Solution concept of a non-cooperative game involving two or more players for given conditions
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Big DREAM School - The Art, Science, and Soul of Rocking OUR World Doing Simple Things Each Day
In this episode, we dive deep into the world of Bitcoin and its potential to revolutionize our financial systems and conservation efforts. Our guest, Bryan Solstin, an author and aerospace engineer, shares his journey from working in aerospace to becoming a passionate advocate for Bitcoin. He discusses his books "Zenimal" and "Bitcoin and Nash Equilibrium" and how his interest in cryptography and minimalism led him to Bitcoin in 2017.Bryan explains the challenges of conservation in a fiat system and why Bitcoin offers a more sustainable solution. He draws parallels between Bitcoin and Zen principles, emphasizing the importance of quality and efficiency over artificial growth. We explore the concept of the Nash equilibrium and its relevance to Bitcoin, highlighting how a stable measurement of value can lead to better economic outcomes.The conversation also touches on the potential pitfalls of tokenizing nature and the importance of maintaining a decentralized system. Brian shares his concerns about the centralization of power and wealth in a fiat system and the role of Bitcoin in creating a more equitable financial landscape.We discuss the implications of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) and the importance of privacy in financial transactions. Bryan emphasizes the need for a return to a commodity-based monetary system to escape hyperconsumption and build generational wealth.Throughout the episode, we explore the philosophical and practical aspects of Bitcoin as a tool for peace, conservation, and fairness. Bryan's insights provide a compelling case for why Bitcoin is the apex environmental solution and how it can lead to a more sustainable and equitable future.https://x.com/BryanBSolstinhttps://www.solstin.com/about
The COP29 summit takes place this week and the main goal is to create a so-called New Collective Quantified Goal (NCQG) for financing the initiatives to address climate change. This episode is supported by the NWU Business School.
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In this episode, Nick and Chris discuss their hiatus and receive feedback on their Match Day episode. They then introduce John von Neumann, a mathematician, physicist, computer scientist, and polymath who made significant contributions to game theory. We discuss his biography, academic career, and collaborations with other intellectual giants. They highlight his work on the Manhattan Project and his obsession with game theory. The episode concludes with a humorous anecdote about von Neumann's clap back to his wife. This conversation explores the perspectives and contributions of John von Neumann, a mathematician and physicist known for his work in game theory and nuclear deterrence. Von Neumann's view of chess as a well-defined form of computation is discussed, highlighting the distinction between strategy and tactics. We also delves into the mechanical properties of the universe and the role of bluffing and deception in chess and real life. Von Neumann's life's work in game theory, including the mini max theory and the cake distribution problem, is explored. Additionally, his involvement in missile development and his impact on national defense strategy are examined. The conversation concludes by addressing some unsavory aspects of von Neumann's life. Takeaways John von Neumann was a brilliant mathematician, physicist, and computer scientist who made significant contributions to game theory. He collaborated with other intellectual giants, such as Einstein and Bohr, and played a key role in the Manhattan Project. Von Neumann's work on game theory revolutionized the field and has applications in economics, decision-making, and military strategy. His obsession with game theory led him to develop groundbreaking concepts and models. Despite his brilliance, von Neumann had a humorous side, as seen in his clap back to his wife. Chess can be seen as a well-defined form of computation, while real life involves bluffing and deception. Game theory provides a framework for decision-making and optimizing strategies in various situations. Von Neumann's work in game theory and nuclear deterrence had a significant impact on national defense strategies. The distinction between strategy and tactics is crucial in understanding complex systems and decision-making. Von Neumann's contributions to mathematics and physics continue to shape our understanding of the world. Chapters 00:00 Introduction and Welcome Back 01:04 Discussion on Medical Match Day 05:49 Feedback on Match Day Episode 07:11 Introduction to John von Neumann 09:17 Biographical Information on John von Neumann 11:31 Contributions of John von Neumann 20:27 Collaboration with Other Intellectual Giants 24:29 Casual Conversations with Einstein and Bohr 25:22 Obsession with Game Theory 26:15 Von Neumann's Clap Back 26:51 Von Neumann's Perspective on Chess and Games 27:43 The Intellectual Period and the Predictability of the Universe 29:06 Mechanical Properties of the Universe 30:03 Chess as a Well-Defined Form of Computation 31:28 Bluffing and Deception in Chess and Real Life 33:09 The Role of Game Theory in Decision-Making 34:35 Von Neumann's Life's Work: Mini Max Theory 37:07 The Cake Distribution Problem 41:57 Von Neumann's Work on Nuclear Deterrence 46:01 Von Neumann's Role in Missile Development 51:45 Von Neumann's Distinction Between Strategy and Tactics 57:23 Unsavory Aspects of Von Neumann's Life Links: John von Neumann Wiki: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_von_Neumann Minimax Theorem: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minimax_theorem#cite_note-1 Theory of Games and Economic Behavior: https://press.princeton.edu/books/paperback/9780691130613/theory-of-games-and-economic-behavior Klara Dan von Neumann: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kl%C3%A1ra_D%C3%A1n_von_Neumann#:~:text=Kl%C3%A1ra%20D%C3%A1n%20von%20Neumann%20(born,style%20code%20on%20a%20computer. Reddit Thread on JVN's Contribution to the Nash Equilibrium https://www.reddit.com/r/math/comments/kkvz9e/how_exactly_did_nashs_paper_on_game_theory_differ/?rdt=62998&onetap_auto=true --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/gametheory/message
Welcome to a special episode of the "Behavioral Economics in Marketing Podcast," where we delve into the intriguing dynamics of iterative moves, Nash equilibrium, and breaking stalemates in high-stakes scenarios. Join us as we explore the intersection of game theory, psychology, and decision-making in various aspects of business and interpersonal relationships. From navigating salary negotiations to leading teams through complex challenges, and even navigating the complexities of dating dynamics, we'll uncover how understanding Nash equilibrium and iterative strategies can provide valuable insights into breaking deadlocks and achieving favorable outcomes. Get ready to embark on a journey of strategic thinking and behavioral insights as we unravel the complexities of high-stakes Nash equilibriums in both professional and personal contexts. Behavioral Economics in Marketing Podcast | Understanding how we as humans make decisions is an important part of marketing. Behavioral economics is the study of decision-making and can give keen insight into buyer behavior and help to shape your marketing mix. Marketers can tap into Behavioral Economics to create environments that nudge people towards their products and services, to conduct better market research and analyze their marketing mix. Sandra Thomas-Comenole | Host | Marketing professional with over 15 years of experience leading marketing and sales teams and a rigorously quantitative Master's degree in economics from Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute. Check out her Linkedin profile here: Sandra Thomas-Comenole, Head of Marketing, Travel & Tourism
Oleg Ostroumov, a former college dropout turned poker prodigy, revolutionized the game with his pioneering program that calculates the Nash Equilibrium for No-Limit Hold'em. Born with a natural affinity for mathematics and fueled by a passion for poker, Ostroumov's journey from obscurity to prominence is a testament to his unwavering dedication and exceptional talent.In 2013, Ostroumov's groundbreaking program, utilizing advanced algorithms, transformed the landscape of poker strategy. His solver, coveted by top players like Trueteller and Alex Millar's consortium, provided unparalleled insights into optimal gameplay, earning him widespread acclaim and financial success.Beyond his contributions to poker, Ostroumov's entrepreneurial spirit and intellectual curiosity drive him to explore new frontiers in artificial intelligence, positioning him as a leading figure in both the poker software industry and the field of AI research.Here is what you can expect on this week's episode:0:00 Introduction1:00 Working With the Big Names in Poker4:50 The Beauty of Nash Equilibrium7:58 Best Response - Predicting Your Opponent's Strategy10:33 Early to the Game with Solvers14:09 A Bet to Disprove Nash Equilibrium and Other Failures18:51 Making the Case for Solvers23:11 Ancient Wisdom - Jungle's Solver Realization30:42 Who is Better at Poker - Man or Machine?39:35 All the Possible Solvers45:14 Dividing the Shares - The Worth of a Solver50:27 The Untold Effects of Making Money54:59 Finding Meaning in the Work You're Doing1:01:06 Groundbreaking CFR WorkFollow Oleg Ostroumov:X (formerly Twitter): @OlegOstroumovFollow "Jungleman" Dan Cates on social: Instagram: @wtgolpodcast @thedancates Twitter: @junglemandan Join Poker Academy today using this link: https://www.preflop.academy/?via=dan Poker strategy tips Poker tournament highlights Poker player profiles Poker player rankings Poker coaching Poker mental game
Nash Equilibrium is a fundamental concept in game theory that captures a situation in which each participant's strategy is optimal given the strategies chosen by others. Coined after mathematician John Nash, this equilibrium represents a state where no player has an incentive to unilaterally change their strategy, as doing so would not result in a better outcome for them. Essentially, it's a scenario where everyone's choices are interdependent, and no individual can improve their position by deviating from their current strategy, creating a stable and balanced situation in strategic decision-making.
In this episode, the hosts discuss various Christmas topics, including the mathematics of Christmas and the existence of Santa Claus. They also talk about their upcoming episodes and milestones. The conversation delves into the philosophical and mathematical proof of Santa Claus, drawing parallels to Descartes' philosophical arguments. The hosts explore undecidable statements in mathematics and the paradoxes they present. Finally, they discuss the game theory of gift giving and the concept of reciprocity. The conversation explores the commercialization of Christmas and the impact it has on gift-giving. It delves into the concept of Nash equilibrium and how it relates to gift-giving strategies. The discussion also touches on the burden of unwanted gifts and the dilemma of giving books as presents. Additionally, the popularity and influence of the Narnia series are discussed. The conversation concludes with a recommendation to choose fun and affordable gifts. Takeaways The mathematical proof of Santa Claus is based on philosophical arguments similar to Descartes' reasoning. Undecidable statements in mathematics demonstrate that there are some things that cannot be proven true or false. Gift giving involves more than just economic exchange; the joy and sentiment behind the gift are important factors. The game theory of gift giving considers factors such as reciprocity and the value of the gift. The hosts discuss upcoming episodes and milestones, including their 100th episode. The commercialization of Christmas has led to a focus on materialistic gift-giving. Nash equilibrium suggests that the goal of gift-giving is to receive the most, leading some to adopt a Scrooge-like approach. Competitive gift-giving can create an upward spiral of reciprocity, resulting in extravagant and sometimes burdensome presents. Strategies for successful gift-giving include focusing on volume over money and choosing gifts that align with the recipient's interests. Unwanted gifts can be a burden and may end up unused or discarded. Giving books as gifts can be challenging, especially when the recipient already has multiple copies. The Narnia series by CS Lewis has gained popularity among various demographics and is considered a classic in fantasy literature. Choosing fun and affordable gifts from stores like Hot Topic and FYE can make gift-giving enjoyable and budget-friendly. Chapters 00:00 Introduction and Change in Schedule 01:25 Christmas Topics and the Existence of Santa Claus 04:03 Upcoming Episodes and Milestones 08:46 Descartes and the Mathematical Proof of Santa Claus 15:21 Undecidable Statements in Mathematics 19:37 The Game Theory of Gift Giving 33:20 The Commercialization of Christmas 35:59 Nash Equilibrium and Gift Giving 36:27 Reciprocity and Competitive Gift Giving 39:44 Strategies for Gift Giving 41:26 The Burden of Unwanted Gifts 43:12 The Dilemma of Book Gifts 46:11 The Popularity and Influence of Narnia 47:36 Choosing Fun and Affordable Gifts They also discuss the importance of a customized Christmas tree. Personalize your Christmas tree with homemade ornaments and unique decorations. Consider the size and shape of your tree when choosing baubles. Use an online calculator to determine the number of baubles and lights needed. Embrace the whimsical and fun aspects of tree decoration. --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/gametheory/message
Three perfect storms in recent years – the health storm produced by the COVID-19 pandemic; the economic storm that resulted from its disruptions; and the social storm that followed the murder of George Floyd which sparked fresh outrage at longstanding inequities – have sharpened and added important nuances of what health care really means. The goal of health care has always been to reduce suffering, but we must now prioritize transformation in leadership now more than ever. Building trust, eliminating inequities, and ensuring high reliability are of the highest magnitude of importance as we blaze a new path forward. This week, on the Race to Value, we are joined by Thomas H. Lee, M.D., the author of the new book “Healthcare's Path Forward” to discuss how the healthcare industry is being transformed by deeper knowledge of what suffering means for patients, their families, and healthcare providers themselves. Since healthcare is not working for anyone, Dr. Lee provides wisdom and insights of optimism for where true change can happen in creating new standards for excellence. In addition to being a bestselling author and expert on healthcare transformation, Dr. Lee is the Chief Medical Officer of Press Ganey. He brings more than three decades of experience in healthcare performance improvement as a practicing physician, leader in provider organizations, researcher, and health policy expert. He's responsible for developing clinical and operational strategies to help providers across the nation measure and improve the patient experience, with an overarching goal of reducing the suffering of patients as they undergo care and improve the value of their care. Episode Bookmarks: 01:30 Introduction to Thomas H. Lee. M.D. and his new book “Healthcare's Path Forward” 03:00 Support Race to Value by subscribing to our weekly newsletter and leaving a review/rating on Apple Podcasts. 04:00 The six elements of organizational culture that lead to transformation – Excellence, Trust, Respect, Inclusion, Resilience, Reliability 05:00 John Nash (“A Beautiful Mind”) and Non-Cooperative Game Theory 06:00 Optimism for healthcare because how bad things really are! 07:00 Nash Equilibrium states are commonplace in healthcare – it creates inertia and stifles change. 08:30 “Equilibrium states break down when the pain of the status quo exceeds the fear of the unknown for multiple parties.” 09:00 “Healthcare is not working for anyone. That is where real change can happen and what makes me optimistic.” 09:45 The destabilizing trends of supply chain disruption, social unrest, political divisiveness, consumerism, demographic shifts, workforce drain, and environmental disasters. 11:30 Responding to social justice, climate change, and the need to redesign healthcare – is it too much for us to tackle all at once? 12:00 “Changing the way healthcare is paid for – in absence of other reforms – is grossly inefficient. There are many other things that have to happen.” 12:30 Michael Porter's Value Chain and the importance of clarity and differentiation in the creation of value. 13:30 “Payment reform is just one activity of healthcare reform. We also need trust in the workforce and with patients, an understanding of what safety means, and a response to consumerism.” 15:00 In times of turmoil, healthcare organizations need more than a performance culture; they need a learning culture. 16:30 The most important part of transformational leadership is division of responsibilities and areas of key focus to enact organizational change. 17:30 No one can do everything! If leaders focus on only three things, they will be successful in strategy execution. 18:30 3 Functions of Governing Boards and Executives: Articulate the Core Values, Develop Strategy, Understand the Value Chain 18:45 “An organization is the lengthened shadow of its leaders.” – Ralph Waldo Emerson 20:30 3 Functions of Managers: Create Social Capital,
No Priors: Artificial Intelligence | Machine Learning | Technology | Startups
