Podcast appearances and mentions of cameron passmore

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Best podcasts about cameron passmore

Latest podcast episodes about cameron passmore

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 357 – AMA #6

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 15, 2025 56:13


Cameron joins Ben for his first AMA as we bring you the sixth edition of our Listener Questions and Investing Lessons mini-series. Diving right in, Ben and Cameron share their stance on the multi-host format of the Rational Reminder podcast before walking us through the new PWL Retirement Planning Tool. Then, we unpack our venture with OneDigital, recent changes at PWL Capital, how we make each episode of this show, and how we allocate our time across podcast and business responsibilities. We also examine our protocol regarding guests, why Cameron and Ben would never gamble with their own money, how the human condition prevents the full comprehension of investing as a principle, and smart money moves to make under current market conditions. To end, we discuss the effects of a capital gains tax increase, common mistakes to avoid in managing personal finances, programs and technologies for financial advisors, and the After Show, which ends with an important discussion on testicular cancer.          Key Points From This Episode:   (0:00:00) How Ben and Cameron feel about the multi-host format of this podcast. (0:01:12) The new PWL Retirement Planning Tool, developed by Braden Warwick.  (0:03:13) Joining OneDigital and other PWL changes from the past four months.  (0:09:05) Behind the scenes: Making a Rational Reminder podcast episode. (0:12:38) Allocating time for research, preparation, creating content, and business. (0:17:27) How guests inform our approach to research and preparation.  (0:19:29) The reasons why we're not risk-averse but have no appetite for gambling. (0:24:26) Why investing has been largely solved, except for the human aspect.  (0:30:13) The most “rational” investing practices under current market conditions.  (0:34:25) How to approach a capital gains tax increase, and why banks do what they do. (0:38:03) The most costly mistakes when it comes to managing personal finances. (0:40:12) Why we don't offer advice-only planning for DIY investors. (0:44:07) Financial app tips and tricks and programs and technologies to be aware of.  (0:48:23) The After Show: Alternate personalities, noise filtering, and testicular cancer.     Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital — https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Braden Warwick on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/braden-warwick-a40b48a3  PWL Capital Retirement Planning Tool — https://research-tools.pwlcapital.com/research/retirement  OneDigital — https://www.onedigital.com/   Episode 341: PWL's Next Chapter — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/341  Episode 355: Do Index Funds Incur Adverse Selection Costs? — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/355   Episode 200: Prof. Eugene Fama — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/200  Episode 100: Prof. Kenneth French: Expect the Unexpected — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/100  Episode 93: Cliff Asness from AQR: The Impact of Stories, Behaviour and Risk — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/93  Episode 270: What Happened to All the Billionaires? with Victor Haghani and James White — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/270   Episode 11: Robb Engen: Simple vs. Complex — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/11  Episode 203: S*** (Misguided) Financial Advisors Say — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/203  The Money Scope Podcast — https://moneyscope.ca/   Financial Advisor Success Ep 433: When You 10X Your Advisory Firm to over $20M of Revenue…And Want to 10X Again, with Cameron Passmore — https://www.kitces.com/blog/cameron-passmore-pwl-capital-10x-revenue-growth-advisory-firm/  The Podcast Consultant — https://thepodcastconsultant.com/    The Long View — https://www.morningstar.com/podcasts/the-long-view   Eli Beracha on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/eli-beracha-b8082250/   CIBC Mutual Funds — https://www.cibc.com/en/personal-banking/investments/mutual-funds.html  Microsoft Excel — https://www.microsoft.com/microsoft-365/excel  Python — https://www.python.org/  Monte Carlo — https://www.montecarlodata.com/  ChatGPT — https://chatgpt.com/    Papers From Today's Episode:    ‘The Arithmetic of Active Management' — https://www.jstor.org/stable/4479386  ‘Lifetime Portfolio Selection under Uncertainty: The Continuous-Time Case' — https://www.jstor.org/stable/1926560    

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 356 – Abby Davisson: How to Make Decisions About Money and Love

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 8, 2025 58:31


How do we make the most important decisions in life with intention rather than impulse? In this episode, we are joined by Abby Davisson to unpack her practical framework for better decision-making. Abby is a Yale and Stanford alumnus, a former executive at Gap Inc., and the co-author of Money and Love. She is also the founder of the Money and Love Institute, which is dedicated to helping individuals and professionals navigate life's most significant decisions. In today's conversation, Abby unpacks her practical, research-backed “5Cs Framework” for decision-making and demonstrates how it can guide all the decisions couples need to make through life. We explore the idea of financial transparency, progressive pooling of finances, equitable division of housework, deciding when to outsource help, and navigating career pauses or transitions. Abby also shares how she applied the framework in her own life and offers an honest perspective for individuals navigating change. Join us to learn how to approach choices and the “life stuff” that doesn't always show up in spreadsheets with Abby Davisson. Tune in now! Key Points From This Episode:   (0:04:16) Myra Strober's Work and Family course and how it led to writing Money and Love. (0:07:21) The drivers of poor decisions and the five Cs in Abby's decision-making framework. (0:11:15) Discover the four big topics every couple should discuss and how to approach them. (0:15:09) Learn the fundamentals of how couples should handle and combine money. (0:17:49) Why division of housework is vital, how to approach it, and the role of gender norms.  (0:21:49) Outsourcing tasks and the impacts of not taking the division of housework seriously. (0:24:27) How to decide where to live as a couple, and whether to rent or buy a house. (0:29:08) A real-life example of how to apply to 5C Framework for decision-making.  (0:33:34) Navigating career ambitions, division of childcare, and stay-at-home parenting. (0:37:16) Hear how the 5C Framework helps deal with separation and family dynamics. (0:40:31) Ways the concept of retirement has changed and why families should discuss it. (0:44:12) Find out how involved adult children should be in their parents' retirement planning. (0:47:02) Advice for finding the right life partner and how to stress-test a relationship. (0:52:05) What to consider before getting married and having children, and why. (0:55:37) Abby's biggest lessons from writing the book and her definition of success.   Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Abby Davisson — https://www.abbydavisson.com/ Abby Davisson — https://linkedin.com/in/abbydavisson/ Money and Love Institute — https://moneyloveinstitute.com/ Practically Deliberate Newsletter — https://abbydavisson.substack.com/ Gap Inc. — https://www.gapinc.com Myra Strober on LinkedIn — https://linkedin.com/in/myra-strober-a8b2846a/ Eve Rodsky — https://www.everodsky.com/ Carefull — https://getcarefull.com/ Baba Shiv — https://linkedin.com/in/baba-shiv-a859882/   Books From Today's Episode: Money and Love — https://www.moneylovebook.com/

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 354 - Jason Pereira: Expert Financial Planning

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 24, 2025 77:18


Beyond the sales pitches, acronyms, and product talk, what does it mean to be a financial planner? In this episode of the Rational Reminder Podcast, we sit down with long-time industry leader and advocate Jason Pereira. Jason is a Canadian financial planner with over 20 years of experience, dual CFP certification (Canada and US), and a passion for professionalizing the field. In our conversation, Jason shares details about his client-centred investment philosophy, explains why fiduciary duty is foundational, and unpacks the complexities of index fund adoption in Canada. We also delve into the barriers to transparent, evidence-based advice, the true role of a financial planner, the impact of the Fintech revolution, and the pros and cons of mortality pooling. He also challenges common myths surrounding financial planning, shares best practices for vetting financial advisors, and explains why the industry is long overdue for a transformation. Join us for career insights, cautionary tales, and forward-looking ideas that challenge the conventional thinking of what financial planning is, with Jason Pereira! Key Points From This Episode:   (0:05:13) Jason's core investment philosophy and perspective on factor-based indexing. (0:07:15) Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) trends and client conversations. (0:12:36) What fiduciary duty means, why it matters, and why some institutions fight against it.  (0:18:09) Unpack the complexities of why Canada is behind the US in index fund adoption. (0:20:52) Learn about the true role and common misconceptions of a financial planner. (0:24:30) Explore how technology and the rise of generative AI are changing financial planning. (0:31:55) How advisors can maintain strong personal relationships with clients in a digital world. (0:37:00) Find out what a high-quality financial plan looks like and what it covers. (0:39:44) His favourite financial planning-related argument to get into on the internet. (0:41:20) Uncover how mortality and annuities should influence financial planning. (0:48:06) Permanent life insurance explained: best use cases and when to avoid. (0:50:48) Jason shares his nerdiest and most broadly applicable financial planning advice. (0:53:29) He explains the best practices for estimating a client's life expectancy.  (0:56:48) A breakdown of financial planner designations and how to vet a financial planner. (1:03:59) Hear about his expert witness work and the costs of bad advice. (1:08:55) Discover why Jason chooses to fight against financial misinformation online. (1:11:18) The origins and vision of FPAC and Jason's definition of success.    Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.ca Benjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/` Jason Pereira — https://jasonpereira.ca/ Jason Pereira on Facebook — https://facebook.com/jasonpereirafinancialplanner/ Jason Pereira on X — https://x.com/jasonpereira Jason Pereira on LinkedIn — https://linkedin.com/in/pereirajm Jason Pereira on YouTube — https://youtube.com/@jasonperieraFP The Fintech Impact Podcast — https://jasonpereira.ca/the-fintech-impact-podcast-jason-pereira Conquest Planning — https://conquestplanning.com/en-ca/home Replit — https://replit.com/ FP Canada — https://fpcanada.ca/ Financial Planning Association of Canada (FPAC) — https://fpassociation.ca/ Episode 188: Prof. Ayelet Fishbach — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/188 Episode 236: Harold Geller — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/236   Papers From Today's Episode:    ‘Current Practices for Risk Profiling in Canada and Review of Global Best Practices' — https://osc.ca/sites/default/files/2021-02/iap_20151112_risk-profiling-report.pdf ‘Financial Risk Tolerance: A Psychometric Review' — https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3088292

Financial Advisor Success
Ep 433: When You 10X Your Advisory Firm To Over $20M Of Revenue… And Want To 10X Again with Cameron Passmore

Financial Advisor Success

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 15, 2025 90:01


Cameron Passmore is the CEO of PWL Capital, a wealth management firm based out of Ottawa, Canada, that oversees just over $5 billion Canadian dollars (or approximately $3.5 billion U.S. dollars) in assets under management for 2,400 client households. What's unique about Cameron is that after growing his firm's revenue from $2 million to over $20 million as an independent firm over the past decade, he recognized that the next phase of growth required a different approach. By combining with a larger financial conglomerate, he positioned the firm to pursue another 10X growth opportunity in the decade ahead. Listen in as Cameron shares how his firm achieved explosive growth by serving early Shopify employees, building a content engine that has served as a key driver of inbound leads, and differentiating through a planning-first, passive investing approach that is not typical in the Canadian advice landscape. Cameron also discusses his firm's investment in an institutional-grade data lake to enhance the client experience, how their planning teams operate efficiently at scale, and why always being open to new connections has led to some of his biggest business opportunities. For show notes and more visit: https://www.kitces.com/433

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 350: Scott Cederburg: A Critical Assessment of Lifecycle Investment Advice

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 27, 2025 71:45


Our conversations with Professor Scott Cederburg from Eller College of Management have led to the most heated debates among our listeners! Today, Prof. Cederburg returns to discuss the changes he's made to his paper that was the foundation of previous conversations - ‘Beyond the Status Quo: A Critical Assessment of Lifecycle Investment Advice'. We begin with the data setup and headline findings of the paper before Prof. Cederburg defines “domestic” and “international” as they appear in his paper, why the block bootstrap approach is vital to his work, how and why the results of his paper differ from the status quo, and the evaluation metrics he uses to compare different investment strategies. Then, we explore his optimal base portfolio, the strategy he uses to derive it, how it performs in simulated worst-case scenarios, and how it changes when ditching the bootstrap approach or changing strategies from constant spending to proportional spending. To end, we learn of the importance of including the US in international stock portfolios, how it changes when the US is viewed as special above others, the correlation between labor income and domestic stock returns, and how the reviews of academics and practitioners have changed since the first iteration of the paper until this latest edition.     Key Points From This Episode:   (0:00:00) What to look forward to in today's conversation with Prof. Scott Cederburg (0:04:49) The data setup and headline findings from his paper, ‘Beyond the Status Quo.' (0:07:01) Defining “domestic” and “international” as they appear in Prof. Cederburg's paper. (0:08:34) Why the bootstrap approach is necessary for his work.  (0:12:17) How and why the results of his paper differ from the status quo.  (0:15:11) Unpacking the evaluation metrics he uses to compare different investment strategies. (0:16:05) Exploring his optimal base case portfolio and strategy, and how it performs in worst-case simulations. (0:23:05) How the optimal allocation changes when households vary their portfolio weights. (0:27:13) What to consider when ditching the block bootstrap in time-varying optimal portfolios.  (0:29:46) Constant spending versus proportional spending: How the optimal portfolio changes. (0:30:49) Examining the sequence of returns risk.  (0:42:14) The importance of including the US market in international stock portfolios.  (0:43:40) Why the US is treated the same as any other domestic country in the paper, and how the data changes if it's viewed as special.  (0:51:40) The extent of the relationship between labor income and domestic stock returns.  (0:53:01) How leverage affects optimal portfolio results.  (1:05:20) Assessing how sensitive the paper's results are to risk aversion.  (1:06:35) How academics and practitioners have responded to this paper across all iterations.   Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital — https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFP  Professor Scott Cederburg — https://eller.arizona.edu/people/scott-cederburg  Professor Scott Cederburg on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/scott-cederburg-0917b0121/  Professor Scott Cederburg on Google Scholar — https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=CZKf3WEAAAAJ  Eller College of Management — https://eller.arizona.edu/   Episode 224: Prof. Scott Cederburg: Long-Horizon Losses in Stocks, Bonds, and Bills — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/224  Episode 284: Prof. Scott Cederburg: Challenging the Status Quo on Lifecycle Asset Allocation — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/284   Vanguard — https://investor.vanguard.com/   ‘The Portfolio Size Effect and Using a Bond Tent to Navigate the Retirement Danger Zone' — https://www.kitces.com/blog/managing-portfolio-size-effect-with-bond-tent-in-retirement-red-zone/    Papers From Today's Episode:    ‘Beyond the Status Quo: A Critical Assessment of Lifecycle Investment Advice' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4590406     ‘Is The United States a Lucky Survivor: A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3689958    ‘Risk-Free Interest Rates' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3242836

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 344 - Michael Mauboussin: The One Job of an Equity Investor

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 13, 2025 64:31


What if the key to successful investing is about understanding how market expectations, intangible assets, and even your own biases shape the outcome? In this episode, Cameron sits down with Michael Mauboussin, a renowned expert in investment strategies and behavioural finance, to explore how the evolving dynamics of investing influence valuation, investor decision-making, and market efficiency. Michael is the head of Consilient Research at Counterpoint Global, part of Morgan Stanley Investment Management, and an adjunct professor at Columbia Business School, where he teaches courses on investing and decision-making. His work focuses on behavioural biases, skill versus luck, complex adaptive systems, and valuation. In our conversation, we discuss the core principles of equity investing, unpack the evolution of intangible assets, and explore how market dynamics are influenced by index funds. You'll learn about capital allocation strategies, the shifting landscape of private equity, accounting challenges with intangibles, and how traditional investment frameworks are being redefined. Michael also provides insight into the "free dividend" fallacy, the importance of understanding the basic unit of analysis, the paradox of skill in active management, and more. Join us to learn about market and investing fundamentals to improve your strategy with Michael Mauboussin. Tune in now!   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:03:08) What the primary job of an equity investor is and the origin of stock returns. (0:05:37) Why dividends are less critical to total shareholder return unless fully reinvested. (0:08:43) Dissect the behaviour of investors in dividend stocks and the "free dividend fallacy." (0:10:01) Value versus growth classifications and how intangible assets impact valuations. (0:16:39) Learn about the potential advantages for companies investing in intangible assets. (0:20:20) How to determine a company's position in the competitive advantage life cycle. (0:24:42) The phase that offers the highest returns and what to consider about newer industries. (0:26:18) Explore the tradeoffs of intangible-intensive companies and the impact on base rates. (0:29:22) Pitfalls of valuation multiples and the implications for systematic value investors. (0:32:25) Relevance of market metrics and how index funds have affected alpha opportunities. (0:38:14) Effects of rising indexed assets and what to consider about market concentration. (0:45:01) Discover the historical link between market concentration and future returns.  (0:46:31) How active managers benefit markets and misconceptions about skilled managers.  (0:48:46) The value of active managers and advice for structuring investment portfolios. (0:52:44) Unpack the shift from public to private equities and why it happened.  (0:55:40) Insights into the benefits of private over public equities for investors.  (0:58:00) Ways intangible assets influenced the rise of private equity.  (0:59:27) What the market says about future returns and using public equity for diversification.   Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Michael Mauboussin — https://www.michaelmauboussin.com/ Michael Mauboussin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-mauboussin-12519b2/ Michael Mauboussin on X — https://x.com/mjmauboussin Columbia Business School — https://business.columbia.edu/ Morgan Stanley | Counterpoint Global — https://www.morganstanley.com/im/en-us/individual-investor/about-us/investment-teams/active-fundamental-equity/counterpoint-global-team.html The Heilbrunn Center for Graham and Dodd Investing — https://business.columbia.edu/heilbrunn Episode 332: Randolph Cohen and Michael Green — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/332   Books From Today's Episode:   The Success Equation — https://www.amazon.com/Success-Equation-Untangling-Business-Investing/dp/1422184234 More Than You Know — https://www.amazon.com/More-Than-You-Know-Unconventional/dp/0231143729 Expectations Investing — https://www.amazon.com/Expectations-Investing-Reading-Prices-Returns/dp/159139127X Think Twice — https://www.amazon.com/Think-Twice-Harnessing-Power-Counterintuition/dp/1422187381 Creating Shareholder Value — https://www.amazon.com/Creating-Shareholder-Value-Managers-Investors/dp/0684844109 Capitalism Without Capital — https://www.amazon.com/Capitalism-without-Capital-Intangible-Economy/dp/0691175039 The New Goliaths — https://www.amazon.com/New-Goliaths-Corporations-Industries-Innovation/dp/0300255047 Security Analysis — https://www.amazon.com/Security-Analysis-Foreword-Buffett-Editions/dp/0071592539 —    Papers From Today's Episode:    'The Dividend Disconnect' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2876373 'Trading Stages in the Company Life Cycle' — https://www.morganstanley.com/im/en-gb/intermediary-investor/insights/articles/trading-stages-in-the-company-life-cycle.html

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 343 - How to Choose an Asset Allocation

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 6, 2025 76:20


Choosing an asset allocation is a crucial investment decision, as it determines expected returns and risk exposure. During this episode, we uncover what this means, exploring topics such as why risk may not always be the best assessment method. We unpack the three factors that John Grable's risk profiling framework considers: behavioural loss tolerance, the ability to take risk (which assesses the financial capacity to withstand losses without affecting lifestyle), and the need to take risk. Many investors sabotage their returns by selling after losses and buying after gains, and we discuss the reasons behind this. We also explore why stocks tend to become less risky over long horizons, while bonds can be vulnerable to inflation and interest rate changes, before explaining why investors should focus on compensated risks. In the aftershow, we address listener comments on absolute returns, XEQT, why we have made certain sponsorship decisions, and more. To gain a deeper understanding of risk and avoid common pitfalls that can undermine your returns, tune in today!   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:05:10) The critical importance of choosing an asset allocation and understanding risk.  (0:08:35) How behavioural loss tolerance impacts asset allocation.    (0:18:42) Psychological theory on risk tolerance and willingness to engage in financial behavior.  (0:30:48) Assessing your need to take risks.  (0:39:24) Why market volatility is not where the true risks lie. (0:47:42) Private credit, other portfolio alternatives, and GICs.  (0:53:03) The aftershow: demystifying the AMA controversy. (1:00:20) Absolute returns, XEQT, and sponsorship on the Rational Reminder. (1:12:05) An update on Ben's health and what he has learned from this experience.    Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFP Dan Bortolotti — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Dan Bortolotti on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/dan-bortolotti-8a482310/ Canadian Couch Potato Blog — https://canadiancouchpotato.com/ Canadian Couch Potato Podcast — https://canadiancouchpotato.com/podcast/   Papers From Today's Episode:  'The Grable and Lytton risk-tolerance scale: a 15-year retrospective' — https://static.arnaudsylvain.fr/2017/03/The-Grable-and-Lytton-risk-tolerance-scale-15-year-retrospective.pdf

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 342 - Matthew Ringgenberg: When Do Anomaly Returns Happen?

