Podcasts about markets

Jim McTague notes steady but quiet business activity in Lancaster, describes local approval for a new data center, and reports on overlooked global cod shortages affecting seafood markets.1910 SCRANTON

Feb 6, 2026 – Chris Puplava, Chief Investment Officer at Financial Sense Wealth Management, analyzes the recent tech sector sell-off, the disruptive impact of AI advancements like Claude Legal, and the broader market implications for investors...

Feb 6, 2026 – Jim Puplava and Asbury Research's John Kosar break down the evolving stock market landscape—from the Dow's record highs and sector shifts to the underperformance of Big Tech. Kosar reveals how market internals, like the drop...

Crypto News: Bitcoin and altcoins see a small price recovery after the massive selloff this week. Ripple outlines institutional DeFi blueprint for XRPL with compliance-focused infrastructure positioning XRP as settlement and bridge asset. XRP DeFi opens to institutions as Hex Trust adds custodial FXRP access.Brought to you by

Episode 116 - Markets, Money and Moves to Make with Al Caicedo, the President and Owner of CKS Summit Group and a trusted financial educator and industry expert who serves clients nationwide.Disclaimer: Please note that all information and content on the UK Health Radio Network, all its radio broadcasts and podcasts are provided by the authors, producers, presenters and companies themselves and is only intended as additional information to your general knowledge. As a service to our listeners/readers our programs/content are for general information and entertainment only.  The UK Health Radio Network does not recommend, endorse, or object to the views, products or topics expressed or discussed by show hosts or their guests, authors and interviewees.  We suggest you always consult with your own professional – personal, medical, financial or legal advisor. So please do not delay or disregard any professional – personal, medical, financial or legal advice received due to something you have heard or read on the UK Health Radio Network.

Permanent stagflation is no longer a theory — it's here. I'm joined today by legendary investor economist Peter Schiff to break down why every major Trump-backed economic policy is inflationary, debt-driven, designed to subsidize affordability, and accelerating the collapse of jobs, markets, and the U.S. dollar. He explains why a weak dollar destroys American purchasing power, why tariffs are backfiring on manufacturers, and why the recent correction in gold and silver was likely a coordinated attack. Separately, I discuss Florida's effort to expose toxins in food and how Trump continues to miss opportunities on immigration, sanctuary cities, and the courts.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Our Global Head of Fixed Income Research Andrew Sheets and Global Chief Economist Seth Carpenter unpack the inner workings of the Federal Reserve to illustrate the challenges that Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh may face.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript ----- Andrew Sheets: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Global Head of Fixed Income Research at Morgan Stanley. Seth Carpenter: And I'm Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley's Global Chief Economist and Head of Macro Research. Andrew Sheets: And today on the podcast, a further discussion of a new Fed chair and the challenges they may face. It's Friday, February 6th at 1 pm in New York. Seth, it's great to be here talking with you, and I really want to continue a conversation that listeners have been hearing on this podcast over this week about a new nominee to chair the Federal Reserve: Kevin Warsh. And you are the perfect person to talk about this, not just because you lead our economic research and our macro research, but you've also worked at the Fed. You've seen the inner workings of this organization and what a new Fed chair is going to have to deal with. So, maybe just for some broad framing, when you saw this announcement come out, what were some of the first things to go through your mind? Seth Carpenter: I will say first and foremost, Kevin Warsh's name was one of the names that had regularly come up when the White House was providing names of people they were considering in lots of news cycles. So, I think the first thing that's critically important from my perspective, is – not a shock, right? Sort of a known quantity. Second, when we think about these really important positions, there's a whole range of possible outcomes. And I would've said that of the four names that were in the final set of four that we kept hearing about in the news a lot. You know, some differences here and there across them, but none of them was substantially outside of what I would think of as mainstream sort of thinking. Nothing excessively unorthodox at all like that. So, in that regard as well, I think it should keep anybody from jumping to any big conclusions that there's a huge change that's imminent. I think the other thing that's really important is the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve really is made by a committee. The Federal Open Market Committee and committee matters in these cases. The Fed has been under lots of scrutiny, under lots of pressure, depending on how you want to put it. And so, as a result, there's a lot of discussion within the institution about their independence, making sure they stick very scrupulously to their congressionally given mandate of stable prices, full employment. And so, what does that mean in practice? That means in practice, to get a substantially different outcome from what the committee would've done otherwise… So, the market is pricing; what's the market pricing for the funds rate at the end of this year? About 3.2 percent. Andrew Sheets: Something like that. Yeah. Seth Carpenter: Yeah. So that's a reasonable forecast. It's not too far away from our house view. For us to end up with a policy rate that's substantially away from that – call it 1 percentage, 2 percentage points away from that. I just don't see that as likely to happen. Because the committee can be led, can be swayed by the chair, but not to the tune of 1 or 2 percentage points. And so, I think for all those reasons, there wasn't that much surprise and there wasn't, for me, a big reason to fully reevaluate where we think the Fed's going. Andrew Sheets: So let me actually dig into that a little bit more because I know our listeners tune in every day to hear a lot about government meetings. But this is a case where that really matters because I think there can sometimes be a misperception around the power of this position. And it's both one of the most public important positions in the world of finance. And yet, as you mentioned, it is overseeing a committee where the majority matters. And so, can you take us just a little bit inside those discussions? I mean, how does the Fed Chair interact with their colleagues? How do they try to convince them and persuade them to take a particular course of action? Seth Carpenter: Great question. And you're right, I sort of spent a bunch of time there at the Fed. I started when Greenspan was chair. I worked under the Bernanke Fed. And of course, for the end of that, Janet Yellen was the vice chair. So, I've worked with her. Jay Powell was on the committee the whole time. So, the cast of characters quite familiar and the process is important. So, I would say a few things. The chair convenes the meetings; the chair creates the agenda for the meeting. The chair directs the staff on what the policy documents are that the committee is going to get. So, there's a huge amount of influence, let's say, there. But in order to actually get a specific outcome, there really is a vote. And we only have to look back a couple weeks to the last FOMC meeting when there were two dissents against the policy decision. So, dissents are not super common. They don't happen at every single meeting, but they're not unheard of by any stretch of the imagination either. And if we go back over the past few years, lots going on with inflation and how the economy was going was uncertain. Chair Powell took some dissents. If we go back to the financial crisis Chair Bernanke took a bunch of dissents. If we go back even further through time, Paul Volcker, when he was there trying to staunch the flow of the high inflation of the 1970s, faced a lot of resistance within his committee. And reportedly threatened to quit if he couldn't get his way. And had to be very aggressive in trying to bring the committee along. So, the chair has to find a way to bring the committee along with the plan that the chair wants to execute. Lots of tools at their disposal, but not endless power or influence. Does that make sense? Andrew Sheets: That makes complete sense. So, maybe my final question, Seth, is this is a tough job. This is a tough job in… Seth Carpenter: You mean your job and my job, or… Andrew Sheets: [Laughs] Not at all. The chair of the Fed. And it seems especially tricky now. You know, inflation is above the Fed's target. Interest rates are still elevated. You know, certainly mortgage rates are still higher than a lot of Americans are used to over the last several years. And asset prices are high. You know, the valuation of the equity market is high. The level of credit spreads is tight. So, you could say, well, financial conditions are already quite easy, which can create some complications. I am sure Kevin Warsh is receiving lots of advice from lots of different angles. But, you know, if you think about what you've seen from the Fed over the years, what would be your advice to a new Fed chair – and to navigate some of these challenges? Seth Carpenter: I think first and foremost, you are absolutely right. This is a tough job in the best of times, and we are in some of the most difficult and difficult to understand macroeconomic times right now. So, you noted interest rates being high, mortgage rates being high. There's very much an eye of the beholder phenomenon going on here. Now you're younger than I am. The first mortgage I had. It was eight and a half percent. Andrew Sheets: Hmm. Seth Carpenter: I bought a house in 2000 or something like that. So, by those standards, mortgage rates are actually quite low. So, it really comes down to a little bit of what you're used to. And I think that fact translates into lots of other places. So, inflation is now much higher than the committee's target. Call it 3 percent inflation instead core inflation on PCE, rather than 2 percent inflation target. Now, on the one hand that's clearly missing their target and the Fed has been missing their target for years. And we know that tariffs are pushing up inflation, at least for consumer goods. And Chair Powell and this committee have said they get that. They think that inflation will be temporary, and so they're going to look through that inflation. So again, there's a lot of judgment going on here. The labor market is quite weak. Andrew Sheets: Hmm. Seth Carpenter: We don't have the latest months worth of job market data because of the government shutdown; that'll be delayed by a few days. But we know that at the end of last year, non-farm payrolls were running well below 50,000. Under most circumstances, you would say that is a clear indication of a super weak economy. But! But if we look at aggregate spending data, GDP, private-domestic final purchases, consumer spending, CapEx spending. It's actually pretty solid right now. And so again, that sense of judgment; what's the signal you're going to look for? That's very, very difficult right now, and that's part of what the chair is going to have to do to try to bring the committee together, in order to come to a decision. So, one intellectually coherent argument is – the main way you could get strong aggregate demand, strong spending numbers, strong GDP numbers, but with pretty tepid labor force growth is if productivity is running higher and if productivity is going higher because of AI, for example, over time you could easily expect that to be disinflationary. And if it's disinflationary, then you can cut it. Interest rates now. Not worry as much as you would normally about high inflation. And so, the result could be a lower path for policy rates. So that's one version of the argument that I suspect you're going to hear. On the other hand, inflation is high and it's been high for years. So what does that mean? Well. History suggests that if inflation stays too high for too long, inflation psychology starts to change the way businesses start to set. Andrew Sheets: Mm-hmm. Seth Carpenter: Their own prices can get a little bit loosey-goosey. They might not have to worry as much about consumers being as picky because everybody's got used to these price changes. Consumers might be become less picky because, well, they're kind of sick of shopping around. They might be more willing to accept those higher prices, and that's how things snowball. So, I do think that the new chair is going to face a particularly difficult situation in leading a committee in particularly challenging times. But I've gone on for a long, long time there. And one of the things that I love about getting to talk to you, Andrew, is the fact that you also talked to lots of investors all around the world. You're based in London. And so when the topic of the new Fed chair comes up, what are the questions that you're getting from clients? Andrew Sheets: So, I think that there are a few questions that stand out. I mean, I think a dominant question among investors was around the stability of the U.S. dollar. And so, you could say a good development on the back of Kevin Warsh's nomination is that the market response to that has been the price action you would associate with more stability. You've seen the dollar rise; you've seen precious metals prices fall. You've seen equity markets and credit spreads be very stable. So, I think so far everything in the market reaction is to your; to the point that you raised, you know, consistent with this still being orthodox policy. Every Fed chair is different, but still more similar than different now. I think where it gets more divergent in client opinions is just – what are we going to see from the Fed? Are we going to see a real big change in policy? And I think that this is where there are very different views of Kevin Warsh from investors. Some who say, ‘Well, he's in the past talked about fighting inflation more aggressively, which would imply tighter policy.' And he's also talked more recently about the productivity gains from AI and how that might support lower interest rates. So, I think that there's going to be a lot of interest when he starts to speak publicly, when we see testimony in front of the Senate. I think the other, the final piece, which I think again, people do not have as fully formed an opinion on yet is – how does he lead the Fed if the data is unexpected? And you know, you mentioned inflation and, you know, Morgan Stanley has this forecast that: Well, owner's equivalent rent, a really key part of inflation, might be a little bit higher than expected, which might be a distortion coming off of the government shutdown and impacts on data. But there's some real uncertainty about the inflation path over the near term. And so, in short, I think investors are going to give the benefit of the doubt. For now, I think they're going to lean more into this idea that it will be generally consistent with the Fed easing policy over time, for now. Generally consistent with a steeper curve for now. But I think there's a lot we're going to find out over the next couple of weeks and months. Seth Carpenter: Yeah. No, I agree with you. Andrew, I have to say, I'm glad you're here in New York. It's always great to sit down and talk to you. Let's do it again before too long. Andrew Sheets: Absolutely, Seth. Thanks for taking the time to talk. And to our audience, thank you as always for your time. If you find Thoughts the Market useful, let us know by leaving a review wherever you listen. And also tell a friend or colleague about us today.

