American central banker, and 16th Chairman of the Federal Reserve in the United States
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We open light... Amex perks, Saks talk, and Chris' infamous “no flip-flops” code—then slam straight into the heavy stuff: a President publicly leaning on the Fed to cut rates and targeting Governor Lisa Cook over mortgage-fraud allegations. Can a President remove a Fed official “for cause”? We unpack the precedent, the legal gray, and why Fed independenceactually matters. Plus, Powell's Jackson Hole comments and how a few words swung rate-cut odds—and markets—fast.➡️ Then we zoom out: what politicized monetary policy means for investors, borrowers, and the election-year economy. Finally, a sharp turn into tech: Apple's puzzling strategy (a thinner iPhone—really?) versus the real arms race—AI. We debate foldables, whether Apple will plug in third-party AI (ChatGPT or Google), and why the next big leap has to be usefulness, not just sleekness. Keywords you'll care about: Trump vs the Fed, Lisa Cook, rate cuts, Jerome Powell, Jackson Hole, Apple, iPhone, AI.
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Every year the Kansas City Fed hosts the Jackson Hole symposium. All eyes are on the opening speech from Jerome Powell which was widely covered by the news media. To me, the more interesting talks are the invited speakers who give talks on various elements of the economy. The theme this year at Jackson Hole is demographics and the impact on the labor market. So this week we will be doing a mini series summarizing the most noteworthy talks from Jackson Hole this year. The paper we are examining is by Emi Nakamura from Berkeley University. In this paper the author is examing the Taylor Rule named after John Taylor who came up with the observation after six years at the Fed, specifically examining the Alan Greenspan years. Emi Nakamura shows convincingly that the Taylor Rule rarely if ever applies in the real world, except for those six years. -------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)
Yet another warning on private investments! I remember hearing about a company by the name of Yieldstreet a few years ago and how it was a new way for smaller investors to get access to private investments and diversify away from stocks. The company promoted their platform with the tagline, “Invest like the 1%.” Unfortunately, it is now coming out that several investors may have lost everything they invested in the platform. One gentleman shared with CNBC how he invested $400,000 in two real estate projects: A luxury apartment building in downtown Nashville overseen by former WeWork CEO Adam Neumann's family office, and a three-building renovation in the Chelsea neighborhood of New York. Each project had targeted annual returns of around 20%. After three years, Yieldstreet declared the Nashville project a total loss, which wiped out $300k of his funds and the Chelsea deal needs to raise fresh capital or it will face a similar fate. Unfortunately, he is not alone and CNBC reviewed documents that show investors put more than $370 million into 30 real estate projects that have already recognized $78 million in defaults in the past year. Yieldstreet customers who spoke to CNBC say they anticipate deep or total losses on the remainder. Looking into this platform in more detail, it's crazy what they were doing. Their portfolio doesn't just consist of real estate as there is also private equity, private credit, art, crypto, and other less common investments. It appears Yieldstreet makes money by charging a management fee of around 2% on invested funds. The craziest part to me though was in several cases, Yieldstreet went to its userbase to raise rescue funds for troubled deals and told members the loans combined the protections of debt with the upside of equity. But in one case, a $3.1 million member loan to rescue a Nashville project was wiped out after just a few months! One of the big problems with these platforms is professional large investors are more disciplined when looking at investing in this space and the smaller players may be getting the bad deals that are passed over by the more established players. It's unfortunate to see people lose money like this, but this is why I avoid the private investment space. There is just not enough clarity and in many cases these platforms seem to be in it for themselves rather than for their investors. I will continue to invest in good, quality equities as I worry, we will continue to hear stories like this from investors who put money into private investments thinking they were investing in a safer asset, just to find out years later there is nothing left. Will tariffs hurt this holiday season? Here we are already at the end of August and before you know it, you'll be thinking about putting out the Christmas lights and decorating your home. For the past few years, we have seen growth in holiday sales, but this year could be different as it appears from recent conference calls from CEOs at Walmart, Home Depot and Target that they are seeing the tariff increases starting to come through. During his recent conference call, the CEO of Walmart, Doug McMillon, said that the impact of tariffs has been gradually increasing to protect the consumer, but he also said that the company is seeing cost increases each week as it rebuilds inventories with new products post tariff. He also mentioned that they may not be able to protect the consumer from rising prices much longer. What is also bad about this is that retail sales may rise, but consumers will receive less product to put under the Christmas tree considering sales are not adjusted for inflation. This could be the delayed inflation that Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve has been waiting for and unfortunately, it may show up when people begin shopping for Christmas gifts. Maybe there should not be an interest rate cut in September after all? Should you work in retirement? When many people are in their working years, they can't wait to retire so they can do what they want to do. For some people that retirement works out well, but science has shown that there's health benefits to working in retirement along with financial benefits. The health benefits would include more physical activity as you're not laying around the house or sitting in the rocking chair on the front porch. Instead, you're moving around walking places and staying active. Working also helps you stay connected with other people, which has been proven to extend your life. The financial benefits from working in your later years would include taking out less from your retirement accounts to maintain a good lifestyle. Also, you can hold off on Social Security which means you'd get a larger Social Security check when you do decide to collect. The type of work you do depend on you and some people in retirement have started a second career that is a job that they always wanted to do. Some people just work part time to stay active and involved. If you're in retirement, you can take a low stress job because you don't really need all the income to cover your expenses as long as you have the financial accounts/investments to do so. Financial Planning: The challenge of creating retirement income For decades, American workers relied on pensions, but today retirement security largely depends on defined contribution plans like the 401(k), where the burden has shifted to the individual saver. The real challenge comes when it is time to turn a pile of assets into a reliable, inflation-adjusted income stream that can last 20–30 years. Some retirees look to CDs and Treasury bills, which are guaranteed and currently pay about 4% interest, but they offer no appreciation to offset inflation and yields will likely decline as short-term rates drop. Corporate bonds may provide a slightly higher return, but they come with interest rate, credit, duration, and reinvestment risks that often outweigh the modest extra yield. Others consider annuities, which can create a pension-like income stream, but these require handing over principal, and because they are designed by insurance companies, the terms typically favor the provider rather than the investor. High-dividend stocks can also be appealing, but they may be a trap, as struggling companies often have elevated yields due to falling stock prices, which can be compounded further if the dividend is cut. On the other end of the spectrum, broad market indexes like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have been popular for growth, but their dividend yields remain low, around 1.2% and 0.8% respectively, forcing investors to sell shares for income, and poorly timed sales can shorten portfolio longevity. Even dividend aristocrats, known for steadily increasing payouts, currently only yield about 2% to 2.5% on average. There is no simple solution, but one truth stands out: accumulating assets is very different than generating income from them. Retirees need a clear income plan before leaving the workforce in order to maximize both security and enjoyment in retirement. Companies Discussed: Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (CBRL), Zoom Communications Inc. (ZM), Ralph Lauren Corporation (RL) & Viking Holdings LTD. (VIK)
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is continuing to allow Lisa Cook to have access to her office and electronics despite President Trump ordering her firing. It now turns out, the judge assigned to Cook's case against Trump, is a Biden appointee and sorority sister of Cook! You can't make this stuff up. And what happening with the criminal referrals of Tish James and Schiff, for also taking part in mortgage fraud?Guest: Roger StoneSponsor:My PillowWww.MyPillow.com/johnSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Bioptimizers https://Bioptimizers.com/toddEnter promo code TODD to get 15% off your order of Berberine Breakthrough today.Bizable https://GoBizable.comUntie your business exposure from your personal exposure with BiZABLE. Schedule your FREE consultation at GoBizAble.com today. Angel Studios https://Angel.com/ToddJoin the Angel Guild today and stream Testament, a powerful new series featuring the retelling of the book of Acts. Renue Healthcare https://Renue.Healthcare/ToddRegister today to Join the Renue Healthcare Webinar Thursday September 11th at 11:00 PST. Visit https://joinstemcelltalks.com or call 602-428-4000. Bulwark Capital https://KnowYourRiskPodcast.comBe confident in your portfolio with Bulwark! Schedule your free Know Your Risk Portfolio review. Go to KnowYourRiskPodcast.com today. Alan's Soaps https://www.AlansArtisanSoaps.comUse coupon code TODD to save an additional 10% off the bundle price.Bonefrog https://BonefrogCoffee.com/toddThe new GOLDEN AGE is here! Use code TODD at checkout to receive 10% off your first purchase and 15% on subscriptions.LISTEN and SUBSCRIBE at:The Todd Herman Show - Podcast - Apple PodcastsThe Todd Herman Show | Podcast on SpotifyWATCH and SUBSCRIBE at: Todd Herman - The Todd Herman Show - YouTubeSo, did Jerome Powell blink? He came out and said Trump was right about tariffs. Plus, what happens when the Government owns private companies? I don't like it. Zach Abraham joins...Episode links:What Fed must do now after Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole epiphany Powell's comments open door to September rate cuts as Treasury yields tumble #1 - President Trump announces the United States will take a 10% non-voting equity stake in Intel, part of a deal he and Howard Lutnick negotiated with Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan.Bill Gates is back, not with a solution for the planet, but with a blueprint for control. He's assembled a cartel of the world's most powerful corporations—BlackRock, Microsoft, GM, Bank of America—under the green banner of his "Catalyst" fund.
¡Emprendeduros! En este episodio Rodrigo y Alejandro nos dan una actualización de mercado donde hablan del estatus del mercado, de los comentarios de Jerome Powell y de las expectativas de inflacion y de empleo. Nos dan los reportes de ingreso de PinDuoDuo, Crowdstrike, Snowflake, Dollar General y Nvidia. Después hablan de una compra de cafe enorme y de una sociedad cuantica. Finalmente nos dan el análisis de crypto donde hablan de BTC vs ETH y de la moneda estable de Europa. ¡Síguenos en Instagram! Alejandro: https://www.instagram.com/salomondrin Rodrigo: https://www.instagram.com/rodnavarro Emprendeduros: https://www.instagram.com/losemprendeduros
Fed Chair Jerome Powell clearly signalled at Jackson Hole that a rate cut at the Fed's September meeting is likely. In this episode of the Beyond Markets podcast, Helen Freer talks to Julius Baer's Head of Fixed Income Research, Dario Messi, about what a resumption of the Fed's rate-cutting cycle would mean for bond markets. They also discuss the current fiscal concerns and the expected impact of tariffs on inflation, both in and outside of the US.(00:32) - Introduction (00:50) - What would the resumption of a rate-cutting cycle by the Fed mean for bond markets? (02:27) - What impact will the fiscal concerns have? (03:37) - What duration is currently appropriate in a bond portfolio? (04:32) - What impact might tariffs have on fixed income markets? (07:05) - Is the Fed's independence really in danger? (08:46) - Should investors consider corporate credit exposure? (09:37) - Would exposure to European corporate bonds also be appropriate? (11:11) - Summary and closing remarks Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.