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 30, 2025 41:55


Today we are joined by the Professor of Finance at the University of Utah, Matt Ringgenberg to discuss everything related to anomaly returns. Matt's research – mainly centred on the actions of short sellers – has been published in all the major journals including the Journal of Finance, the Journal of Financial Economics, and the Review of Financial Studies. We begin with the definition of an asset pricing anomaly before learning about the anomalies that Matt's research is primarily focused on. Then, we unpack anomaly returns and how they relate to anomaly signal information, what causes anomalies, the risk versus mispricing debate, and the barriers to accessing financial data that allow anomalies to persist. We also weigh Matt's research against its anomaly-denying counterparts, assess anomaly behaviour before and after publicly available signal information, explore models that help to predict future anomalies, and learn more about the economic mechanism underlying asset pricing anomalies. To end, we dive into Matt's paper, ‘The Loan Fee Anomaly' and explore the relationship between cross-sectional predictors and market returns, and Matt explains why long-term happiness is the only true marker of success.    Key Points From This Episode:   (0:05:07) Matt Ringgenberg defines an asset pricing anomaly and describes the anomalies his research is focused on.  (0:06:27) When anomaly returns appear relative to the release of anomaly signal information. (0:07:57) How the annual forming of portfolios in June affects anomaly returns.  (0:08:50) The cause of anomalies, and the risk versus mispricing debate on anomaly returns.   (0:10:35) Unpacking the barriers to accessing financial data that allow anomalies to persist.   (0:13:41) How Matt's rebalancing approach could affect anomaly-denying research. (0:14:37) Applying his work to valuation-based anomalies and to investors capturing anomaly returns in live-traded portfolios.   (0:16:04) How anomalies behave before anomaly signal information is publicly available. (0:17:48) Exploring the models that can be used to predict future anomaly signals.  (0:19:05) How anomaly premiums traded on predicted signals compare to trades on actual information release dates. (0:19:37) Understanding the economic mechanism underlying asset pricing anomalies. (0:24:38) Dissecting one of Matt's short-selling papers, ‘The Loan Fee Anomaly'. (0:32:51) The relationship between cross-sectional predictors and market returns. (0:39:11) What Matt hopes to pass on to his students in his Introduction to Investments course. (0:40:48) How Matthew Ringgenberg defines success.   Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFP Matthew Ringgenberg on Google Scholar — https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=NArgYXUAAAAJ  Matthew Ringgenberg on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/matthewringgenberg/  Matthew Ringgenberg on X — https://x.com/Ringgenberg_M  University of Utah — https://www.utah.edu/  Davidson Heath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/davidson-heath-5a28999a/   Management Science — https://pubsonline.informs.org/journal/mnsc  Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis — https://jfqa.org/  Morningstar Direct — https://www.morningstar.com/business/brands/data-analytics/products/direct  YCharts — https://ycharts.com/  Andre Chen — https://andrewchen.substack.com/  David Booth | Dimensional Fund Advisors — https://www.dimensional.com/hk-en/bios/david-booth    Papers From Today's Episode:    ‘A Conversation with Benjamin Graham' — https://www.jstor.org/stable/4477960   ‘The Loan Fee Anomaly: A Short Seller's Best Ideas' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3707166  ‘Do Cross-Sectional Predictors Contain Systematic Information?' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3459229

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 341 - PWL's Next Chapter

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 23, 2025 63:03


PWL Capital is undergoing an exciting change that will help the company bring a greater positive impact to the Canadian Wealth Management space and serve more clients effectively. In this episode, Ben Felix and Cameron Passmore welcome Mike Sullivan, co-founder of OneDigital, to share the inside story behind PWL Capital's recent decision to join forces with OneDigital. With nearly 25 years of experience in growth through acquisitions, Mike explains how their unique culture and strategic vision led to this exciting collaboration. We discuss Mike's role in driving OneDigital's expansion and how the company's values align with PWL's mission to offer low-cost, client-centric, systematic investing. He provides insights into why this partnership represents more than just a business transaction by amplifying a shared vision for Canadian investors. Our conversation also delves into the dynamics of mergers and acquisitions and examines the importance of culture and purpose in making these critical decisions. Today's episode offers a rare inside look at an M&A transaction with key players that many listeners will already be well-acquainted with. Tune in now to hear it all!   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:00:16) Details on PWL Capital's decision to partner with OneDigital. (0:14:31) An introduction to co-founder Mike Sullivan and OneDigital. (0:16:38) How Mike knows when an acquisition will be a good fit. (0:19:13) The opportunities for building a different kind of wealth management firm in Canada. (0:21:14) What attracted Mike to PWL as a potential OneDigital partner. (0:34:05) Mike's insights on applying what's worked to the Canadian marketplace. (0:36:14) How being part of OneDigital will make PWL better. (0:37:59) Mike and his co-founder Adam Bruckman's objectives for OneDigital. (0:40:20) Why you shouldn't expect changes to PWL's service offerings or teams. (0:45:02) How being part of OneDigital will help PWL assist other like-minded advisors. (0:46:36) The typical advisor profile that PWL/OneDigital Canada would like to attract. (0:53:15) Reflections on our hopes and goals: what we are looking forward to at PWL. (0:57:45) Mike's definition of success, plus Cam and Ben's answer to the success question!   Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFP Mike Sullivan on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/mikesullivanatdigital/ OneDigital — https://www.onedigital.com/

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 340 - Ben Mathew: The Lifecycle Model vs. Safe Withdrawal Rates (SWR)

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 16, 2025 82:51


What drives the best financial planning decisions? In this episode, Ben Felix and Mark McGrath sit down with Ben Mathew, a PhD in economics from the University of Chicago and author of Economics: The Remarkable Story of How the Economy Works. The discussion explores the lifecycle model of economics, a powerful yet underutilized framework for financial planning, and contrasts it with traditional approaches like safe withdrawal rates (SWR). Ben Mathew shares insights into the lifecycle model, its origins, and its practical applications in aligning financial decisions with personal goals over a lifetime. We also dig into Ben's innovative financial planning tool, TPAW (Total Portfolio Allocation and Withdrawal) Planner, designed to bring the lifecycle model into practice. While the discussion delves into the complexities of financial planning, it's packed with actionable insights for listeners seeking smarter, evidence-based strategies. Join us for a deep dive into the lifecycle model and discover how it compares to traditional safe withdrawal rates.   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:02:31) Identifying the main problem financial planning aims to solve and the biggest challenges in creating a plan for saving and spending across a lifetime. (0:05:49) Exploring the effectiveness of simple rules of thumb, like the 4% rule, and the economic models available to analyze financial planning problems. (0:09:16) Why the lifecycle model isn't more widely adopted. (0:12:06) The basic premise of the lifecycle model. (0:16:45) How withdrawals in the lifecycle model relate to amortization and how risk affects amortization-based withdrawals. (0:21:12) Examining how amortization-based variable spending aligns with consumption smoothing and responds to portfolio drops. (0:25:25) How updating expected return assumptions mitigates behavioural worry during market drops. (0:26:37) The variability in spending seen in historical simulations, how variable spending can be tailored to individual preferences, and the recommended frequency for updating financial calculations. (0:38:30) What the lifecycle model advises about asset allocation. (0:42:00) The importance of expected return assumptions in lifecycle asset allocation advice. (0:45:28) Adjusting lifecycle advice for when you have limited information about expected returns and how retirement glide paths compare to the lifecycle model. (0:50:03) How asset allocation in the model changes based on the time horizon of the goal. (0:54:10) The influence of different wealth levels on asset allocation in the lifecycle model. (0:56:43) How the safe withdrawal rate methodology works and key problems with its approach. (01:08:11) Connecting the probability of success metric to the utility function and differentiating variable safe withdrawal rates (SWR) from amortization-based withdrawals. (01:17:02) An overview of Ben's exciting online tool, TPAW (Total Portfolio Allocation and Withdrawal) Planner, for bringing the lifecycle model into practice.   Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFP Ben Mathew — http://www.benmatheweconomics.com/ Ben Mathew on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/bmathecon/  TPAW Planner — tpawplanner.com Bogleheads — https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Main_Page   Books From Today's Episode:   Economics: The Remarkable Story of How the Economy Works — https://www.amazon.com/Economics-Remarkable-Story-Economy-Works/dp/0988669102 The Missing Billionaires: A Guide to Better Financial Decisions — https://www.amazon.com/Missing-Billionaires-Better-Financial-Decisions/dp/1119747910

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 339 - 2024 Year-End AMA Pt 2

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 9, 2025 84:38


In our second episode of 2025, Ben, Mark, and Dan continue to work through the listener questions we received in our 2024 AMA. We begin with home country biases and how to continue to grow your money from an already diversified portfolio before comparing the benefits of stock trading strategies and EFT portfolio strategies. Then, we discuss the impact of volatile blockchains on the wider securities market, whether you need to adjust your investment strategy when new tariffs are imposed, the ins and outs of terminal wealth management, the benefits of focusing on a total market index, and the personal finance perspective of renting versus buying in Canada. To end, we explore the best practices for increasing risk exposure, take a closer look at FIRE (financial impendence, retire early), assess investing behavioural biases and misconceptions that still pose a threat to even literate investors, and learn about how the Rational Reminder podcast is changing the lives of our listeners. Key Points From This Episode:   (0:01:59) Whether owning a home affects your home country bias and financial asset portfolio. (0:02:43) The correlation between the economic risks of housing and the local stock market. (0:07:21) How to keep growing your money if you already have a diversified portfolio. (0:14:16) When to split your portfolio, and stock trading strategy versus EFT portfolio strategy. (0:22:20) The impact of Bitcoin and volatile blockchains on the wider securities market. (0:24:46) Adapting your investment strategy after the introduction or increase of trading tariffs.  (0:26:20) Maxing out tax-free savings accounts for non-incorporated high-income professionals. (0:33:22) Switching to a total market index to avoid index funds that overvalue the market. (0:37:48) Renting versus buying in Canada, from a personal finance perspective. (0:42:39) The best practices for increasing risk exposure.  (0:51:19) Unpacking FIRE – financial independence, retire early.  (0:56:05) Balancing allocations between traditional retirement savings vehicles and real estate. (1:00:56) Investing behavioural biases and misconceptions that harm even literate investors.  (1:09:24) Whether bonds actually exist, and everything we've changed our minds about in 2024. (1:19:21) Shaping worldviews, on-demand information, and other highlights from your reviews.    Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFP  Dan Bortolotti on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/dan-bortolotti-8a482310/  Peter Mladina on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/peter-mladina-177194125/  Benjamin Felix Quote on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix/status/1760356591000301739  Robb Engen — https://boomerandecho.com/robb-engen/  Renaissance Technologies — https://www.rentec.com/Home.action?index=true  Long Blockchain Corp — https://cryptohead.io/acquisitions/long-blockchain/  Nick Maggiulli on X — https://x.com/dollarsanddata  Canadian Couch Potato Podcast — https://canadiancouchpotato.com/podcast/  Bitcoin Uncensored — https://www.podchaser.com/podcasts/bitcoin-uncensored-463350   Episode 335 - What About Warren Buffett — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/335  Episode 332: Randolph Cohen & Michael Green — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/332   Papers From Today's Episode:    'Beyond the Status Quo: A Critical Assessment of Lifecycle Investment Advice' — https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4590406 ‘Action Bias among Elite Soccer Goalkeepers: The Case of Penalty Kicks' — https://www.researchgate.net/publication/222676583_Action_Bias_among_Elite_Soccer_Goalkeepers_The_Case_of_Penalty_Kicks

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 338 - Peter Mladina: Factor Betas and ICAPM in Practice

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 2, 2025 68:47


In today's episode, we unpack how rigorous research translates into actionable strategies for wealth management. Ben and Mark are joined by Peter Mladina, Executive Director of Portfolio Research at Northern Trust Wealth Management and professor at UCLA. With an impressive body of published work and practical innovations like his goals-based asset allocation software, Peter offers a unique perspective on bridging the gap between theory and practice. The conversation delves into foundational topics like asset allocation and factor models, with a special focus on practical applications of research in wealth management. Peter shares insights from his research, including intriguing findings on factor investing and joint tests of market efficiency. From real estate investment trusts to the nuances of the Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM), the discussion covers how these concepts can directly inform financial planning and portfolio construction. Tune in to explore the intersection of academic insight and everyday financial decision-making! Key Points From This Episode:   (0:00:17) Introducing Peter Mladina and his wealth management research. (0:04:00) Theoretical and practical shortcomings of Markowitz's Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT). (0:05:24) How the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) resolves MPT's shortcomings, and how the Intertemporal CAPM (ICAPM) resolves the CAPM and MPT's shortcomings. (0:10:16) Key distinctions between an optimal ICAPM portfolio and an optimal CAPM portfolio. (0:15:33) Allocating between liability hedge assets and risky assets, and when it's sensible for individual investors to try to fully hedge consumption liabilities. (0:20:14) The role of Monte Carlo simulation and human capital in building ICAPM portfolios. (0:24:15) Steps for practitioners starting with ICAPM and how to advise their clients. (0:37:18) Insights from Peter's papers on factor models: why common risk factors should explain returns across most asset classes. (0:40:11) The value of looking at asset classes through a factor lens. (0:41:54) Main factors Peter uses in his research and observations on the zoo of factors. (0:46:23) Takeaways from Peter's paper on real estate (and why he doesn't like it that much). (0:56:45) Unpacking hedge fund returns and factor models and Yale's endowment performance. (01:02:44) Peter's research on traded portfolios and jointly testing factor models and manager performance. (01:07:14) How Peter defines success, both professionally and personally.   Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFP Peter Mladina on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/peter-mladina-177194125/ Peter Mladina on SSRN — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=890472 Northern Trust — https://www.northerntrust.com/ Episode 169: John Cochrane — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/169   Papers From Today's Episode:  ‘Real Estate Betas and the Implications for Asset Allocation' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3134732 ‘An ICAPM Framework for Asset Allocation' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4319731 ‘An ICAPM for Goals-Based Investing' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4943241 'Portfolios for Long-Term Investors' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3790823 ‘Yale's Endowment Returns: Manager Skill or Risk Exposure?' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2959074

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 336 - Steve Utkus: Investor Beliefs and Financial Advice

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 19, 2024 82:01


What shapes investor beliefs and behaviours? Steve Utkus, a leading expert in investor behaviour and former Global Head of Investor and Retirement Research at Vanguard, brings decades of groundbreaking insights to this episode. Drawing on exclusive access to Vanguard's anonymized client data and investor surveys, Steve uncovers the intricate links between what people believe and how they invest. In the first half, he reveals surprising findings from his research into investor beliefs and portfolio decisions. The second half dives into the impact of financial advisors, both human and robotic, on improving investor outcomes. Steve's reflections, enriched by years of collaboration with academic leaders and personal conversations with Vanguard founder Jack Bogle, offer a rare window into the world of data-driven financial research. Join us today for this fascinating conversation as we unpack fresh perspectives on investor behaviour and the evolving role of financial advice! Key Points From This Episode:   (0:00:20) The importance of understanding investor belief, Steve's unique approach to studying it, and the benefits of using survey data. (0:08:37) Understanding the effects of individual beliefs on portfolio equity shares. (0:13:40) How equity sensitivity varies with things like trading frequency and how observed sensitivity compares with predictions of an asset pricing model. (0:17:27) The variation of beliefs across different groups and the strong effect of being a pessimist, optimist, or having a middle-of-the-road perspective. (0:21:29) Investor cash flow expectations, how it affects stock return expectations, and how it aligns with models of equilibrium. (0:24:35) The impact of stock market disaster expectations on future stock returns and the effect of COVID-19 on investor expectations. (0:33:37) ESG investing motives, portfolio impact, and the role of financial returns. (0:38:35) Unpacking the impact of robo-advisors on previously DIY investors and who benefits. (0:45:21) Pros and cons of human financial advisors: the needs they satisfy over robo-advisors. (0:53:12) How unadvised investors' needs differ from those who get financial advice. (0:54:04) What determines how much value investors place on financial advice and how they think about the trade-offs between fees and the value of advice. (01:00:00) Reasons traditionally-advised people give for not switching to robo-advising. (01:03:15) Having a relationship with a good advisor: how it impacts investor behaviour through poor market performance periods, and the importance of frequent quality communication. (01:13:07) The key attributes of a high-retention advisor and what they should be focusing on. (01:19:02) Success, retirement, timing, and knowing when to leave, according to Steve.   Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFP Steve Utkus on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/steveutkus/ Episode 278: Juhani Linnainmaa — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/278   Books From Today's Episode: Bogle on Mutual Funds — https://www.amazon.com/Bogle-Mutual-Funds-Perspectives-Intelligent/dp/111908833X   Papers From Today's Episode:  ‘Political Cycles and Stock Returns' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2920401 Scott Cederburg Paper — ‘The Diversification and Welfare Effects of Robo-advising' — https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0304405X24000928 ‘Who Benefits from Robo-advising? Evidence from Machine Learning' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3552671 ‘Human Financial Advice in the Age of Automation' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4301514 ‘The Misguided Beliefs of Financial Advisors' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3101426

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 334 - Magnus Reitan: Managing (Significant) Family Wealth

