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Entérate de lo que está cambiando el podcasting y el marketing digital:-Steve Goldstein: la palabra “pódcast” sigue teniendo un poder único, aunque su definición cambie.-BetterHelp lanza su primer pódcast original tras años de inversión publicitaria en la industria.-Medios acusan a Google de “robo” por su nueva función AI Mode.-VeePod revoluciona la producción de pódcast en video con tecnología inmersiva y automatización inteligente.-RØDE lanza los NTH-50, nuevos auriculares profesionales con sonido preciso y diseño duradero.Patrocinios ¿Estás en la CDMX y quieres grabar tu pódcast? RSS.media by RSS.com es tu “ONE STOP SHOP”. Graba, edita, aloja, promueve y monetiza con nosotros. Visítanos en www.rss.media y haz tu idea realidad.Entérate, en solo cinco minutos, sobre las noticias, herramientas, tips y recursos que te ayudarán a crear un pódcast genial y exitoso. Subscríbete a la “newsletter“ de Via Podcast.
By listener request, we're talking about our personal file organization and storage layouts this week, with a focus on our desktop computers--including how we use our OS-level home folders, whether to interact with the root system drive or not, and how much data we even keep on those machines these days--and also how we attempt to organize media, archives, backups and more on our home servers. Plus, a check-in on the state of Windows backup tools. Is it actually possible to avoid the dreaded Nth-level nested "old desktop" folder? Maybe!Software mentioned in this episode:Ventoy, the multi-ISO bootable USB image: https://www.ventoy.net/en/index.htmlEverything, the universal search tool: https://www.voidtools.com/How to use Windows File History: https://support.microsoft.com/en-us/windows/backup-and-restore-with-file-history-7bf065bf-f1ea-0a78-c1cf-7dcf51cc8bfcMore info on Windows Libraries: https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/windows/client-management/client-tools/windows-librariesEaseUS' free Windows backup utility: https://www.easeus.com/backup-software/tb-free.html Support the Pod! Contribute to the Tech Pod Patreon and get access to our booming Discord, a monthly bonus episode, your name in the credits, and other great benefits! You can support the show at: https://patreon.com/techpod
Show notes provided by Joe PelusoWhat do you get when you take a police procedural, mix it with science fiction and super-heroes, throw in social and political overtones that reflect modern society--and--call it an origin story? You get one guess--and it has nothing to do with a dead planet named Krypton. Give up? Well, the answer is Timothy Truman's three issuemasterpiece--HAWKWORLD. Join you hosts Keith and Joe for another installment of "Thinking Out of the Longbox With Keith" as the boys strap on their Nth metal wings and fly into an adventure of dynamic discovery of one of DC's seminal characters--Hawkman. The later half of the decade of the 1980's saw many DC icons reimagined for a modern age as the Crisis on Infinite Earths opened the door to new, fresh version of Superman, Wonder Woman, The Batman, The Flash, Green Arrow, and the "wingedwonder" from the Planet Thanagar! Truman's Hawkworld is a gritty, commentary on the abuse of power, and how it can tear apart an individual who has had his life mapped out for him. Katar Hol is a man fighting demons of the heart and mind, as well as those that prey on the less fortunate in the real world.The guys discuss the themes and tones such a world would impose on one man, and how he must fall from grace to eventually conquer all his demons so that he may become the beloved Silver Age version of Hawkman. And as they extol the virtues of Truman's dynamic and nuanced writing, they fairly flip their minds when they profusely praise his incredible art. This is a book the guys have been wanting to wax poetic about for a long time. We feel sure you will enjoy the discourse of this somewhat overlooked gem from comics best decade.And that classic exclamation "Look up in the sky!"--takes on a whole new meaning after reading Hawkworld!
Sandvika stasjon i september 1941: Fire år gammel ser Hans Leif Tronstad sin far for siste gang. Faren er NTH-professor Leif Tronstad. Han er allerede så involvert i motstandsarbeidet at tyskerne er på jakt etter ham. Leif Tronstad regnes av mange som den som hadde ideen til opprettelsen av FFI. I denne episoden forteller sønnen, Hans Leif Tronstad, historien om sin egen far før og under krigen. Med seg i studio har han John Fredrik Moxnes, sjefsforsker ved FFIs avdeling Forsvarssystemer og en av dem som kjenner historien om professor Tronstads krig best.
Review các phim ra rạp từ ngày 04/04/2025ĐỊA ĐẠO: MẶT TRỜI TRONG BÓNG TỐI –T16Đạo diễn: Bùi Thạc ChuyênDiễn viên: Thái Hòa; Quang Tuấn; Diễm Hằng Lamoon; Anh Tú Wilson; Hồ Thu Anh; Uyển ÂnThể loại: Chiến tranh, lịch SửNhân dịp kỷ niệm 50 năm đất nước hoà bình này còn phim nào thoả được nỗi niềm thưởng thức thước phim thời chiến đầy hào hùng như Địa Đạo: Mặt Trời Trong Bóng Tối. Nay còn có thêm định dạng 4DX cho khán giả trải nghiệm chui hầm dưới lòng Củ Chi đất thép.MẬT VỤ PHỤ HỒ - T18Đạo diễn: David AyerDiễn viên: Jason Statham, David Harbour, Michael Peña, Jason FlemyngThể loại: Hành Động, Hồi hộpLevon Cade - cựu biệt kích tinh nhuệ thuộc lực lượng Thủy quân Lục chiến Hoàng gia Anh. Sau khi nghỉ hưu, anh sống cuộc đời yên bình là một công nhân xây dựng tại Chicago (Mỹ). Levon có mối quan hệ rất tốt với gia đình ông chủ Joe Garcia (Michael Peña). Một ngày nọ, cô con gái tuổi teen Jenny (Arianna Rivas) của Joe bị bắt cóc khiến chàng cựu quân nhân phải sử dụng lại các kỹ năng giết chóc của mình để giúp đỡ.MỘT BỘ PHIM MINECRAFT - KĐạo diễn: Jared HessDiễn viên: Jason Momoa, Jack Black, Emma Myers, Sebastian Eugene Hansen, Danielle Brooks,...Thể loại: Gia đình, Hành Động, Phiêu Lưu, Thần thoạiChào mừng bạn đến với thế giới của Minecraft, nơi sự sáng tạo không chỉ giúp bạn chế tạo mà còn là yếu tố quan trọng để sống sót! Bốn kẻ lạc lõng - Garrett “The Garbage Man” Garrison (Momoa), Henry (Hansen), Natalie (Myers) và Dawn (Brooks) - bất ngờ gặp rắc rối khi họ bị kéo qua cánh cửa bí ẩn dẫn đến Overworld: một thế giới kỳ lạ được tạo bởi những khối lập phương và phát triển nhờ vào trí tưởng tượng. Để trở về nhà, họ cần phải làm chủ được thế giới này (và bảo vệ nó khỏi những thực thể tà ác như Piglins và Thây Ma) trong khi dấn thân vào chuyến phiêu lưu màu nhiệm với một thợ chế tạo chuyên nghiệp và khó lường - Steve (Black). Chuyến hành trình này sẽ thách thức sự can đảm của cả năm người, thúcđẩy họ tìm lại với những phẩm chất làm nên sự đặc biệt của riêng mình,… đồng thời là những kỹ năng cần thiết để trở lại với thế giới thật.OÁN LINH NHẬP XÁC – T18Đạo diễn: Upi AviantoDiễn viên: Hana Malasan, Yasamin Jasem, Egy FedlyThể loại: Kinh DịOán Linh Nhập Xác xoay quanh hành trình đầy bí ẩn của hai chị em gái Hanif và Isti trong căn nhà ma quái. Mồ côi cha mẹ, chuyển lên thành phố sống từ lâu, Hanif và Isti bất ngờ phải trở về quê nhà sau cuộc gọi từ người dì, thông báo rằng chú của họ đang gặp nguy kịch. Luôn miệng cầu xin hai chị em tha thứ, chú Khair qua đời trong tình trạng yếu ớt và lạnh cóng, còn Hanif và Isti bắt đầu trải qua những sự việc kinh hoàng, thậm chí đe dọa đến mạng sống. Khi người chú không hề siêu thoát mà hóa thành oan hồn đem thảm họa đến căn nhà, Hanif và Isti phải cùng nhau vượt qua, nhưng cũng từ đó khám phá ra những bí mật bị chôn giấu ở nơi đây, về cái chết thảm khốc của cha mẹ và những thành viên khác trong gia đình mình.KAYARA: CÔ BÉ CHIẾN BINHĐạo diễn: César ZeladaThể loại: Hoạt HìnhKayara, một thiếu nữ xinh đẹp và mạnh mẽ, quyết tâm trở thành nữ sứ giả đầu tiên của Đế chế Inca. Trên hành trình đầy thử thách, cô gái phải vượt qua nhiều khó khăn và sự hiểm trở để bảo vệ thành phố Vàng khỏi những nguy cơ khai thác và cứu bạn bè, gia đình khỏi những mối đe dọa bất ngờ. Trong hành trình đầy thử thách đó, Kayara học được rằng sức mạnh thực sự không chỉ nằm ở thể chất mà còn ở sức mạnh của trí tuệ và sự đoàn kết.
Az, Jackson, and Devin talk about modern Boxing glove: mostly vs 60 point Hadari but can be good vs any Hadari if you don't need others, also if you notice that a two damage knockback is enough to ko something that's hard to hit or you're going to use rivalry on, if it's not hard to hit just run Big Nth metal: vs anyone with stop clicks or cosmic energy TA, great with outwit Acid: mostly overshadowed by Nth metal at this point, better if you have no outwit and vs Juggernaut/Kong Too Dangerous: good vs swarms that like to stick together and high defense characters without super long dials Big: your default if you don't need any of the others specifically USB: honestly I never use this one but theoretically ok in motorcycle matchups if your trick arrow user isn't a primary attacker Hypnotic: good vs Hadari teams that have good stuff for her to kill if MCd My usual setups: 60 Hadari/Colossus: Boxing Glove/Nth/Big 100 Hadari/Colossus:Big/Big/Nth or sometimes Nth/Nth/Big if they have DMWW 200 Kong:Acid/Acid/Big Collector:Nth/Nth/Big Random swarm stuff with a thing with a stop: Big/Too Dangerous/Nth Random swarm with no stop:Big/Big/Too Dangerous Our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/jsaclix Have you heard of http://ClixNexus.com? Clixnexus.com Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/clixnexus Dishin' Up Clix Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/DishinUpClix Dial H: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCRFVQVhJX6evub-SvQyLtMg Check out some Roll20 tutorials here: Happy Little Heroclix - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wPJBi-PNiW4 Emily - http://withemily.ca/roll20-for-heroclix-tutorial-set-up-play-tips/
In Folge 241 sprechen die ApfelNerds über das Beste von 2024: Die Hörgerätefunktion der AirPods Pro 2, die M4-Prozessoren, mathematische Notizen, die neue Kalenderansicht und die "Dialoge verbessern"-Funktion in tvOS. Die Flops des Jahres sind die Vision Pro, Apple Intelligence, die andauernde iPad-Software-Krise und InSight für Filme und Serien. Saschas Gadgets des Jahres sind der Rode NTH-100, sein neuer Schreibtisch (SecretLabs Magnus Pro), sein Unifi-Netzwerk (Cloud Gateway Ultra, Flex Switches, U6 Pro), der Aquara U200 und sein Ring Intercom. Daniels Gadgets des Jahres sind Action Cams (Insta360 Ace Pro 2 & GO 3S, sowie DJI Action 5) und seine Drohnen (DJI Mini 4K & Neo), und seinen Røde NTH-100 findet er immernoch toll! Als Bonus: Die ApfelNerds-Videos auf YouTube. Guten Rutsch! Wir hören/sehen uns in 2025!
In this episode of Barrel Room Chronicles, Kerry Moynahan takes you on an exclusive journey through the Nth, the world's premier whiskey and luxury spirits experience held at The Wynn in Las Vegas. Kerry had the incredible opportunity to speak with some of the most esteemed figures in the whiskey industry, including Master Blender Richard Paterson from The Dalmore, Deborah Stewart of Glenfarclas, Gareth Howells from Aberfeldy, Alex Goode from Glen Grant, and John Kennedy from Bonnington Distillery.
If any season is movie-watching season, it's now. When we knew we wanted to make a Christmas movie-focused episode, 2008's A Christmas Tale and 2005's The Family Stone sprang to mind right away: These are matriarch-centric Christmas movies that take the whole mom-at-Christmastime thing to the Nth degree. Each in their own way, they put the intense time we spend gathered together with our families of origin at the holidays under a microscope. So, what do The Family Stone and A Christmas Tale have in common? Just about everything, except that one is American and has Dermot Mulroney at his hottest(?) and the other is extremely French and involves a LOT of people smoking cigarettes non-stop. We get dig under the surface of these two films — both of which are centered around big families gathered at the holidays around powerful, complicated matriarchs — with our (new) friends Andie and Sabrina of the Pop Culture Moms podcast.Links: * A Christmas Tale* The Family Stone* Pop Culture Moms on Apple Podcasts, Instagram, and Spotify This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit motherofitall.substack.com/subscribe
Send us a textThe Bums are back in the rail yard for S4:E0119, where the prologue dives headlong into NFL updates and the Chicago Bears clown show; Jaquan Brisker is beyond concussed (IR), Thomas Brown takes the OC controls, Caleb Williams is outplayed by… well, almost everyone, the Bears notoriously slow starts on offensive (numbers don't lie), and Packer week isn't hitting like the ol' days; QB journeyman Derek Carr is the first to 31; the KC Swifts put misogynistic asshole Harrison Butker on IR (karma police working OT); talk turns to NCAAF with IU cracking the Top 10 (but have they played ANYONE… crickets), latest Top 4 incudes Ohio State (not THE, just OS), Ducks, Horns and Penn State; baseball and the Cubs bid adieu to the Professor, Ian Happ gets gold hardware; pugilism is set for an epic embarrassment, with Iron Mike set to dance with serial douche bag Jake “Can't Read” Paul (aka. Dancing With The Stars); Eddie casts on eye on Kaner and Conor at the United Center; and Paddy lights up Geno Auriemma like Chevy Chase's house in Christmas Vacation (nobody, and I mean nobody, puts Caitlin in the corner). The epilogue predictably includes another multi-universal beer review, this time at the hands Batavia IL's pride, Energy City Brewing and their “Batisserie Chocolate Caliente” (ABV 10%), a delicious Imperial milk stout with chocolate, habanero & cinnamon (and maybe burnt marshmallow if you close your eyes); Old Irving Brewing's seasonal line of Krampus sells our in a matter of hours (Festivus gods are pleased); Rocky rolls through a B.O.M. quarterly business review and a stat spotting update; discussion turns to post-election social media trends including the death of Twitter (fuck Elon Musk, I'll never call it “x”) and the emergent BlueSky app; Rocky tries his hand at emulating Paddy's IDKNT segment with a send off, celebrating absolute legend Quincy Jones (and 11 fast facts); the weather in Chicago is changing how we dress and pay utility bills; Paddy's Notes include a tutorial on what happens when you're stupid and get hooked by the PoPo; and close with a new trend of Blue Women who are shaving their heads and striking coitus. All of this majesty while enduring election hangovers of the Nth degree. Get some before Rocky is deported. Recorded on November 14th, 2024 at B.O.M. northwest headquarters ‘The Eagle's Nest' in Chicago, IL USA.