In this week's episode of the Rich Habits Podcast, Robert Croak and Austin Hankwitz walk you through Nvidia's earnings results, Jerome Powell's recent speech in Jackson Hole, and Trump's new tariff on cheap Chinese goods. ---✅ Ready to start investing? Open a brokerage account on Public.com/richhabits and get a FREE 1% match on all IRA deposits, transfers, and rollovers!---‼️ Have feedback to share? Please let us a comment on Spotify! We're excited to mold these new weekly episodes to be exactly what our listeners want. ---
Federal Reserve governor Lisa Cook has sued President Donald Trump over his attempt to fire her, setting up a potential legal battle in court. The governor has asked the court to declare Trump's firing order "unlawful and void", and also named Fed Chairman Jerome Powell as defendant.How to keep things like food and medicines cold in the heat? We hear from Ghana-based start-up revolutionising cold chain logistics across West Africa.Also, some foreign investors are now rethinking their India plans after the US President imposed new tariffs. We hear from one of them.You can contact us on WhatsApp or send us a voicenote: +44 330 678 3033.
Spencer Hakimian says while Friday's PCE data was mostly in-line with expectations, he's concerned about the slow uptrend in year-over-year numbers that may make it harder to justify a rate cut if inflation is rising. He also points to the unusual pressure surrounding the Federal Reserve from the White House and as Jerome Powell's term as Fed Chair comes to a close next year. Spencer says tariffs can either be absorbed by consumers, companies or foreign producers and Americans should brace for higher prices passed down. He says the A.I. supercycle is "saving" this market right now and lifting spending among tech companies but he cautions that these cycles don't last forever.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Pardon? Microsoft, dat 49 procent van de aandelen van OpenAI in handen heeft, is zelf ineens aan het uitvinden geslagen. Het wil een eigen variant van ChatGPT hebben, om zo minder afhankelijk te zijn. Op zijn zachts gezegd een opvallend besluit, aangezien ze al 13 miljard dollar hebben uitgegeven aan de ontwikkeling van ChatGPT. Deze aflevering hebben we het over deze apart stap. Of is het juist een slimme tactiek van Microsoft om zelf te investeren in kunstmatige intelligentie?Bitcoin-bedrijf AMBTS komt ook voorbij. Het wil dolgraag naar de Amsterdamse beurs en lijkt een belangrijke horde daarvoor genomen te hebben. Vraag is alleen of beleggers er op zitten te wachten. NovoNordisk én Nike komen voorbij. Beide hebben het lastig, maar het Deense bedrijf maakt het wel heel bont. De groei van NovoNordisk holt zo terug dat het de hele groeiverwachting van de Deense economie naar beneden trekt. Verder hebben we het over de Fed. Minister Eelco Heinen maakt zich inmiddels zorgen over het 'inbeuken' van Trump op de centrale bank. En we gaan je voorbereiden op een periode zonder kwartaalcijfers. Nu het cijferseizoen zo goed als voorbij is, waar moet je nu op letten?See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
MSNBC's Stephanie Ruhle joins Joanna Coles to unpack Donald Trump's power moves against the Federal Reserve's governors. From his campaign against Fed chairman Jerome Powell to saying he has fired Black governor Lisa Cook, the conversation reveals a president at war with the independent central bank. The two explore how Trump leans on Wall Street CEOs, demands loyalty over judgment, and pulls business leaders like Jeff Bezos and Tim Cook into his orbit as props in his economic battles. And Ruhle spells out why Wall Street's hair is on fire about New York socialist Zohran Mamdami but it should be ablaze about Trump. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
In this episode of The Canadian Investor Podcast, we cover a packed week of market-moving news. We start with reports that Bain Capital may be taking Canada Goose private, with bids valuing the luxury parka maker well above its current market cap. Next, we break down Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s latest speech at Jackson Hole, where cooling growth, sticky inflation, and tariff-driven price shocks shaped the market’s outlook on rate cuts. We also look at Scotiabank’s surprising earnings beat, why their international arm is still a drag, and whether their promise of “pruning” is finally over. On the macro front, we discuss Trump’s efforts to reshape the Federal Reserve and the U.S. government’s growing trend of taking equity stakes in strategic companies like Intel and MP Materials. Finally, we wrap up with another strong quarter from Dollarama, which continues to post impressive growth while expanding globally. Tickers of stocks discussed: MP, INTC, DOL.TO, BNS.TO, LMT Check out our portfolio by going to Jointci.com Our Website Our New Youtube Channel! Canadian Investor Podcast Network Twitter: @cdn_investing Simon’s twitter: @Fiat_Iceberg Braden’s twitter: @BradoCapital Dan’s Twitter: @stocktrades_ca Want to learn more about Real Estate Investing? Check out the Canadian Real Estate Investor Podcast! Apple Podcast - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Spotify - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Web player - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Asset Allocation ETFs | BMO Global Asset Management Sign up for Fiscal.ai for free to get easy access to global stock coverage and powerful AI investing tools. Register for EQ Bank, the seamless digital banking experience with better rates and no nonsense.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Kevin covers the following stories: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicates conditions "may warrant" interest rate cuts; a developing story regarding evidence of Chinese Infiltration of the Federal Reserve; Fed Governor Adriana Kugler announces her resignation; Fed Governor Lisa Cook fired over allegations of mortgage fraud; U.S. Census Bureau and Department of Housing and Urban Develpment reported July new home sales; Kevin has the details, digs into the data, puts the information into historical perspective, offers his insights and an opinion of two.
Joyce talks about Transgenderism and mental illness, schools and social media grooming children and manufacturing the transgender trend. She talks about the Catholic school shooter, Melania Trump challenging students to create using AI, Soft targets and active shooter drills, Jerome Powell hinting at a rate cut, and the Trump Administration going after former FBI Director John Bolton. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Kevin covers the following stories: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicates conditions "may warrant" interest rate cuts; a developing story regarding evidence of Chinese Infiltration of the Federal Reserve; Fed Governor Adriana Kugler announces her resignation; Fed Governor Lisa Cook fired over allegations of mortgage fraud; U.S. Census Bureau and Department of Housing and Urban Develpment reported July new home sales; Kevin has the details, digs into the data, puts the information into historical perspective, offers his insights and an opinion of two.
President Donald Trump wants to control interest rates. To do that, he needs to control the Federal Reserve. So he's turned to a toady to dig up dirt on Fed governor Lisa Cook. This episode was produced by Rebeca Ibarra and Devan Schwartz, edited by Amina Al-Sadi, fact-checked by Laura Bullard, engineered by Andrea Kristinsdottir and Patrick Boyd, and hosted by Noel King. Listen to Today, Explained ad-free by becoming a Vox Member: vox.com/members. Transcript at vox.com/today-explained-podcast. President Trump mocking Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell at a recent event. Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger PictureThe D's are panicking, they cannot lose control over the Fed or worse have the Fed shutdown, which is going to happen. Trump is setting the precedent and he wants the court to make the ruling so there is not question of what authority he has. The Fed is trapped, no inflation, Trump is forcing them into a position that they will not be able to get out of. The [DS] is battling evidence that is coming out against them, the evidence is getting worse and they need to distract from this and keep the news cycle clogged with other stories. Every time news breaks against the [DS]/[D's] some type of event occurs. Trump is now exposing Soros. Soros funds the riots and antifa. Antifa mapping started a long time ago. Economy (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); https://twitter.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1960524710342746224 https://twitter.com/julie_kelly2/status/1960494829236052013 https://twitter.com/RepJasmine/status/1960343560756056539 Lisa Cook committed a crime and nobody is above the law You don't get special privileges based on the color of your skin NEW: Lisa Cook to File Lawsuit After Trump Fires Her as Federal Reserve Governor….Fed Says It Will Abide by Court Decision Lisa Cook is preparing to file a lawsuit after President Trump fired her as Federal Reserve Governor. President Trump on Monday evening fired Biden-appointed Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook amid mortgage fraud allegations. “Pursuant to my authority under Article II of the Constitution of the United States and the Federal Reserve Act of 1913, as amended, you are hereby removed from your position on the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve, effective immediately,” President Trump wrote in a letter to Lisa Cook. “I have determined that there is sufficient cause to remove you from your position,” Trump added as he cited housing regulator Bill Pulte's criminal referral on Lisa Cook for mortgage fraud – specifically occupancy fraud. Source: thegatewaypundit.com What Fed must do now after Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole epiphany Last Friday in Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell finally – and grudgingly – admitted what the Trump team has been saying all along: tariffs don't fuel inflation. At most, tariffs create a one-time adjustment in prices, not the kind of runaway spiral that demands punishing rate hikes. And even that one-time bump may be negligible if, as we have long argued, foreign exporters – not American consumers – shoulder most or all of the burden. The implication is clear: whether the impact is zero or merely a one-time step-up in prices, there is absolutely no justification for the Fed to hide behind "tariff uncertainty" as an excuse for overly restrictive interest-rate policy. Soure: foxnews.com Political/Rights https://twitter.com/robbystarbuck/status/1960481691606376666 https://twitter.com/AsraNomani/status/1960407636446175597 https://twitter.com/libsoftiktok/status/1960714129783546232 FAILED promises. https://twitter.com/libsoftiktok/status/1960729811099308460 Obama Judge Says MS-13 Gang Member Kilmar Abrego Garcia Cannot be Deported Until At Least October
Our Head of Corporate Credit Research Andrew Sheets discusses why a potential start of monetary easing by the Federal Reserve might be a cause for concern for credit markets. Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Andrew Sheets: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Head of Corporate Credit Research at Morgan Stanley. Today – could interest rate cuts by the Fed unleash more corporate aggressiveness? It's Wednesday, August 27th at 2pm in London. Last week, the Fed chair, Jerome Powell hinted strongly that the Central Bank was set to cut interest rates at next month's meeting. While this outcome was the market's expectation, it was by no means a given.The Fed is tasked with keeping unemployment and inflation low. The US unemployment rate is low, but inflation is not only above the Fed's target, it's recently been trending in the wrong direction. And to bring inflation down the Fed would typically raise interest rates, not lower them. But that is not what the Fed appears likely to do; based importantly on a belief that these inflationary pressures are more temporary, while the job market may soon weaken. It is a tricky, unusual position for the Fed to be in, made even more unusual by what is going on around them. You see, the Fed tries to keep the economy in balance; neither too hot or too cold. And in this regard, its interest rate acts a bit like taps on a faucet. But there are other things besides this rate that also affect the temperature of the economic water. How easy is it to borrow money? Is the currency stronger or weaker? Are energy prices high or low? Is the equity market rising or falling? Collectively these measures are often referred to as financial conditions. And so, while it is unusual for the Federal Reserve to be lowering interest rates while inflation is above its target and moving higher, it's probably even more unusual for them to do so while these other governors of economic activity, these financial conditions are so accommodative. Equity valuations are high. Credit spreads are tight. Energy prices are low. The US dollar is weak. Bond yields have been going down, and the US government is running a large deficit. These are all dynamics that tend to heat the economy up. They are more hot water in our proverbial sink. Lowering interest rates could now raise that temperature further. For credit, this is mildly concerning, for two rather specific reasons. Credit is currently sitting with an outstanding year. And part of this good year has been because companies have generally been quite conservative, with merger activity modest and companies borrowing less than the governments against which they are commonly measured. All this moderation is a great thing for credit. But the backdrop I just described would appear to offer less moderation. If the Fed is going to add more accommodation into an already easy set of financial conditions, how long will companies really be able to resist the temptation to let the good times roll? Recently merger activity has started to pick up. And historically, this higher level of corporate aggressiveness can be good for shareholders. But it's often more challenging to lenders. But it's also possible that the Fed's caution is correct. That the US job market really is set to weaken further despite all of these other supportive tailwinds. And if this is the case, well, that also looks like less moderation. When the Fed has been cutting interest rates as the labor market weakens, these have often been some of the most challenging periods for credit, given the risk to the overall economy. So much now rests on the data what the Fed does and how even new Fed leadership next year could tip the balance. But after significant outperformance and with signs pointing to less moderation ahead, credit may now be set to lag its fixed income peers. Thank you as always for listening. If you find Thoughts to the Market useful, let us know by leaving a review wherever you listen. And also tell a friend or colleague about us today.