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 5, 2024 30:26


How do you balance family values, evidence-based investing, and building long-term wealth? In this episode, we are joined by Magnus Reitan, CEO of Reitan Kapital, to discuss his evidence-based approach to wealth management. Reitan Kapital is a leading investment firm specializing in index fund strategies and innovative portfolio optimization techniques. Under his leadership, the firm has become a key player in the investment industry, known for its analytical approach and commitment to sustainable and effective financial solutions. In our conversation, we delve into the disciplined, evidence-based philosophy driving Reitan Kapital's investment strategy, the importance of simplicity in managing wealth, and the lessons he's learned as an investor and a leader. We also explore the nuances around managing family wealth, unpack the importance of aligning investment strategies with family and business goals, and uncover the influence of Norway's Sovereign Wealth Fund on Reitan Kapital's approach. Join us as we explore the intersection of finance, legacy, and innovation and learn why a low-cost, evidence-based investment strategy works with Magnus Reitan. Tune in now!   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:03:27) The Reitan family's journey from a single grocery store to a multinational group. (0:04:20) How Reitan Kapital fits into the broader Reitan Group and how it started. (0:06:35) Discover how Reitan Kapital defines risk and the role of access liquidity.  (0:08:06) Magnus shares how he developed his personal investment philosophy. (0:09:33) Hear how his personal interest in finance led to founding Reitan Kapital. (0:11:24) Explore the differences between managing a business and a family portfolio. (0:12:26) Why the company chose to hire a CIO who was not part of the Reitan family. (0:13:59) Reitan Kapital's values: long-term perspective, diversification, liquidity, and low costs. (0:17:37) Hear how the family decided on and agreed to the company's investment approach. (0:18:58) Asset allocation at Reitan Kapital and the reasons behind its approach. (0:21:50) Avoiding portfolio complexity and the benefits of evidence-based investing. (0:24:30) The influence of Norway's Sovereign Wealth Fund on Reitan Kapital's philosophy. (0:26:07) Sources of information for learning about portfolio management and financial markets. (0:27:00) Lessons and key takeaways from the recent Reitan Kapital investor conference. (0:29:38) He shares his definition of success and why passion is important.   Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Magnus Reitan on LinkedIn — https://linkedin.com/in/magnus-reitan-3a6b90225/ Reitan Kapital — https://reitan.no/no/selskap/170/reitan-kapital Reitan Retail — https://reitanretail.no/en Reitan Eiendom — https://reitan.no/no/selskap/171/reitan-eiendom Episode 321: Evidence in Practice with Håkon Kavli — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/321 Håkon Kavli on LinkedIn — https://linkedin.com/in/haakonkavli/ Sindre Drevland on LinkedIn — https://linkedin.com/in/sindredrevland/

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 333 - The Presidential Puzzle: Trump's Win and Expected Stock Returns

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 28, 2024 43:44


What does Trump's re-election mean for the markets? In this episode, Ben and Mark explore The Presidential Puzzle, a phenomenon revealing that equity risk premiums have historically been higher under Democratic presidencies than Republican ones. With Trump returning to office as the 47th U.S. president, they examine how voter risk aversion shapes political outcomes and market expectations, offering surprising insights into this intriguing connection between politics and investing. They also delve into market timing pitfalls, the importance of diversification, and how financial advisors can help investors navigate emotionally charged decisions. To wrap up, Ben and Mark reflect on listener perspectives and explore the intriguing future of Bitcoin in finance. Tune in to learn what Trump's win means for expected stock returns and more! Key Points From This Episode: (0:00:18) Mark and Ben's experiences at the Physician Financial Independence Conference. (0:06:53) Republicans vs. Democrats: What the election results mean for the stock market. (0:09:09) The Presidential Puzzle and how belief informs asset choices among voters. (0:15:12) How risk aversion and the economy impact election outcomes and expected returns. (0:20:08) What investors should and should not do with this information. (0:24:38) The dangers of making financial decisions based on emotional predictions. (0:30:02) Unpacking the relationship between global risk aversion and U.S. presidencies. (0:31:20) Our aftershow segment: digging into recent reviews, the podcast topic puzzle, Ben's recent trip to Boston, and Bitcoin.   Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital — https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582 Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.ca Benjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFP Episode 217: The Expected Returns of Financial Literacy — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/217 Episode 313: When Should You Hire a Financial Advisor? — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/313 Episode 124: Ľuboš Pástor — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/124 Papers From Today's Episode:  ‘Belief Disagreement and Portfolio Choice' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3934061 ‘Political Cycles and Stock Returns' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2920401 ‘The Presidential Puzzle: Political Cycles and the Stock Market' — https://www.jstor.org/stable/3648176

Sound Investing
The Magic of Goal Setting

Sound Investing

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 27, 2024 41:42


As this podcast is being released on Thanksgiving Day Paul begins by thanking those people who choose to follow the Foundation's work, those who forward our articles, podcasts and videos to others, and those who donate time and money to the Foundation. He also addresses the challenges of living at three different homes (Bainbridge Island, Portland and Rancho Mirage) in 2024.  We know some donations have been lost in the mail.   Our concern is people will declare a charitable deduction that did not actually happen.  By the way, the permanent address of the Foundation is now - 2445 NW Westover Road #311, Portland, Oregon 97210. Paul comments on his challenges in recommending cryptocurrency. Finally he discusses the life changing impact of goal setting.   The following are articles and videos on goal setting from some of the Truth Tellers Paul recommends. Jim Dahle writes to young doctors but the information is usually good for all people who are putting together a financial plan. The Power of Focus in Your Financial Life Jonathan Clements is struggling with cancer and for anyone facing death sooner than expected, and the goal setting that might be considered, I think you will find his journey worth reading. The C Word. William Bernstein has recently updated his best selling , “The Four Pillars of Investing.”  In this short introduction you will hopefully decided it's worth reading the rest of the book. Here is a podcast that you won't want to miss.  Larry Swedroe is interviewed by another Truth Teller, Ben Felix and Cameron Passmore.  The book they discuss has been updated since the interview.  "Your Complete Guide to a Successful and Secure Retirement" is one of the best books I know for those trying to address the many important retirement goals.  While Christine Benz is the Director of Personal Finance at Morningstar I thought it might be interesting to get her take on the non-financial plans we should consider.  Her new book has  become a best seller.  How to Retire: 20 lessons for a happy, successful, and wealthy retirement.

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 332 - Randolph Cohen & Michael Green: How Concerned Should We Be About Index Funds?

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 21, 2024 117:56


Hosts Ben Felix and Cameron Passmore welcome Harvard Business School senior lecturer Randy Cohen and Simplify Asset Management's Mike Green for an in-depth debate about passive investing's impact on financial markets. They explore whether the rise of index funds and target date funds poses systemic risks, discussing market efficiency, price elasticity, and implications for investors.   Whether you're trying to understand the mechanics of passive investing or evaluating potential market risks, this episode provides a balanced debate between two leading thinkers with contrasting views on one of today's most important market structure questions. Key Points From This Episode: (0:00:15) Introduction and context setting from Cameron and Ben (0:06:03) Defining passive investing and discussion of current market share (estimated 45%) (0:16:10) Mike Green's critical concerns about the rise of passive investing (0:28:11) Debate on target date funds and their impact on market stability (0:54:57) Analysis of elasticity, valuations, and market structure (1:24:33) Discussion of forward market returns and investment implications (1:36:00) Practical implications for individual investors (1:44:38) Examining why many experts seem unconcerned about passive risks (1:50:56) Concluding thoughts on market valuations and policy implications   Links From Today's Episode:   Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on Apple Podcasts — https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582 Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/@rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.ca Benjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Randy Cohen on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/randolph-cohen-ph-d-49a52410b/ Mike Green on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-green-9a15142/  

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 331 - Cameron in Norway: The Indexing Revolution, and Key Lessons from Past Guests

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 14, 2024 60:49


In today's episode, Cameron sits down with Mark McGrath to talk about his trip to Trondheim, Norway, the event he attended there, and his presentation in which he shared top lessons from prestigious Rational Reminder Podcast guests. Tuning in, you'll hear Cameron's top takeaways from conversations with Nobel laureate Eugene Fama and his collaborator Kenneth French, as well as Robert Merton, Antti Ilmanen, Professor Ludovic Phalippou, and more. We also delve into the changing industry trends regarding index investing and the many benefits that come with embracing it, including how it helps financial advisors better serve their clients. Stay tuned for our after-show section, where we discuss advice for new advisors, from developing a robust investment philosophy to building a network, along with insights to help consumers navigate the industry and much more. To learn all about Cameron's trip to Norway, top guest takeaways, and industry trends around index investing, be sure to tune in!   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:01:13) An overview of today's episode and a discussion on industry trends. (0:03:56) Our conversation with Håkon Kavli on managing Reitan Kapital. (0:04:38) What it was like for Cameron to meet Håkon Kavli and Magnus Reitan in Norway. (0:05:42) The excellent event in Trondheim, Norway, and their impressive lineup of speakers. (0:08:56) Unpacking industry trends in index investing and why more people are embracing it. (0:09:42) The light bulb moment for Mark and Cameron regarding index investing. (0:19:07) Highlights from our interviews with Eugene Fama, Ken French, and Robert Merton. (0:25:28) Dr. Annamaria Lusardi's insights and takeaways from our John Cochrane interview. (0:29:05) Top lessons from our conversation with Antti Ilmanen on low-expected returns. (0:30:58) Insights from talking with Professor Ludovic Phalippou about private equity. (0:32:22) Closing thoughts on Cameron's presentation in Norway and index investing trends. (0:39:44) Our aftershow segment: advice for new advisors, ways the industry has changed, tips for consumers, technology insights, personal updates, and more.   Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFP Episode 321: Evidence in Practice with Håkon Kavli – https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/321 Professor Marcos López de Prado — https://www.orie.cornell.edu/faculty-directory/marcos-lopez-de-prado Erik Hilde — https://www.linkedin.com/in/erik-hilde-9570a785/?originalSubdomain=no Dan Bortolotti — https://www.canadianmoneysaver.ca/authors/dan-bortolotti Canadian Couch Potato Blog — https://canadiancouchpotato.com/ Canadian Couch Potato Podcast — https://canadiancouchpotato.com/podcast/ Justin Bender — https://www.linkedin.com/in/justin-bender-cfa-cfp%C2%AE-tep-195b8b27/?originalSubdomain=ca Episode 200: Prof. Eugene Fama — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/200 Tune Out the Noise — https://www.dimensional.com/film Episode 100: Prof. Kenneth French — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/100 Episode 234: Prof. Robert C. Merton — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/234 Episode 232: Dr. Annamaria Lusardi — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/232 Episode 169: Prof. John Cochrane — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/169 Episode 202: Antti Ilmanen – https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/202 Episode 210: Prof. Ludovic Phalippou — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/210 Fama and French Three Factor Model — https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/famaandfrenchthreefactormodel.asp Books From Today's Episode: Investing Amid Low Expected Returns — http://www.aqr.com/serenity The Empowered Investor — https://www.amazon.ca/Empowered-Investor-Canadian-Investment-Experience/dp/0991978307  

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 330 - Davidson Heath: How Are Index Funds Affecting Financial Markets and Corporate Governance?

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 7, 2024 44:20


What happens when index investing dominates the market? In this episode, we're joined by Davidson Heath, Assistant Professor of Finance at the University of Utah David Eccles School of Business, to explore this question and its surprising answers. Davidson's research dives into the unintended impacts of passive investing, examining how it influences price stability, corporate governance, and even the way we define shareholder responsibility. He unpacks how index funds, while supporting price efficiency, may be weakening governance structures by reducing shareholder oversight, a shift that could have lasting effects on corporate accountability. We also discuss the promise and limitations of socially responsible investing (SRI), as Davidson introduces the term “impact washing” to describe how some SRI funds fail to achieve real change despite their green branding. In a forward-looking segment, Davidson shares insights on the collaboration between AI and human intelligence in finance, giving a reassuring perspective on the future of machine and human co-existence in complex decision-making. This episode is a must-listen for anyone curious about the hidden dynamics of passive investing and the evolving role of technology in finance!   Key Points From This Episode: (0:02:22) Davidson's paper On Index Investing; Why active managers are important to indexing. (0:08:42) Conclusions on how index investing is affecting price efficiency. (0:11:10) The role of shareholders in corporate governance. (0:13:06) How the incentives of index funds to monitor portfolio firms differ from active funds. (0:15:10) Measuring how well index or active funds are monitoring the companies they own. (0:16:54) How the expense ratios of index funds affect their quality of monitoring. (0:18:08) What shareholders can do to monitor and make themselves heard. (0:20:31) How index fund ownership affects other firm-level governance issues. (0:21:30) Recap and takeaways on index funds and the market. (0:25:39) The impact of socially responsible investing (SRI) and how successful they are at selecting firms with better environmental, social, and governance (ESG) characteristics. (0:28:08) Unpacking “impact washing” in SRI funds and its consequences. (0:33:04) Insights on how ETFs are replicating index funds. (0:37:03) The implications of Davidson's findings for index ETF investors and the markets. (0:38:57) Details on Davidson's Cyborg Trading project and how it's using AI to complement human intelligence. (0:42:42) How Davidson defines success: being a part of a worthwhile endeavour.   Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFP Davidson Heath — https://davidsontheath.github.io/ Davidson Heath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/davidson-heath-5a28999a/ Davidson Heath on Google Scholar — https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=Fr-HyLEAAAAJ&hl=en Cyborg — https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0097138/   Papers From Today's Episode:  ‘On Index Investing' — https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3055324 ‘Do Index Funds Monitor?' — https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhab023 ‘Does Socially Responsible Investing Change Firm Behavior?' — https://doi.org/10.1093/rof/rfad002 ‘The Rise of Passive Investing and Active Mutual Fund Skill' — https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4190266 ‘Counterproductive Sustainable Investing: The Impact Elasticity of Brown and Green Firms' — https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4359282

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 328 - Prof. Stephen R. Foerster: Pursuing the Perfect Portfolio

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 24, 2024 69:56


Have you ever wondered how the world's top financial thinkers shaped the way we invest today? In this episode, Ben and Cameron sit down with Professor Stephen Foerster from the Ivey Business School to explore the evolution of modern investing. As a distinguished financial expert and co-author of In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio, Professor Foerster dives into the groundbreaking work of financial pioneers like Harry Markowitz, Bill Sharpe, Gene Fama, and others, unpacking their remarkable contributions to portfolio management, risk assessment, and market efficiency as we know it today. Tuning in, you'll gain a deeper understanding of Markowitz's revolutionary diversification theory, Sharpe's introduction of beta as a risk measure, and Fama's Efficient Market Hypothesis, as well as each of their perspectives on the “perfect portfolio,” tying together the history, theory, and practical application of modern investment strategies. Whether you're looking to sharpen your strategy or build your investment knowledge from the ground up, this conversation with Professor Foerster is packed with actionable takeaways and fascinating stories that could change the way you approach your financial future. Don't miss this opportunity to learn from the thought leaders who shaped the market!   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:03:29) Contrasting the historical art of investing with the modern science of investing. (0:04:44) Markowitz's diversification theory and the importance of balancing risk and return. (0:09:39) Sharpe's capital asset pricing model (CAPM) and his contribution to measuring risk. (0:16:13) Insight into Fama's Efficient Markets Hypothesis and the joint hypothesis problem. (0:19:13) The rise of factor investing and the significance of Fama-French's three-factor model. (0:23:26) Unpacking Shiller and Fama's main point of disagreement on bubbles. (0:26:50) Bogle's perfect portfolio and persistence about the index fund, despite resistance. (0:29:37) How the Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) option pricing formula changed the world. (0:34:37) Ways that Merton contributed to portfolio theory and his take on TIPS. (0:36:20) Key takeaways from talks with Martin Leibowitz, Charlie Ellis, and Jeremy Siegel. (0:37:35) An interesting analogy for Professor Foerster's take on the “perfect portfolio.” (0:40:53) Correlation vs. causation in stock pricing and how it applies to factor investing. (0:46:38) Examples of masterly inactivity and investor lessons from Madoff's Ponzi scheme. (0:52:07) The dangers of FOMO, a SPACs cautionary tale, and lessons from value investors. (1:00:43) Winning at tennis vs. investing and risks of over-reliance on automated decisions. (1:06:02) Long-term lessons from pioneers in finance to improve investment strategies today.   Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — https://www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Professor Stephen Foerster — https://stephenrfoerster.com/ Ivey Business School — https://www.ivey.uwo.ca/ Stephen Foerster on LinkedIn – https://www.linkedin.com/in/stephen-foerster-26b85319/ Stephen Foerster on X – https://x.com/profsfoerster Stephen Foerster Books — https://www.amazon.com/stores/author/B001KDO1L0 ‘Cristiano Ronaldo snubbed Coca-Cola. The company's market value fell $4 billion.' — https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2021/06/16/cristiano-ronaldo-coca-cola/   Books From Today's Episode:   In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio: The Stories, Voices, and Key Insights of the Pioneers Who Shaped the Way We Invest — https://www.amazon.com/dp/0691229880 Trailblazers, Heroes, and Crooks: Stories to Make You a Smarter Investor — https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0DHLVYK1Q In Pursuit of the Unknown: 17 Equations That Changed the World — https://www.amazon.com/dp/0465085989 A History of Interest Rates — https://www.amazon.com/dp/0471732834 Winning the Loser's Game: Timeless Strategies for Successful Investing — https://www.amazon.com/dp/0071813659 Stocks for the Long Run — https://www.amazon.com/dp/1264269803/ Extraordinary Tennis For The Ordinary Player — https://www.amazon.com/dp/0517511991   Papers From Today's Episode:    ‘Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work' — https://doi.org/10.2307/2325486 ‘The Loser's Game' — https://doi.org/10.2469/faj.v31.n4.19 'The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities' — https://doi.org/10.1142/9789814759588_0001  

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 327 - Building Better Portfolios with Don Calcagni