The first building block to becoming a truly productive person is scheduling. Gretchen Rubin's personality test shows me as a questioner leaning towards a rebel. I love reinventing the wheel. As you know, I have been doing this through my PhD. And I recently came across a study that I have now read many times called “Who's Remembering to Buy The Eggs?” by Julie Holliday Wayne et al. It uses the term Invisible Family Load. Invisible Family Load I just loved the intentionality and thoroughness of the words she selected to sum up the invisible work of household managers. She started with invisible instead of mental which would imply mental only, but what about scheduling? Planning or worrying? Invisible is inclusive and encompassing. And then she used the word family to include people outside the structure of the home that a household manager would be caring for, like a college student or elderly family member. And lastly, she selected load instead of labor. Labor you get paid to do. Load was explained as being put on, burdensome, or weighing down a mind, thus requiring cognitive load and not getting paid for it. Do you know the top two tasks people marked the most as invisible in a study? Planning (#1) and Scheduling (#2); I think I'm onto something!! Schedules Sunday Basket® I explained a few times that I created different types of schedules I have had in this episode. When I was still in-home organizing, I developed two types of schedules. I had one for working outside my home and one for working from home. I found that when a client canceled at the last minute, I would get frustrated and I was stumped on how to move forward with my day. Once I developed schedules, or scaffolding, for outside or inside work, I would just move to my working from home schedule when clients canceled. For my family, we had a weekend schedule and weekday schedule. Schedules simply keep you on task and eliminate decision making. Every Sunday, I go through my Sunday Basket®. Depending on things that need to get done that week, I can fill in my schedule, keeping in mind the routines I have established. It's a general guide or, as I mentioned, scaffolding. Scaffolding Planning Days Schedules give you structure but keep in mind, they can be reevaluated. Planning Days give you an opportunity to tweak your schedules. The Sunday Basket® is weekly and Planning Days offer the scaffolding, zooming out a little. Maybe you notice you want to change activities on different days due to a sports schedule change or getting your PhD. In Home Planning Day, we develop routines for morning, afternoon, and evening. In Workbox Planning Day, we develop routines for starting your work day, mid day, and ending your work day. Those six routines reduce your cognitive load. You made a plan proactively, now all you have to do is run it, go on autopilot. Level Up Scheduling Wanna take scheduling to the Nth degree? Schedule the people coming to your home. I mean, book them out far enough that you can get a complete list of all tasks before they come for the appointment. Once you know they are coming, you may find more tasks for them to complete. And schedule meetings with people. I used to want to connect with people but felt rude telling them it would have to wait two weeks, so I just wouldn't reach out or reply. I found over time that people don't mind at all. Book the meeting and connect. It may seem weird to book out two months, but the day will be there before you know it and you'll be connecting like you desired. Truly productive people are always looking at their schedules and realize they support them through scaffolding. Schedules do not limit them. Up next? Consistency! EPISODE RESOURCES: Organize 365® Podcast Resources The Sunday Basket® Organize 365® Home Planning Day Friday Workbox® Planning Day Podcast 10 Year Anniversary Giveaway Sign Up for the Organize 365® Newsletter Did you enjoy this episode? Please leave a rating and review in your favorite podcast app. Share this episode with a friend and be sure to tag Organize 365® when you share on social media!
Bill's special guest is Dennis, a former athlete who formed a strong relationship with Ronald Dale Barassi, becoming his personal trainer and match day runner at both Nth. Melbourne and Melbourne. Dennis also shares his battle with prostate cancer. Dennis also shares his battle with prostate cancer.
En Corée du Sud, la découverte de groupes privés Telegram révèle l'ampleur des cas de harcèlement sexuel en ligne dont les femmes sont les premières victimes. Des groupes féministes coréens ont révélé l'existence de salons de discussion privés où plus de 200 000 hommes échangeraient des photos et vidéos de femmes prises sans leur consentement ou même modifiées par intelligence artificielle pour en faire des vidéos pornographiques. Un énième scandale de la sorte après celui du salon de discussion similaire « Nth room », en 2018 et 2020, qui révèle une forme de banalité des violences sexuelles dans la société sud-coréenne. De notre correspondant à Séoul,Du lycée à l'entreprise, les témoignages de femmes victimes de harcèlement sexuel en ligne affluent depuis plusieurs jours sur les réseaux sociaux. Et ces révélations secouent la Corée du Sud. « Quand j'étais au lycée, j'ai été harcelée sur Facebook par un garçon de mon établissement. À cette période, mon nom, mon école, ma classe, mes notes, ont été révélés », témoigne une jeune femme, qui préfère rester anonyme. « Pour être honnête, j'ai peu d'espoir, continue-t-elle, peu importe si j'évite les hommes, ils n'utilisent pas seulement les photos que nous postons sur nos réseaux sociaux, ils piratent également ces comptes, utilisent nos visages sur des photos de groupes, même nos photos de classe, pour créer des vidéos de deepfake. » Pour parvenir à de fausses vidéos très croyables, l'intelligence artificielle (IA) est en effet utilisée pour calquer le visage de victimes à partir d'une photo sur une vidéo pornographique. Cela afin de créer une fausse sextape. À écouter dans 8 milliards de voisinsLes femmes face au cyberharcèlement: comment se défendre?Depuis 2018 et le premier scandale de la « Nth room », des associations d'aide aux victimes se sont créées. Shin Seong-yeon en dirige une spécialisée sur le cyberharcèlement et connaît bien les rouages de ce système. « Ce genre d'images sont partagées dans des groupes comme sur Telegram ou d'autres sites. Il en existe énormément avec plusieurs dizaines de milliers de membres chacun », explique-t-elle. Et l'enjeu économique est fort : « Sur ces groupes, il y a des vendeurs qui échangent des photos, des vidéos contre de l'argent. De quelques centimes à environ sept euros pour une image, ce n'est vraiment pas cher, mais certains sont devenus riches grâce à cela. »Une législation défaillante qui pourrait être mise à jourUn phénomène aggravé par les progrès de la technologie de l'intelligence artificielle dont la législation coréenne peine à suivre, poursuit Shin Seong-yeon : « En Corée, il n'existe pas vraiment de loi contre ce genre de crime. Seule la loi contre la pornographie interdit la vente et la diffusion d'images à caractère sexuel. Mais cela ne prend pas en compte le préjudice, la violence contre les victimes. En Corée, le corps nu d'une femme est un plus grand problème que la violence qu'elle subit. »C'est pourquoi elle plaide pour une prise en compte par les politiques de ce sujet : « Il est nécessaire que les politiques prennent conscience de ce vide juridique et écrivent une nouvelle loi pour punir les cas de harcèlement sexuel en ligne. »Le président Yoon Suk-yeol a annoncé prendre au sérieux cette vague de crime qui touche, entre autres, des mineurs. Une commission parlementaire va également être mise en place pour potentiellement établir une nouvelle législation.À lire aussiTunisie: la forte cyberviolence dissuade les femmes de se lancer dans la politique et l'activisme
En Corée du Sud, la découverte de groupes privés Telegram révèle l'ampleur des cas de harcèlement sexuel en ligne dont les femmes sont les premières victimes. Des groupes féministes coréens ont révélé l'existence de salons de discussion privés où plus de 200 000 hommes échangeraient des photos et vidéos de femmes prises sans leur consentement ou même modifiées par intelligence artificielle pour en faire des vidéos pornographiques. Un énième scandale de la sorte après celui du salon de discussion similaire « Nth room », en 2018 et 2020, qui révèle une forme de banalité des violences sexuelles dans la société sud-coréenne. De notre correspondant à Séoul,Du lycée à l'entreprise, les témoignages de femmes victimes de harcèlement sexuel en ligne affluent depuis plusieurs jours sur les réseaux sociaux. Et ces révélations secouent la Corée du Sud. « Quand j'étais au lycée, j'ai été harcelée sur Facebook par un garçon de mon établissement. À cette période, mon nom, mon école, ma classe, mes notes, ont été révélés », témoigne une jeune femme, qui préfère rester anonyme. « Pour être honnête, j'ai peu d'espoir, continue-t-elle, peu importe si j'évite les hommes, ils n'utilisent pas seulement les photos que nous postons sur nos réseaux sociaux, ils piratent également ces comptes, utilisent nos visages sur des photos de groupes, même nos photos de classe, pour créer des vidéos de deepfake. » Pour parvenir à de fausses vidéos très croyables, l'intelligence artificielle (IA) est en effet utilisée pour calquer le visage de victimes à partir d'une photo sur une vidéo pornographique. Cela afin de créer une fausse sextape. À écouter dans 8 milliards de voisinsLes femmes face au cyberharcèlement: comment se défendre?Depuis 2018 et le premier scandale de la « Nth room », des associations d'aide aux victimes se sont créées. Shin Seong-yeon en dirige une spécialisée sur le cyberharcèlement et connaît bien les rouages de ce système. « Ce genre d'images sont partagées dans des groupes comme sur Telegram ou d'autres sites. Il en existe énormément avec plusieurs dizaines de milliers de membres chacun », explique-t-elle. Et l'enjeu économique est fort : « Sur ces groupes, il y a des vendeurs qui échangent des photos, des vidéos contre de l'argent. De quelques centimes à environ sept euros pour une image, ce n'est vraiment pas cher, mais certains sont devenus riches grâce à cela. »Une législation défaillante qui pourrait être mise à jourUn phénomène aggravé par les progrès de la technologie de l'intelligence artificielle dont la législation coréenne peine à suivre, poursuit Shin Seong-yeon : « En Corée, il n'existe pas vraiment de loi contre ce genre de crime. Seule la loi contre la pornographie interdit la vente et la diffusion d'images à caractère sexuel. Mais cela ne prend pas en compte le préjudice, la violence contre les victimes. En Corée, le corps nu d'une femme est un plus grand problème que la violence qu'elle subit. »C'est pourquoi elle plaide pour une prise en compte par les politiques de ce sujet : « Il est nécessaire que les politiques prennent conscience de ce vide juridique et écrivent une nouvelle loi pour punir les cas de harcèlement sexuel en ligne. »Le président Yoon Suk-yeol a annoncé prendre au sérieux cette vague de crime qui touche, entre autres, des mineurs. Une commission parlementaire va également être mise en place pour potentiellement établir une nouvelle législation.À lire aussiTunisie: la forte cyberviolence dissuade les femmes de se lancer dans la politique et l'activisme
In this video, Nima is joined by FPL_TT to share their insights on the best Newcastle FPL assets for the 2024/25 season. We will also learn more about TT's play style as an FPL manager and his thoughts on the new rules. Finally we will review his current GW1 draft and takes Q&A from the live chat and X. Today is the beginning of a new chapter as Net That Haul FPL becomes Locked in FPL. After four seasons, the show will be taking a new direction with Nima relaunching the channel solo with a rotating roster of weekly guests every Wednesday. Please bear with us as we work towards finalising the rebrand! Get valuable tips and strategies ahead of GW1 for your Fantasy Premier League team, with top picks from the Newcastle squad. Watch now to stay ahead in the game! Episode 182 (formerly Net That Haul FPL) ━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Timestamps 0:00:00 Intro 0:00:02 Nima and TT 0:00:48 Farewell NTH 0:01:18 Launching Locked In FPL E1 0:01:48 New Rules Thoughts 0:05:25 Questions for TT about his play style? 0:15:23 Newcastle PreSeason and Fan Expectations 0:19:31 Best 3 Newcastle players? 0:30:11 Shout out live viewer comments 0:33:53 Pope, Murphy, Willock and Bruno G 0:39:15 @RobTFPL Top Projectors Scorers 0:40:07 Projected Goal Involvements (G+A) 0:42:03 TT Draft GW1 0:53:44 Thank You Haulers (YouTube Members & Patrons)0:55:02 Q&A of all Live Questions1:02:07 TOCA Social Harry, Pras, Baker, Sonaldo, Fran, RJ, TT & Nima at Toca Social ━━━━━━━━━━━━━ There will also be another secret launch on Tuesday 13th August here: https://youtube.com/@lawnmower-c8b?si=xhFlPkrL1xbhI11U (TBA currently incubating in stealth mode). Would love if we can build on all the amazing stuff we have done so far together and retain that amazingness in new ways going forwards. £300 Prizepot Minileague on X: https://x.com/FPLNima/status/1816800432221553045 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Join the Haulers one last time for our first impressions on the game launch and reminisce with the Haulers in the live chat for all their support over the last 4 seasons! @FPLNima will be joined by special cohost @ManOnPod_Craig tonight. If you missed the announcement please read our letter to the Haulers below as we come to the close of this foundational chapter in our heritage. The next chapter will arrive for NTH with a new podcast relaunch next week. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━ There will also be another secret launch on Tuesday 13th August here: https://youtube.com/@lawnmower-c8b?si=xhFlPkrL1xbhI11U (TBA currently incubating in stealth mode). Would love if we can build on all the amazing stuff we have done so far together and retain that amazingness in new ways going forwards. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Por fin, después de más de un mes, me llegaron los accesorios (almohadillas) naranjas para mis NTH-100, los cascos/auriculares/audífonos de RØDE. Y si, son fáciles de reemplazar. Me pueden contactar en: https://ernestoacosta.me/contacto.html Todos los medios donde publico contenido los encuentras en: https://ernestoacosta.me/
First time is a charm, right? For many climate technologies, building a first-of-a-kind (FOAK) project is a major barrier to widespread adoption and commercialization. The ecosystem of early-stage climate tech funding, such as venture capital and grants, is well-known and used to taking substantial risk for outsized impact. The pools of capital and expertise for turning those technologies into commercial-scale projects, however, is more challenging to navigate. Nevertheless, it is critical for companies to learn to navigate this gap to bring impactful technologies to scale. Deanna Zhang, CEO of V1 Climate Solutions, joins us on the show to talk all things FOAK. With a background in investment banking, she has built an expertise in helping companies navigate the pitfalls of FOAK projects and works with startups, investors, and corporates to help them define strategies to successful scale-up climate technologies. Tune in to learn more about how we can best bridge the gap between FOAK and Nth-of-a-kind projects and what developments are needed to make that possible.