Thank you to our sponsor! Fuse Bitcoin's collapse is accelerating. Continuing a descent that began last week, the asset this week has all the price progress made under the Trump administration. The price action begs the question why amid greater adoption and support. In this episode of Unchained, FalconX Head of Markets Joshua Lim highlights two main reasons for Bitcoin's regression and offers his outlook for the year. Is it 2022 all over? Plus, how gold's run resembles GameStop in 2021 and why Hyperliquid is a bright spot amid market weakness. Guest: Joshua Lim, Head of Markets, FalconX Links: Bitcoin Sinks as Markets Price In a More Hawkish Fed Has Bitcoin Failed to Live Up to the Digital Gold Narrative? Why HYPE Is Up While Every Other Crypto, Including Bitcoin, Is Down Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Moving Wall Street on-chain with Ondo Finance President Ian De Bode. Ondo Finance President Ian De Bode joins Jennifer Sanasie and Andy Baehr on CoinDesk Live at the Ondo Summit to discuss the firm's ascent to more than $2 billion in TVL and its roadmap for 2026. De Bode explains how Ondo is moving beyond simple asset issuance to build a comprehensive on-chain prime brokerage. A key pillar of this strategy is the launch of Ondo Perps, a platform that allows users to trade perpetual futures on equities and commodities using their tokenized spot assets as collateral. By bridging the gap between TradFi and DeFi, Ondo is turning crypto wallets into a place where global investors can access, hedge, and leverage 200+ tokenized stocks and ETFs 24/7. - Timecodes: 01:07 - Ondo Finance 2025 Milestones and Looking Ahead02:28 - The "Land Grab" in Tokenization04:10 - Solving the Retail Demand for 24/7 Stocks06:15 - Why Ondo Perps Is the Big Play for 202607:58 - Will Investors Still Use Centralized Exchanges and Perps? - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie and Andy Baehr.

Widespread financial meltdown continued again today, slamming crypto, silver, and private credit particularly hard. After what appeared to be an early morning rally, it didn't last as a range of more-than-disappointing labor data came flooding to the tape. The narrative of a 2026 pick up is not being picked up anywhere other than mainstream Economists.Eurodollar University Money and Macro Analysis

Feb 6, 2026 – What just happened to silver? After a historic crash wiped out billions, is the bull market already over? In this critical interview, Jim Puplava sits down with The Morgan Report's Dave Morgan to dissect the violent sell-off and its stunning aftermath....

Feb 3, 2026 – Are the tides turning for tech and global markets? FS Insider's Cris Sheridan and Sevens Report founder Tom Essaye dive into 2026's major market rotations, from the shifting fortunes of big tech and AI to the explosive...

Gold is pulling back. Silver is getting smacked. Tech stocks feel heavy, crypto feels frozen, and investors everywhere are asking the same question: If things are so uncertain, why aren't the “safe” assets working? This week, Pete breaks down the psychology of a cranky market — one that isn't panicking or crashing, but is deeply skeptical and increasingly impatient. We'll explain why gold can fall even when people are uneasy, why silver drops harder when growth expectations soften, and how rising real yields, industrial demand, and investor fatigue all collide at the same time. This isn't fear-driven selling. It's narrative exhaustion. And understanding the difference matters for how you invest, rebalance, and stay disciplined when markets stop being exciting. If you're feeling uneasy, bored, or quietly annoyed by your portfolio right now, this episode is for you.

Crypto News: Bitcoin had a major crash today going below $60K as the crypto bear market ramps up. Brought to you by

Moving Wall Street on-chain with Ondo Finance President Ian De Bode. Ondo Finance President Ian De Bode joins Jennifer Sanasie and Andy Baehr on CoinDesk Live at the Ondo Summit to discuss the firm's ascent to more than $2 billion in TVL and its roadmap for 2026. De Bode explains how Ondo is moving beyond simple asset issuance to build a comprehensive on-chain prime brokerage. A key pillar of this strategy is the launch of Ondo Perps, a platform that allows users to trade perpetual futures on equities and commodities using their tokenized spot assets as collateral. By bridging the gap between TradFi and DeFi, Ondo is turning crypto wallets into a place where global investors can access, hedge, and leverage 200+ tokenized stocks and ETFs 24/7. - Timecodes: 01:07 - Ondo Finance 2025 Milestones and Looking Ahead02:28 - The "Land Grab" in Tokenization04:10 - Solving the Retail Demand for 24/7 Stocks06:15 - Why Ondo Perps Is the Big Play for 202607:58 - Will Investors Still Use Centralized Exchanges and Perps? - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie and Andy Baehr.