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 17, 2024 58:41


What does it take to manage a $60 billion wealth management firm while keeping investment strategies grounded in scientific thinking? In this episode, we're joined by Don Calcagni, Chief Investment Officer at Mercer Advisors. Don chairs the firm's investment committee and provides guidance on mergers and acquisitions, investment integration, and long-term strategic planning. His expertise spans fiduciary oversight, portfolio management, private equity, and financial mathematics. In our conversation, we discuss how his firm constructs client portfolios, engages with academic and industry experts, and leverages a factor-based investment approach. He also explains the importance of having an investment philosophy rooted in fiduciary principles and delves into how Mercer Advisors manages fiduciary oversight for billions of dollars in assets across thousands of families. Explore the details of portfolio governance and the role of the firms's alternative investment platform space. Gain insights on value metrics, factor investing, and how Mercer works to provide a family-office experience for everyday clients. Tune in for a deep dive into portfolio construction and the evolving landscape of wealth management with Don Calcagni! Key Points From This Episode:   (0:05:22) Learn about Mercer Advisors and the range of services it has on offer. (0:07:10) Unpack Mercer Advisors' approach and philosophy to portfolio construction. (0:11:55) The Building Better Portfolio Summit and the purpose of the event. (0:17:08) How the meetings are structured and the main takeaways from the last event. (0:24:45) What topics cause extreme points of agreement and disagreement at the meetings. (0:29:21) Find out how takeaways from the events are implemented into client portfolios. (0:31:19) Mercer Advisors' recently launched alternative investment platform space. (0:40:23) Don shares valuable recommendations and advice for the average investor. (0:42:23) Aftershow: the controversy surrounding the RBC options trading incident. (0:49:57) Listener feedback, reviews, updates, and upcoming events.   Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFP Dan Bortolotti on LinkedIn — https://linkedin.com/in/dan-bortolotti-8a482310/  Canadian Couch Potato — https://canadiancouchpotato.com/blog/  Don Calcagni on LinkedIn — https://linkedin.com/in/donald-calcagni-8104b546/ Mercer Advisors — https://merceradvisors.com/ ‘Building Better Portfolios | 2023 Summit' — https://youtu.be/TWYukQogQPA Dimensional Fund Advisors — https://dimensional.com/ BlackRock — https://blackrock.com/ Avantis — https://avantisfi.com/ AQR — https://aqr.com Carlyle — https://carlyle.com/ Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) — https://www.rbcroyalbank.com Future Proof Festival — https://futureproofhq.com/festival/ Episode 316: Andrew Chen — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/316 Episode 323: Renting Versus Buying a Home in Canada 2005-2024 — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/323 Episode 325: Addressing 200+ Comments on Renting vs. Owning a Home — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/325   Papers From Today's Episode:    ‘Portfolio Selection' — https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1952.tb01525.x  

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 326 - Dr. Sunil Wahal: Applying Financial Science

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 10, 2024 76:36


What are the critical factors driving investment success? How can investors balance profitability and risk? In this episode, we sit down with Dr. Sunil Wahal, the Jack D. Furst Professor of Finance and Director of the Center for Responsible Investing at the W.P Carey School of Business at Arizona State University, to delve into the intricacies of financial science. With over 25 years of academic and practical experience, Dr. Wahal shares his unique perspective on factor investing, profitability premiums, and how to approach value investing in today's complex financial environment. He talks about the joint distribution of value and profitability, explains how profitability premiums work, and discusses the challenges faced when integrating academic research into practical investing strategies. Dr. Wahal also touches on common misconceptions in financial theory, the long-term benefits of maintaining a diversified investor base, and why understanding the nuances of financial risk is key to avoiding costly mistakes. Gain insights into building a successful investment portfolio grounded in the principles of financial science and how to avoid common pitfalls in factor investing. Join us to hear actionable strategies for balancing risk, understanding factors, and applying academic research to real-world scenarios with Dr. Sunil Wahal! Key Points From This Episode:   (0:04:15) Dr. Wahal's work on profitability, data sourcing challenges, and its significance. (0:08:01) The impact of controlling the value of the profitability premium. (0:10:08) Correlations between value and profitability and the benefits of “tilted” portfolios. (0:14:48) Steps for unleveraged long-term investors to build profitable portfolios. (0:17:27) How the joint distribution of value and profitability differs from a profitability screen. (0:20:43) Approaches of large financial firms to implementing value and profitability in portfolios. (0:24:41) Time horizons for tiled portfolios and their expected returns after cost.  (0:30:53) Insight into how institutions decide on which investment managers to hire and fire. (0:38:00) Exploring how the hiring and firing of managers affects institutional performance.  (0:40:16) Ways the relationships with institutions influence hiring decisions and performance. (0:44:35) Uncover how institutions select which private market firms to invest in. (0:48:58) Key takeaway lessons from Dr. Wahal's research for institutional investors. (0:50:52) Why frequently hiring and terminating managers may not be the best approach. (0:52:32) Advice for retail investors and the importance of cost in managing portfolios. (0:59:22) Reasons that institutions avoid indexing and the competitiveness of mutual funds. (1:02:29) How diversification among mutual fund investors affects performance. (1:09:19) Performance overview of actively managed global equity mutual funds. (1:12:35) The role of practitioner interaction and his concept of success. Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/  Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Sunil Wahal on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/sunil-wahal/ W. P. Carey School of Business — https://wpcarey.asu.edu/ Avantis Investors — https://www.avantisinvestors.com/ Dimensional Fund Advisors — https://www.dimensional.com/ UpWork — https://www.upwork.com NVIDIA — https://www.nvidia.com Episode 316: Andrew Chen — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/316   Books From Today's Episode:   The Interpretation of Financial Statements — https://www.amazon.com/dp/0887309135   Papers From Today's Episode:    ‘Long-Term Shareholder Returns: Evidence from 64,000 Global Stocks' — https://doi.org/10.1080/0015198X.2023.2188870 ‘Long-Run Stock Market Returns: Probabilities of Big Gains and Post-Event Returns' — https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3873010 ‘Prudential Uncertainty Causes Time-Varying Risk Premiums' — https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2176896 ‘A Five-Factor Asset Pricing Model' — https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2287202 ‘Do Institutional Investors Exacerbate Managerial Myopia?' — https://doi.org/10.1016/S0929-1199(00)00005-5

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 323 - Renting Versus Buying a Home in Canada 2005-2024

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 19, 2024 79:23


Is renting just “throwing money away,” or could it be the smarter financial choice? In this episode, we dive deep into one of the most debated topics in personal finance: renting versus owning a home. In our conversation, we discuss the nuances of renting versus owning, the hidden costs of buying a home, and the importance of saving discipline. Tuning in, you'll discover how emotional biases may inflate real estate prices and how societal pressures influence housing decisions. Then, we shift our focus to a listener's question about interest rates and bonds. Dan explains how bond prices and yields work inversely and delves into the concept of bond duration. He also breaks down how long and short-term bonds react to interest rate changes and why the Bank of Canada's influence on bond markets may not always be straightforward. Join us as we investigate the pros and cons of renting versus buying and how to leverage bonds effectively in a dynamic interest rate environment! Key Points From This Episode:   (0:03:54) Exploring the common belief that owning a home is universally better. (0:09:13) How buying and renting in Canada compares to other countries. (0:10:58) Some of the inherent risks of renting versus buying in Canada. (0:17:01) Methods to test how housing performed as an asset with examples. (0:21:04) The importance of analyzing real data, and Ben presents his findings.  (0:31:03) How housing costs influence the financial outcome of renting versus owning. (0:35:51) Ways that mortgages, housing costs, and forced savings affect wealth accumulation. (0:47:34) Unpacking how maintenance costs serve as a proportion of the building value. (0:52:45) Renting versus buying takeaways and the associated psychological factors. (1:00:37) Dan's take on whether long-term bonds can take advantage of falling interest rates. (1:10:55) Insight into how various market-driven factors influence the long-term return on bonds. (1:13:30) Aftershow: final takeaways, catch-up, news, and more.   Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFP Dan Bortolotti on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/dan-bortolotti-8a482310 Canadian Couch Potato — https://canadiancouchpotato.com/ Future Proof Conference — https://futureproofhq.com/ CMHC (Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation) Rental Market Survey Data — https://www.cmhc-schl.gc.ca/professionals/housing-markets-data-and-research/housing-data/data-tables/rental-market/rental-market-report-data-tables Episode 196: Sebastien Betermier — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/196 Episode 308: Dan Bortolotti — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/308 Statistics Canada — https://www.statcan.gc.ca/ Bank of Canada — https://www.bankofcanada.ca/ National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries (NCREIF) — https://www.ncreif.org/ REALTOR.ca — https://www.realtor.ca/ Kevin Prins — https://www.bmoetfs.ca/specialists/kevin-prins BMO Canadian ETF — https://www.bmoetfs.ca/ Financial Planning Association of Canada — https://www.fpassociation.ca/   Papers From Today's Episode:    ‘Assessing High House Prices: Bubbles, Fundamentals and Misperceptions' — https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/089533005775196769&ref=josephnoelwalker.com ‘Lessons from Over 30 Years of Buy versus Rent Decisions: Is the American Dream Always Wise?' — https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6229.2011.00321.x ‘Perception of House Price Risk and Homeownership' — https://www.nber.org/papers/w25090 ‘Owner-Occupied Housing as a Hedge Against Rent Risk' — https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/120.2.763 ‘To Rent or Buy? A 30-Year Perspective' — https://www.financialplanningassociation.org/article/journal/MAY18-rent-or-buy-30-year-perspective ‘Are Renters Being Left Behind?: Homeownership and Wealth Accumulation in Canadian Cities' — http://hdl.handle.net/2429/50413 ‘The Life-Cycle Effects of House Price Changes' — https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/frbp/assets/working-papers/2005/wp05-7.pdf ‘Depreciation of Housing Capital, Maintenance, and House Price Inflation: Estimates From a Repeat Sales Model' — https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jue.2006.07.007 ‘Characteristics of Depreciation in Commercial and Multifamily Property: An Investment Perspective' — https://doi.org/10.1111/1540-6229.12156 ‘Homeownership and Psychological Resources Among Older Adults: Do Gender and Mortgage Status Moderate Homeownership Effects?' — https://doi.org/10.1177/08982643211029174  

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 322 - Prof. Marco Sammon: How are Passive Investors Affecting the Stock Market?

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2024 69:15


Can we really understand the impact of passive ownership on the US market? Marco Sammon is an Assistant Professor in the Finance Unit at Harvard Business School. During this episode, he joins us to share deep insights into the complex and counter-intuitive nature of the index fund revolution. To kick off our conversation, we discuss some of the challenges associated with getting a true understanding of the scope of passive ownership across the US. Distinguishing between different approaches to investment, we begin to unpack Marco's paper with Alex Chinco, titled ‘The Passive-Ownership Share Is Double What You Think It Is'. We touch on the relevance of Grossman Stiglitz in 2024, pricing and reconstitution, and the ins and outs of employee stock and compensation. Using the case studies of huge global firms, we consider how to best accommodate passive demand. Lastly, as an index investor who does not own index funds, Marco shares his opinion on whether index funds have had a net positive or negative impact on financial markets. Tune in today to get a more dynamic view of the complex world of index funding and investment. Key Points From This Episode: (0:00:45) Index funds, index and passive investments, and why Professor Marco Sammon is perfectly positioned to unpack these concepts.  (0:03:36) The challenges of understanding just how big passive ownership is in the US market.  (0:08:16) Distinguishing between partial investment, direct investment and passive funds.  (0:10:14) Important concepts on the closing auction and which indexes Marco focuses on.  (0:15:50) Defining the Grossman-Stiglitz framework and its validity in 2024.  (0:20:36) Evolving ideas around pricing and reconstitution over time.  (0:23:05) Why indexing is a fixed-point problem and how to measure market efficiency.  (0:32:19) Nuances of security demands around indexing and how it differs from other investors.   (0:38:02) Employee compensation and reverse causality as illustrated by Marco's friend.  (0:42:10) Why it is important to distinguish between equal-weighted and value-weighted.  (0:44:13) How huge firms like Facebook and Tesla accommodate passive demand.  (0:48:19) Conditions that affect the responsiveness of firms in accommodating passive demand.   (0:51:13) The ‘Dead Reckoning' metaphor to describe how we can know who is clearing the market. (01:02:22) Marco's thoughts on whether index funds have had a net positive or negative impact.   Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Marco Sammon — https://marcosammon.com/ Marco Sammon on X — https://x.com/mcsammon19  Episode 302: Michael Green — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/302 Papers From Today's Episode:  ‘The Passive-Ownership Share Is Double What You Think It Is' — https://www.hbs.edu/ris/Publication%20Files/double-what-you-think-it-is%20may%2023_3c1ae213-5aec-407d-b656-13e3822f0b8b.pdf ‘On the Impossibility of Informationally Efficient Markets' — http://www.dklevine.com/archive/refs41908.pdf  ‘Capital Asset Prices With and Without Negative Holding' — https://ideas.repec.org/p/ris/nobelp/1990_003.html Do Demand Curves for Stock Slope Down? — https://www.jstor.org/stable/2328486/ 

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 321 - Evidence in Practice with Håkon Kavli

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 5, 2024 96:14


How can the Rational Reminder Podcast get even better? By bringing back one of its most beloved voices, Dan Bortolotti, also known as "The Spud." In this exciting episode, hosts Ben Felix, Cameron Passmore, and Mark McGrath announce that Dan, the mind behind the Canadian Couch Potato Podcast, will now be a regular guest, contributing segments like "Bad Investment Advice" or "Ask the Spud.” Before Dan joins the conversation, we have an insightful discussion with Håkon Kavli, CIO of Reitan Kapital. Håkon shares how his team manages the wealth of one of Norway's most prominent families, comparable to Canada's Weston family. We discuss Reitan Kapital's evidence-based investing approach, their robust methods for overcoming portfolio optimization challenges, and much more. Håkon also sheds light on their upcoming investing conference in Norway, featuring speakers like our very own, Cameron Passmore, and Marcos López de Prado. Following this, Dan kicks off his return by dissecting an article that advocates going all-in on the QQQ ETF in an RRSP, exposing the dangers of such a concentrated and risky strategy. He contrasts this approach with the wisdom of diversifying across global markets, using examples like Vanguard's VEQT ETF, which offers exposure to over 13,000 stocks worldwide. Additionally, if you're a financial advisor interested in joining a planning-focused, fiduciary firm like PWL Capital, we encourage you to reach out. Our team is growing, and we're looking for like-minded individuals to join our mission. Tune in for a rich mix of expert advice, thoughtful discussions, and exciting announcements! Key Points From This Episode:   (0:00:28) Announcements: a new regular guest, PWL's call for like-minded advisors, and more. (0:04:15) Introducing Håkon Kavli, the Reitan family, and the origins of Reitan Kapital. (0:08:06) Reitan Kapital's investment philosophy and asset allocation strategy. (0:10:29) The biggest differences between a Reitan Kapital portfolio and a market portfolio. (0:13:19) Capital market assumptions; how they influence Reitan Kapital's investment process. (0:20:38) Portfolio optimization challenges and Reitan's robust methods for addressing these. (0:35:06) The role of private equity in a diversified portfolio and how it differs from public equity. (0:38:40) Fee structure significance in private equity investments and their impact on returns. (0:40:38) Risks associated with private equity and how they compare to public markets. (0:43:36) Reitan Kapital's view on how private equity fits into a diversified portfolio. (0:49:08) Challenges of investing in private equity for retail investors.  (0:50:26) Why so many institutions and firms have substantial allocations to private markets. (0:53:58) An overview of the research Håkon is most excited about. (0:56:20) Details for the upcoming conference in Norway, featuring Cameron Passmore. (0:59:16) Dan's Bad Investment Advice segment; going all-in on the QQQ ETF in an RRSP. (01:13:12) Our aftershow segment: listener feedback, our next meetup in Ottawa, a shoutout to Jason Pereira, and more.   Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFP Dan Bortolotti — https://www.canadianmoneysaver.ca/authors/dan-bortolotti Dan Bortolotti on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/dan-bortolotti-8a482310/ Canadian Couch Potato Blog — https://canadiancouchpotato.com/ Canadian Couch Potato Podcast — https://canadiancouchpotato.com/podcast/ Episode 308: Dan Bortolotti — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/308 Håkon Kavli on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/haakonkavli/ Reitan — https://reitan.no/no Reitan Kapital — http://www.reitankapital.no/ Weston — https://www.weston.ca/en/Home.aspx Marcos Lopez de Prado — https://www.orie.cornell.edu/faculty-directory/marcos-lopez-de-prado Antti Ilmanen — https://www.aqr.com/About-Us/OurFirm/Antti-Ilmanen Episode 224: Prof. Scott Cederburg — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/224 Sharpe ratio — https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/sharperatio.asp Episode 210: Prof. Ludovic Phalippou — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/210 Reitan Kapital Conference — ‘An interesting RRSP idea – all in on QQQ?' — https://www.tawcan.com/all-in-on-qqq/ VEQT Vanguard All-Equity ETF Portfolio — https://www.vanguard.ca/en/investor/products/products-group/etfs/VEQT Mark Mid Graph on X — Jason Pereira — https://jasonpereira.ca/ Papers From Today's Episode:  ‘Estimating Private Equity Returns from Limited Partner Cash Flows' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2356553 ‘Mutual Fund Flows and Performance in Rational Markets' — https://www.nber.org/papers/w9275 ‘What are Stock Investors' Actual Historical Returns? Evidence from Dollar-Weighted Returns' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=544142

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 320 - Kyla Scanlon: In This Economy?!

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 29, 2024 53:51


Economics can often seem daunting, filled with complex theories and jargon that can leave the average person scratching their head. But today's guest, Kyla Scanlon, is on a mission to change that. In this episode, we have an insightful conversation with Kyla, a financial educator, content creator, and host of Wealthsimple's TLDR podcast, who has built a significant following by making economics accessible and engaging. Kyla's ability to break down complex topics into digestible, relatable content has resonated with a broad audience, from TikTok to YouTube, and today, she shares her journey with us.   Kyla began her career creating content during the GameStop frenzy, which quickly propelled her into the spotlight. She has since become a voice for the new generation, offering a fresh perspective on economics that is both informative and entertaining. Her book, In This Economy, provides a plain language overview of economics, aiming to help everyday people understand what's happening in the world around them.   In this episode, we explore various topics, including the role of vibes in the economy, the housing market, and the future of financial markets. Kyla also discusses her thoughts on the differences between investing, speculating, and gambling, and how these concepts play out in today's financial landscape.   Key Points From This Episode:   (00:03:22) Introduction to Kyla Scanlon and her journey into financial education. (00:07:12) The importance of making complex topics accessible to a broad audience. (00:10:45) Discussion on how Kyla's content creation career took off with GameStop. (00:14:32) The role of vibes and sentiment in the economy and how it influences market behavior. (00:17:55) Kyla's perspective on the housing market and why it's crucial for the economy. (00:22:06) The distinction between investing, speculating, and gambling. (00:26:43) Kyla's thoughts on the impact of social media on financial markets. (00:31:19) The importance of understanding economic indicators like GDP and inflation. (00:36:02) Why the Federal Reserve exists and its impact on the economy. (00:37:56) Fed's toolkit: rates, balance, guidance, market support. (00:42:03) Understanding economics can be difficult for many. (00:45:17) Social media: Tool with impact on economy. (00:46:47) Media's business model based on clicks, negativity. (00:49:53) Constantly seeking new projects, connecting people to economics. (00:53:10) Younger generation relies on social media for news.   Links From Today's Episode:   Rational Reminder on Apple Podcasts — https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582 Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/@rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.ca Benjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFP

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 319 - The Ultimate RRSP vs. TFSA Showdown

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 22, 2024 59:32


Which account should you choose, a registered retirement savings plan (RRSP) or a Tax-free savings account (TFSA)? This is one of the most common decisions that Canadians must make when it comes to investing, but it will also elicit some of the most passionate responses. RRSPs especially get a lot of undue skepticism, with some even labelling it as a scam. Today we take a deep dive into both of these savings accounts, exploring the downsides and benefits of each, and how to decide which account is right for you based on your savings goals. With the help of Conquest Planning, a specialized, in-depth modelling tool, we look at a range of scenarios incorporating different variables, like income and family size, and break down our analysis regarding the RRSP vs. TFSA decision for each scenario. We discuss key factors to consider, including the basic personal amount tax credit, which allows RRSPs to act as a tax flow-through, and the guaranteed income supplement (GIS), which can impact retirement planning. Our conversation also examines how to approach family size and longevity, as RRSPs become more advantageous with longer lifespans. Join us today to learn about the benefits and flexibility of each of these accounts, the surprising ways RRSPs often outperform TFSAs, and find out which one is right for you! Key Points From This Episode:   (0:00:20) An introduction to the RRSP vs. TFSA debate. (0:08:11) How we used the Conquest Planning tool and the scenarios we analyzed. (0:10:34) Taxation and contribution considerations and strategies for RRSPs and TFSAs. (0:20:11) An analysis of scenario one; $60,000 income and no children. (0:22:38) Basic personal amount tax credit; how it allows RRSPs to act as a tax flow-through. (0:27:20) The Guaranteed Income Supplement (GIS) and its impact on RRSP vs. TFSA analysis in different scenarios. (0:36:16) How GIS is tied to Old Age Security (OAS) payments. (0:41:12) An analysis of scenario two; a couple with two children, and the impact of the Canada Child Benefit on RRSP vs. TFSA contributions. (0:45:21) The impact of mortality and longevity on RRSP and TFSA in various scenarios. (0:47:01) Main takeaways from today's scenarios and the advice our hosts would give to different clients regarding TFSAs and RRSPs. (0:50:50) Why RRSPs are of greater benefit if you live longer compared to TFSAs. (0:52:13) Our aftershow section: listener feedback, what Ben is working on regarding renting versus buying, the zombie apocalypse, and more.   Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFP Brady Plunkett on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/brady-plunkett-712489105/ Lukas Fleck on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/lukasfleck/ Flossing for your Finances, Personal Financial Strategies for Dentists — https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9017236574029/WN_7O_JdvejRhmh-_LleBNRmQ#/registration Episode 317: Kevin Milligan — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/317   Papers From Today's Episode:  ‘Tax Uncertainty and Retirement Savings Diversification' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2799288  

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 318 - Assia Billig: Is Canada Pension Plan (CPP) Sustainable?