It's another full house this week on #BTLRadioShow as we welcome MEREDITH YINGER talking SCARS UNSEEN and STEVE BALDERSON talking his new streaming series, BLOODY FAMOUS! PLUS, thanks to Steve being late with his call-in to the live show, you get the added bonus of my exclusive interview with JOSH MARGOLIN talking the fun-filled and unforgettable comedy THELMA. First up, writer/director MEREDITH YINGER joins us to talk about her new feature, a powerful documentary on domestic abuse but with a new perspective that we haven't seen before, SCARS UNSEEN, which makes its World Premiere on June 30th at Dances With Films in Hollywood! Then hear my exclusive interview with writer/director JOSH MARGOLIN as he talks about his new film THELMA and 94-year-old June Squibb – Action Hero! THELMA is not only fun but warm and wonderful; a sentimental journey of action and aging! And finally, the uber-talented writer/director/author STEVE BALDERSON joins us again for the fourth time (!!!!) talking about his latest venture, and something new for Steve, the streaming series BLOODY FAMOUS! Talk about wicked, dark, twisted, satiric fun! I am in love with this episodic and hope that Steve gives us a Season 2. Think "The Bachelorette meets The Hunger Games" but ramped up to the Nth degree! Who will be the victor in this deadly game of love? http://eliasentertainmentnetwork.com
The infamous Nth room chat rooms, a place where women and young girls are extorted, trafficked and even tortured. All for the pleasure of over 260k paying anonymous users. Tik Tok: https://www.tiktok.com/@themediahijacked?lang=en Reddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/theMediaHijacked/ Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC7Lbqa8NqieSOZpTCtxshQw T-Shirts “NOW AVAILABLE” https://www.themediahijacked.com/ Every Tuesday @3PM PST/6PM EST Join us on twitch.tv Follow us on Twitch.tv: https://www.twitch.tv/mediahijacked Follow us on www.kick.com/themediahijacked Billy: https://www.instagram.com/youneak/ Chris: https://www.instagram.com/sarkastik_jones/ Don't forget Rate and Subscribe!! Thanks!! --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/mediahijacked/support
What does the Word freedom mean to you? Well – think about it. Is it being able to do whatever you want … or is it more about being free from the things that are holding you back? Hmmm. A Revelation of Freedom Most of us, I guess, would define freedom as being able to do whatever we want whenever we want, and that definition right there is what brings a whole world of pain crashing down on our lives. I don't think there's a single person on this planet who doesn't want to be free. Do you want to be free? Well, of course you do; me too, but if freedom is that important to us, you have to ask yourself exactly what is it. Sure, there's political freedom; freedom of speech; freedom of association; the freedom to gather; to protest; to live where you want to live; to marry who you want to marry; to choose to have children or not. In this day and age, we live in a world that's more and more fixated on our individual freedoms, our rights as individuals. After all, I'm entitled to enjoy my life. Right? So it doesn't take too long to start imagining that freedom is being able to do whatever we want whenever we want. Anything that cuts across that is a restriction of our inalienable right to be free, and yet if you travel to any kind of place where that freedom is practised, what you discover is lawlessness and anarchy. There's no safety; there's no protection; there's no security because that anything, anytime kind of freedom is a terrible thing. That's what the rule of law is all about: To keep us safe and secure. So when you think about it, what we actually need is a different definition of freedom: One that really works. Try this one on for size. Galatians 1:3-4: Grace to you and peace from God our Father and the Lord Jesus Christ, who gave Himself for our sins to set us free from this present evil age, according to the will of our God and Father. It seems that God takes our freedom so seriously that He sent Jesus to suffer and die to set us free. From what? Well, from our sin, and from this evil age. So according to God real freedom, the sort of freedom that Jesus purchased for you on that cross, is about setting you free from the devastating consequences of your sin, and the evil that pervades every nook and cranny of this age, so that you can live in grace and peace. Not such a bad definition when you think about it. So here's a question for you: What sin, what evil, is robbing you of the freedom that Jesus came to give you? Because that sin, that evil, is what God is calling you to hand over to Him today. His will for you is to be free to live in the grace and the peace of Jesus Christ, but that's not always an easy thing to do. One of the things you discover when you set your heart on following Jesus is that the rest of the world is not going to be standing by and cheering you on. In fact, far from it. Not long after I became a Christian, a few decades ago now, the IT consulting firm at which I was a partner had the opportunity to bid for a rather large government project in the developing world, but the simple reality was that unless you paid the bribes to the various officials, you were completely wasting your time in bidding. As you can imagine, as a brand-new Christian, I was faced with a real dilemma. And can I tell you, I came under quite some pressure to compromise? It happens in every corner of our lives because when you decide to believe in Jesus, when you decide to follow Jesus, when you decide to live your life for Him, let me tell you, the world is not going to be all that happy with you. They'll criticise you; laugh at you; persecute you, whatever fits best at the time. You see, those people want you to believe that their way is the way of freedom; of success; of enjoyment. The world wants you to believe that following Jesus somehow is going to rob you of your freedom. What do you believe? Who are you trying to please; Jesus, or those naysayers around you? Paul the apostle made a very clear decision on that question in his life. Galatians 1:10: Am I now seeking human approval, or God's approval? Or am I trying to please people? If I were still pleasing people, I would not be a servant of Christ. People are so fickle. Have you noticed? Jesus did. That's why we're told in John 2:23-25 that: When He was in Jerusalem during the Passover festival, many believed in His name – because they saw the signs that He was doing, but Jesus on His part would not entrust Himself to them, because He knew all people and needed no one to testify about anyone, for He Himself knew what was in everyone. At some point, in every corner of our lives, every thought, every decision, every action, each one of us has to decide who we're trying to please; people, or God. And the way it tends to work is that it's not so much the big decisions that we make upfront that matter; it's the little decisions that we make a hundred times a day, that together tell us who we're really trying to please. Come on. Who are you trying to please with your life? Because if you're still seeking human approval, if you're still trying to please people, you wouldn't be a servant of Christ. Look. To experience freedom, real freedom, we need to stop focusing on the world. What we need is a spiritual revelation. The fact is that the freedom that only Jesus Christ can bring is a fantastic thing, but whilst the facts are incredibly important, you don't find freedom in facts. The apostle Paul was an interesting character. He was a member of the Sanhedrin, the ruling religious body in Jerusalem, and there's a reason that he made it to the top of the pile. Philippians 3:4-6: If anyone else has reason to be confident in the flesh, I have more. Circumcised on the eighth day, a member of the people of Israel, the tribe of Benjamin, a Hebrew born of Hebrews. As to the Law, a Pharisee. As to zeal, a persecutor of the church. As to righteousness under the Law, blameless. So Paul's heritage, his breeding, his upbringing, ticked all the right boxes. He studied the Old Testament Law; he knew it from back to front; he worked hard at it. You know the sort of person. He had all the head-knowledge that you could ask for, all the discipline that you could ever expect of anybody. On-top of that, he was a Pharisee. Now, this sect took the idea of following the Law to incredible lengths. The very word Pharisee means to be a religious separatist. He was absolutely full-on, and yet the one thing he didn't have was freedom, until one day on the road to Damascus, Jesus appeared to Him, and that encounter with Jesus was the turning-point of his life. This is what he writes years later, looking back on it. Galatians 1:11-12: For I want you to know, brothers and sisters, that the gospel that was proclaimed by me is not of human origin. For I did not receive it from a human source, nor was I taught it, but I received it through a revelation of Jesus Christ. So it wasn't something that he'd learned through years of study; it was a revelation. The original Greek word used there for revelation is the word 'apocalypsis'. In other words, it was an apocalyptic revelation. Dramatic! Powerful! Completely life-changing, and it wasn't a revelation about Jesus; it wasn't words from a book. Come on, Paul knew all those words in the Old Testament books; he'd studied them for years; he'd made it to the top of the religious pile that way, but that's not what changed his life. It wasn't a revelation about Jesus; it was a revelation of Jesus, through a personal encounter with Him. Have you had an apocalyptic revelation of the person of Jesus Christ? Have you had a dramatic, powerful, life-changing encounter with Jesus? No? Then get a revelation. Jesus is waiting for you, now. He wants to turn your life upside-down, now. All the head-knowledge in the world won't do that for you. Only Jesus. Freedom is a Tricky Thing Freedom is a tricky thing. So often, we're our own worst enemies: Our perspective; our thoughts; our behaviour ... They all rob us of this elusive thing called freedom. Try as we might, we just can't grasp it. You've had that experience. Right? You know what it's like. There's something in your makeup, an Achilles heel if you will, that's constantly your undoing. For each one of us, it's something different, but at the end of the day, it trips you up again and again and again. Mine is perfectionism, which has a tendency to fuel anger. Yours? Well, you probably know what it is. Maybe it's insecurity; gossiping; a lack of compassion; selfishness ... Hey, the list runs as long as my arm, and then some. God has a simple name for it: He calls it sin. The devil loves to rub your nose in it, and just when you're feeling weak or tired, emotionally spent, he pushes your button and there you go again. For the apostle Paul, it was an obsessive hatred of the church. He, of course, was a Pharisee in the Jewish religion. Then Jesus came along and turned everything he'd ever believed in, everything he'd ever worked so hard for, completely upside-down. No wonder he hated Christians, but then ... Then he met Jesus and something changed in him. People were talking about it. Galatians 1:23: They heard it said, ‘The one who formerly was persecuting us is now proclaiming the faith he once tried to destroy', and they glorified God because of me. And he had been, too. He was a terrible persecutor of the church, until that day he met Jesus on the road to Damascus. You can read about it in the book of Acts, chapter 9. Ok. So he met Jesus, but what happened to turn him from a man breathing threats against the early church to the guy who ultimately wrote almost half the books of the New Testament? That's quite a turnaround, you'd have to admit. I'll tell you what happened: Jesus changed his heart. You know and I know that when we have a change of heart, our thoughts and our actions flow out of that, just as God promised in the days of old through Ezekiel. Ezekiel 11:19-20: I will give them one heart and put a new spirit within them. I will remove the heart of stone from their flesh, and give them a heart of flesh so that they may follow My statutes and keep My ordinances and obey them. When you encounter Jesus on your road, when you draw close to Him, when His Spirit fills you to overflowing, He does what you were powerless to do. He changes your heart which, as it turns out, changes everything. Sometimes though, it feels as though nothing's happening. Nothing! So what; has God forgotten me now? Has He left me on the shelf? We all want to feel as though God has some great plan for our lives. So in those months (even years) when nothing much seems to be happening, it can be terribly disheartening. Jesus: "I came to set the captives free". You: "Yeah, right. It feels like you've forgotten me!" Other people, they seem to be powering on. You, on the other hand, feel as though there's nothing really exciting ahead. Saul is on the road to Damascus, off to persecute some more Christians; he meets Jesus along the way. That's pretty exciting! But then, he loses his sight and for three days, he's completely blind. Now that doesn't sound like such a long time, unless you've been struck blind; in which case, it probably feels like an eternity. Adversity has a way of doing that, which is why when you feel as though you've been left on the shelf, it does seem like an eternity. Am I right? "Freedom – what's that?" you ask yourself, in this prison of inactivity. When we get to that point, there's something we need to be reminded of. It's what Paul says himself in his letter to the church in Galatia. Galatians 1:15-17: But when God, who had set me apart before I was born and called me through His grace, was pleased to reveal His Son to me so that I might proclaim Him among the Gentiles, I didn't confer with any human being, nor did I go up to Jerusalem to those who were already apostles before me. But I went away at once to Arabia, and afterwards I returned to Damascus. In other words, God already had a plan for Paul, even before he was born. Along the way, people tried to kill the guy; they rioted against him; he was imprisoned; beaten; shipwrecked; bitten by a viper of all things, and eventually, he rotted out the remainder of his days in a Roman dungeon on death row. But that powerful encounter with Jesus, that incredible revelation of Christ Himself when he met Jesus on the road to Damascus, that changed everything. Because no matter how dire his circumstances became, he knew that God had a plan. So in the middle of those difficult circumstances, Paul had the freedom that Jesus promised. You know, God still has a plan: A plan for today; for tomorrow; next month; next year, and indeed, for the rest of your time on this earth. God hasn't forgotten you. He hasn't lost the plot. God has a plan and that fact gives you freedom, even if you've been locked away in a dungeon or forgotten on a shelf, and that's a promise that God wants you to take into your heart today. The only sort of hope the Bible talks about is certain hope, so may the Holy Spirit write that hope on your heart. Overcoming the Old Ways Ok, the subject for today is circumcision. I know it's not exactly something you want to be thinking about, but stick with me. There's an important point to be made, and what we're really chatting about is freedom: Your freedom here, now, today. But first, let's head back to first-century Jerusalem. You see, there's a rocky transition underway for those who believe in Jesus from Judaism (the religion of their forefathers) to Christianity; from the life lived under a complex set of religious rules to a life of freedom in Christ. A lot of the things that seem pretty obvious to us today had to be nutted out back then; it wasn't easy. One of them was male circumcision, which to this point had been part of God's Law for His people. Let's take a look at how the apostle Paul puts it in Galatians 2:3-5: But even Titus, who was with me, was not compelled to be circumcised, though he was a Greek. But because of false believers secretly brought in, who slipped in to spy on the freedom that we have in Christ Jesus, so that they might enslave us. We did not submit to them even for a moment, so that the truth of the gospel might always remain with you. You see, there's a tussle here between the old traditionalists who didn't believe in this whole nonsense about grace through Jesus, and Paul to whom the gospel of grace (the fantastic news of God's unmerited favour towards us) had been revealed by Jesus Himself. Circumcision was just the flashpoint. The real debate was between the slavery of living under the set of rules, and the freedom that we have through our faith in Christ, and it's a struggle that continues to this day in the heart of many-a believer because grace is so radical; so counter-intuitive. We live in a 'dog-eat-dog' world, and there seems to be plenty of dog to go around, yet along comes Jesus and says in effect, "Look, it's not about following a bunch of rules. It's about experiencing My love and so that you can, I'm going to pay the price on a cross for all the things that you've done wrong in your life." The reason Paul takes this so seriously is that it strikes at the very heart of the gospel of grace; the truth. Besides, have you noticed? It's pretty much impossible to follow the rules anyway. We all fall short. That's why we need Jesus, so if you've been struggling under a bunch of rules, do yourself a favour. Ditch them. Go to Jesus instead. Start having a rich, dynamic relationship with Him, and your unbounded freedom will flow out of that relationship. Don't let rules enslave you. And you and I, we aren't the only ones that suffer from this problem. Take Peter, the apostle. We think of Peter as one of the New Testament's 'A'-list, yet he made quite a few mistakes along the way, not the least of which was political correctness. This age of rampant political correctness isn't something new in the twenty-first century. It turns out that there's nothing new under the sun. Now look. It's absolutely a good idea that we shouldn't deliberately go out there to say or do things that'll hurt others, but it's a very bad idea to take that to the ridiculous Nth degree to the point where we curtail our freedoms in order to appease those with an agenda, and that's exactly what was going on in the first century as Christianity was being birthed out of Judaism. There was a tussle between the two. There were difficult issues to work through. For instance, most Jews believed that the God of the Old Testament was for them and them alone. Many of the apostles stayed in Jerusalem for that very reason, but Paul was called to be an apostle to the Gentiles, to take the good news of salvation in Jesus to people whom the Jews referred to as dogs, so Peter is happy to dine with the Gentiles until some other legalistic old-school Jews show up, at which point he does the politically correct thing – retreating, only to eat with Jews again. Well, at this point, Paul pretty much has a pink fit. Galatians 2:11-13: But when Cephas” (that's Peter's other name) “came to Antioch, I opposed him to his face because he stood self-condemned. For until certain people came from James, he used to eat with the Gentiles, but after they came, he drew back and kept himself separate for fear of the circumcision faction, and the other Jews joined him in this hypocrisy so that even Barnabas was led astray by their hypocrisy To the extent that you believe in Jesus, you are free in Christ to live out your faith. Sure; in this age of political correctness, in this age of pluralism, you will be derided for it; you'll be laughed at for it; you'll even be persecuted for it, but let Peter's mistake be a lesson to us all. Let's not be hypocrites. Let's not compromise our freedom in Christ to appease the sinners of this world. Sure; the issues today are different, but the principle remains the same. People will disagree with you because you believe in Jesus. They just will. There's nothing new in any of that ... Live out your faith in Jesus anyhow. Don't let the fear of what others will think or say or do rob you of the freedom that you have in Christ. Don't let your life compromise the truth of the gospel of grace. Isn't it funny how our old ways keep coming back to haunt us? Peter spent three-and-a-half years with Jesus! He saw the miracles; he heard the sermons; he experienced the radically different way that the Son of God approached things. Jesus wasn't afraid of upsetting religious leaders. Jesus wasn't afraid of offending people, yet still Peter falls back into his old ways. No wonder Paul took him on! It's a good thing and as I said, it's a sobering lesson to you and me about the power of the old ways to rob us of the freedoms that Jesus came to give us. Jesus said that if He sets us free, then we are free indeed. Don't throw that freedom away so easily.