In this episode, Liz Ann Sonders and Kathy Jones discuss the market's reaction to Kevin Warsh's nomination for Fed Chair, the potential rationale for lowering interest rates, and the drivers behind recent volatility in precious metals, while highlighting a broadening in market leadership thanks to more widespread earnings strength.Then, Liz Ann is joined by Dennis DeBusschere, President and chief market strategist of 22V Research. They discuss the implications of the declining dollar, the impact of AI on productivity, factor-based investing trends, monetary policy, some potential risks and opportunities in the market, and much more. On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThe comments, views, and opinions expressed in the presentation are those of the speakers and do not necessarily represent the views of Charles Schwab.This material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.Technical analysis is not recommended as a sole means of investment research.Futures and futures options trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Please read the Risk Disclosure Statement for Futures and Options [LINK Risk Disclosure Statement for Futures and Options: https://www.schwab.com/Futures_RiskDisclosure] prior to trading futures products.Options carry a high level of risk and are not suitable for all investors. Certain requirements must be met to trade options through Schwab. Please read the Options Disclosure Document titled "Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options" before considering any option transaction.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.Diversification strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Currency trading is speculative, very volatile and not suitable for all investors.The policy analysis provided by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions(0226-7UE0) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

In this February 6 episode of the RattlerGator Report, JB White opens with personal reflections and a wide-ranging meditation on faith, perseverance, and the moment America finds itself in. He addresses recent volatility in Bitcoin and financial markets, framing it within a broader discussion about discipline, long-term conviction, and what it means to “hold the line” during turbulent times. The episode weaves together commentary on spiritual grounding, cultural decay, and the internal battles facing the nation, alongside observations on leadership, courage, and historical perspective. JB also highlights influential voices and writings that underscore the idea that today's struggles are not accidental, but part of a much larger conflict playing out across institutions, culture, and belief systems. This episode blends market commentary, philosophy, and patriotism into a single, reflective broadcast that challenges listeners to stay focused, faithful, and resilient in uncertain times.

Markets react to AI-driven tech and crypto selloffs as Ryan Nece of Next Legacy Partners, a former NFL player, breaks down long-term investing amid disruption. Plus, panel insights on market rotation, retail dip-buying, hyperscaler spending, IPO momentum, and where opportunity may emerge next. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Can US financials outperform in 2026 – and where are the most attractive opportunities? Christian DeGrasse, financial sector specialist in Global Banking & Markets, discusses with Chris Hussey on the Goldman Sachs trading floor. This episode was recorded on February 4, 2026. The opinions and views expressed herein are as of the date of publication, subject to change without notice, and may not necessarily reflect the institutional views of Goldman Sachs or its affiliates. The material provided is intended for informational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation from any Goldman Sachs entity to take any particular action, or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any securities or financial products. This material may contain forward-looking statements. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Goldman Sachs nor any of its affiliates make any representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or information contained herein and disclaim any liability whatsoever for reliance on such information for any purpose. Each name of a third-party organization mentioned is the property of the company to which it relates, is used here strictly for informational and identification purposes only and is not used to imply any ownership or license rights between any such company and Goldman Sachs. A transcript is provided for convenience and may differ from the original video or audio content. Goldman Sachs is not responsible for any errors in the transcript. This material should not be copied, distributed, published, or reproduced in whole or in part or disclosed by any recipient to any other person without the express written consent of Goldman Sachs. Disclosures applicable to research with respect to issuers, if any, mentioned herein are available through your Goldman Sachs representative or at http://www.gs.com/research/hedge.html Goldman Sachs does not endorse any candidate or any political party. © 2025 Goldman Sachs. All rights reserved. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Our Global Head of Macro Strategy Matthew Hornbach and Chief U.S. Economist Michael Gapen discuss the path for U.S. interest rates after the nomination of Kevin Warsh for next Fed chair.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Matthew Hornbach: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Matthew Hornbach, Global Head of Macro Strategy. Michael Gapen: And I'm Michael Gapen, Morgan Stanley's Chief U.S. Economist. Matthew Hornbach: Today we'll be talking about the Federal Open Market Committee meeting that occurred last week.It's Thursday, February 5th at 8:30 am in New York.So, Mike, last week we had the first Federal Open Market Committee meeting of 2026. What were your general impressions from the meeting? And how did it compare to what you had thought going in? Michael Gapen: Well, Matt, I think that the main question for markets was how hawkish a hold or how dovish a hold would this be. As you know, it was widely expected the Fed would be on hold. The incoming data had been fairly solid. Inflation wasn't all that concerning, and most of the employment data suggested things had stabilized. So, it was clear they were going to pause. The question was would they pause or would they be on pause, right? And in our view, it was more of a dovish hold. And by that, it suggests to us, or they suggested to us, I should say, that they still have an easing bias and rates should generally move lower over time. So, that really was the key takeaway for me. Would they signal a prolonged pause and perhaps suggest that they might be done with the easing cycle? Or would they say, yes, we've stopped for now, but we still expect to cut rates later? Perhaps when inflation comes down and therefore kind of retain a dovish bias or an easing bias in the policy rate path. So, to me, that was the main takeaway. Matthew Hornbach: Of course, as we all know, there are supposed to be some personnel changes on the committee this year. And Chair Powell was asked several questions to try to get at the future of this committee and what he himself was going to do personally. What was your impression of his response and what were the takeaways from that part of the press conference? Michael Gapen: Well, clearly, he's been reluctant to, say, pre-announce what he may do when his term is chair ends in May. But his term as a governor extends into 2028. So, he has options. He could leave normally that's what happens. But he could also stay and he's never really made his intentions clear on that part. I think for maybe personal or professional reasons. But he has his own; he has his own reasons and, and that's fine. And I do think the recent subpoena by the DOJ has changed the calculus in that. At least my own view is that it makes it more likely that he stays around. It may be easier for him to act in response to that subpoena by being on staff. It's a request for additional information; he needs access to that information. I think you could construct a reasonable scenario under which, ‘Well, I have to see this through, therefore, I may stay around.' But maybe he hasn't come to that conclusion yet. And then stepping back, that just complicates the whole picture in the sense that we now know the administration has put forward Kevin Warsh as the new Fed chair. Will he be replacing the seat that Jay Powell currently sits in? Will he be replacing the seat that Stephen Myron is sitting in? So yes, we have a new name being put forward, but it's not exactly clear where that slot will be; and what the composition of the committee will look like. Matthew Hornbach: Well, you beat me to the punch on mentioning Kevin Warsh… Michael Gapen: I kind of assumed that's where you were going. Matthew Hornbach: It was going to be my next question. I'm curious as to what you think that means for Fed policy later this year, if anything. And what it might mean more medium term? Michael Gapen: Yeah. Well, first of all, congratulations to Mr. Warsh on the appointment. In terms of what we think it means for the outlook for the Fed's reaction function and interest rate policy, we doubt that there will be a material change in the Fed's reaction function. His previous public remarks don't suggest his views on interest rate policy are substantively outside the mainstream, or at least certainly the collective that's already in the FOMC. Some people would prefer not to ease. The majority of the committee still sees a couple more rate cuts ahead of them. Warsh is generally aligned with that, given his public remarks. But then also all the reserve bank presidents have been renominated. There's an ongoing Supreme Court case about the ability of the administration to fire Lisa Cook. If that is not successful, then Kevin Warsh will arrive in an FOMC where there's 16 other people who all get a say. So, the chair's primary responsibility is to build a consensus; to herd the cats, so to speak. To communicate to markets and communicate to the public. So, if Mr. Warsh wanted to deviate substantially from where the committee was, he would have to build a consensus to do that. So, we think, at least in the near term, the reaction function won't change. It'll be driven by the data, whether the labor market holds up, whether inflation, decelerates as expected. So, we don't look for material change. Now you also asked about the medium term. I do think where his views differ, at least with respect to current Fed policy is on the size of the Fed's balance sheet and its footprint in financial markets. So, he has argued over time for a much smaller balance sheet. He's called the Fed's balance sheet bloated. He has said that it creates distortions in markets, which mean interest rates could be higher than they otherwise would be. And so, I think if there is a substantive change in Fed policy going forward, it could be there on the balance sheet. But what I would just say on that is it'll likely take a lot of coordination with Treasury. It will likely take changes in rules, regulations, the supervisory landscape. Because if you want to reduce the balance sheet further without creating volatility in financial markets, you have to find a way to reduce bank demand for it. So, this will take time, it'll take study, it'll take patience. I wouldn't look for big material changes right out of the box. So Matt, what I'd like to do is, if I could flip it back to you, Warsh was certainly one of the expected candidates, right? So, his name is not a surprise. But as we knew financial markets, one day we're thinking it'd be one candidate. The next day it'd be thinking at the next it was somebody else. How did you see markets reacting to the announcement of Mr. Warsh? For the next Fed share, and then maybe put that in context of where markets were coming out of the last FOMC meeting. Matthew Hornbach: Yeah, so the markets that moved the most were not the traditional, very large macro markets like the interest rate marketplace or the foreign exchange market. The markets that moved the most were the prediction markets. These newer markets that offer investors the ability to wager on different outcomes for a whole variety of events around the world. But when it comes to the implications of a Kevin Warsh led Fed – for the bigger macro markets like interest rates and currencies, the question really comes down to how? If the Fed's balance sheet policies are going to take a while to implement, those are not going to have an immediate effect, at least not an effect that is easily seen with the human eye. But it's other types of policy change in terms of his communication policy, for example. One of the points that you raised in your recent note, Mike, was how Kevin Warsh favored less communication than perhaps some of the recent, Federal Open Market Committees had with the public. And so, if there is some kind of a retrenchment from the type of over-communication to the marketplace, from either committee members or non-voters that could create a bit more volatility in the marketplace. Of course, the Fed has been one of the central banks that does not like to surprise the markets in terms of its monetary policy making. And so, that contrasts with other central banks in the G10. For example, the Swiss National Bank tends to surprise quite a lot. The Reserve Bank of Australia tends to surprise markets. More often, certainly than the Fed does. So, to the extent that there's some change in communication strategy going forward that could lead to more volatile interest rate in currency markets. And that then could cause investors to demand more risk premium to invest in those markets. If you previously were comfortable owning a longer duration Treasury security because you felt very comfortable with the future path of Fed policy, then a Kevin Warsh led Fed – if it decides to change the communication strategy – could naturally lead investors to demand more risk premium in their investments. And that, of course, would lead to a steeper U.S. Treasury curve, all else equal. So that would be one of the main effects that I could see happen in markets as a result of some potential changes that the Fed may consider going forward. So, Mike, with that said, this was the first FOMC meeting of the year, and the next meeting arrives in March. I guess we'll just have to wait between now and then to see if the Fed is on hold for a longer period of time or whether or not the data convinced them to move as soon as the March meeting. Thanks for taking time to talk, Mike. Michael Gapen: Great speaking with you, Matt. Matthew Hornbach: And thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share the podcast with a friend or colleague today.

