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Best podcasts about morgan stanley investment management

Latest podcast episodes about morgan stanley investment management

Thoughts on the Market
Munis: Tax-Free Income in Times of Stress

Thoughts on the Market

Play Episode Listen Later May 5, 2025 9:27


Morgan Stanley Research analyst Mark Schmidt and Investment Management's Craig Brandon discuss the heightened uncertainty in the U.S. municipal bonds market.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.For a full list of episode disclosures click here.----- Transcript -----Mark Schmidt: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mark Schmidt, Morgan Stanley's Head of Municipal Strategy.Craig Brandon: I'm Craig Brandon, Co-Director of Municipal Investments at Morgan Stanley Investment Management.Mark Schmidt: Today, let's talk about the biggest market you hardly ever hear about – municipal bonds, a $4 trillion asset class.It's Monday, May 5th at 10am in Boston.Mark Schmidt: If you've driven, flown, gone to school or turned on a tap, chances are munis made it happen. Although munis are late cycle haven, they were not immune to the latest bout of market volatility. Craig, why was April so tough?Craig Brandon: So, what we say in April, it was sort of the trifecta of things that happened that were a little different than other asset classes. The first thing that happened is we saw a significant increase in treasury rates – and munis are generally correlated to treasuries. We're a very high-quality asset class, that's viewed as a duration asset class. So, one thing we saw were rates going up. When we see rates going up, you generally see money coming out of the market, right? So, I think investors were a little bit impacted by the higher rates, the correlation to treasuries, the duration, and saw some flows out of the market.Secondly, what we saw is conversation about the tax exemption in Washington D.C. What that did is it caused muni issuers to pull their issuance forward. So, if you're an infrastructure issuer, you are issuing bonds in the next year to year and a half; you're going to pull that forward because if there's any risk of loss of the tax exemption, you want to get these bonds issued today. So that's basically what drives technicals. It's supply and demand. So, what we saw was a decrease in demand because of higher rates; an increase in supply because of issuance being pulled forward.And the third part of the trifecta we refer to is the conversations about the economy. So, I would put that, it's sort of a distant third, but there's still conversations about maybe credit weakness driven by a slowing economy.Mark Schmidt: Craig, your team has been through a lot of tough market cycles. Given your experience, how did the most recent selloff compare? And why was it not like 2008?Craig Brandon: I started my career back in 1998 during the long-term capital management crisis. I lived through 2008. I lived through the COVID crisis, and you know, really when I look at the crisis in 2008 – no banks went out of business three weeks ago, right? In 2008 we were really sitting on a trading desk wondering where this was going to end.You know, we had a number of meetings with our staff, over the last couple weeks explaining to them why it was different and how. Yes, there was some volatility here, but you could see that there was going to be an end to this, and this was not going to be a permanent restructuring of the market. So, I think we felt comfortable. It was very different than 2008 and it really felt different than COVID.Mark Schmidt: That's reassuring. But with economic growth set to slow sharply, how does your credit team think the fiscal health of America's state and local governments will hold up?Craig Brandon: Well, remember state and local governments, and when we're talking about munis, we're also talking about other infrastructure asset classes like water and sewer bonds. Like, you know, transportation, bonds, airports. We're talking about toll roads.They went into this with a very strong balance sheet, right? Remember, there was a lot of infrastructure money spent by the federal government during COVID to give issuers money to make it through COVID. There's still a lot of money on balance sheets. So, what we do is we're going into this crisis with a lot of cash on balance sheets, allowing issuers to be able to withstand some weakness in the economy and get through to the other side of this.Mark Schmidt: Not only do state and local governments have a lot of cash, but they're just not that impacted by tariffs, right? So why did muni yields perform worse than U.S. treasuries over the past couple of weeks?Craig Brandon: Right. It really… We're technically driven, right? The U.S. muni market is more retail driven than some other asset classes. Remember – investment grade corporates, treasury bonds, there's a lot of institutional buyers in those markets. In the municipal market, it's primarily retail driven.So, when you know, individual retail investors get nervous, they tend to pull money out of the market. So, what we saw was money coming out of the market. At the same time, we saw an individual increase in more bonds, which just led to very weak technicals, which when we see that it eventually reverses itself.Mark Schmidt: Now I almost buried the lede, right? Why invest in munis? Well, they're great credit quality, but they're also tax free. In fact, muni bonds have been exempt from federal taxes for over a century. You have a lot of experience putting together tax bills, and right now people are worried about tax reform. Do you think investors should be concerned?Craig Brandon: Listen. I'm not really losing a lot of sleep at night over the tax exemption. And I think there's other, you know, issues to worry about. Why do I say that?As you mentioned Mark, I spent the early years of my career working for the New York State Assembly Ways and Means Committee. I spent seven years negotiating budgets and what that did is it gave me a window – into how, you know, not only state budgets, but the federal budget gets put together.So, what it also showed me was the relationship between state and local elected officials and your representatives in Congress and your representatives in the Senate. So, I know firsthand that members of Congress and members of the Senate in Washington have very close relationships with members of the state legislatures, with governors, with mayors, with city council members, with school board members – who are all delivering the message that significantly higher financing costs that could potentially happen from the loss of the exemption, could be meaningful to them.And I think members of Congress and members of the Senate and Washington get it. They understand it because they were all there when it happened. The last time the muni exemption came under fire was back in 2012; and in 2012, a lot of members of Congress were in the state legislature back then, so they understand it.Mark Schmidt: That's reassuring because right now, tax equivalent yields in the muni market are 7 to 8 per cent. That's equal to or greater than the long run rate of return on the stock market. So, whether to invest in the muni market seems pretty straightforward. How to invest in the muni market? Well, with 50,000 issuers, that's a little complicated. How do you recommend investors get exposure to tax-free munis right now?Craig Brandon: Well, and that is a very common question. The muni market can be very confusing because there are just so many bonds out there. You know, over 50,000 issuers, there's over a million individual CUSIPs in the muni market.So as an individual investor, where do you start? There's different coupon structures, different call structures, different maturity structures, ratings. There's so many different variables that go into a decision in investing in muni bonds.I can make an argument that you could probably mimic the S&P 500 with 500 different stocks. But most muni indices are over 50,000 constituents. It's very difficult to replicate the muni market by yourself, which is why a lot of people, you know, they let professional money managers, do the investing for them. Whether you're looking at mutual funds, whether you're looking at separately managed accounts, whether you're looking at exchange traded fund ETFs, there's a lot of different ways to get exposure to the muni market. But with the huge amount of choices you have to make, I think a lot of individual investors would just let a professional with the experience do it.Mark Schmidt: And active managers let you customize portfolios to your unique tax situation and risk tolerance. So, Craig, a final question for you. How do munis fit into a diversified portfolio?Craig Brandon: Munis are generally the stable part of most people's portfolios. Remember, you don't have a choice of whether you're going to pay your taxes or not. You have to pay your taxes, you have to pay your water bill, you have to pay your power bill. You have to pay tolls on highways. You have to pay airport fees when you buy an airline ticket, right?It's not an option. So, because the revenue streams are so stable, you see most muni bonds rated AA or AAA. The default rate for rated munis is significantly below 1 per cent. It's something in the ballpark of about 0.2 per cent*. So, with such a low default rate – listen, we're technically driven, as I said. You see ups and downs in the market. But over a longer period of time, munis can give you generally stable returns, tax exempt income over the long term, and they're one of the more stable asset classes that you see in your overall portfolio.Mark Schmidt: That sounds boring, and I mean that in the best possible way. Craig, thanks so much for your time today.Craig Brandon: Thanks, Mark, happy to be hereMark Schmidt: And thank you for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share the podcast with a friend or colleague today.*“US Municipal Bond Defaults and Recoveries, 1970-2021” – Moody's Investor ServicesDisclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The returns referred to in the commentary are those of representative indices and are not meant to depict the performance of a specific investment.Risk ConsiderationsDiversification does not eliminate the risk of loss.There is no assurance that a portfolio will achieve its investment objective. Portfolios are subject to market risk, which is the possibility that the market values of securities owned by the portfolio will decline and that the value of portfolio shares may therefore be less than what you paid for them. Market values can change daily due to economic and other events (e.g., natural disasters, health crises, terrorism, conflicts, and social unrest) that affect markets, countries, companies or governments. It is difficult to predict the timing, duration, and potential adverse effects (e.g., portfolio liquidity) of events. Accordingly, you can lose money investing in a portfolio. Fixed-income securities are subject to the ability of an issuer to make timely principal and interest payments (credit risk), changes in interest rates (interest rate risk), the creditworthiness of the issuer and general market liquidity (market risk). In a rising interest-rate environment, bond prices may fall and may result in periods of volatility and increased portfolio redemptions. In a declining interest-rate environment, the portfolio may generate less income. Longer-term securities may be more sensitive to interest rate changes. An imbalance in supply and demand in the municipal market may result in valuation uncertainties and greater volatility, less liquidity, widening credit spreads and a lack of price transparency in the market. There generally is limited public information about municipal issuers. Income from tax-exempt municipal obligations could be declared taxable because of changes in tax laws, adverse interpretations by the relevant taxing authority or the non-compliant conduct of the issuer of an obligation and may subject to the federal alternative minimum tax.There is no guarantee that any investment strategy will work under all market conditions, and each investor should evaluate their ability to invest for the long-term, especially during periods of downturn in the market.A separately managed account may not be appropriate for all investors. Separate accounts managed according to the particular strategy may include securities that may not necessarily track the performance of a particular index. Please consider the investment objectives, risks and fees of the Strategy carefully before investing. A minimum asset level is required. For important information about the investment managers, please refer to Form ADV Part 2.The views and opinions and/or analysis expressed are those of the author or the investment team as of the date of preparation of this material and are subject to change at any time without notice due to market or economic conditions and may not necessarily come to pass.This material has been prepared on the basis of publicly available information, internally developed data and other third-party sources believed to be reliable. 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Money Life with Chuck Jaffe
Morgan Stanley's Slimmon: In six months, the market will be up again

Money Life with Chuck Jaffe

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 22, 2025 59:29


Andrew Slimmon, senior portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, says that with so much investor optimism wiped away by the rough start to 2025, the opportunity for growth now looks better than it did at the start of the year. "Six months from now, I would say there's a good chance the market will be higher," Slimmon says in summing up a conversation that compares current conditions to Covid times, that discusses why looking for defensive names now is bad advice and much more. Ironically, his interview airs directly before Simon Lack of SL Advisors — publishers of the American Energy Independence Index — talks about defensive midstream energy plays in the Market Call. Plus, Jerry Avorn discusses his new book, "Rethinking Medications: Truth, Power, and the Drugs You Take," which is out today.

