Podcasts about inventories

Markets are getting increasingly unstable as investors react to hotter inflation, violent sector rotation, and new concerns about how long the U.S. oil system can keep drawing down commercial inventories.Chuck Zodda and Marc Fandetti break down why the latest CPI report is keeping pressure on the Fed, how crude oil inventories actually work, and why the U.S. may be closer to minimum operating levels than the headline numbers suggest. They also discuss what continued oil drawdowns could mean for late-summer prices, why Social Security's projected shortfall has moved earlier, how airlines are preparing for possible winter capacity cuts, and why Anthropic's new Claude Fable 5 rollout may be tied to its coming IPO.

Oil inventories have fallen drastically since President Trump launched the war against Iran. But it's not because we're suddenly using more fuel. Instead, the U.S. is exporting much more oil than usual — to places that can't get enough with the Strait of Hormuz blocked. All this will have knock-on effects for oil prices in the U.S. for months to come. Plus: Investors want to yank more money from private credit firms, your social media algorithim is likely full of “stealth ads,” and we visit the elk antler market in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.

Our Global Commodities Strategist Martijn Rats discusses why the restart of oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz may be slower and tighter than the market expects.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Martijn Rats, Morgan Stanley's Global Commodities Strategist. Today – how fast can Middle East production return?It is Thursday, June the 4th, at 3pm in London.Every time you pull into a gas station, those prices are staring back at you. What you see at the pump is just the front end of a global system we've been watching for months: tankers, storage, insurance, and shipping lanes, all still constrained by the Strait of Hormuz. But while prices at the pump are still high, Brent has actually fallen back to around about $92 a barrel.In inflation-adjusted terms, today's Brent price is actually right at the 50th percentile of the last 20 years – suggesting that the market is assuming a clean, near-term recovery in supply. Yet the disruption continues to be extraordinary. Roughly 11 million barrels per day of Gulf crude remains offline, close to half the region's pre-conflict output.We think the market may be too optimistic. Our working assumption is now that meaningful export recovery through the strait begins only in the second half of July. Even then, normal does not return with the flip of a switch.First, ships need to be willing to sail. Owners and insurers need confidence that the waterway is safe. If mines remain in traditional shipping lanes, the strait can be technically open but still operate at reduced capacity. Clearing that risk can take weeks, and potentially several months.Second, the tanker fleet is in the wrong place. When ships cannot work in the Gulf, they move elsewhere. Bringing enough empty tankers back to lift crude takes time.Third, storage is a limiting factor. Oilfields cannot restart if export tanks are full. For producers that rely heavily on seaborne exports, empty tankers are therefore essential.Last, oilfields themselves need restarting. Before the closure, around 36,000 wells were active across six Gulf producers. Roughly 10,000 of those are currently offline. After a shut-in of nearly five months, about 4,000 to 5,000 wells could face restart constraints. Reservoir pressure can decline, equipment can fail after sitting idle, and flowlines need cleaning and safety checks.All told, around 75 percent of lost supply can probably come back within four months after flows through the Strait of Hormuz resume. But the final 25 percent may take well into 2027.So why have prices not moved more? The market began this shock with buffers. Inventories were elevated, oil-on-water was high, and emergency relief releases helped. The U.S. increased seaborne net exports of crude oil and refined products from roughly 5 million barrels a day to 9 million barrels a day. At the same time, China's seaborne net oil imports fell from around 13 million barrels a day a year ago to just over 7.5 million a day over the last 30 days.But these cushions are thinning. Strategic reserve releases are scheduled to drop from about 2.5 million barrels per day in April through June to about 0.7 million in July and August. U.S. gasoline and diesel inventories are already well below five-year seasonal lows. China is already on track for five consecutive months of unusually low crude buying for April through August delivery. But that starts to raise the probability that Chinese buyers return for September barrels. Buying for September typically starts mid to late June.Now, oil is trading like the disruption is nearly over. But at the same time, the physical system is telling a slower story. Prices may look calm on the screen, but the bottleneck is in tankers, storage tanks, wells, and crews.Our Brent forecasts remain $110 per barrel for the second quarter and about $100 a barrel for the third quarter. We recently raised our estimates for the fourth quarter to $95 and the first quarter of 2027 to $85 a barrel, and expect a return to $80 eventually thereafter.Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.

Oil inventories have fallen drastically since President Trump launched the war against Iran. But it's not because we're suddenly using more fuel. Instead, the U.S. is exporting much more oil than usual — to places that can't get enough with the Strait of Hormuz blocked. All this will have knock-on effects for oil prices in the U.S. for months to come. Plus: Investors want to yank more money from private credit firms, your social media algorithim is likely full of “stealth ads,” and we visit the elk antler market in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.

Florida blueberry growers are reporting severe crop losses after a series of freezes in late January and early February, and Congressional negotiations over the next farm bill have intensified as lawmakers continue debating funding priorities, nutrition programs and conservation spending.

Every dollar spent on forest fuel treatments saves about $3.75 in wildfire damages, and Congressional negotiations over the next farm bill have intensified as lawmakers continue debating funding priorities, nutrition programs and conservation spending.

U.S. crude oil production averaged a record 13.6 MMb/d in 2025, up nearly 1.6 MMb/d from 2023, but crude export volumes remained remarkably stable — at or very near 4.1 MMb/d — until a recent Iran-related surge. A key reason: “capacity creep” expansion projects at several Gulf Coast refineries.

Oil inventories are dropping and the timeline is getting tighter.Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong break down a surprising draw in US crude stocks and why it could signal a much bigger global supply problem.Also covered:Why the US is becoming the world's energy relief valveHow quickly inventories could hit critical operating levelsWhat rising gas prices are already signaling to consumersWhy production is not increasing despite higher pricesHow global shortages could push prices even higherWhat happens if supply cannot keep up through the summer?

Rory Johnston, the “oil quant,” joins us to explain why the Hormuz crisis could become the biggest oil shock in history. Oil markets are already screaming. Supply is trapped, inventories are being drained, and the market may still be underpricing the scale of the disruption.  If the Strait stays closed, Rory says the path to $200 oil is no longer crazy. It may be the next stop. This is oil, geopolitics, inflation, and markets all colliding at once. ------

California is facing a potential gasoline supply crisis due to refinery closures, declining in-state crude oil production, and disruptions in imports from Asia and the Middle East. Inventories are at historic lows, and the state's fuel system has minimal resilience. The war in the Middle East has disrupted crude oil flows, further exacerbating the situation. With California heavily reliant on imported gasoline, particularly from Asian refiners, any curtailment of exports will have a significant impact on the state's supply. As refinery throughput declines and gasoline imports drop, prices are expected to increase. Californians should prepare for potential physical shortages and higher prices at the pump as early as May. The state's energy policies are creating a disaster.

Most people think of counterparty risk as a banking concept. Will the other party perform? Will they pay? Will they deliver? But in a supply chain, counterparty risk is much broader. It includes whether your supplier can obtain raw materials, whether their supplier can get feedstock, whether the shipper can secure insurance, whether the vessel will even sail, whether the port will accept cargo, whether a manufacturer can operate with intermittent inputs, and whether the customer at the far end still has the liquidity to take delivery when costs have doubled.A closure in Hormuz does not mean every factory shuts down tomorrow morning. That's not how these systems work. There is a lag. Cargoes already in transit continue moving. Inventories buffer the shock for a period of time. Companies rely on safety stock, substitute routes, and emergency procurement. For a brief window, the financial markets can tell themselves a reassuring story.If fertilizer inputs are impaired, that impacts agriculture with a delay, but the delay does not remove the problem. It simply means the effect appears later in the form of food shortages or higher food prices.Governments can print money to try and wall paper over the problem. But they can't print food and they can't print oil. ---------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

The war in Iran is an event that is likely to change for the long term the way corporations manage their supply inventories. Think high instead of just in time. Confluence Chief Market Strategist Patrick Fearon-Hernandez joins Phil Adler to discuss why this matters a lot for investors.