Live from the Ondo Summit in NYC, Pantera Capital Founder, Dan Morehead joins Jennifer Sanasie and Sam Ewen for a special Markets Outlook to explain why he's more bullish now than when he launched the first US crypto fund in 2013. Morehead revisits his "freaky" prediction that saw Bitcoin peak on the exact day he forecast years prior and outlines the path to a $750,000 price target. He breaks down the recent IPO wave and why the next 18 months will be defined by a massive consolidation of Digital Asset Treasuries. - Timecodes: 1:15 - Morehead's Rule for Holding Through a "Sea of Red"3:36 - What to Do When Your Portfolio is Underwater4:23 - The Path to $750K Bitcoin5:15 - How the Crypto IPO Wave Returns Billions to the Ecosystem6:08 - Pantera's 86% Success Rate Over 12 Years of Investing7:27 - The Great DAT Consolidation10:01 - Why This Is Just the Beginning for Institutional Adoption - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie and Sam Ewen.

Unpacking ETF investor reaction in the market downturn with Bloomberg Intelligence's Eric Balchunas. Bloomberg Intelligence Senior ETF Analyst, Eric Balchunas joins CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie to discuss why ETF investors are staying remarkable steady while the rest of the market panics. He breaks down the "irony" of ETF boomers showing stronger diamond hands than crypto natives by treating bitcoin as a "hot sauce" allocation within diversified portfolios. Watch to learn how bitcoin's volatility compares to the 22-year history of Gold ETFs and why this drawdown might just be another cycle for the asset class. - Timecodes: 00:56 - The Volatility Cost of "Holy Grail" Returns02:33 - The Resilience of "ETF Boomers"04:09 - What's the Future Hold for ETF Holders?06:22 - Bitcoin = "Teenager Gold"09:06 - The "Hot Sauce" Portfolio Allocation13:00 - Performance of Altcoin ETFs (XRP & SOL)14:59 - The Future of Ethereum & Layer 2s - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie.

Markets are deep in risk-off mode as crypto winter tightens its grip. The ECB and Bank of England both held rates, with the BoE signaling it may be nearing the end of its easing cycle. UK political turmoil hit the pound, while tech stocks continued to unravel — AMD plunged 17%, Qualcomm disappointed, and Alphabet slid after announcing a massive increase in AI spending. Precious metals saw extreme volatility again, with silver crashing 15%, gold slipping, and oil falling after the U.S. and Iran agreed to hold talks. In macro data, German factory orders surged, but Eurozone retail sales fell, raising concerns about consumer demand. In crypto, Bitcoin dropped to $69,000, pushing the market back into Extreme Fear. Bhutan appears to be selling BTC it has mined since 2019, ETH hovered near $2,000, and scrutiny intensified around Trump-linked World Liberty Financial. CME also hinted it may explore issuing its own token.

A lot of investors talk themselves into believing their market is “too competitive” or “dried up.”I don't buy it.In every city, there are a few operators quietly closing deals while everyone else complains there's nothing left.That usually means the market isn't the problem.Activity is.Lindsay and I break down how to actually diagnose your market, how to tell when an area is truly tight versus when you simply haven't talked to enough sellers yet.Once you create more activity in the market, more opportunities show up.And more opportunities demand better funding.If you have access to capital, your market never really dries up.That's the entire focus of Bill Allen's new 2-Day Flip Funding Challenge.In just 2 days, you'll learn how to raise up to $10M in private capital over the next 12 months, using the same system Bill has used to raise over $150M and fund 200+ deals a year.CLICK HERE to join the 2-day Flip Funding Challenge >>Catch you later!LINKS & RESOURCES1,000 FREE Seller LeadsGet your first 1,000 seller leads FREE from our partner BatchLeads and start closing deals immediately. CLICK HERE: http://leads.getbatch.co/mztQkMr7 Figure Flipping UndergroundIf you want to learn how to make money flipping and wholesaling houses without risking your life savings or "working weekends" forever... this book is for YOU. It'll take you from "complete beginner" to closing your first deal or even your next 10 deals without the bumps and bruises most people pick up along the way. If you've never flipped a house before, you'll find step-by-step instructions on everything you need to know to get started. If you're already flipping or wholesaling houses, you'll find fast-track secrets that will cut years off your learning curve and let you streamline your operations, maximize profit, do MORE deals, and work LESS. CLICK HERE: https://hubs.ly/Q01ggDSh0 7 Figure RunwayFollow a proven 5-step formula to create consistent monthly income flipping and wholesaling houses, then turn your active income into passive cash flow and create a life of freedom. 7 Figure Runway is an intensive, nothing-held-back mentoring group for real estate investors who want to build a "scalable" business and start "stacking" assets to build long-term wealth. Get off-market deal sourcing strategies that work, plus 100% purchase and renovation financing through our built-in funding partners, a community of active investors who will support and encourage you, weekly accountability sessions to keep you on track, 1-on-1 coaching, and more. CLICK HERE: https://hubs.ly/Q01ggDLL0 Connect with us on Facebook and Instagram: @7figureflipping Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Concerned about retirement planning in a market full of uncertainty and noise? In this episode of the Retire Sooner Podcast, Wes Moss and Christa DiBiase bring practical context to today's financial headlines and common retirement questions. • Analyze movements in gold prices and the U.S. dollar to clarify what currency shifts may indicate for markets and everyday economic conversations. • Explain why a modestly weaker dollar is not inherently negative and how it can affect U.S. company competitiveness. • Break down how the 4% retirement withdrawal rule of thumb is commonly discussed and why flexibility is central to long-term planning. • Compare viewpoints from prominent financial commentators on sustainable retirement withdrawals and why results may differ by household. • Outline considerations for retirement drawdowns, including when cash reserves versus equities are often referenced during market stress. • Evaluate diversification considerations for investors concerned about concentrated exposure to technology- and AI-focused funds. • Address the widespread concern about running out of money in retirement using commonly referenced planning frameworks. • Review how pension cost-of-living adjustments work and the factors considered when comparing lump-sum and annuity options. • Discuss the potential role and risks of high-yield bonds within balanced, income-focused portfolios. • Highlight why aligning brokerage account registrations with a living trust is frequently referenced in estate planning discussions. Listen to the Retire Sooner Podcast for clear, educational context on the retirement topics investors are talking about right now. Subscribe to stay connected to ongoing conversations focused on long-term planning, discipline, and perspective. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Crypto News: Democrats meet to discuss passing Clarity Act. Wall Street giant CME Group is eyeing its own 'CME Coin,' CEO says. Michael Burry shares bearish post on Bitcoin.Brought to you by ✅ VeChain is a versatile enterprise-grade L1 smart contract platform https://www.vechain.org/