AGI can beat top players in chess, poker, and, now, Diplomacy. In November 2022, a bot named Cicero demonstrated mastery in this game, which requires natural language negotiation and cooperation with humans. In short, Cicero can lie, scheme, build trust, pass as human, and ally with humans. So what does that mean for the future of AGI? This week's guest is research scientist Noam Brown. He co-created Cicero on the Meta Fundamental AI Research Team, and is considered one of the smartest engineers and researchers working in AI today. Co-hosts Sarah Guo and Elad Gil talk to Noam about why all research should be high risk, high reward, the timeline until we have AGI agents negotiating with humans, why scaling isn't the only path to breakthroughs in AI, and if the Turing Test is still relevant. Show Links: More about Noam Brown Read the research article about Cicero (diplomacy) published in Science. Read the research article about Liberatus (heads-up poker) published in Science. Read the research article about Pluribus (multiplayer poker) published in Science. Watch the AlphaGo Documentary. Read “How Smart Are the Robots Getting?” by New York Times reporter Cade Metz Sign up for new podcasts every week. Email feedback to show@no-priors.com Follow us on Twitter: @NoPriorsPod | @Saranormous | @EladGil | @Polynoamial Show Notes: [01:43] - What sparked Noam's interest in researching AI that could defeat games [6:00] - How the AlexaNET and AlphaGo changed the landscape of AI research [8:09] - Why Noam chose Diplomacy as the next game to work on after poker [9:51] - What Diplomacy is and why the game was so challenging for an AI bot [14:50] - Algorithmic breakthroughs and significance of AI bots that win in No-Limit Texas Hold'em poker [23:29] - The Nash Equilibrium and optimal play in poker [24:53] - How Cicero interacted with humans [27:58] - The relevance and usefulness of the Turing Test [31:05] - The data set used to train Cicero [31:54] - Bottlenecks to AI researchers and challenges with scaling [40:10] - The next frontier in researching games for AI [42:55] - Domains that humans will still dominate and applications for AI bots in the real world [48:13] - Reasoning challenges with AI
In honor of our upcoming IO2022 innovation Accelerated Summit, which is happening September 19th and 20th in Lincoln Nebraska. Thought it'd be nice to pull some of the best interviews and sessions from our IO2020 virtual event. So, over the next few weeks, check out some of our amazing speakers and grab a ticket for the upcoming event. We'd love to see you there. Tickets and more information can be found at io2022.com. And now back to the show. Inside Outside Innovation is a podcast to help new innovators navigate what's next. Each week, we'll give you a front row seat into what it takes to learn, grow, and thrive in today's world of accelerating change and uncertainty. Join us as we explore, engage, and experiment with the best and the brightest innovators, entrepreneurs, and pioneering businesses. It's time to get started.Interview Transcript with Steph Smith, Trends.co / The Hustle / HubspotBrian Ardinger: We are excited to have Steph Smith here with the Hustle and Trends to talk about one of these amazing new trends that we're seeing. It's the whole move to remote work. Steph is the Head of Trends and Product Manager at the Hustle, which is a great newsletter, if you don't subscribe to that. Trends is their exclusive group. And I I've got to say it's, it's one of the best groups out there to talk about new things that are happening out there, new business leaders, things along those lines. She's got a new book out called Standing Out in 2020. Doing Content Right. And I know she's been doing a series of sessions on that. It's an eBook. You can check it out at stephsmith.io. She's been blogging for a ton of time. And she's also been in this world of remote work. Been a digital nomad for a while. So, with that, I'm going to just turn over to Steph. And we'll talk the trend of remote working. Steph Smith: Sweet. Thanks so much. That was a great intro, Brian. Today, I'm going to be talking about something that I care a lot about. I saw some other people in the chat mention that they've been working remotely for a long time. Two, I'm going to be talking about thinking past the office and designing what I call resilient, remote teams. And I do this in a little bit of a different way than I think most presentations on this topic are, which give you a lot of super, super concrete, like you must do this. I like to think of this more so as how do we think about what has changed? What does that mean? And what can we learn from this? So, I use three books and I'll get into that in a second to actually convey some of these points. But just quickly, I don't want to talk about myself very much. Brian gave me a great intro. All you need to know is that I have been working remotely for the last four or five years now. And I did that originally at a company called Top Tell, which was one of those kind of remote first companies built from the ground up to be remote. Now I work at a company called The Hustle and I've done some remote training for different companies. And in general, have been nomadding around for the last couple years as I work remotely. So that's enough about me. Let's talk about where we are in this world. As I mentioned before COVID there was a series of companies I'd say only a couple dozen of scale that were built up to be remote. From the ground up, they said, you know what, we're never going to have any offices. Or if we do, we're going to be remote first. Companies like Zapier Basecamp, Web Flow. All these companies were built from the ground up to facilitate positive remote working environment. Now, as we all know, you saw this kind of trend, the slow trickle of people that were searching for remote work overtime. This is Google trends from 2004 to present. Then as we all know, 2020. crazy year. We see this big spike and we're all remote, whether we want to be or not. And this includes huge companies like Google, Cora, Coinbase. Shopify that at least are either going to be remote for several, several years or in some cases like Shopify have just claimed that they are now remote first from here forward. The question then becomes with all of these companies with now millions, if not billions of people that are kind of thrown into this new environment, what happens. What happens to these organizations that weren't built from the ground up? Like Zapier, Base Camp, or Buffer. Some of the questions that I have here, allude to what I'll be talking about in this presentation. So how does remote work or the shift influence how people interact with one another? How does it influence the social fabric or culture of the company? How does this change how potentially leaders should or can operate at these organizations?And in general, this all brings me back to the title of this presentation. How do we build resilient teams? And resiliency in this case means teams that thrive in the environment that they're put in, right. It doesn't feel like they're kind of pushing against walls. It doesn't feel like there's friction to achieve certain things.It feels like they're put in an environment where they're put in a place to succeed by nature, by the nature of the environment that they're in. So, as I said, this presentation is really based on three books that I've read and, and I think are excellent. It's Give and Take, Algorithms to Live By and The Four Tendencies.And I like using books like this to really frame these conversations because these books are actually not based on remote work at all. They're based on human psychology. They're based on how people interact in given situations or environments. And then I just layer on a question. Is this still true with remote work or how does this change as people go from an in-person environment to remote. And so, we'll talk specifically about how giving and taking behavior may change with remote work. We'll talk about how we can design systems. So, using something From Algorithms to Live By, Game Theory. How do we incentivize people to actually act in their best interest? Because they don't always do that on their own. And how do we in general make remote work sustainable. And then I'll talk about the potential archetype of remote worker using this four tendencies framework. To preface the three books and the three things that we'll talk about, I want to jump back to summarize where we are.So, we as a society had a majority of people working in offices. And now we have a majority of people working remotely. And I like to kind of facetiously say that when you work in an office, you work in a box. And that box is predefined for you. And even though it's a little facetious in terms of the analogy, a lot of that is true in the sense that you have a lot of things, whether it's, you know, where you're physically working, how you're working exactly, when you're working. A lot of that is super predefined for you. And for some people that's actually better. Some people that's worse. I'm not trying to ascertain whether one is better or worse, but the idea is that before you had a lot of things mapped out for you, right? And now when you're working remotely, the way, the analogy that I like to give is that box is kind of like stripped clean.So, you get rid of the walls, you get rid of exactly when, how you work. And now a lot of people are left to figure out how to build their own box. And what I see a lot of people doing, whether it's individuals or companies is they basically do this Control C Control V where they basically say, you know, we had all these things, these processes, these systems, these frameworks that worked in our office. So, let's just take all those and let's paste them into our new environment. And that can work. But what I think we have a unique opportunity to do is in fact, rethink the box. So, build our new box from the ground up. So instead of just copying everything and saying, oh, this worked there. It should work here. Let's just rethink what are the things that we should operate by in this new environment? How do we rebuild our box? And something more important than that is instead of giving our employees a new box saying, hey, this is your box. Please take it. And again, abide by these rules or operations or logistics. Let's actually just give them the tools to build their own box. And this kind of summarizes part of what I'm, I'm getting to at least to preface three examples is, is a quote from Amir. Who's a CEO of Doist one of those kind of remote first and companies. And he says, basically, remote. Isn't just a different way to work. It's a different way to live. We have to acknowledge that we're kind of blurring these lines and people, you know, experience isolation, anxiety, depression. And in general, we need to figure out ways in systems to resolve this new, almost more complex issue where you have people, people's work and their lives just meshing into this continuous system.All right. So, what are the cornerstones of remote work? I mentioned this because this bleeds into some of the examples. So remote work overall, at least prior to COVID, when people weren't forced into it, really prioritized three things over three other things. Meaning output trumped input, which meant that didn't matter exactly how many hours you were working or exactly what you did to get to the impact that you're driving for a company.What mattered was the impact, the output. Similarly, remote work tended to favor autonomy over administration. Again, this idea that didn't matter exactly how you got from Point A to Point B. You had the autonomy to figure that out. And similarly, flexibility over rigidity. So, let's keep these cornerstones in mind throughout the presentation. And consider that even those cornerstones sound kind of resoundingly positive, all of us at face value are like, yes, I love being graded on my output. I love being graded or given the autonomy to figure out how I deliver that output. And I love being given flexibility. But let's just keep those in mind and consider that they're not always strictly positive. All right, so let's dive into the first example in the book, Give and Take. Obviously, these books are very in depth and I only covered one small sliver of them in this presentation. But the key takeaway from Give and Take is that Adam Grant, he's a professor at Wharton, amazing writer as well. He talks about three different types of individuals. So, Givers, Takers, and Matchers. All you need to know about them for the purpose of this presentation is that givers basically believe in this world as a positive sum game. Meaning they believe in mutually beneficial situations. They're willing to give without expecting anything in return. Takers are kind of the opposite of that. They think zero sum game. I'm sure you can imagine or conceptualize people in your life that you've encountered that really are trying to get ahead at the expense of other people.Now matchers fall somewhere in the middle. They basically believe, or kind of function off of this idea of reciprocity and fairness. All right. So with that in mind, the question or sorry, before I even get to the question, something I want to mention is that the whole premise of Adam Grant's book is a little surprising in that most people would expect that given Takers and Matchers and Takers in particular, their approach to life in terms of kind of utilizing other people to get ahead or prioritizing their own growth over other people, you would expect those people to be the most successful.Now, interestingly enough, he found that Givers were both at the very top of the spectrum of success, and the very bottom. You can notice two different types of Givers here. One is selfless. One is, is otherish. All you need to know here is that Otherish Givers are Givers but have found a way to prioritize their own needs.So really interesting that Givers not only elevate other people, but they are actually the most successful on their own. So, this is kind of a summary or a quote from Adams, which basically says they succeed in a way that creates a ripple effect, enhancing the success of others around them. You'll see that the difference lies in how Giver success creates value instead of just claiming it.So, in general, I think the obvious takeaway here is that we want more Givers at our organizations. Now the question becomes, and this will be a repetitive question throughout, is this the same with remote work. Or how does this change with remote work? Some of the sections here are based on actual data sources.This one, not so much. This is me more hypothesizing. And what I've come to in terms of my many years leading teams, interacting with teams, being individual contributors on teams is that because if we remember the cornerstones of remote work, we prioritize output. We prioritize impact. That which in remote, all that matters is that impact, right?Are you delivering value? Are you worth your salary? Are you hitting your KPIs. In person when you're in an office? All that stuff matters. But it's also weighed against certain unspoken things, unspoken rules, like the amount of time you're spending in the office. Whether you're on time for things, whether you stay late to help another employee in general, everyone knows who the team players are in an office.That's not always true when you work remotely. I think if you've worked remotely over the last couple months, especially if you were in an office before, you can probably resonate with this idea. In remote, there's a couple thing, other things that I want to know. This idea of staying on longer to, you know, as a Giver, let's say you're helping other people.That's super difficult to quantify because when you're working remotely again, our work life and our lifeline blend together. So, it's actually hard, if I were to ask anyone on this call, how many hours did you spend this week working remotely? I think a lot of people would struggle to actually quantify that.So then layering on, am I working extra? Am I not working enough? It's really hard to kind of parse that out. Additionally, if you support someone. Let's say I have a friend and her name is Sally at work. And she says, Hey Steph, can you help me with this project? And it actually takes like, you know, five hours out of my day.I end up helping her. All of that work for better or for worse is hidden online. Sally knows about it. But everyone else at work, didn't see me stay late to help Sally. They didn't see the output of that work. They didn't see the Giving behavior. And so, in addition to this, KPIs in general, when you work remotely by nature of trying to ascertain that output of people, tends to be more individual. You even hear people use terms like manager of one when they're working remotely.And in general, the idea that I'm trying to get across here is that by nature, when you're working remotely, because there are so much emphasis on output and impact, which has many positives, basically takes away the recognition that you typically get in an in-person environment of these Givers, and what happens is these Givers end up burning out, they become more of those selfless givers that you saw at the tail end. Instead of the Otherish givers that were the most successful individual. And something I want to call out here is that regardless of intentions, morals, or values, and what I'm saying here is it doesn't matter if someone's a good person or bad person. That's not what I'm trying to ascertain. Bad incentive structures result in bad behavior, no matter how good of a person you think you are. So, what's the takeaway here? Again, I'm trying to go through this quickly, so I won't go through everything. But the idea here is that you still won't have a water cooler. In the office, which