There are fresh risks to the labor market, including slowing job growth and rising long-term unemployment, and this may be opening the door to interest rate cuts. Today's Stocks & Topics: CPB - Campbells Co., Market Wrap, DUOL - Duolingo Inc., Fed Chair Jerome Powell is Worried About the Job Market. Here Are 3 Red Flags for Workers, NKE - Nike Inc., Earnings Forecast, Supply and Lack of Immigration, HOOD - Robinhood Markets Inc., Copper Projects.Our Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://www.avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Ka'Chava and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://www.kachava.com* Check out Mint Mobile: https://mintmobile.com/INVESTTALK* Check out Upwork: https://upwork.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Every year the Kansas City Fed hosts the Jackson Hole symposium. All eyes are on the opening speech from Jerome Powell which was widely covered by the news media. To me, the more interesting talks are the invited speakers who give talks on various elements of the economy. The theme this year at Jackson Hole is demographics and the impact on the labor market. So this week we will be doing a mini series summarizing the most noteworthy talks from Jackson Hole this year. Some of these talks are considered boring by the news media and they don't get covered. But for those who seek to understand how the economy functions, these talks are very interesting.On today's show we are examining a paper called "Interstate Labor Mobility and the US Economy". It has four authors, two from the University of Michigan and two from Europe. Their paper discusses how Gross migration rates within the United States have undergone a subtle but significant transformation over the past five decades. While some sources, notably the Current Population Survey (CPS), paint a picture of a steep decline, plunging from over 3% to a mere 1.2% by the end of the sample period, a closer look at more robust data tells a different story. Using IRS data, the authors show that labor force mobility declined to 2.5% from 3% over that same time period. They further break down the components of why people move. One factor that I believe was not adequately addressed is the rise of remote work. People don't have to move for work in many instances. That virtual mobility may in fact be by choice rather than necessity. -------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)
Bill Holter: Gold & Silver LOVED Powell's 'Special' Jackson Hole Speech! Jerome Powell gave his yearly Jackson Hole speech on Friday, and gold and silver prices shot higher as he was talking. While the main takeaway was that he let the world know that it's time for more interest rate cuts, there were some really important unanswered questions left behind. Fortunately, gold and silver precious metals veteran Bill Holter joined me on the show to talk about some of the wild things that Powell said, that left the precious metals soaring. Bill also talks about silver as a potential strategic mineral in the US, the reports of Saudi Arabia investing in SLV, and his thoughts on why we haven't heard more about the Fort Knox gold audit. So to hear what Bill had to say, click to watch the video now! - To get access to Bill's research go to: https://billholter.com/ - To find out more about the latest First Majestic drill results at San Dimas go to: https://firstmajestic.com/investors/news-releases/first-majestic-announces-positive-exploration-results-at-san-dimas - Get access to Arcadia's Daily Gold and Silver updates here: https://goldandsilverdaily.substack.com/ - To get your very own 'Silver Chopper Ben' statue go to: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/chopper-ben-landing-page/ - Join our free email list to be notified when a new video comes out: click here: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/email-signup/ - Follow Arcadia Economics on twitter at: https://x.com/ArcadiaEconomic - To get your copy of 'The Big Silver Short' (paperback or audio) go to: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/thebigsilvershort/ - Listen to Arcadia Economics on your favorite Podcast platforms: Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/75OH2PpgUpriBA5mYf5kyY Apple - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/arcadia-economics/id1505398976 - #silver #silverprice #gold And remember to get outside and have some fun every once in a while!:) (URL0VD) This video was sponsored by First Majestic Silver, and Arcadia Economics does receive compensation. For our full disclaimer go to: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/disclaimer-first-majestic-silver/Subscribe to Arcadia Economics on Soundwise
El lunes pasado Donald Trump anunció la destitución de Lisa Cook, miembro de la Junta de Gobernadores de la Reserva Federal. El despido lo ha justificado alegando una acusación de fraude hipotecario presentada por Bill Pulte, director de la Agencia Federal de Financiación de la Vivienda. Pulte ha denunciado que Cook declaró dos residencias principales en 2021 para obtener mejores condiciones en una hipoteca, lo que constituye un delito federal. Cook negó las acusaciones, aseguró haber corregido las declaraciones y anunció que impugnará el despido en los tribunales. La decisión ha desatado un acalorado debate sobre la autonomía y la independencia de la Reserva Federal, ya que su estatuto fundacional, que data de 1913, solo permite destituir a un gobernador por ineficiencia, negligencia o malversación. Cook, nombrada por Biden en 2022 para un mandato de 14 años, sostiene que el despido carece de base legal. La Fed, por su parte, ya ha adelantado que acatará cualquier resolución judicial. La Junta de Gobernadores, equivalente al comité ejecutivo del BCE, supervisa los 12 bancos regionales de la Reserva Federal y es, junto al Comité Federal de Mercado Abierto, quien decide sobre los tipos de interés y la oferta monetaria. El cese de Cook se interpreta como un movimiento político de Trump para que Jerome Powell baje de una vez los tipos de interés y eso sirva de estímulo a la economía. No es este el primer caso en el que Trump fulmina al responsable de una agencia federal. A principios de mes destituyó a Erika McEntarfer, de la oficina de estadísticas laborales, por un informe de empleo un tanto decepcionante para los intereses del Gobierno. Las acusaciones contra Cook son además muy similares a otras que se han realizado contra opositores de Trump como Letitia James y Adam Schiff, lo que indica que se trata de una una estrategia bien estudiada para librarse de altos cargos incómodos. Cook piensa resistir y el mercado no termina de ver la maniobra de Trump para hacerse con el control de la Fed por las malas. Los analistas, eso sí, ya han advertido sobre los riesgos de inflación que entraña comprometer la independencia del banco central. Powell, cuya gestión Trump cuestiona públicamente, anunció recientemente en Wyoming un posible recorte de tipos dirigido a compensar un mercado laboral débil y los efectos de los aranceles y las políticas migratorias de Trump. El mercado espera una reducción de 0,25 puntos en septiembre, pero Trump quiere bajadas más agresivas, lo que podría reavivar la inflación, que en 2022 superó el 9%. Interferir en la Fed es arriesgado. Ejemplos como el de Argentina o el de Turquía, donde los bancos centrales controlados directamente por el gobierno dispararon la inflación, son advertencias claras. La cuestión es que la Fed no es una entidad totalmente pública ya que combina elementos públicos y privados. Su independencia es clave para dotar de estabilidad del dólar. Si Trump logra destituir a Cook sin un proceso judicial, podría sentar un precedente para, a partir de ahí, controlar la Junta y el Comité de Mercado Abierto. Pero realmente no lo necesita, le basta simplemente con ser paciente y esperar a que el mandato de Powell venza dentro de unos meses. Pero a Trump le puede la impaciencia. No tiene en cuenta que si dinamita la independencia de la Fed un próximo presidente demócrata heredaría un banco central con el que podría hacer lo que le viniese en gana. En La ContraRéplica: 0:00 Introducción 4:07 Trump contra la Fed 35:41 Por qué crece el cristianismo 41:09 Los errores de Intel 47:19 Transgénicos · Canal de Telegram: https://t.me/lacontracronica · “Contra la Revolución Francesa”… https://amzn.to/4aF0LpZ · “Hispanos. Breve historia de los pueblos de habla hispana”… https://amzn.to/428js1G · “La ContraHistoria de España. Auge, caída y vuelta a empezar de un país en 28 episodios”… https://amzn.to/3kXcZ6i · “Lutero, Calvino y Trento, la Reforma que no fue”… https://amzn.to/3shKOlK · “La ContraHistoria del comunismo”… https://amzn.to/39QP2KE Apoya La Contra en: · Patreon... https://www.patreon.com/diazvillanueva · iVoox... https://www.ivoox.com/podcast-contracronica_sq_f1267769_1.html · Paypal... https://www.paypal.me/diazvillanueva Sígueme en: · Web... https://diazvillanueva.com · Twitter... https://twitter.com/diazvillanueva · Facebook... https://www.facebook.com/fernandodiazvillanueva1/ · Instagram... https://www.instagram.com/diazvillanueva · Linkedin… https://www.linkedin.com/in/fernando-d%C3%ADaz-villanueva-7303865/ · Flickr... https://www.flickr.com/photos/147276463@N05/?/ · Pinterest... https://www.pinterest.com/fernandodiazvillanueva Encuentra mis libros en: · Amazon... https://www.amazon.es/Fernando-Diaz-Villanueva/e/B00J2ASBXM #FernandoDiazVillanueva #fed #trump Escucha el episodio completo en la app de iVoox, o descubre todo el catálogo de iVoox Originals
C dans l'air du 27 août 2025 - Trump : la dérive dictatoriale ?« Beaucoup d'Américains aimeraient avoir un dictateur ». Cette phrase prononcée par Trump ce lundi n'a pas manqué de faire réagir. Beaucoup voient une dérive autoritaire chez le président américain, qui pourtant dit « ne pas aimer les dictateurs ». Son amitié avec Poutine, Orban ou encore Bukele, le président du Salvador, indique pourtant le contraire. D'autant que les signes de dérive se sont multipliés récemment, comme avec le déploiement de la garde nationale pour "nettoyer" un Washington "envahi par les gangs", ou sa volonté de rétablir la peine de mort dans cette ville.Mais c'est aussi la tentative de limogeage d'une gouverneure de la Fed (la banque centrale des États-Unis) qui inquiète. Trump a cherché à virer Lisa Cook sur des allégations de fraude pour un prêt immobilier personnel. Ce renvoi accentue la pression sur cette institution indépendante. Trump avait prévenu qu'il était disposé à "virer" Lisa Cook si elle ne démissionnait pas elle-même. "Je ne démissionnerai pas", avait fait savoir l'intéressée dans un communiqué.Derrière cette affaire, la tentative de reprendre en main la politique monétaire américaine. Trump multiplie les coups de force interventionnistes envers la Réserve fédérale depuis son retour à la Maison Blanche. Le président américain, qui ne cesse de réclamer une diminution des taux d'intérêt par la Fed, attaque sans relâche son président Jerome Powell dans l'espoir d'accélérer son départ, et de le remplacer par une personne plus proche de lui. Cette institution tenant tête à Trump devient un symbole de résistance.Pendant ce temps, l'électorat pro-Trump continue de soutenir celui qu'ils estiment être le défenseur d'une majorité blanche déclassée. C dans l'air est allé dans le Wisconsin à la rencontre de ces Américains inquiets dans l'avenir, mais ayant l'espoir que Trump redonne sa grandeur à l'Amérique.Alors, jusqu'où ira la dérive autoritaire de Donald Trump ? Pourquoi celui-ci est-il en guerre contre la Réserve fédérale ? Qui sont ces Américains pro-Trump qui se sentent méprisés ?LES EXPERTS :Nicole BACHARAN - Historienne et politologue, spécialiste des États-Unis, éditorialiste à Ouest FranceLaurence HAIM - Journaliste spécialiste des Etats-UnisGallagher FENWICK - Grand reporter, spécialiste des questions internationalesCorentin SELLIN - Historien spécialiste des États-Unis, chroniqueur aux Jours
President Donald Trump said he is removing Federal Reserve Board Governor Lisa Cook from her position. “I will not resign,” said Cook, who hired high-profile attorney Abbe Lowell to challenge her purported termination. Trump has complained for months that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has not lowered interest rates.~This episode is sponsored by Gemini & Tangem~Sign up for The Gemini Credit Card and get an extra $50 in crypto!➜ https://bit.ly/GeminiPBNTangem ➜ https://bit.ly/TangemPBNUse Code: "PBN" for Additional Discounts!00:00 Intro00:10 Sponsor: Gemini00:50 Trump Fires fed governor?01:30 Fed Drama03:15 Cook is Cooked04:00 CNBC: Will Powell publicly back her?06:10 Powell should stay neutral07:00 Sponsor: Tangem08:05 Trump x Polymarket08:30 Tom Lee calling bottoms?10:30 Is Tom Lee too early?11:30 SharpLink adds more ETH12:20 CNBC: ETH vs Apple14:50 Outro#Bitcoin #Crypto #ethereum~Trump Fires Fed Chair?