Bitcoin is selling off hard as the downturn spreads across every major asset class, signaling that this move is about more than crypto alone. Stocks, bonds, and even traditional safe havens are coming under pressure as liquidity tightens, leverage unwinds, and uncertainty rises around macro data, policy decisions, and global risk. In this livestream, we break down why Bitcoin is falling alongside broader markets, what this kind of synchronized selling usually means, and whether this represents a temporary volatility flush—or the early stages of a deeper, cross-market reset.

Magnus Walker Selling Off Cars, Art & Memorabilia Big news out of the collector world: Magnus Walker is consigning a significant portion of his collection to RM Sotheby's for a March 2026 auction. We're talking 160 items total—cars, art, memorabilia. No official word yet on which cars are going, but given the timing, this is likely tied to the Amelia auction. The question is: why? Is Magnus losing interest? Chasing something new? Just cashing in while values are high? We've seen this pattern before—Vinny recently sold his GT3 RS. So what's going on? Our take: we don't think the sky is falling. Prices on collectible Porsches are strong right now, and smart owners are capitalizing. We're not seeing any signals that demand is softening—if anything, more people are moving money into special cars. The hobby is growing, not shrinking. These guys aren't getting out because they know something we don't. They're getting out because the market is paying. Fahren 2025: October 13–16 at Tapoco Lodge Let's talk Fahren. October 13th through the 16th at Tapoco Lodge in the Smoky Mountains. If you haven't been, this is the one. The roads, the people, the format—it's everything we love about driving Porsches without any of the nonsense. Who goes? Enthusiasts who actually drive their cars. People who care more about the road than the parking lot. The kind of folks who become friends, not just acquaintances. Who should go? If you've been on the fence, this is your sign. If you want a premium driving experience with a tight-knit group, no egos, and some of the best roads in the country, Fahren is it. Why should you go? Because you'll leave with stories, not just photos. Head to pcartalk.com and get on the waiting list for 2026 if this year is full. Porsche Closing 30% of Dealer Network in China Porsche is set to close roughly 30% of its dealer network in China. Not shocking given the revenue losses they've reported quarter after quarter in that market. The EV competition there is fierce, consumer preferences are shifting, and Porsche's positioning hasn't translated the same way it does in the West. Markets change. Porsche is adapting. This isn't a sign of weakness globally—it's a smart move to stop the bleeding in a region where the math isn't working. We'll see how this plays out, but expect more consolidation before things stabilize. Modern Classics Selling Big at Barrett-Jackson and Mecum Something interesting is happening at the mainstream auctions. Cars like Ferrari 360 Challenge Stradales and Porsche 993 Turbo S models—cars that historically would sit with reserves not met at Barrett-Jackson or Mecum—are now selling. And selling strong. What's changed? A few theories: Are buyers shifting? Are fewer Boomers showing up and more Gen X and Millennials stepping in with different tastes? These younger buyers grew up with these cars as posters on their walls, not as "used sports cars." Or have the Boomers themselves shifted what they're chasing? Maybe they've already bought the '60s muscle and the air-cooled 911s and now they're looking at the cars they drove in their 40s and 50s. Either way, the platforms are adapting. Barrett-Jackson and Mecum are no longer just about Corvettes and Camaros. The definition of "collectible" is expanding, and the auction houses are following the money. What do you think? Are we seeing a generational handoff in the hobby, or just an expansion of what collectors care about? Let us know. Outro That's the show. Thanks for listening. If you want more, join the Pcar Club at Patreon.com/pcartalk. Follow us on Instagram @pcartalk. Until next time, keep it on the road. Kimchi Crew Steve, Leslie, Chris, Ken, Aaron, Matthew, Sean, and Nik

Three straight days as investors took a risk off stance, popular trades in technology and bitcoin to unravel, More on the next Pints and Portolios this Saturday February 7th from 12 noon to 2pm with EP Wealth Advisors and Partners CFP Travis McEuen and CMT Nathan Rogers as well as Rob Black in Pleasant Hill with exact location given once you register

Markets have been chaotic over the past few sessions, so we pivot to a mostly-news episode to unpack what’s really driving the volatility. We start with “SaaSmageddon” — the sharp selloff across software stocks following rapid advances in AI, including Claude’s new capabilities. We discuss why investors are suddenly questioning data-driven moats, seat-based subscription models, and whether traditional SaaS businesses can defend their margins in a world where AI agents can replace large portions of knowledge work. From there, we connect the dots to private credit and private equity. With software making up a major portion of many private portfolios, we explore the growing risks around payment-in-kind lending, potential default cycles, and why business development companies (BDCs) could be the next pressure point if AI disruption accelerates. We also cover the historic gold and silver flush — a classic leveraged shakeout driven by forced liquidations, stop-loss cascades, and thin liquidity — and why ETF volumes exploded during the move. Finally, we touch on broader market weakness, AMD’s earnings reaction, and how Bitcoin continues to trade like a high-beta risk asset. Tickers of Stocks Discussed: TRI.TO, ADBE, CRM, SHOP.TO, SPGI, MCO, ARCC, OWL, OBDC, BXSL, MAIN, FSK, SLV, GLD, SPY, AMD Watch the full video on Our New Youtube Channel! Check out our portfolio by going to Jointci.com Our Website Canadian Investor Podcast Network Twitter: @cdn_investing Simon’s twitter: @Fiat_Iceberg Braden’s twitter: @BradoCapital Dan’s Twitter: @stocktrades_ca Want to learn more about Real Estate Investing? Check out the Canadian Real Estate Investor Podcast! Apple Podcast - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Spotify - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Web player - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Asset Allocation ETFs | BMO Global Asset Management Sign up for Fiscal.ai for free to get easy access to global stock coverage and powerful AI investing tools. Register for EQ Bank, the seamless digital banking experience with better rates and no nonsense.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Markets, data and sentiment are often looked to as indicators of the present and guides to the future. But these data points aren't helping as much as they used to. Today on the show, Robert Armstrong, Hakyung Kim and John Foley try to understand why major numbers are in such constant conflict. Also, they go long Matcha and long data centres in space.For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer.You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Unpacking ETF investor reaction in the market downturn with Bloomberg Intelligence's Eric Balchunas. Bloomberg Intelligence Senior ETF Analyst, Eric Balchunas joins CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie to discuss why ETF investors are staying remarkable steady while the rest of the market panics. He breaks down the "irony" of ETF boomers showing stronger diamond hands than crypto natives by treating bitcoin as a "hot sauce" allocation within diversified portfolios. Watch to learn how bitcoin's volatility compares to the 22-year history of Gold ETFs and why this drawdown might just be another cycle for the asset class. - Timecodes: 00:56 - The Volatility Cost of "Holy Grail" Returns02:33 - The Resilience of "ETF Boomers"04:09 - What's the Future Hold for ETF Holders?06:22 - Bitcoin = "Teenager Gold"09:06 - The "Hot Sauce" Portfolio Allocation13:00 - Performance of Altcoin ETFs (XRP & SOL)14:59 - The Future of Ethereum & Layer 2s - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie.