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Higher-Order Forecasts, published by Ozzie Gooen on May 25, 2024 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Higher-order forecasting could be a useful concept for prediction markets and forecasting systems more broadly. The core idea is straightforward: Nth-order forecasts are forecasts about (N-1)th order forecasts. Examples Here are some examples: 0-Order Forecasting (i.e., the ground truth) Biden won the 2020 U.S. presidential election The US GDP in 2023 was $27 trillion 1st-Order Forecasting (i.e., regular forecasting) What is the chance that Trump will win the 2024 U.S. presidential election? What will be the GDP of the US in 2024? 2nd-Order Forecasting How much will the forecasts for US GDP in 2024 and 2025 be correlated over the next year? How many forecasts will the question "What will be the GDP of the US in 2024?" receive in total? If the question "What is the chance that a Republican will win the 2028 Presidential Election?" was posted to Manifold, with a subsidy of 100k Mana, what would the prediction be, after 1 month?" 3rd-Order Forecasting How much will the forecasts, [How much will the forecasts for US GDP in 2024 and 2025 be correlated over the next year?] and [How many forecasts will the question "What will be the GDP of the US in 2024?" receive in total?], be correlated, from now until 2024? How valuable were all the forecasts for the question, ['How many forecasts will the question "What will be the GDP of the US in 2024?" receive in total?'] As forecasting systems mature, higher-order forecasts could play a role analogous to financial derivatives in markets. Derivatives allow for more efficient pricing, risk transfer, and information aggregation by letting market participants express views on the relationships between assets. Similarly, higher-order forecasts could allow forecasters to express views on the relationships between predictions, leading to a more efficient and informative overall forecasting ecosystem. Benefits Some potential benefits of higher-order forecasting include: 1. Identify Overconfidence Improve the accuracy of forecasts by having participants directly predict and get rewarded for estimating overconfidence or poor calibration in other forecasts. "How overconfident is [forecast/forecaster] X" 2. Prioritize Questions Prioritize the most important and decision-relevant questions by forecasting the value of information from different predictions. "How valuable is the information from forecasting question X?" 3. Surface Relationships Surface key drivers and correlations between events by letting forecasters predict how different questions relate to each other. "How correlated will the forecasts for questions X and Y be over [time period]?" 4. Faster Information Aggregation Enable faster aggregation of information by allowing forecasts on future forecast values, which may update more frequently than the underlying events. "What will the forecast for question X be on [future date], conditional on [other forecasts or events]?" 5. Leverage Existing Infrastructure Leverage the existing infrastructure and resolution processes of prediction platforms, which are already designed to handle large numbers of forecasting questions. We've already seen some early examples of higher-order forecasts on platforms like Manifold Markets. For example, with the recent questions: Will there be a Manifold bot that makes profitable bets on random 1-month markets by December 2024? (Ṁ3,000 subsidy!) Manifold Top Traders Leaderboard Ranking Prediction (2024) If Manifold begins allowing real-money withdrawals, will its accuracy improve? Is Manifold's P(Doom) by 2050 currently between 10% and 90%? [Resolves to Poll] Will Manifold be more accurate than real-money markets in forecasting the 2024 election? Challenges Of course, there are also challenges and risks to cons...
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Visualizing neural network planning, published by Nevan Wichers on May 9, 2024 on The AI Alignment Forum. TLDR We develop a technique to try and detect if a NN is doing planning internally. We apply the decoder to the intermediate representations of the network to see if it's representing the states it's planning through internally. We successfully reveal intermediate states in a simple Game of Life model, but find no evidence of planning in an AlphaZero chess model. We think the idea won't work in its current state for real world NNs because they use higher-level, abstract representations for planning that our current technique cannot decode. Please comment if you have ideas that may work for detecting more abstract ways the NN could be planning. Idea and motivation To make safe ML, it's important to know if the network is performing mesa optimization, and if so, what optimization process it's using. In this post, I'll focus on a particular form of mesa optimization: internal planning. This involves the model searching through possible future states and selecting the ones that best satisfy an internal goal. If the network is doing internal planning, then it's important the goal it's planning for is aligned with human values. An interpretability technique which could identify what states it's searching through would be very useful for safety. If the NN is doing planning it might represent the states it's considering in that plan. For example, if predicting the next move in chess, it may represent possible moves it's considering in its hidden representations. We assume that NN is given the representation of the environment as input and that the first layer of the NN encodes the information into a hidden representation. Then the network has hidden layers and finally a decoder to compute the final output. The encoder and decoder are trained as an autoencoder, so the decoder can reconstruct the environment state from the encoder output. Language models are an example of this where the encoder is the embedding lookup. Our hypothesis is that the NN may use the same representation format for states it's considering in its plan as it does for the encoder's output. Our idea is to apply the decoder to the hidden representations at different layers to decode them. If our hypothesis is correct, this will recover the states it considers in its plan. This is similar to the Logit Lens for LLMs, but we're applying it here to investigate mesa-optimization. A potential pitfall is that the NN uses a slightly different representation for the states it considers during planning than for the encoder output. In this case, the decoder won't be able to reconstruct the environment state it's considering very well. To overcome this, we train the decoder to output realistic looking environment states given the hidden representations by training it like the generator in a GAN. Note that the decoder isn't trained on ground truth environment states, because we don't know which states the NN is considering in its plan. Game of Life proof of concept (code) We consider an NN trained to predict the number of living cells after the Nth time step of the Game of Life (GoL). We chose the GoL because it has simple rules, and the NN will probably have to predict the intermediate states to get the final cell count. This NN won't do planning, but it may represent the intermediate states of the GoL in its hidden states. We use an LSTM architecture with an encoder to encode the initial GoL state, and a "count cells NN" to output the number of living cells after the final LSTM output. Note that training the NN to predict the number of alive cells at the final state makes this more difficult for our method than training the network to predict the final state since it's less obvious that the network will predict t...
The crew settles back down at Callahan Acres to try and digest the giant meal that was the trip to Fox Prairie. They discuss the course in more detail now that they have gotten the full picture from the Halley family - not just its history but what may be in its future. They also chronical some of the nonsensical events that occured while on the way down and back. After reminiscing, everyone gets an update on the Fantasy league. There are plenty of spins to be spun and punishments to hand out.Sean steals Ryan's fired up for the Nth time and buys a weedwhacker, while Alex can't wait to be naked under a kimono. Sheila has found the best kept secret in dining establishments, Ryan gets far to worked up about grass, and Jason is fired down about not being able to appreciate things like a teenage girl.
In the seat facing away from the camera, all they could see was the student's back and her arms digging through whatever was in her lap. For several minutes, she stayed like this. Then she got up. Turned around. And looked straight into the lens of the CCTV camera in the corner. She locked eyes and stayed like that. They felt a chill as they watched the footage. An icy stare. Frozen in place. Then she lifted up her hands and held a body up to the camera. A cat--a campus stray, lovingly named Princess by the other University students. She grabbed the back of the kitten's neck. Then, with her other hand, wrapped her grip firmly around the kitten's throat and squeezed. Shanghai Tech's very own serial cat killer. This is the case dubbed the ‘animal Nth rooms,' about the world-wide cat (crush, torture, and kill) gang that was responsible for the viral video—the cat blender. Who is behind it all? And why? Full Source Notes: rottenmangopodcast.com To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
All the police could do was watch the livestream - the camera was set up in a motel room. They could see in the video the girl was helplessly crying as she was assaulted by a man. One by one - more men showed up to the motel room to assault her. They all stood in line in the order that they came - waiting for their turns. The victim would be found dead soon after. When news broke in the livestream chatrooms that she died - the comments started pouring in. “Wait, did the motel girl really die? That's so sad… we should go relieve ourselves on her funeral portrait. One last gift from us! “Dang, if she knew she was going to die, she should have given us her body one more time.” The police saw the video but they had no idea who these assaulters were, who orchestrated the attack, or how to even catch them. All they knew was there were more victims. Hundreds of them. All victims of the Nth room. And they needed to save them before another dies. Full Source Notes: rottenmangopodcast.com To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Who knew Nikola Tesla had a brother just as clever as he? Curdy and SALI present a story of sibling rivalry to the Nth degree as Alex Turbo tells us about an experience that led to the creation of our system of travel transportals. Strange fiction, or stranger than fiction? That's for you to decide.
Nancy Dawson. Neptune's goblets. North-West Passage.Nuts of an anchor. All these nautical terms and more defined at long last in this, the Nth chapter of the Sailor's Word Book! (With special guest Hannah Haverkamp.)
James DF Hannah joins me to chat about his latest novel: BECAUSE THE NIGHT; and, also about his short story: SOMEWHERE OUTSIDE SALVATION. The former is James' latest novel in the Henry Malone series. Henry is a wise-ass to the Nth degree. And I felt such a kinship with Henry. Henry is one tough cookie who keeps going even if the odds are against him. Henry is complex and troubled and so likeable. The West Virginia setting in both the novel and short story are total Appalachian Noir at its finest. Check out our interview and James' work. You won't be disappointed.
年末新闻上半部分,包括国际厂牌(部分为国内走失厂牌)新品信息,以及vineland 版主的日本之旅和东京「e-earphone 冬季portable 耳机祭」见闻。虽然整期都没啥好听的东西推荐,但说不定国内部分有呢?如果你喜欢「声波飞行员」,请在「爱发电」平台为我们打赏,增加它继续飞行下去的动力,谢谢。时间轴: [00:00:03] BGM#op. Sufjan Stevens - My Little Red Fox pt.1 [00:00:28] 节目开始,孟获单耳已失聪;shownotes 不保证全部cover; [00:01:23] SONY × Disney 100周年联名三个产品(见上图);快问快答:全世界有几个迪士尼乐园; [00:04:43] SONY LinkBuds S 的Olivia Rodrigo 联名版;神奇产品Inzone Buds; [00:07:23] Astell & Kern HC4 「小尾巴」一体机和一个冷笑话;SP3000 镀金版;AK在展会上已经没人关注了; [00:10:16] 哈曼卡顿集团收购Roon; [00:11:09] Qobuz 开始锁中国IP段,以及原因推测;国内盗版流媒体平台「歌词适配」的倒台; [00:13:28] Sennheiser Accentum & Momentum 4 听感补充;Neumann NDH30 出了黑色版本; [00:15:29] Sonos 即将发布对标Apple AirPods MAX 的旗舰蓝牙头戴式耳机DUKE; [00:16:52] Beyerdynamic T1 3rd Gen 和T9ie 出假货了; [00:17:58] Røde NTH-100 在闲鱼出现了500以下的全新货源;「澳洲之光」; [00:19:30] 国际大厂铁三角;天价耳机AWKG「黑柿」;ATH-TWX7 真无线蓝牙耳塞;世界第一个软骨传导耳机CC500; [00:26:15] Ultrasone 日本限定的Signature Fusion;全日本卖断货的Signature Pure; [00:29:23] FitEar 的头戴式监听耳机Monitor-1 和SoundWarrior 外观撞车;IMarge 动铁+静电单元混合耳塞; [00:31:35] 很难出现在节目里的创新Creative;ACE / ACE 2 TWS 耳塞; [00:33:35] VE10 的诡异外观;此VE非彼微翼; [00:36:03] Yamaha ZG01 调音台联动《尼尔:自动人形》,主打游戏直播用户; [00:36:47] final ze8000mk2 和UX 系列新品; [00:38:07] 天国的AAW 带来的Canary Pro;骨传导单元成为新潮流; [00:38:42] 安桥的一堆联名产品;《孤独摇滚》是不是个好看的番;渡边信一郎没有菅野洋子也是一坨屎; [00:42:09] CrossZone 多单元耳机的新品CZ-10 / C-8A enhanced; [00:45:03] 买椟还珠第一品牌AZLA;ASE-500 ASMR;Foamax Standard 海绵套;韩国品牌×国内(县级)男团联名的翻车现场; [00:51:12] Aviot TE-I3 心形耳机;TE-Q3 / TE-D01v 的其他冷门联名; [00:53:41] vineland 的日本行与e-earphone 的「冬季耳机祭」;为什么日本TWS 耳塞普遍高档; [00:55:51] 松下Technics 的AZ 系列TWS 耳塞; [00:57:06] 本期唯一翘首以待(降价):天龙Denon 的Perl Pro; [00:59:16] Aviot 的平板单元TWS;SONY LinkBuds S 和 WF1000xm5 听感; [01:07:00] BGM#ed. Sufjan Stevens - My Little Red Fox pt.2参与录音: 客座驾驶:King Tsui @RKTALLK 飞行员:vineland / 包雪龙 / 孟获
Today's conversation is with the legendary photographer, Chester Higgins. I've admired Chester's work for years… he's a master of his craft, and a technician to the Nth degree. But it's one thing to appreciate the work of an artist, it's another to delve into their worldview: the work we see simply being an artifact of a greater pursuit. Well, that's what today's holds. What appears to be captured images, is actually Chester's attempts at in all actuality, capturing God. In today's episode, Chester reflects on the near-death childhood experience at the age of 9 that opened his eyes to a parallel reality, introducing him to the spirit that shapes existence. He shares his insights on the interconnectedness of life, the continuous cycle of energy, and the pursuit of capturing the elusive spirit in his photographs.Connect with us on Twitter and Instagram @blackimagination, subscribe to our newsletter for updates, and support the show by clicking this support link. and explore more content on blackimagination.com.Key LinksHaile Selassie I- Emperor of Ethiopia from 1930 to 1974Tuskegee University- a private, historically black land-grant university in Tuskegee, Alabama.P. H. Polk - American photographer known for his portraits of African Americans.Andrew Young - American politician, civil rights leader, and served in the U.S. House of RepresentativesWhat to ReadSacred Nile - Betsy Kissam, Chester Higgins Jr. Feeling the Spirit - Chester Higgins Jr.Elder Grace: The Nobility of Aging - Maya Angelou, Chester Higgins THROUGH THESE EYES: The Photographs of P. H. Polk - Chester Higgins Jr., Deborah Muirhead, Amalia Amaki, Meredith SolesWhat to listen toWater No Get Enemy - Fela KutiGrazing In The Grass - Hugh MasekelaMighty God (Remix) - Soweto Gospel Choir
Foundations of Amateur Radio For years I've been hosting a weekly net called F-troop. It's a one hour opportunity for new and returning amateurs to get together and share their questions, and sometimes answers, about anything and everything amateur radio, with side trips into astronomy, electronics, circuit boards, testing gear and whatever else takes our fancy on the day. The net runs for an hour every Saturday morning starting at midnight UTC, which for some is a time when they're fast asleep, though truth be told, several of our regulars are night owls. In VK6 where I am, midnight UTC is a more reasonable 8am, unless we have another referendum when we can decide if we want daylight saving, or not. So far we've had four of those, yes, really, in 1975, 1984, 1992, and 2009, and each time daylight saving or summer time was rejected. All I'm saying is that the chances are good that midnight UTC is going to be 8am in VK6 for a while yet. Anyway, that time of the morning affords me the luxury of getting out of bed at a sensible hour, having a shower, making a cup of coffee with my Significant Other, or SO, and ambling into my shack to get ready. It's a comfortable process, something I've done for over 12 years with very little in the way of variation with the exception of the 500th and 600th episodes which I hosted outdoors at a local radio club, complete with BBQ and many visitors. That and the Friday Night Technical Net with Reg VK6BQQ, but that's a story for another day. Last week a good friend, Glynn VK6PAW, asked me if I wanted to go out and have some fun, and having been pretty much cooped up for several years now, of course I said "yes". We're going to the viewing platform at the Perth International Airport, that's airport code YPPH, where I'll host the net in whatever way we figure out at the time. It's not an event, we haven't told anyone about it, and telling you now won't ruin the surprise for anyone, since this weekly rambling hits the airwaves after F-troop concludes. I knew there was a reason. Anyway, at this point you have every right to ask me, "Onno, why should I care?" Indulge me and let me see if I can explain. Most, if not all, of my amateur radio activities are planned. From time-to-time I might get in my car and drive to a nearby park and get on HF, but truth be told, I haven't done that for several years. I have regularly told you about contests I've done, often whilst operating portable, often with friends, but sometimes alone. I have activated all manner of things, climbed summits, played in parks, gone to lighthouses and other such places. Every, single, time, those activities were planned, often to within an inch of their life. What should I bring? Where am I going to set-up? What gear do I need? What spares are required? What logging tool is needed? Will I need food and water? You know, a typical 7p activity, Proper Planning and Preparation Prevents Piss Poor Performance. This time the plan consists of: "Do you want to go to the airport?" and "Sure!" Mind you, that's in the context of Glynn normally having several radios in his car and me not having a clue what to expect. The other day I actually had my first ever look at the location in Google Street View, only to discover that there's a shelter there, so hopefully we won't fry in the forecast 38 degrees Celsius, that's 100 degrees in Ray Bradbury's temperature scale, if you're wondering. Now, on the whole, this is a pretty low risk activity. Nobody is going to die if I don't manage to get the net going, though I do have Echolink on my phone, which reminds me, I should probably check if that still works. I'll put a pencil and a notepad in my pocket for logging and I'll bring a bottle or six of water and probably some coffee. Sorry, I can't help myself. In other words, it's entirely possible to get on air and make noise without having to go to the Nth degree of planning and still have fun. As it happens, fun is something that's been in short supply of late, so, that's also a welcome change. As an aside, in a completely unrelated and random observation, I recently installed a new font on my computer, called Hack. It's mono-spaced, sans-serif, intended for source code, and licensed under the MIT License. I'm using it right now and I'm in love. So secretly, between you and me, that's what goes for fun around here. Oh, in case you're wondering, no, I did not get paid to say that, the authors have no idea I exist, unless they're unexpectedly radio amateurs, I'm just a happy user. Also, if you're wondering about Echolink, no need to fret. I just tested and it just works straight out of the box. Gotta love that. Now, here's a question for you. When was the last time you spontaneously got on air to make noise? I'm Onno VK6FLAB
En la Web de Thomann se han publicado/filtrado 4 nuevos productos que RØDE va a lanzar de color blanco. Estamos hablando del Podmic, PSA1+, NTH-100 y la Rodecaster DUO, productos que ya existen pero de color oscuro. Rodecaster Duo Podmic NTH-100 PSA1+ Me pueden contactar en: https://ernestoacosta.me/contacto.html Todos los medios donde publico contenido los encuentras en: https://ernestoacosta.me/