almost acted like, you know, animals in the wild. There's like a certain hierarchy and there's a kingdom and, and it kind of regulates things, right. You just subtly, but it does. You don't have that anymore with remote, or at least it's not created without intentionality. And so, there are a couple quick things that you can do. The first thing is just ask your team very simply who helped you this week? Who did you work with? Where did you put in extra hours? Where did someone else put in extra hours for you? You must ask this because it will not be surfaced as naturally as in the office. The second thing is build KPIs to incentivize teamwork. This is a little harder to do because again, when you work remotely, you're trying to ascertain output. But think about how you can do this to incentivize teamwork. So, you're not kind of encouraging people to act more as Takers versus Givers. And then finally create an environment where you're not just recognizing good behavior or giving behavior, but you're actually rewarding it.So, some companies like GitLab have actually started things like micro bonuses, where in addition to the bonus structures or the compensation structures that you get from your boss, other people around you can actually reward you based on your giving behavior. Because that's really important. You're not just recognizing it in like kind of shout outs or things like that, but you're actually rewarding this behavior. So, you're incentivizing people to continue doing it. The final thing I want to call out is that you can do as much as you can once you have people at an organization to incentivize giving behavior. But you can also kind of integrate this into your hiring process. Which means bringing in people who are more naturally Givers.So, Adam Grant mentions in his book. This is directly from Give and Take where he, during the hiring process asks this question, can you give me the names of four people whose careers you have fundamentally improved? And the idea here is that people who are Givers tend to mention either people at the same level as them or below them in terms of the people that they've helped.And it's a natural response. Of course, this is again, not quite scientific versus Takers, tend to mention people that are above them. That they've helped, because again, there's this nature of people who are Takers, trying to get ahead and using things like status to get ahead. So, something to keep in mind as well as you're hiring.So, the second example that I want to go through is from Algorithms to Live By. Again, excellent book. This is a book where basically they take principles from software development or software engineering and use it to help us think through problems that are outside of that scope. So, things like Cashing Theory or Kneeling or making intractable problems tractable.The one that I want to talk about today is Game Theory. So, in Game Theory, I'm not going to go into depth, but it's this idea that within a game, there are certain rules. And within those rules, they incentivize people to act a certain way. And once a game is predefined, you tend to get to this equilibrium where all the players individually are acting their own best interest.But sometimes the kind of aggregate of those actions actually may result in outcomes that are worse for everyone. Again, depending on the rules that were set for that game. And this equilibrium that I'm specifically talking about is called the Nash Equilibrium. And it's this idea again, there's this kind of long definition and talks about a stable state.The idea here is the Nash Equilibrium is within an environment within a game. It's the outcome or the optimal state, where there's no incentive for any individual to deviate. Now, this may not sound super actionable. So let me give you a precise example of what I'm talking about. So, with remote work, a lot of remote first companies tend to go with unlimited vacation.And I think this is something that probably more companies will end up moving towards as well. But something you keep in mind here is the Nash Equilibrium of unlimited vacation approaches, zero days. And the reason for this it's a little counterintuitive because you think unlimited vacation sounds amazing. Sounds like a great perk. Well, what happens with unlimited vacation is that people look to be perceived as more loyal, more committed, more dedicated than their peers. And therefore, they look to take just slightly less vacation than their peers. And what happens is a cascading effect, which approaches zero.This is actual data from Buffer's Data Remote Report from 2019, where you can see in blue, the amount of vacation offered, and then in orange, the amount of vacation that was actually taken. So, you can see around 30, 35% of people had unlimited vacation. And if you look at how that's actually distributed, most of the people who had unlimited vacation took anywhere from no vacation to two weeks' vacation. Versus the people who had, you know, six weeks, five weeks, four weeks were likely to actually take that amount of vacation.So, what is my point here? Well, in Game Theory is this idea where basically you have a game and then those rules are set for the game. And then you just see what behaviors actually emerge from those given set of rules. Well, I think with remote work, we have to be a lot more intentional about not just kind of throwing rules out there, again, kind of redefining our box and, and not just taking a box that already exists. And you can do that through Mechanism Design, which is kind of flipping that script and saying, what are the behaviors that we actually want and what rules do we need to establish to actually generate those behaviors? So kind of again, reversing the question and figuring out what behaviors you want to incentivize. And then figuring out what rules need to be in place to actually achieve that.As I mentioned, the box has changed, the game has changed. So, here's a couple examples of things that people struggle with from the same report, when they're working remotely. It's things like unplugging, loneliness, distractions, culture, and communication. If you were to ask the same question to people who are working in an, in an office, these would not be the case, which shows us the game has changed. The problems have changed. The things that we're solving for have changed and therefore you must come up with rules or incentives so that people act in their own best interest. So again, you're thinking backwards. You're asking the question, what are the KPIs that you need to actively design to encourage people to, for example, have a work life balance outside of just the freedom to define their own. And this is really important because it sounds counterintuitive to say a I'm actually going to define more rules. Because flexibility sounds like a great perk or sounds like a great thing to have. But actually, you can help your employees in certain situations to actually help them again, this idea of building their own box.Something I want to call out here is again, is Wall Street, which is again, the most like capitalist type environment there is, has mandatory off hours. So that brokers don't push themselves to their Nash Equilibrium, which would be the sleepless equilibrium, where they're constantly trading. So, you have to think backwards and figure out how to design an environment that people succeed in.Quick couple examples before we move on to the third example. The third book are things like a minimum vacation policy, mandatory days that they must take off, allowing people to take back their calendars and actually block off significant parts so that they're not encountering what people call Calendar Tetris. I like this example from Keith, I don't know Keith personally, and this was pre COVID.But basically, he decided to close his office on Friday. Simple things like this, where he basically said it's a mandatory weekend. You are not allowed to work, even though it seems strange in a digital environment. And I'm giving you 50 bucks to go eat at your favorite restaurant. So, think about how you are intentionally designing systems for your employees.Finally, third example that I'll breeze through is the Four Tendencies. And I'll caveat this example with this quote directly from Gretchen Rubin, the author that says the happiest, healthiest, most productive people aren't those from a particular tendency, but rather the people who have figured out how to harness the strengths of their tendency, counteract the weaknesses, and build lives that work for them.So, what is the Four Tendencies? It's this idea that there as it sounds like four tendencies. Upholder, Obliger, Questioner, and Rebel. Now these two highlighted in green are not highlighted, because they're the best. As Gretchen said in that quote, it's just that they're they are the most common. Now the Four Tendencies is basically a two-by-two framework, which identifies how people respond to expectations or accountability.So, do they readily meet outer expectations? Do they readily meet inner expectations? Do they resist both of them or do they kind of fluctuate towards or air towards one or the other? So, I personally am a Questioner. I resist outer expectations and I meet inner expectations. To give a quick example, if I wanted to get fit, having a gym buddy as an outer expectation expecting me to show up that actually wouldn't help me. And that actually is something that I've tried to do throughout my life. Hasn't worked. Meanwhile, something like actually understanding the science behind why I should be fit or kind of convincing myself that my identity, or I want to be the type of person who, you know, respects their health. That works for me. So as a Questioner, I meet inner expectations. I resist outer expectations.Now I did a poll on Twitter a while ago, got around 400 votes from people who had been working remotely again, pre COVID. And it was interesting to see that the most popular tendencies among this again, non-scientific poll were Questioners and Rebels, and I thought, huh, that's interesting.If you remember questioners and obligers for the most common in the overall population with remote workers, or at least those who sought out remote work. Where questioners and rebels with the, the familiarity or the common thread here is that they both resist outer expectations. I thought that was really interesting.And I think that relates to this idea that there's a level of self-selection or misalignment with outer expectations of society, of people trying to at least identify their own work norms, identify their own vision or how they can actually build something, build their own box. And this isn't again, mean that they're more successful or less successful.It's just perhaps that they actively sought out this type of environment. Now, what's the takeaway here. This is a brief section compared to the other two, but it's the idea that people actually respond differently to inner and outer accountability. We used to have everyone in an office and that didn't necessarily work with everyone.Now we have everyone remote that doesn't necessarily work for everyone. So, I think the idea here is that leaders need to actually learn past, just the high level this person is good at these skills. This person is good at these skills. This is my top player. This is my, you know, less valuable player. And more so think about how to tailor their leadership stylers to figure out how to motivate their employees. Whether they're in a remote environment or not. But especially if you're in a remote environment, how do you incentivize, if we just quickly go back, how do you incentivize Upholders and Obligers when Questioners and Rebels tend to naturally seek out this environment?And on the flip side, if you're in an office, how do you naturally incentivize Questioners and Rebels so that they're motivated when Upholders and Obligers may more naturally fit into those traditional environments. So just something to consider. Right. This is the final slide I have, and I know we're running out of times, but the idea here is just, again, there are certain things or certain ways that humans tend to interact in, in an person environment.And they don't necessarily act the same ways in a remote environment. And in particular, they may not even act in ways that benefit themselves all the time. So, we must as leaders, if you're leading a team, if you're leading a company, It's good to consider some of these things and figure out A: How do I encourage Giving through discovering, hiring, promoting, and acknowledging and rewarding as I said before Givers. How do I select incentives or develop the right systems so that we're using Mechanism Design and not just throwing people into a game and hoping that they choose the best outcomes that are best for them or best for everyone?And then finally, how do we actually learn about our people past the face value in terms of their skills and figure out how to harness their unique strengths, whether they're in an in-person environment or a remote environment. If you want to find me, or if you have questions, happy to answer them now, but you're also welcome to email me or DM me on Twitter and that is it.Brian Ardinger: That's it for another episode of Inside Outside Innovation. If you want to learn more about our team, our content, our services, check out InsideOutside.io or follow us on Twitter @theIOpodcast or @Ardinger. Until next time, go out and innovate.FREE INNOVATION NEWSLETTER & TOOLSGet the latest episodes of the Inside Outside Innovation podcast, in addition to thought leadership in the form of blogs, innovation resources, videos, and invitations to exclusive events. SUBSCRIBE HEREYou can also search every Inside Outside Innovation Podcast by Topic and Company. For more innovations resources, check out IO's Innovation Article Database, Innovation Tools Database, Innovation Book Database, and Innovation Video Database. Also don't miss IO2022 - Innovation Accelerated in Sept, 2022.
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Godzilla Strategies, published by johnswentworth on June 11, 2022 on The AI Alignment Forum. Clutching a bottle of whiskey in one hand and a shotgun in the other, John scoured the research literature for ideas... He discovered several papers that described software-assisted hardware recovery. The basic idea was simple: if hardware suffers more transient failures as it gets smaller, why not allow software to detect erroneous computations and re-execute them? This idea seemed promising until John realized THAT IT WAS THE WORST IDEA EVER. Modern software barely works when the hardware is correct, so relying on software to correct hardware errors is like asking Godzilla to prevent Mega-Godzilla from terrorizing Japan. THIS DOES NOT LEAD TO RISING PROPERTY VALUES IN TOKYO. It's better to stop scaling your transistors and avoid playing with monsters in the first place, instead of devising an elaborate series of monster checks-and-balances and then hoping that the monsters don't do what monsters are always going to do because if they didn't do those things, they'd be called dandelions or puppy hugs. - James Mickens, The Slow Winter There's a lot of AI alignment strategies which can reasonably be described as “ask Godzilla to prevent Mega-Godzilla from terrorizing Japan”. Use one AI to oversee another AI. Have two AIs debate each other. Use one maybe-somewhat-aligned AI to help design another. Etc. Alignment researchers discuss various failure modes of asking Godzilla to prevent Mega-Godzilla from terrorizing Japan. Maybe one of the two ends up much more powerful than the other. Maybe the two make an acausal agreement. Maybe the Nash Equilibrium between Godzilla and Mega-Godzilla just isn't very good for humans in the first place. Etc. These failure modes are useful for guiding technical research. . but I worry that talking about the known failure modes misleads people about the strategic viability of Godzilla strategies. It makes people think (whether consciously/intentionally or not) “well, if we could handle these particular failure modes, maybe asking Godzilla to prevent Mega-Godzilla from terrorizing Japan would work”. What I like about the Godzilla analogy is that it gives a strategic intuition which much better matches the real world. When someone claims that their elaborate clever scheme will allow us to safely summon Godzilla in order to fight Mega-Godzilla, the intuitively-obviously-correct response is “THIS DOES NOT LEAD TO RISING PROPERTY VALUES IN TOKYO”. “But look!” says the clever researcher, “My clever scheme handles problems X, Y and Z!” Response: “Ok, but what if we had a really good implementation?” asks the clever researcher. Response: “Oh come on!” says the clever researcher, “You're not even taking this seriously! At least say something about how it would fail.” Don't worry, we're going to get to that. But before we do: let's imagine you're the Mayor of Tokyo evaluating a proposal to ask Godzilla to fight Mega-Godzilla. Your clever researchers have given you a whole lengthy explanation about how their elaborate and clever safeguards will ensure that this plan does not destroy Tokyo. You are unable to think of any potential problems which they did not address. Should you conclude that asking Godzilla to fight Mega-Godzilla will not result in Tokyo's destruction? No. Obviously not. THIS DOES NOT LEAD TO RISING PROPERTY VALUES IN TOKYO. You may not be able to articulate why the answer is obviously “no”, but asking Godzilla to fight Mega-Godzilla will still obviously destroy Tokyo, and your intuitions are right about that even if you are unable to articulate clever arguments. With that said, let's talk about why those intuitions are right and why the Godzilla analogy works well. Brittle Plans and Unknown Unknowns The basic problem with Godzilla plans is tha...