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 344 - Michael Mauboussin: The One Job of an Equity Investor

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 13, 2025 64:31


What if the key to successful investing is about understanding how market expectations, intangible assets, and even your own biases shape the outcome? In this episode, Cameron sits down with Michael Mauboussin, a renowned expert in investment strategies and behavioural finance, to explore how the evolving dynamics of investing influence valuation, investor decision-making, and market efficiency. Michael is the head of Consilient Research at Counterpoint Global, part of Morgan Stanley Investment Management, and an adjunct professor at Columbia Business School, where he teaches courses on investing and decision-making. His work focuses on behavioural biases, skill versus luck, complex adaptive systems, and valuation. In our conversation, we discuss the core principles of equity investing, unpack the evolution of intangible assets, and explore how market dynamics are influenced by index funds. You'll learn about capital allocation strategies, the shifting landscape of private equity, accounting challenges with intangibles, and how traditional investment frameworks are being redefined. Michael also provides insight into the "free dividend" fallacy, the importance of understanding the basic unit of analysis, the paradox of skill in active management, and more. Join us to learn about market and investing fundamentals to improve your strategy with Michael Mauboussin. Tune in now!   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:03:08) What the primary job of an equity investor is and the origin of stock returns. (0:05:37) Why dividends are less critical to total shareholder return unless fully reinvested. (0:08:43) Dissect the behaviour of investors in dividend stocks and the "free dividend fallacy." (0:10:01) Value versus growth classifications and how intangible assets impact valuations. (0:16:39) Learn about the potential advantages for companies investing in intangible assets. (0:20:20) How to determine a company's position in the competitive advantage life cycle. (0:24:42) The phase that offers the highest returns and what to consider about newer industries. (0:26:18) Explore the tradeoffs of intangible-intensive companies and the impact on base rates. (0:29:22) Pitfalls of valuation multiples and the implications for systematic value investors. (0:32:25) Relevance of market metrics and how index funds have affected alpha opportunities. (0:38:14) Effects of rising indexed assets and what to consider about market concentration. (0:45:01) Discover the historical link between market concentration and future returns.  (0:46:31) How active managers benefit markets and misconceptions about skilled managers.  (0:48:46) The value of active managers and advice for structuring investment portfolios. (0:52:44) Unpack the shift from public to private equities and why it happened.  (0:55:40) Insights into the benefits of private over public equities for investors.  (0:58:00) Ways intangible assets influenced the rise of private equity.  (0:59:27) What the market says about future returns and using public equity for diversification.   Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Michael Mauboussin — https://www.michaelmauboussin.com/ Michael Mauboussin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-mauboussin-12519b2/ Michael Mauboussin on X — https://x.com/mjmauboussin Columbia Business School — https://business.columbia.edu/ Morgan Stanley | Counterpoint Global — https://www.morganstanley.com/im/en-us/individual-investor/about-us/investment-teams/active-fundamental-equity/counterpoint-global-team.html The Heilbrunn Center for Graham and Dodd Investing — https://business.columbia.edu/heilbrunn Episode 332: Randolph Cohen and Michael Green — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/332   Books From Today's Episode:   The Success Equation — https://www.amazon.com/Success-Equation-Untangling-Business-Investing/dp/1422184234 More Than You Know — https://www.amazon.com/More-Than-You-Know-Unconventional/dp/0231143729 Expectations Investing — https://www.amazon.com/Expectations-Investing-Reading-Prices-Returns/dp/159139127X Think Twice — https://www.amazon.com/Think-Twice-Harnessing-Power-Counterintuition/dp/1422187381 Creating Shareholder Value — https://www.amazon.com/Creating-Shareholder-Value-Managers-Investors/dp/0684844109 Capitalism Without Capital — https://www.amazon.com/Capitalism-without-Capital-Intangible-Economy/dp/0691175039 The New Goliaths — https://www.amazon.com/New-Goliaths-Corporations-Industries-Innovation/dp/0300255047 Security Analysis — https://www.amazon.com/Security-Analysis-Foreword-Buffett-Editions/dp/0071592539 —    Papers From Today's Episode:    'The Dividend Disconnect' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2876373 'Trading Stages in the Company Life Cycle' — https://www.morganstanley.com/im/en-gb/intermediary-investor/insights/articles/trading-stages-in-the-company-life-cycle.html

Meet the Mentor with Dr. Bill Dorfman
Rajiv Shukla, Chairman of Carmell Corporation

Meet the Mentor with Dr. Bill Dorfman

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 12, 2024 21:05


Dive into the world of bio-aesthetics with Dr. Bill Dorfman and Chairman of Carmell Corporation, Rajiv Shukla Raj Shu on this episode of Meet the Mentor, Discover Carmel Corporation's innovative approach to skincare as Rajiv Shukla shares insights from his illustrious career, spanning leadership roles in major healthcare companies like Pfizer and Morgan Stanley. Explore how Carmell is revolutionizing skincare by using biological proteins instead of chemicals for a more natural rejuvenation process. ABOUT THE GUEST Rajiv Shukla is Chairman of Carmell Corporation, a revolutionary bio-aesthetics company. Over his 20+ year career, he has served as CEO of 4 public companies, and as Director on the boards of 14 companies. He has led 3 Nasdaq IPOs and multiple PIPEs that have collectively raised over $650 million in financing. He has been involved with over 45 healthcare investments and over $65 billion in M&A. Rajiv has served as Managing Director/Portfolio Manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Private Equity Director at Citi Venture Capital International and led Global M&A at Pfizer's R&D division. He graduated with a Master's in Healthcare Management from Harvard University and a Bachelors in Pharmaceutics from the Indian Institute of Technology. ABOUT THE HOST Dr. Bill Dorfman is not just a famous cosmetic and general dentist, he is THE most famous cosmetic dentist world wide. Affectionately known as “America's Dentist,” Dr. Bill is widely recognized world-wide as a leading dentist who is responsible for creating smiles for many of Hollywood's brightest stars. In fact, Dr. Dorfman has become a star in his own right as the featured dentist on the hit ABC series, “Extreme Makeover,” where he performed amazing dental transformations on the show's participants as well as a recurring guest co-host on the new Emmy Winning daytime CBS talk show, “The Doctors.” In addition, Dr. Dorfman is a world-renowned lecturer & author of the best-selling cosmetic dentistry book, The Smile Guide and the NY Times bestseller Billion Dollar Smile. The innovative & accomplished doctor is also renowned in his field as an energy-brimming inventor & brilliant entrepreneur who has brought award-winning innovations to the world of dentistry. Dr. Bill Dorfman has been interviewed extensively for numerous television shows & magazines including ABC's Good Morning America, The View, Oprah, CNN's Larry King Live, NBC's The Today Show, The Tonight Show with Jay Leno, Dr. Phil, The Rachael Ray Show, Steve Harvey Show, FABLife, The Doctors, The Tyra Banks Show, Ricki Lake Show, Entertainment Tonight, MTV's The Osbournes & Newlyweds: Nick & Jessica, The Wayne Brady Show, The Sharon Osbourne Show, Living It Up! With Ali & Jack, EXTRA, Soap Talk, Access Hollywood & E! Entertainment Television. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Wall Street Skinny
109. ETFs 101 with Brian Weinstein

The Wall Street Skinny

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 2, 2024 73:16


Send us a textYou've probably heard of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) before.  You may even own shares in some.  But do you actually know what they are?  How are they created?  How do they work?  Who maintains liquid markets in them?  Why would you invest in one in the first place?  And why has this marketplace exploded to a size of $11-12 trillion across 10,000+ funds?We are joined by longtime friend Brian Weinstein, head of global markets at MSIM, to understand the mechanics, philosophy, and inner workings of the world of ETFs.Brian Weinstein is head of Global Markets at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, overseeing counterparty management, ETFs, liquidity investment management, and the Global Markets Strategy Group, which designs and implements algorithmic portfolio management solutions. He is a member of the Morgan Stanley Investment Management Operating Committee. Previously, he was head of Fixed Income. Prior to joining Morgan Stanley in 2018, he was cofounder and chief investment officer of Blue Elephant Capital Management and before that was head of Fundamental Institutional Fixed Income at BlackRock. He has over 20 years of financial services experience. Brian has a BA in History from the University of Pennsylvania. https://www.morganstanley.com/im/en-us/individual-investor/product-and-performance/etfs.desktop.htmlTo get access to the $25 Masterclass click HEREJoin the waitlist for our flagship course on IB and PE fundamentals!https://the-wall-street-skinny.mykajabi.com/waitlist-opt-in-IBDOur content is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

The Emerging Markets Podcast by Tellimer
Overlooked emerging markets with Hasnain Malik of Tellimer and Steven Quattry of Morgan Stanley Investment Management

The Emerging Markets Podcast by Tellimer

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 11, 2024 27:08


Hasnain Malik, Emerging and Frontier Markets Strategist at Tellimer, hosts this episode of the Emerging Markets Podcast and sits down with Steven Quattry, Portfolio Manager for the NextGen Emerging Markets fund at Morgan Stanley Investment Management. Together, they take a tour through the macroeconomic recovery, policy course correction, and leap-frogging technology themes of overlooked smaller emerging markets. The Emerging Markets Podcast by ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Tellimer⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠– the single point of entry to EM research and data. Edited and produced by⁠⁠ Cira Sarker. Artwork by ⁠⁠Kristian Klamar⁠⁠. Check out the full Tellimer offering ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠here.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ The Emerging Markets Podcast dives into a range of topics in the emerging and frontier market world including investment themes, debt restructuring, elections, and geopolitical tensions. DISCLAIMER This podcast is provided for information purposes and represents the personal opinions of the speakers. It is not an offer or solicitation for investment in any securities, nor should it be regarded as investment advice. Tellimer Limited does not offer or provide personal advice and no mention of a particular security in this podcast constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell or hold that or any security, portfolio of securities, or enter any transaction or investment strategy. Nor is any such mention an indication that any investment is suitable for any specific person.

