Podcasts about bitcoin etf

Bitcoin is ripping higher as legal pressure mounts around Jane Street, one of the most influential players in Bitcoin ETF market structure. Following the federal lawsuit tied to the Terra collapse, speculation is growing that a major source of persistent sell pressure may be weakening. As headlines hit, Bitcoin and crypto markets have responded with a sharp pump — fueling the narrative that structural suppression could be fading.

In deze Deep Dive duiken we in de oude doos met Bart Mol van Satoshi Radio, het Crypto Journaal en Bitcoin Alpha. Hoe hebben de grote cryptoverhalen van vroeger de cryptowereld van nu gevormd? Om die vraag te beantwoorden kijken we terug naar de verwoede pogingen van de Winklevoss broers om een Bitcoin ETF uit te geven, de blockchainhype van 2017 toen alles en iedereen dacht dat blockchain de wereld ging veranderen en naar het Libra-project van Facebook. Ook de legendarische Bitconnect conferentie en de Terra/Luna Death Spiral passeren de revue. Alle verhalen vertellen iets over hoe we naar Bitcoin en crypto keken, hoe bedrijven en personen zich profileerden naar de buitenwereld en ook hoe het publiek omging met de hype die er soms rond crypto hangt. Sommige initiatieven strandden, andere inspireren bedrijven om bepalende stappen te maken die de wereld van het geld nog steeds vorm geven. We bespreken hypes, trends en alle te mooie beloftes van de afgelopen vijftien jaar in deze aflevering van de Deep Dive. Besproken in deze aflevering Keynote van Bart op Bitcoin Amsterdam Bart over de risico's van het 'Bitcoin als digitaal goud-narratief' in de Cryptocast De Instagrampagina van Veronique Over de podcast Cryptocurrency are here to stay. In deze wekelijkse podcast gidst Daniël Mol je door het belangrijkste cryptonieuws, langs hypes en trends, voor- en tegenstanders en winst en verlies. In het A-deel bespreken we het laatste nieuws en in het B-deel gaan we in gesprek met een gast. Van cypherpunkpioneers tot grootbanken die aan de haal gaan met stablecoins, van Bitcoin tot Ethereum tot CBDC's. Alles passeert de revue. Reageren? Stuur dan een mail naar cryptocast@bnr.nl Gasten Bart Mol is oprichter en host van Satoshi Radio, en Het Crypto Journaal. Daarnaast is Bart analist bij kennisplatform Bitcoin Alpha. Veronique Estié is econoom, belegger, schrijver en oprichter van YoungTrader. Met haar platform wil ze financiële kennis toegankelijk maken. Host Daniel Mol is redacteur en presentator van de Cryptocast. Hij is sinds 2017 met Bitcoin bezig en kwam in 2021 bij het team van de Cryptocast. Redactie Daniel Mol Matthijs Damsteeg See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

John walks through the CBO's 2026–2036 outlook showing persistent deficits and a rising debt-to-GDP “hockey stick” trajectory The hosts argue the “gradual print + occasional big print” pattern is structurally embedded in fiat incentives and political constraints Supreme Court strikes down key Trump tariffs (reciprocal “Liberation Day” and fentanyl-related duties), framed as a separation-of-powers moment Market reaction appears muted and “wait-and-see,” with uncertainty over how the administration may reassert tariffs via other authorities A Bloomberg/EY-style projection is cited: debt potentially reaching ~$64T by 2036 with interest costs swelling materially Bitcoin ETFs: despite a drawdown from peak cumulative inflows, the broader flow base suggests many holders treat ETF exposure as long-term allocation 13F chatter: a new Hong Kong entity holding substantial IBIT is floated as possible capital-flight behavior, with caution that it could also be speculative positioning Quick hits: a congressman discloses additional Bitcoin purchases; Goldman CEO David Solomon (“DJ D-Sol”) mentions owning a small amount of BTC A Fed voice (Neel Kashkari) dismisses crypto cross-border narratives; hosts rebut that “no country will abandon monetary policy” is exactly why Bitcoin exists Crypto credit stress: BlockFills halting withdrawals is flagged as potential post-drawdown plumbing fallout and a reminder of leverage unwind dynamics ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

We're living in the "centaur era" of AI and if you're not combining human judgment with AI tools, you're already falling behind. In this episode, Zack Cohen and the Bitcoin Policy Hour team break down the BCG study proving that AI-augmented workers crush both pure humans and blind AI users, then pivot to Secretary Rubio's landmark Munich Security Conference speech signaling the end of the postwar order with Europe. Plus, the hosts analyze Bitcoin ETF flows, whale selling pressure, and why a federal judge just ruled your AI chat logs aren't privileged.

Stay informed on current events, visit www.NaturalNews.com - Trump's Glyphosate Decision and Its Implications (0:11) - Texas Farmers Union's Revolt Against Data Centers (0:57) - Anti-AI Sentiment and Farmland Crisis (2:15) - Trump's Upcoming Attack on Iran (4:22) - Trump's Chemical Weapons Attack on America (9:41) - Texas Farmers' Revolt Against Data Centers (52:56) - The Future of Data Centers and AI (1:09:44) - Trump's Glyphosate Decision and Its Legal Implications (1:13:31) - The Role of Data Centers in the Power Grid (1:14:12) - The Future of AI and Data Centers (1:15:54) - Todd's Vacation and Voice Issues (1:17:47) - Bitcoin Crash and Market Reactions (1:25:58) - Bitcoin as a Surveillance Coin (1:28:49) - Bitcoin ETFs and Market Manipulation (1:31:38) - Epstein Files and Bitcoin's Reputation (1:34:23) - Bitcoin Cash and Bitcoin's Evolution (1:36:07) - Crypto Exchanges and Security Concerns (1:39:18) - AI and Crypto Integration (1:44:21) - Privacy Coins and Surveillance Beyond the Blockchain (2:01:44) - AI and Crypto Development (2:23:04) - Impact of IT Sector Shifts on Neighborhood Demographics (2:36:38) - Compute Hardware Shortage and Price Increases (2:40:52) - Robotics Industry and Autonomous Functions (2:44:26) Watch more independent videos at http://www.brighteon.com/channel/hrreport  ▶️ Support our mission by shopping at the Health Ranger Store - https://www.healthrangerstore.com ▶️ Check out exclusive deals and special offers at https://rangerdeals.com ▶️ Sign up for our newsletter to stay informed: https://www.naturalnews.com/Readerregistration.html Watch more exclusive videos here:

Younger investors are reshaping the markets—from crypto and AI to ETFs and gaming. But with so many new platforms, trends, and voices competing for attention, how can believers invest wisely across generations?Matt Bell, Managing Editor at Sound Mind Investing, has been tracking these shifts closely, and he joins the show today to share his insights and highlight both what's changing and what remains timeless—especially when biblical wisdom guides our financial decisions.The Surge of Younger InvestorsSince 2020, millions of new investment accounts have been opened—many by Gen Z and millennials. In fact, a significant portion of today's investors entered the market during the early pandemic years, despite dramatic market volatility. Why? Several factors converged:Extra time at home during lockdownsStimulus payments and increased savingsCommission-free trading platformsSocial media influencers showcasing day tradingApps that made investing feel simple—even entertainingInstead of retreating when markets dropped, many younger investors leaned in.How Younger Investors Are Engaging the Market DifferentlyCompared to previous generations, younger investors tend to:Use mobile apps as their primary investment toolsExplore emerging sectors like crypto, AI, and fintechGet advice from social media and peers rather than advisorsTrade more frequentlyFavor ETFs over traditional mutual fundsETFs, in particular, appeal to younger investors because they trade like stocks, often have lower costs, and allow for more active participation.At the same time, themes like cryptocurrency, gaming-related funds, and sports gambling investments show the sharpest generational divide—drawing the most interest from the youngest investors.A Cultural Shift in InvestingInterest in newer asset classes isn't limited to younger investors anymore. Crypto, AI, and alternative investments are gaining traction across all age groups.Major developments—such as the approval of Bitcoin ETFs and growing conversations about private equity in retirement plans—signal that the investing culture is evolving rapidly.But rapid access can create risk.Availability and hype can outpace understanding. New investment options often carry complexity, and without careful research, investors may unknowingly take on risks they don't fully grasp.The Social Media EffectOne of the most defining features of today's investing landscape is the role of social media.Anyone can build a following and offer financial advice—even without credentials. In a crowded digital space, the loudest voices often gain the most attention, not necessarily the wisest ones.That's why discernment matters. Before acting on advice:Check credentialsEvaluate track recordsSeek multiple perspectivesCompare guidance against long-term principlesWise investing has always required counsel, patience, and humility—traits that don't trend easily online.The Opportunity of Starting YoungDespite the risks, the growing interest in investing among younger generations is largely positive.Time is one of the most powerful tools in investing. Starting early allows compounding to work over decades, creating opportunities for steady growth and long-term stability.Encouraging young investors to begin is wise. Helping them begin wisely is even more important.How Parents and Mentors Can Guide the Next GenerationFor parents, grandparents, and mentors, the goal isn't to criticize younger investors—it's to walk alongside them.Start by affirming their interest. Then introduce principles that shape a healthier approach:DiversificationLong-term thinkingWise counselProcess-driven investingOngoing learningThese conversations can help shift the focus from chasing trends to building a thoughtful strategy.Why Process Matters More Than TrendsIn fast-moving markets, a clear investment process becomes essential.Emotion—fear when markets fall and greed when they rise—is one of the greatest risks investors face. A disciplined strategy helps guard against impulsive decisions.For believers, process also reflects stewardship. The money we manage ultimately belongs to God, and our responsibility is to steward it wisely and intentionally.A thoughtful plan helps investors stay grounded when markets—and headlines—shift.Understanding What You OwnOne practical test of wise investing is simple: can you clearly explain what you own and why?If an investment can't be explained in plain language, it may not be fully understood. And stewardship requires understanding.Clarity leads to better decisions. It also protects against blindly following trends or hype.When Investing Starts to Feel Like GamblingModern platforms often blur the line between investing and entertainment. Frequent trading, instant feedback, and gamified interfaces can encourage short-term thinking.But Scripture points to a different path:Ecclesiastes 11:2 encourages diversification.Proverbs 21:5 praises steady, disciplined planning.1 Timothy 6:10 warns against the love of money and reckless pursuit of wealth.These principles emphasize patience, wisdom, and restraint—not speculation.What Never ChangesEvery generation invests differently. Technology evolves. Markets shift. New asset classes emerge.But God's principles for stewardship remain steady.Wise investing is not about chasing what's trending. It's about:Purpose over hypePatience over speedProcess over impulseFaithfulness over fear or greedWhen portfolios are shaped by those values, investing becomes more than a financial activity—it becomes an act of stewardship.And that's a strategy that transcends generations.On Today's Program, Rob Answers Listener Questions:My husband is retiring next year and plans to roll his 401(k) into a Roth IRA. I also have a small 401(k). Can we combine our accounts? Also, I'm a retired teacher with a pension and a small 403(b). Would it make sense to withdraw the funds, invest them elsewhere, and give them to my sons?I'd like to set up a 529 plan for my new great-grandson. How does it work? Can I make his parents the owners or beneficiaries, and can other family members contribute if I make a one-time gift?Resources Mentioned:Faithful Steward: FaithFi's Quarterly Magazine (Become a FaithFi Partner)Sound Mind InvestingNot Your Father's Portfolio—A Generational Divide in Investment Preferences (Article by Matt Bell at SoundMindInvesting.com)SavingForCollege.comOur Ultimate Treasure: A 21-Day Journey to Faithful StewardshipWisdom Over Wealth: 12 Lessons from Ecclesiastes on MoneyLook At The Sparrows: A 21-Day Devotional on Financial Fear and AnxietyRich Toward God: A Study on the Parable of the Rich FoolFind a Certified Kingdom Advisor (CKA)FaithFi App Remember, you can call in to ask your questions every workday at (800) 525-7000. Faith & Finance is also available on Moody Radio Network and American Family Radio. You can also visit FaithFi.com to connect with our online community and partner with us as we help more people live as faithful stewards of God's resources. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