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 15, 2024 46:04


If you're in the Canada Pension Plan (CPP), then you won't want to miss today's conversation with Canada's Chief Actuary, Assia Billig. Assia's knowledge of the CPP is extensive, having joined the Office of the Chief Actuary (OCA) in 2008, where she was involved in the preparation of statutory actuarial reports on the Canada Pension Plan and Old Age Security Program. She has served as Chief Actuary of the Government of Canada since 2019, and, before joining the OCA, she worked in private pension consulting. She is also a Fellow of the Society of Actuaries and the Canadian Institute of Actuaries. Assia joins us today for a deep dive into the most common questions about the Canada Pension Plan, from the inner workings of its financial components to the quality of governance that drives it. Discover the world-leading topics she and her team investigate, the immense power and research behind their analysis, and why the CPP is set to be sustainable for the next 75 years. We also discuss the concerns some people have about the CPP's longevity, before examining how the actuarial report on the sustainability of the CPP, conducted every three years, reliably addresses this. If today's conversation with Canada's chief actuary does not instill confidence and pride in Canada's investment in our collective retirement, then we don't know what will! Tune in, to hear all of Assia's keen insights and discover why she is unequivocally the best person to talk about the sustainability of the CPP. Key Points From This Episode:   (0:00:18) Introducing today's guest, Assia Billig and the Canada Pension Plan (CPP). (0:04:53) What the main function of the Office of the Chief Actuary is. (0:06:28) The independence of Assia's office and the work that they do. (0:07:09) Unpacking the main purpose of the actuarial report on the Canada Pension Plan. (0:09:22) Changes that the report triggers to contribution or benefit rates. (0:13:04) Main revenue sources for the CPP and how base CPP benefit payments are funded. (0:14:56) Base CPP's funded status and how funding differs for additional CPP. (0:20:32) The sustainability of base and additional CPP and how sustainability is measured. (0:23:22) Primary assumptions that go into sustainability analysis at the high level. (0:27:31) Estimating expected returns for assets managed by CPP investments. (0:30:37) The plan's level of sensitivity to lower realized returns and other variables. (0:35:22) How lower overall economic growth and inequality affect the plan's sustainability. (0:37:15) Measuring the impact of variables like climate change and other catastrophic events. (0:43:01) When the minimum contribution rate exceeds the current legislated contribution rate. (0:44:12) Assia's response to people who are skeptical of the CPP's future sustainability.   Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFP Assia Billig — https://www.osfi-bsif.gc.ca/en/oca Assia Billig on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/assia-billig-9b861587/?originalSubdomain=ca

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 317 - An Economist's Perspective on Capital Gains Taxes with Kevin Milligan

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 8, 2024 82:48


Today, we sit down with Professor Kevin Milligan to unpack the recent capital gain changes and the complexities of the Canadian tax system. Kevin Milligan is a Professor of Economics at the Vancouver School of Economics, University of British Columbia. He holds positions as a Scholar-in-Residence at the C.D. Howe Institute and a Research Associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research. A two-time recipient of the Purvis Prize, Professor Milligan's work is recognized for its significant contributions to Canadian economic policy. His research focuses on public and labour economics, particularly concerning the economics of children and the elderly, along with tax and labour market policy issues. In our conversation, we dive deep into capital gains tax, the progressivity of the tax system, and the distribution of tax burdens among different income groups. We explore the intricate details of who bears the burden of corporate taxes, the impact of recent capital gains changes, and the intriguing relationship between income and longevity in Canada. Professor Milligan also shares insights from his research on longevity and the implications of tax policies on economic behaviour. Join us and uncover the truths about Canada's tax system, capital gains changes, and their profound impacts on Canadians. Tune in now!   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:07:20) Background about Professor Milligan and an outline of today's topic. (0:10:10) Complexities behind tax policy and recent capital gains changes in Canada. (0:14:22) Distribution of tax rates in Canada and how progressive the tax system is. (0:20:12) Analysis of how the Canadian tax system is applied to the top 1% of earners. (0:22:28) The theory behind capital income and how it relates to personal income tax. (0:26:40) Explanation of tax integration and how income tax accounts for corporate taxes. (0:29:53) Impact of the capital gains tax changes and Canada's overall tax progressivity. (0:40:55) How the new capital gains inclusion rate affects integration for incorporated business. (0:46:32) The interplay between corporate investment, capital taxation, and productivity. (0:54:11) Historical changes in tax rates and the shift of average tax rates over time. (0:57:14) His perspective on the increase of the capital gains inclusion rate in Canada. (0:58:35) Explore the correlation between income levels and longevity in Canada.  (1:03:30) Geographic longevity differences and policy implications for longevity. (1:07:55) Implications of longevity trends on personal financial planning. (1:13:24) Takeaways from a past episode, an update on Mark's book, and more.    Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p  Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder  Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFP Professor Kevin Milligan — https://sites.google.com/view/kevin-milligan/home Professor Kevin Milligan on X — https://x.com/kevinmilligan The Vancouver School of Economics — https://economics.ubc.ca/ C.D. Howe Institute — https://www.cdhowe.org/ National Bureau of Economic Research — https://www.nber.org/ Canadian Tax Journal — https://www.ctf.ca/EN/EN/Publications/CTJ.aspx Episode 316: Andrew Chen — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/316   Papers From Today's Episode:    ‘How Progressive is the Canadian Personal Income Tax? A Buffett Curve Analysis' — https://utpjournals.press/doi/10.3138/cpp.2021-087 ‘The Evolution of Longevity: Evidence from Canada' — https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/caje.12497

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 316 - Andrew Chen: "Is everything I was taught about cross-sectional asset pricing wrong?!"

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 1, 2024 43:37


Are you curious about the hidden factors driving your investment decisions? Today's guest is Andrew Chen, a Principal Economist at the Federal Reserve Board who focuses on monetary policy and financial stability. Published in leading journals, his research informs key policy decisions and helps shape the Federal Reserve's strategy for managing economic challenges effectively. In this episode, Andrew delves into the intricacies of meta-research and asset pricing, focusing on cross-sectional asset pricing predictors, replication, and out-of-sample performance in factor investing. We discuss the significance of open-source data and transparency, highlighting Andrew's creation of the Open Source Asset Pricing project, an indispensable and comprehensive dataset for asset pricing predictors. We also address the challenges of replicating financial studies, publication bias, data mining, and false discovery rates, with Andrew offering practical insights on how these factors impact financial research and investment decisions. For actionable insights that could refine your investment strategies and enhance your understanding of financial research, don't miss this fascinating conversation!   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:03:43) What an asset pricing factor is and how it differs from a predictor. (0:04:25) Three plausible explanations for why cross-sectional predictors exist. (0:05:45) Insight into Andrew's Open Source Asset Pricing project and why it's so important. (0:09:49) Where the results of his research diverge from other papers on the subject. (0:11:42) How the returns on anomalies in his data sample change post-publication. (0:12:33) Implications of this research for the “replication crisis” in cross-sectional asset pricing. (0:14:14) Challenges of false discovery rates, publication bias, and out-of-sample returns. (0:18:37) The effect of transaction costs on expected returns from factor investing. (0:22:02) Problems with estimating factor expected returns using historical data. (0:26:08) A big-picture view of the factors with the strongest investable expected returns. (0:29:12) The relative value of peer-reviewed factors with strong theoretical underpinnings. (0:35:13) Whether or not machine learning can be useful for asset pricing research. (0:37:39) Practical advice for using financial research to inform your investment decisions. (0:40:08) Andrew's take on the current state of cross-sectional asset pricing. (0:42:58) The simple way that Andrew defines success for himself.   Links From Today's Episode:   Rational Reminder on Apple Podcasts — https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582 Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/@rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFP Andrew Chen — https://sites.google.com/site/chenandrewy/ Federal Reserve Board — https://www.federalreserve.gov/ Andrew Chen on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/andrew-chen-63394169/ Andrew Chen on X — https://x.com/achenfinance Open Source Asset Pricing Project — https://www.openassetpricing.com/ Center for Research in Security Prices — https://www.crsp.org/   Books From Today's Episode:    The Adaptive Markets Hypothesis: An Evolutionary Approach to Understanding Financial System Dynamics — https://www.amazon.com/dp/0199681147   Papers From Today's Episode:    Andrew Chen, Tom Zimmermann, 'Open Source Cross-Sectional Asset Pricing'— https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3604626 Kewei Hou, Chen Xue, Lu Zhang, 'Replicating Anomalies' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3275496 R. David McLean, Jeffrey Pontiff, 'Does Academic Research Destroy Stock Return Predictability?' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2156623 Ilia D. Dichev, 'Is the Risk of Bankruptcy a Systematic Risk?' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=99868 Campbell R. Harvey, Yan Liu, Caroline Zhu, ‘…and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2249314 Andrew Chen, Mihail Velikov, ‘Zeroing in on the Expected Returns of Anomalies' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3073681 Andrew Chen, Alejandro Lopez-Lira, Tom Zimmermann, ‘Does Peer-Reviewed Research Help Predict Stock Returns?' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4308069  

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 315 - An Update from Avantis with Eduardo Repetto

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 25, 2024 58:31


During this episode, we welcome back Eduardo Repetto, Chief Investment Officer of Avantis Investors. In his leadership capacity, he directs research design and the implementation of strategies and oversees the investment team and marketing initiatives. Our conversation kicks off with Edoardo's explanation of how Avantis systemizes active management before we dive into strategies for launching in Europe and beyond. He weighs in on the most significant capacity issues that people face today, offering solutions to tweak your approach. We touch on what makes Avantis strategies preferable for advisors and Eduardo shares his insights on the future of small-cap value strategies for emerging markets. We discuss short-term reversals, towing the line between growth and value and factors that should inform asset allocation before diving deeper into small-cap value in the US and Canada. Tune in today to hear more.    Key Points From This Episode:   (0:05:51) What sets Avantis Investors apart from other investment firms.  (0:09:26) Five strategies for launching in Europe starting with free and equity UCITS. (0:14:00) Accessing UCITS and adapting strategies in accordance with currencies, geographical regulations and restrictions.  (0:22:49) The most significant capacity issue: an inability to invest cashflows.  (0:27:59) Feedback from the advisor community on why they are choosing Avantis strategies.  (0:32:43) Eduardo's view on the future potential for the emerging markets small cap value strategy.  (0:35:58) Improvements and adaptations to portfolio implementation at Avantis since 2019. (0:39:01) The controversial nature of short-term reversals and advice for investors thinking about growth and value. (0:44:40) What should inform asset-allocation decision-making. (0:45:46) The potential of expanding into a Canadian base.  (0:50:16) Mark's thoughts on small-cap value in the US and Canada.    Quotes:   “We have to adapt to the regulatory framework. But the strategies are the same. We manage the strategies in the same way, with the same people, with the same philosophy.” —  Eduardo Repetto (0:17:44) “Just expand the offering. Anywhere we go, we do the same because that's the right thing to do. That's the right thing to help people that trust you on day one.” —  Eduardo Repetto (0:21:52)   “So, if you think about our valuation, we are using today's profits as a proxy for future profits. Can you improve that proxy? Can you have something better to say, about not level, but changes in level?” —  Eduardo Repetto (0:41:16)   Links From Today's Episode: Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Eduardo Repetto on Linkedin — https://www.linkedin.com/in/eduardo-repetto-653231155/ Avantis Investors — https://www.avantisinvestors.com/ Episode 313 — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/313 Econompic  —  https://econompicdata.blogspot.com/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFP

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 314 - Professor Valentin Haddad: How Competitive is the Stock Market?

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2024 60:53


In this episode, we sit down with Professor Valentin Haddad to unpack the intricacies of market elasticity, passive investing, and the dynamic nature of financial markets. Valentin is an Associate Professor of Finance at UCLA Anderson School of Management and a research fellow for the National Bureau of Economic Research's Asset Pricing Program. His research focuses on how financial institutions trade, and manage risk, and their impact on market prices and the broader economy. Notably, his work challenges traditional assumptions, such as the perceived safety of life insurance companies' investments in Treasuries. In our conversation, we delve into the impact of index funds on the market, stock market bubbles around the development of new technology, and the response of investment-grade corporate bonds to the COVID-19 crisis. Discover the definition of demand elasticity, strategic interaction, and how market elasticity has changed over time. Explore how he defines a market bubble, ways stock market bubbles are related to new technology, and how to measure the value of innovation. We also discuss the impact of COVID-19 on investment-grade corporate bonds, the Federal Reserve's response, the implications for bond safety, and much more. Tune in and join us as we uncover the mess of the market with Professor Valentin Haddad!   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:03:10) The impact of passive investing on financial markets, what investors' demand elasticity is, and the role of index funds. (0:06:07) Learn about strategic interactions, their influence on financial markets, and how they react to rising passive investing.  (0:10:10) Why active investors' options are limited in a passive investment landscape and how demand elasticities influence asset prices. (0:13:05) How individual investor elasticities are related to aggregate market elasticity and the ways investor elasticity has changed.  (0:20:54) Large and small stock elasticity trends, the implications of his research for asset prices, and the relationship between elasticity and information. (0:25:32) His opinion on a bubble in large stocks forming due to flows into index funds and how market bubbles drive innovation. (0:29:31) Potential measures to address the issues with index funds and how individual investors should be reacting to the situation.  (0:34:46) Unpack how he defines a market bubble, measuring the value of innovation, and their effect on the value of technology.  (0:42:29) What his research findings mean for innovation policy and what to consider before investing in innovative companies. (0:46:33) Insights from his paper examing the impact of COVID-19 on fixed-income and the different market reactions. (0:53:40) Explore the Fed's intervention during the pandemic, what effect it had, and the safety that bonds offer during a crisis.   Quotes:   “You choose how you trade based on how other people are trading. So, it's not really just what you like to do, but how you react to others in the market.” — Professor Valentin Haddad (0:06:40)   “If nobody's acquiring information, then markets are very inefficient. Then, you should step in, in a way. So, if everybody is becoming passive, there are more gains for being not passive.” — Professor Valentin Haddad (0:22:59)   “Speculation often comes with innovation.” — Professor Valentin Haddad (0:28:30)   “I think these concerns with passive investing are meaningful. I don't think it's quite yet the time for a very strong regulatory call. Regulators should keep track of this evolution.” — Professor Valentin Haddad (0:31:42)   “You can gain from bubbles, but at the end, the end of the bubble comes. The long-term gains of innovation are still there, but many people who partake in the bubble are going to suffer a lot.” — Professor Valentin Haddad (0:43:57)   Links From Today's Episode: Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Professor Valentin Haddad — https://sites.google.com/site/valentinhaddadresearch/ Professor Valentin Haddad on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/valentin-haddad-0056843/ Professor Valentin Haddad Email — valentin.haddad@anderson.ucla.edu UCLA Anderson School of Management — https://www.anderson.ucla.edu/ National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) — https://www.nber.org/ Episode 212: Prof. Ralph Koijen — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/212   Papers From Today's Episode:    ‘How Competitive is the Stock Market? Theory, Evidence from Portfolios, and Implications for the Rise of Passive Investing' — https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3821263 ‘Concentrated Ownership and Equilibrium Asset Prices' — https://www.stern.nyu.edu/sites/default/files/assets/documents/Princeton- Haddad - Concentrated ownership.pdf ‘Bubbles and the Value of Innovation' — https://drive.google.com/file/d/1tnvZ5L_zUcehn5hR720Nl1vtsTv4VgK0/view ‘When selling becomes viral: Disruptions in debt markets in the COVID-19 crisis and the Fed's response' — https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhaa145 ‘How Speculation Affects the Market and Outcome-Based Values of Innovation' — https://ideas.repec.org/a/fip/fedreb/94686.html  

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 313 - When Should You Hire a Financial Advisor?