Live from the Ondo Summit in NYC, Pantera Capital Founder, Dan Morehead joins Jennifer Sanasie and Sam Ewen for a special Markets Outlook to explain why he's more bullish now than when he launched the first US crypto fund in 2013. Morehead revisits his "freaky" prediction that saw Bitcoin peak on the exact day he forecast years prior and outlines the path to a $750,000 price target. He breaks down the recent IPO wave and why the next 18 months will be defined by a massive consolidation of Digital Asset Treasuries. - Timecodes: 1:15 - Morehead's Rule for Holding Through a "Sea of Red"3:36 - What to Do When Your Portfolio is Underwater4:23 - The Path to $750K Bitcoin5:15 - How the Crypto IPO Wave Returns Billions to the Ecosystem6:08 - Pantera's 86% Success Rate Over 12 Years of Investing7:27 - The Great DAT Consolidation10:01 - Why This Is Just the Beginning for Institutional Adoption - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie and Sam Ewen.

In this episode of Brake Check, we're getting into what's really going on in freight right now — and yeah, things are finally getting interesting again. Charles Gracey sits down with JP Hampstead from FreightWaves to break down why the truckload market is suddenly way more volatile than what we've seen the past couple years. Winter storms, rising tender rejections, tightening capacity, spot rates heating up — we explain what all of that actually means without the fluff. If you've been wondering whether this market shift is real or just another fake-out, this conversation puts it into plain English. We also dig into earnings and outlooks from major carriers like Old Dominion, Heartland, and CFI, talk inventory levels, tariffs, and why some shippers are trying (and failing) to lock in last year's rates. The big question: is this finally a sustainable rebound, or are we setting up for another crash? Then we shift to the people side of trucking with Kevin Hall, CEO of CDLLife. We talk driver recruiting, why drivers are being way pickier right now, what a “quality driver” actually means, and why respect matters more than most job ads want to admit. If you recruit drivers, manage drivers, or are a driver, this part hits home. And to wrap it up, Malcolm Harris jumps in for some real talk on the current freight temperature, broker vs carrier perspectives, and why relationship-based freight might finally be making a comeback. Markets, money, drivers, relationships — it's all in here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

What happens when your AI strategy moves faster than your team's ability to trust it, govern it, or explain it? In this episode of Leveraging Thought Leadership, Peter Winick sits down with Kate O'Neill—Founder & CEO of KO Insights, author of "What Matters Next", and globally recognized as a "tech humanist"—to unpack what leaders are getting dangerously wrong about digital transformation right now. Kate challenges the default mindset that tech exists to serve the business first and humans second. She reframes the entire conversation as a three-way relationship between business, humans, and technology. That shift matters, because "human impact" isn't a nice-to-have. It's the core variable that determines whether innovation scales sustainably or collapses under backlash, risk, and regret. You'll hear why so many companies are racing into AI with confidence on the surface and fear underneath. Boards want speed. Markets reward bold moves. But many executives privately admit they don't fully understand the complexity or consequences of the decisions they're being pressured to make. Kate gives language for that tension and practical frameworks for "future-ready" leadership that doesn't sacrifice long-term resilience for short-term acceleration. The conversation gets real about what trust and risk actually mean in an AI-driven world. Kate argues that leaders need a better taxonomy of both—because without it, AI becomes a multiplier of bad decisions, not a generator of better ones. Faster isn't automatically smarter. And speed without wisdom is just expensive chaos. Finally, Kate shares the larger mission behind her work: influencing the decisions that impact millions of people downstream. Her "10,000 Boardrooms for 1 Billion People" initiative is built around one big idea—if we want human-friendly tech at scale, we need better thinking at the top. Not performative ethics. Not buzzwords. Better decisions, made earlier, by the people with the power to set direction. If you lead strategy, product, innovation, or culture—and you're feeling the pressure to "move faster" with AI—this episode gives you the language, frameworks, and leadership posture to move responsibly without losing momentum. Three Key Takeaways: • Human impact isn't a soft metric—it's a strategy decision. Kate reframes transformation as a three-way relationship between business, humans, and technology. If you don't design for the human outcome, the business outcome eventually breaks. • AI speed without trust creates risk. Leaders feel pressure to move fast, but trust, governance, and clarity lag behind. Without a shared understanding of risk and responsibility, AI becomes a multiplier of bad decisions. • Better decisions upstream create better outcomes at scale. Kate's "10,000 Boardrooms for 1 Billion People" idea drives home that the biggest lever isn't the tool—it's leadership judgment. The earlier the thinking improves at the top, the safer and more scalable innovation becomes. If Kate's "tech humanist" lens made you rethink how you're leading AI and transformation, your next listen should be our episode 149 with Brian Solis. Brian goes deep on what most leaders miss—the human side of digital change, the behavioral ripple effects of technology, and why transformation only works when it's designed for people, not just performance. Queue it up now and pair the two episodes back-to-back for a powerful executive playbook: Kate helps you decide what matters next—Brian helps you understand what your customers and employees will do next.