When you hear the words "health policy", what comes to mind? A dry, barren desert? Not for John Silver, a nurse who has dedicated decades of his life to studying it and believes it's anything but dry and lacking in substance. He was so passionate about understanding it that he left nursing to pursue a Ph.D. in comparative studies. He serves as President of the organization, Nurses Transforming Healthcare, whose mission is to transform healthcare into a model based on wellness and disease prevention, driven by nurses, which is affordable and accessible to all. John believes we as nurses need to remember our social roots as a profession in order to affect change. The goal is ambitious, yet gaining momentum every day. I have no doubt with our collective power, John and the masterminds behind NTH will radically change healthcare. I teased him about being a deep thinker, but honestly, a world without deep thinkers would just be boring. In the five-minute snippet: Vintage guys rule! For John's bio and book recommendations, see links below!John's book listNurses Transforming Healthcare Once a Nurse, Always a Nurse podcastPublications:Completing the Circle of NursingAn Open Letter to My Fellow AmericansNursing Declaration of Independence Contact The Conversing Nurse podcastInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/theconversingnursepodcast/Website: https://theconversingnursepodcast.comGive me feedback! Leave me a review! https://theconversingnursepodcast.com/leave-me-a-reviewWould you like to be a guest on my podcast? Pitch me! https://theconversingnursepodcast.com/intake-formCheck out my guests' book recommendations! https://bookshop.org/shop/theconversingnursepodcast Email: theconversingnursepodcast@gmail.comThank you and I'll see you soon!
In this week's episode, Riccardo and guest co-host, Corail, sit down with fellow alumna, Carol Tansley to discuss her Oxford Saïd Business School dissertation on the institutional barriers to adopting integrated project delivery (IPD) on a nuclear mega project. Carol's impressive career, spanning two decades, is rooted in executing major programs for the UK Government Department for Work, HMRC, and DTI. As a recognized authority in large-scale IT and business transformations, her expertise took her to the Middle East, notably participating in the groundbreaking nuclear project in Abu Dhabi, marking the inauguration of the first nuclear power plant in the Arab world. Ninety-seven percent of nuclear major programmes go over time and over budget, so how did Carol (with no nuclear background) participate in delivering one two days early? This is a conversation you won't want to miss.“IPD may represent a methodology that would work has been proven to work in first of a kind environments. And while we have the field conditions now to embrace that, we need people that are willing to go out and embrace these new ways of working and seek to implement them.” Key Takeaways: The role Eternal Beginner Syndrome plays in complex nuclear programmes.The perceived barriers against adopting new models and how cultural and cognitive biases can masquerade as genuine obstacles.Carol's experience at Nuclear Week in the UK parliament and the future trends of the nuclear industry—energy security goals, securing affordable supplies and tackling climate change.Attracting the younger generation to the nuclear sector to support climate solutions and the expected 40 percent growth rate. If you enjoyed this episode, make sure and give us a five star rating and leave us a review on iTunes, Podcast Addict, Podchaser or Castbox. The conversation doesn't stop here—connect and converse with our community: Carol Tansley on LinkedInCorail Bourrelier Fabiani on LinkedInRiccardo Cosentino on LinkedIn Transcript:Riccardo Cosentino 00:05You're listening to navigate the major programes, the podcast that aims to elevate the conversations happening in the infrastructure industry and inspire you to have a more efficient approach within it. I'm your host, Riccardo Cosentino brings over 20 years of major product management experience. Most recently, I graduated from Oxford University's Day business school, which shook my belief when it comes to navigating major problems. Now it's time to shake yours. Join me in each episode, as I press the industry experts about the complexity of major program management, emerging digital trends and the critical leadership required to approach these multibillion-dollar projects. Let's see where the conversation takes us. Carol Tansley was appointed Vice President X energy UK new build projects in September 2022. In this role, she oversees all x-energy's activities towards establishing the XE 100 as the prominent I temperature gas reactor technology in the United Kingdom. Prior to joining IX energy, Carol served as the operational readiness Control Center Director for the early successful Emirates nuclear energy cooperation startup of the Barakah nuclear plant in the UAE. She was also the new Newa energy company director of strategic programs. Prior to this, she served as a senior director for PwC in the UK and UAE, as well as working at Accenture delivering some of the UK is largest public sector change programs. She recently graduated with distinction from the University of Oxford, with an MSc in major program management. Carol's research focuses on causes of poor performance on nuclear mega project, and potential benefits of adopting relational contracting models. Corail 02:05Hello, Carol Heller, Ricardo, I'm super happy to talk to you today. And thank you so much for the opportunity to interview Carol on your podcast, Ricardo, I think we all met in Oxford during the MMPMcourse. And it was wonderful to learn about Carol's experience about the nuclear industry, which is one of the most complex industries, you can find say, I think the listener will be so happy to hear about Carol's story and what you have to say are all about the future of this industry. First of all, I was wondering if you could tell us a little bit more about your background and how you fell into the nuclear sector. I know that there is a little value at the start of this episode to talk about your career, but it would be great to hear from your words how how you got into that very complex industry. Carol Tansley 03:05Okay, thank you very much corral. And thank you, Riccardo. I really appreciate the opportunity. One to both be back together again, because we haven't seen each other for a little while and to to talk on your podcast. So thank you very much. And just in terms of my background, my professional career has all been in delivering major projects and programs. The first I'll call it almost 20 years was in the UK, delivering major programs for the UK Government Department for Work in pensions HMRC. What was DTI. A lot of the large transformation programs that came with large scale it development programs and the business transformation that sat around that in around 2010. I moved to work on a project in the Middle East. It was for the Ministry of Interior in Abu Dhabi, a large transformation program that we're doing now it was a joint Middle East UK project and it covered the police Abu Dhabi police that covered Civil Defense prisons borders. And I was there for a couple of years. I then went to Saudi Arabia and worked for on a big transformation program for Ministry of Labor. And it was when I'd been there for a couple of years that I was asked to join the nuclear project that they were delivering in Abu Dhabi, you may be aware that they are they've delivered the first nuclear power plant in the Arab world. It was a new to nuclear country, what they've achieved there is quite phenomenal with the vision of the leaders of that country. So they pass their legislation to become a nuclear country and to get my program moving in 2009 They broke ground if you like so poured first concrete and 2012 and they got their first unit online by loading fuel for the first unit right before COVID Hit actually And two days ahead of schedule on the 17th of February 2020. And I was privileged to be part of that program, I was asked to join that program because of my background in major program delivery, not because I had anything to do with nuclear. So it was really, it was an amazing journey, great learning curve, an amazing sector to be part of, particularly now that it is going to play such an important role in the energy transition, the drive to net zero and energy security goals for countries around the world. Corail 05:33Absolutely is really impressive as well that you delivered two days early this project, which is so unusual in I think, in your research somewhere, you said that there is a study that said that over 97% of nuclear major projects are delayed, that cost overruns, etc, all across the globe. So it's quite unusual. Isn't that very unusual in that industry? How on earth did you make this happen? Like how did you manage to deliver early such a complex program? Carol Tansley 06:08Yeah, well, you're absolutely right about what you say its nuclear mega projects, I'll call them particularly nuclear new builds are recognized as being one of the most complex type of program to deliver. In fact, there are people who say Charles Perot, for example, in his textbook says that nuclear mega projects are the hardest to deliver harder and more complex than something like the International Space Station. And you're also right in what you said that one of the datasets I looked at 97% of the nuclear new build projects had gone over time and over budget. So in terms of what happened at Baraccah, it certainly wasn't me alone, it was a huge effort by a huge number of people working together over many years to achieve this. I think a lot of it came from the vision and the determination of the leaders in Abu Dhabi, they were determined to be at the forefront of clean energy. And they saw the drive for nuclear. As a critical part of that. I think we the fact that we chose a design that was in Nth of a kind if you like, so what that means is multiple units have been delivered before. So the South Koreans Catco, who delivered the units, it was proven reactor design had been delivered before, albeitin a different environment. So that created with a very experienced team. So that was a big foundation. There were many, I'll call it first of a kind variables, as we've already said, new to nuclear country, new elements of the supply chain. But the critical thing was having a really important integration function that sat across all of the teams, including the supply chain, that worked very closely with all of the internal and external stakeholders, including the regulator, that was a critically important part of what we did, and making sure that we had a schedule that was fully scoped, that we did our best to make sure it was realistic from the start, we kept assessing our past performance as we were moving forward to make sure that the schedule took account of that. And we tried to eliminate any optimism bias in our forward forecasting. It wasn't always a smooth journey. There were a few bumps in the road along the way, as you'd expect with something that complex over so many years. But I think, as I've said already the the drive and the passion of the leadership there. And you know, quite honestly, the the work ethic of all the teams that were involved, because everybody realized quite what was at stake here that just kept driving to deliver. Corail 08:49Yeah, that's, that's amazing. And so I read your paper recently that you published in nuclear industry, congratulations. Carol Tansley 08:57Okay. Thank you very much. Corail 09:00And in there, you talk a lot about this, first of a kind issue in the in the nuclear industry. Can you explain to us what are the complexities associated with this first of a kind? Program? Carol Tansley 09:17Yeah, I think so. Yes. Thank you for the question. So, on a nuclear new build program, you have so many elements of complexity uncertainty at the beginning. So you have the technology, the reactor itself, which is obviously highly technically complex, you've got all of the support systems that sit around that they delivered in highly complex institutional frameworks, I'll call them within, you know, in any particular country in any particular location, because of all of the safety levels that you have to achieve. And all of the environmental levels that you have to achieve to make sure that you're safe in that environment that you're not disturbing that environment and all So the regulation that sits around it, so lots of stakeholders that have to be engaged in that. So all of that every time you go and deliver one of these in a new environment, you have all of that complexity. And if you are using a new reactor design, in the middle of all of that, you've got all of the technical complexity as well. So first of a kind refers to any of those variables that have never been used on the delivery of a project, whether it's a nuclear project or any project in the past. And typically, because a lot of these reactors, the nuclear power plants that have been delivered over the last sort of two decades, we haven't actually done that many of them that and they take so long that it's very difficult to keep the learning on a project that's that big and takes so long. And then if the next one happens in a totally different environment, in a different country, it's very difficult to replicate what you've had in a different environment with a different supply chain with different stakeholders. So it almost means that you permanently into eternal beginner syndrome. And I think this is why, you know, in places like China, in South Korea, they've done a really good job because they have kept building their power plants. So they have very exercised andexperienced supply chains, they have stable reactor designs, they have a stable regulatory system. And all of that means that you've got a lot fewer first of a kind variables, and the fewer of those variables you have, the easier it is to deliver your project. Riccardo Cosentino 11:35So Carol, as Carell mentioned earlier, you you know, we met at Oxford, during the master image of program management, and a lot of your research was connected to the dissertation that you picked. And so my my I'm curious to know what why did you pick that topic? What what I mean, obviously, you were involved in the project, but why did you specifically wanted to research that topic? I mean, maybe introduced the topic, we don't actually have introduced the topic up to now. Carol Tansley 12:08Okay. All right. Thank you, Riccardo for the question. So my dissertation title was institutional barriers to adopting integrated project delivery on a nuclear mega project. And just to unpack that a little bit. So my experience coming as a non Nuke, shall we say, somebody with no nuclear background into the nuclear sector. One of my observations is that many people have been in that sector for many years, and very familiar with ways of working. And in some respects, not everybody, but in some respects, I find some reluctance in people to adopt new ways of thinking and different approaches to doing things. And that sort of from a theoretical point of view is looked through institutional theory. So looking at things from a regulative. So what are the rules around things, obviously, highly regulated environment in nuclear looks at the laws and the specific safety regulations. So that's one lens, looking at through normative lens. And that really is about your traditional practices, your typical work practices, the way you you do business on a daily basis, and the way people get used to it. And then the cultural cognitive piece, which is about how people perceive change, at what the mindset is generally how people look at things and think about adopting changes. So institutional theory, the institutional lens was regulative, normative and cultural cognitive. So I was interested in looking at if I brought a new idea, a new way that I thought might help to improve performance on nuclear mega projects. What would people think about that? And if they perceived barriers, which lens would they perceive it through? So that was part of it, coming back to the integrated project delivery. So this was a project delivery methodology and commercial approach that was founded, if you like, in the US in the civil construction sector, after decades of poor performance on large infrastructure projects, and what it has proven where it was adopted there, that it did improve performance. And it did this through driving inter party collaboration and using relational contracting approaches. So it wasn't the traditional contracting adversarial contracting approach. And they found that adopting integrated project delivery really did improve performance, particularly where it was a complex one off of a one of a kind project. However, I also found that that approach had never been used on a nuclear mega project. And I thought it would be really interesting to say, well, if it's improved, project performance on those kinds of projects, why I couldn't we use that in the nuclear sector. So I started to look at, you know, what, what are the facets of IPD integrated project delivery? And how do they map onto the problems that the root causes, if you like, of poor performance within nuclear mega projects, and I found there was quite a lot of symmetry there. So so what I mean by that is the root cause of poor performance, and the the items or the challenges, if you like that IPD was proven to improve. So I found a lot of overlap there. So the way I did my research was to take that case, if you like to a whole load of executives from the nuclear sector, explained to them about IPD. And get them to explain to me the challenges they'd had in delivering nuclear mega projects to sort of bring the whole concept to life, and then ask them what they foresawas potential barriers to its adoption. So a bit of a long winded answer, but that was the the underpinning of my dissertation research. Corail 16:03Yeah, thank you, Carol. I thought it was fantastic. The way you showed that exactly. The issues were potentially all resolved by the IPD. And I was wondering, now, you recently came back to the UK? Also now Modular Reactor today? Are you trying to implement IPD? In the way you're going to deliver this reactors? Carol Tansley 16:29Well, it's a great question. And the reason or one of the reasons I was asked to join extended GE, where I work now, and you're right, it's a Advanced Small Modular Reactor company, we design and develop the reactors, as well as the fuel that powers those reactors. It was actually through my dissertation research, because I contacted one of the executives who actually works the text energy. And I was trying to explain a little bit about the basis from a research to see if you'd be interested. And as I was explaining that, so he said to me, you're not talking about IP are you. And, and I was astonished because nobody else I've spoken to, I'd heard of it. And he said, Oh, he said, were trying to implement it here because and the background to it was one of their customers in North America had wanted to have an active role in the project, and asked X energy to go away and research commercial models that would enable them to do that in a collaborative way. And in going and doing that research, they'd come across IPD, and we're then implementing it with that client. And and it actually reached a point where they decided they were going to mandate it on their projects. So it was through the research and that contact that I actually ended up coming to extend ng so again, a bit of a long winded answer, but that that is what we're trying to do. Not on all of our projects, but on some of our projects within X energy. Corail 17:53That's amazing. And I'm sure your research, like looking at what would be the barriers to implementing IPD on these programs is really helpful in your work today. Are there any barriers? Actually? Are there any issues that you foresee? Or do you think it's it's simply a cultural shift to make? Carol Tansley 18:13I think it's a number of things? Um, my, I think most of them are actually fall in the cultural cognitive arm if you like, and I think but I think what happens