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 11, 2024 38:37


Low-cost index funds and digital tools have revolutionized wealth-building, making it easier than ever before to manage your own investment portfolio. However, additional support and expert advice can be critical to help you reach your financial goals, especially when facing complex financial decisions, feeling overwhelmed, or deciding to change your investment strategy. Today on the Rational Reminder Podcast, we discuss when it makes sense to hire a full-service financial advisor, whether or not every investor needs one, and how professional guidance can enhance your financial outcomes. You'll find out how delegating your financial decision-making can not only boost your wealth but also improve your wellbeing, increase your peace of mind, and mitigate the impact of cognitive decline on your financial decisions as you age, plus so much more. For valuable insights that could transform your financial future, tune in today!   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:02:15) Why you would hire a financial advisor when DIY investing is so easy. (0:06:35) The services that financial advisors offer and how you can benefit from them. (0:10:09) What investor inertia is, how to overcome it, and what the trade-offs are. (0:16:31) How delegating financial decision-making can improve wealth and wellbeing. (0:18:16) Insight into the value of financial advice for retirement planning. (0:22:17) Your Trusted Contact Person (TCP) and why they matter. (0:23:05) Ways that financial literacy shapes demand and expectations for financial advice. (0:24:21) Common reasons that people seek professional financial advice. (0:26:22) How financial advisors act as a commitment device for good financial behaviours. (0:27:47) Important considerations and questions to ask when hiring a financial advisor. (0:32:43) Our after-show observations, feedback, banter, updates, and more!   Links From Today's Episode:   Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFP ‘Why Do Investors Hire Their Financial Advisor?' — https://www.morningstar.com/financial-advisors/why-do-investors-hire-their-financial-advisor ‘Why Do Investors Keep Their Financial Advisors Around?' — https://www.morningstar.com/financial-advisors/why-do-investors-keep-their-financial-advisors-around Center for Fiduciary Excellence (CEFEX) — https://www.cefex.org/   Papers From Today's Episode:    ‘Time Is Money: Rational Life Cycle Inertia and the Delegation of Investment Management' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2350785 ‘The Use and Value of Financial Advice for Retirement Planning' — https://www.pm-research.com/content/iijretire/7/3/46 ‘Professional Financial Advice and Subjective Well-Being' — https://www.researchgate.net/publication/359635224 ‘Smoking Hot Portfolios? Overtrading from Self-Control Failure' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3347625

diy hire financial advisors delegation financial advice retirement planning investment management mark mcgrath overtrading subjective well being rational reminder cameron passmore rational reminder podcast
The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 312 - Prof. John M. Griffin: Forensic Finance and the Power of Research

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 4, 2024 62:48


Discover the hidden underbelly of financial markets in today's episode featuring Professor John M. Griffin, a leading forensic finance expert and the James A. Elkins Centennial Chair in Finance at McCombs School of Business at the University of Texas at Austin. Tuning in, you'll learn how forensic finance exposes illicit activities in crypto markets, revealing how entities like Tether (a cryptocurrency pegged to the US dollar) facilitate scams and money laundering. We also delve into the disturbing world of pig butchering scams, which have stolen more than $75 billion from victims globally, and how the victims of these scams have helped John study the flow of illicit funds in crypto markets. Find out how John uncovered massive fraud in the Paycheck Protection Program during the COVID-19 pandemic, and how this exposed the central role of fintech lenders and social networks in spreading fraud. We also discuss the importance of rigorous academic research and its practical implications in uncovering financial fraud, emphasizing the need for robust oversight and transparency in both emerging and traditional financial systems. Tune in for a thought-provoking discussion that challenges established practices and calls for greater scrutiny in financial systems! Key Points From This Episode:   (0:05:23) An overview of John's research,  the definition of forensic finance, and what sets forensic finance research apart from more traditional finance papers. (0:09:55) The economics of pig butchering scams and how the victims of these scams help John study the flow of illicit funds in crypto markets. (0:14:42) How crypto exchanges fail to monitor for potential scammer activity. (0:18:44) The role of so-called legitimate crypto exchanges in criminal activity; why Tether (a cryptocurrency pegged to the US dollar) is the most important cryptocurrency in scam activity.  (0:21:43) Unpacking the $75 billion figure in John and Kevin Mei's paper on Pig Butchering and how it finances slavery; how this compares to fraud estimates from firms like Chainalysis. (0:26:25) How the methods in John and Kevin's paper can be used to improve the monitoring of crypto exchanges, and how the crypto community has responded to their paper. (0:29:14) An overview of John's paper on Tether with Amin Shams and how often fraud and misinformation are associated with asset price bubbles. (0:30:52) What Tether is, the difference between it being demand-driven or pulled, and supply-driven or pushed, and why Tether creators want to inflate the price of Bitcoin. (0:34:46) Decentralization in the crypto space and why decentralized finance is a misnomer, how to test whether Tether is pushed or pulled, and investigating Tether's relationship to Bitcoin. (0:35:56) How to test whether Tether is pushed or pulled; investigating Tether's relationship to Bitcoin and how it can be exploited by bad actors. (0:42:05) Tether's response to John's paper and why he tries not to listen to nay-sayers with vested interests. (0:46:10) John and his co-writers' findings on the prevalence of fraud in the Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) during the COVID-19 pandemic. (0:48:05) The role of fintech lenders and social networks in the propagation of PPP fraud and the impact PPP fraud had on real estate prices. (0:56:07) Policy implications and recommendations for future financial relief efforts. (0:59:47) John's personal journey and his profound definition of success.   Links From Today's Episode: Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Prof. John M. Griffin — https://www.mccombs.utexas.edu/faculty-and-research/faculty-directory/john-griffin/ Episode 260: Prof. James Choi: Practical Finance — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/260   Papers From Today's Episode:    ‘Is Bitcoin Really Un-Tethered?' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3195066 ‘How Do Crypto Flows Finance Slavery? The Economics of Pig Butchering' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4742235  

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 311 - Is Roaring Kitty a Good Role Model?

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 27, 2024 24:16


When witnessing the dramatic payouts of miracle trades, it's easy to be lured into thinking that your big score is just a few trades away. But as is evident in trading options for retail investors, it is neither quick, simple, nor easy to make guaranteed returns on your investments. In today's episode, Ben and Cam walk us through the many reasons why trading options is a losers' game; especially for retail investors. Trading options is definitely today's hot topic and we unpack how the recent resurfacing of Roaring Kitty affirms how life-changing payouts are the exception rather than the rule. We dive deeper into trading options and their uses, the trading demographics of the current market, why trading options are an expensive choice for retail investors, and why people still choose to trade even when doing so at a loss. To end, Ben and Cam highlight the dangers of being a copycat and how social media adds fuel to the fire and we hear some heartwarming Rational Reminder Podcast reviews from a few of our dedicated listeners.    Key Points From This Episode:   (0:00:48) Why today's topic is widely discussed in the current financial climate.  (0:03:34) What we can learn from the resurfacing of Roaring Kitty.  (0:05:35) A brief background on stock options and their various uses and the current state of retail trading.  (0:08:13) Understanding the trading demographics at play in today's markets.  (0:10:24) Discussing why trading options are expensive for retail investors.  (0:12:35) Why people keep trading despite losing on average.  (0:16:16) Exploring the dangers of copying successful traders and the role of social media.  (0:17:17) The after show, headlined by inspirational Rational Reminder Podcast reviews from you, our dear listeners.   Links From Today's Episode: Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.ca  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/   Books From Today's Episode:    Wealthier: The Investing Field Guide for Millennials — https://wealthierbook.com/   Papers From Today's Episode:    ‘Retail Trading in Options and the Rise of the Big Three Wholesalers' — https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/jofi.13285

millennials exploring options trading role model roaring kitty rational reminder cameron passmore rational reminder podcast
The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 310 - Professor Antoinette Schoar: Consumer Finance, Crypto, and Private Equity

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 20, 2024 73:00


There is a huge range of factors that can impact our investment decisions, whether we realize it or not, from our level of financial literacy to our political affiliations. This is borne out in research conducted by today's guest Professor Antoinette Schoar, the Stewart C. Myers-Horn Family Professor of Finance at MIT Sloan. Today, Antoinette joins us to share her insights and challenge conventional wisdom on various topics from target date funds to cryptocurrencies. Tuning in, you'll learn about the transformative impact of target date funds on investment behaviours and asset allocation, before delving into the subject of financial literacy and financial advisors. Antoinette also sheds light on the unique dynamics of crypto trading and breaks down why retail investors' strategies in crypto differ significantly from those in traditional markets. We also discuss the complexities of private equity and venture capital, focusing on why these asset classes might not be suitable for retail investors due to high barriers and risks. Our conversation also covers the critical role of regulation in maintaining market stability and protecting investors. Join us for a thought-provoking discussion that promises to deepen your understanding of financial markets and enhance your investment decisions!   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:00:18) An introduction to today's guest, Antoinette Schoar, and her extensive research. (0:03:44) The rise of target date funds in the American retirement system: how it's affected asset allocation and trading behaviour of retail investors. (0:09:39) The impact of target date funds: how they have affected mutual fund flows, arbitrage opportunities, market efficiency, the elasticity of aggregate demand, and trend-chasing anomalies. (0:16:48) The influence of individual beliefs, like political affiliation, on financial decision-making and portfolio adjustments, and how to counteract it. (0:21:54) Perceptions of risk in housing investments: how this affects the rent versus buy decision, what changes people's housing risk perceptions, and how to make better housing decisions. (0:29:29) Findings from Antoinette's study on financial advisors and their effectiveness at undoing bias in their prospective clients. (0:33:51) How investors' prior beliefs affect their receptiveness to receiving financial advice and why better financial literacy is essential. (0:41:38) What consumers need to know about advisor compensation structures and what they should look for when seeking out financial advice. (0:47:05) How Antoinette's students motivated her to research cryptocurrency and teach it. (0:49:40) Antoinette's insights on the applications of cryptocurrency and blockchain, and some of the surprising positive outcomes from the rise in cryptocurrency. (0:52:13) The trading behaviours of retail investors in cryptocurrencies compared to traditional asset classes. (0:57:30) An analysis of the Terra Luna collapse explaining the systemic issues and resulting financial impact on smaller investors. (01:02:14) The broader implications of cryptocurrency trading and the need for regulatory oversight to protect investors. (01:06:05) An overview of the challenges and risks of investing in private equity and venture capital for retail investors. (01:11:56) Antoinette's reflections on success, professional goals, and the broader impact of research on financial markets and investor behaviour.   Links From Today's Episode: Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Antoinette Schoar — https://mitsloan.mit.edu/faculty/directory/antoinette-schoar Monika Piazzesi — https://economics.stanford.edu/people/monika-piazzesi   Papers From Today's Episode:    ‘Belief Disagreement and Portfolio Choice' — https://www.nber.org/papers/w25108 ‘Credit Supply and House Prices: Evidence from Mortgage Market Segmentation' — https://www.nber.org/papers/w17832 ‘Retail Investors' Contrarian Behavior Around News, Attention, and the Momentum Effect' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3544949 ‘Anatomy of a Run: The Terra Luna Crash' — https://www.nber.org/papers/w31160

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 309 - Are Robo-Advisors Passive Investors?

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 13, 2024 68:42


When robo-advisors first came onto the scene, they were pitched as an easy way to access index funds. These digital platforms provide algorithm-driven financial planning and investment services, with little to no human supervision, and typically use passive investment strategies. But while this technology has revolutionized access, not all robo-advisors are created equal. In today's episode, Mark, Ben, and Cameron sit down to discuss the role of robo-advisors as passive investors, and the performance disparity in robo-advisor returns, as they investigate different robo-advisors, from Wealthsimple to Wealthfront. Next, in this week's version of ‘Would you rather?', we have robo-advisors pairing off against active bank mutual funds, with each of our hosts debating the pros and cons of these two approaches. For our aftershow section, we discuss listener feedback, interesting community discussions, Ben's addiction to Excel, and much more. Tune in for a deep dive into robo-advisors and how to navigate this technology! Key Points From This Episode:   (0:04:20) The history of robo-advisors and how they are used today. (0:08:30) Why there is such a marked dispersion among robo-advisor portfolios; an overview of Wealthsimple's portfolios and the changes they've made over time. (0:16:00) Wealthsimple's investment returns, fees, and an attribution analysis. (0:24:19) Why Wealthfront pulled value out of their factor-tilted portfolios in 2022. (0:26:13) PWL's investment approach and why no strategy is truly passive. (0:30:43) What the average investor needs to understand when using a robo-advisor. (0:32:02) Wealthsimple's value proposition and why people are drawn to it. (0:33:33) Our ‘Would You Rather?' Question: Would you rather put all your money with a robo-advisor or in a big bank actively managed mutual fund? (0:40:30) The growth of passive investing vs active management in the financial industry. (0:44:12) AI's impact on financial planning and an update on new calculators we've released. (0:52:38) Aftershow section: listener feedback, community discussions, leasing versus buying vehicles, Ben's addiction to modelling, and more.   Links From Today's Episode: Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFPWealthsimple — https://www.wealthsimple.com/en-ca Wealthfront — https://invest.wealthfront.com/ Rational Reminder Episode 308: Dan Bortolotti — Episode 299: The Most Important Lessons in Investing — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/299 The Money Scope Podcast — https://moneyscope.ca/Episode 251: Covered Calls — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/251 Ashleigh Madison: Sex, Lies & Scandal — https://www.netflix.com/za/title/81602884   —    Papers From Today's Episode:    ‘Are Banks Better Money Doctors?' — https://www.researchgate.net/publication/377037694_Are_banks_better_money_doctors_An_analysis_of_mutual_fund_flows_of_bank_and_non-bank_funds_using_Canadian_data

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 308 - Dan Bortolotti: The Canadian Couch Potato

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 6, 2024 64:51


When it comes to DIY investing, there's always a temptation to make things more complicated than they need to be. But, in reality, embracing simplicity is one of the best ways to ensure good investment outcomes. Today's episode features an exceptional conversation with our long-time friend and colleague, Dan Bortolotti, who has worked alongside us as an Portfolio Manager at PWL Capital for over ten years. Some of our Canadian listeners might recognize Dan as the man behind the Canadian Couch Potato blog (one of the most popular resources for Canadian investors) and the voice behind the Canadian Couch Potato podcast. Dan is a consummate communicator, both on paper and in person; beyond his extensive blogging, he has also written a number of books, both fiction and non-fiction, the most recent of which includes Reboot Your Portfolio: 9 Steps to Successful Investing with ETFs. Dan has played a pivotal role in making PWL Capital what it is today, and in this episode, we learn about his surprising journey to becoming an advisor, before hearing his wide-ranging insights on DIY investing. Dan breaks down key components for investors, from how to approach your asset allocation and picking index funds to navigating fees, taxes, and performance. We also discuss how the investing landscape has changed since Dan started writing and essential lessons he has learned over the years. To hear all about investing from the Canadian Couch Potato himself, be sure to tune in for this expansive conversation!   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:03:52) The origin story of the Canadian Couch Potato blog, by Dan Bortolotti. (0:08:17) How the availability of index funds in Canada has changed since Dan started writing about them in 2010, and his role in the index fund revolution. (0:10:01) Why Canadians have been slower to adopt index funds than Americans. (0:12:09) How the model portfolios on his site have changed over time. (0:14:20) Why simplicity is so important to a good investment outcome. (0:16:38) The biggest obstacle Dan has observed when it comes to successful investing. (0:19:40) Advice on how to approach decisions around stocks, bonds, and asset allocation. (0:24:34) How to select the ideal ETF or index fund to express your asset allocation. (0:27:22) Some of the ways that Dan's views have changed since starting the Couch Potato portfolio, and the evolution of his blog. (0:31:46) Why you should be clear on your financial goals before investing and the importance of saving rate relative to fees and performance. (0:37:32) Understanding the value of financial advice if we consider investing to be effectively solved by low-cost ETF mutual funds. (0:40:23) Why it's so important to close the gap between providing a financial plan and implementing it. (0:43:25) What surprised Dan about his clients during his transition from blogger to advisor, and what he has learned about earning his clients's trust. (0:48:22) Dan's thoughts on how people should make the decision between DIY investing or hiring an advisor, and what people should look for in a financial advisor. (0:55:46) The story of how Dan connected with PWL Capital and the key ways he has helped shape the company.   Links From Today's Episode: Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://twitter.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://twitter.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://twitter.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Dan Bortolotti — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/dan-bortolotti/ Dan Bortolotti on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/dan-bortolotti-8a482310/ Canadian Couch Potato Blog — https://canadiancouchpotato.com/ Canadian Couch Potato Podcast — https://canadiancouchpotato.com/podcast/ Larry Swedroe on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/larry-swedroe-18778267/ Larry Swedroe books on Amazon — https://www.amazon.com/Larry-E-Swedroe-Books/s?k=Larry+E.+Swedroe&rh=n%3A283155   Books From Today's Episode:   Reboot Your Portfolio: 9 Steps to Successful Investing with ETFs — https://www.amazon.ca/Reboot-Your-Portfolio-Successful-Investing/dp/1988344328 Wild Blue — https://www.amazon.com/Wild-Blue-Natural-History-Largest-ebook/dp/B005BP0E3W

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 307 - How Much Life Insurance Do You Need?

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 30, 2024 67:23


Are you confident about the amount of life insurance coverage you have? Are you maximizing your tax savings with the principal residence exemption? In this episode, we delve into life insurance and optimizing capital gains to answer these essential questions. In our conversation, we unpack the nuanced topic of life insurance, what people get wrong about it, and how to effectively calculate your life insurance policy needs. Using his own experience as the lens for the conversation, Mark shares how he calculated his life insurance and incorporated costs such as funeral cover, emergency funds, short-term expenses, and income replacement. Learn about using the safe withdrawal rate shortcut, free resources for calculating life insurance costs, and the best financial tools for getting the most out of your policy. He also delves into capital gains and how to use a lesser-known exemption to reduce the amount owed significantly. Mark walks listeners through how the principal residence exemption works and how it impacted the sale of his rental properties. Then, jumping to a brand new segment on the Rational Reminder Podcast, Ben introduces his financial decision-making iteration of the game of ‘Would you rather'. Finally, we share listener reviews and feedback on previous episodes and debate whether to lease or buy a car in our after-show segment. Tune in now!   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:03:13) Mark explains how he and his wife calculated their life insurance needs. (0:06:55) Learn how to plan for income replacement and why it is so complicated. (0:12:10) Ben's perspective on Mark's approach to calculating his life insurance coverage. (0:13:54) Find out why there are differences between Ben and Mark's calculations. (0:18:17) How Mark factored in retirement costs into his life insurance calculations. (0:22:30) Free resources and tips to accurately calculate your life insurance needs. (0:27:04) Why Mark considers whole life insurance as a separate asset class. (0:31:25) The principal residence exemption and how Mark applied it to his situation. (0:39:19) How we would choose to invest $1 billion in today's market. (0:42:26) Would You Rather segment: only life insurance versus only disability insurance. (0:45:02) The exciting development of a tool for realizing capital gains in a corporation. (0:51:06) Trends in the awareness of corporate notional accounts and tax planning intricacies. (0:54:12) Listener reviews, episode feedback, and leasing a car instead of buying.   Links From Today's Episode: Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://x.com/MarkMcGrathCFP ‘How Much Life Insurance Do You Need?' — https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/how-much-life-insurance-do-you-need-mark-mcgrath-cfp-cim-clu--tjwwe/ InsureRight — https://www.insureright.ca/ Episode 65: Dr. Wendall Mascarenhas — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/65 Dimensional Fund Advisors — https://www.dimensional.com/ Money Scope Podcast — https://moneyscope.ca/ Braden Financial Services — https://www.bradenfinancialservices.com/ Hendry Warren on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/company/hendry-warren-llp/ Brady Plunkett on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/brady-plunkett-712489105/ Capital Gains Calculator for Non-Corporations — https://research-tools.pwlcapital.com/research/realize-gain Episode 305 - Is Private Credit Special? — https://rationalreminder.libsyn.com/episode-305-is-private-credit-special

would you rather life insurance mark mcgrath dimensional fund advisors rational reminder cameron passmore rational reminder podcast
The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 306 - Wei Dai: Fighting for Every Basis Point

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 23, 2024 72:25


Designing a robust portfolio requires considerable expertise, data, and experience. And while there are plenty of published articles that can guide how you build your portfolio, they are not investment solutions by themselves. Wei Dai is the Head of Investment Research and Vice President at Dimensional Fund Advisors, and she joins us today for a comprehensive and informative conversation on portfolio design for higher returns. Her background includes a Doctor of Philosophy degree in Statistics, Operations research, and Financial Engineering from Princeton. She has also earned a bachelor's degree in mathematics and applied mathematics from Zhejiang University. Her work has been published in multiple journals, including The Financial Analysts Journal. She has also collaborated on articles with esteemed figures such as Professor Robert C. Merton and Robert Novy-Marx. In our conversation with Wei, we explore the contents of these articles, key findings from research conducted by Dimensional Fund Advisors, and how they are implementing this knowledge in their portfolios. We discuss the fundamental aspects of portfolio design, like expected return, risk, and costs, with Wei providing a detailed breakdown of each subject. There's a lot to be learned from today's conversation, and while things get pretty technical, you are in very capable hands! Tune in for a fascinating dive into the latest research on portfolio design and much more.   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:03:37) The main risk premiums that Dimensional Fund Advisors target in their portfolios. (0:05:42) How long-term drivers of returns vary across different regions: an overview of the tests and outcomes they've seen at Dimensional Fund Advisors. (0:07:15) Unpacking whether the value premium differs from the profitability premium across regions; why it makes sense to be globally diversified. (0:08:57) Typical approaches to a multi-premium strategy in a portfolio: a rundown of the three approaches they take at Dimensional and the trade-offs between each. (0:13:44) How they evaluate portfolios at Dimenstional: the benefits of taking a holistic, integrated approach, and instances where that doesn't make sense. (0:17:24) Weighting schemes: Dimensional's approach to assigning individual security weights to achieve the desired level of exposure and how investments factor into weights. (0:26:46) Advice on how investors should decide whether to currency hedge their foreign asset exposures, and insights on how to approach currency hedging. (0:30:42) Premium timing: Why timing exposure to premiums is so tempting; parameters that must be defined to implement timing strategies; and which strategies worked in their research. (0:39:21) Valuation ratios: why it theoretically makes sense that they would be related to differences in expected returns and why they aren't useful in timing premiums. (0:42:11) An overview of the main implications for pursuing premiums that arise from Dimensional's research. (0:44:10) Diversification and how to improve your odds of capturing return premiums. (0:46:38) The tradeoff between concentration and expected returns, and defining the optimal balance. (0:49:06) What investors should look for when choosing a systematic investment manager, why not all systematic strategies are created equal, and Dimemsional's approach. (0:52:52) The downsides of performance fees, specifically for systematic managers and what it was like writing a paper with Robert Merton. (0:57:41) How short-term reversals differ from momentum, ways that reversals are related to liquidity, and how reversals vary across different stocks. (01:03:12) The ways that Dimensional is implementing this knowledge in their portfolios; how their ideas go from research to publication to implementation. (01:08:18) What sets Dimensional apart, and the value that they add, despite their research being available online.   Links From Today's Episode: Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://twitter.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://twitter.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://twitter.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Wei Dai on Linkedin — https://www.linkedin.com/in/wei-dai-64a3071a/ Wei Dai's Academic Papers — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=2888456 Dimensional Fund Advisors — https://www.dimensional.com/ Episode 234: Prof. Robert C. Merton — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/234   Papers From Today's Episode:  Assessing the Relative Magnitude of Premiums — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3981766 Pursuing Multiple Premiums: Combination vs. Integration — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3793594 Weighting for the Right One: Weighting Scheme Design for Systematic Equity Portfolios — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4016481 To Hedge or Not to Hedge: A Framework for Currency Hedging Decisions in Global Equity & Fixed Income Portfolios — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3703333 Another Look at Timing the Equity Premiums — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4586684 Premium Timing with Valuation Ratios How Diversification Impacts Investment Outcomes: A Case Study on Global Large Caps How Diversification Impacts the Reliability of Outcomes — https://carlsoncap.com/wp-content/uploads/DFA_-How-Diversification-Impacts-the-Reliability-of-Outcomes.pdf  On the Valuation of Performance Fees and Their Impact on Asset Managers' Incentives — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3686987 Reversals and the returns to liquidity provision — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4339591

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 305 - Is Private Credit Special?

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 16, 2024 44:06


Private credit is one of the fastest-growing asset classes, and today we take a closer look at why that is, and if it's really worth the hype. When you invest in private credit, you are essentially lending money to borrowers who might have difficulty accessing loans elsewhere. While these assets may be profitable, they can also incur a lot of risk and typically come with illiquidity. It is traditionally traded among institutional and accredited investors, rather than retail investors, namely, non-professional investors. Since private credit has gained so much popularity in recent years, we use today's conversation to unpack how private credit works, the role of private credit funds, the associated performance fees and risks, and what retail investors should know about this asset class before deciding to invest. Our conversation investigates one of the top reasons for private credit's rise in popularity, namely risk-adjusted returns, before evaluating whether this is a worthwhile reason to invest, depending on who you are. Stay tuned for our after-show section where we discuss the proposed changes to the capital gains tax, why the death of value could be exaggerated, and more!   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:00:18) Today's main topic, private credit, and our upcoming webinar on May 22nd. (0:02:18) An introduction to private credit as an asset class. (0:05:33) Private credit funds: how they work, interest rates, performance fees, and valuations. (0:08:14) Who does valuations on private credit funds and related risks. (0:10:01) Unpacking the underlying risks of private credit and how investors are compensated. (0:11:02) Insights from the paper ‘Direct Lending Returns' related to publicly listed business development companies (BDCs). (0:16:15) Takeaways from the paper ‘Risk Adjusting the Returns of Private Debt Funds'. (0:18:16) Private credit funds, equity exposure, how private credit gets misrepresented, and what investors need to know about high-fee investment products. (0:25:09) Illiquidity and what retail investors can expect from private credit. (0:30:15) Our aftershow segment, starting with the proposed changes to capital gains tax. (0:33:55) Ben's conversation with David Chilton. (0:36:55) The value premium and why the death of value could be exaggerated. (0:40:45) Unpacking the heated response to our conversation with Scott Galloway. Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p   Links From Today's Episode: Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://twitter.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.ca Benjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://twitter.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://twitter.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://twitter.com/MarkMcGrathCFP Webinar May 22nd: Optimal Compensation Strategies for Business Owners — https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/3317145039436/WN_GYudVJCYSnyF8HfUx9UbJQ Money Scope Episode 12 — https://moneyscope.ca/2024/04/19/episode-12-paying-yourself-as-a-canadian-business-owner/ Money Scope Episode 13 — https://moneyscope.ca/2024/04/26/episode-13-optimal-compensation-from-a-ccpc/ Rational Reminder Episode 220: Jonathan Berk and Jules van Binsbergen — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/220 Rational Reminder Episode 210: Ludovic Phalippou — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/210 David Chilton — https://thewealthybarber.com/ David Chilton on X — https://twitter.com/wealthy_barber?lang=en Rational Reminder Episode 303: Scott Galloway — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/303   Books From Today's Episode:   The Wealthy Barber: Everyone's Commonsense Guide to Becoming Financially Independent — https://www.amazon.com/Wealthy-Barber-Updated-3rd-Commonsense/dp/0761513116   —    Papers From Today's Episode:    ‘Direct Lending Returns' — https://rpc.cfainstitute.org/en/research/financial-analysts-journal/2023/direct-lending-returns ‘Risk Adjusting the Returns of Private Debt Funds' — https://www.nber.org/papers/w32278 ‘An Inconvenient Fact: Private Equity Returns & The Billionaire Factory' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3623820 ‘Reports of Value's Death May Be Greatly Exaggerated' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3488748  

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 304 - Budget 2024: The Capital Gains Inclusion Rate

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 9, 2024 57:13


The Canadian government has recently proposed significant changes to how capital gains are taxed, but how will this impact Canadians? In this episode, we delve into the proposed capital gains tax changes and their impact on financial planning. We unpack the definition of capital gains tax and the complexity of the proposed changes. Explore the historical trends of capital gains tax rates in Canada, how capital gains tax works, and who will be impacted by the proposed changes. We discuss the intricacies of the alternative minimum tax (AMT), its relevance to capital gains tax, and whether the old or new AMT rules apply to the upcoming changes. Gain insights into tax considerations for long-term investment strategies, the importance of tax diversification in mitigating risk, lifetime capital gains exemption, tax planning ramifications, and more! Although this episode is Canadian-focused, it offers many useful takeaways for non-Candaians as well. To gain a comprehensive understanding of the complexities surrounding capital gains tax and strategies to navigate the proposed changes effectively, tune in now! Key Points From This Episode:   (0:00:00) Introduction and outline of today's topic: proposed capital gains tax changes. (0:03:07) Overview of the topic, what capital gains tax is, and the proposed changes. (0:08:10) Historical trends in capital gains tax rates in Canada. (0:10:59) Find out who will be impacted by the proposed changes.  (0:14:45) Advice on how to plan for the proposed changes with an example. (0:17:13) Model results and we unpack the nuance of AMT (alternative minimum tax). (0:25:35) How the changes to AMT impact the proposed capital gains tax changes. (0:32:05) Whether the new or old AMT rules apply to the proposed capital gains changes. (0:34:27) Important tax considerations for long-term investment strategies. (0:36:30) Insights into why tax diversification is essential to reduce the tax rate risk. (0:39:25) Interesting budget proposals and their tax planning implications. (0:41:17) Our perspectives on the media response to the proposed tax changes. (0:45:40) After-show: listeners' reviews, upcoming guests, an update on Mark's book, and more.   Links From Today's Episode: Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://twitter.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://twitter.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://twitter.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://twitter.com/MarkMcGrathCFP Capital Gains Calculator — https://research-tools.pwlcapital.com/research/realize-gain Episode 224 — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/224 Episode 284 — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/284 Episode 299 — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/299 Episode 302 — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/302 Canadian Medical Association — https://www.cma.ca/ The Money Scope Podcast  — https://moneyscope.ca/ The Most Important Lessons in Investing — https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MOjS2zuQMdo Dan Solin — https://danielsolin.com/ Compensation Strategies for Canadian Business Owners — https://www.pwlcapital.com/compensation-strategies-for-canadian-business-owners2/   Books From Today's Episode:   The Wealthy Barber — https://www.amazon.com/Wealthy-Barber-Updated-3rd-Commonsense/dp/0761513116

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 303 - Scott Galloway: The Algebra of Wealth

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 2, 2024 66:31


What is the role of luck in financial success? And how can we make decisions that will put us in the best possible position to experience long-term prosperity? Joining us today to unpack these questions is Scott Galloway, a talented public speaker, author, entrepreneur, and professor of marketing at NYU Stern School of Business. His latest book, The Algebra of Wealth: A Simple Formula for Financial Security, explores key lessons to help you optimize your life for wealth and success. He is the host of a thrice-weekly podcast, The Prof G Pod, and co-hosts a podcast called Pivot with esteemed tech journalist, Kara Swisher. Scott also has a very popular blog called No Mercy / No Malice, where he shares his thoughts on wealth, business, psychology, and more. In today's conversation with Scott, we delve into the lessons he's learned about economic success and the contents of his new book, The Algebra of Wealth. Tuning in you'll learn how the economic stress he experienced as a child shaped his life, the important role that luck plays in financial success, and why he believes people should follow their talents rather than their passions. Scott goes on to expand on why diversification is essential for financial success before sharing key lessons from the various businesses he has started, built, and sold. We also discuss how he manages his financial worries, his hopes for his children, and how he defines success. Tune in to hear all of Scott's valuable insights as we take a deep dive into the forces that shape our economic outcomes, and the algebra of wealth!   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:00:18) Introducing today's guest, Professor Scott Galloway. (0:05:43) Unpacking the title of his book The Algebra of Wealth, and what it refers to. (0:10:39) The pursuit of wealth as a whole-person project and why balance is rarely possible. (0:13:38) How stoicism can help you spend wisely and resist temptations. (0:19:23) The difference between working hard and having character when it comes to wealth. (0:22:20) Why it's so important to acknowledge the role of luck in economic success; how Scott's awareness of luck impacted his financial decisions and made him diversify. (0:30:41) The concept of having enough, why people always want more, the benefits of giving back, and the role that luck has played in Scott's wealth. (0:35:31) Why Scott believes people should follow their talents, rather than their passion. (0:39:31) Scott's thoughts on the work-from-home trend and why he is a big proponent of an office environment and in-person work for young people. (0:41:23) The key ways that physical exercise contributes to financial success. (0:44:37) Scott's thoughts on financial planners, how to take advantage of technology and low-cost EFTs to diversify on your own, and qualities you should look out for in a financial planner. (0:50:08) Scott's approach to investing in private businesses, his history of starting and selling companies, and why diversification is key. (0:52:26) What the average person should do when there is excitement about a particular stock. (0:56:06) Scott's insights on the most beneficial way to trade money for time, how he manages his financial worries, and his biggest financial concerns when it comes to his children. (01:03:32) How Scott defines success in his life, and what he has learned so far from starting ketamine therapy.   Links From Today's Episode: Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://twitter.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://twitter.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://twitter.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Scott Galloway — https://profgmedia.com/ Scott Galloway Books — https://profgmedia.com/books/ Scott Galloway on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/profgalloway/ Scott Galloway on Twitter — https://twitter.com/profgalloway No Mercy No Malice — https://www.profgalloway.com/ Pivot with Scott Galloway and Kara Swisher — https://profgmedia.com/pivot/ The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway — https://profgmedia.com/the-pod/   Books From Today's Episode:   The Algebra of Wealth: A Simple Formula for Financial Security — https://www.amazon.com/Algebra-Wealth-Formula-Financial-Security/dp/0593714024  

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 302 - Michael Green: Market Efficiency Is Not The Question

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 25, 2024 66:03


With a wealth of experience as a market theoretician and a prolific contributor to financial discourse, today's guest is uniquely positioned to guide us through the complexities of index fund dynamics. Joining us to discuss the problems that passive investing may be causing in financial markets (and what people should do about it) is Michael Green, Chief Strategist and Portfolio Manager for Simplify Asset Management. Tuning in, you'll learn about the ramifications of the surging popularity of indexing and the sobering reality of mounting market inelasticity, backed by compelling evidence that underscores the challenges facing today's financial landscape. The insights in this episode extend beyond mere observation, with Mike offering policy recommendations and strategies to address the structural issues affecting our markets. While this conversation is certainly challenging, philosophical, and even alarming, it isn't purely theoretical. It's a call to action to safeguard the integrity of our financial systems. So, be sure to join us as we navigate the nuances of indexing and passive investing at large, guided by the expertise and foresight of one of finance's most respected voices!   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:05:48) The negative effect that the growth of indexing is having on financial markets. (0:07:37) Insight into the XIV trade that strengthened Mike's belief in this view. (0:13:49) Defining the problem that indexing is causing (which might seem like a good thing). (0:15:57) How market cap-weighted index funds differ from closet index funds. (0:16:57) Indications that markets are becoming increasingly inelastic over time. (0:19:21) Why flows into cap-weighted index funds differ from the overall aggregate of active. (0:24:21) Active versus passive investing in public versus non-public markets. (0:25:57) The catastrophic event that could be caused by index funds (and how to avoid it). (0:30:51) Why we need to rethink the definition of passive investing and the value of diversity. (0:36:10) Market inelasticity versus inefficiency and the impact of active manager performance. (0:41:38) How investors should shift their strategy to respond to the current market structure. (0:53:01) Regulatory recommendations: who actually needs to step up and do something. (0:54:30) Mike's outlook on US expected returns, market volatility, and 401(k)s. (1:01:50) Why Bitcoin isn't the solution to all of our monetary and fiscal policy problems. (1:05:22) The definition of success in Mike's life (and why it's completely non-financial). Links From Today's Episode:   Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://twitter.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://twitter.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://twitter.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ ‘Yes, I give a fig… Thoughts on markets from Michael Green' — https://www.yesigiveafig.com/ Michael Green on Substack — https://substack.com/@michaelwgreen Michael Green on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-green-9a15142/ Michael Green on X — https://twitter.com/profplum99 Nassim Nicholas Taleb — https://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/ Valentin Haddad — https://sites.google.com/site/valentinhaddadresearch/ Jean-Philippe Bouchaud — https://bouchaud.substack.com/ Marco Sammon — https://marcosammon.com/research/ Ralph Koijen — https://www.koijen.net/index.html David Einhorn — https://twitter.com/davidein   Books From Today's Episode:   The Black Swan — https://www.amazon.com/dp/081297381X Adaptive Markets — https://www.amazon.com/dp/0691135142   Papers From Today's Episode:    ‘How Competitive is the Stock Market? Theory, Evidence from Portfolios, and Implications for the Rise of Passive Investing' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3821263 ‘How Competitive is the Stock Market?' Slides — https://drive.google.com/file/d/1QTxuFI7eK_RJwaV3ncAjX41pEb1anLeM/view ‘Do Active Funds Do Better in What They Trade?' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4624934 ‘The Passive-Ownership Share Is Double What You Think It Is' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4188052 ‘The Arithmetic of Active Management' — https://www.jstor.org/stable/4479386 ‘Sharpening the Arithmetic of Active Management' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2849071 ‘Long Volatility, Asymmetric Alpha, Negatively Correlated Alpha, Convex Crisis Alpha' Slides — https://www.macrovoices.com/guest-content/list-guest-publications/3860-logica-capital-active-to-passive-for-macrovoices/file ‘The Greatest Story Ever Sold: The Impact of Passive Investment on Markets' Slides — https://utahfpa.org/images/downloads/Library_Documents/market_policy_presentation.pdf ‘The Inelastic Markets Hypothesis' — https://www.nber.org/papers/w28967

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Bonus Episode - Prof. Meir Statman: A Wealth of Well-Being

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 18, 2024 36:27


Today, we welcome back Prof. Meir Statman to talk about the role of finances in well-being. We investigate the role of finances in well-being with Prof. Meir Statman through the lens of his new book, A Wealth of Well-Being. Discover why wealth advisors must evolve into well-being advisors and uncover the impact of finances on various life domains. From dating to education, we discuss the profound financial correlations shaping happiness and well-being. Tune in now! Key Points From This Episode: (0:00:15) Introduction to returning guest, Prof. Meir Statman. (0:02:15) How well-being fits into the study of behavioural finance. (0:06:52) Discover the role of finances in different domains of life well-being. (0:10:42) Hear why wealth advisors need to change to being well-being advisors. (0:14:59) Explore the relationship between finances, social status, and overall well-being. (0:19:46) Whether too much self-control in spending can be a problem. (0:22:46) The effect of finances on dating and marriage and how work plays into well-being. (0:26:42) Find out how education fits into well-being and why it is a major regret for people. (0:32:36) Gain insights into how religion and faith can enhance well-being.   Links From Today's Episode: Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://twitter.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.ca Benjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://twitter.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://twitter.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://twitter.com/MarkMcGrathCFP Prof. Meir Statman — https://www.scu.edu/business/finance/faculty/statman/ Prof. Meir Statman on X — https://twitter.com/meirstatman  Episode 258: Prof. Meir Statman — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/258   Meir's Book: A Wealth of Well-Being — https://www.amazon.com/Wealth-Well-Being-Holistic-Approach-Behavioral/dp/1394249675

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 301 - Optimal Government Pension Claiming, and Life Well-Being w/ Prof. Meir Statman

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 18, 2024 90:14


In this episode, we delve into the best time to claim your Canada Pension Plan (CPP) benefits and welcome back Prof. Meir Statman to talk about the role of finances in well-being. Although the focus of this episode is on Canada, there will be many relevant and valuable insights for our non-Canadian listeners. In our conversation, we discuss the importance of understanding the intricacies of CPP benefits, the fundamentals, and how individuals can optimize their retirement income by making informed decisions. Explore the importance of understanding when to claim CPP benefits, how much future financial security a CPP offers, and why the CPP is one of the most valuable retirement assets for most Canadians. Gain insights into how wage growth ties into CPP benefits, the exceptions to deferring a CPP claim, and what made 2022 different regarding CPP claims. Then, we investigate the role of finances in well-being with Prof. Meir Statman through the lens of his new book, A Wealth of Well-Being. Discover why wealth advisors must evolve into well-being advisors and uncover the impact of finances on various life domains. From dating to education, we discuss the profound financial correlations shaping happiness and well-being. Join us as we uncover the nuances of CPP benefits and find out why it is better to give with a warm hand than a cold one. Tune in now!   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:03:25) Unpack the fundamentals of the Canada Pension Plan (CPP) benefits. (0:10:04) How the timing of making a CPP claim is linked to the benefits. (0:14:15) Ben explains the financial implications of deferring a CPP claim. (0:21:34) Uncover common approaches to identify the best time to claim a CPP. (0:26:06) Learn about the situations when it is best not to defer a CPP claim. (0:31:12) Why the CPP is one of the most valuable retirement assets for most Canadians. (0:39:11) Introduction to returning guest, Prof. Meir Statman. (0:41:11) How well-being fits into the study of behavioural finance. (0:45:48) Discover the role of finances in different domains of life well-being. (0:49:38) Hear why wealth advisors need to change to being well-being advisors. (0:53:55) Explore the relationship between finances, social status, and overall well-being. (0:58:42) Whether too much self-control in spending can be a problem. (1:01:42) The effect of finances on dating and marriage and how work plays into well-being. (1:05:38) Find out how education fits into well-being and why it is a major regret for people. (1:11:32) Gain insights into how religion and faith can enhance well-being. (1:15:12) The after-show: ideas for the podcast, feedback, segregated funds, and more! Links From Today's Episode: Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://twitter.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.ca Benjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://twitter.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://twitter.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://twitter.com/MarkMcGrathCFP Prof. Meir Statman — https://www.scu.edu/business/finance/faculty/statman/ Prof. Meir Statman on Twitter — https://twitter.com/meirstatman  Episode 258: Prof. Meir Statman — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/258 The Canadian Institute of Actuaries (CIA) — https://www.cia-ica.ca/ Society of Actuaries (SOA) — https://www.soa.org/ FP Canada — https://www.fpcanada.ca/ When Should You Start CPP? — https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r9vYji99fhk CE Drive with Jason Watt — https://cedrive.podbean.com/ Episode 137: David Blanchett: Researching Retirement — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/137 Episode 254: David Blanchett: Regret Optimized Portfolios and Optimal Retirement Income — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/254 Episode 289 - Retiring Retirement Income Myths with the Retirement Income Dream Team — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/289 Jason Yi on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/jason-yi-cpa-ca-56544446/ Episode 225: The Index Fund "Tipping Point” — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/225   Books From Today's Episode:   A Wealth of Well-Being — https://www.amazon.com/Wealth-Well-Being-Holistic-Approach-Behavioral/dp/1394249675 Wealthier — https://wealthierbook.com/ The Algebra of Wealth — https://www.amazon.com/Algebra-Wealth-Formula-Financial-Security/dp/0593714024 Sleep Well, Take Risks, Squish the Peas — https://www.amazon.com/Sleep-Well-Take-Risks-Squish/dp/0757324711/   Papers From Today's Episode:    ‘The CPP Take-Up Decision: Risks and Opportunities' — https://www.soa.org/4a223f/globalassets/assets/files/resources/research-report/2020/2020-cpp-take-up-decision.pdf ‘Get the Most from the Canada & Quebec Pension Plans by Delaying Benefits' — https://www.fpcanadaresearchfoundation.ca/media/5fpda5zw/cpp_qpp-reseach-paper.pdf ‘Financial Advisor Compensation Structure and Client Equity Allocations' — https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/15427560.2023.2294812

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 300 - Abby Sussman: Financial Judgment and Decision Making

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 11, 2024 57:17


In this episode, we are joined by renowned expert Abby Sussman to unpack how individuals form judgments and make decisions about their finances. Abby is a distinguished professor of marketing at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business whose expertise lies at the intersection of psychology, economics, and finance. In our conversation, we discuss the nuances of financial decision-making and how personal beliefs influence our financial choices. Discover the source of reference points for financial well-being and how expense prediction biases play a role in making poor financial decisions. We explore the effectiveness of budgeting, the nuances of product sensitivity, and the drivers of excessive consumer consumption. Gain insights into navigating the complexities of financial decision-making, the psychology behind it, how AI can help you make better financial decisions, and much more. Tune in to gain a deeper understanding of the psychology behind financial decisions and uncover strategies to optimize your financial future with Abby Sussman!   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:04:45) Explore the difference in how we perceive others' wealth versus our own. (0:08:25) Drivers of the differences in perception and their impact on financial decision-making. (0:11:43) Steps to reduce excessive consumption and how personal future wealth perceptions influence financial decision-making. (0:16:58) Discover the source of the reference point people use when considering their wealth. (0:18:53) How to make better financial decisions and the role of peoples' expectations. (0:20:20) Unpack expense prediction bias and the problems it creates. (0:22:55) Methods used to predict expenses and what people typically budget for. (0:29:00) Pragmatic advice for reducing the influence of expense prediction bias. (0:31:53) Whether prediction bias manifests in long-term planning, such as retirement. (0:33:14) Find out if setting a budget is common practice and how it impacts financial health. (0:37:36) Trends in actual spending in relation to expenses budgeted for. (0:39:31) She explains how people categorize expenses and react to insufficient funds. (0:42:40) Product sensitivity and how attitudes toward investment products vary. (0:48:21) Interventions to help people choose better financial products. (0:49:40) Areas of research she is most interested in and her opinion on the role of AI. (0:55:54) Abby shares her definition of success.   Links From Today's Episode: Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://twitter.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.ca Benjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://twitter.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://twitter.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Abby Sussman on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/abigail-sussman-ab4427/ Abby Sussman on X — https://twitter.com/abbysussman The University of Chicago Booth School of Business — https://www.chicagobooth.edu/ Society for Judgment and Decision Making — https://sjdm.org/ Episode 153: Prof. Johanna Peetz — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/153 Epidose 296: Adam Alter — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/296 Panel Study of Income Dynamics — https://psidonline.isr.umich.edu/ Consumer Financial Protection Bureau — https://www.consumerfinance.gov/   Papers From Today's Episode:    ‘Understanding and Neutralizing the Expense Prediction Bias: The Role of Accessibility, Typicality, and Skewness' — https://doi.org/10.1177/00222437211068025 ‘The Exception Is the Rule: Underestimating and Overspending on Exceptional Expenses' — https://doi.org/10.1086/665833 ‘The Role of Risk Preferences in Responses to Messaging About COVID-19 Vaccine Take-Up' — https://doi.org/10.1177/1948550621999622 ‘The Role of Mental Accounting in Household Spending and Investing Decisions' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3051415 ‘How Consumers Budget” — https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2022.09.025 ‘Financial Product Sensitivity Predicts Financial Health' — https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.2142

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 299: The Most Important Lessons in Investing

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 4, 2024 83:25


In this episode, we unpack key tenants of investing and the quality of financial advice in Canada's banking industry. In our conversation, we present a list of lessons we have learned about investing, which has been consolidated from contributions by the Twitter community and the Rational Reminder Community. In our conversation, we discuss ways to beat the market, how narratives can impact the economy, and why timing the market is a bad investment approach. Discover why performance chasing is not a successful strategy, why incentives matter, and why economic growth is a poor predictor of investment success. Learn about the nuanced relationship between expected economic growth and stock returns, why wealth does not give you access to market-beating investments, and the effectiveness of investing in low-cost total market index funds. Finally, in our after-show segment, we delve into the quality of financial advice provided by Canada's six big banks, investment strategies, listener reviews, and much more. Gain valuable insights into navigating the complexities of investing and learn why simplicity, discipline, and skepticism towards overly complex or costly strategies are vital for financial success. Tune in now!   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:00:00) Introduction and outline of today's topic: The Most Important Lessons in Investing. (0:04:55) Why you cannot outsmart the markets and what it takes to beat the market. (0:07:47) The notion that "this time is always different" during times of financial upheaval. (0:10:45) Explore the forward-looking nature of markets and their impact on decision-making. (0:12:08) Unpack the unreliability of market forecasts for making investment decisions. (0:14:48) Hear why time in the market beats timing the market. (0:16:11) Important aspects of funds and why investors should not chase portfolio performance. (0:19:20) Learn about the role of incentives in the distribution of financial information. (0:25:09) Common misconceptions about the link between economic growth and stock returns. (0:27:28) We discuss the importance of good financial planning over portfolio management. (0:30:51) Uncover the relationship between risk and expected returns in financial markets. (0:32:33) How the risk-return relationship changes over different time horizons. (0:34:59) Why fees and taxes matter and the nuances of permanent insurance.  (0:41:55) Find out why there is no such thing as a perfect investment strategy. (0:44:51) Tailoring your investment portfolio to meet your goals and sticking to it. (0:46:48) Investigate why there is no such thing as a passive investment. (0:50:59) Understanding why wealth does not provide access to market-beating strategies. (0:53:22) Why diversification is the only free lunch in investing. (0:58:58) Recommendations and pitfalls to avoid when assessing investments. (1:01:02) What the structure of a financial portfolio looks like for most people. (1:03:11) The aftershow: the state of Canadian banks, investment advice, and more.     Links From Today's Episode:   Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://twitter.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://twitter.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://twitter.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://twitter.com/MarkMcGrathCFP The Economist — https://www.economist.com/  ARK Invest — https://ark-funds.com/ The Canadian Investor Podcast — https://thecanadianinvestorpodcast.com/ Episode 257: Giorgio Ugazio (Mr. RIP) — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/257 Mr. RIP on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/@mr_rip The Money Scope Podcast: Episode 9 — https://moneyscope.ca/2024/03/15/episode-9-taxable-investing-in-canada/ Book a meeting with a PWL Financial Planner —    Books From Today's Episode:   A Wealth of Well-Being — https://www.amazon.com/Wealth-Well-Being-Holistic-Approach-Behavioral/dp/1394249675 Wealthier — https://wealthierbook.com/   Papers From Today's Episode:    ‘Where's the Beef?' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4035890 ‘SPIVA® Canada Scorecard' —  https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/documents/spiva/spiva-canada-year-end-2023.pdf ‘2018 Paper' — https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhy046 ‘CBC Article' — https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/marketplace-hidden-camera-banks-1.7142427  

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 298 - Randall Stutman: Admired Leadership for Financial Decision-Making

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 28, 2024 57:59


Dr. Randall Stutman is an author, highly sought-after speaker, and executive leadership coach to some of the world's most exceptional CEOs, billionaires, and hedge fund managers. As the founder of the Admired Leadership Institute, he is widely recognized as a world-class authority on leadership strategy and style. Today, Dr. Stutman joins us to discuss the behaviours and skills that make admired leaders and how you can translate those characteristics and strategies into your financial decision-making process. Tuning in, you'll learn about the importance of followership, find out why admired leadership is so rare, and hear some practical advice to help you make better decisions. We also discuss why you should actually disagree with your clients more often, why relationships are the cornerstone of any business, questions to ask yourself to find the right client or financial advisor, and much more. Don't miss this fascinating and broad-reaching conversation on leadership and decision-making with specific applications for financial advice relationships!   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:03:36) A typical approach to leadership development (and why it doesn't work). (0:07:21) The two key qualities or characteristics of an admired leader. (0:09:23) Benefits of followership to create change and implement decisions. (0:10:28) A simple definition of leadership and why not everyone can be an admired leader. (0:13:08) Why great leaders and great organizations are values-driven. (0:16:15) Ways that consensus decision-making can hurt or strengthen an organization. (0:23:02) Other shortcomings in the decision-making process and how to avoid them. (0:27:29) Practical advice for financial advisors to become admired leaders. (0:32:33) Why checklists should never be the focus of a conversation or relationship. (0:33:52) Traits of admired leaders that financial consumers can emulate. (0:35:55) The best way for a couple to reach agreed-upon financial goals. (0:37:29) Tips for financial advisors to give better feedback and maintain relationships. (0:44:30) What a successful relationship with a financial advisor looks like. (0:46:07) How to avoid outcome bias for people who have been successful in the past. (0:48:00) Rapid-fire time management strategies, hallmarks of effective meetings, what's missing in virtual communication, what motivates people, and more. (0:55:46) A very important metric by which Dr. Stutman defines success.   Links From Today's Episode:   Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://twitter.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://twitter.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://twitter.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Admired Leadership Institute — https://admiredleadership.com/ Episode 238: Prof. Ralph Keeney — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/238   Books From Today's Episode:   Working Through Conflict: Strategies for Relationships, Groups, and Organizations — https://www.amazon.com/dp/0367461471/ Communication in Legal Advocacy (Studies in Communication Process) — https://www.amazon.com/dp/B09T21F8KX/  

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 297 - Do Stocks Return 10-12% On Average? & Zero to Millionaire with Nicolas Bérubé

The Rational Reminder Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 21, 2024 71:44


As human beings, our brains are wired to solve problems. This can make long-term investment strategies, like passive investing, surprisingly challenging, especially if you're not accustomed to the ups and downs of the market – it can feel pretty unintuitive to stay the course when your instinct is to take more active steps to solve the problem! So, how can investors remain firm in their strategy and not get spooked by market changes? Joining us today to unpack this question is financial journalist, Nicolas Bérubé, whose new book From Zero to Millionaire: A Simple and Stress-Free Way to Invest in the Stock Market serves as a guide to investors on how to grow their wealth and achieve good portfolio diversification at a low cost. We talk with him about the contents of his book, his observations on financial media and its effect on investors, how to stay committed when making long-term investments, and more. We also spend the top half of the show discussing a popular idea we've seen posted by influencers online, namely that investing in stocks will give you a return of 10% or more per year on average, and the flaws in their arguments. Tune in for a deep dive into investor psychology, financial media, and much more!   Key Points From This Episode:   (0:01:42) A breakdown of the flaws in the trending online theory being posted by influencers claiming that investing in stocks will give you a return of 10% or more per year on average. (0:09:17) Taking a longer-term view of the US stock market (and other global markets), how it's changed in the past 100 years, and what this means for investors today. (0:16:12) Relevant findings from various papers on US and global stock market returns, US stock market valuations, performance, the impact of survivorship bias, and more. (0:27:01) Why it can be so difficult to capture market return as an investor, and a breakdown of how best to approach historical data. (0:33:33) Talking with Nicolas Bérubé about what he learned from his failed options trade before he started studying markets and the research that helped him become a market optimist. (0:38:24) An overview of Indo-American investor, Mohnish Pabrai, and what Nicolas learned from meeting him. (0:41:05) Unpacking the difference between investing in the stock market and playing in the stock market and the importance of having an infinite vision when investing. (0:44:52) How Nicolas would explain the benefits of index funds and index investing to a novice and why behaviour is the number one obstacle to investor outcomes. (0:48:29) The effect of financial media on investors from Nicolas's perspective as a journalist. (0:51:52) Advice on whether to delegate your investment actions to a financial professional or do it yourself ie. automatic transfers using a robo advisor. (0:56:14) What people should be looking for if they do seek out financial advice and Nicolas's opinion on what investors struggle with most. (0:59:58) Aftershow section: future topics for the show, why we're excited to see more of Mark McGrath, updates on our 24 in 24 reading challenge, upcoming meetups, and more.   Links From Today's Episode: Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://twitter.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.ca Benjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://twitter.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://twitter.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ Mark McGrath on X — https://twitter.com/MarkMcGrathCFP 24 in 24 Reading Challenge — https://rationalreminder.ca/24in24 Nicolas Bérubé on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/nicolas-b%C3%A9rub%C3%A9-27b9b111b/ From Zero to Millionaire — https://fromzerotomillionaire.com/ The Motley Fool — https://www.fool.com/ Rob Carrick — https://www.theglobeandmail.com/authors/rob-carrick/ Andrew Hallam — https://andrewhallam.com/ Somebody Feed Phil — https://www.imdb.com/title/tt7752034/ Everybody Loves Raymond — https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0115167/ Shake Shack — https://shakeshack.com/#/ Figure 01 AI Robot Video on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7173681028664901634/   Books From Today's Episode:   From Zero to Millionaire: A Simple and Stress-Free Way to Invest in the Stock Market — https://fromzerotomillionaire.com/ The Algebra of Wealth: A Simple Formula for Financial Security — https://www.amazon.com/Algebra-Wealth-Formula-Financial-Security/dp/0593714024 A Random Walk Down Wall Street: The Time-Tested Strategy for Successful Investing — https://www.amazon.com/Random-Walk-Down-Wall-Street/dp/0393358380 Everyone Believes It; Most Will Be Wrong: Motley Thoughts on Investing and the Economy — https://www.amazon.com/Everyone-Believes-Most-Will-Wrong-ebook/dp/B00655BGBG The One-Page Financial Plan: A Simple Way to Be Smart About Your Money — https://www.amazon.com/One-Page-Financial-Plan-Simple-Smart/dp/1591847559 Setting the Table: The Transforming Power of Hospitality in Business — https://www.amazon.com/Setting-Table-Transforming-Hospitality-Business/dp/0060742763   Papers From Today's Episode:    ‘The Equity Premium' — https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/1540-6261.00437 Scott Cederburg research: ‘Long-Horizon Losses in Stocks, Bonds, and Bills: Evidence from a Broad Sample of Developed Markets' — https://www.paris-december.eu/sites/default/files//papers/2023/4393_scederburg_2023_complete.pdf Jules H. Van Binsbergen Paper: Is The United States A Lucky Survivor: A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach — https://rodneywhitecenter.wharton.upenn.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/30-20.Wachter.VanBinsbergen.pdf