Join me today for Episode 545 of Bitcoin And . . . Topics for today: - John Nash - The #HonkHonkHodl thing - Canada invokes authoritarianism #Bitcoin #BitcoinAnd $BTC You can find me at My Tippin.me page: tippin.me/@GhostOfNunya Instagram: Bitcoin_And Mastodon: @NunyaBidness@bitcoinhackers.org Facebook: @bitcoinAnd Music by: Flutey Funk Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com) Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 3.0 License creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/
PODCAST SATELLITETHE VOICE OF ISRAEL12th of Cheshvan, 5782 Prince HandleyPresident / Regent University of Excellence LET THE LORD FIGHT YOUR BATTLESUSE HIS HEBREW NAME~ A MIRACLE PODCAST PRODUCTION ~יהוה נסי To LISTEN, click on center of pod circle at top left. (Click “BACK” to return.) OR, LISTEN TO THIS MESSAGE NOW >>> LISTEN HERE Prince Handley 24/7 Commentary (FREE) > BLOG _________________________ DESCRIPTION In this message we compare Game Theory with G-d's Theory! Plus discuss WHY winning your “Game” is important to your health! We provide some examples of Game Theory and HOW it is used in: ■ Geopolitics ■ Diplomacy ■ Economics ■ Life Many times sickness is the result of a battle―short term OR prolonged―in which you are involved … or a series of battles. The contention―and associated tension―forms a “wall” which hinders your health! What happens when you use the G-d's Hebrew Name―YHVH NISSI or ADONAI NISSI―for victory? _______________________ LET THE LORD FIGHT YOUR BATTLES USE HIS HEBREW NAME "When Moshe's hands grew tired, they took a stone and put it under him, and he sat on it. Aaron and Hur held his hands up―one on one side and one on the other―so that his hands remained steady until sunset. So Joshua overcame the Amelekite army with the sword. Then the LORD [Adonai] said to Moshe, “Write this in a book to be remembered, and tell it to Y'hoshua: I will completely blot out any memory of ‘Amalek from under heaven.” Moshe built an altar, called it Adonai Nissi [Adonai is my banner / miracle], and said, “Because their hand was against the throne of Yah, Adonai will fight ‘Amalek generation after generation.” Torah: Exodus 17:9-15 The strange way in which the battle was won left no doubt as to who was responsible for the victory. Only as the rod of G-d was held aloft in Moshe's hands did the Israelites prevail. The battle was not won by military might or superior battle plans; it was won by the power of G-d. In Exodus Chapter 17, Moshe knew that the LORD had won the battle. Moshe, Aaron, Hur and the Israelite Army were human instruments … but G-d was the real player. But, how about YOU. What battles are in front of you? And ... are they battles of YOUR own choosing? Or are they battles in which the LORD is leading you? If the LORD is leading you, you can call upon His Name―YHWH NISSI ... or ADONAI NISSI―and He will give YOU victory! _________________________ EXPLANATION NOTE: The correct pronunciation of Y-H-V-H was lost during the Talmudic period. The name was used as part of the Temple Service during the First Temple period. During the Second Temple period the name was not used as it was feared that the name would be misused or articulated unlawfully. As a result of this disuse of the Y-H-V-H [Yud Hey Vav Hey] the correct pronunciation of “The Name” was lost. HASHEM [The Name] is used instead of trying to vocalize Y-H-V-H so as to NOT use G-d's Name in vain, or NOT to say the Holy Name. Since the early Hebrew text did not contain vowels but only consonants, it is NOT known exactly how to pronounce God's name. The word “LORD” is used for ADONAI. When the Masoretes wanted to preserve the pronunciation of the words used in the Bible they ran into a problem when YHWH, the proper name of the Lord that was forbidden to be pronounced, occurred. To circumvent the problem, the Masoretes inserted the vowel symbols that go with adonai, indicating that whenever the reader saw YHWH, he had to say adonai. Adonai is a form of the word “adon,” which comes from a root word meaning "to rule." So adon means "lord or master." Adonai is a form of adon that is both plural and possessive. Since Adonai uses singular pronouns when it refers to G-d, we know that G-d is one master, not many. When later readers saw the name YHWH combined with the symbols for adonai, they erroneously concluded that YHWH was to be pronounced as Jehovah. The all-capital LORD is the representation of YHWH, the personal name of G-d. His Name "YHVH NISSI" in Hebrew means "The LORD (is) my Banner." The Almighty, Blessed be Ha Shem, knows when you want or need to call out to Him for deliverance in your battle(s). Specifically, He―as Leader of the Forces of HaShem―knows what YOU mean when you call unto Him with passion, need and respect! Simply call out, “ADONAI NISSI, I need your help! Please Deliver me in this battle and give me victory!” If this offends your conscience, or religious conviction, then do as you feel is reverent and appropriate … but CRY OUT to “The LORD your Banner” for help! G-d is Holy … BUT He is practical. He would rather see you delivered than for you to be confused with phraseology! You can always say, “LORD I need HELP. You're my BANNER!” _________________________ For many years I ignorantly used Game Theory in an attempt to win my battles and plan my future. If you're not familiar with Game Theory, I will give you a simple explanation. Basically, Game Theory is used for the following: ■ To secure the best achievement, or most advantageous position. (In economics, battles or life situations.) ■ To act or NOT act; i.e., Diplomacy or War Action. ■ Mini-Max strategy: stopping the worst possible outcome from happening. ■ Create an impasse, or wall by which the opponent can NOT pass or proceed. Let me give you some geopolitical examples. China has much to gain from the demise of the USA and of Israel ... and of the US Dollar, as opposed to India, who only (at this time) wants positioning on the New Global Currency as part of world economic leadership. However, China has plans in place for the downfall of the USA and Israel in international psychology, or game theory--similar to inter-corporate group dynamics--and based upon the Nash Equilibrium. I have written about this previously in University of Excellence briefings. But... the BIG determinant in all areas of life is really this: Are we going to use Game Theory or God's Theory? I choose G-d's Theory (which is NOT really a theory). We should want the complete, the best, and the constant solution! SO WHAT DOES THIS HAVE TO DO WITH HEALING Many times sickness is the result of a battle―short term OR prolonged―in which you are involved … or a series of battles. The contention―and associated tension―forms a “wall” which hinders your health! Stress can be brief, situational―and sometimes a positive force motivating performance―but if experienced over an extended period of time it can become chronic stress, which negatively impacts health and well-being.1 Your body's natural alarm system—the “fight or flight” response—may be stuck in the “ON” position. And that can have serious consequences for your health. WHAT HAPPENS WHEN WE FIGHT BATTLES THAT ARE NOT G-D ASSIGNED? Sometimes, our battles may NOT be G-d assigned. That is, we could be "out of G-d's will" during a short period (or longer) for our lives ... OR ... our decision making process has been (or is) faulty. In other words, are we walking daily in and with His Spirit? Are we asking for His guidance? Your body's natural alarm system—the “fight or flight” response—may be stuck in the “ON” position. And that can have serious consequences for your health. Multiple studies have shown that these sudden emotional stresses—especially anger—can trigger heart attacks, abnormalities and even sudden death.1 Also, the fact that you MAY be fighting a battle that is NOT G-d assigned can mean that you are out of G-d's will even―if temporarily―with the result being that your prayers are being hindered … prayers for healing included! THE KEY IS TO WIN THE BATTLE If perchance you think the battle is of your own "choosing" and NOT G-d assigned, I have the answer for you. Ask G-d what to do ... then turn the situation―the battle―over to Him. Especially in decision-making, it is important to know for sure! I have written a book which has helped many people, titled Decision Making 101: Know for Sure! When we know we are in the perfect center of G-d's will for our lives, we have confidence to call upon His Name―ADONAI NISSI―for leading, wisdom ... and victory. Like Moshe, we know we will have the victory! All we have to do is follow His instructions! This is where the POINT OF DECISION is so important. Learn to ACT towards G-d at the point of decision. My mother used to say, "You should have nipped it in the bud." We are continuously growing forests: either negatively or positively. What happens when you use ONE of G-d's Hebrew Names―ADONAI NISSI―for victory? If your plans fit into G-d's plans … You will have G-d's faith … And, G-d's faith always works! Find out G-d's plans by reading and studying His Holy Word daily: His plans for YOU, for your relationships, for desired accomplishments …and for your work. I trust this teaching will help you to know that YOU can rely on ADONAI NISSI. It has worked for me! Let Him be YOUR victory. Be free of contention and receive your healing! Baruch haba b'Shem Adonai. Your friend, Prince Handley President / RegentUniversity of Excellence Copyright © Prince Handley 2021 NOTE 1: Don't miss this SPECIAL on my 8 BOOK PROPHECY SERIES NOTE 2: Reference: A Beautiful Mind; the story of John Nash; movie and book, Sylvia Nasar; Simon & Schuster. REFERENCE: 1 Krantz, D.S., Whittaker, K.S. & Sheps, D.S. (2011). “Psychosocial risk factors for coronary artery disease: Pathophysiologic mechanisms.” In Heart and Mind: Evolution of Cardiac Psychology. Washington, DC ___________________________ Rabbinical & Biblical Studies[Scroll down past English, Spanish and French] The Believer's Intelligentsia ___________________________
This episode is also available as a blog post: https://achilleslaststandsite.wordpress.com/2021/09/30/game-theory-101-episode-3-nash-equilibrium-travelers-dilemma/
Can AI have a poker face? On this episode, Neil deGrasse Tyson and co-hosts Gary O’Reilly and Chuck Nice discuss poker and playing against...the machines with former poker player Liv Boeree and artificial intelligence expert Matt Ginsberg. NOTE: StarTalk+ Patrons can watch or listen to this entire episode commercial-free here: https://www.startalkradio.net/banner/artificial-intelligence-real-competition-with-liv-boeree-and-matt-ginsberg/ Thanks to our Patrons Ricardo Torres, Mason Dickson, Alireza Sefat, Henk Van der Merwe, Derek Eilertson, Erdem Memisyazici, Sriram Govindan, Christian Murmann, Derrick Thurman, and Cayman Freeman for supporting us this week. Photo Credit: Santeri Viinamäki, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
How RPS works, why it's basically luck, and this one time it was used to settle an argument. --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/gametheory/message Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/gametheory/support
An ultimate test of a successful technology is whether it has been reduced to practice. Has it made a financial impact on the market? Has it been adopted by the very picky US military? Has it changed lives? We’re going to count down the AI Smash Hits: the top ten AI success stories for 2020. Join Dr. Robert J. Marks as he… Source
An ultimate test of a successful technology is whether it has been reduced to practice. Has it made a financial impact on the market? Has it been adopted by the very picky US military? Has it changed lives? We’re going to count down the AI Smash Hits: the top ten AI success stories for 2020. Join Dr. Robert J. Marks as he… Source
This episode talks about the basic building block of game theory- Nash Equilibrium, and it's application in the stock market.
Welcome to Day 4 of The 12 Days of Riskmas. The most popular episode of the Risktory Podcast this year has been my episode on the Nash Equilibrium vs COVID 19. As the US heads into another period of prolonged lockdown, and concerns are raised as to whether the Nash Equilibrium is even relevant anymore, on today’s episode, I’ll explain why I think the Nash Equilibrium will prevail.The Risktory Podcast is created, hosted and produced by Jacinthe A Galpin.All rights reserved.Related Episodeshttps://www.spreaker.com/user/jacintheagalpin/20-05-11-how-do-you-solve-a-problem-like
US Elections 2020 - Biden vs Trump-The Greatest Show On Earth! The US Elections in 2020 are the Greatest Show on Earth. It does not matter if you think Biden vs Trump or Trump vs Biden, the election a.k.a the quest for the White House will be the GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH! Worried about the 2020 election prediction? the election 2020 in general or the election polls? Do not worry about who will win the presidential debates, or the vicious tweets from the president, Donal Trump is a master show man and you will be surprised at the results. So, lets talk elections... forget the us election news, Ernesto Verdugo and Dave Crane will get you with this video the us elections explained. They will provide you with election highlights compared to a reality TV show. Get ready to learn about Game Theory, Nash Equilibrium, why the us elections latest poll are irrelevant and why the us election candidates 2020: Donald Trump and Joe Biden are behaving the way they are. Listen to Ernesto Verdugo and Dave Crane on this episode of the Toilet Paper Diaries and Discover why the Apprentice, Omarosa, Dr. William from Big Brother, Drag Queens and even the "Rumble in the Jungle" with Mohamed Ali and George Forman and even Rocky Balboa and Clubber Lang (Mr.T) will show you how this crazy election is going to be the greatest show on earth! #uselection2020greatestshowonearth #trumpvsbiden #uselectionexplained Subscribe to our Podcast at: www.toiletpaperdiaries.com
In this episode, we discuss the concept of a Nash Equilibrium by inventing dating apps that cater to people with different relationship goals. Is there room in the world for "Stars and Swipes," "L-aid," and "Sound of Settling?"
On this week’s episode, something really different to what I normally do on the podcast. But an episode I think you will really enjoy.This week, as US states grapple with whether to re-open their economies, or remain on lockdown as a response to COVID-19, I am going to use the Nash Equilibrium as a way of explaining what is happening, why it’s happening, and what may potentially happen in the future.The Nash Equilibrium isn’t a silver bullet that will resolve the angst over COVID-19. But, in my opinion, it helps to explain why we are seeing what we are seeing. And, in turn, it helps to explain what can be done differently to smooth the bumpy road that will be cities, states and countries re-opening, and resuming the new normal. The Risktory Podcast is created, written, produced and hosted by Jacinthe A Galpin. Soundtrack (sourced from www.freemusicarchive.org)Alan Spiljak – CloudsAlan Spiljak – ForgottenAlan Spiljak – Light blueAlan Spiljak – Empty daysAlan Spiljak – Stars aboveAlan Spiljak – Not the endAlan Spiljak – SunAlan Spiljak – Flying awayAlan Spiljak – TimeAlan Spiljak – Fantasy in my mind Bibliographyhttps://www.lexico.com/definition/nash_equilibriumhttp://gametheory101.com/courses/game-theory-101/what-is-a-nash-equilibrium/https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/prisoners-dilemma.asphttps://medium.com/cantors-paradise/the-nash-equilibrium-explained-c9ad7e97633aEquipment I use*RODE NT USB Bundle Pack (mic, tripod and boom arm included) - https://amzn.to/37OZI6T *Adobe Audition - https://amzn.to/2OjXchn * Disclosure: These links are Amazon.com affiliate links. If you use them to make a purchase, the Risktory Podcast will earn a commission. Keep in mind that we link these companies and their products because of their quality and relevance to this week’s episode, and not because of the commission we receive from your purchases. The decision is yours, and whether or not you decide to buy something is completely up to you. Thank you for your ongoing support of the Risktory Podcast.
On this week’s episode, something really different to what I normally do on the podcast. But an episode I think you will really enjoy.This week, as US states grapple with whether to re-open their economies, or remain on lockdown as a response to COVID-19, I am going to use the Nash Equilibrium as a way of explaining what is happening, why it’s happening, and what may potentially happen in the future.The Nash Equilibrium isn’t a silver bullet that will resolve the angst over COVID-19. But, in my opinion, it helps to explain why we are seeing what we are seeing. And, in turn, it helps to explain what can be done differently to smooth the bumpy road that will be cities, states and countries re-opening, and resuming the new normal. The Risktory Podcast is created, written, produced and hosted by Jacinthe A Galpin. Soundtrack (sourced from www.freemusicarchive.org)Alan Spiljak – CloudsAlan Spiljak – ForgottenAlan Spiljak – Light blueAlan Spiljak – Empty daysAlan Spiljak – Stars aboveAlan Spiljak – Not the endAlan Spiljak – SunAlan Spiljak – Flying awayAlan Spiljak – TimeAlan Spiljak – Fantasy in my mind Bibliographyhttps://www.lexico.com/definition/nash_equilibriumhttp://gametheory101.com/courses/game-theory-101/what-is-a-nash-equilibrium/https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/prisoners-dilemma.asphttps://medium.com/cantors-paradise/the-nash-equilibrium-explained-c9ad7e97633aEquipment I use*RODE NT USB Bundle Pack (mic, tripod and boom arm included) - https://amzn.to/37OZI6T *Adobe Audition - https://amzn.to/2OjXchn * Disclosure: These links are Amazon.com affiliate links. If you use them to make a purchase, the Risktory Podcast will earn a commission. Keep in mind that we link these companies and their products because of their quality and relevance to this week’s episode, and not because of the commission we receive from your purchases. The decision is yours, and whether or not you decide to buy something is completely up to you. Thank you for your ongoing support of the Risktory Podcast.