President Donald Trump has been loudly critical of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for years now. Since January, the President has accused him of playing politics by keeping interest rates high. Trump has also threatened to oust Powell — which would mark an extraordinary shift away from the independence of the central bank.Today from our friends at The Indicator from Planet Money: a short history of the Federal Reserve and why it's insulated from day-to-day politics; how the Fed amassed a ton of power in recent years; and a Trump executive order that took some of that power away.To access bonus episodes and listen to Throughline sponsor-free, subscribe to Throughline+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org/throughline.Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy
After months of demands for lower interest rates, President Donald Trump is attempting to fire Federal Reserve governor Lisa Cook in the most dramatic step yet in his efforts to take control of the independent central bank. As WSJ's Matt Grossman explains, the move could allow Trump to alter the makeup of the board enough to potentially outvote Fed Chair Jerome Powell and recast the Fed in his image. Jessica Mendoza hosts.Further Listening: - Who Will Be the Next Fed Chair? Maybe Kevin- Why Trump Pushed His Tariff DeadlineSign up for WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Lower interest rates are more than a macro headline - for some businesses, what the Federal Reserve decides to do plays an integral role for both management and investors. Today on Motley Fool Money, analysts Emily Flippen, Jason Hall, and David Meier debate the stocks most likely to be impacted after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole Companies discussed: WD, RKT, GRBK, O, PYPL, ABNB, PAYC, TSLA Host: Emily Flippen, Jason Hall, David Meier Producer: Anand Chokkavelu Engineer: Bart Shannon Disclosure: Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. The Motley Fool and its affiliates (collectively, “TMF”) do not endorse, recommend, or verify the accuracy or completeness of the statements made within advertisements. TMF is not involved in the offer, sale, or solicitation of any securities advertised herein and makes no representations regarding the suitability or risks associated with any investment opportunity presented. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with legal, tax, and financial advisors before making any investment decisions. TMF assumes no responsibility for any losses or damages arising from this advertisement. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
John and Anthony Pompliano discuss bitcoin, why the price is going down, what's going on with the federal reserve, where the pressure from the White House is coming, prediction for the next 10 years of the US economy, and will Powell cut interest rates? ===================== Markets are at all-time highs. Public equities are outperforming. And individual investors are driving it all. It's officially the rise of the retail investor. On September 12th in NYC, I'm hosting the Independent Investor Summit — a one-day event built exclusively for self-directed investors. We're bringing together some of the smartest public market investors I know for a full day of macro insights, market predictions, one-on-one fireside chats, and actionable investment ideas from each investor. This is going to be an absolute banger event. Join us if you like markets and think retail is two steps ahead of Wall Street.
At last week's Jackson Hole gathering, Jerome Powell delivered his final speech as Fed Chair. On the surface it was dry and technical, but markets read it as a dovish signal—and risk assets surged. In today's Breakdown, NLW digs into what Powell actually said, why markets reacted so strongly, and what the revisions to the Fed's monetary policy framework mean for inflation, employment, and the future of central bank independence. Brought to you by: Grayscale offers more than 20 different crypto investment products. Explore the full suite at grayscale.com. Invest in your share of the future. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal. To learn more, visit Grayscale.com -- https://www.grayscale.com//?utm_source=blockworks&utm_medium=paid-other&utm_campaign=brand&utm_id=&utm_term=&utm_content=audio-thebreakdown) Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast: https://pod.link/1438693620 Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheBreakdownBW Subscribe to the newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/thebreakdown Join the discussion: https://discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8 Follow on Twitter: NLW: https://twitter.com/nlw Breakdown: https://twitter.com/BreakdownBW
Guy & Liz focus on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's recent Jackson Hole speech, indicating a likely rate cut in September due to a cooling labor market. The conversation covers the market's seemingly endless rise, driven by mega cap tech stocks like Nvidia, and the possible risks of steady market declines. They touch on the implications of government investments in companies like Intel and predict inflation's future impact on Fed policies. The hosts also highlight upcoming economic reports, the influence of global bond yields, and the relationship problems between rising yields and stock prices. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
This week, the Justice brothers dive deep into Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech and what it means for the future of monetary policy. Is the Fed finally ready to cut rates—or is Powell once again too cautious, earning the nickname “Too Late Powell”? Matt and Mark break down Powell's dovish tone, the shift from inflation risk to labor market fragility, and how traders should interpret the Fed's pivot back to flexible inflation targeting. Then, the conversation moves into one of the most important technical developments of the year: multiple-time frame breakouts across the Dow, Russell 2000, and the Equal-Weight S&P. Breadth has returned to the market, strengthening the bull case beyond the mega-caps. In “Stock It or Drop It,” the guys bring analysis and setups on some of the week's biggest movers: Nvidia, Zoom, Palo Alto, Walmart, Estee Lauder, and more. And in this week's Coaches Corner, they tackle trader lifestyle questions—from how much time you really need to dedicate to trading, to whether copying others' strategies can work, to the eternal debate of luck vs. skill. Insightful, actionable, and always entertaining —don't miss this episode of the Trading Justice Podcast.
Suddenly, the Federal Reserve is filled with more drama and curveballs than a World Series tiebreaker.The betting markets are abuzz debating who President Trump will replace current Chair Jerome Powell with. A surprise resignation from Fed governor and FOMC voting member Adriana Kugler has added Trump loyalist Stephen Mirran into the Inner Circle. And another FOMC voting member, governor Lisa Cook is now in the crosshairs due to a purported mortgage fraud scandal, and is at risk of being replaced.On top of all that, Jerome Powell gave a significant indication in his speech at Jackson Hole last week that rate cuts are indeed coming ahead, likely starting next month -- due to rising concerns at the Fed that the economy, labor force and housing market are weaker than it previously appreciated.To make sense of all this for us and the likely implications, we're fortunate to welcome back to the program Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist for QI Research LLC and author of the book "Fed Up: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America"Subscribe to Danielle on Substack at http://dimartinobooth.substack.com/LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#federalreserve #recession #interestrates _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Every year the Kansas City Fed hosts the Jackson Hole symposium. All eyes are on the opening speech from Jerome Powell which was widely covered by the news media. To me, the more interesting talks are the invited speakers who give talks on various elements of the economy. The theme this year at Jackson Hole is demographics and the impact on the labor market. So this week we will be doing a mini series summarizing the most noteworthy talks from Jackson Hole this year. Some of these talks are considered boring by the news media and they don't get covered. But for those who seek to understand how the economy functions, these talks are very interesting. Our first one is focused on a talk by Claudia Goldin from Harvard University.-----------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)
Today's show is sponsored by: Firecracker Farms Everything's better with HOT SALT. Firecracker Farms hot salt is hand crafted on their family farm with Carolina Reaper, Ghost and Trinidad Scorpion peppers. This is a balanced, deep flavor pairs perfect with your favorite foods. Whether it's eggs, steaks veggies or even your favorite beverage, Firecracker Farms hot salt is what you've been missing. Just head to https://firecracker.farm/ use code word: SEAN for a discount. Unlock the flavor in your food now! Delta Rescue Delta Rescue is one the largest no-kill animal sanctuaries. Leo Grillo is on a mission to help all abandoned, malnourished, hurt or suffering animals. He relies solely on contributions from people like you and me. If you want to help Leo to continue his mission of running one of the best care-for-life animal sanctuaries in the country please visit Delta Rescue at: https://deltarescue.org/ President Trump holds another epic cabinet meeting, as every department gives an update on the success the administration is enjoying. Is Jerome Powell on notice? President Trump fired Fed Governor Lisa Cook for what is now another possible mortgage fraud from a Democrat. This one even worse, as Lisa Cook ironically listed two residences as her primary residence, in order to get a lower interest rate. Josh Hammer, Senior Counsel at Article III Project is here to weigh in on her firing and the extent of President Trump's constitutional powers. An expert in constitutional law, Hammer makes the case that President Trump is well within his authority to fire federal employees on cause. The Trump administration is moving to create an accurate count on the U.S. census by counting U.S. citizens only. Democrats are still fighting to keep the MS-13 gang member Abrego Garcia in the country as the Trump administration orders his deportation to Uganda. Featuring: Josh Hammer Senior Counsel | Article III Project https://www.article3project.org/ ------------------------------------------------------------- 1️⃣ Subscribe and ring the bell for new videos: https://youtube.com/seanmspicer?sub_confirmation=1 2️⃣ Become a part of The Sean Spicer Show community: https://www.seanspicer.com/ 3️⃣ Listen to the full audio show on all platforms: Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-sean-spicer-show/id1701280578 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/32od2cKHBAjhMBd9XntcUd iHeart: https://www.iheart.com/podcast/269-the-sean-spicer-show-120471641/ 4️⃣ Stay in touch with Sean on social media: Facebook: https://facebook.com/seanmspicer Twitter: https://twitter.com/seanspicer Instagram: https://instagram.com/seanmspicer/ 5️⃣ Follow The Sean Spicer Show on social media: Facebook: https://facebook.com/seanspicershow Twitter: https://twitter.com/seanspicershow Instagram: https://instagram.com/seanspicershow Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Send us a textIn this episode of The Wall Street Skinny, Jen unpacks an overlooked risk brewing beneath the surface of financial markets. Why did Jerome Powell, head of the Fed, deliver such a surprisingly “dovish” speech at Jackson Hole? Jen suggests it may be because he sees this liquidity problem coming. Looking ahead, Kristen and Jen walk listeners through what to watch: not just whether the Fed cuts rates in September (they signaled pretty strongly that is coming) but also whether regulators adjust rules to make it easier for banks to hold Treasuries. Both moves could help ease the pressure. By breaking down complex concepts like “quantitative tightening” and “repo markets” into plain language, this episode shows how plumbing deep in the financial system can ripple out into markets and the economy, and why these behind-the-scenes moves matter for everyone.For a 14 day FREE Trial of Macabacus, click HERE For 20% off Deleteme, use the code TWSS or click the link HERE! Our Investment Banking and Private Equity Foundations course is LIVEnow with our M&A course included! Shop our LIBRARY of Self Paced Online Courses HEREJoin the Fixed Income Sales and Trading waitlist HERE Our content is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.