is people express reasons that give you potential barriers that are not real, if you see what I mean. So I get I got feedback about, you know, I don't think the regulator would like it, or, you know, I don't think we'd be able to find insurance to underpin this model, or I'm not sure the procurement rules, you know, the public sector procurement rules would allow it. But when I sort of unpicked that I found out, you know, that a lot of it stemmed from the way of thinking that people had just got used to, you know, and again, just some some normative ones that came up about, again, people not they're so familiar with the the traditional contractual models that they'd rather use that even if they don't think it's going to work, or they know it doesn't work, then pick something new that they're not familiar with. Yeah. So I think it's, you know, kind of change management issue or cultural cognitive issue if you like. Corail 19:25Absolutely. I think it's also super interesting that you're working on Modular Reactor now because obviously next fall, we talk a lot about how modularity improves the performance of the complex programs. And you're right there with the with the nuclear and it's fascinating because it's, it's, we've always thought of nuclear does be the reactor that takes so many years to build, and you're trying to do it completely in a new way by creating something that can be almost like the solar panels atSome points, you know, you installed. Carol Tansley 20:01Yeah, absolutely. Corail 20:03Can you tell us a little bit more about this? And this this new technology? And how you, you, you came to get interested in that field as well? Carol Tansley 20:12Yeah. Yes. So thank you for the question. And you're absolutely right. And what I will say is the big Giga watt reactors absolutely have their place. And as I said at the beginning, they are successful, where they can be replicated and are delivered as a series. The issue is, particularly in the West, we haven't built many reactors over the past two decades. And if you think about what I was saying earlier about trying to drive out first of a kind variables and get to Nth of a kind. So that means once typically, once you get past four, or sorry, four or fifth of a kind, you've started to drive out those first time variables, and you get, you get the benefits of replication and learning by doing that if, and that's where the series effect becomes important for performance improvement, as you see in China, as you see in South Korea. But the thinking is that these small modular reactors, the kind of modular from two perspectives, they're modular in the fact that they're small. So in our example, our XC 100 reactor is an 80 megawatt reactor. And we can modularize those so that you could have a four pack, which is the ideal size of a power plant, that gives you 380 megawatts, or if it was a remote location, you might just have one, or if you wanted 12 of them together. So the idea is that you can increase capacity based on local needs. So the modular from that perspective, they're also modularized, from the perspective of the intention is that we build them so that they're built in units, that you will effect you making a factory and then you click them together, you assemble them on the site. So they're not the traditional, huge, what they call stick build, that you build a piece at a time from the ground up actually, on a on a site. So they are two benefits of it. But also, the critical benefit is because they're smaller, and simpler to construct, you get from the first of a kind to the ends of a kind a lot faster. And therefore you gain the efficiencies of the replication, the learning by doing, which means you build them faster, they're cheaper, and you can get them on the grid a lot faster. For both the power and it, like in ours, the high temperature heat and steam to decarbonize heavy industry. Corail 22:31Yes, that's amazing. And I think during with the issue with we've been through recently, with power supply, etc, we could see that the nuclear industry, I think, you know, sort of regaining funding, and people were more and more thinking that this was so important for the environment and what we're trying to achieve and reduce our carbon emission, etc. So you're definitely working on on an amazing program. You just you've just been at the Nuclear week in Parliament. So I imagine you, you, you werethere to talk about the trends in nuclear, did you see that this type of modular reactor are coming up in different ways, or is your industry still quite niche? With what? You know? Carol Tansley 23:28It's a great question. And I don't think it is considered niche anymore. I mean, you mentioned solar panels a little while ago. And obviously, one of the things that we've seen in terms of the benefits of renewables is the fact that they are easy to construct, you know, your solar panels, your wind farms. But that's where we're now getting to with nuclear. And I think there's a lot of recognition now that the scale of the challenge is so big, to help us with energy security goals, securing affordable supplies and tackling climate change, that there's a role for everybody, you know, that we've got, we need the wind, we, you know, renewables we have to have, but we need nuclear as well, to give us that reliable 24 hour a day baseload and that also can keep the grid stable alongside the renewables. And certainly from nuclear week in Parliament. You may be aware that we've now got our first minister for nuclear in the UK. He was appointed back in February, very energetic, Andrew Bowery and is very passionate about the sector very committed. And we've seen a huge increase in I would call it confidence and optimism in the in the sector this year. A lot of excitement at nuclear week this week, a lot of Parliamentarians so members of parliament and members of the House of Lords fully engaged in understanding what's happening, but an awful lot of vendor technologies there such as x energy ourselves alongside other large scale people are developing micro reactors people are developing small modular reactors as well as our advanced Modular Reactors. So I think there's recognition that we can't achieve Net Zero without nuclear. And it's got to be part of the mix. And I think we're, you know, we're starting to get the message out there. And we're starting to get a lot of traction in the UK with delivering more projects. And I think there's gonna be some announcements in the next sort of six to 12 months around that in the UK. Riccardo Cosentino 25:25Yeah, that's interesting. And just to give the North American perspective, like, you know, we are in Canada, Ontario, where I'm from, we also seeing a resurgence of nuclear, in parliament in Canada is now not a swear words, it used to be something you couldn't say out loud when you were in, in Parliament. And it's, you know, in the last 12 to 18 months, we see that the pendulum has swung the other way. Yeah. Now, it's all about nuclear. And it's, how fast can we do it? And, you know, something that was even pause, as you said, there's been decades since we built up a brand new reactor in the West. And now we're talking about new new reactors. Yeah. Beyond small modular, but even just standard nuclear reactors is something that has been contemplated, which is, which is refreshing? Carol Tansley 26:23And, yeah, yeah, I think it's good that you mentioned Canada, that because you've got a another tradition of building the CANDU reactors, I think you've built 22. All together, I mean, it's got one of the cheapest electricity prices in the world because of the amount of nuclear power that you've got in Canada. And I know that one of the things that's supporting this is regulatory harmonization between countries to try to make sure that we can bring nuclear effectively and efficiently to the market. And in terms of new builds, we've we've got four of our reactors, working with Dao, at their Seadrift site in Texas, that we're underway with constructing now. And so people are genuinely interested and, and heavy industry as well coming because they recognize that they've gotten the very hard to abate sector challenges that need nuclear to help them, you know, and these advanced technologies will also helpus with hydrogen production, and with also production of clean fuels for aviation and maritime, if you look at where all of the greenhouse gases are coming from 20% is coming from electricity, but 25% comes from transportation, and 55% comes from heating, and processes, industrial processes. So I think this combination of nuclear, with the renewables is exactly where we need to go. And I think Canada is one of the countries that's at the forefront of this alongside US, UK, France, UAE and the the Asian countries. Riccardo Cosentino 28:02Yeah. And it's, it's interesting that, you know, because obviously, if you fully understand power, you know, nuclear provides the base load. And I think what we're seeing with the renewable is that it's great. However, the renewable puts a lot of strain on the network, and the distribution network. And so, you know, I think I was researching a couple of weeks ago, about how long does it take to get a connection into renewable touring into a renewable cluster of generation. And it takes years. And, in fact, I was actually, I saw last week that there was a the auction for the contract for difference. Were in the UK. There were no bidders for, which is now correct. Yeah. So it's because it's really I'm assuming, and among might be wrong, but I'm assuming is just difficult to get the connect the connector into into the grid? Carol Tansley 29:03Yeah. And I think you Yeah, yes, that is correct. And you raise a great point, because we all need the grids upgrading as well. Because the volume of electricity we're going to need, it's not as though that staying stable was a doubling of that over the next couple of decades. And we have to be able to meet that demand. And certainly, you know, we believe that nuclear is the way to achieving that to get the base load, the stable base load that we're all going to need. And it's not just about Western societies, you know, we have to remember that democratizing energy is really important for quality of life. You know, power and energy are really important for remote communities, for countries that, you know, not maybe as privileged as ours at the moment in having readily accessible electricity and we have to help those countries as well. So that that's something we're also looking at, you know, in places like Africa that we have to allow those communities to come up and enjoy the standard of living that we all enjoy through, you know, cheaper electricity. Riccardo Cosentino 30:03It's interesting. You mentioned that because you know, you think of you don't you don't think of Canada as a place where democratization of energy is a big issue, but it's actually a very big issue in Canada, because we have remote communities in the North. The majority of these remote communities are on diesel generators. Corail 30:22Yes, no, that's absolutely right. And I think, yeah, and going back to what Corail asked a few minutes ago, I think this is another reason why these small modular reactors are so so attractive, because they can be put in those remote locations and help those communities. So they don't have to have these diesel generators anymore. Yeah, absolutely. I think in France, in my home country, we've been being a nuclear force. That unfortunately, we work very hard on developing what you said, dispatch, first of a kind, very large reactor, and then I feel for a while, we didn't really maintain or build a new one. And I feel like the capability has been lost in the in the process, you know, and I'm quite worried about thefuture of nuclear in France, and they feel like the smaller reactor as would be so amazing, because then you can build back also the capability much more quickly. Also, you don't lose it, because every time you're building very fast, and yeah, I'd love to see our government invest a lot more into that type of type of reactor, although I completely understand that all of them are very, you know, can support the future of power in our countries. Carol Tansley 31:42Yeah, so and I know France is well underway with having its own small modular reactors as well. But the point you make is really good one about the supply chain. And I mean, that in terms of the people that provide the the capability to build these nuclear reactors on all levels, and one of the things that's happened across the West, because we haven't built that many, or in some cases any, that supply chain has gradually dwindled. And now we're having to stand it back up quickly. So countries are trying to work together to invest to do that. We've got now the nuclear skills task force in the UK, we've got joint agreements between the UK and France, to leverage experience and to build that supply chain and across different countries, because I think we recognize that it's a multinational challenge, and we've got to work at it collaboratively. Corail 32:30Yeah. On the on the personal note, would you recommend people to join this industry, like, exciting for, you know, we should encourage the younger generation T's to join in? Carol Tansley 32:44Yeah, absolutely. I mean, I think, you know, I heard something the other day that said, if the younger generation now was in charge of nuclear, it would be everywhere. They're not the people blocking this, a lot of young people recognize the challenge that we're facing from a climate emergency point of view, and are really behind nuclear. They're some of the most passionate advocates. But I think nuclear is a fantastic sector to get into. And it's not, of course, there are engineers here. But it's not all about engineering and physics. And one of the things that we're launching, I think a bit later this year, early next year, is a campaign to attract more people into the sector. Because yes, attracting young people in to develop the pipeline for the future is really important. But that doesn't solve the situation we're in now. I heard a statistic the other day that said, we've got 91,000 People in the nuclear sector in the UK, and I believe that's across civil and defense, and that needs to grow by 40%. Over the next few years, well, you can't achieve that just with the young people coming in. As important as that are, we need to attract people in from other sectors across all disciplines. So that's what we're really working to try and encourage and I will just put a plug in, it's a fantastic sector to work in. I've had a brilliant time here. And I'm just encourage anybody to join. Riccardo Cosentino 34:02Second, a second day, we you know, even in Canada, it's there was a resurgence. And I think we're a bit more lucky in Canada, especially in Ontario, where, because we've been refurbishing reactors, we can look at the supply chain, and be more engaged. So we're not starting from scratch. But you know, going from a refurbishment to a new build of either traditional nuclear or more modular is going to require an injection of workforce in the in the supply chain. But as we teased the listener with your with your research, and with the dissertation, the paper that you published, and I think you covered most of the conclusion, but maybe just to reiterate, what were you find when we will what were your findings inthe from the research that you conducted in terms of implementing IPD nuclear, any any insight that you can offer? Yeah, so my overall conclusions were that Carol Tansley 35:00You know, the the root causes of poor performance traditionally, or nuclear mega projects are very complex, you know, is technical is technological, its environmental, its organizational, its institutional. But one of the things I found was that first of a kind, projects have got the worst performance. And that might sound like a statement of the blindingly obvious. But what I found, the real conclusion I drew was it wasn't the first of a kind variables per se, it was the fact that we were choosing Commercial, contractual and project delivery models that were not resilient in a first of a kind environment. So they didn't cope well, where there was a lot of emergence and uncertainty. And that was where when I looked at IPD, integrated project delivery, I found that it did perform better in environments where there was uncertainty and emergent change. And hence, as Corail mentioned earlier, that mapping between the challenges and the root causes of poor performance on nucleon mega projects, and the challenges if you like, the benefits that IPD can bring, in terms of what I found about resistance to IPD. In the sector. I found that while people raised barriers, there was one example, the one I gave earlier with the company, I now work for, where they'd gone off and, and found that the client had actually come to them, none of those barriers emerged in practice. There were sort of theoretical barriers, not realistic barriers or barriers in reality, but of course, that was only one data point. So while I think IPD can, you know, may help to improve performance on nuclear mega projects, it still needs to be proven. And I think the final piece about the institutional barriers, one of the things I discovered was that even if the field level conditions, I'll call it change, to enable new ideas to be embraced. And I'll give an example of that in the nuclear sector. Now, the climate change emergency would be considered a change in field level conditions, because everybody's interested in nuclear again. And that might be sufficient of a driver to get people to consider new approaches. And that in itself is not sufficient. What you need is what the academics was called institutional entrepreneurs. So that means people that are willing to go out and find new ways of working to solve traditional problems in new ways and actually implement those changes. So they were the conclusions it was, first of a kind, but because we choose project delivering contractual models that don't work in first of a kind environments, IPD may represent a methodology that would work has been proven to work in first of a kind environments. And while we have the field conditions now to embrace that, we need people that are willing to go out and embrace these new ways of working and seek to implement them. Corail 38:05Thank you so much, Carol, that was so fascinating. So interesting. And thank you for keeping us at the top of the trends in your sector. That's a really amazing, Carol Tansley 38:15no, it's a pleasure talking to you and and getting your perspectives as well. Riccardo Cosentino 38:20Yeah, thank you very much, Carol, this this has been fascinating. I mean, I read, I read both your dissertation, the paper that you published, and I still learn something today from you. So I'm really lightening conversation and, you know, there's going to be other opportunities. I hope to have you on the po Carol Tansley 38:44Fantastic. Well, thank you, as I say for the opportunity. It's a pleasure seeing you both again, and to have the opportunity to talk on your podcast. Riccardo Cosentino 38:52That's it for this episode on navigating major problems. I hope you found today's conversation as informative and thought provoking as I did. If you enjoyed this conversation, please consider subscribing and leaving a review. I would also like to personally invite you to continue the conversation by joining me on my personal LinkedIn at Riccardo Cosentino. Listening to the next episode, we will continue to explore the latest trends and challenges in major program management. Our next in depth conversation promises to continue to dive into topics such as leadership risk management, and the impact of emerging technology in infrastructure. It's a conversation you're not going to want to miss. Thanks for listening to navigate the major programs and I look forward to keeping the conversation going Music: "A New Tomorrow" by Chordial Music. Licensed through PremiumBeat.DISCLAIMER: The opinions, beliefs, and viewpoints expressed by the hosts and guests on this podcast do not necessarily represent or reflect the official policy, opinions, beliefs, and viewpoints of Disenyo.co LLC and its employees.
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Does Circuit Analysis Interpretability Scale? Evidence from Multiple Choice Capabilities in Chinchilla, published by Neel Nanda on July 20, 2023 on LessWrong. Cross-posting a paper from the Google DeepMind mech interp team, by: Tom Lieberum, Matthew Rahtz, János Kramár, Neel Nanda, Geoffrey Irving, Rohin Shah, Vladimir Mikulik Informal TLDR We tried standard mech interp techniques (direct logit attribution, activation patching, and staring at attention patterns) on an algorithmic circuit in Chinchilla (70B) for converting the knowledge of a multiple choice question's answer into outputting the correct letter. These techniques basically continued to work, and nothing fundamentally broke at scale (though it was a massive infra pain!). We then tried to dig further into the semantics of the circuit - going beyond "these specific heads and layers matter and most don't" and trying to understand the learned algorithm, and which features were implemented This kind of tracked the feature "this is the nth item in the list" but was pretty messy. However, my personal guess is that this stuff is just pretty messy at all scales, and we can productively study how clean/messy this stuff is at smaller and more tractable scales. I now feel mildly more optimistic that focusing on mech interp work on small models is just fine, and extremely worth it for the much faster feedback loops. It also seems super nice to get better at automatically finding these circuits, since this was a many month manual slog! See Tom's and my Twitter summaries for more. Note that I (Neel) am cross-posting this on behalf of the team, and neither a main research contributor nor main advisor for the project. Key Figures An overview of the weird kinds of heads found, like the "attend to B if it is correct" head! The losses under different mutations of the letters - experiments to track down exactly which features were used. Eg replacing the labels with random letters or numbers preserves the "nth item in the list" feature while shuffling ABCD lets us track the "line labelled B" feature The queries and keys of a crucial correct letter head - it's so linearly separable! We can near loss-lessly compress it to just 3 dimensions and interpret just those three dimensions. See an interactive 3D plot here Abstract Circuit analysis is a promising technique for understanding the internal mechanisms of language models. However, existing analyses are done in small models far from the state of the art. To address this, we present a case study of circuit analysis in the 70B Chinchilla model, aiming to test the scalability of circuit analysis. In particular, we study multiple-choice question answering, and investigate Chinchilla's capability to identify the correct answer label given knowledge of the correct answer text. We find that the existing techniques of logit attribution, attention pattern visualization, and activation patching naturally scale to Chinchilla, allowing us to identify and categorize a small set of output nodes (attention heads and MLPs). We further study the correct letter category of attention heads aiming to understand the semantics of their features, with mixed results. For normal multiple-choice question answers, we significantly compress the query, key and value subspaces of the head without loss of performance when operating on the answer labels for multiple-choice questions, and we show that the query and key subspaces represent an Nth item in an enumeration feature to at least some extent. However, when we attempt to use this explanation to understand the heads' behaviour on a more general distribution including randomized answer labels, we find that it is only a partial explanation, suggesting there is more to learn about the operation of correct letter heads on multiple choice question answering. ...
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Does Circuit Analysis Interpretability Scale? Evidence from Multiple Choice Capabilities in Chinchilla, published by Neel Nanda on July 20, 2023 on The AI Alignment Forum. Cross-posting a paper from the Google DeepMind mech interp team, by: Tom Lieberum, Matthew Rahtz, János Kramár, Neel Nanda, Geoffrey Irving, Rohin Shah, Vladimir Mikulik Informal TLDR We tried standard mech interp techniques (direct logit attribution, activation patching, and staring at attention patterns) on an algorithmic circuit in Chinchilla (70B) for converting the knowledge of a multiple choice question's answer into outputting the correct letter. These techniques basically continued to work, and nothing fundamentally broke at scale (though it was a massive infra pain!). We then tried to dig further into the semantics of the circuit - going beyond "these specific heads and layers matter and most don't" and trying to understand the learned algorithm, and which features were implemented This kind of tracked the feature "this is the nth item in the list" but was pretty messy. However, my personal guess is that this stuff is just pretty messy at all scales, and we can productively study how clean/messy this stuff is at smaller and more tractable scales. I now feel mildly more optimistic that focusing on mech interp work on small models is just fine, and extremely worth it for the much faster feedback loops. It also seems super nice to get better at automatically finding these circuits, since this was a many month manual slog! See Tom's and my Twitter summaries for more. Note that I (Neel) am cross-posting this on behalf of the team, and neither a main research contributor nor main advisor for the project. Key Figures An overview of the weird kinds of heads found, like the "attend to B if it is correct" head! The losses under different mutations of the letters - experiments to track down exactly which features were used. Eg replacing the labels with random letters or numbers preserves the "nth item in the list" feature while shuffling ABCD lets us track the "line labelled B" feature The queries and keys of a crucial correct letter head - it's so linearly separable! We can near loss-lessly compress it to just 3 dimensions and interpret just those three dimensions. See an interactive 3D plot here Abstract Circuit analysis is a promising technique for understanding the internal mechanisms of language models. However, existing analyses are done in small models far from the state of the art. To address this, we present a case study of circuit analysis in the 70B Chinchilla model, aiming to test the scalability of circuit analysis. In particular, we study multiple-choice question answering, and investigate Chinchilla's capability to identify the correct answer label given knowledge of the correct answer text. We find that the existing techniques of logit attribution, attention pattern visualization, and activation patching naturally scale to Chinchilla, allowing us to identify and categorize a small set of 'output nodes' (attention heads and MLPs). We further study the correct letter' category of attention heads aiming to understand the semantics of their features, with mixed results. For normal multiple-choice question answers, we significantly compress the query, key and value subspaces of the head without loss of performance when operating on the answer labels for multiple-choice questions, and we show that the query and key subspaces represent an Nth item in an enumeration' feature to at least some extent. However, when we attempt to use this explanation to understand the heads' behaviour on a more general distribution including randomized answer labels, we find that it is only a partial explanation, suggesting there is more to learn about the operation of 'correct letter' heads on multiple choice q...
These are our recommendations for New Comic Book Day. What comic are you picking up today? NEW STORY ARC! The Radiants were stolen. An empire, vaster than space, has come to claim them. The end of the world is here. THE CATALYST WAR begins. And amidst the chaos, Nathan and Marshall will make the biggest decision of their lives: who will be Radiant Black? When the Gunslinger arrived in the present day, he was attacked by a demonic being. He thought that creature was destroyed. He's about to find out how wrong he was. SOARING TO NEW HEIGHTS AND BATTLING NEW FOES! Kendra Saunders, the winged warrior better known as Hawkgirl, has been one of the DCU's greatest heroes for a long time, serving as a member of both the Justice League and the Justice Society. But with the Justice League disbanded, Kendra decides she needs a fresh start and heads to Metropolis to begin a new life. That life is quickly interrupted by a mysterious villain with a powerful connection to the Nth metal that makes up Hawkgirl's wings and weapons. What does the Man of Steel have nightmares about? Clark Kent knows why he's been pulled into the Nightmare Realm and goes in search of his family and friends, but that journey takes him to the haunted Nightly Planet, where he is confronted by the Super-Reaper! In the waking world, Superman was midflight when he was hit by the nightmare wave. Where he crash-lands will surprise you! True evil is patient. And a dark, ancient power has been simmering quietly for centuries…and when Blade himself is the one to unknowingly unleash it, Marvel's entire supernatural underworld will come out of hiding to demand he handle it. Or pay a pound of flesh for his mistakes. Bloodbaths, blackmail and Blade—you won't want to miss the explosive first issue of this new volume! Radiant Black #25Gunslinger Spawn #22Hawkgirl #1Knight Terrors: Superman #1Blade #1
This is the audio-only version of our weekly cyber security talk show, teissTalk. Join us for free by visiting www.teiss.co.uk/teisstalkThe panel discussion is titled:teissTalk: Building an effective infosec strategy for critical Nth-party suppliersLeveraging your relationships to build cyber resilience across your supply chain ecosystemVendor due diligence - securing your software supply chainShifting your mindset away from questionnaires and tick-box complianceThis episode is hosted by Kevin Crainehttps://www.linkedin.com/in/kevincraine/Irene Njoroge, CEO, Gadiness Ltdhttps://www.linkedin.com/in/irenenjoroge/Fene Osakwe, Group Head, Digital and Technology Assurance, Wellcome Trusthttps://www.linkedin.com/in/dr-fene-osakwe-1617b585/Mike Seeney, Supply Chain Information Risk Lead, Pinsent Masonshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/mike-seeney-462b7619/
Episode 2341 - On this Wednesday's show Vinnie Tortorich and Gina Grad talk about discipline, time management, always getting to something, and more. https://vinnietortorich.com/2023/06/always-getting-to-something-episode-2341 PLEASE SUPPORT OUR SPONSORS YOU CAN WATCH THIS EPISODE ON YOUTUBE - ALWAYS GETTING TO SOMETHING Vinnie and Gina lead the show with a little chat about musician Barry White. (2:00) They discuss discipline and habits and compare notes on how they each approach them. (6:00) In consultations, Vinnie is still hearing how the pandemic had altered people's course with their habits, and how it also affected people's relationship to alcohol and eating. (9:30) Discipline and delayed gratification are always worth it. (14:00) Vinnie shares some examples from his own life. He treats his finances the same way—by delaying gratification. Gina talks about the importance of inspiring others to avoid excuses. (16:40) Chris Kostman, who owns the Badwater Ultramarathon, told Vinnie that it wasn't just grit that helped athletes train, but the fact that they know how to manage time to the Nth degree. (19:00) Vinnie and Gina also discuss listening to success stories from AA (Alcoholics Anonymous). So many stories are great examples of how to pick yourself up and be disciplined. (20:00) Gina's mom is recently open to learning more about NSNG®. She, like most people, has struggled with “diet mentality” and is learning that everything she thought was correct was based on poor information. The show ends with more scandalous Barry White music. Check out Gina's book . She also co-hosts with Bryan Bishop for @LAmag on the Bryan & Gina Show, which you can find on any podcast platform and on . [the_ad id="20253"] PURCHASE BEYOND IMPOSSIBLE (2022) The documentary launched on January 11! Order it TODAY! This is Vinnie's third documentary in just over three years. Get it now on Apple TV (iTunes) and/or Amazon Video! Link to the film on Apple TV (iTunes): Then, Share this link with friends, too! It's also now available on Amazon (the USA only for now)! Visit my new Documentaries HQ to find my films everywhere: REVIEWS: Please submit your REVIEW after you watch my films. Your positive REVIEW does matter! FAT: A DOCUMENTARY 2 (2021) Visit my new Documentaries HQ to find my films everywhere: Then, please share my fact-based, health-focused documentary series with your friends and family. The more views, the better it ranks, so please watch it again with a new friend! REVIEWS: Please submit your REVIEW after you watch my films. Your positive REVIEW does matter! FAT: A DOCUMENTARY (2019) Visit my new Documentaries HQ to find my films everywhere: Then, please share my fact-based, health-focused documentary series with your friends and family. The more views, the better it ranks, so please watch it again with a new friend! REVIEWS: Please submit your REVIEW after you watch my films. Your positive REVIEW does matter!
Send us a Text Message.Thee Talkers Podcast: Unscripted IntroJoe announces he'll be on his own doing the podcast cause Benny, Remo, and The Gooch took the Memorial Day off.Joe gives his feedback to the listeners about Episode 1 The beginning.Joe explains about his mixer (Velma) how he learned it by watching YouTube and explains how to learn it before using it. Joe talks about how he read on some post on social media that some costumers are having bad issues like having glitches in their mixer. Joe talks about how that he has a bad laptop and he might need to buy a new laptop.Joe explains to his listeners to support their podcast go on Buymeacoffee.com/theetalkers4u for details also go to theetalkers.buzzsprout.Joe talks about the new movie Flash that's coming out in June how he is going to see it but he's not to excited like he was on Man of Steel. Joe also talks how Dc comics should run on their own production.Joe talks about the Flash movie won't be the same as the animated series and wanted to be just like the animated series.Joe talks about a lot changes of the Flash movie. Joe's Wondering why they added Supergirl n the Flash movie, but could he's the benefit of the doubt.Joe explains how he was hoping the Flash movie would be more like the Flashpoint paradox but states that he's not saying it's not going to be bad cause he hasn't seen it yet but all he knows it could be a good movie.The Flash ** SPOILER** Joe talks about he's huge fan of Superman and Batman and The Flash are his favorite.Joe mentions to support the show to click the link on the description.Joe talks about his giveaway of his toys if you join the membership etc.Joe talks about watching Ant-Man Quantumania is very good movie and talks about watching the movie 3 times and that his not a fan of ANt-Man.Joe explains about one Kryptonian villain inThee Talkers Podcast: Unscripted Want to thank all the listeners and new listeners that just heard about us to subscribe to our podcast for $3 a month you could cancel anytime from Benny, Remo, Thee Gooch and I myself Joe from Thee Talkers Podcast: Unscripted sit back and enjoy our podcast... Rodecaster pro 2 I bought the Rodecaster pro 2 came with a great deal at Amazon.com free NTH-100 for $699.Disclaimer: This post contains affiliate links. If you make a purchase, I may receive a commission at no extra cost to you.Support the Show.Support our podcast paypal.me/theetalkerspodcastE-Mail: theetalkers4us@gmail.com https://theetalkers.buzzsprout.com/shareFacebookthee•talkers•podacast (@theetalkers_podcast) | Instagramtheetalkers_podcast1 - Twitch(3) Theetalkers1 (@theetalkers1) / TwitterThee Talkers Podcast: Unscripted - YouTubepatreon.com/theetalkerspodtiktok.com/@theetalkerspodcast
In this episode we pitch some Magic Portal fantasy movies which turn out to be less fantastical and more utterly bizarre, dimension hopping nonsense. Par for the course at this point though, right? Other movies pitched: To me, to you, to another world The Elevator to the Nth floor
Here we go Folks! You all know we are big music fans here at the No Outlet podcast and you are in for a treat tonight as we have a Bass Virtuoso joining us! Nate Edgar has played with so many bands including John Browns Body, one of the most Iconic Reggae bands of all time and was also part of Groove Child, the Danny Mayer Trio and most recently the Nth power among many many more! Bottom line is that the the dude is a BAD ASS Bass player and an all-around cool guy! We talked about how the DARE program was the origination of his musical journey (true!), he provides the best answer ever to the NOP Staple question "how many UFOS have you seen", his first band/show, the first concert that he paid for, he reveals where to get the best cup of coffee in the seacoast area, we unlock the mystery of how people from the northeast are slightly different from each other, he describes the magic of the Stone Church, he reveals that he has been chased by several ghosts (been there), the genius of a Tribe Called Quest, we provide a new definition of Soul/Gospel music, he graciously provides his Mount Rushmore of Bass Guitarists, his international musical travels, the number of Dead shows he has seen, his favorite TV show of the moment, the most recent piece of music added to his collection and we reminisce about the Legendary Retail Stores Mosquito Traders and Watermonkey among many other super important topics. Thank you for coming on the show Nate, we hope you all enjoy the conversation as much as we did. #UFO, #UAP, #Bass, #Stonechurch, #gratefuldead, #DARE, #hamptonbeach, #reggae, #nthpower, #groovechild, #johnbrownsbody, #Boston, #caffekilim, #tribecalledquest, #severance, #appleTV, #ghosts, #charleskynard, #eltoropoopoo, #boston, #portsmouthnh
The thought that success is up to you, is actually hurting you.I get it.You've been told to "take ownership" and I totally agree with that advice too.But taking it to the Nth degree, to where success is only up to you, is most likely not helping your future.I was having a conversation recently with someone who reminded me that this thought never served me when I used to think it too.Now I'm not saying that everyone is going to feel this same way, but after having thousands of coaching calls where this topic comes up, I've found the majority of time it actually gets you off track even though it might feel great when you start to say it.Think about it like this... If it's up to you, it's so easy to convince yourself to go at it alone.And if you're alone, you're stuck doing what you've always done.Which means you'll keep getting what you've always gotten.Before you know it, your belief in yourself drops off the face of the planet... But it has noting to do with your potential.It was just the "story" you were telling yourself.Which is why I created todays' video, because we need to dive into this story that "Success is up to you" and come up with a NEW story that actually serves us.If you're ready to do that with me today, let's go!--------------------Have you considered starting a podcast? Do you know how?Check out our free Podcast Crash Course at https://resources.modernleadership.us/podcasting and learn if a podcast is right for you, and if so, all the steps you need to take to get one up and running fast! --------------------If you're looking to take your privacy back head to https://www.officerprivacy.com/marc and never have to worry about your information being out on the internet again!
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: A circuit for Python docstrings in a 4-layer attention-only transformer, published by StefanHex on February 20, 2023 on LessWrong. Produced as part of the SERI ML Alignment Theory Scholars Program under the supervision of Neel Nanda - Winter 2022 Cohort. TL;DR: We found a circuit in a pre-trained 4-layer attention-only transformer language model. The circuit predicts repeated argument names in docstrings of Python functions, and it features 3 levels of composition, a multi-function head that does different things in different parts of the prompt, an attention head that derives positional information using the causal attention mask. Epistemic Status: We believe that we have identified most of the core mechanics and information flow of this circuit. However our circuit only recovers up to half of the model performance, and there are a bunch of leads we didn't follow yet. Introduction Click here to skip to the results & explanation of this circuit. What are circuits What do we mean by circuits? A circuit in a neural network, is a small subset of model components and model weights that (a) accounts for a large fraction of a certain behavior and (b) corresponds to a human-interpretable algorithm. A focus of the field of mechanistic interpretability is finding and better understanding the phenomena of circuits, and recently the field has focused on circuits in transformer language models. Anthropic found the small and ubiquitous Induction Head circuit in various models, and a team at Redwood found the Indirect Object Identification (IOI) circuit in GPT2-small. How we chose the candidate task We looked for interesting behaviors in a small, attention-only transformer with 4 layers, from Neel Nanda's open source toy language models. It was trained on natural language and Python code. We scanned the code dataset for examples where the 4-layer model did much better than a similar 3 layer one, inspired by Neel's open problems list. Interestingly, despite the circuit seemingly requiring just 3 levels of composition, only the 4-layer model could do the task. The docstring task The clearest example we found was in Python docstrings, where it is possible to predict argument names in the docstring: In this randomly generated example, a function has the (randomly generated) arguments load, size, files, and last. The docstring convention here demands each line starting with :param followed by an argument name, and this is very predictable. Turns out that attn-only-4l is capable of this task, predicting the next token (files in the example shown here) correctly in ~75% of cases. Methods: Investigating the circuit Possible docstring algorithms There are multiple algorithms which could solve this task, such as "Docstring Induction": Always predict the argument that, in the definition, follows the argument seen in the previous docstring line. I.e. look for param size, check the order in the definition size, files, and predict files accordingly. Line number based: In the Nth line predict the Nth variable from the definition, irrespective of the content of the other lines. I.e after the 3rd param token, predict the 3rd variable files. Inhibition based: Predict variable names from the definition, but inhibit variable names which occurred twice (similar to the inhibition in the IOI circuit), i.e. predict load, size, files, last, and inhibit the former two. Add some preference for earlier tokens to prefer files over last. We are quite certain that at least the first two algorithms are implemented to some degree. This is surprising, since one of the two should be sufficient to perform the task; we do not investigate further why this is the case. A brief investigation showed that the implementation of the 2nd algorithm seems less robust and less generalizable that our model's implementation of th...
Lo que está cambiando el podcasting y el marketing digital:-Revelan la fecha de registro para los Latin Podcast Awards 2023.-RØDE lanza sus primeros auriculares de transmisión basados en los galardonados auriculares NTH-100.-¿Qué hace que un pódcast encabece las listas de éxitos?-Aumenta el consumo de contenidos en inglés en el mercado anglosajón.-Twitter Blue trae de vuelta la curaduría a Spaces.Nuevos pódcast-Mala praxis. Pódcast recomendadoBolsillo. Un pódcast que comparte trucos y consejos que te ayudarán a sacarle más provecho al dinero que ganas. Capítulo tras capítulo, la periodista catalana, Raquel Quelart, presenta la percepción que tienen economistas, inversores y ahorristas exitosos sobre cómo manejar las finanzas. Es un pódcast de La Vanguardia.Patrocinado por Rss.com (compañía de alojamiento de pódcast)https://dashboard.rss.com/es/auth/sign-up/
We're talking to Ryan Collins from Maryland in the US. In 2017, Ryan was invited to the Olympic training center in a bid to make it to the Olympics but an accident with a car ended that dream. His dedication through surgery then rehab saw him come back to win the USA 12-hour TT national championships and setting an age group record in the World Time Trial Championship. In 2020 he held three World Records: 6hr, 100k, 200k & broke the maryland cross state record Nth to Sth by over 2hrs.in 2022 Ryan set the 12hr continental record and won12hr national and international titles. Ryan Holds an MBA and is a nutritional physiologist. 2:00 – David's London Marathon training 5:00 – Strava chat – Xylon making too many events 5:44 – Xylon's training 8:35 – Community shoutouts 18:06 – Episode starts 19:07 – What is a Nutritional Physiologist? 19:33 – How did Ryan come to use Supersapiens? 21:04 – What else aside from Supersapiens has caught Ryan's eye from a nutritional trend point of view? 22:10 – How Ryan built his own sports nutrition drink 23:38 – What is in Ryan's sports nutrition drink? 24:07 – What is Ryan's nutrition strategy for his different events; 6hr, 12hr, 100km 25:00 – How many carbohydrates does Ryan take per hour? 25:50 – Why does Ryan use liquids only during a 6hr event? 26:58 – How did Ryan use Supersapiens to dial in his nutrition for his different events? 32:20 – When did Ryan start cycling? 36:57 – How much cycling was Ryan doing once he was allowed back on the bike post-accident? 38:33 – How did Ryan's accident happen? 40:13 – What was the year between 12hr efforts like for Ryan? 41:42 – What was the trajectory like post 12hr world record? 43:40 – What are Ryan's 2023 goals? 45:01 – What does Ryan's mental preparation for his events look like? 49:10 – How does Ryan make his work his travel and training work? 51:55 – What does Ryan do for work? 52:35 – What community work does Ryan do? 54:40 – What drives Ryan to want to do some much community work? 55:36 – What does a training week look like for Ryan? 57:49 – How many hours a week does Ryan train? 58:11 – How long is the longest time Ryan has spent on a bike trainer? 59:00 – Does Ryan do short explosive work in his training? 61:29 – What are the biggest learnings Ryan has taken from using Supersapiens? 66:55 – What did Ryan change his pre-workout fuel to? 68:35 – How much rice does Ryan go through in a week? 69:43 – How Ryan uses live glucose visibility specifically 71:30 – Rush Round 82:43 – OutroScientific Study using Supersapiens Mentioned in Intro - https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/17461391.2023.2174452 Article Ryan Mentions - https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33772787/ Ryan's Rice Cake Recipe - https://ryancwix.wixsite.com/racetothetop/post/the-ultimate-rice-cake
Episode ninety four will cover the crazy sex trafficking case known as the Nth room from South Korea. Who were the people behind this? What did they do that was so horrible? And what happened to them? Episode Sponsor: Start your credit journey with Chime. Signup only takes two minutes and doesn't affect your credit. Signup at chime.com/asian. Go to HelloFresh.com/asian21 and use code asian21 for 21 free meals plus free shipping To support this podcast, please visit: One-time donation: https://paypal.me/asianmadness Facebook/Instagram/Twitter: asianmadnesspod E-mail: asianmadnesspod@gmail.com
Welcome virtuosic bassist NATE EDGAR of THE NTH POWER to Ep.058! Nate is a helluva player, and he takes us inside his process, influences, mindset, and intentions as a bassist, band member, brother, and low-end medicine man. Heaping slabs of musicology with a healthy serving of humanity. Nate Dawg doesn't do very many interviews - certainly not lengthy, super-personal purges - so this ep is a real treat, and an emotional sledgehammer. A gentleman, scholar, subsonic sorcerer, and servant of the song, Buckle up fam, we're goin IN! Ladies and gentleman, Mr. Nate Edgar. 3:00 - new sponsor! THE LEGION OF BLOOM 5:00 - Upful Update 10:00 - Introducing NATE EDGAR 16:00 - Interview - NATE DAWG We hop in the wayback machine to discuss Nate's roots in New Hampshire, from nascent backpack rap steez to a teenager runnin' away on Dead tour, playing in newgrass bands or working as a garbage man. Boston/Wally's/NE jam scene back in the day, learning tuba to get into college, and other random historical minutiae. In a touching, insightful segment, Nate takes us through his experience working with pioneering American reggae band John Brown's Body, and expounds on the legacy of his dear friend, JBB bassist, the late Scott Palmer. Naturally, we dig DEEP on all things The Nth Power, past, present and future. Ruminations on his bandmates as family, the core trio perservering through adversity, the inherent spirituality in their music. Plus reflections on collaborating with Weedie Braimah, Nigel Hall, Rob Marscher, and the friendship, mentorship, kindness and unbelievable talent of the late, great Kofi Burbridge. We unpack Nth's unparalleled tribute mojo: from Earth, Wind & Power to Bob Marley to Steely Dan, High Sierra's Gospel According to Nth, and a little teaser for Cool Cool Cool just around the bend at Brooklyn Comes Alive. MY MAN NATE. Came thru and came CORRECT! The Nth Power really does LOVE us. Vibe Junkie JAM "Terrapin Station" - The Nth Power Ball Suwannee Rising 4.9.22 EMAIL the SHOW! B.Getz@UpfulLIFE.com PLEASE LEAVE A REVIEW on Apple Podcasts! Listen to Upful LIFE on Spotify ! Theme Song: "Mazel Tov"- CALVIN VALENTINE