HEADLINES:• Gulf-Backed OpenAI Targets $850 Billion Valuation in Historic $100 Billion Funding Push • Abu Dhabi's Mubadala doubles investment in Bitcoin ETF to $630mln • Saudi's Humain invested $3 billion in xAI's Series E funding round  

العناوين:• OpenAI بدعم خليجي تستهدف تقييم 850 مليار دولار ضمن جولة تمويل تاريخية بـ100 مليار دولار• Mubadala من أبوظبي تضاعف استثمارها في Bitcoin ETF إلى 630 مليون دولار• Humain السعودية تستثمر 3 مليارات دولار في جولة Series E لشركة xAI

Crypto News: BlackRock begins acquiring ETH for upcoming Ethereum staking ETF. Abu Dhabi funds held over $1 billion of BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF at end of last year. Crypto venture capital firm Dragonfly raises $650 million.Brought to you by

The fear index just hit 5 for the first time since the last bear market, and Bitcoin ETFs have bled $6.18 billion since November. We break down relief rally traps, why $70K matters for Bitcoin's survival, and the surprising AI meme coins pumping while everything else bleeds. You'll hear:  00:00 - Building In The Bear Market (It's Actually The Best Time) 02:00 - Fear Index At 5: First Time Since 2020 03:15 - ETFs Down $6.18 Billion Since November  04:47 - Bitcoin ETFs Back To October 2024 Levels (Pre-Trump Pump) 06:00 - Tokenized Gold Just Outperformed Traditional Gold ETFs 09:16 - Relief Rallies: The Trap That Makes You Buy Before The Drop 15:10 - Pippin: The AI Agent Trading Meme Coin Up 135% 19:23 - Stablecoin Dominance … and much more! Want to see what we're looking at every episode? Watch the YouTube version of the podcast here. Ready to start? Get $10 of FREE Bitcoin on Swyftx when you sign up and verify:  https://trade.swyftx.com.au/register/?promoRef=tappingintocrypto10btc  To get the latest updates, hit subscribe and follow us over on the gram @tappingintocrypto or X @tappingintocrypto If you can't wait to learn more, check out these blogs from our friends over at Swyftx. This podcast provides general market commentary and is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is NOT financial advice. We are NOT licensed financial advisors. Investing in cryptocurrency carries risk. You should always conduct your own research and seek independent financial advice before making any investment decisions. Please read Swyftx's Terms and Conditions and Risk Disclosure statement before investing.

Crypto News: Tokenized RWAs climb 13.5% despite $1T crypto market drawdown. Harvard endowment reduces stake in Bitcoin ETF, adds Ether exposure.Citi is quietly building out its crypto wealth business. Brought to you by ✅ VeChain is a versatile enterprise-grade L1 smart contract platform https://www.vechain.org/ 

In deze aflevering schuift Hein Tibosch, head of Product & OTC Digital Assets bij Flowtraders aan om te vertellen over tokenised securities. Waar hebben we mee te maken, waarom krijgen ze zoveel aandacht en wat zijn de verschillende met het oude vertrouwde aandeel? Tokenisering lijkt bezig met een opmars, maar welke juridische en technische uitdagingen zijn er nog voor deze technologie. Ook gaan we in op de toekomst van de structuur van de markt. Is de infrastructuur al klaar voor gedecentraliseerde effecten of blijft versnipperde liquiditeit over publieke en private netwerken een rem? We bespreken wat er nodig is voor een echte doorbraak en wie er verliest in een wereld waar assets volledig getokeniseerd worden. Tot slot blikken we vooruit: signalen zoals de aankondiging van de NYSE, de belangrijkste obstakels die nog uit de weg moeten, en hoe de aandelenmarkt er over vier jaar uit zou kunnen zien als tokenisering echt tractie krijgt. Besproken in deze aflevering Artikel van Flowtraders over Tokenization Cryptocast 367 met Hein over 1 jaar Bitcoin ETF's Over de podcast Cryptocurrency are here to stay. In deze wekelijkse podcast gidst Daniël Mol je door het belangrijkste cryptonieuws, langs hypes en trends, voor- en tegenstanders en winst en verlies. In het A-deel bespreken we het laatste nieuws en in het B-deel gaan we in gesprek met een gast. Van cypherpunkpioneers tot grootbanken die aan de haal gaan met stablecoins, van Bitcoin tot Ethereum tot CBDC's. Alles passeert de revue. Reageren? Stuur dan een mail naar cryptocast@bnr.nl Gasten Hein Tibosch is head of Product & OTC Digital Assets bij Flowtraders, een Amsterdamse marketmaker. Mauro Halve is co-host in de Cryptocast. Hij is Head of Compliance bij Amdax, en voorzitter van de VBNL. Hij is al bijna tien jaar actief in de wereld van digitale activa, met een focus op governance, anti-witwasbeleid en gereguleerde innovatie Host Daniel Mol is redacteur en presentator van de Cryptocast. Hij is sinds 2017 met Bitcoin bezig en kwam in 2021 bij het team van de Cryptocast. Redactie Daniel Mol Matthijs Damsteeg See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this episode, Stephan Livera and Dhruv Patel, CEO of Arch Lending, discuss the current state of Bitcoin lending, market trends, and the unique products offered by Arch Lending. They explore the mechanics of Bitcoin-backed loans, risk management strategies for borrowers, and the importance of custody and security in the lending process. The conversation also touches on the future of Bitcoin lending, growth strategies, and the evolving landscape of financial products in the cryptocurrency space.Takeaways:

The Bitcoin ETF landscape has officially FLIPPED! Is this the start of the rally, or the ultimate "bear trap" before we crash toward new low?

Global equity markets are trading at record highs, led by another rally in Japan's Nikkei, now up more than 11% year to date following Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's decisive election victory. In the U.S., the Dow closed at an all-time high, while the Nasdaq stabilized after last week's tech selloff. The dollar remains soft, particularly against the yen, as investors await key U.S. economic data this week — retail sales, delayed non-farm payrolls, and CPI. The White House is managing expectations for slowing job growth, echoing recent comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell about weakening labor supply and demand. In Europe, France's unemployment rate rose to 7.9%, its highest since 2021. Meanwhile, Bitcoin spot ETFs posted their first two consecutive days of net inflows since mid-January, bringing in more than $500 million. South Korea is investigating a reported $40 billion “fat-finger” crypto distribution error at Bithumb.

Is Bitcoin nearing a bottom or still searching for one? The answer depends less on charts and more on what's happening beneath the surface. In this livestream, we break down the growing evidence of structural stress from Bitcoin ETFs, futures, and options, the hidden impact of forced institutional unwinds, weakening sentiment across crypto equities, and why macro signals like PMI, collapsing metals volatility, and policy uncertainty are complicating the picture. With regulation, liquidity, and derivatives now driving price discovery, this isn't a simple “buy the dip” moment—it's a test of whether exhaustion is finally setting in, or if one more wave of forced selling is still ahead.

On this 8 February 2026 Sunday Morning Live, Stefan Molyneux examines Bitcoin's recent swings between January 31st and February 7th, 2026. He points out the drop from about $78,700 down below $60,000, tied to wider market strains and worries about shifts in Federal Reserve policies. Even with some rebounds, the ups and downs continue, showing investor unease and money pulling out of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs. He looks at attitudes in the crypto world, especially from those holding long-term, and how younger generations might change investment approaches. Molyneux also weighs in on debates about Bitcoin's real worth against traditional assets, and he considers what might happen next in the market, noting things like liquidity and new regulations that could affect prices.The livestream continues to a donor-only hour! Subscribers can continue the livestream here:Premium Content Hub: https://premium.freedomain.com/25c26957/western-death-by-empireX: https://x.com/StefanMolyneux/status/2020617673990693156Locals: https://freedomain.locals.com/post/7673584/western-death-by-empireSubscribestar: https://www.subscribestar.com/posts/2334725Freedomain Members: https://freedomain.com/western-death-by-empire/Not yet a subscriber?You can subscribe on:X: https://x.com/StefanMolyneuxLocals: https://freedomain.locals.com/support/promo/UPB2025Subscribestar: https://subscribestar.com/freedomainFreedomain: https://fdrurl.com/membersSubscribers get 12 HOURS on the "Truth About the French Revolution," multiple interactive multi-lingual philosophy AIs trained on thousands of hours of my material - as well as AIs for Real-Time Relationships, Bitcoin, Peaceful Parenting, and Call-In Shows!You also receive private livestreams, HUNDREDS of exclusive premium shows, early release podcasts, the 22 Part History of Philosophers series and much more!See you soon!

Bitcoin's sudden collapse may have come from a hidden structural pressure, not panic or on chain weakness. In this video, we break down how Bitcoin ETFs, futures, and options now drive price discovery and how stress inside these markets can force selling that never appears as traditional liquidations. With record activity in Bitcoin ETFs, the move looks less like fear and more like a forced unwind of institutional positions, revealing how synthetic supply and derivatives can overpower spot demand and move Bitcoin fast.