Resonanz Spotlight
Mark van der Zwan - The Evolution of Hedge Fund Investing

Resonanz Spotlight

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 6, 2024 33:42


Hedge fund investing has undergone significant changes over the past two decades, but with multi-strategy platforms now dominating, has the evolution peaked, or is another shift on the horizon? Join Vincent and Mark van der Zwan, CIO of Hedge Fund Solutions at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, as they explore the past, present, and future of hedge fund investing. With 25 years of experience, Mark shares valuable insights you won't want to miss!

Insurance AUM Journal
Episode 236: The Future of Private Credit with Ashwin Krishnan & Jeff Levin of Morgan Stanley

Insurance AUM Journal

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 22, 2024 28:04


In this episode of the InsuranceAUM.com Podcast, host Stewart Foley dives into the future of private credit with Ashwin Krishnan, Managing Director, Co-Head of North American Private Credit, and Head of Opportunistic Credit, and Jeff Levin, Managing Director, Portfolio Manager, and Head of Direct Lending, both at Morgan Stanley Investment Management. They explore the evolution of private credit and its growing relevance in today's financial landscape, particularly for insurance investors. Ashwin and Jeff discuss the parallels between the current state of private credit and the rise of private equity 25 years ago, highlighting how the asset class has moved from niche to mainstream. They emphasize the importance of flexibility in capital solutions and the ability to navigate various points across the capital structure to generate the best risk-adjusted returns.   The discussion also touches on the impact of rising interest rates on leverage ratios and how Morgan Stanley Investment Management's approach sets them apart from competitors. By leveraging the firm's vast resources and global reach, they are able to provide unique capital solutions that cater to the needs of private issuers across North America. Whether it's accessing a broader deal flow or offering value-added services like M&A advice, their platform is designed to deliver comprehensive solutions to clients. The conversation wraps up with insights into the scalability of private credit and the importance of a long-term investment perspective in this ever-evolving market.

Money Life with Chuck Jaffe
Morgan Stanley's Dunn sees value thriving amid sticky inflation, high rates

Money Life with Chuck Jaffe

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2024 64:01


Aaron Dunn, co-head of the value equity team at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, says that growth stocks are unlikely to beat value in a higher inflationary environment with higher rates, creating a nice tailwind for value, particularly because he expects inflation and high interest rates to remain sticky. He expects a synchronized rate-easing cycle across the globe, which makes him interested in taking a longer-term look at cyclical areas like energy and industrials. Christine Kieffer, senior director of investor education at FINRA discusses the agency's recent alert warning investors of support-center scams, where investors looking for help from their brokerage or mutual fund company do a search for the firm's help desk and wind up being directed to fake sites where their money and/or data is ripped off. David Trainer of New Constructs puts BILL Holdings back in the Danger Zone, reaffirming the company's status as a zombie stock and a Danger Zone pick, noting that investors should not be fooled by revenue growth that still hasn't generated profits, and Mark Travis, president of Intrepid Capital Management, talks about companies that make beer, shoes and underwear — and sell at reasonable valuations — in the Money Life Market Call.

Fear and Greed
Interview: The strategy driving this investment giant's portfolio

Fear and Greed

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 4, 2024 11:12


Everybody's heard of compound interest - but what about compounding returns on equities? Bruno Paulson, Managing Director of Morgan Stanley Investment Management's international equity team, talks to Sean about the strategy, including what he looks for in companies that might fit the bill.This is general information only. You should seek professional advice before making investment decisions.Find out more: https://fearandgreed.com.auSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Distribution by Juniper Square
Ep. 42: Demystifying the Office Market - Owen Thomas - Chairman & CEO of BXP

The Distribution by Juniper Square

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2024 64:16


Owen Thomas is the Chairman and CEO of BXP. He served as the first Chairman at Lehman from 2012 until 2013 when he joined BXP. Before Lehman, Mr. Thomas was with Morgan Stanley for 24 years serving in several different roles, business units, and locations, including Chief Executive Officer of Morgan Stanley Asia and Chairman of Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities, while living in Hong Kong from 2008 until 2011. He also held the roles of President of Morgan Stanley Investment Management and head of Morgan Stanley Real Estate and served on Morgan Stanley's Management Committee from 2005 until 2011.Links:BXP - https://www.bxp.com/Owen on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/owen-thomas-4012a640/Brandon on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/bsedloff/Juniper Square - https://www.junipersquare.com/Topics:(00:00:00) - Intro(00:01:31) - Owen's background and career(00:24:00) - Where are we today in the office market?(00:29:52) - What do WFH/WFO policy talks look like with tenants?(00:37:05) - What makes something a “premiere” asset?(00:43:43) - What is your role in the economic health of a city?(00:48:01) - What's your involvement with affordable housing? (00:50:17) - What's your take on the overall health of the innovation sector as it rebounds?(00:53:39) - How do you think about sustainability in the office environment?

The Investors First Podcast
Michael Mauboussin – Market Concentration, Buybacks & Luck vs. Skill

The Investors First Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 11, 2024 65:46


In this episode, we have the pleasure of hosting Michael Mauboussin, Michael is a highly respected figure in finance, celebrated for his deep insights into decision-making, behavioral economics, and investing. Michael is currently the Head of Consilient Research at Counterpoint Global (part of Morgan Stanley Investment Management).  He also serves as an adjunct professor of finance teaching Security Analysis at Columbia Business School (since 1993), teaching essentially the same class that Ben Graham started teaching in 1920. Michael is chairman emeritus of the board of trustees of the Santa Fe Institute, a leading center for multi-disciplinary research in complex systems theory. Mauboussin is best known for his influential books like "The Success Equation" and "Think Twice," which explore critical concepts such as the interplay of skill and luck in business and the power of counterintuitive thinking, which we will touch on in this episode.    In today's episode, we cover a wide range of topics, including the ongoing public vs. private equity discussion, luck vs. skill as skill increases, stock market concentration, buybacks, valuation and advice for aspiring investment professionals.    Today's hosts are Steve Curley, CFA (Founder, 55 North Private Wealth) & co-host Chris Cannon (CIO/Principal, FirsTrust)   Please enjoy the episode. You can follow us on Twitter & LinkedIn or at investorsfirstpodcast.com

First Look ETF
First Look ETF: Active Investing Strategies in Bonds and Midstream Energy

First Look ETF

Play Episode Listen Later May 21, 2024 21:16


In this season 4 episode of First Look ETF, Stephanie Stanton @etfguide analyzes recently launched ETFs from Regan Capital, Morgan Stanley Investment Management and Westwood ETFs.    The featured ETFs in this episode focus on active investing strategies in the equity market and  momentum/trend strategies in bitcoin. The guest lineup for this episode includes:1. Douglas Yones, ChFC, CETF, Head of Exchange Traded Products at NYSE2.Skyler Weinand, Founder, CEO and CIO, Regan Capital 3. Parag Sanghani, CFA & SVP, Senior Portfolio Manager, Westwood ETFs4. Vishal Khanduja, Co-Head of Broad Markets Fixed Income, Morgan Stanley Investment Management *********First Look ETF is sponsored by the New York Stock ExchangeLearn more at https://www.ETFCentral.comWatch us on YouTube (Link http://www.youtube.com/etfguide)Follow us on Twitter @ETFguide (Link https://twitter.com/etfguide)Visit us at ETFguide.com (https://www.etfguide.com)

The Emerging Markets Podcast by Tellimer
Hasnain Malik and Jitania Kandhari of Morgan Stanley Investment Management on a journey through the emerging market universe

The Emerging Markets Podcast by Tellimer

Play Episode Listen Later May 21, 2024 36:10


Hasnain Malik, Emerging and Frontier Markets Strategy at Tellimer, hosts this episode of the Emerging Markets Podcast and sits down with Jitania Kandhari, Head of Macro and Thematic Research for the Emerging Markets Equities at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, where she is also Co-Lead Portfolio Manager for the Passport Overseas Equity Strategy fund. Together, they journey at light speed thought the emerging market universe, from the largest EMs, China and India, to the commodity exporters like Saudi and South Africa, the Tech-centric markets of South Korea and Taiwan, and some of the smaller frontiers like Egypt. The Emerging Markets Podcast by ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Tellimer⁠ – the single point of entry to EM research and data. Edited and produced by ⁠Fabian Hodge⁠⁠⁠.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Artwork by Kristian Klamar. Check out the full Tellimer offering ⁠⁠here. The Emerging Markets Podcast dives into a range of topics in the emerging and frontier market world including investment themes, debt restructuring, elections, and geopolitical tensions. DISCLAIMER This podcast is provided for information purposes and represents the personal opinions of the speakers. It is not an offer or solicitation for investment in any securities, nor should it be regarded as investment advice. Tellimer Limited does not offer or provide personal advice and no mention of a particular security in this podcast constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell or hold that or any security, portfolio of securities, or enter any transaction or investment strategy. Nor is any such mention an indication that any investment is suitable for any specific person.