P.M. Edition for Feb. 4. In Congress, Democrats are pushing for new limits on immigration-enforcement agents, but they're running into resistance from Republicans. Journal reporter Siobhan Hughes joins from the Capitol to discuss the likelihood that lawmakers will meet the February 13 deadline to fund the Homeland Security Department. Plus, another tech selloff weighs on Wall Street. Markets reporter Hannah Erin Lang discusses the AI worries gripping investors. And as Iran and the U.S. plan diplomatic talks, Iran is playing hardball. WSJ Middle East correspondent Jared Malsin says it's a playbook negotiators have seen before. Alex Ossola hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Affordability is back in focus in D.C. after the brief U.S. shutdown. Our Deputy Global Head of Research Michael Zezas and Head of Public Policy Research Ariana Salvatore look at some proposals in play.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Michael Zezas: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michael Zezas, Deputy Global Head of Research for Morgan Stanley. Ariana Salvatore: And I'm Ariana Salvatore, Head of Public Policy Research. Michael Zezas: Today we're discussing the continued focus on affordability, and how to parse signals from the noise on different policy proposals coming out of D.C.It's Wednesday, February 4th at 10am in New York. Ariana Salvatore: President Trump signed a bill yesterday, ending the partial government shutdown that had been in place for the past few days. But affordability is still in focus. It's something that our clients have been asking about a lot. And we might hear more news when the president delivers his State of the Union address on February 24th and possibly delivers his budget proposal, which should be around the same time. So, needless to say, it's still a topic that investors have been asking us about and one that we think warrants a little bit more scrutiny. Michael Zezas: But maybe before we get into how to think about these affordability policies, we should hit on what we're seeing as the real pressure points in the debate. Ariana, you recently did some work with our economists. What were some of your findings? Ariana Salvatore: So, Heather Berger and the rest of our U.S. econ[omics] team highlighted three groups in particular that are feeling more of the affordability crunch, so to speak. That's lower income consumers, younger consumers, and renters or recent home buyers. Lower income households have experienced persistently higher inflation and more recently weaker wage growth. Younger consumers were hit hardest when inflation peaked and are more exposed to higher borrowing costs. And lastly, renters and recent buyers are dealing with much higher shelter burdens that aren't fully captured in standard inflation metrics. Now, the reason I laid all that out is because these are also the cohorts where the president's approval ratings have seen the largest declines. Michael Zezas: Right. And so, it makes sense that those are the groups where the administration might be targeting some of these affordability initiatives. Ariana Salvatore: That's right. But that's not the only variable that they're solving for. Broadly speaking, we think that the president and Republicans in Congress really need to solve for four things when it comes to affordability policies. First, targeting these quote right cohorts, which are those, as we mentioned, that have either moved furthest away from the president politically, or have been the most under pressure. Second feasibility, right? So even if Republicans can agree on certain policies, getting them procedurally through Congress can still be a challenge. Third timing – just because the legislative calendar is so tight ahead of the November elections. And fourth speed of disbursement. So basically, how long it would take these policies to translate to an uplift for consumers ahead of the elections. Michael Zezas: So, thinking through each of these constraints, starting with how easy it might be to actually get some of these policies done, most of the policies that are being proposed on the housing side require congressional approval. In terms of these cohorts, it seems like these policies are most likely to focus on – that seems aimed at lower-income and younger voters. And in terms of timing, we know the legislative calendar is tight ahead of the midterms, and the policy makers want to pursue things that can be enacted quickly and show up for voters as soon as possible. Ariana Salvatore: So, using that lens, we think the most realistic near-term tools are probably mostly executive actions. Think agency directives and potential changes to tariff policy. If we do see a second reconciliation bill emerge, it will probably move more slowly but likely cover some of those housing related tax credit changes. But of course, not all these policies would move the needle in the same way. What do we think matters most from a macro perspective? Michael Zezas: So, what our economists have argued is that the affordability policies being discussed – tax credits subsidies, payment pauses – they could be meaningful at a micro level for targeted households, but for the most part, they don't materially change the macro outlook. The exception might be tariffs; that probably has the broadest and most sustained impact on affordability because it directly affects inflation. Lower tariffs would narrow inflation differentials across cohorts, support real income growth and make it easier for the Fed to cut rates. Ariana Salvatore: Right. And just to add a finer point on that, I think directionally speaking, this is where we've seen the administration moving in recent months. Remember, towards the end of last year, the Trump administration placed an exemption on a lot of agricultural imports. And just the other day, we heard news that the trade deal with India was finalized reducing the overall tariff rate to 18 percent from about 50 percent prior. Michael Zezas: Okay. So, putting it all together for what investors need to know. We see three key takeaways. First, even absent new policy, our economists expect some improvement in affordability this year as inflation decelerates and rate cuts come into view. And specifically, when we talk about improvements in affordability, what our economists are referring to is income growth consistently outpacing inflation, lowering required monthly payments. Second, most proposed affordability policies are unlikely to generate the meaningful macro growth impulse, so investors shouldn't overreact to headline announcements. And third, the cohort divergence matters for equities. Pressure on lower income in younger consumers helps explain why parts of consumer discretionary have lagged. While higher income exposed segments have remained more resilient. So, if inflation continues to cool, especially via tariff relief, that's what would broaden the consumer recovery and potentially create better returns for some of the sectors in the equity markets that have underperformed. Ariana Salvatore: Right, and from the policy side, I would say this probably isn't the last time we'll be talking about affordability. It's politically salient. The policy responses are likely targeted and incremental, and this should continue to remain a top focus for voters heading into November. Michael Zezas: Well, Ariana, thanks for taking the time to talk. Ariana Salvatore: Great speaking with you, Mike. Michael Zezas: And as a reminder, if you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please take a moment to rate and review us wherever you listen. And share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.

In this episode of Money Moves, Matty A. and Ryan Breedwell unpack a historic week across financial markets, with explosive moves in precious metals, shifting crypto momentum, and major implications from the latest Federal Reserve meeting.The conversation opens with gold, silver, and copper posting eye-opening gains, raising questions about whether this move is driven by fear, inflation hedging, or simple under-allocation from institutional investors. Matty and Ryan break down why metals often surge quietly before becoming headline news—and why silver's volatility is not for the faint of heart.They dive into the post-FOMC landscape, Jerome Powell's comments, and the significance of President Trump officially nominating the next Fed Chair. The discussion explores how political pressure, rate expectations, and liquidity cycles influence everything from housing to risk assets.Crypto also takes center stage as the guys explain why Bitcoin and digital assets often act as real-time sentiment indicators and how regulatory clarity could unlock a new wave of institutional capital.The episode wraps with insights on earnings season, portfolio reallocations, and why disciplined investors focus less on headlines and more on positioning, patience, and long-term trends.Topics CoveredHistoric week in precious metals marketsGold vs. silver volatility and investor psychologyCopper's role as an economic signalPost-FOMC market reactionsJerome Powell's messaging and credibilityTrump's nomination of the next Fed ChairInterest rates, liquidity, and market cyclesCrypto market momentum and regulationPortfolio reallocations and risk managementWhy discipline beats speculationEpisode Sponsored By:Discover Financial Millionaire Mindcast Shop: Buy the Rich Life Planner and Get the Wealth-Building Bundle for FREE! Visit: https://shop.millionairemindcast.com/CRE MASTERMIND: Visit myfirst50k.com and submit your application to join!FREE CRE Crash Course: Text “FREE” to 844-447-1555FREE Financial X-Ray: Text  "XRAY" to 844-447-1555

Live from the Ondo Summit in NYC, Stocktwits CEO Howard Lindzon joins Jennifer Sanasie for a special Markets Outlook to break down the rise of the Degenerate Economy, where 24/7 speculation has replaced traditional entertainment. As AI and LLMs commoditize Wall Street research, Lindzon highlights how social sentiment has become the last remaining edge for the modern trader. This shift is central to his Social Relative Strength framework for spotting overlooked assets, a strategy he uses to explain why the retail crowd is currently front-running a debasement trade in gold and silver, even ahead of bitcoin. - Timecodes: 0:54 - Defining the Degenerate Economy in 2026 2:45 - The Evolution of StockTwits and Social Trading 3:30 - The Impact of AI on Research and Trading 6:38 - The shift from Globalization to Deglobalization 9:13 - AI Agents and the Future of Retail Trading - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie and Andy Baehr.

Software stocks get slammed, gold keeps climbing, and Bitcoin loses key support again. Palvatar covers today's key macro and market headlines — from Claude's AI plugin rattling software firms to AMD's 9% plunge and a weak U.S. jobs print. Gold hits $5,000, geopolitics flares up, and inflation cools in Europe. Meanwhile, crypto remains weak with 44% of Bitcoin supply now underwater. Plus: Pro Members — don't miss Jamie Coutts' AMA and his upcoming interview with Charles Edwards on the quantum threat. Free Members — tune in to Kris and Bijan on Trading the Markets.

Cem Karsan sits down with Ben Hunt, founder of Epsilon Theory, to explore how narratives shape markets, politics, and decision making itself. Drawing on decades of experience across academia, hedge funds, and applied AI, Ben explains why stories, not data, increasingly drive outcomes in modern markets. The conversation spans unstructured data, inference, common knowledge, and the mechanics of narrative momentum. Together, they examine consumer expectations, inflation silence, geopolitical signaling, and the slow shift away from US dominance. What emerges is a framework for understanding markets as reflexive systems, where perception often matters more than reality.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Cem on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 00:00 - Introduction to U Got Options and the trading floor setting02:18 - Ben Hunt's background and Epsilon Theory origins04:11 - Markets as the ultimate multiplayer game06:15 - Inference, unstructured data, and narrative analysis08:18 - Why sentiment and word counts miss the real signal11:16 - Mapping meaning and truthy stories15:00 - LLMs as operating systems, not oracles18:01 - Giving money back and when models stop working21:16 - Applying narrative tools beyond markets24:10 - Consumer weakness versus bullish expectations30:43 - Inflation, recession, and why markets do not care33:29 - Dormant stories and volatility discovery34:26 -