Discord Channel: https://discord.gg/pqKsMKp6SA All eyes are on Nvidia earnings tomorrow after the close — and the markets are bracing for impact. On this episode, we'll talk about what traders are expecting, why these numbers matter so much, and the potential ripple effects across the broader markets. We'll also dive into some great viewer questions, including:
Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech marks a major pivot at the Federal Reserve. Peter Schiff explains how political pressure from the Trump administration has forced Powell's hand, why stagflation is now undeniable, and what this means for gold, the dollar, and the future of the U.S. economy.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free ebook “Navigating Global Trade: 3 Insights for Leaders” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this Sunday Night Live edition of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter compares Powell's capitulation to the “mind right” scene in Cool Hand Luke, warns about the Fed's coming return to QE, and exposes the dangerous precedent of the U.S. government seizing a 10% stake in Intel. Schiff lays out why gold, silver, and foreign stocks are outperforming, and why the next phase of the crisis will be even more severe.00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks02:15 Powell's Jackson Hole Speech: A Sober Assessment06:48 Trump's Pressure and Powell's “Mind Right” Moment12:02 Comparing Trump and Biden Economies18:37 Stagflation Confirmed: Weak Growth, Stronger Inflation24:10 Fed Policy, Employment Risks, and Inflation Mandate29:44 The End of Inflation Averaging at 2%36:50 Rate Cuts, Quantitative Tightening, and QE Ahead44:15 Market Reactions: Stocks, Bonds, and the Dollar51:28 Gold and Silver Surge vs. Bitcoin's Underperformance58:44 Mining Stocks: GDX and GDXJ Leading 2025 Returns01:05:37 Foreign Stocks and the Great Rotation Out of U.S. Equities01:12:52 Intel's 10% Government Stake and Rising Corporatism01:20:46 Investment Strategy: Gold, Mining, and Foreign Markets01:28:14 Conclusion and Schiff Sovereign UpdateFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#federalreserve #stagflation #gold #inflation #dollarcollapse #economyOur Sponsors:* Check out Boll & Branch: https://bollandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
Episode 655: Neal and Toby discuss why the US government is taking a 10% stake in Intel. Then a recap of Jerome Powell's speech on Friday and what it could mean for interest rates. Next up the Trump admin will be ending an offshore wind project. The winners of the last weekend are Olive Garden for bringing back endless pasta and US tourism because it is hotter than ever. Finally a look at the week ahead. LinkedIn will even give you a $100 credit on your next campaign so you can try it yourself. Check out LinkedIn.com/mbd for more. Submit your MBD Password Answer here: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1Yzrl1BJY2FAFwXBYtb0CEp8XQB2Y6mLdHkbq9Kb2Sz8/viewform?edit_requested=true Check out Brew Markets here: https://swap.fm/l/9Qk4z73Z2nEwFiCB4qee Subscribe to Morning Brew Daily for more of the news you need to start your day. Share the show with a friend, and leave us a review on your favorite podcast app. Listen to Morning Brew Daily Here: https://www.swap.fm/l/mbd-note Watch Morning Brew Daily Here: https://www.youtube.com/@MorningBrewDailyShow 00:00 - US Open is Back 03:30 - US Invests in Intel 09:30 - Powell Speaks on Friday 13:25 - Offshore Wind Project Ends 18:15 - Olive Garden is Inflation-Proof 22:30 - US Tourism is Back 24:40 - Week Ahead Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Keith discusses the impact of political rhetoric on mortgage rates, emphasizing the importance of central bank independence. President of Ridge Lending Group and GRE Icon, Caeli Ridge, joins in to explain the benefits of 30-year mortgages over 15-year ones, advocating for extra principal payments to be reinvested rather than accelerating loan payoff. They also cover the potential effects of Fannie and Freddie going public, predicting higher mortgage rates. Caeli Ridge elaborates on cross-collateralization strategies, highlighting the advantages of commercial blanket loans for real estate investors. Resources: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Show Notes: GetRichEducation.com/568 For access to properties or free help with a GRE Investment Coach, start here: GREmarketplace.com GRE Free Investment Coaching: GREinvestmentcoach.com Get mortgage loans for investment property: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Invest with Freedom Family Investments. You get paid first: Text FAMILY to 66866 Will you please leave a review for the show? I'd be grateful. Search “how to leave an Apple Podcasts review” For advertising inquiries, visit: GetRichEducation.com/ad Best Financial Education: GetRichEducation.com Get our wealth-building newsletter free— text ‘GRE' to 66866 Our YouTube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/GetRichEducation Follow us on Instagram: @getricheducation Complete episode transcript: Keith Weinhold 0:01 welcome to GRE I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, the President has called the Fed chair a dummy and worse. How does this all affect the future of mortgage rates? Also, I discuss 30 year versus 15 year loans. Can you bundle multiple properties into one loan? Then how Fannie and Freddie going public could permanently increase mortgage rates today on get rich education Keith Weinhold 0:28 since 2014 the powerful get rich education podcast has created more passive income for people than nearly any other show in the world. This show teaches you how to earn strong returns from passive real estate investing in the best markets without losing your time being a flipper or landlord. Show Host Keith Weinhold writes for both Forbes and Rich Dad advisors and delivers a new show every week since 2014 there's been millions of listener downloads in 188 world nations. He has a list show guests and key top selling personal finance author Robert Kiyosaki, get rich education can be heard on every podcast platform, plus it has its own dedicated Apple and Android listener phone apps build wealth on the go with the get rich education podcast. Sign up now for the get rich education podcast, or visit get rich education.com Speaker 1 1:14 You're listening to the show that has created more financial freedom than nearly any show in the world. This is get rich education. Keith Weinhold 1:24 Welcome to GRE from Pawtucket, Rhode Island to Poughkeepsie, New York and across 188 nations worldwide. I'm your host. Keith weinholdin, this is get rich education, not to inflate a sense of self importance, but each episode is an even bigger deal than a New York Jets preseason football game. You might have thought you knew real estate until you listened to this show, from street speak to geek speak. I use it all to break down how with investment property, you don't have to live below your means. You can grow your means as we're discussing the mortgage landscape this week. You know, I recently had a bundle of my own single family rental homes transfer mortgage servicers from Wells Fargo over to Mr. Cooper. And that was easy. I didn't have to do anything. The automatic payments just automatically transferred over. And yes, Mr. Cooper, it's sort of a funny sounding name that you don't exactly see them putting the naming rights on stadiums out there, but the new servicer prominently wanted to point out the effect of me making extra $100 monthly principal payments and how much in interest that would save me over time, sort of suggesting that it would be a good idea for me to do so. Oh, as you know, like I've discussed extensively, extra principal pay down is a really poor use of your capital. It's a lot like how in the past, now you've probably seen it like I have, your mortgage company promotes you making bi weekly payments all year, so you'd effectively make some extra principal pay down each year. That way. Don't fall for it. Banks promote biweekly payments because it sounds borrower friendly, it encourages an earlier loan payoff. Well, that actually reduces lender risk and increases your risk. And the whole program can come with extra fees too. It just ties up more of your money in something that's unsafe, illiquid, and with a rate of return that's always zero, since that's exactly what home equity is. As we're about to talk mortgages with an expert today, I will be sure to surface that topic. We'll also talk about the housing market effect of a president firing a Fed chair. When you're living under the rule of a president that desperately and passionately wants lower interest rates, you've got to wonder what would happen if a president just had the power to go lower them himself, which is actually what most any president would want to do, but you almost don't have to wonder what would happen. You can just look at what actually did happen in Turkey. Now, yes, Turkey already did have an inflation problem, worse than us, for sure, but Turkish President Erdogan went ahead and lowered Turkey's interest rates despite persistent inflation. I mean, that's a situation where most would raise rates in order to combat inflation. Well, lowering rates like that soon resulted in substantially higher inflation to the tune of almost 60. Yes, six 0% per year before cooler heads prevailed and the Turkish government was forced to drastically raise rates. But it was too late. The damage was already done to the reputation of Turkey's economy and its everyday citizens and consumers. I mean, that was a painful, real world example of how critical central bank independence is. You've also got to ask yourself a question here, do you really want to live in the type of economy where we would need a bunch of rate cuts? Because when rate cuts happen, it usually results from the fact that people are no longer employed, or we're in a recession, or financial markets are really unstable. So there are certainly worse maladies out there than where we are today, which is with moderate inflation, pretty strong employment and interest rates that are actually a little below historic levels. I mean, that is not so bad. Before we talk both long term mortgage lessons and more nascent mortgage trends today coming up on future episodes of the show here, a lot of info and resources to help you build wealth as usual. Also an A E TELEVISION star of a real estate reality show will make his debut here on GRE. Keith Weinhold 6:24 Hey, do you like or even live by any of the enduring GRE mantras, like, Don't live below your means, grow your means, or financially free, beats debt free, or even, don't quit your Daydream. Check out our shop. You can own merch with sayings like that on them, or simply with our GRE logo on shirts and hats and mugs. And I don't really make any income from it. The merch is sold at near cost, and it actually took a fair bit of our team's time to put that together for you. So check out the GRE merch. You can find it at shop.getricheducation.com that's shop.getricheducation.com Keith Weinhold 7:18 today we're talking to the longtime president of ridge lending group. They specialize in providing income property loans to real estate investors like you, and she's also a long time real estate investor herself. I've shared with you before that ridge is where I get my own loans. They've worked with 10s of 1000s of real estate investors, not just primary residence owners, but real estate investors as well as homeowners all over the country, and at this point, she's like a GRE icon, a fixture regularly with us since 2015 Hey, welcome back to get rich education the inimitable Chaley Ridge, Caeli Ridge 7:54 ooh, Mr. Keith Weinhold, thank you, sir. So good to see you, my friend. Thanks for having me Keith Weinhold 8:00 opening up that thesaurus tab right about now, I think maybe JAYLEE, why don't we have the chat everyone wants to have? Let's discuss interest rates, starting with the vitriol from Trump to Powell has reached new heights. This year, Trump has called Powell a numbskull, Mr. Too late, a real dummy, a complete moron, a fool and a major loser, among other names. And you know, at times, I've seen Realtors even blasting Jerome Powell for not cutting rates. Well, the Fed doesn't directly control mortgage rates, and it's also not the Fed's job to boost Realtors summer sales. It's to protect the long term stability of the US economy. Tell us your thoughts. Caeli Ridge 8:48 So this is a rather complicated topic, okay, and there's a lot that under the hood that goes into how a long term mortgage bond interest rate is going to go up or going to go down. As you said, it's not necessarily just the Fed and the fed fund rate, which, by the way, for those that are not familiar with this, the fed fund rate is the intra daily trading rate between banks. So while there is a connection between that and that of the 30 year long term fixed rate