Masters in Business
At the Money: Building A Concentrated Portfolio

Masters in Business

Play Episode Listen Later May 8, 2024 12:50 Transcription Available


Are your expensive active mutual funds and ETFs actually active? Or, as is too often the case, are they only pretending to be active? Do they charge a high active fee but then behave more like an index fund? Andrew Slimmon, Managing Director at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, speaks with Barry Ritholtz about the advantages of concentrated portfolios. If you want to own active funds, then make sure they differ their benchmarks and truly are active.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Thoughts on the Market
Decarbonizing Real Estate

Thoughts on the Market

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 30, 2024 9:47


Our analysts survey the hurdles, opportunities and investment trends in energy renovation.Please note that Laurel Durkay is not a member of Morgan Stanley's Research department. Unless otherwise indicated, her views are her own and may differ from the views of the Morgan Stanley Research department and from the views of others within Morgan Stanley. We make no claim that Ms Durkay's representations are accurate or complete.----- Transcript -----Cedar Ekblom: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Cedar Ekblom, Equity Research Analyst, covering the European building and construction sector for Morgan Stanley Research.Laurel Durkay: And I'm Laurel Durkay, head of the Global Listed Real Assets Team within Morgan Stanley Investment Management.Cedar Ekblom: And on this special episode of Thoughts on the Market, we'll discuss the opportunities, risks, and latest investment trends when it comes to decarbonizing buildings.It's Tuesday, April 30th, at 2pm in London.Laurel Durkay: And 9am in New York.Cedar Ekblom: So, let's take a step back. Picture the gleaming towers of New York, London, or Hong Kong. Now think about these buildings breathing out carbon dioxide. The built environment is responsible for about a third of all global energy consumption and CO2 emissions. And so, if we want to get to Net Zero by 2050, which means emitting as much CO2 into the atmosphere as we take out of it, decarbonizing the building stock is essential.We've been doing a lot of work in Europe from the research side to try and understand how the investment trends are linked to this topic. But Laurel, I wanted to have you on the podcast because I wanted to understand how you're coming at it from the other side as a real estate investor and portfolio manager.Laurel Durkay: Yeah, Cedar, so I've seen some of your notes and I actually wasn't too surprised by your conclusion that energy renovation is seeing rising investment momentum in Europe. And this is despite the high upfront costs which are driven by government regulation, build cost inflation and higher interest rates.Cedar Ekblom: Yeah, we decided to do this work because we've had a lot of incoming from investors around what's happening from an investment perspective because we have seen a few government policy sidesteps or backtracks in the last 12 to 18 months around this topic. And so, we did some proprietary survey work in the residential, non-residential and providers of capital space. And we had some really interesting outcomes.I think the most interesting was that despite the fact that government subsidies have been dialed back a little bit, and the cost of investment has gone up because of inflation, actually private investment is really robust. And I think it's because there is a clear economic incentive that both homeowners and non-residential building owners are actually talking to.I mean, the first one is that homeowners are telling us that they see a 12 per cent increase in their home equity value if they green that property. And when we look at the non-residential space, what we're seeing is that renovation budgets are up 4 per cent year over year, even in a backdrop of higher interest rates.We see a huge runway of investment to come through on this topic. It is multi-decade. It's not going to happen overnight.You're talking about 2.8 trillion euros of investment by 2030 on our estimates, and that number extending to potentially 5 trillion euros by 2050. And that's just in Europe.Laurel Durkay: So the scope and need for investment really is huge. What do you think are the hurdles to delivering this opportunity?Cedar Ekblom: It's such an interesting question. I mean, there are so many. It's a little bit daunting at points when you think about it, but we're looking at really complicated projects. We're looking at skills bottlenecks. We're looking at upfront costs being really high. We're also looking at energy policy, not necessarily being aligned in every region in Europe.So yes, it's going to cost you a lot, but basically the respondents to the surveys tend to suggest that the benefits are actually starting to outweigh those potential costs.So, Laurel, I think that there's been some really interesting overlaps between what you and I cover, but from different angles. Let me pivot to you. How do you think about sustainability when it comes to real estate investment in your seat?Laurel Durkay: Yeah, bottom line is that understanding and incorporating sustainability and real estate investing really is very important; and we need to be aware not only of the physical risks, but also those transition risks associated with buildings. Taking a step back, what I'm observing is that real estate is seeing the sustainability focus really play out from three different constituents, and that's from investors, from regulators, and from tenants.So, from that investor perspective, we're seeing increasing demand for sustainable linked financing investing. Think green bonds. In some cases, you're actually seeing more favorable spreads for green financing versus traditional -- and ultimately that means better cash flows for companies.We also have that coming from the government. What we see is a continued evolution on regulations, and there have been several real estate specific laws being adopted across the states.All of these have the objective of providing greater transparency on carbon emissions with the ultimate goal of reducing such emissions. Now lastly, for tenants, we're seeing increasing demand for sustainable and best in class buildings.There's actually a growing body of evidence that shows sustainability is impacting leasing decisions and resulting in rent premiumsCedar Ekblom: So, how do we think about integrating ESG into your investment process?Laurel Durkay: So, there's a number of different metrics that we're looking at. We've run a proprietary analysis really trying to identify the most financially material factors. And we've ultimately concluded that the most important factors to be looking at are the absolute level of emissions and then the progress towards reducing those emissions -- water and waste usage, green certified buildings -- among a number of other factors.Ultimately, what we need to do is put together a framework that helps us assess the expenditures in order to really adhere to the regulatory requirements that I was just describing and ultimately allow the buildings to enjoy operational cost savings from implementing sustainability measures.This is really about future proofing buildings and enhancing value.Cedar Ekblom: So, it sounds like really a topic around trying to understand where they may or may not be stranded assets. We've spoken a lot about this topic in Europe, but maybe you could talk a little bit about what's happening from a sort of policy backdrop in the US.Laurel Durkay: Yeah, so government really is driving a lot of this change, both at a federal and at a state level. So, from a federal perspective, it really is more of a carrot as opposed to a stick with regard to implementation and adoption, really rewarding those who embrace sustainability. Now, interestingly, from a state perspective, it's a bit more of a stick than a carrot.Buildings not in compliance will be subject to fines and penalties. It's actually estimated that those penalties could be upwards of 1 billion annually by 2030. I should also mention that the SEC is getting really involved with the adoption of new climate related disclosure requirements.Now this isn't real estate specific, but it is impactful, nonetheless. New requirements mandate companies to disclose material Scope 1 and Scope 2 greenhouse gas emissions.Right now, less than 30 per cent of US companies even attempt to disclose Scope 3, and that's even less for real estate. Now Cedar, these scope three emissions are really where our worlds intersect most given the built environment.So, for a typical property owner, Scope 1 emissions represent about 25 per cent. Scope 2 is about 55 per cent of their missions. And then the remainder is going to be this Scope 3. But if you look at a developer and an owner, that's where you see Scope 3 emissions range between 80 to 95 per cent of their total emissions.Cedar Ekblom: So, if we look towards the future, what are you hearing from clients and colleagues about where sustainability investment trends go from here?Laurel Durkay: I think the trends have to be towards reducing these Scope 3 emissions, or maybe I just I hope that's where the trend is. You really need for building developers and owners to focus on development processes, building products and materials, and you need to see innovation within that space.Now, how about from your side, Cedar? What are you hearing from various companies you cover about the trends they foresee?Cedar Ekblom: The building materials and products businesses are really bullish on the long-term investment horizon on this topic. And we can see that in some of the data in Europe. The new build environment is under a lot of pressure. Higher interest rates have impacted affordability, and we have some activity in new build down 20 to 30 per cent.And yet when you look at the renovation and the refurbishment sector, we actually have a much more resilient backdrop.So look, our companies are really bullish on this. We ultimately see this manifesting in a higher multiple for businesses linked to this theme over the medium term. In all honesty, we're really just at the beginning of this theme. We think there's a lot of runway of investment still to come and we're keeping an eye on it.So, with that, Laurel, I'd like to say, thanks for taking the time to talk.Laurel Durkay: It was great speaking with you, Cedar.Cedar Ekblom: And as a reminder to our listeners, if you've enjoyed thoughts on the market, please take a moment to rate and review us wherever you listen to the podcast. It helps more people to find the show.

Bloomberg Surveillance
Q1 GDP and Tech Earnings

Bloomberg Surveillance

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 25, 2024 37:20 Transcription Available


Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney April 25th, 2024Featuring: Jim Caron, Co-CIO of the Portfolio Solutions Group at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, on duration and hedging an equity selloff as well as the GDP release Constance Hunter, Senior Advisor at MacroPolicy Perspectives, on US GDP, tomorrow's PCE data, and sustainable economic growth in the US John Stolzfus, Managing Director and Chief Investment Strategist at Oppenheimer, on market reactions and path for interest rate cuts by the Fed Bloomberg's Lisa Mateo with her Newspaper Headlines Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Masters in Business
At the Money: Avoid Closet Indexing

Masters in Business

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 17, 2024 16:39 Transcription Available


Are your expensive active mutual funds and ETFs actually active? Or, as is too often the case, are they only pretending to be active? Do they charge a high active fee but then behave more like an index fund? If so, you are the victim of closet indexing. Andrew Slimmon, Managing Director at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, leads the Applied Equity Advisors team and serves as Senior Portfolio Manager for all long equity strategies. He speaks with Barry Ritholtz about the best ways to avoid the funds that charge high fees but fail to provide the benefits of active management.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In Conversation with Julie Segal
Office: ‘Much of It Will Be Dirt'

In Conversation with Julie Segal

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 11, 2024 55:37


Michael Levy, CEO of Crow Holdings, says the bottom third of office buildings are redevelopment projects that are a “multi-decade problem.”In today's episode, Julie sits down in New York to talk with Michael Levy, CEO of Crow Holdings, the private real estate developer and investment firm in Dallas. After an 18-year career at Morgan Stanley, which included restructuring the firm's real estate business during the depths of the financial crisis and being COO of Morgan Stanley Investment Management, he moved to a red state and became the first outsider to lead the family business started by Trammell Crow 75 years ago. That's a notoriously tough job — for obvious reasons.Julie and Michael discussed the new reality of the office, why — when first joining Crow — Michael just listened to people for such a long time before moving their cheese, why Crow will NEVER go public, and what it means to run a company “for employees.” Employees. That was a new concept for me.There's a ton more. And it's always the details that make a story. Feel free to email me at jsegal@institutionalinvestor.com with your thoughts on this episode and any ideas.