This episode is one conversation recompiled from 3 individual video releases Jal and I worked on together in the spring of 2019. It explores the life and work of the Nobel winning mathematician John Nash's work and attempts to compare his game theory concepts regarding the Nash Equilibrium with bitcoin. It addresses his early work and mental health juxtaposing the real story against the film adaption seen in "A Beautiful Mind" and discusses macroeconomic concepts related to the ICPI. Connect with me at http://michael-finney.com --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/mdf-365/message Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/mdf-365/support
Ganhador do prêmio Nobel por seu trabalho que ficou conhecido como "Nash Equilibrium" (parte da Teoria dos Jogos que valida a rede Bitcoin), desenvolveu bases fundamentais para criptografias inquebráveis, Hal Finney o categorizou como um Proto-extropian, dedicou os últimos 20 anos de sua vida ao tema "Ideal Money" (Dinheiro Ideal), enfim... Seria o gênio John Nash, Satoshi Nakamoto? Vídeo: https://youtu.be/ZpBcQDxHkwM LINKS: Artigo do Juice (Dragon's Den) com resumo interessante https://medium.com/@rextar4444/20-years-ago-john-nash-re-defined-our-understanding-of-economics-again-and-we-still-havent-4f3b7f09fd0e Discussão no Reddit sobre o assunto https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/26xc2a/john_forbes_nash_jr_is_satoshi/ Dinheiro Ideal (Ideal Money) https://www.mediatheque.lindau-nobel.org/videos/31344/ideal-money-and-the-motivation-of-savings-and-thrift-2011/laureate-nash-jr Vídeo de entrevista após Nobel 2004 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jE24tzle1m8 Parte sobre Economia: https://youtu.be/jE24tzle1m8?t=926 Teoremas de John Nash - Cédric Villani https://youtu.be/iHKa8F-RsEM Artigo: Dinheiro Ideal (Ideal Money) https://www.jstor.org/stable/1061553?read-now=1&seq=1#page_scan_tab_contents Asymptotically Ideal Money https://fermatslibrary.com/p/213f2919 Hal Finney comentando sobre Nash ser Extropian http://extropians.weidai.com/extropians.1Q02/3146.html Cartas de John Nash para a NSA https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@jokerpravis/a-special-conjecture-unbreakable-encryption-john-nash-s-letter-to-the-nsa Página do Nobel de Economia de 1994 https://web.archive.org/web/20130421044209/http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics/laureates/1994/nash.html SIGA OS BITCOINHEIROS: Site: https://www.bitcoinheiros.com Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/bitcoinheiros Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/bitcoinheiros Allan - https://www.twitter.com/allanraicher Dov - https://twitter.com/bitdov Becas - https://twitter.com/bksbk6 Ivan - https://twitter.com/bitofsilence Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/bitcoinheiros Facebook: https://www.fb.com/bitcoinheiros --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/bitcoinheiros/message
Jack and Sean sit down with @TOMZAPPIA of the @keepitbasement podcast to talk about the Nash Equilibrium and game theory, and paper porn, and movies zappia has never seen and being in neighborhoods you shouldn't.
Generative Adversarial Networks or GANs are very powerful tools to generate data. However, training a GAN is not easy. More specifically, GANs suffer of three major issues such as instability of the training procedure, mode collapse and vanishing gradients. In this episode I not only explain the most challenging issues one would encounter while designing and training Generative Adversarial Networks. But also some methods and architectures to mitigate them. In addition I elucidate the three specific strategies that researchers are considering to improve the accuracy and the reliability of GANs. The most tedious issues of GANs Convergence to equilibrium A typical GAN is formed by at least two networks: a generator G and a discriminator D. The generator's task is to generate samples from random noise. In turn, the discriminator has to learn to distinguish fake samples from real ones. While it is theoretically possible that generators and discriminators converge to a Nash Equilibrium (at which both networks are in their optimal state), reaching such equilibrium is not easy. Vanishing gradients Moreover, a very accurate discriminator would push the loss function towards lower and lower values. This in turn, might cause the gradient to vanish and the entire network to stop learning completely. Mode collapse Another phenomenon that is easy to observe when dealing with GANs is mode collapse. That is the incapability of the model to generate diverse samples. This in turn, leads to generated data that are more and more similar to the previous ones. Hence, the entire generated dataset would be just concentrated around a particular statistical value. The solution Researchers have taken into consideration several approaches to overcome such issues. They have been playing with architectural changes, different loss functions and game theory. Listen to the full episode to know more about the most effective strategies to build GANs that are reliable and robust. Don't forget to join the conversation on our new Discord channel. See you there!
As a sequel to the prisoners dilemma we take a deeper dive into game theory.
Solomon and a worried mother show us what it looks like to create multiple winners from one encounter. It's easy to view the world as zero-sum, but the promise of God's love is that we can make choices that improve lives for everyone. In a Democracy, we must believe that.
Have you seen the movie a beautiful mind? Have you ever been facing jail time if you cooperate against an accomplice? Well, let’s focus on the movie first – there’s a scene where five guys, one of those guys being John Nash, and they are at a bar when a group of women walk in Read More ...
Get to know Jim Pilat, AIF® our newest team member at Peak Wealth Management! Jim shares with Nick his background and story as to how he became an advisor, and why joining the firm is a "Nash Equilibrium." Peak Wealth Management is a full-service Registered Investment Advisor located in Plymouth, MI. We believe by providing education and guidance, we inspire our clients to make great decisions putting them on a path toward fulfillment and their own definition of true wealth.
On this episode we dive into the story of John Forbes Nash, and his Nash Equilibrium, and talk a little bit about how his math can improve your life --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/mathematically-speaking/message Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/mathematically-speaking/support
We first complete our discussion of the candidate-voter model showing, in particular, that, in equilibrium, two candidates cannot be too far apart. Then we play and analyze Schelling’s location game. We discuss how segregation can occur in society even if no one desires it. We also learn that seemingly irrelevant details of a model can matter. We consider randomizations first by a central authority (such as in a bussing policy), and then decentralized randomization by the individuals themselves, “mixed strategies.” Finally, we look at rock, paper, scissors to see an example of a mixed-strategy equilibrium to a game.
We first consider the alternative “Bertrand” model of imperfect competition between two firms in which the firms set prices rather than setting quantities. Then we consider a richer model in which firms still set prices but in which the goods they produce are not identical. We model the firms as stores that are on either end of a long road or line. Customers live along this line. Then we return to models of strategic politics in which it is voters that are spread along a line. This time, however, we do not allow candidates to choose positions: they can only choose whether or not to enter the election. We play this “candidate-voter game” in the class, and we start to analyze both as a lesson about the notion of equilibrium and a lesson about politics.
We first define formally the new concept from last time: Nash equilibrium. Then we discuss why we might be interested in Nash equilibrium and how we might find Nash equilibrium in various games. As an example, we play a class investment game to illustrate that there can be many equilibria in social settings, and that societies can fail to coordinate at all or may coordinate on a bad equilibrium. We argue that coordination problems are common in the real world. Finally, we discuss why in such coordination problems–unlike in prisoners’ dilemmas–simply communicating may be a remedy.
We apply the notion of Nash Equilibrium, first, to some more coordination games; in particular, the Battle of the Sexes. Then we analyze the classic Cournot model of imperfect competition between firms. We consider the difficulties in colluding in such settings, and we discuss the welfare consequences of the Cournot equilibrium as compared to monopoly and perfect competition.
We continue the idea (from last time) of playing a best response to what we believe others will do. More particularly, we develop the idea that you should not play a strategy that is not a best response for any belief about others’ choices. We use this idea to analyze taking a penalty kick in soccer. Then we use it to analyze a profit-sharing partnership. Toward the end, we introduce a new notion: Nash Equilibrium.
Welcome to Blackbird9's Breakfast Club's Wednesday Podcast Diversity Dogs Devour Countless Jezebels. Tonight we will look at the symbolism contained in the story of Jezebel in Hebrew mythology. https://www.blackbird9tradingposts.org/2018/03/21/diversity-dogs-devour-countless-jezebels-blackbird9/In the First Hour Host we will be covering the recent chaotic events brought on by the teachings of the Frankfurt School Marxists. Their mission has always been to establish a Greater Israel ruled by globalism under the direction of Talmudic Noahide Law and at the same time force all other nations to surrender their independent sovereignty.In the Second Hour, Diversity Dogs Devour Countless Jezebels, the host examines the symbolism in the story of Jezebel in Hebrew mythology from a Game Theory perspective. Frederick expands on the previous discussions on labyrinths and The Two Guard puzzle to introduce the higher level puzzle known as The Prisoner's Dilemma used to demonstrate the late great John Nash's Cooperative Game Theory model known as The Nash Equilibrium. How can the strategies used by Elijah against both The Priests of Baal and the carpetbagger Femme Fatale Jazebel . . . who had the protection of corrupted King Ahab to the detriment of Elijah's own People . . . apply to our current situations due to the Cultural Marxist White Genocide policies of corrupted leaders such as Germany's Angela Merkel, UK's Theresa May, and Watauga County, North Cackilacki's own Appalachian State University Chancellor Sheri Everts?
Welcome to Blackbird9's Breakfast Club's Wednesday Podcast Diversity Dogs Devour Countless Jezebels. Tonight we will look at the symbolism contained in the story of Jezebel in Hebrew mythology. https://www.blackbird9tradingposts.org/2018/03/21/diversity-dogs-devour-countless-jezebels-blackbird9/In the First Hour Host we will be covering the recent chaotic events brought on by the teachings of the Frankfurt School Marxists. Their mission has always been to establish a Greater Israel ruled by globalism under the direction of Talmudic Noahide Law and at the same time force all other nations to surrender their independent sovereignty.In the Second Hour, Diversity Dogs Devour Countless Jezebels, the host examines the symbolism in the story of Jezebel in Hebrew mythology from a Game Theory perspective. Frederick expands on the previous discussions on labyrinths and The Two Guard puzzle to introduce the higher level puzzle known as The Prisoner's Dilemma used to demonstrate the late great John Nash's Cooperative Game Theory model known as The Nash Equilibrium. How can the strategies used by Elijah against both The Priests of Baal and the carpetbagger Femme Fatale Jazebel . . . who had the protection of corrupted King Ahab to the detriment of Elijah's own People . . . apply to our current situations due to the Cultural Marxist White Genocide policies of corrupted leaders such as Germany's Angela Merkel, UK's Theresa May, and Watauga County, North Cackilacki's own Appalachian State University Chancellor Sheri Everts?
For complete show notes, visit: http://becomingthealphamuslim.com/meta-learning I know what you're thinking: What the hell does learning math have to do with Becoming the Alpha Muslim? I'll tell you what. The Islamic Sacred Tradition is one of deep learning and transmission, so much so that entire books were written on the art of learning. More recently, the subject of meta-learning has become popular due to bloggers like Tim Ferriss, Cal Newport, and Scott H. Young. I don't know any of these guys, but I do know someone who I believe is somewhat of an authority on the subject. My guest this episode is Ed Latimore. Ed is a professional heavyweight boxer, physicist, published author, and self-improvement blogger. I invited him on to teach us how to learn math and, more broadly, speak about the subject of meta-learning. Ed is in an interesting position to speak about this subject because he entered university at the not-quite-old but certainly not young age of 28. As well, he gets punched in the head for a living. Both of these factors combined mean Ed had to take a deliberate and systematic approach to learning. One that he can now pass on to us. Enjoy. Show Notes [2:20] Ed's life circumstances necessitated that he learn HOW to learn so he can be successful at university and this had the added benefit of making him a good teacher [3:12] We live in an age where information is free. Because of this, the ability to process information soundly and efficiently has become priceless [4:25] Has entering university at 28 (as opposed to 18) and getting punched in the head for a living affected Ed's ability to learn? [5:30] When you are older, the tools you have available to learn are different than when you are younger, for example Young people don't have the concept of limitation, which is a plus, while adults have a better idea of what's possible Young people don't have the concept of failure, while adults understand that failure is not the be-all-end-all Young people learn as a matter of immersion, while adults know how to learn [9:35] As an adult you understand that the process of learning gets results no matter your natural aptitude. As long as you apply yourself over time, you will get better [13:30] How much does natural ability affect learning math? Yes, a high IQ helps, but does that mean you can't achieve a level of success? The world is not only composed of high IQ people. [17:00] Whether talent is real or not is irrelevant. What matters is whether you are using your belief in it to motivate yourself or to justify your weakness and lack of trying [17:39] If we take Goku and Vegeta as an example, Vegeta doesn't just accept that Goku is better than him and quit. He has an intrinsic belief in himself, as a pureblood Saiyan, that pushes him to train harder and harder and reach new heights [19:50] Walk around with the confidence Vegeta had when he let Cell absorb Android 18. That's the lie you must tell yourself about talent [21:00] When Ed decided to go back to school he knew that even though he was weak at math, given enough time, he could learn anything. So he started learning almost a year out. In having this mindset you learn the most valuable talent to have is hard work [22:50] Because had to learn these subjects the hard way, he is more proficient at teaching it than many high school teachers. The guy who doesn't have the most natural talent is always the best coach [25:20] Why should you study math? It's because math is just a series of relationships. If you can learn to think in terms of these abstract relationships, you can apply this skill to almost every aspect of your life [28:50] If you've watched A Beautiful Mind, the Nash Equilibrium was discovered because of Game, and trying to pick up girls (yes, I'm aware this is a fictionalized account). There's a reason the most high-paying careers have a math component [29:57] You don't lift weights because you regularly encounter barbell- and dumbbell-shaped objects you need to pick up and move around. You lift them because they make all the physical activity in your life much easier. Mathematics is weight-lifting for your brain [31:40] When you first start learning, you start by learning tactically and solving as many problems as possible until it becomes mechanical. Eventually, the problems will become harder and they won't be straightforward to solve. Then you have to move from HOW to WHY, and this is where you gain a deeper understanding of the subject matter [36:10] Your final aim should be, "how can I understand this well enough to explain it to someone without using mathematical terminology?" [38:30] Bruce Lee said, "the three stages of learning are: A punch is just a punch A punch is no longer just a punch A punch is just a punch" [40:00] Ed's studies directly help him in his day-to-day life. For example, learning math affects the way he operates on Twitter because he understands network effects. Learning physics makes him a much better boxer [45:30] Understanding momentum, power, impulse, and how they apply to boxing [50:00] Why should never use AP math credits in university, especially if you are in a technical major [54:30] Understanding math helps you become more analytical in everyday life situations and puts some finesse in your game, so you can save time and energy [56:30] Ed has increased his proficiency in mathematics to a point where he sees his limitations. While he would certainly like to take his understanding to the next level, he will likely only achieve this if he pursues graduate education in mathematics. You don't know how far you can be pushed until you need to be pushed that far [58:05] To go further than undergraduate-level math proficiency, the key is more immersion. Once you have improved to one plateau there is no reason you can't improve to a higher one. Your only limitations are time and effort (not talent). Your growth will become logarithmic (i.e. diminishing returns) [1:01:30] I tell Ed about the North-African tradition of learning; writing on wooden tablets, memorizing didactic poetry, and teaching what they learn (even to a tree or an animal) [1:03:30] The ability to learn instills self-confidence. "I did this difficult thing...what else can I do?" For Ed, getting through the Physics program means he can do anything he puts his mind to [1:08:00] At the very least, learning math gives you the ability to see relationships and make connections between seemingly unrelated topics and aspects of life. It also makes you a more interesting or fun person [1:09:10] Ed recommends The Art of Learning by Josh Waitzkin and A Mind for Numbers by Barbara Oakley [1:10:35] Nabeel recommends A Mathematician's Lament by Paul Lockhart and A Mathematicians Apology by G.H. Harvey [1:13:15] Ed's book, Not Caring What Other People Think is a Superpower, is available on Kindle and Paperback
In this classic GameTek Geoff pays tribute to game theorist John Nash. Duration: 06:35
Christian W. Bach (Maastricht) gives a talk at the Sixth Workshop in Decisions, Games & Logic '12 (June 28-30, 2012) titled "Pairwise Interactive Knowledge and Nash Equilibrium" (joint work with Elias Tsakas).
UNIVERSITY OF EXCELLENCE WWW.UOFE.ORG with Prince Handley RELATIONSHIP OF THE UNCERTAINTY PRINCIPLE TO CHAOS THEORY IN END TIMES SCENARIO By Prince Handley You can listen to this message NOW. Click on the pod circle at top left. (Allow images to display.) Alternate listening source: www.blubrry.com/prophecy Email this message to a friend. Subscribe to this Ezine teaching by Email: princehandley@gmail.com (Type “Subscribe” in the “Subject” line.) 24/7 release of Prince Handley teachings, BLOGS and podcasts > STREAM Text: “follow princehandley” to 40404 (in USA) Or, Twitter: princehandley _______________________________________________________________________ DESCRIPTION: In this teaching my goal is to present two basic principles that are not covered in most prophetic teaching – and more importantly – to inspire and recruit workers who will create and implement an End Time MEDIA project which will inform Jews, Israel and Gentiles of WHAT will happen soon on Planet Earth._______________________________________________________________________ RELATIONSHIP OF THE UNCERTAINTY PRINCIPLE TO CHAOS THEORY IN END TIMES SCENARIO By Prince Handley Several books have been written in recent years dealing with End Time scenarios and chronology especially with regard to Israel, the Tribulation Period and Armageddon. However, none of these have dealt with the two most basic principles of geopolitical upheaval: The Uncertainty Principle; and, Chaos Theory. As a preface to this treatise, may I direct you to The Art of Christian Warfare series located in the online study forum at The University of Excellence. My reason for doing so is twofold: Your first line of defense should be spiritual warfare; and, What good is it to know – or think you know – about eschatological (end time) warfare if you are not prepared for warfare in the present. Also, if you just “happen” to be positioned in the segue to tribulation time(s), you will … above all else … need to know all you can about spiritual warfare. The Uncertainty Principle The Uncertainty Principle is basic to every day life. Having learned such is your first doorway to maximum (natural) achievement in any long term endeavor. You might want to study my two publications dealing with the Principle of Uncertainty as it relates to the following: 2012 Synopsis of End Time Alignment of Nations CHINA has much to gain from the demise of the US … and the US dollar, as opposed to India, who only wants positioning on the NEW Global Currency as part of world economic leadership. However, China has plans in place for the downfall of the USA in international psychology, or game theory – similar to intercorporate group dynamics – and based upon the Nash Equilibrium. Prince Handley believes that China will at some point in the next 5 to 7 years assume an already SECRETLY SCHEDULED strategy – replacing its “seeming” position as regards its “partners of probability” in the Nash Equilibrium scenarios – of The Kuebler-Ross Model of Change, and use SHOCK to their advantage in order to argue for ACCEPTANCE in the 10 region New Global Governance along with Islam … to the rejection of its diplomatic ties with not only its other competitors, but mainly its diplomatic friend: Israel. Faith, Quantum Physics and Your Future One reason you need to see the future – and to understand the influence of uncertainty – is so you can effectively profit from: The past and present: The nature of reality; and, The operation of faith. The Past You may march off to the woods or go to war without having a knowledge of history, or as one who suffers from amnesia, but you can perform neither effectively nor optimally. The Present To advance into the Future, you must occupy a position in the present. The Future If you don't relate to the future, you can NOT minimize latency with the past and the present; therefore, you do not interact with optimal information for decision making and action. As stated above, to advance into the future you must have a quantized / momentary position in the present (you need a position from which to advance); And, for logistical purposes you require: Knowledge; Material; Experience; and, Networks. All of the above are derived from the past … even though you are operating in the momentary, quantized, present, The “present” will be the past location when you advance. For all practical purposes, we (as a Global Society) can forget about climate change and long term environmental mandates. These will prove to be miniscule efforts and will have microscopic results in relation to what is set to happen. These expenditures of time, labor and money would be much better spent on providing: 1. Relief efforts to famine stricken areas; and, 2. Water wells to areas who have no or minimal clean water resources. We learn from The Revelation that in the future the following three life critical emements are going to be toxically contaminated to the extent of harmful effects on the human race: Soil, Air, Water. I suggest you refer to Revelation and End Times: A Flow Chart of End Time Happenings. The influence of uncertainty is NOT even on the agenda of most prophecy writers – or readers. What IF all the money received from books, TV, DVD's and seminars dealing with prophecy and end times were redirected towards future strategies dealing with the influence of uncertainty in the end times. Let me give you just two examples: What about the other believing Jews around the world (in the Time of Jacob's Trouble … the Great Tribulation) who do NOT make it to the place prepared in the wilderness (maybe Petra?) where the believing Jews flee from the pseudo messiah? (See Brit Chadashah: Revelation 12:13-17.) What about creating mass media advertising about Mashiach, the End Times, and the “pseudo mashiach” to prepare Jews and others for what we know is really going to happen in the End Time. A marketing blitz that will NOT be forgotten; one that will cause people to think and remember – and be aware – of WHAT is really happening WHEN it happens! Chaos Theory The Uncertainty Principle prohibits accuracy. The evolution of a complex system can therefore NOT be accurately predicted … except by skeletal “waymarks” such as in Bible prophecy. The two main components of chaos theory are the ideas that systems - no matter how complex they may be - rely upon an underlying order, and that very simple or small systems and events can cause very complex behaviors or events. This latter idea is known as sensitive dependence on initial conditions , a circumstance discovered by Edward Lorenz (who is generally credited as the first experimenter in the area of chaos) in the early 1960s. However, Chaos Theory allows for GREAT departure – and at the same time – possible overlapping or “nearly repetitive cycles” of the initial conditions. For example, the “Seal, Trumpet and Bowl” judgments in the Book of Revelation might NOT have to be only consecutive or segmentally chronological. They may overlap … they may coincide … they may be simultaneous after unfolding … and, they may have NO predictability … EXCEPT that we KNOW they will happen! Summary As good stewards of Messiah Yeshua, because of the influence of uncertainty and the complex behaviors inherent with chaos dynamics, we must prepare and publish a worldwide permanent body of knowledge structured upon Biblical Prophecy for the following: Easily accessible and permanent information about Future Environmental Toxicity (the Judgments of The Revelation) – WHAT to do (i.e., how to know Messiah Yeshua); and, Media preparation for Jews, Israel, and Gentiles – WHAT will happen and WHY! ______________________________________________________________ CHALLENGE: Will you be the one to create and implement an End Time MEDIA project toinform Jews, Israel and Gentiles of WHAT will happen soon on Planet Earth?_______________________________________________________ We must also ramp up on spiritual warfare: both individually and corporately as members together in Messiah's Body. Maintain “looking for His appearing,” but stop arguing with other believers about when or when not the “rapture” will happen. (It wasn't a doctrine in the church until the 1800's anyway.) Fellowship with other believers; focus on the KEY prophecies, and win people to Messiah Jesus! Lots of people I talk to say they are going to WAIT until the Believers are missing, and then they will receive Jesus. We need to tell them WHAT is going to happen … and to get ready NOW ... because a strong delusion is going to be sent upon the Planet Earth. Make sure YOU are ready for whatever happens … whenever it happens: the Lord Jesus “catching you up” … or the judgments falling first. I have attended the BEST Christian conservative theological seminaries in the world; one, just to study eschatology (plus the University of Judaism). Also, I studied under four of the top Hebrew and Greek scholars who worked on the NASV. Our view of WHEN the Believers in Messiah will be caught up in the air to be with Him is something WE decide for ourself … but WHEN He actually does this may be different. Our job is to watch for His Appearing! Many evangelical Bible teachers changed their view in the last 20 years?! My view of WHEN the Lord will "catch away" His People will NOT change WHEN He does it. I'm just going to keep looking for ... and loving ... His return! Here's something to think about: If we get mad at other Believers about their view of the “rapture” … OR … if WE don't or can't fellowship with other believers because of their view of the “rapture” … guess who needs help! Keep watching for His Great Appearing! ___________________________ OPPORTUNITY TO HELP US ADVANCE We do NEW things for the LORD … Holy Spirit things! Work with us to reach the nations … and Israel … with exploits! Get rewards in Heaven … and on earth … for partnering in unique works! Click on the SECURE DONATE button below. A TAX DEDUCTIBLE RECEIPT WILL BE SENT TO YOU ___________________________ Baruch haba b'Shem Adonai. Your friend, Prince Handley President / Regent University of Excellence P.S. - Will you be the one who creates and implements this media project? Podcast time: 14 minutes, 43 seconds. For SEMINARS with Prince Handley: princehandley@gmail.com TWITTER: princehandley ___________________________ Rabbinical & Biblical Studies The Believers’ Intelligentsia Prince Handley Portal (1,000’s of FREE resources) Prince Handley Books ___________________________
PODCAST SATELLITE / The Voice of IsraelWWW.PODCASTSATELLITE.COMwith Prince Handley 2012 SYNOPSIS OF END TIME ALIGNMENT OF NATIONSPOLITICAL SCIENCE AND PROPHETIC SIGNS You can listen to this message NOW.Click on the LibSyn pod circle at top left. (Allow images to display.)Listen NOW or download for later. After you listen to this message, you can scroll down for all messagespreviously in the Archives (with Show Notes). There are several music beds in this podcast.The podcast is not over just because you hear music. Please email this message to a friend. RSS PODCAST 24/7 release of Prince Handley blogs, teachings, and podcasts >>> STREAM Text: "follow princehandley" to 40404 (in USA) Or, Twitter: princehandley ______________________________________________________________ 2012 SYNOPSIS OF END TIME ALIGNMENT OF NATIONSPOLITICAL SCIENCE and PROPHETIC SIGNSBy Prince Handley China and India will be predominant in the demise of the US dollar. Since China holds lots of US Treasury Note investments, they will NOT want the US dollar to careen too precipitously until the time of “perfection” as far as they are concerned. Also, since China exports so much product to the US, they are not so anxious for the US dollar to fail … until situations prevail that would make such a downturn advantageous to them. Military superiority intertwined with economic factors (basic commercialism) make strange but interactive bedfellows. INDIA cut a deal in January, 2012, to buy oil from Iran with gold rather than dollars. It may be that China will follow suit. With both China and India (large oil consumers – and soon to be the largest oil consumers in the world due to increased economic and manufacturing growth along with population) – in bed with Iran on the “gold” finger, the USA will be hung out to dry. See previous surmisings on other US problems – mostly caused by the incest of politics and banking and more recently contaminated by Obama's STD (socialized trade debt) – at: “USA Past and Future.” However, do NOT discount Russia and Brazil as “players” in this decade of decadence. RUSSIA wants the US dollar dead, also. Why? To weaken the US both economically and militarily. And, Brazil is in bed with Russia, India and China through the consortium of BRIC. GERMANY may at some time, and with the proper circumstantial pressure, revert back to anti-Israel policies and attitudes. In a recent research report, anti-semitism was found to be deeply rooted in German society. Also, Germany would like to regain it's base as a “power people” in coming years, especially in the confines of the EU and world commerce. Watch for this as it could precipitate a forcep of inequity for Israel resulting in a worldwide backlash. CHINA has much to gain from the demise of the US … and the US dollar, as opposed to India, who only wants positioning on the NEW Global Currency as part of world economic leadership. However, China has plans in place for the downfall of the USA in international psychology, or game theory – similar to intercorporate group dynamics – and based upon the Nash Equilibrium. Prince Handley believes that China will at some point in the next 5 to 7 years assume an already SECRETLY SCHEDULED strategy – replacing its “seeming” position as regards its “partners of probability” in the Nash Equilibrium scenarios – of The Kuebler-Ross Model of Change, and use SHOCK to their advantage in order to argue for ACCEPTANCE in the 10 region New Global Governance along with Islam … to the rejection of its diplomatic ties with not only its other competitors, but mainly its diplomatic friend: Israel. The key interchange will be the juxtapositioning of New Babylon and Jerusalem: The Harlot versus the Holy. It does not take too much theorizing along with Bible prophecy … if one is a genuine and knowledgeable truth seeker … to see that the imperial history of the Middle East (the world powers and their empires) have aligned over the centuries for a model to circumscribe the fulfillment of prophetic decrees by the Prophets of God. IRAQ is synonymous with a “royal flush” in poker. Why? Because the REAL reason for the war in Iraq plays a decisive hand in the End Times prophetic poker game of power, resulting in the setup for the underpinning of the New Babylon, which will bring about a paradigm shift in economics and geopolitics in the last days. China is smart to position itself as benefactor to the African nations by building infrastructure as a means to be close to resources in Africa. This also lends logistic stability to China's role in the “kings of the east” versus Iran in the conflict over the “strategy in waiting” of Islamization of China. Some of the “kings of the east” will be vicious enemies of each other due to cultural and geopolitical views. To compare the military strength of the nations of the world - excluding nuclear capability - go to: http://www.globalfirepower.com/. You will see that China and India are two out of the four top players in the world. They rank as follows: USAChinaRussiaIndia Most nations want the USA strong as long as it benefits them economically; however, since the writing of the book, The Ugly American in 1958 by Eugene Burdick and William Lederer, and the 1963 film with the same title (starring Marlon Brando), Americans and their country have taken a “less than front seat” in the eyes of many countries and their citizens. The element of jealousy also plays a large part … not only among citizenry, but in political power circles. You are never jealous of anyone unless they have MORE or BETTER than you: even if they help you and are your benefactor. NORTH KOREA is the “wild card” in the deck. (No pun intended.) North Korea is as unpredictable as its new leader, Kim Jong-un, but it is highly probable it will be included in the alignment with the “kings of the east.” The influence of uncertainty plays a psychological factor in the alternate plans of leading nations … even in the Pacific Rim where other smaller nations like Japan, South Korea and the Philippines … are “antsy” with regard to North Korea. One possible scenario, although highly unlikely, is that Kim Jong-un's half brother would take over as leader. That could change the whole picture as far as possible elimination of nuclear-nut cases. But, they could still be dangerous as far as supply of training and materials to rogue nation-states or terrorist groups. IRAN is at the epicenter of imminent military and nuclear concern at this time juncture. The only KEY dampening effect on Iran is Israel. The US, EU, UN, and NATO are NOT to be relied upon to stop Iran because of weakness and lack of resolve in their leadership. Only Israel can and will do the job. For a discussion on Iran and its ties with Russia, and its ultimate defeat, go to: “Israel: Times of the Signs.” However, for a chronological flow of how Iran plays into Middle East conflict before its ultimate destruction, see: “A Message to Israel, Bibi, IDF and Mossad.” Ahmadinejad, Iran's governmental leader, claims that he (Acmadinejad) is to personally prepare the world for the coming Mahdi. In order to save the world, it (the world) must be in a state of chaos and subjugation. Ahmadinejad claims he was “directed by Allah to pave the way for the glorious appearance of the Mahdi”. This apocalyptic directive includes some very scary proclamations. Iran's parters, Syria and Hizballah, along with possibly Iraq will present a triple threat