing(7:20) Lithium Boom is Like Uranium(20:19) Uranium Investment Case(26:09) Coal is the most mispriced(30:26) Investing in high optionality(33:57) Career highlights at Sprott(45:53) Nationalism of resource projects(50:05) Management costs for Exploration(1:00:58) Rick's upcoming Symposium

Welcome to the Newcomer Investor Channel! The overarching goal for this channel is to share insights, learn from each other, chat about the beauty of investing and foster healthy debate by sharing various viewpoints. NOTE: This podcast should NOT be taken as financial advice, and is for entertainment purposes only. FOLLOW A.J. Button on Twitter: https://twitter.com/AJButton2 SUBSCRIBE to his Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@UCqIHNKfWKUDZzhvm1cDF9rQ READ his articles: https://seekingalpha.com/author/growth-at-a-good-price Newcomer Investor on Twitter: https://twitter.com/NewcomerInvest Subscribe on Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@newcomerinvestor/featured Email me at ⁠iamthenewcomerinvestor@gmail.com⁠ (0:00) - Intro (1:15) - Why invest in China? (3:55) - Risks of investing in China (5:39) - Emerging markets provide additional opportunities for value (7:30) - What could/would happen if a Taiwan conflict erupts? & Taiwan Semiconductors (11:05) - Investing strategy - long, with a focus on valuation (12:10) - Alibaba vs PDD: which is better??? (15:15) - Alibaba spinoff of its operating segments (16:11) - Alibaba: high free cash flow but slow buybacks (for now) (18:50) - KWEB: probably one of the better ETFs for retail investors looking to invest in China tech stocks (19:56) - Tencent (21:50) - for China: buy cheap & assess risk properly (23:22) - Bank of America: cheap valuation (27:20) - TD: high quality Canada bank with high US exposure (27:20) - Google: incredible business with strong moat (30:00) - Apple: getting expensive (31:07) - High valuation: sometimes signs of quality, but can also be a mistake - Costco vs Shopify (34:00) - Microsoft (35:20) - AJ's portfolio & allocation between stocks and ETFs (36:50) - Brookfield (This is the Newcomer Investor podcast, after all!) (38:24) - Reallocating portfolio funds based on valuation (38:58) - Biggest advice & lesson (42:10) - Follow @AJButton2 on Twitter!

Contrarianism, a non-woke festival, buying Sharona's car, and we take the temperature of the Rolling Stones song in 1983. (Rec: 5/7/22) Join the Iron Filings Society: https://www.patreon.com/topflighttimemachine Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Phil the producer here, before we get stuck into the show notes - let me briefly tell you about Rafael Behr's new book on fly fishing. Okay, only joking - I'm sue you didn't get hooked by that line. It's obviously about politics and lots of centrist icons have been heaping praise on it. Like ex-Conservative MP and 'podstar' Rory Stewart: 'A great work of political analysis,' Or TV chef Nigella: "I'm telling you it is a must-read. Quite apart from the subject matter, Rafael Behr is such an elegant writer." There's lots of other great reviews from household names, too many to repeat here. So, if you're interested here's a link to pre-order: https://www.amazon.co.uk/Politics-Survivors-Engaged-without-Getting/dp/1838955046/ Now on with the podcast show we like to call Politics on the Couch. In this wide-ranging and informal conversation*, Rafael Behr chats to former colleague Helen Lewis about whether Whatsapp has changed the way politics is conducted, her favourite Tik Tok channel, the incestous nature of Scottish politics, what's really behind the UK government's immigration policy, what we can learn from Florida culture wars, why the middle ground is so hard to occupy, what we have learnt from the pandemic, and Helen's take on why so many men love listening to other men on podcasts, plus much more. *unstructured Helen Lewis Helen writes about the intersection of politics, society, and digital culture for The Atlantic. Link to Helen's long read on DeSantis, Trump and the future of American politics for The Atlantic She is also the host of the BBC's long-form interview series, The Spark. Her next book, The Selfish Genius, is scheduled for publication in 2023. Link to ‘The Bluestocking,' Helen's substack page. This podcast is hosted by ZenCast.fm

The Russians are having a very tough time making ground in Ukraine and contrarianism is making things much worse in the US.

The Russians are having a very tough time making ground in Ukraine and contrarianism is making things much worse in the US.

David Phelps is the co-founder of JokeDAO, a governance platform for decentralized, bottom-up governance. In a recent essay collaboration on Not Boring, David takes a stand against consensus in DAO governance. He argues that forking — more specifically, contrarian opinions — presents a more interesting opportunity for governance innovation. Jess and David touch briefly on the value of community curation, the complications of off-chain + on-chain coordination, and the persistent challenge of the attention economy.

Conor Orr joins Ken to discuss his Sports Illustrated piece on how the Ravens have benefited from contrarianism Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Part 3: Was The Soviet Union "Socialist'? on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/OneDime Part 2 on the Marxist Project's Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCNalGyK3DaK37GTLIHSwmyA/featured In this podcast I am joined by YouTuber, friend, and grad student The Marxist Project, who makes excellent videos on Marxist theory and Soviet history. In this in-depth podcast, we put into question various competing narratives that aim to rationalize the tragedy of the Soviet Union. We talk about some of the many problems in the Soviet Union and various historical narratives about what went wrong and what lead to it's demise. For this podcast, we try to avoid the hurdles of one dimensional narratives from various ideological tendencies (Marxism-Leninism, Trotskyism, Maoism, Left Communism, Orthodox Marxism, Anarchism, Liberalism, conservatism, etc..) and try to give a balanced analysis of the USSR and the problems it faced. Check out The Marxist Project's video on the Fall of the Soviet Union: https://youtu.be/N7Z-D4eybZI Timestamp: 0:00 Intro 6:10 The Collapse of the Soviet Union 16:28 The Civil War: Doomed From The Start? 27:58 Semi-Feudal Underdevelopment 41:33 Collectivization, WW2, and Industrialization 57:54 Famines, Incentives, and Lysenkoism 1:10:00 Repression and Civil Liberties 1:28:32 The Red Purges and Opportunism 1:48:32 Was the USSR Democratic? 2:13:10 Contrarianism and Denialism 2:20:41 Central Planning Book recommendations on Soviet History: The Soviet Century by Moshe Lewin A People's History of the Russian Revolution by Neil Faulkner October: The Story of the Russian Revolution by China Miéville The Thinking Reed: Intellectuals and the Soviet State by Boris Kagarlitsky Everyday Stalinism by Sheila Fitzpatrick Everything Was Forever, Until It Was No More: The Last Soviet Generation by Alexei Yurchak Revolution From Above: The Demise of the Soviet System by David Kotz This is part of a 3 part series on the political problems in the Soviet Union. Part 2 will be on the Marxist Project's channel and Part 3 will be a Patreon exclusive podcast only available to my lovely Patrons (: Support 1Dime on Patreon at patreon.com/OneDime

This week David and Curtis start with confession time, each looking closely at the challenges of contrarianism and pride that impact all of us in our modern discourse. They unpack the tricky balance between knowing, certainty, and humility, including the possibility that we might be wrong. In the second half, they dive into the spiritual challenge of staying attentive to the war in Ukraine without just watching it as a form of perverse entertainment. In another tricky balance, our hosts offer suggestions for staying connected in ways that are less personally destructive and more spiritually healthy. Show Notes:-French Press: “What the Russian Invasion Teaches us About the Right”-French Press: “Questions and Answers After a Month of War”-Adam Grant: “Think Again: The Power of Knowing What You Don't Know”

Over the last 5 years we've seen a growing trend celebrating "contrarianism". In this episode, we discuss whether this has a positive impact on the industry, whether it's reserved to a certain group of people, and the overall role of critique in moving us forward.

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is Argument and Analysis, Part 3: Intellectual Hipsters and Meta-Contrarianism, published by Scott Alexander. Related to: Why Real Men Wear Pink, That Other Kind of Status, Pretending to be Wise, The "Outside The Box" Box WARNING: Beware of things that are fun to argue -- Eliezer Yudkowsky Science has inexplicably failed to come up with a precise definition of "hipster", but from my limited understanding a hipster is a person who deliberately uses unpopular, obsolete, or obscure styles and preferences in an attempt to be "cooler" than the mainstream. But why would being deliberately uncool be cooler than being cool? As previously discussed, in certain situations refusing to signal can be a sign of high status. Thorstein Veblen invented the term "conspicuous consumption" to refer to the showy spending habits of the nouveau riche, who unlike the established money of his day took great pains to signal their wealth by buying fast cars, expensive clothes, and shiny jewelery. Why was such flashiness common among new money but not old? Because the old money was so secure in their position that it never even occurred to them that they might be confused with poor people, whereas new money, with their lack of aristocratic breeding, worried they might be mistaken for poor people if they didn't make it blatantly obvious that they had expensive things. The old money might have started off not buying flashy things for pragmatic reasons - they didn't need to, so why waste the money? But if F. Scott Fitzgerald is to be believed, the old money actively cultivated an air of superiority to the nouveau riche and their conspicuous consumption; not buying flashy objects becomes a matter of principle. This makes sense: the nouveau riche need to differentiate themselves from the poor, but the old money need to differentiate themselves from the nouveau riche. This process is called countersignaling, and one can find its telltale patterns in many walks of life. Those who study human romantic attraction warn men not to "come on too strong", and this has similarities to the nouveau riche example. A total loser might come up to a woman without a hint of romance, promise her nothing, and demand sex. A more sophisticated man might buy roses for a woman, write her love poetry, hover on her every wish, et cetera; this signifies that he is not a total loser. But the most desirable men may deliberately avoid doing nice things for women in an attempt to signal they are so high status that they don't need to. The average man tries to differentiate himself from the total loser by being nice; the extremely attractive man tries to differentiate himself from the average man by not being especially nice. In all three examples, people at the top of the pyramid end up displaying characteristics similar to those at the bottom. Hipsters deliberately wear the same clothes uncool people wear. Families with old money don't wear much more jewelry than the middle class. And very attractive men approach women with the same lack of subtlety a total loser would use.1 If politics, philosophy, and religion are really about signaling, we should expect to find countersignaling there as well. Pretending To Be Wise Let's go back to Less Wrong's long-running discussion on death. Ask any five year old child, and ey can tell you that death is bad. Death is bad because it kills you. There is nothing subtle about it, and there does not need to be. Death universally seems bad to pretty much everyone on first analysis, and what it seems, it is. But as has been pointed out, along with the gigantic cost, death does have a few small benefits. It lowers overpopulation, it allows the new generation to develop free from interference by their elders, it provides motivation to get things done quickly. Precisely because these benefits are so muc...

I interview Sav Sidorov about top-down learning, contrarianism, religion, university, robotics, ego , education, twitter, friends, psychedelics, B-values and beauty. Highlights & Transcript: https://insideview.substack.com/p/sav Watch the video: https://youtu.be/_Y6_TakG3d0

While getting together to record has proved difficult in this period of life, we have not stopped thinking about how the Christian should respond to the tornado of events in front of us. We don't claim to have all the answers but hopefully the conversation provokes the right kind of thought and motivation. 

Dave Collum joins the podcast for a provocative conversation about markets, wealth creation and contrarianism versus conformity.

Howard Marks is co-chairman and co-founder of Oaktree Capital Management a leading global investment firm with deep expertise in credit strategies, which manages more than $120 billion in assets. Howard is the bestselling author of the two highly influential books: "Mastering the Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side" and "The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor". He is also known for his very insightful investor letters, which has been claimed to be must-read material by many well-known investors, including none other than Warren Buffett. Howard holds a B.S.Ec. degree from the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania with a major in finance and an M.B.A. in accounting and marketing from the University of Chicago. “Experience is what you got, when you didn't get what you wanted” – Howard Marks In our conversation we discuss: How Oaktree experienced raising and deploying capital during the GFC of 2008 The difference between scepticism and negativism The similarities between investing and tennis The rise of passive investing The importance of being a contrarian The mood swings of market participants and how that affects one's own investment decision Why he writes and what has kept him motivated to write even though his letters once were not as popular as they are today And much more! “When I see memos from Howard Marks in my mail, they're the first thing I open and read" – Warren Buffett "Howard is a legendary investor" – Tony Robbins   As always, please do not forget to take 17 seconds to leave us a 5-star review on Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts from.   Be well and #stayhome!   Luke, Leo & Andy P.s. The content of this conversation is provided for general information purposes only and does not constitute financial, accounting, legal, tax…. advice. You know the drill, right? If you want to listen to the full disclaimer, just skip through the amazing conversation with Howard, and go straight to the end of the episode and you will be highly entertained.

Introducing the Unconstrained Podcast and the concept of being unconstrained through the art of Financial Sustainability.Similar to the concept of Financial Independence and the FIRE movement, being unconstrained focuses on the mistakes of most people in the 21st century that results in a life of debt, enslavement and lack of freedom. We provide solutions to these problems, so spend some time with us to find out more about how to be truly unconstrained

Introducing the Unconstrained Podcast and the concept of being unconstrained through the art of Financial Sustainability.Similar to the concept of Financial Independence and the FIRE movement, being unconstrained focuses on the mistakes of most people in the 21st century that results in a life of debt, enslavement and lack of freedom. We provide solutions to these problems, so spend some time with us to find out more about how to be truly unconstrained

Introducing the Unconstrained Podcast and the concept of being unconstrained through the art of Financial Sustainability.Similar to the concept of Financial Independence and the FIRE movement, being unconstrained focuses on the mistakes of most people in the 21st century that results in a life of debt, enslavement and lack of freedom. We provide solutions to these problems, so spend some time with us to find out more about how to be truly unconstrained

Introducing the Unconstrained Podcast and the concept of being unconstrained through the art of Financial Sustainability.Similar to the concept of Financial Independence and the FIRE movement, being unconstrained focuses on the mistakes of most people in the 21st century that results in a life of debt, enslavement and lack of freedom. We provide solutions to these problems, so spend some time with us to find out more about how to be truly unconstrained

Introducing the Unconstrained Podcast and the concept of being unconstrained through the art of Financial Sustainability.Similar to the concept of Financial Independence and the FIRE movement, being unconstrained focuses on the mistakes of most people in the 21st century that results in a life of debt, enslavement and lack of freedom. We provide solutions to these problems, so spend some time with us to find out more about how to be truly unconstrained

Introducing the Unconstrained Podcast and the concept of being unconstrained through the art of Financial Sustainability.Similar to the concept of Financial Independence and the FIRE movement, being unconstrained focuses on the mistakes of most people in the 21st century that results in a life of debt, enslavement and lack of freedom. We provide solutions to these problems, so spend some time with us to find out more about how to be truly unconstrained

Introducing the Unconstrained Podcast and the concept of being unconstrained through the art of Financial Sustainability.Similar to the concept of Financial Independence and the FIRE movement, being unconstrained focuses on the mistakes of most people in the 21st century that results in a life of debt, enslavement and lack of freedom. We provide solutions to these problems, so spend some time with us to find out more about how to be truly unconstrained

Introducing the Unconstrained Podcast and the concept of being unconstrained through the art of Financial Sustainability.Similar to the concept of Financial Independence and the FIRE movement, being unconstrained focuses on the mistakes of most people in the 21st century that results in a life of debt, enslavement and lack of freedom. We provide solutions to these problems, so spend some time with us to find out more about how to be truly unconstrained

Introducing the Unconstrained Podcast and the concept of being unconstrained through the art of Financial Sustainability.Similar to the concept of Financial Independence and the FIRE movement, being unconstrained focuses on the mistakes of most people in the 21st century that results in a life of debt, enslavement and lack of freedom. We provide solutions to these problems, so spend some time with us to find out more about how to be truly unconstrained