Bloomberg Businessweek
Sam Bankman-Fried Is Sentenced to 25 Years in Prison

Bloomberg Businessweek

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 28, 2024 53:11 Transcription Available


 Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg News Legal Analyst June Grasso and Bloomberg News Financial Investigations Reporter Zeke Faux discuss FTX co-founder Sam Bankman-Fried being sentenced to 25 years in prison for stealing billions of dollars from customers. Lauren Hochfelder, Co-CEO of Real Estate Investing at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, shares her thoughts on the commercial real estate outlook. Carlyle Co-Founder David Rubenstein talks about the Baltimore bridge accident and buying the Orioles. Jennifer Huddleston, Technology Policy Research Fellow at Cato Institute, breaks down the US Justice Department suing Apple. And we Drive to the Close with Alan Zafran, Founding Partner and Co-CEO at IEQ Capital. Hosts: Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. Producer: Paul Brennan. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Bloomberg Businessweek
Congress Should Think Bigger Than TikTok Ban

Bloomberg Businessweek

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 19, 2024 34:27 Transcription Available


 Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg News Seattle Bureau Chief Anna Edgerton and Bloomberg News Technology Reporter Alex Barinka share the details of their Businessweek story Congress Should Think Bigger Than TikTok Ban, Tech Critics Say. Steven Skancke, Chief Economic Advisor at Keel Point and Bloomberg Economics US Economist Stuart Paul provide a Fed decision preview. EV Realty CEO Patrick Sullivan discusses installing strategic fleet hubs to electrify America's over-the-road transport. And we Drive to the Close with Jitania Kandhari, Deputy CIO of the Solutions and Multi-Asset Group at Morgan Stanley Investment Management. Hosts: Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. Producer: Paul Brennan. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Thoughts on the Market
Eyeing a Market of Many

Thoughts on the Market

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 23, 2024 3:08


The valuations of stocks and corporate bonds, which have been driven largely by macroeconomic factors since 2020, are finally starting to reflect companies' underlying performance. Our Head of Corporate Credit Research explains what that means for active investors.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, head of Corporate Credit Research at Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues bringing you a variety of perspectives, today I'll be talking about trends across the global investment landscape – and how we put those ideas together.It's Friday, February 23rd at 2pm in London.In theory, investing in corporate securities like stocks or corporate bonds should be about, well, the performance of those companies. But since the outbreak of COVID in 2020, financial markets have often felt driven by other, higher powers. The last several years have seen a number of big picture questions in focus: How fast could the economy recover? How much quantitative easing or quantitative tightening would we see? Would high inflation eventually moderate? And, more recently, when would central banks stop hiking rates, and start to cut.All of these are important, big picture questions. But you can see where a self-styled investor may feel a little frustrated. None of those debates, really, concerns the underlying performance of a company, and the factors that might distinguish a good operator from a bad one.If you've shared this frustration, we have some good news. While these big-picture debates may still dominate the headlines, underlying performance is starting to tell a different story. We're seeing an unusual amount of dispersion between individual equities and credits. It is becoming a market of many.We see this in so-called pairwise correlation, or the average correlation between any two stocks in an equity index. Globally, that's been unusually low relative to the last 15 years. Notably options markets are implying that this remains the case. We see this in credit, where solid overall performance has occurred along-side significant dispersion by sector, maturity, and individual issuer, especially in telecom, media and technology.We see this within equities, where my colleague Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief US Equity Strategist, notes that the S&P 500 and global stocks more broadly have decoupled from Federal Reserve rate expectations.And we see this in performance. More dispersion between stocks and credit would, in theory, create a better environment for Active Managers, who attempt to pick those winners and losers. And that's what we've seen. Per my colleagues in Morgan Stanley Investment Management, January 2024 was the best month for active management since 2007.The post-COVID period has often felt dominated by large, macro debates. But more recently, things have been changing. Individual securities are diverging from one another, and moving with unusual independence. That creates its own challenges, of course. But it also suggests a market where picking the right names can be rewarded. And we think that will be music to many investors' ears.Thanks for listening. Subscribe to Thoughts on the Market on Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen, and leave us a review. We'd love to hear from you.

Masters in Business
Andrew Slimmon on Quantitative Factors in Markets

Masters in Business

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 22, 2024 51:45 Transcription Available


Bloomberg Radio host Barry Ritholtz speaks to Andrew Slimmon, managing director at Morgan Stanley Investment Management. He is also the lead senior portfolio manager on all long equity strategies for the applied equity advisors team, as well as a member of the Morgan Stanley Wealth Management Global Investment Committee. He began his career at Morgan Stanley in 1991 as an adviser in private wealth management, and later served as chief investment officer of the Morgan Stanley Trust Co. Previously, he was an analyst and portfolio manager for Brown Brothers Harriman and a buy-side equity research analyst with ARCO Investment Management. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Bloomberg Businessweek
Learning to Adapting for Today's Rapid Pace of Change

Bloomberg Businessweek

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 21, 2024 17:58 Transcription Available


Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Laurel Durkay, Head of Global Listed Real Assets at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, discusses what's driving growth in REITs. Tabitha A. Scott, Business Futurist and Author, talks about her book Powering Change: The Hidden Resource to Unleash Potential, Productivity, and Profits.Hosts: Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. Producer: Paul Brennan.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Bloomberg Businessweek
Putin Showed Carlson Why He Invaded Ukraine

Bloomberg Businessweek

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 9, 2024 46:40 Transcription Available


Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Opinion International Affairs Columnist Marc Champion discusses Tucker Carlson's interview with Russian president Vladimir Putin. Marc also shares his thoughts on the Israel, Hamas war. H&R Block CEO Jeff Jones talks about the company's recent earnings and the start of tax season. Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at the Carson Group, shares his thoughts on the S&P flirting with 5,000. Blake West and Mike Sall Co-Founders of Heron Finance explain using blockchain technology to provide access to portfolios of private credit deals. And we Drive to the Close with Andrew Slimmon, Senior Portfolio Manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management. Hosts: Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. Producer: Paul Brennan. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Thoughts on the Market
Trends in the 2024 Credit Landscape

Thoughts on the Market

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 8, 2024 8:11


Our credit experts from Research and Investment Management give their overview of private and public credit markets, comparing their strengths and weaknesses following two years of rate hikes.----- Transcript -----Vishy Tirupattur: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I am Vishy Tirupattur, Chief Fixed Income Strategist in Morgan Stanley Research.David Miller: And I'm David Miller, Head of Global Private Credit and Equity for Morgan Stanley Investment Management.Vishy Tirupattur: And on this special edition of the podcast, we'll be taking a deep dive into the 2024 credit landscape, both from a private credit and public credit perspective.Vishy Tirupattur: So, David, you and I come at credit from two different avenues and roles. I cover credit, and other areas of fixed income, from a sell side research perspective. And you work for our investment management division, covering both private credit and private equity. Just to set the table for our listeners, maybe we could start off by you telling listeners how private credit investing differs from public credit.David Miller: Great. The main differences are: First, privately negotiated loans between lenders and borrowers. They're typically closely held versus widely distributed in public credit. The loans are typically held to maturity and those strategies are typically has that long duration, sort of look. Private credit -- really -- has three things of why their borrowers are valuing it. Certainty, that's committed capital; certainty of pricing. There's speed. There's no ratings -- fewer parties, working on deals. And then flexibility -- structures can be created to meet the needs of borrowers versus more highly standardized parts of the public credit spectrum. Lastly and importantly, you typically get an illiquidity premium in private credit for that holding to maturity and not being able to trade.Vishy Tirupattur: So, as we look forward to 2024, from your perspective, David, what would you say are some of the trends in private credit?David Miller: So private credit, broadly speaking, continues to grow -- because of bank regulations, volatility in capital markets. And it is taking some share over the past couple of years from the broadly syndicated markets. The deal structures are quite strong, with large equity contributions -- given rates have gone up and leverage has come down. Higher quality businesses typically are represented, simply as private equity is the main driver here and there tend to be selling their better businesses. And default rates remain reasonably low. Although we're clearly seeing some pressure, on interest coverage, overall. But volumes are starting to pick up and we're seeing pipelines grow into [20]24 here.Vishy Tirupattur: So obviously, it's interesting, David, that you brought up, interest rates. You know, it's a big conversation right now about the timing of the potential interest rate cuts. But then we also have to keep in mind that we have come through nearly two years of interest rate hikes. How have these 550 basis points of rate hikes impacted the private credit market?David Miller: The rate hikes have generally been positive. But there are some caveats to that. Obviously, the absolute return in the asset class has gone up significantly. So that's a strong positive, for the new deals. The flip side is -- transaction volumes have come down in the private credit market. Still okay but not at peak levels. Now older deals, right, particularly ones from 2021 when rates were very low -- you're seeing some pressure there, no doubt. The last thing I will say, what's noteworthy from the increase in rates is a much bigger demand for what I'll call capital solutions. And that's junior capital, any type of security that has pick or structure to alleviate some of that pressure. And we're quite excited about that opportunity.Vishy Tirupattur: David, what sectors and businesses do you particularly like for private credit? And conversely, what are the sectors and businesses you'd like to avoid?David Miller: Firstly, we really like recurring or re-occurring revenue businesses with stable and growing cash flows through the cycle, low capital intensity, and often in consolidating industries. That allows us to grow with our borrowers over time. You know, certain sectors we continue to like: insurance brokerage, residential services, high quality software businesses that have recurring contracts, and some parts of the healthcare spectrum that really focus on reducing costs and increasing efficiency. The flip side, cyclicals. Any type of retail, restaurants, energy, materials, that are deeply cyclical, capital intensive and have limited pricing power and high concentration of customers.So, now I get to ask some questions. So, Vishy, I'd love to turn it to you. How do returns, spreads, and yields in private credit compare to the public credit markets?Vishy Tirupattur: So, David, yields and spreads in private credit markets have been consistently higher relative to the broadly syndicated loan market for the last six or seven years -- for which we have decent data on. You know, likely reflecting, as you mentioned earlier, illiquidity premia and perhaps potentially investor perception of the underlying credit quality. The basis in yields and spreads between the two markets has narrowed somewhat over the last couple of years. Between 2014 and the first half of 2023, private credit, on average, generated higher returns and recorded less volatility relative to the broadly syndicated loan market. For example, since the third quarter of 2014, the private credit market realized negative total returns just in one quarter. And you compare that to eight quarters of negative returns on the broadly syndicated loan market.David Miller: Something we both encounter is the idea of covenants -- which simply put, are additional terms on lending agreements around cash flow, leverage, liquidity. How do covenants help investors of private credit?Vishy Tirupattur: Over the last several years, the one thing that stands out in the public credit markets -- especially in the leveraged loan market -- is the loosening of the covenant protection to lenders. Cov-Lite, which means, nearly no maintenance covenants, has effectively become the norm in the broadly syndicated loan market. This is one place that I think private credit markets really stand out. In our view, covenant quality is meaningfully better in private credit. This is mainly because given the much smaller number of lenders in typical private credit deals, private credit has demonstrably stronger loan documentation and creditor protections. Maintenance covenants are typically included. And to a great extent, these covenant breaches could act potentially as circuit breakers to better manage outcomes, you know, as credit gets weaker.David, we also hear a lot about the risk of defaults, in private credit markets. How much concern do you have around defaults?David Miller: We are watching, obviously stress on credits and the default rates overall, and they are at historically quite low levels. We do expect them to tick up over time. But there are some reasons why we clearly like private credit from that perspective. First, as mentioned, the covenant protections typically are a little better. If you look historically, depending on the data, private credit, default rates have been, somewhat lower than public leveraged credit and its been quite a resilient asset class, for a number of reasons. We like the amount of private equity dry powder that sits waiting to support some of the companies that are underperforming. And it's important to remember that private credit lenders typically have an easier time resolving some of these stresses and workouts given that they're quite bilateral or a very small group, to make decisions and reach those negotiated settlements. So overall, we feel like there will be a category of businesses that are underperforming and are in structural decline and that will default. But that number will be still very low relative to the universe of overall private credit.Vishy Tirupattur: So David, it's been great speaking with you.David Miller: Thanks for having me on the podcast, Vishy.Vishy Tirupattur: As a reminder, if you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please take a moment to rate and review us on Apple Podcasts app. It helps more people find the show.

Masters in Business
At the Money: Contrarian Investing

Masters in Business

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 3, 2024 12:09 Transcription Available


Is contrarian investing a solid strategy, or a fool's errand? In this episode, Barry Ritholtz discusses the issue with Michael J. Mauboussin. Mauboussin is Head of Consilient Research at Counterpoint Global, Morgan Stanley Investment Management. Previously, he was Director of Research at BlueMountain Capital, Head of Global Financial Strategies at Credit Suisse, and Chief Investment Strategist at Legg Mason Capital Management.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Bloomberg Surveillance
Bloomberg Surveillance: End of the Everything Rally?

Bloomberg Surveillance

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 20, 2023 36:40 Transcription Available


Michael Hirson, 22V Research Head of China Research, discusses a new NBC News report that claims Xi Jinping warned President Biden that Beijing intends to reunify Taiwan. Frances Donald, Manulife Investment Management Global Chief Economist & Strategist, says we've already entered a global easing cycle. Jim Caron, CIO, Portfolio Solutions Group, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, advises a balanced portfolio approach going into what he expects to be a 'very rocky year'. Dan Ives, Wedbush Sr. Equity Research Analyst, says Apple margins will continue to expand despite pressure from EU regulators. Aaron David Miller, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Senior Fellow, says 'huge' problems lie ahead for the US in addressing the Houthi attacks on Red Sea shipping vessels.Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Masters in Business
At the Money: Investing Skill vs. Luck

Masters in Business

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 6, 2023 12:32 Transcription Available


Is it better to be lucky or good? How much of a role does luck pay in investing? And how can you tell the difference between chance and skill? In this episode of At the Money, Barry Ritholtz discusses the issue with Michael J. Mauboussin. Mauboussin is Head of Consilient Research at Counterpoint Global, Morgan Stanley Investment Management. Previously, he was Director of Research at BlueMountain Capital, Head of Global Financial Strategies at Credit Suisse, and Chief Investment Strategist at Legg Mason Capital Management.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Ask a Matchmaker
I Survived 9/11 featuring Lolita Jackson, MBE

Ask a Matchmaker

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 28, 2023 64:48


Lolita Jackson MBE is the Executive Director of Sustainable Cities at Sustainable Development Capital LLP, a multibillion-pound climate investment firm.  She is the link to governments around the world, also working on business development and origination.  Lolita previously worked for the NYC Mayor's Office for 15 years in a variety of roles.  She last served as the Special Advisor for Climate Policy & Programs, where she was the climate diplomat for NYC and lead for the administration regarding global work on divestment and climate finance. Prior to her tenure in the NYC Mayor's Office, Lolita worked for Morgan Stanley Investment Management for 12 years as a Vice President and helped manage a $10 billion product line.    Lolita is an Adjunct Professor at Penn in the Masters in Environmental Studies Program, Senior Advisor of Penn Perry World House, a member of the British American Project U.S. Advisory Board, a Global Scot, Trustee of the Jazz Museum in Harlem, a board member of the Saint Andrew's Society of NY, a US-Japan Leadership Program Fellow, and President of the Penn Alumni Class of 1989.   She was named to the City & State Energy & Environment Power 100 list for 2022 and was named a Member of the Order of the British Empire by Queen Elizabeth II in 2021.  Lolita is a professional singer, having performed on four continents and at Carnegie Hall. She is an alumna of the Penn School of Engineering, majoring in Applied Science with a concentration in Chemical Engineering. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ri4TIroreeE https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KwBIWHJ67lM   Make sure to subscribe and sign up for notifications for fantastic dating and relationship advice brought to you by Maria Avgitidis!  

The Money Maze Podcast
120: Why Do Companies Die? Value Creation in Public Equity Markets - With Michael Mauboussin, Head of Consilient Research at Counterpoint Global, Morgan Stanley Investment Management.

The Money Maze Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 23, 2023 19:48


In his report ‘Birth, Death, and Wealth Creation', Michael Mauboussin observes and then claims that corporations are surviving longer and winning more.  This week, we welcome Michael Mauboussin, Head of Consilient Research at Counterpoint Global, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, to discuss the unique patterns of wealth creation in  public equity markets.  After explaining the similarities between ice hockey and investing, Michael discusses why corporate ‘death rate' is higher than firms' ‘birth rates. He describes why firms are increasingly choosing forgo IPOs, opting to stay private for longer.  He also covers Hendrick Bessembinder's theory of wealth destruction, the distinction between value investing and value factors, and why investors may want to look beyond the headlines when it comes to tech. Michael Mauboussin was interviewed by Simon Brewer at the Quality-Growth Investor Conference in London. The next in-person event to be held by the organizers of the conference will be Value Invest New York on December 12. Use this link and enter “MONEYMAZE_VINY” at checkout to enjoy a 40% discount on tickets (worth $600; offer valid until 30th November 2023).  The Money Maze Podcast is kindly sponsored by Schroders, Bremont Watches, IFM Investors and LiveTrade. Sign up to our Newsletter | Follow us on LinkedIn | Watch on YouTube

UBS On-Air
Fixed Income Conversation Corner with Vishal Khanduja (Morgan Stanley) and Leslie Falconio (UBS CIO)

UBS On-Air

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 25, 2023 24:03


Our conversation outlines the current landscape for fixed income investors and where to locate opportunity within the asset class. We also discuss the recent rate volatility and road ahead for monetary policy. Featured are Leslie Falconio, Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office, and Vishal Khanduja, Co-Head of Broad Markets Fixed Income, Morgan Stanley Investment Management. Host: Daniel Cassidy

The Sustainable Finance Podcast
Asset Allocation with Positive Impact Drives Performance

The Sustainable Finance Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 22, 2023 40:49


I've had the privilege to work with both of today's podcast guests as leaders of their company, the first to launch a Responsible Investment fund and still a leader in the field. Calvert Research and Management is part of Morgan Stanley Investment Management today and traces its roots to Calvert Investments, which was founded in 1976. The SFP is privileged to welcome Emily Chew and Anthony Eames to this episode and we're going back in time to begin today's conversation. Responsible Investing was first given official status as an industry concept by the UN Principles for Responsible Investment in 2006, however, Calvert's history in the field stretches back many years before that.

Private Equity Deals with Capital Allocators
[REPLAY] Greg Fleming – Building and Running Rockefeller Capital Management (Capital Allocators, EP.125)

Private Equity Deals with Capital Allocators

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 20, 2023 61:43


Greg Fleming is the founding CEO of Rockefeller Capital Management, where he took the helm of a storied family office in 2018 to build and serve other families and institutions as well. Prior to taking on this challenge, Greg was the President of Morgan Stanley Wealth Management and Morgan Stanley Investment Management and before that spent seventeen years at Merrill Lynch, culminating in serving as President and Chief Operating Officer from 2007-2009. Our conversation walks through some of Greg's career path, including highlights from the financial crisis, and the Rockefeller Capital Management business and strategy. We hit on ESG investing, serving clients, and leadership. And I couldn't help asking Greg about his relationship with Yankee great Derek Jeter. For full show notes, visit the episode webpage here. Learn More Follow Ted on Twitter at @tseides or LinkedIn Subscribe to the mailing list Access Transcript with Premium Membership

Preqin Podcasts: Responsible Alternatives
Climate investing in APAC and beyond: how private capital can deliver meaningful results

Preqin Podcasts: Responsible Alternatives

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 18, 2023 26:16


Vikram Raju, Head of Climate Private Equity Investing at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, shares his views on the opportunity set in climate investing in APAC and beyond, the potential returns investors expect, and why setting ambitious standards is vital. This a general communication, which is not impartial and all information provided has been prepared solely for informational and educational purposes and does not constitute an offer or a recommendation to buy or sell any particular security or to adopt any specific investment strategy. The views and opinions and/or analysis expressed are those of the author or the investment team as of the date of preparation of this material and are subject to change at any time without notice due to market or economic conditions and may not necessarily come to pass. Forecasts and/or estimates provided herein are subject to change and may not actually come to pass. Information regarding expected market returns and market outlooks is based on the research, analysis and opinions of the authors or the investment team.

My Climate Journey
Capital Series: Vikram Raju, Morgan Stanley

My Climate Journey

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 19, 2023 53:47


This episode is part of our new Capital Series hosted by Jason Jacobs. This series explores a diverse range of capital sources and the individuals who drive them. From family offices and institutional LPs to private equity, government funding, and more, we take a deep dive into the world of capital and its critical role in driving innovation and progress. Vikram Raju is Managing Director, Head of the 1GT Platform and Head of Climate Investing for the private credit and equity division of Morgan Stanley Investment Management.Morgan Stanley, of course, is a big player in the investing world, and seeing that they are entering climate tech and doing so at the growth equity stage is intriguing. Jason and Vikram cover a lot in this episode, including Morgan Stanley's journey to standing up this 1GT Platform and also Vikram's journey to doing the work that he does. We also discussed the energy transition generally, barriers holding it back, and changes that could unlock faster progress. In this episode, we cover: Morgan Stanley and Vikram's role within the firmMorgan Stanley's 1GT strategy for private capital in the climate spaceVikram's personal journey and professional background that lead him to his current role in climate investingMorgan Stanley's focus on CO2 emissions and how it came aboutHow the firm assesses carbon reductions and the transparency of its methodologyWhere impact assessment kicks in during the deal processSources of capital for Morgan Stanley's 1GT strategySome of the areas that Vikram spends most of his time on, including mobility, energy, circular economy and food and agricultureSome of Morgan Stanley's investments to dateOpportunities for Morgan Stanley to provide crucial capital to promising climate tech companies during a challenging investment landscapeVikram's thoughts on the gap between venture capital and project financeHis skepticism toward the regulatory landscapeThe importance of working with incumbents while also disrupting the system to make progressVikram's perspective on fossil fuels and the role of asset owners and big banks in helping steward the clean energy transitionWho Vikram wants to hear fromESG and the politicization of the wordGet connected: Jason Jacobs Twitter / LinkedInVikrum Raju LinkedInMCJ Podcast / Collective*You can also reach us via email at info@mcjcollective.com, where we encourage you to share your feedback on episodes and suggestions for future topics or guests.Episode recorded on June 28, 2023 (Published on July 19, 2023) Disclaimer from Morgan Stanley: This a general communication, which is not impartial and all information provided has been prepared solely for informational and educational purposes and does not constitute an offer or a recommendation to buy or sell any particular security or to adopt any specific investment strategy. The views and opinions and/or analysis expressed are those of the author or the investment team as of the date of preparation of this material and are subject to change at any time without notice due to market or economic conditions and may not necessarily come to pass. Forecasts and/or estimates provided herein are subject to change and may not actually come to pass. Information regarding expected market returns and market outlooks is based on the research, analysis and opinions of the authors or the investment team.