mortgage, they are not the same thing. And in fact, statistically, I believe I read this last week, the last three fed fund rate reductions did the opposite to long term rates, right? So we went the other direction. So please be clear that the viral, as you say, of President Trump and what his opinions are about Mr. Powell and his decisions to keep that fed fund rate unchanged for the last several meetings that they've had, I think, is more of a distraction, but that's another conversation overall. I would say that, is he too late? Is he right on time? You know, there's so much data and so many data points that they're looking at, and there's this thing in the industry called a Lag that, in truth, they're not getting the actual data points that they need real time. It's lagging, so the data that's coming out to them today isn't going to be what's relevant and necessary to make changes tomorrow, next month and next week. Most recently, you probably saw in the news the BLS Bureau of Labor and Statistics and the jobs report came in far under what the expectation was. So that might have been the catalyst. I think that will drive Powell and group to reduce that is the overwhelming expectation that the fed fund rate is going to come down by how much. We don't know. Secondary markets are already baking that in, by the way. So when we talk about long term interest rates, I'm starting to see some changes on the day to day. I get access to that stuff, and I'm looking at it daily, the ticker tape of where the treasury bonds and things are. So I'm starting to see some slight improvement to interest rates in preparation of that market expectation, interest rate on the fed fund level will probably reduce. But I think overall, Keith that the Fed is in a really difficult position, because when you think about what really is going to drive the fed fund rate, and then potentially the long term rate, is counterintuitive to what most people or consumers expect, right? They think if the fed fund rate reduces by a quarter of a percentage point, then a long term 30 year fixed should probably reduce by the same amount. It does not go hand in hand like that. Now, while there are trends right, that doesn't happen that way, and more often than not, the worse our economy is doing, the better a 30 year interest rate will be. So in my industry, I'm kind of always playing on the fence, thinking I don't want anything bad for our country and the economy. However, the worse it does, the better interest rates are going to become. And if you've been paying attention, the economy is in decent shape. We're not doing that bad. Inflation is still up, so the metrics that they're using to kind of gage and predict that lag and where we're going to be are not in line to say that interest rates are going to drop a half or a point or a point and a half in the next year to 18 months. Those signs are not out there for me. All of that said, I know that interest rate is top of mind for I mean, I'm on the phone all day long. I like that part of my job where I'm still interfacing with investors on day to day. Big chunk of my day is spent talking to clients, and that is one of the top questions, probably one of the first questions that come out of their mouth, where interest rates? What are interest rates? And what I have sort of started to really form and say to that question is, if interest rates are the catalyst to your success in real estate, you probably need to do a little bit more research, because interest rates should not be the make or break for your success. Well, as a real estate investor Keith Weinhold 12:45 the Fed has a dual mandate of maximum employment and stable prices. Inflation, though still somewhat elevated, has stayed about the same the past few months. History shows us that the Fed is more comfortable with inflation floating up than they are with suppressed employment levels. To your point about recent reports about us not adding many jobs, and the Fed being concerned about that, the translation for those that don't know is, if the job market is weak, lowering rates, which is what increasingly people think they tend to do later this year. Lowering rates helps encourage businesses. It's more likely that businesses will borrow and expand and hire more people. Therefore, if rates are low now, whether that translates into a lower mortgage rate or not, by lowering that fed funds rate? Yes, there is that positive correlation. Generally, the lower the Fed funds rate goes, the lower mortgage rates tend to go although that isn't always the case. To your point. Shailene, late last year, there were three Fed funds rate cuts, and mortgage rates actually went up, which is somewhat of an aberration that usually doesn't happen that way, but that's the environment we're in. Most people think Fed rate cuts are coming later this year. Caeli Ridge 14:04 Yeah. And I would say, you know, the other thing too, when we talk about the pressure that the Fed is under right now, specifically, Powell, he's being attacked, fine, and whether I agree or disagree, really important for listeners to understand that the indifference that the Fed is supposed to have right bipartisan, it's not supposed to have a dog in that fight. If it did the calamity, I think what would happen economically in this country would be devastating if other economic powers were to see that our particular financial institutions are swayed one way or another. Politically, that would be devastating to us. So I think Powell has done a decent job at staying the course. He's continued to do what he says, says what he does. So so far, I'm okay. Is he late to reduce rates? I don't know that I'm qualified to say that, maybe. But at the same time, I think that his impartiality has been consistent, and that for that part of it, I'm. Grateful Keith Weinhold 15:00 for those who don't understand if Trump just told Powell what to do and Powell followed Trump's orders, how does that devastate the economy? Caeli Ridge 15:09 It shows partiality to or Fieldy to one particular party, right? It's not an independent institution where financial policy quantitative easing, quantitative tightening, all of those different things that are necessary to keep the pistons pumping. It isn't it's very specific to Fieldy and the leader of telling based on potentially ego or other elements that have not a lot to do with fiduciary responsibility. Keith Weinhold 15:37 If Powell did everything Trump said, I feel like we would have negative interest rates right now Caeli Ridge 15:43 that could be a problem, especially if the economy and inflation is on the rise, and then you get the tariffs. I mean, there's so much layering to this. I mean, we could go on and on about it, but overall, let me close with this. I think that interest rates are probably on the run, if I had to guess. Now, there's all kinds of variables that could make that statement untrue, but overall, in the next year to two years, I do think we'll see some relief in interest rates, barring any major catastrophe. But again, investors, if your success, if you're tying your real estate portfolio, your real estate investing, whatever modality you're interested in, if you're tying that to an interest rate, and there's a certain number that you have ethereal in your mind, you're going to lose your success in real estate. Interest rate is a component of it, but it should not be tied to your success or failure. You should be able to do the math and look at the differences in real estate opportunities, investment, whether it be long term, short term, midterm, single family, two to four appreciation, cash flow, all those things should be considered, and you will find adequate returns independent of an interest rate. If you're diversifying that way Keith Weinhold 16:49 there is more evidence that Americans have warmed up and gotten somewhat used to normal mortgage rates. This normalization of mortgage rates, they are pretty close to their historic norms. In fact, a recent housing sentiment survey done by turbo home found that in q1 of this year, 41% of homeowners surveyed said that a 6% mortgage rate was the highest they would accept on their next purchase. Right that was back in q1 today, up from 41%, 52% of respondents now say a 6% mortgage rate is the highest that they would accept. Evidence that people are warming up and normalizing this. Caeli Ridge 17:30 The other thing too is the pandemic rates. Right? That's been a very hard shell to crack. The people that got these two and 3% interest rates during 2020 2021, part of 22 they're really reticent to let those go, and I think that they're doing themselves a disservice as a result. If you can get a second lean HELOC, okay, fine, but overall, if you're just going to let that untapped equity sit, it's going to be to your disadvantage. If you have any desire to increase your portfolio and your long term financial stability and wealth Keith Weinhold 17:59 you're listening to get rich education. Our guest is Ridge lending Group President Cheley, Ridge much more when we come back, including 30 year versus 15 year loans. Which one is better and more things that the administration is doing to shake up the mortgage market. I'm your host. Keith Weinhold. Keith Weinhold 18:15 the same place where I get my own mortgage loans is where you can get yours. Ridge lending group and MLS, 42056, they provided our listeners with more loans than anyone because they specialize in income properties. They help you build a long term plan for growing your real estate empire with leverage. Start your prequel and even chat with President Cheley Ridge personally while it's on your mind, start at Ridge lendinggroup.com. That's Ridge lendinggroup.com. Keith Weinhold 18:46 You know what's crazy? Your bank is getting rich off of you. The average savings account pays less than 1% it's like laughable. Meanwhile, if your money isn't making at least 4% you're losing to inflation. That's why I started putting my own money into the FFI liquidity fund. It's super simple. Your cash can pull in up to 8% returns and it compounds. It's not some high risk gamble like digital or AI stock trading. It's pretty low risk because they've got a 10 plus year track record of paying investors on time in full every time. I mean, I wouldn't be talking about it if I wasn't invested myself. You can invest as little as 25k and you keep earning until you decide you want your money back. No weird lockups or anything like that. So if you're like me and tired of your liquid funds just sitting there doing nothing. Check it out. Text family 266, 866, to learn about freedom. Family investments, liquidity fund again. Text family to 66866, Rick Sharga 19:58 this is Rick sharga housing market. Intelligence Analyst, listen to get rich education with Keith Weinhold, and don't quit your Daydream. Keith Weinhold 20:05 Welcome back to get rich Education. I'm your host, Keith Weinhold. We're talking with a familiar guest this week. That's Ridge lending Group President, Caeli. Ridge wealth is built through compound leverage faster than compound interest. And leverage means using loans. I think most everyone the first time in their life they look at loan amortization tables and learn things like, oh, with a 15 year loan, you pay substantially less interest, perhaps hundreds of 1000s of dollars less interest with a 15 year loan and its lower mortgage rate than you do with a 30 year loan and its higher mortgage rate. But a lot of people don't take that next step and look that Oh, rather than paying down my home loan with extra principal payments, if I just invested the difference, I would be substantially better off down the road. So in a lot of cases, the more sophisticated investor chooses that longer loan duration, the 30 year. That's the way I see it. What do you see? Most of your prefer there. Caeli Ridge 21:12 It's one of my favorite topics to cover, because there's quite a few layers that I think can all connect. If an individual wants to pay less in interest very easily, I'm going to strenuously advise them to take a 30 year over a 15 year and just simply apply the difference. So let's just start with the applicable version of 15 versus 30 and how it can benefit or harm. Because this is what a lot of times people that go for the 15 year and wanting to pay less in interest. Don't understand, and it's never been delivered to them in a reasonable way, I guess. So just looking at those two, and then we'll get to the strategy of potentially reinvesting those dollars elsewhere. But just look at a 30 year and a 15 year. I am a massive deterrent against a shorter term amortization. I hate a shorter term amortization, because all that's going to do to the individual is limit their ability to qualify later on down the road. And the reason for that is, is that the shorter term, as you had described, is going to yield a higher monthly payment. So when we pull credit for an individual, that's a higher monthly payment