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With Donald Trump returning to the White House on Monday, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan sees a chance to rekindle what he calls his "close working relationship" with the incoming US leader. But a Trump presidency could bring risks as well as opportunities for Erdogan. Erdogan was quick to congratulate Trump on his election victory, making clear his desire to work with him again."Donald Trump is a man who acts with his instincts, and Erdogan is too," explains Huseyin Bagci, a professor of international relations with Ankara's Middle East Technical University. "They are not intellectuals as we used to have, big political leaders after World War II. They are tradespeople. They are very pragmatic ones, and they are political animals. In this sense, they like transactional policies, not value-based policies."Syria a key focusErdogan's top priority is expected to be securing the withdrawal of US forces from Syria, where they support the Kurdish militia YPG in the fight against the Islamic State.Ankara views the YPG as a terrorist group linked to the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK), which has waged an insurgency in Turkey for decades.During his first presidency, Trump promised to pull US forces out of Syria, though this move faced strong resistance from American officials.Sezin Oney, a commentator with Turkey's independent Politikyol news portal, said new challenges in Syria make an early withdrawal unlikely."Not to have the ISIS resurgence again or this HTS presenting a threat to the United States, the Trump administration would be interested in protecting the YPG and the Kurds, their alliance with the Kurds," said Oney."We already have the (US) vice president, JD Vance, pointing out the ISIS resurgence."Turkey steps up military action against Kurds in Syria as power shiftsIsrael and IranThe ceasefire between Hamas and Israel could ease another potential point of tension between Erdogan and Trump, as Erdogan has been a strong supporter of Hamas.Meanwhile, both Ankara and Washington share concerns over Iran's regional influence, which could encourage cooperation between the two leaders."Trump administration is coming in with a desire to stabilise relations with Turkey," said Asli Aydintasbas, an analyst with the Brookings Institution."We are likely to see more and more of a personal rapport, personal relationship, which had been missing during the Biden administration," she added. "President Erdogan and President Trump will get along famously. But it does not mean Turkey gets all of its policy options."Success of rebel groups in Syria advances Turkish agendaFighter jets and UkraineErdogan is also hoping the Trump administration will lift a Congressional embargo on advanced fighter jet sales. Experts suggest Turkey could play a key role in any Trump-led efforts to negotiate a ceasefire in the Ukraine war, given Erdogan's ties with both Russia and Ukraine."If Trump is pushing for a ceasefire in Ukraine between Russia and Ukraine, in this case Turkey could be very helpful as a potential mediator," said Ozgur Unluhisarcikli, head of the German Marshall Fund's Ankara office.But Unluhisarcikli warned of potential challenges."What happens in Syria could be a test for the US-Turkey relationship very early on. Turkey is actually preparing for a new intervention in northeast Syria against what Turkey sees as a terrorist organisation, and what the United States sees as a partner on the ground."Economic risksTrump's previous presidency saw tensions with Erdogan peak after Trump threatened to destroy Turkey's economy over its plans to attack US-backed Syrian Kurdish forces. This move triggered a sharp drop in the Turkish lira.With Turkey's economy now weaker than before, analysts say Erdogan will need to proceed cautiously in his dealings with the new Trump administration.

US officials say Russia has deployed some 8,000 North Koreans in the Kursk region, the border area where Ukrainian forces seized Russian territory in a surprise attack over the summer. But there may be far fewer troops returning home than Pyongyang expected. Also, journalists use fake Tinder profiles to identify and follow the movements of hundreds of soldiers in Europe, including many Americans. And, a look into the growing phenomenon of countries repressing dissidents beyond their own borders, including a NATO ally of the US: Turkey. Plus, Host Marco Werman puts his knowledge of Africa to the test in a trivia game.Listen to today's Music Heard on Air.Donate today to help The World unlock a $67,000 challenge match! 

US, Turkey Backed Groups Pushed Out Al-Assad, Takeover Damascushttps://osazuwaakonedo.news/us-turkey-backed-groups-pushed-out-al-assad-takeover-damascus/08/12/2024/#Breaking News #alAssad #Biden #Damascus #Donald #Erdogan #Iran #Joe #Russia #Syria #Trump #Turkey #Ukraine #US ©December 8th, 2024 ®December 8, 2024 6:48 am United States of America, US backed Kurdish led Syrian Democratic Forces, SDF and Turkey backed Islam led Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, HTS have pushed out Iran and Russia backed President Bashar Al-Assad from Syria, with US President-elect, Donald Trump calling President Joe Biden and other government officials at the Whitehouse, warmongers trying to cause World War 3, distancing USA from the civil crisis in Damascus. #OsazuwaAkonedo

On Monday the US warned Turkey against hosting Hamas leadership after reports emerged that some Hamas leaders had moved to Turkey from Qatar, with State Department spokesperson Matthew Miller saying Washington will make it clear to Ankara that there can be no more business as usual with Hamas. Sinan Ciddi, a non-resident senior fellow at FDD and an expert on Turkish politics, joins Thanos Davelis to discuss this latest warning from Washington, and look at how the Hamas issue is likely to impact US-Turkey ties as the Trump administration prepares to take over in January.You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:US warns Turkey against hosting Hamas leadersTurkey Shouldn't Celebrate a Donald Trump Victory Just YetGreece faces general strike as workers protest cost of living squeezeShips docked, transport services disrupted as Greeks walk out for higher payGreece to repay chunk of bailout debt early

With Donald Trump on course to begin his second term as US president, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is eyeing renewed opportunities for collaboration – hoping to rekindle the close relationship the two shared during Trump's first presidency. Erdogan, who congratulated Trump as a "friend" on social media, sees this as a chance to reshape US-Turkey relations.During Biden's presidency, engagement was largely limited to foreign ministers – marking a stark contrast to the “strong leader-to-leader relationship” Erdogan and Trump had enjoyed, says analyst Ozgur Unluhisarcikli, of the German Marshall Fund in Ankara.Trump and President Erdogan met face to face about nine times, compared to only two "brief encounters" with Biden, he adds.ChemistryErdogan often speaks warmly of his dealings with Washington during Trump's first term in office."The chemistry is the same. Two charismatic leaders, two leaders who are unpredictable," notes Turkish presidential adviser Mesut Casin, a professor of international relations at Istanbul's Yeditepe University.He believes their personal rapport could set the stage for greater bilateral and regional cooperation, including efforts to end the Russia-Ukraine war.Erdogan has long sought to play a role in ending the Russia-Ukraine war, given his close ties with Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky and, more controversially, with Vladimir Putin – a relationship that drew criticism and suspicion from some of Turkey's NATO partners."Trump will push for negotiations in the Russia-Ukraine war. And I think that's something that Turkey has always preferred," predicts Asli Aydintasbas a visiting fellow at the Brookings Institution in Washington.Turkey eyes US presidential race that stands to shake up mutual tiesYPG policyErdogan will also look to Trump for changes in US policy toward the YPG, a Syrian Kurdish militia that Ankara views as linked to the PKK, a group fighting the Turkish state.The YPG's alliance with Washington against the Islamic State has strained US-Turkey relations, with Biden resisting Erdogan's calls to end support for the group.Former Turkish diplomat Aydin Selcen predicts Erdogan will hope Trump might be open to a deal."Erdogan thinks that, like himself, Trump too is a pragmatic leader. So leaving aside principles or other such in brackets, the two sides can reach an agreement by giving and taking something between the two," says Selcen.UnpredictabilityWhile Trump has often spoken positively about Erdogan, he nonetheless remains unpredictable.“Can you rely on him?” asks Murat Aslan of SETA, a Turkish pro-government thinktank.Tensions between Turkey and Israel could also complicate relations.Erdogan has expressed hope that Trump will succeed where Biden failed in ending Israel's war on Hamas and Hezbollah, but with Trump's strong support for Israel and Erdogan's backing of Hamas, a clash could be looming."What happens if there is an escalation in the Middle East with the polarisation of Israel and Turkey, as it currently is, and the attitude of Trump, it's very clear that the Trump administration will threaten Turkey," says Aslan.With conflicts raging across the region, Erdogan views a new Trump presidency as an opportunity for Turkey and the region.But given the leaders' unpredictability, that opportunity doesn't come without risks.

The US election is now behind us and President-elect Donald Trump is set to return to the White House in January. As the congratulatory messages streamed in from around the world, one of the world leaders who was quick to call Trump was President Erdogan. Turkey expert Nicholas Danforth, a Senior Non-Resident Fellow at the Hellenic Foundation for European and Foreign Policy (ELIAMEP) and Editor at War on the Rocks, joins Thanos Davelis to look at what the election of Donald Trump - well known for his relationship with Erdogan in his first term - could mean for US-Turkey relations.You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:Sustainable estrangement: Embracing the new normal in US-Turkish relationsTurkey's Erdogan, Trump discuss improving Turkey-US cooperationRegional leaders discuss international developmentsFidan arrives in Athens for pivotal talksGreece cites new trust of Turkey as the neighbors seek to ease tensions

This weekend Kathimerini reported that a US proposal is on the table that could see a resolution to the Russian S-400 missile issue that has been a thorn in the side of US-Turkey relations over the last years. This could potentially result in the lifting of CAATSA sanctions and a path for Turkey to rejoin the F35 program. Lena Argiri, the Washington, DC correspondent for ERT - the Greek Public Broadcasting Company - and Kathimerini, joins Thanos Davelis with the latest scoop from Washington, DC.Read Lena Argiri's latest piece for Kathimerini: Talks on S-400 seen nearing a compromiseYou can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:HALC makes ‘no weapons to Turkey' petition to US CongressBusy week of meetings for PM at the UN

The United States and Turkey are reportedly discussing the possibility of US companies building nuclear reactors in Turkey. This is seen as part of an effort to help Ankara move away from Russia, at the same time as Russia's state-owned nuclear monopoly, Rosatom, is building a nuclear energy plant in Turkey at Akkuyu. While Washington looks like it is dangling the possibility of cooperation in front of Ankara, Congress is preparing legislation that would sanction Rosatom that could also push the administration to impose sanctions on Turkish entities as well. Andrea Stricker, a research fellow and deputy director of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies' Nonproliferation and Biodefense Program, joins Thanos Davelis to look into these reports, and break down how this legislation could complicate US-Turkey ties.You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:U.S. Considers Nuclear Cooperation With Turkey as Congress Tees Up SanctionsTurkey, US in talks on nuclear plant projects, Turkish official saysMitsotakis on CNN: Europe cannot rely only on US for defenseAlbania's supreme court upholds Beleri verdict

After originally leaking that a White House visit was in play in the lead up to municipal elections at the end of March, President Erdogan is now postponing his May meeting with President Biden in Washington, DC. No reason was cited, but, as some analysts note, the move will likely upend efforts to mend ties between the two NATO allies. Wolfango Piccoli, the co-founder of the risk analysis company Teneo, joins Thanos Davelis to look into why this visit was postponed and what message it sends about the US-Turkey relationship and Ankara's broader ties with the West.You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:Turkey postpones Erdogan's White House visitOur neighborhood just got unpredictable againPM's Ankara trip to go ahead as plannedGuilty verdicts decried as too lenientTurkey says it backs outgoing Dutch prime minister Rutte's candidacy for NATO chief

We've just seen consecutive visits to the US by Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan and intelligence chief Ibrahim Kalin, with both officials discussing a series of issues - from the wars in Gaza and Ukraine to trade and investments - with the White House, the State Department and Congress. This has many wondering if we are seeing a “new momentum” in US-Turkey ties in the wake of the Sweden NATO saga. Expert Sinan Ciddi joins Thanos Davelis to discuss whether this is the case.Sinan Ciddi is a non-resident senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD), where he contributes to FDD's Turkey Program and Center on Military and Political Power (CMPP). He is also an Associate Professor of Security Studies at the Command and Staff College-Marine Corps University and Georgetown University's School of Foreign Service.You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:New visits, full momentum: Can Turkey and US go beyond transactionalism?Joint Statement on the U.S.-Türkiye Strategic MechanismTurkey's Fidan to meet Blinken in Washington as US ties strengthenTurkey: A Sanctuary for Terrorist Entities & Illicit FinanceS-300 missiles could be sent to UkraineGreece-Turkey political dialogue: Commitment to build on existing positive atmosphere

The US Senate put the Turkey F-16 deal back in the spotlight this week, with Senator Rand Paul initiating a debate over why this sale to Ankara was proceeding. While some key Senators stressed that a “deal is a deal”, they also voiced their deep concerns about Turkey - from its human rights record to its aggression across the region. Endy Zemenides, the Executive Director of the Hellenic American Leadership Council, joins Thanos Davelis to break down what took place in the Senate, the message it sends about US-Turkey ties, and more.You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:Senators warily allow F-16 sale to Turkey as part of NATO expansion agreementForeign policy milestones: EU accession, Turkey, Cyprus, PrespesEU border agency to triple officers on Bulgaria-Turkey frontierUS plans first military airdrop of aid into GazaUS weighs Cyprus humanitarian corridor as famine looms in Gaza

Over a year ago there were concerns that Turkey's provocations and threats in the Aegean could turn into conflict. Over the last year, Turkey's President Erdogan has pulled a 180 degree shift in policy, de-escalating tensions. Ryan Gingeras, a professor in the Department of National Security Affairs at the Naval Postgraduate School and an expert on Turkish, Balkan, and Middle East history, joins Thanos Davelis to look at the prospects for Greek-Turkish relations in 2024, the role of Washington, and what to expect in US-Turkey ties as the year unfolds.Read Ryan Gingeras' latest interview with Kathimerini here: Prospects for Greek-Turkish relations to emerge clearly by springYou can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:Gov't unveils new measures to combat soaring pricesUN's new special envoy heads to Cyprus in early February

NATO's Ukraine debate, Wagner group's loyalty to Russia, Texas Democrat's Senate candidacy, Erdogan's EU demand, clashes in Syria, Joan Krakover Hall's passing, Solomon Islands' partnership with China, US-Turkey military support, revival of controversial play in Israel, and criticism of Thames Water's environmental record and financial mismanagement.

General Tod Wolters and Ambassador David Satterfield talk about the key elements of their successful partnership in managing the US-Turkey security relationship (2019-2022): having a clear strategy, relying on the strong US/NATO/Turkey mil to mil relationship and holding frank talks.  Topics:  Turkey's strong commitment to NATO;  US Turkish differences over the US partnership with the SDF in Syria;  Turkey's purchase of a Russian missile defense systems; Greek/Turkish clashes & Turkey's relationship with Russia.

We're heading to the US Congress on today's episode, where Senator Menendez once again caught everyone's attention while questioning Secretary of State Antony Blinken this week when he sharply criticized Turkey. Representative David Cicilline also had a noteworthy exchange with Secretary Blinken in the House, asking what steps the Biden Administration is taking to ensure that US weapons are not used by Turkey to threaten allies and partners in the region. Endy Zemenides, the Executive Director of the Hellenic American Leadership Council, joins Thanos Davelis to break down the key takeaways from this week's hearings in Congress. Since March 25th is Greek Independence Day, we also look at what the main takeaways are today, 202 years after the start of the Greek revolution.You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:Menendez says Turkey doesn't ‘deserve' to get F-16 jets Rep. Cicilline questions Secretary Blinken on steps administration is taking to ensure US weapons are not used by Turkey to threaten allies and partnersBiden on Greek Independence Day: ‘Our alliance has never been stronger'US Congress commemorates Greece's independence anniversaryVatican returns Parthenon sculptures to Greece

This week we have a deep discussion on turkeys with two fanatics, Jason Hart and Doc Weddle. Doc, a carpenter by trade, takes off four months each spring to chase the gobble. He has completed 3 US Turkey slams (all 49 states) and only has a small handful of gobblers left to complete his 4th and 5th!!! Doc gives out some great advice on hunting public ground and how he has learned to get the most enjoyment out of each hunt. It's a good one that you don't want to miss. Listen, Learn, and Enjoy.Show Notes:Follow Doc Weddle on Instagram: @docweddle Support the showStay connected with GameKeepers: Instagram: @mossyoakgamekeepers Facebook: @GameKeepers Twitter: @MOGameKeepers YouTube: @MossyOakGameKeepers Website: https://mossyoakgamekeeper.com/Join the Gamekeeper Field Notes Newsletter: https://bit.ly/GKField_NotesJoin Mossy Oak's Weekly Newsletter: The Branch Have a question for us or a podcast idea? Email us at gamekeepers@mossyoak.com

A Turkish court has sentenced Istanbul's popular mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu - who could potentially face off against Erdogan in the upcoming elections - to more than two years in prison and barred him from politics. This has been described as a “major setback for democracy” in Turkey as the country prepares for elections next year. It also follows a trend of democratic backsliding that has seen the Erdogan regime use the courts to sideline or silence key opposition figures and journalists. Howard Eissenstat, an Associate Professor of Middle East history at St. Lawrence University and a Turkey expert, joins Thanos Davelis to discuss this development, look at what it means for the upcoming elections in Turkey, and break down how it could impact US-Turkey relations.You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu sentenced to jail over ‘fools' insultIstanbul mayor sentenced to jail and barred from politics over ‘idiots' insultGreece repays euro zone bailout loans early for first time-sourceGreece's Mitsotakis says EU leaders close to gas price cap dealMitsotakis calls for EU agreement on gas price caps by Monday

In today's episode we talk about, the bombing in the streets of Istanbul and how US-Turkey relations have been put under great strain ever since the Russo-Ukrainian war started. Then we'll talk about the Republican take over of the house and the various investigations they plan on launching into the Biden administration. Lastly we go over the war scare with Poland, why entangling alliances are STILL a bad idea, and how I think we could use this event to our advantage. All that and more! --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/haisean/support

The US-Turkey relationship has been characterized by a steady attempt at “hostage diplomacy” on the part of Ankara, and its veto over Sweden and Finland's NATO membership bids is the latest example. One devastating effect of this consistent use of “hostage diplomacy”, as HALC's Executive Director Endy Zemenides argues in his latest piece in Kathimerini, is that the US government has developed Stockholm syndrome, allowing Turkey to escape serious consequences for a whole host of transgressions. Endy Zemenides joins Thanos Davelis to break down Ankara's hostage diplomacy and look at how the US can break out of its Stockholm Syndrome.Read Endy Zemenides' latest piece in Kathimerini here: Washington's Stockholm syndromeYou can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:Greece can cope with possible Russian gas disruptions thanks to LNG - ministerPreparing for winter without Russian gasUS lawmakers table amendment to block sale of F-16s to Turkey

Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine began, Congress has signed four laws that send enormous amounts of money and weapons to Ukraine, attempting to punish Russia for President Putin's invasion. In this episode, we examine these laws to find out where our money will actually go and attempt to understand the shifting goals of the Biden administration. The big picture, as it's being explained to Congress, differs from what we're being sold. Please Support Congressional Dish – Quick Links Contribute monthly or a lump sum via PayPal Support Congressional Dish via Patreon (donations per episode) Send Zelle payments to: Donation@congressionaldish.com Send Venmo payments to: @Jennifer-Briney Send Cash App payments to: $CongressionalDish or Donation@congressionaldish.com Use your bank's online bill pay function to mail contributions to: 5753 Hwy 85 North, Number 4576, Crestview, FL 32536. Please make checks payable to Congressional Dish Thank you for supporting truly independent media! Background Sources Recommended Congressional Dish Content Ukraine and Russia CD249: A Few Good Laws CD248: Understanding the Enemy CD244: Keeping Ukraine CD229: Target Belarus CD167: Combating Russia (NDAA 2018) LIVE CD068: Ukraine Aid Bill CD067: What Do We Want In Ukraine? Syria CD172: The Illegal Bombing of Syria CD108: Regime Change CD041: Why Attack Syria? World Trade System What Is the World Trade System? CD230: Pacific Deterrence Initiative CD102: The World Trade Organization: COOL? Russian Blockade Shane Harris. May 24, 2022. “U.S. intelligence document shows Russian naval blockade of Ukraine.” The Washington Post. NATO Expansion Jim Garamone. Jun 1, 2022. “Russia Forcing Changes to NATO Strategic Concepts.” U.S. Department of Defense News. Matthew Lee. May 27, 2022. “US: Turkey's NATO issues with Sweden, Finland will be fixed.” AP News. Ted Kemp. May 19, 2022. “Two maps show NATO's growth — and Russia's isolation — since 1990.” CNBC. U.S. Involvement in Ukraine Helene Cooper, Eric Schmitt and Julian E. Barnes. May 5, 2022. “U.S. Intelligence Helped Ukraine Strike Russian Flagship, Officials Say.” The New York Times. Julian E. Barnes, Helene Cooper and Eric Schmitt. May 4, 2022. “U.S. Intelligence Is Helping Ukraine Kill Russian Generals, Officials Say.” The New York Times. Private Security Contractors Christopher Caldwell. May 31, 2022. “The War in Ukraine May Be Impossible to Stop. And the U.S. Deserves Much of the Blame.” The New York Times. Joaquin Sapien and Joshua Kaplan. May 27, 2022. “How the U.S. Has Struggled to Stop the Growth of a Shadowy Russian Private Army.” ProPublica. H.R. 7691 Background How It Passed Glenn Greenwald. May 13, 2022. “The Bizarre, Unanimous Dem Support for the $40b War Package to Raytheon and CIA: ‘For Ukraine.'” Glenn Greenwald on Substack. Catie Edmondson and Emily Cochrane. May 10, 2022. “House Passes $40 Billion More in Ukraine Aid, With Few Questions Asked.” The New York Times. Republican Holdouts Glenn Greenwald and Anthony Tobin. May 24, 2022. “Twenty-Two House Republicans Demand Accountability on Biden's $40b War Spending.” Glenn Greenwald on Substack. Amy Cheng and Eugene Scott. May 13, 2022. “Rand Paul, lone Senate holdout, delays vote on Ukraine aid to next week.” The Washington Post. Morgan Watkins. May 13, 2022. “Sen. Rand Paul stalls $40 billion in aid for Ukraine, breaking with Mitch McConnell USA Today. Stephen Semler. May 26, 2022. “The Ukraine Aid Bill Is a Massive Windfall for US Military Contractors.” Jacobin. Biden Signs in South Korea Biden signs Ukraine Bill and Access to Baby Formula Act in South Korea. Reddit. Kate Sullivan. May 20, 2022. “Flying the Ukraine aid bill to South Korea for Biden's signature isn't unheard of. It also may not be totally necessary.” CNN. How Much Money, and Where Will It Go? Stephen Semler. May 23, 2022. “A breakdown of the Ukraine aid bill.” Speaking Security on Substack. “CBO Estimate for H.R. 7691, Additional Ukraine Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2022, as Passed by the House of Representatives on May 10, 2022.” May 11 2022. Congressional Budget Office. Christina Arabia, Andrew Bowen, and Cory Welt. Updated Apr 29, 2022. “U.S. Security Assistance to Ukraine.” [IF12040] Congressional Research Service. “22 U.S. Code § 2346 - Authority.” Legal Information Institute, Cornell School of Law. Representatives' Raytheon and Lockheed Martin Stocks Kimberly Leonard. May 19, 2022. “20 members of Congress personally invest in top weapons contractors that'll profit from the just-passed $40 billion Ukraine aid package.” Insider. Kimberly Leonard. Mar 21, 2022. “GOP Rep. John Rutherford of Florida bought Raytheon stock the same day Russia invaded Ukraine.” Insider. Marjorie Taylor Green [@RepMTG]. Feb 24, 2022. “War is big business to our leaders.” Twitter. “Florida's 4th Congressional District.” GovTrack. “Rules Based Order” Anthony Dworkin. Sep 8, 2020. “Why America is facing off against the International Criminal Court.” “History of the multilateral trading system.” *The World Trade Organization “Facts: Global Inequality” Inequality.org “Timeline: Former Russian President Boris Yeltsin.” Apr 23, 2007. NPR. Crimea Kenneth Rapoza. Mar 20, 2015. One Year After Russia Annexed Crimea, Locals Prefer Moscow To Kiev Forbes. “Crimea exit poll: About 93% back Russia union. March 16, 2014. BBC. Shifting Strategies Economic War Larry Elliott. Jun 2, 2022. “Russia is winning the economic war - and Putin is no closer to withdrawing troops. The Guardian. Nigel Gould-Davies. May 12, 2022. “We Must Make Sure Russia Finishes This War in a Worse Position Than Before” The New York Times. Weapons Escalation Jake Johnson. Jun 1, 2022. “'Slippery Slope... Just Got a Lot Steeper': US to Send Ukraine Advanced Missiles as Russia Holds Nuke Drills.” Common Dreams. C. Todd Lopez. Jun 1, 2022. “Advanced Rocket Launcher System Heads to Ukraine.” U.S. Department of Defense News. Greg Norman. Jun 1, 2022. “Russia stages nuclear drills after US announces rockets to Ukraine.” Fox News. Christian Esch et al. May 30, 2022. “What's Next for Ukraine? The West Tries to Figure Out What Peace Might Look Like.” Spiegel International. See Image. Alastair Gale. May 24, 2022. “China and Russia Sent Bombers Near Japan as Biden Visited Tokyo.” The Wall Street Journal. Mike Stone. Mar 11, 2022. “Exclusive: Pentagon revives team to speed arms to Ukraine and allies, sources say.” Reuters. Secretary Austin and the Pentagon Jim Garamone. May 20, 2022. “Austin to Host Second Ukraine Contact Group Meeting Monday.” U.S. Department of Defense News. Natasha Bertrand et al. Apr 26, 2022. “Austin's assertion that US wants to ‘weaken' Russia underlines Biden strategy shift.” CNN. David Sanger. Apr 25, 2022. “Behind Austin's Call for a ‘Weakened' Russia, Hints of a Shift.” The New York Times. Mike Stone. Apr 12, 2022. “Pentagon asks top 8 U.S. weapons makers to meet on Ukraine -sources.” Reuters. Glenn Greenwald. Dec 8, 2020. “Biden's Choice For Pentagon Chief Further Erodes a Key U.S. Norm: Civilian Control.” Glenn Greenwald on Substack. Democrats Still All In Marc Santora. May 1, 2022. “Pelosi and Democratic lawmakers vow the U.S. will stand with Ukraine. The New York Times. RFE/RL's Ukrainian Service. May 1, 2022. “Civilians Evacuated From Mariupol; U.S. House Speaker Pelosi Visits Kyiv.” Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty. “Ukraine war: Joe Biden calls for removal of Vladimir Putin in angry speech.” Mar 26, 2022. Sky News. The Laws H.R. 7691: Additional Ukraine Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2022 House Vote: 368-57 Senate Vote: 86-11 Transcript of House Debate S.3522: Ukraine Democracy Defense Lend-Lease Act of 2022 Passed by Voice Vote in the Senate House Vote 417-10 House "Debate" H.R.6968 - Ending Importation of Russian Oil Act Senate Vote: 100-0 House Vote: 413-9 House Debate H.R.7108: Suspending Normal Trade Relations with Russia and Belarus Act Senate Vote: 100-0 (amended the original House bill) Final House Vote: 424-8 House debate 1 (on original version) House debate 2 (final version) Audio Sources Joe Manchin at the World Economic Forum's meeting in Davos May 23, 2022 Clips Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV): Speaking about Ukraine, first what Putin, Putin's war on Ukraine and Ukraine's determination, resolving the sacrifices they've made for the cause of freedom has united the whole world, that it's united, US Senate and Congress, I think like nothing I've seen in my lifetime. I think we're totally committed to supporting Ukraine, in every way possible, as long as we have the rest of NATO and the free world helping. I think we're all in this together. And I am totally committed as one person to seeing Ukraine to the end with a win, not basically resolving in some type of a treaty. I don't think that is where we are and where we should be. Reporter: Can I just follow up and ask you what you mean by a win for Ukraine? ** Sen. Joe Manchin:** I mean, basically moving Putin back to Russia and hopefully getting rid of Putin. The Ukraine Crisis: Implications for U.S. Policy in the Indo-Pacific May 19, 2022 Committee on Foreign Affairs, Subcommittee on Asia, the Pacific, Central Asia, and Nonproliferation Witnesses: Charles Edel, Ph.D., Australia Chair and Senior Adviser, Center for Strategic and International Studies Bonny Lin, Ph.D., Director, China Power Project, Center for Strategic and International Studies Tanvi Madan, Ph.D.Director, The India Project, Brookings Institution Dan Blumenthal, Ph.D., Senior Fellow and Director of Asian Studies, American Enterprise Institute Clips 6:57 Tanvi Madan: One implication that is already evident, most visibly in Sri Lanka, is the adverse economic impact. The rise in commodity prices in particular has led to fiscal food and energy security concerns and these, in turn, could have political implications and could create a strategic vacuum. 7:15 Tanvi Madan: A separate and longer term economic impact of the crisis could be renewed goals, perhaps especially in India, for self reliance and building resilience not just against Chinese pressure, but also against Western sanctions. 7:28 Tanvi Madan: The second potential implication of the Russia-Ukraine war could be that Beijing might seek to take advantage in the Indo-Pacific while the world's focus is on Europe, between the Taiwan or the East or South China Sea contingencies. The contingency that would have the most direct impact in South Asia would be further action by the PLA at the China-India boundary, or at the Bhutan-China boundary that could draw in India. This potential for Sino-Indian crisis escalation has indeed shaped Delhi's response to the Russia-Ukraine war. Despite its recent diversification efforts, the Indian military continues to be dependent, if not over dependent, on Russia for supplies and spare parts for crucial frontline equipment. India has also been concerned about moving Moscow away from neutrality towards taking China's side. Nonetheless, there is simultaneously concern that Russia's war with Ukraine might, in any case, make Moscow more beholden to Beijing and also less able to supply India, and that will have implications for India's military readiness. 10:10 Tanvi Madan: The fourth implication in South Asia could flow from the war's effect on the Russia-China relationship flows. The Sino-Russian ties in recent years have benefited Pakistan. However, they have been of great concern to India. If China-Russia relations deepened further, it could lead to increased Indian concern about Russian reliability. And a Dheli that is concerned about Moscow's ability and willingness to supply India militarily or supported in international forums will seek alternative partners and suppliers a potential opportunity for the US as well as its allies and partners. 18:15 Bonny Lin: China has shifted its position on the Ukraine conflict to be less fully pro Russia. Xi Jinping has expressed that he is deeply grieved by the outbreak of war. China has engaged in diplomacy, called for a ceasefire, proposed a six point humanitarian initiative, and provided humanitarian aid to Ukraine. China's position on Ukraine, however, is far from neutral. China has not condemned Russia or called its aggression an evasion. Xi has yet to speak to President Zelenskyy. There is no evidence that China has sought to pressure Russia in any way or form. China has amplified Russian disinformation and pushed back against Western sanctions. To date, Beijing has not provided direct military support to Russia and has not engaged in systemic efforts to help Russia evade sanctions. However, China's ambassador to Russia has encouraged Chinese companies to quote "fill the void in the Russian market." 19:14 Bonny Lin: The Ukraine crisis has reinforced China's view that US military expansion could provoke conflict in the Indo-Pacific. Chinese interlocutors have voiced concern that the United States and NATO are fighting Russia today, but might fight China next. China views NATO expansion as one of the key causes of the Korean conflict and sees parallels between NATO activities in Europe and US efforts in the Indo-Pacific. Beijing is worried that increasing US and ally support for Taiwan and other regional allies and partners elevates the risk of US-China military confrontation. This pessimistic assessment is why Beijing will continue to stand by Russia as a close strategic partner. 19:56 Bonny Lin: The Ukraine crisis has reinforced and strengthened China's desire to be more self reliant. China is investing more to ensure the security of food, energy, and raw materials. Beijing is also seeking more resilient industrial supply chains, as well as PRC-led systems, including alternatives to Swift. At the same time, Beijing is likely to further cultivate dependencies on China, such that any potential Western led sanctions on China or international-community-led sanctions on China in the future will be painful to the West and difficult to sustain. 21:15 Bonny Lin: China has observed that Russia put its nuclear and strategic forces on high alert and NATO did not send conventional forces to Ukraine. This is leading China to question its nuclear policy and posture. 21:57 Bonny Lin: As Beijing watches the Western and particularly G7-led unity among advanced democracies, it is also seeing that a number of countries in the developing world are not joining in on the sanctions. As a result, Beijing has tried to increase its influence and in many ways building on Russian influence in developing regions. And Beijing is likely to try to get all that influence moving forward. 24:24 Dan Blumenthal: China took the opportunity of Russia's invasion on February 4 to lay out a document that criticizes, very specifically, almost all aspects of United States global policy. Very specifically, including Oculus for NATO enlargement to Oculus to the Indo Pacific strategy. It got Russia to sign up to Xi Jinping's theory that we're in a new era of geopolitics that will replace US leadership, that US leadership is faulty and it's dividing the world into blocks such as NATO, that NATO expansion is the problem, that Indo-Pacific strategy is the same thing as NATO expansion. 25:45 Dan Blumenthal: We should take very seriously what they say, particularly in Chinese, and what they're saying is very clearly pro-Russia and very clear, specific, searing critiques of the US-led world order. 26:47 Dan Blumenthal: And frankly, while the West is unified, and the US and the West and some of our Asian allies are unified, most of the rest of the world is not with us on this issue of China and Russia being these authoritarian, revisionist great powers, and that's a real problem. Middle East, North Africa, and Global Counterterrorism May 18, 2022 House Committee on Foreign Affairs: Subcommittee on the Middle East, North Africa, and Global Counterterrorism Witnesses: Dr. Hanna Notte, Senior Research Associate, Vienna Center for Disarmament and Non-Proliferation Dr. Frederic Wehrey, Senior Fellow, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Caitlin Welsh, Director of the Global Food Security Program, Center for Strategic and International Studies Grant Rumley, Senior Fellow, The Washington Institute for Near East Policy Clips 12:55 Hanna Notte: First, Moscow's military presence in Syria has given it a buffer zone on its southern flank to counter perceived threats from within the region, but also to deter NATO outside the European theater. And second, Russia has turned to the region to diversify its economic relations with a focus on arms sales, civilian nuclear exports and wheat supplies. And in building influence, Russia has largely followed what I call a low cost high disruption approach, also using hybrid tactics such as private military companies and disinformation. Now, these Russian interests in the region will not fundamentally change with the invasion of Ukraine. Today, Russia's regional diplomacy remains highly active, aimed at offsetting the impact of Western sanctions and demonstrating that Moscow is not isolated internationally. 14:09 Hanna Notte: Starting with arms control and Non-Proliferation, though Moscow seemed intent on spoiling negotiations to restore the JCPOA [Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action] in early March. It subsequently dropped demands for written guarantees that its cooperation with Iran would not be hindered by sanctions imposed over Ukraine. But still, I think the geopolitical situation might make Moscow less willing to help finalize a nuclear deal. As in the past, Russia is also unlikely to support any US efforts to curb Iran's use of missiles and proxies in the region, because essentially, Iran's regional strategy pins down us resources while elevating Russia as a regional mediator, which serves Russian interests well. 15:17 Hanna Notte: Just a few words on Syria. Security Council resolution 2585 on the provision of humanitarian aid to northwest Syria is up for renewal in July. Now, Rationally speaking, the Kremlin should cooperate to avoid a worsening of serious food crisis, especially if an end game in Ukraine remains out of reach. But considering the current level of tensions between Russia and the West, I think the United States should be prepared for a Russian Security Council veto regardless, alongside continued Russian stalling on the Syrian constitutional committee. Moscow has no serious interest in seeing the committee advance. It will instead try to foster a Gulf Arab counterweight to Iran in Syria through normalization, especially for the contingency that Russia may need to scale back its own presence in Syria due to Ukraine. 16:14 Hanna Notte: First, unfortunately I think there's a widespread perception that the Ukraine war is not their war, that it's a Great Power NATO-Russia war, partially fueled by NATO and US actions visa vis Russia. 16:27 Hanna Notte: Second, there are accusations of Western double standards. The military support to Kyiv, the reception of Ukrainian refugees, these are rightly or wrongly viewed as proof that the West cares significantly more about conflict in Europe's neighborhood than those in the Middle East. 16:42 Hanna Notte: Third, regional elites worry about US conventional security guarantees. They fear that the threats posed by Russia and China will accelerate a decline in US power in the Middle East. And they also fear that the US will have limited bandwidth to confront Iran's missile and proxy activities. And with those fears, they feel they cannot afford to put all their eggs into the US basket. 17:07 Hanna Notte: And then finally, each regional state has very distinct business and security interests with Russia. As a result, and I'll end here, I think us opportunities to get regional states to turn against Russia are circumscribed. loosening these ties that states have been building with Russia will require a heavy lift. 18:57 Frederic Wehrey: This engagement is largely opportunistic and ad hoc. It seizes on instability and power vacuums and exploits the insecurities of US partners in the region about the reliability of US support, and their displeasure with the conditionality that the US sometimes attaches to its arms sales. Russian arms deliveries, in contrast, are faster and free from restrictions related to human rights. But Russia cannot provide the security guarantees that many Arab states have depended on from the United States. 19:29 Frederic Wehrey: Now, in the wake of its invasion of Ukraine, Russia is trying to reap dividends from its investment in the region, call in favors, and capitalize on local ambivalence and hostility to the United States, both from states and from Arab publics. America's Arab security partners have differed on joining the Western condemnation of Russian aggression, and some of refuse to join efforts to isolate Russia economically. 20:31 Frederic Wehrey: Russia's disastrous war in Ukraine is tarnishing its reputation as an arms supplier in the Middle East. Russian weapons have been shown to be flawed in combat and often fatally. So, Battlefield expenditures and attrition have whittled away Russia's inventory, especially precision munitions, and sanctions have eroded its defense industrial base, especially electronic components. As a result, Russia won't be able to fulfill its existing commitments, and potential buyers will be increasingly dissuaded from turning to Russia. This shortfall could be modestly exploited by China, which possesses large quantities of Russian made arms and spare parts, which you could use to keep existing inventories in the region up and running. It could also intensify its efforts to sell its own advanced weaponry like drones. 23:50 Caitlin Welsh: The war has reduced supplies and increased prices of foods exported from Ukraine and Russia, namely wheat, maize and sunflower oil, driven up demand for substitute products and reduced fertilizer exports from the Black Sea. Today's high cost of energy puts further pressure on food and fertilizer prices. Most vulnerable to the impact of these price spikes are countries for whom wheat is a major source of calories that rely on imports to meet their food security needs, and that source a significant proportion of their imports from Ukraine and Russia. 24:38 Caitlin Welsh: Egypt is the world's largest importer of wheat, sourcing over 70% of its wheat from the Black Sea. 25:42 Caitlin Welsh: The Russian Ukraine war is limiting access to wheat for Lebanon, already in one of the worst economic crises in the world. Lebanon has not recorded economic growth since 2017 and food price inflation inflation reached 400% in December 2021. Lebanon procures approximately 75% of its wheat from Russia and Ukraine. 28:48 Grant Rumley: Russia is one of the few countries in the world to maintain a relatively positive diplomatic standing with nearly every country in the Middle East. It does so through a combination of an active military presence, high level diplomatic engagement, and a concerted effort to position itself as a viable source of arms, should countries seek non-US material. 29:08 Grant Rumley: Russia's military presence in the region is well documented by Russian MOD statements. Russia has deployed over 60,000 troops to Syria since intervening in 2015. From its two bases in Syria, Hmeimim and Tartous, Russia is able to project power into the eastern Mediterranean, influence the course of the Syrian civil war, and intervene in countries like Libya. 29:47 Grant Rumley: Russia's invasion of Ukraine, however, threatens Russia standing in the region. Already reports indicate Russia has begun withdrawing some troops and mercenaries from the region to support its invasion of Ukraine. While we can expect these reports to continue if the war continues to go poorly for Russia, I'm skeptical of a full Russian withdrawal, and instead expect Russia to continue to consolidate its forces until it's left with a skeleton presence at Hmeimim and Tartous, its most strategic assets in the region. 30:26 Grant Rumley: On arms sales, the Russian defense industry, which has struggled to produce key platforms following sanctions initially placed after its 2014 invasion of Ukraine, will likely have to prioritize replenishing the Russian military over exporting. Further, customers of Russian arms may struggle with the resources to maintain and sustain the material in their inventory. Still, so long as Russia is able to make platforms, there will likely always be potential customers of Russian arms. 41:25 Grant Rumley: I definitely think customers of Russian arms are going to have several hurdles going forward, not only with simply maintaining and sustaining what they've already purchased, but in some of the basic logistics, even the payment process. Russian bank complained last month that it wasn't able to process close to a billion dollars in payments from India and Egypt over arms sales. I think countries that purchase Russian arms will also now have to consider the potential that they may incur secondary sanctions, in addition to running afoul of CAATSA [Countering America's Adversaries Through Sanctions Act-Related Sanctions]. I think from from our standpoint, there are many ways that we can amend our security cooperation approach. The Middle East, I think is a key theater for the future of great power competition, not only have we been competing with Russia in terms of arms sales there, but China increasingly has sold armed drones to the region. They've sold it to traditional partners, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the UAE. And what they're doing is is oftentimes what we're not willing to do, our partners in the region seek co-production, they seek technology sharing. China and Russia are willing to work together to build these advanced platforms, Russia and the UAE inked an agreement several years ago to produce a fifth generation fighter. Nothing's come of that yet. China and Saudi Arabia, however, signed an agreement a couple of months ago to jointly produce armed drones in Saudi Arabia. And so I think the US may want to think creatively in terms of both what we sell, how we sell it, and what we're doing to make this more of a relationship and something beyond a strict transaction. 43:39 Grant Rumley: Their presence in Syria has evolved from a modest airstrip in 2015, to a base at Hmeimim that by open source reporting can serve as a logistics hub, a medical hub, it has the runways to host Russia's most advanced bombers. There was reports before Ukraine that Russia was deploying two 22 bombers there and hypersonic missiles. Their facility at Tartous, likewise. Their ability to stage naval assets there has expanded to they can now stage up to 11 ships there. So it has grown from from a rather modest beginning to something much more challenging from a US standpoint. In terms of what we can we can do, I think we can continue to support Ukraine and the defense of Ukraine, and the longer that Russia is bogged down in Ukraine, the harder it will be for Russia's military to extend and maintain its presence in the Middle East. 1:01:45 Grant Rumley: I think the US has several partners in the middle of major Russian arms purchases that we can, like Turkey and the S 400, that has requested the F 16, or Egypt and Sukhoi Su-35, that has requested the F 15. I'm not saying we have to make a deal right now for that, but I think it's clear that these countries are going to have gaps in their capabilities where they had planned on having Russian platforms to complement, and we can work with our partners and work with our own defense industry and see if there's ways in which we can provide off ramps for them to gradually disinvest these Russian platforms. 1:03:00 Frederic Wehrey: When countries in the in the region buy US arms, they believe they're buying much more than the capability, the hardware, that they're purchasing an insurance policy. I think especially for states in the Gulf, there's a fundamental sense of insecurity. These are states that face Iran, but they're also autocrats. They're insecure because of their political systems. They face dissent from within. We saw that with Egypt. So they're purchasing a whole stream of US assurances -- they believe they are. 1:06:00 Grant Rumley: The issue of of co-production is one means to address a common complaint, which is buying from America takes too long. That its too complicated, that if we get in line to buy something from the US, we're going to have to wait years to get it. A good example is the F 16. There are over 20 countries in the world that fly the F 16. We currently -- Lockheed Martin builds it out of one facility. That facility, if you get in line today, you're probably not getting the F 16 for five years from when you sign on the dotted line for it. In the 70s and 80s, we co-produced the F 16 with three other European countries and we were able to get them off the line faster. The initial order at those facilities was for 1000 F 16s. The initial order for the F 16 plant in South Carolina was for 90 F 16s for Taiwan and Morocco. And so from an industry standpoint, it's a question of scale. And so they're not able to ramp up the production because while the demand may get closer to 1000 over time, it's at 128. Last I checked, it's not there yet. And so I think we can use foreign military financing, longer security cooperation planning, working with our partners on multi-year acquisition timetables to then also communicate and send a signal to the defense industry that these are orders for upgrades, for new kits that are going to come down the road. You can start to plan around that and potentially address some of these production lags. 1:17:52 Grant Rumley: China has a lot of legacy Russian platforms, and will likely be a leading candidate to transfer some of these platforms to countries that had purchased Russian arms in the past and may be seeking maintenance and sustainment for them. I think China's already active in the Middle East, it's already flooding the market with armed drones. It's already looking to market other platforms as well. It's sold air defense systems to Serbia. It's looking to advance its arm sales. And so if if we aren't going to be the supplier, China is going to step in. 1:18:57 Caitlin Welsh: USDA has projected that 35% of the current wheat crop from Ukraine will not be harvested this year. So their exports are curtailed, at the same time Russia's exports are continuing. Russia has been exempted. Russia's agricultural exports and fertilizer has been exempted from sanctions for the United States, EU and other countries. So Russia continues to export. In fact, USDA is estimating that Russia's exports are increasing at this time. And I'm also seeing open source reporting of Russia stealing grain from Ukraine, relabeling it, and exporting it at a premium to countries in the Middle East and North Africa. Sen. Rand Paul: ‘We cannot save Ukraine by dooming the U.S. economy' May 12, 2022 NBC News Clips Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY): My oath of office is to the US Constitution, not to any foreign nation. And no matter how sympathetic the cause, my oath of office is to the national security of the United States of America. We cannot save Ukraine by dooming the US economy. This bill under consideration would spend $40 billion. This is the second spending bill for Ukraine in two months. And this bill is three times larger than the first. Our military aid to Ukraine is nothing new, though. Since 2014, the United States has provided more than $6 billion dollars in security assistance to Ukraine, in addition to the $14 billion Congress authorized just a month ago. If this bill passes, the US will have authorized roughly $60 billion in total spending for Ukraine Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY): The cost of this package we are voting on today is more than the US spent during the first year of the US conflict in Afghanistan. Congress authorized force, and the President sent troops into the conflict. The same cannot be said of Ukraine. This proposal towers over domestic priorities as well. The massive package of $60 billion to Ukraine dwarfs the $6 million spent on cancer research annually. $60 billion is more than the amount that government collects in gas taxes each year to build roads and bridges. The $60 billion to Ukraine could fund substantial portions or entire large Cabinet departments. The $60 billion nearly equals the entire State Department budget. The 60 billion exceeds the budget for the Department of Homeland Security and for the Department of Energy. And Congress just wants to keep on spending and spending. U.S. Efforts to Support Ukraine May 12, 2022 Senate Committee on Foreign Relations Witnesses: Jessica Lewis, Assistant Secretary of State for Political-Military Affairs Erin McKee, Assistant Administrator for Europe and Eurasia, U.S. Agency for International Development Karen Donfried, Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs, U.S. Department of State Beth Van Schaack, Ambassador-at-Large for Global Criminal Justice, U.S. Department of State Clips Sen. Ed Markey (D-MA): Are we making it very clear to Russia that we do not want to pose an existential threat to them, that our only goal is to restore the territorial integrity of Ukraine? Karen Donfried: We are making it very clear to Russia that this is not a conflict between Russia and the United States. We are not going to engage directly in this war. President Biden has been explicit in saying we are not sending US troops to fight in this war. So I do believe we have made that clear. Our goal here is to end a war not to enlarge it. Sen. Rob Portman (R-OH): As you all are waking up every morning, I know with the thought in mind that America's role here is to help Ukraine win and I want to talk a little about how we define victory. When Secretary Austin said after meeting with President Zelenskyy, that we can win this war against Russia -- this happened a few weeks ago -- I thought that was positive. On Monday, the foreign minister of Ukraine, who all of us have had a chance to visit with said, of course, the victory for us in this war will be a liberation of the rest of the territory. So Assistant Secretary Donfried, first, just a yes or no. Do you believe Ukraine can win this war? Karen Donfried: Yes. Sen. Rob Portman: And how would you define victory? Would you define victory as requiring the return of all Ukraine sovereign territory, including that that the Russians seized in 2014? Karen Donfried: Well, Senator Portman, thank you for that question. And thank you for your engagement on these issues. Your question very much relates to where Chairman Menendez began, which is, are we in a position of believing that it is Ukraine that should be defining what winning means? And I agreed with Chairman Menendez's statement on that, and that is where the administration is. We believe Ukraine should define what victory means. And our policy is trying to ensure Ukraine success, both by — Sen. Rob Portman: So the administration's official position on victory is getting Crimea back and getting the Donetsk and Luhansk region back as well. Karen Donfried: Again, I believe that is for the Ukrainians to define. Karen Donfried: Against this threat to regional security, global stability, and our shared values, we are supporting freedom, democracy, and the rules based order that make our own security and prosperity and that of the world possible. Sen. Bob Menendez (D-NJ): I believe we must also think about reconstruction efforts in Ukraine, the tools and ongoing governance and economic reforms, specifically in the judicial space, that will facilitate rebuilding critical Ukrainian sectors and attracting foreign investment. The Impact of Russia's Invasion of Ukraine in the Middle East and North Africa May 11, 2022 House Committee on Appropriations, Subcommittee on Defense held a budget hearing on the Department of Defense. Witnesses: Lloyd J. Austin III, Secretary of Defense Michael J. McCord, Under Secretary of Defense (Comptroller)/Chief Financial Officer General Mark A. Milley, Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff Clips 21:40 General Mark Milley: Alongside our allies and partners, at any given time approximately 400,000 of us are currently standing watch in 155 countries and conducting operations every day to keep Americans safe. 21:56 General Mark Milley: Currently we are supporting our European allies and guarding NATO's eastern flank, in the face of the unnecessary war of aggression by Russia, against the people of Ukraine, and the assault on the democratic institutions and the rules based international order that have prevented great power war for the last 78 years since the end of World War Two. We are now facing two global powers, China and Russia, each with significant military capabilities, both who intend to fundamentally change the current rules based order. Lindsey Graham declares, "let's take out Putin" and says there is "no off-ramp in this war" May 9, 2022 Clips Sen. Lindsay Graham (R-SC): If Putin still standing after all this then the world is going to be a very dark place China's going to get the wrong signal and we'll have a mess on our hands in Europe for decades to come so let's take out Putin by helping Ukraine Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken and Secretary ofDefense Lloyd J. Austin III Remarks to Traveling Press April 25, 2022 Jen's Highlighted PDF Remarks by President Biden on the United Efforts of the Free World to Support the People of Ukraine March 26, 2022 Jen's Highlighted PDF U.S. Policy and Russian Involvement in Syria November 4, 2015 House Foreign Affairs Committee Cover Art Design by Only Child Imaginations Music Presented in This Episode Intro & Exit: Tired of Being Lied To by David Ippolito (found on Music Alley by mevio)

US Turkey Slam. 49 birds in 49 States with Billy Barnett. A 4 year quest that started by accident turned into an adventure of a lifetime for Billy Barnett. This story is really cool and something that excited me to learn more. According to the NWTF Billy is the 13th person to ever do this US Turkey Slam. To me that is something really cool and something that seems to be really hard and unobtainable. Sit back, relax and listen to this awesome Pod. What is WTA Tags? Check it out here YOU NEED TO!!! - WTA https://worldwidetrophyadventures.com/ Exodus Trail Cams - https://exodusoutdoorgear.com Helix Broadheads - https://www.helixbroadheads.com/ Vector Custom Arrows - https://vectorcustomshop.com/ Promo Codes Vector Custom Arrows: Use Fall10 at checkout to save %10 on your next order  Check Out The Journey Within Podcast -  Don't forget to check out the Fall Podcast Youtube channel for new content. Subscribe to the channel as well. Thank you. https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCWSCcGJeHHxejFXBZAO83QA For updates from The Fall Podcast The Fall Podcast on Instagram - The Fall Podcast The Fall Podcast on Twitter - The Fall Podcast Twitter The Fall Podcast on Facebook - The Fall Podcast Facebook The Fall Podcast Youtube Channel - The Fall Podcast Youtube Channel   Subscribe and Rate us on Itunes: SUBSCRIBE to The Fall Podcast Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

After years of deteriorating relations, it appears there is a new narrative on US-Turkey relations that sees the war in Ukraine as a chance to reset relations and reverse Turkey's tilt towards Russia. What's missing from any discussion of this “reset” narrative, however, is Turkey's escalation of aggressive behavior against Greece and Cyprus. HALC's Executive Director Endy Zemenides joins Thanos Davelis today to break down why a failure by the US to publicly link any “reset” to Turkey ending its destabilizing behavior in the Aegean undermines US policy.Read Endy Zemenides's latest piece in Kathimerini: A false reset You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:Greek Inflation Hits Double Digits for First Time in 27 YearsInflation is spiraling out of controlNew US ambassador presents his credentials to the presidentAmbassador Tsunis meets with FM DendiasAmbassador Tsunis meets with Minister Pierrakakis

The ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine has triggered a strong and a somewhat surprisingly unified NATO response. The US policy has focused on supporting Ukraine through economic and military aid foreclosing any direct confrontation with Russia. Despite different interests and diplomatic relations of member countries within NATO, the alliance has been able to sustain its cohesion although this may prove more challenging as the conflict prolongs. As a critical NATO member in the Black Sea and a country who has provided strong support to Ukraine while facilitating high-level diplomacy to resolve the crisis, Turkey's policy has implications for the alliance as well. As Russia refocuses its military efforts on the east and south, a protracted conflict appears more likely, and NATO's response will be ever more critical for the course of the war. How can the alliance sustain its current unity? What are some of the next steps that can be taken to support Ukraine? What can the alliance do in the wake of increasing attacks on civilians? How might the US modify its policy as the conflict deepens? What are some of the implications for the US-Turkey relationship? The SETA Foundation at Washington DC is pleased to host a panel of distinguished experts to analyze the implications of the war in Ukraine. Speakers John Herbst, Senior Director, Eurasia Center, Atlantic Council; Former US Ambassador to Ukraine Mark N. Katz, Professor, Schar School of Policy and Government, George Mason University Yevgeniya Gaber, Senior Fellow, Centre in Modern Turkish Studies at Carleton University Moderator Kilic Kanat, Research Director, The SETA Foundation at Washington, DC --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/seta-dc/support

An op-ed in The Wall Street Journal on Thursday made the case that the US should help Turkey transfer its Russian S400s to Ukraine as a way to help Ukraine and resolve tensions with the US. It also suggested that in return for sending its S-400s to Ukraine, the US should offer Turkey a replacement for the S400s and get Ankara back in the F-35 program. The op-ed has drawn sharp criticism from leading Turkey observers, who point out that this proposal completely misses the mark when it comes to the reality of Turkey's arms deal with Russia and Turkish President Erdogan's relations with Putin and the West. Dr. Lisel Hintz joins our host Thanos Davelis to break down why this op-ed shows a clear lack of understanding of Turkey-Russia relations, US-Turkey relations, and Erdogan's diplomatic balancing act amid the war in Ukraine. Dr. Lisel Hintz is an Assistant Professor of International Relations at Johns Hopkins University's School of Advanced International Studies. She studies the intersections of identity politics, repression and resistance, foreign policy, and pop culture in Turkey and its neighborhood, and is the author of the book Identity Politics Inside Out: National Identity Contestation and Foreign Policy in Turkey.Read more from Dr. Lisel Hintz here: No One Lost Turkey: Erdogan's Foreign Policy Quest for Agency with Russia and BeyondRethinking Turkey's ‘Rapprochements': Trouble with Germany and BeyondYou can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:Turkey's Russian Missiles Could Defend UkraineEurope's southern states call for common EU energy policiesDraghi leads push for common EU response to energy crisisDendias confirms another successful evacuation mission from UkraineGreece offers to rebuild bombed maternity hospital in Ukraine

Today's Topics: Traveling around the world talking about India and Hindu violence against Muslims, the US not wanting to give the WHO more power, Turkey prosecuting journalists, Venezuela wanting to get rid of President Maduro, military events in Burkina Faso, and last but certainly not least, what's going on in Russia and the West. Always remember that Lofi Poli Sci is more than just me, it's the “we”, that we be. Episode 1 Season 5 (series 417) Official Website: www.lofipolisci.com Instagram: lofi_poli_sci_podcast YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/LofiPoliSciPodcast LinkedIn: Michael Pickering #lofipolisci #lofi #politicalscience #news #worldnews #globalnews #lofiGlobalNews #alwaysHope #podcast #lofipoliscipodcast #Top10 #GoodNewsFriday #PickeringUnplugged #LettersOfTheLofiPoliSci #India #WHO #US #Turkey #Venezuela #BurkinaFaso #Russia

Hakan Özoğlu on “The Decline of the Ottoman Empire and the Rise of the Turkish Republic: Observations of an American Diplomat, 1919-1927” (Edinburgh University Press). The book examines the work of Admiral Mark Bristol, US high commissioner in Istanbul as the Ottoman Empire collapsed and the Republic of Turkey was founded in 1923. Become a member to support Turkey Book Talk. Members get a 35% discount on all Turkey/Ottoman History books published by IB Tauris/Bloomsbury, transcripts of every interview, transcripts of the whole archive, and over 200 reviews covering Turkish and international fiction, history and politics.

Nick Kypreos joins the show to give his thoughts on the Auston Matthews TNT pre-game interview, the Kings' silver helmets, how the Leafs may replace David Kämpf should he miss some time, the biggest question he has about the team, the strength of their opponents, and next week's test against the Avalanche (2:38). To wrap up the hour, Cabbie joins the group in-studio to take a look at today's NFL games from a betting perspective (34:01).The views and opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the hosts and guests and do not necessarily reflect the position of Rogers Sports & Media or any affiliate.

Last week the US-Greece Defense and Interparliamentary Partnership Act made headlines as it was included as an amendment to the must-pass National Defense Authorization Act, or the NDAA. This move comes at a time when Greece and the United States have seen their bilateral relationship reach new heights. US-Turkey relations were also in the spotlight. Assistant Secretary of State Karen Donfried traveled to Turkey recently, where she talked about the US deepening its cooperation with the country, and touched on Ankara's request to purchase US F-16s. Meanwhile, the State Department declined to put Turkey on its special watch list of religious freedom violators as was recommended by USCIRF. Endy Zemenides, HALC's Executive Director, joins The Greek Current to discuss these key developments.You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:Amendments Abound as Senate Starts Process of Passing 2022 NDAAWith ‘Friends' Like These ...Turkish lira crashes to ‘insane' historic low after President Erdogan sparks sell-offLira collapse leaves Turks bewildered, opposition angryHealth Minister: Fourth Covid wave will be the ‘toughest'Covid deaths in Europe to top 2 million by March, says WHO

On Sunday President Biden held a meeting with Turkish President Erdogan on the margins of the G20 Summit. During their meeting, President Biden raised concerns about Turkey's possession of the Russian S-400 missile system, emphasized the importance of respect for human rights and called for the countries to cooperate more and handle “disagreements effectively”. Going into the meeting, President Erdogan had also stressed that he would raise the issue of Turkey - which was kicked out of the F-35 program - purchasing F-16s from the US. Expert Steven Cook joins the Greek Current to analyze the Biden-Erdogan meeting and the broader challenges in US-Turkish relations.Steven Cook is the Eni Enrico Mattei senior fellow for Middle East and Africa studies at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR).Read Steven Cook's analysis of US-Turkey relations prior to the Biden-Erdogan meeting: What Erdogan's Struggles Mean for U.S.-Turkey RelationsYou can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:Readout of President Biden's Meeting with President Recep Tayyip Erdogan of TurkeyBiden tells Erdogan that US and Turkey must avoid crisesTurkey eyes five new targets for possible offensive in SyriaPappas Leads Colleagues in Opposing Sale of F-16s to TurkeyZoran Zaev to step down as North Macedonia's PMN.Macedonia opposition seeks election after local poll sweep

Since the foundation of the AK Party on August 14, 2001, Turkish-American relations have gone through major regional and global challenges. The relationship has ebbed and flowed over the past two decades of AK Party governments under the leadership of President Erdoğan and different administrations in Washington. The Middle East has undergone major geopolitical transformations that the US and Turkey have sought to manage in the last twenty years in addition to numerous bilateral issues. The US invasion of Iraq in 2003, Iran nuclear issue, ongoing Syrian civil war are just a few of the regional challenges that both strained the relationship and created opportunities for cooperation. In what ways has the AK Party put its stamp on Turkish foreign policy in general and the US-Turkey relationship in particular? What are the current challenges and opportunities before a more robust partnership can contribute to peace and stability in the region? How can the US and Turkey overcome their bilateral difficulties and work together as NATO allies to tackle regional and global challenges? The SETA Foundation at Washington DC is pleased to host a distinguished panel of experts to discuss Turkish-American relations under the tenure of the AK Party. Speakers Çağrı Erhan, Professor of International Relations Altınbaş Üniversitesi, Member of Security and Foreign Policies Council of Turkish Presidency Akif Kireçci, Dean of the Faculty of Political Sciences at Ankara Social Sciences University, Member of Security and Foreign Policies Council of Turkish Presidency Moderator Kadir Ustun, Executive Director at The SETA Foundation at Washington DC --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/seta-dc/support

Welcome to the Policy Pulse - a breakdown summary of some of the most compelling recent reports to come out of think tanks from around the world. This edition of the Policy Pulse will be recorded as an episode of the Policy People Podcast. You can find all the links to the reports mentioned here in the show notes or in the newsletter.Thank you to Sasanka Kanuparthi for curating this edition of Policy Pulse.Can the Biden administration keep US-Turkey tensions in check?       What should the Biden administration do to maintain influence over Turkey without triggering a new crisis? Following tensions with Western powers, Turkey is now keen to stabilize relations while retaining controversial policies. Biden's rhetoric thus far has centered on the deterioration of human rights and democracy under Erdogan, his anti-LGBTQI+ stance, and crackdowns on demonstrations. However, the bilateral meeting in June reflected the optics of dialogue and was devoid of timelines on outcomes. Nicholas Danforth argues the U.S. approach must be conditional upon Turkey’s corrective actions in the future. Read more about the changing bilateral dynamics in this Brookings report.Can US assistance encourage countries to transition away from fossil fuel subsidies?Many countries are subsidizing fossil fuels to keep their local economies ticking, resulting in financial constraints and overconsumption. The Biden administration’s efforts to disincentivize domestic fuel subsidies is seen as a step towards decarbonization and meeting Paris Climate Agreement goals. Researchers believe that it could be replicated at the international level through US leadership on the issue. They analyze the impact of consumption subsidies on global fuel prices, the environment, the fiscal spending of developing economies etc. The Brookings report urges the U.S. to push for international cooperation with G20 countries, price transparency, and direct cash transfers to low-income countries. Learn more about the recommendations by reading the report. Can Australia’s economy withstand the fallout of a war over Taiwan?China’s aggressive posturing in its neighborhood continues to raise tensions across the world, and forced annexation of Taiwan could lead to counteractions by Western allies. There are widespread fears over the impact on international trade from a potential conflict, and how a war might affect navigation in the Indo-Pacific. ASPI’s David Uren details Australia’s vulnerabilities, while suggesting risk mitigation measures. He critiques the Productivity Commission’s recommendations and provides insights about Australian industry’s adaptability in finding new markets for its goods and services. Discover more on Australia’s strategic and economic preparedness in this fascinating report. Are cyber capabilities the next sphere of national power?Geostrategic competition has moved into new realms, as great powers struggle to dominate cyberspace. A dearth of academic insight into cyber power, strategic intentions, and capacities of global powers has led researchers to decipher variance in cyber governance between countries. This comprehensive two-year study from IISS compares the command-and-control structures, cyber-intel capabilities, global leadership capacities, and cybersecurity doctrines of fifteen countries and establishes robust literature on the issue. The qualitative assessment hopes to guide national governments in decision-making and strategic investments for the future. Delve deeper into the current state of cyber affairs with this report. Can the Lebanese State ever escape the influence of Hezbollah?Signaling intentions to reform while quietly manipulating Lebanon’s state functions is a classic Hezbollah strategy. This Chatham House report studies the outfit’s hybrid tactics, such as the use of state institutions, influence over the military and security forces, regulations, public contracts, financial transactions, control over illicit trade etc. Lina Khatib’s report also focuses on Hezbollah’s ability to deflect responsibilities during crises, and its control over border areas and ports. It tracks recent incidents involving corruption by port authorities vis-à-vis narcotics trade and the chemical explosion at the Port of Beirut that caused many casualties. Take a look at Lina’s report to understand the reasons behind the international scrutiny on Lebanon and Hezbollah’s influence. Will denuclearization of the Korean peninsula ever see the light of day?While the Korean peninsula has tottered on the brink of war on several occasions, it was the DPRK’s withdrawal from the non-proliferation treaty in 2003 which rang alarm bells in national capitals. Following rapid nuclear weapons development by the communist north, military escalations and mistrust has dominated the discourse. A joint US-Russian study by CENESS-Russia and IISS reviews the progress made thus far, giving an overview of Pyeongyang’s current capabilities, and its nuclear program on the whole. It cites confidence-building and reciprocal measures as a sustainable mechanism for future dialogue. To apprise yourself about the nuclear reality of Northeast Asia, take a look through this joint report. Do sub-Saharan Africans trust their governments on post-COVID recovery? As COVID-19 continues to wreak havoc across the world, its effect on African nations is relatively limited. Experts attribute several reasons for this including low infection rates, experience dealing with the Ebola epidemic, the young demography, lack of reporting etc. However, concerns over vaccine hesitancy and economic recovery post-pandemic remain unanswered, and scholars are researching the connection between trust in governments and crisis management. This GIGA report looks at the policy implications of post-COVID measures and how African nations are likely to deal with containment, mitigation, regulatory compliance, and economic revival, among others. Go through the report to gain insights into developments in sub-Saharan Africa. How prepared are international organizations to tackle the challenges of climate change?The risk assessments and strategic planning of international organizations take issues like corruption, terror financing and political instability into consideration for its ERM systems. However, responses to climate and environmental threats often feature as reactionary steps, leaving a lot of ground to be covered in shorter timespans. This Chatham House report by Oli Brown analyzes the preparedness of international organizations in initiating climate risk management measures. It assesses the climate risk approaches of 22 international organizations and offers recommendations about building effective frameworks to mitigate the impact of climate change. Oli’s report is valuable reading to those interested in climate governance and global institutions. Is the strategy for creating an agroecological Europe the best bet for its future?The European Green Deal and other biodiversity initiatives are facing roadblocks. In a bid to build sustainable food security mechanisms in production, consumption, and processing, the EU reformed agricultural policy. The paper explores the impact of overambitious agroecological policies on food imports, land use, domestic farmer issues, on account of global competition. It presents essential findings supporting the goals of the 2030 strategy, aimed, however, for 2050. This IDDRI report will pique the interest of those seeking to glimpse Europe’s transition to a plant-based diet and creation of organic produce supply chains, among other new trends.Is the plan to regulate AI a prelude to the EU’s technology geopolitics and power projection?While the EU might not be a first mover in the global technology race, it wields outsized influence over standards-setting. Its tech regulation goes far beyond its borders, the global implementation of the GDPR being a great example. What role does the EU see itself playing in disrupting power relations in the future? This ECFR report investigates the EU’s past positions on the issue, while suggesting concrete steps it can take towards building alliances and outreach mechanisms with like-minded nations, multilateral institutions, and technology players. Get a deeper understanding by reading the analysis by tech policy experts Ulrike Franke and Jose Ignacio Torreblanca.   You can listen to the episode right away in the audio player embedded above, or right below it you can click “Listen in podcast app” — which will connect you to the show’s feed. Alternatively, you can click the icons below to listen to it on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. Thanks again to Sasanka Kanuparthi for his work on this edition of Policy Pulse. Since Policy Pulse is a new format we’re experimenting, we’d really appreciate any suggestions or feedback, so feel free to reply to this email, leave a comment or message me on my LinkedIn profile.Stay well and stay safe,- LiamFounder of Policy People Subscribe at policypeople.substack.com

Erdogan says US -Turkey problems can be solved after Biden meet. UK study finds vaccines offer high protection from Delta variant. Dangerous heatwave grips US south-west as temperatures hit 120F. You can subscribe to Five Minute News with Anthony Davis on YouTube, with your preferred podcast app, ask your smart speaker, or enable Five Minute News as your Amazon Alexa Flash Briefing skill.  Subscribe, rate and review at www.fiveminute.news  Five Minute News is an Evergreen Podcast, covering politics, inequality, health and climate - delivering independent, unbiased and essential world news, daily. 

US President Joe Biden and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan sat down on Monday for a face-to-face meeting on the sidelines of the NATO summit. In the US, there's a growing push to require public schools to cover the histories of groups left out of history textbooks. Also, G-7 leaders pledged 1 billion vaccine doses to developing countries and agreed to step up action on climate change, but activists say they are unimpressed. And the Copa America soccer tournament kicked off in Brazil this week. A majority of Brazilians think it's dangerous to host the games amid COVID-19 concerns.

In the lead-up to President Biden's meeting next week with Turkey's President Erdogan on the sidelines of the NATO summit, there have been some rumors circulating that there is an agreement or a deal on the table over the Russian S-400 missiles that may help salvage relations between Turkey and the US. Diplomatic sources, however, have denied that there is any agreement in place. Expert Alan Makovsky joins The Greek Current to break down these rumors and offer his analysis on the latest developments.Alan Makovsky is a senior fellow at the Center for American Progress, and has worked on Turkey and the Middle East in several capacities, including as a senior staff member on the Committee on Foreign Affairs in the House of Representatives and at the State Department.Alan Makovsky commented on the rumors over an S-400 deal with the US in this Al-Monitor piece: US, Turkey still far off on deal over Russian S-400 missilesYou can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here: Greece: Unions launch general strike against labor reformsGreek unions strike, seek return to pre-pandemic work rulesCyprus elects its 1st-ever female parliament speakerCyprus parliament elects first madam speaker

US, Turkey, and regional cooperation in support of Libyan peace process by Medyascope

Ed and Lee discuss the recent White House commemoration of the Armenian Genocide and what impact it might have on US/Turkey relations.  They also talk about a couple of recent strange baseball rules and commemorate the passing of astronaut Michael Collins.

In a special GZERO conversation, Ian Bremmer examines the impact of President Biden's recent statement recognizing Armenian genocide at the hands of Ottoman Empire, an atrocity that began 106 years ago during World War I. What are the ramifications for US/Turkey relations going forward and how will Biden's recognition affect Armenia? Ian Bremmer discusses with two prominent Armenian voices: Varuzhan Nersesyan, Armenia's ambassador to the United States and Nina Hachigian, Deputy Mayor for International Affairs in Los Angeles, the metropolitan area with the largest number of Armenians in the US. Subscribe to the GZERO World with Ian Bremmer Podcast on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your preferred podcast platform, to receive new episodes as soon as they're published.

In a special GZERO conversation, Ian Bremmer examines the impact of President Biden's recent statement recognizing Armenian genocide at the hands of Ottoman Empire, an atrocity that began 106 years ago during World War I. What are the ramifications for US/Turkey relations going forward and how will Biden's recognition affect Armenia? Ian Bremmer discusses with two prominent Armenian voices: Varuzhan Nersesyan, Armenia's ambassador to the United States and Nina Hachigian, Deputy Mayor for International Affairs in Los Angeles, the metropolitan area with the largest number of Armenians in the US.

We're back with Meagan, Andrew, and Joe as they chat about agro-industry, migration trends, and the housing markets in Turkey and Washington, DC. Thanks to Joe for his insights into Turkey's culture and lifestyle! --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app

In this exclusive interview, Turkey's Ambassador to Washington DC, Hasan Murat Mercan speaks to TRT World about the main issues surrounding US-Turkey relations including Ankara's purchase of S-400s, the war in Syria, the Eastern Mediterranean dispute and the FETO terror group.

Casey and Nick discuss President Biden labelling Vladimir Putin a "killer". Erdogan was not happy about this but that does that mean for the US-Turkey relationship?

In the latest crackdown on Turkey's pro-Kurdish opposition party, the HDP, Turkish authorities on Wednesday stripped Omer Faruk Gergerlioglu, a prominent HDP legislator and human rights advocate, of his parliamentary seat. Meanwhile, a prosecutor filed a case with Turkey's highest court, seeking the HDP's disbandment. The HDP has come under intensified pressure recently, with the far-right nationalist allies of President Erdogan's party calling for it to be banned. The moves against Gergerlioglu and the HDP come weeks after Erdogan pledged a series of human rights reforms.Merve Tahiroglu, the Turkey Program Coordinator at the Project on Middle East Democracy, joins The Greek Current with a breaking analysis.You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:  Top Turkish prosecutor files case to close pro-Kurdish HDPTurkey expels pro-Kurdish legislator, seeks to disband partyCall me? US-Turkey reset faces long list of hurdlesGreece Declares It's Back in Bond Markets After Near-Record SaleGreece sees high demand for 30-year bond, to ease debt costsCovid: EU unveils 'digital green certificate' to allow citizens to travelEU plans rollout of travel certificate before summer

On Sunday the AP ran a story highlighting the continued silent treatment the Biden administration is giving to Turkey's President Erdogan. This story rounds out what has been a tough week for Turkey in Washington, where it got a lot of pushback from both Congress and the administration. This included a Senate push for the administration to officially recognize the Armenian Genocide, the State Department and the Justice Department saying that Turkey is liable for the attack on protesters in DC in 2017, and Secretary Blinken's testimony in the House on issues related to the Aegean and the East Med. Pushback against Turkey wasn't limited to Washington. Most recently, Egypt also shut down Ankara's narrative of a diplomatic reconciliation between Ankara and Cairo.Endy Zemenides, HALC's Executive Director, joins The Greek Current podcast today to break down the latest news from Washington, DC and the region. We'll also look at his latest op-ed in Kathimerini titled “Revisiting The Social Contract”. Read Endy Zemenides op-ed in Kathimerini here: Revisiting The Social ContractYou can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here: Call me? US-Turkey reset faces long list of hurdlesTurkey operationalizes its top ministers in Egypt ploy - analysisMajor European nations suspend use of AstraZeneca vaccineContinue using AstraZeneca vaccine, says WHOVaccinations with AstraZeneca jab to continue in Greece pending EMA decisionTurkey slams Mediterranean undersea cable dealGreeks fly kites for Clean Monday holiday despite pandemicCyprus pulls back on wider easing of COVID-19 restrictionsGovt meets extension of restrictions with new support measures

Erdogan's positive actions, not words, needed to improve US-Turkey relations by Ahval

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has said he wants to enhance ties with the new US administration based on common interests. The relations between the two countries have been strained, and Erdogan recently criticised the US for its support to the YPG, the Syrian affiliate of the PKK terror group. So what are these common interests and can the two countries overcome their disagreements? Plus, Turkey has unveiled a 10-year space programme that includes a mission to the moon by 2023 and building a Turkish spaceport. So what challenges will the Turkish Space Agency face in achieving the ambitious goals set out in the programme? Guests: Ali Demirdas Political Analyst Michael Doran Senior Fellow at Hudson Institute Serdar Huseyin Yildirim President of Turkish Space Agency

This Week in Turkey (206): with Begüm Dönmez Ersöz on US-Turkey Relations under Biden by Medyascope

US-Turkey tensions flared following the death of 13 Turkish soldiers, police, and civilians who perished during a Turkish offensive against PKK Kurdish militants in Iraqi Kurdistan. Turkish President Erdogan slammed the US State Department's initial condemnation of the deaths before Secretary of State Antony Blinken delivered a swift clarification during his call with Foreign Minister Cavusoglu on Monday. The death toll, and the manner in which the men were killed, has also impacted Turkish domestic politics. Meanwhile, Erdogan vowed to expand cross-border operations against Kurdish militants in northern Iraq. Dr. Aykan Erdemir, the Director of the Turkey Program at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies and a former Turkish lawmaker, joins us to analyze these developments.You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here: Secretary Blinken's Call with Turkish Foreign Minister ÇavuşoğluBlinken walks back State Department ambiguity over Turkish hostages killed in IraqDeaths of Soldiers and Policemen Held by Kurdish Guerrillas Roil Turkish PoliticsKurdish opposition swept up in Turkish arrests after Iraq killingsTurkey vows to expand anti-PKK operations in northern IraqIn Athens, rare snow blankets Acropolis, halts vaccinationsPM urges public to avoid unnecessary outingsCyprus and Israel agree on green passportsPost-Covid tourism hopes buoyed by deal between Greece, Cyprus and Israel

President Biden's pledge to put democracy and human rights at the center of American foreign policy is facing an early test from an increasingly authoritarian Turkey. In a recent op-ed, expert Merve Tahiroglu, makes the case that the Biden administration has an immediate opportunity to make good on this pledge, not only to advance American interests and human rights, but also to protect U.S. citizens from unjust treatment at the hands of autocrats like President Erdogan. Merve Tahiroglu is the Turkey Program Coordinator at POMED, the Project on Middle East Democracy.Read Merve Tahiroglu's op-ed here: Biden can't let Turkey's Erdoğan get away with his threats to Americans any longerYou can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here: Turkey rejects US call to free jailed philanthropist Osman KavalaGreece seeks Gulf allies to counter tension with TurkeyAnkara irked by Athens meeting of Cyprus, Egypt, Gulf officialsTurkey says it will not turn back from Russian S-400sU.S. Urges Turkey to Jettison Russian S-400 Missile System

US president Joe Biden orders sanctions against military generals in Myanmar. Plus: we look at US-Turkey relations in the post-Trump era and the week’s top 5 singles from Ghana.

Journalist Amberin Zaman analyzes Turkey's latest attempts at a diplomatic “reset” with the United States, and discusses what is in store for the US-Turkey relationship as the new Biden administration takes over. We also take a look at Syria, and whether the appointment of Brett McGurk to the National Security Council will cause more friction in US-Turkish relations. Finally, we break down recent reports that point to a rift in the governing coalition in Turkey, and examine if that means early elections may be on the horizon.Amberin Zaman is a roving staff correspondent for Al-Monitor covering the Middle East, with a particular focus on Syria, Iraq, and Turkey. Prior to Al-Monitor, Amberin Zaman served as The Economist's Turkey correspondent between 1999 and 2016.You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here: Turkey's nationalists threaten AKP alliance with calls to ban pro-Kurdish partyTurkey's scapegoating of McGurk rooted in revisionismCan Syria be stitched back together again?Turkey launches charm offensive to ease tensions with EUEU, Turkey cautiously eye improved ties after tough 2020Athens eyes even stronger ties with US

Damien McGuinness talks to Alan Makovsky and Ilke Toygür about what a Biden presidency means for EU-Turkey relations. Will it improve that rocky relationship? And what does the US expect from the EU? Alan Makovsky, senior fellow at the Center for American Progress, Washington D.C., and non-resident fellow at SWP's Centre for Applied Turkey Studies (CATS) until December 2020. His research interests include US-Turkey relations. Dr. Ilke Toygür, analyst at the Elcano Royal Institute, Madrid, and non-resident fellow at SWP's Centre for Applied Turkey Studies (CATS). Her research interests include EU-Turkey relations. Host: Damien McGuinness, Berlin correspondent for the BBC

Andrew Carpenter and Meagan Dashcund sit down with Joe Lombardo to discuss recent news from the US riots at the Capitol, how it compares to the former coup in Turkey, and how this impacts the US-Turkey relationship. Write into the show at podcasts@turkheritage.org! --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app

Al-Monitor Senior Correspondent Amberin Zaman discusses why US-Turkey relations are unlikely to get better; the Kurdish question in Turkey, Iraq, and Syria; why an Israel-Turkey rapprochement is not imminent; and her new role as the other host of ‘on the Middle East….also Andrew’s take on Hamas and Egypt’s vital role in regional peace efforts.

Meagan Dashcund and Andrew Carpenter sit down with Turkish Heritage Organization (THO) co-fellow, Süha Çubukçuoğlu, to chat about Blue Homeland, Turkey's regional goals, and what the possibility of a Biden presidency will bring for the US-Turkey relationship. Check out this discussion with Cold Turkey's second guest to learn more about what the future might hold for Turkey's strategy in the Eastern Mediterranean. --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app

MEI’s Gonul Tol and Robert Pearson join host Alistair Taylor to discuss prospects for US-Turkey relations and regional policy under the Biden presidency.

Following recent report by the Center for American Progress that recommends that a future US administration needs to recalibrate its relations with Turkey, expert Alan Makovsky  offers his thoughts on  what recalibrating US relations with #Turkey could look like. Alan Makovsky discusses what the US needs to do to re-establish leverage over Turkey, and more.Alan Makovsky is a senior fellow for National Security and International Policy at the Center for American Progress, and has worked on Turkey and the Middle East in several capacities, including as a senior staff member on the Committee on Foreign Affairs in the House of Representatives and at the State Department.You can read the articles we discuss on The Daily Roundup here:Center for American Progress Report: Recalibrating U.S. Global RelationshipsPolitics of Aggression: Turkey's Foreign Policy and Its Democratic DemiseMalarkey on Eastern Mediterranean TensionsErdogan confirms Russian S-400 tests despite US objectionsPentagon warns Turkey of ‘serious consequences' after S-400 testingUS wades in cautiously to Armenia-Azerbaijan peace effortFighting Rages Ahead Of Armenia-Azerbaijan Talks In Washington

America is set to vote between Joe Biden and incumbent Donald Trump on November 3 in what Democrats and Republicans alike are calling the most consequential election in generations. Turkey's relations with the Trump administration started off bumpy, but ultimately found some common ground. On the other hand, former vice president Biden has suggested he may take a harder line against Turkey but he's also expected to strengthen the NATO alliance. We delve into what a Trump or Biden victory could signify for relations between Ankara and Washington. Guests: Douglas Ollivant Senior Fellow at New America Foundation Ugur Yasin Asal Assistant Professor at Istanbul Ticaret University

The results of the upcoming US presidential elections, the most divisive in generations, are sure to reverberate across the world. How will the election's outcome impact the Middle East and Turkey in particular? Plus, Bashar al Assad's regime and its ally Russia have targeted civilians in opposition-held Idlib province, which rights groups say, is a crime against humanity. We discuss this as well as the latest on the war in Syrian. Guests: Douglas Ollivant Senior Fellow at New America Foundation Ugur Yasin Asal Assistant Professor at Istanbul Ticaret University Ali Demirdas Political Analyst Fadel Abdul Ghany Chairman of the Syrian Network for Human Rights

Turkey's role in regional and global affairs has generated much debate in recent years. Turkish foreign policy initiatives as well as the country's humanitarian diplomacy in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic continue to shape regional dynamics. Turkey's continued presence in northern Syria, for instance, has provided stability in the aftermath of the US (partial) withdrawal. Turkish support for the UN-backed Libyan government in Tripoli created a balance of power, which created space for the ongoing diplomatic negotiations. Despite recent tensions in Eastern Mediterranean, Turkey has called for a peaceful resolution of outstanding maritime issues. Turkey continues to host close to 4 million refugees and it was one of the first countries to provide humanitarian help to Lebanon in the aftermath of the Beirut explosion. The US-Turkey relationship continues to experience significant difficulties such as the US support for the YPG, extradition of Fethullah Gulen and Turkey's exclusion from the F-35 program. However, as the Trump administration is willing to listen to Turkey's concerns seriously, the US' punitive talk has subsided and President Trump and President Erdogan set a goal to increase bilateral trade to the neighborhood of $100 billion. As the November election draws near, the next administration's policy toward Turkey will be critically important not only for the two countries' relations but the NATO alliance as well as the future of Europe. The SETA Foundation at Washington DC is deeply honored to host a high-level discussion with the Vice President of Turkey on Turkish foreign policy and Turkey's relations with the United States. --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/seta-dc/support

A Biden interview in which he clearly calls Turkey's President Erdogan an “autocrat” resurfaced this weekend, sparking a backlash in Turkey. Dr. Aykan Erdemir, the Director of the Turkey Program at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies and a former Turkish lawmaker, analyzes the reaction to this video and discusses what a Biden presidency would mean for US-Turkey relations. You can read the articles we discuss on The Daily Roundup here:Biden video sparks backlash in TurkeyJoe Biden will be America's most Pro-Kurdish PresidentTurkey is now threatening Joe BidenNicosia, Athens set tone for Turkey responseCyprus says willing to engage on defining maritime zonesEU must step up response to Turkey's ‘aggression'Zoran Zaev to lead North Macedonia's government againNorth Macedonia's pro-Western parties reach coalition deal

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo revealed that the US signed an oil deal with the PKK-linked YPG terror group in northern Syria. Turkey's foreign ministry was quick to condemn the move, saying US support disregarded international law and violated the territorial integrity of Syria. So, what impact could the oil deal have on US-Turkey ties? Guests: Marwan Kabalan Director of Policy Analysis at the Arab Centre for Research and Policy Studies Mehmet Celik Managing Editor of Daily Sabah

In direct response to a maritime deal struck between Egypt and Greece in the eastern Mediterranean, Turkey has begun new seismic activity research​ in the resource-rich area. But could tensions get out of hand? We look at the ongoing power struggle in these troubled waters. Plus, the US signed an oil deal with the PKK-linked YPG terror group in northern Syria. Turkey's foreign ministry was quick to condemn the move, saying US support disregarded international law. So, what impact could the oil deal have on US-Turkey ties? Guests: Suha Cubukcuoglu Member of Advisory Board at Koc University Maritime Forum John Bowlus Editor in Chief at Energy Reporters​ Marwan Kabalan Director of Policy Analysis at the Arab Centre for Research and Policy Studies Mehmet Celik Managing Editor of Daily Sabah

US-Turkey defense relationship has become more complicated in recent years and served as a source of tension at times. The two NATO allies have long-standing security ties and an overall robust defense partnership, as they make up some of the most capable forces within the alliance. In recent years, Turkey has ramped up its defense capabilities against regional threats and proceeded to acquire missile defense systems from Russia, after failed talks with the US and the EU on procurement of such systems, resulting in frictions within NATO. The US Congress has sought to impose sanctions and remove Turkey's participation from the F-35 project as a punishment for the procurement of S-400 systems and Turkey's military operations in northern Syria. The Trump administration sought a middle ground, as Turkey indicated its openness to purchase Patriot systems from the US. Turkey's nationally produced weapons systems have already demonstrated their effectiveness in the region and the country seeks to cooperate with the US based on common interest. Given this set of dynamics at play, what does the future of US-Turkey defense relations look like? Can the two allies overcome the current difficulties and deepen their security alliance? How can they cooperate better on common defense? To explore these questions, The SETA Foundation at Washington DC is pleased to host a high-level discussion on US-Turkey defense partnership. --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/seta-dc/support

US-Turkey relations may be headed in a new direction after recent military gains by the UN-backed government in Libya against warlord Khalifa Haftar. Turkish President Erdogan and his US counterpart spoke on the phone after which Erdogan signaled that a new era could stem from cooperation in the North African country. Although many sticking points remain between the two NATO allies, can Libya prove to be a turning point? Guests: Glen Howard President of the Jamestown Foundation Kadir Ustun Executive Director at SETA DC​

The US and Turkey have disputes on everything from the Syrian war to military hardware. But recent gains by the UN-backed Libyan government against warlord Khalifa Haftar may have opened a window for better relations. Will the situation in Libya be a turning point for the NATO allies? Plus, after Turkey reopened in early June, there's been a spike in COVID-19 cases. Is the country headed for a second wave? Guests: Glen Howard President of the Jamestown Foundation Kadir Ustun Executive Director at SETA DC Serhat Unal Professor at Hacettepe University Mario Ottiglio Global Health Policy Expert

Al-Monitor senior correspondent Amberin Zaman explains the background to the Kurdish question in Syria, US-Turkey relations, and what to expect next in the now nine-year war, as well as observations and advice for young journalists covering conflict and the Middle East.

*)Cases in US cross 1M mark Covid-19 cases in the US crossed the one million mark. More than 56,000 people have died from the virus in the country. Many US states continue to ease restrictions in a bid to reopen their economies despite the spiralling crisis. *)Turkey sends medical aid to US Turkey has sent medical equipment to the United States to help in its efforts to combat Covid-19. A Turkish military cargo plane left for the US carrying 500,000 surgical masks, 40,000 hazmat suits and other gear. Turkey has so far delivered aid to at least 57 countries to help fight the pandemic. *)Hundreds protest in Lebanon over ailing economy Clashes erupted in Lebanon as hundreds protested over a deteriorating economy. The army said several bank branches were set on fire, and a molotov cocktail was tossed at a military vehicle. The Red Cross said it had transported three people to the hospital and treated others at the scene. *)US admits to killing civilians during Somalia air strike The US military has admitted to killing two civilians and injuring three others during an air strike in Somalia last year. According to US Africa Command, the strike was carried out against Al Shabab terror group in Somalia’s Lower Shabelle region. The civilian deaths, AFRICOM said, occurred as a result of US or Al Shabab munitions that exploded during the strike. And finally… *)Michelle Obama's book tour to air on Netflix Michelle Obama’s tour to promote her best-selling 2018 memoir “Becoming”, has been turned into a documentary film for Netflix. It's a behind-the-scenes look at the former first lady’s 34-city tour and will be released on May 6. Former US president Barack Obama and Michelle signed a multimillion-dollar deal in 2018 to produce content for Netflix.

This week, we sit down with Tanner Burns. Tanner is currently just a few gobblers away from completing the US Slam. Listen in as he talks turkey hunting strategies.  Tanner Burns:  IG: @full_draw_taxidermy_ Feel free to connect with us: Instagram Facebook Website

Joining Audrey for this week's REELTalk - Is Islamic anti-Semitism baked into the foundation of Islam and proven by its very own texts or was it added later by non-Muslims as some purport? We’ll find out with author of the new bestseller The Legacy of Islamic Anti-Semitism: From Sacred Texts to Solemn History, Dr. ANDREW BOSTOM! Plus, husband and wife authors, DAPHNE BARAK author of To Plea Or Not To Plea & ERBIL GUNASTI author of GAME CHANGER: TRUMP CARD will be back with us to discuss US-Turkey relations, Roger Stone and the upcoming election! AND, America’s conservative headshot photographer, BARRY MORGENSTEIN, will be back with us and we're talking about the Left, their hypocrisy and the election!  In the words of Benjamin Franklin, "If we do not hang together, we shall surely hang separately." Come hang with us...

Laura Kelly is a journalist covering foreign policy & cybersecurity for The Hill, and has spent extensive time reporting on the US-Turkey relationship.Andreas Akaras is counsel at Bregman, Berbert, Schwartz & Gilday, and one of the lawyers fighting for justice for the victims of the Sheridan Circle assault in 2017. Andreas is the founder of the Saint Andrew's Freedom Forum, and is also a former advisor for Congressman John Sarbanes.Jonathan Schanzer is the senior vice president for research at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, and a former US Treasury terror finance analyst.You can read Laura Kelly's article on the civil suit against Turkey over the assault on protesters in Washington DC's Sheridan Circle here:  DC Court: Turkey must face charges in Sheridan Circle assault on Kurdish protesters 

Early in December of 2019, Turkey signed a series of agreements with the Government of National Accord in Libya regarding maritime delimitations in the Mediterranean, mutual security assistance, and military relations. The agreement generated much discussion in the international media as it would have implications for Turkey's exclusive economic zones. The U.S. Congress recently passed legislation to boost funding for energy development in Cyprus and Greece, as well as increasing security assistance. As Turkey asserts its rights in the Mediterranean, the US-Turkey relationship will likely be impacted by the potential disputes in the Mediterranean. SETADC is pleased to host an event to discuss Turkey's Mediterranean policy with Cagri Erhan of Altınbas University and Burhanettin Duran of SETA Foundation. This panel is moderated by Kilic B. Kanat. --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/seta-dc/support

US, Turkey agree on ceasefire in NE Syria but SDF, Assad & Russians aren't part; plus CBN's Chuck Holton & George Thomas report from front lines on human cost, humanitarian efforts; and thousands of Christians celebrate biblical Sukkot in ... ...

Congressman Jamie Raskin and former National Security Council Official Sam Vinograd join Michael Isikoff and Daniel Klaidman on "Skullduggery." With the unbelievable press conference held by White House Chief of Staff Mick Mulvaney, the group reacts to the now admitted "Quid Pro Quo" in regard to Ukraine. Raskin then fills us in on the current state of witnesses testifying behind closed doors in regards to the impeachment inquiry. And then Vinograd breaks down the US - Turkey deal surrounding Syria. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

On the 30th anniversary of the Loma Prieta earthquake, California launches a statewide earthquake warning app and we participate in the Great California ShakeOut // Vice President Mike Pence and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announce a five day US-Turkey ceasefire in Syria // California prison agency spent $12,000 on retiring manager’s farewell party // A Skeleton has been unearthed beneath one of California's highest peaks // Tech Talk with Marc Saltzman // Strange Science!

In northern Syria, Kurds have secured their own little autonomous nation since taking control of the land during the ongoing civil war, where they’ve served as consistent US allies in the fight against ISIS. But their northern neighbor Turkey is dead-set against any sort of Kurdish state and have threatened to invade to eliminate the threat. The US doesn’t want to lose the Kurdish alliance, so they’ve brokered a deal for a “peace corridor” on the Turkey-Syria border. But what are the details? And will it work? Phil and Cooper discuss this and more. Extra Reading: Turkey, US agree to coordinate on Syrian buffer zone (Ayla Jean Yackley) What does US-Turkey military deal really entail? (Cengiz Candar) Deciphering the cryptic safe-zone deal between Turkey, US (Metin Gurcan) Syrian Kurdish commander sets conditions for safe zone talks with Turkey (Amberin Zaman) Turkey, Syrian Kurds remain at odds in safe zone visions (Fehim Tastekin) Pentagon sends team to scout Syria safe zone (Jack Detsch) Turks skeptical over accord with US for Syrian 'safe zone' (Semih Idiz) Extra Listening: Episode #39, The Road to Rojava (2/1/2018): Metin Gurcan joins the podcast to talk about Turkey’s invasion of Afrin. Episode #67, Deep Cuts (8/30/2018): Tensions rise in the Idlib province of Syria due to Turkey’s plan to invade. Music: Nassif Zeytoun - “Takke” (Spotify | Apple Music)

In this episode, Paolo von Schirach hosts Mark Meirowitz, Associate Professor at SUNY Maritime College and Global Policy Institute Fellow. The discussion focuses on problems related to Turkish weapons purchases, differences over Gulen, the future of Syria, security and energy issues in the Eastern Mediterranean.

Zack, Jenn, and Alex break down the tension between the US and one of its major NATO allies, Turkey. The most recent fight is over Turkey’s purchase of a Russian missile system, but that’s emblematic of a much deeper rift relating to the Turkish government’s drift towards authoritarianism and the two ally’s diametrically opposed policies in Syria. They also then venture some guesses about whether this could get better — but since this is Worldly, you probably know where our hosts are going to come down on that. Links! Alex explains the background on the S-400 missile situation. Turkey’s bid to join NATO was approved in 1951 (though it was technically effective in 1952). Here’s a diplomatic cable from 1964 on how the Johnson administration’s handling of Cyprus shaped the US-Turkey relationship (wasn’t good!) Alex’s piece also has a good short explanation on Gulf War tensions between the US and Turkey. Here’s a Zack piece on the complicated US-Turkey-Kurdish tensions in Syria. And another Zack piece on Turkey’s conflict with Kurdish separatists inside its borders. Pastor Andrew Brunson, explained. And here’s some solid background on how Turkey and Russia are growing closer. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Zack, Jenn, and Alex talk about a scary rise in tensions between the US and Iran in the past week — a (possibly inflated) Iranian plot against American troops in the Middle East, and an Iranian announcement of plans to stop abiding by the terms of the nuclear deal. National Security Adviser John Bolton, who has long supported going to war with Iran, appears to be intentionally escalating the situation — and it’s not clear how much of an off-ramp there is. On Elsewhere, they discuss dictatorial Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s move to overturn the results of an election he doesn’t like, and what it says about the new model of authoritarianism in places like Turkey and Hungary. References! You can read Bolton’s entire Iran statement here. Alex has an explainer on the standoff. The Daily Beast reports that the Trump administration inflated Iran intelligence.  Iran declared that it wouldn’t abide by certain parts of the nuclear deal. Zack has you covered on Trump’s withdrawal from the Iran deal and what it means. Alex has a long feature on worsening US-Turkey ties that details many of Erdogan’s authoritarian actions. Here’s the Amnesty International statement on how Turkey jails tons of journalists. CNN has a good piece on the Istanbul mayoral elections and why the results were such a big deal. It’s worth watching two videos of protesters in Istanbul banging pots and pans. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

US Commerce Sec says US can’t ensure cheaper oil to Indiahttps://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-india-trade-oil/us-commerce-secretary-government-cannot-ensure-cheaper-us-oil-sales-to-india-idUSKCN1SC0PPIndia is being pushed by the U.S. to cut imports from Iran and Venezuela, and India is looking for a deal. Wilber Ross said that the United States can’t arrange any special conditions for India. But could they? Perhaps offer incentives to companies to export to India?US sends aircraft carrier to Middle Easthttps://www.bbc.com/news/amp/world-us-canada-48173357What’s going on the Middle East? Tensions escalating? Sending air craft carriers to the region to counter a “credible threat.”Egypt warns Turkey not to drill in eastern Medhttps://ahvalnews-com.cdn.ampproject.org/c/s/ahvalnews.com/east-mediterranean/egypt-warns-turkey-against-drilling-e-mediterranean?Egypt and Cyprus have an agreement for natural gas drilling but Turkey says it doesn’t recognize this and wants to drill for natural gas in areas that it says belong to the Turkish Republic of CypusBelarus doesn’t know when Russia will be able to supply clean oil https://uk.reuters.com/article/russia-oil-exports/belarus-does-not-know-when-clean-russian-oil-flows-to-europe-will-resume-source-idUKL5N22I29TMore on Russian oil contamination https://www.forbes.com/sites/ellenrwald/2019/05/05/russia-contaminates-its-oil-and-is-finally-forced-to-cut-production/#4048ffc069e3There a lot more to this contaminated oil situation then just getting clean oil to flow - where to put all the contaminated oil that’s still coming through before the clean oil can come through.Oil prices slump after Trump's tariff threat against Chinahttps://www.reuters.com/article/us-global-oil/oil-prices-slump-after-trumps-tariff-threat-against-china-idUSKCN1SC00P- will anyone run on Trump’s failure to get a deal done with China, especially if he keeps raising tariffs before the 2020 election?Buffett says Occidental Petroleum investment is a bet on oil prices over the long termhttps://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/06/buffett-says-occidental-petroleum-investment-is-a-bet-on-oil-prices-over-the-long-term.html“It’s also a bet on the fact that the Permian Basin is what it is cracked up to be,” - Warren BuffetBuffet looking at oil demand long-term and sees it going up and to the right.Occidental has agreed to sell of Anadarko’s African assets to Total$10 billion backing from Buffet$8 billion from TotalAnadarko’s assets are perfectly positioned for both Occidental and Chevron. Other companies might not be to well positioned. https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/investing-in-saudi-arabia-risks-with-investing-2019-4-1028166314

US Commerce Sec says US can’t ensure cheaper oil to Indiahttps://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-india-trade-oil/us-commerce-secretary-government-cannot-ensure-cheaper-us-oil-sales-to-india-idUSKCN1SC0PPIndia is being pushed by the U.S. to cut imports from Iran and Venezuela, and India is looking for a deal. Wilber Ross said that the United States can’t arrange any special conditions for India. But could they? Perhaps offer incentives to companies to export to India?US sends aircraft carrier to Middle Easthttps://www.bbc.com/news/amp/world-us-canada-48173357What’s going on the Middle East? Tensions escalating? Sending air craft carriers to the region to counter a “credible threat.”Egypt warns Turkey not to drill in eastern Medhttps://ahvalnews-com.cdn.ampproject.org/c/s/ahvalnews.com/east-mediterranean/egypt-warns-turkey-against-drilling-e-mediterranean?Egypt and Cyprus have an agreement for natural gas drilling but Turkey says it doesn’t recognize this and wants to drill for natural gas in areas that it says belong to the Turkish Republic of CypusBelarus doesn’t know when Russia will be able to supply clean oil https://uk.reuters.com/article/russia-oil-exports/belarus-does-not-know-when-clean-russian-oil-flows-to-europe-will-resume-source-idUKL5N22I29TMore on Russian oil contamination https://www.forbes.com/sites/ellenrwald/2019/05/05/russia-contaminates-its-oil-and-is-finally-forced-to-cut-production/#4048ffc069e3There a lot more to this contaminated oil situation then just getting clean oil to flow - where to put all the contaminated oil that’s still coming through before the clean oil can come through.Oil prices slump after Trump's tariff threat against Chinahttps://www.reuters.com/article/us-global-oil/oil-prices-slump-after-trumps-tariff-threat-against-china-idUSKCN1SC00P- will anyone run on Trump’s failure to get a deal done with China, especially if he keeps raising tariffs before the 2020 election?Buffett says Occidental Petroleum investment is a bet on oil prices over the long termhttps://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/06/buffett-says-occidental-petroleum-investment-is-a-bet-on-oil-prices-over-the-long-term.html“It’s also a bet on the fact that the Permian Basin is what it is cracked up to be,” - Warren BuffetBuffet looking at oil demand long-term and sees it going up and to the right.Occidental has agreed to sell of Anadarko’s African assets to Total$10 billion backing from Buffet$8 billion from TotalAnadarko’s assets are perfectly positioned for both Occidental and Chevron. Other companies might not be to well positioned. https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/investing-in-saudi-arabia-risks-with-investing-2019-4-1028166314

We look at the turbulence in US-Turkey relations as the Pentagon suspends delivery of F-35 fighter jets following Turkey's intent to install a Russian missile defence system. Plus, the US cuts aid to Central American countries, as migrants continue to flee violence and poverty. But will Trump's decision stop them? And the Kingdom of Brunei introduces a harsh new law that imposes death by stoning for gay sex and adultery. Could an international backlash change the Sultan's mind? #USTurkey #F35 #S400 #CentralAmerica #Brunei

India Rising: Strategic Affairs Conversations with Mohal and Kishor @mohaljoshi @veggiediplomat Turkey's currency Lira collapsed to all time lows recently triggering a wide spread collapse of currencies of emerging markets from around the world including the Indian Rupee. This episode looks at the strained US-Turkey relations causing the Turkish economic meltdown in addition to understanding the Indian Rupee's slide compared to the US Dollar. Cover tune: Hand In Hand by Nicolai Heidlas | https://www.nicolai-heidlas.com Music promoted by https://www.free-stock-music.com Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

#FreshFootballTakes is back! Speedround is becoming a staple of the show! While recording, we had a surprise call from a Steelers fan to talk about them, as well as football in general. There has been a shakeup in the top 5. Keegan and I also discuss our dark horses to make a Super Bowl run! We conclude the episode with the week 12 picks. Follow on Twitter @FreshFootball SEASON LONG RECORD: 100-61-2

We've got one exceptionally LONG episodes of headlines for you.  Danny and I discuss a bunch of new developments in Syria, Google's choice to not renew their contract to Project Maven, and discussion about Reality Winner and the Intercept.  Enjoy!!! 15:51 - The US / Turkey reach agreement over Syrian town 26:52 - New interim VA director Peter O’Rourke - updates on VA Mission Act 35:37 - The US is pushing NATO to get more troops / weapons ready in order to deter Russia 43:41 - US bombing in Raqqa, Syria may have violated international law 52:32 - Partisan battle for tactical nuclear weapons begins in the Senate 1:01:56 - Google chooses not to renew contract for Project Maven 1:05:36 - No more foreign bases 1:12:56 - Reality Winner and the Intercept   Association of Veterans Affairs Psychological Leaders - Breakdown of VA Mission Act U.S. AIRSTRIKES VIOLATED INTERNATIONAL LAW IN “WAR OF ANNIHILATION” IN RAQQA, SYRIA, SAYS AMNESTY INTERNATIONAL - Murtaza Hussain - The Intercept SYRIA: “WAR OF ANNIHILATION”: DEVASTATING TOLL ON CIVILIANS, RAQQA – SYRIA - Amnesty International THE U.S. SHOULD NOT BUILD MORE FOREIGN BASES - Akhilesh (Akhi) Pillalamarri - Defense Priorities GOOGLE WON’T RENEW ITS DRONE AI CONTRACT, BUT IT MAY STILL SIGN FUTURE MILITARY AI CONTRACTS - Lee Fang - The Intercept US senators grapple with new sub-launched nuke - Joe Gould - Marine Corps Times U.S. pushes NATO to ready more forces to deter Russian threat - Robin Emmott and Idrees Ali - Reuters Enjoy the show?!  Please leave us a review right here. Got news to share about our military or veterans?! Or just need to cuss at us for a bit?! Contact us direct by email at fortressonahill@gmail.com Leave us a voicemail at 860-598-0570.  We might even play it on the podcast!!! Not a contributor on Patreon? You're missing out on amazing bonus content! Sign up to be one of our contributors today! - www.patreon.com/fortressonahill A special thanks to our honorary producers Matthew Hoh and Will Ahrens!!  Without you guys, we couldn't continue our work.  Thank you both so much!!! Facebook - Fortress On A Hill Twitter - Fortress On A Hill Soundcloud - Fortress On A Hill FOH is hosted, written, and produced by Chris 'Henri' Henrikson and Danny Sjursen Cover and website art designed by Brian K. Wyatt Jr. of B-EZ Graphix Multimedia Marketing Agency in Tallehassee, FL Music provided royalty free by Bensound.com Note: The views expressed in this podcast are those of the hosts alone, expressed in an unofficial capacity, and do not reflect the official policy or position of the Department of the Army, Department of Defense, or the U.S. government.

Mark Leonard, Asli Aydintasbas, Kadri Liik and Jeremy Shapiro, discuss Turkey's offensive near the Syria-Turkey boarder, the future of US-Turkey relations and Russia's role in the region. Bookshelf: Johan by Oli Bagel Slow Burn by Slate Paris 1919: Six months that changed the world by Margaret MacMillan 95 theses about technology by John Naughton Picture credit: Return to Homs by Chaoyue 超越 PAN 潘 licensed under CC BY-NC-DC-ND-2.0 Flickr: https://www.flickr.com/photos/pan_chaoyue/16969008478/in/photolist-rRuB2G-mC66kN-oDqfyx-pjTZMi-mC4sxx-mC4uCp-ot4zdL-mC4v2F-mC4vPx-mC4sRD-mC52bg-htm4Jr-fDaaGA-8z473w-86twBc-oZs62R-dWGdNT-p6vQv5-dQotuS-cW27gw-i2oPsA-T9L3Ph-eUqTyu-ph4U7e-mC66HG-i7TpEN-8yZYYt-Ugfw9Q-i2pYv3-UAVyhQ-i32tWW-dkY5Jf-o2AzJt-evqVXG-fjfAYG-o2inNV-skBinf-esBH71-5wTUUZ-i2odwn-i2oURk-9iGGcb-i2ph1f-9gb79Z-d2nAQ1-fFG193-oqPAnP-dKaC67-i2oriV-e38ZTn

Join the Crew in this amazing episode where the Crew discusses the 2017 highest earning Celebs, Big Dawgs Ubran Dictionary Word of the Day and and of course we have A little Spilled Juice for you guys!! So sit back put ur headphones on take a ride with the Not Ur Average Podcast Crew!!!!

US-Turkey relations are at an all-time low, and now it’s going to be harder for Americans to get visas to travel to Istanbul. Phil and Cooper explain the backstory of the scuffle between the two countries, and what’s happened since. Also, Saudi Arabian royalty visited Russia last week – what’s the significance of their first-ever visit from a Saudi king, and what might Russia be thinking? Also, Julian won an award, yeah Julian! 05:34 - Erdogan targets US envoy over escalating visa row (Amberin Zaman) 05:34 - Turkey, US keep finding ways to vex each other (Pinar Tremblay) 10:00 - Why are Turks disposing of $1 bills? (Tulay Cetingulec) 16:28 - Russians, Saudis look to spruce up relations (Max Suchkov) 16:28 - King Salman goes to Russia (Bruce Riedel) 16:28 - US missile defense sale to Saudis seen as effort to thwart Russia (Jack Detsch) Music: Elif Kaya - Tövbe Tövbe (iTunes | Spotify | YouTube)

The announcement by the US that it was suspending visa services, was met with a swift response from Turkey which matched the measures almost word-for-word. It came after Turkey's arrest of a US consulate worker, who the ambassador says was just doing his job, but who Turkey claims is being investigated for links to terrorism. This dispute represents a new low in an alliance that's been under increasing strain for the past year. The Turkish prime minister says the crisis needs to be resolved immediately. But how?

We're not even six months in and this is definitively stranger than fiction.Donald Trump fire FBI Director James Comey for how he handled Hillary Clinton's email investigation. The irony is breathtaking.Trump also approved a plan to arm Syrian Kurds to fight the Islamic State.Bethune-Cookman University (which I attended) is threatening to withhold the degrees of students who protest Betsy DeVos' commencement speech. The NAACP is now calling for the resignation of the university President.All of this plus more.

Gretta Irwin joins Mike and Delaney to talk turkey; but first an update on today's news and closing market prices.

Turkey is in crisis. A number of terrorist attacks in recent weeks has rattled Turkish society, there is a persistent and ongoing crackdown on civil society, and President Erdogan is engineering constitutional changes to further consolidate power.  On the line with me to discuss recent events in Turkey and offer some deeper context into the political situation and the future of US-Turkey relations is Elmira Bayrasli. She is an author and the co-founder of Foreign Policy Interrupted which seeks to amplify the voices of women in foreign policy debates and she was also my guest in episode 81.  I learned a great deal from this conversation and suspect you will as well.   Before we begin an announcement: On Thursday January 19th at 7pm I will be hosting a live taping of the podcast at the University of Chicago with former UN ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad. If you are in Chicago and want to attend in person please send me an email via the contact page on GlobalDIspatchesPodcast.com. This is a ticketed event and the organizers have reserved tickets for my most loyal listeners so if you are interested, send me an email and I'll send you the registration info. 

Join Dr. Carlos and Dr. Amirkizi as they discuss the situation in Turkey with Foreign Policy Expert Aaron Stein from the Atlantic Council and Iraq & Syria with Former CIA operative Bob Daugherty and VP of Adriden Global.Aaron Stein is a resident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council's Rafik Hariri Center for the Middle East. His research interests include US-Turkey relations, Turkish foreign policy, the Syrian conflict, nonproliferation, and the Iranian nuclear program. Dr. Stein was previously a doctoral fellow at the Geneva Center for Security Policy, an associate fellow for the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI), and a researcher with the Center for Economics and Foreign Policy Studies (EDAM). He also worked as a consultant for the International Crisis Group in Istanbul and has published articles and reports on Turkey's nuclear capabilities and Turkish elections.26 year former CIA operative Bob Dougherty is currently Executive Vice-President of Adriden Global Incorporated, a Los Angeles-based Intelligence, Security and Investigations company that provides Intelligence based Risk Mitigation consulting service