The Finimize Podcast
How To Find Resilient Companies With Strong Economic Moats With Morgan Stanley's Laura Bottega

The Finimize Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 10, 2023 33:21


On the 22nd episode of The Finimize Podcast, Eddie chats with Laura Bottega, COO and Head of Client Experience, International Equity at Morgan Stanley Investment Management.They discuss what an economic moat actually is, the characteristics of a resilient company, how resilient companies adapt to different environments, how companies' capital allocation decisions impact the resilience of earnings, which sectors are more resilient than others and much more.Enjoy the episode.Partner with us: https://business.finimize.com/Subscribe To Finimize Newsletter: https://finimize.com/

The Net Promoter System Podcast – Customer Experience Insights from Loyalty Leaders
Ep. 215: Michael Mauboussin | Adjusting Your Aim: Forecast Better to Invest Better

The Net Promoter System Podcast – Customer Experience Insights from Loyalty Leaders

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 8, 2023 28:44


How can companies get revenue forecasting and value creation right? By slowing down. Michael Mauboussin, head of Consilient Research at Counterpoint Global, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, and Rob Markey discuss the metrics and methods businesses can use to grow their long-term value. Make sure to listen to part two. ·        Get your copy of Michael's book, Expectations Investing, here. ·        Read Michael's Harvard Business Review article “The True Measures of Success” here. ·       Read more from Michael about the economics of customer business here. If you'd like to learn more about Michael, you can find him on LinkedIn. To offer feedback or share ideas about the show, please fill out our survey here. 

Bloomberg Businessweek
Nvidia Touches $1 Trillion Market Valuation

Bloomberg Businessweek

Play Episode Listen Later May 30, 2023 35:08


Bloomberg News Equities Reporter Ryan Vlastelica and Bloomberg News US Semiconductor & Networking Reporter Ian King discuss Nvidia's market valuation crossing the $1 trillion threshold on Tuesday after its artificial intelligence prospects vaulted the chipmaker into an elite club of just five American companies. Andrew Slimmon, Senior Portfolio Manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management and Yelena Shulyatyeva, Senior US Economist at BNP Paribas, break down the impact of Fed policy on the US markets and economy. Glenn J. Williams, CEO of Primerica, shares his insight on the mood of the middle-income investor. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Bloomberg News Tech and VC Reporter Priya Anand talk about Priya's Businessweek story Assault Allegations Plague a $1.4 Billion Home Eldercare Startup.Hosts: Carol Massar and Matt Miller. Producer: Paul Brennan. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Net Promoter System Podcast – Customer Experience Insights from Loyalty Leaders
Ep. 214: Michael Mauboussin | Beating Expectations: The Impact of Loyalty on Corporate Valuations

The Net Promoter System Podcast – Customer Experience Insights from Loyalty Leaders

Play Episode Listen Later May 25, 2023 19:02


Investing in customer happiness can be the surest way to high Net Promoter Scores. But how do you accomplish that while maintaining a healthy business? Michael Mauboussin, head of Consilient Research at Counterpoint Global, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, and Rob Markey discuss how expectations investing impacts valuations and business growth. The two also share insights on how companies can build a long-term investment strategy that can withstand changes in the market while attracting and retaining loyal customers. Get your copy of Michael's book, Expectations Investing, here. If you'd like to learn more about Michael, you can find him on LinkedIn. If you'd like to offer feedback or share ideas about the show, please fill out our survey here. 

Barron's Live
Stocks to Watch: Talking Markets with Morgan Stanley's Andrew Slimmon

Barron's Live

Play Episode Listen Later May 8, 2023 39:15


Barron's senior managing editor Lauren R. Rublin and deputy editor Ben Levisohn speak with Andrew Slimmon, managing director at Morgan Stanley Investment Management on outlook for financial markets, industry sectors, and individual stocks.

Capital Allocators
Aaron Sack – Branded Middle Market Investing at Morgan Stanley (Capital Allocators, EP.311)

Capital Allocators

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 27, 2023 38:23


My guest on today's sponsored insight is Aaron Sack, the head of Morgan Stanley Capital Partners, Morgan Stanley Investment Management's middle market private equity business. Our conversation covers Aaron's path to Morgan Stanly sixteen years ago, the strengths and weaknesses of investing under the umbrella of the bank, and his team's investment principles and approach across sourcing, due diligence, deal making, and operational improvements. We close discussing the current market dynamics, competitive positioning, and Aaron's favorite investment example. Show Notes: 02:41    Aaron's background 06:44    Path to private equity 08:29    Contrarian career advice 12:20    Middle market private equity 13:10    Working within a global institution 16:27    Core investment principles 18:52    Assessing quality of management teams 20:43    Due diligence for deals 22:48    Current market dynamics 24:13    Pricing and financing markets 36:55    Creating a game plan with operating partners 30:14    Favorite deal examples 33:16    Competitive positioning 35:26    Closing questions   Learn More  Follow Ted on Twitter at @tseides or LinkedIn  Subscribe to the mailing list  Access Transcript with Premium Membership 

The Finimize Podcast
The Next Big Thing In ETFs, With Anthony Rochte, Morgan Stanley's Global Head Of ETFs

The Finimize Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 21, 2023 22:52


Investors always want to know what the next big thing is going to be. On the 14th episode of The Finimize Podcast, Eddie chats with a luminary in the ETF industry, Anthony Rochte. He's got over 20 years of experience in the field, originally working on the iShares business at Barclays, before eventually moving to Morgan Stanley Investment Management, where he leads the ETF business. Rochte talks about Morgan Stanley's new ETF platform and products, the rising importance of actively managed ETFs, and what's next for the industry.Partner with us: https://business.finimize.com/Subscribe To Finimize Newsletter: https://finimize.com/

The Tim Ferriss Show
#659: Michael Mauboussin — How Great Investors Make Decisions, Harnessing The Wisdom (vs. Madness) of Crowds, Lessons from Race Horses, and More