that the debt to income ratio has to support, when in fact, if we simply just look at the two side by side, 15 year and a 30 year equal, equal loan sizes. The 15 year is going to have a lower interest rate. It's true, but the amortization is obviously half the amount. We've gone from 360 months, 30 years to 180 months, 15 years. So the payment obviously is going to be much, much higher if you take the payment difference between those two mortgage products and apply it with a 30 year fixed payment. Let's just call it 500 bucks a month, whatever the number is, and you are disciplined to send that extra 500 bucks every single month with your 30 year fixed mortgage payment. You will cross the finish line in 15.4 years, I think, is the average when you run the amortization, so you'll pay a few extra months worth of interest, but whatever, you'll never pay the higher interest that the 30 year has locked at because you've accelerated the payoff of the debt so quickly, and you've maximized your debt to income ratio and future qualifications never take the shorter term amortization. It is to your greatest disadvantage. I hate them. That's part one. Did you have a comment? I can see that your wheels are spinning. Keith Weinhold 23:24 That is a great answer. If you get the 30 year loan instead of the 15 if you apply an extra principal payment, whatever it would be, call it 500 plus dollars, that you will kill off that loan, that 30 year loan in something like 15.4 years. Yes, and you'll have the lower payment amount for your qualification, going forward, you'll have more flexibility in your life. That's great. I didn't realize the difference 15.4 versus 15 was that small? That's a great takeaway. Caeli Ridge 23:50 Yeah, absolutely. And the other piece, you kind of just hit on it, the individual's feet are not held to the fire at that higher payment. So let's say it's a rental, okay, whatever. It goes vacant for a month, or a couple months, God forbid, or whatever may be happening. You now get to choose. You are not obligated at that higher monthly payment. You can say, Okay, this month, I'm not going to pay the extra. I don't da, da, da. It's all within your control. So you're killing like four birds with one stone. I really prefer the 30 year amortization for all those reasons. So now let's take it and move into how I believe, and I agree with your philosophy, taking those dollars and applying them, because when we talk about mortgage interest, especially on investment property, okay, it's probably a slightly different conversation when we're talking about somebody's primary residence, home, but for an investment property to take that difference and apply it toward another investment, because the interest remember, you guys, we're investors. We want that Schedule E deduction, that interest deduction, as money goes a 30 year fixed mortgage, even today, as interest rates are elevated beyond the two and three percents that people somehow fixated on, that that's where interest rates should just be forever. You've got Mass. Amounts of interest deduction, so you're paying less in taxes. For that reason, there's so many reasons to stretch out that mortgage on an investment property versus extinguishing that debt, not to mention, you want to constantly be harvesting equity, ideally, pulling cash out. Borrowed funds are non taxable, deploying them, but then taking that extra cash flow and stockpiling it for another investment, whether that just be the down payment or for other things. I just think there's so many better places that those funds can go to produce more wealth than accelerating the payoff of that debt that's benefiting you, from a tax perspective, and several other ways. There's lots of other ways to apply that money. I Keith Weinhold 25:43 I often ask, why accelerate the payoff on a, say, 7% mortgage interest rate loan, when instead you can take those savings, reinvest them into other real estate, where it sounds preposterous on its face to think of the rate of return that you can get from an income property, but when you add up all the five ways you're paid, appreciation, cash flow, loan pay down, made by the tenant, tax benefits and the inflation profiting benefit on the long term fixed interest rate debt, a return of 20% plus is not out of the question at all. So if it's 20, why would you pay off extra on a seven? That's 13 points of arbitrage that you could gain there by not aggressively paying down a property and instead making a down payment on another income property. Chaeli, when it comes to these type of questions and accelerating a payoff, why do banks seem to encourage that you make bi weekly payments rather than monthly payments, therefore accelerating your principal pay down. Caeli Ridge 26:42 I'm not sure the reason behind that. I don't know that I've even seen a lot of that from my lens and my perspective. It's definitely not something I ever comment or preach on. But the overall, what's happening there when you do it the bi weekly, so instead of making $1,000 at the first of the month, you make 500 and then 500 right, middle of them on first of the month. What's happening there is, because of the way the annual calendar goes, it ends up being an extra payment per year, right? I think that's the math. Is, when you do it that way, you end up making an extra payment per year, so you can accelerate. And there's you're not doing anything different, necessarily, to in your cash flow, etc. So I don't think there's anything wrong with it. I don't know what the benefit is to the institution that would in communicate that to its consumer. Yeah, Keith Weinhold 27:27 Yeah, it ends up being 26 bi weekly payments, which has the effect of making 13 monthly payments in a 12 month year, accelerating your pay down. In my experience, it seems that banks encourage this. They contact borrowers. They've contacted me in the past, laying out a welcome mat. Hey, would you like this plan here? And in my mind, accelerating the payoff. We already talked about how that's typically not a good investment. The more you know about the trade off between loans and equity, really, I'm transferring more of the risk onto myself and less they're onto the bank when I accelerate my payoff. So I agree. I'm not interested in doing that at all. Caeli Ridge 28:06 You know, maybe Keith, it could be, because I people talk about this a lot, those people, and let's say that there are a group of individuals that might benefit. Let's say they're in phase three, right? They're well into retirement. They just want to start paying off. They're not maybe investing anymore. They just want to leave that legacy, perhaps, or whatever their circumstances are, and they don't want to take additional capital and apply it to the principal and lock up those funds and make them illiquid. So maybe, just as an easy sidebar, they just make two payments month versus one. I get a lot of people asking that question. I mean, over the years, I know that like at the closing table, we'll have clients say, Hey, is the servicer going to be set up to accept bi weekly payments? And a lot of times they don't like SLS. I mean, there's a lot of servicers out there that will not accept or don't have the infrastructure to collect those bi weekly so maybe just as a consumer desire out there, the servicers have gotten wise to it, and they just offer it. I can't think of the reason behind why they would promote that to their database. I don't know. Keith Weinhold 29:09 Another question that I hear quite often, and probably do as well there is about bundling multiple properties into one loan. Can you tell us about that? Caeli Ridge 29:20 Yeah, that's called cross collateralization. So we're taking residential property, okay, and putting them into a commercial blanket loan. So any combination of single family, up to four unit, five Plex and above is now considered commercial. So it's got to be single family, condo, duplex, triplex, fourplex, right? It's residential property, and they're taking any combination of that and putting it into one blanket loan, cross collateralizing it. Now, I believe the most incentivized way or desire to want to do this is probably for two reasons. One, to free up golden tickets, right? Golden tickets are those Fannie Freddie loans that we talk about a lot. There are 10 of these per qualified individual, if. If someone has maxed out their golden tickets, let's say they've got 12, 1314, properties, they could take five or 10 or 13, whatever the number, and put them into a commercial blanket cross collateralized loan, as long as it's non recourse. That means no personal guarantee is attached to it. The rule per golden ticket will free up all those spaces. So usually this applies to an individual that has a portfolio that has stabilized. This will usually work when the portfolio has had a couple of years to make sure that you've got your consistent tenants and anything that may come up, repairs, maintenance, et cetera, stabilized portfolios and then putting them into that cross collateralization, because the terms are not going to be the same as just a 30 year fixed Okay, especially if you're going to be looking to take cash out and harvest equity that way, that may be a real opportune time to borrow funds. Borrowed funds are non taxable once again, pull the cash out, put it into a non recourse loan. You've got half a million dollars of capital now that you can then go and get a whole new set of golden tickets for expanding your portfolio. So that's something that we focus on for individuals that have maybe maxed out of that that conventional landscape and or are looking to scale and acquire more properties, but they don't want to necessarily look at some of the DSCR loans. They want to get back into the Fannie Freddie box. Keith Weinhold 31:22 Yeah, so someone could bundle and get cash out simultaneously, potentially, is there anything else that qualifies or disqualifies one for bundling many loans into one like this? Caeli Ridge 31:35 It's a commercial underwrite. So they should be aware of that. Now, certainly, we're looking at the individual typically in those loans, the underwriting of those loans, the individual's liquidity and credit are most what we're focusing on, but it's about the property in the portfolio, DSCR, that debt service coverage ratio is a big factor. So we're looking at the income against the monthly expense. Generally. That's going to be the principal, interest, tax and insurance on a commercial basis, they throw in the maintenance, vacancy, et cetera, averages. So you want to see, generally speaking, about 1.2 on those when you divide the incomes and the expenses and then otherwise, yeah, LTV might be a little bit restricted on something like that, 70% usually, maybe you can get as much as 75 if you've got a really strong portfolio. But otherwise, for you, individually, liquidity, some liquidity there, and good credit is what is important. As long as the portfolio is operating at a gain, then you're good to go. Keith Weinhold 32:32 Yeah, that cross collateralization could be really attractive. Well, Chile, we've been in this presidential administration that has shaken things up like few, if any, prior administrations have. One of those things is that they have pushed for cryptocurrency holdings to be recognized as assets in mortgage loan qualification. Now that's something that would probably pend approval by the FHFA and critics cite volatility. I mean, there's been a pattern where every few years, Bitcoin drops 80% before rebounding, and I'm not exaggerating, and that has happened a number of times. And another administration desire is this potential Fannie Mae Freddie Mac merger, or an IPO an initial public offering. Can you tell us what that's about Caeli Ridge 33:21 let's start with the crypto first, whether or not this, this gets through the Congress and or FHFA, however, that that develops and becomes actualized, that may be different than what the lending institutions decide to take a risk on, right the allowance of that crypto so it even if it's approved and they say that, Yes, that we can use this for asset depletion or reserve requirements, or whatever it may be. I don't know necessarily that you're going to see a lot of the lending institutions jump on board. I think they'll probably have overlays. It's just kind of the layering of risk on the crypto side to ensure that the asset and the underwrite is less likely to default. I don't see a lot of lending institutions that are probably going to jump on that bandwagon immediately. That's probably going to need more time and consistency with that particular asset class. That's the crypto thing. So that's a TBD on the other side, we're talking about conservatorship. So post, oh 809, right? The housing crash and Dodd Frank, if you've not heard of those names before, they're just the last names of individuals that that rewrote that sweeping legislation across all sectors of finance. Once we saw