to Israel from … and toward … differerent arenas. See my directive to Israel's leadership in August of 2008, at Podcast Satellite under the section, "Iran, Syria, and Lebanon." The recent lack of Western and Saudi-Arab powers to topple Assad in Syria have strengthend Hizballah and made them more credible in the eyes of other dissidents with the following results: The Tehran-Damascus-Hizballah bloc is strengthened, joined most recently by Iraq. Iran receives recognition for outplaying USA and Saudi led Gulf Arab partners. Hizballah has been strengthened in the eyes of Lebanon, Syria, and Iran … and joined by Iraq. Turkey backed down on help for Syrian independence to stay on good terms with Iran. China and Russia have moved forward to replace USA in Middle East influence. Russia's help in arms slaes and naval support to Syria … and China's military and economic overtures with the Persian Gulf states. ISRAEL is faced with autonomous decision making, unlike past international relationships, both diplomatic and militarily. The only way Israel will defeat Iran is by taking action on its own. Let me be specific. It appears that no other nation is worthy of such posturing. Israel can NOT depend on anyone except G-d at this coordinate of strategic interplay: especially the USA, who is long on words and short on substance because of its leadership (not its people). The US President may take action against Iran as a political gesture in Spring or early Summer posturing in time for the 2012 Presidential elections in the Fall. However, the President's previous stance in his effort to move Israel back to 1967 borders which was manifested right before Prime Minister Netanyahu's speech to the US Congress May 24, 2011, is a bad omen. When Obama saw that Congress and the American people would NOT stand for such betrayal of Israel, he promptly reversed course. I think, also, that it is highly probable the Barack Hussein Obama may one day be Secretary-General of the United Nations, and that could well be a portent of calamitous events prophesied in the Bible. The US set a goal date for deploying a commando platform in the Persian Gulf about May, 2012, indicated preparation for military clashes to blow up with Iran in the late spring or early summer, 2012. However, this is NOT a strategy to help Israel, but only to preserve the flow of oil through the Strait of Hormuz. It has nothing to do with the nuclear threat posed by Iran, nor the defense of the Israeli people. It is a counter-measure against mines which Iran has threatened to plant in the Strait of Hormuz in reprisal for the US-EU oil embargo. The US Navy SEALs will also take on Iran's menacing fleet of military speedboats aimed at striking tankers, coastal oil targets around the Gulf (export terminals) and US ships preyed upon by missiles and suicide under-water missions. Saudi Arabia pledged to increase production of oil to make up for diminishing oil supplies from cancelled oil orders from countries placing sanctions against Iran; however, necessary quantities of oil will not flow from the Saudis until May … and Iran may opt to attack oil tankers, as well as US Navy ships in the Persian Gulf before then. Why would Iran foolishly wait until the US and other of Iran's adversarys have their ducks in order by May?! WHAT TO WATCH FOR IN THE FUTURE In 2012 there will be great model changes – geopolitical, economical and military shifts – couse altering events that will affect the future of Planet Earth … and usher in the End Time Preparation decreed by the Prophets of God in the Holy Bible. After 2012 watch for either of these: A world leader who is fatally wounded in the head AND whose deadly wound is healed. This leader will be the one the New World Order will choose as their leader. He will be the PSEUDO messiah. Or ... a world system which was seemingly dead is revived and becomes a great world power once again. This could be Islam. The Eastern leg of the Old Roman Empire outlived the Western leg for about 1,000 years. In the past, many Bible scholars tried to fit the Old Roman Empire into the 10 nation confederacy that will arise in the last days. However, they failed to take into consideration that the Ottoman Empire and the influence of Byzantium ... and Islam ... was the extension that lasted longer. So, hermeneutically, Islam could be the exact "fit" for a "deadly wound that was healed." This is probably the correct interpretation ... and therefore: WATCH ISLAM (and Turkey). Also, after 2012, watch for: China will surpass Russia and the USA in nuclear proliferation and become part of the military triumvirate of the East. A combination of the EU, the League of Arab States, and Iran forming a complex of TEN Regions of nation-states. New Babylon will become the concourse of world trade and Muslim ideology. Watch … and PRAY! Baruch haba b'Shem Adonai. Your friend,Prince HandleyPresident / RegentUniversity of Excellence WEBSITES: www.uofe.org www.podcastsatellite.com www.princehandley.wordpress.comPODCASTS (INTERNET BROADCASTS): VOICE OF ISRAEL Podcast: www.podcastsatellite.libsyn.com24/7 PRINCE HANDLEY BLOGS, TEACHING AND PODCASTSwww.twitter.com/princehandley/TWITTER: princehandley Podcast time: 15 minutes, 27 seconds
PODCAST SATELLITE / The Voice of IsraelWWW.PODCASTSATELLITE.COMwith Prince Handley 2012 SYNOPSIS OF END TIME ALIGNMENT OF NATIONSPOLITICAL SCIENCE AND PROPHETIC SIGNS You can listen to this message NOW.Click on the LibSyn pod circle at top left. (Allow images to display.)Listen NOW or download for later. After you listen to this message, you can scroll down for all messagespreviously in the Archives (with Show Notes). There are several music beds in this podcast.The podcast is not over just because you hear music. Please email this message to a friend. RSS PODCAST 24/7 release of Prince Handley blogs, teachings, and podcasts >>> STREAM Text: "follow princehandley" to 40404 (in USA) Or, Twitter: princehandley ______________________________________________________________ 2012 SYNOPSIS OF END TIME ALIGNMENT OF NATIONSPOLITICAL SCIENCE and PROPHETIC SIGNSBy Prince Handley China and India will be predominant in the demise of the US dollar. Since China holds lots of US Treasury Note investments, they will NOT want the US dollar to careen too precipitously until the time of “perfection” as far as they are concerned. Also, since China exports so much product to the US, they are not so anxious for the US dollar to fail … until situations prevail that would make such a downturn advantageous to them. Military superiority intertwined with economic factors (basic commercialism) make strange but interactive bedfellows. INDIA cut a deal in January, 2012, to buy oil from Iran with gold rather than dollars. It may be that China will follow suit. With both China and India (large oil consumers – and soon to be the largest oil consumers in the world due to increased economic and manufacturing growth along with population) – in bed with Iran on the “gold” finger, the USA will be hung out to dry. See previous surmisings on other US problems – mostly caused by the incest of politics and banking and more recently contaminated by Obama's STD (socialized trade debt) – at: “USA Past and Future.” However, do NOT discount Russia and Brazil as “players” in this decade of decadence. RUSSIA wants the US dollar dead, also. Why? To weaken the US both economically and militarily. And, Brazil is in bed with Russia, India and China through the consortium of BRIC. GERMANY may at some time, and with the proper circumstantial pressure, revert back to anti-Israel policies and attitudes. In a recent research report, anti-semitism was found to be deeply rooted in German society. Also, Germany would like to regain it's base as a “power people” in coming years, especially in the confines of the EU and world commerce. Watch for this as it could precipitate a forcep of inequity for Israel resulting in a worldwide backlash. CHINA has much to gain from the demise of the US … and the US dollar, as opposed to India, who only wants positioning on the NEW Global Currency as part of world economic leadership. However, China has plans in place for the downfall of the USA in international psychology, or game theory – similar to intercorporate group dynamics – and based upon the Nash Equilibrium. Prince Handley believes that China will at some point in the next 5 to 7 years assume an already SECRETLY SCHEDULED strategy – replacing its “seeming” position as regards its “partners of probability” in the Nash Equilibrium scenarios – of The Kuebler-Ross Model of Change, and use SHOCK to their advantage in order to argue for ACCEPTANCE in the 10 region New Global Governance along with Islam … to the rejection of its diplomatic ties with not only its other competitors, but mainly its diplomatic friend: Israel. The key interchange will be the juxtapositioning of New Babylon and Jerusalem: The Harlot versus the Holy. It does not take too much theorizing along with Bible prophecy … if one is a genuine and knowledgeable truth seeker … to see that the imperial history of the Middle East (the world powers and their empires) have aligned over the centuries for a model to circumscribe the fulfillment of prophetic decrees by the Prophets of God. IRAQ is synonymous with a “royal flush” in poker. Why? Because the REAL reason for the war in Iraq plays a decisive hand in the End Times prophetic poker game of power, resulting in the setup for the underpinning of the New Babylon, which will bring about a paradigm shift in economics and geopolitics in the last days. China is smart to position itself as benefactor to the African nations by building infrastructure as a means to be close to resources in Africa. This also lends logistic stability to China's role in the “kings of the east” versus Iran in the conflict over the “strategy in waiting” of Islamization of China. Some of the “kings of the east” will be vicious enemies of each other due to cultural and geopolitical views. To compare the military strength of the nations of the world - excluding nuclear capability - go to: http://www.globalfirepower.com/. You will see that China and India are two out of the four top players in the world. They rank as follows: USAChinaRussiaIndia Most nations want the USA strong as long as it benefits them economically; however, since the writing of the book, The Ugly American in 1958 by Eugene Burdick and William Lederer, and the 1963 film with the same title (starring Marlon Brando), Americans and their country have taken a “less than front seat” in the eyes of many countries and their citizens. The element of jealousy also plays a large part … not only among citizenry, but in political power circles. You are never jealous of anyone unless they have MORE or BETTER than you: even if they help you and are your benefactor. NORTH KOREA is the “wild card” in the deck. (No pun intended.) North Korea is as unpredictable as its new leader, Kim Jong-un, but it is highly probable it will be included in the alignment with the “kings of the east.” The influence of uncertainty plays a psychological factor in the alternate plans of leading nations … even in the Pacific Rim where other smaller nations like Japan, South Korea and the Philippines … are “antsy” with regard to North Korea. One possible scenario, although highly unlikely, is that Kim Jong-un's half brother would take over as leader. That could change the whole picture as far as possible elimination of nuclear-nut cases. But, they could still be dangerous as far as supply of training and materials to rogue nation-states or terrorist groups. IRAN is at the epicenter of imminent military and nuclear concern at this time juncture. The only KEY dampening effect on Iran is Israel. The US, EU, UN, and NATO are NOT to be relied upon to stop Iran because of weakness and lack of resolve in their leadership. Only Israel can and will do the job. For a discussion on Iran and its ties with Russia, and its ultimate defeat, go to: “Israel: Times of the Signs.” However, for a chronological flow of how Iran plays into Middle East conflict before its ultimate destruction, see: “A Message to Israel, Bibi, IDF and Mossad.” Ahmadinejad, Iran's governmental leader, claims that he (Acmadinejad) is to personally prepare the world for the coming Mahdi. In order to save the world, it (the world) must be in a state of chaos and subjugation. Ahmadinejad claims he was “directed by Allah to pave the way for the glorious appearance of the Mahdi”. This apocalyptic directive includes some very scary proclamations. Iran's parters, Syria and Hizballah, along with possibly Iraq will present a triple threat to Israel from … and toward … differerent arenas. See my directive to Israel's leadership in August of 2008, at Podcast Satellite under the section, "Iran, Syria, and Lebanon." The recent lack of Western and Saudi-Arab powers to topple Assad in Syria have strengthend Hizballah and made them more credible in the eyes of other dissidents with the following results: The Tehran-Damascus-Hizballah bloc is strengthened, joined most recently by Iraq. Iran receives recognition for outplaying USA and Saudi led Gulf Arab partners. Hizballah has been strengthened in the eyes of Lebanon, Syria, and Iran … and joined by Iraq. Turkey backed down on help for Syrian independence to stay on good terms with Iran. China and Russia have moved forward to replace USA in Middle East influence. Russia's help in arms slaes and naval support to Syria … and China's military and economic overtures with the Persian Gulf states. ISRAEL is faced with autonomous decision making, unlike past international relationships, both diplomatic and militarily. The only way Israel will defeat Iran is by taking action on its own. Let me be specific. It appears that no other nation is worthy of such posturing. Israel can NOT depend on anyone except G-d at this coordinate of strategic interplay: especially the USA, who is long on words and short on substance because of its leadership (not its people). The US President may take action against Iran as a political gesture in Spring or early Summer posturing in time for the 2012 Presidential elections in the Fall. However, the President's previous stance in his effort to move Israel back to 1967 borders which was manifested right before Prime Minister Netanyahu's speech to the US Congress May 24, 2011, is a bad omen. When Obama saw that Congress and the American people would NOT stand for such betrayal of Israel, he promptly reversed course. I think, also, that it is highly probable the Barack Hussein Obama may one day be Secretary-General of the United Nations, and that could well be a portent of calamitous events prophesied in the Bible. The US set a goal date for deploying a commando platform in the Persian Gulf about May, 2012, indicated preparation for military clashes to blow up with Iran in the late spring or early summer, 2012. However, this is NOT a strategy to help Israel, but only to preserve the flow of oil through the Strait of Hormuz. It has nothing to do with the nuclear threat posed by Iran, nor the defense of the Israeli people. It is a counter-measure against mines which Iran has threatened to plant in the Strait of Hormuz in reprisal for the US-EU oil embargo. The US Navy SEALs will also take on Iran's menacing fleet of military speedboats aimed at striking tankers, coastal oil targets around the Gulf (export terminals) and US ships preyed upon by missiles and suicide under-water missions. Saudi Arabia pledged to increase production of oil to make up for diminishing oil supplies from cancelled oil orders from countries placing sanctions against Iran; however, necessary quantities of oil will not flow from the Saudis until May … and Iran may opt to attack oil tankers, as well as US Navy ships in the Persian Gulf before then. Why would Iran foolishly wait until the US and other of Iran's adversarys have their ducks in order by May?! WHAT TO WATCH FOR IN THE FUTURE In 2012 there will be great model changes – geopolitical, economical and military shifts – couse altering events that will affect the future of Planet Earth … and usher in the End Time Preparation decreed by the Prophets of God in the Holy Bible. After 2012 watch for either of these: A world leader who is fatally wounded in the head AND whose deadly wound is healed. This leader will be the one the New World Order will choose as their leader. He will be the PSEUDO messiah. Or ... a world system which was seemingly dead is revived and becomes a great world power once again. This could be Islam. The Eastern leg of the Old Roman Empire outlived the Western leg for about 1,000 years. In the past, many Bible scholars tried to fit the Old Roman Empire into the 10 nation confederacy that will arise in the last days. However, they failed to take into consideration that the Ottoman Empire and the influence of Byzantium ... and Islam ... was the extension that lasted longer. So, hermeneutically, Islam could be the exact "fit" for a "deadly wound that was healed." This is probably the correct interpretation ... and therefore: WATCH ISLAM (and Turkey). Also, after 2012, watch for: China will surpass Russia and the USA in nuclear proliferation and become part of the military triumvirate of the East. A combination of the EU, the League of Arab States, and Iran forming a complex of TEN Regions of nation-states. New Babylon will become the concourse of world trade and Muslim ideology. Watch … and PRAY! Baruch haba b'Shem Adonai. Your friend,Prince HandleyPresident / RegentUniversity of Excellence WEBSITES: www.uofe.org www.podcastsatellite.com www.princehandley.wordpress.comPODCASTS (INTERNET BROADCASTS): VOICE OF ISRAEL Podcast: www.podcastsatellite.libsyn.com24/7 PRINCE HANDLEY BLOGS, TEACHING AND PODCASTSwww.twitter.com/princehandley/TWITTER: princehandley Podcast time: 15 minutes, 27 seconds