The Tim Ferriss Show

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 3, 2023 123:33


Brought to you by Athletic Greens's AG1 all-in-one nutritional supplement, House of Macadamias delicious and nutritious nuts, and Shopify global commerce platform providing tools to start, grow, market, and manage a retail business. Michael Mauboussin (@mjmauboussin) is Head of Consilient Research on Counterpoint Global at Morgan Stanley Investment Management.Prior to joining Counterpoint Global, Michael was Director of Research at BlueMountain Capital, Head of Global Financial Strategies at Credit Suisse, and Chief Investment Strategist at Legg Mason Capital Management. Michael originally joined Credit Suisse in 1992 as a packaged food industry analyst and was named Chief U.S. Investment Strategist in 1999.Michael is the author of The Success Equation: Untangling Skill and Luck in Business, Sports, and Investing, Think Twice: Harnessing the Power of Counterintuition, and More Than You Know: Finding Financial Wisdom in Unconventional Places. More Than You Know was named one of "The 100 Best Business Books of All Time" by 800-CEO-READ, one of the best business books by BusinessWeek (2006), and best economics book by Strategy+Business (2006). Michael is also co-author, with Alfred Rappaport, of Expectations Investing: Reading Stock Prices for Better Returns. Michael has been an adjunct professor of finance at Columbia Business School since 1993 and is on the faculty of the Heilbrunn Center for Graham and Dodd Investing. He received the Dean's Award for Teaching Excellence in 2009 and 2016 and the Graham & Dodd, Murray, Greenwald Prize for Value Investing in 2021.Michael earned an A.B. from Georgetown University. He is chairman emeritus of the board of trustees of the Santa Fe Institute, a leading center for multidisciplinary research in complex systems theory.Please enjoy!This episode is brought to you by Shopify! Shopify is one of my favorite platforms and one of my favorite companies. Shopify is designed for anyone to sell anywhere, giving entrepreneurs the resources once reserved for big business. In no time flat, you can have a great-looking online store that brings your ideas to life, and you can have the tools to manage your day-to-day and drive sales. No coding or design experience required.Go to shopify.com/Tim to sign up for a one-dollar-per-month trial period. It's a great deal for a great service, so I encourage you to check it out. Take your business to the next level today by visiting shopify.com/Tim.*This episode is also brought to you by House of Macadamias delicious and nutritious nuts! I love macadamia nuts and have been enjoying them often since keto expert Dr. Dominic D'Agostino recommended them on the podcast in 2015. They taste great, and with more healthy, monounsaturated fat than both olive oil and avocados, 27% fewer carbs than almonds, and more than 50% fewer carbs than cashews, they're the perfect low-carb, keto-friendly, nutty snack. In fact, I just ate a handful of lightly white-chocolate-covered macadamias about an hour ago to keep me going through the afternoon until dinner. And I will say this: ​House of Macadamias produces the best-tasting macadamia nuts I've ever eaten… by far.Listeners of The Tim Ferriss Show can use code TIM20 to get 20% off all orders, plus, for a limited time, a free, premium, extra-virgin, cold-pressed macadamia oil with any order, valued at $20. Visit HouseOfMacadamias.com/Tim to discover some of the most delicious and nutritious nuts on the planet.*This episode is also brought to you by Athletic Greens. I get asked all the time, “If you could use only one supplement, what would it be?” My answer is usually AG1 by Athletic Greens, my all-in-one nutritional insurance. I recommended it in The 4-Hour Body in 2010 and did not get paid to do so. I do my best with nutrient-dense meals, of course, but AG further covers my bases with vitamins, minerals, and whole-food-sourced micronutrients that support gut health and the immune system. Right now, Athletic Greens is offering you their Vitamin D Liquid Formula free with your first subscription purchase—a vital nutrient for a strong immune system and strong bones. Visit AthleticGreens.com/Tim to claim this special offer today and receive the free Vitamin D Liquid Formula (and 5 free travel packs) with your first subscription purchase! That's up to a one-year supply of Vitamin D as added value when you try their delicious and comprehensive all-in-one daily greens product.*[07:12] Latin roots.[09:14] No business education? No problem![12:15] The best food industry analyst.[15:36] Consilience.[19:58] Complex adaptive systems.[23:26] Diversity.[26:23] The wisdom of crowds.[32:42] The minimum effective dose of cognitive diversity.[36:02] Designing experiments.[43:49] Against the Gods and Complexity.[49:56] Value investing and the Santa Fe Institute.[53:57] A brief 21st-century asset class tour.[57:47] Base rates and horses.[1:06:16] Good vs. great investors.[1:13:22] Expanding options when making decisions.[1:18:56] Favorite failures.[1:20:35] Counteracting overreliance on experts.[1:24:34] Intuition.[1:34:15] Time management tenets.[1:40:59] Parental resources.[1:43:42] Perspectives gained by learning about complex adaptive systems.[1:46:12] Recommended reading.[1:47:32] Michael's billboard.[1:50:33] Parting thoughts.*For show notes and past guests on The Tim Ferriss Show, please visit tim.blog/podcast.For deals from sponsors of The Tim Ferriss Show, please visit tim.blog/podcast-sponsorsSign up for Tim's email newsletter (5-Bullet Friday) at tim.blog/friday.For transcripts of episodes, go to tim.blog/transcripts.Discover Tim's books: tim.blog/books.Follow Tim:Twitter: twitter.com/tferriss Instagram: instagram.com/timferrissYouTube: youtube.com/timferrissFacebook: facebook.com/timferriss LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/timferrissPast guests on The Tim Ferriss Show include Jerry Seinfeld, Hugh Jackman, Dr. Jane Goodall, LeBron James, Kevin Hart, Doris Kearns Goodwin, Jamie Foxx, Matthew McConaughey, Esther Perel, Elizabeth Gilbert, Terry Crews, Sia, Yuval Noah Harari, Malcolm Gladwell, Madeleine Albright, Cheryl Strayed, Jim Collins, Mary Karr, Maria Popova, Sam Harris, Michael Phelps, Bob Iger, Edward Norton, Arnold Schwarzenegger, Neil Strauss, Ken Burns, Maria Sharapova, Marc Andreessen, Neil Gaiman, Neil de Grasse Tyson, Jocko Willink, Daniel Ek, Kelly Slater, Dr. Peter Attia, Seth Godin, Howard Marks, Dr. Brené Brown, Eric Schmidt, Michael Lewis, Joe Gebbia, Michael Pollan, Dr. Jordan Peterson, Vince Vaughn, Brian Koppelman, Ramit Sethi, Dax Shepard, Tony Robbins, Jim Dethmer, Dan Harris, Ray Dalio, Naval Ravikant, Vitalik Buterin, Elizabeth Lesser, Amanda Palmer, Katie Haun, Sir Richard Branson, Chuck Palahniuk, Arianna Huffington, Reid Hoffman, Bill Burr, Whitney Cummings, Rick Rubin, Dr. Vivek Murthy, Darren Aronofsky, Margaret Atwood, Mark Zuckerberg, Peter Thiel, Dr. Gabor Maté, Anne Lamott, Sarah Silverman, Dr. Andrew Huberman, and many more.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

director time head power business house lessons sports wisdom research diversity entrepreneurship investing startups madness gods lebron james productivity intuition latin expanding perspectives complex designing base mark zuckerberg luck tony robbins arnold schwarzenegger harnessing kevin hart complexity shopify recommended georgetown university jordan peterson richard branson parental vitamin d matthew mcconaughey hugh jackman crowds jamie foxx tim ferriss seth godin neil gaiman jerry seinfeld bren brown malcolm gladwell sia bill burr credit suisse neil degrasse tyson peter thiel parting bob iger businessweek margaret atwood sam harris ray dalio elizabeth gilbert michael phelps terry crews vince vaughn jocko willink make decisions jane goodall edward norton yuval noah harari ken burns darren aronofsky columbia business school dodd jim collins rick rubin arianna huffington sarah silverman michael lewis athletic greens esther perel michael pollan andrew huberman gabor mat reid hoffman eric schmidt value investing dax shepard naval ravikant ramit sethi marc andreessen whitney cummings dan harris anne lamott peter attia lifestyle design cheryl strayed vitalik buterin chuck palahniuk vivek murthy amanda palmer racehorses madeleine albright kelly slater maria sharapova howard marks daniel ek chief investment strategist tim ferriss show teaching excellence best business books neil strauss doris kearns goodwin santa fe institute timothy ferriss brian koppelman hour body counteracting investment strategist maria popova mary karr elizabeth lesser strategy business joe gebbia jim dethmer tools of titans consilience michael mauboussin chief u morgan stanley investment management great investors more than you know katie haun macadamias counterpoint global unconventional places discover tim global financial strategies counterintuition heilbrunn center timferrissfacebook longform interviews
What Goes Up
(Mis)interpreting the Fed

What Goes Up

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 3, 2023 47:11


Morgan Stanley's Jim Caron joined the What Goes Up podcast to dissect this week's US Federal Reserve meeting and analyze how markets may have misinterpreted the message being sent by Chair Jerome Powell.“This is a guy who's worried about inflation; this is somebody who's not done tightening by any stretch of the imagination,” said Caron, the co-chief investment officer of Global Balanced Funds at Morgan Stanley Investment Management. But Powell's comments triggered rallies in stocks and bonds amid speculation that the central bank was getting more dovish. “This is one of the risks that I think that we have coming up over the next few weeks,” Caron said. “That if the intended market reaction doesn't match what the intended statement was supposed to convey, then, as is typical, there's going to be some walking back of this.”See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

First Move with Julia Chatterley
Featured interview: Morgan Stanley Sr. Portfolio Mgr. Andrew Slimmon

First Move with Julia Chatterley

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 25, 2023 36:50


Earnings angst is weighing on Wall Street after disappointing results from the likes of Boeing and Microsoft. Growth concerns and forward earnings guidance are sure to be key drivers of market sentiment in the days ahead. Joining the show to discuss is Andrew Slimmon, senior portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management.  Also on today's show: Former Ukraine Defense Minister Andrii Zahorodniuk, now an adviser to the Zelensky government. To learn more about how CNN protects listener privacy, visit cnn.com/privacy

Closing Bell
Stocks Skyrocket, Treasurys Tumble & Inflation Peaking? 11/10/22

Closing Bell

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 10, 2022 56:40


Stocks staging the biggest rally in more than two years after the October Consumer Price Index came in weaker than expected, sparking hopes that inflation may be peaking. National Economic Council Director Brian Deese discusses whether inflation is finally cooling and the economy is heading for a soft landing. Neuberger Berman's Holly Newman Kroft reveals whether she is advising clients to pivot their portfolios to account for what could be a game changing inflation report. Morgan Stanley Investment Management's Chief Fixed Income Strategist Jim Caron on plunging treasury yields and how bond investors should be reacting to the CPI report. Blockchain.com CEO Peter Smith discusses the collapse of crypto exchange FTX and whether it is destroying investor trust in cryptocurrencies. And Lazard CEO of Financial Advisory Peter Orszag weighs in on the outcome of the midterm election and how it could impact both the market and the debt ceiling.

Motley Fool Money
Expectations Investing with Michael Mauboussin

Motley Fool Money

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 3, 2022 25:53


Michael Mauboussin is an adjunct professor of finance at the Columbia Business School and the Head of Consilient Research at Counterpoint Global, Morgan Stanley Investment Management. Bill Mann interviewed Mauboussin in front of a live audience about a range of investing topics, including: - The approach of "expectations investing" and how to apply it - Why a company's base case for growth is so important - Peloton's faulty growth predictions - Businesses with real option value   Companies mentioned: SBUX, PTON, AMZN, GOOG, GOOGL, WMT, TGT   Host: Bill Mann Guest: Michael Mauboussin Producer: Ricky Mulvey Engineers: Tim Sparks

The Meb Faber Show
Michael Mauboussin, Counterpoint Global – Everything Is a DCF Model (The Best Investment Writing Volume 6)

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 5, 2022 28:31


Today's episode features Michael Mauboussin reading his piece, Everything Is a DCF Model. Michael is Head of Consilient Research on Counterpoint Global at Morgan Stanley Investment Management. He joined Morgan Stanley in 2020 and has 33 years of investment experience. The Best Investment Writing series features top research pieces that we've shared via The Idea Farm in the past year. Subscribe here so you get these sent to you each week. Check out the past series of The Best Investment Writing below: Volume 5 Volume 4 Volume 3 Volume 2 Volume 1 ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Today's episode is sponsored by Stream by AlphaSense. Stream is an expert transcript library used by people just like you to quickly perform preliminary diligence on new ideas related to their target companies in the tech, media, telecom, healthcare, consumer and industrial sectors; avoiding the time, hassle, and cost of traditional expert network calls.  With over 15,000 on-demand expert call interviews, 100+ new transcripts added each day, AI smart search technology, and 70% of our experts unique to our network, it's no wonder the world's leading financial firms choose Stream. Sponsor dollars for the entire Best Investment Writing series are being donated to the charity of the guest's choice. Today's sponsor dollars are being donated to the Santa Fe Institute on behalf of Michael Mauboussin. ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! 

Masters in Business
Michael Mauboussin on How to Read Stock Prices (Podcast)

Masters in Business

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 17, 2021 95:48


Bloomberg Opinion columnist Barry Ritholtz speaks with Michael Mauboussin, who is head of consilient research at Morgan Stanley Investment Management's Counterpoint Global and co-author of the recently revised and updated book "Expectations Investing: Reading Stock Prices for Better Returns." Mauboussin joined Morgan Stanley in 2020 and has more than three decades of experience. He previously served as director of research at BlueMountain Capital Management, head of global financial strategies at Credit Suisse, and chief investment strategist at Legg Mason Capital Management. He is also an adjunct professor of finance at Columbia Business School and chairman of the board of trustees at the Santa Fe Institute.  Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com