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Ben Cook adds clarity to what he considers a headline-driven market. He notes that investors pricing in a conflict cooldown, offering levity ahead for energy markets. That said, "as long as this conflict continues," crude inventories will face pressure, according to Ben. Dryden Pence believes the crux of crude oil volatility is a "traffic problem," not supply. Turning to interest rates, he outlines a tentative path forward for the Fed and how "demand destruction" shapes its cutting cycle. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Our Asia Energy Analyst Mayank Maheshwari discusses how the conflict in the Middle East is sending ripple effects through Asia's energy, power and food systems.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mayank Maheshwari, Morgan Stanley's research analyst covering energy markets in India and Southeast Asia.Today—how disruptions linked to Iran and the Strait of Hormuz are creating energy-related disruptions across Asia.It's Monday, March 23rd, at 8am in Singapore.To understand the scale of the impact, let's start with a simple fact: about a quarter of Asia's energy—that is oil, liquefied natural gas, and propane—comes from the Middle East, much of it flowing through a single chokepoint, the Strait of Hormuz. Any disruption here affects more than just oil prices. It also hits power generation, industrial output and even food supply chains across the region.Asia hasn't seen a true energy access shock in over 50 years. So that makes this moment very critical. And with oil around $100 per barrel, stress is building in the system. Diesel margins are double pre-conflict levels. Jet fuel premiums have nearly doubled. And Dubai crude—normally cheaper than Brent historically—is now trading at a premium of more than $20 per barrel. This kind of price move signals tightening supply chains.Asia's dependence on [the] Middle East runs deep. Refiners source up to 80 percent of crude from the region, and 30–40 percent of LNG imports originate there. For major economies like India and China, roughly 40–50 percent of oil demand passes through Hormuz. It's a critical energy highway. And when flows slow, the entire system backs up.Inventories may look like a buffer. Asia holds around 65–70 days of crude. But the system reacts sooner than waiting to run out. Governments are already rationing energy, industries are cutting LNG and LPG usage, and export restrictions are limiting downstream production of fuels. The tightening has already begun.The real pressure point may not be oil, but natural gas—particularly LNG, as Qatar, which is a big supplier of Asia's LNG, has seen infrastructure damage. Asia accounts for about half of global LNG consumption, with up to 40 percent secured from the Middle East. Unlike oil, LNG has very limited buffers; in number of days, and not in months.This is where the story extends well beyond energy. Around 25 million tons per year of petrochemical capacity has been impacted, along with roughly 10 million tons of fertilizer production. Prices for key materials like polymers have risen 15–25 percent in just a few weeks, and the premiums are still rising. These inputs feed into everyday products—from cars and electronics to packaging and agriculture. Even basic services are affected, with cooking gas shortages hitting restaurants in parts of Asia.Policymakers are responding, but options are limited. Around 100 million barrels of crude has been released from reserves. Countries are securing higher-cost LNG cargoes. And many are turning back to coal for reliability despite environmental trade-offs.Ultimately, the longer this disruption persists, the more pressure builds across energy, power, chemicals, and food systems. And in a region as interconnected and import-dependent as Asia, those ripple effects spread quickly—and widely.Thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share the podcast with a friend or colleague today.

Bank stocks feel the pain from private credit You may have noticed that the bank stock index is down about 10%, which is more than the S&P 500's decline of 3% at the beginning of the year. It is estimated that banks made roughly 10% of their total loans to non-depository financial institutions known as NDFIs, which includes private credit companies. It's also estimated that these types of loans in the past three years have grown from $1.1 trillion to $1.9 trillion. The banking stocks may struggle for a few more months, but the good news is a recent study from the Office of Financial Research found that private funds and BDCs, which are Business Development Corporations, use lines of credit and currently they've only used about 50 to 65% of the buying capacity. The tough decision for the banks is do they cut off the line of credit now or do they take on more risk and let those lines of credit increase to 70 or 80%? I feel I hope they stop it now because the risk I think is too great going forward on these private loans. We do hold two banks in our portfolio, which means we may see little to no gain in those stocks in 2026 due to the concerns around private lending. However, we do invest in companies for the long term and understand that difficulties can arise and cause a down year for any company. Long-term I don't believe this will have a major impact on the financial situation for most of the bigger banks.   The big business of youth sports I remember growing up and wishing for a baseball or maybe a football for Christmas so I could go down the street and play with my friends. Fast forward to today and youth sports are a multibillion-dollar business for companies. The average American family spends $1,000 on sports per child. Whenever there's an opportunity someone or some business will step in and fill the void, Dick's Sporting Goods has helped fill this void. Dicks opened back in the 1940s by a gentleman name Richard Stack, who had the nickname, Dick. His grandmother had $300 cash in her cookie jar and that is what Dick used to start a fishing supply shop in Binghamton, New York. There are now more than 700 stores across the country and their newest concept known as Dick's House of Sport is expected to have around 100 stores by the end of next year. These are mega stores that are 150,000 square feet, which is three times the size of a normal store. In these mega stores you will find batting cages, climbing walls, golf simulators, and even fields to run around to test out your new cleats. Dicks have been doing well considering it saw revenue skyrocket to $14.1 billion last year. This was twice what it was 10 years ago, not a bad feat for any company.   It's not just oil; aluminum prices have been surging! With the recent war in Iran, the rising price of oil and gasoline has been quite noticeable and has been discussed heavily by various news outlets. One lesser-known impact from the difficulties within the Strait of Hormuz is the price for aluminum has surged. People may not notice it since they don't necessarily buy aluminum directly, but if the problem persists you could see price increases for your favorite six pack of soda or beer. Outside of packaging, aluminum is also used across electronics, construction, transportation, and solar panels. In 2025, the Middle East accounted for roughly 21% of unwrought aluminum imports, which is the raw, unprocessed metal, and 13% of wrought aluminum imports, which is aluminum that has been mechanically shaped into sheets, rods, or other finished forms. Due to supply concerns, the price of aluminum has now increased to 4-year highs and there are concerns it could push even closer to $4,000 per ton from the current price around $3,400 per ton. Aluminum is the most abundant metal on earth, but production has slowed with locations like Bahrain's Alba cutting production by 19%, this location is home to the world's largest smelter. Unlike oil, China could have a huge impact when it comes to producing aluminum. China is already the biggest producer of aluminum, but to try and reduce emissions and prevent overcapacity they keep production constrained. They currently have several idle smelters that could be restarted if they feel aluminum prices are too high. Like we have said with the price of oil, I don't see this as a long-term problem, but the longer supply is constrained for these input costs, the more problematic it is for inflation.   Surprise, US oil inventories actually increased I know what you're thinking with the price of gasoline and oil increasing, oil inventories must be declining. Fortunately, that is not the case. If the inventories were decreasing the price of oil and gasoline at the pump would probably be even higher. For the week ending March 13th, crude oil inventories rose by 6.2 million barrels to 449.3 million barrels. This does not include the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). Everyone including the analysts thought for sure there would be a decline and the estimate was for a decline of around 40,000 barrels. Gasoline inventories did fall by 5.4 million barrels to 244.1 million barrels as of March 13th, but that inventory level is still 3% above the five-year average for gasoline inventories. If the inventories remain high, we could see the price of oil and gasoline begin to decline in another couple weeks or so. It will not go back to where it was a month or so ago, but we should hopefully start seeing a decline back to more normal levels soon.   Financial Planning: How to Create a Tax-Free Account for a Child A powerful way to build tax-free wealth for a child is by strategically using the kiddie tax rules with investments that generate qualified dividends and long-term capital gains. Under the kiddie tax, the first $1,350 of investment income is tax-free, and the next $1,350 is taxed at the child's rate, which for capital gains and qualified dividends is typically also 0%. This means a child can receive up to $2,700 of investment income each year with no federal tax. Income above this level is taxed at the parent's rate, which may be 15% or 20%. While $2,700 may not seem like much, it can support a surprisingly large portfolio because dividend yields are typically low and capital gains are only recognized when assets are sold. For example, a portfolio with a 2% dividend yield would not generate $2,700 of dividends until it reaches about $135,000. While the account is below that level, capital gain harvesting can be used each year to bring total income up to $2,700, allowing gains to be realized tax-free while increasing the cost basis. Because this involves realizing gains (not losses), there are no wash sale restrictions, and investments can be immediately repurchased. By consistently harvesting gains over time, the child can build a portfolio with minimal tax drag and potentially access those funds later with little to no capital gains tax, especially if they continue the strategy after they are no longer subject to the kiddie tax.   Companies Discussed: Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI), SL Green Realty Corp. (SLG), Public Storage (PSA) & The Campbell's Company (CPB)

BEEF: I've been saying for a few weeks now it would not be a bad idea to keep well ahead of your needs. I'm doubling down on this as the reduced production we've seen this year is impacting product availability and pricing. Inventories will be tighter still with reduced production and increasing demand. Last week's harvest was 521k head, running a full 10% behind last year's reduced production. Markets are responding hard to this tight inventory, everything, I mean everything is moving higher. Led by middle meats, ribeyes, tenderloins, and strip loins, but all cuts are seeing increases. I've seen a couple analysts have the opinion this surge will scare off consumers and turn back down. I hope they are right and I'm wrong, but right now all I see in increases and strong demand. I'd buy now, waiting will cost you money.Chicken will be the alternate protein of choice for consumers moving from higher priced beef. Wings are lower a third week, I don't see this lasting much longer while boneless skinless randoms and tenders are moving higher. I do expect chicken increases to continue. Proudction is running about 2% ahead of last year and demand is keeping the product moving.On the Avian Flu front, another difficult week, 20 new cases reported affect 3.5 million birds, mostly egg layers. The northern migration is in full swing now, I do hope we get some relief soonSoy and canola have another strong week moving higher. Its been so long since we've seen a bull market in soy oil but demand and moving product to biofuels has spurred this market higher. Not so for corn and wheat continuing to trade sideways.Pork bellies leveled off at $153 same as last week. Bacon prices will be moving up but hopefully we get a few weeks breather. Loins, butts, ribs, all still a good value. Pork continues to be a great protein value.The dairy market went on a tear last week, giving back almost all the gains this week. As of Thursday's CME close, butter is down 16, barrel and block are both down 2. We'll see what next week brings.Savalfoods.com | Find us on Social Media: Instagram, Facebook, YouTube, Twitter, LinkedIn