Silver crashed! Today we focus on a historic bout of volatility in precious metals following months of extreme, unhealthy gains. We figure out if the selloff was driven by the announcement of a new Fed chair or severe technical overextension, crowded positioning that triggered profit-taking, shorting, and forced de-risking. We also talked the implications of a potentially growth-leaning but inflation-conscious Fed, ongoing structural risks like debt, deficits, and sticky inflation, and why monetary policy alone can't solve them. We reviewed the January market performance, and noticed strength in energy, materials, commodities, and international equities versus lagging tech and software. Markets are rotating regimes, not ending trends, and investors should focus on risk management, diversification, and long-term planning rather than reacting emotionally to short-term chaos. We discuss... We unpacked a historic spike in precious-metals volatility, with silver experiencing extreme, record-level swings after months of unsustainably rapid gains. The Fed chair news was described as a "match, not the bonfire," triggering a correction that was already statistically inevitable at extreme standard deviations. Volatility selling, options hedging, and large institutional short positioning likely amplified the downside move in silver. The gold-silver ratio had reached stretched levels, making a snapback or rebalancing between gold and silver unavoidable. Despite the violent correction, the broader precious-metals bull trend was viewed as intact rather than broken. Gold was described as healthier than silver due to steady institutional and central-bank buying. We covered how computers, systematic strategies, and risk managers now dominate market mechanics at volatility extremes. Rate cuts may come sooner than expected, but structural issues like debt, deficits, and sticky inflation remain unresolved. Markets so far reacted modestly outside of commodities, suggesting rotation rather than systemic stress. Energy and commodities were highlighted as key areas to watch in an inflation-sensitive environment. International equities significantly outperformed U.S. markets, reinforcing the case for global diversification. A small bank failure highlighted lingering credit and balance-sheet risks despite limited systemic impact. Midterm election seasonality was discussed as a potential source of higher volatility and uneven returns.   Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/silver-crashed-787  

Feb 3, 2026 – When markets soar but Main Street struggles, what signals should you trust? In this episode, Peter Boockvar, author of The Boock Report, explores the implications of Trump's choice for new Fed Chair, the recent parabolic move...

Crypto News: Patrick Witt and Patrick mcHenry reveal timeline for passing of the clarity act. Billiton Diamond and tokenization firm Ctrl Alt have moved more than $280 million in certified polished diamonds on-chain in the UAE using Ripple's custody technology and the XRP Ledger. MetaMask adds tokenized US stocks, ETFs, commodities via Ondo.Brought to you by

Most investors believe their biggest risk is market performance. If they diversify correctly and stay invested long enough, everything should work out. That belief is comforting. And incomplete. Markets don't fail portfolios nearly as often as behavior does. Investors exit at the wrong time. Advisors rebalance too late. Risk is misunderstood until it shows up all at once. By then, decisions are driven by emotion, not design. In this episode, Andy Tanner sits down with Phillip Toews, author of The Behavioral Portfolio, to challenge the idea that better forecasting or higher returns solve investor problems. They don't. Portfolio structure does. Phillip explains why traditional models like the 60/40 portfolio were never designed for real human behavior — especially during extended downturns, rising-rate environments, or retirement distribution phases. He outlines why most investors are unprepared for how deep losses can actually go, and how that lack of preparation leads to perfectly timed mistakes. This conversation isn't about predicting crashes or chasing performance. It's about understanding history, accepting uncertainty, and building portfolios that account for both economic reality and psychological limits. If you've ever wondered why disciplined plans fall apart at the worst possible moments, this episode reframes the problem — and offers a clearer way to think about risk, preparation, and long-term decision-making. Want to Learn More? – Explore free education and tools at cashflowbonus.com to strengthen your investing foundation – Keep building your financial education at yourinvestingclass.com.

Live from the Ondo Summit in NYC, Stocktwits CEO Howard Lindzon joins Jennifer Sanasie for a special Markets Outlook to break down the rise of the Degenerate Economy, where 24/7 speculation has replaced traditional entertainment. As AI and LLMs commoditize Wall Street research, Lindzon highlights how social sentiment has become the last remaining edge for the modern trader. This shift is central to his Social Relative Strength framework for spotting overlooked assets, a strategy he uses to explain why the retail crowd is currently front-running a debasement trade in gold and silver, even ahead of bitcoin. - Timecodes: 0:54 - Defining the Degenerate Economy in 2026 2:45 - The Evolution of StockTwits and Social Trading 3:30 - The Impact of AI on Research and Trading 6:38 - The shift from Globalization to Deglobalization 9:13 - AI Agents and the Future of Retail Trading - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie and Andy Baehr.

In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Kevin Muir, author of The Macro Tourist, for a wide-ranging conversation on market sentiment, asset rotation, and the growing signals of stress beneath the surface of global markets. Kevin explains why extreme bullishness can be dangerous, why gold and commodities may be flashing warning signs, and how shifts in currencies, energy, and global capital flows could reshape portfolios in the years ahead. From hedging strategies to volatility, from AI-driven concentration to international diversification, this discussion focuses on how investors can think clearly in an environment where traditional relationships are breaking down.Topics covered:Why extreme bullish sentiment can be a warning sign for marketsThe meaning of “buying straw hats in the winter” and how to think about hedgingMarket breadth, small caps, and whether rotations are healthy or late cycleGold, silver, and what precious metals signal about financial stressCross-asset volatility and why correlations are changingEnergy markets, commodities, and the long-term impact of underinvestmentGlobal capital flows, foreign ownership of US assets, and currency riskThe US dollar, trade deficits, and implications for international investorsPortfolio construction lessons from bonds, commodities, and FXHow macro regime shifts can change risk management and diversificationTimestamps:00:00 Introduction and market sentiment overview03:00 Buying protection and the straw hat analogy07:00 Sentiment indicators and market confirmation12:00 Market rotations, small caps, and late-cycle risks18:00 Gold, silver, and precious metals as warning signals23:00 Bonds, currencies, and broken correlations29:00 Energy markets and commodity underinvestment37:00 Global capital flows and foreign ownership of US assets44:00 The US dollar, trade deficits, and FX volatility52:00 Macro regime shifts and portfolio construction lessons

After a quiet data week and a loud political signal, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, dig into what a potential Fed leadership shakeup could mean for rates, markets, and investor expectations. With Kevin Warsh emerging as the likely next Fed chair, the discussion cuts past headlines to examine his long history at the Fed, his shifting stance on inflation and rate cuts, and why markets may be less willing to take his guidance at face value. It's been one of the most volatile stretches for metals in decades, as gold and silver experience sharp pullbacks after a historic run. Ryan and Sonu break down why positioning and sentiment mattered more than headlines, and along the way, they connect the dots between capital-intensive tech investment, the emerging commodity supercycle, and why earnings strength continues to underpin equities despite leadership rotation and policy noise.Key Takeaways:Fed leadership uncertainty adds friction, not clarity: Kevin Warsh's record reveals a pattern of convenient pivots that may limit his influence over a skeptical committee Rate cuts face structural resistance: Markets are pricing fewer long-term cuts as capital investment and nominal growth keep upward pressure on rates Metals volatility was about positioning, not fundamentals: Extreme bullish sentiment set the stage for sharp pullbacks despite intact long-term trends Gold and silver require sizing, not timing: Volatility, correlations, and rebalancing matter more than chasing short-term price moves Earnings continue to justify the bull market: Strong margins, industrial strength, and resilient consumer spending support risk assets even as leadership rotatesJump to:0:00 - Setting The Stage: No Jobs Data1:06 - Who Is Kevin Warsh4:30 - Warsh's Crisis-Era Record9:10 - Politics, Hawks, And Rate-Cut Reality14:20 - Balance Sheet Beliefs Challenged19:45 - Gold And Silver's Wild Swing25:40 - How To Own Metals Wisely31:10 - From Software To Capex Supercycle36:50 - Productivity, Labor, And Rates41:30 - Fun Signals: Super Bowl And January46:05 - Earnings, Margins, And MomentumConnect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

Grant's colleague Sean Barter joins the show this week to discuss the markets.  They flip a coin to argue for & against whether the Mag 7 stocks finish higher or lower on the year, whether mortgage rates are going up or down, whether you should hold gold in your portfolio, and whether we're entering a stock picker's market.  We also cover the month in the markets and an article from Morningstar about high yield debt.   RESOURCES: Why There Is a Lot Less Junk In the High-Yield Bond Market morningstar.com/bonds/why-there-is-lot-less-junk-high-yield-bond-market  

Markets absorb an AI-driven selloff in software as Steve Pagliuca of Bain Capital argues the disruption will ultimately retool the global economy. Plus, panel insights on AI productivity, market rotation, gold's surge amid geopolitical tensions, industrial policy, Fed leadership, crypto volatility, and where investors see opportunity next. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.