Eric Balchunas is a senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg, where he has more than a decade of experience working with ETF data, designing new functions, and writing ETF research for the Bloomberg terminal. He also writes articles, feature stories, and blog posts on ETFs for Bloomberg.com and appears each week on Bloomberg TV and Radio to discuss ETFs. These podcasts, posted here, are now all on a slight delay and are taken from my near-daily blog, Fringe Finance. As of right now I have no sponsors, so the best way to show support is just to listen/read or subscribe to my blog: http://quoththeraven.substack.com  You can also still contribute a one time or recurring donation to the podcast via Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/QTRResearch All podcast content is subject to this disclaimer, which you should read slowly, multiple times. Thank you all for your continued support over the years. I stand on the shoulders of the people who listen to and/or enjoy my content and I never lose sight of that. QTR's Disclaimer: Please read my full legal disclaimer on my About page here. This post represents my opinions only. In addition, please understand I am an idiot and often get things wrong and lose money. I may own or transact in any names mentioned in this piece at any time without warning. Contributor posts and aggregated posts have been hand selected by me, have not been fact checked and are the opinions of their authors. They are either submitted to QTR by their author, reprinted under a Creative Commons license with my best effort to uphold what the license asks, or with the permission of the author. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any stocks or securities, just my opinions. I often lose money on positions I trade/invest in. I may add any name mentioned in this article and sell any name mentioned in this piece at any time, without further warning. None of this is a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I may or may not own names I write about and are watching. Sometimes I'm bullish without owning things, sometimes I'm bearish and do own things. Just assume my positions could be exactly the opposite of what you think they are just in case. If I'm long I could quickly be short and vice versa. I won't update my positions. All positions can change immediately as soon as I publish this, with or without notice and at any point I can be long, short or neutral on any position. You are on your own. Do not make decisions based on my blog or what my guests say. Nothing is fact checked. I exist on the fringe. Assume any and all numbers in this piece are wrong and make sure you check them yourself. The publisher does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in this page. These are not the opinions of any of my employers, partners, or associates. I did my best to be honest about my disclosures but can't guarantee I am right; I write these posts after a couple beers sometimes. I edit after my posts are published because I'm impatient and lazy, so if you see a typo, check back in a half hour. Also, I just straight up get shit wrong a lot. I mention it twice because it's that important.

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SummaryIn this episode of the ATX DAO podcast, hosts Tom, Luke, and Ash delve into the dynamic world of cryptocurrency, reflecting on the highs and lows of 2025 and making bold predictions for 2026. They discuss the impact of major events like the passing of the Genius Act, the rise of Bitcoin ETFs, and the evolving landscape of stablecoins. The conversation also explores the potential of various blockchains, including Avalanche, Ethereum, and Solana, and the role of privacy-focused L1s in the future of crypto.Check out our friends at Tequila 512:Website: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.tequila512.com⁠⁠Socials: ⁠⁠X (Twitter)⁠⁠ | ⁠⁠Instagram⁠⁠ | ⁠⁠TikTok⁠⁠ | ⁠⁠Facebook⁠To learn more about ATX DAO:Check out the ⁠ATX DAO ⁠websiteFollow ⁠@ATXDAO⁠ on X (Twitter)Subscribe to our newsletterConnect with us on ⁠LinkedIn⁠Join the community in the ⁠ATX DAO Discord⁠Connect with the ATX DAO Podcast team on X (Twitter):Ash:  ⁠@ashinthewild⁠Luke: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@Luke152⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Tom: @Tommyg_25Support the Podcast:If you enjoyed this episode, please leave us a review and share it with your network.Subscribe for more insights, interviews, and deep dives into the world of Web3.

VALUE FOR VALUE Thank you to the Bowl After Bowl Episode Producers: SircussMedia, Sharky, SirSeatSitter, harvhat, ChadF, cbrooklyn, HeyCitizen, ericpp, RevCyberTrucker, phifer Intro/Outro: AIRGLOW - Lisa (YouTube) PO Box 410154 Kansas City, MO 64141 Regeneration Foundation / Heart Forest FIRST TIME I EVER... Bowlers called in to discuss the First Time They Ever could have used a break. Next week, tell us about the First Time YOU Ever ground and brewed fresh coffee. TOP THREE 33 Texas school bus overturns with 33 students on board, no major injuries reported (News 4 San Antonio) 33 Polish, Lithuanian citizens removed from Ireland on flight (RTE) 6 people on private plane owned by Houston's Arnold &  Itkin Law Firm presumed dead after flipping, crashing on Runway 33 (Breaking Aviation News & Videos / Twitter) BEHIND THE CURTAIN Former DEA agent sentenced to 5 years in prison for using badge to protect drug trafficking friends (The Associated Press) ATF moves to loosen gun ban for people who have used pot, other illegal drugs (Marijuana Moment) Missouri cannabis growers fined for breaking the 'immaculate conception' rule (Missouri Independent) Washington HB 2639 would allow short-term rental owners to give guests free prerolls (WA.gov) METAL MOMENT Send the RevCyberTrucker file management karma and follow along with his shenanigans @RevCyberTrucker@noauthority.social ON CHAIN, OFF CHAIN, COCAINE, SHITSTAIN US government investigating alleged $40 million crypto theft by federal contractor's son (Bitcoin Magazine) BlackRock eyes new Bitcoin ETF with premium (DL News) Tucker Carlson asks top economist if Bitcoin will replace declining US dollar (The Street) FUCK IT, DUDE. LET'S GO BOWLING! Hundreds of rats need a new homes after being found in condemned New York house (The Associated Press) Florida woman sues IVF clinic after allegedly birthing someone else's baby (Miami New Times) UK train service interrupted by escaped emu (UPI) Missing rock beloved by climbers turns up 1,700 miles from home (UPI) 5,000-year-old dog buried with bone dagger in ancient bog (FOX) West Haven hum (YouTube / NBC Connecticut) Chinese airbags kill (Not the Bee) Snow plow driver accused of being high on cocaine during crash into Fairfield, Connecticut home (YouTube / ABC 7 NY) Florida teen arrested for beating her mom with pork chop (US Magazine) Alaska art student arrested for eating another student's AI-generated art in protest (ARTnews)

Crypto News: Ripple XRP partners with Saudi bank unit on blockchain payments, custody, and tokenization. BlackRock files for a new iShares Bitcoin Premium Income ETF. https://x.com/Ripple/status/2015923986589262039Brought to you by

Steeds meer professionele beleggers kijken anders naar crypto. Waar bitcoin en andere digitale assets jarenlang buiten de deur werden gehouden, verschuift dat beeld langzaam. Niet alleen door prijsontwikkeling, maar ook door nieuwe beleggingsproducten en veranderende regelgeving. De vraag is hoe je crypto moet benaderen binnen een bredere portefeuille, en of de regels die gelden voor aandelen en obligaties hier ook toepasbaar zijn. Te gast is Jim Tehupuring, van 1Vermogensbeheer en de BNR-podcast Doorgelicht. Die vraag staat centraal in deze aflevering, waarin wordt gekeken naar crypto door de bril van vermogensbeheer. Want hoe beoordeel je een nieuwe beleggingscategorie die sterk beweegt, lastig te waarderen is en technisch complex kan zijn? En is er daarbij een duidelijk onderscheid te maken tussen bitcoin en de rest van de cryptomarkt? Volgens Jim Tehupuring wel. Als vermogensbeheerder bij 1Vermogensbeheer kijkt hij anders naar bitcoin dan naar andere cryptomunten, waarbij schaarste, positie in het financiële systeem en gebruiksdoel een belangrijke rol spelen. De introductie van de spot Bitcoin-ETF’s begin 2024 betekende daarin een kantelpunt. Door die beursproducten werd bitcoin toegankelijker voor institutionele beleggers en kreeg het een plek binnen bestaande structuren. In het verlengde daarvan volgden ook ETF’s voor Ethereum en later andere crypto, mede dankzij een soepelere houding van toezichthouder SEC. Dat heeft de discussie verschoven van de vraag óf crypto serieus genomen moet worden, naar hóe je er op een verantwoorde manier exposure aan krijgt. Die exposure kan op meerdere manieren. Natuurlijk door crypto direct aan te houden, maar ook via beursproducten zoals ETF’s en ETP’s. Daarnaast zijn er aandelen van bedrijven die actief zijn in de infrastructuur rond crypto, zoals handelsplatforms, bewaarders en miners. Ook stablecoins en bedrijven die daarin een centrale rol spelen komen aan bod. Al die routes brengen verschillende risico’s en eigenschappen met zich mee, en vragen om een andere beoordeling dan het simpel volgen van een koersgrafiek. Daarmee komt het gesprek uit bij de kern van beleggen. Gelden er universele wetten, zoals spreiding, risicobeheer en fundamentele analyse? En hoe pas je die toe op crypto? De vergelijking met goud helpt daarbij, net als de manier waarop aandelen normaal gesproken worden doorgelicht. Gasten Jim Tehupuring Bert Slagter Host Daniel Mol Redactie Daniel Mol Matthijs Damsteeg See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

What's REALLY being discussed behind closed doors at Davos?

What does it take for an entrepreneur to recognize—and embrace—a groundbreaking technological innovation, especially when skepticism is the initial reaction? In this episode of The Angel Next Door Podcast, host Marcia Dawood explores this very question with special guest Anthony Scaramucci, diving deep into the evolution of trust, disruption, and adoption in the world of digital assets.Anthony Scaramucci, a renowned financier and author, candidly shares his decade-long journey from Bitcoin skeptic to blockchain advocate. Known for his roles in finance and politics, he details his transformation, inspired by his persistent curiosity and the pivotal influence of friends such as Michael Saylor. As the founder of Skybridge Capital and the author of The Little Book of Bitcoin and his latest book, Solana Rising, Anthony Scaramucci offers a unique perspective on making complex ideas accessible to mainstream investors.This episode covers the fundamentals of Bitcoin and blockchain, why cryptocurrency may be the “perfect money,” and how legacy institutions are slowly but surely embracing this technology—even as old systems resist change. Listeners will gain insight into the mechanics behind crypto, its potential to revolutionize everyday transactions, and the challenges that remain. If you're wondering how digital currency fits into the future of entrepreneurship or curious about how big banks and regulators are shifting their stance, this conversation is an absolute must-listen. To get the latest from Anthony Scaramucci, you can follow him below!https://www.linkedin.com/in/anscaramucci/https://www.instagram.com/scaramucci/?hl=enThe Little Book of Bitcoin: What You Need to Know that Wall Street Has Already Figured OutSolana Rising: Investing in the Fast Lane of Cryptohttps://www.skybridge.com/ https://www.salt.org/  Sign up for Marcia's newsletter to receive tips and the latest on Angel Investing!Website: www.marciadawood.comDo Good While Doing WellLearn more about the documentary Show Her the Money: www.showherthemoneymovie.comAnd don't forget to follow us wherever you are!Apple Podcasts: https://pod.link/1586445642.appleSpotify: https://pod.link/1586445642.spotifyLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/angel-next-door-podcast/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theangelnextdoorpodcast/Pinterest: https://www.pinterest.com/theangelnextdoorpodcast/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@marciadawood

Unser Partner Scalable Capital ist der einzige Broker, den deine Familie zum Traden braucht. Bei Scalable Capital gibt's nämlich auch Kinderdepots. Alle weiteren Infos gibt's hier: scalable.capital/oaws. Wells Fargo, Bank of America & Citigroup liefern ab. Aber nicht genug. Oracle wird verklagt. Tesla will nur noch Abo. Deals bei Coca Cola und Dentsu platzen. Toyota will durchziehen. Quantinuum könnte Honeywell pushen. Wird Rivian (WKN: A3C47B) das nächste Tesla (WKN: A1CX3T)? Diskutieren wir mit Jürgen Pieper. Bitcoin-ETFs hatten besten Tag seit Oktober. Woran hat's gelegen? Vielleicht Bitpanda und BitGo. Vielleicht Politik. Ansonsten boomt Polymarket weiter. Insidertrading wird zum Beruf. Altcoins laufen nicht lang. Diesen Podcast vom 15.01.2026, 3:00 Uhr stellt dir die Podstars GmbH (Noah Leidinger) zur Verfügung.

Bitcoin has spent the opening weeks of 2026 trading sideways, but beneath the surface a second phase of institutional adoption is taking shape. This episode unpacks why Morgan Stanley's move toward a Bitcoin ETF matters, how this “round two” differs from the first era of arm's-length distribution via ETFs, and why structured products signal deeper strategic intent from Wall Street. The conversation then turns to the fragile state of U.S. market structure legislation, the fight over stablecoin yield, and why regulatory clarity is now the gating factor for the next wave of adoption. Finally, the episode explores the growing influence of ratings agencies on Bitcoin-linked products and what that means for institutional demand as the window for a true inflection point rapidly narrows. Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast: https://pod.link/1438693620 Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheBreakdownBW Subscribe to the newsletter: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://blockworks.co/newsletter/thebreakdown⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Join the discussion: https://discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8 Follow on Twitter: NLW: https://twitter.com/nlw Breakdown: https://twitter.com/BreakdownBW

In this week's episode of the Coin Stories News Block powered exclusively by Ledn, we cover these major headlines related to Bitcoin, macroeconomics, and global finance: Trump proposes a 10% cap on credit card interest rates Trump targets Wall Street firms buying single-family homes Government plan to buy a large amount of mortgage bonds to push mortgage rates down Defense budget could jump to $1.5 trillion MSCI keeps Bitcoin-holding companies in its indexes (for now) Morgan Stanley moves into Bitcoin: ETF, trading and wallet plans ---- The News Block is powered exclusively by Ledn – the global leader in Bitcoin-backed loans, issuing over $9 billion in loans since 2018, and they were the first to offer proof of reserves. With Ledn, you get custody loans, no credit checks, no monthly payments, and more. My followers get .25% off their first loan. Learn more at www.ledn.io/natalie  ---- Order my new intro to Bitcoin book "Bitcoin is For Everyone": https://amzn.to/3WzFzfU  ---- Read every story in the News Block with visuals and charts! Join our mailing list and subscribe to our free Bitcoin newsletter: https://thenewsblock.substack.com  —- References mentioned in the episode: Trump Bans Institutional Investors from Housing  Trump Announcement on Institutional Housing Ban Trump's Ban on Corporate Homebuying Blindsides Wall St. Trump Proposes to Raise Defense Spending by $500B Trump Instructs $200B of Mortgage Bond Buying Lyn Alden's Tweet In Response to Defense Spending Trump's Defense Spending Plan Could Raise Deficit Trump Restricts Defense Companies from Stock Buybacks Trump's Announcement on Defense Sector Restrictions  Trump Instructs Freddie and Fannie to Buy Bonds Trump's $200B MBS Order Asserts Power Over Market Erik Vorhees's Tweet on Credit Card Interest Cap Trump's Announcement on Credit Card Interest Cap Ackman: Trump's Credit Card Cap is a "Mistake" MSCI Decides Not to Exclude DATs from Indexes  MSCI's Announcement on Bitcoin Treasury Companies  Nate Geraci's Tweet on Morgan Stanley ETF Matt Hougan's Tweet on Morgan Stanley ETF Morgan Stanley Plans to Launch Crypto Wallet Morgan Stanley Files to Launch Spot Bitcoin ETF ---- Upcoming Events: Join as at Bitcoin Day in Naples this week! Use code NATALIE for discounted passes: https://bitcoinday.io  Strategy World 2026 in Las Vegas on February 23-26th - Use code HODL for discounted tickets: https://www.strategysoftware.com/world26  Bitcoin 2026 will be here before you know it. Get 10% off Early Bird passes using the code HODL: https://tickets.b.tc/event/bitcoin-2026?promoCodeTask=apply&promoCodeInput=  ---- This podcast is for educational purposes and should not be construed as official investment advice. ---- VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories #money #Bitcoin #investing

In Episode 21 of The ₿roadcast, Bram Kanstein, Michael Tanguma, and Brian Cubellis break down the most important Bitcoin and macro developments from the past few weeks.The conversation centers on Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF filing, what it really signals about institutional demand, and why the shift from “allowed” to “recommended” marks a new phase of adoption. From AI-driven abundance and information slop to Bitcoin's role as a verifiable truth anchor, the episode connects Wall Street, custody, regulation, energy, and game theory into a single framework.00:00 — Bullish on Bitcoin (We're Back)03:40 — AI, Vibe Coding, and the Return of the Builder Era08:10 — Morgan Stanley Files a Bitcoin ETF12:45 — From Access to Recommendation17:30 — Financialization, Collateral, and Bitcoin's Wall Street Endgame22:20 — “Bear Market” Psychology vs Structural Reality27:40 — The Supply Problem No One Is Positioned For32:10 — Gold, Bonds, and the Real Rotation Trade36:50 — Regulation Signals: The Clarity Act & Political BTC Buys41:20 — Venezuela, Sovereign Bitcoin, and Strategic Reserves46:30 — AI, Consciousness, and the Coming Slop Era52:10 — Bitcoin as a Truth Anchor57:40 — Prediction Markets, Degeneracy, and Growing Pains1:01:30 — Hashrate: The Signal That Never Lies1:06:10 — The Real Adoption Bottleneck: Custody & Physical Risk1:12:30 — CNBC Panic, Monetary Debasement, and the Inevitable Trend1:15:40 — Final Thoughts + Where Should We Meet in 2026?The ₿roadcast: Bitcoin culture meets Business & Finance. We catch up LIVE on news, tweets, videos, charts, trends, and other Bitcoin related content that stood out to us in the past two weeks ⚡️ Published on Saturday at 9AM EST / 3PM CET.

Bitcoin holds around ~$90K as Brady and John frame the current range as a “higher floor” era with potential upside catalysts still intact“Healthy hopium” segment compares Bitcoin adoption to the internet's S-curve and revisits how skeptics routinely dismiss exponential technologiesDiscussion of long-horizon Bitcoin returns using a “wealth table” framing: short-term noise, long-term trend clarityLynn Alden's view: recent selloff lows may hold as liquidity conditions improve and excess “Bitcoin treasury company” activity gets washed outETF adoption story accelerates: Morgan Stanley launches branded Bitcoin and Solana ETFs, notably skipping EthereumBank of America/Merrill opens advisor access to multiple spot Bitcoin ETFs with a framed 1–4% allocation for suitable clientsETF flows remain resilient: outflows are modest relative to the drawdown, suggesting a stickier, longer-term holder baseMacro/politics: Supreme Court tariff case is approaching a decision, with markets likely reacting in a messy, sector-specific way rather than a clean “tariffs on/off” binaryHousing policy: Trump floats MBS buying to compress mortgage spreads and proposes restricting institutional purchases of single-family homes, with questions on feasibility and real impactDefense policy whiplash: conflicting announcements trigger sharp moves in defense stocks, highlighting policy-driven volatility risk Swan Private helps HNWI, companies, trusts, and other entities go beyond legacy finance with BItcoin. Learn more at swan.com/private. Put Bitcoin into your IRA and own your future. Check out swan.com/ira.Swan Vault makes advanced Bitcoin security simple. Learn more at swan.com/vault.

Jeff Park is a Partner & Chief Investment Officer at ProCap Financial. In this conversation, we break down the outlook for 2026, how bitcoin is positioned within global markets, and what shifting capital flows mean as major institutions like Morgan Stanley enter the space. Jeff also shares insights on geopolitics, artificial intelligence, and why these forces are increasingly shaping bitcoin and broader financial markets.=======================Simple Mining makes Bitcoin mining simple and accessible for everyone. We offer a premium white glove hosting service, helping you maximize the profitability of Bitcoin mining. For more information on Simple Mining or to get started mining Bitcoin, visit https://www.simplemining.io/=======================Uphold is the easiest way to buy and sell crypto unlike any other platform allowing you to trade in just one step between any supported asset. Check them out at ⁠https://uphold.sjv.io/K0RXra.⁠ This video includes a paid sponsorship with Uphold. I'm compensated by Uphold for promoting its products and services and may receive commissions from referrals. Terms apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Digital assets are risky and may result in the total loss of your capital.=======================Bitwise is one of the largest and fastest-growing crypto asset managers, with more than $15 billion in client assets across an expanding suite of investment solutions—including the world's largest crypto index fund—plus products spanning Bitcoin, Ethereum, DeFi, and crypto equities. In addition to managing assets, Bitwise helps investors stay informed about the fast-moving crypto market. Every week, CIO Matt Hougan breaks down what's happening in crypto in five minutes or less. Read the latest at https://experts.bitwiseinvestments.com/cio-memos. Certain Bitwise investment products may be subject to the extreme risks associated with investing in crypto assets. Visit https://bitwiseinvestments.com/disclosures to learn more.=======================Timestamps:0:00 – Intro1:59 – Bitcoin setup for 2026: positioning, flows, leverage4:35 – Volatility + drawdowns: are bear markets changing?7:49 – The “ideological investor” & 3 forces shaping 202613:48 – Venezuela bitcoin rumors & geopolitics driving markets20:15 – Gold/jewelry drama & verifying what's real23:06 – AI content & implications for the next generation34:05 – Morgan Stanley launching Bitcoin ETF & Solana ETF

First off — Happy New Year. To kick off the year, this week's episode of the Wealth Formula Podcast is a solo one from me. I spend the episode walking through my outlook for 2026 and sharing a few predictions for how I think this cycle is going to play out. Lately, I keep hearing the same question phrased in different ways. The economy feels tight, but markets are holding up. Growth is coming in stronger than expected, inflation is easing, and yet a lot of the signals people usually rely on just don't seem to be lining up. That disconnect is really the starting point for this episode. Rather than reacting to headlines or making short-term calls, I wanted to step back and talk through the mechanics of what's actually driving this environment — and why it looks so different from the cycles most of us learned about. A lot of it comes down to debt, policy constraints, how capital moves today, and the growing influence of technology. When you start looking at those pieces together, some of the things that feel confusing begin to make a lot more sense. This isn't meant to be alarmist or overly optimistic. It's simply an attempt to frame the environment clearly so you can think about it more intelligently — especially if you're deploying capital or deciding whether it makes sense to sit on the sidelines. If you've felt like the economy and the markets aren't really speaking the same language right now, I think you'll find this episode useful. Transcript Disclaimer: This transcript was generated by AI and may not be 100% accurate. If you notice any errors or corrections, please email us at phil@wealthformula.com.  You need to be out of the dollar and into the investor class because that that widening gap between those who have, who own things, who own assets and those who do not is gonna continue to widen. Welcome everybody. This is Buck Joffrey with the Wealth Formula Podcast, and today I am going to do something a little bit different. I’m gonna kind of give you. My perspective, maybe predictions I dare say about, uh, the upcoming year in 2026, how I look at it, what I think, uh, uh, is likely outcome and why. Not that I am any smarter than any of you on this stuff, but I’ve actually kind of sat down and, and thought about, you know, the things that are going on in the macroeconomic. Side of things and, um, put some stuff together and, uh, hopefully you’ll enjoy it. We’ll have, uh, that right after these messages. Wealth formula banking is an ingenious concept powered by whole life insurance, but instead of acting just as a safety net, the strategy supercharges your investments. First, you create a personal financial reservoir that grows at a compounding interest rate much higher than any bank savings account. As your money accumulates, you borrow from. Your own bank to invest in other cash flowing investments. Here’s the key. Even though you’ve borrowed money at a simple interest rate, your insurance company keeps paying you compound interest on that money even though you’ve borrowed it at result, you make money in two places at the same time. That’s why your invest. Get supercharged. This isn’t a new technique. It’s a refined strategy used by some of the wealthiest families in history, and it uses century old rock solid insurance companies as its backbone. Turbocharge your investments. Visit Wealthformulabanking.com. Again, that’s wealthformulabanking.com. Welcome back everyone, and, uh, happy New Year to you. I forgot to even say that in the intro. How rude of me. Hopefully you had a great holiday, you had a great Christmas, and you’re bringing in the new year with a vision of health and wealth and PO prosperity and all that stuff. So anyway, let’s talk a little bit about, uh, you know what I am. Kinda looking at for 2026. Now, when you think about, well, what are these predictions and what could they be and all that, um, interest rates, inflation markets, you know, uh, let’s set the foundation for how I’m thinking about it, because everything else really kind of builds on it. And the most important thing to understand is that debt. Is really now I think the main character in the economy. I know we, people have been talking about this for a very long time, but I think, I think the debt issue is really, really becoming something that cannot be ignored, and I’ll get into that in a while. Obviously, I’m not saying that inflation and interest rates don’t matter. They matter enormously. Uh, those are the things that people actually feel, right? Higher prices, higher mortgage rates, higher insurance costs. What I’m saying is that the level of debt now determines really how decisions on those things are made from policy makers. You know, how do they respond to inflation and interest rates, recessions market stress. What debt does is it actually kinda limits the range of choices around how policy makers react to all these things. So once you see that, the behavior of the economy starts to, I think, make a lot more sense. So let’s start with. Sovereign debt, and I’m gonna start really basic here because the question is, you know, what exactly is sovereign debt? Okay. And sovereign debt is the money a government owes, okay? In the US it exists because the government consistently spends more than it collects in taxes, and that gap is called the deficit. When that happens year after year, you have an accumulation of debt. Now, when debt is low, it’s, it’s pretty manageable, right? But when debt gets very large, it starts to influence policy decisions, and that’s where we are right now. Uh, here’s the key mechanic that I think most people don’t really think about, right? Governments don’t pay off debt the way you and I, you know, pay off our debt, like mortgage or whatever. They always refinance it, right? So when the US government borrows money, it issues bonds. That’s how it does, those bonds have maturity dates, and when you buy a bond, you’re, you know, you’re loaning the government money. So when a bond matures, the government owes that principle back to you. Right? So that’s, that’s kind of how well we talk about, we talk about debt, but the government doesn’t save money over time to pay off that bond. Like, I mean, that’s the way you would think about it for you and me, right? I mean, at some point you’re like, ah, I really need to pay off this debt. I’m just gonna pay it off with this money that I saved. Instead, what they do is when a bond comes due, it issues a new bond and uses the money from that new bond to pay back the old one. Okay. Now, if that sounds familiar, uh, to you, it’s because it’s pretty much what we would call in plain English refinancing, right? Now imagine though, the government issued a bond a few years ago when interest rates were near zero. That bond matures today, interest rates are much higher, right to pay off the old bond. The government issues a new one at today’s higher rates. So the debt doesn’t disappear, it just becomes more expensive to carry, right? I mean, it’s just like you got a mortgage, you know you had a, a great rate, but you only got it for seven years and all of sudden you gotta refinance it. Gosh, all of a sudden that rate went really higher and your payments are much higher, and the debt payments going up, you know, for the government, what adds to that deficit? It’s a really, really vicious cycle. Now, take that process and multiply it across trillions of dollars of debt. Now you can start seeing why interest rates matter so much in a high debt system. Now, what makes this especially important right now is that for over the last several years, the US issued a very large amount of short-term debt. Short-term debt matures quickly, and that means large portions of government debt. Come due every year and have to be refinanced at whatever the interest rate exists at the time. So even if deficit stock growing tomorrow, which they won’t, the government would still need smooth functioning financial markets just to keep refinancing what it al what already exists now. This is why the economy has become so sensitive to interest rates, liquidity and confidence. Higher interest rates increase the cost of refinancing, right? We’ve mentioned that already. And that pushes deficits higher and forces even more borrowing. So I mentioned liquidity. What is that? Well, liquidity is about how easily money moves through the system. When liquidity is good, bonds are easily absorbed. Banks lend markets function normally, and when liquidity dries up, refinancing becomes fragile. That stress. Stress in the market spreads quickly. And then finally, confidence I mentioned too. Why does confidence matter? Well, confidence matters because investors need to believe that the system is gonna hold together. When confidence weakens, guess what happens? Well, what would happen if you think about it with a loan, a higher risk loan? While investors demand higher yields like refinance, it becomes even more expensive. And problems compound fast. Now, this is why Pol policymakers are extremely uncomfortable with high borrowing costs, reduced lending, falling asset values, and deep recessions. Recessions, by the way, don’t make debt easier to manage. They make it harder by reducing tax revenue and worsening debt ratios. Now that brings me to a, something that I am feeling sort of back and forth with. Um. You know, a listener who sent me some commentary about, you know, the fear of going back to 1970s, eighties style interest rates. But the thing is that I just don’t think that comparison works, and here’s why. Okay, so in the 1970s, the US had far less debt. Interest rates could go very high without threatening the government’s ability to refinance itself. Now today, with debt much larger relative to the economy, very high rates don’t just fight inflation. They stress the entire financial structure, right? You can’t just say, oh, we’re gonna make super high rates because the cost of all that debt the government has is gonna be extraordinarily expensive. Now, that doesn’t mean that rates can’t rise. It means policymakers have far less tolerance for how high and how long rates can stay elevated. It’s a completely different system from the 1970s and eighties. So I think trying to put things into that context is probably not, um, not a, a good way to think about it. So why am I fo focusing on this right now? Uh, instead of a few years ago, because again, we stu we didn’t suddenly become a high debt economy this year. So what changed? Well timing a massive amount of debt that was issued at very low interest rates, as I mentioned before, is now maturing and being refinanced at much higher rates, and that shift is no longer theoretical. It’s happening in real time. Last year, much of that low uh, rate, debt was still in place. Interest costs hadn’t fully reset, but going into 2026, they have no, I, I keep talking about, you know, how much we’re paying an interest, right? Because again, that’s a big difference between now and the 1970s when you could have, you know, you didn’t have as much debt so you could pay more interest on it. Right now, the US is now spending roughly a trillion dollars a year just on interest. Her perspective, right? I mean, what’s a trillion dollars? Uh, what does that even mean for the normal person? Well, for Perce perspective, that’s the defense budget. $1 trillion. It’s more than Medicare, more than most major federal programs. And the thing is that money doesn’t do anything, right. It doesn’t create growth. It just services past borrowing. And this is the point where debt stops being background noise, kind of an annoyance that people just say, well, we’ll kick it to the next generation. It start starts actively shaping, uh, policy decisions because it’s, it’s a thing that you gotta pay for. You gotta keep paying for it. So the takeaway I want you to carry forward is simple. We now live in a system where policymakers don’t have the luxury of letting things break when debt is low. Governments can tolerate deep recessions like you saw in the seventies and eighties and long recoveries. When debt is high, they can’t because even small shocks can just really get outta control quickly. And that’s the framework I think, uh, that I’m using as we move into interest rates, inflation, and what all this means for markets going into 2026. So let’s talk about interest rates. You’ve heard me say that I think that interest rates are gonna come down. Um, they’re gonna continue to tick down a little bit. I don’t think a lot, but I do think there’ll probably be at least one more rate cut. I think, you know, you’re probably gonna have some, um, uh, some lowering in the 10 year and, and the bond market in general. Uh, but interest rates are not gonna go back to 2010, right? They just aren’t. And. The 2010s were not normal. There were a very specific period created by very specific conditions, right? Inflation was persistently low, uh, but just wouldn’t go up. Globalization, uh, push prices down. Capital was abundant. Debt levels, well, they were high, but they’re rising, but they hadn’t become what they are now. And because of that, central banks could hold rates near zero without much consequence. That environment, unfortunately, does not exist now. So today, debt is much higher. Inflation risk is real again, and investors expect to be compensated for lending money long term. So even when rates decline from current levels, they do not return, uh, they will not return to where people, uh, anchor them psychologically. If they’re thinking about the 2000 tens, they’re gonna settle higher. Within the 2000 tens baseline, you see policymakers are kind of stuck if rates, uh, say too high for too long. We mentioned this before. Refinancing government debt becomes increasingly expensive. Interest costs rise, deficits, widen, and then you get that financial stress that’s spreads through the credit markets. But if rates are pushed too low for too long, borrowing accelerates. And that’s. When inflation resurfaces and confidence in the currency weakens, so then that’s the tug of war. So policymakers, uh, you know, they, they can no longer choose between high rates and low rates. They’re gonna be choosing how to manage, uh, the trade-offs, right? So what’s gonna happen is that you’re gonna see that rates are gonna move within a range. Uh, they come down when something breaks, they move back up when inflation pressures recurrent. Um, that’s why volatility matters more than the exact. Level of rates going forward, in my opinion. So we’re, we’re not returning to free money. We are also not headed to a permanent 1970 style high rate world. What we are doing is entering a time where borrowing costs matter. Again, refinancing is not guaranteed, and rate swings are part of the system, and that naturally leads to the question of inflation. So once you understand why rates. You know, don’t go back to the 2010. The next question becomes, uh, well, if policymakers can’t keep rates high for long and they can’t push them back to zero either, then what are they actually trying to ac accomplish? Well, the answer is that, that the goal is kind of shifted for decades. Economic policy was focused on disinflation, um, you know, pushing inflation lower and lower. Over time, uh, and inflation was actually treated as a failure, and that made sense. In a world with lower debt in a high debt world, that logic sort of breaks down, right? Deflation, which is actually falling prices, increases the real value of debt. Think about that for a moment. Like just in terms of. You know, you have a mortgage and you know, sometime, you know, your parents might have like a 30 year mortgage or something like that, that they’ve had for 25 years. They’ve been paying it off and it’s great. But the bigger thing to notice is the amount of money that they borrowed is actually very small in real world dollars because it’s, you know, 25 years later. See, inflation is bad when it’s, you know, you’re dealing with it, but inflation is. Good at one other thing, which is it’s good at eroding debt. It will make, uh, the amount of the value of the, you know, the actual money that you owe on debt lower over time. So that’s why you can’t have deflation, right? You can’t have deflation because that increases the real value of the debt. It discourages spending, slows growth and makes refinancing harder. So in today’s system, deflation is way, way more dangerous than moderate inflation. And so because of that inflation really isn’t something that I think is quite as important that has to be eliminated at all costs. That, you know, you have to be right at 2%, which is, you know, kind of what the, the fed his, his target is, right? Instead, what you gotta do is you gotta manage it. Of course, that doesn’t mean you want runaway inflation. What they wanna do is have enough inflation to keep nominal growth positive and prevent debt burdens from become heavier again. Why? What do I mean by that? You gotta have enough inflation to erode the debt that we have, right? So this is why that 2% inflation target should be understood. As, you know, kind of aspirational, but not absolute because having a little higher inflation, yeah, it hurts people. It’s, uh, it hurts people on a day-to-day basis, but actually helps with that. So even at, uh, you know, inflation sell a bit higher than, than, than the, you know, 2% fed target say it’s 4%, it’s actually eroding, uh, you know, it is eroding purchasing power, but it’s also eroding debt. It’s, it’s stabilizing debt dynamics. From the system’s perspective, of course that’s helpful. But for us, we’re paying for things on a day-to-day basis to see the cost of eggs and all that. It’s, it’s frustrating, right? And that tension between system stability and personal cost, it’s one of the defining features of the economy heading into 2026. So when you see policymakers tolerate inflation, uh, longer. Then you think they should or step in quickly When markets kind of wobble, it’s not confusion or incompetence, it’s actually constraint because debt limits the available choices. Rates are managed within a range. Inflation is guided and not eliminated. Now put those together and you get the environment we’re moving into, which is an economy where markets can look. Resilient, even while people feel stretched, right? I mean, that’s kinda what we’re feeling. Everybody’s like, oh, these markets are doing fantastic, you know? But then, you know, you look at consumer confidence, it goes down. It’s been going down every month. This is an environment where asset prices recover faster than wages, and we’re understanding how policy reacts becomes a real advantage. So that’s kind of my macro setup for 2026. Um, you know, with that framework, we can start looking into the first prediction I’ll make. And again, these are not, you know, crazy predictions. Uh, they are just generalized things that I think you’re gonna see. So, like the first one is that the markets will stop being reliable proxy for the economy. You could argue that’s already happened, right? Markets in the economy kind of stopped correlating. We saw it after the financial crisis, right? We saw it very clearly even during COVID. The decoupling itself is not new. What’s new is that that decoupling is no longer temporary. It’s become the baseline that’s become the new normal. Uh, for most of modern history people had a fairly reliable mental model, right? You probably do. If you grew up in the eighties and nineties, uh, as a kid or whatever, when the economy felt bad, layoffs, we growth falling in con incomes, markets usually reflected the pain. Right. Sometimes there was a gap. Sometimes markets recovered a little earlier, but eventually things kinda re converged. The economy healed. We just caught up in the markets and lived experience kinda lined up. Now that’s the model that most people still have in their heads, and that’s why so many people feel so confused right now. I mean, I feel confused by it. So what’s changed going into 2026? You know, it, it is, it’s structural Now. We’re no longer living in a system where policy intervenes only during emergencies. We are, uh, in a system where policy is always on, debt is permanently high, rates are actively managed, inflation is tolerated rather than eliminated. And as a result of that, markets aren’t really necessarily responding primarily to how. The economy feels to people they’re responding. Uh, you know, it’s responding to refinancing needs. Liquidity management. Uh, confidence preservation. That’s a very different signal. COVID is the clearest example of that ship, but it’s, it’s important to understand it correctly. So in 2020, the economy was literally shut down, right? Unemployment exploded. Uh, small businesses were collapsing, right? Like, this is COVID and yet markets bottom quickly. We saw that and then bam. All time highs, even though life kind of felt terrible for a lot of people. And that wasn’t because the economy was healthy, it was because policy overwhelmed fundamentals. And at the time that felt extraordinary. It felt very different. Like this doesn’t make any sense. What’s different now is that we’re still using the same playbook but with out in obvious crisis. So intervention is no longer reactive. It’s, you know, uh, it’s preventative. So what do I predict for 2026? Well, markets are gonna stop being a reliable proxy for economic health. Uh, you, you people can just stop talking about that. Like it, like it, it means anything anymore. Markets going to increasingly reflect how constrained policymakers are and how much liquidity is in the system, and how aggressively risk is being managed. They’re not gonna, the markets are not gonna tell you. About affordability, wage pressure, or whether life feels easier or harder for people. Right. Those are completely gonna, those are, it’s just a standard thing now that those are uncorrelated and the gap is not, uh, abnormal anymore. It’s. The operating environment. So what do you do with that information? Well, for an individual investor, this environment requires a real mindset shift, right? You can’t rely on your gut anymore. You can’t say, man, I feel like this economy doesn’t feel good. So the market’s gonna look at the, I mean, you, you, you know, a lot of people feel like the economy doesn’t feel good to them because of inflation, because of what happened with interest rates and all that stuff, right? But look it, you’ve got. Record breaking, uh, stock market numbers. You can’t rely on your gut anymore. Your gut is telling you the economy feels bad. For many people, that’s absolutely true. Costs are high. Again, things feel tight, and the instinct is to wait to sit in cash. To assume markets would reflect that pain, but that instinct used to work. And in this system it doesn’t because markets are no longer pricing in how the economy feels. They’re pricing policy response. Liquidity and constraints. So if you wait for the economy to feel good before you act, it’s gonna be way too late. So instead of asking, does the economy feel weak, you need to start asking different questions. You need to ask how constrained policymakers are, how quickly liquidity will return if markets wob on it, and where capital tends to flow first when policy steps sit. In other words. You gotta start really thinking about investing, right? Like you gotta, like right now. Now I’ve talked, I’ve beat this over many times before, but you know, you have, if you’re, if you’re saving money right now and you’re looking and you are wondering what to do, look for things that are on sale now. I spent real estate’s on sale right now. Right? Get your money into the markets one way or another. That’s what I would say. Whatever it is that you want to invest in. Don’t let your money just erode because this lack of correlation is, it’s a really, really important thing and it’s, it’s gonna continue to happen and you know what else is gonna happen Because of that, you’re gonna see an increasing widening up the wealth gap. People whose income is tied primarily to wages are, are gonna experience that inflation directly, right? Their money’s trapped in the real economy where costs rise faster than income. But investors on the other hand, have an opportunity to participate in the markets that are supported by this sort of unnatural infrastructure that I just mentioned, right? As asset prices are gonna continue going up. Now, I’m not here to judge whether that’s a good thing or a bad thing, I’m just telling you how it’s functions. So the investor class increasingly benefits from asset appreciation, right? Early access to liquidity. While lower income groups often can participate in that upside. Even as their cost of living rise, because they’re not in the markets, they’re not, they don’t own assets. So again, you have to stop, you know, using how the economy feels is your primary investing signal. If you wanna protect and grow your wealth in this environment, you need to understand how policy reacts, how you know liquidity moves, how assets behave when the system is under constraint. And in other words, uh, you know. Frankly, you just need to be part of the winning class, which is the investor class. Alright, so that’s kind of, uh, hopefully that made sense to you. Here’s another prediction for you, and this is probably more related to some of the things that we talk about usually, but I’ll say that multifamily and commercial real estate are going to finish their washout, and the window is gonna start to really close again. I’ve talked about this. Before, you’ve probably heard me say this, but let’s talk about multifamily and commercial real estate again, because you know, this audience doesn’t need just theory. You’ve already lived through the pain or the past two years you’ve seen deals blow up, capital calls go out, refinancings fail. So the real question going on in 2026 is not whether real estate breaks. It’s already, it already did. It already did. The real question is how much longer this phase lasts and what replaces it. My view is that 2025 into early 2026, um, represents the final phase of this unwind in the beginning of stabilization. I’m not predicting an immediate boom, not a return to 2021 by any means, but the end of obvious distress. So what’s happened already from 2022 to 2024? Multifamily and commercial real estate absorbed the fastest rate shock in modern history. Many of you lived through that. I lived through that. It’s painful. Debt costs doubled or tripled. Cap rates moved hundreds of basis points. You know, bridge debt structures broke, uh, refinancing assumptions collapsed. Now, a lot of the deals, I mean, I would say most of the deals, uh, uh, that, you know, kind of imploded, uh, shared the same DNA, you know, peaking price, uh, purchases, uh, during peak prices in 2021, early 2022. Uh, you know. Floating rate thin or negative cash flow based on, you know, the rates at the time. Maybe it was positive business plans that were really dependent on refi and rent growth. Um, those deals though, have largely already defaulted, recapitalize, or, you know, they’re being quietly handed back. And that matters because markets don’t keep breaking the same wave forever. If, if you’re seeing right now and if you’re in our investor club, you are. 30% discounts on a regular basis. Right? On a regular basis compared to the peak. Don’t assume that’s gonna last. That this is the key point I wanna make very clearly. If you’re looking at multifamily or commercial deals today that are trade trading at that 30% below where they were a couple years ago, you should not assume that window stays opening. Definitely because the level of discount there, uh, the level of discount exists because. Dried up liquidity, uh, because of that violent rate reset, uh, uncertainty. But here’s the thing, markets don’t stay frozen forever and as soon as pricing stabilizes, even at higher cap rates, which are going to be higher than they were, because you’re not gonna see interest rates down at zero, capital is gonna start to move again. And stabilization doesn’t require rates to go back to zero. It just requires some level of predictability. So here’s the sequence of what happens first, you know, the distress slows, uh, you see less and less defaults, and then slowly but surely cap rates stop expanding, right? That alone brings back buyers. Then as rates drift mo lower and volatility declines, lenders reenter selectively, debt becomes a billable again. It’s not cheap. It’s definitely usable and that brings more liquidity. When I say liquidity, in this context, I’m talking about just more deals getting done. And once liquidity returns, cap rates don’t stay wide forever. They compress, right? It’s competition. And again, when they compress, they’re not gonna go back to 2021 levels, but enough to meaningfully lift asset values from distressed pricing. This can happen faster than people expect, right? People underestimate the fact that there is an enormous amount of capital sitting on the sidelines right now in money market funds, short term treasuries, private capital, waiting for clarity. That capital isn’t, you know, permanent. The moment investors believe that rates of peak, that prices of stabilized downside risks is contained, that money starts to chase yield. When it does the transition from, nobody wants this, everyone wants exposure again, can happen surprisingly fast. In other words, I’m not saying I think this will happen in 26, but the shift from a market that is on sale, which I’ve described it as to a market that is starting to look a little frothy, can really be just a couple of years. And in that situation, I’d rather be a net seller, right? You wanna be accumulating. During this phase of for sale so that you can sell in froth. So what this means is that the market is, you know, uh, is not a market to wait for everything to feel perfect, because by the time it does, the obvious discounts are gonna be gone. And if you wait for perfect clarity, you’re gonna be competing, you competing with institutional capital, with large private funds and, and, and yield hungry money coming outta cash. The opportunity is not assuming distress lasts forever. It is. It’s in recognizing when the market is transitioning from forced selling, which is what is happening even now to price discovery. So ultimately, the prediction is this multifamily and commercial real estate, that that washout is completed in 2026 and the window created by distress really starts to close. Deep discounts don’t persist. Once market stabilized, which I think is what’s gonna happen, and then I think you’re gonna start to see a shift. You’re gonna start to see more deals, more liquidity, and that’s gonna return faster than people expect. In other words, this is gonna be the end of, you know, sort of this bargain basement, you know, panic pricing. And once real assets stabilize and liquidity returns, attention inevitably turns, uh, to the currency, those assets are priced in. Which brings us to the prediction number three. That dollar, okay, the dollar doesn’t collapse, but it does continue to erode. It slowly leak, right? Let’s talk about the dollar, ’cause you hear about this all the time, right? A nausea, you hear the, the weakening of the dollar. Um, this is one of those topics that where people tend to jump to extremes. You know, on one side you hear the dollar is about to collapse. On the other side you hear the dollar’s strong and everything’s fine. I think, um, the truth is somewhere in, in the middle. And my prediction for 2026 is simple. Um, again, the dollar doesn’t really explode. It doesn’t get replaced. It can just continues to erode slowly but surely. And that’s how reserve currencies actually behave when debt gets high. Right. So why no collapse, right? Because you got like people out there, uh, worried about the collapse of the US dollar. The US dollar is gonna remain dominant, not because it’s perfect, but because there’s no real alternative at scale. There just isn’t. Okay? There’s no other currency with markets as deep, as liquid and as widely used for trade debt and collateral. So, you know, reserve currencies, you know, you hear about the, the worry about us being the reserve currency. Well, reserve currencies don’t disappear overnight. They erode gradually, but they don’t disappear overnight. And that erosion shows up not as a crash, but again as persistent inflation, right? It’s rising, you know, real asset prices, which is again, where you wanna be, and a slow loss of purchasing power over time. Again, that brings us back to the whole issue of debt we were talking about, right? So in a highly indebted system, policymakers are not incentivized to aggressively defend the currency at all costs, right? So very high interest rates might strengthen the dollar in the short term, but they also make debt harder to service and financial stress worse, right? So instead of choosing strength or collapse. Um, you know, policy drifts towards tolerance, right? Inflation is allowed to run a little hotter than people expect, because again, it’s gonna erode that debt. The currency weakens slowly, therefore, rather than violently, right? Again, currency weakening. It’s that, it, it’s so entwined with this idea of inflation because debt becomes easier to manage in real terms. And one of the things I hear, and I’ve been sort of in these conversations back and forth with, um. At least one of you out there, uh, in, in emails is that, you know, I hear, uh, that, that, that there’s a, a serious problem for interest rates because of, you know, China, uh, selling US treasuries. And because of that you might get the collapse of the dollar. In fact, in this conversation, it was not only about China, but also Europe. Which, you know, I hadn’t actually heard anybody mention that before, but I guess that’s out there in the ecosystem and some of the newsletters. Now, all that sounds scary, but it really misunderstands how the system actually works. What exactly happens when someone or a country sells treasuries? Well, they don’t dis, they, they don’t just destroy the dollars. What they’re doing is they just swap $1 asset for another, right? The dollars don’t even lead the system. They change hands. So this idea of China selling off all it t trade, well, China’s been, uh, reducing its treasury holdings for years and the dollar hasn’t collapsed. The market absorbed it because treasuries are the deepest, most liquid market in the world. And then this idea of Europe, of of Europe actually dumping treasuries because, you know, they’re not happy with Donald Trump and what he’s doing in Ukraine and all that, that would be an absolute nightmare for, for Europe. That would hurt their own economy. That’s the last thing that an indebted government wants. So foreign selling, yeah, sure it’s gonna move yields, but it, it’s not gonna implode the dollar. But the reality of the, uh, erosion of the dollar is real. I don’t think anybody questions that anymore, and I think that is another reason that you need to be buying. Real assets. You need to be buying equity. You need to be on the side of the investor class. Okay? That’s, that’s how you combat all of this. So the real takeaway here ultimately is that, you know, it isn’t, uh, to abandon the dollar, right? It isn’t. It’s, it’s just to stop pretending that holding cash is neutral. It’s not, it, most of your wall suits and assets that, that can’t adjust. You know, they can’t grow as, you know, as, as asset prices grow, then you’re making a bet on currency stability that literally no one believes is, is going to be the base standard anymore. Everybody knows, every economist, every country, every everywhere knows that these currencies are eroding. You don’t freak out about the dollar, but don’t, don’t, don’t be like heavily in dollars. Start getting into the markets. Alright, well, you know, I’m talking a lot about esoteric macro stuff, but let’s kind of get into some stuff that you might think is fun, more fun maybe. Okay. You, a lot of you are into Bitcoin. Well, I think that, you know, Bitcoin is gonna continue to mature. And the next look, leg up looks like, you know, because of more adoption, not because of hype, which isn’t maybe not as, as, as fast and violent, but it’s, it’s, it’s a lot more predictable. For those of you who are still unfortunately listening to the likes of Peter Schiff about Bitcoin, you gotta stop doing that because Bitcoin is not tulips. Right? A lot of people still talk about it like it’s a fad that could just vanish. We’re long past that phase. Bitcoin is, is, is a $2 trillion asset and in the history of the world, there has never been a $2 trillion asset that went to zero. Is it volatile? Yeah, it is. It can absolutely continue to be wildly volatile, but you’re not going to zero. And my prediction is not overly crazy. It’s just that. Bitcoin is going to continue to increase in price, but it’s not become, not because of speculative, uh, you know, because it’s a speculative trade anymore, right? I think it’s because of adoption. Uh, adoption is going to become the real meaningful driver of market capitalization. So what do I mean by that? It just means more people are seeing it as a real asset, and it has to become, when it becomes a real asset class, everyone has to have some of it. Every major institution has to have some of it because it’s an its own asset class. And when they do that, it just drives up the entire market capitalization of that asset. And when you have an asset that has a finite amount, which in the case of Bitcoin, there will never be more than 21 million Bitcoin. You have constant adoption, constant slow, but persistent growth in market capitalization, the asset has to become more expensive. Now, what do I mean by this adoption? Well, places that you would never think in a million years, a few years ago, that that would be buying Bitcoin or you know, ETFs, B to Bitcoin ETFs are doing. So Harvard. Harvard is a great example. Because it’s not, it’s not crypto influencer, right? It’s actually one of the most conservative, brand sensitive pools of capital in the world. But their endowment management, uh, disclosed roughly 443, uh, million dollars in its position in BlackRock, uh, BlackRock, iShares Bitcoin, Bitcoin Trust, which is ibi for those of you who, who, uh, don’t know, that’s how you can just go to your New York Stock Exchange and, and buy. Bitcoin ETFs with ibit. Now, whether you love this whole Bitcoin idea or hate it or whatever, that’s a signal that is increasingly treated like a portfolio asset. It’s not a fringe experiment, and it’s not only universities. Uh, institutional comfort is it’s just there, right? Um, custody, uh, custody regulated vehicles, positioning, size, risk controls, those kinds of things are all become part of the Bitcoin uh, environment. Many countries are already holding meaningful amounts of Bitcoin. Uh, even the US has, there’s a, there is a formalized Bitcoin reserve. Now we aren’t actively buying it, but here’s an interesting thing with Bitcoin, you can, when it is, uh, the way that the US is accumulating Bitcoin is through seizures. Alright? Bad guy gets caught. His boats, his house and his Bitcoin get, uh, confiscated. So the US will sell the house, they will sell the gold, they will sell the boats, but they will keep the Bitcoin. What does that tell you? You know? And, and there’s a lot of nations that are actually openly holding and, and buying Bitcoin. I mentioned the US China. This always seems to be, uh, you know, anti Bitcoin. Well, they actually own quite a bit the UK, Ukraine, Bhutan, El Salvador. Bottom line is there’s a big change in narrative, right? That this is a real asset. So this is something that, you know, even if it’s 1% of a major, uh, institution’s assets or less than that, or whatever, it’s part of it. And that adoption alone can move prices from, from here. And that’s what I think a lot of people miss because they’re like, well, you already had a big move and you know, instead a hundred, it’s 80 or 90 or a hundred, whatever. It’s, it’s not going much better, bigger than that. Well, Bitcoin is, is actually really small relative to global pools of capital. So at this stage, adoption alone. Not even the crazy mania of the past can make a non-trivial increase in market capitalization and therefore a mark, you know, a non-trivial increase in the actual price of Bitcoin. All it’s gonna take, and you’re gonna see this, you’re gonna see more endowments, you’re gonna see more sovereign wealth pool, pensions, mod model portfolios, all they guys daisy side, when you know, even with a small allocation. It doesn’t take too much to overwhelm the available float because Bitcoin is scarce and a lot of it’s held tightly. So as far as Bitcoin goes, what do I think is gonna happen? I believe all time highs are gonna get challenged. They’re gonna get broken again in 2026, not because again, everyone’s suddenly becoming a crypto maximas, but because adoptions could just gonna continue to grow. The wild card, I should say, is that the US moving from, we hold. What we seized in terms of Bitcoin to actively acquiring reserves could be enormous catalyst. And there is a lot of talk about this right now. Um, if the market ever believes that the US is a consistent buyer, even in a constrained budget neutral way, that changes the psychology fast. And in that scenario, I think 200,000 plus, uh, $200,000 plus Bitcoin by the end of 2026 becomes very plausible. Zooming out. I’ve said this before, you may think I’m crazy, but again, because of adoption, I think that Bitcoin is at a million dollars five to seven years from now. So what does that mean for you? Well, I mean, I think at the end of the day, if you don’t own some, you might want to, I’m not gonna give you financial advice, but again, just like Harvard’s doing it, you know, major, major endowments are saying, well. You know, maybe we’ll just buy, like, you know, 2% of that, 2% of our, our, uh, endowment will be made of something like that, right? Uh, you know, it’s just even a very small amount, but exposure to it makes a lot of sense. So I think that is something to highly consider if you are still on zero when it comes to Bitcoin. All right, now here’s my last, uh, prediction. You may have heard me talking about this before as well, that AI becomes a deflationary force that policy makers finally wake up to. And I think this is actually one of the most important and misunderstood economic developments, um, that is currently already out there. But I think it’s, it’s gonna be really recognized. By the end of 2026. Okay. Artificial intelligence is gonna stop being just a tech story, and it’s gonna become a macroeconomic story. I think that by the end of 2026, artificial intelligence is clearly, uh, you know, it’s clearly, um, going to be boosting corporate earnings while beginning to materially reshape the labor force. Um, and what’s gonna happen is that central banks and policymakers are gonna start treating it. Is a genuinely deflationary force over the next several years, and they’re gonna try to have to figure out what to do about it. And again, going back to our earlier conversation, because deflation is really a real problem for a country with an enormous amount of debt. So let’s get a little bit into the whole deflationary uh, conversation. So artificial intelligence at its core is a productivity machine, right? It allows companies to produce more. Without, with fewer inputs, fewer hours, fewer people, fewer stakes and productivity always shows up in profits before it shows up in everyday life. Right now, lower cost per transaction, faster execution, fewer people doing the same amount of work, widening margins without price increases. That’s the tell. That’s when profits rise without raising prices, something deflationary is happening underneath the surface. The biggest impact there is the labor market, right? It’s gonna be impossible to ignore. And this is where the conversation really shifts because artificial intelligence doesn’t need to eliminate jobs outright to matter. It only needs to reduce the number of people required to do it, right? So you’re thinking the labor markets, you’re gonna see a lot of this. You’re gonna see more slowing in hiring. Um, even while productivity expectations rise, and I think by late 2026, the public conversation is gonna change from will artificial intelligence affects jobs someday to why aren’t companies hiring the way they used to? And of course, that’s when people are gonna start paying attention and they’re gonna notice it’s deflationary because it’s going to be because artificial intelligence is gonna push down the cost. Of services, administration, customer support, research, and eventually decision making itself. That’s why it’s, it’s deflationary, it’s structural, right? Just think of all those things you can do for so much cheaper. That is what deflation is, right? And again, we mentioned before deflation is not something central banks are comfortable with because of debt and because debt heavy systems rely on nominal growth. Deflation makes debt heavier in real terms as opposed to what we said before, which is that inflation actually erodes debt. And that is a, a very, very challenging problem. And by 2026, I think you’re gonna hear a lot about this, you know, policy problem that we have. Which is innovation versus, you know, deflation. You make a lot of money, but are still worried about retirement. Maybe you didn’t start earning until your thirties. Now you’re trying to catch up. Meanwhile, you’ve got a mortgage, a private school to pay for, and you feel like you’re getting further and further behind. Now, good news, if you need to catch up on retirement, check out a program put out by some of the oldest and most prestigious life insurance companies in the world. It’s called Wealth Accelerator, and it can help you amplify your returns quickly, protect your money from creditors, and provide finance. Financial protection to your family if something happens to you. The concepts here are used by some of the wealthiest families in the world and there’s no reason why they can’t be used by you. Check it out for yourself by going to wealthformulabanking.com. Alright, well, so that’s basically it for my, uh, predictions. And I know I’ve kind of. Off on many different tangents, so hopefully it’s useful to you at least to start thinking and doing some of your own research. Bottom line is this, I mean, as, as a investor, what can you do? I think the big story here is understanding that, um, you need to be out of the dollar and into the investor class because that that widening gap between those who have. Who own things, who own assets, and those who do not is gonna continue to widen. And so, you know, my best, uh, won’t call it advice, but my own belief is that it is a, it is a very good time to look around and look for assets that are underpriced because I think everything is going to expand and it’s gonna ex expand. Uh, and you don’t wanna be caught, you know, on the, uh, dollar side of that equation. So. That’s it for me this week on Wealth Formula Podcast. Happy New Year. I’ll see you next week. If you wanna learn more, you can now get free access to our in-depth personal finance course featuring industry leaders like Tom Wheel Wright and Ken McElroy. Visit wealthformularoadmap.com.

Bernstein says Bitcoin and the broader crypto market have likely “bottomed,” keeping big upside targets in play, while traditional finance keeps leaning in with Morgan Stanley filing for new Bitcoin and Solana ETFs as spot Bitcoin ETF inflows rebound. We'll also cover why 2026 is shifting from “writing crypto rules” to actually making them work—across accounting, stablecoins, and tax reporting—as the industry moves from hype to hard compliance.

⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal's AI avatar, Palvatar. ⬜ In today's update, Palvatar covers a calm start for global equities following a strong US rally that pushed the Dow to fresh highs, while weak ISM manufacturing data kept pressure on the dollar ahead of the jobs report. European stocks extended gains, supported by resilient PMI data. Commodities rallied, with copper hitting records, and crypto stayed strong as Bitcoin ETFs attracted major inflows amid rising competition.

The fuse has been lit!

Bitcoin surges toward $100K as Venezuela headlines and U.S. action/capture news sparked a shock-driven rally and short squeeze, while traders watched key levels for a continuation. We also covered why the move may have been reinforced by returning spot Bitcoin ETF inflows, alongside a broader “risk-off” bid that pushed gold and silver higher. From there we zoomed out to the macro/policy setup—Fed rate-cut debate, Tom Lee's warning of a 10–15% pullback early in 2026—and the regulatory backdrop, including Lummis retiring, Arizona's crypto tax push, and the growing “Bitcoin-only” narrative.

Gold's outlook for 2026 with SchiffGold Founder Peter Schiff. Euro Pacific Asset Management Chief Economist Peter Schiff has been named to CoinDesk's 50 Most Influential list. In this interview with CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie, the SchiffGold founder reflects on gold's record highs, and shares his skepticism of bitcoin, asserting that the cryptocurrency lacks the properties of sound money. He also predicts the collapse of Strategy's business model and unveils his own pivot to the blockchain: a new tokenized gold product. - For more, check out CoinDesk's 50 Most Influential article on Peter Schiff: https://www.coindesk.com/business/2025/12/16/most-influential-peter-schiff.  To see the full list, visit: https://www.coindesk.com/most-influential-2025. - Timecodes:  01:14 - Peter Schiff: The Unlikely Bitcoin Influencer 04:44 - Key Moments that Drove Gold to a Record High 06:23 - Where is Gold Headed in 2026?  10:33 - Why Scarcity Doesn't Make Bitcoin Sound Money 13:23 - The Myth of Government & Central Bank BTC Adoption 15:29 - Peter Warns About the Vulnerability of Bitcoin ETFs and Predicts Strategy's Collapse 18:56 - Peter Continues to Challenge Michael Saylor to a Debate 20:18 - The Tokenized Gold Future 23:24 - Peter's Reaction to CZ's Comments on Tokenized Gold - Break the cycle of exploitation. Break down the barriers to truth. Break into the next generation of privacy. Break Free. Free to scroll without being monetized. Free from censorship. Freedom without fear. We deserve more when it comes to privacy. Experience the next generation of blockchain that is private and inclusive by design. Break free with Midnight, visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠midnight.network/break-free⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie.

What if one tiny visual tweak could send your app viral?

CoinShares CEO Jean-Marie Mognetti joins the Mining Pod to break down the underdiscussed ways that bitcoin ETFs have changed the crypto market. Subscribe to the Blockspace newsletter! Welcome back to The Mining Pod! Today, Jean-Marie Mognetti, CEO of CoinShares, joins us to talk about the financialization of Bitcoin following the ETF launches. We dive into how derivatives and call overwriting could be compressing volatility and changing price action. He also breaks down the cultural and regulatory differences stifling European adoption compared to the US, and why Bitcoin's ultimate success might be a "bittersweet" signal of global sovereign debt failure. Subscribe to the newsletter! https://newsletter.blockspacemedia.com **Notes:** Notes: * EU ETF market 10x smaller than US * Bitcoin futures in backwardation * Spot liquidity is currently thin * Options market suppressing volatility * US dominates global crypto trading * Sovereign debt cycles are failing Timestamps: 00:00 Start 02:51 Current BTC volatility 07:29 Options market wagging the dog 09:33 Financialization of Bitcoin 14:23 Who's using call options? 15:52 Market changes due to ETF? 18:03 JPM 1.5x levered ETF 18:53 European ETF market 25:31 European ETF flows 29:24 What is holding institutions back? 31:14 Are DATs dead?

This is the dumb money playing field and they built it on purpose. In this episode, I break down how Wall Street, brokers, and these new 5x leveraged ETFs are setting retail investors up to get obliterated, while the wealthy quietly print money with assets, loans, and tax games most people never get taught. We talk about how 23-hour trading, 5x leveraged stock & crypto ETFs, and casino-style apps are designed to keep you glued to the screen, over-leveraged, and emotionally cooked — while the people who built the game barely touch this stuff. If you trade AMD, Nvidia, Tesla, Coinbase, Bitcoin, ETH, Solana, XRP, Amazon, Google, MSTR, Palantir… this episode is a must-watch before you ever touch a leveraged ETF.Join our Exclusive Patreon!!! Creating Financial Empowerment for those who've never had it.