SINGAPORE (ICIS)--Asia's naphtha inventories are rapidly depleting as the ongoing Middle East conflict disrupts crude flows through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital chokepoint through which around 20% of global crude supply passes.With crude oil exports from the Middle East constrained, naphtha resupply to Asia has tightened sharply. Estimates suggest Asian petrochemical producers are holding just two to three weeks of working inventory, raising concerns that prolonged disruption could trigger run cuts or even major shutdowns if replenishment fails to materialize.In this podcast, ICIS principle analyst Darryl Xu breaks down how the Middle East conflict is constraining naphtha availability to Asia, and the potential downstream impact on steam crackers across the region. US-Iran conflict disrupts Strait of Hormuz, preventing Middle East crude exports Asian producers adjust run rates to manage depleting naphtha inventories Middle East refiners face pressure to export amid limited product containment

Canadian LPG firms are increasingly vying for more space in the crowded global LPG market, actively pushing to diversify their exports away from the US. At the same time, Canadian NGL production continues to rise. Calgary's LPG reporter Dennis Kovtun shares with us the western Canadian NGL pricing outlook.

Precious metals markets showed resilience this week, with gold holding near $5,000 per oz and silver closing at $77.37 per oz despite a sharp, headline-driven flash crash selloff sparked by a now-denied report about Russia rejoining the U.S. dollar system. The brief volatility underscored how sensitive markets remain to geopolitical narratives, but physical demand trends suggest underlying strength. Second, tightening physical silver supply continues to stand out globally, with Chinese exchange silver bar inventories falling toward 25 million ounces and COMEX registered inventory down roughly 54% since India's surge in imports last fall. Strong buying from Turkey, India, and robust sales at the Perth Mint reinforce the idea that retail and institutional investors alike are rotating more aggressively into silver. Finally, the broader macro backdrop remains firmly supportive of bullion, as U.S. deficits approach $3 trillion annually and total federal debt nears $40 trillion. With stock-to-gold ratios breaking down and fiscal discipline appearing unlikely in the near term, the long-term debasement narrative continues to drive strategic allocations toward gold and other precious metals. Listen this week's podcast with an open mind — beyond the flash crash headlines and the political theater of ongoing congressional hearings, the real story unfolding in gold and silver may be far more significant than most investors realize.

Travis Averill of the National Agricultural Statistics Service provides updates on inventories of sheep and goats.

Host Isaiah Buchanan kicks off this Tuesday edition with a significant legal victory for NFI CEO Sidney Brown. An appellate court has affirmed the dismissal of criminal charges against the executive regarding real estate development rights in Camden, New Jersey. Next, the show examines how robust consumer spending is leading retailers to adopt leaner inventory strategies. While this shift is softening ocean shipping demand, it is expected to drive up domestic truckload rates and tender rejections in the near term. In FreightTech news, startup GenLogs has secured $60 million in Series B funding to expand its AI-powered supply chain intelligence platform. The company aims to use its nationwide sensor network to enhance visibility and combat freight fraud across the industry. Follow the FreightWaves NOW Podcast Other FreightWaves Shows Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Host Isaiah Buchanan kicks off this Tuesday edition with a significant legal victory for NFI CEO Sidney Brown. An appellate court has affirmed the dismissal of criminal charges against the executive regarding real estate development rights in Camden, New Jersey. Next, the show examines how robust consumer spending is leading retailers to adopt leaner inventory strategies. While this shift is softening ocean shipping demand, it is expected to drive up domestic truckload rates and tender rejections in the near term. In FreightTech news, startup GenLogs has secured $60 million in Series B funding to expand its AI-powered supply chain intelligence platform. The company aims to use its nationwide sensor network to enhance visibility and combat freight fraud across the industry. Follow the FreightWaves NOW Podcast Other FreightWaves Shows Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The latest federal hog inventory report shows modest changes in U.S. hog numbers, underscoring continued uncertainty for pork producers heading into the new year. USDA data indicates that total hog and pig inventories are slightly higher than a year ago, while the breeding herd remains relatively stable. NAFB News ServiceSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The USDA's latest cattle on feed report indicates a tightening of cattle supplies in the U.S., with inventory levels 2% lower than last year. This is largely due to reduced cattle imports from Mexico, which have been halted due to concerns over foot-and-mouth disease.

Three-quarters of the Bakken's top-tier well sites may have already been drilled and the remaining inventory may be less than stellar, but a new AI-based analysis suggests the quality of the rock held by the shale play's top producers varies widely.

A market outlook from Royal LePage forecasts a decline in home sale prices across Greater Vancouver in 2026, while Rentals.ca says average rent prices in Vancouver are in decline. Royal LePage managing broker Randy Ryalls and Royal LePage Sussex property manager Nina Knudsen join the show to talk about changes in the market.

Watch on YouTube: https://youtu.be/rTuIIrp5h4M In this episode, I look at the November Services PMI report and explain why a sharp drop in New Orders—despite overall growth—sends a mixed message about the economy's true momentum. Also in this episode:

Global silver inventories are collapsing at a pace we haven't seen in decades, from China's SGE/SHFE to COMEX and even major ETFs. Massive, irregular outflows—millions of ounces at a time—signal that something big is shifting beneath the surface of the silver market. Analysts now warn that this year's silver deficit could become the deepest on record, with cumulative shortages since 2019 already exceeding 1.3 billion ounces. Add in tightening liquidity and the growing risk of sudden investment surges, and the setup for explosive silver price action is becoming hard to ignore.

Milk production is up 4.2% year over year, components are climbing and prices are falling. As holiday orders wrap up and we head into the long winter, The Milk Check team digs into whether dairy markets have already found a floor, or if there's still another leg down to go. With milk products everywhere (except for whey), the Jacoby team shares where the market is and where we're going. They churn through: Butter at $1.50 and what heavy cream and higher components mean after the holidays Why cheese feels like a calm before the storm, and how far Class III could grind lower Nonfat and skim: long milk, growing inventories and buyers shopping the cheapest origin Why whey proteins are the outlier, with tight supply, strong demand and GLP-1 tailwinds Global milk growth, clustered demand (Ramadan, Chinese New Year, Super Bowl) and who blinks first between the U.S. and Europe In this episode of The Milk Check, host Ted Jacoby III is joined by Joe Maixner, Jacob Menge, Diego Carvallo, Josh White and Mike Brown for a rapid-fire market session on butter, cheese, nonfat and proteins. Listen now for The Milk Check's latest market read on butter, cheese, nonfat and whey. Got questions? We'd love to hear them. Submit below, and we might answer it on the show. Ask The Milk Check Ted Jacoby III: Welcome back, everybody, to The Milk Check podcast. Today we’re gonna have a market discussion. It is November 10th. We are in the last couple of weeks of the quote-unquote busy season, starting to get a feel for what we think is gonna happen to dairy markets as holiday orders are filled, and we transition into the long-term period of the year. In the last few weeks, we’ve actually seen prices drop, but it feels like butter’s kind of dropped down to about a $1.50/lb and seems to find at least a brief floor. We’ll talk to Joe and find out if Joe thinks we’re gonna stick around here for a while. The cheese market was up in the $1.80s/lb. It’s dropped to a little below $1.70, starting to hit a little bit of resistance. Jake will share with us a little bit about what we think is happening with cheese going forward. Nonfat dropped a little bit down to [00:01:00], about what Diego, about a $1.10/lb and had a little bounce off its floor. Meanwhile, the whey complex just continues to go up. We’ll check in with Josh and find out what’s going on there. Well, let’s go ahead and start with milk production. We just got released today, the September milk production, and it says it’s up 4.2%, which is a very, very big number. It’s November; milk is longer than it usually is this time of year. Usually, it’s quite tight, and it’s not quite tight, but I wouldn’t call it long. However, all the signs are there that once we get past the fall holiday order season, milk could get quite long. If September milk is up 4.2%, I think it’s safe to say that if that continues, we will be quite long milk as we transition from the typical seasonal tightness of the fall into the winter and the flush of the spring. 4.2% is a big number, and that’s not even taking into account the fact that the solids in the milk are up as well. That’s not the kind of tone that a dairy farmer wants us to set as we’re talking about what supply and demand looks like, but there’s a lot of milk out there, [00:02:00] Joe, does that mean there’s a lot of butter out there, too? Joe Maixner: Well, there’s still a lot of butter out there; sounds like there’s going to be a lot more butter coming soon. If milk’s up 4%, cream was heavy all of last winter and into last Spring, extremely heavy. If we have higher components, more milk, and we’ve got a full amount of milk coming outta California as well after coming off of bird flu last year, there’s just gonna be that much more cream in the system and more getting pushed back into the churns. So, it’s a very good possibility that we’re gonna go even lower than where we currently are. Volume seems to be trading well. The cream demand has been fairly steady, going into cultured products and the shorter shelf-life products. Cream’s still long, but it’s not swimming yet. Ted Jacoby III: Will we hold this $1.50 area through Thanksgiving, you think? Joe Maixner: Yeah, it seems like we’ve hit a spot where buyers are willing to step in. So, there’s a good chance that we could hang around this $1.50 area for the next couple of weeks. Once the last little spurt of holiday demand is over, we’re gonna take another leg lower. Ted Jacoby III: Okay. Jake, what about [00:03:00] cheese? Jacob Menge: I think we had a little reprieve from some cheese bearishness with the holiday demand. It’s tough, though, especially with this wall of milk that’s headed our way. Does it seem like the bottom’s ready to drop out? Probably not yet. But it still seems like it’s a possibility. It almost seems like the call before the storm. Ted Jacoby III: What you’re saying is: we’ve already dropped quite a bit, but we’re in typical low points, but it’s possible, considering the amount of supply coming our way, that there’s still another cliff to negotiate, and we could go a lot lower when it comes to Class III milk and cheese prices. Jacob Menge: If you zoom out a ways, going back to mid-2022, we’ve really not liked to go below that $1.55 level on futures. We’re kind of at another support level at this $1.65. Those seem like our two support areas, historically, for the last 3, 4 years. So, it’s probably gonna be one of those grinds lower if we move lower from here, versus that $1.85 to $1.65 was almost an air pocket drop. [00:04:00] It seems like the market’s gonna have to earn it if it moves lower from here, but it does seem like a possibility. Ted Jacoby III: When we get down to these levels, this usually tends to form the floor, and if we have so much cheese out there and so much milk out there that we’re gonna go lower from here, it’s probably not an air pocket drop; it’s probably a grind lower from here. Jacob Menge: Yeah, I think our lows, on the futures, for the past 4 years have been that $1.55. Don’t quote me on that, gimme a couple of cents on either side of that. But that means we got a dime from here to hit those five-year lows, you know, besides COVID. There’s a lot to be said for technical trading at those levels. So, it would take a big fundamental kind of wave supply to get us to crack that. Ted Jacoby III: Got it. Thank you. Diego. What about nonfat? What’s the international market doing? We know we have a lot of milk in North America. We have a lot of milk everywhere. And what does it mean? Diego Carvallo: Customers are also seeing the data, and it seems like they’re in no rush to buy nonfat. Right. Nonfat seems to be the product that is 00:05:00 consistently available. We haven’t seen a very tight market in several years. So, it seems customers are more concerned about other products like WPCs or maybe cheese, other products besides nonfat. So, they’re staying very hand-to-mouth. They’re being very flexible when it comes to origin and just buying spot and from the origin that offers them the cheapest skim milk powder delivered price, which, in most cases, for the past few months, has been either European or New Zealand product because of the shipment time, transit time, and tariffs. Ted Jacoby III: Has the inventory in the U.S. been building as a result? Diego Carvallo: Yes, it has, Ted. Yep. Inventory has been building. I was looking into the milk production numbers for September. California was relatively stable compared to the previous year. I think we grew by 2.5% versus the previous year. But the strong impact from avian [00:06:00] influenza was actually in October. So, that’s when we might see a big jump between California production for 2024 and California production for 2025. So, I thought the Milk Report was pretty bearish for nonfat. Next month could be as bearish or even more. I still believe that we’re gonna see a lot of product going into the dryers, and that’s gonna add pressure, and that’s gonna increase inventories for U.S. products. Ted Jacoby III: What does milk production look like in Europe? Diego Carvallo: They’re actually up quite a bit. I think their September number was also stronger than expected. I can’t recall the exact number, but it was stronger than expected, even though they have cut down on the farmer price, the FrieslandCampina, which is the number one benchmark. It still seems like, with corn moving lower, there’s still a number that incentivizes more milk production. For the next few months until we see a stronger cotton price, we’re gonna see plenty of milk from the U.S. and from Europe. Ted Jacoby III: [00:07:00] Okay, thanks. Appreciate it, Diego. Josh, so what about the protein market? Josh White: Yeah, same story. I don’t know why everybody else is having so many problems with their products because whey proteins are in demand and it continues to be very strong. WPC 80, WPI demand is outpacing supply. People are trying to book forward and can’t. By all reports, the demand on the consumer level remains pretty good. It’s a bit of an outlier. It’s definitely a mystery. A lot of the discussion centers around GLP-1 adoption in the U.S. Compared to a year ago, I think I read this morning, something like 12% of Americans are allegedly using GLP-1-related drugs for weight loss. Assuming that’s an accurate statistic, that’s a noteworthy number of people. There was a lot of discussion last year that as people come on things like Wegovy and Ozempic, at what moment do we mature to the point that people beginning their cycles of taking the drugs equal those coming off of those drugs? There’s just been a lot of headlines about more affordable access to these types of products. If that continues, that shifts this curve even a little bit further up. [00:08:00] What can reverse that trend or slow down the demand for the whey protein side? I think it takes a production response. I can imagine that any manufacturer that’s making whey-related products as a byproduct of their cheese production is exploring how to access this demand, in particular, the whey protein isolate demand. I don’t have the impression that equipment is any easier to get, and there are still plenty of obstacles in terms of making production changes at the processor side. It feels to me like at least through the first half of this year, we’re gonna continue to be under-supplied relative to the demand that’s out there. And I think it’s important to note that although we’re talking about good demand for these products, the GLP-1-related impact on the dairy market isn’t all positive. It’s certainly a positive on the whey protein side. Still, I think, as it relates to consumer demand for butterfat, cheese products, and some of the other snack foods that dairy products are used in, in the CPG space, people are consuming fewer calories. Throughout the rest of the world, this health and wellness [00:09:00] trend and this appetite for quality protein are everywhere. Their demand continues to be very strong internationally. Maybe a couple of other things that are noteworthy, maybe early indicators of the price stabilizing, it looks like Europe and the U.S. might be closer to parity for the first time in a while. So, we should watch that. We will see seasonal production levels start to increase a bit. I don’t know if that will one-for-one find its way into additional whey protein availability, but it certainly should help the situation as we get into heavier production months in the Northern hemisphere markets that produce these products. But other than that, demand remains very, very strong. Prices are firm. They appear they’ll continue to be through at minimum the first quarter. And I don’t think it’s going out on a ledge to say through the first half of the year. And then we’ll see what happens on the other side of it. But yeah, definitely a firm marketplace right now, Ted. Ted Jacoby III: What about milk protein concentrate, milk protein isolate? Are we starting to see the value of those products increase and close the gap between the [00:10:00] whey protein, since the whey proteins have gotten so expensive? Josh White: I’ll jump in and say we’re starting to see some early indications of that: people looking for substitutes where they can. If you’re not in these markets every day, you don’t know what products are available. If you’re in the CPG space or using it as one of many, many SKUs that you’re buying, you’re not aware of the functional properties and some of these other things. And there’s also a decision-making timeline that people have to consider. Not only are there labeling concerns and other things, but there’s a lot of protein that’s consumed as an ingredient and maybe not the primary ingredient. And oftentimes, those decisions are not easy to formulate or change, and they’re also made over larger durations of time, like annual pricing. We’ve had such a wide gap for a long enough time now that we have customers asking questions, and customers that are on the lower end of the valorization for these products are looking for substitutes. Those substitutes come in a couple of ways. They can come from substituting away from dairy, substituting for other [00:11:00] dairy or trading down to lower dairy-related protein products. We’re seeing people investigate all of them. Diego might be able to speak more precisely about what’s happening with the MPC prices. But generally speaking, the majority of people out there are starting to ask questions. I’m not so sure it’s having a material impact or moving the needle quite yet on substitution. Ted Jacoby III: Okay, well, it feels a little bit like a broken record. Milk everywhere, product everywhere except for whey, maybe that’s exactly the loop we’re in right now. Joe Maixner: We’ve talked a lot about supply and excess and whatnot, but demand, it feels like we’re increasingly teetering towards a crumbling economic situation with higher debt, people not having much discretionary income, and just overall demand being weak. Ted Jacoby III: So, if you’re looking at the demand numbers that we track, restaurant traffic is definitely down. It is clear that the economic environment we’re in, people’s pocketbooks are being stretched thin, and they’re cutting back on how often they go to restaurants and eat at [00:12:00] restaurants. Now, usually when that happens, there’s an offset into the retail side, and the retail side numbers usually go up a little bit. You are seeing that. Speaking to some of our branded customers, what they’re telling us is their sales are down, and the private label guys are saying, well, their sales are up, but frankly, not as much as they expected. The bottom has not dropped out yet. I think everybody’s watching it pretty closely. I think the industry’s concerned. I’ll leave it at that. Mike Brown: I think food service continues to be the big stickler on overall dairy sales. Grocery sales are okay. Food service continues to be weak, and that’s gonna affect us. Mm-hmm. Particularly, I think some of the high-fat products. Josh White: When we’re looking at it from the home front, it doesn’t feel real great, but if we’re looking at just how much additional milk we have globally, including out of Oceana and out of South America, and looking at how much of that surplus milk globally is being consumed in Asia right now, I mean they’ve been buying I wonder if that points to some brightness, at least some positives? Now, I also am a little [00:13:00] concerned that we have a consolidation of demand events, with Chinese New Year buying at the same time that Ramadan continues to move earlier and earlier every year. And prices are low right now. Feels like we might have a big concentration of demand that’s meant to satisfy local needs in the early part of 2026, but there has been a lot of international trade. Ted Jacoby III: I think you’re absolutely right. Ramadan and the Chinese New Year are both in February. Diego Carvallo: The word in the street, Ted, is that most of the Ramadan and New Year’s demand is gonna be fulfilled by the middle of November. Ted Jacoby III: In other words, by the time we get to January 1st, those orders are gone. Mike Brown: Yeah. And Super Bowl is 10 days before the start of Ramadan in the Chinese New Year. So, they’re all pretty close together. Josh White: I went back to saying that, hey, we’ve got a lot of milk globally, every surplus region’s producing more milk than expected. You mentioned earlier, Ted, that doesn’t even account for the component growth that we have here. That’s been fairly impressive. [00:14:00] What’s been interesting about that is it hasn’t felt this heavy. You might believe, well, it doesn’t feel as heavy because the Northern Hemisphere is at its low milk production points. Maybe it doesn’t feel as heavy because we’ve got a concentration of additional demand, but we’re trading a lot of anticipatory supply concerns. We’re really trading the fact that tomorrow we’re worried we have a lot of incremental milk, globally, that we don’t necessarily know where we’re gonna go with it. That’s not a reason to get bullish, to be super clear, but I do think that if we’re thinking through vulnerabilities in the market, that might be one. Ted Jacoby III: I would agree with that. I think there are three things that are probably keeping this market from going straight to the bottom. One, as you said, we’re at the low point seasonally for milk production in the Northern Hemisphere. Two, we are at the high point for demand everywhere. And three, you get to a certain point, and I think we are there in all products, we may actually be passed there in butter, but we are there in cheese, I think we’re there in nonfat, where [00:15:00] in order to go lower, you need to build up supply to the point where the inventories become actually burdensome, and I don’t think they have become burdensome yet, but I would expect that sometime in the first quarter of 2026, they will. You’ll start hearing reports that warehouses are full. You’ll start hearing reports that, from a cashflow perspective, whether it’s traders, whether it’s manufacturers, you have people who just need to dump inventory because they don’t have the cash flow to continue to hold inventory. Those are the things that drive markets to their lows. And so, if you think about the old saying: the cure for high prices is high prices, and the cure for low prices is low prices, that’s when you find out what the low price is, and then you go to that place that sends the strongest supply signal possible to suppliers that they need to cut back. Mike Brown: I was at a cattle show of all things this weekend and was talking with someone about feeding palm oil to get butterfat. His rule of thumb was that a pound of palm oil costs about a dollar, and you get about a 00:16:00 three-to-five-point increase in fat test from that. So, if you say 0.4 and you’re a 90-pound Holstein herd, that’s 0.36 pounds of fat. So, you’re paying a dollar to produce, there’s roughly 50, 60 cents worth of butter fat. So, we may start to see that come into conversations on rations. Josh White: And if we’re looking for optimism, I think that formula is pretty openly discussed in Europe as well. So, you’ve got a situation now where you have the on-farm milk price that is beginning to drop, the signals there that it needs to come down. It’s moving at a decent clip, to Diego’s point, maybe not enough to make any major change yet, but for planning purposes, things like feeding for fat might be a bit more vulnerable going forward there. So yeah, if we’re looking for what could start to correct our oversupply situation or what could potentially stabilize or support the market, we need time. I think that’s the most important thing that needs to happen, is we need time, and we need a milk price that curtails any additional production growth [00:17:00] for the moment so that demand can catch up. We talked about the U.S. situation and how the consumer spending situation doesn’t feel great. But globally, per capita butterfat consumption globally is growing. Per capita protein consumption is growing. We just need to give the demand time to catch up. Inventories might be starting to build, but they’re nowhere nearcumbersome. I would actually argue, our supply chain is still very thin. I wouldn’t even argue that we’re getting to a point where we’re normal by historical standards. I think that we have a pretty thin supply chain, and that’s everything from measurable inventory and reports, like cold storage reports and manufacturing stocks here in the U.S., but all the way through the pipeline. I don’t believe that many end users are sitting on excess product or have too many days in inventory. I think they’ve been quite comfortable buying hand-to-mouth. And the only product they’re being punished on right now for that is whey proteins. Ted Jacoby III: I think you’re right, Josh. I would agree with that statement. I think butter [00:18:00] is somewhat of an exception. Joe Maixner: I don’t know. Butter, it just depends on product mix, right? It’s CME eligible salted bulk. I think overall inventories are not burdensome. But we do have too much older CME-eligible salted bulk butter out there. Ted Jacoby III: That’s actually where I’m going, Joe. What do butter manufacturers do if they’re worried about having produced too many quarters and too many solids? They’ll just produce bulk. And so bulk is the overflow because they know the worst-case scenario, they can dump it onto the CME. And so that is where we end up with excess surplus, just like we get the same with a cheddar block in the cheese market. Josh White: How is international demand for U.S. butter at the moment, Joe, compared to where you would expect it to be and compared to where we were a few months ago? Joe Maixner: It’s steady right now. New inquiries are still coming in, but inquiries have lessened compared to a month or two ago; there’s a lot being made and shipping right now. International markets are starting to open their eyes to something other than [00:19:00] 82%. They’re starting to expand into the 80% because they are finally starting to realize that the numbers that they see on the futures don’t equate to the numbers they pay for an 82% product. And so anybody that’s really just using it for solids, for processing, is starting to convert, which is helping clean up some of that 80% salted butter, but it’s still not fast enough to really move the needle yet. Josh White: So, if the outlook for butterfat really doesn’t have any material upside in the near future, and we’re currently looking at Class III and IV prices, where they’re at, when do we start to impact the U.S. producer’s decision on making incremental milk beyond just the fat component? Are we close or are we still a long way away? Jacob Menge: Look at this Milk Production Report. We are up 268,000 head since June of 2024. That just keeps going up. There was an August revision of 71,000 head higher. The answer is a pretty [00:20:00] conclusive, not yet. I’m looking at the last time, September milk production beat the prior month, so beat August, which was 2001. And it just did that; September just beat August, and the last time it did that was 2001. Josh White: We’re not even talking about adjusted for components. Jacob Menge: That is correct. Joe Maixner: I can’t imagine that $16 to $17 Class III causes any worries right now for the farmers, with $4 corn and $1,200 feeder calves. Mike Brown: As long as you’re in a Class III market, if you’re heavy Class IV, your price isn’t $17. It depends on where you’re located, Joe. But for the most part, if you’re in a cheese market, it’s still decent. You’re right because the whey is also contributing a lot to that Class III price right now with a 70¢ whey market. Ted Jacoby III: Yeah. And the cows are all increasing in the states where there is increased processing capacity as well. Jacob Menge: These guys have had time to hedge this, and they still almost can hedge this, right? Going into later next year, where I think it’s gotta be at a point where they can’t hedge at a profit, and then you’ve [00:21:00] really got issues. Josh White: If we’re in a situation where the global economic outlook isn’t great, so that means we shouldn’t expect any major demand booms to pull dairy up We’re realizing supply growth in all major dairy surplus regions; the only correction for this is supply. And who’s the first to react? The obvious answer is it’s gonna be head-to-head with Europe and the U.S. Who breaks first? These are very, very different markets with different drivers, and they’re actually experiencing growth for different reasons related to the big picture, but different reasons. Europe just went through a situation where its butterfat carried the day. And butterfat was incredibly high, much higher than the U.S. price. They were an importer of fat from New Zealand, bringing in a noteworthy amount of product. And then now going into this year, they’ve seen a really significant drop, well below the support level that most traders would’ve held for butterfat. You assume [00:22:00] that they’re not gonna import a bunch of that product, forcing that product on the rest of the market. They’re going through a pretty negative situation right now as well. One thing you can’t forget about the European producer is that if you kill cows, it’s really tough to replace them, not for the same reasons we have in the U.S., that right now it’s just difficult to compete with beef. But they don’t wanna make those changes for a lot of regulatory reasons. So, they’re gonna hang on as long as possible. The U.S. model, we’re not in pain yet, generally speaking. Some smaller producers might look at higher beef prices and lower dairy outlook as an opportunity to exit. But there is way more structural expansion in motion or down the line that I think that train’s moving down the tracks. So, it’ll be really interesting to see if and who breaks first between the North American market and the European market. Ted Jacoby III: My hunch is it’s the U.S. market. I still think we’re a minimum of six months away, maybe even 12 to 18. Now there are signs, like you look at the Milk Production Report, the state of Washington is down [00:23:00] 8.5%. So, there are places where we are losing cows. Even though the majority of the country has gained cows recently, I would argue that with the drop in the butter price and the weakness in the nonfat market, California is the next one that I think will follow. They’ll struggle to get a decent milk price given that those are the two dominant price drivers for the California market. Diego Carvallo: But if you look at Idaho’s strongly up. So, it seems like a movement between Washington and Idaho. Ted Jacoby III: I think you could be right. Joe Maixner: California, their numbers this month were slightly higher than their peak production year 22. They’re on the uptrend. That’s a large ship that takes a while to turn around. Ted Jacoby III: I don’t disagree. I also think you’re still measuring against bird flu in California. You could argue that it may be a little artificially high. Joe Maixner: I actually questioned that because of the lower increase than I had anticipated for the September number, and bird flu didn’t actually start in California until October. So, we will see even larger increases next month forward in California. They [00:24:00] have that Class I plant that they opened as well out there. Mike Brown: They’re also getting hit with a big assessment, a lot of the producers out there, because the butter market changed, there’s been a lot of inventory loss, and that’s gonna hurt some producers as well. No one I talk to in California is worried about finding milk. They’re worried about finding a place to put it right now. Ted Jacoby III: I don’t think that’s isolated to being a California problem right now. Mike Brown: I would agree. You’re right. Ted Jacoby III: On that note, I think it’s a good time to wrap. Thanks, everybody, for joining us this week. Look forward to talking to you guys again soon. Thank you.

In this Week 42 edition of the GMS Weekly Podcast, we review another turbulent week in the global ship recycling markets, shaped by volatile currencies, a softening steel market, and shifting regional sentiment across India, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Turkey. Global Market Overview Freight markets strengthened slightly as the Baltic Dry Index gained just over 1%, supported by Capesize, Panamax, and Dry segments. Oil prices continued to slide, closing near USD 57.38 per barrel, down 8% month-on-month and 18% year-on-year. Currencies stayed under pressure across the Sub-continent: the Indian rupee hovered near Rs 88.02 per USD, the Pakistani rupee weakened to PKR 283.6, the Bangladeshi taka slipped to BDT 122, and the Turkish lira traded close to TRY 42. Steel plate prices fluctuated across regions, with India around USD 389 per ton, Pakistan steady near USD 614, and Bangladesh holding around USD 519. Bangladesh After brief optimism, Chattogram slowed again. Local recyclers paused new purchases despite steel holding near USD 519 per ton and the taka weakening to BDT 122 per USD. Inventories continued to build while the market waited for political clarity and a new government direction. India Alang remained quiet as steel plates fell to USD 389 per ton and the rupee traded near Rs 88 per USD. Over 120,000 LDT of vessels arrived, but buyers mostly stayed away ahead of Diwali. Sentiment remains weak despite steady arrivals. Pakistan Inflation and cheaper Iranian steel imports pushed domestic plate prices down to USD 614 per ton. The rupee depreciated to PKR 283.6 per USD, and no yards have yet achieved Hong Kong Convention accreditation. Most buyers remain cautious and on hold. Turkey The Turkish lira closed around TRY 42 per USD. Offers were steady, but activity was limited as the year-end approaches and tonnage supply remains tight. Market Sentiment Volatility, inflation, and regulatory uncertainty continue to shape the global ship recycling landscape. India faces pricing pressure, Bangladesh is cautiously reawakening, Pakistan struggles with inflation and compliance, and Turkey stays muted.   For full details, vessel rankings, and port positions, download the GMS Weekly on our website or mobile app. Follow GMS on LinkedIn, Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter for daily updates.

TD's Ghali: 'Silver Inventories Could Be Depleted Within Months' TD Securities' Daniel Ghali has been writing about how the silver market is heading towards a dislocation. But if you thought his paper this January about how we were sleepwalking into a silver squeeze was eye-opening, just wait until you see what he had to say in his latest report. Which of course Vince covers in this morning's show. And to find out more, click to watch this video now! - To find out more about the latest progress from Fortuna Mining go to: https://fortunamining.com/ - To get access to Vince's research in 'Goldfix Premium' go to: https://vblgoldfix.substack.com/ - Get access to Arcadia's Daily Gold and Silver updates here: https://goldandsilverdaily.substack.com/ - To get your very own 'Silver Chopper Ben' statue go to: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/chopper-ben-landing-page/ - Join our free email list to be notified when a new video comes out: click here: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/email-signup/ - Follow Arcadia Economics on twitter at: https://x.com/ArcadiaEconomic - To get your copy of 'The Big Silver Short' (paperback or audio) go to: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/thebigsilvershort/ - Listen to Arcadia Economics on your favorite Podcast platforms: Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/75OH2PpgUpriBA5mYf5kyY Apple - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/arcadia-economics/id1505398976 - #silver #silverprice #gold And remember to get outside and have some fun every once in a while!:) (URL0VD) This video was sponsored by Fortuna Mining, and Arcadia Economics does receive compensation. For our full disclaimer go to: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/disclaimer-fortuna-silver-mines/Subscribe to Arcadia Economics on Soundwise

Home sales are down. Prices are falling. Inventories are rising. Record number of cancelations. And this is for July, not just a prime sales month in real estate, also three months after the events April. Stocks are soaring and trade deals have been struck. Where are all the buyers? Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis------------------------------------------------------------------------------------I'm excited to share something I've negotiated for you guys: you can now get a Glint Card for FREE (normally $10) just by registering with my code ‘SNIDER' or filling out the form on the page I've linked below.All the details and more about Glint are at https://partner.glintpay.com/eurodollar/. Don't miss out!------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Redfin News Home Purchases Are Getting Canceled at a Record Ratehttps://www.redfin.com/news/home-purchase-cancellations-july-2025/Bloomberg US New-Home Sales Exceed Forecast Following Upward Revisionhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-08-25/us-new-home-sales-exceed-forecast-following-upward-revisionBloomberg US Homebuilder Sentiment Retreats as Buyers Lack Motivationhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-08-18/us-homebuilder-sentiment-retreats-as-buyers-lack-motivationNAR Existing-Home Sales Report Shows 2.0% Increase in Julyhttps://www.nar.realtor/newsroom/nar-existing-home-sales-report-shows-2-0-increase-in-julyhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUThis video was sponsored by Glint. Graphic representations of value are for illustrative purposes only. The Glint Debit card is issued by Sutton Bank, Member FDIC. The sale, purchase and storage of precious metals are offered by Glint, and not Sutton Bank. Your investment in precious metals through Glint is:-Not insured by the FDIC.-Not a deposit or other obligation of, or guaranteed by, Sutton Bank.-Subject to investment risks, including the possible risk of loss of the principal amount invested.All investments involve risk, including possible loss of principal. The value of precious metals is affected by many economic factors, including but not limited to the current market price, demand, perceived scarcity, and quality of the precious metal.  Precious metals can increase or decrease in value. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. As such, investing in precious metals may not be suitable for everyone.Glint Pay Inc. is a U.S. based authorized Card Program Manager, not a bank. Banking services are provided by our partner Sutton Bank, Member FDIC. Glint Pay Inc. employs effective Anti-Money Laundering (AML), Countering the Financing of Terrorism (CFT), and fraud prevention systems and controls to mitigate and combat risks.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Shoot us a Text.Episode #1124: Today we break down the latest Fixed Ops Golden Metrics, showing where service departments are winning and where there's room to grow. We also look at how dealer inventory has returned to pre-tariff “normal” levels, and why Atlantans are playing cancellation games just to ride in a Waymo robotaxi.The Fixed Ops Golden Metrics 2025 report from Reynolds and Reynolds highlights how service departments are stacking up in hours, labor rates, and RO profits—plus the big gains from technician efficiency tools.Dealers are grouped two ways—by urban classification (Major Urban, Metro, Community, Rural) and by 5 volume classes based on monthly customer-pay ROs: Class 1: 1,200.High-volume Class 5 stores topped 3,000 hrs/month. Major Urban averaged 1,613 hrs/month vs. Rural at 490. Major Urban led profit per RO at $414, Rural just $225. Class 1 averaged $400, dropping to $243 in Class 5.Using recommendation software added +0.5 hrs/RO, +$18 ELR, and +$62 profit/RO—worth $9K more profit/month for a 150-RO store.After months of tariff shocks and supply swings, dealer lots look familiar again. The average automaker now has a 73-day supply of new cars — right on the industry's long-term target.Lots once ran as high as 89 days of supply during early tariff panic.Inventories plunged to 66 days when 25% tariffs first hit but have since recovered.Despite costs, prices rose just 1.5% YoY as automakers and dealers absorbed tariffs.Some brands buck the trend: Toyota/Lexus are tight with just over a month of supply, while Ram and Land Rover sit on four months' worth.Waymo has expanded beyond its California and Arizona roots, bringing robotaxis to Atlanta. But there's a catch: you can only hail one through Uber, and it's not guaranteed.Riders can select “Prefer Waymo” in the Uber app, but often get matched with human drivers.Some Atlantans cancel ride after ride—one reporting 20 cancellations on average—just to snag a Waymo.Waymo has only dozens of vehicles in the city now, with plans to grow to hundreds in coming years.Riders can improve their odds by staying inside the 65-square-mile service zone, avoiding highways, and riding outside peak times.As one rider put it, “The fact that it's so challenging to get has turned it into a game.”0:00 Intro with Paul J Daly and Kyle Mountsier1:08 We'll be at the NAMAD Annual Meeting next week1:45 Webinar on Dealer Reputation Tomorrow2:26 Fixed Ops Golden Metrics from Reynolds and ReynoldsJoin Paul J Daly and Kyle Mountsier every morning for the Automotive State of the Union podcast as they connect the dots across car dealerships, retail trends, emerging tech like AI, and cultural shifts—bringing clarity, speed, and people-first insight to automotive leaders navigating a rapidly changing industry.Get the Daily Push Back email at https://www.asotu.com/ JOIN the conversation on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/asotu/

Platinum is quietly entering one of the most critical supply squeezes we've seen in years—yet hardly anyone is talking about it. Inventories are vanishing, lease rates are exploding, and major players like China are scooping up what's left. If you're serious about understanding where precious metals are headed next, this is a story you can't afford to ignore. Listen to the full breakdown now before the market catches on.   Platinum Market Squeeze: Platinum lease rates are soaring, signaling extremely tight physical supply globally. Inventories in London and Zurich are reportedly depleted, with NYMEX stocks down over 55% since April 2025. China's Platinum Demand: Despite claims to the contrary, China remains the top platinum consumer—driven by auto manufacturing, glass, and oil refining industries—and is likely absorbing Western inventories. Gold Price Surge on Political Rhetoric: Gold briefly spiked to $3,375 oz midweek after Donald Trump mentioned potentially firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell, before settling back to $3,350 oz. Gold to Silver Ratio Climbs: The ratio rose to 87 this week, with silver retreating slightly to $38.17 oz while gold strengthened—highlighting a potential opportunity for silver to catch up.  

Send us a textJoin Pat for a 3 part discussion of the State of The Nation's Housing in 2025 as prepared by the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University.This week in Part 1What is this report and who is JCHS?Big Picture - Home Prices are Up, as are Inventories, Barriers to Home Ownership Rise, Rental Demand is Strong, Housing Costs are Up Across the Board...The Future Is UncertainThe Housing Markets

Texas Just Sent a Warning Shot to the Rest of the U.S. EconomyConsumer spending in Texas has collapsed, and the data from the Dallas Fed is worse than anyone expected. Retail sales activity fell off a cliff in May, hitting levels not seen since April 2020. Inventories are piling up, work hours are being slashed, and employers are cutting back.Is this just a Texas problem… or is it the first sign of a nationwide consumer retrenchment?In this video, we break down the shocking data, why it matters, and how it could ripple across the entire U.S. economy in the months ahead.If the U.S. consumer breaks, it's game over.Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metrehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Our guest on this week's episode is Keith Peterson, director of operations at The National Motor Freight Traffic Association. For many years, less-than-truckload motor freight has been classified by a complex and rather outdated system. That is about to change – starting in July the industry will begin listing freight commodities in a system that is more condensed and modernized. But, what will this new freight classification system mean for both carriers and shippers? Our guest explains.Many companies have been stockpiling extra inventory ahead of the implementation of new tariffs, but a new report this week shows that there can be possible downsides to that strategy. We share what they are and who is affected.Despite the economic uncertainty, a new report from DHL Express shows that small and mid-sized companies seem to be beating the odds. DHL Express surveyed more than 400 customers—all small or mid-sized businesses in the United States—and found that despite the prevailing economic turmoil, most are confident in their business outlook.Supply Chain Xchange  also offers a podcast series called Supply Chain in the Fast Lane.  It is co-produced with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals. All episodes are available to stream now. Go to your favorite podcast platform to subscribe and to listen to past and future episodes. The podcast is also available at www.thescxchange.com.Articles and resources mentioned in this episode:National Motor Freight Traffic Association U.S. firms stockpile goods ahead of tariffsReport: small businesses buck the oddsVisit Supply Chain XchangeListen to CSCMP and Supply Chain Xchange's Supply Chain in the Fast Lane podcastSend feedback about this podcast to podcast@agilebme.comPodcast is sponsored by: KardexOther linksAbout DC VELOCITYSubscribe to DC VELOCITYSign up for our FREE newslettersAdvertise with DC VELOCITY

In this vAuto podcast, vAuto and Cox Automotive associate vice president Patrick Janes shares perspective on how dealers can address the impact of tariffs as they manage new and used vehicle inventories. Janes offers pointers to help you acquire inventory from customers in a supply-constrained market; ensure your new/used vehicle pricing keeps pace as the market moves; adjust your inventory/sales momentum as market demand shifts.

In this episode, we review the latest earnings results from the spirits industry (Diageo, Pernod Ricard, Brown-Forman, Campari, Rémy Cointreau, Becle, and MGP Ingredients). Alongside individual company results, we discuss the impacts of declining sales in the US, the surprising health of the European market, the challenges created by aging inventory and wholesaler inventory, an evolution in pack and pricing strategy, the severe impact of a retaliatory Chinese anti-dumping investigation into cognac, and, of course, the fallout from the Trump-initiated trade wars with the US, Mexico, Canada and the European Union.  Contact us via email: bourcard.nesin@rabobank.com Sign up for our research via this link: Knowledge.Rabobank.com Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are that of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services This episode was recorded on March 6, 2025. Things may have changed by the time you are listening to this podcast.

Ian Everard believes that the massive gold outflows from London and 10-year lows on silver inventories at the LBMA are converging to cause a squeeze on the bullion banks shorting the precious metals market that will leave them scrambling to cover. Ian also provides his thoughts on revaluing US gold reserves, auditing Fort Knox, current retail participation in gold and silver, and much more.Visit our sponsor, ARK Silver Gold Osmium: https://arksgo.comContact them at (307) 264-9441Ian@ArkSGO.comFollow Jesse Day on X: https://x.com/jessebdayCommodity Culture on Youtube: https://youtube.com/c/CommodityCulture

In this episode of On the Record, brought to you by Associated Equipment Distributors, we take a look at the latest used combine pricing and inventory report from Sandhills Global.

David Morgan: "Not The First Time Silver Inventories Have Gotten Depleted" With all of the recent chaos in the silver market, David Morgan takes a look back at some of the historical comps to give a clearer picture of what some of the latest data is actually telling us. To find out more, click to watch the video now! - Get access to Arcadia's Daily Gold and Silver updates here: https://goldandsilverdaily.substack.com/ - To get your very own 'Silver Chopper Ben' statue go to: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/chopper-ben-landing-page/ - Join our free email list to be notified when a new video comes out: click here: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/email-signup/ - Follow Arcadia Economics on twitter at: https://x.com/ArcadiaEconomic - To get your copy of 'The Big Silver Short' (paperback or audio) go to: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/thebigsilvershort/ - Listen to Arcadia Economics on your favorite Podcast platforms: Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/75OH2PpgUpriBA5mYf5kyY Apple - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/arcadia-economics/id1505398976 - #silver #silverprice #gold And remember to get outside and have some fun every once in a while!:) (URL0VD)Subscribe to Arcadia Economics on Soundwise

Advisors on This Week's Show Kyle Tetting Tom Pappenfus Dave Sandstrom (with Max Hoelzl, Joel Dresang, engineered by Jason Scuglik) Week in Review (Jan. 27-31) Significant Economic Indicators & Reports Monday The Commerce Department reported a 4% gain in the annual rate of new home sales in December. Sales were up almost 7% from the year before and just below where they were heading into the COVID-19 pandemic. For perspective, the pace of sales - 698,000 a year – was half the peak rate in mid-2005 and represented about one-seventh of all home sales. The median sales price rose 2% from the year before to $427,000. Tuesday The Commerce Department said durable goods orders declined again in December, the fourth setback in five months, led by commercial aircraft. Compared to the year before, long-lasting factory orders were down 1.5% after shrinking 2.2% for the month. Excluding transportation equipment, orders rose 0.3% and were up 1.4% from the end of 2023. A proxy for business investment gained 0.5% from November and was up 0.6% from December 2023. Housing prices increased again in November, rising 3.8% from the year before, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller national index. The gain compared to a 3.6% year-to-year advance in October, marking the first acceleration in nine months.  Since 1988, the average 12-month increase had been 2.7%, although it averaged 5.2% since 2000. Housing costs continued to outpace overall inflation, which reached 2.9% in December, based on the Consumer Price Index. The Conference Board said its consumer confidence index declined in December for the second month in a row, keeping toward the lower end of a sideways range that began in 2022. The business research group said its gauge sank broadly from November, led by a drop in attitudes toward labor conditions. Consumer responses avoided a measure historically tied to impending recession. Economists follow consumer confidence because consumer spending drives 70% of U.S. economic activity. Wednesday No major releases Thursday The U.S. economy grew at an annual pace of 2.3% in the fourth quarter, down from 3.1% in the previous three months. The Bureau of Economic Analysis said the deceleration in gross domestic product was led largely by a drop in business investments. Consumer spending rose at a 4.2% annual rate, the fastest since the first quarter of 2023. Government spending and a decrease in imports also boosted fourth-quarter growth.  Also slowing: Inventories, federal spending and residential spending. Compared to the fourth quarter of 2023 and adjusting for inflation, GDP rose 2.5% in 2024, down from 3.8% the year before. The four-week moving average for initial unemployment claims fell for the fourth time in five weeks. The average was 41% below the all-time average dating back to 1967. The Labor Department said 2.2 million Americans claimed jobless benefits in the latest week, down more than 1% from the week before but 9% higher than the same time in 2023. An early indicator of home sales declined in December after four months of gains. The National Association of Realtors' index of pending home sales dropped 5.5% from November and was down 5% from December 2023. The trade group said more home buyers are using cash, partly offsetting the deterrent of relatively high mortgage rates. At 74.2, the index of pending sales was more than 25% below what the association considers normal sales volume at the current population level. Friday The Bureau of Economic Analysis said consumer spending jumped 0.7% in December, the most since March and outpacing a 0.4% increase in personal income. Consumer spending is the driving force in gross domestic product, so the gain was another sign of economic resilience. The personal consumption expenditures index, which the Federal Reserve Board follows for inflation, rose 2.6% from December 2023,

Tune into this episode to hear from Lyle Kruse, retired vice president  of U.S. market development for Select Sires, Inc., about the importance of managing your replacement heifers. Learn about the challenges facing heifer management and how this impacts the future of the dairy industry. 

In Garden Inventories: Reflections on Land, Place and Belonging (Wolsak and Wynn, 2023), author Mariam Pirbhai looks carefully at the pocket of land she has called home in Southern Ontario for the past seventeen years, which she notes is a milestone for her, and asks how long it takes to be rooted to a place? And what does that truly mean? Seeing the landscape around her with the layered experience of a childhood spent wandering the world, Pirbhai shares her efforts to create a garden and understand her new home while encouraging others to do reconsider the land on which they live, and how they treat it. The result is a delightful collection of essays that invites the reader to see the beautiful complexity of the land around us all in a new way. About Mariam Pirbhai: Mariam Pirbhai is an academic and creative writer. Her most recent work titled Garden Inventories: Reflections on Land, Place and Belonging (Wolsak & Wynn 2023), was a 2024 Foreword Indies finalist for nature/nonfiction, and received Honourable Mention for the 2024 Alanna Bondar Memorial Book Prize. Her novel titled Isolated Incident (Mawenzi 2022), won the 2024 IPPY Gold Medal for multicultural fiction and IPPY Silver Medal for Canadian regional fiction, and a debut short story collection titled Outside People and Other Stories (Inanna 2017), won the 2018 IPPY Gold Medal for multicultural fiction, and 2019 American Bookfest award for short fiction. Pirbhai is Full Professor of English at Wilfrid Laurier University, where she teaches and specializes in postcolonial studies and creative writing, and is the author of several academic studies on the literatures of the global South Asian diaspora. Pirbhai has served as President of CAPS (Canadian Association for Postcolonial Studies), Canada's longest-running scholarly association devoted to postcolonial and global anglophone literatures. Pirbhai lived in England, the United Arab Emirates and the Philippines, before her family settled in Canada. She lives and works in Waterloo, Ontario. About Hollay Ghadery: Hollay Ghadery is an Iranian-Canadian multi-genre writer living in Ontario on Anishinaabe land. She has her MFA in Creative Writing from the University of Guelph. Fuse, her memoir of mixed-race identity and mental health, was released by Guernica Editions in 2021 and won the 2023 Canadian Bookclub Award for Nonfiction/Memoir. Her collection of poetry, Rebellion Box was released by Radiant Press in 2023, and her collection of short fiction, Widow Fantasies, was released with Gordon Hill Press in fall 2024. Her debut novel, The Unraveling of Ou, is due out with Palimpsest Press in 2026, and her children's book, Being with the Birds, with Guernica Editions in 2027. Hollay is the host of the 105.5 FM Bookclub, as well as a co-host on HOWL on CIUT 89.5 FM. She is also a book publicist, the Regional Chair of the League of Canadian Poets and a co-chair of the League's BIPOC committee, as well as the Poet Laureate of Scugog Township. Learn more about Hollay at www.hollayghadery.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/new-books-network

In Garden Inventories: Reflections on Land, Place and Belonging (Wolsak and Wynn, 2023), author Mariam Pirbhai looks carefully at the pocket of land she has called home in Southern Ontario for the past seventeen years, which she notes is a milestone for her, and asks how long it takes to be rooted to a place? And what does that truly mean? Seeing the landscape around her with the layered experience of a childhood spent wandering the world, Pirbhai shares her efforts to create a garden and understand her new home while encouraging others to do reconsider the land on which they live, and how they treat it. The result is a delightful collection of essays that invites the reader to see the beautiful complexity of the land around us all in a new way. About Mariam Pirbhai: Mariam Pirbhai is an academic and creative writer. Her most recent work titled Garden Inventories: Reflections on Land, Place and Belonging (Wolsak & Wynn 2023), was a 2024 Foreword Indies finalist for nature/nonfiction, and received Honourable Mention for the 2024 Alanna Bondar Memorial Book Prize. Her novel titled Isolated Incident (Mawenzi 2022), won the 2024 IPPY Gold Medal for multicultural fiction and IPPY Silver Medal for Canadian regional fiction, and a debut short story collection titled Outside People and Other Stories (Inanna 2017), won the 2018 IPPY Gold Medal for multicultural fiction, and 2019 American Bookfest award for short fiction. Pirbhai is Full Professor of English at Wilfrid Laurier University, where she teaches and specializes in postcolonial studies and creative writing, and is the author of several academic studies on the literatures of the global South Asian diaspora. Pirbhai has served as President of CAPS (Canadian Association for Postcolonial Studies), Canada's longest-running scholarly association devoted to postcolonial and global anglophone literatures. Pirbhai lived in England, the United Arab Emirates and the Philippines, before her family settled in Canada. She lives and works in Waterloo, Ontario. About Hollay Ghadery: Hollay Ghadery is an Iranian-Canadian multi-genre writer living in Ontario on Anishinaabe land. She has her MFA in Creative Writing from the University of Guelph. Fuse, her memoir of mixed-race identity and mental health, was released by Guernica Editions in 2021 and won the 2023 Canadian Bookclub Award for Nonfiction/Memoir. Her collection of poetry, Rebellion Box was released by Radiant Press in 2023, and her collection of short fiction, Widow Fantasies, was released with Gordon Hill Press in fall 2024. Her debut novel, The Unraveling of Ou, is due out with Palimpsest Press in 2026, and her children's book, Being with the Birds, with Guernica Editions in 2027. Hollay is the host of the 105.5 FM Bookclub, as well as a co-host on HOWL on CIUT 89.5 FM. She is also a book publicist, the Regional Chair of the League of Canadian Poets and a co-chair of the League's BIPOC committee, as well as the Poet Laureate of Scugog Township. Learn more about Hollay at www.hollayghadery.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/literature

For more than 30 years, Circana has conducted extensive audits of the food items found in America's kitchens, from spice cabinets and pantries to refrigerators and freezers. Results from the 2024 audit reveal our kitchens have fewer items, pointing to our growing desire for convenience. Darren Seifer, industry advisor, consumer goods & foodservice insights at Circana, shares observations on changing behaviors and opportunities to meet consumer needs.  Highlights:  Consumers are keeping around 140 items in their kitchen, down from 160 in 2020.  There's been an uptick in heat-and-eat solutions. Kitchen appliances such as air fryers and pod coffee makers are responding to the need for speed.  Conversely, there's been a decline in food appliances like deep fryers or coffee grinders.  Manufacturers of CPG items and appliance makers have an opportunity to support the success of meals, with proper temperature cooking, simplified recipes, and products that deliver flavor and convenience. 

Pierre Andurand made his name trading oil and other energy-related assets, but wild swings in the price of cocoa have recently lured the founder of Andurand Capital Management into a new market. He bet on cocoa earlier this year and saw the trade pay off as the price of the beans surged to a record $12,000 a ton. Prices have since fallen back to around $7,800, but Andurand sees scope for further upside as extreme deficits in the building blocks of chocolate loom. In this episode, we talk about how he entered the cocoa market, how he formed his investment thesis, and potential interest in other soft commodities, like coffee and orange juice. We also talk about copper, where a similar story of structural shortages is now playing out in prices.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Stocks close mixed; inventories higher than this time last year; rent growth outpaced wage growth since 2019; Uber, Lyft bookings rise.