APOSTLE TALK - Future News Now!WWW.PRINCEHANDLEY.COM with Prince Handley 2012 SYNOPSIS OF END TIME ALIGNMENT OF NATIONSPOLITICAL SCIENCE AND PROPHETIC SIGNS You can listen to this message NOW.Click in the LibSyn pod circle at top left. (Allow images to display.)Listen NOW or download for later. For INSTANT REPLAY, go to: www.blubrry.com/prophecy/ Please email this message to a friend. You may SUBSCRIBE to this ezine teaching by email to: princehandley@gmail.com(Type 'SUBSCRIBE" into the "Subject" line.) RSS PODCAST 24/7 release of ALL Prince Handley teachings and podcasts >>> STREAM Text: "follow princehandley" to 40404 (in USA) Or, Twitter: princehandley ______________________________________________________________ 2012 SYNOPSIS OF END TIME ALIGNMENT OF NATIONSPOLITICAL SCIENCE and PROPHETIC SIGNSBy Prince Handley China and India will be predominant in the demise of the US dollar. Since China holds lots of US Treasury Note investments, they will NOT want the US dollar to careen too precipitously until the time of “perfection” as far as they are concerned. Also, since China exports so much product to the US, they are not so anxious for the US dollar to fail … until situations prevail that would make such a downturn advantageous to them. Military superiority intertwined with economic factors (basic commercialism) make strange but interactive bedfellows. INDIA cut a deal in January, 2012, to buy oil from Iran with gold rather than dollars. It may be that China will follow suit. With both China and India (large oil consumers – and soon to be the largest oil consumers in the world due to increased economic and manufacturing growth along with population) – in bed with Iran on the “gold” finger, the USA will be hung out to dry. See previous surmisings on other US problems – mostly caused by the incest of politics and banking and more recently contaminated by Obama's STD (socialized trade debt) – at: “USA Past and Future.” However, do NOT discount Russia and Brazil as “players” in this decade of decadence. RUSSIA wants the US dollar dead, also. Why? To weaken the US both economically and militarily. And, Brazil is in bed with Russia, India and China through the consortium of BRIC. GERMANY may at some time, and with the proper circumstantial pressure, revert back to anti-Israel policies and attitudes. In a recent research report, anti-semitism was found to be deeply rooted in German society. Also, Germany would like to regain it's base as a “power people” in coming years, especially in the confines of the EU and world commerce. Watch for this as it could precipitate a forcep of inequity for Israel resulting in a worldwide backlash. CHINA has much to gain from the demise of the US … and the US dollar, as opposed to India, who only wants positioning on the NEW Global Currency as part of world economic leadership. However, China has plans in place for the downfall of the USA in international psychology, or game theory – similar to intercorporate group dynamics – and based upon the Nash Equilibrium. Prince Handley believes that China will at some point in the next 5 to 7 years assume an already SECRETLY SCHEDULED strategy – replacing its “seeming” position as regards its “partners of probability” in the Nash Equilibrium scenarios – of The Kuebler-Ross Model of Change, and use SHOCK to their advantage in order to argue for ACCEPTANCE in the 10 region New Global Governance along with Islam … to the rejection of its diplomatic ties with not only its other competitors, but mainly its diplomatic friend: Israel. The key interchange will be the juxtapositioning of New Babylon and Jerusalem: The Harlot versus the Holy. It does not take too much theorizing along with Bible prophecy … if one is a genuine and knowledgeable truth seeker … to see that the imperial history of the Middle East (the world powers and their empires) have aligned over the centuries for a model to circumscribe the fulfillment of prophetic decrees by the Prophets of God. IRAQ is synonymous with a “royal flush” in poker. Why? Because the REAL reason for the war in Iraq plays a decisive hand in the End Times prophetic poker game of power, resulting in the setup for the underpinning of the New Babylon, which will bring about a paradigm shift in economics and geopolitics in the last days. China is smart to position itself as benefactor to the African nations by building infrastructure as a means to be close to resources in Africa. This also lends logistic stability to China's role in the “kings of the east” versus Iran in the conflict over the “strategy in waiting” of Islamization of China. Some of the “kings of the east” will be vicious enemies of each other due to cultural and geopolitical views. To compare the military strength of the nations of the world - excluding nuclear capability - go to: http://www.globalfirepower.com/. You will see that China and India are two out of the four top players in the world. They rank as follows: USAChinaRussiaIndia Most nations want the USA strong as long as it benefits them economically; however, since the writing of the book, The Ugly American in 1958 by Eugene Burdick and William Lederer, and the 1963 film with the same title (starring Marlon Brando), Americans and their country have taken a “less than front seat” in the eyes of many countries and their citizens. The element of jealousy also plays a large part … not only among citizenry, but in political power circles. You are never jealous of anyone unless they have MORE or BETTER than you: even if they help you and are your benefactor. NORTH KOREA is the “wild card” in the deck. (No pun intended.) North Korea is as unpredictable as its new leader, Kim Jong-un, but it is highly probable it will be included in the alignment with the “kings of the east.” The influence of uncertainty plays a psychological factor in the alternate plans of leading nations … even in the Pacific Rim where other smaller nations like Japan, South Korea and the Philippines … are “antsy” with regard to North Korea. One possible scenario, although highly unlikely, is that Kim Jong-un's half brother would take over as leader. That could change the whole picture as far as possible elimination of nuclear-nut cases. But, they could still be dangerous as far as supply of training and materials to rogue nation-states or terrorist groups. IRAN is at the epicenter of imminent military and nuclear concern at this time juncture. The only KEY dampening effect on Iran is Israel. The US, EU, UN, and NATO are NOT to be relied upon to stop Iran because of weakness and lack of resolve in their leadership. Only Israel can and will do the job. For a discussion on Iran and its ties with Russia, and its ultimate defeat, go to: “Israel: Times of the Signs.” However, for a chronological flow of how Iran plays into Middle East conflict before its ultimate destruction, see: “A Message to Israel, Bibi, IDF and Mossad.” Ahmadinejad, Iran's governmental leader, claims that he (Acmadinejad) is to personally prepare the world for the coming Mahdi. In order to save the world, it (the world) must be in a state of chaos and subjugation. Ahmadinejad claims he was “directed by Allah to pave the way for the glorious appearance of the Mahdi”. This apocalyptic directive includes some very scary proclamations. ISRAEL is faced with autonomous decision making, unlike past international relationships, both diplomatic and militarily. The only way Israel will defeat Iran is by taking action on its own. Let me be specific. It appears that no other nation is worthy of such posturing. Israel can NOT depend on anyone except G-d at this coordinate of strategic interplay: especially the USA, who is long on words and short on substance because of its leadership (not its people). The US President may take action against Iran as a political gesture in Spring or early Summer posturing in time for the 2012 Presidential elections in the Fall. However, the President's previous stance in his effort to move Israel back to 1967 borders which was manifested right before Prime Minister Netanyahu's speech to the US Congress May 24, 2011, is a bad omen. When Obama saw that Congress and the American people would NOT stand for such betrayal of Israel, he promptly reversed course. I think, also, that it is highly probable the Barack Hussein Obama may one day be Secretary-General of the United Nations, and that could well be a portent of calamitous events prophesied in the Bible. The US set a goal date for deploying a commando platform in the Persian Gulf about May, 2012, indicated preparation for military clashes to blow up with Iran in the late spring or early summer, 2012. However, this is NOT a strategy to help Israel, but only to preserve the flow of oil through the Strait of Hormuz. It has nothing to do with the nuclear threat posed by Iran, nor the defense of the Israeli people. It is a counter-measure against mines which Iran has threatened to plant in the Strait of Hormuz in reprisal for the US-EU oil embargo. The US Navy SEALs will also take on Iran's menacing fleet of military speedboats aimed at striking tankers, coastal oil targets around the Gulf (export terminals) and US ships preyed upon by missiles and suicide under-water missions. Saudi Arabia pledged to increase production of oil to make up for diminishing oil supplies from cancelled oil orders from countries placing sanctions against Iran; however, necessary quantities of oil will not flow from the Saudis until May … and Iran may opt to attack oil tankers, as well as US Navy ships in the Persian Gulf before then. Why would Iran foolishly wait until the US and other of Iran's adversarys have their ducks in order by May?! WHAT TO WATCH FOR IN THE FUTURE In 2012 there will be great model changes – geopolitical, economical and military shifts – couse altering events that will affect the future of Planet Earth … and usher in the End Time Preparation decreed by the Prophets of God in the Holy Bible. After 2012 watch for either of these: A world leader who is fatally wounded in the head AND whose deadly wound is healed. This leader will be the one the New World Order will choose as their leader. He will be the PSEUDO messiah. Or ... a world system which was seemingly dead is revived and becomes a great world power once again. This could be Islam. The Eastern leg of the Old Roman Empire outlived the Western leg for about 1,000 years. In the past, many Bible scholars tried to fit the Old Roman Empire into the 10 nation confederacy that will arise in the last days. However, they failed to take into consideration that the Ottoman Empire and the influence of Byzantium ... and Islam ... was the extension that lasted longer. So, hermeneutically, Islam could be the exact "fit" for a "deadly wound that was healed." This is probably the correct interpretation ... and therefore: WATCH ISLAM (and Turkey). Also, after 2012, watch for: China will surpass Russia and the USA in nuclear proliferation and become part of the military triumvirate of the East. A combination of the EU, the League of Arab States, and Iran forming a complex of TEN Regions of nation-states. New Babylon will become the concourse of world trade and Muslim ideology. Watch … and PRAY! Baruch haba b'Shem Adonai. Your friend,Prince HandleyPresident / RegentUniversity of Excellence WEBSITES: www.uofe.org www.realmiracles.com www.princehandley.com www.podcastsatellite.com www.hmpodcast.wordpress.com www.princehandley.wordpress.com www.apostlehandley.wordpress.com 1,000 Messages by Prince HandleyPODCASTS (INTERNET BROADCASTS): ADVANCED TEACHING Podcast: www.apostle.libsyn.com VOICE OF ISRAEL Podcast: www.podcastsatellite.libsyn.com HEALING & MIRACLE Podcast: www.healing.libsyn.com PRINCE HANDLEY Podcast: www.princehandley.libsyn.com24/7 PRINCE HANDLEY BLOGS, TEACHING AND PODCASTSwww.twitter.com/princehandley/TWITTER: princehandley Podcast time: 15 minutes, 27 seconds
In this lecture we shall talk about: Existence of Nash equilibrium Mixed strategies
We will talk about Nash Equilibrium: Examples of games What is a Nash Equilibrium (and in the movie Beautiful Mind) Nash Equilibrium in terms of best response function
In this lecture we will talk about: Strictly dominated strategies Symmetric games and Nash equilibria Characterising mixed strategy equilibria How to compute Nash equilibria
We first define formally the new concept from last time: Nash equilibrium. Then we discuss why we might be interested in Nash equilibrium and how we might find Nash equilibrium in various games. As an example, we play a class investment game to illustrate that there can be many equilibria in social settings, and that societies can fail to coordinate at all or may coordinate on a bad equilibrium. We argue that coordination problems are common in the real world. Finally, we discuss why in such coordination problems--unlike in prisoners' dilemmas--simply communicating may be a remedy.
We continue the idea (from last time) of playing a best response to what we believe others will do. More particularly, we develop the idea that you should not play a strategy that is not a best response for any belief about others' choices. We use this idea to analyze taking a penalty kick in soccer. Then we use it to analyze a profit-sharing partnership. Toward the end, we introduce a new notion: Nash Equilibrium.
We apply the notion of Nash Equilibrium, first, to some more coordination games; in particular, the Battle of the Sexes. Then we analyze the classic Cournot model of imperfect competition between firms. We consider the difficulties in colluding in such settings, and we discuss the welfare consequences of the Cournot equilibrium as compared to monopoly and perfect competition.
We first consider the alternative "Bertrand" model of imperfect competition between two firms in which the firms set prices rather than setting quantities. Then we consider a richer model in which firms still set prices but in which the goods they produce are not identical. We model the firms as stores that are on either end of a long road or line. Customers live along this line. Then we return to models of strategic politics in which it is voters that are spread along a line. This time, however, we do not allow candidates to choose positions: they can only choose whether or not to enter the election. We play this "candidate-voter game" in the class, and we start to analyze both as a lesson about the notion of equilibrium and a lesson about politics.
We first complete our discussion of the candidate-voter model showing, in particular, that, in equilibrium, two candidates cannot be too far apart. Then we play and analyze Schelling's location game. We discuss how segregation can occur in society even if no one desires it. We also learn that seemingly irrelevant details of a model can matter. We consider randomizations first by a central authority (such as in a bussing policy), and then decentralized randomization by the individuals themselves, "mixed strategies." Finally, we look at rock, paper, scissors to see an example of a mixed-strategy equilibrium to a game.
We first define formally the new concept from last time: Nash equilibrium. Then we discuss why we might be interested in Nash equilibrium and how we might find Nash equilibrium in various games. As an example, we play a class investment game to illustrate that there can be many equilibria in social settings, and that societies can fail to coordinate at all or may coordinate on a bad equilibrium. We argue that coordination problems are common in the real world. Finally, we discuss why in such coordination problems--unlike in prisoners' dilemmas--simply communicating may be a remedy.
We first complete our discussion of the candidate-voter model showing, in particular, that, in equilibrium, two candidates cannot be too far apart. Then we play and analyze Schelling's location game. We discuss how segregation can occur in society even if no one desires it. We also learn that seemingly irrelevant details of a model can matter. We consider randomizations first by a central authority (such as in a bussing policy), and then decentralized randomization by the individuals themselves, "mixed strategies." Finally, we look at rock, paper, scissors to see an example of a mixed-strategy equilibrium to a game.
We first consider the alternative "Bertrand" model of imperfect competition between two firms in which the firms set prices rather than setting quantities. Then we consider a richer model in which firms still set prices but in which the goods they produce are not identical. We model the firms as stores that are on either end of a long road or line. Customers live along this line. Then we return to models of strategic politics in which it is voters that are spread along a line. This time, however, we do not allow candidates to choose positions: they can only choose whether or not to enter the election. We play this "candidate-voter game" in the class, and we start to analyze both as a lesson about the notion of equilibrium and a lesson about politics.
We continue the idea (from last time) of playing a best response to what we believe others will do. More particularly, we develop the idea that you should not play a strategy that is not a best response for any belief about others' choices. We use this idea to analyze taking a penalty kick in soccer. Then we use it to analyze a profit-sharing partnership. Toward the end, we introduce a new notion: Nash Equilibrium.
We apply the notion of Nash Equilibrium, first, to some more coordination games; in particular, the Battle of the Sexes. Then we analyze the classic Cournot model of imperfect competition between firms. We consider the difficulties in colluding in such settings, and we discuss the welfare consequences of the Cournot equilibrium as compared to monopoly and perfect competition.