housing and lending implode upon each other, Fannie Freddie, as a result, went into conservatorship. Now what they're saying, what the administration is saying is, is that they are going to say that the implicit guarantee actually, let me back up really, really quickly. I will not take too much time on this so Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac The reason that those products are the golden tickets, as we call them, and we're just focused on investor products right now is because highest leverage, lowest interest rate. And why is it like that? That's because it has a United States government guarantee. Against default. So this mortgage backed security is bundled up with other mortgage backed securities and sold, bought and sold on the secondary market to investors, foreign and domestic. Right? Investors that are buying mortgage backed securities, they know that that paper is secure. If it defaults. We've got the United States government that's giving us a guarantee against default. So that's why it's such a secure investment. If we come out of conservatorship, technically, that would normally mean that you may not have that implicit guarantee. However, the Trump administration and those that are in that space, FHFA, Pulte and all those guys, they're saying that that guarantee should still apply if that happens, if that's how they release this, I don't see anything wrong if they do it without all of the volatility. You know, let's use the tariffs as an example. It was all over the place. It was there, and then it was gone. It was up, and then it was down. It was 30% then it was two right? It was it was just so much, and the markets really had a hard time with it. And as a result, I think a lot of people lost massive amounts of wealth in the stock market because of that. So I think that there is some real benefits to getting the Fannie, Freddie, the GSCs, government sponsored enterprises, out of conservatorship. I think it just opens up for more fair trade in the market. But they have to do it the right way, and as long as they keep that guarantee, that government guarantee, and then they take their time and apply the steps appropriately, I think it could be a good thing, ultimately, for the consumer. Now, if they don't, it could really have devastating impacts, and I think it could even raise interest interest rates higher. I know Trump and folks don't want that, so I think they're mindful of it. That's just kind of the take I get. But we'll see, Keith Weinhold 36:42 yeah, because that's my preeminent thought with this. Shaylee, if Fannie and Freddie come out of conservatorship, and there's no government backstop on those loans, it seems like the banks are exposed to more risk, and consequently would have to compensate for that, potentially with a higher interest Caeli Ridge 36:57 rate. You said it better than I did. Yes, I get too technical when I go down those rabbit holes. That's exactly right. I do not think that they will go down that that path without that implicit guarantee. I expect, if this thing comes to fruition, I expect that that guarantee will be there. Keith Weinhold 37:13 Yeah, it does seem likely, with as much administration concern as there is about the housing market and the level of mortgage rates and all kinds of interest rates out there. Well, JAYLEE, this has been a great, wide ranging conversation all the way from strategy to what the administration is doing in interfacing with the mortgage market. If someone wants to learn more about you and your products, tell us what you offer, including your very popular all in one loan there at ridge. Caeli Ridge 37:41 Ooh, thank you for teeing that up. Yeah, especially right now, when people have a lot of concern about interest rates right or wrong, the all in one is a very unique product that removes that fear. It's a way that investors, especially can take control of their equity, pay less in interest, and sometimes hundreds of 1000s of dollars less in interest, while maintaining equity and flexibility and liquidity. Cannot say enough about this product. The all in one. First lien HELOC is my very favorite. For the right individuals, we've talked about it many, many times. They can find us talking about it all over YouTube. You and I have quite a few conversations about that. So that and so much more, guys. So the all in one, you've got the Fannie Freddie's, our debt service ratio products, our bank statement loans, our asset depletion loans, ground up construction bridge loans for fix and flip or fix and hold. We really run the gamut there in terms of loan product diversity. There's very little we can't do for real estate investors. So we're uniquely qualified in that space Keith Weinhold 38:36 and you offer loans in nearly all 50 states. Now tell us more and how one can get a hold of your company. Yes, we are Caeli Ridge 38:44 licensed in 49 states. The only state we're not licensed in residentially is New York. We can still do commercial there. But to reach us, you can find us on the web, Ridge lendinggroup.com you can email us info@ridgelendinggroup.com and feel free to call us at 855, 74 Ridge 855-747-4343, Keith Weinhold 39:04 I'm so familiar with all those avenues because, again, that's where I get my own loans myself. Chaley Ridge has been valuable as always. Thanks so much for coming back onto the show. Caeli Ridge 39:13 Thanks, Keith. Keith Weinhold 39:21 A lot of experts believe that stripping Fannie and Freddie's public backing and taking them public, yeah, that that will increase mortgage rates. See, besides there being more risk, like we touched on there during the interview, Fannie and Freddie would face strong incentives to increase profitability, to make an IPO appealing to potential investors, that's just another reason that would probably increase mortgage rates. But if you're the type that truly champions free marketeerism, then the government would get out of Fannie and Freddie and let them IPO, and you would want. To see that happen now you as an investor, you probably resonate with the fact that rather than having to methodically and even painfully save money for your next property, instead you can just borrow funds, tax free, out of your existing property, and that way, you're using more of other people's money, the bank's money, in this case, and less of your own. Similarly, if you avoid aggressive principal pay down well, you would just retain those funds in the first place. As you can see, Chely is really good at taking a deep look at what you've got to work with and helping you lay out a strategy that might make sense, keeping in mind and evaluating your cash, cash flow, equity DTI and loan to value ratios, they offer free 30 minute strategy sessions. You can book one right there on their homepage at Ridge lendinggroup.com Until next week, I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, don't quit. Sure. Daydream. Speaker 2 41:07 Nothing on this show should be considered specific, personal or professional advice. Please consult an appropriate tax, legal, real estate, financial or business professional for individualized advice. Opinions of guests are their own. Information is not guaranteed. All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. The host is operating on behalf of get rich Education LLC exclusively. Keith Weinhold 41:31 You know, whenever you want the best written real estate and finance info, oh, geez, today's experience limits your free articles access, and it's got pay walls and pop ups and push notifications and cookies disclaimers, it's not so great. So then it's vital to place nice, clean, free content into your hands that adds no hype value to your life. That's why this is the golden age of quality newsletters, and I write every word of ours myself. It's got a dash of humor, and it's to the point because even the word abbreviation is too long, my letter usually takes less than three minutes to read. And when you start the letter, you also get my one hour fast real estate video. Course, it's all completely free. It's called the Don't quit your Daydream. Letter, it wires your mind for wealth, and it couldn't be easier for you to get it right now. Just text gre 266, 866, while it's on your mind, take a moment to do it right now. Text, gre 266, 866 Keith Weinhold 42:47 The preceding program was brought to you by your home for wealth, building, get richeducation.com.
Jay Powell signalled a monetary policy shift during a high-profile Jackson Hole speech last week, and European investors are pouring money into new air defence technology. Plus, Spanish bank Santander is seeking to become a big player in Wall Street's Spac market. Mentioned in this podcast:Jay Powell paves the way for Federal Reserve interest rate cut in SeptemberWall Street's September Fed rate cut bets still hinge on economic dataVenture capital steps up ‘Iron Dome' air defence investmentsSantander signals Wall St ambition with Spac mandatesToday's FT News Briefing was produced by Josh Gabert-Doyon, Ethan Plotkin, and Sonja Hutson. Additional help from Alex Higgins, Peter Barber. The FT's acting co-head of audio is Topher Forhecz. The show's theme music is by Metaphor Music. Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Scott Wapner and the Investment Committee debate the fate of the market rally and the top stock plays following Jerome Powell's pivot in Jackson Hole last Friday. Plus, we break down the latest Calls of the Day. Later, the desk shares their favorite bank stocks and strategies for the financial sector.Investment Committee Disclosures
This week on Face the Nation, the Trump administration builds up the federal presence in the nation's capital to crack down on crime, as the President vows to use similar tactics in other US cities. The number of national guard troops sent to protect Washington continues to grow as President Trump praises his own plan to clean up the city. But as Mr. Trump dismissed district leaders' claim of a 30-year low in violent crime, he's vowing a similar surge in Chicago, New York, and other cities. What could that mean for public safety in your community? We'll check in with Maryland Democratic Governor Wes Moore and New York Republican Congressman Mike Lawler. Then, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell hints at an interest rate cut, but he also cautions that the U.S. economy is facing challenging times. We get a reality check on Powell's speech and state of the economy from economist Mohamed El Erian. Plus, a UN-backed group confirms residents of Gaza City are facing catastrophic conditions of famine and warn that it will soon expand to other areas within the Gaza Strip. New Hampshire Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen is visiting the region and will join us. We talk with UNICEF Executive Director Catherine Russell as well. To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
The Justice Department released transcripts and recordings of their recent talks with convicted sex trafficker and Jeffrey Epstein partner Ghislaine Maxwell yesterday. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell signals the Fed may start interest rates cuts soon. After nearly two weeks of stepped-up arrests and federal law enforcement presence in the nation's capital, many immigrants are afraid to attend church, worried they could be detained and deported.Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy
Jordi Visser is a macro investor with over 30 years of Wall Street experience. He also writes a Substack called “VisserLabs” and puts out investing YouTube videos. In this conversation we talk about Jerome Powell's recent comments, why PMI is important, why bitcoin isn't going up, AI bubble, MAG7 getting cheaper, and where Jordi sees risk right now. ===================== Independent Investor ConferenceMarkets are at all-time highs. Public equities are outperforming. And individual investors are driving it all. It's officially the rise of the retail investor. On September 12th in NYC, I'm hosting the Independent Investor Summit — a one-day event built exclusively for self-directed investors. We're bringing together some of the smartest public market investors I know for a full day of macro insights, market predictions, one-on-one fireside chats, and actionable investment ideas from each investor. This is going to be an absolute banger event. Join us if you like markets and think retail is two steps ahead of Wall Street.
P.M. Edition for Aug. 22. The Justice Department has released interview transcripts of Jeffrey Epstein associate Ghislaine Maxwell. And U.S. stocks surged after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled rate cuts are coming. WSJ's chief economic correspondent Nick Timiraos discusses if Powell's remarks are enough to satisfy President Trump. Plus, if tariffs are driving up prices, why are some retail giants thriving? Sarah Nassauer explains. Sabrina Siddiqui hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices